The Year in
defense 2008 Edition
AFRICOM JSF Update Missile Defense World Submarine Survey
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© 2008. Science Applications International Corporation. All rights reserved. The SAIC logo and the phrase “From Science to Solutions” are registered trademarks of Science Applications International Corporation in the United States and/or other countries.
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Editors’ Foreword The Government Accountability Office reported on Oct. 30, 2007, that costs had approached $400 billion since 2003 for U.S. efforts in the Global War on Terrorism. Because the Department of Defense, the Bush administration, and Congress responded late in 2007 with an emergency appropriation of more than $94 billion, the total figure now nears $500 billion. This staggering amount represents the kind of information that U.S. citizens may hear on television or read in newspapers and subsequently discuss at the office. But it is only one news story out of a year of challenges faced and successes achieved by the U.S. armed forces. While the “surge” seems to be working, American public opinion is turning against the war, and with the U.S. economy stagnating and inflation rising, every dollar going to the defense budget is likely to be contested in future years. This comes at a time when equipment that is being used at several times its normal rate must be replaced or repaired, aging aircraft being one such example. In addition to fighting the present war against mainly low-tech insurgents, the United States must also be prepared to defend itself and its interests against nations that could more easily be considered peer competitors. From the enormous, wartime fiscal appropriation, today’s service members are receiving, if sometimes belatedly, the best mine-resistant ambush-protected vehicles, superior communications technology, advanced weapons, network and computer systems, and aircraft that Americans, DoD, and industry can provide. While budget constraints will be of increasing concern in the future, the goal must be to continue to supply our warfighters with the best of what they need to get the job done.
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Contents Interview: Alan R. Shaffer................................................................................10 Director, Defense Research & Engineering By Charles Oldham
Top 2007 DoD Contracts Cover Missile Defense, IT, Radios, and Aircraft..........................................................................................18 By Michael A. Robinson
The 2008 Defense Budget............................................................................. 26 By Craig Collins
U.S. Army Year in Review............................................................................... 34 By Scott R. Gourley
U.S. Air Force Year in Review......................................................................... 44 By Robert F. Dorr
U.S. Coast Guard Year in Review.................................................................. 52 By Dr. Joe DiRenzo III and Chris Doane
U.S. Marine Corps Year in Review................................................................ 60 By J.R. Wilson
U.S. Navy Year in Review............................................................................... 66 By Norman Friedman
The Year in Special Operations 2007...........................................................76 By John D. Gresham
New Requirements, Old Realities................................................................... 84 World aerospace developments 2007 By Eric Tegler
Land Forces Developments............................................................................. 90 By Scott R. Gourley
World Naval Developments 2007................................................................ 98 By Norman Friedman
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Enter the Dragon............................................................................................ 106 China takes center stage in international – and military – affairs By Craig Collins
The Army Boosts Web-based Tools..............................................................116 Joint networked forces provide awareness, and link sensors, shooters, and commanders By Clarence A. Robinson, Jr.
MRAP Procurement/Deployment................................................................. 124 By Scott R. Gourley
The Missile Defense Shield Expands........................................................... 132 Technology upgrades make a limited system more capable, moving toward intercepts in every stage By Clarence A. Robinson, Jr.
The (More or Less Bright) Future of the Submarine in the World’s Navies................................................................ 138 By Arthur D. Baker III
The Highs and Lows of Joint Programs........................................................ 146 By J.R. Wilson
Update: Joint Strike Fighter........................................................................... 150 By J.R. Wilson
The Air Force Copes with Fighter Issues...................................................... 158 By Robert F. Dorr
Exporting Freedom and Security:................................................................. 162 American Arms Transfer Programs By Dwight Jon Zimmerman
Soldier’s Home: Shelter for the 21st Century Warfighter...................................................... 168 By Dwight Jon Zimmerman
U.S. Africa Command................................................................................... 178 Bolstering security across the continent By Lee Ewing
Products & Services....................................................................................... 187
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The Year in
defense 2008 Edition
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
Interview: Alan R. Shaffer Director, Defense Research & Engineering By Charles Oldham
The Year in Defense: What are your goals for the Office of Defense Research & Engineering? Alan R. Shaffer: It’s actually very interesting … One of the things you do Alan R. Shaffer as you go through life is you learn from Director, Defense Research & Engineering people you work with. I thought John Young’s goals were very, very good. His vision statement for defense research and engineering was very good, and that was to develop technology to defeat any adversary on any battlefield. So my goal is to go ahead and do everything we can to present capability options for our warfighters in more than in just traditional systems. We want to be able to protect the Internet; we want to be able to protect the young soldier; we want to give our young soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines different capabilities to deal with the situation like they’re in in Iraq. We want to really focus on any battlefield, and that could be a traditional battlefield, urban operations or even cyber operations, and against any adversary. That could be a nation-state or a non-nation-state. So that’s the first big goal. The second goal is to accelerate the transition of technology from our laboratories to our young kids – our young soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines. The third thing is to put in place
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Alan R. Shaffer interview
“The value of a lot of things is not technology you can touch. How do you put a value on the Internet? How do you put a value on economic free trade and banking? We can’t reach out and touch that, yet it’s transforming the world.” programs and processes to help America develop scientists and engineers for future national security needs. We need a lot of scientists and engineers in the department. This is more than a Department of Defense issue. We, America, need scientists and engineers in the future. I wanted to ask you about the Joint Unmanned System Common Control (JUSCC). Obviously, UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles) are important. There are many different types and users. And they operate at all sorts of different altitudes with all sorts of operators at different levels, from the squad on up to the strategic level. Can you speak a little about that? That’s a very small ACTD and I’d prefer to really look toward the future … we’re trying to do everything we can to cut across technology to integrate different types of sensors with different types of command and control systems to give us better control of any battle space. Be that on the ocean or in the skies. And if some of that happens to work out and can apply to the FAA’s problem, great. But again, it’s a matter of where technology is taking us: focusing on integrating communications with sensors, with command and control systems. Today DoD has identified six strategic research areas: Bioengineering Sciences, Human Performance Sciences, Information Dominance, Multifunction Materials, Nanoscience, and Propulsion and Energetic Sciences. How do you think these research areas illustrate how the world and the security environment have changed over the past decade? Oh, absolutely, and furthermore, those six strategic research areas, we have actually gone back and are in the process of updating them further based on a memo that my boss, Mr. [John J.] Young [now under secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics] sent to Secretary Gates in August [2007]. And I’m not going to talk about the six specific research areas, but I’m going to take it to a broader perspective and then give you some specifics. Between 2008 and 2009, we have moved roughly between $3 and $4 billion of the department’s science and technology investment, mostly from what would be considered the traditional sciences – the things that you just cited, traditional platforms, weapons – into what we’re calling now non-kinetic capabilities. And that’s reflective of where science is going. We’ve made specific large investments in human social, culture, behavioral modeling. Because we want to understand other cultures better to give us more
options other than just flat-out warfare. If you look at Gen. [David H.] Petraeus and what he is doing in Iraq, it very much follows the same line of reasoning. By changing our doctrine and tactics, and going out and getting in contact and getting to know other people, the surge is reducing or having an effect on the amount of violence in Iraq is going down. All of that precipitated by having a better understanding of the people you’re out operating with. The department had not invested in the human social, culture, behavioral modeling – really, think of it as advanced anthropological studies. … We’re going into that starting in ’08 with roughly $3 million across the five future years’ defense programs, so six years. That’s a big deal, because if we can understand an adversary better, we might be able to get the outcome we want without having to go into a shooting war. We’re investing a great deal of money, primarily through DARPA [Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency] and the services, in automatic language translators. Again, the same type of thing – if you can make yourself understood and communicate better with the adversary, good things will happen. We’re investing in information technology, information protection much more than we have in the past. We’re investing in network sciences. Because … if you take a look at where the world has gone – the Internet explosion, networks – you can’t really control that, nor should we try to. But we should give our young people the tools to be able to operate with that type of free flow of information, anywhere in the world. So we’re focusing on network sciences, also in our science and technology programs, to provide the power of the network to our young men and women to an area where you may not have a fixed infrastructure. We’re also working on network sciences to provide gateways across different networks. So we may have an air network right now that was developed for all the air combatants to talk, but that network may not communicate seamlessly with the ground network. We’re funding research and development to very easily develop bridges that will allow all of networks to communicate and pass information. That’s a big deal. So, the six strategic initiatives/research areas that you showed, I think are actually illustrative of where our program is going. That’s been a huge shift from what we use to call “the kinetic:” Things you could reach out and touch and feel to the non-kinetic science and technology. To a layman, the kinetic seems so much easier. Right? Oh it is. It’s simple. We all grew up – those of us with graying hair – in a world where you’d make an investment and you’d go out and bend metal. I would go out and buy a
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Alan R. Shaffer interview
How do you put a value net on information free exchange like you’re getting in “Wikis” in the commercial market? We have to develop technology to support the young men and women who’ve grown up in a world that’s materially different than the world we grew up in. car. It’s pretty easy to understand the value of something you can reach and touch. The world is moving on. The value of a lot of things is not technology you can touch, but how do you put a value on the Internet? How do you put a value on economic free trade and banking? We can’t reach out and touch that, but yet it’s transforming the world. How do you put a value net on information free exchange like you’re getting in “Wikis” in the commercial market? We have to develop technology to support the young men and women who’ve grown up in a world that’s materially different than the world we grew up in. Imagine growing up in a repressed country. What’s the value of being able to go on the Internet and see things that you would not necessarily be able to see in the past? I think it’s huge. You mentioned language translation and the successes of research efforts. It does seem that it’s progressing fairly well. We have made a huge investment, as I said, and its nearing $100 million on being able to do automatic translation. Now the interesting thing is: translating the printed word is pretty easy to get the context. We’re up between 90 to 95 percent accuracy, the last I saw at DARPA, with the printed word. The real hard thing is getting the nuance from the spoken word, and we still have quite a bit of work to go there. You can have simple voiceto-voice translators that can do things like “Halt.” “What is your name?” “Where do you want to go?” But when you get down to the substance and nuance of language, that’s a hard problem. I’m glad DARPA is working on it. They’re making huge strides. We’re not going to have a fully reliable operational system for a couple of years. But I’m glad we have places like DARPA working on those types of problems. They’re making progress. All the strides in communications, night vision, sights, etc., have a downside: batteries. One writer pointed out recently that ground troops carry more weight in batteries than ammunition. Could you talk about that and the work to reduce that load? Yes, and by the way, in many cases, that quote you had was absolutely correct. If we have people we’re sending out for several days, they can carry anywhere upward of 40 to 50 pounds of batteries. That’s because we have such an insatiable demand for power now as we’re networking
and outfitting all of our soldiers with advanced sensors and communications gear and computers. All of which is very necessary, but we’ve got to do better in batteries. So, about four or five years ago, we had something called the Energy, Power, and Technology Initiative. It is a cross service [program] with DARPA, the Army, Navy, and Air Force involved investing in advanced things like lithium ion batteries. I am told that they have about doubled the energy density of what we had several years ago with the standard batteries. But we’re also investing under this particular program in some advanced things; some advanced fuel cells, methanol and conversion fuel cells. The real beauty of fuel cells are: A) They can recharged with just some more of whatever your fuel of choice is. B) They last a tremendously long time and they’re very lightweight. With one technology we put out and had developed and prototyped through a commercial firm, we were able to reduce the weight of batteries by about a factor of four. That’s a big deal, huge, in the order of several hundred million dollars investment in energy and power technologies. And that will continue. I don’t foresee, in the near future, the power demands getting less extreme for our young soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines. I see it getting more extreme. We don’t have this solved. By the way, we love good ideas from industry and furthermore, as part of the whole initiative for power and energy, we are hosting our first DDR&E Grand Challenge or prize program. This … follows DARPA’s Grand Challenge program for the robotic vehicle. The Wearable Power prize is looking to develop a combination of advanced batteries or energy efficient systems to allow our young soldiers to go out and operate for an extended period of time with a very low level of weight. We’re kind of excited about that, because what we saw with DARPA’s Grand Challenge was a huge number of teams. I think the first grand challenge in DARPA had well over 100 teams. We’ve had over 130 teams sign up for the Wearable Power prize competition. Other than the basic parameters, I suppose it’s blue skies as far as what you could come up with? Is that part of the idea, that you give people the requirements you’re looking for and let them go invent? Yes. Do you see yourself doing this regularly for different needs or requirements? Seeing what sort of creative thinking there might be out there?
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Alan R. Shaffer interview
“Think about it: 130-plus separate teams coming in for an almost impossible challenge in power and energy, and wearable batteries. I think that’s a tremendous opportunity for people and [wise] use of taxpayers’ dollars.” Yes. A couple of years ago, Congress very much liked the DARPA Grand Challenge and expanded the authorities so that all services can conduct grand challenges. This Wearable Power prize is the first one to be conducted outside of DARPA. But we really are following a lot of DARPA’s leads, how they developed the program and how they conducted and operated the program. [We are] looking at other things for the future for everything from clearing a room to detecting people in enclosed areas, but you’re right: The sky is the limit. One of the great things about America, we have some incredibly innovated people and we want to take advantage of [that innovation]. Someone once referred to America as a nation of inventors. Perhaps that spirit is still here. From what we’ve seen with the DARPA Grand Challenge, and now with our Wearable Power prize, we think it absolutely is. Think about it: 130-plus separate teams coming in for an almost impossible challenge in power and energy, and wearable batteries. I think that’s a tremendous opportunity for people and [wise] use of taxpayers’ dollars. Because what we’re doing is going out and harnessing or trying to harness the intellectual capacity of people in our country. And it’s still possible for somebody out there to come up with an idea that no one’s ever thought of. Isn’t it possible? No, it’s probable. There’re a lot of smart people out there. It seems there are a number of what you would call “green programs” under way. I guess in many ways these things are tied together: the talk about peak oil and looking for alternative fuels and also the environment because of carbon dioxide causing climate change. There are a lot of interrelated things and it does seem there are a number of green programs under way that look into things like High-Efficiency Solar Cells or energy conservation. Could you talk about a couple of those? Sure. Let me fit it into a broad context. In 2005, the department spent $10.9 billion for energy. In 2007, we reduced our usage by about 6 percent and spent $13.2 billion. We spent roughly $2.5 billion more for less energy because of the increase in cost. Although further, we don’t do things specifically for climate change. We recognize we need to be good stewards
of the environment. So, we’ve had an energy security task force looking at a number of different things. One of the ones I’m most proud of is a little program called the fuel efficiency demonstration program being run out of the U.S. Army TARDEC, which is the TankAutomotive, Research, Development and Engineering Center in Warren, Mich. They sent out a broad agency announcement for anybody who wanted to come in and bid on a design for a very High-Efficiency Lightweight Tactical vehicle. They got 40 different bids responding to the request for information. That’s pretty cool. Then you start to think about going back to industry: How do we make things lighter? How do we use better engines? How do we make greater efficiency with some of our fuel/ground systems? I talked a little about the fuel cell, but the methanol fuel cell we funded, again through the Army, has the potential of reducing the weight of batteries by a factor of four. The Air Force is looking at different types of designs of UAVs, where conceptually, you could fly on one tank of gas for a week. That’s pretty cool. That thing is in design. And by the way, we’d have a large enough payload that you’d be able to go up there and serve as a network gateway, or a communications site, or do reconnaissance. The Navy is [researching] a number of thermal energy, electric sites, very much like Iceland, but the Navy also has very active research and development programs in converting ocean temperature differences to electricity. You can do that; it’s basically like running a heat exchange engine. In any ocean, there’s what’s called the thermocline, where you have a huge change in temperature over a short region. If you mix that temperature difference, that produces energy and … you can back out electricity. We’re looking at putting a pilot of that at both Diego Garcia and Guam. That’s a big deal. We also have – and this is in support of actual warfighter needs – been developing systems that we can forward-deploy with our ground troops to reduce the energy needs for fuel by as much as 90 percent under low-to-medium loads. So, we don’t have to send as many convoys out. That was called the Tactical Highly Efficient Power System. That’s gone into what’s known as the Net Zero Joint Capability Technology Demonstration. The idea of Net Zero, or Net Zero Plus, is to provide everything you need to operate for a 30period with no refueling, no diesel for forward-deployed electricity. That’s a big deal.
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1/28/08 10:30:50 AM
Alan R. Shaffer interview
“Because what we’re doing is going out and harnessing or trying to harness the intellectual capacity of people in our country.” Isn’t that ambitious? Well, we may not get there. Say we only get two weeks. It’s still pretty cool. One worry, both in the military and civilian research worlds, is what looks to be an inadequate supply of future scientists and engineers. How concerned are you with this problem, and what sort of initiatives are in the works to address the problem? First … whenever you have a challenge, you have an opportunity. A couple of years ago, we started a program called National Defense Education program. That funding is up to just shy of $100 million a year in 2009. And it’s about $70 million in 2008. We have a couple of different projects under that program. But the one that I like to highlight the most is called SMART – Science, Mathematics and Research for Transformation. SMART is a program that allows us to go out and fund undergraduate science and engineering degrees for young kids who can get clearances and provide them jobs when they graduate from college. We’ve had SMART in place for a couple of years. We’ve had just under 100 graduates of the SMART program. But this year, in 2008, we had over 1,000 applicants for roughly 100 positions. So now we’re starting to get the word out and we’re funding really top-notch young men and women to come in [with] science and engineering [degrees] for the future for the department. So you’re right, we’re seeing this exodus [of] scientists and engineers in the next 10-15 years. But with that exodus, will leave some openings and we’re trying to get the very best young scientists and engineers we can to backfill in back of that. So that, I think, is a very good initiative. Another initiative we have kicked off this year is our overall basic research funding. This is actually championed by Secretary of Defense Gates. We increased our basic research funding across the department from about $1.4 billion in 2008 to about $1.7 billion in our 2009 budget request. That’s a 16 percent increase above zero real growth for our investment from the Department of Defense, primarily in universities across the country, to work on science and technology problems that are relevant to the Department of Defense. That type of infusion of interest will typically generate more scientists and engineers. That, to me, is kind of exciting. It seems with scientists that they are always having to search for funding. Being able to get that sort of research funded, you’re bound to be able to draw in really bright minds. The real beauty with what Secretary Gates has allowed us to do to structure the program and what we have done with this increase in research money is we’re going after what is known as single investigator research programs: Giving a faculty member dollars for between four and five years and enough money to conduct research with a couple of graduate students. So we’re going to be funding graduate students to go through and get their masters and Ph.D.s at the same time as having the best university faculty, pretty much put on retainer for a four- to five-year period to work on problems that are relevant to the Department of Defense. We’re anticipating seeing some pretty huge payoffs in those things we intend to fund. That’s a good news story.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Navy photo
An SM-3 standard missile is launched from the Aegis combat system on board the Arleigh Burke-class destroyer USS Decatur (DDG 73) during a Missile Defense Agency ballistic missile flight test on June 22, 2007, while under way in the Pacific Ocean. Minutes later, the SM-3 intercepted a separating ballistic missile launched from the Pacific Missile Range Facility in Kauai, Hawaii. This was the first time such a test was conducted from a ballistic missile defense-equipped U.S. Navy destroyer. Missile defense programs received $8.85 billion in the budget.
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PROGRAMS & CONTRACTS
Top 2007 DoD Contracts Cover Missile Defense, IT, Radios, and Aircraft By Michael A. Robinson
A
decision by China to shoot down an aging weather satellite had a significant impact on the Bush administration’s Fiscal Year 2008 defense budget – not so much in funding itself but in picking up bipartisan support on Capitol Hill. Indeed, after the president battled with Congress in the fall of 2007 regarding his overall budget for the nation and funding for the war in Iraq, he picked up additional money to protect U.S. satellites and knock out those launched by other countries. Consider that a joint House-Senate Conference Committee provided the president with $100 million in extra funding for space situational awareness. The figure represented a 50 percent increase from the president’s original request of $200 million. The president picked up an additional $10 million, or 19 percent extra, for counter-space systems that would warn military officials of threats to U.S. satellites as well as help destroy attackers. The Department of Defense (DoD) received $459.3 billion in FY08 funding, 4.6 percent less than the president originally requested. At press time, Congress had still to approve roughly an additional $107 billion in supplemental spending for the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Congress had approved in December about $70 billion, and this amount allowed the Army and Marine Corps to defer furloughing civilian employees. All through the fall and into the winter, congressional Democrats attempted to tie the Pentagon’s supplemental funding to a deadline for withdrawing troops from Iraq. Repeatedly the president, backed by his veto power and his allies on Capitol Hill, thwarted Democrats in both houses. Funding for key weapons systems in the fiscal year that ends Sept. 30 includes: • $8.85 billion for missile defense, the largest figure in the budget for weapons systems. That’s a one-year decline of 6.2 percent in funding for initiatives that will continue the production and fielding of ground-based interceptors; development of mobile ground-based interceptors; support the continued production and fielding of forward-based radars; and production and delivery of mobile sea-based interceptors.
• $6.14 billion, an 18.7 percent increase from 2007 levels, for the Joint Strike Fighter, the highly lethal F-35. This joint program will facilitate the development of affordable aircraft and related systems, with transition of key technologies and common components to support future requirements while reducing cost and risk, the Pentagon says. • $4.6 billion for the F-22 Raptor, up 15 percent. Pentagon planners say the F-22 will penetrate enemy airspace and achieve first-look, first-kill capability against multiple targets. Designed to enhance U.S. air superiority, the F-22 eventually will replace the F-15. • $3.66 billion for the Future Combat System, up 8 percent. This is the Army’s principal modernization program. A Pentagon budget document describes the program as “a complex acquisition program that involves developing and integrating a family of 14 manned and unmanned ground vehicles, air vehicles, sensors, and munitions that are linked by an information network.” • $3.46 billion, up 2.7 percent, for the DDG 1000 destroyer. Armed with an array of weapons, the DDG 1000 will provide offensive, distributed, and precision firepower at long ranges in support of forces ashore, the Pentagon says. The ship will incorporate full-spectrum signature reduction, active and passive self-defense systems, and cutting-edge survivability features. The Navy also plans to incorporate technologies developed under the DDG 1000 program into the entire family of new surface combat ships. • $3.08 billion for the CVN-21 Carrier Replacement program, which received an increase of 117 percent. CVN-21-class ships will include new technologies such as an integrated topside island that includes new multifunction radar, a new propulsion plant, monitoring improvements, manpower reduction technologies, and flight-deck enhancements to generate more missions. Although the administration’s budget documents highlight the areas that are expected to receive funding in the fiscal year, by definition they do not detail actual Pentagon contracts. That can only be done on a historical basis, after a defense or other agency signs a particular contract.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Air Force photograph by Tech Sgt Justin D. Pyle
An F-22 Raptor from Langley Air Force Base, Va., performs for thousands during an air show at Naval Base Ventura County, Point Mugu, Calif., April 1, 2007. The F-22 Raptor program received $5.05 billion to continue procurement of the superfighter.
For that reason, only an examination of the contracts issued in 2007 will be accurate. Each contract totaling more than $5 million is publicly announced and the press releases remain archived at www.defenselink.mil. To give the reader a look at the largest contracts issued in 2007, a reporter read every press release issued that year. Here is a look at the 2007 top 10 defense contracts: 1. $12.2 billion. The largest defense contract issued in 2007 also turned out to be among the more controversial. That’s because six major companies filed a protest regarding the large and complex ENCORE II defense information program. Issued by the Defense Information Systems Agency (DISA), the ENCORE II contract is designed to provide high-level, enterprisewide information technology policy, communications engineering, and
integration management. DISA wants members of the various military agencies to have access to critical information via the Web. ENCORE II stems from the Pentagon’s new paradigm for net-centric operations. Specifically, it’s part of a program known as Net-Centric Enterprise Services designed to unite the various military agencies with collaborative information sharing for better decision-making and improved mission effectives. Ultimately, the Pentagon wants to have a Global Information Grid that would function like a private, Internet, yielding business, intelligence, and warfighting (information) program. Furthermore, program managers operate their own Web site: www.disa.mil/nces. Under the ENCORE II contract, six companies received contracts covering some 20 task areas that include a wide range of hardware and
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When it’s go time This soldier is connected to a self-healing, self-forming “smart” network developed by experts in systems integration at General Dynamics. A secure, global network that seamlessly links commanders at the core with warfighters on the edge, delivering true, on-the-move connectivity and automatically routing vital bandwidth to soldiers who need it most.
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Trusted. Core to Edge. © 2008 General Dynamics. All rights reserved.
1-22-08-Year-n-Def-ad-Rubbl.indd 1 gendyn on temp.indd 1
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8F¨SFQSPVEUPTFSWF UIPTFXIPTFSWF Since 1905, Boar’s Head has been dedicated to producing only the finest quality meats and cheeses. Sure, you’ll find Boar’s Head in fine delicatessens and select supermarkets across the country, but you’ll also find us in many Military commissaries throughout the United States.
They give their best. It’s only fair that they receive it.
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1/7/08 10:10:41 AM
U.S. Air Force photo by Master Sgt. David Richards
PROGRAMS & CONTRACTS
software, Web services, computer telephony, telecommunications support, market research, and prototyping, as well as knowledge engineering for law enforcement and counterintelligence activities. The six companies are Booz Allen Hamilton, Inc.; CACI, Inc.; Electronic Data Systems Corporation; Lockheed Martin Integrated Systems, Inc., Science Applications International Corporation; and Systems Research and Applications, Corp. As originally written, the contract covered five years plus options for another five, taking the award period to March 2017. However, last May, Computer Sciences Corp. (CSC), Unisys, Northrop Grumman, and IBM Business Consulting Services filed a protest with the Government Accountability Office (GAO) regarding the contract. CSC and Unisys alleged DISA failed to evaluate the bids properly. Those two companies, along with Northrop Grumman, worked on the original ENCORE information technology program that ended in 2006. DISA public affairs said agency officials “are working our way through the GAO’s corrective actions, which means we are still in source selection.” 2. $6.2 billion. The Navy granted two companies contracts to provide interim softwaredefined, single-channel, hand-held radios to the U.S. military. The contract will help consolidate handheld radio purchases across participating services to significantly reduce unit costs. Ultimately the contract could be even more valuable. That’s because each of the companies also received four one-year options that, if exercised, would bring the combined contract amounts to roughly $16 billion. DoD officials said the contracts were competitively procured through the Commerce Business Daily Web site and the Space and Naval Warfare Systems e-Commerce Web site, with two offers received. The Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center, San Diego, Calif., is the contracting activity, the Pentagon said. The larger contract, with a one-year value of $3.5 billion, went to Thales Communications, Inc., of Clarksburg, Md. The firm is a is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Thales Group of companies, an international electronics and systems group, serving defense, aerospace, services, and security markets. Thales Group employs 70,000 people throughout the world and generated revenues of $12.7 billion in 2006. Thales Communications says it is a global leader in the development of battle-proven, software-defined, tactical radio equipment, and solutions. The company provides critical
Hawker Beechcraft Corp. won a $3 billion contract for lots 14-20 of the T-6A trainer.
communication capabilities for size-, weight-, and power-constrained environments in the tactical, naval/maritime, and homeland security/public safety domains around the world. U.S. pilots shot down in Iraq have used Thales radios to be rescued. Valued at $2.74 billion, the second radio contract went to the Harris Corp., of Rochester, N.Y. Its parent company is an international communications and information technology company serving government and commercial markets in more than 150 countries. Headquartered in Melbourne, Fla., the parent company has annual revenue of more than $4 billion and 16,000 employees. 3. $5.3 billion. These multiple-award contracts for wide-ranging services are similar to those announced by the U.S. Navy in 2006. Although the dollar amount is virtually the same, the number of contractors involved in this year’s multi-command program rose by 56 percent to 391. Agencies involved in the competition for services contract are the Naval Sea Systems Command, Naval Air Systems Command, Space and Naval Warfare Systems Command, Naval Supply Systems Command, Military Sealift Command, Naval Facilities Engineering Command, Strategic Systems Programs, and the Marine Corps.
