World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision - Volume I: Comprehensive Tables (Population Studies)

Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division

World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United Nations New York, 2007

DESA The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take stock of policy options; (i) it facilitates the negotiations of Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical assistance, helps build national capacities.

Note The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. This publication has been issued without formal editing. Suggested citation: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.Xl11.2).

UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION Sales No. E.07.Xl11.2 Copyright United Nations 2007 All rights reserved Q

PREFACE

The 2006 Revision of World Population Prospects represents the latest global demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. This volume of the 2006 Revision presents the comprehensive tables of the official United Nations world population estimates and projections. Covering the 1950-2050 time period, demographic profiles and selected demographic indicators are provided for the world, each development group, the major areas and regions of the world and for each country with more than 100,000 inhabitants in 2007. For countries with less than 100,000 inhabitants in 2007, only figures related to population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for 1950-2005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. The projections are presented as medium, high, low and constant-fertility variants. The tables are accompanied by an executive summary of the results and the assumptions underlying the 2006 Revision. The executive summary and the assumptions have been translated into the six official United Nations languages. The full results of the 2006 Revision are presented in a series of three volumes. In addition to the present volume, the second volume' contains the age and sex distributions of populations for the period 1950-2050. The third volume2 is devoted to an analysis of the results. Summary findings of the 2006 Revision are also shown in a wall chart3. In addition, data are distributed in digital form. Interested users can purchase one of the two different CD-ROMS~containing the major results of the 2006 Revision. A description of the data provided on the CD-ROMs and an order form are presented on pages 3 to 13 of this publication and are also posted on the Population Division's web site (www.unpopulation.org). Responsibility for the 2006 Revision rests with the Population Division. Preparation of the 2006 Revision was facilitated by the collaboration of the regional commissions, especially the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, and of UNAIDS, the specialized agencies and other relevant bodies of the United Nations with the Population Division.

A major source of official national population statistics used in the preparation of these estimates and projections is the United Nations Demographic Yearbook and its accompanying databases, produced and maintained by the Statistics Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The Population Division is grateful to the Statistics Division for its continuing cooperation.

'

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution ofthe World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.XIII.3). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, forthcoming). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Wall Chart (United Nations publication, forthcoming). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, CD-ROMEdition (United Nations publication, Comprehensive Dataset, Sales No. E.07.XIII.8;Extended Dataset, Sales No. E.07.XIII.7).

For further information about the 2006 Revision, please contact Ms. Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Fax: 1 2 12 963 2 147).

CONTENTS Page

Preface Explanatory notes Executive Summaries English Arabic Chinese French Russian Spanish

iii xii xix xxxv lxi Ixxix xcvii cxvii

I. INTRODUCTION

1

II. ANALYSIS

4

A. B. C. D.

4 11 14 22

III.

World population trends Fertility Mortality and the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS International migration

ORDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON

CD-ROM

IV. BIBLIOGRAPHY

24 35

V. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS

36

TABLES

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.

Population of the world, major development groups and major areas, 1950, 1975, 2007 and 2050 according to different variants Percentage distribution of the world population by development group and major area, 1950, 1975, 2007 and 2050, according to projection variant Percentage distribution of the population by broad age group for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, medium variant, 2005 and 2050 Average annual rate of population change of the total population and the population in broad age groups by major area, medium variant, 2005-2050 Estimated and projected total fertility for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, 1970-1975, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 according to variant Distribution of countries and areas by level of total fertility in 1950-1955, 1970-1975, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium variant) Life expectancy at birth for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 Life expectancy at birth by sex for the world and the major development groups, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 Average annual net number of international migrants per decade by major development group and major area, 1950-2050

4 5 7 10 12 12 15 17 23

FIGURES

1. 2.

Average annual rate of population change for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant) Total fertility trajectories for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 v

6 11

Page

3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2050 Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2050 Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Eastern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010 Population in 2015, with AIDS andwithout AIDS, by sex and age group, South Africa

16 16 18 20 20

MAPS

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

Average annual rate of population change, 2005-2010, medium variant Average annual rate of population change, 2045-2050, medium variant Median age in 2005, medium variant Median age in 2050, medium variant Total fertility in 2005-2010, medium variant Total fertility in 2045-2050, medium variant Life expectancy at birth, 2005-2010, medium variant Life expectancy at birth, 2045-2050, medium variant

8 8 9 9 13 13 21 21

ANNEX TABLES I.

A.l.

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES

Demographic profiles by major area, region and special group World More developed regions Less developed regions Least developed countries Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa Africa Eastern Africa Middle Africa Northern Africa Southern Africa Western Africa Asia Eastern Asia South-Central Asia South-Eastern Asia Western Asia Europe Eastern Europe Northern Europe Southern Europe Western Europe Latin America and the Caribbean Caribbean Central America South America Northern America Oceania Australia/New Zealand Melanesia

VI

42 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102

Page

Micronesia Polynesia A.2.

104 106

Demographic profiles by country or area Afghanistan Albania Algeria Angola Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Darussalam Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Canada Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Channel Islands Chile China China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR Colombia Comoros Congo Costa Rica Coted'Ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Democratic People's Republic of Korea Democratic Republic of the Congo Denmark Djibouti Dominican Republic

108 108 110 112 114 116 118 120 122 124 126 128 130 132 134 136 138 140 142 144 146 148 150 152 154 156 158 160 162 164 166 168 170 172 174 176 178 180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194 196 198 200 202 204 206 208 210

vii

Page

Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Fiji Finland France French Guiana French Polynesia Gabon Gambia Georgia Germany Ghana Greece Grenada Guadeloupe Guam Guatemala Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Haiti Honduras Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iraq Ireland Israel Italy Jamaica Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Lao People's Democratic Republic Latvia Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Lithuania Luxembourg Madagascar Malawi Malaysia Maldives Mali

212 214 216 218 220 222 224 226 228 230 232 234 236 238 240 242 244 246 248 250 252 254 256 258 260 262 264 266 268 270 272 274 276 278 280 282 284 286 288 290 292 294 296 298 300 302 304 306 308 310 312 314 316 318 320 322

viii

Page Malta Martinique Mauritania Mauritius Mexico Micronesia (Federated States of) Moldova Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nepal Netherlands Netherlands Antilles New Caledonia New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Norway Occupied Palestinian Territory Oman Pakistan Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Qatar Republic of Korea Reunion Romania Russian Federation Rwanda Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Samoa Sao Tome and Principe Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Sierra Leone Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Solomon Islands Somalia South Africa Spain Sri Lanka Sudan

„

ix

324 326 328 330 332 334 336 338 340 342 344 346 348 350 352 354 356 358 360 362 364 366 368 370 372 374 376 378 380 382 384 386 388 380 392 394 396 398 400 402 404 406 408 410 412 414 416 418 420 422 424 426 428 430 432 434

Page

Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Thailand The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Timor-Leste Togo Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United Republic of Tanzania United States of America United States Virgin Islands Uruguay Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Viet Nam Western Sahara Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe II.

436 438 440 442 444 446 448 450 452 454 456 458 460 462 464 466 468 470 472 474 476 478 480 482 484 486 488 490 492 494 496

SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

Population size and growth A.3. A.4. A.5. A.6. A.7. A. 8. A.9. A. 10. A. 11. A. 12. A. 13. A. 14.

Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050

x

500 502 503 504 506 508 509 510 512 522 528 534

Page A. 15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A. 16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050 A. 17. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 A. 18. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 A. 19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: estimates, 1985-2005 A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: medium variant, 2005-2020

540 550 556 562 568 578

Fertility A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050

588 596 604 612 620 628

Mortality A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 A.32. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections 1995-2050

636 644 652 660 688 696

Population age composition and dependency ratios A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2000 A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050

XI

702 730 766

Explanatory notes The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report: Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not reported separately. A hyphen (-) indicates that the item is not applicable. A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease. A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals. Years given refer to 1 July. Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1 July of the first year to 1 July of the second year. Numbers and percentages in tables do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. References to countries, territories and areas: The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The designation "more developed" and "less developed" regions are intended for statistical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term "country" as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas. More developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan) and Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The group of least developed countries currently comprises 50 countries: Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanrnar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, Slo Tom6 and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. The designation sub-Saharan Africa is commonly used to indicate all of Africa except northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin America and the Caribbean; Northern America; and Oceania. These major areas are further divided into 2 1 geographical regions. Names and compositions of geographical areas follow those of "Standard country or area codes for statistical use" (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49/Rev.3), available at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/rnethods/m49/m49.htm.

xii

The following abbreviations have been used: AIDS

Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

ART

Antiretroviral therapy

DESA

Department of Economic and Social Affairs

HIV

Human imrnunodeficiency virus

MDGs

Millennium Development Goals

SAR

Special Administrative Region

UNAIDS

Joint United Nations Programme on HIVIAIDS

For analytical purposes, the following country groupings have been used: CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY MAJOR AREA AND REGION OF THE WORLD Africa Eastern AjPica

Middle AjPica

Northern Africa

Burundi comoros5 Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Madagascar Malawi ~auritius~ Mozambique Rkunion Rwanda Seychelles* Somalia Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe

Angola Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea Gabon Sgo Tome and Pnncipe

Algeria Egmt Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Morocco Sudan Tunisia Western Sahara

Southern Africa Botswana Lesotho Namibia South Africa Swaziland

WesternAfrica Benin Burkina Faso Cape Verde C6te d'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Mauritania Niger Nigeria Saint ~ e l e n *a ~ Senegal Sierra Leone Togo

Asia Eastern Asia

South-Central ~sia'

South-Eastern Asia

China China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR Democratic People's Republic of Korea Japan Mongolia Republic of Korea

Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka Tajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan

Brunei Damssalam Cambodia Indonesia Lao People's Democratic Republic Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Timor-Leste Viet Nam

Including Mayotte. Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

WesternAsia Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Cyprus Georgia Iraq Israel Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Occupied Palestinian Territory Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Syrian Arab Republic Turkey United Arab Emirates Yemen

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Europe Eastern Europe

Northern Europe

Southern Europe

Western Europe

Belarus Bulgaria Czech Republic Hunga~y Moldova Poland Romania Russian Federation Slovakia Ukraine

Channel 1slands9 Denmark Estonia Faeroe Islands*

Albania Andorra* Bosnia and Herzegovina Croatia Gibraltar* Greece Holy See* Italy Malta Montenegro Portugal San Marino* Serbia Slovenia Spain The former Yugoslav Republic of ~ a c e d o n i a ' ~

Austria Belgium France Germany Liechtenstein* Luxembourg Monaco* Netherlands Switzerland

inland"

Iceland Ireland Isle of Man* Latvia Lithuania ~orwa~' Sweden United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern 1relandlZ

'

Latin America and the Caribbean Caribbean

Central America

South America

Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda* Aruba Bahamas Barbados British Virgin Islands* Cayman Islands* Cuba Dominica* Dominican Republic Grenada Guadeloupe Haiti Jamaica Martinique Montserrat* Netherlands Antilles Puerto Rico Saint Kitts and Nevis* Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Turks and Caicos Islands* United States Virgin Islands

Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama

Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Falkland Islands (Malvinas)* French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname U~WW~Y Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including &and Islands. l ' Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l2 Also referred to as United Kingdom. l3 Also referred to as TFYR Macedonia. 'O

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Northern America Bermuda* Canada Greenland* Saint Pierre and Miquelon* United States of America14

Oeeania AustraliaNew Zealand

Melanesia

Micronesia

Polynesia

~ustralia'' New Zealand

Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu

Guam Kiribati* Marshal1 Islands* Micronesia (Federated States of) Nauru* Northern Mariana Islands* Palau*

American Samoa* Cook Islands* French Polynesia Niue* Pitcairn* Samoa Tokelau* Tonga Tuvalu* Wallis and Futuna Islands*

Sub-Saharan Africa Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Carneroon Cape Verde Central African Chad Comoros Congo

l4

l5

CBte d'Ivoire Democratic Republic of the Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau

Kenya Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger

Also referred to as United States. Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

Nigeria Rhnion Rwanda Saint Helena Sto Tom6 and Principe Senegal Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South Aftica Sudan

Swaziland Togo Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Least developed countries Afghanistan Angola Bangladesh Benin Bhutan Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Comoros Democratic Republic of the Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia

Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti Kiribati Lao People's Democratic Republic Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Maldives Mali Mauritania Mozambique Myanmar Nepal Niger

Rwanda Samoa SZo Tom6 and Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Solomon Islands Somalia Sudan Timor-Leste Togo Tuvalu Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Vanuatu Yemen Zambia

Note: Countries with a population of less than 100,000 in 2007 are indicated by an asterisk (*).

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 2006 Revision is the twentieth round of official United Nations population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. These are used throughout the United Nations system as the basis for activities requiring population information. The 2006 Revision builds on the 2004 Revision and incorporates both the results of the 2000 round of national population censuses and of recent specialized surveys carried around the world. These sources provide both demographic and other information to assess the progress made in achieving the internationally agreed development goals, including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The comprehensive review of past worldwide demographic trends and future prospects presented in the 2006 Revision provides the population basis for the assessment of those goals. According to the 2006 Revision, the world population will likely increase by 2.5 billion over the next 43 years, passing from the current 6.7 billion to 9.2 billion in 2050. This increase is equivalent to the size that the world population had in 1950 and it will be absorbed mostly by the less developed regions, whose population is projected to rise from 5.4 billion in 2007 to 7.9 billion in 2050. In contrast, the population of the more developed regions is expected to remain largely unchanged at 1.2 billion and would have declined were it not for the projected net migration from developing to developed countries, which is expected to average 2.3 million persons a year after 20 10. As a result of declining fertility and increasing longevity, the populations of a growing number of countries are ageing rapidly. Between 2005 and 2050, half of the increase in the world population will be accounted for by a rise in the population aged 60 years or over, whereas the number of children (persons under age 15) will decline slightly. Furthermore, in the more developed regions, the population aged 60 or over is expected nearly to double (from 245 million in 2005 to 406 million in 2050) whereas that of persons under age 60 will likely decline (from 971 million in 2005 to 839 million in 2050). The 2006 Revision confirms the diversity of demographic dynamics among the different world regions. While the population at the global level is on track to surpass 9 billion by 2050 and hence continues to increase, that of the more developed regions is hardly changing and will age markedly. As already noted, virtually all population growth is occurring in the less developed regions and especially in the group of the 50 least developed countries, many of which still have relatively youthful populations that are expected to age only moderately over the foreseeable fbture. Among the rest of the developing countries, rapid population ageing is expected. Underlying these varied patterns of growth and changes in the age structure are distinct trends in fertility and mortality. Below-replacement fertility prevails in the more developed regions and is expected to continue to 2050. Fertility is still high in most of the least developed countries and, although it is expected to decline, it will remain higher than in the rest of the world. In the rest of the developing countries, fertility has declined markedly since the late 1960s and is expected to reach below-replacement levels by 2050 in the majority of them. Mortality in the established market economies of the developed world is low and continues to decline, but it has been stagnant or even increasing in a number of countries with economies in transition, largely as a result of deteriorating social and economic conditions and, in some cases, because of the spread of HIV. Mortality is also decreasing in the majority of

developing countries, but in those highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, mortality has been increasing. The HIVIAIDS epidemic continues to spread. The number of countries with a significant number of infected people in the 2006 Revision is 62, up from 60 in the 2004 Revision and 53 in the 2002 Revision. Although HIV prevalence in some countries has been revised downward since 2004 on the basis of newly availat.de nationally representative data, the toll of the disease continues to be high and is expected i;o remain so, despite projected reductions in the prevalence of HIVIAIDS. Lower projected levels of HI'd prevalence depend on the realization of the commitments made by Governments in the 2000 Millennium ~eclaration' and the 2001 United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIVIAIDS~.In particular, the projected population trends depend on achieving a major increase in the proportion of AIDS patients who get antiretroviral therapy to trcat the disease and on the success of efforts to control the further spread of HIV. In the 2006 Revision, the 62 co~~ntries considered to be highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic include 40 located in Africa. In projecting the effect of the disease, it is assumed that 3 1 of the most affected countries will manage to provide by 2015 antiretroviral treatment to 70 per cent or more of the persons suffering from AIDS. In the rest of the affected countries, treatment levels are expected to be lower, reaching between 40 per cent and 50 per cent by 2015. It is further assumed that persons receiving treatment survive, on average, 17.5 years instead of the 10 years expected in the abscncc of treatment. Mainly as a result of these assumptions and owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of HIVIALIDS in countries where nationally representative data on the epidemic have become available, an estimated 32 million fewer deaths are projected to occur during 2005-2020 in the 62 countries most affected by the epidemic according to the 2006 Revision than would have occurred if death rates were the same as in the 2004 Revision. These changes also contribute to make the population projected to 2050 larger according to the 2006 Revision than according to the 2004 Revision (9.2 billion vs. 9.1 billion). Realization of the medium variant projections contained in the 2006 Revision is also contingent on ensuring that fertility continues to decline in developing countries. According to the 2006 Revision, fertility in the less developed countries as a whole is expected to drop from 2.75 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.05 in 2045-2050. The reduction expected in the group of 50 least developed countries is even sharper: from 4.63 children per woman to 2.50 children per wornan. To achieve such reductions it is essential that access to family planning expands in the poorest countries of the world. The urgency of realizing the reductions of fertility projected is brought into focus by considering thtit, if fertility were to remain constant at the levels estimated for 2000-2005, the population of the less developed regions would increase to 10.6 billion instead of thc 7.9 billion projected by assurning that fertility declines. That is, without further reductions of fertility, the world population could increase by twice as many people as those who were alive in 1950.

I

Sec General Assembly Resolution A/I<es/5512.

' Scc General ilssembly Resolution A/l<eslS-2612.

Other key findings resulting from the comprehensive review of past worldwide demographic trends and hture prospects presented in the 2006 Revision are summarized below. l . In July 2007 the world population will reach 6.7 billion, 547 million more than in 2000 or a gain of 78 million persons annually. Assuming that fertility levels continue to decline, the world population is expected to reach 9.2 billion in 2050 and to be increasing by about 30 million persons annually at that time, according to the medium variant (table 1). TABLE1 . POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS

Population in 2050 (millions)

Population (millions)

Major area

1950

1975

200 7

Low

Medium

High

Constant

World .................................................

2 535

4 076

6 671

7 792

9191

10756

11858

More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries .............. Other less developed countries .......

814 1722 200 1521

1048 3 028 358 2670

1223 5 448 804 4644

1 065 6 727 1 496 5 231

1 245 7 946 1 742 6 204

1 451 9 306 2 002 7 304

1218 10639 2 794 7 845

Africa ................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ................................................ Latin America and the Caribbean....... Northern America ............................... Oceania...............................................

224 1411 548 168 172 13

416 2394 676 325 243 21

965 4030 73 1 572 339 34

1718 4 444 566 64 1 382 42

1 998 5266 664 769 445 49

2 302 6189 777 914 517 56

3 251 6 525 626 939 460 57

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.

2. Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility takes (figure 1). In the medium variant, fertility of the world declines from 2.55 children per woman today to slightly over 2 children per woman in 2050. If fertility were to remain about half a child above the levels projected in the medium variant, world population would reach 10.8 billion by 2050. A fertility path half a child below the medium variant would lead to a population of 7.8 billion by mid-century. That is, at the world level, continued population growth until 2050 is inevitable even if the decline in fertility accelerates. 3. Because of its low and declining rate of population growth, the population of developed countries as a whole is expected to remain virtually unchanged between 2007 and 2050, at about 1.2 billion, according to the medium variant. In contrast, the population of the 50 least developed countries will likely more than double, passing from 0.8 billion in 2007 to 1.7 billion in 2050. Growth in the rest of the developing world is also projected to be robust, though less rapid, with its population rising from 4.6 billion to 6.2 billion between 2007 and 2050 according to the medium variant.

4. Slow population growth brought about by reductions in fertility leads to population ageing, that is, it produces populations where the proportion of older persons increases while that of younger persons decreases. In the more developed regions, 20 per cent of the population is already aged 60 years or over and that pkoportion is projected to reach 33 per cent in 2050 (table 2). In developed countries as a whole, the number of older persons (persons aged 60 or

over) has already surpassed the number of children (persons under age 15) and by 2050 the number of older persons is expected to be more than double the number of children in developed countries. Figure 1. Population of the world, 1950-2050,according to different projection variants

-

Medium -0-

Low -High

- - 6- -

Constant fertility

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.

5. Population ageing is less advanced in developing countries. Nevertheless, the populations of a majority of them are posed to enter a period of rapid population ageing. In developing countries as a whole, just 8 per cent of the population is today aged 60 years or over but by 2050,20 per cent of their population is expected to be in that age range (table 2). 6. Globally, the number of persons aged 60 years or over is expected nearly to triple, increasing fkom 673 million in 2005 to 2 billion by 2050. Over the same period, the share of older persons living in developing countries is expected to rise from 64 per cent in 2005 to nearly 80 per cent in 2050. 7. A feature of ageing populations is that the numbers of older persons increase faster the higher the age range considered. Thus, whereas the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to triple, that of persons aged 80 or over (the oldest-old) is projected to increase nearly five-fold, from 88 million in 2005 to 402 million in 2050. Today, about half of the oldest-old live in developing countries but that share is expected to reach 71 per cent in 2050.

xxii

TABLE2.

PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTIONBY BROAD AGE GROUP FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROWS AND MAJOR AREAS, 2005 AND 2050, MEDIUM VARIANT, 2005-2050

Percentaxe distribufionin 2005 Major area

0-14

World................................................................... More developed region .................................... Less developed regions..................................... Least developed countries............................. Other less developed countries ..................... Africa................................................................... Asia ...................................................................... Europe .................................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ......................... Northern Amcrica ................................................ Oceania.................................................................

28.3 17.0 30.9 41.5 29.1 41.4 28.0 15.9 29.8 20.5 24.9

15-59

61.4 62.9 61.0 53.4 62.3 53.4 62.7 63.5 61.2 62.7 61.0

60+

10.3 20.1 8.1 5.1 8.6 5.2 9.2 20.6 9.0 16.7 14.1

80+

1.3 3.7 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.0 3.5 1.2 3.5 2.6

Percentage distribution in 2050 0-14

19.8 15.2 20.6 28.2 18.4 28.0 18.0 14.6 18.0 17.1 18.4

15-59

58.3 52.2 59.3 61.5 58.7 61.7 58.3 50.9 57.8 55.6 56.9

60+

21.8 32.6 20.1 10.3 22.9 10.4 23.7 34.5 24.3 27.3 24.8

80+

4.4 9.4 3.6 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.5 9.6 5.2 7.8 6.8

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.

8. Although the populations of all countries are expected to age over the foreseeable future, the populations of countries where fertility is still high will remain relatively young and will increase rapidly. High population growth rates prevail in a number of developing countries, the majority of which are least developed. Between 2005 and 2050, the populations of Afghanistan, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger, Timor-Leste and Uganda are projected to increase at least threefold. 9. In sharp contrast, the populations of 46 countries or areas, including Germany, Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, most of the successor States of the former USSR and several small island States are expected to be smaller in 2050 than in 2005.

10. Population growth remains concentrated in the populous countries. During 2005-2050, eight countries are expected to account for half of the world's projected population increase: India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United States of America, Bangladesh and China, listed according to the size of their contribution to global population growth. 1 1. The median age, that is, the age that divides the population in two halves of equal size, is an indicator of population ageing. At the world level, the median age is projected to increase from 28 to 38 years between 2005 and 2050. Europe has today the oldest population, with a median age of nearly 39 years that is expected to reach 47 years in 2050. 12. The median age is higher in countries having low fertility for long periods. In 2005, the median age in 13 developed countries or areas was higher than 40 years. The pervasiveness of population ageing is reflected by the fact that 93 countries are projected to have median ages above 40 years in 2050,48 of which are developing countries (map 1).

xxiii

Map 1. Median age in 2005, medium variant

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on the present map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Map 2. Median age in 2050, medium variant

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on the present map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

xxiv

13. Countries where fertility remains high and has declined only moderately will experience the slowest population ageing. By 2050, about one in five countries is projected to have a median age below 30 years. The least developed countries will have the youngest populations, with eight of them having median ages below 24 years in 2050, namely, Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger and Uganda (map 2). 14. As noted above, fertility reductions are the main cause of population ageing. At the world level, fertility is estimated to be 2.55 children per woman, about half the level it had in 19501955 at 5 children per women (table 3). In the medium variant, global fertility is projected to decline m h e r to 2.02 children per woman. Average world levels result from quite different trends in the major development groups. In developed countries as a whole, fertility is currently 1.60 children per woman and is projected to increase slowly to 1.79 children per woman in 2045-2050. In the least developed countries, fertility is 4.63 children per woman and is expected to drop by about half, to 2.50 children per woman by 2045-2050. In the rest of the developing world, fertility is already moderately low at 2.45 children per woman and is expected to decline further to 1.91 children per woman by mid-century, thus nearly converging to the fertility levels by then typical of the developed world. TABLE 3. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED TOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1970-1975,2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 ACCORDING TO PROJECTION VARIANT Totalfertility (average number of childrenper woman) 2045-2050

Major area

World .................................................. More developed regions...................... Less developed regions ....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries ....... Africa .................................................. Asia ..................................................... Europe................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................. Oceania ...............................................

1970-1975

2005-2010

Low

Medium

High

Constant

4.47 2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25 6.72 5.04 2.16 5.04 2.01 3.23

2.55 1.60 2.75 4.63 2.45 4.67 2.34 1.45 2.37 2.00 2.30

1.54 1.29 1.57 2.02 1.42 1.97 1.40 1.26 1.36 1.35 1.43

2.02 1.79 2.05 2.50 1.91 2.46 1.90 1.76 1.86 1.85 1.93

2.51 2.28 2.54 2.99 2.41 2.95 2.39 2.26 2.36 2.35 2.43

3.49 1.68 3.69 5.49 3.07 5.47 2.94 1.47 2.67 1.99 2.83

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.

NOTE:Only countries or areas with 100,000persons or more in 2007 are included.

15. In 2005-2010, fertility remains above 5 children per woman in 27 of the 150 developing countries, and those 27 countries account for 9 per cent of the world population. Most countries with very high fertility are poor and belong to the group of least developed countries. In contrast, fertility has reached below-replacement levels in 28 developing countries, which account for 25 per cent of the world population. This group includes China whose average fertility during 2005-2010 is estimated at 1.73 children per woman.

xxv

16. Fertility is also below replacement level in all 45 developed countries or areas, which account for 19 per cent of the world population. In 27 of them, including Japan and most of the countries located in Southern and Eastern Europe, fertility remains below 1.5 children per woman. Since 1990-1995, fertility decline has been the rule among the vast majority of developed countries and is leading to rapid population ageing. 17. Another factor contributing to population ageing is the reduction of mortality at adult ages. Global life expectancy at birth, which is estimated to have risen from 58 years in 1970-1975 to 67 years in 2005-2010, is expected to keep on rising to reach 75 years in 2045-2050 (table 4). In the more developed regions, the projected increase is from 77 years today to 82 years by mid-century, and in the less developed regions life expectancy is projected to rise froin 65 years in 2005-2010 to 74 years in 2045-2050. TABLE4. LIFEEXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 2005-201 0 AND 2045-2050 -

--

Major area

- -

2005-201 0

2045-2050

World ...............................................

67.2

75.4

More developed regions ................... Less developed regions .................... Least developed countries ............ Other less developed countries .....

76.5 65.4 54.6 67.9

82.4 74.3 67.2 76.4

Africa ............................................... Asia .................................................. Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean..... Northern America ............................ Oceania ............................................

52.8 69.0 74.6 73.3 78.5 75.2

66.1 77.4 81.0 79.6 83.3 81.0

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the llnited Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations

18. Life expectancy remains low in the least developed countries, at just 55 years, and although it is projected to reach 67 years in 2045-2050, achieving such an increase is contingent on reducing the spread of HIV and combating successfblly other infectious diseases. Similar challenges must be confronted if' the projected increase of life expectancy in the rest of the developing countries, from under 68 years today to 76 years by mid-century, is to bc achieved. 19. Among the more developed regilons, Eastern Europe has the lowest life expectancy at birth and has had a declining life expelctancy since the late 1980s. In 2005-2010 life expectancy in the region, at 68.6 years, is lower than it was in 1960-1965 (69.3 years). The Russian Federation and Ukraine have experienced serious increases in mortality, partly because of the spread of HIV. 20. Despite the advances made in treating people infected with HIV and in controlling the spread of the epidemic, its impact in terms of morbidity, mortality and slower population growth continues to be evident in many countries. In Southern Africa, the region with the highest prevalence of the disease, life expectancy has fallen from 62 years in 1990-1995 to 49 years

in 2005-2010 and is not expected to regain the level it had in the early 1990s before 2045. As a consequence, the growth rate of the population in the region has plummeted, passing from 2.5 per cent annually in 1990-1995 to 0.6 per cent annually in 2005-2010 and is expected to continue declining for the foreseeable future. 21. The contribution of international migration to population growth in the more developed regions has increased in significance as fertility declines. During 2005-2050, the net number of international migrants to more developed regions is projected to be 103 million, a figure that counterbalances the excess of deaths over births (74 million) projected over the period. 22. In 2005-2010, the net migration more than doubled the contribution of natural increase (births minus deaths) to population growth in eight countries or areas, namely, Belgium, Canada, Hong Kong (China SAR), Luxembourg, Singapore, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland. In a further eight countries or areas, net migration counterbalanced the excess of deaths over births. These countries are: Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Channel Islands, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia. 23. In terms of annual averages during 2005-2050, the major net receivers of international migrants are projected to be the United States (1.1 million annually), Canada (200,000), Germany (150,000), Italy (139,000), the United Kingdom (130,000), Spain (123,000) and Australia (100,000). The countries with the highest levels of net emigration are projected to be: China (-329,000 annually), Mexico (-306,000), India (-241,000), Philippines (-180,000), Pakistan (-167,000) and Indonesia (-164,000).

xxvii

ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2036 REVISION The preparation of each new revision of the official population estimates and projections of the United Nations involves two distinct processes: (a) the incorporation of all new and relevant information regarding the past demographic dynamics of the population of each country or area of the world; and (b) the formulation of detailed assumptions about the future paths of fertility, mortality and international migration. The data sources used and the methods applied in revising past estimates of demographic indicators (i.e., those referring to 1950-2005) are presented in volume 111 of World Popzrlution Prospects: The 2006 Revision (forthcoming). The future population of each country is projected starting with an estimated population for 1 July 2005. Because population data are not necessarily available for that date, the 2005 estimate is derived from the most recent population data availab!e for each country, obtained usually from a population census or ,a population register, projected to 2005 using all available data on fertility, mortality and international migration trends between the reference date of the population data available and 1 July 2005. In cases where recent data on the components of population growth are not available, estimated demographic trends are projections based on the most recent available data. Population data from all sources are evaluated for completeness, accuracy and consistency, and adjusted as necessary3. To project the population until 2050, the United Nations Population Division uses assumptions regarding future trends in fertility, mortality and international migration. Because future trends cannot be known with certainty, a number of projection variants are produced. The following paragraphs summarize the main assumptions underlying the derivation of demographic indicators for the period starting in 2005 and ending in 2050. A more detailed description of the different assumptions is available in volume I11 of WorM Populution Prospects: Tlie 2006 Revi.sion (forthcoming). A. FERTILITY AISSUMPTIONS: CONVERGEPJCE TOWARD TOTAL FERTILITY BELOW REPLACEMENT LEVEL

The fertility assumptions are described in telms of the following groups of countries: Higl2,fertility countries: Countries that until 2005 had no fertility reduction or only an incipient decline; Medium,fl?rrility cozrntries: Countries where fertility has been declining but whose level was still above 2.1 children per woman in 2000-2005; Low:fel.tilih~countries: Countries with total fertility at or below 2.1 children per woman in 2000-2005.

Total fertility in all countries is assumed to converge eventually toward a level of 1.85 children per woman. Iiowever, not all countries reach this level during the projection period, that is, by 2045-2050. Projection procedures differ slightly depending on whether a country had a total fertility above or below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005. Fertility in high- and medium-fertility counlries is assumed to follow a path derived from models of fertility decline established by the United Nations Population Division on the basis of For a gencrul dchcription of thc procedures used in revising estimates of population dynamics, see "Chapter VI. hlethodology of thc United Nat~onspopuIation estimates and projections" (pp. 100-104) in World Pr~p~/lulion Pmspects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Anul?~ticalRepltorf (United Natiot~spublication, Sales No. E.05.XI11.7).

the past experience of all countries with declining fertility during 1950-2000. The models relate the level of total fertility during a period to the average expected decline in total fertility during the next period. If the total fertility projected by a model for a country falls to 1.85 children per woman before 2050, total fertility is held constant at that level for the remainder of the projection period (that is, until 2050). Therefore, the level of 1.85 children per woman represents a floor value below which the total fertility of high- and medium-fertility countries is not allowed to drop before 2050. However, it is not necessary for all countries to reach the floor value by 2050. If the model of fertility change produces a total fertility above 1.85 children per woman for 2045-2050, that value is used in projecting the population. In all cases, the projected fertility paths yielded by the models are checked against recent trends in fertility for each country, When a country's recent fertility trends deviate considerably from those consistent with the models, fertility is projected over an initial period of 5 or 10 years in such a way that it follows recent experience. The model projection takes over after that transition period. For instance, in countries where fertility has stalled or where there is no evidence of fertility decline, fertility is projected to remain constant for several more years before a declining path sets in. Fertility in low-fertility countries is generally assumed to remain below 2.1 children per woman during most of the projection period and reach 1.85 children per woman by 2045-2050. For countries where total fertility was below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005, it is assumed that over the first 5 or 10 years of the projection period fertility will follow the recently observed trends in each country. After that transition period, fertility is assumed to increase linearly at a rate of 0.05 children per woman per quinquennium. Thus, countries whose fertility is currently very low need not reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2050.

2. High-fertility assumption Under the high variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children above the fertility in the medium variant over most of the projection period. By 2045-2050, fertility in the high variant is therefore half a child higher than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 1.85 children per woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 2.35 children per woman in the high variant at the end of the projection period.

3. Low-fertility assumption Under the low variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children below the fertility in the medium variant over most of the projection period. By 2045-2050, fertility in the low variant is therefore half a child lower than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 1.85 children per woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 1.35 children per woman in the low variant at the end of the projection period. 4. Constant-fertiliQ assumption

For each country, fertility remains constant at the level estimated for 2000-2005. 5. Instant-replacement assumption For each country, fertility is set to the level necessary to ensure a net reproduction rate of l starting in 2005-2010. Fertility varies over the rest of the projection period in such a way that the net reproduction rate always remains equal to unity thus ensuring, over the long-run, the replacement of the population.

xxix

B. MORTALITY ASSIJMPTIONS: INCREASING LIFE EXPECTANCY EXCEPT WHEN AFFECTED BY HIV!AIDS

1. Normal-mortality assumption

Mortality is projected on the basis of models of change of life expectancy produced by the United Nations Population Division. These models produce smaller gains the higher the life expectancy already reached. The selection of a model for each country is based on recent trends in life expectancy by sex. For countries highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the model incorporating a slow pace of mortality decline has generally been used to project a certain slowdown in the reduction of general mortality risks not related to HIVIAIDS. 2. The impact oj'HIV/AIDS on mortality

In the 2006 Revision, all countries with a HIV prevalence among persons aged 15 to 49 equal to or greater than one per cent are considered as seriously affected by the HIVJAIDS epidemic and their mortality is projected by modelling explicitly the course of the epidemic and projecting the yearly incidence of HIV infection. Also considered among the affected countries are those where HIV prevalence is lower than one per cent but whose population is so large that the number of individuals infected is large, such as Brazil, China or the United States of America. In total, 62 countries are considered to be highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic in the 2006 Revision. The model developed by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and ~ r o j e c t i o n sis~used to fit past estimates of HIV prevalence provided by UNAIDS for each of the affected countries so as to derive the parameters determining the past dynamics of the epidemic for each of them. For most countries, the model is fitted assuming that the relevant parameters have remained constant in the past. Beginning in 2005, the parameter PHI, which reflects the rate of recruitment of new individuals into the high-risk or susceptible group, is projected to decline by half every twenty years. The parameter R, which represents the force of infection, is projected to declinc by half every thirty years. The reduction in R reflects the assumption that changes in behaviour among those subject to the risk of infection, along with increases in access to treatment for those infected, will reduce the chances of transmitting the virus. In the 2006 Revision, prevention of mother-to-child transmission is modelled using estimated country-specific coverage rates that average 13 per cent in 2005 among the 62 affected countries, but vary from 0 to 90 per cent among them. These coverage rates are projected to reach 60 per cent on average by 2015, varying between 40 per cent and 100 per cent among the affected countrie~.~ After 2015, the coverage rate is assumed to remain constant at the level reached in each of the affected countries until the end of the projection period. Among women receiving treatment, the probability of transmission from mother to child is assumed to be 1 per cent. These assumptions produce a reduction in the incidence of HIV infection among children born to HIV-

"NAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections (2002). Iinproved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIViAlDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W1-W14. URL: http:llwww.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, W H O (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. ilctions and Progress dzrring the F i ~ y tYear qf Unitefur Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical Annexes). See Table 1. Preventing mother-tochild transmission of NIV (pp. 29-31) and Table 2. Providing paediatric treatrnent (pp. 32-34). URL: www.unicef.orgluniteforchildren.

positive women, but the size of the reductions varies from country to country depending on the level of coverage that treatment reaches in each country.6 The survivorship of infected children4 takes account of varying access to paediatric treatment.6 In the 2006 Revision, HIV-infected children are divided into two groups: (i) for those infected in-utero, among whom the disease progresses rapidly, average survival is modelled to be 1.3 years, and (ii) for those infected after birth through breastfeeding, among whom the disease progresses slowly, average survival is 14 years without treatn~ent.~ Explicit inclusion of paediatric treatment is done via country-specific coverage rates which average 9 per cent in 2005 but vary between 0 and 99 per cent among the 62 affected countries. By 2015, the projected coverage is expected to reach 60 per cent on average varying fkom 40 per cent to 100 per cent among the affected countrie~.~ Coverage levels remain constant Gom 2015 to 2050 at the level reached in each country by 2015. The annual survival of children receiving treatment is 95 per cent, so that their mean survival time is 19.5 years and the median survival time is 13.5 years in the absence of other causes of death.6 The 2006 Revision incorporates a longer survival for persons receiving treatment with highly active antiretroviral therapy (ART). The proportion of the HIV-positive population receiving treatment in each country is consistent with estimates prepared by the World Health organization,* which average 25 per cent in 2005 but varied between 0 and 100 per cent among the 62 affected countries. Coverage is projected to reach between 40 per cent and 100 per cent by 2015, averaging 60 per cent for the affected countries. Between 2015 and 2050, coverage levels remain constant at the level reached in each country by 2015. It is assumed that adults receiving treatment have, on average, a 90 per cent chance of swiving each year in the absence of other causes of death. Under this assumption, mean survival time after the initiation of therapy is 9.5 years and the median survival time is 6.6 years, in the absence of other causes of death. Therapy is assumed to start at the time full-blown AIDS develops. Without treatment, infected adults have a mean survival time of two years after the onset of full-blown AIDS.^

3. Constant-mortality assumption Under this assumption, mortality is maintained constant in each country at the level estimated for 2000-2005. C. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION ASSUMPTIONS l . Normal migration assumption

Under the normal migration assumption, the h r e path of international migration is set on the basis of past international migration estimates and consideration of the policy stance of each country with regard to hture international migration flows. Projected levels of net migration are generally kept constant over most of the projection period.

Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. SexuaZZy Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstra~t~82/s~pp1~3/iii45. 7 Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Gamett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin~volumes/84/2/145.pdf. World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. See Annex 1 . Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middleincome countries (pp. 71 -76). URL: http://www.who.int/hiv/fulIreport_en-high

2, Zero- migration assumption Under this assumption, for each country, international migration is set to zero starting in 2005-20 10.

D. EIGHT PROJECTION VARIANTS The 2006 Revision includes eight different projection variants (table 5). Five of those variants differ among themselves only with respect to the level of fertility in each, that is, they share the assumptions made with respect to mortality and international migration. The five fertility variants are: low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement fertility. A comparison of their results allows an assessment of the effects that different fertility paths have on other demographic parameters.

In addition to the five fertility variants, a constant-mortality variant, a zero-migration variant and a constant variant have been prepared. The constant-mortality variant and the zeromigration variant both have the same fertility assumption (i.e., medium fertility). Furthermore, the constant-mortality variant has the same international migration assumption as the medium variant. Consequently, the results of the constant-mortality variant can be compared with those of the medium variant to assess the effect that changing mortality has on other demographic parameters. Similarly, the zero-migration variant differs from the medium variant only with respect to the underlying assumption regarding international migration. Therefore, the zeromigration variant allows an assessment of the effect that non-zero net migration has on other demographic parameters. Lastly, the constant variant has the same international migration as the medium variant but differs from the latter by having constant fertility and mortality. When compared to the medium variant, therefore, its results shed light on the effects that changing fertility and mortality have on the results obtained.

TABLE5 . PROJECTION VARIANTS IN TERMS OF ASSUMPTIONS FOR

FERTILITY, MORTALITY

AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Assumptions Fertility

12.lnrtaIity

International migrntion

Low Medium High Constant Instant-replacement Medium

Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal Constant

Normal Normal Normal Normal Normai Normal

Constant

Constant

Constant

Normal

Zero-migration

Medium

Normal

Zero

Projection variant

Low Medium I-Iigh Constant-fertility Instant-replacement fertility Constant-mortality

xxxii

CHANGES INTRODUCED IN THE 2006 REVISION E. METHODOLOGICAL

The following changes and adjustments were made in the 2006 Revision in relation to procedures followed in the 2004 Revision. In the medium variant, the fertility of countries with a total fertility below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005 is projected first by continuing recent trends and then by increasing fertility linearly by 0.05 children per woman per quinquemiurn instead of an increase of 0.07 children as in the 2004 Revision. These countries do not necessarily reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2045-2050. The models of the incidence of HIV infection by age have been modified. In the new models, mean age at infection is generally higher than in the models used in previous revisions, particularly for males. A delay in contracting the disease reduces the impact of AIDS-related mortality on life expectancy. The survival of HIV-positive children increased with respect to previously used models not only for those receiving treatment but also for those living without treatment. For HIV-positive adults receiving ART, survival after becoming infected has also increased in relation to previously used models. The effects of receiving ART have been modelled explicitly among both children and adults. In addition, the effects of mother-to-child transmission are projected to decline as access to treatment among women expands.

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Préface On trouvera dans le présent rapport le résumé des résultats de la Révision de 2006 des estimations et projections démographiques mondiales officielles établies par la Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. La Révision de 2006 est la vingtième série d’estimations et de projections démographiques mondiales entreprises par la Division de la population depuis 1950. L‘intégralité des résultats de la Révision de 2006 sera présentée dans une série de trois volumes actuellement en préparation. Le premier volume’ présente des tableaux complets donnant les principaux indicateurs démographiques pour la période 1950-2050 pour chaque pays; le deuxième volume2 donne la pyramide des âges et la répartition par sexe de la population de chaque pays pour la période de 1950-2050 et le troisiéme volume3 contiendra une analyse des résultats obtenus. Les données sont également disponibles sous forme numérique et peuvent être consultées au site Web de la Division de la population, à l’adresse suivante : www.unpopulation.org. Les utilisateurs ayant besoin des résultats complets de la Révision de 2006 peuvent se les procurer en achetant le CD-ROM. Une description des données contenues dans les différents CD-ROM disponibles et un bon de commande se trouvent également au site Web de la Division de la population.

La Division de la population est seule responsable de la Révision de 2006. L’établissement de celle-ci a été facilité par la collaboration, avec la Division de la population, des commissions régionales, en particulier la Commission économique pour l’Amérique latine et les Caraïbes, et d’ONUSIDA, des institutions spécialisées et d’autres organes des Nations Unies compétents. L‘Annuaire démographique des Nations Unies, avec les bases de données qui l’accompagnent, est une source majeure de statistiques démographiques nationales officielles utilisées pour établir ces estimations et projections; l’Annuaire est produit et tenu a jour par la Division de statistique du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. La Division de la population est reconnaissante à la Division de statistique de sa constante coopération. Pour tout complément d’informations au sujet de la Révision de 2006, veuillez vous adresser à MmeHania Zlotnik, Directrice de la Division de la population, Secrétariat de l’ONU, New York, NY 10017, États-Unis (Fax : 1 212 963 2147).

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publication des Nations Unies à paraître). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the Worid Population (publication des Nations Unies à paraître). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (publication des Nations Unies à paraître).

lxxix

Résumé La Révision de 2006 constitue la vingtième série d’estimations et de projections démographiques officielles des Nations Unies; elle a été établie par la Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. Ces estimations et projections sont utilisées dans l’ensemble du système des Nations Unies comme base des activités nécessitant des informations démographiques. La Révision de 2006 s’appuie sur celle de 2004 et intègre à la fois les résultats du cycle de recensements de population de 2000 et d’enquêtes spécialisées récemment réalisées dans le monde. Ces sources ofient aussi une information démographique et autre permettant d’évaluer les progrès accomplis vers les objectifs de développement convenus sur le plan international et en particulier les objectifs du Millénaire pour le développement (OMD). L’examen complet des tendances démographiques mondiales passées et des perspectives d’avenir présenté dans la Révision de 2006 offre une bonne base démographique pour apprécier les progrès accomplis vers ces objectifs. Selon la Révision de 2006, la population mondiale augmentera probablement de 2,5 milliards au cours des 43 prochaines années, passant du chiffre actuel de 6,7 milliards à 9,2 milliards en 2050. Cette augmentation équivaut à ce qu’était la population mondiale en 1950 et elle sera principalement le fait des régions moins développées, dont la population passerait de 5,4 milliards en 2007 à 7,9 milliards en 2050. Par contraste, la population des régions développées devrait rester pratiquement inchangée à 1,2 milliard, et elle baisserait d’ailleurs sans l’apport du solde migratoire projeté des pays en développement vers les pays développés, qui devrait en moyenne représenter 2,3 millions de personnes par an après 2010. Sous l’effet d’une baisse de la fécondité et d’une augmentation de la longévité, la population d’un nombre grandissant de pays vieillit rapidement. Entre 2005 et 2050, la moitié de l’augmentation de la population mondiale sera due à l’augmentation de la population âgée de 60 ans ou plus, alors que le nombre d’enfants (personnes de moins de 15 ans) diminuera légèrement. En outre, dans les régions développées, la population âgée de 60 ans ou plus devrait pratiquement doubler (passant de 245 millions en 2005 à 406 millions en 2050) tandis que celle des personnes ayant moins de 60 ans baisserait vraisemblablement (de 971 millions en 2005 à 839 millions en 2050). La Révision de 2006 confirme la diversité de la dynamique démographique dans les différentes régions du monde. Alors que la population au niveau mondial dépassera sans doute 9 milliards en 2050, et après cette date continuera à augmenter, celle des régions développées ne changera pratiquement pas et vieillira nettement. Comme on l’a déjà noté, presque tout l’accroissement de la population a lieu dans les régions moins développées et en particulier dans le groupe des 50 pays les moins avancés (PMA), dont beaucoup ont encore une population relativement jeune qui ne devrait donc vieillir que modérément au cours de l’avenir prévisible. Dans le reste des pays en développement, il faut s’attendre à un vieillissement rapide de la population.

Cette image contrastée de l’accroissement de la population et de l’évolution des pyramides des âges s’explique par des tendances divergentes de la fécondité comme de la mortalité. Un niveau de fécondité inférieur au seuil de remplacement est constaté dans les régions développées et cette situation devrait se poursuivre jusqu’en 2050. Par contraste, la fécondité est encore élevée dans la plupart des pays

lxxx

les moins avancés et, si elle est appelée à baisser, elle restera élevée, plus que dans le reste du monde. Dans le reste des pays en développement, la fécondité a notablement baissé depuis la fin des années 60 et devrait, dans la majorité d’entre eux, tomber en dessous du seuil de remplacement d’ici à 2050. La mortalité dans les pays développés à économie de marché est faible et continue à baisser, mais elle est stationnaire ou même en augmentation dans plusieurs pays en transition, ce qui s’explique par la dégradation de la situation sociale et économique et, dans certains cas, par la propagation du sida. La mortalité diminue aussi dans la majorité des pays en développement, mais elle augmente dans ceux qui sont durement frappés par l’épidémie de sida. L’épidémie de VIWsida continue à s’étendre. Le nombre de pays comptant un effectif important de personnes contaminées est de 62 dans la Révision de 2006, alors qu’il était de 60 dans celle de 2004, et de 53 dans celle de 2002. Bien que les taux de prévalence du VIH dans certains pays aient été révisés à la baisse depuis 2004 sur la base des nouvelles statistiques disponibles au niveau national, le tribut payé à la maladie demeure très lourd et le restera probablement malgré la baisse projetée des taux de prévalence du VIH/sida. La baisse attendue des taux de prévalence du VIH dépend de l’exécution par les gouvernements des engagements qu’ils ont pris dans la Déclaration du Millénaire (2000)4 et dans la Déclaration d’engagement des Nations Unies (2001) sur le VIHIsidaS. En particulier, les projections démographiques dépendent d’une augmentation massive de la proportion de patients qui regoivent un traitement antirétroviral et du succès des efforts faits pour enrayer la propagation du VIH.Dans la Révision de 2006, les 62 pays considérés comme fortement touchés par l’épidémie de sida comprennent 40 pays africains. Si l’on cherche à projeter l’effet de la maladie, on suppose que 31 des pays les plus touchés parviendront à offrir un traitement antirétroviral d’ici à 2015 à 70 % ou plus de leurs malades du sida. Dans le reste des pays fortement touchés, le niveau de traitement serait plus faible, entre 40 % et 50 % d’ici à 2015. On fait en outre l’hypothèse que les personnes qui reçoivent un traitement antirétroviral survivent en moyenne 17,5 années au lieu de 10 ans en l’absence de traitement. En raison surtout des hypothèses de travail retenues et du fait de la révision à la baisse du taux de prévalence du sida dans les pays pour lesquels on dispose sur l’épidémie de données représentatives à l’échelon national, on projette qu’entre 2005 et 2020 dans les 62 pays les plus touchés par l’épidémie selon la Révision de 2006, le nombre de décès serait inférieur de 32 millions à ce qu’il aurait été si les taux de mortalité par le sida étaient les mêmes que dans la Révision de 2004. Ces changements amènent, dans la Révision de 2006, à relever les projections de population en 2050 (9,2 milliards au lieu de 9,l milliards) dans la Révision de 2004. La réalisation dans les faits des projections de la variante moyenne contenues dans la Révision de 2006 dépend aussi de la poursuite de la baisse de la fécondité dans les pays en développement. Selon la Révision de 2006, la fécondité, dans les pays en développement, pris ensemble, devrait baisser, passant de 2,75 enfants par femme en 2005-2010 à 2,05 en 2045-2050. La réduction attendue dans le groupe des 50 pays les moins avancés (PMA) est plus marquée encore : la fécondité passerait de 4,63 enfants par femme à 2,50. Mais pour que de telles diminutions de la Voir résolution 5512 de l’Assemblée générale. Voir résolution S-26/2 de l’Assemblée générale.

lxxxi

fécondité se réalisent, il est essentiel que, dans les pays les plus pauvres, l’accès aux soins de planification familiale s’élargisse. L’urgence de cette réduction de la fécondité est bien mise en évidence par le fait que si la fécondité demeure constante au niveau estimé en 2000-2005, la population des pays en développement augmenterait de 10,6 milliards, au lieu de 7,9 milliards dans l’hypothèse d’une poursuite de la baisse de la fécondité. En d’autres termes, en l’absence de nouvelles baisses de la fécondité, la population mondiale pourrait augmenter de l’équivalent de deux fois la population mondiale en 1950. On trouvera ici un résumé des autres principales constatations de l’examen complet des tendances démographiques mondiales passées et des projections démographiques présentées dans la Révision de 2006. 1. En juillet 2007, le monde compte 6,7 milliards d’habitants, 547 millions de plus qu’en 2000, ce qui représente un accroissement annuel de 78 millions. Si l’on suppose que la fécondité continue à baisser, la population mondiale devrait atteindre 9,2 milliards en 2050 et augmenter d’environ 30 millions par an à cette date selon la variante moyenne (tableau 1).

Tableau 1 La population mondiale, dans différents scénarios, par grande région, 1950,1975,2007 et 2050 Population en 2050 (millions)

Population (millions) Grande région

Ensemble du monde Régions développées Régions moins développées Pays les moins avancés Autres pays moins développés Afrique

1950

I975

2007

Variante basse

Variante moyenne

Variante haute

Variante constante

2 535

4 076

6 671

7 792

9 191

10 756

11 858

814

1 048

1223

1065

1245

1451

1218

1 722

3 028

5 448

6 727

7 946

9 306

10 639

1742

2 002

2 794

200

358

804

1 496

1521

2 670

4 644

5 231

6 204

7 304

7 845

224

416

965

1718

1998

2 302

3 251

Amérique du Nord

172

243

339

382

445

517

460

Amérique latine et Caraïbes

168

325

572

64 1

769

914

939

1411

2 394

4 030

4 444

5 266

6 189

6 525

Europe

548

676

73 1

566

664

777

626

Océanie

13

21

34

42

49

56

57

Asie

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights. New York : Nations Unies.

L’accroissement futur de la population dépend fortement de l’évolution future de la fécondité (fig. 1). Dans la variante moyenne, la fécondité mondiale baisse, passant de 2,55 enfants par femme à ce jour à un peu plus de 2 enfants par femme en 2050. Si la fécondité demeurait à un niveau supérieur d’environ 0,5 enfant par femme aux niveaux prévus dans la variante moyenne, le monde compterait 10,8 milliards d’habitants en 2050. Une évolution de la fécondité se traduisant par un niveau inférieur de 0,5 enfant par femme au niveau de la variante moyenne se traduirait par une population mondiale de 7,s milliards au milieu du siècle. Cela 2.

lxxxii

veut dire qu’au niveau mondial, la poursuite de la croissance démographique est inévitable jusqu’en 2050, même si la baisse de la fécondité s’accélère.

3. En raison de son taux d’accroissement relativement faible et en baisse, la population de l’ensemble des pays développés devrait rester pratiquement inchangée entre 2007 et 2050, avec environ 1’2 milliard d’habitants selon la variante moyenne. En revanche, la population des 50 pays les moins avancés devrait plus que doubler, passant de 0,8 milliard en 2007 à 1,7 milliard en 2050. Les prévisions font également apparaître une croissance vigoureuse de la population des autres pays en développement, qui devrait passer de 4,6 milliards à 6,2 milliards entre 2007 et 2050 dans la variante moyenne.

4.

Le ralentissement de l’accroissement entraîné par la baisse de la fécondité entraîne un vieillissement de la population, ce qui donne des populations où la proportion de personnes âgées augmente, tandis que la proportion de jeunes diminue. Dans les pays développés, 20 % de la population a déjà 60 ans ou plus et cette proportion devrait atteindre 33 % en 2050 (voir tableau 2). Dans les pays développés pris ensemble, le nombre des personnes âgées (de 60 ans ou plus) dépasse déja le nombre d’enfants (personnes de moins de 15 ans) et en 2050, le nombre de personnes âgées devrait être plus du double du nombre d’enfants dans les pays développés. Figure 1 Population mondiale dans différents scénarios, 1950-2050

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

Année

-

Variante -P- Variante-

moyenne

basse

Variante. 4.. haute

Variante constante

Source :Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights.

New York : Nations Unies.

lxxxiii

2050

5. Le vieillissement de la population est moins avancé dans les pays en développement. Néanmoins, une majorité d’entre eux est sur le point d’entrer dans une période de vieillissement rapide. Dans les pays en développement pris ensemble, 8 % seulement de la population ont à ce jour 60 ans ou plus et, en 2050, 20 % de leur population serait dans cette tranche d’âge (tableau 2).

6. À l’échelle mondiale, le nombre de personnes âgées de 60 ans ou plus devrait pratiquement tripler, passant de 673 millions en 2005 à 2 milliards en 2050. Sur la même période, la proportion de personnes âgées vivant dans les pays en développement devrait augmenter, passant de 64 % à près de 80 % en 2050.

7. L‘une des caractéristiques d’une population vieillissante est que la proportion de personnes âgées d’un âge donné augmente plus vite à mesure que cet âge luimême s’élève. Ainsi, on s’attend à ce que le nombre de personnes âgées de 60 ans ou plus soit multiplié par trois, mais le nombre de personnes âgées de 80 ans ou plus (les plus âgées des personnes âgées) serait multiplié par près de cinq, passant de 88 millions en 2005 à 402 millions en 2050. À ce jour, la moitié de ces personnes très âgées vivent dans les pays en développement, mais cette proportion devrait passer à 71 % en 2050. Tableau 2 Répartition de la population, en pourcentage, par grand groupe d’âge, dans le monde, dans certains groupes de pays, et par grande région, en 2005 et 2050, variante moyenne, 2005-2050 Répartition en pourcentage en 2005 Rigion ou groupe de pays

+de60

t de80

Répartition en pourcentage en 2050 t de60

+de80

58,3

21,8

4,4

52,2

32,6

9,4

0-14

15-59

61,4

19,8

62,9

15,2

0-14

15-59

Ensemble du monde

28,3

Régions développées

17,O

Régions moins développées

30,9

61,O

20,6

59,3

20,l

34

Pays les moins avancés

41,5

53,4

28,2

61,5

Autres pays en développement

29,l

62,3

18,4

58,7

10,3 22,9

171 4,3

Afrique

41,4

53,4

28,O

61,7

10,4

191

Amérique latine et Caraïbes

29,8

61,2

18,O

57,8

24,3

52

27,3

738

Amérique du Nord

20,5

62,7

17,l

55,6

Asie

28,O

62,7

18,O

58,3

23,7

4-5

Europe

15,9

63,5

14,6

50,9

34,5

9,6

Océanie

24,9

61,O

18,4

56,9

24,8

63

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York :

Nations Unies.

8. Alors que, dans un avenir prévisible, la population de tous les pays devrait vieillir, la population des pays où la fécondité demeure élevée restera relativement jeune et augmentera rapidement. Des taux élevés d’accroissement de la population sont relevés dans un certain nombre de pays en développement, qui, en majorité, figurent parmi les PMA. Ainsi, entre 2005 et 2050, la population de I’Afghanistan,

lxxxiv

du Burundi, de la Guinée-Bissau, du Libéria, du Niger, de l’Ouganda, de la République démocratique du Congo et du Timor-Leste devrait au moins tripler. 9. Par un contraste très accusé, la population de 46 pays ou territoires, parmi lesquels figurent l’Allemagne, l’Italie, le Japon, la République de Corée et la plupart des États successeurs de l’ex-Union soviétique ainsi que plusieurs petits États insulaires, devrait être moins élevée en 2050 qu’en 2005. 10. L‘accroissement de la population demeure concentré dans les pays les plus peuplés. Entre 2005 et 2050, l’accroissement de la population dans huit pays seulement devrait représenter plus de la moitié de l’augmentation projetée de la population mondiale; ces huit pays, classés par ordre décroissant de leur contribution à l’accroissement de la population mondiale, sont les suivants : Inde, Nigéria, Pakistan, République démocratique du Congo, Éthiopie, États-Unis d’Amérique, Bangladesh et Chine. 11. L‘âge médian, c’est-à-dire l’âge qui divise la population en deux parties égales, l’une plus âgée, l’autre moins âgée, est un bon indicateur du vieillissement. Au niveau de l’ensemble du monde, l’âge médian devrait passer de 28 ans à 38 ans entre 2005 et 2050. C’est l’Europe qui a actuellement la population la plus vieille : l’âge médian y est proche de 39 ans; cet âge médian atteindrait 47 ans en 2050. 12. L‘âge médian est plus élevé dans les pays où, de longue date, la fécondité est faible. En 2005, l’âge médian, dans 13 pays développés ou zones développées, dépassait 40 ans. Le vieillissement général de la population se reflète dans le fait que la population de 93 pays, dont 48 pays en développement, selon les projections, devrait avoir un âge médian supérieur à 40 ans en 2050 (voir carte I). Carte 1 L’âge médian en 2005, variante moyenne

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de

l’Organisation des Nations Unies (2007), Nations Unies.

((

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision », New York :

Note : Les frontières indiquées sur la présente carte n’impliquent aucune prise de position officielle de la part des Nations Unies.

Carte 2 L’âge médian en 2050, variante moyenne

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007), << World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision », New York : Nations Unies. Note : Les frontières indiquées sur la présente carte n’impliquent aucune prise de position officielle de la part des Nations Unies.

13. Les pays où la fécondité demeure élevée et ne baisse que lentement sont ceux où la population vieillira le plus lentement. En 2050, la population d’un pays sur cinq environ devrait avoir un âge médian inférieur à 30 ans. C’est dans les pays les moins avancés que la population restera la plus jeune, puisque dans huit de ces pays l’âge médian sera inférieur à 24 ans en 2050 : Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, Guinée-Bissau, Libéria, Niger, Ouganda et République démocratique du Congo (carte 2). 14. Comme on l’a vu plus haut, la diminution de la fécondité est la principale cause du vieillissement de la population. Au niveau mondial, la fécondité est estimée A 2,55 enfants par femme, la moitié à peu près de ce qu’elle était en 19501955, soit 5,O enfants par femme (tableau 3). Dans la variante moyenne, la fécondité mondiale devrait baisser encore, pour ne pas dépasser 2,02 enfants par femme. Les niveaux moyens, à l’échelle mondiale, résultent de tendances tout à fait divergentes entre les principaux groupes de pays classés en fonction de leur développement. Dans les pays développés pris ensemble, la fécondité est actuellement de 1,60 enfant par femme et augmenterait lentement, pour atteindre 1,79 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Dans les pays les moins avancés, la fécondité est actuellement de 4,63 enfants par femme et devrait diminuer de moitié environ, pour ne pas dépasser 2,50 enfants par femme en 2045-2050. Dans le reste des pays en développement, la fécondité est déjà relativement faible, à 2,45 enfants par femme et devrait baisser encore, pour ne pas dépasser 1,91 enfant par femme au milieu du siècle, ce qui représenterait une convergence avec les taux de fécondité que l’on rencontrera alors typiquement dans les pays développés.

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Tableau 3 Indice synthétique de fécondité dans les différents scénarios par grande région, 1970-1975,2005-2010 et 2045-2050 Indice synthétique de fécondité (nombre d’enfants p a r femme) 2045-2050

Grande région

1970-1975 2005-2010

Variante basse

Variante moyenne

Variante haute

Varianie constante

Ensemble du monde

4,47

2,55

1,54

2,02

2,51

3,49

Régions développées

2,13

1,60

1.29

1,79

2,28

1,68

Régions moins développées

5,41

2,75

1,57

2,05

2,54

3,69

Pays les moins avancés

6,61

4,63

2,02

2,50

2,99

5,49

Autres pays moins développés

5,25

2,45

1,42

1,91

2,41

3,07

Afrique

6,72

4,67

1,97

2,46

2,95

5,47

Asie

5,04

2,34

1,40

1,90

2,39

2,94

Europe

2,16

1,45

1,26

1,76

2,26

t,47

Amérique latine et Caraïbes

5,04

2,37

1,36

1,86

2,36

2,67

Amérique du Nord

2,Ol

2,OO

1,35

1,85

2,35

1,99

Océanie

3,23

2,30

1,43

1,93

2,43

2,83

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2005), World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights, New York : Nations Unies.

Note : Seuls les pays et territoires de plus de 100 O00 habitants sont inclus.

15. En 2005-2010, la fécondité est élevée, avec plus de 5,O enfants par femme dans 27 des 150 pays en développement, et ces 27 pays représentent 9 % de la population mondiale. La plupart des pays où la fécondité est très élevée sont pauvres et appartiennent au groupe des pays les moins avancés. Par contraste, la fécondité a atteint le seuil de simple remplacement dans 28 pays en développement, qui représentent 25 % de la population mondiale. Dans ce groupe figure la Chine, où la fécondité moyenne entre 2005 et 2010 est estimée à 1,73 enfant par femme.

16. La fécondité est également en dessous du seuil de remplacement dans les 45 pays ou territoires développés, qui comptent 19 % de la population mondiale. Dans 27 de ces pays, dont le Japon et la plupart des pays d’Europe du Sud et de l’Est, la fécondité demeure inférieure à 1,5 enfant par femme, Depuis 1990-1995, la baisse de la fécondité est de règle dans la grande majorité des pays développés et ce phénomène conduit à un vieillissement rapide de la population. 17. La réduction de la mortalité, chez les adultes, est un autre facteur qui contribue au vieillissement de la population. Au niveau mondial, l’espérance de vie à la naissance, qui selon les estimations est passée de 58 ans en 1970-1975 à 67 ans en 2005-2010, devrait continuer à augmenter pour atteindre 75 ans en 2045-2050 (voir tableau4). Dans les pays développés, l’espérance de vie passerait de 77 ans à l’heure actuelle à 82 ans au milieu du siècle tandis que dans les pays en développement, l’espérance de vie passerait de 65 ans en 2005-2010 à 74 ans en 2045-2050.

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Tableau 4 Espérance de vie à la naissance dans le monde, par grande région et groupe de pays, 2005-2010 et 2045-2050 2005-2010

2045-2050

Ensemble du monde

67,2

754

Régions développées

76,5

82,4

Régions moins développées

65,4

743

Pays les moins avancés

54,6

67,2

Autres pays moins développés

Grande région

67,9

76,4

Afrique

52,8

66,l

Asie

69,O

77,4

Europe

74,6

81,O

Amérique latine et Caraïbes

73,3

79,6

Amérique du Nord

78,5

83,3

Océanie

75,2

81,O

Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007), World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, New York : Nations Unies.

18. L‘espérance de vie demeure faible dans les pays les moins avancés, où elle ne dépasse pas 55 ans, et, s’il est prévu qu’elle atteigne 67 ans en 2045-2050, ce résultat dépendra de la réduction de la propagation du VIH et de succès dans la lutte contre d’autres maladies infectieuses. Des problèmes du même ordre doivent être résolus pour que l’espérance de vie projetée dans le reste des pays en développement, inférieure à 68 ans aujourd’hui, atteigne 76 ans au milieu du siècle.

19. Parmi les régions développées, l’Europe de l’Est est celle où l’espérance de vie à la naissance est la plus faible; elle diminue depuis la fin des années 80. En 2005 et en 2010, l’espérance de vie dans la région, de 68,6 ans, est inférieure à ce qu’elle était en 1960-1965 (69,3 ans). La Fédération de Russie et l’Ukraine connaissent une augmentation grave de la mortalité, en raison en partie de la propagation du VIH. 20. En dépit des progrès obtenus dans le traitement des personnes infectées par le VIH et dans la lutte contre la propagation de l’épidémie, son impact sur la morbidité, la mortalité et le ralentissement de l’accroissement de la population continue à être manifeste dans beaucoup de pays. En Afrique australe, la région du monde où la prévalence de la maladie est la plus élevée, l’espérance de vie a diminué, passant de 62 ans en 1990-1995 à 49 ans en 2005-2010, et on ne s’attend pas à ce qu’elle retrouve le niveau qu’elle avait au début des années 90 avant 2045. En conséquence, le taux d’accroissement de la population dans la région a fortement chuté, passant de 2,5 % par an en 1990-1995 à 0,6 YOpar an en 2005-2010; cette forte baisse de l’accroissement national devrait se poursuivre dans l’avenir prévisible. 21. Avec la baisse de la fécondité, la contribution des migrations internationales à l’accroissement de la population dans les pays développés a gagné en importance. Entre 2005 et 2050, le solde migratoire net dans les pays développés atteindrait

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103 millions, chiffre qui compense l’excédent des décès sur les naissances (74 millions) projeté au cours de la période. 22. En 2005-2010, le solde migratoire net a plus que doublé la contribution de l’accroissement naturel (natalité moins mortalité) à l’accroissement de la population dans huit pays ou territoires: la Belgique, le Canada, l’Espagne, Hong Kong, le Luxembourg, Singapour, la Suède et la Suisse. Dans huit autres pays ou territoires, les migrations nettes ont équilibré l’excédent des décès sur les naissances. Ces huit pays et territoires sont : l’Autriche, la Bosnie-Herzégovine, la Grèce, les îles AngloNormandes, l’Italie, le Portugal, la Slovaquie et la Slovénie. 23. En moyenne annuelle, entre 2005 et 2050, le solde migratoire net serait aux États-Unis de 1,l million par an, au Canada de 200 000, en Allemagne de 150 000, en Italie de 139 000, au Royaume-Uni de 130 000, en Espagne de 123 O00 et en Australie de 100 000. En revanche, les pays où l’émigration nette serait la plus forte selon les projections sont : la Chine (-329 O00 par an), le Mexique (-306 000), l’Inde (-240 000), les Philippines (-180 000), le Pakistan (-167 000) et l’Indonésie (-164 000).

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Les hypothèses de la Révision de 2006 Chaque nouvelle révision des estimations et projections démographiques officielles des Nations Unies comprend deux phases distinctes : a) la collecte de toutes les informations pertinentes et nouvelles concernant la dynamique passée de la démographie d’un pays ou d’une région du monde; et b) la formulation d’hypothèses de travail détaillées au sujet de l’évolution future de la fécondité, de la mortalité et des migrations internationales. Les sources utilisées et les méthodes appliquées dans la révision des estimations passées des indicateurs démographiques (qui couvrent la période 1950-2005) sont présentées dans le volume III des World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (à paraître). Les projections concemant la population future de chaque pays sont établies à partir du chiffre de la population estimée à la date du le‘ juillet 2005. Étant donné que les données relatives à la population réelle pour 2005 ne sont pas encore disponibles, l’estimation de la population repose sur les données démographiques les plus récentes disponibles pour chaque pays, tirées généralement d’un recensement ou d’un registre de la population, mis à jour jusqu’en 2005 en utilisant toutes les données disponibles concernant la fécondité, la mortalité et les migrations internationales. Lorsqu’il n’y a pas de données vraiment récentes disponibles, les données démographiques estimées sont des projections à court terme établies sur la base des données disponibles les plus récentes. Les données démographiques de toutes sources sont évaluées du point de vue de leur exhaustivité, de leur exactitude et de leur cohérence, et ajustées si nécessaire6. Pour projeter la population jusqu’en 2050, la Division de la population part de plusieurs hypothèses de travail concernant l’évolution future de la fécondité, de la mortalité et des migrations internationales. Comme ces tendances futures ne peuvent être connues avec certitude, plusieurs scénarios sont établis. Les paragraphes qui suivent résument les principales hypothèses de travail sur lesquelles repose le calcul des indicateurs démographiques pour la période commençant en 2005 et s’achevant en 2050. On trouvera une description plus détaillée de ces différentes hypothèses dans le volume III des World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (à paraître).

A. Hypothèses de fécondité :convergence vers un indice synthétique de fécondité inférieur au seuil de remplacement Les hypothèses concernant la fécondité sont décrites pour les groupes de pays suivants : Les pays à fécondité élevée : Ceux qui, jusqu’en 2005, n’ont connu aucune réduction de la fécondité ou commencent à peine à voir leur fécondité diminuer; Les pays à fécondité moyenne : Ce sont les pays où la fécondité diminue mais où elle est encore supérieure à 2’1 enfants par femme en 2000-2005; Les puys à faible fécondité : Les pays où l’indice synthétique de fécondité est situé à 2,1 enfants par femme ou en dessous en 2000-2005. Pour une description générale des procédures utilisées pour réviser les estimations de la dynamique de la population, voir World Populaiion Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (p. 180 à 182) (publication des Nations Unies, numéro de vente : F.OS.XIII.7).

XC

1.

Hypothèse de fécondité moyenne L‘indice synthétique de fécondité dans tous les pays convergerait, dans l’hypothèse retenue, vers le niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme. Cependant, tous les pays n’atteignent pas ces niveaux au cours de la période de la projection, c’est-àdire d’ici à 2045-2050. Les méthodes de projection sont légèrement différentes selon que les pays ont un indice synthétique de fécondité supérieur ou inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2000-2005. On fait l’hypothèse que la fécondité, dans les pays à fécondité élevée ou moyenne, suivra une trajectoire déduite des modèles de baisse de la fécondité établis par la Division de la population sur la base de l’évolution passée dans tous les pays où la fécondité a baissé en 1950-2000.Ces modèles relient le niveau de la fécondité pendant une période à la diminution moyenne attendue de l’indice synthétique de fécondité durant la période suivante. Si l’indice synthétique de fécondité projeté par un modèle, pour un pays donné, tombe à 1,85 enfant par femme avant 2050, cet indice est maintenu constant, à ce niveau, pendant le reste de la période de projection, c’est-à-dire jusqu’en 2050. Ainsi, le niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme représente une valeur plancher au-dessous de laquelle l’indice synthétique de fécondité des pays à fécondité élevée et moyenne ne peut descendre avant 2050. Cependant, il ne va pas de soi que tous les pays parviennent à ce seuil plancher en 2050. Si le modèle de l’évolution de la fécondité donne un indice synthétique de fécondité supérieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050,c’est cette valeur qui est utilisée pour projeter le niveau de la population. Dans tous les cas, les trajectoires suivies par la fécondité, dans la projection, et qui sont données par les modèles, sont comparées aux évolutions récentes de la fécondité dans chaque pays. Quand ces tendances récentes de la fécondité dans un pays s’écartent considérablement de ce qui est compatible avec les modèles, on fait une projection de la fécondité sur une période initiale de 5 à 10 ans, pour tenir compte des données les plus récentes. Après cette période de transition, la projection donnée par le modèle est celle qui est retenue. Par exemple, dans les pays où la fécondité est restée stationnaire ou dans ceux où il n’y a aucune indication d’une baisse de la fécondité, on suppose que la fécondité reste constante pendant plusieurs années avant de commencer à baisser. La fécondité dans les pays à faible fécondité est généralement censée rester inférieure à 2,l enfants par femme pendant l’essentiel de la période couverte par la projection, pour être de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Dans les pays où l’indice synthétique de fécondité est déjà inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 20002005, on fait l’hypothèse qu’au cours des 5 ou 10 prochaines années de la période de projection, la tendance de la fécondité suivra, dans chaque pays, la trajectoire observée récemment. Après cette période de transition, on suppose que la fécondité augmente linéairement à raison de 0,05 enfant par femme par période de cinq ans. Ainsi, les pays où la fécondité est actuellement très basse n’atteignent pas nécessairement un indice synthétique de fécondité égal à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2050.

2.

Hypothèse de forte fécondité Dans l’hypothèse haute, on suppose que l’indice synthétique de fécondité dépasse de 0,5 enfant par femme l’indice de fécondité de la variante moyenne pendant presque toute la période de projection. En 2045-2050,la fécondité, dans l’hypothèse haute, est donc supérieure de 0,5 enfant par femme à ce qu’elle est dans

xci

la variante moyenne. En d’autres termes, les pays qui parviennent à un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme dans la variante moyenne, atteignent dans la variante haute, à la fin de la période de projection, un indice synthétique de fécondité de 2,35 enfants par femme.

3.

Hypothèse de fécondité faible Dans la variante basse, le taux de fécondité resterait inférieur de 0,5 enfant par femme au taux de fécondité de la variante moyenne pendant la presque totalité de la période de projection. En 2045-2050, la fécondité serait donc de 0,5 enfant par femme inférieure à la variante moyenne. En d’autres termes, les pays atteignant un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme dans la variante moyenne ont, dans la variante basse, à la fin de la période de projection, un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,35 enfant par femme.

4.

Hypothèse de fécondité constante Dans chaque pays, la fécondité demeure à son niveau estimé pour la période 2000-2005.

5.

Hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement Dans chaque pays, l’indice synthétique de fécondité est fixé au niveau nécessaire pour assurer un taux net de reproduction de 1 dès la période 2005-2010. L’indice synthétique de fécondité varie pendant le reste de la période de projection de façon à ce que ce taux net de reproduction demeure toujours égal à l’unité, ce qui assure à long terme le remplacement de la population.

B. Hypothèses de mortalité : augmentation générale de l’espérance de vie, sauf dans les régions touchées par le sida 1.

Hypothèse de mortalité normale Dans la projection, la mortalité évolue sur la base des modèles de variation de l’espérance de vie produits par la Division de la population du Secrétariat de l’ONU. Ces modèles aboutissent à des augmentations moins marquées quand l’espérance de vie est déjà élevée. La sélection d’un modèle pour chaque pays repose sur les tendances récentes de l’espérance de vie par sexe. Pour les pays gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida, le modèle qui intègre un ralentissement de la baisse de la mortalité est celui qui a été utilisé pour projeter un certain ralentissement de la réduction des facteurs généraux de mortalité qui ne sont pas liés au sida.

2.

L’effet du sida sur la mortalité Dans la Révision de 2006, tous les pays où le taux de prévalence de l’infection par le VIH chez les personnes âgées de 15 à 49 ans est égal ou supérieur à 1 %, sont considérés comme gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida et la mortalité y est projetée en modélisant expressément l’évolution de l’épidémie et en projetant l’incidence annuelle de l’infection par le VIH. Figurent également parmi les pays touchés ceux où la prévalence du VIH est inférieure à un pour cent mais dont la population est si élevée que le nombre de personnes infectées est grand, comme le Brésil, les États-Unis d’Amérique ou la Chine. Au total, 62 pays sont considérés comme gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida dans la Révision de 2006.

xcii

Le modèle élaboré par le Groupe de référence d’ONUSIDA sur les estimations, la modélisation et les projections7 est utilisé pour déterminer la dynamique passée de l’épidémie dans chaque pays à partir des estimations passées du taux de prévalence du VIH fournie par ONUSIDA pour chacun des pays touchés: on détermine ainsi les paramètres de la dynamique passée de l’épidémie. Pour la plupart des pays, le modèle est ajusté à partir de l’hypothèse que les paramètres pertinents sont restés constants dans le passé. En commençant en 2005, le paramètre PHI, qui reflète le taux de recrutement d’individus nouveaux dans les groupes à risque élevé ou les groupes vulnérables, baisserait, dans la projection, de moitié tous les 20 ans. Le paramètre R, qui représente la violence de l’infection, diminuerait de moitié tous les 30 ans. La réduction du paramètre R tient compte de l’hypothèse selon laquelle les changements de comportement chez ceux qui sont exposés au risque d’infection et l’élargissement de l’accès aux traitements des personnes infectées réduiront les risques de transmission du virus. Dans la Révision de 2006, la prévention de la transmission de la mère à l’enfant est modélisée à l’aide de taux de couverture estimatifs, par pays, qui sont en moyenne de 13 % en 2005 parmi les 62 pays touchés mais varient de O à 90 %. Ces taux de couverture de la prévention atteindraient 60 %, en moyenne, en 2015; ils varient entre 40 et 100 % dans les pays touchéss. Après 2015, le taux de couverture resterait constant au niveau atteint dans chacun des pays touchés jusqu’à la fin de la période de projection. Chez les femmes qui reçoivent un traitement, la probabilité de transmission de la mère à l’enfant serait de 1 %. Ces hypothèses aboutissent à une réduction de l’incidence de l’infection par le VIH parmi les enfants nés de mère séropositive mais l’ampleur de la réduction varie d’un pays à l’autre en fonction du niveau de couverture du traitement dans chaque pays9. Le taux de survie des enfants infectés7 tient compte de l’accès variable au traitement pédiatriqueg. Dans la Révision de 2006, les enfants contaminés par le VIH sont répartis en deux groupes : i) ceux qui ont été contaminés in utero, chez qui la maladie progresse rapidement, et dont le taux de survie est, d’après le modèle, de 1,3 an, et ii) ceux qui sont infectés après la naissance, par l’allaitement, chez qui la maladie progresse lentement, ce qui fait qu’ils ont une durée de survie moyenne de 14 ans en l’absence de traitementIo. La prise en compte expresse d’un traitement pédiatrique est assurée dans la projection, à l’aide de taux de couverture, propres à chaque pays, qui sont en moyenne de 9 % en 2005 mais varient entre O et 99 %

’ONUSIDA, Groupe de référence sur les estimations, la modélisation et la projection (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIV/sida epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, p. W1 à W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and Aids - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitefor Children, Unite against AIDS (avec annexes statistiques). Voir tableau 1. Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV (p. 29 à 3 1) et tableau 2. Providing paediatric treatment (p. 32 à 34). URL : www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transhitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplément 3 : iii, p. 45 à 50, http://sti.bmj .corn/cgi/content/abstract/82/suppl~3/iii45. * O Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Garnett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewsky, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHeaEth Organization, vol. 84, no 2, p. 145 à 150.

http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf.

xciii

parmi les 62 pays touchés. En 2015, le taux projeté de couverture serait de 60 % en moyenne, mais varierait entre 40 et 100 % dans les pays touchés*. Les taux de couverture restent constants entre 2015 et 2050 aux niveaux atteints par chaque pays en 2015. La proportion annuelle de survie des enfants recevant un traitement est de 95 %, de sorte que leur durée moyenne de survie est de 1 9 3 ans et leur durée médiane de survie est de 1 3 3 ans en l’absence d’autre cause de décès9. La Révision de 2006 tient compte de la survie plus longue des personnes recevant un traitement antirétroviral très actif. La proportion de la population séropositive bénéficiant de ce traitement dans chaque pays est compatible avec les estimations établies par l’organisation mondiale de la santé”, soit en moyenne 25 %‘ O en 2005, mais ce chiffre varie entre O et 100 %‘ O dans les 62 pays touchés. Le taux de couverture se situerait entre 40 et 100 % en 2015, mais serait en moyenne de 60 % dans les pays touchés. Entre 2015 et 2050, les taux de couverture restent constants aux niveaux atteints dans chaque pays en 2015. On fait l’hypothèse que les adultes recevant ce traitement ont en moyenne une probabilité de survie de 90 %, chaque année, en l’absence d’autre cause de décès. Dans cette hypothèse de travail, la durée moyenne de survie après le début du traitement est de 9 3 ans et la durée médiane de survie est de 6,6 ans en l’absence d’autre cause de décès. On fait l’hypothèse que le traitement commence au moment où apparaît un sida déclaré. Sans traitement, les adultes contaminés ont une durée de survie moyenne de deux ans après l’apparition d’un sida déclaréIo.

3.

Hypothèse de mortalité constante On fait l’hypothèse que la mortalité demeure constante, dans chaque pays, au niveau estimé pour la période 2000-2005.

C. Hypothèses sur les migrations internationales 1.

Hypothèse de migrations normales On fait l’hypothèse que l’évolution future des migrations internationales est déterminée sur la base des estimations passées des migrations internationales et d’une évaluation de la politique des pays en ce qui concerne les flux migratoires internationaux futurs. Les soldes migratoires nets projetés sont généralement maintenus constants pendant presque toute la période de projection.

2.

Migrations nulles Dans cette hypothèse de travail, dans chaque pays, les migrations internationales sont nulles dès la période 2005-2010.

World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to H W Antiretroviral Therapy. A report on R 3 by 5 H and Beyond. Voir annexe 1 : Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low - and middle - income countries (p. 7 1 à 76). http://www.who.int/hiv/fullreport-en-highres.pdf.

xciv

D.

Huit scénarios de projection La Révision de 2006 comprend huit scénarios différents (tableau 5). Cinq de ces scénarios reposent sur des variantes concernant la fécondité, en d’autres termes ils ont en commun certaines hypothèses de travail Concernant la mortalité et les migrations internationales. Les cinq hypothèses de fécondité sont les suivantes : hypothèses basse, moyenne, haute, à fécondité constante, hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement. Une comparaison des résultats obtenus permet d’apprécier les effets de ces différentes hypothèses de fécondité sur les autres paramètres démographiques. Indépendamment des cinq hypothèses concernant la fécondité, une hypothèse de mortalité constante, une hypothèse de migration nulle et une hypothèse de fécondité constante ont été appliquées. Dans le scénario à mortalité constante et dans le scénario à migration nulle, on a retenu le même taux de fécondité (fécondité moyenne). En outre, la variante à mortalité constante retient la même hypothèse concernant les migrations internationales que la variante moyenne. En conséquence, les résultats de l’hypothèse à mortalité constante peuvent être comparés à ceux de la variante moyenne pour déterminer l’effet d’une variation de la mortalité sur les autres paramètres démographiques. De même, l’hypothèse à migration nulle diffère de la variante moyenne uniquement en raison de l’hypothèse concernant les migrations internationales. De ce fait, l’hypothèse à migration nulle permet de déterminer l’effet d’une migration nette non nulle sur les autres paramètres démographiques. Enfin, l’hypothèse constante retient la même hypothèse sur les migrations internationales que la variante moyenne, mais diffère de celle-ci par un taux de fécondité et un taux de mortalité constants. Si on la compare à la variante moyenne, ses résultats font donc apparaître les effets d’une modification de la fécondité et de la mortalité sur les résultats obtenus. Tableau 5 Scénarios de projection démographique, en fonction de diverses hypothèses relatives à la fécondité, la mortalité et les migrations internationales Hypothèses

Scénario

Fécondité

Mortalité

Migrations internationales

Basse

Basse

Normale

Normale

Moyenne

Moyenne

Normale

Normale

Haute

Haute

Normale

Normale

Fécondité constante

Constante

Normale

Normale

Hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement

Seuil de remplacement immédiat

Normale

Normale

Mortalité constante

Moyenne

Constante

Nonnale

Constante

Constante

Constante

Normale

Migration nulle

Moyenne

Normale

Nulle

xcv

E. Modifications méthodologiques introduites dans la Révision de 2006 Les modifications suivantes ont été introduites dans la Révision de 2006, par rapport à la procédure suivie dans la Révision de 2004. Dans l’hypothèse moyenne, la fécondité des pays ayant un indice synthétique de fécondité inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2000-2005 augmente d’abord par la poursuite des tendances récentes puis la fécondité augmente de façon linéaire à raison de 0’05 enfant par femme par période de cinq ans, au lieu d’une augmentation de 0,07 enfant par femme, comme dans la Révision de 2004. Ces pays n’atteignent donc pas nécessairement un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Les modèles de l’incidence de l’infection par le VIH par âge ont été modifiés. Dans les nouveaux modèles, l’âge moyen lors de l’infection est généralement plus élevé que dans les modèles utilisés dans les révisions précédentes, en particulier chez les garçons. Un retard dans l’infection réduit en effet l’impact de la mortalité liée au sida SUT l’espérance de vie. La survie des enfants séropositifs augmente par rapport aux modèles utilisés précédemment non seulement chez ceux qui bénéficient d’un traitement, mais aussi chez ceux qui ne sont pas soignés. Chez les adultes séropositifs recevant la trithérapie antirétrovirale, le taux de survie, après l’infection, est également plus élevé que ce qui a été retenu dans les modèles précédents. Les effets de la trithérapie antirétrovirale sont modélisés expressément chez les enfants et chez les adultes. En outre, les effets de la transmission de la mère à l’enfant sont en diminution, l’accès au traitement chez les femmes étant plus large.

xcvi

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2005 ronoB, TO HaceneHHe B Hamenee p a 3 s u . r ~peraonax ~ MHpa 10,6 MHnnuapna senoBea BMecTo 7,9 MHnnHapAa renoaee, K a K n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~ c a ~ c x o wu3 CoKpaueHHP n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nPoxnaeMocTH. x kI~aYeroBopa, 6e3 nana~eiinrero coKpameHun poxnaeMocTH Mciposoe Haceneme Morno 6b1 YBennwTbcR B nBa pasa IIO CpaBHeHHIo C TeM YHCJIOM JIIOneg, KOTOPbIe XHJIH H a IIJIaHeTe B 1950 r0ny.

1. B Hmne 2007 rona Haceneme MEipa nocTEirHeT n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nBx6,7 MHnnHapna YenoeeK, T.e. H a 547 MmnuoHoB senoseK 60nbme, s e M B 2000 rony, YTO P~BHO~H~YH npkipocTy O B 78 MannMoHoB YenoBeK exeronHo. llpennonarax, YTO nOKa3aTenH @~PTWI~HOCTH 6 y n y ~Ei BnpeAb COKpaUaTbCX, HaCeneHHe MHpa, KaK O x U n a e T c R , BOCTHrHeT 9,2 MHJInMapAa YenOBeK B 2050 rOAy H 6 y n e ~ YBeJIHYHBaTbCR H a npuMepHo 30 MHnnHoHoa renoseK B TegeHae 3 ~ o r o nepHona cornacHo cpenHeMy BapHanTy (~a6naua1).

Hacenenue

Mnp B rreno~ Eonee pa3sn~brepernoebr M e ~ e pasemb~e e perno~br H a u ~ e ~ pa3BHTbIe ee CTPaHbl f l p y r ~ eHaHMeHee pa3BUTbIe CTpaHbI

Hacenenue

(B ,unn.)

1950 rod

1975 rod

2 535

4 076

B

2050 zody

(B M ~ H . )

Hu3~aa Cped~m Buco~an H e u 3 ~ e ~ ~ a ~ 2007 aod p o x d o e ~ o c m b poxdat&ocmb p o x d a e ~ o c m b poxdaehiocms

6 671

7 792

9 191

10 756

11 858

1 245

1451

1218

7 946

9 306

10 639

814

1048

1223

1 065

1 722

3 028

5 448

6 727

200

358

804

1 496

1 742

2 002

2 794

1 521

2 670

4 644

5 231

6 204

7 304

7 845

Hacenenue

Hacene~ue(Eam.) Ocnosnorj pezuon

Espona

1950 rod

1975 zod

548

676

E

2050 zody (E~ n n . )

Hus~an Cpediim B W C O K ~ R Helr3Me~~an 2007 zod p o x d a e ~ o c r n b powdae,uocmb p o x d a e ~ o c m b powdaenlocmb

731

566

664

777

2. HO~~ 3aBUCHT OT TOrO, B liynywuii POCT HaCeJIeHUB B ~ H ~ . I U T ~ J I ~CTeneHM COOTBeTCTBHIl C KaKUM BapFiaHTOM B 6ynyIlJe~ 6 y n e ~ paCTEI pOXCAaeMOCTb ( n u a r p a ~ ~l).a I l p ~cpenHeM BapuaHTe poxnaeMocTr, B MHpe coKpaTuTca c 2,55 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa xeHwHHy B HacToaqee BpeMa no HeMHoruM 6onee 2 ne~efiHa OAHY XeHI4HHY B 2050 rOny. Ecnu POXaaeMOCTb 6 y n e ~OCTaBaTbCX IIpHMePHO Ha n o n p e 6 e ~ ~ sbme a no~a3a~eneii,n p o r ~ 0 3 ~ p y e ~Bb 1cpenHeM ~ aapuame, TO HaceneHHe Mupa AocTurHeT 10,8~unnaapna renoseK K 2050rony. n p u no~a3a~enax poxnaeMocTu Ha 0,5 p e 6 e ~ ~max e , YeM npH cpenaeM BappaaHTe, ~e HaceneHMe Mupa cocTasHT 7,8 MuJLnHapna YenoseK K cepenuHe BeKa. E l ~ a rosopa, Ha O ~ ~ ~ M H ~ O YpOBHe B O M ~ a J I b ~ e k I ~PlOfCiT HaCeneHElX g0 2050 rOAa 9BnaeTCa H ~ E I ~ ~ ~AX iwKH e eCnH ~ I M6 y, n e ~YCKOpeHO CHAXeHHe lToKa3a~enefiPOXnaeMOCTU. U JX K I I ~ u naxe CHuxamwUeca n o ~ a 3 a ~ e npocTa u HaceneHua, B 3. Y ~ H T M BH ~ IIepHOn 2007-2050rofl0~ B pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX B UenOM, KaK OXUnaeTCX, R H ~ H ~ M ~ HH Ha O ~YpOBHe ~ YHCneHHOCTb HaCeJIeHMB 6 y n e ~@ ~ K T H Y ~ C KOCTaBaTbCB ITpUMepHO 1,2 MHJIJlUapna YenOBeK B COOTBeTCTBHH CO CPeHHNM BapUaHTOM. Ans CpaBHeHHX, HaCeneHHe B 50 HaHMeHee pa3BUTbIX CTpaHaX, BepOHTHO, YBeJIHYHTCH 6onee YeM B ABa pasa - c 0,8 Mx,innHapp(a YenoseK B 2007 rony no 1,7 MUnnHapna senoBes B 2050 rony. Cornac~on p o r ~ o 3 aTaKxe ~ oxHnaeTca c y w e c ~ s e ~ ~pbo~cf ~i HaCeJIeHElX B OCTanbHbIX Pa3BkiBalO~UXCB CTpaHaX, XOTH OH U 6 y n e ~MeHee CTpeMUTenbHbIM, npIl 3TOM COrJIaCHO CpeAHeMy BapUaHTj' UX HaCeneHHe BbIpaCTeT C 4,6 Munnuapaa senoBee no 6,2 MRnnnapAa YenoseK B nepHon Memay 2007 U 2050 rOAOM.

4. 3 a ~ e a n e ~ TeMnoB ne pocTa HaceneHHa B pe3ynb~a~e coKpameHHa no~a3a~eneii POXAaeMOCTH BeAeT K CTaPeHHH) HaCeJIeHIIX, HHaYe TOBOPX, 3T0 BeAeT K ~ O P M A P O B ~ H H M C T P Y K T ~ P ~ IHaceneHua, B K O T O P O ~ ~ ~ o n a noxkinbIx nroneti MononMx nroneii coKpauaeTca. B 60nee ~ U B U T ~ I XperuoHax ~ 0 3 p a c ~ a ae ~nona , 20 nposermoB HaceneHlza yxe cocTaBnnmT n m n ~B ~ o s p a c ~60e neT H cTapure H, CO~lIaCHOnpOrH03aM, 3Ta nOJIX AOCTHrHeT 33 IlpOQeHTOB B 2050 rOny (~a611~4a 2). B P ~ B E I T M XcTpaHax B qenoM mcno noxnnblx nmneii (nuua B ~ o s p a c ~cTapme e 60 n e ~ yxe ) npesbIcMno rHcno n e ~ e i i(nkisa B ~ o s p a c ~noe 15 n e ~ ) a, K 2050 rony mcno noxunbIx nmnefi, cornacao n p o r ~ o 3 a 6~y, a e ~B nsa pasa npesbIruaTb w c n o ge~efiB Pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX.

626

C ~ a p e ~ a enacenenm rrponcxon~~M e H e e B ~ I C O K H M H T e M n a M a B T ~ M He M e H e e OXkiJ(aeTCH,'IT0 B ~ O J I ~ J I I H H C T BH~3 HHX HaCTynHT IIepHOn CTpeMHTenbHOrO CTapeHHX HaCeJIeHHH. B pa3BUBaIo~HXCX cTpanax B qenoM TonbKo 8 npogeHToB Hacenema B Hac-roarqee BpeMa HMeroT B03paCT CBbIIIIe 60 neT, OnHaKO K 2050 r0ny 20 IIpOIleHTOB HX HaCeJleHHX, K a K OXHnaeTCX, 6yfly~ HaXOnHTbCX B 3T0fi B O ~ P ~ C T HKaTerOpHH O~~ ( ~ a 6 ~ 1 2). ~qa 5.

pa3BHBaWmHXCX CTpaHaX.

6. Ha r n o 6 a n b n o ~ ypoBHe Yucno nmneii B ~ o s p a c ~c-rapme e 6 0 n e ~ ,K a K omkinaeTca, ysenHrkiTca B TPH pma H sb1pacTe-r c 673 MunnHonoB B 2005 rony no 2 MHnnuapnoB B 2050 rony. B TereHMe ~ T O ~x Oe nepHona BpeMeHH nona noxunblx JIIo~efi,IIpOXHBaIolIJHX B pa3BHBaIoI4HXCH CTpaHaX, K a K OXHAaeTCX, BbIpaCTeT C ~ ~ I I ~ O U ~ H T O B B ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ O ~ ~ ~ O ~ O ~ T H ~ ~ I I ~ O ~ ~ H T O B B

Pacnpedene~ueno npoye~manr S 2005 zody

Pacnpedene~ueno n p o y e ~ m a ~ s 2050 m d y

OCHOEH P ~O Z~ UOH

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

go+

Map B u e n o ~

28,3

61,4

10,3

1,3

19,8

58,3

21,8

4,4

17,O

62,9

20,1

3,7

15,2

52,2

32,6

9,4

Eonee p a 3 ~ ~ ~pbelreu o ~ b ~

8. XOTXOXHnaeTCX, YTO HaCeneHUe BCeX CTpaH 6 y n e ~CTapeTb B IIpeACKa3yeMOM ~y 6ynyueM, HaceneHHe cTpaa, B KOTOP~IX PomaeMocTb n o - r r p e ~ ~ eocTae-rclr B ~ I C O K6O y n~e~~OCTaBaTbCX , OTHOCHTeJIbHO MOIIOnblM H 6yneT Pe3KO YBeJIUYUBaTbCX. B b ~ c o ~ TeMnbI ~ l e POCTa HaceneHuX IIpeBanHpyIoT B pane Pa3BUBaMWMXCR CTpaH, ~OJI~UIHHCTBO Ei3 KOTOpbIX XBlIXIoTCX HaMMeHee pa3BUTblMH. B IIepIlOfl C 2005 no ~ M o K 2050 r0n HaCeneHHe A @ ~ ~ H u c TE~yHp y ~ ~, ~ u~ ,B H H ~ E I - ~~ H~ C ~Y , ~ ~ T U P e c n y 6 ~ 1 aKoHro, ~~ A116eps~, H ~ r e p a , Tti~opa-JIerrr~ua Y r a ~ n b ~cornacHo , no ~ p a i i ~ eMepe i i B TPA pasa. n p o r ~ o 3 ayaenHsEiTcx ~,

Y ~ C K O ~ ~

9. B oTntlutie OT 3 ~ 0 r oHaceneme 46 cTpaH unu paiioaoa, BKnloraa r e p ~ a ~ a ~ o , O MTanUIo, %IoHUIo, Pecny6nn~yKopea, ~ O J I ~ L U H H C T BTOCynapCTB-npaBOnpeeMHUKOB 6b1~111eroCCCP H HeCKOnbKO MaJIbIX OCTpOBHblX MCYAaPCTB, COrJIaCHO npOrHO3aM, 6y~eTMeHbIIIe B 2050 Tofly, YeM B 2005 rOny.

10. POCTHaceneHax n o - n p e x ~ e ~CyK O H U ~ H T P H P O B ~ HB cTpaHax c ~au6onb~ueii rEicneHHocTbm HaceneHua. B TeseHAe 2005-2050rono~, KaK omHnaeTca, Ha BOCeMb CTpaH 6yneT npMX0~HTbCXIIpbiMepHO IlOJIOBHHa npOrHO3UpyeMOrO POCTa X ~a HaCeJIeHHX Mkipa: HHAUX, H~reptia, ~ ~ K H C T ~~ H~ , ~ M o K ~ ~ T E ~PYe c~ nc yK6 ~n ~ ~H TH ~~ T AMBPEIKH, I~~I 6aHrJIa~eJIlU KU~aii,KOTOPbIe K o ~ r o ~, @ H o I I H X , C O ~ ~ M H U nepesacneHb1 no none ux BKnana B POCT YHcneHHocTEi HaceneHux Mnpa. 11. C p e ~ H ~ B03PaCT, fi T.e. B03PaCT, K O T O P ~ I ~DeJlIIT ~ HaCeneHHe Ha ABe gaCTU pamoro p a s ~ e p a ,XBnrreTcx n o ~ a 3 a ~ e ncTapeHua e~ HaceneHm. Ha rno6anb~oM ypoBHe B nepuon Memny 2005 a 2050 ronaMH cpexanii B O ~ P ~ C T ,CornacHo c 28 no 38 neT. C e r o n ~ aEspona aMeeT caMoe c-rapoe n p o r ~ o 3 a ~ysenaYtiTcx ,

12.

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lTepHOfiOB B p e M e H U ~ a 6 J l l O n a J I a c b HU3KaX POXAaeMOCTb.

13 Pa3BUTbIX CTPaHaX HJIU p a f i o ~ a6~b 1 n ssnemx c T a p e H H a H a c e n e H a r n o n T s e p x n a e T c s T e M @ ~ K T O M , TO, COl7laCHO n p O T H 0 3 a M , 93 CTPaHbI ~J'AYT HMeTb C P ~ A H U B~0~3 p a C T B b I U e 40 JIeT B 2050 r O n y , n p U r e M 48 E13 HHX ~J'AJJT pa3BHBaH>IUHMUCX CTpaHaMki ( K ~ P T1).~ BO3pPCT

B

pacnpocTpaHeme

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YTBepXAeHAX unu npw3Ha~uxO p r a H ~ 3 a ~ ~0e6ibi e n ~ H e ~ H Hausii. bl~

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13. C a ~ o eMennennoe cTapenHe nacenennn 6 y n e ~I I ~ O H C X O A U T ~B cTpanax, rne ~n ~U COKpaTNnaCb TOnbKO He3HaYUTenbHO. K POXnaeMOCTb OCTaeTCn B ~ I C O K O H 2050 r0ny IIpUMepHO OaHa U 3 IIRTI1 CTpaH, CO~JlaCHO IIpOrHO3aM, 6 y n e ~HMeTb c ~ ~ A HB03paCT U ~ HJIXe 30 JET. H a H ~ e ~ epa3BUTbIe e CTpaHbI ~ Y ~ YMM T eTb CaMOe T me Mononoe HaceneHHe, npHseM BoceMb 113 HUX Gyny~nMeTb cpen~ufiB O ~ P ~ CH , ~ B H H ~ XEUcay, 24 neT B 2050 rony, a &menno: Anrona, A a r a ~ u c ~ a n6ypyn~k1, A e ~ o ~ p a ~ n s e Pecny6nHKa c~ax Konro, JIu6ep~s1,Hurep H Yranna ( ~ a p 2). ~a IIPUYUHO~~ 14. KaK yKa3aHO BbIUle, COKpaQeHUe pOXAaeMOCTU SBJIHeTCX OCHOBHO# cTapennn Hacenentix. Ha MHPOBOM ypoBHe n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nponaaeMocTu, b cornacno OQeHKaM, COCTaBJIffeT 2,55 pe6en~aHa XeHmUHY, IIPHMCPHO IlOJIOBHHa YPOBHII B 5 n e ~ e PHa ncenmxny, KOTOP~IE cywecTsoBan B 1950-1 955 ronax ( T ~ ~ J I H3). LW lIp~ cpenaeM BapaanTe poxAaeMocTb B Mupe, cornacHo rrporno3a~,CoKpaTuTcn ewe H m e go 2,02 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa xenwNny. C p e p p ~ eMHpoBbre ~ P O B H H @ O ~ M H P ~ K I T C XC YreTOM pa3nUYHbIX T ~ H A ~ H U BN ~OCHOBHblX ~ rpynIIaX pa3BUTHII. B pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX B UenOM POXAaeMOCTb B HaCTOIIqee BpeMR COCTaBnXeT 1,60 XeHmUHbI Ha pe6e~~ U, acornacno nporno3a~,6 y ~ Memenno e ~ ysennrHsaTbca no 1,79 pe6en~a Ha X ~ H ~ U H BY 2045-2050 ronax. B HasMenee ~ ~ ~ B M TcTpaHax ~ I X poxnaeMocTb COCTaBnXeT 4,63 pe6eHKa Ha XeHqUHy H OXHAaeTCII, YTO OHa COKPaTJITbCII nOYTU Ha nonossHy no 2,50 pe6en~aHa xeHwuny K 2045-2050 ronaM. B o c ~ a n b ~ b ~ x pa3BHBaKIwUXCX CTpaHaX POXnaeMOCTb yXe cefiYac 3aMeTHO HHXe JI COCTaBnlIeT 2,45 p e 6 e ~ ~Ha xeHwuny H OxunaeTcx, TO oHa CoKpaTmcx ewe H m e no

Ta6nuqa 3 npennoaarae~arrU n p o r ~ o 3 u p y e ~o614an a ~ powaewoc-rb AJIR Mwpa B seJIoM, OCHOBHbIX rpynn pa3BHTHR U OCHOBHbIX PerUOHOB, 1970-1975,2005-2010 U 2045-2050 rOnb1, COrJIaCHO IlPO~H03HPYeMOMYBaPUaHTj' 06yaxpoxdaenrocmb ( c p e b ~ e erucno bemeti Ha x e ~ y u ~ y ) 2045-2050 aobu Oc~osnori~

~ Z U O H

1970-1975 aodu 2005-2010 zodbl

H U ~ K ~CRP ~ ~ H RB R~ Z C O K Heu3ue~nax ~B

Mup B q e n o ~

4,47

2,55

1,54

2,02

2,51

3,49

50JIee pa3BUTbIe perU0Hbl

2,13

1,60

1,29

1,79

2,28

1,68

M e ~ e pa3BUTbIe e pernOHb1

5,41

2,75

1,57

2,05

2,54

3,69

H a u ~ e e e pa3BHTbIe e CTpaHbI

6,61

4,63

2,02

2,50

2,99

5,49

m y r u e ~ a ~ l ~P e~ ~~ Be He CT T~PI~ ~H ~ I

5,25

2,45

1,42

1,91

2,41

3,07

A@pu~a

6,72

4,67

1,97

2,46

2,95

5,47

A~UX

5,04

2,34

1,40

1,90

2,39

2,94

E~pona

2,16

1,45

1,26

1,76

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nexes). See Table 1. Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV (pp. 29-3 1) and Table 2. Providing paediatric treatment (pp. 32-34). URL:www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract~pl~3/iii45. 10 Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Garnett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145-150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf. 11 World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. See Annex 1. Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middle-income countries (pp. 71-76). URL: http://www.who.int/hiv/fullreport_en~highres.pdf.

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cxvi

Prefacio El presente informe contiene un resumen de los resultados de la Revisión de 2006 de las estimaciones y proyecciones oficiales de población mundial que prepara la División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas. La Revisión de 2006 es la 20” serie de estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas mundiales que prepara la División de Población desde 1950. Los resultados completos de la Revisión de 2006 se publicarán en una serie de tres volúmenes que se están preparando actualmente. En el primer volumen1 figurarán cuadros completos en que se recogen los principales indicadores demográficos correspondientes a cada país respecto del período 1950-2050; en el segundo volumen2, se presentará la distribución por edad y sexo de la población de cada país respecto del mismo período, y en el tercero3 se hará un análisis de los resultados obtenidos. Algunos datos también estarán disponibles en formato digital y podrán consultarse en el sitio web de la División de Población, www.unpopulution.org. Los usuarios interesados podrán adquirir un CD-ROM con los resultados completos de la Revisión de 2006. En el sitio web de la División de Población se presentará una descripción de los datos contenidos en los distintos CD-ROM disponibles y se facilitará un formulario para encargarlos. La Revisión de 2006 es responsabilidad de la División de Población. Las comisiones regionales, especialmente la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe, así como el Programa conjunto de las Naciones Unidas sobre el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana y el síndrome de inmunodeficiencia adquirida (ONUSIDA), y los organismos especializados y otros órganos competentes de las Naciones Unidas, que colaboraron con la División, facilitaron su preparación. Entre las fuentes más importantes de estadísticas de población nacionales oficiales consultadas para la preparación de estas estimaciones y proyecciones destacan el Demographic Yearbook de las Naciones Unidas y sus bases de datos complementarias, de cuya elaboración y mantenimiento se encarga la División de Estadística del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas. La División de Población agradece a la División de Estadistica su permanente cooperación, Para más información sobre la Revisión de 2006, se ruega dirigirse a la Sra. Hania Zlotnik, Directora de la División de Población, Naciones Unidas, Nueva York, NY 10017 (Estados Unidos de América) (fax: 1 212 963 2147).

1

2

3

World PopuIa¿ion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición).

cxvii

Resumen La Revisión de 2006 es la 20" serie de estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas oficiales de las Naciones Unidas que prepara la División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de la Organización. Esas estimaciones y proyecciones se utilizan en todo el sistema de las Naciones Unidas como base para actividades en que se precisa información demográfica. La Revisión de 2006 toma como base la Revisión de 2004 e incorpora los resultados de la serie de censos de población nacionales de 2000 y de los estudios especializados realizados recientemente en todo el mundo. Estas fuentes proporcionan información demográfica y de otro tipo para evaluar los avances realizados en el cumplimiento de los objetivos de desarrollo convenidos a nivel internacional, entre ellos los objetivos de desarrollo del Milenio. El examen exhaustivo de las tendencias demográficas mundiales hasta la fecha y las proyecciones para el futuro que se presentan en la Revisión de 2006 proporcionan la información demográfica que se necesita para evaluar el cumplimiento de esos objetivos. Según la Revisión de 2006, la población mundial seguramente aumentará en 2.500 millones de habitantes en los próximos 43 años, pasando de los actuales 6.700 millones a 9.200 millones en 2050. Este aumento equivale al total de población que había en el mundo en 1950 y corresponderá sobre todo a las regiones menos desarrolladas, cuya población se prevé que aumentará de 5.400 millones en 2007 a 7.900 millones en 2050. Por el contrario, la población de las regiones más desarrolladas se mantendrá al mismo nivel, es decir, en 1.200 millones de habitantes, y sufriría una disminución si no fuera por la migración neta prevista desde los países en desarrollo a los países desarrollados, de un promedio de 2.300.000 personas al año a partir de 2010. Como consecuencia de la disminución de la fecundidad y del aumento de la longevidad, las poblaciones de un número cada vez mayor de países están envejeciendo rápidamente. Entre 2005 y 2050, la mitad del aumento de la población mundial se deberá al aumento de la población de 60 o más años de edad, mientras que el número de niños (personas de menos de 15 años de edad) sufrirá una ligera disminución. Por otra parte, en las regiones más desarrolladas, se prevé la casi duplicación de la población de 60 años o más (de 245 millones en 2005 a 406 millones en 2050), mientras que la de menos de 60 años seguramente descenderá (de 971 millones en 2005 a 839 millones en 2050). La Revisión de 2006 confirma la existencia de dinámicas demográficas diferentes en las distintas regiones del mundo. A nivel mundial, la población sigue aumentando y habrá superado los 9.000 millones en 2050, pero en las regiones más desarrolladas apenas varía y se producirá un notable envejecimiento. Como ya se ha señalado, prácticamente todo el crecimiento demográfico está ocurriendo en las regiones menos desarrolladas y especialmente en los 50 países menos adelantados, muchos de los cuales siguen teniendo poblaciones relativamente jóvenes que en el futuro previsible envejecerán sólo moderadamente. En el resto de los países en desarrollo se producirá un rápido envejecimiento de la población. Bajo estas pautas diferentes de crecimiento y cambios en la estructura de edad subyacen tendencias claras de fecundidad y mortalidad. En las regiones más desarrolladas predomina la fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo,

cxviii

que seguramente se mantendrá hasta 2050. La fecundidad sigue siendo alta en la mayoría de los paises menos adelantados y, si bien se prevé que disminuirá, seguirá siendo superior en esos países que en el resto del mundo, En los demás países en desarrollo, la fecundidad ha descendido de forma notable desde finales de los años sesenta, y en la mayoria de ellos se prevé que para 2050 se habrá llegado a un nivel por debajo del nivel de reemplazo. En los países del mundo desarrollado con economias de mercado establecidas la mortalidad es baja y sigue disminuyendo, pero en una serie de países de economía en transición se ha estancado o incluso ha aumentado, en buena parte como consecuencia del deterioro de las condiciones sociales y económicas y, en algunos casos, a causa de la propagación del virus de inmunodeficiencia humana. La mortalidad está disminuyendo también en la mayoría de los países en desarrollo, si bien ha aumentado en los muy afectados por la epidemia del v i m de inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH) y el síndrome de inmunodeficienciaadquirida (SIDA). La epidemia del VIHISIDA sigue propagándose. En la Revisión de 2006 aparecen 62 países con un número considerable de personas infectadas, frente a 60 en la Revisión de 2004 y 53 en la Revisión de 2002. Aunque la prevalencia del VIH en algunos paises se ha revisado a la baja desde 2004 gracias a los nuevos datos representativos nacionales disponibles desde hace poco, el número de víctimas de la enfermedad es todavía alto y probablemente seguirá siéndolo, pese a la reducción prevista de la prevalencia. El logro de una prevalencia más baja del VIH, conforme a las proyecciones, dependerá de que los gobiernos cumplan los compromisos contraídos en la Declaración del Milenio4, aprobada en 2000, y la Declaración de compromiso en la lucha contra el VIWSIDAS, aprobada en 2001. En particular, el cumplimiento de las proyecciones sobre las tendencias demográficas dependerá de que aumente considerablemente la proporción de enfermos de SIDA que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral y del éxito de los esfuerzos por evitar que se siga propagando el VIH. Según la Revisión de 2006, 40 de los 62 paises considerados muy afectados por la epidemia del VIWSIDA están en África. Las proyecciones sobre los efectos de la enfermedad se basan en el supuesto de que 31 de los paises más afectados lograrán suministrar tratamiento antirretroviral para 201 5 al 70% o más de las personas con SIDA. En el resto de los países afectados, se prevé que los niveles de tratamiento serán inferiores, concretamente, que oscilarán entre el 40% y el 50% para 2015. Además, se presupone que las personas que reciban tratamiento sobrevivirán, como promedio, 17,5 años en lugar de 10s 10 años habituales si no se recibe tratamiento. Principalmente como consecuencia de estas hipótesis, y debido a la revisión a la baja de la prevalencia del VIWSIDA en los países de los que se han podido obtener datos nacionales representativos sobre la epidemia, se calcula que habrá unos 32 millones de muertes menos entre 2005 y 2020 en los 62 paises más afectados por la epidemia, según la Revisión de 2006, de las que se hubieran registrado de mantenerse la misma tasa de muerte que indicaba la Revisión de 2004. Estos cambios también contribuyen a que las proyecciones demográficas para 2050 sean más altas en la Revisión de 2006 que en la de 2004 (de 9.200 millones, frente a 9.100 millones). El cumplimiento de las variantes medias de las proyecciones contenidas en la Revisión de 2006 también dependerá de que la fecundidad siga disminuyendo en los

5

Véase la resolución 55/2 de la Asamblea General. Véase la resolución S-26/2 de la Asamblea General.

cxix

países en desarrollo. En la Revisión de 2006 se prevé que la fecundidad en los países menos desarrollados descenderá, en general, de 2,75 hijos por mujer entre 2005 y 2010 a 2,05 entre 2045 y 2050. La reducción prevista en el grupo de los 50 países menos adelantados es aún mayor: de 4,63 a 2,50 hijos por mujer. Para lograr esa reducción es fundamental ampliar el acceso a la planificación familiar en los países más pobres del mundo. La urgencia de lograr esa reducción prevista de la fecundidad cobra más importancia si se considera que, con una fecundidad constante a los niveles estimados para 2000-2005, la población de las regiones menos desarrolladas aumentaría a 10.600 millones en lugar de a los 7.900 millones previstos si desciende la fecundidad. Es decir, si no se produce una mayor reducción de la fecundidad, la población mundial se duplicará con respecto a la que había en 1950. Otras conclusiones importantes del examen exhaustivo que se hace en la Revisión de 2006 de las tendencias demográficas mundiales hasta ahora y las perspectivas para el futuro se resumen a continuación. 1. En julio de 2007, la población mundial ascenderá a 6.700 millones de habitantes, es decir, aumentará en 547 millones con respecto a 2000 o en 78 millones de personas al año. Suponiendo que sigan disminuyendo los niveles de fecundidad, se prevé que la población mundial alcance los 9.200 millones en 2050 y aumente en unos 30 millones de habitantes al año durante ese período, según la variante de proyección media (cuadro I).

Cuadro 1 Población mundial, desglosada por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas (1950,1975,2007 y 2050) y por variante de proyección Población (en millones de habitantes) Zonas principales

Mundo

1950

I975

2535

4076

2007

.

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6671 7792

Media

Alta

Constante

9 191 10756

11 858

814

1048

1223 1065

1245

1451

1218

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1 722

3 028

5 448 6 727

7 946

9 306

10 639

Países menos adelantados

200

358

804 1496

1742

2002

2794

1521

2670

4644 5231

6204

7304

7845

Regiones más desarrolladas

Otros países menos desarrollados África

224

416

965 1718

1998

2302

3251

América del Norte

172

243

339

382

445

517

460

América Latina y el Caribe

168

325

572

641

769

914

939

1411

2394

4030 4444

5266

6 189

6525

548

676

731

566

664

777

626

13

21

34

42

49

56

57

Asia Europa Oceanía

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.

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2. El crecimiento demográfico futuro dependerá en gran medida de la evolución de las tasas de fecundidad (gráfico 1). Según la variante media, la fecundidad en el mundo descenderá de los 2,55 hijos por mujer de hoy a poco más de 2 hijos por mujer en 2050. Si la fecundidad permaneciera aproximadamente medio hijo por encima de los niveles proyectados en la variante media, la población mundial ascendería a 10.800 millones de habitantes para 2050. Mantener la fecundidad a medio hijo por debajo de la variante media daría una población de 7.800 millones de habitantes para mediados de siglo. Es decir, a nivel mundial, es inevitable que siga creciendo la población hasta 2050 aunque aumente el ritmo de disminución de la fecundidad. Gráfico 1 Población mundial, de 1950 a 2050, por variante de proyección

8

W

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

constante

I

Año

I

- Media

--o-

Baia

Alta

- - A - - Fecundidad

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.

3. Debido a la tasa baja, y en disminución, del crecimiento demográfico en los países desarrollados, se prevé que, en general, la población de esos países no varíe prácticamente entre 2007 y 2050 y se mantenga en 1.200 millones, según la variante media. Por el contrario, la población de los 50 países menos adelantados seguramente aumentará hasta más que duplicarse, pasando de 800 millones en 2007 a 1.700 millones en 2050. Se prevé que el crecimiento en el resto del mundo en desarrollo también será fuerte, si bien menos rápido, y que la población de esos

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2050

países pasará de 4.600 millones a 6.200 millones entre 2007 y 2050, según la variante media. 4. El crecimiento demográfico lento causado por la reducción de la fecundidad lleva al envejecimiento de la población, es decir, a una población en que la proporción de personas mayores aumenta mientras que la de personas jóvenes disminuye. En las regiones más desarrolladas, el 20% de la población ya tiene 60 años de edad o más, y se prevé que esa proporción alcanzará el 33% en 2050 (cuadro 2). En el conjunto de los países desarrollados, el número de personas mayores (de 60 años o más) ya supera el número de niños (menores de 15 años), y para 2050 se prevé que en esos países el número de personas mayores será más del doble que el de niños.

Cuadro 2 Distribución porcentual de la población por grupos de edad amplios a nivel mundial, por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas, en 2005 y 2050, según la variante media, 2005-2050 Disiribucion en 2005 Zonas principales

Mundo

Disfribución en 2050

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

28,3

1,3

19,8

58,3

21,8

4,4

61.4

10,3

Regiones más desarrolladas

17,O

62,9

20,l

3,7

15,2

52,2

32,6

9,4

Regiones menos desarrolladas

30,9

61,O

8,l

0,8

20,6

59,3

20,l

3,6

Países menos adelantados

41,s

53,4

5,l

0,4

28,2

61,s

10,3

1,1

Otros países menos desarrollados

29,l

62,3

8,6

0,9

18,4

58,7

22,9

4,3

5,2

0,4

28,O

61,7

10,4

1,1

27,3

7,8

24,3

5,2

África

41,4

53,4

América del Norte

20,5

62,7

16,7

33

17,l

55,6

América Latina y el Caribe

29,8

61,2

9,0

1,2

18,O

57,8

Asia

28,O

62,7

9,2

1,0

18,O

58,3

23,7

43

Europa

15,9

63,5

20,6

3,5

14,6

50,9

343

9,6

Oceanía

24,9

61,O

14,l

2,6

18,4

56,9

24,8

6,8

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.

El envejecimiento de la población es menos rápido en los países en 5. desarrollo. No obstante, la mayoría de esos países van a iniciar un período de rápido envejecimiento demográfico. En el conjunto de los países en desarrollo sólo el 8% de la población tiene hoy 60 años de edad o más, pero para 2050 ese grupo de edad constituirá el 20% de la población (cuadro 2). 6. A nivel mundial, se prevé que el número de personas de 60 años de edad o mayores aumentará casi el triple, pasando de 673 millones en 2005 a 2.000 millones en 2050. Durante el mismo período, se prevé que la proporción de personas mayores, que viven en países en desarrollo aumentará del 64% en 2005 a casi el 80% en 2050.

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7. Una característica de las poblaciones que envejecen es que el número de personas mayores aumenta más rápido cuanto más alto es el grupo de edad examinado. Por lo tanto, si se prevé que el número de personas de 60 años o más aumentará el triple, también se prevé que el de las personas de 80 años o más (las personas más ancianas) se multiplicará por más de 5, pasando de 88 millones en 2005 a 402 millones en 2050. Hoy, aproximadamente la mitad de las personas más ancianas viven en países en desarrollo, pero en 2050 esa proporción seguramente ascenderá al 7 1%. 8. Aunque se prevé que las poblaciones de todos los países envejecerán en el futuro previsible, las de los países con una fecundidad todavía alta permanecerán relativamente jóvenes y aumentarán rápidamente. Varios países en desarrollo, la mayoría de ellos entre los menos adelantados, tienen unas tasas de crecimiento demográfico altas. Entre 2005 y 2050, las poblaciones del Afganistán, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, el Níger, la República Democrática del Congo, Timor-Leste y Uganda se habrán multiplicado por tres como minimo. 9. En el otro extremo, la población de 46 países o zonas, incluidos Alemania, Italia, el Japón, la República de Corea, la mayoría de los Estados sucesores de la antigua Unión Soviética y varios pequeños Estados insulares, habrá disminuido en 2050 con respecto a 2005.

1 O . El crecimiento demográfico sigue concentrado en los países populosos. Entre 2005 y 2050, la mitad del aumento proyectado de la población mundial corresponderá a ocho países: la India, Nigeria, el Pakistan, la República Democrática del Congo, Etiopía, los Estados Unidos de América, Bangladesh y China, por orden de contribución al crecimiento demográfico durante ese período. 11 . La edad mediana, es decir, la que divide a la población en dos mitades de igual tamaño, es un indicador del envejecimiento de la población. A nivel mundial, se prevé que la edad mediana aumentará de 28 a 38 años entre 2005 y 2050. Europa tiene hoy la población más vieja, con una edad mediana de casi 39 años, que en 2050 será de 47. 12. La edad mediana es más elevada en los países que han tenido bajas tasas de fecundidad durante largos períodos. En 2005, la edad mediana en 13 zonas o países desarrollados era superior a 40 años. La generalización del envejecimiento de la población queda reflejada en la proyección de que en 2050 habrá 93 países, 48 de ellos en desarrollo, con poblaciones cuya edad mediana superará los 40 años (mapa 1).

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Mapa 1 Edad mediana en 2005, variante media

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Populafion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.

Nota: Los límites que figuran en este mapa no cuentan necesariamente con la aprobación o aceptación oficial de las Naciones Unidas.

13. Los países donde la fecundidad permanece elevada y sólo ha disminuido moderadamente experimentarán el ritmo de envejecimiento más lento. En 2050, aproximadamente uno de cada cinco países tendrá una edad mediana de menos de 30 años. Los países menos adelantados tendrán las poblaciones más jóvenes, y ocho de ellos tendrán edades medianas de menos de 24 años, a saber, el Afganistán, Angola, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, el Niger, la República Democrática del Congo y Uganda (mapa 2).

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Mapa 2 Edad mediana en 2050, variante media

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas. Nota: Los límites que figuran en este mapa no cuentan necesariamente con la aprobación o aceptación oficial de las Naciones Unidas.

14. Como se señala más arriba, la reducción de las tasas de fecundidad es la causa principal del envejecimiento de la población. A nivel mundial, se estima que la fecundidad es de 2,55 hijos por mujer, aproximadamente la mitad de la tasa correspondiente a 1950-1955, que era de 5 hijos por mujer (cuadro 3). En la variante media se prevé que la fecundidad mundial disminuirá aún más, hasta 2,02 hijos por mujer. Los niveles medios mundiales son el resultado de unas diferencias muy marcadas en las tendencias de los principales grupos de desarrollo. En el conjunto de los países desarrollados, la tasa de fecundidad es actualmente de 1,60 hijos por mujer y se prevé que aumentará poco a poco a 1,79 hijos por mujer en 2045-2050. En los países menos adelantados, la fecundidad es de 4,63 hijos por mujer y se prevé que disminuirá a aproximadamente la mitad, es decir, a 2,50 hijos por mujer, en 2045-2050. En el resto del mundo en desarrollo, la fecundidad ya es de 2,45 hijos por mujer, una tasa moderadamente baja, y se prevé que habrá disminuido aún más, a 1,91 hijos por mujer, para mediados de siglo, llegando casi a la convergencia con los niveles de fecundidad que serán entonces típicos en el mundo desarrollado.

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Cuadro 3 Fecundidad total a nivel mundial, por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas, 1970-1975,2005-2010 y 2045-2050, y por variantes de proyección Fecundidad total (número medio de hijos por mujer) 2045-2050

Zonas principales

Mundo

1970-1975 2005-2010

Bq'a

Media

2,55

1,54

2,02

4,47

Alfa Constanie

2,51

3,49

Regiones más desarrolladas

2,13

1,60

1,29

1,79

2,28

1,68

Regiones menos desarrolladas

5,41

2,75

1,57

2,05

2,54

3,69

Países menos adelantados

6,úl

4,63

2,02

2,50

2,99

5,49

Otros países menos desarrollados África

5,25

2,45

1,42

1,91

2,41

3,07

6,72

4,67

1,97

2,46

2,95

5,47

América del Norte

2,Ol

2,oo

1,35

1,85

2,35

1,99

América Latina y el Caribe

5,04

2,37

1,36

1,86

2,36

2,67

Asia

5,04

2,34

1,40

1,90

2,39

2,94

Europa

2,16

1,45

1,26

1,76

2,26

1,47

Oceanía

3,23

2,30

1,43

1,93

2,43

2,83

Fzente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de 12 Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas. Nota: Sólo se incluyen los países o zonas con 100.000 personas o más en 2007.

15. En el período 2005-2010, la fecundidad sigue por encima de los 5 hijos por mujer en 27 de los 150 países en desarrollo, y esos 27 países representan el 9% de la población mundial. La mayoría de los países con tasas de fecundidad muy altas son pobres y pertenecen al grupo de países menos adelantados. Por el contrario, la fecundidad se encuentra por debajo del nivel de reemplazo en 28 países en desarrollo, que representan el 25% de la población mundial. Ese grupo incluye a China, cuya fecundidad media para 2005-201O se estima en 1,73 hijos por mujer.

16. Los 45 países o zonas desarrollados, que representan el 19% de la

población mundial, tienen también un nivel de fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo. En 27 de ellos, incluido el Japón y la mayoría de los países del sur y el este de Europa, la fecundidad permanece por debajo de 1,5 hijos por mujer. Desde el período 1990-1995, la disminución de la fecundidad ha sido la norma en la gran mayoría de los países desarrollados y está causando un rápido envejecimiento de la población. 17. Otro factor que contribuye al envejecimiento de la población es la reducción de la mortalidad en la edad adulta. A nivel mundial, la esperanza de vida al nacer, que se calcula que ha aumentado de 58 años en 1970-1975 a 67 años en 2005-2010, seguirá aumentando hasta llegar a los 75 años en 2045-2050 (cuadro 4). En las regiones más desarrolladas, el aumento previsto es de los 77 años de hoy a 82 años para mediados de siglo, y en las regiones menos desarrolladas se prevé que aumente de 65 años en 2005-2010 a 74 años en 2045-2050.

CXXVi

Cuadro 4 Esperanza de vida al nacer a nivel mundial, por grupos principales de desarrollo y zonas, 2005-2010 y 2045-2050 2005-2010

Zonas principales

2045-2050 ~~

Mundo

67,2

75,4

Regiones más desarrolladas

76,5

82,4

Regiones menos desarrolladas

65,4

74,3

Países menos adelantados

54,6

67,2

Otros países menos desarrollados

67,9

76,4

África

52,s

66,l

América dei Norte

78,s

83,3

América Latina y el Caribe

73,3

79,6

Asia

69,O

77,4

Europa

74,6

81,O

Oceanía

75,2

81,O

Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.

18. La esperanza de vida sigue siendo baja, de sólo 55 años de edad, en los paises menos adelantados, y aunque se prevé que ascenderá a los 67 años en 20452050, ese aumento dependerá de que se reduzca la propagación del VIH y se controlen también otras enfermedades infecciosas. Asimismo habrá que superar obstáculos parecidos para conseguir que la esperanza de vida en el resto de los países en desarrollo aumente de los 68 años de hoy a 76 años para mediados de siglo. 19. Entre las regiones más desarrolladas, Europa oriental tiene la más baja esperanza de vida al nacer, y ese indicador ha venido empeorando desde finales de los ochenta. En 2005-2010 la esperanza de vida en la región, de 68,6 años, es inferior a la que se registró en 1960-1965 (69,3 años). La Federación de Rusia y Ucrania han experimentado un fuerte aumento de la mortalidad, en parte debido a la propagación del VIH. 20. Pese a los avances logrados en el tratamiento de las personas infectadas por el VIH y el control de la propagación del virus, los estragos de la epidemia siguen siendo evidentes en las tasas de morbilidad y mortalidad y en la ralentización del crecimiento demográfico que han sufrido muchos países. En el África meridional, la región con mayor prevalencia de la enfermedad, la esperanza de vida ha caído de los 62 años en 1990-1995 a los 49 en 2005-2010 y no se prevé que vuelva a los niveles de principios de los años noventa antes de 2045. Como consecuencia, la tasa de crecimiento demográfico en la región ha sufrido un forîisimo descenso, pasando del 2,5% anual en 1990-1995 al 0.6% anual en 20052010, y se prevé que siga disminuyendo durante el futuro previsible. 21. La contribución de la migración internacional al crecimiento demográfico en las regiones más desarrolladas ha cobrado importancia a medida que han descendido las tasas de fecundidad. Entre 2005 y 2050, se prevé que el número

cxxvii

neto de migrantes internacionales a las regiones más desarrolladas será de 103 millones, cifra que contrarresta el exceso de muertes respecto de nacimientos (74 millones) previsto para el período. 22. En 2005-2010, la migración neta fue más del doble que el crecimiento natural de la población (nacimientos menos muertes) en ocho países o zonas, a saber, Bélgica, el Canadá, España, Hong Kong (RAE de China), Luxemburgo, Singapur, Suecia y Suiza. La migración neta contrarrestó el exceso de muertes respecto de nacimientos en otros ochos países o zonas: Austria, Bosnia y Herzegovina, Eslovaquia, Eslovenia, Grecia, las Islas Anglonormandas, Italia y Portugal. 23. En lo que respecta a promedios anuales durante el período 2005-2050, se prevé que los principales receptores netos de migrantes internacionales serán los Estados Unidos (1.100.000 al año), el Canadá (200.000), Alemania (150.000), Italia (139.000), el Reino Unido (130.000), España (123.000) y Australia (100.000). Se prevé que los países con los niveles más elevados de emigración neta serán: China (329.000 al año), México (-306.000), la India (-241.OOO), Filipinas (-180.000), el Pakistán (-167.000) e Indonesia (-164.000).

cxxviii

Hipótesis en las que se basa la Revisión de 2006 Para preparar cada nueva revisión de las estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas oficiales de las Naciones Unidas se siguen dos procesos diferentes: a) la incorporación de toda la información nueva y pertinente sobre la dinámica que ha seguido la población en cada país y cada zona del mundo; y b) la formulación de hipótesis detalladas sobre la futura evolución de la fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Las fuentes de datos utilizadas y los métodos aplicados para revisar las estimaciones pasadas de los indicadores demográficos (es decir, las referentes a 1950-2005) se presentan en el volumen III de World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (que se publicará próximamente). La población futura de cada país se proyecta a partir de una estimación de la población correspondiente al 1" de julio de 2005. Dado que no necesariamente se dispone de datos demográficos para esa fecha, la estimación de 2005 se basa en los datos demográficos más recientes disponibles sobre cada país, que se obtienen normalmente a partir de un censo o registro de población, y se proyecta para 2005 utilizando todos los datos disponibles sobre tendencias de fecundidad, mortalidad y migración internacional entre la fecha de referencia de los datos demográficos disponibles y el 1" de julio de 2005. En los casos en que no se dispone de datos recientes sobre los componentes del crecimiento demográfico, las estimaciones de tendencias demográficas son proyecciones basadas en los datos disponibles más recientes. Los datos demográficos de todas las fientes se evalúan para verificar que están completos y que son exactos y coherentes, y se ajustan según sea necesario6. Para elaborar las proyecciones demográficas hasta 2050, la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas parte de una serie de hipótesis sobre las tendencias futuras con respecto a la fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Dado que no se pueden conocer las tendencias futuras con total seguridad, se elaboran distintas variantes de las proyecciones. En los siguientes párrafos se resumen las principales hipótesis a partir de las cuales se derivan los indicadores demográficos para el período que comienza en 2005 y termina en 2050. En el volumen III de World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (que se publicará próximamente) se hace una descripción más detallada de las diferentes hipótesis.

Hipótesis de fecundidad: convergencia hacia una fecundidad total inferior al nivel de reemplazo

A.

Las hipótesis de fecundidad se describen en función de los siguientes grupos de países: Puises de alta fecundidad países que hasta 2005 no registraron ningún descenso en su tasa de fecundidad o registraron un incipiente descenso;

(>

Para obtener una descripción general de los procedimientos empleados en la revisión de las estimaciones de la dinámica demográfica, véase "Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections" (págs. 1O0 a 104) en World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. III, AnaZytical Report (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, número de venta: E.OS.XIII.7).

cxxix

Países de fecundidad media: países donde la fecundidad ha estado disminuyendo pero se mantiene por encima de los 2,l hijos por mujer en el período 2000-2005; Países de baja fecundidad países con una tasa de fecundidad total de 2,l hijos por mujer o menos en el período 2000-2005. 1.

Hipótesis de fecundidad media

Se parte del supuesto de que la fecundidad total en todos los países acabará por converger en una tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer. No obstante, no todos los países alcanzarán ese nivel en el período de la proyección, es decir, entre 2045 y 2050.Los procedimientos de proyección difieren ligeramente dependiendo de si el país tenía una fecundidad total superior o inferior a 1,85 hijos por mujer en 2000-2005. En los países de tasas altas y medias se supone que la fecundidad seguirá una trayectoria deducida de los modelos de disminución de la fecundidad establecidos por la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas sobre la base de lo ocurrido en todos los países en que se redujo la fecundidad entre 1950 y 2000. Los modelos relacionan el nivel de fecundidad total durante un período determinado con la disminución media de la fecundidad total prevista para el período siguiente. Si la fecundidad total prevista en un modelo para un país desciende a 1,85 hijos por mujer antes de 2050, la tasa de fecundidad total se mantiene constante a ese nivel durante el resto del período de la proyección (es decir, hasta 2050). Por lo tanto, la tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer representa un valor mínimo más allá del cual no puede bajar la fecundidad total de los países de tasa alta o media antes de 2050. No obstante, no es necesario que todos los países alcancen el valor mínimo para 2050. Si el modelo de cambio de la tasa de fecundidad produce una fecundidad total de más de 1,85hijos por mujer para el período 2045-2050,ese valor es el que se utiliza en la proyección de la población. En todos los casos, la evolución de la fecundidad prevista en los diferentes modelos se verifica analizando las tendencias recientes de la fecundidad en cada país. Cuando las tendencias recientes de fecundidad de un pais se desvían considerablemente de las que establecen los modelos, se proyecta la fecundidad por un período inicial de 5 ó 10 años teniendo en cuenta la evolución más reciente. La proyección del modelo es la que prima tras el período de transición. Por ejemplo, en países donde la fecundidad se ha estancado o donde no hay pmebas de un descenso de la fecundidad, se prevé que ésta permanecerá constante durante varios años más antes de iniciar su descenso. La fecundidad en los países de fecundidad baja se supone que, en general, permanecerá por debajo de los 2,l hijos por mujer durante la mayor parte del período de proyección y que alcanzará la tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer para 2045-2050.Para los países donde la fecundidad total era de menos de 1,85hijos por mujer en 2000-2005, se supone que durante los primeros 5 ó 10 años del período de proyección la fecundidad seguirá las tendencias más recientes observadas en cada país. Tras ese período de transición, se supone que la fecundidad aumentará de forma lineal a un ritmo de 0,05 hijos por mujer y quinquenio. Así pues, los países que actualmente tienen una fecundidad muy baja quizá no hayan alcanzado un nivel de 1,85 hijos por mujer en 2050.

cxxx

2.

Hipótesis de fecundidad alta En la variante alta, se prevé que la fecundidad permanecerá 0,5 hijos por encima de la cifra prevista en la variante media durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. Por lo tanto, para 2045-2050 la fecundidad prevista en la variante alta es de medio hijo más alta que la que prevé la variante media. Es decir, los países que alcanzan una fecundidad total de 1,85 hijos por mujer en la variante media tienen una fecundidad total de 2,35 hijos por mujer en la variante alta al final del período de proyección.

3.

Hipótesis de fecundidad baja En la variante baja, se prevé que la fecundidad permanecerá 0,5 hijos por debajo de la fecundidad que prevé la variante media durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. Por lo tanto, para 2045-2050, la fecundidad, prevista en la variante baja será medio hijo más baja que la prevista en la variante media. ES decir, los países que alcanzan una fecundidad total de 1,85 hijos por mujer en la variante media tienen una fecundidad total de 1,35 hijos por mujer en la variante baja al final del período de proyección.

4.

Hipótesis de fecundidad constante Para cada país, la fecundidad permanece constante al nivel estimado para 2000-2005.

5.

Hipótesis de fecundidad a nivel de reemplazo Para cada país, se fija la fecundidad al nivel necesario para asegurar una tasa de reproducción neta de 1 a partir del período 2005-2010. La fecundidad varía a lo largo del resto del período de proyección de forma que la tasa de reproducción neta siempre sigue igual a la unidad, lo que a la larga asegura el reemplazo de la población.

B. 1.

Hipótesis de mortalidad: aumento de la esperanza de vida, excepto en los paises afectados por el VIH/SIDA Hipótesis de mortalidad normal La mortalidad se proyecta partiendo de los modelos de evolución de la esperanza de vida que elabora la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas. Según esos modelos, cuanto más alta sea la esperanza de vida ya alcanzada, menor será el incremento. La elección del modelo adecuado para cada país se basa en las tendencias más recientes de la esperanza de vida por sexo. En el caso de los países muy afectados por la epidemia del VIHISIDA, se ha utilizado por lo general el modelo que prevé un ritmo lento de disminución de la mortalidad para tener en cuenta la reducción algo menor de los riesgos de mortalidad general no relacionados con el VIH/SIDA.

2.

Influencia del VIWSIDA en la mortalidad En la Revisión de 2006 se considera que todos los países con prevalencia del VIH igual o superior al 1% entre las personas de 15 a 49 años de edad están seriamente afectados por la epidemia del VIH/SIDA, y la mortalidad de esos países se proyecta según un modelo explícito de la evolución futura de la epidemia y

cxxxi

proyecciones de la incidencia anual de la infección por el VIH. También se consideran países muy afectados los que registran una prevalencia del VIH inferior al 1% pero tienen poblaciones tan grandes que el número de personas infectadas es considerable, como el Brasil, China o los Estados Unidos de América. En total, se considera en la Revisión de 2006 que hay 62 países muy afectados por la epidemia del VIH/SIDA. El modelo elaborado por el Grupo de Referencia del ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelos y proyecciones7 se utiliza para ajustar Ias estimaciones anteriores de la prevalencia del VIH proporcionadas por el ONUSIDA acerca de los países afectados y deducir los parámetros que han determinado la dinámica de la epidemia hasta el momento en cada uno de ellos. Para la mayoría de los países, el modelo se ajusta partiendo del supuesto de que los parámetros pertinentes se han mantenido constantes en el pasado. A partir de 2005, el parámetro PHI, que representa la tasa de ingreso de nuevos individuos en el grupo vulnerable o de alto riesgo, se reducirá a la mitad cada 20 años. El parámetro R, que representa la intensidad de la infección, lo hará cada 30 años. La reducción del parámetro R se basa en la hipótesis de que los cambios de comportamiento entre quienes están expuestos al riesgo de infección, junto con un mayor acceso de las personas infectadas al tratamiento, reducirán las probabilidades de transmisión del virus. En la Revisión de 2006 la prevención de la transmisión de madre a hijo se basa en un modelo que utiliza tasas estimadas de cobertura específicas para cada país de una media del 13% en 2005 entre los 62 países afectados, pero que oscilan entre el 0% y el 90%. Se prevé que esas tasas de cobertura alcanzarán un promedio del 60% para 2015, y que oscilarán entre el 40% y el 100% entre los diferentes países afectadoss. Después de 2015, se supone que la tasa de cobertura permanecerá constante al nivel alcanzado en cada uno de los países afectados hasta el final del período de proyección. Entre las mujeres que reciben tratamiento, se supone que la probabilidad de transmisión de madre a hijo es del 1%. Estos supuestos producen una reducción en la incidencia de la infección por el VIH entre los niños nacidos de madres seropositivas, pero el grado de reducción varía entre los diferentes países dependiendo del nivel de cobertura que se alcance en cada uno de ellosg. Para calcular la tasa de supervivencia de los niños infectados7 se tienen en cuenta las diferencias en el acceso al tratamiento pediátricog. En la Revisión de 2006, los niños infectados por el VIH se dividen en dos grupos: i) los que se infectaron en el útero, cuya enfermedad progresa rápidamente, que tienen una tasa media de supervivencia estimada en 1,3 años, y ii) los que se infectaron después de Grupo de Referencia dei ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelos y proyecciones (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Proyections. AIDS, vol. 16, págs. W1 a W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. * ONUSIDA, Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia (UNICEF), Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitef o r Children, Unite against AIDS (con anexos estadísticos). Véase Table 1 . Preventing mother-to-child transmission for HIV (págs. 29 a 3 1) y Table 2. Providing pediatric treatment (págs. 32 a 34). URL: www.unicef:rg/uniteforchildren. 9 Stover, J., N . Walker, N. C . Grassly, y M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexuaily TransmittedIn~ections,vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, págs. 4 5 a 50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstraci/82/suppl-3/iii45. 7

cxxxii

nacer mediante la lactancia, cuya enfermedad progresa lentamente, que tienen una tasa de supervivencia media de 14 años sin tratamientolo. La inclusión explícita del tratamiento pediátrico se hace mediante las tasas de cobertura de cada país, que alcanzaron un promedio del 9% en 2005 pero oscilan entre el 0% y el 99% entre los 62 países afectados. Para 2015, se prevé que la cobertura alcance, como promedio, el 60%, y que oscile entre el 40% y el 100% entre los países afectados’. Los niveles de cobertura se mantienen constantes entre 2015 y 2050 al nivel alcanzado en cada país en 2015. La tasa de supervivencia anual de los niños que reciben tratamiento es del 95%, de forma que el período medio de supervivencia es de 19,5 años, y el período mediano, de 13,5 años si no hay otra causa de muerte’. La Revisión de 2006 prevé un período de supervivencia más largo para las personas que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral de alta actividad. La proporción de la población seropositiva que recibe tratamiento en cada país concuerda con las estimaciones preparadas\ por la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) I l , según las cuales el promedio fue del 25% en 2005, con una oscilación de entre el 0% y el 100% entre los 62 países afectados. Se prevé que para 2015 la cobertura alcanzará entre el 40% y el loo%, con un promedio del 60% en los paises afectados. Entre 2015 y 2050, los niveles de cobertura se mantienen constantes al nivel alcanzado en cada país para 2015. Se supone que los adultos que reciben tratamiento tienen, como promedio anual, una probabilidad de supervivencia del 90% si no hay otra causa de muerte. Bajo este supuesto, el período medio de supervivencia tras iniciar el tratamiento es de 9 3 años, y el período mediano, de 6,6 años si no hay otra causa de muerte. Se supone que el tratamiento comienza a administrarse en el momento en que se manifiesta plenamente el SIDA. Sin tratamiento, los adultos infectados tienen un período de supervivencia medio de dos años una vez que se manifiesta plenamente el SIDA’O.

Hipótesis de mortalidad constante

3.

Según este supuesto, la mortalidad se mantiene constante en cada país al nivel estimado para 2000-2005.

C. Hipótesis de migración internacional Hipótesis de migración normal

1.

Bajo la hipótesis de migración normal, se fija la evolución futura de la migración internacional en función de las estimaciones pasadas y de la orientación de las políticas de cada país respecto de las corrientes futuras de migración internacional. Los niveles de migración neta previstos suelen mantenerse constantes durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. 10

11

Boerma, J. T., K. A. Stanecki, M. L. Newell, C . Luo, M. Beusenberg, G. P.Garnett, K. Little, J. G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J. Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, y P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, págs. 145 a 150. URL: http://www.who. int/bulletin/voEumes/84/2/145.pdf: OMS y ONUSIDA (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on “3 by 5 ” and Beyond. Véase Annex 1. Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middle- income countries (págs. 71 a 76). URL: http://www.who. int/hiv/fllreport-en-highres.pdf:

cxxxiii

2.

Hipótesis de migración cero Bajo esta hipótesis, se fija en cero la migración internacional para cada país a partir del período 2005-2010.

D. Ocho variantes de proyección La Revisión de 2006 incluye ocho variantes diferentes de las proyecciones (cuadro 5 ) . Cinco de esas variantes se diferencian entre sí únicamente en la previsión del nivel de fecundidad y, por lo tanto, comparten los mismos supuestos en relación con la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Las cinco variantes relativas a la fecundidad son las siguientes: baja, media, alta, constante y a nivel de reemplazo. La comparación de sus resultados permite evaluar los efectos que las diferentes tendencias de fecundidad tienen en otros parámetros demográficos. Además de las cinco variantes de fecundidad, se han elaborado una variante de mortalidad constante, una variante de migración cero y una variante constante. La variante de mortalidad constante y la de migración cero prevén la misma hipótesis de fecundidad (es decir, suponen una fecundidad media). Por otra parte, la variante de mortalidad constante contiene la misma hipótesis de migración internacional que la variante media. Por lo tanto, los resultados de la variante de mortalidad constante pueden compararse con los de la variante media para evaluar los efectos de una mortalidad cambiante en otros parámetros demográficos. Del mismo modo, la variante de migración cero difiere de la variante media únicamente en cuanto al supuesto básico sobre la migración internacional. Así pues, la variante de migración cero permite evaluar los efectos que la migración neta diferente a cero tiene sobre otros parámetros demográficos. Por último, la variante constante incluye el mismo supuesto acerca de la migración internacional que la variante media pero difiere de ésta en que supone una fecundidad y una mortalidad constantes. Por lo tanto, cuando se compara con la variante media, permite dilucidar los efectos que tienen los cambios en la fecundidad y en la mortalidad sobre los resultados obtenidos. Cuadro 5 Variantes de proyección en cuanto a las hipótesis de fecundidad, mortalidad y migración internacional

Variante de proyección

Fecundidad

Morra Iidad

Migración internacional

Baja

Baja

Normal

Normal

Media

Media

Normal

Normal

Alta

Alta

Normal

Normal

Fecundidad constante

Constante

Normal

Normal

Fecundidad a nivel de reemplazo

Reemplazo inmediato

Normal

Normal

Mortalidad constante

Media

Constante

Normal

Constante

Constante

Constante

Normal

Migración cero

Media

Normal

Cero

cxxxiv

E. Cambios metodológicos introducidos en la Revisión de 2006 Se hicieron los siguientes cambios y ajustes en la Revisión de 2004 con respecto a los procedimientos seguidos en la Revisión de 2004. En la variante media, las proyecciones de la fecundidad de los países con una fecundidad total inferior a 1,235 hijos por mujer en el período 2000-2005 se han hecho partiendo del supuesto de que las tendencias más recientes se mantendrán en un primer momento y que después aumentará la fecundidad de forma lineal a un ritmo de 0,05 hijos por mujer y quinquenio, en lugar del aumento de 0,07 previsto en la Revisión de 2004. En esos países no se habrá alcanzado necesariamente el nivel de 1,85 hijos por mujer para el período 2045-2050. -Los modelos de incidencia de la infección por el VIH por edades se han modificado. En los nuevos modelos, la edad media de infección es generalmente más alta que en los modelos de las revisiones anteriores, en particular en lo que respecta a los hombres. La contracción más tardía de la enfermedad reduce la influencia de la mortalidad por SIDA en la esperanza de vida.

La tasa de supervivencia de los niños seropositivos, tanto de los que reciben tratamiento como de los que no, aumentó con respecto a las previsiones de los modelos anteriores. La tasa de supervivencia tras la infección de los adultos seropositivos que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral también ha aumentado con respecto a las previsiones de los modelos utilizados anteriormente. Se han elaborado modelos explícitos de los efectos del tratamiento antirretroviral tanto en los niños como en los adultos. Además, se prevé que los efectos de la transmisión de madre a hijo disminuirán a medida que las mujeres tengan mayor acceso al tratamiento.

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I. INTRODUCTION Timely and accurate information about population trends is in high demand. Knowledge about the current size and structure of a country's population is needed for the formulation and implementation of policies and programmes in almost all areas of public life. Because policies are aimed at achieving goals in the future, knowledge about future population trends is required. What is true for individual countries also holds for the international community. United Nations activities in areas as diverse as health and environment, poverty reduction and promoting social progress and economic growth, rely on comprehensive and consistent demographic information. The population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) provide that information. The Population Division has been preparing the official United Nations estimates and projections of the world's population since 1951. The 2006 Revision of World Population Pvospects is the twentieth set of global estimates and projections completed by the Population Division since that date. Until 1978, revisions of the global set of population projections were published every five years, but since that date the Population Division has issued revisions of the estimates and projections for all countries and areas of the world every two years. The data produced for each revision of World Population Prospects represent a unique set of comprehensive, consistent and internationally comparable estimates and projections of population by age and sex as well as estimates and projections of mortality and fertility schedules by age and sex, and estimates of net international migration for each country. Such data serve as a basis for the calculation of sectoral estimates and projections produced by the various agencies and bodies of the United Nations system. Given the numerous uses of the Population Division's estimates and projections as well as the fact that future world population trends are inherently uncertain, it is important to ensure that the official set of population estimates and, projections of the United Nations system are kept as up-to-date as possible. This goal is met by revising the official set of projections every two years and, in the process, incorporating the most recent demographic information available for each country of the world. The results of the 2006 Revision are published in three volumes. Volume I presents all major demographic indicators, for all countries and their aggregates, in the form of demographic profiles and indicator-specific data tables. Volume I1 presents detailed information about the composition of pogulations by age and sex. Volume I11 is devoted to an analysis of the results, the methodological underpinnings and the documentation of the data sources of the 2006 Revision. In addition, the results of the 2006 Revision are available in digital form on two CD-ROMs, as well as on the Population Division's website at http://www.unpopulation.org. A wall chart showing population estimates and projections for 2007, 2020, and 2050 for all countries of the world and corresponding demographic indicators has also been issued. The 2006 Revision provides estimates and projections for 229 countries. For 195 countries of the world that had an estimated population of 100,000 inhabitants or more in the year 2007, the projections are carried out using the cohort-component method, which requires explicit assumptions on future fertility, mortality and migration trends for each country. For 34 countries that in 2007 had less than 100,000 inhabitants, projections of the total population are made on the basis of assumptions about the future rate of population growth. Such methodology does not require or produce information on hture fertility, mortality and migration levels. Estimates and projections are made and presented for each country separately. The estimates cover the period 1950-2005 and the projections cover the period 2005-2050. Results are also presented for the world as a whole, its 21 regions and six major areas. In addition, countries are organized by level of deUnited Nations Departm1:nt of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Popzclotion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprekensive Tables

velopment. The sets of countries that constitute each region, major area and development group are shown in the explanatory notes. The 2006 Revision includes eight projection variants and three AIDS scenarios. The eight variants are: low, medium, high, constant-fertility, instant-replacement-fertility, constant-mortality, no change (constant fertility and constant mortality), and zero-migration. The first five variants, namely, the low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement-fertility, differ among themselves exclusively in the assumptions made regarding the future path of fertility. The sixth variant, named "constant-mortality", differs from the medium variant only with regard to the path followed by future mortality. The seventh variant, denominated "no change", has constant mortality and constant fertility and thus differs from the medium variant with respect to both fertility and mortality. The eight variant, denominated "zeromigration", differs from the medium variant only with regard to the path followed by future international migration. Generally, variants differ from each other only over the period 2005-2050. The low, medium and high variants constitute the core of the official projections. They encompass the likely future path of population growth for each country of the world. The low and high variants provide lower and upper bounds for that growth. The medium variant is a useful central reference for trends over the longer tenn. The constant-fertility, instant-replacement-fertility, constant-mortality, no change, and zero-migration variants have been produced for illustrative purposes, to permit an assessment of the effects that future assumptions on fertility, mortality and international migration in the medium variant have in relation to these scenarios. In addition, the 2006 Revision includes three AIDS scenarios named No-AIDS, high-AIDS and AIDS-vaccine. These scenarios are variations of the medium variant and differ from each other and from the medium variant in terms of the path mortality follows because they each incorporate different assumptions regarding the course of the IIIVIAIDS epidemic. Note that only 62 countries are considered to be significantly affected by the epidemic. Consequently, the AIDS scenarios produce different projections only for those countries. The No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic. The high-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modeling parameters determining the path of the HIVIAIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level. The AIDS-vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2010. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (high-AIDS and AIDS-vaccine) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic. Volumes I, I1 and 111 present results for the three main variants, medium, high and low. Additionally, projection results from the constant-fertility variant are shown in volume I. The results of the four additional variants, instant-replacement, constant-mortality, no change, zero-migration, and the three special HIVIAIDS scenarios are not included in the volumes. However, the results of these additional variants and scenarios are contained in the CD-ROMs entitled "Comprehensive" and "Extended (see order fonn, chapter 111). Data in volume 1 are presented in two different forms. First demographic profiles for aggregates, starting with the world and its development groups are provided, followed by alphabetically sorted major areas and their regions. That is followed by demographic profiles for individual countries in alphabetical order. Exhaustive tabulations for individual demographic indicators for all countries for which such information is calculated are presented at the end of the publication. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Popzrlation Prospectr: The 2006 Revision. Voiu~ne1.-Com1?rrhensive l'nbles

In addition to the data tables, this report includes an executive summary of the main results and a summary of the assumptions of the 2006 Revisiun in all six official languages of the United Nations. A more detailed description of the assuniptions is provided in volume HI.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Popitluiiot~Prospect,T: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Coniprehensive Tcrh1e.Y

3

11. ANALYSIS

l . Population size and growth

On 1 July 2007, the world population will reach 6.7 billion with 5.4 billion (or 82 per cent of the world's total) living in the less developed regions (table 1). Out of these, 804 million reside in the 50 least developed countries and account for 12 per cent of the world population. More developed countries, whose total population amounts to 1.2 billion inhabitants, account for 18 per cent of the world population (table 2). According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 9.2 billion persons by 2050, that is, 2.5 billion more than in 2007, an increase equivalent to the combined populations of China and India today. Most of this growth will be absorbed by developing countries. Between 2007 and 2050, the population of the more developed regions will remain largely unchanged at 1.2 billion inhabitants, but the population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 5.4 billion in 2007 to 7.9 billion in 2050. At the same time, the population of the least developed countries is projected more than to double, from 804 million inhabitants in 2007 to 1.7 billion in 2050. Consequently, by 2050, 86 per cent of the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions, including 19 per cent in the least developed countries, whereas only 14 per cent will live in the more developed regions. World population in 2050 would be substantially higher if the decline in fertility projected in the medium variant fails to be realized. If fertility were to remain constant at current levels in all countries, world population would almost double by 2050, reaching 11.9 billion. In the high variant, where fertility is assumed to remain mostly half a child higher than in the medium variant, the world population in 2050 would reach 10.8 billion persons. In the low variant, where fertility is projected to be half a child lower than in the medium variant, world population would still grow, but only to reach 7.8 billion by 2050. According to the low variant, the population of the least developed countries would still nearly double, to reach 1.5 billion by 2050, but the population of the more developed regions would decline to less than 1.1 billion. TABLE1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS Population in 2050 (millions)

Population (millions) Major area

1950

1975

2007

Low

Medium

High

Constant

World..................................................

2 535

4076

6 671

7 792

9 191

10 756

1 1 858

More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries .............. Other less developed countries .......

814 1722 200 1 521

1 048 3 028 358 2 670

1 223 5 448 804 4 644

1 065 6 727 1 496 5 231

1 245 7 946 1 742 6 204

1 451 9306 2 002 7 304

1218 10639 2 794 7 845

Africa.................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ................................................ Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................. Oceania...............................................

224 1411 548 168 172 13

416 2394 676 325 243 21

965 4030 73 1 572 339 34

1718 4 444 566 64 1 382 42

1 998 5266 664 769 445 49

2 302 6189 777 914 517 56

3 251 6 525 626 939 460 57

--

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TABLE2. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050, ACCORDING TO PROJECTION VARIANT Percentage distribution

Percentage disfribution in 2050

Major area

I950

1975

2007

Low

Medium

High

Constant

More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries .......

32.1 67.9 7.9 60.0

25.7 74.3 8.8 65.5

18.3 8 1.7 12.1 69.6

13.7 86.3 19.2 67.1

13.5 86.5 19.0 67.5

13.5 86.5 18.6 67.9

10.3 89.7 23.6 66.2

Africa ................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ............................................... Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................... Oceania...............................................

8.8 55.6 21.6 6.6 6.8 0.5

10.2 58.7 16.6 8.0 6.0 0.5

14.5 60.4 11.0 8.6 5.1 0.5

22.0 57.0 7.3 8.2 4.9 0.5

21.7 57.3 7.2 8.4 4.8 0.5

21.4 57.5 7.2 8.5 4.8 0.5

27.4 55.0 5.3 7.9 3.9 0.5

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

Most of the world population lives in a few countries. In 2007, 40 per cent of the world population lived in China and India. A further eight countries accounted for a further 20 per cent of the earth's inhabitants, namely, the United States, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, the Russian Federation and Japan, in order of population size. However, most of the countries of the world have small populations. Thus, 77 per cent of the 229 countries or areas covered by the 2006 Revision had populations of less than 20 million inhabitants in 2007 and, taken together, they account for 12 per cent of the world's population. By 2025, the population of India is projected to surpass that of China and the two will account then for about 36 per cent of the world population. By 2050, three least developed countries-Bangladesh, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Ethiopia-will be among the ten most populous countries in the world. Together with India, China, the United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Brazil, in order of population size, they are projected to be the ten most populous countries in the world in 2050. Increments in the world population are also largely concentrated in a few countries, generally the most populous. Thus, during 2005-2050, eight countries-India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United States, Bangladesh and China, in order of population increment-are expected to account for almost half of the projected population increase at the world level. Over most of human history, the world population grew very slowly if at all. Growth rates began increasing slowly during the 17" or 18" centuries as mortality started to decline. With accelerating gains in longevity, the growth rate of the world population increased, especially during the 2othcentury, when it reached a peak at 2 per cent per year in 1965-1970 (figure 1). Since then, the speed of population growth has been decelerating, largely as a result of falling fertility in the developing world. By 2005-2010, the population growth rate at the world level had reached 1.17 per cent per year and is projected to decline to 0.36 per cent per year by 2045-2050. However, because fertility decline has not occurred simultaneously in all countries, the pace of population growth still differs considerably among development groups. Thus, whereas today the population of the more developed regions is rising at an annual rate of 0.28 per cent, that of the less developed regions is increasing almost five times as fast, at 1.37 per cent annually, and the least developed countries as a group are experiencing even more rapid population growth, at 2.37 per cent per year. Such differences, United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Figure 1. Average annual rate of population change for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant)

1950

1960

-World

1970

1980

1990

More developed regions

-

2000

2010

2020

Period Less developed regions

2030

2040

2050

- a-- Least developed countries

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

albeit dampened, are expected to persist until 2050. By that time, according to the medium variant, the population of the more developed regions will have been declining for about 20 years, whereas the population of the less developed regions will still be rising at an annual rate of 0.44 per cent per year. More importantly, the population of the least developed countries will likely be increasing at a robust annual rate of 1.24 per cent in 2045-2050, a rate that, if maintained, would lead to a doubling of the population every 56 years (figure 1). 2. Population age composition The primary demographic consequence of fertility decline, especially if combined with increases in life expectancy, is population ageing, a process whereby the proportion of older persons in the population increases and that of younger persons declines. In 1950, just 8 per cent of the world population was aged 60 years or over. By 2005 that proportion had risen to 10 per cent and it is expected to reach 22 per cent in 2050 (table 3). Globally, the number of older persons (aged 60 years or over) will nearly triple, passing from 673 million in 2005 to 2 billion in 2050. In contrast, the number of children (persons under age 15) is projected to decline over the next 45 years, passing from 1.84 billion in 2005 to 1.82 billion in 2050 and their share of the total population will drop from 28 per cent in 2005 to 20 per cent in 2050. Increases in the median age, the age at which half the population is older and half is younger than that age, are indicative of population ageing. In 2005, 13 countries, all of them located in the more developed regions, had a median age higher than 40 years. Leading this group was Japan with a median age of 43 United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospecb: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TABLE3. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION BY BROAD AGE GROUP FOR THE WORLD, THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS, MEDIUM VARIANT,

Percentage distribution in 2005 Major area

0-14

World .................................................................... More developed region ..................................... Less developed regions ..................................... Least developed countries ............................ Other less developed countries Africa .................................................................... Asia ................................................................... Europe ............................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ......................... Northern America ................................................ Oceania ..............................................................

28.3 17.0 30.9 41.5 29.1 41.4 28.0 15.9 29.8 20.5 24.9

.....................

15-59

61.4 62.9 61.0 53.4 62.3 53.4 62.7 63.5 61.2 62.7 61.0

60+

10.3 20.1 8.1 5.1 8.6 5.2 9.2 20.6 9.0 16.7 14.1

80+

1.3 3.7 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.0 3.5 1.2 3.5 2.6

2005 AND 2050

Percentage distribution in 2050 0-14

19.8 15.2 20.6 28.2 18.4 28.0 18.0 14.6 18.0 17.1 18.4

15-59

58.3 52.2 59.3 61.5 58.7 61.7 58.3 50.9 57.8 55.6 56.9

60+

21.8 32.6 20.1 10.3 22.9 10.4 23.7 34.5 24.3 27.3 24.8

80+

4.4 9.4 3.6 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.5 9.6 5.2 7.8 6.8

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

years, followed closely by Germany and Italy, with median ages of 42 years. In contrast, the median ages in Mali, Niger and Uganda in 2005 were all at or below 16 years, making their populations the youngest on the planet. By 2050, 93 countries are expected to have a median age above 40, 48 of which are located in the developing world. That is, population ageing, which is already pervasive in developed countries, is expected to be common in the developing world of the future and is projected to occur more rapidly in developing countries than it did in their developed counterparts (map 3 and map 4). Despite the general trend toward population ageing, countries that still have relatively high fertility will have a younger population than the rest in 2050. Mostly least developed countries are in this group. In 2050, eight least developed countries will have the youngest populations on earth, with median ages at or below 24 years. They are: Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger and Uganda. The more developed regions have been leading the process of population ageing and their experience provides a point of comparison for the expected ageing of the population of less developed regions. In 1950, the number of children (persons under age 15) in the more developed world was more than twice the number of older persons (those aged 60 years or over), with children accounting for 27 per cent of the total population and the elderly for only 12 per cent. By 2005, the proportion of older persons in the more developed regions had surpassed that of children (20 per cent versus 17 per cent) and in 2050, the proportion of older persons is expected to be more than double that of children (33 per cent versus 15 per cent). In 2050, the number of older persons in more developed regions is projected to be more than four times their number in 1950 (95 million versus 406 million) while the number of children is projected to decline from 223 million in 1950 to 190 million in 2050. Until 2005, population ageing had been considerably slower in the less developed regions where fertility is still relatively high. The proportion of children had declined from 37 per cent in 1950 to 31 per cent in 2005, while the proportion of older persons had increased from 6 per cent to 8 per cent. However, a period of more rapid population ageing lies ahead for the less developed regions. By 2050, the proportion of older persons in those regions is expected to rise to 20 per cent, whereas the proportion of children is expected to decline to 21 per cent. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Map 1. Average annual rate of population change, 2005-2010, medium variant (percentage)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Map 2. Average annual rate of population change, 2045-2050, medium variant (percentage)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Trends in the number of persons of working age (those aged 15 to 59 years) are particularly important for all countries. The proportion of the population in those ages is an important factor related to the potential for economic growth. In the more developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age decreased from 61 per cent in 1950 to 59 per cent in 1970 and then increased steadily to reach 63 per cent in 2005. However, this increase is over and the proportion of the population of working age in the more developed regions is expected to decline steadily in the future, reaching 52 per cent by 2050. In the less developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age is expected to decline slightly, passing from 61 per cent in 2005 to 59 per cent in 2050. However, among the least developed countries, that proportion will rise from 53 per cent in 2005 to 61 per cent in 2050, an increase that repreUnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Map 3. Median age in 2005, medium variant bears)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Map 4. Median age in 2050, medium variant (years)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

sents both an opportunity and a challenge: the opportunity for economic growth provided that the challenge of creating gainhl employment for the growing numbers of persons of working age is met. Among the older population, the number and proportion of the oldest-old, that is, persons aged 80 years or over, is rising. In 2005, there were 88 million oldest-old corresponding to 1.3 per cent of the world population. By 2050, this segment of the population is projected to reach 402 million or 4.4 per cent of the world population. The oldest-old is the fastest growing segment of the world population. Particularly rapid increases in this segment of the population are expected in the less developed regions where the oldest-old are projected to increase from 43 million in 2005 to 284 million in 2050 implying an

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The ZOO6 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

average annual rate of 4.2 per cent (table 4). By 2050, 71 per cent of all persons aged 80 or over are expected to live in developing countries. In 2005, over 60 countries had populations where the oldest-old accounted for more than 1.3 per cent of the population, the percentage of the oldest-old at the world level. In Italy and Sweden the oldest-old accounted for over 5 per cent of the population. By 2050, 92 countries are expected to have populations where those aged 80 years or over account for more than 4.4 per cent of the population, the projected share of the oldest-old at the world level. In 23 of those countries, led by Japan and Singapore, the oldestold are expected to account for over 10 per cent of the population. Just as the overall population, the oldest-old tend to be concentrated in the most populous countries. In 2005, 15.4 million lived in China, 10.6 million in the United States and 7.8 million in India. In 2050, those countries will still have the largest numbers of persons aged 80 or over: 103 million in China, 51 million in India and 3 1 million in the United States. TABLE4. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AND THE POPULATION IN BROAD AGE GROUPS BY MAJOR AREA, MEDIUM VARIANT, 2005-2050 (percentage) 0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Total population

World ................................................

-0.03

0.65

2.43

3.38

0.76

More developed regions.................... Less developed regions..................... Least developed countries............. Other less developed countries .....

-0.19 0.00 0.96 -0.32

-0.36 0.84 2.14 0.56

1.13 2.93 3.39 2.88

2.16 4.19 3.97 4.20

0.05 0.90 1.82 0.70

Africa................................................ Asia ................................................... Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ..... Northern America ............................. Oceania .............................................

0.85 -0.34 -0.41 -0.41 0.25 0.17

2.04 0.48 -0.70 0.59 0.38 0.68

3.25 2.74 0.93 2.92 1.73 2.08

3.88 4.04 2.02 3.91 2.42 2.97

1.72 0.65 -0.21 0.71 0.65 0.84

Major area

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables

Figure 2. Total fertiUty trajectories for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

According to the 2006 Revision, total fertility-that is, the average number of children a woman would bear if fertility rates remained unchanged during her lifetime-is 2.55 children per woman in 20052010 at the world level (table 5). This average masks the heterogeneity of fertility levels among countries. In 2005-2010, 73 countries or areas (45 of them located in the more developed regions) have fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman, that is, below replacement level', whereas 122 countries or areas (all of which are located in the less developed regions) have total fertility levels at or above 2.1 children per woman. Among these 122 countries, 27 have total fertility levels at or above 5 children per woman, 25 of which are least developed countries (table 6 and map 5). The 73 countries where total fertility is below replacement level in 2005-2010 account for 43 per cent of the world population or approximately 2.9 billion people. Countries with fertility at or above replacement level account for 3.8 billion people or 57 per cent of the world population. Because of their low fertility and the expectation that it will not rise markedly in the future, the countries with belowreplacement fertility in 2005-2010 are projected to have only a slightly larger population in 2050 than today. In contrast, the countries whose fertility is currently at or above replacement level are expected to experience a marked population increase, reaching 6.1 billion by 2050 and accounting then for 67 per cent of the world population.

Replacement-level fertility is the level that needs to be sustained over the long run to ensure that a population replaces itself. For most countries having low or moderate mortality levels, replacement level is close to 2.1 children per woman.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TABLE5. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTEDTOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD. THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS. 1970.1975.200 5.2010 AND2045-2050 ACCORDING TO VARIANT . .

Totalfertility (childrenper woman) 2045-2050 Major area

1970-1975

2005-201 0

Low

Medium

High

Constant

4.47 2.13 5.41 6.6 1 5.25 6.72 5.04 2.16 5.04 2.0 1 3.23

2.55 1.60 2.75 4.63 2.45 4.67 2.34 1.45 2.37 2.00 2.30

1.54 1.29 1.57 2.02 1.42 1.97 1.40 1.26 1.36 1.35 1.43

2.02 1.79 2.05 2.50 1.91 2.46 1.90 1.76 1.86 1.85 1.93

2.51 2.28 2.54 2.99 2.41 2.95 2.39 2.26 2.36 2.35 2.43

3.49 1.68 3.69 5.49 3.07 5.47 2.94 1.47 2.67 1.99 2.83

World.................................................. More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries ....... Africa.................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America............................... Oceania.............................................

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007) . World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.

TABLE6.DISTRIBUTION OF COUNTRIES AND AREAS BY LEVEL OF TOTAL FERTILITY IN 1950~1955.1970~1975.200 5.2010 AND 2045-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT) Population (millions)

Number of countries

I953

1973

2008

2048

Greater or equal to 7 ............... Between 6 and less than 7 ...... Between 5 and less than 6 ...... Between 4 and less than 5 ...... Between 3 and less than 4 ...... Between 2.1 and less than 3 ... Less than 2.1 ...........................

141 1 068 560 35 275 585 10

156 603 921 1 113 88 355 687

45 182 388 213 451 2 547 2 922

0 0 0 0 185 1 650 7 294

32 72 31 14 16 25 5

33 50 27 20 14 32 19

3 11 13 14 29 52 73

0 0 0 0 6 41 148

Total .......................................

2 675

3 924

6 748

9 128

195

195

195

195

Greater or equal to 7 ............... Between 6 and less than 7 ...... Between 5 and less than 6 ...... Between 4 and less than 5 ...... Between 3 and less than 4 ...... Between 2.1 and less than 3 ... Less than 2.l ...........................

5.3 39.9 20.9 1.3 10.3 2 1.9 0.4

4.0 15.4 23.5 28.4 2.2 9.0 17.5

0.7 2.7 5.8 3.2 6.7 37.7 43.3

16.4 36.9 15.9 7.2 8.2 12.8 2.6

16.9 25.6 13.8 10.3 7.2 16.4 9.7

1.5 5.6 6.7 7.2 14.9 26.7 37.4

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 21.0 75.9

Range of totalfertility

1950-1955

1970-1975

2005-2010

2045-2050

Percentage

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 18.1 79.9

p

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007) . World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:Only countries or areas with 100.000 inhabitants or more in 2007 are included.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division world ~ o ~ u l a t i oProspects: n The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Map 5. Total fertility in 2005-2010, medium variant (childrenper woman)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Map 6. Total fertility in 2045-2050, medium variant (childrenper woman)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Since, 1974, when the first World Population Conference was held in Bucharest, Romania, fertility has declined by more than 20 per cent in 135 developing countries and by over 50 per cent in 66 of them. The fastest fertility reductions occurred in countries in Asia, including Bhutan, Hong Kong SAR China, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Kuwait, Macao SAR China, Mongolia, the Republic of Korea and Viet Nam. Fertility also declined rapidly in Algeria and Tunisia in Northern Africa and in Mexico in Latin America. The average number of children in those countries is currently below 2.38 children per woman. Although most developing countries are already far advanced in the transition from high to low fertility, 14 countries still hale fertility levels of 6 children per woman or higher in 2005-2010 and in three of them total fertility is equal or greater than 7 children per woman (table 6). Although the fertility United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Conlprehensive Tables

of those 14 countries is projected to decline after 2010 at a pace of about one child per decade, none is expected to reach 2.1 children per woman by 2045-2050 in the medium variant. As a result, their population is expected nearly to triple, passing from 227 million in 2008 to 642 million in 2050. These 14 countries are least developed countries-Afghanistan, Angola, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Chad, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Timor Leste and Uganda-and several are highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic. Moreover, a number of them have been experiencing civil strife and political instability in recent years, factors that m~litateagainst the provision of basic services for the populaticjn. The continuation of rapld population growth poses serious challenges to their future development. Despite the important contribution to population growth of high-fertility countries (those wit11 a total fertility abovc 6 children per woman), they account today for less than 4 per cent of the world population and are expected to constitute 7 per cent of the world population by 2050, according to the medium variant. Countries with total fertility ranging from 4 to 6 children per woman account today for 9 per cent of the world population (table 6). In 2007, the tnajority of people in the developing world live in the 81 countries with total fertility ranging from 2.1 to 4 children per woman, which account for 44 per cent of the world population. Most of those countries are projected to have a total fertility below replacement level by 2045-2050, according to the medium variant. Overall, 148 countries or areas are projected to have below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050, with 119 having a total fertility equal to or lower than 1.85 children per woman As a result, according to the medium variant, nearly 80 per cent of the world population is expected to live in countries with below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050. Fertility levels in developed countries, many of which experienced a "baby-boom" during the 1950s and 1960s, have generally declined since the early 1970s to below-replacement level. In fact, in 19701975, 19 countries out of the 45 developed countries in the world already had below-replacement fertility. By 2005-2010, all developed countries had reached fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman. Among them, 12 had reached historically unprecedented low fertility levels (below 1.3 children per woman), with Belarus, Poland and the Ukraine exhibiting the lowest levels in the developed world. At the world level, the rnedium variant projects totai fertility to be 2.02 children per woman in 20452050 (table S), the result of 1.79 children per woman in the more developed regions and 2.05 children per woman in the less developed regions. That is, although the difference in total fertility between the more and the less developed regions narrows considerably by mid-century, the less developed regions arc still expected to have a higher total fertility than the Inore developed regions. That difference persists in all pro-jection variants. Total fertility in the low vanant is expected to be 1.29 children per woman in the more developed regions and 1.57 children per woman in the less developed regions. In the high variant, total fertility is projected to be 2.28 children per woman in the more developed regions and 2.54 children per woman in the less developed regions.

Y THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF HIV/hIDS C. ~ I O R T A L I TAND I . Trends and prospects in world mortality The tweritieth century witnessed the most rapid decline in mortality in human history. In 1950-1955, life expectancy at the world level was 46 years and it had reached 67 years by 2005-2010. Over the next 45 years, life expectancy at the global level is expected to rise further to reach 75 years in 2045-2056) (table 7). The more developed regions already had a high expectation of life in 1950-1955 (66 years) and have since experienced further gains in longevity. By 2005-2010 their life expectancy stood at 74.5 years, 1 l years higher than in the less developed regions where rhe expectation of life at birth was 65.4 years. Although the gap between the two groups is expected to narrow between 2005 and mid-century, in 2045United Nations Depsrtrnent of Fcono~nicand Social Affairs:Population Division WovM Population Pro.vj~rct,s:T/7e 2006 Revision, b'olume I: Cori~pi.ehei~si~e Tah1c.s

TABI.E7. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 ~-

Major area

-

2005-2010

2045-2050

World ...............................................

67.2

75.4

More developed regions................... Less developed regions .................... Least developed countries............ Other less developed countries .....

76.5 65.4 54.6 67.9

82.4 74.3 67.2 76.4

Africa ............................................... Asia .................................................. Europe.............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean..... Northern America ............................ Oceania ............................................

52.8 69.0 74.6 73.3 78.5 75.2

66.1 77.4 81.0 79.6 83.3 81.0

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

2050 the more developed regions are still expected to have considerably higher life expectancy at birth than the less developed regions (82.4 years versus 74.3 years). The 50 least developed countries, which include 31 of the countries that are highly affected by HIVIAIDS, have been experiencing higher mortality than other development groups. Their life expectancy at birth was 55 years in 2005-2010 and is expected to remain relatively low, reaching 67 years in 2045-2050. The general upward trend in life expectancy for the more developed and the less developed regions (figure 3) conceals different trends among the world's major areas (figure 4). In Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern America and Oceania, life expectancy has been increasing at a steady pace. In contrast, Europe as a whole experienced a slowdown in the increase of life expectancy starting in the late 1960s and stagnating levels since the late 1980s. This trend is the result of severe reductions in life expectancy in countries of Eastern Europe, particularly in the Russian Federation and the Ukraine. The remaining regions of Europe have had increasing life expectancies which are currently equal to or higher than that of Northern America. Africa has the lowest life expectancy levels of any major area. Furthermore, life expectancy in Africa has virtually stagnated since the late 1980s. While this trend is due in large part to the HIVIAIDS epidemic, other factors have also played a role, including armed conflict, economic stagnation, and resurgent infectious diseases such as tuberculosis and malaria. The recent negative developments in many countries of Africa represent major set backs in reducing mortality. Only in 2005-2010 is life expectancy expected to begin rising again and, provided efforts to reduce the expansion of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and to treat those affected by it succeed, it is expected to continue rising to reach 66 years in 2045-2050. However, even if these gains materialize, by mid-century the population of Africa is still expected to be subject to the highest mortality levels in the world, with its overall life expectancy being 11 years lower than the next lowest one, that of Asia. In nearly all countries of the world, female life expectancy at birth is higher than that of males. At the world level, females have a life expectancy of 70 years in 2005-2010, compared to 65 years for males (table 8). The female advantage is considerably larger in the more developed regions (7 years) than in the less developed regions (3 years). The gap between male and female life expectancy is particularly narrow in the least developed countries (2 years). At the world level, a difference of about 5 years between United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Figure 3. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

Figure 4. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2050

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TABLE8. LIFEEXPECTANCY AT BIRTH BY SEX FOR THE WORLD AND THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 Life expectancy af birth (years) 2005-2010

2045-2050

Major area

Male

Female

Male

Female

World ..................................................

65.0

69.5

73.1

77.8

72.9 63.7 53.4

80.2 67.2 55.8

79.4 72.1 65.4

85.4 76.5 69.1

More developed regions .................. Less developed regions ................... Least developed countries ...........

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

female and male life expectancy is expected to persist until 2045-2050, but whereas the female to male gap is life expectancy is expected to narrow in the more developed regions, it is expected to widen in the less developed regions. Under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and the exact age of five, is an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. In 1950-1955, almost a quarter (236 deaths per 1,000 births) of all children born worldwide did not reach their fifth birthday. By 20052010, this rate had fallen to 74 deaths per 1,000 births. Although child mortality has fallen in all major areas, sub-Saharan Africa has lagged behind in achieving lower levels of child mortality (figure 5). In the 1950s, sub-Saharan Afica and South-Central Asia had similarly high levels of child mortality and both experienced significant reductions until the 1980s but thereafter, the pace of decline in child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa slowed down. As a result, by 2005-2010, under-five mortality had reached 82 deaths per 1,000 births in South-Central Asia, but it was still a high 155 deaths per 1,000 births in sub-Saharan Africa. 2. The demographic impact of AIDS

Twenty-seven years into the HIV/AIDS epidemic, its impact on the populations of the highly-affected countries is evident. In the 2006 Revision, the impact of HIV/AIDS is explicitly modelled for 62 countries, up from 60 in the 2004 Revision. In most of these countries, HIV prevalence in 2005 was estimated to be 1 per cent or higher among the population aged 15-49 years. Four populous countries with lower prevalence levels were also included because they have a large number of persons living with HIV. They are Brazil, China, India and the United States. Among the 62 highly affected countries, 40 are in sub-Saharan Africa, five in Asia, l l in Latin America and the Caribbean, four in Europe, one in Northern America and one in Oceania. Together they account for 35.5 million of the 38.6 million HIV-infected adults and children estimated to be alive in 2005 or 90 per cent of the world total. The dynamics of the HIV/AIDS epidemic as reflected in the 2006 Revision are consistent with the estimates of HIV prevalence in 2005 as reported by UNAIDS~for each country. Beginning in 2005, the 2006 Revision assumes that changes in behaviour, along with treatment, will reduce the chances of infection. Rates of recruitment into high-risk groups are assumed to decline as well. In light of major expansions in antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, average survival of those infected is expected to increase at a rate determined by projected levels of ART coverage and efficacy. However, because the epidemic is still expanding, some countries are expected to experience increasing levels of HIV

* Report on the Global HIVIAIDS epidemic 2006 (Geneva, TJNAIDS, 2006). United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Figure 5. Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2005

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

prevalence over the medium-term future. Nevertheless, in nearly all highly affected countries, HIV prevalence is projected to be lower in 2025 than in 2005.

In the 2006 Revision, the estimated and projected long-term impact of HIVIAIDS is somewhat less severe than that projected in the 2004 Revision. Part of this reduction is due to the incorporation of revised and lower estimates of HIV prevalence for several countries where nationally representative data on the epidemic have become available. Another part stems from the assumption that antiretroviral therapy will reach an ever increasing proportion of the persons who need it and that, as a result, those persons will not only survive longer but will be less infectious. However, realization of these projections is contingent on sustained commitment by Governments to assure treatment for those infected and to promote preventive measures and behavioural changes among the uninfected. The 2006 Revision confirms yet again the devastating toll AIDS has in terms of increased morbidity, mortality and population loss. Life expectancy in the most affected countries already shows dramatic declines. In Botswana, where HIV prevalence is estimated at 24 per cent in 2005 among the population aged 15-49 years, life expectancy has fallen from 64 years in 1985-1990 to 47 years in 20002005. By 2005-2010, life expectancy is expected to increase again to 51 years as a result of declining HIV prevalence and increased access to anti-retroviral therapy. In Southern Afiica as a whole, where most of the worst affected countries are, life expectancy has fallen from 61 to 49 years over the last 20 years. While the impact in Southern Afiica is particularly stark, the majority of highly affected countries in Africa have experienced declines in life expectancy in recent years because of the epidemic. In countries where HIV prevalence rates are lower, AIDS has mainly slowed down the increase in life expectancy. To assess the impact of the disease on life expectancy in these countries, the medium variant projections are compared with a hypothetical scenario in which AIDS does not exist. One can thus conclude that in 2005-2010, for instance, life expectancy is expected to be lower than it would have been United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorId Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

in the absence of AIDS by 2 years in Cambodia and the Dominican Republic, and one year in Ukraine. A larger impact is yet to come in many countries, such as India, where the impact of AIDS on life expectancy relative to the No-AIDS scenario is projected to increase from 1.0 year in 2005-2010 to 1.3 years in 2010-2015. Similarly, in the Russian Federation, that difference is projected to rise from 0.6 year in 2005-2010 to 2 years by 2015-2020. The toll that HIVIAIDS is taking is already retarding progress in reducing child mortality. Thirtyfive per cent of children infected through mother-to-child transmission are estimated to die before their first birthday, and 61 per cent die by age five. The impact of HIV on child mortality is particularly dramatic in countries that had achieved relatively low levels of child mortality before the epidemic began. In Zimbabwe, for instance, where under-five mortality was one of the lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, it has risen from 87 child deaths per 1,000 births in 1985-1990 to 104 per 1,000 in 2000-2005 and is projected to decline to 94 per 1,000 in 2005-2010. In Swaziland, under-five mortality has risen from 118 to 135 deaths per 1,000 births between 1985-1990 and 2000-2005, and is expected to decline to 114 deaths per 1,000 in 2005-2010. The impact of HIVIAIDS on child mortality is projected to decrease in the future with improved prevention of mother-to-child transmission. AIDS reshapes the percentage distribution of deaths by age. In 1985-1990, deaths in Eastern Afiica were concentrated among young children and older adults (figure 6), and adults aged 20 to 49 years accounted for only 16 per cent of all deaths. By 2005-2010, a shift had taken place in the distribution of deaths by age, with 29 per cent of all deaths occurring between the ages of 20 and 49. Such large increases in mortality deplete the cohorts that are in the prime of their working and parental careers, creating the potential for severe shocks to economic and societal structures. AIDS-related mortality and its impact on the potential number of births are reshaping the age structure of populations in the affected countries. Figure 7 shows the effect on the population of South Africa in 2015 by comparing the age distribution resulting from the No-AIDS scenario with that projected under the medium variant. The population aged 15 or over is 16 per cent smaller according the medium variant than according to the No-AIDS scenario. The reduced size of cohorts under age 15 is partly due to the deaths of large numbers of women during the reproductive ages and to the lower survival prospects of infected children. Total population in South Africa in 2015 is projected to be 50.3 millions or 14 per cent lower than according to the No-AIDS scenario. Despite the effect of the epidemic on reducing population growth rates, the populations of affected countries are generally expected to be larger by mid-century than today, mainly because most of them maintain high to moderate fertility levels. In fact, owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of HIVIAIDS combined with the expected expansion of access to anti-retroviral therapy and efforts to control the further spread of HIV, all the countries with the highest prevalence in 2005 are expected to experience positive population growth rates between 2005 and 2050. This trend marks a reversal from previous projections which expected outright reductions of population (that is, negative population growth rates) i n countries such as Botswana, Lesotho or Swaziland.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Figure 6. Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Eastern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010

0-4

5-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60+

Age groups

0 1985-1990

2005-2010

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.

Figure 7. Population in 2015, projected with AIDS and without AIDS, by sex and age group, South Africa

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables

Map 7. Life expectancy at birth, 2005-2010, medium variant (years)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply off~cialendorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Map 8. Life expectancy at birth, 2045-2050, medium variant (years)

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

D. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION Estimates of net migration between the major development groups show that since 1960 the more developed regions have been net gainers of emigrants from the less developed regions (table 9). Furthermore, net migration to the more developed regions has been increasing steadily from 1960 to 2000. During 1990-2000, the more developed regions were gaining annually 2.5 million migrants. About half of that net flow was directed to Northern America (1.3 million annually). During 2000-2010, the level of net migration to the more developed regions as a whole changes only slightly, but there is some increase in the net number of migrants received by Northern America (1.5 million annually). Over the rest of the projection period, net migration to the more developed regions is projected to remain at about 2.3 million per year, of which 1.3 million are directed to Northern America. With respect to the other major areas, Asia was by far the major source of migrants during 200020 10 ( 1.3 million annually), followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (1. l million annually) and then Africa (0.4 million annually). Over the projection period, more than half of all the net number of emigrants from the less developed regions are expected to be from Asia, between 25 per cent to 30 per cent from Latin America and the Caribbean, and the remaining from Africa. At the country level, during 2000-2010, 33 of the 45 developed countries have been net receivers of international migrants. This group includes traditional countries of immigration such as Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the United States, most of the populous countries in Northern, Southern and Western Europe as well as the Russian Federation and Japan. The movement of people from less developed regions to more developed regions has dominated the world migration patterns for almost half a century, but flows among developing countries have also been important. Several developing countries or areas have been attracting migrants in large numbers, including Hong Kong SAR China, Israel, Kuwait, Malaysia, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan and the Syrian Arab Republic have been the primary receivers of refugees from Iraq. Many African countries have been the destination of refugee flows from neighbouring countries. During 2000-2010, the countries having the highest levels of net emigration included China, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the Philippines. Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran also registered high levels of net emigration, partly as a result of the repatriation of Afghani refugees. International migration is the component of population change most difficult to measure and estimate reliably. Thus, the quality and quantity of the data used in the estimation and projection of net migration varies considerably by country. Furthermore, the movement of people across international boundaries, which is very often a response to changing socio-economic, political and environmental forces, is subject to a great deal of volatility. Refugee movements, for instance, may involve large numbers of people moving across boundaries in a short time. For these reasons, projections of future international migration levels are the least robust part of current population projections and reflect mainly a continuation of recent levels and trends in net migration.

United Nations Department of Econornic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divislon World Population prospect.^ . The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensi1,e Trrh1e.s

TABLE9.AVERAGE ANNUAL NET NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS PER DECADE BY MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA. 1950-2050(MEDIUM VARIANT) Major area

1950-1960

1960-1970

1970-1980

Net number of migrants (thousandr) 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010

More developed regions......................... Less developed regions .......................... Least developed countries.................. Other less developed countries ..........

-3 3 -104 108

556 -556 -148 -409

1 088 .1 088 -447 -641

1 530 .1 530 -788 -742

Africa ..................................................... Asia........................................................ Europe ................................................... Latin America and the Caribbean .......... Northern America .................................. Oceania ..................................................

-125 194 -489 -68 403 85

-242 -22 -3 1 -293 479 109

-289 -377 288 -415 748 44

-267 -451 441 -78 1 972 86

2 493

2 902

.2 493

.2 902

-37 .2 456

-29 .2 873

-310 .1 340 1051 -775 1 277 96

2010-2020

2 268 .2 268 -277 .1991

2020-2030

2 269 .2 269 -373 .1 896

2030-2040

2040-2050

2 272

2 272

.2 272

.2 272

-375

-375

.1 897

.1 897

-416

-377

-395

-393

-393

.1311

.1210

.1221

.1 222

.1 222

1 271 .1 108 1 453 111

799 -616 1 305 99

805 -590 1 300 101

808 -595 1 300 102

808 -595 1 300 102

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.

111. OFtDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON CD-ROM the datasets 1 to 3 and 5 to 14 listed in table l .

Thc 2006 Revlsinn of the W'or-l~/Poptrlation P~ospects, prepared by the United Nations Population Division, providcs a comprehensive and consistent set of population data for the world's countries and their aggregates.

The Extended CD-ROM contains all the data from the Comprehcnsive CD, plus population figures by single calendar year and single age group for 1950-2050. This CD also provides interpolated demographic indicators for single calendar years (total births and deaths: their rcspective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, survivors to age I , total fertility), urban population, population dcnsity and interpolated total population by main age group and sex, and their respcctive percentage distributions and sex ratios. The data are presented in Excel and database formats (ASCII comma delimited format for all datasets) and correspond to all datasets Listed in table 1.

The results of this Revision are available on two CD-

ROM editions that differ with regard to the data included and their prices (table 1). All two CDs contain estimates and projections of national populations by five-year age group and sex for 1950-2050 and demographic indicators for the same period. Data for 1950-2005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. -

The Comprehensive CD-ROM contains for all fertility projection variants (low, medium, high and constantfertility) all essential data such as total births, total deaths, total net-migration, the respective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, total fertility, net-reproduction rate and population growth rates for 1950-2050 by five-year periods. It includes population by five-year age group and sex for five-year periods and interpolated annual total population. In addition, this CD edition providcs births and deaths by five-ycar age group, the corresponding age-specific fertility and mortality rates and abridged life tablcs (survivors and lifc expectancies at specific agcs). It also comprises standard sets of demographic indicators and population by age group and sex for four other variants (instant-replacement-fertility, zeromigration, constant-mortality and no mortality and fertility change) and for three AIDS scenarios. All data on this C D arc presented in Exccl worksheets and correspond to

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All CDs show data for 229 countries and areas, 33 country aggregates, including the world as a whole. the more and the less developed regions, and the major areas. For the AlDS scenarios (datasets l 1 -14), special aggregations by region and HIV prevalence level in 2005 are provided for 62 countries affected by the HIViAIDS epidcmic. The Microsoft Excel files correspond to version 9712003 and later of this software. For a dctailcd listing of the contents of each CD, see table 2. Data files in database formats are shown in table 3. All CDs include the English Executive Summary of Wor.ld Popzll~tionPro.vpects: The 2006 Revision in Adobe Acrobat PDF format. For ~nformationon how to order this CD-ROM please sez the order form at the end.

Table 1. Summary contents of each CD-R011 P

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Description: Dataset3 included on CD-ROM 0 Locdtlons list I Per~od~ndicators,five-year pe~iods 2. Stock ~ndicators,five-year periods (and annual population) 3. Population by five-year agr: group and sex, five-year periods 4. Population by five-year age group and sex; annual 5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods 6 Fertility ind~cators by age, five-year per~odq -7 Instant-repldcement-fertil~tyvariant 8. Zcro-migration variant 9. Constant-mortality variant 10. No-change variant (constant-mortality and constant-fertility) l I . No-AIDS mortality scenario 12. AIDS mortality scenario (mediumldefault) 13. High-AIDS mortality scenario 14 AIDS-Vaccine nlortal~tyscenarlo 15 Interpolated demographic and populat~on~nd~cators, annual 16. Pop~ilation(by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of aze and single calendar ycars Price (I-JS$) P -

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Exccl--format Excel fo~mat Excel format Excel format

Excel and database forniats -bxcel and database formats Excel and ddabase formats Excel and database l'ormats Exccl and database for~nats Excel and database fonnats Excel and database formats Exccl and databasc formats Excel and database fonnats Excel and database formats Excel and database- formats - -Excel and database fo~mats Exccl and database formats Excel and databasc formats Excel and database formats Excel and databasc formats Excel and database forniats

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United Nations Depart~ncntof Econolnic and Social Affairs/Populatiun D~vision CZ'or6d Poj,~riltionProspecis. The 2006 Revision, Vol~oneI: (~i,tnj~i-rhe,~.~i~r. Tuhies

TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Indicators

F0

Number of countries or areas

Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)

195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low. medium. high. constant-fertility Low, mediutn, high, constant-fertility Medium Medium Medium 1 Low. medium. hieh. constant-fexti1itvl Low, medium, high, constant-fertility (LOW, medium, high, constant-fertility (

1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,.. ..2045-2050 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,....2045-2050 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,....2045-2050

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility

1950-1955,. ...2045-2050

195 195 229 195 195

Low, medium. high, constant-fertility 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 Medium 1 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 Medium 1950-1955.....2045-2050

Periods covered

Age groups

Location list with codes (numerical and IS03), description, major area, region and development group; countries with explicit HIVJAIDS mortality modelling in WPP 2006 revision, HIV prevalence rate (%) in population aged 15-49years in 2005 (UNAIDS, 2006) and by prevalence groups.

Dataset 1. Period indicators, five-year periods

F 1. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F8, F8.

h)

W,

I

F9. FlO. F 11. F 12. F 13.

Total fertility Net reproduction rate Crude birth rate Births Life expectancy at birth by sex Infant mortality, q(1) I~nder-fivemortality, q(5) l ~ r u d death e rate I ~ o t anumber l of deaths (both sexes) l ~ o t anumber l of male deaths

I

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C/E CE CE CE C/E CE CE C/E CE C/E

Total number of female deaths

CE

Net migration rate l ~ enumber t of mimants (both sexes) Average annual rate of population change Rate of natural increase Sex ratio at birth

CiE CE CE CE CE

I

I I I I 1 1

1

1

l

1 1

1

-------------

-------

-------

-

---

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7

Dataset 2. Stock indicators F1.

F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7.

l ~ o t apooulation l fioth sexes), annual Male population, annual Female population, annual Sex ratio of the vooulation l ~ e ~ e n d e ratio n c ~(0-14and 65+ by 15-64) l ~ e d i a nage of the oooulation Total population by main age group

I

I I

C/E CiE CE CE CE CE CB

I

I 1

229 195 195 195 195 195

I LOW. medium. high. constant-fertility l Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low. medium. hieh. constant-fertilihr Low, medium, high, constant-fertility ~LOW. medium. high. constant-fertilitd

1950. 1951 .....2049.2050 1 1950,1951,....2049,2050 1950,1951,....2049,2050 1950.1955.....2045.2050 1950, 1955,....2045,2050 1950.1955.....2045.2050 1

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility

1950,1955,...,2045,2050

I

l

1

F8.

Percentage total population by main age group

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility

1950,1955,....2045,2050

F9.

Sex ratio and feminity ratio by main age group

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility

1950,1955,....2045,2050

-------

------15-24,15-59, 0-4,5-14,O-14, 15-64,60+,65+,SO+,90+ 0-4,5-14,O-14, 15-24,15-59, 15-64,60+,65+,80+,90+ 0-4, 5-l4,0-14,

15-24, 15-59,

15-64, 60+,65+,

TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File F10.

Indicators Population density

Number of Projection variants or scenarios countries Periods covered ~dition' (starting in 2005) or areas C/E 229 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...2045,2050

CD-R0M

Dataset 3. Population by age and sex, five-year periods F1. Population by five-year age group

195

C/E

---

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...1985, 1990

04,5-9,. .,7579, 80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79, 80+, 80-84, ...95-99, loo+ 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 04,s-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99,100+

1995,2000,....2045,2050

(both sexes) F2.

Age groups

Male population by five-year age group

C/E

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,....1985, 1990 1995,2000,.. ..2045,2050

F3.

CIE

Female population by five-year age group

195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...1985, 1990 1995,2000,....2045,2050

Dataset 4. Population by age and sex, annual F1A.

Population by five-year age group (both sexes)

E

195

Medium

1995, 1996,. ...2050

FIB. F2A. N Q\

E

Population by five-year age group (male)

195

F2B. F3A.

0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 100+ 0 4 , 5-9,.. .75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 100+ 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,s-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, loo+

1950, 1951,....1994

Medium

E

Population by five-year age group (female)

195

1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,. ...2050

'L

Medium

1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,....2050

F3B. Dataset 5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods F1. F2. F3. F4. F5.

Deaths by five-year age group (both sexes) Deaths by five-year age group (male) Deaths by five-year age group (female) Life table I(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex

C/E CE C/E CE C/E

195 195 195 195 195

Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Medium Medium

1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050

195 195

1Low, medium, high, constant-fertility1 1Low, medium, high, constant-fertility1

1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050

0-4,5-9,. ...75-79, 80+ 0-4,5-9,.. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,s-9 ,....75-79, 80+ 0, 1,5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100

Dataset 6. Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods

F1. F2.

l~irthsby five-year age group of mother lage-specific fertility rates

I (

CE CE

1

I

(

1

15-19, 20-24,. ..45-49 15-19, 20-24,.. ,4549

Dataset 7. Instant-replacement-fertility variant F1.

Population by five-year age group and sex

C/E

195

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010,20 15,. ..2045,2050

0-4, 5-9, ...75-79, 80+, 80-84, ..,9599, loo+

F2. F3. F4.

Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population

CIE

229 195 195

Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility

2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015,. .. 2045,2050 2010,201 5,. .. 2045,2050

---

C/E CIE

-----

TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File F5. F6. F7. F8.

Indicators

iz:

Number Of

; : - m : ; : CE C/E C/E CE

Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Total fertility

195 195 195 195

Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)

Periods covered

Age groups

Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility

2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050

---------

Dataset 8. Zero-migration variant I

1

I

I

I

I

04,5-9, ...75-79, SO+,

Dataset 9. Constant-mortality variant F1.

Population by five-year age group and sex

P

F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.

Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E

195

Constant-mortality

2010,2015,.. .2045,2050

C/E CIE C/E C/E Cn3 CE C/E C/E

229

Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality

2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015, ... 2045,2050 2010,2015,.. . 2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ..,2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2OL0,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050

7 195 195 195 195 195 195

~ ~ $ : ~ ~ ; G ~ ~ ~ -------

--04,5-9, ...75-79, SO+

---

Dataset 10. No-change variant (constant-mortality and constant-fertility) F1.

Population by five-year age group and sex

CE

195

Constant mortality and fertility

2010,2015, ... 2045,2050

F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.

Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 6% by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E CE CE C/E C/E C/E

229 195 195 195 195 195 195 195

Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility

2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015,. .. 2045,2050 2010,2015,. .,2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050

C/E C/E

0-4,5-9, ...75-79, SO+, 80-84, ...95-99, IOU+

------------0-4,5-9, ...75-79, 80+ ---

-----

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TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM I

l

I

ICD-ROMI

Indicators

I

.1 L

11.5 F1.

Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods l ~ e a t h by s five-year age group (both sexes) C/E

F2. F3. F4. F5. 11.6

l ~ e a t hby s five-year age group (male) Deaths by five-year age group (female) Life table I(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex Fertilitv indicators bv" age. five-vear oeriods

F1. F2.

l ~ i r t h by s five-year age group of mother I ~ ~ e - s ~ e c ifertility f i c rates

I

v

.

I

I I

CE C/E CE C/E CE CE

I

I

I 1

I

Number Of countries or areas 62 62 62 62 62

I I

62 62

I I

1

I

Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS

Periods covered

Age groups I

I

1 1

1 1

1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050

1 1

1 [

0-4,5-9,. ...75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . ..75-79, SO+ 0-4,5-9,....75-79, 80+ 0,1,5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100

1 15-19,20-24,.. .45-49 15-19,20-24,...45-49 -

Dataset 12. AIDS mortality scenario (medium/default)

U \O

F 1.

Population by five-year age group and sex

C/E

62

AIDS (medium)

1980, 1985,....2045, 2050

0-4,5-9, 80-84, .,..95-99, ..75-79,loo-t SO+,

F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9. F10. F 11.

Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the vovulation \crude birth rate (crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex l ~ i f table e [(X)values by sex )Lifeexpectancy at age (X)by sex

C/E C/E C/E CIE C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E CB

62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62

AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium)

1980, 1981,...,2049,2050 1980, 1985,....2045,2050 1980. 1985.. ...2045.2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985.....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050

---

(

I I (

I

I

I

I

1 (

1 1

-------

1

]

p

---

1

--0-4, 5-9,....75-79, 80+

---

1

1

0, 1, 5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100

Dataset 13. High-AIDS mortality scenario (2005 situation constant until 2050)

I

Fl.

l ~ o ~ u l a t i by o n five-year age group and sex

F2.

Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life exvectancv at birth bv sex

F3. F4. F5. F7. F8. F9.

I

c/E CiE C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E

1

62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62

l

--

High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS Hieh-AIDS

2006, 2007,....2049,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010, ....2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050

., ... -

,

-------

0-4,5-9,.. ..75-79,80+

---

Dataset 14. AIDS-Vaccine scenario (no new HIV infection starting in 2010) F 1.

Population by five-year age group and sex

C/E

62

AIDS-Vaccine

2010,2015,....2045,2050

0-4,5-9, ...75-79, SO+,

F2.

Total ~ooulation60th sexes)

C/E

62

AIDS-Vaccine

2006,2007,. . ..2049,2050

---

80-84,

...95-99,loo+

TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Indicators

Number of or countries

M

- .

F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.

Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life exoectancv at birth bv sex

C/E CIE CIE CIE C/E

1

Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)

62 62 62 62 62 62 62

C/E

C/E

I

AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine

Periods covered

Age groups

2010,2015,....2045,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050

---

P

--------0-4, 5-9,....75-79, 80+

P

P

P

Dataset 15. Interpolated annual Indicators (SUPPLEMENT)

W

0

F1. F1. F1. F1. F1. F1. F 1. F1. F1. F1. F1

.

F2.

l ~ o t anumber l of deaths (both sexes) ]crude death rate l ~ i f expectancv e at birth bv sex Infant deaths (under age 1) Infant mortality, q(1) Survivors to age l Under-five mortality, q(5) Births Crude birth rate Total fertility Rate of natural increase Interpolated population by main age group

I

] I

E E E

E E E E E

Percentage of total population by main age

F3. F3. F3.

Percentage of female population in reproductive ages in total population Interpolated percentage urban vopulation l~nterpolatedpopulation density

E / I

E E

l l

I 1 I

195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195

I

I

l~nterpolatedtotal population l~nterpolatedurban population

l l

I E l E

Interpolated female population in reproductive F2. F2.

E E

Medium

195 195

Medium Medium

195

E

195 I

195 195

1

1

1950. 1951.... 2029.2030 1950,1951,....2029,2030 1950. 1951.....2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 195l,.. ..2029,2030 1950. 1951.. ...2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 1951,. ...2029,2030 1950. 1951.. ...2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 1951,....2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... 2029,2030

1 1

I

I

195

E

E E

Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium

---

1

---

1

--m

-------

-------

--< l , 5, < 15, < 18, 5-14, 611,12-14,15-17, 15-24, 18-23, 15-59, 15-64,60+, 65+, 80+, 9n+ .-

I

1950, 1951,... 2029,2030

(

1

1950, 1951,... 2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... 2029,2030

15-49

1 1

-----

Medium -

1950, 1951,... 2029,2030

Medium

I

1

Medium Medium

(

1950. 1951.. .. 2029. 2030 1950,1951,... 2029,2030

P

P p

P

P

15-49

(

-----

Dataset 16. Interpolated annual population~by single age (INTERPOLATED) F1.

Population by single age (both sexes)

E

195

Medium

....1994 .

1950, 1951,

)

1995. 1996.. ..2050

10.

0, 1 , 2,... 79, 80t 1.2.... 79. 80+. 81.. . 99. loo+

TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGlTAL FORM Dataset and File F2. F3.

Indicators

Population by single age (male) Population by single age (female)

Number Of countries Edition' or areas E 195

CD-R0M

E

195

Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)

Medium

Periods covered

Age groups

1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,. ..2050 1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,....2050

0, 1,2,... 79, SO+ 0, 1,2,. .. 79,80+, 81.. . 99, loo+ 0, 1,2,... 79, SO+ 0,1,2 ,... 79, SO+, 81... 99, loo+

.

Medium

Note: (1) CD-ROM editions are: C = Comprehensive, E = Extended Datasets l l to 14 present, in addition to the default AIDS mortality scenario (medium), three other AIDS scenarios for 62 countries affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic: (l) the No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic; (2) the High-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modelling parameters determining the path of the HIVIAIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level; and (3) the AIDS-Vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2010. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (HighAIDS mortality and AIDS-Vaccine mortality) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic.

TABLE3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION Topic I Data file Locations.csv

Number Number of of indicatorsZ records 12 277

Data file format'

Description Location list with codes (numerical and IS03), description, major area, region and development group; countries with explicit HIVIAIDS mortality modelling in WPP 2006 revision, HIV prevalence rate (%) in population aged 15-49 years in 2005 (UNAIDS, 2006) and by prevalence groups.

CSV

All period indicators (total fertility, net reproduction rate, crude birth rate, births, life expectancy at birth, infant mortality, under-five mortality, crude death rate, number of deaths (by sex), net migration rate, net number of migrants, average annual rate of population change, rate of natural increase, sex ratio at birth) by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050for AIDS scenarios.

CSV

DBO1. Period indicators DBO1-Peri0d~1ndicators.c~~

18

DB02. Stock indicators

lI

I DB02~Populations~Main~Age~Groups.csv

I

DB03. Population by age and sex, five-year periods DB03 Population Quinquennia1.c~~

DB03~Population~By~Sex~Quinquennial.csv DB03~Population~By~Age~Quinquennial.csv DB04. Population by age and sex, annual DB04 Population Annual.csv

DB04~Population~By~Sex~Annual.csv DB04-Population-By-Age-Annual.csv

1

I

Total population (by sex and both sexes combined) and average 4 243,377 annual rate of population change, by major area, region and country, FSV for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, annually for I I I I 1950-2050. Data only fir 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Total population by main age group (by sex and both sexes 54 44,982 CSV combined) by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. ( All stock indicators (total population by sex, dependency ratio, sex 1 CSV 92 50,694 ratio, median age, population dcnsity, percentage by main age group, sex ratio (W)and feminity ratio (FM) by main age group), by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. I Database format with sex and ape in rows. I CSV I 1 1 2.695.978 3 Database format with sex in column and age in row. 898,659 CSV Database format with sex in row and age fiom 0 to 100+ in column. CSV 22 134,946 Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and Medium variant, and 4 AIDS mortality scenarios). Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. I Database format with sex and age in rows. I CSV I 1 1 2.694.667 Database format with sex in column and age in row. 3 898,222 CSV ( Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. 22 132,303 CSV

I DB02~Stock~Indicators.csv

48,170

I

I

I 1

(

1

1

I

1

1

1

TABLE3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION I

Topic / Data file DB05. Mortality indicators by age and sex

I

DB05 Deaths.csv DBO5-DeathsBy-Sex.csv DBOS-Deaths-By-Age.csv

I DB05-Life-Table.csv

DBO5-Life-Table-lx-By-Age.csv DBO5-Life-Table-ex-By-Age.csv

-

DB06. Fertilitv indicators bv age W

~~06-~ertility-Tndicators.csv DB06~Fertility~Indicators~ByYAge.csv

I I

Number

Number of indicators2 records Total deaths by age group and scx, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios,l995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with sex and aee in rows. I CSV I 1 1 1.286.934 3 428,978 Database format with sex in column and age in row. CSV CSV 22 75,702 Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 10W in column. Life Table (by sex and both sexes combined) by major area, region and country, 1995-2050 (estimates, 1 medium variant and No-AIDS scenario). 2 CSV Life table survivors, (](X)), and life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by 232,320 sex and both sexes combined). Database format with sex and age in rows. 10,560 18 Life table sutvivors, (](X)), at exact age (X)(by sex and both sexes CSV combined). Database format with sex in row and age fiom 0 to 85 in column. 10,560 CSV 21 Life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by sex and both sexes combined). Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100 in column. Births by age group of mother and age-specific fertility rates, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with indicators in column and age groups in row. CSV 2 176,638 Database format with indicators by age group in column. CSV 14 25,234 Data file

Description

I

of

I I

I

1 1

DB15. Interpolated annual indicators WPP2006-SUKF 1~Annual~Demographic~Indicators.csv

WPP2006~SUP~F2~Annual~Population~Indicators.c~~

WPP2006-SWF3Annual Population IndicatorsPercentage.csv

DB16. Interpolated annual populations by single age WPP2006 INT Pooulation Annual Single Medium.csv

Interpolated demographic indicators by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Interpolated total population by main age group and urban population, by major area, region and country, annually for 19502050 (estimates and medium variant). Percentage of total population by main age group, percentage urban and population density, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050(estimates and medium variant).

CSV

16

CSV

21

CSV

19

222,832

49,439

Population (by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of age and single calendar years, by major area, region and countiy, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant).

I Database format with sex and aee in rows.

Database format with sex in column and age in row. WPP2006~INT~Population~By~Sex~hnual~Single~Medium.csv Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. WPP2006~~T~Population~By~AgeeAnn~d11SingleMedium.csv

I

CSV CSV CSV

I

1 3 102

1

6.400.188 2,133,394 69,084

(1) File format is: CSV for ASCII comma delimited data files (.csv) with field names in header. (2) Number of indicators does not include descriptive fields like codes and names for location, projection variantlscenario, calendar year

andor sex.

or period, age group

NATIONS UNIES

UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION Department of Economic and Social Affairs

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision - CD-ROM Edition Date:

Order Form CD-ROM requested CD Description

Price in

Quantity

US$ [ ]

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$250

[ ]

Extended dataset (Excel and ASCII formats)

$800 Total

Total Price in

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For overnight or express mail delivery, please provide a billing account number: .................................... Notes 1. Data contained in the above datasets are copyrighted by the United Nations. No portion of the data files contained on diskettes or CD-ROMs can be reproduced, distributed or used to prepare derivative works or for any other purpose without the express permission of the United Nations, to be obtained from the Secretary of the United Nations Publications Board. For further information, please contact the Director, Population DivisionIDESA, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A., telephone no. 1-2 12-963-3179; fax no. 1-212-9632147. 2.

The order form should be accompanied by a cheque or an international money order in US dollars drawn on a United States Bank for the correct amount, payable to the UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION and mailed to: The Director, Population DivisionIDESA, United Nations, DC2-1950, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A. Credit cards are not accepted.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

IV. BIBLIOGRAPHY Boerma, J. T., and others (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization,vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145-150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf. Stover, J., and others (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/82/suppl~3/iii45. UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W 1-W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitefor Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical Annexes). URL: www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. United Nations (2000). United Nations Millennium Declaration. General Assembly Resolution A/Res/5512 on its Fifty-fifth Session, Agenda item 60 (b), 18 September 2000. (2001). United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS. General Assembly Resolution AlRes/S-2612 on its Twenty-sixth Special Session, Agenda item 8 on 2 August 2001. (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 3, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XII. 10). (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.202. World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy.A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. URL: http://www.who.inthiv/fullreport_en-highres-pdf.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

V. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS OF THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS

"The past and future growth of world population-a long-range view", Population Bulletin of the United Nations, No. l-December 1951 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 52.XIII.2), pp. 1-12. "The past and future population of the world and its continents" and "Framework for the future population estimates, 1950-1980, by world regions", Proceedings of the World Population Conference, 1954, vol. I11 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 55.XIII.8), pp. 265-282 and 283-328. The Future Growth of World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. 66.XIII.2). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.76.XIII.4 and corrigenda). World Population Trends and Prospects by Country, 1950-2000: Summary Report of the 1978 Assessment (STESAlSER.Rl33). Selected Demographic Indicators by Country, 1950-2000: Demographic Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1978 (ST/ESA/SER.W38). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.8 l .XIII.8). Demographic Indicators of Countries: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.82.XIII.5 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1982 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.83.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1984 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.86.XIII.3). World Population Prospects 1988 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.88.XIII.7). The Sex and Age Distributions of Population: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.90.XIII.33). World Population Prospects: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.91 .XIII.4). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XIII.3). World Population Prospects: The I992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XII1.7). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII. 16). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.9). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.8). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.10). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01.XIII.8 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01 .XIII.9 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.O1.XIII.20). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.7). United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs~opulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables

World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.10). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.7).

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

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ANNEXTABLES

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I. DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES

WORLD

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................. ....... ....................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .................... .. Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................... .................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................. ............. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .. .................... Males ......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

WORLD

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

98 376 1.36 22.2 8.5 0.0 2.86 1.25

101 419 1.32 21.5 8.3 0.0 2.87 1.27

96 888 1.18 20.0 8.2 0.0 2.79 1.25

92 581 1.07 18.9 8.3 0.0 2.71 1.22

90 855 0.99 18.3 8.4 0.0 2.63 1.20

92 392 0.96 18.2 8.6 0.0 2.59 1.19

93 415 0.93 18.0 8.8 0.0 2.55 1.18

91 866 0.87 17.6 8.9 0.0 2.51 1.17

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 6 514 751 Males ................................................... 3 282 527 Females ............................................... 3 232 224 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.6 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 17.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

90 531 1.34 22.1 8.7 0.0 2.80 1.21

.

D LOW VARIANT 2005 Populatlon (thousands) 6 514 751 Total ..................................................... Males .................... . ......................... 3 282 527 Females ............................................... 3 232 224 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.6 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 17.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

65 779 0.99 18.4 8.6 0.0 2.30 0.99

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILlfY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 6514751 6944634 7416822 7919765 8443704 8996239 9597117 10265188 11 014053 11 857786 Total ............................................... Males ................................................... 3 282 527 3 497 840 3 734 368 3 986 166 4 247 860 4 523 092 4 822 462 5 156 074 5 531 323 5 955 468 Females ..............................................3 232 224 3 446 794 3 682 455 3 933 599 4 195 843 4 473 147 4 774 656 5 109 115 5 482 730 5 902 318 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0 29.0 29.8 30.4 30.8 31.1 31.3 31.1 30.8 30.3 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.28 21.5 8.7

1.32 21.8 8.6

1.31 21.6 8.5

1.28 21.3 8.4

1.27 21.2 8.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

1.29 21.5 8.6

1.35 22.1 8.7

1.41 22.8 8.7

1.48 23.4 8.7

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

813561 387 642 425 919 91.0

864004 413 21 0 450 794 91.7

916095 439 480 476 615 92.2

10.0 17.3 17.0 11.7 7.9 l .0 51.3 29.0 15

10.1 17.3 16.1 12.1 8.3 1.2 50.1 29.4 16

9.8 18.3 15.2 12.6 8.6 1.3 48.0 29.8 17

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

967002 1008477 1048104 1083274 1115352 1149064 1175400 1194199 465 376 486 067 506 141 523 689 539 827 557 423 570 636 579 654 501 626 522 409 541 963 559 585 575 525 591 641 604 764 614 546 92.8 93.0 93.4 93.6 93.8 94.2 94.4 94.3 9.2 18.2 15.4 13.5 9.1 1.4 47.3 30.0 18

8.2 17.8 16.5 14.5 9.9 1.6 48.3 30.6 19

7.7 16.5 16.8 15.5 10.8 1.8 48.7 31.1 20

7.2 15.2 16.6 15.5 11.6 2.0 48.8 32.0 20

7.0 14.4 15.7 16.4 11.6 2.3 49.1 33.2 21

6.8 13.8 14.6 17.6 12.5 2.7 48.9 34.5 22

6.1 13.6 14.0 18.4 13.5 3.0 49.3 35.9 22

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ..........................