The awards have a two-year base period with one five-year award term and one additional three-year award term. These contracts add to an existing 892 previously awarded under the SeaPort Enhanced acquisition program for services procurements. Pentagon officials said these contracts were competitively procured via Navy Electronic Commerce Online, with 399 offers received and eight submissions denied. In all, the contracts cover some 22 service-support areas. Some of these include: • Interoperability, Test and Evaluation, and Trials • Human Factors, Performance, and Usability Engineering • Prototyping, Pre-production, ModelMaking, and Fabrication • Measurement Facilities, Range, and Instrumentation • Information Technology • In-Service Engineering, Fleet Introduction, Installation, and Checkout • Network Software, Engineering, Development, and Programming A comprehensive list of the contractors involved would run to several paragraphs. Some of them, chosen at random, include: • Applied Technology, Inc., King George, Va.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
• Blackhawk Consulting Group, LLC, Bellevue, Wash. • CellExchange Federal, Inc., Cambridge, Mass. • eScience & Technology Solutions, Inc, Charleston, S.C. • Geomorph Information Systems, LLC, San Diego, Calif. • Micro Systems Integration, Inc., Pawcatuck, Conn. • NextGen Aeronautics, Torrance, Calif. • OMEGA Training Group, Inc., Columbus, Ga. • XtremeConcepts Systems, Arlington, Va. • Zapata Engineering, Charlotte, N.C. 4. $5.05 billion. The Fort Worth, Texas, operations of Lockheed Martin Corp., received a contract modification for the F-22, a super-fighter known as the Raptor. DoD officials said the modification made definite the multi-year aircraft advanced buy, economic ordering quantity, and full rate-production contract for 60 aircraft included in what are known as lots 7-9. This brings the number of Raptors on order to 183, which currently is expected to be the total number produced. Lockheed Martin will complete the work by June 2012, defense officials said, adding that the contract agency is Headquarters Aeronautical Systems Center, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio. “The multi-year contract allows us to generate savings for the taxpayer and continue to deliver the most capable aircraft in the world to the men and women defending our nation,” said Larry Lawson, Lockheed Martin Aeronautics executive vice president and F-22 program general manager. “We have worked with our industry partners and the Air Force to make this a win-win for everyone.” According to Lockheed Martin, the Raptor is the world’s only operational fifth-generation fighter. The aircraft, which replaces the aging fleet of F-15s will have a 40-year life cycle. 5. $3.91 billion. Actually, this figure comprises the total for three separate but related contracts granted to an Alaskan utility company for work at three facilities in the nation’s largest state. The Defense Logistics Agency announced the contracts for the agency involved, the Defense Energy Support Center, Fort Belvoir, Va. All three contracts awarded to Doyon Utilities, LLC, of Fairbanks, Alaska, cover a 50-year period. The government solicited some 503 proposals, including those through the Internet, and received seven responses. Under the contracts, Doyon Utilities will take ownership of 12 water, sewer, heat, and electricity systems at Fort Richardson in Anchorage, Fort Wainwright in Fairbanks, and Fort Greely in Delta Junction. Doyon Utilities is a new joint venture between Doyon Properties, Inc., and Fairbanks Water and Sewer, Inc., according to the Anchorage Daily News. In turn, Doyon Properties is the commercial property management subsidiary of the Alaska Native Corporation Doyon, Ltd. The Doyon parent company says it is one of the 13 Native regional corporations established by Congress under the terms of the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act. With the land entitlement of 12.5 million acres, Doyon is the largest private landowner in Alaska and is one of the larger private landowners in North America. Besides utilities work and property management, the company’s other operating units include tourism,
natural resources, facilities and services management, and drilling. 6. $3 billion. The Air Force granted Hawker Beechcraft Corp., of Wichita, Kan., a contract modification to be used as a framework to procure lots 14-20 for the T-6A aircraft. Those planes will be used to train Air Force and Navy pilots. Hawker Beechcraft said it won the highly competitive Joint Primary Aircraft Training System (JPATS) by offering what it says is the safest, most capable, and most affordable trainer in the field. The aircraft offers an unparalleled training experience to the widest variety of pilots of any trainer in the world, the company said. To date, more than 435 T-6A aircraft have been delivered to various services, and the fleet has accumulated more than 625,000 hours training pilots. Overall, the JPATS program calls for nearly 800 deliveries through the year 2017, with additional international sales also expected, Hawker Beechcraft said. For U.S. services, the T-6A is replacing the Air Force T-37B and the Navy T-34C, both of which were developed in the 1950s. The Hellenic Air Force of Greece and the NATO Flying Training in Canada program use the aircraft as a primary trainer as well as for weapons and navigation. This contract also provides for procurement of related items such as ground-based training systems, field service support, and aircraft change modifications. 7. $2.5 billion. Technically speaking, the figure entails a dozen contracts granted to several companies. However, all the contracts were related to military medical needs and were announced on the same day by the same contracting agency and the awards had sequential numbers identifying them. Interestingly, the contracts illustrate that, while major weapons programs generate more publicity, the U.S. military spends billions a year on personnel – on feeding, clothing, housing, and training them, and also keeping them healthy. In this instance, the contracts cover all the armed services under the Pentagon, federal civilian agencies, the Coast Guard, which is part of the Department of Homeland Security, and other non-DoD organizations. The bulk of the contracts for a wide range of medical and surgical needs went to two companies. Owens & Minor, of Glen Ellen, Va., received six of the contracts for an award total of approximately $1.4 billion. Owens & Minor is a supply-chain solutions company and says it is the nation’s leading distributor of name-brand medical and surgical supplies. It operates an extensive distribution network, and serves more than 4,000 acute-care hospital customers nationwide. Based in McGraw Park, Ill., Cardinal Health 200, Inc., received four contracts totaling about $904.2 million. Cardinal Health says its products and services help hospitals, physician offices, and pharmacies reduce costs, and improve safety, productivity, and profitability, while delivering better care to patients. American Medical Depot of Opa Locka, Fla., and Midwest Medical Supply Co., of Earth City, Mo., each received medical supplies contracts totaling $100 million. All 12 of the contracts came from the Defense Supply Center in Philadelphia, Pa.
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PROGRAMS & CONTRACTS
8. $2.44 billion (estimated). Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Co., of Fort Worth, Texas, received an advanced acquisition contract related to six F-35 Joint Strike Fighter Conventional Takeoff and Landing (CTOL) for the Air Force and six Short Takeoff and Vertical Landing (STOVL) Air Systems for the Marine Corps. Specifically, the award covers long-lead components, parts, and materials associated with the lot 2, low-rate initial production. In addition, the contract provides for associated, ancillary mission equipment, sustainment support, special tooling, special test equipment, and technical and financial data. The F-35 features an advanced airframe, autonomic logistics, avionics, propulsion systems, stealth, and heavy firepower. About 75 percent of the work will be performed in Fort Worth, Texas; about 15 percent in El Segundo, Calif., and the rest in Samlesbury, U.K. Besides the U.S., eight nations are involved in the development phase – Australia, Canada, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Turkey, and the United Kingdom. Together, these allies have announced roughly $4.5 billion worth of support. A single-engine, single-seat aircraft, the F-35 will replace several aging classes of planes for the Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps. 9. $2.4 billion. The new LHA-6 amphibious assault ship will figure prominently in the Navy’s future fleet. Relying on gas-powered turbine propulsion, the ship will support the Marine Corps’ F-35B short takeoff and landing joint strike fighter and the MV-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft. In place of a well deck, the LHA-6 will have an extended hangar deck with two overhead cranes. Designed to replace the LHA-1 Tarawa class of amphibious assault ships, the LHA-6 will be the nucleus of an expeditionary strike group and also will form part of the future maritime prepositioning force (MPF). Pentagon planners say the future MPF will be crucial for the Navy’s “seabasing” concept. Seabasing refers to the ability to conduct and support Marine landings from ships at sea. Northrop Grumman Ship Systems, of Pascagoula, Miss., received a fixed-price incentive modification to a previously awarded contract for the ship’s detail design and construction. About 5 percent of the work will occur in New Orleans, with the remainder scheduled for Pascagoula, also on the Gulf Coast. DoD officials said work on the ship will be completed in 2012. 10. $2.35 billion. The National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite System (NPOESS) is used to monitor global environmental conditions as well as collect and disseminate data related to weather, atmosphere, oceans, land, and the near-space environment. As such, it will reduce the number of polar-orbiting systems from four U.S. satellite groups to three and will combine activities under a single national program. In addition, NPOESS increases the timeliness and accuracy of forecasts for severe weather. The craft also includes a far-reaching program of sensor development and satellite transition and evolution to provide complete coverage of meteorological conditions for civil, military, and scientific purposes, officials say. Northrop Grumman Space Technology, of Redondo Beach, Calif., received a cost-plus-award-fee contract modification with multiple incentives for NPOESS. DoD officials explained the modification incorporates engineering changes directed under a June 2006 memorandum. Key features of the modification are: two engineering, manufacturing development satellites with a production option for two additional satellites, and the revised fee structure emphasizes incentives for cost, schedule, and technical performance. Under the program, the sensor suite has been reworked to conform to the specifications contained in the memorandum. Five sensors were removed from the manifest “to reduce risk,” according to a DoD press release on the contract. Work is scheduled to be completed in September 2016.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
The 2008 Defense Budget By Craig Collins
T
he 2008 Department of Defense (DoD) Appropriations Act, signed into law by President George W. Bush on Nov. 13, 2007, provides $460 billion for DoD – $449 in non-emergency funding for the “base” defense budget exclusive of war costs, along with $11.6 billion in emergency funding to accelerate the procurement of Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles, a type of vehicle that is being rushed to Iraq and Afghanistan to better protect U.S. troops from improvised explosive devices, or IEDs. While the Defense Appropriations Act did not fund any of the $196.4 billion requested by the administration to cover the costs of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan in 2008, a later omnibus bill – the 2008 Consolidated Appropriations Act, signed into law on Dec. 26 – provides $70 billion in emergency wartime spending, along with $3.7 billion in emergency spending for veterans’ health care. The omnibus bill also contained additional funding for national defense, primarily in military construction, veterans affairs, and energy and water appropriations, bringing the total 2008 base defense budget to about $505 billion. As of January 2008, when the 110th Congress convened in Washington to begin its first session, the legislature’s emergency wartime appropriations – still $126 billion short of the administration’s request – promised to be the most contentious issue facing the administration, Congress, and the Pentagon; in order for the military services to continue even the most basic in-theater operations, another supplemental appropriation must be passed before Sept. 30, 2008, the end of the current fiscal year. Meanwhile, analysts have found plenty to debate in the base budget, which generally breaks down as follows: Military Personnel. A total of $105.3 billion. This account funds the basic pay and benefits, both cash (i.e., bonuses and special pays) and non-cash (health care,
retirement pay, housing, and other benefits) for military service members. Roughly, this amount is apportioned among the service branches as follows: Army: $31.5 billion Navy: $23.3 billion Marines: $10.3 billion Air Force: $24.4 billion Operations & Maintenance (O&M). $140 billion. This account covers the costs of ongoing “infrastructure” expenditures such as base operations, food, fuel, uniforms, and weapons maintenance, but also includes many activities directly involved in the day-to-day operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, including training programs and the purchase of parts for combat vehicles. Procurement. $98.3 billion. The acquisition programs for military hardware – vehicles, ships, aircraft, weapons, and ammunition – are funded from this account. Research and Development (R&D). $77.1 billion for the investigation of new weapons and force-protection systems. Other DoD programs. $26.3 billion for other programs, the most significant of which – accounting for almost 90 percent of this category – is the Defense Health program. Revolving and Management Funds/Other Related Agencies. $2.7 billion for several funds, such as the Defense Working Capital Funds, along with $988 million for other agency funds such as the Intelligence Community Management Account.
The People While the adequacy and prioritization of 2008 appropriations for operations and personnel are still being debated – more on that later – there’s overall consensus that Congress took concrete steps toward easing the
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BUDGET
U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Micky M. Bazaldua
A Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicle is driven onto a commercial vessel at the Naval Weapons Station in Charleston, S.C., at the end of November 2007. U.S. Transportation Command coordinated movement of the vehicles to the U.S. Central Command area of operations. Congress approved $11.6 billion in emergency funding to procure MRAP vehicles.
burden on military personnel, and especially the ground forces whose resources have been stressed in Iraq and Afghanistan. Some highlights include: • The law fully funds the administration’s proposal to increase the permanent active duty-end strength of the U.S. military by 92,000 troops: 65,000 additional Army personnel and 27,000 more Marines. 2008 is the first year in a four-year, $100-billionplan to grow the Army and Marine Corps. • The law provides service members with a 3.5 percent pay raise, a half-percent higher than requested by the White House. • Defense appropriators in Congress paid particular attention to the needs of National Guard and Reserve troops who have played such an important role in Operations Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom. Congress provided an unrequested $980 million procurement for the Guard and Reserves – funds that have been desperately needed to replace worn and outdated
equipment. Congress also included other provisions that made life easier for Guard and Reserve personnel: extending the time available for using the Reserve G.I. Bill for education benefits, for example, and lowering the age at which reservists can retire in relation to their days of active-duty status. • Congress rejected the administration’s proposal to increase patient fees and drug co-payments to help cover the cost of DoD’s health care program for military retirees, Tricare-forLife – a move supported by the Military Officers Association of America (MOAA). According to MOAA’s Government Relations Director, U.S. Air Force Col. Steve Strobridge (Ret.), the group’s opposition had more to do with the way it was implemented – in a tiered arrangement that would, for some officers, double or triple their out-of-pocket costs – rather than disagreement over the general principle of increasing fees. “We think there ought to be some standards in the law for adjusting military health fees,” says
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USAF photo by TSgt Ben Bloker
BUDGET
Lt. Col. James Hecker, commander, 27th Fighter Squadron, banks his F-22 Raptor during a training sortie off the coast of Langley Air Force Base, Va., Aug. 12, 2005. The 27th FS currently has five permanently assigned Raptors. The crash of an F-15 Eagle in November 2007 added emphasis to F-22 supporters’ argument for procurement of more Raptors.
Strobridge. “We would be comfortable with putting something in the law that says the maximum you could raise the fees in any year is the same percentage by which you raise military compensation.” • Retirement benefits, both for the military’s disabled retirees and the spouses of service members who die of serviceconnected causes, were increased in provisions that ended or began to phase out a statutory ban on “concurrent receipt” of benefits from both the military and the Department of Veterans Affairs. • $399.9 million for family advocacy programs, a $167.3 million increase over the administration’s request. Given such numbers, it is hard to argue Congress hasn’t been generous to individual service members. What’s less clear is whether spending on personnel and O&M is where it should be overall in order for the DoD to remain fiscally healthy and meet strategic needs. For example, end-strength increases in Army and Marine Corps personnel, compelled by several years of grinding combat and counterinsurgency operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, have been accompanied by significant reductions in Navy and Air Force personnel during the past several years. This makes intuitive sense; soldiers and Marines have shouldered much of the burden in the current war. However, this year’s base budget, overall $50 billion more than last year’s, contains substantial cuts in the personnel and O&M accounts, which alarms some analysts. Winslow Wheeler, director of the Straus Military Reform Project at the Center for Defense Information, a Washington-based research and analysis organization, lamented the appropriations bill in a Dec. 11 editorial entitled “Nothing New in This.”
“This is not the first time,” Wheeler wrote, “both the Republicans and the Democrats in Congress raided the most fundamentally important part of the Pentagon budget to pay for politically driven junk.” By “junk,” Wheeler means the expensive procurement and research programs that draw advocacy and lobbying from constituencies. To Mackenzie Eaglen, senior national security policy analyst at another Washington-based think tank, the Heritage Foundation, the recent cuts by the Air Force – which is essentially reducing personnel to pay for a larger, more modern fleet of aircraft – are evidence of budgetary constraint. “The Air Force is basically trying to pay, or tried to pay, its modernization bills with personnel and other readiness accounts, and that includes training.” The wartime appropriations pattern adopted by Congress in recent years – a base budget request followed by supplemental or emergency supplemental appropriations – leads Eaglen to believe this year’s cuts in personnel and O&M are temporary, a view shared by Steven Kosiak, the vice president for budget studies at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and Budgetary Analysis. Says Kosiak: “Very often Congress will take some money out of O&M, perhaps for training or things like that, but … it’s certainly happened in the past that they do that with the understanding that the money will be made up for when the next supplemental comes around.” While Kosiak doesn’t perceive a crisis in overall readiness spending, he does think it’s possible for the military to run into trouble if it continues its current rate of entitlement spending – an amount heavily weighted toward retirees, who represent only about 20 percent of military personnel. As Kosiak points out in his analysis of the president’s budget request, published in
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
early 2007, peacetime O&M funding per active-duty troop is now 72 percent more than the level provided in FY 1990 – a trend many consider unsustainable. “Most of the academic literature in this area suggests we could get substantially more bang for the buck in terms of recruitment and retention if we were to spend our compensation dollars differently,” Kosiak says, “and focus them more on cash rather than deferred non-cash benefits like health care for retirees. That’s an important issue because it’s very costly for DoD, and it has severe long-term budget implications.”
The Hardware Procurement appropriations have increased substantially since last year, by more than 20 percent, and the research and development budget, at $77.1 billion, is, in inflation-adjusted dollars, the highest in DoD’s history. According to Kosiak, procurement funding has now nearly doubled since 1997, the low point of the post-Cold War “procurement holiday.” Despite going along for the most part with the administration’s procurement numbers, lawmakers in both houses of Congress, in nearly every committee and conference report issued throughout the legislative process, expressed their exasperation with out-of-control costs, construction delays, and programs that consume billions of dollars and then fail. A handful of acquisition programs were singled out by lawmakers for particular concern, including: • The Navy’s Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) program. Decried in the report accompanying Senate appropriators’ markup as “a case study in how not to acquire ships,” the LCS – a next-generation surface combatant with “plug and play” modules, designed for coastal operations – has been dogged by spiraling costs. The administration requested $910 million for the purchase of three LCS ships, but the Navy subsequently canceled the contract for the third and fourth prototype ships. The 2008 appropriation provides $339.5 million, enough to fund the construction of one ship. • The Army’s principle modernization program, the Future Combat System (FCS), a network of manned and unmanned next-generation ground vehicles, unmanned aerial vehicles, sensors, and munitions systems. In 2007, the General Accounting Office (GAO) claimed the cost of the program had already risen 79 percent more than its original 2003 estimate of $91.4 billion – and the GAO expects costs to rise even further. The 2008 appropriation cuts more than $300 million from the administration’s $3.7 billion request. In the report that accompanies the bill, House and Senate conferees suggested the Army should focus on “technology spinouts” from the FCS program that can be used with current hardware to improve situational awareness. Given the fact, however – as Kosiak points out in his analysis of the budget request – that Army vehicles in Iraq and Afghanistan are being operated at five times their normal peacetime rate, it’s not clear how long such spinouts could continue to be useful. • The Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter (ARH), an Army project to replace the OH-58D Kiowa Warrior. After a prototype built by Bell Helicopter Textron lost power in flight and was forced to perform an emergency landing in February, the Army asked Bell to temporarily halt the program because of time and cost overruns. The administration’s request for $468.3 million for the ARH was zeroed out in July 2007 by the House Appropriations Committee, but the House-Senate Conference Committee later decided to keep the program alive, allocating $242.3 million for 16 helicopters.
Congressional appropriators were more generous to the military’s tactical aircraft programs, such as the F-22 Raptor, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the F/A-18E/F Hornet, the EA-18, the C-130J, and the C-17. In addition to the $3.15 billion lawmakers allocated to purchase 20 F-22 stealth fighters, some members of Congress recommended that the Air Force consider producing more F-22s than called for in the current plan for 183 aircraft. The case for more F-22s was apparently bolstered on Nov. 3, 2007, when the Air Force grounded its entire fleet of 676 F-15 tactical fighters – an aircraft that began production in 1975 – after an F-15 broke apart during a training flight. The Air Force has since cleared many of the grounded F-15s for flight. Appropriators also added $200 million to the $1.8 billion request for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter – the costliest U.S. arms acquisition yet, at a planned $300 billion through 2034 – for “production enhancements” designed to drive overall costs down, such as funneling more contract work to small businesses, as well as $480 million in unrequested funds to continue developing an alternative engine for the F-35. Despite their criticism of the Navy’s LCS program, legislators seemed determined to bolster the Navy fleet, providing an unrequested $938 million to fund advance procurement work on five additional ships: three TAKE ammunition/dry-cargo carriers; one LPD-17 amphibious warfare ship; and one Virginia-class submarine – facilitating a construction rate of two submarines annually by FY 2012, if not earlier. Although most variations between the appropriation and the president’s budget were marginal, some congressional cuts indicated a clear difference of opinion. Appropriators cut about 3 percent from the administration’s $10.3 billion request for ballistic missile defense programs, for example, including an $85 million cut from the administration’s $310 million request to begin the deployment of a ballistic missile defense site in Europe. Congress provided none of the $10 million requested for the Space Test Bed, part of an effort to develop a space-based missile defense system. It also cut the administration’s $30 million request for the Reliable Replacement Warhead – a controversial program aimed to produce a new nuclear warhead by 2012 – in half. Another stark disagreement between Congress and the administration arose over the Conventional Trident Modification program, part of the “Prompt Global Strike” initiative. Congress provided none of the $175.4 million requested to convert existing Trident II missiles into conventional weapons, instead allocating $100 million to develop a weapon that could strike distant targets quickly and precisely. The appropriators’ concern – shared by, among others, Russian President Vladimir Putin – was that a modified Trident missile could too easily be mistaken for a nuclear warhead and trigger a nuclear conflict. Overall, Congress attempted to exert greater control over the acquisitions process, in both its appropriations and authorization bills. The appropriations bill allocates $48 million to hire more auditors and inspectors to oversee Pentagon contracts. The later authorization bill – pocket-vetoed by Bush for other reasons – attempted to tackle DoD’s acquisitions problems from several angles. In a move designed to increase competition and bring down costs, for example, authorizers banned, after 2010, the use of lead systems integrators – large defense contractors who, amid a decline in the number of military acquisitions professionals within the department, became the prime contractors and virtual overseers of vast, multi-part contracts. In addition, lawmakers imposed stricter controls over contractors in Iraq and Afghanistan, and required budget justifications and independent reviews and audits for contracted services.
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WAR SPENDING: A Legislative Battle The amount requested by the Bush administration and the Pentagon to conduct military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan for the 2008 fiscal year – a total of $196.4 billion – proved to be perhaps the most divisive and bitterly disputed issue in Congress throughout the past year. Although Democrats took control of both legislative chambers in the 2006 elections, they repeatedly fell short, in their war-funding measures, of the 60 percent majority required to overcome a promised presidential veto of any defense spending bill that included policy changes in the wars’ conduct: for example, timelines for troop withdrawals, or a revocation of the congressional authorization of military action in Iraq. The last serious effort to do so, the Orderly and Responsible Iraq Redeployment Appropriations Act, would have provided $50 billion in emergency wartime spending, but placed several restrictions and conditions on the president’s authority – essentially requiring Bush to begin redeploying most of the troops in Iraq, with a goal of full withdrawal by Dec. 15, 2008. The bill passed the House but fell seven votes short of the 60 percent majority it needed to clear the Senate. While the 2008 Defense Appropriations Act, signed into law on Nov. 13, 2007, did not directly address the supplemental request, it did provide $11.6 billion to accelerate the production of the Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles. An additional $70 billion in unconditional war funding was included in the omnibus Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2008, along with $3.7 billion in emergency funding for veterans’ health care. Shortly before passage of the bill, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates decried the way Congress was financing the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. “Funding the war in fits and starts is requiring us to make short-term plans and short-term decisions, to forego needed actions, and to put at-risk critical procurement, training, and other activities important to deploy a ready and effective force,” he said. At year’s end, war funding remained the most crucial issue facing the White House, the Pentagon, and Congress; without an additional supplemental appropriation, war funding was likely to run out by mid-summer at the latest. The 2008 National Defense Authorization Act – the bill that sets general spending and policy guidelines for the Department of Defense – was finally signed by Bush on Jan. 26, 2008, and authorized $189.4 billion in emergency war spending for the fiscal year. However, House and Senate appropriators, who actually write the checks, indicated they would not complete their discussions of a second installment for another month. On Feb. 7, John Murtha, chairman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense, announced his panel would bring its recommendations to House leaders in early March, and that they were likely to include the same conditions as last year’s response: establishing a target date for troop withdrawals and mandating standards for troop readiness. Given Bush’s clear warning of a veto for such provisions, the status of this second installment is anything but certain. By the beginning of February 2008, about $102 billion of the administration’s $196.4 billion request remained unfunded.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
The Big Picture Acquisition reform isn’t a new idea to the military, but its renewed emphasis in the 2008 appropriations bill points to larger budget issues that will be passed on to future administrations. For one thing, it indicates a general lack of agility in redirecting the military’s priorities, which analysts from all over the political spectrum say are imperfectly matched to the national security threats facing the United States in the 21st century. The most obvious example is aircraft procurement. “Far more goes to aviation or aviation-related procurement,” says Kosiak, “than goes to ships or tanks or other vehicles … We spend a lot on shortrange aviation, probably more than we should, and not enough on longrange aviation.” Why such emphasis on short-range tactical fighters like the F-22 and F-35? To Wheeler, it is a provocative question. “The thing that’s remarkable to me is how much is in that [appropriations] bill that has absolutely nothing to do with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan,” he says. “By way of example, I would simply ask you: Just how many sorties has the F-22 flown over those two countries? The answer is zero … in each of the military services, the procurement and R&D budget is chock-full of ideas irrelevant to 21st century warfare.” To Wheeler, the F-22 falls into the category of what he calls “politically driven junk. “The Lockheed and Air Force public statements about the F-22, and continuing to buy it, are almost wholly devoted toward pork considerations,” says Wheeler. “They talk almost exclusively about the new jobs it will mean, rather than identifying some meaningful air-to-air threat the F-22 would address.” Actually, many advocates of the F-22 point to next-generation aircraft being developed by Russia, India and China – whose J-12 fighter Wheeler calls “a warmed-over Israeli Lavi” – a reference to a failed 1980s-era Israeli aircraft program. Whatever the capabilities of the J-12, and they are largely speculative in the West, the most recent generation of Russian fighters, such as Sukhoi’s “Flanker” variants, have been shown to be equal or superior to U.S. F-15s and F-16s, assuming they are flown by capable pilots. In addition, some analysts point to the age of U.S. Air Force and U.S. Navy fighters, which first flew in the early-to-mid 1970s, and the fact that they must be replaced, preferably by a design less than 30 years old. But the F-22 is, like any government acquisition, a political process: In November of 2007, when six Republican senators – Orrin Hatch and Bob Bennett of Utah; Saxby Chambliss and Johnny Isakson of Georgia; John Thune of South Dakota; and James Inhofe of Oklahoma – wrote to Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon England to urge the release of internal Pentagon reports recommending more F-22 procurement, it was hard not to notice that four of them represented constituencies with a direct interest in the F-22’s manufacture: Hill Air Force Base in Ogden, Utah, which conducts depot maintenance on the F-22, is the state’s largest singlesite employer, and the plane’s manufacturer, Lockheed Martin, is one of Georgia’s largest employers. Few would deny the influence of pork-barrel politics on any government budget, but Kosiak thinks it’s more complicated than that. To him, much of the Pentagon’s misalignment with contemporary security needs can be attributable to inertia. Every policy statement from the White House and the Pentagon, including DoD’s most recent Quadrennial Defense Review, advocates the idea of modernizing the military to meet new threats, but it never seems to happen in the way leaders envision or hope for. “In a world where you have on the one hand the momentum of existing programs, one generation
after the next after the next, and force structure that’s been around for decades and decades,” says Kosiak, “and on the other hand you have no consensus on what the newest [force structure) should be … our traditional sort of orientation and budget allocations tend to keep us moving in that direction.” For example, says Kosiak, there isn’t much agreement, even among the U.S. defense community, about what the term “Global War on Terrorism” means, which makes it easier to let current projects ride than to argue a case for reorientation. One fact that supports Kosiak’s inertia hypothesis, he says, is the resource allocations among the service branches since the end of the Cold War. “Notwithstanding the fact that we’ve been through arguably three different kinds of strategic phases or periods over the past few decades, our budget allocations have stayed basically the same,” he says. “My own sense is that we’re still oriented too much toward conventional military operations, against sort of mid-level powers or rogue states like Iraq and Korea and Iran, and even in those cases, we’re probably focused too much on short-range aviation.” To Eaglen, budget priority questions are important, but shouldn’t obscure the fact that, in her opinion, the nation isn’t spending enough on national defense overall. “The argument that the Pentagon should spend smarter, and not more, is timeless, and it will never go away no matter what we’re spending on national security,” she says. “But generally speaking, I think actually the department is on track with what they’re purchasing today – I would argue that they’re just purchasing too little of everything, and therefore there’s no economy of scale, and so everything is more expensive as a result.” Eaglen agrees with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Michael Mullen, who in October 2007, publicly expressed concerns that the long counterinsurgency campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan have so depleted the armed forces that the Army and Marine Corps will not be ready to confront an additional threat and that the military budget should be set at a minimum of 4 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) – as opposed to the 3.3 percent it consumes today. Eaglen says the 4-percent figure “would meet the military’s requirements to protect the nation while allowing sustained long-term economic growth.” Wheeler, however, is a vocal critic of the 4-percent argument – it’s essentially, he says, tying the military budget to the number of the nation’s McDonald’s franchises. “Percent of GDP is a totally meaningless measure of what the defense budget should be,” he says. “The size of the defense budget should be based on the threat. The threat is al Qaeda.” Indeed, al-Qaeda and the war on terrorism promise to hang heavily over the budget process in the coming years. The base budget/ supplemental appropriation pattern of funding the nation’s military activities has created a sticky situation that will be difficult for the next administration – and probably future administrations – to sort out. “We’re way past the point now where you can separate the budget between what’s war-related and what isn’t,” says Kosiak. “We basically have a long-term defense plan that looks less costly than it really is, and the reason is because we’re funding stuff related to the long-term plan in what are supposedly temporary emergency supplementals. If we were to take [the supplementals] away in the future, DoD would have to increase its base budget to cover the costs. Even if we were to get out of Iraq and Afghanistan entirely, DoD would either have to cut back its long-term force structure and readiness plans, or we’d have to start adding money to the base budget. So that’s a big issue, and one that any future administration is going to have to figure out.”
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The Year in Defense
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Air Force photo by Master Sgt. Jonathan Doti
U.S. Army
Year in Review By Scott R. Gourley
I
n their Feb. 14, 2007, U.S. Army “Posture Statement,” submitted to the committees and subcommittees of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives 1st Session, 110th Congress, the secretary of the Army and chief of staff of the Army provided the political decision-makers with a snapshot of the service accomplishments, status, and strategic direction at that moment in time. “America remains at war,” it read, adding, “This is one of the most dangerous times in our history. We retain the confidence of the nation as we engage in a long struggle against global terrorism and the conditions that give it life and sustain it. Since 9/11, well over 700,000 active and reserve soldiers have deployed overseas in support of the war on terror.” It continued, “Today, almost 600,000 soldiers are on active duty, serving in nearly 80 countries worldwide. While fighting, we are continuing to prepare our soldiers, leaders,
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Army Year in Review
families, civilians, and forces for the challenges they will face. Our commitment to current and future readiness in the face of uncertainty is driving how we are transforming, modernizing, and realigning our entire global infrastructure of bases, depots, arsenals, and equipment sets.” While the senior service leaders attempted to convey the myriad challenges of maintaining current and future readiness in time of war, the fact is that the U.S. Army is not a static organization and a snapshot cannot do justice to the Herculean efforts mandated by those tactical and strategic realities. For example, the year began with the service making the very difficult choice of halting development on two out of four classes of Future Combat Systems (FCS) Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS). According to a Jan. 9 announcement, the service took the action “to correspond better with future jointforce requirements and budgetary constraints. The Army is balancing competing priorities: the costs of war and reset, and the need to modernize the force. Consequently, the service will continue to improve Raven and Shadow Unmanned Aerial Systems, develop two of four classes of Future Combat Systems Unmanned Aerial Systems, and field the Extended-Range/Multi-Purpose Unmanned Aerial Systems.” At the same time that future force planners were looking at modernizing tomorrow’s force, others were looking at the immediate implementation of current force adjustments for ongoing combat operations. Just two days after the UAS announcement, the secretary of defense directed an increase in forces for Operation Iraqi Freedom. Reflecting the findings of the president’s Iraq-strategy review, the Department of Defense (DoD) announcement translated to a potential increase in Army troop presence in Iraq of more than 20,000 personnel by May. The “plus-up,” part of a strategy commonly known as “the surge,” would give commanders in Iraq the capability to employ up to 20 brigades to assist in achieving stability and security. The strategy would also mandate that some units already in theater would have their tours extended while other units would deploy earlier than previously scheduled. No year can be viewed or reviewed in a vacuum. And, in fact, the surge of early 2007 stemmed from the situation in late 2006, during the height of the ethnosectarian violence that had escalated in the wake of the bombing of the Golden Mosque in Samarra. At that time, senior military and political leaders had concluded that the coalition was failing to achieve its objectives, with a subsequent request for additional forces that began to flow in January 2007. Perhaps reflective of these force generation challenges, on Jan. 11 the defense secretary also announced that the active-duty Army would grow by 65,000 personnel during the next five years, making
Opposite: U.S. Army Spc. Mariusz J. Dybka, 4th Platoon, Delta Company, 2nd Battalion, 12th Infantry Regiment, 2nd Brigade Combat Team, 2nd Infantry Division out of Fort Carson, Colo., provides security while fellow soldiers search homes for weapons in the area of Dora in southern Baghdad, Iraq, Aug. 1, 2007. Above: U.S. Army Spc. Jorge Aquillon, of 2nd Battalion, 82nd Aviation Brigade (Long Range Surveillance Detachment), prepares to fire his .50caliber machine gun at Taliban forces near the village of Allah Say, Afghanistan, Aug. 21, 2007.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
DoD photo by Spc. James B. Smith Jr., U.S. Army
Spc. Jeremy Squirres, with Alpha Company, 101st Military Intelligence Battalion, 3rd Brigade Combat Team, 1st Infantry Division, prepares a Shadow 200 unmanned aerial vehicle for launch at Forward Operating Base Warhorse, Sept. 22, 2004. Alpha Company, 101st MI, operates and maintains the unmanned aerial vehicles for missions in Baqubah, Iraq. While the Army will continue to develop the Shadow, it was forced to halt development of two new unmanned aerial systems due to budget constraints.
permanent a temporary increase of 30,000 and then further expanding on that at a rate of 7,000 per year, to expand the force from an official endstrength of 512,400 to 547,000. Ten days after that, Lt. Gen. David Petraeus, President George W. Bush’s choice for command of Multi-National Force-Iraq (MNF-I), supported the new strategy for Iraq, stressing that the additional U.S. forces involved in the surge would be essential in accomplishing the mission there. In his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Petraeus, who had been nominated on Jan. 17 to be promoted to general and take over command of MNF-I from Gen. George W. Casey, Jr., (Casey, who played a key role in calling for the troop surge, was also nominated to become the Army’s chief of staff), said, “If we are to carry out the Multi-National Force-Iraq mission in accordance with the new strategy, the additional forces that have been directed to move to Iraq will be essential, as will greatly increased support by our government’s other agencies, additional resources for reconstruction and economic initiatives, and a number of other actions
critical to what must be a broad, comprehensive, multifaceted approach to the challenges in Iraq.” While some observers claimed that the expanded commitments would strain and possibly “break” the Army, Casey clarified the situation just a week and a half later during his own confirmation hearings before the Senate Armed Services Committee. “I see in Iraq every day a splendid Army,” Casey said. “I know that [current Army Chief of Staff Gen. Peter Schoomaker] has problems with the forces yet to deploy and with some of the strategic elements that will deploy later, but from what I see in Iraq, the Army is far from broken. “I’m a soldier. My roots are in the Army, and I know the pride of wearing this uniform,” Casey said. “Service as Army chief of staff is not a reward. It’s a duty. It’s about service, and it’s about personal commitment to the men and women of the United States Army.” In addition to these personnel debates, early 2007 also witnessed Army organizational changes, including the Army’s designation of military
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
DoD photo by Helene C. Stikkel
Vice Chief of Staff of the Army Gen. Richard A. Cody, right, responds to a reporter’s question as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Health Affairs William Winkenwerder looks on during a Pentagon press briefing Feb. 21, 2007, on outpatient care facilities and administrative processes at the Walter Reed Army Medical Center, Washington, D.C., and the National Naval Medical Center, Bethesda, Md. Winkenwerder announced improvements to be made for the wounded soldiers treated there.
Surface Deployment and Distribution Command (SDDC) as an Army service component command to the U.S. Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM) and as a major subordinate command of the U.S. Army Materiel Command (AMC). The announcement reflected far more than a mere name change. Because AMC serves as the Army’s designated single logistics integrator, assignment of SDDC to AMC enhances this role by leveraging deployment and distribution commonalities, while also facilitating the joint distribution process consistent with joint logistics concepts under USTRANSCOM. Along with personnel and organizational changes, other planners continued to keep their vision on future challenges and future uncertainties. In the case of the U.S. Army, many of those future challenges will be met through the cornerstone Future Combat Systems (FCS) program.
In late January 2007, the Army conducted a week-long exercise FCS event, dubbed “Experiment 1.1,” in which available FCS technologies and equipment were placed into soldiers’ hands. Exercise descriptions noted that “a platoon of 36 soldiers participated in the exercise, which involved a mock urban assault recently carried out by U.S. forces in Iraq. The soldiers attacked the target and then cleared out several buildings that were infested with insurgents. But unlike today’s soldiers, the troops using FCS equipment were empowered by the FCS network; consequently, they had a suite of new networked capabilities that reduced soldier risk, increased soldier awareness and battlefield understanding, and enhanced overall mission effectiveness.” But early 2007 also brought the service some unexpected bad news. Specifically, February found many service members shocked by reports of
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Army Year in Review
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sub-standard maintenance on some of the facilities and claims of shortfalls in some outpatient care at Walter Reed Army Medical Center, Washington, D.C. Immediate command attention was directed to solving the problems, with the related resignation of the secretary of the Army and the relief of the medical center commander. In accepting the first resignation, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates observed, “From what I have learned, the problems at Walter Reed appear to be problems of leadership,” he said. “The Walter Reed doctors, nurses, and other staff are among the best and the most caring in the world. They deserve our continued deepest thanks and strongest support.” Other Army leadership changes in the spring of 2007 reflected the positive handoff of service responsibilities between military professionals. The best example occurred on April 10,
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2/25/08 5:41:05 PM
Army Year in Review
when Casey officially became the 36th chief of staff of the Army, assuming the position from Schoomaker. Guest speakers at the ceremony included Gates and the new Acting Secretary of the Army, Pete Geren, both of whom praised Schoomaker for his accomplishments and the positive changes he made to the Army after being called from retirement in 2003 to assume the top uniformed Army position. In his farewell remarks, Schoomaker observed, “While technology has changed our Army, there can be little doubt that when you look into the eyes of our warriors today, as I have in the last four years, I see the same patriotism that George Washington must have seen at Valley Forge. I have looked into the eyes of today’s warriors and I am proud to report [that] they continue to exceed every expectation for courage, dedication, and selfless service – they are the heart of all we do, they are our future, and they demonstrate strength, compassion, and warrior ethos.” Just one day later, Gates announced that all soldiers in the U.S. Central Command area of operations would serve 15-month tours in the region beginning immediately. Calling it an “interim change,” Gates noted that, upon taking office in December 2006, he had learned that even sustaining the level of deployed Army forces needed before surging five brigades into Iraq would require active-duty units to flow into Iraq before they had spent a full 12 months at home. He said this reality had been a significant factor in his decision to recommend to Bush that defense officials make the previously noted increases in the size of the Army and Marine Corps during the next five years. While semantics likely had little meaning to those warfighters who were extended in theater, late spring also saw an evolution of terminology, as what was once dubbed “the long war” gave way to “an era of persistent conflict.” But regardless of the names used, the Army continued to shoulder its responsibilities. That selfless sacrifice was noted on June 14 in the Army’s 232-year “birthday message” from Geren, Casey, and Sgt. Maj. of the Army Kenneth O. Preston: “Today’s soldiers symbolize the nobility of selfless service. Today’s soldiers are motivated by an unwavering belief that they will be victorious on the field of battle, because we have fought this way since 1775 and always will. Today’s soldiers are imbued with the Army values and live the warrior ethos.” One month later, Geren, who had been nominated by Bush to be secretary of the Army on May 24, became the 20th secretary of the Army, following confirmation by the U.S. Senate. Perhaps the greatest example of an Army balancing current and future capabilities emerged in the summer of 2007, when soldiers of the 2nd Infantry Division’s 4th Battalion, 9th Infantry Regiment, took both land warrior and mounted warrior systems when they deployed into Iraq. Designed to eliminate the so-called “fog of war,” the dismounted and mounted state-of-the-art modular fighting systems combine computers, lasers, geolocation, and radios with soldiers’ mission equipment to substantially improve situational awareness, mobility, sustainability, survivability, and lethality. By late summer, a new term was being used by service observers, involving the “balance” of America’s Army. For example, in his welcoming remarks at the formal arrival ceremonies of Geren on Aug. 30, Casey observed, “Our force is stretched and out of balance. The tempo of our
deployments are not sustainable, our equipment usage is five times the normal rate and continuously operating in harsh environments.” The event also provided the opportunity for the chief of staff and service secretary to express their shared commitment to Army families who shoulder the domestic burdens associated with the further enhanced operational tempo stemming from the surge strategy. Petraeus gave an early assessment of that strategy in his Sept. 10 testimony before Congress regarding the security situation in Iraq. Among his opening remarks, the MNF-I commander noted, “As a bottom line up front, the military objectives of the surge are, in large measure, being met. In recent months, in the face of tough enemies and the brutal summer heat of Iraq, coalition and Iraqi Security Forces have achieved progress in the security arena. Though the improvements have been uneven across Iraq, the overall number of security incidents in Iraq has declined in eight of the past 12 weeks, with the numbers of incidents in the last two weeks at the lowest levels seen since June 2006….” Meanwhile, other training and materiel milestones continued in parallel with these combat operations. An example of the former included the 2007 mandate that all basic combat training graduates be combat life saver certified, likely extending the so-called “golden hour” for wounded warriors who can now be treated much more extensively before the arrival of medical personnel. An example of the latter was the milestone marked on Sept. 25, when the Army’s Program Executive Office Soldier outfitted it’s one-millionth customer with a Rapid Fielding Initiative kit of personal warfighter equipment. At the other end of the spectrum of ground combat hardware from personal fighting equipment, the first of the new joint service Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles began arriving in theater in October and November, providing both Army and Marine Corps warriors with greatly increased survivability against evolving battlefield threats. December witnessed another significant U.S. Army organizational change, with the announcement that the service would establish a new Logistics Branch on Jan. 1, 2008. According to the announcement, logistics is the newest branch of the Army for commissioned officers, established by general order of the secretary of the Army. Ordnance, quartermaster and transportation officers from the ranks of captain through colonel will be united into the logistics branch. This change will occur across all components of the Army. “Establishment of the logistics branch fully supports the needs of the modular Army,” said Lt. Gen. Ann Dunwoody, deputy chief of staff, G-4. “It promotes the development of multi-skilled logisticians, capable of anticipating requirements, planning, integrating, and executing all types of deployment and sustainment activities that enable our nation’s forces to initiate and sustain full-spectrum operations. As a result of Army transformation and modularity, Army logistics has shifted from a functional to a multifunctional focus. The reduction of functional logistics commands and the increase of multifunctional logistics commands at all levels make this a natural evolution for Army logisticians. “The nature of the Global War on Terror has drastically changed the way logisticians operate on the modern battlefield,” the announcement concluded. “The logistics branch will develop expeditionary and campaign quality logisticians needed for future missions.” As in past years, 2007 ended with continuing uncertainty over what those future missions might entail. But it is clear that, regardless of the mission in 2008 and beyond, the U.S. Army will be ready to shoulder the responsibilities with exactly the same courage and commitment shown since 1775.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Air Force photo/Senior Master Sgt. Thomas Meneguin
U.S. Air Force
Year in Review By Robert F. Dorr
E
xpert and experienced, America’s airmen are performing superbly in Iraq, in Afghanistan, and around the world. With their talents, technical skills, and technology, members of the United States Air Force are very good at what they do. It should follow, logically, that the Air Force is functioning like a welloiled machine. It isn’t. A recent cut in personnel, carried out reluctantly to save money, didn’t actually save much. Formidable warplanes like the F-15 Eagle reign supreme on the aerial battlefield but are now so old that sheer structural fatigue may cause some to break apart and drop from the sky. Restricted by Congress from retiring some aircraft while restricted by the White House from purchasing others – for example, the 381 F-22 Raptors blue-suiters say they need rather than the 183 allowed under administration policy – the Air Force’s top leaders say candidly that they are in a fullblown crisis.
The service’s civilian chief has gone a step further. “The United States Air Force is broken,” said Air Force Secretary Michael W. Wynne just after testifying on Capitol Hill last November. In testimony, Wynne warned that efforts to replace the Air Force’s aging fleet are failing and that the age of a typical Air Force aircraft will increase from 23.9 years today to 26.5 years by 2012 – as compared with just nine years during the Vietnam era. Wynne warned that future adversaries will “kick our butts” if his service doesn’t modernize faster. He said that unless action is taken quickly, geriatric U.S. warplanes will “simply rust out, age out, and fall out of the sky.” He was delivering his message when one did. Last Nov. 2, an F-15C Eagle of the Missouri Air National Guard’s 110th Fighter Squadron, 131st Fighter Wing, went down. Its pilot ejected and suffered a broken arm and shoulder injuries. Early reports point to a massive in-flight structural failure, with the aircraft disintegrating
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U.S. Air Force photo/Senior Airman Patrick Dixon
Air force year in review
Opposite: Two F-22 Raptors from Tyndall Air Force Base, Fla., participate in a recent training exercise. Above: A surprised Capt. George Collings greets his father, Maj. Gen. Michael Collings, the senior U.S. defense representative to Egypt, on the flight line, Oct. 29. Gen. Collings flew into Aviano Air Base, Italy, to present Capt. Collings with the Distinguished Flying Cross for his airmanship while supporting ground troops as an F-16 pilot with the 510th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron based out of Balad Air Base, Iraq.
aft of the cockpit. The Air Force grounded all versions of the F-15, some 720 airframes, a step that halted some operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. A colleague of Wynne’s who did not want to be named said age was the cause of the crash and said: “We told you so.” In the airlift community, many airmen are under the impression that an April 3, 2006, crash of a C-5B Galaxy of the 436th Airlift Wing near Dover Air Force Base, Del., which was survived by all 17 aboard, was caused by age and structural failure. In fact, it was not – the official cause was crew error – but concerns over age and fatigue life apply to Air Force platforms of all sizes and shapes. Air Force chief of staff Gen. T. Michael “Buzz” Moseley put it bluntly: “We just can’t predict what will break next on an F-15 or a KC135.” A series of F-15 groundings, coupled with technical delays with the F-22 Raptor and F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter (JSF), could presage changes in what the Air Force’s leaders want and when they want it. So far, however, Wynne and Moseley haven’t wavered from the consistent position they’ve taken in speeches, testimony, and bull sessions with troops. They say they have three priorities:
• Fighting and winning the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; • Taking care of the troops; and • Recapitalizing a geriatric fleet of decrepit aircraft that are older than the men and women who fly them.
Fighting the War During a fierce battle in the Iraqi city of Najaf in September 2007, the tide was turned when an F-16C Fighting Falcon pilot dropped a laser-guided, 500-pound bomb that arrived with precision accuracy and killed two dozen members of a hostile Shiite militia. The F-16C pilot accomplished what half a dozen Army AH-64D Apache Longbow helicopter pilots, criss-crossing the battle scene at low altitude and taking fire, could not: Air Force leaders labeled the event proof that airpower matters, even in an urban fight against irregulars, and cited it as an example of jointness at work. Capt. George Collings of the 510th Fighter Squadron “Buzzards” received the Distinguished Flying Cross for his airmanship. The outcome of the nation’s overseas conflicts, and even the question of whether Americans should be fighting a Shiite militia with
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Air Force photo/Senior Airman Miranda Moorer
An F-15 Eagle flies over the Pacific during Valiant Shield. Following the crash of an F-15 on Nov. 2, 2007, the entire F-15 fleet was grounded until completion of an investigation. Since then, a portion of the fleet returned to the air, but some Eagles may never fly again. links to the Baghdad government, will be decided way above the pay grade of even the top leaders at the Pentagon. But down at the working level, blue-suiters believe that the Air Force is making a pivotal contribution. They see an inseparable link between lessons being learned and needs for new equipment. Maj. Gen. Marshall Sabol, an airlift pilot and top strategist, remembers flying into Baghdad on a C-130H Hercules hauling only a single pallet of cargo. Tactical airlift has proven itself again and again in Iraq and Afghanistan, says Sabol, but this incident vindicates the Air Force’s controversial quest for a smaller, twin-engined joint cargo aircraft.
In addition to traditional functions, which range from helicopter rescue to unmanned aerial vehicle surveillance, thousands of Air Force members have become “battlefield airmen,” using skills previously associated with soldiers and Marines. In the recent past, most enlisted airmen saw an M16 rifle only once, during an afternoon at the firing range during basic training. Today, basic trainees have constant contact with M4 and M16A2 rifles, and learn to use other weapons such as the M2 .50-caliber “Ma Deuce” aircooled machine gun. Pulling what’s known in jargon as “in lieu of” duty, thousands of airmen are confronting the improvised explosive devices that account for 68 percent of U.S. casualties.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
The Boeing Company via Robert F. Dorr
On the homeland defense front, since September 11, 2001, Air Force fighters have flown 600,000 sorties over North American air space.
Taking Care “People are our most precious resource,” said Moseley. And while no one can deny that military service calls for sacrifice, especially in wartime, the plain truth is that America’s professional military people are generally treated pretty well. No one would question that the public
supports its troops. Sales of bumper stickers bearing proud phrases like “I’m an Air Force Mom” or “Air Force Spoken Here” are brisk. In American communities, civilians react positively to the sight of a service member wearing the new airman battle uniform, or ABU, during a stop at Dunkin’ Donuts or the 7-Eleven. Current policy is to wear the ABU to work under most circumstances, rather than the service dress uniform. However, the Air Force is testing a new set of service-dress blues that Moseley said, “will make us look less like a bellhop in a hotel lobby and a lot more military.”
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Air force year in review
The 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review, or QDR, mandated that the U. S. Air Force have a new bomber in operation by 2018. This is a notional concept from Boeing of what a “2018 bomber” might look like.
specialties, however, gaps are evident: recruiting of medical professionals is lagging at 56.5 percent of the service’s goal. Even when staffing tables appear filled, “people issues” are proliferating simply because there aren’t enough people. Early this past winter, a staff historian visited Moseley to report a statistical milestone: The Air Force has shrunk to its smallest size since Pearl Harbor. America’s air arm boasted 354,000 troops on Dec. 7, 1941. Its personnel count last winter was 333,000 and was projected to fall to 316,000. People shortages are being felt on flight lines and back shops where noncommissioned officers often complain that they are carrying out duties meant for junior airmen. Personnel totals dropped because Air Force leaders sought to trade people for planes. In the end, it didn’t work. In the belief that cutting personnel costs would yield funds for aerial hardware, the service carried out a harsh “force reshaping” – a euphemism for a reduction in force – in 2005 and 2006. People were forced out of promising careers. Hit hardest were junior officers with prior enlisted service, such as a first lieutenant who thought she’d helped herself by winning a commission. “We gave up 40,000 people to protect our investment in equipment,” said Moseley, “and we’ve got no place to go now.” Moreover, a study completed after the reduction of personnel shows that it didn’t achieve the cash savings that constituted its only purpose. Wynne testified on Capitol Hill that it achieved only minuscule cost savings. To give expression to his concern for the welfare of the troops, Moseley introduced an airman’s creed to replace all the various specialized creeds that have been used in the past, and, as he put it, “to focus on the core of what an airman believes. “When you read it, reflect on the creed’s elements: warrior, heritage, honor, and valor,” Moseley said. He also stressed that now more than ever we need each and every airman to be combat-ready. Moseley often stresses the importance of a “warrior ethos” in a culture that previously preferred the concept of a citizen-soldier.
Recapitalizing the Force
Fiscal year 2008 brought a 3.5 percent pay raise and improvements in certain allowances. Airmen serving in the combat zones receive their pay taxfree, although the Air Force’s dedicated civilian career employees, unfairly, do not. Public funding for family-related benefits and professional military education is on the rise. After some initial speed bumps, the Pentagon is doing its part in caring for the nation’s combat wounded. Morale is high in the Air Force. War or no war, the service is meeting recruiting goals. According to official figures, between 2001 and 2006 the service recruited 160,603 airmen, or 101 percent of its target. In some
In their third category of top issues, Wynne and Moseley have five subcategories. “Our priorities for procurement are the following,” said Moseley. “The KC-X, the new air refueling tanker, is No. 1. CSAR-X, the new combat search and rescue helicopter, is No. 2. Our space-based early warning and communications satellites are No 3. The F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter is No. 4. And the next generation long-range strike bomber is No. 5.” Recent problems with the fighter force, including groundings of F-15 Eagles over age and structural issues, could change this five-point list, but Air Force leaders have been consistent about these priorities for several years. In May 2007, Moseley made a round-trip to Europe aboard a KC135E Stratotanker with a fiscal year 1957 serial number. Age is a problem throughout the Air Force’s fleet of 10,856 aircraft, but nowhere more than with its 590 tankers (114 KC-135Es, 417 KC-135Rs and 59 KC-10A Extenders).
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Air force year in review
The KC-X program is the second attempt to replace the KC-135, following a botched sale-lease deal for Boeing 767-200s that preoccupied Pentagon leaders from 2001 to 2005, went seriously astray, and put at least two key aerospace figures into prison. When this story went to press, an evaluation team was sequestered at Wright Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio. mulling the two competing aircraft in the KC-X competition for a new tanker. The candidates are the Boeing 767-200 (again) and the Airbus A330-200, which its maker calls the KC30B MRTT (Multi-Role Tanker Transport) by U.S. prime contractor Northrop Grumman. A KC-X source selection, rescheduled several times, was expected in February 2008 to be followed by orders for 179 aircraft, replacing the oldest KC-135s. Whichever aircraft is chosen in the KC-X competition, the Air Force will officially designate it the KC-45A. Valued at $40 billion, KC-X is a “winner-take-all” program that will yield one aircraft type only. Still, Moseley has said repeatedly that the Air Force may eventually purchase both tanker types. “I think down the road you’ll see us go to a mixed fleet,” Moseley said. This may occur due to simple necessity. Gen. Arthur Lichte (pronounced “light”), commander of Air Mobility Command, which will field the first KC-45As, echoed Moseley’s concerns about the age and structural condition of today’s tankers. “If we recapitalize our entire tanker fleet [of 531 KC-135s and 59 KC-10As],” Lichte said in a telephone interview, “and if we stay on our flight path without being diverted, the first KC-135R will be retired in 2018 [after the KC-135E fleet] and the last one around 2048.” However, Lichte added, “If these plans are thrown off course by funding perturbations or other factors, such as a protest in the current KC-X tanker contest, the first KC-135R may not be phased out until 2027 and the final one not until 2082.” At that point, the KC-135 will be 113 years old! “Asking pilots and boom operators to go out and fly such old aircraft is something no Air Force commander wants to do,” Lichte said. Lichte’s reference to protest refers to the increasing trend among contractors to file formal objections when they lose an aircraft competition. The concern is nowhere more evident than with what Moseley has repeatedly said that “my second priority,” the CSAR-X program for a $15-billion fleet of 141 combat search and rescue helicopters to replace 101 aging HH-60G Pave Hawks. CSAR-X seemed a simple proposition when it began in 2005 as a contest among the CH-47 Chinook, EH-101 Merlin, and Sikorsky S-92. Many observers thought the EH-101 would easily win the competition. Another version, given the U.S. designation VH-71A, was selected in 2005 as the next presidential “Marine One” in a 23-helicopter purchase that has been seriously delayed on cost and technical grounds. When the Chinook was announced the winner on Nov. 9, 2006, many were surprised, including Wynne and Moseley, who had no role in the decision. Critic Loren Thompson, analyst at Washington’s Lexington Institute, wrote in a scholarly paper that the Chinook is too loud, generates too much dust, heat, and downwash, and has other flaws. The CSAR-X losers filed protests. The Government Accountability Office upheld them. A year later, the same three helicopters were competing with the same three aircraft. Wynne said a new helicopter would now be chosen in February 2008. His Pentagon spokesman corrected him and said it wouldn’t happen till summer. Because of the delay, the Air Force requested that CSARX funds in the fiscal year 2008 defense appropriations bill be diverted for other urgent needs.
Equipment Needs Air Force leaders have had greater success with a new family of satellites for space operations. Funding has been adequate, although programs have moved slowly. When an SC-19 kinetic-kill interceptor launched from Songlin, China, destroying a target satellite in January 2007, Moseley used the occasion to stress the Air Force’s role as the dominant service branch in space and to urge preparedness. “There was a shock that the Russians put a satellite into orbit before us,” said Moseley, referring to last year’s 50th anniversary of Sputnik, the 184-pound object that became mankind’s first artificial satellite on Oct. 4, 1957. “Now, there’s a similar shock that the Chinese successfully shot down that satellite. It makes space … more dangerous than it was before.” For fiscal year 2008, Congress fully funded 12 F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighters, six each for the Air Force and Marine Corps. But lawmakers also imposed a $266 million cut in JSF development funding. The F-35, first flown Dec. 15, 2006, and now the most expensive program in Pentagon history at $276 billion, is supposed to replace most A-10 Warthog and F-16 Fighting Falcon warplanes, and all of the nowretired F-117 Nighthawks. But the first F-35 was grounded for seven months in 2007 because of technical difficulties and the overseas support for a hoped-for production run of 4,000 aircraft may be declining: Australia and the Netherlands, once viewed as certain purchasers of the F-35, have experienced political change and may no longer want the plane. The Air Force’s replacement-training unit for the F-35A will be the 33rd Fighter Wing at Eglin Air Force Base, Fla. The first F-35A combat group will be the 388th Fighter Wing at Hill Air Force Base, Utah, with initial operating capability having been pushed back from 2011 to 2013. The Air Force still plans to purchase 1,763 of the fighters, but for the time being, Moseley has backed away from a request for a small number of the short takeoff – and vertical landing – F-35B variant contemplated for the U.S. Marine Corps and the Royal Air Force. The manufacturer will assemble the F-35A in the 1-million-square-foot Fort Worth facility opened in 1941 and once used to assemble B-24 Liberators. Air Force leaders have been saying that the service plans called to develop a new bomber by 2018, as prescribed in the Pentagon’s 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review. What they call the “2018 bomber” will harness existing technologies in aerodynamics, propulsion, and “netcentric” capabilities, and will be straightforward and practical in design, “a big truck,” as Moseley calls it. A far more advanced bomber, perhaps a hypersonic vehicle that might test treaty obligations on weaponizing space, is supposedly due in 2037. Moseley has dropped strong hints that some aircraft may already be flying, or are soon to fly, under a “black” program under which the plane’s existence is acknowledged only to a selected few in Congress. However, there is nothing in the planned fiscal year 2009 budget request for a new bomber aircraft. And if there is a “black” program being developed, it’s unclear whether the program addresses the modest goals of the 2018 bomber or the more ambitious technology of the “2037 bomber.” War, people, planes: Those are the top priorities. A tanker, a helicopter, satellites, the F–35, and a new bomber: Those are the items of equipment most needed. Serious problems with the fighter force could change all of that. Meanwhile, Air Force leaders must continue to guide the world’s finest air arm through one of its most difficult periods.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Coast Guard photo by PAC Tom Sperduto
The first National Security Cutter, Bertholf, performs sea trials in Mobile Bay, Ala., Feb. 8, 2008. After meeting all requirements the cutter will be homeported in Alameda, Calif.