..

2000

3 364 13 538 12 687 2 514 0.28 11.1 10.4 2.1 1.60 0.77 7 9

2 513 13 362 13 129 2 280 0.20 10.8 10.6 1.8 1.61 0.77 7 8

1 766 12 992 13 482 2 256 0.14 10.4 10.8 1.8 1.62 0.78 6 8

1 024 12 587 13 630 2 266 0.08 10.0 11.0 l .8 1.64 0.79 6 7

360 12 368 14 280 2 272 0.03 9.8 11.3 1.8 1.67 0.80 5 7

-168 12 394 14 833 2 272 -0.01 9.8 11.8 1.8 1.70 0.82 5 6

-619 12 506 15 397 2 272 .0.05 9.9 12.2 1 .8 1.73 0.83 5 6

-1015 12 537 15 824 2 272 .0.08 10.0 12.6 1.8 1.76 0.85 4 6

-1302 12 468 16 042 2 272 .0.10 10.0 12.8 18 1.79 0.86 4 5

72.9 80.2 76.5

73.7 80.9 77.3

74.7 81.6 78.2

75.7 82.4 79.0

76.5 83.0 79.8

77.3 83.6 80.5

78.0 84.2 81.1

78.7 84.8 81.8

79.4 85.4 82.4

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

5.5 12.7 13.7 19.5 14.3 3.1 48.9 37.4 22

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

5 454

5 753 0.46 13.2 10.5 18 2.01 0.96

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) ... ....................... Total ........................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

0.44 12.7 10.3 2.0 1 .85 0.88

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 268 0.10 9.4 10.4 2.1 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) ..... . . . . . . . 1 215 636 1 231 200 1 242 124 1 249 000 1 252 103 1 251 642 1 247 723 1 240 448 1 230 317 1 218 291 Total ............................... 591 023 600 954 596 315 604 519 Males .................................................. 590 072 605 942 607 217 606 678 597 612 602 773 634 002 627 268 639 494 643 204 Females ....................... . ................. 625 564 643 058 644 885 644 964 633 588 639 351 Median age (years) ..................... . . ..... 38.6 39.7 40.9 42.0 43.2 44.3 45.2 45.9 46.2 46.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.25 10.9 10.4

0.18 10.5 10.6

0.11 10.1 10.8

0.05 9.7 11.1

.0.01 9.5 11.4

.

(7 Mole developed regions comprise Europe Norfhem America. AustraliaiNewZealand and Japan.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.06 9.4 11.9

.0.12 9.4 12.4

.0.16 9.3 12.8

.0.20 9.3 13.1

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS p) A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thOUMndS) Total ....................... 1 721 532 1906749 2115838 2375768 2690199 3027977 3368196 3739912 4145815 4543645 4929924 971701 1077700 1210371 1370745 1543882 1716774 1905997 2112242 2313348 2507688 Males ................................................... 878 466 Females ............................................... 843 067 935048 1038136 1165398 1319454 1484294 1651,422 1833914 2033573 2230296 2422255 103.9 103.8 103.9 103.9 104.0 104.0 103.9 103.9 103.7 103.5 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 104.2 Age dlstrlbutlon 12.3 11.3 16.2 16.4 16.2 13.9 13.0 13.3 16.7 15.3 14.8 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 25.6 25.5 25.5 23.8 22.6 21.8 22.5 24.7 25.9 22.0 22.6 Percentage aged 5-14 . 17.2 18.6 19.4 19.7 20.4 20.2 19.1 18.0 18.3 17.4 18.9 Percentage aged 15-24 0.8 7.2 7.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 0.5 6.2 6.0 6.4 Percentage aged 60 or 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.6 5.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. 46.2 47.7 49.3 50.5 51.4 52.3 47.5 46.2 45.2 45.7 48.9 Percentage of w e n aged 1549 22.8 24.1 20.8 19.3 18.9 19.4 20.1 20.9 21.7 20.2 21.5 Median age (years) ................................. 37 41 45 55 59 29 32 50 23 26 21 Population density (population per sq km) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2000-20E Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) .................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at birth ( y w n ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

77 256 120 340

73 838 120 166

40830

43038

68

1.83 25.4 8.0 3.11 1.29 83

1.44 23.5 8.4 2.90 1.21 59

59.4 82.1 60.7

60.5 83.5 62.0

01.0 64.9 83.2

02.5 65.9 64.1

2040

2045

2050

74 343 112888 37 199 2.09 31.7 10.5 4.15 1.66 81

81 181 121 080 37 986 2.06 30.7 9.6 3.64 1.57 72

79 586 121 473 39 375 1.83

12.0 5.41 2.08 101

104 554 35 324 2.13 32.7 11.0 4.65 1.82 92

54.2 55.8 55.0

56.2 58.3 57.2

57.6 60.1 50.8

2030

2035

37 043 80 386 43 403 2.04 44.3 23.9 6.15 1.a6 175

41 817 83 908 42 037 2.08 41.7 20.9 6.01 1.92 159

51 986 93 329 40 826 2.32 41.6 18.2 6.04 2.08 133

62886 100 807 37 325 2.49 39.8 14.7 6.00 2.20 113

67 556 102 897 34352 2.37

40.0 41.6 40.8

43.2 44.8 43.9

46.8 48.0 47.4

51.5 52.9 52.2

36.0

68044

28.0 9.1 3.42 1.41

B. YEMUMVARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

..............................

2010

2015

2020

2025

5 299 115 5 674 101 6 050 114 6 413 238 6 751 540 7 056 937 7 327 119 7 568 711 7 774 225 7 948 040 2 692 454 2 880 107 3 067 863 3 248 589 3 415 915 3 585 451 3 096 383 3 811 450 3 910 454 3 991 776 2608661 2793995 2982251 3164649 3335624 3491486 3830755 3755261 3663789 3954264 101.8 101.5 102.7 102.4 102.1 101.2 100.9 102.9 103.3 103.1

Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ... Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

10.5 20.4 18.9 8.1 5.5 0.8 12.2 6.1 6.0 11.2 52.9 25.5 64

10.1 19.1 18.6 8.8 5.9 1.o 11.5 5.7 5.7 11.2 53.1 26.9 68

9.7 18.3 17.5 10.0 6.5 1.1 11.0 5.3 5.3 10.5 52.4 28.2 73

9.2 17.7 16.6 11.2 7.5 1.3 10.7 5.2 5.1 9.9 51.3 29.5 77

8.1 16.3 15.9 14.4 9.8 1.7 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.5 50.0 32.2 85

8.6 17.1 10.1 12.7 8.6 1.4 10.3 5.1 5.0 9.0 50.4 30.8 81

7.0 15.5 15.5 15.9 11.3 2.1 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 49.3 33.6

88

7.3 14.7 15.0 17.2 12.5 2.5 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.0 48.3 34.8 91

7.1 14.2 14.4 18.5 13.5 3.0 8.5 4.3 4.3 8.7 47.3 35.9 94

8.8 13.8 13.8 20.1 14.7 3.0 8.3 4.1 4.1 8.3 46.4 30.9 96

2005-2010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2o45-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO Population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (par woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 ,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOOlive births) Life expectancy at blrth ( y w n ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

46

74 997 122 789 45 278 2 514 1.37 22.4 8.3 -0.5 2.75 1.17 54 81

75 203 124 774 47 292 -2280 1.28 21.3 8.1 -0.4 2.62 1.13 49 73

72 625 124 427 49 547 -2256 1.17 20.0 8.0 -0.4 2.50 1.09 45 66

67 660 122 338 52 412 -2266 1.03 18.6 8.0

63.7 67.2 65.4

65.0 68.7 66.8

66.3 70.1 66.2

67.4 71.4 69.4

-

-0.3

2.40 1.06 41 60

61 079 119310 55 959 2 272 0.89 17.3 8.1 0.3 2.30 1.a3

54 036 110578 60 270 2 272 0.75 16.2 8.4 -0.3 2.21

47 919 115 321 65 130 2 272 0.64 15.5 8.7 -0.3 2.15

0.W

0.98

38 54

34 49

68.5 72.5 70.5

69.4 73.6 71.5

-

-

41 503 113805 70 131 -2272 0.54 14.9 9.1

34303

2.10 0.96

111 638 75 003 2 272 0.44 14.2 9.5 0.3 2.05 0.95

44

28 39

26 35

70.4 74.6 72.5

71.3 75.6 73.4

72.1 76.5 74.3

-

31

4.3

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPOpulation Division WorW Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. 5 299 115 5 724 503 6 187 619 6 666 642 7 127 442 7 569 043 8 000 944 8 437 310 8 876 000 9 305 634 Males ................................................ 2 692 454 2 906 256 3 139 155 3 379 877 3 610 532 3 830 293 4 044 395 4 260 592 4 478 295 4 691 854 Females ............................................. 2 606 661 2 818 246 3 048 464 3 286 766 3 516 910 3 738 750 3 956 549 4 176 718 4 397 705 4 613 781 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 10.5 6.6 8.8 10.9 10.9 10.6 9.9 9.3 9.0 8.9 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 16.5 16.4 20.4 18.9 16.7 18.3 17.4 18.7 19.1 19.0 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 18.9 15.5 15.0 16.3 18.4 17.2 16.6 16.7 16.0 15.9 16.2 17.2 14.6 15.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.1 13.4 8.7 9.8 10.8 12.0 11.9 12.5 10.3 11.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.5 6.3 7.2 9.2 5.8 8.1 2.6 3.1 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.3 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... 52.9 51.3 49.4 48.5 48.3 47.7 47.1 46.8 52.6 48.4 Median age (years) ................................. 25.5 26.7 27.5 28.3 29.2 30.0 30.7 31.3 31 8 32.4

.

Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

85 077 1.54 24.2 8.3 -0.5 3.00 1.28

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................... . ............................. Males ................................. .............. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

64 511 1.18 20.5 8.2 -0.5 2.50 1.06

57 424 1.00 18.4 6.0 .0.4 2.22 0.95

49 499 0.82 16.6 8.0 -0.4 2.00 0.87

43 656 0.70 15.5 8.2 -0.4 1.90 0.84

35 116 0.54 14.2 8.4 .0.4 1.80 0.80

24 508 0.37 12.9 8.9 -0.3 1.71 0.77

13 826 0.21 11.9 9.5 -0.3 1.66 0.75

3 380 0.05 10.9 10.1 -0.3 1.61 0.74

.6 383

2040

2045

.0.10 10.2 10.8 -0.3 1.57 0.72

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2050

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 5 299 115 5 713 434 6 174 699 6 670 765 7 191 601 7 744 597 8 349 394 9 024 741 9 783 736 10 639 495 Males .................................................2 692 454 2 900 228 3 131 595 3 380 224 3 640 643 3 916 415 4 217 942 4 555 120 4 935 008 5 364 445 Females .............................................. 2 606 661 2 813 206 3 043 103 3 290 541 3 550 958 3 828 183 4 131 452 4 469 621 4 848 728 5 275 050 Median age (years) ................................. 25.5 26.7 27.5 28.2 28.7 29.0 29.2 29.1 28.9 28.5

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.51 23.8 6.3

1.55 24.1 8.2

1.55 23.8 6.0

1.50 23.3 8.0

1.48 23.1 6.0

.

1.50 23.4 6.1

1.56 24.0 8.2

1.62 24.6 8.2

.

(') Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa Asia (excludingJapan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.68 25.1 8.2

LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populrtlon (thOUMnd1) Total ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 .. Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mxnen aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1993

1995

2000

200321 99 843 100479 99.4

221 417 110 638 110781 99.9

247317 123 743 123574 100.1

278395 139 366 139008 100.3

315868 158 154 157714 100.3

358283

405615 202 gSe 202826 100.1

480974 230 593 230381 100.1

525473 262 824 262649 100.1

801 083

679447 339 750

300517 100.0

339898

16.6 24.6 18.8 5.6 3.7 0.4 46.8 19.5 10

17.8 24.7 18.5 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.4 19.0 11

17.9

17.6 26.8 19.2 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.6 17

17.6 26.6 19.4 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.4 17.6

17.7 26.6 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.6 17.7 22

17.3 26.7 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.0 17.8 25

16.8 26.7 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.5 18.1 29

16.1 26.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.2 18.5

17.8, 25.4 18.5 5.0 3.0 0.3 46.0 16.5 12

17.9 26.2 18.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.4 18.0 13

179 451 176812 100.4

26.5 18.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.2 17.7 15

20

300 566

100.0

33

1950-1955 19551980 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-Moo 2OOO-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OW live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

8558 2.69 41.5 15.2 5.68 2.w 111

15 873 25 136 9 101 2.45 39.3 14.2 5.29 1.93 103

17 474 27 196 9636 2.42 37.6 13.3 4.95 1.85 95

48.8 51.O 49.9

49.1 51.7 50.4

50.2 52.8 51.5

51.5 54.0 52.7

2040

2045

2050

4 219 10 327 6009 2.00 49.0 26.5 6.87 1.81 197

5 180 11 389 6099 2.21 48.6 26.0 6.70 1.92 183

6 215 12 670 6 271 2.37 482 23.9 6.76 2.03 170

7 495 14 074 6 467 2.53 47.4 21.8 6.73 2.11 157

8 479 15 620 8 754 2.52 46.3 20.0 6.61 2.15 146

9 510 17 209 7 192 2.49 45.0 18.8 6.39 2.14 137

11 w2 19 374 7 391 2.55 44.7 17.1 6.28 2.17 125

12 900 21 324 7800 2.62 43.2 15.8 6.00 2.13 117

35.6 36.8 36.2

37.7 39.1 38.4

39.7 41.3 40.5

41.8 43.6 42.7

43.7 45.5 44.6

45.3 47.2 46.2

47.3 49.3 48.3

2030

2035

15 122

23 391

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage a@ 15-24 ........ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged80 or over .................. Percentage in s c h d ages 6 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage 01 mxnen aged Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

768 816

883394 432209

383599 383 217 100.1

431 185 100.2

15.6 25.9 20.2 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.8 7.2 6.7 11.8 48.0 19.0 37

15.1 25.2 20.2 5.2 3.4 0.4 15.4 7.0 6.6 11.8 48.7 19.7 42

2015

2020

2025

966 718 1 075 104 1 166916 1300834 1414665 1 527425 1637 146 1 741 959 870 677 706 436 764 526 484 182 538 615 594 673 651 549 816 916 706 230 762 899 871 282 816 231 649 085 482538 536489 592 244 100.3

100.4

100.4

100.4

100.3

100.2

100.1

99.9

14.5 24.7 19.9 5.5 3.5 0.5 15.1 8.9 6.4 11.7 49.2 20.4 46

13.8 24.2 19.7 5.9 3.8 0.5 14.8 6.8 6.4 11.5 49.8 21.2 52

13.0 23.4 19.6 6.3 4.1 0.5 14.3 6.7 6.3 11.5 50.6 22.1 57

12.2 22.5 19.5 8.9 4.5 0.6 13.7 6.5 6.2 11.5 51.3 23.1 63

11.5 21.6 19.2 7.5 4.9 0.7 13.1 6.3 6.1 11.4 51.8 24.3 68

10.8 20.6 18.8 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.4 6.0 5.9 11.2 52.1 25.4 73

10.2 19.6 18.3 9.2 6.1 0.9 11.8 5.6 5.7 10.9 52.2 26.6 79

9.5 16.7 17.6 10.3 6.9 1.1 11.3 5.5 5.5 10.6 52.2 27.9

e4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 Populationchangeperyear(thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Iyfant mortality rate (per 1,OOO l i e births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at blrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................

48

22382 33 687

22744

2.13 32.0 10.4 -0.3 3.99 1.61 74 115

10 953 372 1.98 29.8 9.7 -0.3 3.68 1.52 67 104

11 315 374 1.83 27.7 9.1 -0.3 3.39 1.43 61 93

56.9 59.5 58.2

58.4 61.3 59.8

59.9 63.0 61.4

19316 29 272 9 985 29 2.37 35.9 12.3 0.0 4.63 1.77 88 141

20665 31 191 10 311 215 2.26 34.1 11.3 -0.2 4.31 1.70 61 127

21 677 32 628 10 612

53.4 55.8 54.6

55.2 57.7 56.4

-

-

338

-

34 433

-

22806 34 929 11 748 375 1.68 25.7 8.7 -0.3 3.12 1.34

-

56 83 61.4 64.6

63.0

22552 35 181 12 254 375 1.53 23.9 8.3 -0.3 2.88 1.26 50 74

21 944 35 155 12 835 375 1.39 22.2 8.1 -0.2 2.67 1.19 46 66

34 844 13 506 375 1.24 20.6 8.0 -0.2 2.50 1.12 41 58

62.6 66.2 64.5

64.1 67.6 65.9

65.4 69.1 67.2

-

-

20982

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

20 573 2.52 37.5 12.4 0.0 4.86 1.67

23 089 2.49 36.5 11.4 -0.2 4.70 1 .85

25 270 2.41 34.9 10.5 -0.3 4.49 1.62

26 498 2.25 32.5 9.7 -0.3 4.18 1.73

27 784 2.12 30.4 9.0 .0.3 3.88 1.64

29 227 2.01 28.8 8.5 .0.3 3.61 1.55

30 659 1.91 27.4 8.1 -0.2 3.37 1.46

31 713 1.80 26.0 7.8 -0.2 3.16 1.41

32 191 1.68 24.5 7.5 .0.2 2.99 1.34

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................................... ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .:............... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ......................................... ,......... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

17 798 2.20 34.0 12.1 0.0 4.38 1.68

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 766816 Total .................................................. Males .......................... . ................... 383 599 Females .................... . . ................. 383 21 7 Median age (years) ................................. 19.0

873199 437 187 436 01 2 19.4

998818 1145727 1316897 1518091 1757067 2042674 2384654 2794406 500 461 574 399 881 644 1 025 107 1 196 917 1 402 862 660 487 761 596 875 422 1 01 7 567 1 187 737 1 391 544 498 357 571 329 656 41 1 756 495 19.6 19.6 19.5 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.0 18.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.60 36.3 12.4

2.69 38.6 11.5

2.74 38.4 10.7

2.79 38.0 9.9

2.84 37.8 9.2

2.92 38.0 8.6

(') Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus me country in Latin America and the Caribbean

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.01 38.3 8.0

3.10 38.5 7.5

3.17 38.8 7.0

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (') A ESTIMATES

Indicator lesS

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

PopuMlon (thouwinds) Total ........ 1 521 211 1685332 1868519 2 097 374 2 374 331 2 669 714 2962381 3 278 938 3620342 3942562 4 250 477 Males ................................................... 953957 1 070984 1 212 591 1364231 1513785 1 675 405 1 849 418 2 012 783 2 167 919 778 623 881 066 914 561 1028389 1161 740 1305482 1448596 1603533 1 770924 1929779 2082558 Females ............................................... 742 588 824 266 104.4 Sex ratio (rna!es per 100 females) 104.9 104.5 104.3 104.3 104.4 104.5 104.5 104.3 104.1 104.5 dlrtrlbutlon 14.6 Percentage aged W ............................ 12.8 16.6 15.9 16.2 14.9 16.0 11.6 13.4 10.5 13.0 22.3 Percentage aged 514 22.3 24.6 25.5 25.4 21.1 22.0 25.8 21.9 23.4 25.3 18.9 19.4 18.2 17.3 17.1 18.4 20.3 18.6 19.0 20.5 19.8 6.5 6.1 6.2 6.2 7.0 6.3 6.1 7.5 6.7 6.4 8.1 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.3 4.1 5.4 4.5 4.9 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 Percentage of m n a m 15-49.. 49.2 47.7 49.9 51.2 46.4 45.8 52.1 46.2 45.2 48.0 53.1 Median age (years) ................................. 21.8 19.1 21.o 21.4 22.3 19.6 23.5 20.4 19.5 20.5 25.0 Population density (popolation per sq km) 27 24 30 58 53 38 43 34 48 68 63

...........

...

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2ooo-2005 Population change per year )-( . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thamnds) ................... popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ Cwde birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllatbn) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllatkm) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) Net reproduction mte (per m n ) Infant mortality rate (per 1.OW live births) L l k expectency a Mrth ( y a m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cMnbined ............................

.....................

.... ........... ..........

32 824 70 058 37 394 2.05 43.7 23.3 6.09 1.86 172

36 637 72 520 35938 2.06 40.8 20.2

40.7 42.3 41.5

1.92 155

45 771 80 659 34 555 2.31 40.7 17.4 5.94 2.09 127

55 391 86 733 30858 2.48 38.8 13.8 5.90 2.21 106

59 077 87 276 27 598 2.35 34.6 10.9 5.25 2.05 93

87 345 28 132 2.06 31 .O 10.0 4.42 1.78 84

63 311 93 314 29 808 2.03 29.9 9.6 3.67 1.60 72

68 281 99 755 30 186 1.98 28.9 8.8 3.55 1.50 63

64444 98082 30 818 1.71 25.9 6.2 3.11 1.33 57

61 583 95 204 31 529 1.50 23.2 7.7 2.80 1.20 53

55365 92 969 33 401 1.26 21.2 7.6 2.59 1.12 49

44.0 45.6 44.8

47.9 49.1 48.5

53.1 54.4 53.7

55.9 57.5 56.7

58.2 60.2 59.2

59.4 62.1 80.7

61.4 64.2 62.7

62.7 65.9 64.2

63.9 67.4 65.6

64.9 68.5 66.6

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5.92

58533

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... 4532300 4810707 5083398 5338134 5564623 5756303 5912453 6wg286 6137076 6204081 2308656 2447898 2583680 2709974 2821243 2913902 2887928 3046824 3091540 3121099 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 2223444 2362810 2498716 2628160 2743381 2842401 2924526 2992362 3045538 3082982 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 103.8 103.6 103.4 103.1 102.8 102.5 102.2 101.8 101.5 101.2 A* dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged W .. 9.7 9.2 6.8 6.2 7.7 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.1 Percentage aged 514 19.5 18.0 17.0 16.4 15.7 14.9 14.0 13.2 12.7 12.4 Percentaw aged 152 18.7 18.3 17.1 16.0 15.3 15.0 14.6 14.0 13.4 12.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.6 9.4 10.6 12.3 14.0 18.1 17.9 19.4 21 .o 22.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.9 6.3 7.0 8.3 9.5 11.0 12.8 14.3 15.5 16.9 Percentage aged 80 or 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.3 Percentage in schod ages 11.6 10.8 10.2 9.9 9.4 8.9 8.3 7.9 7.6 7.4

....

Percentage in schod ages Percentage in schod ages Percentage d women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

5.9 5.9 11.0 53.6 28.6 73

5.4 5.5

11.0 53.9 28.2 77

5.0 5.1 10.3 53.0 29.7 82

4.9 4.8 9.6 51.6 31.1 86

4.7 4.7 9.1 50.4 32.7 90

4.5 4.6 9.0 49.7 34.3 93

4.3 4.4 6.6 48.7 35.8 95

4.1 4.1 8.5 47.3 37.2 97

3.8 3.9 8.1 45.9 38.4 99

3.7 3.8 7.7 44.8 39.4 100

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o352040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thwsanbs) . Births per year (thousends) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thwsands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllatbon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllatbn) Net migratm rate (per 1,OOO poprlaw) Total fertility (children per wfnnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infant mortality rate (per l .mlive births) Under-fivemrtality (per 1,OW lhre him) L l k expectency a Mrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...................

......... .. .

50

50948

55682 93 517 35293 -2543 1.19 20.0 7.6 -0.5 2.45 1.07 43 62

54538 93583 36 981 -2084 1.10 18.9 7.5 -0.4 2.33 1.03 39 55

91 600 38935 - 1918 0.98 17.6 7.5 -0.4 2.23 1 .00 35 48

45298 88 651 41 459 -1894 0.83 16.3 7.6 -0.3 2.14 0.96 31 43

38338 84 67'7 44644 -1898 0.68 15.0 7.9 -0.3 2.05 0.93 28 38

31 230 81 649 48522 - 1 097 0.54 14.0 8.3 -0.3 1.98 0.91 25 34

25 367 80 140 52 876 - 1 897 0.42 13.4 8.8 -0.3 1.95 0.90 23 31

19 558 78 751 57 295 - 1 897 0.32 12.9 9.4 -0.3 1.93 0.90 21 27

13 401 76 795 61 497 - 1 897 0.22 12.4 10.0 -0.3 1.91 0.89 19 24

60.1 6B.8 87.9

67.4 71.3 69.3

68.7 72.7 70.6

69.8 73.9 71.8

70.9 75.1 72.9

71.8 76.1 73.9

72.6 77.0 74.8

73.4 77.9 75.6

74.2 78.7 76.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Workl Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*) C. HtGHVARlANT lndkator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

PO~UIOUWI ( t h o u ~ n d ~ )

Total .................................................... 4532300 4854823 5 202 495 5555189 5883479 6 188 161 6471 928 6754998 7035 123 7 303 805 Males ................................................... 2 308 856 2 470 858 2645639 2 822 830 2 986 963 3 137 100 3 278 083 3 417 691 3 556 295 3 689 687 Females ........... ............... 2223444 2383985 2556856 2732339 2 898 518 3 049 061 3 193845 3 337 307 3 478 828 3614 118 Ago dl.trl 8.1 8.1 9.0 percentageaged 0-4 ............................ 9.7 7.9 10.0 10.0 8.4 8.1 9.7 17.8 15.2 17.5 16.1 15.2 17.8 17.1 15.4 17.9 19.5 14.7 15.3 percentage qpd 15-24 18.7 14.1 16.7 16.0 18.1 15.5 15.4 15.9 18.4 13.3 19.4 10.8 16.4 9.3 17.4 11.8 8.6 15.0 11.7 9.0 14.3 6.9 10.3 13.5 6.3 12.8 65 or OVBT .................. 5.9 Percentage 7.9 1.5 2.2 3.6 1.2 3.1 1.o 2.6 1.4 Percentage ag& 80 or over .................. 0.9 1.8 53.4 48.5 47.9 46.1 PefcentagedwwnenagedlM9 53.8 45.6 51.8 48.2 46.9 49.6 28.0 32.7 33.7 Median age (years) ................................. 28.6 30.9 34.3 28.9 31.9 33.3 29.9 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Fupubtionchangeperyear(tWnbs). Population grmlh rate (percent) ............ Crude Mtlh rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude dealh rale (per 1.ooO p p h t k n ) .. Net rnbraIh rate (per 1,ooO pcphtkn) . Total feftlllty (dikken per wanan) ........... Net repmductkm rate (per woman) ..........

64505 1.38 21.9 7.6 -0.5 2.70 1.18

69534 1.38 21.7 7.5 -0.4 2.73 1.21

70535 1.31 20.9 7.4 -0.4 2.73 1.22

65862 1.15 19.2 7.4 -0.3 2.63 1.19

60536 1.00 17.9 7.6 -0.3 2.55 1.16

57154 0.90 17.2 7.8 -0.3 2.4 1.14

56614 0.88 17.0 8.2 -0.3 2.45 1.13

56025 0.81 16.9 8.5 -0.3 2.43 1.13

53736 0.75 16.5 8.8 4.3 2.41 1.13

2030

2035

2040

2045

D. LOWVARIANT 2005 POpul.tion (thouundo) T W .................................................... Meles ...................................................

...............

65orOVBT

..................

Peccentage of wwnen aged 15-49 .........

Median age (yean)

.................................

2010

2015

2020

2025

2050

4 532 300 4 765 868 4 963 137 5 121 007 5 248 759 5 335 932 5 375 507 5 369 379 5 319 843 5231 083 2 308 856 2 424 549 2 521 103 2 597 077 2 657 126 2 695 705 2 709 526 2 699 939 2 668 649 2 618 075 2223444 2341317 2442034 2523930 2591633 2840227 2685981 2669441 2651 195 2 613 006

5.9 53.8 26.6

8.4 18.2 18.5 9.5 6.4 1.1 54.4 28.5

7.5 18.5 17.5 11.1 7.2 1.3 54.3 30.4

6.7 14.8 16.7 12.8 8.6 1.5 53.7 32.4

6.2 13.4 15.4 14.9 10.1 1.7 52.6 34.5

5.7 12.4 14.0 17.3 11.9 2.0 51.3 36.6

5.2 11.6 12.9 19.7 14.1 2.7 49.6 38.9

4.7 10.7 12.2 21.8 16.1 3.3 47.4 41.0

4.4 9.9 11.6 24.3 17.9 4.1 45.2 43.1

4.1 9.3 10.9 27.2 20.0 5.1 43.1 45.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Fupulationchangeperyear(mousands). Population growh rate (per cent) Cnde birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.ooO p o p l a t h ) .. Net d g r a t i i rale (per 1,ooOppulatation) . Total fertHRy (children per wunan) ........... Net reproductkn rate (per woman)

............

48713 1.01 18.1 7.5 -0.5 2.20 0.96

39454 0.81 16.0 7.5 -0.4 1.03 0.65

31574 0.63 14.2 7.8 -0.4 1.73 0.77

25550 0.49 13.1 7.8 -0.4 1.64 0.74

17435 0.33 11.9 8.3 -0.4 1.55 0.71

7915 0.15 10.7 8.9 -0.4 1.48 0.68

-1225 -0.02 9.8 9.6 -0.4 1.45 0.67

-9907 -0.19 9.0 10.5 -0.4 1.43 0.67

-17752 -0.34 8.4 11.4 -0.4 1.42 0.66

2040

2045

2050

4532300 4840235 5175881 5525038 5874704 6226507 6592328 6982067 7399082 2308856 2463042 2631134 2805826 2980156 3154819 3336298 3530013 3738091 2223444 2377194 2544747 2719212 2894547 3071688 3256030 3452054 3680991 26.6 28.0 29.1 30.0 30.7 31.4 31.8 32.0 32.1

7845089 3961583 3883506 32.0

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 pwJ-(~und.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fefnak ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

popllatm growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

1.32 21.3 7.6

1.34 21.4 7.6

1.31 20.9 7.5

1.23 20.2 7.6

1.16 19.7 7.7

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.14 19.7 7.9

1.15 20.0 8.2

1.16 20.3 8.4

1.17 20.5 8.6

51

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING CHINA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

Populatlon (thouunds) Total 1164608 1295073 1455097 1642676 1855328 2095520 2364028 2667243 2990669 3323296 3652859 Males ................................................... 589 151 655603 737543 833268 941262 1063453 1199310 1352587 1515833 1683199 1848243 Females ............................................... 639470 717553 809408 914068 1032068 1164718 1314656 1474837 1640098 1804616 575 457 102.4 102.5 102.8 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 102.9 103.0 103.0 103.0 102.9 102.8 102.6 102.4 Age dl8MbutlOn Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 15.4 16.8 17.0 16.9 16.4 16.0 15.6 15.2 14.5 13.6 12.6 Percentage aged 5-14. 23.5 24.7 23.9 26.0 26.3 28.0 25.5 25.0 24.7 24.2 23.4 19.2 Percentage aged 15-24 17.5 18.8 18.0 18.4 19.5 19.8 19.7 19.5 19.4 19.6 Percentage aged 60 or 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 Percentage of women aged 1549 48.3 47.8 46.6 45.5 45.8 46.4 47.1 47.7 48.4 49.5 50.8 Median age (years) ................................. 20.0 19.5 20.4 18.9 18.6 18.8 19.3 22.1 19.8 20.4 21.1 Population densrty (population per sq km) 20 29 36 18 16 22 25 32 41 45 50 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1-1985 Populationchange per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population).... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rat@(per 1,OW live births) Llfo expectancy at blrth (yews) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

26 093 54 827

28802

60964 28935

2.12 44.6 23.4 6.13 1.86 166

2.33 44.3 21 .o 6.20 1.98 151

37 516 66898 28 947 2.43 43.2 18.7 6.18 2.08 138

40.4 41.3 40.9

43.2 44.2 43.7

46.0 47.1 46.5

32005

42530

48 038 77 679 28 790 2.44 39.3 14.6 5.66 2.07 114

53 702 83 724 28 a62 2.41 37.5 12.9 5.24 1.99 103

60643

71 915 28802 2.44 41.1 16.5 5.97 2.10 126 48.6 50.0 49.3

51.1 52.8 51.9

66 525

92

64685 96 279 29 740 2.29 34.0 10.5 4.45 1.79 83

53.5 55.6 54.5

55.5 58.1 56.8

2030

2W5

90 972 29 187 2.41 36.2 11.6 4.86 1.91

2.11 31.6 9.8 4.05 1.65 76

65 913 100423 32 261 1.89 28.8 9.2 3.63 1.49 70

65 149 102 538 34 414 1.71 26.9 9.0 3.34 1.38

57.4 60.2 58.7

58.5 61.7 60.0

59.5 62.9 61.2

60.3 63.8 62.0

2040

2045

2050

99839 30 974

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

Populatlon (thouunds) 3 978 606 4 314 679 4 653 263 4 983 415 5 296 917 5 589 441 5 859 589 6 108 970 6 333 310 6 527 690 Total .................................................... Males ................................................... 2010665 2178602 2347609 2511984 2667308 2811317 2943403 3064645 3173209 3268702 1967941 21360TI 2305653 2471431 2629609 2778124 2916166 3044325 3160101 3260989 Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00females)........... 102.2 102.0 101.8 101.6 101.4 101.2 100.9 100.7 100.4 100.2 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 .. 11.9 11.3 10.7 10.0 9.4 8.8 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.2 Percentage aged 5-14 22.2 20.9 20.1 19.3 18.4 16.5 17.5 15.7 15.1 14.5 Percentage aged 15-2 . 19.7 19.3 18.6 17.8 17.3 17.0 16.4 15.8 15.1 14.5 7.1 7.6 8.4 9.5 10.7 11.9 13.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 14.5 16.1 17.7 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.8 5.1 5.5 6.2 7.1 8.1 10.2 11.4 12.7 9.2 Percentage aged 80 or over 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.o 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.4 12.6 12.2 11.7 11.1 10.5 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.5 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.2 4.7 4.5 4.4 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.4 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.6 11.5 11.1 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.1 8.7 Percentage of WMen aged 1549 ......... 51.7 52.2 52.1 52.0 51.9 51.6 51.O 50.1 49.0 48.1 Median age (yean) ................................ 23.2 24.4 25.7 27.0 28.4 29.9 31.2 33.9 32.6 35.1 population density (population per sq km) 54 68 72 78 59 63 80 83 86 89 20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OOO poprlaticm) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OW p o p r l a t i ) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OW population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,WOlive births) Un'der-five mortality (per t .OOO live births) Llfe expectnncy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

52

67 215 105 271 35 831 -2226 1.62 25.4 8.6 -0.5 3.10 1.31 59 89

67 717 106 740 37 031 - 1 982 1.51 23.8 8.3 -0.4 2.89 1.24 54 81

66030 106 395 38392 1 973 1.37 22.1 8.0 -0.4 2.70 1.17 49 73

62 700 104 899 40 191 -2008 1.22 20.4 7.8 -0.4 2.54 1.12 45 66

58% 102 972 42 454 2 014 1.08 16.9 7.8 -0.4 2.40 1.07 41 60

54028 101 379 45340 - 2 014 0.94 17.7 7.9 -0.4 2.28 1.03 38 54

49 880 100 621 48 727 2 014 0.83 16.8 8.1 -0.3 2.21 1.00 34 48

61.7 65.3 63.4

63.2 66.9 65.0

64.6 68.5 66.5

65.9 69.9 67.8

67.0 71.2 69.1

68.1 72.4 70.2

69.1 73.5 71.3

-

-

-

44868 99 261 52 379 2 014 0.72 16.0 8.4 -0.3 2.14 0.98 31 43

-

70.1 74.5 72.3

38 876 97 064 56 174 2 014 0.61 15.1 8.7 -0.3 2.09 0.96 28 38

-

71.1 75.5 73.3

United Nations Department of E m i c and Sodat AffiitdPopulation Division World Popubtion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

65

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING CHINA C. HIGHVARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands)

3 978 606 4 353 070 4759083 5180138 5591355 5996110 6403408 6820088 7238680 7 648 138 2 010 665 2198300 2401889 2612856 2818230 3019682 3221932 3428706 3636551 3 839 911 1967941 2154770 2 357 194 2 567 282 2 773 125 2 976 427 3 181 476 9 391 382 3 602 129 3 808 227

Females ............................................... Ago dlStrlbUUWl Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentaged 514 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 .. M e d i age (years) .......

11.9 22.2 19.7 7.1 4.8 0.7 51.7 23.2

12.1 20.7 19.2 7.5 5.0 0.8 51.7 24.2

11.9 20.4 18.1 8.3 5.4 0.9 51 .O 25.1

11.4 20.6 17.1 9.1 6.0 1 .o 50.1 25.9

10.6 20.3 17.1 10.1 6.8 1.1

49.9 26.8

10.1 19.4 17.5 11.1 7.6 1.2 49.9 27.7

9.7 18.4 17.5 12.0 8.4 1.5 49.7 28.5

9.6 17.7 16.9 13.0 9.2 1.8 49.1 29.3

9.3 17.4 16.1 14.1 10.0 2.1 48.4 30.1

9.0 17.2 15.6 15.1 10.8 2.4 48.1 31 .O

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~

Poprlation change per year (thousands) . Popuhtion growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertilifly (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

74 893 1.80 27.2 8.7 -0.5 3.35 1.41

81 203 1.78 26.6 8.3 -0.4 3.29 1.41

84211 1.70 25.3 8.0 -0.4 3.20 1.39

82243 1.53 23.3 7.7 -0.4 3.04 1.34

80951 1.40 21.9 7.6 -0.3 2.89

1 .a

81 460 1.31 21.0 7.6 -0.3 2.78 1.25

83336 1.26 20.5 7.6 -0.3 2.70 1.23

83 718 1.19 19.9 7.7 -0.3 2.63 1.21

81 892 1.10 19.1 7.8 -0.3 2.58 1.19

2030

2035

2040

2045

D. LOW VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

2010

2015

2020

2025

2050

3978606 4274942 4544602 4782817 4998432 5182266 5326772 5431206 5494452 5516836 2010665 2158222 2291888 2409142 2514330 2602722 2670581 2717743 2744029 2 749 728 1 967 941 2 116 720 2 252 715 2373674 2484102 2579544 2656 192 2713463 2750424 2 767 108

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over .................. Percentage d women aged 1 Median age (years) ...............

11.9 22.2 19.7 7.1 4.8 0.7 51.7 23.2

10.5 21.1 19.5 7.7 5.1 0.8 52.6 24.7

9.4 19.7 19.0 8.6 5.6 0.9 53.4 26.3

8.5 17.9 18.5 9.9 6.5 1.1 54.2 28.2

7.9 16.3 17.6 11.3 7.6 1.2 54.2 30.1

7.3 15.2 16.2 12.8 8.8 1.4 53.6 32.0

6.7 14.3 15.1 14.5 10.1 1 .8 52.4 34.0

6.2 13.3 14.3 16.4 11.5 2.3 50.9 36.0

5.7 12.4 13.6 18.6 13.1 2.8 49.2 38.0

5.3 11.6 12.9 21.0 15.0 3.3 47.4 39.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 ZGZV-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children par woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

59 267 1.44 23.5 8.6 5.5 2.85 1.20

53 932 1 .n 20.9 8.2 5.5 2.49 1.06

47643 1.02 18.6 8.0 -0.4 2.20 0.95

43 123 0.88 17.2 8.0 5.4 2 04 0.89

36767 0.72 15.7 8.1 -0.4 1.90 0.84

28901 0.55 14.2 8.4 -0.4 1.79 0.80

20887 0.39 13.0 8.8 -0.4 1.72 0.78

12 649 0.23 11.9 9.3 -0.4 1.66 0.76

4 477 0.08 11.0 9.9 -0.4 1.60 0.74

2040

2045

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2050

3 978 606 4 356 169 4 783 236 5 252 432 5 758 523 6 309 985 6 924 151 7 617 479 8 402 937 9 294 052 2 010 665 2 199 883 2 414 235 2 649 785 2 903 590 3 179 884 3 487 587 3 835 236 4 229 748 4 678 055 1967941 2156286 2369001 2602646 2854933 3130101 3426564 3782243 4173188 4615997 23.2 24.2 24.9 25.5 25.9 26.0 26.1 26.1 26.0 25.8

Males ...................................................

Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) _._. Crude death rate (per 1,000population) ..

1.81 27.4 8.7

1.87 27.5 8.4

1.87 27.2 8.1

1.84 26.6 7.8

1.63 26.3 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I; Comprehensive Tables

1.86 26.4 7.6

1.91 26.8 7.5

1.96 27.3 7.4

2.02 27.7 7.3

53

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (")

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

180 090 88626 91 464 96.9

201 087 99104 101 983 97.2

226 372 111719 114 654 97.4

256 461 126657 129 804 97.6

292 688 144754 147 934 97.8

335 741 166254 169 487 98.1

388 063 192356 195 707 98.3

449 349 222849 226 500 98.4

519 391 257614 261 777 98.4

596 402 295876 300 526 98.5

679 873 337511 342 361 98.6

17.1 25.0 18.8 5.2 3.2 0.3 46.6 19.0 7

17.8 25.0 18.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 46.2 18.7 8

18.0 25.5 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.8 18.3 9

18.1 26.2 18.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.9 11

18.3 26.5 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.3 44.9 17.6 12

18.4 26.7 18.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 44.7 17.4 14

18.5 26.9 18.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 44.6 17.3 16

18.5 27.2 19.0 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.5 17.1 18

18.1 27.5 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.8 17.1 21

17.6 27.4 19.5 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.5 17.4 25

17.0 27.1 20.0 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.2 17.7 28

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................... .......... Both sexes combined ............................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... . Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. 19 520 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 31 792 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 12 068 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 204 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. 2.39 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 38.9 Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. 14.8 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . .0.2 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.13 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.89 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 93 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 155 Life expectancy at birth (years) 49.0 Males ................................. ....... .......... Females ............................................... 50.9 Both sexes combined ............................ 50.0

20 915 33 558 12 439 . 204 2.28 36.5 13.5 .0.2 4.71 1.78 86 141

21 901 34 765 12 655 . 208 2.14 33.9 12.3 .0.2 4.27 1.67 79 127

22 510 35 654 12 901 . 243 l .98 31.3 11.3 .0.2 3.87 1.55 72 115

22 976 36 360 13 140 . 244 1.84 29.1 10.5 .0.2 3.50 1.44 66 103

23 178 36 861 13 437 . 246 1.70 27.0 9.8 .0.2 3.19 1.34 60 92

23 048 37 061 13 768 . 246 1.56 25.0 9.3 .0.2 2.93 1.26 54 81

22 538 36 927 14 143 .246 1.41 23.1 8.9 .0.2 2.71 1.18 49 72

21 689 36 525 14 591 . 246 1.27 21.4 8.6 .0.1 2.53 1.12 44 63

50.9 52.7 51 .8

52.8 54.8 53.8

54.6 56.8 55.7

56.3 58.8 57.6

58.1 60.7 59.4

59.7 62.5 61.1

61.4 64.3 62.8

62.9 66.0 64.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

20 776 2.53 40.4 14.9 .0.2 5.36 1.97

23 322 2.51 39.0 13.7 -0.2 5.10 1.93

25 481 2.42 36.9 12.5 -0.2 4.77 1.86

26 659 2.25 34.1 11.4 -0.2 4.36 1.75

28 055 2.13 31.9 10.4 .0.2 4.00 1.64

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fe~leS ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

18 148 2.23 37.1 14.6 -0.3 4.88 1.80

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 769 348 Males ....................... . ......................... 382 596 Females ............................................... 386 752 Median age (years) ................................. 18.0

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.61 41.3 15.0

876 725 436 933 439 792 18.2

1 005 783 502 248 503 535 18.2

1 159 354 579 909 579 445 18.0

1 340 619 671 478 669 141 17.9

2.75 41.6 13.9

2.84 41.3 12.8

2.91 40.9 11.7

2.98 40.6 10.7

1 556 153 1 814 510 2 125 752 780 204 910 378 1 067 050 775 949 904 132 1 058 701 17.8 17.8 17.7

(') Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan included In sub-Saharan Africa.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

3.07 40.6 9.8

3.17 40.7 9.0

3.25 40.8 8.2

2 501 095 2 953 608 1 255 855 1 483 333 1 245 240 1 470 274 17.6 17.5

3.33 40.8 7.5

AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) ................... 224 202 Total .............................. Males ................................................... 110724 Females ............................................... 113 478 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.6 Age distribution 17.0 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 24.8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 18.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 46.8 Median age (years) ................................. 19.1 Population density (population per sq km) 7

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2MX)

250 633 123947 126 686 97.8

282 241 139810 142 430 98.2

319 574 158448 161 126 98.3

364 132 180586 183 546 98.4

416 446 206810 209 636 98.7

479 786 238551 241 234 98.9

554 294 275713 278 582 99.0

637 421 317055 320 366 99.0

726 334 361201 365 133 98.9

820 959 408314 412 645 99.0

17.7 24.9 18.7 5.2 3.2 0.3 46.3 18.8 8

17.9 25.6 18.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 45.7 18.3 9

18.0 26.4 18.1 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.9 17.9 11

18.0 26.7 18.5 5.2 3.2 0.3 44.7 17.6 12

18.2 26.7 19.0 5.0 3.2 0.3 44.7 17.5 14

18.1 26.8 19.1 5.0 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.5 16

18.0 27.0 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.4 18

17.5 27.3 19.2 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.2 17.5 21

16.7 27.1 19.6 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.2 17.9 24

16.0 26.5 20.2 5.1 3.3 0.4 47.3 18.4 27

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 922 011 Males ............................................... 459 067 Females ............................................... 462 943 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 99.2 Age distribution 15.7 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 25.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 20.5 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 15.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 7.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 12.0 48.0 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 19.0 Median age (years) ................................. 30 Population density (population per sq km)

2010

2020

2025

2030

2035

1 032 013 1 149 117 1 270 528 573 683 634 930 514 568 517 447 575 435 635 598 99.4 99.7 99.9

1 393 871 697 071 696 801 100.0

1 518 310 759 614 758 697 100.1

1 642 679 821 950 820 728 100.1

12.8 23.5 19.9 6.4 4.2 0.6 14.3 6.8 6.4 11.7 50.8 22.1 46

12.1 22.4 19.9 6.8 4.6 0.6 13.6 6.5 6.3 11.7 51.7 23.1 50

11.4 21.4 19.5 7.4 4.9 0.7 12.9 6.2 6.1 11.6 52.2 24.3 54

15.2 25.2 20.3 5.3 3.5 0.5 15.5 7.0 6.6 11.9 48.4 19.6 34

2015

14.5 24.9 19.9 5.6 3.6 0.5 15.3 6.9 6.4 11.7 48.9 20.3 38

13.7 24.4 19.8 6.0 3.9 0.5 14.9 6.9 6.5 11.6 49.8 21.1 42

2040

2045

2050

1 765 372 1 884 446 883 257 942 554 882 116 941 892 100.1 100.1

1 997 935 998 816 999 116 100.0

10.7 20.4 18.9 8.2 5.4 0.9 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.2 52.4 25.5 58

10.0 19.5 18.3 9.2 6.1 1.0 11.7 5.7 5.6 10.9 52.5 26.7 62

9.4 18.6 17.7 10.4 6.9 11 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.6 52.5 26.0 66

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 6 Comprehensive Tables

AFRICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

Population (thousands) 922 011 1 039 937 1 171 953 Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... 459 067 518 577 585 236 Females ............................................... 462 943 521 360 586 717 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 15.7 15.9 15.6 Percentageaged 514 .......................... 25.7 25.1 25.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.5 20.2 19.5 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 5.2 5.3 5.5 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 3.4 3.4 3.5 Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. 0.4 0.4 0.5 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... 48.0 48.1 48.0 Median age (years) ................................. 19.0 19.4 19.8

2020

2025

2030

2035

1 315 002 657 422 657 579

1 462 891 731 966 730 926

1 616 858 809 423 807 435

1 778 638 890 657 887 980

14.9 25.3 19.2 5.8 3.7 0.5 48.1 20.2

14.0 24.9 19.5 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.0 20.8

13.2 23.9 20.0 6.4 4.3 0.6 49.9 21.6

12.7 22.8 20.0 6.8 4.6 0.7 50.6 22.5

2040

2045

2050

1 948 489 2 124 135 975 796 1 063 693 972 693 1 060 442 12.2 22.0 19.4 7.4 4.9 0.8 50.9 23.4

11.7 21.3 18.7 8.2 5.4 0.9 51.1 24.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

23 585 2.41 37.8 13.4 .0.4 4.90 1.86

26 403 2.39 36.6 12.4 -0.3 4.70 1.83

28 610 2.30 34.7 11.4 .0.3 4.45 1.78

29 578 2.13 32.1 10.5 -0.3 4.11 1.68

30 793 2.00 30.0 9.7 -0.3 3.80 1.59

32 356 1.91 28.5 9.2 .0.2 3.53 1.50

33 970 1.82 27.1 8.7 -0.2 3.30 1.43

35 129 1.73 25.8 8.3 -0.2 3.1 1 1.37

35 603 1.61 24.3 8.0 .0.2 2.95 1.32

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

.................. .........

922 011 459 067 462 943

1 023 510 510 264 513 246

1 125 267 561 621 563 646

15.7 25.7 20.5 5.2 3.4 0.4 48.0 19.0

14.5 25.5 20.5 5.4 3.5 0.5 48.8 19.8

13.5 24.7 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.0 20.7

1 225 078 1 323 948 1 419 416 1 508 397 1 588 464 611 950 661 725 754 103 793 874 709 637 794 590 613 129 662 224 709 779 754 294 12.4 23.4 20.6 6.2 4.0 0.5 51.6 22.0

11.6 22.0 20.4 6.7 4.4 0.6 52.9 23.3

10.8 20.8 19.6 7.3 4.9 0.7 53.7 24.8

9.9 19.7 16.8 8.1 5.4 0.8 53.9 26.3

9.1 16.6 18.1 9.1 6.0 0.9 54.0 27.9

1 658 379 828 326 830 053 8.3 17.3 17.6 10.5 6.9 1.1 53.9 29.5

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

20 300 2.09 34.4 13.1 .0.4 4.42 1.67

20 351 1.90 31.4 12.1 -0.4 3.92 1.51

19 774 1.55 26.3 10.5 .0.3 3.11 1.26

19 962 1.70 28.5 11.2 -0.3 3.45 1.37

19 093 1.39 24.2 10.0 -0.3 2.81 1.17

17 796 1.22 22.0 9.6 .0.3 2.54 1.08

16 013 1.03 19.9 9.3 -0.3 2.32 1.00

13 983 0.86 18.0 9.1 -0.2 2.13 0.94

11 828 0.70 16.3 9.1 -0.2 1.97 0.88

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. 922 011 1 043 102 1 187 267 Males .............................................. 459 067 520 176 592 973 Females ............................................... 462 943 522 925 594 293 Median age (years) ................................ 19.0 19.3 19.5

Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.47 38.5 13.4

2.59 38.8 12.6

2.67 38.6 11.7

1 356 478 678 373 678 104 19.4

1 553 321 777 640 775 681 19.3

2.71 38.1 10.8

2.77 37.9 10.0

1 784 398 2 058 766 2 386 874 2 779 969 3 250 865 894 033 1 032 106 1 197 121 1 394 754 1 631 423 890 364 1 026 660 1 189 753 1 385 215 1 619 442 19.2 19.2 19.0 18.9 18.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.86 38.1 9.3

2.96 38.4 8.7

3.05 38.6 8.0

3.13 38.8 7.4

EASTERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstribullon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..................

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percenlagein school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 20t5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 7 914 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 12 298 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 4 315 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 70 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. 2.54 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 39.4 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 13.8 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . .0.2 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.25 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.97 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 81 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 134 Life expectancy at birth (years) 50.0 Males .................................................. 51.9 Fernales .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................ 50.9

8 570 13 027 4 398 . 58 2.43 36.8 12.4 .0.2 4.79 1.86 73 119 52.1 54.2 53.2

8 965 13 493

4 481 . 47 2.26 34.0 11.3 .0.1 4.31 1.73 65 105 54.1 56.3 55.2

9 122 13 785 4 601 . 62 2.06 31.1 10.4 -0.1 3.85

9 226 14 012 4 722 . 64 1.89 28.7 9.7 .0.1 3.45

1.58

1.46

59 93

53 82

9 279 14 216 4 872 . 65 1.74 26.6 9.1 .0.1 3.12 1.35 48 72

55.8 58.2 57.0

57.4 60.2 58.8

59.0 62.0 60.5

9 243 14 354 5 046 . 65 1.59 24.7 8.7 -0.1 2.86 1.26 43 63

9 056 14 362 5 241 . 65 1.45 22.9 8.4 -0.1 2.65 1.18 38 55

8 706 14 234 5 463 . 65 1.30 21.2 8.1 .0.1 2.47 1.12 34 48

60.8 63.8 62.2

62.1 65.5 63.8

63.6 67.1 65.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

EASTERN AFRICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

8 440 2.70 41 .1 13.9 -0.2 5.50 2.07

9 541 2.67 39.4 12.6 -0.2 5.19 2.02

10 369 2.54 36.9 11.4 -0.1 4.81 1.93

10 772 2.34 33.9 10.4 -0.1 4.35 1.79

1 1 278 2.19 31.5 9.6 .0.1 3.95 1.67

1 1 918 2.08 29.8 8.9 -0.1 3.62 1.56

12 571 1.98 28.3 8.4 .0.1 3.36 1.47

13 049 1.87 26.7 8.0 .0.1 3.14 1.40

13 288 1.74 25.1 7.7 .0.1 2.97 1.35

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ..................................... .... .......... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

7 387 2.38 37.7 13.7 -0.2 5.00 1 .88

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 292 539 Males .................... ............................. 145 014 Females ............................................... 147 525 Median age (years) ................................. 17.5

335 757 166 847 168 910 17.7

388 196 193 318 194 878 17.7

450 678 224 825 225 853 17.5

524 278 261 885 262 393 17.4

61 1 714 305 827 305 887 17.4

716 556 358 436 358 120 17.4

842 820 421 735 421 085 17.4

994 846 1 177 658 497 916 589 511 496 930 588 147 17.3 17.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.76 41.7 14.0

2.90 41.9 12.8

2.99 41.5 11.6

3.03 40.9 10.6

3.09 40.6 9.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.16 40.5 8.8

3.25 40.6 8.1

3.32 40.6 7.4

3.37 40.5 6.8

MIDDLE AFRICA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

l960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................... ............... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................ ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ........................... . ................ Both sexes combined ............................

3 416 5 480 2 096 32 2.83 45.3 17.3 0.3 6.02 2.11 112 190

3 788 6 035 2224 . 23 2.73 43.4 16.0 .0.2 5.70 2.05 105 177

4 108 6 469 2 319 . 42 2.59 40.7 14.6 -0.3 5.28 1.96 97 162

4 453 6 877 2 400 . 24 2.47 38.2 13.3 .0.1 4.84 1.85 89 147

4 734 7 220 2462 . 24 2.33 35.5 12.1 -0.1 4.38 1.72 81 133

4 902 7 439 2 513 . 24 2.16 32.7 11.1 .0.1 3.92 1.58 74 119

4 945 7 526 2 557 . 24 1.97 29.9 10.2 .0.1 3.49 1.44 67 106

4 897 7 525 2 604 . 24 1.77 27.2 9.4 .0.1 3.13 1.33 60 93

4 792 7 479 2 663 . 24 1.60 24.9 8.9 .0.1 2.84 1.23 54 82

45.8 48.2 47.0

47.4 49.9 48.6

49.0 51.6 50.3

50.7 53.4 52.1

52.5 55.4 53.9

54.4 57.3 55.8

56.2 59.2 57.7

58.0 61.2 59.6

59.8 63.1 61.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MIDDLE AFRICA

.

C HffiH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............

....

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

112505 55 714 56 791

130058 64 540 65 519

150365 74 734 75 632

173524 86 347 87 l77

198843 99 033 99 810

226317 112 787 113 530

255821 127 547 128 274

287117 143 189 143 928

319810 159 506 160 305

353446 176 262 177 184

18.3 27.3 20.0 4.5 2.9 0.3 45.1 17.0

18.4 27.2 19.9 4.4 2.8 0.3 45.2 17.0

18.3 27.5 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 45.1 17.0

17.9 27.7 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 45.4 17.1

17.0 27.7 20.0 4.3 2.7 0.3 46.3 17.5

16.1 27.1 20.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 47.4 18.2

15.2 26.1 20.8 4.6 2.9 0.4 48.8 19.0

14.4 25.2 20.7 5.0 3.1 0.4 49.9 19.9

13.6 24.3 20.4 5.4 3.4 0.4 50.9 20.9

12.8 23.3 20.0 5.9 3.8 0.5 51.8 21.9

3 511 2.90 46.1 17.4 0.3 6.14 2.15

4 061 2.90 45.3 16.2 -0.2 6.01 2.16

4 632 2.87 43.7 14.9 -0.3 5.78 2.14

5 064 2.72 40.8 13.5 -0.1 5.33 2.04

5 901 2.45 35.6 11.1 -0.1 4.41 1.78

6 259 2.31 33.3 10.1 -0.1 3.99 1.65

6 539 2.16 30.9 9.3 -0.1 3.63 1.51

6 727 2.00 28.7 8.6 -0.1 3.33 1.44

3 880 1 .83 29.5 11.1 -0.1 3.42 1.38

3 673 1.59 26.2 10.2 -0.1 3.00 1.24

3 395 1.37 23.3 9.6 -0.1 2.64 1.11

3 082 1.16 20.9 9.2 -0.1 2.34 1.01

5 495 2.59 38.1 12.2 .0.1 4.87 1.92

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populailon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.................. ..................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 220 2.68 43.6 17.1 0.3 5.77 2.02

3 431

2.50 40.9 15.7 .0.2 5.30

1.91

3 592 2.32 37.8 14.4 .0.3 4.78 1.77

3 834 2.22 35.5 13.2 -0.1 4.34 1.66

3 945 2.05 32.7 12.1 -0.1 3.88 1 .52

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 112 505 Males .................................................. 55 714 Females ............................................ 56791 Median age (years) ................................. 17.0

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) ..

2.94 46.5 17.4

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

130 318 64 670 17.0

151 476 75 292 76184 16.8

176 807 87 996 88811 16.7

207 456 103 358 104098 16.5

244 698 122 014 122884 16.4

290 179 144 795 145384 16.3

345 882 172 692 173190 16.2

414 209 206 903 207306 16.1

498 131 248 914 249218 16.0

3.01 46.5 16.3

3.09 46.2 15.1

3.20 45.9 13.9

3.30 45.7 12.7

3.41 45.6 11.5

3.51 45.6 10.5

3.61 45.5 9.5

3.69 45.5 8.6

65648

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Vokrme I: Comprehensive Tables

NORTHERN AFRICA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentaw aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

53 302 26 681 26 621 100.2

59 761 29 936 29 825 100.4

67 308 33 798 33 510 100.9

75 942 38 194 37 748 101.2

85 939 43 076 42 863 100.5

97 481 48 950 48 531 100.9

1 1 1 364 56 038 55 326 101.3

128 002 64 433 63 569 101.4

143 963 72 467 71 496 101.4

159 423 80 152 79 272 101.1

174 435 87 579 86 856 100.8

16.7 24.5 19.0 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.9 19.3 6

17.2 24.9 18.7 5.4 3.3 0.3 46.6 19.0 7

17.6 25.7 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 45.7 18.5 8

17.1 27.3 18.5 6.1 3.9 0.5 44.4 17.6 10

17.4 26.6 19.4 5.7 3.8 0.4 45.1 17.8 11

16.8 26.3 19.6 5.8 3.8 0.4 45.6 18.3 13

16.4 26.4 19.4 5.6 3.6 0.4 45.8 18.5 15

15.1 26.5 19.4 5.8 3.7 0.4 46.9 19.0 17

13.3 25.9 20.2 6.2 3.9 0.4 49.1 20.0 19

12.0 24.0 21.1 6.6 4.3 0.5 51.5 21.4 20

17.8 26.8 17.5 ' 5.7 3.6 0.4 44.3 17.8 9

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalit); rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................ 189 562 Maes .............................................. 95 049 Females ............................................... 94513 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 100.6 Age dlstrlbutlon 11.4 Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... 21.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 21.0 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.6 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.0 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 6.5 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.6 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 12.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.2 Median age (years) ................................. 22.9 Population denslty (population per sq km) 22

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

X)6 295

102953 100.4

223 208 l1 l 723 111485 100.2

239 526 119 781 119745 100.0

254 557 127 166 127390 99.8

268 296 133 873 134422 99.6

11.0 20.3 19.7 7.3 4.6 0.7 12.3 5.9 5.9 11.9 53.6 24.4 24

10.5 19.7 18.1 8.2 5.3 0.8 11.9 5.7 5.5 10.8 53.3 26.0 26

9.7 19.1 17.2 9.4 6.1 0.9 11.5 5.6 5.4 10.1 53.0 27.6 28

8.9 16.1 16.9 10.7 7.1 0.9 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.0 52.7 29.1 30

8.3 17.0 16.7 11.9 8.2 1 .1 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.0 52.1 30.6 31

103 342

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

NORTHERNAFRICA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

189562 95049 94 513

208274 104353 103 921

228 681 114517 114 164

249625 124937 124688

269464 134779 134686

288510 144196 144314

307453 153547 153907

326706 163055 163651

346044

364 697

172635 173409

181 896 182 801

11.4 21.7 21.0 6.8 4.6 0.6 53.2 22.9

11.9 20.1 19.5 7.3 4.8 0.7 53.1 24.2

11.7 20.0 17.6 8.0 5.1 0.7 52.0 25.4

11.2 20.5 16.5 9.0 5.8 0.8 50.9 26.3

10.2 20.1 16.7 10.1 6.7 0.9 50.6 27.3

9.5 19.1 17.4 11.1 7.6 1.1 50.4 28.1

9.2 17.8 17.4 12.3 8.4 1.3 49.7 28.9

9.1 17.0 16.6 13.6 9.3 1.7 48.7 29.8

8.9 16.7 15.6 15.2 10.5 1.9 47.9 30.8

8.6 16.6 15.0 16.6 11.8 2.2 47.5 31.8

Populallon (thousands)

...............................................

.

Aga dlstrlbuüon Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 742 1.88 26.0 6.4 -0.8 3.14 1.42

4 082 1.87 25.5 6.2 -0.7 3.07 1.41

4 189 1.75 24.1 6.0 -0.6 3.00 1.39

3809 1.37 20.2 6.0 -0.6 2.75 1.29

3966 1.53 21.9 5.9 -0.6 2.87 1.33

3 789 1.27 19.5 6.2 -0.5 2.65 1.25

3850

3 868

1.22 19.1 6.5 -0.5 2.57 1.21

1.15 18.7 6.8 -0.5 2.51 1.19

3 731 1.O5 18.0 7.0 -0.4 2.46 1.17

D. LOW VARIANT 2005

Popuialion (thousands) Total .................................................... 189 562 Males ................................................... 95 O49 Females 94 513 Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 11.4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........ 21.7 21.o Percentage aged 15-24 ...... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.6 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 53.2 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 22.9

......................

..........

201o

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

204 317 102 332 101 985

217 734 108 928 1O8 806

229 427 114625 114 802

239 668 119564 120 104

248 262 123 643 124619

254 873 126 693 128 180

259 253 128 601 130 651

261 430 129 410 132 020

261 446 129 147 132 300

10.2 20.5 19.9 7.4 4.9 0.7 54.1 24.7

9.1 19.2 18.5 8.5 5.4 0.8 54.6 26.7

8.1 17.5 17.9 9.8 6.3 0.9 55.3 28.8

7.5 15.9 17.2 11.3 7.5 1.o 55.1 30.9

6.8 14.5 15.9 12.9 8.8 1.2 54.1 33.1

6.2 13.6 14.7 14.8 10.1 1.6 52.1 35.2

5.7 12.6 13.7 17.2 11.8 2.1 49.9 37.4

5.2 11.6 13.0 20.2 13.9 2.6 48.1 39.5

4.8 10.8 12.3 23.2 16.5 3.1 46.3 41.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 951 1.50 22.1 6.3 -0.8 2.64 1.19

2 683 1.27 19.6 6.1 -0.7 2.27 1.04

2339 1.O5 17.2 6.1 -0.6 2.00 0.92

2048 0.87 15.7 6.3 -0.7 1.87 0.87

1719 0.71 14.3 6.6 -0.7 1.75 0.82

1322 0.53 13.0 7.1 -0.6 1.65 0.78

876 0.34 11.7 7.7 -0.6 1.58 0.74

0.17 10.7 8.4 -0.6 1.52 0.72

3 0.00 9.8 9.2 -0.6 1.47 0.70

435

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

201o

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon(IhouMnds) Total .................................................... 189 562 Males ................................................... 95 049 Females ............................................... 94 513 Median age (years) ................................. 22.9

208 300 104 366 103 934 24.2

229 331 114 848 114 483 25.2

251 827 126 059 125 768 26.0

275 014 137 607 137 407 26.5

299 194 149 643 149 551 26.9

325 O85 162 536 162 549 27.2

353 362 176 645 176 716 27.5

384 349

418 050 209 O99 208 951 27.8

192 164 192 185 27.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Ctude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

....

1.89 26.1 6.4

1.92 26.1 6.2

1.87 25.4 6.1

1.76 24.2 6.0

1.69 23.4 6.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.66 23.2 6.1

1.67 23.4 6.3

1.68 23.6 6.4

1.68 23.7 6.5

63

SOUTHERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlmlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

15 591 7 733 7 858 98.4

17 493 8 895 8 798 98.8

19 732 9 814 9 918 98.9

22 426 1 1 089 1 1 336 97.8

25 461 12 610 12 850 98.1

29 093 14 426 14 667 98.4

32 974 16 323 16 652 98.0

37 454 18 529 18 925 97.9

41 828 20 613 21 215 97.2

47 408 23 283 24 126 96.5

51 950 25 477 26 473 96.2

15.4 23.5 18.5 6.0 3.7 0.3 47.7 20.8 6

16.3 23.8 18.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 47.0 20.2 7

16.5 24.8 18.0 8.0 3.9 0.4 46.2 19.5 7

16.2 26.0 18.0 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.4 19.0 8

16.4 28.0 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.4 45.7 18.6 10

16.4 26.0 19.6 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.3 18.6 11

15.8 26.3 19.6 5.1 3.1 0.4 46.9 18.8 12

15.2 28.0 19.8 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.9 19.1 14

13.9 25.5 20.3 5.2 3.2 0.4 49.5 19.9 16

12.7 23.9 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.4 51.7 21.4 18

11.7 22.5 20.5 6.0 3.7 0.4 53.1 22.6 19

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W 0 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populetion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

54 900

26 927 27 973 96.3

56 592 27 863 28 729 97.0

57 906 28 668 29 239 98.0

59 254 29 492 29 762 99.1

60 577 30 292 30 285 100.0

61 788 31 003 30 785 100.7

62 802 31 578 31 224 101.1

63 646 32 039 31 607 101.4

64 374 32 422 31 952 101.5

11.2 21.7 20.4 6.6 4.2 0.5 13.1 6.5 6.3 12.2 52.8 23.4 21

10.7 21.2 20.4 7.3 4.8 0.6 12.8 6.3 6.3 12.1 52.0 23.9 21

10.1 20.6 20.3 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.4 6.2 6.1 12.2 51.7 24.5 22

9.7 19.8 19.8 9.1 6.1 0.9 11.8 6.0 6.0 11.9 51.8 25.4 22

9.4 19.0 19.3 9.7 6.7 1.1 11.4 5.7 5.8 11.6 52.3 26.3 23

9.0 18.3 18.7 10.2 7.2 1.3 11.0 5.5 5.6 11.2 53.0 27.2 23

8.5 17.7 18.1 10.7 7.7 1.5 10.6 5.4 5.4 10.9 53.2 28.2 23

8.1 17.0 17.6 11.2 8.0 l .8 10.1 5.2 5.2 10.6 53.2 29.3 24

7.7 16.2 17.1 12.1 8.4 1.9 9.7 5.0 5.1 10.3 52.8 30.4 24

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,W 0 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

339 1 278

4 0.44 19.7 15.3 0.1 2.27 0.95 32 44

242 1 145 906 4 0.40 18.7 14.8 0.1 2.17 0.93 28 40

203 l l05 905 4 0.33 17.7 14.5 0.1 2.08 0.91 26 36

169 1 060 895 4 0.27 16.8 14.2 0.1 2.00 0.88 23 32

146 1 017 875 4 0.23 15.9 13.7 0.1 1.93 0.86 21 29

1 35 981 849 4 0.21 15.2 13.1 0.1 1 .87 0.85 19 26

53.8 53.6 54.0

55.2 55.9 55.7

56.3 57.8 57.2

57.7 59.8 58.8

59.3 61.7 60.5

61.0 63.7 62.4

270 1 204 938 4 0.46 20.6 16.0 0.1 2.39 0.98 35 50

264 1 178 917

4 0.61 22.9 16.9 0.1 2.71 1.08 46 69

263 1 232 973 3 0.46 21.5 17.0 0.1 2.53 1.01 40 58

48.5 49.3 49.0

49.8 49.3 49.7

51.9 51.4 51.9

944

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTHERNAFRICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

..

450 0.80 24.9 17.0 0.1 2.96 1.16

446 0.77 24.5 16.9 0.1 2.93 1.17

508 0.84 24.0 15.7 0.1 2.89 1.18

516 0.82 22.8 14.7 0.1 2.77 1.16

525 0.60 21.9 14.0 0.1 2.67 1.14

541 0.79 21.4 13.5 0.1 2.58 1.12

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeas) .................................

.................. ..................

54 900 26 927 27 973

56 035 27 582 28 453

56 432 27 923 28 509

56 589 28 146 28 443

56 667 28 317 28 350

56 527 28 345 28 183

56 026 28 151 27 875

55 196 27 759 27 437

54 149 27 232 26 917

11.2 21.7 20.4 6.6 4.2 0.5 52.8 23.4

9.8 21.4 20.6 7.4 4.8 0.6 52.5 24.2

8.8 20.2 20.8 8.4 5.5 0.8 53.0 25.2

8.1 18.1 20.8 9.5 6.4 1.0 54.2 26.6

7.8 16.6 19.7 10.4 7.2 1.2 55.0 28.0

7.3 15.7 17.9 11.2 7.9 1.4 55.4 29.6

6.8 15.1 16.5 12.0 8.6 1.7 55.0 31.3

6.1 14.3 15.9 12.9 9.2 2.0 54.5 33.1

5.6 13.2 15.5 14.4 10.0 2.3 53.5 34.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

227 0.41 20.9 16.9 0.1 2.46 0.96

79 0.14 18.5 17.1 0.1 2.13 0.85

31 0.06 16.9 16.4 0.1 1.89 0.77

16 0.03 16.2 15.9 0.1 1.77 0.74

-28 -0.05 15.2 15.7 0.1 1.67 0.72

-100 -0.18 13.9 15.7 0.1 1.58 0.69

-166 .0.30 12.5 15.8 0.1 1.50 0.66

-209 -0.38 11.4 15.3 0.1 1.43 0.64

-228 -0.43 10.6 14.9 0.1 1.38 0.62

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) .......................... Total ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

54 900 26 927 27 973 23.4

56 994 28 066 28 928 23.8

59 095 29 268 29 827 24.0

61 568 30 660 30 907 24.4

64 353 32 199 32 153 24.6

67 432 33 854 33 578 24.8

70 804 35 623 35 180 25.1

74 545 37 556 36 989 25.4

78 722 39 695 39 027 25.6

0.75 24.4 17.0

0.72 24.1 16.9

0.82 23.9 15.7

0.89 23.6 14.8

0.94 23.3 14.0

0.98 23.2 13.5

1.03 23.0 12.8

1.09 22.9 12.0

1.15 22.7 11.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

83 393 42 065 41 328 25.9

WESTERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ...........

Age distribution

Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(mlesper100females) ........... Age dlshlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

272 505 136 363 136 141 100.2

307 436

154 051 153 385 100.4

344 525 172 834 171 691 100.7

382 903 192 278 190 624 100.9

422 018 212 101 209 917 101.0

461 709 232 216 229 492 101.2

501 654 252 447 249 207 101.3

541 305 272 481 268 824 101.4

579 973 291 941 288 032 101.4

617 033 310 486 306 547 101.3

16.9 27.0 20.3 4.9 3.1 0.4 16.6 7.4 6.8 11.8 46.3 17.8

16.2 26.6 20.5 4.9 3.2 0.4 16.3 7.3 6.8 11.9 47.2 18.3 50

15.3 26.0 20.5 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.7 12.0 48.3 19.0 56

14.3 25.2 20.5 5.3 3.4 0.5 15.4 7.1 6.7 12.0 49.7 19.9 62

13.3 24.2 20.5 5.6 3.6 0.5 14.7 6.9 6.6 12.1 51.1 20.9 69

12.5 23.0 20.3 6.0 3.9 0.5 13.9 6.7 6.4 12.0 52.3

11.7 21 .8 19.8 6.5 4.2 0.6 13.2 6.4 6.2 11.7 53.0 23.3 62

11.0 20.8 19.1 7.2 4.7 0.7 12.6 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.3 24.6 88

10.3 19.8 18.5 8.1 5.3 0.8 11.9 5.8 5.7 11.0 53.4 26.0 94

9.6 18.8 17.9 9.3 6.0 0.9 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.7 53.2 27.3 101

44

22.1

75

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . 6 986 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 1 1 504 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 4 320 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 197 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 2.41 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 39.7 C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. 14.9 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . -0.7 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.30 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.91 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 106 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 1 76 Life expectancy at blrth (years) 49.6 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 51.1 Both sexes combined ............................ 50.3

7 418 12 014 4 443 . 153 2.28 36.9 13.6 .0.5 4.79 1.78 98

161 51.3 52.8 52.1

7 676 12 331 4 505 . 150 2.11 33.9 12.4 -0.4 4.28 1.64 91 146

7 823 12 530 4 556 . 150 l .95 31.1 11.3 -0.4 3.84 1.51 83 132

7 938 12 696 4 607 . 150 1 .80 28.7 10.4 .0.3 3.47 1.40 76 l18

7 989 12 823 4 684 . 150 l .66 26.6 9.7 .0.3 3.17 1.31 70 106

7 930 12 861 4 781 . 150 1.52 24.7 9.2 -0.3 2.93 1.23 64 95

7 734 12 785 4 901 . 150 1.38 22.8 8.7 -0.3 2.72 1.17 58 85

7 412 12 617 5 055 . 150 1.24 21 .1 8.4 -0.3 2.55 1.12 53 75

53.2 54.8 54.0

55.1 56.7 55.9

57.0 58.6 57.8

58.8 60.5 59.7

60.5 62.4 61.4

62.1 64.2 63.2

63.7 66.0 64.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2oOo

WESTERN AFRICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

7 442 2.56 41.3 15.1 -0.7 5.54 2.00

8 273 2.51 39.4 13.9 .0.5 5.18 1.93

8 913 2.39 38.9 12.6 .0.4 4.78 1.83

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

9 687 2.08 31.5 10.4 -0.3 3.97 1.60

10 207 1.98 29.7 9.7 -0.3 3.67 1.51

10 722 1.89 28.2 9.0 -0.3 3.42 1.44

11 084 1.78 26.6 8.5 -0.2 3.22 1.38

11 247 1.66 24.9 8.1 -0.2 3.05 1.33

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 259 2.21 33.9 11.4 .0.4 4.34 1.71

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

6 515 2.26 38.0 14.7 -0.7 5.05 1.82

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 272505 Total ................................................... 136 363 Males ................................................ Females ............................................... 136 141 Median age (years) ........................ ... 17.8

.

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

p p .

2.69 42.8 15.2

311733 1.56 227 155 506 18.0

359169 180 248 178 921 18.0

415598 208 834 206 764 17.9

2.92 42.6 13.1

2.97 42.0 12.0

.

2.83 43.0 14.2

482221 242 591 239 630 17.7

p~

3.04 41.5 10.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

561359 282 695 278 665 17.7

656142 330 716 325 427 17.7

770265 388 492 381 773 17.6

907844 458 076 449 768 17.6

3.21 41.4 9.2

3.29 41.4 8.4

3.36 41.3 7.7

.

3.12 41.4 10.0

1073632 541 834 531 799 17.5

ASIA

.

A ESTIMATES indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ............................................. 1 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change par year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) 3938020 Total .................................................... Males ................................................... 2 015 897 Females ............................................... 1 922 123 Sex ratio (mates per 1M)females) ........... 104.9 Age distribution 9.2 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... 18.9 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 18.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 6.4 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1 .0 11.3 Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.8 Percentage in school ages 1 5 1 7 .......... 5.8 10.8 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.7 Median age (years) ................................. 27.6 Population density (populationper sq km) 124

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 W 0 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ........................

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ASIA C. HWVARlANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Popuktlon(thou8snds)

Total ....................................................

3 9 3 MO 4 203 972 4490509 4780962 5049840 5294718 5523299 5 749 512 5 974 077 6 189 365

Males .. Females ............................................... Age dlsbfbution Percentage aged 0-4

2 015 897 2 149 827 2294114 2440182 2 574 639 2898000 2808581 2919985 3031 034 3137946 1 922 123 2 054 145 2 198394 2340780 2 475 201 2 598 717 2 714 718 2829527 2943043 3 051 419 9.2 18.9 18.3 9.2 6.4 1 .o

Percantageaged 15-24........................ Percantage aged 60 or OVBT Percentage aged 65 orww Percentageaged 80 or over

9.6 17.2 17.8 10.0 6.8 1.2 53.4 28.9

9.6 16.8 16.4 11.3 7.4 1.4 51.8 29.9

9.4 17.3 14.9 12.5 8.5 1.5 49.4 30.9

8.7 17.3 14.8 14.0 9.6 1.7 48.0 31.9

8.2 16.6 15.5 15.8 10.9 2.0 47.7 32.9

7.9 15.7 15.7 17.3 12.3 2.4 47.4 33.6

7.9 15.0 15.2 18.2 13.5 2.8 46.5 34.1

7.9 14.8 14.4 19.1 14.2 3.3 45.6 34.5

7.8 14.9 13.8 20.2 14.9 3.8 45.1 35.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 W a t i a r change per year (thowands). Fqndatian g r h rate (per cent) ............ Cude birth rate (per 1.OW popdation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OWpopllation) Net migrationrate (per 1,000population) . Total tertiiii (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproductionrate ( p e r m ) ..........

..

53 190

1.31 20.8 7.4 -0.3 2.59 1.14

57 307 1.32 20.8 7.4 -0.3 2.64 1.18

58091 1.25 20.1 7.3 -0.3 2.66 1 .20

53776 1.09 18.5 7.4 -0.2 2.58 1.17

48975 0.95 17.2 7.5 -0.2 2.51 1.15

45 717

45 243

0.85

0.80

18.5 7.9 -0.2 2.45 1.13

16.5 8.2 -0.2 2.42 1.13

44 913 0.77 16.5 8.6 -0.2 2.41 1.12

2030

2035

2040

43058 0.71 16.2 8.9 -0.2 2.39 1.12

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

20452050

Popullltlon (rnou.urd.) Total ......... 3938020 4 127 206 4 284 706 4 4Q8 874 4 507871 4 572 127 4 595 820 4580381 4 528 586 4 443 976 Males ................................................... 2015897 2109706 2186811 2 245 946 2291 900 2 319 417 2 325 703 2312 151 2280355 2 232 474 Females ............................................... 1 922 123 2017500 2098094 2 162 928 2 215 971 2 252 709 2 269 918 2268229 2248232 2211 502 A w dldrlbutlon 6.4 4.0 4.2 5.5 7.1 6.0 Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ 9.2 7.9 5.0 4.6 12.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 14.1 17.5 11.2 11.9 15.8 9.0 18.9 9.6 10.3 16.2 10.6 14.9 18.2 11.3 12.5 13.5 11.8 17.2 Percentage aged 15-24....... 18.3 13.6 28.1 15.7 10.2 25.2 20.8 18.3 11.9 Percentage aged 80 or over 9.2 22.8 9.3 10.7 18.7 14.8 12.6 7.8 Percentage aged 65 or over 20.8 6.9 6.4 17.0 1.7 1.4 perCenta@a aged 80 or over .................. 5.4 1.9 1.2 4.3 2.9 2.3 3.5 1 .o 42.2 53.4 Percentage d wwnen aged 1549 ......... 46.6 52.0 54.4 44.4 48.9 50.7 54.2 53.7 27.6 Median age (years) ...................... 41.9 45.8 33.4 35.5 29.5 39.8 37.8 31.4 43.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2CQ5-2040 2wo-2045 2045-2050 populationchange per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CRlde birlh rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OWpopulatbn) .. Net migrationrate (per 1,000popllatkm) . TOMfertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

............

37 837 0.94

17.0 7.3 4.3 2.09 0.92

31 500 0.75 15.1 7.3 -0.3 1.84 0.82

24 834 0.57 13.5 7.5 -0.3 1.66 0.74

19 799 0.44 12.5 7.8 -0.3 1.58 0.72

12 851 0.28 11.4 8.3 4.3 1.51 0.69

4 699 0.10 10.2 8.9 -0.3 1.45 0.87

- 16 922

- 3 048

- 10 359

-0.07 9.4 9.8 -0.3 1.43 0.66

-0.23 8.7 10.7 -0.3 1.42 0.66

-0.38 8.1 11.6 -0.3 1.40

2040

2045

0.66

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 p0pukt)on (rnourandr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................................................ Median age (years) .................................

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2050

3938020 4190573 4463566 4744337 5M1318 5295579 5577549 5875420 8191052 6524736 2015897 2142622 2279469 2419936 2557904 2693828 2833448 2961308 3138763 3306157 1 922 123 2 047 951 2 184 098 2 324 401 2 463 414 2 601 752 2 744 101 2 894 112 3 052 289 3 218 579 27.6 29.0 30.1 31.O 31.8 32.5 32.9 33.2 33.3 33.1 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population)

..

1.24 20.2 7.5

1.26 20.3 7.4

1.22 19.9 7.4

1.14 19.1 7.5

1 .06 18.5 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.04 18.5 7.9

1.04 18.9 8.2

1 .05 19.2 8.5

1.05 19.4 8.7

69

EASTERN ASIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

669 906 344 672 325 235 106.0 13.7 20.5 18.5 7.4 4.5 0.3 50.1 23.5 57

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 522 472 1 562 576 1 599 849 1 631 368 1 653 595 1 662 797 1 658 173 1 642 909 l 620 096 Males .................................................. 781 141 801 296 835 195 845 71 1 849 209 845 513 836 486 823 858 819 776 Females .............................................. 741 331 761 280 780 073 796 174 807 884 813 589 812 660 806 424 796 237 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 105.4 105.3 105.1 104.9 104.7 104.4 104.0 103.7 103.5 Age distribution 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.9 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 14.6 12.9 11.8 11.7 11.6 11.4 10.9 10.3 10.0 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 16.0 15.6 13.8 12.3 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.5 11.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 12.4 14.1 16.6 18.6 21.4 25.0 28.1 29.3 30.4 23.3 24.1 13.3 15.0 17.4 20.7 8.8 9.6 11.1 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.3 6.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.7 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.1 5.9 7.0 7.0 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 8.6 7.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.4 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 4.6 4.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 51 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 6.8 7.0 7.0 6.8 7.6 6.8 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 94 9.7 8.4 42.9 41.7 39.8 52.1 47.9 44.3 38.7 55.3 54.6 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... 43.8 45.0 45.7 40.4 42.2 33.4 35.8 37.3 38.8 Median age (years) ................................. 141 141 140 138 139 141 Population density (population per sq km) 129 133 136

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mottalify (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .................................... ...... ..... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EASTERN ASlA

c. HKiHVARlANT lndlcetw 2005

2010

2020

2015

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populallon (mourndr)

1522472 1 576288 1 835737 1895189 1744954 1 700857 1803828 1821 781 1840255 1858840 BOB 827 836958 869283 894 507 923086 781 141 912 191 940 577 950017 931 549 880 741 796780 825886 850 447 668668 767 682 741 331 890 232 899 678 908822

Males ................................................... Females ...............................................

Aw dlrtrikttlon

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage a p j 514 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percent*@ Boor over Percentage aged 65 w wer Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of mwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................

6.3 14.6 18.0 12.4 8.8 1.5 55.3 33.4

6.9 12.8 15.5 14.0 9.6 1.8 54.1 35.4

7.3 12.4 13.5 16.3 10.8 2.2 51.O 38.5

7.3 13.3 11.9 17.9 12.8 2.5 46.2 37.4

7.0 13.9 11.6 20.3 14.2 2.8 42.6 38.6

6.5 13.8 12.6 23.4 16.3 3.4 42.1 39.8

6.1 13.1 13.4 25.8 19.0 4.3 41.8 40.5

6.2 12.3 13.4 26.4 21 .o 4.8 40.9 40.7

6.8 12.1 12.8 26.8 21.2 5.7 40.4 40.0

6.8 12.5 12.0 27.5 21.3 6.8 40.1 39.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatknchangeperyear(thowan&). popl(atiar growth rate (per cent)............ CNde bitth rate (per 1,ooOpOpUlatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO populetbn) Net migration rate (per 1 .ooO poplatkn) Total fertility (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

10763 0.70 14.3 7.2 -0.2 1.93 0.86

11890 0.74 15.2 7.6 -0.2 2.12 0.95

11886 0.71 15.3 8.0 -0.1 2.27 1.02

9957 0.58 14.4 8.5 -0.1 2.30 1.04

7181 0.41 13.3 9.1 -0.1 2.30 1.05

4594 0.26 12.5 9.8 -0.1 2.31 1.06

3591 0.20 12.6 10.5 -0.1 2.32 1.07

3695 0.20 13.4 11.2 -0.1 2.32 1.08

3717 0.20 13.8 11.7 -0.1 2.32 1.09

2030

2035

2040

2045

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

PopuMlon (thousands)

. ..

Fmaks ............................................... dlrtrlbution Percehtegeaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5 14 .......................... Pefwntage &pd 15-24 ...... Pefwntage aged 80 or wer .. ...... Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage ac+sd 80 or over Perceotage d mwnen aged 1549 Mc&n age (years) .................................

.........

.................. .........

2010

2020

2015

2025

2050

1522472 1548164 1582929 1567792 1585088 1550498 1521173 1477495 1421940 1 357942 781 141 793589 800042 801228 798446 789309 772553 748564 718766 685 082 741 331 754 574 762 887 766 583 766 840 781 188 748 820 728 931 703 174 672860 6.3 14.6 16.0 12.4 8.8 1.5 55.3 33.4

5.2 13.1 15.7 14.2 9.7 1.9 55.1 36.0

4.7 11.2 14.1 17.0 11.4 2.3 53.3 38.2

4.5 9.8 12.8 19.4 13.8 2.7 49.7 40.2

4.4 9.2 11.1 22.6 15.8 3.1 45.8 42.3

4.1 8.9 9.9 26.8 18.7 3.9 43.6 44.4

3.8 8.7 9.4 30.6 22.5 5.1 41.3 46.7

3.4 8.2 9.3 32.5 25.9 5.9 38.4 48.7

3.2 7.6 9.3 34.6 27.4 7.3 36.4 50.5

3.2 7.1 8.9 37.7 29.1 9.3 34.6 52.0

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202(12025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 20402045 20452050 Populalion change per year (thousands). Population growth rale (per cent) ............

5 138 0.34

. ...........

10.7 7.2 -02 1.43

Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopuiatkn) .. Net migralim rale @er 1 .ooOpopulation) Total !&My (children per wanan) Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

0.64

2 953 0.19 9.8 7.7 -0.2 1.32 0.59

973 0.06 9.1 8.3 -0.2 1.27 0.57

- 541 -0.04 8.9 9.1 -0.1 1.30 0.59

-2918 -0.19 8.4 10.1 -0.1 1.30 0.59

-5885

-0.38 7.6 11.3 -0.1 1.31 0.80

-8736 -0.58 6.9 12.6 -0.1 1.32 0.61

- 1 1 111 -0.77 6.4 14.0 -0.1 1.32 0.61

-12800 -0.92 6.3 15.3 -0.2 1.33 0.82

E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTV VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populallon(thouwnb.)

Total .................................................... 1522472 1560626 1594830 1820268 1632260 1829764 1615201 1591124 1557901 1515325 Males ................................................... 781 141 800 244 817 074 629 230 834 266 631 529 822 588 808 894 790 803 768 292 Females ............................................... 741 331 780 382 777 757 791 MB 797 995 798 235 792 635 702 230 787 096 747 033 MeGan age (years) .................................. 33.4 35.8 37.4 39.1 40.8 42.9 44.8 46.2 47.3 47.9

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202wO25 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Pophtion growM rate (per cent)............. CN6e Utth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population)

..

0.50

12.3 7.2

0.43 12.1 7.7

0.32 11.5 8.2

0.15 10.4 8.8

-0.03

9.5 9.7

United Nations Department of Eccxlomic and Social NfaindPopulation Division W u M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: m e h t m s k e Tables

-0.18 9.0 10.7

-0.30 8.9 11.8

-0.42 8.8 12.9

-0.55

8.5 14.0

71

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (*)

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 511 449 Males ................................................... 264 683 Females ............................................. 246 766 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 107.3 Age distribution 14.6 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 23.2 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.7 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 49.1 Median age (years) ................................. 21.2 Population density (population per sq km) 47

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

561 299 290 865 270 434 107.6

622 306 322 788 299 519 107.8

694 619 360 514 334 105 107.9

777 432 403 489 373 943 107.9

872 819 452 872 419 947 107.8

981 920 508 967 472 953 107.6

16.5 22.6 18.7 5.5 3.5 0.4 48.6 20.6 52

16.5 24.2 17.9 5.5 3.3 0.4 47.2 20.0 58

16.3 25.7 17.3 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.2 19.4 64

15.9 25.7 18.5 5.6 3.4 0.3 46.6 19.0 72

15.5 25.3 19.6 5.6 3.5 0.3 47.2 19.3 81

15.3 24.9 19.6 5.7 3.6 0.4 47.6 19.7 91

1985

1990

1 106 852 1 242 969 573 164 643 032 533 688 599 937 107.4 107.2 15.1 24.5 19.4 5.9 3.7 0.4 47.9 20.1 103

14.6 24.4 19.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 48.3 20.5 115

1995

1 382 701 1516 156 714 474 782 342 668 228 733 814 106.9 106.6 13.7 24.3 19.1 6.4 4.0 0.5 49.1 21.0 128

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 1645790 1777379 Males ................................................... 847660 913665 Females ............................................... 798 130 863 694 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 106.2 105.8 Age distribution 11.3 10.7 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... 22.2 20.5 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ 20.0 19.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.7 5.0 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 0.7 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.3 12.3 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.7 6.1 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.4 6.2 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.8 11.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 53.0 Median age (years) ................................ 23.2 24.5 Population density (population per sq km) 153 165

1908136 2032724 2145999 2246028 2333798 2413132 979062 1040997 1096849 1145628 1187919 1225795 929 074 991 727 1 049 150 1 100 400 1 145 879 1 187 337 105.4 105.0 104.5 104.1 103.7 103.2 10.1 19.3 18.9 8.5 5.4 0.9 11.7 5.7 5.7 11.4 53.3 26.0 177

9.3 18.5 17.7 9.6 6.2 1.0 11.1 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.3 27.6 188

8.5 17.5 17.0 10.8 7.2 1.1 10.5 5.3 5.2 10.1 53.3 29.3 199

7.8 16.4 16.6 12.1 8.2 1.3 9.8 5.0 5.0 9.9 53.0 31.0 208

7.3 15.1 16.0 13.5 9.3 1.6 9.0 4.7 4.8 9.6 52.2 32.6 216

2481494 1258107 1 223 387 102.8

7.0 14.1 15.1 15.1 10.5 2.0 8.4 4.3 4.4 9.1 50.8 34.2 224

6.7 13.5 14.1 17.0 11.8 2.4 8.1 4.1 4.1 8.5 49.1 35.7 230

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 26 318 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 40 813 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 13 827 Net migration peryear (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 669 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1.54 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 23.8 C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. 8.1 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . -0.4 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 2.88 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.23 Infant mortality rate (per 1,OM) live births) 58 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 82 Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) 63.1 Males ................................................... Females .............................................. 66.1 Both sexes combined ............................ 64.5

26 151 40 915 14 093 . 671 1.42 22.2 7.6 -0.4 2.64 1.15 52 72

24 918 40 105 14 497 . 691 1.27 20.4 7.4 -0.4 2.44 1.08 47 64

64.8 68.0 66.3

66.3 69.8 68.0

22 655 38 450 15 104 691 1.09 18.4 7.2 -0.3 2.26 1.01 42 58

-

67.7 71.4 69.5

20 006 36 636 15 939 691 0.91 16.7 7.3 -0.3 2.12 0.96 38 52

17 554 35 313 17 068 691 0.77 15.4 7.5 -0.3 2.01 0.92 35 46

15 867 35 012 18 454 . 691 0.67 14.8 7.8 -0.3 1.98 0.91 31 41

68.9 72.8 70.8

70.1 74.1 72.0

71 1 75.2 73.1

-

-

.

13 672 34 355 19 992 . 691 0.56 14.0 8.2 -0.3 1.95 0.90 28 36

10 903 33 205 21 611 691 0.44 13.2 8.6 -0.3 1.93 0.89 25 33

72.1 76.2 74.1

73.0 77.2 75.0

2000

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

12.3 23.7 19.6 6.7 4.4 0.5 50.7 22.0 141

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. 1645790 1793286 1952109 2114432 2268000 2414171 2558013 2704908 2850451 Males ................................................... @47 660 921 928 1 001 848 1 083 322 1 160 021 1 232 852 1 303 898 1 376 632 1 448 731 Females ............................................... 798 130 871 358 950 261 1 031 110 1 107 978 1 181 519 1 254 115 1 328 277 1 401 720 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 11.3 11.5 11.3 10.8 9.9 9.2 8.8 8.6 8.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 22.2 20.3 16.4 16.1 19.7 19.8 18.5 17.2 19.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.0 19.7 18.5 17.0 16.8 17.2 16.3 15.3 17.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.4 8.3 9.2 10.2 11.2 12.3 13.5 14.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.7 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.8 7.6 8.5 9.3 10.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 1 .0 1.2 1.8 2.0 0.7 0.9 1.5 0.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.0 52.6 52.1 51.3 51.1 51.2 50.8 49.8 48.6 Median age (years) ................................ 23.2 24.3 25.4 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.5 30.6 31.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

29 499 1.72 25.7 8.2 -0.4 3.13 1 .34

31 765 1.70 25.1 7.7 .0.4 3.04 1.32

32 465 1.60 23.7 7.4 -0.3 2.94 1 .30

30 714 1.40 21.4 7.1 -0.3 2.76 1.24

29 234 1.25 19.8 7.0 .0.3 2.62 1.18

28 768 1.16 18.9 7.1 -0.3 2.51 1.14

29 379 1.12 18.7 7.2 -0.3 2.47 1.14

29 108 1.05 18.2 7.4 .0.2 2.45 1.13

27 748 0.95 17.4 7.6 -0.2 2.42 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1645790 1760698 1862348 1948224 2020792 2076172 2112971 2134269 2139290 Males ............................................... 847 660 905 046 955 347 997 245 1 032 040 1 057 746 1 073 727 1 08l 677 1 081 355 Females ............................................... 798 130 855 652 907 002 950 980 988 752 1 018 426 1 039 244 1 052 592 1 057 935 Age distrlbutlon 9.9 Percentage aged 0-4............................ 11.3 8.7 7.7 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.2 4.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 22.2 20.7 18.9 17.0 13.9 12.7 11.5 10.5 15.3 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.0 20.0 18.5 17.3 15.7 14.4 13.4 12.4 19.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.6 8.7 10.0 11.5 13.1 14.9 17.1 19.8 Percentage aged 65 or over 4.7 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.6 8.9 10.3 11.8 13.7 Percentage aged 80 or over 0.6 0.8 0.9 1 .0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.0 53.5 54.6 55.6 55.7 55.2 53.7 51.6 49.1 Median age (years) 23.2 24.8 33.3 35.7 38.0 40.3 26.7 28.8 31 0

.................. ..................

.

.................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

22 982

1.35 21.9 8.0 -0.4 2.63 1 .12

20 330 1.12 19.2 7.6 -0.4 2.24 0.97

17 175 0.90 16.7 7.3 -0.4 1.94 0.85

14 513 0.73 15.0 7.4 -0.3 1.77 0.79

1 1 076

0.54 13.3 7.5 -0.3 1.62 0.73

7 360 0.35 11.7 7.9 -0.3 1.51 0.69

4 260 0.20 10.8 8.4 .0.3 1 .46 0.68

1 004 0.05 9.9 9.1 -0.3 1.45 0.67

- 2 350 -0.11 9.1 9.9 -0.3 1.43 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 645 790 1 796 874 1 966 954 2 150 238 2 341 363 2 542 235 2 759 299 2 996 671 3 254 814 3 Males ................................................. 647 660 923 788 1 009 549 1 101 888 1 198 032 1 298 963 1 408 064 1 527 527 1 657 730 1 873 086 957 405 1 048 350 1 143 331 1 243 272 1 351 234 1 469 144 1 597 083 1 Females ............................................... 798 130 Median age (years) ................................. 23.2 24.2 25.1 25.9 26.5 26.9 27.1 27.3 27.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.76 26.1 8.2

1 .81 26.2 7.8

1.78 25.6 7.4

1.70 24.5 7.2

1.65 23.7 7.0

(') The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are comb~ned into Swth-CentralAsia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

1.64 23.6 6.9

1.65 23.7 6.9

1.65 23.7 7.0

1.64 23.6 6.9

2050

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA A ESTIMATES lndlcator Popul8tlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 k~rnaJes) Aga dlmlbutlon Percentage eged 0-4............................ Percentage 5 1 Percentageaged 80 (K war .................. Percentageaged 65 OT over .................. Percentageeged80 w o w Percentage d women a m 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. popllatim density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

lss0

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2Ooo

178 149 88 894 88455 99.1

197821 98650 99171 99.5

223127 111437 111691 99.8

253087 128524 128543 100.0

288782 143472 143290 100.1

322782 181518 181247 100.2

359108 179537 179569 100.0

399266 199577 199708 99.9

440574 220240 220334 100.0

481 288 240580 240709 99.9

5199% 259871 280328 99.7

14.8 23.8 19.5

18.8 22.9 19.2 5.7 3.6 0.4 48.2 20.3 44

17.3 24.1 18.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 46.7 19.7 50

17.2

18.6 28.7 17.9 5.6 3.5

15.7 28.5 19.5 5.8 3.8 0.4 46.2 18.6 72

14.6

13.8 24.8 20.7 8.1 3.9 0.4 49.1 20.3

12.8 23.8 20.8 8.4 4.1 0.5 50.7 21.5 98

11.7 22.5 20.1 8.9 4.4 0.5 52.3 22.8 1 07

10.4 21.2 19.7 7.5 4.9 0.6 54.1 24.4 116

8.0

3.8 0.4 48.8 20.8 40

28.0

17.0 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.1 18.8 58

0.3 45.2 18.3 64

28.0

20.4 5.8 3.8 0.4 47.6 19.2 80

89

1950-1955 1955-1960 lg6Ql985 19851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1960-1985 19851980 1990-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005 Population change per year (moUsatxb) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (marsande) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.0O0populaUm) .... Crude death rate (per 1 0O0 populatbn) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.0O0 live Mrlhs) Llf.expctmcy .t blflh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both saxes cxxllbined ............................

...................

.

3934 8305 4399 2.10 44.2 23.4 5.96 1.82 189

5 081 9 479 4443 2.41 45.0 21.1 6.15 1.99 151

38.8 42.0 40.9

42.7 45.1 43.9

5988

7289 11 725 4202 2.13 34.4 12.3 4.84 1.89 91

8036 12 122 3 879 2.12 32.0 10.2 4.18 1.72 75

8 258 12 189 3 709 1.97 29.0 8.8 3.81 1.54 81

8 143 11 982

8.03 2.17 118

7200 1 1 836 4303 2.37 38.2 14.1 5.58 2.09 105

48.3 51.3 49.7

50.7 54.1 52.3

53.6 57.1 55.3

58.8 80.8 58.7

6 739 11 146 4382 2.50 41.3 18.2

to 442

4 453 2.52 43.9 18.7 8.19 2.11 134 45.4 48.0 46.7

7.8 3.12 1.37 51

7 742 11 418 3 518 1.55 22.8 7.0 2.71 1.22 41

7535 1 1 470 3811 1.40 21.3 6.7 2.51 1.15 33

59.8 67.7 81.7

62.2 66.3 64.2

64.3 69.0 66.6

66.0 71.0

3604 1 .77

28.0

68.5

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 1524 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or o w .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or o w r .................. Percentege in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school a@m12-14.......... Percentage in school eges 1517 Percentage in school ages 1E23 .......... Percentage of m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2w5

2050

557 689 270 101 279 588 99.5

584 214

658 591 327 641 330 949 99.0

086 251

710 802 352803 357 798

99.3

626038 312 683 315 375 99.1

98.6

731 148 382553 388 595 98.4

747 254 370 050 377 203 98.1

759 054 375 490 383563 97.9

766 81 1 378 947 387 884 97.8

9.2 18.1 18.3 8.7 5.8 0.9 10.9 5.4 5.5 11.0 54.7 27.7 132

8.5 17.3 17.1 10.0 8.4 1.1 10.4 5.2 5.1 10.3 53.8 29.4 140

7.8 18.3 16.2 11.7 7.8 1.2 9.7 4.9 5.0 9.8 52.9 31.2 147

6.9 14.2 14.9 15.7 10.7 1.6 8.5 4.3 4.4 9.0 50.3 34.6 158

8.8 13.5 14.1 17.8 12.5 2.1 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.5 48.8 38.2 163

6.3 13.0 13.4 19.8 14.2 2.7 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.1 48.8 37.8 166

8.1 12.5 12.9 21.8 15.9 3.4 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.8 45.3 39.0 1 69

5.8 12.1 12.8 23.7 17.8 4.1 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.8 44.2 40.2 171

9.9 19.5 19.2 8.0 5.4 0.8

11.6 8.0 5.9 11.4 54.8 28.0

124

298064 298 150

341 087 345 164 98.8 7.3 15.2 15.7 13.6 9.1 1.4 9.0 4.7 4.7 9.4 51.7 32.9 153

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-20(0 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thousanbs) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousande) ................... Net mQration per year (thousands) Population g& rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1 0O0 pophlkm) Crude death rate (per 1.0O0 pqudation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 0O0 pqudation) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant moctalii rate (per 1 OOO live Mms) urtcbr-h nwtaliity (per 1.000I i births) Llf. .xp.ctm cy .t Mm 1-( Males ................................................... Females ............................................... b l h sexes comMned ............................

.

......... ....

.

.

74

7309 1 1 317 3688 -320 1.27 19.7 8.4 -0.8 2.33 1.08 27 35 68.0 72.9 70.4

8 785 10 973 3858 -350 1.11 18.0 6.3 -0.6 2.18 1.01 23 29 89.5

74.4 71.9

8 111 10 549 4094

5532

10 291 4 415

4 870 10 053 4838

-344

-344

18.4 8.4 -0.5 2.03 0.98 20 25

0.82 15.3 8.6 -0.5 1 .98 0.94 17 21

0.70 14.4 8.9 -0.5 1.93 15 18

4 109 9830 5 377 -344 0.57 13.6 7.5 -0.5 1.90 0.91 13 16

70.8 75.7 73.3

72.0 78.9 74.4

73.0 77.9 75.5

73.9 78.8 78.3

-344 0.95

0.92

3 221 9 581 5sm

12 14

2380 9 322 8 617 -344 0.31 12.4 8.8 -0.5 1.88 0.89 11 13

1511 9 078 7 221 -344 0.20 11.9 9.5 -0.5 1.88 0.89 10 12

74.7 79.8 77.2

75.5 80.3 77.9

78.2 80.9 78.6

-344 0.44 12.9 8.1 -0.5 1.87

0.89

United Nations Department of Economic and Sodal Affairslpopulation DMsion W o M Popuhtion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 557 669 Males ......................... ...................... 278 101 Females ............................................... 279 568 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 9.9 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 19.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 54.8 Median age (years) ................................. 26.0

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

600 119 299 079 301 040

643 783 320 702 323 082

686 899 342 096 344 803

727 399 362 101 365 298

765 716 380 954 384 761

802 857 399 187 403 670

839 097 416 981 422 116

874 193 434 337 439 856

907 131 450 776 456 355

10.1 18.0 18.2 8.6 5.8 0.9 54.2 27.4

9.8 17.8 16.7 9.7 6.3 1 .0 52.6 28.7

9.3 17.9 15.5 11.2 7.2 1.2 50.8 29.9

8.7 17.4 15.6 12.9 8.5 1.3 49.6 31 .0

8.3 16.5 15.9 14.6 10.0 1.5 48.8 32.0

8.1 15.7 15.6 16.2 11.4 1 .9 47.8 32.8

8.0 15.2 15.0 17.6 12.6 2.4 46.6 33.4

7.9 15.1 14.3 18.9 13.8 3.0 45.6 34.1

7.8 15.0 14.0 20.1 14.9 3.5 45.2 34.9

8 490 1.47 21.7 6.4 -0.6 2.58 1.20

. LOW VARIANT

D

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................. .. ............. Females ........................ ..................... Age dlstribuUon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

6 135 1.07 17.6 6.4 .0.6 2.08 0.97

4 801 0.80 14.9 6.3 .0.6 1.76 0.83

3 592 0.58 12.8 6.5 .0.6 1.53 0.72

2 974 0.47 12.0 6.8 .0.5 1.48 0.70

2 187 0.34 11.2 7.3 .0.5 1.43 0.68

1 129 0.17 10.3 8.1 .0.5 1 .40 0.67

. 152 .0.02 9.2 9.0 .0.5 1.37 0.65

354 .0.21 8.4 9.9 .0.5 1.36 0.65

.2 404

.1

.0.37 7.8 11.0 .0.5 1.36 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 557 669 Males .................... . . ................... 278 101 Females ............................................... 279 568 Median age (years) .......................... ....... 26.0

598 800 298 406 300 394 27.4

641 939 319 762 322 177 28.7

685 816 341 549 344 267 29.9

729 196 363 033 366 163 30.9

772 077 384 230 387 846 31.6

815 183 405 528 409 655 32.2

859 004 427 220 431 784 32.6

903 649 449 482 454 166 32.9

948 944 472 270 476 674 33.2

1.39 20.8 6.3

1.32 20.0 6.3

1.23 19.1 6.3

1.14 18.4 6.6

1.09 18.2 6.9

1.05 18.2 7.3

1.01 18.2 7.6

0.98 18.1 7.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.42 21.2 6.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

WESTERN ASIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................... . . ................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ..... .. ............... Males ..................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................... ....................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... . ........................... Females ............................................. Both sexes comb~ned...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

WESTERN ASIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

212 088 108 993 103 095

234 279 120 193 114 086

258 879 132 607 126 272

284 462 145 481 138 981

309 487 158 009 151 478

333 973 170 202 163 770

358 601 182 410 176 192

383 725 194 823 188 903

409 178 207 389 201 789

11.3 21.8 19.5 6.7 4.6 0.6 52.7 23.9

11.8 20.2 18.8 6.9 4.7 0.7 52.9 24.9

11.6 19.8 17.8 7.6 4.9 0.8 52.1 25.8

11.1 20.1 16.6 8.5 5.5 0.9 50.9 26.6

10.3 19.9 16.5 9.7 6.3 0.9 50.4 27.5

9.6 19.0 17.1 11.0 7.4 1 .0 50.1 28.5

9.3 17.8 17.1 72.3 8.4 1.3 49.9 29.3

9.2 17.1 16.5 13.7 9.4 1 .6 49.2 30.1

9.0 16.8 15.6 14.9 10.5 2.0 48.3 30.9

2 074 0.70 13.2 6.3 0.1 1.71 0.81

1 580 0.52 12.0 6.9 0.1 1.63 0.78

4 438 1.99 25.8 6.0 0.1 3.25 1.48

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 582 1.62 22.0 5.9 0.1 2.75 1.25

3 416 1.43 19.5 5.5 0.3 2.40 1.11

3 094 1.21 17.4 5.4 0.2 2.11 0.99

2 853 1.06 16.0 5.5 0.1 1.95 0.92

2 506 0.89 14.6 5.8 0.1 1.81 0.86

1 102 0.36 11.1 7.6 0.1 1.58 0.75

631 0.20 10.3 8.4 0.1 1.54 0.74

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females .......................................... Median age (years) ......................... ......

212 088 108 993 103 095 23.9

234 274 120 184 114 089 24.9

259 843 133 084 126 759 25.7

288 016 147 270 140 746 26.2

318 499 162 573 155 926 26.5

351 504 179 105 172 399 26.7

387 866 197 289 190 577 26.9

428 622 217 668 210 954 26.9

474 689 240 748 233 941 26.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..

1.99 25.8 60

2.07 26.0 5.6

2.06 25.8 5.4

2.01 25.2 5.2

1.97 24.8 5.2

1.97 24.9 5.3

2.00 25.3 5.4

2.04 25.9 5.6

2.08 26.4 5.6

Linited Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2050 . 526 81 1 266 934 259 877 26.5

EUROPE

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... .. .......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years)

Males ...................................................

Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

EUROPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 731 087 Males ................................................... 351 924 Females .............................................. 379 1 W Age dlatribution 5.0 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 10.8 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 13.9 Percentage aged 60or over .................. 20.6 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 15.9 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 3.5 Percentageof women aged 15-49......... 48.5 Median age (years) ................................. 38.9

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

........... ..........

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

736 830 354 724 382 106

743 202 357 869 385 333

749 01 1 360 857 388 154

752 266 362 623 389 643

754 357 363 826

757 482 365 681 391 802

762 864 368 888 393 976

769 848 373 132 396 716

777 168 377 700 399 468

5.9 10.1 12.6 21.7 16.1 4.2 46.5 39.9

6.2 10.9 10.9 23.1 17.0 4.5 43.8 40.9

6.1 12.1 10.2 24.7 18.2 4.9 41.6 41.6

5.8 12.3 11.0 26.3 19.7 5.0 40.5 42.4

5.9 11.4 12.4 28.5 22.3 6.3 39.2 43.3

6.3 11.5 12.0 29.0 22.9 7.1 38.3 42.7

6.5 12.1 11.5 29.4 23.3 7.8 38.2 41.6

6.6 12.7 11.5 29.5 23.6 8.2 38.9 40.8

390 531 5.7 11.9 12.2 27.5 21.2 5.6 39.9 43.1

1 149 0.16 12.0 11.7 1.3 1.70 0.81

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m e n aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

. .1 396 ............ -0.19 .... 8.6 .. 11.8 1.3 . ........... 1.20

Population change per year (thousands) Populationgrowthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

0.58

.2 591

.3 273

.3 425

.3 656

.4 006

.0.36 7.5 12.2 1.1 1.08 0.52

.0.47 6.8 12.5 1.1 1.02 0.49

.0.50 6.7 12.9 l .2 1.06 0.51

.0.55 6.6 13.3 1.2 1.11 0.53

.0.62 6.6 14.0 1.2 1.15 0.55

.4 483 .0.71 6.4 14.8 1.3 1.19 0.57

.4 938

.5 262

.0.62 6.1 15.6 1.3 1.23 0.59

.0.91 5.9 16.4 1.4 1.26 0.61

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

731 087 351 924 379 163 38.9

729 346 350 878 378 468 40.3

724 238 348 124 376 114 41.7

716 260 344 028 372 232 43.2

706 004 338 853 367 151 44.6

693 850 332 741 361 109 46.1

679 867 325 814 354 054 47.4

663 869 318 a48 345 821 48.5

645 900 309 490 336 41 1 49.1

626 370 300 289 326 081 49.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

-0.05 10.0 l l.8

-0.14 9.6 12.1

-0.22 8.9 12.3

-0.29 8.4 12.4

.0.35 8.1 12.7

-0.41 8.0 13.2

.0.48 7.9 13.8

-0.55 7.7 14.4

-0.61 7.6 15.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EASTERN EUROPE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) 220 198 Total .................................................... Males .................................................. 98434 Females .............................................. 121 765 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 80.8 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 9.7 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 18.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 54.3 Median age (years) ................................. 26.4 Population density (population per sq km) 12

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

237 112 107520 129 592 83.0

253 469 116256 137 213 84.7

266 937 123517 143 419 86.1

276 415 128647 147 768 87.1

285 737 133416 152 321 87.6

294 972 178452 156 520 88.5

10.9 16.0 18.6 9.9 6.7 1 .0 53.6 27.4 13

10.6 18.5 15.8 10.3 6.8 1 .0 49.8 28.3 13

9.1 19.6 14.1 11.5 7.4 1 .1 47.7 29.2 14

7.6 18.4 16.7 13.0 8.5 1.2 49.7 30.8 15

7.9 15.6 17.9 14.5 9.6 1.3 50.3 31.2 15

8.0 14.6 16.7 14.1 10.8 1 .5 48.5 31.6 16

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

.1 404

.1 456

.1 555

.1 683

.1 788

.l 819

.1 821

.1 835

.1 854

2 958 4 294 . 66 .0.48 10.0 14.6 .0.2 1.29 0.61 13 17

2 843 4 269 . 30 -0.51 9.9 14.9 .0.1 1.32 0.62 12 16

2 600 4 145 . 10 .0.56 9.3 14.8 0.0 1.37 0.65 11 15

2 319 3 992 . 10 .0.62 8.5 14.7 0.0 1.42 0.67 10 14

2 144 3 922 . 10 .0.68 8.2 14.9 0.0 1.47 0.70 10 13

2 107 3 915 . 10 -0.72 8.3 15.4 0.0 1.52 0.72 9 12

2 120 3 932 . 10 .0.74 8.7 16.1 0.0 1 .57 0.75 8 11

2 085 3 910 . 10 .0.78 8.9 16.6 0.0 1.62 0.77 8 11

1 992 3 837 . 10 -0.82 8.8 17.0 0.0 1 .BB 0.80 7 10

63.0 74.5 68.6

63.6 75.0 69.2

65.0 75.8 70.4

66.6 76.7 71.6

67.8 77.4 72.6

68.9 78.0 73.5

69.8 78.6 74.3

70.8 79.2 75.1

71.7 79.8 75.9

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EASTERN EUROPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator PopuWon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentege aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 838 .0.28 11.9 14.6 -0.2 1.54 0.73

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.1 970

.2 302

.2 470

.2 464

.2 527

.2 622

.2 733

.2 826

.2 849

-0.67 8.1 14.6 -0.2 1.04 0.49

-0.82 7.0 15.1 .O.l 0.92 0.43

-0.91 6.2 15.3 0.0 0.87 0.41

-0.96 5.9 15.4 0.0 0.92 0.44

.1.03 5.7 15.9 0.0 0.97 0.46

.1.13 5.5 16.8 0.0 1.02 0.49

.1.25 5.4 17.8 0.0 1.07 0.51

.l.% 5.2 18.9 0.0 1.12 0.54

.1.49 5.0 19.9 .0.1 1.18 0.56

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

297 775 140046 157 729 37.5

290 438 135973 154 486 38.5

282 405 131621 150 784 39.8

273 270 126897 146 373 41.4

263 285 121882 141 403 43.5

252 716 116677 136 039 45.6

241 646 111368 130 277 47.7

229 931 105914 124 018 49.4

217 594 1C0297 117 297

.0.50 9.8 14.6

-0.56 9.4 14.9

-0.66 8.4 14.9

.0.74 7.5 14.9

.0.82 7.0 15.2

.0.90 6.9 15.8

-0.99 6.7 16.6

-1.10 6.4 17.4

.1.21 6.1 18.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

50.5

NORTHERN EUROPE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 78 093 Males .................................................. 37 863 40230 Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 94.1 Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 9.0 Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... 14.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 14.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 14.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.5 Percentage of women aged 1549 49.2 Median age (years) ................................. 33.4 43 Population density (population per sq km)

.........

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

79 635 38 518 41117 93.7

81 762 39 538 42224 93.6

84 928 41 268 43660 94.5

87 357 42 500 44857 94.7

89 011 43 363 45648 95.0

89 877 43 768 46110 94.9

90 745 44 146 46599 94.7

92 120 44 827 47293 94.8

93 177 45 346 47831 94.8

94 341 45 980 48361 95.1

8.0 16.1 13.3 15.4 10.8 1.6 47.4 33.8 44

8.1 16.1 13.8 16.2 11.2 1.8 45.9 34.3 45

8.6 15.1 15.1 17.0 11.6 1.9 45.3 33.9 47

8.2 15.9 15.0 18.2 12.6 2.1 44.7 33.5 48

7.2 16.1 14.6 19.1 13.6 2.3 44.5 33.4 49

6.4 15.0 15.6 19.4 14.5 2.6 46.0 34.0 50

6.4 13.3 15.9 20.1 14.8 3.1 47.6 35.1 50

6.7 12.7 14.6 20.3 15.3 3.5 48.1 35.7 51

6.5 13.0 13.0 20.2 15.4 3.8 47.7 36.5 51

5.9 13.1 12.5 20.4 15.5 3.9 46.8 37.7 52

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

........... ..........

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Birthsperyear(thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OM) population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) L l k expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

397 1148 973 221 0.41 11.8 10.0 2.3 1.78 0.86 5 6

371 1164 990 197 0.37 11.7 10.0 2.0 1.81 0.87 4 6

360 1176 1013 196 0.36 11.6 10.0 1.9 1.82 0.88 4 5

325 1175 1046 196 0.32 11.4 10.2 1.9 1.82 0.88 4 5

268 1153 1088 202 0.26 11.1 10.4 l.9 1.83 0.88 4 5

201 1134 1 136

76.4 81.4 79.0

77.2 82.1 79.7

77.9 82.8 80.4

78.6 83.4 81.0

79.2 84.0 81.6

W&

0.19 10.8 10.8 t.9 1.83 0.89 4 5

163 1141 l 181 202 0.15 10.7 11.1 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4

145 1158 1216 202 0.14 10.8 11.3 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4

79.9 84.6 82.2

80.4 85.1 82.8

81 0 85.7 83.4

202

.

132 1170 1240 202 0.12 10.8 11.5 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4 81.6 86.2 83.9

United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Population Prosp8cts: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

NORTHERN EUROPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

554 0.57 13.4 10.0 2.3 2.03 0.98

626 0.62 14.1 9.8 2.0 2.21 1.07

679 0.65 14.4 9.8 1.9 2.32 1.12

638 0.60 13.9 9.8 1.8 2.32 1.12

567 0.50 13.3 10.1 1.8 2.33 1.13

580 0.53 13.3 9.9 1.8 2.33 1.12

631 0.54 13.9 10.2 l .7 2.34 1.13

716 0.60 14.5 10.2 1.7 2.34 1.13

767 0.62 14.7 10.1 1.6 2.34 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

96 370 47 131 49 239

97 563 47 836 49 727

98 149 48 202 49 947

98 343 48 338 50 004

98 387 46 371 50 016

98 180 48 258 49 921

97 555 47 935 49 620

96 488 47 400 49 088

95 016 46 677 48 339

5.7 12.3 13.1 21 .1 15.8 4.3 46.9 38.8

5.1 11.5 13.2 22.9 16.7 4.6 46.7 40.2

4.6 10.8 12.5 24.2 18.4 4.8 45.5 41.6

4.3 9.8 11.9 25.9 19.7 5.2 44.3 42.7

4.4 9.1 11.2 28.0 21.2 5.8 43.2 43.8

4.3 8.8 10.3 30.1 23.2 6.9 42.2 44.8

4.1 8.8 9.6 31.5 25.0 7.6 40.9 46.1

4.0 8.7 9.5 32.4 26.2 8.3 39.4 47.3

3.8 8.4 9.6 33.6 27.0 9.5 38.2 48.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

239 0.25 10.2 10.0 2.3 1.53 0.74

117 0.12 9.3 10.1 2.0 1.41 0.68

9 0.01 8.7 10.6 2.0 1.32 0.64

39 0.04 8.7 10.3 2.0 1.32 0.64

- 42 .0.04 8.6 11.0 2.1 1.33 0.64

-

125 .0.13 8.2 11.6 2.1 1.33 0.64

-

213 .0.22 7.9 12.1 2.1 1.34 0.65

- 294 ~0.31 7.5 12.7 2.1 1.34 0.65

-

354 .0.38 7.2 13.1 2.2 1 .34 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................... .......

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

96370 47 131 49 239 38.8

98038 48 080 49 959 40.1

99490 48 669 50 600 41.1

100826 49 613 51 213 41.7

101931 50 190 51 741 42.4

102723 50 590 52 133 43.2

103157 50 809 52 348 44.1

103299 50 894 52 405 44.9

103232 50 892 52 340 45.4

0.34 11.2 10.0

0.29 11.0 10.0

0.27 10.8 10.1

0.22 10.6 10.3

0.16 10.2 10.6

0.08 9.9 11.0

0.03 9.7 11.4

.0.01 9.7 11.8

.0.04 9.6 12.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

103014 50 834 52 184 45.7

SOUTHERN EUROPE A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

108996 52 874 56122 94.2

113588 55 339 58250 95.0

118067 57 552 60516 95.1

122979 59 947 63032 95.1

127244 62 140 65104 95.4

132564 64 748 67816 95.5

137890 67 473 70417 95.8

140512 68 729 71783 95.7

142286 69 551 72734 95.6

143858 70 281 73577 95.5

145801 71 192 74608 95.4

9.9 17.7 18.2 11.3 7.6 1.1 51.6 27.6 83

9.5 17.5 17.3 11.5 7.9 1.1 51.2 28.5 86

9.4 17.7 15.7 12.4 8.3 1.2 49.6 29.6 90

9.5 17.2 15.5 13.2 8.8 1.3 48.9 30.3 93

9.0 17.4 15.7 14.7 9.9 l .6 48.5 31 .0 97

8.5 17.3 15.4 15.6 10.9 1.7 47.7 31.4 101

7.6 16.6 16.0 15.5 11.7 1.9 47.7 32.0 105

6.5 15.5 16.4 16.8 11.7 2.2 48.0 33.2 107

5.6 13.4 16.0 18.9 13.4 2.8 48.8 35.0 108

5.3 11.9 15.1 20.5 14.9 3.3 49.5 36.5 109

5.0 10.8 13.5 22.0 16.5 3.4 48.9 38.2 111

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Tolal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

150333 73 537 76 796 95.8

152912 74 865 78 047 95.9

153940 75 413 78 527 96.0

153896 75 431 78 465 96.1

153245 75 144 78 101 96.2

152292 74 686

77 606 96.2

151201 74 138 77 063 96.2

149949 73 492 76 457 96.1

148367 72 677 75 690 96.0

5.0 10.0 11.9 22.7 17.6 4.1 5.9 3.1 3.3 7.3 48.1 39.8 114

5.0 9.8 10.8 24.0 18.2 5.0 5.9 2.9 3.1 6.6 46.4 41.4 116

4.8 10.0 10.2 25.3 19.4 5.7 6.0 3.0 2.9 6.2 44.1 43.2 117

4.5 9.9 10.0 27.1 20.6 6.2 5.9 3.1 3.0 6.0 41.8 45.0 117

4.3 9.4 10.3 29.4 22.2 6.4 5.6 3.0 3.1 6.2 39.7 46.7 116

4.3 8.9 10.3 31.9 24.4 7.2 5.3 2.8 2.9 6.3 37.8 48.2 116

4.4 8.7 9.8 34.5 26.7 7.9 5.2 2.7 2.8 6.0 36.5 49.1 115

4.5 8.8 9.3 36.4 29.0 8.9 5.3 2.6 2.7 5.7 35.7 49.5 114

4.6 9.1 9.2 37.4 30.7 10.2 5.5 2.7 2.7 5.5 35.3 49.5 113

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ... Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ..........................

United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTHERN EUROPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

?78 0.51 11.9 9.9 3.1 1.68 0.80

585 0.38 12.0 10.3 2.1 1.88 0.90

419 0.27 11.4 10.5 1.7 2.01 0.96

268 0.17 10.7 10.8 1.7 2.06 0.99

223 0.14 10.6 10.9 1.7 2.11 1.01

281 0.17 11.2 11.2 1.7 2.15 1.03

380 0.23 12.1 11.5 1.7 2.20 1.06

419 0.25 12.7 11.8 1.6 2.24 1.08

375 0.22 12.7 12.1 1.6 2.28 1.10

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

252 0.17 8.5 9.9 3.1 1.18 0.56

. 182

. 448

. 537

. 592

. 651

. 746

.0.12 7.2 10.5 2.1 1.08 0.51

.0.30 6.3 11.1 1.8 1.01 0.49

h0.37 6.2 11.6 1.8 1.06 0.51

.0.41 6.2 12.2 1.9 1.11 0.53

.0.46 6.3 12.8 1.9 1.15 0.55

.0.54 6.2 13.6 2.0 1.20 0.58

876 .0.66 6.0 14.6 2.0 1.24 0.60

.1002

h

.0.78 5.7 15.6 2.1 1.29 0.62

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

150 333 73 539 76 794 39.8

152 506 74 658 77 848 41.5

152 921 74 891 78 030 43.4

152 169 74 545 77 624 45.3

150 682 73 829 76 854 47.3

148 727 72 855 75 872 49.0

146 383 71 663 74 720 50.3

143 564 70 211 73 353 51.2

140 134 68 445 71 689 51.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.29 9.6 9.9

0.05 8.9 10.4

.0.10 8.1 10.9

.0.20 7.6 11.3

.0.26 7.3 11.7

.0.39 7.2 12.9

.0.48 7.0 13.7

.0.59 6.7 14.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

~0.32 7.3 12.3

WESTERN EUROPE

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... S:-< ratio (males per 100 females) ........... age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popi~lationdensity (populat~onper sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage In school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

186 609 91 208 95 401 95.6 5.2 11.l 12.2 22.7 17.2 4.4 6.6 3.4 3.6 7.4 46.4 40.5 168

188 458 92 216 96 242 95.8

169 603 92 815 96 787 95.9

190 455 93 210 97 245 95.9

191 055 93 441 97 615 95.7

191 299 93 448 97 851 95.5

191 077 93 202 97 875 95.2

190 360 92 715 97 645 95.0

189 254 92 068 97 186 94 7

5.0 10.7 11.8 24.1 18.3 5.0 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.2 44.8 42.2 170

4.8 10.3 11.3 25.9 19.5 5.5 6.1 3.2 3.3 6.8 42.7 43.7 171

4.9 10.0 11.0 27.9 21.1 6.2 5.9 3.1 3.2 6.7 40.7 44.7 172

4.9 9.9 10.7 30.3 22.9 6.6 5.9 3.0 3.1 6.5 39.6 45.2 172

4.9 10.0 10.4 32.4 25.1 7.3 6.0 3.0 3.0 6.3 39.1 45.6 173

4.9 10.0 10.3 33.2 27.0 8.2 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.2 38.4 46.1 172

4.8 10.0 10.5 33.3 27.6 9.3 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.3 37.8 46.5 172

4.9 10.0 10.6 33.6 27.6 10.6 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.4 37.6 46.7 171

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Slrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net mlgrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cr~idebirth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five rnortallty (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

370 1 874 1 825 320 0.20 10.0 9.7 1.7 1.59 0.77 4 5

229 1 833 1 922 318 0.12 9.7 10.2 1.7 1.59 0.77 4 5

170 1 852 2 011 329 0.09 9.7 10.6 1.7 1.62 0.76 4 5

120 1 865 2 089 344 0.06 9.8 11.0 1.8 1.66 0.80 4 5

49 1 864 2 160 344 0.03 9.8 11.3 1.8 1.69 0.82 4 5

-44 1 850 2 238 344 -0.02 9.7 11.7 1.8 1.72 0.83 4 5

-143 1 834 2 322 344 -0.08 9.6 12.2 1.8 1.74 0.84 4 4

-221 1 830 2 395 344 -0.12 9.6 12.6 1.8 1.77 0.86 3 4

-256 1 847 2 447 344 -0.14 9.8 13.0 1.8 1.80 0.87 3 4

76.9 82.8 79.9

77.6 83.4 80.5

78.2 84.0 81 .1

78.8 84.6 81.7

79.4 85.2 82.3

80.0 85.7 82.9

80.5 86.3 83.4

81.1 86.8 84.0

81.6 87.4 84.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

WESTERN EUROPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

654 0.35 11.5 9.7 1.7 1.84 0.89

682 0.36 11.9 10.0 1.7 1 99 0.96

731 0.38 12.4 10.3 1.7 2.12 1.03

667 0.34 12.2 10.5 1.7 2.16 1.04

601 0.30 12.0 10.7 1.7 2.19 1 06

582 0.28 12.1 11.0 1.7 2.22 1.07

635 0.31 12.6 11.2 1.7 2.24 1.09

726 0.34 13.2 11.4 1.6 2.27 1.10

805 0.38 13.6 11.4 1.6 2.30 1.11

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..........................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

.

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (U~ousands) Total Males Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)

.................................................... ................................................... .......................... ......................... .................. ..................

.................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

84 0.05 8.5 9.8 1.7 1.34 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

186609 91 208 95 401 40.5

188364 92 168 96 196 42.2

189423 92 723 96 700 43.8

189996 92 974 97 022 44.8

190106 92 954 97 152 45.4

189684 92 619 97 065 46.0

188682 91 973 96 709 46.6

187075 91 030 96 045 47.1

184941 89 855 95 086 47.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.19 9.9 9.7

0.11 9.6 10.2

0.06 9.5 10.6

0.01 9.3 11.0

-0.04 9.1 11.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

-0.11 8.9 11.8

.0.17 8.8 12.4

-0.23 8.7 12.9

.0.27 8.7 13.3

182428 88 556 93 873 47.8

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................... ..... ....... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortal~ty(per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects; The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN C. HKiHVARlANT tndkator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

557 979 275 402 282 570

599430

843 315

687 305

295 025 303805

317 110

328205

338684 340 621

728911 359 021 389890

708749 378431 380318

807239 397 159 410080

844631 415370 429280

880407 432837 447570

914 203 449 414 464 789

10.1 19.8 18.6 9.0 6.3 1.2 53.2

10.2 18.5 17.7 8.9 0.8 1.5 52.5 27.3

10.0 18.0 16.7 11.1 7.6 1.8 51.2 28.5

9.0 18.1 15.7 12.4 8.0 1.8 49.0 29.5

9.0 17.7 15.6 13.9 9.7 2.1 48.7 30.8

8.8 18.9 15.9 15.4

8.3 16.1 15.7 16.9 12.3 2.9 47.0 32.3

8.2 15.6 15.1 18.2 13.5 3.4 46.1 33.0

8.0 15.3 14.5 19.4 14.6 3.9 45.4 33.8

7.8 15.1 14.2 20.4 15.6 4.4 44.9 34.5

popu-(~und.)

Total ....................................................

Males ...................................................

Femdee ...............................................

A0.d-

peccentage aged

w ............................

Pmmiage agecl 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... percentegeaged80orover .................. percentage aged 65 or owr .................. -ge aged 80 or over .................. percenteoeofwomenaged15-49......... Medisn age (yean) ................................

26.0

11.1

2.4 47.8 31.5

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2o252030 2a30-2035 20352040 2o40-2045 20452050 Populalimch~peryear(lhousande). Rpdatiar g w h rale (per cent) ............ Cnde birth tale (per 1.OOO popdation).... Crude dealh rale @er 1 ,OOOpqwktkn) .. Net migratbnrate @er 1.ooO popdalbn) Total Milky (childrenper wanan) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per m n )

8290 1 .a

. ..........

21.8 0.0 -1.5 2.62 1 .a

8777

1.41 21.2 8.0 -1 .o

2.63 1.24

8798 1.32 20.2 6.1 -0.9 2.62 1.24

8321 1.18 18.8 6.2 4.8 2.54 1.21

7988 1.06 17.8 6.5 4.8 2.47 1.18

17.3 6.8 4.8 2.42 1.15

7478 0.91 16.9 7.2 -0.7 2.39 1.14

7155 0.83 16.5 7.6 -0.7 2.37 1.13

6759 0.75 16.1 7.9 -0.7 2.36 1.13

7898 0.98

D. LOWVARLANT

popu((thou&.) Total ....................................................

Males ...................................................

Femak ............................................... dl.trlbuUon percentageaged 0-4 ............................ prncentegea@ 5-14 ..........................

15-24 ......................... percentagaaged 80 or OYer ..................

percentageaQed65orover .................. peccanlageaQed80orover percanlage of WMen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

557979 275 402 282 578

587933 289 757 293 177

612531 301 395 311 136

031884 310 287 321 396

047115 317 283

657604 321 701 335 902

662067 323 085 338 982

6605% 321 480 339 075

653343 317 063 336 280

640 881 310 110 330 772

10.1 19.8 18.6 8.0 6.3 1.2 53.2

8.5 18.8 18.0 10.1 6.9 1.5 53.5 27.8

7.3 17.1 17.5 11.0 7.9 1.7 53.7 30.0

6.5 14.8 17.1 13.5 9.3 2.0 53.8 32.2

6.0 13.1 15.8 15.7 11.0 2.3 52.9 34.5

5.5 12.0 13.9 18.0 13.0 2.8 51.1

5.0 11.2 12.5 20.0 15.0 3.5 46.9 39.2

4.5 10.3 11.6 23.3 17.2 4.3 46.6 41.6

4.1 9.4

3.8 8.7 10.4 29.1 22.2 6.3 41.7 46.3

26.0

329 852

30.8

11.1

26.2 19.7 5.3 44.3 43.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 202!52030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popUlationchangeperyear(Masande). Populationgtwth rale (per cent) ............ Cnde bw1 me (per 1,000 popdam)

....

5991 1.05 17.9

CNd,dealhrate@erl,OOOpoprletion)..

8.0

Total fettllity (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per wanan) ..........

-1.5 2.12 0.99

Ne( rn&aIim rale (per 1,OOO mlatkm) .

4920 0.82 15.4 0.1 -1.1 1 .E3 0.88

3831 0.62 13.4 6.3 -0.9 1.82 0.77

3086 0.48 12.5 0.7 4.9 1.54 0.73

2098 0.32 11.4 7.2 -0.9 1.47 0.70

893 0.14 10.1 7.9 4.9 1.42 0.08

-

302

-1442

-0.05

-0.22 8.3

9.1 8.7 -0.9 1.39 0.66

9.0 4.9 1.37

-2492 -0.39 7.7 10.7 -0.9 1.36

0.66

0.65

E. CONSlAMT-FERTILm VnRlANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

557979 275 402 282576 26.0

597587

639449

294684 302903

315 136 324313 28.7

682086 338009

724548 358 794 387754 30.7

786901 377 491 389410 31.5

809418 348 280 411139 32.2

852268 413 284 432984 32.7

895504 MO 567 454937 33.1

939225 462 221 477004 33.4

~~

w-(~und.)

Total ....................................................

Males ................................................... Females ...............................................

Median age (yearn) .................................

27.4

MO51 29.8

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202(12025 2025-2030 2a3&2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatonp w d rale ~ @er cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,ooO populaUan) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1 .ooO popllation)..

1.37 21.2 0.0

1.35 20.0 0.0

1.29 19.9 0.1

1.21 19.2 6.3

1.14 18.7 8.5

United Nations oepartmentof Economic end sodel Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Vohrme I: Conrprehensive Tables

1 .c% 18.4 6.8

1.03 18.2 7.1

0.99 18.1 7.5

0.95 18.0 7.8

89

CARIBBEAN

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

40 525 20 085 20 439 98.3

42 300 20 949 21 351 98.1

44 025 21 789 22 236 98.0

45 664 22 584 23 080 97.8

47 144 23 296 23 848 97.7

48 357 23 874 24 484 97.5

49 282 24 308 24 975 97.3

49 926 24 603 25 323 97.2

50 295 24 764 25 530 97.0

9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 11.3 5.6 5.6 10.5 52.0 28.0 173

8.9 17.9 17.3 12.0 8.5 1.8 10.7 5.3 5.3 10.4 51.8 29.5 181

8.6 16.9 16.5 13.2 9.3 2.0 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 50.4 31.0 188

8.2 16.2 15.8 14.5 10.4 2.3 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.4 48.9 32.4 195

7.7 15.6 15.1 16.7 11.6 2.6 9.4 4.7 4.6 9.0 47.7 33.6 201

7.3 15.0 14.6 18.7 13.5 3.1 9.0 4.5 4.5 8.7 47.2 34.9 206

6.9 14.3 14.3 20.5 15.3 3.6 8.5 4.3 4.4 8.6 46.4 36.3 210

6.5 13.6 13.9 21.6 16.8 4.2 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.4 45.4 37.6 213

6.3 13.0 13.4 23.1 17.7 5.1 7.8 4.0 4.0 8.1 44.5 38.8 215

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

CARIBBEAN C. HtGHVARIANT

Popul.tkn (thouundo) Total ....................................................

Meles ...................................................

.......................

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percencege aged 1524 Percentaga aQed85 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage d wwnen aged 15-49 M d a n age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

40525 20085 20439

42672 21 139 21534

45012 22293 22719

47439 23491 23949

49747 24626 25121

51 893 25680 26213

53937 26684 27253

55916 27661 28255

57811 28601 29211

59 576 29482 30093

9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 52.0 28.0

9.7 17.7 11.2 11.9 8.4 1.8 51.3 29.2

9.7 17.4 16.2 12.9 9.1 2.0 49.3 30.3

9.5 17.6 15.2 14.0 10.0 2.2 47.2 31.1

9.0 17.6 15.0 15.8 11.0 2.5 46.0 31.8

8.6 17.1 15.5 17.4 12.6 2.9 45.9 32.4

8.4 16.3 15.7 18.7 14.0 3.3 45.7 33.1

8.3 15.8 15.3 19.3 15.0 3.7 45.2 33.7

8.1 15.6 14.7 20.1 15.4 4.5 44.7 34.2

8.0 15.4 14.4 20.8 16.0 5.1 44.6 34.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

p o p u ~chance t ~ per Year)-(

'

Populationgowmrate(percent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO p0pu)atk-n) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) Total fertility (childreo par woman) ........... Net reproductionrale (per woman) ..........

.

430 1.03 20.7 7.5 -2.8 2.65 1.21

488 1.07 20.7 7.5 -2.5 2.73 1.25

485 1.05 20.3 7.4 -2.3 2.77 1.28

461 0.95 19.0 7.5 -2.0 2.70 1.25

429 0.85 18.1 7.7 -1.9 2.62 1.22

17.5 7.9 -1.8 2.55 1.20

396 0.72 17.2 8.2 -1.8 2.49 1.17

379 0.67 16.9 8.5 -1.7 2.44 1.18

353 0.60 16.5 8.8 -1.7 2.41 1.14

409 0.n

D. LOW VARIANT

Popul.t)on (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 514 ..... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or w a r

Percentagaofmnenagedl5-49

.........

Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

40 525 20 085 20439

41 924 20 757 21167

43 026 21 279 21747

43 862 21 664 22199

44 514 21 953 22562

44 831 22 072 22758

44 746 21 992 22755

44 257 21 710 22547

43 395 21 244 22151

42 193 20 613 21 580

9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 52.0 28.0

8.1 18.0 17.5 12.1 8.6 1.9 52.2 29.8

7.3 16.4 16.9 13.5 9.6 2.0 51.5 31.7

6.7 14.6 16.4 15.1 10.8 2.4 50.9 33.7

6.3 13.3 15.1 17.6 12.3 2.8 49.6 35.6

5.8 12.5 13.6 20.2 14.5 3.3 48.7 37.5

5.3 11.9 12.6 22.5 16.8 3.9 47.1 39.5

4.8 11.0 12.0 24.4 18.9 4.7 45.3 41.6

4.4 10.1 11.6 26.7 20.6 5.9 43.5 43.8

4.1 9.3 10.9 29.4 22.6 7.1 41.5 45.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (tho Population growth rate (per Crude birth rate (per 1 ,ooO Crude death rate (per 1 .ooOpopulatkm) Net w r a t h rate (per 1 .ooOp0puIatk-n) Total fertility (children pen wunan) ........... Net reprodrate (per wunan)

.. .

280 0.68

17.1 7.5 -2.8 2.15 0.98

220 0.52 15.3 7.5 -2.6 1.93 0.88

167 0.39

14.0 7.7 -2.5 1.77 0.82

130 0.30 13.2 8.0 -2.2 1.70 0.79

63 0.14 12.1 8.5 -2.2 1.62 0.76

- 17 -0.04 10.9 9.1 -2.2 1.55 0.73

- 98 -0.22 9.8 9.8 -2.2 1.49 0.70

-

172 -0.39 8.9 10.7 -2.2 1.45 0.69

-

240 -0.56 8.3 11.6 -2.3 1.42 0.67

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

40 525

42 588 21 095 21 492 29.3

44 807 22 187 22 620 30.4

47 126 23 329 23 797 31.2

49 518 24 507 25 011 31.8

51 936 25 898 26 238 32.2

54 428 26 930 27 498 32.6

57 043 28 230 28813 32.8

59 814 29 615 30 199 32.8

62 760 31 100 31 660 32.6

20 085 20 439 28.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 PopulationgnMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO pqx4atk-n) .... Crude death rate (par 1 .ooOpopu(ation)..

0.99 20.3 7.6

1.02 20.2 7.5

1.01 20.0 7.5

0.99 19.6 7.7

0.95 19.3 7.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Popuktbn Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.94 19.2 8.0

0.94 19.4 8.2

0.95 19.6 8.5

0.96 19.8 8.7

91

CENTRAL AMERICA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................... ....................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

37 515 18 718 18 796 99.6

43 503 21 725 21 778 99.8

50 916 25 449 25 467 99.9

59 551 29 785 29 767 100.1

69 581 34 822 34 759 100.2

80 853 40 461 40 391 100.2

92 255 46 124 46 130 100.0

102 510 51 087 51 423 99.3

112 724 56 038 56 687 98.9

124 052 61 466 62 586 98.2

135 587 67 039 68 548 97.8

17.4 25.2 19.2 5.3 3.4 0.6 47.1 18.7 15

18.9 25.6 18.1 5.1 3.3 0.4 45.1 17.9 18

18.9 27.0 17.6 5.2 3.3 0.4 43.8 17.1 21

18.4 28.3 17.9 5.4 3.4 0.4 42.8 16.7 24

18.2 28.2 18.9 5.3 3.5 0.5 43.4 16.7 28

18.0 28.0 19.7 5.3 3.5 0.5 43.7 16.9 33

16.3 28.4 20.0 5.4 3.6 0.6 44.7 17.4 37

14.8 27.8 20.3 5.7 3.8 0.6 46.3 18.3 41

13.8 25.9 21.2 6.2 4.1 0.7 48.9 19.4 45

13.1 24.1 21.2 6.6 4.5 0.8 50.8 20.9 50

11.8 23.0 20.2 7.1 5.0 0.9 52.4 22.5 55

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 2000-2005

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ................... ..................... Both sexes combined ...........................

. . .

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ................... .... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populat~ondens~ty(population per sq km)

143 775 70 476 73 299 96.1 10.9 21.7 18.7 8.0 5.5 1.1 13.1 6.4 6.0 11.0 52.9 24.4 58

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CENTRAL AMERICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

143 775 70476 73299

155 192 75994 79198

167 364 81923 85441

179 601 87897 91703

191 205 93536 97669

202 332 98919 103414

213 021 104077 108944

223 156 108966 114190

232 590 113530 119061

241 199 117717 123482

10.9 21.7 18.7 8.0 5.5 1.1 52.9 24.4

10.9 19.9 18.4 8.8 6.1 1.3 53.1 25.7

10.5 19.1 17.7 10.0 6.8 1.5 52.6 26.9

10.0 18.9 16.5 11.2 7.8 1.6 51.1 28.1

9.3 18.3 16.1 12.6 8.9 1.9 49.7 29.5

8.9 17.4 16.1 14.2 10.1 2.2 48.7 30.8

8.6 16.5 15.8 16.2 11.5 2.7 47.7 31.8

8.3 16.0 15.2 17.8 13.1 3.1 46.7 32.8

8.1 15.6 14.6 19.0 14.4 3.6 45.6 33.8

7.8 15.2 14.3 20.1 15.4 4.2 44.9 34.7

2 283 1.53 23.4 4.9 -3.2 2.72 1.28

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage agad 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

1 668 1.13 19.4 4.9 -3.2 2.22 1.04

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

~

.

........

143775 70 476 73299 24.4

155025 75 909 79116 25.7

167400 81 941 85460 26.9

180435 88 322 92113 28.0

103604 94 759 98845 29.1

206914 101 256 105658 30.0

220562 107 924 112638 30.7

234675 114 843 119831 31.1

249317 122 064 127253 31.4

1.51 23.2 4.9

1.54 22.7 5.0

1.50 22.0 5.1

1.41 21.2 5.3

1.33 20.5 5.5

1.28 20.2 5.8

1.24 20.1 6.2

1.21 20.i 6.6

1.19 20.2 6.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

264532 129 622 134911 31.6

SOUTH AMERICA A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ............................................ 112980 Males ................................................... 56 478 Females ............................................... 56 502 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 100.0 Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 15.8 23.7 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... 18.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.6 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 48.2 Median age (years) ................................. 20.4 Population density (population per sq km) 6

...........

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

129684 64 880 64 804 100.1

148480 74 263 74 217 100.1

170156 85 066 85 089 100.0

192541 96 201 96 340 99.9

216240 107 968 108 272 99.7

242269 120 790 121 479 99.4

269933 134 394 135 539 99.2

297194 147 730 149 464 98.8

323230 160 385 162 845 98.5

348844 172 788 176 056 98.1

16.5

16.4 25.8 17.8 6.2 4.0 0.4 45.3 19.3 10

15.1 26.1 19.0 6.4 4.1 0.5 46.0 19.5 11

14.2 25.5 19.9 6.7 4.4 0.5 47.4 20.1 12

13.9 24.0 20.4 6.8 4.6 0.6 48.8 20.8 14

13.3 23.4 20.1 7.0 4.7 0.6 49.8 21.7 15

12.2 23.1 19.2 7.4 4.9 0.7 50.8 22.7 17

11.1 22.0 19.2 7.8 5.4 0.8 52.2 23.8 18

10.4 20.4 19.3 8.5 5.8 1.0 53.2 25.0 20

16.5 24.0 18.1 5.8 3.5 0.4 47.2 20.1 7

. 25.2

17.7 6.0 3.7 0.4 45.9 19.7 8

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~lyrate (per 1.000live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

............ ....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 373 679 Males ................................................... 184 841 Females ............................................... 188 838 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.9 Age distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ 9.8 Percentageaged 5-14.......................... 19.1 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage in school ages 6-11............ 11.5 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.7 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 5.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 11.2 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.4 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5 Population density (population per sq km) 21

397 740 196 540 201 200 97.7

420 700 207 669 21 3 030 97.5

441 803 217 874 223 929 97.3

460 777 226 988 233 789 97.1

477 332 234 858 242 473 96.9

491 105 241 319 249 787 96.6

502 307 246 498 255 809 96.4

510 853 250 371 260 482 96.1

9.2 18.2 17.6 10.2 7.0 1 .5 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.5 52.9 28.0 22

8.5 17.2 16.7 11.6 7.9 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.1 10.0 52.1 29.7 24

7.9 16.3 16.1 13.2 9.1 l .9 9.7 4.9 4.9 9.7 51.3 31.3 25

7.4 15.3 15.6 15.1 10.5 2.2 9.2 4.6 4.7 9.3 50.5 32.9 26

7.0 14.5 14.9 16.9 12.2 2.6 8.6 4.4 4.4 9.0 49.2 34.4 27

6.6 13.7 14.2 18.6 13.7 3.2 8.2 4.2 4.2 8.6 47.8 35.9 28

6.3 13.0 13.6 20.6 15.2 3.9 7.8 4.0 4.0 8.2 46.4 37.4 28

6.1 12.5 13.1 22.6 16.8 4.6 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.9 45.2 38.7 29

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... ................. Females ................................ ....... Both sexes combined ............................

....

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTH AMERICA C. HKiHVARUNT 2W5

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

373 679 184 841 188 838

401566 198492 203073

430939 212894 218044

480285 227 296

232969

487959 240859 247 100

514523

540 281

253833

286388

590005 280707

260891

273 884

585559 278743 286816

299298

613 428 302 215 311 213

9.8 19.1 18.7 9.2 6.4 1.3 53.4 26.5

10.0 18.0 17.4 10.1 8.9 1.5 52.4 27.7

B.8 17.7 18.3 11.3 7.7 1.6 50.9 28.9

9.4 17.8 15.5 12.7 8.7 1.8 49.3 29.8

8.8 17.5 15.5 14.3 10.0 2.1 48.5 30.9

8.4 16.7 15.8 15.7 11.3 2.4 47.7 31.7

8.2 15.9 15.6 18.9 12.5 2.9 46.8 32.4

8.1 15.5 15.1 18.3 13.5 3.4 46.0 33.0

8.0 15.2 14.5 19.5 14.6 4.0 45.4 33.8

7.8 15.1 14.2 20.5 15.6 4.4 44.9 34.5

poPuw.tlon(thwund.)

Total .................................................... Mdes ...................................................

percentagea m 0-4 ............................ percenw e(pd 514 ................ percentage e(pd 1524 petcentagea(@60 or OVBT .................. percentagea(@65orwer percentage aged 80 or OVBT pwcentege d women alpd 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

......................... .................. ..................

20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2oxb2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 5875 1.41 20.8 6.3 -0.4 2.81 1.23

5577 1.44 21.3 8.2 -0.7 2.57 1.21

populatknchangeperYW(hUMfXb3). pophtbn glum rate @er cent) ............ CNde Mrlh rale (per 1.OOO poplatbn) .... C h death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migmtkm rate (per 1,OOO poprlatbn) . Total krWty (chubenper mrruur) Net reproductkn rale (per mwnan)

.. ........... ..........

5885 1.32 19.8 8.3 -0.3 2.81 1.23

5539 1.17 18.5 8.5 -0.3 2.52 1.20

5313 1.m 17.8 6.7 -0.3 2.45 1.17

-0.3 2.37 1.13

4889 0.85 16.4 7.7 -0.3 2.36 1.13

4665 0.78 16.1 8.1 -0.2 2.35 1.13

5152 0.98 17.1 7.0 -0.3 2.39 1.14

5056 0.91 18.8 7.4

D. LOW VARIANT

poPul.tkn (Wand.) Total .................................................... Mdes ...................................................

Fanak

.................

.................

&wa?crlamon

percentage aged W ............................ Prwcantage aged 514 percantage 1524 Pmmhgeaged60orowr .................. Pmmntaga aged 65 (Y wer plercenteoe~8oorover Pmmntageofmmena(@15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

m

.......................... ......................... .................. ..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

373 678 184 841 188838

393 898

410 428 202 428

433 599

440 594

443 627

442 964

438 712

431 209

208OOO

423 260 208 421 214858

213 119 220479

218 118 224478

217 107 226521

216 239 226704

213 617 225095

209409 221 800

9.8 19.1 18.7 9.2 6.4 1.3 53.4 28.5

8.3 18.3 17.8 10.3 7.1 1.5 53.4 28.3

7.2 16.7 17.2 11.9 8.1 1.7 53.3 30.4

8.3 14.6 18.9 13.8 9.5 2.0 53.5 32.6

5.9 12.9 15.6 16.1 11.2 2.3 52.7

5.4 11.8 13.8 18.3 13.2 2.8 50.9 37.1

4.6 11.1 12.5 20.6 15.2 3.6 48.7

4.4 10.2 11.6 23.3 17.2 4.4 46.5 41.7

4.1 9.3 11.1 26.3 19.6 5.4 44.3 43.9

3.8 8.7 10.3 29.2 22.2 6.3 41.8 46.2

194 slg 199317

34.8

38.3

20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-20S 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050

pophtbnchangeperyear(ltwwmd8). pophtbn grwvth tale @er cent) ............ CNde Mh rale (per 1,OOO papulatkn) .... CNd) death rate (per 1.OOO populatkn) .. Nel m b tnrale @er 1.OOO populatbn) . Total tsrtility ( M mper mnran) ........... Net reproduction rate (pm m) ..........

4043 1.05 17.4 8.2 -0.7 2.07 0.97

3306 0.82 14.9 6.3 -0.4 1.81 0.85

2570 0.62 13.1 6.8 -0.3 1.61 0.76

2064 0.48 12.1 7.0 -0.3 1.52 0.72

1399 0.32 11.0 7.5 0.3 1.45 0.69

607 0.14 9.8 8.1

-

137 -0.N 8.9 8.9

-846 -0.19 8.2 9.8

-1500 -0.35 7.7 10.8

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

1.39 0.87

1.37 0.66

1.36 0.65

1.35 0.65

2040

2045

2050

534 429

560 550

263 425 271 004 32.8

276 211

588 373 288 888 297 486 33.8

611 933 301 498 310 433 34.2

E. CONSTAM-FERTIUTY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

389 974 197 680 202 294

427 242 211 008 218 233 29.2

454 505 224 358 230 147

481 428 237 528 243 898 31.3

508 051 250 537

2035

~

poPu-(thowmd.) Total ....................................................

373 879 184 841 188 838 28.5

M.lee ...................................................

Femalee ............................................... MedlaIl age (years) .................................

27.8

30.3

257 514 32.1

284 340 33.3

20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2036 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Popchlkm p w i h rate @er cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per 1.OOO poplhtbn) Crude death rate @er 1,OOOpopdatbn)

.... ..

1.38 20.5 6.2

1.32 19.9 8.3

1.24 19.1 8.4

1.15 18.4 6.6

1.c% 17.8 8.8

United Nations oeparbnent of Eaw~wnicand Social Affairslpopulation Division World Populetion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.01 17.5 7.1

0.95 17.2 7.4

0.90 17.0 7.8

0.85 16.9 8.1

95

NORTHERN AMERICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at Mrth (yenrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged W or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

NORTHERN AMERICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..........................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 841 1.12 15.3 8.1 4.1 2.25 1.08

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bidh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

2 691 0.79 12.0 8.2 4.1 1.75 0.84

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

332 245 163 546 168 699 36.3

348 41 1 171 679 176 732 36.9

364 416 179 727 184 689 37.3

380 352 187 684 192 668 37.8

395 753 195 285 200 468 38.5

410 209 202 341 207 869 39.1

423 614 208 847 214 767 39.7

436 148 214 972 221 176 39.9

448 137 220 932 227 205 40.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d bilth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.95 13.5 8.1

0.90 13.5 8.2

0.86 13.3 8.3

0.79 13.1 8.5

0.72 12.7 8.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

0.64 12.5 9.2

0.58 12.5 9.7

0.54 12.4 10.0

0.52 12.4 10.1

459 983 226 952 233 032 40.2

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mMtality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percenlage aged 5-14 ........................... Percenlage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................... ........... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................

..

416 574 256 98 1.21 16.7 7.4 2.8 2.30 1.06 26 35

402 580 277 98 1.10 15.9 7.6 2.7 2.24 1.03 23 31

397 595 297 99 1.03 15.5 7.7 2.6 2.18 1.01 21 28

388 607 321 101 0.96 15.0 7.9 2.5 2.12 0.99 20 26

363 610 349 102 0.86 14.4 8.2 2.4 2.08 0.97 18 23

325 603 380 102 0.74 13.7 8.6 2.3 2.03 0.96 16 21

287 596 41 1 102 0.63 13.1 9.0 2.2 l .99 0.94 14 18

256 595 102 0.55 12.7 9.4 2.2 1.96 0.93 13 16

234 598 466 102 0.49 12.4 9.7 2.1 1.93 0.92 11 14

72.6 77.9 75.2

73.7 78.6 76.1

74.6 79.4 77.0

75.4 80.0 T7.7

76.2 80.7 78.4

77.0 81.3 79.1

77.7 81.9 79.8

78.4 82.5 80.5

79.0 83.1 81.0

441

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

33 410

16691 16 719

35 789 17889 17 900

38 300 19150 19 150

40 945 20479 20 466

43 576 21799 21 776

46 127 23078 23 049

48 615 24326 24 289

51 127 25595 25 532

53 710 26912 26 798

8.3 16.5 15.4 14.1 10.3 2.6 50.0 32.3

8.7 15.7 15.3 15.5 10.9 2.9 48.7 33.1

8.7 15.5 14.9 16.8 12.1 3.0 47.0 33.6

8.7 15.9 14.2 18.1 13.2 3.2 45.5 34.0

8.4 16.1 14.1 19.3 14.4 3.5 44.6 34.4

8.1 15.9 14.5 20.2 15.5 4.2 44.6 34.8

7.9 15.4 14.8 20.9 16.1 4.8 44.8 35.1

7.9 15.0 14.7 21 .0 16.6 5.3 44.8 35.1

7.9 14.8 14.3 21.2 16.7 5.7 44.7 35.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

476 1.38 18.4 7.4 2.8 2.55 1.17

502 1.36 18.4 7.5 2.7 2.64 1.22

529 1.34 18.4 7.6 2.5 2.68 1.25

526 1.25 17.7 7.7 2.4 2.62 1.23

510 1.14 17.0 7.9 2.3 2.57 1.21

498 1.05 16.5 8.1 2.1 2.53 1.19

502 1.01 16.4 8.3 2.0 2.49 1.18

51 7 0.99 16.4 8.5 1 .9 2.46 1.16

526 0.96 16.3 8.6 18 2.43 1.15

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

33410 16691 16719

35169 17561 17609

36697 18326 18371

38019 18975 19044

39265 19584 19681

40357 20112 20245

41193 20510 20683

41723 20759 20964

41966 20871 21095

8.3 16.5 15.4 14.1 10.3 2.6 50.0 32.3

7.1 15.9 15.6 15.8 11.1 3.0 49.5 33.6

6.4 14.6 15.6 17.5 12.6 3.1 49.0 35.1

5.9 12.9 15.2 19.5 14.2 3.4 48.9 36.6

5.8 11.9 14.1 21.5 15.9 3.9 47.9 38.0

5.6 11.5 12.7 23.1 17.7 4.8 47.0 39.5

5.3 11.3 11.8 24.6 19.0 5.6 45.8 41 .0

4.9 10.9 11.6 25.8 20.4 6.5 44.7 42.5

4.5 10.3 11.6 27.1 21.3 7.3 43.5 43.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

356 1.04 15.0 7.4 2.9 2.05 0.94

302 0.84 13.3 7.6 2.7 1.84 0.85

264 0.71 12.3 7.9 2.7 1.68 0.78

249 0.65 12.0 8.2 2.6 1.62 0.76

218 0.55 11.6 8.7 2.6 1.58 0.74

167 0.41 10.8 9.2 2.5 1.53 0.72

106 0.26 9.9 9.8 2.5 1.50 0.70

49 0.12 9.1 10.4 2.4 1.46 0.69

4 0.01 8.6 11.0 2.4 1.43 0.68

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 33 410 Total .................................................... Males .............................................. 16 691 Females ............................................... 16719 Median age (years) ................... . . ........ 32.3

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.28 17.4 7.5

35 615 17 800 17815 33.2

37 887 18 939 18948 34.0

40 272 20 135 20137 34.5

42 759 21 383 21376 34.9

45 302 22 659 22643 35.2

47 903 23 968 23935 35.5

50 610 25 341 25269 35.6

53 490 26 817 26673 35.4

1.24 17.3 7.6

1.22 17.4 7.8

1.20 17.5 7.9

1.16 17.4 8.1

1.12 17.4 8.4

1.10 17.6 8.6

1.11 17.9 8.8

1.13 18.3 8.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................... ................... Males .................................................. Females ................................. . ........ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

. .

19%)

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

10127 5103 5024 101.6

11337 5732 5605 102.3

12648 6387 6262 102.0

14153 7125 7029 101.4

15548 7823 7725 101.3

16708 8376 6332 100.5

17751 6858 8893 99.6

18916 9425 9491 99.3

20284 10108 10176 99.3

21745 10804 10941 98.8

22993 11391 11602 98.2

11.0 16.0 14.6 12.6 8.3 1.1 49.6 30.2

10.9 18.5 13.2 12.5 8.5 1.2 47.5 29.9

10.9 19.7 14.0 12.2 8.5 1.2 46.4 29.2 2

10.5 19.7 16.2 12.1 8.4 1.4 46.6 27.8 2

9.7 19.7 17.5 12.3 8.4 1.4 47.4 27.2 2

9.3 18.7 17.5 12.8 8.7 1 .5 48.3 27.7 2

7.8 17.6 17.6 13.8 9.7 1.7 49.6 29.2 2

7.8 15.9 17.2 14.5 10.2 1.8 51.4 30.4 2

7.5 14.7 16.3 15.4 11.1 2.2 52.6 32.0 3

7.3 14.4 15.0 15.7 11.8 2.6 52.1 33.5 3

6.7 14.3 13.7 16.4 12.3 2.9 50.7 35.2 3

1

1

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ..........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

. . .

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

24 407 12 117 12290 98.6

25 647 12 747 12900 98.6

26 854 13 353 13501 98.9

28 033 13 942 14091 98.9

29 157 14 501 14656 98.9

30 182 15 006 15176 96.9

31 076 15 443 15635 98.8

31 867 15 831 16036 98.7

32 582 16 190 16392 98.8

33 250 16 531 16719 98.9

6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 6.0 4.2 4.2 8.4 49.5 36.5 3

6.2 12.5 13.8 19.6 14.0 3.9 7.4 3.9 4.1 8.3 48.1 37.8 3

6.1 12.1 13.1 21.6 15.8 4.1 7.2 3.6 3.7 8.0 46.2 39.0 3

6.0 11.9 12.3 23.6 17.6 4.4 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.4 44.6 39.8 3

5.9 11.7 11.9 25.6 19.4 5.0 7.1 3.5 3.5 7.2 43.1 40.7 4

5.7 11.6 11.8 27.0 21.2 6.1 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 42.5 41.5 4

5.5 11.4 11.8 28.3 22.4 7.1 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.1 41.9 42.3 4

5.4 11.1 11.7 28.9 23.4 8.0 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 41.3 43.0 4

5.4 10.9 11.6 29.5 23.8 8.8 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.7 43.3 4

5.4 10.9 11.4 30.2 24.3 9.3 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.9 40.4 43.5 4

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.WO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... ........................ Females ...................... ... ................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

AUSTRALIAbJEW ZEALAND C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Populrtlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .... Females ........................... Age dlstrlbulon Percentage aged 0-4 ..__. Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over ....... Percentage aged 65 or over ....... Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i age (years) ...............................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

24 407 12 117 12 290

25 860 12 858 13 003

27 414 13 640 13 774

29 042 14 480 14 582

30 619

32 106 15 993 16 113

33538 16 706 16 832

35005 17 442 17 563

36 552 18 227 18 325

38 158

15 251 15 368

6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 49.5 36.5

6.9 12.4 13.7 19.5 13.9 3.9 47.7 37.5

7.2 12.6 12.9 21.2 15.5 4.0 45.3 38.2

7.3 13.4 11.9 22.8 17.0 4.3 43.1 38.4

7.1 13.8 12.0 24.4 18.5 4.8 41.8 38.8

6.8 13.7 12.8 25.4 19.9 5.8 41.7 39.1

6.7 13.3 13.3 26.2 20.7 6.6 41.8 39.3

6.9 13.0 13.3 26.3 21.3 7.3 41.7 39.0

7.1 13.1 12.8 26.3 21.2 7.9 41.5 38.4

7.2 13.4 12.5 26.3 21.2 8.1 41.6 38.2

19 051 19 108

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 M35-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thcusanbs). Populationgmwth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Nel migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

290 1.16 14.2 7.0 4.4 2.07 1.00

311 1.17 14.8 7.2 4.1 2.25 1.08

326 1.15 15.0 7.4 3.9 2.35 1.14

315 1.06 14.5 7.6 3.7 2.35 1.13

297 0.95 13.9 7.9 3.5 2.35 1.14

288 0.87 13.7 8.3 3.4 2.35 1.14

293 0.86 14.0 8.7 3.2 2.35 1.14

0.87 14.5 8.9 3.1 2.35 1.14

321 0.86 14.6 9.0 2.9 2.35 1.14

309

D. LOW VARIANT

Popuhtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

........................................... aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

24407 12117 12290

25434 12638 12796

26292 13065 13228

27024 13424 13599

27692 13749 13943

28259 14019 14240

28672 14209 14464

28909 14313 14596

28977 14339 14638

28 921 14 310 14 611

6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 49.5 36.5

5.4 12.7 13.9 19.8 14.1 3.9 48.5 38.1

4.9 11.5 13.4 22.1 16.2 4.2 47.1 39.8

4.6 10.2 12.8 24.5 18.3 4.6 46.2 41.2

4.5 9.5 11.8 27.0 20.5 5.3 44.0 42.6

4.5 9.2 10.6 28.9 22.6 6.5 43.4 44.0

4.3 9.2 10.0 30.7 24.2 7.7 41.9 45.3

4.1 9.0 9.8 31.8 25.8 8.8 40.5 46.7

3.9 8.7 9.9 33.2 26.8 9.9 39.2 47.9

3.7 8.3 9.8 34.7 27.9 10.7 38.2 49.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~

Populationchange per year (lhousands) . Populationgrowth rale (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralion rale (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

205 0.82 10.9 7.1 4.4 1.57 0.76

172 0.86 9.8 7.4 4.3 1.45 0.70

146 0.55 9.2 7.8 4.1 1.35 0.65

134 0.49 9.1 8.2 4.0 1.35 0.65

114 0.41 8.9 8.8 3.9 1.35 0.65

83 0.29 8.6 9.5 3.9 1.35 0.65

47 0.16 8.1 10.3 3.8 1.35

0.65

-

14 0.05 7.6 11.0 3.8 1.35 0.65

11 4.04 7.3 11.5 3.8 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITVVARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2wo

2045

2050

24407 12 117 12 290 36.5

25619 12 733 12 886 37.9

26777 13 313 13 463 39.1

27894 13 871 14 023 40.0

28949 14 3% 14 554 40.9

29899 14 861 15 038 41.9

30720 15 260 15 460 42.8

31424 15 604 15 820 43.5

32038

32588

15 910 16 127 44.0

16 192 16 396 44.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

0.97 12.4 7.1

0.88 12.0 7.4

0.82 11.8 7.6

0.74 11.5 7.9

0.65 11.1 8.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.54 10.8 9.0

0.45 10.5 9.5

0.39 10.4 10.0

0.34 10.4 10.4

101

MELANESIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) .. ............. Males ................................ Females ........................................ .. Both sexes combined ............................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MELANESIA C. HIQHVARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7820 3 970

8063

11409 5m

13 350 0 754

5163

5838

12 381 0 281 6 120

14 310 7 248 7084

15 268 7 738 7527

10212

5289

3844

9 531 4 827 4 704

10452

4396 4209

14.2 25.2 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.9 20.2

13.4 24.0 19.0 4.8 2.9 0.3 51.1 20.9

12.8 23.4 20.2 5.3 3.2 0.4 51.5 21.7

12.4 22.4 20.0 0.0 3.6 0.4 51.5 22.7

11.9 21.7 19.2 0.8 4.1 0.5 51.4 23.0

11.3 21.2 18.0 7.5 4.8 0.0 51.5 24.5

10.8 20.5 18.3 6.3 5.3 0.7 51.8 25.4

10.2 19.7 18.1 9.0 0.0

9.8 18.8 17.7 9.7 0.5 1 .o 51.8 27.3

9.5 18.2 17.2 10.5 7.0 1.2 51.2 28.3

popuiaion (thouunda)

Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Ago dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of m n aged 15-09 ......... Median age (years) .................................

6 590

0.8

52.0 28.3

8228

7984

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2o20-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 popllationchange per year (thousands). popllation gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,OOO populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatbn) . TOM fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

169 2.05 30.2 9.0 -0.7 3.88 1 .El

1 74 1.91 28.4 0.7 -0.7 3.64 1.57

184 1.84 27.4 8.4 -0.0 3.45 1.50

192 1.75 28.1 8.2 -0.4 3.22 1.42

194 1 .64 24.7 8.0 -0.3 3.05 1.35

im -0.3 2.90 1.30

192 1.39 22.0 7.8 -0.3 2.78 1.26

191 1.29 21 .o 7.8 -0.3 2.68 1.22

2.59 1.18

I .51 23.2 7.9

189 1.20 20.1 7.9 -0.3

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thouunda) Total ....................................................

...........................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2wo

2035

2040

2045

2050

7820 3 970

8 513 4 310 4 197

9 115 4 612 4503

9084 4882 4782

10203 5148

10898

11103

11 682

5595 5509

11396 5741

11583

5393 5305

5835

5655

5747

5885 5796

11.9 25.0 20.0 4.9 3.0 0.3 52.0 21.3

10.4 22.8 21.1 5.0 3.4 0.4 53.8 22.9

9.5 19.9 21.0 0.5 3.9 0.4 55.7 24.6

9.1 18.0 20.0 7.6 4.6 0.5 55.9 26.5

0.2 14.1 15.0 12.8 8.5 1.3 53.9 34.3

5.7 12.7 14.9 14.0 9.8 1.0 52.1 36.1

3844

Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentege aged 60 or w e r .................. Percentage aged 65 orwer Percentaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m n aged 15-09 ......... Median age (years) .................................

14.2 25.2 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.9 20.2

5055

8.0 17.1 17.7 8.7 5.5 0.0 55.7 28.5

7.8 16.5 16.3 10.0 0.4 0.8 55.2 30.5

6.9 15.5 15.8 11.2 7.5 1 .o 54.8 32.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2wo-2045 20452050 Population change par year (lhouw&). Populatkn g r w l h rate (pec cent) Crude Mrlh rate @er 1 ,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulatbn) . Total fertiliiy (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............

139 1.70 28.5 8.8 -0.7 3.38 1.43

120 1.37 22.9 8.0 -0.7 2.84 1.22

110 1.17 20.7 8.4 -0.0 2.45 1.07

108 1.09 19.8 8.5 -0.4 2.23 0.98

99 0.95 18.4 8.0 -0.4 2.05 0.91

81 0.74 10.5 8.7 -0.4 1.91 0.85

58 0.52 14.5 8.9 -0.4 1.79 0.81

37 0.33 12.9 9.3 -0.3 1.68 0.70

20 0.17 11.8 9.8 -0.3 1.59 0.73

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (lhouunda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years)

.................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7 820 3976 3844 20.2

8 730 4428 4302 20.7

9 751

10 913 5528 5366

12 229 6193

13 701

4990

0038

0758 21.7

15 352 7788 7584 21.8

17 219 8750 8469 21.9

19 337 9645 9492 22.0

21 740 11091 10649 22.1

4811 21.1

21.5

21.7

0943

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 204&?045 20452050 popllation growth rate (par cent) ............. Crude bilth rate (per 1,OOO popdatkn) Crude death rate (per 1.OOO poprlatkn) ..

....

2.20 31.8 9.1

2.21 31.0 8.8

2.25 31.5 8.5

2.28 31.3 8.2

2.27 30.8 7.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revkkm, Volume I: Cwehensive Tables

2.28 30.5 7.5

2.30 30.4 7.2

2.32 30.3 0.9

2.34 30.3 6.7

103

MICRONESIA A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

538 267 271

581 288 293

627 311 317

678 336 343

729 360 368

11.1 20.9 16.9 6.3 4.3 0.7 55.2 24.7

11.2 20.0 18.4 7.2 4.5 0.7 54.3 25.5

11.0 19.5 17.9 8.6 5.3 0.7 53.1 25.9

10.7 19.4 17.1 9.9 6.4 0.8 51.8 26.6

10.1 19.1 16.8 11.3 7.5 0.9 51.4 27.6

2035

2040

2045

384 393

825 407 418

672 430 442

918 452 466

9.5 16.5 16.9 12.7 8.7 1.3 51.3 28.4

9.2 17.7 16.9 13.3 9.7 1.7 51.0 29.2

8.9 17.0 16.5 13.9 10.3 2.1 50.5 30.0

8.7 16.5 15.9 14.8 10.7 2.4 49.9 30.6

2030

m

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

538 267 271

569 282 287

595 294 301

619 305 314

641 315 326

658 323 336

671 326 343

676 329 347

676 328 348

11.1 20.9 18.9 6.3 4.3 0.7 55.2 24.7

9.3 20.4 18.8 7.4 4.6 0.7 55.4 26.0

8.1 16.6 18.8 9.0 5.6 0.8 55.9 27.4

7.4 16.0 18.7 10.9 7.0 0.9 56.5 29.2

7.0 14.4 17.2 12.9 8.6 1.1 56.4 31.1

6.5 13.4 15.1 15.0 10.3 1.5 55.5 33.2

6.0 12.6 13.8 16.4 12.0 2.1 53.7 35.4

5.4 12.0 13.1 17.9 13.2 2.7 52.0 37.6

4.8 11.1 12.7 20.1 14.5 3.3 50.2 39.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

6 1.12 19.9 5.1 -3.6 2.43 1 13

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

538 267 271 24.7

58 1 288 293 25.4

630 312 318 25.7

685 339 346 26.2

744 368 376 26.7

806 399 407 27.0

873 432 441 27.2

944 487 477 27.3

1023 506 517 27.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.56 24.3 5.2

1.61 24.2 5.1

1.66 24.0 5.2

1.65 23.6 5.3

1.61 23.2 5.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.58 23.0 5.7

1.56 23.0 5.8

1.60 23.2 5.9

1.63 23.3 5.9

1110 550 560 27.3

POLYNESIA A ESTIMATES lndlcator Popul.tlon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Maltts ................................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 Age dlotrtbution

Percentage aged 60 w owr .................. Percentage aged 65 w m r .................. Percentage aged 80 w w Percentage of w a m n 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

19%

1956

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

242 124 118 105.0

270 141 135 104.2

317 102 158 103.0

388 1 87 181 103.3

423 215 208 103.4

447

508 262 246 106.2

543

580 299

218 105.0

478 240 232 105.9

18.1 28.0 18.Q 4.1 2.4 0.3 45.7 10.9 29

19.1 27.7 18.9 3.7 2.4 0.2 44.9 10.0 33

19.1 28.3 18:s 3.0 2.1 0.2 44.3 10.3 38

19.0 29.3 18.4 3.0 2.1 0.2 43.5 15.9 44

17.0 29.5 19.2 3.0 2.1 0.2

15.4 29.3 20.9 4.2 2.5 0.3 45.9 17.3 53

14.5 27.2 21 .8 4.5 2.8 0.3 40.1 18.5 57

14.7 24.5 22.3 5.1 3.1 0.4 49.9 19.0

44.5

10.3 50

228

1950-1855 lsss-lsBo 1960-1985 19851970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985

.

7 12 4 2.00 46.3 14.0 0.69 2.54

Population change per year (thousande) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Populati growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO populatim) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant moltality rate(per 1.000 Ihn, MfUm) Life oxpectmcy d Mlth (yarn) Males ................................................... Femeles ............................................... Both sems m n e d ............................

............

8 14 4 2.80 46.4 12.3 0.90 2.75

10 10

99

03

4 2.97 45.5 10.7 0.97 2.86 74

48.0 52.5 50.4

51.9 50.1 53.9

54.1 58.4 50.1

11 17 4 2.78 41.9 9.2 0.37 2.69 65

5 10 3 1.10 36.0

58.3 00.8 58.4

58.4 62.9 60.5

8.0

5.42 2.33 58

60

281 262 107.1

281 106.4

013 315 298 105.9

13.7 24.2 21.3 0.0 3.0 0.5 49.5 20.5 65

12.7 24.4 19.1 0.5 4.2 0.5 50.0 21.7 09

12.5 23.0 18.5 7.0 4.0 0.0 50.4 22.4 73

1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2ooo-2005

0 15 3 1.33 33.2 7.4 4.75 2.09 51

0 10 3 1.21 33.5 0.7 4.53 2.04 39

7 17 3 1.35 33.0 0.1 4.24 1.94 31

7 10 3 1.31 28.8 5.9 3.91 1 .81 25

7 16 3 1.11 26.8 5.5 3.58 1.66 22

0 15 3 1.02 23.9 5.4 3.28 1.54 19

60.0

64.9 62.3

02.5 07.7 64.9

64.4 69.9 €8.9

88.4 71.0 68.8

68.0 73.2 70.4

69.3 74.5 71.8

B. YEMUMVARIANT

popuktion (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

MIO

2045

2050 -

645 331 314 105.4

879 348 331 105.1

71 1 363 347 104.7

743 379 364 104.3

774 394 379 104.0

801 408

823 418 405 103.2

838

425 413 102.8

847 428 418 102.5

850 430 421 102.1

11.4 22.7 19.3 7.7 5.2 0.8 13.9 0.5 0.0 11.1 50.9 23.2 77

10.4 21.7 19.5 8.2 5.6 0.9 13.0 0.0 0.1 11.7 51.2 24.3 81

9.0 19.8 19.3 9.3 0.1 1.1 11.8 0.1 0.3 11.3 51.0 25.8

9.2 18.3 18.7 10.0 7.0 1.2 10.9 5.0 5.0 11.3 51.1 27.8 86

8.8 17.3 17.2 12.4 8.1 1.4 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.3 50.7 29.4 92

7.7 10.1 15.3 15.7 11.4 2.0 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.1 49.9 32.7 ge

7.1 15.2 15.0 10.7 12.0 2.5 9.1 4.7 4.7 8.9 40.8 34.3 100

0.0 14.2 14.7 18.1 13.4 3.2 8.4 4.4 4.5 8.8 47.8 35.8 101

6.3 13.3 14.1 20.4 14.0 4.0 7.9 4.1 4.2 8.5 46.1 37.3 101

393 103.0

Ago dlmtrlbution Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 w m r Percentage aged 80 or m r Percentage in school 0-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in sdrool ages 16-23 Percentage of mxnen a m 1549 Median age (years) ................................. populatbn density (population per sq km)

....... ..................

.......... .......... .........

84

8.3 10.7 10.0 14.4 9.7 1.0 10.0 4.9 4.9 9.0 50.5 31 .O 95

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202&2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (Ihousands) ..................... Deaths per year (marSends) ................... Net migratkm per year (thousands) ......... Poprlation g M h rate (per cent) ............ CRlde birth rate (per 1,000populatm) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulalkm) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000popllalkm) . Total fertHity (children p e r m ) ........... Net repr0dUctk-n rate (per wunan) .......... lnmt mortality rate (per 1,000l i blflhs) undec-nve mortality (per 1,000lm births) L l k oxpel3mlcy at birth (V) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

106

7 14

4 - 4 1 .w 21.9 5.4 6.3 3.05 1.44 17 20

70.0 75.0 73.0

0 14 4 - 4 0.90 20.1 5.4 -5.7 2.79 1.32 15 17

7 14 4 - 3 0.90 19.1 5.0 4.0 2.59 1.22 13 10

71.0 76.7 74.0

72.0 77.0 75.0

-4.4 2.41 1.15 12 14

5 14 5 - 3 0.70 17.2 6.1 4.1 2.27 1.08 11 13

4 13 5 - 3 0.54 15.9 0.5 -3.9 2.15 1.03 10 12

73.4 78.4 75.8

74.2 79.1 70.6

74.9 79.9 77.3

0 14 4 -3 0.81 18.3

5.8

3 12

0 -3 0.36 14.5 7.0 -3.0 2.07 0.99 9 10 75.0 80.0

70.1

2 11 0 - 3 0.21 13.5 7.0 -3.8 2.01 0.98 8 10

7 -3 0.09 12.8 8.2 -3.8 1 .Q7 0.94 8 9

70.3 81.2 78.7

70.9 81.8 79.3

1 11

United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prcrspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

POLYNESIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

8 1.20 23.6 5.4 -6.2 3.30 1.55

8 1.18 22.8 5.4 -5.6 3.19 1.51

9 1.24 22.3 5.5 -4.4 3.09 1.46

9 1.15 21.2 5.6 -4.2 2.91 1.38

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

9

8 0.91 18.8 6.1 -3.6 2.65 1.27

7 0.80 17.9 6.4 .3.5 2.57 1.23

7 0.73 17.4 6.8 .3.3 2.51 1 .20

7 0.67 17.0 7.1 .3.2 2.47 1.18

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 .04

20.0 5.8 -3.9 2.77 1.32

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

6 0.85 20.1 5.4 -6.3 2.80 1.32

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

645 331 314 23.2

685 351 334 24.0

729 373 356 25.1

781 399 382 26.3

837 427 410 27.0

897 457 440 27.2

959 488 471 27.4

1 023 520 503 27.5

1 092 555 537 27.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..

1.19 23.5 5.4

1.24 23.4 5.4

1.38 23.6 5.5

1.40 23.6 5.6

1.38 23.2 5.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.33 22.6 5.9

1 .30 22.2 6.0

1.31 22.3 6.2

1.34 22.5 6.3

1 168 593 574 28.0

AFGHANISTAN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sexratio(malesper100fernales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

8151 4 220 3 932 107.3

8805 4 562 4 243 107.5

9616 4 986 4 630 107.7

10612 5 505 5 107 107.8

11840 6 143 5 696 107.8

13329 6 917 6 412 107.9

13946 7 237 6 709 107.9

12333 6 399 5 934 107.8

12659 6 567 6 092 107.8

18256 9 463 8 792 107.6

20737 10 744 9 994 107.5

17.6 25.1 19.0 4.5 2.6 0.1 46.7 18.6 13

16.9 25.9 19.3 4.4 2.5 0.1 46.8 18.5 14

17.3 25.8 19.4 4.3 2.5 0.1 46.8 18.3 15

17.6 25.5 19.8 4.2 2.4 0.2 46.9 16.2 16

16.0 25.9 19.4 4.1 2.4 0.2 46.3 18.0 18

18.2 26.4 18.9 4.0 2.3 0.2 45.7 17.6 20

18.4 26.8 19.0 4.0 2.3 0.2 45.3 17.4 21

18.7 27.0 19.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 44.9 17.1 19

19.0 27.2 19.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 44.5 16.8 19

19.3 27.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.0 16.5 28

19.3 28.0 19.2 3.8 2.2 0.2 43.8 16.3 32

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... ................... Females ...................... . . . Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Median age (years) ................................ Population density (populationper sq km)

2005

2010

2015

25 067 12 985 12 083 107.5

30 369 15 737 14 652 107.4

35 631 l 8 446 17 165 107.3

18.6 26.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 17.6 7.5 6.7 11.3 44.3 16.4 38

16.3 28.0 20.0 3.8 2.2 0.2 17.2 7.6 6.9 11.5 45.1 16.7 47

18.0 27.5 20.4 3.7 2.3 0.2 16.9 7.4 6.9 11.8 45.9 17.0 55

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................. Net migration per year (thousands) ........ Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) . Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

25 067 12 985 12 083

30 581 15 838 14 746

36 192 18 735 17 457

42 106 21 792 20 315

48 702 25 201 23 501

55 882 28 913 26 969

83 574 32 888 30 686

71 71 1 37 091 34 620

80 207 41 475 38 732

18.6 28.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.3 16.4

18.8 27.9 19.9 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.5

18.8 27.6 20.0 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.2 16.7

18.5 27.9 19.7 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.2 16.7

17.7 28.0 19.7 3.7 2.2 0.2 45.7 17.0

16.8 27.7 20.2 3.8 2.3 0.2 46.8 17.5

15.8 26.9 20.7 4.0 2.4 0.2 48.2 18.3

14.9 25.9 20.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 49.6 19.2

13.9 24.8 20.7 4.6 2.7 0.3 50.8 20.2

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 103 3.98 49.8 20.2 10.0 7.32 2.31

1 122 3.37 49.1 18.8 3.3 7.07 2.30

1 183 3.03 47.6 17.3 0.1 6.74 2.27

1 319 2.91 44.8 15.7 -0.1 6.25 2.18

1 436 2.75 41.6 14.1 .0.1 5.71 2.05

1 538 2.58 38.4 12.6 -0.1 5.12 1.90

1 627 2.41 35.5 11.3 -0.1 4.54 1.74

1 699 2.24 32.7 10.3 -0.1 4.04 1.59

1 747 2.07 30.1 9.4 0.0 3.64 1.47

50 640

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

............................ ...........................

25 067 12 985 12 083

30 197 15 638 14 559

35 070 18 157 16 913

39 879 20 643 19 237

45 153 23 368 21 786

26 203 24 437

56 058 29 001 27 057

61 220 31 664 29 556

66 059 34 156 31 904

18.6 28.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.3 16.4

17.8 28.2 20.2 3.8 2.2 0.2 45.4 16.8

17.2 27.5 20.7 3.8 2.3 0.2 46.7 17.4

16.7 26.8 20.8 3.8 2.3 0.2 47.7 18.0

16.0 26.2 20.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 48.6 18.6

15.0 25.8 20.3 4.2 2.5 0.2 49.6 19.3

13.6 25.1 20.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 51.0 20.2

12.3 23.7 20.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 52.7 21.6

11.1 22.0 20.7 5.5 3.3 0.3 54.2 23.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

........... ..........

1 026 3.72 46.7 19.7 10.1 6.82 2.15

974 2.99 44.5 18.1 3.4 6.27 2.04

962

1055 2.48 40.1 15.2 -0.1 5.25 1.83

2.57 42.4 16.6 -0.1 5.74 1.93

1 097 2.29 36.7 13.7 -0.1 4.71 1.69

1 083 2.03 32.7 12.3 .0.1 4.12 1.53

1 032 1.76 28.8 11.2 .0.1 3.54 1.36

968 1.52 25.5 10.2 .0.1 3.04 1.20

892 1.31 22.7 9.6 .0.1 2.64 1.07

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

25 067 12 985 12 083 16.4

30 652 15 872 14 780 16.5

36 523 18 906 17 617 16.4

43 046 22 276 20 770 16.2

50 948 26 360 24 588 15.9

60 545 31 320 29 224 15.8

72 325 37 408 34 917 15.7

86 902 44 939 41 963 15.6

104 991 54 281 50 711 15.5

4.02 50.3 20.3

3.51 50.7 19.0

3.29 50.6 17.7

3.37 50.0 16.3

3.45 49.4 14.9

3.56 49.1 13.6

3.67 49.0 12.3

3.78 48.8 11.1

3.88 48.6 9.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

127 454 65 872 61 582 15.3

ALBANIA

A

ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousandr) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expestancy at blrth (years) ...................... Males ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3154 1 571 1 583 99.3

3245 1 610 1 635 98.5

3346 1 655 1 691 97.9

3430 1 691 1 739 97.2

3488 1 714 1 774 96.6

3519 1 725 1 794 96.2

3527 1 725 1 802 95.7

3519 1 718 1 800 95.4

3494 1 705 1 789 95.3

8.0 18.3 18.6 12.3 8.4 1.4 10.7 6.0 6.2 10.8 53.1 28.6 110

7.8 15.9 18.8 13.5 9.8 1.7 9.3 5.0 5.5 11.5 52.6 29.9 113

7.5 14.9 16.6 15.1 10.6 2.1 8.9 4.5 4.6 10.2 50.6 31.5 116

7.1 14.4 14.5 17.4 12.0 2.5 8.7 4.3 4.3 8.7 49.1 33.4 119

6.6 14.0 13.8 19.8 14.0 3.0 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.2 48.1 35.5 121

6.1 13.3 13.6 21.4 16.2 3.3 7.9 4.1 4.1 8.2 47.1 37.5 122

5.8 12.5 13.4 22.5 17.6 4.0 7.4 3.9 4.0 8.0 45.6 39.5 123

5.7 11.7 12.9 23.7 18.4 5.1 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.8 43.1 40.9 122

5.6 11.4 12.1 25.5 19.4 6.2 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.3 40.7 42.1 122

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-he mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ALBANIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

........................

..................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. ...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

3 154 1 571 1 583

3 277 1 627 1 651

3 433 1 700 1 733

3 583 1 770 1 813

3 703 1 825 1 878

3 799 1 870 1 930

3 891 1 913 1 978

3 989 1 961 2 028

4 082 2 008 2 074

4 160 2 050 2 110

8.0 18.3 18.6 12.3 8.4 1.4 53.1 28.6

8.7 15.7 18.6 13.3 9.7 1.6 52.1 29.6

8.9 15.4 16.2 14.7 10.4 2.0 49.4 30.6

8.7 16.2 13.9 16.6 11.5 2.4 47.1 32.0

7.9 16.4 13.9 18.6 13.2 2.9 46.3 33.5

7.4 15.7 14.9 19.8 15.0 3.1 45.9 34.9

7.4 14.6 15.2 20.4 15.9 3.6 45.3 35.5

7.7 14.1 14.6 20.9 16.3 4.5 43.4 35.4

7.7 14.4 13.5 21.8 16.6 5.3 41.7 35.7

7.4 14.7 13.1 23.5 17.4 5.5 41.4 36.3

25 0.77 18.2 5.9 4.7 2.31 1.09

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)

............................

......... .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

12 0.37 14.3 5.8 .4.7 1.81 0.85

9 0.29 12.4 6.4 -3.1 1.51 0.71

.1 .0.02 10.6 7.7 .3.1 1.35 0.64

3 0.10 11.1 7.0 .3.1 1.35 0.64

.6 .0.19 9.6 8.4 .3.1 1.35 0.64

-12 -0.37 8.7 9.2 -3.1 1.35 0.64

-17 -0.55 7.8 10.2 .3.2 1.35 0.64

-22 .0.73 7.2 11.2 .3.3 1.35 0.64

. 26 -0.90 6.8 12.3 .3.4 1.35 0.64

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

3 154 1 571 1 583 28.6

3 267 1 821 1 645 29.7

3 410 1 688 1 722 30.9

3 545 1 750 1 794 32.4

3 653 1 799 1 854 34.0

3 735 1 837 1 899 35.5

3 804 1 868 1 936 36.5

3 869 1 899 1 970 36.8

3 929 1 929 2 000 37.2

3 976 1 955 2 021 37.8

0.70 17.6 5.9

0.86 17.9 6.3

0.77 17.4 6.7

0.60 15.9 7.1

0.45 14.7 7.5

0.37 14.3 8.0

0.34 14.4 8.5

0.31 14.5 8.9

0.24 14.2 9.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

ALGERIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Fe~leS ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OM) population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ALGERIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thournds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Agw dlmtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percantage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 W over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

32854 16 583

35784 18 067 17 717

39086 19 737 19 349

42453 21 435 21 018

45512 22 973 22 538

48164 24 295 23 869

50618 25 505 25 113

53099 26 721 26 379

55690 27 992 27 699

10.6 17.1 20.2 6.8 4.6 0.7 57.8 26.0

10.9 17.7 16.5 7.8 4.9 0.8 55.1 27.6

10.4 18.8 14.2 8.8 5.7 0.9 52.3 29.0

9.1 18.9 15.0 10.4 6.7 0.9 51 .0 30.4

8.1 17.7 16.5 12.3 8.1 1.1 50.2 31.2

7.7 15.9 16.9 14.3 9.7 1.4 49.1 31.9

7.8 14.6 15.9 16.5 11.3 1 .8 47.6 32.8

8.1 14.4 14.3 18.9 13.1 2.3 45.9 33.7

16 271 9.6 20.0 22.6 8.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgmwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Tdal ferlility (children per woman) Net reproducZion rate (per woman) ..........

...........

586

660

1.71 22.9 5.0 -0.8 2.63 1.22

l.77

23.3 4.9 -0.7 2.66 1.25

673 1.65 22.1 4.9 .0.7 2.66 1.26

612 1.39

19.3 4.9 -0.4 2.57 1.22

531 1.13 16.9 5.2 4.4 2.50 1.19

491 0.99 15.9 5.7 -0.3 2.43 1.16

496 0.96 16.1 6.3 -0.3 2.37 1.13

518 0.95 18.7 6.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13

501 0.88 16.6 7.5 -0.3 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Perutntage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ...............................

32 854 16 583

16271 9.6 20.0 22.6 6.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0

35 061 17 697 17364

37 089 18 717 18372

38 806 19 572 19234

40 253 20 286 19966

41 305 20 790 20515

41 976 21 088 20889

42 284 21 191 21093

42 261 21 124 21 137

8.8 17.5 20.7 7.0 4.7 0.7 58.9 26.5

8.0 16.7 17.4 8.2 5.1 0.9 58.0 29.0

7.1 15.5 15.5 9.6 6.2 1 .0 57.1 31.6

6.3 14.1 15.2 11.8 7.5 1 .0 55.8 34.2

5.5 12.7 14.4 14.4 9.4 1.2 53.7 36.8

5.0 11.4 13.4 17.3 11.7 1.7 50.5 39.3

4.6 10.3 12.3 20.8 14.2 2.3 47.3 41.3

4.4 9.5 11.2 24.9 17.2 3.1 44.3 43.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 %!G2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050

. .... .. .

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population gmwh rate (p8r cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) Crude death rate (per 1.000population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

441 1 .30 18.7 4.9 -0.8 2.13 0.99

406

1.12 16.9 4.9 4.8 1.86 0.88

343 0.91 14.8 5.0 -0.7 1 .66 0.79

289 0.73 13.1 5.3 -0.5 1.57 0.75

210 0.52 11.4 5.8 -0.4 1.50 0.71

1 34 0.32 10.2 6.6 -0.4 1.43 0.68

62 0.15 9.4 7.5 -0.4 1.37 0.65

- 5 -0.01 8.9 8.6 -0.4 1.35 0.65

-0.18 8.4 9.9 -0.4 1.35 0.65

-?7

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populstlon (thouunda) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

Populationg r w h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..

32 854

16 583 16 271 24.0

35 613 17 980 17 634 26.1

38 663 19 521 19 142 27.9

41 771 21 086 20 684 29.5

44 747 22 583 22 164 31 .0

47 463 23 937 23 526 31.8

50 037 25 208 24 829 32.4

52 616 26 475 26 141 33.0

55 248 27 766 27 481 33.7

1.61 21.9 5.0

1 .64 22.1 4.9

1.55 21.1 4.9

1.38 19.2 5.0

1.18 17.5 5.3

l .06 16.6 5.8

1.01 16.7 6.3

0.98 17.0 6.9

0.92 16.9 7.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ANGOLA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.................. .........

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

16 095 7934 8 162 97.2

18 493 9125 9 368 97.4

21 231 10485 10 746 97.6

24 169 11944 12 224 97.7

27 324 13512 13 813 97.8

30 652 15162 15 489 97.9

34 089 16866 17 223 97.9

37 579 18593 18 985 97.9

41 082 20325 20 757 97.9

18.6 27.8 20.0 3.9 2.4 0.2 17.0 7.6 6.8 11.6 45.3 16.6 13

18.4 27.3

18.0 27.4 20.1 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.9 7.3 6.5 11.7 46.0 17.2 17

17.3 27.3 19.9 4.0 2.5 0.3 18.8 7.4 6.7 11.5 46.6 17.5 19

16.4 26.9 20.2 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.5 7.4 6.8 11.8 47.6 18.1 22

15.4 26.3 20.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 16.1 7.3 6.8 12.0 48.9 18.8 25

14.4 25.3 20.7 4.6 2.9 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.8 12.1 50.2 19.6 27

13.4 24.3 20.7 5.0 3.1 0.4 14.8 7.0 6.6 12.2 51.4 20.7 30

12.5 23.1 20.4 5.6 3.5 0.4 14.0 6.7 6.5 12.0 52.4 21.9 33

20.4

3.8 2.4 0.2 16.8 7.3 6.9 11.8 45.8 16.9 15

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ANGOLA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age diatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

16 095 7934 8 162

18 625 9190 9 434

21 604 10671 10 933

24 893 12306 12 587

28 468 14082 14 386

32 343 16006 16 337

36 517 18077 18 441

40 966 20282 20 683

45 647 22602 23 045

18.6 27.8 20.0 3.9 2.4 0.2 45.3 16.6

19.0 27.1 20.3 3.8 2.4 0.2 45.5 16.8

18.8 27.5 19.7 3.8 2.3 0.2 45.2 16.8

18.3 27.9 19.3 3.9 2.4 0.2 45.3 16.8

17.3 27.9 19.8 4.0 2.5 0.3 46.1 17.2

16.4 27.3 20.5 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.4 17.8

15.6 26.3 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 48.7 18.6

14.8 25.5 20.8 4.6 2.9 0.3 49.7 19.4

14.0 24.6 20.4 5.0 3.1 0.4 50.6 20.3

506 2.92 49.0 20.7 0.9 6.68 2.16

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlslributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

453 2.63 45.6 20.3 0.9 6.18 2.00

499 2.55 43.0 18.4 0.8 5.64 1.90

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... . . . ................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .............................. ..

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

16 095 7934 8162 16.6

18 635 9196 9440 16.8

21 739 10739 11001 16.6

25 368 12543 12825 16.4

29 701 14698 15003 16.2

34 938 17302 17636 16.2

41 329 20481 20848 16.1

49 171 24382 24789 16.0

58 807 29178 29629 15.8

2.93 49.1 20 8

3.08 49.2 19.3

3.09 48.7 17.8

3.15 48.0 16.4

3.25 47.5 15.1

3.36 47.3 13.8

3.48 47.3 12.6

3.58 47.1 11.4

3.67 46.9 10.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ARGENTINA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) . . ................ Total ............................ Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

17 150 8827 8323 106.1

18 928 9666 9261 104.4

20 616 10470 10146 103.2

22 283 11244 11039 101.9

23 962 12019 11943 100.6

26 049 13004 13046 99.7

28 094 13860 14233 97.4

30 305 14913 15392 96.9

32 581 15997 16584 96.5

34 835 17086 17749 96.3

36 896 18059 18836 95.9

11.4 19.2 18.3 7.0 4.2 0.5 54.1 25.7 6

11.4 19.4 17.1 7.9 4.8 0.5 52.7 26.3 7

11.0 19.8 16.3 8.8 5.5 0.6 51.2 26.8 7

10.5 19.7 16.6 9.8 6.2 0.7 50.3 27.2 8

10.3 19.1 17.2 10.7 7.0 0.8 49.9 27.4 9

10.8 18.5 17.2 11.4 7.6 0.9 49.2 27.3 9

11.9 18.7 16.1 11.9 8.1 1.1 47.5 27.2 10

10.8 20.2 15.8 12.4 8.5 1.2 46.6 27.2 11

10.4 20.3 16.2 12.9 8.9 1.4 46.8 27.2 12

10.0 19.2 17.6 13.2 9.4 1.6 48.2 27.3 13

9.4 18.6 17.8 13.5 9.9 1.9 48.6 27.8 13

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) ... ............... Total ........................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... . ....... Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

38 747 18 949 19 799 95.7

40 738 19 923 20 815 95.7

42 676 20 877 21 800 95.8

44 486 21 767 22 719 95.8

46 115 22 563 23 552 95.8

47 534 23 250 24 284 95.7

48 727 23 819 24 908 95.6

49 786 24 319 25 467 95.5

50 683 24 736 25 947 95.3

51 382 25 052 26 331 95.1

8.6 17.8 17.0 13.9 10.2 2.3 10.7 5.4 5.3 10.1 49.1 28.9 14

8.4 16.6 16.8 14.5 10.5 2.6 9.9 5.1 5.1 10.0 49.4 30.2 15

8.1 15.9 16.1 15.3 11.1 2.8 9.5 4.7 4.8 9.7 49.6 31.4 15

7.6 15.5 15.2 16.2 11.9 2.9 9.3 4.6 4.5 9.1 49.4 32.6 16

7.2 14.8 14.7 17.1 12.7 3.1 8.9 4.5 4.5 8.7 49.0 34.0 17

6.7 14.1 14.5 18.0 13.5 3.5 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 47.8 35.4 17

6.3 13.3 14.0 19.4 14.4 4.0 7.9 4.1 4.2 8.5 46.9 36.8 18

6.2 12.6 13.4 21.5 15.6 4.4 7.5 3.9 3.9 8.1 45.8 38.1 18

6.0 12.1 12.8 23.2 17.5 4.8 7.3 3.6 3.7 7.7 44.4 39.2 18

5.8 11.9 12.2 24.8 19.0 5.2 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.4 43.1 40.3 18

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populatlon growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy a1 birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................................. ..... .... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ARGENTINA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

38 747 18 949 19 799

41 l l8 20 116 21 002

43 692 21 394 22 298

46 316 22 698 23 618

48 795 23 927 24 868

51 171 25 101 26 070

8.6 17.8 17.0 13.9 10.2 2.3 49.1 28.9

9.3 16.4 16.6 14.4 10.4 2.5 49.0 29.9

9.4 16.4 15.8 15.0 10.9 2.7 48.5 30.6

9.1 17.0 14.6 15.5 11.4 2.8 47.5 31.3

8.5 17.0 14.6 16.1 12.0 3.0 47.2 32.0

8.1 16.3 15.4 16.8 12.6 3.3 46.4 32.8

2035

2040

2045

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

474 1.19 19.4 7.6 0.2 2.50 1.20

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4...................... .. Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

322 0.82 15.7 7.7 0.2 2.00 0.96

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................. . . .......... Males .............................................. Females ........................... .............. Median age (years) .................................

38 747 18949 19 799 28.9

40 884 19997 20 887 30.1

43 119 21102 22 017 31 .0

45 373 22218 23 155 32.0

47 592 23315 24 277 32.9

49 772 24389 25 383 33.8

51 930 25449 26 481 34.4

54 072 26500 27 572 34.8

56 197 27541 28 656 35.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

1.07 18.2 7.7

1.07 18.1 7.6

1.02 17.6 7.5

0.96 16.9 7.5

0.90 16.4 7.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.85 16.0 7.7

0.81 15.8 7.8

0.77 15.7 8.1

0.73 15.5 8.3

ARMENIA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Medlan age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popuiation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blfth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................ ............ Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Medlan age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

2005

2010

3 018 1407 1 61 1 87.4

2 987 1387 1 600 86.7

5.4 15.4 19.9 14.5 12.1 1 .6 8.6 5.7 6.4 11.9 55.0 31.7 101

6.1 11.8 19.2 14.7 11.1 2.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 12.1 53.7 32.9 l00

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... . ...................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 0.02 14.8 9.6 .5.0 1.64 0.73

8 0.28 16.1 10.1 .3.3 1.81 0.81

.

1 .O.M 12.8 10.2 .2.6 2.01 0.92

7 0.23 15.1 10.2 .2.6 l .96 0.88

.5 .0.15 11.5 10.4 .2.6 2.06 0.95

.4 .0.12 12.2 10.8 .2.6 2.11 0.98

.2 -0.07 13.5 11.5 .2.6 2.18 1 .01

.3 -0.10 13.8 12.2 .2.6 2.21 1.04

.6 -0.21 13.1 12.6 .2.7 2.26 1.07

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

3 018 1 407 1611

2 953 1 369 1584

2 890 1 335 1555

2 812 1 296 1516

2 718 1 249 1469

2 607 1 195 1413

2 480 1 133 1347

2 335 l 064 1271

2 176 989 1187

5.4 15.4 19.9 14.5 12.1 1.6 55.0 31.7

5.0 11.9 19.4 14.8 11.2 2.7 54.2 33.3

4.5 10.5 15.5 16.9 11.3 3.0 51.4 35.2

4.0 9.7 12.1 20.6 13.3 3.7 50.4 37.9

3.8 8.8 10.7 24.2 16.8 3.0 49.5 40.6

3.2 7.9 10.0 25.6 20.2 3.2 47.0 43.8

2.9 7.2 9.2 26.9 21.5 4.6 42.4 47.0

2.8 6.5 8.3 29.6 22.4 6.7 36.2 50.2

2.7 6.2 7.6 34.5 24.7 8.3 31.2 53.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 13 -0.43 10.3 9.6 -5.0 1.14 0.50

. 13 -0.44 9.3 10.2 -3.4 1.01 0.45

- 19 .0.68 7.4 11.3 .2.9 l 01 0.46

. 15 -0.54 8.2 10.8 -2.8 0.96 0.43

.

- 22 -0.83 6.5 11.8 .3.0 1 .06 0.49

- 26 .1.01 5.9 12.8 -3.1 1.11 0.51

- 29 4.20 5.6 14.2 .3.3 1.16 0.54

- 32 .1.41 5.4 16.0 -3.5 1.21 0.57

- 34 -1.63 5.2 17.7 -3.8 1.26 0.60

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... . ...................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

1 407 1 61 1 31.7

2 982 1 384 1 598 33.0

2 962 1 374 1 588 34.5

2 923 1 355 1 567 36.8

2 852 1 321 1 531 39.4

2 762 1 277 1 485 42.4

2 660 l 229 1 431 45.3

2 543 1 174 1 369 48.0

2 406 1 1l1 1 295 50.5

-0.24 12.2 9.6

.0.14 12.2 10.2

.0.27 10.6 10.5

.0.49 8.7 10.8

-0.64 7.7 11.3

.0.75 7.5 12.1

.0.90 7.3 13.2

.1.11 6.8 14.6

.1.32 6.2 16.0

3 018

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

ARUBA A ESTIMATES lndkator poPu-(m-) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femelea ............................................... Sex ratb ( m a k per 100 hrnska) AQO d M W percentage aged W ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage qpd 15-24 p e r c e n t a g e ~ 6 0 w o v s r.................. Pe-m6!jwcwr .................. Percentaga aged 80 or cwr Percentage of m n aged 15-49 Median age (yeam)................................. POprbM -ity (PopJatim p e r q

...........

.........................

.................. .........

w

1950

1855

1960

1965

1970

1975

lee0

1985

lSs0

1995

2ooo

38 16 20 93.6

44 21 22 94.8

49 24 25 S.6

54 26 28 96.0

57 28 29 96.0

59 29 30 95.0

61 31 94.5

6.5 32 33 95.4

64 31 32 96.2

83 41 42 97.9

90 43 47 92.8

17.7 25.3 16.3 3.0 1.8 0.3 48.9 16.5 21 1

16.5 25.6 18.0 3.2 1 .9 0.3 47.7 18.1 243

16.9 27.0 17.6 3.8 2.2 0.2 46.2 18.2 273

14.9 27.6 18.0 4.8 2.7 0.2 46.4 18.6

11.8 26.3 20.1 6.5 3.6 0.3 49.4 20.2 315

10.0 21.9 21.7 8.3 5.4 0.6 53.8 23.2

9.0 17.6 22.0 9.5 6.7 0.8 57.4 25.8

10.2 14.5 19.0 9.7 7.2

8.8 16.2 13.5 10.4 7.6 1.7 54.4 31.6

8.3 15.0 12.1

328

338

8.3 15.1 13.4 10.0 6.5 1.5 56.0 32.4 462

300

30

1950-1855 19551960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985

I

p o p u b chanoe ~ per Year(-).

..................... ...................

............ .... ..

...................................................

57.4 26.1 359

354

0

4

1

1 0 -0.30

1

2

20.6 6.4 2.30 1.10 16

0 5.32 18.8 6.7 2.28 1.09 17

1.67 17.7 7.0 2.21 1.05 20

2.61 16.2 6.9 2.12 1.01 19 70.5 76.4 73.5

43

1.03 26.0 5.4 3.30 1.52 35

0.80 22.5 5.1 2.65 1 .a 26

0.58 22.3 5.8 2.45 1.17 24

64.8 88.3 66.6

66.4 70.2 88.3

67.5 74.5 70.9

68.3 75.4 71.8

71.6 76.6 74.1

71.5 77.5 74.5

71.1 77.1 74.1

70.0 76.0 73.0

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

108 51

107 51 56 91.5

105 51

104

55

92.1

54 93.0

5.4 11.9 11.7 27.4 23.2 7.3 7.1 3.7 3.7 7.0 40.6 42.3 586

5.3 11.5 12.3 26.8 21.4 7.8 6.8 3.6 3.7 7.4 40.6 42.8 575

1 2 0 1.83 33.4 5.8 4.40

69

59.1 61.6 60.4

83.0 65.6 64.4

1 .BB

1 1 0

0 1 0

0 1 0

7.2 1.3 54.8 34.3 502

1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2000-2005

1 1 0 1.21 22.3 5.7 2.33 1.13 17

1 2 0 2.36 39.1 8.8 5.15 2.28 52

2 0 2.77 44.3 6.9 5.65 2.37

Births per year (thoamda) Deaths per year (thowmds) POpJetkngrowth rate (par cant) Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poplbtkn) Crude death rate @er 1.OOO poputstbn) Total fertility (CNldnm per wwnan) ........... NetreproductionraIe @er woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOOlke wlr) Life .xp.ct.ny a! birth (w-1 Males F e w ............................................... Both sem combined ............................

1.1

11.1

3 2

t

1

B. MEMUMVARIANT

POpUlOtlOn (thoUWdD) Total ....................................................

............................................... ........... ............................

Femeles Sex ratb (malerr per 100 hmles) Agedlaributlon percentage aged W percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 w wsr Percentege qpd 65 or cwr ..................

......................... ..................

Percentageqpd 80 or cwr .................. Pemntage in school fagm5 1 1 Percmtege h school 12-14 Percentage in school a ~ a a15-17 .......... percentage in school aQaa 16-23 .......... Percmtage d w ~ 8 qpd n 15-49......... W i n age (years) ................................. w m density @opua lm per q

2005

2010

2015

103 49 54 92.1

103 49 54 91.4

105

7.4 14.8 12.7 11.8 7.8

6.8 14.3 12.9 14.4 9.4 1.2 8.6 4.3 4.2 7.6 48.9 38.4 572

1.1

............ ..........

8.0 4.4 4.3 7.3 54.1 35.5 572

w

2020

2025

50 55

'08 51

107 51

56

58

91.4

91.3

91.2

'08 51 56 91.2

5.8 13.6 13.8 17.3 11.4 1.7 6.1 4.2 4.2 8.3 45.1 40.5 584

5.5 12.3 13.8 21.7 13.8 2.2 7.2 4.0 4.1 8.3 42.9 41.3 591

5.6 11.1 13.3 25.7 17.8 2.6 6.5 3.5 3.8 8.1 40.7 40.9

5.9 11.0 12.1 28.2 20.9 3.3 6.6 3.2 3.3 7.5 40.0 40.8

595

598

56

91.3 6.0 11.5 11.0 30.0 22.9 4.3 7.0 3.3 3.2 6.6 40.6 41.2 598

5.8 12.0 11.1 29.1 24.2 5.9 7.2 3.6 3.4 6.6 40.6 41.7 594

50

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050

.' ...................

PqWbMchance per Year )-( Births per year (Umsanrh) ..................... Deaths per year (tFmWld8) Net mk~ratkmper year (thouuvde)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birM rate (par 1,OOO pophtbn) Crude death rate (par 1 ,OOOpopuhtim) Net tnigralkm rate (per 1 ,OOOpopllatkm) . Told MiUty (children per wwnan) Net reproduction rate @er woman) Ipfant rncdality rate (per 1 ,OOOYve births)

.... .. ........... ..........

under-nve mc4tamy (per 1,OOO yve lml.s) L l k .xpactmcy al Mrth (ym) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems c m n e d ............................

120

0 1 1

0 1 1

0 1 1

0 1 1

0 1 1

0 1 1

0 0.24 11.2 8.8 0.0 1.90 0.91 14 16

0 0.16 11.5 9.9 0.0 1.85 0.89 13 14

0 0.10 12.0 11.0 0.0 1.85 0.89

0 4.01 12.0 12.1 0.0 1 .85

11

10

20

0 1 1 0 0.41 11.9 7.8 0.0 1.97 0.84 15 17

13

11

0 -0.14 11.6 13.0 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 10

0 -0.28 10.9 13.7 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 9

0 1 1 0 4.35 10.5 14.0 0.0 1.85 0.89 8 9

71.3 77.1 74.2

72.1 77.8 75.0

72.8 78.4 75.7

73.5 78.9 76.3

74.2 79.6

74.9 80.3 n.7

75.6 00.9 70.4

76.3 81.5 79.1

76.9 82.1 79.6

0 1 1 - 1 0.01 14.1 7.1 4 9 2.04 0.97 17

77.0

0.89

United Nations oeparbnentof Economk and Social Affairs/Population Division W u M Popu&Itkm Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vokrme I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

103 49 54

104 50 54

1 07 51 56

110 53 57

112 54 59

115 55 60

117 56 61

118 57 61

120 58 62

7.4 14.6 12.7 11.8 7.8 1.1 54.1 35.5

7.5 14.2 12.8 14.3 9.3 1.2 48.5 38.2

6.8 14.1 13.5 17.0 11.2 1.6 44.3 39.9

6.7 13.7 13.3 21.0 13.4 2.1 41.6 39.8

6.9 13.0 13.4 24.5 16.7 2.5 39.5 38.6

7.2 13.2 13.0 26.5 19.6 3.1 39.3 38.2

7.2 13.7 12.5 27.6 21.1 4.0 40.5 38.0

7.2 14.1 12.8 26.3 21.9 5.3 41.3 37.7

7.1 14.1 13.4 24.1 20.4 6.4 41.8 37.5

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

0 0.16 15.6 7.1 -6.9 2.29 1.09

l 0.63 14.0 7.8 0.0 2.37 1.13

1 0.53 13.9 8.6 0.0 2.40 1.15

1 0.47 14.2 9.6 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.42 14.7 10.5 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.34 14.7 11.3 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.27 14.6 11.9 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.21 14.4 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.21 14.4 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 .0.38 9.3 13.0 0.0 1.35 0.65

.1 .0.56 8.7 14.3 0.0 1.35 0.65

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 .0.15 12.5 7.1 .7.0 1.79 0.85

0 0.18 9.7 7.9 0.0 1.57 0.75

0 .0.05 8.4 9.0 0.0 1.40 0.67

0 .0.17 8.6 10.3 0.0 1.35 0.65

0 ..0.25 9.2 11.6 0.0 1.35 0.65

.l .0.76 7.8 15.4 0.0 1.35 0.65

.1 .0.91 7.0 16.1 0.0 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

103 49 54 35.5

103 49 54 38.3

106 51 55 40.3

108 52 56 40.6

110 52 57 39.6

111 53 58 39.4

112 54 59 39.6

113 54 59 39.8

112 54 58 39.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)

0.06 14.6 7.1

0.51 12.9 7.8

0.40 12.7 8.7

0.34 13.1 9.7

0.27 13.4 10.7

0.16 13.3 11.7

0.05 13.0 12.5

-0.02 12.8 13.0

-0.03 12.8 13.1

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

AUSTRALIA (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

8219 4144 4 075 101.7

9201 4657 4 544 102.5

10276 5195 5 082 102.2

11525 5807 5 719 101.5

12728 8414 6 315 101.6

13625 6838 6 787 100.7

14638 7310 7 329 99.7

15669 7816 7 853 99.5

16873 8426 8 448 99.7

10.8 15.7 14.6 12.5 8.1 1.1 49.9 30.4 1

10.7 18.3 13.1 12.4 8.4 1.1 47.8 30.2 1

10.6 19.5 14.0 12.2 8.5 1.2 46.8 29.6

10.3 19.4 16.2 12.2 6.5 1.3 47.0 28.3

9.5 19.3 17.5 12.3 8.3 1.4 47.8 27.6 2

9.2 18.4 17.4 12.8 8.7 1.5 48.5 28.0 2

7.7 17.6 17.5 13.7 9.6 1.7 49.8 29.4 2

7.8 15.8 17.1 14.5 10.1 1.7 51 -4 30.6 2

7.3 14.6 16.2 15.5 11.2 2.2 52.7 32.2 2

1

1

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

20 310 10101 10209 98.9

21 362 10634 10728 99.1

22 397 11151 11246 99.1

23 418 11859 11759 99.1

24 393 12141 12252 99.1

25 287 12579 12707 99.0

26 075 12962 13113 98.9

26 778 13306 13472 98.8

27 425 13628 13797 98.8

6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 7.9 4.2 4.1 8.3 49.4 36.7 3

6.1 12.4 13.6 19.9 14.2 4.0 7.3 3.8 4.0 6.2 48.0 38.0 3

6.0 11.9 13.0 21.9 16.1 4.2 7.1 3.6 3.7 6.0 46.1 39.2 3

6.0 11.7 12.2 23.9 17.8 4.5 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.4 44.6 40.0 3

5.9 11.7 11.8 25.8 19.6 5.1 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 43.1 40.8 3

5.7 11.6 11.7 27.1 21.3 6.2 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.0 42.4 41.6 3

5.5 11.4 11.8 28.4 22.4 7.2 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.1 41 .8 42.4 3

5.4 11.1 11.8 28.9 23.5 8.1 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 41.3 43.0 3

5.4 10.9 11.6 29.6 23.8 8.9 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.8 43.3 4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

210 257 147 100 1 .01 12.4 7.1 4.8 1.79 0.86 4 6

207 268 161 100 0.95 12.2 7.4 4.6 1.83 0.88 4 5

204 279 1 74 100 0.89 12.2 7.6 4.4 1.85 0.89 4 5

1 95 284 189 100 0.82 11.9 7.9 4.2 1.85 0.89 4 4

1 79 286 207 100 0.72 11.5 8.3 4.0 1.85 0.89 3 4

1 58 286 228 100 0.61 11.1 8.9 3.9 1.85 0.90 3 4

141 289 248 100 0.53 10.9 9.4 3.8 1 .85 0.90 3 4

129 296 266 100 0.48 10.9 9.8 3.7 1 .85 0.90 3 3

123 304 280 1W 0.44 10.9 10.1 3.6 1.85 0.90 3 3

78.9 83.6 81.2

79.8 84.2 82.0

80.6 84.8 82.7

81.3 85.3 83.3

82.0 85.9 83.9

82.5 86.4 84.5

83.0 87.0 85.0

83.6 87.5 85.5

84.1 88.0 86.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

AUSTRALIA C. HIGHVARIANT

Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total ....................................................