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COAST GUARD YEAR IN REVIEW
U.S. Coast Guard Year in Review By Dr. Joe DiRenzo III and Chris Doane
2007
was a year that the U.S. Coast Guard will not soon forget. During 2007, the Coast Guard achieved significant highs reaching career milestones in lives saved and cocaine seized. The service also faced lows with the death of a member and congressional-level complaints regarding attention to its oil spill response and marine safety missions. All in all, it was a very dynamic year for a service whose combined active duty, reserve, and civilian force would barely fill half of a professional football stadium. The Coast Guard celebrated the one-millionth person saved on the service’s birthday while simultaneously releasing a “Top 10 Rescue Videos” compilation on the widely popular YouTube Web site and a “Top 10 Coast Guard Rescues” list dating back to 1888. This success was highlighted by Secretary of Homeland Security Michael Chertoff during the service’s birthday celebration at “Coast Guard City, U.S.A” Grand Haven, Mich. During his remarks, Chertoff noted, “When things are at their worst, America’s Coast Guard is at its best. What began as a revenue enforcement agency with a fleet of 10 cutters established by Alexander Hamilton more than 200 years ago has evolved into the world’s premier multi-mission, maritime, and military service. It’s fitting that we celebrate the Coast Guard’s 217th birthday this August 4th as we recognize its brave men and women for saving more than 1 million lives over the course of its long and storied history.” While the Coast Guard performed hundreds of search and rescue missions during 2007, one case is worthy of special mention. In May, the 300-foot-stern paddle cruise ship the Empress of the North (Majestic America Line of Seattle), operating with 281 passengers on board, hit a rock at the southern end of Hanus Reef in the Lynn Canal off the coast of Alaska. About 16.5 miles southwest of Juneau, the grounding occurred at approximately 2 a.m. The Coast Guard reacted as it always does, coordinating a multiagency response, which was both swift and sustained. Coast Guard and other Good Samaritan vessels, along with Coast Guard aircraft, arrived on scene and were able to safely evacuate all of the passengers without a single injury. In its counterdrug mission, the service achieved another milestone for cocaine seizures, with 355,755 pounds worth more than $4.7 billion seized. Interagency and international cooperation was cited as one of the big reasons for the success. During a press conference
on the service’s achievement, Adm. Thad W. Allen noted, “From piracy to rum runners to illegal migrant smugglers, the Coast Guard has been continuously guarding our coasts and securing our borders since 1790.” The commandant continued, “Today, drug smugglers are resorting to riskier, more desperate tactics in an attempt to evade detection and interdiction at sea. More and more, we are seeing that they can run, but cannot hide.” There were many seizures this year that contributed to the record, but two stand out. In March, the Coast Guard cutters Hamilton and Sherman teamed up to seize 42,845 pounds of cocaine found on the Panamanian-flagged motor vessel Gatun off the coast of Panama. This broke the service’s previous record of 30,109 pounds. In August, Coast Guard, U.S. Navy, and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) units teamed together to seize a self-propelled, semi-submersible vessel loaded with an estimated $352 million of cocaine. Not quite a fullfledged submarine, the semi-submersible bust captured worldwide attention and underscored the lengths that smugglers are going to attempt delivery of their illegal cargos. These two seizures occurred in the Pacific, highlighting another major trend in narcotics smuggling, the use of the Pacific routes to traffic cocaine. A Coast Guard press release noted, “Smuggling contraband via the Galapagos Islands takes traffickers over 1,000 miles offshore and requires additional fuel and supplies over the course of the run. Drug trafficking organizations using this route rely on logistics support vessels as a means to refuel, equip, and act as lookouts for vessels engaged in illicit traffic. The Coast Guard has been able to render these support vessels useless through the use of fuel neutralization [see attached side bar] to prevent the vessels from using or transferring their excess fuel.” This rapid response to a change in drug smuggling methods emphasizes the service’s nimble, constantly updated and flexible approach to operations that enable it to achieve continued success across its mission set. The Coast Guard’s maritime security efforts saw several new initiatives in 2007. The service, in partnership with the U.S. Navy, commissioned two Maritime Force Protection Units (MFPUs) to provide enhanced security for ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs). Located in the SSBN homeports of Kings Bay, Ga., and Bangor, Wash., these
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USCG photo by Petty Officer Chris Caskey
COAST GUARD YEAR IN REVIEW
Navy-funded, 150-person Coast Guard units will escort SSBNs as they transit in and out of homeport. Speaking before the MFPU Kings Bay commissioning in July, Coast Guard Atlantic Area Commander Vice Adm. D.B. Peterman noted, “Maritime Force Protection Unit Kings Bay will provide an invaluable service to the U.S. Navy and our nation through its unique ability to exercise the Coast Guard’s law enforcement authorities while enforcing a naval vessel protective zone. Maritime force protection is crucial if our nation’s strategic naval assets are to be able to safely operate in close proximity to vessel traffic in confined bodies of water.” The Coast Guard’s aviation was tasked with a new security mission in February when the service assumed the Rotary Wing Air Intercept (RWAI) mission from Customs and Border Protection for the National Capital Region (NCR). For this mission, the Coast Guard supports the North American Aerospace Defense Command’s Operation Noble Eagle air defense mission. This mission is conducted with Coast Guard HH-65C helicopters and crews. The Coast Guard is responsible for intercepting aircraft, which fly into the Air Defense Identification Zone surrounding the National Capital Region without following proper procedures. The Coast Guard also commissioned its Deployable Operations Group (DOG). This action placed all of the service’s deployable specialized forces (e.g., Maritime Safety and Security Teams, Tactical Law Enforcement Teams, Port Security Units, and National Strike Force Strike Teams) under a single centralized command. Through DOG, the Coast Guard can now rapidly select competency elements from these various teams to form and deploy force packages tailored for a specific mission. Within the world of Maritime Domain Awareness the service took another joint step forward in August 2007 when Allen, U.S. Customs and Border Protection Deputy Commissioner Jay Ahern, and then-Commander Submarine Group Trident Rear Adm. Frank Drennan cut the ribbon on the Coast Guard Joint Harbor Operation Center (JHOC) at Pier 36 in Seattle, Wash. The JHOC provides not only a command center for Coast Guard Sector Seattle and a home to the region’s Vessel Traffic System, but also an operations center where other stakeholders in maritime security, such as the Washington State Patrol, Customs and Border Protection, and local governments, can work jointly together in the daily execution of a multifaceted 24-hour-a-day security operation. The Coast Guard also improved maritime security along the nation’s northern border as the Ninth Coast Guard District and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) participated in a joint operation known as Shiprider 2007. The operation places Coast Guard and RCMP officers together on merchant vessels transiting the St. Lawrence Seaway, allowing the United States and Canada to leverage law enforcement resources. The purpose of the operation is to prevent cross-border criminal activity and to further strengthen both countries’ response capability in the St. Lawrence Seaway. Shiprider is unique in that it involves the cross-designation of peace officer status and powers to both USCG and RCMP participants. This enables the Coast Guard and RCMP to conduct seamless law enforcement operations across the border, assist one another in the enforcement of their respective laws, and provides the operational flexibility required to interdict suspect vessels across jurisdictions. In addition to the commercial vessel security boardings, Shiprider 2007 resulted in the seizure of 214 pounds of marijuana and 108 cases of contraband cigarettes, leading to nine arrests and the significant displacement of landside smuggling. More than $200,000 (Canadian) tax dollars were saved from the cigarette seizures and more than $420,000 (U.S.) in marijuana was seized.
Passengers from the cruise ship Empress of the North being offloaded onto the Coast Guard cutter Liberty and civilian vessels after running aground at approximately 2:00 a.m. on May 14, 2007, near Juneau, Alaska. The Liberty took on 130 of the 248 passengers before offloading them onto the Alaska State Ferry Columbia, which would transport them to the city of Juneau. In a tragic accident, the Coast Guard lost one of its Maritime Safety and Security Team (MSST) members in March. Petty Officer 3rd Class Ronald Gill was ejected from his boat during escort operations. Gill died from injuries sustained when he was struck by the boat’s propeller. He will be sorely missed and always remembered by his shipmates. Coast Guard operations continued to extend outside the United States in 2007. The service continued to partner with the international maritime security community through its International Port Security Liaison Officer Program. The program has Coast Guard officer and civilian personnel building relationships with maritime security entities around the globe as part of a layered security strategy to ensure the integrity of commercial shipping. In support of Operation Iraqi Freedom, the Coast Guard has six patrol boats, two law enforcement teams, and supporting forces totaling approximately 240 members in the Arabian Gulf as part of Patrol Forces Southwest Asia. In addition, the service has continued to deploy Redeployment Assistance Inspection Detachments to Iraq. These detachments work with redeploying units, mostly Army and Marine Corps, to ensure that their equipment is packed safely to prevent explosions or other hazards during shipment to the United States via Military Sealift Command vessels. The detachments are comprised of volunteers from both the active duty and reserve. In October, the Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard jointly unveiled a new national maritime strategy entitled, “A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower.” This document’s preamble describes the uniqueness of this effort: “Never before have the maritime forces of the United States – the Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard – come together to create a unified maritime strategy. This strategy stresses an approach that integrates seapower with other elements of national power, as well as those of our friends and allies. It describes how seapower will be applied around the world to protect our way of life, as we join with other like-minded nations to protect and sustain the global, inter-connected system through which we prosper. Our commitment to protecting the homeland and winning our nation’s wars is matched by a corresponding commitment to preventing wars.” The document concludes: “‘A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower’
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008 U.S. Coast Guard photo U.S. Coast Guard photo
Top and above: According to the U.S. Coast Guard and the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration, U.S. Coast Guardsmen from USCGC Hamilton (WHEC 715) and USCGC Sherman (WHEC 720) made a record maritime seizure of approximately 42,845 pounds of cocaine aboard the Panamanian-flagged motor vessel Gatun on March 18, 2007, off the coast of Isla de Coiba, Panama. A Coast Guard boarding team conducted a search and discovered the cocaine hidden in two containers aboard the ship. The interagency operation included teamwork among the Drug Enforcement Administration, the Coast Guard, and other Homeland Security and Department of Justice components as well as the Panamanian government.
binds our services more closely together than they have ever been before to advance the prosperity and security of our Nation. The demands of an uncertain world and enduring interests of the American people require nothing less.” The Coast Guard made great strides within its Deepwater recapitalization and modernization program. The first National Security Class (NSC) cutter, USCGC Bertholf (WMS 750), got under way for the first time under her own power to complete machinery trials. This was an important event as the program moved forward from some initial challenges. As Allen noted in a message to the Coast Guard family, “About a year ago, the Coast Guard’s $24 billion Deepwater capital acquisition program to replace and modernize virtually our entire fleet of offshore cutters, boats, aircraft, and command and control systems over 25 years, came under intense public scrutiny. The DHS inspector general, the Government Accountability Office, our congressional overseers, and others voiced concern with significant challenges we faced in performance, cost and schedule. At the time, we committed to taking strong, decisive action to improve Coast Guard management and oversight of this vital modernization program. “Much of the criticism last year centered around eight 110-foot patrol boats among a fleet of 49 boats kept well beyond their planned service life in a failed attempt to lengthen them to get additional years of service. These efforts did not to live up to their promise, and we have since rescinded our acceptance. We will replace continued on page 59
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U.S. Coast Guard Fuel Neutralization Program Drug trafficking organizations export more than 700 metric tons of cocaine annually from South America toward the United States. Although the means of smuggling this illegal contraband vary, the bulk of the cargo (more than 50 percent) is transported by small, high-speed craft that attempt to make rapid smuggling runs into Central America and Mexico. These “go-fast” boats first made their appearance in the early 1990s as cheap, effective, “one-shot” delivery methods into various spots in the Caribbean. As distances were relatively short in the Caribbean (approximately 500 miles from Colombia to Hispaniola), go-fasts originally operated independently, requiring little support in their transit. Aggressive law enforcement targeting of the go-fasts forced the narcotraffickers to radically alter their tactics. As short routes were closed through increased patrol and airborne use of force, go-fast routes were shifted further offshore to avoid law enforcement forces. Today the primary route for go-fast operations is located in the Pacific, with go-fasts transiting up to 1,000 miles offshore in an effort to escape detection and interception. As the go-fast is a small, short-range platform, this shift required the smugglers to devise a sophisticated logistics support network to enable the go-fasts to transit the longer and more difficult routes. The core of the smugglers’ logistics effort is the use of Logistics Supply Vessels (LSVs) designed specifically to provide fuel to go-fasts far offshore. Since 2001, the Coast Guard has encountered hundreds of Colombian fishing vessels operating well outside of the Colombian Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) carrying excess gasoline inconsistent with their government authorized amount. Many gofasts have been interdicted while in the process of refueling from these vessels. In 2004, the government of Colombia and the U.S. Coast Guard agreed that Coast Guard boarding teams could take action against these vessels to enforce Colombian regulations against carrying excess fuel. The primary method of enforcement is the fuel neutralization program. Fuel neutralization has two phases. Upon boarding, the Coast Guard team “neutralizes” the excess fuel by use of a chemical developed by the Coast Guard Research and Development Center. An additive, similar to the non-toxic powder used to clean up oil spills, causes the fuel to “gel,” making it unusable by internal combustion engines (it will in fact destroy the engine if used by a go-fast). The effect is not permanent; 95 percent of the fuel can be recovered when the vessel returns to port and it is siphoned. In addition, tanks are marked with red neutralization labels to designate them as potential evidence. To ensure Colombian law enforcement action, the vessel is directed to return to port and information passed to the Colombian authorities who meet the vessel at the pier for subsequent prosecution. The fuel neutralization program has had considerable success in disrupting LSVs and the go-fast logistics pipeline. To date, six LSVs have been neutralized, disrupting an untold number of go-fast events and demonstrating a new and effective method of international cooperation with our Colombian law enforcement partners. Both the Coast Guard and Colombian government see fuel neutralization as part of the increased cooperation between the two nations in exercising their joint bilateral law enforcement agreement. This agreement has yielded tremendous results with record cocaine seizures in successive years. The fuel neutralization program will only add to this success. The views expressed herein are those of the author and are not to be construed as official or reflecting the views of the commandant or of the U.S. Coast Guard.
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U.S. Coast Guard photo courtesy of Lt. j.g. Peter Lang
Lt. j.g. Peter Lang, executive officer of the Coast Guard Cutter Maui (WPB 1304) and Petty Officer 3rd Class Frederick Woods, a machinery technician, conduct a security sweep of a tug in the North Arabian Gulf before it proceeds to Al Basrah Oil Terminal, Aug. 10, 2007. Maui was conducting Maritime Security Operations (MSO) in the gulf as a part of Combined Task Force 158. Coast Guard personnel and assets remain deployed in support of the Global War on Terrorism.
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the remainder of our 110-foot patrol boats with a new fleet of 58 Fast Response Cutters (FRC), the first of which will begin to enter service in 2010. To speed project completion and increase competition in the market, we took the FRC project outside of the Deepwater contract last year and issued a request for proposals in record time. We are currently reviewing those proposals and look forward to announcing a new contract award this spring. In the interim, we have increased patrol days for some of the remaining patrol boats using the crews of the laid-up cutters and are in the process of procuring four additional new 87-foot patrol boats.” Allen added, “Improvements we’ve made in the Deepwater program outlined above are the direct result of aggressive oversight and management reforms implemented in the past year to put the program back on track. We changed the way we are doing business overall by improving the organizations, policies and processes that govern how we acquire ships, aircraft and equipment. We call this strategy for business transformation our “Blueprint for Acquisition Reform.” The Coast Guard’s marine safety mission came under intense congressional scrutiny in 2007. Maritime industry representatives complained that the service had shifted too much attention away from safety to focus on security. As a result, congressional hearings explored the idea of taking the marine safety program from the Coast Guard and placing it into a new agency. In testimony before Congress, Allen strongly resisted this idea, arguing, “The Coast Guard relies on the interconnected and complementary nature of its marine safety and security authorities. One of the Coast Guard’s greatest strengths is our multi-mission character, which allows us to provide the best service value to the American public. We must leverage our multi-mission structure and ethos through proper allocation of our own resources, while also partnering with industry, labor and other maritime stakeholders to ensure the safety and security of our waterways.” This scrutiny into the Coast Guard’s attention to the marine safety mission was exacerbated by complaints following the service’s response to an oil spill in San Francisco harbor. In November, the container ship Cosco Busan struck the San Francisco–Oakland Bay Bridge in dense fog. As a result of the collision, the vessel spilled approximately 58,000 gallons of oil into the fast bay currents, which spread the oil rapidly, leading to significant environmental damage. For several hours after the spill, the Coast Guard continued to report a much smaller volume of oil spilled, causing wide speculation that this in turn affected the aggressiveness of the response. In less than 24 hours following the spill, Allen had received a letter from Sen. Barbara Boxer saying she was “very troubled by the Coast Guard’s delay in delivering accurate information to the public and the city of San Francisco.” Only time will tell how the service weathers this storm of inquiry into its marine safety efforts. But on the success side of the equation was the sentencing of a shipping company for its role in falsifying records. Ionia Management, a Greek company that manages a fleet of tanker vessels, was sentenced in December for its role in falsifying records to conceal the overboard dumping of waste oil from the tanker Kriton into international waters and its efforts to impede the investigation of the Coast Guard. The company was convicted in September in New Haven, Conn., on 13 counts of violating the Act to Prevent Pollution from Ships, three counts of falsifying records in a federal investigation, one count of obstruction of justice, and one count of conspiracy. The investigation was a joint success for the Coast Guard and the Environmental Protection Agency. Assistance was also provided by the Netherlands Royal Military Police, Ministry of Transport, Public Works and
Water Management, and Coast Guard. The case was prosecuted by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Connecticut. The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of Florida, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Eastern District of New York, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the Environmental Crimes Section of the U.S. Department of Justice all participated. The service also continued its tradition of humanitarian and public service as Coast Guard medical personnel joined their counterparts in deploying aboard the hospital ship USNS Comfort on a four-month deployment to the Caribbean, South, and Central America. Working alongside 740 other medical specialists and support staff from the Navy, Army, Air Force, Public Health Service, Canadian Forces, and NonGovernment Organizations (NGOs) on missions such as Operation Smile and Project Hope, the joint team provided adult and pediatric primary care, dentistry, optometry, and veterinary services to dozens of countries within the U.S. Southern Command’s Area of Responsibility. The success of this mission was validated by the number of people served. According to official Southern Command data, the joint team on Comfort carried out 386,000 consults on 98, 638 patients, conducted 1,170 surgeries, provided 32,322 immunizations, and even crafted 24,242 eyeglasses. On the Great Lakes, the Coast Guard cutter Mackinaw (WLBB 20)’s served as the “Christmas Tree Ship” delivering 1,000 Christmas trees to needy families at the Navy Pier in Chicago. A Coast Guard District Nine press release highlighted Mackinaw’s “continuing the tradition of its predecessor (WAGB-83), which resurrected the Christmas Tree Ship in 2000. The crew of the Mackinaw hauls a load of trees from the woods of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and Wisconsin for distribution to more than a thousand disadvantaged Chicago-area families.” The Mackinaw’s visit was supported by the efforts of the Chicago Christmas Ship Committee, which purchased the trees, representing a wide swath of boating stakeholders including the Coast Guard Auxiliary, International Shipmaster’s Association, and the Chicago Yachting Association. The original Christmas Tree Ship, the Rouse Simmons, (a three-masted wooden schooner) started the tradition in 1896, when Capt. Scheunemann docked his tree-laden schooner on the riverbank near the Clark Street Bridge. Unfortunately, in, 1912, the vessel went down in a horrible storm near Two Rivers, Wis. The Coast Guard was also responsible for Santa Claus visiting remote villages in Alaska, such as Larson Bay on Kodiak Island via helicopter. The Coast Guard has been transporting Santa by boat and helicopter to the remote villages of Kodiak Island for more than 30 years. The jolly old man also visited remote atolls and islands in the northern part of the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), via a Coast Guard 110-foot patrol boat – CGC Washington. The gifts are donated by Coast Guard members and the Guam Navy Officers Spouses Association. 2007 was clearly a dynamic year of ups and downs for the Coast Guard. One can only wait and see what 2008 has in store for the nation’s smallest military service. About the authors: Dr. Joe DiRenzo III and Chris Doane are both retired Coast Guard officers who are visiting senior fellows at the Joint Forces Staff College. Both are also Homeland Security mentors with Northcentral University in Prescott, Ariz. They have written and lectured extensively on maritime security and maritime history in both national and international publications.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Marine Corps Year in Review By J.R. Wilson
T
he Global War on Terrorism (GWOT) has affected the U.S. Marine Corps more than any other military service, forcing changes in tactics, techniques and procedures (TTPs), training, equipment, deployments, size, structure, and concept of operations (CONOPS). The GWOT also played a major role in the creation of the first Marine Corps Forces, Special Operations Command (MARSOC) and subsequent Marine role in the joint services Special Operations Command (SOCOM). Each year of the war has seen new changes for the Corps. And 2007 was no different, from the acquisition of MRAP (Mine Resistant Ambush Protected) vehicles – far heavier vehicles than typical for the Corps, much less MARSOC – to the deployment of the first MV-22 Osprey Tiltrotor Squadron (VMM-263) directly to the combat zone in Iraq. The war also has put the Marines – who are essentially a fast force projection from the sea capability – into static, far inland roles traditionally handled by the Army. Even so, Marine Commandant Gen. James T. Conway is proud of the success the Corps has had in western Iraq’s Al Anbar province, once the focal point for Sunni insurgents but now, as the Marine province of responsibility, showing vast improvement in three key areas – security, economics and regional politics. “What we have seen in Al Anbar is just amazing and we couldn’t be happier with the reduced numbers of attacks and casualties, and the ability to do so much more with the Sunnis than ever before because they are now fed up with al Qaeda,” Conway said, adding nearly all of the Marines deployed to Central Command are in Al Anbar, with the remainder helping to train the Iraqi Army or providing security and administrative support at the U.S. Embassy and Marine headquarters in Baghdad. “We also have about 500 Marines in Afghanistan doing individual augment duties and security for the
embassy there, but the majority are on training teams with the Afghan National Army. And we think they will be there for some time to come.” In providing training and low-level support to host nation forces, the Marines have seen increasingly less direct combat. “Overall casualty numbers are way down because the Iraqis have, in large measure, taken over the policing and military function,” Conway said. “The neighborhood watch in Al Anbar are the first to line up against any threat, glean intel and, because they are tribal sons, are probably the next to go into the police force. Then comes the bona fide Iraqi police, then the Iraqi army and last, in an emergent event, would be the U.S. Marines. So we haven’t seen that much conflict since sometime before Thanksgiving. “The [Iraqi] leadership in Baghdad has pulled Iraqi brigades from Al Anbar to go elsewhere and we have to grow new units to take their place. We need training teams to do that, so we have a fixed requirement to continue to grow our teams because we want to replace those units. We’d like to have those training teams replaced by [U.S.] Army teams in the future.” The assignment to Al Anbar is considered a stellar success for the Marines – but training another country’s military in a far inland desert locale remains an alien task in the 233-year history of the Corps. And Conway hopes the Marines soon will be able to return – at least in part – to a more traditional posture. “We have virtually halved our presence in the Pacific for now and a lot of those are operational units who will be rotated into Iraq,” he said. “The combatant commanders [COCOMs] in AFRICOM, SOUTHCOM, EUCOM, would like more involvement, but it is time, space, and troop availability that does not allow us
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U.S. Marine Corps photo by Cpl. Samuel D. Corum
Marine Corps Year in Review
A U.S. Marine with Regimental Combat Team 6 patrols the streets of Fallujah, Iraq, Aug. 9, 2007, while fellow Marines, Iraqi army soldiers, and Iraqi police officers distribute food to locals. Regimental Combat Team 6 was deployed with Multi-National Force-West in support of Operation Iraqi Freedom in the Al Anbar province of Iraq.
enough time at home to commit an operational unit to exercises like that or to the types of things they would like to see happening with regard to their theater engagement programs.” That pressure will be partially relieved by the Defense Deparment’s decision to grow the Corps by about 27,000 new recruits and an expanded re-enlistment program. “We were at about 22 percent [re-enlistment] on an annual basis, which is what we wanted. But to grow the force, we set an objective of about 33 percent, which was a huge jump in retention. We only got to 31 percent [in 2007], which is still a huge increase in just one year. We also changed the recruiters’ numbers three times – upward – and they went out and found them,” Conway said. The Individual Ready Reserve also is contributing to the need for additional troops, although there is a cap of 2,800 on active duty at any one time. Conway said some retired Marines also are now back in Afghanistan helping to train that nation’s army. Another 400-500 Marines are deployed to the Horn of Africa, primarily providing security for a Joint Task Force operating out of Camp Lemonier, an abandoned French Foreign Legion post in Djibouti on the Gulf of Aden just north of Somalia on Africa’s east coast.
“That’s a volatile region, overall, and a lot of [the Marine effort] is security, right at a critical choke point in what I think is a peremptory effort in this Global War on Terror,” Conway said. His goal is to use the increased personnel authorization to either reduce the amount of time deployed or increase the time between deployments. “The objective with the new numbers is to get to 1-to-2 – seven months deployed, 14 months home – which will help us get out and do more training and exercising, including routine Corps competencies, and spend more time with our families. We’ll have to use our time wisely, but we think we can go a long ways toward satisfying both those requirements,” Conway said, adding the current rotation cycle for most operational Marines in Iraq and Afghanistan is 1-to-1 – seven months deployed, seven home. “Until such time as we get that relief, I can guarantee you that seven months [home] is getting used up getting the new battalion ready to go in and face the element.” But the commandant’s goals extend beyond Marines in uniform to include vastly increased efforts for their families and to assist those who have been wounded, whether still on active duty or not. “We have relied for years in a garrison environment on spouses helping us with the requirements back home when the units are gone. That will work for awhile, but not with the kind of campaigning we are seeing now. We were
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U.S. Navy photo by Chief Mass Communication Specialist Joe Kane
Marine Corps Year in Review
An MV-22 Osprey is refueled before a night mission in central Iraq, Feb. 2, 2008.
putting about $5 million a year toward our family service programs and now have been authorized for $130 million a year as long as the need exists, as long as this long war continues and we are committed to the degree that we are,” he said. “That is good news to the families – that we recognize their contributions and their plight, and are going to tangibly do some things about it. We’ve gone out to all our bases and told them to tell us what they need to benefit their families. This isn’t new construction, but we are talking about daycare centers and bike paths and opportunities for the kids. We also are going to be using some of that money to hire family readiness officers where in the past we used civilians.” Also high on his list of Corps accomplishments in 2007 was the stand up of the Wounded Warrior Regiment in March, greatly enhancing care of the wounded by building an organization with which Marines already would be familiar. “We created a regimental headquarters at Quantico and battalion headquarters at Camp Pendleton [Calif.] and Camp Lejeune [N.C.]. The battalions have responsibility for tracking Marines on active duty; they then are in constant contact with or under the employ of that battalion. The regiment goes after those Marines who have been wounded and are no longer on active duty but still may need help,” Conway explained. “They have a 24-hour call center – more a command center, really – working to contact these people or for those Marines to call them. We’ve got visiting nurses and caregivers who seek them out on a routine basis. It
is a much better latticework of organization that these Marines are familiar with, for the most part, based on their experiences on active duty. It has really expanded even beyond our original visualization and reached out to the various agencies, public and private, that can assist our Marines.” One of the biggest structural changes for the Marine Corps was the stand up of MARSOC, which celebrated its third anniversary in February (2008). MARSOC had gotten off to a rocky start when its first deployment to Afghanistan resulted in the Marine special operators being ambushed and then accused of over-responding to the March 2007 attack. They were pulled out of theater shortly afterward and a court of inquiry convened in January 2008 to examine the incident. “We did take them out of theater sooner than we would have liked, but are now on our third deployment into theater since that event. And when I ask how MARSOC is doing there, our generals are all smiles, saying they are having a lot of engagements that are almost all one-sided,” Conway said. “The biggest lesson we learned was to ensure everyone understands the command and control procedures in place with the combined and coalition forces you’re working with,” added MARSOC Commander Maj. Gen. D.H. Hejlik. “We really shored up that portion of the training for the command element of the MSOC [Marine Special Operations Company) as they go forward, because it’s a little different when you work with coalition or combined forces, even within U.S. forces. So for the second company going out, that became part of their deployment certification exercise. And that has paid us huge benefits, not only for us but for the units they’ve worked with.”