Males ...................................................

Femelee ............ Ago d i d Percentage a@ 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .... Percentege aged 15-24 Pefcentageaged 80 or

Percentage aged 80 or over ......

percentagaof WMYM aged 15-49 ......... Medlan age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

20 310 10 101 10209

21 539 10 725 10815

22 865 11 390 11474

24 259 12 090 12169

25 612 12 766 12845

26 891 13 402 13489

28 128 14 015 14113

29 399 14 651 14749

30 746 15 332 15414

32 152 16 050 16 102

6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 49.4 36.7

6.8 12.3 13.5 19.7 14.1 4.0 47.8 37.8

7.2 12.4 12.7 21.4 15.7 4.1 45.2 38.4

7.3 13.2 11.8 23.1 17.2 4.4 43.1 38.6

7.1 13.7 11.9 24.6 18.7 4.9 41.7 38.9

6.8 13.7 12.7 25.5 20.0 5.9 41.6 39.2

8.7 13.3 13.3 26.3 20.8 6.7 41.7 39.4

6.9 13.0 13.3 26.4 21.4 7.4 41.7 39.0

7.1 13.0 12.8 26.4 21.3 7.9 41.5 38.4

7.2 13.4 12.5 26.3 21.2 8.1 41.6 38.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 204S-2050 Poprlation chaqp par year (thousands). Population tale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpqnilation) .. Net migration rate (par 1.ooOpoprlation). Total fertUI (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

....

248 1.18 14.0 7.0 4.8 2.04 0.98

285 1.19 14.7 7.3 4.5 2.23 1.08

279 1.18 15.0 7.4 4.2 2.35 1.14

271 1.09 14.4 7.6 4.0 2.35 1.14

256

0.98 13.8 7.9 3.8 2.35 1.14

247 0.90 13.7 8.3 3.6 2.35 1.14

254 0.88 14.0 8.7 3.6 2.35 1.14

269 0.90 14.5 8.9 3.3 2.35 1.14

281 0.89 14.7 8.9 3.2 2.35 1.14

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

20310 10101 10209

21 184 10543 10842

21 929 10910 11018

22575 11227 11349

23 171 11514 11657

23683 11756 11926

24066 11932 12134

24305 12038 12267

24408 12081 12327

24 412 12 080 12 333

6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 49.4 38.7

5.3 12.5 13.8 20.1 14.3 4.0 48.4 38.3

4.8 11.3 13.3 22.4 16.4 4.3 47.1 40.0

4.6 10.1 12.6 24.8 18.5 4.7 46.2 41.4

4.5 9.4 11.6 27.1 20.7 5.4 44.5 42.7

4.5 9.2 10.5 28.9 22.7 6.7 43.3 44.1

4.3 9.2 10.0 30.7 24.3 7.8 41.8 45.4

4.1 9.0 9.9 31.9 25.8 8.9 40.5 46.7

3.9 8.7 9.9 33.2 26.8 10.0 39.3 47.8

3.8 8.3 9.9 34.7 28.0 10.7 38.3 48.9

Popu).tlon (thouundo)

Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

P e m t a g e aged 80 or Over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percantageagecl 80 or WBT Percentage of m)men aged 15-49 Median a(@ (years) .................................

.........

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2 0 3 5 - ~2040-2045 2045-2050

POpllaUon change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO population) .. Net migration rate (par 1.ooO poputation) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmductionrate (per woman) ..........

175 0.84 10.7 7.1 4.8 1.54 0.74

149 0.69 9.7 7.4 4.6 1.43 0.69

129 0.58 9.1 7.8 4.5 1.35 0.65

119 0.52 9.1 8.3 4.4 1.35 0.65

102 0.44 8.9 8.8 4.3 1.35 0.65

77 0.32 8.6 9.5 4.2 1.35 0.65

48 0.20 8. I 10.2 4.1 1.35 0.65

21 0.08 7.7 10.9 4.1 1.35 0.65

1 0.00 7.4 11.5 4.1 1.35 0.85

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

21 338 10 621 10 717 38.1

22 319 11 111 11 208 39.3

23 264 11 580 11 684 40.2

24 156 12 019 12 136 41.2

24 960 12 412 12 549 42.1

25 658 12 748 12 910 43.0

26 259 13 040 13 219 43.8

26 784 13 299 13 484 44.3

27 257 13 539 13 718 44.8

P o p u (thouundo) ~

Total .................................................... Malss ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

20 310 10 101 10 209 36.7

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2024 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 population gnmth rate @er cent) ............ C d e MM, rate (per 1,ooO populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO poprlalion)

..

0.99 12.1 7.1

0.90 11.8 7.4

0.83 11.6 7.6

0.75 11.3 8.0

0.66 10.9 8.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehwke Tables

0.55 10.6 9.0

0.46 10.3 9.6

0.40 10.2 10.0

0.35 10.2 10.4

123

r)

AUSTRIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

6 935 3 216 3719 86.5

6 947 3 231 3716 86.9

7 048 3 282 3766 87.1

7 271 3 404 3867 88.0

7 467 3 518 3949 89.1

7 579 3 581 3998 89.6

7 549 3 567 3982 89.6

7 578 3 599 3979 90.4

7 729 3 711 4018 92.3

8 047 3 902 4144 94.2

8 111 3 955 4156 95.2

7.4 15.4 13.7 15.4 10.4 1.2 49.3 35.8 83

7.0 15.3 13.5 16.5 11.3 1.4 47.2 34.9 83

8.1 14.0 14.7 18.0 12.0 1.7 45.0 35.4 84

8.8 14.5 14.3 19.4 13.2 2.0 42.8 35.0 87

8.1 16.2 13.5 20.1 14.1 2.1 43.4 33.9 89

6.6 16.7 14.5 20.4 14.9 2.3 43.3 33.8 90

5.7 14.7 16.5 19.1 15.4 2.7 45.7 34.7

6.0 12.3 17.0 19.8 14.2 3.2 48.1 35.2 90

5.8 11.6 15.2 20.1 14.9 3.6 48.9 35.6 92

5.8 11.7 12.7 19.7 15.1 3.9 48.4 36.4 96

5.1 11.5 11.8 20.6 15.5 3.5 48.2 38.3 97

90

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ..................... ...... Population density (population per sq km)

. .

8 292 4060 4 232 95.9

8 442 4146 4 296 96.5

8 514 4190 4 324 96.9

8 575 4224 4 351 97.1

8 622 4246 4 375 97.0

8 643 4253 4 391 96.9

8 634 4242 4 393 96.6

8 602 4219 4 383 96.3

8 555 4189 4 365 96.0

4.8 11.0 12.1 21.9 16.2 4.3 6.5 3.5 3.5 7.4 48.2 40.1 99

4.6 10.1 11.9 23.1 17.5 4.8 5.9 3.2 3.5 7.2 47.3 42.0 101

4.6 9.6 11.3 24.4 18.6 5.0 5.7 3.0 3.1 7.0 44.7 43.8 102

4.6 9.3 10.4 26.5 19.8 5.5 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.3 41.7 45.1 102

4.6 9.3 9.9 29.6 21.8 6.3 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.0 39.9 45.8 103

4.6 9.4 9.8 32.5 24.6 6.9 5.7 2.8 2.8 5.9 39.1 46.6 103

4.5 9.4 9.8 34.0 27.3 7.5 5.6 2.9 2.9 5.9 38.0 47.4 103

4.5 9.4 10.0 34.4 28.5 8.7 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.0 37.3 48.0 103

4.6 9.3 10.0 35.0 28.6 10.5 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.1 36.6 48.3 102

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.2

-

.9

. 11

30 77 79 32 0.36 9.2 9.4 3.8 1.42 0.69 4 5

14 77 83 20 0.17 9.1 9.7 2.4 1.45 0.70 4 5

12 78 86 20 0.14 9.2 10.1 2.3 1.50 0.72 4 5

9 79 90 20 0.1 1 9.2 10.4 2.3 1.55 0.75 4 5

4 78 94 20 0.05 9.1 10.9 2.3 1.60 0.77 4 5

77 99 20 .0.02 6.9 11.4 2.3 1.65 0.80 4 5

7 77 104 20 .0.08 8.9 12.0 2.3 1.70 0.82 4 5

79 108 20 .0.11 9.2 12.6 2.3 1.75 0.84 3 4

81 112 20 ~0.13 9.5 13.1 2.3 1.80 0.87 3 4

76.9 82.6 79.8

77.6 83.2 80.4

78.2 83.8 81.0

78.8 84.4 81.6

79.4 85.0 82.2

80.0 85.6 82.8

80.6 86.1 83.3

81.1 86.7 83.9

81.7 87.2 84.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

AUSTRIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

8 292 4 060 4 232

8 507 4 180 4 327

8 682 4 276 4 406

8 871 4 376 4 495

9 039 4 461 4 579

9 181 4 529 4 653

9 312 4 590 4 723

9 458 4 658 4 800

9 627 4 740 4 888

4.8 11.0 12.1 21.9 16.2 4.3 48.2 40.1

5.3 10.0 11.9 22.9 17.3 4.7 47.0 41.7

5.7 10.1 11.1 23.9 18.3 4.9 43.8 43.1

5.9 10.9 10.1 25.7 19.1 5.3 40.4 43.7

5.8 11.5 10.2 28.3 20.8 6.0 38.9 43.9

5.6 11.6 11.0 30.6 23.2 6.5 38.7 44.3

5.7 11.4 11.6 31.5 25.3 7.0 38.4 44.3

6.0 11.3 11.7 31.3 25.9 7.9 38.3 44.0

6.4 11.6 11.4 31.1 25.4 9.3 38.0 42.9

43 0.51 10.7 9.4 3.8 1.67 0.81

.. .

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbulion Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,M)O population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

.

17 0.20 7.6 9.4 3.8 1.17 0.56

.7 .0.08 6.7 9.9 2.4 1.05 0.50

. 13 -0.16 6.3 10.3 2.4 1.00 0.48

. 16 -0.19 6.5 10.9 2.4 1.05 0.50

. 20 .0.24 6.6 11.5 2.5 1.10 0.53

. 26 .0.33 6.5 12.3 2.5 1.15 0.55

. 34 .0.44 6.2 13.1 2.5 1.20 0.58

-42 .0.55 6.0 14.0 2.6 1.25 0.60

-47 .0.63 6.0 15.0 2.7 1.30 0.63

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

8 292 4060 4232 40.1

8 430 4140 4290 42.0

8 483 4174 4309 43.9

8 510 4191 4320 45.3

8 507 4187 4319 46.3

8 465 4161 4304 47.4

8 383 4113 4270 48.5

8 265 4046 4219 49.5

8 115 3964 4151 50.4

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.33 8.9 9.4

0.13 8.6 9.8

0.06 8.4 10.1

.0.01 8.1 10.5

.0.10 7.7 11.0

.0.19 7.4 11.7

-0.28 7.2 12.4

-0.37 7.1 13.2

.0.44 7.0 14.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prmpects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2896 1363 1 533 89.0

3326 1575 1 751 90.0

3894 1864 2 031 91.8

4574 2209 2 366 93.3

5172 2511 2 661 94.3

5689 2774 2 915 95.2

6161 3000 3 161 94.9

6670 3248 3 422 94.9

7212 3529 3 683 95.8

7791 3815 3 976 95.9

8143 3974 4 169 95.3

10.3 22.0 22.2 l l .l 6.9 0.8 50.2 22.8

14.6 16.2 23.0 10.0 7.5 0.9 51.9 23.2 38

18.6 19.8 16.7 8.8 6.3 1 .0 45.7 22.6 45

18.3 25.8 11.7 8.2 5.6 1 .1 40.9 19.6 53

14.6 29.6 14.8 8.1 5.5 1.2 42.0 18.2 60

12.3 27.8 20.2 7.9 5.6 1.2 46.1 19.1 66

11.5 23.1 24.1 7.1 5.4 1.2 50.2 21.1 71

12.1 20.7 22.1 7.2 4.9 1.2 51.1 22.8 77

13.1 21.2 19.2 7.4 4.2 0.5 50.1 23.2 83

11.5 22.4 17.6 8.0 4.9 0.6 51.3 24.1 90

8.5 22.5 18.0 9.1 5.9 0.6 55.3 25.7 94

33

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

8 352 4060 4 292 94.6

8 671 4217 4 454 94.7

9 008 4381 4 627 94.7

9 307 4523 4 783 94.6

9 508 4613 4 895 94.2

9 599 4646 4 953 93.8

9 614 4642 4 971 93.4

9 587 4622 4 965 93.1

9 523 4589 4 934 93.0

9 404 4535 4 869 93.1

6.5 18.8 20.6 9.3 7.2 0.8 10.7 6.6 6.8 12.1 58.7 27.7 96

7.4 14.0 20.8 9.2 7.0 1.3 7.8 5.0 5.9 12.8 59.0 29.4 100

7.7 12.9 17.1 10.6 6.8 1.7 7.9 3.5 4.2 10.9 55.4 31.3 104

7.3 14.1 12.8 13.3 8.0 2.0 8.7 3.9 3.4 7.8 51.2 33.4 107

6.5 14.3 12.0 16.7 10.5 1.8 8.6 4.3 4.1 6.8 49.2 35.8 110

5.6 13.4 13.4 18.9 13.5 1.7 7.9 4.3 4.3 8.0 48.2 38.2 111

5.2 11.9 13.9 20.6 15.4 2.4 6.9 3.9 4.1 8.4 46.5 40.6 111

5.3 10.8 13.2 22.1 16.7 3.6 6.3 3.4 3.7 8.1 43.2 42.0 111

5.5 10.6 11.8 24.3 17.6 4.9 6.3 3.1 3.3 7.2 40.0 42.4 110

5.5 11.0 10.8 27.6 19.5 5.4 6.6 3.2 3.1 6.5 38.8 42.5 109

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ..................... .. .................... 80th sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............ ....

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

8352 4 060 4 292

8762 4 266 4 496

9253 4 512 4 741

9733 4 751 4 983

10088 4 921 5 167

10330 5 033 5 297

10544 5 133 5 41 1

10781 5 250 5 531

11018 5 372 5 646

6.5 18.8 20.6 9.3 7.2 0.8 58.7 27.7

8.3 13.8 20.6 9.1 6.9 1.3 58.4 29.1

9.1 13.5 16.7 10.3 6.6 1.7 54.0 30.5

8.9 16.0 12.2 12.7 7.6 1.9 49.2 32.2

7.6 16.8 12.2 15.7 9.9 1.7 47.5 34.1

6.7 15.7 14.8 17.6 12.5 1.6 47.2 36.1

6.7 13.7 15.8 18.8 14.1 2.2 46.4 37.1

7.2 12.8 14.8 19.6 14.8 3.2 43.7 36.5

7.5 13.3 13.0 21.0 15.2 4.2 41.0 36.2

82 0.96 18.5 7.7 -1.2 2.07 0.87

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

46 0.54 14.0 7.4 .1.2 1.57 0.66

37 0.42 13.3 7.9 .1.2 1.44 0.61

8 0.09 10.9 8.8 .1.1 1.35 0.59

23 0.26 12.1 8.3 .1.1 1.35 0.58

.

I1 -0.12 9.4 9.4 .1.1 1.35 0.60

. 29 .0.33 8.2 10.3 .1.1 1.35 0.61

. 45 -0.52 7.6 11.7 .1.2 1.35 0.61

. 58 -0.69 7.5 13.2 .1.2 1.35 0.62

. 70 .0.87 7.3 14.7 .1.2 1.35 0.62

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Median age (years)

.................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

8352 4 060 4 292 27.7

8623 4 191 4 432 29.6

8901 4 324 4 577 31.7

9125 4 426 4 698 33.9

9244 4 473 4 771 36.6

9264 4 468 4 795 39.3

9216 4 432 4 784 41.8

9113 4 373 4 740 44.0

8947 4 287 4 660 45.3

0.64 15.1 7.5

0.63 15.5 8.0

0.50 14.4 8.3

0.26 12.4 8.7

0.04 10.7 9.2

.0.10 10.0 10.0

.0.22 10.0 11.1

.0.37 9.8 12.4

.0.53 9.4 13.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BAHAMAS A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision. Volum I:Comprehensive Tables

2000

BAHAMAS

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

323 1 58 165

347 169 177

372 181 191

397 193 204

421 204 217

445 215 230

468 226 242

490 236 254

51 1 246 265

8.6 18.9 17.6 9.3 6.2 1.2 54.8 28.0

9.0 16.8 17.0 10.4 7.2 1.3 54.0 29.4

9.0 15.9 16.5 11.7 8.0 1.5 52.0 30.8

8.8 16.3 14.7 13.6 9.1 1 .9 49.4 31.8

8.3 16.3 14.0 15.9 10.7 2.2 47.6 32.9

8.0 15.7 14.6 17.8 12.7 2.5 46.9 34.0

7.8 15.1 14.7 19.5 14.3 3.0 45.9 34.8

7.8 14.7 14.3 20.4 15.6 3.7 45.1 34.9

7.8 14.7 13.8 21.5 16.3 4.6 44.0 35.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

5 1.40 18.9 6.1 1.2 2.27 1.07

D..LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)

......... .................................

323 158 165

340

166 1 74

354 172 182

364 1 76 188

373 180 1 94

380 182 198

384 1 83 201

384 182 202

381 180 201

8.6 18.9 17.6 9.3 6.2 1.2 54.8 28.0

7.2 17.1 17.3 10.6 7.3 1.4 55.0 30.0

6.3 14.7 17.3 12.3 8.4 1.6 54.5 32.4

5.6 12.7 16.0 14.9 10.0 2.0 53.6 34.8

5.3 11.4 14.0 18.0 12.1 2.5 51.7 37.0

5.0 10.6 12.3 20.8 14.9 3.0 49.8 39.3

4.6 10.1 11.1 23.7 17.4 3.7 47.2 41.7

4.2 9.5 10.5 26.1 19.9 4.8 45.0 44.0

3.9 8.9 10.3 28.9 21.9 6.2 42.4 46.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. WO population) . Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 1.00 14.9 6.1 1.2 1.77 0.84

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

323 158 165 28.0

344

168 176 29.6

366 178 188 31.3

388 188 199 32.7

408 197 21 1 34.0

427 206 221 35.5

445 214 231 36.7

460 221 239 37.6

474 227 247 38.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-X)20 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 W 2 0 4 0 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population)

..

1.27 17.6 6.1

1.23 17.2 6.0

1.12 16.6 6.5

1.03 15.8 6.6

0.92 15.1 6.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

0.81 14.5 7.3

0.68 14.1 8.2

0.60 13.9 8.8

0.55 13.7 9.0

2050

BAHRAIN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

725 416 309 134.4

792 452 341 132.7

857 486 371 131.1

917 517 399 129.6

972 546 426 128.0

1025 572 453 126.3

1072 594 478 124.4

1112 613 500 122.5

1146 627 519 120.8

1173 638 535 119.3

9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 10.4 5.3 4.7 9.6 58.9 28.8 1 044

8.0 15.9 16.0 5.6 3.3 0.5 9.6 4.7 4.9 9.5 58.5 30.5 1 142

7.3 14.9 15.5 7.8 4.2 0.6 8.9 4.5 4.3 9.5 56.7 32.0 1 234

6.7 13.6 14.5 11.0 6.2 0.7 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.7 55.2 33.6 1 321

6.3 12.6 13.8 14.2 8.9 0.8 7.5 3.8 3.9 8.5 53.8 35.0 1 401

6.2 11.8 12.9 17.1 11.5 1.2 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.8 52.0 36.6 1 477

6.0 11.5 12.1 19.7 13.9 2.0 6.9 3.4 3.4 7.4 50.2 37.9 1 545

5.8 11.3 11.6 21.7 15.9 3.1 6.8 3.4 3.3 7.0 48.5 39.0 1 603

5.6 11.1 11.4 23.1 17.5 4.1 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.9 46.6 40.1 1 651

5.4 10.8 11.4 24.3 18.6 4.9 6.5 3.3 3.2 6.9 45.4 40.9 1 690

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BAHRAIN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..........................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

725 416 309

799 455 344

876 496

380

951 535 416

1 024 572 451

1 095 608 487

1 163 641 522

1 228 672 556

1 290 701 589

9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 58.9 28.8

8.8 15.7 15.9 5.6 3.3 0.5 58.0 30.3

8.5 15.3 15.1 7.7 4.2 0.6 55.3 31.4

8.1 15.1 14.0 10.6 5.9 0.7 52.9 32.5

7.6 14.7 13.8 13.5 8.4 0.8 51.6 33.6

7.4 14.1 13.8 16.0 10.8 1.1 50.3 34.6

7.3 13.6 13.6 18.1 12.8 1.9 49.2 35.2

7.2 13.5 13.1 19.7 14.4 2.8 48.1 35.7

7.2 13.4 12.8 20.5 15.6 3.6 46.8 36.2

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

15 1.96 18.9 3.3 3.9 2.54 1.21

15 1.82 18.1 3.5 3.6 2.51 1.20

15 1.66 17.2 3.9 3.3 2.45 1.17

14 1.47 16.0 4.4 3.0 2.35 1.13

14 1.34 15.6 5.1 2.8 2.35 1.13

14 1.21 15.3 5.9 2.7 2.35 1.13

13 1.09 15.1 6.7 2.5 2.35 1.13

12 0.98 14.9 7.5 2.4 2.35 1.13

12 0.90 14.8 8.0 2.3 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................ ............. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

..................

725 416 309

785 448 337

838 476 361

882 500 382

921 520 401

955 536 419

983 549 434

l 002 556 446

1 012 558 454

9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 58.9 28.8

7.2 16.0 16.2 5.7 3.3 0.5 59.1 30.7

6.0 14.4 15.8 8.0 4.3 0.6 58.2 32.7

5.2 12.0 15.1 11.5 6.4 0.8 57.6 34.7

4.8 10.3 13.9 15.0 9.4 0.9 56.3 36.7

4.7 9.3 11.9 18.3 12.4 1.3 54.0 38.6

4.5 9.0 10.4 21.4 15.1 2.2 51.3 40.6

4.3 8.9 9.6 24.1 17.7 3.4 48.7 42.4

4.0 8.5 9.5 26.2 19.9 4.6 45.9 44.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

12 1.61 15.3 3.2 4.0 2.04 0.97

10 1.29 12.7 3.5 3.7 1.71 0.82

9 1.03 10.8 4.0 3.5 1.45 0.70

8 0.87 10.1 4.7 3.3 1.35 0.65

7 0.74 9.8 5.7 3.2 1.35 0.65

6 0.57 9.4 6.8 3.1 1.35 0.65

4 0.38 8.8 8.0 3.0 1.35 0.65

2 0.19 8.1 9.2 3.0 1.35 0.65

0 0.03 7.6 10.3 3.0 1.35 0.65

1251 683 567 35.1

1320 716 604 35.3

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................ .... ....................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

725 416 309 28.8

798 455 344 30.3

875 495 379 31.5

952 536 417 32.5

1030 575 454 33.4

1106 613 492 34.3

1180 649 530 34.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.

1 94 18.7 3.3

1.82 18.1 3.5

1.70 17.6 3.9

1.57 17.0 4.4

1.43 16.5 5.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.29 16.1 5.8

1.17 15.9 6.6

1.08 15.7 7.3

1.01 15.7 7.8

1388 749 640 35.5

BANGLADESH A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexralio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .............................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

153 281 78470 74 811 104.9

166 638 85145 81 493 104.5

180 114 91844 88 269 104.1

193 333 98373 94 960 103.6

206 024 104587 101 437 103.1

217 932 110361 107 571 102.6

228 836 115588 113 248 102.1

238 600 120196 118 404 101.5

247 073 124107 122 967 100.9

254 084 127263 126 820 100.3

12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.7 6.8 6.5 12.0 52.4 22.2 1 064

11.2 21.6 20.0 6.2 3.9 0.4 13.1 6.2 6.3 11.9 53.5 23.5 1 157

10.6 20.5 19.1 7.0 4.3 0.5 12.3 6.1 5.8 11.4 53.7 24.9 1 251

9.9 19.3 18.4 8.0 5.0 0.6 11.6 5.7 5.8 10.9 53.9 26.4 1 343

9.3 18.4 17.7 9.2 5.8 0.7 11.1 5.5 5.3 10.7 53.7 27.8 1 431

8.7 17.4 16.9 10.6 6.8 0.8 10.5 5.2 5.2 10.1 53.4 29.2 1 513

8.1 16.5 16.4 11.9 7.9 1.0 9.9 5.0 5.0 9.8 52.6 30.8 1 589

7.6 15.6 15.8 13.3 9.0 1.2 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.5 51.6 32.2 1 657

7.2 14.8 15.1 15.1 10.2 1.5 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.1 50.4 33.6 1 716

6.7 14.1 14.5 17.0 11.7 1.9 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 49.4 35.1 1 764

Populat~on change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BANGLADESH C. HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ...........................................

Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4................... Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

153 281 78 470 74 81 1

168 061 85 872 82 189

184 108 93 885 90 224

200 875 102 223 98 652

217 515 110 449 107 066

234 111 118610 115500

250 774 126 768 124 006

267 442 134 889 132 553

283 844 142 840 141 004

299 666 150 490 149 176

12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 52.4 22.2

12.0 21.5 19.8 6.2 3.9 0.4 53.0 23.3

11.8 20.9 18.7 6.9 4.2 0.5 52.5 24.3

11.3 20.5 17.7 7.7 4.8 0.5 51.9 25.3

10.6 20.2 17.4 8.8 5.5 0.6 51.5 26.1

10.1 19.4 17.4 9.8 6.3 0.7 51.4 27.0

9.7 18.5 17.4 10.9 7.2 0.9 51 .O 27.9

9.4 17.8 16.9 11.9 8.0 1.1 50.3 28.8

9.0 17.4 16.2 13.2 8.9 1.3 49.6 29.7

8.7 16.9

15.8 14.4 9.9 1.6 49.2 30.7

2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 956 1.84 26.6 7.6 -0.6 3.08 1.35

..

3 209 1.82 25.8 7.0 -0.6 3.03 1.36

3353 1.74 24.6 6.6 -0.5 2.97 1.36

3328 1.59 22.8 6.4 -0.5 2.83 1.32

3319 1.47 21.5 6.3 -0.4 2.72 1.28

3333 1.38 20.5 6.4 -0.4 2.63 1.25

3334 1.29 19.8 6.5 -0.4 2.54 1.21

3 281 1.19 18.9 6.7 -0.4 2.47 1.18

3 164 1 .o9 18.1 6.9 -0.3 2.40 1.15

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

153 281 78 470 74 81 1

164 598 84 103 80 495

174 768 89 114 85 654

183 795 93 504 90 291

192 056 97 461 94 595

199 033 100 725 98 308

204 235 103 052 101 183

207 522 104364 103 158

208 985 104 705 104 280

208 680 104 133 104 547

12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 52.4 22.2

10.1 21.9 20.2 6.3 4.0 0.4 54.1 23.8

9.0 20.0 19.7 7.2 4.5 0.5 55.3 25.7

8.1 17.4 19.3 8.4 5.3 0.6 56.7 27.8

7.6 15.8 18.0 9.9 6.2 0.7 56.5 29.9

7.0 14.7 15.9 11.6 7.5 0.9 55.8 32.0

6.3 13.9 14.7 13.4 8.8 1.1 54.3 34.2

5.6 12.8 14.0 15.3 10.4 1.4 52.7 36.6

5.1 11.6 13.4 17.9 12.1 1.8 50.6 38.0

4.6 10.6 12.6 20.7 14.3 2.3 48.5 40.9

Population (thousands)

Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 0-4.................... Percentage aged 5-14.. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years)

2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 263 1.43 22.3 7.4 -0.6 2.58 1.13

2 o34 1.20 19.5 6.9 -0.6 2.23

1 .o0

1806 1 .o1 17.3 6.7 -0.6 1.97 0.90

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

153 281 78 470 74811 22.2

169 100 86 403 82697 23.1

186 621 95 168 91453 23.9

205 419 104 542 100877 24.6

225 529 114 538 110991 24.9

247 357 125 364 121993 25.2

1652 0.88 16.1 6.7 -0.5 1 .83 0.85

1395 0.71 14.6 6.9 -0.5 1.72 0.81

1040 0.52 13.0 7.3 -0.5 1.63

0.77

293 0.14 10.3 8.5 -0.5 1.47 0.70

- 61 -0.03 9.4 9.2 -0.5 1.40 0.67

2035

2040

2045

2050

271 218 137 187 134030 25.5

297 215 150 061 147154 25.7

325 431 164 O35 161396 25.9

356 071 179 245 176826 26.1

657 0.32 11.5 7.8 -0.5 1.54 0.74

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

._

1.96 27.9 7.6

1.97 27.3 7.1

1.92 26.3 6.6

1.87 25.5 6.3

1.65 25.1 6.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.84 24.9 6.1

1.83 24.7 6.1

1.81 24.5 6.1

1 .80 24.3 6.1

133

BARBADOS

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

21 1 97 114 85.1

227 104 123 84.2

231 103 127 81.2

235 108 127 85.2

239 112 127 88.5

246 118 128 91.8

249 118 131 90.1

260 124 136 91.3

271 130 141 92.2

280 135 145 93.0

286 138 148 93.4

12.3 20.9 17.5 8.5 5.7 0.9 50.0 24.6 491

13.6 21.2 16.3 9.5 6.8 1.4 46.3 24.3 529

14.0 24.1 15.6 10.0 6.7 1 .0 43.1 22.3 536

13.8 25.2 16.4 11.1 7.1 1 .0 41.2 20.6 547

10.9 26.1 19.2 12.2 8.3 1.3 41.8 21.2 555

8.9 22.6 21.0 13.6 9.9 1.2 47.1 23.7 571

8.6 21.0 21.7 14.1 10.5 1.7 48.1 24.4 579

8.4 18.2 20.8 13.2 10.1 1.8 52.0 26.3

8.0 15.9 19.2 12.7 9.4 1 .9 55.2 28.3 631

7.2 15.5 16.8 12.2 9.3 2.1 56.4 30.7 651

6.3 14.6 14.9 12.2 9.1 2.2 56.5 33.0 666

605

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) ......................... Males ...................... . Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fie mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BARBADOS C. HIQHVARMNT Indicator Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

...............

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1

Percentage of womeo aged 15-49 .. M e d i i age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

292

209

314 153 161

323

156 183

157

165

324 158 166

324 158 166

324 158 166

323

145 154

307 150 158

3M

141 151 5.8 13.0 14.7 12.6 9.2 2.2 55.1 35.5

6.3 11.7 13.8 14.4 9.6 2.3 51.5 37.7

6.4 11.6 12.2 17.4 11.3 2.4 47.0 39.7

6.3 12.1 11.0 21.3 14.1 2.6 43.0 41.O

6.0 12.3 11.0 25.3 17.6 2.9 40.1 42.3

5.9 12.0 11.7 28.3 21.2 3.9 39.0 43.3

6.0 11.7 12.0 30.4 23.5 5.3 38.2 44.0

6.3 11.8 11.8 30.8 25.1 6.9 37.4 43.8

6.5 12.2 11.6 30.9 25.0 8.3 37.1 42.7

6.6 12.8 11.7 30.7 24.8 9.0 37.6 41.5

158 165

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2om 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (tharsanbs) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.OOO populatbn) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatbn) . Told Mlity (children per wom~n)........... Net reprodvction rate (per woman) ..........

1

2 0.52 13.0 7.0 -0.6 1.93 0.93

0.50

12.8 7.0 -0.8 1.75 0.85

1 0.47 12.9 7.4 -0.6 2.08 1.01

1 0.33 12.2 8.1 -0.8 2.13 1.a3

1

0.19 11.9 9.2 -0.8 2.18 1.06

0 0.08 12.1 10.6 -0.8 2.23 1.08

0.02 12.7 11.7 -0.8 2.20 1.11

0

0 -0.02

13.1 12.6 -0.8 2.33 1.13

0 -0.07 13.3 13.2 -0.8 2.35 1.14

D. LOWVARIANT 2050 -

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

292 141

294

294

143 151

143 151

291 142 150

287 140 148

281 138 144

271 131 140

258 125 134

244 117 127

228 109 118

4.5 11.9 14.0 14.7 9.8 2.4 52.4 38.2

3.9 10.3 12.8 16.2 11.9 2.5 49.1 41.1

3.5 8.4 11.8 23.0 15.2 2.8 46.3 43.9

3.4 7.5 10.3 28.2 19.6 3.2 42.6 46.2

3.3 7.1 8.6 32.5 24.3 4.4 40.0 48.5

3.1 7.0 7.8 36.4 20.1 6.3 37.3 50.6

2.9 6.7 7.6 38.6 31.5 8.7 34.6 52.6

2.8 6.4 7.6 41.O 33.2 11.1 32.4 54.4

2.8 6.2 7.5 43.5 35.2 12.7 30.6 55.9

POpul.tlon (thouundo)

Total ....................................................

Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 60 01over .................. percentage aged 65 (x over .................. Percentage aged 80 (x over percentage of wormn aged 15-49 ......... Mediin age (years) .................................

12.6 9.2 2.2 55.1 35.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 -2025 -

Population change per year (thousanbrr) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .... Cnde death rate (per 1,ooOpopulatm).. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO papulation) . Total fertility (children per mnuvl) Net reproductioo rate (per woman)

........... ..........