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Among major MARSOC highlights in 2007 was the first formal assessment and selection of 43 new candidates who entered special operator training. “We also activated the schoolhouse – the Marine Special Operations School – which, in ‘07, probably was one of our top accomplishments, with the greatest impact on our next 10 years or so. They are responsible for assessment and selection, doctrine and policy, and have started standing up our individual training course, which will be operational in October 2008,” he said. “Our strength right now is about 70 percent, which is right on our build plan to be fully operationally capable in October.” Despite its small size, MARSOC was exceptionally busy during 2007, with three deployments to SOUTHCOM (Latin America), three to EUCOM (Europe and Africa), 10 to CENTCOM (Southwest Asia and Africa), and two to PACOM (Pacific). Those represent about a 50 percent increase from 2006, but far less than what is expected for 2008. “Those are all advisor-group teams, who have been deployed pretty heavily, but their workload will almost triple in 2008,” Hejlik said. “They do
foreign internal defense, joint-combined exercises training, some counternarcotics training – those are the big ones – and work with Special Forces or special-type units in the host countries. “MARSOC right now is exactly where we want to be, filling a demand on the battlefield, working toward a non-conventional warfare capability. In the next five years, we want MARSOC to have a persistent, consistent engagement throughout the geographic COCOMs [GCCs]. That’s crucial because it is all Phase Zero-type operations – shaping the environment, making sure [host nation] military and police forces, their socioeconomic, political and diplomatic development allow them to stand on their own. We bring that to the battlefield.” While the first 10 Ospreys were deployed to combat, rather than to Africa or aboard ship with a Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), Conway said multiple assignments are in its future. “We had logged tens of thousands of safe hours in the aircraft and felt it was time for it to prove itself. And that deployment is going very, very well.
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communications Specialist 3rd Class Marcos T. Hernandez
Marine Combat Training Class 07-07 students prepare for a midmorning patrol on Camp Pendleton, Calif., Dec. 2, 2006. The three-week-long course teaches non-infantry Marines the basic skills and knowledge necessary to be effective in combat. “Every Marine a Rifleman” remains a Marine Corps ethos.
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Marine Corps Year in Review
We’ve learned some lessons, including a couple of small parts that wore out more quickly in that environment than our desert testing here had indicated, but that was fixed,” he said. “We expect to see another squadron on a second deployment into Iraq, but we also need to get some aboard ship for six or seven months. We need to start expanding their use. We don’t know where the third deployment will go, but it needs to keep earning its place in our inventory.” Conway and his senior air staff also attended the 2007 rollout of the first short takeoff/vertical landing (STOVL) variant of the new F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, which was designed primarily for the Marines but also will be deployed by some of the program’s international partners. It will replace the Corps’ aging AV-8B Harrier jumpjets and F/A-18 fighters. While a third carrier variant – the F-35C – will be built for the Navy, the two tightly linked services have been at odds over putting the STOVL F-35B on board carriers, with the Navy citing its different operational and maintenance needs. “We have been working that out with the Navy and exactly how that ought to be done. We had some of the same objections when we brought the Harrier online, but people soon were raving about the fast deck-cycle times because you could launch and recover downwind or upwind,” the commandant said. “We think the F-35B will integrate very nicely. What we’ve arrived at is not trying to anticipate what it will look like, but put one aboard ship and see; that’s the best way to determine what the difficulties might be. If it is something simple, like a little more metal in the blast deflector, I think we’ll work those out.” The Corps also will have fewer of the multipurpose aircraft than its current inventory of Harriers and F/A-18s, but Conway said he expects little change in air/ground task force CONOPS because the F-35B also will be more capable than either of those. Three other new Marine aircraft also are joining the fight. Conway said the C-130J Hercules Tactical Transport Aircraft began seeing increased service during 2007 and is doing even better than expected in theater operations. And the Shadow unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) has replaced the old Pioneer UAV as the Marines’ primary surveillance and reconnaissance platform. “We’re also starting to see the four-bladed Cobra/Huey [attack helicopters] come online now. A total of 10, combined types, are now in service and the operators say it is a more capable aircraft and has fewer issues than expected. We need that additional power in the case of the Huey and the additional speed in the case of the Cobra,” he says. “They are planned as onefor-one replacements. We’ll build three more HMLA [Marine light/attack helicopter] squadrons, in which the Cobra is irreplaceable in a COIN [counter-insurgency] environment. And even those will be used hard and put away wet.” The Marines also received a far less complex, but perhaps no less important, addition to their ground arsenal in 2007. “An urgent-needs statement item that has finally gotten into theater in large numbers is a laser dazzler, which temporarily blinds the driver of an oncoming vehicle,” Conway said. “That driver will either stop and cover his eyes or come at you, in which case he is not intending anything good. So we have seen a fairly remarkable reduction in escalation-of-force incidents since the dazzlers have gotten into theater and started being used at our checkpoints.” And while Conway is looking forward to even more new technologies to help his combat units – from walking robots to help carry gear to a new extended-range landing craft to the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle that will replace the HMMWV (with much less weight than an MRAP) – he also remains concerned about getting the Corps back to its roots without losing the new mission capabilities it has gained. “As long as we are fighting this long war, we need to be there, in some form or fashion. The things we have evolved to that make us one of the world’s best counter-insurgency forces are things like paying more attention to the culture, who are the decision makers wherever we might go, what key languages are required. We have a lot of experimentation taking place to come up with things that will help accomplish the mission,” he said. “But in this static environment, in a counter-insurgency scenario, we are out of character right now with regard to the structure of our Corps. Growing is necessary and absolutely the right thing to do until we see our way through this thing. But in adding the weight associated with the MRAP and battalions with tens of vehicles where they had a handful before to get the job done, we quickly are outdistancing our capability as a lean, hard-hitting force. So we have people looking at what we need to take advantage of available transport and hit hard.”
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Navy
Year in Review By Norman Friedman
W
hen Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Adm. Michael G. Mullen was promoted in September 2007 to chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, some suggested that he was attractive because of his advocacy of the “thousand-ship navy,” a maritime community of interest embracing all friendly navies. The admiral’s argument has been that all maritime powers share a common interest in maintaining the safety and freedom of the seas, because sea-based trade is the lifeblood of the world economy. This argument also is made in the new U.S. Navy–Marine Corps–Coast Guard maritime strategy document. Mullen’s successor as CNO is Adm. Gary Roughead. The new maritime strategy published this year is particularly important because it reminds decision-makers that the largely invisible sea is the basis for prosperity (which makes for a stable and peaceful world) and also for U.S. national mobility to engage in overseas trouble spots. Without sea power, U.S. engagement abroad will always require the consent of neighboring countries. With sea power, we can engage without local consent. This connection is not obvious outside navies. It becomes vital for the United States to make the importance of the sea and the potential of sea power clear in a largely non-naval-oriented world. The new strategy paper was needed because the United States is engaging in a new kind of war. In effect, it feeds into discussions of what U.S. national strategy should be. The national strategy argument is that the current problems of instability and terrorism are traceable to social and economic misery which can be relieved only through growing prosperity – that means through growing trade, much of it seaborne. Implications include the need for a strong international anti-piracy effort. What can the United States offer to a maritime coalition of the willing? Besides the obvious offers of advanced technology, perhaps the most valuable item is information –
ocean surveillance. No country in the world has the number of ships needed to patrol the seas. To a surprising extent, ocean surveillance can substitute for patrol operations, if it is backed by forces capable of reacting quickly. The U.S. Coast Guard’s Project Deepwater is designed around exactly this idea. Mullen’s initiative suggests that something like the Project Deepwater surveillance system can be extended and offered to friendly navies. One issue does have to be resolved. Much surveillance is done passively on the basis of electronic intercepts. That this is done is not particularly secret, but the means of interpreting what is picked up, and even the precision of what is picked up, certainly are very secret. How much of what is deduced form such sources should be spread to other navies? The U.S. government has been wrestling with this sort of question for some years. For the U.S. Navy, perhaps the most important event in 2007 was the selection of a contractor (Northrop Grumman) for the demonstration phase of the UCAS-D (Unmanned Combat Air System-Demonstrator) program. UCAS-D is a carrier-borne unmanned aircraft, and the program includes carrier landings and takeoffs and aerial refueling. It is significant because such aircraft, and armed unmanned craft in general, can transform the fleet. No other technology offers such significant change – if it works. How important UCAS-D is to carriers depends on how the carriers’ role is viewed. From a strike point of view, the carrier and the aircraft are a way to deliver ordnance onto a target, just as, say, a cruiser armed with Tomahawk cruise missiles is. One difference is that the aircraft return to attack again, whereas the missile expends its airframe and its guidance system each time it is launched. That is why a carrier can devote a much higher percentage of its displacement to warheads than can a missile cruiser. Another difference is that it is infinitely easier to replenish air weapons at sea than to replenish missiles that
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Navy Year in Review
An artists’ conception from Northrop Grumman of an operational unmanned combat air system modeled on UCAS-D.
go into vertical launch tubes. The question, which the test program should help answer, is how important is the pilot? Can some or many missions be performed by an unmanned vehicle? How autonomous can or should such a vehicle be? Should it, for example, seek out targets? It cannot have anything like the intelligence of a real pilot. Can a distant operator be relied upon to choose targets, which the vehicle then attacks? To what extent can the vehicle participate in fighter operations? Should it? The new CVN21-class carrier (Gerald Ford, CVN 78) is sometimes described as having been specially adapted to UCAS operation with a rearranged flight deck (also described as making for faster turn-around). One perhaps unexpected issue in UCAS development has been flight-deck movement; much currently depends on the reactions of the pilot sitting in the cockpit. How well can a machine be adapted to the current cues? Should carriers operate with UCAS or with manned aircraft, so that alternative means of directing such aircraft around the flight deck be used? It may
be that UCAS require somewhat more deck space per aircraft, and even somewhat more deck personnel (but of course no pilots, who are much more expensive). With the demise of the carrier John F. Kennedy this year, the only remaining U.S. non-nuclear carrier is the older Kitty Hawk, home-ported in Japan. For years it was argued that, given the Japanese “nuclear allergy,” no nuclear carrier could be based there. Soon there will be no choice. Given the considerable size of the Japanese domestic nuclear power industry, that may be less of a problem than has been imagined. The first replacement LHA, LHA 6, was ordered this year for completion in 2012. Her design reflects the Marines’ view that future amphibious ships must be able to support strike aircraft as well as helicopters. Plans initially called for a “dual-tramway” ship with separate runways, in effect, for STOVL aircraft and for helicopters, but the Forrestal-size ship involved was rejected as unaffordable. Instead, LHA 6 has an enlarged flight deck that
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can accomodate up to 23 STOVL F-35 Joint Strike Fighters or 42 medium helicopters. Like the most recent LHD, USS Makin Island, she is to have gas turbine rather than steam turbine propulsion, with electric drive. Unlike previous LHAs and LHDs, she has no well deck; presumably aircraft maintenance and magazines require that volume. Although the ship emphatically is not a small aircraft carrier, her considerable fighter capacity (the F-35 is much larger than the Harrier the Marines currently operate from their large-deck amphibious ships) offers a potential for air operations in moderaterisk areas, albeit at a far lower mission rate than
a full carrier. Compared to a full aircraft carrier, the most glaring limit on such a ship is the lack of airborne early warning. For some years a proposal for an airborne early warning derivative of the Marines’ MV-22 Osprey has been floated by BAE. At the other end of the scale, there is interest in placing ultra-lightweight torpedoes on board unmanned helicopters, and also in arming unmanned surface vehicles. In both cases, the impetus is the same. The Navy cannot build enough ships to cover wide areas. Somehow it has to enlarge the footprints of the ships it has. The
Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) program, which is now in considerable trouble, was partly an attempt to do just that. From the first, the issue was numbers. Littoral waters are difficult largely because shipboard sensors, particularly sonars, cannot see very far in them. The classic solution was to multiply the number of ships. Hence, for example, the vast number of destroyers and escorts the U.S. Navy deployed during World War II. One motive for the LCS program was to use unmanned vehicles to deploy nets of remote sensors in any littoral area in which the U.S. fleet might plan to operate. Like their forebears, these sensors would have short ranges. However, because each sensor was not tied to a particular ship, there could be many more sensors than ships. An LCS would deploy the unmanned sensor-distribution craft, and it would monitor the product of the sensors to create a tactical picture. The picture would be so good that weapons, like the ultra-lightweight torpedo, could be delivered nearly on top of potential targets. Similarly, submarines can deploy unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) that act as force multipliers by greatly enlarging the area the submarine controls or monitors. For example, one might imagine using a submarine for covert minefield reconnaissance using her onboard sonar. Quite aside from how hazardous that would be, the submarine could cover only a very limited area. Outfitting the submarine with one or more UUVs makes it possible for her to cover a far wider area. That is aside from the practicality of the matter: the submarine could not safely penetrate a potential minefield to investigate it, but the small UUV certainly can. Successes in UUV operations have led the U.S. Navy to enlarge its program considerably during the past few years. LCS is in trouble because its origins extended beyond the unmanned vehicle idea. The U.S. Navy pointed out that the September 11 attacks against the United States in effect invalidated the existing national strategy, which was to concentrate force to deal with a single major war. Such concentration justified building more and more sophisticated ships, since large numbers
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Susan Cornell
Sailors take their final walk down the bow of USS John F. Kennedy (CV 67) during the ship’s decommissioning ceremony. Kennedy served its country with more than 38 years of service and 18 official deployments. The decommissioning leaves Kitty Hawk as the last U.S. Navy conventionally powered aircraft carrier.
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were not needed. At the end of the Cold War, the U.S. Navy consciously gave up numerous more or less modern surface warships in hopes of buying next-generation replacements, which would cost much less to operate. This hope produced the current Zumwalt-class destroyer (DDG-1000) – which is probably far too expensive to buy in anything remotely like the requisite numbers. In 2001, LCS was being advertised as a less expensive alternative to the huge destroyer. However, at that time it was really an undefined ship, intended to benefit from the transformational ideas that had been advanced by the late Adm. Arthur Cebrowski. As a former naval aviator, the admiral had favored small, very fast ships, perhaps modelled on trans-Atlantic racing yachts, which he called Streetfighters. He imagined them dominating littoral areas the way that fighter aircraft dominated the skies. Many naval officers found such ideas appalling, so they offered an alternative in the form of a frigate-sized ship: LCS. Such ships performed well in war games, but in 2001, the idea was largely unformed. Ironically, by this time Cebrowski, who had moved to become head of the Office of Force Transformation, was far less impressed by the value of speed in warships. In the Navy’s view, the September 11 attacks showed that the United States might well face several regional explosions more or less simultaneously. Instead of a very few forward-deployed forces, it had to be able to deploy numerous naval strike forces at much the same time. The fleet badly needed to grow. Since there was no way to buy many more carriers or large amphibious ships, any growth had to be in the form of surface combatants. The only even remotely
affordable ship on offer was the undefined LCS. A plan endorsed at the top of the Defense Department called for up to 70 such ships. This plan led to current naval interest in a 313-ship fleet. In the Navy’s view, numbers were needed now, not when a sophisticated study showed what LCS should be. Cebrowski’s earlier enthusiasm for speed ignited the naval staff. Yet at the same time, it was obvious that any new surface combatant would have to replace multiple classes of more specialized ships, such as minecraft and patrol craft. It would have to cross oceans to reach littoral areas, because the United States could not afford the sort of fleet train it had used in the past to maintain small combatants in forward areas. Thus LCS would have to do its multiple jobs with modular (replaceable) combat systems employing unmanned vehicles. It would be more like a small aircraft carrier (albeit not of aircraft) than the sort of fast missile boat that many imagined. That was the rub: Experience has shown that the best carriers are large, because it is best to mix and match aircraft as needed. Worse, LCS would be equipped with modules that did not exist at the time that a hull was conceived. This kind of concurrent development has always had horrific consequences in the past. This time it seems to be much the same. Two alternative LCS designs were chosen, both characterized more by their speed than by the internal volume needed for their modules (they did have innovative plug-and-play combat systems allowing them to wield alternative modules). Freedom (LCS 1) is a semi-planing hull by Lockheed Martin, based on a trans-Atlantic racing hull. Independence (LCS 2) is General Dynamics’ trimaran. At first, the Navy planned a swim-off to choose a single design. Then, in hopes of moving the program
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Navy Year in Review
faster, it was said that both designs would go into production, squadrons of each type being built. Critics observed that logistical problems might be devastating, since the two designs have little in common. Under current procurement practice, which differs radically from that of the past, the contractor selects not only the hull form, but also whatever goes inside it, so that there are fewer and fewer standard naval systems. From the first, however, the real definition of LCS had been the unit cost needed to make mass production practicable: less than $250 million per hull. Anyone familiar with high-speed warships of the past, such as the U.S. missile hydrofoils, knows that such ships are never inexpensive. This year the current U.S. naval leadership was forced to relearn that lesson. At the beginning of the year, 55 LCS were planned, and the expected unit cost was $220 million. Reported cost overrun on Freedom was 86 percent (total $410 million); a second ship was cancelled. A cost review of Independence, which was not as far advanced, was under way; in March, her cost overrun was estimated at 50 percent (total $331 million). Secretary of the Navy Donald M. Winter lectured the builders and demanded more efficient practices. However, the problem is more likely that too much was demanded within a price set not by capability but by desired numbers; the Navy was unwilling to tailor requirements to what it could spend. Hungry builders were too willing to promise what could not be delivered. This is not exactly a new problem. During the 1970s, builders who had to make late changes to meet Navy requirements demanded payments, and the mess was solved only during the Reagan administration, by Secretary of the Navy John Lehman. It alerted him to the need to limit changes (which he successfully met by creative changes in administration). The builder was fortunate that the technology he was buying was stabilized well enough that prices could be predicted, and that he was buying enough ships that the yards could predict their own costs. Now the yards are building far less, so overhead is a much greater factor in their costs. The LCS disaster also reflects a profound change in the way ships are being bought. As noted, the contractor now chooses all the sub-systems in the ship. He is far more exposed to unpleasant cost surprises, because far less of the ship is government-furnished (i.e., standard) equipment. LCS required a revolutionary plugand-play, combat-direction system, and it cannot have helped that most of its other systems, such as the spaces for the modules, were ill-defined at design time.
LCS1 USS Freedom, fitting out at Marinette Marine Corp. Both LCS designs have experienced delays and cost overruns as contractors have tried to come to grips with this new type of vessel.
The only really developed module for LCS is for mine countermeasures; it passed its tests this year. However, the ship’s role – which means the sorts of modules needed – is unclear at best. Given its size, it will probably be needed for antisubmarine warfare (ASW). Although the shallow-water ASW module seems to be proceeding well, it is not so
clear how a ship without an integrated sonar can navigate blue-water ASW. Nor is it clear how the ship will conduct the maritime interdiction task, which is now a vital part of the Global War of Terrorism (and which will probably also be vital in the attempt to restrain the spread of weapons of mass destruction, many components of which
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Navy Year in Review
go by sea). Another problem is that LCS was specifically banned from involvement in a vital offshore role, supporting troops. That was done to protect the new Zumwalt-class destroyer, whose main stated role is shore bombardment. Thus the only planned surface-to-surface armament of the LCS is a 57 mm gun and the Net Missile, a system conceived for the Army (it directs small missiles to targets defined by a tactical picture which, in the Army version, is obtained using a loitering missile). Congress has authorized two more LCS, but they have not been ordered due to cost problems. Navy plans call for three more in 2008 and six per year beginning in 2009. As of March 2007, the projected unit cost was $303 million, which senior congressmen were warning was unsustainable. After LCS 3 was cancelled, plans were scaled back to provide eight rather than 15 ships by 2010. Money programmed for the two 2007 ships duplicating the prototypes (LCS 3 and 4) was reallocated to the two prototypes. The prototypes are now considered Flight 0. Instead of placing both designs in production, the Navy announced in April that it would combine elements of both designs to create the production Flight 1 version, which would begin with the FY10 program. Numbers planned for FY08 and FY09 were to be cut. Deputy Defense Secretary Gordon England directed the Navy to seek funds for two (rather than six) LCS in 2009, three (rather than six) in 2010 and 2011, and four (rather than six) in 2012; one would be added in 2013 (for a total of six). With these changes, the 55-ship class would be completed in 2019 rather than 2016. Congress demanded that a Flight 1 design be selected in 2008, but critics suggest that this is too soon; there will not have been nearly enough experience with either prototype. In the fall of 2007, the Senate zeroed the program altogether, and the House voted to cut the FY08 program to a single ship. Attempts to save the program included a cut in mission modules from 110 (two alternatives per hull) to 64. This deep cut, however, seems to negate the argument that a limited number of LCS can replace larger numbers of more specialized units. Because the only module now available is the mine countermeasures one, skeptics may come to see LCS as little more than an exotic stand-off minehunter – a role that the U.S. Navy has historically underfunded. Some may argue that the module can be deployed more efficiently from other types of ship, such as large amphibious units with well decks. It is even possible that LCS itself may die while the modules and their unmanned vehicles thrive. After all, when naval aviation (which may be analogous) began, airplanes flew exclusively from battleships and cruisers. Aviators tried submarines and even destroyers. The failure of these platforms did not kill naval aviation, because it was obvious that the airplanes were the point, not the ships from which they flew. It took time to develop the right platform for those aircraft – and it may take time to develop the right platform for the new modules. Thus the Navy drew closer to the swim-off idea, but the hope of quickly producing large numbers of LCS faded. That is unfortunate, because the only existing combatants that can do some of the jobs envisaged for the LCS are being discarded: special-purpose minecraft and Perry-class frigates (whose air defense weapons have now been removed). Last fall the last four Osprey-class coastal mine hunters were decommissioned, leaving 14 Avenger-class ocean mine hunters.
Meanwhile the projected cost of the big destroyer, conceived before the need for large numbers became obvious, continued to grow. Despite congressional action allocating production to both potential surface-combatant builders, it is by no means clear that the new destroyer will ever be built, or at least will ever go beyond the two prototypes. Navy interest is shifting toward the next-generation missile cruiser, CG(X), which may be nuclear powered. CG(X) is important, because the Navy may be concentrating more on the ballistic missile defense role. Plans initially called for CG(X) to be based on the new destroyer, with more missiles and without the destroyer’s shore-bombardment gun. Reportedly, the Navy is less than enthusiastic about the tumble-home hull form chosen to keep down the radar cross-section of the destroyer. For example, it was claimed that in rough seas it would avoid capsizing only if its active stabilization system continued to work. The structure of the Zumwalt contract would make it very expensive to demand a new hull form at so late a date. Limiting the number of such ships would offer a way of switching to a more traditional hull form in CG(X). One argument for the switch would be that the degree of stealth sought in the destroyer is unlikely to be available as radar signal processing continues to improve. That is, stealth shaping in effect reduces the value of signal processing and so hides a ship, but better computers can recapture what stealth takes away. Because the ship’s stealth depends on her shape, which cannot change once she has been completed, the signal processors are likely to win this battle. Moreover, it is far less expensive to upgrade a radar in an airplane or a missile than to rebuild a ship. Problems with the new destroyer have led to repeated proposals, thus far unsuccessful, to cancel it in favor of further construction of Arleigh-Burke class destroyers. They would be inherently less stealthy than a Zumwalt, but that may not be as important as had been imagined. The Burke hull could be modified to accomodate some of the new technology conceived for the new destroyer, such as its new volume-search radar. Changing a few elements at a time rather than buying many innovative systems at the same time might make it easier to control costs. It must seem ironic that the rationale for the Zumwalt design was that unit cost of destroyers had to be cut below that of the Burke class in order to maintain the size of the U.S. surface fleet. Some increase in building cost was considered acceptable if operating cost was drastically reduced. Now it seems that neither goal will be met. Originally the new destroyer was seen as a direct replacement for the Spruance class, at a unit cost of about $750 million. When characteristics were firmed up, unit cost was estimated at $1.7 billion. Now the unit estimate is $4.2 billion, and most of the rise is blamed on demands for cutting-edge capabilities. It did not help that the Navy, following Defense Department guidance, abandoned its classic practice of conducting a preliminary or feasibility design to establish what the requirements it wrote would mean in a real ship. Had it done so, the sticker shock the new destroyer has occasioned would have been foreseen, and requirements probably cut back to make the ship affordable. Now that the design itself was done entirely under contract, changes – even reductions in requirements – are very expensive. Perhaps the new procurement technique was not particularly wise. The advantage of the preliminary design was that the effects of trade-offs could be estimated before any contract
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Navy Year in Review
was signed, hence before changes had to be paid for. At one time, the Navy used this method for both ships and aircraft. Once a set of requirements had proven feasible, it could go to contractors to show their ingenuity in meeting or exceeding them within a reasonable price. That is the opposite of what happened this time. This process might also, incidentally, have avoided some of the problems currently faced by the LCS program, because it would have made for a far more realistic idea of what was actually being asked. Cost escalation is painful because the ongoing war in Afghanistan and Iraq has proven far more expensive than any had imagined. From an economic point of view, the U.S. government has chosen the Vietnam War rather than the Korean War or World War II model: It has not sold war bonds or raised taxes. Instead, it has relied on deficit financing. To minimize that, it has tried to limit military spending (though that may not be obvious to citizens who have seen the military budget expand). All three services have found themselves badly squeezed, particularly since they have tried to preserve programs needed to fight other kinds of wars. They may remember the way in which Vietnam sapped U.S. strength needed for the confrontation against the Soviets. The current equivalent would be forces needed to face large potential regional enemies like Iran and China. Both the Navy and the Air Force operate large fleets of increasingly elderly aircraft. Replacements may come later than expected. For example, the Joint Strike Fighter, which is extremely important to the Navy and to the Marines (and to many allies) will probably be deferred. The longer it is deferred, the better the chance that some of its missions will be taken over by unmanned aircraft. Although combat in both Afghanistan and Iraq is largely non-naval, naval forces are engaged in both places. U.S. Navy P-3C Orion patrol aircraft have proven extremely valuable as sensor platforms reporting to ground troops, so they have been used far more heavily than in the past, sometimes flying as much as four times the usual number of hours. Their structures were never designed to take that sort of beating. Much of the Orion fleet had to be grounded when large cracks were found in wing spars. It became clear that it would take several months to cure the problem. The P-3C is out of production, so new aircraft cannot be bought. Its successor P-8A (a modified Boeing 737) is several years away from production, and its schedule probably cannot easily be accelerated. Conventional naval contributions to the war in Iraq are the new naval riverine force and the international Arabian Sea blocking force, the latter interdicting the flow of Al Qaeda and Taliban personnel and arms from Pakistan. The new riverine squadrons replace a small U.S. Marine river force in Iraq. Riverine Squadron 1 (Rivron 1) completed its unit training in January, to be followed by two others. In fact, the navy’s contribution is considerably greater, because naval personnel are regularly rotated to Afghanistan and to Iraq, both at the unit level (for aircraft) and at the individual level, to replace Army, Air Force, and Marine personnel. This contrasts with the Vietnam War, in which only the Pacific Fleet was engaged. The reason then was that forces in the Atlantic and in the Mediterranean were needed to face down the Soviets: Vietnam was part of, not separate from, the larger Cold War. This time there seems not to be any simultaneous war, hot or cold, to hold down other U.S. forces. However, as the Navy pointed out after September 11, there really are numerous threats that can explode into warfare. One possibility is that Al Qaeda or its friends will establish a presence elsewhere, perhaps in Africa or even in South America. Al Qaeda-like organizations already thrive in parts of Southeast Asia, which is why U.S. forces have been fighting alongside Filipinos. Readers of the literature about terrorism will remember plots hatched against Americans in places like Manila. Thus there is always a real possibility that U.S. naval forces will find themselves engaged outside the Middle East. This is apart from the usual threats, such as Iran. The personnel situation is difficult because sailors account for a large and growing part of a naval budget, which almost certainly cannot continue to grow. Much of the rationale for the Zumwalt and LCS classes was that they could be operated by significantly smaller crews. Much the same applies to the new San Antonio-class and the new carrier, with its more manpower-efficient nuclear powerplant. However, manpower costs keep rising. Shedding 37,000 sailors in 2007 saved virtually no money, because salaries and health care costs rose.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Army Rangers with the 75th Ranger Regiment participate in a mass tactical airborne operation at Fryar Drop Zone, Fort Benning, Ga., for the opening event of Ranger Rendezvous 2007. Ranger Rendezvous occurs every two years to coincide with the regimental change of command and allows the Rangers to gather at one location to celebrate past achievements and build esprit de corps.