~

~

~

0 0.14 9.2 7.0 -0.9 1.25 0.61

0 -0.02 7.9 7.2 -0.9 1.13 0.55

2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050

2025-2030 -2035

~~~~~

0 -0.16 7.1 7.8 -0.9 1.08 0.52

- 1 -0.28 6.9 8.8 -0.9 1.13 0.55

- 1 -0.46 6.6 10.4 -0.9 1.18 0.57

- 2 -0.71 6.1 12.3 -0.9 1.23 0.80

- 3 -0.95 5.7 14.2 -0.9 1.28 0.62

- 3

0.65

- 3 -1.38 5.4 17.9 -1.1 1.35 0.66

-1.16 5.5

t6.1 -1.o 1.33

E. CONSTANT-FERtlUTY VARIANT

Populdon (thousand.) Total ....................................................

................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. U&

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

292

297 144 153 38.0

300

302 147 155 42.6

301 147 154 44.5

298

146 154 40.5

291 141 150 48.1

262 137 146 49.5

271 131 140 50.7

258 125 133 51.4

141 151 35.5

145 153 48.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 Population growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OOO population) ..

0.32 11.O 7.0

0.23 10.3 7.1

0.12 9.6 7.6

-0.04 9.0 8.5

-0.23 8.4 9.8

United Nations Depadment of Ecanomic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehenshre Tables

-0.44 8.0 11.5

2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 -0.64 7.7 13.2

-0.81 7.5 14.6

-0.97 7.3 16.0

135

BELARUS A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................ .................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ...........

Age distribution

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ...................... ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

9 795 4567 5 228 87.4

9 529 4424 5 104 86.7

9 260 4287 4 972 86.2

8 974 4145 4 829 85.8

8 668 3993 4 675 85.4

8 346 3835 4 511 85.0

8 015 3676 4 339 84.7

7 674 3519 4 155 84.7

7 321 3362 3 960 84.9

4.6 11.0 16.4 18.1 14.4 2.3 6.2 4.0 4.8 10.0 51.2 37.4 47

4.7 9.7 14.7 18.4 13.5 3.1 5.7 3.0 3.6 9.4 49.6 38.4 46

4.7 9.7 11.6 19.7 13.7 3.3 5.8 2.9 2.9 7.2 47.2 39.6 45

4.5 9.8 10.2 22.2 15.0 3.6 5.9 3.0 3.0 6.1 45.9 41 .0 43

4.1 9.6 10.3 24.5 17.4 3.2 5.7 3.0 3.1 6.2 44.3 42.8 42

3.9 9.0 10.5 25.8 19.6 3.5 5.3 2.9 3.1 6.3 42.5 44.9 40

3.9 8.4 10.3 27.7 20.7 4.4 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.3 39.6 47.0 39

4.0 8.2 9.8 29.7 22.2 5.7 4.9 2.5 2.7 6.0 36.1 48.6 37

4.1 8.4 9.2 32.6 23.9 6.6 5.0 2.5 2.6 5.6 34.5 49.6 35

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BELARUS

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2020

2015

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.35 -0.36 11.3 14.7 -0.2 1.45 0.69

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

. 72 .0.75 7.5 14.8 .0.2 0.95 0.45

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) ..................... ...

9 795 4567 5 228 37.4

9 541 4430 5 110 38.3

9 269 4292 4 977 39.5

8 957 4136 4 821 41 0

.

8 613 3965 4 648 43.0

8 253 3787 4 466 45.2

7 879 3606 4 273 47.4

7 479 3418 4 061 49.5

7 050 3222 3 828 50.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.53 9.6 14.7

.0.58 9.3 14.9

.0.69 8.3 14.9

.0.78 7.3 14.9

.0.85 6.8 15.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.93 6.7 15.7

.1.04 6.5 16.7

.1.18 6.2 17.7

.1.32 5.8 18.7

BELGIUM

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... . ...... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... ....... Females ............................................. Both sexes comb~ned...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net rnigrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................ . .................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BELGIUM

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

10398 5089 5 309

10604 5197 5 408

10825 5310 5 514

11057 5429 5 627

11274 5539 5 735

11474 5636 5 838

11661 5724 5 937

11854 5814 8 040

12068 5918 6 150

5.4 11.6 12.1 22.1 17.3 4.3 46.3 40.3

6.0 11.0 11.9 23.5 17.5 5.0 44.5 41.4

6.2 11.3 11.5 24.8 18.6 5.5 42.2 42.1

6.4 12.0 10.9 26.4 19.8 5.7 40.1 42.4

6.2 12.4 11.1 28.1 21.3 5.6 39.3 42.4

6.1 12.5 11.9 29.2 22.9 6.4 39.1 42.4

6.1 12.3 12.3 29.8 23.9 7.2 39.4 42.2

6.3 12.1 12.4 29.7 24.2 8.1 39.6 41.8

8.5 12.3 12.1 29.3 24.0 8.9 39.6 40.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

41 0.39 12.0 10.0 1.9 1.90 0.92

44 0.41 12.5 10.2 1.9 2.06 1 .00

46 0.42 12.8 10.4 1.8 2.17 1 .05

43 0.39 12.5 10.4 1 .8 2.18 1 .06

40 0.35 12.3 10.5 1.8 2.20 1 .06

37 0.32 12.2 10.7 1.7 2.21 1.07

39 0.33 12.6 11.0 1.7 2.22 1.08

43 0.36 13.1 11.2 1.7 2.23 1.08

47 0.38 13.5 11.3 l .6 2.25 1 .09

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

10398 5089 5309

10439 5112 5327

10401 5093 5307

10312 5048 5264

10210 4994 5216

10089 4927 5162

9929 4838 5092

9718 4720 4996

9450 4579 4871

5.4 11.8 12.1 22.1 17.3 4.3 46.3 40.3

4.5 11.2 12.1 23.8 17.7 5.1 45.2 42.0

4.0 10.2 11.9 25.8 19.4 5.7 43.8 43.6

3.7 8.8 11.6 28.3 21.2 6.1 42.9 45.1

3.8 8.1 10.7 31 .0 23.5 8.2 41.6 46.4

3.8 7.9 9.3 33.2 28.1 7.3 40.3 47.6

3.7 8.0 8.6 34.9 28.1 8.5 38.8 48.7

3.5 7.9 8.5 36.2 29.6 9.9 37.4 49.8

3.2 7.7 8.7 37.4 30.6 11.4 36.2 51 .0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

8 0.08 8.9 10.0 l .9 1.40 0.67

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... . . . . .................... Females ......................... . ................. Median age (years) ................... . ..........

10398 5089 5 309 40.3

10517 5152 5 385 41.7

l0599 5195 5 404 42.9

10856 5224 5 432 43.9

10694 5242 5 452 44.6

10705 5242 5 463 45.2

10681 5222 5 459 45.9

10619 5182 5 437 46.5

10524 5128 5 396 46.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.23 10.3 10.0

0.16 10.0 10.4

0.11 9.9 10.7

0.07 9.7 10.9

0.02 9.5 11.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.05 9.3 11.6

.0.12 9.1 12.1

.0.18 9.0 12.7

.0.22 9.0 13.1

BELIZE A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ........................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .............................. Populatlon density (populatlon per sq km)

Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populatlon) .. Total ferlility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ..........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Males ........................................... Females ............................................ Sex rat10(males per 100 temales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................ Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage in school ages 6-11 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 ....... Percentage In school ages 15-17 ........ Percentage in school ages 18-23 ....... Percentage of women aged 15-49 . . . . . . . Medlan age (years) ............................. Populatlon density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) .................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mottallty rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-flve mortality (per 1,000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ............................

5

6 7 1 0 2.08 25.2 3.8 -0.7 2.93 1.41 16 20

6 7 1 0 1.83 22.9 4.0 -0.6 2.65 1.27 15 18

6 7 2 0 1.59 20.9 4.4 -0.6 2.41 1.16 14 16

7 2 0 1.41 19.0 4.4 -0.5 2.21 1.06 13 15

5 7 2 0 1.20 17.1 4.6 -0.5 2.04 0.98 12 14

73.3 79.2 76.1

73.1 79.6 76 2

72.5 79.3 75.8

74.0 80.2 77.0

74.8 80.9 77.8

4 7 0 1.01 15.3 4.8 -0.5 1.89 0.92 11 13

4 6 2 0 0.87 14.4 5.3 -0.5 1.85 0.90 10 l2

3 6 3 0 0.75 13.8 5.8 -0.4 1.85 0.90 9 11

3 6 3 0 0.63 13.1 6.4 -0.4 1.85 0.90 9 10

76.1 81.6 78.8

77.0 81.8 79.4

77.7 82.2 80.0

78.4 82.9 80.7

2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BELIZE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

276 139 137

309

1 55 1 53

344 1 73 171

379 190 189

413 207 207

447 223 224

480 239 241

513 255 258

546 271 274

13.1 24.6 20.6 5.8 4.2 0.9 51.4 20.9

12.6 22.9 20.0 6.1 4.2 0.9 52.4 22.1

12.1 21.6 19.5 6.8 4.5 1 .0 52.7 23.3

11.4 21.1 18.5 7.7 5.1 1 .0 52.2 24.4

10.5 20.4 17.8 8.9 5.9 1.1 51 .8 25.8

9.7 19.3 17.8 10.1 6.9 1.3 51.6 27.1

9.1 18.0 17.5 11.7 8.0 1.5 51.2 28.4

8.8 16.9 16.7 13.2 9.2 1.9 50.5 29.8

8.7 16.2 15.7 14.7 10.5 2.3 49.4 31.1

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgmwth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

7 2.28 27.2 3.8 -0.7 3.18 1.53

7 2.14 25.9 4.0 -0.6 3.05 1.46

7 1.95 24.4 4.3 -0.6 2.91 1.40

7 1.75 22.2 4.2 .0.5 2.71 1.31

7 1.56 20.4 4.3 -0.5 2.54 1.23

7 1.41 19.0 4.5 .0.4 2.39 1.16

7 1.33 18.4 4.8 .0.4 2.35 1.14

7 1.25 18.0 5.2 .0.4 2.35 1.14

6 1.15 17.4 5.6 -0.4 2.35 1.14

........... ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

347 174 1 73

365 182 183

380 189 191

392 194 197

400 198 202

404 200 205

8.2 18.1 20.2 8.4 5.5 l .1 56.9 26.9

7.4 16.0 18.5 10.0 6.7 1.2 56.9 29.3

6.5 14.5 16.4 11.9 8.1 1.5 56.1 31.9

5.6 13.1 14.8 14.3 9.8 1.9 54.5 34.6

5.1 11.6 13.7 17.0 11.9 2.5 52.7 37.4

4.7 10.4 12.6 19.9 14.1 3.1 50.2 40.2

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

276 139 137

303 152 150

327 1 64 163

13.1 24.6 20.6 5.8 4.2 0.9 51.4 20.9

10.8 23.3 20.4 6.3 4.3 1 .0 53.5 22.6

9.4 20.9 20.6 7.1 4.8 1 .0 55.4 24.6

. ............ .... . ..........

5 1.87 23.2 3.7 -0.7 2.68 1.29

Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

276 139 137 20.9

31 1 156 1 54 21.9

350 1 76 1 74 22.8

391 1 96 195 23.5

436 218 218 24.1

484 242 243 24.5

537 268 269 24.9

595 297 298 25.4

657 328 329 25.8

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.40 28.5 3.8

2.36 28.1 4.0

2.25 27.3 4.3

2.17 26.3 4.1

2.10 25.6 4.1

2.07 25.2 4.2

2.04 25.0 4.3

2.00 24.8 4.5

1.96 24.5 4.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrtbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OM) population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per l.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ....................... ......................... Males ................................... ........... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

.....

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy et blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

276 369 102 10 3.02 40.2 11.2 1.1 5.42 2.13 98 146

292 397 104 .2 2.76 37.5 9.8 .0.2 4.92 2.00 91 131

309 415 105 .2 2.55 34.3 8.6 .0.2 4.41 1.83 83 117

317 426 107 .2 2.32 31.2 7.8 -0.1 3.92 1.66

55.6 57.8

58.2 60.3 59.3

60.2 62.5 61.4

56.7

105

109 .2 2.12 26.4 7.2 -0.1 3.49 1.51 70 94

327 442 113 .2 1.94 26.2 6.7 .0.1 3.14 1.38 63 83

327 447 118 .2 1.77 24.1 6.4 .0.1 2.87 1.28 58 74

125 .2 1.60 22.2 6.2 .0.1 2.66 1.20 52 66

31 0 445 133 .2 1.43 20.5 6.1 .0.1 2.50 1.13 48 59

61.9 64.4 63.2

63.7 66.2 64.9

65.4 67.8 66.6

67.0 69.2 68.1

68.3 70.5 69.4

69.6 71.8 70.7

n

323 434

322 448

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2OOo

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (lhousandr) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

8490 4274 4 217

9948 5025 4 923

11549 5840 5 708

13300 6731 6 569

15136 7664 7 473

17069 8644 8 425

19120 9684 9 436

21283 10781 10 502

23521 11916 11 605

17.1 27.1 20.4 4.3 2.7 0.3 46.0 17.7

17.2 26.3 20.0 4.4 2.7 0.3 46.4 18.0

16.6 26.4 19.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 46.7 18.3

15.7 26.5 19.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 47.3 18.8

14.5 25.8 19.8 5.3 3.5 0.3 48.6 19.5

13.6 24.6 20.4 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.1 20.5

13.0 23.3 20.3 6.1 4.0 0.5 51 0 21.6

12.4 22.2 19.6 6.7 4.3 0.6 51.5 22.8

11.7 21.5 18.8 7.6 4.8 0.6 51.7 23.9

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populalion change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.OM) population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

291 3.17 41.9 11.3 11 5.67 2.23

.

320 2.98 40.0 10.0 -0.2 5.32 2.16

367 2.59 33.9 7.9 .0.1 4.42 1.88

350 2.82 37.2 8.9 -0.2 4.91 2.04

387 2.40 31.3 7.2 -0.1 3.99 1.73

410 2.27 29.5 6.7 -0.1 3.64 1.60

433 2.14 27.8 6.3 -0.1 3.37 1.50

448 2.00 26.1 8.0 -0.1 3.16 1.42

455 1.85 24.3 5.8 -0.1 3.00 1.36

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populallon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbulion Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

261 2.86 38.5 11.0 1.1 5.17 2.03

263 2.52 34.9 9.5 -0.2 4.52 1.83

267 2.27 31.3 8.4 -0.2 3.91 1.63

268 2.04 28.2 7.7 .0.2 3.42 1.45

262 1.81 25.4 7.1 .0.1 2.99 1.29

249 1.59 22.7 6.7 -0.1 2.64 1.16

232 1.37 20.3 6.5 -0.1 2.37 1.06

211 1.17 18.2 6.4 .0.1 2.16 0.97

186 0.98 16.4 6.5 .0.1 2.00 0.91

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

8 490 4274 4217 17.7

9 997 5050 4947 17.9

11 766 5951 5815 17.9

13 879 7026 6853 17.7

16 379 8296 8082 17.6

19 363 9812 9551 17.7

22 955 11639 11317 17.7

27 291 13844 13447 17.7

32 514 16502 16012 17.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3.27 43.0 11.4

3.26 43.0 10.3

3.30 42.4 9.2

3.31 41.6 8.4

3.35 41.2 7.7

3.40 41.1 7.0

3.46 41.0 6.4

3.50 40.9 5.9

3.53 40.8 5.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

BHUTAN

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...................

............ ....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................ ........................ Sexratio(rnaiesper100fernales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

..

637 335 302 111.1

684 361 323 111.8

737 369 347 112.2

780 410 370 110.7

819 428 391 109.4

851 442 409 108.1

877 453 424 106.9

900 462 438 105.6

920 469 450 104.3

9.9 23.1 23.0 6.9 4.6 0.5 13.7 7.4 7.1 13.8 52.4 22.3 14

8.5 19.2 22.4 7.4 5.0 0.7 11.2 6.2 6.7 13.4 56.6 25.0 15

8.7 16.1 20.0 8.0 5.4 0.9 9.4 5.1 5.5 12.4 58.3 27.4 16

8.5 15.5 16.7 9.1 5.9 1.0 9.4 4.3 4.6 10.2 57.8 29.7 17

7.8 15.8 14.4 10.1 6.9 1.1 9.6 4.6 4.2 8.6 56.4 32.0 17

6.9 15.2 14.0 11.8 7.7 1.2 9.1 4.6 4.6 8.2 55.3 34.2 18

6.3 13.9 14.7 13.5 9.2 1.4 8.2 4.4 4.5 8.8 53.6 36.3 19

6.1 12.6 14.3 16.3 10.7 18 7.4 4.0 4.2 8.7 50.7 37.9 19

6.1 11.9 13.2 19.9 13.1 2.1 7.1 3.6 3.7 8.1 47.4 39.1 20

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 OW live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..................... ................... ......... ............ ..

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BHUTAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

11 1.62 20.5 7.3 3.0 2.44 1 08

13 1.79 22.1 7.1 2.8 2.50 1.13

12 1.52 22.0 6.8 0.0 2.52 1.16

11 1.32 19.8 6.6 0.0 2.45 1.14

10 1.10 17.5 6.5 0.0 2.38 1.12

9 0.97 16.3 6.7 0.0 2.35 1.11

9 0.95 16.5 7.0 0.0 2.35 1.12

10 0.95 16.9 7.4 0.0 2.35 1.12

10 0.88 16.7 7.9 0.0 2.35 1.12

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................... ................... Females ............................................... Age dlatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

8 1.24 16.5 7.1 3.0 1.94 0.86

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

637 335 302 22.3

703 370 332 24.4

778 41 1

368 26.1

849 445 404 27.5

919 479 440 28.6

988 512 477 29.1

1 061 546 515 29.0

1 139

583 556 29.3

1 222 622 599 29.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.96 24.0 7.4

2.05 24.9 7.1

1.74 24.0 6.7

1.58 22.2 6.4

1.46 20.9 6.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.42 20.5 6.3

1.42 20.7 6.5

1.39 20.6 6.7

1.34 20.4 7.0

BOLIVIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

2 714 1 353 99.5

3 006 1 493 1 513 98.7

3 351 1 660 1 692 98.1

16.9 24.5 19.3 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.7 19.2 2

17.0 24.9 18.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.4 19.0 3

17.2 25.6 18.3 5.5 3.3 0.3 45.6 18.7 3

1 3M)

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..................... ...................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

9182 4575 4 607 99.3

10031 5003 5 028 99.5

10854 5418 5 437 99.7

11638 5812 5 826 99.8

12368 6178 6 190 99.8

13034 6511 6 523 99.8

13626 6806 6 820 99.8

14136 7057 7 079 99.7

14561 7266 7 298 99.6

14908 7430 7 478 99.4

13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 15.0 7.1 6.4 11.2 48.9 20.8 8

12.4 23.4 20.0 7.2 4.8 0.7 14.2 6.7 6.6 11.7 50.3 21.9 9

11.4 22.1 19.9 7.8 5.2 0.8 13.4 6.5 6.2 11.8 51.4 23.2 10

10.4 20.7 19.3 8.6 5.8 1 .0 12.4 6.1 6.1 11.4 52.4 24.8 11

9.6 19.3 18.7 9.5 6.5 1.1 11.6 5.8 5.7 11.2 52.9 26.4 11

8.8 17.9 17.8 10.6 7.3 1.3 10.7 5.4 5.4 10.6 53.1 28.2 12

8.1 16.7 16.9 12.1 8.3 1.6 10.0 5.1 5.1 10.1 52.9 30.1 12

7.4 15.5 16.0 13.7 9.6 1.9 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.6 52.2 32.0 13

6.9 14.4 15.1 15.4 11.0 2.3 8.6 4.4 4.5 9.1 50.8 34.0 13

6.5 13.5 14.2 17.5 12.5 2.8 8.0 4.1 4.2 8.6 49.2 35.9 14

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per l. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comb~ned............................

.. .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BOLIVIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

9182 4 575 4 607

10115 5 046 5 069

11090 5 538 5 552

12085 6 040 6 045

13052 6 527 6 525

13994 7 001 6 993

14917 7 465 7 453

15815 7 914 7 901

16683 8 347 8 336

13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8

13.1 23.2 19.8 7.1 4.7 0.7 49.9 21.7

11.8 21.8 18.6 8.3 5.6 0.9 50.5 23.7

10.9 21.0 18.3 9.0 6.2 10 50.8 24.8

10.2 19.9 18.2 9.9 6.8 1.2 51.1 26.1

9.6 18.7 17.8 11.1 7.6 1.5 51.3 27.4

9.2 17.7 17.1 12.2 8.6 1.7 50.9 28.8

8.7 16.9 16.2 13.5 9.6 2.0 50.0 30.2

12.5 22.4 19.5 7.6 5.l 0.8 50.3 22.7

.

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

187 1.94 29.1 7.7 .2.1 3.75 1.65

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

9182 4 575 4 607

9946 4 960 4 986

10616 5 296 5 320

I1186 5 582 5 605

11680 5 827 5 853

12078 6 023 6 054

12364 6 162 6 202

12534 6 240 6 294

12594 6 261 6 333

13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8

11.6 23.6 20.1 7.3 4.8 0.7 50.7 22.1

10.2 21.8 20.3 8.0 5.4 0.8 52.5 23.8

8.9 19.4 20.1 8.9 6.0 1.0 54.5 25.9

8.1 17.3 19.1 10.1 6.9 1.2 55.2 28.1

7.2 15.6 17.3 11.5 7.9 1.4 55.3 30.4

6.4 14.3 15.7 13.4 9.2 1.8 54.7 33.0

5.6 12.9 14.4 15.4 10.9 2.2 53.4 35.7

5.0 11.5 13.4 17.8 12.7 2.7 51.3 38.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

153 1.60 25.6 7.5 -2.1 3.25 1.43

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populetlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ....................... ......

..

9182 4 575 4 607 20.8

10185 5 081 5 104 21.5

11336 5 663 5 672 22.1

12626 6 316 6 310 22.5

14050 7 036 7 013 22.6

15623 7 833 7 791 22.8

17381 8 722 8 658 23.0

19352 9 720 9 632 23.2

21567 10 841 10 726 23.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.07 30.5 7.7

2.14 30.5 7.2

2.16 30.0 6.8

2.14 29.3 6.4

2.12 28.7 6.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume t Comprehensive Tables

2.13 28.4 5.9

2.15 28.2 5.7

2.17 28.1 5.5

2.18 28.0 5.4

24048 12 097 11 952 23.5

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................ Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... ...................... Females ................... ... ...................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

12 0.31 10.5 9.5 2.0 1.48 0.70

2 0.05 11.2 10.7 0.0 1.66 0.79

.1 .0.02 11.4 11.6 0.0 1.81 0.86

.5 .0.13 10.9 12.2 0.0 1.86 0.88

.8 .0.21 10.5 12.6 0.0 1.91 0.91

.9 .0.23 10.4 12.7 0.0 1.96 0.93

.9 .0.22 10.8 13.0 0.0 2.01 0.96

.8 .0.21 11.3 13.4 0.0 2.06 0.98

.8 -0.22 11.6 13.8 0.0 2.11 1.01

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... ................ Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.2 .0.04 7.0 9.5 2.0 0.98 0.46

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) ......................... Total ....................... . Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

3 915 1 904 2 01 1 37.1

3 948 1 919 2 029 39.0

3 909 1 899 2 009 41 0

0.17 9.1 9.5

.0.20 8.8 10.8

.0.36 8.3 11.9

.

3 839 1 866 1 973 42.9

. p p

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

.0.49 7.8 12.8

3 746 1 822 1 924 44.7

3 633 1 768 1 865 46.3

3 506 1 707 1 799 48.0

3 366 1 640 1 726 49.8

3 213 1 565 1 648 51.2

.0.71 6.7 13.8

.0.82 6.3 14.5

.0.93 6.1 15.4

.1.06 5.9 16.5

..

p~

.0.61 7.2 13.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3 048 1 485 1 563 52.7

BOTSWANA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population denslty (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Both sexes cornb~ned............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ...................................... ..... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1 836 91 1 925 98.4 11.8 23.8 23.4 5.1 3.4 0.4 14.3 7.2 7.2 14.1 52.9 21 .1 3

1 953

974 978 99.6

2 062 1 035 1026 100.9

2 165 1 093 1072 102.0

2 265 1 148 1116 102.9

2 358 1200 1158 103.6

2 445 1 246 1199 104.0

2 533 1 292 1241 104.1

2 620 1 335 1285 103.9

11.4 22.0 22.5 5.4 3.6 0.5 13.1 6.7 6.7 13.5 53.8 22.4 3

11.1 21 .0 20.9 8.2 3.8 0.5 12.7 6.1 6.2 12.6 54.2 23.6 4

10.6 20.7 19.4 6.8 4.4 0.6 12.5 6.0 5.8 11.7 54.6 24.6 4

9.9 20.2 18.8 7.1 4.9 0.7 12.2 6.0 5.9 11.1 55.5 25.6 4

9.3 19.2 18.9 7.3 5.1 0.7 11.5 5.8 5.8 11.3 56.4 26.5 4

8.8 18.1 18.6 7.5 5.2 0.9 10.8 5.5 5.6 11.2 56.4 27.5 4

8.4 17.1 17.9 8.5 5.4 l .0 10.2 5.2 5.3 10.8 55.7 28.7 4

8.1 16.3 16.9 10.2 6.2 1 .0 9.8 4.9 5.0 10.2 54.6 30.0 5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five moriality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ............................

23 47 27 3 1.23 24.9 14.1 l .6 2.90 1.14 46 68

22 48 28 2 1.09 23.9 14.1 1 .0 2.68 1.09 38 52

21 48 28 1 0.98 22.6 13.2 0.5 2.51 1.06 31 40

20 46 28 1 0.90 21.0 12.4 0.5 2.37 1.04 27 34

19 45 27 1 0.81 19.4 11.8 0.4 2.26 1.01 23 29

17 44 28 1 0.73 18.3 11.5 0.4 2.16 0.99 20 25

17 44 27 0.70 17.5 10.9 0.4 2.07 0.96 18 22

0.68 16.7 10.3 0.4 1.99 0.93 16 20

17 42 26 1 0 63 15.7 9.9 0.4 1.92 0.91 15 17

50.5 50.7 50.7

52.2 51.6 52.0

54.7 54.0 54.5

57.1 56.4 56.9

59.1 58.9 59.1

60.5 60.8 60.7

62.2 63.2 62.7

64.0 65.5 64.7

65.8 67.9 66.7

1

17 43 27 1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BOTSWANA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlslrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

....

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1836 911 925

1972 984 988

2115 1062 1053

2264 1 143 1121

2411 1222 1189

2558 1 300 1257

2708 1 379 1329

2874 1 464 1410

3053 1 554 1499

3237 1 645 1592

11.8 23.8 23.4 5.1 3.4 0.4 52.9 21 .l

12.3 21.7 22.2 5.3 3.6 0.5 53.3 22.2

12.5 21.3 20.4 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.9 23.0

12.2 22.1 18.6 6.5 4.2 0.6 52.2 23.4

11.3 22.3 18.5 6.7 4.6 0.6 52.9 23.8

10.7 21.4 19.5 6.7 4.7 0.6 54.0 24.2

10.3 20.1 19.7 6.8 4.7 0.8 54.5 24.9

10.2 19.2 19.0 7.4 4.7 0.9 54.1 25.9

10.0 18.7 17.8 8.7 5.3 0.9 53.2 26.9

9.6 18.5 17.0 10.2 6.5 0.9 52.5 27.9

27 1.43 26.9 14.2 1.6 3.15 1.23

29 1.40 27.0 14.0 1 .0 3.08 1.25

30 1.36 26.1 13.0 0.5 3.01 1.27

29 1.26 24.1 12.0 0.4 2.87 1.26

29 1.18 22.5 11.1 0.4 2.76 1.24

30 1.15 21.7 10.6 0.4 2.66 1.22

33 1.19 21.5 10.0 0.4 2.57 1.19

36 1.21 21 .1 9.3 0.3 2.49 1.17

37 1.17 20.1 8.7 0.3 2.42 1.14

6 0.27 14.7 12.5 0.5 1.66 0.76

4 0.18 13.4 12.0 0.5 1.57 0.73

2 0.11 12.3 11.6 0.5 1.49 0.70

1 0.03 11.2 11.3 0.5 1.42 0.67

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

20

1.04 22.8 14.1 1.6 2.65 1.04

15 0.76 20.7 14.1 1 .0 2.28 0.93

10 0.50 17.5 13.0 0.5 1.87 0.82

12 0.57 18.8 13.5 0.5 2.01 0.85

8 0.40 16.0 12.5 0.5 1.76 0.79

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 836 911 925 21 .1

1 973 984 22.2

2 118 1064 1054 22.9

2 275 1 149 1 127 23.3

2 445 1240 1206 23.4

2 630 1337 1293 23.4

2 832 1441 1390 23.8

3 061 1 558 1502 24.2

3 319 1888 1 631 24.7

3 608 1 832 1 776 25.1

1.44 26.9 14.2

1.43 27.3 14.0

1.43 26.8 12.9

1.44 25.9 11.9

1.45 25.1 11.0

1.48 24.8 10.4

1.55 24.7 9.5

1.62 24.7 8.8

1.67 24.4 8.1

988

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BRAZIL

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentaga of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Popula!ion change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortallly rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 ......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populat~on). Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-f~vemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... ....

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BRAZIL

.

C HMHVARIANT

popu-

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

186 831 82 183

200 924

112801 116403

242 347 119 196 123 151

254 993 125 336 129 658

267 305 131 309 135 996

279 454 137 217 142 238

291 206 142 950 148 258

3M4w

94648

215 202 105 970 109 232

229203

99025 101 899

9.7 18.2 18.9 8.8 6.1 1.2 54.8 28.9

9.9 17.6 16.8 9.9 6.7 1.4 53.0 28.2

9.6 17.6 15.6 11.2 7.6 1.6 51.0 29.6

9.1 17.6 15.2 12.8 8.7 1.9 49.3 30.6

8.6 17.1 15.5 14.6 10.1 2.1 48.5 31.4

8.3 18.3 15.7 16.1 11.6 2.5 47.4 32.1

8.1 15.8 15.4 17.4 12.9 3.0 46.2 32.7

8.0 15.3 14.8 18.9 13.9 3.6 45.3 33.4

7.9 15.1 14.3 20.3 15.1 4.2 44.9 34.1

7.8 15.0 14.0 21.2 16.3 4.7 44.6 34.8

(W-W

Total .................................................... Msko ...................................................

148 445 153 955

4pdkMbulbn mtwaged0-4 Percantage aged 5-14 .......................... hcmtage alpd 15-24 .........................

Pemtqp nged 80 or over .................. Percantaga aged 65 or over .................. Percentegn aged 80 or over .................. Penmtage of WQnen @ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2o302035 m352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

PopJetkmchnngeperyear(thanrands) . PopJetbng m l h rate (per cent)............ Cnnb bwI rate (per 1.OOO poprlatbn) Crude deeth rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net rng i ramrate (per 1 OOO popdaiar) . Tdal fertulty (chikkenp e r m ) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..

....

........... ..........

2819 1.45 21.1 6.4 0.2 2.50 1.17

2858 1.37 20.3 6.4 -0.2 2.55 1.20

2800 1.26 19.3

2629 1.12 18.0 6.7 0.2 2.48 1.16

6.5 0.2 2.58 1.21

2529 1.02 17.2 6.9 -0.2 2.42 1.15

2462 16.8 7.2 -0.1 2.36 1.13

2430 0.89 16.6 7.6 -0.1 2.35 1.13

2350 0.82 16.3 8.0 -0.1 2.35 1.13

2239 0.75 16.0 8.3 -0.1 2.35 1.13

0.94

.

D LOWVARIANT

Popu-(-.) Tatal ....................................................

Males ..........................................

Females ...............................................

40di.blkrtlon

percentaoeaged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage nged 60 or over .................. Percentaw aged 65 or over .................. Percantageaged 80 or over .................. pereenteeeOfmflged1549 ......... Medlan age (ye.918) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

186 831 92 183

197 029 97 037

204 872 100 69s

94648

99992

104 174

210 741 103 379 107 382

215 294 105 391 109 903

218 114 108 522 111 592

218 923 108 638 112285

217 W5 105 875 112 080

215 340 104 297 111 043

211 103 101 953 109 150

9.7 18.2 18.9 8.8 6.1 1.2 54.8 26.9

8.1 17.9 17.1 10.1 6.8 1.5 54.0 28.8

6.9 16.5 16.4 11.8 7.9 1.7 53.4 31.1

6.1 14.3 16.6 13.9 9.5 2.0 53.5 33.4

5.7 12.5 15.6 18.4 11.4 2.4 52.6 35.6

5.2 11.4 13.7 18.8 13.6 2.9 50.8 37.8

4.6 10.7 12.2 21.3 15.7 3.7 47.9 39.9

4.2 9.7 11.3 24.2 17.8 4.6 45.7 42.2

3.9 8.9 10.7 27.5 20.4 5.7 43.8 44.4

3.7 8.4 10.0 30.3 23.3 8.7 41.4 46.7

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

l%pulntbnchangeperyenr(tlKuamb) . Populntkm growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.OOO popllatbn) CrudecJenlhrnte(per1.000population) .. Net m t i o n rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fiertility (CMldren per woman) ........... Nei reproductkm rate @er woman) ..........

....

.

2040 1.08 17.2 6.3 -0.2 2.00 0.94

1569 0.78 14.5 6.5 -0.2 1.75 0.83

1174 0.57 12.8 6.7 -0.2 1.58 0.74

911 0.43 11.6 7.2 -0.2 1.48 0.71

564 0.26 10.5 7.7 -0.2 1.42 0.88

162 0.07 9.3 8.4 -0.2 1.36 0.65

. 192

. 525

-0.09 8.5 9.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65

-0.24 7.9 10.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65

. 847 -0.40 7.4 11.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERllLlTY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

186 831 S2 183 94 848 28.9

199 759 98 431 101 328 28.4

212 428 104 554 107 874

224 &90 110 501 114 195 31.3

238 589 118 258 120 331 32.3

248 173 121 858 126 315 33.1

259 410 127 287 132 122 33.9

270 182 132 497 137 885 34.6

280 416 137 463 142 954 35.2

290 132 142 211 147 920 35.7

popu-(-)

Total ....................................................

Ma!m ................................................... Females ............................................... Meaan ege (years) .................................

30.0

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035.2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

poplatlon growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude wh rate (per 1.OOO popllatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) ..

.

1.34 20.0 6.3

1.23 18.9 6.4

1.12 17.9 6.5

1.03 17.3 6.8

0.96 16.8 7.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World populetbn Prappecls: The 2006 Rwision. Volume I: Compr&snsive Tables

0.89 16.4 7.4

0.81 16.1 7.8

0.74 15.8 8.2

0.68 15.5 8.6

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ..........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percenlage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve blrths) Under-live mortal~ly(per 1.000 llve b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ............................

IJnited Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM C. HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thoumnds) Total ....................................................

........ Females ...............................................

Age dlmlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

..

..

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

374 194 180

419 216 203

466 239 227

514 263 251

561 285 275

608 308 300

657 331 326

706 355 352

756 378 378

606 403 404

10.7 18.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 0.4 60.0 26.2

10.8 17.6 17.5 5.7 3.4 0.5 59.2 27.1

10.4 17.4 16.6 7.3 4.2 0.6 58.1 27.9

9.9 17.4 15.6 9.2 5.6 0.7 56.0 28.8

9.2 16.9 15.7 10.5 7.1 0.8 54.8 29.7

8.9 16.1 15.9 12.2 8.2 1.1 53.5 30.5

8.8 15.4 15.5 13.5 9.5 1.6 52.2 31.1

8.7 15.3 14.8 14.9 10.5 2.1 50.8 31.7

8.6 15.3 14.3 16.0 11.6 2.4 49.5 32.3

8.4 15.2 14.2 16.9 12.5 2.9 48.8 32.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 2.27 23.7 2.8 1.8 2.54 1.22

9 2.14 22.7 3.0 1.6 2.51 1.21

10 1.96 21.4 3.3 1.4 2.45 1.16

9 1.74 19.6 3.6 1.3 2.35 1.13

9 1.62 19.2 4.1 1.2 2.35 1.13

10 1.53 18.8 4.6 1.1 2.35 1.13

10 1.45 18.6 5.1 1.o 2.35 1.13

10 1.37 18.3 5.6 1 .o 2.35 1.13

10 1.28 17.8 5.9 0.9 2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percantap aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or Over Percentageof women aged 15-49 .........

..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

374 194 180

410 211 198

441 226 215

468 239 229

492 250 242

515 260 255

534 268 266

550 275 276

561 278 283

569 281 288

10.7 18.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 0.4 60.0 26.2

6.6 18.0 17.9 5.6 3.4 0.5 60.6 27.6

7.4 16.3 17.5 7.7 4.4 0.7 61.4 29.3

6.3 13.8 17.2 10.1 6.1 0.8 61.5 31.3

5.9 11.8 16.0 12.0 8.1 0.9 60.6 33.3

5.7 10.5 13.9 14.4 9.7 1.3 58.3 35.3

5.5 10.1 12.1 16.6 11.7 1.9 55.4 37.3

5.1 9.9 11.1 19.1 13.5 2.7 52.7 39.2

4.6 9.4 10.9 21.5 15.6 3.2 50.1 41.1

4.4 6.7 10.8 24.0 17.7 4.1 47.6 42.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

7 1.83 19.3 2.8 1.8 2.04 0.98

6 1.47 16.1 3.0 1.6 1.71 0.82

5 1.16 13.7 3.4 1.5 1.45 0.70

5 1.01 12.7 4.0 1.5 1.35

0.65

5 0.90 12.3 4.7 1.4 1.35 0.65

4 0.76 11.7 5.5 1.3 1.35 0.65

3 0.58 10.8 6.3 1.3 1.35 0.65

2 0.40 9.9 7.2 1.3 1.35 0.65

1 0.26 9.4 8.0 1.2 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon (thoumnda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

374 194 180 26.2

418 215 202 27.1

465 239 226 26.0

513 262 251 26.8

563 267 277 29.6

614 311 303 30.2

665

717

771

335 330

360

386

357 31.2

385 31.6

825 413 413 32.0

30.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............. ..

Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population)

2.23 23.3 2.8

2.12 22.6 3.0

1.99 21.7 3.3

1.85 20.6 3.6

1.72 20.1 4.1

United Nations Depattment of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division WO& Popul8tion frospecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.61 19.5 4.6

1.52 19.2 5.1

1.44 18.9 5.5

1.37 18.7 5.8

155

BULGARIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percenlage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rale (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

BULGARIA

.

C HMVARUNT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7 745 3758 3 937

7535 3642 3893

7333 3538 3796

7 121 3432 3888

8881

8 847 3203 3444

8436

8 253 3020 3233

6085

3 317 3 567

5917 2872 3045

4.4 9.4 13.8 22.9 17.2 3.2 47.0 40.8

5.3 8.8 11.9 24.4 17.5 3.8 45.4 41.5

5.4 9.9 9.7 25.5 18.8 4.3 43.1 42.4

5.2 11.0 9.0 26.5 19.9 4.3 41.2 43.5

4.8 11.1 10.3 27.5 21.0 4.5 39.8 44.9

4.8 10.5 11.8 28.6 21.8 5.3 38.2 46.0

5.3 10.1 11.8

5.7 10.4 10.9 31.7 23.9 8.4 35.2 46.8

5.9 11.3 10.4 32.9 25.5 8.7 34.9 45.3

popul.tla,

(thou-) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F m l e a ...............................................

3 104 3333

2 945 3 139

wd-

Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage nged 514 .......................... Pecantage 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. k m n l a g ~ a g e d 6 5 o r o v e.................. r perCeniage aged 80 w over .................. percentageof mwnen eged 15-49 Median age (yearn) ... ......

.........

30.0

22.7 5.9 38.8 46.9

5.8 11.9 10.8 33.7 28.8 7.2

36.2 43.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2a30 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050

.

poplhtbnchanoe per year (tharecMds) Populationgmlhrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rnte (per 1.000 populatbn) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 poptdnlkn) .. Nel m4gratii rate (per 1 000 w t i o n ) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m) ..........

.

-42 -0.55 10.8 14.7 -1.3 1.56 0.74

-40

-42

-48

4.54

-0.59

-0.88

10.8 14.9 -1.3 1.74 0.83

10.4 14.9 -1.4 1.89 0.90

9.6 15.0 -1.4 1.94 0.93

. 47 -0.10 9.6 15.2 -1.5 1.99 0.95

-42 10.5 15.4 -1.5 2.04 0.93

-37 -0.58 11.4 15.8 -1.8 2.09 1.00

-34 4.55 11.7 15.5 -1.8 2.14 1.03

-34 4.56 11.8 15.5 -1.7 2.19 1 .05

-0.84

.

D LOWVARUNT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2w5

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7745 3 750 3 987

7408 3 577 3 831

7025 3 379 3 646

8820

8 213 2 972 3 241

5-

5392

3 175 3 445

2770 3034

2 587 2 825

4 973 2362 2811

4552 2 158 2 394

4131 1954 2177

4.4 9.4 13.8 22.9 17.2 3.2 47.0 40.8

3.8 8.9 12.2 24.8 17.8 3.9 46.1 42.1

3.1 8.6 10.1

2.7 7.2 9.7 28.5

30.5

19.6 4.5 44.9 43.8

21.4 4.8 44.1 45.8

23.2 5.0 41.9 48.0

2.5 5.6 8.9 35.9 27.1 7.1 34.8 52.4

2.2 5.5

28.6

2.8 5.8 8.0 32.7 25.0 8.1 38.5

2.4

6.2 9.4

2.1 5.2 6.3 48.2 38.1 10.3 27.3 58.9

Popul4nam (thouunc(.)

........

.............................

Males ................................................... Femelea ...............................................

perantnge epd M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... percentaOe 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OvBr .................. hnmtqpaged65orover .................. perCentagenged80orwec .................. perCentageofwomenaged15-49......... Median age (years)

.................................

2.6

50.3

5.6

8.4 39.9 30.1 8.0 31.1 54.6

6.3

44.0 34.1 9.0 28.7 56.8

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 population chance per Y- 1- ( . Populationgrowlh rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1 .m populalh) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO popllation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OW poplletkn) .

.

...........

Total ferte(ty (childrenper wman) Net reproduction rate (per mwnan) ..........

. 67 -0.89 7.2 14.8 -1.3 1.08 0.51

-77 -1.06 8.1 15.3 -1.4 0.94 0.45

.81 -1.19 5.3 15.7 -1.5

. 81 -1.27 5.2 18.3 -1.6 0.94 0.45

0.89

0.42

-82 -1.36 5.0 17.0 -1.7 0.99 0.47

-83 -1.48 4.9 17.9 -1.8 I .04 0.50

-64

-1.82 4.7 19.0 -1.9 1.09 0.52

0.54

-84 -1.94 4.1 21.2 -2.3 1.19 0.57

-84 -1.77 4.4 20.0 -2.1 1.14

.

E CONSTANT-FERTWTY VARUNT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

M30

2035

2040

2045

2050

7 745 3758 3 887 40.8

7 456 3802 3 854 41.9

7 141 3439 3 702 43.3

6 799

8439 3089 3 351

6 071

3267 3 532

5 697 2724 2 973

4 925 2349 2 576

4 533 2160 2 372

44.9

48.9

5 313 2536 2 777 52.8

54.6

55.9

poPu-(-)

Totel .................................................... Males ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................

...............................................

2907 3 184 48.9

50.9

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............

Pqulationgrowth rate@ercmt) Crude wh rnte (per 1.000 populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000POpJation) ..

-0.76 8.5 14.8

-0.86 7.9 15.2

-0.98

7.1 15.4

-1.09 8.4 15.8

-1.18 82 18.3

United Nations Deparbnent of Eco~wnic and Social Affairslpopulation Division W& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vdume I: Comprehensive Tables

-1.27 8.0

17.0

-1.40 5.7 17.9

-1.52 5.4 18.8

-1.68 5.1 19.5

157

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... AV dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

.........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

3 983 2 032 1 951 104.1

4 242 2 163 2 079 104.0

4 563 2 323 2 240 103.7

4 933 2 499 2 433 102.7

5 449 2 747 2 702 101.7

6 097 3 056 3 042 100.5

6 827 3 399 3 429 99.1

7 709 3 818 3 891 98.1

8 871 4 391 4 480 98.0

15.0 25.0 19.8 3.8 2.1 0.2 50.4 19.8 15

16.4 23.7 19.5 4.6 2.6 0.2 49.7 19.7 15

16.6 23.6 19.7 5.3 3.1 0.3 49.0 19.6 17

17.2 25.1 18.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 46.3 19.2 18

18.4 25.6 17.9 6.1 3.9 0.4 44.6 18.0 20

19.2 26.7 18.4 6.3 4.1 0.5 43.0 17.0 22

19.2 28.4 18.6 6.3 4.2 0.6 41.9 16.2 25

19.1 29.0 19.4 6.1 4.2 0.6 41.9 15.9 28

19.1 28.5 20.5 5.6 4.0 0.7 42.9 16.1 32

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

13 933 6962 6971 99.9

16 097 8067 8030 100.5

18 475 9278 9197 100.9

21 034 10580 10454 101.2

23 729 11948 11780 101.4

26 505 13356 13149 101.6

29 309 14774 14535 101.6

32 101 16183 15918 101.7

34 845 17564 17281 101.6

18.2 27.9 20.2 4.5 3.1 0.7 17.2 7.5 6.7 11.7 45.5 16.8 51

17.8 27.6 20.3 4.0 2.9 0.6 17.0 7.5 6.8 11.7 46.3 17.1 59

16.9 27.3 20.5 3.9 2.6 0.6 16.8 7.4 6.8 11.9 47.3 17.7 67

15.9 26.7 20.6 4.0 2.6 0.5 16.4 7.4 6.8 12.0 48.3 18.3

14.8 25.8 20.8 4.3 2.7 0.5 15.8 7.3 6.8 12.1 49.4 19.2 87

13.7 24.7 20.8 4.8 3.0 0.5 15.0 7.1 6.7 12.2 50.6 20.3 97

12.7 23.5 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.5 14.2 6.8 6.5 12.1 51.7 21.6 107

11.8 22.2 20.1 6.4 4.1 0.6 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.9 52.7 22.9 117

11.0 21.0 19.5 7.2 4.7 0.6 12.6 6.2 6.0 11.6 53.3 24.3 127

77

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cwde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

13 933 6962 6 971

16 216 8127 8 089

18 812 9449 9 362

21 686 10911 10 775

24 758 12472 12 287

26 011 14121 13 890

31 437 15856 15 582

35 027 17670 17 357

18.2 27.9 20. 2 4.5 3.1 0.7 45.5 16.8

18.4 27.4 20.2 4.0 2.9 0.6 46.0 16.9

17.7 27.4 20.1 3.8 2.6 0.5 46.4 17.2

18.9 27.4 20.0 3.9 2.5 0.5 46.8 17.6

15.8 26.9 20.4 4.1 2.6 0.5 47.8 18.3

14.8 25.9 20.8 4.5 2.8 0.4 49.0 19.2

13.9 24.7 20.8 5.2 3.2 0.5 50.2 20.2

13.1 23.5 20.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 51.2 21.4

457 3.03 45.7 14.5 -0.9 6.25 2.28

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

409 2.74 42.4 14.2 -0.9 5.75 2.10

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

13 933 6 962 6 971 16.8

16 257 8 148 8 109 16.9

19 052 9 572 9 480 16.9

22 390 11 270 11 121 16.9

26 383 13 298 13 085 16.9

31 192 15 739 15 453 16.9

37 009 18 688 18 321 16.9

44 045 22 254 21 791 16.9

52 549 26 562 25 987 16.8

3.09 46.3 14.6

3.1 7 46.0 13.6

3.23 45.4 12.5

3.28 44.7 11.4

3.35 44.3 10.4

3.42 44.1 9.6

3.48 43.9 8.8

3.53 43.7 8.2

3.57 43.5 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

62 829 31 770 31 060 16.7

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2 456 1 176 1280 91.9

2 687 1 288 1399 92.1

2 940 1 411 1529 92.3

3 213 1 544 1669 92.5

3 514 1 691 1823 92.7

3 680 1 762 1919 91.8

4 130 1 987 2143 92.8

4 885 2 368 2517 94.1

5 692 2 775 2918 95.1

6 242 3 038 3205 94.8

6 668 3 233 3436 94.1

16.3 24.5 19.0 5.2 3.2 0.3 48.4 19.5 88

18.2 24.5 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.7 18.6 97

17.8 26.2 18.3 5.1 3.0 0.3 45.5 18.0 106

17.5 27.5 18.4 5.2 3.1 0.3 44.6 17.5 115

17.4 27.2 19.7 5.3 3.3 0.3 44.9 17.4 126

17.5 27.9 20.6 5.5 3.4 0.3 44.2 17.0 132

17.7 27.0 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.3 45.2 17.3 148

18.5 25.7 20.3 5.1 3.3 0.3 46.3 17.7 176

19.1 26.3 18.8 4.7 3.1 0.3 45.6 17.3 205

18.5 28.7 18.2 4.4 2.9 0.3 44.3 16.4 224

17.9 30.0 19.7 4.2 2.8 0.3 43.8 15.9 240

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) LIfa expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7859 3 837 4022 95.4

9553 4 692 4861 96.5

11223 5 532 5690 97.2

13062 6 456 6607 97.7

15040 7 446 7595 98.0

17232 8 540 8692 98.3

19720 9 781 9940 98.4

22476 11 153 11323 98.5

25374 12 594 12780 98.5

28315 14 054 14261 98.5

17.7 27.4 21.9 4.0 2.6 0.3 16.6 7.8 7.4 12.7 46.0 17.0 282

18.8 25.4 20.9 3.9 2.5 0.3 15.6 6.8 6.5 12.5 46.7 17.7 343

19.2 26.7 18.6 4.1 2.4 0.3 16.8 6.6 5.9 10.9 45.1 17.1 403

18.2 28.5 17.8 4.3 2.6 0.3 17.9 7.3 6.1 10.2 44.4 16.7 469

17.0 28.6 19.2 4.4 2.8 0.3 17.6 7.8 6.9 10.8 45.6 17.0

16.3 27.3 20.9 4.4 2.9 0.3 16.7 7.7 7.2 12.1 47.2 17.7 619

16.0 26.2 21.1 4.4 2.9 0.4 16.0 7.3 6.9 12.4 47.9 18.5 709

15.4 25.7 20.4 4.7 3.0 0.4 15.8 7.0 6.6 12.0 48.3 19.2 808

14.4 25.3 19.9 5.4 3.2 0.4 15.6 7.0 6.5 11.6 49.1 19.9 912

13.3 24.6 20.0 6.0 3.8 0.5 15.0 7.0 6.6 11.6 50.6 20.8 1017

5U)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.. .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

7 859 3837 4 022

9 619 4725 4 893

11 415 5629 5 786

13 437 6644 6 794

15 628 7740 7 888

18 103 8976 9 127

21 002 10422 10 580

24 331 12081 12 250

27 961 13889 14 073

17.7 27.4 21.9 4.0 2.6 0.3 46.0 17.0

19.4 25.2 20.8 3.8 2.4 0.3 46.4 17.5

20.0 26.8 18.3 4.0 2.4 0.3 44.3 16.7

19.1 29.1 17.3 4.2 2.6 0.3 43.2 16.0

17.8 29.4 18.9 4.2 2.7 0.3 44.3 16.3

17.2 28.2 20.9 4.2 2.8 0.3 45.9 17.0

17.1 27.0 21.3 4.2 2.7 0.4 46.7 17.6

16.7 26.6 20.4 4.4 2.7 0.4 46.9 18.1

15.8 26.6 19.8 4.9 2.9 0.4 47.5 18.6

352 4.04 48.6 15.8 7.4 7.05 2.51

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

326 3.77 45.5 15.4 7.5 6.55 2.33

309 3.01 44.8 14.3 .0.4 6.23 2.29

331 2.80 41.3 13.0 -0.3 5.76 2.19

353 2.81 38.2 11.9 .0.3 5.35 2.09

383 2.49 36.0 10.9 -0.3 4.90 1.97

420 2.41 34.3 9.9 -0.2 4.41 1.83

445 2.28 32.0 9.1 -0.2 3.90 1.66

446 2.05 29.0 8.3 -0.2 3.40 1.48

431 1.80 25.9 7.7 -0.2 2.98 1.32

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ....................... . ......

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

7859 3837 4 022 17.0

9553 4692 4 861 17.7

11258 5550 5 708 17.0

13239 6544 6 695 16.3

15512 7682 7 830 16.3

18208 9029 9 179 16.6

21523 10684 10 839 16.7

25632 12735 12 898 16.6

30676 15251 15 425 16.4

3.90 47.1 15.6

3.29 47.8 14.6

3.24 46.1 13.4

3.17 44.2 12.3

3.21 43.4 11.2

3.35 43.8 10.2

3.49 44.3 9.3

3.59 44.4 8.4

3.64 44.0 7.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CAMBODIA A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

4 346 2173 2 173 100.0

4 840 2420 2 420 100.0

5 433 2717 2 716 100.0

6 141 3072 3 069 100.1

6 938 3473 3 465 100.2

7 098 3552 3 545 100.2

6 748 3124 3 623 86.2

8 106 3819 4 288 89.1

9 698 4619 5 079 90.9

1 1 395 5484 5 910 92.8

12 780 6193 6 586 94.0

16.7 25.5 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.4 18.7 24

16.7 25.6 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.4 18.7 27

16.9 25.6 19.2 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.1 18.6 30

17.1 25.7 19.1 4.6 2.7 0.2 46.8 18.5 34

17.2 26.0 18.9 4.6 2.8 0.2 46.4 18.3 38

15.5 26.8 19.5 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.3 18.7 39

14.4 26.8 21.3 4.8 2.8 0.2 50.5 18.8 37

20.6 22.6 20.2 4.5 2.9 0.2 48.5 18.1 45

18.5 26.1 18.4 4.4 2.7 0.2 46.9 17.8 54

17.0 29.3 16.1 4.5 2.8 0.2 44.7 17.3 63

13.6 28.2 19.6 4.6 2.9 0.3 48.0 18.3 71

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

13 956 6 790 7 165 94.8

15 224 7 445 7 779 95.7

16 641 8 183 8 458 96.7

18 102 8 944 9 158 97.7

19 489 9 666 9 824 98.4

20 761 10 325 10 435 98.9

21 949 10 939 1 1 010 99.4

23 089 11 526 1 1 563 99.7

24 165 12 072 12 093 99.8

12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 15.1 8.1 7.4 14.2 51.1 20.1 77

11.7 21.9 23.2 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.0 6.8 7.3 13.7 53.6 21.9 84

11.6 20.4 21.0 6.3 4.0 0.4 12.3 5.9 5.9 13.0 53.8 23.6 92

11.1 20.3 18.1 7.0 4.4 0.5 12.4 5.7 5.4 10.8 53.2 25.3 100

10.0 20.0 17.2 7.9 5.0 0.6 12.1 5.8 5.5 10.1 53.6 26.6 108

9.0 18.9 17.5 8.6 5.8 0.7 11.3 5.7 5.6 10.3 55.0 28.0 115

8.4 17.4 17.6 9.6 6.5 0.8 10.3 5.3 5.4 10.5 54.0 29.2 121

8.1 16.0 16.9 10.1 7.1 1 .0 9.6 4.9 5.0 10.2 52.6 30.6 128

7.7 15.3 15.7 12.7 7.5 1.2 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.5 50.6 32.1 133

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

254 386 131 .1 1.74 26.4 9.0 .0.1 3.18 1.34 63 89

284 413 128 1 1.78 25.9 8.0 .O.l 2.90 1.26 53 73

292 421 127 .2 1.68 24.3 7.3 .0.1 2.68 1.20

57.3 61.9 59.7

60.7 64.5 62.8

-

59

277 408 128 .2 1.48 21.7 6.8 -0.1 2.51 1.15 36 47

254 388 132 -2 1.26 19.3 6.6 -0.1 2.37 1.10 30 37

238 379 140 .2 1.11 17.8 6.5 -0.1 2.25 1 .06 25 31

228 381 151 .2 1.01 16.9 6.7 .0.1 2.15 1.02 20 25

21 5 381 164 L 2 0.91 16.1 6.9 -0.1 2.07 0.98 18 21

190 371 179 -2 0.77 15.1 7.3 -0.1 1.99 0.95 15 18

63.4 67.0 65.3

65.5 69.3 67.5

67.2 71.3 69.3

68.7 72.9 70.8

69.9 74.2 72.1

70.9 75.3 73.1

71.8 76.2 74.0

44

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

CAMBODIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

13956 6790 7 165

15364 7517 7 847

17047 8390 8 657

18877 9339 9 538

20654 10259 10 395

22359 11 139 11 220

24080 12024 12 056

25896 12954 12 942

27777 13910 13 867

12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 51.1 20.1

12.5 21.7 23.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 53.1 21.7

12.9 20.7 20.5 6.2 3.9 0.4 52.5 23.0

12.6 21.6 17.4 6.7 4.2 0.4 51.1 24.1

11.4 21.9 16.9 7.5 4.7 0.5 51.3 24.9

10.4 21.0 18.0 8.2 5.4 0.6 52.9 25.5

9.9 19.3 18.7 8.7 5.9 0.7 52.5 26.4

9.8 18.1 18.0 9.0 6.3 0.9 51.4 27.5

9.7 17.7 16.6 11.0 6.5 1.1 49.7 28.6

282 1.92 28.4 9.1 -0.1 3.43 1.44

..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

13 956 6 790 7165

15 083 7 373 7710

16 235 7 976 8259

17 327 8 549 8778

18 326 9 073 9253

19 179 9 520 9659

19 881 9 887 9994

20 440 10 178 10262

20 852 10 387 10466

12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 51.1 20.1

10.9 22.1 23.4 5.8 3.5 0.4 54.1 22.1

10.3 20.1 21.6 6.5 4.0 0.4 55.0 24.1

9.4 18.8 19.0 7.4 4.6 0.5 55.5 26.3

8.5 17.8 17.6 8.4 5.3 0.6 56.2 28.4

7.6 16.5 16.9 9.6 6.2 0.7 57.3 30.4

6.8 15.1 16.3 10.6 7.2 0.9 55.8 32.4

6.2 13.7 15.4 11.4 8.0 1.1 53.8 34.4

5.7 12.5 14.3 14.7 8.7 1.4 51.1 36.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per'cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

225 1.55 24.5 8.9 .0.1 2.93 1.23

230 1.47 22.7 7.9 -0.1 2.50 1.09

218 1.30 20.4 7.3 -0.1 2.18 0.98

200 1.12 18.3 7.0 -0.1 2.01 0.92

171 0.91 16.0 6.8 -0.1 1.87 0.87

140 0.72 14.2 7.0 -0.1 1.75 0.82

112 0.55 12.9 7.3 -0.1 1.65 0.78

82 0.40 11.8 7.7 -0.1 1.57 0.74

48 0.23 10.7 8.3 .0.1 1.49 0.71

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

13956 6 790 7165 20.1

15465 7 568 7897 21.5

17325 8 532 8793 22.7

19431 9 621 9810 23.3

21666 10 774 10892 23.3

24019 11 984 12034 23.3

26586 13 300 13286 23.6

29471 14 774 14697 24.1

32716 16 425 16291 24.6

2.05 29.7 9.2

2.27 31.0 8.2

2.30 30.4 7.4

2.18 28.5 6.7

2.06 26.9 6.2

2.03 26.3 5.9

2.06 26.4 5.8

2.09 26.6 5.7

2.08 26.4 5.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

CAMEROON A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ~r;de birthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (yews) .... ...................... Males ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............

..

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

17 795 8885 8910 99.7

19 662 9839 9823 100.2

21 525 10786 10739 100.4

23 352 11713 11639 100.6

25 136 12617 12519 100.8

26 892 13504 13388 100.9

28 603 14366 14237 100.9

30 233 15183 15050 100.9

31 752 15940 15813 100.8

33 144 16626 16519 100.6

15.8 25.9 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.5 15.7 7.4 6.9 12.3 47.5 18.7 37

14.6 25.5 21 .l 5.4 3.6 0.5 15.7 7.0 6.8 12.4 48.9 19.4 41

13.4 25.0 20.6 5.5 3.6 0.5 15.2 7.2 6.5 12.2 50.3 20.5

12.4 23.5 20.7 5.8 3.8 0.5 14.2 6.9 6.8 12.1 52.3 21.5 49

11.6 22.1 20.7 6.1 4.0 0.5 13.3 6.5 6.4 12.4 53.8 22.8 53

10.9 20.9 19.8 6.6 4.3 0.6 12.6 6.2 6.l 11.8 54.6 24.2 57

10.3 19.8 18.9 7.2 4.7 0.7 12.0 5.9 5.8 11.3 54.7 25.5 60

9.6 18.9 18.1 8.2 5.2 0.7 11.4 5.6 5.5 10.8 54.4 26.9 64

9.0 18.0 17.5 9.5 6.0 0.8 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.5 53.9 28.3 67

8.5 17.1 17.0 11.0 7.1 1 .0 10.2 5.2 5.1 10.2 53.4 29.6 70

45

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.W 0 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

CAMEROON

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ ~ r " d ebirthrate (per 1.600 .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

17 795 8885 8910

19 828 9922 9906

21 991 11021 10971

24 238 12159 12079

26 500 13303 13198

26 832 14478 14353

31 256 15698 15558

33 753 16951 16803

36 284 18215 18069

15.8 25.9 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.5 47.5 18.7

15.3 25.3 20.9 5.4 3.5 0.5 48.5 19.2

14.6 25.2 20.2 5.4 3.5 0.5 49.2 19.9

13.8 24.5 20.0 5.5 3.6 0.5 50.4 20.6

12.9 23.6 20.2 5.8 3.8 0.5 51.6 21.5

12.3 22.6 20.0 6.1 4.0 0.6 52.4 22.5

11.8 21.6 19.5 6.6 4.3 0.6 52.7 23.5

11.3 20.8 18.9 7.3 4.7 0.7 52.6 24.5

10.8 20.2 18.2 8.3 5.3 0.7 52.3 25.4

407 2.16 36.4 14.6 -0.2 4.56 1.70

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertlllty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

340 1.83 32.7 14.2 .0.2 4.06 1.51

313 1.54 26.4 12.9 ~0.1 3.37 1.30

262 1.13 22.9 11.5 .0.1 2.52 1.02

281 1.29 25.0 12.0 .0.1 2.85 1.12

240 0.99 21.0 11.0 -0.1 2.28 0.95

211 0.83 19.0 10.6 -0.1 2.09 0.89

173 0.66 16.9 10.3 .0.1 1.94 0.84

133 0.49 15.2 10.2 .0.1 1.81 0.80

93 0.34 13.7 10.3 .0.1 1.70 0.77

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

17 795 8 885 8910 18.7

20 044 10 031 10013 19.0

22 723 11 389 11334 19.1

25 810 12 950 12860 19.0

29 333 14 727 14606 18.9

33 427 16 788 16639 19.0

38 248 19 211 19038 19.0

43 940 22 067 21873 19.0

50 636 25 424 25212 19.0

2.38 38.7 14.8

2.51 38.8 13.7

2.55 38.1 12.6

2.56 37.4 11.8

2.61 37.0 10.8

2.70 36.9 9.9

2.77 36.8 9.1

2.84 36.7 8.4

2.89 36.5 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CANADA A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

13737 6969 6768 103.0

15736 7978 7758 102.8

17909 9076 8833 102.8

19678 9896 9782 101.2

21717 10912 10805 101.0

23142 11580 11563 100.1

24516 12211 12305 99.2

25843 12831 13012 98.6

27701 13733 13967 98.3

29302 14503 14799 98.0

30689 15197 15492 98.1

11.9 17.8 15.9 11.3 7.7 1.1 50.5 27.7

12.4 19.7 14.4 11.1 7.7 1 .1 48.6 27.3 2

12.5 21.1 14.6 10.7 7.5 1.2 47.2 26.4 2

11.5 21.9 16.0 10.9 7.7 1.4 46.9 25.5 2

8.5 21.6 18.6 11.4 7.9 1 .6 48.9 25.9 2

7.6 18.5 19.6 12.3 8.5 1.6 51.2 27.4 2

7.3 15.4 19.8 13.3 9.4 1 .8 53.2 29.2 2

7.1 14.1 17.5 14.6 10.3 2.0 53.5 31 .0 3

7.0 13.7 14.7 15.5 11.3 2.3 53.6 32.9 3

6.8 13.6 13.6 16.1 12.0 2.7 52.7 34.8 3

5.7 13.3 13.5 16.7 12.6 3.0 51.4 36.9 3

1

Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................. .... ......... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

32 271 15980 16291 98.1

33 752 16724 17028 98.2

35 191 17447 17743 98.3

36 588 18144 18444 98.4

37 912 18792 19120 98.3

39 105 19366 19739 98.1

40 148 19859 20289 97.9

41 069 20294 20774 97.7

41 920 20704 21216 97.6

5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 7.2 4.0 4.0 8.1 50.0 38.6 3

5.2 11.0 13.3 20.0 14.2 3.9 6.5 3.5 3.9 8.1 48.2 40.0 3

5.1 10.5 12.4 22.5 16.1 4.2 6.3 3.2 3.4 7.7 45.6 41.1 4

5.1 10.4 11.3 25.3 18.4 4.4 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.8 44.1 42.1 4

5.1 10.3 10.8 28.0 20.9 5.0 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.5 42.9 43.0 4

5.0 10.3 10.7 29.4 23.2 6.2 8.2 3.1 3.2 6.5 41.8 43.9 4

4.9 10.3 10.7 30.2 24.3 7.4 6.1 3.1 3.2 6.5 40.9 44.7 4

5.0 10.2 10.8 30.9 24.9 8.7 6.1 3.l 3.2 6.5 40.0 45.4 4

5.1 10.2 10.8 31.4 25.3 9.8 6.1 3.1 3.2 6.5 39.2 45.5 4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ................................ . . . . Both sexes combined ............................

..

296 341 245 200 0.90 10.3 7.4 6.1 1.53 0.74 5 6

288 352 264 200 0.84 10.2 7.7 5.8 1.53 0.74 5 6

279 366 287 200 0.78 10.2 8.0 5.6 1.55 0.75 4 5

265 378 314 200 0.71 10.2 8.4 5.4 1.60 0.77 4 5

239 383 345 200 0.62 10.0 9.0 5.2 1.65 0.80 4 5

209 389 380 200 0.53 9.8 9.6 5.0 1.70 0.82 4 5

184 401 41 7 200 0.45 9.9 10.3 4.9 1.75 0.85 4 5

170 420 450 200 0.41 10.1 10.8 4.8 1 .80 0.87 4 4

167 440 473 200 0.39 10.4 11.2 4.7 1.85 0.89 3 4

78.3 82.9 80.7

79.2 83.6 81.4

79.9 84.1 82.0

80.5 84.7 82.6

81.0 85.3 83.2

81.6 85.9 83.7

82.1 86.4 84.2

82.6 86.9 84.8

83.2 87.5 85.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

CANADA C. HtGHVARlANT lndlcator Popul.tlon (thouundo) Tdcll .................................................... Males ................................................... Perceotage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 Percentage a@xJ80 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or war Percentage of m n a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

32271 15980 18291

34029 18887 17183

35927 17825 18102

37911 18 023 19 088

39026

41 835

19 775

20664

20052

20971

43375 21515 21860

45152 22390 22762

47045 23334 23711

49 067 24 357 24 710

5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 50.0 38.6

5.9 11.0 13.2 19.9 14.1 3.9 47.8 39.7

8.3 11.1 12.2 22.1 15.8 4.1 44.7 40.3

8.5 11.9 10.9 24.5 17.7 4.3 42.8 40.7

8.3 12.5 11.0 26.6 19.9 4.8 41.6 41.2

8.2 12.8 11.8 27.8 21.a 5.8 41.1 41.5

8.2 12.3 12.4 28.0 22.5 8.9 40.9 41.8

8.4 12.2 12.5 28.1 22.7 7.9 40.8 41.4

6.8 12.4 12.2 28.0 22.8 8.7 40.2 40.4

7.0 12.9 12.0 27.8 22.4 8.7 40.4 39.7

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 20302035 20352040 2040-2045 2o452050

populamchange per ysar (thousands). population growM rate (per cent) ............

Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

.. .

352

380

1.08 12.0 7.4 8.0 1.78 0.88

1.09 12.7 7.6 5.7 1.93 0.93

397 1.08 13.1 7.8 5.4 2.05 0.99

383 0.99 12.8 8.1 5.1 2.10 1.01

381 0.89 12.4 8.5 4.9 2.15 1 .w

348

355

0.82 12.4 9.0 4.7 2.20 1.06

0.80

13.0 9.5 4.5 2.25 1.09

379 0.82 13.7 9.8 4.3 2.30 1.11

404 0.84

14.1 9.9 4.2 2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

32271 15 980 18291

33474 18 581 18892

34454 17 089 17385

35265 17 465

35999

17800

17 810 18188

38595 18 078 18517

37000 18 244 18756

37193 18 306 18887

37205 18 285 18920

37 108 18 222 18 885

5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 50.0 38.8

4.4 11.1 13.4 20.2 14.3 3.9 46.8 40.3

3.9 10.0 12.7 23.0 18.5 4.3 46.6 41.8

3.8 8.7 11.7 26.3 19.1 4.8 45.7 43.4

3.7 8.0 10.8 29.5 22.0 5.3 44.3 44.9

3.7 7.8 9.4 31.4 24.8 8.8 42.7 46.3

3.8 8.0 8.8 32.8 26.4 8.1 40.8 47.8

3.5 7.9 8.8 34.1 27.5 9.8 39.1 48.9

3.5 7.8 9.0 35.4 28.5 11.0 37.5 50.1

3.5 7.7 9.0 38.8 29.8 11.5 36.5 50.9

2050 -

Population (thousand.)

Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentageaged65orwer .................. Percentage aged 80 orwer Percentage of women aged 15-49 M e d i i age (years) .................................

.

.........

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

population change per population gmwth rate Crude Mrth rate (per 1, Crude deeth rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migratm rate (per 1,000 popllation). Total fertility (children p e r m ) .... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m )

241 0.73 8.7 7.4 8.1 1.28 0.82

198 0.58 7.7 7.8 5.9 1.13 0.54

162 0.47 7.1 8.2 5.7 1.M

0.51

147 0.41 7.3 8.8 5.8 1.10 0.53

119 0.33 7.3 9.5 5.5 1.15 0.56

81 0.22 7.1 10.3 5.4 1.20 0.58

38 0.10 8.9 11.2 5.4 1.25 0.81

2 0.01 8.7 12.1 5.4 1.30 0.63

-

19

4.05 8.8 12.7 5.4 1.35 0.85

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thwmnds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

32 271 15 9KI 18 291 38.8

33 747 18 722 17 025 40.0

35 182 17 443 17 739 41.1

38 545 18 122 18 423 42.1

37 775 18 72!2 19 053 43.1

38 815

39 648 19 603 20 046 45.2

40 297 ?9898 20 399 46.1

40 802 20 130 20 671 46.8

41 206 20 324 20 882 46.8

19 217 19 593 44.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 203&2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050

Population growlt, rate (per cent) ............ CRlde birth rate @er 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.90 10.3 7.4

0.83 10.2 7.7

0.78 10.0 8.0

0.88 9.7 8.4

0.54 9.2 9.0

United Nations Department of Economicand Sod4 Affairs/population Division Workl Population Praspects: The 2006 Revlsbn, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables

0.43 8.8 9.7

0.33 8.7 10.4

0.25 8.6 11.1

0.20 8.6 11.5

167

CAPE VERDE A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population densty (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

146 66 80 83.1

169 78 92 84.7

196 91 105 86.5

229 108 121 88.6

267 127 140 90.8

278 130 148 87.7

289 133 157 84.8

319 148 171 86.6

355 167 189 88.2

401 190 211 89.8

451 215 236 91.1

10.6 23.7 23.5 6.5 4.0 0.4 53.0 21.4 36

14.9 23.9 19.5 6.8 4.3 0.5 47.8 20.7 42

19.2 23.9 15.7 6.9 4.6 0.7 42.8 19.7 49

17.4 27.9 16.3 7.5 4.8 0.7 40.9 17.5 57

15.7 31.8 16.9 8.3 5.1 0.8 39.1 16.1

16.3 30.4 19.8 8.1 5.4 0.6 41.0 16.3 69

16.9 29.1 22.6 8.2 6.1 0.7 42.8 16.5 72

18.4 27.4 22.8 6.9 5.3 0.8 43.0 16.7 79

18.2 29.4 19.5 6.6 4.3 0.8 41.1 16.2 88

16.3 30.1 19.3 6.4 4.2 0.8 43.5 16.6 99

14.4 28.4 21.9 6.3 4.3 0.6 47.8 17.9 112

86

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. .. .................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

507 243 264 92.3

567 274 293 93.4

628 305 323 94.3

690 336 353 95.2

750 367 383 95.9

808 397 411 96.4

864 425 439 96.8

916 451 465 97.0

962 474 488 97.1

1 002 494 508 97.1

14.1 25.4 22.9 5.5 4.3 0.5 15.2 7.6 7.5 13.5 50.5 19.3 126

13.3 23.9 21.8 4.9 3.7 0.6 14.6 6.7 6.7 13.0 51.7 20.8 141

12.4 23.3 19.8 5.1 3.3 0.7 14.2 6.6 6.1 11.7 51.8 22.2 156

11.3 22.1 18.9 5.9 3.6 0.8 13.4 6.5 6.2 11.0 52.4 23.6 171

10.4 20.7 18.9 7.3 4.3 0.7 12.5

9.6 19.2 18.3 8.8 5.6 0.6 11.6 5.8 5.7 10.9 53.3 26.7 200

9.0 17.9 17.5 9.9 6.8 0.9 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.4 52.3 28.5 214

8.4 16.9 16.5 11.7 7.7 1.2 10.2 5.1 5.0 9.9 50.8 30.2 227

7.8 16.0 15.7 14.0 9.2 1.7 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.4 49.7 32.0 239

7.3 15.2 15.0 16.4 11.1 2.1 9.1 4.6 4.6 9.0 48.9 33.7 248

6.1 6.0 11.2 53.4 25.0 186

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.MW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CAPE VERDE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) . ........................ Total ...................... . Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

13 2.43 30.9 4.8 -1.9 3.62 1.73

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

11 2.03 26.9 4.7 -1.9 3.12 1.49

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ............................. ..

507 243 264 19.3

575 278 297 20.4

654 318 336 21.2

741 362 379 21.5

836 41 1 426 21.8

940 463 477 22.3

1056 522 534 22.9

1184 586 598 23.3

1325 658 668 23.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.53 31.9 4.8

2.57 31.7 4.3

2.50 30.4 4.0

2.41 29.1 3.7

2.35 28.2 3.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffainlPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.32 27.9 3.8

2.29 27.7 4.0

2.26 27.6 4.2

2.23 27.3 4.4

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

.

A ESTIMATES 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductton rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Medlan age (years) ................................ Populatlon denslty (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Popuiatlon change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

80 159 80 1 1.83 36.1 18.1 0.2 4.58 1.63 97 163

86 165 81 2 1.78 34.2 16.8 0.4 4.14 1.51 89 149

U3 165 83 0 1.58 31.6 15.8 0.0 3.67 1.38 81 134

79 163 84 0 1.41 29.0 14.9 0.0 3.29 1.27 75 123

77 161 85 0 1.27 26.8 14.0 0.0 2.99 1.19 68 110

74 159 85 0 1.16 24.9 13.3 0.0 2.75 1.12 61 98

72 158 85 0 1.07 23.3 12.6 0.0 2.57 1.07 55 86

69 154 86 0 0.96 21.7 12.0 0.0 2.42 1.03 49 75

64 150 86 0 0.86 20.1 11.6 0.0 2.29 1.00 44 66

43.3 46.1 44.7

45.0 47.9 46.5

46.4 49.4 48.0

47.8 51 .1 49.5

49.4 53.1 51.2

50.9 55.2 53.0

52.6 57.3 54.9

54.3 59.2 56.7

56.2 61.1 58.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WO. rld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... . Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

. .

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) CNde birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

88 1.99 38.0 18.3 0.2 4.83 1.71

............

99 2.04 37.0 17.0 0.4 4.54 1.66

102 1.90 34.9 15.9 0.0 4.17 1.57

101 1.72 32.1 14.9 0.0 3.79 1.46

103 1.61 29.9 13.8 0.0 3.49 1.39

108 1.55 28.5 13.0 0.0 3.25 1.33

113 1.51 27.3 12.2 0.0 3.07 1.28

116 1.44 25.8 11.5 0.0 2.92 1.25

116 1.35 24.3 10.9 0.0 2.79 1.21

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

4191 2 042 2149

4554 2 228 2328

4914 2 409 2506

5230 2 570 2661

5519 2 717 2802

5775 2 845 2930

5993 2 952 3041

6174 3 038 3136

6317 3 104 3213

15.8 26.9 20.4 5.8 3.9 0.5 46.0 18.3

14.4 26.5 21.4 5.7 3.8 0.5 47.5 19.0

13.4 25.2 21.9 5.8 3.8 0.5 49.7 19.9

12.2 23.8 22.1 6.0 4.0 0.6 52.2 21.2

11.3 22.4 21.5 8.2 4.2 0.6 54.2 22.5

10.4 20.9 20.8 6.4 4.4 0.6 55.7 24.0

9.6 19.7 20.0 6.7 4.6 0.7 56.6 25.4

8.8 18.4 19.0 7.5 4.9 0.8 56.9 27.0

8.0 17.2 18.2 8.7 5.6 0.9 56.6 28.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

73 1.66 34.3 18.0 0.2 4.33 1.54

72 1.52 31.4 16.6 0.4 3.74 1.36

58 1.07 25.7 15.0 0.0 2.79 1.08

63 1.25 28.1 15.7 0.0 3.17 1.19

51 0.91 23.3 14.3 0.0 2.49 0.99

44 0.74 21.1 13.7 0.0 2.25 0.92

36 0.59 19.1 13.2 0.0 2.07 0.86

29 0.46 17.3 12.7 0.0 1.92 0.82

21 0.33 15.7 12.4 0.0 1.79 0.78

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ......................... . . ................ Females ................... .................... Median age (years) ................................

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

4 191 2 042 2149 18.3

4 647 2 273 2374 18.5

5 208 2 555 2652 18.6

5 855 2 881 2974 18.5

6 599 3 255 3344 18.2

7 463 3 687 3777 18.2

8 485 4 194 4291 18.2

9 702 4 797 4905 18.2

11 146 5 513 5633 18.1

2.06 34.7 18.4

2.28 39.6 17.2

2.34 39.6 16.2

2.39 39.0 15.1

2.46 38.5 13.9

2.57 38.4 12.7

2.68 38.4 11.7

2.77 38.3 10.6

2.85 38.1 9.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

12 850 6 358 6492 18.1

CHAD

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................... . . . . Females ............................... .......... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ......................... .. Population density (population per sq km)

.... ..

10146 5040 5106 98.7

11715 5829 5886 99.0

13429 6691 6738 99.3

15336 7650 7686 99.5

17504 8740 8764 99.7

19799 9893 9906 99.9

22161 11080 11082 100.0

24559 12283 12276 100.1

26976 13493 13483 100.1

18.6 27.6 19.5 4.6 3.0 0.3 17.1 7.3 6.6 11.2 44.3 16.8 8

18.1 27.9 19.7 4.4 2.9 0.3 17.3 7.4 6.6 11.4 44.6 16.9 9

17.4 27.8 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 17.1 7.5 6.8 11.5 45.4 17.2 10

16.7 27.2 20.4 4.6 2.9 0.3 16.7 7.5 6.9 11.8 48.6 17.7 12

15.8 26.6 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.3 16.3 7.4 6.8 12.1 47.9 18.4 14

14.8 25.9 20.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 15.8 7.3 6.8 12.1 49.2 19.3 15

13.7 24.8 20.7 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.1 7.1 6.7 12.1 50.7 20.3 17

12.6 23.6 20.5 5.5 3.5 0.4 14.3 6.8 6.6 12.1 52.0 21.6 19

11.7 22.2 20.1 6.1 3.9 0.5 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.9 53.1 22.9 21

2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-f~vemortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... ...... .... . Both sexes combined ............................

343

314 497 168 - 15 2.88 45.5 15.4 .1.4 6.20 2.28 119 189

543 1 76 . 24 2.73 43.2 14.0 -1.9 5.78 2.19 112 1 74

381 586 180 - 24 2.66 40.7 12.5 .1.7 5.32 2.07 104 1 57

434 624 184 - 6 2.65 38.0 11.2 .0.4 4.82 1.93 96 142

459 652 187 .6 2.46 34.9 10.0 .0.3 4.31 1.77 89 127

473 668 190 .6 2.26 31.9 9.0 -0.3 3.83 1.61 82 114

479 678 193 - 6 2.05 29.0 8.3 .0.3 3.41 1.46 75 1 02

404 687 198 .6 1.88 26.7 7.7 .0.2 3.08 1.34 69 92

484 694 204 -6 1.72 24.6 7.2 -0.2 2.83 1.25 63 83

49.3 52.0 50.7

50.8 53.5 52.1

52.8 55.5 54.1

54.7 57.5 56.1

56.7 59.6 58.1

58.5 61.6 60.0

60.2 63.5 61.9

61.9 65.3 63.6

63.5 67.0 65.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CHAD

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or owr .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

331 3.02 47.1 15.6 -1.4 6.45 2.37

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

374 2.95 45.6 14.3 -1.9 8.18 2.34

428 2.91 43.5 12.8 -1.6 5.82 2.27

491 2.69 40.5 11.4 -0.4 5.32 2.13

533 2.73 37.6 10.1 .0.3 4.81 1.98

572 2.56 35.0 9.1 .0.3 4.33 1.82

609 2.41 32.6 8.3 -0.2 3.91 1.66

643 2.26 30.4 7.6 -0.2 3.58 1.56

671 2.12 28.4 7.1 -0.2 3.33 1.47

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015.2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population gmwth rale (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per l.000 population) .... Crude death rate (pbr 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. . ...........

297 2.73 43.8 15.2 -1.4

5.95 2.19

311 2.51 40.7 13.7 -1.9 5.38 2.03

335 2.39 37.8 12.3

377 2.39 35.3 1 1 .0 -0.4 4.32 1.73

-1.7

4.82 1.88

386 2.18 32.1 9.9 .0.3 3.81 1.56

378 1.93 28.6 9.0 -0.3 3.33 1.40

3M)

1.68 25.4 8.3 .0.3 2.91 1.25

341 1.47 22.7 7.8 .0.3 2.58 1.13

320 1.29 20.6 7.5 .0.2 2.33 1.03

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .

Population (thousand~) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

10146 5 040 5 106 16.8

11828 5 886 5 942 16.7

13832 6 894 6 938 16.5

16291 8 130 8 160 16.3

19401 9 695 9 706 16.2

23219 11 616 1 1 603 16.1

27918 13 980 13 938 16.0

33711 16 895 16 816 15.9

40856 20 489 20 367 15.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OM) population) ..

3.07 47.6 15.7

3.13 47.6 14.5

3.27 47.4 13.2

3.50 47.1 11.9

3.59 46.9 10.8

3.69 46.7 9.7

3.77 46.6 8.8

3.85 46.5 8.0

3.91 46.3 7.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CHANNEL ISLANDS (*)

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ...................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comblned ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populat~ondens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ....................... ... ................ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

CHANNEL ISLANDS (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

1 0.35 10.9 9.5 2.0 1.82 0.88

0.35 11.2 9.7 l .9 1.95 0.94

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

0 0.30 11.2 10.1 1.9 2.00 0.96

0 0.23 11.1 10.7 1.9 2.05 0.99

0 0.17 11.2 11.3 1.9 2.10 1.01

0 0.14 11.5 11.9 1 .8 2.15 1.04

0 0.15 12.0 12.4 1 .8 2.20 1.06

0 0.18 12.5 12.6 1.8 2.25 1.09

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.................. .........

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

1

0.34 10.9 9.5 2.0 1.67 0.81

1

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................

.................. .........

Population change per year (thousands) . Pooulation orowth rate loer cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000populat~on). . Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 0.04 7.9 9.6 2.0 1.17 0.56

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

149 73 76 40.0

150 73 77

42.2

151 74 77 44.2

151 74 77 45.9

151 74 77 47.1

150 73 77 48.0

148 72 76 48.7

145 71 75 49.6

142 69 73 50.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

(') Refersto Guernsey. and Jersey

0.18 9.3 9.5

0.11 8.6 9.6

0.05 8.4 9.9

.0.03 8.3 10.5

.0.13 8.0 11.3

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

-0.25 7.7 12.3

.0.37 7.4 13.2

.0.48 7.2 14.1

.0.55 7.1 14.8

138 67 71 51.0

CHILE A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

6082 3 012 3 069 98.1

6764 3 348 3 416 98.0

7643 3 780 3 863 97.8

8647 4 272 4 375 97.7

9570 4 723 4 846 97.5

10413 5 137 5 276 97.4

11174 5 513 5 661 97.4

12102 5 973 6 129 97.5

13179 6 512 6 667 97.7

14395 7 121 7 274 97.9

15412 7 624 7 787 97.9

14.3 22.5 18.2 6.9 4.3 0.5 48.9 22.2 8

14.8 23.3 17.3 7.3 4.5 0.5 47.2 21.7 9

15.9 23.6 17.3 7.4 4.8 0.6 45.8 20.6 10

15.6 24.9 17.7 7.5 4.9 0.6 45.0 20.0 11

13.5 26.2 18.4 7.7 5.0 0.7 45.8 20.2 13

12.1 24.9 20.2 7.8 5.3 0.8 48.3 21.0 14

10.5 22.5 21.9 8.1 5.5 0.9 51.4 22.6 15

10.9 19.9 21 .0 8.4 5.8 0.9 52.9 24.1 16

11.1 18.8 18.8 9.0 6.1 1 .0 53.3 25.7 17

10.3 19.3 16.7 9.5 6.5 1.1 52.5 27.1 19

8.6 19.2 16.2 10.3 7.3 1.4 52.7 28.7 20

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............ ....

..

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

16 295 8 061 8234 97.9

17 134 8 474 8660 97.9

17 926 8 861 9065 97.7

18 639 9 204 9434 97.6

19 266 9 501 9764 97.3

19 778 9 737 10041 97.0

20 166 9 907 10258 96.6

20 435 l0 018 10417 96.2

20 596 10 076 10520 95.8

7.6 17.3 17.1 11.6 8.1 l .7 10.2 5.6 5.5 10.1 53.1 30.6 22

7.3 15.0 17.2 13.2 9.2 2.1 8.8 4.8 5.2 10.4 52.6 32.1 23

7.0 13.9 15.7 15.0 10.5 2.4 8.3 4.2 4.3 9.7 50.5 33.6 24

6.7 13.5 13.8 17.5 12.1 2.8 8.1 4.0 4.0 8.3 48.4 35.2 25

6.4 13.0 12.9 20.3 14.3 3.3 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.7 46.8 37.0 25

6.1 12.6 12.7 22.6 16.8 3.9 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.6 45.9 38.8 26

5.8 12.1 12.5 24.4 18.7 4.6 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.5 44.6 40.5 27

5.6 11.6 12.2 25.5 20.2 5.7 6.9 3.6 3.6 7.3 42.9 41.7 27

5.5 11.3 11.9 26.9 21 .0 6.9 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.2 41.1 42.6 27

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

168 251 90 6 1.00 15.0 5.4 0.4 1.94 0.94 7 9 75.5 81.5 78.6

101 6 0.90 14.5 5.8 0.3 1 .89 0.92 6 8

143 251 114 6 0.78 13.7 6.3 0.3 1.85 0.90 6 7

125 248 129 6 0.66 13.1 6.8 0.3 1 .85 0.90 5 7

1 02 241 145 6 0.53 12.4 7.4 0.3 1.85 0.90 5 6

78 235 163 6 0.39 11.7 8.2 0.3 1 .85 0.90 5 6

54 230 182 6 0.27 11.3 9.0 0.3 1 .85 0.90 4 5

32 228 202 6 0.16 11.1 9.8 0.3 1.85 0.90 4 5

12 225 220 6 0.06 10.9 10.6 0.3 1 .85 0.90 4 5

76.1 82.2 79.2

76.7 82.8 79.8

77.2 83.4 80.3

77.6 83.9 80.7

78.0 84.3 81.2

78.4 84.7 81.5

78.7 85.1 81.9

79.0 85.4 82.2

158 254

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CHILE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

200 1.19 16.9 5.3 0.4 2.19 1.06

212 1.19 17.3 5.7 0.3 2.30 1.11

21 1 1.12 16.9 6.1 0.3 2.35 1.14

194 0.98 16.0 6.5 0.3 2.35 1.14

179 0.86 15.3 7.0 0.3 2.35 1.14

167 0.77 15.0 7.5 0.3 2.35 1.14

161 0.71 15.0 8.1 0.3 2.35 1.14

155 0.66 15.1 8.7 0.3 2.35 1.14

147 0.61 15.0 9.2 0.2 2.35 1.14

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... MeUian age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

.

D LOW VARIANT . Populalon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlcrtrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

136 0.82 13.2 5.4 0.4 1.69 0.82

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

16295 8 061 8234 30.6

17171 8 493 8678 32.0

18033 8 915 9118 33.3

18848 9 311 9537 34.8

19577 9 660 9917 36.5

20198 9 951 10247 38.1

20709 10 184 10525 39.5

21122 10 367 10755 40.4

21447 10 509 10938 40.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.05 15.5 5.4

0.98 15.2 5.8

0.88 14.7 6.2

0.76 14.0 6.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation

0.62 13.2 7.3

Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.50 12.7 8.0

0.40 12.4 8.7

0.31 12.3 9.5

0.22 12.1 10.2

CHINA (*)

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

554 760 288 200 266 560 108.1

609 005 314 727 294 278 106.9

657 492 338 494 318 998 106.1

729 191 375 124 354 067 105.9

830 675 427 348 403 327 106.0

927 808 477 851 449 956 106.2

13.7 19.9 18.3 7.5 4.5 0.3 50.3 23.9 58

16.5 20.6 17.2 7.6 4.6 0.3 46.9 22.5

14.2 24.7 16.1 7.2 4.8 0.4 45.3 21 .8 69

15.4 24.8 16.6 7.0 4.4 0.4 44.5 20.4 76

15.9 23.8 19.0 6.8 4.3 0.5 45.5 19.7 87

13.6 25.9 19.1 6.9 4.4 0.6 45.8 20.6 97

63

1980

1985

1990

1995

998 877 1 066 906 1 149 069 1 213 732 1 269 962 626 866 655 994 550 443 593 306 514 71 1 484 166 516 463 555 762 586 865 613 967 106.3 106.6 106.8 106.8 106.8 10.0 25.5 19.5 7.4 4.7 0.4 49.0 22.1 104

9.7 20.8 22.2 7.9 5.1 0.5 53.5 23.7 111

10.3 17.4 21.9 8.4 5.4 0.6 56.0 25.2 120

8.6 18.1 18.1 9.2 6.0 0.7 56.6 27.5 126

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

8 MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 312 979 1 351 512 1 388 600 1 421 260 1 445 782 1 458 421 1 458 292 1 448 355 1 431 448 Males ................................................... 678 176 697 722 716 324 744 433 749 870 748 632 742 439 732 860 732 544 Females ............................................ 634 803 653 790 688 716 701 348 708 551 709 659 705 916 698 588 672 276 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 106.8 106.7 106.6 106.4 106.1 105.8 105.5 105.2 104.9 Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.1 5.0 5.0 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 15.1 13.3 12.2 12.1 12.1 11.8 11.3 10.6 10.2 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 16.6 16.2 14.2 12.6 11.6 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 11.0 12.5 15.1 17.1 20.0 23.8 26.9 28.1 29.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.7 8.4 9.6 11.9 13.7 16.2 19.6 22.2 22.9 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.7 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.2 1.4 Percentage in school ages 6-11............ 8.9 7.8 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.3 6.1 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.1 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 4.8 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 5.4 4.0 3.5 3.3 4.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 7.2 7.0 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 9.7 10.1 8.6 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.2 48.8 45.1 43.7 40.6 39.4 56.0 53.3 42.6 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 56.6 Median age (years) ................................ 42.9 44.1 44.9 32.5 34.9 36.4 37.9 39.4 41.3 145 148 152 151 149 Population density (population per sq km) 137 141 151 152

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.WO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

2000

7 707 17 459 9 403 - 350 0.58 13.1 7.1 .0.3 1.73 0.77 23 29

7 417 17 976 10 209 . 350 0.54 13.1 7.5 -0.3 1.78 0.79 20 26

6 532 17 973 1 1 096 - 345 0.47 12.8 7.9 -0.2 1 .83 0.82 18 23

4 904 17 380 12 156 . 320 0.34 12.1 8.5 -0.2 1 .85 0.83 17 21

2 528 16 278 13 430 . 320 0.17 11.2 9.2 .0.2 1.85 0.84 15 19

- 26 15 140 14 846 - 320 0.00 10.4 10.2 -0.2 1 .85 0.85 13 17

.1 987

.3 381

.4 520

14 640 16 307 - 320 .0.14 10.1 11.2 .0.2 1.85 0.85 12 15

14 582 17 644 - 320 .0.24 10.1 12.3 .0.2 1.85 0.86 11 14

14 510 18 710 - 320 .0.32 10.2 13.2 -0.2 1 .85 0.86 10 12

71.3 74.8 73.0

72.2 75.9 74.0

73.2 76.9 74.9

74.0 77.8 75.8

74.8 78.8 76.6

75.5 79.4 77.4

76.2 80.1 78.1

76.8 80.7 78.7

77.4 81.3 79.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

7.6 17.4 15.6 10.1 6.8 0.9 56.6 30.0 132

CHINA C)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................... ........... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................

..

............................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

10 094 0.75 14.9 7.1 -0.3 1.98 0.88

11 329

0.81 15.8 7.4 -0.3 2.18 0.97

9 834 0.66 14.9 8.2 -0.2 2.35 1.06

1 1 503 0.79 15.9 7.7 -0.2 2.33 1.04

7 295 0.47 13.7 8.8 -0.2 2.35 1.07

4 854 0.31 12.8 9.5 -0.2 2.35 1 .08

3 875 0.24 12.9 10.3 -0.2 2.35 1.08

3 962 0.25 13.7 11.0 -0.2 2.35 1.09

3 981 0.24 14.2 11.5 -0.2 2.35 1.10

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 312 979 1 338 894 1 356 129 1 365 238 1 367 762 1 359 403 1 337 368 1 302 098 1 255 831 Males ................................................... 678 176 690 942 698 885 664 380 639 366 702 473 702 576 696 816 883 984 Females ............................................... 634 803 616 466 647 952 657 244 662 765 665 186 882 588 653 423 637 718 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 6.5 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.6 3.4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 15.1 13.5 7.9 11.6 10.2 9.6 9.1 8.5 9.3 Percentageaged 15-24......................... 16.6 16.4 14.5 9.7 9.6 13.1 11.4 10.2 9.8 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 33.3 11.0 12.6 15.5 29.4 31.2 25.6 17.8 21.2 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 7.7 8.4 9.9 12.4 14.4 17.4 21.4 24.7 26.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.2 1 .5 18 5.1 6.6 2.1 3.1 4.3 2.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 56.6 56.5 54.5 39.3 37.3 46.8 44.5 42.3 50.7 Median age (years) ................................. 32.5 49.7 35.2 37.3 39.3 41.3 43.5 45.8 47.9

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) ..........

5 183 0.39 11.2 7.0 .0.3 1.48 0.66

3 447 0.26 10.3 7.5 -0.3 1.38 0.61

1 822 0.13 9.7 8.1 -0.3 1.33 0.59

505 0.04 9.4 8.8 .0.2 1.35 0.61

- 1 672 .0.12 8.8 9.8 -0.2 1.35 0.81

-4403 .0.33 7.9 10.9 -0.2 1.35 0.62

- 7058

- 9253

-0.54 7.2 12.3 -0.2 1.35 0.62

-0.72 6.7 13.7 -0.3 1.35 0.63

- l0 833 -0.88 6.6 15.1 -0.3 1.35 0.63

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .....................................................1 312 979 1 349 364 1 363 236 1 409 825 Males ................................................... 678 176 696 568 713 443 726 406 Females ............................................... 634 803 652 796 669 793 683 419 Median age (years) ................................. 32.5 34.9 36.5 38.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

..

0.55 12.8 7.1

0.50 12.7 7.5

0.38 12.0 7.9

0.21 10.8 8.5

1 424 334 1 425 688 1 416 201 1 398 168 1 371 719 1 336 436 701 071 682 250 715 668 726 139 732 344 732 929 670 648 654 186 682 500 693 344 690 062 691 405 39.9 42.0 44.0 45.4 46.5 47.2

0.02 9.8 9.4

.

-0.13 9.3 10.4

(') For statislical purposes. the dala for China do n d include Hcmg Kcmg and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.

Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United

.0.26 9.2 11.6

-0.38 9.1 12.7

-0.52 8.8 13.8

CHINA, HONG KONG SAR

c) A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population(thousando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

.................................... r 100temales) ...........

Ago di.trlMon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wmen a@ 15-49 Median age (years) .............. Popllatkmdensty(populationpersqkm)

.........................

.........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

lSs0

1995

2000

1974 1014

2490 1279 1211 105.6

3075 1578 1497 105.4

3892

3942 2004 1937 103.5

4398 2249 2147 104.8

6039 2625 2414 108.8

5450 2810 2641 106.0

5704 2922 2782 105.0

6206 3084 3122 96.8

6662 3219 3443 93.5

10.4 19.0 10.4 4.1 2.5 0.3 52.4 24.0

18.0 24.9 11.6 4.8 2.8 0.2 45.5 23.1 2198

14.3 26.2 15.7 5.7 3.2 0.2 44.9 19.6

10.8 26.2 19.7 6.5 4.0 0.2 46.7 21.2 3587

8.0 21.4 21.9 8.8 5.4 0.7 49.6 23.9 4OW

8.2 17.3 22.6 10.0 0.5 0.8 53.1 28.0

7.7 15.7 19.3 11.3 7.4 1.1 54.0 20.3

1985

6.1 13.3 14.8 13.8 9.0 1.5 59.4 33.5 5647

5.0 11.9 14.1 14.8 11.0 2.1 60.0 36.3

4585

6.6 14.9 15.7 12.6 8.5 1.2 56.3 31.0 5191

960 105.7 16.0 14.3 22.7 3.7 2.5 0.3 58.8 23.7 1796

2288

1873 1818 103.0

3359

1950-1855 195!%1980 1960-1965 1665-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1965 Population change per year (lhousad). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... mpulallon growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 Population) Crude death rate (per 1,oOO population) Total fertility (chiklren per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mcflality rate (per 1.OOO live births) Lib expechncy al birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.... ..

103 84

117 101

123 112 21 33.1 6.2 5.31 2.41

50 90 21 1.31 23.5 5.5 4.02 1 .64

33

23

91 81 21 2.18 19.5 5.0 2.09 1.35 17

64.0 71.3 07.7

66.5 73.5 m.0

88.5 75.0 72.0

20

20

4.64 37.7 8.9 4.44 1.90 79

4.22 36.3 7.2 4.72 2.09 54

3.86

57.2 64.9 61.O

61.O 88.5 04.8

129 81 24 2.73 17.2 5.0 2.32 1.11 13 m.5 76.8 73.0

6062

1986-1990 1990-1895 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005

1.59 0.80 15.7 12.8 4.9 4.8 1.&I 1.31 0.65 0.88 10 7

100 74 33 1.09 12.4 5.6 1.29 0.62 5

91 64 33 1.42 10.0 5.1 1.08 0.52 4

79 55 36 1.15 8.1 5.3 0.94 0.45 4

72.0 70.3 75.5

74.3 79.9 70.2

75.5 81.o 77.6

77.2

78.6 84.5 81.5

84 82

25

50 72 27

83.0

80.0

B. YEMUMVARIANT

Populdon (thoururds) Total ....................................................

......... ...............................................

Sex ratio (males per 100 h i e s ) ........... Age dlurlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ henaged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 60 of Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 1 1 ............ Pemtage in school agm 12-14 Percentage in ochod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of wo Median age (years Populalion density

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

M30

2035

2010

2045

2050

7 057

7 419

7 744

3388

3548

3689

3 871 91.7

8040 3014 4227 90.2

8305 3822

4058 90.9

4383 m.5

8532 4010 4522 88.7

8714 4070 4838 87.9

8647 4119 4720 87.1

8933 4144 4709 88.5

8980 4 159 4822

3.9 9.4 11.9 17.8 12.5 3.0 5.5 3.1 3.4 7.2 53.0 41.1 0 751

3.7 8.5 11.1 21.1 14.5 4.2 5.0 2.7 3.0 0.9 48.7 43.2 7 047

3.6 8.1 9.8 25.7 17.5 4.5 4.8 2.5 2.0 6.0 45.0 45.1 7316

3.6 7.9 9.0 30.2 21.7 4.0 4.7 2.4 2.5 5.4 41.8 46.9 7557

3.5 7.7 8.7 33.0 25.8 5.9 4.0 2.4 2.4 5.3 39.2 48.5 7704

3.4 7.0 8.5 35.4 28.3 7.8 4.6 2.4 2.4 5.1 37.2 49.9 7 m

3.4 7.5 8.4 37.2 30.2 10.3 4.5 2.3 2.4 5.1 35.9 50.9 8050

3.5 7.5 8.4 38.6 31.6 12.6 4.5 2.3 2.4 5.1 34.7 51.7 8128

3.6 7.6 8.4 39.4 32.6 13.5 4.6 2.3 2.4 5.1 34.1 52.1 8 171

3 870

92.3 4.2 10.9 12.0 15.4 12.0 2.8 6.4 3.6 3.5 7.9 57.6 38.9

0422

86.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 M20-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 2036-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 Popllationchange per year (thoummJs) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... W l h s per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO poplialbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO Popaation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO w t l o n ) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan) .......... Infant moctality rate (per 1,OOO live birlhs) Under-fnre mortality (per 1,OOO live Mrttre) L l h expcbncy al blrlh (m) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Bolh sem combined ............................

...................

180

72 55 43 00

.oo

1 7.6 5.9 8.3 0.97 0.46 4 5

79.4 85.1 82.2

85 54 49 00 0.86 7.1 8.5 7.9

0.B 0.48 4 5 79.9 m.7 828

80

60

0.75 6.9 7.0 7.0 1.04 0.50 4

0.65 6.8 7.6 7.3 1.09 0.53 3 4

45 58 70 00 0.54 6.6 8.3 7.1 1.14 0.55 3 4

80.5 86.3 83.4

01.0 86.9 83.9

81.5 87.4 84.5

59 55 58

3

53 55 62

27 57 90

17 59 101

60

60

0.42 8.5 9.2 7.0 1.19 0.57 3 4

0.30 0.5 10.3 6.8 1.24 0.00 3 4

00 0.19 0.0 11.4 0.7 1 0.62 3 4

38 58 79

82.0 88.0 85.1

82.4 88.6 85.6

.a

82.9 89.2

86.2

9 61 111 60 0.11 6.8 12.4 6.7 1.34 0.65 3 4 83.3 89.8 86.7

United Nations Deparbmnt of Econanic and sociel Affaiirslpopulation Division WorM Pqn&tion Praspects: The 2006 Rwkkn, Vdume I: Conrprehensive Tables

CHINA. HONG KONG SAR (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

87 1.19 9.5 5.9 8.2 1.22 0.58

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

58

0.81 5.7 5.9 8.3 0.72 0.34

43 0.58 4.3 6.6 8.0 0.59 0.28

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................... ......................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

7 057 3 388 3670 38.9

7 412 3 544 3868 41.1

7 723 3 676 4045 43.3

7 993 3 789 4204 45.3

8 219 3 878 4341 47.2

8 397 3 941 4456 49.0

8 518 3 975 4543 50.7

8 579 3 980 4599 52.0

8 578 3 960 4618 53.1

0.98 7.4 5.9

0.82 6.8 6.5

0.69 6.3 7.1

0.56 5.9 7.7

0.43 5.5 8.4

0.29 5.2 9.4

0.14 4.9 10.5

0.00 4.6 11.8

.0.13 4.7 13.0

(') As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Spec~alAdministrative Region (SW)of China.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

6 522 3 922 4600 54.0

CHINA, MACAO SAR

r)

Indicator Population(thousands) Totai .................................................... Males Females ............................................... sex rath (males per 100 females) ........... Am dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................

Percentage aged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 154 Median age (years) .................... Population density (population per sq km)

190 100 90 111.4

104.9

12.6 16.1 20.8 4.6 3.1 0.4 57.2 25.3 7325

16.4 19.6 14.9 6.2 3.8 0.4 49.5 24.5 &970

181 93

88

173 86 87 ge.4

209 106 104 101.9

254 130 123 105.7

253 129 124 104.6

252 128 124 103.7

152 154 96.8

372 181 191 94.3

412 199 213 93.4

441 212 229 92.4

13.3 27.8 12.5 8.1 5.3 0.7 43.0 21.6

14.0 28.8 16.2 7.3 4.8 0.6 42.3 16.3 8051

9.4 29.1 24.4 7.2 4.6 0.6 47.9 18.7 9767

9.4 20.1 28.0 8.5 5.6 0.6 52.6 22.2 9730

7.8 16.3 24.3 11.3 7.8 1.3 53.7 25.7 9694

11.8 13.5 19.5 9.9 6.9 1.1 56.4 27.1 11776

10.6 15.0 15.5 9.5 6.5 1.1 59.6 29.0 14313

8.1 18.0 12.6 9.5 7.0 1.2 59.7 31.2 15832

5.4 17.0 14.2 9.7 7.4 1.5 61.1 33.6 16984

6639

306

1950-1955 19551980 1980-1965 1885-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1,OWpopulatbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OW l i births) Life exp.arncy al Mrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................

9 5 2 3.86 20.4 8.1 3.00 1.33 49

0 5 2 -0.08 20.1 7.2 3.20 1.45 43

0 4 2 -0.08 17.1 6.6 2.00 0.93 31

11 7 2 3.89 24.6 6.5 2.50 1.20 16

13 7 2 3.90 22.0 5.4 2.05 0.99 12

8 7 2 2.02 16.9 4.5 1.55 0.74 10

6 5 2 1.38 10.9 4.2 1.12 0.54 9

6 3 2 1.40 7.4 4.3 0.84 0.41

85

7 6 2 3.86 31.6 10.6 5.10 2.17 88

54.5 59.5 57.0

58.5 63.5 61.O

62.5 67.5 65.0

84.0 69.0 66.4

67.0 72.0 69.4

71.5 76.5 74.0

73.5 78.5 76.0

75.2 79.8 77.3

76.5 80.9 78.8

77.6 82.2 80.0

- 2 7 3 0.99 37.7 13.5 5.03 1.95 100

- 2 5 2 -0.97 30.3 11.6 4.90 1.ga

51.5 56.5 54.0

8

B. MEMUMVARIANT

Population (thousando) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... AQD dlrtributlon Percentage aged 04 .. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 60 OT omr .................. Percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or ove Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage of mmen aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

473 226 247 91.6

490

523 247 275 89.8

535

544 252 292 66.4

533

252 284 88.9

543 254 289 87.7

540 248 292 85.1

244

91.2

507 241 266 90.5

84.1

524 238 285 83.6

3.7 12.5 16.9 10.3 7.5 1.8 7.0 4.7 5.4 10.1 62.7 36.5 18 198

3.7 6.7 16.2 13.2 8.2 2.2 4.7 3.3 4.0 10.4 59.4 39.5 18 845

3.9 7.3 12.3 17.9 10.9 2.4 4.3 2.2 2.7 7.9 53.7 41.9 19483

4.0 7.5 8.8 24.0 15.1 2.5 4.6 2.1 2.0 5.5 47.4 44.0 20110

3.8 7.9 7.5 29.2 20.7 2.9 4.6 2.3 2.2 4.4 43.3 45.6 20 598

3.3 7.6 7.9 33.3 25.5 4.5 4.7 2.4 2.4 4.6 41.4 47.8

3.0 7.2 6.4 38.1 29.1 7.1 4.2 2.3 2.4 5.1 38.6 50.0 20 918

3.0 6.5 8.5 37.2 31.2 10.4 3.8 2.1 2.3 5.2 35.0 52.3 20 781

3.2 6.3 8.0 39.5 31.7 12.8 3.7 1.9 2.1 5.0 32.6 54.2 20508

3.4 6.5 7.4 42.8 33.5 14.1 3.9 1.9 2.0 4.6 31.8 55.5 20 139

234 256

20889

290

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-m

.

Population change per year (tharsands) B m i per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... PopulationgroMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OWpopulation) Total fertility (children per mman) ........... Net reprodwtim rate (per woman) .......... lifant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OW lhre birth) L l h axp.ctMcy at birth ( y a m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexas cMbined ............................

.

182

3 4 2 2 0.70 7.5 4.7 4.2 0.91 0.44 7 6 78.5 82.8 80.7

0.46 6 7

3 4 3 2 0.62 8.1 5.8 3.9 1.01 0.49 6 7

3 4 3 2 0.48 7.5 6.5 3.8 1.06 0.51 6 6

79.4 63.4 61.4

80.3 84.0 82.1

81.o 84.6 82.6

3 4 3 2

0.68 7.9 5.2 4.0

0.96

1 4 4 2 6.6 7.8 3.7 1.11 0.54 5 6

0 3 5 2 0.05 5.9 9.1 3.7 1.16 0.56 5 5

- 1 3 8 2 0.13 5.9 10.9 3.7 1.21 0.58 5 5

- 1 3 7 2 -0.27 6.2 12.6 3.7 1.26 0.61 4 5

- 2 4 7 2 0.36 6.6 14.0 3.8 1.31 0.63 4 5

81.7 85.2 83.4

82.2 85.8 84.0

82.7 86.3 84.6

83.3 86.8 85.2

83.6 87.4 85.7

0.28

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wotld Population Prospects: The 2006 RevMon, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CHINA. MACAO SAR (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

473 226 247

495 236

259

520 248 272

546 259 287

568 269 300

584 275 309

594 278 31 6

601 279 322

607 281 326

3.7 125 16.9 10.3 7.5 1.8 62.7 36.5

4.7 8.6 16.1 13.1 8.2 2.2 58.8 39.1

5.4 8.0 12.0 17.4 10.6 2.4 52.5 41.1

5.7 9.6 8.4 23.0 14.5 2.4 45.5 42.2

5.2 10.7 8.0 27.5 19.5 2.8 41.8 43.5

4.5 10.6 9.6 31.0 23.7 4.2 40.8 45.4

4.2 9.6 10.8 33.0 26.6 6.5 39.2 47.4

4.4 8.7 10.9 33.4 28.1 9.4 36.8 49.1

4.9 8.7 10.0 34.7 27.9 11.2 35.2 49.8

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 0.90 9.6 4.7 4.1 1 .16 0.56

5 0.99 11.0 5.1 3.9 1.36 0.65

5 0.99 11.7 5.6 3.8 1.51 0.73

4 0.79 10.6 6.2 3.6 1 .56 0.75

3 0.54 9.1 7.2 3.5 1.61 0.78

2 0.34 8.4 8.4 3.4 1.66 0.80

1 0.24 8.9 9.9 3.3 1.71 0.83

1 0.19 9.9 11.2 3.3 1.76 0.85

1 0.16 10.5 12.2 3.3 1 .81 0.88

495 268

483 219 264

467 210 257

1.7 4.4 5.5 39.6 32.0 7.8 37.7 52.8

l .6 4.0 5.4 41.6 34.9 11.6 32.6 55.2

1.6 3.6 5.4 45.1 36.2 14.6 28.9 57.7

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

473 226 247

485 231 254

494 234 260

499 235 264

503 235 267

502 233 269

3.7 12.5 16.9 10.3 7.5 1 .8 62.7 36.5

2.8 8.8 16.4 13.4 8.3 2.3 59.9 39.8

2.4 6.4 12.7 18.4 11.1 2.5 55.1 42.8

2.1 5.2 9.2 25.1 15.8 2.6 49.4 45.7

2.1 4.7 7.0 31.1 22.1 3.1 45.0 48.1

l .9 4.5 5.9 36.1 27.6 4.9 42.1 ' 50.2

m

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.50 5.5 4.7 4.2 0.66 0.32

2

0.35 4.7 5.3 4.1 0.56 0.27

1 0.23 4.2 5.9 4.0 0.51 0.24

1 0.13 4.2 6.9 4.0 0.56 0.27

0 -0.04 3.8 8.2 4.0 0.61 0.29

-1 .0.25 3.4 9.9 4.0 0.66 0.32

- 2 4.48 3.1 12.0 4.1 0.71 0.34

- 3 -0.69 3.1 14.2 4.2 0.76 0.37

.4 -0.86 3.2 16.2 4.4 0.81 0.39

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

473 226 247 36.5

489 233 256 39.5

503 239 264 42.1

516 244 272 44.5

525 246 278 46.4

527 246 282 48.7

524 242 282 51.1

515 236 280 53.5

502 227 274 55.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM)population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.65 7.0 4.7

0.59 7.0 5.2

0.50 6.9 5.8

0.33 6.1 6.6

0.11 5.1 7.8

-0.13 4.3 9.4

-0.34 4.0 11.3

.0.53 4.0 13.3

.0.69 4.0 15.0

.

(') As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Administrative Reg~on(SAR) of China.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

485 218 266 57.8

A. ESTIMATES Indicator 2OOo

1950

1955

1860

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

12 588 6220 6 349 98.0

14 523 7 198 7325 98.3

16 841 8 357 8484

19554 9714 9841 98.7

22500 11 187 11 314 98.9

25302 12582 12720 98.9

28358 14 105 14 251 99.0

31 564 15 679 15 885 98.7

34 875 17 293 17 581 98.4

38 259 18 905 19 353 97.7

41 683 20 557 21 125 97.3

17.9 24.7 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.4 18.7 11

18.8 26.0 17.7 4.9 3.0 0.3

16.5 27.9 17.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 42.9 16.9

18.3 28.6 18.3 5.2 3.2 0.3 42.6 16.5 17

17.3 28.6 20.0 5.4 3.4 0.4 43.7 16.8 20

15.0 28.6 21.2 5.6 3.6 0.4 45.7 17.8 22

14.4 26.4 22.0 5.8 3.8 0.5 48.4 18.9 25

13.4 24.5 22.2 6.0 4.0 0.6 51.O 20.2 28

12.7 23.5 20.9 6.3 4.3 0.6 52.4 21.6 31

12.1 22.4 19.6 6.5 4.5 0.7 53.6 22.8 34

11.0 21.5 19.2 6.9 4.8 0.8 54.1 24.1 37

PopuwOn (thouundo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratb (males per 100 femaknr) ........... Aw dlrtrlbut)on Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ... Percentage aged 15-24. Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageapd 80 or m r .................. Percentageof w ~ n e apd n 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensky (populatm per sq km)

44.5

17.7 13

98.5

15

1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1966-1970 1970-1975 19751880 1980-1985 1905-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WJ 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (lkwards). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths par year (thousands) ................... popvlation growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1.WO popr(atiar) .... Cnde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulatim) .. Total fertili (ChUren p e r m ) Net repCOduction rate (per m ) .......... Infant mrtaiity rate (per 1 .WOlive M r l b ) L b orp.ct.ncy al blflh (yeuo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both s e m combined ............................

...........

543 800

589 858

208

11.4 6.76 2.72

21 1 2.61 40.8 10.0 6.18 2.58

92

82

391 642 221 2.89 47.4 16.3 6.76 2.44 123

484 710 206 2.98 45.3 13.2 6.76 2.62 105

49.0 52.3 50.6

53.5 58.9 55.1

56.2 59.7 57.9

2005

2010

2015

2020

44948

47 890 23546 24 343 96.7

50663 24 875 25 788

53238 26 106 27 132 96.2

8.9 18.8 16.4 6.8 5.7 1.1 11.3 5.7 5.7 10.9 54.2 27.4 42

6.3 17.1 17.6 10.5 6.6 1.3 10.2 5.3 5.3 10.7 53.5 29.1

2.99 44.0

58.3 61.8 80.0

560 828 210 2.35 34.6 8.8 5.00 2.13 73

611 874 207 2.28 32.6 7.7 4.34 1.89 57

642 893 1 97 2.14 29.8 6.6 3.69 1.67 43

662 920 209 2.00 27.7 6.3 3.17 1.45 35

59.7 63.9 61.6

61.8 66.3 63.8

63.6 70.2 66.7

64.5 71.7 67.6

2025

2030

2035

55583

27 213 28350 96.0

57 577 28 166 29 411 95.8

59204 28934

7.3 14.9 15.4 14.8 10.1 1.8 9.0 4.5 4.5 9.3 50.9 32.8 49

6.9 14.2 14.4 17.2 12.1 2.3 8.5 4.3 4.3 8.6 49.4 34.7 51

677 956

685 944 230 1.71 23.6 5.7 2.70 1.26 24

653 918 241 1.51 21.2 5.6 2.47 1.16 20

64.5 73.0 88.4

68.5

68.0 75.4 71.7

2040

2045

2050

80 447

30 270 95.6

29 521 30 925 95.5

61 326 29 831 31 395 95.3

61 860 30 176 31 684 95.2

6.5 13.5 13.8 19.0 14.1 3.0 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.3 47.9 36.5 52

6.2 12.8 13.4 21 .o 15.6 3.7 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.0 46.5 38.1 53

5.9 12.3 12.9 22.8 17.2 4.5 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.8 44.8 39.5 54

5.8 11.9 12.4 24.6 18.7 5.4 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.3 40.6 54

229

1.85 28.1 6.3 2.93 1.36 28

74.2 70.3

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

PopulatJoll(thouund.) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1M)feinabs) Age dl.blbut)on Percentage aged 0 4 .. Percentage aged 514 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentageaged 80 or Percentageaged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r . Percentage in s c h d ages 12-14.......... Peccentage in schod ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentageof m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq krn)

22 134 22 812 97.0 10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .o 12.2 6.1 5.8 11.1 542

25.6

39

96.5

44

7.8 15.8 16.7 12.5 8.3 1.5 9.4 4.8 4.9 10.0 52.2 31.O 47

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Popdatbn change per year (thousands) . Births per year (mousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net rigration per year (thwsands)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopuhlam) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopuletlon) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per m) ........... Net reproductm rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant m r t a l i rate (per 1 .WOlbe births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ,WOlive births) L h expnctancy al blrth (ysur) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

184

589

555

889 257 24 1.27 18.7 5.5 -0.5 2.22 1.05 19 26

858 276 - 24 1.13 17.4 5.6 -0.5 2.09 0.99 17 23

69.2 76.6 72.9

70.4 77.6 74.0

-

515 845

485 828 339 24 0.88 15.2 6.2 -0.4 1 .w

4a3 804

306 24 0.99 16.3 5.9 -0.5 2.00 0.95 15 21

-

13 18

377 24 0.71 14.2 6.7 -0.4 1 .sa 0.91 12 17

71.4 70.4 74.9

72.4 79.2 75.8

73.4 80.0 76.7

-

0.92

-

325 777 427 - 24

11 15

249 753 480 24 0.42 12.6 8.0 -0.4 1.85 0.88 11 14

176 738 538 - 24 0.29 12.1 8.6 -0.4 1.85 0.89 10 13

74.2 80.5 77.4

75.0 81.0 76.0

75.5 81.5 78.5

0.55

13.3 7.3 -0.4 1.87 0.89

-

107 722 592

- 24 0.17 11.7 9.6 -0.4 1.85 0.89 10 13 76.0 82.0 79.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffaiMopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comjxehensive Tables

COLOMBIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ...............................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

44 946 22 134 22 812

48 373 23 793 24 580

51 956 25 535 26 421

55 570 27 297 28 273

58 983 28 959 30 024

62 219 30 536 31 684

65 292 32 039 33 253

68 223 33 485 34 738

71 009 34 864 36 146

10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .0 54.2 25.6

9.8 18.6 18.2 8.7 5.7 1 .1 53.7 27.1

9.6 17.6 17.3 10.2 6.7 1.3 52.2 28.4

9.3 17.4 16.0 12.0 8.0 1.4 50.1 29.6

8.8 17.2 15.3 13.9 9.5 1.7 48.9 30.9

8.4 16.6 15.4 15.9 11.2 2.1 47.9 32.0

8.1 15.8 15.4 17.3 12.8 2.7 47.1 32.9

8.0 15.3 15.0 18.6 13.8 3.3 46.2 33.6

7.9 15.0 14.4 19.7 14.8 3.9 45.2 34.2

Age distribution

Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growih rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate {per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

686 1.47 20.8 5.5 -0.5

2.47 1 .16

716 1.43 20.4 5.6 -0.5 2.49 1.18

723 1.35 19.7 5.8 .0.4 2.50 1.19

683 1.19 18.3 6.0 -0.4 2.44 1.16

647 1.07 17.4 6.3 -0.4 2.40 1.14

614 0.96 16.8 6.8 -0.4 2.37 1.13

586 0.88 16.5 7.3 -0.4 2.35 1.12

557 0.80 16.2 7.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13

525 0.73 15.9 8.3 .0.3 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

44 946 22 134 22 812

47 407 23 300 24 107

49 376 24 218 25 158

50 916 24 920 25 996

52 176 25 483 26 692

53 056 25 859 27 197

53 434 25 991 27 442

53 300 25 880 27 421

52 691 25 535 27 156

10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .0 54.2 25.6

8.0 19.0 18.6 8.9 5.8 1.1 54.8 27.7

6.9 16.6 18.2 10.8 7.0 1.3 54.8 29.9

6.1 14.0 17.4 13.1 8.7 1.5 54.5 32.4

5.8 12.4 15.5 15.8 10.7 1.9 53.2 34.8

5.3 11.5 13.2 18.6 13.1 2.5 51.1 37.3

4.8 10.8 11.9 21.1 15.6 3.3 48.8 39.8

4.4 10.1 11.2 23.8 17.7 4.2 46.4 42.3

4.0 9.2 10.8 26.6 20.0 5.3 43.7 44.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

492 1.07 16.7 5.5 .0.5 1.97 0.93

394 0.81 14.3 5.7 -0.5 1.69 0.80

308 0.61 12.6 6.0 -0.5 1.50 0.71

252 0.49 11.8 6.5 .0.5 1.44 0.69

1 76 0.34 10.9 7.1 -0.5 1.40 0.67

76 0.14 9.8 7.9 .0.5 1.37 0.65

. 27 -0.05 8.8 8.9 -0.5 1.35 0.65

- 122

- 207

.0.23 8.1 10.0 .0.5 1.35 0.65

.0.40 7.6 11.1 .0.5 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. 44 946 Males .............................................. 22 134 Females ............................................. 22 812 Median age (years) ................................. 25.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.47 20.8 5.5

48 373 23 793 24 580 27.1

51 914 25 514 26 400 28.4

55 467 27 244 28 223 29.6

58 943 28 939 30 004 30.9

62 329 30 592 31 737 31.9

65 611 32 202 33 409 32.7

68 800 33 780 35 MO 33.2

71 875 35 306 36 568 33.7

1.41 20.2 5.6

1.32 19.5 5.8

1.22 18.6 6.0

1.12 17.9 6.3

1.03 17.4 6.8

0.95 17.1 7.3

0.87 16.9 7.8

0.81 16.7 8.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

COMOROS (')

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... .................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

...

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1 73 85 87 97.4

194 96 98 97.9

215 106 108 98.3

240 119 121 98.7

275 137 1 38 99.2

31 8 1 58 159 99.4

387 193 194 99.6

456 228 228 99.8

527 263 263 100.0

607 304 303 100.3

699 350 349 100.5

17.8 25.7 18.9 5.4 3.4 0.3 45.6 18.2

17.3 26.7 19.0 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.7 18.0 87

18.2 26.4 19.0 4.6 2.9 0.3 45.6 17.6 96

19.1 26.4 19.2 4.4 2.7 0.3 45.3 17.2 1 07

19.4 27.5 18.6 4.2 2.6 0.2 44.0 16.6 123

19.4 28.3 18.3 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.4 16.1 142

19.4 28.6 19.0 4.0 2.5 0.2 43.3 16.0 173

19.6 28.5 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 43.3 15.9 204

17.5 29.4 19.9 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.5 16.4 236

16.6 28.6 20.5 4.0 2.5 0.2 46.1 17.1 272

16.5 26.5 21.4 4.1 2.6 0.3 48.0 17.9 313

n

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percenlage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

798 400 398 100.7

902 453 449 100.8

1007 506 502 100.8

1112 558 554 100.8

1217 61l 607 100.7

1325 664 660 100.6

1431 718 714 100.5

1534 768 766 100.3

15.9 26.1 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.1 7.0 6.5 12.5 48.9 18.7 357

14.8 25.9 19.8 4.6 2.8 0.3 16.0 7.1 6.4 11.5 49.6 19.4

13.4 25.1 19.9 4.8 3.1 0.3 15.3 7.1 6.7 11.6 51 .0 20.4 451

12.2 23.6 20.5 5.3 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.6 12.0 52.5 21.7 497

11.4 21.8 20.3 6.0 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.5 6.3 12.0 53.6 23.2 545

10.8 20.4 19.3 6.9 4.3 0.5 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.6 53.8 24.7 593

10.2 19.4 18.2 8.0 5.1 0.6 11.8 5.7 5.6 10.9 53.3 26.2 640

9.5 18.6 17.3 9.3 6.0 0.7 11.3 5.5 5.3 10.3 52.9 27.7 686

404

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. : Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... . ... ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

COMOROS (*)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.........................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

22 2.63 35.1 6.5 .2.3 4.55 2.03

24 2.47 32.4 5.7 .2.1 4.16 1.90

25 2.29 29.9 5.2 .1.8 3.84 1.78

26 2.12 27.6 4.8 - l .6 3.52 1.65

27 2.00 26.1 4.6 -1.5 3.28 l.55

28 1.91 24.9 4.5 -1.3 3.09 1.47

29 1.79 23.7 4.6 -1.2 2.94 1.40

29 1.65 22.3 4.7 -1.1 2.81 l.34

29 1.50 21.0 4.9 -1.0 2.70 1.30

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

798 400 398

894 449 446

985 494 491

1069 536 533

1152 577 574

1232 617 615

1306 654 652

1369 685 685

1420 709 711

15.9 26.1 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 48.9 18.7

14.0 26.2 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 50.1 19.7

12.3 24.9 20.4 5.0 3.2 0.4 52.1 21.0

10.8 22.5 21.3 5.5 3.5 0.4 54.5 22.7

10.1 20.1 20.7 6.4 4.0 0.5 55.9 24.6

9.4 18.4 19.0 7.5 4.7 0.6 56.1 26.6

8.7 17.4 17.3 8.8 5.6 0.7 55.1 28.7

7.8 16.5 16.2 10.4 6.7 0.8 54.4 30.7

6.9 15.2 15.7 12.6 8.1 1.1 53.7 32.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

19 2.28 31.5 6.4 -2.4 4.05 1.80

18 1.93 27.0 5.6 .2.1 3.36 1.53

17 1.64 23.5 5.2 .1.9 2.84 1.31

16 1.48 21.6 5.0 -1.8 2.52 1.18

16 1.35 20.1 4.9 .1.7 2.28 1.08

15 1.17 18.3 5.0 -l 6 2.W 0.99

.

13 0.95 16.3 5.3 -1.5 1.94 0.92

10 0.72 14.4 5.7 -1.4 1.81 0.87

8 0.53 12.9 6.3 -1.4 1.70 0.82

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ...................... ...................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

798 400 398 18.7

919 461 457 19.0

1061 533 528 19.1

t 224 615 609 19.2

1411 709 702 19.3

1628 818 809 19.5

1880 946 934 19.7

2175 1 094 1 081 19.8

2 518 1 268 1 250 19.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

2.82 37.1 6.6

2.88 36.6 5.9

2.87 35.6 5.2

2.85 34.7 4.8

2.85 34.2 4.4

2.88 34.1 4.2

2.92 34.1 4.0

2.93 34.0 3.9

2.93 33.8 3.8

..

..

(')

Including Mayone.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2916 1 469 1 447 19.8

CONGO A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population densily (population per sq km)

1950

1955

l960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

808 397 411 96.6

895 438 456 96.1

1003 491 512 96.0

1143 560 583 96.1

1323 649 674 96.4

1544 759 785 96.7

1802 888 914 97.1

2096 1034 1062 97.4

2422 1196 1226 97.5

2793 1379 1414 97.6

3203 1583 1620 97.7

16.0 24.1 18.7 5.7 3.5 0.3 47.7 20.0 2

16.1 24.7 18.6 5.6 3.5 0.3 47.2 19.7 3

16.5 25.0 18.4 5.6 3.4 0.3 46.5 19.3 3

17.2 25.2 16.5 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.8 18.8 3

17.8 25.8 18.3 5.4 3.4 0.3 44.9 18.2 4

18.1 26.8 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 44.1 17.6 5

18.0 27.4 18.4 5.2 3.3 0.3 43.9 17.2 5

17.4 27.7 19.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.4 17.3 6

16.7 27.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.3 45.6 17.7 7

16.3 26.7 20.4 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.8 18.1 8

15.9 26.2 20.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.7 18.6 9

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Tdal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Mediin age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

3 610 1788 1 821 98.2

4 01 1 1991 2 020 98.6

4 459 2217 2 241 98.9

4 907 2444 2 463 99.2

5 362 2674 2 689 99.4

5 824 2907 2 917 99.6

6 285 3139 3 146 99.8

6 732 3363 3 368 99.8

7 158 3576 3 582 99.8

7 561 3775 3 786 99.7

16.0 25.9 20.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.6 11.9 47.8 18.8

15.2 26.2 20.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.1 7.1 6.6 11.7 48.0 19.0 12

13.9 25.9 20.4 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.6 7.3 6.7 11.9 49.3 19.7 13

12.9 24.5 20.9 5.3 3.5 0.4 14.8 7.2 6.9 12.2 51 .1 20.7 14

12.1 22.9 21 .1 5.7 3.6 0.5 13.8 6.7 6.7 12.6 52.6 21.9 16

11.5 21.7 20.3 6.2 3.9 0.5 13.1 6.4 6.2 12.2 53.4 23.2 17

10.8 20.8 19.3 6.8 4.3 0.5 12.6 6.1 5.9 11.5 53.8 24.5 l8

10.1 19.9 18.6 7.7 4.9 0.6 12.0 5.9 5.7 11.1 54.1 25.8 20

9.5 18.9 18.0 8.7 5.6 0.7 11.4 5.6 5.6 10.8 54.l 27.1 21

8.9 17.9 17.5 9.7 6.4 0.8 10.7 5.4 5.3 10.5 53.8 28.5 22

l1

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

CONGO

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

87 2.28 36.9 11.5 -2.6 4.74 1.93

102 2.37 34.3 10.6 0.0 4.39 1.82

107 2.23 32.1 9.8 0.0 4.05 1.72

112 2.08 29.9 9.1 0.0 3.69 l .60

118 1 99 28.3 8.5 0.0 3.41 1.51

124 1.90 27.0 8.0 0.0 3.19 1.44

129 1.80 25.6 7.6 0.0 3.02 1.38

132 1.69 24.2 7.3 0.0 2.88 1.33

1 34 1.57 22.9 7.2 0.0 2.76 1.29

62 1.12 19.8 8.7 0.0 2.19 0.99

54 0.92 17.8 8.5 0.0 2.02 0.92

45 0.74 16.0 8.5 0.0 1.88 0.87

37 0.58 14.5 8.7 0.0 1.76 0.82

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

..........................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.......................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................... . ...........

..

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

73 1.94 33.3 11.3 -2.6 4.24 1.72

77

1.85 28.9 10.4 0.0 3.59 1.49

72 1.59 25.6 9.8 0.0 3.05 1.29

71 1.44 23.7 9.3 0.0 2.69 1.17

68

1.29 21.8 8.9 0.0 2.41 1.07

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3610 1 788 1 821 18.8

4047 2 009 2 038 18.8

4609 2 293 2 316 18.9

5263 2 622 2 641 19.0

6025 3 006 3 019 19.0

6914 3 454 3 460 19.1

7953 3 976 3 977 19.1

9170 4 587 4 583 19.1

10593 5 301 5 292 19.1

2.29 37.0 11.5

2.60 36.7 10.7

2.65 36.5 10.0

2.70 36.2 9.2

2.75 35.9 8.4

2.80 35.7 7.7

2.85 35.5 7.1

2.89 35.4 6.6

2.92 35.2 6.1

.

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

COSTA RlCA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-live mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

68 80 18 6 1.50 17.8 4.1 1.3 2.10 1.01 10 11

64 78 21 6 1.32 16.2 4.3 1.2 1.94 0.93 9 11

59 76 24 6 1.14 14.9 4.6 1.2 1.85 0.89 9 10

55 76 28 6 1.01 14.1 5.1 1.1 1.85 0.89 8 9

49 75 32 6 0.87 13.3 5.7 1.1 1.85 0.89 8 9

43 74 38 6 0.72 12.6 6.4 10 1.85 0.89 7 8

76.5 81.2 78.8

77.0 81.9 79.4

77.5 82.4 79.9

78.0 82.9 80.4

78.4 83.4 80.8

78.7 83.8 81.2

.

35 73 44 0.58 12.0 7.2 1.0 1.85 0.89 7 8

28 72 50 6 0.45 11.6 8.1 1.0 1.85 0.89 6 7

20 71 57 6 0.32 11.2 9.0 0.9 1.85 0.89 6 7

79.0 84.1 81.5

79.3 84.4 81.8

79.5 84.7 82.0

6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

COSTA RlCA C. HIGHVARIANT

lndkator Popuwtnl (thou.snd.) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... ~dktrlbutlon P e m waged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14............ Percentage aged 15-24.................. psrcentage aged 60 OT w B r .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. ~ e g e d 8 0 o r o v e .................. r Pemantageofwomenaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4327 2200 2127

4711 2382 2319

5 107 2 591 2 517

5 502 2 787 2 714

5 881 2 976 2908

6 247 3 156 3 081

6803 3330 3273

6948 3498 3450

7279 3659 3621

7 592 3811 3 762

9.1 19.3 19.8 8.3 5.8 1.3 55.1 26.1

9.4 17.1 18.7 9.3 6.4 1.5 54.4 27.7

9.1 16.5 16.7 10.9 7.2 1.6 52.4 29.3

8.7 16.7 14.9 12.9 8.6 1.8 50.3 31.O

8.2 16.3 14.6 15.1 10.4 2.0 49.5 32.5

7.9 15.6 15.0 17.0 12.3 2.5 48.4 33.7

7.8 15.0 14.8 18.1 13.8 3.1 47.0 34.5

7.7 14.6 14.3 19.5 14.7 3.9 45.4 34.9

7.6 14.5 13.8 21 .o 15.7 4.6 44.3 35.5

7.5 14.4 13.6 22.4 16.9 5.1 43.8 36.0

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 TI

m t h chenpe per year (thwsands). POpJatkn gmwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate @er 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude b a t h rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net mbgrath rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (ChUdren per mwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1.70 19.7 4.1 1.3 2.35 1.13

79 1.62 19.2 4.3 1.2 2.34 1.13

79 1.49 18.3 4.5 1.1 2.35 1.13

78 1.33 17.2 4.9 1.1 2.35 1.13

73 1.21 16.4 5.3 1 .o 2.35 1.13

89

71 1.11 16.0 5.9 0.9 2.35 1.13

1.02 15.8 6.5 0.9 2.35 1.13

66 0.93 15.6 7.2 0.8 2.35 1.14

63 0.84 15.4 7.8 0.8 2.35 1.14

D. LOWVARIANT

pop~irtkn (thouunda) Total .................................................... Male8 ...................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 327 2200 2127

4 619 2345 2274

4 858 2463 2395

5 049 2556 2493

5 218 2836 2582

5 351 2898 2654

5 439 2735 2704

5 476 2745 2731

5 463 2730 2733

5405 2693 2 712

8.3 5.8 1.3 55.1 26.1

7.6 17.4 19.1 9.5 6.5 1.5 55.5 28.3

6.4 15.5 17.5 11.4 7.6 1.7 55.1 30.8

5.5 13.2 16.3 14.0 9.4 2.0 54.8 33.5

5.2 11.4 14.7 17.0 11.7 2.3 53.9 38.2

4.9 10.5 12.8 19.6 14.3 2.9 51.8 38.8

4.5 10.0 11.3 22.0 16.7 3.7 48.8 41.3

4.1 9.4 10.6 24.7 18.6 4.9 45.5 43.7

3.8 8.7 10.3 28.0 20.9 8.2 42.7 45.9

3.6 8.1 9.9 31.5 23.7 7.2 40.2 48.0

Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentageaged0Oorover Peccentageofwomenaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2om-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

58

Populatbnchangeper popdath growth rate Crude birlh rate @er 1 Cnde dealh rate (per 1,000population) .. Net tnbmtion rate (per 1 .ooO popdalion) . Total sertility (children per mxnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) ..

1 .a 15.8 4.1 1.3 1.85

I

0.89

48 1.01 13.2 4.4 1.3 1.54 0.74

38 0.77

11.3 4.8 1.2 1.35 0.65

34 0.66 10.7 5.3 1.2 1.35 0.65

27 0.51 9.9 6.0 1.1 1.35 0.65

18 0.33 9.0 6.9 1.1 1.35 0.65

7 0.14 8.2 8.0 1.1 1.35 0.65

1.1 1.35 0.65

- 12 4.22 7.2 10.4 1.1 1.35 0.65

- 3 4.05 7.6 9.2

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT ~

2005

2010

2015

4327 2200 2127 26.1

4699 2388 2313 27.8

5084

2578 2505 29.5

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5464

5828

2768 2696 31.2

2948 2880 32.8

6175 3119 3056 34.1

6509 3282 3227 35.0

8827 3436 3391 35.6

7128 3581 3547 38.2

7408 3 716 3 691 36.7

2020

~~

PopuWon (thouads)

Tdal .................................................... Male8 ................................................... Fetnah ................................................ Mediin ege (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 poprbtkm gmwM rate (per cml) ............

CnrQ Mrth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,OOO populeton) ..

1.65 19.2 4.1

1.57 16.8 4.3

1.44 17.8 4.6

1.29 16.8 4.9

1.16 16.0 5.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prmpects: The 2006 Revisbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 1.05 15.5 6.0

0.96 15.3 6.6

0.86 15.0 7.3

0.77

14.6 7.9

191

COTE D'IVOIRE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.... ..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . B~ithsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2000

COTE DIVOIRE

.

C HtGHVARlANT lndkator Population (thwundr) Total ...... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dldrlbutlon Percentage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ................... Percentage aged 60 or over ............ Percentage aged 65 or oyer .................. PerUMtage aged 80 or OYBT .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18 585 9 445 9 139

20540 10 399

25 215 12 715 12 500

27 621 13 917

30058

32 573

13 704

15 138 14 920

16 ux) 16 173

35 174 17 M6 17 469

37 818 19 030 18 789

40 447

10 141

22811 11 519 11 292

15.2 26.5 21.7 5.1 3.2 0.3 47.4 18.5

15.1 25.2 21.6 5.2 3.3 0.3 48.6 19.2

14.7 24.8 20.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.7 20.0

13.9 24.4 20.1 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.6 20.7

12.9 23.9 19.9 5.8 3.8 0.4 51.8 21.4

12.2 22.8 20.1 5.9 4.0 0.5 52.9 22.4

11.6 21.6 19.9 6.3 4.1 0.5 53.3 23.4

11.2 20.7 19.2 8.9 4.4 0.6 53.0 24.4

10.7 20.1 18.4 8.0 5.0 0.6 52.5 25.5

10.2 19.4 17.8 9.2 5.9 0.7 52.1 26.5

20 341 20 108

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Popuiation change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO pbpuiation) .. Net rnigratbn rale (per 1 ooO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (perwoman)

.

..........

391 2.00 37.1 15.6 -1.5 4.71 1.71

454 2.10 35.5 14.7 0.1 4.30 1.60

481 1.82 30.4 12.4 0.2 3.60 1.43

481 2.00 33.3 13.5 0.3 3.94 1.52

487 1.69 28.2 11.5 0.2 3.34 1.36

503 1.61 26.7 10.8 0.2 3.14 1.30

520 1.54 25.4 10.2 0.2 2.98 1.26

529 1.45 24.0 9.7 0.2 2.84 1.22

526 1.34 22.6 9.3 0.2 2.73 1.19

.

D LOWVARIANT

PopUldOn (thOUund8)

.

Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon PeruMlage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of ma@8d 1549 .. Median age (years) .................................

..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18585 9 445 9139

20 210 10 234 9 976

21 874 11 050 10 824

23416 11 814 11 601

24849 12529 12320

26 142 13177 12965

27262 13740 13522

28197 14207 13989

28944 14575 14369

29500 14 039 14 661

15.2 26.5 21.7 5.1 3.2

13.7 25.6 22.0 5.3 3.4 0.3 49.4 19.6

12.4 24.2 21.8 5.7 3.6 0.3 51.9 21.0

11.2 22.4 21.6 6.1 3.9 0.4 54.5 22.5

10.3 20.7 20.8 6.5 4.3 0.5 56.4 24.1

9.5 19.2 19.7 6.8 4.6 0.5 57.4 25.9

8.6 18.0 18.6 7.5 4.9 0.6 57.3 27.6

7.8 16.7 17.6 8.6 5.5 0.7 56.7 29.4

7.1 15.4 16.7 10.4 6.5 0.8 55.6 31.4

6.5 14.2 15.8 12.7 8.1 0.9 54.2 33.3

0.3 47.4 18.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 m 2 0 3 5 20352040 2040-2045 20452050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlatkn).... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO POpJatkm) Net ndgralh rate (per 1 ooO populatkm) . Total f e r t f i(children per women) ........... Net reproductkn rale (per women) ..........

.

..

325 1.68 33.5 15.2 -1.5 4.21 1.53

333

308

1.58 29.8 14.1 0.1 3.50 1.31

1.36 26.3 13.0 0.3 2.94 1.13

287 1.19 23.9 12.2 0.2 2.60 1.03

259 1.01 21.5 11.6 0.2 2.34 0.95

224 0.84 19.3 11.2 0.2 2.14 0.89

187 0.67 17.3 10.8 0.2 1.98

0.84

150 0.52 15.6 10.6 0.2 1.84 0.79

111 0.38 14.1 10.5 0.2 1.73 0.76

.

E CONSTANT-FERTIUTY VARIANT

Population (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F m k ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18 585 9 445 9 139 18.5

20 730 10 494 10 238 19.0

23 491 11 859 11 631 19.3

26 741 13 479 13 262 19.2

30 457 15 338

34 743 17 485 17 258 18.9

39 767 20 008 19 761 19.0

45 704

52 702 26 498 26 204 19.1

60 911 30 617 30 295 19.0

15 120 18.9

22 986 22 718 19.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growM rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1.ooO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO populatkm) ..

.

2.19 39.2 15.9

2.50 40.0 15.1

2.59 39.6 14.0

2.80 38.6 12.8

2.63 37.9 11.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffahPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.70 37.6 10.8

2.78 37.6 10.0

2.85 37.5 9.2

2.90 37.3 8.5

193

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................:.................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comblned ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2000

CROATlA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator

Females ............................................... Age dMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... percentage a m 15-24 ....... percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mrnen a m 15-49 ......... Median age (years)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 551 2 191 2 361

4 570 2 201 2368

4550 2 198 2354

4529 2 190 2339

4 493 2 177 2 316

4446 2 157 2289

4 401 2 138 2262

4 372 2 128 2 243

4 361 2 129 2232

4355 2 134 2 221

4.5 11.0 13.1 22.1 17.2 2.9 45.4 40.6

5.3 9.8 12.0 23.5 17.3 3.9 44.6 41.6

5.8 9.9 11.1 25.2 18.3 4.7 42.7 42.3

5.9 11.1 9.9 28.8 19.9 5.2 40.6 42.9

5.6 11.8 10.0 28.1 21.4 4.9 39.5 43.7

5.5 11.7 11.3 28.9 22.6 5.6 38.6 44.4

5.7 11.3 12.0 29.4 23.1 6.5 37.9 44.6

6.2 11.3 11.9 30.0 23.4 7.2 37.5 44.1

6.6 11.9 11.4 30.4 23.8 7.6 37.2 42.7

6.7 12.8 11.3 30.1 24.1 7.6 37.6 41.2

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2c45-2050

Population change per year (thousands). Population groWm rate @er cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.OOO popbatkn) Crude death rale (per 1,OOO poprlation) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO poprlalion) . Total f e r t i l i i (CMdren per m n ) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.... .. ...........

4 0.08 10.6 12.0 2.2 1.60 0.77

- 4 -0.09 11.6 12.5 0.0 1.82 0.87

- 4 -0.09 11.9 12.8 0.0 1.99 0.95

- 7 -0.16 11.3 12.9

- 9 -0.21 11.0 13.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.06 0.99

2.13 1.02

2.20 1.06

2.27 1.09

- 2 -0.05 13.3 13.8 0.0 2.33 1.12

- 9 -0.20 11.3 13.4

- 6 -0.13 12.4 13.7

- 1 -0.03 13.4 13.7 0.0

2.35 1.13

D. LOW VARIANT

- 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 -

4 551 2 191 2 361

4 494 2 163 2332

4380 2098 2 261

4 207 2 025 2 182

4 051 1 950 2 102

3890 1871 2 018

3 714 1 786 1929

3 524 1 693 1 031

3 325 1 597 1 728

3 121 1500 1 621

4.5 11.0 13.1 22.1 17.2 2.9 48.4 40.6

3.7 10.0 12.2 23.9 17.6 3.9 45.3 42.2

3.4 8.6 11.5 28.3 19.1 4.9 44.4 43.8

3.2 7.5 10.7 28.9 21.4 5.5 43.5 45.4

3.3 7.0 9.2 31.2 23.7 5.5 41.7 47.2

3.3 6.9 8.1 33.0 25.8 6.4 39.2 48.9

3.2 7.0 7.6 34.8 27.4 7.7 36.4 50.7

3.1 7.0 7.6 37.3

3.0 6.8 7.9 39.9 31.2 9.9 32.5 53.7

2.9 6.6 7.9 42.0 33.7 10.6 31.O 55.0

POPUWWI (mouunds)

................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....... Percentqwaged 80 W O W Percenlaw a g d 65 or ow Percentage aged 80 or ow .................. Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...................

29.0

9.0 34.2 52.3

2005-2010 2010.2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population grwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatim) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

-

11 -0.25 7.4 12.1 2.2 1.10 0.53

-

27 -0.61 6.8 12.9 0.0 1.02 0.49

-

31 -0.71 6.4 13.5 0.0 0.99 0.47

-

31 -0.75 6.5 14.0 0.0 1.06 0.51

-32 -0.82 6.5 14.7 0.0 1.13 0.54

-35

-0.92 6.3 15.5 0.0 1.20 0.58

-38 -1.05 6.0 16.5 0.0 1.27 0.61

-

-40 -1.17 5.8 17.5 0.0 1.33 0.64

41 -1.27 5.7 18.4 0.0 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

PopuMlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femakw ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

20452050

4 551 2191 2361 40.6

4 532 2182 2350 41.9

4 444 2141 2302 43.1

4 337 2092 2245 44.4

4 213 2033 2181 45.9

4 073 1966 2108 47.5

3 918 1890 2028 49.0

3 750 1809 1941 50.2

3 572 1724 1848 51.3

3 390 1638 1752 52.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 PopulationgrowM rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

-0.09 9.0 12.1

-0.39 8.8 12.7

-0.49 8.3 13.2

-0.58 7.8 13.6

-0.68 7.3 14.1

United Nations Deparbnent of Emnomic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevsion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.78 7.0 14.8

-0.88 6.8 15.6

-0.97 6.7 16.4

-1.05 6.5 17.0

195

CUBA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Totai ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females .......................... . ................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

5 920

3 057 2 863 106.8 13.1 23.2 18.2 7.0 4.4 0.6 51.0 22.3 53

1950-1955 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

5 MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ......................... ... ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per l.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ . ............... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revi3ion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CUBA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

11260 5 636 5 624

11353 5 681 5 671

l1490 5 750 5 740

11663 5 833 5 830

11815 5 903 5 912

11894 5 936 5 958

11913 5 941 5 972

11891 5 926 5 965

11832 5 895 5 937

5.9 13.3 13.9 15.7 11.2 2.6 53.6 35.6

5.9 12.0 13.9 17.4 12.4 2.8 52.4

6.1 11.4 12.4 19.3 14.0 2.9 47.9 40.6

6.1 11.5 11.2 21.1 15.7 3.5 42.9 42.0

5.8 11.7 10.7 25.2 17.4 4.3 39.2 43.0

5.6 11.6 11.0 29.2 21.1 5.1 38.5 43.9

5.6 11.3 11.4 32.3 24.6 5.9 38.3 45.0

5.7 11.1 11.4 32.8 27.3 6.6 37.2 45.5

5.8 11.2 11.1 32.7 27.4 8.7 36.6 45.3

38.2

19 0.16 12.0 7.5 -2.8 1.74 0.84

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............

.... ..

. 20 -0.18 8.7 7.6 -2.8 1.24 0.60

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..

11260 5 636 5 624 35.6

11311 5 660 5 651 38.3

11336 5 671 5 665 41.0

11331 5 662 5 668 43.2

11307 5 642 5 665 44.8

11199 5 579 5 620 46.3

11000 5 472 5 528 47.9

10718 5 324 5 394 49.6

10359 5 139 5 220 51.0

0.09 11.3 7.5

0.05 10.6 7.7

.0.01 10.0 8.1

.0.04 9.5 8.8

.0.19 8.9 9.8

.0.36 8.4 10.9

-0.52 8.1 12.1

.0.68 7.8 13.4

-0.85 7.5 14.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CYPRUS A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

494 244 250 97.3

530 260 270 96.0

573 282 291 96.7

582 288 297 96.4

615 304 311 97.7

609

611 305 306 99.5

647 322 325 99.0

681 339 341 99.4

731 385 366 99.7

786 387 399 97.0

13.5 21.0 17.7 9.1 6.0 0.6 49.5 23.7 53

12.2 22.0 16.7 9.9 6.7 0.7 48.7 24.4 57

13.1 23.6 16.5 9.5 5.9 0.7 46.5 23.0

12.1 22.4 18.2 10.1 6.5 0.8 47.3 23.3

62

63

9.6 21.5 17.7 14.0 10.1 1.8 46.7 25.9 66

66

9.3 15.1 19.1 14.0 10.3 1.7 52.1 28.7 66

9.6 15.6 17.4 14.3 10.6 1.8 51.1 29.3 70

9.0 16.8 15.0 14.8 10.9 2.4 49.7 30.9 74

8.4 16.8 14.6 14.7 10.8 2.2 49.8 31.9 79

6.7 15.9 15.4 15.4 11.3 2.4 50.8 33.5 85

303 306 98.9 7.7 18.2 20.4 13.9 9.8 1.9 51.5 27.1

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

838 407 429 94.8 5.9 14.0 15.5 16.9 12.1 2.7 8.2 4.6 4.6 9.3 51.5 35.3

90

882 429 452 95.0

929 453 476 95.2

975 476 499 95.4

1018 498 521 95.6

1056 517 540 95.7

1091 534 557 95.8

1124 551 573 96.1

1155 567 588 96.4

6.0 11.8 15.1 18.2 13.0 2.9 6.9 3.8 4.3 9.2 51.0 36.3 95

6.1 11.3 13.4 19.8 14.2 3.2 6.8 3.3 3.5 8.4 49.2 37.4 100

6.0 11.5 11.5 21.6 15.5 3.5 7.0 3.3 3.2 6.9 47.1 38.7 105

5.7 11.6 11.0 23.2 17.3 4.0 7.0 3.4 3.3 6.5 45.7 40.1 110

5.4 11.3 11.3 24.6 18.8 4.7 6.8 3.4 3.4 6.8 44.4 41.5 114

5.3 10.8 11.5 25.4 19.9 5.3 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.9 43.1 42.7 118

5.4 10.5 11.3 26.7 20.5 6.2 6.3 3.2 3.2 6.9 41.7 43.6 121

5.4 10.5 10.9 26.2 21.6 6.8 6.3 3.1 3.1 6.6 40.2 44.0 125

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffilPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CYPRUS

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

11 1.24 14.0 7.4 5.8 1.86 0.89

12 1.32 15.1 7.4 5.4 2.03 0.97

13 1.30 15.4 7.5 5.1 2.18 1.05

12 1.15 14.3 7.7 4.8 2.23 1.07

11 1.01 13.5 8.0 4.5 2.28 1.09

11 0.97 13.7 8.3 4.3 2.33 1.12

12 0.99 14.4 8.6 4.1 2.35 1.13

13 0.99 14.8 8.8 3.9 2.35 1.13

13 0.94 14.6 8.9 3.7 2.35 1.13

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

7 0.87 10.3 7.5 5.8 1.36 0.65

7 0.75 9.5 7.6 5.6 1.23 0.59

6 0.64 8.9 7.9 5.4 1.18 0.57

5 0.56 8.7 8.4 5.3 1.23 0.59

4 0.44 8.2 9.0 5.1 1.28 0.62

3 0.32 7.8 9.6 5.0 1.33 0.64

2 0.21 7.4 10.3 5.0 1.35 0.65

1 0.10 7.1 11.0 4.9 1.35 0.65

0 0.02 7.0 11.7 4.9 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

836 407 429 35.3

883 453 36.3

929 453 476 37.4

974 476 499 38.7

1014 496 519 40.2

1048 512 536 41.7

1077 527 550 43.2

1103 540 563 44.4

1125 552 574 45.0

1145 562 583 45.3

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.08 12.4 7.5

1.04 12.4 7.5

0.95 11.9 7.7

0.65 10.1 8.5

0.54 9.8 9.0

0.47 9.7 9.6

0.41 9.7 10.1

0.34 9.5 10.5

430

.. . p p . . . . .

0.80 11.0 8.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CZECH REPUBLIC

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.004 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

CZECH REPUBLIC

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1 ,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

15 0.15 11.0 10.8 1.4 1.49 0.72

18 0.17 11.4 11.0 1.4 1.70 0.82

13 0.13 11.1 11.2 1.3 1 .85 0.89

0 0.00 10.1 11.5 1.3 1.90 0.91

. l0 .0.10 9.6 12.0 1.3 1.95 0.94

. 12 -0.12 10.0 12.5 1.4 2.00 0.96

.6 .0.06 10.9 12.9 1.4 2.05 0.99

1 0.01 11.7 13.0 1.4 2.10 1.01

. 70 .0.78 5.1 14.5 1.6 1 .00 0.48

. 76 .0.89 5.0 15.5 l .6 1.05 0.50

. 79 .0.98 4.9 16.3 1.7 1.10 0.53

. 82 .1.06 4.8 17.2 l .8 1.15 0.55

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 22 .0.22 7.4 10.9 1.4 0.99 0.48

. 37 .0.37 6.3 11.3 1.4 0.90 0.43

. 54 -0.57 5.4 12.5 1.5 0.90 0.43

. 48 .0.49 5.5 11.8 1.4 0.85 0.41

. 62 .0.67 5.2 13.5 1.5 0.95 0.46

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Med~anage (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

10192 4 970 5 222 38.9

10150 4 958 5 192 40.2

10056 4 917 5 139 42.3

9908 4 847 5 061 44.5

9702 4 747 4 955 46.8

9439 4 618 4 821 48.9

9134 4 469 4 665 50.6

8797 4 306 4 491 52.2

8436 4 131 4 305 53.6

8054 3 944 4 110 55.0

.0.08 8.7 10.9

.0.19 8.0 11.2

.0.30 7.2 11.6

.0.42 6.5 12.2

4.55 6.0 13.0

-0.66 5.8 13.9

.0.75 5.7 14.8

.0.84 5.5 15.5

.0.93 5.2 16.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

DEM. PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... .. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

9737 4453 5284 84.3

9632 4453 5179 86.0

10946 5143 5803 88.6

12323 5865 6458 90.8

14247 6861 7386 92.9

16072 7797 8275 94.2

17239 8390 8849 94.8

18721 9144 9576 95.5

20143 9870 10273 96.1

21715 10659 11057 96.4

22946 11274 l1672 96.6

15.8 32.1 22.1 3.9 2.7 0.3 49.2 15.9 81

10.4 29.6 25.9 3.4 2.3 0.3 57.2 18.5 80

15.5 21.4 25.8 2.7 1.9 0.3 59.6 20.0 91

14.3 21.3 22.6 2.3 1 .6 0.3 58.8 21.5 102

16.1 23.7 16.1 2.4 1.4 0.2 52.8 21.8 l18

13.6 24.8 16.1 3.4 1.6 0.2 51.5 21.2 133

8.8 25.7 19.4 4.6 2.5 0.2 52.1 22.9 143

10.0 19.6 21.2 6.2 3.4 0.2 53.8 24.5 155

9.4 16.8 21.8 7.8 4.7 0.3 53.9 26.2 167

9.7 17.2 16.8 9.5 5.7 0.5 50.6 28.1 180

8.8 17.2 14.7 11.6 6.9 0.7 50.1 30.1 190

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.W 0 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 23 616 Males ................................................... 11638 Females ............................................... 11978 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.2 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 7.0 Percentage aged 5-14......................... 17.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 15.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 13.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 8.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 10.3 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 4.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 9.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.2 Median age (years) ................... ............. 32.1 Population density (population per sq km) 1 96

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

24 015 11866 12149 97.7

24 416 12089 12327 98.1

24 838 12316 12522 98.4

25 228 12515 12713 98.4

25 434 12603 12831 98.2

25 404 12554 12849 97.7

25 218 12426 12792 97.1

24 961 12274 12687 98.7

24 666 12117 12549 96.6

6.2 15.0 16.3 14.3 9.8 1 .1 8.7 5.1 5.2 9.5 53.1 33.9 199

6.4 12.7 16.5 13.6 10.4

6.7 12.2 14.5 15.1 9.7 1.7 7.3 3.6 3.8 9.0 50.0 35.8 206

6.7 12.6 12.3 16.6 11.0 2.0 7.7 3.6 3.5 7.4 46.7 36.8 209

6.1 13.0 11.8 19.8 12.4 2.1 7.9 3.8 3.7 7.0 46.4 38.2 21 1

5.5 12.6 12.5 22.5 15.3 18 7.5 4.0 3.9 7.4 45.5 39.8 21 1

5.3 11.6 13.0 22.6 17.5 2.5 6.8 3.7 3.9 7.8 45.0 41.2 209

5.5 10.8 12.8 23.7 17.3 3.0 6.4 3.4 3.6 7.8 43.4 41.9 207

5.7 10.9 11.8 24.6 18.0 4.1 6.5 3.2 3.3 7.2 41.6 41.9 205

1.4 7.4 4.1 4.7 10.1 53.2 34.6 203

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... . . . . ................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

.

DEM PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

120 0.50 15.0 9.9 0.0 2.1 0 0.94

147 0.60 16.3 10.3 0.0 2.25 1.01

173 0.68 17.4 10.5 0.0 2.35 1.06

168 0.64 17.0 10.6 0.0 2.35 1.07

128 0.47 15.4 10.7 0.0 2.35 1.07

90 0.33 14.2 10.9 0.0 2.35 1.08

86 0.31 14.5 11.4 0.0 2.35 1.08

100 0.35 15.5 12.0 0.0 2.35 1.09

108 0.37 16.0 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.09

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............

....

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

40 0.17 11.5 9.8 0.0 1.60 0.72

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) . . .................. Total ........................... . Males ................................................ Females ................... . . . ..................... Median age (years) .................................

23 616 11838 11978 32.1

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

24 070 11894 12176 33.8

. . . .

0.38 13.7 9.9

24 527 12146 12381 34.4

25 5 8 12403 12605 35.5

25 458 12633 12825 36.5

25 724 12752 12972 37.8

25 765 12740 13025 39.3

25 669 12658 13011 40.6

25 511 12557 12954 41.1

0.21 13.1 11.1

0.03 11.8 11.5

.0.08 11.5 12.2

.0.12 11.9 13.1

.0.15 12.2 13.8

p p

0.38 14.1 10.3

0.39 14.5 10.6

0.36 14.4 10.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

25 318 12453 12866 40.9

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1965

1990

1995

12 184 5707 6477 88.1

13 601 6436 7165 89.8

15 451 7376 6075 91.4

17 661 8496 9165 92.7

20 598 9974 10623 93.9

23 976 11677 12299 94.9

28 071 13739 14332 95.9

32 443 15941 16502 96.6

37 942 18695 19247 97.1

45 339 22364 22975 97.3

17.8 25.9 18.8 5.6 3.8 0.7 45.9 18.1 5

17.7 26.1 19.0 5.0 3.2 0.5 46.4 18.0 6

18.1 25.9 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.4 46.5 17.9 7

18.4 26.1 19.0 4.6 2.8 0.3 46.1 17.7 6

18.6 26.5 18.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 45.4 17.5 9

18.8 26.6 18.5 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.8 17.1 10

19.1 27.1 16.6 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.2 16.8 12

19.2 27.5 18.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 43.8 16.6 14

19.1 27.8 19.0 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.5 16

19.1 27.9 19.3 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.4 19

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year {thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................... .......... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

58 741 29 066 29 675 97.9

69 010 34 223 34 787 98.4

80 569 40 021 40 547 98.7

93 375 46 437 46 938 98.9

107 481 53 500 53 982 99.1

122 734 61 132 61 602 99.2

138 714 69 126 69 588 99.3

154 938 77 235 77 703 99.4

171 C48 85 273 85 775 99.4

19.5 27.7 19.7 4.2 2.6 0.3 17.1 7.3 6.6 11.4 44.1 16.3 25

19.6 28.0 19.4 4.0 2.6 0.3 17.4 7.2 6.5 11.2 43.9 16.1 29

19.2 28.6 19.3 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.8 7.4 6.5 11.1 43.9 16.1 34

18.3 28.8 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.8 7.7 6.8 11.3 44.7 16.4 40

17.3 28.3 20.5 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.4 7.7 7.0 11.8 46.0 16.9 46

16.4 27.4 21.1 4.0 2.5 0.3 16.8 7.6 7.0 12.2 47.5 17.7 52

15.2 26.5 21.2 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.2 7.4 6.9 12.4 49.0 16.7 59

14.0 25.5 21.1 4.6 2.9 0.3 15.5 7.3 6.8 12.3 50.6 19.7 66

12.8 24.1 20.9 5.1 3.2 0.4 14.6 7.0 6.7 12.3 52.3 21.0 73

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................

2 054 3 166 1 156 44 3.22 49.6 18.1 0.7 6.70 2.32 114 196

2 312 3 583 1 256 . 15 3.10 47.9 16.8 .0.2 6.49 2.31 106 162

2 561 3 902 1 325 - 15 2.95 44.9 15.2 -0.2 6.03 2.21 99 167

2 821 4 215 1 378 . 15 2.81 42.0 13.7 -0.1 5.52 2.09 90 151

3 051 4 467 1 422 . 15 2.65 39.0 12.4 -0.1 4.95 1.93 82 136

3 196 4 667 1 456 . 15 2.45 35.7 11.1 -0.1 4.36 1.74 74 121

3 245 4 743 1 484 . 15 2.21 32.3 10.1 -0.1 3.81 1.56 67 108

3 222 4 747 1 510 - 15 1.98 29.1 9.3 -0.1 3.35 1.41 60 95

3 158 4 716 1 543 . 15 1.77 26.4 8.6 .0.1 2.98 1.28 53 83

45.2 47.7 46.5

46.6 49.2 47.9

48.2 51.0 49.6

50.0 52.8 51.4

51.9 54.8 53.3

53.8 56.7 55.2

55.7 58.6 57.2

57.5 60.6 59.1

59.3 62.5 60.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 054 3.22 49.6 18.1 0.7 6.70 2.32

2 413 3.22 49.3 17.0 .0.2 6.70 2.39

2 838 3.23 47.9 15.6 .0.2 6.53 2.40

3 143 3.05 44.6 14.0 .0.1 6.02 2.26

3 449 2.89 41.4 12.5 -0.1 5.45 2.12

3 724 2.71 38.4 11.2 -0.1 4.86 1.94

3 965 2.53 35.5 10.1 -0.1 4.31 1 .77

4 151 2.35 32.8 9.2 -0.1 3.85 1.62

4 270 2.16 30.1 8.5 -0.1 3.48 1.49

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................... . ............. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 953 3.08 47.9 17.9 0.7 6.45 2.24

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

58 741 29 066 29 675 16.3

68 992 34 214 34 778 16.1

81 004 40 240 40 764 15.9

95 586 47 547 48 040 15.8

113 458 56 499 56 959 15.7

135 456 67 516 67 940 15.6

162 576 81 104 81 472 15.4

196 077 97 890 98 187 15.3

237 553 118 669 118 884 15.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3.22 49.5 18.1

3.21 49.2 16.9

3.31 48.9 15.7

3.43 48.7 14.3

3.54 48.5 13.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.65 48.4 11.9

3.75 48.2 10.7

3.84 46.0 9.7

3.92 47.9 8.7

289 004 144 439 144 566 15.1

DENMARK A ESTIMATES indicator Populalion (thourando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

...................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. ..... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m e n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lsB0

1985

1980

1995

2000

4271 2118 2153 98.4

4439 2203 2236 98.5

4 581 2 272 2309 98.4

4 758 2 359 2399 w.3

4929 2446 2463

5060 2508 2554 96.1

5123 2529 2594 97.5

5114 2519 2595 97.1

5140 2533 2607 97.1

5228 2580 2648 97.4

5335

9.7 16.6 13.7 13.4 9.1 1.2 49.2 31.8 99

8.4 18.1 13.5 14.2 9.8 1.4 47.6 32.4 103

8.0 17.2 14.9 15.5 10.6 1.0 46.9 33.0 108

8.2 15.5 16.7 16.4 11.3 1.8 47.0 32.8 110

7.9 15.4 18.0 17.6 12.3 2.1 46.4 32.5 114

7.2 15.4 14.7 18.7 13.4 2.4 46.0 33.0 117

6.1 14.7 15.0 19.5 14.4 2.9 47.2 34.3 119

5.2 13.3 15.4 20.3 15.1 3.3 49.1 38.0 119

5.7 11.4 14.9 20.4 15.6 3.7 50.2 37.1 119

8.5 10.9 13.3 19.8 15.3 3.9 49.0 37.7 121

8.3 12.2 11.4 19.8 14.8 4.0 46.5 38.4 1 24

96.5

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1WO-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,O00 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) .......... Infant mortally rate (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

34 79

2 637 2 696 97.7

mm

0.53 14.6 10.1 1.97 0.94 12

13 63 53 0.25 12.3 10.4 1.68 0.80 9

- 2 53 57 4.04 10.3 11.1 1.43 0.69 8

5 58 59 0.10 11.3 11.5 1.54 0.74 8

18 67 61 0.34 13.0 11.0 1.75 0.84 7

22 67 80 0.41 12.6 11.4 1.76 0.85

16 65 57 0.30 12.0 10.7 1 .78 0.85

5

5

70.9 76.4 73.6

71.3 77.3 74.2

71.6 77.6 74.6

72.1 77.9 74.9

72.5 77.8 75.2

73.6 78.6 76.1

75.0 79.6 77.3

2025

2030

2ws

2040

2045

5606

5588 2 778

5558

26 73

34 76 39 0.77 17.9 9.0 2.55 1.19 28

28 76 41 0.63 16.8 9.1 2.55 1.20 23

35 80 45 0.76 17.2 9.7 2.59 1.22 20

4a

50

0.71 16.3 9.9 2.27 1 .o4 16

69.6 72.4 71 .O

70.3 73.7 72.0

70.3 74.4 72.3

70.6 75.3 72.9

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

Populatlon (thourando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

.

Aga dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ...... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OVW .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .......... Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .. Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .......... Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

5417 2 880 2737 97.9

5473 2 714 2759 98.4

5510 2 736 2774 98.0

5544

5678

2 754 2709 98.7

2 771 2806 98.7

5602 2 783 2820 98.7

2 785 2021 98.7

6.0 12.8 11.0 21.2 15.1 4.1 7.7 3.8 3.5 6.4 45.2 39.5 126

5.6 12.3 12.3 23.4 16.7 4.2 7.3 3.6 3.9 7.2 44.6 40.9 127

5.3 11.6 12.9 24.9 18.8 4.4 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.9 43.4 42.1 128

5.4 11.0 12.5 26.3 20.2 4.8 6.5 3.4 3.6 7.6 42.0 42.8 129

5.6 10.8 11.8 28.1 21.4 5.8 8.4 3.2 3.4 7.2 40.6 42.9 129

5.6 11.0 11.2 29.5 22.8 6.9 6.6 3.2 3.2 6.8 39.8 42.5 130

5.5 11.3 11.1 30.4 24.0 7.4 6.6 3.4 3.3 6.6 40.1 42.7 130

2811 98.8

2 766 2793 99.0

5 528 2 755 2 773 99.4

5.3 11.4 11.4 30.4 24.7 7.8 6.8 3.5 3.5 0.8 40.3 43.2 130

5.2 11.1 11.8 29.8 24.7 8.5 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 40.1 43.8 129

5.2 10.8 11.8 29.4 23.9 9.2 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.2 39.8 43.8 120

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-W 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,O00 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Intant mortality rate (per i.O00 live births) Under-fnre mortality (per 1.OOO lwe births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

206

11 81 58

6 0.21 11.2 10.3 1.1 1.80 0.87 4

7 58 57 6 0.14 10.6 10.4 1.1 1.82 0.88 4

8

6

76.0

76.7 81.4 79.0

80.8

78.3

1 62 67 6 0.01 11.0 12.0

- 4

7 59 59 6 0.12 10.7 10.6 1.1 1.85 0.89 4 5

7 62 61 6 0.12 11.1 11.0 1.1 1.85 0.89 4 5

0.89

0.89

4 5

3 5

10.6 12.3 1.1 1.85 0.89 3 5

77.4

78.0 82.7 80.3

78.6 83.3 80.9

79.2 83.8 81.5

79.7 84.3 82.0

82.0

70.7

5

63 64 6 0.09

11.3 11.5 1.1 1.85

1.1

1.85

59

69 6

4.m

- 6 58 70 6 4.11 10.3 12.5 1.1 1.85 0.89 3

- 8 57 89 6

4.11 10.3 12.5 1.1 1.85 0.89

4

3 4

80.2 84.8 82.5

80.7 85.2 83.0

United Nations Depsrtment of Economic and Sodai AffairslpopulatbnDividon World Population Prcxpects: The 2006 Revksion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

DENMARK

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

19 0.35 12.7 10.3 1.1 2.05 0.99

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 0.05 9.8 10.3 1.1 1.55 0.75

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

5 417 2 680 2 737 39.5

5 465 2 710 2 755 40.9

5 491 2 726 2 765 42.2

5 51 1 2 738 2 774 43.1

5 531 2 747 2 784 43.3

5 539 2 750 2 789 43.0

5 522 2 742 2 781 43.3

5 482 2 723 2 759 43.9

5 428 2 699 2 729 44.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.1 8 11.0 10.3

0.10 10.3 10.4

0.08 10.3 10.6

0.07 10.7 11.0

0.03 10.8 11.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.06 10.4 12.1

.0.15 10.0 12.5

.0.20 9.7 12.8

-0.20 9.7 12.9

5 373 2 676 2 697 44.9

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousando) Total ....... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga dlstrlbullon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populalbn per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

82 31 31 w.0

70 35 35 w.3

85

117 58 59 98.3

162

561

202 99.2

281 99.4

624 311 313 99.6

730

169 171 90.9

403 200

81 98.4

224 111 113 98.6

340

42 43 90.2

99.7

19.7 27.1 19.3 3.4 2.0 0.1 45.1 16.5 3

17.5 28.6 19.6 3.5 2.0 0.1 45.7 16.9 3

18.1 27.4 20.1 3.5 2.0 0.1 46.2 17.1 4

18.6 26.3 20.5 3.5 2.0 0.1 46.6 17.2 5

18.7 27.1 19.5 3.6 2.1 0.1 45.8 17.1 7

18.2 27.7 18.9 3.6 2.1 0.2 45.6 17.0 10

17.6 27.7 19.5 3.8 2.2 0.2 46.0 17.2 15

17.5 27.1 20.0 3.9 2.3 0.2 46.6 17.5 17

17.3 26.7 20.0 4.0 2.4 0.2 46.9 17.8 24

16.4 26.9 19.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 47.3 18.2 27

14.4 26.8 20.3 4.5 2.7 0.2 48.7 19.0 31

80

1950-1955 lSS!j-lSBo 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 198&1985 1-1990 Population change per year (1hOuJande). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction [ale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO llve births) LnS expectancy at blrlh (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

2 3 2 2.48 50.0 20.3 7.80 2.01

223

3 4 2 3.80 50.7 25.7 7.80 2.17 203

8 5 2 6.37 51.2 23.8 7.80 2.29 185

9 7 3 6.51 50.2 21.6 7.80 2.35 169

12 9 4 6.52 47.8 19.4 7.20 2.33 154

23 13 5 8.36 45.2 17.4 6.80 2.29 141

13 16 6 3.38 44.0 15.7 8.60 2.32 127

32 21 7 6.62 43.2 14.9 6.40 2.30 120

33.3 35.4 34.8

35.8 39.0 37.3

38.2 41.3 39.7

40.8 43.7 42.1

42.9 45.9 44.4

45.1 48.0 46.5

47.4 50.3 48.8

280

1990-1995 l9952ooo 2ooo-2005

2.15 40.2 13.7 5.85 2.16 112

21 23 8 3.13 34.6 12.3 5.11 1.92 102

15 24 9 1.94 31.4 12.0 4.52 1.70 95

48.6 51.6 50.0

50.1 53.2 51.6

51.5 54.8 53.2

51.9 54.9 53.4

13 24 8

B. MEDIUM VARlANf

Populatlon (thouunda) Total .......................

Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) ................................. Population density (populati per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2W5

2040

2045

2050

8w

877

597 100.4

639 636

100.0

1113 558 558 100.4

6w

99.8

1 027 514 513 100.3

1 276

439 439

951 476 475 100.2

1197

402 403

100.4

1 349 676 673 100.4

1417 709 707 100.3

1480 740 740 100.1

13.3 25.2 21.2 4.9 3.0 0.3 15.1 7.5 7.0 12.3 50.7 20.1 35

12.4 23.2 21.7 5.4 3.3 0.3 14.0 6.8 6.9 12.8 52.7 21.5

11.6 21.9 20.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.4 6.3 12.5 53.8 22.9 41

11.1 20.7 19.4 6.4 4.0 0.4 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.5 54.2 24.4 44

10.5 19.9 18.5 7.1 4.5 0.5 12.0 5.8 5.7 11.0 54.3 25.8

9.8 19.2 17.8 8.0 5.0 0.6 11.6 5.6 5.5 10.6 54.2 26.9 52

9.1 18.3 17.4 9.0 5.8 0.7 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.4 54.0 28.2 55

8.5 17.3 17.1 10.1 8.5 0.8 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.2 53.3 29.4 58

8.1 16.4 16.6 11.5 7.4 0.9 9.8 4.9 5.0 10.0 52.3 30.7 61

7.8 15.6 15.9 13.2 8.5 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.6 51.4 31.9

38

48

64

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (mouSands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO pqwlalion) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO Population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lrifant mortality rate (per 1,ooO ihre births) Under-five mortalny (per 1,OOO live births) L l k expen3ancy at blrlh (ymrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cwnbined ............................

208

15 24 10 0 1.74 20.7 11.3 0.0 3.95 1.52 85 126

15 24 9 0 1.82 26.5 10.3 0.0 3.48 1.39 75 109

15 25 9 0 1.54 24.9 9.5 0.0 3.13 1.29

53.6 56.0 54.8

56.1 58.6 57.3

65

17 25 10 2 1.61 23.3 9.1 1.9 2.86 1.22 57

93

80

17 25 10 2 1.45 21.4 8.7 1.7 2.65 1.16 50 68

58.3 81.1 59.7

60.2 63.0 61.6

61.9 64.8 63.4

384 365

16 24 11 2 1.27 19.7 8.6 1.6 2.49 1.10 44 58

15 24 11 2 1.11 18.2 8.6 1.5 2.35 1.06 38 49

14 24 12 2 0.98 17.2 8.8 1.4 2.24 1.03 33 42

63.4 66.4 64.9

64.7 67.8 66.2

65.9 69.2 67.5

13 24 13 2 0.87 16.3 9.0 1.4 2.14 0.99

28 36

67.1 70.5 68.8

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AffiirslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

16 1.89 30.4 11.5 0.0 4.20 1.61

17 1.87 29.2 10.5 0.0 3.88 1.55

19 1.85 28.1 9.6 0.0 3.63 1.50

21 1.90 26.2 9.0 1.8 3.36 1.43

21 1.73 24.2 8.5 l6 3.15 1.37

21 1.57 22.5 8.3 1.5 2.99 1.33

21 1.46 21.4 8.2 1.4 2.85 1.29

21 1.38 20.7 8.2 1.3 2.74 1.25

22 1.31 20.1 8.2 1.2 2.64 1.22

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ...................................................,. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... lvledian age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

13 1.58 27.0 11.2 0.0 3.70 1.42

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................. ................ Median age (years) ................................

804 402 403 20.1

892 446 446 21.1

997 499 498 21.8

1120 561 559 22.0

1268 636 632 21.8

1431 718 713 21.7

1611 809 802 21.8

1812 910 902 22.1

2041 1 025 1017 22.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

2.08 32.4 11.6

2.23 33.0 10.7

2.32 32.9 9.8

2.48 32.2 9.1

2.42 31.1 8.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.37 30.2 7.9

2.35 29.9 7.6

2.38 30.0 7.3

2.42 30.2 6.9

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lge0

1985

1990

1995

2OOo

2 427 1 238 1191 103.7

2834 1444 1390 103.9

3 349 1705 1644 103.7

3 950 2 007 1943 103.3

4598 2332 2264 103.0

5264 2668 2 596 102.8

5934 3005 2929 102.6

6606 3343 3265 102.4

7 295 3685 3 610 102.1

8 013 4040 3 973 101.7

8 744 4 397 4 347 101.2

18.9 27.8 !9.5 4.4 2.7 0.3 44.2 16.6 50

19.7 27.4 19.0 4.2 2.6 0.3 44.2 16.5 58

20.1 27.8 18.2 4.1 2.5 0.3 43.6 16.1 89

19.5 29.0 17.8 4.1 2.5 0.3 43.1 15.8 81

18.1 29.6 18.4 4.2 2.6 0.3 43.7 16.1 95

16.6 29.1 20.0 4.4 2.8 0.3 45.3 16.9 109

15.1 27.7 21.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 47.5 18.1 122

14.1 26.0 21.6 5.3 3.3 0.4 49.4 19.3 136

13.3 24.5 21.1 5.9 3.8 0.5 50.9 20.6 150

12.8 23.2 20.1 6.7 4.4 0.6 51 .8 21.8 165

12.3 22.4 19.2 7.4 5.0 0.9 52.2 22.9 180

Populalion (thouaandr)

Total .....................................................

taw aged 0-4 ........ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or OYBT .................. Percentage Percentage Percentage Median age ( Population density (populationper sq km)

1850-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2oOo 2000-2005

.

poPu(atian change per year (thoueands) Births per year (thouSande)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde bifîh rate (per 1,WOpopilation) Cwde death rate (per 1.WO populatbn) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wanan) infant mortality raie (per í,ûû~ live b i m ) L l k axpactancyal blrth (ymra) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.... .. ..........

81 139 53 3.10 52.8 20.2 7.60 2.51 153

103 163 54 3.34 52.7 17.4 7.64 2.70 139

120 182 53 3.30 49.8 14.6 7.35 2.75 124

129 191 51 3.03 44.8 11.9 6.85 2.61 109

44.7 47.3 45.9

48.5

52.1 55.1 53.5

55.3 58.6 56.8

51.4 49.8

2.72 39.7 9.7 5.71 2.35 96

134 198 46 2.40 35.3 8.3 4.76 2.03 86

135 202 46 2.15 32.1 7.4 4.00 1.75 75

137 207 46 1.98 29.7 6.6 3.47 1.55 63

144 216 47 1.88 28.2 6.1 3.20 1.46 48

146 224 50 1.75 26.7 6.0 3.05 1.40 41

145 230 55 1.59 25.2 6.0 2.95 1.37 35

58.1 61.6 59.6

60.2 63.8 61.8

62.1 66.0 63.7

64.2 68.9 66.0

66.5 71.7 68.5

67.1 73.1 70.0

67.9 74.2 70.8

134 196 48

B. MEDIUMVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

9 470 4 752 4 718 100.7

10 191 5 104 5 087 100.3

10 890 5 445 5445 100.0

11 557 5 769 5 789 99.7

12 172 6 065 6 108 99.3

12 709 6323 8386 99.0

13159 6535 6623 98.7

13519 6703 8816 98.3

13790 6826 6964 98.0

13 972 6906 7066 97.7

11.7 21.8 18.5 8.0 5.6 1.1 13.3 8.3 5.9 10.9 52.0 23.9 195

11.0 21.1 18.2 8.7 6.1 1.3 12.8

10.3 20.2 18.0 9.7 6.7 1.5 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.7 51.2 28.0 224

9.7 19.1 17.7 11.0 7.5 1.7 11.5 5.7 5.5 10.5 50.6 27.2 233

9.1 18.2 17.2 12.6 8.6 1.9 11.0 5.4 5.3 10.2 50.0 28.5 251

8.4 17.4 16.6 14.2 10.0 2.2 10.4 5.2 5.1 9.9 49.6 29.9 262

7.8 16.3 18.1 15.8 11.5 2.6 9.8 5.0 4.9 9.6 49.3 31.5 271

7.3 15.3 15.6 17.3 12.8 3.1 9.1 4.7 4.7 9.3 49.0 33.0 279

6.9 14.4 14.9 18.7 14.1 3.8 8.6 4.4 4.4 9.0 48.3 34.6 284

6.5 13.6 14.1 20.1 15.2 4.4 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.3 36.2

Population (thwaandr)

Total .................................................... Males Femal Sex ratio (maies per 100 females) ........... Age diatributh Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24...... Percentage aged 60 or m r Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or o w .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 .. Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 1523 .......... Percentage of womeo aged 1549 ......... Population density (population per sq km)

8.1

5.8 10.7 51.7 24.9 21o

288

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thwsande) Births per year (mouSands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migratm per year )-( ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1 .O00 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulatan) .. Net mgratm rate (per 1,WOpopilation) Total fertility (children per m a n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Irirant mortaiity rate (per 1,WOIhm births) Under-five mortality (per 1,ooO lm whs) Llîe expectancy al Mrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

..........

210

33

140 231 63 - 28 1.33 21.9 6.0 -2.7 2.66 1.25 25 28

69.3 75.5 72.2

70.2 78.5 73.2

144 231

-

58

28 1.47 23.5 5.9 -2.8 2.81 1.31 30

90 20%

133 230 69 28 1.19 20.5 6.1 -2.5 2.51 1.19 21 24

123 226 75 -28 1 .o4 19.1 8.3 -2.4 2.35 1.11 18 21

107 218 82 -28 17.5 6.6 -2.3 2.19 1 .o4 16 18

90 -28 0.70 16.1 7.0 -2.2 2.06 0.98 14 16

71.1 77.4 74.1

71.ô 78.1 74.9

72.5 78.9 75.6

73.2 79.5 76.3

-

0.86

99 28 0.54 15.0 7.5 -2.1 1.96 0.94 12 14

54 191 109 - 28 0.40 14.0 8.0 -2.1 1 .a9 0.91 11 13

36 184 119 -28 0.26 13.2 8.6 -2.0 1.85 0.89 10 12

73.7 80.1 76.8

74.2 80.6 77.3

74.6 81.1 77.8

72 200

-

United Nations Department of Economic and *al Affairslpopulaüon Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

162 1.64 25.2 6.0 -2.8 3.06 1.43

170 1.59 24.5 6.0 -2.6 3.06 1.44

174 1.50 23.5 6.0 -2.4 3.01 1.42

1 68 1.36 22.0 6.2 -2.3 2.85 1.35

163 1.23 20.7 6.3 -2.1 2.69 1.28

159 1.13 19.9 6.6 -2.0 2.56 1.22

154 1.04 19.1 6.8 -1.9 2.46 1.18

146 0.94 18.3 7.2 -l .8 2.39 1.14

137 0.84 17.6 7.5 .1.7 2.35 1.13

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

126 1.29 21.6 5.9 .2.9 2.56 1.20

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

9470 4 752 4718 23.9

10241 5 130 5111 24.7

11051 5 527 5524 25.5

11896 5 942 5955 26.2

12775 6 373 6402 26.9

13688 6 823 6866 27.4

14640 7 291 7349 27.8

15633 7 782 7851 28.1

16669 8 295 8374 28.4

Populat~on growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .

1.57 24.5 60

1.52 23.8 6.0

1.48 23.3 6.1

1.43 22.7 6.2

1.38 22.3 6.3

1.34 21.9 6.5

1.31 21.7 6.7

1 28 21.5 7.0

1.26 21 4 72

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ECUADOR indicator Population (thousands) ............ Total .... Males .......................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlsfrlbutlon Percentage aged W ........................... Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... .... Percentage aged 60 or over .... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

3 387 1684 1 704 98.8

3062 1926 1 937 99.4

4439 2 219 2220 100.0

5144 2578 2566 100.5

5970 2997 2973 100.8

6907 3471 3438 101.0

7 961 4004 3958 101.2

9099 4 576 4 523 101.2

10272 5165 5107 101.1

11396 5727 5669 101.0

12306 6178 6127 100.8

15.8 23.7 17.8 8.1 5.3 0.6 45.2 20.6 12

17.8 23.8 17.7 7.5 5.0

17.7 25.7 17.4 7.0 4.7 0.5 43.3 18.5 16

17.6 27.0 17.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 42.7 17.8 18

17.4 27.0 18.7 6.3 4.2 0.8 43.7 17.6 21

16.8 27.0 19.7 6.1 4.0 0.6 44.7 17.9 24

16.1 26.7 19.8 5.9 4.0 0.6 45.9 18.4 28

15.0 26.1 20.2 5.9 4.0 0.6 47.5 19.1 32

13.7 25.3 20.4 6.2 4.2 0.7 49.3 20.1 36

12.4 23.9 20.5 6.6 4.5 0.8 51.2 21.4 40

11.8 22.6 19.9 7.4 5.1 1.o 51.9 22.7 43

0.5 44.2 19.4 14

1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1965 1965-1970 19701975 1975-1980 1-1985 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1,ooO popilation) .... Cnide death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per w o r n ) .......... Iníant mortal¡¡ rate (per 1,ooO h e births) Life expectancy at birth ( y u r s ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOo 2OOo-2005

6.50 2.53 107

187 261 74 2.92 40.6 11.5 6.00 2.41 95

21 1 284 73 2.84 38.2 9.8 5.40 2.24 82

227 297 69 2.67 34.8 8.1 4.70 2.02

55.4 58.2 56.7

57.4 80.5 58.8

95 165 70 2.62 45.6 19.4 6.70 2.33 140

115 106 70 2.78 44.7 17.0 6.70 2.43 129

141 21 1 70 2.95 44.1 14.6 6.70 2.53 119

165 238 73 2.98 42.8 13.1

47.1 49.6 46.4

50.1 52.7 51.4

53.4 56.1 54.6

235

182

68

65 2.43 30.9 6.7 4.00 1.77 56

225 298 63 2.08 27.5 5.9 3.40 1.54 44

62 1.54 25.6 5.2 3.10 1.43 33

151 294 63 1.19 23.2 5.0 2.82 1.32 25

59.7 63.2 61.3

62.5 66.7 64.3

65.3 69.9 67.2

67.6 72.6 69.6

69.7 75.1 72.3

71.3 77.2 74.2

300

303

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13 o61 6550 8 51 1 100.6

13 775 6 898 6 877 100.3

14 597 7299 7298 100.0

15378 7677 7699 99.7

16074 8014 8081 99.4

18679 8301 8378 99.1

17175 8533 8642 98.7

17557 8707 8850 98.4

17821 8023 8999 98.0

17 988 8 891 9 097 97.7

10.9 21.7 19.2 8.4 5.9 1.2 13.1 6.3 6.2 11.3 51.7 24.0 46

10.0 20.7 18.7 9.5 8.7 1.4 12.4 6.2 5.9 11.0 51.5 25.5 49

9.2 19.0 18.5 10.9 7.5 1.7 11.3 5.8 5.8 10.9 51.9 27.1 51

8.6 17.5 17.8 12.5 8.8 2.0 10.5 5.3 5.4 10.7 51.7 20.7 54

8.1 16.5 16.6 14.1 10.1 2.3 9.9 5.0 5.0 10.0 51.1 30.4 57

7.5 15.6 15.6 15.8 11.5 2.6 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 50.2 32.3 59

7.0 14.7 14.9 17.5 13.0 3.2 8.8 4.5 4.5 8.9 49.2 34.2 61

6.6 13.9 14.3 19.3 14.5 3.8 8.3 4.3 4.3 8.6 47.9 36.0 62

6.2 13.1 13.7 21.1 15.9 4.5 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.2 46.5 37.6 63

6.O 12.4 13.1 23.0 17.5 5.1 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.9 44.8 39.1 63

Population (thousands)

.......................................

Males ................ ....... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .... Percentage aged 1524 .. Percentage aged 60 or ov Percentage aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in %hod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in schod ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ... Median age (years) .......................... Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2û50 Population change per year (thousands). Birîhs per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migralion per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO populatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.O00 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,ooO popuklia) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1 ,WOlive births) dnder-five mortality (per 1,ooO I ¡births) Life expectcincy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

212

143 69 70 1.O7 21 .o 5.1 -5.2 2.58 1.21 21 26

164 274 76 -34 1.16 19.3 5.3 -2.4 2.38 1.12 18 22

72.1 78.0 75.0

72.9 78.8 75.8

282

-

156 270 84 30 1.o4 18.0 5.6 -2.0 2.22 1.o5 14 18

140 263 93 -30 0.89 16.7 5.9 -1.9 2.10 1.OO 12 15

121 254 103 -30 0.74 15.5 6.3 -1.8 2.01 0.96 10 14

99 243 114 -30 0.59 14.4 6.7 -1.8 1.95 0.93 9 12

76 233 120 -30 0.44 13.4 7.3 -1.7 1.89 0.91 8 11

53 223 140 30 0.30 12.6 7.9 -1.7 1.85 0.89 7 10

33 217 154 -30 0.19 12.1 8.6 -1.7 1.85 0.89 6 9

73.6 79.5 76.5

74.3 80.2 77.2

75.0 80.9 77.9

75.6 81.5 78.5

76.1

76.6 82.5 79.5

77.1 83.0 80.0

-

62.0 79.0

-

United Nations Department of Ea>nomic and Social AffaidPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ECUADOR

.

C HlGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

13 061 6 550 6 51 1

13 900 6 962 6 938

14 935 7 472 7 463

15 998 7 995 8 003

17 006 8 489 8 517

17 969 8 960 9 009

18 889 9 408 9 481

19 763 9 833 9 930

20 580 10 230 10 350

10.9 21.7 19.2 8.4 5.9 1.2 51.7 24.0

10.8 20.5 18.5 9.4 6.6 1.4 51.1 25.2

10.4 19.4 18.1 10.7 7.3

10.1 18.9 17.1 12.0 8.4 1.9 49.7 27.5

9.4 18.5 16.4 13.3 9.5 2.1 49.0 28.6

9.0 17.8 16.3 14.7 10.7 2.4 48.5 29.8

8.6 16.9 16.1 16.0 11.8 2.9 48.0 30.8

8.3 16.3 15.7 17.1 12.8 3.4 47.3 31.8

8.1 15.8 15.1 18.3 13.8 3.9 46.5 32.8

1.7

50.7 26.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.M)O population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1MI 1.25 22.8 5.1 -5.2 2.83 1.33

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ........................ ... ..................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

117 0.88 19.1 5.1 -5.2 2.33 1.09

121 0.87 16.5 5.4 .2.4 1.98 0.93

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) ...............................

13061 6 550 6 51 1 24.0

13895 6 959 6 936 25.2

14949 7 479 7 470 26.3

16064 8 029 8 035 27.3

17201 8 589 8 612 28.3

18350 9 155 9 196 29.1

19516 9 729 9 788 29.6

20704 10 314 10 390 30.0

21918 10 914 1 1 004 30.4

2fM5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.24 22.7 5.1

1.46 22.3 5.3

1.44 21.8 5.5

1.37 21.2 5.7

1.29 20.5 5.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.23 20.1 6.2

1.18 19.7 6.4

1.14 19.5 6.7

1.10 19.4 7.0

EGYPT A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live birlhs) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... ...... .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)

72 850 36 488 36 362 100.3

79 537 39 775 39 762 100.0

86 219 43 053 43 165 99.7

92 578 46 155 46 423 99.4

98 513 49 034 49 479 99.1

104 070 51 718 52 352 98.8

109 238 54 206 55 033 98.5

113 895 56 437 57 458 98.2

117 921 58 362 59 559 98.0

11.7 21.8 20.8 7.2 4.8 0.6 13.0 6.4 6.6 12.3 51.9 22.9 73

11.2 20.8 19.4 7.9 5.1 0.7 12.6 6.0 5.7 11.7 51.8 24.3 79

10.6 20.2 17.8 8.9 5.6 0.8 12.2 5.8 5.6 10.5 51.7 25.8 86

9.7 19.4 17.5 10.1 6.5 0.9 11.7 5.7 5.5 10.3 52.2 27.2 92

8.9 18.3 17.3 11.2 7.8 1 .0 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.3 52.4 28.6 98

8.4 17.0 16.9 12.0 8.6 1.2 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.1 52.0 29.9 104

8.0 16.0 16.2 13.3 9.2 l .6 9.6 4.8 4.9 9.7 50.9 31.4 109

7.5 15.3 15.3 15.0 10.2 2.0 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.2 49.4 33.0 114

7.1 14.6 14.6 17.1 11.8 2.3 8.8 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.4 34.5 118

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~lyrate (per 1 ,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

1 337 1 845 428 - 80 1.76 24.2 5.6 -1.1 2.89 1.36 29 34

1 336 1 871 455 - 80 1.61 22.6 5.5 -1 .0 2.68 1.27 24 28

69.1 73.6 71.3

70.3 74.9 72.6

1 272

1 187

1 111

1 034

1 838 486 - 80 1.42 20.6 5.4 -0.9 2.51 1.19 21 23

1 796 529 - 80 1.24 18.8 5.5 -0.8 2.37 1.13 18 20

1 777 586 - 80 1.10 17.5 5.8 -0.8 2.25 1.08 15 17

1 767 654 - 80 0.97 16.6 6.1 -0.8 2.15 1.03 13 15

931 1 740 728 - 80 0.84 15.6 6.5 -0.7 2.06 0.99 12 13

805 1 685 800 80 0.70 14.5 6.9 -0.7 1.99 0.95 10 12

660 1 614 874 - 80 0.55 13 5 7.3 -0.7 1.92 0.92 10 11

71.4 76.1 73.7

72.4 77.1 74.7

73.3 78.0 75.6

74.1 78.8 76.4

74.8 79.5 77.2

75.5 80.2 77.9

76.2 80.9 78.6

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EGYPT

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 492 1.95 26.2 5.6 -1.0 3.14 1.47

1 608 1.91 25.5 5.5 .0.9 3.08 1.45

1 564 1.56 21.7 5.4 .0.8 2.87 1.37

1 630 1.76 23.8 5.3 -0.9 3.01 1.43

1 545 1.43 20.5 5.5 .0.7 2.75 1.31

1 578 1.36 20.0 5.7 .0.7 2.65 1.27

1 603 1.29 19.5 6.0 -0.6 2.56 1.23

1 575

1.20 18.7 6.2 .0.6 2.49 1.19

1 492 1.07 17.6 6.4 .0.6 2.42 1.16

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 183 1.56 22.2 5.6 -1.1 2.64 1.24

1 064 1.31 19.5 5.5 .1.0 2.28 1.08

914 1.06 17.0 5.5 -0.9 2.01 0.95

812 0.90 15.6 5.8 .0.9 1.87 0.89

695 0.74 14.3 6.1 .0.8 1.75 0.84

543 0.56 13.0 6.6 -0.8 1.65 0.79

360 0.36 11.6 7.2 .0.8 1.56 0.75

178 0.18 10.4 7.8 -0.8 1.49 0.71

4 0.00 9.3 8.5 .0.8 1.42 0.68

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . . .

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

72850 36 488 36 362 22.9

80368 40 199 40 169 24.0

88663 44 301 44 362 25.0

97359 48 597 48 763 25.5

106323 53 024 53 299 26.0

115748 57 686 58 061 26.3

125931 62 741 63 190 26.7

136982 68 247 68 735 27.2

148841 74 183 74 658 27.5

1.96 26.3 5.7

1.97 26.1 5.5

1.87 24.9 5.3

1.76 23.7 5.3

1.70 23.1 5.4

1.69 23.1 5.5

1.68 23.1 5.7

1.66 22.9 5.8

1.62 22.5 5.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

161415 80 497 80 918 27.8

EL SALVADOR

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

..................

............

6 668 3 271 3397 96.3

7 142 3 505 3637 96.4

7 602 3 732 3870 96.4

8 077 3 967 4110 96.5

8 525 4 189 4336 96.6

8 935 4 391 4544 96.6

9 299 4 569 4730 96.6

11.7 22.4 18.9 7.8 5.5 1.0 13.7 6.4 6.0 11.1 51.9 23.4 317

10.7 21.3 18.5 8.5 5.9 1.2 12.8 6.3 6.0 10.8 52.6 24.7 339

9.9 19.8 18.6 9.2 6.5 1.4 11.9 5.9 5.9 11.0 53.2 26.1 361

9.3 18.5 18.1 10.1 7.1 1.5 11.1 5.5 5.5 10.8 53.1 27.6 384

8.7 17.3 17.1 11.1 7.9 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.0 29.2 405

8.1 16.4 16.1 12.7 8.7 2.0 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.7 50.3 30.9 425

7.6 15.5 15.4 14.9 10.2 2.3 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.2 49.4 32.7

442

9 609 4889 96.5

9 858 4 839 5018 96.4

7.1 14.6 14.8 17.6 12.2 2.7 8.8 4.4 4.5 8.8 48.6 34.4 457

6.6 13.8 14.2 19.4 14.5 3.1 8.2 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.4 36.0 468

4 720

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .. ................. Males .................... Females ..................... ...... .......... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

EL SALVADOR

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

109 1.57 24.8 5.9 -3.2 2.93 1.36

116 1.55 23.9 5.8 -2.6 2.91 1.36

126 1.56 22.8 5.8 -1.4 2.87 1.35

123 1.41 21.2 5.8 -1.3 2.75 1.30

121 1.30 20.0 5.8 .1.2 2.65 1.26

120 1.21 19.2 6.0 -1.1 2.57 1.22

117 1.11 18.4 6.2 -1.1 2.49 1.19

112 1.01 17.6 6.5 -1.0 2.42 1.16

105 0.90 16.8 6.9 -1.0 2.36 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

6668 3 271 3 397

7071 3 468 3 602

7411 3 634 3 777

7730 3 790 3 940

8010 3 926 4 085

8235 4 033 4 202

8390 4 104 4 285

8466 4 136 4 330

8464 4 128 4 336

11.7 22.4 18.9 7.8 5.5 1.0 51.9 23.4

9.8 21.5 18.7 8.6 5.9 1.2 53.1 25.0

8.5 19.4 19.0 9.5 6.8 1.4 54.6 26.9

7.6 16.8 18.9 10.6 7.4 1.6 55.4 28.9

7.1 15.0 17.3 11.8 8.4 1.8 54.3 31.1

6.5 13.9 15.2 13.8 9.5 2.1 52.2 33.5

5.8 13.0 13.8 16.6 11.3 2.5 50.6 35.9

5.2 11.9 12.9 19.9 13.8 3.0 49.1 38.5

4.7 10.8 12.3 22.6 16.9 3.6 47.0 41.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..

..........

80 1.17 20.8 5.9 .3.3 2.43 1.13

68 0.94 17.9 5.9 .2.7 2.1 1 0.99

64 0.84 15.9 6.0 .1.5 1.87 0.88

56 0.71 14.8 6.2 .1.4 1.75 0.83

45 0.55 13.4 6.5 .1.4 1.65 0.78

31 0.37 12.0 6.9 .1.3 1.57 0.74

15 0.18 10.6 7.5 .1.3 1.49 0.71

0 .0.01 9.5 8.2 e1.3 1.42 0.68

. 16 .0.19 8.6 9.1 .1.3 1.36 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

6668 3 271 3 397 23.4

7199 3 534 3 665 24.5

7770 3 818 3 952 25.4

8406 4 135 4 270 26.3

9064 4 464 4 600 27.3

9746 4 805 4 941 28.0

10454 5 159 5 295 28.6

11189 5 527 5 662 29.2

11947 5 907 6 041 29.7

1.53 24.4 5.9

1.53 23.7 5.9

1.57 22.9 5.8

1.51 22.2 5.8

1.45 21.5 5.8

1.40 21.1 5.9

1.36 20.7 6.1

1.31 20.4 6.3

1.27 20.1 6.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prosp8cts: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

12729 6 297 6 431 30.1

EQUATORIAL GUINEA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

226 111 115 96.7

238 117 121 96.3

252 123 129 96.0

269 132 137 95.9

291 142 148 96.0

223 109 113 96.3

213 1M 108 96.6

304 149 155 96.5

340 167 173 96.8

382 188 194 97.1

431 212 218 97.4

13.4 20.8 17.7 8.9 5.6 0.5 48.6 23.8 8

15.0 20.8 17.5 8.3 5.3 0.5 48.0 23.1 8

15.0 22.0 17.1 7.9 5.0 0.4 47.5 22.4 9

15.1 23.3 16.9 7.5 4.8 0.4 46.8 21.7 10

15.4 23.3 17.7 7.2 4.6 0.4 46.8 20.9 10

15.7 23.4 18.5 7.1 4.5 0.4 46.7 20.7 8

15.9 23.9 18.1 7.0 4.4 0.4 46.3 20.4 8

16.2 24.1 18.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 46.1 20.0 11

16.6 24.5 18.2 6.7 4.3 0.4 45.8 19.6 12

16.7 25.1 18.2 6.5 4.2 0.4 45.5 19.2 14

16.7 25.6 18.4 6.4 4.2 0.5 45.4 18.8 15

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................. ............. Both sexes combined ............................

...

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged t5-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................... ...................... Both sexes combined ................... . ......

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EQUATORIAL GUINEA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005

2010

2015

484 239 245

549 272 277

627 311 316

16.4 26.0 18.9 6.2 4.1 0.5 45.4 18.7

16.7 25.7 19.3 6.0 4.0 0.5 45.6 18.7

16.8 25.7 19.3 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.9 18.6

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

13 2.53 40.2 14.9 0.0 5.61 2.08

...........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ..................... ...................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

484 239 245

541 268 273

604 300 304

671 333 337

738 367 371

803 400 403

864 431 434

922 459 462

975 486 489

16.4 26.0 18.9 6.2 4.1 0.5 45.4 18.7

15.4 26.1 19.6 6.1 4.1 0.5 46.2 19.0

14.9 25.4 20.1 6.3 4.0 0.5 47.6 19.5

14.0 24.5 20.4 6.4 4.2 0.6 49.1 20.3

13.0 23.9 20.1 6.5 4.3 0.6 50.5 21.4

11.9 22.8 20.0 6.8 4.5 0.6 52.0 22.6

10.8 21.4 193 7.2 4.8 0.7 53.4 23.9

Q.9 19.9 19.5 7.9 5.2 0.8 54.4 25.4

9.1 18.5 18.7 8.7 5.7 0.9 54.9 27.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

11 2.23 36.9 14.6 0.0 5.1 1 1.90

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

484 239 245 18.7

549 272 277 18.7

626 312 316 18.6

723 360 363 18.5

836 416 419 18.3

970 484 486 18.1

1129 564 565 18.0

1319 659 660 18.0

1546 773 773 17.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............

Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

..

2.52 40.1 14.9

2.69 40.4 13.5

2.82 40.4 12.3

2.90 40.1 11.2

2.97 39.8 10.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.05 39.7 9.3

3.11 39.6 8.5

3.18 39.5 7.8

3.24 39.4 7.1

1819 910 909 17.8

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrlh (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 527 2 218 2 308 96.1

5 323 2 619 2 704 96.8

6 165 3 044 3 121 97.6

6 937 3 437 3 500 98.2

7 684 3 817 3 867 98.7

8 433 4 197 4 236 99.1

9 205 4 588 4 617 99.4

9 993 4 985 5 008 99.5

10 759 5 369 5 391 99.6

11 465 5 720 5 745 99.6

17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 15.8 7.1 6.8 12.6 48.4 18.1 38

17.0 26.0 19.9 4.0 2.4 0.3 16.2 6.7 6.3 11.7 48.7 18.4 45

15.6 27.0 19.0 3.9 2.5 0.3 16.8 7.1 6.2 11.0 49.6 18.7 52

13.9 26.6 19.8 3.9 2.5 0.3 16.3 7.6 6.8 11.3 51.2 19.3 59

12.4 24.8 21.3 3.9 2.6 0.4 14.9 7.4 7.1 12.5 52.9 20.6 65

11.5 22.5 21.6 4.3 2.6 0.4 13.5 6.8 6.8 12.9 53.6 22.3 72

11.1 20.8 20.5 5.5 3.0 0.4 12.5 6.1 6.2 12.3 53.9 23.9 78

10.6 19.8 18.8 7.3 4.0 0.5 12.0 5.7 5.7 11.3 53.6 25.4 85

10.0 19.2 17.6 8.6 5.4 0.5 11.7 5.6 5.4 10.5 53.4 26.8 91

9.2 18.5 17.1 9.7 6.4 0.6 11.2 5.5 5.3 10.2 53.4 28.2 97

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ERITREA C. HKiHVARIANT

lndlcator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4527 2218

2308

5368 2642 2726

6294 3 110 3 185

7 184 3582 3 622

8065 4 010 4 055

8 975 4 472 4 503

9952 4966 4 985

11002 5496 5506

12088 6042 6046

13 156 6 577 6 579

17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 48.4 18.1

17.7 25.8 19.7 3.9 2.4 0.3 48.3 18.2

18.7 27.1 18.6 3.8 2.5 0.3 48.6 18.2

15.1 27.5 19.1 3.7 2.5 0.3 49.5 18.5

13.5 28.1 20.9 3.7 2.5 0.3 50.9 19.5

12.7 24.0 21.8 4.0 2.5 0.4 51.8 20.9

12.3 22.2 21.0 5.1 2.8 0.4 52.3 22.3

12.1 21.3 19.4 6.6 3.6 0.4 52.2 23.6

11.6 21.0 18.1 7.6 4.8 0.4 52.0 24.6

10.8 20.6 17.7 8.4 5.6 0.6 52.1 25.5

Population (thouund.) Females ............................................... Ago dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged w ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage 1524 ....... Percentageaged60cwover Percentage aged 65 or over Pefcantage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) ... ..........

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2Wo-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . p o p l l a t i QIUWUIrate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO m a t i o n ) .... CRlde death rate (per 1,OOO poplletan).. Net migratkm rate (per 1,OOO poprlatkm) . Total tertility (children per women) ........... Net reproductionrale (per woman) ..........

188 3.41 41.O 9.3 2.2 5.30 2.25

185 3.18

38.0 8.1 1.9 4.94 2.13

178 2.64 33.8 7.3 -0.1 4.53 1.99

176 2.31 29.9 6.7 -0.1 4.09 1.82

182 2.14 27.7 8.3 4.1 3.72 1

.a

195 2.07 26.9 6.1 4.1 3.43 1.57

210 2.01 26.2 6.0 -0.1 3.21 1.48

217 1.88 25.0 6.1 -0.1 3.03 1.41

214 1.69 23.2 6.2 -0.1 2.89 1.35

D. LOW VARIANT

Popubllon (thouund8)

...........

Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlotrlbutlon Percantage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14. ... Percentage 8ged 15-24 .... PerCenlngeagedsoM .... Percentage aged 65 OT over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d wwneo aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ... ...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2w5 -

2040

2045

2050

4 527 2 218 2308

5 278 2596 2682

6038 2 979 3 057

6689 3 312 3 378

7303 3 624 3 879

7895 3925 3970

8472 4217 4255

9020 4 492 4 527

9504 4 733 4 771

9898 4 925 4 972

17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 48.4 18.1

16.3 26.3 20.0 4.0 2.4 0.3 49.1 18.8

14.6 26.8 19.4 4.0 2.8 0.3 50.8 19.2

12.6 25.7 20.5 4.0 2.6 0.3 53.0 20.2

11.2 23.3 21.9 4.1 2.7 0.4 55.0 21.9

10.3 20.9 21.5 4.6 2.8 0.4

9.7 19.1 19.9 6.0 3.2 0.5 55.6 25.7

9.1 18.0 18.1 8.0 4.4 0.5 55.2 27.6

8.3 17.1 16.9 9.7 6.1 0.6 54.9 29.5

7.4 16.1 16.3 11.2 7.4 0.7 54.5 31.3

55.6 23.7

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2036-2040 2040-2045 20452050 ~~

Populath change per year (thoussnds). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,ooO poplath) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Net migrath rate (per 1.OOO poprlatbn) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per m n ) ..........

150 3.07 37.5 9.1 2.2 4.80 2.03

152 2.88 32.9 8.0 1.9 4.14 1.79

~

131 2.05 27.9 7.3 -0.2 3.53 1.55

~

123 1.76 24.5 6.8 -0.1 3.09 1.37

118 1.56 22.3 6.6 -0.1 2.72 1.23

115 1.41 20.8 6.6 4.1 2.43 1.11

109 1.25 19.3 6.7 -0.1 2.21 1.02

97 1.05 17.5 6.9 -0.1 2.03 0.94

79 0.81 15.6 7.3 -0.1 1.89 0.88

E. CONSTANT-FERTILTTYVARIANT

Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 527 2218 2308 18.1

5 402 2659 2743 18.0

6 439 3163 3258 17.6

7 556 3750 3806 17.3

8 827

10 318 5151 5165 18.0

12 093 6051 8042 18.2

14 217 7125 7091 18.3

16 730 8395 8335 18.3

19 680 9885 9795 18.2

4396 4432 17.5

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationgrowth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.ooO population) .... CRlde death rale (per 1.OOO population) ..

3.53 42.4 9.3

3.51 41.4 8.3

3.20 39.5 7.4

3.11 37.9 6.7

3.12 37.4 6.2

United Nations Department of Eax~rmicand sod& AffairslPopulation Division World Population Praspecrs: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehmsive Tables

3.18 37.6 5.8

3.24 37.9 5.5

3.26 37.8 5.2

3.25 37.5 5.0

22 1

ESTONIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaliondensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thwsands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................ ... .................. Both sexes combined .......................... .

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live bilths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live b~rths) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ESTONIA C. HIGHVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1344 019 725

1333 815 718

1330 010 715

1329 010 71 1

1320 010 703

1310 015 695

1 307 617 690

1314 624

1 327

1339 045 694

4.9 10.3 15.0 21.0 10.0 3.2 47.2 38.9

0.3 9.0 13.8 22.2 18.0 3.9 45.4 39.2

0.8 11.2 10.4 22.9 10.9 4.2 42.8 39.4

6.7 13.1 9.0 23.0 17.0 4.0 41.1 39.7

6.0 13.0 11.2 24.4 18.5 4.5 40.6 40.6

5.7 12.8 13.2 24.9 19.2 4.0 40.7 41.9

0.2 11.7 13.7 25.4 19.5 5.3 40.1 42.2

0.9 11.0 12.7 25.9 19.8 5.8 38.1 40.7

popu-(~-)

Total ....................................................

............................................... dlotrlbullon Percentageaged 0-4 percenteOe eOed 15-24......................... percentege 80 cf w r .... percenteoeaged 65 cf w a r .... Percentage a@ 80 OT w r .................. Percentageofwomenagfld1549......... Median age (years) ......................

690

635 892 7.3 12.9 11.5 26.7 20.2

6.0 37.9 39.0

7.1 14.0 11.0 26.0

21.0 0.0 39.1 38.0

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 poplhtbnh n o e per Year (-). R~pulstkmgrow(hrate(percent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude dmlh rate (per 1 .OW population).. Net migration rate (per 1 .KO pqndatim) . Total fertWHy (childrenp e r m ) ........... Net reproductkn rate (per woman) ..........

- 2 -0.17 12.0 14.2

- 1

-0.04 13.7 14.2

0.0

0.0

1.74

1.94

0.63

0.93

0 -O.W 13.4 13.7 0.0 2.09 1.00

- 2 -0.13 12.0 13.3

- 2 -0.10 11.4 13.0

- 1 -0.04 12.4 12.9

1 0.11 13.9 12.9

3 0.20 14.7 12.7

2 0.19 14.3 12.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.14 1.03

2.19 1.05

2.24 1.07

2.29 1.10

2.34 1.12

2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT

-2005

2010

2015

2020

2025 -

2030

2035

2040

2045

1344 019 725

1309

1209

1 092 507

885

637

1138 528 011

1045

584

1226 505 881

1182

803 706

585

486 559

990 465 531

946 444 503

4.9 10.3 15.0 21.0 18.0 3.2 47.2 38.9

4.5 9.7 14.1 22.0 10.9 4.0 46.2 39.8

4.2 9.0 10.9 24.0 17.7 4.5 44.7 41.1

3.9 9.2 10.4 25.7 19.1 5.0 44.2 42.5

3.7 8.5 10.5 27.3 20.7 5.1 43.0 44.1

3.5 8.0 9.8 28.0 22.1 5.5 41.4 46.1

3.4 7.7 9.2 30.4 23.3 0.4 38.7 48.2

3.5 7.4 8.7 32.0 25.0 7.3 35.1 50.4

3.4 7.4 8.4 35.0 26.9 0.0 33.0 51.8

3.3 7.4 0.2 39.0 29.8 8.5 33.2 52.0

Population (thouundr) Tolal ...........................................

Males ...........................

Females ............................................... 4odi.trlMon peccentegeaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......

..........................

FmmagOaged80cfM Percentageaged65orwar P e ~ a g e d 8 0 O T c 4 e.................. r

wrcmla!pofmmeneged15-49 Median age (years)

.........

..........

568

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

p o p r ~ ~ per Year (m-). POpllatkngmWmrale(percent) ............ Crude bbth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OOO popllatbn) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OW poWation). Total (ectility (children per mnren) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

- 7 -0.53 9.0 14.3 0.0 1.24

- 0 -0.02

0.59

0.3 14.0 0.0 1.14

-9 -0.69 7.7 14.0

-9 -0.73 7.3 14.0

- 9 -0.77 7.0 14.0

-9 -0.62

0.8 15.0

-9 -0.88 0.0 15.0

-

10

-0.95

0.8 10.2

- 10 -1.03 0.5 10.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.09 0.52

1.14

1.24 0.59

1.34

1 .35

0.54

1.19 0.57

1.29

0.54

0.62

0.64

0.65

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1344 019 725 38.9

1317 807 710 39.0

1288 594

1255

1219

1180

1141

564

548

1057 496

40.5

41.7

654 43.2

032 45.0

532 009

1100 514

094

580 675

1012 477 535 49.8

E. CONSTANT-FERTILFYVARIANT P o p u r n (thou-r) Total .................................................... Meleo ................................................... Females ............................................... Medlan age (years) .................................

47.0

505

580

48.7

49.0

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 20S2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 pbpulatlongrowthrate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OWpopuktion) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO populatim) ..

-0.42 10.1 14.3

-0.45 10.0 14.5

-0.51 9.2 14.3

-0.80

-0.64

8.3 14.2

7.7 14.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Sodat AffaidPopulation Division WorM Popurction Prospects: The 2006 Rwkion, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables

-0.88 7.0 14.4

-0.73 7.0 14.9

-0.80 7.5 15.4

-0.87 7.1 15.8

223

ETHIOPIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population g r d h rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate @er 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Popuiatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

78 986 39 278 39 708 98.9

89 566 44 581 44 985 99.1

100 967 50 294 50 673 99.3

112 896 56 271 56 625 99.4

124 996 62 327 62 669 99.5

137 052 68 351 68 701 99.5

148 990 74 303 74 687 99.5

160 781 80 165 80 616 99.4

172 320 85 883 86 438 99.4

16.8 27.7 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 17.1 7.6 6.8 11.5 46.0 17.5 72

16.0 26.8 20.6 4.7 3.0 0.3 16.4 7.5 6.9 11.9 47.4 18.2 81

15.2 25.8 20.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 15.8 7.2 6.8 12.2 48.7 19.0 91

14.3 25.1 20.5 5.2 3.3 0.4 15.3 7.0 6.6 12.1 49.9 19.9 102

13.2 24.2 20.2 5.6 3.6 0.4 14.7 6.9 6.5 11.9 51.2 21.0 113

12.2 23.0 20.1 6.0 3.9 0.5 13.9 6.7 6.4 11.9 52.4 22.2 124

11.3 21.7 19.8 6.6 4.3 0.6 13.1 6.4 6.2 11.8 53.4 23.5 135

10.6 20.4 19.2 7.4 4.8 0.6 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.4 53.9 24.9 146

10.0 19.3 18.4 8.3 5.4 0.8 11.6 5.7 5.6 11.0 53.8 26.4 156

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total feltility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ETHIOPIA C. HIGHVARIANT

lndlcator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

90 243 44922 45321

102 898 51267 51831

118 854 58163 58491

130 089

.

78 986 39278 39708

65595

145 530 72817 72913

180 705 80194 80511

178 553 88095 88459

193 007 96280 96727

209 772 104 601 105 171

Percentage aged 1524 ......................... W m t a g e aged 80 or OVBT .................. Peccentage aged 85 or OVBT .................. peccentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageofwomenaged15-49......... Median ege (years) ................................

16.8 27.7 19.9 4.8 2.9 0.3 48.0 17.5

18.8 26.8 20.5 4.7 3.0 0.3 47.1 18.0

18.2 28.0 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.4 47.8 18.8

15.4 25.9 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 48.3 19.2

14.3 25.4 19.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 49.4 19.8

13.3 24.4 20.2 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.8 20.8

12.8 23.1 20.2 6.1 4.0 0.5 51.8 21.9

12.0 21.9 19.7 8.7 4.4 0.8 52.3 23.1

11.5 21.1 18.9 7.4 4.8 0.7 52.2 24.2

11.0 20.4 18.2 8.3 5.4 0.0 52.0 25.2

Popul.tlon (thoumda) Total ....................................................

............................................

65293

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 PopuIatichangeperyear(thwsands). Populati gmMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OW popuiation) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1 .WOPOpJatkn) . Total tertilily (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per womm) ..........

...........

2251 2.87 39.9 13.1 -0.2 5.54 2.09

2531 2.83 38.3 11.9 -0.1 5.19 2.02

2751 2.51 38.0 10.8 -0.1 4.78 1.91

2847 2.30 32.9 9.8 -0.1 4.30 1.77

2928 2.12 30.2 8.9 -0.1 3.89 1.64

3035 1 .98 28.2 8.3 -0.1 3.56 1.53

3170 1.a8 26.7 7.8 -0.1 3.31 1.45

3291 1.78 25.3 7.5 -0.1 3.12 1.39

3353 1.67 23.9 7.2 -0.1 2.96 1.34

D. LOW VARIANT

POpUwOn (thoUmd8) Total ....................................................

........................................... ...............................................

Age dbtrlbutlon percentage aged 0-4 ............... Percentage aged 514 ............. Percentage aged 15-24 ........... Percentage a@ 60 Q m r .................. Percentage a@ 85 or oyer .................. prwcentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

78986 39 278 39 708

68089 44 240 44 649

wR38

119 113 59 388 59 747

128 839 64 118 64 520

137509

49 714

108 138 54 379 54 759

68529 68980

145595 72531 73064

152 799 78 072 78 727

159 018 79 101 79 916

16.8 27.7 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 48.0 17.5

15.3 27.0 20.8 4.8 3.0 0.3 47.8 18.4

14.2 25.7 21.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 49.7 19.5

13.0 24.2 21.3 5.4 3.4 0.4 51.8 20.8

12.0 22.8 20.7 5.8 3.7 0.5 53.1 22.2

10.9 21.4 20.0 8.4 4.1 0.5 54.4 23.8

9.9 20.1 19.3 7.2 4.7 0.8 55.2 25.4

9.1 18.6 18.8 8.1 5.3 0.7 55.8 27.1

8.3 17.2 17.7 9.4 6.1 0.8 55.3 28.9

7.6 18.0 16.8 10.9 7.1 1.o 54.5 30.8

49322

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050

.

Populationchange per year (vnxleands) popdatbn growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralim rate (per 1,OW population). Total fertility (children per mxnen) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wanan) ..........

1 981 2.38

2029 2.18 33.3 36.8 11.5 12.8 -0.1 -0.2 4.39 5.04 1.%I1.71

2020 1.94 30.0 10.5 -0.1 3.78 1.51

1995 1.75 27.2 9.7 -0.1 3.30 1.35

1905 1.54 24.5 9.0 -0.1 2.89 1.22

1774 1.33 21.9 8.5 -0.1 2.56 1.10

1817 1.14 19.7 8.2 -0.1 2.31 1.01

1 441 0.97 17.8 8.1 -0.1 2.12

0.94

1 244 0.80 16.2 8.2 -0.1 1.98 0.89

20452050

E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTV VARIANT

Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

78 986 39278 39708 17.5

90 875 45240 45635 17.9

105 346 52500 52848 18.1

122 869 61192 61477 17.9

143 089 71437 71652 17.7

187 189 83521 83888 17.7

195 873 97898 97977 17.7

230 228 115105 115124 17.8

271 454 135745 135709 17.7

320 877 160483 180394 17.6

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202Ck2025 20252030 2o30-2035 20352040 20402045 2045-2050

P o p l l a t i growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OW population) ..

2.80 41.4 13.2

2.9s 41.8 12.2

3.05 41.7 11.2

3.08 41.O 10.2

3.11 40.3 9.2

United Nations Deparbqmt of Economic and Social AffairslPopulatim Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables

3.17 40.0 8.4

3.23 39.9 7.6

3.28 39.9 7.0

3.35 39.8 8.4

225

A. ESTIMATES Indicator Copulation (thousands) Total .................................................... Maies ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

289 151 138 109.4

336 171 165 103.6

394 203 191 106.3

464 237 227 104.2

520 265 256 103.5

576 291 285 102.3

634 321 313 102.5

709 359 350 102.7

724 367 356 103.2

768 390 378 103.3

802 407 395 103.2

19.0 27.7 19.0 4.5 2.8 0.4 44.9 16.6 16

19.3 26.3 19.3 4.2 3.0 0.6 44.8 16.1 18

19.3 28.7 19.0 3.8 2.5 0.5 44.5 16.0 22

17.3 29.5 19.5 3.7 2.3 0.3 45.2 16.5 25

14.4 29.1 20.9 4.0 2.4 0.3 47.7 17.8 28

13.4 26.5 22.5 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.8 19.0 32

13.8 25.3 21.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 51.4 19.8 35

14.4 24.2 20.6 4.6 2.9 0.2 51.6 20.5 39

13.2 24.7 16.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 51.5 21.3 40

12.4 23.3 19.6 5.1 3.1 0.2 52.8 22.0 42

12.0 22.1 20.5 5.9 3.5 0.4 52.5 22.6 44

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesperl00females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

828 420 408 103.0

854 433 421 103.0

874 443 431 103.0

888 450 437 103.0

905 459 446 102.9

916 466 453 102.8

926 470 457 102.8

928 470 457 102.8

922 467 455 102.8

10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 13.3 6.4 6.0 11.9 51.7 23.7 45

10.0 20.9 19.1 8.1 5.0 0.5 12.5 6.4 6.2 11.1 51.2 25.0 47

9.4 19.3 19.3 9.5 6.0 0.6 11.5 5.9 6.1 11.5 51.0 26.3 48

8.8 18.0 18.6 11.3 7.1 0.8 10.6 5.5 5.6 11.3 51.2 27.7 49

8.4 17.0 17.5 12.7 8.5 1.1 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.5 51.8 29.2 50

8.0 16.2 16.5 13.6 9.6 1.4 9.7 4.9 5.0 9.9 51.3 30.8 50

7.5 15.5 15.7 14.1 10.3 1.7 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.4 50.1 32.5 51

7.0 14.9 15.1 15.6 10.8 2.2 8.9 4.5 4.6 9.0 49.4 34.1 51

6.4 14.0 14.6 17.8 12.2 2.7 8.3 4.4 4.4 8.8 48.2 35.8 50

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

FIJI C. HtGHVARlANT Indicator Population ( h u u n d s ) Total .................................................... Males ...........

Females ........................................ diolributlon Percentage aged 0-4

Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of uwmn aged 1549 ......... M e d i i age (years) ............. .........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

020 420

862

895 454

925

gg0

513

1065 541 524

1084 551

455

502 487

1017 516 501

1042

441

959 487 472

10.6 19.7 18.9 9.3 5.9 0.6 49.8 25.5

10.3 19.6 17.9 10.8 6.8 0.8 49.2 26.4

9.6 19.1 17.3 12.0 8.0 1.o 49.8 27.4

9.2 18.4 17.4 12.6 8.9 1.3 49.7 28.4

8.8 17.5 17.2 12.9 9.4 1.6 49.3 29.3

8.5 16.8 16.6 13.9 9.7 2.0 49.1 30.3

8.2 16.2 15.9 15.4 10.6 2.3 48.4 31.5

7.9 15.8 15.3 16.4 11.9 2.5 47.4 32.6

408

437 425

10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 51.7 23.7

10.9 20.7 18.9 8.1 4.9 0.5 50.7 24.7

470

529

533

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2o20-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2c-l5-2050

Populatkm change per year Populatbng r w l h rate (per Crude birth rate (per 1 .ooO .... CNde death rate (per 1,ooO poprlatbn) Net migration rate (per 1,ooO popllalbn) . Total fectlky (children per woman) . Net reproduction rate (per wanan) ..........

... ..

7 0.80 22.9 6.6 -8.3 3.00 1.40

7 0.75 22.3 6.9 -8.0 2.97 1.39

6 0.68 21.5 7.2 -7.7 2.92 1.37

7 0.73 20.1 7.6 -5.3 2.80 1.32

6 0.63 19.1 7.7 -5.1 2.69 1.27

6 0.55 18.3 7.8 -5.0 2.60 1.23

5 0.48 17.6 7.9 -4.9 2.52 1.20

4 0.43 17.0 8.0 4.7 2.45 1.16

4 0.35 16.4 8.2 -4.7 2.38 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

020

8(6

420

429

853 433 421

847 429 418

837 424 413

789 399

417

852 431 420

817 414

408

851 431 419

404

390

753 380 372

10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 51.7 23.7

9.2 21.1 19.3 82 5.0 0.5 51.6 25.3

8.1 18.8 19.8 9.7 6.1 0.7 52.2 27.0

7.3 16.4 19.5 11.8 7.4 0.9 53.4 28.9

8.9 14.7 17.7 13.5 9.0 1.1 54.1 31.O

6.6 13.6 15.4 14.7 10.5 1.5 53.1 33.2

6.1 13.1 13.9 15.7 11.4 1.9 51.O 35.6

5.4 12.5 13.1 17.7 12.3 2.5 49.5 38.2

4.6 11.4 12.8 20.8 14.3 3.1 47.3 41.0

4.0 10.0 12.4 23.6 17.1 3.5 44.4 43.6

Popuktlcil (thouwnb.)

......................................

Males .................

Females ............................................... Aga dlltr(butlon

Percent- aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage a w 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years). .....

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

m t b n change per year (lhousands) . PopulaUOn grcwlh rate (per cent)............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.ooOpopulatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlalbn) Net d g r a t i rate (per 1.OOO popllatkm) Total fertili (children per mwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

.. . ..........

4 0.43 19.3 6.6 -8.4 2.50 1.17

1 0.17 16.9 7.0 -8.2 2.17 1.02

- 1 -0.06 15.1 7.5 -8.2 1.92 0.90

0 0.02 14.3 6.2 -5.9 1.80 0.85

- 1 -0.10 13.6 8.7 -5.9 1.69 0.80

- 2 -0.25 12.5 9.1 -5.9 1.60 0.76

- 4 -0.47 10.9 9.6 -6.0 1.52 0.72

- 6 -0.71 9.4 10.3 -6.2 1.45 0.69

- 7 -0.94 8.2 11.1 -6.5 1.38 0.68

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thouam&) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Females ............................................... Median ege (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

020

063

1168

1222

588

594

459

526

24.7

25.4

26.2

549 28.1

574 28.5

622 600

23.7

1022 519 503 27.3

1088 543

442

977 496 481 26.9

1117

438 425

898 456

933

420 408

474

27.7

28.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO POpJatkn) ..

0.82 23.1 6.6

0.80 22.9 6.9

0.77 22.5 7.2

0.93 22.0 7.5

0.89 21.5 7.6

United Nations Depattmeftt of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.89 21.2 7.5

0.89 21.o 7.5

0.90 20.8 7.5

0.90 20.6 7.4

227

FINLAND (') A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

4 009 1 916 2 093 91.5

4 235 2 030 2 205 92.1

12.5 17.5 15.9 10.2 6.7 0.7 50.2 27.7 12

10.5 20.1 14.9 10.4 6.9 0.8 48.4 27.9 13

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960

.

Populat~onchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 246 2567 2 679 95.8

5 323 2611 2 712 96.3

5 384 2646 2 738 96.6

5 434 2673 2 760 96.8

5 464 2688 2 775 96.9

5 469 2689 2 780 96.7

5 450 2678 2 773 96.6

5 419 2662 2 757 96.6

5 387 2648 2 738 96.7

5 360 2639 2 721 97.0

5.4 11.9 12.5 21.4 15.9 4.0 7.0 3.8 3.6 7.5 44.0 40.9 16

5.5 11.1 12.3 24.6 17.1 4.6 6.5 3.4 3.7 7.4 42.8 42.0 16

5.6 10.9 11.9 27.0 20.1 4.9 6.6 3.2 3.3 7.3 41.1 42.6 16

5.5 11.1 11.0 28.8 22.2 5.3 6.7 3.3 3.2 6.6 39.9 43.0 16

5.4 11.1 11.0 30.3 23.8 6.0 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.5 39.8 43.6 16

5.3 11.1 11.2 31.1 25.0 7.8 6.6 3.4 3.4 6.7 39.5 44.0 16

5.2 10.9 11.4 30.9 25.6 8.9 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.6 39.2 44.4 16

5.2 10.7 11.4 31.1 25.3 9.5 6.4 3.3 3.4 6.9 39.2 44.7 16

5.3 10.6 11.3 31.4 25.3 9.9 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.8 38.6 44.6 16

5.3 10.7 11.0 31.5 25.6 10.0 6.4 3.2 3.2 6.7 38.8 44.4 16

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2000

FINLAND (')

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 246 2 567 2 679

5 362 2 631 2 731

5 489 2 700 2 789

5 618 2 768 2 851

5 727 2 823 2 904

5 81 1 2 864 2 947

5 883 2 899 2 984

5 968 2 943 3 025

6 079 3 002 3 076

6 210 3 074 3 138

5.4 11.9 12.5 21.4 15.9 4.0 44.0 40.9

6.2 11.0 12.2 24.4 17.0 4.5 42.4 41.7

6.6 11.4 11.6 26.5 19.7 4.8 40.4 41 .8

6.8 12.5 10.7 27.9 21.5 5.2 38.7 41.7

6.6 13.1 11.2 28.9 22.7 5.7 38.7 41.6

6.3 13.1 12.3 29.3 23.5 7.3 39.0 41.5

6.3 12.8 13.0 28.7 23.7 8.2 39.5 41.2

6.7 12.6 13.0 28.3 22.9 8.6 40.0 40.4

7.0 12.8 12.6 27.8 22.4 8.7 40.0 39.1

7.1 13.4 12.3 27.2 22.1 8.6 40.4 38.6

23 0.44 12.6 9.7 1.5 2.08 1.00

25 0.47 13.4 9.9 l .1 2.25 1.09

26 0.47 13.7 10.1 1.1 2.35 1.14

22 0.38 13.3 10.5 1.1 2.35 . 1.14

17 0.29 12.8 10.9 1 .0 2.35 1.14

14 0.25 12.8 11.3 1 .0 2.35 1.14

17 0.29 13.4 11.6 1 .0 2.35 1.14

22 0.37 14.2 11.5 1 .0 2.35 1.14

26 0.43 14.4 11.1 1 .0 2.35 1.14

. 20 -0.39 7.9 13.0 1.2 1.35 0.65

. 25 .0.50 7.5 13.8 1.2 1.35 0.66

. 28 .0.58 7.2 14.3 1.2 1.35 0.66

. 29 .0.63 7.0 14.5 1.3 1.35 0.66

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

. .... ..

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

7 0.14 9.6 9.8 1.5 1.58 0.76

.1 .0.01 8.9 10.1 1 .1 1.45 0.70

.6 .0.12 8.3 10.7 1.1 1.35 0.65

. 10 -0.19 8.3 11.4 1.1 1.35 0.65

. 14 .0.28 8.2 12.2 1.2 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ....................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5246 2 567 2 679 40.9

5311 2 605 2 706 42.1

5357 2 632 2 725 42.9

5390 2 651 2 739 43.4

5402 2 657 2 746 44.0

5389 2 648 2 741 44.6

5351 2 627 2 724 45.1

5297 2 600 2 697 45.6

5238 2 572 2 666 45.8

5182 2 548 2 634 45.9

0.25 10.7 9.7

0.17 10.6 10.0

0.12 10.6 10.5

0.05 10.4 11.0

.0.05 10.0 11.7

.0.14 9.8 12.3

.0.20 9.7 12.9

.0.22 9.7 13.1

-0.22 9.8 13.1

(') lnclud~nghand Islands

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

FRANCE

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5 14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) crude birthrate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

60 991 29 718 31 273 95.0

62 507 30 486 32 021 95.2

63 746 31 113 32 633 95.3

64 825 31 660 33 165 95.5

65 769 32 131 33 638 95.5

66 605 32 530 34 076 95.5

67 307 32 850 34 457 95.3

67 819 33 082 34 738 95.2

68 121 33 232 34 889 95.3

68 270 33 334 34 936 95.4

6.3 12.1 12.8 20.8 16.3 4.6 7.2 3.6 3.8 7.7 45.9 38.9 111

6.0 12.2 12.2 22.9 16.5 5.3 7.4 3.6 3.6 7.4 44.2 40.0 113

5.7 12.1 11.9 24.7 18.5 5.6 7.2 3.7 3.6 7.1 42.7 41.1 116

5.6 11.6 12.1 26.4 20.2 5.7 6.9 3.6 3.7 7.2 41.8 41.9 118

5.5 11.2 12.0 28.0 21.7 5.8 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.3 40.9 42.6 119

5.4 11.0 11.6 29.3 23.2 7.2 6.6 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.4 43.3 121

5.4 10.9 11.2 30.5 24.3 8.2 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.7 39.7 43.8 1 22

5.4 10.9 11.1 31 .0 25.3 9.0 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.7 39.2 44.0 123

5.3 10.9 11.0 31.4 25.6 9.7 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.6 39.1 44.3 124

5.2 10.8 11.1 31.8 25.9 10.2 6.4 3.3 3.3 6.6 39.0 44.7 124

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) .................... Males ........................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

.

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

FRANCE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

401 0.65 13.8 8.9 1.6 2.14 1.03

403 0.63 13.8 9.1 1.6 2.25 1 .09

380 0.56 13.4 9.3 1.5 2.35 1.14

407 0.62 13.9 9.2 1.5 2.35 1.14

369 0.53 13.2 9.4 1.4 2.35 1.14

376 0.52 13.5 9.6 1.4 2.35 1.14

393 0.53 13.9 9.9 1.4 2.35 1.14

407 0.54 14.1 10.1 1.3 2.35 1.14

414 0.53 14.1 10.1 1.3 2.35 1.14

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

60 991 29 718 31 273

62 016 30 234 31 782

62 478 30 463 32 015

62 592 30 516 32 077

62 578 30 496 32 082

62 436 30 394 32 043

62 087 30 176 31 911

61 417 29 803 31 614

60 378 29 268 31 1 1 1

6.3 12.1 12.8 20.8 16.3 4.6 45.9 38.9

5.3 12.3 12.3 23.1 16.7 5.3 44.5 40.3

4.6 11.6 12.1 25.2 18.9 5.8 43.6 41.9

4.2 10.0 12.5 27.3 20.9 5.9 43.2 43.3

4.2 9.0 11.9 29.4 22.8 6.1 42.1 44.6

4.2 8.6 10.3 31.3 24.7 7.6 41 .0 45.8

4.2 8.7 9.4 33.1 26.4 8.9 39.5 47.0

4.0 8.7 9.1 34.2 27.9 9.9 38.1 48.0

3.7 8.6 9.2 35.4 28.9 10.9 37.3 49.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

205 0.33 10.7 9.0 1.6 1 .64 0.79

92 0.15 9.2 9.3 1 .8 1.45 0.70

.3 0.00 8.4 10.1 1.6 1.35 0.65

23 0.04 8.5 9.7 1.6 1.35 0.65

-28 -0.05 8.4 10.5 1.6 1.35 0.65

-70 -0.11 8.3 11.1 1.6 1.35 0.65

-134 -0.22 8.0 11.8 l .6 1.35 0.65

-208 .0.34 7.4 12.4 1.6 1.35 0.65

-264 .0.44 6.9 13.0 1.7 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Median age (years) .................................

60 991 29 718 31 273 38.9

62 486 30 475 32 01 1 40.0

63 781 31 131 32 650 41 .1

64 914 31 705 33 209 41.9

65 914 32 205 33 709 42.5

66 812 32 636 34 l77 43.2

67 569 32 984 34 585 43.6

68 131 33 242 34 890 43.8

68 503 33 428 35 075 44.1

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.48 12.2 8.9

0.41 11.7 9.2

0.35 11.4 9.4

0.31 11.2 9.6

0.27 11.1 9.9

0.23 11.0 10.3

0.17 10.9 10.7

0.11 10.8 11.1

0.07 10.6 11.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

FRENCH GUIANA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rale (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W0 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ......................... ............... Both sexes combined ............................

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

FRENCH GUIANA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

192 98 95

219 111 108

247 124 122

277 140 138

309 155 1 54

341 171 170

373 186 186

405 202 203

437 218 219

12.5 22.7 17.0 6.3 3.9 0.6 50.9 23.6

11.9 21.4 17.8 7.4 4.5 0.6 50.9 24.3

11.6 20.4 18.1 8.9 5.5 0.7 49.7 24.9

11.4 19.8 17.3 10.3 6.7 0.9 47.9 25.9

10.9 19.8 16.7 11.9 7.8 1 .1 47.5 26.8

10.4 19.3 16.5 13.2 9.1 1.4 48.4 27.8

9.8 18.8 16.6 13.7 10.2 1.9 48.7 28.3

9.4 17.9 16.8 13.8 10.6 2.3 49.0 29.1

9.1 17.2 16.2 14.4 10.5 2.8 48.6 29.9

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 202C2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

5 2.58 25.6 3.8 3.9 3.52 1.69

6 2.44 24.8 3.9 3.4 3.37 1.62

6 2.34 24.4 4.1 3.1 3.24 1.56

6 2.16 23.2 4.4 2.7 3.06 1.47

6 1.97 21.8 4.7 2.5 2.91 1.40

6 1.79 20.6 5.0 2.2 2.79 1.35

6 1.65 19.7 5.3 2.1 2.68 1 .30

6 1.54 19.0 5.6 1 .9 2.59 1.25

7 1.44 18.4 5.8 l .8 2.51 1.21

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

1 92 98 95

215 109 106

236 119 117

257 129 128

278 139 139

297 148 149

314 156 157

327 163 165

339 168 171

12.5 22.7 17.0 6.3 3.9 0.6 50.9 23.6

10.4 21.8 18.1 7.5 4.6 0.6 51 .8 24.9

9.2 19.7 18.9 9.3 5.7 0.8 51 .8 26.4

8.5 17.3 18.6 11.1 7.2 0.9 51.6 28.1

8.2 15.9 17.2 13.3 8.7 1.2 51.4 30.0

7.6 15.2 15.4 15.2 10.5 l .E 52.0 31.9

6.8 14.5 14.5 16.3 12.1 2.2 51.4 33.9

6.1 13.5 14.1 17.0 13.1 2.8 51 .0 35.9

5.6 12.4 13.8 18.6 13.6 3.6 49.7 37.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

5 2.24 22.2 3.7 3.9 3.02 1.45

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

192 98 95 23.6

220 ill 109 24.2

251 126 124 24.5

286 144 142 25.0

324 163 161 25.2

366 1 84 183 25.1

412 206 206 25.0

463 232 231 25.0

51 9 260 259 25.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.68

26.6 3.8

2.64 26.9 3.9

2.61 27.1 4.0

2.54 27.0 4.2

2.43 26.4 4.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.36 26.1 4.7

2.32 26.1 4.8

2.30 26.3 4.9

2.29 26.3 4.9

582 292 290 25.0

FRENCH POLYNESIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................. ............... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(rnalesper100females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

61 31 30 105.2

69 36 105.3

79 41 39 105.3

93 48 45 105.4

111 57 54 105.5

130 68 62 109.1

151 79 72 109.8

1 74 91 83 108.8

195 1 02 94 108.5

216 112 104 108.1

236 122 114 106.8

17.5 27.1 17.7 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 15

17.4 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 17

17.5 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 20

17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 23

17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 28

14.2 27.8 20.3 4.9 2.9 0.5 46.8 18.7 32

13.6 26.3 20.8 4.8 2.9 0.4 48.7 19.4 38

13.5 24.0 21.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 50.9 20.5

12.7 22.7 20.3 5.3 3.2 0.4 52.4 22.1 49

10.1 23.8 17.9 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.8 24.0

10.1 21.3 17.9 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.7 25.4 59

34

44

54

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ......................... . ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17........... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 l i e births) Under-Cve mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................. ............ Both sexes combined ............................

.. .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

FRENCH POLYNESIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

256 131 125

276 141 135

297 151 146

319 162 157

338 171 167

355

371 187 184

388

179 176

195 193

405 203 202

421 211 210

9.1 18.3 19.5 8.1 5.2 0.8 56.1 27.1

9.7 17.1 18.2 8.9 6.0 0.9 54.6 28.1

9.7 16.7 15.7 10.5 6.6 1.0 52.1 29.3

9.4 17.4 14.7 12.0 7.9 1.2 49.0 30.6

8.5 17.4 14.7 14.2 9.3 1.5 48.1 31.8

7.9 16.5 15.6 16.4 11.1 1.7 48.3 32.6

7.7 15.3 15.8 17.7 13.0 2.3 47.9 33.3

7.9 14.6 15.0 18.3 13.9 2.8 46.0 33.7

8.0 14.6 14.0 19.3 14.3 3.5 45.4 34.3

7.8 14.9 13.5 21.0 15.1 4.2 44.7 35.0

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 1.51 20.3 5.2 0.0 2.51 1.20

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ......................... ... ................ Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 1.12 16.4 5.2 0.0 2.01 0.96

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) ....... ................... Total ................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

256 131 125 27.1

274 140 134 26.2

294 150 144 29.5

313 159 154 31.3

331 167 164 32.5

346 175 172 33.4

364 183 181 34.1

360 190 189 34.4

395 198 197 34.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.42 19.4 5.2

1.37 19.1 5.4

1.26 18.3 5.7

1.11 17.2 6.1

0.99 16.5 6.6

0.91 16.2 7.1

0.85 16.1 7.6

0.79 16.0 8.1

0.73 15.7 8.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

410 205 205 35.4

GABON

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............................

.................. .................. .........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

469 229 240 95.0

478 232 244 95.1

486 237 249 95.1

502 245 257 95.3

529 259 271 95.6

597 293 304 96.2

682 335 346 96.8

787 389 399 97.4

918 454 464 98.0

1 056 524 532 98.4

1 182 587 595 98.7

10.5 17.9 16.5 11.3 7.3 0.7 49.9 28.4 2

11.7 17.6 16.3 11.0 7.1 0.7 49.2 27.9 2

11.8 18.8 16.0 11.0 7.1 0.7 48.5 27.4 2

12.3 19.6 15.6 10.9 7.1 0.7 47.3 26.7 2

13.1 19.9 16.0 10.8 7.1 0.8 46.6 25.7 2

14.8 20.7 17.1 10.2 8.7 0.8 45.6 23.5 2

15.3 22.3 17.1 9.5 6.4 0.8 44.9 22.1 3

15.7 23.9 17.1 6.9 6.0 0.8 44.6 20.9 3

16.1 24.5 17.8 8.2 5.6 0.8 45.4 19.8 3

14.9 25.4 18.9 7.4 5.3 0.8 46.9 19.8 4

13.3 25.5 19.7 6.9 5.0 0.8 49.0 20.4 4

1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.. .....................

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined

..........

............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............................................... ............................ .......................... ......................... .................. ..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 291 644 646 99.7

1 390 897 692 100.7

1 494 752 742 101.4

1 599 807 792 101.9

1 698 859 839 102.3

1 791 908 884 102.7

1 878 952 924 103.0

1 953 992 961 103.3

2 021 1 028 994 103.4

2 081 1 058 1 023 103.5

12.2 23.7 20.6 6.7 4.7 0.9 14.2 7.1 6.9 12.1 51.2 21.5 5

11.6 21.9 21.1 6.9 4.6 0.9 13.2 6.5 6.6 12.6 52.7 22.7 5

11.0 20.8 20.1 7.5 4.8 0.9 12.5 6.1 6.0 12.1 53.2 24.1 6

10.4 20.0 18.8 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.1 5.8 5.7 11.2 53.5 25.5 6

9.7 19.2 18.1 9.1 6.1 0.9 11.6 5.7 5.6 10.7 53.5 26.8 6

9.0 18.3 17.7 10.0 6.8 1 .0 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.8 28.0 7

8.5 17.3 17.3 11.0 7.5 1.2 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.4 53.7 29.2 7

8.1 16.4 16.7 12.0 8.3 1.4 9.8 5.0 5.0 10.0 52.9 30.5 7

7.6 15.6 16.0 13.4 9.2 1.7 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.6 51 .8 31 .8 8

7.2 14.9 15.3 15.2 10.4 1 .9 8.9 4.5 4.6 9.2 50.9 33.1 8

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GABON

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................ . ................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

22 1.67 27.7 11.8 0.7 3.31 1.36

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

17 1.29 23.8 11.6 0.8 2.81 1 .15

16 1.14 21.1 10.4 0.7 2.41 1.02

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... ......... Females .............................. . . Median age (years) ................................

1 291 644 646 21.5

1 407 706 701 22.4

1 543 777 766 23.2

1 695 855 840 23.8

1 856 939 917 24.1

2 030 1 028 1 002 24.1

2 219 1 125 1 094 24.3

2 426 1 231 1 195 24.6

2 653 1 347 1 306 24.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.72 28.3 11 8

1 .85 28.3 10.5

1 .88 27.6 9.4

1.81 26.6 9.0

1.79 25.9 8.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.78 25.7 8.4

1.79 25.7 8.3

1.79 25.5 8.0

1.79 25.4 7.8

GAMBIA

A ESTIMATES indicator POpUlatlOn (IhOUMndS) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ................. Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .......... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .. ................. Population density (population per sq km)

1850

1955

1960

lssS

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

294 143 151 95.0

317 155

360 178

161

417 207 210

96.4

97.6

80.6

482 240 242 99.3

570 285 285 99.7

671 335 330 99.9

795 397 397 100.0

962 481 481 100.1

1159

182

1384 693 691 100.2

15.6 24.5 19.2 5.2 3.2 0.2 48.7 19.9 28

16.6 22.8 19.2 5.3 3.3 0.3 49.6 20.3 32

17.7 22.3 18.5

17.9 23.9 17.0 4.9 3.1 0.4 47.7 19.8 43

17.9 24.6 16.7 4.7 2.9 0.4 47.2 19.2 50

18.1 25.0 17.4 4.6 2.6 0.4 46.6 18.6 59

18.1 25.5 17.8 4.5 2.7 0.3 46.0 18.4 70

17.6 25.5 18.0 4.6 2.8

16.8 24.2 18.9 4.8 2.8 0.2 48.0

19.5 26

5.1

3.2 0.4 49.4 20.2 37

0.3 46.3 18.6 85

580

579 100.1 17.3 25.3 18.1

4.9 3.0 0.4 46.4 18.8 103

16.6 25.3 18.2 5.3 3.3 0.4 46.7 19.1 123

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,WOl i i bim) Llfe expectancy at MHh (ymra) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

5 15 10 1.50 49.0 34.0 6.23 1.41 274

9 17 11 2.57 51.2 32.6 1.55 250

11 21 12 2.92 52.9 31.5 6.65 1.69 223

30.3 30.3 30.0

32.0 32.2 32.1

33.8 34.1 33.9

6.44

im

18 26 14 3.37 49.6 26.3 6.65 1.93 164

20 30 14 3.26 48.1 22.6 6.61 2.09 134

25 34 14 3.39 46.2 19.2 6.47 2.20 110

34 39 14 3.83 44.2 16.3 6.18 2.22 97

39 45 15 3.72 42.7 14.1 5.88 2.21 80

45 52 16 3.55 40.6 12.3 5.53 2.14 64

47 57 17 3.11 38.1 11.2 5.16 2.04 80

35.6 36.2 35.9

37.8 38.8 38.3

41.2 42.5 41.8

44.8 46.4 45.6

48.3 50.3 49.3

51.6 53.8 52.6

54.6

56.8 59.3 58.0

13 23 13

2.89 51.4 29.2 6.65 1.80

57.1

55.9

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.........

.......... .........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1617 809 808 100.2

1845 924 921 100.4

2 072 1039 100.7

2301 1156 1145 100.9

2534 1275 1259 101.2

2770 1395 1375 101.4

3003 1513 1480 101.5

3229 1627 1602 101.6

3445 1738 1709 101.6

3 649 1838 1610 101.5

15.9 25.3 16.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 15.6 6.8 6.1 10.7 47.0 19.5 143

14.8 25.2 16.9 6.3 4.1 0.6 15.5 6.9

13.7 24.6 19.6 6.7 4.5 0.7 15.0 7.0 6.5 11.4 48.4 20.7 183

12.8 23.4 20.0 7.2 4.8 0.8 14.2 6.6 6.5 11.7 49.6 21.7 204

12.0 22.2 19.9 7.8 5.2 0.9 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.8 50.8 22.9 224

11.2 21.1 19.3 8.5 5.8 1 .o 12.8 6.2 6.0 11.5 51.7 24.1 245

10.5 20.1 18.6 9.2 6.3 1.1 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.1 52.5 25.4 266

9.8 19.1 18.0 9.8 6.9

9.1 18.1 17.4 10.7 7.4 1.4 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.4 52.9 28.2 305

8.6 17.1 16.9

6.3 11.0 47.6 19.9 163

1w2

1.2

11.5 5.7 5.5 10.7 52.9 26.8 206

11.7

8.1 1.6 10.3 5.1 5.1 10.1

52.5 29.6 323

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2005 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousanbs) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WO population) Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infint mortality rate (per 1,WO live births) Under-Rve mortality (per 1,WOlive birlhs) Llto expectancy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

.

238

68 113

2.10 29.2 8.5 0.3 3.72 1.58 62 99

47 65 19 1 1.93 27.0 7.9 0.2 3.33 1.44 57 69

60.6 62.1 61.5

63.2 64.2 63.7

64.9 65.9 65.4

46 60 18 3 2.63 34.9 10.4 1.7 4.70 1.69 74 128

45 62 18 2 2.32 31.8 9.4 0.8 4.19

58.6 60.3 59.4

1.73

46 64 19 1

1.78 25.1 7.5 0.2 3.02 1.32 53 80

47 67 21 1 1.62 23.3 7.3 0.2 2.78 1.23 49 73

45 67 22 1 1.45 21.5 7.2 0.2 2.59 1.16 46 67

1.29 19.9 7.1 0.2 2.43 1.11 43 61

68.4 67.5 67.0

67.5 68.9 68.2

68.5 70.1 69.3

69.5 71.3 70.4

47 67 20 1

43 66 24 1

41 66 25 1 1.15 18.5 7.1 0.1 2.31 1.06 40 56

70.4 72.5 71.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairs/PopuiationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 RevLsion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GAMBIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1617 809 808

1859 931 928

2113 1060 1053

2381 1196 1 184

2660 1338 1321

2953 1487 1465

3258 1642 1616

3573 1802 1771

3895 1964 1931

15.9 25.3 18.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 47.0 19.5

15.5 25.0 18.8 6.2 4.1 0.6 47.2 19.7

14.7 24.8 19.2 6.5 4.4 0.7 47.5 20.1

14.0 24.4 19.3 6.9 4.7 0.8 48.0 20.8

13.2 23.6 19.5 7.4 5.0 0.9 48.9 21.6

12.5 22.7 19.5 8.0 5.4 1 .0 49.9 22.5

12.0 21.7 19.1 8.4 5.8 1 .0 50.8 23.5

11.4 20.9 18.6 8.9 6.2 1 .1 51.3 24.5

10.9 20.2 18.1 9.4 6.6 1.3 51.4 25.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total feltility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........

48 2.79 36.6 10.5 1.7 4.95 1.99

51 2.56 34.3 9.6 0.8 4.59 1.90

54 2.39 32.2 8.6 0.3 4.22 1.79

56 2.22 29.9 8.0 0.2 3.83 1.65

59 2.09 28.2 7.5 0.2 3.52 1 .54

61 1.97 26.7 7.2 0.2 3.28 1.46

63 1 .85 25.3 7.0 0.2 3.09 1.39

64 1.73 23.9 6.8 0.1 2.93 1.33

65 1.61 22.6 6.7 0.1 2.81 1.29

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Med~anage (years) .................................

.....

.........

1617 809 808

1830 917 913

2031 1018 1012

2221 1115 1106

2409 1211 1198

2590 1303 1286

2756 1388 1368

2902 1461 1441

3026 1524 1503

15.9 25.3 18.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 47.0 19.5

14.2 25.4 19.1 6.3 4.1 0.6 47.9 20.1

12.7 24.4 20.0 6.8 4.6 0.7 49.4 21.2

11.5 22.5 20.7 7.4 5.0 0.9 51.4 22.6

10.7 20.7 20.3 8.2 5.5 1 .0 52.8 24.2

9.9 19.3 19.1 9.1 6.2 1.1 53.8 25.9

9.0 18.2 17.9 10.0 6.9 1.2 51.3 27.7

8.1 17.0 17.1 11.0 7.6 1.4 54.6 29.5

7.3 15.7 16.5 12.1 8.5 1.6 54.4 31.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

43 2.48 33.2 10.2 1.7 4.45 1.79

40 2.08 29.1 9.2 0.8 3.79 1.57

38 1.79 26.0 8.3 0.3 3.22 1.36

38 1.62 23.9 7.9 0.2 2.83 1.22

36 1.45 21.8 7.6 0.2 2.52 1.10

33 1.25 19.7 7.4 0.2 2.28 1 .01

29 1.03 17.6 7.4 0.2 2.09 0.94

25 0.84 15.8 7.5 0.2 1.93 0.88

21 0.67 14.2 7.7 0.2 l .81 0.83

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................ Males .................... .. ... .............. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1 617 809 808 19.5

1 870 937 933 19.5

2 158 1 083 1 075 19.6

2 492 1 253 1 239 19.5

2 883 1 452 1 432 19.4

3 342 1 685 1 657 19.3

3 878 1 957 1 921 19.3

4 510 2 277 2 233 19.2

5 256 2 655 2 601 19.2

2.91 37.9 10.6

2.87 37.6 9.8

2.88 37.4 8.9

2.92 37.2 8.3

2.95 36.9 7.7

2.98 36.8 7.2

3.02 36.8 6.8

3.06 36.8 6.4

3.09 36.8 6.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GEORGIA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (lhOUMnd8) Total ...................................................

Males .....................

..............................

Age dl8trlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ......... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w ~ e aged n 15-49 Median age (yean) .... ....... Population density (population per sq km)

.........

19%

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

3 527 1629 1 898 85.8

3839 1 779 2 081

86.3

4159 1937 2223 87.1

4477 2098 2381 88.0

4707 2211 2496 88.6

4908 2308 2602 88.6

5 073 2 381 2692 88.4

5 287 2 497 2 790 89.5

5460 2595 2865 90.6

5033 2391 2642 90.5

4720 2238 2482 90.2

8.1 18.7 20.1 14.9 10.1 1.4 50.3 27.3 51

10.4 14.9 19.8 13.6 10.2 1.5 52.6 27.5 55

11.8 16.9 16.6 12.2 9.1 1.5 50.2 27.8 60

11.6 19.9 13.0 11.8 8.1 1.6 47.0 28.0 64

9.3 21.4 14.9 12.0 8.2 1.7 48.3 28.8 88

9.0 19.3 17.7 12.4 8.5 1.7 49.6 28.3 70

8.5 17.2 18.1 12.2 9.1 1.6 49.1 29.1 73

8.7 16.5 16.7 12.8 8.8 1.7 48.6 30.0 76

8.4 16.2 15.0 15.0 9.3 1.8 47.1 31.2 78

7.2 18.4 14.8 16.2 11.3 1.9 48.4 32.8 72

5.7 15.9 15.3 18.4 12.5 1.8 49.9 34.5 68

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-188.5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thowanbs). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW populatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO m u l a t h ) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction r a p (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO llve births) Llfa expm3ancy al birth (m)

.

Males ..................................................

Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

64 101 29 1.47 23.3 6.8 2.98 1.35

80

64 98 52 1 60 24.8 13.0 2.91 1.30 73

56.8 64.4 60.6

58.7 66.4 62.6

62 90 53 1.70 24.4 14.4 3.00 1.31

.

48 90 45

40

66

1.00 19.6 9.7 2.61 1.20 59

60.7 68.3 64.8

62.6 70.3 66.7

35 94 47 0.64 17.5 8.7 2.26 1.08

-85 78 51 -1.63 14.8 9.8 1.95 0.90

44

65.6 73.2 69.6

0.83 18.5 7.6 2.60 1.20 52

33 90 41 0.66 18.0 8.1 2.39 1.12 49

93 46 0.83 18.0 8.9 2.27 1.08 47

64.1 71.8 68.2

65.6 73.2 69.6

89

38

43

. 49 51 51 -1.07 11.1 11.1 1.48 0.67

40

-63 57 50 -1.28 11.8 10.2 1.58 0.71 41

66.5 74.0 70.5

66.5 74.3 70.5

66.5 74.3 70.5

66.5 74.3 70.5

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

POpUl8tlOn (thOUMnd8) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlmlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school a p 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 ... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 473 2 114 2360 89.8

4 301 2028 2 274 89.1

4 188 19 n 2 215 89.0

4063 1913 2 149 89.0

3 945 1 859 2088 89.1

3807 1794 2012 89.2

3653 1722 1930 89.2

3 487 1648 1 841 89.4

3 313 1588 1 745 89.9

3 134 1489 1645 90.5

5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 7.6 4.8 5.2 9.8 51.1 35.5 64

5.2 11.4 16.2 18.8 14.0 3.0 6.6 3.7 4.5 10.1 50.0 37.2

5.1 10.8 13.7 20.3 14.4 3.3 6.4 3.4 3.4 8.6 47.2 38.5 60

5.0 10.6 11.5 22.7 15.8 4.0 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.8 45.5 39.9 58

4.7 10.5 11.0 25.4 18.0 3.5 8.2 3.2 3.2 6.6

4.4 10.1 10.8 26.8 20.7 3.8 6.0 3.2 3.3 6.5 42.3 43.5 55

4.2 9.5 10.9 28.2 21.8 4.7 5.6 3.1 3.2 6.5 40.3 45.7 52

4.2 9.0 10.6 29.8 23.0 6.0 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.5 37.3 47.5 50

4.4 8.9 10.0 31.8 24.2 7.2 5.3 2.7 2.9 6.1 34.8 48.9 48

4.4 9.1 9.5 34.9 26.0 7.4 5.5 2.8 2.8 5.8 34.1 49.5 45

62

44.0 41.6 57

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2Wi-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net mgration per year (thousanbe) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfdnt mortality rate (per 1 ooO live births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ooO live births) L h expectancy a birth ( w 8 ) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

....

..

240

-35 47 52 -30 -0.79 10.8 11.8 6.8 1.41 0.64 39 41 67.1 74.8 71.0

-25

. 24

. 28

. 31

-33

39 53 . 10 -0.59 9.7 13.1 -2.5 1.50 0.69 31 34

35 52 10 -0.71 9.0 13.5 -2.8 1.55 0.72 29 31

32 53 10 -0.83 8.6 14.1 -2.7 1.60 0.74

39

43 53 15 -0.61 10.4 12.8 -3.6 1.45 0.66 34 38

29

31 54 . 10 -0.93 8.6 15.1 -2.8 1.65 0.77 24 27

-35 30 55 . 10 -1.02 8.8 16.0 -2.9 1.70 0.80 22 25

-38 29 54 . 10 -1.11 8.8 18.8 -3.1 1.75 0.82 21 23

67.8 75.4 71.7

68.6 76.1 72.4

69.2 78.7 73.1

70.0 77.3 73.8

70.9 77.9 74.5

71.7 70.5 75.2

72.4 79.1 75.8

73.1 79.6 76.4

-23 45

53

. 15

-0.53 10.6 12.4 -3.5 1.40 0.64

36

.

.

.

26

United Nations Deparbnent of Ecxmcinic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division Worfd Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

40

GEORGIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

4 473 2 114 2360

4 341 2 048 2294

4 291 2 026 2264

4 236 2 004 2232

4 177 1 980 2197

4 099 1 947 2152

4 018 1 913 2106

3 943 1 883 2060

3 872 1 858 2014

5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 51 .1 35.5

6.1 11.3 16.1 18.6 13.9 3.0 49.6 36.8

6.5 11.5 13.3 19.8 14.0 3.2 46.1 37.6

6.5 12.6 11.0 21.8 15.1 3.9 43.8 38.5

5.9 13.0 11.3 24.0 17.0 3.3 42.7 39.6

5.5 12.6 12.6 24.9 19.2 3.5 41.8 41.2

5.7 11.6 13.1 25.7 19.9 4.3 40.9 42.5

6.1 11.4 12.6 26.3 20.3 5.3 38.7 42.8

6.4 11.9 11.7 27.2 20.7 6.2 37.1 41.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 populatii) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 26 .0.60 12.7 l l.9 -6.8 1.66 0.75

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

4 473 2114 2 360

4 260 2005 2 255

4 085 1919 2 166

3 889 1823 2 067

3 710 1736 1 974

3 516 1643 1 874

3 305 1541 1 764

5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 51 .1 35.5

4.3 11.5 16.4 18.9 14.1 3.1 50.5 37.6

3.7 10.1 14.0 20.8 14.7 3.4 48.2 39.4

3.4 8.4 12.0 23.7 16.5 4.2 47.3 41.5

3.4 7.8 10.6 27.1 19.2 3.8 45.5 43.6

3.2 7.2 8.8 29.0 22.4 4.1 42.8 45.9

2.9 7.0 8.0 31.2 24.1 5.2 39.4 48.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net ~eproductionrate (per woman) ..........

. 43 .0.98 89 11.8 -6.9 1.16 0.52

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) ................................

4 473 2 114 2 360 35.5

4 313 2 033 2 260 37.1

4 21 1 1 985 2 226 38.3

4 086 1 925 2 160 39.8

3 959 1 866 2 093 41.4

3 814 1 798 2 016 43.4

3 653 1 723 1 931 45.6

3 476 1 641 1 835 47.6

3 283 1 553 1 730 49.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.73 1l .4 11.6

.0.48 11.2 12.4

.0.61 10.3 12.7

.0.63 9.2 13.1

-0.75 8.6 13.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.86 8.2 14.1

.1.00 7.9 15.1

.1.14 7.7 16.1

.1.29 7.3 17.0

GERMANY A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouu~nds) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... sex ralio (males per loo fmak38) ........... Age distribution Percentage a@ 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 percentageaged 60or wer Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or oyer .................. Percentage of mxnen agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................. ..... population density (popllalion per sq km)

.......

1950

1955

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2Wo

68 376 31 493 36883 85.4

70 326 32 573 37 753 86.3

72 815 33 886 38 949 86.9

75964 35763

78674 37319 41354 90.2

78 289 37 257 41 032 90.8

77685 37 059

69.0

78169 36935 41 234 89.6

79 433 38 309 41 124 93.2

81661 39731 41 930 94.8

82309 40144 42164 95.2

6.6 16.8 14.3 14.6 9.7 1.0 50.6 35.4 192

7.4 13.8 15.8 15.8 10.7 1.3 49.6 34.5 197

7.8 13.4 15.8 17.3 11.5 1.6 46.6 34.7

8.5 14.4 13.1 18.8 12.5 1.8 43.5 34.4 213

7.7 15.6 12.8 19.9 13.7 1.9 44.4 34.3 219

5.6 16.0 14.5 20.4 14.8 2.2 45.0 35.4

5.1 13.4 16.1 19.3 15.6 2.8 47.0 36.4 219

5.6 10.5 13.7 20.4 15.0 3.6 47.2 37.7

5.0 11.2 11.3 20.9 15.5 4.1 46.6 38.4

222

229

4.8 10.8 11.1 23.2 16.4 3.5 46.8 39.9 231

40200

204

220

40626 91.2 5.3 10.7 16.5 19.9 14.6 3.2 48.8 37.1 218

19m1955 1955-1980 1980-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 11995-2000 populationchange per year (thousands) .

390

Births per year (thousands).....................

1108 771 0.56 16.0 11.1 2.16 0.85 51

Deaths per year (mousands) ................... Population growlt, rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction r4te (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i biflhs) L l k O X p e C t M c y at Mrlh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sams combined ............................

65.3 69.6 67.5

498 1184

630

0.70 16.5 11.6 2.30 0.96 38

1 327 877 0.85 17.8 11.8 2.49 1.08 29

66.6 71.5 69.1

67.4 72.9 70.3

830

101

. 121

350

841 -0.16 10.8 12.1 1.46 0.70 11

870 91 1 0.45 11.1 11.6 1.43 0.69 8

75.5 72.5

70.3 76.8 73.8

890

-77 811

967 0.13 11.4 12.3 1.64 0.77 21

954

940

0.57 15.9 12.3 2.32 1.02 23

-0.10 10.3 12.2 1.52 0.72 15

67.8 73.6 70.8

67.9 73.8 71 0

69.0

441 1 227

946

.

mm

901 0.55 10.0 11.2 1.31 0.62 6

130 778 876 0.16 9.5 10.7 1.34 0.65 5

0.08 8.7 10.3 1.35 0.65 4

71.7 78.2 74.8

72.6 79.1 76.2

74.1 80.3 77.3

75.7 81.5 78.7

446 809

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populstlon (thouwnds) Total ...................

...............

2005

2010

82652 42284 95.6

82365 40307 42059 95.8

4.4 10.0 11.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 5.9 3.2 3.5 7.2 46.2 42.1 232

4.1 9.4 11.4 25.7 20.5 5.2 5.5 3.0 3.1 7.1 44.7 44.2 231

40389 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga di8tributlon Percentage aged 5-14 .... Percentage aged 152 .... Percentage aged 80 a w e Percentage agad 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 1 1 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school a m 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensily (populationper sq km)

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

81825

81161 39697 41463 95.7

80341 39241 41300 95.5

79348

78171 38027 40145 94.7

76852 37295 39557 94.3

75466 36529 38937 93.8

74 088 35 791 38 297 93.5

4.3 8.5 10.0 29.7 22.4 7.0 5.1 2.6 2.7 6.2 38.1 47.3 227

4.3 8.7 9.4 32.8 24.4 7.7 5.2 2.6 2.6 5.7 38.0 47.8 225

4.3 8.9 9.3 35.5 27.3 7.6 5.4 2.7 2.7 5.6 37.5 46.2

4.2 9.0 9.5 36.1 29.8 8.5 5.4 2.8 2.8 5.7 36.7 48.8 219

4.2 9.0 9.8 36.1 30.3 9.8 5.3 2.8 2.8 5.9 35.9 49.5 215

4.4 8.9 9.9 36.5 30.1 11.8 5.3 2.7 2.8 6.0 35.5 49.6 211

4.6 9.1 9.9 37.0 30.2 13.1 5.4 2.7 2.8 6.0 35.3 49.4 208

40053 41772 95.9 4.1 8.7 10.6 27.5 20.9 5.7 5.1 2.8 3.0 6.5 42.0 46.2

229

38682 40666 95.1

222

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalkn change per year (thousat~I~) . Births per year (mousands) ..................... h l h s per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (ttrousands)......... Populalbn growlh rate (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... lnfent rortali rate (per 1 OOO live births) under-fiw mortallly (per 1.OOO live MMur) Life expectancy .t blrlh (yum) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both SXBS combined ............................

..

.

242

. 57

. 108

. 133

. 164

. 199

875

672

689

883

930

150 -0.07 8.2 10.7 1.8 1.36 0.66 4 5

150 -0.13 8.2 11.3 1.8 1.39 0.67 4 5

972 150 -0.16 8.5 11.9 1.8 1.44 0.69 4 5

691 1005 150 -0.20 6.6 12.4 1.9 1.49 0.72 4 5

678 1 027 150 -0.25 8.5 12.9 1.9 1.54 0.74 4 5

78.5 82.1 79.4

77.2 82.8 80.0

77.9 83.4 80.6

78.5 84.0 81.2

79.1 84.6 81.8

. 277

. 276

655

4 5

-284 649 1063 150 -0.34 8.4 13.7 1.9 1.64 0.79 4 5

1082 150 6.36 8.6 14.2 2.0 1.69 0.81 3

674 1100 150 -0.37 9.0 14.7 2.0 1.74 0.84 3

4

4

79.7 85.2 82.4

80.2 85.7 83.0

80.8 86.3 83.5

81.4 86.8 84.1

-235 659 1044 150 -0.30 8.4 13.3 1.9 1.59

0.77

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM PopuhtiOn Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

69 715

846

GERMANY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

82652 40 389 42 264

82960 40 612 42 348

83377 40 849 42 527

83888 41 097 42 790

84177 41 210 42 967

84254 41 200 43 054

84264 41 153 43 1 1 1

84437 41 187 43 250

84897 41 368 43 530

4.4 10.0 11.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 42.1

4.8 9.3 11.3 25.5 20.3 5.1 44.4 44.0

5.2 9.3 10.4 27.0 20.5 5.6 41.2 45.6

5.5 10.1 9.7 28.7 21.7 6.8 37.9 46.0

5.4 10.9 9.7 31.3 23.2 7.3 37.1 45.8

5.3 11.1 10.6 33.4 25.7 7.2 37.2 45.8

5.3 10.9 11.3 33.5 27.7 7.9 37.3 45.9

5.6 10.8 11.6 32.9 27.6 9.0 37.1 45.5

6.1 11.1 11.4 32.5 26.7 10.4 37.2 44.4

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.... ..

61 0.07 9.6 10.7 1 .8 1.61 0.78

83 0.10 10.4 11.2 1 .8 1.79 0.86

102 0.12 11.1 11.6 1 .8 1 .94 0.93

58 0.07 10.9 12.0 1 .8 1 .99 0.96

15 0.02 10.6 12.2 1 .8 2.04 0.98

2 0.00 10.7 12.4 1.8 2.09 1 .01

34 0.04 11.3 12.6 1.8 2.14 1.03

92 0.1 1 12.1 12.8 1.8 2.19 1.06

140 0.17 12.8 12.9 1 .8 2.24 1.08

.

D LOW VARIANT

Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ....................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

82 652 40 389 42 264

81 767 39 999 41 767

80 267 39 253 41 014

78 416 38 288 40 127

76 461 37 249 39 211

74 395 36 140 38 255

72 150 34 936 37 213

69 652 33 601 36 052

66 895 32 132 34 763

4.4 10.0 1 1.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 42.1

3.4 9.4 11.5 25.9 20.6 5.2 45.0 44.4

3.0 8.2 10.8 28.0 21.3 5.8 42.7 46.7

2.9 6.9 10.4 30.7 23.2 7.2 40.4 48.7

3.1 6.4 9.1 34.4 25.6 8.1 39.1 49.9

3.1 6.4 7.8 37.9 29.1 8.1 37.9 50.7

3.1 6.7 7.3 39.1 32.3 9.2 36.1 51 .8

3.0 6.8 7.5 39.9 33.4 10.9 34.1 52.9

2.9 6.7 7.9 41.2 33.9 13.3 32.9 54.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. l77

- 300

- 370

. 391

- 413

. 449

-0.22 6.8 10.7 1 .8 1 .11 0.54

.0.37 5.9 11.5 l .9 0.99 0.48

.0.47 5.7 12.2 l .9 0.94 0.45

.0.51 6.0 13.0 l .9 0.99 0.48

.0.55 6.1 13.6 2.0 1.04 0.50

-0.61 6.0 14.2 2.0 1.09 0.52

-

499 ~0.71 5.8 15.0 2.1 1.14 0.55

-

552 -0.81 5.5 15.8 2.2 1.19 0.57

. 585 -0.89 5.5 16.8 2.3 1.24 0.60

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

82 652 40 389 42 264 42.1

-0.08

8.1 10.7

82 317 40 282 42 035 44.2

81 670 39 973 41 697 46.2

80 751 39 487 41 264 47.5

79 528 38 824 40 704 48.3

78 015 37 998 40 017 48.9

76 246 37 039 39 208 49.8

74 255 35 962 38 293 50.8

72 077 34 790 37 287 51.4

.0.16 7.9 11.3

-0.23 7.9 12.0

-0.31 7.6 12.5

-0.38 7.3 13.0

-0.46 7.0 13.5

.0.53 6.8 14.1

.0.60 6.8 14.8

.0.66 6.8 15.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

69 736 33 558 36 178 51.8

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouunda) Total ....................................................

1950

1855

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

5 243 2650 2593 102.2

6 106 3082 3 024 101.9

7 126 3 594 3532 101.8

8 187 4 126 4 m 101.6

9059 4565 4494 101.6

10321 5200 5121 101.5

11 390 5739 5651 101.6

13479 6793 6686 101.6

15579 7858 7721 101.8

17887 9030 8657 102.0

20 148 10 167 9 961 102.3

18.6 26.5 19.2 4.1 2.5 0.2 45.7 17.4 22

17.6 27.0 19.2 4.2 2.5 0.2 45.9 17.6 26

17.8 26.5 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 46.0 17.7

18.1 28.1 19.5 4.4 2.7 0.2 46.0 17.8 34

18.2 26.4 19.0 4.5 2.8 0.2 45.5 17.7 38

18.2 26.8 18.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 45.1 17.5 43

18.2 27.0 18.8 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.9 17.3 48

17.9 27.2 19.0 4.7 2.9 0.3 45.0 17.3 57

17.2 27.4 19.3 4.6 3.0 0.3 45.4 17.6 65

16.1 27.2 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.5 18.1 75

14.8 26.4 20.6 5.3 3.4 0.4 48.1 19.0 84

AW dl8tribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 of over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) Population density (populatnn per sq km)

30

1950-1955 1955.1980 1960-1965 11965-1970 11970-1975 19751980 19801985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooO 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (îhousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) Cnide birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) L l h expectancy at birth ( ~ 6 ~ 8 ) Maks ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

............

..........

173 259 116 3.05 45.6 20.5 6.70 2.09 142 41.ô 44.6 43.1

213 2.24 32.2 10.0 4.39 1.75 63

54.5 57.1 55.7

56.4 58.8 57.5

57.8 59.3 58.6

58.0 58.9 58.5

50.4 53.3 51.ô

52.4 55.3 53.7

252

214

418

438

485

542

127 3.09 45.8 19.2 6.70 2.16 133

147 2.03 45.7 17.0 6.70 2.29 116

153 2.61 45.2 15.8 6.70 2.36 1O8

158 1.97 44.6 14.6 8.65 2.42

165 3.37 43.6 13.3 6.50 2.44

99

43.5 46.2 44.8

45.1 47.9 46.5

46.7 49.6 48.1

48.5 51.4 49.9

462 179 2.76 37.8 10.7 5.46 2.15 73

90

175

394

303

452 652 189 2.38 34.3 10.0 4.02 1.91 67

420 599 173 2.90 41.3 11.9 6.09 2.34 81

212 351 139 2.78 45.8 18.1 6.70 2.22 124

204

633

477

6M

B. MEDIUM VARIANT nx)5

2010

2015

202û

2025

2WO

2035

2040

2045

2050

.................. ....... ....................................... Sexratio (maies per 1Cûfemales) ...........

22 535 11413 11 122 102.6

24 890 12624 12 288 102.9

27 294 13856 13 438 103.1

29 672 15071 14 601 103.2

31 993 16254 15 739 103.3

34 234 17391 16 843 103.3

36 375 18475 17 901 103.2

38 387 19488 18 900 103.1

40 233

41 881 21 229

Age diatribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 85 or over Percentage aged 80 OT over .................. Percentage in schcd ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schcd ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in schod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in %hod ages 18-23 .......... percentage of Median age (ye Population density (popuiation per sq km)

14.1 25.0 21.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 15.1 7.2 6.9 12.3 49.7 19.9 94

13.1 23.8 20.8 6.0 3.9 0.5 14.5 6.8 6.6 12.3 51.1 21.1 104

12.2 22.8 20.1 6.4 4.3 0.6 13.9 6.6 6.3 11.9 52.1 22.4 114

11.4 21.7 19.5 6.9 4.6 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.2 11.5 53.0 23.6 124

10.6 20.5 19.1 7.6 5.0 0.7 12.4 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.7 24.9 134

9.9 19.4 18.5 8.4 5.6 0.8 11.7 5.8 5.7 11.0 53.8 26.3 144

9.3 18.4 17.8 9.4 6.2 0.9 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.5 27.7 152

8.7 17.4 17.1 10.7 7.1 1.1 10.5 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.8 29.1 161

8.2 16.6 16.4 12.2 8.1 1.3 10.0 5.0 5.0 9.8 52.1 30.5 169

Population (thou8and8) Total ....................................................

20411 19 822 103.0

20652 102.8 7.7 15.8 15.8 14.0 9.4 1.5 9.5 4.8 4.8 9.5 51.3 31.9 176

2005-2010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 popuiath) Crude death rate (per 1,000 popuialicm) Net migration rate (per 1.000 popuiatbn) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... IFfant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.ooO live birîhs) Life expectancy at bitth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

..

244

471 703 221 10 1.99 29.6 9.3 -0.4 3.84 1.57 57 90

- 4 1.84 27.3 8.7 -0.2 3.39 1.42 50 78

476 714 234 - 4 1.67 25.1 8.2 -0. 1 3.06 1.31 44 67

59.6 60.5 60.0

61.3 62.5 61.9

62.8 64.2 63.5

-

481 711

226

464

448

712 244 - 4 1.51 23.1 7.9 -0.1 2.81 1.23

428 703 270 - 4 1.21 19.9 7.7 -0.1 2.46 1.11 32 44

402 694 288 - 4 1.o8 18.6 7.7 -0.1 2.33 1.o6 28 38

308

330 666 332

58

708 258 - 4 1.35 21.4 7.7 -0.1 2.62 1.16 35 51

- 4 0.94 17.3 7.8 -0.1 2.22 1.o2 26 34

- 4 0.80 16.2 6.1 -0.1 2.12 0.98 23 30

64.1 65.9 65.0

65.4 67.4 66.4

66.6 68.8 87.6

67.7 70.0 68.8

68.7 71.1 69.9

69.7 72.2 70.9

40

369 681

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Afíairs/Pcpulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GHANA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

Fernlea ........... PercentageaQed 0-4 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or w r Percentage aged 65 or oycn Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (yeas) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

22535 1 1 413 1 1 122

25 103 12 733 12 370

27 895 14 163 13 732

30 616 15 655 15 161

33 736 17 143 16 593

38 867 18 632 18 035

39 649 20 143 19 507

42 702 21 685 21 017

45777

23234 22543

48802 24 753 24 049

14.1 25.0 21.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 49.7 19.9

13.6 23.6 20.6 6.0 3.9 0.5 50.7 20.9

13.4 23.1 19.7 6.3 4.2 0.6 51.0 21.6

12.7 22.6 18.8 6.7 4.4 0.6 51.1 22.6

11.9 22.2 18.7 7.2 4.7 0.7 51.5 23.4

11.2 21.3 16.6 7.8 5.2 0.8 51.9 24.3

10.7 20.1 18.6 6.6 5.7 0.9 51.9 25.3

10.4 19.3 18.0 9.6 6.4 1 .o 51.5 26.4

10.0 18.8 17.2 10.6 7.2 1.1 50.9 27.5

9.5 18.3 16.7 12.0 8.1 1.3 50.6 28.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). POpulatMl growth rate (per cent) ............ Ctude birth rate (per 1,OOO popllation).... Crude death rale (per 1 ,OOO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1 ,OOO population) . Total fettility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

514 2.16 31.4 9.4 -0.4 4.09 1.67

558

2.11 30.0 8.6 -0.2 3.79 1.59

584 1 .a1 26.0 7.8 -0.1 3.31 1.45

584 1.96 26.3 6.3 -0.1 3.56 1.53

588

1.67 24.3 7.5 -0.1 3.12 1.38

597 1.56 23.1 7.4 -0.1 2.96 1.33

610 1.48 22.2 7.3 -0.1 2.83 1.29

815 1.39 21.3 7.3 -0.1 2.72 1.25

605 1.26 20.2 7.4 -0.1 2.62 1.21

D. LOW VARIANT

Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

........................................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

22535 1 1 413 11 122

24 678 12 516 12 162

26 692 13 549 13 144

28528

14 487 14 041

30 252 15 305 14 887

31 822 16 162 15 €61

331W 16847 16333

34273 17393 16880

35079 17767 17292

35 603 16 032 17 571

14.1 25.0 21 .o 5.6 3.6 0.4 49.7 19.9

12.3 24.0 21.0 6.1 3.9 0.5 51.6 21.3

11.0 22.6 20.5 6.6 4.4 0.6 53.3 22.9

9.9 20.5 20.3 7.2 4.8 0.7 55.2 24.6

9.2 18.7 19.5 8.0 5.3 0.8 56.1 26.5

6.5 17.3 18.0 9.0 6.0 0.9 56.1 28.3

7.8 16.3 16.6 10.3 6.8

7.0 15.2 15.9 12.0 7.9 1.2 54.2 32.3

6.4 14.1 15.2 14.0 9.3 1.4 53.0 34.3

5.8 12.9 14.5 16.4 11.1 1.7 51.6 36.2

1 .o

55.3 30.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2090-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). Poprlation growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rale (per 1,OOOpopulatim) .... Crude death rale (per 1 ,OOO population) .. Net tnigratkm rate @er 1 .OOO population) . Total fertilii (children per woman) ........... Net reproductbn rate (per woman) ..........

429 1.62 27.8 9.2 -0.4 3.59 1.47

403

1.57 24.4 6.6 -0.2 2.99 1.25

345 1.17 19.9 8.0 -0.1 2.31 1.01

367 1.33 21.6 8.2 -0.1 2.56 1.10

314 1.01 18.2 7.9 -0.1 2.12 0.94

272 0.84

16.5 8.0 -0.1 1.96 0.88

219 0.65 14.8 8.2 -0.1 1 .83 0.83

161 0.47 13.3 6.5 -0.1 1.72 0.79

105 0.30 12.1 9.0 -0.1 1.62 0.75

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Told .................................................... Males ...................................................

Females ...............................................

Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

22535 1 1 413 11 122 19.9

25303 12 835 12 468 20.7

20550

32226 16 375 15 851 21.3

36288 16 445 17 843 21.3

40808 20 743 20 065 21.4

45909

23 332 22 576 21.6

51721 26 279 25 442 21.8

56348 29 638 28 712 21.9

65873 33 447 32 427 21.9

14 501 14 056 21.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rale (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... CNde death rate (per1 .OOO population) ..

2.32 33.1 9.5

2.42 33.2 6.9

2.42 32.6 6.3

2.38 31.6 7.0

2.35 30.9 7.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairSlPopuiation Division Wodd Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.36 30.6 7.0

2.38 30.6 6.7

2.41 30.6 6.5

2.43 30.6 6.3

245

GREECE A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................. .......... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..........

..........................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

7566 3 687 3879 95.1

7966 3 889 4077 95.4

8334 4 067 4266 95.3

8551 4 158 4393 94.7

8793 4 292 4501 95.4

9047 4 432 4615 96.0

9643 4 733 4909 96.4

9934 4 887 5047 96.8

10161 5 006 5154 97.1

10656 5 263 5392 97.6

10975 5 422 5552 97.7

9.8 18.8 19.9 10.0 6.8 1 .0 53.3 26.0 57

9.2 17.2 19.2 10.8 7.4 1.1 53.5 27.5 60

9.1 17.4 16.4 12.1 8.3 1.3 51.3 . 29.1 63

8.4 17.0 15.4 13.2 8.9 l .5 50.8 30.7 65

8.8 16.1 14.7 16.3 11.1 2.0 47.9 33.4 67

7.6 16.3 14.8 17.4 12.2 2.1 48.1 33.9 69

7.4 15.4 14.8 17.5 13.1 2.3 47.5 34.2 73

6.9 14.4 15.1 17.8 13.3 2.4 47.1 35.1 75

5.4 13.8 15.2 20.0 13.7 3.0 47.1 36.1 77

4.9 11.9 15.2 21.3 15.2 3.2 49.3 37.0 81

4.8 10.4 14.4 22.6 16.7 3.2 49.4 38.3 83

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrih (years) ...................... Males .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

................... ............

..........

. . .

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... . ..... Population density (population per sq km)

l1100 5 495 5 605 98.0

11215 5 549 5 666 97.9

11273 5 579 5 694 98.0

11274 5 585 5 689 98.2

11236 5 574 5 662 98.5

11179 5 554 5 625 98.7

11111 5 526 5 585 98.9

11031 5 489 5 542 99.l

10932 5 441 5 491 99.1

4.6 9.6 12.2 23.3 18.3 3.5 5.7 3.0 3.2 7.6 48.3 40.1

4.6 9.3 10.6 24.7 18.8 4.8 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.4 46.3 41.9 85

4.5 9.3 9.9 26.0 19.9 5.9 5.6 2.8 2.8 6.0 44.5 43.6 85

4.2 9.2 9.7 27.7 21.1 6.5 5.5 2.8 2.8 5.8 42.1 45.2 85

4.1 8.9 9.7 29.4 22.6 6.5 5.3 2.8 2.8 5.8 40.2 46.9

4.1 8.5 9.6 31.9 24.2 7.1 5.1 2.6 2.8 5.9 38.1 48.4 85

4.1 8.4 9.4 34.2 26.5 7.9 5.0 2.6 2.6 5.7 36.6 49.6 84

4.3 8.4 9.1 36.4 28.6 8.9 5.1 2.5 2.6 5.5 35.8 50.2 84

4.3 8.6 8.9 37.9 30.6 9.8 5.2 2.6 2.6 5.4 35.4 50.3 83

84

85

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ........................ ..

-8

-

-

23 103 110 30 0.21 9.3 9.9 2.7 1.33 0.64 7 8

12 100 119 30 0.10 8.9 10.6 2.7 1.38 0.66 6 7

0 95 125 30 0.00 8.5 11.1 2.7 1.43 0.69 6 7

12 91 1 32 30 -0.10 8.1 1 1 .8 2.7 1.53 0.73 5 6

. 14

. 16

92 129 30 -0.07 8.1 11.5 2.7 1 .48 0.71 5 6

92 1 35 30 -0.12 8.2 12.1 2.7 1.58 0.76 5 5

93 139 30 -0.14 8.4 12.6 2.7 1.63 0.78 4 5

20 95 145 30 .0.18 8.6 13.2 2.7 1.68 0.81 4 5

. 25 95 150 30 -0.23 8.7 13.8 2.8 1.73 0.83 4 4

77.1 81.9 79.5

77.7 82.5 80.1

78.4 83.2 80.8

79.0 83.8 81.4

79.6 84.4 82.0

80.1 85.0 82.5

80.7 85.5 83.1

81.2 86.1 83.6

81.8 86.6 84.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GREECE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

42 0.38 10.9 9.9 2.7 1.58 0.75

39 0.35 11.2 10.4 2.6 1.78 0.85

31 0.27 11.0 10.8 2.6 1.93 0.92

21 0.18 10.3 11.1 2.6 1.98 0.95

l8 0.15 10.2 11.2 2.5 2.03 0.97

21 0.17 10.6 11.4 2.5 2.08 1.00

27 0.23 11.4 11.6 2.5 2.13 1.02

32 0.26 12.1 11.9 2.5 2.18 1.05

31 0.25 12.2 12.2 2.4 2.23 1.07

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

.

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) ............. Total ............................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 0.04 7.6 9.9 2.7 1.08 0.51

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ . Median age (years) ............................... .

11100 5497 5 603 40.1

11193 5540 5 652 41.9

11206 5548 5 658 43.8

11145 5523 5 623 45.6

11035 5475 5 560 47.5

10892 5411 5 481 49.3

10723 5332 5 391 50.9

10518 5231 5 286 52.0

10268 5106 5 162 52.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.17 8.9 9.9

0.02 8.1 10.6

.0.1 1 7.4 11.2

.0.20 7.0 11.7

.0.26 6.7 12.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.31 6.6 12.5

.0.39 6.4 13.1

.0.48 6.2 13.9

.0.58 6.0 14.8

GRENADA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouunds) Total ....................................................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lSe0

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

77

m 42 48 86.6

95 44 50 88.6

94 45 50 89.8

92

42 84.7

81 37 44 85.3

44 48 91.4

89 43 46 93.5

100 49 51 95.1

96 47 49 97.3

98 49 50 97.7

100 50 51 97.5

19.8 27.8 15.8 7.7 5.2 1.1 39.6 16.3

18.1 28.0 16.9 7.5 52 0.8 41.2 17.0

223

235

20.4 28.7 15.7 7.6 4.9 0.7 39.2 15.6 261

18.7 31 .O 15.6 7.5 4.9 0.7 38.0 15.1 275

13.6 35.7 17.3 8.0 5.2 0.8 37.6 15.3 274

13.7 28.9 21.8 8.8 6.2 0.8 42.9 17.7 269

13.2 26.8 22.6 9.7 7.1 1.1 43.7 18.8 259

14.6 23.5 23.4 8.2 6.2 1.o 47.3 20.0 290

15.3 23.6 18.3 11.1 7.9 1.2 43.0 20.4 279

11.0 26.5 19.5 10.1 7.8 1.2 45.7 21.1 286

9.9 25.1 21.4 9.9 7.4 1.4 48.9 21.7 292

35 Sex ratio (males per Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ..... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) . Population density (population per sq km)

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 19901995 19952OOO 2ooo2005

Population change per year (thwsands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (!hasands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate fper 1,OWlive birlhs) Life expectancy at blflh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sews combined ............................

1 3 1 1.10 39.8 10.5 2.53 61

2 4 1 2.07 45.9 10.3 8.70 2.94 58

59.6 65.3 62.6

60.2 65.6 63.1

5.80

2.02 56

3 1 -0.04 28.9 8.6 4.80 2.12 54

0 3 1 -0.43 29.1 8.7 4.60 2.04 52

- 1 3 1 -0.77 29.8 9.3 4.30 1.91 50

2 3 1 2.31 32.5 9.4 4.23 1.89 47

60.9 66.0 63.6

61.5 66.4 64.1

62.1 66.7 64.6

62.8 67.1 65.0

1 4 1 1.02 41.0 9.5

8.40

0

- 1 3 1 31.6 9.5 4.14 1.86 45

0 2 1 0.51 23.4 9.5 3.26 1.47 43

0 2 1 0.42 21.1 9.2 2.81 1.27 41

1 2 1 0.94 18.4 8.8 2.43 1.10

63.4 67.4 85.5

64.1 67.8 66.0

64.7 68.2 66.5

65.3 68.5 67.0

66.1 69.3 67.7

-0.80

38

B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thouaands) Total .....................................................

........................................

Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 .......... Percentage in schod ages 16-23. Percentage of m n age4 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

105 52 54 96.3

106 52 53 97.2

108 52 54 98.1

107 53 54

98.8

108 54 54 99.3

107 54 54 99.7

105 53 53 100.0

103 51 51 100.2

99 50 49 100.3

95 48 48 100.2

10.1 24.0 20.8 9.8 6.8 1.3 142 7.7 7.4 11.7 50.0 22.2

8.5 21.o 23.5 8.7 8.9 1.5 12.3 6.8 7.4 14.1 53.0 23.7

8.8 17.8 22.2 8.8 6.0 1.4 10.3 6.0 8.3 13.7 54.9 25.6

306

306

308

9.0 16.5 19.0 9.7 6.2 1.1 9.9 4.8 5.4 11.6 53.4 27.6 311

8.6 17.0 16.0 11.0 7.2 1.3 10.4 4.9 4.5 9.7 52.8 29.7 314

7.6 17.0 14.9 13.6 8.4 1.o 10.2 5.2 5.0 6.6 52.2 31.8 312

6.5 15.9 15.9 14.2 10.9 1.3 9.4 5.1 5.2 9.4 52.0 34.1 307

6.0 14.0 16.3 16.0 11.3 1.9 8.1 4.7 5.0 9.8 49.9 36.3 298

6.0 12.5 15.3 18.0 12.9 2.4 7.3 4.0 4.4 9.4 46.1 37.9 288

6.0 12.0 13.5 22.1 14.5 3.5 7.2 3.7 3.8 8.2 42.6 39.2 277

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202w025 2025-2030 203&2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

Population change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growvl rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populat!ion) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populati) . Total fertility (children per mxnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant rortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO live Mlths) Llk exp.ctcmcy at birth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................

....

248

0 2 1 - 1 0.02 18.0 8.3 -9.5 2.30 1.06 34 41 67.0 70.4 88.7

30

0 2 1 - 1 0.21 19.0 7.5 -9.4 2.10 0.98 28

37

33

25 30

0 2 1 - 1 -0.09 15.8 7.4 -9.3 1.95 0.92 22 25

67.8 71.3 69.6

68.5 72.2 70.4

69.3 73.1 71.2

70.2 74.1 72.2

0 2 1 - 1 0.13 16.7 7.9 -9.5 2.20 1.02

0 2 1 - 1 0.14 18.0 7.3 -9.3 2.02 0.95

0 1 1 - 1 -0.38 13.4 7.6 -9.4 1.88 0.90 18 21

- 1 1 1 - 1 -0.56 12.2 8.2 -9.6 1.85 0.88 16 18

- 1 1 1 - 1 -0.68 12.2 9.1 -9.9 1.85 0.88 14 16

- 1 -0.81 12.2 10.0 -10.3 1.85 0.89 12 14

71.3 75.4 73.3

72.3 76.4 74.4

73.2 77.4 75.3

74.0 78.3 76.1

- 1 1 1

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Worid PopulationProspects: The 2006 Rwkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GRENADA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Nel migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

105 52 54

106 52 54

109 54 55

112 56 56

115 58 58

117 59 59

118 59 59

118 59 59

118 59 59

10.1 24.0 20.8 9.8 6.8 1.3 50.0 22.2

9.4 20.8 23.2 8.6 6.8 1.4 52.5 23.5

10.2 18.3 21.6 8.6 5.9 1.3 53.6 24.9

10.7 18.1 18.2 9.3 5.9 1.0 51 0 26.5

10.1 19.5 15.8 10.3 6.7 1.2 50.3 27.8

9.0 19.6 16.0 12.5 7.7 0.9 50.2 29.0

8.0 18.2 17.7 12.7 9.8 1.2 50.9 29.9

7.8 16.3 18.1 14.0 9.9 1.6 49.7 30.5

8.1 15.2 16.8 15.1 10.8 2.0 46.9 31.4

.

0 0.20 19.8 8.3 .9.5 2.55 1.17

D. LOW VARIANT

Populetlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percenlage aged 15-24 ......................... Percenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percenlageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... ......

..

Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percen1)............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.WO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 -0.17 16.1 8.3 .9.5 2.05 0.94

0 .0.20 15.5 7.9 .9.6 1.80 0.83

0 .0.23 15.0 7.6 .9.7 1.60 0.75

0 -0.32 14.3 7.6 .9.9 1.52 0.71

.1 .0.55 12.5 7.8 .10.1 1.45 0.68

.1 .0.86 10.2 8.3 .10.4 1.38 0.66

.1 .1.18 8.5 9.3 .11.0 1.35 0.64

.l .1.45 7.8 10.6 .11.7 1.35 0.85

.1 .1.74 7.5 12.2 .12.7 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... ..... Median age (years) ..........................

105 52 54 22.2

106 52 54 23.6

108 53 54 25.2

110 55 55 27.0

112 56 56 28.6

114 57 57 29.9

115 57 57 30.9

115 58 57 31.4

114 57 57 32.0

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.12 19.0 8.3

0.31 20.3 7.9

0.44 21.1 7.5

0.43 20.5 7.2

0.30 18.9 7.1

0.13 17.3 7.2

0.01 16.4 7.6

-0.06 16.2 8.1

.0.11 16.3 8.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GUADELOUPE A ESTIMATES

indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... ..................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................. ........................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined

...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .................... .. ..................... Both sexes combined ................... .........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

GUADELOUPE

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

438 210 228

458 219 238

475 227 248

492 235 257

506 241 265

517 246 271

528 251 277

536 254 282

543 257 286

548 260 288

7.7 16.3 13.4 14.0 10.2 2.6 50.5 34.0

8.1 15.4 13.1 15.7 11.0 2.9 47.9 35.7

7.7 15.0 12.9 17.8 12.5 3.1 44.8 36.8

7.5 15.2 12.3 20.5 14.4 3.4 42.1 37.6

7.1 14.7 12.2 23.6 16.9 3.9 40.6 38.4

6.9 14.3 12.5 25.8 19.6 4.7 40.1 39.1

6.9 13.8 12.2 27.5 21.5 5.7 39.8 39.7

6.9 13.7 11.9 28.0 22.9 7.0 39.5 40.2

6.9 13.7 11.6 28.1 23.0 8.3 39.2 40.1

6.9 13.8 11.6 28.1 22.9 9.0 38.9 40.4

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 0.85 16.5 6.4 -1.6 2.36 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.51 13.1 6.4 -l .6 1.86 0.90

1 0.25 10.9 6.8 .1.5 1.63 0.79

0 .0.05 9.1 8.1 .1.5 1.39 0.67

0 0.07 9.6 7.4 -1 .5 1.46 0.71

.1 .0.18 8.7 9.0 -1 .5 1.35 0.66

.2 .0.34 8.3 10.1 -l .6 1.35 0.66

.

2 .0.54 7.6 11.3 .1.6 1.35 0.66

3 -0.75 6.8 12.7 -l .6 1.35 0.66

.

.4 .0.95 6.3 14.1 .1.7 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................ . ................ Median age (years) ....................... .......

438 21 0 228 34.0

453 217 236 36.0

465 222 243 37.7

475 227 249 39.0

484 230 254 40.2

491 233 258 41.3

495 234 261 42.4

495 234 262 43.4

493 232 261 44.3

488 229 259 45.0

Populat~on growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.65 14.4 6.4

0.53 13.6 6.8

0.45 13.2 7.2

0.37 12.9 7.7

0.28 12.6 8.4

0.16 12.2 9.2

0.02 11.7 10.1

-0.10 11.4 11.0

.0.19 11.2 11.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

GUAM A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (yean) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

60 40 19 210.7

63

23 171.5

67 39 28 140.5

76 43 33 132.8

85 48 38 125.4

95 51 44 116.8

107 56 51 108.8

119 63 56 111.5

1 34 71 63 114.0

1 46 76 70 108.8

155 79 76 104.5

12.7 14.4 31 .1 2.2 1.3 0.2 51.3 22.8 109

14.6 19.5 24.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 47.8 22.2 115

16.1 24.5 17.5 2.7 1.6 0.2 44.3 20.9 123

14.9 25.3 19.5 2.8 1.7 0.2 46.5 20.6 1 38

13.7 26.0 21.6 3.0 1.7 0.2 48.6 20.4 156

13.0 24.3 21.2 3.8 2.3 0.3 51 .0 21.2 1 74

12.3 22.6 20.9 4.6 2.8 0.3 53.4 22.3 194

11.8 20.6 20.4 5.5 3.3 0.4 54.2 23.7 218

11.6 18.6 20.0 6.5 3.9 0.5 54.7 24.9 244

12.0 18.9

10.9 19.6 15.7 8.2 5.4 0.6 52.8 27.4 283

40

16.6

7.3 4.7 0.5 53.9 26.3 265

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 69 86 83 104.0

180 91 103.5

191 97 94 103.0

201 102 99 102.6

21 l 107 105 102.1

220 111 109 101.8

228 115 113 101.4

233 117 116 101.0

238 119 119 100.7

242 121 120 100.5

9.8 19.6 15.8 9.5 6.5 l0 11.9 5.7 5.2 9.2 51.4 28.4 307

8.9 18.5 16.8 10.9 7.1 1.1 11.1 5.6 5.5 9.9 51 0 29.2 328

8.4 17.0 17.2 12.6 8.3 l .3 10.1 5.2 5.3 10.3 50.1 30.0 348

8.1 15.8 16.5 14.5 9.7 1.5 9.5 4.7 4.9 10.0 49.t 31.1 367

7.8 15.3 15.3 16.6 11.4 1.7 9.2 4.5 4.5 9.2 48.1 32.5 385

7.3 14.9 14.4 18.7 13.2 2.3 9.0 4.4 4.4 8.6 47.8 33.9 401

6.8 14.3 14.2 19.9 15.0 2.9 8.6 4.3 4.3 8.5 47.8 35.4 415

6.4 13.6 14.0 20.6 16.0 3.6 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.4 47.3 36.7 425

6.1 12.9 13.7 21.3 16.5 4.4 7.7 4.0 4.0 8.3 46.4 37.9 433

6.0 12.3 13.1 22.3 16.9 5.1 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.9 45.3 38.9 440

.

88

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fwe mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GUAM

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

169 86 83

181 92 89

195 99 96

209 106 103

223 113 110

236 119 117

249 126 123

261 132 130

273 137 136

285 143 141

9.8 19.6 15.8 9.5 6.5 1.0 51.4 28.4

9.6 18.4 16.7 10.8 7.0 1.1 50.5 28.9

9.6 17.4 16.8 12.3 8.1 1.3 49.0 29.2

9.5 17.3 15.9 14.0 9.4 1.5 47.2 29.8

9.1 17.3 15.2 15.8 10.8 1.6 46.3 30.6

8.7 17.0 15.3 17.4 12.3 2.1 46.4 31.5

8.4 16.4 15.5 18.2 13.7 2.7 46.8 32.1

8.2 15.9 15.4 18.4 14.3 3.2 46.8 32.6

8.0 15.5 15.0 18.5 14.3 3.8 46.4 33.1

7.9 15.2 14.5 18.9 14.4 4.3 45.9 33.7

3 1.47 20.2 5.5 0.0 2.79 1.33

3 1.44 20.0 5.6 0.0 2.79 1.34

3 1.41 19.9 5.8 0.0 2.77 1.33

3 1.29 19.0 6.1 0.0 2.67 1.28

3 1.16 18.0 6.5 0.0 2.58 1.24

3 1.04 17.3 6.9 0.0 2.50 1.20

2 0.95 16.9 7.4 0.0 2.43 1.17

2 0.88 16.5 7.7 0.0 2.37 1.14

2 0.84 16.3 7.9 0.0 2.35 1.13

1 0.25 10.6 8.1 0.0 1.50 0.72

0 0.05 9.4 9.0 0.0 1.43 0.69

0 .0.13 6.5 9.8 0.0 1.37 0.66

.1 .0.25 8.1 10.6 0.0 1.35 0.65

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..........................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 1.13 16.7 5.5 0.0 2.29 1 10

.

2 0.90 14.8 5.7 0.0 1.99 0.96

1 0.74 13.5 6.1 0.0 1.77 0.85

1 0.63 12.9 6.6 0.0 1.67 0.80

1 0.46 11.9 7.3 0.0 1.58 0.76

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

169 86 83 28.4

181 92 89 28.9

194 99 96 29.4

206 105 103 29.9

223 113 110 30.7

237 120 117 31.4

251 127 124 31.8

266 134 132 31.9

280 141 139 32.0

296 149 147 32.1

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.44 19.8 5.5

1.40 19.7 5.6

1.38 19.7 5.9

1.33 19.4 6.1

1.25 19.0 6.5

1.17 18.6 6.9

1.11 18.4 7.3

1.09 18.4 7.6

1.08 18.4 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 6 Comprehensive Tables

GUATEMALA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ........................... .. ................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................. ................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ......................... ....................... Males ................................................... Females .................... ........................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... . .......... Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

12 710 6202 6508 95.3

14 377 7007 7370 95.1

16 227 7918 8309 95.3

18 091 8835 9256 95.5

19 926 9736 10190 95.5

21 691 10601 11089 95.6

23 351 11413 11938 95.6

24 882 12160 12722 95.6

26 262 12831 13431 95.5

16.0 27.1 20.1 6.1 4.3 0.7 16.7 7.5 6.7 11.7 46.7 18.2 117

15.1 26.5 20.3 6.5 4.4 0.9 16.2 7.3 6.8 11.7 48.1 18.8 132

14.0 25.5 20.6 6.7 4.7 1 .0 15.5 7.2 6.7 12.0 49.6 19.8 149

12.8 24.2 20.6 6.9 4.9 1 .0 14.7 7.0 6.7 12.0 51.1 21.1 166

11.7 22.8 20.3 7.3 5.2 1.1 13.8 6.7 6.4 12.0 52.3 22.5 183

10.6 21.2 19.8 7.9 5.5 1.3 12.8 6.3 6.2 11.8 53.2 24.1 199

9.6 19.7 19.1 8.7 6.1 1.4 11.8 5.9 5.9 11.4 53.6 25.9 214

8.7 18.1 18.2 10.0 6.9 1.6 10.8 5.5 5.5 10.9 53.8 27.9 229

7.9 16.7 17.2 11.5 8.0 1.8 10.0 5.1 5.2 10.3 53.3 29.9 241

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .......................... Females ....................... . . ..... ............ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

GUATEMALA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

358 2.64 35.0 5.7 -2.9 4.40 2.02

417 2.88 33.1 5.4 -1.0 4.1 1 1.91

441 2.49 30.8 5.1 -0.8 3.79 1.77

447 2.25 26.1 4.9 .0.8 3.42 1.61

451 2.04 25.7 4.7 .0.7 3.1 1 1.46

454 1.86 23.8 4.6 .0.6 2.84 1.35

452 1.69 22.1 4.6 .0.6 2.64 1.25

443 1.53 20.5 4.7 .0.5 2.47 1.18

428 1.38 19.1 4.8 -0.5 2.35 1.12

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................................ ,..,..,.... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

309 2.29 31.5 5.6 -3.0 3.90 1.79

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .......................... ..

12710 6202 6508 18.2

14601 7121 7480 16.5

16970 8296 8673 18.6

19715 9662 10052 18.9

22862 11233 11629 16.9

26489 13047 13442 19.1

30701 15160 15541 19.4

35602 17625 17977 19.6

41293 20494 20800 19.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.78 36.4 5.7

3.01 36.3 5.4

3.00 35.8 5.1

2.96 35.0 4.7

2.95 34.5 4.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2.95 34.2 4.2

2.96 34.1 4.1

2.97 33.9 3.9

2.96 33.7 3.8

GUINEA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2 619 1306 1313 99.5

2 851 1418 1433 98.9

3 118 1 550 1 568 98.8

3 439 1711 1 727 99.1

3 819 1 905 1914 99.5

4 004 2 003 2001 100.1

4 575 2 294 2 281 100.6

5 185 2 605 2 580 101.0

6 033 3 036 2 997 101.3

7 323 3 689 3 634 101.5

8 203 4 135 4068 101.6

15.9 23.2 17.3 8.1 5.5 0.4 46.3 21.2 11

17.2 23.9 17.0 6.8 4.5 0.4 46.1 19.9 12

17.2 24.4 18.1 5.9 3.8 0.3 46.6 19.1 13

17.4 25.2 18.4 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.1 18.8 14

17.5 25.3 18.5 5.3 3.2 0.2 45.9 18.5 16

17.6 25.5 19.0 5.3 3.1 0.2 45.7 18.4 16

17.8 25.7 18.8 5.3 3.2 0.2 45.5 18.2 19

18.1 25.9 18.7 5.2 3.2 0.2 45.3 17.9 21

18.1 26.3 18.7 5.1 3.2 0.2 45.2 17.8 25

17.6 26.8 18.9 4.9 3.1 0.2 45.1 17.7 30

17.2 26.7 19.2 4.8 3.0 0.3 45.5 17.9 33

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

46 138 91 1.70 50.4 33.4 7.00 1.76 214

53 150 95 1.79 50.3 31.7 7.00 1.79 208

64 164 97 1.96 50.1 29.7 7.00 1.83 201

76 181 101 2.10 49.8 27.8 7.00 1.89 193

37 194 102 0.94 49.6 26.1 7.00 1.96 184

114 211 104 2.67 49.3 24.2 7.00 2.04 173

122 239 109 2.51 48.9 22.3 7.00 2.14 162

170 268 112 3.03 47.8 20.0 6.84 2.22 150

258 304 116 3.88 45.6 17.4 6.50 2.23 137

176 339 118 2.27 43.7 15.2 6.16 2.22 125

160 361 116 1.86 42.0 13.5 5.84 2.19 113

32.4 34.9 33.6

33.5 35.7 34.6

34.8 36.8 35.8

36.3 38.1 37.2

38.0

39.9 41.7 40.8

41.8

39.7 38.8

44.0 42.9

44.3 46.9 45.6

47.1 50.2 48.6

49.8 53.2 51.5

52.0 55.4 53.7

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ................. Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

9 003 4 542 4 461 101.8

10 028 5065 4 963 102.1

11 449 5 788 5 661 102.2

12 966 6 560 6 407 102.4

14 547 7 362 7 184 102.5

16 170 8 186 7 984 102.5

17 818 9 021 8 797 102.5

19 475 9 858 9 616 102.5

21 115 10 685 10 430 102.5

22 711 11 487 11 224 102.3

16.9 26.5 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.3 16.3 7.2 6.6 11.4 45.8 18.1 37

16.3 26.3 19.7 5.1 3.3 0.3 16.2 7.1 6.5 11.5 46.4 18.5 41

15.5 26.0 19.8 5.4 3.4 0.3 16.0 7.2 6.6 11.5 47.2 19.0 47

14.5 25.4 20.0 5.7 3.6 0.4 15.5 7.1 6.6 11.6 48.5 19.7 53

13.5 24.4 20.2 6.0 3.9 0.4 14.9 7.0 6.6 11.8 49.9 20.7 59

12.5 23.2 20.1 6.4 4.2 0.5 14.1 6.7 6.4 11.9 51.3 21.9 66

11.6 22.0 19.8 7.0 4.6 0.6 13.3 6.4 6.2 11.7 52.4 23.2 72

10.9 20.7 19.2 7.7 5.1 0.7 12.5 6.1 5.9 11.4 52.9 24.6 79

10.1 19.6 18.4 8.6 5.7 0.8 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.o 53.2 26.1 86

9.4 18.6 17.7 9.8 6.5 0.9 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.0 27.6 92

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) _.._ Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

256

60 77

331 449 116 - 2 1.78 24.1 6.2 -0.1 2.88 1.29 53 67

328 451 121 - 2 1.62 22.2 6.0 -0.1 2.67 1.21 48 59

319 449 128 - 2 1.46 20.5 5.8 -0.1 2.50 1.15 43 52

65.4 69.4 67.4

67.0 71.2 69.0

68.4 72.7 70.5

69.8 74.1 71.9

330

205 378 113 - 60 2.16 39.8 11.9 -6.3 5.44 2.1 1 103 156

284 398 111 - 2 2.65 37.0 10.4 -0.2 4.95 1.99 93 136

303 416 110 - 2 2.49 34.1 9.0 -0.2 4.43 1.84 84 118

316 428 110 - 2 2.30 31.1 8.0 -0.1 3.94 1.67 75 102

325 437 110 - 2 2.12 28.4 7.2 -0.1 3.50 1.52 67 88

112 - 2 1.94 26.1 6.6 -0.1 3.15 1.39

54.4 57.6 56.0

57.0 60.3 58.6

59.3 62.9 61.1

61.5 65.3 63.4

63.6 67.5 65.5

444

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GUINEA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birthrate e (per I.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

9033 4 542 4461

10104 5 104 5000

11667 5 899 5768

13392 6 777 6615

15224 7 708 7516

17168 8 695 8473

19235 9 744 9491

21422 10 853 10569

23700 12 006 11694

16.9 26.5 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.8 18.1

17.0 26.1 19.6 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.0 18.3

16.4 26.2 19.4 5.3 3.3 0.3 46.4 18.5

15.6 26.2 19.4 5.5 3.5 0.4 47.0 18.9

14.6 25.6 19.8 5.7 3.7 0.4 48.2 19.6

13.7 24.6 20.2 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.6 20.5

13.0 23.3 20.1 6.5 4.3 0.5 50.7 21.6

12.4 22.3 19.5 7.0 4.6 0.6 51.3 22.7

11.8 21.5 18.8 7.7 5.1 0.7 51.5 23.9

220 2.31 41.4 12.1 -6.3 5.69 2.21

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

190 2.00 38.1 11.8 -6.3 5.19 2.01

COMSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .

.

p -

. . .

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................

9003 4542 4 461 18.1

10145 5124 5 020 18.2

11865 6000 5 861 18.1

13938 7056 6 882 18.0

16425 8321 8 104 17.8

19417 9844 9 573 17.7

23025 11680 1 1 344 17.7

27382 13898 13 484 17.6

32644 16576 16 067 17.6

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.39 42.3 12.2

3.13 42.3 10.8

3.22 41.9 9.6

3.28 41.4 8.5

3.35 41.1 7.6

3.41 40.9 6.8

3.47 40.8 6.2

3.52 40.8 5.6

3.56 40.7 5.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GUINEA-BISSAU A. ESTIMATES indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

505 250 255 97.8

528 261 267 97.4

554 273 281 97.2

558 275 283 97.0

584 287 297 96.9

651 320 331 96.8

793 390 403 96.8

892 439 453 96.9

1017 501 516 97.0

1191 587 604 97.2

1370 676 694 97.4

14.8 22.4 18.8 5.9 3.7 0.3 50.3 21.7 14

15.6 22.2 18.3 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.8 21.5 15

15.5 22.8 17.9 5.5 3.2 0.3 49.0 21.4 15

16.3 23.2 17.5 5.5 3.3 0.3 47.4 20.8 15

17.2 23.4 17.6 5.7 3.3 0.2 46.3 19.9 16

18.4 24.3 17.4 5.9 3.4 0.2 44.6 19.0 18

18.2 25.9 17.4 5.9 3.5 0.2 43.7 18.2 22

18.3 26.5 18.0 5.7 3.5 0.2 43.5 17.6 25

18.7 26.5 18.8 5.5 3.4 0.3 43.8 17.3 28

19.1 26.8 19.0 5.2 3.3 0.3 43.7 17.0 33

19.4 27.3 18.7 5.0 3.2 0.3 43.6 16.6 38

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 NO-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................. .. ........... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 597 789 808 97.6

1 853 917 936 97.9

2 160 1 070 1089 98.2

2 513 1 247 1265 98.6

2 913 1 448 1465 98.8

3 358 1 671 1687 99.1

3 834 1 910 1924 99.3

4 325 2 156 2169 99.4

4 821 2404 2417 99.5

5 324 2655 2669 99.5

19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 17.3 7.2 6.4 10.8 43.2 16.2

19.7 28.3 19.1 4.4 2.9 0.3 17.6 7.4 6.6 10.9 43.1 16.0 51

19.2 28.7 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 17.9 7.5 6.7 11.2 43.5 16.0 60

18.6 28.8 19.9 4.1 2.7 0.3 17.8 7.7 6.8 11.4 44.1 16.2 70

17.9 28.4 20.4 4.1 2.6 0.3 17.5 7.6 7.0 11.7 45.2 16.6 81

17.1 27.9 20.7 4.1 2.6 0.3 17.2 7.8 6.9 12.0 46.4 17.2 93

16.0 27.3 20.8 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.8 7.5 6.9 12.1 47.9 18.0 106

14.8 26.4 21 0 4.5 2.9 0.4 16.1 7.4 6.9 12.2 49.5 18.9 1 20

13.6 25.1 21 .1 4.8 3.1 0:4 15.2 7.2 6.9 12.4 51.3 20.1 133

12.6 23.6 20.9 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.2 6.9 6.7 12.4 52.8 21.5 147

44

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

GUINEA-BISSAU C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator P0puM)on (thouundo) Total .................................................... Females .............................. Aga dlmrlbullon Percentage M Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or owr Percentage aged 8 0 o r m r percent&%aof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1597 789

808

1855 918 937

2 183 1082 1101

2 572 1 277 1295

3 015 1 499 1516

3 515 1 750 1 765

4 067 2 027 2040

4 661 2 324 2336

5290 2640 2 651

5953 2 971 2982

19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 43.2 16.2

19.7 28.3 19.0 4.4 2.9 0.3 43.1 15.9

20.0 20.5 19.3 4.2 2.7 0.3 43.0 15.7

19.6 29.0 19.4 4.0 2.6 0.3 43.1 15.7

18.8 29.2 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 43.7 15.9

18.0 28.8 20.4 3.9 2.5 0.3 45.0 18.4

17.1 28.1 20.9 4.0 2.5 0.3 46.5 17.1

16.0 27.3 21.1 4.1 2.7 0.3 48.0 17.9

15.0 26.3 21.0 4.4 2.8 0.4 49.6 18.9

14.1 25.1 20.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 50.9 19.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

popllalirmdmge per year (thousands). popdatm g W h rale (per cent) CNde bim rate (per 1,OW populalkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OW pcpulattlon) .. Net migrath rate (per 1.OW popdatkm) . Total fettilky (children per m n ) ........... Nel reproduction rale (per mman) ..........

............

52 3.00 49.8 18.5 -1.4 7.10 2.45

66 3.26 49.9 16.9 -0.5 7.10 2.54

78 3.28 48.3 15.2 -0.4 6.82 2.52

89 3.18 45.7 13.6 -0.4 6.34 2.42

100 3.07 43.1 12.1 -0.3 5.81 2.28

110 2.92 40.2 10.9 -0.3 5.22 2.11

119 2.73 37.2 9.8 -0.2 4.83 1.92

126 2.53 34.3 8.8 -0.2 4.13 1.75

133 2.36 31.8 8.1 -0.2 3.74 1.62

D. LOWVARIANT PopuWon (thouundo) Total ....................................................

....................................

Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percenw aged 65 of over .................. Percenlageaged80orovec. Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1597 789

1840 910

808

930

2 123 1052 1071

2 441 1211 1230

2 797 1390 1 407

3 184 1584 1800

3 581 1 783 1 798

3969 1 978 1992

4 342 2 164 2 178

4 700 2 342 2358

19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 43.2 16.2

19.1 28.5 19.2 4.5 2.9 0.3 43.4 16.1

18.4 20.7 19.8 4.4 2.8 0.3 44.2 16.4

17.6 28.2 20.5 4.2 2.8 0.3 45.4 16.9

17.0 27.5 20.8 4.2 2.7 0.3 46.6 17.4

18.1 26.9 20.8 4.3 2.8 0.3 47.9 18.1

14.9 26.3 20.7 4.6 2.9 0.4 49.3 19.0

13.4 25.3 20.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 51.2 20.1

12.1 23.6 21.1 5.3 3.4 0.4 53.1 21.6

11.0 21.8 20.8 5.9 3.8 0.5 54.7 23.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalion change per year (thousands). populatiar g n M h rale (per cant) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW p q x d a h ~.... ) Crude death rale (per 1,OW popu4atkm) .. Net mlgrath rale (per 1,OW population) . Total !artilii (ChiMren per woman) ........... Net reproaccth tale (per woman) ..........

49 2.84 48.0 18.3 -1.4 6.82 2.36

57 2.86 45.4 16.4 -0.5 8.35 2.27

63 2.79 42.9 14.7 -0.4 5.82 2.15

71 2.73 40.9 13.3 -0.4 5.34 2.04

77 2.59 38.2 12.0 -0.3 4.81 1.89

79 2.35 34.6 10.8 -0.3 4.22 1.70

78 2.06 30.6 9.8 -0.3 3.63 1.51

75 1.80 27.1 9.0 -0.2 3.13 1.33

71 1.58 24.4 8.4 -0.2 2.74 1.18

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populnllon(thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2wo

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 597 789

1 853 917 937 16.0

2 178 1079 1098 15.8

2 580 1281 1299 15.8

3 077 1530 1547 15.4

3 693 1840 1854 15.2

4 457 2223 2234 15.1

5 406 2699 2707 15.0

6 589 3292 3297 14.9

8 065 4032 4033 14.8

808 16.2

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population grwvvl rate (per cent) ............

Crude birth rate (per 1.OW pOpl(ati0n) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) ..

2.98 49.6 18.4

3.23 49.5 16.8

3.39 49.5 15.3

3.53 49.5 14.0

3.65 49.3 12.6

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospfxts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.76 49.1 11.4

3.86 49.0 10.3

3.96 48.8 9.2

4.04 48.7 8.3

259

GUYANA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .............................. .................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... .. .............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

GUYANA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

0 -0.05 18.8 8.4 -10.8 2.58 1.17

.1 .0.18 17.7 8.6 -10.9 2.62 1.20

.1 -0.08 19.0 8.9 -11.0 2.63 1.22

1 .0.09 19.4 9.3 -11.0 2.54 1.19

.

.2 .0.23 18.6 9.8 -11.1 2.47 1.16

.4 -0.53 16.7 10.7 -11.3 2.40 1.13

.6 .0.82 14.9 11.5 -11.7 2.35 1.11

.7 .1.00 14.5 12.2 -12.2 2.35 1.11

.7 .1.07 14.9 12.7 -12.9 2.35 1.12

-10 .1.64 10.0 12.6 -13.8 1.40 0.66

-12 .2.20 7.6 14.4 -15.2 1.35 0.64

13 .2.78 6.0 16.5 -17.2 1.35 0.64

13 .3.38 5.3 19.0 -20.0 1.35 0.64

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.3 .0.40 15.3 8.3 -10.9 2.08 0.95

.5 .0.71 12.7 8.6 -11.2 1.82 0.84

.6 -0.83 12.5 9.1 -11.7

.6 .0.92 12.9 9.9 -12.2 1.54 0.72

.

l 63 0.75

- 7 .1.18 12.1 11.0 -12.8 1.47 0.69

.

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) . ............................. Total .................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

739 376 364 26.0

734 389 345 28.6

724 382 342 29.4

717 376 341 29.7

711 370 341 30.8

699 361 339 32.6

678 347 331 34.6

649 330 320 36.6

617 311 306 38.0

583 292 291 38.1

.0.15 17.8 8.4

-0.28 16.7 8.6

-0.19 18.2 8.9

.0.17 18.9 9.4

-0.32 18.1 10.0

.0.61 16.4 10.9

.0.87 15.1 11.8

.1.04 14.9 12.6

.1.13 15.1 13.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

HAITI A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at biith (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

9296 4 601 4 695 98.0

10060 4 980 5 080 98.0

10830 5 361 5 469 98.0

11584 5 734 5 850 98.0

12305 6 089 6 215 98.0

12994 6 427 6 567 97.9

13652 6 747 6 905 97.7

14262 7 042 7 220 97.5

14809 7 304 7 505 97.3

13.3 24.6 21.9 6.3 4.1 0.5 14.9 7.1 6.9 13.1 50.4 20.3

12.6 23.4 20.9 6.4 4.4 0.6 14.1 6.8 6.5 12.4 51.6 21.6 363

11.9 22.2 20.0 6.9 4.6 0.7 13.5 6.4 6.3 11.8 52.5 22.9 390

11.0 21.3 19.3 7.6 5.0 0.8 12.9 6.2 6.0 11.5 53.2 24.2 417

10.2 20.2 18.6 8.4 5.6 0.9 12.2 6.0 5.8 11.0 53.9 25.5 443

9.6 19.0 18.1 9.3 6.3 1 .0 11.4 5.7 5.6 10.8 53.9 27.0 468

9.0 17.8 17.5 10.3 7.2 1.3 10.7 5.3 5.3 10.4 52.9 28.5 492

8.4 16.9 16.6 11.8 8.0 1.6 10.1 5.1 5.0 10.0 51.6 30.1 514

7.9 16.0 15.8 14.1 9.4 1 .9 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.5 50.5 31.7 534

335

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

1 53 270 89 - 28 1.58 27.9 9.2 .2.9 3.54 1.48 49 72

154 272 90 - 28 1.48 26.0 8.6 -2.7 3.19 1.36

59.1 62.8 60.9

44 64

151 270 91 . 28 1.35 24.1 8.1 .2.5 2.91 1.26 39 61

144 265 93 - 28 1.21 22.2 7.8 -2.3 2.69 1.18 35 59

138 259 93 . 28 1.09 20.5 7.4 .2.2 2.52 1.12 31 48

132 254 94 - 28 0.99 19.0 7.1 .2.1 2.38 1.07 26 40

122 247 97 . 28 0.88 17.7 7.0 -2.0 2.26 1.03 23 35

109 240 103 - 28 0.75 16.5 7.1 -l .9 2.16 0.99 20 31

93 232 110 . 28 0.62 15.4 7.3 .1.9 2.07 0.96 17 30

60.8 64.7 62.7

62.4 66.4 64.4

63.9 68.1 66.0

65.7 70.2 67.9

67.6 72.4 70.0

69.2 74.1 71.7

70.6 75.7 73.1

71.8 76.6 74.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 70 1.75 29.7 9.3 -2.9 3.80 1.59

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

136 1.41 26.2 9.2 -2.9 3.30 1.38

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) ........................ Total .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

9 296 4 601 4 695 20.3

10 215 5 058 5 157 21.2

1 1 294 5 597 5 697 21.8

12 502 6 201 6 301 22.0

13 816 6 859 6 957 22.1

15 260 7 581 7 679 22.3

16 880 6 391 8 489 22.7

18 712 9 308 9 404 23.1

20 774 10 342 10 432 23.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20204025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.89 31.1 9.4

2.01 31.4 8.8

2.03 30.9 8.2

2.00 29.8 7.7

1.99 28.9 7.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.02 28.5 6.6

2.06 26.4 6.2

2.09 28.3 6.0

2.10 28.1 5.9

HONDURAS Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

HONDURAS

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

6834 3393 3 441

7604 3781 3 823

8479 4219 4 260

9381 4672 4 710

10257 5110 5 147

11106 5534 5 572

11929 5944 5 985

12719 6337 6 381

13499 6726 6 773

13.8 26.2 21.1 5.8 4.1 0.8 49.6 19.4

13.6 24.0 21.3 6.1 4.3 0.9 51.2 20.6

13.1 22.8 20.5 6.6 4.5 1.0 51.9 21.8

12.3 22.4 19.0 7.2 4.9 1.1 51.7 23.0

11.2 21.7 18.5 7.9 5.5 1.1 52.0 24.2

10.4 20.5 18.6 8.6 6.1 1.2 52.2 25.4

9.7 19.0 18.3 9.8 6.9 1.5 52.1 26.8

9.1 17.9 17.6 11.2 7.8 1.8 51.4 28.3

8.7 16.9 16.5 12.8 8.9 2.0 50.3 29.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2U25 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

154 2.14 29.8 5.7 -2.8 3.56 1.62

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

6 834 3 393 3 441

7 463 3 709 3 754

6 080 4 016 4 064

8 625 4 286 4 339

9 104 4 522 4 582

9 496 4 713 4 784

9 787 4 852 4 935

9 972 4 937 5 035

10 081 4 984 5 097

13.8 26.2 21.1 5.8 4.1 0.8 49.6 19.4

12.0 24.4 21.7 6.2 4.3 0.9 52.1 21.0

10.5 22.2 21.5 6.9 4.7 1.1 54.4 23.0

9.2 19.8 20.7 7.8 5.3 1.2 56.1 25.2

8.2 17.7 19.3 8.9 6.2 1.3 56.9 27.5

7.2 16.0 17.6 10.3 7.1 1.5 56.8 30.0

6.3 14.4 16.1 12.0 8.4 1.8 55.7 32.6

5.4 12.8 14.9 14.2 9.9 2.2 54.1 35.4

4.9 11.2 13.7 17.1 11.9 2.7 51.6 38.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

126 1.76 26.0 5.6 -2.8 3.06 1.40

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

6834 3393 3 441 19.4

7650 3804 3 846 20.4

8644 4303 4 341 21.3

9747 4858 4 889 22.0

10938 5457 5 481 22.3

12232 6108 6 124 22.6

13662 6828 6 634 23.0

15250 7629 7 622 23.5

17010 8517 8 493 23.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.26 31.0 5.7

2.44 31.1 5.5

2.40 30.4 5.3

2.31 29.1 5.1

2.24 26.2 5.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.21 27.8 5.0

2.20 27.6 4.9

2.18 27.4 4.9

2.16 27.1 5.0

HUNGARY A. ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

9338 4490 4 848 92.6

9825 4745 5 080 93.4

9984 4816 5 168 93.2

10153 4904 5 249 93.4

10337 5011 5 326 94.1

8.9 16.2 16.6 11.3 7.3 0.8 52.5 29.9 100

9.5 16.1 15.2 12.4 8.2 0.9 50.0 30.8 106

8.0 17.3 14.4 14.0 9.0 1.1 48.1 32.1 107

6.3 16.9 15.3 15.6 10.3 1.3 47.7 33.4 109

6.9 13.9 16.7 17.2 11.6 1.5 50.3 34.1 111

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertiiity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 . W Olive births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................ ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuiatton denslty (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgmwlhrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................ ............ Both sexes combined ............................

. 29 93 132 10 .0.29 9.3 13.2 1 .0 1.28 0.61 7 8

. 31 89 131 10 .0.32 9.0 13.2 1 .0 1.32 0.63 6 8

-33 87 129 10 .0.34 9.0 13.3 1.0 1.39 0.66 6 8

-35 84 129 10 .0.36 8.9 13.5 1 .0 1.46 0.70 6 7

. 38 82 130 10 .0.40 8.7 13.8 1.1 1.53 0.73 5

69.2 77.4 73.3

70.4 78.3 74.4

71.5 79.1 75.3

72.5 79.8 76.2

. 41

7

80 131 10 .0.45 8.7 14.3 1.1 1.60 0.77 5 6

. 42 79 131 10 .0.47 8.9 14.7 1.1 1.67 0.80 5 6

. 40 80 130 10 .0.46 9.2 14.9 1.1 1.74 0.83 4 6

. 37 81 129 10 .0.44 9.5 15.0 1.2 1 .81 0.87 4 6

73.3 80.5 77.0

74.1 81 .l 77.7

74.9 81.7 78.4

75.6 82.3 79.0

76.3 82.8 79.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

HUNGARY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age dlslributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populalion) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

10 086 4 805 5281

10 029 4 778 5251

10 005 4 772 5233

9 994 4 777 5217

9 962 4 771 5191

9 912 4 757 5155

9 864 4 745 5119

9 852 4 754 5098

4.7 11.0 12.8 20.8 15.2 3.2 46.4 38.7

5.5 9.8 12.4 22.0 16.0 3.7 45.5 39.5

5.8 10.3 11.2 24.0 17.0 3.9 44.8 40.6

5.9 11.3 10.0 25.0 18.7 4.0 43.1 42.0

5.6 11.7 10.5 24.9 19.7 4.4 41.3 43.0

5.5 11.6 11.5 25.6 19.5 5.0 39.2 43.5

5.6 11.3 12.0 27.2 20.1 5.9 38.9 43.7

6.0 11.2 11.8 29.1 21.4 6.2 38.5 43.5

.11 .0.11 11.0 13.1 l .0 l .53 0.73

.5 -0.05 11.6 13.1 1 .0 1.72 0.82

.2 -0.02 11.8 13.0 1 .0 1 .89 0.90

-6 -0.06 11.3 12.9 1 .0 1 .96 0.94

-10 -0.10 11.0 13.1 1 .0 2.03 0.97

-10 .0.10 11.3 13.3 l .0 2.10 1 .01

.2 .0.02 12.1 13.3 1 .0 2.17 1 .04

7 0.07 13.0 13.2 1 .0 2.24 1.08

. 68 .0.81 6.2 15.5 1.2 1.10 0.53

. 72 .0.89. 6.0 16.2 1.2 1.17 0.56

15 0.15 13.5 13.0 l .0 2.31 1.11

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Age dlstrlbutfon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageol women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 47 .0.47 7.5 13.2 1 .0 1.03 0.49

. 58 -0.60 6.4 13.4 1 .0 0.92 0.44

. 63 .0.67 5.9 13.7 1.1 0.89 0.42

. 63 .0.69 6.t 14.2 1.1 0.96 0.46

. 65 .0.74 6.2 14.7 1.1 1.03 0.49

. 75 .0.97 5.8 16.8 1.3 1.24 0.59

. 75 .1.03 5.8 17.4 1.4 1.31 0.63

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

10 086 4 805 5 281 38.7

9 943 4 733 5 210 39.7

9 774 4 653 5 121 41.4

9 575 4 561 5 014 43.2

9 346 4 455 4 892 45.2

9 085 4 332 4 753 46.6

8 795 4 195 4 600 47.9

8 465 4 051 4 434 49.2

8 162 3 902 4 260 50.4

7 827 3 745 4 082 51.2

.0.29 9.3 13.2

.0.34 8.8 13.2

-0.41 8.2 13.4

-0.48 7.7 13.6

.0.57 7.3 14.0

.0.65 7.0 14.6

.0.72 6.8 15.2

-0.78 6.6 15.6

.0.84 6.4 16.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ICELAND

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-live mortality (per 1.000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ICELAND

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................... . . . ................ Females ......................... . . ................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 1.01 16.0 6.2 0.3 2.30 1 .1 1

..

3 1.00 16.3 6.5 0.2 2.45 1.18

3 0.87 15.2 6.7 0.2 2.37 1.14

3 0.77 14.5 7.0 0.1 2.35 1.13

2 0.67 13.9 7.4 0.1 2.35 1.13

2 0.60 13.8 7.8 0.1 2.35 1.13

2 0.59 14.1 8.4 0.1 2.35 1.13

2 0.57 14.4 8.8 0.1 2.35 1.13

2 0.53 14.2 9.1 0.1 2.35 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) .......................... Total ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.67 12.6 6.3 0.3 1.80 0.87

2 0.49 11.3 6.6 0.2 1.65 0.80

1

0.24 9.3 7.1 0.2 1.37 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ....................... . ..................... Median age (years) .................................

296 148 147 34.2

308 155 153 35.7

319 161 158 37.1

329 1 66 163 38.3

339 171 168 39.5

347 175 172 40.6

353 178 175 41.7

358 180 178 42.6

361 182 180 43.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.80 13.9 F.2

0.71 13.5 6.6

0.65 13.2 6.9

0.57 12.8 7.3

0.47 12.3 7.7

0.36 11.8 8.3

0.26 11.5 9.0

0.19 11.4 9.7

0.13 11.3 10.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

363 183 181 43.6

INDIA

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14............ Percentage aged 15-24.......... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

445981 232364 213617 108.8

493888 257673 236194 109.1

549 312 286 787 262 525 109.2

613 787 320 356 293411 109.2

688 575 359 016 329560 108.9

771 121 401 611 369 510 108.7

880 195 447 541 412 655 108.5

16.3 24.1 17.9 5.2 3.0 0.3 47.7 20.2 136

16.0 25.5 17.3 5.3 3.2 0.3 46.7 19.6 150

15.5 25.3 18.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 47.2 19.3 167

15.2 24.9 19.7 5.6 3.4 0.3 47.8 19.7 187

14.9 24.5 19.8 5.8 3.6 0.3 48.2 20.1 209

14.5 24.2 19.3 6.0 3.7 0.4 48.5 20.6 235

13.9 23.9 19.1 6.3 3.9 0.4 48.9 21.2 262

1950

1955

1960

371 857 193 108 178 748 108.0

405529 210 940 194 590 108.4

14.4 23.1 19.4 5.4 3.1 0.4 50.0 21.3 113

16.4 22.4 18.8 5.1 3.1 0.3 49.3 20.7 123

1995

2O@J

954282 1048235 496084 543085 458198 503150 108.3 107.9 13.3 23.3 19.1 6.6 4.2 0.5 49.9 21.8 290

12.2 22.8 19.2 7.1 4.6 0.6 51.O 22.7 318

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cnide beath rate (per 1 ,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortaiity rate (per 1 ï i e biilhs) Llfe expectancy at blrth (yeers) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

6 735 16 840 10 105 1.73 43.3 28.0 5.91 1.63 168

17 994 9903 1.90 42.3 23.3 5.90 1.72 153

9 577 19 108 9 513 2.04 40.7 20.2 5.82 1.82 140

1 1 089 20 241 9083 2.13 38.8 17.4 5.61 1 .ô7 128

12 891 21 699 8 704 2.22 37.3 15.1 1.86 117

2.30 36.0 13.0 4.89 1.63 104

38.1 36.6 37.4

41.1 39.3 40.2

44.6 42.6 43.6

48.1 46.2 47.2

51.4 50.0 50.7

8080

14 962 23 452 8438

5.26

18 509 25 04â 8 472 2.28 34.3 11.6 4.50 1.74

17 815 28 524 8834

18 817 27 890 8 881 2.08 30.7 9.8 3.86 1 .56 77

18 391 27 728 9 o57 1.84 27.7 9.1 3.46 1.42

17 ô34 27 408 9505 1.62 25.1 8.7 3.11 1.30

69

62

61.7 64.2 82.9

95

2.19 32.5 10.6 4.15 1 .85 86

54.6 53.9 54.2

56.8 56.6 56.6

58.5 58.8 58.8

59.9 60.8 60.2

61.O 62.7 61.ô

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

Population (thousands)

............... 1134403 1220182 1302535 1379198 1447499 1505748 1554182 1598719 1631920 1658270 Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ... Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Pßrcentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

587 618 546 785 107.5

630 588 589 594 107.0

671 624 630 911 106.5

709 543 869 ô55 106.0

742 960 704 538 105.5

771 O28 734 720 104.9

793 955 760 227 104.4

813 853 782 867 104.0

830 la3 801 817 103.5

841 912 816 358 103.1

11.2 21.8 19.3 7.5 5.0 0.7 13.1 6.4 6.1 11.4 51.8

10.4 20.3 19.3

9.6 19.1 18.7 9.0 5.8 0.9 11.5 5.7 5.7 11.3 53.2 26.5

8.8 17.9 17.8 10.2 6.7 1.1 10.8 5.4 5.4 10.7 53.4 28.1 420

8.0 16.8 17.0 11.5 7.7 1.2 10.0 5.1

7.3 15.6 16.3 12.9 8.8 1.4 9.3 4.8 4.9 9.8 53.0 31.7 458

6.7 14.4 15.5 14.4 10.0 1.8 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.4 52.2 33.8 473

6.5 13.3 14.6 18.2 11.3 2.2 7.9 4.1 4.3 8.8 50.9 35.3

6.2 12.6 13.6 18.1 12.8 2.7 7.6 3.8 3.9 8.2 49.0 37.0 490

5.9 12.3 12.7 20.2 14.5 3.1 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.7 47.1 38.6

8.0

5.3 0.8

12.2 6.1 6.1 11.4 52.7 25.0 371

23.8

345

396

5.1 10.2 53.3 29.9 440

4e6

504

20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030.2035 20352040 2@40-204!5 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1.o00population) .... Cnide death rate (per 1 ,o00population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,o00population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,ooOlive births) Under-five mortality (per 1 ,o00live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

270

17 156 27 O77 9 671 - 250 1.46 23.0 8.2 -0.2 2.81 1.20 55 79 63.2 86.4 64.7

16 471 9 790 240 1.31 21.0 7.8 -0.2 2.54 1.11 49 69

15 333 25 598 10 025 - 240 1.14 19.1 7.5 -0.2 2.32 1 .a3 43 60

13 860 24 317 10 417 - 240 0.97 17.2 7.4 -0.2 2.13 0.98 39 53

65.0 68.5 66.6

66.6 70.4 68.4

72.1 70.0

26500

-

68.0

11 850 22 852 10 962 - 240 0.79 15.5 7.4 -0.2 1.97 0.89 35 47

9 687 21 838 11 711 - 240 0.63 14.1 7.7 -0.2 1.86 0.85 32 42

8 507 21 382 12 635 - 240 0.54 13.6 8.0 -0.2 1.85 0.85 28 37

69.3 73.8 71.4

70.5 74.9 72.6

71.5 76.0 73.7

7040 13 885 - 240 0.44 13.0 8.5 -0.1 1.85 0.85 25 33

5 270 20234 14 724 - 240 0.32 12.3 9.0 -0.1 1 .85 0.86 23 30

72.5 77.0 74.7

73.4 77.9 75.8

20945

Uniîed Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ConpfeiIenSive Tables

INDIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 1 134 403 Males .................................................. 587 618 Females ............................................... 546 785 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 11.2 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 21 8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.0 .................. Percentage aged 80 or over 0.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 51.8 23.8 Median age (years) .................................

.

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 231 456 636 460 594 997

1 333 302 687 649 645 652

1 435 854 739 042 696 812

1 531 712 786 787 744 925

1 621 515 831 243 790 273

1 707 966 873 893 834 073

1 795 760 917 244 878 516

1 882 092 959 963 922 129

11.2 20.2 19.1 7.9 5.3 0.8 52.2 24.8

10.8 19.5 18.3 8.8 5.7 0.9 52.0 25.8

10.3 19.3 17.1 9.8 6.4 1.1 51.3 27.0

9.4 18.8 16.8 10.9 7.3 1.2 51.2 28.1

8.7 17.8 17.0 12.0 8.2 1.3 51.1 29.3

8.4 16.5 16.8 13.1 9.1 1.7 50.8 30.4

8.3 15.7 16.0 14.4 10.1 2.0 49.9 31.5

8.2 15.4 14.9 15.7 11.1 2.3 48.6 32.6

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

19 41 1 1.64 24.9 8.3 -0.2 3.06 1.31

20 369 1.59 23.9 7.8 -0.2 2.94 1.28

20 510 1.48 22.5 7.5 -0.2 2.82 1.25

19 172 1.29 20.3 7.2 -0.2 2.63 1.18

17 961 1.14 18.7 7.2 -0.2 2.47 1.12

17 290 1 04 17.8 7.3 -0.1 2.36 1.08

17 559 1.00 17.6 7.5 -0.1 2.35 1.08

17 266 0.94 17.2 7.7 .0.1 2.35 1.09

16 344 0.85 16.5 7.9 -0.1 2.35 1.09

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 134 403 Males ................................................... 587 618 Females .......................................... 546 785 Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 11.2 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 21.8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.0 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 0.7 Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... 51.8 Median age (years) ................................. 23.8

1 208 908 624 716 584 192

1 271 769 655 599 616 170

1 322 543 680 044 642 498

1 363 558 699 275 664 283

1 391 933 711 828 680 105

1 406 754 717 319 689 435

1 41 1 605 717 691 693 914

1 406 071 712 864 693 208

9.5 20.5 19.4 8.1 5.4 0.8 53.2 25.3

8.3 18.7 19.2 9.3 5.9 1.0 54.4 27.2

7.2 16.4 18.6 10.6 7.0 1.1 55.6 29.3

6.5 14.5 17.2 12.2 8.2 1.3 55.8 31.6

5.7 13.0 15.4 13.9 9.6 1.6 55.1 34.1

5.0 11.8 13.9 16.0 11.1 2.0 53.7 36.6

4.6 10.5 12.8 18.3 12.8 2.5 51.6 39.2

4.3 9.5 11.7 21 0 14.9 3.1 48.9 41.7

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

14 901 1.27 21.1 8.1 -0.2 2.56 1.09

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 1 134 403 Total ............................................ Males ................................................ 587 618 Females ............................................... 546 785 Median age (years) ................................. 23.8

1 233 922 1 344 018 637 744 693 229 596 178 650 789 24.7 25.6

1 461 501 1 583 243 1 710 628 877 573 752 391 813 592 833 055 709 110 769 651 26.4 27.1 27.5

1 847 264 946 276 900 968 27.6

1 994 529 2 151 408 2 317 324 1 020 470 1 099 745 1 183 793 974 058 1 051 664 1 133 530 28.1 28.4 28.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.68 25.3 8.3

1.71 25.2 7.9

1.68 24.4 7.5

1.60 23.4 7.2

1.55 22.7 7.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

1.54 22.6 7.1

1.53 22.5 7.1

1.51 22.3 7.1

1.49 22.0 7.1

INDONESIA

A ESTiMAlES indicator Population (thouMnda) Total ....................................................

Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatributlon Percentage aged O 4 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over n aged 15-49 ......... Percentage of m Population density (populationper sq krn)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2@X

79538

06448 42 983 43483 93.9

95 931 47 797 48 134 99.3

to7 190

39 455 40083 93.4

53 510 53680 99.7

120 532 60 278 60 255 100.0

135383 67763 67600 100.3

151 108 75744 75364 100.5

167351 63884 83467 100.5

182847 91631 91 216 100.5

197411 98061 98530 100.4

211693 105895 105793 100.1

14.3 24.8 20.0 6.2 4.0 0.3 47.9 20.0 42

15.6 23.3 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.3 49.2 20.2 45

16.7 23.3 19.3 5.2 3.4 0.3 48.7 20.0 50

16.7 25.0 17.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 47.4 19.5 56

18.5 25.9 17.6 5.2 3.1 0.3 46.8 18.9 63

15.7 26.0 19.0 5.4 3.3 0.3 47.4 18.9 71

14.7 25.8 20.0 5.4 3.4 0.3 48.1 19.4 79

13.6 24.9 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.3 49.3 20.3 66

12.1 23.8 20.7 6.2 3.8 0.4 50.9 21.7 96

10.9 22.1 20.6 6.9 4.2 0.5 52.7 23.2 104

10.1 20.2 20.1 7.7 4.9 0.5 54.6 24.8 111

19501955 1955-1980 1 w 1 9 6 5 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 19801965 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 -2005 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,o00population) .... Cfudedeath rate (per 1 ,o00population) .. Total fertility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rap (per woman) .......... Infant mo
1382 3 547 2 163 1.67 42.7 26.1 5.49 1.56 201

1 897 4 107 2206 2.08 45.0 24.2 5.67 1.70 163

2 252 4 470 2205 2.22 44.0 21.7 5.62 1.78 166

2668 4795 2 119 2.35 42.1 18.6 5.57 1 .a6 144

2 970 5009 2 037 2.32 39.1 15.9 5.30 1 .90 126

3 145 5 075 1915 2.20 35.4 13.4 4.73 1.79 lo6

3 249 5 057 1 794 2.04 31.8 11.3 4.11 1.65

36.9 36.1 37.5

39.2 40.7 39.9

41.7 43.4 42.5

45.0 47.0

46.0 50.5 49.2

48.0

89

3099 4 797 1616 1.77 27.4 9.2 3.40 1.43 70

2 913 4 825 1 567 1.53 24.3 8.2 2.90 1.26 58

2656 4 499 1463 1.40 22.0 7.2 2.55 1.14 45

2 874 4 523 1 449 1.31 20.7 6.6 2.36 1 .o9 34

51.5 54.0 52.7

54.5 58.0 56.2

58.5 62.0 80.1

61.1 64.5 62.7

64.2 67.9 66.0

06.7 70.5

2WO

2ws

2040

2045

2050

88.6

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thouMnda) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4...... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or m r Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schod a m 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of wo Median age (years Population density (population pef sq krn)

2005

201o

2015

2020

2025

226063 112 952 113 1 1 1 99.9

239600 119 584 120 015 99.6

251 567 125 405 126 162 99.4

261 868 130 424 131 444 99.2

271 227 134911 136316 99.0

279 666 138 892 140 774 90.7

206 767 142 154 144 613 98.3

292 o61 144 469 147 592 97.9

295398 145 851 149 547 97.5

296885 146 371 150513 97.2

9.6 18.8 19.0 6.3 5.5 0.6 11.2 5.6 5.7 11.4 55.4 26.5 119

8.8 17.8 17.6 8.9 6.1 0.8 10.6 5.3 5.3 10.6 55.2 28.2 126

8.0 16.9 16.6 10.0 6.6 0.9 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 54.6 30.1 132

7.2 15.7 16.1 11.7 7.5 1.1 9.3 4.8 4.9 9.6 53.8 32.0 137

6.9 14.3 15.6 13.7 9.0 1.3 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.4 52.3 33.8 142

6.7 13.4 14.5 16.0 10.7 1.5 6.0 4.1 4.2 8.8 50.3 35.4 147

6.4 12.9 13.4 18.4 12.7 1.9 7.8 3.9 3.9 8.1 48.0 37.0 151

6.2 12.7 12.7 20.7 14.7 2.5 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.6 46.0 36.4 153

5.9 12.3 12.5 22.9 16.7 3.2 7.3 3.7 3.8 7.5 44.6 39.6 155

5.6 11.8 12.3 24.8 18.6 4.0 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.4 43.4 41.1 156

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2û2û-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 Population change per year (thousanbe). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population grwvth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,o00population) .... Cnide death rate (per 1,o00population) .. Ne1 migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infânt mortality rate (per 1 ,o00live births) Under-five mO
272

2 707 4360 1 472 - 180 1.16 16.7 6.3 -0.8 2.18 1 .o2 27 32

2393 4 118 1544 - 180 0.93 16.6 6.3 -0.7 2.01 0.95 21 25

2080 3 a57 1637 - 180 0.80 15.0 6.4 -0.6 1.88 0.89 18 20

1 872 3 795 1 763 - 160 0.70 14.2 6.6 -0.6 1.85 0.66 15 17

68.7 72.7 70.7

70.2 74.3 72.2

71.4 75.7 73.6

72.5 76.9 74.7

0.61 13.7 7.0 -0.6 1.85 0.89 13 15

1 420 3 741 2 161 - 160 0.50 13.2 7.6 -0.6 1 .85 0.69 12 13

1059 3639 2 421 - 160 0.37 12.6 8.4 -0.6 1.65 0.69 10 11

a67 3500 2 672 - 160 0.23 11.9 9.1 -0.5 1.85 0.89 9 10

297 3380 2 923 - 180 0.10 11.4 9.9 -0.5 1 .65 0.89 9 10

73.5 77.9 75.7

74.3 78.7 76.5

75.0 79.5 77.2

75.7 80.2 78.0

76.4 80.8 78.6

1688 3 763 1936

- 160

United Nations Deparbilent of Economic and Coaal AffairsiPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 ßevision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

INDONESIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) .......................... Total .................. . Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 193 1.37 20.8 6.4 .0.8 2.43 1 .14

3 191 1.28 19.7 6.3 -0.7 2.41 1.14

3 066 1.15 18.4 6.2 .0.6 2.38 1.13

2 895 1.03 17.2 6.4 -0.6 2.35 1.12

2 798 0.95 16.7 6.6 -0.5 2.35 1.12

2 734 0.89 16.5 7.1 -0.5 2.35 1.13

2 647 0.82 16.3 7.6 -0.5 2.35 1.13

2 494 0.75 16.0 8.1 -0.5 2.35 1.13

2 277 0.66 15.5 8.5 .0.5 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 226 063 Males ................................................... 112952 Females .............................................. 113111 Age dlstrlbutlon 9.6 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 18.8 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 55.4 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5

237 173 118347 118826

245 153 122135 123019

250 428 124590 125838

254 708 126485 128222

257 822 127747 130075

259 038 128002 131036

257 717 126934 130783

253 841 124626 129214

7.9 18.0 17.8 9.0 6.1 0.8 55.8 28.5

6.6 16.4 17.1 10.3 6.8 1 .0 56.0 30.9

5.5 13.8 16.9 12.2 7.9 1.2 56.2 33.4

5.3 11.7 15.6 14.6 9.6 1.4 54.7 35.8

5.2 10.6 13.3 17.4 11.6 1.7 52.1 38.1

4.8 10.3 11.4 20.3 14.0 2.1 48.7 40.4

4.4 10.0 10.5 23.5 16.6 2.9 45.8 42.6

4.0 9.4 10.4 26.7 19.4 3.7 43.4 44.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 222 0.96 16.7 6.3 -0.8 1.93 0.90

1 596 0.66 13.7 6.3 -0.7 1.61 0.76

1 055 0.43 11.4 6.5 -0.6 1.38 0.66

856 0.34 10.9 6.9 -0.6 1.35 0.64

623 0.24 10.5 7.5 -0.6 1.35 0.65

243 0.09 9.8 8.3 .0.6 1.35 0.65

-264 -0.10 8.9 9.3 .0.6 1.35 0.65

-775 .0.30 7.9 10.4 -0.6 1.35 0.65

-1214 -0.48 7.3 11.5 .0.6 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) 226 063 Total ........................................... Males ................................................ 112952 Females ............................ . .............. 113111 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.32 20.3 6.3

241 460 120533 120927 28.0

256 987

128168 128819 29.5

272 283 135735 136548 30.7

287 060 142988 144071 31.8

301 335 149950 151385 32.8

315 112 156624 158488 33.5

328 277 162965 165311 34.1

340.768 169029 171739 34.7

1.25 19.5 6.3

1.16 18.4 6.3

1.06 17.5 6.4

0.97 16.9 6.7

0.89 16.5 7.1

0.82 16.3 7.6

0.75 16.0 8.1

0.68 15.7 8.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

352 488 174784 177704 35.2

IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF) A ESTIMATES Indicator PopuWOn (thOuaMd0) Total .................................................... Males ............................ Femeles ................. Sex ratio (meles per 1 ........... Ago dl.blbutkn Percentageaged 0-4

.....

Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 (w over .................. Percentage aged 65 or m r ..... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wmen aged 1549 ......... Medan age (years) Pqxdath densty (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

18 913 8 588 8327 103.1

19 090 9 698 9392 103.3

21 704 1 1 039 10665 103.5

24 886 12 674 12211 103.8

28 805 14 697 14108 104.2

33 344 17 040 16303 104.5

39 330 20 118 19212 104.7

48 418

56 674 29 042 27632 105.1

62 199 31 691 30508 103.9

66 125 33 598 32527 103.3

18.0 22.4 17.3 8.3 5.3 0.5 45.6 21.1 10

17.5 24.4 18.8 7.2 4.8 0.5 44.1 19.6 12

17.4 26.4 16.9 6.5 4.2 0.4 432 18.4 13

17.8 26.9 18.1 0.1 3.8 0.4 43.6 17.7 15

17.7 26.8 19.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 44.1 17.6 17

17.3 27.2 19.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 17.0 20

18.0 28.7 19.3 5.4 3.3 0.3 44.4 17.5 24

16.7 28.0 18.6 5.7 3.5 0.3 45.0 17.7 34

13.4 29.0 19.5 6.2 4.1 0.3 47.1 18.4 38

9.0 26.1 23.8 6.4 4.5 0.4 53.3 20.7 40

24 847 23571 105.4 18.7 28.0

19.1 5.5 3.3 0.3 44.5 17.6 29

19W1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1 W l W 5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20W 2000-2005 Population change per year (mwean4s) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousanbs)................... Populationgr& rate (per cent) ............ Crude krth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant moctali rate (per 1,000Uve births) L k exp.ctmcy at blrlh (-0) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes CMnMned ............................

1 651 2046 437 3.15 38.9 8.3 5.62 2.41 69

1105 1 821 398 1.86 30.6 6.7 4.33 1.91 55

785 1 253 361 1.22 19.5 5.6 2.53 1.15 44

659 1 285 376 0.97 19.0 5.5 2.12 0.98 37

58.8 60.7 59.6

62.2 64.3 63.0

64.7 67.1 63.7

66.9 69.3 68.0

68.0 71.O 69.5

435 845 410 2.42 47.0 22.8 7.00 2.24 180

523 934 411 2.57 45.8 20.2 7.00 2.34 169

638 1 057 419 2.74 45.4 18.0 7.00 2.43 154

784 1198 413 2.93 44.6 15.4 0.80 2.48 132

908 1 321 410 2.93 42.5 13.2 6.40 2.43 115

1197 1 590 427 3.30 43.7 11.7 6.50 2.58 100

1818 1995 470 4.16 45.5 10.7 8.83 2.72

44.9 44.9 44.9

47.2 47.2 47.2

49.3 49.3 49.3

52.6 52.4 52.5

55.4 55.1 55.2

57.5 58.1 57.7

88

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Populallon (thourndm) Total ....................................................

............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Agn dlswlkrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. ... Pmentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage a ~ & 65 or cwr .................. Percentageaged 80 or ovfn .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23. Percentageofmaged15-49 Median age (years) ................................. popllation density (POpJation per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

69 421 35200 34 221 102.9

74 270 37 590 36880 102.5

79 379 40 122 39 258 102.2

84 244

88 027 44 375 43.052 101.7

91 155 45 888 45 269 101.4

94 062 47 272 46 790 101.0

96 743

100.6

98 881 49 495 49 386 100.2

100 174

42 526 41 718 101.9

8.6 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.0 11.1 7.3 7.6 15.3 58.0 23.4 42

9.5 15.8 22.5 6.8 4.5 0.7 9.3 4.8 0.2 14.0

9.3 16.3 17.1 7.8 4.9 0.7 10.1 4.4 4.0 10.9 57.7 28.3 48

8.2 17.0 13.7 9.2 5.8 0.7 10.4 4.9 4.4 7.8 58.0 30.8 51

8.9 18.2 14.8 10.9 7.1 0.8 9.7 5.0 4.9 8.5 55.7 33.4 53

6.2 14.2 15.7 12.0 8.5 1.1 8.3 4.6 4.6 9.4 54.4 35.8

6.2 12.4 15.1 14.5 9.9 1.5 7.3 3.9 4.3 9.3 50.9 37.3 57

6.3 11.9 13.3 17.4 11.4 1 .9 7.2 3.5 3.6 8.2 46.7 38.2 59

0.1 12.1 11.8 21.7 14.0 2.4 7.3 3.5 3.4 7.1 43.4 39.2 60

5.7 12.1 11.5 25.6 17.8 2.9 7.3 3.6 3.5 6.8 42.9 40.6 61

59.8

25.9 45

55

48 524 48 219

50032 50 142 99.8

20052010 2010.2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050

.

poprlationchange per year (Mauranbs) Births per year (thousanbe)..................... Death per year (Ihoumxk)................... Net migrationper year (husandn) ......... Populationgrmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Net migratm rate (per 1,000population) Total fertnity (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wwnan) .......... Infant mortality rate @er 1,000live births) under-ftve mortelty (per 1,000Hve birMs) Llfe al blrlh (yeum) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

._.. .

274

971 1462 391 - 100 1.35 20.3 5.4 -1.4 2.04 0.95 31 35 09.4 72.6 71.0

1 021 1526 405 100 1.33 19.9 5.3 -1.3 1.97

973 1416 423 -20 1.19 17.3 5.2 -0.2

25 29

0.90 21 24

14.3 5.3 -0.2 1.85 0.88 18 20

626 1157 51 1 -20 0.70 12.9 5.7 -0.2 1.85 0.88 16 17

0.92

70.6 74.1 72.3

71.6 75.3 73.4

72.6 76.4 74.5

73.4 77.4 75.4

-

1.90

757 1 231

455 -20 0.88

581 1191

538

428 1219

0.56 13.0 7.1 -0.2 1.85 0.89 12 13

771 -20 0.44 12.5 7.9 -0.2 1.85 0.89 11 12

258 1146 867 -20 0.26 11.5 8.7 -0.2 1.85 0.89 10 11

75.0 79.0 77.0

75.7 79.7 77.7

76.3 80.4 78.4

1 237

589

681

-20 0.63 12.9 8.4 -0.2 1.85 0.88 14 15

-20

74.2 78.2 78.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaicdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF)

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................... . . ........

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

69 421 35 200 34 221

75 143 38 040 37 103

81 755 41 337 40 418

88 437 44 672 43 766

93 861 47 360 46 501

98 731 49 763 48 968

103 909 52 312 51 597

109 506 55 058 54 448

114 946 57 720 57 226

8.8 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.6 58.0 23.4

10.5 15.6 22.3 6.7 4.4 0.7 59.1 25.7

10.9 16.9 16.6 7.6 4.7 0.7 56.0 27.7

9.9 18.9 13.1 8.8 5.5 0.7 53.4 29.6

8.2 18.8 14.6 10.2 6.7 0.8 53.2 31.5

7.5 16.6 16.9 11.6 7.9 1.0 52.7 32.7

7.8 14.5 16.9 13.1 9.0 1.4 50.1 32.9

8.3 14.2 14.9 15.4 10.1 1.7 46.6 33.3

8.1 14.9 13.1 18.7 12.0 2.1 43.9 34.2

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

...........

1 145 1.58 22.7 5.5 -1.4 2.29 1.07

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

69 421 35 200 34 221

73 409 37 153 36 257

77 004 38 906 38 098

80 052 40 381 39 671

82 200 41 393 40 807

83 676 42 059 41 617

64 607 42 433 42 174

E 4 915 42 469 42 446

84 473 42 119 42 354

8.8 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.6 58.0 23.4

8.4 16.0 22.8 6.9 4.5 0.7 60.5 26.2

7.7 15.7 17.6 8.1 5.0 0.8 59.5 29.0

6.4 15.0 14.4 9.7 6.1 0.8 58.9 32.0

5.4 13.3 14.6 11.6 7.6 0.9 58.5 35.2

4.8 11.3 14.3 13.7 9.3 1.2 56.4 38.2

4.6 9.9 12.9 16.1 11.0 1.7 51.6 41.1

4.4 9.3 11.1 19.9 13.0 2.2 46.4 43.5

4.1 9.0 9.9 25.4 16.4 2.8 42.0 45.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

798 1.12 18.0 5.4 -1.4 1.79 0.83

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

69421 35 200 34 221 23.4

74519 37 720 36 798 25.9

80111 40 496 39 615 28.1

85714 43 278 42 436 30.4

90446 45 613 44 833 32.6

94588 47 643 46 945 34.6

98592 49 591 49 001 35.2

102517 51 480 51 037 35.7

106101 53 192 52 909 36.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.42 21.0 5.5

1.45 21 0 5.3

.

1.35 18.9 5.1

1.08 16.2 5.2

0.90 14.7 5.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.83 14.6 6.1

0.78 14.8 6.8

0.69 14.5 7.4

0.55 13.8 8.1

109039 54 572 54 467 37.8

JRAQ

A. ESTIMATES Indkator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

~~~

Population (thwaond.) Total .................................................... M.ak . Femeles ...............

5340 2 671 2 670 100.0

8264 3 139 3 128 100.4

7 332 3682 3650 100.9

8589 4322 4 287 101.3

10 112 5 100 5 012 101.8

11 972 6 051 5 921 102.2

14 O93 7 132 6 9ôl 102.5

16 288 8 246 8 042 102.5

18 515 9 378 9 137 102.6

21 632 10956 10676 102.6

25052 12689 12363 102.6

15.6 24.9 18.4 5.4 3.4 0.2 47.8 20.1 12

20.2 23.7 17.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.9 18.2 14

19.4 26.7 17.4 5.1 3.0 0.3 43.3 17.1 17

18.8 29.5 16.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 41.5 16.0 20

18.8 28.6 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.3 42.5 16.1 23

19.0 28.9 18.4 4.8 3.0 0.3 41.9 16.0 27

18.2 28.9 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 42.9 16.3 32

17.2 28.6 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.3 44.5 18.9 37

17.3 27.3 20.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 45.8 17.4 42

16.6 26.9 20.6 4.6 3.0 0.3 46.9 17.9 49

16.0 26.6 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 48.1 18.4 57

Ago dlstrlbutlon

Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. Percentageof m n aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeare) Popuiationdansily (population per sq km)

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1-1

970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 ~

Population change per year (thaioands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... popilalion g M h rale (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1.ooO popilatioo) .... Cnide death rate (per 1.ooO population) Total tertility (children per woman) ........... Net repr~tm rale (per wanan) .......... Infant moitalily raie (per 1,ooO I ¡bkths) L b expectancy al Mrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

122 3.15 49.4 18.0 7.30 2.56 130

251 373 122 3.16 46.9 15.3 7.25 2.67 113

428 122 3.27 45.8 13.1 7.20 2.77 97

372 501 127 3.38 45.4 11.5 7.15 2.85 85

424 556 122 3.26 42.7 9.4 6.80 2.83

68

126 2.90 39.8 8.3 6.35 2.70 60

47.6 49.4 48.4

50.6 52.4 51.5

53.6 55.4 54.5

56.1 57.9 57.0

59.5 61.5 60.4

185

214

305

336

120 3.19 52.6 20.7 7.30 2.43 150 44.5 48.3 45.3

305

~

~

48

623 782 193 3.11 39.0 9.6 5.70 2.35 73

884 894 234 2.94 38.3 10.0 5.37 2.19 94

589 944 280 2.22 35.6 10.6 4.86 1.95 94

80.8 63.7 82.0

63.6 66.7 65.0

58.0 61.1 59.5

57.3 60.4 58.8

54.9 59.3 57.0

439 604

445 690 120 2.56 39.6 6.9 6.15 2.71

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

Popullitlon (mouundr) Total .................................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 temaies) ........... Am dlmtributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 9û6 14 157 13 839 102.3

30688

34 947 17 660 17 287 102.2

39 161 19 780 19 381 102.1

43293 21 852 21 441 101.9

47 376 23893 23463 101.7

51 300 25 846

58 593 29 455 29 138 101.1

61 942 31 103

101.5

55035 27 698 27 337 101.3

15.1 28.4 20.1 4.6 2.8 0.3 16.2 7.3 6.8 11.6 49.0 18.9

13.8 26.0 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.3 15.8 7.4 6.8 12.1 50.1 19.6 70

12.8 23.8 21.o 5.0 3.1 0.3 14.3 7.0 6.8 12.3 52.1 21.2

12.3 22.1 20.4 5.6 3.4 0.4 13.4 6.4 6.3 12.2 53.1 22.6 89

11.5 21.3 19.1 6.5 3.9 0.4 13.0 6.1 5.8 11.4 53.0 24.0

10.7 20.6 18.2 7.5 4.7 0.5 12.5 6.0 5.7 10.7 53.1 25.3 108

9.8 19.5 17.9 8.7 5.5 0.6 11.8 5.8 5.6 10.6 53.3 26.7 117

9.1 18.3 17.6 9.9 6.5 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.0 28.1 126

8.6 17.1 17.0 11.2 7.5 1.o 10.2 5.1 5.2 10.2 52.2 29.5 134

8.1 16.1 16.2 12.8 8.5 1.3 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.7 51.1 31.1 141

Percentage aged 15-24 .... Percentage aged 60 OT Percentage aged 65 OT over Percentage a@ 80 OT m r .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in shod agea 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of 15-49, Median aga (ye ........... Population density (population per 8q km)

..........

64

15 510 15 178 102.2

80

99

25454

30838 100.9

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (lhousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rale (per 1.ooO populalh) .... Cnide death rale @er 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.O00popuiation) . Total feitiiny (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtaiity rate (per 1.o00 IM, Mithe) Under-ñve mortality (per 1,ooO hm births) L l k e w c y at Mrth (ye8rs)

M a l e s ...................................................

Females ............................................... Both s e w cwnbined ............................

276

538

-

931 266 127 1.84 31.7 9.1 -4.3 4.26 1.76 82 105 57.8 61.5 59.5

a43

826

110 2.60 29.0 6.4 3.4 3.73 1.66 56

1003 198 38 2.28 27.1 5.4 1.o 3.31 1.52 41

69

48

1034 201 - 6 2.01 25.1 4.9 -0.1 3.00 1.40 32 37

64.1 67.3 65.7

66.9 70.6 68.7

68.8 72.8 70.8

852 951

209

747 1 021 268 - 8 1.41 19.2 5.0 -0.1 2.43 1.15 19 21

711 1021

30

785 1029 238 - 6 1.59 20.9 4.8 -0.1 2.58 1.22 22 25

- 6 1.25 18.0 5.3 -0.1 2.30 1.10 16 18

670 lo21 345 - 6 1.11 16.9 5.7 -0.1 2.20 1.o5 14 16

70.0 74.3 72.1

71.1 75.5 73.3

72.1 76.5 74.3

73.0 77.5 75.2

73.8 78.3 76.1

617 1039 217 - 6 1.80 22.9 4.8 -0.1 2.76 1.30 26

304

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

IRAQ

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percenlage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

588 2.00 33.5 9.2 -4.3 4.51 1.86

..

947 2.85 31.6 6.5 3.3 4.13 1.83

987 2.59 30.3 5.4 10 3.81 1.75

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percenlage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (year?.) .................................

27 996 14157 13 839

30 440 15383 15 056

34 222 17290 16 933

37 716 19042 18 674

41 013 20688 20 325

44 140 22241 21 899

4 6 946 23624 23 322

49 353 24797 24 556

51 366 25765 25 601

15.1 26.4 20.1 4.6 2.8 0.3 49.0 18.9

13.0 26.2 20.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 50.5 19.8

11.7 23.6 21.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 53.2 21.7

10.8 21.1 21.2 5.8 3.6 0.4 55.1 23.5

10.1 19.6 19.6 6.9 4.2 0.5 55.4 25.4

9.3 18.6 17.9 8.0 5.1 0.5 55.3 27.3

8.3 17.5 17.0 9.5 6.1 0.7 55.1 29.3

7.4 16.2 16.5 11 0 7.3 0.9 54.4 31.2

6.7 14.7 15.9 12.7 8.5 1.2 53.3 33.1

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

489 1.67 30.0 8.9 .4.3 4.01 1.66

756 2.34 26.3 6.3 3.4 3.33 1.48

699 1.94 23.7 5.3 1.1 2.81 1.29

659 1.68 21.8 4.9 -0.2 2.50 1.17

625 1.47 19.8 4.9 .0.1 2.26 1.07

561 1.23 17.5 5.1 -0.1 2.08 0.98

481 1.00 15.5 5.4 .0.1 1.93 0.92

403 0.80 14.0 5.9 -0.1 1.80 0.86

325 0.62 12.8 6.5 -0.1 1.70 0.81

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................... .............. Males .......................................... ................. Females ...................... Median age (years) ................................

. . .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

27 996 14157 13 839 18.9

31 221 15782 15 439 19.2

36 691 18550 18 141 19.9

42 908 21694 21 215 20.2

49 868 25210 24 658 19.9

57 696 29162 28 534 19.8

66 546 33630 32 916 20.0

76 753 38788 37 964 20.3

88 690 44830 43 860 20.5

2.18 35.4 9.3

3.23 35.6 6.6

3.13 35.8 5.5

3.01 34.9 4.8

2.92 33.7 4.5

2.85 32.9 4.3

2.85 32.7 4.2

2.89 33.0 4.1

2.92 33.2 4.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

IRELAND A ESTIMATES Indicator 19%

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

2969 1511 1458 103.6

2921 1475 1446 102.0

2834 1424 1410 101.0

2876 1446 1430 101.1

2954 1404 1469 101.0

3177 1591 1587 100.3

3401 1710 1691 101.1

3539 1777 1762 100.8

3515 1755 1759 99.8

3609 1792 1817 90.7

3804 1891 1913 98.8

10.6 18.3 15.0 14.8 10.7 1.5 46.0 29.6 42

10.3 19.7 14.2 14.9 10.9 1.6 44.8 29.9 42

10.7 20.4 13.9 15.0 11.2 1.9 42.7 29.8

11.0 20.2 15.4 15.5 11.2 1.9 42.4 28.3 41

10.5 20.6 15.9 15.7 11.2 1.9 42.2 27.6 42

11.0 20.3 16.9 15.5 11.0 1.9 42.9 26.4 45

10.2 20.4 17.4 14.8 10.7 1.8 44.8 26.4

10.0 19.7 17.5 14.5 10.6 1.8 46.7 26.9 50

8.0 19.3 17.1 15.2 11.4 2.1 40.2 29.1 50

7.1 17.2 17.4 15.2 11.4 2.5 50.0 30.9 51

7.0 14.7 17.1 15.1 11.2 2.5 52.1 32.5 54

Popul.llon (thouundr)

Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yean) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

40

48

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985

1985-1990 1890-1995 1995-2OOo xx)0-2005 ~

Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (lhowmls) ................... Population g M rate (per cenl) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,0O0 populati) .... Crude death rate (per 1.0O0 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infant mortality ram (per 1.0O0 live births) L h exrp.ctmcy at blrth (yun) M&s ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem comMned ............................

- 10

- 17

28

45 68 34 1.48 22.2 11.0 3.82 1.78 18

70 34 1.38 21.3 10.3 3.48 1.64 15

28 73 33 0.80 21.o 9.4 2.88 1.36 10

- 5 57 32 -0.14 16.2 9.1 2.29 1 .oB 8

19 51 31 0.53 14.2 8.8 1.97 0.94 7

39 52 32 1.05 14.1 8.6 1.90 0.91 6

1.71 15.2 7.6 1.97 0.94 5

67.3 70.6 68.9

68.4 72.3 70.3

68.9 73.4 71.1

68.9 73.8 71.3

69.6 74.6 72.0

70.4 75.9 73.1

71.6 77.3 74.4

72.6 78.1 75.5

73.5 70.0 76.1

75.3 80.3 77.8

MO5

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

20452050

4143 2 066 2077 99.4

4526 2 261 2285 99.8

41#)5 2 403 2402 100.0

5055 2 529 2526 100.1

5275 2 638 2.637 100.1

5475 2 737 2739 99.9

5669 2 832 2838 99.8

5859 2 925 2934 99.7

6032 3 010 3022 99.8

6 179 3 082 3 097 99.5

7.4 13.3 15.5 t 5.3 11.1 2.7 8.0 4.0 4.2 9.5 52.2 33.4 59

1.5 13.4 13.2 16.1 11.3 2.7 8.2 3.8 3.7 8.0 51.O 34.4 64

7.1 14.0 12.1 17.3 12.4 2.8 8.6 4.0 3.7 7.1 49.2 36.1 68

6.4 13.9 12.4 18.7 13.6 3.0 8.4 4.2 4.0 7.2 40.2 37.7 72

5.9 13.0 13.1 20.4 14.9 3.4 7.7 4.1 4.1 7.8 47.1 39.4 75

5.6 11.9 13.1 22.0 16.4 4.1 7.0 3.7 3.9 7.9 45.3 40.6 78

5.7 11.2 12.4 24.1 17.8 4.7 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.5 43.4 41.2 81

5.0 11.0 11.4 26.5 19.8 5.3 6.6 3.2 3.3 6.9 42.0 41.7 83

5.7 11.2 10.8 28.4 21.7 6.0 6.8 3.3 3.2 6.5 41.4 42.2

5.5 11.3 10.7 29.3 23.4 6.7 6.8 3.4 3.3 6.4 41 .O 43.0

86

88

61 35 -0.61 21.1 12.0 3.68 1.70 34

65.7 68.2 66.9

8 62 34 0.29 21.8 11.8 3.w 1.84

4s

16 62 33 0.53 21.4 11.5 3.87 1.80 23

63 37 -0.33 21.4 12.6 3.38 1.58 41

B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Aga dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 1524 Percentageaged 60 OT Percentap aged 65 OT over Percentap aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14. Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in =hod ages 16-23. Percentage d women a@ 15-49 Median age (yean) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

..

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2o4w045 2045-2050 Population changs per year (thousanbe). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net %ration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,0O0 populati) .... CNde death rate (per 1.0O0 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per t .0O0 pqulation). Total fertility (chHdren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per wwnen) .......... lntant m ~ t a l i rate i (per 1,000live births) Under-fivemortalrty (per 1,0O0 l i births) LIfa arpsct.ncy at Mrth (ywrr) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................

278

77 67 31 40 1.77 15.5 7.0 9.2 1.96 0.94 5 6 76.5 81.4 78.9

61 41 20 0.74 11.3 7.6 3.7 1.85 0.89 4 5

39 64 45 20 0.70 11.5 8.1 3.6 1.85 0.89 4 5

20

54 20

20

1.20 14.8 6.9 4.3 1.90 0.91 5 6

20 1.02 13.1 7.0 4.1 1.a 0.89 4 6

44 61 37 20 0.85 11.9 7.3 3.9 1 .85 0.89 4 5

0.68 11.7 8.6 3.5 1.85 0.89 3 5

0.58 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.85 0.89 3 4

0.46 11.0 9.5 3.3 1.85 0.89 3 4

77.1 82.0 79.6

77.8 82.7 60.2

78.4 83.3 80.8

79.0 83.9 81.5

79.6 84.5 82.0

80.2 85.1 82.6

80.7 85.8 83.2

81.3 06.2 63.7

56

50

68 32 20

6.5 35

40

38 67 49

35 68

29 67 58

United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Aff8irslPopulation Division World PopurCrtiOn Prospects: The 2006 Revishm, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

68 60 30

IRELAND

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (yean) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

4143 2 066 2 077

4569 2 284 2 286

4918 2 461 2 456

5249 2 629 2 620

5547 2 779 2 768

5830 2 920 2 910

6129 3 069 3 060

6452 3 231 3 221

6782 3 398 3 384

7.4 13.3 15.5 15.3 11.1 2.7 52.2 33.4

8.4 13.3 13.1 16.0 11.2 2.7 50.6 34.1

8.4 14.5 11.8 16.9 12.1 2.8 48.1 35.4

7.7 15.5 11.9 18.0 13.1 2.9 46.4 36.6

7.0 15.1 13.2 19.4 14.2 3.2 45.6 37.5

6.7 13.9 14.2 20.7 15.4 3.8 44.5 38.0

7.0 13.0 13.9 22.3 16.5 4.4 43.3 37.9

7.3 12.9 12.8 24.0 17.8 4.8 42.4 37.7

7.4 13.5 12.0 25.2 19.3 5.4 42.0 37.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

85 1.96 17.4 7.0 9.2 2.21 1.06

....

70 1.47 17.3 6.9 4.2 2.30 1.10

66 1.31 15.9 6.8 3.9 2.35 1.13

59 1.10 14.3 7.0 3.7 2.35 1.13

57 1 .00 13.7 7.2 3.5 2.35 1.13

60 1 .00 14.2 7.6 3.3 2.35 1.13

65 1.03 15.0 7.9 3.2 2.35 1.13

66 1 .00 15.1 8.2 3.0 2.35 1.13

63 0.91 14.6 8.4 2.9 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................ ......................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

4143 2 066 2 077

4484 2 239 2 244

4692 2 345 2 347

4858 2 427 2 431

4999 2 495 2 503

5117 2 552 2 566

5219 2 599 2 620

5299 2 635 2 664

5348 2 656 2 691

7.4 13.3 15.5 15.3 11.1 2.7 52.2 33.4

6.7 13.6 13.4 16.3 11.4 2.7 51.5 34.7

5.8 13.4 12.4 17.7 12.7 2.9 50.3 36.8

5.0 12.1 12.9 19.5 14.2 3.1 50.1 39.0

4.6 10.6 12.9 21.5 15.7 3.6 48.7 41.1

4.4 9.5 11.8 23.6 17.5 4.4 46.2 42.9

4.4 9.0 10.5 26.2 19.4 5.1 43.3 44.5

4.3 8.9 9.5 29.3 21.7 5.9 41.3 45.6

4.1 8.9 9.2 32.0 24.4 6.8 40.0 46.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

68 1.58 13.6 7.1 9.3 1.71 0.82

42 0.91 11.8 7.0 4.4 1.50 0.72

33 0.70 10.0 7.2 4.2 1.35 0.65

28 0.57 9.2 7.6 4.1 1.35 0.65

24 0.47 8.8 8.1 4.0 1.35 0.65

20 0.39 8.8 8.7 3.9 1.35 0.65

16 0.31 8.6 9.4 3.8 1.35 0.65

10 0.18 8.2 10.1 3.8 1.35 0.65

3 0.05 7.6 10.8 3.7 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

4143 2 066 2 077 33.4

4526 2 261 2 265 34.4

4816 2 409 2 407 36.0

5086 2 545 2 541 37.6

5328 2 665 2 662 39.0

5551 2 775 2 775 40.1

5766 2 881 2 884 40.5

5977 2 986 2 991 40.8

6178 3 085 3 093 41.3

1.77 15.5 7.0

1.24 15.1 6.9

1.09 13.9 7.0

0.93 12.7 7.2

0.82 12.1 7.5

0.76 12.0 8.0

0.72 12.2 8.4

0.66 12.2 8.9

0.58 11.9 9.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ISRAEL

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... .. ................. Females ......................... . ................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospscts: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ISRAEL

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

6 692 3312 3 380

7 334 3640 3 694

7 964 3965 3 999

8 573 4281 4 292

9 171 4590 4 580

9 772 4900 4 872

10 381 5213 5 168

10 988 5525 5 463

1 l 583 5831 5 752

10.1 17.9 16.1 13.2 10.1 2.5 47.9 28.8

10.2 17.9 15.3 14.5 10.1 2.8 46.5 29.5

9.8 18.0 15.2 15.7 11.2 2.9 46.1 30.0

9.3 17.9 15.4 16.6 12.4 3.1 45.8 30.5

8.8 17.3 15.7 17.3 13.2 3.1 45.7 30.9

8.6 16.5 15.8 18.0 13.9 3.9 45.6 31.6

8.4 15.9 15.3 19.0 14.4 4.5 45.5 32.3

8.2 15.6 14.8 20.0 15.3 4.9 45.4 33.0

8.0 15.4 14.3 20.7 16.1 5.1 45.3 33.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

.

..........

128 1.83 21.3 5.5 2.4 3.00 1.44

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.................. ..................

6 692 3 312 3380

7 210 3 576 3634

7 630 3 793 3837

7 965 3 968 3997

8 273 4 128 4144

8 552 4 273 4280

8 785 4 393 4393

8 948 4 476 4472

9 033 4 520 4513

10.1 17.9 16.1 13.2 10.1 2.5 47.9 28.8

8.6 18.2 15.6 14.7 10.3 2.8 47.3 30.1

7.5 17.2 15.9 16.4 11.7 3.1 48.0 31.6

6.6 15.1 16.6 17.9 13.3 3.3 49.2 33.2

6.3 13.3 15.9 19.2 14.7 3.5 49.1 34.8

6.0 12.3 14.1 20.6 15.8 4.4 48.1 36.5

5.7 11.8 12.6 22.5 17.1 5.3 46.8 38.3

5.1 11.4 11.8 24.5 18.8 6.0 45.7 40.3

4.6 10.7 11.6 26.5 20.7 6.6 44.7 42.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~lity(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

104 1.49 17.9 5.5 2.4 2.50 1.20

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

6692 3 312 3 380 28.8

7311 3 628 3 683 29.6

7926 3 945 3 980 30.2

8534 4 261 4 273 30.7

9168 4 589 4 579 31 .0

9838 4 934 4 904 31.3

10543 5 297 5 247 31.7

11278 5 674 5 604 32.0

12040 6 067 5 974 32.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

l .77 20.7 5.5

1.62 20.1 5.5

1.48 19.5 5.6

1.43 19.2 5.6

1.41 19.1 5.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

1.39 19.1 5.9

1.35 19.0 6.2

1.31 18.8 6.3

1.28 18.6 6.3

ITALY

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 19s

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................... .......................... Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

..

58 646 28 479 30 168 94.4

59 032 28 697 30 334 94.6

59 001 28 71 1 30 290 94.8

58 601 28 543 30 058 95.0

58 079 28 313 29 766 95.1

57 519 28 052 29 467 95.2

56 929 27 767 29 162 95.2

56 277 27 441 28 836 95.2

55 506 27 052 28 455 95.1

4.6 9.3 10.2 25.3 19.7 5.1 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.1 45.9 42.0 1 95

4.6 9.2 9.8 27.0 20.6 6.0 5.5 2.7 2.9 5.9 44.3 43.8 196

4.2 9.3 9.7 28.2 22.1 6.7 5.6 2.8 2.8 5.9 41.9 45.7 196

4.0 9.0 9.6 29.8 23.2 7.4 5.3 2.8 2.9 5.8 39.5 47.5 194

4.0 8.4 9.8 32.3 24.6 7.7 4.9 2.7 2.8 6.0 37.3 49.1 193

4.1 8.2 9.5 35.2 27.0 8.6 4.9 2.5 2.6 5.8 35.9 50.2 191

4.2 8.3 8.9 37.6 29.6 9.3 5.0 2.5 2.5 5.4 35.2 50.6 189

4.3 8.5 8.7 38.8 31 .8 10.1 5.1 2.5 2.5 5.2 34.8 50.7 187

4.3 8.8 8.8 38.9 32.8 11.7 5.3 2.6 2.6 5.3 34.5 50.6 184

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ............................

-

539 616 155 0.13 9.2 10.5 2.6 1.38 0.66 5 6

.6 494 650 150 -0.01 8.4 11.0 2.5 1.41 0.68 5 6

80 462 677 135 .0.14 7.9 11.5 2.3 1.44 0.69 5 6

77.5 83.5 80.5

78.1 84.1 81.1

78.8 84.6 81.7

77

-

-

104 458 698 1 35 .0.18 7.9 12.0 2.3 1.49 0.71 4 5

. 112

. 118

. 179

475 728 135 .0.21 8.3 12.7 2.4 1.59 0.76 4 5

130 482 747 135 .0.23 8.5 13.2 2.4 1.64 0.79 4 5

. 154

465 712 135 -0.19 8.0 12.3 2.3 1.54 0.74 4 5

478 767 135 .0.28 8.6 13.7 2.4 1.69 0.81 4 4

472 787 135 .0.33 8.6 14.3 2.5 1.74 0.84 4 4

79.3 85.2 82.3

79.9 85.8 82.9

80.5 86.3 83.4

81.0 86.9 83.9

81.6 87.4 84.5

82.1 87.9 85.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Popuktion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ITALY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

126 0.21 10.5 10.9 2.5 1 81 0.87

73 0.12 10.2 11.2 2.2 1.94 0.93

44 0.07 10.0 11.5 2.2 1.99 0.95

40 0.07 10.2 11.7 2.2 2.04 0.98

59 0.10 10.7 11.9 2.2 2.09 1 .00

88 0.14 11.4 12.2 2.2 2.14 1.03

1 02 0.16 11.9 12.4 2.2 2.19 1.05

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

170 0.29 10.7 10.4 2.6 1.63 0.78

.

99 0.16 12.1 12.6 2.2 2.24 1.08

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year(thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 18 .0.03 7.6 10.5 2.6 1 .13 0.54

. 141 .0.24 6.1 11.2 2.6 1.01 0.49

. 237 .0.41 5.3 11.8 2.4 0.94 0.45

. 255 .0.46 5.5 12.4 2.4 0.99 0.47

. 262 .0.48 5.7 13.0 2.5 1 .04 0.50

. 275 -0.52 5.9 13.6 2.5 1.09 0.52

. 305 .0.59 5.9 14.4 2.6 1.14 0.55

. 350

. 390

.0.70 5.6 15.2 2.7 1.19 0.57

.0.80 5.4 16.2 2.8 1.24 0.60

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) 58 646 Total ................................................... 28 479 Males ................................................ Females ............................................. 30168 Median age (years) ............................... 42.0

58 843 28 600 30243 43.9

58 589 28 498 30090 45.9

57 944 28 205 29739 47.8

57 108 27 813 29295 49.7

56 152 27 348 28804 51.0

55 065 26 807 28258 51.9

53 802 26 167 27635 52.5

52 328 25 415 26912 53.0

.0.22 7.1 11.6

.0.29 6.9 12.1

.0.34 6.8 12.6

.0.39 6.7 13.1

-0.46 6.6 13.7

.0.56 6.3 14.4

e0.65 6.1 15.3

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.07 8.5 10.5

.0.09 7.6 11.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

JAMAICA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1 403 682 720 94.7

13.5 22.6 18.8 5.8 3.9 0.2 51.9 22.2 128 1950-1955

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 682 1 323 1 359 97.4

2 756 1 359 1 396 97.3

2 819 1 391 1 429 97.3

2 872 1 417 1 455 97.3

2 908 1 435 1 474 97.4

2 924 1 442 1 482 97.4

2 916 1 438 1 478 97.3

2 885 1 423 1 462 97.4

2 833 1 399 1 434 97.5

10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 12.7 6.5 6.1 11.0 52.3 24.7 244

9.5 20.0 19.4 10.4 7.6 2.1 12.0 6.1 6.3 11.4 52.4 25.7 251

9.l 18.8 19.0 11.0 7.9 2.2 11.2 5.8 5.7 11.5 51.4 26.9 257

8.6 17.6 18.0 12.6 8.5 2.1 10.5 5.4 5.5 10.7 50.2 28.3 261

8.1 16.9 17.0 14.5 10.0 2.2 10.1 5.1 5.1 10.3 49.1 30.0 265

7.6 16.1 16.2 16.6 11.8 2.4 9.6 5.0 5.0 9.6 49.0 31.6 266

7.0 15.3 15.7 18.2 13.6 2.8 9.1 4.8 4.8 9.4 48.3 33.3 265

6.6 14.3 15.2 19.1 15.0 3.6 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.1 47.2 35.0 262

6.3 13.5 14.6 20.6 15.7 4.5 8.0 4.2 4.4 8.8 45.6 36.6 258

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

JAMAICA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2682 1 323 1 359

2783 1 373 1 410

2892 1 428 1 464

3001 1 483 1 519

3097 1 531 1 588

3179 I 573 1 806

3250 1 608 1 641

3312 1 641 1 670

3363 1 669 1 894

3 403 1 693 1710

10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 52.3 24.7

10.4 19.8 19.2 10.3 7.5 2.0 51.9 25.4

10.4 19.2 18.6 10.7 7.7 2.1 50.2 26.1

10.2 19.3 17.2 12.0 8.1 2.0 48.1 27.0

9.6 19.2 16.9 13.6 9.4 2.1 47.1 27.9

9.1 18.5 17.1 15.2 10.8 2.2 47.4 28.7

8.8 17.6 17.2 16.3 12.2 2.5 47.3 29.4

8.6 16.9 16.8 16.6 13.1 3.1 46.8 30.2

8.4 16.5 16.0 17.3 13.2 3.8 45.9 31.1

8.2 16.3 15.5 18.2 13.7 4.3 45.5 32.0

Populatlon (thousands) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

....

.. ........... ..........

20

22

0.74 21.8 7.1 -7.3 2.66 1.27

0.77 21.8 7. I -7.0 2.70 1.28

22 0.75 21.2 7.0 6.8 2.70 1.28

I9 0.63 19.9 7.1 -6.6 2.60 1.24

16 0.52 18.8 7.2 6.4 2.52 1.20

14 0.44 18.1 7.5 6.2 2.45 1.17

12 0.38 17.7 1.8 -6.1 2.38 1.14

10 0.31 17.3 8.2 -6.0 2.35 1.13

8 0.24 16.9 8.6 -5.9 2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT

Population (thOUMnd8) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2882 1 323 1 359

2 728 1345 1383

2 747 1354 1 393

2 743 1351 1392

2 721 1 339 1382

2 674 1315 1360

2 598 1 276 1322

2 492 1222 I 269

2 361 1158 1 203

2 210 1 084 1126

10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 52.3 24.7

8.6 20.2 19.6 10.5 7.7 2.1 52.9 26.0

7.7 18.3 19.5 11.3 8.1 2.2 52.7 27.7

7.0 15.8 18.9 13.2 8.9 2.2 52.5 29.7

6.5 14.3 17.2 15.5 10.7 2.4 51.4 32.0

5.9 13.3 15.0 18.1 12.8 2.8 50.8 34.5

5.2 12.5 13.7 20.4 15.3 3.1 49.2 37.2

4.6 11.3 13.0 22.1 17.4 4.2 47.2 40.1

4.1 10.1 12.4 24.7 18.8 5.4 44.3 43.1

3.8

Age dlstrlbution

.................. .................. .........

Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

~~

9.0

11.4 28.1 21.1 6.6 41. I 46.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2 0 3 5 - ~2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cfude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

9 0.34 17.9 7.1 -7.4 2.18 1.03

4 0.14 15.9 7.2 -7.3 1.90 0.90

- 1 -0.03 14.3 7.4 -7.3 1.70 0.81

- 4 -0.16 13.4 7.7 -7.3 1.60 0.76

- 9 -0.34 12.2 8.2 -7.4 1.52 0.73

-15 -0.58 10.7 8.9 -7.8 1.45 0.69

-

21 -0.83 9.3 9.8 -7.9 1.38 0.66

-26 -1.08 8.4 10.9 -8.2 1.35 0.65

-30 -1.32 7.8 12.2 -8.8 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2682 1 323 1 359 24.7

2778 1 370 1 407 25.4

2877 1 420 1 457 26.3

2978 1 471 I 507 27.3

3074 1 520 I 555 28.2

3166 1 566 1 600 28.9

3252 1 610 I 642 29.4

3334 1 652 1 681 29.8

3410 1 693 I 717 30.3

3 481 1 733 1 748 30.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............

Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

0.70 21.4 7.1

0.70 21.2 7.1

0.69 20.7 7.0

0.64 20.1 7.1

0.59 19.5 7.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.54 19.1 7.5

0.50 18.8 7.8

0.45 18.6 8.2

0.42 16.4 8.5

285

JAPAN

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... ..... .............. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined .................... ........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ........................ . . . ............... Both sexes combined ...........................

. 28

. 230

1 062 1 144 54

.0.02 8.3 9.0 0.4 1.27 0.61 3 4

960 1 244 54 .0.18 7.5 9.8 0.4 1.27 0.61 3 4

79.0 86.1 82.6

79.9 87.1 83.5

. 424 881 1 359 54 .0.34 7.0 10.8 0.4 1.30 0.63 3 4

80.5 87.9 84.2

. 575

.0.47 6.9 12.0 0.4 1.35 0.65 3 4

. 672 835 1 561 54 .0.56 7.0 13.0 0.5 1.40 0.66 3 4

. 737 825 1 615 54 .0.63 7.1 13.9 0.5 1.45 0.70 3 4

. 784 801 1 639 54 .0.70 7.1 14.6 0.5 1.50 0.72 3 4

. 812 767 1 633 54 .0.75 7.1 15.0 0.5 1.55 0.75 3 3

. 816 736 1 606 54 .0.78 7.0 15.4 0.5 1.60 0.77 3

81.0 88.4 84.7

81.5 88.9 85.2

82.0 89.4 85.7

82.4 89.9 86.1

82.9 90.4 86.6

83.3 90.9 87.1

846 1 475

54

3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

JAPAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.......................... Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5.2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

174 0.14 9.9 8.9 0.4 1.52 0.73

55 0.04 9.7 9.7 0.4 1.67 0.81

. 275

. 103 .0.08 9.3 10.6 0.4 1.80 0.87

.0.22 9.0 11.5 0.4 1.85 0.89

. 371 .0.29 9.0 12.4 0.4 l .90 0.92

. 398 .0.32 9.4 13.0 0.4 1.95 0.94

. 373 .0.31 9.9 13.4 0.4 2.00 0.97

. 333 .0.28 10.4 13.6 0.4 2.05 0.99

.1 036

. 1 104 .1.07 4.6 15.9 0.5 1 .00 0.48

.1 163 .1.19 4.2 16.7 0.6 1.05 0.51

. 302 .0.25 10 5 13.5 0.5 2.10 1.02

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ......................................... . Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 232 .0.18 6.7 9.0 0.4 1.02 0.49

. 524 .0.42 5.3 9.9 0.4 0.87 0.42

. 754 ..0.62 4.5 1 1 .1 0.4 0.80 0.38

. 881 .0.75 4.6 12.5 0.5 0.85 0.41

. 968 .0.85 4.7 13.7 0.5 0.90 0.43

.0.95 4.8 14.9 0.5 0.95 0.46

189 .1.30 3.9 17.5 0.6 1.10 0.53

.1

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................