Photo by Staff Sgt. Jason B. Baker, USASOC PAO
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SPECIAL OPERATIONS YEAR IN REVIEW
The Year in
Special Operations 2007 By John D. Gresham
USSOCOM is uniquely qualified to lead the GWOT for the Department of Defense (DoD). The types of missions and capabilities mandated by Congress for USSOCOM enable the unconventional, irregular, and adaptive actions that are best suited to engage the global asymmetric threat of terrorist organizations. USSOCOM is synchronizing DoD’s GWOT efforts, aggressively collaborating with other government agencies and our international partners to build a global network to combat terrorism. SOCOM 2007 Posture Statement
2007
has been another busy year for America’s Special Operation Force (SOF) professionals, with a renewed mission focus thanks to the “surge” in Iraq and the growing NATO effort in Afghanistan. Fully engaged and deployed worldwide, America’s SOF warriors have been in the lead of the emerging security situation in both Afghanistan and Iraq, though not without cost. Part of the price of being at the front of the line is taking the first enemy return fire, and being the targets of more attention than those following. That has meant casualties, in a community where every wound and loss is felt throughout, and is an expensive strategic loss to the nation. Nevertheless, 2007 has been both productive and interesting.
Leadership: Passing the Baton One of the most valued qualities about the American SOF community since September 11 has been the stability of its leadership, both at U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM), and its various subordinate component commands. Despite fighting multiple battles around the world, undergoing complete transformation of their organizations and training, and weathering six years of time passing, the SOF community has been able to offer U.S. political leaders competent and consistent commanders and staffs to fight the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT).
That said, 2007 saw significant changes in SOF top commanders, which will have long-term effects in both the community and the prosecution of the GWOT. At the top of the ladder is the job of commander in chief of SOCOM, which this year changed hand from Gen. Bryan “Doug” Brown, who handed the job to his able deputy, Navy Adm. Eric Olsen. Olsen is the first SEAL and Naval Special Warfare Command (NAVSPECWARCOM) professional to ascend to four-star rank, and brings years of operational experience to the job of running SOCOM. In commenting on Olsen at their change-of-command ceremony in July, Brown said: “As we leave this stage, a new commander will be at the reigns of ‘the world’s gold standard for Special Ops,’ and he is the right guy. I have marveled at his intellect, his insight, his vision, his hard work, his patience, his courage to make the hard decision, and his understanding of all the parts of SOF. He is a wonderful joint SOF operator who also happens to be a SEAL.” Along with Olsen’s ascension to command of SOCOM, there were other significant leadership changes in the American SOF community. Army Lt. Gen. Frank Kearney moved up to be Olsen’s deputy commander at SOCOM. Previously, Kearney had been the SOF component commander at U.S. Central Command, where another well-known SOF warrior, Army Brig. Gen. John Mulholland replaced him. Then in October, the Honorable Michael Vickers took over duties as the assistant secretary of defense for Special Operations and Low Intensity Conflict.
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U.S. Air Force photo by Staff Sgt. Markus Maier
SPECIAL OPERATIONS YEAR IN REVIEW
The largest Air Force CV-22 Osprey formation to date lifts off from a Kirtland Air Force Base taxiway May 1. The formation consisted of four Ospreys, three from Kirtland and one from the 8th Special Operations Squadron, Hurlburt Field, Fla. The Osprey is operated both by AFSOC and the Marine Corps.
Vickers is a former Army Special Forces (SF) soldier and CIA operations officer, and brings more than three decades of SOF, intelligence, and DoD experience to his new position. Down at SOCOM’s component commands, there also were changes. At NAVSPECWARCOM in San Diego, Rear Adm. Joseph McGuire, USN, handed over command to Navy Rear Adm. Joseph D. Kernan. Command at Air Force Special Operations Command also changed hands, with Lt. Gen. Donald C. Wurster, USAF, taking over from Air Force Lt. Gen. Michael W. Wooley. Finally, Army Lt. Gen. William “Gerry” Boykin, a living SOF legend, retired in a quiet ceremony at Fort Bragg, N.C., in June.
Growing the Community One benefit of the early successes in the GWOT by the SOF community has been the growing trust of the national leadership in their abilities to accomplish tasks, and to do so with discretion and reliability. With such trust has come the desire to expand SOCOM, both in terms of manpower and equipment, and to grow the total number of units the command has to offer to unified commanders out in the field. This requirement became formalized in the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), and is encompassed in the SOCOM 2007 Posture Statement.
This planned growth is planned for completion by 2013, and includes: • Increasing the number of U.S. Army Special Forces (SF) soldiers, by adding an additional battalion to each of the five active-duty SF Groups. • Raising the strength of the three battalions of the 75th Ranger Regiment from three to four companies, along with increasing the fire support and reconnaissance resources of Ranger units. • Growing the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (SOAR) with additional personnel, particularly aircrew. • Standing up an additional U.S. Army Special Operations Command support and sustainment battalion, along with growing the pool of activeduty Civil Affairs (CA) and Psychological Warfare Operations (PSYOPS) soldiers. • Improving the NAVSPECWARCOM recruiting and training pipeline, so that the total-end strength of the SEAL teams will increase by 20 percent, and the supporting boat and delivery vehicle teams by 13 percent. • Increasing the size of the Air Force Special Operations Command (AFSOC) with additional combat controller and para-rescue forces, along with formation of the new 27th Special Operations Wing (SOW). • Standing up an AFSOC Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) squadron of 24 armed MQ-1 Predators at Creech AFB, Nev., along with a new intelligence squadron to process and distribute the data collected. There are
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Navy photo
A Navy file photo of SEAL Lt. Michael P. Murphy, from Patchogue, N.Y., (left) and Sonar Technician (Surface) 2nd Class Matthew G. Axelson, of Cupertino, Calif., taken in Afghanistan. Both were assigned to SEAL Delivery Vehicle Team 1, Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Murphy and Axelson were killed by enemy forces during a reconnaissance mission, Operation Red Wing, June 28, 2005. They were part of a four-man team tasked with finding a key Taliban leader in the mountainous terrain near Asadabad, Afghanistan, when they came under fire from a much larger enemy force with superior tactical position. Murphy became a posthumous recipient of the Medal of Honor for his heroic actions during the battle.
also studies being conducted to possibly equip the squadron with the larger armed MQ-9 Reaper UAV. • Procuring and issuing of large numbers of small to midsized UAVs, across all elements of deployed SOCOM units around the world. SOCOM has also provided liaison teams to support conventional force UAV system teams to support SOF operations in the field. • Completing the standup of the Marine Corps Forces Special Operations Command (MARSOC), especially with regard to facilities construction and support operations. • Continuing expansion and improvements to the Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) at Hurlburt Field, Fla. Created in 2000, JSOU was created to meet the unique SOF educational needs of special operators and non-SOF national security decision-makers. This growth, while large by historic SOF standards, is occurring over enough time to recruit, select, train, and equip the kinds and quality of people to maintain the high standards of the various SOF component communities. As summarized by Brown in congressional testimony early in 2007: “Assessment and selection is the critical initial process by which candidates with the necessary aptitude and attitude are identified for entry into the Special Operations community and is a common starting point for
SOF warriors. A relative few possess the essential combination of maturity, unfailing character, mental agility, physical strength, and endless internal drive necessary for selection and future success.” Along with growing SOCOM, there also are some major changes and drawdowns occurring as part of the QDR. AFSOC has begun to stand down its MH-53 Pave Low helicopter units, making way for the new CV-22 Ospreyequipped squadrons. In addition, USASOC has transferred its reserve CA and PSYOPS units to the Army Reserve Command, while retaining their schoolhouse and active-duty formations.
New Tools Along with changes to its unit and personnel bases, SOCOM has also been actively procuring a number of weapons and other systems to support the mission of the command. Some of these are SOF-specific, and are being procured under SOCOM’s unique Title 10 funding provisions. Some of the more notable SOCOM achievements this year include: • Rearming AFSOC’s fleet of AC-130U Spectre gunships with Mk 44 30mm cannon, by replacing the existing 25mm GAU-12 and 40mm Bofors guns. AFSOC is also looking at arming their gunships with small laser-guided
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Johansen Laurel Photo by Lance Cpl. Joseph R. Stahlman
Above: Iraqi special operations forces, advised by U.S. Special Forces, finish clearing a house during a combat operation to detain suspected terrorist leaders of an insurgent force in Baghdad, Iraq, Aug. 13, 2007. Left: Maj. Alfredo DuBois, then-commanding officer of Marine Special Operations Support Group, and a Gallup, N.M., native, salutes the newly established MSOSG colors during an activation ceremony at the William Pendleton Thompson Hill Parade Field at Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune, N.C.
Viper Strike munitions, based on the Brilliant Anti-armor Technology submunition used in the Army Tactical Missile System. • Vastly expanding SOCOM’s adoption and operational use of UAVs, from an AFSOC squadron of 24 armed MQ-1 Predators, to hundreds of man-portable systems like the MQ-11B Raven. SOCOM has also invested in SOF-specific UAV payloads, which can be “piggybacked” onto existing conventional force UAV systems to support operators “downrange.” • Maturing the CV-22 SOF tilt-rotor transport aircraft, with the Osprey schoolhouse at Kirtland AFB, N.M., fully on line, and production aircraft being delivered to operational squadrons. • Modernization of the Army’s SOF helicopter fleet to a common cockpit configuration, and modernizing the Chinook force to a single model (MH-47G) across the entire 160th SOAR. • Completion of the last of four conversions of Ohio-class (SSBN 726) ballistic-missile submarines, to cruise missile/SOF boats. These submarines, among the quietest ever built, can carry
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SPECIAL OPERATIONS YEAR IN REVIEW
up to 154 BGM-109 Tomahawk cruise missiles, and berth 66 SOF personnel (SEALs, SF, etc.). They can also carry Dry Deck Shelters (DDSs), SEAL Delivery Vehicles (SDVs), or the Advanced SEAL Delivery System. Along with the above material acquisitions, AFSOC also took over a new base/range complex, at Cannon AFB, N.M., in October from Air Combat Command. AFSOC then stood up a new Special Operations Wing, the 27th, which will eventually have almost 100 aircraft assigned. These will be MC-130 Combat Talon/Spear tanker/transport aircraft, along with AC-130 Spectre gunships and the new CV-22 Osprey.
Achievements While SOCOM’s operations must, by necessity, be kept discreet and/or clandestine, there were a number of operational achievements that the various component commands can be pleased with. The largest commitment of SOCOM units and personnel went into Iraq, where they have been supporting the troop “surge” since early 2007. SOCOM forces have been at the forefront of the recent successes in Al Anbar, Baghdad, Karbala, and Diyala, and are integrating well with Gen. David Petreaus’ plans and personnel. Similarly, after a hard fall in 2006 facing down a resurgent Taliban using vast numbers of IEDs, SOCOM units supporting the NATO forces in Afghanistan have been taking the fight back to the enemy. Late 2007 found SOCOM and NATO forces fighting hard in the northeastern provinces along the Pakistani/Afghan border. 2007 was also a year in which SOCOM continued its worldwide reach building rapport and professionalism with governments and militaries. In spite of combat commitments from the Horn of Africa to the Philippines, SOCOM has managed to keep SOF teams going out on missions under programs like Joint Cooperative Engagement and Training (JCET). In 2007, dozens of such missions did everything from teaching basic Foreign Internal Defense skills to conducting medical engagements in interior areas that rarely see a doctor or dentist. Services as simple as basic inoculations of children will help save thousands of young lives in years ahead, and leave a lasting positive memory of the United States. 2007 was also a year in which investments began to pay off. In October, the USS Ohio (SSGN 726) left Bangor, Wash., for the first patrol by one of the converted cruise missile/SOF submarines. Carrying a Dry Dock Shelter on her back, Ohio is planned to be forward deployed for a year, and will operate from Guam, where it will return every few months to resupply and exchange Blue/Gold crews, just like their ballistic missile cousins. Already, the SSGNs have conducted training operations with SEALs and other SOF professionals, and are rapidly becoming laboratories for new tactics, equipment, and ideas across the entire SOCOM enterprise. Finally, as a sign of SOCOM’s growing intellectual influence within DoD, the JSOU hosted its sixth annual education conference in July, with a theme of “Mobile Warriors – Mobile Learners.” Focused on eLearning technologies and techniques, presentations were delivered by all of the SOCOM service components, along with several talks from non-SOF communities, including the Stryker Brigade Training Center at Fort Lewis, Wash., and the Future Combat System Program Office.
Honors, Farewells, and Remembrances 2007 was also a year to look back, remember, and say goodbye. Perhaps the most notable passing was that of Gen. Wayne Downing, USA. Downing, commander of SOCOM from 1989 to 1991, died suddenly from a disease contracted on an inspection trip to Iraq in July. Also passing in 2007 was Gen. Robert “Barbed Wire Bob” Kingston, following a long illness. A quiet and beloved man who led a soldier’s life, Kingston was a lifetime SOF professional whose achievements included leading Rangers in Korea and setting into motion the study that created America’s modern-day special mission units. In May, Brown awarded the SOCOM Medal to Lt. Gen. William Tangney, USA, a former USASOC commanding general. The year also saw long-overdue formal recognition of Maj. Gen. Singlaub, USA. A pioneering World War II member of the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), Singlaub was leader of a Jedburgh team in France, later rescuing Allied POWs in Asia, and led the clandestine Studies and Operations Group in Vietnam. His receipt of the prestigious Donavan award by the OSS Association in 2007 is just one of many such awards that are due this SOF icon in the years ahead. This year also saw the first award of a Medal of Honor to a SOF warrior, since the vicious firefight in Mogadishu in 1993. June 28, 2005, is easily the darkest day in the history of modern U.S. SOF: a SEAL team was trapped and destroyed in northern Afghanistan while on a reconnaissance mission. Outgunned and outnumbered, the text of the Medal of Honor citation for Lt. Michael Murphy tells the story of what happened next: When the primary communicator fell mortally wounded, Lieutenant Murphy repeatedly attempted to call for assistance for his beleaguered teammates. Realizing the impossibility of communicating in the extreme terrain and in the face of almost certain death, he fought his way into an open terrain to gain a better position to transmit a call. This deliberate heroic act deprived him of cover, exposing him to direct enemy fire. Finally achieving contact with his headquarters, Lieutenant Murphy maintained his exposed position while he provided his location and requested immediate support for his team. In his final act of bravery, he continued to engage the enemy until he was mortally wounded, gallantly giving his life for his country and for the cause of freedom. Sadly, the rescue failed when an MH-47 helicopter was shot down by RPGs trying to reach the team, killing eight SEALs and eight 160th SOAR soldiers. Nineteen American SOF warriors lost their lives that day, with only one survivor from the original SEAL team. In late October, the family and friends of Michael Murphy gathered in Washington, D.C., to celebrate his dedication and heroism, along with that of the other 18 men who died that terrible day. In a White House ceremony, Murphy’s parents accepted the Medal of Honor from President George W. Bush, in what became a two-day remembrance of their son. Additional ceremonies at Arlington Cemetery and the Navy Memorial in Washington, D.C., capped off the memorial observance, which was a reminder that freedom is never free, and that SOF warriors are out there all the time, paying the price for the rest of us.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
The Boeing Company photo by Kevin Flynn
New Requirements, Old Realities By Eric Tegler
World Aerospace Developments 2007
M
ilitary planners the world over were busily defining new requirements in 2007. But they could not overcome an old reality – the gap between what they wanted and what they would really get. For the U.S., there were two main questions: How to restore overall readiness while modernizing, and how to address a threat to its fundamental warfighting capability. While the troop surge in Iraq appeared to bring some stability, it continued to consume manpower and equipment at unsustainable rates. Early year approval for the recruitment of 90,000-plus additional troops for the Army and Marine Corps might keep America’s ground force from breaking, but its budgetary implications threatened to fracture already brittle replacement/ recapitalization funding. The Air Force has cut manpower to pay its modernization bills for years, and its Fiscal Year 2008 $153.9 billion budget request mirrored the ongoing strain on readiness. U.S. Air Force Budget Director Maj. Gen. Frank Faykes said in January that the service had “a crisis in modernization that we need to address.” He explained that the Air Force has trimmed flying hour accounts by 10 percent (to 14.4 flying hours/month for fighters, 15.5 for bombers) and funded depot repairs at 85 percent. Overall readiness was judged to have declined 17 percent since the Iraqi invasion, with 56 percent of Air Force units reporting ready for combat, down from 68 percent in 2004. The service believes it can, just, recapitalize with an additional $20 billion per year in funding during the next five to 10 years.
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Photo courtesy of Team JSF
AEROSPACE PROCUREMENT
Opposite: The ea-18G Growler’s first production flight took place on Sept. 10, 2007, but older F/A-18A-D Hornets are exceeding fatigue hours and being retired. Above: The F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) has piqued international interest. The JSF boasts an advanced airframe, autonomic logistics, advanced avionics, and stealth. Production delays, however, may see international customers forced to buy a less advanced competitor sooner rather than waiting for the F-35.
Naval aviation is under similar pressure due to a decision to stabilize shipbuilding in the FY08 budget. The Navy is trying to reach a 313 ship force and that goal drove a reduction of planned airframe purchases from 199 to 188. Replacement aircraft are sorely needed as increased optempo has accelerated end of airframe fatigue life of older F/A-18A-D Hornets in particular. A total of 103 aircraft have been retired from the fleet since 2002, with 59 more to follow by 2015. Combined with the early retirement of F-14s, Navy officials say the service was short 50 strike fighters in 2006, a deficit that could reach 200 aircraft by 2017. U.S. Army equipment is wearing out in the sands of Iraq and Afghanistan, prompting U.S. Army Aviation Director Brig. Gen. Stephen Mundt to opine that the helicopter industry was reacting too slowly to the Pentagon’s need for war replacement aircraft. Mundt reported losing 130 aircraft (a combat brigade’s worth of helicopters) since 2001. “[Industry] create a good product but I sure need them a whole lot faster.” The Air Force focused on anti-ballistic missile defense, including its ground-based Midcourse Defense System (MDS), for which it is establishing
tracking/interceptor stations in Eastern Europe to counter Iranian/North Korean threats. But a successful late year MDS intercept test went nearly unheralded after China’s surprise Jan. 11 test of its new mobile anti-satellite weapon. U.S. reliance on overhead sensing for strategic and tactical operations cannot be over-stressed. China’s test spurred U.N. censure and concern in the Pentagon, which sees ASAT weapons as a fundamental threat to its ability to operate. In November, the Chinese claimed to have mobile vans, which could jam signals from U.S. global positioning satellites, thus blunting precision weapon accuracy. Iraq claimed similar capability in 2003, and while it proved ineffective, Chinese systems may be more of a threat. China’s economic ascension has been accompanied by a concomitant boost in defense spending, with a 14.3 percent estimated increase in its budget in 2006 alone. Much has apparently gone to pay raises for poorly remunerated soldiers, sailors, and airmen, but with Chinese expenditures estimated at more than 5 percent of its GDP, the trend is clear. Meanwhile, U.S. defense spending as a percentage of GDP is at its lowest point since World War II.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
The Boeing Company photo by Gina Vanatter
Last year, Canada took delivery of its first C-17, and the U.K. its sixth. Many in the United States are calling for more C-17s for the Air Force.
The Bush administration’s FY08 budget request lingered until November, when Congress finally took it up. Despite new democratic control, shipbuilding and aircraft programs (except Air Force/Army helicopter programs) appear to have come out with fewer cuts than expected. Missile defense cuts were modest as well. Flush with oil revenue, Russia modestly expanded aviation modernization. However, its returns from exports to China have dropped significantly. Between 1992 and 2006, China accounted for nearly half of Russia’s exports. But in 2006, China accounted for just 20 percent. A lack of significant Russian weapons systems advances and increasing resident research and development/production capabilities in China, India and elsewhere explain it. India remains a major potential defense aerospace buyer. In February, Russia agreed to settle $3 billion in Indian debt by undertaking a series of joint ventures that could give it the inside track on Indian defense programs. India will likely leverage its defense procurement demand to propel further international collaboration with the United States and other partners. European aerospace procurement and development lagged again in 2007. Its widening gap in tactical and strategic air and space capabilities and research and development stems from sheer reluctance to fund defense. Despite a late-year pledge of support and assistance in Afghanistan from
French President Nicolas Sarkozy, European governments recognize they are ceding geopolitical influence to the U.S., U.K., and other world powers while threatening the seriousness with which NATO can be taken. A September raid on a nascent Syrian nuclear facility by Israel marked the first truly sophisticated “cyber combat” strike using airborne assets, including Israeli Aircraft Industries’ Gulfstream V-based Special Electronic Mission and Conformal Airborne Early Warning & Control aircraft. During the summer months, U.S. Navy carrier deployments to the Middle East became the first to emphasize non-kinetic effects in operations, with electronic warfare gaining importance equal to that yielded by 500-pound precision-guided bombs. Navy pilots also reported turning increasingly to strafing to destroy targets in Iraq. The F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) program began the year building on 2006 test flights. The services continued to mull the numbers and mix of variants they intend to buy amid calls for more STOVL F-35B purchases by the Marine Corps and cost growth concerns. In March, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) estimated total JSF acquisition costs to have increased by $31.6 billion, hence the Department of Defense (DoD) would pay 12 percent more per aircraft than expected in FY04. The declining value of the U.S. dollar put further strain on the international program.
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AEROSPACE PROCUREMENT
While the Navy will delay F-35C buys (cutting from eight to six in FY08, and from 36 to 18 in FY09) the Pentagon encouraged international partners to accelerate their buys to control costs. The F-35A wrestled with weight/schedule problems in April, but hit a serious snag in May when an in-flight electrical failure during a 360-degree roll forced the aircraft to land. Initially thought to be minor, the problem halted flight testing until early December 2007. The F-35C carrier variant passed its critical design review in July, but JSF delays resulted in Australia opting to buy 24 Boeing F/A-18Fs to bridge a gap brought on by the impending retirement of its F-111s. However, the election of a new government elected late in 2007 put the buy under threat. Australia’s defense force chief reiterated its commitment to JSF, but its problems have given renewed impetus to competition from the Eurofighter Typhoon, Saab Gripen, Dassault Rafale, and Boeing Super Hornet now under review by Norway, Denmark, and others. The F-35B was rolled out and two test aircraft were trimmed from the flight-test program to save money in December, but Lockheed Martin did scoop a contract to develop a “partner” version of the Lightning for further foreign sales, a.k.a. the F-16. Funding for the alternate GE/Rolls-Royce engine was cut by the Pentagon but restored by Congress. The F-22 Raptor broadened its operational scope while Air Force officials pushed for more than the 183 aircraft authorized even as they acknowledged that the Raptor’s sensitive sensors may be overwhelmed in densely polluted electronic environments like Baghdad. The importance of the western Pacific was highlighted by the decision to send 27th FS F22s to Kadena Air Base for joint operations. But, the Raptor flight and its tankers were forced to turn back midway between Hawaii and Okinawa, allegedly because flight computers in all 12 aircraft reportedly crashed owing to navigational software that had not been programmed to account for the change in longitude at the international dateline. The deployment resumed and with it Japanese desire for the acquisition of F-22s. The U.S. government refused a March request from Australia for the sale of Raptors and in July turned down a Japanese request. Japan is mulling plans to develop its own fifth-generation fighter and an offer to provide it with electronically scanned radar-equipped Eurofighters. Late in the year, Japan and Australia prepared to jointly lobby to overturn the U.S. ban on exports of the F-22. Lockheed Martin rounded out 2006 with a $931.3 million order for 30 new F-16C/Ds for Greece and secured 2007 contracts for F-16 spares support for nine customers from Chile to Pakistan. It agreed to modernize 37 F-16s for Turkey under the country’s Peace Onyx III program. By fall, approval for the addition of APG-63(v)3 radars to 224 F-15Es had been given, with a further request for AESA radars for F-15Cs under consideration. A November Missouri ANG F-15 crash pointed to structural problems with the Eagle and resulted in three stand-downs of the A-D fleet, rendering just 45 percent of Air Force combat aircraft eligible for operations. Navy carriers were shifted to the Middle East to cover for the grounded F-15s. The Air Force continued to weigh options for its Long Range Strike bomber program, emphasizing range as key to reducing tanker demand. The service wants a platform available by 2018. Air Combat Command Chief Gen. Ronald Keys verbalized his desire to revive the B-52 standoff jammer program while dealing with production delays of new Northrop Grumman AESA radars for the B-2. The stealth bomber is also to get improved satellite communications. The KC-X tanker competition finally resumed, with both Northrop Grumman/Airbus and Boeing maneuvering to boost selection chances for their respective KC-30 and KC-767 options. Test program delays for the latter affected its Italian and Japanese customers.
Demand for the Air Force’s ISR/AEW&C fleet remained high, with the 763rd Reconnaissance Squadron earning distinction by continually deploying its RC-135s for 6,000 days since 1990. The E-8 JSTARS fleet will receive an engine upgrade, new secure IP-based communications, better Blue Force tracking, and maritime tracking software. The RC-135 and EC130 are gaining better cyber network attack and link capabilities through the Air Force’s Suter program. There were suggestions that E-8s be made the new platform for the MP-RTIP radar program, cancelled in 2006 with the E-10. With costs doubling, production delays, and a congressionally mandated review under way, the C-5 Reliability Enhancement and Re-engining program was under threat of termination, with a decision expected early in 2008. The Air Force considered re-engining only C-5B/Cs, while modernizing avionics across the fleet. Along with anticipated Army/Marine personnel increases, C-5 problems are exacerbating the critical airlift shortage facing the service, and renewed calls to extend C-17 production echoed all year. Boeing has begun action to close the production line, but Congress is expected to fund its continuation. NATO has a requirement for C-17s, but Franco-German foot-dragging with an eye to Airbus’ A400M interests is delaying contract negotiations. The United Kingdom ordered its sixth C-17, for service in 2008, and Canada took its first aircraft. The C-130 avionics modernization program was cut after unanticipated cost growth, extending AMP upgrades only to 222 older aircraft. C-130J production continued to survive on modest orders from the U.K., Norway, Canada, Australia, and, potentially, India. The Army/Air Force Joint Cargo Aircraft program faltered after the June selection announcement of the L3/ Alenia C-27J. Losing competitor Raytheon/EADS (C-295) protested the decision and a GAO review halted work on the program until October when the agency upheld the source selection. The Navy announced that its F/A-18Fs had “fifth-generation capabilities” after gaining initial operational experience with AESA-equipped Super Hornets flown by VFA-213. The squadron (to deploy in 2008) is evaluating directed energy attacks using the radar though it has found, like its Air Force counterparts, that AESA capabilities are significantly increasing the workload for its back-seaters. Nevertheless, the AESA radar, two-seat F/A18F combination is proving fruitful for Boeing, which is a serious contender for India’s multi-role combat aircraft competition. JSF delays are spurring more Navy Super Hornet purchases as well. E/A-18G Growler testing proceeded on schedule as the S-3 Viking made its final Pacific deployment. The United States continued to watch for F-14 spares sales to Iran, impounding four Tomcats sold to museums in the 1990s. The Navy eagerly looked to imminent fielding of its E-2D Advanced Hawkeye airborne control aircraft while development of Boeing’s P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol airplane progressed. In July, Boeing announced a 10-unit sale of P-8s to Australia. Eurofighter officials simultaneously dealt with internal arguments about which country would lead its bid to sell Typhoons to India while hammering out agreement on upgrade packages to bolster the aircraft’s strike capability. Austria’s purchase of the fighter was reduced to 15 from the original 18, with the first aircraft delivered in July 2007. BAE Systems was at work on radar signature reduction while an RAF Typhoon made the first firing of an MBDA Advanced short-range air-to-air missile (ASRAAM). Norway and Denmark eyed the Eurofighter as a JSF alternative, and Saudi Arabia completed its purchase negotiations for 72 Typhoons through BAE. Eurofighter partners sought assurances from the U.K. that it wouldn’t use the Saudi purchase to cut its own order. By year-end, Britain was indeed leaning toward increasing
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Photo by Geoffrey Lee, Planefocus Ltd
An Indian Air Force Su-30MKI and 17 (R) Squadron F2 Typhoon in formation over the East Anglian coast. Eurofighter is endeavoring to sell Typhoons to India.
Tranche 3 Typhoon capabilities while buying less than its contracted 88 units. Italy too was thinking it over. Dassault thought it had at last found an export customer for the Rafale, but its hopes were dashed when Morocco rejected the aircraft, probably in favor of the F-16. The F2 strike version debuted in combat in Afghanistan in March, and Rafales are to get AESA radars by 2012. Dassault was to refit Indian Mirage 2000s with MBDA’s ASRAAM and in December delivered the 601st and final 2000 to Greece. Saab looked to possible sales of its JAS39 Gripen to JSF fence-sitters and inked a deal to upgrade 31 Gripens to JAS39C/D standard for Sweden, which decided to cut its total buy from 204 to 100. Britain aimed to fly AESA radar on a GR4 Tornado by mid-year, with other updates of the fighter’s self-protection equipment, electro-optical suite and reconnaissance pods. The Russian Air Force took delivery of its first pair of Sukhoi Su-34 Flanker strike variants. Six more were to be built in 2007. Six Su-27s were upgraded to Su-27SM standard with another 24 to get the treatment by 2010. Six Su25SM Frogfoots and four Su-24M2 Fencers were upgraded. The MiG-35 version of the MiG-29 Fulcrum, which is to have AESA radar, improved laser designator, and electro-optical systems debuted. India agreed to purchase 18 additional Su-30 MKIs. Sukhoi’s T-50 fifth-generation fighter made its first flight in May though with Su-27 engines as funding for its new engines was unavailable. For financial support, Russia has invited India to participate in the program. A mix of 50 Tu-160 Blackjacks and Tu-95MS Bears were to be
refurbished in line with Russia’s aim to return to long range reconnaissance/ strategic missions. The Indian Air Force still needs 126 fighters for its MRCA program and won’t get its indigenous Tejas light fighter any time soon. Thus it looked abroad for Mirage 2000s. China experienced teething problems with its Chengdu FC-1, delaying Chinese Air Force and Pakistan deliveries. The Chengdu J-10, starting delivery, is judged to have capabilities similar to an F-16 and carries the capable PL-12 air-to-air missile. China has put more indigenous hardware, including engines and radar, on its J-11 version of the Su-27. It managed to get Russian clearance for re-export of the Klimov RD-93 engine to Pakistan to power the Chengdu JF-17 light fighter, despite Indian objections. Orders for Airbus’ A400M stand at 200 but, delays due to engine development issues hurt further interest in the airlifter. Helicopter airlift was in short supply, benefiting Boeing and Sikorsky, whose CH-47F and CH-53K programs, respectively, progressed. The Air Force’s choice for its CSAR-X competition, the CH-47F (144 units, $15 billion) was stymied by a March protest by losing bidders Sikorsky (H-92) and Lockheed (US101) upheld by the GAO. Congress cut funding for CSAR-X and its future remains unclear. Chinook production for the Army continues, however, and export sales (Australia) and interest looked promising. The Army’s Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter program halted in May, and though Army officials produced a “get well” program with contractor Bell, Congress approved funding for only 12 ARH helos. DoD ordered 537 more
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U.S Navy photo by Mass Communication Spec. Seaman Brandon Morris
AEROSPACE PROCUREMENT
A French Rafale M combat aircraft performs a catapult-assisted launch from the flight deck of the nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Enterprise (CVN 65) in the Mediterranean Sea, July 23, 2007. Two French Rafales were the first French aircraft to land and launch on an American carrier in six years. Rafales saw their first combat action in Afghanistan in March, but Dassault’s efforts to sell the aircraft abroad have so far ended in failure.
Sikorsky H-60s of varying types for the Army and Navy through 2012, while further V-22 orders will depend in large part on the tilt-rotor’s performance in Iraq. Ten MV-22s deployed with VMM-263 aboard USS Wasp, carrying a legacy of 30 lives lost during the 25-year, $22 billion program. Should the V-22 perform well, its export prospects look favorable. European helicopter news was dominated by the NH90 transport helo, which, though gaining orders (Spain, France), experienced delays that drove its multi-national partners to devise new production/introduction plans. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) continue as the most dynamic aerospace growth sector. While Europe lagged in unmanned development, the United States aggressively pursued operations, standing up its first UAV wing encompassing 12 squadrons. Northrop Grumman and Boeing are known to have classified programs under way that are expected to produce large payload, long endurance designs. UAVs are proposed for the U.S. Air Force’s LRS program as future aerial tankers and transports. Army and Air Force UAVs racked up staggering flight time in Iraq as American forces
sought to control porous borders and defeat insurgents/IEDs. A U.S. Air Force proposal to take operational control of all UAVs flying above 3,500 feet was quashed after strong U.S. Navy and U.S. Army opposition. Airspace control remains a critical issue, with a single controlling entity an agreed necessity. The U.S. Navy’s MQ-8B Fire Scout made its first test flight and is scheduled for fleet introduction in 2008, possibly with a new radar and weapons. Northrop Grumman is developing an ISR version of its RQ4 Global Hawk (EuroHawk) for Germany and flew its new Block 20 Global Hawk in the spring. The RQ-4 was a candidate, with UAVs from Lockheed Martin/General Atomics and Boeing/General Dynamics, for the Navy’s Broad Area Maritime Surveillance program. The Navy also commissioned Northrop Grumman to develop its aircraft carrier suitable X-47B demonstrator for its UCAS-D (formerly Joint UCAS) program. Israel unveiled its large Eitan/Heron II UCAV while BAE refined its Herti and stealthy Taranis UCAVs.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
Land Forces Developments By Scott R. Gourley
I
n addition to the long-range planning of systems to enhance tomorrow’s warfighting capabilities, ongoing U.S. Army and U.S. Marine Corps ground operations in both Afghanistan and Iraq are prompting a range of near-term program developments in the land forces arena. Obviously, one of the best known of these recent developments involves the joint-service Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles that are already saving lives in theater. While MRAP represents an iconic response to an emerging battlefield threat, justifying its own chapter in this annual update, several other recent program developments also provide insight into the evolution of modern combat hardware.
Precision Fires The M777 series lightweight 155 mm howitzer provides one such example. Managed by a joint-service Marine Corps/Army program office located at Picatinny Arsenal, N.J., the program has also made significant recent contributions as part of coalition operations against terrorism. The M777 was originally developed as a replacement for the heavy M198 series 155 mm towed howitzers used by both Army and Marine Corps artillery units. The new design, which is 7,000 pounds lighter than the M198, was mandated by the needs of lighter, rapid response forces in both services. Moreover, the new systems’ increased mobility was further optimized by emerging aerial emplacement platforms, including the Marine Corps’ MV-22-series Osprey. Following a 1997 research and development contract and subsequent 2002 low-rate production contract, the M777 production program was awarded as a multi-year contract to BAE Systems in March 2005. System fielding to the Marine Corps’ 11th Marine Regiment began in 2005, with the first M777 systems going to the Army’s 2nd Battalion, 11th Field Artillery (part of the Army’s 5th Stryker Brigade Combat Team) in October 2006.
In addition to that joint-service U.S. force fielding, the same time frame witnessed the Marine Corps providing six of its new howitzers to Canadian Forces in Afghanistan where the guns have been used extensively in combat with great success. Along with the lighter weight and enhanced mobility, the M777 series is enhanced through a series of paralleltechnology packages that also shed light on the mandates of modern combat hardware. The M777A1, for example, incorporates a digital fire-control system by General Dynamics Armament and Technical Products of Burlington, Vt. Not only does the upgrade provide position and direction information at the gun position, a remote cable allows that same information to be provided to the gun crew while the system is being moved to a new position. A second upgrade, which carries the M777A2 designation, allows the weapon to program and fire the new “Excalibur” precision guided munition (PGM) manufactured by Raytheon Company, Tucson, Ariz. It is this PGM capability that highlights a critical aspect of combat operations in 2007. Specifically, in what groundservice planners call “scalable precision,” land forces can now conduct the urban fight with precision fires in a counterinsurgency (COIN) environment, while satisfying the mandates of minimized collateral damage. The availability and fielding of the 155 mm “Excalibur” provides COIN warfighters with an approximately 90-pound warhead option that can be delivered with precision in an urban setting. Spring 2007 saw the initial fielding of Excalibur into theater with service representatives noting that approximately a half dozen of the rounds had been fired in combat by midyear. The scalable precision of land forces is further expanded through the recent fielding of a Guided unitary warhead for the Multiple Launch Rocket System. The Lockheed Martin
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Canadian Ministry of Defence photo by MCpl Yves Gemus
Land forces procurement
GMLRS Unitary rocket delivers a 200-pound PGM warhead to ranges of 70 km, a combined capability that has given the system the field moniker of “the 70-km sniper rifle.” Although initially introduced into theater in 2005, joint-service acceptance of the capability and system application significantly expanded during the past year. As of early June 2007, for example, the Army and Marine Corps were credited with having fired approximately 180 GMLRS Unitary rounds. The British Army has also fired the GMLRS in Afghanistan. In a program update provided at the beginning of August, service representatives reported that 273 missions had been fired in theater, with approximately 83 percent of those having been fired in an urban environment and 69 percent having been fired with troops in contact. In addition, the missions fired were split approximately 50/50 between support to U.S. Marine Corps and U.S. Army ground elements.
Combat Platforms Land force developments in 2007 also included several significant activities involving both single-service and joint-service combat vehicle platforms. The Army, for example, continued fielding its new M1128 Mobile Gun System (MGS) to its Stryker Brigade Combat Teams (SBCT). With a 105 mm direct-fire cannon mounted on top of a Stryker vehicle-family chassis, the MGS, manufactured by General Dynamics Land Systems, can fire up to six rounds per minute and the system design allows operation by a threemember crew, rather than the traditional fourperson crew required to operate traditional main battle tanks. And main battle tanks themselves are still playing a role in current combat patrol activities in theater. An example of joint-service cooperation in the main battle tank arena surfaced in early 2007, when the Army announced that it would “transfer 80 M1A1 Abrams tanks over the next eight months to the Marine Corps to help them replace earlier models, which the Army has already upgraded.” According to the Army announcement, the agreement between the two services called for the first 25 M1A1s to be transferred to the Marine Corps by the end of March, with the remaining 55 transferred as they became available during the remainder of Fiscal Year 2007. Prior to this agreement, since 2004, the Army has reportedly transferred 144 M1A1s to
A gun crew of the 2 Royal Canadian Horse Artillery (2 RCHA) fires its M777 artillery gun during a fire mission at Forward Operating Base Sperwan Ghar. Note the projectile leaving the end of the barrel. The M777 has been used extensively in Afghanistan with great success.
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U.S. Army photo by Staff Sgt. Antonieta Rico
Land forces procurement
U.S. Army Sgt. Christian Garcia pulls security in a street in Tarmiyah as a Mobile Gun System (MGS) Stryker vehicle rolls through the town May 19, 2007. The U.S. Army continued to field the MGS throughout 2007.
the Marine Corps, which then modifies the Abrams’ hulls and turrets for their unique operational requirements, such as forward deployments afloat via Marine expeditionary units. “The most outwardly apparent difference is the Marine Corps’ unique smoke-grenade launchers that are applied to the tanks,” said Marine Maj. Wendell B. Leimbach, Jr., acting program manager, tank systems, Marine Corps Systems Command. “Other unique modifications that are applied to USMC tanks include hull modifications that allow for the tank to use a deepwater fording kit, a unique thermal sight with a far-target location capability, and a tank infantry phone recently adopted by the Army.” Australia also received more of the 59 M1A1 Abrams tanks it has purchased as part of an overall modernization of its forces, but overall, main battle tank procurement, at least in the West, is stagnant, and efforts are being directed more at reset and modernization of existing vehicles. As U.S. land forces enter their seventh year of what was once called “The Long War” and has now evolved to an “Era of Persistent Conflict,” myriad activities also continue surrounding the reset or recapitalization of fielded combat-vehicle platforms.
One representative example of these activities can be seen in an early December 2007 announcement from BAE Systems in York, Penn., pointing to its receipt of “a contract modification totaling $709.4 million from the U.S. Army TACOM Life Cycle Management Command for the reset of Bradley Fighting Vehicles and associated components. “This modification is the largest, national-level reset award for Bradley Combat Systems to date,” it reads. “When combined with an earlier award of $234 million for long-lead materials and an option worth $57 million, this effort represents more than $1 billion for the reset of Bradley Fighting Vehicles. Under the base contract, BAE Systems will reset 1,042 Bradley A3 and ODS Combat Systems returning from Iraq and reset additional A3 components. The contract also carries an option for a further 58 vehicles.” Bradleys that undergo the reset process not only have their useful life restored that was consumed during combat operations, but also receive the latest survivability enhancements and other improvements to greater protect Army warfighters in future conflicts. Significantly, the Bradley reset activities are being performed in a partnership between BAE Systems and Red River Army Depot (RRAD), in
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Land forces procurement
Australian Department of Defense photo by Gunner Shannon Joyce
Two Abrams tanks from Darwin-based 1st Armoured Regiment move forward on the hunt for targets during a live-fire shoot for a Combat Training Centre Heavy Battlegroup activity at the Cultana Training Area in South Australia.
which initial disassembly and subsystem rebuild will be performed at RRAD, final disassembly and structural modifications will be completed by BAE Systems in Fayette County, Penn., and final assembly, integration, and test will be conducted at BAE Systems in York. The resetting of additional A3 components will be performed at RRAD and the original equipment manufacturers. Vehicle deliveries under this contract are scheduled to begin in June 2008. Along with cooperative- and service-platform upgrades and enhancements, the past year also encompassed a number of significant developments involving new joint-service land forces programs. As an example, in addition to the accelerated fielding of the previously noted MRAPs, 2007 activities encompassed significant program refinement on the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV). Officially described as “a multiservice initiative for a family of future light tactical vehicles,” JLTV first emerged in 2005 as a multi-service effort to resolve identified light vehicle fleet-capability gaps. With congressional support, a provisional Joint Project Office was formed in 2006 to develop the JLTV concept as a family of vehicles to meet current and future requirements. After what planners dubbed “extensive market
research and analyses” indicated there were no existing solutions available to meet the required protection, performance, and payload requirements for future light tactical vehicles, the JLTV concept surfaced as a Family of Vehicles (FoV) solution (including companion trailers) to provide the capabilities while minimizing system life cycle costs. This program terminology is quite telling, in that it ties new programs into logistics planning at the “front end” of their life. This underlying life cycle philosophy, which is highlighted elsewhere in this volume by service leaders at Defense Logistics Agency and elsewhere, has clearly become ubiquitous in all recent land force developments. On Dec. 5, 2007, JLTV successfully completed a Milestone A (MS A) Defense Acquisition Board review and received approval to enter the Technology Development (TD) phase as a pre-MDAP (pre-Major Defense Acquisition Program). As of this writing, release of the request for proposal for that program phase expected in early 2008.
Unique Capabilities/Unique Requirements The joint service cooperation and coordination that is key to several of the programs noted above does not mean that the land forces have abandoned
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Krauss-Maffei Wegmann photo
The ARTEC Consortium’s Boxer is one of the candidates for the British Army’s FRES program, which has evolved in weight and protection due to operational lessons learned in Iraq and Afghanistan.
some of their unique land force program requirements. The last year has seen both the Marine Corps and the Army continue to pursue several serviceunique development activities. As an example, February 2007 saw the delivery of the first four Lightweight Prime Mover (LWPM) vehicles to the Marine Corps. Produced by Lockheed Martin’s Tactical Wheeled Vehicle (TWV) program in Owego, N.Y., the LWPM reflects that service’s requirements for towing its M777 series lightweight 155 mm howitzers in unique Marine Corps operational settings. Company descriptions note that the LWPM rides on a height-adjustable chassis, which allows for unmatched all-terrain capability. Moreover, a superior weight-to-payload ratio enables the less than 10,000-pound vehicle to easily tow the 10,000-pound M777 series howitzer. The vehicle is air-transportable inside the C-130 Hercules tactical transport aircraft and can be externally carried by the CH-53E helicopter and the MV-22 tilt-rotor aircraft. In addition, the design will also allow future production vehicles to
accept appliqué armor, which will significantly improve Marine safety and survivability. The Army also continues its own unique land force developments, with perhaps the best examples found in the cornerstone Future Combat Systems (FCS) program. Within FCS, August 2007 saw a land force development milestone with significant implications for a range of future combat platforms, when the U.S. Army’s Tank Automotive Research, Development and Engineering Center (TARDEC) Power and Energy Systems Integration Laboratory (P&E SIL) in Santa Clara, Calif., began the formal testing on the first complete hybrid electric-propulsion system that will be installed in the eight tactical FCS Manned Ground Vehicle (MGV) elements. The Army’s MGV platform designs feature an engine/generator powerpack in which the engine is not connected to any type of mechanical vehicle drive but instead is only used to charge the batteries that power the vehicles’ electric drive motors.
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Land forces procurement At the completion of testing, the first propulsion system will be installed in a prototype FCS Non Line of Sight – Cannon (NLOS-C) hull. After installation of a 155 mm cannon turret, the prototype for the Army’s next-generation, self-propelled artillery system will be delivered to the FCS Army Evaluation Task Force, which is already operating at Fort Bliss, Texas.
The Move to “Medium” The traditional gap between light and heavy armored vehicles is being filled due to operational realities. The land force procurement plans of Western nations have been tangibly affected by the developments in Iraq and Afghanistan. NATO forces in Afghanistan have found that the ISAR mission demands a certain level of protection to vehicles, and the U.K., the Netherlands, Germany, and Canada are procuring more armored vehicles that are protected against IEDs and roadside ambushes. Australia has already equipped its special operations forces in Afghanistan with armored Bushmaster “Infantry Mobility Vehicles.” The British experience in both Iraq and Afghanistan has shown them that they need a middle ground between intimidating and expensive-to-operate tracked armored vehicles and lightweight utility vehicles. In addition to purchasing “Mastiff” MRAP vehicles based on the Cougar MRAP used by the U.S. Army and Marine Corps, the British Army has also invested in more than 160 armored versions of the German Pinzgauer. Present-day experience has also affected future procurement. The British Future Rapid Effect System (FRES) program, for example, has seen the baseline vehicle move to a heavier weight as armor and protection requirements are increased. The United States’ FCS program has also seen some weight and size growth in vehicles that were originally envisioned to depend on speed, firepower, and situational awareness rather than protection. Reactive armor is also being added to a variety of vehicles, such as the U.S. Bradley, and the slat armor first seen on the U.S. Army’s Strykers has now migrated to the U.K.’s Mastiffs as well as Canada’s M113s and other vehicles. Active armor research and development is also seeing a new period of growth.
Tomorrow’s Vision Looking well into the future, 2007 wrapped up with another land force development that merits mention in any annual review. Sponsored by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the November 2007 “Urban Challenge” was the third in a series of DoD robotic vehicle competitions that began in 2004. Conducted at the former George Air Force Base in Victorville, Calif., the 2007 event was billed by planners as “build[ing] on the excitement of the first two Grand Challenges to accelerate the development of autonomous vehicles that will someday perform hazardous tasks on the battlefield with limited human involvement.” However, unlike the first two DARPA robotic challenge events, which just required autonomous navigation over set off-road distances, the third used the urban areas on the former airbase to present an environment in which the robotic vehicles had to conduct simulated battlefield supply missions on a 60-mile urban area course in less than six hours. In crafting the urban course, planners felt that they were replicating “the environment in which many of today’s battlefield missions are conducted.”
The Balancing Act Continues While the Urban Challenge event may lack near-term or midterm tactical application, it does highlight one significant aspect of U.S. land force developments. Specifically, it is part of an elaborate resources balancing act; a balancing act between identified immediate needs and projected futuristic needs; a balancing act between joint service or cooperative programs and single-service efforts; a balancing act between increased lethality and minimized collateral damage; and a balancing act between acquisition costs and life cycle costs. Clearly it is a challenging act to perform. But with land force warfighters’ lives at stake, it is a balance that will continue to be achieved.
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
World Naval Developments 2007 By Norman Friedman
T
BAE Systems photo
he most spectacular naval development last year was probably the formal British decision to order two 65,000-ton carriers, to be named Queen Elizabeth and Prince of Wales. Although the decision to buy two large ships to replace the three existing small carriers was included in the 1997 Strategic Defence Review, at the beginning of the current Labour Government, it was not formalized for years, and there was always a fair chance that the carriers would be abandoned. Even now it seems possible that, given the rising costs of engagement in Afghanistan and in Iraq, the carrier project will be abandoned or deferred. Skeptics point out that the last British large-deck carrier plan was officially sanctioned (and the name Queen Elizabeth chosen for the lead ship) before being scuttled as costs escalated. The current design is intended to operate the Short Take-Off Vertical Landing (STOVL) version of the U.S.-led F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF), but it can be modified to operate conventional aircraft instead. This capacity is important because France is likely to choose a version of the design for her own second carrier. The decision to go ahead with that ship seems to have been made just before the 2007 French presidential election, and winning candidate Nicolas Sarkozy endorsed it. Some British writers have pointed out that choosing a conventional ship rather than one limited to STOVL aircraft would give the ship the ability to work with American carriers, cross-decking their aircraft the way the Royal Navy did before it lost its large-deck carriers in the 1970s. Compared to a STOVL, a conventional airplane can carry a heavier load farther, which might be important in the sort of power projection operations major Western navies now conduct. Meanwhile, Royal Navy and Royal Air Force STOVL forces have been amalgamated as a single entity, although each force maintains its own squadrons. This unitary force is expected to equip the new carriers. One consequence of amalgamation has been the detachment of naval fighter squadrons to Afghanistan, so that the carriers often operate without their intended complements. Unfortunately, the Royal Navy’s Sea Harriers have been retired because their engines left them incapable of effective operation in “high and hot” areas like Afghanistan. That leaves the Royal Navy without much fighter air cover until JSF appears some time in the next decade. This gap is considered acceptable because no current air threat is perceived. Critics may suggest that reality can suddenly trump such prediction.
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BAE Systems photo
Naval Procurement
To accompany the carrier, the Royal Navy has ordered six Daringclass air warfare destroyers armed with the European Principal Anti Air Missile System (PAAMS). HMS Daring began trials in 2007. Her combat system is complex enough that the ship cannot be delivered before 2009. Plans originally called for eight or even 12 ships, to replace the 12 Type-42 destroyers. Numbers were cut to pay for the two carriers. Such economies are also hitting the British frigate force. Some have pointed out that the Royal Navy must meet commitments around the world, for example, mounting patrols in the Caribbean and in the Gulf area. In theory, it can maintain either a numerous low-end force or the focused high-end force represented by the carrier, the missile destroyers, and nuclear attack submarines. The Royal Navy is currently studying a future high-low mix, probably consisting of modified air warfare destroyers at one end and corvettes at the other, with an intermediate type in between. It has adopted similar policies in the past as a way of compromising between the need for global presence and the need for high-impact forces. In March, it was reported that Saudi Arabia wanted to buy two or three Darings, one of them perhaps to be taken over from the Royal Navy. Given reported problems in manning the current fleet, anything so ambitious seems unlikely. However, the Saudis may feel that dangling so large a potential order will stimulate the British naval industry to make attractive offers. The British submarine force is also being shrunk as a result of rising prices. This year HMS Astute, the first of a new class, was launched. Plans to maintain a 10-submarine force have given way to discussions of a seven-submarine force (four Astutes are on order). On the other hand, studies of successors to the current Vanguard-class strategic submarines are beginning. Much less heralded has been a dramatic expansion of the British amphibious fleet in recent years. In the past, the three small carriers were considered potential amphibious assets, replacing their STOVL fighters with helicopters. Now there is a dedicated helicopter carrier, HMS Ocean, which has proven effective at sea. The old dock-landing ships Fearless and Intrepid have been replaced with much larger and more capable ships, although the Royal Navy has not invested in air-cushion landing craft for them. Large ships have also replaced the old beaching ships (LSLs), and Ro-Ro ships have been built specially to support British operations. The French naval program seems likely to include a second carrier (see previous), but it is not clear how it can be financed, given other French programs. A third amphibious ship will probably replace the elderly training ship (and helicopter carrier) Jeanne d’Arc. The Horizon-class air-defense frigates are running sea trials, and work on the multipurpose FREMM class is proceeding. This year, Morocco decided to buy a FREMM. The French government also confirmed the contract to develop the next-generation Barracuda-class attack submarine. Italy’s new STOVL carrier Conte di Cavour began sea trials this year, and the two Italian Horizon-class, anti-air warfare destroyers were launched. The carrier has an interesting design, providing unusually large command spaces that can be configured for operations ranging from conventional carrier strike to amphibious support to humanitarian relief. Italy has signed an agreement with France for joint production of a new multi-purpose frigate (the French designation is FREMM), to be built in both land-attack and anti-submarine versions. The ship will be armed with the OTO-Melara 5-inch/64-gun, firing a new guided “Volcano” round. The German government commissioned the first of its five K130-class corvettes, which replace Cold War missile boats with something much more suitable to extended deployment. The F125 follow-on frigate program has been accelerated, reportedly to keep the substantial surface shipbuilding
Opposite: The Royal Navy’s first Type 45, HMS Daring, began sea trials, but the number of sister ships continues to fall. Above: HMS Astute, also the nameship of a new class, was launched in 2007, first of a class of four.
industry alive despite a decline in orders for MEKO-class export frigates. Four ships were ordered on June 26 for delivery in 2014; the program was originally intended to begin in 2013. The Royal Netherlands Navy has been discarding its Cold War frigates. With the completion of the program for air defense destroyers, Dutch naval industry protested that it could not survive until the next scheduled surface-ship procurement about 2010. To some extent it was rescued by the Indonesian Sigma-class order, and by orders for the two Rotterdam-class LPDs (both now complete, but the second not yet accepted). Now the Dutch government has announced plans for four large patrol vessels, in effect slow replacements for the frigates, as forecast in a 2005 report on the future of the navy. On the other hand, plans to buy U.S. Tomahawk land-attack missiles for the destroyers have been shelved, reportedly due to financial problems caused by Dutch participation in the war in Afghanistan.
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Naval Procurement
Denmark is continuing its innovative surface combatant program, three frigates having been ordered at the end of 2006 to support the two amphibious ships. They are to be armed with SM-2 missiles served, as in the Dutch and German air defense ships, by APAR and SMART-L radars. Portugal decided to buy German-Type 214 submarines to replace its old French units, although officially they are Type 209PNs. The Portuguese Joao Dedalo-class frigates have been sold to Uruguay. Belgium has sold its Wielingen-class frigates to Bulgaria, replacing them with ex-Dutch, M-class ships. There had been speculation that Belgium was abandoning its surface combatant fleet altogether. Turkey is building Milgem (an acronym for National Ship in Turkish) corvettes, the first named Heybeliada, being built by Istanbul Naval Shipyard, for completion in 2011. The class is to be complete by 2014. In April, Turkey issued a request for proposals for a 15,000-ton LPD capable of transporting a mechanized battalion. The elderly U.S.-supplied LSTs are also to be replaced. Turkey is also seeking six submarines, several companies having replied to a request for information.
Australia and New Zealand This fall, the Royal Australian Navy (RAN) announced its own major new construction program, just before a national election, which the opposition Labour Party won. It ordered two large-deck amphibious ships and three air warfare destroyers (with an option for a fourth), all from the Spanish Navantia yard. The amphibious ships are versions of the Spanish Strategic Projection Ship, which the Spanish Navy considers both a major amphibious unit and a carrier equivalent to its earlier STOVL carrier. Australia is currently a participant in the U.S.-led F-35 consortium, but the Royal Australian Air Force plans to buy the conventional version. If it can be persuaded to switch to the STOVL version, the big amphibious ships will be able to supply air support to the troops they deliver. The anti-air warfare destroyers are to be modified versions of the Spanish Aegis ships already in service. The RAN had chosen a design offered by the U.S. firm of Gibbs and Cox, effectively a smaller version of the U.S. Arleigh Burke, on the ground that it offered considerable growth potential. This choice was rejected at the Defense Department level, on the ground that it was preferable to buy a proven design. Since the contract allows for whatever changes the RAN wants, it is not clear exactly how proven the final design will be. Skeptics will remember that the Collins class was justified as an off-the-shelf purchase, but that subsequent modifications changed it enough to require considerable further work – which is still ongoing. Meanwhile, the RAN is modernizing its MEKO frigates with the locally developed, (CEA) active phased-array radar, controlling Enhanced Sea Sparrow Missiles (ESSMs). This change is likely to transform the ships from gunboats with very limited self-defense capability into rather sophisticated, albeit short-range, air defense ships.
Central Europe Bulgaria has had a requirement for new corvettes for some time. This year, the country apparently decided to buy the French Gowind, in effect a reduced version of the FREMM multipurpose frigate being built for France and Italy. Bulgaria would be a launch customer. Gowind is reportedly the likely choice of the Saudi government. At the end of the year, the Bulgarian government announced that it was buying the remaining Belgian Wielingen-
The Royal Australian Navy selected a variant of the Spanish F100 frigate as its Hobart-class anti-air warfare destroyer.
class frigates with the money, which would otherwise have gone on the Gowind program. That program slipped to 2010.