127 897 62 486 65 41 1 42.9

127 824 62 322 65 502 44.6

12ft693 61 608 65 085 46.4

124 494 60 358 64 136 48.5

121 397 58 684 62 712 50.6

117 684 56 735 60 949 52.3

113 522 54 599 58 924 53.7

109 007 52 329 56 677 54.9

104 242 49 983 54 259 55.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

.0.01 8.4 8.9

.0.18 7.6 9.8

.0.35 6.9 10.8

.0.50 6.5 12.0

.0.62 6.4 13.1

.0.72 6.3 14.0

.0.81 6.1 14.7

.0.89 5.9 15.3

.0.96 5.8 15.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affai~rsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volumi?I: Comprehensive Tables

2045

JORDAN

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................... .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

472 245 227 107.9

665 345 320 107.8

896 465 431 107.7

1 106

1 623 833

1 937

571 536 106.6

789 105.6

991 946 104.7

2 225 1152 1 074 107.3

2 706 1414 1 292 109.4

3 254 1696 1 558 108.8

4 304 2250 2 054 109.5

4 799 2480 2 319 106.9

18.6 27.1 17.4 7.4 4.8 0.4 41.5 17.2 5

17.4 27.7 19.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 43.5 17.3 7

17.4 27.0 19.9 6.1 4.1 0.3 45.1 17.6 10

18.8 26.1 19.8 5.4 3.7 0.5 45.1 17.4 12

19.0 26.9 19.0 4.8 3.1 0.4 44.4 17.1 18

19.6 27.6 18.0 4.3 2.8 0.3 43.1 16.4 22

18.7 30.7 19.4 4.6 3.1 0.5 41.7 15.3 25

17.7 29.3 20.6 5.2 3.6 0.6 43.3 16.2 30

17.8 29.0 21.8 4.8 3.2 0.6 43.1 16.3 36

15.0 26.3 22.5 4.1 2.5 0.4 48.7 18.8 48

14.9 25.4 20.6 4.6 2.8 0.4 49.7 19.4 54

1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesperl00females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 544 2854 2 690 106.1

6 453 3310 3 143 105.3

6 923 3545 3 378 104.9

7 469 3817 3 652 104.5

8 029 4095 3 935 104.1

8 554 4353 4 201 103.6

9 029 4585 4 444 103.2

9 445 4784 4 661 102.7

9 813 4958 4 855 102.1

10 121 5100 5 021 101.6

12.8 24.4 20.4 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.0 6.7 6.5 12.1 52.6 21 .1 62

11.9 22.3 19.8 5.3 3.5 0.4 13.4 6.7 6.1 11.7 55.0 22.9 72

10.9 21.3 19.2 5.7 3.9 0.6 12.9 6.1 6.2 11.3 55.1 24.2

9.7 20.2 18.8 6.5 4.2 0.7 12.2 6.0 5.7 11.3 54.8 25.8 84

8.9 18.4 18.2 8.0 4.9 0.8 11.0 5.7 5.7 10.8 54.5 27.6 90

8.2 16.8 17.6 10.3 6.2 0.9 10.0 5.1 5.2 10.6 54.0 29.5 96

7.5 15.6 16.3 12.7 8.1 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.9 52.8 31.4 101

7.0 14.6 15.2 14.9 10.2 1.4 8.7 4.5 4.5 9.1 51.6 33.4 106

6.7 13.6 14.3 17.1 12.1 1.9 8.1 4.2 4.3 8.6 50.4 35.3 110

6.4 13.0 13.6 19.0 13.9 2.8 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.2 48.6 37.0 113

77

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .. .. .............. Females ........................... . . . . ............ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

JORDAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

5 544 2 854 2690

6 513 3 341 3173

7 093 3 632 3461

7 781 3 976 3805

8 496 4 333 4163

9 197 4 682 4515

9 886 5 023 4863

10 560 5 355 5205

11 229 5 682 5546

12.8 24.4 20.4 5.1 3.2 0.4 52.6 21.1

12.7 22.1 19.6 5.3 3.5 0.4 54.5 22.7

12.2 21.6 18.8 5.6 3.8 0.5 53.8 23.5

11.2 21.6 18.1 6.2 4.0 0.7 52.6 24.5

10.2 20.3 17.9 7.6 4.6 0.8 52.2 25.9

9.5 18.8 18.2 9.6 5.7 0.9 52.0 27.2

9.1 17.6 17.4 11.6 7.4 1.0 51.4 28.6

8.7 16.8 16.4 13.4 9.2 1.2 50.6 30.0

8.5 16.1 15.5 15.0 10.5 1.7 49.8 31.4

194 3.22 27.8 4.0 8.3 3.38 1.60

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

170 2.85 23.9 3.9 8.4 2.88 1.36

72 1.10 20.2 3.9 .5.3 2.41 1.14

80 1.16 17.0 4.0 -1.4 2.04 0.97

81 1.11 15.4 4.3 0.0 1.82 0.87

71 0.91 13.8 4.7 0.0 1.63 0.78

56 0.69 12.1 5.2 0.0 1.47 0.71

39 0.47 10.6 5.9 0.0 1.36 0.65

24 0.29 9.7 6.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

9 0.10 9.0 7.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

5 544 2 854 2690 21.1

6 546 3 357 3189 22.6

7 206 3 690 3517 23.1

8 026 4 102 3925 23.7

8 949 4 565 4384 24.3

9 941 5 063 4879 24.7

11 025 5 606 5419 25.3

12 208 6 198 6010 25.8

13 487 6 838 6649 26.1

3.32 28.8 4.0

1.92 28.2 3.9

2.16 26.7 3.9

2.18 25.7 3.9

2.10 25.1 4.0

2.07 24.9 4.2

2.04 24.8 4.5

1.99 24.7 4.7

1.93 24.3 5.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

KAZAKHSTAN A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

KAZAKHSTAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 43 0.92 21.8 10.1 -2.6 2.56 1.20

1 62 0.99 21.6 9.3 -2.5 2.60 1.22

147 0.86 19.7 8.8 .2.3 2.61 1.23

109 0.62 16.9 8.5 -2.3 2.53 1.20

96 0.53 16.0 8.5 -2.2 2.45 1.17

112 0.60 16.8 8.7 .2.1 2.39 1.14

129 0.67 17.7 8.9 -2.1 2.35 1.12

125 0.62 17.3 9.1 -2.0 2.35 1.12

102 0.49 16.1 9.2 .1.9 2.35 1.12

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Tdal ................................................... Males .................................... ............... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... . . ........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

77 0.50 17.6 10.1 -2.6 2.06 0.96

54 0.35 15.5 9.4 .2.5 1.80 0.85

22 0.14 13.1 9.2 .2.5 1.61 0.76

.4 .0.03 11.5 9.3 .2.5 1.53 0.72

. 29 .0.18 10.3 9.6 .2.5 1.45 0.69

. 48 .0.31 9.7 10.2 .2.5 1.39 0.66

. 64 .0.42 9.4 11.0 .2.6 1.35 0.64

-84 .0.56 8.9 11.8 .2.7 1.35 0.64

-107 .0.73 8.1 12.7 .2.7 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Median age (years) .................................

15211 7274 7 937 28.8

15565 7431 8 135 29.9

15975 7624 8 352 31.3

16318 7788 8 530 33.0

16554 7903 8 651 35.0

16720 7987 8 733 36.5

16847 8056 8 791 37.4

16934 8111 8 823 37.8

16953 8137 8 816 38.4

16887 8124 8 763 39.3

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

0.46 17.3 10.1

0.52 17.2 9.5

0.43 15.9 9.2

0.29 14.4 9.1

0.20 13.6 9.2

0.15 13.5 9.6

0.10 13.5 10.1

0.02 13.2 10.6

.0.08 12.6 11.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

KENYA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrih (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................... ....... Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

35599 17 740 17 859 99.3

40645 20 265 20 380 99.4

46167 23 031 23 136 99.5

51691 25 793 25 898 99.6

57176 28 531 28 645 99.6

62762 31 316 31 446 99.6

68464 34 156 34 308 99.6

74136 36 977 37 159 99.5

79596 39 683 39 913 99.4

84757 42 227 42 529 99.3

16.8 25.9 22.2 3.9 2.7 0.4 15.8 7.1 7.2 13.1 48.9 18.1 61

16.9 26.1 20.5 4.0 2.5 0.4 16.1 6.9 6.3 12.3 48.2 18.4 70

15.7 26.8 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.4 16.6 7.1 6.4 11.1 48.1 18.6 80

14.2 26.5 19.9 4.7 2.9 0.4 16.2 7.5 6.8 11.5 49.4 19.3 89

13.1 24.9 21.1 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.0 7.3 7.0 12.3 51.4 20.3 99

12.3 23.1 21.3 5.6 3.6 0.5 13.9 6.8 6.7 12.7 52.7 21.7 108

11.7 21.8 20.4 6.2 4.0 0.6 13.2 6.3 6.2 12.2 53.1 23.1 118

11.1 20.9 19.2 7.1 4.5 0.6 12.7 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.0 24.4 128

10.3 20.1 18.5 8.2 5.2 0.7 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.9 53.4 25.7 137

9.5 19.1 18.1 9.5 6.2 0.8 11.5 5.7 5.6 10.7 53.7 27.0 146

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 1 009 Population change peryear (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... 1 496 449 Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Not migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 38 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 2.65 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 39.2 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 11.8 Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . .1.0 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 4.96 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.96 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 64 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 104 Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ............................................. 53.0 Females ............................................... 55.2 Both sexes comb~ned............................ 54.1

451

460

. l0

. l0

2.55 36.1 10.4 .0.2 4.54 1.85 58 93

2.26 32.2 9.4 .0.2 4.04 1.70 53 83

l 097 1 590 483 . 10 2.02 29.2 8.9 .0.2 3.59 1.54 49 75

55.4 58.1 56.8

57.1 60.2 58.6

50.3 61.4 59.9

1 104 1 565

l 105 1 575

1 117 1 637 509 . 10 1.86 27.3 8.5 .0.2 3.22 1.41 45 67

1 140 1 689

59.6 62.9 61.2

1.74 25.7 8.2 .0.2 2.93 1.30 40 59

1 134 1 712 567 . 10 1.59 24.0 8.0 -0.1 2.71 1.22 35 51

1 092 1 699 597 . 10 1.42 22.1 7.8 0.1 2.53 1.16 32 44

1 032 1 672 630 . 10 1.26 20.3 7.7 .0.1 2.39 1.11 28 38

61.1 64.4 62.7

62.6 66.0 64.3

64.0 67.5 65.7

65.4 69.0 67.2

538

. l0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

KENYA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

1 079 2.82 41.0 11.9 .1.0 5.21 2.06

1 230 2.80 38.6 10.5 -0.2 4.94 2.02

1 283 2.55 35.1 9.5 .0.2 4.54 1.91

1 307 2.30 32.0 8.9 -0.2 4.09 1.75

1 384 2.18 30.3 8.4 -0.2 3.72 1.62

1 491 2.11 29.2 8.0 -0.1 3.43 1.53

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Age distributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

....

.. .

..........

940 2.48 37.4 11.7 -1.0 4.71 1.86

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

35 599 17 740 17 859 18.1

40 692 20 288 20 404 18.3

46 832 23 388 23 466 18.3

53 864 26 887 26 978 18.3

61 926 30 919 31 006 18.5

71 319 35 615 35 703 18.7

82 346 41 129 41 216 18.8

95 283 47 597 47 686 18.8

110 431 55 167 55 264 18.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.67 39.5 11.8

2.81 38.8 10.5

2.80 37.8 9.6

2.79 37.1 9.1

2.82 36.9 8.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.88 36.8 8.0

2.92 36.7 7.4

2.95 36.4 6.9

2.98 36.3 6.4

KUWAIT

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

152 90 146.4

199 120 80 150.5

278 1 74 104 166.8

471 287 183 157.0

744 422 322 130.9

1007 551 456 120.7

1375 788 587 134.2

1720 977 743 131.5

2143 1 218 925 131.6

1725 1 037 688 150.9

2228 1 355 874 155.1

15.2 21.0 21.9 4.5 2.9 0.2 46.6 21.5 9

17.0 19.3 20.9 4.6 3.3 0.3 45.7 22.0 11

15.7 19.1 20.7 3.6 2.2 0.1 46.5 22.8 16

17.3 21.0 20.4 2.6 1.7 0.3 45.6 21.4 26

18.5 24.9 18.2 2.5 1.7 0.3 44.8 18.9 42

18.1 26.3 17.6 2.8 1.6 0.2 45.9 18.2 56

15.7 24.6 18.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 48.2 20.5 77

14.5 22.6 17.2 2.1 1.2 0.2 52.3 22.5 97

14.2 22.4 17.3 2.1 1.2 0.2 52.8 22.8 120

10.5 18.3 16.4 2.2 1.2 0.2 56.5 26.8 97

9.4 16.6 14.9 2.6 1.4 0.2 60.4 28.9 125

62

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatfon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2 700 1629 1 071 152.0

3 051 l811 1 239 146.1

3 376 1988 1 390 143.0

3 690 2155 1 535 140.3

3 988 2311 1 676 137.9

4 273 2459 1 814 135.5

4 547 2596 1 951 133.0

4 807 2721 2 086 130.4

5 039 2827 2 212 127.8

5 240 2913 2 327 125.2

8.5 15.2 16.0 3.1 1.8 0.2 9.3 4.3 4.1 9.8 62.5 29.2 152

8.5 14.8 14.4 4.1 2.3 0.2 9.0 4.2 4.0 8.7 61.4 30.6 171

7.7 14.7 13.7 5.4 3.1 0.3 9.0 4.1 4.0 8.2 59.8 32.3 190

7.0 14.3 13.4 7.7 4.3 0.5 8.6 4.2 4.0 8.0 57.9 34.0 207

6.4 13.2 13.5 10.5 6.2 0.7 7.9 4.0 4.0 8.1 55.9 35.5 224

6.2 12.2 13.3 14.1 8.5 1 .0 7.3 3.7 3.8 8.1 53.5 36.7 240

6.1 11.6 12.5 18.0 11.6 1.4 7.0 3.4 3.5 7.6 51.3 37.7 255

6.0 11.4 11.7 21.5 14.8 2.2 6.9 3.3 3.3 7.1 49.6 38.5 270

5.9 11.4 11.3 23.8 17.7 3.1 6.9 3.3 3.2 6.8 48.4 39.3 283

5.7 11.3 11.2 24.9 19.5 4.4 6.8 3.4 3.3 6.7 47.4 40.1 294

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................... . ................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

76 2.63 19.9 1.9 8.3 2.43 1 .18

75 2.31 19.1 2.1 6.1 2.49 1.21

75 2.06 17.6 2.5 5.5 2.51 1.22

73 1.81 16.1 3.0 5.0 2.44 1.19

72 1.64 15.4 3.6 4.6 2.38 1.16

73 1.54 15.5 4.3 4.2 2.35 1.15

75 1.46 15.8 5.1 3.9 2.35 1.15

73 1.34 15.7 6.0 3.7 2.35 1.15

70 1.20 15.3 6.8 3.4 2.35 1.15

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.................. .........

2 700 1 629 1 071

3 022 1 796 1 225

3 299 1 948 1 351

3 548 2 083 1 465

3 780 2 206 1 574

3 993 2 317 1 676

4 184 2 412 1 772

4 345 2 487 1 858

4 467 2 537 1 930

8.5 15.2 16.0 3.l 1.8 0.2 62.5 29.2

7.6 15.0 14.6 4.1 2.4 0.2 62.2 30.8

6.4 14.2 14.1 5.5 3.2 0.3 61.5 32.8

5.5 12.6 13.9 8.0 4.4 0.5 60.7 35.0

5.0 10.9 13.5 11.0 6.5 0.7 58.7 37.0

4.8 9.8 12.3 15.1 9.1 1 .0 55.6 38.7

4.6 9.3 10.9 19.5 12.6 1.5 52.5 40.3

4.4 9.0 10.0 23.7 16.4 2.4 50.2 41.8

4.1 8.8 9.7 26.8 19.9 3.5 48.4 43.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

64

2.25 15.9 1.8 8.4 1.93 0.94

56 1.76 13.4 2.1 6.3 1.69 0.82

46

50 1.45 11.3 2.6 5.8 1.51 0.74

1.27 10.4 3.2 5.5 1.44 0.70

43 1.10 9.8 4.0 5.1 1.38 0.67

38 0.94 9.4 4.9 4.9 1.35 0.66

32 0.76 8.9 6.1 4.7 1.35 0.66

24 0.56 8.3 7.3 4.5 1.35 0.66

16 0.36 7.8 8.6 4.4 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .................... . ........................ Median age (years) ................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2 700 1629 1 071 29.2

3 062 1817 1 245 30.5

3 41 1 2005 1 407 32.1

3 758 2189 1 569 33.5

4 101 2369 1 732 34.6

4 445 2546 1 899 35.4

4 789 2718 2 070 35.9

5 128 2884 2 244 36.3

5 454 3037 2 417 36.7

2.52 18.6 l .9

2.16 17.6 2.1

1.93 16.3 2.5

1.75 15.4 3.0

1.61 15.1 3.7

1.49 15.0 4.4

1.37 14.9 5.3

1.23 14.7 6.2

1.10 14.5 7.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

KYRGYZSTAN A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... ........... Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 59 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 117 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 43 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 15 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1 .10 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 21.8 Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. 8.1 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . .2.8 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 2.48 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1 .12 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 53 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) 64 Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) 62.0 Males ................................................. Females .......................... ................. 69.9 Both sexes combined ........................... 65.9

..

57 117 45 . 15 1.01 20.7 7.9 .2.7 2.31 1.05 50 60

48 109 45 . 15 0.82 18.4 7.7 .2.5 2.12 0.97

63.1 70.9 66.9

.2

55

37 98 46 . 15 0.60 16.0 7.5 .2.5 1.96 0.90 41 50

27 90 48 . 15 0.43 14.4 7.7 .2.4 1.86 0.86 38 46

23 90 52 . 15 0.35 14.0 8.2 .2.3 1.85 0.86 35 42

16 89 57 15 0.25 13.7 8.9 .2.3 1 85 0.86 32 38

8 85 63 . 15 0.12 13.0 9.6 .2.3 1 .85 0.87 29 35

80 67 . 15 .0.03 12.2 10.2 .2.3 1.85 0.87 26 31

64.3 72.0 68.1

65.7 73.1 69.4

66.9 74.1 70.5

68.1 75.0 71.6

69.1 75.8 72.5

70.1 76.6 73.3

70.9 77.3 74.1

46

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

KYRGYZSTAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cwde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2050 7891 3891 4 OM)

70 1.30 23.9 8.1 -2.8 2.73 1.24

76 1.33 23.9 8.0 .2.6 2.71 1.23

73 1.19 22.0 7.7 -2.5 2.62 1.20

61 0.94 19.1 7.3 .2.3 2.46 1.13

53 0.79 17.5 7.3 .2.2 2.36 1.09

55 0.78 17.6 7.7 -2.1 2.35 1.09

55 0.76 17.8 8.1 .2.1 2.35 1.10

51 0.68 17.3 8.6 .2.0 2.35 1.10

44 0.56 16.5 8.9 -1.9 2.35 1.11

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Tolal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

48 0.89 19.7 8.0 -2.8 2.23 1.01

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

5 204 2 565 2 639 23.9

5 501 2 711 2 789 25.2

5 832 2 874 2 958 26.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.1 1 22.0 8.1

1.17 22.3 8.0

1.11 21.4 7.7

. . .

6 166 3 038 3 128 28.2

6 476 3 190 3 287 29.6

6 763 3 329 3 434 30.6

0.87 18.4 7.5

0.81 18.1 7.8

.

- p - p p

0.98 19.7 7.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

7 042 3 465 3 577 31.1

.

.

.

0.77 18.0 8.2

7 319 3 602 3 717 31.7

7 586 3 736 3 850 32.3

0.72 17.8 8.7

0.65 17.4 9.0

.

7 835 3 863 3 972 33.0

LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1 524 751 773 97.2

1 747 859 888 96.8

1 986 977 1009 96.9

2 251 1109 1 142 97.2

2 551 1260 1290 97.7

2 907 1441 1466 98.3

14.7 24.6 19.5 3.9 2.2 0.1 50.9 20.3 6

18.4 23.0 18.4 4.2 2.4 0.1 48.3 19.4 7

17.7 25.1 17.9 4.5 2.6 0.2 46.6 18.8 8

17.2 27.4 16.9 4.8 2.8 0.2 44.7 18.1 10

17.0 26.7 18.6 5.0 3.0 0.2 45.4 17.8 11

17.3 26.2 20.3 5.1 3.1 0.2 45.6 18.0 12

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

102 159 42 . 15 1.72 26.8 7.1 .2.5 3.21 1.41 51 67

105 161 41 . 15 1.64 25.1 6.4 .2.3 2.87 1.29 43 54

105 161 41 . 15 1.51 23.1 5.9 .2.2 2.60 1.19 35 43

98 155 42 . 15 1.31 20.7 5.6 .2.0 2.37 1.10 29 35

86 145 44 . 15 1.08 18.3 5.6 .l.9 2.17 1.02 24 28

72 135 48 . 15 0.86 16.2 5.7 .1.8 2.01 0.95 20 23

59 127 53 15 0.69 14.7 6.1 .1.7 1.87 0.89 17 20

53 127 59 . 15 0.59 14.2 6.6 .1.7 1.85 0.88 15 17

46 126 66 . 15 0.50 13.8 7.2 .1.6 1.85 0.89 13 15

63.0 65.8 64.4

64.9 68.1 66.5

66.7 70.1 68.4

68.2 71.9 70.0

69.5 73.4 71.5

70.7 74.8 72.7

71.7 75.9 73.8

72.6 76.9 74.8

73.5 77.8 75.7

h

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

20fO

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

113 1.91 28.7 7.2 -2.5 3.46 1.52

127 1.93 28.1 6.5 -2.3 3.27 1.47

1 34 1 .87 26.6 5.9 -2.1 3.10 1.42

130 1.66 23.9 5.5 -1.9 2.87 1.33

121 1.43 21.4 5.3 .1.8 2.67 1.26

113 1.24 19.5 5.4 -1.7 2.51 1.19

108 1.12 18.4 5.6 -1.6 2.37 1.13

110 1.08 18.2 5.9 .1.5 2.35 1.12

110 1.02 17.9 6.3 m1.4 2.35 1.12

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate Ioer 1.000 oooulation\ .... Crude death rate8(perl .o O population) ~ .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)

.................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

90

1.53 24.8 7.0 -2.5 2.96 1 .30

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) . ............... Total .................................. Males ........................... ...................... Females ................................ ....... . . . Median age (years) ...............................

5664 2820 2844 19.2

6265 3128 3136 20.5

6990 3499 3491 21.7

7812 3917 3895 22.5

8693 4364 4329 22.8

2.02 29.9 7.2

2.19 30.7 6.5

2.22 30.1 5.9

2.14 28.6 5.4

2.05 27.3 5.2

9630 4839 4792 22.9

10649 5354 5296 23.3

11778 5923 5854 23.8

13031 6556 6474 24.2

2.01 26.7 5.1

2.01 26.5 5.1

2.02 26.5 5.1

2.01 26.3 5.1

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

14410 7254 7157 24.5

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1 949 843 1 106 76.2

2 015 884 1 131 78.2

2 121 931 1 190 78.3

2 266 1022 1 244 82.2

2 359 1078 1 281 84.2

2 456 1129 1 327 85.1

2 512 1156 1 356 85.2

2 579 1 191 1 388 85.8

2 663 1239 1 425 86.9

2 490 1 149 1 341 85.7

2 379 1094 1 284 85.2

7.7 17.6 17.3 15.6 11.2 l .9 49.1 30.5 30

7.7 15.7 17.4 15.2 11.0 l .9 49.8 30.6 31

7.8 14.2 16.2 15.0 10.5 1 .8 50.4 32.1

7.5 14.7 14.8 16.2 11.0 2.0 48.1 32.8 35

6.8 14.9 14.0 17.3 11.9 2.1 49.0 34.1 37

7.3 13.8 15.0 17.8 12.7 2.2 48.5 34.8 38

6.9 13.6 15.4 16.5 13.0 2.3 47.8 35.0 39

7.4 13.7 14.3 16.6 11.8 2.5 46.7 34.7 40

7.8 13.6 13.9 17.4 11.8 2.8 45.7 34.6 41

5.6 15.1 13.5 19.3 13.6 2.9 44.6 36.1 39

4.0 13.7 14.1 21.2 15.3 2.8 46.1 38.0 37

33

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2 302 1 060 1 242 85.4

2 243 1 034 1 209 85.6

2 189 1 012 l l77 86.0

2 134 990 1 143 86.6

2 072 966 1 107 87.3

2 012 940 1 071 87.8

l 947 912 1 035 88.2

1 883 884 999 88.5

1 825

1 768 834

4.4 10.0 15.7 22.4 16.6 3.2 5.5 3.8 4.8 9.4 47.6 39.3 36

4.7 8.7 14.3 22.7 17.6 4.0 5.2 2.6 3.3 9.3 46.7 40.3 35

4.9 9.3 10.4 23.9 17.7 4.5 5.7 2.7 2.5 6.4 44.1 41.4 34

4.9 9.8 9.0 25.3 18.7 5.0 6.0 2.9 2.8 5.2 42.6 42.5 33

4.6 10.1 9.6 27.1 20.1 5.3 6.1 3.1 3.0 5.8 41.1 43.8 32

4.1 9.9 10.3 28.3 21.9 5.3 5.8 3.1 3.2 6.2 40.1 45.5 31

3.9 9.1 10.7 30.0 23.0 6.1 5.3 3.0 3.2 6.5 38.4 47.6 30

4.1 8.4 10.5 31.6 24.4 6.9 4.9 2.7 3.0 6.5 35.4 49.4 29

4.4 8.4 9.7 34.0 25.9 7.9 5.0 2.5 2.6 6.0 34.1 50.2 28

859 966 88.9

934 89.4 4.6 8.9 8.9 37.3 28.0 8.3 5.4 2.6 2.5 5.4 34.4 49.3 27

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

.8 .0.33 11.1 13.6 .0.9 1.54 0.73

.4 .0.20 12.5 13.6 -0.9 1.73 0.83

.4 -0.17 12.7 13.5 .0.9 1.88 0.90

.6 -0.29 11.4 13.4 -0.9 1.93 0.93

.7 0.33 10.0 13.3 0.0 1.98 0.95

.7 -0.32 10.1 13.3 0.0 2.03 0.98

.4 -0.19 11.5 13.4 0.0 2.08 1 00

.1 .0.05 12.9 13.4 0.0 2.13 1.03

0 .0.01 13.3 13.4 0.0 2.18 1.05

2050

Populatlon (thousands) . ........................ Total ....................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Pe~centageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................. ....

. 16 -0.70 7.6 13.7 -0.9 1.04 0.49

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................. .................. Males .................................................. Females ...................... ................. Median age (years) .................................

.. . .

2302 1 060 1 242 39.3

2240 1 033 1 207 40.4

2178 1 007 1 171 41.6

2107 977 1 130 43.0

2024 941 1 083 44.5

1946 906 1 039 46.5

1865 870 995 48.7

1782 832 950 51.0

1696 793 903 52.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.OS4 9.1 13.6

.0.56 9.1 13.8

-0.67 8.3 14.0

.0.80 7.2 14.2

.0.79 6.6 14.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.85 6.4 14.8

-0.91 6.4 15.5

.0.99 6.2 16.1

.1.09 5.9 16.8

1606 751 855 53.8

LEBANON A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .............. Females ......................... ... ............... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................... ................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Both sexes comblned ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

LEBANON

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousends) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 01 1 1 965 2 046

4 269 2 091 2 178

4 541 2 225 2 316

4 814 2 361 2 453

5 072 2 489 2 583

5 31 1 2 609 2 702

5 536 2 723 2 813

5 760 2 837 2 922

5 983 2 953 3 030

6 197 3 066 3 131

9.1 19.5 18.0 10.2 7.2 1 .0 53.7 27.1

9.5 17.8 17.5 10.4 7.3 1.1 53.2 28.2

9.5 16.9 17.1 11.1 7.5 1.3 52.0 29.2

9.3 17.3 15.6 12.2 8.1 1.4 49.8 30.0

8.7 17.2 14.9 13.6 9.2 1.5 48.5 31 .1

8.1 16.6 15.5 15.1 10.4 1.6 47.7 32.2

7.9 15.7 15.6 16.6 11.7 l .9 47.1 33.0

7.9 15.0 15.2 17.8 12.9 2.4 46.5 33.5

7.9 14.8 14.4 19.1 13.9 2.9 45.5 34.1

7.8 14.9 13.8 20.0 14.9 3.4 44.6 34.7

52 1.25 20.1 7.1 -0.6 2.46 1.16

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ..................................... :......... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

35 0.86 16.2 7.0 -0.6 1.96 0.93

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT ~

. .

~

-

p

.. -

p

P

.

. .

P

P

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

4 011 1965 2 046 27.1

4 245 2079 2 166 28.3

4 484 2196 2 288 29.6

4 718 2312 2 407 30.7

4 950 2427 2 523 31.9

5 169 2537 2 632 33.1

5 375 2641 2 734 34.1

5 568 2740 2 828 34.7

5 750 2835 2 916 35.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.14 19.0 7.0

1.09 18.6 7.1

1.02 18.1 7.0

0.96 17.4 7.0

0.87 16.6 7.1

0.78 16.0 7.4

0.70 15.7 7.9

0.65 15.5 8.3

0.59 15.3 8.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

5 922 2926 2 996 35.8

LESOTHO A ESTIMATES indicator Population (thousands) ..................... Total .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

. .

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

734 344 390 88.3

788 369 418 88.2

851 396 455 87.0

933 430 503 85.4

1 033 477 555 86.0

1 149 531 619 85.7

1 296 598 698 85.6

1 472 681 791 86.1

l 601 743 858 86.6

1 722 803 919 87.4

1 886 881 1004 87.7

16.3 24.4 18.1 6.9 4.5 0.4 45.4 19.8 24

16.2 25.7 18.0 6.7 4.3 0.4 45.3 19.1 26

16.6 26.4 18.6 6.6 4.2 0.4 45.3 18.3 28

17.0 26.6 19.1 6.5 4.2 0.4 45.8 17.9 31

17.1 27.0 19.6 6.6 4.2 0.4 45.4 17.6 34

17.3 27.2 19.6 6.4 4.2 0.4 45.4 17.5 38

17.4 27.4 19.8 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.4 17.4 43

17.0 27.7 19.7 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.5 17.4 49

16.5 28.5 19.7 6.6 4.3 0.5 45.2 17.3 53

15.4 28.8 20.6 6.9 4.5 0.5 45.7 17.4 57

14.8 27.2 22.4 6.9 4.7 0.6 47.8 18.2 62

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant rnortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

1 981 930 1051 88.5

2 044 969 1075 90.2

2 107 1009 1098 91.9

2 163 1045 1118 93.5

2 21 1 1077 1133 95.0

2 252 1103 1148 96.1

2 288 1124 1162 96.7

2 314 1139 1175 96.9

2 337 1150 1187 96.9

13.8 26.6 23.5 6.7 4.7 0.7 16.1 7.7 7.6 13.9 48.6 18.8 65

13.1 26.0 23.7 6.7 4.7 0.7 15.6 7.8 7.4 14.1 48.9 19.4 67

12.6 24.8 23.4 6.8 4.7 0.8 14.9 7.4 7.4 13.9 50.3 20.2 69

12.1 24.0 22.9 6.9 4.8 0.8 14.4 7.1 7.0 13.7 51.9 21.0 71

11.5 23.3 22.1 6.8 5.0 0.8 14.0 7.0 6.9 13.2 53.3 21 .8 73

11.0 22.5 21.6 6.5 4.9 0.9 13.5 6.8 6.7 12.9 54.6 22.6 74

10.4 21.5 21.2 6.4 4.6 0.9 12.9 6.6 6.6 12.7 55.3 23.5 75

9.9 20.6 20.7 6.8 4.6 1 .0 12.3 6.3 6.3 12.4 55.5 24.4 76

9.5 19.7 19.9 7.9 5.0 1 .0 11.8 6.0 6.0 11.9 55.3 25.5 77

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.........

13 58 39 .7 0.63 29.0 19.2 .3.6 3.37 1.20 65 98

13 57 37 .7 0.61 27.5 18.0 .3.5 3.05 1.13 55 83

11 56 37 .7 0.52 26.1 17.5 .3.4 2.80 1.07 47 69

10 54 37 .7 0.44 24.6 17.0 .3.3 2.61 1.02 42 60

8 52 36 .7 0.37 23.2 16.3 .3.2 2.45 0.99 37 53

7 50 36 .7 0.30 21.9 15.8 -3.2 2.32 0.97 33 47

6 48 35 .7 0.24 20.8 15.2 .3.1 2.21 0.94 29 42

5 46 34 .7 0.20 19.8 14.7 3.1 2.12 0.91 26 38

4 44 33 .7 0.16 18.7 14.1 .3.1 2.03 0.89 24 34

42.9 42.3 42.6

45.4 44.0 44.8

47.1 45.3 46.3

48.6 46.9 47.9

50.0 49.1 49.6

51.2 51.1 51.2

52.3 53.0 52.6

53.7 54.6 54.1

55.3 56.4 55.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LESOTHO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..

..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 981

2 064 979 1 085

2 162 1036 1 125

2 263 1096 1 167

2 360 1 152 1 208

2 457 1207 1 250

2 557 1261 1 297

2 664 1316 1 349

2 776 1372 1 404

13.8 26.6 23.5 6.7 4.7 0.7 48.6 18.8

14.0 25.7 23.5 6.7 4.6 0.7 48.5 19.2

13.9 25.1 22.8 6.6 4.6 0.8 49.1 19.6

13.6 25.3 21.9 6.6 4.6 0.8 49.6 20.0

12.9 25.2 21.5 6.4 4.6 0.8 50.8 20.2

12.4 24.5 21.9 6.0 4.5 0.8 52.2 20.8

12.0 23.4 22.1 5.7 4.2 0.8 53.2 21.5

11.8 22.6 21.5 5.9 4.0 0.9 53.5 22.2

11.5 22.1 20.5 6.6 4.2 0.8 53.4 23.0

17 0.82 31.0 19.P -3.6 3.62 1.29

20 0.92 30.6 17.9 -3.4 3.45 1.28

20 0.92 29.7 17.2 -3.3 3.30 1.25

19 0.84 27.9 16.4 -3.1 3.1 1 l .22

19 0.80 26.5 15.5 -3.0 2.95 1.20

20 0.80 25.6 14.7 -2.9 2.82 1.17

21 0.82 25.0 14.1 -2.8 2.71 1.15

22 0.82 24.2 13.4 .2.6 2.62 1.13

0.79 23.2 12.7 .2.5 2.53 1.11

930 1 051

22

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

. ....

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Nei reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 0.43 27.0 19.1 .3.6 3.12 1.12

6 0.28 24.3 18.0 .3.5 2.65 0.98

2 0.09 22.3 17.6 .3.5 2.30 0.88

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population)

..

.2 .0.12 19.6 17.3 .3.5 1.95 0.79

.5 .0.26 18.0 17.0 .3.5 1.82 0.76

.8 -0.39 16.4 16.7 .3.6 1.71 0.73

. 10 .0.49 15.1 16.3 .3.7 1.62 0.70

. 11 .0.56 13.9 15.8 .3.8 1.53 0.67

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

.

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Median age (years) ................................

0 -0.01 21 .0 17.6 .3.5 2.11 0.83

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1981 930 1 051 18.8

2075 985 1 090 19.1

2196 1054 1 142 19.3

2334 1131 1 202 19.3

2487 1216 1 270 19.1

2662 1310 1 352 19.1

2868 1417 1 451 19.3

3108 1540 1 568 19.5

3384 1679 1 704 19.7

0.93 32.1 19.3

1.13 32.6 17.9

1.22 32.4 17.1

1.27 31.7 16.1

1.37 31.3 14.9

1.49 31.3 13.8

1.61 31.4 12.9

1.70 31.2 12.0

1.78 31 .0 11.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

LIBERIA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1850

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

824

925 457 467 97.9

1052 521

1387

W.0

1203 598 607 $8.2

698 96.6

1605 799 806 99.1

1868 931 937 99.4

2171 1083 1 w#) 99.6

2137 1067 1070 99.8

2143 1070 1073 99.8

3071 1533 1538 99.7

17.7 25.0 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.2 46.4 18.7 8

18.0 26.0 18.3 4.8 2.9 0.2 45.4 18.1 9

18.1 26.8 18.4 4.7 2.0 0.2 44.7 17.5 11

18.4 27.0 18.9 4.5 2.7 0.2 44.6 17.2 12

18.6 27.2 19.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 44.5 17.0 14

18.8 27.4 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 44.4 16.8 17

19.0 27.6 19.3 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.3 16.6 19

19.1 27.9 19.3 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.2 16.4 19

18.4 28.3 19.6 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.8 16.5 19

18.9 27.8 20.0 3.7 2.3 0.2 45.0 16.5 20

~ U k t r o (thOUMIld0) n

Total ....................................................

Males ...................................................

408 416 98.0

A- dl.Mbut)on Percentage aged 0 4 .... Pecceotage a p j 5-14.... Percentage aged 15-24.. . Percentage aged 60o( cnmr .................. Percentage aged 05 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ........ Percentage of w m m aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuhtkm density (populatbnper sq km)

16.8 24.7 18.9 5.0

3.0 0.2 47.4 19.2 7

532

688

1850-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 populat'bnchange per year (Ihousanbs) . Births per year (thousamis) ..................... Deaths per year (tkuanrB) ................... Population g r M rate @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populalion) Crude death rate @er 1.000 populalion) .. Total Wily (children per woman) ........... Net reprodwtion rate (per wwnan) .......... Infant mMtallty rate (per 1,000live births) Llte axp&tlncY at (w-) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both aem combined ............................

....

30

2.84 49.4 22.8 6.80 2.16 172

44 74 33 2.93 49.5 21.8 6.90 2.20 165

53 86 36 3.04 49.7 20.8 6.90 2.26 158

61 101 40 3.01 49.8 19.8 6.80 2.31 150

- 7 107 41 4.32 49.8 10.8 6.90 2.36 138

1 107 49 0.06 50.0 23.0 6.90 2.14 1 79

186 130 55 7.19 49.7 21.2 6.80 2.19 152

74 162 65 2.28 49.9 19.8 8.80 2.27 143

40.6 42.6 41.5

41.8 43.5 42.6

42.8 44.8 43.8

43.7 46.0 44.9

44.9 47.2 46.0

39.7 42.0 40.8

41.0 43.5 42.2

42.8 44.8 43.8

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5849 2932 2917 100.5

6771 3397 3374 100.7

7797 3915 3883 100.8

8909

4476 4433 101.0

10073 5063 5010 101.1

11260 5861 5599 101.1

12 460 6264 6 195 101.1

18.2 28.7 20.0 3.6 2.2 0.2 17.7 7.7 6.9 11.5 44.9 18.4 53

17.5 28.2 20.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 17.3 7.7 7.0 11.9 46.0 16.9 61

16.8 27.6 20.9 3.7 2.3 0.2 17.0 7.5 7.0 12.1 47.1 17.5 70

16.0 27.0 20.9 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.6 7.4 6.9 12.2 48.2 18.1 80

14.9 26.3 20.9 4.1 2.5 0.3 18.1 7.4 6.9 12.2 49.5 19.0 90

13.7 25.2 20.9 4.5 2.8 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.8 12.3 51.1 20.0 101

12.7 23.9 20.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 14.5 6.9 6.7 12.3 52.5 21.2 112

37 64

20 43 22 2.31 48.8 25.7 8.45 1.92 194

26 48 25 2.58 49.0 24.8 8.65 2.02 187

55 27 2.68 49.1 23.8 8.80 2.10 100

37.1 40.0

38.5

38.2 40.8 39.5

39.4 41.7 40.5

2005

2010

2015

2020

3442 1720 1722 99.9

4311 2157 2154 100.1

5032

2520 2512 100.3

19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 17.1 7.3 0.8 11.7 44.8 16.4 31

19.3 28.2 19.6 3.5 2.1 0.2 17.5 7.3 6.5 11.4 44.3 16.2 39

18.8 28.7 19.4 3.6 2.1 0.2 17.8 7.5 8.7 11.1 44.3 16.2 45

30

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratb (mareS per 100iemak) ........... Age dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage 5-14.......................... Percentage a(pd 15-24 ......................... peramtage aged 60or over .................. Percentage aged 65 w cnmr Percentage aged 60 w o ~ .................. n Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in sdod age8 12-14 Percentage kr schod ages 1517 .......... Percentqp in school eps 1 E-23 .......... Percentaw of mwnen Median age (years) ..... ... Population density (POpJatbn pew sq km)

..

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2 0 ~ 2 0 2 52025-2Wo 203w2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 Population c h q e per year (mwsands) . Birvls per year (lhousand.~)..................... Deaths per year (thousande) Net migratkm per year (thweands) Populatbn growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpoprlatm).... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Net dgratkm rate @er 1 ,OOO-lion) TOW fertility (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant m m t a l i rate (per 1 ,OOOlhre bMhs) u n d e r - h mortality (per 1 ,OOOlive births) Llk oxprctmcy at birth (m) Males ...................................................

...................

...

.

Bovlsexescanbined............................

306

174 192 71

144 222 77

164 245 81

53

0

0

164 270

205

222

294

314

85 0

89

92 0

2.82 40.4 12.2

2.67 37.6 11.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

5.21 2.04 91 135

4.71 1 .89 120

4.20 1.73 73 105

3.72 1.58 64 92

3.33 1.44 57 79

52.2 54.0 53.1

54.1 55.9 55.0

55.9 57.8 58.9

57.7 59.7 58.7

59.4 61.6 60.5

4.50 49.6 18.3 13.6 6.77 2.33 133 205

3.09 47.4 10.6 0.0 0.49 2.31 122 186

3.01 45.0 14.9 0.0 8.10 2.25 111 168

2.93

44.8 46.6 45.7

46.7 48.4 47.5

48.5 50.3 49.4

50.3 52.1 51.2

42.7 13.5 0.0 5.68 2.16 101 152

0

02

233 327 95 0

2.48

34.5 10.0

237 334 97 0 2.23 31.4 9.1

240 339 100 0

2.03 28.6 8.4

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3442 1 720 1722

4314 2 158 2156

5080 2 544 2536

5983 2 999 2984

7006 3 515 3491

8160 4 097 4063

9447 4 746 4701

10852 5 455 5397

12351 6 211 6141

19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.4

19.4 28.1 19.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 44.2 16.2

19.5 28.5 19.3 3.5 2.1 0.2 43.9 15.9

19.2 28.8 19.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 43.9 15.9

18.4 29.1 19.9 3.5 2.2 0.2 44.5 16.1

17.7 28.6 20.5 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.5 16.6

17.0 27.9 21.0 3.7 2.3 0.2 46.8 17.2

16.1 27.2 21.0 3.6 2.4 0.2 48.0 18.0

15.1 26.4 20.9 4.1 2.5 0.3 49.4 18.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

174 4.52 49.7 18.3 13.5 6.80 2.34

153 3.27 49.4 16.8 0.0 6.80 2.42

181 3.27 47.9 15.2 0.0 6.60 2.43

205 3.16 45.2 13.7 0.0 6.18 2.35

231 3.05 42.7 12.3 0.0 5.71 2.23

300

257 2.93 40.3 11.1 0.0 5.21 2.09

281 2.77 37.7 10.0 0.0 4.70 1.94

2.59 34.9 9.0 0.0 4.22 1.79

315 2.40 32.2 8.2 0.0 3.83 1.66

.

D LOW VARIANT

Popuiation (thousands) Total ....................... . ........................... Males ......................... .............. Females ....................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...............................

. .

3 442 1 720 1 722

4 281 2 142 2 139

4 945 2 476 2 469

5 679 2 846 2 832

6 497 3 259 3 238

7 385 3 707 3 678

8 312 4 175 4 137

9 236 4 641 4 594

10 131 5 092 5 039

19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.4

18.8 28.4 19.7 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.6 16.4

18.0 28.6 19.8 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.1 16.6

17.2 28.1 20.6 3.7 2.3 0.2 46.3 17.1

16.6 27.3 21.0 3.8 2.3 0.2 47.5 17.7

15.8 26.6 20.9 3.9 2.4 0.2 48.6 18.4

14.8 26.0 20.7 4.2 2.6 0.3 49.7 19.2

13.5 25.1 20.8 4.5 2.8 0.3 51.1 20.2

12.2 23.8 20.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 52.9 21.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

168 4.36 47.9 18.1 13.6 6.52 2.24

133 2.88 45.1 16.3 0.0 6.09 2.16

147 2.77 42.3 14.7 0.0 5.60 2.06

164 2.69 40.2 13.4 0.0 5.18 1.97

178 2.56 37.7 12.1 0.0 4.71 1.84

185 2.36 34.6 11.0 0.0 4.21 1.69

185 2.11 31.1 10.0 0.0 3.70 1.53

179 1.85 27.7 9.2 0.0 3.22 1.36

171 1.62 24.9 8.6 0.0 2.83 1.22

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) ............................... .

3442 1 720 1722 16.4

4312 2 157 2155 16.2

5073 2 541 2532 16.0

6001 3 008 2993 15.8

7136 3 581 3556 15.7

8533 4 285 4248 15.6

10257 5 154 5103 15.4

12391 6 230 6160 15.3

15037 7 564 7473 15.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

4.51 49.6 18.3

3.25 49.2 16.8

3.36 48.9 15.3

3.47 48.6 14.0

3.58 48.4 12.8

3.68 48.3 11.6

3.78 48.1 10.4

3.87 47.9 9.4

3.96 47.8 8.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHlRlYA A ESTIMATES 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ....................... ............................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5918 3 070 2848 107.8

6530 3 372 3158 1M.8

7129 3 667 3463 105.9

7656 3 923 3733 105.1

8087 4 128 3959 104.3

8447 4 296 4151 103.5

8785 4 451 4334 102.7

9124 4 606 4518 101.9

9436 4 747 4689 101.2

9683 4 856 4827 100.6

11.2 19.1 21.7 6.0 3.8 0.5 1 1 .6 5.5 5.7 13.7 57.6 24.1

11.0 19.2 17.3 6.7 4.4 0.6 11.8 5.3 5.0 10.4 56.7 26.2 4

10.1 19.3 15.9 7.6 4.9 0.8 11.8 5.5 5.1 9.3 55.6 27.8 4

8.7 18.7 16.4 8.9 5.7 0.9 11.3 5.6 5.3 9.6 54.9 29.3 4

7.4 17.2 17.0 10.4 6.9 .2 10.2 5.4 5.4 10.1 54.2 30.8 5

6.6 15.0 17.0 12.5 8.2 1.4 8.8 4.9 5.1 10.3 53.1 32.5 5

6.5 13.1 15.8 15.2 9.9 1.7 7.7

6.6 12.3 13.9 18.2 12.3 2.2 7.4 3.7 3.8 8.5 48.6 35.9 5

6.6 12.4 12.3 21.5 14.8 2.7 7.6 3.6 3.5 7.4 46.9 37.6 5

6.2 12.7 11.6 23.3 17.7 3.5 7.7 3.7 3.6 6.9 45.4 39.2 6

3

4.2 4.5 9.7 50.5 34.2 5

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................ . ....................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHlRlYA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 MX) population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

.

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5918 3 070 2 848

6595 3 405 3 190

7311 3 760 3 551

7986 4 092 3 894

8559 4 370 4 189

9066 4 613 4 453

9575 4 855 4 720

10130 5 121 5 009

10708 5 398 5 310

11256 5 661 5 594

11.2 19.1 21.7 6.0 3.8 0.5 57.6 24.1

11.8 19.0 17.1 6.6 4.3 0.6 56.1 26.0

11.4 19.7 15.5 7.4 4.8 0.7 54.2 27.1

10.2 20.2 15.7 8.5 5.5 0.9 52.6 27.8

8.7 19.3 16.9 9.8 6.5 1.1 52.0 28.7

7.8 17.2 17.8 11.6 7.6 1.3 51.5 29.9

7.7 15.1 17.3 13.9 9.1 1.6 49.8 31.3

8.1 14.2 15.4 16.4 11.0 2.0 48.4 32.6

8.3 14.6 13.5 19.0 13.1 2.4 47.1 33.8

8.1 15.2 12.8 20.0 15.3 3.0 46.0 35.0

135 2.17 25.4 4.1 0.3 2.97 1.41

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per l. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

109 1.76 21.4 4.1 0.3 2.47 1.17

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

5918 3070 2848 24.1

6604 3410 3194 25.9

7355 3782 3573 26.9

8103 4152 3951 27.3

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.19 25.7 4.1

2.15 25.4 4.2

1.94 23.3 4.3

l 67 20.9 4.5

.

8809 4498 4311 27.7

9497 4834 4664 28.3

10219 5186 5034 29.0

11013 5573 5440 29.8

11873 5995 5878 30.6

1.50 19.5 4.7

1.47 19.5 5.1

1.50 20.2 5.4

1.50 20.7 5.8

1.44 20.4 6.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

12761 6432 6329 31.0

LITHUANIA

A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .......... . Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rale (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ................... . ......

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................... . ........................... Males .................................. ............. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (popuiation per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 popuiation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~tyrate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................... ..... ................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

LITHUANIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 12 .0.35 10.8 12.3 .2.1 1.51 0.72

.5 .0.15 12.2 12.5 .1.2 1.71 0.82

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

24 .0.71 7.3 12.3 -2.1

1 .01 0.48

.

E CONSTANT+ERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ........................................... Med~anage (years) .................................

3425 1 597 1 828 37.9

3338 1 555 1 783 39.5

3262 1 519 1 743 40.8

3173 1 479 1 695 42.1

3068 1 430 1 637 43.7

2968 1 385 1 583 45.5

2859 1 335 1 524 47.6

2743 1 281 1 .462 49.7

2619 1 224 1 395 51.5

Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.52 9.2 12.3

.0.46 9.3 12.6

.0.55 8.8 13.0

.0.68 7.8 13.3

.0.66 7.0 13.6

.0.75 6.6 14.1

.0.83 6.5 14.8

.0.93 6.4 15.7

.1.03 6.1 16.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l:Comprehensive Tables

LUXEMBOURG Indicator Popuhtbn ( t h o u ~ n d a ) Total .................................................... Males

...............................................

Sex raw (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d womeo Median age (years) .......... Population density (Poprlatkm per sq km)

296

148 148 100.0

305 153 152 100.7

314 155 159 97.5

332 163 169 96.7

339 166 173 96.3

359 178 181 98.5

364 1 78 186 95.7

367 178 188 94.6

382 187 195 95.8

208

222

96.4

97.0

6.4 13.5 16.2 14.5 9.8 1.3 53.4 35.0 114

6.9 12.8 14.1 15.4 10.5 I .6 50.7 35.6 118

8.0 13.4 13.1 16.2 10.8 1.6 47.2 35.2 121

7.7 14.8 13.3 17.6 11.8 I .7 46.0 35.3 128

7.0 15.2 13.9 18.5 12.5 1.7 46.8 35.4 131

5.7 14.2 15.4 18.4 13.0 1.9 48.5 34.9 139

5.6 13.1 15.6 17.8 13.8 2.2 49.1 35.0 141

5.8 11.4 15.2 18.2 13.3 2.6 49.9 35.8 142

6.1 11.2 13.3 19.0 13.4 3.1 49.5 33.4 148

6.5 11.6 12.1 19.1 14.0 3.4 49.7 36.8 158

6.5 12.3 11.5 19.1 14.2 3.2 49.1 37.3 1 69

.

.

2 4 4 14.7 11.7 1 .ge 0.94 44

2 5 4 0.58 15.8 11.8 2.23 1.05 37

4 5 4 1.09 18.0 12.0 2.40 1.01 29

2 5 4 0.46 14.4 12.3 2.19 1.00 21

63.1 68.9 85.9

64.5 70.6 67.5

65.7 72.1 66.8

66.8 73.2 68.9

0.80

437 215

200

1995-20W 2OOO-2005

1950-1955 1955-1960 I S 1 9 6 5 19651970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1-1995 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent)............ CNde birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fartility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtaii ram (per I WO live births) L l h expoetamy at blrth (ymrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sew combined ............................

408

1 4 4 0.14 11.8 11.2 1.47 0.70 12

3 4 4 0.81 12.0 10.6 1.47 0.70 9

5 5 4 1.34 13.1 10.4 1.66 0.79 6

6 6 4 1.35 13.1 9.3 1.72 0.82 5

4 5 4 0.89 12.0 8.9 1.67 0.80

17

1 4 4 0.29 11.2 11.6 1.49 0.71 13

87.2 74.1 70.8

68.5 75.4 71.9

69.8 76.6 73.1

70.2 78.3 74.1

72.4 79.2 75.8

73.9 80.4 77.2

75.1 81.1 70.2

4 4 4 1.13 11.7 12.2 1.72 0.82

5

.

B MEDlUMVARlANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

....... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ...........

457 225 231 97.5

483 239 244 97.8

510 252 258 97.9

538

569 281 288 '97.9

801 297 304 97.8

833 313 320 97.6

663 327 338 97.4

693 342 351 97.3

722 356 366 97.3

Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .................... Percentage aged 1524 ................. Percentage aged 60 or over .......... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 11 Percentage in school ages 12-1 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23... Percentage of women aged 15-49 .. Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 7.8 3.7 3.5 6.9 49.4 38.3 177

5.7 12.0 12.5 19.2 14.1 3.8 7.2 3.7 3.8 7.5 49.1 39.1 187

5.7 11.4 12.8 19.9 14.6 4.0 6.8 3.5 3.7 7.8 48.1 39.4 197

6.2 11.2 11.6 22.6 16.3 4.1 6.8 3.2 3.3 7.0 45.6 39.4 220

6.3 11.7 11.3 23.9 17.7 4.4 7.1 3.3 3.3 6.8 44.9 39.6 232

6.1 12.0 11.4 24.4 18.9 4.9 7.3 3.5 3.4 6.8 44.6 40.0 245

6.0 12.0 11.8 24.5 19.4 5.5 7.3 3.6 3.5 7.0 44.2 40.3 257

5.9 1 1 .8 12.1 24.6 19.4 6.3 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.3 43.9 40.5

5.9 11.6 12.2 24.9 19.5 6.9 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.4 43.6 40.4 279

Population( t h o u ~ n d ~ ) Total ....................................................

Males

266

272 97.9 5.9 11.1 12.3 21.1 15.2 4.1 6.6 3.3 3.4 7.5 46.6 39.4 208

268

2005-2010 m10-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 2wMo35 2a35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thoMands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thwsands)................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populalion) .... CNde dealh rate (per 1.OOO poptAation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant m r l a l i rate (per 1 OOO live births) Under-fhe mrtality (per 1.OOO live births) L l h expectancy at Mrth (par#) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

312

5 4 4 1.13 11.5 8.7 8.5 I .66 0.80 5 7

5 6 4 4

6 6 5 4

1 .08 11.4 8.7 81 1.67 0.80 4 6

75.7 81.6 78.7

76.4 02.3 79.4

5

.

1 .08 11.9 8.7 7.6 1.72 0.83 4 6

6 7 5 4 1.11 12.4 8.6 7.2 1.77 0.85 4 6

77.1 83.0 80.0

77.8 83.6 80.6

0.87 4 5

6 8 5 4 1.03 12.4 8.8 6.5 1.85 0.W 3 5

6 8 6 4 0.94 12.0 8.8 6.2 1.85 0.89 3 5

8 8 6 4 0.87 11.8 9.0 5.9 1.85 0.89 3 4

6 8 6 4 0.84 11.9 9.2 5.7 1.85 0.89 3 4

78.4 84.2 81.3

79.0 84.8 81.9

79.6 85.3 82.5

80.2 85.9 83.0

80.7 86.4 83.6

6 7 5 4 1.10 12.7 8.5 6.8

I .82

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffiirdPopulation Division WorM Population Prosp6ct.s: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Con?iJrehensiveTables

LUXEMBOURG C. HlOHVARlANT lndkator 2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2W5

-

520

558

598

258 283

276 281

296 302

640 317 323

883 338

345

727 360 367

774 383 391

824 408 415

7.3 12.6 11.9 20.3 14.7 3.9 45.0 38.2

7.4 13.3 11.7 21.5 15.5 3.9 44.1 37.7

7.4 13.8 12.2 22.4 16.6 4.1 43.9 37.4

7.3 14.0 12.8 22.6 17.5 4.5 44.2 37.3

7.3 13.9 13.3 22.4 17.7 5.1 44.3 36.9

7.5 13.8 13.3 22.0 17.4 5.7 44.3 36.4

7.6 13.9 13.2 21.9 17.1 6.1 44.2 36.0

2005

2010

2015

457 225 231

487 241 246

5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 49.4 38.3

6.5 12.0 12.4 19.0 14.0 3.8 48.7 38.8

6.8 11.9 12.6 19.5 14.3 4.0 47.2 38.7

2050

Popumiom ( m o u d . )

Total ..................................................... M a k ................................................... Femak#, ............... dlrtrlbutkn Percentage aged 0-4 .... Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60or WBT .. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage a@ 80 or w a r .................. Peof WMnen aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..

2o052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalion champ per year (thousands). Population growvl rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) . Total Milky (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) ..........

6 1.29 13.1 8.7 8.5 1.91 0.92

7 1.32 13.8 8.6 7.9 2.07 0.99

7 1.39 14.9 8.5 7.4 2.22 1.07

8 1.39 15.2 8.2 6.9 2.27 1.09

8 1.36 15.2 8.1

6.5 2.32 1.11

9 1.30 15.0 8.0 6.0 2.35 1.13

9 1 .26 15.0 8.1 5.7 2.35 1.13

9 1.25 15.3 8.1 5.3 2.35 1.13

10 1.25 15.6 6.1 5.0 2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARlANT

....................................

.......................... Percentage agecl 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or war ..................

percentaoe aged 65orwar .... Percentaged 80 U w a r .................. PeruMtageof WWI agecl 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2010

2045

2050

457 225 231

479 237 242

499 247 253

519 256

562

263

540 268 273

285

583 287 296

602 296 308

618 303 315

631 309 322

5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 49.4 38.3

4.9 12.1 12.6 19.3 14.2 3.8 49.5 39.3

4.5 10.8 13.1 20.4 14.9 4.1 49.1 40.2

4.4 9.5 12.8 21.8 15.8 4.2 48.3 40.7

4.7 9.0 11.5 23.8 17.2 4.3 47.2 41.3

4.9 9.2 10.2 25.5 18.9 4.7 48.1 41.9

4.9 9.7 9.7 26.5 20.5 5.3 45.0 42.7

4.6 9.9 9.9 27.0 21.4 6.1 43.9 43.6

4.3 9.6 10.4 27.6 21.6 7.1 43.0 44.5

4.2 9.1 10.7 28.5 22.3 7.9 42.1 45.3

277

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

PopJatiOnchamp per year (thaurands) Population growth rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllation) .... Crude dealt, rate @er 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopuialion) . Total fetlillty ( W r e n per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wunan) ..........

............

5 0.97 9.8 8.7 8.5 1.41 0.68

4 0.82 8.8 8.8 8.2 1.27 0.61

4 0.76 8.7 8.9 7.9 1.22 0.59

4 0.80 9.3 9.0 7.6 1.27 0.61

4 0.81 9.8 9.0 7.3 1.32 0.63

4 0.75 9.7 9.2 7.0 1.35 0.65

4 0.63 9.1 9.6 6.8 1.35 0.65

3 0.51 8.5 10.0 6.6 1.35 0.65

3 0.44 8.3 10.3 6.4 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILIW VARIANT

p0puw011(thouundo) ToLill .................................................... M W ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2010

2045

2050

457

483 239 244 39.1

510 252 258 39.4

537

565 279 286 39.6

593

621 308 314 40.6

646 319 328 41.2

671 330 341 41.6

695 342 353 41.9

225

231 38.3

266

271 39.5

293

300 40.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-20m 203Ww.5 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationgmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) ..

....

1.13 11.5 8.7

1.07 11.3 8.7

1.04 11.5 8.7

1.02 11.6 8.6

0.97 11.4 8.6

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairs/population Division World Population Prospts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.90 11.1 8.7

0.82 10.8 9.0

0.75 10.7 9.2

0.70 10.6 9.5

313

MADAGASCAR

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) ... .................. Total ............................. Males ................................ .............. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ........................... . -

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males ................................. ....... ........... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Papulation change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... ............... .......... Females .............................. . . . Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MADAGASCAR

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18643 9270 9 373

21474 10679 10 795

24608 12238 12 371

27985 13910 14 075

31505 15648 15 857

35195 17468 17 727

39079 19385 19 694

43149 21396 21 753

47360 23479 23 881

51656 25605 26 051

16.6 27.2 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.4 46.3 17.9

16.3 26.5 19.8 4.9 3.2 0.4 47.0 18.3

15.7 25.9 20.1 5.1 3.2 0.4 47.9 18.9

14.9 25.6 19.9 5.5 3.5 0.5 48.5 19.5

14.0 24.9 19.8 5.9 3.8 0.5 49.5 20.3

13.2 23.9 20.0 6.3 4.1 0.5 50.5 21.3

12.6 22.7 19.8 6.8 4.5 0.6 51.3 22.3

12.0 21.8 19.2 7.4 4.9 0.7 51.7 23.4

11.4 21.1 18.5 8.0 5.3 0.8 51.7 24.4

10.9 20.3 18.0 8.8 5.8 09 51.6 25.5

566 2.83 38.1 9.8 -0.1 5.03 2.09

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands)

Tdal ....................................................

Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

496 2.50 34.6 9.6 .0.1 4.53 1.88

498 2.22 30.9 8.6 0.0 3.86 1.64

484 1.95 27.6 8.1 0.0 3.29 1.42

476 1.75 25.2 7.6 0.0 2.88 1.27

458 1.55 22.8 7.3 0.0 2.56 1.15

428 1.35 20.5 7.0 0.0 2.31 1.05

387 1.15 18.4 6.9 0.0 2.1 1 0.97

340 0.96 16.5 7.0 0.0 1.95 0.91

290 0.78 15.0 7.1 0.0 1.82 0.86

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bilth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on)..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18 643 9 270 9 373 17.9

21 631 10 758 10 873 18.2

25 226 12 549 12 677 18.3

29 478 14 663 14 815 18.3

34 465 17 141 17 325 18.1

40 354 20 068 20 285 18.1

47 359 23 557 23 802 18.1

55 713 27 724 27 989 18.1

65 671 32 697 32 973 18.1

77 531 38 629 38 902 18.1

2.97 39.6 9.9

3.08 39.8 9.1

3.12 39.6 8.5

3.13 39.0 7.8

3.15 38.6 7.1

3.20 38.5 6.5

3.25 38.4 6.0

3.29 38.3 5.5

3.32 38.3 5.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

MALAWI A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... ......................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2881 1 389 1 491 93.2

3169 l 524 1 645 92.6

3529 1 695 1 834 92.5

3975 1 910 2 065 92.5

4518 2 173 2 345 92.7

5276 2 543 2 733 93.1

6215 3 008 3 207 93.8

7265 3 538 3 727 94.9

9446 4 642 4 804 96.6

10091 4 982 5 110 97.5

11623 5 751 5 872 97.9

19.3 26.4 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.2 44.3 17.1 24

18.5 27.1 19.1 4.6 2.8 0.2 44.9 17.1 27

19.0 26.7 19.3 4.2 2.6 0.2 45.5 17.1

19.3 26.4 19.4 4.0 2.4 0.2 45.6 17.0 34

19.7 27.0 18.8 3.7 2.3 0.2 44.7 16.7 38

19.6 27.3 18.3 4.3 2.8 0.3 44.0 16.5 45

20.0 27.2 18.5 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.1 16.4 52

19.7 28.0 18.8 4.2 2.6 0.2 44.1 16.1 61

18.8 27.9 18.7 4.3 2.7 0.2 45.2 16.7 80

18.4 26.6 19.9 4.8 3.1 0.3 46.0 17.2 85

18.8 27.2 20.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.1 16.9 98

30

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birthrate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dislrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13 226 6565 6661 98.6

15 037 7495 7542 99.4

17 020 8515 8505 100.1

19 150 9615 9535 100.8

21 353 10751 10602 101.4

23 550 11879 11671 101.8

25 707 12976 12731 101.9

27 827 14047 13780 101.9

29 912 15094 14817 101.9

31 944 16110 15834 101.7

18.1 29.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.3 18.1 7.6 6.6 11.5 44.1 16.4 112

17.1 29.1 20.6 4.6 3.0 0.4 17.9 8.0 7.2 11.7 44.7 16.6 127

16.4 28.2 21 -9 4.6 3.1 0.4 17.2 7.9 7.4 12.7 46.1 17.2 144

15.7 27.3 22.3 4.6 3.1 0.4 16.7 7.6 7.2 13.1 47.6 18.0 162

14.8 26.6 21.9 4.7 3.1 0.4 16.2 7.5 7.0 12.9 49.2 18.7 180

13.8 25.7 21.7 4.7 3.2 0.5 15.6 7.4 7.0 12.8 50.7 19.6 199

12.8 24.5 21.7 4.8 3.3 0.5 14.8 7.2 6.9 12.8 52.4 20.7 21 7

12.0 23.1 21.4 5.3 3.4 0.6 13.9 6.8 6.7 12.7 53.9 21.9 235

11.3 21 .8 20.7 5.8 3.8 0.6 13.1 6.5 6.4 12.4 54.6 23.1 252

10.6 20.7 19.8 6.5 4.3 0.7 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.9 54.6 24.4 270

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.OM)live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ ................... Females .................... .. ..................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MALAW C. HIGHVARIANT lndlcator PopulaUon (thousand.) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................

Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13 226 6565 6 661

15 152 7553 7599

17 351 8662 8666

19 802 9044 9658

22392 11 276 11 116

25 076 12 850 12 428

27 865 14 088 13 798

30 776 15 538 15 240

33 812 17 067 16 745

36 930 18 634 18 297

18.1 29.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.3 44.1 16.4

17.7 26.9 20.4 4.6 3.0 0.4 44.4 16.5

17.4 28.3 21.5 4.5 3.0 0.4 45.2 16.8

16.9 28.0 21.5 4.4 3.0 0.4 46.0 17.2

15.9 27.7 21.4 4.4 3.0 0.4 47.4 17.6

14.9 27.0 21.7 4.4 3.0 0.5 48.9 18.5

14.1 25.7 21.9 4.4 3.1 0.5 50.6 19.4

13.5 24.5 21.6 4.7 3.1 0.5 52.0 20.4

12.9 23.6 20.9 5.2 3.4 0.5 52.6 21.3

12.3 22.8 20.2 5.6 3.8 0.6 52.7 22.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populafion change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .OOO population) ._.. Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulaIion) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per women) ..........

365

440

2.72 42.4 14.9 -0.3 5.84 2.15

2.71 40.9 13.6 -0.2 5.52 2.08

490 2.64 39.2 12.6 -0.2 5.11 1

.w

516 2.46 36.5 11.8 -0.2 4.60 1.84

537 2.27 33.9 11.1 -0.2 4.14 1.70

557 2.11 31.7 10.5 -0.2 3.78 1.56

563 1.99 30.1 10.1 -0.1 3.47 1.48

607 1.88 28.6 9.7 -0.1 3.24 1.40

624 1.76 27.1 9.3 -0.1 3.06 1.34

D. LOW VARIANT

PopulsUon (thousand.) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrltrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ........ Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w o r m aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13 226 6565 6 661

14 922 7 437 7485

16 689 8348 8 341

18498 9285 9213

20315 10227 10088

22038 11 115 10923

23603 11914 11669

25004 12620 12384

26256 13245 13011

27 365 13 792 13 573

16.1 29.0 19.6 4.6 3.0 0.3 44.1 16.4

16.5 29.4 20.7 4.7 3.0 0.4 45.0 16.8

15.5 26.1 22.4 4.7 3.2 0.4 47.0 17.7

14.5 26.5 23.1 4.7 3.2 0.4 49.2 18.7

13.6 25.3 22.5 4.9 3.3 0.5 51.1 19.6

12.5 24.3 21.6 5.0 3.5 0.5 52.8 20.9

11.3 23.0 21.4 5.2 3.6 0.6 54.4 22.2

10.3 21.4 21.1 5.8 3.8 0.6 56.0 23.7

9.5 19.7 20.4 6.6 4.4 0.7 56.7 25.2

6.8 18.3 19.3 7.6 5.1 0.8 56.5 26.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands). Population growul rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1,ooO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

339

353

362

384

344

2.41 39.1 14.7 -0.3 5.34 1.97

2.24

2.06 33.3 12.5 -0.2 4.11 1.60

1.68

1.63 26.0 11.5 -0.2 3.14 1.29

36.0 13.4 -0.3 4.72 1.79

30.8 12.0 -0.2 3.60 1.44

313 1.37 25.1 11.2 -0.2 2.76 1.16

280 1.15 22.6 10.9 -0.2 2.47 1.OS

251 0.98 20.6 10.7 -0.2 2.24 0.97

0.83 16.9 10.5 -0.1 2.06 0.90

222

E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTY VARIANT

Populdon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M e d i i age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13 226 6 565 6 661 16.4

15 221 7 588 7 633 16.4

17 660 8 839 8 821 16.5

20 626 10 380 10 268 16.3

24 174 12 176 11 9M 16.1

28 416 14 337 14 080 16.1

33 526 18 027 16 601 16.1

39 717 2C 054 19 662 16.1

47 205 23 836 23 370 16.1

58 261 28 406 27 655 16.1

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 m 2 0 3 5 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlatin growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO population) ..

2.81 43.4 15.0

2.97 43.7 13.6

3.11

44.0 12.6

3.18 43.8 11.9

3.23 43.5 11.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division Wotid Population Pruspects: The 2006 Revkion, Vdume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.31 43.4 10.3

3.39 43.5 9.6

3.46 43.4 6.9

3.51 43.3 8.2

317

MALAYSIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (yean) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

6110 3 144 2966 106.0

7000 3 569 3432 104.0

8140 4 138 4003 103.4

9502 4 819 4683 102.9

10853 5 477 5375 101.9

12258 6 169 6089 101.3

13763 6 929 6835 101.4

15677 7 897 7780 101.5

18103 9 185 8919 103.0

20594 10 462 10132 103.3

23274 11 836 11437 103.5

16.7 24.2 17.9 7.3 5.1 0.6 45.8 19.8 19

18.2 24.3 18.2 6.0 4.3 0.6 45.7 18.7 21

18.6 26.7 17.5 5.3 3.4 0.5 43.6 17.6 25

18.0 28.1 17.4 5.0 3.2 0.5 43.4 16.9 29

16.4 28.2 19.3 5.5 3.4 0.5 44.5 17.5 33

15.3 26.8 20.4 5.6 3.7 0.5 47.1 18.6 37

13.6 25.8 21.3 5.7 3.7 0.5 49.8 19.7 42

15.3 23.4 20.6 5.6 3.7 0.5 50.4 20.3

13.7 23.7 19.0 5.7 3.7 0.6 51.0 21.5 55

12.8 23.3 18.6 5.8 3.7 0.5 52.1 22.4 62

11.4 22.1 19.1 6.2 3.9 0.6 53.8 23.6 71

48

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... 25 653 Males ................................................... 13036 Females ............................................... 12617 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 103.3 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 10.7 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 20.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.7 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 12.4 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 5.9 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 54.1 Median age (years) ................................. 24.7 Population density (population per sq km) 78

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 920 14171 13749 103.1

30 047 15227 14820 102.8

32 020 16200 15819 102.4

33 769 17055 16714 102.0

35 270 17780 17490 101.7

36 622 18430 18192 101.3

37 819 19005 18814 101.0

38 830 19490 19340 100.8

39 631 19874 19756 100.6

9.8 19.4 18.6 7.8 4.8 0.7 11.7 5.7 5.7 11.1 53.9 26.3 85

9.1 18.3 17.7 9.3 5.8 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.3 10.7 53.2 27.9 91

8.3 17.1 17.0 11.2 7.1 l.0 10.2 5.1 5.2 10.1 52.8 29.6 97

7.6 16.0 16.3 13.2 8.7 1.2 9.6 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.3 31.4 102

7.0 14.8 15.6 15.0 10.4 1.6 8.8 4.6 4.6 9.3 51.7 33.2 107

6.7 13.7 14.8 16.6 11.9 2.1 8.1 4.2 4.4 8.9 50.4 34.8 111

6.5 13.0 13.9 18.3 13.2 2.8 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.4 48.8 36.4 115

6.2 12.6 13.0 20.2 14.6 3.4 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.9 46.9 37.9 118

6.0 12.3 12.4 22.2 16.3 4.0 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.5 45.4 39.3 120

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . ....... .................... Males ................... Females .................... ...... ................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

MALAYSIA C. HtGHVARIANT Indicator Population (thousad.) Total .................................................... Meles ...................................................

514 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... percen~@6oorover

..................

p e r c e n ~ ~ 6 5 W O v .................. e r

PercenU~~aged 80ormr Percentageofmnwmagedi5-49

Median age (years)

.........

.................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

25 653 13 036 12 617

28 183 14 306 13 877

30 770 15 599

33356 16 887 16 468

35 746 18 072 17 675

37 940 19 153 18 787

40 111 20 224 19 886

42 311 21 315 20996

44 501 22406

46 595 23 455 23 140

10.7 20.7 19.2 6.7 4.4 0.6 54.1 24.7

10.7 19.2 16.4 7.7 4.6 0.7 53.4 26.0

10.4 18.7 17.3 9.1 5.7 0.6 51.9 27.2

9.6 18.5 16.3 10.6 6.6 1 .o 50.7 28.3

9.0 18.1 16.1 12.5 8.2 1.1 50.2 29.5

8.3 17.1 16.4 13.9 9.7 1.5 50.0 30.7

8.2 15.6 16.2 15.2 10.9 1.9 49.4 31.7

6.2 15.2 15.4 16.3 11.6 2.5 48.3 32.6

8.1 15.1 14.3 17.7 12.7 3.0 46.9 33.5

15 171

............

....

..........

506 1.88 22.6 4.5 0.7 2.65 1.36

517 1.76 21.6 4.6 0.3 2.77 1.32

517 1.61 20.6 4.8 0.3 2.67 1.28

478 1.38 18.7 5.2 0.3 2.51 1.20

43 1.19 17.2 5.6 0.3 2.37 1.14

7.9 15.2 13.8 16.9 13.9 3.4 46.1 34.4

2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 poprlati chmge per year (tharsanda). Popdath growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO Popllatkn) Crude death rate (per 1.ooO pOpr(ati0n) .. Net nbgratbn rate (per 1.ooO popuhtion) . Told fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n )

22095

434 1.11 16.9 6.0 0.3 2.35 1.13

440 1.07 16.9 6.5 0.2 2.35 1.13

438 1.01 16.7 6.9 0.2 2.35 1.13

419 0.92 16.2 7.2 0.2 2.35 1.13

D. LOW VARIANT

PopuWon (thousad.) Total ....................................................

...........................................

Percentaw

1524 .........................

Peccentage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or war Percentage@ 80 or w a r Percentageof m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

25 653 13 036 12 617

27 656 14 036 13 621

29 324 14 856 14 468

30684 15513 15170

31794 16039 15755

32618 16416 18202

33220 18881 16539

33580 16615 16745

33618 16610 16808

33408 16 675 16 733

10.7 20.7 19.2 6.7 4.4 0.6 54.1 24.7

9.0 19.6 16.6 7.9 4.9 0.7 54.4

7.7 17.6 16.2 9.5 6.0 0.6 54.5 28.6

6.7 15.4 17.7 11.7 7.4 1.1

6.1 13.6 16.5 14.1 9.3 1.3 54.7 33.2

5.4 12.2 14.8 18.2 11.3 1.7 53.7 35.7

5.1 11.1 13.1 16.3 13.1 2.3 51.5 38.0

4.7 10.3 12.0 20.6 14.9 3.1 49.1 40.3

4.4 9.8 11.1 23.4 16.8 4.0 46.4 42.7

4.0 9.2 10.5 26.3 19.3 4.7 43.6 45.0

26.5

55.0

30.9

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 20452050 PopulaUOn change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (par cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO popdation) Total fertWity (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan)

. ..........

401 1.50 16.6 4.5 0.8 2.35 1.12

333 1.17 16.0 4.7 0.4 1.97 0.94

272 0.91 13.6 5.1 0.3 1.67 0.80

222 0.71 12.4 5.6 0.3 1.51 0.72

165 0.51 11.1 6.3 0.3 1.37 0.66

120 0.37 10.4 7.0 0.3 1.35 0.65

68 0.20 9.6 7.9 0.3 1.35 0.65

12 0.03 8.8 8.7 0.3 1.35 0.65

- 42 -0.13 6.1 9.6 0.3 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

PopuWon (thouundr) Total ....................................................

Males ................................................... FemelB ...............................................

Median age (years)

.................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

25 653 13 036 12 817 24.7

28 204 14 317 13 887 26.0

30 895 15 664 15 232 27.1

33 704 17 067 16 638 28.0

38 546 18 483 18 063 28.8

39 391 19 800 19 491 29.3

42 287 21 344 20 943 29.7

45 295 22 850 22 445 30.1

48 442 24 434 24 009 30.6

2050 51 717 26 OBO

25 628 31 .O

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

............

Popdatm growvl rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,ooOpopllation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) ..

1.90 22.7 4.5

1.82 22.5 4.6

1.74 21.9 4.8

1.62 21 .o 5.1

1.50 20.2 5.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.42 19.7 5.6

I .37 19.6 6.1

1.34 19.6 6.4

1.31 19.5 6.6

319

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper1DOfemales) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density @opulationper sq km)

..................

82 44 38 117.0 12.7 20.3 17.5 8.2 5.1 0.6 49.7 24.7 275

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

90

99 53 46 114.1

109 58 51 113.1

121 64 57 112.2

137 72 65 111.6

158 83 75 110.8

184 95 88 107.6

216 111 105 105.3

248 127 121 105.5

16.3 23.4 15.9 7.5 4.7 0.4 44.2 21.2 331

16.0 26.2 15.6 7.4 4.6 0.4 42.3 19.7 365

16.0 25.7 18.2 7.1 4.5 0.4 43.6 18.8 407

16.5 25.3 20.0 6.9 4.4 0.4 44.3 18.9 461

17.4 25.4 19.1 6.5 4.2 0.4 44.2 18.5 531

19.1 26.5 18.4 5.2 3.1 0.2 43.3 17.3 616

18.6 28.0 18.3 5.4 3.3 0.3 42.8 16.7 724

15.9 29.4 19.1 5.4 3.5 0.3 44.7 17.2 832

48

42 115.4 16.7 20.0 16.7 7.8 4.8 0.4 46.7 22.9 301

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrlh (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l .000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live brths) Under-five mortaliy (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . ................... Males ......................... Females ............................... ............ Both sexes combined ............................

..

25

5 7 2 0 1.37 18.6 4.9 0.0 2.22 1.06 17 20

5 7 2 0 1.11 16.1 5.0 0.0 2.13 1.02 15 17

4 7 2 0 0.96 35.0 5.4 0.0 2.04 0.98 13 15

4 7 3 0 0.87 14.7 5.9 0.0 1.97 0.95 12 13

4 7 3 0 0.76 14.2 6.6 0.0 1.90 0.92 10 11

3 7 4 0 0.61 13.3 7.2 0.0 1 .85 0.90 10 11

70.6 73.5 72.0

71.9 75.0 73.4

72.9 76.2 74.5

73.7 77.2 75.4

74.5 78.1 76.2

75.2 78.9 77.0

75.9 79.6 77.7

7 2 0 1.76 23.4 5.7 0.0 2.63 1.21 34 42

6 8 2 0 1 .80 23.3 5.3 0.0 2.47 1.15 27 33

6 8 2 0 1.65 21.5 5.0 0.0 2.34 1.11

67.6 69.5 68.5

69.2 71.6 70.4

S

22

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

6 1.97 25.5 5.8 0.0 2.88 1.32

7 2.13 26.6 5.3 0.0 2.87 1.34

8 2.03 25.2 4.9 0.0 2.84 1.34

7 1.70 21.6 4.7 0.0 2.72 1.30

6 1.42 18.9 4.7 0.0 2.63 1.26

6 1.32 18.2 5.0 0.0 2.54 1.22

7 1.31 18.6 5.4 0.0 2.47 1.19

7 1.26 18.5 5.9 0.0 2.40 1.16

7 1.12 17.5 6.3 0.0 2.35 1.14

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C N ~ Ebirth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

5 1.56 21.3 5.7 0.0 2.38 1.09

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

295 151 144 21.3

325 166 159 23.3

360 184 l 76 25.1

. . . .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.90

24.7 5.8

2.06 25.9 5.3

397 202 195 26.6

P

1.99 24.8 5.0

434 221 214 27.7

469 238 231 28.2

505 256 250 28.6

544 275 269 29.3

585 295 290 30.1

1.57 20.4 4.8

1.48 19.8 5.0

1.46 20.0 5.4

1.45 20.2 5.8

1.38 19.9 6.1

P-

l .77 22.4 4.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

627 315 311 30.8

MALI

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MALI C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

11 611 5 652 5960

13 604 6 634 6971

15 938 7 787 6148

18 584 9 102 9482

21 469 10 536 10933

24 554 12 070 12484

27 832 13 701 14131

31 313 15 432 15880

34 982 17 257 17725

38 784

5.0 3.6 0.8 43.9 16.0

19.5 28.2 20.2 4.5 3.4 0.8 44.2 16.0

19.0 28.4 20.2 4.3 3.0 0.8 44.6 16.2

18.1 28.9 19.9 4.1 2.9 0.7 44.9 16.4

16.9 28.4 20.4 4.1 2.8 0.6 46.2 17.1

15.7 27.4 21.3 4.3 2.8 0.5 47.8 18.0

14.7 26.0 21.4 4.6 3.0 0.6 49.4 19.1

13.8 24.7 21.1 5.1 3.3 0.6 50.7 20.2

13.1 23.5 20.3 5.7 3.8 0.6 51.5 21.5

12.3 22.5 19.6 6.4 4.3 0.7 52.0 22.6

POPUIMIO~ (mouunda)

Tocal ....................................................

................................

...

Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. PercmtqeagedSJorwer aged 15-49 ......... Percentage ot m ~ n e n M e d i i age (years) ................................

19 146 19 639

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (itaman&) Population grmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rale (per 1,OOO populatkn) .. Ne4 migration rate (per 1,OOO populalbn) . Total fertiIQ (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per woman)

399

466

530

3.11 49.7 14.9 -3.2 6.77 2.50

3.16 47.7 13.5 -2.7 6.46 2.47

3.08 44.9 11.9 -2.3 6.06 2.38

577 2.89 41.1 10.3 -2.0 5.49 2.22

617 2.69 37.6 9.0 -1.7 4.89 2.03

655

6%

2.51 34.6 8.0 -1.5 4.34 1.84

2.38 32.2 7.3 -1.4 3.90 1.88

734 2.22 30.1 6.6 -1.2 3.56 1.56

760 2.06 28.1 6.4 -1.1 3.31 1.47

D. LOWVARIANT Population (mouunda) Total ....................................................

........................

.........................................

Percentage a g d 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentage a g d 80 or wer ...... Percentage of women agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years)

.................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

11 611 5652 5960

13 408 6535 6 873

15 375 7505 7 869

17 484 8 549 8935

19712 9653 10059

21 958 10767 11 191

24140 11848 12293

26221 12876 13345

28181 13842 14339

29996 14 732 15 264

18.8 28.9 20.4 5.0 3.6 0.8 43.9 16.0

18.3 28.6 20.5 4.5 3.4 0.8 44.8 16.4

17.2 28.2 21.o 4.4 3.1 0.8 46.2 17.0

16.1 27.6 21.2 4.4 3.0 0.8 47.7 17.8

15.0 26.4 21.3 4.5 3.1 0.7 49.3 18.8

13.6 25.2 21.4 4.8 3.2 0.6 50.9 20.0

12.2 23.8 21 .o 5.3 3.5 0.7 52.5 21.5

11.0 22.0 20.7 6.1 4.0 0.7 54.0 23.1

10.0 20.2 20.0 7.1 4.7 0.8 54.9 24.9

9.1 18.6 18.9 8.3 5.5 0.9 55.1 26.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

populati change per year (thwsanbs) Population grwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rale (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rale (per 1,OOOpopulation) Total feMii (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

359 2.88 46.4 14.5 -3.2 6.27 2.32

393 2.74 42.9 12.8 -2.8 5.66 2.16

422 2.57 39.4 11.2 -2.4 5.06 1.99

446 2.40 38.0 9.9 -2.2 4.49 1.82

449 2.16 32.2 6.7 -1.9 3.89 1.61

436

1.m 28.4 7.8 -1.7 3.34 1.42

416 1.65 25.2 7.1 -1.6 2.90 1.25

392

383

1.44 22.6 6.7 -1.5 2.56 1.12

1.25 20.4 6.6 -1.4 2.31 1.03

20452050

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

11 611 5652 5 960 16.0

13 578 6620 6 958 16.1

16 020 7830 8 190 16.1

19 018 9320 9 698 15.9

22679 11144 11 535 15.8

27 179 13390 13 789 15.8

32 733 16165 16 568 15.8

39 584 19591 19 994 15.8

Popuwon (thouundo)

Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M e d i i age (years) .................................

48 032 23818 24 214 15.7

58 447 29032 29 415 15.7

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

PqHllatkm gmd~rale (per cent)............ Crude birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalim) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllalion)

....

..

3.13 49.3 14.9

3.31 49.4 13.7

3.43 48.8 12.3

3.52 48.1 11.1

3.62 47.6 9.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.72 47.4 9.0

3.80 47.2 8.2

3.87 46.9 7.5

3.93 46.8 6.9

323

MALTA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

312 154 158 97.5

314 152 162 93.8

312 151 161 93.8

305 147 158 93.0

303 146 157 93.1

304 147 157 93.4

324 158 166 94.8

344 169 175 96.7

360 178 182 97.5

378 187 191 98.2

389 193 196 98.3

15.1 19.9 17.3 9.3 5.8 0.6 47.5 23.7 987

13.7 24.2 16.6 9.9 6.7 0.8 44.4 22.0 994

13.5 23.4 15.7 10.7 7.4 0.7 43.8 23.1 987

10.5 23.3 18.0 11.5 7.9 1.1 48.4 23.6 965

7.6 20.0 20.6 13.4 9.0 1.2 51.5 26.3 958

8.2 16.5 17.8 13.1 9.6 1.4 52.7 28.8 963

8.5 14.6 17.8 13.7 9.9 1.5 53.5 30.0 1026

8.1 16.0 14.8 14.3 9.9 1.7 50.8 31.7 1090

7.6 15.9 14.0 14.7 10.4 2.0 50.5 33.0 1140

6.9 15.2 14.8 15.9 11.4 2.2 49.9 35.0 1196

6.0 14.0 15.1 16.9 12.3 2.4 48.3 36.4 1231

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................ . ............... Females ................. ..................... Both sexes combined ...........................

....

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensity(populationpersqkrn)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

403 200 203 98.7

41 1 205 207 99.2

420 209 210 99.5

426 213 213 99.8

431 216 216 99.9

434 217 217 99.8

434 216 217 99.6

432 215 217 99.5

430 214 216 99.4

5.0 12.4 14.7 18.4 13.2 2.9 7.3 4.0 4.2 9.0 48.3 37.6 1274

4.9 10.7 13.6 21.8 14.7 3.4 6.2 3.8 3.8 8.4 47.2 38.8 1302

5.0 9.7 12.3 24.1 17.7 3.9 5.7 3.0 3.4 7.6 46.4 40.3 1328

5.0 9.7 10.7 26.5 19.8 4.3 5.9 2.8 2.8 6.6 45.8 42.0 1350

4.8 9.9 9.7 27.9 21.9 5.1 5.9 2.9 2.9 5.8 43.9 43.6 1365

4.6 9.8 9.9 28.5 23.0 6.7 5.9 3.0 3.0 5.9 41.9 45.2 1373

4.4 9.6 10.1 29.9 23.4 7.7 5.7 3.0 3.0 6.1 40.1 46.6 1372

4.4 9.2 10.2 31.9 24.5 8.6 5.5 2.9 3.0 6.2 38.7 47.7 1367

4.5 9.0 10.0 33.7 26.3 9.0 5.3 2.7 2.9 6.1 37.5 48.5 1361

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females .......................... . ............ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

MALTA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

403 200 203

415 207 208

429 214 215

443 222 222

455 228 227

463 232 231

470 235 235

477 238 238

486 243 243

5.0 12.4 14.7 18.4 13.2 2.9 48.3 37.6

5.7 10.6 13.5 21.6 14.6 3.3 46.8 38.5

6.2 10.3 12.0 23.6 17.3 3.8 45.4 39.6

6.4 11.5 10.3 25.5 19.0 4.2 43.9 40.8

6.0 12.2 10.0 26.5 20.7 4.8 42.6 41.9

5.7 12.1 11.3 26.7 21.6 6.3 41.4 42.9

5.5 11.5 12.1 27.6 21.6 7.1 40.6 43.6

5.8 11.1 12.1 28.9 22.2 7.8 39.8 43.8

6.3 11.2 11.4 29.9 23.3 7.9 39.2 43.1

2 0.61 11.6 8.0 2.4 1.62 0.78

3 0.67 12.7 8.4 2.4 1 .80 0.86

3 0.64 13.0 8.8 2.3 1.95 0.94

2 0.51 12.2 9.3 2.2 2.00 0.96

2 0.37 11.4 9.9 2.2 2.05 0.98

1 0.28 11.1 10.5 2.1 2.10 l .01

1 0.30 11.7 10.8 2.1 2.15 1.03

2 0.38 12.7 11.0 2.1 2.20 1 06

2 0.44 13.3 10.9 2.0 2.25 1.08

.1 -0.32 6.5 12.1 2.5 1.10 0.53

.2 .0.44 6.1 13.0 2.5 1.15 0.55

.2 -0.53 5.8 13.7 2.6 1.20 0.58

.2 -0.58 5.8 14.2 2.7 1.25 0.60

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 0.25 8.0 8.0 2.5 1.12 0.54

0 0.11 7.3 8.6 2.4 1.00 0.48

0 -0.01 6.8 9.3 2.4 0.95 0.45

0 -0.09 6.9 10.2 2.4 1.00 0.48

.l .0.19 6.8 11.1 2.5 1.05 0.50

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) . ........................... Total ..................... Males .................................................. Females ................. ....... ................... Median age (years) .................................

403 200 203 37.6

413 205 207 38.7

422 210 21 1 40.2

428 214 214 41.9

432 216 216 43.6

432 216 216 45.3

430 215 21 6 46.8

428 213 214 48.1

422 210 21 2 49.2

416 207 209 50.0

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.49 10.4 8.0

0.43 10.3 8.5

0.31 9.8 9.0

0.17 9.1 9.7

0.02 8.4 10.5

-0.10 8.0 11.3

-0.17 7.9 11.9

-0.22 7.8 12.4

.0.26 7.7 12.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ..................... ..... Population density (population per sq km)

. .

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ...................... .. ....................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2MM

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................. ..................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

396 188 208

405 192 21 3

412 1 96 216

419 200 220

424 202 222

426 203 222

425 203 222

422 202 220

418 200 21 7

6.8 14.6 14.3 16.9 12.7 3.3 50.0 36.4

6.7 13.5 13.9 18.6 13.7 3.8 47.4 38.7

6.6 13.1 12.6 20.8 15.2 4.3 43.2 40.5

6.6 12.9 11.7 23.7 17.1 4.7 39.0 41.2

6.3 12.9 11.4 27.6 19.8 5.2 36.8 42.3

6.0 12.7 11.4 31 .0 23.4 6.0 36.7 43.5

5.8 12.2 11.5 32.8 26.5 7.2 36.2 44.8

5.8 11.8 11.5 32.9 28.0 8.8 35.3 45.7

5.8 11.7 11.1 33.6 27.8 10.9 34.6 46.1

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.44 14.0 7.5 -2.0 2.16 1.04

..

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................

.........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 0.12 10.8 7.8 .2.0 1.66 0.80

0 4.11 9.1 8.2 .2.0 1.46 0.71

.1 .0.26 8.3 8.9 .2.0 1.35 0.65

.1

.2

.0.37 8.1 9.7 .2.1 1.35 0.65

.0.53 7.5 10.7 .2.1 1.35 0.66

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Population (thousands) Total ............................. .................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

396 188 208 36.4

402 191 212 38.9

407 193 214 41.0

409 194 21 5 42.5

409 195 215 43.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.33 12.8 7.5

0.21 12.1 8.0

0.12 11.8 8.6

0.01 11.3 9.2

.0.14 10.6 10.0

.3 .0.75 6.6 11.9 .2.2 1.35 0.66

.4 .1.28 4.9 15.3 .2.4 1.35 0.66

.5 .1.55 4.4 17.3 .2.6 1.35 0.66

2035

2040

2045

406 193 213 45.4

401 191 210 47.2

392 187 205 48.8

380 181 199 50.3

.0.29 9.9 10.9

.0.46 9.5 12.0

.0.61 9.2 13.2

.0.76 8.9 14.4

.4 .1.01 5.7 13.5 .2.3 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MAURITANIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)

.................................................... ...........

......... ................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)

.................................................... ............................................... ........... .......................... ......................... .................. .................. .......... .......... .........

.................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalily rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..................... ................... ......... ............

....

..

...........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... ....

..................

.

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 963 1 498 1 465

3 390 1 718 1 672

3 834 1 946 l 888

4 300 2 185 2 115

4 776 2 429 2 347

5 269 2 680 2 588

5 777 2 940 2 838

6 297 3 204 3 093

6 819 3 469 3 350

15.1 25.2 19.8 5.3 3.6 0.6 48.8 19.6

14.8 24.5 19.5 5.1 3.6 0.6 49.1 20.2

14.0 24.2 19.2 5.8 3.5 0.7 49.5 20.9

13.1 23.7 19.1 6.4 4.1 0.7 50.0 21.7

12.2 22.6 19.3 7.0 4.6 0.7 50.7 22.7

11.6 21.5 19.2 7.8 5.2 0.7 51.1 23.8

11.1 20.4 18.6 8.8 5.8 0.9 51.3 25.0

10.6 19.6 17.8 9.8 6.6 1.1 51.2 26.1

10.1 19.0 17.2 10.8 7.4 1.2 50.9 27.3

85 2.69 34.2 8.0 0.6 4.62 1.94

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... F e ~ l ............................................... e ~ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

74 2.37 30.8 7.7 0.6 4.12 1.73

69 1.97 26.7 7.0 0.0 3.48 1.49

65 1.69 23.4 6.5 0.0 2.96 1.28

63 1.52 21.4 6.3 0.0 2.62 1.15

60 1.35 19.7 6.2 0.0 2.35 1.05

55 1.16 17.9 6.3 0.0 2.15 0.96

48 0.95 16.1 6.5 0.0 1.98 0.90

39 0.74 14.3 6.9 0.0 1.85 0.84

30 0.55 12.8 7.4 0.0 1.73 0.79

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 963 1498 1 465 19.6

3 410 1728 1 682 20.0

3 917 1989 1 928 20.3

4 496 2286 2 210 20.5

5 156 2624 2 531 20.5

5 909 3010 2 898 20.7

6 771 3452 3 319 20.9

7 762 3959 3 802 21.0

8 899 4542 4 357 21 .0

2.81 35.5 8.0

2.77 35.1 7.5

2.76 34.5 7.0

2.74 33.9 6.5

2.73 33.4 6.2

2.73 33.2 6.0

2.73 33.1 5.8

2.74 33.0 5.7

2.74 32.9 5.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MAURITIUS (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

l950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

493 246 248 99.2

571 284 286 99.2

660 329 331 99.4

753 377 377 100.0

826 413 413 100.1

892 440 452 97.4

966 476 490 97.3

1016 506 510 99.4

1057 528 529 99.8

1125 561 564 99.6

1186 590 596 99.0

18.1 27.1 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.3 242

18.7 27.3 18.8 4.2 2.6 0.3 45.0 16.9 280

18.6 28.0 18.7 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 324

17.9 28.6 18.9 4.0 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 369

14.0 29.8 19.9 4.2 2.6 0.2 46.7 17.8 405

11.5 28.2 20.8 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.1 19.5 437

11.3 24.4 21.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 52.0 21.5 474

10.9 20.8 21.5 7.4 4.8 0.6 53.6 23.4 498

9.2 20.5 18.9 8.3 5.4 0.7 54.6 25.7 518

9.7 17.7 18.5 8.5 5.9 0.9 56.2 27.3 551

8.4 17.2 18.1 9.0 6.2 1.0 56.3 28.9 581

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

............

1 241 616 625 98.6

1 291 640 651 98.2

1 335 660 675 97.8

1 374 678 696 97.4

1 406 692 714 97.0

1 430 702 728 96.5

1 444 708 737 96.1

1 451 709 742 95.7

1 451 708 743 95.4

7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 10.0 5.2 4.6 9.6 54.8 30.5 608

7.2 15.0 15.8 11.0 7.1 l .5 8.9 4.7 5.1 9.2 53.7 32.4

6.9 14.0 15.5 13.3 8.3 1.6 8.4 4.3 4.4 9.6 51.5 34.3 655

6.6 13.4 14.1 15.9 10.3 l .7 8.0 4.0 4.1 8.5 49.6 35.8 674

6.4 13.0 13.3 18.7 12.6 1.9 7.8 3.9 3.9 8.0 48.1 37.1 689

6.1 12.6 12.8 20.9 15.0 2.5 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.7 45.8 38.4 70 1

5.8 12.2 12.6 22.3 16.7 3.4 7.3 3.7 3.8 7.6 44.5 39.8 708

5.7 11.8 12.4 24.5 17.9 4.3 7.0 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.7 40.8 71 1

5.6 11.5 12.1 25.8 19.7 5.2 6.9 3.5 3.6 7.3 42.3 41.5 711

633

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.... ..

.

-

10 19 9 0 0.78 14.9 7.0 0.0 1.86 0.89 14 17

9 19 10 0 0.68 14.2 7.4 0.0 1.85 0.89 13 15

8 18 11 0 0.58 13.6 7.8 0.0 1.85 0.89 12 14

18 12 0 0.46 13.0 8.4 0.0 1.85 0.89 11 13

5 l8 13 0 0.33 12.4 9.1 0.0 1.85 0.89 l0 12

3 17 14 0 0.20 11.9 9.8 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 11

1 17 15 0 0.09 11.5 10.6 0.0 1 85 0.89 8 10

0 16 16 0 0.00 l'l.3 11.3 0.0 1 85 0.89 8 9

1 16 17 0 .0.07 11.2 11.8 0.0 1.85 0.90 7 9

69.5 76.2 72.8

70.4 76.9 73.6

71.3 77.6 74.4

72.0 78.2 75.1

72.9 78.9 75.9

73.7 79.6 76.7

74.5 80.3 77.4

75.2 81.0 78.1

75.9 81.6 78.7

6

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MAURITIUS (')

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 241 616 625

1 303

657

1 367 677 691

1 431 707 724

1 488 734 754

1 539 758 781

1 587 780 807

1 633 802 831

1 679 825 854

7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 54.8 30.5

8.1 14.9 15.6 10.9 7.1 1.5 53.2 32.1

8.2 14.6 15.2 13.0 8.1 1.5 50.3 33.5

8.1 15.1 13.5 15.2 9.9 1.6 47.6 34.4

7.7 15.3 13.4 17.7 11.9 l .8 46.4 34.9

7.4 15.0 14.0 19.4 13.9 2.3 44.7 35.8

7.4 14.4 14.3 20.3 15.2 3.1 44.1 36.1

7.5 14.2 14.1 21.7 15.9 3.8 43.8 35.9

7.6 14.3 13.6 22.3 17.0 4.5 43.0 35.9

646

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduclion rate (per woman) ..........

...........

12 0.98 16.8 7.0 0.0 2.11 1.01

13 0.96 16.9 7.3 0.0 2.25 1.08

11 0.78 15.9 8.1 0.0 2.35 1.13

13 0.91 16.8 7.6 0.0 2.35 1.13

10 0.67 15.3 8.6 0.0 2.35 1.13

10 0.61 15.2 9.1 0.0 2.35 1.13

9 0.58 15.4 9.6 0.0 2.35 1.13

9 0.55 15.5 10.0 0.0 2.35 1.14

9 0.52 15.4 10.2 0.0 2.35 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

1 241 616 625

1 278 633 645

1 303 644 659

1 318 649 668

1 325 651 674

1 322 647 675

1 308 638 670

1 283 624 659

1 248 605 643

7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 54.8 30.5

6.3 15.2 15.9 11.1 7.2 1.5 54.2 32.7

5.5 13.4 15.9 13.6 8.5 1 .6 52.7 35.1

5.1 11.5 14.7 16.6 10.8 1.8 51.6 37.2

4.9 10.4 13.1 19.8 13.3 2.1 50.1 39.2

4.6 9.9 11.5 22.5 16.2 2.7 47.0 41 .0

4.3 9.6 10.5 24.6 18.5 3.7 44.7 43.0

3.9 9.1 10.2 27.7 20.2 4.8 43.1 45.1

3.7 8.5 10.1 30.0 22.9 6.1 40.7 46.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

7 0.59 12.9 7.0 0.0 1.61 0.77

5 0.38 11.3 7.5 0.0 1.45 0.70

3 0.22 10.3 8.1 0.0 1.35 0.65

1 0.11 9.9 8.8 0.0 1.35 0.65

-l .0.04 9.3 9.7 0.0 1.35 0.65

-3 .0.21 8.5 10.7 0.0 1.35 0.65

-5 .0.40 7.8 11.8 0.0 1.35 0.65

.7 .0.56 7.3 12.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

-

8

.0.68 7.1 13.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................... ...... ................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1 241 616 625 30.5

1 293 641 652 32.4

1 340 663 677 34.2

1 382 682 700 35.6

1 417

1 444 709 735 38.0

1 463 717 746 39.3

1 474 721 753 40.2

1 479

1 480

698 71 9 36.8

723 756 40.8

723 757 41.3

0.82 15.2 7.0

0.72 14.6 7.4

0.62 14.0 7.8

0.50 13.4 8.4

0.37 12.8 9.0

0.26 12.3 9.7

0.16 12.0 10.5

0.07 11.8 11.1

0.01 11.7 11.6

(') Including Agalega. Rodriguss. and Saint Brandon.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MEXICO A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

104266 50 919 53 347 95.4

110293 53 762 56 531 95.1

115756 56 332 59 424 94.8

120559 58 580 61 979 94.5

124695 60 478 64 216 94.2

128125 62 008 66 117 93.8

130683 63 094 67 589 93.3

132237 63 682 68 555 92.9

132758 63 774 68 984 92.4

10.1 20.6 18.2 8.4 5.8 1.2 12.4 6.2 5.8 10.7 53.9 25.6 53

9.1 18.9 18.0 9.5 6.6 1.4 11.3 5.7 5.8 10.6 54.5 27.5 56

8.3 17.3 17.6 11.1 7.5 1.7 10.3 5.3 5.3 10.6 54.5 29.4 59

7.5 15.9 16.4 13.0 9.0 l .9 9.5 4.9 5.0 9.6 53.6 31.4 62

7.0 14.5 15.3 15.0 10.6 2.3 8.6 4.5 4.5 9.2 51.5 33.5 64

6.7 13.5 14.1 17.4 12.3 2.7 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.5 49.4 35.7 65

6.3 12.9 13.1 20.5 14.5 3.4 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.9 47.3 37.7 67

5.9 12.4 12.4 23.1 17.2 4.2 7.4 3.8 3.8 7.4 45.2 39.7 68

5.6 11.8 12.0 25.2 19.4 5.0 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.1 43.1 41.5 68

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

1 205 2 075 510 - 360 1.12 19.3 4.8 -3.4 2.21 1.05 17 20

1 093 1 970 555 - 322 0.97 17.4 4.9 .2.8 2.04 0.97 14 17

961 1 854 613 . 280 0.81 15.7 5.2 .2.4 1 .89 0.91 11 14

827 1 803 685 . 291 0.68 14.7 5.6 .2.4 1.85 0.89 10 12

73.7 78.6 76.2

74.9 79.7 77.3

75.8 80.6 78.2

76.6 81.3 79.0

686 1 758 771 300 0.54 13.9 6.1 -2.4 1.85 0.89 8 11

512 1 687 875 - 300 0.40 13.0 6.8 -2.3 1.85 0.89 7 9

31 1 1 606 996 - 300 0.24 12.2 7.6 -2.3 1 .85 0.89 7 8

77.2 81.9 79.6

77.8 82.4 80.1

78.2 82.8 80.6

-

104 1 531 1 127 300 0.08 11.6 8.5 .2.3 1.85 0.89

.

6

8 78.6 83.2 61.0

. 96 1 468 1 264

-

300

.0.07 11.1 9.5 -2.3 1.85 0.89 6 7 78.9 83.5 81.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MEXICO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populalion (thousands) . ...................... Total .......................... Males .................................................. Females .................. . . . ...................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 431 1.33 21.4 4.8 .3.3 2.46 1.17

1 467 1.28 20.4 4.9 -2.8 2.44 1.16

1 437 1.18 19.1 5.1 .2.3 2.39 1.15

1 323 1.02 17.8 5.4 -2.3 2.35 1.13

1 239

0.91 17.1 5.7 .2.2 2.35 1.13

1 162 0.82 16.6 6.2 -2.1 2.35 1.13

1 070 0.73 16.1 6.8 -2.0 2.35 1.13

958 0.63 15.7 7.5 -2.0 2.35 1.13

832 0.53 15.4 8.2 -l .9 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) ............................. Total ..................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

978 0.92 17.3 4.7 .3.4 1.96 0.93

716 0.65 14.3 4.9 .2.9 1.64 0.78

481 0.42 12.0 5.3 -2.5 1.39 0.67

337 0.29 11.3 5.8 .2.5 1.35 0.65

165 0.14 10.5 6.5 .2.6 1.35 0.65

. 62 -0.05 9.4 7.4 .2.6 1.35 0.65

.320

. 588

. 792

-0.27 8.3 8.5 .2.6 1.35 0.65

.0.50 7.4 .2.6 1.35 0.65

.0.71 6.8 11.3 .2.7 1.35 0.65

9.8

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) ............. 104266 Total ........................... ... Males .............................. . ............... 50 919 Females ........................................... 53 347 Median age (years) ................................ 25.6

111147 54 199 56 948 27.2

118297 57 631 60 666 28.7

125519 61 l16 64 403 30.0

132353 64 394 67 959 31.5

138714 67 421 71 292 32.9

144644 70 231 74 413 34.0

150143 72 835 77 308 34.8

155172 75 229 79 942 35.5

159665 77 393 82 272 36.2

1.25 20.2 4.9

1.19 19.2 5.1

1.06 18.2 5.4

0.94 17.4 5.8

0.84 16.7 6.2

0.75 16.3 6.8

0.66 16.0 7.5

0.57 15.7 8.1

Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.28 20.9 48

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MICRONESIA (FED. STATES OF) A ESTIMATES lndlcator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OW

36

45 23 22 106.2

52 27 25 106.3

63

30

30

106.4

107.0

73 37 36 104.5

86

20 18 106.1

61 32

...........

32 16 16 106.1

44 42 104.9

96 49 47 104.7

107 55 52 104.6

107 54 53 102.5

Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Peccenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or o m .................. Percentage d rnaged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

15.5 24.9 18.8 6.3 4.1 0.5 46.9 19.8 48

19.6 23.7 18.0 5.8 3.7 0.4 44.8 18.5 54

18.6 26.7 17.4 5.5 3.5 0.4 43.3 17.5 63

18.0 29.1 16.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 41.9 16.6 74

17.9 28.0 19.0 5.2 3.3 0.4 43.4 16.8 87

18.2 29.3 20.3 6.5 4.2 0.5 40.4 16.1 90

17.4 29.9 19.5 5.6 3.6 0.5 42.7 16.3 104

17.2 28.3 20.6 5.4 3.6 0.4 44.8 16.9 122

15.9 28.2 20.7 5.3 3.6 0.4 46.5 17.6 137

14.8 28.5 20.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 47.1 17.8 153

14.0 26.1 21.5 5.2 3.7 0.6 50.1 18.9 153

Populutbn (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Ape dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4

33

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 19851970 1970-1975 19751960 1980-1935 1985-1990 1990-1995 1 9 9 5 - ~2ooo-2005 popllatm change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OW population) .. Total feltiliity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO l i i births) L l k oxpect.ncy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comMned ............................

0 2 1 0.55 39.9 8.8 6.90 2.90 58

2 3 1 2.89 38.2 7.8 6.40 2.75 49

3 3 1 3.22 39.3 7.2 6.00 2.60 47

2 3 1 2.34 35.5 6.7 5.20 2.27 45

2 3 1 2.15 32.2 6.4 4.79 2.10 42

0 3 1 -0.02 31.5 6.3 4.53 2.00 40

1 3 1 0.55 29.7 6.3 4.23 1.88

77

2 2 1 3.24 42.0 9.6 8.90 2.82 68

58.1 59.2 58.6

60.1 61.2 60.5

62.2 63.3 62.6

64.3 65.4 64.7

64.8 65.9 85.3

65.4 66.5 65.9

65.9 67.0 66.4

66.5 67.6 67.1

66.9 68.2 67.6

1 2 0 3.38 47.9 14.2 7.20 2.71 97

1 2 1 3.23 44.8 12.5 7.00 2.72 87

2 2 1 3.18 42.8 10.9 8.90 2.75

54.1 55.2 54.8

58.1 57.2 58.6

38

8. MEDIUMVARIANT

Populrtlon (thOU8Ond8) Total ....................................................

........................................ Females .................

Sex ratio (males per 1 Age dlrtrlbutlon

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percenlage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of w ~ e ao Median age (years) ....... Population density (population per sq km)

..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

110 56 54 103.2

113 57 55 104.0

116 59 57 104.7

120 62 59 105.1

125 64 61 105.4

129 66 63 105.6

132 64 105.8

134 69 65 106.0

134 69 65 106.1

134 69 65 106.2

13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 15.2 7.4 7.4 13.8 49.8 19.7 157

12.1 24.9 22.4 5.9 3.6 0.6 15.1 7.3 7.1 13.2 49.6 20.6 160

11.2 23.5 21.8 7.2 4.2 0.7 14.0 7.3 7.0 12.8 50.6 21.9 165

10.5 21.4 21.6 8.3 5.3 0.6 12.7 6.6 6.8 12.9 52.1 23.3 171

9.9 19.9 20.4 9.2 6.2 0.6 11.9 6.0 6.1 12.4 54.0 24.9 178

9.2 18.9 18.7 9.6 6.9 0.8 11.3 5.7 5.7 11.2 55.1 26.7 184

8.4 17.9 17.7 9.5 7.2 1.2 10.7 5.5 5.5 10.6 54.3 28.5 168

7.5 16.8 17.1 10.0 7.0 1.4 10.0 5.2 5.3 10.2 53.7 30.4 191

6.7 15.4 16.5 12.4 7.6 1.6 9.1 4.9 5.0 9.9 52.7 32.5 191

6.4 13.9 15.7 15.3 9.9 1.7 8.1 4.5 4.7 9.5 50.9 34.6 191

68

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202&2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO populalbn) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmductim rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OW live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OW live births) Llta expectancy at blrth (yearr)

...............................

Females ........................ Both sexes combined ............................

334

1 3 1 - 2 0.46 25.9 6.1 -15.3 3.71 1.66 34 42

1 3 1 - 1 0.58 23.8 5.8 -12.3 3.27 1.48 31 37

1 3 1 - 1 0.74 22.4 5.7 -9.3 2.92 1.33 28

1 3 1 - 1 0.78 20.9 5.8 -7.3 2.63 1.21 25

33

67.7 69.3 68.5

68.5 70.4 69.4

69.2 71.4 70.3

1 2

30

- 1 0.63 19.4 6.0 -7.1 2.40 1.11 22 25

2 1 - 1 0.46 17.6 6.1 -6.9 2.20 1.03 18 21

0 2 1 - 1 0.26 15.7 6.3 6.8 2.03 0.96 15 18

0 2 1 - 1 0.07 13.9 6.5 -6.7 1.89 0.89 14 15

0 2 1 - 1 -0.04 13.1 6.7 -6.7 1.85 0.68 12 13

69.9 72.2 71.1

70.8 73.4 72.1

71.8 74.7 73.3

72.7 75.9 74.3

73.6 76.9 75.2

74.4 77.8 76.1

1

1

United Nations oepartment of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Pcpulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MICRONESIA (FED. STATES OF)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ...............................

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

110 56 54

114 58 56

119 61 58

126 65 61

133 69 65

140 72 68

147 75 71

152 78 74

157 81 76

13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 49.6 19.7

13.0 24.6 22.1 5.8 3.6 0.6 49.1 20.4

12.5 23.8 21.3 7.0 4.0 0.6 49.3 21.2

12.1 22.9 20.6 7.9 5.0 0.6 49.8 22.1

11.3 22.1 20.0 8.6 5.8 0.5 51.4 23.2

10.6 21.1 19.5 8.8 6.3 0.7 52.8 24.4

9.9 20.0 19.0 8.5 6.5 1.1 52.8 25.7

9.2 18.8 18.5 8.8 6.2 1.3 52.7 27.1

8.6 17.7 17.7 10.6 6.5 1.4 52.2 28.6

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

............ .... ...........

..........

1 0.67 28.0 6.1 -15.2 3.96 1.78

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................

.................. ..................

110 56 54

111 57 55

113 58 55

115 59 56

117 60 57

118 61 58

118 61 58

117 57

114 59 55

13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 49.6 19.7

11.2 25.1 22.6 5.9 3.7 0.6 50.1 20.9

9.8 23.1 22.4 7.4 4.3 0.7 52.0 22.5

8.9 19.8 22.7 8.7 5.5 0.6 54.6 24.4

8.3 17.6 20.9 9.8 6.6 0.6 56.7 26.6

7.7 16.4 17.9 10.5 7.5 0.9 57.5 29.0

7.0 15.4 16.1 10.6 8.0 1.3 56.0 31.6

5.9 14.4 15.3 11.5 8.1 1.6 54.6 34.4

4.9 12.9 14.8 14.6 8.9 1.9 52.6 37.3

60

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20454050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

110 56 54 19.7

115 59 56 20.2

122 63

60 20.5

133 68 65 20.8

145 75 71 20.9

159 82 77 21.1

175

90 85 21.4

192 99 93 21.6

212 109 103 21.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.84 29.7 6.2

1.25 30.2 5.9

1.62 30.5 5.6

1.82 30.2 5.5

1.83 29.6 5.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.86 29.1 5.2

1.91 28.9 4.9

1.98 28.9 4.7

2.05 28.9 4.4

235 121 114 22.1

MOLDOVA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

2 341 1 093 1 248 67.6

2 627 1 227 1 400 87.6

3 004 1 405 1 598 87.9

3 335 1 561 1 774 88.0

3 595 1 681 1 914 87.8

3 839 1 804 2 035 86.6

4 010 1 896 2 114 89.7

4 232 2 012 2 220 90.6

4 389 2 098 2 291 91.6

8.7 19.4 19.1 11.2 7.7 1.1 52.9 26.6 69

12.2 16.2 18.8 9.8 7.1 1 .0 53.2 26.6 78

13.3 18.5 16.5 9.0 6.2 0.9 50.8 26.1 89

11.8 22.5 13.8 9.3 5.8 0.9 47.8 26.2 99

9.5 22.6 16.2 9.7 6.3 0.9 50.3 26.3 106

9.7 19.2 19.6 10.8 6.8 1 .0 51 .1 26.2 113

9.4 17.3 18.6 10.8 7.7 10 50.8 27.7 116

10.2 17.4 16.8 11.6 7.5 1.1 49.7 28.3 125

10.1 18.1 15.2 12.7 8.3 1.2 48.0 29.0 130

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductton rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) . . ........................... Total ................... Males ................... . ................... Females .................... . . . ................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...................... . . ..... Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . . 34 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 43 Deaths per year (thousands) .................. 47 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 30 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ .0.90 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 11.4 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 12.5 Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) .7.9 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 1.40 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 0.66 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 16 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) 19 Life expectancy at blrth (years) ................ Males ................................. 65.1 Females ............................................... 72.5 Both sexes combined ................... 68.9

.

.........

. 12 44

. 13 42 45 . 10

. 17

. 21

. 24

33 45 . 10 .0.62 9.6 13.0 .2.9 1.58 0.75 12 16

31 45 . 10 .0.74 9.2 13.5 .3.0 1.63 0.77

69.4 75.9 72.7

46 . 10 .0.34 12.0 12.6 .2.7 1.43 0.67 15 19

-0.36 11.7 12.6 .2.8 1.48 0.70 14 18

38 45 . 10 .0.48 10.7 12.6 .2.8 1.53 0.72 13 17

65.8 73.2 69.6

67.0 74.2 70.7

68.2 75.1 71.7

. 26

15

.25 30 45 . 10 -0.79 9.4 14.2 .3.1 1.68 0.80 10 14

. 25 30 45 . 10 .0.82 9.7 14.7 .3.3 1.73 0.82 10 13

29 45 . 10 .0.88 9.8 15.1 .3.4 1.78 0.85 9 13

70.3 76.6 73.5

71.1 77.2 74.2

72.0 77.8 74.9

72.8 78.5 75.6

11

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

MOLDOVA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) ............. Total ................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. OM)population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3 877 1 855 2 022

3 746 1 794 1 952

3 746 1 799 1 947

3 750 1 806 1 944

3 723 1 798 1 925

3 673 1 779 1 895

3 623 1 760 1 863

3 589 1 751 1 839

3 567 1 748 1 820

5.6 14.4 19.9 14.9 11.1 1.6 51.0 32.5

6.6 12.0 18.4 15.7 11.0 2.0 49.5 33.2

7.4 12.1 14.2 17.5 11.4 2.2 47.1 33.8

7.4 13.8 11.5 19.2 13.1 2.5 45.9 35.1

6.5 14.7 11.7 20.6 14.8 2.4 45.8 37.1

6.0 13.9 13.6 20.5 16.1 2.8 46.3 39.0

6.1 12.6 14.6 20.6 15.8 3.7 45.1 40.2

6.7 12.1 13.8 20.9 15.7 4.3 41.6 39.6

7.1 12.8 12.3 23.0 15.9 4.7 39.7 38.6

. 26 .0.69 13.5 12.4 -7.9 1.65 0.78

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

. 42 -1 .1 1 9.4 12.5 -8.0 1 .15 0.54

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .

.

Population (thousands) Total ......................... . ........................ Males ................................................ Females .................... . ...................... Median age (years) .................................

3 877 1 855 2 022 32.5

3 724 1 783 1 941 33.4

3 674 1 762 1 912 34.3

3 606 1 732 1 874 36.2

3 512 1 689 1 823 38.6

3 398 1 637 1 761 41.2

3 271 1 579 1 692 43.6

3 135 1 517 1 618 45.5

2 989 1 450 1 538 46.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

.0.80 12.3 12.5

.0.27 12.5 12.6

.0.37 11.5 12.5

-0.53 10.1 12.6

.0.66 9.2 12.9

.0.76 8.9 13.5

.0.85 8.8 14.2

.0.96 8.5 14.8

.1.08 7.9 15.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MONGOLIA A ESTIMATES Indicator

PopuwOn (thouundm) Total ....................................................

Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ...... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage a@ 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (populatkm per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1%

1995

2OOO

761 373

850

959 474

1256 625

1447

1663 834

1909

723

630

724 99.9

830

m

99.2

100.5

101.0

2 216 1106 1110 99.6

2389 1195 1195 100.0

2 470 1234 1235 99.9

17.2 26.5 19.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.1 18.1 1

17.1 26.6 19.1 4.7 2.9 0.3 46.1 18.0 1

16.4 26.7 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.7 18.2 1

16.0 26.3 19.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 47.3 18.6 1

16.0 25.7 20.7 5.8 4.0 0.5 47.2 18.8 1

12.7 26.2 20.9 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.4 20.0 2

9.7 24.8 21.5 5.7 3.9 0.7 54.9 22.1 2

389

432

485

95.9

96.8

97.7

1094 543 551 98.5

16.7 25.2 18.7 5.5 3.3 0.2 46.3 19.0 0

16.9 25.6 18.8 5.3 3.3 0.3 46.2 18.7 1

17.1 25.9 19.0 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.3 18.4 1

17.3 26.1 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.2 18.2 1

418

959

1950-1955 19551960 1860-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751880 lS80-1885 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005

Population c haw per year (tkmands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... PqnAatm growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO popdatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO lhre births) L l h 0xp.Ct.ncy al Mrm (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

...........

17 2.63 43.3 17.0 6.00 2.13 121

32 50 17 2.76 42.3 14.8 7.33 2.72 108

38 56 18 2.84 41.5 13.1 7.33 2.82

47.0 49.5 48.3

50.0 52.5 51.3

18 35 18 2.20 43.7 21.7 6.00 1.91 148

22

27

39 17 2.42 43.4 19.3 6.00 2.02 134

44

41.O 43.5 42.2

44.0 46.5 45.2

49 67 18 2.76 37.6 10.0 5.74 2.35 78

81 73 18 2.98 35.3 8.7 4.83 2.03 73

35 67 20 1.51 29.1 8.9 3.37 1.45

88

43 61 18 2.78 39.2 11.4 6.65 2.64 88

52.5 55.0 53.8

54.0 57.0 55.5

56.0 59.0 57.5

68

16 52 17 0.66 21.2 7.2 2.36 1.05 49

22 50 17 0.88 19.7 6.9 2.07 0.94 45

58.5 62.0 60.2

59.4 63.2 61.3

61.1 66.3 63.6

61.9 68.4 65.0

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

206

2050

2581 1287 1293 99.5

2707 1349 1358 99.3

2858 1423 1435 99.2

2997 1492 1505 99.1

3112 1548 1564 99.0

3204 1593 1612 88.8

3280 1628 1652 88.6

3338 1655 1683 88.3

3 375 1671 1 704 98.0

3388 1 674 1714 97.7

9.1 19.8 22.8 5.9 3.9 0.7 11.3 6.8 7.5 13.3 59.7 24.2 2

8.5 16.8 21.8 6.0 4.1 0.7 10.0 5.1 5.9 13.7 61.O 26.4 2

8.4 15.9 17.5 6.7 4.3 0.8 9.6 4.8 4.6 10.8 59.0 28.8 2

7.8 15.5 15.0 8.4 4.9 0.8 9.4 4.5 4.5 8.9 57.0 31.3 2

7.0 15.0 14.5 10.8 6.4 1.o 9.0 4.5 4.4 8.7 54.9 33.7 2

6.4 13.9 14.3 13.2 8.5 1.o 8.2 4.3 4.4 8.5 52.8 35.9 2

6.2 12.8 14.1 15.8 10.5 1.3 7.6 4.0 4.1 8.6 50.3 37.5 2

6.0 12.1 13.2 18.6 12.7 2.0 7.2 3.7 3.8

5.8 11.8 12.3 21.5 15.0 2.8 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.5 43.9 40.0 2

5.6 11.6 11.8 25.1 17.4 3.6 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 42.9 40.9 2

Population (thoummdr) Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... dl.trlbut)on Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........ Percentage aged 15-24 ...... Percentage aged 60 OT OYBT Percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or OYBT .................. Percentage in school ages 6 Percentage in school ages t Percentage in schod ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage of women aged Median ege (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

+

8.0 46.5 38.8 2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populalkmchange per year (thousands).. Bilths per year (lhousands) ..................... Deaths per year (lhowaM8) Net migration per year (thous Population gmwlh rate (per cent) ............ crude birth ra1e (per 1,OOO popllation) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO popllati) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per wwnan) .......... IrJant mortality rale (per 1.OOO l i births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO l i births) L

....

Both sems comMned ............................

338

25 49 17 - 8

19 - 2 0.95 16.5 8.4 -0.7 1.85 0.86 32 41

23 45 20 - 2 0.75 14.8 6.6 -0.7 1.85 0.88 29 37

19 43 22 - 2 0.59 13.5 7.0 -0.6 1.85 0.87 26 32

15 42 24 - 2 0.46 12.8 7.6 -0.6 1.85 0.87

67.3 72.4 69.9

68.7 73.5 71.1

70.0 74.6 72.3

30

28

48

18.4 6.6 -2.3 1.87 0.88 40 54

50 18 - 2 1.m 18.0 6.4 -0.7 1.85 0.85 35 47

63.9 69.9 66.8

65.7 71.2 68.4

0.98

29

12 41 27 - 2 0.35 12.4 8.3 -0.6 1.85 0.87 21 26

31 - 2 0.22 12.0 9.2 -0.0 1.85 0.88 18 23

3 39 34 - 2 0.08 11.5 10.2 -0.8 1.85 0.88 17 21

71.1 75.8 73.5

72.1 76.8 74.5

73.0 77.7 75.4

73.9 78.8 76.2

23

7

40

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affailslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MONGOLIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

31 1.18 20.7 6.6 -2.3 2.12 0.97

41 1.43 21.4 6.4 -0.7 2.25 1.04

40 1.32 20.2 6.3 -0.7 2.35 1.09

35 1.08 17.8 6.4 .0.6 2.35 1.09

32 0.94 16.6 6;6 -0.6 2.35 1.10

31 0.88 16.4 7.1 .0.6 2.35 1.11

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... . Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproducl~onrate (per woman) ..........

19 0.73 16.0 6.5 -2.3 1.62 0.74

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ........................ .......

2 581 1 287 1 293 24.2

2 732 1 362 1 370 26.2

2 912 1 451 1 461 28.3

3 078 1 533 1 545 30.6

3 220 1 603 1 617 32.7

3 344 1 664 1 680 34.5

3 458 1 719 1 739 35.5

3 561 1 768 1 792 36.3

3 646 1 809 1 837 37.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.14 20.3 6.6

1.27 19.8 6.4

1.11 18.1 6.3

0.90 16.1 6.5

0.76 15.0 6.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.67 14.6 7.3

0.59 14.4 7.9

0.47 14.0 8.7

0.34 13.4 9.4

MONTENEGRO A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouundm) Total M W ................................................... Femak Sex ram (mates per 100 flmlabs) Aga dlatrikrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5 1 4 Percentage a m 1524 ......................... Percentwe aged 60 or over .................. Percenw aged 65 01ova .................. Percenlage aged 80 U OHK Percentage of m~QBI 1W9 Median age (years) ........ POplhUon -itY (populatknper w

.................................................... ...............................................

...........

............................ ..........................

.................. ......... ............ w

1850

1955

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

399

429 206 223 92.6

487

507 247

240 94.3

95.1

519 254 285 95.7

549 271 278 97.2

576

226

93.3

576 286 290 98.7

587 290 297 97.4

623 31 3 31 1 100.7

670 341 329 103.5

11.7 23.6 16.7 10.4 7.2 1.3 46.9 23.6 37

10.5 22.2 19.1 10.9 7.6 1.8 49.7 23.9 38

9.9 20.2 19.8 11.3 8.0 1.7 51.3 25.1

9.4 18.2 19.3 10.7 8.3 1.6 51.5 26.8 42

8.9 17.7 17.5 11.2 7.8 1.9 50.7 20.4 42

8.6 17.7 16.0 12.9 8.3 1.9 48.7 30.0 42

6.7 17 0 16 1 13.5 8.9 1 .8 51.1 31.8 45

6.7 15.2 15.7 14.7 9.5 1.3 51.7 33.7 49

im

209

91 .o

13.1 23.7 18.7 10.5 7.4 1.1 4.2

21.3 29

13.2 21 3 20.2 10.2 7.1 1.1 47.7 22.2 31

13.0 23.4 17.7 10.3 7.1 1 .o 48.0

22.9 34

260

U)

288 290

1850-195!j 1955-1960 1960.1885 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 18eGlWS 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2000-2005

..

Population change per year (thouunds) Births per year (lhowands) ..................... Deaths per year (moUsande) ................... PopuktlkXlgrowth rate @er COtlt) ............. CNde Mtlh rate (per 1,OW pc$nhtlOn) .... CNde h t h @er 1.000 POphtbIl) Total fertility (children per wommn) Net reproduction rate (per womm) Infant ror(alily rate (per 1,OW lk Mtu) L l h exp.ctncy rt M m l (ymus) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

........... ..........

6 7 2 1.47 16.1 5.0 3.22 1.28 87

8 7 2

1 .a 14.9 4.2 2.75 1.14 78

58.4 59.9 59.2

80.2 82.8 61.4

6 5 2 1.13 9.9 3.1 2.30 1.07

5 5 2 0.96 9.2 3.1 2.37 1.09

59

2 6 2 0.47 11.2 3.3 2.43 1.08 42

30

62.0 85.4 83.7

65.0 69.2 67.2

68.1 73.1 70.6

8 6 2 1.64 13.3 3.6 2.57 1.11

2 5 2 0.38 8.2 3.1 2.23 1.02

26

0 5 2 0.00 8.8 3.2 2.32 1.07 23

70.4 75.6 73.1

- 12

0.86 21

0.85

19

7 8 4 1.20 13.5 6.5 1.81 0.85 20

71 .5 76.6 74.1

72.3 77.4 74.9

72.7 78.9 75.4

72.1 78.9 75.4

71.0 76.5 74.0

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

610 299 31 1 96.1

607 298 309 96.7

603 297 305 97.2

5.6 11.1 12.0 26.1 20.0 6.5 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.3 41 .O 41.9 44

5.5

11.1 11.5 27.5 21 .o 6.9 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.9 40.5 42.3 44

5.4 11.2 11.2 29.2 22.3 7.0 6.7 3.4 3.4 6.7 40.2 42.8

9 9 4 1.45 13.3 6.5 1.84

8 5 -1.95 13.2 8.2 1.83 24

8. MEDIUMVARIANT

Popuwon (IhouaMds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femeles Sex ratio ( ) ........... Age dlotrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage a@ 5 1 4 ... Percentage aged 1524 . Percentage aged 60ofOVBT Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in Jchool age8 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school qtas 16-23 .......... Percentage of women a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (POpJelkn per sq krn)

.............

............................

.................. ..................

..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

do8 288

800 290

613

299

299

309 g3.8

61 1 297 314 94.6

813

312 96.0

6M 293 312 94.0

314 95.0

314 95.4

612 299 31 3 95.7

6.4 13.2 16.3 17.8 13.8 2.3 7.8 4.2 4.9 9.8 49.7 35.1 44

8.8 12.8 14.5 19.2 14.3 3.3 7.7 3.9 3.8 9.1 47.5

6.5 12.8 12.7 21 .o 15.2 4.0 7.7 3.8 3.8 7.5 46.0 37.1 44

6.2 12.9 12.5 22.6 18.6 4.8 7.8 3.9 3.7 7.5 45.3 38.1 44

5.8 12.6 12.6 23.7 18.1 4.6 7.5 3.9 3.9 7.5 44.8 39.4 44

5.6 12.0 12.8 24.3 19.1 5.0 7.1 3.7 3.8 7.7 43.9 40.8 44

5.5 11.4 12.6 25.0 19.5 5.8 6.8 3.5 3.7 7.6 42.6 41.5 44

38.0 43

44

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (lhouamd~). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thou-) ................... Net migration per year (mwrcmde) Population growlh rate (per cent) Crude Mtlh rate (per 1,OOO popuhtbn) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,OOO popr).tion) Net migratkn rate (per 1,OW POphtbn) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... lnlpnt mortality rate (per 1.OW Ilw, Mrths) Under-fivemortality (per 1 .OW live Mrlhs) L l k expectMy rt M m l (yOu8) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both Sem COmMned ............................

......... ............ .. ...........

340

1 8 7 0 0.20 12.7 10.7 0.0 1.85

0.09

0.88

0.86

24

1 8 6 - 1 0.15 13.4 10.3 -1.7 1.85 0.86 21 22

19 21

18 19

0 7 7 0 0.01 11.3 11.3 0.0 1.85 0.87 16 18

72.4 76.8 74.5

73.1 n.4 75.3

73.7 78.1 76.0

74.4 78.7 76.6

74.9 79.3 77.2

- 2 8 6

- 4 -0.27 13.6 9.8 -6.8 1 .M 0.05 22

1

7 7 0 11.9 11.0 0.0 1.85

0

0

7 7 0 11.2 11.6 0.0 1.85 0.87 15 16

7 7 0 4.07 11.2 11.9 0.0 1.85 0.87 14 15

-1 7 7 0 4.10 11.2 12.2 0.0 1.85 0.87 13 14

7 7 0 -0.15 10.9 12.4 0.0 1.85 0.87 12 12

75.5 80.0 77.8

76.0 80.7 78.4

76.6 81.3 79.0

77.1 81.9 79.5

-0.04

- 1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MONTENEGRO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

608 296 312

605 293 312

618 300 318

635 309 325

647 316 330

657 322 335

668 328 340

682 336 345

697 345 352

711 353 358

6.4 13.2 16.3 17.8 13.8 2.3 49.7 35.1

7.5 12.7 14.4 19.0 14.2 3.3 47.1 35.7

7.8 13.4 12.4 20.5 14.8 3.9 45.0 36.2

7.5 14.6 12.0 21 .8 15.9 4.6 43.7 36.8

7.0 14.6 12.8 22.5 17.1 4.4 43.4 37.6

6.7 14.1 14.1 22.7 17.8 4.7 43.2 38.1

7.0 13.3 14.3 22.9 17.9 5.3 42.6 37.8

7.3 13.3 13.6 23.4 17.9 5.8 41.5 37.1

7.4 13.8 12.8 24.0 18.3 6.0 41.5 36.9

7.2 14.2 12.7 24.8 18.9 5.9 41.8 37.2

.1 .0.09

15.4 9.6 -6.6 2.08 0.97

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 M over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

............

.... ..

..........

.3 .0.46 11.7 9.6 .6.7 1.58 0.74

.1 .0.14 10.7 10.4 .1.7 1.45 0.67

.1 .0.13 9.7 11.0 0.0 1.35 0.63

.1 .0.23 9.2 11.5 0.0 1.35 0.63

.2 -0.32 8.8 11.9 0.0 1.35 0.63

.2 .0.42 8.4 12.5 0.0 1.35 0.63

.3 .0.52 7.9 13.1 0.0 1.35 0.63

.3 .0.62 7.5 13.7 0.0 1.35 0.64

.4 .0.72 7.1 14.3 0.0 l .35 0.64

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thoumnds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

608 296 312 35.1

600

604

290 309 36.0

293 31 1 37.1

609 296 31 3 38.2

611 298 313 39.5

611 298 313 40.9

609 298 31 1 41.7

607 297 309 42.2

602 296 306 42.6

597 294 303 43.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.27 13.6 9.6

0.13 13.3 10.3

0.17 12.5 10.7

0.07 11.7 11.0

0.00 11.3 11.3

-0.05 11.1 11.7

.0.09 11.1 12.0

.0.14 10.9 12.2

.0.19 10.6 12.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Popuiation Prosp~cts:The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

MOROCCO A. ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) .................. Total ................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

6953 4 481 4472 100.2

10132 5 067 5065 100.1

11626 5 812 5814 100.0

13323 6 659 6664 99.9

15310 7 672 7638 100.5

17305 8 647 8658 99.9

19567 9 786 9781 100.1

22299 11 144 11155 99.9

24808 12 371 12436 99.5

26951 13 397 13553 98.8

26827 14 257 14570 97.9

17.9 26.5 19.2 4.6 2.9 0.2 45.9 17.7 20

17.9 26.7 19.2 4.3 2.7 0.2 45.8 17.6 23

18.0 26.8 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 45.6 17.5 26

18.4 27.5 17.4 5.3 3.5 0.3 44.7 17.2 30

18.5 29.1 16.7 6.2 4.2 0.8 43.2 16.3 34

18.5 28.6 19.2 5.2 3.7 0.5 43.8 16.3 39

16.0 26.5 20.7 6.3 4.2 0.6 46.5 18.5 44

15.7 25.9 20.0 5.8 4.0 0.5 47.4 16.9 50

13.9 25.8 20.2 6.3 3.8 0.5 48.6 19.7 56

12.2 25.2 20.5 6.6 4.3 0.5 50.8 20.9 60

10.7 22.9 21.1 7.2 4.7 0.6 53.8 22.5 65

Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

............

MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . 377 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 646 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 183 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 85 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1.20 Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 20.5 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 5.8 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . .2.7 Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... 2.38 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.11 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 31 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live birlhs) 36 Llfe expectancy at birth (years) .................. 69.0 Males ................... Females .................... ....... .............. 73.4 Both sexes combined .......................... 71.2

. . .

390 659 194 . 75 1.17 19.8 5.8 .2.2 2.26 1.07 25 29

374 645 206 . 65 1.06 18.3 5.8 .1.8 2.16 1.02 21 24

333 611 223 . 55 0.90 16.5 6.0 .1.5 2.07 0.99 19 21

279 575 246 . 50 0.72 14.9 6.4 .1.3 1.99 0.95 16 18

228 553 275 . 50 0.57 13.9 6.9 .1.3 1.92 0.92 14 16

184 543 310 . 50 0.45 13.3 7.6 .1.2 1.86 0.69 12 13

148 541 344 . 50 0.35 13.0 8.2 .1.2 1.85 0.89 11 12

106 529 373 . 50 0.25 12.5 8.8 -1.2 1.85 0.89 10 11

70.2 74.8 72.4

71.3 75.9 73.6

72.3 76.9 74.6

73.2 77.8 75.5

74.0 78.7 76.3

74.7 79.4 77.1

75.5 60.1 77.9

76.1 80.8 78.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MOROCCO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dilrMbulon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude bilth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

443

1.40 22.6 5.9 -2.7 2.63 1.23

503 1.48 22.8 5.8 .2.2 2.66 1.25

520 1.42 21.8 5.8 -1.8 2.66 1.26

479 1.23 19.5 5.8 -1.4 2.57 1.22

433 1.05 17.7 6.0 -1.2 2.49 1.19

412 0.95 17.1 6.4 -1.2 2.42 1.16

415 0.91 17.1 6.9 -1.1 2.36 1.13

419 0.88 17.2 7.3 -1.1 2.35 1.13

401 0.81 16.7 7.6 -1 .0 2.35 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populstlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dishlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.... .. .

312 1 .00 18.5 5.8 .2.7 2.13 0.99

277 0.85 16.6 5.8 .2.3 1.86 0.88

1 88 0.54 13.2 6.3 .1.6 1.57 0.75

228 0.67 14.6 6.0 -l .9 1.66 0.79

130 0.36 11.8 6.8 .1.4 1.49 0.71

61 0.17 10.5 7.5 -l .4 1.42 0.68

. l0 4.03 9.5 8.4 -1.4 1.36 0.65

-70 .0.19 8.8 9.4 -l .4 1.35 0.65

-122 .0.34 8.3 10.3 .1.4 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .......................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)

..

P

15008 15 487 24.3

32 545 15980 16 564 26.1

34 812 17074 17738 27.6

37 167 18215 18 952 29.0

39 481 19335 20 146 30.2

41 677 20396 21 281 31.1

43 772 21404 22 367 31.7

45 826 22399 23 427 32.3

47 878 23408 24 469 32.9

1 .30 21.6 5.9

1.35 21.5 5.8

1.31 20.7 5.8

1.21 19.4 5.9

1 .08 18.2 6.1

0.98 17.5 6.5

0.92 17.3 7.0

0.88 17.2 7.4

0.84 17.1 7.7

30 495

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

49 918 24435 25 484 33.6

MOZAMBIQUE

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Females .............................

.................

Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24........ Percentage aged 60 or over. Percentage aged 65 or over ....... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of womeo aged 1549 ......... Median age (yean) ............. . Populationdensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lee0

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

6442 3149 3294 95.6

6972 3406 3565 95.5

7646 3736 3910 95.5

8471 4140 4330 95.6

9448 4620 4828 95.7

10613 5194 5419 95.8

12137 5935 6201 95.7

13324 6496 6828 95.1

13544 6474 7070 91.6

15943 7608 8335 91.3

18194 8741 9453 92.5

17.1 24.6

17.2 24.7 18.9 4.7 2.7 0.2 47.5 19.0 9

17.5 24.8 18.8 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.1 18.8 10

17.7 25.2 18.6 4.8 2.6 0.2 46.5 18.6 11

17.8 25.7 18.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 46.0 18.3 12

17.8 26.0 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.7 18.0 13

17.9 25.9 18.9 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.9 18.0 15

17.8

17.4 29.2 19.5 5.2 3.2 0.3 43.9 16.5 17

17.4 26.6 20.0 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.1 17.7 20

17.3 26.4 19.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.4 18.0 23

0.2 47.6 19.1 6

26.9

18.9 5.0 3.1 0.2 45.2 17.6 17

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2OOO-&O5 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,O0O poprleti) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlalion) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOOlive births) L l k expectancy at Mlth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

1.58 49.3 32.8 6.60 1.59 220

135 359 219 1.85 49.1 30.0 6.60 1.71 201

2.05 48.6 27.5 6.60 1.81 185

30.1 32.5 31.3

32.5 35.1 33.8

34.6 37.6 36.2

106 331

220

230 2.18 48.0 25.6 6.60 1.90 172

233 474 236 2.33 47.2 23.5 6.58 1.99 158

36.6 39.6 38.1

38.8 41.9 40.3

165

196

392 222

430

305

237

44

480

450

534

584

588

641

247 2.68 46.9 21.7 6.53 2.06 146

272 1.87 45.9 21.4 6.44 2.04 143

282 0.33 43.6 21.o 6.33 1.99 143

3.26 43.5 19.8 6.12 1.97 135

742 307 2.64 43.5 18.0 5.85 1.96 116

371 2.42 43.5 19.2 5.52 1.85 108

40.9 44.1 42.5

41.3 44.3 42.8

41.4 44.4 42.9

42.7 45.8 44.3

44.6 48.0 46.3

42.8 45.3 44.0

292

468 843

B. M E D I U M V A R M

Populotlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per to0 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ..... Percentage aged 1524 ... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 Percentage in schod ages 12Percentage in school ages 1 5 Percentage in school ages 1% Percentage of women aged 15 Mediin age (yean) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

20533 9933 10 600 93.7

22635 11 042 11 593 95.3

24 698 12 142 12 556 96.7

26809 13281 13 548 97.9

28 954 14 390 14 565 .M.8

31 117 15 510 15 607 99.4

33232 16 588 16 844 99.7

35 267 17612 17 655

99.6

37 223 16 589 18 634 99.8

39 117 19 529 19 588 99.7

17.6 26.6 19.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.4 7.1 6.6 11.4 46.6 17.7 26

16.5 27.8 20.3 5.0 3.3 0.4 17.3 7.4 6.8 11.8 46.1 17.6 28

15.3 27.9 21.2 5.1 3.4 0.4 17.0 6.0 7.1 12.3 46.7 18.0 31

14.4 26.5 22.5 5.2 3.5 0.5 16.0 7.7 7.5 13.1 48.5 18.7 33

13.7 25.2 22.8 5.3 3.6 0.5 15.2 7.3 7.1 13.6 50.3 19.7 36

13.0 24.2 22.0 5.4 3.7 0.6 14.6 7.0 6.8 13.1 51.9 20.7 39

12.2 23.3 21.3 5.5 3.6 0.6 14.1 6.8 6.6 12.6 53.3 21.7 41

11.5 22.4 20.8 5.7 3.9 0.7 13.5 6.6 6.4 12.3 54.4 22.7 44

10.7 21.3 20.3 6.1 4.1 0.7 12.6 6.4 6.3 12.1 55.2 23.8 46

10.1 20.2 19.7 6.8 4.4 0.7 12.1 6.0 6.0 11.8 55.4 25.0 49

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2ooo-2045 2045-2050

.

populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... PopulationgrowM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.O0O population) Crude death rate (per 1,O0O population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulatiar) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant Mali rate (per 1.OOO live birlhs) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 iive births) L l h expectancy at blrlh (yoarr) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes c d i n e d ............................

....

344

420 852 428 - 4 1.95 39.5 19.8 -0.2 5.11 1.71 96 164 41.7 42.4 42.1

413

422

846

853

429 - 4 1.75 35.6 18.1 -0.2 4.61 1.60 84 141

427 - 4 1.64 33.1 16.6 -0.2 4.10 1.48 74 123

43.6 43.5 43.6

45.6 45.6 45.7

429 866

432 875

423 872

432

439

445

- 4 1.54 31 .O 15.5 -0.1 3.64 1.37 67 109

- 4 1.44 29.1 14.6 -0.1 3.26 1.27 60 96

- 4 1.32 27.1 13.8 -0.1 2.97 1.20

47.2 47.5 47.5

48.7 49.9 49.4

84

407 859 448 - 4 1.19 25.1 13.1 -0.1 2.74 1.14 48 74

391 844 449 - 4 1.08 23.3 12.4 -0.1 2.56 1.09 43 65

50.2 52.3 51.3

51.8 54.7 53.2

53.7 56.8 55.2

53

379 832 449 - 4

0.99 21.8 11.8 -0.1 2.41 1.04 38 56 55.6 58.8 57.2

United Nations Department of Economic and sods1AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

MOZAMBIQUE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

20 533 9933 10600

22 817 11134 11683

25 199 12394 12805

27 764 13742 14023

30 447 15140 15307

33 277 16595 16681

17.6 26.6 19.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 46.6 17.7

17.1 27.6 20.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 45.7 17.4

16.3 28.1 20.8 5.0 3.3 0.4 45.8 17.5

15.6 27.4 21.7 5.0 3.3 0.5 46.9 18.0

14.8 26.5 22.3 5.0 3.4 0.5 48.4 18.7

14.2 25.6 22.0 5.0 3.4 0.5 49.9 19.4

2035

2040

2045

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.... ..

457 2.11 41.2 20.0 -0.2 5.36 1.79

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

384 1.79 37.7 19.7 -0.2 4.86 1.63

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

20 533 9933 10600 17.7

22 916 11184 11732 17.3

25 679 12636 13044 17.1

29 019 14373 14646 17.0

33 053 16451 16602 16.9

37 918 18929 18988 16.8

43 764 21884 21881 16.7

50 797 25421 25376 16.6

59 266 29675 29591 16.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.20 42.2 20.1

2.28 41.4 18.5

2.45 41.4 16.8

2.60 41.6 15.5

2.75 41.7 14.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

2.87 41.6 12.9

2.98 41.5 11.7

3.08 41.4 10.6

3.18 41.3 9.5

69 469 34797 34672 16.6

MYANMAR

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

47 967 23 758 24 209 98.1

50 051 24 727 25 324 97.6

51 998 25 648 26 350 97.3

53 780 26 489 27 291 97.1

55 374 27 236 28 138 96.8

56 681 27 840 28 841 96.5

57 665 28 286 29 379 96.3

58 326 28 579 29 748 96.1

58 667 28 724 29 944 95.9

58 709 28 731 29 978 95.8

8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 1 .0 l l .0 5.8 6.0 11.7 56.6 26.8 71

8.2 16.8 18.5 8.5 5.7 1 .l 9.9 5.2 5.4 11.2 56.7 28.6 74

7.6 15.5 16.9 10.1 6.3 1.2 9.3 4.7 4.9 10.2 56.0 30.6 77

7.2 14.7 15.4 11.9 7.7 1.3 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.3 54.5 32.6 79

6.8 13.9 14.4 13.9 9.3 1.4 8.3 4.2 4.3 8.7 52.2 34.6 82

6.4 13.2 13.8 16.1 10.9 l .6 7.9 4.0 4.1 8.4 50.0 36.4 84

6.1 12.7 13.2 18.7 12.8 2.3 7.6 3.9 3.9 8.0 47.9 38.0 85

5.9 12.1 12.8 21.1 15.1 2.9 7.2 3.7 3.8 7.7 45.7 39.4 86

5.7 11.7 12.4 23.4 17.0 3.5 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.5 44.0 40.5 87

5.6 11.5 12.0 25.6 18.9 4.2 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.2 42.7 41.5 87

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopufafionProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

MYANMAR

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

47 967 23 758 24 209

50 547 24 979 25 569

53 31 1 26 31 5 26 996

56 1 1 7 27 676 28 441

58 720 28 936 29 784

61 077 30 073 31 004

63 294 31 144 32 150

65 470 32 206 33 264

87 572 33 245 34 327

8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 1 .0 56.6 26.8

9.1 16.6 18.3 8.4 5.7 1.1 56.2 28.3

9.0 16.1 16.5 9.9 6.1 1.2 54.7 29.9

8.7 16.4 14.8 11.4 7.4 1.2 52.3 31.3

8.2 16.2 14.4 13.1 8.7 1.3 50.1 32.7

7.7 15.6 14.9 14.9 10.2 1.5 48.6 33.8

7.5 14.8 14.9 17.1 11.7 2.1 47.3 34.6

7.6 14.3 14.5 18.8 13.4 2.6 45.8 34.9

7.6 14.3 13.8 20.3 14.8 3.1 44.6 35.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

51 6 1.05 20.3 9.8 0.0 2.32 0.99

553 1.06 19.8 9.1 0.0 2.32 1.01

521 0.91 17.6 8.5 0.0 2.35 1.06

561 1.03 19.0 8.7 0.0 2.35 1.05

471 0.79 16.5 8.6 0.0 2.35 1.07

443 0.71 16.0 8.9 0.0 2.35 1.08

435 0.68 16.0 9.2 0.0 2.35 1.09

421 0.63 16.0 9.7 0.0 2.35 1.10

390 0.57 15.8 10.0 0.0 2.35 1.10

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4................... ..... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

..

47 967 23 758 24 209

49 554 24 474 25 080

50 685 24 981 25 704

51 442 25 301 26 141

8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 l .0 56.6 26.8

7.3 16.9 18.7 8.6 5.8 1.1 57.3 28.9

6.2 15.0 17.3 10.4 6.4 1.2 57.5 31.3

5.5 12.8 16.1 12.4 8.1 1.3 56.8 33.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

317 0.65 16.1 9.5 0.0 1.82 0.78

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................. . . ............. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ...............................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

47 967 23 758 24 209 26.8

50 383 24 895 25 488 28.4

52 980 26 147 26 833 30.0

55 559 27 392 28 166 31.6

57 966 28 553 29 413 33.1

60 132 29 593 30 539 34.4

62 082 30 529 31 553 35.4

63 878 31 398 32 480 35.9

65 531 32 208 33 322 36.4

0.98 19.6 9.7

1.01 19.2 9.1

0.95 18.3 8.7

0.85 17.1 8.6

0.73 16.0 8.7

0.64 15.4 9.0

0.57 15.1 9.4

0.51 15.0 9.9

0.45 14.8 10.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NAMIBIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

............................................... ...........

485 241 244 98.6

536 265 271 97.7

599 296 304 97.4

677 334 343 97.3

772 381 391 97.4

892 440 452 97.4

993 484 509 95.0

1 131 549 582 94.2

1 417 692 725 95.4

1 657 812 845 96.1

1 879 923 956 96.5

........................... ......................... .................. .................. ......... .................................

15.7 23.1 18.7 6.6 4.1 0.3 48.4 20.9

16.2 24.1 17.7 6.1 4.0 0.3 46.8 20.2 1

16.4 24.9 17.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 45.9 19.5

16.6 25.4 18.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 45.2 19.0 1

17.0 25.7 18.6 5.7 3.6 0.4 44.9 18.6

17.9 26.0 18.6 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 18.1 1

18.2 27.8 18.5 5.6 3.5 0.3 42.9 16.9

18.0 28.9 19.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 43.0 16.5 1

17.9 26.7 20.1 5.2 3.3 0.3 45.9 17.5 2

17.0 27.2 19.8 5.0 3.3 0.4 46.5 17.8 2

14.3 28.0 20.0 5.0 3.3 0.4 47.9 18.6 2

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (populationper sq km)

1

1

1

1

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) C ~ d birth e rate (per l. 000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males Females Both sexes combined ............................

..................... ................... ............. .... ..

...................................................

...............................................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

................................................... ...................................................

2020 995 1 025 97.1

2157 1 067 1 090 97.9

2288 1 138 1 150 99.0

2428 1214 1 213 100.1

2560 1 286 1 273 101.0

2678 1 350 1 327 101.7

2780 1405 1 375 102.2

2873 1454 1 420 102.4

2960

1498 1 463 102.4

3041 1 538 1 504 102.3

............................ ...........................

12.3 26.8 22.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 16.1 8.2 7.6 12.6 50.1 19.5 2

11.8 23.5 24.0 5.6 3.7 0.5 13.8 7.4 7.7 14.3 52.7 20.9 3

11.7 21.6 23.2 6.0 4.0 0.6 12.9 6.4 6.7 14.2 53.7 22.3 3

11.4 21.2 20.5 6.4 4.3 0.6 12.9 6.1 5.9 12.4 53.6 23.6 3

10.8 21.1 19.0 7.0 4.7 0.7 12.8 6.1 5.9 11.2 53.9 24.6 3

9.9 20.5 19.0 7.4 5.1 0.8 12.3 6.1 6.0 11.3 54.9 25.3 3

9.2 19.4 19.3 7.8 5.5 0.9 11.6 5.9 5.9 11.5 55.8 26.2 3

8.8 18.1 19.0 8.3 5.8 1.1 10.8 5.6 5.7 11.5 55.5 27.3 3

8.5 17.2 18.1 9.3 6.2 l .2 10.3 5.2 5.3 11.0 54.3 28.4 4

8.2 16.6 17.1 11.0 7.0 1.3 9.9 5.0 5.0 10.3 53.1 29.7 4

Population (thousands) Total Males Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 514 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.............................................. ...........

.................. ..........

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined

..................... ................... ......... ............

............................................... ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NAMIBIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (yeas) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2 020 995 1 025

2 177 1 077 1 100

2 345 1 167 1 178

2 535 1 268 1 267

2 722 1 368 1 354

2 900 1 463 1 438

3 075 1 553 1 521

3 254 1 646 1 608

3 443 1 742 1 701

3 635 1 838 1 797

12.3 26.8 22.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 50.1 19.5

12.6 23.3 23.8 5.5 3.6 0.5 52.3 20.7

12.9 21.9 22.6 5.8 3.9 0.6 52.4 21.8

12.9 22.5 19.6 6.2 4.1 0.6 51.4 22.5

12.2 23.0 18.5 6.5 4.4 0.6 51.4 22.9

11.3 22.6 19.5 6.8 4.7 0.7 52.6 23.2

10.7 21.3 20.2 7.1 4.9 0.8 53.9 23.8

10.5 20.1 20.0 7.4 5.1 10 53.9 24.7

10.4 19.4 18.9 8.0 5.4 1.1 52.9 25.6

10.1 19.2 17.9 9.2 5.9 1.1 52.1 26.5

31 1.50 27.6 12.5 -0.1 3.44 1.37

34 1.49 27.9 13.0 -0.1 3.31 1.34

38 1.56 27.7 12.5 0.4 3.19 1.33

37 1.42 25.8 12.0 0.4 3.02 1.30

36 1.27 23.8 11.5 0.4 2.88 1.26

35 1.17 22.5 11.2 0.3 2.76 1.23

36 1.14 22.1 11.0 0.3 2.66 1 20

38

.

1.13 21.8 10.8 0.3 2.57 1.17

38 1.09 21.2 10.6 0.3 2.50 1.14

7 0.30 15.6 13.0 0.4 1.76 0.78

4 0.14 14.2 13.2 0.4 1.66 0.75

1 0.03 13.2 13.3 0.4 1.57 0.71

.2 -0.06 12.3 13.3 0.4 1.50 0.69

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

23 1.13 23.8 12.4 .0.1 2.94 1.17

19 0.87 21.9 13.1 .0.1 2.51 1.02

18 0.78 20.4 13.0 0.4 2.19 0.92

15 0.66 19.1 13.0 0.4 2.02 0.87

12 0.49 17.4 12.9 0.4 1.88 0.82

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2020 995 1 025 19.5

2187 1 082 1 105 20.6

2375 1 182 1 193 21.5

2594 1298 1 296 21.9

2829 1422 1 407 21.7

3080 1 553 1 527 21.6

3355 1 695 1 660 21.8

3662 1 851 1 810 22.2

4005 2026 1 980 22.5

4388 2 219 2 169 22.7

Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.59 28.5 12.5

1.65 29.5 12.9

1.77 29.6 12.3

1.73 28.7 11.7

1.70 27.7 11.1

1.71 27.3 10.6

1.75 27.4 10.2

1.79 27.4 9.8

1.82 27.3 9.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

NEPAL

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1965

1960

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... ~o~ulatio growth n rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertiltty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 094 13427 13667 98.2

29 898 14822 15077 98.3

32 843 16284 16559 98.3

35 868 17767 18101 98.2

38 855 19225 19629 97.9

41 742 20630 21112 97.7

44 526 21979 22547 97.5

47 185 23264 23921 97.3

49 665 24452 25213 97.0

51 891 25508 26384 96.7

13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 15.6 7.3 6.7 11.7 49.6 20.1 184

12.6 23.8 20.8 6.1 3.9 0.4 14.3 7.1 6.9 12.1 51.3 21.3 203

12.0 22.1 20.7 6.6 4.2 0.5 13.4 6.4 6.5 12.4 52.5 22.6 223

11.3 21.2 19.5 7.1 4.6 0.5 12.9 6.1 5.9 11.7 52.8 23.9 244

10.5 20.4 18.4 7.8 5.0 0.6 12.4 6.0 5.8 10.9 53.1 25.3 264

9.7 19.4 18.0 8.6 5.6 0.7

9.1 18.3 17.6 9.6 6.3 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.3 28.1 303

8.6 17.2 17.0 10.7 7.1 1 .0 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.8 29.5

8.1 16.3 16.2 12.2 8.1 l .2 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.7 51.7 30.9 337

7.6 15.5 15.5 14.0 9.4 1.4 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 50.5 32.5 353

11.7

5.8 5.6 10.7 53.3 26.7 284

321

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

NEPAL C. HIGHVARIANT

lndlcator PopuWon (thounndo) Tdal .................................................... Males ...................................................

.......

Percenw aged 0.4

.....

............................

Percentage aged 514 ... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage a m 65 or over .................. PenxnW#aged 80orover Percentageofmnrenaged15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 094 13 427 13 667

30 133 14 942 15 191

33 507 16 625 16 882

37 155 18 426 18 729

40 867 20 255 20 612

44633 22 108 22 524

48 498 24 010 24 489

52 472 25 964 26 507

56 499 27 942 28 557

60489 29899

13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 49.6 20.1

13.3 23.6 20.6 6.0 3.9 0.4 50.9 21.1

13.0 22.4 20.3 6.4 4.1 0.5 51.5 22.1

12.6 22.3 18.8 6.9 4.4 0.5 51 .O 23.0

11.8 22.0 18.1 7.4 4.8 0.6 51.1 23.9

11.1 21.2 18.3 8.1 5.3 0.7 51.4 24.6

10.6 20.1 10.4 8.8 5.0 0.8 51.6 25.8

10.3 19.2 17.9 9.7 8.4 0.9 51.4 26.6

9.9 18.6 17.1 10.7 7.1 1.o 50.5 27.7

9.4 18.1 16.5 12.0 8.0 1.2 49.9 28.8

30 590

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

.

Populationchange per year (thcusands) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bim rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net miption rate (per 1,OOO popllalion) . Total tertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

6m 2.13 29.7 7.8 -0.7 3.53 1.53

875 2.12 28.9 7.0 4.6 3.38 1.50

729 2.07 27.7 6.5 -0.8 3.25 1.48

742 1.91 25.5 6.0 -0.5 3.06 1.42

753 1.78 23.8 5.7 -0.5 2.92 1.37

773 1.66 22.6 5.6 4.4 2.79 1.32

795 1.58 21.7 5.6 -0.4 2.69 1.28

1.48 20.8 5.8 -0.4 2.60 1.24

798 1.37 19.7 5.8 -0.3 2.51 1.20

806

D. LOW VARIANT

Population(thouundo) Total ....................................................

.........................

514 .......................... Peccentage aged 1524 ......................... Peccaotageagad60orover .................. percantageaged 65 or over .................. Prwcentage a g d 80 OT over Percentage of women agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 094 13 427 13 667

29 557 14 647 14 910

31 889 15 795 16 094

34 097 16 859 17 237

36 217 17 875 18 342

38 126

39 743 19 534

42 021

42 673

20548

20800

20208

41 039 20 124 20 915

21 474

21 874

13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 49.6 20.1

11.6 24.0 21.o 6.2 3.9 0.5 51.9 21.6

10.4 21.7 21.4 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.0 23.3

9.5 19.5 20.5 7.5 4.8 0.6 55.5 25.2

8.9 18.0 18.8 6.4 5.4 0.7 55.9 27.3

8.1 16.9 17.3 9.4 6.2 0.8 55.8 29.3

7.3 15.8 16.2 10.7 7.1 0.9 55.3 31.5

6.5 14.5 15.5 12.4 8.2 1.1 54.3 33.6

5.9 13.2 14.8 14.4 9.8 1.4 52.5 35.7

5.5 12.1 13.8 17.0 11.4 1.7 50.3 37.7

18 780 19 346

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growlh raw (per cent) ............ CNda birth rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) Net migrationrate (per 1.ooOpopulation) TOWfertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per women) ..........

..

.

493 1.74 25.7 7.6 -0.7 3.03 1.32

466 1.52 22.7 6.9 4.7 2.58 1.15

442 1.34 20.5 6.5 -0.6 2.25 1 .M

424 1.21 18.9 6.3 -0.6 2.08 0.95

382 1.03 17.0 6.2 -0.5 1.92 0.90

323 0.83 15.2 6.3 -0.5 1 0.85

.n

259 0.64 13.5 6.6 -0.5 1.69 0.80

198 0.47 12.2 7.0 -0.5 1.60 0.76

130 0.31 11.1 7.6 4.5 1.51 0.72

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 OS4 13 427 13 667 20.1

30 306

34 080 18 919 17 162 21.6

38 357 19 042 19 315 22.1

43 061 21 378 21 883 22.3

48 263 23 965 24 298 22.4

54 127 26 866 27 241 22.6

60 767 30 202 30 565 22.9

68 237 33 938

76 574 38 117 38 457 23.2

15 031 15 276 20.9

34 299 23.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

Populationgrowvl rate @er cent) ............

.... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Crude Mtth rate (per 1,ooO popr(at!m)

2.24 30.9 7.8

2.35 31.2 7.1

2.37 30.6 8.5

2.31 29.5 5.9

2.28 28.8 5.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn, Volume I: Comprehenslve Tables

2.29 28.6 5.3

2.31 28.6 5.1

2.32 28.4 5.0

2.31 28.2 4.9

351

NETHERLANDS

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.........

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

10114 5 041 5 073 99.4

10751 5 356 5 395 99.3

11487 5 720 5 788 99.2

12295 6 134 6 160 99.6

13039 6 507 8 531 99.6

13666 6 804 6 862 99.2

14150 7 021 7 128 98.5

14492 7 167 7 325 97.8

14952 7 389 7 563 97.7

15459 7 645 7 814 97.8

15924 7 878 8 046 97.9

11.9 17.4 15.9 11.5 7.7 10 49.8 28.0 244

10.3 19.6 14.9 12.3 8.4 1.2 47.8 28.6 259

10.1 19.9 15.0 13.1 9.0 1.4 46.4 28.7 277

9.9 18.4 17.0 13.9 9.6 1.5 47.0 28.6 296

9.1 18.2 17.6 14.5 10.2 1.7 47.3 28.6 314

7.5 17.8 16.8 15.1 10.8 2.0 48.1 29.4 329

6.3 16.1 17.4 15.7 11.5 2.3 50.0 31.3 341

6.0 13.4 17.3 16.8 12.1 2.6 51.9 33.1 349

6.3 12.0 15.7 17.3 12.8 2.9 52.5 34.5 360

6.4 12.0 13.2 17.7 13.2 3.1 51.5 35.9 372

6.2 12.4 11.6 18.2 13.6 3.2 49.1 37.5 383

.

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

16328 8 075 8 253 97.8

16502 8 173 8 329 98.1

16625 8 243 8 382 98.3

16760 8 307 8 453 98.3

16960 8 404 8 556 98.2

17141 8 489 8 652 98.1

17262 8 544 8 718 98.0

17303 8 563 8 739 98.0

17279 8 556 8 723 98.1

17235 8 544 8 690 98.3

6.1 12.3 11.9 19.3 14.2 3.6 7.3 3.7 3.7 7.1 47.5 39.1 393

5.5 12.0 12.1 22.1 15.4 4.0 7.3 3.6 3.7 7.3 45.6 41.0 397

5.1 11.4 12.1 24.4 18.0 4.4 6.8 3.6 3.6 7.3 43.5 42.7 400

5.1 10.5 12.0 26.8 20.0 4.8 6.2 3.3 3.6 7.2 41.6 43.9 404

5.3 10.2 11.7 29.2 22.0 5.4 6.1 3.1 3.2 7.2 40.3 44.1 408

5.5 10.5 10.9 31.2 24.1 6.8 6.3 3.1 3.1 6.6 39.7 43.9 413

5.5 10.9 10.6 32.0 25.7 7.7 6.6 3.2 3.1 6.4 39.4 43.9 416

5.3 11.2 10.9 31.6 26.3 8.6 6.7 3.4 3.3 6.5 39.4 43.9 417

5.2 11.1 11.5 31.1 25.8 9.6 6.6 3.4 3.5 6.9 39.6 44.0 416

5.2 10.6 11.8 30.7 25.2 10.4 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.1 39.8 44.2 415

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................ ....... ............ Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NETHERLANDS

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................ Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth m e (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

16328 8 075 8 253

16630 8 238 8 391

16946 8 408 8 538

17325 8 596 8 729

17776 8 822 8 954

18221 9 042 9 179

18641 9 250 9 390

19043 9 455 9 588

19453 9 669 9 784

19901 9 910 9 991

6.1 12.3 1 1.9 19.3 14.2 3.6 47.5 39.1

6.2 12.0 12.0 21.9 15.3 4.0 45.3 40.8

6.1 12.0 11.8 23.9 17.7 4.3 42.7 42.0

6.3 12.0 11.6 25.9 19.4 4.6 40.3 42.4

6.5 12.2 11.8 27.9 21.0 5.2 39.2 41.9

6.6 12.6 12.0 29.3 22.6 6.4 39.1 41.2

6.7 12.9 12.2 29.6 23.8 7.1 39.5 40.6

6.8 13.1 12.5 28.7 23.9 7.8 40.1 39.8

6.8 13.2 12.8 27.6 22.9 8.5 40.7 39.1

7.0 13.4 13.0 26.6 21.8 9.0 41.3 38.5

60 0.37 12.6 8.6 -0.4 1.97 0.95

.

D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

..

.........

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 0.06 9.5 8.6 .0.4 1.47 0.71

. 14 .0.09 8.0 9.1 0.2 1.32 0.64

. 22 .0.13 7.5 9.8 0.9 1.25 0.60

. 10 .0.06 8.0 10.5 l9 1.30 0.63

.

. 15 .0.10 8.5 11.3 1 .9 1.34 0.65

-30 .0.19 8.4 12.1 l .9 1.35 0.65

-51 .0.32 7.9 13.0 l .9 1.35 0.65

. 71 .0.46 7.2 13.7 1.9 1.35 0.65

. 83 .0.55 6.8 14.3 2.0 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................ Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

16328 8 075 8 253 39.1

16498 8 171 8 327 41.1

16620 8 241 8 379 42.7

18746 8 299 8 446 43.9

16912 8 379 8 532 44.2

17033 8 434 8 600 44.2

17087 8 455 8 633 44.3

17061 8 439 8 621 44.5

16970 8 397 8 572 44.7

16853 8 349 8 504 45.1

0.21 11.0 8.6

0.15 10.3 9.0

0.15 10.1 9.5

0.20 10.3 10.1

0.14 10.4 10.7

0.06 10.3 11.4

.0.03 10.0 12.0

.0.11 9.7 12.5

.0.14 9.6 12.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

NETHERLANDS ANTILLES

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

112 54 58 93.8

123 60 63 95.1

135 66 68 97.0

146 72 74 97.5

159 79 80 97.8

166 82 98.0

1 74 84 90 93.2

182 87 94 92.6

191 91 99 92.0

191 91 100 91.2

181 85 95 89.4

14.8 20.4 17.7 8.8 6.4 0.9 47.3 23.3 140

17.8 22.5 15.9 7.7 5.4 0.9 44.0 20.9 153

16.1 25.3 15.8 7.3 4.8 0.8 43.6 20.0 168

13.4 26.9 18.0 7.4 4.8 0.7 44.8 19.7 183

11.4 25.3 20.9 8.0 5.0 0.6 47.8 21.0 199

10.8 22.1 22.7 8.6 5.7 0.7 50.8 22.3 208

9.1 20.9 21.4 9.3 6.7 1.3 54.0 24.3 217

9.2 18.8 18.0 9.9 7.0 1 .5 54.6 27.2 227

9.1 17.1 15.5 10.0 7.1 1.6 56.0 29.2 238

9.5 17.0 14.5 10.7 7.5 1.7 54.3 31 .1 238

7.7 17.0 12.6 13.0 9.2 2.3 51.8 34.5 226

84

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1Q65 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................. . .................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

186 67 100 87.3

199 92 107 86.3

205 94 110 85.7

207 95 111 85.6

207 95 112 85.3

206 94 111 84.8

202 93 110 84.3

198 90 1 08 84.0

1 93 88 105 83.9

186 85 101 84.0

7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 9.2 5.0 4.4 7.3 51.4 36.4 233

6.1 13.7 11.5 15.6 10.5 2.2 8.2 4.1 4.1 6.4 50.3 38.8 249

5.8 12.5 10.0 18.1 12.2 2.5 7.5 3.9 3.4 5.7 46.8 41.3 256

5.3 11.5 8.9 21.2 14.3 2.8 7.0 3.5 3.3 4.8 44.2 43.5 259

4.8 10.9 8.6 25.5 17.3 3.3 6.6 3.3 3.0 5.0 40.9 45.7 259

4.4 10.1 9.0 29.1 21.2 4.2 6.0 3.2 3.1 5.2 38.2 47.8 257

4.2 9.4 9.7 33.0 24.5 5.3 5.5 3.0 3.0 5.8 35.2 49.9 253

4.3 8.9 9.4 36.0 27.8 6.9 5.3 2.7 2.8 5.6 33.1 51.2 247

4.5 8.9 8.7 38.6 30.3 8.9 5.3 2.6 2.6 5.2 31.8 52.0 241

4.5 9.3 8.2 39.8 32.5 10.2 5.6 2.7 2.6 4.8 32.1 51.8 233

Populatron change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... .....

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NETHERLANDSANTILLES C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator PopuWon (thouundo) Total Males ...................................................

F m l e s ............................................... dlrtrlbutbn Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentageaged 80 or ovar Percentage aged 65 or c w r Percentageaged 80 or m r Percentage of WMWM a@ 15-49 Median age (years)

...

... ... .................. .........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

188 87 100

201 93 108

209 97 112

214 99 115

217 100 117

218 101 117

218 101 117

218 101 117

218 101 117

216 100 116

7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 51.4 36.4

6.9 13.6 11.4 15.4 10.4 2.2 49.9 38.6

6.9 13.1 9.8 17.7 12.0 2.5 46.0 40.8

6.5 13.1 8.6 20.5 13.9 2.7 42.9 42.5

5.8 13.0 9.1 24.3 16.6 3.2 39.9 44.3

5.4 12.2 10.4 27.4 20.0 4.0 37.8 46.0

5.5 11.2 11.5 30.6 22.7 5.0 35.8 47.2

5.9 10.8 11.1 32.7 25.3 6.3 34.4 47.5

6.3 11.3 10.2 34.2 26.8 7.9 33.7 48.3

6.4 12.2 9.9 34.3 27.9 8.8 34.6 44.2

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

. ............

Population change per year (mwsands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude Mtth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Cnde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,WOpoprlation) . Total fenility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

3 1.49 14.1 7.9 8.7 2.10 1.00

2 0.78 14.1 8.0 1.7 2.25 1.08

1 0.49 13.3 8.4 0.0 2.35 1.13

1 0.28 11.8 9.0 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 0.10 10.9 9.9 0.0 2.35 1.13

0

0

0 0.00 11.0 11.0 0.0 2.35 1.13

0 -0.02 11.9 12.0 0.0

0.0

0.0

2.35 1.13

2.35 1.13

2.35 1.13

-0.03

12.7 13.0

-0.11 12.7 13.8

D. LOW VARIANT

-2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

188 87 100

198 92 106

201 92 108

200

197

193

92 108

90 1 07

88

179 81 98

170 76 94

180 71

105

187 65 102

7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 51.4 36.4

5.4 13.6 11.6 15.7 10.6 2.2 50.6 39.0

4.6 12.0 10.2 18.4 12.5 2.6 47.7 41.9

4.0 9.9 9.2 22.0 14.8 2.9 45.6 44.6

3.7 8.7 8.4 26.7 18.2 3.5 42.0 47.1

3.3 7.9 7.5 30.9 22.6 4.5 38.4 49.6

3.0 7.3 7.6 35.7 26.5 5.8 34.4 52.1

2.9 6.7 7.2 39.7 30.7 7.6 31.3 54.4

2.8 6.3 6.7 43.7 34.3 10.0 29.1 56.3

2.6 6.2 6.1 46.4 37.9 11.9 20.4 57.7

P0pUlrt)On (thOUUnd8) Total Males ...................................................

Females ...............................................

Age dlrtrlkrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. Percentage of WMWM aged 15-49 Median age (years)

.........

2050 -

88

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popllalion c m per year (thousands) . popllalkm growvl rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .mpopulation) Net migraton rate (per 1 ,WOp0Pu)etion) Total fertility (children per wcunan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

2 1.17 10.8 7.9 6.8 1.80 0.76

1 0.29 9.3 8.2 1.7 1.45 0.69

0 -0.08

8.0 8.8 0.0 1.35 0.65

0 -0.24 7.3 9.7 0.0 1.35 0.65

- 1 -0.43 6.6 10.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

- 1 -0.65 6.0 12.5 0.0 1.35

- 2 -0.85 5.7 14.2 0.0 1.35

- 2 -1.05 5.5 16.0 0.0 1.35

0.65

0.65

0.65

- 2 -1.26 5.4 17.9 0.0 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populdon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (yean) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

188 67 100 36.4

201

207 96 112 41 .O

21 1 98 114 42.9

213 98 115 44.9

213 98 115 46.8

21 1 97 114 46.4

209 96

208 95 111 49.3

202

93 108 38.6

113 49.3

93 109 47.8

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............

Population gnmth rate (per cent) Crude Mtlh rate (per 1,WOpoprlalbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlatiar) ..

1.47 13.9 7.9

0.67 13.0 8.0

0.34 11.8 8.5

0.16 10.7 9.1

0.00 10.0 10.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revisbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.13 9.9 11.3

-0.22 10.2 12.5

-0.31 10.5 13.6

-0.41 10.6 14.7

355

NEW CALEDONIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

234 118 116 101.6

253 127 126 100.5

270 135 135 99.7

287 143 144 99.1

303 150 152 98.6

317 157 160 98.1

330 163 167 97.6

341 168 173 97.2

351 173 178 96.9

8.4 18.7 17.1 9.9 6.6 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.0 54.1 28.8 13

7.9 17.0 17.0 11.5 7.7 1.5 10.0 5.4 5.3 10.2 53.9 30.4 14

7.5 15.2 16.5 13.0 9.0 1.8 9.0 4.7 5.1 9.9 53.1 32.0 15

7.1 14.5 15.2 14.7 10.2 2.1 8.7 4.4 4.3 9.3 51.2 33.6 15

6.7 14.0 13.9 16.9 11.7 2.5 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.3 49.3 35.2 16

6.4 13.4 13.4 19.2 13.6 3.0 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.0 47.9 36.8 17

6.1 12.8 13.1 21.3 15.5 3.5 7.6 3.9 4.0 7.8 46.7 38.3 18

5.9 12.3 12.7 22.9 17.4 4.2 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.6 45.2 39.8 18

5.7 11.9 12.3 24.3 18.7 5.1 7.1 3.7 3.7 7.4 43.7 40.8 19

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ..................... ... ... ................. Females ............................ ................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

NEW CALEDONIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

4 l.72 18.3 5.5 4.5 2.33 1.12

4 1.63 18.3 5.8 3.8 2.40 1.16

4 1.53 18.0 6.1 3.5 2.43 1.17

4 1.36 16.8 6.4 3.2 2.37 1.14

4 1.23 16.0 6.7 3.0 2.35 1.13

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 0.44 9.3 8.3 3.4 1.35 0.65

1 0.28 8.5 9.0 3.3 1.35 0.65

0 0.13 7.9 9.8 3.3 1.35 0.65

0 0.00 7.5 10.7 3.3 1.35 0.65

367 181 186 36.9

384 190 194 37.4

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... ..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 1.35 14.5 5.6 4.5 1.83 0.88

3 1.06 12.6 6.0 3.9 1.60 0.77

2 0.85 11.3 6.5 3.7 1.43 0.69

2 0.72 10.6 7.0 3.6 1.37 0.66

2 0.59 10.0 7.6 3.4 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ...................... . . ......

234 118 116 28.8

254 127 127 30.2

274 137 137 31.5

294 146 148 32.8

314 156 158 34.0

332 165 167 35.2

350 173 177 36.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.65 17.5 5.5

1.50 17.1 5.8

1.40 16.7 6.2

1.28 16.1 6.5

1.16 15.3 6.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

l.04 14.8 7.3

0.96 14.5 7.7

0.89 14.3 8.1

0.83 14.2 8.5

NEW ZEALAND

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) . . ............. Total ................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1908 959 949 101 .1

2136 1075 1061 101.3

2372 1192 l180 101.0

2628 1318 1310 100.6

2820 1409 1410 99.9

3083 1538 1545 99.6

3113 1549 1564 99.0

3247 1609 1638 98.2

3411 1682 1728 97.3

3673 1811 1863 97.2

3854 1892 1962 96.4

12.2 16.9 14.3 13.1 9.0 1.1 48.2 29.4 7

11.8 19.4 13.4 12.6 9.0 1.3 46.3 28.7 8

12.2 20.7 14.1 12.2 8.6 1.5 44.7 27.4 9

11.5 21.1 16.4 11.8 8.1 1.4 45.1 25.8 10

10.5 21.2 17.4 12.5 8.5 1.5 45.4 25.6 10

9.8 20.2 18.0 12.7 8.7 1.4 47.0 26.3 11

8.0 18.8 18.3 14.0 10.0 1.7 48.8 28.3 12

7.6 16.7 17.9 14.7 10.5 2.0 51.2 29.7 12

8.1 15.2 16.7 15.3 11.1 2.2 51.9 31.1 13

8.1 15.0 15.1 15.3 11.5 2.5 51.9 32.6 14

7.3 15.4 13.7 15.7 11.8 2.8 50.4 34.4 14

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1 995 19952000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comkned ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4................... . ...... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... .. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

4 097 2016 2 081 96.9

4 285 2113 2 172 97.3

6.9 14.6 14.3 16.6 12.2 3.2 8.6 4.6 4.5 8.5 49.9 35.5 15

6.7 13.5 14.5 18.4 13.0 3.5 8.0 4.1 4.4 8.8 48.6 36.8 16

Population change per year {thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-tive mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ...... .................... Males ..................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: ComprehensFve Tables

NEW ZEALAND C. HtQHVARlANT Indicator Populatlon(thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 -

4097 2018 2 081

4320 2132 2 189

4550 2250 2 300

4783 2370 2 413

5007 2485 2 522

5214 2591 2 623

5410 2691 2 719

5606 2791 2 814

5806 2895 2 910

6006 3 001 3005

6.9 14.6 14.3 16.8 12.2 3.2 49.9 35.5

7.5 13.4 14.4 18.2 12.9 3.5 48.2 36.5

7.4 13.6 13.5 19.8 14.4 3.8 45.5 37.1

7.4 14.1 12.5 21.7 15.8 3.8 43.3 37.4

7.1 14.1 12.7 23.7 17.6 4.3 42.2 37.9

6.9 13.9 13.3 25.0 19.4 5.2 42.1 38.5

6.8 13.5 13.4 25.8 20.4 6.0 42.1 38.9

6.9 13.1 13.3 25.9 21.0 8.8 41.8 38.8

7.0 13.2 12.9 26.0 21.o 7.7 41.4 38.6

7.1 13.5 12.8 26.2 20.9 8.0 41.4 38.6

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (Mousanbs) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth tite (per 1 ,WOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1.WOpopulation) Net rdgraticm rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.... ..

...........

45 1.06 15.3 7.1 2.4 2.24 1.08

46 1 15.3 7.2 2.3 2.34 1.12

.w

47 1.00 15.2 7.3 2.1 2.37 1.14

45 0.91 14.6 7.5 2.0 2.35 1.13

41 0.81 14.0 7.8 2.0 2.35 1.13

39 0.74 13.8 8.3 1.9 2.35 1.13

0.71 14.0 8.7 1.8 2.35 1.13

40 0.70 14.3 9.0 1.8 2.35 1.13

40 0.68 14.3 9.2 1.7 2.35 1.13

39

D. LOW VARIANT

Populatlon(thouaands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage of mnnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4 097 2 016 2 081

4 250 2095 2 154

4364 2 154 2209

4448 2 198 2 251

4 521 2 235 2 286

4 577 2263 2 314

4606 2277 2329

4604 2275 2328

4569 2259 2311

4509 2230 2 279

8.9 14.6 14.3 16.6 12.2 3.2 49.9 35.5

5.9 13.6 14.7 18.5 13.2 3.6 48.9 37.1

5.1 12.5 14.1 20.8 15.0 3.8 47.3 38.7

4.8 11.0 13.4 23.3 17.0 4.1 46.4 40.3

4.6 9.8 12.5 28.3 19.4 4.8 45.0 .41.8

4.5 9.3 11.1 28.5 22.1 5.9 43.8 43.4

4.3 9.2 10.0 30.3 24.0 7.0 42.2 45.0

4.1 9.1 9.6 31.6 25.6 8.3 40.4 46.6

3.8 8.8 9.7 33.0 26.6 9.7 38.8 48.2

3.6 8.3 9.7 34.9 27.9 10.6 37.5 49.5

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (-). Population growM rate (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOmulation) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

31 0.73 12.0 7.1 2.4 1.74 0.84

23 0.53 10.4 7.4 2.3 1.54 0.74

17 0.38 9.3 7.7 2.3 1.37

0.68

15 0.32 9.2 8.2 2.2 1.35 0.65

11 0.25 9.0 8.8 2.2 1.35 0.65

6 0.13 8.7 9.5 2.2 1.35 0.65

0 -0.01 8.1 10.4 2.2 1.35 0.65

- 7 -0.15 7.5 11.2 2.2 1.35 0.65

- 12 -0.27 7.1 11.9 2.2 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Populatlon(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e r ~ l e s............................................... Medin age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4097 2 016 2081 35.5

4281 2 111 2170

4458 2 203 2255 37.9

4630 2 291 2339 38.7

4793 2 375 2418 39.6

4938 2 449 2490 40.6

5062 2 512 2550 41.8

5165 2 564 2601 42.3

5254 2 611 2643 42.8

5331 2 853 2678 43.1

38.8

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............

F'opulatm growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) ..

0.88 13.5 7.1

0.81 13.1 7.3

0.76 12.9 7.5

0.69 12.6 7.8

0.60 12.1 8.2

United Nations Department of Economicand sodel AffairdPOpulation Division W o M Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.49 11.7 8.8

0.41 11.5 9.4

0.34 11.4 9.9

0.29 11.3 10.3

359

NICARAGUA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaliondensity (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1 295

1 764 880

651 98.9

1 503 748 754 99.2

99.6

2 052 1 025 1 026 99.9

18.0 26.2 19.4 4.1 2.5 0.4 47.6 17.7 10

19.9 26.3 18.7 3.8 2.3 0.3 45.6 16.9 12

20.2 27.8 18.0 3.7 2.2 0.2 43.8 16.0 14

18.9 29.7 18.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 42.9 15.7 16

644

883

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ..................................... .............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

5 463 2 723 2 740 99.4

5 832 2 900 2 932 98.9

6 277 3 117 3 160 98.6

6 696 3 320 3 376 98.3

7 075 3 502 3 573 98.0

7 407 3 659 3 747 97.7

7 687 3 790 3 897 97.3

7 912 3 892 4 020 96.6

8 074 3 963 4 111 96.4

12.3 25.6 21.7 5.7 4.0 0.8 15.4 7.7 7.0 12.6 51.6 20.3 42

11.7 22.9 21.4 6.3 4.4 0.9 13.6 7.0 7.0 12.5 53.5 22.0 45

10.9 21 .0 20.6 7.2 4.8 1.1 12.7 6.2 6.2 12.4 54.5 23.7 48

10.1 20.0 18.7 8.4 5.6 1.2 12.1 5.9 5.6 11.2 54.4 25.7 52

9.2 18.8 17.5 9.7 6.7 1.4 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.3 54.1 27.6 54

8.4 17.5 17.0 11.2 7.8 l .6 10.5 5.3 5.3 10.2 53.4 29.6 57

7.7 16.1 16.3 13.0 9.1 2.0 9.6 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.0 31.5 59

7.2 15.0 15.4 15.1 10.7 2.5 9.0 4.6 4.6 9.2 50.3 33.4 61

6.7 14.1 14.4 17.7 12.5 3.0 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 48.1 35.3 62

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1 .OM)live births) L i f e expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

NICARAGUA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

86 1.52 26.9 4.7 -7.0 3.00 1.41

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

62 1.10 22.8 4.7 -7.1 2.50 1.17

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ........................ ......................... Males .................................................. Females .................... ......................... Median age (years) .................................

5463 2 723 2740 20.3

5892 2 931 2961 21.7

6456 3 209 3248 23.0

7052 3 502 3550 24.2

7662 3 802 3860 25.2

8287 4 109 4178 25.8

8938 4 429 4509 26.4

9616 4 762 4854 27.2

10317 5 108 5210 27.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.51 26.9 4.7

1.83 26.7 4.5

1.77 25.7 4.5

1.66 24.3 4.5

1.57 23.3 4.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.51 22.8 4.9

1.46 22.4 5.2

1.41 22.1 5.6

1.35 21.8 6.0

A. ESTIMATES indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sexratio(malesper100females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

...........

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

13264 6 724 6 541 102.8

15791 8 01l 7 780 103.0

18754 9 521 9 232 103.1

22222 11 288 10 934 103.2

26250 13 337 12 913 103.3

30842 15 668 15 174 103.3

35941 18 250 17 691 103.2

41437 21 026 20 41 1 103.0

47208 23 935 23 273 102.8

53163 26 932 26 231 102.7

19.8 28.1 17.5 4.8 3.1 0.6 17.5 7.2 6.3 9.8 43.5 16.0 10

19.4 28.5 17.9 4.9 3.3 0.7 17.7 7.4 6.4 10.1 43.3 16.0 12

18.8 28.5 18.5 5.1 3.4 0.7 17.6 7.5 6.6 10.5 43.7 16.3 15

18.4 28.1 19.1 5.3 3.5 0.7 17.4 7.5 6.7 10.9 44.3 16.6 18

17.9 27.8 19.4 5.6 3.7 0.7 17.2 7.4 6.6 11.1 45.0 17.0 21

17.3 27.5 19.4 5.5 3.9 0.7 17.0 7.4 6.6 11.2 45.7 17.5 24

16.4 27.0 19.6 5.5 3.9 0.7 16.7 7.3 6.6 11.3 46.7 18.1 28

15.4 26.4 19.8 5.7 3.9 0.8 16.2 7.3 6.7 11.5 47.9 18.8 33

14.2 25.4 20.0 5.9 4.1 0.9 15.5 7.2 6.7 11.7 49.3 19.8 37

13.2 24.2 20.1 6.3 4.3 0.8 14.7 6.9 6.5 11.8 50.7 21.1 42

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l. 000 poputatian) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

.. . ...........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ....................... .......................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

13264 6724 6 541

15897 8066 7 832

19060 9678 9 382

22832 11600 1 1 231

27242 13845 13 397

32349 16439 15 910

38160 19384 18 776

44624 22654 21 970

51642 26198 25 443

19.8 28.1 17.5 4.8 3.1 0.6 43.5 16.0

19.9 28.3 17.8 4.9 3.3 0.7 43.0 15.9

19.6 28.5 18.3 5.0 3.3 0.7 43.0 15.9

19.3 28.7 18.6 5.2 3.4 0.7 43.2 16.0

18.7 28.6 19.0 5.4 3.6 0.7 43.7 16.3

18.1 28.3 19.4 5.3 3.7 0.7 44.5 16.7

17.4 27.8 19.7 5.2 3.6 0.7 45.5 17.2

16.5 27.3 19.9 5.3 3.6 0.7 46.7 17.9

15.5 26.5 20.0 5.4 3.7 0.8 47.9 18.7

527 3.62 50.5 14.0 -0.4 7.44 2.72

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

484 3.35 47.4 13.6 -0.4 6.94 2.54

553 3.25 44.8 12.0 -0.3 6.48 2.45

633 3.17 42.7 10.8 -0.3 6.04 2.35

729 3.12 41.2 9.8 .0.2 5.66 2.27

818 3.00 39.0 8.9 -0.2 5.24 2.15

883 2.80 36.2 8.0 -0.2 4.78 2.01

918 2.55 32.9 7.3 .0.2 4.28 1.83

926 2.28 29.5 6.6 .0.1 3.76 1 .64

916 2.03 26.5 6.2 .0.1 3.28 1.45

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) . ..................... Total ............................ Males ........................ ....................... Females .................... . .................. . . . Median age (years) ........................ .........

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

13 264 6 724 6 541 16.0

15 900 8 067 7 833 15.9

19 149 9 724 9 426 15.8

23 173 11 775 1 1 398 15.6

28 168 14 318 13 850 15.5

34 386 17 480 16 906 15.3

3.63 50.5 14.0

3.72 50.1 12.7

3.82 49.9 11.6

3.90 49.7 10.5

3.99 49.5 9.6

49.4 8.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

4.07

2035

2040

2045

42 142 21 418 20 724 15.2

51 833 26 333 25 500 15.1

63 961 32 481 31 480 15.0

4.14 49.4 8.0

4.21 49.3 7.3

49.3 6.7

4.27

NIGERIA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

33 960

16 654 17 307 96.2

37 850 18 587 19 263 96.5

42 356 20 830 21 526 96.8

47 611 23 447 24 164 97.0

53 764 26 510 27 253 97.3

61 163 30 201 30 962 97.5

71 065 35 231 35 834 98.3

81 598 40 424 41 174 98.2

94 454 46 864 47 590 98.5

109 010 54 198 54 812 98.9

124 773 62 163 62 610 99.3

16.7 25.0 18.8 5.1 3.0 0.2 46.7 19.1 37

18.0 24.5 18.7 5.2 3.0 0.2 46.2 18.8 41

18.0 25.2 18.5 5.2 3.1 0.2 45.8 18.4

18.0 26.2 18.1 5.1 3.1 0.2 45.1 18.0 52

18.0 26.3 18.5 4.9 3.1 0.2 45.1 17.8 58

18.2 26.3 19.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.6 66

18.4 26.3 19.0 4.8 2.9 0.3 45.1 17.6 77

19.0 26.6 18.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.2 88

18.8 27.3 18.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.2 16.9 102

18.4 27.7 18.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.3 16.9 118

17.7 27.6 19.6 4.6 2.9 0.3 45.3 17.1 135

46

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Poputation density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) . ............... Males .............................. Females ................ ........................ Both sexes combined ............................

..

3 391 5 975 2 524 . 60 2.27 39.9 16.8 .0.4 5.32 1.83 109 1 87

3 480 6 127 2 586 . 60 2.09 36.7 15.5 .0.4 4.74 1.68 101 1 72

3 477 6 134 2 597 -60 1 .89 33.3 14.1 .0.3 4.15 1.52 92 155

3 406 6 063 2 597 -60 1.69 30.1 12.9 .0.3 3.64 1.37 84 140

3 345 6 000 2 595 -60 1.53 27.5 11.9 .0.3 3.24 1.26 76 125

3 284 5 953 2 609 . 60 1.40 25.3 11.1 .0.3 2.95 1.18 68 111

3 192 5 884 2 632 . 60 1.27 23.4 10.5 .0.2 2.72 1.11 61 98

3 046 5 767 2 662 . 60 1.14 21.6 10.0 .0.2 2.55 1.07 55 86

2 847 5 611 2 704 . 60 l .01 19.9 9.6 .0.2 2.40 1.03 49 75

46.4 47.3 46.9

48.0 48.9 48.4

49.9 50.8 50.4

51.9 52.8 52.4

54.0 54.8 54.4

56.0 56.8 56.4

57.8 58.8 58.3

59.6 60.8 60.2

61.4 62.9 62.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NIGERIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... .........

..

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) ..........

3 632 2.42 41.6 17.0 -0.4 5.57 1.91

3 916 2.32 39.2 15.8 .0.4 5.14 1.82

4 123 1.97 32.9 13.0 .0.3 4.14 1.56

4 100 2.17 36.3 14.3 .0.3 4.65 1.70

4 204 1.82 30.4 11.9 -0.3 3.74 1.45

4 355 1.73 28.5 11.0 .0.2 3.45 1.38

4 522 1.65 27.0 10.3 .0.2 3.22 1.32

4 624 1 .56 25.5 9.7 -0.2 3.05 1.28

4 631 1.45 23.8 9.2 .0.2 2.90 1.24

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 150 2.1 1 38.2 16.6 -0.4 5.07 1.74

3 045 1.85 34.1 15.2 -0.4 4.34 1.54

2 854 1.59 30.1 13.8 .0.3 3.65 1.33

2 693 1.39 27.0 12.7 -0.3 3.14 1.18

2 506 1.22 24.3 11.9 .0.3 2.74 1.07

2 274 1.04 21.9 11.2 .0.3 2.45 0.98

1 988 0.87 19.6 10.7 .0.3 2.22 0.91

1 669 0.70 17.6 10.3 -0.3 2.05 0.86

1 338 0.55 15.8 10.1 -0.2 1.90 0.81

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

141 356 70 587 70 769 17.6

160823 80 500 80 323 17.8

184195 92 398 91 797 17.8

211 990 106 545 105 445 17.6

244768 123 233 121 534 17.5

283643 143 032 140 61 1 17.4

330138 166 702 163 436 17.4

386111 195 155 190 957 17.4

453614 229 398 224 216 17.3

2.58 43.4 17.2

2.71 43.7 16.2

2.81 43.3 15.0

2.88 42.6 13.7

2.95 42.1 12.4

3.04 41.8 17.3

3.13 41.7 10.3

3.22 41.6 9.3

3.30 41.5 8.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

534944 270 556 264 388 17.2

NORWAY

r) A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1955

lm

3265 1618 1 647 88.2

3427 1705 1722 99.0

9.8 14.7 13.3 13.9 9.7 1.7 49.8 32.7

8.9 16.8 12.1 14.7 10.2 1 .8 47.2 33.6 9

1Popuktlon (thouunde) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (malesper 100 females) ........... Age dleblbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentage aged 60 or wer Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w ~ n e naged 15-49 ......... Median age (yearn) Population density (population per sq km)

8

1%

1970

1875

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OW

3581 1784 1797 99.3

3723 1855 1888 99.3

3877 1949 99.0

4007 1991 2017 98.7

4086 2025 2081 96.2

4153 2053 2099 97.8

4241 2097 2144 97.8

4359 2156 2204 97.8

4489 2223 2266 98.1

8.6 17.3 13.1 16.2 11.1 1.9 45.3 34.4 9

8.4 16.4 15.4 17.1 12.0 2.0 45.0 34.1 10

8.5 16.0 15.9 18.2 12.9 2.2 44.0 33.0 10

7.7 16.1 15.2 19.1 13.7 2.5 43.6 32.5 10

6.4 15.8 15.3 20.3 14.8 3.0 44.9 33.3 11

6.1 13.9 15.7 21.2 15.7 3.4 47.4 34.6 11

6.6 12.3 15.4 21.0 16.3 3.7 49.2 35.4 11

7.0 12.5 13.5 20.0 15.9 4.0 48.8 36.1 11

6.6 13.3 12.1 19.3 15.2 4.3 47.1 36.9 12

1970-1975 1975lW 1980.1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005

1950-1955 1955-1980 1980-1985 1-1970 Population change per year (thousands). Bims per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.ooO l i i UmW) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

1929

32 63 27 0.97 18.7 8.2 2.60 1.19 23

31 64 31 0.88 18.1 8.8 2.84 1.33 20

28 64 35 0.78 17.4 9.5 2.90 1.37 17

31 67 37 0.81 17.6 9.7 2.72 1.29 14

26 62 39 0.86 15.8 10.0 2.25 1.07 12

70.9 74.5 72.7

71.3 75.5 73.3

71.1 75.9 73.4

71.1 76.7 73.8

71.4 77.6 74.4

18 52 41 0.39 12.9

13.3 10.7 1.80 0.88 8

24 80 45 0.55 14.0 10.5 1.89 0.91 6

26 59 44 0.59 13.4 9.9 1.85 0.89 6

43 0.66 12.3 9.5 1.80 0.87 4

74.3 80.3 77.4

75.2 81.1 78.2

76.7 81.8 79.3

18 56

1.81 0.88

13 51 42 0.33 12.3 10.2 1.69 0.81

9

8

72.2 78.6 75.3

72.9 76.0

73.1 79.8 76.3

10.0

79.5

45 0.42

30 56

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thoumnde) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........... Percentage aged 5-14......... Percentage aged 15-24....... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 Percentage in %hod ages 12-1 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 . Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2Mo

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4639 2302 2 337

4 785 2 381 2405 98.0

4932 2 458 2 474 99.3

5079 2533 2546 99.5

5228

5366

5482

2 671 2 695 99.1

2 724 2 757 98.8

5 576 2 767 2808

5656

2605 2622 99.4

98.5

2805 2852 98.4

5 732 2 841 2 891 98.3

5.9 12.8 13.1 21.5 15.3 4.5 7.5 4.0 4.1 7.8 46.2 39.2 12

5.8 11.9 13.1 22.8 17.0 4.3 7.1 3.7 3.8 8.0 45.5 40.4 13

5.8 11.5 12.4 24.3 18.4 4.4 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.5 44.0 40.9 13

5.8 11.4 11.7 25.9 19.8 5.0 6.8 3.4 3.4 7.0 42.5 41.3 14

5.8 11.5 11.3 27.6 21.1 6.2 6.9 3.4 3.4 6.8 41.9 41.8 14

5.6 11.5 11.3 28.8 22.6 6.9 6.9 3.5 3.4 6.7 41.6 42.4 14

5.4 11.4 11.4 29.1 23.6 7.6 6.8 3.5 3.5 6.8 41.3 43.1 14

5.3 11.1 11.6 29.2 23.8 8.2 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.0 40.7 43.5 15

5.4 10.9 11.5 28.6 23.8 9.0 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.9 40.3 43.7 15

98.5

6.2 13.4 12.3 19.7 14.7 4.6 8.1 4.1 3.9 7.2 46.4 38.0 12

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO population) . Total fertility (chlMren per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mwtalii rate (per 1 OOO llve births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ooO live blrths) L i b exxpectclncy st birth ( y w e ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

..

366

..........

29

29 56 43 16

56 43 16

0.82

0.80

11.9 9.1 3.4 1.85 0.89 3 4

11.6 8.8 3.3 1.85

77.8

82.5 80.2

0.89

3

4 78.6 83.2 80.9

29 58 44 15 0.59 11.6 8.7 3.0 1.85 0.89 3 4 79.3 83.8

81.6

46 15 0.58 11.7 8.8 2.9 1.85 0.89 3 4

28 61 49 15 0.52 11.6 9.2 2.8 1.85 0.89 3 4

23 61 52 15 0.43 11.2 9.7 2.8 1 .85 0.89 3 4

79.9 84.4 82.1

80.5 85.0 82.7

81.1 85.6 83.3

30

60

19 60

56 15 0.34 10.8 10.1 2.7 1.85 0.89 3 4 81.6 86.1 03.8

16 80 59 15 0.29 10.7 10.5 2.7 1.85 0.89 2 3

15 61 61 15 0.27 10.7 10.6 2.6 1.85

82.2 06.7 84.4

02.7 87.2 85.0

0.89

2 3

United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social AffaiMOpulation Division Worfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

NORWAY (f)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ......................... ...................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) ..........

37 0.78 13.4 9.1 3.4 2.10 1 01

.

.

41 0.84 13.8 8.7 3.2 2.25 1.08

45 0.88 14.4 8.5 2.9 2.35 1.13

46 0.86 14.3 8.5 2.8 2.35 1.13

44 0.79 13.9 8.7 2.7 2.35 1.13

42 0.72 13.7 9.1 2.6 2.35 1.14

42 0.70 13.8 9.3 2.5 2.35 1.14

44 0.71 14.2 9.5 2.4 2.35 1.14

48 0.74 14.4 9.4 2.3 2.35 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Popuiatlon (thousands) ... ....................... Total ........................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

22 0.47 10.4 9.1 3.4 1.60 0.77

17 0.36 9.2 8.9 3.3 1.45 0.70

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................ . . . . .............. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

4 639 2 302 2 337 38.0

4 777 2 377 2 401 39.3

4 917 2 450 2 467 40.5

5 056 2 521 2 535 41.1

5 196 2 589 2 607 41.5

5 322 2 648 2 673 42.1

5 423 2 694 2 729 42.8

5 501 2 729 2 772 43.6

5 566 2 758 2 808 44.2

0.59 11.6 9.1

0.57 11.3 8.9

0.56 11.3 8.7

0.55 11.4 8.9

0.48 11.2 9.2

0.38 10.7 9.8

0.29 10.4 10.3

0.24 10.3 10.6

0.21 10.3 10.8

(') lncludlng Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

5 626 2 787 2 839 44.5

OCCUPIED PALESTINIAN TERRITORY A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1005 521 483 107.9

1042 540 501 107.8

1101 571 530 107.7

1199 618 580 106.6

1096 562 534 105.2

1255 641 614 104.4

1476 762 714 106.7

1783 917 866 105.9

2154 1104 1 050 105.1

2617 1329 1 289 103.1

3149 1600 1549 103.3

18.6 27.1 17.4 7.4 4.8 0.4 41.5 17.2 167

17.4 27.7 19.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 43.5 17.3 173

17.4 27.0 19.9 6.1 4.1 0.3 45.1 17.6 183

18.8 26.1 19.8 5.4 3.7 0.5 45.1 17.4 199

18.5 26.5 19.0 5.2 3.4 0.5 44.7 17.5 182

19.0 27.0 18.1 4.9 3.2 0.4 43.5 17.0 208

18.5 29.1 20.0 5.0 3.5 0.5 42.8 16.1 245

17.9 28.7 20.1 5.4 3.7 0.6 43.2 16.6 296

18.4 28.3 20.4 5.1 3.4 0.6 42.8 16.4 358

18.2 27.8 19.5 5.6 3.9 0.7 43.7 16.9 435

18.7 28.0 18.7 4.8 3.5 0.5 43.7 16.6 523

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatton density (population per sq km)

3 762 1 913 1 849 103.5

4 409 2 244 2 165 103.6

5 090 2 592 2 496 103.7

5 806 2 957 2 849 103.8

6 553 3 337 3 216 103.8

7 320 3 727 3 593 103.7

8 085 4 115 3 971 103.6

8 837 4 494 4 343 103.5

9 566 4 861 4 705 103.3

17.6 28.3 19.3 4.5 3.1 0.5 17.7 7.3 6.8 10.9 44.8 16.9 625

16.3 28.2 19.9 4.4 2.9 0.5 17.4 7.7 6.7 11.6 46.0 17.6 732

15.0 26.9 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.5 16.4 7.6 7.1 11.8 47.8 18.5 646

13.9 25.3 21.2 5.1 3.2 0.5 15.4 7.2 6.9 12.5 49.7 19.8 964

12.9 23.8 20.7 5.9 3.7 0.5 14.5 6.9 6.6 12.2 51.1 21.2 1 089

12.1 22.5 19.9 6.6 4.3 0.6 13.6 6.5 6.3 11.8 52.2 22.7 1 216

11.2 21.3 19.2 7.5 5.0 0.7 12.9 6.2 6.0 11.4 53.1 24.1 1 343

10.3 20.1 18.5 8.4 5.7 0.9 12.1 5.9 5.7 11.0 53.3 25.7 1 468

9.5 18.8 17.8 9.4 6.5 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.6 53.3 27.3 1589

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . . ................... Males .................... Females ........................... .. .............. Both sexes combined ............................

129 146 15 .2 3.18 35.9 3.7 -0.5 5.09 2.42 18 20 71.8 75.0 73.4

136

2.87 32.8 3.3 .0.6 4.50 2.14 15 17

172 19 -4 2.42 27.8 3.0 .0.6 3.47 1.66 12 13

153 179 21 -4 2.21 25.8 3.1 .0.6 3.12 1.49 10 12

153 183 25 .5 1.99 23.7 3.2 .0.6 2.85 1.37 10 11

150 184 29 - 5 1.78 21.8 3.4 .0.6 2.65 1.27 9 10

1.59 20.0 3.7 .0.5 2.48 1.20 8 9

1 40 184 39 5 1.41 18.6 4.0 .0.5 2.35 1.13 8 9

72.7 76.1 74.4

73.6 77.1 75.4

74.4 78.0 76.2

75.1 78.8 76.9

75.8 79.5 77.6

76.5 80.2 78.3

77.1 80.9 78.9

77.7 81.5 79.5

16

-4

1 49

1 46

1 43 1 64 17 - 4 2.63 30.1 3.1 .0.7 3.93 1.88 13 15

156

184

34

- 5

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

OCCUPIED PALESTINIAN TERRITORY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

137 3.34 37.5 3.7 -0.5 5.34 2.54

150 3.1 1 35.2 3.3 -0.8 4.90 2.33

164 2.93 33.0 3.1 .0.7 4.43 2.12

174 2.71 30.6 2.9 -0.6 3.97 1.90

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e m a l e s ........................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

3 762 1 913 1849

4 374 2 226 2148

4 987 2 539 2448

5 600 2 852 2749

6 223 3 169 3055

6 840 3 481 3359

7 421 3 775 3647

7 952 4 041 3911

8 423 4 276 4147

17.6 28.3 19.3 4.5 3.1 0.5 44.8 16.9

15.6 28.4 20.1 4.4 2.9 0.5 46.3 17.8

14.0 26.7 21.1 4.7 3.0 0.5 48.8 19.0

12.6 24.4 22.0 5.3 3.3 0.5 51.5 20.7

11.6 22.4 21.2 6.2 3.9 0.5 53.3 22.5

10.7 20.7 19.8 7.1 4.6 0.6 54.4 24.4

9.7 19.5 18.6 8.2 5.4 0.8 55.1 26.3

8.7 18.1 17.7 9.4 6.4 1.0 55.1 28.2

7.8 16.6 17.0 10.7 7.4 1.3 54.9 30.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.. .

122 3.02 34.2 3.7 .0.5 4.84 2.30

123 2.62 30.3 3.3 .0.9 4.10 1.95

123 2.32 27.1 3.1 -0.8 3.43 1 64

125 2.11 24.9 3.1 .0.7 2.97 1.42

.

123 1.89 22.7 3.2 .0.6 2.62 1.25

116 1.63 20.4 3.4 .0.7 2.35 1.13

106 1.38 18.1 3.7 .0.7 2.15 1.03

94 1.15 16.1 4.0 -0.6 1.98 0.96

82 0.95 14.6 4.5 -0.6 1.85 0.89

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

3762 1 913 1 849 16.9

4485 2 283 2 202 17.2

5359 2 729 2 630 17.4

6420 3 271 3 149 17.4

7694 3 921 3 773 17.4

9210 4 694 4 515 17.4

11010 5 612 5 398 17.5

13168 6 71 1 6 456 17.6

15759 8 032 7 727 17.6

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3.52 39.3 3.7

3.56 39.6 3.3

3.62 39.8 3.0

3.62 39.5 2.9

3.60 39.1 2.7

3.57 38.8 2.7

3.58 38.8 2.6

3.59 38.8 2.6

3.60 38.8 2.6

Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United Nations Department o f

OMAN A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ........................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ............................ Population density (population per sq km)

Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 ltve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

B . MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage in school ages 6-11 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 ......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Mediari age (years) ............................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net mlgrallon per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~ltty(children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 l~vebirths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ........................

Uniled Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

OMAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 507 1 406 1 101

2 791 1 550 1 242

3 121 1 716 1 405

3 473 1 893 1 580

3 815 2 063 1 752

4 137 2 221 1 916

4 442 2 368 2 074

4 746 2 512 2 234

5 057 2 658 2 399

10.8 23.0 21.5 4.3 2.6 0.3 53.4 22.5

11.1 20.1 20.4 4.8 3.1 0.4 55.3 24.2

11.6 18.6 18.7 5.7 3.5 0.5 55.5 25.6

11.3 19.4 16.4 7.1 4.3 0.6 54.1 26.7

10.3 19.8 15.4 8.7 5.4 0.8 53.1 27.7

9.3 19.0 16.4 10.1 6.8 0.9 52.2 28.7

8.7 17.5 17.1 11.9 8.0 1.2 51.4 29.5

8.5 16.2 16.6 14.0 9.4 1.6 50.2 30.7

8.5 15.5 15.4 15.9 11.2 2.2 48.8 31.9

23 0.59 11.1 5.4 0.3 1.60 0.77

16 0.41 10.2 6.3 0.3 1.52 0.73

9 0.24 9.4 7.3 0.3 1.45 0.70

57 2.15 23.8 2.7 0.4 3.25 1.55

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ...............................................

Age distribution

Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... . Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

47 1 .80 20.3 2.7 0.4 2.75 1.31

48 1.67 19.1 2.8 0.3 2.36 1.13

45 1.45 17.3 3.1 0.3 2.08 1 .00

42 1.26 15.8 3.5 0.3 1.93 0.93

36 1.03 14.0 4.0 0.3 1 .80 0.87

29 0.80 12.4 4.7 0.3 1.70 0.82

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ...................... ..................... Females .............................................. ......... Median age (years) ................... . .

. .

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2 507 1406 1 101 22.5

2 827 1568 1 259 23.9

3 206 1760 1 446 24.8

3 627 1972 1 655 25.4

4 066 2192 1 874 25.7

4 513 2414 2 099 25.5

4 980 2644 2 336 25.9

5 492 2895 2 598 26.5

6 066 3174 2 B91 27.0

2.40 26.4 2.7

2.52 27.6 2.8

2.46 27.3 3.0

2.29 25.7 3.2

2.09 24.0 3.4

l .97 23.2 3.7

1.96 23.5 4.1

1.99 24.1 4.4

1.98 24.4 4.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PAKISTAN

A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Moo

...........

38944 19 365 17579 110.2

41127 21 508 19619 109.6

46259 24 133 22126 109.1

52327 27 238 25089 108.6

59565 30 941 28624 108.1

68294 35 404 32889 107.6

79222 40 990 38232 107.2

95005 49 048 45957 106.7

112991 58 273 54718 106.5

127766 65 825 61942 106.3

144360 74 293 70068 106.0

Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage 80 or over .................. Percentageof w ~ n e n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdenslty (populalilmper sq km)

15.0 22.9 18.8 8.2 5.3 0.5 46.7 21.2 46

16.5 22.7 18.3 7.4 5.0 0.5 47.4 20.7 52

16.9 24.0 17.6 6.7 4.4 0.5 47.0 20.0 58

16.9 25.3 17.2 5.9 4.0 0.6 46.3 19.2 66

16.8 25.7 18.1 5.7 3.6 0.5 46.2 18.7 75

16.9 25.6 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.5 46.2 18.6 86

17.2 25.5 19.0 5.4 3.4 0.4 45.7 18.6 100

17.6 25.2 18.9 5.3 3.3 0.4 45.7 18.6 119

18.3 25.8 18.1 5.4 3.3 0.4 44.8 18.1 142

16.3 28.0 17.9 5.5 3.5 0.4 44.5 17.9 160

14.1 27.6 19.7 5.7 3.7 0.5 46.8 18.8 181

Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Females Sex ratio (ma es per Am dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W

1950-1855 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.

Populatbn change per year (thoosands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO pqmdatkm) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 . Wlin, UrW) LIW expectmlcy at Mlth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combioed ............................

2.74 42.9 15.6 6.60 2.34 128

2 186 3 190 1046 2.97 43.3 14.2 6.60 2.43 118

3 157 3844 1128 3.63 44.1 12.9 6.60 2.51 108

3 597 4 677 1228 3.47 45.0 11.8 6.66 2.61 98

2 955 4 659 1182 2.46 38.7 9.8 5.80 2.37 87

3 319 4 531 1204 2.44 33.3 8.8 4.96 2.04 83

2 744 4 153 1161 1.82 27.5 7.7 3.99 1.68 75

52.4 51.5 51.9

54.4 53.7 54.0

56.4 56.0 56.2

58.5 58.1 58.2

60.5 61.4 60.8

61.4 62.2 61.8

63.3 63.9 63.6

1448 2 427 967 2.59 43.4 17.3 6.60 2.25 138

1746 2 744

2.35 44.8 21.3 6.60 2.06 158

1214 2 181 949 2.47 44.2 19.3 6.60 2.16 148

46.7 44.5 45.6

48.6 46.8 47.7

50.5 49.1 49.8

837 1 739 900 2.15 44.5 23.1 6.60 1.97 169

1028 1 959

44.8 42.1 43.4

WO

996

B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

158 081 81 328 76 753 108.0

173 351 89 169 84 181 105.9

190 659 98044 92 614 105.9

208 315 107 079 101 237 105.8

224 956 115564 109 391 105.6

240 276 123 320 116 956 105.4

254 730

130 583 124 168 105.2

268506 137 400 131 106 104.8

281 201 143 640 137 561 104.4

292 205 148 979 143 227 104.0

11.9 25.2 22.1 5.9 3.9 0.5 15.1 7.6 7.6 12.8 50.7 20.3 199

12.0 22.0 22.4 6.2 4.1 0.6 13.0 6.9 6.9 13.5 52.9 22.1 218

11.8 20.3 20.5 6.8 4.3 0.7 12.3 5.7 6.1 12.3 53.8 23.7 239

11.1 20.4 18.0 7.6 4.9 0.7 12.5 5.7 5.2 10.9 53.4 25.3 262

10.0 20.0 16.9 8.6 5.6 0.8 12.1 5.8 5.5 9.8 53.7 26.8 283

9.1 18.8 17.4 9.5 6.4 0.9 11.2 5.7 5.6 10.3 54.1 28.2 302

8.5 17.2 17.4 10.4 7.1 1.2 10.3 5.3 5.3 10.4 53.8 29.5 320

8.1 16.0 16.6 11.8 8.0 1.4 9.6 4.8 4.9 10.0 52.1 30.9 337

7.7 15.2 15.4 13.8 9.1 1.7 9.2 4.5 4.6 9.3 50.3 32.5 353

7.2 14.7 14.5 16.5 10.8 2.0 8.8 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.9 34.1 367

P O P U I . ~ ~(thouundo) O~

Total ..................................................... Males ....................................... Females Sex ratio ( Age dlrtrlbutlam Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 15-24... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or o w .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school a15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 Percentage of Median age (ye Populationdensity (population per sq km)

...