Asia India was scheduled to receive the rebuilt ex-Soviet carrier Admiral Gorshkov, renamed Vikramaditya, in 2008. As the delivery date approached, the Russians said that reconstruction was proving far more complex than had been expected, due in large part to the need to replace ruined wiring (the ship is about 20 years old, suffered a serious fire a few years ago, and has not been well maintained). Reportedly much of the yard force was transferred to a Russian national submarine project (presumably the Borey strategic submarine, an important prestige item). Late in 2007, the Russians slipped the delivery date to 2011 (and even that may not be met). They asked the Indians to pay about four times the agreed price. This repricing suggests that whatever the Indians have already paid has been spent on other items, such as the Borey project. Early in 2008 it seemed likely that the deal would still go through, because the existing Indian carrier Viraat is in poor condition (she was laid down more than 60 years ago, and completed
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Bundesmarine photo
Magdeburg, second of the German Navy’s K130 class, commissioned in November 2007.
nearly half a century ago). The Indians plan to build a carrier of their own, but as of early 2008, she had not yet been laid down, and the completion date was uncertain (by September 2007 it had officially been moved back to 2012, and 2015 or later seemed likely). Plans ultimately call for a second indigenous carrier, so that India will operate three carriers (Viraat is likely to be modernized as a stop-gap). Meanwhile, the Russians are delivering the Su-30MKI aircraft the ex-Russian ship is to operate. They require either a catapult or a ski-jump, and probably cannot operate at all from Viraat. Whether the repricing will sour other Indian deals with the Russians remains to be seen. As of early 2008, much of the more advanced technology used by the Indian Navy is Russian, so a radical shift away from the Russians might be difficult. Meanwhile, long-standing reports that the Indians were paying the Russians to complete a pair of Akula-class (Project 971) submarines under construction at Komsomolsk-on-Amur have been confirmed. The Indians also state that their indigenous nuclear submarine project, the Advanced Technology Vessel, is finally progressing rapidly enough that they expect to build several units. Reportedly the new Indian nuclear submarines are to be armed partly with the Russian-Indian BrahMos supersonic rocket-ramjet missile derived from the Russian Yakhont. At the end of 2007, submarine trials
were being delayed because no suitable platform was available, and there was speculation that the planned initial platform was the first Akula. In addition to the nuclear submarines, India is continuing license production of additional diesel-electric units under a 30-year plan. Two French-designed Scorpenes are being built using foreign-supplied parts. Another four are planned, to be followed by 12 more submarines of Indian design. Four Chinese Jiangwei II-class (F22P) frigates are currently being built for the Pakistan Navy, to be delivered between 2009 and 2012. Work on the second ship began in February 2007. In April, Pakistan announced an intention to double its frigate force to 12 ships, requesting six U.S. Perry-class frigates and announcing that it might build Turkish Milgam-type corvettes under a new assistance agreement with that country. An attempt to buy Greek (ex-Dutch) Kortenaer-class frigates failed when the Greek Navy decided it could not release them, but Pakistan may buy the two ships of this type currently serving with the United Arab Emirates (the UAE wants to build new corvettes). Presumably the expansion program has become possible with U.S. aid; the Pakistan Navy wants to add its ships to the coalition blocking force in the Arabian Sea. Pakistan also hopes to buy three additional submarines, the alternatives being the German-Type 214 and the French Marlin (which was advertised at
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Euronaval 2006 specifically as a potential Pakistani submarine). In October, the Pakistani press reported that the Marlin design had been rejected, and that the Type 214 was the front-runner, with the French Scorpene another possibility. Note that all previous new-construction submarines bought by Pakistan have been French, and that French-designed Agostas have been built in Pakistan. Bangladesh recommissioned its Korean-built frigate, which had been idled for five years by political problems (critics charged that it had been bought corruptly, and that the design and equipment were obsolete). Some minor improvements were made, and the ship was renamed Khalid bin Walid. The government is now seeking a German-built MEKO 200 frigate, and ultimately it wants a squadron of four frigates or corvettes. In the Far East, Japan commissioned Hyuga, the first of a pair of throughdeck helicopter destroyers reminiscent of the British through-deck cruisers, the small Invincible-class carriers, which kept British naval aviation alive after the demise of the large-deck carriers. At the time, it was often said that calling the ships cruisers, and displaying only their cruiser-like profiles, protected them from the wrath of politicians who detested real aircraft carriers – but were grateful enough for what they could do when war came in the Falklands in 1982. In the Japanese case, the Maritime Self-Defense Force (i.e., navy) has been trying to build a 20,000-ton STOVL carrier for years. Its proposals fail because carriers are seen as offensive weapons explicitly prohibited by the Japanese Constitution – and, more importantly, because building them would seem to other Asian governments to signal a revival of Japanese aggressiveness. The decision to build the two somewhat smaller ships seems to parallel a change in Japanese official attitudes. The apparently imminent threat of North Korean nuclear missiles led some policy-makers to point out that Japan might have to attack merely to defend herself. Thus the Air Self-Defense Force is being equipped with refueling aircraft to extend the range of Japanese fighter-bombers. Japan already has precision air-to-surface weapons, justified on the ground that they could help beat off anyone trying to invade. Too, the Japanese government passed a law allowing Japanese warships to support U.S. and coalition forces in the Arabian Sea, albeit never in combat operations. This law lapsed late in the year, but a new version is being passed. On the other hand, the opportunity to buy STOVL fighters for a light carrier passed when the Sea Harrier went out of production. Japan is not currently included in the Joint Strike Fighter program, and no other STOVL fighter is on the market. Meanwhile, the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force successfully demonstrated the SM-3 anti-missile weapon onboard Aegis ships. Missile defense is particularly important to Japan in view of North Korean missile and nuclear programs. The South Korean destroyer and submarine programs are continuing. Previously announced programs include three Aegis destroyers (KDX-3, the first to complete in 2009) and six other air defense destroyers (KDX-2, the last to commission this year). In April, the Korean press reported that these strengths might be doubled. Plans also call for a new class of frigates (FFX) and a new class of missile-attack craft (PKX), both armed with the new Korean anti-ship missile and therefore capable of firing its announced land-attack version. The first of 42 PKX-class, fast patrol boats was launched this year; eight of the class will be armed with missiles. Reportedly, a second helicopter assault ship is to be ordered. The 2015-2020 Defense Reform Program shows six FFX plus another six KSS-II submarines (based on the German-Type 214) and a new KSS-III class. The additional KSS-IIs are being built due to a 2006 decision to delay the KSS-III class (an indigenous design), the first to appear
in 2018. In the fall of 2007, it was reported that the Koreans plan nine new destroyers (smaller than KDX-3), nine frigates, 32 corvettes, 36 diesel-electric submarines, and more than 100 smaller warships during the next 15 years, which would mean through 2022. China is still widely credited with a planned carrier program, but as of late 2007, it had not gone beyond occasional displays of more or less official models. The Chinese have announced considerable efforts to counter U.S. carriers, and they apparently see a growing force of Su-30 fighter-bombers armed with Russian-supplied AS-17 (Kh-31) and AS-18 (Kh-59) missiles as broadly equivalent to the Russian missile bombers of the Cold War. Whether the advent of such aircraft has ended their interest in carriers, for example to secure dominance of Asian waters, remains to be seen. If so, China would become the only major maritime power not to buy air-capable ships. China continues to build (“Jin”) Type 094-class strategic submarines armed with the JL-2 ballistic missile. The lead ship seems to carry 12 such weapons. It is not clear whether the missile is operational, as reports of tests are inconsistent. Two Type-051C destroyers armed with the Russian S-300 (SA-N-6) area defense missile system were completed this year. That the Chinese bought this weapon suggests that the vertically launched missiles on the two earlier ships equipped with phased-array radars are for point defense. Alternatively, the Chinese may be testing competing systems before committing to series production. At the least, the use of so many different
China continues to build “Jin” Type 094-class strategic missile submarines armed with the JL-2 ballistic missile.
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BAE Systems photo
service in Malaysia, it seems likely that Thailand will revive past interest in submarines. Brunei, which bought three frigates from BAE some years ago, this year finally decided that they did not meet specifications and rejected them. BAE is now trying to find a buyer, and presumably Brunei is seeking an alternative supplier. The problem seems to have been with the ships’ automated control system. Vietnam has ordered two Gepard-class frigates from Russia, with an option on two more to be built locally. The first was laid down in Russia for delivery in 2009.
Russia
Malaysia ordered two more frigates from BAE Systems as follow-on sisters to KD Lekiu (shown above) and KD Jebat.
systems, built into classes of no more than two ships each, suggests serious logistical problems if China goes to war. Chinese shipyards have certainly been active. In addition to the new classes of destroyers and frigates already seen is a new class of 13,500ton Type 071 amphibious ships with well decks. They look more like destroyers than like the rather boxy amphibious units of Western navies. Late in 2007, the Chinese equivalent to the U.S. aircushion landing craft (LCAC) was photographed. Each Type 071 can reportedly accommodate four of them, plus two helicopters. Meanwhile, some older surface combatants are being modified for bombardment, multiple rocket launchers replacing their anti-ship missiles. This change, and the emergence of the fast-landing ship and LCAC, can be read as indications that the Chinese are seriously considering invading Taiwan, perhaps after the period of world attention directed to the 2008 Olympics. Indonesia began a planned naval modernization by taking delivery of the first of four Dutch-built Sigma-type frigates or corvettes. Plans call for a fleet of 22 modern corvettes by 2024, replacing a motley collection of largely second-hand ships, including many from the old East German Navy. Indonesia has also been
seeking new submarines for some years. In June, it was reported that Indonesia was negotiating with Italy for two corvettes, to be the basis of a national force of 30 to 40, most to be built in Indonesia. This year, it was also reported that she was seeking Korean craft, to be paid for in part with light transport aircraft made in Indonesia. Yet another report had Indonesia negotiating with the Russian military export organization for Steregushchiyclass corvettes, whose hulls would be built in Spain and outfitted in Russia. As this report orginated with the Russians, it is less credible than the others. Its main significance may be as confirmation that the Indonesians really are shopping for ships. This year, Indonesia obtained an LPD from Korea to support a rapid-reaction force. In October, a deal for two (and possibly as many as eight) Amur-class submarines was reported. Malaysia ordered new frigates from BAE. The country is already buying German-designed corvettes, conceived as offshore patrol vessels but later upgraded. Korean reports (March 2007) that Malaysia had ordered an LPD for its rapidreaction battalion were described in Malaysia as premature. This spring, the fore and aft sections of the first Malaysian Scorpene-class submarine were jointed up in Cherbourg, marking the birth of a Malaysian submarine force. With these craft in
For some years, President Vladimir Putin has been trumpeting a Russian military renaissance, claiming that he will restore the glory of Soviet days. Events this year suggested that, although he now has considerable oil revenue to pay for such a progam, he cannot quite match the efforts of the past. That has not precluded considerable bombast, such as a claim that within 10 or 15 years, Russia will create six carrier battle groups. The first test of the renaissance was a program of new strategic submarines, the first of which, Yuriy Dolgorukiy, was laid down several years ago. The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the new submarines would be armed with a solidfuel Bulava missile sharing many features of the Topol-M, which is to arm the Strategic Rocket Forces ashore. Domestric critics argued that the developers had little chance of success because of their total inexperience with naval weapons; better to continue development of the liquid-fueled weapons of the past. Bulava seems to have been hurried into the test phase to back official claims. This year, it suffered several failures, making only one successful flight. Meanwhile Sineva, a developed version of the existing liquid-fuelled missile, was tested successfully, and has officially (if perhaps prematurely) been accepted into service to rearm existing strategic submarines. In all, eight ships of the new Borey (Project 955)-class are planned, all of which are to be in service by 2017. The lead ship, which was apparently a modified attack submarine, is to carry 12 missiles, but all later units (the first two of which were laid down in 2004 and 2006) will carry 16. This year, the Russians revealed a new hybrid-propulsion submarine. Sarov is a modified Kilo (Project 877) with a small nuclear reactor providing air-independent propulsion at low speed. This concept was tested during the Soviet
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period on board a Juliett-class missile submarine, and at about the same time it was being developed in Canada. It enjoyed no export success at that time. Now it is being advanced again as an alternative to the fuel cells favored by the Germans and the Stirling engine favored in Sweden. The first new blue-water surface combatant to emerge for several years, the frigate or large corvette Steregushchiy, appeared this year. It has a stealthy design, including a specially shaped mast inside which the ship’s main air-search radar revolves. These features also mark comparable Western ships. The first of a new class of nuclear attack submarines is still under construction. Claims that Amur, a developed version of the existing (and fairly old) Kilo-class dieselelectric submarine, would soon appear in quantity apparently have not yet proven true. As part of the attempt to revive Russian military prestige, a fleet has been sent into the Mediterranean for a cruise, including a visit to the Syrian port of Tartus, which has been offered as a fleet base. The Russian press has pointed out that these activities are far more cosmetic than significant, particularly since the major shipyard at Nikolaev (the only yard really fitted to maintain major Russian warships) was lost when Ukraine broke from the old Soviet Union.
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the power of integration in
Middle East As part of a five-year military plan, the Israeli Navy is to receive a major surface combatant, the current favorite being the U.S. LCS. A second ship is to be included in the following five-year plan. This is the latest round in a series of attempts to define a follow-on to the three Eilat-class corvettes – and, incidentally, to define a role for the Israeli Navy. With the advent of long-range missile programs in a very hostile Iran, some Israelis have argued that they must move their national deterrent to sea, which would mean an increased (and more expensive) submarine role. Longer-range surface combatants might also enlarge Israeli defensive space, but that would mean more than single ships. A project for an Aegis corvette was killed in favor of a proposed large amphibious ship, which was then killed as impractical and not particularly survivable. Reportedly the two old Gal-class coastal submarines, which had been offered for sale, are now being refitted in Germany for continued Israeli service. Iran launched its “destroyer” Mowj this year. Sketchy details presented at a Latin American arms show suggest that it is an unlicensed copy of the Vosper Mk 5 corvettes operated by Iran for many years, but with diesel rather than mixed diesel-gas turbine propulsion.
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Americas Brazil currently plans to buy two German-Type 214 submarines, one to be built in Germany and one in Brazil. The on-again off-again nuclear submarine program is apparently to be resurrected. Canada is finally to order the long-awaited multipurpose (replenishment, transport, and command) ship to replace the two big Protecteur-class under way replenishment ships. Because of the money going to the new program, plans to develop a Canadian amphibious force have been shelved at least until 2010. Skeptics may note that no such plans include any form of fire support, either surface or air, for the troops involved. The longawaited project to modernize the “City” class is beginning. In addition, formal planning for a future Single-Class Surface Combatant (i.e., a hull which could be completed for either AAW or ASW), began this year. Several earlier attempts to develop such a ship have fallen victim to limited Canadian defense resources. Venezuela continues to shop for weapons to combat what its government claims is U.S. enmity. This year brought sustained reports of deals to buy as many as nine Russian Kilo-class submarines (later the figure was cut to five, and there is some reason to see the entire deal as imaginary).
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
Enter the Dragon China takes center stage in international – and military – affairs By Craig Collins
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China
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n Jan. 11 of last year, about 500 miles above Earth, the People’s Republic of China indicated its unwillingness to accept the status quo in space: It fired a modified mediumrange ballistic missile carrying a kill vehicle that slammed into and destroyed a defunct Chinese weather satellite. The successful test of an anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon caught much of the world by surprise. Absent an official explanation for China’s motivations – the Chinese Foreign Ministry did not officially confirm the test had even occurred until almost two weeks later – analysts across the world were forced to speculate as to China’s intentions. In his public statement, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Jianchao offered little insight. “China has never participated and will never participate in any arms race in outer space,” he said. “This test was not directed at any country and does not constitute a threat to any country.” In the United States, Jianchao’s statement met with skepticism. When the National Defense University’s Institute for Strategic Studies convened a roundtable discussion on the matter in June, participants agreed that the implications of the test were clear: China had demonstrated a certain capability, and the nation that had the most to lose by that capability was the United States. The special report that followed the discussion, written by Dr. Phillip C. Saunders and U.S. Air Force Col. Charles D. Lutes, pointed out that China was aware of the U.S. military’s increasing dependence on space: “Because the direct-ascent ASAT system that China tested could threaten satellites in LEO [low-Earth orbit],” the authors wrote, “U.S. military capabilities for reconnaissance, remote sensing, surveillance, electronic surveillance, and meteorology could be at risk.” Amid condemnation of the test by several nations of the world, a report appeared in The New York Times, several days after the launch, that illustrated how complex, and sometimes incoherent, U.S.-Chinese relations had become: The U.S. military had known in advance that the Chinese were planning to test the ASAT missile, but declined to bring the matter up beforehand. The consensus among many military strategists – presumably including U.S. Marine Corps Gen. Peter Pace, then-chairman of the Joint Chiefs, who had tried unsuccessfully to raise the subject of the anti-satellite program during a visit to China one month earlier – seemed to be that there were good reasons for not raising the issue. But the immediate result of the test – according to the U.S. Space Surveillance Network, more than 1,600 chunks of space
debris, softball-sized or larger, were tracked cluttering the lowEarth orbit – left many American critics wondering what the U.S. had to lose by trying to engage China in a discussion and perhaps preventing additional hazards to LEO spacecraft and satellites. In a sense, the January ASAT test – like the Soviet Sputnik launch, 50 years earlier – was a symbolic event. “There was a shock,” said Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Michael Moseley, “that the Russians had put a satellite in orbit before us, and there’s a similar shock that the Chinese successfully shot down that satellite. It makes space astronomically more dangerous than it was before.” Unlike Sputnik, however, which was launched by a declared enemy with a stated policy of world revolution, the Chinese antisatellite missile has evoked little consensus among American strategists about what it means. China and the United States have a murkier relationship than the stark ideological SovietAmerican split: They are significant trading partners, with relations that have been normalized since the Carter administration. China, far from hiding behind an Iron Curtain, is engaged in a number of multilateral organizations both regionally and worldwide, including the World Trade Organization, AsiaPacific Economic Cooperation, and the Association of Southeast Nations Regional Forum. It is a signatory to such international agreements as the Chemical Weapons Convention and the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Nevertheless, some analysts remain concerned that the shifting geopolitical terrain of the early 21st century – with China emerging as a major power in a world dominated, since the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, by the United States – is signaling the onset of a new U.S.-Chinese Cold War. Is there a rational basis for this concern? It is a question that American policymakers and think tanks are examining extensively. One of the most influential of these examinations, released in April 2007, was authored by an independent 30-member China task force appointed by the Council on Foreign Relations: “U.S.-China Relations: An Affirmative Agenda, A Responsible Force.” The task force begins by examining the changes taking place internally within China today, and then evaluating what those changes mean for the U.S.-China relationship. As the task force points out, there is a lack of consensus within the United States about China in general, and this may be because China is so large, both geographically and demographically, and
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, right, reviews Chinese troops with Chinese Minister of Defense Gen. Cao Gangchuan, left, during a military welcome ceremony honoring Gates in Beijing, China, Nov. 5, 2007.
The View from China Though the council’s report points out that American opinions of China have generally improved since the government’s brutal Tiananmen crackdown in 1989, it acknowledges that there are still a number of Americans who believe the strategic interests of China and the United States are inherently incompatible. The current policy of economic engagement, say critics, does not sufficiently protect the U.S. from an emerging China that, among other growing advantages, enjoys a large and growing trade surplus with the United States. Some believe, as former Sen. Jesse Helms of North Carolina
claimed in a 2000 Washington Post editorial, that engagement amounts to “appeasement.” Appeasement is a word that probably strikes many as too alarmist, but there is no denying a climate of uneasiness today in U.S.-China relations. Alan D. Romberg, a task force member who leads the East Asia Program at the Henry L. Stimson Center, Washington, D.C., a nonprofit think tank, said: “I think there exists between the United States and China fairly deep strategic suspicion. We have a suspicion about what they think is their legitimate interest and how they’re going to go about protecting and promoting it, and what it means for our role. And they have a strategic suspicion about our willingness to go along with a new stronger China that is indeed reflecting its strength in a variety of ways and through new influence.” The engine of China’s growing influence is its private-sector economy. Since 1978, market-based economic reforms have helped to lift hundreds of millions of Chinese people out of poverty. China is a key international trading partner, the world’s largest consumer of steel and concrete. Today it is the
Department of Defense photo by Cherie A. Thurlby
so complex, that “almost anything one might assert about China is ‘true.’” The report’s foreword, however, begins with one of very few statements on which most experts can agree: “No relationship will be as important to the 21st century as the one between the United States, the world’s great power, and China, the world’s rising power.”
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Photographer: Brian Neely
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
DoD photo by Staff Sgt. D. Myles Cullen, U.S. Air Force
Chinese tanker soldiers with the People’s Liberation Army listen as the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Marine Gen. Peter Pace, provides his reactions and impressions to their demonstrations at Shenyang training base, China, March 24, 2007. The Chinese defense budget has increased dramatically over the past two decades, and the nation’s armed forces are being modernized as well.
second largest importer of petroleum, behind the United States. Counting all products, it is the world’s third largest importer and second largest exporter. Since 1988, China’s annual gross domestic product (GDP) has increased by an average of 8.5 percent a year, and while earlier estimates placed China on track to surpass the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by mid-century, a report released by the World Bank toward the end of 2007 adjusted China’s GDP downward by about 40 percent in terms of its real purchasing power. The implication: China’s economic growth is impressive, but its economy won’t approach the size of the United States’ any time soon. Such a sustained rate of economic growth, however, remains unprecedented in human history, and the tremendous speed and scope of changes – urbanization, privatization, industrialization, and globalization – have wrought seismic upheavals within Chinese society. As China has gained power and influence in Asia and the world, a number of variables have emerged to complicate this rise: environmental degradation serious enough to threaten China’s economic future; a widening rural/urban income gap and resulting social unrest; volatile religious and ethnic issues, especially in the western autonomous regions of Tibet and Xinjiang; and growing dissatisfaction with the corruption, especially at the local level, of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officials.
This is the root of much tension within Chinese society: The one-party government has given unprecedented power to individuals to engage in business and grow the economy, but retains a tight grip on political power. For now, according to the task force report, the CCP seems to be relying on a combination of sustained economic growth, appeals to Chinese nationalism, and strict repression to protect its monopoly on power. According to Eric Hagt, director of the China Program at the Washington D.C.-based World Security Institute, China’s ability to continue on its path toward increasing regional and global power is largely dependent on how well it handles these domestic issues. “In China, you can see this increasing focus on internal issues, because its most pressing problems are internal,” said Hagt. “You have to deal with a fifth of the world’s population as a government. And some are saying that this is almost an international issue, because it includes so many different issues.” China has repeatedly bristled at input from other nations regarding its internal affairs, but one of the factors the CCP is banking on to help it retain power – sustained economic growth – necessarily involves the rest of the world. China’s foreign affairs have long been officially guided by the “Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence,” first articulated by Premier Zhou Enlai in 1953: mutual respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity, mutual
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China
Adm. Timothy Keating, U.S. commander in the Pacific, left, chats with China’s Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi during their meeting at the Foreign Ministry Office in Beijing, Jan. 14, 2008. Keating was in China to strengthen military ties between the two countries.
nonaggression, noninterference in internal affairs, equality and mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence. Today, says the Council on Foreign Relations’ task force report, China’s current foreign policies are more pragmatically focused on three broad objectives: cooperating with the United States, while preventing the emergence of any coalition that might hinder China’s activities; maintaining a “zone of peace” around China that enables the country to grow the economy, while expanding its regional influence; and securing and diversifying its access to natural resources – particularly energy supplies. These practical concerns have led to another source of American discomfort: China’s expanding economic and political influence in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America, and what it means for U.S. interests. Those who believe in the existence of a new Cold War say it is already being fought in these spheres, where China is purchasing influence with cash for resources – and, with trading partners such as Sudan and Iran, implicitly valuing oil over human rights. China hawks also point to what was
once described in an internal U.S. Department of Defense report, prepared for former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld by defense contractor Booz Allen Hamilton, as China’s “string of pearls” strategy: building ports and diplomatic ties along its oil route from the Middle East, including port facilities in Pakistan, Burma, Bangladesh, and Cambodia. The Pakistani port, near the Strait of Hormuz – because it is a deepwater port, capable of receiving naval ships – is cause for particular concern among analysts who suspect China of preparing to project military force to other parts of the world. Is China merely conducting a charm offensive, lying low under the principle of “peaceful development” until it is capable of rearranging the order of things in Asia and the world? For now, many analysts are unwilling to draw such a conclusion. “If you look at China’s policy, it’s non-interference. It’s peaceful coexistence. It’s harmonious society,” said Hagt, who spends about half of every year in Beijing studying Chinese policy discussions, both official and informal. “It’s a mentality of fitting in, not stirring the pot, calming fears of China’s rise. There’s little in there that suggests China is trying to export some
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THE YEAR IN DEFENSE 2008
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Apprentice Rialyn C. Rodrigo
The Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy Luhu (Type 052)-class guided missile destroyer Qingdao (DDG 113) lowers a small boat as it participates in a search and rescue exercise with U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyer USS Shoup (DDG 86) off the coast of Southern California on Sept. 20, 2006. China’s goals for its naval capability remain unknown to Western observers.
kind of ideal that would displace or challenge the United States. At most, I think China is simply trying to defend the baseline and say, ‘Absolute influence and dominance by the U.S. – economically, diplomatically, strategically – is something we need to change.’” Even if the Chinese government were intent on achieving regional primacy, Hagt says, it would be difficult to marshal all the nation’s constituencies toward that end. “I’m not sure China has a strong enough grip even on its own system to orchestrate that kind of challenge,” Hagt said. He pointed to the idea put forth by Albert Keidel, a China analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for Peace, that China’s governing system, because of its economic reforms, is more of a “corporate technocracy” than a totalitarian system. “There are many problems with the idea of a strong central government, directing everything,” Hagt said. “In many ways, China is run more like a corporation with interests and a bottom line that is directing the activities. There
are many military, commercial, and political centrifugal forces pulling in different directions, often working contrary to central policies. So I think the idea that China has some kind of major overarching strategy to lie low and then spring on the international community and the U.S. is real ambitions – when you peel away the arguments and look at the specifics, there’s not that much of a coordinated strategy among the different constituencies internally in China.” Romberg appears to agree that, for now, China is focusing narrowly on the objectives named in the task force’s report: improving U.S.-China relations, establishing a “zone of peace,” and securing access to natural resources. “I don’t think China is seeking to overturn the basic order of things in East Asia,” he said. “I think they want to make sure that their interests are recognized and respected, and from their own point of view protected. But I do think for now, and I would say for a considerable period of time to come, one ought not to assume that they are interested in chasing the U.S. out of the region.”
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China
A Modern Military for a Modern Power One of the most formidable sources of unease with the growing power of China is the military modernization that its new economic might has enabled and recently accelerated. Since a strategic shift in 1985 toward a more defensive military posture, aimed in part at the bluewater defense of China’s coastal shores by its navy (the People’s Liberation Army Navy, or PLAN), the PLA – still the largest active-duty military in the world, with 2.3 million troops – has trimmed its ranks and turned its focus on quality, rather than quantity. After the 1991 Gulf War provided further proof that the PLA was oversized and outdated, then-President Jiang Zemin announced a “Revolution in Military Affairs,” with a goal of transforming the PLA into a force that could win “local wars under high-tech conditions.” China’s defense budget has increased dramatically during the past two decades, including an 18 percent increase in 2007 alone. Its focus on technology and informatization over manpower has compelled the acquisition of advanced weapons’ systems, including several Russian imports: Sovremenny-class surface destroyers; Sukhoi Su-27 and Su-30 fighter aircraft; and Kilo-class diesel-electric submarines. China has acquired and improved upon the Russian S-300 surface-to-air missile systems, and is also producing its own fighter aircraft, the J-10 and J-11. Its other military imports include long-range target acquisition systems, including optical satellites and maritime unmanned vehicles. Such a dramatic, and rapid, military buildup has alarmed some in the world community, who fear that China will soon rise as a peer competitor of the United States, project power around the globe, and challenge the U.S. role in East Asia. The secrecy of China’s military establishment has fueled some of this anxiety: The PLAN continues to deny that it plans to build an aircraft carrier group to fulfill its blue-water capacity in the Strait of Taiwan and the South China Sea, though the government – or private companies closely tied to the government – have, since 1985, purchased four carriers in varying stages of construction from around the world. Rear Adm. Michael McDevitt, U.S. Navy (ret.), directs the Center for Strategic Studies at the CNA Corporation, a Washington, D.C.-based nonprofit research organization that operates the Center for Naval Analyses and the Institute for Public Research. He has often said that the United States and China are the only two nations in the world who are working very hard to improve their relations across the board on the one hand, and preparing to go to war with each other on the other. And to McDevitt, the adversarial tone that sometimes afflicts U.S.-China relations is less about suspicion or mistrust than it is about what he calls “a natural and inherent contradiction in strategic problems. “Militaries inherently do worst-case planning,” said McDevitt. “And so both the PLA and the Department of Defense, if they’re executing their responsibilities correctly, have to take a look at things that, while probably not likely, are potentially disruptive to the national security they’re called upon to defend.” The modernization of the PLA is unsurprising, he says, when you consider China’s strategic problems: “They have to address a problem with Taiwan. They have to address a problem with unresolved territorial issues in the South China Sea and the East China Sea. They have to worry about the fact that, for the very first time in the long history of China, their economic well-being and development depends on maritime commerce. They have to worry about getting enough energy to keep the economy going, and most of the energy that comes to China travels by sea – at least the petroleum part of it does. They have to worry that the center of economic gravity of the country is on their eastern seaboard, which means that ... it would be very vulnerable to an attack from the sea.” Of course, McDevitt pointed out, the only naval or air forces in the world that could have much influence over these concerns belong to the United States. “Now put the shoe on the other foot,” McDevitt said. “What are the problems that we have to deal with? Well, we have an implied, if not a specific, defense obligation to Taiwan, so our policy is no unilateral change in the status quo. With that as a policy prescription, which includes no use of force, then what we have to worry about is: How would we militarily deter them from pulling the trigger on Taiwan? That’s one of our problems. We have a security obligation to Japan, which is very close to China. We have a long-standing policy in East Asia, for at least the last 60 years, that we try to maintain stability by military presence in the region.”
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