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thwaanbe) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thwsands)......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulalkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopllalkm) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO poprlatbn) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... l n w t mortality rate (per 1,WOlive births) Under-fiw mortality (per 1,W live b41-W) LlW expectancy at MrM (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem combined ............................

............

372

85

3462 4 847 1219 - 167 1.90 26.6 6.7 -0.9 3.16 1.38 61 84

3 531 4 945 1263 - 150 1.77 24.8 6.3 -0.8 2.68 1.27 54 74

65.2 65.8 65.5

66.9 67.5 67.2

68.4 69.1 68.7

3054 4 515 1178 -283 1.84 27.2 7.1 -1.7 3.52 1.51 67

3 328 4 793 1315 150 1.54 22.1 6.1 -0.7 2.67 1.20 49 66

3064 4 596 1382 - 150 1.32 19.8 5.9 -0.6 2.50 1.13 44 58

2 891 4520 1 479 - 150 1.17 18.3 6.0 -0.6 2.37 1.08 40 51

2 755 4 519 1613 - 150 1.05 17.3 6.2 -0.6 2.25 1 .04 36 45

2539 4 467 1 778 150 0.92 16.3 6.5 -0.5 2.15 1 .00 32

69.7 70.5 70.1

70.8 72.0 71.4

71.9 73.5 72.6

72.8 74.8 73.8

73.6 76.0 74.8

~

~

40

2 201 4 322 1971 - 150 0.77 15.1 6.9 -0.5 2.06 0.97 29 35 74.4 77.0 75.7

United Nations Department of E m i c and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PAKISTAN C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator -

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

4 231 2.07 27.9 6.4 -0.7 3.38 1.49

4 128 1.83 25.1 6.1 -0.7 3.17 1.42

3 964 1.62 22.6 5.9 -0.6 3.00 1.36

3 969 1.50 21.3 5.8 -0.6 2.87 1.31

4 092 1.43 20.7 5.9 -0.5 2.75 1.27

4 147 1.36 20.1 6.0 -0.5 2.65 1.23

4 029 1.23 19.1 6.3 -0.5 2.56 1.20

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 268 1.97 28.6 7.2 -1.7 3.77 1.61

3 912 2.13 29.0 6.8 -0.9 3.56 1.55

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 829 1.71 25.9 7.0 -1.7 3.27 1.40

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) ......... 158 081 Total ........................... Males ................................................... 81328 Females ................. .. ........................ 76 753 Median age (years) ........................ ...... 20.3

.............

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) ... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.07 29.7 7.3

175 330 90187 85 143 21.8

197 205 101412 95 794 22.9

222 452 114352 108 100 23.4

249 439 128161 121 278 23.5

277 497 142463 135 034 23.3

307 713 157796 149 917 23.7

341 786 175040 166 746 24.1

380 704 194711 185 992 24.5

2.35 31.3 7.0

2.41 31.4 6.6

2.29 29.7 6.2

2.13 27.7 5.9

2.07 26.8 5.7

2.10 27.0 5.6

2.16 27.5 5.6

2.17 27.6 5.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

424 310 216732 207 578 24.7

PANAMA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... . . . . ................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

3 232 1 630 1 601 101.8

3 509 1 769 1 740 101.6

3 774 1 900 1 873 101.4

4 027 2 026 2 001 101.2

4 267 2 144 2 123 101.0

4 488 2 252 2 237 100.7

4 684 2 346 2 338 100.3

4 850 2 425 2 425 100.0

4 985 2 468 2 496 99.7

10.6 19.7 17.9 8.8 6.0 1.2 12.0 5.7 5.6 10.6 53.2 26.1 43

9.8 19.2 17.3 9.7 6.7 1.3 11.6 5.6 5.3 10.3 52.6 27.3 46

9.1 18.2 16.9 11 0 7.5 1.5 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.0 52.0 28.7 50

8.5 17.0 16.7 12.5 8.6 1.7 10.2 5.1 5.1 10.0 51.0 30.1

8.0 16.0 16.1 14.3 9.9 2.0 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.7 49.9 31.5 57

7.6 15.2 15.3 16.3 11.5 2.4 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.2 49.0 32.9 59

7.1 14.6 14.6 18.3 13.2 2.9 8.7 4.4 4.4 8.8 48.2 34.4 62

6.6 13.9 14.1 19.9 14.9 3.5 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.3 35.9 64

6.3 13.1 13.7 21.4 16.3 4.2 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.2 46.6 37.3 66

.

53

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (chlldren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .......................... ................ Both sexes combined ............................

..

55 70 17 2 1.65 20.8 5.0 0.7 2.56 1.21 18 24

53 70 19 2 1.46 19.1 5.1 0.6 2.41 1.15 16 21

51 69 21 2. 1.30 17.8 5.4 0.6 2.29 1.09 14 18

48 69 24 2 1.16 16.7 5.7 0.5 2.19 1.04 12 16

44 69 27 2 1.01 15.7 6.1 0.5 2.09 1.00 10 14

39 67 30 2 0.85 14.6 6.6 0.5 2.01 0.97 9 12

33 65 34 2 0.70 13.6 7.1 0.5 1.94 0.93 8 11

27 63 38 2 0.55 12.8 7.7 0.4 1.88 0.90 7 10

22 62 42 2 0.43 12.3 8.4 0.4 1.85 0.89 7 9

73.0 78.2 75.5

73.7 79.1 76.3

74.4 79.9 77.0

75.0 80.6 77.7

75.6 81.3 78.4

76.2 81.9 78.9

76.6 82.5 79.5

77.1 83.0 80.0

77.5 83.5 80.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

PANAMA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlsblbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ 2005-2010 2010-2015

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........

62 1.83 22.7 5.0 0.7 2.81 1.33

.

64 1.73 21.8 5.1 0.6 2.81 1.34

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

49 1.46 18.9 5.0 0.7 2.31 1.09

42 1.17 16.3 5.2 0.6 2.01 0.96

36 0.96 14.4 5.5 0.6 1.79 0.85

32 0.82 13.5 5.9 0.6 1.69 0.81

26 0.65 12.3 6.4 0.5 1.59 0.76

18 0.44 10.9 7.0 0.5 1.51 0.73

10 0.23 9.6 7.8 0.5 1.44 0.69

2 0.04 8.6 8.7 0.5 1.38 0.66

.5 -0.12 8.1 9.7 0.5 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3232 1 630 1 601 26.1

3527 1 778 1 749 27.2

3831 1 929 1 901 28.2

4143 2 085 2 058 29.2

4462 2 243 2 219 29.9

4787 2 404 2 383 30.7

5117 2 567 2 550 31.2

5452 2 733 2 719 31.7

5791 2 900 2 891 32.0

1.75 21.9 5.0

1.65 21.1 5.1

1.57 20.4 5.3

1.48 19.9 5.5

1.41 19.4 5.8

1.33 19.0 6.2

1.27 18.8 6.5

1.21 18.6 6.9

1.16 18.4 7.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PAPUA NEW GUINEA

A ESTIMATES indicator Population (thouundr) Total ..................... Males ................................................... Fe&s ...............................................

..

Age dlmtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4.. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 . Percentage aged 60 or owr .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wornan aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populatkmper sq km)

1950

1955

1860

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

1798 947 851 111.4

1922 1002

2080 1077 1003 107.3

2289 1175 1114 105.5

2554 1311 1243 105.5

2866 1468 1398 105.0

3199 1701 1498 113.5

3637 1905 1731 110.1

4131 2139 1992 107.4

4709 2417 2291 105.5

5381 2746 2635

16.8 25.9 19.0 4.1 2.4 0.3 46.4 18.6 4

20.0 25.7 19.1 3.6 2.0 0.2 44.7 17.1 5

16.9 28.7 19.8 3.8 2.1 0.2 46.5 17.9 6

17.0 26.7 20.2 3.7 2.1 0.2 46.8 17.9 6

16.3 28.5 20.8 3.6 1.9 0.1 46.4 17.2 7

16.0 27.2 21.5 3.7 2.1 0.1 48.7 17.9 8

15.8 25.9 21.5 3.7 2.2 0.1 50.5 18.6 9

15.9 25.5 20.5 3.7 2.2 0.2 51.0 19.1 10

15.9 25.4 19.4 3.8 2.2 0.2 50.7 19.2 12

15.3 24.0 19.3 6.0 4.1 0.4 48.6 20.3 4

920

108.9 16.7 24.5 19.2 4.6 3.1

0.3 47.4 19.3 4

104.2

1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005

.

Population change per year (thwsands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .OOO populatim) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Total fertillty (chi!dren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mwtality rqte (per 1,000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cMnMned ............................

32

25 80 55 1.33 43.1 29.7 6.24 1.70 158

52 1.58 42.6 26.0 6.26 1.82 145

33.8 35.7 34.7

36.3 38.2 37.2

85

1.91 42.3 22.8 8.28 1.93 134

53 101 49 2.19 41.8 20.2 8.21 2.01 122

62 113 49 2.31 41.6 18.0 6.09 2.07 112

07 121 53 2.20 40.0 17.5 5.87 2.09 101

88 128 41 2.56 37.6 12.0 5.47 2.15 79

99 144 45 2.55 37.0 11.5 4.97 1.98 78

116 102 47 2.62 36.7 10.6 4.70 1.92 69

135 188 51 2.67 36.9 10.2 4.64 1.91 67

57 2.41 34.0 9.9 4.32 1.79 65

38.8 40.7 39.7

41.3 43.2 42.2

43.8 45.7 44.7

47.5 51.3 49.3

50.7 55.5 52.5

51.3 56.6 53.4

53.0 58.5 55.2

53.7 59.5 56.2

54.1 59.9 56.7

42 92 50

138

im

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

................... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in s c h d ages 12-14 Percentage in schod ages 15-17 Percentage in schod ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women a m 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatm density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6 070 3083 2988 103.2

6 708 3 397 3311 102.6

7 319 3 699 3 021 102.2

7 937 4005 3 931 101.9

8565 4 318 4 247 101.7

9 183 4829 4555 101.6

9 758

10 273 5 182 5 091 101.8

10 736 5 421 5 315 102.0

1 1 155 5638 5 516 102.2

14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.0 6.9 6.4 11.3 50.7 19.5 13

13.1 25.6 19.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 15.6 7.3 6.6 11.6 51.5 20.3 14

12.0 23.8 21 .o 4.7 2.7 0.3 14.3 7.2 7.0 12.3 52.8 21.5 16

11.4 21.7 21.3 5.4 3.1 0.3 13.0 6.5 6.6 12.7 53.9 22.9

11.0 20.4 20.0 6.3 3.7 0.4 12.3 6.0 6.0 12.1 53.9 24.3 19

10.4 19.8 18.5 7.2 4.4 0.4 12.0 5.7 5.6 11.1 53.9 25.7

9.0 19.2 17.7 8.2 5.1 0.5 11.6 5.6

8.8 18.2 17.5 9.0 5.9 0.7 10.9 5.5 5.4 10.4 54.0 28.3 22

8.3 17.0 17.3 10.0 6.5 0.9 10.2 5.2 5.3 10.3 53.8 29.6 23

7.9 16.0 10.7 11.2 7.3 1.1 9.5 4.9 4.9 10.0 52.7 30.9 24

17

20

....

.

376

5.5

10.5 53.9 27.0 21

20352040 2o40-2045 2045-2050

~ 2 0 1 2010-2015 0 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2b30 -2035 Population change per year (thwsands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000live births) Life expetany at blrth (yeen) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

4 919 4838 101.7

115 196 81

103 189

0

56

1.21 20.7 8.6 0.0 2.44 1.09 38 50

60.1 65.3 62.7

61.6 60.6 64.1

128 189 61 0 2.00 29.6 9.6 0.0 3.78 1.58 61 84

122 187 65 0 1.75 26.7 9.2 0.0 3.35 1.42 56 76

123 191 68 0 1 .62 25.1 8.9 0.0 3.03 1.30 51 69

126 198 72 0 1.52 24.0 8.8 0.0 2.79 1.21 47 63

124 200 77 0 1.39 22.6 8.7 0.0 2.80 1.14 43

54.6 60.4 57.2

55.9 61.3 58.4

57.3 62.7 59.9

58.6 64.0 61.2

0 1.03 18.8 8.6 0.0 2.32 1.04 35 45

93 184 91 0 0.88 17.5 8.7 0.0 2.21 0.99 31 40

84 181 97 0 0.77 16.5 8.9 0.0 2.11 0.96 28 36

63.2 67.7 65.4

64.5 68.7 66.7

65.8 69.7 67.8

06

United Nations Department of Emnomic and Social AffaidPopuiaticm Division WOrW Population Prospmts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensiveTables

PAPUA NEW GUINEA C. HIGHVARIANT

Indicator PopuhUon (thouundo) T W .................................................... Aga dl.trlbution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ............... Percenw aged 60 or over ........ Percentagea@ 65 w over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percenlagnof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6 070 3083 2986

6 766 3 428 3339

7 481 3 782 3699

8 245 4 164 4 081

9 041 4564 4 477

9854 4 975 4880

10665 5387 5278

11488 5799 5868

12268 6213 6055

I 3 065 6 627 6438

14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 50.7 19.5

13.8 25.4 19.8 4.2 2.4 0.2 51. l 20.1

13.1 24.0 20.6 4.6 2.7 0.3 51.7 20.9

12.7 22.8 20.5 5.2 3.0 0.3 51.9 21.9

12.3 22.1 19.6 6.0 3.5 0.3 51.7 22.9

11.7 21.6 18.9 6.7 4.1 0.4 51.9 23.8

11.0 21.0 18.5 7.5 4.7 0.5 52.2 24.7

10.5 20.1 18.4 8.1 5.3 0.6 52.5 25.6

10.0 19.2 18.1 8.7 5.7 0.8 52.4 26.6

9.7 16.5 17.5 9.5 6.2 0.9 51.8 27.6

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~

Populationchance per year (thousands). Populati rale @er cent) ............ CRlde birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalion) .... C ~ d death e rale @er 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net mlgratiw, rate (par 1,OOO population) . Total tertiltly (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

139 2.17 31.4 9.7 0.0 4.03 1.69

143 2.01 29.4 9.3 0.0 3.75 1.59

153 1.95 28.4 8.9 0.0 3.53 1.52

159 1.e4 27.1 8.7 0.0 3.29 1.43

163 1.72 25.6 8.4 0.0 3.10 1.36

162 1.58 24.0 8.2 0.0 2.94 1.31

161 1.45 22.6 8.1 0.0 2.82 1.26

160 1.35 21.5 8.0 0.0 2.71 1.22

159 1.26 20.6 8.0 0.0 2.61 1.18

0. LOW VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6 070 3083 2986

6650 3 367 3283

7 158 3 615 3543

7 628 3846 3 782

8090 4 073 4 017

8 518

4285 4232

8872 4462 4410

9 135 4594 4540

9313 4686 4628

9 424 4 743 4 681

14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 50.7 19.5

12.3 25.8 20.1 4.2 2.5 0.2 52.0 20.6

10.8 23.5 21.5 4.8 2.8 0.3 54.0 22.1

9.9 20.5 22.2 5.6 3.3 0.3 58.0 23.8

9.5 18.5 20.5 6.7 3.9 0.4 56.3 25.7

8.9 17.6 18.1 7.8 4.7 0.5 56.2 27.7

8.0 17.0 16.7 9.0 5.6 0.8 55.9 29.7

7.1 16.0 16.3 10.1 6.6 0.8 55.6 31.5

8.4 14.5 18.1 11.5 7.5 1.o 54.9 33.4

5.9 13.1 15.4 13.2 8.6 1.3 53.2 35.1

Papul.tlon (thouundo)

............................................... Ago dlstrlbdon Percentageaged 04 ............................ percentageaged 5 14 .......................... -ge aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .....

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 Pqxdalion change per year (lhousanbs) . Population g r d h (ale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalkm) .... Crude death rale @er 1.OOO population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

116 1.83 27.7 9.5 0.0 3.53 1.48

102 1.47 23.9 9.1 0.0 2.95 1.25

94 1.27 21.6 8.9 0.0 2.53 1.09

92 1.18 20.7 8.9 0.0 2.29 1.CO

66 1.a3 19.2 8.9 0.0 2.10 0.92

71 0.82 17.1 9.0 0.0 1.94 0.86

2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 52 0.58 15.0 9.2 0.0 1.82 0.81

36 0.39 13.4 9.5 0.0 1.71 0.77

22 0.24 12.3 9.9 0.0 1.61 0.73

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Pupul.tkn (thwundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M a d i i age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6 070 3083 2 986 19.5

6 828 3458 3 369 19.9

7 683 3886 3 796 20.2

8 683 4380 4 283 20.7

9 775 4943 4 833 20.8

11 027 5580 5 447 20.8

12 437 6303 6 135 20.9

14 038 7128 6 910 21.o

15 861 8072 7 789 21.2

17 937 9150 8 787 21.3

20052010 2010-2015-20152020 2020-2025 2025-2WO 203C-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rale (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1,OOO population) ..

2.35 33.3 9.8

2.36 33.0 9.4

2.40 33.0 9.0

2.42 32.7 8.6

2.41 32.2 8.2

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and soda1 AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.41 31.8 7.8

2.42 31.6 7.4

2.44 31.5 7.1

2.46 31.3 6.6

377

PARAGUAY

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 lemales) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1 473 725 748 96.9

1 675 823 852 96.6

1 907 939 968 97.0

2 177 1 079 1 099 98.2

2 484 1 239 1 245 99.6

2 805 1408 1 397 100.8

3 198 1 613 1 585 101.8

3 702 1 871 1 831 102.2

4 248 2 147 2 101 102.2

4 799 2427 2 372 102.3

5 349 2707 2 643 102.4

18.3 28.7 19.1 4.5 2.9 0.3 44.6 16.5 4

19.0 28.5 17.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 43.5 16.2 4

18.4 29.5 18.0 5.0 3.2 0.4 42.7 16.1 5

17.9 29.6 18.3 5.2 3.3 0.4 42.6 16.2 5

17.3 28.9 19.5 5.4 3.4 0.4 43.4 16.7 6

15.8 28.3 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.4 44.7 17.6 7

16.0 26.5 20.3 5.8 3.8 0.5 45.7 18.4 8

16.4 25.3 20.1 5.9 3.9 0.5 46.7 18.8 9

15.5 25.9 19.1 6.1 4.0 0.5 47.0 19.3 10

14.4 26.0 18.9 6.1 4.2 0.6 47.7 19.7 12

13.3 24.9 20.1 6.5 4.4 0.7 49.2 20.4 13

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 904 2 985 2919 102.3

6 460 3 260 3200 101.9

7 008 3 530 3478 101.5

7 533 3 787 3746 101.1

8 026 4 028 3999 100.7

8 483 4 249 4234 100.3

8 898 4 448 4449 100.0

9 267 4 625 4642 99.6

9 591 4 779 4812 99.3

9 868 4 910 4958 99.0

12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 14.2 6.9 6.6 12.3 50.4 21.7 15

11.5 22.1 20.3 7.7 5.2 1.0 13.3 6.5 6.3 12.0 51.5 23.1 16

10.7 20.8 19.5 8.7 5.8 1.1 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.6 52.4 24.5 17

9.9 19.6 18.6 9.7 6.6 1.3 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.1 53.0 26.1 19

9.1 18.4 17.9 10.8 7.6 1.5 11.1 5.5 5.5 10.7 53.6 27.7 20

8.5 17.3 17.1 11.8 8.5 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.3 53.5 29.3 21

8.0 16.2 16.4 12.8 9.3 2.1 9.7 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.5 30.9 22

7.5 15.3 15.6 14.2 10.1 2.5 9.2 4.6 4.7 9.4 51.1 32.5 23

7.1 14.5 14.8 16.2 11.3 2.8 8.7 4.4 4.4 8.9 49.7 34.1 24

6.8 13.9 14.2 18.3 13.0 3.1 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 48.2 35.6 24

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................................... ...... Both sexes combined .................... .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PARAGUAY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................... ................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

. . .

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

5904 2985 2 919

6518 3289 3 228

7169 3612 3 557

7839 3943 3 896

8490 4264 4 226

9129 4578 4 551

9761 4888 4 872

10389 5197 5 192

11009 5502 5 508

12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 50.4 21.7

12.2 21.9 20.1 7.6 5.1 1 .0 51 .1 22.8

11.9 21.1 19.0 8.5 5.6 1.1 51.2 23.9

11.3 20.9 17.9 9.3 6.4 1.2 51 0 24.9

10.5 20.4 17.6 10.2 7.1 1.4 51.4 26.0

9.9 19.4 17.7 11.0 7.9 l6 51.5 27.0

9.5 18.3 17.5 11.6 8.5 l .9 51.0 28.0

9.2 17.5 16.8 12.6 9.0 2.2 50.1 29.1

9.0 17.0 16.0 14.1 9.8 2.4 49.1 30.2

.

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rale (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per l. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............ ..

123 1.98 26.6 5.6 -1.3 3.33 1.54

130 l .91 25.7 5.5 -1.2 3.16 1.47

134 1.79 24.4 5.5 -1.1 3.01 1.40

130 1.60 22.4 5.5 .1.0 2.83 1.32

128 1.45 21 0 5.6 -0.9 2.70 1.27

.

1 26 1 34 20.1 5.8 .0.8 2.61 1.23

.

1 26 1.25 19.4 6.1 .0.8 2.54 1.20

1 24 1.16 18.8 6.4 .0.7 2.49 1.18

122 1 .08 18.1 6.7 .0.7 2.46 1.17

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

5 904 2 985 2919

6 402 3 231 3172

6 845 3 447 3398

7 225 3 630 3595

12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 50.4 21.7

10.7 22.3 20.4 7.7 5.2 10 52.0 23.3

9.4 20.4 19.9 8.9 5.9 1.1 53.6 25.1

8.3 18.2 19.4 10.1 6.9 1.3 55.2 27.3

.

7 561 3 791 3771 7.6 16.3 18.2 11.4 8.0 1.5 56.1 29.4

7 843 3 923 3921

8 059 4 M1 4038

8 204 4 084 4121

8 281 4 112 4169

6.9 14.8 16.5 12.8 9.2 1.9 55.8 31.7

6.3 13.8 15.0 14.1 10.3 2.3 54.1 34.0

5.7 12.7 14.0 16.0 11.4 2.8 52.1 36.4

5.2 11.7 13.2 18.7 13.1 3.2 49.9 38.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

100 1.62 23.0 5.5 .1.3 2.83 1.31

88

1.34 20.0 5.5 -1.2 2.36 1.10

76 1 .08 17.5 5.6 -1.1 2.01 0.94

67 0.91 16.0 5.8 .1.1 1 .83 0.86

56 0.73 14.5 6.1 -1 .0 1.70 0.80

43 0.54 13.0 6.6 -1 .0 1.60 0.76

29 0.36 11.8 7.2 -1.0 1.54 0.73

15 0.19 10.7 7.9 -1 .0 1.49 0.71

3 0.03 9.9 8.6 -1 .0 1.47 0.69

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................. ............ Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

5904 2 985 2 919 21.7

6552 3 307 3 245 22.7

7285 3 671 3 614 23.5

8087 4 069 4 017 24.0

8941 4 494 4 447 24.3

9855 4 948 4 907 24.5

10841 5 439 5 402 24.8

l1917 5 976 5 941 25.1

13094 6 565 6 529 25.4

2.08 27.7 5.6

2.12 27.9 5.5

2.09 27.4 5.5

2.01 26.4 5.4

1.95 25.7 5.4

1.91 25.4 5.5

1 .89 25.3 5.6

1 .88 25.2 5.7

1.87 25.0 5.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PERU

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

7632 3 842 3790 101.4

8672 4 368 4304 101.5

9931 5 004 4927 101.6

11467 5 779 5688 101.6

13193 6 649 6544 101.6

15161 7 640 7521 101.6

17325 8 721 8603 101.4

19523 9 823 9700 101.3

21762 10 945 10818 101.2

23857 11 990 11868 101.0

25663 12 874 12788 100.7

16.8 24.8 18.8 5.7 3.5 0.3 46.1 19.1 6

17.5 24.8 18.8 5.6 3.4 0.3 45.7 18.8 7

17.7 25.6 18.2 5.6 3.4 0.3 44.9 18.4 8

17.8 26.3 18.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 18.0 9

17.1 26.9 18.7 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.8 17.9 10

16.4 26.8 19.4 5.6 3.5 0.3 45.6 18.2 12

15.7 26.2 20.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 46.9 18.7 13

14.4 25.7 20.4 5.7 3.7 0.4 48.2 19.6 15

13.6 24.6 20.3 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.5 20.5 17

13.1 23.3 20.2 6.6 4.3 0.6 50.7 21.5 19

11.6 22.9 19.8 7.3 4.9 0.8 51.7 22.7 20

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlslribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)

27 274 13665 13609 100.4

28 894 14464 14430 100.2

30 768 15393 15375 100.1

32 540 16269 16272 100.0

34 148 17059 17090 99.8

35 564 17748 17817 99.6

36 770 18326 18444 99.4

37 752 18788 18964 99.1

38 500 19131 19369 98.8

10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 12.8 6.5 6.2 11.5 52.9 24.3 21

9.9 19.2 19.4 8.8 6.1 1.1 11.4 5.9 6.1 11.6 54.0 25.9 22

9.3 18.0 18.4 9.8 6.7 1.3 10.9 5.3 5.4 11.2 53.8 27.5 24

8.7 17.4 16.7 11.0 7.5 1.5 10.5 5.1 5.0 10.0 52.9 29.1 25

8.1 16.6 15.9 12.6 8.6 1.7 9.9 5.0 4.9 9.5 52.0 30.9 27

7.5 15.6 15.6 14.2 9.9 2.0 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.4 50.9 32.6 28

7.0 14.6 15.1 16.1 11.4 2.4 8.7 4.5 4.5 9.1 49.8 34.2 29

6.6 13.8 14.4 18.1 13.0 2.9 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 48.3 35.7 29

6.2 13.0 13.7 20.1 14.7 3.5 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.3 46.5 37.2 30

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ......................... :..................... Both sexes combined ............................

.. .

324 586 172 -90 1.15 20.9 6.1 -3.2 2.51 1 16 21 29

375 589 182 -32 1.26 19.7 6.1 -1.1 2.37 1.10 19 25

355 581 194 . 32 1.12 18.4 6.1 -1.0 2.25 1.05 17 23

68.9 74.0 71.4

70.2 75.3 72.7

71.3 76.4 73.8

.

322 563 210 32 0.97 16.9 6.3 -1.0 2.15 1.01 15 20

283 543 228 . 32 0.81 15.6 6.5 .0.9 2.06 0.97 14 18

72.2 77.3 74.7

73.1 78.2 75.6

-

241 524 251 32 0.67 14.5 6.9 -0.9 1.99 0.94 12 17

196 506 277 . 32 0.53 13.6 7.4 .0.9 1.92 0.91 11 15

73.7 79.0 76.3

74.3 79.7 77.0

-

150 488 306 32 0.39 12.8 8.0 -0.8 1.86 0.89 10 14

110 478 336 . 32 0.28 12.3 8.7 -0.8 1.65 0.88 9 13

74.9 80.4 77.6

75.5 81.1 78.2

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PERU C. HIGHVARIANT lndkator PoPU~on (thou-)

Total .................................................... Males .............. Females ............................................... Aga dlmributkn Percentage~QKI 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. P e w of WMBn aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

....

27 274 13 665 13 609

29 171 14 608 14 568

31 520 15 777 15 743

33 914 16 971 16 943

36 178 18 18 082

38330 19 162 19 168

40404

10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 52.9 24.3

10.7 19.0 19.3 8.8 6.0 1.1 53.5 25.6

10.6 18.5 17.9 9.6 6.5 1.3 52.5 26.8

10.2 18.9 16.0 10.6 7.2 1.4 50.8 27.9

9.5 18.6 15.8 11.9 8.1 1.6 49.9 29.1

8.9 17.8 16.4 13.2 9.2 1.8 49.2 30.0

m

44309

46 138

22098 22 210

22994

20 221

42 404 21 165 21 239

8.6 16.8 16.5 14.6 10.4 2.2 48.7 30.7

8.3 16.1 15.9 16.1 11.5 2.6 47.7 31.6

8.1 15.6 15.1 17.5 12.8 3.0 46.6 32.6

7.9 15.3 14.6 18.8 13.9 3.5 46.1 33.6

20 183

23 144

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

population chanae per year (tharsands) .

Population growlh rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO populatlon) .... Ctude death rate (per 1.ooO populatkn) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1.ooO Poprlation). Total fertility (children per mman) ........... Net repmducti rate (per woman) ..........

379 1.35 22.8 6.1 -3.2 2.76 1.a

470 1.55 22.6 6.1 -1.1 2.77 1.29

479 1.47 21.7 6.0 -1 .o 2.75 1.29

453

430

1.29 19.9 6.1 -0.9 2.65 1.25

1.16 18.6 6.2 -0.9 2.56 1.21

415 1 .a5 17.8 6.5 -0.8 2.49 1.18

0.97 17.3 6.8 -0.8 2.42 1.15

381 0.88 16.7 7.2 -0.7 2.36 1.12

0.81 16.4 7.6 -0,7 2.35 1.12

400

368

D. L O W V A R W

PopuMion (UlOUUnd.) Total ....................................................

................................... 5-14 .......................... percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or OYBT .................. Percentageaged 65 w m r 80 or over .................. Percentagea@ Penxmtapotmrnenagedi5-49 ......... Median age (yam) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

27 274 13 665 13 609

28 615 14 321 14 293

30009 15 005 15 004

31 158 15 562 15 596

32 115 16 019 16 096

32 827 18 348 16 479

33 247 16 525 16 722

33356 16 542 16 814

33 162 18 404 16 758

32 710 16 138 16 572

10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 52.9 24.3

9.0 19.4 19.6 8.9 6.1 1.2 54.6 26.2

8.0 17.5 18.8 10.1 6.8 1.4 55.1 28.2

7.1 15.7 17.5 11.5 7.9 1.6 55.2 30.4

6.6 14.2 16.1 13.4 9.1 1.8 54.4 32.8

8.0 13.0 14.6 15.4 10.8 2.1 52.8 35.2

5.4 12.1 13.4 17.8 12.8 2.6 50.9 37.6

4.8 11.1 12.5 20.5 14.7 3.3 46.6

4.4 10.1 11.9 23.4 17.1 4.0 45.9 42.3

4.1 9.2 11.1 26.6 19.6 4.9 43.4 44.6

40.0

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2o20-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 204G2045 2o45-2050 Popurath chanoe per year1- ( .. Popdation g n M h rate (per cent)............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OW populatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlatbn) .. Net rnlgralkm rate (per 1.ooO poprlatm) Total fertilky (CMldren per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

.

288 0.96 18.9 6.1 -3.2 2.26 1.05

279 0.95 16.7 6.1 -1.1 1.97 0.92

230 0.75 14.8 6.3 -1.o 1.75 0.82

191 0.61 13.6 6.5 -1.o 1.65 0.78

142 0.44 12.3 6.9 -1.o 1.56 0.74

84 0.25 11.0 7.5 -1.o 1.49 0.70

22 0.07 9.8 8.2 -1 .o 1.42 0.87

-39 -0.12 8.8 9.0 -1 .o 1.36 0.65

-90 -0.27 8.3 10.0 -1.o 1.35 0.64

E. CONSTANT-FERTILI'W VARIANT

Populmtlon (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

27 274 13 685 13 808 24.3

29 110 14 574 14 535 25.7

31 379 15 705 15 674 26.9

33 712 16 667 18 845 28.1

2@25 36 036 18 024 18 012 29.2

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

38 350 19 172 19 178 30.0

40 676 20 323 20 353

43 029 27 486 21 544 31.O

45 414 22 664 22 750 31.6

47 818 23 854

30.4

23 964 32.1

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o252o3o 2033-2035 2a35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (par cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW popdatiar) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpoprlation) ..

1.30 22.4 6.1

1.50 22.1 6.1

1.43 21.4 6.1

1.33 20.4 6.1

1.25 19.6 6.3

United Nations Department of Economic and social AfFairs/Population Division Wwfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.18 19.1 6.5

1.13 18.8 8.8

1.08 18.6 7.1

1.03 18.4 7.4

381

PHILIPPINES

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1465

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................. .............. F e ~ l e ............................................. s Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

..

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24...................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

84566 42 587 41 980 101.4

93001 46 821 46 180 101.4

101090 50 866 50 224 101.3

108748 54 679 54 070 101.1

115878 58 215 57 663 101.0

122388 61 430 60 958 100.8

128105 64239 63 867 100.6

132862 66 557 66 305 100.4

136992 68 568 68 424 100.2

12.9 23.2 19.9 6.0 3.8 0.5 14.0 6.8 6.4 11.7 51.3 21.8 282

12.0 22.4 19.7 6.5 4.2 0.5 13.6 6.3 6.2 11.6 51 .8 22.8 310

10.9 21.7 19.1 7.5 4.7 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.0 11.3 52.1 24.1 337

9.9 20.2 18.8 8.6 5.5 0.7 12.1 6.1 6.0 11.1 52.7 25.6 362

9.1 18.7 18.6 9.8 6.5 0.9 11.2 5.7 5.7 11.1 53.1 27.2 386

8.4 17.3 17.7 11.1 7.5 1.1 10.4 5.3 5.3 10.6 52.9 28.9 408

7.7 16.2 16.6 12.6 8.6 1.4 9.7 4.9 5.0 10.0 52.4 30.7 427

7.1 15.1 15.7 14.3 9.9 1.7 9.0 4.6 4.7 9.5 51.6 32.6 443

6.8 14.0 14.9 16.2 11.4 2.1 8.3 4.4 4.4 9.0 50.4 34.5 457

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

PHILIPPINES

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator

. Popuiallon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

1 860 2.09 27.7 4.8 -2.0 3.48 1.63

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

. .... .. .

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 514 1.72 23.9 4.8 .2.0 2.98 1.40

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . -

-P-

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................

84 566 42 587 41 980 21.8

94 076 47 371 46 705 22.5

104 646 52 687 51 960 23.2

116 135 58 463 57 672 23.7

128 462 64 665 63 797 24.0

141 765 71 367 70 398 24.3

156 278 78 694 77 585 24.6

172 177 86 739 85 438 25.0

189 574 95 569 94 005 25.2

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.13 28.1 4.8

2.13 27.8 4.7

2.08 27.1 4.6

2.02 26.3 4.6

1.97 25.7 4.7

1.95 25.5 4.8

1.94 25.4 4.9

1.93 25.2 5.0

1.91 25.0 5.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

208 528 105 209 103 320 25.4

POLAND

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ....................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

24 824 11830 12994 91.0

27 281 13123 14158 92.7

29 638 14338 15300 93.7

31 445 15262 16183 94.3

32 664 15863 16801 94.4

34 015 16549 17467 94.7

35 574 17332 18242 95.0

37 202 18143 19059 95.2

38 1 1 1 18574 19537 95.1

11.9 17.5 19.3 8.2 5.2 0.7 53.8 25.8

12.9 18.0 17.2 8.5 5.5 0.7 50.8 26.1 84

11.8 21.6 14.1 9.4 5.8 0.7 46.5 26.5 92

9.0 22.0 15.3 11.0 6.8 0.8 47.1 27.6 97

7.8 19.2 19.3 12.8 8.2 0.9 50.6 28.2 101

8.4 15.6 20.1 13.8 9.5 1.2 51.7 28.6 105

9.1 15.1 17.2 13.2 10.1 1.5 49.9 29.5 110

9.2 16.3 14.1 13.8 9.4 1.7 48.0 30.8 115

7.7 17.4 13.9 14.9 10.1 2.0 48.1 32.3 l18

77

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................ ................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

38 196 18465 19730 93.6

37 902 18261 19641 93.0

37 580 18064 19515 92.6

37 079 17786 19293 92.2

36 337 17387 18950 91.8

35 353 16866 18487 91.2

34 197 16271 17926 90.8

32 934 15645 17290 90.5

31 616 15012 16603 90.4

4.6 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 6.7 4.0 4.4 10.1 50.3 36.8 118

4.7 9.9 14.0 19.5 13.6 3.4 5.7 3.3 3.7 8.7 48.2 38.3 117

4.7 9.5 11.7 22.7 15.5 3.9 5.7 2.8 3.0 7.3 46.7 39.9 116

4.5 9.6 10.0 25.8 18.5 4.2 5.8 2.9 2.8 6.1 45.4 42.0 115

4.1 9.5 9.7 27.5 21.4 4.2 5.6 2.9 3.0 5.7 43.6 44.2 112

3.8 8.9 9.9 28.6 22.8 5.4 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.0 41 .0 46.5 109

3.7 8.3 9.9 30.5 23.6 7.1 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.0 37.7 48.6 106

3.8 7.9 9.5 33.5 25.3 8.6 4.7 2.5 2.6 5.8 35.1 50.5 102

3.9 7.9 8.9 37.0 27.9 8.9 4.7 2.4 2.5 5.4 33.3 51.7 98

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 five births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .................... ......... Females ...................... ........ . . Both sexes combined ............................

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

POLAND C. HtGHVARlANT Indicator Population(thouunds) Total ....................................................

..................... ............................

ales ................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

38 196

38 271

18 465 19 730

18 451 19 820

38 512 18 543 19 988

38629 18 582 20048

38411 18 453 19 958

37 935 18 193 19 743

37 393 17 913 19 480

36 914 17 689 19 225

36 492 17 517 18 975

36 045 17342 18 702

4.8 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 50.3 36.8

5.7 9.8 13.9 19.3 13.4 3.4 47.8 38.0

8.1 10.2 11.4 22.2 15.1 3.8 45.6 39.2

5.9 11.6 9.6 24.8 17.7 4.0 43.7 40.7

5.3 12.0 10.1 26.0 20.2 4.0 42.3 42.5

4.9 11.4 11.7 28.6 21.3 5.0 40.7 44.3

5.0 10.4 12.2 27.9 21.6 6.5 38.6 45.7

5.5 10.1 11.5 29.9 22.5 7.6 36.8 46.2

5.9 10.7 10.5 32.1 24.2 7.7 35.8 45.5

5.9 11.6 10.2 33.3 26.3 7.5 36.0 44.1

Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of mnnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Net -ration rate (per 1,OOO popiiation) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

15 0.04 11.4 10.0 -1.0 1.48 0.71

48 0.13 12.3 10.4 -0.8 1.65 0.79

23 0.06 12.0 10.7 -0.8 1.Bo 0.87

-

43 -0.11 10.6 11.1 -0.8 1.85 0.89

-95 -0.25 9.8 11.7 -0.8 1.90 0.92

-

-108 -0.29 10.1 12.3 -0.6 1.95 0.94

-96 -0.26 11.0 13.0 -0.6 2.00 0.96

-0.23 11.8 13.4 -0.7 2.05 0.99

89 -0.25 11.7 13.6 -0.7 2.10 1.01

-84

D. LOWVARIANT

Population(thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................ Females ............................................... Aga dlstrlbut)on Percentage aged 0 4

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

36196 18465 19730

37533 18072 19461

36644 17584 19060

35511 16980 18531

34229 16304 17925

32781 15534 17227

31 108 14685 16423

29283 13789 15514

27332 12812 14519

25 324 11 838 13 486

4.8 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 50.3 36.8

3.8 10.0 14.2 19.7 13.7 3.4 48.7 38.6

3.3 8.7 12.0 23.3 15.9 4.0 47.8 40.8

2.9 7.4 10.4 27.0 19.3 4.4 47.3 43.3

2.8 6.5 9.2 29.2 22.7 4.5 45.1 45.9

2.6 6.1 7.9 30.9 24.6 5.8 41.3 48.6

2.5 5.8 7.1 33.6

2.3 5.5 6.7 37.7 20.4 9.8 32.6 53.9

2.2 5.3 6.5 42.8 32.3 10.3 29.5 56.3

2.1 5.0 6.3 47.4 37.4 10.7 27.3 58.5

Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

28.0 7.8 36.5 51.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude binh rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migratim rate (per 1,OW population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n a n ) ..........

-

132 -0.35 7.6 10.1 -1.1 0.98 0.47

-

178 4.48 8.8 10.7 -0.6 0.85 0.41

-227 -0.63 5.8 11.4 -0.7

0.80 0.39

-257 -0.74 5.6 12.2 -0.7 0.85 0.41

-294

-0.88 5.2 13.3 -0.7 0.90 0.43

-331 -1.04 4.9 14.5 -0.8 0.95 0.46

-

-365

-390

-1.21 4.6 15.9 -0.8 1.00 0.48

-1.38 4.3 17.2 -0.8 1.05 0.51

402 -1.53 4.2 18.5 -0.9 1.10 0.53

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon(thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

38 196 18 465 19 730 36.8

37 938 18 280 19 658 38.3

37 602 18 076 19 526 39.9

37 009 17 750 19 259 42.0

36 124 17 278 18 846 44.3

34 978 16 673 18 305 46.8

33 645 15 $80 17 657 49.1

32 163 15 248 16 915 51.2

30 557 14 468 16 089 52.9

28 857 13 651 15 208 54.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

-0.14 9.7 10.0

-0.18 9.4 10.6

-0.32 8.5 11.1

-0.48 7.5 11.7

-0.65 6.7 12.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division Workl Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.78 6.4 13.5

-0.90 8.3 14.6

-1.02 6.1 15.8

-1.15 5.8 16.5

385

PORTUGAL A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)

..

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

8405 4 043 4 362 92.7

8610 4 142 4 468 92.7

8858 4 239 4 619 91.8

8999 4 293 4 706 91.2

8680 4 118 4 563 90.2

9093 4 299 4 795 89.7

9766 4 723 5 043 93.7

l0011 4 831 5 180 93.3

9983 4 813 5 170 93.1

10030 4 834 5 197 93.0

10227 4 936 5 291 93.3

10.5 18.9 18.6 10.5 7.0 1.0 51.0 26.2 91

10.3 18.4 17.9 10.7 7.3 1.1 50.8 27.0 94

10.1 19.0 16.3 11.7 8.0 1.2 48.8 28.0 96

10.6 18.5 16.4 12.4 8.3 1.1 48.3 28.2 98

9.9 18.9 16.6 13.7 9.2 1.2 47.9 28.6 94

9.0 18.9 16.8 14.3 9.9 1.4 47.8 28.7 99

8.6 17.4 17.7 14.6 10.5 1.4 48.5 29.1 106

7.0 16.5 16.9 17.0 12.0 2.0 47.4 31.6 109

5.6 14.8 16.3 18.8 13.4 2.5 48.4 34.2 109

5.4 12.3 16.0 20.4 14.9 3.0 49.5 36.1 109

5.4 10.8 14.5 21.5 16.1 3.2 49.2 37.7 111

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentageaged15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

10528 5 089 5 439 93.6

10725 5 188 5 537 93.7

l0805 5 231 5 574 93.8

10790 5 229 5 562 94.0

10712 5 196 5 516 94.2

10607 5 151 5 457 94.4

10485 5 096 5 389 94.6

10343 5 031 5 312 94.7

10176 4 953 5 224 94.8

9982 4 861 5 121 94.9

5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 6.2 3.1 3.3 7.8 48.3 39.1 114

5.2 10.3 11.1 23.1 17.5 4.3 6.2 3.1 3.1 6.7 46.6 40.5 117

4.9 10.3 10.6 24.5 18.5 4.8 6.2 3.1 3.1 6.4 44.6 42.1 117

4.7 10.1 10.6 26.1 19.8 5.3 6.0 3.1 3.2 6.4 42.8 43.9 117

4.5 9.7 10.6 28.3 21.4 5.7 5.7 3.0 3.1 6.4 40.6 45.8 116

4.4 9.3 10.5 30.4 23.3 6.4 5.5 2.9 3.0 6.4 38.3 47.3 115

4.5 9.0 10.1 32.9 25.2 7.2 5.4 2.8 2.9 6.1 36.6 48.3 114

4.6 9.1 9.7 35.3 27.5 8.1 5.5 2.7 2.8 5.9 35.8 48.8 112

4.7 9.3 9.5 36.7 29.6 9.1 5.6 2.8 2.8 5.7 35.4 48.9 111

4.7 9.6 9.6 36.9 30.7 10.1 5.7 2.9 2.9 5.8 35.3 48.8 109

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) . . ................... Males ........................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined .......................... .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PORTUGAL

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

............................ ..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

10528 5 089 5 439

l0819 5 237 5 583

11038 5 350 5 688

11178 5 428 5 750

11243 5 469 5 774

11285 5 499 5 786

11336 5 534 5 802

11413 5 581 5 832

11507 5 637 5 870

5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 48.3 39.1

6.0 10.2 11.0 22.9 17.3 4.2 46.2 40.2

6.1 11.0 10.4 23.9 18.1 4.7 43.7 41.5

5.9 11.9 10.2 25.2 19.1 5.1 41.4 42.8

5.5 11.8 11.0 26.9 20.4 5.4 39.6 44.1

5.4 17.3 11.9 28.6 21.9 6.0 38.1 45.0

5.7 10.9 11.9 30.4 23.4 6.6 37.2 45.1

6.1 11.1 11.4 32.0 24.9 7.3 37.0 44.3

6.4 11.7 10.9 32.4 26.1 8.1 37.1 43.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

58

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

............

0.55 12.3 10.6 3.7 1.71 0.82

44 0.40 12.4 10.7 2.3 1.88 0.90

28 0.25 11.9 10.7 1.4 2.03 0.97

13 0.12 11.1 10.9 0.9 2.08 1.00

8 0.07 1 1 .0 11.1 0.9 2.13 1.02

10 0.09 11.5 11.5 0.9 2.18 1.05

16 0.14 12.3 11.8 0.9 2.23 1.07

19 0.16 12.9 12.2 0.9 2.28 1.10

17 0.15 13.1 12.4 0.9 2.33 1.12

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.......................... .........................

10528 5089 5 439

10630 5139 5 491

10569 5109 5 460

10395 5025 5 369

10169 4917 5 253

9923 4798 5 124

9649 4666 4 983

9336 4513 4 823

8973 4334 4 639

5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 48.3 39.1

4.3 10.4 11.2 23.3 17.6 4.3 47.0 40.8

3.7 9.7 10.9 25.0 18.9 5.0 45.5 42.8

3.3 8.2 11.0 27.1 20.5 5.5 44.3 45.1

3.3 7.2 10.3 29.8 22.5 6.0 41.7 47.4

3.3 6.8 8.8 32.5 25.0 6.8 38.5 49.5

3.3 6.8 7.8 35.8 27.4 7.8 35.7 51.4

3.3 6.9 7.4 39.1 30.4 8.9 34.0 52.8

3.1 7.0 7.5 41.6 33.5 10.4 32.7 54.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

20 0.19 8.8 10.6 3.8 1.21 0.58

. 12 -0.12 7.4 11.0 2.4 1 .08 0.52

- 45 .0.44 6.5 11.8 1.0 1.08 0.52

- 35 .0.33 6.6 11.3 1.4 1.03 0.49

- 49 .0.49 6.5 12.4 1 .0 1.13 0.54

. 55 -0.56 6.6 13.2 1 .0 1.18 0.57

- 63 .0.66 6.5 14.1 1.1 1.23 0.59

- 73 .0.79 6.1 15.2 1.1 1.28 0.62

. 81 .0.93 5.9 16.3 1.1 1.33 0.64

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) 10528 Total .................................................. Males ................................................... 5089 5 439 Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. 39.1

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.36 10.5 10.6

10721 5186 5 535 40.5

10784 5220 5 564 42.2

10736 5201 5 535 44.1

10615 5146 5 469 46.0

10457 5073 5 383 47.8

10265 4983 5 282 49.2

10035 4872 5 163 50.1

9760 4739 5 021 50.7

0.12 9.7 10.8

.0.09 8.8 11.1

.0.23 8.2 11.4

.0.30 7.9 11.9

.0.37 7.8 12.5

.0.45 7.7 13.2

.0.56 7.5 14.0

.0.66 7.2 14.9

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

PUERTO RICO A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 1&23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Under-fivemortality (per 1.OM) live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) .................... Males ................... ..... Females ...................... . ...................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PUERTO RICO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3 947 1 892 2054

4 093 1 960 2133

4 256 2 039 2218

4 421 2 120 2301

4 569 2 195 2374

4 694 2 261 2433

4 804 2 320 2483

4 917 2 383 2534

5 044 2 455 2589

6.7 15.3 15.5 17.3 12.4 3.0 48.5 33.8

7.4 13.6 14.9 19.0 13.8 3.4 47.2 34.8

7.7 13.3 14.1 20.2 15.1 3.7 45.4 35.6

7.8 14.3 12.5 21.3 16.1 4.1 43.3 36.3

7.4 14.7 12.3 22.4 17.1 4.7 42.3 37.0

7.0 14.5 13.4 23.1 18.1 5.4 41.8 37.7

6.8 13.9 13.9 23.8 18.6 5.9 41.6 38.2

6.9 13.3 13.8 24.5 19.1 6.3 41.4 38.2

7.2 13.2 13.2 25.2 19.7 6.8 40.9 37.8

29 0.73 15.1 7.6 -0.2 2.08 1.00

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

14 0.36 11.5 7.7 -0.3 1.58 0.76

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

3 947 1892 2054 33.8

4 058 1942 2116 35.1

4 162 1990 2172 36.4

4 249 2032 2217 37.8

4 316 2066 2251 39.1

4 361 2090 2271 40.4

4 387 2107 2280 41.7

4 397 2117 2280 42.9

4 394 2122 2272 43.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.56 13.5 7.6

0.50 13.2 8.0

0.42 12.7 8.4

0.31 12.1 8.8

0.21 11.5 9.3

0.12 11.1 9.8

0.05 10.8 10.3

.0.01 10.7 10.7

.0.07 10.5 11.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

4 379 2120 2258 44.3

QATAR

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

796 535 262 204.4

885 586 299 196.0

966 632 334 188.9

1040 671 369 181.8

1 102 702 401 175.1

1 161 730 431 169.2

1215 755 460 164.0

1263 776 487 159.4

1303 792 510 155.2

1333 803 530 151.5

7.9 13.9 13.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 8.5 3.9 3.4 8.6 60.3 31.1 72

7.7 13.7 13.3 3.1 1.7 0.2 8.3 3.9 3.6 8.0 59.7 31.9 80

7.0 13.6 13.4 4.2 2.1 0.2 8.3 3.8 3.7 8.1 58.6 32.8 88

6.5 13.1 13.2 6.4 3.1 0.3 7.9 3.9 3.7 8.0 56.7 33.9 95

6.2 12.3 13.1 8.5 5.1 0.5 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.9 53.8 34.9 100

6.0 11.7 12.8 10.7 6.8 0.6 7.1 3.5 3.5 7.9 51.9 35.9 106

5.7 11.4 11.8 13.9 8.7 1.1 6.8 3.4 3.4 7.1 50.9 37.7 110

5.5 11.0 11.4 17.6 11.4 1.9 6.6 3.3 3.3 6.9 49.8 39.4 115

5.3 10.7 11.2 20.4 14.5 2.5 6.4 3.2 3.2 6.8 48.7 40.8 118

5.0 10.4 11.0 22.5 16.8 3.3 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.7 47.9 41.9 121

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ........................... . . . .......... Both sexes combined ...........................

18 14 2 2.11 16.2 2.4 7.1 2.66 1.27 8 10

16 14 2 5 1.76 14.6 2.5 5.4 2.49 1.19 8 9

15 14 3 4 1.49 13.6 2.7 4.0 2.36 1.13 7 9

12 14 3 2 1.16 12.8 3.1 l .9 2.24 1.08 7 8

12 14 4 2 1 .04 12.3 3.7 1.8 2.14 1.03 7 8

11 14 5 2 0.91 11.8 4.4 1.7 2.06 0.99 6 7

75.2 76.4 75.6

75.9 77.3 76.4

76.6 78.2 77.1

77.2 79.0 77.8

77.8 79.7 78.4

78.3 80.4 79.1

6

10 6 2 0.77 11.3 5.2 1.6 1.98 0.95 6 7

8 14 8 2 0.62 10.7 6.1 1.6 1.91 0.92 6 7

6 14 9 2 0.47 10.3 7.1 1.5 1.86 0.90 5 7

78.9 81.1 79.7

79.4 81.7 80.2

79.9 82.2 80.8

14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

QATAR C. HIOHVARIANT Indicator Populotlon (thousands) Total ....... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlmtrlbutlon percentage aged 0-4............................ percentage aged 5-14 ..........................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 -

796

891 589

963 840 343

1072 087

1149 726 424

1225 763

403

1301 799 502

1374

302

541

1443 864 579

1 507 892 615

8.3 13.6 13.2 3.1 1.7 0.2 59.1 31.7

8.0 14.0 13.2 4.1 2.1 0.2 57.2 32.4

7.6 14.3 12.8 6.2 3.0 0.3 54.4 33.2

7.3 14.0 13.1 8.1 4.8

7.1 13.5 13.5 10.1 6.4 0.6 50.2 34.4

7.0 13.1 12.9 13.0 8.1 1 .o 49.7 35.8

8.9 13.0 12.6 16.2 10.5 1.7 49.0 38.9

6.8 12.9 12.4 18.4 13.1 2.3 48.3 37.8

6.7 12.9 12.3 19.9 14.9 2.9 48.0 38.1

535 262 7.9 13.9

percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 05 w Percentage aged 80 w wer .................. Percantage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ......................

0.1 60.3

384

0.5 51.6 33.8

833

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thamnda). population growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO pcpdation) .... Crude dealh rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan)

..

.

..........

19 2.25 17.7 2.4 7.1 2.91 1.39

18 1.97 16.8 2.4 5.3 2.09 1.39

18 1.73 16.1 2.7 3.9 2.86 1.37

15 1.39 15.2 3.1 1.8 2.74 1.32

15 1.a 14.7 3.5 1.7 2.64 1.27

15 1.19 14.5 4.1 1.6 2.56 1.23

15 1.09 14.3 4.9 1.5 2.48 1.19

14 0.99 14.1 5.6 1.4 2.41 1.16

13 0.87 13.7 6.4 1.4 2.38 1.14

0. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

798 535 262

878 582

949 623

1009

1098 897

326

400

1132 712 420

1158 722

296

1056 878 378

1173

655 354

436

447

1177 723 454

7.9 13.9 13.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 60.3 31.1

7.0 13.8 13.4 3.1 1.8 0.2 60.3 32.0

6.0 13.2 13.6 4.3 2.1 0.2 60.1 33.2

5.3 11.8 13.6 6.6 3.2 0.4 59.1 34.6

5.0 10.4 13.1 8.8 5.3 0.5 56.2 38.0

4.8 9.7 12.0 11.3 7.2 0.7 53.8 37.3

4.4 9.3 10.4 15.0 9.3 1.1 52.2 39.5

4.1 8.9 9.9 19.2 12.4 2.1 50.5 41.8

3.7 8.4 9.7 22.6 16.1 2.8 48.7 43.8

3.4 7.8 9.4 25.5 19.1 3.7 47.0 45.7

Populotlon (thousands) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14, percentage aged 15-24 percentage eged 80 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

720

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO populatbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulatbn) Net migration rate (per 1 .ooO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repduction rate (per m n ) ..........

.. .

16 1.96 14.8 2.3 7.2 2.41 1.15

14 1.55 12.5 2.5 5.5 2.09 1.oo

12 1.23 11.0 2.8 4.1 1.80 0.89

9 0.90 10.3 3.2 1.9 1.74 0.84

8 0.78 9.8 3.8 1.9 1.64 0.79

7 0.63 9.1 4.6 1.8 1.56 0.75

5 0.44 8.3 5.6 1.7 1.48 0.71

3 0.25 7.5 6.7 1.7 1.41 0.68

1 0.07 8.9 7.9 1.7 1.36 0.66

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

796

891 589

984 841

1075

1158

730

302

343

31.7

32.4

33.1

1243 772 471 34.0

1332 815 517 35.1

1423 858 565 35.7

1515 901 614 35.9

1607

689 386

535 282 31.1

428 33.7

944 064 35.7

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-X50

............

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) ..

2.25 17.7 2.4

1.ge 16.9 2.4

1.77 16.5 2.7

1.49 16.1 3.1

1.42 16.1 3.5

United Nations D e p a M ofEconomic and sodal Affairslpopulatirm Mvtsion WorM Population Prasp8ct.s: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables

1.38 16.3 4.1

1.32 16.5 4.7

1.25 16.8 5.4

1.19 18.7 6.1

391

REPUBLIC OF KOREA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ......................... ......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... . ...... Population density (population per sq km)

2M)5

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

47 870 23 940 23 930 100.0

48 673 24 289 24 384 99.6

49 117 24 447 24 670 99.1

49 221 24 426 24 795 98.5

49 019 24 245 24 774 97.9

48 411 23 852 24 558 97.1

47 371 23 234 24 137 96.3

5.1 13.5 14.5 13.7 9.4 1.4 8.1 4.3 4.0 9.0 55.5 35.0 481

4.6 11.3 13.6 16.0 11.3 1.9 6.5 3.9 4.2 8.0 53.1 38.0 489

4.2 9.5 13.1 18.8 13.3 2.7 5.5 3.1 3.6 8.2 50.0 40.8 493

4.0 8.7 11.1 23.1 15.7 3.6 5.2 2.8 2.9 7.0 46.3 43.4 494

4.0 8.3 9.5 27.4 19.6 4.4 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.7 42.2 45.8 492

3.7 8.1 8.9 31.2 23.4 5.3 4.9 2.5 2.5 5.4 39.1 48.1 486

3.4 7.9 8.5 35.2 26.9 6.5 4.7 2.5 2.5 5.1 36.2 50.2 476

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net m~gralionrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-lne mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................. . ........... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

20M)

REPUBLIC OF KOREA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

253 0.52 11.2 5.8 -0.1 1.46 0.69

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. . remales ............................................ Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

68 0.14 7.4 5.9 -0.1 0.96 0.45

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................

47 870 23 940 23930 35.0

48 735 24 321 24414 37.9

49 236 24 509 24727 40.8

49 355 24 496 24858 43.4

49 108 24 292 24816 45.7

48 399 23 847 24552 48.1

47 213 23 153 24060 50.3

45 625 22 254 23372 52.1

43 703 21 194 22508 53.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.36 9.6 5.8

0.21 8.7 6.6

0.05 8.2 7.6

.0.10 7.8 8.6

.0.29 7.0 9.8

Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United

.0.50 6.2 11.1

.0.68 5.8 12.5

.0.86 5.6 14.1

.1.03 5.5 15.7

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ....................... .......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 1E23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

785 384 401 95.6

836 408 428 95.4

883 430 453 95.1

926 451 476 94.8

965 469 497 94.4

999 484 515 94.0

1 026 496 530 93.5

1 047 505 542 93.1

1 062 511 550 92.9

9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 10.4 5.3 5.3 9.8 53.4 29.7 313

8.6 16.9 16.3 11.1 7.6 1.4 10.3 4.8 4.9 9.8 52.2 30.6 333

7.9 16.4 15.4 12.8 8.5 1.6 9.9 5.0 4.7 9.2 49.7 31.8 352

7.5 15.3 15.2 14.8 10.0 1.9 9.1 4.7 4.8 '9.0 47.8 33.1 369

7.2 14.5 15.0 17.9 11.7 2.1 8.7 4.4 4.4 9.1 46.8 34.5 385

6.9 13.9 14.2 20.4 14.4 2.5 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 46.4 35.7 398

6.5 13.4 13.6 21.8 16.5 3.2 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.2 45.8 36.8 409

6.2 12.9 13.3 22.4 17.6 3.9 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.0 44.9 38.0 417

6.0 12.4 13.0 23.3 18.0 5.1 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.8 44.2 39.1 423

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

C. HtQHVARIANT

Indicator POpUhtbll (thOUMnd0) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................

Perceotage aged 1524 Percentage aged 65 i n Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

785

844

1170 586

432

463

523

1071 520 551

544

401

469 494

1019 498

1122

412

903 441

963

384

578

603

1216 589 627

1262 611 651

9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 53.4 29.7

9.4 16.8 16.2 11.0 7.5 1.4 51.8 30.2

9.2 16.9 15.1 12.5 8.3 1.6 48.7 31 .O

8.9 16.8 14.7 14.3 9.6 1.8 48.0 31.8

8.5 16.5 14.9 16.9 11.1 2.0 45.1 32.5

8.2 16.1 15.1 19.0 13.4 2.3 45.2 33.0

8.0 15.5 15.0 19.9 15.1 2.9 45.1 33.4

7.9 15.2 14.7 20.1 15.8 3.5 44.8 33.9

7.9 15.0 14.3 20.4 15.7 4.4 44.5 34.3

7.8 15.0 14.0 20.8 15.8 5.0 44.6 34.7

2005-2010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 M752040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popllationchange per year (huaands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulatkm) Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

12 1.45 19.8 5.3 0.0 2.61 1.28

12 1.36 19.2 5.6 0.0 2.64 1.29

12 1.27 18.7 5.9 0.0 2.65 1.30

11 1.13 17.6 6.3

0.0 2.56 1.25

11 1.01 16.9 6.9 ' 0.0 2.48 1.22

10

10

0.92

0.84 16.3 7.9 0.0 2.36 1.16

9 0.79 16.3 8.4 0.0 2.35 1.15

9 0.73 16.1 8.7 0.0 2.35 1.16

16.5 7.4 0.0 2.41 1.18

2040

2045

2050 9w 431 472

D. LOW VARIANT

Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................... Ago dlmlbullon Percentage aged W ....... m e n t a g e aged 514 .. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

785

829 404

883

934 450

424

443

912 442 470

448

401

890 432 458

927

384

479

9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 53.4 29.7

7.7 17.1 16.5 11.2 7.6 1.4 52.7 30.9

6.7 15.9 15.8 13.1 8.7 1.6 50.9 32.6

6.0 13.7 15.9 15.4 10.4 1.9 49.7 34.5

5.7 12.2 15.0 18.9 12.4 2.2 48.6 36.5

5.4 11.4 13.1 22.0 15.5 2.7 47.7 38.4

420

932

921

485

447 485

440 480

5.0 11.0 11.9 23.9 18.1 3.5 46.4 40.2

4.5 10.4 11.3 25.2 19.8 4.4 44.8 42.1

4.2 9.6 11.1 26.9 20.7 5.8 43.3

44.0

4.0 8.8 10.7 29.0 22.1 7.0 41.7 46.0

20052010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

popllation change per year (thousands) . popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 1.08 16.1 5.3 0.0 2.1 1 1.03

7 0.81 13.6 5.7 0.0 1.84 0.90

5 0.61 12.4 6.2 0.0 1.65 0.81

4 0.49 11.7 6.9 0.0 1.56 0.76

3 0.34 11.0 7.7 0.0 1.48 0.73

1 0.15 10.1 8.6 0.0 1.41 0.69

- 1 -0.08 9.0 9.6 0.0 1.36 0.67

- 2 -0.24 8.3 10.7 0.0 1.35 0.66

- 3 -0.38 7.9 11.7 0.0 1.35

0.66

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1189 575 614 34.8

1 233 597

~~

Population(thou~ndo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median.age (years) .................................

785

840

384

410

401 29.7

430 30.5

893 435 458 31.4

946 461 485 32.4

998 485 513 33.3

1049 509 540 33.9

1097

1144

532

554

588 34.3

590 34.6

636 34.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate @er 1,WOpopulation) ..

1.34 18.7 5.3

1.23 18.0 5.6

1.15 17.5 6.0

1.07 17.2 6.5

0.99 16.9 7.0

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.91 16.6 7.5

0.83 16.4 8.1

0.77 16.3 8.6

0.73 16.2 8.9

395

ROMANIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribullon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or wer .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensity (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortal~ty rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fie mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

..........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

ROMANIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

.................. .................. .........

Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

21 628 10536 11091

21 346 10378 10967

21 082 10239 10843

20 868 10132 10736

20 556 9979 105T7

20 21 1 9811 10399

19 892 9658 10234

19 608 9524 10084

19 329 9402 9927

4.9 10.7 15.3 19.3 14.8 2.4 50.5 36.7

5.7 10.2 13.4 20.1 14.7 3.0 48.4 38.2

5.9 10.7 10.7 21.7 15.4 3.5 47.5 39.7

5.7 11.7 10.2 23.2 16.9 3.9 44.4 41.3

5.2 11.7 10.8 23.3 18.3 3.7 42.5 42.8

5.1 11.1 11.9 25.7 18.4 4.2 40.3 44.1

5.4 10.5 11.9 27.7 20.5 5.1 39.0 45.5

5.8 10.7 11.2 30.1 22.2 5.7 36.5 45.3

5.9 11.4 10.6 31.2 24.4 5.5 36.4 44.4

. 56 -0.26 11.6 12.4 .1.9 1.55 0.73

. 53 ~0.25 11.9 12.5 .1.9 1.72 0.82

.

D LOW VARIANT

PopulaUon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Popuiationchangeperyear(thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

-136

-167

-0.64

-0.82

8.0 12.5 .1.9 1.05 0.50

6.7 12.9 -1 .9 0.92 0.44

-167 -0.85 5.8 13.3 -1.0 0.87 0.42

-172 .0.91 5.6 13.7 -1 .1 0.92 0.44

-180 .1.00 5.4 14.3 .?.l 0.97 0.46

-191 .1.12 5.2 15.2 .1.2 1.02 0.49

-205 .1.28 4.9 16.4 .1.2 1.07 0.51

-218 .1.45 4.5 17.7 .1.3 1.12 0.54

-227 -1.63 4.3 19.2 .1.4 1.17 0.56

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .................... ....................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

21628 10 536 11M)l 36.7

21139 10 272 10867 38.5

20554 9 968 10587 40.4

19963 9 667 10297 42.6

19290 9 328 9962 44.9

18555 8 960 9596 46.9

17755 8 558 9197 49.0

16882 8 121 8761 51.2

15944 7 660 8284 52.8

-0.46

-0.56

.0.58 8.1 12.9

.0.69 7.3 13.2

.0.78 6.9 13.6

.0.88 6.6 14.3

.1.01 6.3 15.3

.1.14 6.0 16.2

.1.29 5.6 17.3

9.7 12.4

9.0 12.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

RUSSIAN FEDERATION

.

A ESTIMATES indicator 1950 Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... 102702 Males .............................................. 44 078 Females ............................................... 58 624 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 75.2 Age dlstribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ 9.8 Percentage aged 5-14........................... 19.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 21 1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 55.3 25.0 Median age (years) ................................. 6 Population density (population per sq km)

.

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

111402 48 826 62 576 78.0

119906 53 472 66 434 80.5

126749 57 261 69 488 82.4

130392 59 368 71 024 83.6

134233 61 362 72 870 84.2

138655 63 888 74 768 85.4

143469 66 597 76 872 86.8

148615 69 656 78 959 88.2

149124 70 010 79 114 88.5

147423 68 948 78 475 87.9

11.3 15.6 19.8 9.1 6.3 10 55.0 26.5 7

11.2 18.7 16.2 9.3 6.3 l0 50.2 27.4 7

9.6 20.3 13.5 10.4 6.6 11 47.4 28.5 7

7.2 19.4 16.9 11.9 7.7 1.2 49.5 30.6 8

7.5 15.8 18.7 13.6 8.9 1.2 50.9 30.8 8

7.7 13.9 17.7 13.5 10.2 1.4 49.1 31.3 8

8.1 14.5 14.7 13.8 9.7 1.5 47.9 32.1 8

7.7 15.2 13.4 15.9 10.0 1.8 45.8 33.2 9

5.4 16.0 14.3 16.5 11.8 2.1 48.7 34.9 9

4.4 13.7 15.9 18.3 12.3 1.8 50.9 36.5 9

.

.

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

..

...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 143953 Mafes .......................... . ................... 66814 Females .......................................... 77 139 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 86.6 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 4.9 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 10.2 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 17.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 17.1 13.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 2.1 5.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 3.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 4.9 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 10.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 51.7 Median age (years) ................................. 37.3 8 Population density (population per sq km)

...........

140318 64 688 75 630 85.5

136479 62 474 74 005 84.4

132407 60 276 72 131 83.6

128193 58 116 70 077 82.9

123915 56 012 67 903 82.5

119777 54 097 65 680 82.4

115782 52 383 63 399 82.6

111810 50 778 61 032 83.2

5.3 9.7 14.4 17.7 12.6 2.8 5.8 2.8 3.2 9.4 49.2 37.9 8

5.3 10.6 10.7 19.5 13.1 2.8 6.5 3.0 2.8 6.5 46.4 38.8 8

4.9 11.0 10.2 21.9 14.8 3.4 6.6 3.4 3.3 6.0 45.6 40.0 8

4.5 10.6 11.3 23.8 17.1 2.8 6.3 3.4 3.5 6.8 44.7 41.9 8

4.3 9.9 11.8 24.6 18.9 3.4 5.8 3.2 3.4 7.2 43.3 43.8 7

4.5 9.3 11.4 25.7 19.4 4.4 5.4 2.9 3.2 7.0 40.4 45.6 7

4.8 9.3 10.6 27.3 20.2 5.4 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.5 37.2 46.1 7

4.9 9.8 10.0 29.8 21.5 5.9 5.9 2.9 2.9 6.0 36.5 45.5 7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

RUSSIAN FEDERATION

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

. . 447

.354

. 385

. 477

. 453

. 304

. 158

. 106

. 114

-0.25 13.4 16.2 0.4 l .76 0.83

-0.28 12.6 15.8 0.4 1.91 0.90

.0.35 11.2 15.1 0.4 l .96 0.93

.0.34 11.2 14.9 0.4 2.01 0.95

.0.23 12.3 15.0 0.4 2.06 0.98

.0.12 13.5 15.1 0.4 2.11 1 .00

-0.08 13.9 15.1 0.4 2.16 1.03

.0.09 13.5 14.7 0.4 2.21 1.05

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

-0.31 12.6 16.1 0.4 1.59 0.75

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... ......................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

. .

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

-1007 -0.71 8.7 16.2 0.4 1.09 0.51

.... ..

.

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

143953 66 814 77 139 37.3

140100 64 576 75 524 38.0

135815 62 133 73 682 38.9

130994 59 550 71 444 40.4

125984 56 982 69 002 42.3

120907 54 468 66 439 44.4

115740 52 025 63 715 46.5

110330 49 585 60 745 47.9

104655 47 108 57 548 48.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.54 10.4 16.2

.0.62 9.9 16.5

.0.72 8.7 16.3

.0.78 7.8 16.0

.0.82 7.5 16.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.87 7.5 16.6

.0.96 7.4 17.4

l 7.0 18.0

.1.14 6.6 18.5

98861 44 607 54 254 48.6

RWAMDA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populai~on(thousands) Total idales Females Sex ratio (males per l00 females) Age dlstr~butlon Percentage aged G 4 Percentage aged 5 14 Percenlage aged 15 24 Pr-cenrage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Fercenlage aged 80 or over percerlage of womer aged 15-49 Medlan age (years) Populatton denslty (populal~onper sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) Blnhs per year (thousands) .............. Deaths per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . Population growlh rate (per cenl) . . . . . . . . Crude b~rlhrate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertllty (children per woman) ......... Net leproductlon rate (per woman) ......... Ir?!ant morlallfy rate (per 1.000 llve birlhs) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................. Females .......................................

--

"-.L .* ---L --A Y Y L l I Dt-ICD bUIIIUII IGU

........................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Males . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Females . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sex ratici lnlales per 100 females) ......... Age diskibulion Percen:age aged 0-4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage aged 5-14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percenlage aged 15-24 ................... Percenlage aged 60 or over .............. Persen:age aged 65 or over ................. Perccmage aged 80 or over . . . . . . . . . . . Percemage in school ages 6-11 ............ F':,-.centage In school ages 12-14 . . . . . . iclcsnlage In school ages 15-17 . . . . . . . Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Pcrcenlage of women aged 15-49 ........ M ~ c i i a nsge (years) ........................ ?opulatlon density (population per sq km)

Fopulatlon change per year (thousands). Blrths per year (thousands) ................... Deaths per year (thousands) ............... Net rnlgrzllon per year (thousands) ......... Popu lat~angrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude btnh rate (per 1.000 population) .... C r u d s dezth rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgraton rate (per 1,000 population) Total ferttity (cl~lldrenper woman) ........... Net repra~uct~on rate (per woman) ........ Infant rncflality rale (per 1.000 live births) Unde r-five mortality (per 1,000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) M a l e s ......................................... Female. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B o t h sexes comb~ned.......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

RWANDA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2050

2045

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................ Females ........................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ............... Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popuiat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populat~on). Total ferl~llty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

289 2.91 46.2 17.4 0.3 6.17 2.1 1

340 2.95 45.6 16.1 0.0 5.79 2.07

360 2.72 41.4 14.3 0.0 5.31 1.97

345 2.30 35.4 12.5 0.0 4.72 1.82

342 2.04 31.6 11.2 0.0 4.19 1.67

368 1.99 30.3 10.4 0.0 3.79 1.55

408 1.99 29.8 9.9 0.0 3.48 1.46

431 1.91 28.5 9.4 0.0 3.25 1.39

427 1 73 26.1 8.9 00 3.07 1.34

.

D. LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage agad 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ............... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Median age (years) .............................

Population change per year (thousands) Populat~orlgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per vrornan) ......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

257 2.61 42.8 17.0 0.3 5.67 1.94

279 2.49 40.4 15.5 0.0 4.99 1.78

273 2.17 35.4 13.7 0.0 4.31 1.60

250 1.80 30.1 12.1 0.0 3.72 1.43

230 1.52 26.2 11.0 0.0 3.19 1.27

222 1.37 24.0 10.4 0.0 2.79 1.14

215 1.24 22.4 10.0 0.0 2.48 1.04

198 1.08 20.5 9.7 0.0 2.25 0.96

168 0.87 18.2 9.5 0.0 2.07 0.90

2040

2045

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2050

.

Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ....................................... Females .................................... Med~anage (years) ..........................

Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

9234 4447 4 787 17.4

10631 5142 5 489 18.1

12373 6005 6 368 17.8

14407 7010 7 397 17.2

16696 8140 8 556 17.2

19309 9429 9 880 17.5

22404 10957 11 447 17.9

26159 12813 13 347 18.0

30708 15061 15 648 17.8

2.82 45.1 17.3

3.04 46.5 16.2

3.04 45.0 14.7

2.95 42.6 13.1

2.91 40.9 11.9

2.97 40.6 11.0

3.10 41.1 10.2

3.21 41.4 9.4

3.25 41.1 8.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

36133 17741 18 392 17.6

SAINT LUClA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

83 41 42 97.2

87 43 43 100.0

90 43 47 92.5

96 46 50 92.4

104 50 54 92.6

110 53 57 93.9

118 58 60 95.7

127 62 65 96.2

138 68 70 96.7

146 72 74 96.6

153 75 78 96.8

14.2 24.9 19.6 5.8 3.8 0.8 49.1 20.7 154

15.0 25.4 19.1 4.8 3.4 0.7 48.0 20.1 161

18.0 26.7 17.6 6.7 4.3 0.6 43.7 17.7 167

18.2 29.2 17.1 6.9 4.5 0.6 41.3 16.4 179

18.5 31.6 16.5 7.0 4.6 0.6 38.7 15.0 193

15.8 30.8 19.0 7.4 4.9 0.6 41.4 16.5 204

14.1 29.7 21.3 7.7 5.1 0.6 43.5 17.5 219

13.1 27.6 21.2 8.0 5.5 0.7 46.2 18.9 235

12.5 24.2 19.9 9.6 7.1 1.3 47.1 21.5 255

11.3 23.4 19.8 9.5 7.1 1.4 49.3 22.5 271

9.3 21.5 19.6 10.0 7.2 1.7 52.7 24.7 283

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

.... ...........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .......................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)

...........

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.........

..

2 3 1 0 1.12 19.1 6.6 .1.2 2.18 1.04 13 16

2 3 1 0 1.05 18.0 6.4 .1.1 2.09 1 00 11 14

2 3 1 0 0.91 16.4 6.3 -1.1 2.01 0.97 10 13

1 3 1 0 0.75 14.9 6.4 -1.0 1.94 0.94 9 11

1 3 1 0 0.61 13.8 6.7 .1.0 1.88 0.91 8 10

1 3 1 0 0.52 13.2 7.1 -1 0 1.85 0.90 8 9

1 3 2 0 0.43 12.9 7.7 -1 0 1 85 0.90 7 9

1 3 2 0 0.32 12.5 8.3 .0.9 1.85 0.90 7 8

0 3 2 0 0.19 11.9 9.0 -0.9 1.85 0.90 6 8

71.9 75.6 73.7

72.8 76.7 74.7

73.6 77.6 75.6

74.4 78.4 76.5

75.1 79.2 77.2

75.8 79.9 78.0

76.5 80.6 78.6

77.1 81.2 79.3

77.7 81.8 79.8

.

.

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SAINT LUClA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

161 79 82

1 72

1 84

85 88

91 94

196 96 100

207 1 02 106

218 107 ill

228 112 116

239 117 122

249 122 127

259 127 132

9.1 18.8 20.3 9.7 7.2 1 .9 55.0 26.1

10.1 16.7 18.8 9.8 7.0 l .6 54.8 27.4

10.0 17.3 16.2 10.3 7.1 1.6 52.4 28.7

9.5 18.2 14.5 11.4 7.7 1.7 50.3 30.0

8.6 17.9 15.2 13.1 8.7 1.7 49.5 31.1

8.2 16.8 16.3 14.6 10.2 l .9 49.2 31.9

8.1 15.6 16.1 16.0 11.5 2.2 47.7 32.3

8.2 15.2 15.1 17.3 12.6 2.7 46.0 32.8

8.1 15.3 14.2 19.1 13.6 3.3 44.8 33.6

7.9 15.4 13.9 20.6 15.2 3.8 44.7 34.4

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 1.33 21.1 6.6 .1.2 2.43 1 .16

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1, 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.91 17.0 6.6 .1.2 1.93 0.93

1 0.72 14.8 6.5 .1.2 1.69 0.81

1 0.52 12.8 6.5 .1.1 1.51 0.73

1 0.38 11.6 6.7 .1.1 1.44 0.70

0 0.23 10.5 7.1 .1.t

1.38 0.67

0 0.08 9.7 7.8 -1 .1 1.35 0.65

0 .0.07 9.0 8.6 .1.1 1.35 0.66

0 .0.23 8.3 9.5 .l.l 1.35 0.66

.1 .0.40 7.7 10.6 .1.1 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Females ............................................. Median age (years) ...................... .........

161 79 82 26.1

171 84 87 27.6

181 89 92 29.2

191 94 97 30.8

200 98 1 02 32.3

209 102 107 33.5

218 107 111 34.1

226 110 115 34.8

233 114 119 35.5

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1 .16 19.5 6.6

1.15 19.0 6.4

1.06 17.9 6.2

0.96 16.9 6.3

0.87 16.2 6.5

0.80 15.8 6.8

0.73 15.5 7.3

0.65 15.1 7.8

0.57 14.8 8.3

Populatlon (thousands) Total ...................................

...............

Males ...................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............. .... ..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

119 59

124 62 62 99.6

125 63 63 99.5

125 63 99.3

124 61 62 98.9

121

99.4

122 61 61 99.5

61 98.4

118 58 59 97.6

113 55 57 96.8

106 52 54 95.8

9.9 19.4 21.6 8.9 6.5 1.1 11.4 6.2 6.7 12.9 55.2 24.5 307

9.6 18.0 19.3 9.3 6.5 1.2 10.9 5.1 5.4 11.9 55.8 26.6 315

8.9 17.9 16.2 9.7 7.0 1.2 10.9 5.2 4.7 9.7 53.6 28.8 321

8.0 17.2 15.1 11.1 7.4 1.3 10.4 5.2 5.0 8.7 52.5 31.2 323

7.1 15.9 15.4 14.2 8.7 1.4 9.5 4.9 4.9 9.2 51.6 33.7 323

6.5 14.3 15.0 16.9 11.6 1.7 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.0 49.5 36.1 319

6.2 13.1 13.9 19.7 14.0 1.9 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.4 46.3 38.2 312

6.0 12.4 12.6 23.4 16.4 2.5 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.6 42.6 40.1 303

5.7 12.0 11.5 27.4 19.7 3.9 7.2 3.6 3.5 6.8 40.1 42.2 290

5.3 11.6 10.9 31.4 23.3 4.8 7.0 3.5 3.4 6.4 38.8 44.4 274

60

62

W

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................. .............. Both sexes combined ...........................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 0.72 22.2 6.8 4.2 2.44 1.16

..

1 0.69 21.6 6.7 4.0 2.50 1.20

1 0.54 19.8 6.6 .7.7 2.52 1.21

0 0.32 17.6 6.8 .7.6 2.45 1.18

0 0.18 16.5 7.2 .7.5 2.38 1.15

0 0.10 16.3 7.9 -7.4 2.35 1.14

0 0.02 16.4 8.8 .7.4 2.35 1.14

.1 .0.95 9.1 9.5 .9.1 1.35 0.65

1 .1.27 8.1 11.1 .9.6 1.35 0.65

0 .0.13 15.9 9.8 .7.4 2.35 1.14

0 .0.31 15.2 10.8 .7.5 2.35 1.14

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 0.28 17.9 6.8 4.3 1.94 0.93

.l e0.45 11.4 7.4 .8.5 1.45 0.70

0 .0.24 12.9 7.0 4.3 1.52 0.73

0 0.02 15.3 6.8 4.3 1.70 0.82

.l .0.68 10.1 8.3 4.7 1.38 0.67

.

.2 .1.66 7.0 13.3 .10.3 1.35 0.65

.2 .2.13 6.0 16.0 .11.3 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years.) .................................

p p

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)

..

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

123 61 62 26.5

126 63 63 28.5

128 64 64 30.6

130 65 65 32.4

1 30 65 65 33.9

130 65 66 34.8

129 64 65 35.9

127 63 64 37.1

124 61 63 38.3

0.38 18.3 6.7

0.22 16.9 7.0

0.09 16.1 7.4

.0.02 15.6 8.2

.0.16 15.2 9.1

.0.33 14.8 10 3

.0.51 14.3 11.4

119 59 60 24.5

p p

0.59 21.0 6.8

pP

P

.

0.52 20.0 6.7

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SAMOA A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950 Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 fmales) A ~ dlrMbutlon D Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentageaged 65 or OYBT .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage d ma@ 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. population density (populationper sq km)

1855

1960

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1895

2COO

m

161

177 92 05 108.5 15.5 25.4 18.4 6.5 4.4 0.6 46.8 19.6 63

a2 42 40 106.5

48 46 104.4

110 56 54 102.9

127 64 63 102.2

142 72 70 101.9

150 76 74 103.3

155 79 76 105.1

157 81 75 107.9

77 110.6

168 88 81 108.7

18.1 28.8 18.9 4.0 2.3 0.4 46.8 16.6 29

20.5 27.5 19.4 3.1 2.1 0.2 45.1 15.9 33

19.9 28.8 20.0 2.9 1.7 0.2 44.3 15.6 38

19.5 30.2 19.1 2.8 1.6 0.2 43.0 15.1

17.5 30.2 20.6 2.8 1.6 0.2 44.9 15.8 50

16.1 29.2 22.8 3.2 1.8 0.2 46.5 16.9 53

15.0 26.8 24.0 3.5 2.1 0.2 49.3 18.2 55

16.0 24.2 23.4 4.1 2.5 0.2 50.4 19.2 55

14.4 28.4 22.6 6.0 3.9 0.4 46.6 18.5 57

14.5 24.8 21.3 6.3 4.2 0.5 46.4 19.9 59

1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005

1850-1955 1955-1960 1-1965 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ooO pqulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction ram (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i Mrlhe) Lifs 0cy Mrth 1-( Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem comMned ............................

..

45

85

2 4 2 2.74 50.9 17.7 7.30 2.66 107

3 5 2 3.10 48.7 15.2 7.30 2.76 97

3 6 2 2.88 47.2 13.1 7.30 2.86 87

3 6 1 2.29 41.6 11.0 6.50 2.63 78

2 6 1 1.10 37.7 9.4 5.70 2.37 68

1 5 1 0.61 34.8 6.3 4.89 2.09 60

43.0 48.6 45.9

45.5 52.1 48.5

48.0 54.6 51.1

50.5 57.1 53.6

53.0 58.6 56.1

0 6

1

1

2 6

1 0.25 36.9 7.6 4.05 2.12 52

6 1 0.55 37.6 6.8 4.82 2.15 44

5 1 0.84 31.1 6.9 4.70 2.11 36

1.07 33.1 6.2 4.66 2.13 30

55.5 62.1 58.7

58.0 64.6 81.2

60.5 67.1 63.7

63.1 69.7 66.0

65.4 71.9 68.4

1

1 5 1 0.71 29.4 5.7 4.42 2.03 26

67.1 73.5 70.0

.

6 MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................. Sex ralb (males per 1 ........... Age dlrMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or over ............ Percentage in school eges 5 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in Percentage in Percentage of ..... Median age (ye ..... Populationdenstty (populationper sq km)

2050

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

.

184

192 100 92 108.3

198 103 108.1

204 106 98 108.0

21 1 109 101 107.7

217 112 105 107.4

221 114 107 107.0

222 114 1 07 106.5

219 113 107 106.0

21 5 110 105 105.5

11.7 26.6 20.1 6.6 4.7 0.9 16.0 8.0 7.0 11.6 48.0 20.3 68

10.5 23.3 22.1 7.2 4.8 1 .0 13.7 7.5 7.7 12.7 50.4 21.9 70

10.1 20.3 22.3 8.4 5.3 1.1 12.0 6.3 6.7 13.5 51.5 23.8 72

10.2 18.9 19.4 10.3 6.4 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.7 11.7 50.8 25.8 74

10.0 18.7 16.6 12.2 8.0 1.2 11.4 5.3 5.1 9.9 50.3 27.8 77

9.2 18.8 15.5 13.9 9.7 1.5 11.5 5.4 5.1 9.0 50.3 29.8 78

7.9 18.2 15.8 14.6 11.2 2.0 10.9 5.6 5.3 9.2 49.9 31.6 78

6.8 16.5 16.5 15.4 11.8 2.8 9.7 5.3 5.4 9.7 49.4 33.6 78

6.4 14.4 16.3 17.4 12.4 3.6 8.4 4.7 5.0 9.8 47.2 35.6 76

98 88 108.5 13.9 26.9 18.3 6.5

4.8 0.8 16.7 7.1 6.7 10.2 46.5 19.3 65

85

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousad) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlalkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Ne! reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i births) Under-h mortality (per 1 OOO l i births) Ltfe expectancy at blrlh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

.

406

2 5 1 - 2 0.87 24.7 5.4 -10.6 3.93 1.82 22 27

1 4 1 - 2 0.65 21.9 5.2 -10.2 3.50

20 23

1 4 1 - 2 0.59 21.1 5.2 -9.9 3.15 1.47 17 20

68.5 74.9 71.5

69.8 76.0 72.7

71.0 77.0 73.7

1.63

21.2 5.4 -9.6 2.88 1.35 15 18

1 4 1 - 2 0.59 20.8 5.6 -9.4 2.67 I .25 14 16

1 4 1 - 2 0.38 18.9 6.0 -9.1 2.50 1.18 12 14

0 4 1 - 2 0.07 16.1 6.4 -9.0 2.36 1.11 11 13

0 3 2 - 2 -0.22 13.9 7.0 -9.1 2.25 1.06 10 11

- 1 3 2 - 2 -0.41 12.9 7.7 -9.2 2.15 1.02 10 11

72.0 77.9 74.7

72.9 78.7 75.5

73.7 79.5 76.3

74.5 80.2 77.1

75.2 80.8 77.8

75.8 81.4 78.4

1 4 1 - 2 0.62

United Nations Department of Economicand Social AffiiWopulation Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SAMOA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

184 96 88

193 101 93

202 105 97

212 110 102

223 116 108

235 121 113

244 126 118

250 129 121

254 131 123

13.9 26.9 18.3 6.5 4.6 0.8 46.5 19.3

12.4 26.4 19.9 6.6 4.6 0.9 47.6 20.1

11.6 43.6 21.7 7.0 4.7 1.0 49.3 21.4

11.6 21.5 21.4 8. 1 5.1 1.0 49.5 22.8

11.7 20.8 18.9 9.7 6.0 1.1 48.6 24.3

11.3 20.9 17.2 11.3 7.4 1.1 48.3 25.4

10.3 21.0 16.8 12.6 8.8 1.4 49.0 26.4

9.2 20.1 17.5 13.0 10.0 1.8 49.4 27.6

8.6 18.3 17.9 13.3 10.2 2.4 49.6 28.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1,000 population) . Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 1.02 26.2 5.4 -10.6 4.18 1.94

2 0.91 24.3 5.2 -10.1 3.90 1.82

2 1.01 24.5 5.2 -9.2 3.38 1.58

2 0.96 21.4 5.1 -9.6 3.65 1.71

2 0.97 23.7 5.3 -8.7 3.17 1.49

2 0.76 21.4 5.5 -8.4 3.00 1.41

1 0.50 19.0 5.9 -8.1 2.86 1.35

1 0.34 17.6 6.3 -7.9 2.75 1.30

1 0.28 17.3 6.7 -7.8 2.65 1.25

0 .0.02 16.2 6.4 -10.0 2.00 0.94

.1 .0.38 13.4 7.1 -10.1 1.86 0.88

.1 .0.77 10.7 8.0 -10.4 1.75 0.82

.2 .1.10 8.9 9.0 -10.9 1.65 0.78

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 0.71 23.1 5.3 -10.7 3.68 1.71

1 0.39 19.4 5.2 -10.4 3.10 1.44

0 0.13 17.8 5.3 -10.2 2.65 1.24

0 0.22 17.8 5.5 -10.1 2.38 1.11

0 0.17 17.7 5.9 -10.0 2.17 1.02

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

184 96 88 19.3

195 101 94 19.9

208 108 100 20.'7

224 116 107 21.6

243 126 117 21.9

264

287 148 138 21.6

31 1 161 150 21.6

338 174 164 22.0

369

137 127 21.8

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.19 27.8 5.4

1.26 27.7 5.2

1.M 28.8 5.0

1.64 30.0 5.0

1.69 29.8 4.9

1.65 28.7 5.0

1.62 27.9 5.0

1.66 27.8 5.1

1.78 28.4 5.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslP'opulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

191 179 22.3

SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

60 33 27 124.9

59 33 26 124.9

64 36 29 125.4

16.3 16.7 18.2 5.8 4.0 0.7 49.9 24.5

16.3 16.7 18.2 5.8 4.0 0.7 50.0 24.5 61

16.2 16.6 18.3 5.8 4.0 0.7 49.9 24.8 67

62

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................. ......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-i4.......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

153 76 77 98.2

165 82 83 98.1

180 89 91 98.2

197 98 100 98.4

21 6 107 109 98.6

234 116 118 98.7

251 125 126 98.8

268 133 135 98.8

282 140 142 98.8

296 147 149 98.7

15.2 26.4 22.8 5.8 4.4 0.6 16.1 7.4 6.8 13.7 48.5 18.7 158

14.2 26.1 21.1 5.3 3.9 0.6 15.9 7.4 7.0 12.2 49.2 19.3 172

13.0 25.1 21.3 5.3 3.5 0.6 15.2 7.3 6.9 12.5 50.8 20.3 187

12.0 23.2 21.3 5.7 3.6 0.7 13.9 6.9 6.8 12.6 53.2 21.9 205

11.2 21.4 20.5 6.2 4.0 0.5 12.9 6.3 6.3 12.3 55.0 23.5 224

10.5 20.1 19.2 6.7 4.5 0.5 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.5 54.8 25.1 242

9.7 19.1 18.0 7.4 5.0 0.6 11.5 5.6 5.5 10.7 53.7 26.8 261

8.9 18.0 17.3 9.2 5.5 0.8 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.3 53.3 28.5 277

8.3 16.9 16.7 11.5 7.1 1 .0 10.1 5.1 5.1 10.0 52.5 30.2 293

7.7 15.8 16.1 13.3 9.1 1.1 9.4 4.8 4.8 9.6 51.3 31.9 307

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . . ................. Males ........................ Females ................................ .. ......... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

SAO TOME AND PR~NCIPE C. HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Tolal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

153 76 77

167 83 84

184 91 93

206 102 104

228 113 115

251 125 126

275 137 138

299 149 150

323 161 162

15.2 26.4 22.6 5.8 4.4 0.6 48.5 18.7

15.0 25.9 20.9 5.2 3.8 0.6 48.8 19.1

14.2 25.3 20.8 5. l 3.4 0.6 49.6 19.7

13.3 24.3 20.4 5.4 3.4 0.6 51.2 20.8

12.5 23.1 20.1 5.8 3.8 0.5 52.8 22.0

11.8 21.9 19.5 6.2 4.2 0.5 52.7 23.3

11.2 20.9 18.8 6.7 4.5 0.6 52.0 24.5

10.6 20.0 18.1 8.2 50 0.7 51.8 25.8

10.1 19.2 17.5 10.1 6.2 0.9 51.3 27.0

Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 1.79 34.3 7.7 -8.8 4.10 1.80

3 1.96 32.3 7.0 -5.7 3.83 1.70

4 2.20 30.3 6.3 -2.1 3.60 1.61

4 2.06 28.1 5.7 -1.8 3.34 1.51

5 1.94 26.3 5.3 -1.7 3.14 1.44

5 1.82 24.8 5.1 -1.5 2.98 1.37

5 1.68 23.3 5.1 -1.4 2.84 1.32

5

l .54 21.9 5.2 -1.3 2.73 1.27

5 1.41 20.7 5.4 -1.2 2.63 1.24

1 0.60 13.5 5.9 -1.7 1.73 0.81

0.41 12.2 6.5 -1.6 1.63 0.77

366 183 183 21.0

418 209 209 21.2

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 1.42 30.4 7.4 -8.8 3.60 1.58

2 1.39 26.4 6.7 -5.9 3.03 1.34

3 1.52 23.4 6.0 -2.2 2.60 1.17

3 1.41 21.6 5.5 -2.0 2.34 1.06

3 1.26 19.8 5.3 -l .9 2.14 0.98

2 1.05 17.6 5.3 -1.8 1.98 0.91

2 0.81 15.4 5.5 -1.7 1 84 0.85

1

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

153 76 77 18.7

168 83 85 18.9

189 94 95 19.2

216 107 108 19.6

246 122 124 19.9

281 140 141 20.4

32 1 160 161 20.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.95 36.0 7.8

2.29 35.7 7.2

2.66 35.0 6.5

2.66 34.2 5.9

2.65 33.4 5.4

United Nations Department of Economic ;and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.65 33.0 5.2

2.65 32.6 5.0

2 64 32.3 4.9

2.63 32.0 4.9

477 238 238 21.3

SAUDI ARABIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total ........................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratto (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ....................... Percentage aged 5-14 ................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Med~anage (years) .............................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Populallon change per year (thousands) Blrths per year (thousands)................ Deaths per year (thousands) ................ Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ........ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ........................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................ Females ...................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ................ Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 ......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 ........ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ....... Median age (years) ........................... Populat~on dens~ty(population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Z!035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatior,change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands).................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................. Net migration per year (thousands) ....... Population growth rate (per cent) .......... Crude btrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fenil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ....... Net reproduction rate (per woman) . . . . . . . Infant mortaltty rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 ltve blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .........................

561 622 92 30 2.24 24.9 3.7 1.2 3.35 1.61 19 22

570 641 101 30 2 05 23.0 3.6 11 2.98 1.43 16 19

565 649 114 30 1.84 21.1 3.7 1.0 2.69 1.29 14 16

542 643 131 30 1.62 19.2 3.9 0.9 2.44 1.18 13 14

503 628 155 30 1.40 17.4 4.3 0.8 2.24 1.08 11 12

455 610 185 30 1.19 15.9 4.8 0.8 2.06 1.00 10 11

401 590 21 9 30 0.99 14.5 5.4 0.7 l .91 0.93 9 10

360 587 257 30 0.85 13.8 6.1 0.7 1.85 0.90 9 10

327 594 297 30 0.74 13.4 6.7 0.7 1.85 0.90 8 9

70.9 75.3 72.8

71.9 76.3 73.8

72.8 77.3 74 7

73.7 78.2 75.5

74.5 79.0 76.3

75.2 79.7 77.0

75.9 80.4 77.7

76.5 81.0 78.4

77.1 81.6 79.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

SAUDI ARABIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

23 612 13 046 10567

26 643 14 556 12088

29 914 16 179 13735

33 332 17 866 15468

36 694 19 511 17183

39 950 21 084 18866

43 110 22 585 20525

46 180 24 021 22159

12.0 22.5 18.5 4.2 2.8 0.4 52.9 23.3

12.3 20.7 18.6 4.5 2.9 0.4 54.4 24.1

11.9 20.3 17.7 5.3 3.2 0.5 54.2 25.1

11.4 20.4 16.5 6.4 39 0.5 53.2 26.0

10.4 19.9 16.5 8.0 4.8 0.6 53.0 27.0

9.6 18.9 16 9 9.9 6.2 0.7 52.6 27.9

9.1 17.7 16.9 11.6 7.7 0.9 52.7 28.9

8.6 16.7 16.3 13.3 9.0 1.3 52.0 30.0

606 2.42 26.6 3.7 12 3.60 1.72

654 2.32 25.7 3.6 1.1 3.38 1.63

684 2.16 24.3 3.7 0.9 3.19 1.54

672 1.92 22.2 3.8 0.9 2.94 1.42

651 1.70 20.3 4 .l 0.8 2.74 1.32

632 1.52 19.0 4.5 0.7 2.56 1.24

614 1.38 18.1 5.0 07 2.41 1.17

611 1.28 17.6 5.5 06 2 35 1.14

61 1 1.20 17.4 5.9 0.6 2.35 1.14

D. LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

23 612 13046 l0567

26 189 14326 11863

28 616 15523 13093

30 847 16609 14238

32 903 17593 15310

34 697 18425 16272

36 151 19062 17089

37 214 19481 17733

37 961 19724 18236

12.0 22.5 18.5 4.2 2.8 0.4 52.9 23.3

10.8 21 .0 18.9 4.6 3.0 0.4 55.4 24.6

9.5 19.6 18.5 5.6 3.4 0.5 56.9 26.3

8.4 17.8 17.8 7.0 4.2 0.5 57.8 28.2

7.6 16.0 17.0 9.0 5.4 0.6 58.0 30.2

6.8 14.6 15.8 11.4 7.1 08 57.1 32.1

6.1 13.4 14.6 13.8 92 11 56.1 34.2

5.3 12.2 13.6 16 5 11 2 l .6 54.4 36.4

4.9 10.9 12.8 18.6 13 5 2.2 52.2 38 5

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Tolal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

515 2.07 23.1 3.6 1.2 3.10 1.49

485 1.77 20.2 3.6 1.1 2.58 1.24

446 1.50 17.8 3.8 1.0 2.19 1.05

41 1 1.29 16.0 4.1 0.9 1.94 0.94

359 1.06 14.3 4.5 0.9 1.74 0.84

291 0.82 12.5 5.2 0.8 1.56 0.76

21 3 0.58 10 9 59 0.8 1.41 0.69

149 0.40 9.9 6.8 0.8 1.35 0 66

98 0.26 9.4 77 0.8 1.35 0.66

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

23 612 13 046 10 567 23.3

26 796 14 633 12 163 24.0

30 448 16 449 13 999 24.6

34 510 18 462 16 048 25 0

38 906 20 631 18 276 25.1

43 630 22 947 20 683 24.9

48 749 25 442 23 307 25.1

54 369 28 170 26 199 25.3

60 586 31 187 29 400 25.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.53 27.8 3.7

2.56 28.1 3.6

2.51 27.7 3.6

2.40 26.9 3.7

2.29 26.1 3.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiwlPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.22 25.7 4.2

2.18 25.6 44

2.17 25.8 4.7

2.15 25.8 4.8

SENEGAL

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

l985

1990

1995

2000

2543 1 272 1 271 100.1

2865 1 440 1 425 101.1

3277 1 655 1 622 102.0

3777 1 914 1 862 102.8

4402 2 242 2 160 103.8

5118 2 611 2 508 104.1

5871 2 981 2 890 103.2

6796 3 439 3 357 102.4

7896 3 984 3 912 101.8

9054 4 546 4 508 100.9

10334 5 168 5 166 100.0

16.9 24.7 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 47.1 19.2 13

16.7 24.5 19.0 5.5 3.6 0.4 47.3 19.4 15

17.4 24.2 18.6 5.5 3.6 0.5 46.9 19.3 17

17.7 24.5 18.2 5.4 3.5 0.6 46.2 19.0 19

17.6 25.2 17.8 5.4 3.5 0.6 45.5 18.8 22

17.7 25.5 17.8 5.4 3.5 0.6 45.1 18.5 26

18.0 26.1 18.2 5.4 3.5 0.6 44.4 18.0 30

18.2 26.6 18.4 5.5 3.6 0.6 43.8 17.6 35

18.0 27.1 18.7 5.7 3.7 0.6 43.7 17.4 40

17.1 27.6 19.3 5.9 3.9 0.6 44.2 17.5 46

16.4 27.2 20.0 6.1 4.1 0.7 45.5 17.9 53

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

11770 5866 5 905 99.3

13311 6615 6 696 98.8

14878 7376 7 502 98.3

16442 8135 8 307 97.9

17999 8689 9 109 97.6

19554 9642 9 912 97.3

16.0 26.2 20.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 16.0 7.3 6.9 12.0 47.0 18.5 60

15.1 25.7 20.5 6.2 4.3 0.8 15.8 7.1 6.7 12.1 48.3 19.2 68

13.9 25.1 20.2 6.2 4.4 0.9 15.4 7.1 6.6 11.8 49.6 20.2 76

12.7 23.9 20.3 6.4 4.4 0.9 14.5 7.0 6.6 11.9 51.3 21.3 84

11.7 22.4 20.4 6.7 4.6 1 .0 13.5 6.6 6.5 12.1 52.8 22.7 91

11.0 20.9 19.8 7.3 4.9 1 .0 12.6 6.2 6.1 11.8 53.6 24.2 99

2035

2040

2045

2050

21097 10388 10 709 97.0

22588 11107 1 1 481 96.7

23985 11779 12 206 96.5

25257 12387 12 870 96.2

10.3 19.7 18.8 8.1 5.4 10 11.9 5.8 5.7 11.2 53.7 25.7 1 07

9.6 18.7 17.8 9.2 6.1 11 11.3 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.2 27.3 115

9.0 17.8 17.1 10.5 7.0 1.2 10.7 5.3 5.2 10.2 52.7 28.8 122

6.3 16.8 16.5 12.1 8.2 1.4 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 52.0 30.3 1 28

.

.

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

SENEGAL

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................... Females ......................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 1 770 5 866 5 905

13 418 6 669 6 749

15 184 7 531 7 653

17 031 8 432 8 599

18 915 9 351 9 564

20 861 10 301 10 561

22 889 1 1 291 1 1 599

24 984 12 314 12 670

27 098 13 346 13 752

16.0 26.2 20.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 47.0 18.5

15.8 25.5 20.4 6.1 4.3 0.8 47.9 19.1

14.9 25.3 19.8 6.1 4.3 0.9 46.7 19.7

14.0 24.9 19.6 6.1 4.3 0.9 49.5 20.4

12.9 23.8 19.9 6.4 4.4 0.9 50.8 21.4

12.2 22.5 19.9 6.8 4.6 0.9 51.7 22.6

11.7 21.3 19.4 7.5 5.0 0.9 52.0 23.8

11.2 20.4 18.5 8.3 5.5 10 51.7 24.9

10.6 19.8 17.7 9.3 6.2 1.1 51.4 26.1

~

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

..

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

330 2.62 36.9 9.1 -1.6 4.94 2.07

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

287 2.30 33.4 8.9 -l .6 4.44

1.86

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ........................ . ........................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

11770 5866 5905 18.5

13531 6726 6805 18.9

15630 7756 7874 19.0

18078 8960 9118 18.9

20905 10354 10550 18.8

24181 11974 12207 18.9

28014 13873 14141 19.1

32521 16110 16410 19.2

37814 18743 19071 19.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.79 38.7 9.3

2.88 39.0 8.8

2.91 38.5 8.3

2.91 37.8 7.7

2.91 37.2 7.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.94 37.0 6.9

2.98 37.0 6.6

3.02 37.0 6.3

3.04 36.9 6.1

SERBIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined .................... ......

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................... .. ............... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... . ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage a g d 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

30 0.30 14.5 11.5 0.0 2.04 0.96

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged M ) or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.5 .0.05 11 .1 11.6 0.0 1.54 0.73

. 18 .0.19 10.2 12.0 0.0 1.44 0.68

. 30 .0.31 9.2 12.3 0.0 1.35 0.64

. 34 .0.36 8.8 12.4 0.0 1.35 0.64

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

9 863 4 878 4 985 36.6

9 908 4 904 5 004 37.4

9 919 4 915 5 004 38.3

9 889 4 905 4 985 39.5

9 828 4 877 4 951 40.8

9 750 4 840 4 910 42.0

9 659 4 796 4 863 43.0

9 547 4 743 4 804 43.6

9 41 1 4 681 4 730 44.0

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.09 12.5 11.6

0.02 12.1 11.9

.O.M 11.4 12.0

.0.12 10.7 12.0

.0.16 10.4 12.0

.0.19 10.4 12.2

.0.23 10.3 12.6

.0.29 10.0 12.9

.0.34 9.7 13.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

SIERRA LEONE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... ...... Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. 120 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 272 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 130 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 22 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. 2.04 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 46.2 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 22.1 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . 4.8 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 6.47 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 2.03 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 160 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 278 Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. . ............... 41.0 Females ...................... . . . ............. 44.2 Both sexes combined ............................ 42.6

149 292 1 36 .8 2.27 44.6 20.7 .1.2 6.16 1.99 155 266

164 312 141 .8 2.23 42.5 19.2 .1.1 5.74 1.91 148 251

178 331 1 44 .8 2.18 40.4 17.6 -1.0 5.27 1.82 141 235

191 345 146 .8 2.09 37.8 16.0 .0.9 4.77 1.71 133 21 8

1 97 351 146 .8 1.95 34.8 14.5 .0.8 4.26 1.57 125 202

196 351 145 .8 1.79 31.7 13.1 .0.7 3.78 1.44 117 185

1 97 349 144 8 1.63 28.9 12.0 .0.7 3.38 1.32 110 169

195 346 143 .8 1.50 26.5 11.0 .0.6 3.06 1.23 102 153

42.3 45.5 43.9

43.7 47.0 45.4

45.3 48.8 47.1

47.1 50.8 48.9

48.9 52.8 50.8

50.8 54.8 52.8

52.8 56.8 54.8

54.8 58.8 56.8

a

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

SIERRA LEONE C. HIGHVARIANT indicator PopuWon (WlouMnd.) Total .................................................... Females ................................ Age dl8lrlbuth Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Peccentagedwwnenaged15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5588 2 750 2836

6 190 3050 3 140

6999 3453 3546

7 921 3911 4 010

8934 4 414 4520

10 a35 4960 5 075

11 218 5540 5 671

12 471 6 167 6304

13 783 6 817 6966

15 146 7 492 7654

17.4 25.4 18.9 5.5 3.3 0.2 45.8 18.5

17.3 25.8 19.0 5.4 3.3 0.3 45.0 18.4

17.6 25.8 18.9 5.2 3.2 0.3 45.5 18.2

17.3 26.1 19.1 5.1 3.2 0.3 45.5 18.2

16.6 26.4 19.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.1 18.4

15.9 26.1 19.7 5.2 3.2 0.3 47.2 18.8

15.1 25.4 20.2 5.3 3.4 0.3 48.5 19.4

14.3 24.6 20.3 5.4 3.4 0.3 49.6 20.2

13.5 23.7 20.0 5.7 3.6 0.4 50.7 21.2

12.8 22.8 19.7 6.2 3.8 0.4 51.5 22.2

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rale (per 1,ooO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductinrate (per woman) ..........

121 2.05 46.3 22.1 -3.8 6.50 2.04

162 2.46 46.8 21.1 -1.2 6.50 2.10

185 2.48 45.5 19.7 -1.1 6.24 2.08

202 2.41 43.0 18.0 -0.9 5.77 1.99

220

236

2.33 40.4 16.3 -0.0 5.27 1.88

2.23 37.8 14.8 -0.8 4.76 1.70

251 2.12 35.2 13.4 -0.7 4.28 1.63

2.00 32.7 12.1 -0.6 3.88 1.52

273 1.89 30.5 11.1 -0.6 3.56 1.43

262

0. LOWVARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5586 2 750 2836

6144 3027 3116

6815 3361 3454

7530 3 716 3 814

8299 4 097 4202

9094 4490 4604

9873 4875 4998

10607 5237 5370

11286 5570 5716

11 911 5 876 6035

17.4 25.4 18.9 5.5 3.3 0.2 45.8 18.5

16.7 26.0 19.2 5.4 3.3 0.3 46.0 18.6

16.0 25.9 19.4 5.3 3.3 0.3 46:7 18.8

15.3 25.2 20.1 5.4 3.3 0.3 47.9 19.4

14.7 24.5 20.2 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.1 20.1

13.9 23.9 19.9 5.8 3.6 0.3 50.2 20.9

12.8 23.2 19.7 8.0 3.8 0.3 51.4 22.0

11.6 22.1 19.7 6.4 4.0 0.4 52.6 23.2

10.5 20.7 19.7 7.0 4.4 0.4 54.0 24.6

9.6 19.2 19.2 7.9 4.9 0.5 54.8 26.2

P o p u l d O f l (thouMndS)

Total ....................................................

.................................

Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of w ~ e aged n 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatm change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulat!m) .. Net migration rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) . Total feftility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

111 1.90 44.5 21.8 -3.8 6.22 1.95

134 2.08 42.2 20.2 -1.2 5.76 1.86

143 1.99 39.7 18.7 -1. l 5.24 1.75

154 1.95 37.7 17.2 -1.o 4.77 1.65

159 1.83 34.9 15.7 -0.9 4.27 1.53

158 1.64 31.5 14.2 -0.8 3.76 1.39

147 1.43 28.0 12.9 -0.8 3.28 1.25

136 1.24 25.0 11.8 -0.7 2.88 1.13

125 1.08 22.5 11.0 -0.7 2.56 1.03

E. CONSTANT-FERTILTTY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 586 2750 2836 18.5

6 205 3058 3147 18.3

7 017 3461 3555 18.1

7 986 3943 4043 18.0

9 152 4523 4629 17.8

10 558 5221 5337 17.6

12 258 6oBB 6192 17.4

14 319 7092 7228 17.2

16 827 8340 8487 17.1

19 885 9865 10020 16.9

POpulWlOfl (thouMfldS)

Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... CRlde death rate (per 1,ooO population) ..

2.10 46.9 22.2

2.46 46.9 21.1

2.59 46.8 19.9

2.73 46.7 18.0

2.86 46.6 17.2

United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.99 46.4 15.9

3.11 46.2 14.6

3.23 46.0 13.3

3.34 45.9 12.1

417

SINGAPORE

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ....................... ................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

. .

4 327 2 178 2 150 101.3

4 592 2 309 2 283 101.1

4 809 2 414 2 395 100.8

4 965 2 488 2 477 100.4

5 104 2 552 2 552 100.0

5 202 2 594 2 607 99.5

5 234 2 603 2 630 99.0

5 199 2 580 2 619 98.5

5 121 2 537 2 584 98.2

5.0 14.5 12.7 12.3 8.5 1.5 8.6 4.7 4.1 7.4 53.8 37.5 6 336

4.0 11.5 14.3 16.0 10.1 2.0 6.5 4.1 4.7 8.4 51 .0 40.6 6 723

3.9 8.9 14.1 20.8 13.5 2.5 5.0 3.1 3.7 9.0 47.1 43.4 7 040

4.2 7.9 11.3 26.4 17.8 3.2 4.6 2.4 2.8 7.1 42.8 45.7 7 269

4.4 8.0 8.6 31.6 22.8 4.0 4.9 2.3 2.3 5.4 39.5 47.2 7 473

4.3 8.6 7.9 35.4 27.4 5.7 5.3 2.5 2.4 4.7 37.6 48.3 7 616

3.9 8.9 8.2 37.6 30.8 8.1 5.4 2.7 2.6 4.8 36.5 49.5 7 663

3.5 8.6 9.0 38.3 32.5 10.9 5.0 2.8 2.8 5.4 35.5 50.8 7 612

3.4 7.8 9.6 38.9 32.8 13.4 4.5 2.6 2.8 5.8 33.5 52.3 7 497

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

C. HIGHVARIANT

IndiCatOr Popuktion (thuundr) Total .................................................... Makn, ...................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2MO

2045

2050

4327 2178 2150

4628 2326 2300

4800 2461 2439

5135 2576 2559

5355 2682 2673

5525 2762 2763

5627 2807 2820

5676 2827 2849

5705 2839 2866

5 739 2858 2880

12.3 8.5 1.5 53.8 37.5

4.8 11.4 14.2 15.8 10.1 2.0 50.7 40.4

5.0 9.4 13.9 20.4 13.2 2.5 46.3 42.7

5.6 9.4 10.9 25.5 17.2 3.1 41.4 44.3

5.7 10.2 9.1 30.1 21.7 3.8 38.3 45.1

5.4 11.0 9.1 33.4 25.8 5.4 37.1 45.7

4.9 11.0 10.1 34.9 28.6 7.6 36.9 46.6

4.7 10.4 11.1 35.1 29.7 10.0 36.8 47.7

5.0 9.7 11.3 34.9 29.4 12.0 35.6 46.6

5.5 9.8 10.6 34.9 28.8 13.0 34.9 48.4

5-14 ....................

Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median. age (years) .................................

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalii change per year (t-). populationgfmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rale (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populalhm) . Total feftillty (children per wanen) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman)

60 1.34 9.7 52 8.9 1.51 0.72

55 1.15 10.2 6.0 7.3 1.69 0.81

47 0.94 11.3 7.0 5.0 1.a4 0.88

44 0.84 11.6 8.0 4.8 1 .a9

0.90

34 0.63 10.9 9.2 4.8 1.94 0.93

20 0.37 9.8 10.6 4.5 1.99 0.95

10 0.17 9.4 12.0 4.4 2.04 0.98

6 0.10 10.0 13.3 4.4 2.09 1 .a3

7 0.12 11.0 14.2 4.4 2.14 1.02

0. LOW VARIANT

Populdlon (thouundr) Total ....................................................

..........................

5-14 ................ Percenw aged 60 or m r .................. Percentaga aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of womeo aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2WO

2045

2050

4327 2178 2150

4557 2291 2267

4717 2367 2350

4795 2400 2395

4854 2422 2431

4876 2428 2450

4842 2401 2441

4741 2343 2398

4566 2260 2326

4399 2 166 2 234

5.0 14.5 12.7 12.3 8.5 1.5 53.8 37.5

3.3 11.6 14.4 16.1 10.2 2.0 51.4 40.8

2.8 8.3 14.4 21.2 13.7 2.6 48.0 44.0

2.7 6.2 11.7 27.4 18.4 3.3 44.2 46.9

3.0 5.7 8.6 33.2 23.9 4.2 40.7 49.3

3.1 5.9 6.5 37.8 29.2 6.1 38.2 51.O

2.8 6.4 6.1 40.8 33.3 8.8 35.9 52.6

2.4 6.4 6.6 42.0 35.6 12.0 33.7 54.1

2.2 5.8 7.3 43.4 36.6 15.0 30.5 55.7

2.2 5.2 7.4 45.5 37.5 16.9 28.0 57.6

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populatbnchange per year (lkmards). PopulatiMlgnmlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rale (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO populath) Total krtility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

.

46 1.04 6.6 5.3 9.0 1.01 0.48

32 0.69 5.5 6.2 7.5 0.89 0.42

16 0.33 5.4 7.3 5.3 0.84 0.40

12 0.24 5.9 8.7 5.2 0.89 0.42

5 0.09 6.1 10.3 5.1 0.94 0.45

- 7 -0.14 5.6 12.1 5.1 0.99 0.47

-20 -0.42 4.7 14.2 5.2 1.04 0.50

-

-

31 -0.67 4.2 16.2 5.4 1.09 0.52

37 -0.83 4.1 18.0 5.6 1.14 0.54

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

P0pUM)On (thOU.MdB) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... FM~S

............................................... .................................

Median age (years)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

4327 2178 2150 37.5

4605 2315 2289 40.6

4831 2426 2406 43.2

4991 2501 2490 45.5

5124 2562 2562 47.0

5204 2595 2808 48.3

5214 2593 2821 49.6

5160 2559 2600 51.O

5080

4935 2442 2492 54.3

2505 2554 52.7

20052010 201&2015 2015-2020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO populalim) ..

1.24 8.7 5.3

0.96 8.3 6.1

0.65 8.5 7.1

0.53 8.6 8.3

0.31 8.0 9.7

United Nations Department of Eanomic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Populerron Prospects: The 2005 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.04 6.9 11.3

-0.21 6.2 13.1

-0.39 6.0 14.8

-0.50 6.2 16.2

419

SLOVAKIA

A ESTIMATES lndlcetor Populatlon (moursndr) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

Aw dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage a m 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaticmdensity (population per eq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

3 463 1681 1782 94.4

3 798 1849 1950 94.8

4 145 2023 2122 95.4

4 362 2135 2226 95.9

4 528 2235 2294 97.4

4 735 2336 2400 97.3

4 976 2446 2531 96.6

5 140 2525 2618 96.5

5 256 2570 2686 95.7

5 364 2612 2751 94.9

5 388 2 618 2 769 94.6

11.0 17.9 17.0 9.9 6.7 0.9 51.7 27.3 71

12.8 18.5 15.8 9.8

11.5 21.1 14.9 10.5 6.7 1 .o 46.1 28.8 85

9.8 21 .a 15.8 11.7 7.5 t .l 45.6 26.9

8.4 18.8 18.4 14.0 9.2 1.1 49.7 20.3 92

9.5 16.7 18.9 13.8 9.6 1.2 49.9 28.1 97

9.7 16.5 16.9 13.4 10.4 1.5 48.5 29.0 101

8.9 17.8 15.2 13.7 8.9 1.7 48.4 29.9 105

7.8 17.5 15.2 14.8 10.3 2.0 49.0 31.3 1 07

6.7 15.9 16.9 15.1 10.9 2.1 51.1 32.5 109

6.6

0.9 48.5 28.9 77

89

5.3 14.2 17.1 15.4 11.4 1.8 52.3 34.0 110.

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Pqxrlation g r w h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .... Ctude death rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reprodocticm rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (pet 1 ,OOO live births) Lira expectmcy a Mtth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................

67 100 39 1.85 27.4 10.7 3.52 1.53 73

69 97 35 1.75 24.3 8.7 3.27 1.50 39

43 87 34 1.02 20.5 8.0 2.89 1.35 27

33 80 38 0.75 16.0 8.5 2.50 1.17 26

82.4 66.2 64.3

66.1 70.7 68.5

68.3 73.0 70.7

67.8 73.3 70.6

41 91 49 0.89

19.7 10.6 2.51 1.22 24 66.8 73.5 70.0

22

33 92 56 0.65 18.2 11.0 2.28 1.11 18

23 85 55 0.45 16.3 10.5 2.15 1.04 14

22 73 53 0.41 13.7 10.0 1.87 0.90 12

53 0.09 10.8 9.9 1.40 0.68 9

66.9 74.2 70.4

66.8 74.7 70.6

67.1 75.2 71.0

87.8 76.2 72.1

68.7 76.9 72.8

48 100 51 0.99 20.6 10.4 2.47 1.20

5

0

58

52 53 0.00 9.7 9.8

1 .n

0.59 7

69.8 77.8 73.8

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

Population (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ....... Females ................. Sex ratio (males per 1 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W . Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in achod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in s c h d ages 15-17 Percentage in school a w 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. popllation density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

5 387 2 814 2 773 94.2

5398 2 615 2 781 94.0

5392 2611 2 781 93.9

5366 2596 2770 93.7

5308 2565 2743 93.5

5 217 2 518 2 m1 93.2

5100 2456 2644 92.9

4966 2389 2577 92.7

4820 2318 2502 92.6

4664 2 242 2 422 92.6

4.8 12.0 15.8 16.1 11.7 2.4 8.9 4.1 4.4 9.6 51.8 35.6 110

4.9 10.1 14.2 17.7 12.3 2.8 5.9 3.3 3.8 8.7 50.8 37.4 110

4.8 9.8 12.0 20.5 13.8 3.0 5.9 2.9 3.1 7.5 48.8 39.4 110

4.6 9.8 10.2 23.0 16.4 3.2 5.9 3.0 2.9 6.2 47.1 41.6 109

4.3 9.5 9.9 25.1 18.7 3.5 5.7 3.0 3.0 5.9

4.0 9.1 10.1 26.7 20.5 4.4 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.2 41.8 45.9 108

3.9 8.5 10.0 29.3 21 .8 5.7 5.0 2.7 2.9 6.1 38.9 47.8 104

4.0 8.2 9.8 32.8 24.0 8.8 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.8 36.5 49.4 101

4.1 8.2 9.1 35.5 27.0 7.4 4.9 2.5 2.6 5.5 34.7 50.6

4.1 8.5 8.8 37.6 29.6 7.9 5.1 2.5 2.6 5.3 34.1 51 .O 95

44.7

43.8 108

ge

2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 ~ 2 0 3 5 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migratm per year (thousands)......... Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OWpopulatation) Crude death rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .OOO population) . Total feriility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) Infant rortality rate (per 1 ,OOO live births) Under-hve mortality (per 1,OWlive births) L b axpaclancyal birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 80th sexes combined ............................

....

..........

420

2 54 54 2 0.03 10.0 10.0 0.4 1.25

-

-

7 8

2 -0.02 9.7 10.2 0.4 1.28 0.62 6 8

-5 49 57 2 -0.10 9.2 10.5 0.4 1.33 0.64 6 7

45 59 2 -0.22 8.5 11.0 0.4 1.38 0.68 5 7

18 42 62 2 -0.35 7.9 11.8 0.4 1.43 0.69 5 6

70.7 78.5 74.7

71.8 79.3 75.6

72.7 80.0 76.4

73.6 80.7 77.2

74.4 81.3 77.9

0.80

- 1 52

55

11

-

-

2 -0.46 7.7 12.7 0.4 1.48 0.71 5 6

27 40 68 2 -0.53 7.9 13.6 0.4 1.53 0.74 5 6

-29 40 71 2 -0.80 8.1 14.4 0.4 1.58 0.76 4 6

31 39 72 2 -0.66 8.2 15.1 0.4 1.83 0.79 4 5

75.1 81.9 78.5

75.8 82.4 79.2

76.4 83.0 79.7

77.1 83.5 80.3

-23 40

65

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SLOVAKIA C. HKiHVARLANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

.................

5387 2 014 2T13

5449 2 842 2807

5525 2 078 2848

5588 2 710 2878

5808 2 719 2889

5594 2 710 2884

5570 2 097 2073

5553 2 890 2863

5541 2 888 2053

5523 2683 2840

Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ....... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Petcentage aged 60 w over Percentage aged 65 or WLK .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman agmd 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

4.8 12.0 15.0 10.1 11.7 2.4 51.0 35.0

5.9 10.0 14.0 17.0 12.2 2.0 50.1 37.1

6.2 10.5 11.7 20.0 13.5 2.9 47.7 38.6

0.0 11.8 9.8 22.1 15.7 3.0 45.3 40.4

5.4 12.0 10.4 23.8 17.7 3.3 43.4 42.1

5.1 11.4 11.0 24.9 19.1 4.1 41.2 43.0

5.2 10.6 12.2 26.0 20.0 5.2 39.5 44.8

5.7 10.4 11.0 29.2 21.5 0.0 37.9 45.3

0.0 11.0 10.7

6.0 11.7 10.5 31.0 25.0 0.0 37.1 43.3

Populotlon (thoumndo) Total .................................................... M a k ...................................................

..................

30.0 23.5 6.5 36.8 44.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 ZLl3I-2035 2035-2040 20402045 20452050 Population change per year (thwsands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1,OW population).... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman)

...........

Net repmducth rate (per woman) ..........

12 0.23 11.9 10.0 0.4 1.50 0.72

15 0.28 12.5 10.1 0.4 1.88 0.81

13 0.23 12.1 10.2 0.4 1.83

0.88

4 0.07 10.9 10.5 0.4 1.88 0.90

- 3 -0.05 10.2 11.1 0.4 1.93

- 5 -0.09 10.5 11.7 0.4 1.98

- 3 -0.00 11.4 12.4 0.4 2.03

0.98

- 2 -0.04 12.0 12.8 0.4 2.08 1.00

- 4 -0.07 12.0 13.0 0.4 2.13 1.03

0.93

0.95

D. LOWVARIANT

Populotlon (thouund8) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................

..................

Percentage aged 60 w over Percentage aged 65 w over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wanen aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 -

5 387 2 014 2 773

5343 2588 2 755

5 258 2 542 2 710

5 141 2 481 2660

5004 2409 2595

4839 2 517

4846 2223 2423

4426 2112 2314

4104 1991 2193

3928 1865 2063

4.0 12.0 15.0 10.1 11.7 2.4 51.0 35.0

4.0 10.2 14.3 17.9 12.5 2.0 51.1 37.7

3.4 9.0 12.3 21.o 14.2 3.1 50.0 40.1

3.0 7.0 10.7 24.1 17.1 3.3 49.0 42.8

2.9 0.7 9.5 26.0 19.0 3.7 46.3 45.5

2.0 6.2 8.2 28.0 22.1 4.7 42.1 48.0

2.6 0.1 7.3 32.1 23.9 0.3 37.9 50.5

2.5 5.0 0.9 36.0 26.9 7.0 34.2 52.8

2.4 5.0 6.0 40.0 31.1 0.0 31.2 55.1

2.3 5.4

2322

0.6

44.7 35.2 9.3 29.3 57.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (percent) ............ Crude Mrth rate @er 1 ,OW population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OW popula(i0n) . Total Fectillty (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........

....

- 9 -0.17 0.0 10.0 0.4 1.00

0.48

-

17 -0.32 0.0 10.4 0.4 0.88 0.42

-23 4.45 0.0 10.9 0.4 0.83 0.40

-

27 -0.54 5.8 11.0 0.4

0.88 0.42

-33 -0.07 5.5 12.0 0.4 0.93 0.45

-39 -0.82 5.2 13.8 0.4 0.H 0.47

-44 -0.97 4.9 15.1 0.4 1.a3 0.50

-

-48 -1.12 4.7 16.4 0.5 1.08 0.52

51 -1.26 4.5 17.6 0.5 1.13 0.54

E. CONSTANT-FERTIUrV VARIANT

Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 -

5387 2 014 2 773 35.0

5309 2 011 2 777 37.4

5370 2 800 2 770 39.5

5319 2 572 2 747 41.0

5230 2 525 2 705 44.2

5102 2 457 2 645 46.5

4944 2 376 2 569 48.7

4701 2 284 2 478 50.7

4556 2 182 2 374 52.4

4332 2 072 2260 53.9

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 20452050

............

Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) ..

0.01 9.7 10.0

-0.07 9.2 10.2

-0.19 0.3 10.0

-0.34 7.4 11.2

-0.49 0.7 12.0

United Nations Department of Economicand Soda1 Affairs/population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conyxehensive Tables

-0.03 0.3 13.0

-0.70 6.1 14.1

-0.88 5.9 15.1

-1.01 5.6 16.1

421

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

1 473 704 769 91.6

1 533 732 800 91.5

1 580 755 825 91.6

1 630 781 850 91.9

1 670 808 862 93.8

1 742 843 899 93.8

1 832 885 947 93.4

1 884 912 973 93.7

1 927 935 992 94.3

1 964 957 1008 95.0

1 984 967 1017 95.1

10.1 17.4 18.3 10.5 7.0 1.0 52.3 27.7 73

10.0 17.6 16.9 11.0 7.3 l .0 50.2 28.2 76

8.8 18.6 15.6 12.3 7.8 1.0 48.3 29.3 78

8.5 17.5 16.1 13.8 9.0 1.1 48.6 30.3 80

8.0 16.1 17.4 14.9 9.9 1.2 50.7 31.0 82

8.1 15.6 16.2 15.4 11.0 1.3 49.4 31.4 86

8.0 15.2 15.7 14.5 11.4 1.8 48.5 31.7 90

7.1 15.3 14.9 15.1 10.4 2.0 48.3 32.8 93

6.2 14.7 14.8 16.4 11.1 2.3 48.8 34.2 95

5.0 13.1 15.1 17.9 12.6 2.4 50.6 36.1 97

4.6 11.3 14.6 19.4 14.1 2.3 50.6 38.1 98

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... .. .... Population density (population per sq km)

1 999 975 1 024 95.2

2 001 977 1 024 95.4

1 992 974 1 018 95.6

1 972 965 1 007 95.8

1 941 951 990 96.0

1 901 931 970 95.9

1 855 908 948 95.8

1 805 882 923 95.6

1 751 855 896 95.5

4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 5.6 3.2 3.7 8.2 49.2 40.2 99

4.5 9.0 11.5 22.5 16.5 4.1 5.4 2.8 3.0 7.2 46.6 41.9 99

4.4 9.0 9.9 25.4 18.2 4.8 5.4 2.7 2.7 6.0 43.9 43.6 98

4.1 9.0 9.3 28.1 20.8 5.3 5.4 2.7 2.7 5.6 41.6 45.3 97

3.8 8.7 9.3 30.8 23.3 5.6 5.2 2.7 2.8 5.6 39.7 47.2 96

3.7 8.2 9.5 32.9 25.7 6.6 4.8 2.6 2.8 5.8 37.5 48.9 94

3.7 7.8 9.3 35.1 27.6 8.2 4.6 2.5 2.6 5.7 35.4 50.5 92

3.9 7.8 8.8 37.4 29.4 9.6 4.6 2.4 2.5 5.4 33.7 51.7 89

4.0 8.0 8.5 39.3 31.5 10.8 4.8 2.4 2.4 5.1 33.1 52.3 86

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 999 975 1024

2 018 986 1032

2 035 996 1039

2 043 1 001 1041

2 036 999 1037

2 021 992 1029

2 006 985 1021

1 995 980 1016

1 986 976 1010

4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 49.2 40.2

5.3 9.0 11.4 22.3 16.3 4.0 46.2 41.7

5.5 9.6 9.7 24.9 17.8 4.7 43.0 42.9

5.3 10.8 9.0 27.2 20.1 5.2 40.3 44.1

4.9 10.9 9.8 29.3 22.3 5.4 38.7 45.6

4.7 10.3 11.0 31.0 24.2 6.2 37.4 46.9

5.0 9.7 11.2 32.4 25.6 7.6 36.2 47.7

5.5 9.8 10.6 33.9 26.6 8.7 35.2 47.7

5.7 10.6 9.9 34.7 27.8 9.5 35.1 46.5

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 0.18 10.7 9.8 10 1.53 0.73

..

.

3

0.17 11.2 10.5 1 .0 1.73 0.83

-1 .0.07 9.7 11.4 10 1.93 0.93

2 0.08 10.7 11.0 1 .0 1 88 0.90

.

.

.3 -0.15 9.4 11.9 1 .0 1.98 0.95

.3 -0.15 10.0 12.5 l .0 2.03 0.98

.2 -0.11 10.9 13.0 1 .0 2.08 1 .00

-2 .0.10 11.5 13.5 1 .0 2.13 1.03

-2 .0.12 11.5 13.7 1 .0 2.18 1.05

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

1 999 975 i 024

1 983 968 i 015

1 949 952 997

1 900 928 972

1 844 901 943

1 780 869 912

1 709 833 877

1 630 792 838

1 543 749 795

4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 49.2 40.2

3.6 9.1 11.6 22.7 16.6 4.1 47.0 42.2

3.2 8.3 10.1 26.0 18.6 4.9 44.8 44.4

2.8 7.1 9.7 29.2 21.6 5.5 43.1 46.5

2.7 6.2 8.9 32.4 24.6 5.9 40.8 48.7

2.6 5.8 7.7 35.2 27.5 7.0 37.6 51 .0

2.6 5.7 6.9 38.1 30.0 8.9 34.3 53.1

2.5 5.6 6.5 41.5 32.6 10.6 31.5 55.1

2.4 5.5 6.5 44.6 35.7 12.2 29.9 56.8

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

- 3 -0.16 7.3 9.9 1 .0 1.03 0.49

- 7 .0.35 6.3 10.8 1 .0 0.93 0.45

. 10 -0.51 5.5 11.6 1 .0 0.88 0.42

- l1 .0.60 5.3 12.4 1.1 0.93 0.45

- 13 .0.70 5.1 13.3 1.1 0.98 0.47

- 14 .0.82 5.0 14.3 1.1 1.03 0.50

- 16 .0.95 4.8 15.5 1.2 1.08 0.52

- 17 .1.09 4.6 16.8 1.3 1.13 0.54

- 18 .1.22 4.5 16.0 1.3 1.18 0.57

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................ .................. Males ..................... . . . ..................... Females ........................ . .................. Median age (years) ................................

1 999 975 1 024 40.2

1 997 975 1 022 42.0

1 982 969 l 013 43.8

1 953 955 998 45.6

1 911 935 976 47.6

1 858 909 949 49.7

1 798 878 920 51.5

1 730 843 886 53.1

1 655 806 849 54.5

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

.0.02 8.6 9.9

.0.15 8.1 10.7

.0.30 7.4 11.3

.0.44 6.6 12.0

.0.56 6.1 12.8

.0.66 6.0 13.7

.0.77 5.9 14.7

.0.89 5.7 15.8

.1.01 5.4 16.7

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1 573 766 807 55.3

SOLOMON ISLANDS

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

90 49 40 122.8

102 55 47 118.4

118 64 55 116.7

137 73 65 113.0

161 85 76 111.9

193 101 92 109.4

229 119 110 108.7

272 141 131 108.0

314 163 151 107.6

362 187 174 107.4

415 215 200 107.4

15.8 26.7 19.8 3.2 2.0 0.1 46.7 18.3 3

17.2 25.4 19.6 4.3 2.2 0.2 46.6 18.6 4

18.3 24.5 19.3 5.6 2.7 0.2 47.6 18.4 4

18.1 26.4 18.0 5.4 3.6 0.2 46.1 18.0 5

16.9 28.1 17.7 5.3 3.5 0.2 45.8 17.5 6

20.5 27.4 17.2 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.2 16.0 7

19.2 28.4 18.0 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.6 16.2 8

18.0 29.4 18.7 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.9 16.2 9

16.9 28.4 20.7 4.8 3.0 0.4 46.1 17.0

16.5 27.2 21.5 4.6 3.0 0.3 47.6 17.8 13

15.7 26.3 21.0 4.6 2.9 0.3 49.0 18.6 14

11

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

472 245 228 107.3

531 275 256 107.3

589 305 284 107.3

647 335 312 107.2

705 365 340 107.1

762 394 368 106.9

817 422 395 106.8

868 448 420 106.6

914 471 443 106.3

14.7 25.8 20.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 15.8 7.2 6.6 12.0 50.1 19.4 16

13.5 24.9 20.3 4.9 3.1 0.4 15.2 7.1 6.7 11.8 51.4 20.4 18

12.4 23.6 20.4 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.6 12.0 52.7 21.7 20

11.5 22.0 20.1 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.3 6.5 6.3 11.9 53.8 23.1 22

10.8 20.7 19.5 6.3 3.9 0.5 12.4 6.1 6.0 11.6 54.0 24.5 24

10.1 19.5 18.5 7.2 4.5 0.5 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.1 53.9 26.0 26

9.4 18.6 17.7 8.7 5.2 0.6 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.6 27.5 28

8.8 17.6 17.0 10.1 6.4 0.7 10.6 5.3 5.2 10.2 53.3 29.0 30

8.2 16.7 16.5 11.6 7.5 0.8 10.0 5.0 5.0 9.9 52.7 30.5 32

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .... ......... Males ................................ Females ......................... .................... Both sexes combined ............................

12 15 4 0 2.33 30.5 7.2 0.0 3.87 1.64 55 72

12 15 4 0 2.08 27.6 6.8 0.0 3.45 1.49 49 64

12 16 4 0 1.89 25.3 6.5 0.0 3.1 1 1.36 45 57

12 16 4 0 1.72 23.5 6.4 0.0 2.85 1.26 40 51

11 16 5 0 1.55 21 .8 6.3 0.0 2.64 1.19 36 44

11 16 5 0 1.38 20.2 6.3 0.0 2.48 1.13 31 37

10 16 5 0 1.21 18.6 6.5 0.0 2.34 1.07 27 32

9 15 6 0 1.04 17.2 6.8 0.0 2.23 1.03 23 27

8 15 7 0 0.89 16.1 7.3 0.0 2.13 0.99 20 24

62.7 64.5 63.6

63.8 65.9 64.8

64.8 67.2 65.9

65.7 68.4 67.0

66.7 69.7 68.2

67.9 71.1 69.4

68.9 72.3 70.5

69.9 73.3 71.5

70.8 74.3 72.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOLOMON ISLANDS

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Meda i n age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate @ercent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

13 2.50 32.3 7.3 0.0 4.12 1.75

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

11 2.15 28.6 7.2 0.0 3.62 1.53

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...................... ......

472 245 228 19.4

539 279 260 20.0

615 31 8 296 20.6

700 362 338 21 .0

795 412 384 21.2

902 467 435 21.4

1023 529 494 21.6

1160 599 560 21.8

1316 680 636 21.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.63 33.7 7.4

2.63 33.3 7.0

2.60 32.6 6.6

2.55 31 .8 6.3

2.51 31.2 6.1

2.51 30.9 5.8

2.52 30.8 5.6

2.52 30.7 5.5

2.52 30.6 5.4

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2050

SOMALIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

...........................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2264 1124 1 140 98.6

2522 1249 1 273 98.1

2819 1394 1 425 97.9

3170 1567 1 603 97.7

3600 1779 1 821 97.7

4133 2042 2 091 97.7

6485 3206 3 280 97.7

6469 3198 3 271 97.8

6717 3322 3 394 97.9

6242 3084 3 158 97.6

7055 3493 3 562 98.1

17.2 24.1 18.3 4.6 2.6 0.1 47.2 19.5 4

18.7 23.9 18.1 4.8 2.7 0.1 46.0 18.8 4

18.7 25.5 17.7 4.9 2.8 0.2 44.6 18.1 4

18.6 26.7 17.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.6 17.5 5

18.8 26.7 18.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.8 17.2 6

19.3 26.8 19.1 4.8 2.9 0.2 43.7 16.9 6

19.6 27.2 18.8 4.7 2.9 0.2 43.6 16.6 10

17.8 28.3 19.2 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.5 16.8 10

18.1 27.3 19.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 45.4 17.1 11

17.2 26.4 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 47.5 17.8 10

18.4 25.6 20.0 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.2 17.9 11

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined

..

............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

8196 4 065 4 131 98.4

9486 4 711 4 775 98.7

10881 5 409 5 472 98.9

12291 6 114 6 177 99.0

13712 6 825 6 887 99.1

15193 7 564 7 629 99.1

16694 8 312 8 381 99.2

18178 9 051 9 127 99.2

19634 9 774 9 860 99.1

18.0 26.1 18.9 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.3 6.6 6.3 10.9 46.9 17.9 13

17.2 27.1 18.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.8 7.2 6.1 10.8 46.4 17.9 15

16.2 26.7 19.3 4.5 2.7 0.3 16.4 7.3 6.8 10.9 47.3 18.3 17

15.3 25.9 20.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 15.8 7.2 6.7 11.9 48.4 19.0 19

14.5 24.9 20.4 5.2 3.2 0.3 15.2 7.0 6.6 12.0 49.4 19.9 22

13.7 24.0 20.1 5.6 3.5 0.4 14.6 6.8 6.4 11.8 50.1 20.9 24

12.8 23.2 19.7 6.2 3.9 0.4 14.1 6.6 6.3 11.6 51.1 22.0 26

11.8 22.2 19.4 7.0 4.4 0.5 13.4 6.4 6.2 11.5 52.1 23.1 29

11.0 21.0 19.2 7.6 5.0 0.6 12.7 6.2 6.0 11.3 53.1 24.4 31

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... .....

.....................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOMALIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

271 3.06 44.5 16.8 2.8 6.29 2.1 6

303 2.94 42.1 15.1 2.4 6.01 2.15

317 2.68 39.6 13.7 0.8 5.64 2.08

325 2.42 37.0 12.4 -0.4 5.13 1.96

348 2.30 34.6 11.3 0.3 4.62 1.82

368 2.17 32.4 10.4 -0.3 4.16 1.68

384 2.04 30.2 9.5 -0.3 3.78 1.57

398 1.92 28.2 8.8 -0.2 3.48 1.48

409 1.80 26.5 8.3 .0.2 3.25 1.41

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

245 2.78 41.3 16.4 2.8 5.79 1.99

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

8196 4065 4131 17.9

9577 4757 4820 17.7

11193 5567 5627 17.6

13014 6478 6535 17.7

15104 7526 7578 17.7

17613 8783 8830 17.6

20631 10296 10335 17.5

24264 12117 12147 17.3

28640 14309 14330 17.2

3.1 1 45.1 16.8

3.12 44.1 15.3

3.01 43.4 14.1

2.98 43.1 13.0

3.07 42.9 11.9

3.16 42.7 10.9

3.24 42.5 9.9

3.32 42.3 9.0

3.39 42.1 8.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTH AFRICA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

13 683 6 816 6 868 99.2

15 385 7 682 7 703 99.7

17 396 8 697 8 699 100.0

19 814 9 848 9 966 98.8

22 502 11 201 11 301 99.1

25 697 12 805 12 892 99.3

29 074 14 463 14 611 99.0

32 961 16 386 16 575 98.9

36 577 18 099 18 478 97.9

41 505 20 436 21 069 97.0

45 398 22 310 23 089 96.6

15.3 23.3 18.4 6.0 3.6 0.3 47.9 20.9 11

16.2 23.6 18.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 47.1 20.3 13

16.3 24.6 17.9 6.1 3.9 0.4 46.4 19.7 14

16.1 25.8 17.9 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.4 19.2 16

16.2 25.8 18.8 5.5 3.4 0.4 45.8 18.8 18

16.1 25.8 19.6 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.5 18.8 27

15.5 26.1 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.4 47.2 19.0 24

14.9 25.6 19.8 5.0 3.1 0.3 48.3 19.5 27

13.4 25.2 20.3 5.2 3.2 0.4 50.0 20.3 30

12.3 23.3 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.4 52.4 21.9

11.4 21.8 20.3 6.0 3.8 0.5 53.7 23.2 37

34

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) .. ............... Total ............................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

SOUTH AFRICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OM)population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

365 0.75 24.3 17.1 0.2 2.89 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

............. ....

..

........... ..........

170 0.35 20.3 17.0 0.2 2.39 0.94

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

47 939 23 549 24 390 23.9

49 582 24 442 25 140 24.3

51 167 25 359 25 808 24.5

53 052 26 429 26 623 24.9

55 198 27 622 27 576 25.2

57 571 28 903 28 669 25.5

60 146 30 258 29 888 25.8

62 973 31 723 31 250 26.0

66 110 33 335 32 776 26.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

............. .... ..

Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)

0.67 23.6 17.1

0.63 23.2 17.1

0.72 22.9 15.9

0.79 22.7 14.9

0.84 22.5 14.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.88 22.3 13.7

0.92 22.1 13.1

0.97 21.9 12.3

1.03 21.7 11.5

69 609 35 115 34 494 26.7

SPAIN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ...................... ... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..................

1950

19.55

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

28 009 13526 14483 93.4

29 199 14153 15046 94.1

30 455 14777 15678 94.3

32 056 15547 16509 94.2

33 779 16489 17290 95.4

35 688 17449 18238 95.7

37 527 18406 19121 96.3

38 420 18851 19568 96.3

38 851 19032 19820 96.0

39 388 19290 20098 96.0

40 229 19707 20523 96.0

9.8 17.3 18.4 10.9 7.3 1.0 52.1 27.7 55

9.5 17.7 16.5 11.5 7.8 1.1 50.8 28.8 58

9.9 17.5 15.3 12.3 8.2 1.2 49.8 29.6 60

9.6 17.8 15.6 12.8 8.6 1.3 49.3 30.1 63

9.5 18.4 15.3 14.2 9.8 1.6 47.1 30.2 67

9.2 18.1 15.4 14.9 10.6 1.8 46.3 30.3 71

8.3 17.6 16.3 15.5 11.2 2.0 46.3 30.8 74

6.5 16.7 16.8 17.0 12.0 2.4 46.9 32.0 76

5.3 14.6 16.9 19.0 13.6 2.9 48.8 33.7 77

4.9 11.8 16.4 20.8 15.3 3.4 50.6 35.6 78

4.6 10.1 14.5 21.6 16.8 3.7 50.8 37.6 80

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

........... ..........

B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ..................... .. Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................... ....... .......... Both sexes combined ............................

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SPAIN C. HMVARIANT

lndlcetor Populdon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Am dldrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15Percentageaged 65

..................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

43 397 21 375 22022

45522 22464

48 078 23 746 24 330

48 819 24 115 24 704

49 476 24 433 25 042

50 286 24 821 25 465

51 310 25 31 1

52 379

25823

23058

47 005 23 212 23 793

25999

26556

53 275 26250 27 025

5.1 9.3 12.1 21.7 16.8 4.3 50.5 36.8

6.2 9.4 10.1 22.4 17.2 5.1 47.8 40.3

6.3 10.9 9.1 23.4 17.9 5.7 44.2 41.9

5.7 12.2 9.2 24.9 18.9 5.8 41.0 43.6

5.2 11.6 10.8 27.2 20.5 6.1 36.9 45.4

5.1 10.6 12.1 29.8 22.6 6.7 37.3 46.6

5.6 10.2 11.8 32.4 24.9 7.3 36.3 46.8

6.1 10.5 10.7 34.4 27.0 8.3 35.9 45.9

6.4 11.5 10.0 34.8 28.7 9.5 36.0 44.2

6.4 12.4 10.4 33.9 28.9 10.6 36.8 43.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlation change per year (thousands). Populationgrmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO pqwlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralm rate (per 1,OOO populalion) Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

425

0.96 12.7 8.7 5.6 1.66 0.80

296 0.64 12.8 9.1 2.7 1.90 0.91

215 0.45 11.6 9.3 2.2 2.05

148 0.31 10.4 9.5 2.2 2.10 1.01

0.W

131 0.27 10.3 9.7 2.1 2.15 1.03

162 0.33 11.2 10.0 2.1 2.20 1.08

205 0.40 12.4 10.5 2.1 2.25 1 .oB

214 0.41 13.0 10.9 2.0 2.30 1.11

179 0.34 12.8 11.4 2.0 2.34 1.13

D. LOW VARIANT

PopUldOIl (thoUUndS) Total ......................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dl.blbuth Percentageaged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentag aged 15-24

Percentage aged 65 or percentage aged 80 or Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

MO5

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

43397 21 375 22022

44890 22035 22655

44974 22 166 22808

44 765

22 041 22 724

44362 21 816 22543

43844 21 532 22312

43246 21 195 22051

42512 20760 21732

41549 20247 21303

40320 19 582 20 739

5.1 9.3 12.1 21.7 16.8 4.3 50.5 38.8

4.5 9.6 10.3 22.9 17.5 5.2 48.6 40.8

3.9 9.6 9.5 24.4 18.6 6.0 46.1 43.2

3.3 8.5 9.9 26.8 20.3 6.3 43.9 45.7

3.1 7.4 10.0 30.0 22.5 6.7 40.9 48.3

3.1 6.6 9.0 33.6 25.5 7.5 37.4 50.7

3.2 6.4 7.9 37.7 28.9 8.5 34.7 52.7

3.3 6.6 7.2 41.5 32.6 10.0 33.1 54.4

3.2 6.8 7.0 43.9 36.2 11.9 32.1 55.3

3.1 6.9 7.3 44.6 38.2 14.0 31.5 55.7

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 202WG25 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204G2045 2045-2050 Populati change per year (thousands). Populatbn growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO populalion) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (perwunan) ..........

256 0.69

9.0 6.8 5.7 1.16 0.56

57 0.13 7.8 9.3 2.8 1.10 0.53

-

42 4.00 6.6 9.8 2.3 1.05 0.50

- 81 4.18 6.1 10.3 2.4 1.10 0.53

-

104 4.24 6.1 10.8 2.4 1.15 0.55

-

120 4.28 6.3 11.5 2.4 1.20 0.58

-

147 4.34 6.5 12.3 2.4 1.25 0.60

-

192 4.46 6.3 13.4 2.5 1.30 0.62

-

246

4.80 6.1 14.6 2.6 1.34 0.65

E. CONSlANT-FERflUTY VARIANT

Popuktlon (thournd.) Total .................................................... M& ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

43 397 21 375

22022 38.8

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

44 896 22 142 22755 40.7

45 456 22 414 23042 42.9

45 550 22 445 23105 45.3

45 359 22 332 23027 47.6

44 995 22 125 22870 50.0

44 514 21 646 226% 51.8

43 877 21 483 22394 53.1

43 OOO 20 993 22007 53.9

41 841 20 364 21477 54.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population g r m rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO POprlatiOn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..

0.68

9.Q 6.8

0.25 9.0 9.2

0.04 7.8 9.7

-0.08

7.0 10.1

-0.16 6.6 10.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaifalPopulation Division WO& Population Praspecs: The 2006 RevMon, Volume I: Comprehsnsive Tables

-0.22 6.7 11.2

4.29 6.7 12.0

-0.40 6.5 13.0

4.55 6.2 14.1

431

SRI LANKA

A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thouunds) Tot .... Ma ..... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 .......... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or ovw .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Median age (years) ....... Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

XQO

7339 3881 3458 112.2

8448

9888 5071 4627 109.6

10 965 5 702 5263 108.3

12 342 6 381 5 961 107.0

13672 7 022 6650 105.6

14 941 7635 7308 104.5

16 013 8 139 7 873 103.4

17 114 8 645 8469 102.1

18 080

4443 4005 110.9

18 714 9334 9379 99.5

17.1 23.8 19.3 5.5 3.6 0.1 46.7 19.5 112

16.7 25.5 17.8 5.5 3.6 0.3 45.5 19.3 129

16.5 26.1 17.5 5.7 3.6 0.4 45.3 18.8 148

14.9 26.4 19.1 5.9 3.7 0.5 46.8 19.1 1 67

14.2 25.4 20.1 6.2 3.9 0.5 48.1 19.8 188

13.5 24.1 20.8 6.5 4.2 0.5 49.9 20.7

12.9 23.4 20.3 6.9 4.4 0.5 50.5 21.7 228

11.8 22.8 19.6 7.5 5.0 0.7 51.1 22.7 244

10.2 21 .8 19.7 8.2 5.4 0.8 53.0 24.1 261

9.7 19.8 19.7 8.9 6.0 0.9 54.3 25.5 276

.

222 315

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) .......... Infant nwtalrty rate (per 1.OOO live births) Life expectancy at birth (ymn) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

Population change per year (thousands)

2.82 39.9 11.4 5.70 2.22 77

250 351 88 2.76 38.7 9.5 5.70 2.34 64

253 354 92 2.46 34.3 8.9 5.12 2.15 63

275 374 91 2.37 32.1 7.8 4.65 2.02 52

268 392 97 2.05 30.2 7.5 4.12 1 .80 50

254 405 104 1.78 28.3 7.3 3.66 1.83 41

214 391 88 1.39 25.3 6.3 3.16 1.45 29

220 357 109 1.33 21.5 6.6 2.65 1.24

58.4 57.3 57.6

62.0 61.4 61.5

62.1 62.6 62.2

63.5 65.4 64.3

63.8 66.7 65.0

64.4 68.1 65.9

90

8995

101.0

8.6 18.2 19.0 9.3 6.5 1.1

54.9 27.5 285

19851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOo-2005

1950-1955 1955-1980 1-1965

&rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ...................

208

9osS

22

193 359 114 1.10 20.4 6.5 2.46 1.17 17

127 335 128 0.69 18.2 7.0 2.22 1.05 15

81 309 139 0.43 16.3 7.3 2.02 0.96 12

88.6 71.9 68.8

66.1 72.9 69.0

67.5 74.0 70.4

€8.9 74.3 70.5

67.0 75.0 70.8

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thouunds) Total ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat0 (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage a@ 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or ovw .................. Percentage in school a w 6 11 Percentage in SCM ages 12-14.......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ... Mediin age (years) ................................. Population density (pqwlatkm per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

M50

19 121 9 450 9 671 97.7

19 576 9 621 9 958 96.6

19 980 9 755 10 205 95.6

20229 9834 10 395 94.6

20 328 9829 10 499 93.6

20 249 9 742 10 507 92.7

20 019 9590 10 429 92.0

19 671 9 393 10 278 91.4

19 232 9 164 10 068 91.0

I8 715 8908 9 807

7.9 16.3 18.9 9.7 6.5 1.1 9.6 5.1 5.4 11.7 54.8 29.5 291

7.3 15.2 16.7 12.0 7.4 1.3 9.1 4.6 4.8 10.2 53.2 31.2

7.1 14.3 15.0 14.6 9.3 1.5 8.5 4.4 4.4 9.0 50.9 33.3 304

6.8 13.7 14.1 17.2 11.6 1.7 8.2 4.1 4.3 8.4 48.5 35.5 308

6.4 13.4 13.5 19.7 13.8 2.1 8.1 4.1 4.0 8.1 47.3 37.4 310

6.0 12.9 13.1 22.0 15.9 2.9 7.7 4.0 4.0 7.8 45.8 39.2 309

5.7 12.2 13.0 22.9 17.7 3.9 7.2 3.8 3.9 7.8 43.3 40.6 305

5.6 11.6 12.7 24.4 18.4 4.6 6.9 3.6 3.7 7.7 41.4 41.7 300

5.5 11.4 12.1 27.1 19.5 5.4 6.8 3.5 3.6 7.3 40.2 42.6

5.4 11.3 11.6 29.0 21.9 6.0 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.0 39.4 43.4 285

298

293

90.8

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (lhowands) Births per year (thcusanbs) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population g M h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO p q w l a t i ) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO pqwlation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ooO popuiation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction tale ( p e r m ) .......... Infant M a l i rate (per 1 OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1 OOO l i births) Llfe expectancy at blrlh (ynn) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

..

..

432

91 291 140 -60 0.47 15.0 7.2 -3.1 1.88 0.90 11 13

77 289 152 . 60 0.39 14.6 7.7 -3.0 1.85 0.89 10 12

54 281 167 . 60 0.27 14.0 8.3 -3.0 1.85 0.89 10 12

20 264 184 -60 0.10 13.0 9.1 -3.0 1.85 0.89 9 11

68.8 76.2 72.4

69.5 77.0 73.1

70.2 77.6 73.0

70.8 78.2 74.5

. 16

12.2 10.0 -3.0 1.85 0.89 9 11

-46 234 220 -60 -0.23 11.6 10.9 -3.0 1.85 0.89 8 10

71.5 78.8 75.1

72.3 79.4 75.8

247 202 -60 -0.08

. 70

. 103

235 -60 -0.35 11.3 11.8 -3.0 1.85 0.89 8 9

-88 218 245 -60 4.45 11.2 12.6 -3.1 1.85 0.89 7 9

73.0 79.9 76.5

73.6 80.4 77.1

74.3 80.9 77.6

a5

208 251 -60 -0.55 10.9 13.2 -3.2 1.85 0.89 7 8

United Nations Deparbnent of Ecooomic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SRI LANKA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

l 9 121 9450 9671

19 767 9718 10049

20 459 10009 10450

21 104 10279 10825

21 561 10457 11104

21 649 10556 11293

22 045 10621 11425

22 226 10692 11534

22 407 l0778 11629

7.9 16.3 18.9 9.7 6.5 1.1 54.8 29.5

8.2 15.0 16.6 11.8 7.3 1.3 52.7 30.9

8.4 14.9 14.6 14.3 9.1 1.5 49.7 32.5

8.3 15.5 13.5 16.5 11.1 1.6 46.6 34.1

7.7 15 8 13.6 18.6 13.0 2.0 45.6 35.4

7.2 15.3 14.4 20.4 14.7 2.7 44.8 36.2

7.2 14.4 14.9 20.8 16.1 3.5 43.2 36.5

74 13.9 14.5 21.6 16.2 4.1 42.2 36 3

7.6 14.1 13 6 23.2 16.7 4.6 41.6 36.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 populat~on). Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

129 0.67 16.9 7.2 -3.1 2.13 1.02

138 0.69 17.5 7.6 -3.0 2.25 1.08

129 0.62 17.2 8.1 -2.9 2.35 1.13

92 0.43 15.8 8.7 -2.8 2.35 1.13

57 0.27 14.8 9.4 -2.8 2.35 1.13

39 0.18 14.6 10.1 -2.7 2.35 1.13

36 0.16 15.0 10.7 -2.7 2.35 1.13

36 0.16 15.4 11.1 -2.7 2.35 1.14

30 0.13 15.3 11.3 -2.7 2.35 114

-121 .0.66 8.6 11.9 .3.3 1 35 0.65

-156 .0.88 7.8 13.2 .3.4 1.35 0.65

-163 .1.09 7.1 14.5 .3.6 1.35 0.65

-202 .1.28 6.7 15.7 .3.8 1.35 0.65

.

D LOW VARIANT

. Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... rvledian age (years) ................................

Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fe;tility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

53 0 28 13.1 7.2 .3.1 1.63 0.78

15 0.08 11.7 7.8 .3.1 1.45 0.70

. 21 .0.11 10.6 8.6 .3.1 1.35 0.65

. 51 .0.27 10.0 9.5 .3.1 1.35 0.65

-86 .0.45 9.3 10.7 .3.2 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

19 121 9 450 9671 29.5

19 678 9 672 10006 31.1

20 183 9 669 10314 33.0

20 580 10 013 10566 34.9

20 815 10 077 10738 36.6

20 876 10 061 10815 38.0

20 800 9 987 10813 39.1

20 626 9 878 10748 39.7

20 362 9 749 10634 40.1

Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.57 ?6.0 7.2

0.51 15.7 7.7

0.39 15.1 8.2

0.23 14.1 8.9

0.06 13.2 9.7

.0.07 12.7 10.6

.0.17 12.6 11.4

.0.24 12.6 12.0

.0.30 12.4 12.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

SUDAN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Popuiat~onchange per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000lhve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ........................

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

36 900 18 578 18 322 101.4

41 230 20 769 20 461 101.5

45 613 22 983 22 629 101.6

50 027 25 21 1 24 817 101.6

14.8 25.9 20.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.6 11.7 48.1 19.4 15

13.7 25.0 20.3 5.9 3.8 0.5 15.2 7.2 6.7 11.8 49.6 20.2 16

12.7 23.6 20.6 6.2 4.1 0.5 14.3 6.8 6.6 12.1 51.2 21.4 18

11.9 22.4 20.2 6.6 4.4 0.6 13.5 6.5 6.3 12.0 52.4 22.7 20

2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ..........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

SUDAN C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49........ Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

36 900 18 578 18 322

41 565 20 940 20 625

46 565 23 469 23 096

51 864 26 147 25 717

57 109 28 794 28 316

62464 31 491 30 973

67925 34 237 33 687

73 494 37033 36 460

79 124 39 855 39 269

64720 42 652 42069

Populattonchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1 ,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

14.8 25.9 20.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 48.1 19.4

14.4 24.8 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.5 49.2 20.0

13.8 23.9 20.1 6.1 4.0 0.5 50.2 20.9

13.2 23.4 19.5 6.4 4.2 0.6 50 6 21.8

12.4 22.7 19.1 6.8 4.5 0.6 51.2 22.7

11.7 21.8 19.0 7.4 4.9 0.7 51.6 23.6

11.2 20.9 18.8 8.1 5.3 0.8 51.9 24.6

10.7 20.0 18.3 89 5.9 0.9 51.8 25 6

10.3 19.3 17.7 9.9 6.6 1 .0 51.5 26.7

933 2.38 33.3 10.2 0.7 4.48 1.81

1000 2.27 31.4 9.4 0.6 4.10 1.70

1060 2.16 29.7 8.7 0.5 3.79 1.61

1049 1.93 27.6 8.1 -0.2 3.48 1.51

1071 1.79 25.8 7.7 -0.2 3.25 1.43

1092 1.68 24.3 7.4 -0.2 3.07 1.37

1114 1.58 23.1 7.3 -0.1 2.92 l .32

1126 1.46 22 1 7.2 -0.1 2.80 1.28

1119 1.37 21.0 7.2 -0.1 2.69 1.24

98 187 17.1 10.9 7.4 1.1

51.0 27.7

.

D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................ Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over ................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

799 2.06 29.8 10.0 0.7 3.98 1.61

753 1.76 26.1 9.1

0.6 3.30 1.37

706 1.52 23.2 8.5 0.6 2.79 1.18

648 1.30 21.4 8.2 -0.2 2.48 1.07

606 1.15 19.7 8.0 -02 2.25 0.99

537 0.96 17.7 7.9 -0.2 2.07 0.92

446 0.77 15.8 8.0 -0.2 1.92 0.87

348 0.58 14.2 8.2 -02 1.80 0.82

251 0.41 12 9 8.6 -0.2 1 69 0.78

.

E CQNSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

36 900 18578 18 322 19.4

41 923 21122 20 800 19.8

47 847 24122 23 725 20.2

54 703 27594 27 109 20.3

62312 31445 30 868 20.1

70 949 35813 35 136 20.1

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

2.55 35.1 10.3

2.64 35.3 9.6

2.68 35.1 8.9

2.61 34 4

2.60 33.7 7.6

2.61 33.3 7.1

80829 40808 40021 20.3 .

8.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

92240 46575 45 665 20.4

105475 53265 52 210 20 5

.

2.64 33.2 6.7

2.68 33.2 6.4

2.71 33.2 6.1

120 793 61009 59 783 204

SURINAME

A ESTIMATES indicator 1950 ~~~~~~

populr~on(thourmlr) Total .. .............................. Males ...................................................

Females ...............................................

Sex ratio (males per 100 M) ........... Age dirtribuUon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... P-ge agsd 15-24... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OV(H .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage of maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuhtion density (popuhtion per sq km)

1955 ~~~

1980

1985

..

1975 ~~

250 128 1 24 101.8

290 145 145 100.0

332 165 167 99.3

372 166 166 99.6

384 183 182 100.6

17.2

18.8 24.4 18.8 72 4.8

20.3 27.2 15.5 6.2 4.1 0.7 41.4 16.5 2

19.3 29.0 16.3 6.0 4.0 0.6 41.2 16.0 2

17.1 31.2 18.0 5.7 3.9 0.5 41.5 15.8 2

15.5 32.2 18.9 5.8 3.9 0.4 42.2 18.0 2

22.8

8.4 8.0

0.9 45.4 20.1 1

0.8

43.5 18.9 2

358 177 179 96.5

13.3 27.8 22.4 6.3 4.5 1 .o

47.3 18.3 2

-2

5

11

11

55

-2 13 3 -0.42 34.8 7.5 5.29 2.38 49

3 -0.46 29.5 7.3 4.20 1.95 44

60.5 64.5 62.5

81.7 66.5 64.0

8 14 3 2.72 44.4 10.3 8.56 2.01

8 14 3 2.28 40.0

63

54.4 57.7

57.0 80.5

56.7 82.5

58.0

58.7

60.5

88

1985 ~~~~~

1990 ~~~

~

~~~

383 191 192 99.5

402 201 201 100.0

416 208 207 100.4

13.9 23.7 23.5 8.3 4.1 0.7 50.2 20.1 2

12.1 23.1 21.1 8.9 4.3

10.8 23.3 18.6 7.8 4.9 0.5 51.7 23.6 3

0.8

51.7 22.0 2

2oOO

1995 ~~

~

436 219 218 100.5 11.1

21 .o 19.2 8.4 5.7 0.5

53.1 24.2 3

1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1880 1980-1985 18851880 1990-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005

8 12 3 2.97 44.4 11.4 6.56 2.72 78

7 10 3 3.02 43.8 12.8 6.58 2.82

lSe0 ~~

215 107 108 99.1

1850-1955 1955-1980 19&1985 Populationchange per year (Ihcuwds). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousanbs)................... Population g M rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpoprhtion) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlatbn) Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality raIe (per 1 .OOO liw bMhs) Ltk expectancy al birth (yeuo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both $emscombined ............................

1970

~~

8.8

5.95 2.61

3 1.47 30.5 7.2 3.70 1.88 39

4 10 3 0.97 26.0 8.8 3.00 1.37 38

3 9 3 0.66 22.9 6.4 2.80 1.19

4 10 3 0.96 23.7 6.5 2.80 1.28

3 9 3 0.72 21.2 6.8 2.60 1.19

35

34

32

62.8 87.7 65.1

64.8 69.9 67.6

65.7 70.7 68.2

66.1 71.1 88.6

66.3 71.8

66.0

2040

2045

2050

483 231

426 212 214 99.2

89.0

72.5 69.1

B. MEDIUMVARIANT

Population (Ihouundo) Total ......................................

Males ................................................... Females ............................................... s e x ratio (mares per 100 females) A g . dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage agad 5-14 Percentage 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 Percentage in schod ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 1549. Median age (years) ........................ Population density (population per sq km)

....

.....

............ .......... ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

M30

2035

052

465 233

475 237

482 241 241 99.8

481 240 241 99.8

474 237 237 99.8

99.7

446 223 224 99.4

7.3 15.4 15.2 15.9 10.1 1.5 9.3 4.7 4.6 9.0 48.6 33.4 3

8.8 14.3 14.4 18.8 13.0 1.8 8.6 4.4 4.4 8.8 47.9 35.4 3

8.3 13.4 13.5 20.9 15.4 2.4 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.1 45.2 37.8 3

5.9 12.8 12.7 22.7 17.4 3.2 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.8 43.3 39.9 3

5.5 11.8 11.9 25.9 18.7 4.5 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.1 42.2 42.0 3

227 228 100.3 10.0 19.8 19.8 8.9 8.3 0.7 12.1 5.5 5.8

3

100.0

99.8

480 240 241 99.7

9.3 19.1 17.4 9.8 8.7 0.9 11.5 5.8 5.1 10.4 52.8 27.4 3

8.6 17.6 16.8 10.8 7.3 1.2 10.5 5.3 5.5 9.8 51.2 29.4 3

7.9 18.5 18.3 12.7 8.4 1.4 9.9 4.9 4.9 9.9 49.8 31.4 3

m

238

232

5.2 11.1

11.3 28.6 21.6 5.4 6.7 3.4 3.4 6.8 40.1 44.1 3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2a30 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (lhommck).

Population g r M h rate @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopuhtlon) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .OOO pqwtatkm) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reprcductii rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W ihre bitihs) Under-We moltality (per 1 .OOO l i i wha) Life Ma ...... Females ............................................... Bolh sem combined ............................

.... .

436

3 9 3 -3 0.56 19.5 6.9 -7.0 2.42

1.11 28 35

67.0 73.6 70.2

2 8 3 -3 0.40

18.1 7.2 4.8 2.29 1.08 25 31 88.0

74.5 71.1

1 8 4 - 3 0.24 18.5 7.4 4.7 2.19 1.02 23 28

0 7 4 - 3 0.09 15.1 7.6

89.2 75.5 72.3

70.8 78.3 73.5

4.8

2.09 0.08 21 26

0 7 4 -3 -0.07 14.0 8.1 4.6 2.01 0.94

19 24 71.9 77.2 74.5

8 4 -3 4.27 12.9 8.9 4.7 1.94 0.91 17 21

-2 8 5 -3 -0.49 11.9 10.0 4.8 1.88 0.88 15 19

-3 5 5 -3 -0.73 11.1 11.3 -7.0 1.85 0.87 14 17

-4 5 5 -3 -0.94 10.5 12.6 -7.3 1.85 0.87 12 15

72.8 78.0 75.4

73.5 78.7 78.0

73.9 79.4 78.8

74.8 80.1 77.4

- 1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revsbn, Vohme I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

452 227 226

470 235 235

486 243 243

501 250 250

51 1 256 256

519 260 259

523 262 261

525 263 262

523 262 261

10.0 19.8 19.6 8.9 6.3 0.7 53.6 25.4

10.1 18.9 17.2 9.5 6.7 0.9 52.2 27.1

9.9 18.1 16.2 10.6 7.1 1.2 50.1 28.6

9.4 18.2 15.7 12.2 8.0 1.3 47.8 30.0

8.6 17.7 15.2 15.0 9.5 1.4 46.8 31 .1

8.1 16.6 15.5 17.3 12.0 1.7 46.6 32.5

7.8 15.5 15.3 19.0 14.0 2.1 44.9 33.8

7.6 14.9 14.5 20.0 15.3 2.8 43.7 34.7

7.5 14.6 13.6 22.1 16.0 3.9 43.3 35.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Totai fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 0.75 21.4 7.0 -6.9 2.67 1.23

.

3 0.70 20.9 7.2 -6.7 2.69 1.25

3 0.58 19.6 7.3 -6.5 2.69 1.25

2 0.42 17.9 7.4 -6.3 2.59 1.21

1 0.29 16.7 7.6 -6.2 2.51 1.18

1 0.17 16.1 8.2 -6.1 2.44 1.15

0 0.05 15.6 9.0 -6.1 2.38 1.12

0 -0.08 15.3 10.0 -6.1 2.35 1.11

- 1 -0.21 14.8 10.7 .6.2 2.35 1.11

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................... ................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

...

452 227 226

461 230 230

463 231 232

460 229 231

453 226 227

443 221 222

427 212 215

405 201 204

378 187

10.0 19.8 19.6 8.9 6.3 0.7 53.6 25.4

8.4 19.3 17.6 9.7 6.8 0.9 53.1 27.6

7.3 17.1 17.1 11.1 7.4 1.2 52.5 30.2

6.4 14.7 17.1 13.3 8.7 1.5 51.9 32.9

5.9 12.9 15.1 16.9 10.7 1.6 50.7 35.7

5.4 11.6 13.0 20.2 14.1 1.9 49.3 38.5

4.8 10.8 11.3 23.3 17.1 2.6 45.5 41.4

4.1 9.8 10.2 25.9 19.8 3.6 42.4 44.5

3.6 8.6 9.5 30.6 22.2 5.4 40.0 47.8

191

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.37 17.6 6.9 -7.0 2.17 1 .00

0 0.10 15.2 7.2 -6.9 1 .89 0.88

-l .0.14 13.2 7.6 -6.9 1.69 0.78

-1 -0.29 12.1 8.0 -7.0 1.59 0.74

-2 .0.47 11.0 8.6 -7.1 1.51 0.71

-3 .0.73 9.7 9.6 .7.4 1.44 0.68

-4 -1.06 8.2 11.1 -7.7 1.38 0.65

- 6 -1.41 7.1 13.0 -8.2 1.35 0.64

-6 .1.75 6.3 15.0 -8.8 1.35 0.64

526 264 263 34.6

527 264 263 35.3

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

452 227 226 25.4

469 234 234 27.2

484 242 242 28.8

496 248 248 30.3

507 254 254 31.5

516 258 258 32.7

523 262 261 33.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.70 20.9 7.0

0.63 20.2 7.2

0.53 19.1 7.3

0.43 18.1 7.4

0.34 17.4 7.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.25 16.9 8.3

0.15 16.6 9.0

0.03 16.3 9.9

-0.07 16.0 10.6

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..................

..

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

....

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popufation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... .......... ............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

9 0.81 30.5 21.3 .1.0 3.70 1.20

9 0.79 30.4 21.5 -1 .0 3.50 1.18

11 0.88 29.7 19.9 .1.0 3.34 1.19

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

1125 542 582

1150 559 591

1159 569 590

1162 577 585

1159 582 577

l153 583 570

1142 581 562

1128 575 553

1111 567 545

13.1 26.7 24.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 50.8 18.9

12.0 25.0 25.6 5.4 3.5 0.4 52.2 20.0

11.2 23.6 24.9 5.9 3.9 0.5 53.1 21.1

10.5 22.4 23.5 6.2 4.3 0.6 54.5 22.3

10.0 21.4 22.6 6.3 4.5 0.7 56.2 23.3

9.4 20.4 21.8 6.1 4.6 0.8 58.1 24.3

8.8 19.4 21.1 5.9 4.4 0.9 59.5 25.4

8.2 18.3 20.3 5.8 4.2 1 .0 59.9 26.6

7.7 17.2 19.5 6.6 4.2 1 .0 59.5 27.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

5 0.44 26.6 21 .1 -1 .1 3.20 1.03

2 0.16 24.3 21.6 -1 0 2.70 0.91

.

1 0.06 22.4 20.7 -1.0 2.34 0.83

-1 .0.05 21 .0 20.5 -1.0 2.14 0.80

-

1

.0.11 19.5 19.6 -1 0 1.98 0.78

.

-2 -0.19 18.2 19.0 -1 0 1.85 0.76

.

-3 .0.25 16.9 18.4 -1.1 1.73 0.73

3 .0.30 15.8 17.7 -1 .1 1.64 0.71

-

.3 .0.32 14.6 16.7 -1.1 1.55 0.68

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (yeas) ............................ ..

1 125 542 562 18.9

1 178 573 605 19.5

1 238 609 629 19.8

1 313 653 660 19.5

1 394 700 694 19.0

1 488 752 736 19.1

1 602 812 790 19.3

1 741 884 857 19.6

1 904 967 936 19.7

Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 population) ..

0.93 31.7 21.3

1 .00 32.4 21.4

1.17 32.3 19.7

1.19 31.3 18.5

1.31 30.6 16.7

1.48 30.8 15.3

1.66 31.3 14.1

1.79 31.5 13.0

1.88 31.2 11.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2 091 1 062 1029 19.8

SWEDEN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ..................... . ................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

SWEDEN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

55 0.60 12.8 10.1 3.3 2.05 0.99

63 0.66 13.7 9.7 2.6 2.24 1.08

73 0.74 14.4 9.6 2.5 2.35 1.13

70 0.69 14.0 9.6 2.5 2.35 1.13

60 0.58 13.2 9.8 2.4 2.35 1.13

57 0.53 13.0 10.0 2.3 2.35 1.13

65 0.59 13.8 10.1 2.3 2.35 1.13

78 0.68 14.6 10.0 2.2 2.35 1.14

87 0.73 14.9 9.7 2.1 2.35 1.14

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4........................ .. Percentage aged 5-14..................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

27 0.29 9.8 10.1 3.3 1.55 0.74

..

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................... ........................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years)................................

9 038 4 481 4 557 40.2

9 206 4 572 4 633 41.2

9 355 4 654 4 701 42.1

9 513 4 736 4 777 42.7

9 653 4 806 4 847 43.1

9 749 4 851 4 899 43.6

9 803 4 874 4 929 44.5

9 835 4 888 4 947 45.4

9 862 4 902 4 960 45.5

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.37 10.5 10.1

0.32 10.4 9.9

0.34 10.6 9.9

0.29 10.5 10.1

0.20 10.0 10.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

0.11 9.6 11.0

0.07 9.5 11.4

0.05 9.5 11.5

0.05 9.6 11.6

SWITZERLAND A. ESTIMATES Indicator PopulaUon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ...........................

.............................

........

Sex ratio (males per 100 fema Aga di.trlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Peccentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or ovar .................. Percentageagad 65 or Over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d women aged 1549 ......... M e d i age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1635

1990

1995

2OOO

4694 2262 2432 93.0

4980 2407 2573 93.5

5362 2630 2732 96.3

5857 2853 3004 95.0

6187 3022 3164 95.5

6339

3090 3249 95.1

6319 3074 3245 94.7

8536 3185 3351 95.1

6834 3371 3463 97.3

7133 3486 3648 95.6

7263 3552 3712 95.7

8.7 14.8 14.4 14.0 9.6 1.2 50.4 33.3 114

8.1 16.1 13.5 14.5 9.9 1.3 48.5 33.3 121

8.2 15.5 15.4 14.9 10.1 1.5 48.1 32.5 130

8.8 15.3 16.5 15.5 10.5 1.6 47.8 31.6 142

8.1 15.7 15.4 16.4 11.4 1.8 48.2 31.9 150

6.7 15.8 14.6 17.5 12.6 2.1 48.4 33.1 154

5.6 14.1 15.3 18.3 13.8 2.8 49.1 34.8 153

5.7 11.8 15.5 19.2 14.2 3.2 50.2 38.2 158

5.9 11.0 14.0 19.1 14.3 3.7 50.7 36.4 166

6.2 11.7 12.5 18.5 13.9 3.7 50.2 36.5 1 73

5.6 12.0 11.6 19.5 14.6 3.9 48.4 38.4 176

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1865-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1-1635 Populationchange per year (tbsands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thMlsands) ................... Population Qrowthrale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Clude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (chHdren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant rortalii rate @er t ,ooOlive births) L k upactmcy at blrth (yeafa)

Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

57

76 90 51

99 106 53

49 1.18 11.3 10.1 2.28 1.08 29

t .a

t .n

17.5 9.9 2.34 1 .cm 23

18.9 9.5 2.51 1.17

20

66 106 56 1.10 17.7 9.3 2.27 1.07 17

67.0 71.6 69.2

68.2 73.4 70.7

68.9 74.6 71.7

69.4 75.1 72.2

84

30 89 56 0.49 14.2 9.0 1.82 0.86 13 70.8 77.0 73.8

- 4 73 57

1985-1990 1880-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005

11.6 9.0 1.53 0.73 10

43 74 59 0.67 11.5 9.2 1.53 0.73 8

60 79 61 0.89 11.8 9.1 1.53 0.73 7

60 86 86 0.86 12.3 9.4 1.54 0.74 6

26 81 61 0.36 11.2 8.4 1.47 0.71 5

32 72 60 0.44 9.8 8.1 1.42 0.68 4

72.0 78.6 75.2

72.9 79.6 76.2

74.0 80.7 77.4

74.7 81.4 77.8

76.3 82.3 79.4

77.9 83.2 80.7

-0.08

B. MEDIUM VARIANT

Papulatlon ( t h w m d a ) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......... Sex ratio (males Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or OYer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.. P e m n t a p in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... -taw Median age ( Populationdensity (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

7424 3620 3805 95.1

7567 38TI 3890 94.5

7899 3 728 3 971 93.9

7838 3 781 4 057 93.2

7 978 3834 4 143 92.5

8 104 3880 4 224 91.9

8202 3 912 4290 91.2

8 278 3935 4343 90.6

8350 3958 4 392 90.1

8434 3990 4444 89.8

4.9 11.8 12.0 21.1 15.4 4.3 7.0 3.8 3.6 7.2 47.6 40.1 180

4.7 10.7 12.6 23.0 17.0 4.7 6.2 3.5 3.8 7.6 46.7 41.8 183

4.7 9.8 12.5 24.6 18.7 5.2 5.8 3.1 3.4 7.7 44.8 42.9 186

4.9 9.6 11.4 26.7 20.0 5.6 5.7 2.9 3.1 7.0 42.6 43.4 190

5.1 9.8 10.5 29.0 21.9 6.5 5.9 2.9 3.0 6.4 41.4 43.6 193

5.2 10.3 10.3 30.6 23.9 7.4 6.2 3.0 3.0 6.2 40.8 43.8 196

5.1 10.5 10.6 31.1 25.5 8.1 6.3 3.2 3.2 6.3 40.3 44.1 199

5.0 10.5 11.1 30.8 25.7 9.1 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.7 40.0 44.6 201

5.1 10.4 11.4 30.7 25.2 10.3 6.2 3.2 3.3 6.9 39.4 44.7 202

5.4 10.5 11.3 30.7 25.0 11.0 6.2 3.2 3.2 6.9 39.1 44.2 204

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 203J-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populatm change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net mbratitm per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) .. Net migmtitm rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) . Total fefiility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfantmortalii rate (per t ,ooOl i births) Under-five mortality (per 1,ooO live him) Llh qmctancy at birth (yemu) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem combined ...........................

442

28 69 61 0.38 9.2 8.1 2.7 1.42 0.69 4 5

27 71 64 20 0.35 9.3 8.4 2.6 1.45 0.70 4 5

79.0 84.2 81.7

79.6 84.8 82.3

20

28 78 68 0.23 9.8 8.8 2.6 1.50 0.72 4 5

28 80 72 20 0.35 10.2 9.2 2.5 1.55 0.75 4 5

80.2 85.3 82.8

80.7 85.9 83.4

20

20

15

82

82

14 64

86

90

20

20

0.31 10.2 9.6 2.5 1.80 0.77 4 5

82 20 0.24 10.0 10.1 2.5 1.65 0.80 3 4

0.19 9.9 10.5 2.4 1.70 0.82 3 4

0.17 10.2 10.8 2.4 1.75 0.85 3 4

17 89 93 20 0.20 10.6 11.0 2.4 1 .80 0.87 3 4

81.3 86.4 83.9

81.8 87.0 84.5

82.3 87.5 85.0

82.8 88.1 85.6

83.3 88.6 86.1

25 82 77

20

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensiveTables

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

40 0.53 10.7 8.1 2.7 1.67 0.81

46 0.59 11.7 8.3 2.6 1.85 0.89

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age diarlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per wornan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................ ..................... Fernales .................... ...... ............... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

17 0.22 7.7 8.1 2.7 1 .17 0.57

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

7424 3 620 3805 40.1

7564 3 676 3889 41 .8

7689 3 723 3966 43.0

7807 3 766 4042 43.6

7910 3 800 4111 43.9

7983 3 818 4165 44.4

8016 3 817 4199 45.0

8018 3 802 4217 45.8

8000 3 778 4222 46.3

0.37 9.2 8.1

0.33 9.1 8.4

0.31 9.3 8.8

0.26 9.3 9.2

0.18 9.0 9.7

0.08 8.6 10.2

0.00 8.3 10.8

.0.05 8.3 11.2

-0.07 8.4 11.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

7974 3 754 4220 46.5

SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.....................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

18 894 9539 9355 102.0

21 428 10821 10607 102.0

23 510 11877 11632 102.1

25 573 12922 12651 102.1

27 519 13899 13620 102.0

29 294 14786 14508 101.9

30 921 15594 15327 101.7

32 403 16324 16079 101.5

33 754

13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 14.2 6.9 7.2 13.9 53.7 20.6 102

12.4 22.1 20.9 5.0 3.3 0.5 13.4 6.3 6.1 12.6 54.7 22.5 116

11.4 21.6 18.7 5.7 3.6 0.6 13.2 6.1 5.8 11.0 54.6 24.0 127

10.1 20.7 18.2 6.7 4.3 0.6 12.5 6.1 5.8 10.7 54.9 25.6 138

8.9 19.0 18.4 7.9 5.1 0.7 11.4 5.8 5.8 10.9 55.2 27.3 149

8.0 17.1 18.0 9.5 6.2 0.9 10.1 5.3 5.4 10.8 54.8 29.2 158

7.4 15.5 16.9 11.6 7.6 1.2 9.2 4.8 4.9 10.2 53.2 31.2 167

7.0 14.3 15.4 14.1 9.3 1.5 8.5 4.4 4.5 9.3 51.3 33.2 175

6.8 13.5 14.1 77.1 11.5 1.9 8.1 4.1 4.1 8.5 49.7 35.2 182

16982 16771 101.3

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................. ............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC C. HIGHVARIANT lndlcator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18 894 9539 9355

21 643 10 931 10 712

24 113 12 186 11 927

26 690 13 493 13 197

29 172 14 745 14 428

31 543 15 936 15 808

33 887 17 112 16 776

36 257

38654

18 295 17 961

19 490 19 164

40 936 20622 20 315

13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 53.7 20.6

13.3 21.9 20.7 4.9 3.3 0.5 54.2 22.2

12.7 22.0 18.2 5.6 3.5 0.5 53.3 23.3

11.6 22.1 17.5 6.4 4.1 0.6 52.6 24.3

10.2 21.o 18.0 7.5 4.8 0.7 52.9 25.5

9.3 19.2 18.6 8.9 5.7 0.8 52.8 26.9

8.9 17.4 18.0 10.6 6.9 1.1 51.8 28.4

8.7 16.4 16.6 12.6 8.3 1.3 50.4 29.9

8.6 16.0 15.2 15.0 10.0 1.7 49.2 31.5

8.3 15.9 14.5 16.9 12.0 2.1 48.3 32.8

Popul.tkn (rnWund8) Males ................................................... Femeles ............................................... dl.trlbul&n Percentage aged M ............................ Peromlage aged 514 .......................... PercenIa!p aged 1524 ......................... Percentaged 60 or owr ..................

Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or owr .................. percentage of mxnen aged 1549 .........

Median age (years) .................................

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) poprletion growth rale (per cant) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO popllalkn) .... Crude death rale (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rale @er 1,OOOpopulatkn) . Total fertility (children per wunan) ........... Net repmduction rale (par wanan) ..........

550 2.72 28.7 3.4 1.8 3.33 1.59

494 2.16

27.3 3.4 -2.4 3.17 1.51

515 2.03 24.7 3.4 -1.0 3.01 1.44

4m 1.78 21.6 3.4 4.4 2.79 1.34

474 1.56 19.6 3.7 -0.3 2.61 1.25

469 1.43 18.6 4.0 -0.3 2.45 1.18

474 1.35 18.2 4.4 -0.3 2.35 1.13

480

456

1.28 18.0 4.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13

1.15 17.2 5.5 -0.3 2.35 1.13

D. LOW VARIANT

PopuWon (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fema)es ............................................... Age dlrtrlbutkn h t a g e aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 .......................... Pemtaga aged 1524 ......... Percentage aged 60 or.. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage o f m aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18 894 9539 9355

21 213 10 712 10 502

22908 11 589 11 338

24 457 12 351 12 106

25 868 13 054 12 813

27 064 13 645 13 419

28026 14 113 13 913

28 738 14 448 14 289

29 225 14 685 14 560

29445 14 742 14 703

13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 53.7 20.8

11.5 22.3 21.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 55.3 22.7

10.0 21.3 19.2 5.9 3.7 0.6 56.0 24.7

8.4 19.2 19.1 7.0 4.4 0.7 57.4 26.9

7.4 16.8 18.7 8.4 5.4 0.8 57.9 29.2

6.5 14.6 17.3 10.3 6.7 0.9 57.1 31.7

5.8 13.1 15.4 12.8 8.3 1.3 54.7 34.2

5.2 11.8 13.7 15.9 10.5 1.7 52.1 38.9

4.9 10.7 12.5 19.8 13.2 2.2 49.8 39.6

4.5 9.9 11.4 23.5 16.7 3.0 47.3 42.2

20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2WO-2035 20352040 2M0-2045 2045-2050 Poplrati change per year )-( . popdatkn gmwlh rale @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rale (per 1,OOO populatkn) .. Net m r a l h rate (per 1.OOO p0Pu)ation) Total M i d y (children per woman) ........... Net reproductrw, rale (per women) ..........

.

464

339

2.32 24.7 3.4 1.8 2.83 1.35

1.54 21.2 3.4 -2.4 2.37 1.13

310 1.31 17.7 3.5 -1.1 2.01 0.96

282 1.12 15.3 3.7 -0.4 1.79 0.88

239 0.90 13.5 4.1 -0.4 1.61 0.77

192 0.70 12.0 4.6 -0.4 1.45 0.70

142 0.50 10.7 5.3 -0.4 1.35 0.65

97 0.34 9.9 6.2 -0.3 1.35 0.65

44 0.15 9.1 7.2 -0.3 1.35 0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

POpuMon (thownd.) Total .................................................... M a b ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

18894 9 539 9 355 20.6

21747 10 984 10 763 22.1

24470 12 368 12 102 22.9

27486 13 900 13 586 23.4

30701 15 527 15 174 23.8

34108 17 250 16 859 24.3

37827 19 128 18 699 25.1

41919 21 194 20 725 25.8

46383 23 436

51103 25 828 25 278 26.5

22 927 26.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2065-2050 Populationgrowlh rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rale @er 1,OOOpopulatkn) ..

2.81 29.7 3.4

2.36 29.3 3.4

2.33 27.5 3.3

2.21 25.8 3.4

2.11 24.8 3.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.07 24.7 3.7

2.05 24.8 4.0

2.02 24.6 4.3

1.95 24.2 4.6

445

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

6550 3 253 3 297 98.7

7062 3 493 3 570 97.8

7703 3 806 3 897 97.7

8342 4 118 4 224 97.5

8929 4 404 4 526 97.3

9434 4 647 4 787 97.1

9857 4 849 5 008 96.8

10204 5 014 5 191 96.6

10505 5 156 5 349 96.4

13.1 26.2 22.3 5.1 3.9 0.5 15.7 7.9 7.9 12.7 51.5 19.2 46

12.2 23.8 23.3 5.0 3.6 0.7 14.2 7.2 7.2 14.0 53.2 20.9 49

11.8 21 .8 21.6 5.5 3.5 0.7 13.1 6.5 6.5 13.0 53.7 22.6 54

11.1 20.8 19.7 6.6 3.9 0.9 12.6 6.0 5.9 11 8 53.9 24.2 58

9.9 20.1 18.4 8.1 5.0 0.7 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.9 54.2 25.9 62

8.8 18.9 17.9 9.2 6.3 0.8 11.3 5.7 5.6 10.6 54.9 27.7 66

7.8 17.1 17.8 10.3 7.2 1.0 10.2 5.4 5.5 10.6 55.0 29.5 69

7.2 15.5 17.1

6.9 14.2 15.7 13.2 8.9 l .9 8.4 4.4 4.6 9.6 51.5 33.2 73

.

11.4

8.0 1.4 9.2 4.9 5.0 10.3 53.5 31.4 71

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TAJl KISTAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

6 550 3 253 3 297

7 137 3 531 3 606

7 914 3 914 4 000

8 739 4 320 4 418

13.1 26.2 22.3 5.1 3.9 0.5 51.5 19.2

13.1 23.6 23.1 5.0 3.6 0.7 52.7 20.6

13.2 22.1 21.1 5.4 3.4 0.7 52.3 22.0

12.7 22.2 18.8 6.3 3.8 0.8 51.5 23.0

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

117 1.72 29.5 6.5 -5.8 3.60 1.59

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... ....................... Females ............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

88 1.30 25.2 6.3 -5.9 3.10 1.37

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .................... . . . ...................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

6550 3 253 3297 19.2

7181 3 553 3628 20.5

8066 3 991 4075 21.5

9073 4 491 4582 22.0

10139 5 021 5119 22.1

11255 5 576 5679 22.4

12471 6 182 6288 22.8

13844 6 871 6973 23.3

15394 7 651 7742 23.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.84 30.8 6.6

2.33 32.3 6.5

2.35 32.1 6.3

2.22 30.3 6.0

2.09 28.5 5.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2.05 27.9 5.7

2.09 28.1 5.7

2.12 28.4 5.8

2.11 28.1 5.8

17104 8 515 8589 23.9

THAILAND

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) . . ....................... 20 607 Total ..................... Males ................................................... 10337 Females .............................................. 10 270 Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... 100.7 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4........................... 16.4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 25.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 47.2 Median age (years) ................................. 18.6 Population density (population per sq km) 40

1955

1960

23 757 11918 1 1 838 100.7

27 652 13876 13 776 100.7

17.5 24.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.3 18.7 46

18.0 25.5 18.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 45.6 18.4 54

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

63 003 30 737 32 266 95.3

65 125 31 641 33 484 94.5

66 763 32 335 34 429 93.9

67 990 32 840 35 150 93.4

68 803 33 149 35 654 93.0

69 218 33 269 35 950 92.5

69 260 33 218 36 042 92.2

68 940 33 016 35 924 91.9

68 286 32 688 35 598 91.8

7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 8.6 4.5 4.7 9.7 55.9 32.6 123

6.9 13.7 14.8 13.0 8.7 1.6 8.1 4.2 4.3 9.0 53.1 34.7 127

6.5 13.2 13.7 15.6 10.2 2.0 7.9 4.0 4.0 8.3 49.9 36.5 130

6.1 12.8 13.1 18.5 12.4 2.4 7.6 3.9 3.9 7.8 47.0 38.2 133

5.8 12.1 12.8 21.5 14.9 2.7 7.2 3.7 3.9 7.7 44.7 39.8 134

5.6 11.5 12.5 24.0 17.4 3.3 6.8 3.6 3.7 7.6 43.0 41.2 135

5.5 11.1 12.0 26.1 19.5 4.2 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.3 41.6 42.3 135

5.4 10.9 11.6 27.6 21.2 5.3 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.4 43.1 134

5.3 10.8 11.3 28.8 22.4 6.3 6.4 3.3 3.3 6.8 39.6 43.7 133

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ........ Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ...................... . . . .. ................ Females .......................... . . . . ........... Both sexes combined ...................... ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

THAILAND C. HtGHVARlANT

Indicator Popuintlon (thousands) Total ....................................................

............................................... Age dlstflbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percent* aged 60 OT over .................. Percentage aged 65 or WB( .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ..... Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

63003 30 737 32266

65 746 31 959 33 788

88 337 33 139 35 198

70701 34226 36475

72633 35106 37526

74255 35842 38413

75721 36519 39203

77110 37190 39920

78409 37660 40549

79 603 38535 41 069

7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 55.9 32.6

7.8 13.5 14.7 12.9 8.6 1.6 52.6 34.3

7.8 13.8 13.4 15.2 9.9 1.9 48.8 35.7

7.5 14.5 12.6 17.6 11.9 2.3 45.3 36.6

7.1 14.3 13.0 20.4 14.2 2.5 43.3 37.8

6.9 13.8 13.8 22.4 16.3 3.0 42.2 38.5

6.9 13.3 13.7 23.9 17.8 3.9 41.6 38.7

7.1 13.2 13.3 24.7 18.9 4.8 41 .O 38.4

7.1 13.4 12.8 25.1 19.5 5.5 40.8 38.1

7.1 13.7 12.8 25.2 19.7 5.9 41.2 38.2

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude daath rate (per 1,WOpopulaliatioo) .. Net migrath rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproducticm rate (per woman) ..........

549 0.85 16.4 8.5 0.5 2.10 0.99

518 0.77 16.2 6.8 0.3 2.25 1 .06

473 0.68 15.6 9.1 0.3 2.35 1.11

388 0.54 14.6 9.5 0.3 2.35 1.11

324 0.44 14.2 10.1 0.3 2.35 1.12

260

293 0.39 14.3 10.6 0.3 2.35 1.12

278 0.36 14.5 11.2 0.3 2.35 1.12

0.33 14.7 11.6 0.3 2.35 1.12

239 0.30 14.5 11.8 0.3 2.35 1.12

D. LOWVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 514

Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage d maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

63003 30 737 32266

64503

31 323 33 180

65 189 31 530 33880

65 279 31 454 33 824

64984 31 198 33 787

64 258 30 734 33 524

63044 30043 33001

61 317 29 122 32 194

59 129 28 010 31 119

56622 26793 29830

7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 55.9 32.6

6.0 13.8 15.0 13.1 8.8 1.7 53.5 35.0

5.2 12.6 14.0 15.9 10.4 2.0 51 .O 37.3

4.6 10.9 13.6 19.3 12.9 2.5 48.9 39.7

4.4 9.6 12.6 22.7 15.8 2.8 46.3 41.8

4.2 8.9 11.1 25.8 18.8 3.5 43.8 43.8

4.0 8.6 9.9 26.7 21.4 4.7 41.4 45.8

3.7 8.3 9.4 31.1 23.8 6.0 39.3 47.4

3.5 7.9 9.3 33.3 25.0 7.3 37.6 49.0

3.3 7.4 9.1 35.4 27.7 8.4 36.1 50.5

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlation change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Clw)e birth rate (per 1.OW populattion) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) ..........

300 0.47 12.6 8.5 0.5 1.60 0.75

137 0.21 10.8 9.0 0.3 1.45 0.68

18 0.03 9.6 9.6 0.3 1.35 0.64

-59 -0.09

9.2 10.4 0.3 1.35 0.64

-

145 -0.23 8.7 11.3 0.3 1.35 0.64

-

243 -0.38 8.2 12.3 0.3 1.35 0.64

-

345 -0.56 7.6 13.5 0.3 1.35 0.64

-438 -0.73 7.1 14.7 0.3 1.35 0.65

-

501 -0.87 6.7 15.7 0.3 1.35 0.85

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

63003 30 737

65058 31 808 33 451 34.7

66824 32 283 34 361 38.6

67774 32 730 35 044 38.4

68512 33 001 35 512 40.0

68851 33 081 35 770 41.4

88798 32 981 35 815 42.6

68353 32 717 35 637 43.5

67556 32 315 35 241 44.2

66497 31 837 34 880 44.8

32 288 32.6

20M2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnrde birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) ..

0.64 14.3 6.5

0.48 13.4 8.9

0.34 12.5 9.4

0.22 11.6 10.0

0.10 11.4 10.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.02

11.0 11.5

-0.13 10.8 12.3

-0.24 10.5 13.1

-0.32 10.3 13.7

449

TIMOR-LESTE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... ...... .............. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1067 542 526 103.0

1271 645 626 103.1

1504 764 740 103.1

1749 888 861 103.2

2011 1022 990 103.2

2284 1 159 1124 103.1

2564 1301 1263 103.1

2856 1449 1407 103.0

3158 1 601 1557 102.8

17.1 28.0 19.7 4.6 2.7 0.2 17.5 7.2 6.5 11.6 45.1 17.3 72

17.9 26.9 19.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 16.4 7.5 6.6 11.2 45.0 17.5 85

17.2 26.7 19.7 4.8 3.0 0.3 16.7 6.8 6.7 11.4 45.6 17.8 101

16.5 27.4 19.2 5.1 3.1 0.3 17.0 7.4 6.2 11.3 45.4 18.0 118

15.4 26.9 19.7 5.3 3.4 0.4 16.5 7.4 6.9 11.2 46.9 18.5 135

14.1 25.9 20.7 5.4 3.6 0.4 15.8 7.4 6.8 12.1 49.1 19.5 151

13.0 24.4 20.9 5.8 3.7 0.5 14.8 7.1 6.8 12.2 50.8 20.8 172

12.3 22.8 20.6 6.0 4.0 0.5 13.8 6.7 6.5 12.2 52.2 22.1 192

11.6 21.6 19.7 6.7 4.2 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.1 11.7 52.9 23.5 212

2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) ... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1 067 542 526

1 280 650 630

1 530 777 753

1 801 915 886

2 095 1064 1031

2 407 1222 1184

2 741 1391 1349

3 103 1575 1528

3 495 1773 1722

17.1 28.0 19.7 4.6 2.7 0.2 45.1 17.3

18.5 26.7 19.3 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.7 17.3

18.1 26.8 19.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.8 17.4

17.5 28.0 18.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 44.1 17.3

16.3 27.9 19.3 5.1 3.2 0.4 45.5 17.7

15.0 27.0 20.7 5.2 3.4 0.4 47.7 18.5

14.2 25.4 21.1 5.4 3.5 0.4 49.4 19.6

13.6 24.0 20.8 5.5 3.7 0.5 50.7 20.8

13.1 23.0 19.8 6.1 3.8 0.5 51.3 21.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045.2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

43 3.63 43.6 9.0 1.7 6.78 2.82

50 3.57 42.0 7.9 1.4 6.40 2.75

59 3.02 36.5 5.9 -0.5 5.41 2.44

54 3.27 40.0 6.8 .0.6 5.99 2.64

62 2.78 33.3 5.2 -0.4 4.82 2.22

67 2.60 31.0 4.7 .0.4 4.28 1.99

73 2.49 29.5 4.4 -0.3 3.85 1.81

78 2.38 28.2 4.2 .0.3 3.53 1.67

83 2.23 26.6 4.0 -0.3 3.28 1.56

4012 2038 1973 16.0

4905 2492 2413 15.9

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousanda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Perc'entage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

39 3.36 40.6 8.9 1.7 6.28 2.61

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon (thousanda) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

1067 542 526 17.3

1286 653 633 17.2

1556 790 766 17.0

1872 951 921 16.3

2254 1146 1109 16.0

2719 1382 1337 16.1

3294 1674 1620 16.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3.73 44.5 9.1

3.82 44.7 8.0

3.70 44.4 6.9

3.71 43.5 6.0

3.75 42.9 5.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wow Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.84 43.2 4.6

3.94 43.6 4.1

4.02 43.9 3.6

4.05 43.8 3.3

6006 3051 2954 15.8

TFYR MACEDONIA (*)

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. . ................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TFYR MACEDONIA (")

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

4 0.21 13.1 10.0 .1.0 1.93 0.91

2 0.06 12.2 10.5 -0.9 1.98 0.94

.1 -0.04 11.5 10.9 -0.9 2.03 0.96

.1 -0.07 11.6 11.4 -0.9 2.08 0.99

.1 .0.06 12.2 11.8 -1 .0 2.13 1 01

.1 .0.06 12.6 12.2 -1 .0 2.18 1 .04

.2 .0.08 12.7 12.5 .1.0 2.23 1 .06

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

..................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

..

5

0.26 12.7 9.1 .1.0 1.68 0.79

5

0.25 13.1 9.6 .1.0 1.78 0.84

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

.......................... .........................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.MX) population) .... Crude death rate (per l.OW population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.2 .0.1 1 9.0 9.2 -1.0 1.18 0.55

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................ .............. Median age (years) ....................... .. ......

..

2 034 1015 1 019 34.3

2 052 1023 1 029 35.9

2 060 1027 1 033 37.6

2 056 1025 1 031 39.4

2 036 1015 1 022 41.3

2 003 998 1 005 43.1

1 960 976 985 44.9

1 910 950 960 46.5

1 850 920 930 47.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)

..

0.18 11.9 9.2

0.09 11.5 9.7

.0.04 10.8 10.2

.0.19 9.8 10.8

.0.33 9.1 11.4

(') The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedmia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division Worfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.0.43 8.7 12.0

.0.53 8.6 12.8

.0.63 8.3 13.6

.0.74 8.0 14.3

1 783 887 896 48.6

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... .. .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TOGO C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Population (thousand.) Total ....................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6239 3086 3153

7180 3554 3625

8210 4068 4143

9307 4613 4694

10434 5174 5260

11593 5751 5843

12783 6342 6441

13985 6939 7046

15170 7526 7844

16 314 8 091 8222

20.4 4.8 3.1 0.3 48.9 18.1

16.1 26.2 20.3 4.8 3.1 0.3 47.5 18.5

15.3 25.8 20.1 5.1 3.2 0.4 48.2 19.1

14.4 25.4 19.9 5.4 3.4 0.4 49.1 19.8

13.3 24.4 20.1 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.4 20.8

12.5 23.2 20.2 6.2 4.1 0.5 51.5 22.0

11.8 21.9 19.8 6.8 4.4 0.6 52.2 23.2

11.1 20.9 19.1 7.6 4.9 0.7 52.5 24.4

10.4 20.0 18.4 8.6 5.6 0.7 52.6 25.8

9.6 19.0 17.8 9.7 6.4 0.9 52.6 27.2

Aga dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Population grovvth rate (per cent) Crude biltt, rate (per 1,OOO populath) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migrationrate (per 1,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproductbn rate (per woman) ..........

............

.... .. .

...........

188 2.81 38.5 10.3 -0.2 5.05 2.08

206 2.88 38.1 9.3 0.0 4.62 1 .@5

219 2.51 33.5 8.4 0.0 4.19 1 .81

225 2.29 30.6 7.7 0.0 3.75 1.65

232 2.11 20.3 7.2 0.0 3.40 1.52

230

1.95 26.4 6.9 0.0 3.12 1.41

240 1.80 24.6 6.7 0.0 2.89 1.32

237 1 .83 22.8 6.5 0.0 2.69 1.24

229 1.45 21.0 6.5 0.0 2.52 1.17

D. LOW VARIANT

Popuktlon (thousand.) Total .................................................... Males ........ Females ............................................... Age dhtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-1 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged c#)or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6239 3088 3 153

7085 3 497 3568

7880 3902 3 978

8 661 4290 4 371

9 418 4666 4 752

10 126 5 017 5 109

10 756 5329 5 427

1 1 282 5 587 5 695

11 697 5 789 5908

1 1 996 5 931 6066

16.5 26.8 20.4 4.8 3.1 0.3 46.9 18.1

14.8 26.6 20.6 4.9 3.2 0.4 48.2 18.9

13.2 25.5 20.9 5.3 3.4 0.4 50.2 20.1

11.8 23.5 21.4 5.8 3.7 0.4 52.7 21.7

10.8 21.5 21.1 6.4 4.1 0.5 54.6 23.4

9.8 19.8 19.9 7.1 4.6 0.6 55.7 25.3

8.7 18.4 18.6 8.1 5.3 0.7 56.1 27.3

7.7 16.9 17.6 9.4 6.1 0.8 56.2 29.4

6.7 15.2 16.8 11.1 7.3 1 .o 55.9 31.7

5.9 13.6 15.8 13.2 8.7 1.2 54.9 34.0

20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population c w per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,OOO popllaUon) . Total Fertility (childdren per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

..

165 2.49 35.0 10.0 -0.2 4.55 1.88

163 2.18 30.7 8.9 0.0 3.82 1.61

156 1.89 27.0 8.1 0.0 3.19 1.37

151 1.67 24.3 7.6 0.0 2.75 1.21

142 1.45 21.8 7.3 0.0 2.40 1.07

126 1.21 19.2 7.1

105 0.96 16.6 7.1

83 0.72 14.4 7.2

60 0.51 12.6 7.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.12 0.96

1.89 0.86

1.69 0.78

1.52 0.71

2045

2050

21724 10807 10917 18.5

25 550 12 716 12 834 18.5

E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousand.) Total ....................................................

M ~ E ................................................... S

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

6239

7238 3584 3854 18.4

8440 4183 4258 18.5

9661 4890 4971 18.4

11520 5717 5802 18.4

13464 6887 6778 18.4

15763 7833 7930 18.5

18491 9194 9297 18.5

3m

F ~ m l ............................................... e ~ Median age (years) .................................

3153 18.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population groW~rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO p0pU)atkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOO poprlatkn)

..

2.97 40.3 10.4

3.07 40.3 9.6

3.11 39.8 8.8

3.1 1 39.1 8.1

3.12 38.6 7.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaiflopulation Division Worki Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.15 38.4 7.0

3.19 38.4 6.5

3.22 38.3 6.1

3.24 38.2 5.8

455

TONGA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ..................... .... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TONGA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

0 0.07 15.6 5.6 .9.4 1.96 0.93

0 -0.15 13.7 5.8 .9.4 1 .83 0.87

0 .0.37 12.1 6.2 .9.5 1.72 0.82

.1 .0.57 10.9 6.9 .9.7 1.62 0.78

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 0.66 27.2 5.7 -14.8 4.08 l 91

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

0 0.34 24.0 5.7 .15.0 3.58 1.68

0 0.08 21.3 5.7 .14.8 2.99 1.41

0 0.41 19.6 5.7 .9.8 2.56 1.21

0 0.36 18.8 5.7 .9.6 2.31 1.09

0 0.24 17.4 5.6 .9.4 2.11 1 .00

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) . .................... Total ............................ Males ........................ ....................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ......................... ....

99 51 49 20.6

101 52 50 21.3

104 53 51 22.1

110 57 54 22.9

118 61 57 23.4

125 65 61 23.4

133 69 64 23.5

142 74 68 23.9

151 78 73 24.4

161 84 78 24.9

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

0.41 24.7 5.7

0.53 25.6 5.7

1.16 26.5 5.6

1.27 26.8 5.4

1.29 26.2 5.1

1.25 25.0 4.8

1.22 24.1 4.7

1.25 24.0 4.7

1.32 24.4 4.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Smial Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. ................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

8 0.59 17.0 8.1 -3.0 1.89 0.89

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 0.15 12.6 8.2 -3.0 1.39 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................ . . . . ............. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

1 324 651 673 28.6

1 347 662 685 30.5

1 367 671 697 32.9

1 379 675 704 35.6

1 378 673 705 38.2

1 366 666 700 40.8

1 346 654 691 42.8

1 318 639 679 44.3

1 281 620 661 45.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

0.35 14.6 8.1

0.30 14.0 8.1

0.16 12.8 8.2

.0.01 11.4 8.6

.0.17 10.5 9.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.31 10.0 10.1

.0.42 9.8 11.0

.0.56 9.5 12.0

.0.71 9.1 13.0

1 237 597 640 46.1

TUNISIA A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertiiity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

10105 5 088 5 016 101.4

10664 5 366 5 298 101.3

11204 5 634 5 569 101.2

11712 5 887 5 825 101.1

12170 6 114 6 056 101.0

12529 6 288 6 240 100.8

12797 6 417 6 380 100.6

12992 6 508 6 484 100.4

13121 6 567 6 554 100.2

8.1 17.9 20.9 8.7 6.3 0.8 10.4 6.0 6.4 12.5 57.7 26.7 62

8.0 15.4 19.2 9.1 6.3 1 .0 9.1 4.8 5.3 11.9 57.9 28.8 65

7.6 14.8 16.1 10.4 6.7 1.2 9.0 4.3 4.3 9.9 56.0 31.1

7.3 14.5 14.0 12.3 7.9 1.4 8.7 4.3 4.2 8.3 53.7 33.3 72

6.8 14.0 13.6 14.4 9.6 1.4 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.1 51.5 35.6 74

6.2 13.4 13.5 16.8 11.5 1.6 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.1 49.1 37.7 77

5.8 12.5 13.2 19.4 13.6 2.2 7.4 3.9 4.0 7.9 46.5 39.5 78

5.6 11.6 12.8 22.2 15.7 3.0 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.8 43.9 40.8 79

5.6 11.2 12.2 25.2 18.2 3.8 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.4 41.9 41.7 80

68

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................

112 1 74 58 .4 1.08 16.7 5.6 -0.4 1.93 0.91 20 22

108 1 74 62 .4 0.99 15.9 5.7 -0.4 1.82 0.86 17 19

102 173 67 -4 0.89 15.1 5.9 .0.3 1.80 0.85 15 17

91 169 73 - 4 0.77 14.1 6.1 -0.3 1 .84 0.87 13 15

72 157 81 - 4 0.58 12.7 6.6 .0.3 1.85 0.88 ll 13

54 150 92 -4 0.42 11.8 7.3 -0.3 1.85 0.88 10 11

39 148 105 - 4 0.30 11.5 8.1 -0.3 1.85 0.88 10 11

26 148 119 .4 0.20 11.4 9.1 .0.3 1.85 0.88 9 10

11 147 1 32 -4 0.09 11.2 10.0 .0.3 1.85 0.88 8 9

71.9 76.0 73.9

72.6 77.1 74.8

73.4 77.9 75.6

74.2 78.8 76.5

74.9 79.5 77.2

75.6 80.2 77.9

76.3 80.9 78.6

76.9 81.5 79.2

77.5 82.1 79.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

. HIGH VARIANT

C Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... A g e distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2 0 2 5 m 2030.2035 2035-2040 20462045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

. ........... ..........

134 1.28 18.8 5.6 -0.4 2.18 1.02

145 1.31 19.1 5.7 -0.4 2.22 1 .05

137 1 .09 17.0 5.9 -0.3 2.34 1.11

149 1.26 18.6 5.7 -0.3 2.30 1 .09

116 0.88 15.3 6.2 -0.3 2.35 1.12

104 0.75 14.6 6.7 -0.3 2.35 1.12

102 0.71 14.8 7.4 -0.3 2.35 1.12

102 0.69 15.3 8.1 -0.3 2.35 1.12

97 0.63 15.3 8.7 .0.3 2.35 1.12

.

0 LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeas) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

. ............

Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l. OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

90 0.87 14.6 5.6 .0.4 1.68 0.79

70 0.66 12.7 5.7 .0.4 1.42 0.67

54 0.49 11.3 6.0 -0.4 1.30 0.61

46 0.41 10.9 6.4 -0.4 1.34 0.64

28 0.25 9.9 7.0 -0.3 1.35 0.64

8 0.07 8.9 7.9 -0.3 1.35 0.64

. 14 -0.12 8.2 9.0 -0.3 1.35 0.64

. 35 -0.31 7.6 10.3 -0.4 1.35 0.64

. 54 .0.48 7.2 11.7 .0.4 1.35 0.64

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .

-~

. . p

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

10105 5 088 5 016 26.7

10711 5 390 5 320 28.7

11349 5 709 5 640 30.7

11968 6 019 5 949 32.7

12514 6 292 6 223 34.8

12962 6 512 6 450 36.5

13331 6 692 6 638 37.9

13647 6 646 6 801 38.7

13921 6 981 6 941 39.2

Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per l.000 population)

1.17 17.6 56

1.16 17.6 5.7

1 .06 16.8 5.8

0.89 15.2 6.0

0.70 13.8 6.4

0.55 12.9 7.0

0.47 12.8 7.8

0.40 12.9 8.6

0.31 12.8 9.4

.... ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

TURKEY

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 W 0 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortaliy rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrIh (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................ ....... ........ Both sexes combined ...........................

.

............ ....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ...................... .................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage In schod ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ..................... ........... Population density (population per sq km)

72 970 36 769 36 201 101.6

77 703 39 099 38 604 101.3

82 1 1 1 41 264 40 847 101.0

86 070 43 187 42 883 100.7

89 557 44 855 44 702 100.3

92 468 46 214 46 254 99.9

94 887 47 308 47 578 99.4

96 787

48 132 48 655 98.9

98 145 48 698 49 448 98.5

9.1 19.2 18.6 8.2 5.6 0.6 11.6 5.7 5.5 11.2 55.1 26.7 93

8.7 17.5 17.6 8.9 5.9 0.8 10.4 5.5 5.4 10.4 55.2 28.5 99

8.1 16.2 17.0 10.1 6.5 1 .0 9.7 4.9 5.1 10.2 54.7 30.3 1 05

7.6 15.5 15.8 11.8 7.6 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.6 9.6 53.4 32.0 110

7.0 14.7 14.8 13.8 9.0 1.2 8.8 4.5 4.5 8.8 51.8 33.7 114

6.5 13.8 14.4 15.9 10.8 1.5 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 50.0 35.5 118

6.3 13.0 13.8 18.3 12.6 1.9 7.7 4.0 4.1 8.3 48.1 37.1 121

6.1 12.4 13.2 20.7 14.6 2.5 7.4 3.8 3.9 8.0 46.5 38.5 124

5.9 12.1 12.5 22.8 16.6 3.2 7.2 3.6 3.7 7.6 44.9 39.6 125

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

947 1 388 447 6 1.26 18.4 5.9 0.1 2.14 1.01 28 32

882 1 366 491 6 1.10 17.1 6.1 0.1 2.06 0.97 24 27

792 1 332 530 . 10 0.94 15.8 6.3 .0.1 1.98 0.94 21 24

697 1 284 576 . 10 0.79 14.6 6.6 -0.1 1.91 0.91 18 20

582 1 230 638 . 10 0.64 13.5 7.0 .0.1 l .86 0.89 15 17

484 1 210 717 - 10 0.52 12.9 7.7 -0.1 1.85 0.89 13 15

69.4 74.3 71.8

70.3 75.2 72.7

71.3 76.1 73.6

72.3 77.1 74.6

73.2 78.0 75.5

74.0 78.8 76.3

0.40 12.5 8.4 -0.1 1 .85 0.89 12 13

892 l0 0.28 12.0 9.2 ~0.1 1.85 0.89 10 12

160 1 143 972 . 10 0.16 11.6 9.9 .0.1 1.85 0.89 10 11

74.7 79.6 77.1

75.4 80.2 77.8

76.1 80.9 78.5

380

272

1 196

1 174

806

. 10

-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TURKEY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... . ..................... Females ............................. . .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

72970 36 769 36 201

78489 39 500 38 989

84190 42 325 41 866

89790 45 086 44 705

94939 47 603 47 337

99665 49 890 49 776

104304 52 119 52 184

108924 54 335 54 588

113386 56 490 56 896

9.1 19.2 18.6 8.2 5.6 0.6 55.1 26.7

9.6 17.4 17.4 8.9 5.9 0.8 54.7 28.2

9.4 16.8 16.5 9.9 6.4 1 .0 53.4 29.6

9.1 17.2 15.1 11.3 7.3 1.0 51.2 30.6

8.4 16.9 14.8 13.0 8.5 1.1 49.7 31 -8

7.9 16.1 15.4 14.8 10.0 1.4 48.5 32.9

7.9 15.2 15.4 16.7 11.5 18 47.3 33.6

7.9 14.7 14.7 18.4 13.0 2.2 46.3 34.0

7.9 14.8 13.9 19.8 14.3 2.7 45.2 34.5

.

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) ..........

1 104 1.46 20.5 6.0 0.1 2.39 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

789 1.05 16.4 5.9 0.1 1 .89 0.89

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

72970 36 769 36 201 26.7

77966 39 233 38 733 28.4

82923 41 678 41 245 30.0

87685 44 01 1 43 674 31.4

92207 46 208 45 999 32.8

96409 48 227 48 182 34.0

100298 50 074 50 224 35.1

103875 51 757 52 119 35.8

107138 53 297 53 841 36.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..

1.33 19.1 5.9

1.23 18.4 6.1

1.12 17.5 6.3

1.01 16.6 6.5

0.89 15.8 6.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

0.79 15.3 7.3

0.70 15.1 7.9

0.62 14.8 8.5

0.54 14.5 9.0

TURKMENISTAN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1980

1985

1 211 594 617 96.1

1 356 664 691 96.0

1 594 782 812 96.3

1 890 929 961 96.7

11.7 21.1 20.1 9.5 5.9 0.6 52.1 23.5 2

15.3 18.3 19.7 8.6 6.0 0.6 51.1 23.2 3

18.0 21.5 16.2 7.8 5.2 0.7 45.4 21.9 3

18.6 25.8 13.4 7.4 4.7 0.7 40.9 18.8 4

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1950-1955 195C1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .......................... Males ....................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................ ..................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

........... ..

2005

2010

4 833 2 380 2 453 97.0

5 163 2 539 2 625 96.7

10.1 21.7 21.5 6.2 4.7 0.6 12.5 7.3 7.2 12.5 55.5 23.3 10

9.7 18.4 21.8 6.3 4.3 0.8 10.9 5.6 6.5 13.3 56.9 25.0 11

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

TURKMENISTAN

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) ..................... Total ......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

4 833 2 380 2 453

5 218 2 566 2 652

5 647 2 774 2 873

6 080 2 983 3 097

6 453 3 161 3 292

6 777 3 315 3 462

10.1 21.7 21.5 6.2 4.7 0.6 55.5 23.3

10.6 18.3 21.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 56.3 24.8

10.8 18.1 18.3 7.0 4.3 0.8 54.1 26.4

10.3 18.9 15.5 8.5 5.0 0.9 52.4 27.9

9.0 18.9 15.7 10.2 6.3 0.8 51.7 29.5

8.1 17.5 16.8 11.6 7.8 0.9 51.7 30.5

2035

2040

2045

68 0.94 17.9 8.2 .0.3 2.35 1.09

68 0.89 17.8 8.6 -0.3 2.35 1.09

60 0.76 16.8 9.0 -0.3 2.35 1.10

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

77 1.53 24.1 8.4 -0.4 2.75 1.21

86 1.58 24.3 8.1 -0.4 2.69 1.19

87 1 4% 22.9 7.7 -0.3 2.60 1.17

75 1.19 19.6 7.4 -0.3 2.45 1.11

.

65 0.98 17.5 7.4 -0.3 2.35 1.08

65 0.94 17.4 7.8 .0.3 2.35 1.08

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dislribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

55 1.12 19.6 8.1 -0.4 2.25 0.99

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................... . . ......................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................

4833 2 380 2 453 23.3

5214 2 564 2 650 24.8

5651 2 776 2 875 26.4

6114 3 000 3 114 27.8

6558 3 215 3 343 28.9

6978 3 417 3 561 29.4

7398 3 620 3 778 29.7

7840 3 836 4 005 30.2

8305 4 065 4 239 30.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.52 23.9 8.4

1.61 24.6 8.2

1.58 23.9 7.8

1.40 21.8 7.5

1.24 20.1 7.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.17 19.6 7.6

1.16 19.9 8.0

1.15 20.1 8.3

1.10 19.7 8.5

8773 4 298 4 474 31.3

UGANDA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

..................

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

............ .... ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

UGANDA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

1070 3.39 48.2 13.5 -0.9 6.71 2.55

1284 3.43 46.9 11.8 .0.8 6.40 2.53

1506 3.39 44.4 10.3 -0.2 5.98 2.45

1636 3.13 40.7 9.2 -0.2 5.41 2.27

1748 2.88 37.3 8.3 -0.2 4.81 2.06

l867 2.68 34.6 7.7 .0.2 4.27 1.87

1996 2.52 32.5 7.2 .0.2 3.84 1.71

2115 2.36 30.6 6.9 .0.2 3.52 1.59

2199 2.19 28.7 6.6 .0.1 3.28 1.50

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Populationchangeperyear(thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilily (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ...........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................ ....................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutfon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

967 3.09 45.0 13.3 -0.9 6.21 2.36

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 28947 Males .................................................. 14 471 Females ............................................ 14 476 Median age (years) ............................. .. 15.3

34303 17 182 17 121 15.4

41076 20 602 20 474 15.3

49606 24 904 24 703 15.0

60015 30 149 29 866 14.9

72796 36 586 36 210 15.0

88625 44 552 44 074 15.0

108296 54 444 53 851 14.9

132715 66 721 65 994 14.9

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

3.40 48.2 13.5

3.60 48.7 12.0

3.77 48.4 10.5

3.81 47.7 9.5

3.86 47.3 8.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

3.94 47.2 7.8

4.01 47.2 7.1

4.07 47.1 6.5

4.11 47.0 5.9

162998 81 942 81 056 14.8

UKRAINE Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women eged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rale (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy al birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in s c h d ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

46 918 21 662 25 255 85.6

45 170 20 784 24 386 85.2

43 428 19 824 23 504 84.8

41 679 19 092 22 587 84.5

39 879 18 255 21 624 84.4

38 053 17 417 20 636 84.4

36 245 16 800 19 845 84.5

34 468 15 815 18 653 84.8

32 702 15 050 17 652 85.3

4.2 10.4 15.8 20.6 16.1 2.6 5.8 3.8 4.5 9.7 49.0 38.9 78

4.6 9.0 14.1 20.9 15.6 3.4 5.2 2.9 3.5 9.0 47.8 39.6 75

4.8 9.3 11.2 22.3 15.9 3.4 5.6 2.7 2.8 7.0 45.6 40.6 72

4.3 9.7 9.8 24.3 17.2 4.3 5.8 3.0 2.8 5.7 44.3 41.9 69

4.0 9.5 10.0 26.1 19.2 4.0 5.6 3.0 3.1 5.9 43.1 43.6 68

3.8 6.9 10.5 27.2 20.9 4.3 5.2 2.9 3.1 6.4 41.4 45.6 63

3.6 8.3 10.3 28.8 21.8 5.2 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.3 38.6 47.5 60

4.0 6.1 9.7 30.8 23.1 6.2 4.8 2.5 2.7 6.0 35.5 49.2 57

4.1 8.4 9.1 33.8 24.9 6.9 5.0 2.5 2.6 5.5 33.9 50.2 54

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductim rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at birth ( y m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..................... ................... ............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorM PopulationPraspects: The 2006 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

UKRAINE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

.264

. 222

. 217

. 248

. 250

. 216

. 176

. 159

. 163

-0.57 11.0 16.3 0.4 1.47 0.69

-0.49 11.8 16.3 .0.4 1.64 0.78

.0.49 11.4 15.9 .0.5 1.79 0.85

.0.58 10.2 15.5 .0.5 1.84 0.87

-0.60 9.8 15.4 .0.5 1 .89 0.90

.0.53 10.6 15.5 .0.5 1.94 0.92

-0.45 11.7 15.7 -0.5 1.99 0.95

.0.41 12.2 15.8 -0.5 2.04 0.97

.0.43 12.0 15.7 .0.5 2.09 1 .00

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago diatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlalrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.W 0 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

. 436 .0.95 7.3 16.4 -0.4 0.97 0.46

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

46 918 21662 25255 38.9

45 060 20727 24333 39.7

43 149 19781 23368 40.8

41 138 18814 22324 42.3

39 045 17826 21219 44.2

36 926 16837 20089 46.4

34 785 15849 18936 48.6

32 587 14847 17740 50.9

30 321 13825 16496 52.6

2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

.0.81 8.7 16.4

.0.87 8.4 16.6

.0.96 7.5 16.5

.1.05 6.6 16.5

-1 .12 6.1 16.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

.1.20 5.9 17.3

.1.31 5.7 18.2

.1.44 5.4 19.1

.1.58

5.0 20.1

2050

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

70 35 34 102.8

79 40 39 102.6

17.3 25.0 18.5 5.7 3.4 0.2 45.6 18.9

17.6 25.4 18.4 5.6 3.4 0.2 45.2 18.5

1

1

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

90 45 102.4

144 84 60 138.4

225 141 84 167.4

530 367 163 225.5

1015 701 314 223.2

1410 915 495 184.9

1867 1222 645 189.3

2432 1607 825 194.9

3247 2 190 1057 207.2

17.8 25.9 18.4 5.5 3.4 0.2 44.9 18.2 1

15.4 22.6 21.7 4.1 2.6 0.2 45.8 20.7 2

14.9 19.8 20.2 4.9 3.2 0.4 45.4 22.9 3

12.1 16.1 20.4 3.4 2.0 0.2 47.1 25.4 6

13.3 15.3 17.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 49.7 26.1 12

12.8 16.9 14.6 2.2 1.4 0.2 53.3 26.9 17

12.7 17.2 14.9 2.0 1.3 0.2 52.1 27.4 22

10.1 17.7 16.0 l .9 1.2 0.2 55.2 27.4 29

8.1 15.9 16.4 1.9 1.1 0.2 58.8 28.5 39

46

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... . . . . ..................... Females ............................ ............... Both sexes combined .........................

126 72 6 60 2.85 16.2 1.4 13.6 2.31 1 .1 1 8 9

106 73 7 40 2.13 14.7 1.4 8.0 2.20 1.06 8 8

71 9 40 1.85 12.9 1.6 7.2 2.11 1.02 7 8

99 70 ll 40 1 .64 11.6 1.8 6.6 2.02 0.98 7 7

97 72 14 40 1.49 11.0 2.2 6.1 1.95 0.44 6 7

96 75 19 40 1.37 10.7 2.7 5.7 1.88 0.91 6 6

93 78 25 40 1.25 10.5 3.4 5.4 1 .85 0.90 5 6

87 81 34 40 1.10 10.2 4.3 5.1 1 .85 0.90 5 6

77 81 44 40 0.93 9.8 5.3 4.8 1.85 0.90 5 5

77.2 81.5 78.7

77.8 82.1 79.3

78.4 82.8 79.9

79.0 83.4 80.5

79.6 84.0 81.1

80.2 84.6 81.6

80.8 85.2 82.2

81.3 85.7 82.8

81.9 86.3 83.4

1 02

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

133 3.01 17.9 1.4 13.5 2.56 1.23

120 2.36 17.1 1.4 7.9 2.60 1.25

119 2.10 15.5 1.6 7.1 2.61 1.26

116 1.86 13.9 1.8 6.4 2.52 1.22

117 1.71 13.4 2.1 5.9 2.45 1.18

120 1.62 13.4 2.6 5.4 2.38 1.15

123 1.54 13.6 3.2 5.0 2.35 1.14

123 1.42 13.5 3.9 4.6 2.35 1.14

117 1.26 13.1 4.8 4.3 2.35 1.14

2050

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

118 2.68 14.5 1.4 13.6 2.06 0.99

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) ................................

4 104 2789 1 315 29.4

4 757 3189 1 568 30.9

5 336 3526 1 810 31.7

5 917 3862 2 055 33.2

6 502 4197 2 305 34.4

7 097 4534 2 564 35.2

7 713 4875 2 838 35.7

8 343 5218 3 126 36.1

8 973 5552 3 421 36.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.95 17.3 1.4

2.30 16.4 1.4

2.07 15.1 1.6

1.88 14.2 1.8

1.75 13.8 2.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.66 13.8 2.6

1.57 13.9 3.2

1.46 13.9 3.9

1.32 13.7 4.8

9 587 5868 3 719 37.1

UNITED KINGDOM

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... .. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage ot women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total tertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ................... . . . . .................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

2000

UNITED KINGDOM

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

60 245 29475 30 770

62 008 30445 31 563

64 071 31545 32 526

66 322 32720 33 602

68 469 33826 34 644

70 434 34829 35 605

72 382 35816 36 545

74 497 36918 37 579

76 908 38171 38 736

5.7 12.3 13.0 21.2 16.1 4.5 47.2 38.9

6.6 11.3 13.0 22.6 16.5 4.7 46.2 39.8

7.0 11.8 12.1 23.1 17.7 4.8 43.8 40.0

7.2 13.0 11.1 23.9 18.2 4.9 41.3 39.6

6.9 13.5 11.6 25.3 19.0 5.3 40.5 39.6

6.6 13.5 12.7 26.4 20.3 6.1 40.9 39.7

6.6 13.1 13.3 26.8 21.3 6.4 41.3 39.7

6.9 12.8 13.2 26.4 21.5 6.8 41.3 39.0

7.2 13.0 12.8 26.1 21 .0 7.5 41.2 38.2

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

353 0.58 13.5 9.9 2.1 2.07 1.00

413 0.66 14.3 9.8 2.1 2.25 1 .09

450 0.69 14.6 9.7 2.0 2.35 1.14

429 0.64 14.1 9.7 l .9 2.35 1.14

393 0.57 13.5 9.8 1 .9 2.35 1.14

386 0.54 13.5 9.9 1.8 2.35 1.14

427 0.58 14.0 10.0 1 .8 2.35 1.14

482 0.64 14.7 10.0 1.7 2.35 1.14

51 5 0.66 14.9 9.9 1.7 2.35 1.14

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populetlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

60 245 29 475 30 770

61 026 29 942 31 084

61 502 30 229 31 273

61 740 30 373 31 367

61 895 30 457 31 438

61 884 30 448 31 436

61 617 30 31 1 31 306

61 070 30 038 31 032

60 259 29 641 30 618

5.7 12.3 13.0 21.2 16.1 4.5 47.2 38.9

5.1 11.5 13.2 23.0 16.8 4.7 46.9 40.3

4.7 10.7 12.6 24.1 18.5 5.0 45.5 41.5

4.4 9.8 11.9 25.7 19.6 5.3 44.2 42.6

4.4 9.1 11.3 27.9 21 .0 5.8 43.1 43.5

4.4 8.9 10.4 30.1 23.1 6.9 42.4 44.6

4.2 8.9 9.8 31.4 25.1 7.5 41 .1 45.9

4.0 8.7 9.6 32.2 26.2 8.3 39.8 47.1

3.8 8.4 9.7 33.4 26.9 9.5 38.6 48.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 56 0.26 10.4 9.9 2.1 1.57 0.76

95 0.16 9.5 10.0 2.1 1.45 0.70

48 0.08 8.9 10.2 2.1 1.35 0.65

31 0.05 8.9 10.5 2.1 1.35 0.65

-

2 0.00 8.8 10.9 2.1 1.35 0.65

-53 -0.09 8.4 11.4 2.1 1.35 0.65

-109 .0.18 8.0 11.9 2.1 1.35 0.65

-162 .0.27 7.6 12.4 2.1 1.35 0.65

-203 .0.34 7.4 12.9 2.2 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..

29 475 30 770 38.9

61 272 30 068 31 204 40.2

62 227 30 MM 31 627 41.1

63 123 31 081 32 042 41.7

63 888 31 478 32 409 42.3

64 451 31 764 32 687 43.1

84 792 31 938 32 854 44.0

64 944 32 023 32 921 44.9

64 950 32 045 32 905 45.4

0.34 11.2 9.9

0.31 11.0 10.0

0.29 10.8 10.1

0.24 10.6 10.2

0.18 10.3 10.5

0.11 9.9 10.9

0.05 9.7 11.3

0.00 9.7 11.6

.0.03 9.6 11.9

60 245

Unitd Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

64 844 32 019 32 825 45.7

UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) ... ....................... Total ....................... Males ................................................. Females ..................... ... ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................... .. .......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... .. ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ralio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ...................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rale (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

1 083 2.63 40.8 13.0 -1.5 5.41 2.09

l 221 2.60 37.9 11.8 0.0 4.97 1.97

1 283 2.42 34.9 10.8 0.0 4.50 1.84

1 327 2.22 32.1 9.9 0.0 4.01 1.68

1 389 2.09 30.1 9.2 0.0 3.61 1.55

1 445 1.96 28.3 8.6 0.0 3.29 1.44

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

942 2.31 37.3 12.8 -1.5 4.91 1.90

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) 38478 Total ................................................. Males ................................................ 19 124 Females ............................................... 19 354 Median age (years) ................................ 17.5

44183 22 006 22 178 17.5

51268 25 579 25 689 17.3

59646 29 805 29 841 17.2

69622 34 834 34 788 17.2

81594 40 863 40 732 17.2

96005 48 113 47 892 17.1

113347 56 831 56 516 17.1

134185 67 299 66 886 17.0

2.97 41.8 12.0

3.03 41.2 11.0

3.09 40.9 10.0

3.17 40.8 9.1

3.25 40.8 8.3

3.32 40.7 7.6

3.38 40.6 6.9

3.42 40.5 6.4

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000population) ..

2.77 42.2 13.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2050

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per I. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... . Percentage aged 60 or over .................. .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

299 846 147501 152 345 96.8

314 692 154972 159 719 97.0

329 010 162171 166 840 97.2

342 547 168918 173 629 97.3

354 930 175004 179 926 97.3

366 187 180458 185 729 97.2

376 492 185418 191 074 97.0

385 868 189963 195 906 97.0

394 426 194193 200 233 97.0

6.9 13.9 14.3 16.6 12.3 3.5 8.3 4.4 4.4 8.5 48.9 36.0 31

6.8 13.3 14.3 18.0 12.8 3.7 7.9 4.0 4.3 8.7 47.3 36.5 33

6.7 13.1 13.7 19.9 14.1 3.6 7.9 3.9 3.9 8.4 45.6 36.9 34

6.4 13.0 13.1 22.0 15.8 3.7 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.9 44.8 37.5

6.1 12.7 13.1 23.8 17.8 4.1 7.6 3.9 3.9 7.9 44.6 38.3 37

5.9 12.3 13.1 24.8 19.4 5.0 7.3 3.8 3.9 7.9 44.5 39.1 38

5.9 11.9 12.8 25.3 20.2 5.9 7.1 3.6 3.8 7.8 44.2 39.8 39

5.8 11.7 12.5 25.6 20.5 6.9 7.0 3.5 3.6 7.5 43.5 40.3 40

5.8 11.6 12.1 26.1 20.6 7.5 7.0 3.5 3.6 7.3 42.8 40.7 41

33

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... . ....................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l.MM population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

3 488 1.13 15.6 8.2 3.9 2.30 1.11

3 732 1.14 16.2 8.1 3.4 2.42 1.16

3 832 1.11 16.0 8.1 3.2 2.44 1.18

3 652 1 .00 15.2 8.2 3.0 2.38 1.15

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

299 846 147 501 152 345

312 095 153 642 158 453

322 072 158 615 163 457

329 987 162 482 167 505

336 550 165 586 170 964

341 586 167 854 173 732

344 912 169 242 175 670

346 297 169 698 176 599

345 922 169 361 176 562

6.9 13.9 14.3 16.6 12.3 3.5 48.9 36.0

6.0 13.4 14.5 18.2 12.9 3.7 47.7 36.8

5.5 12.6 14.0 20.3 14.4 3.7 46.5 37.8

5.0 11.4 13.6 22.8 16.4 3.8 46.4 38.9

4.7 10.5 13.0 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 40.2

4.5 9.8 12.0 26.6 20.8 5.3 45.7 41.6

4.4 9.4 11.1 27.6 22.0 6.5 44.6 43.0

4.2 9.2 10.6 28.6 22.8 7.7 43.2 44.3

4.0 8.9 10.4 29.8 23.5 8.5 41.8 45.6

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2 450 0.80 12.3 8.2 3.9 1 80 0.87

.

1 995 0.63 11.1 8.3 3.5 1.62 0.78

1 583 0.49 10.0 8.5 3.4 1.44 0.69

1 313 0.39 9.5 8.9 3.3 1.38 0.66

1 007 0.30 9.1 9.4 3.2 1.35 0.65

665 0.19 8.8 10.1 3.2 1.35 0.65

277 0.08 8.4 10.7 3.2 1.35 0.65

-75 .0.02 8.0 11.4 3.2 1.35 0.65

-318 .0.09 7.7 11.8 3.2 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

299 846 147 501 152 345 36.0

314 533 154 891 159 642 36.5

329 100 162 217 166 884 36.9

343 670 169 494 174 176 37.4

357 838 176 494 181 344 36.0

371 253 183 053 188 199 38.6

383 823 189 174 194 649 39.1

395 707 195 003 200 704 39.3

407 191 200 731 206 460 39.4

0.96 13.9 8.2

0.91 13.8 8.2

0.87 13.7 8.3

0.81 13.4 8.5

0.74 13.1 8.8

0.67 12.9 9.2

0.61 12.9 9.6

0.57 12.6 9.9

0.55 12.8 9.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

418 632 206 556 212 076 39.6

UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

27 13 14 96.2

29

15 15 98.2

33 16 16 98.0

50 25 25 99.7

64 32 32 99.5

86 42 44 95.6

98 47 51 92.5

105 51 54 94.0

103 50 53 93.9

107 51 56 92.2

110 53 58 91.3

14.5 24.6 14.8 10.9 7.5 1 .0 41.4 22.0 77

16.1 24.2 14.9 10.0 7.1 1 .0 41.8 21.1 85

15.9 23.8 16.1 9.2 6.6 1 .0

17.9 22.9 19.0 6.3 4.3 0.8 46.5 20.0 143

13.6 22.5 17.9 5.7 3.6 0.7 51.7 23.0 185

18.1 23.6 14.3 5.8 3.6 0.6 47.1 20.0 247

11.0 25.0 18.1 7.1 4.5 0.6 51.3 22.0 284

13.6 20.1 18.2 7.7 5.0 0.6 52.5 23.8 302

9.2 19.7 16.7 9.2 5.9 0.6 53.2 28.0 297

10.7 17.0 14.9 10.4 7.1 l .0 50.9 30.6 308

8.0 18.3 13.3 13.0 8.6 1.5 48.0 33.4 318

43.2 20.5 94

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ago dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24...................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~on density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

111 53

110 52 89.3

109 51 58 88.8

107 50 57 88.3

103 48 55 88.0

99 46 53 88.0

93 44 50 88.4

88 41 46 89.2

82 39

90.6

111 53 59 90.0

90.4

7.1 17.0 16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 10.0 5.6 5.2 9.5 46.1 35.0 321

6.6 14.6 17.0 20.7 14.0 2.5 8.5 4.8 5.4 10.1 44.9 36.1 321

6.5 13.3 16.0 23.7 17.6 3.4 7.9 4.2 4.4 10.0 42.4 35.8 318

6.6 12.8 13.8 26.5 20.2 4.4 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.3 40.5 36.8 314

6.4 13.0 12.6 28.9 22.6 6.1 7.8 3.8 3.8 7.5 39.3 38.1 308

5.8 13.1 12.3 30.1 24.7 8.0 7.9 4.0 3.9 7.3 40.1 39.8 298

5.2 12.6 12.8 30.2 25.8 9.2 7.4 4.1 4.1 7.5 39.5 41.9 285

4.8 11.5 13.2 28.9 25.7 10.5 6.7 3.8 4.0 7.9 38.3 44.0 269

4.8 10.5 12.7 30.2 24.2 11.7 6.1 3.4 3.7 7.8 36.0 45.7 253

4.9 10.1 11.5 32.7 25.5 12.0 5.9 3.1 3.3 7.0 34.5 47.0 237

58

58

43

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................................ . ............ Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS C. HlOHVARlANT

Indicator Popu(-.nd.) Total ....................................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

111

112 53 59

113 53 60

114 54 60

113 53 60

111 53 59

109 51 57

105 50 55

103 49 54

100 48 52

7.3 14.5 16.9 20.5 13.9 2.4 44.6 35.7

7.7 13.8 15.7 23.2 17.2 3.3 41.5 34.6

8.1 14.5 13.2 25.4 19.4 4.2 39.0 35.0

7.7 15.4 12.7 27.3 21.3 5.8 38.0 35.9

6.9 15.7 13.6 28.0 23.0 7.5 39.5 37.1

6.3 14.7 14.9 27.5 23.5 8.4 40.0 38.2

6.4 13.4 15.4 25.6 22.8 9.3 39.8 38.3

6.9 12.9 14.3 25.8 20.7 10.0 38.4 37.9

7.2 13.3 12.8 28.8 20.9 9.8 37.8 37.8

Females ................................... Ago d l e l r h d m Perceotegeaped0-4

k r c e n l a p aged 1524 ......................... krcentage aged 60 or over .................. Peccentage aged 65 or o w .................. Percentap aged80 or over

percentapofwanenaged15-49

.........

M e d i i age (years) .................................

16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 46.1 35.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationc h q p per year (thwsands) . Popula(i0n growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population).... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO population).. Net m t i o n rate (per 1.ooO popllation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per mmen)

0 0.13 15.0 6.6 -7.2 2.40 1.15

0 0.13 15.8 7.4 -7.1 2.46 1.18

0 0.12 16.6 8.3 -7.1 2.48 1.19

0 -0.05 15.7 9.2 -7.1 2.42 1.16

0 -0.32 14.0 10.0 -7.1 2.36 1.14

-

- 1 -0.53 12.8 10.8 -7.3 2.35 1.13

‘1 -0.59 12.9 11.4 -7.5 2.35 1.13

- 1 -0.55 13.9 11.7 -7.7 2.35 1.13

0 -0.49 14.5 11.5 -7.9 2.35 1.13

D. LOWVARIANT

Po(wrl.tlon (thwund~) Total ....................................................

......................................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage egwi 60 or over .................. Pmentageaged65orover Percentageapad80 orov8( Percentagedwumnaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

111 53 58

110 52 58

108 51 57

105 49 56

101 47 54

96 44 51

90 48

&? 38 44

75 35 40

67 31 36

7.1 17.0 16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 46.1 35.0

5.8 14.8 17.1 20.9 14.1 2.5 45.2 38.5

5.2 12.8 16.4 24.2 18.0 3.4 43.2 37.3

5.0 11.1 14.4 27.6 21.o 4.6 42.0 38.5

4.9 10.3 12.5 30.7 24.0 6.5 40.7 40.4

4.6 10.2 10.8 32.6 26.8 8.7 40.8 42.7

4.1 10.0 10.2 33.3 28.5 10.2 38.8 45.2

3.5 9.2 10.3 32.7 29.1 11.9 36.1 48.2

3.0 8.1 10.3 35.4 28.4 13.7 32.2 51.4

2.7 6.9 9.5 40.0 31.3 14.7 29.0 54.9

41

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 P o p u chanoe ~ ~ per Year 0-1. Popdatton gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1,ooO popu(ati) Cnde death rate (per 1,ooO population) .. Net migratkn rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) . TOMfectility (children per mmen) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wornan) ..........

....

0 -0.19 11.9 6.6 -7.2 1.90 0.91

0 4.43 10.7 7.6 -7.3 1.66 0.80

- 1

-0.62 10.1 8.8 -7.5 1.48 0.71

- 1 -0.78 10.0 10.1 -7.8 1.42

0.68

- 1 -1.03 9.3 11.4 -8.1 1.36 0.65

- 1 -1.33 8.2 12.8 -8.6 1.35

- 1 -1.64 7.0 14.1 -9.3 1.35

0.65

0.65

- 2 -1.95 6.0 15.3 -10.2 1.35 0.65

- 2 -2.22 5.5 16.3 -11.3 1.35

2045

2050 94 45 49 40.2

0.65

E. CONSTANT-FERTlLITYVARIANT

PopuWon (thwund.) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

111 53 58 35.0

112 53 59 35.9

112 53 59 35.0

111 53 59 35.8

110 52 58 36.9

108 51 57 38.3

105 49 56 39.8

101

98

48

46

53 40.4

51 40.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050

Populatcon growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude kfth rate (per 1,ooO popdati) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.ooO pOp0latk-n) ..

0.04 14.2 6.6

0.01 14.7 7.5

-0.05 15.1 8.4

-0.20 14.6 9.4

-0.41 13.5 10.3

United Nations Department of E m i c and Social Affairdpcpulation Division WorM PopulatMn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

-0.60 12.7 11.2

-0.71 12.5 11.8

-0.74 12.8 12.2

-0.75 13.0 12.2

479

URUGUAY A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population denslty (populationper sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ............................. Males .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

....

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 ......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

3 326 1 605 1 720 93.3

3 374 1 628 1 745 93.3

3 431 1 658 1 773 93.5

3 495 1 693 1 802 93.9

3 548 1 722 1 827 94.3

3 590 1 745 1 846 94.5

3 622 1 763 1 860 94.8

3 642 1 774 1 868 94.9

7.7 16.1 14.9 17.8 13.5 3.2 9.6 4.9 4.7 8.8 46.8 32.6 19

7.3 15.2 15.3 18.4 13.9 3.7 9.1 4.7 4.8 9.1 46.7 33.7 19

7.0 14.4 15.1 19.1 14.4 4.1 8.6 4.4 4.5 9.2 46.5 34.8 20

6.7 13.8 14.4 20.1 15.0 4.2 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 46.4 35.6 20

6.4 13.3 13.8 21.3 16.0 4.4 7.9 4.0 4.1 8.3 45.7 36.7 20

6.2 12.8 13.2 22.2 17.1 4.7 7.6 3.9 3.9 8.0 44.8 37.9 21

6.0 12.3 12.8 23.6 18.0 5.1 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.7 44.3 39.3 21

5.8 11.9 12.4 25.1 19.2 5.8 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.4 40.5 21

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2000

URUGUAY

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

15 0.46 16.8 9.2 .3.0 2.37 1.13

21 0.61 17.0 9.1 -1.7 2.43 1.16

25 0.70 16.8 9.0 .0.8 2.46 1.18

23 0.63 16.0 8.8 -0.8 2.39 1.15

22 0.59 15.5 8.8 .0.8 2.35 1.13

23 0.58 15.4 8.8 .0.8 2.35 1.13

23 0.58 15.4 8.9 .0.7 2.35 1.13

23 0.56 15.3 9.0 -0.7 2.35 1.13

23 5.53 15.2 9.1 -0.7 2.35 1.14

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ...................... . . . ....................... Males ..................... ........................... Females ....................... .................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude btrth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

4 0.11 13.4 9.3 .3.0 1.87 0.89

2 0.06 11.7 9.3 .1.8 1.63 0.78

.2 .0.05 10.0 9.6 .0.9 1.39 0.67

1 0.02 10.5 9.5 .0.9 1.46 0.70

.5 .0.14 9.4 9.9 -0.9 1.35 0.65

.8 .0.24 8.9 10.3 .0.9 1.35 0.65

. 12 -0.36 8.2 10.9 -0.9 1.35 0.65

. 16 .0.50 7.6 11.6 ~0.9 1.35 0.65

. 19 .0.62 7.1 12.4 .1.0 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ................... ....................... Median age (years) .................................

. .

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

3 326 1 605 1 720 32.6

3 384 1 634 1 750 33.6

3 462 1 674 1 788

34.5

3 555 1 723 1 832 35.0

3 646 1 772 1 874 35.7

3 734 1 818 1 915 36.5

3 815 l 861 1 954 37.3

3 891 1 901 1 990 37.9

3 961 1 938 2 023 38.3

0.35 15.7 9.2

0.46 15.5 9.2

0.53 15.3 9.1

0.51 15.0 9.0

0.48 14.6 9.0

0.43 14.3 9.1

0.39 14.0 9.3

0.36 13.9 9.5

0.33 13.7 9.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live blrlhs) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) .... ...... . . ............ Males ................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined .........................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

26593 13224 13 369

28875 14361 14 514

31463 15647 15 816

33969 16886 17 083

36119 17939 18 181

38101 18901 19 199

40140 19894 20 246

42212 20907 21 305

44170 21888 22 301

10.7 22.5 21.7 6.2 4.7 0.7 54.7 22.6

11.2 19.2 21.7 6.2 4.3 0.9 55.5 24.0

11.2 19.0 18.7 6.9 4.3 0.9 53.7 25.6

10.3 19.6 16.1 8.3 5.0 1 .0 52.3 27.2

9.0 19.2 16.4 10.0 6.3 0.9 52.1 28.7

8.4 17.5 17.3 11.3 7.7 1 .0 52.4 29.8

8.4 15.9 17.1 12.6 8.7 1.3 51.6 30.6

8.5 15.4 15.7 13.8 9.7 1.8 49.3 31.6

8.3 15.6 14.3 15.4 10.6 2.3 47.0 32.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)

.. . ...........

..........

456 1.65 24.7 6.8 .1.4 2.74 1.23

518 1.72 24.6 6.8 .0.7 2.67 1.21

501 1.53 22.6 6.7 -0.6 2.59 1.18

430 1.23 19.5 6.6 .0.6 2.44 1.12

396 1.07 18.0 6.8 .0.5 2.35 1.08

408 1.04 18.0 7.1 -0.5 2.35 1.09

414 1.01 18.1 7.5 -0.5 2.35 1.09

392 0.91 17.5 8.0 -0.5 2.35 1.10

348 0.77 16.5 8.4 .0.4 2.35 1.10

44 708 22179 22529 29.6

47 516 23574 23942 30.3

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ..................... ............................ Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

..

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (oer 1.000oooulationl .... Crude death rate'(per 1 0Od pbpulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........

338 1.23 20.4 6.6 -1.5 2.24 1.01

.

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

26 593 13224 13369 22.6

28 879 14363 14516 24.0

31 550 15691 15859 25.5

34 251 17030 17221 26.9

36 801 18286 18515 28.1

39 307 19516 19791 28.7

41 936 20809 21127 29.1

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.65 24.8 6.8

1.77 25.2 6.8

1.64 23.7 6.7

1.44 21.6 6.7

1.32 20.5 6.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.30 20.4 7.0

1.28 20.6 7.3

1.22 20.2 7.6

1.13 19.6 7.9

50 276 24952 25324 30.9

VANUATU A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) ........... Total ..................................... . Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ......................... ........ Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

48 25 23 109.4

55 29 26 107.8

64 33 31 106.6

75 38 36 105.8

86 46 40 113.0

101 47 113.1

117 62 55 112.2

132 69 63 108.9

149 77 72 106.2

172 88 84 105.6

190 97 93 104.9

18.8 27.4 19.2 4.3 2.7 0.2 44.5 16.8 4

18.9 27.7 19.4 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.3 16.6 5

18.8 27.9 19.5 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.2 16.5 5

18.7 28.0 19.5 3.7 2.3 0.2 44.2 16.6 6

17.3 28.3 18.4 4.5 3.0 0.3 45.8 17.2 7

17.2 28.2 19.4 4.4 2.9 0.3 46.2 17.1 8

17.2 28.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.4 46.7 17.2 10

17.0 27.6 19.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 47.2 17.7 11

16.7 27.3 18.5 5.3 3.6 0.5 47.6 18.1 12

16.0 27.4 18.4 5.2 3.5 0.6 47.8 18.4 14

15.3 26.9 19.0 5.1 3.3 0.6 48.6 18.7 16

54

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schwl ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................

5

7 1 0 2.38 28.8 5.0 0.0 3.74 1.72 28 34 68.3 72.1 70.0

0 2.18 26.4 4.6 0.0 3.33 1.55 23 28

6 7 1 0 2.00 24.4 4.4 0.0 3.01 1.41 19 23

6 7 1 0 1 .83 22.6 4.4 0.0 2.77 1.31 17 19

6 7 2 0 1.64 20.9 4.5 0.0 2.58 1.22 15 17

5 7 2 0 1.47 19.4 4.7 0.0 2.43 1.15 13 15

5 7 2 0 1.30 18.0 5.0 0.0 2.31 1.10 11 13

5 7 2 0 1.14 16.8 5.4 0.0 2.20 1.05 10 11

4 7 3 0 0.99 15.7 5.8 0.0 2.11 1.00 9 10

69.6 73.6 71.5

70.7 74.9 72.7

71.8 76.1 73.8

72.7 77.1 74.8

73.6 78.0 75.7

74.4 78.8 76.5

75.1 79.5 77.3

75.8 80.2 78.0

6 7 1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

VANUATU

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

.

Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

6 2.55 30.5 5.1 0.0 3.99 1.84

6 2.45 29.1 4.6 0.0 3.73 1.73

7 2.33 27.6 4.4 0.0 3.51 1.65

7 2.13 25.6 4.3 0.0 3.27 1.54

7 1.95 23.8 4.3 0.0 3.08 1.46

7 1.82 22.6 4.5 0.0 2.93 1.39

7 1.70 21.7 4.6 0.0 2.81 1.33

8 1.59 20.7 4.9 0.0 2.70 1.28

7 1.46 19.7 5.1 0.0 2.61 1.24

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

5 2.20 27.0 5.0 0.0 3.49 1.61

5 1.90 23.6 4.6 0.0 2.93 1.36

5 1.66 21.0 4.5 0.0 2.51 1.18

4 1.49 19.4 4.5 0.0 2.27 1.07

4 1.31 17.8 4.7 0.0 2.08 0.99

3 0.88 14.2 5.5 0.0 1.81 0.86

4 1.10 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.93 0.92

3 0.68 12.7 6.0 0.0 1.70 0.81

2 0.50 11.6 6.6 0.0 1.61 0.77

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................

215 110 105 19.6

246 125 121 20.5

282 143 138 21.2

323 164 158 21.6

368 187 181 21.7

418 212 205 21.9

474 241 233 22.2

537 273 264 22.5

609 310 299 22.7

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2.65 31.6 5.1

2.72 31.8 4.6

2.70 31.4 4.4

2.63 30.4 4.2

2.55 29.6 4.1

2.52 29.3 4.1

2.51 29.3 4.2

2.51 29.2 4.2

2.48 29.0 4.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

VENEZUELA (BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF)

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .......................... . ..................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

5094 2579 2 514 102.6

6230 3167 3 062 103.4

7579 3863 3 716 103.9

9094 4619 4 474 103.2

10721 5429 5 292 102.6

12734 6445 6 290 102.5

15091 7639 7 452 102.5

17317 8749 8 568 102.1

19731 9955 9 776 101.8

22078 11127 10 951 101.6

24402 12282 12 120 101.3

18.4 25.1 18.8 3.4 l .9 0.2 47.5 18.3 6

18.6 26.3 17.6 4.0 2.1 0.2 45.5 17.7 7

18.4 27.3 17.5 4.2 2.5 0.2 44.4 17.2 8

18.9 27.5 18.1 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.8 10

17.2 28.4 19.1 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.1 12

15.4 27.9 20.1 4.9 3.1 0.4 46.5 18.1 14

15.2 25.5 21.0 5.0 3.2 0.4 48.8 19.1 17

14.5 24.6 20.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 50.0 20.1 19

13.8 24.2 19.5 5.8 3.7 0.5 50.6 21.0 22

12.4 23.6 19.2 6.2 4.1 0.6 51.8 22.1 24

11.4 22.3 19.5 6.7 4.5 0.7 52.6 23.3 27

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total lertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................... .............. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

VENEZUELA (BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF)

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ........................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

26 726 13433 13 293

29 318 14716 14 602

32 040 16063 15 977

34 787 17418 17 369

37 427 18716 18 71 1

40 000 19975 20 025

42 538 21214 21 324

45 017 22421 22 595

47 397 23581 23 816

10.7 20.6 19.4 7.5 5.0 0.8 53.3 24.6

10.9 19.2 18.5 8.6 5.6 l .0 52.8 25.8

10.7 18.9 17.1 9.8 6.5 1.2 51.3 27.0

10.2 19.0 16.1

9.5 18.6 16.1 12.6 8.6 1.6 49.5 29.0

9.0 17.7 16.5 14.0 9.9 2.0 49.0 29.8

8.8 16.8 16.3 15.0 11.0 2.4 48.4 30.5

8.5 16.3 15.7 16.3 11.9 2.8 47.5 31.5

8.2 15.9 15.0 17.5 12.9 3.3 46.9 32.4

11.1 7.5 1.3 49.9 28.0

2050

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

....

518 1 85 23.3 5.1 0.3 2.80 1.32

.

544

1.78 22.7 5.2 0.3 2.79 1.33

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

.........................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

409 1.47 19.5 5.1 0.3 2.30 1.09

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................ .............. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................

..

26 726 13433 13 293 24.6

29 237 14675 14 562 25.9

31 876 15979 15 897 27.1

34 576 17310 17 266 28.2

37 306 18654 18 652 29.1

40 082 20017 20 065 29.7

42 924 21413 21 512 30.2

45 838 22643 22 996 30.7

48 617 24309 24 509 31.2

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..

1.80 22.8 5.1

1.73 22.2 5.2

1.63 21.4 5.4

1.52 20.5 5.5

1.44 19.9 5.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.37 19.6 6.1

1.31 19.4 6.4

1.26 19.1 6.7

1.21 18.9 7.0

51 857 25810 26 047 31.5

VlET NAM

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ ................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..

..

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-tlve mortality (per 1.000 live births)" Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .......................... ..... ............ Both sexes combined ............................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

2000

VlET NAM

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

85029 42 508 42 520

91831 45 930 45 900

99099 49 583 49 516

106346 53 217 53 126

113068 56 577 56 491

119291 59 674 59 617

125330 62 667 62 663

131298 65 616 65 682

137012 68 439 68 573

9.5 20.1 20.6 7.6 5.6 1 .0 56.3 24.9

9.9 17.3 20.1 7.7 5.5 1.1 56.7 26.6

9.8 17.2 17.1 8.9 5.7 1.3 54.4 28.2

9.3 17.5 14.7 10.5 6.7 1.3 52.0 29.9

8.5 17.2 14.9 12.6 8.2 1.3 50.5 31.7

7.9 16.2 15.5 14.7 10.1 1.5 49.4 33.0

7.7 15.1 15.4 16.6 11.8 2.0 48.1 33.8

7.8 14.5 14.6 18.5 13.4 2.7 46.1 34.4

7.7 14.5 13.7 20.2 14.8 3.4 44.2 35.1

1 360 1.54 20.9 5.1 -0.5 2.39 1.13

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................

.........

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

973 1 .11 16.6 5.1 .0.5 1.89 0.89

799 0.87 14.2 5.1 -0.4 1.57 0.75

620 0.65 12.1 5.2 .0.4 1.36 0.65

532 0.54 11.3 5.5 -0.4 1.35 0.64

405 0.40 10.4 6.0 -0.4 1.35 0.65

239 0.23 9.6 6.8 .0.4 1.35 0.65

38 0.04 8.6 7.9 -0.4 1.35 0.65

. 170

. 357

.0.17 7.9 9.1 .0.4 1.35 0.65

.0.35 7.3 10.5 .0.4 1.35 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)

..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

85029 42 508 42 520 24.9

91581 45 803 45 778 26.7

98638 49 348 49 291 28.4

105740 52 908 52 832 30.1

112350 56 21 1 56 140 31.9

118418 59 229 59 189 33.3

124218 62 1 W 62 119 34.1

129887 64 896 64 991 34.6

135296 67 563 67 732 35.5

1.49 20.4 5.1

1.49 20.3 5.0

1.39 19.3 5.0

1.21 17.6 5.1

1.05 16.3 5.4

0.96 15.8 5.9

0.89 15.8 6.6

0.82 15.7 7.2

0.71 15.3 7.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

WESTERN SAHARA A ESTIMATES

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

14 7 7 98.0

21 11 10 109.4

33 18 15 115.9

51 28 23 119.3

77 42 35 122.1

75 40 34 117.2

150 81 69 117.0

184 98 86 113.9

221 116 105 111.1

259 135 1 24 109.4

315 166 149 110.9

17.3 25.2 19.0 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.0 18.7 0

15.6 23.0 22.8 4.5 2.7 0.1 50.0 20.0 0

16.5 20.7 22.9 4.2 2.6 0.1 51 .1 20.8 0

17.0 20.5 21.5 4.0 2.5 0.1 50.9 21 .1 0

17.0 23.1 19.3 3.9 2.4 0.1 49.0 20.2 0

17.7 28.2 20.4 4.0 2.5 0.2 43.6 16.8 0

15.0 21.6 21.6 5.1 3.3 0.4 51.4 21.3 1

16.9 21.8 18.3 4.7 3.0 0.3 50.4 21.2 1

15.5 24.3 18.0 4.1 2.6 0.3 50.6 20.7 1

13.8 25.1 18.7 3.6 2.4 0.3 52.4 20.7 1

12.2 23.0 20.3 3.8 2.5 0.3 55.5 22.1 1

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-f~ve mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................... ............... Females .............................. . . . ........ Both sexes combined ...........................

..

l8

11 3 10 3.72 23.3 5.8 19.6 2.70 1.21 44 56

19 13 3 10 3.30 21.9 5.5 16.4 2.53 1.15 36 45

19 14 4 10 2.89 20.1 5.3 14.1 2.38 1.11 36

1.38 17.9 5.4 1.3 2.27 1.06 25 29

9 13 5 1 1.11 15.7 5.9 1.3 2.16 1.02 20 24

64.3 68.1 65.9

66.1 70.1 67.8

67.6 71.9 69.5

69.0 73.4 71 .0

70.2 74.8 72.3

30

10 13 4

1

7 12 5 0.88 14.2 6.5 1.2 2.08 0.99 18 20

6 12 6 1 0.73 13.5 7.4 1 .1 2.00 0.95 15 18

6 12 7 1 0.62 13.3 8.3 1.1 1.93 0.92 13 15

5 12 9 1 0.50 13.1 9.2 1 .1 1 .87 0.89 12 13

71.3 75.9 73.4

72.3 76.9 74.4

73.2 77.8 75.3

74.0 78.7 76.2

1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

WESTERN SAHARA

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

19 3.91 25.4 5.9 19.5 2.95 1.32

21 3.57 25.0 5.5 16.2 2.93 1.34

22 3.20 23.6 5.3 13.7 2.88 1.34

13 1.69 20.9 5.3 1.3 2.77 1.30

12 1.39 18.3 5.6 1.2 2.86 1.26

11 1.18 16.8 6.2 11 2.58 1.22

10 1.08 16.6 6.9 10 2.50 1.19

11 1 05 17.0 7.5 1.0 2.43 1.16

10 0.99 17.1 8.1 0.9 2.37 1.13

2050

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)

..........

.

.

.

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

17 3.53 21.3 5.8 19.7 2.45 1.09

17 3.01 18.8 5.4 16.7 2.13 0.97

17 2.57 16.4 5.3 14.6 1.88 0.87

7 1 05 14.7 5.6 1.4 1.77 0.83

.

6 0.80 12.8 6.2 1.3 1.66 0.79

4 0.56 11.3 7.0 1.3 1.58 0.75

3 0.36 10.3 8.0 1.3 1.50 0.71

1 0.17 9.7 9.2 1.2 1.43 0.68

0 .0.01 9.1 10.4 1.2 1.37 0.65

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................

440 234 207 24.2

537 284 253 26.2

643 338 304 27.6

756 396 360 28.7

828 431 397 29.6

898 464 433 29.9

967 497 470 29.7

1038 530 508 29.9

1113 566 548 30.2

1193 604 589 30.5

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

3.95 25.8 5.9

3.61 25.4 5.5

3.25 24.1 5.3

1.82 22.3 5.3

1.61 20.6 5.6

1.48 19.8 6.1

1.42 19.8 6.6

1.41 20.2 7.1

1.38 20.5 7.6

p -

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

YEMEN

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

19s

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

4316 2179 2 137 102.0

4732 2390 2 342 102.1

5222 2636 2 586 102.0

5799 2925 2 873 101.8

6391 3198 3 192 100.2

7093 3518 3 575 98.4

8381 4181 4 201 99.5

10137 5087 5 050 100.7

12314 6206 6 108 101.6

15523 7874 7 649 102.9

18182 9213 8 969 102.7

17.5 24.8 18.5 6.2 3.9 0.3 45.2 18.9 8

18.7 25.7 18.5 5.4 3.4 0.3 44.5 17.8 9

18.9 27.2 18.6 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.8 16.9 10

19.1 28.2 19.0 4.3 2.7 0.2 43.5 16.3 11

19.9 28.6 19.7 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.2 15.7 12

20.8 29.6 19.9 3.8 2.3 0.2 42.5 14.9 13

21 .1 29.7 19.9 3.6 2.2 0.2 42.3 14.7 16

21.7 29.7 19.6 3.3 2.1 0.2 42.0 14.5 19

21.3 30.4 19.4 3.1 l .9 0.2 41.8 14.3 23

19.6 30.1 18.8 3.9 2.6 0.3 42.5 15.1 29

18.0 30.2 20.3 3.7 2.4 0.3 43.9 15.8 34

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

.

Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

21 096 10677 10419 102.5

24 475 12374 12102 102.2

28 288 14289 14000 102.1

32 390 16349 16040 101.9

36 567 18445 18122 101.8

40 768 20550 20218 101.6

45 036 22685 22352 101.5

16.8 29.0 21.6 3.7 2.3 0.3 17.8 8.1 7.4 12.4 46.0 16.7 40

16.6 27.2 21.9 3.8 2.4 0.3 16.6 7.7 7.3 12.8 47.6 17.6 46

16.0 26.4 21.2 4.0 2.5 0.3 16.3 7.2 6.8 12.5 48.8 18.4

14.9 26.2 20.2 4.4 2.7 0.3 16.1 7.2 6.5 11.8 49.5 19.2 61

13.5 25.3 20.2 4.8 3.0 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.7 11.7 51.2 20.2 69

12.3 23.7 20.5 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.7 12.1 52.8 21.6 77

11.5 22.0 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.5 6.4 12.1 53.8 23.1 85

54

Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................... .. ...................... Both sexes combined ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffiIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ..................... . . ................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

21 096 10677 10419

24 660 12468 12193

28 838 14569 14270

33 491 16910 16581

38 325 19340 18985

43 330 21853 21476

48 634 24515 24119

54 330 27372 26958

60 357 30393 29965

16.8 29.0 21.6 3.7 2.3 0.3 46.0 16.7

17.2 27.0 21.7 3.8 2.4 0.3 47.3 17.4

17.0 26.5 20.8 4.0 2.4 0.3 47.7 18.0

16.0 26.9 19.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.9 16.4

14.6 26.5 19.7 4.5 2.9 0.3 49.3 19.1

13.5 25.1 20.6 4.9 3.1 0.3 50.9 20.2

12.8 23.4 20.7 5.3 3.4 0.4 52.1 21.5

12.4 22.1 19.9 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.2 22.8

11.9 21.3 18.7 7.0 4.3 0.6 51.8 24.0

713 3.12 39.8 7.5 -1.2 5.75 2.47

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................. . ................... Females ..................... . ..................... Age distribution Percenlage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

639 2.82 36.7 7.3 .1.2 5.25 2.25

690 2.66 33.8 6.3 .1.0 4.53 2.00

710 2.41 30.2 5.5 .0.7 3.83 1.73

705 2.13 26.9 4.9 -0.6 3.29 1.51

683 1.87 23.9 4.6 .0.5 2.86 1.33

657 1.65 21.5 4.5 .0.5 2.53 1.19

627 1.46 19.6 4.6 .0.5 2.29 1.09

583 1.27 17.8 4.7 .0.4 2.10 1.00

519 1.06 16.1 5.0 .0.4 1.95 0.93

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................ ........ ........... Females ......................... . .................. Median age (years) .................................

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

21 096 10677 10 419 16.7

24 820 12549 12 271 17.3

29 521 14917 14 605 17.4

35 291 17827 17 464 17.1

42 131 21278 20 853 16.9

50 212 25357 24 855 17.1

59 894 30248 29 646 17.3

71 613 36171 35 442 17.4

85 786 43344 42 442 17.4

3.25 41.2 7.6

3.47 42.2 6.6

3.57 41.9 5.7

3.54 40.8 5.0

3.51 39.8 4.4

3.53 39.5 4.0

3.57 39.6 3.7

3.61 39.7 3.4

3.62 39.6 3.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

. .

ZAMBIA

.

A ESTIMATES

Indicator 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

..........

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

...........

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

1 1 478 5712 5 766 99.1

12 825 6305 6 321 99.7

13 842 6935 6 908 100.4

15 193 7635 7 558 101.0

l8 539 8333 8 206 101.5

17 870 9015 8 855 101.8

19 172 9672 9 500 101.8

20 443 10303 10 140 101.6

21 679 10910 10 769 101.3

22 868 l1488 11 380 100.9

17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 17.5 7.6 7.0 12.3 45.0 16.9 15

16.5 28.4 21.5 4.5 3.0 0.4 17.4 7.9 7.1 12.5 45.8 17.2 17

15.7 27.6 22.2 4.5 3.0 0.4 16.8 7.9 7.4 12.9 47.5 17.8 18

14.9 26.7 22.5 4.4 3.0 0.4 16.2 7.6 7.2 13.3 49.5 18.6 20

14.0 25.8 22.2 4.3 2.9 0.5 15.7 7.4 7.1 13.1 51.2 19.4 22

13.1 24.8 21.9 4.3 2.9 0.5 15.0 7.2 7.0 12.9 52.8 20.3 24

12.3 23.6 21.7 4.5 3.0 0.5 14.2 7.0 6.8 12.8 54.2 21.4 25

11.6 22.4 21.2 5.0 3.2 0.5 13.5 6.6 6.5 12.6 55.2 22.5 27

10.9 21.3 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.5 12.8 6.3 6.3 12.2 55.6 23.7 29

10.3 20.4 19.7 6.5 4.1 0.6 12.3 6.1 6.0 11.8 55.4 24.8 30

.

Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 pcpulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................

.........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

C HIGH VARIANT

Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

l1478 5 712 5 766

12726 6 355 6 371

14125 7 077 7 048

15740 7 910 7 829

17395 8 763 8 631

19106 9 637 9 469

20891 10 536 10 355

22762 1 1 469 11 293

24705 12 432 12 273

17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 45.0 16.9

17.1 28.2 21.4 4.5 3.0 0.4 45.4 17.0

16.8 27.8 21.7 4.4 3.0 0.4 46.5 17.3

16.1 27.5 21.7 4.2 2.9 0.4 47.8 17.8

15.2 27.1 21.6 4.1 2.8 0.4 49.2 18.4

14.3 26.2 21.9 4.0 2.7 0.5 50.8 19.1

13.7 25.0 21.9 4.1 2.7 0.5 52.2 19.9

13.2 24.0 21.5 4.5 2.8 0.5 53.1 20.8

12.6 23.2 20.7 4.9 3.1 0.5 53.5 21.7

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 025-2033 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

250 2.06 41.0 19.0 .1.4 5.43 1.82

280 2.09 39.4 17.3 -1.3 5.07 1.78

323 2.16 37.3 15.6 -0.1 4.66 1.72

331 2.00 34.6 14.5 -0.1 4.19 1.61

342 1.88 32.3 13.4 -0.1 3.81 1.51

357 1.79 30.5 12.5 .0.1 3.50 1.44

374 1.72 29.1 11.8 -0.1 3.26 1.37

389 1.64 27.7 17.2 .0.1 3.08 1.32

398 1.55 26.2 10.6 .0.1 2.92 1.28

.

D LOW VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

11478 5 712 5 766

12525 6 254 6 271

13559 6 792 6 767

14646 7 360 7 286

15685 7 904 7 781

16646 8 400 8 246

17498 8 830 8 667

18231 9 191 9 040

18854 9 489 9 365

17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 45.0 16.9

15.8 28.7 21.7 4.6 3.0 0.4 46.2 17.4

14.7 27.5 22.6 4.5 3.1 0.4 48.5 18.2

13.6 25.8 23.3 4.5 3.1 0.4 51.3 19.3

12.7 24.4 22.8 4.5 3.1 0.5 53.4 20.6

11.7 23.2 21.9 4.6 3.1 0.5 55.1 21.8

10.8 21.9 21.3 4.9 3.2 0.5 56.5 23.1

9.9 20.5 20.7 5.6 3.5 0.6 57.4 24.5

9.1 19.1 19.9 6.4 4.1 0.6 57.8 26.0

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year [thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

209 1.75 37.5 18.7 .1.4 4.93 1.65

207 1.59 34.2 17.0 .1.3 4.27 1.50

217 1.54 31.1 15.5 -0.1 3.66 1.35

208 1.37 28.6 14.8 -0.1 3.19 1.22

192 1.19 26.0 14.0 -0.1 2.81 1.12

170 1.00 23.5 13.4 -0.1 2.50 1.03

1 47 0.82 21.3 13.0 .O.l 2.26 0.95

125 0.67 19.4 12.6 -0.1 2.08 0.89

104 0.54 17.8 12.2 .0.1 1.92 0.85

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................. ............... Males ................................................... Females ................... . ......................... Median age (years) .................................

..

Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1 1 478 5 712 5766 16.9

12 798 6 392 6406 16.9

14 424 7 228 7197 16.9

16 497 8 291 8205 16.7

18 951 9 546 9405 16.5

21 883 11 034 10849 16.5

25 41 1 12 810 12601 16.4

29 670 14 944 14726 16.4

34 805 17 513 17292 16.4

2.18 42.2 19.1

2.39 42.6 17.5

2.69 42.7 15.8

2.77 42.4 14.6

2.88 42.0 13.2

2.99 41.9 12.0

3.10 41.9 10.9

3.19 41.9 9.9

3.27 41.7 9.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ZIMBABWE

.

A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)

...........

.................. .................. ......... ..................

.................................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2 747 1 370 1377 99.4

3 203 1 597 1606 99.5

3 751 1 870 1880 99.5

4 420 2 204 2215 99.5

5 203 2 594 2609 99.4

6 167 3 074 3093 99.4

7 285 3 622 3662 98.9

8 851 4 405 4446 99.1

10 487 5 220 5267 99.1

11 791 5 845 5946 98.3

12 656 6 255 6402 97.7

16.1 25.9 19.0 5.3 3.2 0.2 46.7 19.0 7

19.2 24.6 18.2 5.4 3.3 0.3 45.0 18.2 8

19.4 25.9 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 43.9 17.4 10

19.6 28.2 17.0 5.1 3.3 0.3 41.9 16.3 11

19.5 28.6 17.9 4.9 3.2 0.3 41.7 15.9 13

19.7 28.7 19.3 4.7 3.0 0.3 41.9 15.7 l6

20.0 29.0 19.5 4.7 2.9 0.3 41.8 15.5 19

18.9 29.0 19.7 4.5 3.0 0.3 43.1 16.0 23

17.0 29.0 20.0 4.5 2.9 0.3 45.1 16.8 27

15.6 28.6 21.0 4.7 3.1 0.4 46.9 17.5 30

14.1 27.7 23.1 4.9 3.3 0.5 48.9 18.2 32

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined

............. ....

..........

............................................... ............................

.

B MEDIUM VARIANT

Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)

............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. ............

......... 2005-2010 20104015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males Females Both sexes combined

..................... ................... .........

............................................. ............................................... ............................

128 374 240 .6 0.95 27.9 17.9 .0.4 3.19 1.14 58 94

149 381 226 .6 1.06 n.0 16.0 .0.4 2.91 1.10 50 79

150 378 221 .7 1.01 25.4 14.8 .0.5 2.69 1.06 43 66

142 364 215 .7 0.91 23.3 13.8 .0.4 2.52 1.04 38 57

132 349 211 .7 0.81 21.4 12.9 .0.4 2.38 1.01 34 50

124 340 209 7 0.73 20.1 12.3 .0.4 2.26 0.98 31 44

124 335 204 .7 0.71 19.1 11.6 0.4 2.16 0.96 27 39

125 329 197 .7 0.69 18.1 10.8 .0.4 2.07 0.94 25 34

123 319 188 .7 0.66 16.9 10.0 .0.4 1.99 0.92 22 30

44.1 42.7 43.5

47.7 46.8 47.4

50.6 49.8 50.4

53.0 52.6 53.0

54.9 55.6 55.3

56.4 57.9 57.1

58.2 60.2 59.1

60.4 62.8 61.5

62.8 65.7 64.2

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ZIMBABWE

.

C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

155 1.15 29.9 17.9 -0.4 3.44

1.23

.

D LOW VARIANT

Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ........................... ...................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... .........

..

Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........

101 0.76 25.8 17.8 -0.4 2.94 1.05

.

E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARtANT

Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Med~anage (years) .................................

13120 6 509 6611 19.0

13944 6 958 6986 20.0

15041 7 541 7500 20.7

16292 8 202 8090 20.9

17654 8 913 8741 20.8

19150 9 678 9472 21.1

20842 10 529 10313 21.5

22789 1 1 498 11291 22.0

25027 12 606 12421 22.4

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..

1.22 30.6 18.0

1.51 31.5 16.0

1.60 31 .0 14.6

1.61 29.7 13.2

1.63 28.7 12.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

1.69 28.4 11.1

1.79 28.4 10.2

1.87 28.2 9.2

1.94 27.9 8.3

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11. SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

Table A.3. Total populationat mid-year by major area and region: elimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area and reglon

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

l980

1985

1990

1995

2000

WORLD

2 535 093 2 770 753 3 031 931 3 342 771 3 698 676 4 076 080 4 451 470 4 855 264 5 294 879 5 719 045 6 124 123

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

813561 864004 916095 967002 l008477 1048104 1083274 1115352 1149064 1175400 1194199 1721532 1906749 2115836 2375768 2690199 3027977 3368196 3739912 4145815 4543645 4929924 200 321 221 417 247 317 278 395 315 868 358 263 405 815 460 974 525 473 601 083 679 447 1521 211 1685332 1868519 2097374 2374331 2669714 2962381 3278938 3620342 3942562 4250477

Less developed regions, excluding China

1 164 608 1 295 073 1 455 097 1 642 676 1 855 328 2 095 520 2 364 028 2 667 243 2 990 669 3 323 296 3 652 859

Sub-Saharan Atrlca (9)

180040

201 087

226 372

256 461

292 688

335 741

388 063

449 349

519 391

596 402

679 873

AFRICA Eastem Africa ......................................... Middle Atnca ........................................ Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... WesternAfrica .......................................

224 202 65 072 26 104 53 302 15 591 64134

250 633 73 056 28 788 59 761 17 493 71536

282 241 82 759 32 172 67 308 19 732 80270

319 574 94 656 36 184 75 942 22 426 90366

364 132 109 021 41 288 85 939 25 461 102423

416 446 125 888 47 273 97 481 29 093 116712

479 786 145 950 54 715 1 1 1 364 32 974 134782

554 294 169 404 63 431 128 002 37 454 156005

637 421 197 244 73 632 143 963 41 828 180754

726 334 224 280 86 675 159 423 47 408 208547

820 959 257 294 97 765 174 435 51 950 239515

ASIA 1 Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral As~a(l)............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. WesternAsia ..........................................

410 649 1 550 986 1 704 289 1 898 591 2 138 765 2 393 643 2 635 738 2 896 192 3 181 21 1 3 451 674 3 704 838 669 906 733 395 791 744 873 920 986 626 1 096 781 1 178 001 1 254 941 1 343 912 1 414 933 1 476 295 51 1 449 561 299 622 306 694 619 777 432 872 819 981 920 1 106 852 1 242 969 1 382 701 1 516 156 178 149 197 821 223 127 253 067 286 762 322 762 359 106 399 286 440 574 481 288 519 996 51 145 58471 67111 76985 87944 101280 116710 135114 153757 172752 192390

EUROPE Eastern Europe .............. ...................... Northern Europe ......................... . ......... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe .....................................

548 194 220 198 78 093 108 996 140 906

575 970 237 112 79 635 113 588 145 635

605 201 253 469 81 762 1 18 067 151 903

634 811 266 937 84 928 122 979 159 968

656 666 276 415 87 357 127 244 165 650

676455 285 737 89 011 132 564 169 143

693 170 294 972 89 877 137 890 170 430

706 576 303 505 90 745 140 512 171 813

721 322 31 0 860 92 120 142 286 176 057

728 513 31 0 421 93 177 143 858 181 057

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 167 626 Caribbean .............................................. 17 132 Central America ................... ........... 37 515 South America ........................................ 112 980

192 022 18 836 43 503 129 684

220 167 20 771 50 916 148 480

252 850 23 143 59 551 170 156

287 543 25 421 69 581 192 541

324 834 27 741 80 853 216 240

364 379 29 855 92 255 242 269

404 492 32 049 102 510 269 933

444 271 34 353 112 724 297 194

483 860 36 577 124 052 323 230

523 048 38 617 135 587 348 844

NORTHERN AMERICA

171 615

186 882

204 150

219 157

231 932

243417

255 546

269 023

283 920

299 670

315 672

12807 10 127 2 289 148 242

14260 1 1 337 2 483 164 276

15884 12 648 2 735 184 317

17788 14 153 3 056 21 1 368

19639 15 548 3 426 242 423

21286 16 708 3 865 267 447

22852 17 751 4 321 301 478

24686 18 916 4 905 358 508

26733 20 284 5 489 417 543

28995 21 745 6 204 466 580

31106 22 993 7 003 497 613

. .

OCEANIA AustralialNew Zealand ........................... Melanes~a...................... ............... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................

. . . .

728 501 304 870

94 341 145 801 183 489

a More developed regions mmprise Eurcpe. Northern America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regms comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Letin Amand the Caribbean plus h!danesla. mronesia and Polynesia c Least developed countries are 50 mntries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latm America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed ccuntries comprise of the less developed regiars excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all oi Afncaexcapt Northern Africa, w#h the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. s! and Central Asia are uxnb~nedinto South-Central As!. 1 The regions Southern A

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

"'

Table A.3. Total populationat mid-year by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area and reglon 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China

Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA

Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................

ASIA

Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. Western Asia ..........................................

EUROPE

Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ..................................... Southern Europe .................................... Western Europe ......................................

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................

NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA

AustralialNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A4.Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 High variant P -

-

P

P

Population(thousands)

Major area and region

WORLD

6 514 751 6 967 407 7 459 289 7 966 382 8 450 822 8 913 727 9 368 003 9 829 961 10 297 036 10 756 366

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

1 215 636 1 242 905 1 271 670 5299115 5724503 6187619 766 816 869 680 985 124 4532300 4854823 5202495

Less developed regions, excluding China

1 299 740 6666642 1 1 1 1 473 5555169

1 323 381 7127442 1 243 963 5883479

1 344 683 7569043 1 382 883 6186161

1 387 059 8000944 1 529 016 6471 928

1 392 651 8437310 1 682 312 6754998

1 421 036 8876000 1 840 877 7035123

1 450 731 9305634 2 001 829 7303805

3978606 4353070 4759083 5180138 5591355 5996110 6403408 6820088 7238680 7648138

Sub-Saharan Africa (a)

769348

873228

989836 1117241 1250536 1390812 1539109 1695277 1857215 2022172

AFRICA 922 011 1 039 937 1 171 953 1 315 002 1 462 891 1 616 858 1 778 638 1 948 489 2 124 135 2 302 149 Eastern Africa 292 539 334 740 382 445 434 290 488 148 544 536 604 128 666 982 732 226 798 666 MiddleAfrica 112505 130058 150365 173524 198843 226317 255821 287117 319810 353446 Northern Africa ........................................ 189 562 208 274 228 881 249 825 269 464 288 51 0 307 453 326 706 346 044 364 697 78 667 72 665 75 618 67 123 69 827 61 920 64 497 Southern Africa ....................................... 54 900 57 149 59 380 Western Africa ........................................ 272 505 309 716 351 081 395 643 441 939 490 372 541 408 595 019 650 438 706 673

......................................... ...........................................

ASIA 3 938 020 4 203 972 4 490 509 4 780 962 5 049 840 5 294 716 5 523 299 5 749 512 5 974 077 6 189 365 Eastern Asia ........................................... 1 522 472 1 576 288 1 635 737 1 695 169 1 744 954 1 780 857 1 803 828 1 821 781 1 840 255 1 858 840 Southtentral Asia (1) 1 645 790 1 793 286 1 952 109 2 114 432 2 268 000 2 414 171 2 558 013 2 704 908 2 850 451 2 989 190 South-eastern Asia 557 669 600 1 1 9 643 783 686 899 727 399 765 716 802 857 839 097 874 193 907 131 Western Asia .......................................... 212 088 234 279 258 879 284 462 309 487 333 973 358 601 383 725 409 178 434 204

............................. .................................

EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ......................................

731 087 297 775 96 370 150 333 186 609

738 830 293 587 99 141 154 222 189 880

743 202 290 497 102 269 157 149 193 287

749 011 287 164 105 664 159 242 196 941

752 266 282 555 108 852 160 583 200 276

754 357 277 628 1 1 1 753 161 696 203 280

757 482 273 604 114 587 163 103 206 189

762 864 270 755 117 743 165 003 209 364

769 848 268 434 121 324 167 098 212 991

777 l68 266 017 125 161 168 972 217 018

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................

557 979 40 525 143 775 373 679

599 430 42 672 155 192 401 566

643 315 45 012 167 364 430 939

687 305 47 439 179 601 460 265

728 911 49 747 191 205 487 959

768 749 51 893 202 332 514 523

807 239 53 937 213 021 540 281

844 631

55 916 223 156 565 559

880 407 57 81 1 232 590 590 005

914 203 59 576 241 199 613 428

NORTHERN AMERICA

332 245

351 450

372 01 1

393 157

413 338

432 920

452 730

473 339

494 860

517 137

OCEANIA 33410 AustraliaINew Zealand 24 407 Melanesia 7820 Micronesia ............................................ 538 Polynesia ............................................ 645

35789 25 860 8663 581 685

38300 27 414 9531 627 727

40945 29 042 10452 678 773

43576 30 619 11409 729 819

46127 32 106 12381 777 863

48615 33 538 13350 825 903

51127 35 005 14310 872 940

53710 36 552 15266 918 975

56343 38 156 16212 964 1 008

............................ ...............................................

a More developed regions comprise Europe, Nwthern America. AustraliatNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Alrica, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia c Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Afnca. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one countty in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e SubSaharan M i c a refers to all of AJrica except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Cenlral Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division WorM Poputation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.5. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050

Low variant Population(thousands)

Major ama and region 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD

6 514 751 6 843 645 7 127 009 7 363 824 7 568 540 7 727 192 7 828 666 7 871 770 7 857 864 7 791 945

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a)

1215636 1221 975 1218218 5 299 115 5 621 670 5 908 790 766816 855804 945653 4532300 4765866 4963137

LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

1207540 6 156 284 1035276 5121007

1 193975 6 374 565 1125806 5248759

1 177049 6 550 143 1214211 5335932

1 155984 6 672 682 1 297 175 5 375 507

1 129960 6 741 810 1 372 431 5 369 379

1 099 155 6 758 709 1 438 865 5 319 843

1 065 151 6 726 794 1 495 711 5 231 083

Less developed regions, excluding 3 978 606 4 274 942 4 544 602 4 782 817 4 998 432 5 182 268 5326772 5431 206 5494452 5516836

China

Sub-SaharanAfrlca (e)

769348

Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................

ASIA

..............

..........................................

3938020 4127206 4284706 4408874 4507871 4572127 4595620 4580381 4528586 4443976 1522472 1548164 1562929 1567792 1565086 1550498 1521173 14T7495 1421940 1357942 1 645 790 1 760 698 1 862 348 1 948 224 2 020 792 2 076 172 2 112 971 2 134 269 2 139 290 2 127 541 557669 588345 612349 630310 645 182 656 116 661 762 661 002 654231 642211 299 713 307 614 313 125 316 282 212 088 230 OOO 247 079 262 548 276 811 289 341 731 087

..................................... .....................................

LATIN

...................................... ........................................

NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA AustralidNew Zealand Micronesia ................................... Polynesia .....................................

150 333 186 609

724 107 287924 97563 151 592 187 028

711 151 276417 98149 150 681 185 905

694786 264065 98343 148 442 183 936

677662 251 747 98387 145 758 181 770

659381 239112 98180 142 800 179 289

639351 226003 97555 139 545 176 248

617036 212338 96488 135 814 172 397

592345 198205 95016 131 433 167 690

566034 183960 93246 126 425 162 403

557979 40 525 143 775 373 679

587933 41 924 152 113 393 896

612531 43026 159 078 410 428

631 684 43862 164 542 423 280

647115 44514 169 002 433 599

657604 44831 172 179 440 594

662067 44746 173 693 443 627

660556 44257 173 355 442 944

653343 43395 171 237 438 712

640881 42 193 167 479 431 209

332245

345698

356656

365382

372678

378308

382037

383611

383244

381 551

33410 24407 7820 538 645

35 189 25434 8513 569 673

36697 26292 9115 595 694

38019 27024 9664 619 713

39265 27692 10203 641 729

40357 28259 10698 658 741

41 193 28672 11103 671 746

41 723 28909 11396 676 742

41 966 28977 11583 676 730

41 985 28921 11682 671 712

___..297775 .... 96370

Southern Europe Western Europe

Can Cen South America

952 193 1043842 1 135709 1225614 1310669 1 388587 1 458R3 1 518442

922 011 1 023 510 1 125 267 1 225 078 1 323 948 1 419 416 1508397 1588464 1658379 1717518 544044 571 880 596003 292 539 329 473 367 468 405 275 442 690 478 646 512862 163 718 182 888 202 611 222 011 240 376 257 350 272 758 112 505 128 604 145 759 254873 259253 261 430 261 446 189 562 204 317 217 734 229 427 239 668 248 262 56026 55196 54149 53008 54 900 56 035 56 589 56 667 56 527 56 432 489595 513570 534302 272 505 305 081 337 873 370 070 402 035 433 170 462625

AFRICA

Western Asia

860089

...........

a b c d e

More developed regions comprise Europe, Nolthem America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions cornprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one countly in Lalin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulationDivision World Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume /; Comprehensive Tables

503

Table A.6. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertili variant, 2005-2050 Constant-fertili variant Population (thousands)

Major area and region 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD

6514751 6944634 7416822 7919765 8443704 8996239 95971171026518811 01405311857786

WHORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

1215 636 1231 200 1242 124 5299115 5713434 6174699 766816 873 199 998818 4532300 4840235 5175881

Less developed regions, excluding China

3978606 4356169 4783236 5252432 5758523 6309985 6924151 7617479 6402937 9294052

SubSaharan Africa ((I) AFRICA

769348

Eastern Asia Southcentral ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. Western Asia

..........................................

EUROPE Eastern Europe ........... .............. Northern Europe .......... ............. SouthernEurope ..................................... WesternEurope ......................................

LATIN AMERICA AND TH ,

.

NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA

...............................................

1251 642 7744597 1518091 6226507

1247 723 8349394 1757067 6592328

1 240448 9024741 2042674 6982067

1 230 317 1218 291 978373610839495 2384654 2794406 7399082 7845089

876725 1005783 1 159354 1340619 1 556 153 1814510 2 125752 2501 095 2953 608

3938020 4190573 4463566 4744337 5021 318 5295579 5577549 5875420 6 191 052 6524736 1522472 1560626 1594830 1620268 1632260 1629764 1615201 1591124 1557901 1515325 1 645 790 1 796 874 1 966 954 2 150 238 2 341 363 2 542 235 2 759 299 2 996 671 3 254 814 3 533 656 557 669 598 800 641 939 685 816 729 196 772 077 815 183 859 004 903649 948 944 212 088 234 274 259 843 288 016 318 499 351 5w 387 888 428 622 474 689 526 811

ASIA

South America ........................................

1 252 103 7191601 1 316897 5874704

922011 1043102 1187267 1356478 1553321 1784398 2058766 2386874 2779969 3250865 292539 335757 388196 450678 524278 611 714 716556 842820 994846 1177658 112505 130318 151476 176807 207456 244698 290179 345882 414209 498131 189562 208300 229331 251 827 275014 299194 325085 353362 384349 418050 83393 74545 78722 70804 64353 67432 54900 56994 59095 61 568 272505 311 733 359169 415598 482221 561 359 656 142 770265 907844 1073632

......................................... ...........................................

Eastern Africa Middle Africa Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................

Caribbean ....................

1 249 OOO 6670765 1 145727 5525038

.

731 087 297775 96370 150333 186609

729346 290438 98038 152506 188364

724238 282405 99490 152921 189423

716260 273270 100826 152169 189996

706004 263285 101931 150682 190106

693850 252716 102723 148727 189684

679867 241 646 103157 146383 188682

663869 229931 103299 143564 187075

645900 217594 103232 140134 184941

626370 204865 103014 136064 182428

557979 40525 143775 373 679

597587 42588 155025 399 974

639449 44807 167400 427 242

682066 47126 180435 454 505

724548 49518 193604 481 426

766901 51 936 206914 508 051

809418 54428 220562 534 429

652268 57043 234675 560 550

895504 59814 249317 586 373

939225 62760 264532 611 933

332245

348411

364416

380352

395753

410209

423614

436148

448137

459983

33410 24407 7 820 538

35615 25619 8 730 561 685

37887 26777 9 751 630 729

40272 27894 10 913 685 781

42759 28949 12 229 744 837

45302 29899 13 701 606 697

47903 30720 15 352 873 959

50610 31 424 17 219 944 1023

53490 32038 19 337 1023 1092

56606 32588 21 740 1 110 1168

645

a More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. AustraliaMew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions coinprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. c Least developed countries am 60 muntries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lath Amerlca and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions exduding the least dewloped countries. e Sub-Saharan Alrica refersto all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan includedin sub-SaharanAfrica. 1 The rqions Southern Asia and Central Asii are Mmbined into South-CentralAsia.

504

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

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Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area and region 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA Easlern Africa ....................................... Middle Africa .................... .......... .... Northern Africa ............................. . . . .... Southern Africa .......................... ........... .............. Western Africa ...................

. . .

ASIA Eastern Asia ............................. ............ Southcentral Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................ Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ..................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ............................ . ....... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA Australia/New Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................ ............... Micronesia ................... ...... ........... Polynesia ............................. ...............

.. ..

a b c d e

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America. Australia/NewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all reglons of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, M~cronesiaandPolynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprlse of the less developed reglons excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to ail of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area and region 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Atrica (e) AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... ............................. South-centralAsia (l) South-easternAsia ................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA Australia/New Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.8. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area a n d region 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045.2050

WORLD

1.34

1.36

1.32

1.18

1.07

0.99

0.96

0.93

0.87

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

0.44 1.54 2.52 1.38

0.46 1.56 2.49 1.38

0.44 1.49 2.41 1.31

0.36 1.34 2.25 1.15

0.32 1.20 2.12 1.00

0.33 1.11 2.01 0.90

0.37 1.06 1.91 0.86

0.40 1.01 1.80 0.81

0.41 0.95 1.68 0.75

Less developed regions, excluding China

1.80

1.78

1.70

1.53

1.40

1.31

1.26

1.19

1.10

Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e)

2.53

2.51

2.42

2.25

2.13

2.03

1.93

1.83

1.70

1.91 2.08 2.45 1.27 0.79 1.98

1.82 1.98 2.31 1.22 0.80 1.89

1.73 1.87 2.16 1.l5 0.80 1.78

1.61 1.74 2.00 1.05 0.79 1.66 0.71 0.20 0.95 0.74 1.19

AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... MiddleAfrica ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................

2.41 2.70 2.90 1.88 0.80 2.56

2.39 2.67 2.90 1.87 0.77 2.51

2.30 2.54 2.87 1.75 0.84 2.39

2.13 2.34 2.72 1.53 0.82 2.21

2.00 2.19 2.59 1.37 0.80 2.08

ASIA Eastern Asia ......................................... South-central Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. WesternAsia .........................................

1.31 0.70 1.72 1.47 1.99

1.32 0.74 1.70 1.41 2.00

1.25 0.71 1.60 1.30 1.89

1.09 0.58 1.40 1. l 5 1.69

0.95 0.41 1.25 1.03 1.52

0.85 0.26 1.16 0.95 1.42

0.80 0.20 1.12 0.88 1.35

0.77 0.20 1.05 0.82 1.28

EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA

1.12

1.14

1.11

1.00

0.93

0.90

0.89

0.89

0.88

OCEANIA AustraliaINew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ...............................................

1.38 1.16 2.05 1.54 1.20

1.36 1.17 1.91 1.54 1.18

1.34 1.15 1.84 1.56 1.24

1.25 1.06 1.75 1.43 1.15

1.14 0.95 1.64 1.30 1.04

1.05 0.87 1.51 1.19 0.91

1.01 0.86 1.39 1.11 0.80

0.99 0.87 1.29 1.03 0.73

0.96 0.86 1.20 0.98 0.67

a b c d e 1

More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America, AustraliaINewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mmbined into South-Central Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050

Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area and region 2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD

0.99

0.81

0.65

0.55

0.42

0.26

0.11

-0.04

-0.17

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

0.10 1.18 2.20 1.01

-0.06 1.00 2.00 0.81

-0.18 0.82 1.81 0.63

-0.23 0.70 1.68 0.49

-0.29 0.54 1.51 0.33

-0.36 0.37 1.32 0.15

-0.46 0.21 1.13 -0.02

-0.55 0.05 0.95 -0.19

-0.63 -0.10 0.78 -0.34

Less developed regions, exciud~ng China

1.44

1.22

1.02

0.88

0.72

0.55

0.39

0.23

0.08

SubSaharan Afrfrlca (e)

2.23

2.04

1.84

1.69

1.52

1.34

1.16

0.98

0.81

2.09 2.38 2.68 1.50 0.41 2.26

1.90 2.18 2.50 1.27 0.14 2.04

1.70 1.96 2.32 1.05 0.06 1.82

1.55 1.77 2.22 0.87 0.03 1.66

1.39 1.57 2.05 0.71 -0.05 1.49

1.22 1.37 1.83 0.53 -0.18 1.32

1.03 1 .l8 1.59 0.34 -0.30 1.13

0.86 1.00 1.37 0.17 -0.38 0.96

0.70 0.83 1.16 0.00 -0.43 0.79

0.94 0.34 1.35 1.07 1.62

0.75 0.19 1.12 0.80 1.43

0.57 0.06 0.90 0.58 1.21

0.44 -0.04 0.73 0.47 1.06

0.28 -0.19 0.54 0.34 0.89

0.10 -0.38 0.35 0.17 0.70

-0.07 -0.58 0.20 -0.02 0.52

-0.23 -0.77 0.05 -0.21 0.36

-0.38 -0.92 -0.11 -0.37 0.20

-0.19 -0.67 0.25 0.17 0.05

-0.36 -0.82 0.12 -0.12 -0.12

-0.47 -0.91 0.04 -0.30 -0.21

-0.50 -0.96 0.01 -0.37 -0.24

-0.55 -1.03 -0.04 -0.41 -0.28

-0.62 -1.13 -0.13 -0.46 -0.34

-0.71 -1.25 -0.22 -0.54 -0.44

-0.82 -1.38 -0.31 -0.66 -0.55

-0.91 -1.49 -0.38 -0.78 -0.64

1.05 0.68 1 .l3 1.05

0.82 0.52 0.90 0.82

0.62 0.39 0.68 0.62

0.48 0.30 0.54 0.48

0.32 0.14 0.37 0.32

0.14 -0.04 0.18 0.14

-0.05 -0.22 -0.04 -0.03

-0.22 -0.39 -0.25 -0.19

-0.39 -0.56 -0.44 -0.35

NORTHERN AMERICA

0.79

0.62

0.48

0.40

0.30

0.20

0.08

-0.02

-0.09

OCEANIA

1.04 0.82 1.70 1.12 0.85

0.84 0.66 1.37 0.90 0.62

0.71 0.55 1.17 0.78 0.53

0.65 0.49 1.09 0.69 0.44

0.55 0.41 0.95 0.54 0.32

0.41 0.29 0.74 0.37 0.14

0.26 0.16 0.52 0.18 -0.10

0.12 0.05 0.33 -0.01 -0.33

0.01 -0.04 0.17 -0.16 -0.52

AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... MiddleAfrica ......................................... NorthernAfrica ...................................... Southern Africa ....................................... WesternAfrica ......................................

ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia (1)............................. South-easIernAsia ................................. WesternAsia ..........................................

EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... NorthemEurope ..................................... Southern Europe .................................... Western Europe ........................ .........

..

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean .......................................... Central America ...................................... SouthAmerica ..................... .................

AustralialNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia .......................................... Micronesia ............................................ Polynesia ..........................................

a More developed regions wrnprise Europe. Northern Amenca. AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed reglons cornpnse all regions of Afrlca. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 In Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin Amerlca and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to ail of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan Included In sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mrnbined into South-Central Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb AlO. Average annual rate of population change by major area and regkn: constant-fertillty Varknt, 2005-2050 Constant-fertility varbnt Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

WORLD

1.28

1.32

1.31

1.28

1.27

1.29

1.35

1.41

1.48

NDRE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQIONS (b) Leaet developed countries (c) O M e r b anrelopedcountrkw (d)

0.25 1.51 2.60 1.32

0.18 1.55 2.69 1.34

0.1 1 1.55 2.74 1.31

0.05 1.50 2.79 1.23

-0.01 I.48 2.84 1.16

-0.06 1.50 2.92 1.14

-0.12 1.56 3.01 1.15

-0.16 1.62 3.10 1.16

-0.20 1.08 3.17 1.17

1.81

1.87

1.87

1.84

1.83

1.ea

1.91

1.96

2.02

2.98

3.07

3.17

3.25

3.33

3.05 3.32 3.61 1.68 1.09 3.29

3.13 3.37 3.89 1.68 1.15 3.36

Lea8 devdoped regioos. e=luding China

8ub8.h.nn Atrlcr (a)

2.61

2.75

2.84

2.91

Easlern AMca ......................... M W AMca ........................................... Ncdmm Africa ........................................ SaRhem Africa ....................................... W e a m Africa ........................................

2.47 2.76 2.94 1.89 0.75 2.69

2.59 2.90 3.01 1.92 0.72 2.83

2.67 2.99 3.09 1.87 0.82 2.92

2.71 3.03 3.20 1.76 0.89 2.97

2.77 3.09 3.30 1.69 0.94 3.04

2.86 3.16 3.41 1.66 3.12

2.96 3.25 3.51 1.67 1.03 3.21

A m ...... . . Eastem As&. ................... . Swthcantrel SwVleaetern Asia ................................. weetem Asia ..........................................

1.24 0.50 1.76 1.42 1.99

1.26 0.43 1.81 1.39 2.07

1.22 0.32 1.78 1.32 2.06

1.14 0.15 1.70 1.23 2.01

1.06 -0.03 1.65 1.14 1.97

1.04 -0.18 1.64 1.09 1.97

1.04 -0.30 1.65 1.05 2.00

1.05 -0.42 1.65 1.01 2.04

1.05 -0.55 1.64 0.98 2.08

EUROPE Eastem Eumpe ......... Northem Europe ..................................... Southem Europe .....................................

-0.05 -0.50 0.34 0.29 0.19

-0.14 -0.56 0.29 0.05 0.1 1

-0.22 -0.66 0.27 -0.10 0.06

-0.29 -0.74 0.22 -0.20 0.01

-0.35 -0.82 0.16 -0.26 -0.04

-0.41 0.08 -0.32 -0.1 1

-0.48 -0.99 0.03 -0.39 -0.17

-0.55 -1.10 -0.01 -0.48 -0.23

4.61 -1.21 -0.04 -0.59 -0.27

1.37 0.99 1.51 1.36

1.35 1.M 1.54 1.32

1.29 1.01 1.50 1.24

1.21 0.99 1.41 1.15

1.14 0.95 1.33 1.08

1.08 0.94 1.28 1.01

1.03 0.94 1.24 0.95

0.99 1.21 0.90

0.95 0.96 1.19 0.85

NORTHERN AllERlCA

0.95

0.90

0.86

0.79

0.72

0.64

0.58

0.54

0.52

OCUNIA AustraliaMew zeeland ............................

1.28 0.97 2.20 1.56 1.19

1.24 0.08 2.21 1.61 1.24

1.22 0.82 2.25 1.66 1.38

1.20 0.74 2.28 1.65 1.40

1.16 0.65 2.27 1.61 1.38

1.12 0.54 2.28 1.58 1.33

1.10 0.45 2.30 1.58 1.30

1.11 0.39 2.32 1.60 1.31

1.13 0.34 2.34 1.63 1.34

AFRICA

...... .. ............. .... .....

Western Europe ......................................

LATIN * Y M C A AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ...... ..... ...........................

... ......

ctntral America ......................................

SoUmAmerica ........................................

Micronesia .............................................. polvnesia .................,..............................

510

0.88

-0.90

0.95

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

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Table A.11. Total populationat mid-year by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050

Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

WORLD

2535093 2770753 3031 931 3342771 3698676 4076080 4451 470 4855264 5294879 5719045 6 124 123

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

813 561 864 004 916 095 967 002 1 008 477 1 048 104 1 083 274 1 115 352 1 149 064 1 175 400 1 194 199 1 721 532 1 906 749 2 115 836 2 375 768 2 690 199 3 027 977 3 368 196 3 739 912 4 145 815 4 543 645 4 929 924 200 321 221 417 247 317 278 395 315 868 358 263 405 815 460 974 525 473 601 083 679 447 1 521 21 1 1 685 332 1 868 519 2 097 374 2 374 331 2 669 714 2 962 381 3 278 938 3 620 342 3 942 562 4 250 477

Less developed regions. excluding China

1164608 1295073 1455097 1642676 1855328 2095520 2364028 2667243 2990669 3323296 3652859

Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA

180090

201 087

226372

256461

292688

335741

388063

449 349

519 391

596402

679873

224 202

250 633

282 241

319 574

364 132

416 446

479 786

554 294

637 421

726 334

820 959

17 493 475 788 536 15 385 309

19 732 532 851 599 17 396 353

22 426 604 933 677 19 814 397

25 461 701 1033 772 22 502 454

29 093 826 1 149 892 25 697 527

32 974 996 1296 993 29 074 615

37 454 1 174 1 472 1 131 32 961 716

41 828 1 367 1601 1417 36 577 865

47 408 1 566 1 722 1657 41 505 959

51 950 1 729 1886 1879 45 398 1 058

EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1)......................... . .......... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya .................... ............................. Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ....................... Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ........................... ..................... S l o Tom6 and Principe ........................ NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ................... . Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesdho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................

15 591 416 734 485 13 683 273

WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... ............ Burkina Faso .......................... Cape Verde ........................... ............. C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau..................... ...... ....... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A . l l . Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

6 514751 6906558 7295 135 7667090 8010509 8317707 8587050 8823546 9025982 9191 287

WORLD

1 245 247 7 946 040 1 741 959 6 204 081

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

3 978 606 4 314 679 4 653 263 4 983 415 5 296 917 5 589 441 5 859 569 6 108 970 6 333 310 6 527 690

Less developed regions, excluding China

1 215 636 1 232 457 1 245 021 5 299 1 15 5 674 101 6 050 1 14 766 816 863 394 966 71 8 4 532 300 4 810 707 5 083 396

769 348

866 948

1 253 852 6 413 238 1 075 104 5 338 134

1 258 970 6 751 540 1 186 916 5 564 623

1 260 770 7 056 937 1 300 634 5 756 303

1 259 931 7 327 1 1 9 1 414 665 5 912 453

1 256 835 7 566 71 1 1 527 425 8 039 286

1 251 757 7 774 225 1 637 146 6 137 078

971 522 1 081 029 1 193 581 1 308 461 1 424 351 1 539 590 1 652 280 1 760 724

922 011 1 032 013 1 149 117 1 270 528 1 393 871 1 518 310 1 642 679 1 765 372 1 884 446 1 997 935

Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar ........................................ Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ............................................... United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ........................ .................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sko Tom6 and Principe .........................

. .

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ..................................

54 900 1 836 1 981 2 020 47 939 1 125

56 592 1 953 2 044 2 157 49 278 1 160

57 906 2 062 2 107 2 288 50 260 1 189

59 254 2 165 2 163 2 428 51 281 1 218

60 577 2 265 2 21 1 2 560 52 300 1 242

61 788 2 358 2 252 2 678 53 236 1 264

62 802 2 445 2 286 2 780 54 004 1 287

63 646 2 533 2 314 2 873 54 616 1 31 1

64 374 2 620 2 337 2 960 55 121 1 335

65 049 2 703 2 356 3 041 55 590 1 360

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ......................... ................. South Africa ......................................... Swaziland ........................ ..............

... ..

.....

WESTERN AFRICA Benin ................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBte d'lvoire ....................... . ............... Gambia ...................... . ....... ............... Ghana .................. . . . . ......................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia ............................................... Mali ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area. reglon and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh ...........................................

Bhutan ................................................ India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................

SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Demratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ........................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ....................... .................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Malor area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................. Mongolia .............................................. Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh .......................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ................. .. ................... Vie1 Narn ....................... . . ................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... ...... . ................... Oman ..................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ............................................... Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungaly ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ............................. . ................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ............................................ .......... United Kingdom ...................

. . .

SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia .................. .................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium .................... .. .. ................ France ......................... ... ................ ....... Germany .................... .......... Liechtenstein ....................................... Luxembourg ..................... .. ............... Monaco ............................................... Netherlands ................... ................. Switzerland ..........................................

.. . . .

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................ .......... ...... Antigua and Barbuda ........................... . Aruba .................................................. Bahamas ................... .................. Barbados ................................. .. ....... British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands ................... ............. Cuba ....................................................

. . . .

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisian World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.ll. Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

731 087

730 478

727 227

722 060

715 220

706 908

697 507

687 244

676 104

664 183

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ..................... . . ....................... Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Klngdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ....................... ........................ Andorra .................................... ........ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ...................... .............................. Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal .................................. .............. San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...................... .................... Belgium ............................................... France ................................................. Germany ............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ..................................... Switzerland ...........................................

...

557 979

593 697

627 958

659 562

688 030

712 841

733 376

749 670

761 599

769 229

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Amba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ..................... ....... ..................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A11 .Total populatlonat mld-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

MaJorarea. region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Hondirras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador .............................................. Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ........................... ................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of A m r b .......................

AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (13) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ............................. . vanuatu ................................................ YCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................................. Guadeloupe ........................ .............. Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. . ................ Puerto Rico ........................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ..................

..

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ........................................... Bolivia ...................... .. ....................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland lslands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ................................. ........... Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................................. Canada ...................... ....... .............. ..................... Greenland ................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................

332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846

348 574 65 33 752 59 6 314 692

364 334 65 35 191 61 6 329 010

379 270 66 36 588 63 6 342 547

392 978 66 37 912 64 6 354 930

405 429 66 39 105 64 6 366 187

416 777 65 40 148 65 6 376 492

427 072 65 41 069 64 6 385 868

436 481 64 41 920 64 6 394 426

445 303 63 42 754 64 6 402 415

33410

35489

37 499

39482

41 421

43 236

44 860

46 293

47 575

48 742

OCEANIA

24 407 20 310 4 097

25 647 21 362 4 285

26 854 22 397 4 457

28 033 23 418 4 616

29 157 24 393 4 764

30 182 25 287 4 895

31 078 26 075 5 003

31 867 26 778 5 089

32 582 27 425 5 157

33 250 28 041 5 209

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)..................... . ................ New Zealand .........................................

7820 828 234 6 070 472 215

8588 854 253 6 708 531 243

9323 874 270 7 319 589 270

10058 888 287 7 937 647 299

10806 905 303 8 565 705 328

11536 918 31 7 9 183 762 356

12213 926 330 9 758 817 383

12818 928 341 10 273 868 408

13355 922 351 10 736 914 432

13834 910 360 1 1 155 955 454

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ................................... ...... Papua New Guinea .................... . . Solomon Islands ................................... ................................................ Vanuatu

538 169 92 57 110 10

575 180 100 63 113 10

61 1 191 107 70 116 11

648 201 115 75 120 11

684 21 1 123 79 125 11

71 7 220 131 83 129 11

746 228 137 86 1 32 11

771 233 143 89 1 34 11

791 238 147 92 134 11

808 242 151 92 134 11

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

. .

MICRONESIA Guam ................................................. Kiribati .................... . ......................... Marshall Islands ............................. .... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

Table A.ll. Total populationat mid-year by major area, reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................

WLYNESIA

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

7 7

8 8

10 10

11 11

13 11

15 12

17 12

30 14

44 15

58

69 19

17

................................... ........................................ ..................................

American Samoa Cook Islands French Polynesia Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

a b c d e 1 2 3 4

More developed regions romprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed owntries canprise of the less developed regions excludingthe least d 4 o p e d countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Mayotte. Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statist~alpurposes, the data for Chinado not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) ofChina.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major a m , region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Nolthern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ........................................ French Polynesia Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau Tonga ................................................... Twalu .................................................. Wallls and Futuna Islands .....................

..................................

................................................

5 6 7 B 9 10 11 12 13

As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Adm~nistrativeRegicm (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including h a n d Islands Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. Including Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

Jnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Norld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 High variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (8) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoms (1) .......................................... Djibouli ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ....................... .. ............... Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. ... .............. Zimbabwe .......................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .......................... . ..................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S l o Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ................... ... ... . ............. Lesotho ................... . . . . ... .............. Namibia ................................................ South Africa ...................... .................. Swaziland .................... ....................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... ...... ...... Burkina Faso ....................... Cape Verde ........................................ CBte d'lvoire ...................................... Gambia ...................... . ........................ Ghana ........................ ........................ Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia ................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total populatkn at mid-year by major area. regkn and country (continued)

High varlant ~

Population (thousands)

MaJorarea. mglon and country 2005

Mauritania ............................................. Niger

....................................................

Sierra L

m ....

.. ... ...

ASlA

2 963 13 264 141356 6 11770 5586 6239

2010

2015

m2o

2025

3 390 15 897 159518 7 13418 6190 7180

3834 19 060 179098 7 15184 6999 8210

4 300 22 832 199596 8 17031 7921 9307

4 776 27 242 220211 8 18915 8934 10434

2030

2035

5 269

5 777 38 160

32 349 241230 9 20861 10035 11 593

263004 9 22889 11 218 12783

2040 6 297 44 624 285612 9 24984 12471 13985

2045 6 819 51 642 308730 10 27098 13783 15170

2050 7 331 59 121 331887 10 29182 15146 16314

3938020 4203972 4490509 4780962 5049840 5294716 5523299 5749512 5974077 6189365

EASTERN A S A 1 522 472 1 576 288 1 635 737 1 695 169 1 744 954 1 780 857 1 803 828 1821 781 1840255 1 858 840 1312979 1363447 1 420092 1 477607 1526776 1563252 1587522 1606899 1 626706 1646612 China (4) .............................................. 7 057 China-HongKong SAR (5) .................... 7 490 7 924 8 351 9 723 8743 9098 9421 10 273 10 007 548 473 China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... 607 495 520 568 584 594 601 612 24 218 Dam. people's Republic d Korea ........... 23 616 25 820 26659 27296 27745 24 955 28 176 28 675 29 216 Japan ................................................... 127 897 119 777 128 766 128 530 127157 125301 123309 121 443 129 042 118267 2 738 Mmgdia ............................................... 2 581 2 941 3 142 3 788 3317 3476 3632 3 934 4063 RepuMic of Korea ................................. 47 870 49 135 51 174 50263 51 152 51 734 51 851 51 605 50 549 49 796 SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) 1645790 Afghanistan ........................................... 25 067 153 281 Bangladesh........................................... Bhutan 637 1134403 India ... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... 69 421 15 211 Kazakhslan ........................................... KYQY=m ..... 5 204 Maklives ............................................... 295 Nepal .................................................... 27 094 Pakistan .... 158 081 Sri Lanka ... 19 121 6 550 Tajikistan .............................................. Tulicmenistan ........................................ 4 833 Uzbekslan ............................................ 26 593

793 286 1952109 2114432 2268000 2414171 2558013 2704908 2 850 451 2989190 30 581 36 192 42106 48702 55882 63574 71 711 80 207 88 941 168 061 184 108 200875 217515 234 111 250774 267 442 283 844 299 666 691 920 965 1061 755 815 871 1012 1109 231 456 1333302 1435854 1531 712 1621515 1707966 1 795 760 1882092 1963814 75 143 81 755 114946 119629 88437 93861 98731 103909 109 506 16 731 19 702 17465 18012 18494 19054 15 923 m m 20835 7 671 5 933 7 415 6296 6599 6866 7139 5 552 7 891 326 535 569 362 401 437 469 501 602 30 133 44633 48498 52 472 33 507 37155 40867 60489 56 499 174 422 193 981 215136 235774 255596 275440 295903 316 639 336 782 19 767 20 459 22 226 21 104 21561 21849 22045 22 407 22 555 7 137 7 914 11 569 12 236 8739 9516 10228 10904 12 884 5 218 5 647 6777 7102 7 445 7 782 6 W 6453 8 084 28 875 31 453 42 212 33969 36119 38101 44 170 40140 45 910

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Danrssah ............................... Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia ....... La0 People's D Malaysia ...............................................

600 119

Thailand ................................................ T i m - L w t e .......................................... vie1 Nam ....................................

WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................

Georgia ................................................ Ifaq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ................................ Oman .................................... Qalar .................................................... Saudi AraMa .........................................

Yemen

............................ ..................................................

557 669 374 13 956

226063 5664 25 653 47 967 84566 4 327 63 003 1 067 85029 212 088 3 018 8 352 725

836 4 473 27 9% 6692 5544 2 700 4011 3 762 2 507 796 23 612 18 894 72 970 4 104 21 096

419

643 783 466

15 364 242 026 6 231 28 183 50 547 93 865 4 626 65 746 1 280 91 831

17 047 257 980 6863 30 770 53311 103 480 4900 68 337 1530 99099

234 279 3020 8 762 799 890 4 341 30 937 7334 6 513 3080 4 269 4 445 2 791 891 26643 21 643 78 489 4 770 24 680

258 879 3062 9 253 876 950 4 291 35 672 7964 7 093 3 457 4 541 5 194 3 121 983 29 914 24 113 84 190 5368

20838

686 899 514 18 a77 273 308 7536 33356 56 117 113209 5 135 70 701 1 801 106 346

284 462 3 097 9 733 951 1014 4236 40 607 8 573 7 781 3832 4 814 6 012 3 473 1 072 33332 26690 89 790 5963 33 491

727 399 561 20 654 287 784 8 186 35 746 58 720 122 597 5 355 72 633 2 095 113 068

309 487 3094 10 088 1 024 1 074 4 177 45 575 9 171 8 496 4 196 5 072 6884 3 815 1149 36 694 29 172 94939 6 542 38 325

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Populaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revisbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

765 716

802 857

608

657 24 080 315443 9356 40 111 63294 140 497 5 627 75 721 2 741 125 330

22 359 301 775 8 792 37 940 61 077 131 687 5 525 74 255 2 407 119291 333 973 3 071 10 330 1095 1129 4099

50634 9 772 9 197 4555 5311

7804 4 137 1 225 39 950 31 543 99 665 7 125 43330

358 601 3 052 10 544 1163 1185 4 018 55 749 10 381 9686 4920

5536 8 764 4 442 1301 43 110 33 887 104 304 7 726

48834

839 097 706 25 896 328 676 9 895 42 311 65 470 148 956 5 676 77 110 3 103 131 298

874 193 756 27 777 341 144 10445 44 501 67 572 157 377 5 705 78 409 3 495 137 012

907 131

383 725 3 042 10 781 1228 1 245 3943 60 971 10 988 10 560 5 293 5 760 9 761 4 746 1 374 46 180 36 257 108 924 8344 54330

409 178 3 027 11 018 1290 1308 3 872 66332 11 583 11 229 5660 5983 10 785 5 057 1443 49 236 38654 113386 8 958 60 357

434 204

806 29611 352 529 10 993 46 595 69 522 165 803 5 739 79 603 3908 142 220

2994 11 198 1 349 1371 3 797 71 757 12 156 11 869 6009 6 197 11 825 5363 1 507 52 292 40 936 117 513 9 542 66 528

523

Table A12.Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)

Maior area, region and country

EUROPE

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

731 087

736 830

743 202

749 011

752 266

754 357

757482

762 864

769 848

777 168

EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ............................................... Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................ ................. Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...................... WESTERN EUROPE .... .................... Austria ....................... Belgium .............................................. France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

557 979

599 430

643 315

687 305

728 911

768 749

807 239

844 631

880 407

914 203

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) High variant pp

P

p

p

.

-p

p

.

Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands .................. CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................. ............ Panama ................................................

..

SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)...................................... New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ............................... ..... ................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ....................... ..................... MICRONESIA ........................ Guam ......................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2005

Northern Mariana Islands Palau

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

......................

....................................................

POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau . ................... Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

...........................

a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 ln Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed cwntries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed cwntries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Norlhem Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. 1 lncluding Mayone. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Tristan daCunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include H m g Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) 01 China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong becams a Special Administrat~veRegion (SAR) of Chmna. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAN) of China. 7 The regions Swthem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central As~a. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 lncludlng &and Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican City State. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. C

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2056 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

This page intentionally left blank

Table A13.Total population at mid-year by major a m , region and country: k w variant, 2005-2050

Low variant Population (thousands) Major a m , -Ion

and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD

6514751 6843645 7127009 7363824 7568540 7727192 7828666 7871 770 7857864 7791 945

MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LEBB DEVELOPEDREalONS (b) Leaet clemloped countries (c) other less developed coontries (d)

1215636 1221975 1218218 1207540 1193975 5299115 5621670 5908790 6 156284 6374565 766816 855804 945653 1035276 1125806 4532300 4765868 4963137 5121007 5248759

1177049 6550143 1214211 5335932

1155984 6672682 1297175 5375507

1129960 6741810 1372431 5369379

1099155 6758709 1438865 5319843

1065151 6726794 1495711 5231083

Less developed regions, exAuding

china

3978608 4274942 4544602 4782817 4998432 5182266 5326772 5431206 5494452 5516836

Sub4hhm urlcr (a)

769348

860089

952193 1043842 1135709 1225614 1310669 1388587 1458063 1518442

AFRICA

922011 1023510 1 125267 1225078 1323948 1419416 1508397 1588464 1658379 1717 518

EASTERN AFRICA B ~ r ~ n................................................. di

292 539 7 859 798

Djibovti ........................................

...................................

Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .........................................

Mozambique ..... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................

...... ...... ....... United Republic of Tanzania .................. zanha ................................................. YDDLE AFRICA Angda ..................................................

cameroon ............................................. Central AMcan Republic ..... Chad ...................................

C

w ..................................................

Gabon .................................................. S o Tom6 and Rhclpe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA

804 4 527 78 986 35 599 18 643 13 226 1 241 20533 785 9 234 86 8 196 28 947 38 478 11 478 13 120

329 473 9 487 894 870 5 278 88 889 40298 21 125 14 922 1 278 22 452

829 10 521 87 9 419 33 783 43 189 12 525 13 624

367 468 11 030

985 932 6 036 99038 45 191 23 606 16 689 1303 24 197 863 11 915 87 10 693 39 216

48ooo 13 559 14 129

112505 16 095 17 795 4 191 10 146 3 610 58 741

128 604 18 361 19 496 4554 11 629 39 n

68505

145 759 20858 21 059 4 914 13 185 4363 79 143

484

541 1377 164

1 457 176

1291 153

i m 562

604

571 880 22 921 1 420 1 251 9 504 152 799 69 565 36 473 26 256 1 248 32348 921 18 860 87 17 610 75 603 70 527 18 854 15 634

596 003 25 074 1 457 1 276 9 898 159 018 72 259 37 922 27 365 1206 33 115 904 19 699 84 18 490 80 739 72 377 19 373 15 688 272 758

228

141 729 922 1721 238

257 350 36 777 27 567 6 317 24 072 6 224 153 438 975 1 736 245

259 253 42 284 100 703 8 150 36 418 59 375 11 525 797

261 430 42 261 101 592 8 237 36 070 61 114 11 350 804

261 446 41 877 101 613 8 243

11 552 762

254 873 41 976 98 902 8005 36469 57 145 11 592 783

442 690 14 453 1152 1056 7 303 119 113 54268 28 407 20 315 1 325 27 466 912 14 535 89 13 145 51 604 56 939 15 885 14 924

478 846 16 367 1 232 1118 7 895 128 639 58563 30698 22038 1322 28 981 927 15 683 89 14 371 57 988 61 096 16 646 15 214

512 862 18 465 1306 1172 8 472 137 509 62638 32 837 23603 1308 30311 934 16 792 89 15 548 64 130 64838 17 498 15412

544044 20689 1369 1216 9 020 145 595

163 718 23 445 22466 5 230 14 858 4 724 90 603 671 1531 189

182 688 26 183 23 776 5 519 16 743 5 077 103 053 738 1 597

202611 28 978 24 979 5 775 18 674 5 415 116 119

222 01 1

240 376 34329 26 901 6 174 22366

229 427 88 655 7 327 34 576 48 190 11 179 695

239 668 40 253 92 715 7 615 35 516 51 428 11 410 732

248 262 41 305 96 189 7 829 36 165

405 275 12 687 1 069 990 6689 109 138 49 823 26 026 18 498 1318 25 853 890 13 282

88 11 930 45 254 52 542 14 646 14 552

203

803 1652 216

31 719 26034

5993 20564 5 726 129 190 864 1694

66346 34 772 25 004 1203 31 426 932 17 869

88 16 632 70 019 68 010 18 231 15 544

5996

39048 28 034 6 423 25 674 6 407 164 162 1 022 1 738 250

32 854 72 850 5 918 30 495

204 317 35 061 78 764 6464 32 053

36900

40896

10 105

440

10 554 525

217 734 37 089 84085 6 947 33435 44 661 10 906 611

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................

54900 1836 1981 2020 47 939 1125

56035 1933 2024 2137 48 791 1150

56432 2008 2053 2232 48 980 1159

56589 2066 2062 2320 48 978 1162

56667 2118 2062 2398 48 930 1159

56527 2161 2049 2457 48 707 1153

56026 2190 2023 2494 48 177 1142

55196 2210 1984 2512 47 363 1128

54149 2222 1936 2516 46 364 1111

53008 2226 1882 2508 45 299 1094

WESfERN AFRICA Benin ....................................................

272 505 6 490 13 933 507 18 585 1617 22535 9003 1 597 3 442 11 611

305 081

337 873 11 114 18 139 613 21 874 2 031 26 692 11 232 2 123 4 945 15 375

370 070 12448 20 381

402 035 13 786 22 701 705 24 849 2409 30 252 13 872 2 797 6 497 19 712

433 170 15 094 25011 746 26 142 2 590 31 822 15 183 3 184 7385 21 958

462 625

489 595 17 501 29 284

513 570 18 557 31 160 828 28 944 3 026 35 079 18 697 4 342 10 131 28 181

534302

16 340 27 224 781 27 262 2 756 33 180 16 439 3 581 8 312 24 140

Sudan ............ Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ....................................

Guinea-Bissau ......................................

528

9 797 15 978 561 20 210 1830 24 678 9 951 1 840 4 281 13 408

38806

660 23 416 2 221 28 528 12 541 2 441 5 679 17484

54460

809 28 197 2 902 34 273 17616 3 969 9 236 26 221

35460 62 370 11 079 804

19 489 32833 840

29500 3 129 35 603 19 €84 4 700 10 988 29996

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensrLe Tables

Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Mauritania ............................................ 2 963 Niger ................................................. 13 264 Nigeria .................................................. 141 356 Saint Helena (3).................................... 6 Senegal ......................... ..... ........ 1 1 770 SierraLeone ....................................... 5586 Togo ..................................................... 6239

3 336 15 685 157 108 7 13 204 6144 7065

3 681 18 447 172 333 7 14 573 6815 7880

4 006 21 613 186 602 7 15 852 7530 8661

4 321 25 260 200 065 7 17 084 8299 9418

4 623 29 349 212 596 7 18 259 9094 10126

4 900 33 764 223 965 7 19 345 9873 10756

5 139 38 353 233 905 7 20 295 l0607 11282

5 332 42 981 242 248 7 21 073 11286 11697

5 480 47 561 248 938 7 21 667 11911 11996

.. ..

ASIA

3938020 4 127206 4284706 4408874 4507871 4572 127 4595620 4580381 4528586 4443976

EASTERN ASIA 1 522 472 1 548 164 China (4)................................. ....... . 1 312 979 1 338 894 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... 7 057 7 349 China. Macao SAR (6)......................... 473 485 Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 23 616 23 813 Japan ................................................... 127 897 126 736 Mongolia .............................................. 2 581 2 676 Republic of Korea ................................. 47 870 48 211 SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 645 790 Afghanistan ........................................... 25 067 Bangladesh .......................................... 153 281 Bhutan .................................................. 637 India ..................................................... 1 134 403 Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... 69 421 Kazakhstan ........................................... 15 21 1 Kyrgyzstan .................................. .... 5 204 Maldives .............................................. 295 Nepal .................................................... 27 094 Pakistan ............................................... 158 081 Sri Lanka ......................... . .................. 19 121 Tajikistan .......................... .................. 6 550 Turkmenistan ...................................... 4 633 Uzbekistan ............................................ 26 593

..

SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ...................... ................... Indonesia ........................ . . ................ Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................. ...... Philippines ................... ..... ............... Singapore ......................................... Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ........................ .... ...... Viet Nam ................... . . .......................

..........

WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................. ........... Iraq .................. ...... .......................... Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... .. ............................ Oman ................. Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... ..... Syrian Arab Republic .................... Turkey .......................... .. .................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050

Low variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................ Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ............................................... France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg ......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................. ......... British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 2005

2010

2015

M20

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Dominica ......................... .. ............... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama .............................................. SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. ....................... Paraguay ..................... Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Umguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA 332245 Bermuda ............................................... 64 Canada ................................................ 32 271 Greenland ............................................ 57 Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... 6 United States of America ....................... 299 846

345698 65 33 474 59 6 312 095

356656 64 34 454 60 6 322 072

365382 64 35 265 60 6 329 987

372678 63 35 999 60 6 336 550

378308 62 36 595 60 6 341 586

382037 60 37 000 58 6 344 912

383611 58 37 193 57 6 346 297

383244 56 37 205 55 6 345 922

37 108 53 5 344 331

33410

35 189

36 697

38 019

39 265

40 357

41 193

41 723

41 966

41 985

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND 24407 Australia (13)....................... ............... 20 310 New Zealand ......................................... 4 097

25 434 21 184 4 250

26 292 21 929 4 364

27 024 22 575 4 448

27 692 23 171 4 521

28 259 23 683 4 577

28 672 24 066 4 606

28 909 24 305 4 604

28 977 24 408 4 569

28 921 24 412 4 509

7820 828 234 6070 472 215

8513 846 250 6650 526 240

9115 853 264 7158 576 264

9664 851 276 7628 622 287

10203 852 286 8090 667 309

10698 847 294 6518 709 330

11103 837 301 8872 745 349

11396 617 305 9135 774 365

11583 789 307 9313 797 377

11682 753 307 9424 812 387

538 169 92 57 1 10 10

569 178 99 63 111 10

595 187 105 68 113 10

619 1 94 111 72 115 10

641 200 116 75 117 10

658 204 121 77 118 10

671 207 125 79 118 10

676 207 127 80 117 10

676 206 128 80 114 10

671 204 128 78 110 9

OCEANIA

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ..................................... PapuaNewGuinea ............................ Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ WCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

381 551

54

Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................. .. Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

8 9 10 l1 12 13

More developed regions comprise Europe, Norlhern America, Austral~a/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia Least dewloped countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in As~a,5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. lncluding Mayone. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Salnt Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data fw China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of t July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. AS of 20 k e m b e r 1999.Macao became a Special Adrninlstrative Region (SAR) of China The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncluding Aland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

This page intentionally left blank

Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: constant-fertility variant. 2005-2050 Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WORLD

6 514 751 6 944 634 7 416 822 7 919 765 8 443 704 8 996 239 9 597 117 10 265 188 11 014 053 1 1 857 786

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

1 215 636 1 231 200 1 242 124 5 299 115 5 713 434 6 174 699 766 816 873 199 998 81 8 4 532 300 4 840 235 5 175 881

Less developed regions. excluding China

1 249 000 6 670 765 1 145 727 5 525 038

1 252 103 7 191 601 1 316 897 5 874 704

1 251 642 7 744 597 1 51 8 091 6 226 507

1 247 723 8 349 394 1 757 067 6 592 328

1 240 448 9 024 741 2 042 674 6 982 067

1230 317 1 218 291 9783 736 10 639 495 2 384 654 2 794 406 7399 082 7 845 089

3978606 4356169 4783236 5252432 5758523 6309985 6924151 7617479 8402937 9294052

Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA

769 348

876 725 1 005 783 1 159 354 1 340 619 1 556 153 1 814 510 2 125 752 2 501 095 2 953 608

922 011 1 043 102 1 187 267 1 356 478 1 553 321 1 784 398 2 058 766 2 386 874 2779 969 3 250 865

EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ................................ . . ...... Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia .............................. . ................ Zimbabwe ........................................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................. Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ S20 Tomb and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA ..... ...................... Algeria ................... Egypt .................................................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ............................. .. .............. Tunisia .................. .. ......................... Western Sahara ............................... .. SOU1HERN AFRICA 54 900 Botswana .............................................. 1836 1 981 Lesotho ............................................. 2 020 Namibia .............................................. South Africa .......................................... 47 939 Swaziland ........................................... 1 125

56 994 1973 2 075 2 187 49 582 1 178

59095 2118 2 196 2 375 51 167 1 238

61 568 2275 2 334 2 594 53 052 1 31 3

64 353 2445 2 487 2 829 55 198 1 394

67432 2630 2 662 3 080 57 571 1 488

70 804 2832 2 868 3 355 60 146 1 602

74 545 3061 3 108 3 662 62 973 1 741

78 722 3319 3 364 4 005 66 110 1 904

83 393 3606 3 698 4 388 69 609 2 091

WESTERN AFRICA Benin ................................ . ................. Burkina Faso ...................................... Cape Verde .......................................... CWe d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country

.............

..... Mauritania ........................... Niger .................................................. Nigeria ............................................... Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal .............................................. SierraLeone ......................................... Togo .................................................. ASIA

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2 963 13264 141 356 6 11770 5586 6 239

3 410 15900 160823 7 13531 6205 7 238

3 917 19149 184195 7 15630 7017 8 440

4 496 23173 211 990 8 18078 7986 9 861

5 156 28168 244768 8 20905 9152 1 1 520

5 909 34386 283643 8 24181 10558 13 464

6 771 42142 330138 9 28014 12258 15 763

7 762 51833 386111 9 32521 14319 18 491

8 899 63961 453614 9 37814 16827 21 724

10 205 79175 534944 10 44010 19885 25 550

3 938 020 4 190 573 4 463 566 4 744 337 5 021 31 8 5 295 579 5 577 549 5 875 420 6 191 052 6 524 736

EASTERN ASIA 1 China (4).............................................. 1 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ............................................... Mongolia ............................................ Republic of Korea .................................

522 472 312 979 7 057 473 23 616 127 897 2 581 47 870

SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ......................................... Bangladesh .................... .... ............. Bhutan ............................. . .................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhslan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka ............................................ Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ............................. .. .... Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA B ~ n eDarussalam i ................................ Cambodia ............................................ .. ...................... Indonesia ................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ........ Malaysia .................... ... ................ Myanmar ............................................ Philippines .......................................... Singapore ............................................ Thailand ............................. . . ........... Timor-Leste ................................... ....... Viet Nam ........................... . . ............. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................... .. ...... Bahra~n................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georg~a................................................ l raq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Terntoy ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................. ........................ United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..............................................

lnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Vorld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.14. Total populationat mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country

EUROPE

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

731 087

729 346

724 238

716 260

706 004

693 850

679 867

663 869

2045

2050

645 900 626 370

EASTERNEUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Wand ......................... . . .................... Romania ............................................... Russian Federation Slovakia Ukraine .................................................

............................... .................. .........................

NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland Isle of Man Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10) Sweden United Kingdom ....................................

.................................................. ............................................

.......................................... ................................................

SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania .................... . . . .................... Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar Greece Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...........................

................................................ .................................................

WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

557 979

597 587

639 449

682 066

724 548

766 901

809 418

852 268

895 504

939 225

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Won'd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A14 Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility varbnt Population (thousands)

Major area. mglon m d country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ......... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiii ...................................................... Jamaica ..... Martinique . Montserrat . NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kills and News .... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ......... United States Virgin Islands ......

68 9 470 105 438 9296 2 682 396 6 186 3 947 49 161 119 1324 24 111

67 10 241 106 453 10215 2 778 402 6 201 4 058 53 171 123 1 347 26 112

68 1 1 051 108 465 1 1 294 2 877 407 6 207 4 162 56 181 126 1 367 28 112

68 1 1 896 110 475 12 502 2 978 409 7 21 1 4 249 60 191 128 1 379 29 111

70 12 775 112 464 13 816 3 074 409 7 213 4 316 64 200 130 1 376 31 110

71 13 688 114 491 15 260 3 166 406 7 213 4 361 67

71 14 640 115 495 16 880 3 252 401 7 21 1 4 387 70 218 130 1348 33 105

71 15 633 115 495 18 712 3 334 392 209 4 397 74 226 129 1318 35 101

71 16 669 114 493 20 n 4 3410 380 8 206 4394 77 233 127 1281 35 ge

71 17 753 114 468 23 071 3481 366 8 202 4379 79 240 124 1237 36 94

CENTRAL AUERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ...... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ............. Meldco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

143 775 276 4 327 6668 12 710 6834 104 266 5463 3232

155 025 31 1 4 699 7 199 14 601 7650 1 1 1 147 5 892 3 527

167 400 350 5064 7 770 16 970 8644 118297 6 456 3 831

180 435 391 5464 8406 19 715 9 747 125 519 7 052 4 143

193604 436 5 828 9064 22 862 10 938 132 353 7 662 4 462

208 914

220562 537 6509 10 454 30 701 13 662 144 644 8938 5 117

234 675 595 6 827 1 1 189 35602 15 250 150 143 9 616 5 452

249 317 657 7 128 1 1 947 41 293 17 010 155 172 10317 5 791

264532

SOUTH AMERICA 373 679 38 747 Argentina ......... Bolivia ................................................... 9 182 Brazil .................................................... 186 831 Chile ......... 16 295 Colombia ......... 44946 13061 Ecuador ........... Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... 3 French Guiana ...................................... 192 Guyana ............. 739 Paraguay .............................................. 5904 PeN ..................................................... 27 274 452 Surinama Uruguay ................................................ 3328 Venezuela (Bdivarian Republic of) ......... 26 726

399 974 40 884 10 185 199 759 17 171 48 373 13 895 3 220 734 8 552 29 110 469 3384 29 237

427 242 43 119 1 1 336 212 426 18 033 51 914 14 949 3 251 724 7 285 31 379 464 3 462 31 876

454 505 45 373 12 626 224 696 18 848 55 467 16 064 3 286 717 8 087 33 712 496 3 555 34 576

481 426 47 592 14 050 236 589 19 577 58943 17 201 3 324 711 8 941 36036 507 3 646 37 306

508 051 49 772 15 623 248 173 20 198 62 329 18 350 3 366 699 9855 38350 516 3 734 40082

534 429

560550 54 072 19 352 270 182 21 122 68800 20 704 4 463 649 1 1 917 43 029 526 3 891 45 838

586 373

51 930 17 381 259 410 20 709 65611 19 516 4 412 676 10 841 40 876 523 3 815 42 924

56 197 21 567 280 416 21 447 71 875 21 918 4 519 617 13 OS4 45 414 527 3 961 48 817

611 933 58 284 24 048 290 132 21 886 74 848 23 180 4

NORTHERN M R I C A Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquekm ..................... United States of America .......................

332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846

348411 65 33 747 59 6 314 533

364 416 66 35 182 62 6 329 100

380 352 66 36 545 64 7 343 670

395 753 67 37 775 86 7 357 838

410 209 67 38 815 68 7 371 253

423 614 66 39 648 69 7 363 823

436 148 66 40 297 71 7 395 707

448 137 65 40802 73 7 407 191

459 983 65 41 208 74 7 418 632

OCEANIA

33 410

35 615

37 007

40 272

42 759

45 302

47 903

50610

53 490

56606

AUSTRALIAINEWZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand .........................................

24 407 20 310 4 097

25 619 21 338 4 281

26717 22 319 4 458

27 894 23 264 4630

28 949 24 156 4 793

29 899 24 980 4938

30 720 25 658 5 062

31 424 26 259 5 165

32038 26 784 5 254

32588 27 257 5331

MELANESIA Fiji ....... New Cal Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands Vanuatu ................................................

7 820 828 6 070 472 215

8 730 863 254 6 828 539 246

9 751 898 274 7 683 615 282

10 913 933 294 8 663 700 323

12 229 977 314 9 775 795 368

13 701 1022 332 11 027 902 418

15 352 1068 350 12 437

17 219 1117 367 14 038 1180 537

19 337 1188 384 15 861 1316 609

21 740 1222 400 17 937 1 492 690

538 169 92 57 110 10

581 181 101 65 115 10

630 194 112 74 122 11

685

744 223 136 94 145

806 237 150 106 159

944

11

11

873 251 164 120 175 12

1 023 280 197 158 212 12

1110 296 216 181 235 12

YCRONESA G u m ................................................... Kiribati .............. Manhall Islands Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Naum ...................................................

234

208

123 83 133 11

United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

209

130 1366 32 108 484 6 175 9 746 26 489 12 232 138 714 8 287 4 787

to23

474

6

266

180 138 192 12

725 7408 12 729 47 882 18 950 159 665 1 1 038 6136

582

583 14 378 47 818 526 4027 51 857

537

Table A.14. Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)

MJor area, region and country 2005 Northern Mariana Islands Palau

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

......................

....................................................

POLYNESIA

American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands

................................................... ..................................................

.....................

a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

More developed regions compnse Europe. Northem America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed cwntries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. lncluding Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Adm~nistrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrativs Region (SAR) of China. The regians Southern Asia and Central Asia are wrnbined into South-CentralAsia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncludingAland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. m e former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cows (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

This page intentionally left blank

.

Table 1115 Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and county 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China SubSaharan A f r l w (8) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malayi ....................... ......................... Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ..................... ....................... Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................

..

MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carnerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom4 and Prlncipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt ........................... . .................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ..................... .................. Gambia ................................................. ....... .......... Ghana ................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya .................................................. Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republ~cof Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S o T d and Principe .........................

..................................................

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia .................................. .......... South Africa ..................... ................. Swaziland .............................................

..

..

WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CMe d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ................................................ Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A15. A m p annual rate of population change by malor area, reglon and country (continued)

Estimates: 195Cb2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)

Mnjor area, m g h n d country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005

Mauritania .................. ........................... N w ............ ... .... .. . . .. ......... ..,.. Nigeria ...................... ............................ Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ... Sierra Leone ......................................... TOQO ........................ ..... . .. . ..... ...

... . .. . .. . ..

.

. ... .... . . ..

ASIA EASTERN ASIA china ( ... China, ................... . China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... DMl.

2.50 3.13 2.25 0.17 2.69 1.58 1.77

2.51 3.24 2.34 0.19 2.84 1.72 1.79

2.58 3.22 2.43 0.05 3.06 1.85 4.36

2.67 3.17 2.58

1.90

1.89

2.16

2.38

3.02 1.76 2.69

2.67 3.15 3.00 0.67 2.74 1.89 2.59

2.64 2.97 2.76 0.84 2.93 2.03 3.73

2.52 3.07 2.93 -0.35 3.00 2.64 3.32

2.69 3.43 2.87 -0.96 2.74 0.27 2.62

2.85 3.61 2.70 2.73 2.64 1.75 3.59

2.88 3.52 2.50 1.46 2.60 4.23 2.88

2.25

1.93

1.89

1.88

1.63

1.42

1.22

1.37 1.48

0.85

3.90 1.47 0.44 2.98 0.99

1.03 1.10 1.69 2.02 1.50 0.31 1.51 0.97

0.91 1.42 1.38 1.10 0.25 0.66 0.77

0.62 0.67 1.15 1.40 0.58 0.14 0.88 0.46

0.08

1.81 1.87 4.64 -0.99 -0.22 1.43 2.20 2.55

1.53 1.53 4.22 -0.97 2.56 0.93 2.42 3.09

1.98 2.07 3.66 3.86 2.37 0.99 2.63 2.64

2.43 2.61 1.31 3.86 2.90 1.07 2.76 2.25

2.12 2.21 2.18 -0.08 2.41 1.33 2.84 2.00

1.43 1.48 2.73 -0.08 1.40 0.93 2.78 1.55

1.27 1.32 1.59 3.89 1.65 0.68 2.76 1.36

1.86 1.54 1.98 3.09 1.73 2.42 3.52 1.79 1.77 1.49 2.15 2.82 3.04 2.25 2.78

2.06 1.76 2.28 2.62 1.90 2.57 4.48 2.65 1.89 1.57 2.35 2.76 3.11 3.24 3.30

2.20 1.97 2.50 2.63 2.04 2.74 3.50 3.39 2.01 1.77 2.47 2.46 3.75 3.41 3.58

2.25 2.19 2.54 3.05 2.13 2.93 1.92 2.83 2.17 2.00 2.59 2.37 3.15 2.93 3.14

2.32 2.37 2.47 3.68 2.22 2.93 1.51 2.14 2.46 2.17 2.74 2.05 3.14 2.02 3.10

2.36 0.91 2.35 3.33 2.30 3.30 1.08 1.90 2.82 2.25 2.97 1.78 2.77 2.54 2.64

2.40 -2.46 2.47 2.57 2.26 4.16 1.12 2.02 2.99 2.30 3.63 1.39 2.89 2.42 2.61

2.32 0.52 2.35 2.61 2.19 3.15 0.93 1.81 3.22 2.34 3.47 1.33 2.99 2.55 2.42

2.13 7.32 2.22 -1.53 2.08 1.86 -0.75 0.88 2.78 2.51 2.46 1.10 1.70 2.68 2.22

1.84 2.55 1.98 1.94 1.84 1.22 -1.25 1.49 1.93 2.39 2.44 0.69 1.34 1.42 1.52

1.64 3.79 1.89 2.63 1.62 0.97 0.34 1.01 1.57 2.08 1.82 0.43 1.19 1.42 1.46

2.10 5.57 2.15 1.67 2.73 2.72 1.96 2.99 4.90 2.64 1.27 1.87

2.41 5.10 2.31 2.08 2.57 3.02 2.14 3.06 4.48 3.04 1.61 2.26

2.52 4.51 2.45 2.22 2.50 3.09 2.18 3.09 2.81 3.10 1.84 2.49

2.q 4.71 2.44 2.35 2.50 2.66 2.32 2.93 1.97 2.85 1.94 2.37

2.37 4.30 0.46 2.32 2.61 2.44 2.47 2.79 1.74 2.49 2.13 2.24

2.13 3.65 -1.01 2.20 1.30 2.32 2.19 2.70 1.30 2.08 -2.91 1.99

2.12 2.89 3.67 2.04 2.48 2.60 2.00 2.44 2.30 1.64 2.50 2.18

1.97 2.84 3.59 1.77 2.98 2.88 1.75 2.39 2.15 1.32 2.33 2.28

1.77 2.76 3.23 1.53 2.82 2.58 1.44 2.27 2.85 1.16 2.77 2.05

1.55 2.45 2.29 1.40 2.15 2.45 1.24 2.1 1 2.88 1.06 -0.76 1.51

1.40 2.29 1.76 1.31 1.62 1.95 0.89 2.08 1.49 0.76 5.31 1.45

2.68 2.89 2.77 Bahrain .............................. _..._._........_..2.91 1.41 cypcus .................... .............................. 1.70 ............................................ . 3.19 . . ... . . ... .. ......., ............. 6.58 . ............ ........... 6.85 ..... ..... ................. 5.37 2.23 0.73 2.02 6.73 Saudi M e ........................................ 2.31 2.42 Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .. .... 2.72 2.51 unned Arab Emirales ............................ Yemen .................................................. 1.84

2.76 3.55 3.16 3.10 1.56 1.60 3.15 3.80 5.95 6.67 3.15 1.10 2.26 5.03 2.52 2.93 2.75 2.69 1.97

2.75 3.32 3.22 4.04 0.32 1.47 3.16 3.85 4.22 10.53 2.91 1.70 2.55 8.84 3.25 3.1 1 2.50 9.38 2.09

2.66 2.66 2.46 2.79 1.09 1.00 3.27 2.46 7.66 9.17 2.24 -1.a0 3.02 9.28 3.62 3.31 2.47 8.86 1.95

2.82 2.30 1.91 4.28 -0.19 0.83 3.38 2.95 3.54 6.04 2.28 2.72 4.11 8.80 4.66 3.36 2.59 17.17 2.09

2.84 1.83 1.59 4.88 0.06 0.66 3.26 2.28 2.78 8.24 0.34 3.25 5.17 5.86 5.82 3.49 2.34 13.00 3.34

2.93 1.51 1.59 3.51 1.16 0.83 2.90 1.72 3.92 4.48 0.75 3.78 5.04 9.04 5.85 3.74 2.37 6.58 3.80

2.59 1.20 1.56 3.52 1.00 0.64 2.56 1.91 3.69 4.40 0.57 3.78 3.76 5.19 4.68 3.25 1.90 5.61 3.89

2.33 -1.88 1.55 3.17 1.43 -1.63 3.11 3.49 5.59 4.34 3.20 3.89 3.28 2.35 2.32 2.77 1.80 5.28 4.63

2.15 -0.92 0.88 2.36 1.46 -1.28 2.94 2.48 2.18 5.12 1.55 3.70 2.02 3.19 2.62 2.45 1.66 5.79 3.16

1.95 -0.42 0.51 2.18 1.23 -1.07 2.22 1.91 2.89 3.84 1.23 3.56 0.86 5.11 2.53 2.70 1.36 4.69 2.97

Japan

. .

Mongolia ................... ... ....................... Republk of Korea .................................

SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afehanislan ......................................... Ea l............. ...........................

...

KareWlslan .................... Kyrgyzslan ..........................................

..

..

Pakistan .................... ........................... sti Lanka .............................................. Tajlkietan ...... ...

... ...

Turkmenislan uzbeklstan ....

SOUTICEASTERN ASIA B m i Darussalam Cambodia ......................

.......................

PMlipPines ...................... ...................... slnoapore ............................................

.

Met Nam WE

2.57 3.36 2.17 0.17 2.38 1.40 1.59

...............................................

..

.. ...... .. ... .. . . . ... . . .

542

.

0.89

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tsbles

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country

Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ............................. .. ....... Wet Nam ............................................. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A15.Averaga annual rate of population changa by major area, reglon and country (continued) Ealmates: 1950-2005 ~~

Annual rate of change (per cent)

M8Jora m , realon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WO 2OW-2005

EUROPE

0.99

0.99

0.96

0.68

0.59

0.49

0.38

0.41

0.20

0.00

0.07

EASTERN EUROPE Belarw Bulgana ................................................ Czech RepuMic ..................................... Hungaly .. .. ... MoMova .. . ....... Poland .................................................. Romania .................................. ............. Ruasian Federation Skvakia Ukraine .................................................

1.48 0.15 0.67 0.81 1.02 2.31 1.89 1.39 1.63 1.85 1.45

1.33 0.97 0.96 0.54 0.32 2.68 1.66 1.03 1.47 1.75 1.30

1.04 0.99 0.84 0.34 0.34 2.10 1.18 0.67 1.11 1.02 1.16

0.70 0.98 0.68 0.19 0.36 1.50 0.76 1.24 0.57 0.75 0.85

0.66 0.71 0.54 0.47 0.37 1.32 0.81 0.96 0.58 0.89 0.71

0.64 0.61 0.32 0.49 0.33 0.87 0.88 0.65 0.99 0.42

0.57 0.69 0.22 0.05 -0.24 1.08 0.90 0.47 0.68 0.65 0.34

0.48 0.52 -0.32 -0.01 -0.41 0.73 0.48 0.42 0.71 0.45 0.25

-0.03 0.01 -1.08 0.01 -0.07 -0.04 0.25 -0.46 0.07 0.41

-0.20

-0.36 -0.42 -0.87 -0.17 -0.22 -1.10 -0.08 -0.49 -0.23 0.09 -0.87

-0.47 -0.52 -0.66 -0.06 -0.25 -1.34 -0.12 -0.47 -0.48 0.00 -0.81

NORTHERNEUROPE ...... .. Channel I Denmark Estonia .................................................. Faeroe Islands ....................................... Finland (9) ..........

0.39

0.53 0.73 0.63 0.94 1.48 0.90 2.16 -0.61 -1.59 1.03 1.11

0.56 1.07 0.71 1.12 1.20 0.18 1.22 0.53 2.22 0.81 1.10 0.81 0.78 0.48

0.38 0.85 0.53 0.96 1.06 0.45 1.32 1.46 1.43 0.81 1.01 0.68 0.37 0.20

0.19 0.29 0.25 0.56 1.25 0.29 0.91 1.36 1.32 0.45 0.67 0.39 0.29 0.03

0.19 0.85 -0.04 0.89 0.96 0.51 1.13 0.80 -0.21 0.53 0.76 0.33 0.10 0.09

0.30 1.03 0.10 0.54 0.78 0.34 1.08 -0.14 1.74 0.64 0.85 0.42 0.49 0.24

0.23 0.30 0.34 -1.70 -1.45 0.48 0.97 0.53 0.53 -1.35 -0.37 0.55 0.62 0.25

0.25 0.37 0.41 -0.98 1.05 0.27 0.99 1.05 1.25 -0.91 -0.72 0.59 0.09 0.31

0.43

0.59 0.45

0.76 1.01 0.76 1.20 1.18 0.60 1.74 0.29 0.91 1.32 1.34 0.78 0.67 0.74

0.77 3.10 7.45 1.54 0.39 0.47

0.82 2.99 6.52 1.32 0.37 1.54

0.52 -1.16 0.75 -0.45 1.64 0.32 2.46 0.79 0.63 1.03 1.25

0.82 2.34 4.80 1.00 0.45 0.63 0.57 2.38 0.59 0.10 1.13 0.93 0.56 0.87 0.85 1.10 1.33

0.79 2.14 3.74 0.87 0.53 0.87 1.28 -0.08 0.36 1.27 0.96 1.43 1.63 0.94 1.01 1.01 1.38

0.36 2.04 4.78 1.04

0.90

0.68 2.66 5.48 0.97 0.23 1.16 0.56 -5.54 0.65 -0.15 0.47 -0.72 1.94 0.71 0.48 1.05 1.14

0.04 0.60 0.57 0.06 1.21 0.00 0.50 1.26 0.72 0.56 0.47 0.37

0.25 2.13 2.14 0.89 0.20 0.18 0.45 0.61 0.05 0.90 0.38 -0.06 1.15 0.63 0.45 0.22 0.87

0.22 -0.87 4.07 4.61 0.66 0.34 0.95 0.28 0.20 0.96 1.20 0.09 1.24 1.27 0.39 0.27 0.56

0.27 -0.45 0.54 2.03 -0.71 0.05 0.59 0.15 0.14 0.58 1.45

1.51 0.60 0.39 1.22 1.18

0.70 0.53 0.38 0.81 0.57 2.64 0.46 0.81 1.18 1.10

0.42 0.30 0.30 0.75 0.13 1.73 1.13 1.20 0.94 0.49

0.15 -0.08 0.10 0.44 -0.10 1.59 0.29 0.72 0.70 -0.06

0.16 0.08 -0.02 0.52 -0.16 1. a 0.14 1.68 0.48 0.67

0.49 0.40 0.24 0.52 0.45 1.32 0.81 1.21 0.63 0.89

0.56

0.65 1.01 0.70 2.20 0.58 1.63 1.32 1.48

1.04 0.62 0.64 1.30 0.85 2.44 1.09 0.55 1.36 1.77

2.72

2.74

2.77

2.57

2.44

2.30

2.09

1.90 1.32 2.56 2.77 2.27 1.49 0.58 1.16 1.99

1.96 1.10 0.78 2.36 4.26 0.29 0.90 3.91 1.76

2.16 1.27 2.36 1.83 4.96 0.39 1.89 1.68 2.15

1.88 1.49 2.36 1.03 3.79 0.30 2.15 1.€a 1.83

1.75 1.03 1.96 0.80 2.13 0.56 1.33 5.39 1.59

1.47 0.17 -1.09 0.58 2.13 0.26 0.99 5.55 0.81

1.42 0.87 -1.30 1.21 2.10 0.86 3.81 3.46 0.53

. .... ..

1reIat-d .................................................. lab d Man ............................................

Labia Liihua Noway (10) ...... ................................... Sweden ........... ..... . ........,............... ......... .. Uniled K!q&nn

. . . .....

.

SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ............ ..

. ..................................

Greece .................................................

HOlysee(l1) ........................................

................... Malta ........................................_. .......... Serbia .......................................... ......... slwenia ................................. .............. Spain TFYR M

...

WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...........................

.......................

......................................

0.73 0.77 1.04 0.24 1.10 2.00 -0.33 -1.06 0.67 0.47 0.97 0.70 0.23 0.83 2.53 7.94 2.02

0.60 0.50 1.03 0.02 0.64 0.13 1.47 0.48 1.51 1.39 0.79 0.83 1.92 0.66 0.04 0.54 0.75

0.56 Monaco ................................................ rwhehxk ... ..... . .................... ... svuttzerland ....... ...... . .........................

. ....... . . ...

LATIN AYERICA AND THE c

.

mmw

CARIBBEAN Arguilla ................................................. Antigua and Bartxlda ............................

.

..................... ....

...............................

544

0.88

0.00 0.63 -0.13 1.69 0.57 2.23 0.99 0.61 0.84 0.56

0.84 0.29

0.90

0.43

0.39 0.95 -0.13 0.20 0.42 0.46

0.26 0.30

-0.38 0.76 0.27 1.02 1.71 0.46 -0.66 -0.45 0.66

0.38 0.46 0.61 0.47 2.01 0.67 0.20 1.22 0.23 -0.10 0.33 0.69 -1.95 0.58 2.29 -0.54 0.16 1.52 0.24

0.51 0.55 1.30 1.34 0.95 0.67 0.86

0.27 0.16 0.22 0.34 0.16 1.20 1.35 0.26 0.59 0.36

0.34 0.44 0.40 0.60 0.08 1.03 0.89

1.68

1.71

1.56

1.29

1.39 4.10 -1.80 -0.30 1.78 0.85 4.27 4.81 1.00

1.26 2.66 1 .Ea 5.32 1.89 0.63 2.24 4.46

1.09 1.71 2.44 1.67 1.56 0.46 2.12 4.04 0.38

0.96 1.74 1.57 2.61 1.29 0.38 1.41 2.50 0.21

0.81

0.30

0.60

0.30 0.50 0.44

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 -0.36

EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belams ........................ .... ................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Lalvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosn~aand Henegovina ........................ Croalia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See ( l l ) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta ................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ......................................... Serbia ................................ ................... Slovenia ..................... .. .................. Spain ................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria ................................................. Belgium ................................................ France ................................................ Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

0.20 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Aruba .................................................. Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A15 Average annual rate of populetlon change by major a m , regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

Annual rate of change (per cent)

MeJwa m , mglon and country 1950-1855 1955-1960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1895-2ooo 2000-2005 Dominica ...._........ ............................ ..... Dominican Reprblk ..............................

Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Tuks and Caicos Islands .... United States Virgin Islands

2.37 3.10 1.10 2.34 1.75 1.89 2.04 1.10 1.88 0.29 1 .a 0.93 1.86 2.51 0.59 1.83

0.57 3.34 2.07 3.07 1.91 1.10 2.73 -3.33 1.88 0.95 1.08 0.75 1.93 3.13 1.93 2.11

0.65 3.30 1 .M 1.75 2.00 1.55 2.00 -0.43 1.67 1.81 -0.80 1.38 1.21 1.23 -0.19 8.38

1.13 3.03 -0.04 1.27 1.95 1.20 0.89 -0.37 1.67 1.01 -1.84 1.57 1.02 1.60 -0.14 512

0.98 2.72 -0.43 0.52 1.75 1.48 0.18 0.26 0.88 1.58 -0.27 1.05 1.10 0.83 3.00 5.84

CENTRAL A Y R I C A Belie .................................................... Costa Rica ....... El Salvador ........................................... Guateme)a ............................................ Honduras ................... ........................... Medco Nicarag Panama ................. ...............................

2.96 2.98 3.12 2.62 2.80 2.90 3.01 2.97 2.55

3.15 2.97 3.33 2.96 2.69 3.06 3.22 3.21 2.84

3.13 2.02 3.42 3.1 1 2.69 3.22 3.18 3.02 2.91

3.11 2.76 2.81 3.56 2.69 2.68 3.17 3.10 2.91

SOUTH A Y R I C A

suriname ............................................. .. Uwww Venezuela (Bolmrian RepuMlc of) .........

2.78 1.97 2.05 3.06 2.13 2.89 2.62 -0.53 2.30 2.78 2.56 2.55 3.02 1.16 4.03

2.71 1.71 2.18 2.91 2.44 2.96 2.78 -0.53 2.55 3.14 2.60 2.71 2.97 1.35 3.92

2.73 1.56 2.24 2.96 2.47 2.99 2.95 -0.68 4.12 2.53 2.66 2.88 2.72 1.19 3.64

NORTHERN A M M C A Bemuda ....... ........ ........... . .. ........... Canada ...... ......... ... ,.......... .. ........ Greenland ............................................. Saint Piwe and Miquebn ..................... Uniled States of America .......................

1.71 1.74 2.72 2.75 0.60 1.61

1 .n 1.91 2.59 4.26 0.80 1.69

OCEANIA

2.15

AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand

1.45 2.40

-0.39 2.15 2.31 1.65 2.31 1 .48 0.86 -1.02

-0.10 2.02 1.16 -0.14 0.23 0.88 1 .a -0.51 1.45 0.98 1.34 2.70 2.75

-0.55 1.39 0.77 1.72 4.67 1.23

-0.80 1.98 -0.80 1.92 2.14 0.62 1.13 -1.07 0.95 0.87 -0.62 1.68 0.94 0.74 3.91 -0.28

3.00 1.73 2.38 2.71 2.71 2.87 3.09 3.14 2.69

2.64 1.45 2.70 2.15 2.45 3.14 2.65 3.01 2.47

2.11 2.52 2.78 0.78 2.47 3.05 2.06 2.63 2.20

1.90 2.60 2.63 1.38 2.31 2.90 1.79 2.17 2.06

1.92 2.85 2.44 1 .m 2.32 2.60 1.78 2.38 2.05

1.78 2.67 2.46 1.91 2.31 2.13 1.65 1.82 1 .99

1.17 2.38 1.93 1.47 2.48 1.96 0.89 1.34 1.82

2.47 1.45 2.33 2.59 2.03 2.81 2.98 -0.78 3.71 1 .q 2.64 2.80 2.28 0.84 3.29

2.32 1.67 2.44 2.38 1.69 2.35 2.92 -0.n 3.06 0.68 2.43 2.78 -0.42 0.14 3.44

2.27 1.51 2.36 2.35 1.41 2.28 2.84 -0.65 3.98 0.72 2.62 2.67 -0.46 0.59 3.40

2.16 1.52 2.15 2.25 1.00 2.14 2.67 0.05 5.08 -0.19 2.93 2.39 1.47 0.64 2.75

1.92 1.45 2.23 1.88 1.70 2.00 2.43 1.45 5.58 -0.62 2.75 2.17 0.97 0.63 2.61

1 .69 1.34 2.30 1.56 1.77 1.85 2.08 4.05 3.51 0.23 2.44 1.84 0.71 2.25

1.53 1.15 2.12 1.50 1.37 1.71 1.54 3.34 3.49 -0.12 2.17 1.48 0.96 0.61 2.00

1.38 0.98 1 .w 1.41 1.12 1.51 1.19 0.52 3.02 0.14 1.97 1.22 0.72 0.05 1.82

1.42 1 .n 1.88 3.67 0.71 1.37

1.13 1.16 1.97 3.38 1.37 1.05

0.97 0.95 1.27 1.31 1.51 0.94

0.97 0.65 1.15 0.25 0.39 0.95

1.03 0.62 1.05 1.15 0.36 1.03

1.39 0.88 0.56 1.05

1 .08 0.54 1.12 0.02 0.07 1.08

1.04 0.47 0.93 0.23 0.05 1.05

1.02 0.41 1.01 0.43 0.07 1 .a3

2.16

2.26

1.98

1.61

1.42

1.54

1.59

1 .a

1.41

1.43

2.26 2.26 2.26

2.19 2.21 2.10

2.25 2.29 2.05

1.88 1.99 1.41

1.44 1.36 1.79

1.21 1.44 0.19

1.27 1.36 0.84

1.40 1.48

0.98

1.39 1.37 1.48

1.12 1.15 0.96

1.19 1.19 1.22

YLANESlA Fqi .................. ..... New Caledonia ...... Papua New Gui ..... Solomon Islands ................................... vanuatu ................................................

1.62 3.01 0.85 1.33 2.61 2.84

1.93 3.19 2.85 1.58 2.91 2.99

2.23 3.27 3.15 1.91 3.00 3.09

2.28 2.29 2.85 2.19 3.13 2.87

2.41 2.03 4.04 2.31 3.64 3.21

2.23 1.91 2.03 2.20 3.44 2.97

2.53 2.24 1.70 2.56 3.44 2.39

2.25 0.42 1.93 2.55 2.88 2.48

2.45 1.19 2.42 2.62 2.86 2.84

2.42 2.15 2.67 2.76 1 .m

2.21 0.65 1.71 2.41 2.57 2.54

YCRONESlA Guarn ........... Kiribati ................................................... Manhall Islands ................ Micmoesia (Fed. States of) Nauw ...................................................

2.01 1.11 2.07 1.33 3.38 4.07

2.30 1.35 2.61 1.08 3.23 4.04

2.73 2.37 2.78 3.29 3.19 5.16

2.n 2.37 2.94 3.31 3.24 2.47

1 .95 2.20 2.00 4.53 0.55 1.70

2.45 2.22 2.43 3.57 2.89 1.15

3.44 2.28 2.69 4.52 3.22 1.75

3.07 2.28 2.75 4.20 2.34 2.27

2.20 1.67 1.45 1.51 2.15 1.71

1.29 1 .a 1.88 0.44 -0.02 0.15

1.59 1.66 1.82 1.68 0.55 0.15

.............................................. Netlwlands Antilles ...............................

Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kins and Nevis

Brad1 ................... ................ ................. Chile ......................................................

. . ................... .....................................................

Paraguay ........ ..... ............ f’0N

.

546

. .. . . .. .. . ....

t .

-0.77

0.92 1.11

1.08 0.69

-0.04

-0.08

1.88 0.51 0.77 1.95 0.96 0.82 -0.95 0.00 0.93 1.14 1.19 0.65 0.75 5.87 0.72

1.75 0.42 0.75 1.80 0.82 0.56 -14.49 -1 .08 0.73 1.33 0.88 0.52 0.48 4.16 0.65

-0.18 1.59 0.94 0.79 1.62 0.71 0.51 2.54 0.62 0.58 1.30 1.09 0.54 0.35 5.19 0.16

0.66

0.88

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AfFairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Dominica ............................................ Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .................. . . . ....................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica ........................... ................ Martinique ................... ................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadine9 .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ..................

. .

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................ Panama .............................................. SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................. . . ........... Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America ......................

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND . ...... Australia (13) ............................... New Zealand ...................... . ....... ....... MELANESIA Fiji ....................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam .............................. ................. Kiribati .............................. .......... Marshall lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A.15. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual

rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ...... .. ..... ........ ............ ......

.... .... ...

..

POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ................ .................... ...... ........ .... Pitcaim ...................................... ..... ...... Samoa ... ...................................... Tokelau .. ............................... Tonga Tuvalu . ..... ... ... . ..... . .... .. Wallis and Futuna Islands

....... .. ...... ......... ................................................... ....... .. .... ... . .. . .. ... .....................

a More developed regions cumprise Europe, Northern America, AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excludmg Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asii. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lafin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-SaharanAfrica refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 IncludingMayone. 2 IncludingAgalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)

2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, mglon and country 2005-2010201 0-2015 201 5-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa .................................. Cwk Islands ........................................ French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asla and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including Aand Islands. 10 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Valican City State. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Noriolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD

1.34

1.36

1.32

1.18

1.07

0.99

0.96

0.93

0.87

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

0.44 1.54 2.52 1.38

0.46 1.56 2.49 1.38

0.44 1.49 2.41 1.31

0.36 1.34 2.25 1.15

0.32 1.20 2.12 1.00

0.33 1.11 2.01 0.90

0.37 1.06 1.91 0.86

0.40 1.01 1.60 0.81

0.41 0.95 1.68 0.75

Less developed regions. excluding China

1.80

1.78

1.70

1.53

1.40

1.31

1.26

1.19

1.10

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.53

2.51

2.42

2.25

2.13

2.03

1.93

1.83

1.70

2.41

2.39

2.30

2.13

2.00

1.91

1.82

1.73

1.61

0.80 1.43 0.82 1.50 0.75 0.81

0.77 1.40 0.92 1.49 0.70 0.79

0.80 1.21 0.82 1.13 0.76 0.97

0.79 1.17 0.79 1.09 0.75 0.97

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA

Burundi ................................................. Comoros (l).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ............................................... Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion .................... .......................... Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................

MIDDLE AFRICA

Angola .................................................. Cameroon .......................... . ........... Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................... ....................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ............................ ................ SBo Tom6 and Principe .........................

NORTHERN AFRICA

Algeria ....................... ... ..................... Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco .................. . . . . .................... Sudan ........................................ ........... Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ....................................

SOUTHERN AFRICA

Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ....................... . .................... Namibia ...................... ................. SouthAfrica .......................................... Swaziland ............................................

. . .

0.84 1.36 0.92 1.56 0.78 0.88

0.82 1.26 0.84 1.42 0.77 0.78

0.80 1.18 0.80 1.27 0.76 0.78

0.79 1.15 0.80 1.17 0.75 0.84

0.80 1.19 0.82 1.14 0.76 0.93

WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvo~re......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ..................... . ..............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)

High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

..

Mauritania ............................ ............ Niger ................................................. Nigeria ................................................ Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA

2.69 3.62 2.42 1.42 2.62 2.05 2.81

2.46 3.63 2.32 1.29 2.47 2.46 2.68

2.29 3.61 2.17 1.15 2.30 2.48 2.51

2.10 3.53 1.97 1.03 2.10 2.41 2.29

1.96 3.44 1.82 0.93 1.96 2.33 2.11

1.84 3.30 1.73 0.85 1.86 2.23 1.95

1.72 3.13 1.65 0.78 1.75 2.12 1.80

1.59 2.92 1.56 0.73 1.63 2.00 1.63

1.45 2.71 1.45 0.68 1.48 1.89 1.45

1.31

1.32

1.25

1.09

0.95

0.85

0.80

0.77

0.71

EASTERN ASiA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ............................... Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar .............................................. Philipp~nes........................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand .............................................. Timor-Leste ......................... ......... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................... ......... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................ Georgia .............................. ... ........... Iraq ...................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Oatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ........................ ..... Hunga~y................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

. . .

NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ....................... . Denmark .................... .. ..................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ............................ ...... Finland (9) ............................... ......... Iceland ..................... ........................ Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ........................................... Latvia ................................ . ............... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

.. ..

..

SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................ Gibraltar .............................................. Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ........................... ....................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ..................... ................... San Marino ........................................... Serbia .......................... ... ................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................

..

. .

WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...................... . . . ...................... Belgium ................... ..... .................... France .................................................. Gemlany ............................................ Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... ....................... Monaco ................. Netherlands ....................... ............... Switzerland .............................. . .........

..

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

1.43

1.41

1.32

1.18

1.06

0.98

0.91

0.83

0.75

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ............................................... Antigua and Barbuda ................... ..... Aruba ................................................ Bahamas ........................................... Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands ....................... . ....... Cuba ................... ........ ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica ............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................................. Guadeloupe ................................. ....... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ...................... ................. Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia .......................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Vlrgin Islands ...................

..

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .......................... .. ................ Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argzntina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ................................... ............... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. Peru .................. .. ............................. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ........................... ................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................

..

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA Fiji ..................... .............................. New Caledonia ..................................... Papua New Guinea ................... ..... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..............................................

. .

. . .

MICRONESIA Guam .................................................. Kiribati ................................................. Marshal1 Islands ..................... ............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ......................... . ..................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010201 0-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................

POLYNESIA

American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands

.................................................. .....................

a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaiNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions cornpriseallregions of Africa, Asia (excludingJapan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 m Africa, 10 in Asla, 5 in Oceania plus one country In Latin America and the Canbbean. d Other less devsloped countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-SaharanAfrica refersto all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 lncludingMayone. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Trlstan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Reg~ons (SAR) of China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 Dscember 1999, Macao became a Special Administraiive Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 lncluding hand Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican CityState. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

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Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region a n d country

2005-2010201 0-2015 201 5-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD

0.99

0.81

0.65

0.55

0.42

0.26

0.11

.0.04

.0.17

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

0.10 1.16 2.20 1.01

.0.06 1.00 2.00 0.81

.0.18 0.82 1.81 0.63

.0.23 0.70 1.68 0.49

.0.29 0.54 1.51 0.33

.0.36 0.37 1.32 0.15

.0.46 0.21 1.13 .0.02

.0.55 0.05 0.95 -019

~0.63 4.10 0.78 .0.34

Less developed regions. excluding China

1.44

1.22

1.02

0.88

0.72

0.55

0.39

0.23

0.08

Sub-Saharan Afrlca

2.23

2.04

1.84

1.69

1.52

1.34

1.16

0.98

0.81

2.09

1.90

1.70

1.55

1.39

1.22

1.03

0.86

0.70

0.41 1.04 0.43 1.13 0.35 0.44

0.14 0.76 0.28 0.87 0.08 0.16

0.06 0.57 0.09 0.78 0.00 0.06

0.03 0.50 .0.01 0.66 ~0.02 .0.05

-0.05 0.40 .0.12 0.49 -0.09 .0.1 1

-0.18 0.27 -0.26 0.30 .0.22 .0.19

.0.30 0.18 .0.39 0.14 .0.34 -0.25

.0.38 0.11 .0.49 0.03 -0.43 .0.30

.0.43 0.03 -0.56 .0.06 .0.47 .0.32

(9)

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (l)......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda .................................. . ............ United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Gu~nea................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan .................................................. Tunisia ................................................ Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ................................. ....... . Lesotho ................................................ Namibia .............................................. South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ........................................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cine d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali .....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)

Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone .................................. . Togo ......................... . . ...................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6) ........................ Dern. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................ ................... Mongolia .......................... ..... ............ Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhslan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .................... .. .................... Turkrnenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan .......................... ..............

..

SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar ............................................. Philippines ......................... .... ............ Singapore ................................ . ... ..... Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Vie: Nam .................................. . .......... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ............................................... Azerbaijan ....................... .................... Bahrain ............................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................. ....... .................. lraq ..................................................... Israel .................... ............................ Jordan .................. ....................... Kuwait ............................................... Lebanon ............................................. Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... ................ Oman ............................. Qatar ................................................... Saudi Arabia ................... . ......... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................

..

. .

............

lnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Vorld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision \/olume l: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. mglon and country

2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE B ~ ~ ................................................. N s Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................ ................ Ukraine ................................................ NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................. Estonia ............................... .............. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................... . .......... Iceland .............................. .............. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ........................ .................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................. Noway (10).......................................... Sweden .......................... . . ................ United Kingdom ....................................

..

..

SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ............................................... Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................... Croatia .............................. .............. Gibraltar .............................. .. ........... Greece ............................................... Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ..................................................... Malta ............................... ................. Montenegro .......................................... . .................... Portugal ......................... San Marino ................... . ..................... Serbia .................... . . .......................... Slovenia ......................... . .................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................

..

WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ............................................. France .................... ............................ Germany ............................. . . ............ Liechtenstein ...................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ........................ .............. Switzerland ..........................................

..

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla .................... .......................... Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ....................... ....................... Barbados .............................................. British Wrgin Islands .............................. Cayman islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Low variant .

p

Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Aepublic ............................ Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ............................................. Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Melco .............................................. Nicaragua ............................................ Panama ................................................

1.13 1.87 1.30 1.17 2.29 1.76 0.92 1 .10 1.46

0.90 1.52 1.01 0.94 2.15 1.59 0.65 1.14 1 .17

NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ............................. ................. Greenland .......................................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... UnitedStatesofAmerica .......................

0.79 0.11 0.73 0.44 .0.11 0.80

0.62 .0.09 0.58 0.31 .0.22 0.63

0.48 .0.20 0.47 0.17 .0.28 0.49

0.40 .0.27 0.41 0.02 .0.31 0.39

0.30 .0.36 0.33 .0.20 .0.32 0.30

0.20 .0.48 0.22 .0.41 -0.33 0.19

0.08 .0.64 0.10 .0.55 .0.38 0.08

.0.02 .0.79 0.01 .0.64 .0.47 .0.02

-0.09 .0.89 .0.05 .0.70 .0.55 .0.09

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ NewZealand .........................................

0.82 0.84 0.73

0.66 0.69 0.53

0.55 0.58 0.38

0.49 0.52 0.32

0.41 0.44 0.25

0.29 0.32 0.13

0.16 0.20 .0.01

0.05 0.08 .0.15

.0.04 0.00 -0.27

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ NewCaledonia ........................ . . ....... Papua New Guinea .................... . ...... Solomonlslands ................................. Vanuatu ...................... . . .................

1.70 0.43 1.35 1.83 2.15 2.20

1.37 0.17 1.06 1.47 1.81 1.90

1.17 .0.06 0.85 1.27 1.55 1.66

1.09 0.02 0.72 1.18 1.39 1.49

0.95 .0.10 0.59 1.03 1.21 1.31

0.74 .0.25 0.44 0.82 1.00 1.10

0.52 .0.47 0.28 0.58 0.78 0.88

0.33 .0.71 0.13 0.39 0.57 0.68

0.17 -0.94 0.00 0.24 0.38 0.50

MICRONESIA Guam ................................................ Kiribati ........................................... Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ................................................

1.12 1.13 1.40 2.07 0.26 0.12

0.90 0.90 1.20 1.58 0.25 0.34

0.78 0.74 1.07 1.15 0.34 0.12

0.69 0.63 0.97 0.81 0.38 -0.03

0.54 0.46 0.82 0.56 0.22 .0.17

0.37 0.25 0.61 0.43 0.02 .0.33

0.18 0.05 0.38 0.26 .0.23 .0.49

-0.01 .0.13 0.18 .0.04 .0.51 .0.66

.0.16 .0.25 0.03 .0.38 .0.70 .0.86

SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ..................... ..... .................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ............................... . ............ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ....................... ............... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. PeN ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .................................... .......... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area, region and country (continued) Low variant Annual rate of change

(per cent)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-2020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau

....................................................

POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn

.................................................

Samoa ..................................................

.................................................

Tokelau Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands

................................................... .................... .......................... .....................

a More developed regions comprise Eumpe. Northem America, AustralidNewZealand and Japan. b Less developed regions m p r i s e all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countri8s are 50 countries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except NorthernAfrica, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. 1 lncluding Mayme. 2 lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SA!) of China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into Swth-CentralAsia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including &and Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican City State. 12 m e former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

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Table A18.Average annual rate of popubtkn change by major area, regkn and country: constant-fertllkyvariant, 2005-2050 Constant-f~llltyvariant ~~

Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major am,m g h md country 20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 WORLD

1.28

1.32

1.31

1.28

1.27

1.29

1.35

1.41

1.48

YORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS MVELOPED REQIONS (b) Least developed cwnlries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

0.25 1.51 2.60 1.32

0.18 1.55 2.69 1.34

0.11 1.55 2.74 1.31

0.05 1.50 2.79 1.23

-0.01 1.48 2.84 1.16

-0.06 1.50 2.92 1.14

-0.12 1.56 3.01 1.15

-0.16 1.62 3.10 1.16

-0.20 1.68 3.17 1.17

Less developed regions, elocluding China

1 .a1

1 .87

1.87

1.84

1.83

1 .06

1.91

1.96

2.02

s u m h u n mu(0)

2.61

2.75

2.84

2.91

2.98

3.07

3.17

3.25

3.33

AFRICA

2.47

2.59

2.67

2.71

2.77

2.06

2.96

3.05

3.13

EASTERN AFRICA

2.76 3.90 2.82 2.08 3.53 2.80 2.67 2.97 2.81 0.82 2.20 1.34 2.82 0.51 3.11 3.40 2.77 2.18 1.22

2.90 3.29 2.88 2.23 3.51 2.96 2.81 3.08 2.97 0.72 2.28 1.23 3.04 0.39 3.12 3.60 2.97 2.39 1.51

2.99 3.24 2.87 2.32 3.20 3.05 2.80 3.12 3.11 0.82 2.45 1.15 3.04 0.74 3.01 3.77 3.03 2.69 1.60

3.03 3.17 2.85 2.48 3.11 3.08 2.79 3.13 3.18 0.50 2.60 1.07 2.95 0.65 2.98 3.81 3.09 2.77 1.61

3.09 3.21 2.85 2.42 3.12 3.11 2.82 3.15 3.23 0.37 2.75 0.99 2.91 3.07 3.06 3.17 2.88 1.63

3.16 3.35 2.88 2.37 3.18 3.17 2.88 3.20 3.31 0.26 2.87 0.91 2.97 0.47 3.16 3.94 3.25 2.99 1.69

3.25 3.49 2.92 2.35 3.24 3.23 2.92 3.25 3.39 0.16 2.98 0.83 3.10 0.37 3.24 4.01 3.32 3.10 1.79

3.32 3.59 2.93 2.38 3.26 3.29 2.95 3.29 3.46 0.07 3.08 0.77 3.21 0.27 3.32 4.07 3.38 3.19 1.87

3.37 3.64 2.93 2.42 3.25 3.35 2.98 3.32 3.51 0.01 3.18 0.73 3.25 0.18 3.39 4.11 3.42 3.27 1.94

2.94 2.93 2.38 2.06 3.07 2.29 3.22 2.52 1.72 1.95

3.01 3.08 2.51 2.28. 3.13 2.60 3.21 2.69 1.85 2.29

3.09 3.09 2.55 2.34 3.27 2.65 3.31 2.82 1.88 2.66

3.20 3.15 2.56 2.39 3.50 2.70 3.43 2.90 1.81 2.66

3.30 3.25 2.61 2.46 3.59 2.75 3.54 2.97 1.79 2.65

3.41 3.36 2.70 2.57 3.69 2.80 3.65 3.05 1.78 2.65

3.51 3.48 2.77 2.68 3.n 2.85 3.75 3.11 1.79 2.65

3.61 3.58 2.84 2.77 3.85 2.89 3.84 3.18 1.79 2.64

3.69 3.67 2.89 2.85 3.91 2.92 3.92 3.24 1.79 2.83

1 .89 1.61 1.96 2.19 1.30 2.55 1.17 3.95

1.92 1.64 1.97 2.15 1.35 2.64 1.16 3.61

1.87 1.55 1.87 1.94 1.31 2.68 1.06 3.25

1.76 1.38 1.76 1.67 1.21 2.61 0.89 1.82

1.69 1.18 1.70 1.50 1.08 2.60 0.70 1.61

1.66 1.06 1.69 1.47 0.98 2.61 0.56 1.48

1.67 1.01 1.68 1 .50 0.92 2.64 0.47 1.42

1.68 0.90 1.66 1.50 0.88 2.68 0.40 1.41

1.68 0.92 1.62 1.44 0.84 2.71 0.31 1.38

0.75 1.44 0.93 1.59 0.67 0.93

0.72 1.43 1.13 1.65 0.63 1.00

0.82

1.43 1.22 1.77 0.72 1.17

0.89 I .44 127 1.73 0.79 1.19

0.94 1.45 1.37 1.70 0.84 1.31

0.98 1.48 1.49 1.71 0.68 1.48

1 .03 1.55 1.61 1.75

1.66

1.09 1.62 1.70 1.79 0.97 1.79

1.15 1.67 1.78 1.82 1.03 1.88

2.69 3.27 3.09 2.53 2.19 2.91 2.32 2.39 2.98 4.51 3.13

2.83 3.28 3.17 2.57 2.50 2.87 2.42 3.13 3.23 3.25 3.31

2.92 3.30 3.23 2.50 2.59 2.88 2.42 3.22 3.39 3.36 3.43

2.97 3.31 3.28 2.41 2.60 2.92 2.38 3.28 3.53 3.47 3.52

3.04 3.35 3.35 2.35 2.63 2.95 2.35 3.35 3.65 3.58 3.62

3.12 3.40 3.42 2.32 2.70 2.98 2.36 3.41 3.76 3.68 3.72

3.21 3.46 3.48 2.29 2.78 3.02 2.38 3.47 3.06 3.78 3.80

3.29 3.50 3.53 2.26 2.85 3.06 2.41 3.52 3.96 3.87 3.87

3.36 3.53 3.57 2.23 2.90 3.09 2.43 3.56 4.04 3.96 3.93

........................................ ........................................

................................................. Malawi .................. ......................_....... .. MauAius (2) .........................................

Mozambique .........................................

....................

.....

...............................................

Zambia ..

zhbnbwe ............................................. UDDLE AFRICA

.........................

cqp .................................................. Democratic ReprMic of the cqp ........ rial Guinea ..........

......................

... NORTHERNAFRICA

Libyan Arab Jamahirtya ......................... M

m ....................

...........................

SOUTHERN AFRICA

SouthAfrica ........................................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .....................................................

Ghana .....................

.............................

Liberia .................................................. Mali ..................... ................ ......._.........

562

0.56

0.92

United Nations Department of E m i c and Social AffaidPopulation Division Workl PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant .

Annual rate of change (per cent) MaJor area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2340-2045 2045-2050

........... Mauritania .......................... . Niger .................... . ............................. Nigeria .............................. . ................. Saint Helena (3) .................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ....................... . ........................ Mongolia ............................................. Republic of Korea ............................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ......................................... Bangladesh ................. .. .............. Bhutan .................................................. India ..................... . ............................. Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives .......................... ..................

Nepal ..................................................

Pakistan ............................ . ............... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................. . ............. Turkrnenistan ................... ................. Uzbekistan ...................... . ................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ............................... Cambodia ........................... ................ Indonesia ........................ ...... ............ Lao People's Democratic Republic ........ Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar ............................................ Philippines .......................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand ........................ ................... Timor-Leste ............................... ..... Viet Nam ..............................................

..

..

WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ............................................... Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait ................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ..................... ....................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ...................... . ................ Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ................................................

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area.

region and country (continued)

Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)

Major area. region and country

2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belaws ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8)...............................

Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

SOUTHERNEUROPE

Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...........................

WESTERN EUROPE Austria ................. .. ........................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ................... ..................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .................. ..... ............... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................... . ............. Switzerland ...........................................

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

1.37

1.35

1.29

1.21

1.14

1.08

1.03

0.99

0.95

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands ............................ .. Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kilts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ......................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ........................................... Honduras ............................................. Mexico ................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................ . .............. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................. . ............. Uruguay .................. ... ........................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ....................... .. .................. Canada ........................ ....................... Greenland ...................... ..................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................

AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand ................................. ........ MELANESIA F i j ~....................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea .................... . ........ Solomon Islands ................................. Vanuatu ............................................... MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A18. Averem annwl rate at popthtkn ctmnge by major area, regbn and country (contknred)

COnrtant-fdUty varhnt

Nocthem Marlona IshnrJa ...................... Palau ....................................................

mmEsu Amerlcansaroa ................................... cook IalMda .........................................

.................................. Nlue ...................................................... Pkahll ................................................. samocl .................................................. T&&u ................................................ French polynesh

T................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wall18 M d Fuluna Islands .......

....

2.07 0.32

1.89 0.46

1.51 1.10

1.35 1.10

1.10 2.30 -2.03 1.42 -1.77 0.00 1.10 0.10 0.41

1.24 2.23 -1.18 1.37 -1.24 0.40 1.26 0.43

1.38 2.22 0.15 1.26

0.58

0.83 0.07

1.40 2.23 0.24 1.11 0.10 -0.37 1.84 0.42 1.27 1.23 0.88

0.80

W&l

0.53

-0.59

1.51 1.48 0.83 1.16 1.10 0.M

0.03

1.08 0.71

0.07 0.55

0.87 0.40

0.78 0.47

1.38 2.20 0.59

1.33 2.13 0.02

1.30 2.07

1.31 2.03

0.92

0.08

0.00

0.91

0.70 0.00 1.60 0.82 1.29 1.23 0.75

0.61 0.37 1.65 0.88 1.25 1.21 0.72

0.85 0.55

0.70 0.48 -0.37 1.88 1.37 1.25 1.44 0.75

1.34 2.01 1.05 0.73 0.49 0.00 1.78 1.41 1.32 1.80 0.73

1.21

0.00 1.62 1.00 1.22 1.29 0.74

United Nations De+&ment of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division populatkm Praspecds: The 2006 Revision, V d u m I: Comphensive Tables

This page intentionally left blank

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: estimates. 19852005 Estimates Population (thousands) Major area. reglon and country 1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

WORLD

4855264 4941404 5029293 5118158 5206950 5294879 5381644 5467328 5551993 5635848

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

1115352 1122115 1129034 1135961 1142690 1149064 1155058 1160704 1165980 1170876 3739912 3819289 3900259 3982 196 4064260 4 145815 4226586 4306624 4386013 4464972 498 301 511 622 525 473 539 894 460 974 473 043 485 466 554 840 570 153 585 617 3 278 938 3 346 246 3 414 793 3 483 896 3 552 638 3 620 342 3 686 692 3 751 784 3 815 861 3 879 355

Less developed regions. excluding China

2667243 2730701 2794842 2859592 2924891 2990669 3056868 3123386 3190073 3256754

SubSsharan Africa (e)

449 349

462 699

476 404

490 441

504 778

519 391

534 267

549 406

564 606

580 471

554 294

570 325

586 690

603 353

620 274

637 421

654 777

672 340

690 114

708 108

SOUTHERN AFRICA 37454 1 174 Botswana .............................................. 1 472 Lesolho .............................................. 1131 Namibia ............................................ South Africa .......................................... 32 961 716 Swaziland .............................................

38 309 1 211 1 502 1180 33 672 744

39 140 1 249 1 529 1236 34 350 775

39 976 1 288 1 554 1298 35 029 807

40 863 1 327 1 578 1359 35 760 838

41 828 1 367 1 801 1417 36 577 865

42 882 1 408 1 624 1471 37 493 888

44 007 1 448 1 646 1519 38 486 907

45 167 1 489 1 669 1565 39 520 924

46 314 1 528 1 694 1611 40 540 941

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Bumndi ................................................. Comoros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Entrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom6 and Prhcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ................................... .......... Western Sahara ...................................

WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cde d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China

Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Buwndi ................................................. Comoros (1) .............................. . . ....... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ......................... ........................ Madagascar .............................. .... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ............................... ...... Mozambique ....................................... Reunion ................... . .......................... Rwanda .................. ... ......................... Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................

.. ..

MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ........................................... Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................. Congo ................... . . . ........................ Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ SBo Tome and Prhcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................ Tunisia ..................... . .......................... Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ......................... ............... Lesotho .............................................. Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ................................ . .......... WESTERN AFRICA Benin ........................ . ......................... Burkina Faso ................................. ....... Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ..................... .. ..................... Ghana ............................. . ................ Guinea .................... ..................... Guinea-Bissau ............................... . Liberia ................................................. Mali ....................................................

. . . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A19 Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country

Mauritania ............................................ Niger ................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal .......................................... Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ....................................................

EASTERN ASIA l China (4).............................................. 1 China. Hong Kong SAR (5)................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................. Mongolia ............................................. Republic of Korea .................................

.

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1715 6 709 81 598 6 6 796 3 582 3 354

1759 6 911 83 977 6 7 005 3 685 3 478

1804 7 122 86 466 6 7 221 3 801 3 603

1849 7 342 89 055 6 7 444 3 918 3 727

1896 7 575 91 722 5 7 669 4 017 3 847

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1945

1997 8 084 97 247 5 8 123 4 125 4 067

2050 8 361 100 103 5 8 351 4 135 4 167

2106 8 655 103 018 5 8 581 4 131 4 269

2165 8 963 105 988 5 8 815 4 129 4 383

7 822 94 454

5 7 896 4 087 3 961

254 941 066 906 5 456 306

18 721 120 837 1 909 40 806

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 106852 Afghanistan .......................................... 12 333 Bangladesh ........................................... 100 532 Bhutan .................................................. 480 India ..................................................... 771 121 Iran (Islamic Republic ot) ....................... 48 418 Kazakhstan .......................................... 15 780 Kyrgyzstan ............................................ 4 013 Maldives ............................................... 184 Nepal .................................................... 17 003 Pakistan 95 005 Sri Lanka ............. 16 013 Tajikistan .......................................... 4 567 Turkmenistan ........................................ 3 230 Uzbekistan .......................................... 18 174

............................................... ........................... ..

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA ................................ 6 ~ n eDa~SSalam i Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Vie1 Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Oatar ............................... ................. Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................ ... ............. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country 1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) ......................... ...... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo .................... ............................

. .

...

ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ......................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives ................................ ........... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ............................ .... Uzbekistan ............................................

.. .

SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................... .. ...... Singapore ............................................. Thailand .................... . ..................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Wet Narn ............................... .............. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ ..... ........... Azerbaijan ......................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................. .............. lraq ................................. . ................... Israel ............................. . . ................ Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territoiy ............... Oman ................................................. Qatar .................... .. .................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ............................... ............ United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................

..

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table 1119.Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)

Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area. reglon and country

EUROPE

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

706 576

709 569

712 707

715 841

718 764

721 322

723 487

725 294

726 731

727798

468 007

475 924

EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Mddova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland.................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece .................................................

Holy See (11) ........................................

Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WES+ERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

404 492

412 481

420 447

428 395

436 334

444 271

452 197

460 105

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Anrba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) Mnjor area, reglon and country 1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belaws .................................... .., ....... Bulgaria .............................................. ...... Czech Republic ........................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ................... ....... Denmark .............................................. Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands .................................... Finland (9) ................................. ....... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. ......... Isle of Man ................................. Latvia ............................... .................. Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ Unled Kingdom ....................................

. . ..

SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ............................... .............. Gibraltar ............................. .. ............ Greece ............................................... Holy See (11) ............................. ....... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .................... ..... .......... Portugal ............................ ................ ............................... ..... San Marino . . . Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain ................................ ................ TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................

..

.. ..

WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium .............................................. Germany France .................................................. ............................ .............

Liechtenstein .................. .. .... ...... Luxembourg ........................ .............. Monaco ................................. . ............ Netherlands ............................ .... ...... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ............................................... Antigua and Barbuda ........................... Awba ................................. .............. Bahamas .................................... ...... Barbados ..................................... ...... British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands ................................. Cuba ....................................................

.. ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

.

Table CH9 Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. reglon and country (contintied) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kiis and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Wrgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (MaMnas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of] ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................

269 023 58 25 843 53 6 243 063

271 900 58 26 183 54 6 245 598

274 834 59 26 555 54 6 248 1W

277 821 59 26 944 55 6 250 757

280 852 59 27 331 55 6 253 401

283 920 60 27 701 56 6 256 098

287 023 60 28 051 56 6 258 850

290 159 60 28 384 56 6 261 652

293 319 61 28 702 56 6 264 494

296 492 61 29 007 56 6 267 362

AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................

18916 15669 3 247

19174 15898 3 276

19441 16136 3 305

19715 18380 3 335

19997 16627 3 370

20284 18873 3 41 1

20578 17119 3 459

20878 17364 3 513

21177 17607 3 570

21468 17843 3 625

MELANESIA Fiji .................................................. New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

4905 709 155 3 637 272 132

5020 715 158 3 731 280 135

5133 718 161 3 827 288 138

5246 719 164 3 925 297 142

5364 720 167 4 026 305 145

5489 724 171 4 131 314 149

5621 730 175 4 239 323 154

5759 739 179 4 350 332 159

5903 749 184 4 465 342 163

6052 759 189 4 585 352 168

358 119 63 38 86 8

370 122 64 40 88 8

382 125 66 42 90 9

394 128 68 44 92 9

406 131 70 46 94 9

417 134 72 47 96 9

428 137 73 48 99 9

439 139 74 49 101 10

449 141 75 50 104 10

458 144 76 51 106 10

MCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribatl Marshall Islands ................................... Micronesia (Fed States of) ................... N ~ U N...................................................

................................................. .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ........................................ Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ........................................... Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ......................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ................... ................. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ...................

. .

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ......................................... El Salvador .......................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana .................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... 299 670 61 29 302 56 6 270 245

302 848 62 29 586 56 6 273 138

306 025 62 29 859 56 6 276 043

309 213 62 30 127 56 6 278 961

312 425 63 30 402 56 6 281 898

315 672 63 30 689 56 6 284 857

318 955 63 30 992 56 6 287 837

322 267 63 31 308 57 6 290 832

325 596 64 31 632 57 6 293 837

31 955 57 6 296 844

332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846

NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United Stales of America .......................

21 745 18072 3 673

22 006 18291 3 715

22 252 18502 3 750

22491 18709 3 782

22 735 18920 3 815

22 993 19139 3 854

23 266 19367 3 899

23552 19604 3 948

23 844 19844 4 000

24 131 20081 4 050

24407 20310 4 097

AUSTRALImEWZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ New Zealand .......................................

6204 768 193 4 709 362 172

6 359 776 198 4 837 372 176

6 517 783 202 4 970 383 179

6 677 790 207 5 105 393 182

6 840 796 21 1 5 243 404 186

7 003 802 215 5 381 415 190

7 167 807 219 5 520 427 194

7 332 813 223 5 659 438 199

7496 818 227 5 798 449 204

7 659 823 230 5 935 461 210

7 820 828 234 6 070 472 215

MLANESIA Fiji ...................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

466 146 77 51 107 10

473 147 78 51 108 l0

479 149 80 51 108 10

484 151 81 52 108 10

490 153 83 52 107 10

497 155 84 52 107 10

504 158 86 53 107 10

512 160 87 54 108 10

521 163 89 54 109 10

530 166 90 56 109 10

538 169 92 57 110 10

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

328 926

64

MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................

POLYNESIA

American Samoa .................................. Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands

.................................................. .................................................. .....................

a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin Amerka and the Car~bbeanplus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 wuntries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asla. 5 in Oceania plus one wuntly in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less dewtloped countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed wuntries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 Including Mayone. 2 Including Agalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For slatistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)

Major a m , reglon and country

5 6 7 8 9

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

58 17

60 18

62 18

65 18

67 19

69 19

71 20

74 20

76 20

78 20

80 20

580 53 18 216 2 0 168 1 97 10 14

587 53 18

594

600 55 17 228 2

607 56 16 232

626 60 15 244 2 0 180 1 98 10 15

639 63 14 252 2 0 183 1 99 10 15

645 64 14 256 2

0 176 2 98 10 15

620 58 16 240 2 0 179 2 98 10 15

632 61 15 248 2

0

613 57 16 236 2 0 177 2 98 10 15

220 2 0 170 1 98 10 14

54 17 224 2 0 172 1 98 10 15

174 2 98 10 15

2

0 181 1 99 10 15

0

184 1

99 10 15

Northern Mariana Islands Palau

......................

POLYNESIA American Samoa ..................... Cook Islands ........................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim Samoa ................ Tokelau ................................................. Tonga Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Fuiuna Islands .....................

...................................................

As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. m e regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including hand Islands.

10 Including Svalbard and Jan h4ayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican C i State. 12 me former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cams (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

577

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: medium variant. 2006-2025 Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area. region a n d country

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other lass developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (W) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Cornoms (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rlunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria ........................... .. ................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .................... .. ................... WESTERN AFRICA .. ............ Benin .................................. Burkina Faso ....................................... Cape Verde .......................................... Cbte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ............................................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)

Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area. reglon and country

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China SubSaharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................ Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................. Madagascar .......................................... Matawi .................................................. Mauritlus (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................ Zimbabwe ............................................

..................

MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tomd and Prlncipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria ................................................ Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... .................... Morocco ...................... . . Sudan .................................................. Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cote d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)

Medium variant Population (thousands)

MJor area. reglon and country 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Mauritania ............................................. 3 044 Niger .................................................... 13737 Nigeria .................................................. 144720 Saint Helena (3) ....................... ........... 6 Senegal ............................................. 12072 Sierra Leone ......................................... 5 743 Togo ..................................................... 6410

3 124 14226 148093 7 12379 5 866 6585

3 204 14731 151 478 7 12688 5 969 6762

3 283 15253 154884 7 12999 6 070 6942

3 363 15791 158313 7 13311 6 185 7122

3 442 16347 161 767 7 13624 6 317 7304

3 521 16920 165240 7 13937 6 461 7488

3 600 17512 168728 7 14251 6 614 7673

3 679 18123 172222 7 14565 6 771 7859

3 757 18754 175715 7 14878 6 929 8045

ASIA

3983882 4029665 4075361 4120925 4166308 4211506 4256494 4301 163 4345372 4389000

EASTERN ASIA 1530790 China (4) .............................................. 1320864 7132 China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... 478 China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 23 708 Japan ................................................ 127 953 Mongolia ............................................... 2 605 Republic of Korea ................................. 48 050

.

SOUTHGENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 671 934 Afghanistan ........................................... 26 088 Bangladesh ........................................... 155 991 Bhutan .................................................. 649 India .....................................................1 151 751 Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... 70 270 Kazakhstan ........................................... 15 314 Kyrgyzstan ............................................ 5 259 Maldives ............................................... 300 Nepal ................................................ 27 641 Pakistan ............................................ 160 943 Sri Lanka .............................................. 19 207 Tajikistan ............................................. 6 640 Turkrnenistan ........................................ 4 899 Uzbekistan............................................ 26 981 SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam .............................. . Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel ........................... . ..................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTenitoly ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. Uniled Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)

Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Maurilania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's RepuMk of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ...................... ............................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ............................................... Ireland ................................................ Isle of Man ........................................... Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................... ....... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE . ...................... Austria ......................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ........................................ Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

565 048

572 206

579 409

586 590

593 697

600 718

607 664

814 524

621 291

627 958

CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ....................... A ~ b .................... a ........................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ......................... . ................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayrnan Islands .................................... Cuba ....................... . ..........................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by

major area. region and country (continued) Medium varfant

Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

725370

724336

723233

722060

720819

719515

718 146

716714

715220

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andol~a................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Porlugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

640 955

647 275

653 478

659 562

665 522

671 353

677 051

682 611

688 030

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. ANba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................ . ........... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica .......................................... El Salvador .......................................... Guatemala .................................. ...... Honduras ......................... .. ............... Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

..

SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ...................... ................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay ......................... ........ ....... Peru .................................... .............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .............................................. Venezueb. (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

. . . .

.

..

NORTHERN AMERICA 335 547 Bermuda ............................................... 64 Canada ...................... ................... 32 577 58 Greenland ........................... . ............... 6 Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America ....................... 302 841

..

338 831 65 32 876 58 6 305 826

342 098 65 33 170 58 6 308 798

345 345 65 33 461 59 6 31 1 754

348 574 65 33 752 59 6 314 692

351 780 65 34 042 60 6 317 607

354960 65 34 331 60 6 320 497

358 113 65 34 619 60 6 323 362

361 238 65 34 906 61 6 326 200

364334 65 35 191 61 6 329 010

OCEANIA

33 846

34 267

34 678

35 084

35 489

35 894

36 297

36 699

37 099

37499

AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ NewZealand .........................................

24 670 20530 4140

24 922 20743 4179

25 165 20951 4215

25 406 21 156 4250

25 647 21362 4285

25 889 21569 4320

26 131 21776 4355

26 373 21 984 4389

26 614 22191 4423

26 854 22397 4457

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea .................... ......... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands ................................ Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

. .

Dominica ..................... ................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Mattinique ............................................ Montserrat .............................. .......... Netherlands Antilles ............................. Puerto Rico ........................................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................ Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................ Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ...................... . ......... ........ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................ .. .......... Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua .......................... ............ Panama ................................................

. .

SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ................................... ........... Bolivia .................................................. Brazil ........................ .. ...................... Chile .................... ...... .................... Colombia ............................................ Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ..................................... Guyana ............................. ..... Paraguay ............................................. Peru ......................... . ........ ............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

. .

..............

6 352 547

392 978 66 37 912 64 6 354 930

NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................................. Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................ Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................

28 717 24 01 1 4 706

28 939 24 204 4 735

29 157 24 393 4 764

AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (13)..................... . .......... New Zealand ........................................

10 356 895 294 8 187 670 310

10507 898 297 8 313 682 316

10657 902 300 8 439 694 322

10806 905 303 8 565 705 328

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

663 206 118 77 122 11

670 208 120 77 123

677 210 122 78 124 11

684 21 1 123 79 125 11

367 399 66 35 474 61 6 331 792

370 431 66 35 756 62 6 334 541

373 424 66 36 035 62 6 337 254

376 372 66 36 313 62 6 339 924

379 270 66 36 588 63 6 342 547

382 115 66 36 860 63 6 345 120

384 909 66 37 130 63 6 347 644

387 650 66 37 395 63 6 350 119

27 092 22 603 4 489

27 330 22 808 4 522

27 566 23 013 4 553

27 801 23 216 4 585

28 033 23 418 4 616

28 264 23 618 4 646

28 492 23 816 4 676

9469 877 274 7 442 601 276

9 616 880 277 7 565 612 282

9 762 882 281 7 688 624 288

9910 885 284 7 812 635 293

10058 888 287 7 937 647 299

10207 891 290 8 062 659 305

618 193 109 71 117

626 195 110 72 118 11

633 197 112 73 118 11

641 199 114 74 119 11

648 201 115 75 120 11

656 204 117 76 121 11

11

390 339 66 37 656

M

11

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................

Table A20.Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, regkn and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)

Y J o ra m , reglon and country

Northern Mariana Islands Palau

POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ....... French Polynesia Niue ................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

82 20

84 20

85 20

87 20

88

90 21

91 21

93 21

94

21

96 21

652 65 14 259 2 0 185 1 100 10 15

659 67 13

666 68

693

2 0 187 1 100 11 15

2 0 189 1 101 11 15

888 72 12 276 1 0 193 1 102 11 16

73 12

266

679 71 13 273 1 0 192 1 102 11 16

692

263

673 69 13 270 2 0 190 1 101 11 15

75 12 283 1 0 196 1 103 11 16

704 76 12 207 1 0 197 1 103 11 16

13

280 1 0 195 1 103 11 16

21

711 77 12

290 1 0 163 1 104 11 16

a Mae developed regms a w n p m Europe. W h e m Amenca. Australla/NewZealand and Japm b Less developed regms canpnse all repons of Afm.Asla (excluding Japan), Lath America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Miaaresle m d Polynesia. c Least developed countrleS are 50 countnes. 34 in Africa. 10 n Asla. 5 in Oceanla plus one country h Lam pnerlca and the Caribbean d Other less d e e d countries m p r l s e of the less developed regbns excludmg the least developed countries e Sub-Saharan Africarefen to all of Africa except Norlhem Africa, with the Sudan Clduded in hubSaharan Africa 1 IndudngMayone 2 lndudng Apalega, Rcdligues, and Samt Brandon 3 lnduding Ascension, and TrWan da Cunha 4 F a stat$Wpurposes. the data for Chna do n d indude Hmg Kong and Macao. Speaar Adrnhbtrathre k g b n s (W)d China

586

United Nations Department of Ecomxnic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia ..................................

N i i ...................................................... Piicaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................

5 As of lJuiy 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined inlo South-Central Asia. B Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including Aland Islands. 10 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l l Refern to the Valican C i State. 12 The fomler Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A21.Crude birth rate by major area, regkn and country: estimates and medlum variant, 1950-2050

Estlmateb: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1,ooOpopulation)

Mr)oruea, reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005

WORLD

37.4

35.5

35.1

33.4

30.6

28.3

27.6

27.0

24.7

22.6

21.1

MORE DEVELOPED REQlONS (a) LESS MVELOPED REQIONS (b) Less1 dmklmd cantries (c) Other leas devebped cwntrias (d)

22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7

21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8

19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7

17.1 39.8 47.4 38.6

16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6

14.9 32.7 45.0 31.O

14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9

13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9

12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9

11.2 25.4 39.3 23.2

11.1 23.5 37.6 21.2

44.6

44.3

43.2

41.1

39.3

37.5

36.2

34.0

31.6

28.8

28.9

47.4

Lean developed regions. emYcluding China

Subs.h.m Airla (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Bu~ndi................................................. cornon#,(2) ..........................................

qibouti .................................................

M W .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mouunbique .........................................

R h n h ........... Rwande ................................................ Somalia ................................................ uQand0 ........................................ Unned Republic of Tanzania ......... ZamMa ................................................. thbabwe

.............................................

UDDLE AFRICA h g d a ..................................................

........................ Democratic Reprblk of the Congo ........ Eqwlc+iai Guinea .................................

oabon ............................ sllo TOme and Rhdpe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Alpmia .................................................. €gyp4 ........................... ubyan Arab Jamahiriya

Momcco ...............................................

Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. 80UTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. LesoMo ................................................

Nsmlbla ................................................ SaRh AMca .......................... i............... smuyand

.............................................

WESTERN M I C A (4)

M l n .................................................... BurWna Faw ........................................

cape verde .......................................... We dlvd ................................ Q M a a ...

.................................

Ghana ..... ................................ Guinea .................................................. G u i n e a ~ ...................................... u

Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

588

48.8

48.5

48.1

47.6

47.0

46.6

45.3

43.7

41.9

40.6

48.9

48.3

48.0

47.0

46.5

45.9

45.1

43.2

40.8

38.9

37.7

50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.E 53.4 51.3 49.0 46.8 48.3

49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.6 53.2 44.7 49.1 41.0 52.6 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1

49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.6 52.6 51.O 49.3 49.1 48.8 48.2

49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5 55.8 32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5

48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.8 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.5 47.6

48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 48.1 57.2 26.7 46.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.6

47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 46.0 45.1 45.0

46.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.6 45.0 44.8 50.9 19.6 43.6 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6

44.0 46.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.6 43.9 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.6 42.4 43.9 35.5

42.4 43.8 38.5 34.6 39.6 44.1 38.0 42.3 47.0 17.6 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.9

41.1 44.2 38.5 31.4 40.5 40.7 39.1 39.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 19.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.9 28.9

46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5

47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 46.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3

47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5

47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7

47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.6 36.1 43.9

47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 36.7 42.9

47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.8 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0

47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0

47.0 52.5 40.9 41.8 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0

46.1 49.0 37.9 40.0 47.6 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 38.0

46.2 48.6 37.9 37.9 47.4 372 48.6 39.8 27.7 34.9

48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0

47.3 50.6 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7

47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5

45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4

43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5

41.6 45.4 39.6 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4

39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3

35.2 34.6 35.0 29.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4

30.3 28.8 29.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3

26.9 21.6 26.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.6 20.3

25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1

43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9

42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7

41.9 46.4 42.3 41.8 41.6 48.5

38.9 45.6 42.6 41.6 38.2 49.4

38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.8

36.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2

34.9 42.5 40.6 42.0 33.9 46.8

31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8

20.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7

26.2 29.1 34.0 32.7 25.3 33.3

49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.6 48.8 51.8 49.3

49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51.0 47.3

48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.6 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5

48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.6 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5

48.4 47.5 51.1 38.6 51.O 49.6 45.2 49.8 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4

48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2

48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.6 48.9 49.0 49.6 51.8 41.6

47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4

45.9 46.3 49.0 36.3 42.7 42.7 37.6 45.6 49.9 50.0 51.6 39.0

43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.6 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2

48.0

24.7

28.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4 42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 49.9 49.9

48.6 35.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Scdal Affairslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -

Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population) Major area, region and county

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS ( E ) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less devdoped countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan AMcs (a) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) Djibouti ................................... Eritrea .......................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya Madagascar Malawi Mauritius (3) Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................

.......................................... ..............

. . .................

................................................... .......................................... .................................................. ..........................................

..................

MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S l o Tom6 and Prlncipe .........................

.................................................... ..................................................

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara ....................................

.........................

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) b n i n .................................................... Butkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cdte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ..................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A21 Crude birth rate by maJorarm. region and country (continued) Estimatecc 1950.2005

.

Crude birth rate (brlhs per 1 OOO population) Major men. region and m n t y

1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851890 1890-1995 19952ooo 2W&2005

Niger .................................................... *rla .................................................. .smega i ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... TO@J ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong K q SAR (8) .................... China, Mecao SAR (7)........... Dem. People's Republic of

..........................

........................... ..........................

SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ...........................................

Bangladesh

Bhutan ..................................................

India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic RepuMlc ot).......................

.................................... MeMives ........................................ Nepal .................................................... Pakbtan ............................................... Sri Lanka ..................................... Tajikisten .............................................. Katakhetan Kyrgyzstan .....................................

TUrkt7'lWdStM

Uzbeklstan ... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 people's Democratk R-Mk ......... Malaysia ...............................................

............................. .............................

mailand ................................................ Timr-Leste .......................................... Vie1 Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA A m i a ................................................

...............................

Aze

...............................

Bah Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................

........................................... ..................................................

Jordan Kuwall .................................................. LebaMn ................................................ Occupied Palestinian Tenitory ............... Oman ................................................... Oalar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ......... Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

590

60.8 49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0

59.9 48.8 49.6 48.5 50.0

59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3

58.4 47.8 48.5 48.9 48.5

57.6 47.5 47.8 48.0 48.4

57.0 47.8 46.8 45.9 48.5

56.9 48.7 46.1 48.0 47.1

56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2

55.4 46.8 41.5 47.5 43.1

53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3

51.2 42.7 37.8 46.9 39.6

42.8

39.3

39.2

37.7

33.5

29.5

28.5

27.9

25.0

22.2

20.1

40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0

34.1 36.1 38.3 30.3 38.2 17.6 43.4 45.7

35.5

34.8 38.9 23.5 20.4 36.9 17.8 42.3 33.0

27.7 28.8 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0

21 .0 21.5 17.2 17.1 19.0 15.4 39.2 23.6

20.2 20.9 15.7 24.8 21.8 12.9 37.8 21.1

21 .0 22.3 12.8 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 16.9

17.4 18.2 12.4 18.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9

15.4 18.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.6 21.2 13.5

13.1 13.6 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4

43.9 52.1 48.4 48.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 35.8 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4

43.2 52.2 48.8 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 46.1 43.3 45.8

41.9 52.2 48.8 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.8 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.8 44.9

40.0 52.0 48.4 47.2 38.8 44.8 26.1 31.5 39.8 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5

37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 0 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8

38.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.8 35.2 35.8

34.4 51.8 36.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.8 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7

38.9

38.5 51.5 43.8 48.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0

38.0

31.9 52.1 33.8 35.7 30.7 30.8 20.8 28.9 36.8 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.8

28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 18.2 24.2 16.8 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2

25.8 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 18.7 21.0 22.2 30.2 27.5 18.3 29.4 22.9 23.7

44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7

45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 46.7 45.4 44.2 45.8 41.8 44.2 47.0 45.5

43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 46.8 45.9

41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5

38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9

34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 36.1

32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.8 31.4 35.5 16.7 23.8 44.1 33.9

29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5

28.0 28.2 41 0 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2

22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.7 21.4

21.3 23.8 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 28.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2

47.1 33.7 40.8 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.6 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.0 48.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8

45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.8 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3 39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.8

43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 48.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.8 54.8

40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.0 19.8 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.8 52.5 50.0 37.0 48.1 47.4 40.2 38.8 55.4

39.1 22.2 26.1 38.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.8 46.8 49.5 31.3 47.8 46.9 37.9 33.0 56.3

37.1 22.8 25.1 34.4 19.0 18.0 42.7 28.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 46.9 34.1 30.5 58.2

35.7 23.8 26.0 32.8 21 0 18.0 39.8 23.8 42.3 34.8 29.2 44.8 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8

32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.6 22.7 38.8 28.1 26.6 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4

30.2 19.1 26.1 25.8 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.8 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.8

27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 11.8 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.8 22.8 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9

25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.8 21.1 27.9 18.8 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 28.5 28.2 19.5 18.7 39.3

38.0 33.1 31.8 32.8 17.2 43.3 39.1

38.0

36.0

.

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1Affairslpopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major a m , region and country

Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzslan .......................... ........... Maldives .......................... ..... ........... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan ............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................

. . .

...............................................

SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ...................... ..... ............. Singapore ............................. ............ Thailand ..................... ....................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ...............................................

..

..

WESTERN ASIA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ .................................................. s Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................ Kuwal .................................................. Lebanm ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Afbirs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

t a b A.21. Crude birth rate by maJorarea, region and country (continued)

Edlrnater: 19-2005 ~~

~~

Crude birth rate (births per 1,OOO population)

n o h d -ntrv

M.,

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2oOo 2WX?OOS

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE

................................................

Czech Repvblic ..................................... Hungary ..........................

... ...

.......................... .................................................. R o m n h ............................................... Moldova pohnd

Rusdan Fedsr8tiOn ........

................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE (0) Cha& I Denmrk Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) ..........................................

Iceland ..........................

lrdand .................................................. La* ...................................................

Lithuania ...............................................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13)

Albpnia .................................................

BoMlh and l + e m ? p h........................ Croatb ................................................. Greece .................................................

..........

.......... .......

0

pMhroal ................................................

s e a ................................................... swml8 ................................................ spahr .................................................... TFYR Mecedonia (14) ...........................

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Aust~ia.................................................. &!glum ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... -rg ....................... Nether(and0

..........................................

sw*rerland ...........................................

UTIN AMRICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARleBEAN(16) Bahamas .............................................. Balbaados .............................................. Cuba .................................... Dcdnican RepubUc .............................. Grenada ...............................................

.......................... ...........................

...........................

Mertinique ............................................ NehdMdm Anuues .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadinee .......... Trinidad and Tobago ........... united 381- V m i lSl8nds

592

21.5

20.8

19.2

16.8

15.7

14.8

14.4

13.7

11.5

10.2

10.2

25.8 22.9 21.1 19.4 21.1 29.5 30.1 24.9 26.5 27.4 25.4

24.0 24.3 18.7 15.6 17.8 28.2 27.2 22.9 25.1 24.3 23.3

19.4 21.3 16.6 14.6 13.4 24.4 19.6 16.3 21.0 20.5 18.6

15.6 16.8 15.9 14.4 14.4 19.2 16.6 21.9 14.4 18.0 15.4

16.2 16.0 16.2 17.5 15.7 18.5 17.8 19.4 15.3 19.7 15.7

16.6 15.8 15.8 17.5 16.3 19.6 19.4 19.1 15.9 20.6 15.0

16.5 16.7 13.9 13.7 12.6 21.8 19.2 15.8 16.8 18.2 15.2

15.6 15.9 13.0 12.7 12.0 21.4 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 14.6

11.5 12.1 10.2 11.7 11.7 15.9 13.2 11.4 10.9 13.7 11.4

9.3 9.5 8.2 8.7 9.9 12.6 10.8 10.5 8.9 10.8 8.6

9.5 9.3 8.7 9.0 9.5 11.4 9.4 10.0 9.9 9.7 8.4

16.9 14.6 17.9 17.3 22.8 27.9 21.4 16.4 21.6 18.7 15.5 15.9

16.9 14.8 16.8 16.7 19.9 28.3 21.1 16.5 21.7 18.1 14.5 16.5

18.0 17.6 17.2 15.8 18.1 25.7 21.8 15.6 20.4 17.4 14.7 18.4

17.0 15.8 16.3 14.8 16.0 22.1 21.4 14.1 17.8 17.6 14.8 17.4

14.8 12.9 14.6 15.4 13.1 20.9 22.2 14.4 16.7 15.8 13.6 14.5

13.0 11.4 12.3 15.0 13.7 19.2 21.3 13.9 15.5 12.9 11.7 12.4

13.5 11.4 10.3 15.4 13.4 18.2 21 .o 15.1 15.9 12.3 11.3 13.5

13.7 12.1 11.3 15.6 12.6 17.4 16.2 15.5 15.9 13.3 12.9 13.7

13.2 12.6 13.0 11.2 12.9 17.4 14.2 11.4 13.5 14.0 13.6 13.2

11.9 11.4 12.6 9.1 11.5 15.5 14.1 8.0 10.6 13.4 10.4 12.2

11.5 10.5 12.0 9.8 11.0 14.4 15.2 8.7 9.0 12.3 10.9 11.6

21.1 39.3 37.1 22.6 19.4 18.3 29.3 16.1 24.1 27.0 22.0 20.3 37.4

20.7 41.5 34.7 19.6 19.3 18.0 26.7 14.9 24.2 22.9 18.7 21.3 33.8

20.6 39.2 31.1 17.6 18.1 18.7 22.6 13.3 24.2 20.3 17.8 21.5 29.1

19.4 34.7 25.1 15.9 18.0 17.9 16.6 11.2 22.4 18.8 17.5 20.4 25.9

17.8 31.4 21.3 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.5 9.9 19.8 18.5 16.7 19.5 22.5

15.8 28.3 19.6 15.6 15.7 13.0 17.9 9.2 18.3 18.4 16.7 17.5 21.6

13.2 26.8 18.2 14.7 13.7 10.7 17.0 8.8 14.9 17.4 14.5 13.3 20.1

11.7 25.4 17.1 13.1 10.7 9.9 15.6 8.2 12.3 16.0 12.6 11.0 18.1

10.7 22.8 12.8 10.7 10.0 9.7 14.2 13.5 11.3 13.7 10.1 9.9 16.4

10.0 19.4 12.0 10.5 9.7 9.2 12.3 13.3 11.2 12.2 9.2 9.3 13.4

10.1 17.2 9.4 9.1 9.4 9.4 10.0 13.2 10.9 12.5 8.8 10.2 12.0

17.5 15.0 16.5 19.5 16.0 14.7 22.1 17.3

17.5 16.8 17.0 18.4 16.5 15.8 21.4 17.5

16.2 18.5 17.1 18.1 17.8 16.0 20.8 18.9

16.6 17.0 15.3 17.0 15.9 14.4 19.0 17.7

13.5 13.6 13.6 16.3 11.4 11.7 15.4 14.2

11.9 11.6 12.3 14.0 10.3 11.2 12.7 11.6

12.2 12.1 12.1 14.3 10.8 11.6 12.2 11.5

12.2 11.5 11.9 13.7 11.1 12.0 12.7 11.8

11.4 11.6 12.0 12.8 10.0 13.1 12.9 12.3

10.9 10.3 11.2 12.6 9.5 13.1 12.4 11.2

10.5 9.5 10.8 12.8 8.7 12.0 12.4 9.8

42.6

41.8

41.o

37.9

35.3

33.0

30.6

27.8

25.3

23.2

21.5

39.0

37.8 39.1 36.0 31.8 28.4 52.7 45.9 38.7 44.6 39.2 39.3 35.5 33.5 46.1 48.9 38.0 37.5

39.3 33.4 37.8 29.1 35.4 49.8 41.0 36.8 43.5 39.6 35.6 29.1 31.3 45.3 46.3 38.0 41.5

35.4 26.0 32.4 23.8 31.6 44.8 28.9 32.7 40.7 37.3 31.1 22.6 28.8 43.2 42.3 28.9 45.6

31.4 22.5 29.3 20.8 26.5 39.7 29.1 28.9 38.2 32.5 25.8 20.4 24.4 37.9 38.2 27.0 41.4

27.5 22.3 27.5 17.7 17.4 35.3 29.8 19.6 40.0 28.8 17.4 21.5 23.8 33.8 32.8 29.3 35.8

26.8 22.3 27.2 17.5 16.5 32.1 32.5 20.2 42.8 26.9 16.6 20.2 20.5 31.1 29.2 28.3 30.9

25.7 20.6 23.6 16.7 17.6 29.7 31.8 19.2 39.1 25.6 18.0 19.3 18.8 25.9 26.8 24.6 24.5

23.6 18.8 23.7 14.9 15.2 28.2 23.4 17.9 35.5 24.8 17.0 19.7 17.5 23.8 23.6 18.1 23.4

21.6 17.7 21.3 13.0 13.1 26.7 21.1 17.4 32.7 22.9 15.5 16.3 15.3 19.4 20.8 15.0 17.2

20.2 16.2 18.1 11.9 12.0 25.2 18.4 15.7 29.8 21.8 14.3 14.5 13.7 19.1 20.8 14.5 14.6

44.3 38.6 32.8 31.6 52.8 39.8 39.0 45.7 34.8 39.5 41.6 36.2 37.4 49.5 38.2 37.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslpopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tabi8.s

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Labia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) Sweden United Kingdom ....................................

.......................................... ................................................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Henegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegm.......................................... Poltugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) ................. Austria ................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ..................................... ........ Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... .-

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas ............................ .. ............ Barbados ............................................. Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .............................. Martinique ........................ ............ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

..............................

.....

.. ............

..........

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: T h e 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Cruck birth rate by major a m , r e g h and country (conthued) E8timimeter: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (MrUm per 1,OOOpopulation)

nakn.nda n t r y

MrJ0r-s

1965-1970 1970-1975 19751960 1960-18851W5-19W 1990-19051995-20W 200O-m

19501955 1955-1980 1-1885 CENTRAL AMERCA

48.3 49.6 44.6 48.0 50.3 52.1 48.0 53.7 39.9

47.1 44.8 45.1 48.8 47.0 51.1 46.8 53.3 40.5

45.2 42.0 44.3 47.5 46.0 49.4 44.7 48.4 40.4

43.9 40.5 36.3 45.8 44.7 48.4 43.8 47.0 39.0

42.5 40.2 30.5 42.7 44.0 45.9 42.6 47.0 35.6

37.8 40.0 30.1 40.2 43.5 44.5 38.5 45.3 31.O

33.4 37.4 30.0 33.6 42.2 42.3 31 .8 42.7 28.6

30.7 35.5 28.9 30.7 39.6 39.6 29.0 38.2 27.3

28.8 34.3 24.7 29.5 38.9 37.2 27.1 35.5 25.1

25.7 31.6 21.4 27.6 37.3 33.5 23.7 30.2 24.1

23.4 28.3 19.1 25.1 35.8 30.2 21.4 26.3 22.7

41.2 25.4 47.0 44.0 36.1 47.4 45.8 38.4 43.0 44.2 47.1 43.8 21.2 46.4

40.5 24.3 46.8 43.0 38.8 45.3 44.7 32.6 43.9 42.6 46.8 44.4 21.9 44.8

39.8 23.2 45.8 42.1 37.7 44.0 44.1 30.4 41.1 41.2 46.3 44.4 21.9 45.0

36.1 22.6 4.4 36.9 31.3 40.8 42.8

30.5 40.6 39.5 43.8 40.0 20.5 40.1

33.1 23.4 45.2 33.7 27.3 34.6 40.6 29.8 35.0 35.8 40.5 34.6 21.1 35.1

32.0 25.7 41.O 32.8 23.0 32.6 38.2 25.8 31.5 38.2 38.0 29.5 20.2 34.2

30.0 23.1 38.4 30.8 23.4 29.8 34.8 28.6 29.6 37.3 33.7 30.5 18.4 32.0

26.9 22.2 38.8 26.3 23.8 27.7 30.9 30.2 25.4 34.9 31.2 28.0 18.3 30.3

24.2 21.3 35.8 22.8 21.9 26.1 27.5 32.8 24.5 32.0 29.2 22.9 18.2 27.0

22.4 19.7 32.8 21.8 18.0 23.8 25.8 30.0 24.2 29.3 25.4 23.7 17.0 24.5

20.9 18.0 30.2 20.6 15.7 21.2 23.2 27.1 21.3 26.9 22.2 21 2 18.0 22.9

NORTHERN AWERICA (10) Canada ................................................. united states of America .......................

24.6 27.8 24.3

24.6 27.7 24.3

22.0 24.6 21.8

17.7 18.4 17.7

15.7 15.6 15.7

15.1 15.2 15.1

15.5 14.8 15.8

15.8 14.2 15.0

15.5 13.8 15.7

14.1 11.8 14.4

13.8 10.7 14.1

OCEANU

27.7

27.4

26.7

24.5

24.0

21 .o

20.4

20.1

19.9

18.9

17.8

23.5 23.0 25.7

23.3 22.6 26.3

22.6 21.9 25.9

20.3 19.8 22.6

19.8 19.8 20.8

16.2 18.0 17.2

15.7 15.8 16.0

15.4 15.1 16.9

15.1 14.7 17.1

13.7 13.5 14.9

12.9 12.7 14.2

43.4 46.3 35.1 43.1 42.6 50.4

43.2 46.7 34.9 42.6 44.0 49.2

42.3 42.0 38.7 42.3 43.7 47.3

40.9 34.8 41.8 43.9 44.3

40.4 32.5 38.3 41.8 47.2 42.5

38.9 33.2 28.5 40.0 45.0 41.O

38.8 31.9 25.6 37.8 40.4 38.8

35.7 29.8 24.6 37.0 40.4 37.0

35.3 27.5 23.8 36.7 38.7 38.5

34.9 25.5 21.6 36.9 38.3 33.9

32.2 23.1 18.0 34.0 33.8 31.0

YCRONESlA (10) G m ................................................... Mlcnnesi (Fed. States of)...................

40.0 31.8 47.9

41.2 34.5 44.8

40.9 36.0 42.8

39.2 32.0 42.0

36.2 31.5 39.9

35.2 29.0 38.2

34.3 26.9 39.3

32.0 26.0 35.5

30.4 26.0 32.2

27.9 23.9 31.5

24.8 20.7 29.7

POLYNESIA (2l) French polyneei .................................. Samoa ........... Tonga ...........

48.3 43.3 50.9 45.1

46.4 44.8 48.7 45.1

45.5 44.3 47.2 45.0

41.9 43.9 41.6 40.5

36.0 38.2 37.7 33.8

33.2 32.0 34.8 33.0

33.5 30.5 38.9 33.7

33.0 29.8 37.6 30.5

28.8 25.4 31.1 29.9

26.8 21 .4 33.1 26.6

23.9 19.3 29.4 24.3

Dsahrador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ....... Nicaragua ............................................. Panam0 ................................................ SOUTH * y R I C A (17) Aqtl3Mina .............................................. BolMa ................................................... Brad ....................................................

Paraguay .............................................. hN

..................................................... .......................

Venezuela ( W i r i a n Repawc d).........

AUSTRMWNEW ZEALAND Australia (19)................ New Zealand .........................................

...

YUNESlA

.................................

594

38.5

United Nations Oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affaiiopulation Division World populetion Praspecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive TaMes

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country

CENTRAL AMERICA Befize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras Mex?co Nicaragua Panama

............................................ .............................................. ............................ .................... ............................................. ................................................

SOUTH AmRICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .................................. .......... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

.................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................. ..............................................

.....................................................

..

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..................... ................

...................................... ...............................

..

MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESJA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................

9 Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding &and Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan ¥ Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedmia. 15 lncludlng Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda. BAish Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montsenat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Caiws Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland islands (Maknas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and M~quelon. 10 Including Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfdk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, N~uN,Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lndudlng American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niie. Pitcaim. Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A22 Crude birth rate by major area. regbn and country: estimates and hlgh variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 19M)-2005

.

~~

~

Crude birth rate (brths per 1 O00 population)

vriorrw. nekn n d c o u m

1850-1955 19551960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2OOO-2005

WQRLD

37.4

35.5

35.1

33.4

30.8

28.3

27.6

27.0

24.7

22.6

21.1

22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7

21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8

19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7

17.1 39.8 47.4 38.8

16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6

14.9 32.7 45.0 31.0

14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9

13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9

12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9

11.2 25.4 39.3 23.2

11.1 23.5 37.6 21.2

44.6

44.3

43.2

41.1

39.3

37.5

36.2

34.0

31.6

28.8

26.9

48.8

48.5

48.1

47.6

47.4

47.0

46.6

45.3

43.7

41.9

40.6

48.9

48.3

48.0

47.0

46.5

45.9

45.1

43.2

40.8

38.9

37.7

50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.8 53.4 51.3 49.0 48.8 48.3

49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.6 53.2 44.7 49.1 41 .0 52.8 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1

49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.8 52.8 51.0 49.3 49.1 48.6 48.2

49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5 55.8 32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5

48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.8 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.0 48.5 47.6

48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 46.1 57.2 26.7 48.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.6

47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 46.0 45.1 45.0

46.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.6 45.0 44.8 50.9 19.8 43.6 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6

44.0 46.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.6 43.9 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.6 42.4 43.9 35.5

42.4

42.3 47.0 17.6 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.9

41.1 44.2 36.5 31.4 40.5 40.7 39.1 39.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 19.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.9 28.9

46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5

47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 48.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3

47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5

47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7

47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.8 36.1 43.9

47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 36.7 42.9

47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.6 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0

47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0

47.0 52.5 40.9 41.6 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0

48.1 49.0 37.9 40.0 47.6 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 36.0

48.2 48.6 37.9 37.9 47.4 37.2 49.6 39.8 27.7 34.9

48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0

47.3 50.8 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7

47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5

45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4

43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5

41.6 45.4 39.8 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4

39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3

35.2 34.8 35.0 29.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4

30.3 28.8 29.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3

26.9 21.8 26.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.6 28.3

25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1

SOUTHERN AFRICA BotBwuur ............. .............. Lesotho ................ ............. Fhmibb ................ ............. soulh Ahim ..........................................

43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9

42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7

41.9 46.4 42.3 41 .8 41.6 48.5

38.9 45.6 42.6 41.8 38.2 49.4

38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.8

30.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2

34.9 42.5 40.8 42.0 33.9 46.8

31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8

28.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7

26.2 29.1 34.0 32.7 25.3 33.3

24.7 26.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benln RurwM Faw ........................................ cape vefde .................................... a t e d'lvoim ........................................ Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Gullma ........................ Quh-ma-Bbau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mawitania ..................................

49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.8 48.8 51.8 49.3

49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51.0 47.3

48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.8 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5

48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.8 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5

48.4 47.5 51.1 38.8 51.0 49.6 45.2 49.6 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4

48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2

48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.6 48.9 49.0 49.8 51.8 41.8

47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4

45.9 46.3 49.0 30.3 42.7 42.7 37.8 45.6 49.9 50.0 51.6 39.0

43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.6 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2

42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 49.9 49.9 48.6 35.3

.

YORE DEVELOPED RMIONS (m) LESS DEVELOPED REalONS @) Least dweloped counthr (c) 0 t h krr, ~ dumbped cantrke (d)

wkm, edwllng

LW china

8ub-Wuml A m a (0) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundl ................................................. comoror (2) .......................................... qiboutl ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopla ................................................ Kenya .......................................... Msd.gaecar ................................. W w i .................................................. MaufiUua (3) Mozambiqrn RIunion ................................................ R d ................................................

......................................... ............................... ....................

.....

of ZamMa ................................................. zknbebws .............................................

YDDLE AFRICA Angda ..................................................

c a m e m .............................................

Central urlcan Republk

...........

C M ........................................

......................................

DemcmUc Reprmk oi Um ........ Eguatorlal Guhea ................................. Qabotl .................................................. s(bTOndmdFrhc@ ......................... NORTHERNAFRICA

............................

a .........................

M o m ............................................... SUdM ...................................................

Tunbh .................................................. Weatem Sohara ....................................

swariland ......................................

....................................................

.....

596

43.8 38.5 34.6 39.6 44.1

38.0

United Nations Depaltment of Economic and Social Affairs/Populaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)

Major area, region and countmy

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050

12.7 24.2 37.5 21.9

13.2 24.0 36.5 21.7

13.1 23.2 34.9 20.9

12.4 21.5 32.5 19.2

12.2 20.1 30.4 17.9

12.6 19.3 28.8 17.2

13.3 19.0 27.4 17.0

13.7 18.7 26.0 16.9

13.8 18.2 24.5 16.5

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

27.2

26.6

25.3

23.3

21.9

21.0

20.5

19.9

19.1

Less developed regions, excluding China

37.8

36.6

34.7

32.1

30.0

28.5

27.1

25.8

24.3

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3)......................................... Mozambique......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................. S b Tom4 and Prmcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahlriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ........................... ................... Western Sahara ....................................

24.9 26.9 31.0 27.6 24.3 30.5

24.5 27.0 30.6 27.9 23.8 30.4

24.0 26.1 29.7 27.7 23.4 29.7

22.8 24.1 27.9 25.8 22.3 27.7

21.9 22.5 26.5 23.8 21.5 26.1

21.4 21.7 25.6 22.5 21.0 25.6

20.9 21.5 25.0 22.1 20.5 25.5

20.3 21.1 24.2 21.8 19.9 25.0

19.6 20.1 23.2 21.2 19.2 23.8

SOUTHERNAFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ SouthAfrica ........................................ Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Wrkina Faso ...................................... Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ........................ . ...................... Ghana .................................................. Guinea ...................... ........................ Guinea-Bissau .................................... Liberia ................................................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A.22. Cruck blrth rate by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimator: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1 ,OOOpopulation)

Ma@r rrw, mgkn and county 19S1955 lasS-leeO 1-1985 MpSf

.....................................................

NlgMill ..................................................

.seMgal ................................................ SienaLeOn, ......................................... TOQO.....................................................

A!3lA EASTERN ASIA Chha (5) .............. China, Hmg Kong .................... China. Macao SAR (7)..........................

Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (8)

Afahanitan ........................................... Bangladesh ...........................................

Kazakhslcvl ........................................... Kyrgyzslan ............................................ Mawves ............ Nepal .................................................... Pakbten ............................................... Turkmerdstan........................................ uzbekistan ............................................

(KWTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Da~ssaiam Cambodia .............................................

lndoneeia ..............................................

La0 people's Democratic Republic Malayaia ............................................... Myanmar .... Philippkrej ..

sinoapore ... Thayand

..........

Timor-Leste .......................................... WNam ...............................................

WESTERN Asu

......................... lreq ....................................................... ISrad

....................................................

Jordan ............ Kuwah ................................... Lebanon ............................................... occupied Pakwbrian Tewllory

Oman ...................................................

antar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrlan Arab Reprblic Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

598

1965-1970 1970-197519751980 19801985 1885-1990 1990-19951995-2WO 2ooo-2005

49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0

59.9 48.8 49.6 48.5 50.0

59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3

58.4 47.6 48.5 48.9 48.5

57.6 47.5 47.6 46.0 48.4

57.0 47.6 46.8 45.9 48.5

56.9 48.7 46.1 46.0 47.1

56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2

55.4 46.6 41.5 47.5 43.1

53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3

51.2 42.7 37.6 46.9 39.6

42.6

39.3

39.2

37.7

33.5

29.5

28.5

27.9

25.0

22.2

20.1

40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0

34.1 36.1 36.3 30.3 36.2 17.6 43.4 45.7

35.5 38.0 33.1 31.6 32.8 17.2 43.3 39.1

34.6 36.9 23.5 20.4 36.9 17.8 42.3 33.0

27.7 28.6 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0

21 .o 21.5 17.2 17.1 19.0 15.4 39.2 23.6

20.2 20.9 15.7 24.8 21.6 12.9 37.6 21.1

21 .o 22.3 12.8 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 16.9

17.4 18.2 12.4 16.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9

15.4 16.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.6 21.2 13.5

13.1 13.6 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4

43.9 52.1 48.4 46.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4

43.2 52.2 48.6 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 48.1 43.3 45.8

41.9 52.2 48.6 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.6 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.6 44.9

40.0 52.0 46.4 47.2 38.8 44.6 26.1 31.5 39.8 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5 38.0 38.9

38.5 51.5 43.6 46.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0

37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 36.0 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 .O 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8

36.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.6 35.2 35.8

34.4 51.6 36.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.6 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7 36.0

31.9 52.1 33.6 35.7 30.7 30.6 20.6 28.9 36.6 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.6

28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 16.2 24.2 26.6 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2

25.6 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 16.7 21 .o 22.2 30.2 27.5 16.3 29.4 22.9 23.7

44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7

45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 48.7 45.4 44.2 45.8 41.6 44.2 47.0 45.5

43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 46.8 45.9

41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5

38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9

34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 38.1

32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.6 31.4 35.5 16.7 23.8 44.1 33.9

29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5

26.0 28.2 41 .O 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2

22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.7 21.4

21.3 23.6 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 28.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2

47.1 33.7 40.6 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.6 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.o 46.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8

45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.6 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3

43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 46.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.6

40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.o 19.6 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.6 52.5 50.0 37.0 46.1 47.4 40.2 38.6 55.4

39.1 22.2 26.1 36.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.6 46.6 49.5 31.3 47.6 46.9 37.9 33.0 56.3

37.1 22.6 25.1 34.4 19.0 18.0 42.7 26.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 46.9 34.1 30.5 56.2

35.7 23.6 26.0 32.8 21 .o 18.0 39.8 23.8 42.3 34.6 29.2 44.6 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8

32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.6 22.7 38.8 28.1 26.6 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4

30.2 19.1 26.1 25.8 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.6 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.6

27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 1 1 .a 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.6 22.6 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9

25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.6 21.1 27.9 18.6 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 26.5 28.2 19.5 16.7 39.3

60.8

35.6

39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.6

54.6

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPOpulatlon Division World Populetion Prospmts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country

Niger .................................................... Nigeria ................................................ Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................

ASIA EASTERN ASIA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRALASIA (8) Afghanistan .................... . .................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan ....................... ......................... India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikislan .............................................. Turkmenislan ........................................ Uzbekistan .................. ................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ...................... .................. Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ................. ..... ................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ......................... ....................... ... ............ Georgia ................. ..... Iraq ..................................................... Israel ..................... ...................... Jordan ........................ .. .. .............. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ................... . ......................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ........................ . ....... .............. Qatar ....................... . . . ....................... Saudi Arabia ......................... . ............. Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A22.Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.OOO population)

M4or a m . mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005

EUROPE

21.5

20.8

19.2

16.8

15.7

14.8

14.4

13.7

11.5

10.2

10.2

25.8 22.9 21 .1 19.4 21.1 29.5 30.1 24.9 26.5 27.4 25.4

24.0 24.3 18.7 15.6 17.8 26.2 27.2 22.9 25.1 24.3 23.3

19.4 21.3 16.6 14.6 13.4 24.4 19.6 18.3 21 0 20.5 18.6

15.6 16.8 15.9 14.4 14.4 19.2 16.6 21.9 14.4 18.0 15.4

16.2 16.0 16.2 17.5 15.7 18.5 17.8 19.4 15.3 19.7 15.7

16.6 15.8 15.8 17.5 16.3 19.6 19.4 19.1 15.9 20.6 15.0

16.5 16.7 13.9 13.7 12.6 21.6 19.2 15.8 16.8 16.2 15.2

15.6 15.9 13.0 12.7 12.0 21.4 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 14.6

11.5 12.1 10.2 11.7 11.7 15.9 13.2 11.4 10.9 13.7 11.4

9.3 9.5 8.2 8.7 9.9 12.6 10.6 10.5 8.9 10.8 8.6

9.5 9.3 8.7 9.0 9.5 11.4 9.4 10.0 9.9 9.7 8.4

16.9 14.6 17.9 17.3 22.6 27.9 21.4 16.4 21.6 18.7 15.5 15.9

16.9 14.8 16.8 16.7 19.9 28.3 21 .1 16.5 21.7 18.1 14.5 16.5

18.0 17.6 17.2 15.8 18.1 25.7 21.8 15.6 20.4 17.4 14.7 18.4

17.0 15.8 18.3 14.8 16.0 22.1 21.4 14.1 17.8 17.6 14.8 17.4

14.8 12.9 14.6 15.4 13.1 20.9 22.2 14.4 16.7 15.8 13.6 14.5

13.0 11.4 12.3 15.0 13.7 19.2 21.3 13.9 15.5 12.9 11.7 12.4

13.5 11.4 10.3 15.4 13.4 18.2 21 0 15.1 15.9 12.3 11.3 13.5

.

13.7 12.1 11.3 15.6 12.6 17.4 16.2 15.5 15.9 13.3 12.9 13.7

13.2 12.6 13.0 11.2 12.9 17.4 14.2 11.4 13.5 14.0 13.6 13.2

11.9 11.4 12.6 9.1 11.5 15.5 14.1 8.0 10.6 13.4 10.4 12.2

11.5 10.5 12.0 9.8 11.0 14.4 15.2 8.7 9.0 12.3 10.9 11.6

21.1 39.3 37.1 22.6 19.4 18.3 29.3 16.1 24.1 27.0 22.0 20.3 37.4

20.7 41.5 34.7 19.6 19.3 18.0 26.7 14.9 24.2 22.9 18.7 21.3 33.8

20.6 39.2 31.1 17.6 18.1 16.7 22.6 13.3 24.2 20.3 17.8 21.5 29.1

19.4 34.7 25.1 15.9 18.0 17.9 16.6 11.2 22.4 16.6 17.5 20.4 25.9

17.8 31.4 21.3 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.5 9.9 19.8 18.5 16.7 19.5 22.5

15.8 28.3 19.6 15.6 15.7 13.0 17.9 9.2 18.3 18.4 16.7 17.5 21.6

13.2 26.8 18.2 14.7 13.7 10.7 17.0 8.8 14.9 17.4 14.5 13.3 20.1

11.7 25.4 17.1 13.1 10.7 9.9 15.6 8.2 12.3 16.0 12.8 11.0 18.1

10.7 22.8 12.8 10.7 10.0 9.7 14.2 13.5 11.3 13.7 10.1 9.9 16.4

10.0 19.4 12.0 10.5 9.7 9.2 12.3 13.3 11.2 12.2 9.2 9.3 13.4

10.1 17.2 9.4 9.1 9.4 9.4 10.0 13.2 10.9 12.5 8.9 10.2 12.0

Lwcembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland

17.5 15.0 16.5 19.5 16.0 14.7 22.1 17.3

17.5 16.8 17.0 18.4 16.5 15.8 21.4 17.5

18.2 18.5 17.1 18.1 17.8 16.0 20.8 18.9

16.6 17.0 15.3 17.0 15.9 14.4 19.0 17.7

13.5 13.6 13.6 16.3 11.4 11.7 15.4 14.2

11.9 11.6 12.3 14.0 10.3 11.2 12.7 11.6

12.2 12.1 12.1 14.3 10.8 11.6 12.2 11.5

12.2 11.5 11.9 13.7 11.1 12.0 12.7 11.8

11.4 11.8 12.0 12.8 10.0 13.1 12.9 12.3

10.9 10.3 11.2 12.6 9.5 13.1 12.4 11.2

10.5 9.5 10.8 12.8 8.7 12.0 12.4 9.6

LATIN AhERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

42.6

41.8

41 .0

37.9

35.3

33.0

30.6

27.8

25.3

23.2

21.5

39.0 44.3 38.6 32.8 31.6 52.6 39.8 39.0 45.7 34.8 39.5 41.6 36.2 37.4 49.5 38.2 37.1

37.8 39.1 36.0 31.8 26.4 52.7 45.9 38.7 44.6 39.2 39.3 35.5 33.5 46.1 48.9 38.0 37.5

39.3 33.4 37.8 29.1 35.4 49.8 41 .0 36.8 43.5 39.6 35.6 29.1 31.3 45.3 46.3 38.0 41.5

35.4 26.0 32.4 23.8 31.6 44.8 28.9 32.7 40.7 37.3 31 .1 22.6 28.8 43.2 42.3 28.9 45.6

31.4 22.5 29.3 20.8 26.5 39.7 29.1 28.9 38.2 32.5 25.8 20.4 24.4 37.9 38.2 27.0 41.4

27.5 22.3 27.5 17.7 17.4 35.3 29.8 19.6 40.0 20.8 17.4 21.5 23.8 33.8 32.8 29.3 35.8

26.6 22.3 27.2 17.5 16.5 32.1 32.5 20.2 42.8 26.9 16.6 20.2 20.5 31.1 29.2 28.3 30.9

25.7 20.6 23.6 16.7 17.6 29.7 31.6 19.2 39.1 25.6 18.0 19.3 18.8 25.9 26.8 24.6 24.5

23.6 18.8 23.7 14.9 15.2 28.2 23.4 17.9 35.5 24.8 17.0 19.7 17.5 23.8 23.6 18.1 23.4

21.6 17.7 21.3 13.0 13.1 26.7 21 .1 17.4 32.7 22.9 15.5 16.3 15.3 19.4 20.8 15.0 17.2

20.2 16.2 18.1 11.9 12.0 25.2 18.4 15.7 29.8 21.8 14.3 14.5 13.7 19.1 20.8 14.5 14.6

EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .....................................

HuWV

Mddova Pdand .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............ Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUR Channel Islands Denmalk ........... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland . Ireland .................................................. Lalvia ...................................................

Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ........................ Bosnia and Henegowna ........................ Croatia .................................................

Montenegro .......................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... W R Macedonia (14) WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................

CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican RepuMic .............................. G G Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................

Netherlands Antilles ............................. Puelto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Wgin Islands ...................

600

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant p

Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ........................... Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium .............................................. France .................................................. Germany ..................... ................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ............................................ Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic ............................ Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .................................... ........ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ........................... United Slates Virgin Islands ...................

....

Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

U n i t e d Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population

Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued)

Estimates: 195G2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965~19701970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. M e i c o .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

...................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

.............................................. ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................

NORTHERN AkERICA (18) Canada United States of America

................................................. .......................

AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand

........................................ .........................................

MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

........................................................ ......................................

MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga

.................................. .................................................. ...................................................

a b c d e l 2 3 4

5 6 7

8

More developed regions comprise Europe. Norlhem America. AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin Ameiica and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refew to all of Afrlca except Northem Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfiica. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayone. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997 Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. lulacao became a Special Adminlslratlve Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

.

.

. .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala .......................................... Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ........................................... Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile .................................................... Colombia ............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ........................... ................. Paraguay .............................. .. ........ Peru ..................................................... Suriname ............................................ Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 .........

. .

................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

OCEANIA AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New Zealand ..................................... .. -.

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ..................... Solomon Islands ............................ ....... Vanuatu ................................................

........

MICRONESIA (SO) Guam ............................... . ................ Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa ............................ ............. Tonga .................................................

. . . .

9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen lslands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos lslands 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 2 0 lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb 1123. Crude bMh rate by major area, region and country: estlmates and low varlant, 1950-2050

Eatbnaw 1 ~ 2 0 0 5 Crude birth rate (btrths per 1 ,OOOpopulation) ur(orrW,ngknd-nty

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-19751975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-Moo 2000-2005 WORLD

37.4

35.5

35.1

33.4

30.8

28.3

27.0

27.0

24.7

22.0

21.1

YORe DEVELOPED RE-8 (a) LE88 DCVUOPLD REGIONS @) Le& devebped cantb (c) 0 t h less ~ devekped countriee (d)

22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7

21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8

19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7

17.1 39.8 47.4 38.8

16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6

14.9 32.7 45.0 31 .O

14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9

13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9

12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9

11.2 25.4 38.3 23.2

11.1 23.5 37.0 21.2

44.6

44.3

43.2

41.1

39.3

37.5

36.2

34.0

31.0

28.8

28.9

48.8

48.5

48.1

47.6

47.4

47.0

46.6

45.3

43.7

41.8

40.0

48.9

48.3

48.0

47.0

46.5

45.9

45.1

43.2

40.8

38.8

37.7

50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.8 53.4 51.3 49.0 46.8 48.3

49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.8 53.2 44.7 49.1 41 .O 52.8 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1

49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.8 52.8 51 .O 49.3 49.1 48.6 48.2

49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5

48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 46.1 57.2 26.7 46.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.8

47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 48.0 45.1 45.0

48.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.8 45.0 44.8 50.8 19.8 43.8 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6

44.0 48.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.0 43.8 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.0 42.4 43.9 35.5

42.4 43.8 38.5 34.8 38.0 44.1 38.0 42.3 47.0 17.0 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.8

41.1 44.2

32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5

48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.0 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.0 48.5 47.0

46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5

47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 46.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3

47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5

47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7

47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.8 36.1 43.9

47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 38.7 42.9

47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.8 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0

47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0

47.0 52.5 40.8 41.0 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0

40.1

48.2

48.0 37.9 40.0 47.0 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 36.0

48.0 37.8 37.8 47.4 37.2 48.0 38.8 27.7 34.9

48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0

47.3 50.8 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7

47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5

45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4

43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5

41.6 45.4 39.8 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4

39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3

35.2 34.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4

30.3 28.8 28.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3

28.9 21.0 28.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.0 28.3

25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1

43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9

42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7

41.9 46.4 42.3 41.8 41.6 48.5

38.9 45.0 42.6 41.8 38.2 49.4

38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.0

36.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2

34.9 42.5 40.8 42.0 33.9 46.8

31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8

28.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7

28.2 28.1 34.0 32.7 25.3

24.7

49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.8 48.8 51.8 49.3

49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51 .O 47.3

48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.8 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5

48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.8 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5

48.4 47.5 51.1 38.8 51.0 49.6 45.2 49.6 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4

48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2

48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.0 48.9 49.0 49.8 51.8 41.8

47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4

45.9 40.3 49.0 36.3 42.7 42.7 37.8 45.0 49.9 50.0 51.0 38.0

43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.0 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2

--

LOSE devebped mgiom. e=bding

CMM

(0)

NWCA

EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burwe .................................................

cornon# (2)..........................................

.................................................. Mahrwl .................................................. Mauritius (3) .........................................

........ ................................................

Rwande ................................................

zambis .................................................

.............................................

YDOCEAFRlCA Angd.

..................................................

camemal ............................................. CmlralAMCan chod ..............

........ (3pbon

..................................................

SLoTanBsndMndpe ......................... mwm(ERN AFRCA

Morocco ............................................... !hdml ...................................................

.... .... ....

w e a m Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA

BaIwMa ................... b s d m ...................... Namlbla ...................... South Africa ...........................

......

.....

.....

..............

:

.............................................

-s

-ERN AFRICA (4) Benh .................................................... BurwM Fee0 ........................................ cape V& ............. m e dhroire ...................................... Gambi. ................................................. Ghanr Guinecl G u l n m a u ...................................... ukw)a ..................................................

.................................................. ..................................................

Mall ...................................................... Mauilsnh

604

55.8

35.0 29.8

33.3

36.6 31.4 40.5 40.7 38.1 38.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 18.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.8 28.8

28.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4 42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 48.8 48.8 48.0

35.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/populatkmDMeion World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conpehensive Tab&

Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant --

p

Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)

Major area, region and country

2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (0)

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................ Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon ............................... ............... SLo Tom6 and Principe .........................

..

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cdte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Worm Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Tabk A23 Crude blrth rate by major a m . regkn and country (contkwed)

Estbnaw 195O-Mo5

.

Crude birth rale (births per 1 OOO populetion)

ur(orM.,naknmd-*

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1890-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

N M .................................................... N m .................................................. Senegal ................................................ SienaLeOns ......................................... To@ .....................................................

EASTERN ASIA Chha (5) .............................................. Chha k b g K c q SAR (0) .................... Chiru M.aK, SAR (7) .......................... Dem Paopkta RepuMk of Korea

.. .

..................

..................

........... ................. ..................

Replbli of Koree .................................

s o u l H . C ~ R AAsu l (8) A-tan ...........................................

Emglaawh ........................................... Bhutan ..................................................

.......................................... RspuMlc of) ....................... Kazakh!3ml ........................................... Kyrgyzmen ............................................ ....................................... Nepal .................................................... PakieIen ............................................... Sri Lank .............................................. TdlkiStM ...... .................... Turlunenbtan ........................................ umeklstan ............................................ Cambodlr .............................................

Indoneel8 ..............................................

.........

Leo people’e Democratic Rqwblii Meiayaia ............................................... MyaMnar ........................... phwppines .........................

shoapore .......................... ThayInd

................................................

Tlmor-Lest0 .......................................... VietFhm ...............................................

WESTERN ASlA Annenia ................................................

............................................. ...........

Az-

Bahrein CYP ........... GeorQta .......... Iraq .......................................................

Isnd ....................................................

JofdM .................................................. Kuwait ..................................................

LebaKn ............................................... occupied paleairrhn Territory

OmM ...................................................

Oeter .................................................... Saudi ARbia .........................................

Syrian Arab R W k ............................ Turkey .................................................. united ~ r a Emiratee b ............................ Yemen ..................................................

606

60.8 49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0

59.9 48.0 49.0 48.5 50.0

59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3

58.4 47.0 48.5 48.9 48.5

57.0 47.5 47.6 46.0 48.4

57.0 47.0 46.0 45.9 48.5

58.9 48.7 46.1

42.0

39.3

39.2

37.7

33.5

40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0

34.1 36.1 38.3 30.3 36.2 17.0 43.4 45.7

35.5 38.0 33.1 31.0 32.0 17.2 43.3 39.1

34.0 36.9 23.5 20.4 38.9 17.0 42.3 33.0

43.9 52.1 48.4 46.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 35.0 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4

43.2 52.2 48.0 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 46.1 43.3 45.8

41.9 52.2 48.0 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.0 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.0 44.9

44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7

45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 46.7 45.4 44.2 45.0 41.0 44.2 47.0 45.5

47.1 33.7 40.0 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.8 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.0 48.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8

45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.0 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3 39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.0

47.1

56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2

55.4 46.0 41.5 47.5 43.1

53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3

51.2 42.7 37.0 46.9 39.6

29.5

28.5

27.9

25.0

22.2

20.1

27.7 28.0 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0

21.0 21.5 17.2 17.1 18.0 15.4 39.2 23.0

20.2 20.9 15.7 24.0 21.0 12.9 37.0 21.1

21.0 22.3 12.0 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 10.9

17.4 18.2 12.4 10.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9

15.4 10.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.0 21.2 13.5

13.1 13.0 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4

40.0 52.0 46.4 47.2 38.8 44.0 26.1 31.5 39.0 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5 38.0 38.9

38.5 51.5 43.0 46.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0

37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 .0 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8

36.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.0 35.2 35.8

34.4 51.0 30.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.0 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7 36.0

31.9 52.1 33.6 35.7 30.7 30.0 20.0 28.9 36.0 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.0

28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 10.2 24.2 26.6 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2

25.0 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 10.7 21.0 22.2 30.2 27.5 16.3 29.4 22.9 23.7

43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 40.0 45.9

41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5

38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9

34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 36.1

32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.0 31.4 35.5 10.7 23.8 44.1 33.9

29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5

26.0 28.2 41 0 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2

22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.1 21.4

21.3 23.6 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 20.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2

43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 46.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.0 54.0

40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.0 19.0 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.0 52.5 50.0 37.0 48.1 47.4 40.2 38.0 55.4

39.1 22.2 26.1

37.1 22.0 25.1 34.4 19.0 10.0 42.7

35.7 23.6

32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.0 22.7 38.0 28.1 26.0 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4

30.2 19.1 26.1 25.0 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.0 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.0

27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 11.8 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.6 22.6 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9

25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.0 21.1 27.9 18.0 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 26.5 28.2 19.5 10.7 39.3

36.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.0 48.0 49.5 31.3 47.0 40.9 37.9 33.0 58.3

36.0

26.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 48.9 34.1 30.5 56.2

40.0

26.0 32.8 21.0 18.0 39.0 23.0 42.3 34.6 29.2 44.0 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8

.

United Nations Department of Economicand Social Affeirslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)

Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5)............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................ ..... .......... Republic of Korea ..................................

....................

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives .............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Da~Ssalam................................ Cambodia ................................. ..... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ...............................................

.......

WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ............................ ................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................

..

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Henegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ .. ................... France ......................... Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ............................. ..................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ....................... ................ Saint Lucia .................... ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

..

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 5.9

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll).......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Lalvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy .................... ............................. Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)...........................

. .

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

7.7

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba .................................................. Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table 1123 Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births

per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua Panama ................................................

.............................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Pew Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 .........

..................................................... .............................................. ................................................

.............................................. .....................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand .........................................

........................................

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................

a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5

6 7 8

More developed reglons comprise Europe. Northem America. AustraliaiNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed counlries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries ccmprise of the less developed regions exduding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Afdca. with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Mayone. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. IncludingSaint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SW) of China. As of lJuly 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Reglon (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. Rle regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospectsr The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco Nicaragua Panama

...................................................

.................................................. ............................................. ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazll .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

.....................................................

..............................................

................................................ ...................................... .................................................

.............................................

................................................... .............................................. ................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

OCEANIA AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand

........................................ .........................................

MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

...............................

MCRONESIA (20) Guarn Micronesia (Fed. States of)

................................................. ...................

POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ..................................

Samoa .................................................. Tonga

..................................................

9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.

11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Batbuda. British Vtrgin Islands. Cayrnan Islands. DMninica. Montserrat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Yands. 17 Including Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierreand Mquelon. 19 IncludingChlistrnas Island. Cocos (Keeling) klands, and Norfolk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati, Manhall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa.Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24.

Total fertility by major area.

region and country:

estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005

Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPEDREGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (9) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camemn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................

........

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ............................. . .................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cdte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ............................................... Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, reglon and countmy

2005-2010 20102015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS @) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carnemon ............................................. Central Ahican Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Siio Torn6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan .................................................. Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C8te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .

Total fertility (children per woman) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) Dem People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ..................................

.

..........................

SOU1H-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan Uzbekistan

....................... ...........................................

.............................................. ........................................ ............................................

SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ .................................................. s Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Siena Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRALASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ................................. ........ Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ .-

SOUTKEASTERN ASlA Bmnei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia .................... .. ..................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Lesle .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ ................................................. s Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE B ~ ~ ................................................. N S Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ............................................... United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia ................................................. Greece ............................................... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Amba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ................................ .. ........ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ............................ .......... Haiti ........................... . ........................ Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................... ......... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ......................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ..................

..

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungaty ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).............................. L......... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................... .. ........................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .......................... .................. Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium ............................ . ................. France ................................................ Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................. a . ................ Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ....................... .... ............ Haiti ................................ .................... Jamaica ........................ .. .................. Martinique ............................. .. .......... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Tabk A24. total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

Total fertility (children per women) Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO -2005

CENTRAL AWRICA

6.74 6.65 6.72 6.46 7.00 7.50 6.70 7.20 5.68

6.82 6.55 7.11 6.81 6.60 7.50 6.80 7.50 5.89

6.77 6.45 7.22 6.85 6.50 7.42 6.75 7.10 5.92

6.69 6.35 5.80 6.62 6.30 7.42 6.75 6.95 5.62

6.40 6.25 4.35 6.10 6.20 7.05 6.50 6.79 4.94

5.37 6.20 3.78 5.60 6.20 6.60 5.25 6.35 4.05

4.49 5.40 3.53 4.50 6.10 6.00 4.25 5.85 3.52

3.89 4.70 3.37 3.90 5.70 5.37 3.63 5.00 3.20

3.47 4.35 2.95 3.52 5.45 4.92 3.19 4.50 2.87

2.96 3.85 2.58 3.17 5.00 4.30 2.67 3.60 2.79

2.67 3.35 2.28 2.88 4.60 3.72 2.40 3.00 2.70

5.69 3.15 6.75 Bolivia ............ Brazil .......................... ............._. ...__.____.6.15 Chile ..................................................... 4.95 Colombia .. . 6.76 . ..... 6.70 Ecuador ..__ ......... 5.00 French G U ~ M...................................... 6.68 Guyana .................................................. 6.50 Peru ......._. ...._...... ..................._..........._. 6.85 surinanm .............................................. 6.56 Uruguay .....__. ........................................ 2.73 6.46 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic or).........

5.74 3.13 6.75 6.15 5.49 6.76 6.70 4.92 6.77 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.83 6.46

5.77 3.09 6.63 6.15 5.44 6.76 6.70 5.02 6.15 6.45 6.85 6.56 2.90 6.66

5.23 3.05 6.56 5.38 4.44 6.16 6.50 5.00 6.11 6.15 6.56 5.95 2.80 5.90

4.65 3.15 6.50 4.72 3.63 5.00 6.00 4.18 4.90 5.35 6.00 5.29 3.00 4.94

4.27 3.44 5.80 4.31 2.80 4.34 5.40 3.30 3.94 5.20 5.38 4.20 2.89 4.47

3.79 3.15 5.30 3.80 2.67 3.69 4.70 3.58 3.26 5.20 4.65 3.70 2.57 3.96

3.27 3.05 5.00 3.10 2.65 3.17 4.00 3.73 2.70 4.77 4.10 3.00 2.53 3.85

2.88 2.90 4.80 2.60 2.55 2.93 3.40 4.05 2.55 4.31 3.70 2.60 2.49 3.25

2.65 2.63 4.32 2.45 2.21 2.70 3.10 3.93 2.50 3.68 3.10 2.80 2.30 2.94

2.46 2.35 3.96 2.35 2.00 2.47 2.02 3.88 2.43 3.4 2.70 2.80 2.20 2.72

Belize ....................................................

........................ ...................... . .................................,..,.......

... ...

Panama .................................................

...

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

...

NORTHERN M R I C A (18)

3.46 3.65 3.45

3.72 3.88 3.71

3.35 3.68 3.31

2.55 2.61 2.55

2.01 1.93 2.02

1.78 1.73 1.79

1.81 1.63 1.83

1.a9 1.%2 1.92

1.99 1.69 2.03

1.95 1.56 1.99

1.99 1.52 2.04

OCEANIA

3.87

4.09

3.98

3.57

3.23

2.73

2.59

2.51

2.4

2.42

2.37

AUSTRALIMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ....................... New Zealand ..

3.27 3.18 3.69

3.53 3.41 4.07

3.41 3.27 4.02

2.96 2.87 3.35

2.59 2.54 2.64

2.02 1.99 2.18

1.92 1.91 1.96

1.89 1.86 2.05

1.89 1.88 2.06

1.E1 1.78 1.95

1.79 1.76 1.96

MELANESIA

6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60

6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35

6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00

6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46

5.81 4.20 5.15 6.09 7.24 6.1 1

5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75

5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40

4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04

4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83

4.41 3.19 2.60 4.64 4.91 4.59

4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15

MCRONESIA (20)

6.30 5.53 7.20

6.49 5.83 7.00

6.51 6.03 6.90

6.07 4.72 6.90

5.37 4.12 6.90

4.89 3.52 6.40

4.46 3.08 6.00

4.06 3.14 5.20

3.02 3.10 4.79

3.45 3.00 4.53

3.01 2.74 4.23

POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia

6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30

6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30

6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30

6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50

5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50

4.75 4.23 4.89 5.50

4.53 3.82 4.85 5.50

4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74

3.91 3.05 4.70 4.52

3.56 2.60 4.86 3.96

3.28 2.39 4.42 3.73

Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . t

.

Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................

Sama

..................................................

Tonga ...................................................

a More dmdoped regms mmpr$e Europe. Northem Ammica, AuatralkNew Zealand and Japan b Less dewloped regions unnpnse 811 m ~ m n d b Africa, h u a l (exdUdlnQJapan), Latm America and Me Canmean plus Melanesia. MimWd and Pdynesla c Least developed muntdm are 50 muntrles. 34 in Afrlca. 10 in Ash.5 In Ocean$ plus me country in Lath h s d c n and the Cartbbssn d Other less developed countnm canpr$e d the lass developed regms excludlnp me least M o p a d a n t d o s a Sub-SaharanA f h refen, to all d AMca ercept Northem Afrkn, (tre Sudan hduded in sub-SahsrsnAmca 1 IndudhgSeychsilg, 2 IndudngMBydIa 3 lndudhg Agalega. Rodiigum. and San1 Brandon 4 lndudmg s e h l Helena,Ascanabn. and Tmen da Cunha 5 For statistical purposes. Me data faChna do not mdude Har~ K ~ and Q Mscao. special Mrnnntrathre Fwgions (SAR) d China 6 As d 1 July 1997. k n g Kmg became a speaal Mrnlnstrathre i?qbn (SAR)cd China 7 As of 20 December 1999. Macao beceme a Special AdminlslralwaRegion (SAR) of Chine 8 The regbns Sournem Asla and Central Asia am m i n e d klto SoumGenlral k i n

618

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables

Table k24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)

MJor area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

CENTRAL AMERICA

................................................. ............................................ ........................................... ............................................ ..............................................

Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

Argentina ............................................. Bolivia ............. Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. Peru .................................................... Suriname .............................................. Umguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

................................... .

.....................................................

.............................................. ................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18)

................................................. .......................

Canada United States of America

AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................

MELANESIA

Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon lslands Vanuatu

............................... ................................... ................................................

MICRONESIA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ...................

POLYNESIA (21)

French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ......................... ....

..................

9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.

10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.

13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding hechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Angullla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Montsenat, Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands.

17 lncluding Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 20 Including Kiribali, Marshall lslands, N~uN,Norlhern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 Including American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvatu. Wallis and Fuluna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A25 Total fertility by major aree. region and country: estimates and hlgh varlant, 1950-2050

Eathnates 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)

U*-.

n g h .ndcounty 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 198519W 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2ooo-2005

WORLD

5.02

4.96

4.98

4.90

4.47

3.92

3.58

3.38

3.05

2.80

2.85

MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQKmS (b) Least devekped countries (c) Othecksa developed countries (d)

2.84 6.15 6.67 6.09

2.82 6.01 6.70 5.92

2.69 6.04 6.76 5.94

2.37 6.00 6.73 5.90

2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25

1.91 4.65 6.39 4.42

1 .85 4.15 6.28 3.87

1.83 3.84 6.00 3.55

1.68 3.42 5.68 3.1 1

1.55 3.11 5.29 2.80

1.58 2.90 4.85 2.59

6.13

6.20

6.18

5.97

5.66

5.24

4.86

4.45

4.05

3.63

3.34

6.73

6.76

6.79

6.79

6.79

6.75

6.66

6.44

6.12

5.n

5.48

6.75

6.82

6.87

6.80

6.72

6.61

6.45

6.13

5.68

5.28

4.98

6.97 6.80 6.33 7.80 6.97 7.10 7.51 6.80 6.78 6.27 6.80 5.65 7.80 7.25 6.90 6.74 6.75 6.80

6.97 6.80 6.60 7.80 6.97 6.90 7.82 6.80 6.84 5.97 6.80 5.85 8.00 7.25 6.95 6.80 6.90 7.00

7.03 6.80 6.91 7.80 6.82 6.86 8.12 6.80 7.00 5.72 6.80 5.65 8.10 7.25 7.05 6.80 7.15 7.30

7.03 6.80 7.05 7.60 6.70 6.82 8.12 6.80 7.20 4.24 6.60 4.82 8.20 7.25 7.12 6.79 7.40 7.40

7.01 6.80 7.05 7.20 6.52 6.80 8.00 6.70 7.40 3.25 6.58 3.93 8.29 7.25 7.10 6.75 7.43 7.40

6.97 6.80 7.05 6.80 6.50 6.80 7.60 6.60 7.60 3.06 6.53 3.28 8.49 7.25 7.10 6.73 7.38 7.30

6.85 6.80 7.05 6.60 6.50 6.84 7.20 6.40 7.49 2.45 6.44 2.90 8.50 7.20 7.10 6.55 6.95 6.74

6.62 6.80 6.50 6.40 6.31 6.82 8.50 6.30 7.16 2.17 6.33 2.54 8.25 7.00 7.10 6.36 6.66 5.66

6.24 6.80 5.80 5.85 6.18 6.77 5.40 6.12 6.76 2.29 6.12 2.43 6.90 6.60 7.06 5.90 6.28 4.77

5.90 6.80 5.40 5.11 5.93 6.34 5.00 5.80 6.44 2.05 5.85 2.34 6.10 6.75 6.95 5.66 6.00 4.05

5.80 6.80 4.88 4.52 5.53 5.78 5.00 5.28 6.03 1.91 5.52 2.46 8.01 6.43 6.75 5.66 5.65 3.58

SBO TOme and Rhcipe .........................

6.04 7.00 5.68 5.52 6.10 5.68 6.00 5.50 4.00 6.20

6.13 7.20 5.68 5.60 6.20 5.79 6.10 5.50 4.00 6.20

6.27 7.40 5.90 5.66 6.30 5.99 6.20 5.53 4.25 6.30

6.37 7.40 6.10 5.69 6.40 6.19 6.30 5.66 4.50 6.40

6.48 7.20 6.30 5.72 6.60 6.29 6.45 5.68 5.00 6.52

6.60 7.20 6.40 5.89 6.74 6.29 6.60 5.68 5.00 6.50

6.63 7.20 6.40 5.69 6.75 5.99 6.70 5.79 5.00 6.24

8.56 7.20 6.10 5.69 6.70 5.55 6.70 5.89 5.00 5.66

6.46 7.10 5.70 5.80 6.65 5.21 6.70 5.89 4.50 5.16

6.29 6.90 5.10 5.30 6.62 4.87 6.70 5.87 3.83 4.80

6.21 6.75 4.92 4.86 6.54 4.78 8.70 5.64 3.39 4.34

m n m AFRICA &@a ..... Egypl ....... ..................... LibyanArab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ........... Tunisia ................................................. Westem Sahara ....................................

6.82 7.28 6.56 6.87 7.18 6.65 6.93 6.60

7.00 7.28 6.97 6.97 7.18 6.65 7.04 6.60

7.06 7.38 7.07 7.18 7.15 6.60 7.25 6.60

6.83 7.38 6.56 7.48 7.09 6.60 6.89 6.60

6.46 7.38 5.86 7.59 6.89 6.60 6.21 6.60

6.12 7.18 5.61 7.38 5.90 6.52 5.69 6.10

5.74 6.49 5.33 7.18 5.40 6.34 4.92 5.60

5.04 5.29 4.83 5.65 4.45 6.08 4.14 4.90

4.20 4.13 3.91 4.10 3.66 5.81 3.13 4.16

3.58 2.89 3.50 3.41 2.97 5.41 2.32 3.53

3.16 2.53 3.17

W H E R N AFRICA BotswaM LlYBmm ...................................

6.46 6.50 5.84 6.00 6.50 6.70

6.46 6.58 5.86 6.10 6.50 6.70

6.29 6.65 5.81 6.20 6.30 6.75

5.77 6.70 5.80 6.30 5.70 6.85

5.57 6.55 5.80 6.60 5.47 6.87

5.14 6.37 5.69 6.60 5.00 6.73

4.72 5.97 5.46 6.45 4.56 6.54

4.05 5.11 5.14 6.17 3.85 6.13

3.52 4.32 4.70 5.90 3.34 5.30

3.10 3.70 4.37 4.40 2.95 4.49

2.90 3.18 3.79 3.58 2.00 3.91

6.86 6.80 6.50 6.60 7.00 6.23 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.45 7.11 6.58

6.89 6.88 6.50 6.90 7.1 1 6.44 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.65 7.11 6.58

6.93 6.96 6.72 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 5.99 6.80 7.11 6.58

6.99 7.02 7.33 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 6.50 6.90 7.35 6.58

7.03 7.06 7.75 7.00 7.41 6.65 6.70 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.58

7.03 7.10 7.75 6.75 7.41 6.61 6.65 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.40

7.01 7.14 7.68 6.45 7.41 6.47 6.50 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.19

6.85 6.90 7.44 5.90 6.90 6.18 6.09 6.84 7.10 6.90 7.47 5.97

6.57 6.63 7.16 5.00 6.28 5.88 5.46 6.50 7.10 6.90 7.38 5.67

6.17 6.25 6.77 4.10 5.62 5.53 4.82 6.16 7.10 6.80 7.22 5.26

5.77 5.87 8.38 3.n

.

Less devekped wbns exduding

CMna

Sub-Slhmn A f r l u (0) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1)

&rNd .................................................

Comorcs (2) .............. Djibani ................................................. E m .................................................. EtMopie ................................................ Kenya ................................................... M d a g m x r ..........................................

Mab+ ..................................................

Mauritius (3) Mozambique......................................... R(kmion ................................................

Awande ................................................ Sanalh ...................

UQanda ................................................. Unlted Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia .................................................

YDDLE AFRCA AnQda ..................................................

cameroon .............................................

Centred Atrlcan Replbllc ........................ Chad ....................................................

..................................................

........ oabon .................................................. Democrnlii Republic ot the Cocgo Equalotlal Guinea .................................

............

NamiMa ................................................ SoUlhAfrica ......................................... swadhnd .......

WESTERN AFRCA (4) Benh .................................................... &irkha Faeo ........................... cape verde .......................... C61e dlvoire ......................................... Gamin ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea-BiSmU ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... M a u m ............................................

620

3.03 2.52 4.82 2.04 3.01

5.08

5.16 4.39 5.84 7.10 8.80 6.70 4.83

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revis n. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Total fertilfty by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion .............................................. Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .................. ...................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S o Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic a n d Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A25 .Total fertility by major area. mgkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)

MIJoram, wkn -d-m

1950-1955 1955-1900 19801965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1980 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005

Niger .................................................... Nberia .................................................. SermQd ................................................ sierra Leone ......................................... T q p ..................................................... ASlA

EASTERN M A C h b (5) .....................

.......................... ....................... Aepublk of Korecr ......................

China. Mac80 SAR (7) puMlc of Korea ...........

SOUTHCENTRAL A m (8)

Afghaniistan ...........................................

Baqwesh ........................................... Bhutan ..................................................

............................... Kazakhstan ........................................... KyrOyratan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal ............................ witan ............................................... Sri Lanka ..............................................

.......................... ....................

Tajiklslan Turkmenlstan Uzbeklstan ........................

SOUTH-EASTLRNASIA B W Datuwalam Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 Peopb'o Dsmocratk R q n W c .........

................................

Myanmar .............................................. Philipplnea, ............................................

viet Nam

...............................................

WESTERN ASU

.........................

Behrain .................................................

Israel .................................................... Jorden .................................................. Kuwalt

.................................................. ............................................... ............... ........................................... ........................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Replbllc ............................ Turkoy .................................................. Yemen .................................................. LebarKm

622

0.12 6.90 0.70 0.09 0.80

0.12 0.90 0.90 0.19 0.88

0.12 6.90 7.00 6.29 0.90

0.12 6.90 7.00 6.40 7.02

0.12 6.90 7.00 0.50 7.08

0.12 0.90 7.00 0.50 7.10

0.10 6.90 7.00 0.50 0.90

7.90 6.83 6.80 6.50 6.59

7.02 0.04 0.27 0.50 6.20

7.89 6.25 5.69 6.50 5.80

7.45 5.85 5.22 0.50 5.37

5.07

5.03

5.05

5.67

5.04

4.19

3.07

3.40

2.97

2.67

2.47

5.07 6.22 4.44 5.03 2.70 2.75 6.00 5.40

5.09 5.59 4.72 4.90 3.60 2.08 0.00 0.33

5.15 5.72 5.31 5.10 3.41 2.02 6.00

5.03

5.42 0.06 4.02 3.00 4.09 2.00 733 4.71

4.46 4.60 2.89 3.20 3.72 2.07 7.33 4.20

3.12 3.32 2.32 2.00 2.58 1.01 0.05 2.92

2.47 2.55 1.60 2.50 2.93 1.76 5.74 2.23

2.36 2.40 1.31 2.05 2.45 1.68 4.83 1.80

1.88 1.92 1.29 1.55 2.35 1.49 3.37 1.70

1.74 1.70 1.08 1.12 2.09 1.39 2.38 1.51

1.68 1.70 94 .84 1.92 1.29 2.07 1.24

6.08 7.70 6.70 6.67 5.91 7.00 4.41 4.51 7.00 0.08 0.80 5.70 0.00 0.00 5.97

0.08 7.70 6.76 6.07 5.90 7.00 4.50 4.03 7.00

5.01 7.70 6.60 0.07 5.01 0.80 3.67 5.01 7.00 5.92 6.60 4.05 6.72 6.34 0.60

5.50 7.70 6.15 0.07 5.26 0.40 3.46 4.73 7.00 5.79

0.83 6.19 6.30

5.16 7.70 5.80 6.07 4.89 6.50 3.06 4.05 7.00 5.05 0.80 3.68 5.90 5.32 5.58

4.03 7.80 5.25 0.42 4.50 6.03 2.90 4.10 6.80 5.51 0.60 3.10 5.54 4.79 4.73

4.49 7.90 4.63 6.20 4.15 5.02 3.03 4.02 0.80 5.27 6.60 2.05 5.41 4.55 4.40

4.10 0.00 4.12 5.39 3.60 4.33 2.55 3.01 5.55 5.00 5.80 2.48 4.88 4.03 3.88

3.57 0.00 3.50 4.19 3.40 2.53 2.00 2.99 3.85 4.37 4.90 2.22 4.29 3.03 3.01

3.19 7.48 3.22 2.91 3.11 2.12 2.01 2.50 2.01

6.20 0.02 6.50

6.02 7.70 0.85 0.67 5.02 7.00 4.43 5.39 7.00 0.08 0.80 5.12 6.30 0.75 6.80

5.98 7.00 0.29 5.49 6.42 6.83 6.00 7.29 6.40 0.40

6.15 7.00 6.29 5.67 6.42 0.94 0.00 7.13 5.99 0.40 6.35 6.55

6.19 0.72 6.29 5.62 0.42 0.72 0.10 0.85 4.93 6.39 0.37 7.25

6.03 5.94 0.22 5.57 0.42 5.94 0.10 0.50 3.40 5.90 6.10 7.25

5.58 5.40 5.54 5.30 6.42 5.15 5.90 6.00 2.02 4.90 6.15 6.70

4.64 4.40 4.70 4.73 6.42 4.16 4.90 5.50 1.07 3.70 4.31 5.89

4.10 3.80 6.80 4.11 0.41 4.24 4.30 4.95 1.69 2.85 5.39 4.50

3.61 3.37 0.00 3.40 6.40 4.00 3.00 4.55 1.71 2.27 5.21 4.02

3.12 3.09 5.55 2.90 5.88 3.47 3.10 4.14 1.76 2.00 5.69 3.30

2.71 2.70 4.45 2.55 4.70 3.10 2.05 3.72 1.57 1.90 7.01 2.50

2.51 2.50 3.04 2.38 3.59 2.07 2.25 3.54 1.35 1.83 0.90 2.32

6.36 4.49 5.41 6.97 3.50 2.91 7.30 3.69 7.38 7.21 5.72 7.38 7.20 0.97 7.10 7.45 0.80 0.97 0.30

6.27 4.45 5.04 7.10 3.44 2.98 7.25 3.85 0.00 7.31 5.09 0.00 7.20 6.97 7.26 7.60 6.19 6.07 0.40

5.98 3.45 4.94 0.97 2.80 2.01 7.20 3.79 0.00 7.41 5.34 0.00 7.20 6.97 7.26 7.80 5.70 6.77 0.55

5.75 3.04 4.29 5.95 2.49 2.80 7.15 3.77 7.79 0.90 4.70 7.73 7.20 0.77 7.30 7.52 5.30 0.38 0.70

5.38 2.50 3.02 5.23 2.29 2.39 6.60 3.41 7.30 5.89 4.31 7.39 7.20 6.11 7.28 7.47 4.72 5.68 8.70

5.03 2.38 3.04 4.03 2.45 2.27 0.35 3.13 6.77 4.07 3.90 7.00 7.20 5.45 7.02 7.10 4.15 5.23 0.70

4.52 2.58 2.95 4.08 2.43 2.20 6.15 3.05 5.07 3.94 3.31 0.43 0.80 4.70 0.22 6.24 3.20 4.83 0.40

4.09 2.38 2.90 3.38 2.36 1.95 5.70 2.93 5.14 3.20 3.00 0.40 6.30 4.10 5.45 4.60 2.90 3.88 7.70

3.04 1.75 2.20 2.76 1.92 1.58 5.37 2.94 4.32 2.61 2.70 6.03 5.10 3.38 4.62 4.02 2.57 3.07 0.73

3.22 1.35 1.67 2.51 1.03 1.46 4.88 2.91 3.53 2.30 2.32 5.83 3.70 2.93 3.01 3.48 2.23 2.52 6.02

0.44

5.75 6.48 4.49 5.49 6.97 3.71 3.00 7.30 4.16 7.38 7.21 5.74 7.38 7.20 8.97 7.10 7.30 0.80

0.97 0.20

0.06 6.80 5.70

6.80 4.12

.

3.88 3.99 2.02 3.01 2.70 2.74

United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division W W Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vohrme I: Comprehensive Tab&

Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... T q o ................... ..............................

..

ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh .............................. ........ Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives .............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................

..

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Da~ssalam............................ .. Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia.............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ............................................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ............................... .... ............ Cypnrs .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel ...................... ........................ Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................... ...... ...... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia .................................... Syrian Arab Republic ................... ..... Turkey .......................... .................... United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

..

.

Tabk A25 Total fertility by major area. reglon and country (contlnued)

~

Total fertility (children per m a n )

Major uw,regkn and country 19952ooo 200&2005

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1-1995 EUROPE

2.66

2.66

2.58

2.36

2.16

1.97

1.89

1.83

1.57

1.40

1.41

2.91 2.61 2.48 2.89 2.73 3.50 3.62 2.87 2.85 3.52 2.81

2.79 2.73 2.27 2.35 2.21 3.44 3.29 2.62 2.62 3.27 2.70

2.43 2.69 2.18 2.22 1.82 3.15 2.65 2.04 2.55 2.89 2.20

2.15 2.38 2.15 1.93 1.98 2.66 2.27 2.96 2.02 2.50 2.04

2.15 2.25 2.17 2.19 2.09 2.56 2.25 2.62 2.03 2.51 2.16

2.07 2.09 2.17 2.31 2.12 2.44 2.26 2.53 1.94 2.47 2.00

2.09 2.09 2.01 2.00 1.81 2.55 2.33 2.25 2.04 2.28 2.02

2.10 2.05 1.92 1.92 1.82 2.64 2.15 2.28 2.12 2.15 2.03

1.63 1.68 1.48 1.65 1.73 2.1 1 1.89 1.50 1.55 1.87 1 64

1 28 1.24 1.28 1.18 1.30 1.50 1.25

.

1 .a 1.31 1.19 1.17 1.38 1.70 1.48 1.35 1.25 1.40 1 .23

2.32 2.08 2.55 2.08 3.00 3.70 3.38 2.00 2.71 2.60 2.21 2.18

2.52 2.22 2.55 1.99 2.n 4.02 3.68 1.95 2.66 2.84 2.23 2.49

2.73 2.56 2.59 1.94 2.66 3.94 3.98 1.85 2.40 2.90 2.32 2.81

2.47 2:36 2.27 2.02 2.19 3.15 3.87 1.81 2.27 2.72 2.16 2.52

2.08 1.86 1.97 2.15 1.62 2.84 3.82 2.00 2.32 2.25 1 .89 2.04

1.81 1.52 1.88 2.06 1.66 2.29 3.48 2.00 2.12 1.81 1.66 1.72

1.81 1.44 1 .43 2.09 1.69 2.25 2.88 2.00 2.03 1.69 1.65 1.80

1.84 1.45 1.54 2.20 1.66 2.12 2.29 2.09 2.09 1.80 1.91 1.81

1.81 1.48 1.75 1.63 1.82 2.19 1.97 1.63 1.81 1.89 2.01 1.78

1.88 1.40 1.76 1.33 1.74 2.08 1.90 1.17 1.47 1.85 1.58 1.70

1 .69 1.41 1.76 1.39 1.75

1.97 1.25 1 .28 1.80 1.67 1.70

2.65 5.80 4.82 2.76 2.29 2.32 4.14 3.22 3.04 3.22 2.80 2.57 5.32

2.65 5.98 4.28 2.42 2.27 2.35 3.74 2.75 3.03 2.75 2.39 2.75 4.53

2.71 5.76 3.81 2.27 2.20 2.50 3.10 2.57 3.07 2.57 2.32 2.89 3.95

2.67 5.11 3.17 2.09 2.38 2.49 2.17 2.43 2.85 2.43 2.32 2.92 3.42

2.54 4.66 2.63 1.96 2.32 2.33 2.07 2.36 2.75 2.36 2.19 2.66 2.96

2.24 4.20 2.24 2.02 2.32 1.89 2.02 2.37 2.41 2.37 2.20 2.57 2.72

1.83 3.40 1.99 1.96 1.96 1.53 1.96 2.32 1.98 2.32 1.88 1.89 2.33

1.58 3.08 1.90 1.84 1.53 1.35 2.02 2.23 1.59 2.23 1.66 1.48 1.99

1.41 2.78 1.53 1.52 1.37 1.28 2.02 1.81 1.52 1.96 1.36 1.27 1.92

1.32 2.48 1.54 1.54 1.30 1.21 1.85 1.84 1.48 1.74 1.25 1.18 1.74

1.38 2.25 1.28 1.35 1.28 1.29 1.48 1.83 1.45 1.75 1.23 1.29 1.58

...

2.39 2.09 2.34 2.73 2.16 1.98 3.08 2.28

2.49 2.52 2.50 2.71 2.30 2.23 3.10 2.34

2.67 2.78 2.64 2.85 2.49 2.40 3.17 2.51

2.46 2.53 2.39 2.61 2.32 2.19 2.80 2.27

1.93 2.02 2.02 2.31 1.64 1.72 2.06 1.82

1.65 1.64 1.71 1.86 1.52 1.49 1.60 1.53

1.61 1.62 1.80 1.87 1.46 1.47 1.52 1.53

1.57 1.45 1.56 1.81 1.43 1.47 1.58 1.53

1.50 1.47 1.61 1.71 1.31 1 .66 1.58 1.54

1.52 1.39 1.80 1.76 1.34 1.72 1.80 1.47

1.58 1.38 1.64 1.88 1.35 1.87 1.73 1.42

L A M M I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN

5.88

5.93

5.97

5.54

5.04

4.48

3.92

3.41

3.03

2.73

2.52

Jamaica ................................................ Maftiniqun ............................................. Netherhnds Milkm ....... Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucii ............................................ Saint Vincent and the

5.27 5.65 4.05 4.67 4.15 7.80 5.80 5.61 6.30 4.22 5.71 5.65 4.97 6.00 7.33

united state0 vl@n I s m ...................

5.57

5.20 5.15 4.31 4.67 3.70 7.84 6.70 5.61 6.30 5.08 5.71 5.15 4.62 6.94 7.33 5.30 5.57

5.49 4.40 4.50 4.26 4.68 7.35 6.40 5.61 8.30 5.64 5.45 4.40 4.37 6.79 7.02 4.99 5.50

5.01 3.30 3.79 3.45 4.30 6.65 4.80 5.22 6.00 5.78 5.00 3.30 3.41 6.48 6.41 3.79 5.37

4.40 2.65 3.44 2.74 3.60 5.71 4.80 4.49 5.60 5.00 4.08 2.65 2.99 5.69 5.54 3.45 4.90

3.84 2.45 3.22 2.19 2.15 4.76 4.30 3.06 5.80 4.00 2.65 2.45 2.76 5.20 4.42 3.40 4.34

3.37 2.36 3.16 1.92 1.85 4.00 4.23 2.55 6.21 3.55 2.14 2.36 2.46 4.20 3.64 3.22 3.70

3.09 2.30 2.62 1.75 1 .85 3.47 4.14 2.45 5.70 3.10 2.14 2.30 2.26 3.65 3.21 2.80 3.09

2.83 2.28 2.60 1.80 1 .65 3.20 3.26 2.10 5.15 2.84 1 .m 2.28 2.18 2.99 2.82 2.10 3.09

2.88 2.21 2.40 1 .50 1.61 3.05 2.81 2.10 4.62 2.67 1 .90 2.12 1 2.38 2.40 1.73 2.41

2.58 2.12 2.11 1.50 1.63 2.95 2.43 2.08 4.00 2.83 1.98 2.08 1.84 2.24 2.30 1.61 2.23

E M E R N EUROPE Belarus .................................................

BUlQaria ................................................ Czech ReprMlc ..................................... Hungary Moldovs ......... ........... mand .................................................. Romanla ............................................... Russlan Federalbn ...............................

.........

...........

................................................ Lknine .................................................

s(0Vaki

NORTHERN EUROPE (0) Channel IslanC (10) Denmark .......................... Estonia ................................................. Finland ( 1 1 ) .......................................... Iceland .................................................

........

Ird%nd ..................................................

Lalvia ................................................... S W n ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

SOUTHERN E U R W (13)

Albania ..........

....................

cmatla ................................................. Greece ....... ......................... Italy ............ .........................

......................... .......................................... ................................................

Malta .......... Multe#3gro

slovenia ................................................ Spah .................................................... WESTERN EUROPE (16) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ Luxsmbourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... smtzerland .............................

CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. 0arbadw .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ................ Quadelwp

...........

m .......................

624

5.30

.w

.

1 .a 1.30 1.22 1.15

1.w

United Nations Department of Economic and sodat Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Hlgh varlant Total fertility (children per woman)

M Jor area, region and country 20052010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-20452045-2050 2.26

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

.

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ............................................... Finland (11)............................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

. ........

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................ Bosnia and Hetzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

2.36

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

fable A.25. Total fertlllty by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per m a n ) Major a m , mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1870 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1835 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 CENTRAL W R I C A Belie ............ .................................. ...... Costa Rica .............................................

6.74 6.65 6.72 6.46 7.00 7.50 6.70 7.20 5.66

6.82 6.55 7.11 6.61 6.60 7.50 6.60 7.50 5.89

6.77 6.45 7.22 6.85 6.50 7.42 6.75 7.10 5.92

6.69 6.35 5.00 6.62 6.30 7.42 6.75 6.95 5.62

6.40 6.25 4.35 6.10 6.20 7.05 6.50 6.78 4.94

5.37 6.20 3.76 5.60 6.20 6.60 5.25 6.35 4.05

4.48 5.40 3.53 4.50 6.10 6.00 4.25 5.85 3.52

3.69 4.70 3.37 3.90 5.70 5.37 3.63 5.00 3.20

3.47 4.35 2.95 3.52 5.45 4.92 3.19 4.50 2.87

2.68 3.85 2.58 3.17 5.00 4.30 2.67 3.60 2.79

2.67

5.74 3.13 6.75 6.15 5.49 6.76 6.70 4.92 6.77 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.83 6.46

5.77 3.09 0.63 6.15 5.44 6.76 6.70 5.02 6.15 6.45 6.85 8.56 2.90 6.68

5.23 3.05 6.56 5.38 4.44 6.18 6.50 5.00 6.11 6.15 6.56 5.95 2.80 5.90

4.65 3.15 6.50 4.72 3.63 5.00 6.00 4.18 4.90 5.35 6.00 5.29 3.00 4.94

4.27 3.44 5.80 4.31 2.80 4.34 5.40 3.30 3.94 5.20 5.38 4.20 2.89 4.47

3.78 3.15 5.30 3.80 2.67 3.69 4.70 3.58 3.26 5.20 4.65 3.70 2.57 3.96

3.27 3.05 5.00 3.10 2.65 3.17 4.00 3.73 2.70 4.77 4.10 3.00 2.53 3.65

2.88 2.90 4.80 2.60 2.55 2.93 3.40 4.05 2.55 4.31 3.70 2.60 2.48 3.25

2.65 2.63 4.32 2.45 2.21 2.70 3.10 3.93 2.50

2.46 2.35

Bolivia Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Cdom Ecuad French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay ...... b N ..................................................... Surirwne .................... ................. ......... Uruguay .................................... ............ Venezuela ( W i r i a n Republic of)

5.69 3.15 6.75 6.15 4.95 6.76 6.70 5.00 6.66 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.73 6.46

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

3.46 3.65 3.45

3.72 3.71

3.35 3.68 3.31

2.55 2.61 2.55

2.01 1.ge 2.02

1.78 1.73 1.79

1.81 1.63 1.83

1.89 1.62 1.92

OCEANIA

3.61

4.09

3.98

3.57

3.23

2.73

2.59

AUSTRAUNNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) .......................................... New Zealarmi

3.27 3.18 3.69

3.53 3.41 4.07

3.41 3.27 4.02

2.96 2.87 3.35

2.59 2.54 2.64

2.02 1.99 2.18

MELANESIA Fiji .......................... New Caledwri ...... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ....................................... .........

6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60

6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35

6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00

6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46

5.81 4.20 5.15 6.08 7.24 6.11

YCRONESIA (20)

6.30 5.53 7.20

6.49 5.83 7.00

6.51 6.03 6.90

6.07 4.72 6.90

POLYNESIA (21)

6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30

6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30

6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30

6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50

Panama .................................................

SOUTH M I C A (17)

Argentina .......................................

..

..

.......

Samoa ......... ..................... ................ Tonga ....................................................

a b c d e 1 2

3 4 5 6

7 8

3.88

3.35 2.28 2.88 4.80 3.72 2.40 3.00 2.70

3.90 2.35 2.00 2.47 2.82

3.88 2.43

3.88

3.48

3.10 200 2.30 2.94

2.70 2.60 2.20 2.72

1.89 1 2.03

1.E 1.56 1.99

1.m 1.52 2.04

2.51

2.46

2.42

2.37

1.92 1.81 1.96

1.89 1.86 2.05

1.89 1.88 2.08

1.81 1.78 1.95

1.79 1.70 1.96

5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75

5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40

4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04

4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83

4.41 3.19 2.60 4.64 4.91 4.59

4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15

5.37 4.12 6.90

4.69 3.52 6.40

4.46 3.08 6.00

4.06 3.14 5.20

3.82 3.10 4.79

3.45 3.00 4.53

3.01 2.74 4.23

5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50

4.75 4.23 4.69 5.50

4.53 3.62 4.85 5.50

4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74

3.81 3.05 4.70 4.52

3.58 2.60 4.66 3.96

3.28

.a

2.39 4.42 3.73

More dedqmd regums a m p m Eumpe, Northem &mh.AuatraliyWw 2nd Japan Less dewloped r-ms m m p b AI regims d At-, A& (exdudhg Japan). Lpth America md the Cusbefm plus Mdaeer klaoneeiaand polynesta LeastdevelopedrmnMBB are SOaunMBB, 34 h Africa, 10 h Asla 5 In Ocaanla plus memuntry tn Lath knericamdthe Culbbem Other less dwelqmd rmnMes amprlae d the less dsveloped regbms eadudhg the least developed munSubSaharan Afrlcs refen, to all d Africa -1 Nolmm AMca wllh the Sudan h d u d d h subSaharan Afrlea lncludlng Seychelles IndudngMaptte lndudng &almRodrigurn. and San1 Brandon lndudng Saint HBlena Ascensbn. and Tr$tan da Cunha Fw statislical purposes, the data for China do not hdude Hong K ~ and Q h k m . spedar Wmnarative Regbns (SM) d Chhk As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong b m e a S p a MmmkdatratnsRqron (SAR) ol Chma As dZO oecamber 1999, MacaobeaMe aSpedal Mrnlnmtram P q k n (m) dChna me regans Southem h a md Central A& are m i n e d nto south-central ~ u a

626

United Nations DeparbTlent of Eax~xnicand Soda1 Affairslpopulation D i v i s i i WorM Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehmive Tab&

Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area, mgion and country

CENTRAL AMRICA

............................

Belize .. ................. Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. MeGco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama

................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

.................................................

.............................................. ..................................................... ............................................ ................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18)

Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

OCEANIA AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand

.........................................

Fiji ........................................................

New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ...............................

Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

UCRONESIA (20)

.........................

Guam ........................ Micronesia (Fed. States of)

...................

POLYNESIA (21)

French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga .................................................

9 10 11 12

13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncluding &and Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein. and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands. Domin~ca.Montserrat. Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caiccs Islands lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Samt Pierre and Miquelon. lncludlng Christmas Island. Coeos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands. Nauru. Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau. Tuvalu. Wallls and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertllity by m J o ra m , reglon and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 Edimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per m a n )

Major a m , mglon and county 1950-1955 19551980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005 WORLD

5.02

4.86

4.98

4.90

4.47

3.92

3.58

3.38

3.05

2.80

2.65

MORE DEVELOPED REQWNS ( I ) LE88 DEVELOPED RECUONS @) Least developed countries (c) other Isss developed countties (d)

2.84 6.15 6.67 6.09

2.82 6.01 6.70 5.92

2.69 6.04 6.76 5.94

2.37 6.00 6.73 5.90

2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25

1.91 4.65 6.39 4.42

1.85 4.15 6.28 3.87

1.83 3.84 6.00 3.55

1 .88 3.42 5.68 3.11

1.55 3.11 5.29 2.80

1.56 2.90 4.95 2.59

Less developed regkm. e d u d i China

6.13

6.20

6.16

5.97

5.66

5.24

4.86

4.45

4.05

3.63

3.34

sub-saharml Ama (0)

6.73

6.76

6.79

6.79

6.79

6.75

6.86

6.44

6.12

5.77

5.48

6.75

6.82

6.87

6.80

6.72

6.61

6.45

6.13

5.68

5.28

4.98

6.97 6.80 6.33 7.80 6.97 7.10 7.51 6.80 6.78 6.27 6.60 5.65 7.80 7.25 6.90 6.74 6.75 6.80

6.97 6.80 6.60 7.80 6.97 6.90 7.82 6.80 6.84 5.97 6.60 5.85 8.00 7.25 6.95 6.80 6.90 7.00

7.03 6.80 6.91 7.80 6.82 6.86 8.12 6.80 7.00 5.72 6.60 5.65 8.10 7.25 7.05 6.80 7.15 7.30

7.03 6.80 7.05 7.60 6.70 6.82 8.12 6.80 7.20 4.24 6.60 4.82 8.20 7.25 7.12 6.79 7.40 7.40

7.01 6.80 7.05 7.20 6.52 6.80 8.00 6.70 7.40 3.25 6.58 3.93 6.29 7.25 7.10 6.75 7.43 7.40

6.97 6.80 7.05 6.80 6.50 6.80 7.60 6.60 7.60 3.06 6.53 3.28 8.49 7.25 7.10 6.73 7.38 7.30

6.85 6.80 7.05 6.60 6.50 6.84 7.20 6.40 7.49 2.45 6.44 2.90 8.50 7.20 7.10 6.55 6.95 6.74

6.62 6.80 6.50 6.40 6.31 6.82 8.50 6.30 7.16 2.17 6.33 2.54 8.25 7.00 7.10 6.36 6.66 5.66

6.24 6.80 5.80 5.85 6.16 6.77 5.40 6.12 6.76 2.29 6.12 2.43 6.90 6.60 7.06 5.90 6.28 4.77

5.90 6.80 5.40 5.11 5.93 6.34 5.00 5.80 6.44 2.05 5.85 2.34 6.10 6.75 6.95 5.66 6.00 4.05

5.80 6.80 4.89 4.52 5.53 5.78 5.00 5.28 6.03 1.91 5.52 2.46 6.01 6.43 6.75 5.66 5.65 3.56

6.04 7.00 5.68 5.52 6.10 5.68 6.00 5.50 4.00 6.20

6.13 7.20 5.68 5.60 6.20 5.79 6.10 5.50 4.00 6.20

6.27 7.40 5.90 5.66 6.30 5.99 6.20 5.53 4.25 6.30

6.37 7.40 6.10 5.69 6.40 6.19 6.30 5.68 4.50 6.40

6.48 7.20 6.30 5.72 6.60 6.29 6.45 5.68 5.00 6.52

6.60 7.20 6.40 6.74 6.29 6.60 5.68 5.00 6.50

6.63 7.20 6.40 5.69 6.75 5.99 6.70 5.79 5.00 6.24

6.56 7.20 6.10 5.69 6.70 5.55 6.70 5.89 5.00 5.66

6.46 7.10 5.70 5.60 6.65 5.21 6.70 5.89 4.50 5.16

6.29 6.90 5.10 5.30 6.62 4.87 6.70 5.87 3.83 4.80

6.21 6.75 4.92 4.96 6.54 4.78 6.70 5.64 3.38 4.34

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria . . . ................. . . ................ Egypt ............................ ..... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya .... Momcro . ...................... .................. Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara

6.82 7.28 6.56 6.87 7.16 6.65 6.93 6.60

7.00 7.28 6.97 6.97 7.16 6.65 7.04 6.60

7.06 7.38 7.07 7.18 7.15 6.60 7.25 6.60

6.83 7.38 6.56 7.48 7.09 6.60 6.89 6.60

6.46 7.38 5.86 7.59 6.89 6.60 6.21 6.60

6.12 7.18 5.61 7.38 5.90 6.52 5.69 6.10

5.74 6.49 5.33 7.16 5.40 6.34 4.92 5.60

5.04 5.29 4.83 5.65 4.45 6.08 4.14 4.90

4.20 4.13 3.91 4.10 3.68 5.61 3.13 4.16

3.56 2.89 3.50 3.41 2.97 5.41 2.32 3.53

3.16 2.53 3.17 3.03 2.52 4.82 2.04 3.01

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ..................

6.46 6.50 5.84 6.00 6.W 6.70

6.46 6.58 5.86 6.10 6.50 6.70

6.29 6.65 5.61 6.20 6.30 6.75

5.77 6.70 5.80 6.30 5.70 6.85

5.57 6.55 5.80 6.60 5.47 8.87

5.14 6.37 5.69 6.60 5.00 6.73

4.72 5.97 5.46 6.45 4.56 6.54

4.05 5.11 5.14 6.17 3.85 6.13

3.52 4.32 4.70 5.40 3.34 5.30

3.10 3.70 4.37 4.40 2.95 4.49

2.90 3.18 3.78 3.58 2.80 3.91

6.86 6.80 6.50 6.60 7.00 6.23 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.45 7.11 6.58

6.89 6.88 6.50 6.90 7.1 1 6.44 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.65 7.11 6.58

6.93 6.86 6.72 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 5.99 6.80 7.11 6.58

6.99 7.02 7.33 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 6.50 6.90 7.35 6.58

7.03 7.06 7.75 7.00 7.41 6.65 6.70 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.58

7.03 7.10 7.75 6.75 7.41 6.61 6.65 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.40

7.01 7.14 7.68 6.45 7.41 6.47 6.50 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.19

6.85 6.90 7.44 5.90 6.90 6.18 6.09 6.84 7.10 6.90 7.47 5.97

8.57 6.83 7.16 5.00 6.28 5.88 5.46 6.50 7.10 6.90 7.38 5.67

6.17 6.25 6.77 4.10 5.62 5.53 4.82 6.18 7.10 6.80 7.22 5.26

5.77 5.87 6.38 3.77 5.08 5.16 4.38 5.84 7.10 6.80 6.70 4.83

AFRICA

EASTERN AFRICA (1)

....................

.....................

................................................. Malawi ................. ................. ................ Mauritius (3) .......................................... Morambique .........................................

............................................... .........................

.

ic of Tanzania ...

Zimbabwe ................................... YDDLE AFRICA Angola ......................

..........

............................ ........................

Democratic RepuMic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ....... SBoTda

....

. .... ... . .....

.

............................

Swaziland ........................

.....................

WESTERN AFRICA (4)

.

.... .

.... ...................... .. ...... Cape Verde ........................................... Guinea ................................................... Mali ...................................................... Mauritania ....,,..... ... .. .......,........ .

. .... .

628

. .....

W

5.89

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairslpopulation Division d Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-201520152020 2020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rbunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ S l o Tomb and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin ............................... ................. Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .................................... ...... Cbte d'lvoire .................... ................. Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................... ..................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ..................... ............. Liberia .................... .......................... Mali .................................................... Mauritania ....................... ...............

..

..

. . .

..

. . .

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued)

Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ SierraLeone ......................................... Togo ................................................. ASIA

8.12 6.90 6.70 6.09 6.80

8.12 6.90 6.90 6.19 6.88

8.12 6.90 7.00 6.29 6.96

8.12 6.90 7.00 6.40 7.02

8.12 6.90 7.00 6.50 7.06

8.12 6.90 7.00 6.50 7.10

8.10 6.90 7.00 6.50 6.90

7.96 6.83 6.80 6.50 6.59

5.87

5.63

5.65

5.67

5.04

4.19

3.67

3.40

EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan .......................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................

...............................................

SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste .......................... ............ Viet Nam ...............................................

..

WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ........................... .................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon .............................................. Occupied Palestinian Temtoly ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................... . ............................. Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region a n d country

Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................... .. .......... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 00 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................. Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ..................... ...... ............ Indonesia ..................... ..................... Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia .......................... ............... Myanrnar ..................... . . .................... Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ......................................... Viet Nam ............................. . ...............

..

..

WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ ........ Azerbaijan ............................... . . Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ...................................................... Israel ................................................... Jordan ........................ . . ..................... Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon .............................................. Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................. . ............... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ................................... ...... Syrian Arab Republic ........................... Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertiliff (children per woman)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ...................... ........................ Romania ........................... . . . . ......... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

..

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12)......................... ....... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

.....

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .................... ... ................ Portugal ............................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................. Spain ................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Nethetlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ...................... .................... Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ................... ...................... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States V~rginIslands ...................

..

United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertilii by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (1 1) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania .................... ....................... Norway (12) ......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

..

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Greece ............................................... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Eelglum ......................... . . .. ........... France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ............................... ....... Switzerland ........................... ............. 2.12

1.83

1.62

1.54

1.47

1.42

1.39

1.37

1.36

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ............................. .. ........... Barbados .............................................. Cuba ................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada Guadeloupe Haiti .......................... .................. Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

............................................... ..........................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children

per woman)

Major area. region and c o u n t r y 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005

CENTRAL AMERICA

Belize ................................................... Costa Rica .......................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama ................................................

........................................... .............................................. .................................................. .............................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

.............................................. ................................................... .................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ......................................

Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana ................................................. Paraguay ............................................ Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarlan Republic of) .........

NORTHERN AMERICA (18)

3.46 3.65 3.45

3.72 3.88 3.71

3.35 3.68 3.31

2.55 2.61 2.55

2.01 1.98 2.02

1.78 1.73 1.79

1.81 1.63 1.83

1.89 1.62 1.92

1.99 1.69 2.03

1.95 1.56 1.99

1.99 1.52 2.04

AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND

3.27 3.18 3.69

3.53 3.41 4.07

3.41 3.27 4.02

2.96 2.87 3.35

2.59 2.54 2.84

2.02 1.99 2.18

1.92 1.91 1.96

1.89 1.86 2.05

1.89 1.86 2.06

1.81 1.78 1.95

1.79 1.76 1.96

MELANESIA

6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60

6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35

6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00

6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46

5.81 4.20 5.15 6.09 7.24 6.11

5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75

5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40

4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04

4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83

4.41 3.19 4.64 4.91 4.59

4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15

6.30 5.53 7.20

6.49 5.83 7.00

6.51 6.03 6.90

6.07 4.72 6.90

5.37 4.12 6.90

4.89 3.52 6.40

4.46 3.08 6.00

4.06 3.14 5.20

3.82 3.10 4.79

3.45 3.00 4.53

3.01 2.74 4.23

6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30

6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30

6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30

6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50

5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50

4.75 4.23 4.89 5.50

4.53 3.82 4.85 5.50

4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74

3.91 3.05 4.70 4.52

3.56 2.60 4.66 3.96

3.28 2.39 4.42 3.73

Canada ................................................. UnitedStatesofAmerica .......................

Australia(19) ........................................ NewZealand .........................................

Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomonlslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................. ....... .

MICRONESIA (PO) Guam ................................................. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................

POLYNESIA (21)

French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................

a b c d e

1 2 3 4 5 8 7 8

2.80

.

More developed reghms cumprlse Europe. Northem America AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asii (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed reglons excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refersto all d Africa except Norlhem Africa. w l h the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica . lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayone. Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena Ascension. and Trislan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

.

.

.

.

United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman)

Major area. region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ............................ ................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico ................................................ .-............ Nicaragua .............................. Panama ................................................

..

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ........................... ............... Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .......................... ........................ Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

..

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

...............................

MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ........................... .. Samoa ................................................. Tonga ................................. .................

lncluding Faeroe Islands. and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. lnclud~nghand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra Gibraltar. Holy SW. and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 IncludingLiechtenstein.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla Antigua and Babuda. British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands Dominica Montserrat. Saint Kitts and Nevis. and Turks and Caicos Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda Greenland. and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands. and NorfolkIsland. 20 lncluding Kiribati. Matshall Islands Nauru. Northem Mariana Islands. and Palau. 21 Including American Samoa. h k Islands. Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau. Tuvalu. Wall~sandFutuna Islands. 9 10 11 12 13 14

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19959000 2000-2005

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China

Sub-SaharanAfrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ............................................... Eritrea ................................................... Ethimpia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia .............................................. Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ........................................... MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S2o Tom6 and hincipe ......................... NORTHERNAFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic'andSocial AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 8.6

8.5

8.4

8.5

8.6

8.9

9.3

9.6

10.4 8.3 12.3 7.6

10.6 8.1 11.3 7.5

10.8 8.0 10.4 7.5

11.0 8.0 9.7 7.6

11.3 8.1 9.1 7.9

11.8 8.4 8.7 8.3

12.2 8.7 8.3 8.8

12.6 9.1 8.1 9.4

8.6

8.3

8.0

7.8

7.8

7.9

8.1

8.4

13.2

12.3

11.3

10.5

9.8

9.4

9.0

8.7

10.0 WORLD 12.8 MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) 9.5 LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) 8.0 Least developed countries (c) 10.0 Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding 8.7 China

8.5

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Bumndi ................................................. Comoms (2).......................................... D j i i u t i ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ............................................... United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ........................................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo T o d and Principe .........................

........

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Esypl .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ....................................

16.9 14.1 19.2 12.4 17.0 21.2

17.0 14.1 18.0 13.0 17.1 21.5

16.0 13.2 17.5 12.7 16.1 20.3

15.3 12.4 17.0 12.5 15.4 19.7

14.8 11.8 16.3 12.1 14.9 18.4

14.5 11.5 15.8 12.0 14.7 17.5

14.2 10.9 15.2 12.0 14.3 16.7

13.7 10.3 14.7 11.9 13.8 15.9

13.1 9.9 14.1 11.8 13.3 14.9

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ........................................... Lesotho ............................................... Namibia ................................................ SouthAfrica .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C61e dlwire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau........................ ....... Liberia ................................................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A27 Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria Senegal ................................................ Siena Leone Togo .....................................................

.................................................. .........................................

ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (5) China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Japan Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................

.

...............................................

........... ...................................................

SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India Iran (Islamic Republic 00 Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyulan ............................................ Maldives ...............................................

..................................................... .......................

Nepal ....................................................

Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................... .

..............................................

.......

SOUTH-EASTERN A I A Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ........................ ...................... Georgia ................................................ Iraq ............................. Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PaleslinianTemiiory ..................... Omen ...................... Qatar .......................... ...................... Saudi Arabia ....................................... Syrian Arab Republic Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

. ....................

. . . ..

...............

............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldiies ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ............................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan .............................. .......... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ..................... .. ............................ Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................... ............................ Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued)

Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. -Ion

and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ................................................ Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .................... ....... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

..

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................ Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia .................................................. Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................... ......................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ........................................ Switzerland ......................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Amba ..................... ........................ Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................ ............... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................ .......... NetherlandsAntilles .......................... Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................ . ............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

. .

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)

2005-2050:Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 11.8

12.0

12.2

12.3

12.6

13.0

13.5

13.9

14.2

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedon~a(14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

6.0

6.1

6.2

6.5

6.8

7.3

7.9

8.5

9.2

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbadas ............................................ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................. ............. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martin~que............................................ Netherlands Antitles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United Stales Virgin Islands ...................

..

Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 2WO-2005

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ~ a n a m a................................................

............................................

.............................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

..................................................... .............................................. ................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18)

9.4 8.7 9.5

9.3 8.1 9.4

9.3 7.7 9.4

9.3 7.5 9.5

9.0 7.3 9.2

8.5 7.0 8.6

8.7 6.9 8.9

8.7 7.0 8.9

8.7 7.1 8.9

8.2 7.2 8.3

8.2 7.2 8.3

9.4 9.4 9.3

8.9 8.8 9.1

8.7 8.7 8.9

8.8 8.9 8.7

8.5 8.5 8.4

7.8 7.7 8.2

7.5 7.3 8.1

7.4 7.3 8.2

7.1 7.0 7.6

7.1 7.0 7.4

6.9 6.8 7.1

26.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3

23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5

20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8

17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5

15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6

14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4

10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3

10.5 6.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7

9.8 6.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1

9.4 6.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 6.7

9.2 6.4 5.2 9.9 7.9 5.7

14.0 8.9 14.2

12.4 7.7 12.5

10.9 6.4 10.9

9.6 5.6 9.6

8.3 4.6 8.8

7.7 4.1 7.8

7.0 3.8 7.2

6.4 3.9 6.7

6.1 4.7 6.4

5.5 4.7 6.3

5.3 5.1 6.3

14.6 16.3 17.7 8.7

12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8

10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9

9.2 9.8 11.0 6.1

8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5

7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6

6.7 6.1 7.6 5.8

6.1 5.5 6.8 5.9

5.9 5.0 6.9 5.9

5.5 4.8 6.2 5.7

5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7

Canada ................................................. United States of America

.......................

AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand

.........................................

MELANESIA

..................................................... ......................................

Fiji New Caledonia PapuaNewGuinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu

...........................................

MlCRONESlA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed . States of) ...................

POLYNESIA (21)

French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................

a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

.

More developed regions comprise Europe Nonhem America. AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed cuuntries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one cwntty in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-SaharanAfrica refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Maydte. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tiistan da Cunha. For statistical purpwes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern As~aand Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.

.

.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama

........................................... ............................................ .............................................. .................................................. ............................................. ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Mina Brazil Chile Colornbla Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay

.............................................. .................................................. .................................................... .....................................................

.............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................. .............................................. Pew ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

.........

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada United States of America .......................

.................................................

AUSTRALIPJNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand

........................................ ......................................... ......................................

New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu

............................... ...................................

................................................

MTCRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 01) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga

.................................. .................................................. ...................................................

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 18 17 18 19 20 21

lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic d Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstem, and Monam. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayrnan Islands. Dominica. Montserrat, Saint Kiis and Nevis, and Turks and C a m Islands. lncluding Falkland islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Mquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocw (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Nolthem Mariana Islands, and Palau. Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tckelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and high variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China

Sub-Saharan Africa (9) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) ......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cbte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia ............................ .. ................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania ............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major a m , region and country

WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (a) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................... . ........................... Comros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. WDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cate d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2MM-2005 Niger ............................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal .............................................. SierraLeone ........................................ Togo ................................................... ASIA

27.7 27.7 27.1 34.0 27.3

26.9 26.3 25.7 32.7 24.7

26.2 24.7 24.0 31.6 22.0

25.7 23.1 22.2 30.4 19.4

25.4 21.6 20.3 28.5 17.1

25.0 20.2 18.0 27.1 15.0

24.3 19.3 15.6 25.7 13.2

23.1 18.4 13.4 24.8 12.1

21.1 17.8 11.8 26.3 11.2

18.3 17.4 10.6 24.5 10.7

15.6 17.5 9.8 23.5 10.8

23.7

20.6

17.7

13.9

10.9

10.0

9.6

8.9

8.3

7.7

7.5

EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka ....................... ..................... Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ...................... ..... ............. Singapore ........................... . . . ............ Thailand ................................................ Timr-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................ . .................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia .................... .. ...................... l raq ....................................................... Israel ................... ...... ....................... Jordan ................................................ Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ........................... ..... ........... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar ........................... ..................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5).............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6).................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal ............................ ...................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkrnenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ............................................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ...................................................... Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ...................... ............... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

..

United Nations Depaitment of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comp~ehensiveTables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)

Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

EUROPE

10.6

10.0

9.8

9.8

10.1

10.4

10.8

10.6

11.2

11.5

11.6

9.8

8.7

7.8

7.1

6.6

6.1

6.0

EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ............................... .............. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................. Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................

..

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ....................... ...................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ....................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

15.5

13.7

12.3

11.0

CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas ............................................ Barbados .......................... ............ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ..................... .. .. .............. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ................... ........ ................... Jamaica ....................... ... ................ Martinique ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ..................... . .................. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United Stales Virgin Islands ...................

. . .

.. ..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffiIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) Major area, region and country

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland ( l l ) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

fable A28. Cnrde death rate by major area, regkn and country (continued)

Esthates: 1950-2005 Cnrde death rate (deaths per 1,OOOpopulation) Major a m , ragion and county 1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1885 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005

CENTRAL M R I C A Belize ................................................... Costa Rka ............................. El Salvador Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Me& Nkarag mama ................................................

17.6 12.6 13.5 19.9 22.3 24.4 16.6 22.7 13.3

14.7 11.0 11.9 17.4 20.2 21.6 13.6 19.9 11.1

12.6 9.6 10.2 14.8 18.0 18.3 11.5 16.8 9.8

11.2 8.3 8.2 12.5 15.8 16.1 10.4 14.4 8.6

9.8 7.3 6.8 11.1 13.5 13.8 9.1 12.6 7.5

8.2 6.5 5.6 11.4 12.2 11.4 7.4 11.3 6.3

7.1 5.7 4.7 11.1 10.9 9.4 6.4 10.1 5.7

6.2 5.2 4.4 8.0 9.4 7.5 5.7 8.4 5.4

5.6 4.9 4.1 6.8 8.1 6.7 5.2 6.5 5.3

5.0 4.1 3.8 6.0 6.9 6.1 4.7

5.5 5.0

4.9 3.8 3.9 5.9 8.0 6.0 4.7 5.0 5.0

SOUTH AMERICA (17)

Venezuela (Bdivarian RepuMk of)

14.9 9.1 24.4 15.4 13.6 16.3 19.4 15.6 17.7 8.8 21.6 12.6 10.5 12.3

13.5 8.6 23.1 14.0 13.3 13.2 17.0 14.1 15.9 8.5 19.7 11.4 10.1 10.6

12.2 8.8 21.6 12.6 12.2 11.4 14.6 12.0 13.7 7.9 17.6 10.3 9.6 9.3

11.0 9.1 20.3 11.1 10.3 10.0 13.1 9.0 11.6 7.6 15.6 8.8 9.8 7.7

9.8 9.0 19.0 9.9 8.8 6.8 11.5 7.8 10.3 7.0 12.8 7.5 10.1 6.5

8.9 8.9 16.0 9.1 7.4 7.7 9.8 7.2 9.2 6.9 10.9 7.3 10.1 5.8

8.0 8.5 13.3 8.3 6.4 6.6 8.1 6.1 9.1 6.9 9.1 7.2 9.9 5.5

7.3 8.5 11.4 7.4 5.9 6.3 6.7 5.2 8.7 6.6 7.8 6.8 10.0 5.0

6.8 8.2 10.0 6.8 5.5 6.3 5.9 4.5 8.7 6.3 7.0 6.4 9.8 4.9

8.3 7.7 8.9 6.4 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.9 9.1 5.9 6.4 6.5 9.2 4.8

6.2 7.7 8.2 6.3 5.0 5.8 5.0 3.7 9.1 5.6 6.2 6.8 9.3 5.0

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. U n h d States of America .......................

9.4 8.7 9.5

9.3 8.1 9.4

9.3 7.7 9.4

9.3 7.5 9.5

9.0 7.3 9.2

8.5 7.0 8.6

8.7 6.9 8.9

8.7 7.0 8.9

8.7 7.1 8.9

8.2 7.2 8.3

8.2 7.2 8.3

12.6

11.4

10.7

10.3

9.8

9.1

8.0

8.0

7.6

7.5

7.3

AUSTRALWNEW ZENAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand

9.4 9.4 9.3

8.9 8.8 9.1

8.7 8.7 8.9

8.8 8.9 8.7

8.5 8.5 8.4

7.8 7.7 8.2

7.5 7.3 8.1

7.4 7.3 8.2

7.1 7.0 7.6

7.1 7.0 7.4

6.9 8.8 7.1

WXANESIA Fiji ........................................................ NewCaledonia

28.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3

23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5

20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8

17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5

15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6

14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4

10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3

10.5 6.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7

9.8 8.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1

9.4 6.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 6.7

9.2 8.4 5.2

14.0 8.9 14.2

12.4 7.7 12.5

10.9 6.4 10.9

9.6 5.6 9.6

8.3 4.6 8.8

7.7 4.1 7.8

7.0 3.8 7.2

6.4 3.9 8.7

6.1 4.7 6.4

5.5 4.7 6.3

5.3 5.1 6.3

14.6 16.3 17.7 8.7

12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8

10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9

9.2 9.8 11.0 8.1

8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5

7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6

8.7 6.1 7.6 5.8

6.1 5.5 6.8 5.9

5.9 5.0 8.9 5.9

5.5 4.8 8.2 5.7

5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7

Brazil .................................................... Chile .....................................................

Guyana ................................................

pecu ..................................................... suriname .............................................. unqliay ................................................

OCEANIA

Solomon Island8 ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ YCRONESlA (20)

................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa .................................................. Tmga ...................................................

9.9 7.9 5.7

a hbm developed m g h s canprise Eumpe. Nalhem knerlca,A u s l n J i Zealand and Japan. b Less developed mgbns m p r $ e (111 regions d AMca Asia (edudhg J W ) . Lath America and the carbbean PIUS Melmeam, Mcmnesls and P0)ynSsla c Laast dsvsloped countriesare 50countries. 34 h Afha. 10 h Asla. 5 h Ocaenlaplusmecountfy h Lath knerlcaand t h e c d h m . d Omer less 6mmlqmd countriescanplise d the leaa dewloped m g h s exdudhg the least developed countries e Sub-S.harm AMca reters to .I1 Or AMca e m p t Nofthem AMca. rrim the Sudan indudad h sub-Saharan Nrlca. 1 IndudhgSmycMles 2 IndudngMayone 3 lndudhg Agaleg4 Rodripuea,and saht Bremkf~ 4 lndudhg saint Helens Ascanabn. and Tr$tan da Cunha 5 For aatwiccll purpoeee. the data for Chha do not indude Hong Kong and Mma. spectal Mmhtstrathrs Regions (W)d Chha 6 As Or 1 July 1897, Hong Kong beame a speaal MmhlstrathsRepbn (SAR)d Chtna 7 AsOrol20l~,Macmbarnea~MmhamathsRegbn(W)dChha 8 The regms Sarthem Asia and Central Asla am CanMned into SoUthGartral Asla.

650

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affairdpopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ........................................... Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ............................................ Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ............................ .... ................. Chile ..................................................... Colombia ............................................. Ecuador .............................................. French Guiana ................... ... ............. Guyana ......................... ..... ........... Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. UNguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................ United States of America .......................

AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................. Vanuatu ............................................... MICRONESIA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ........................... ........................

9 10 ll 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncludlng h a n d Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein. and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda. British Virgin Islands, Caymen Islands, Dwninica, Montsenat, Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Plerre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding Amencan Samoa, Cook Islands. Nlue. Pilca~m.Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

t a b k A29. Crude death rate by major area, mgkn and country: estimates and k w variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1,OOO population)

Major a m , mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 19W1965 1965-1970 197G1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1890 1890-1995 1995-2oOo 2000-2005

WORLD

19.6

17.5

15.6

13.2

11.3

10.6

10.3

9.6

9.3

8.9

8.8

UORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LE88 DEVELOPEO REGIONS (b) Leas1devekpedC0ultries (C) other less developed counMes (d)

10.3 23.9 28.5 23.3

9.7 20.9 26.0 20.2

9.4 18.2 23.9 17.4

9.3 14.7 21.8 13.8

9.5 12.0 20.0 10.9

9.5 11.0 18.8 10.0

9.7 10.5 17.1 9.6

9.6 9.6 15.8 8.8

10.0 9.1 15.2 8.2

10.1 8.8 14.2 7.7

10.2 8.4 13.3 7.8

23.4

21.o

18.7

18.5

14.6

12.9

11.6

10.5

9.8

9.2

9.0

26.6

24.7

22.8

21.1

19.4

18.1

17.0

16.0

15.8

15.7

15.7

26.2

24.0

22.2

20.4

18.7

17.2

15.9

14.7

14.3

14.0

14.0

26.9 25.1 23.5 28.3 28.0 30.4 23.6 27.3 30.9 15.7 32.8 13.3 24.0 31.8 24.5 22.4 21.8 17.5

24.5 23.6 22.0 25.7 25.7 27.2 21.6 25.3 29.1 10.6 11.9 22.9 29.7 22.0 21.o 20.2 16.3

22.2 22.0 20.5 23.8 23.6 23.9 18.8 23.3 27.5 9.1 27.5 10.3 21.6 27.4 19.5 20.1 18.8 15.0

20.4 20.6 18.9 21.6 21.7 22.0 16.5 21.4 25.5 7.8 25.8 8.7 20.7 25.5 17.4 18.9 17.7 13.8

18.8 20.2 16.7 19.4 19.7 20.8 14.4 19.8 23.5 7.0 23.5 7.0 20.3 23.7 15.3 17.5 16.0 12.7

17.7 18.8 15.1 17.4 18.9 20.0 12.5 18.2 23.3 6.3 21.7 6.3 20.1 22.9 15.8 15.8 15.0 11.4

18.9 18.1 13.7 15.7 20.5 19.7 10.7 16.6 20.8 6.5 21.4 6.0 19.3 21.2 18.2 15.3 14.5 9.8

15.9 17.8 11.8 14.9 17.3 18.3 10.0 16.3 18.7 6.1 21.0 5.5 20.4 19.7 15.0 14.5 14.9 8.2

18.2 19.7 9.9 13.7 14.3 17.2 9.4 14.3 17.1 6.7 19.8 5.3 41.9 23.5 18.0 14.8 17.5 8.7

15.9 18.2 8.5 12.3 11.8 15.8 11.4 12.5 17.2 8.7 18.0 5.1 24.1 20.3 17.7 15.4 21.3 15.3

15.4 16.7 7.4 12.0 10.6 14.4 13.2 11.0 17.5 6.8 19.2 5.1 18.4 18.5 15.5 14.8 21.7 20.5

27.3 35.9 24.9 29.1 27.0 21.9 25.4 30.4 27.7 26.7

25.4 33.5 23.3 27.1 25.3 19.6 23.6 28.7 25.9 24.1

23.6 31.1 21.6 24.9 23.5 17.2 22.2 26.9 24.8 18.5

21.8 28.7 20.1 23.0 21.9 14.9 20.6 25.3 21.8 15.0

20.1 26.4 18.6 21.4 20.6 13.0 19.0 23.9 19.2 12.1

18.7 25.0 16.9 19.0 19.4 12.5 17.7 22.6 16.3 11.3

18.0 24.7 14.5 17.7 17.7 11.8 17.8 21.3 13.8 11.0

17.6 24.7 13.0 16.1 18.5 10.9 17.9 19.7 11.5 10.8

18.0 23.8 13.1 18.8 15.8 11.1 19.0 18.3 10.4 9.4

19.1 22.8 13.8 18.0 15.7 12.6 21.1 17.5 10.2 8.@

18.4 22.1 15.0 19.4 18.0 12.7 19.3 18.4 11.7 8.2

24.4 23.9 24.0 22.5 25.7 25.2 22.6 28.1

21.8 21.2 21.0 19.9 22.7 24.2 20.3 26.2

20.3 19.4 20.4 18.3 19.6 23.0 17.9 24.6

18.3 17.4 18.3 16.8 17.4 21.3 15.5 22.5

16.2 15.4 16.0 14.8 15.7 19.5 12.3 20.0

14.2 13.4 14.5 12.7 13.0 17.3 10.0 17.3

12.0 9.9 12.8 10.9 10.7 15.4 8.0 14.8

9.8 7.3 10.2 5.3 8.7 14.4 6.9 11.2

8.3 8.1 8.0 4.5 7.2 13.1 8.0 9.1

7.2 5.4 8.8 4.0 8.4 11.9 5.5 7.8

6.7 5.0 5.9 4.1 8.0 11.2 5.5 8.5

20.5 19.2 22.8 22.9 20.3 22.9

18.3 17.6 20.4 19.9 18.1 21.o

16.8 15.7 18.3 17.4 16.7 19.7

14.9 14.0 17.8 15.4 14.8 18.6

13.3 11.9 16.9 13.8 13.1 16.4

11.8 9.9 15.1 12.1 11.7 14.2

10.2 8.5 13.2 10.6 10.0 12.1

8.7 7.1 11.8 9.5 8.5 10.6

8.3 7.2 10.3 8.5 8.2 9.7

9.4 12.1 11.9 9.4 9.2 11.2

13.8 18.3 17.7 12.9 13.5 17.2

27.8 31.7 31.3 18.6 24.2 34.0 20.5 33.4 31.O 25.7 31.O 23.2

26.3 29.1 28.8 17.0 22.6 32.8 19.2 31.7 29.7 24.8 29.8 21.9

24.6 25.5 26.6 15.0 20.5 31.5 18.1 29.7 29.0 23.8 20.1 20.1

22.9 22.7 24.8 12.5 18.4 29.2 17.0 27.8 28.7 22.8 26.9 18.3

21.4 20.4 22.8 11.7 16.8 26.3 15.8 26.1 28.4 21.8 25.9 16.8

19.8 18.1 20.6 10.0 15.1 22.8 14.6 24.2 27.3 20.8 24.3 15.1

18.7 17.0 18.9 10.9 14.1 19.2 13.3 22.3 25.4 19.8 22.5 13.4

17.5 15.4 17.8 9.3 13.2 16.3 11.9 20.0 23.7 18.8 20.7 11.9

18.7 13.9 17.1 7.5 14.0 14.1 10.7 17.4 21.9 23.0 19.3 10.7

18.0 12.8 18.4 8.1 15.7 12.3 10.0 152 20.4 212 18.1 9.8

15.8 12.8 15.7 5.3 18.5 11.2 10.0 13.5 19.5 19.8 18.4 8.7

Less developed mgi0t-e. exduding

CMna Sub-Sahrran Africa (0) AFRICA

EASTERN AFRICA (1) Djibani .................................................

Madagascar .......................................... M a W ...................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunbn ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia

&pnda

..............................................

Unhd RepuMic of Tanzania ..................

zamwa ................................................. Zimbabwe YDDLE AFRICA An@a ..................................................

cameroa, ............................................. Central African Replblc

c m .................................................... .......................................... Democratic RepuMic d the Cowp Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SA0 TOme and Prhcipe .........................

NORTMERN AFRICA

........................ ....................... Tunisia .................................................. Weslem Sahara .................................... SOIITMERN AFRICA Botswana Lesotho ............................................. Namibia ................................................

south Ahica ....

swezilar!d ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ..

cape vefde .......................................... CMe dlvoire .........................................

Ghana ....................... Guinea-Bissau ......................................

u r n .................................................. Mauritania .............................................

652

30.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulaHon Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Reviskm, Volume I: C m e h w k e Tables

Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)

2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

8.6

8.5

8.5

8.7

9.0

9.5

10.0

10.7

11.4

WORLD

10.4 8.2 12.1 7.5

10.7 8.0 11.1 7.5

11.1 8.0 10.3 7.6

11.5 8.2 9.7 7.8

12.0 8.4 9.2 8.3

12.7 8.9 8.9 8.9

13.4 9.5 8.7 9.6

14.1 10.1 8.6 10.5

14.7 10.8 8.6 11.4

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (L) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

8.6

8.2

8.0

8.0

8.1

8.4

8.8

9.3

9.9

Less developed regions, excluding China

14.6

13.3

12.2

11.3

10.6

10.0

9.6

9.2

9.1

Sub-Saharan Atrlca (a)

13.1

12.1

11.2

10.5

10.0

9.6

9.3

9.1

9.1

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Buwndl ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique Reunion Rwanda Somalia Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe

......................................... ................................................ ................................................ ................................................ ................................................. .................. ................................................. .............................................

MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon Sao Tom6 and Principe .........................

..................................................

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. 'Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Momcco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cote d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali Mauritania

..................................................... .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A29 Crude death rate by maJorarea. region and counby (contlnwd) Estlmatm: 195Cb2005

.

~~~

Crude death rate (deaths per 1 OOO popllatlon)

MaJora m , mglon end countty

1950-1955 19551960 1860-1985 1885-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 lge5-1990 1990-1095 19852OOO 2ooo-2005

Niger .................................................... Nigeria ..................................................

smegaI ................................................ sierra Leone .........................................

Toe0 .....................................................

ASIA EASTERNASIA Chlna (5) .............................................. China. H c q Kmg SAR (8) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem People'r RepuMk of Korea ...........

.

RepuMk of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASiA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... BenCdesh ...........................................

..................................................

...........

........

India Iran (Islamic ...................... Knznkheten ........................................... Kyrgyzstan Maldtvee Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan ........... Turkmenietan ........................................

............................................ ....................

uzbeklstan ............................................

SOUTH-EASTERN M A Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indomsla .............................................. La0 people's Democratic RepuMk ......... Maleysla Myanmer .............................................. Rilipplnee ............................................ Singapore .......... Thailand .....................

..........................

...................

..........

Tim-ceste ................ ......... viel Nam ...............................................

WESTERN ASIA Azerbaljan .............................................

Israel .................................................... Jordan ..................................................

...............

............................. Territory ...............

............................. .............................. SaUa Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab ReprMic ............................

...........................................

United Arab Wratea ............................ Yemen ..................................................

27.7 27.7 27.1 34.0 27.3

26.9 26.3 25.7 32.7 24.7

26.2 24.7 24.0 31.8 22.0

25.7 23.1 22.2 30.4 19.4

25.4 21.6 20.3 28.5 17.1

25.0 20.2 18.0 27.1 15.0

24.3 19.3 15.6 25.7 13.2

23.1 18.4 13.4 24.8 12.1

21.1 17.8 11.8 26.3 11.2

18.3 17.4 10.6 24.5 10.7

15.8 17.5 9.8 23.5 10.8

23.7

20.6

17.7

13.9

10.9

10.0

9.6

8.9

8.3

7.7

7.5

22.8 25.1 8.9 13.5 11.8 9.4 21.7 18.9

18.8 20.7 7.2 11.8 10.8 8.2 19.3 14.9

15.7 17.1 6.2 10.8 9.1 7.3 17.0 12.5

10.4 10.9 5.5 8.1 7.9 6.9 14.8 10.4

6.4 8.3 5.0 7.2 6.1 8.5 13.1 8.3

8.8 8.7 5.0 8.8 5.0 8.1 11.4 7.1

7.5 7.7 4.8 6.5 5.1 6.1 10.0 6.5

7.2 7.4 4.9 5.4 5.4 8.3 8.7 8.1

7.0 7.1 5.8 4.5 6.0 7.0 8.9 5.8

8.8 8.7 5.1 4.2 7.9 7.8 7.2

6.8 8.8 5.3 4.3 9.3 8.0 6.9 5.4

15.3 27.8 18.9 21.9 15.1 13.2 9.2 10.4 15.9 20.2 15.6 7.5 9.4 10.3 9.1

13.4 25.4 17.2 19.5 13.0 11.7 8.8 9.6 13.9 18.0 14.2 7.3 8.9 9.8 8.5

12.0 24.1 15.0 17.1 11.6 10.7 8.3 8.7 11.8 15.9 12.9 6.3 8.0 8.7 7.8

10.8 23.3 13.0 15.1 10.6 8.3 8.0 7.7 9.9 13.9 11.8 6.6 7.0 8.2 7.2

9.9 22.8 11.1 12.8 9.8 8.7 9.8 7.9 8.9 12.0 9.8 8.5 8.9 8.4 7.4

9.0 22.4 9.2 10.0 9.1 5.6 11.8 8.2 7.3 9.8 8.8 7.0 7.7 8.0 8.7

8.8 21.6 8.2 7.8 8.7 5.5 10.8 7.9

10.2 4.1 15.8 11.3 18.1 6.2

11.1

8.8 3.8 13.3 9.2 14.4 5.8 10.9 7.2 5.2 7.3 20.4 9.1

7.8 3.2 11.8 8.2 11.9 5.0 10.3 8.3 4.9 7.4 15.4 8.9

7.0 2.9 10.4 7.2 9.5 4.7 9.8 5.5 4.8 8.1 12.6 5.7

6.7 2.8 10.0 8.6 8.0 4.5 10.2 5.1 4.9 8.8 10.2 5.2

8.9 5.6 8.8 4.5 8.6 8.9 8.3 8.8 8.9 3.2 7.6 9.1 7.7 4.9 7.6 7.1 9.3 4.0 16.8

7.8 8.8 8.8 4.0 8.9 8.7 6.9 8.8 7.1 2.4 7.3 8.3 5.1 3.5 5.7 5.7 8.6 3.2 13.7

7.3 8.3 7.5 3.3 7.7 9.8 9.8 8.3 5.8 2.1 7.1 8.9 3.8 3.4 4.6 4.8 7.2 2.3 11.9

8.6 8.4 8.9 3.0 7.1 10.2 10.0 8.3 4.8 1.8 7.1 5.0 3.1 3.2 4.0 3.9 8.2 1.6 10.1

8.2 8.9 8.9 3.1 7.0 11.1 10.8 5.8 4.1 1.7 7.0 4.2 2.8 2.8 3.8 3.6 5.8 1.4 8.8

25.5 38.7 28.5 26.8 26.0 22.8 14.4 16.4 27.3 28.1 23.1 11.4 12.2 18.2 14.7

22.9 34.5 25.8 26.5 23.3 20.2 12.9 15.1 24.0 26.4 21.3 9.5 13.4 15.5 13.8

20.1 32.5 23.5 25.8 20.2 18.0 11.3 13.2 20.8 24.6 19.3 8.9 13.1 13.9 12.2

17.5 30.2 20.9 24.0 17.4 15.4 9.8 11.1 18.1 22.5 17.3 7.8 11.1 11.7 10.3

23.4 11.6 23.8 26.1 22.0 19.9 27.8 18.4 10.8 15.8 23.9

21.1 10.4 22.1 24.2 21.1 18.5 22.8 15.3 8.8 13.9 31.2 22.9

18.7 9.0 20.4 21.7 19.9 13.3 19.9 12.7 7.1 12.2 28.3 21.1

16.2 7.5 19.4 18.8 18.9 10.4 18.7 11.5 5.8 10.8 25.3 18.8

14.1 5.9 22.5 15.9 18.2 8.8 14.4 10.4 5.2 9.2 23.0 18.8

12.3 5.4 40.0 13.4 17.3 7.7 12.3 9.2 5.1 8.1 45.0 12.9

21.8 11.1 12.0 18.4 10.5 14.4 20.7 8.9 26.0 11.2 18.7 26.0 27.1 22.2 25.9 20.5 23.5 22.8 34.2

18.9 9.5 10.9 15.7 10.5 13.0 18.0 8.2 23.0 10.5 12.9 23.0 24.8 19.4 23.7 18.5 19.8 20.7 31.9

15.8 6.2 7.0 13.8 10.5 8.8 15.3 8.0 22.0 9.0 10.8 22.0 21.7 16.7 21.3 18.5 18.4 17.3 30.0

13.9 5.3 8.7 10.1 10.0 9.7 13.1 8.7 19.0 8.3 9.3 21.0 18.5 14.1 19.2 13.9 13.5 12.3 27.9

12.0 5.2 8.5 7.5 9.7 7.8 11.5 7.1 13.0

10.2

34.6

5.0 8.1 16.8 14.6 11.8 18.9 11.4 11.6 9.9 25.0

5.5 8.8 6.3 8.7 8.1 9.4 8.8 9.8 4.2 7.8 13.5 11.0 9.4 10.7 9.0 10.2 7.4 20.9

11.1

8.2 5.4 7.4 23.0

5.5

8.5 8.7 7.7 7.3 6.6 8.3 8.8

United Nations Department of Ectmom4c and Sociel Affairslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Conpret~ensiveT a w

Tabk A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates Yemen ............................. ...............

............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

T a b A29. Crude death rate by major a m , region and country (continued)

Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1,ooOpopulation)

M.(or-,

ngh.nd-ntry 1950-1955 19551980 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975lgBo 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WO 2000-2005

EUROPE

10.8

10.0

9.8

9.8

10.1

10.4

10.8

10.6

11.2

11.5

11.6

10.3 11.4 10.2 10.9 11.4 14.4 10.9 12.0 9.5 10.7 10.5

9.1 10.2 8.9 10.1 10.3 14.4 8.8 9.7 8.7 8.7 8.9

8.6 6.0 8.2 10.4 10.1 11.0 7.6 8.6 8.8 8.0 8.3

8.5 7.1 8.8 11.5 10.9 9.9 7.8 9.2 8.3 8.5 8.2

9.4 7.9 9.7 12.5 11.8 10.2 8.4 9.4 9.1 10.6 9.7

10.3 9.1 10.6 12.5 12.8 10.6 9.2 9.7 10.3 10.4 10.8

11.3 10.0 11.3 12.8 13.7 11.0 9.7 10.3 11.6 11.o 11.9

11.3 10.1 12.0 12.4 13.8 10.0 10.1 10.8 11.2 10.5 12.1

12.7 12.0 12.8 11.7 14.3 10.8 10.3 11.4 13.2 10.0 13.8

13.4 13.7 14.3 10.7 13.8 11.9 9.8 12.2 14.2 9.9 15.1

14.3 14.5 14.2 10.8 13.3 12.4 9.6 12.2 15.9 9.8 15.8

11.1 11.6 9.0 13.1 9.7 7.5 12.6 11.6 10.6 8.2 9.8 11.7

10.9 11.8 9.1 11.0 9.1 7.1 12.0 10.2 8.5 8.8 9.6 11.6

11.1 12.1 9.7 10.5 9.4 6.9 11.8 10.2 8.0 9.5 10.0 11.8

11.1 12.1 9.9 10.8 9.7 7.1 11.5 10.7 8.3 9.7 10.2 11.7

11.2 12.2 10.1 11.0 9.5 7.0 11.0 11.5 9.0 10.0 10.4 11.8

11.4 12.0 10.4 12.1 9.3 6.4 10.3 12.5 10.0 10.0 10.9 11.9

11.3 11.5 11.1 12.5 9.3 6.9 9.4 12.8 10.5 10.2 11.0 11.a

11.1 10.7 11.5 12.1 9.8 6.9 9.1 12.4 10.4 10.7 11.1 11.4

11.2 12.2 11.8 13.9 9.8 6.7 8.8 14.4 11.8 10.5 10.9 11.3

10.7 11.1 11.4 13.7 9.6 6.7 8.6 13.9 11.6 9.9 10.6 10.8

10.2 9.9 10.7 13.7 9.5 6.1 7.6 13.6 11.8 9.5 10.5 10.2

10.5 14.4 13.9 14.0 7.2 9.9 10.2 5.0 11.8 14.1 10.6 10.2 17.2

9.8 10.9 10.6 11.3 7.3 9.6 8.8 4.2 11.4 11.6 9.6 9.4 13.2

9.4 9.7 8.9 10.3 7.8 9.7 8.8 3.6 10.9 10.1 9.5 8.7 9.6

9.3 8.3 7.5 10.1 8.1 9.8 9.2 3.3 11.0 9.3 10.1 8.6 8.1

9.3 8.1 6.9 10.5 8.6 9.8 9.0 3.1 10.7 9.3 10.2 8.6 8.2

9.1 6.5 6.5 10.8 8.8 9.8 8.8 3.1 10.3 9.2 10.4 8.1 7.0

9.0 6.1 6.8 11.6 9.0 9.7 9.3 3.2 9.7 10.0 10.8 7.8 7.1

9.1 5.6 7.1 11.4 9.3 9.5 7.9 3.1 9.7 10.3 10.3 8.2 7.8

9.3 6.1 7.0 10.7 9.6 9.7 7.5 6.5 10.2 10.1 10.1 8.6 8.0

9.6 6.0 8.0 11.1 9.3 9.9 7.8 6.5 10.7 10.6 9.6 9.1 8.2

9.6 5.5 8.7 11.5 9.9 9.9 7.7 8.2 10.4 11.0 9.4 8.7 8.6

Switzerland ...........................................

11.4 12.3 12.1 12.8 11.1 11.7 7.5 10.1

11.3 12.5 11.7 11.8 11.6 11.8 7.6 9.9

11.3 12.6 12.5 11.2 11.8 12.0 7.8 9.5

11.5 13.0 12.6 11.0 12.3 12.3 8.2 9.3

11.4 12.7 12.1 10.7 12.3 12.2 8.3 9.0

11.1 12.4 11.8 10.3 12.2 11.6 8.1 9.0

11.0 12.1 11.6 10.1 12.1 11.2 8.2 9.2

10.5 11.1 10.6 9.5 11.6 10.6 8.5 9.1

10.2 10.4 10.6 9.2 11.2 10.4 8.7 9.4

10.0 10.0 10.3 9.5 10.7 9.3 8.8 8.4

9.7 9.5 10.3 9.2 10.3 8.9 8.7 8.1

LATIN M I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN

15.5

13.7

12.3

11.0

9.8

8.7

7.8

7.1

6.6

6.1

6.0

15.1 8.9 10.7 13.2 10.7 20.2 10.5 13.1 26.4 11.5 12.9 12.3 8.7 14.7 16.7 11.2 14.1

13.1 6.8 9.0 10.3 9.2 17.4 10.3 10.2 23.6 9.8 9.9 9.4 7.1 14.5 16.0 9.4 11.7

11.7 5.8 7.7 9.2 8.6 14.6 9.5 8.5 21.0 9.1 8.5 7.9 6.9 11.8 13.2 7.6 9.5

10.3 5.4 7.1 8.5 7.3 11.9 8.6 8.1 18.6 8.5 7.5 7.1 6.6 8.4 11.2 7.2 7.5

9.3 5.1 6.1 8.7 6.4 9.7 8.7 7.5 17.1 8.2 7.2 6.7 6.6 8.0 10.0 7.4 6.2

8.6 5.8 5.6 8.7 5.9 8.3 9.3 6.9 16.2 7.4 6.8 6.6 6.5 7.1 8.6 7.1 5.5

8.5 5.7 6.2 8.9 6.3 7.4 9.4 6.7 15.6 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 7.9 7.0 5.3

8.2 6.4 5.8 8.2 6.8 6.6 9.5 6.2 13.8 6.5 6.1 6.2 7.1 6.2 7.4 6.7 5.1

8.2 6.7 6.3 7.7 7.4 6.1 9.5 6.2 12.5 7.0 6.9 6.3 7.9 6.9 7.0 6.8 5.3

7.8 7.0 7.1 7.5 7.0 8.0 9.2 6.1 11.4 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.9 7.1 6.8 7.1 5.2

7.8 6.9 6.5 7.3 7.8 6.0 8.8 6.2 10.5 7.1 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.0 6.9 7.9 5.8

EASTERN EUROPE

PdMd .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ................... Skvakia Ukraine .................................................

.....

NORTHERNEUROPE (0)

Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... LaMa ...................................................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bcsnia and Herregovilla

cmati ................................................

....

Greece .................................................

Portugal ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ...........................

............................... France .................................................. Germeny .............................................. Luxenhurg ......

Netherlands ..........................................

CARIBBEAN (16)

s ..............................................

Bahados ..............................................

.............................. ...................... ...................... Jamaica ................................................ Marlinique ............................................. Nemel.lands Antwles ..............................

656

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conrprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:

Low variant

Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country

EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

...............................

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvii .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ...........................

.................................................

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Crude death rate by mew area, r e g h and c o w (cmthod)

Crude death rate (deatha per 1,OOOpopulation) Major ama,rogbn m d country 1950-1955 1955-19801960-1965 18851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-19801990-19B6 1995-2OOO2ooo.2006 CENTRAL W R I C A

17.6 12.6 13.5 19.9 22.3 24.4 16.6 22.7 13.3

14.7 11.0 11.9 17.4 20.2 21.6 13.6 19.9 11.1

12.6 9.8 10.2 14.8 18.0 18.3 11.5 16.8 9.8

11.2 8.3 8.2 12.5 15.8 16.1 10.4 14.4 8.8

9.8 7.3 6.8 11.1 13.5 13.8 9.1 12.6 7.5

8.2 6.5 5.8 11.4 12.2 11.4 7.4 11.3 6.3

7.1 5.7 4.7 11.1 10.9 9.4 6.4 10.1 5.7

8.2 5.2 4.4 8.0 9.4 7.5 5.7 8.4 5.4

5.8 4.9 4.1 8.8 8.1 8.7 5.2 8.5 5.3

5.0 4.1 3.8 8.0 8.9 6.1 4.7 5.5 5.0

4.9 3.8 3.9 5.9 8.0 6.0 4.7 5.0 5.0

14.9 9.1 24.4 15.4 13.6 16.3 19.4 15.6 17.7 8.8 21.8 12.6 10.5 12.3

13.5 8.6 23.1 14.0 13.3 13.2 17.0 14.1 15.9 8.5 19.7 11.4 10.1 10.6

12.2 8.8 21.6 12.6 12.2 11.4 14.6 12.0 13.7 7.9 17.6 10.3 9.6 9.3

11.0 9.1 20.3 11.1 10.3 10.0 13.1 9.0 11.6 7.8 15.6 8.8 9.6 7.7

9.8 9.0 19.0 9.9 8.8 8.8 11.5 7.8 10.3 7.0 12.8 7.5 10.1 6.5

8.9 8.9 16.0 9.1 7.4 7.7 9.8 7.2 9.2 8.9 10.9 7.3 10.1 5.8

8.0 8.5 13.3 8.3 8.4 6.6 8.1 8.1 9.1 6.9 9.1 7.2 9.9 5.5

7.3 8.5 11.4 7.4 5.9 6.3 8.7 5.2 8.7 6.8 7.8 6.8 10.0 5.0

8.8 8.2 10.0 8.8 5.5 6.3 5.9 4.5 8.7 8.3 7.0 8.4 9.8 4.9

6.3 7.7 8.9 8.4 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.9 9.1 5.9 8.4 6.5 9.2 4.8

6.2 7.7 82 6.3 5.0 5.8 5.0 3.7 9.1 5.6 8.2 8.8 9.3

9.4 8.7 9.5

9.3 8.1 9.4

9.3 7.7 9.4

9.3 7.5 9.5

9.0 7.3 9.2

8.5 7.0 8.8

8.7 6.9 8.9

8.7 7.0 8.9

8.7 7.1 8.9

8.2 7.2 8.3

8.2 7.2 8.3

12.6

11.4

10.7

10.3

9.8

9,1

8.0

8.0

7.8

7.5

7.3

9.4 9.4 9.3

8.9 8.8 9.1

8.7 8.7 8.9

8.6 8.9 8.7

8.5 8.5 8.4

7.8 7.7 8.2

7.5 7.3 8.1

7.4 7.3 8.2

7.1 7.0 7.6

7.1 7.0 7.4

6.9 8.8 7.1

YLANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... sdomon lslande ... ........... vanuatu ................ ...........

26.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3

23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5

20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8

17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5

15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6

14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4

10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3

10.5 8.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7

9.8 6.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1

9.4 8.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 8.7

92 8.4 5.2 9.9 7.9 5.7

WCRONESlA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................

14.0 8.9 14.2

12.4 7.7 12.5

10.9 6.4 10.9

9.6 5.6 9.6

8.3 4.6 8.8

7.7 4.1 7.8

7.0 3.8 7.2

6.4 3.9 6.7

8.1 4.7 8.4

5.5 4.7 8.3

5.3 5.1 6.3

POLYNESIA (a) French Poiynesia ..................................

14.8 16.3 17.7 8.7

12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8

10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9

9.2 9.8 11.0 6.1

8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5

7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6

6.7 6.1 7.6 5.8

6.1 5.5 8.8 5.9

5.9 5.0 6.9 5.9

5.5 4.8 6.2 5.7

5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7

Costa Rka ............................................

flsalvedor ...........................................

Guatemla ............................................

Honduras

M e w............ ..... Niceragua .............................................

panams ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) An~entina.............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... C .........

.........

C

Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ......................................

Guyana ...........

..............

Paraguay .............................................. k N

.....................................................

Venezuela (Bolivarlan Repacic of) ......... NORTHERN AUERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States d Ametica ....................... OCEANIA AUSTRUI&NEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New zealaml .........................................

658

6.0

United Nations Dqmbmnt of Eamcdc and Social AfFairslpopulaUon Division World popU4tbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: C o ~ e ! h s ~ ~T~ h f e .

Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Medco Nicaragua Panama

................................... ..... ........... ............................................

........................................... ............................................ .............................................. .................................................. ............................................. ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolirian Republic of)

..............................................

................................................... .................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................ .............................................. ...................................................... .............................................. ................................................

.........

NORTHERNAMERICA (18) Canada United States of America

................................................. .......................

AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand

........................................

.........................................

MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu

........................................................ ..............................:....... ...............................

...................................

...............................................

MICRONESIA (20) Guam Micronesia (Fed. States of)

................................................... ...................

POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga

.................................. .................................................. ...................................................

9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 11 Includinghand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen lslands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See. and San Marino. 14 The toner Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, MMltserrat, Saint Kii and Nevis, and Turks and C a m Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 20 lncludingKiribati. Marshall Islands. N~uN,Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands. Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu. Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country: estimates and projections. 1950-2050 Estimates 1950-2005 Life ekpectancy at birth (years)

Major a m . -Ion

a d country 1950-1955 19551980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 -2005

WORLD Males ............................................. Females ......................................... BothsexescMMned ......................

45.0 47.8 46.4

47.9 50.7 49.3

50.9 53.6 52.2

54.7 57.5 56.1

56.7 59.9 58.3

58.5 62.0 60.2

59.7 63.5 61.6

61.3 65.2 63.3

62.1 66.3 64.2

63.0

63.9

67.4 65.2

88.0

36.3 38.9 37.6

38.3 40.9 39.6

40.3 43.1 41.7

42.1 45.1 43.6

44.0 47.1 45.5

45.8 48.9 47.3

47.1 50.3 48.7

48.3 51.5 49.9

47.8 51.3 49.6

47.6 50.8 49.2

47.6 49.8 48.8

37.3 39.7 38.5

39.4 41.9 40.6

41.5 44.1 42.8

43.4 46.2 44.8

45.4 48.2 46.8

47.2 50.2 48.7

48.8 51.9 50.3

50.3 53.5 51.8

50.2 53.6 51.9

50.1 53.4 51.7

50.3 52.8 51.6

68.3

W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... L.wt d e v d o p d countries (c) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lean d m l o p d mglons excluding loam dmtopad count* (d) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes c d n e d ......................

......................

.

L#.d w d o p d mglona. excluding

China Males ...................... ................... Females ......................................... Both sems combined ......................

..

'Sub-Sahmran A i r l u (a) Males Females ......................................... Bothsexescombined......................

..........................................

AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Bothsexescombined...................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoroa (2) M W ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dllboull Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Eritru Males ............................................. Females .................................. ... Both sexas cwnbined ...................... Ethlopla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sems combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Udoga.ur Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both s e w combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

WORLD Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Males ...................... ................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Least developed countrlaa (c) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions, excludlng least developed countries (d) Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

Less developed regions, excluding China Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AFRICA Males ....................... .................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoros (2) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Djlboutl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Erltrea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ethiopia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Madagascar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life e-tancy

at birth (years)

MaJora m . region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1590-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

mlawl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... m u r l t l u s (3) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moznmblque . ............ Males .............................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... RBunlon ............ Males ............................. . Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republlc of Tanzania Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Umbla . ............... Males ........................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zlmbabwo Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... MDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................ Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Angola . .............. Males ............................ Females ......................................... Bolh sexes combined ...................... Cameroon . .............. Males ............................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central Afrlcan Republlc Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad ..... .................... Males ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republlc of the Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table 8 3 0 . Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

Malawl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritius (3) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mozambique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Reunion Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................... .......... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republic of Tanzania Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Zambia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zimbabwe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

MIDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................... .. .......... Both sexes combined ...................... Angola .............. Males ................. .. ...... Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cameroon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central African Republic Males ...................... ................... Females ..................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republlc of the Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

table 1130. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~~

~~

~

Life expectancy at birth (years) Major a m , region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005

Equatorlal G u l n u Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon

33.0 36.0 34.5

34.5 37.5 36.0

36.0 39.0 37.5

37.5 40.6 39.0

39.0 42.1 40.5

40.5 43.6 42.0

42.1 45.3 43.7

44.1 47.3 45.7

46.0 49.2 47.5

46.6 49.9 48.2

48.0 50.7 49.3

35.5 38.6 37.0

37.5 40.6 39.0

38.9 42.1 40.5

43.1 46.2 44.6

47.1 50.3 48.7

51.3 54.4 52.8

55.0 58.2 56.6

58.7 61.9 60.2

59.8 63.1 61.4

58.8 62.2 60.5

55.7 57.8 56.8

45.2 48.0 46.5

47.6 50.5 48.9

50.5 53.5 51.9

53.0 56.0 54.4

55.0 58.0 56.5

57.1 60.0 58.6

59.0 61.7 60.4

60.4 63.1 61.7

61.2 64.1 62.7

61.7 64.9 63.3

62.5 66.1 64.3

40.9 42.8 41.8

43.2 45.2 44.1

45.4 47.5 46.4

47.8 49.9 48.8

50.1 52.3 51.1

52.8 55.1 53.9

55.7 58.2 57.0

58.7 61.5 60.1

61.3 64.5 62.8

63.4 67.0 65.2

65.2 69.0 67.1

42.1 44.2 43.1

44.7 46.8 45.7

47.3 49.4 48.3

50.4 52.5 51.4

53.5 55.5 54.5

57.0 59.0 58.0

60.2 62.6 61.4

64.7 67.1 65.8

66.6 69.1 67.7

67.9 70.4 69.2

69.7 72.2 71.0

41.1 42.7 41.9

43.6 45.3 44.4

46.1 47.9 47.0

48.4 50.2 49.3

50.3 52.0 51.1

52.5 54.2 53.3

55.1 57.0 56.0

58.6 81.1 59.8

62.2 65.3 63.7

65.3 69.2 67.2

67.7 72.0 69.8

41.9 43.9 42.7

44.3 46.6 45.3

46.7 49.2 47.8

49.0 51.8 50.2

51.4 54.5 52.8

56.0 59.3 57.4

60.6 64.2 62.2

64.5 68.9 66.2

66.9 71.7 68.8

69.3 74.5 71.6

70.5 75.7 72.7

......

41.9 43.9 42.9

44.3 46.6 45.4

46.7 49.2 47.9

49.0 51.8 50.3

51.4 54.5 52.9

54.1 57.5 55.7

58.0 61.5 59.7

60.9 64.6 62.7

63.5 67.5 65.4

65.6 69.8 87.7

67.5 71.8 69.6

......................

37.3 40.1 38.6

38.3 41.1 39.6

39.5 42.3 40.9

41.5 44.3 42.9

43.8 46.5 45.1

46.5 49.2 47.8

49.0 51.8 50.3

50.3 53.3 51.7

52.1 55.2 53.6

53.8 57.0 55.4

55.0 57.8 56.4

44.1 45.1 44.6

46.6 47.6 47.1

49.1 50.1 49.6

51.6 52.6 52.1

55.1 56.1 55.6

58.8 61.O 59.8

62.7 65.7 64.0

65.3 68.8 66.9

66.3 72.1 70.0

70.1 74.0 72.0

71.1 75.1 73.0

34.0 37.1 35.5

36.0 39.1 37.4

38.0 41 .O 39.3

39.9 43.0 41.2

41.9 45.1 43.2

46.2 49.4 47.5

50.5 53.7 51.8

54.8 58.1 58.1

57.3 60.6 58.7

59.8 63.1 61.3

62.3 65.8 63.9

43.6 45.9 44.7

46.1 49.3 47.7

47.7 51.7 49.7

49.3 54.1 51.6

50.8 56.2 53.4

52.5 58.5 55.4

54.9 61.4 58.0

57.3 64.1 60.6

58.2 65.3 61.7

56.3 63.1 59.6

50.6 54.5 52.5

45.6 49.5 47.6

47.7 51.5 49.6

49.7 53.3 51.5

51.5 55.0 53.3

54.1 57.8 56.0

57.2 61.2 59.3

59.4 63.5 61.5

61.4 65.7 63.6

60.0 65.5 62.7

50.0 55.1 52.6

45.7 47.4 46.6

40.4 43.8 42.1

43.3 46.7 45.0

46.0 49.4 47.7

46.7 50.1 48.5

48.1 51.3 49.8

50.5 53.8 52.2

53.3 56.7 55.1

55.4 58.9 57.2

57.6 61.6 59.7

52.9 57.8 55.6

43.2 45.7 44.6

39.5 44.1 41.7

43.1 47.5 45.2

46.3 50.6 48.4

49.2 53.2 51.2

51.9 55.9 53.9

54.6 58.4 56.4

57.0 61.0 59.0

58.9 62.9 60.8

59.9 64.2 62.0

56.7 61.1 58.9

50.3 52.5 51.5

44.0 46.0 45.0

46.5 49.5 48.0

48.0 52.0 50.0

49.5 54.5 51.9

51.O 56.6 53.7

52.5 58.8 55.5

54.9 61.7 58.2

57.4 64.7 60.8

58.3 65.8 61.9

56.8 63.9 60.2

51.2 55.6 53.4

39.4 43.4 41.4

41.5 45.4 43.4

43.1 47.0 45.0

44.7 48.6 46.6

47.6 51.5 49.6

50.6 54.4 52.5

53.6 57.5 55.6

55.7 59.7 57.7

56.2 60.7 58.5

51.9 56.7 54.3

42.6 45.1 43.9

Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... S o Tom6 and Prfnclp Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .......... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Alprla

.....

......................................

Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahlrlya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females ......................... Both sexes combined Sudan Males .............................................

Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .... Botawana Males ............................................. Lewtho

Namlbla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .... South Afrlca Mates ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Swdland Males .................. Females .............. Both sexes combined ......................

......

...

664

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulationDivision WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Equatorial Guinea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... S o Tom6 and Principe Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Algeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .................... Egypt Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Bdh sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sudan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tunisia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ......................

..

SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Botswana Males ............................ ............. Females ................................ . ...... Both sexes combined ...................... Lesotho Males ................... ...................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Namibia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... South Africa Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Swaziland Males ............................................. Females ...................... ........... Both sexes combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life eqmtancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952MX) 2000-2005

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bsnln Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burklna Faso Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cape Vwda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined CBte d'lvolre Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Garnbla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gulnea-Blrsau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Llberla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mall Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Maurltanla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Slerra Leone Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... 1ogo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Benin Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burklna Faso Males Females Both sexes combined Cape Verde Males Females Both sexes combined C6te d'lvolre Males Females Both sexes combined Gambia Males Females Both sexes combined Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea-Bissau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Liberia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Mali Males Females Both sexes combined Mauritania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sierra Leone Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tog0 Males Females Both sexes combined

...................... .............................................

............................................. ..........................................

...................... ............................................. .......................................... ...................... ............................................. .......................................... ...................... ........................................... .......................................... ......................

...................... ............................................. .......................................... ......................

............................................. ..........................................

............................................ .......................................... ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table 1130. Life expectancy at Mrth by major a m , region and country (Continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expecmcy at birth (yean) Major area. mgion and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 ISSO-I995 1995-2000 2000-2005

ASIA

Males .............................................

......................

40.4 41.7 41.O

43.6 44.9 44.2

47.5 48.4 48.0

53.1 54.1 53.6

56.1 57.2 58.6

58.3 59.9 59.1

59.6 81.8 60.7

81.7 64.0 62.8

63.2 65.9 64.5

64.6 67.7 86.1

65.8 69.4 67.5

41.4 44.7 42.9

45.1 48.5 46.7

50.4 52.5 51.4

59.6 61.6 60.6

63.2 65.2 64.2

65.1 67.6 66.4

65.2 68.4 66.6

66.9 70.2 68.5

68.2 71.7 69.9

69.8 73.6 71.6

71.3 75.2 73.2

39.3 42.3 40.8

43.1 46.2 44.6

48.7 50.4 49.5

58.8 60.4 59.6

62.5 63.9 63.2

64.5 66.3 65.3

64.3 68.9 65.5

66.0 68.8 67.3

67.4 70.3 68.7

69.0 72.0 70.4

70.5 73.7 72.0

57.2 64.9 61.O

81.o 68.5 64.8

64.0 71.3 67.7

66.5 73.5 70.0

68.5 75.8 72.0

70.5 76.8 73.6

72.6 78.3 75.5

74.3 79.9 76.2

75.5 81.0 77.6

77.2 83.0 80.0

78.6 84.5 81.5

51.5 56.5 54.0

54.5 59.5 57.0

58.5 63.5 61.O

62.5 67.5 65.0

64.0 69.0 66.4

67.0 72.0 69.4

71.5 76.5 74.0

73.5 78.5 76.0

75.2 79.8 77.3

76.5 80.9 78.8

77.6 82.2 80.0

48.5 51.5 50.1

52.4 55.5 54.1

54.8 58.1 56.7

57.8 61.7 59.9

60.8 66.4 64.0

63.5 69.9 87.2

65.4 71.8 69.1

67.0 73.3 70.6

66.1 73.7 70.0

64.0 71.O 67.7

64.2 68.8 66.7

61.6 65.5 63.9

64.3 68.8 68.8

66.7 71.7 69.0

68.8 74.1 71.1

70.6 75.9 73.3

72.7 78.0 75.5

74.2 79.7 76.9

75.5 81.3 78.3

78.2 82.4 79.5

77.1 83.8 80.5

78.3 85.2 81.9

41.O 43.5 42.2

44.0 48.5 45.2

47.0 49.5 48.3

50.0 52.5 51.3

52.5 55.0 53.8

54.0 57.0 55.5

58.0 59.0 57.5

56.5 62.0 60.2

59.4 63.2 61.3

61.1 66.3 63.6

61.9 68.4 65.0

46.0 49.0 47.5

51.1 54.2 52.7

53.6 56.9 55.3

56.0 59.4 57.7

59.3 66.1 62.6

61.3 68.5 64.8

63.1 71.4 67. I

65.8 74.0 69.8

68.5 78.5 72.2

70.9 78.5 74.6

73.5 80.6 77.0

39.1 37.8 38.4

41.9 40.5 41.2

44.9 43.5 44.2

48.1 46.9 47.5

51.0 50.1 50.5

53.7 53.5 53.6

55.9 56.2 56.0

57.9 58.5 56.2

59.4 60.7 60.0

60.6 62.4 81.5

61.5 64.1 62.7

29.2 28.4 28.8

30.7 30.0 30.3

32.3 31.7 32.0

34.3

33.8 34.0

36.3 35.9 36.1

38.7 36.2 38.4

40.0 39.7 39.9

41.O 40.7 40.8

41.7 41.7 41.7

41.8 41.8 41.8

42.2 42.1 42.1

36.3 36.7 37.5

40.0 38.7 39.3

41.7 40.7 41.2

43.5 43.4 43.5

45.6 45.0 45.3

47.1 46.8 46.9

50.1 50.0 50.0

52.9 52.8 52.8

55.5 56.7 56.0

59.0 59.9 59.4

61.3 62.8 62.0

36.0 36.3 36.1

36.3 36.9 36.8

37.3 38.2 37.7

38.9 40.1 39.5

41.1 42.7 41.8

43.8 45.8 44.7

46.8 49.2 47.9

49.4 52.3 50.7

53.0 56.3 54.5

57.3 60.8 58.9

61.8 65.2 63.5

38.1 36.8 37.4

41.I 39.3 40.2

44.6 42.6 43.8

48.1 46.2 47.2

51.4 50.0 50.7

54.6 53.9 54.2

56.6 56.6 56.6

58.5 56.8 58.8

59.9 60.8 60.2

61.o 82.7 61.8

61.7 64.2 62.9

44.9 44.9 44.9

47.2 47.2 47.2

49.3 49.3 49.3

52.6 52.4 52.5

55.4 55.1 55.2

57.5 58.1 57.7

58.8 60.7 59.6

62.2 64.3 63.0

64.7 67.1 65.7

66.9 69.3 68.0

68.0 71.o 69.5

50.2 60.8 55.0

52.2 62.8 57.2

54.2 64.7 59.3

56.3 68.7 61.5

57.8 68.2 63.1

58.8 69.3 64.2

60.4 70.9 65.8

62.4 72.1 67.4

60.5 70.3 65.4

57.5 68.9 63.0

59.5 70.6 64.9

48.8 57.3 52.9

50.9 59.4 55.1

53.0 61.5 57.3

55.2 63.7 59.5

58.8 65.3 61.2

58.0 66.5 62.3

59.6 68.1 64.0

62.0 69.8 66.0

62.1 70.1 66.1

61.O 69.0 64.9

61.4 69.4 65.3

EASTERN ASIA

.......................... Both sexes combined ...................... ChiM (5) Males ....... ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Both sexes combined ...................... China, Mac00 SAR (7) Males ............................................. Females ........................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dam. +plena Republlc of K o m

............................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined .............. Republic ot K o m Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... XHITH-CENTRAL ASIA (8) Males ............................................. Aighanlstan Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladaah Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Indla

.....

Males ..............................

Females ........................ Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (lalamlc Republlc of) Males ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhatan Males ............................................. Females .......................... Both sexes combined ....... KywY=tan Males ............................................. Females .......................... Both sexes combined ......................

........

668

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country

2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 ASIA

67.2 71.0 69.0

68.6 72.6 70.5

69.9 74.0 71.9

71.0 75.2 73.0

71.9 76.4 74.1

72.8 77.3 75.0

73.6 78.2 75.9

74.4 78.9 76.6

75.2 79.7 77.4

Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN ASlA Males ............................................. Females .................... .................. Both sexes combined ...................... China (S) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Macao SAR (7) Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dem People's Republlc ot Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Japan Males ............................................. Females ................................... ... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republlc of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

.

SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Afghanistan Males .................... ..................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladesh Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... India Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhstan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kyrgyzstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AEairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005

Maldives Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nepal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paklstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tajiklstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkmenistan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbekistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brunel Darussalam Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Indonesia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Maiaysla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Philippines Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Thailand Males ............................. ............ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

39.8 42.0 40.9

42.7 45.1 43.9

45.4 48.0 46.7

48.3 51.3 49.7

50.7 54.1 52.3

53.6 57.1 55.3

56.8 60.8 58.7

59.8 63.7 61.7

62.2 66.3 64.2

64.3 69.0 66.6

66.0 71.0 68.5

59.6 61.1 60.4

61.0 62.0 61.5

62.5 63.5 63.0

64.0 66.0 64.9

66.9 69.9 68.3

68.1 71.4 69.7

70.1 73.6 71.6

71.5 75.3 73.2

72.4 77.1 74.5

73.4 78.1 75.5

74.2 78.9 .. 76.3

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life evectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Maldlves Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nepal Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Pakistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tajlkistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkmenistan Males ............................................. Females ............................... .. .... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbeklstan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females ..................... ................. Both sexes combined ...................... Brunei Darussalam Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... lndonesla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malaysia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Phlllpplnes Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females ............................... ..... Both sexes combined ...................... Thailand Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

Timor-Leste Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... V i a Nam Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaljan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupled Palestlnian Territory Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females .................................. .... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudi Arabia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections P -

Life exqectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Tlmor-Leste Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vlet Nam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaljan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupled Palestlnlan Territory Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudl Arabla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Llfe expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (conthwed) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)

MJor area. reglon and country 1950-19551955-19601960-1965 1965-1970 1970-19751975-19801980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l99C2000 2000-2005 Syrlan Arab Republlc Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emirates Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EUROPE Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belarus Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes c o m b i ...................... Bulgaria Males ................................. ........ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republlc Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moldova Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romanla Males ................................ Females ...................... ............... Both sexes combined ...................... Russlan Federatlon Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males .................... .................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

..

. . .......

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, reglon and country

2005-2010201 0-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Syrian Arab Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emlratea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EUROPE Males ....................... ................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

.

EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belarus Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bulgaria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moldova Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romanle Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Russian Federallon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Bath sexes combined ...................... Channel Islands (10) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Denmark Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Estonia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Flnland (11) Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Iceland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ireland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Latvia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lithuania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Norway (12) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sweden Males ............................................. Females ............................. ........ Both sexes combined ...................... United Kingdom Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ......................

..

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Albania Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bosnla and Herzegovlna Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Croatia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

Greece Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major a m , region and country

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Channel Islands (10) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Denmark Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Estonla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Flnland (11) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iceland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ireland Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Latvla Males .............................. Females ........................... .......... Both sexes combined ...................... Lithuania Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nomay (12) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sweden Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Klngdom Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

........ ..

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Albanla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bosnla and Herzegovlna Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Croatla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

Or-

United Nations Department of Economic and Social ARairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)

Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (pan) Major a m , region and country 1950-1955 1955-1980 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 Italy 64.3 67.8 66.0

66.3 70.8 68.5

67.4 72.6 69.9

68.2 73.9 71.O

69.2 75.2 72.1

70.4 76.9 73.6

71.5 78.0 74.5

73.1 79.6 76.2

74.0 80.5 77.3

75.5 81.8 78.7

76.9 82.9 79.9

64.2 67.7 65.9

66.3 70.0 68.1

67.0 70.8 68.9

67.5 71.4 69.5

68.5 72.8 70.6

70.0 74.3 72.2

71.3 75.8 73.5

72.7 77.3 75.0

74.0 78.4 76.3

75.0 79.8 77.4

76.2 80.8 78.6

58.4 59.9 59.2

60.2 62.6 61.4

62.0 65.4 63.7

65.0 69.2 67.2

68.1 73.1 70.6

70.4 75.6 73.1

71.5 76.6 74.1

72.3 77.4 74.9

72.7 78.9 75.4

72.1 78.9 75.4

71.8 76.5 74.0

......................

56.9 61.9 59.3

59.7 65.1 62.3

61.4 67.1 64.2

63.1 69.3 66.1

64.9 71.3 68.0

66.7 73.8 70.2

68.8 75.8 72.2

70.1 77.2 73.8

70.9 76.1 74.6

72.1 79.2 75.7

73.9 80.5 77.2

Both sexes combined ......................

57.1 50.8 58.0

60.7 62.6 61.7

63.3 65.7 64.5

65.2 68.6 68.9

66.8 70.6 68.7

68.1 72.5 70.3

67.7 72.7 70.2

68.8 73.7 71.2

69.2 74.5 71.7

69.9 74.6 72.2

70.9 75.6 73.2

Males ............................................. Females .........................................

63.0 68.1 65.6

65.1 70.5 67.9

66.1 72.0 69.2

65.6 72.6 69.2

66.0 73.5 69.6

67.0 74.8 71.O

67.1 75.2 71.1

68.5 76.5 72.4

69.7 77.4 73.5

71.2 78.7 75.0

72.9 60.4 76.8

Males ............................................. Females ........................... Both sexes combined ................ TFYR Macedonia (14) Males .................... Females Both sexes combined

61.6 66.3 63.9

65.4 70.2 67.7

67.9 72.7 70.2

69.1 74.3 71.6

70.2 75.7 72.9

71.4 77.4 74.3

72.8 78.9 75.8

73.1 80.0 76.6

73.8 81.o 77.4

75.1 82.2 78.6

76.6 83.4 80.0

55.0 55.0 55.0

58.7 59.4 59.0

61.7 62.8 62.2

64.2 66.0 65.1

66.1 68.9 67.5

67.9 71.4 69.6

67.7 71.5 69.6

68.9 72.8 70.8

69.4 74.0 71.8

70.4 74.8 72.6

71.1 75.9 73.4

65.2 69.9 67.6

66.9 72.3 69.7

67.7 73.6 70.7

68.0 74.4 71.3

68.4 75.0 71.7

69.6 76.5 73.1

70.7 77.7 74.3

72.1 79.0 75.6

73.1 80.0 76.6

74.4 81.o 77.8

75.9 62.0 79.0

63.2 68.4 65.7

65.0 71.1 68.0

66.1 72.6 69.3

66.5 73.4 69.9

67.0 74.3 70.6

68.5 75.7 72.0

69.6 76.8 73.1

71.6 78.3 74.9

72.7 79.3 76.3

74.2 80.6 77.5

75.9 61.7 78.9

65.9 70.9 68.4

67.4 72.7 70.0

67.1 73.1 70.1

67.6 73.8 70.7

68.4 74.9 71.6

69.4 76.1 72.7

70.6 77.2 73.9

72.2 78.9 75.6

73.0 79.8 76.4

74.3 60.6 77.5

75.1 81.2 78.2

63.7 69.5 66.5

66.5 72.9 69.6

67.6 74.5 71.O

67.9 75.4 71.5

68.6 76.3 72.4

69.7 77.8 73.7

70.8 78.9 74.7

72.0 80.3 76.0

73.3 81.5 77.5

74.6 02.3 78.5

76.0 83.2 79.6

65.3 69.6 67.5

66.6 71.5 69.1

67.4 72.9 70.3

67.8 73.6 70.6

67.9 73.8 71.O

69.0 75.5 72.5

70.3 76.8 73.8

71.7 78.2 74.8

72.6 79.1 76.2

74.1 80.3 77.3

75.7 81.5 78.7

63.1 68.9 65.9

64.5 70.6 67.5

65.7 72.1 68.8

68.8 73.2 69.9

67.2 74.1 70.6

68.5 75.4 71.9

69.8 76.6 73.1

70.2 78.3 74.1

72.4 79.2 75.6

73.9 80.4 77.2

75.1 81.1 78.2

70.9 73.4 72.1

71.4 74.7 73.0

71.1 75.8 73.4

71.O 76.4 73.6

71.1 77.0 74.0

72.1 78.6 75.3

72.8 79.4 76.0

73.6 80.0 76.8

74.2 80.2 77.3

75.1 80.5 77.9

76.3 81.o 78.7

67.0 71.6 69.2

68.2 73.4 70.7

68.9 74.6 71.7

69.4 75.1 72.2

70.8 77.0 73.8

72.0 78.6 75.2

72.9 79.6 76.2

74.0 80.7 77.4

74.7 81.4 77.8

76.3 82.3 79.4

77.9 83.2 80.7

............................. WItS Both sexes combined ......................

Montenegro

Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Portugal Males .............................................

mbined

ser Slovenla

......................

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Males .............................................

...................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belglum Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Franco Males ................................. Females Both sexes combined .......... Germany Males Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg

.

.............................

..............

......................

Both sexes combined Nsrharlands Males ............................................. Females ..................... Both sexes combined Swltrarland

......................

Both sexes combined ......................

.....

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division

WorfdPoptation Prospects: The 2006 Revisfon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Italy Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malta Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Montenegro Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Portugal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Serbla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovenia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Spain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... TFYR Macedonia (14) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Austria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belgium Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... France Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Germany Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Switzerland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AiTairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 P

P

P

P

P

.

Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

1950-19551955-19601960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CARIBBEAN (16) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Aruba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Grenada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guadeloupe Males ............................................. Females ......................... ....... .. Both sexes combined ...................... Haiti Males ........................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinlque Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Antilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto Rico Males ........................................... Females ......................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Lucia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Trinidad and Tobago Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females ........................... ......... Both sexes combined ...................... CARIBBEAN (16) Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Aruba Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................ . .............. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females ......................... . ........... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Grenada Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guadeloupe Males .......................................... Females ....................... . ................ Both sexes combined ...................... Haiti Males ............................................. Females ......................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica . . ......... Males .............................. . Females ...................... . .. .... ...... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinique Males ............................ .. ........ Females ........................ ............ Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Antilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto Rico Males ............................................. ............. Females .................... . . . Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Lucia Males ...................... .. ................. Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Males ..................... ................ Females ....................... . .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Trinidad and Tobago Males ................... ....... ............. Females ................. . ..... . . ....... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life eqxxtancy at birth (years)

Mabr usa, mgkn and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Unlted 8w.r Virgin Irlanda

Males .............................................

57.7 60.7 59.2

60.8 64.6 62.7

62.3 67.0 64.5

64.1 69.4 66.6

65.8 71.9 68.7

67.5 74.0 70.5

68.9 75.6 72.0

70.3 77.8 73.8

71.8 80.0 75.2

73.4 81.5 77.3

74.6 82.6 78.5

47.7 50.8 49.2

51.5 54.9 53.2

54.5 58.2 56.3

56.6 60.5 58.5

58.8 63.4 61 .0

60.5 66.5 63.4

62.4 69.0 65.6

65.1 71.1 68.1

67.5 73.0 70.2

69.9 75.1 72.5

71.2 76.5 73.8

59.6

......................

57.1 58.3 57.7

60.8

60.2

62.1 63.3 62.7

64.6 65.8 65.2

66.9 68.3 67.6

68.9 70.6 69.7

69.9 72.2 71 0

.

70.4 73.5 71.9

70.8 74.6 72.5

72.2 76.9 74.4

72.8 78.8 75.6

......................

56.0 58.6 57.2

58.8 61.5 60.0

61.6 64.5 62.8

63.9 67.5 65.4

66.1 70.2 67.8

68.9 73.3 70.8

71.6 76.1 73.5

72.9 77.5 74.8

74.0 78.6 75.7

75.0 79.7 77.3

75.8 80.6 78.1

44.1 46.5 45.3

47.3 50.0 48.6

50.8 54.0 52.3

54.1 57.8 55.9

56.1 60.6 58.2

52.2 62.2 56.7

50.8 63.8 56.6

59.0 68.0 63.2

63.3 71.1 66.8

66.5 72.5 69.5

67.7 73.7 70.7

41.8 42.3 42.0

43.7 44.7 44.1

46.2 47.9 47.0

49.0 51.3 50.0

52.4 55.4 53.7

54.4 58.0 56.0

56.1 W.6 58.1

58.3 63.7 60.8

60.5 66.8 63.4

62.9 70.0 66.3

65.5 72.5 69.0

40.6 43.3 41.9

43.1 46.3 44.7

46.3 49.8 48.0

49.2 52.9 50.9

52.0 56.0 53.9

55.5 59.7 57.4

59.0 63.2 60.9

62.6 66.9 64.5

64.1 69.4 66.4

64.0 71.6 67.7

64.8 72.6 68.6

48.9 52.5 50.8

53.3 57.3 55.2

56.4 60.6 58.3

58.2 62.5 60.1

60.1 65.2 62.4

62.2 68.6 65.0

64.4 71.2 67.4

66.8 73.0 69.5

69.0 74.6 71.5

71.3 76.1 73.7

72.4 77.4 74.9

40.9 43.7 42.3

44.1 46.8 45.4

47.3 50.0 48.6

50.5 53.4 51.9

53.7 56.8 55.2

55.3 60.0 57.5

56.5 62.6 59.3

59.0 65.5 62.0

63.5 68.7 65.8

65.9 71.1 68.4

73.8 70.8

54.4 56.2 55.2

58.4 60.4 59.2

60.9 63.1 61.8

63.1 65.5 64.1

64.9 68.1 66.2

67.0 71.1 66.7

68.4 73.3 70.5

69.3 74.6 71.5

70.2 75.7 72.5

71.3 76.4 73.7

72.3 77.4 74.7

50.3 53.8 52.0

52.6 56.5 54.5

54.7 58.9 56.7

56.4 60.8 58.5

58.1 63.1 60.5

60.2 65.3 62.6

61.7 68.0 64.8

63.3 70.0 66.5

64.7 71.8 68.2

66.6 73.8 70.1

68.1 75.2 71.6

60.4 65.1 62.5

62.1 67.4 64.4

62.5 68.6 65.1

62.8 69.3 65.6

64.1 70.8 67.1

65.4 72.2 68.5

68.8 73.7 69.9

67.6 74.6 70.8

68.6 75.8 71.9

69.7 77.0 73.3

70.8 78.1 74.3

38.5 42.5 40.4

39.9 44.0

41.9

41.4 45.6 43.4

43.0 47.3 45.0

44.6 49.0 46.7

48.0 52.2 50.0

52.0 55.9 53.9

55.6 59.1 57.3

58.3 61.8 60.0

60.1 64.0 62.1

61.8 66.0 63.9

..........................................

49.3 52.7 50.9

51.5 55.3 53.3

53.9 57.7 55.7

55.8 59.8 57.6

57.4 62.0 59.5

59.4 64.0 61.5

60.4 66.8 63.3

61.9 69.1 65.2

63.6 71.3 67.1

65.7 73.3 69.4

67.3 74.9 71.0

........................

52.9 56.8 54.7

53.8 58.7 56.1

55.3 61 0 57.9

.

57.6 63.8 60.5

60.5 66.8 63.4

63.9 70.6 67.1

67.4 74.2 70.6

69.6 75.9 72.5

71.5 77.4 74.1

72.8 78.8 75.8

74.0 80.8 77.9

49.0 52.3 50.6

53.5 56.9 55.1

56.2 59.7 57.9

58.3 61.8 60.0

59.7 63.9 61.6

61.8 66.3 63.8

63.6 70.2 66.7

64.5 71.7 67.8

64.5 73.0 68.4

66.5 74.2 70.3

75.4 71.7

47.1 49.6 48.4

50.1 52.7 51.4

53.4 56.1 54.6

55.4 58.2 56.7

57.4 60.5 58.8

59.7 63.2 61.3

62.5 66.7 64.3

65.3 69.9 67.2

67.6 72.6 69.6

69.7 75.1 72.3

71.3 77.2 74.2

CENTRAL AMRlCA

Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Coata Rlca Males ...................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined El Salvador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

Guapmaia Males ............................................. Females

..............

Hondurw Males .......

................ Both sexes combined ...................... Females ...

.................

Lkxico Males .......................................

..........................................

Females Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females ................................ Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined

.............................. ........... ...................................... Females ........................ Both sexes combined ......................

Bolivia Males .............................................

..........................................

Females Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Colombia Males Females Both sexes combined Ecuador Males .................................... Femeles Both sexes GomMned

........ ................... ......................................... ......................

.......................................... ......................

682

68.0

68.0

United Nations Department of Economicand Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-2015 2015-2020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 United States Virgin Islands Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CENTRAL AMERICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belize Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Costa Rica Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... El Salvador Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guatemala Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Honduras Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mexico Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females ............................. ........ Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females ....................... . ................ Both sexes combined ......................

..

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Males ................... ..... .......... Females ............................ .. ....... Both sexes combined ...................... Argentina Males .................................. ....... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Bollvia .. .......... Males ............................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males .............................. . ............ Females ...................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Colombla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ecuador .. ..... ....... Males ....................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

. .

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

T a w 1130 We expectancy at birth by major a m . region and country (continued)

Estimates: 195o-2005 Life- e

at birth (pars)

Major a m . region and country

1950-19561955-19801980-19651986-1970 1970-19751975-19801980.1985 1985-lggO 1990-19951995-2OOO2OOO-2005 Fmch Gulana

............................................. .......................................... ...................... Guyana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... P a w w Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes COmMned ........... Peru Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Surlname Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both saxes combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Venezwia (Bollvwkn Ropublkof) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...........

50.3 56.9 53.3

53.0 59.9 58.1

58.4 63.2 59.4

81.4 68.0 64.2

62.5 69.5 65.7

63.1 70.5 66.5

73.0 69.4

68.2 74.5 71.2

70.0 78.0 72.8

71.5 77.5 74.2

71.9 79.1 75.1

50.8 53.9 52.3

53.3 58.4

57.5 81.0 59.2

58.0 62.1

54.8

55.8 58.9 57.3

80.0

58.3 63.2 60.7

58.2 64.0 60.9

58.9 64.9 61.8

59.3 66.1 62.5

56.6 65.6 62.1

80.6 66.5 63.6

60.7 64.7 62.8

81.3 65.2 63.2

62.5 68.4 64.4

63.1 87.0 65.0

63.8 88.1 65.8

64.4 68.7 66.4

64.9 69.3 66.9

65.4 69.9 67.4

66.3 70.8 68.2

67.2 71.7 69.4

68.7 72.9 70.8

42.9 45.0 43.9

45.1 47.5 48.3

47.8 50.5 49.1

50.1 53.0 51.4

53.9 57.3 55.4

58.7 80.5 58.4

59.5 63.8 81.4

62.1 66.8

64.1

64.4 69.2 66.5

66.0 70.9 68.4

67.5 72.5 69.9

54.4 57.7 56.0

57.0 60.5 58.7

58.7 62.5 60.5

80.5 64.5 62.5

61.7 66.5 64.0

62.8 67.7 65.1

64.8 69.9 67.6

65.7 70.7 68.2

66.1 71.1 68.8

66.3 71.8 69.0

72.5 69.1

63.3 69.4 88.1

64.2 70.4 87.0

65.4 71.6 68.3

65.5 71.9 66.5

65.6 72.2 66.7

66.3 73.1 69.5

87.6 74.5 70.8

88.8

75.8 71.9

69.2 78.9 72.8

70.5 78.0 74.2

71.8 78.9 75.3

53.8

58.6 59.8 57.9

59.3 62.8 80.8

81.5 66.1 63.5

63.3 68.9 65.7

64.8 70.7 67.5

65.9 71.8 66.6

87.7 73.5 70.2

68.7 74.5 71.2

69.3 75.2 72.1

69.9 75.8 72.8

66.7 73.0 89.7

66.9 73.6 70.1

67.0 74.3 70.5

67.9 75.5 71.6

69.8 77.3 73.4

70.8 77.8 74.3

71.6 78.3 74.9

72.3 78.8 75.5

73.8 79.5 76.7

74.9 80.3 77.6

67.7 73.3 70.8

68.5 74.6 71.4

69.0 75.7 72.0

69.6 78.7 73.2

70.8 78.2 74.2

72.5 79.5 75.9

73.7 80.3 77.0

74.8

71.7 69.1

77.9

75.9 81.4 78.7

77.3 82.3 79.8

66.1 72.0 68.9

66.6 72.9 69.7

66.8 73.5 70.0

66.8 74.1 70.4

67.8 75.4 71.5

69.5 77.2 73.3

70.8 77.9 74.1

71.5 70.4 74.7

72.2 78.9 75.3

73.6 79.3 76.5

74.7 80.0 77.4

58.1 62.9 80.4

59.8 64.9 62.3

81.1 66.5 63.7

61.8 67.4 64.5

63.1 68.7 65.8

64.9 71.1 67.9

66.8 73.7 70.1

67.6 74.3 70.9

89.2 75.6 72.3

70.2 78.3 73.2

71.6 77.3 74.4

67.0 72.3 69.6

87.7 73.4 70.5

67.9 74.1 70.9

87.7 74.3 70.9

68.5 75.1 71.7

69.9 76.8 73.3

71.7 78.3 75.0

72.7 79.1 75.9

74.4 80.3 77.4

75.7 61.3 78.5

77.7 82.6 80.2

66.9 72.4 69.6

67.5 73.5 70.4

67.8 74.2 70.9

67.6 74.3 70.9

68.4 75.2 71.7

70.1 77.0 73.5

71.9 70.7 75.2

73.0 79.4 78.1

74.7 80.6 77.6

75.9 81.5 78.7

77.9 82.9 80.4

87.5 71.8 69.6

68.3 73.2 70.7

68.3 73.9 71.0

66.3 74.4 71.3

66.7 74.8 71.7

69.3 75.7 72.4

70.7 78.9 73.7

71.5 77.7 74.5

73.3 78.9 78.1

75.0 80.1 77.6

77.0 81.3 79.2

............................................. .......................................... ......................

36.4 38.5 37.4

39.0 41.2 40.0

41.7 43.9 42.7

44.2 48.5 45.3

48.7 48.9 47.7

50.2 54.0 52.0

53.1 58.1 55.0

53.7 59.0 55.8

55.1 80.4 57.3

55.9 61.4 58.3

56.4 62.0 58.9

............................................. ..........................................

50.8

52.8 57.0 54.6

54.8 59.0 58.5

58.8 61 0 58.8

58.8 63.0 60.6

80.8 65.0 62.7

62.8 67.0 64.7

64.7 68.9 66.8

64.6 68.8 66.6

64.8

69.1 66.8

65.7 70.1 67.8

Males Females Both sexes combined

58.8

55.1

66.0

66.0

NORTHERN AMERICA (18)

............................................. .......................................... 80th sexes OOmMned ...................... Maks Females

Canada

............................................. ..........................................

Males Females Both sexes combined

...................... Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes ccfnbined ......................

66.1 71.9 88.8

66.8

81.0

United States ot Amorlea

OCEANIA Males .............................................

.......................................... ......................

Females Both sexes ccinbined

AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND

............................................. ......................................... ........... Au8tralia (19) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Maks ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Males Females Both sexes combined

MELANESIA

Males Females Both sexes combined Fiji

Males Females Both sexes combined

684

......................

55.0 52.5

.

United Nations D e p a M of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulationDivision W o M Population Prospecls: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. L i e expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)

Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 French Gulana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guyana Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paraguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Peru Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Surlname Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Males Females Both sexes combined

..........................................

............................................. .......................................... ......................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Canada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Unlted States of Amerlca Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... OCEANIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Males ............................................. Females Bdh sexes combined ...................... Australia (19) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

.........................................

MELANESIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fijl Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, regionand country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 M8jor area, region and country

-

Life eapectancyat birth (pan)

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1885 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005

N m CII.donla Males

.............................................

50.0 53.0 51.4

51.O 55.0 52.8

55.5 61.5 58.2

57.5 63.5 80.2

58.5 64.5 61.2

63.0 69.0 65.8

65.6 71.6 68.4

67.3 73.3 70.0

69.2 74.5 71.5

69.8 76.1 72.7

71.9 78.7 75.1

33.8 35.7 34.7

36.3 38.2 37.2

38.8 40.7 39.7

41.3 43.2 42.2

43.8 45.7 44.7

47.5 51.3 49.3

50.7 55.5 52.5

51.3 56.6 53.4

53.0

58.5 55.2

53.7 59.5 56.2

54.1 59.9 56.7

44.9 46.4 45.4

47.4 48.9 47.9

49.9 51.4 50.4

52.4 53.9 53.0

54.9 56.4 55.5

57.4 58.9 58.0

58.2 59.5 58.7

55.5 56.3 55.8

57.9 58.8 58.3

60.3 61.3 60.7

61.6 63.0 62.3

40.6 43.5 42.0

43.6 46.5 45.0

46.6 49.5 48.0

49.6 52.5 51.0

52.4 55.7 54.0

55.3 58.8 57.0

58.2 61.9 60.0

60.7 63.6 61.9

62.9 65.9 65.1

65.0 68.3 66.5

66.8 70.4 68.4

.............................................

51.9 54.6 53.2

54.0 58.7 55.2

56.0 58.9 57.3

57.9 60.9 59.3

60.0 63.1 61.4

61.7 65.0 63.2

62.9 86.4 64.6

64.3 68.0 66.1

65.7 69.7 67.6

67.4 71.4 69.3

68.7 72.8 70.7

Male8 .............................................

55.4 59.7 57.0

57.9 62.2 59.5

60.4 64.7 62.1

62.6 67.1 64.5

64.6 69.2 66.8

66.4 71.O 68.4

67.9 72.5 89.9

69.2 73.8 71.3

70.4 75.0 72.5

71.4 76.0 73.6

72.4 77.0 74.6

54.1 55.2 54.6

56.1 57.2 56.6

58.1 59.2 58.6

60.1 61.2 60.5

62.2 63.3 62.6

64.3 65.4 64.7

64.6 65.9 65.3

65.4 66.5 65.9

65.9 67.0 66.4

66.5 67.6 67.1

66.9 68.2 67.6

48.6 52.5 50.4

51.9 56.1 53.9

54.1 58.4 56.1

56.3 60.8 58.4

58.4 62.9 60.5

60.0 64.9 62.3

62.5 67.7 64.9

64.4 69.9 66.9

66.4 71.6 68.8

68.0 73.2 70.4

69.3 74.5 71.8

48.0 50.0 48.9

53.5 56.4 54.8

55.6 58.6 57.0

57.5 61.3 59.2

59.3 63.0 60.9

60.5 64.9 62.4

64.0 69.0 66.2

65.6 71.1 68.2

67.9 72.8 70.2

69.5 74.6 71.8

70.6 75.8 73.0

43.0 49.6 45.9

45.5 52.1 48.5

48.0 54.6 51.1

50.5 57.1 53.6

53.0 59.6 56.1

55.5 62.1 58.7

58.0 64.6 61.2

60.5 67.1 63.7

63.1 69.7 66.0

65.4 71.9 68.4

67.1 73.5 70.0

58.5 58.7 58.8

60.2 60.7 60.4

61.9 62.7 62.3

63.4 64.7 64.0

64.9 66.5 65.6

65.9 68.0 66.7

66.9 69.5 68.0

67.9 70.8 89.2

89.0 71.4 70.0

70.2 72.2 71.1

71.3 73.3 72.3

Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Papua New Gulnu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon Islands Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MCRONESIA (20) Males

Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guam

................. ned ...................... Mcronda (Fad. Stataa 09 Males ............................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (21) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fmch Polyneslm

Males ............................................. Females .........................................

&mw

........................

Males Females .................... Both sexes c m n e d ...................... Tonga Males ............................ Females .......................................... Both sexes cwnblned ......................

a b c d e

More devdoprd regions m p r b Europe, Northem America. AustralialNew-and and Japan. Leu, d&oped regions comprile all regions d Attica, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin Amerka and the Caribbean plus Wanesia,Mcnmssla and Pdyneaia. Le681developed countries are 50 wncrles. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceanla plus me country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Omw less dadcountllsaccmprlso d the Ims developed regions exdudlngthe least develc+ed countries. Sub-Saharan Attica refento all d Nrica e m p l Northem Africa, with the Sudan Included in subSaharan Africa.

1 lncludlngSeychelles. 2 lndudhghimyone. 3 lnduding *a. Rodriguaa, and h i n t Brandon. 4 including ssht Helma, Arcension, and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For s t a t W purpares, the data for China do not include Hmg Kong and Maceo,Special Admin$tratlveRegions (SAR) of China. 6 As ot 1 July 1887, clong Kong becamea Special Admlnktrirtiva Region (SAR)ofChina. 7 Ae of 20 December 1998, Macao bacame a Spedal Administrative Repion (SAR) of China. 8 The regions Southern Asia and Central Ash am combined into South-Central Asia.

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)

Major area, reglon and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

New Caledonia Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Papua New Gulnes Males Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon lslands Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males .. ............... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MCRONESIA (20) Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guam Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Micronesia (Fed. States ot) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (21) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Polynesia Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Samoa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Tonga Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................

.............................................

............................................. .............................................

........................

.............................................

............................................. .........................................

............................................. ..........................................

......................

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

19 20

21

lncluding Faeme Islands, and Isle of Man. Refersto Guernsey, and Jerrey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugaslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. IncludingAnguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat. Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. Induding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncludlng Kiribatl, Matshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Cwk Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna lslands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaii-dPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)

Major area, region and county 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

WORLD

153

137

116

100

90

83

73

65

62

58

54

MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQIONS (b) Least developedcountries(c) Other less develqwd countries (d)

59 175 197 172

43 159 163 155

33 133 170 127

26

18 92 137 84

15 81 125 72

13 72 117 63

10

113 157 106

21 101 148 93

111 57

9 63 103 53

8 59 95 49

Less developed regions, excluding China

166

151

138

126

114

103

92

83

76

70

65

SubSaharan Afrlu (0)

177

166

154

144

133

124

117

112

110

106

100

181

189

156

145

133

122

113

107

103

99

93

178 167 178 223 176 I99 147 181 212 99

164 157 167

149 149 154 185 151 160 117 155

138 140 141 169 139 148 104 143 195 57 172 73 137 167 116 128 118 90

127 137 127 154 133 140 92 133 185 55 158 41 134 155 103 119 107 63

120 127 116 141 127 135

113 119 106 127 116 131 69 111 150 28 143 14 124 143 107 104 98 63

108 113 95 120 104 122 67 110 143 24 143 10 117 135 100

106 129 80 112 90 115 65 96 132 20 135 20 134 163 95 101 109 54

97 114 68 102 74 105 68 85 116 18 118 17 120 139 89

89 106 58 95 63 95 70 75 101 15 108 15 118 127 84 78 102

147 186 133 152

125 164 110 123 144 91 117 149 95 73

120 160 93 115 134

119 160

110 138 167 134 81

135 173 121 141 152 95 127 157 114 75

119 155 87 108 125 76 119 119 59 83

126 148 91 104 125 76 134 110 59 81

117 141 90 102 124 75 120 101 62

132 131 142 105 123 132 119 160

115 106 127 68 I08 118

97 84 111 50

67 54 67 31 58 91 34 76

55 47 24 47 80 26 65

45 37 36 21 37 73 22 53

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. C o m m (2) .......................................... Ethiopia

................................................

Matawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .........................................

.....

...

MDDLE AFRICA A .......... C ............................................. Central African Republic Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialQuinea .................................

......

........................

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Morocco ............................................... Sudan ...................................................

.................................................... ......... ...

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ..............................................

Lesotho ................................................

..............

Namibia .............. South Africa ........ .............. Swaziland .............................................

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ......... ....................... Cdte d'lvoire ........ ....................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau .... ...................... Mall ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

688

141 161 207 160 153 148 115

163 181 134 167 209 79 201 110 152 193 145 143 137 105

182 231 169 190 188 169 166 I96 179 169

171 215 158 177 179 150 157 186 167 139

159 200 145 164 169 130 149 176 158

189 185 210 185 170 169 175 217

177 175 195 170 160 163 163 202

164 159

180 150 145 155 155 187

150 148 165 125 133 144 138 174

104 135 169 172 96 174

98 124 150 149 91 160

92 113 134 130 87 150

89 104 130 115 84 141

81 90 123 101

191 187 238 130 175 274 142 214 211 194 237 143

181 176 217 116 165 250 133

170 165 197 105 154 223 124 201 196 180 218 129

160 155 178 92 143 194 116 193 189 172 205 122

149 145 156

220

..................... ................................................

Rwanda Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................

203

208 204 187 228 137

203 61 185 87 143 179 130 136 127 97

98

t60

77 124

83 133 164 108 184 183 165 193 115

80 122 165 38 146 21 132 149 106 108 100 74

86 117 138 78 74

99 102 56

83 104 127 82 119 127 62 79 81 65 88

38

68

90 105 64

48

64

77

88

64

134

110

72 99 49 88

74 75 110 87 71 108

64 64 94 75 61 91

54 54 84 66 51 81

51 52 70 59 49 75

52 60 73 57 50 80

54 59 74 55 52 87

139 136 139 71 122 134

130 129 131 63 115 110 90 162 164 150 173 98

124 122 127

120 116 121 44 116 90 73 137 140 179 156 82

116 110 116 36 118 84 67 125 131 152 147 75

112 106 110 30 122

99 173 176 158 182 108

88 106

53 111 97 81 150 151 138 164

90

80 63 113 121 143 138 68

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000libe births)

Major area, region and country

2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Atrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoms (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola ..... ......... Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S%oTom6 and Prlncipe .........................

....................................

NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBle d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Biisau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table 1131. Infant mortality rate by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)

Major a m , region and country 1990-1995 1995-2oOo -2005

1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1-I990

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA

EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China, W g Kong SAR (6) .................... Japan ...................................................

SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republicof).......................

..

Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka ...........

........................................

Turkmenistan Uzbekistan ............................................

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ............. Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 People'sDemocratic Republic ......... Malaysia ...............................................

Wet Nam ...............................................

WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................

159

191 154 173 211 146

169 144 158 203 134

189 135 136 195 121

189 127 115 186 110

167 121 98 176 104

174 118 87 187 99

150 117 77 171 97

119 116 69 166 94

160

130

107

94

86

74

64

59

54

49

161 195 79 100 91 51 148 115

165 179 54

76 81 23 49 56 16 108 58

56 61 17

35 38 10 16 30 7 78 23

30 31 7 12

26 30

44 12 98 38

48 52 13 31 35 9

I00

112 121 33 66 67 25 121 70

27 28 4 9 48 4 49 8

24 26 4 8 50 3 45 5

170 275 200 185 166 186 110 140 185 211 169 77 160 150 125

158 261 187 181 153 169 102 130 168 199 158 64 151 140 115

145 246 174 174 140 I54 93 120 152 187 148 63 142 130 105

133 226 159 163 128 132

122 212 148 149 117 115

110 194 I38 133 104 100 69 90 106 139 118 41 116 101 76

99 164 120 117 95 88

69 177 105 104 86 69 52 70

72 171 73 70 69 44 43

65 168 61

169 68 165 201 170 99 181 134 66 118 264 158

151 64 152 163 162 82 154 114 41 100 242 144

134 62 140 166 155 63 140 96 30

91 23 263 106 132 34 94 70 13 44 254

75 14 116 89 122 28

191

168 78 115 150 31 73 130 38 130 101 73 145 182 116 180 130 203 160

164 215 236 185

200 174 201 227 171

176

204

83 120 175 53

80 Israel .................................................... Jordan ..................................................

150 41 145 125 67 160 200 133

....................... ............................. Territory ............... ............................. ............................. Saudi Arabia .........................................

200

United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

144 233 180 241

690

85 76 37 134

229

196 164 166

220

83 221 130 148 73 110 110 29 66 113 29 110

80 61 125 162 95 160 119 176 130 219

43

85

77

110 136 173 138 133 120 94

100 121 156 128 50 125 111 84

118 61 130 144 148 50 121

105 54 181 126 141 42 106

86

80

24 69 201 116

19 56 163 107

130 66 105 76

114 63 100 50 29 52

52

29 59 97 25 95 57

53 102 138 75 140 101 153

85 205

85 22

82

88 30

83 93 58 95 35 20 49 66 18 65

41 47

32

82

65

110 57 105

83 46 78 65 115 38 155

83 138 57 164

44

6a 80 94 123 108

29 107 91 71

86 61 8 34 183 70 76

53 90 21 I6 47

60 14 52 24 41 51 58 33

56 50 93 32 126

26 5 73 14

82 107 98 22 98 61 65 61 12 98 70 108 17 85 52 7 27 166 55 60 48

85 16 11 44 48 11 42 17 37 35 37 21 42 40 70 23 105

5

10 42 4 68 14 79 171 89

88 7r 55 51 60 65 91 87 17

60 55 73 63 15

88

80

74 59

76 58

51 8 90 58

41 7

89 15 81

43 6

20 125 38 54 41 81 17 7

40 73 9 33 13 31 27 24 17 32 31 54 16 92

83 45 73 12 76 34 4 16 98 29

51 34 78 14 6 41 94 6 28 10

28 25

20 13 26

23 40 11

80

53 62 37

32 55 46 64 75 12 63 78 58 33 6 73 34 62 10 75 28 3 12 78

22

48 30 76 13 8 40 94

5 23 9 25 21 15 10

22 19 31 9 69

United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AlfairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabb A31. infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050 ProJectlons Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)

Major a m , region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-m 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 111 109

104 101

97 92

88

62

58

55 47 110 49

49 45 102 46

20

18

11

10 10 3 4 28 3 17 3

EASTERN ASIA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) Dem. People's Republic of Korea

25 78 13 18

35 30

SWTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan .................................................. India Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Maldives Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan Turkmenistan ........................................ Urbekistan ............................................

10 4 15 9 13 5 27 9 3 6 16 9

SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam Cambodia Indonesia .............................................. Leo People's Democratic Republk Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand ................................................ Tlmor-Leste ........................................... Wet Nam ...............................................

11 15 38 8 4 21 14 3 8 5 9 8 7 5 8 8 10 5 14

WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................

77 88 52 125

83

88

63

80

180 89

155

82

148 75

43

38

34

31

27

25

22

22

20

23 4 7 48 3 40 4

20

18 18 3 8 43 3

18 17 3 8 40 3

13 13 3 5

12 12 3

35

32

29

4

4

15 15 3 5 38 3 28 4

33 3 21 3

58 157 52 45 55 31 24

52 147 44 38 49 25 21 50 27 45 81 10 56 89 51

47 137 36 33

42 127

48

28 39 18 18 41 17 30 49 9 50 56 45

23 5 53 21 43 8 58 19 3 10 56 17

20 5 44 18

17 5 36 15

35

29

7 51 17 3 9 47 15

7 48 15 3 8 39 14

32 27 87 10 5 36 56 4 17 8 19 15 11 8 16 14 24 8 49

26

22

25

23 58

53 34 54 87 11

80 75

55 27 8 83 27 51 9

88 23 3 11 87 20

39 29 72 11 6 39

82 5 19 8

22 18 12 8 19 18 28 8 59

4 6 46 3 35 4

43 21 18 48

22 37 54 10 53 62

82 9

5 34 41 4 15 7 17 13 10 7 14 12 21 7 41

29

9 5 31 32 4 13 7 15 12 9 7 13 11 18 7

33

38 118 24 25

3 23 4

35 108

20

35

22 32

16 14

14 13

38

35

15 25 44 9

13 21 40 8 42 47 38

48 51 42 15 5 30 13 24 8 41 13 3 7

32 13 I9 21

53 8 4

29 26 4 11 .6 13 10 8 7 11 10 15 6 27

Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone Togo .....................................................

72 81 49 117 53

03 78 54 133

90 84 57 141 88

13 5 25 12 20 8 37

5

31 96 17 19 28 12 11 32 12 17 36 8 39

43 35 12 5

20 10

11 3 4 30 3 18 3 28

E5 15 17 25 11 10 29 10 15 32 7 38 39

32 11 4 18

S

3 6 28 12

17 8 33 10 3 8 22 11

15 5 30 9 3 8 18 10

16 I9 49 8 4 26 22 4 10 8 11 10 8 8 10 9 13 6 23

14 18 45 7 4 24 19 4 9 8 10 9 7 6 9 9 12 5 19

13 17 41 7

11

4 22 18 3 9 6 9 8 7 8 9 8 10 5 17

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AfbirdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

23 10 9

26 10 13

29 7 33

.........................................

ASIA

.......................... ........... ...................................... ....................................... Republic of Korea ..................................

........................................... ........................................... ..................................................... ....................... ........................................... ............................................ ............................................... ................................................ ..............................................

................................ ............................................. ......... ............................................... .............................................. ............................................ .............................................

Azerbaijan .............................................

.................................................

Bahrain Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan Kuwalt

.................................................. .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Temitocy ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. United Arab Emlrates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

691

.

Table A31 Infant mortallty rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estlmakn: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.OOO live births)

mglon cmndcountry

MW-.

1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 198ClggO 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus Bulgatia ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary Mddova ................................................

.................................................

................................................ pdend .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Skwakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

NORTHERN EUROPE (0) channel lslandil (10) Denmark ............................................... Estonia Finland (11) Iceland .................................................. Ireland L a m.................................................... Lithuinia ............................................... Nomay ( I2) Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................

............................. ................................................. .......................................... ..................................................

..........................................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13)

................................................. ........................ .................................................. .............................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... m r t w ................................................ SeIbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... Albania Bosnla and Hmegovina croatia Greece

72

50

37

30

25

22

18

16

13

11

9

91 75 92 44 71 81 95 101 97 73 85

58 44 62 24 58 69 72 78 57 39 49

40

33 24 31

28 21 26 21 34 46 27 40 28 24

27

22

22 23

23 20 18 15 20 35 20 26 28 18 20

21 16 14 11 17 27 17 26 24 14 18

19 15 16 8 13 24 15 23 22 12 17

18 15 15 5 10 23 10 21 21 9 17

14 10 13 4 7 17 7 17 17 7 13

33

26 23 23 48 26 17 34

16 15 12 21 12 12 18 21 22 12 10 17

13 13 9 22 9 9 15 23 22 9 8 14

10 9 8 16 6 6 10 18 18 8 7 11

9 6 6 14 8 6 8 15 15

8 6 7 14 5 5 7 15 16 6 5 8

6 6 5 10 4 3 6 13 12 6 4 6

5 5 5 7 4 3 5 12 9 4 3 5

41 77 72 41 42

31 58 51 27 26

22 30 45 47 22 21 74

16 45 27 18 15 13 13 23 20 34 14 11 45

14 38

33

23 50 36 21 25 16 15 26 30 38 17 16 57

10 31 17 11 9 7 9 20 9 17 7 7 27

8 28 15 9 8 6 8 21 6 15 6 5 19

7 22 13 7 8 5 7 24 6 13 5 4 17

6 7 8 7 6 6 6 6

5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5

4 5 4 4 4 5 5 4

30 28

77 34 21 41 68 93 23 20

29 76 145 137 108

60

40 62 20 17 24

30 36 21 44 59 51 60 40 27 31 22 22 20 32 19 17 26 30 42 17 15 22

63 125 115 81 56

52 99 94 58

48 40

40 34 59 76

50

22 37 49

36 52 32 26 23 18 18

16 23 15 13 23 22 27 14 13 19

34

22 22 18 27 46 23 31

30

8 6 9

20 14 11 10

60 75 87 91 110 87 62 140

51 123

30 42 117

28 42 61 61 2t 33 95

45 53 42 45 51 44 24 29

34 42 31 33 38 37 19 23

26 32 27 25 29 29 16 20

21 27 21 21 23 21 14 17

18 24 17 16 21 17 12 13

13 16 13 11 15 13 10 10

10 12 10 9 11 12 8

9 9 8 6 9 7 7

LATIN AYERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

126

113

101

91

81

69

57

47

38

32

25

CARIBBEAN (16) A~ba Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba Dominican RepuMi .............................. Grenade ............................................... Guadeloupe Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica Martinique ............................................. NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................

125 69 79 132 81 153 61

110 52 56 87 70 139 58

94

46 17 21 14 15 48 43 9

220

193 76 56 51 51 105 110 63 46

70 24 35 27 22 86 50 32 131 37 22

54

60

73 26 38 33 38 96 52 39 135 45 35 28 25 39 64 41 29

66 17

80

83 35 41 46 50 109 54 45 150 52 42 35 33 48 73 46 35

39 20 17 14 10 41 41 8 70 15 8 15 11 17 26 16 11

32 19 15 12 6 35 38 7 56 15 7 15 8 15 27 15 9

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France Germany ............................................... Luxembourg Netherlands

-s

.................................................. .......................................... .......................................... .........................

....................................................

....................................................

.......................................... ................................................ ...........................................

692

92 65 69 63 115 116 76

58

76 86 93

43

80

43 48 61 59 124 56 49 171 61 48 42 45 81 00

48 41

22 20 29 51 32 25

8

30 19 17 75 47 25 122 31 14 18 17 23 42 19 21

19 14

30 10 8 40

8

I6 24 16 16

63 45 22 100 27 10 17 14 20 35 17 17

86 17 9 15 12 17 30 15 14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

tabb A31.lnhnt morbw rate by major a m , roglon and country (contkwwd)

Infant mortalityrate (infantdeath8 per l.aO0 lhre M r h ) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2o20-2025 2025-2030 2030-20352035-20402o40-2015 2045-2050

6

6

5

5

5

10 8 9 3 6 13

10 8 8 3

5

5

7 6 6 3 4 9 4

9 12

8 7 7 3 5 10 5 8 10 5 8

8 7 6 3 4 10 4

10 13 5 10

9 7 7 3 5 11 5 8 11 5 9

4 5 4 6 3 3 4 6 7 3 3 4

4 4 4 5 3 3 4 7 6 3 3 4

4 4 3

3 4 3

9 8 3 3 5

4 5 4 6 3 3 4 9 7 3 3 4

6 17 11 6 6

6 15 10 6 6

5

5

5 13 9 5 5 4

5 12 6 5 5 4

6 21 5 11 4 4 13

6 19

4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4

8

7

13 9 12 4 7 16 7 15 17 7 13

12 9 11 4 6 15 6 13 15 6 12

11 9 10 3 6 14 6 12 14 6 11

5 5 4 7 4 3 5 10 9 3 3 5

4 5 4 7 4 3

8 19 12 6 7 5 6 22 5 12 5 4 15

8

5

6

5 12

5 9

7

7

10 4 8

9 4 7

3 4 3 4 3 2 3

5

5

3 2 4 6 6 3 3 4

3 2 3 6

3 4 3 4 3 2 3 5

5

5

5 5

3 2 3

2 2 3

2 2 3

5 12 8 5 5 4

4 11 7

4 9 6 4 4 4 4 12 4 6 4 3 7

5

5

5

5

10 4 4 12

18 4 9 4 4 11

16 4 8 4 4 10

15 4 7 4 4 9

14 4 7 4 3 8

4 10 7 4 4 4 4 13 4 6 4 3 8

4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3

4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3

3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3

3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3

22

18

16

14

12

10

9

9

8

29 17 14 10 5 30 34 7 49 14 7 15 7 13 23 12 9

25 15 11 9 4 25 30 6 44 13 6 13 7 11

22 14 9 9 4 21

20

18 11 8 8 3 16

16 10 7 7 2 14 18

14 9 7 7

12 9 6 6 2 11 14 4

11 8 6 6 2 10 12 4 17 9 4 7 5 6 10 8

20 10 8

5

28

13 8 8 4 16 25

6 39 12 6 12 6 10 18 9 7

5 35 12 6 11 6 9 16 8 7

22 5 31 11

5 10 6 8 15 7 6

5 26 10

5 0 5 8 13 7 6

5 4 4

2 12 16 4 23 10 5 8

5 7 12 6 8

20 9 5 8 5 7 11 6 5

United Nations Department of Economic end soda1 AffairslPopulaUon Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn, Vdume I: Comprehensive T a w

5

nyor.m,nokn~-*

EASTERN EUROPE Belluur ................................................. Bubatia Czech Republic ..................................... Hucgaly ................................................ MddoM

................................................

................................................ .................................................. ............................................... ............................... ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. Poland Romania R M n Fodemtbn slankh

MORTHERN EUROP€ (0) channel IslandB (10)

............................. Estonia ................................................. F h n d (11) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. hhda .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ united Kingdom ..................................... Denmark ...............................................

SOUTHERN EURO# (1s)

................................................. ........................ croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. IMy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... M~mtenegro.......................................... Foltugal ................................................ SerMa ................................................... !3bwnia ................................................ Spain .................................................... T M R Macedonia (14) ........................... Albnnh b s n b nnd bmgovina

WESTERN EUROPE(IS)

Almtlia .................................................. eeigium ................................................ France .................................................. Glmnmly ...............................................

Lu*embourg ..........................................

Mhemn&3.......................................... swnzerland ...........................................

LATIN * Y R I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16)

Aruba .................................................... Bahamas ..............................................

.............................................. Dominican RspuMk .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guiide$oupa.......................................... Haiil ...................................................... Jamrica ................................................ Martin............................................. NethellandaAntuleo .............................. Puerto R i w ........................................... saint Luch ............................................ Saint W m m I and the Qrenadines .......... TdnkM nnd Tobago ............................. United State8 W a n Islands ................... BaIbadtm

cubs ....................................................

693

Table 1131. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.OOO live births)

MaJorarea, reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-19s5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005

CENTRAL AMERICA

86 60 68 110 115 119 79 114 52

75 52 53 105 102 104 69 98 44

64 45 30 95 91 81 57 90

53 39 19

80

65

36

32

30

84

57 32 109 63 24

38

151 91 69 73 95 46 79 53 110 49 46 49

71 39 131 79 45 57 82

73

94 57 157 100 89 82 107 51 82 59 126 55 47 60

27 30 28

25 26 25

22 21 22

61

55

51

24 24 26

22 21 24

145 80 93 158 146 169

MCRONESIA (20) G u m ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21)

127 88 94 151 141 169 121 172 93

109 78 88 137 134 154 101 151 75

96 69 81 123 127 135

126

115

104

66

60

60

176 135 120 123 140 103 119 73 159 a9 57 106

170 122 118 105 129 89 105 70 148 76 53 89

164 109 109

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

29 36 28

OCEANIA

Belize ................................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .......... Nicaragua ..... Panama ................................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ...... Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ....................................................

.........................................

uiana ...................................... Paraguay .............................................. hN

.....................................................

Suriname .............................................. Uruguay Venezuela (Wivarian Republic of) .........

....

AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND

YELANESIA

.%!anon Islands Vanuatu ............

88 131 63

77 79 65 47

44 36 17 54 67 53

40

30 23 12 32 46 35 28 34 24

24 19 10 26 39 32 21 26 21 25 15 56 27

63 43 48 35 20 23

31 22 87 34 11 24 33 16 58 39 39 34 16 21

36

29 15 40 55 43 33 48 27

67 51

68 32 70 49

99

82

44 42 39

39 33 34

47 27 90 52 18 35 56 25 67 47 68 36 23 27

18 16 18

14 12 14

10 9 10

9 7 9

8 6 8

7 5 7

7 5 7

48

44

42

34

33

29

30

29

20 20 21

18 18 18

17 17 16

13 13 14

10 10 12

9 9 10

7 7 7

6 6 6

5 5 6

133 73 83 145 132 150

121 66 73 134 118 132

iii

101 52 45 112 91 99

91 46 32 101 79 84

73

71 34 15 76

90

64 35 11 69 78

57

38

62 24 8 67 67 42

60

59 60 122 104 115

105 83 97

95 71 87

85 60

77

76 50 68

64 41 58

57 34 49

52 29 47

47 24 45

39 13 42

33 11 40

29 10 38

99 132 107 59

83 97 97 53

74 85 87 47

65 74 78 42

58 64 69 37

51 56

39

60

52 31

31 18 44 28

25 11 36 26

22 10 30 23

19 9 26 21

92 119 73 95 62 136 63

48

48

43

34

43

40 21 79 76 70

30

24 75

43 14 28 44

20

a

20 25 15 49 36 30 32 14 19

22 7 65

60 34

a MMe developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Leas developed regions comprise all regions d Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and Ihe Caribbean plus M a n e d , Micronesiaand Polynesia. c Least developed countries are 50 mntries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asa, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lath America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed Wntries cwnprise d the less developed regions excluding the least demlcped countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, wlth the Sudan included In sub-Saharan Africa. 1 Including Sey&elles. 2 Including Mayotte. 3 Including Pgslega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. 4 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For stalislicel purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. 8 As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong becsme a Speclal Adrninistratlve R e g i i (SAR) of China 7 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrativs Region (SAR) of China. 8 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into Soulh-Central Asia.

694

United Nations Depaftment of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division Worid Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections ~p

Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000live births)

Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

...........................................

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Bolivia Brazil ................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

.............................................. ...................................................

..................................................... .............................................. ................................................

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada United States of America .......................

.................................................

OCEANIA AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand

........................................ .........................................

MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................

........................................................

MICRONESIA (20) Guam Micronesia (Fed. States of)

................................................... ...................

POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................

9 lncluding Faeroa Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

lncluding Aland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Idands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic at Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein, and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Montserrat. Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Cairn Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miqueion. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands,and Palau. lncluding American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu. Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1995-2050 Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,OOO live births) Major area, reglon and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

WORLD

86

80

74

67

9

8 73 127 55

60

55

50

45

40

36

32

8

48

43

7 54 93 38

6 49

115

7 60 104

34

8 44 74 31

6 39 66 27

5 35 58 24

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)

11 94 167 75

153 69

9 81 141 62

Less developed regions, excluding China

106

98

89

81

73

66

60

54

48

43

38

SubSaharan Afrlca (e)

177

167

155

141

127

115

103

92

81

72

63

164

154

143

130

118

106

96

85

78

67

59

163 200 93 152 109 179 110 142 185 21

134 169 83 128

119 155 50 109 67 129 93 92 114 15 141 14 175 175 112 104 136 79

105 141

93 129 33

82 116 27 68 45

72 102 22 58

63

88

20 202 232 150 153 181 103

148 183 77 141 89 161 113 123 154 18 186 17 191 213 140 132 172 104

77 59 52 76 11 64 9 117 114 64 60 78 44

55 78 17 42 32 58 44 39 64 9 65 8 91 89

48 68 15 36 28 50 38 34 59 9 56 8

213 258 150 178 200 111 227 190 93 109

202 246 150 172 199 109 211 172 97 102

190 231 144 163 189 102 196 155

75 52 58 26 59 134

AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi .................................................

.....

Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia .. Uganda .. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA A C ......................... C C Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........

206

88

77 145 104 106 132 17 164 15 188 193 127 118 157 94

66

40 93 58 114 83

80 100 14 123 12 160 159 96 90 116 66

80 51 101 75 69 91 13 109 11 145 144 E4 79 101 57

02 102 55 66

25 15 15 11 16 52 11 20

22 14 13 11 13 45 11 18

19 13 12 10 12 39 10 15

18 12 11 9 11 34 9 13

40 29 53 26 40 49

36 25 47 24 36

32 22

69 34 50 67

44 34 60 29 44 57

29 20 38 20 29 33

28 17 34 18 26 29

146 117 156 21 151 99 67 118 160 168 163 78

132 105 142 18 136 89 58 102 144 152 146 71

85 66 95 11 90 61 34 59 89 92 96 51

75 59 87 10 81 56 30 52 78 79 87 47

33

88

23 23 15 24 79 17 36

SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .......... Lesotho ............. Namibia. South Afr Swaziland .............................................

73 88 108 81 69 117

80 89 112 83 76 135

69 68 98 68 66 114

58 52 83 47 57 87

50

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde . Cate d'lvoire Gambia ....... Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau....... Liberia .................................................. Mali ................... Mauritania .........

196 171 202 44 185 156 109 203 228 243 236 114

188 161 193 38 191 143 101 178 212 222 219 102

176 148 181 29 183 128 90 156 195 205 200 92

161 131 169 24 168 113 78 136 177 186 181 85

696

93 116 64 75 92 37 95 64 28 50

29 17 17 12 18 60 13 24

38

30

106 131 74 06 102 43 108 74 31 55

51 30

20 20 14 21 69 15 29

44 27 28 17 29 91 19 45

....

40

39

45 59 34

40 66

52 33 34 20 36 105 22 56

Morocco ............................................... Sudan ...................................................

77 41

46

61 41 42 23 46 118 25 70

.... ....

48

80

114 50 121 85 35 60

95

NORTHERN AFRICA

12 96 10 130 129 73 69 89 50

19 49 35 67 51 44 70 10 74 9 104 101 55 52 68

133 162 96 110 127 59 136 97

162 195 118 134 157

nape .........................

60 83

40

90

147 178 108 123 142 69 151 109

177 213 132 149 174 91 182 139 68 88

86

67

83

80 187 123 54 80

40

72

118 94 128 16 123 80 51

88 129 135 131 65

119 146 85

98

43 106 83 118 14 111 73 44 77 115 120 118 60

42 22 33 38 95 74 105 12 100 87 38 67 102 105 106

55

83 32

83 56 25 45

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates (1995-2005) and projections(2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births)

Major area. region and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

Niger .................................................... Nigeria ................................................. Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone ........................ . .............. Togo ........................................... ... ASIA

255 201 136 306 142

213 198 124 290 136

188 187 115 278 126

170 172 108 266 114

153 155 100 251 101

138 140 94 235 91

124 125 87 218 82

112 111 81 202 74

101 98 76 185 67

91 86 71 169 61

75 66 153 55

74

67

59

52

46

40

36

32

29

26

23

EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................. China Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................ Mongolia ........................ .... ................ Republ~cof Korea .................................

..

SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. lnd~a..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republ~cof) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri .Lanka .............................................. Tajikislan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ........................................... Indonesia ............................................ Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar ................................ . . ........ Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand .............................................. T~mor-Leste.......................................... Vie1 Nam .............................................. WESTERN ASlA Armenia .............................. . .............. Azerbaijan ........................... .............. Bahrain ............................... . .......... Cyprus .......................... ................ Georgia ............................................... Iraq ..................................................... Israel ..................... . ............ Jordan ................................................. Kuwait ..................... ........................... Lebanon .......................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar ............................ . ................. Saudi Arabia ................................... ...... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. Un~tedArab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................

. . .

............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

83

Table A32 . Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births)

Major area. region and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050

EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus .......................... . ................... Bulgaria ............................... . .............. Czech Republic ........................ ......... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ............................. . . . . ........... Poland ................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................

..

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia .............................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Notway (12) .......................................... Sweden ............................................. United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ............................................... Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................... Croatia .................................................. Greece ................. .... ..... ..... ........... Italy ..................................................... Malta .................................................. Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ........................... .. .............. Belgium ............................. ..... .......... France ........................... .... ................ Germany ................... . . . ..... .............. Luxembourg ......................... ... ........ Netherlands .................. . . . ....... ....... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ....................... .. ................... Martinique .............................. . ............ Netherlands Antilles ........................... . ................ Puerto Rico ........................ Saint Lucia ................................;........... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... ......... Trinidad and Tobago .................... United States Virgin Islands ...................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued)

Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per

1.000 live births)

M a j o r area. r e g i o n a n d country

1995-20002000-20052005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA ............... Belize .......................... Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................ . . . ........... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. M e i c o .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................

.....

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................... . . . . ..................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay ............................................. Peru ............................. ....... .............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ...................... . . . .................. Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........

NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................

AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19)...................................... New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ........................ Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..............................................

....

MICRONESIA (PO) Guam .............................. . .................. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ....................... . ...... Samoa ............................................... Tonga ...................................................

d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Car~bbeanplus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayotte. IncludingAgalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncludino Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha For statGtical purposes. the data f i r China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia. lncluding Faeroe Islands. and Isle of Man.

.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. Including &and Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein, and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayrnan Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (MaMnas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cccos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding Amencan Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Picairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social A f f a i r s / P o p u l a t i o n Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

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Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2000 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country 1950

WORLD Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 0-14 ........... Population aged 15-64 . Least developed countries (c) Population aged 0-14 ... Populationaged 15-64 .

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

866062 984225 1 121 308 1 264069 1 384947 1 500721 1 569349 1 636786 1 727461 1 813797 1 850250 1538184 1641843 1751336 1902750 2113406 2346525 2621369 2935025 3245557 3535615 3852921 130847 144686 159287 175952 200323 228834 260752 283453 321 861 369633 420952

222514 526 928 64119

236332 556 357 71315

257336 580352 78407

265 197 614 175 87630

262078 646 604 99795

253755 681 453 112896

243 129 713953 126192

238924 746 964 129465

236 339 769 644 143081

230897 785 421 159083

218416 804 793 170991

643548 747893 863972 998872 1 122869 1246966 1326219 1397862 1491 122 1582901 1631 834 1011255 1085486 1170984 1288575 1466802 1665072 1907416 2188062 2475913 2750194 3048127 73370 80880 88322 100528 115939 134561 153988 178780 210550 249962 66 729 106842 132946 7529

122936 147171 8289

140455 165982 9432

159725 187752 10787

180281 213158 12375

204268 242556 14150

231510 277734 16229

261 735 320530 18818

289562 368177 21 709

82 525 110468 7 328

93686 120603 7128

Less developed regions, excluding least developed countrles (d) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . .... Populationaged 65 or over ..............

561 023 900 788 59 400

654207 757129 875936 982414 1087241 1 145938 1 193594 1259613 1321 166 1342273 964883 1038038 1141404 1300821 1477321 1694258 1945506 2198180 2429664 2679951 91 096 105152 122185 139838 162550 191 731 228253 66 242 73 351 80 033

Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ........... Population aged 65 or over ..............

456 847 665 939 41 822

520 987 728 894 45 192

608 846 799 235 49 015

704 295 882 247 56 135

791 273 879 179 970 240 1 071 263 1 171 227 1 258 302 1 313 838 999 501 1 141 484 1 306 998 1 496 410 1 703 684 1 927 891 2 176 560 99 570 88 790 74 857 115759 137 102 162 460 64 554

SubSaharan Atrlca (e) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ...... Population aged 65 or over

75 715 98 605 5 769

86 031 108 788 6 268

98 475 120 935 6 962

113671 134 975 7 815

130 970 152 951 8 767

151 494 174 257 9 990

176 100 200 472 11 491

205 129 230 963 13 257

236 772 267 269 15 349

268 097 310 541 17 764

300 380 358 820 20 673

AFRICA Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over

93 676 123219 7 307

106 731 135 989 7 913

122 658 150 759 8 824

141 947 167 426 10 201

162 737 189 647 11 747

186 971 216 299 13 176

215 326 249 358 15 102

249 649 287 425 17 221

285 164 332 436 19 821

317819 385 393 23 122

444 815

28 190 34 976 1906

32 239 38 759 2 058

37 176 43311 2 272

43 215 48 868 2 573

50 237 55 783 3000

58 428

63944 3 515

67 894 73 944 4 112

78 843 85 837 4 724

91 613 100 124 5 507

102 460 115488 6 332

116177 133 700 7 417

1004 1 373 80

1149 1454 84

1 294 1 557 89

1446 1 666 101

1 566 1 832 115

1 675 1 879 127

1 848 2 140 142

2 159 2566 160

2 585 2 932 175

2 947 3 116 179

3 197 3 286 185

75 92 6

85 102 6

96 113 6

109 124 6

129 139 7

151 158 8

185 192 9

219 225 11

247 266 13

274 318 15

301 380 18

29 32 1

32 36 1

39 45 2

52

62 2

74 84 3

103 116 5

154 179 8

179 214 9

247 300 13

270 339 16

300 409 20

517 37

567 659 38

637 747 39

724 853 42

836 964 47

960 1103 53

1163 1213 93

1 342 1380 85

1 463 1612 83

1511 1621 81

1 669 1 928 88

8 135 9 748 551

9 095 10 819 560

10 218 12 134 590

11 706 13 735

646

13 500 15 558 773

15 582 17 693 913

16 948 19 181 1 009

19 829 22 433 1175

23 410 26 350 1 387

27 671 30 979 1 643

31 601 35 846 1941

2 417 3 421 239

2996 3 724 264

3777 4 042 296

4 625 4 561

5 542 5348

6 717 6 361

338

384

434

8 131 7 665 486

9 824 9 301 549

11 458 11 365 625

12 625 14 020 735

13 715 16670 866

1 767 2350 117

2 030 2 594 133

2 349 2 870 152

2 739 3 175 176

3 120 3 607 204

3 557 4 112 236

4084 4 701 274

4 701 5 421 317

5 412 6 256 365

6 256 7 268 423

7 229 8 458

EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64, .... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundl Population aged 0-14. Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoror (2) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. DJlboutl Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over . Erltrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Populationaged 0-14 .............. Population aged 15-64 ............ Population aged 65 or over ..............

702

588

349 106 27 038

500

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Popuiation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 WORLD Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ................... . Population aged 65 or over .............. Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoros (2) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Djibouti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Eritrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

Malawi Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritius (3) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozambique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Reunion Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zimbabwe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. MIDDLE AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Malawi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ................... . Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritius (3) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozambique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Reunion Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zimbabwe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............

MIDDLE AFRICA

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populat~on aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Poputation by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

Equatorlal Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Gabon Population aged 0-1 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Slo Tom6 and Princlpe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algerla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Libyan Arab Jamahlrlya Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Morocco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ..... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-1 Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-1 Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-1 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Swazlland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over

706

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

77 136 13

85 140 13

93 146 13

103 153 13

113 165 13

87 126 10

85 119 9

123 188 13

140 186 15

160 206 16

182 230 18

133 302 34

140 302 34

147 304 34

160 306 35

175 317 37

211 345 40

257 382 44

312 428 47

373 493 52

426 574 56

458 666 59

20 38 2

19 37 2

21 41 3

27 36 2

34 36 4

39 40 3

44 46 5

48 51 5

54 57 5

57 65 6

59 75 6

21 985 29 474 1 844

25 161 32 629 1971

29 169 35 931 2 208

33 851 39 336 2 755

38 138 44 413 3 388

42 917 50 903 3 661

47 990 59 194 4 180

54 789 68 566 4 647

59 788 78 913 5 262

62 433 90 706 6 284

62 763 104 201 7 471

3 513 4 857 383

4 015 5 303 397

4 726 5 658 416

5 549 5 982 392

6 648 6 531 568

7 627 7 722 670

8 623 9432 756

9 924 11 351 822

10 879 13 491 912

11 193 16 018 1 054

10 395 18 832 1 279

8 664 12 523 647

10 094 13 850 747

11 820 15 106 914

13 744 16511 1 308

14 536 19 130 1 524

18 023 21 523 1 628

18 084 23 868 1 724

20 490 26 835 1 862

22 528 30 481 2 127

23 412 34 723 2 513

23 899 39 838 2 992

431 549 49

485 593 48

584 711 54

704 861 58

900 1 039 55

1146 1 265 55

1441 1554 68

1819 1 943

88

1 887 2 367 110

1 829 2 868 137

1 720 3448 178

3 974 4 722 257

4 522 5 337 274

5211 6 114 301

6 117 6 745 462

7 282 7388 639

8 164 8 508

633

8 312 10 440 815

9 273 12 133 893

9 873 13 989 946

10 070 15 709 1171

9 699 17 777 1351

4 025 4 859 306

4 461 5 429 326

4 985 6 107 347

5 575 6 886 369

6 370 7 718 407

7440 8 860 475

8 765 10 308 568

10 269 12 104

683

11 397 13 746 790

12 712 15 853 927

14 037 18 205 1106

1 372 1 956 202

1 577 2 105 178

1 830 2 215 176

2 144 2 321 165

2 371 2563 193

2483 2 986 199

2711 3504 243

2943 4 093 294

3 137 4 711 371

3 116 5384 476

2 901 6 104 558

6 8 0

8 12 1

12

20 1

19 31 1

31 44 2

34 39 2

55 90 5

71 107 5

88 127 6

101 152 6

111 196 8

6 051 8 971 570

7 018 9 808 887

8 144 10 827 761

9 467 12 092 867

10 804 13 778 870

12 310 15 839 944

13 885 18 060 1 029

15 427 20 858 1170

16 494 23 992 1 342

17 344 28 452 1612

17 775 32 237 1 938

167 229 19

201 253 21

244 266 21

295 288 20

338 344

463 508 25

547 598 29

615 715 37

654

21

389 415 22

869 44

663 1013 53

299 403 33

330 423 34

367 448 36

407 487 39

455 535 43

512 590 48

580 662 53

658 754 60

720 813 69

761 883 78

791 1005 89

188 277 20

216 299 21

248 329

22

285 368 24

330 415 28

391 470 31

457 501 35

530 562 40

631 739 47

731 871 55

796 1 021 63

5 280 7 913 490

6 133 8 670 582

7 124 9 601 672

8 293 10 749 772

9 467 12 260 774

10 763 14 105 829

12 083 16 091 900

13 344 18 595 1 022

14 120 21 291 1166

14 756 25 341 1408

15 070 28 625 1 703

117 148 7

138 163 8

162 182 10

187 200 11

216 225 12

255 259 14

301 298 16

349

408

348

434

19

23

442 490 26

455 572 31

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Equatorial Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gabon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. S50 Tome and Principe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. llAOrocco Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Swaziland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country

.

Population (thousands)

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. C6te d'lvoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or wer .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea-Bissau Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Liberia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 85 or over .............. Mali Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Togo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2050 WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. C6te d'lvoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gulnea-Blssau Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Liberia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Mali Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigerla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Popuiation aged 65 or over .............. Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Togo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Popuiation aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

~

~~

Population (thousands) Major a m , region and country

ASIA

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over

..............

EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chlna (5) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ......................

1955

1960

1965

510 976 842 047 57 625

590 727 896 916 63343

674 747 960 237 89 305

771 858 052 262 74 470

861 171 951 102 992158 1018141 1065346 1117369 1131 759 193 173 1344852 1529873 1747409 1963794 2 154203 2358486 97689 84421 113707 130642 152072 180103 214593

229 182 410 821 29 903

269 700 429 727 33 967

300485 452 928 38 331

337 416 496 972 39 531

376320 565677 44629

415018 630322 51 441

403120 714620 60261

371 183 814439 69319

359899 903008 81 005

361 904 353139 957352 1008661 95677 114495

186 047

255 797 369 925 31 769

292 994

330039 464830

32 057

35806

366378 520600 40830

354633

404 140

24 851

225 959 354 936 28 109

596819 47426

325243 687673 53990

318574 767981 62514

323288 817623 72821

318774 866449 86739

599 1 326 49

882 1 547 62

1 257 1 732 88

1 494 2 078 120

1459 2327 156

1334 2824 237

1286 3427 325

1278 3772 406

1226 3995 483

1203 4405 598

1123 4808 730

55 130 6

65 109 7

71 92 9

89 110 10

98 144 12

75 164 14

61 172 19

77 208 21

96 252 24

107 275 29

310 32

4663 4 812 262

3 847 5 564 221

4 034 6 705 207

4 382 7 745 196

5674 8378 194

6171 9648 253

5949 10862 429

5551 12527

643

5272 13930 941

5837 14634 1244

5945 15409 1593

29 643 49 847 4 135

30 153 54 908 4 754

28 426

60 273 5 397

25 646 67 056 6 179

25072 71 888 7371

27109 75625 8790

27513 78734 10560

25997 82390 12450

22730 85998 14809

20019 87 188 18264

18598 86574 21 862

319 417 25

361 461 28

412 516 31

475 585 34

549 669 38

633 772 42

718 896 49

808 1043 58

924 1203 89

930 1370 89

851 1522 96

7 856 10 428 574

8433 12 203 787

10 487 13 684 832

12 336 15 258 935

13431 17440 1052

13318 20690 1273

12961 23710 1453

12229 26827 1750

11077 29648 2144

10520 31 856 2632

9750 33589 3441

193 346 299 396 18 707

219 691 321 949 19 660

253 763 348 052 20 492

291 701 379 726 23 192

323125 428 198 26111

356707 485805 30307

394612 552318 34990

438356 627979 40517

484841 710855 47273

525839 800878 55984

545933 904206 66018

3 476 4 465 210

3 771 4 810 223

4 142 5 237 238

4 577 5 778 256

5198 6361 281

5942 7074 313

6294 7326 326

5634 6414 286

5855 6514 290

8563 9279 413

9802 10472

17 717 23 878 2 258

20 480 26 168 1 767

23 523 29 036 1 694

27 557 32 110 1812

31 335 38458 2024

34959 41 751 2283

38130 48 131 2595

42100 55462 2970

46056 63588 3404

49960 72417 3920

51 933 82926 4575

74 90 4

82 109 5

93 125 8

107 142 7

125 165 8

148 200 10

176 235 12

204 261 14

233 296 18

221 266 19

225 310 24

139 387 220 804 11 666

157 501 235 274 12 754

180 171 252 327 13 483

204 940 273 193 15 735

224399 307038 17875

246025 346652 21 090

271 203 392743 24630

298 189 444030 28892

325021 501 284 33890

349730 564515 40038

366018 632342 47875

6611 9 399 903

7 989 10 180 921

9 509 11 275 920

11 056 12 881 949

12836 14923 1046

14837 17334 1173

17578 20442 1310

21 613 25225 1580

25326 29345 2003

26397 33272 2530

23226 39955 2943

2303 3 962 438

2530 4 944 518

3 622 5 804 570

4 634 6 654 621

4925 7479 706

4896 8439 801

4833 9176 910

5057 9828 895

5202 10361 967

4737 10045 1137

4 135 9802 1017

503 1 095 142

561 1187 154

790 1 229 154

1 070 1 342 162

1235 1545 185

1315 1788 196

1347 2072 209

1486 2319 208

1651 2524 220

1725 2617 250

1725 2951 271

343 861

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

1950

Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dem. People’s Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Japan Population aged 65 or over Mongolla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Republlc of Korea Population aged 0 Population aged 85 or over .............. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (6) Population aged 0-14 .. Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Afghanlstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-84 ......

......................

Bhutan Population aged 0-14 . Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over lndla Population aged 0-

...... ..............

Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republlc of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .... Population aged 65 or over Kazakhstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Kyrgyzstan Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

710

99

463

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 ASlA

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

EASTERN ASlA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China (5) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Macao SAR (7) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Japan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mongolia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Afghanistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bhutan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. India Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Karakhstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kyrgyzstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country

.

Population (thousands)

Maldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 1564 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tajikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Maldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Popuiation aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populalion aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tajikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERNASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Popuiationaged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Populalion aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area, reglon and country

Tlmor-Leate Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Wet Nam Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over

....................

......................

WESTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenla Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over Azerbaljan Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over Georgia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .......

...................... ........ .......

Iraq Populationaged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ....

.

Israel Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over Jordan Population aged 0-14

...................... ....................

......................

Population aged 85 or Kuwalt Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 85 or Lebanon

.

Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occuplad Palestinian Territory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0 Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over ..............

....................

714

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

176 243 14

189 258 15

207 280 13

230 305 14

254 16

283 372 18

231 337 14

263 381 15

295 430 15

355 476 19

405 393 20

8 668 17 527 1152

10 498 18 245 1 309

13 248 18 884 1516

16 556 19 780 1 763

18 920 21 880 2 098

20 682 24 963 2 329

22 120 28 260 2 625

23 719 32 504 2 894

25 730 37 171 3 271

27 156 42 477 3 697

26 527 48 252 4 315

19 793 29 105 2 248

23 222 32 695 2 554

28 145 36 208 2 759

33 358 40 456 3 170

37 572 46 656 3 716

42 917 54 098 4 266

48 520 63 265 4 925

54 714 75 140 5 260

60 613 87 396 5 748

65 003 100 642 7 107

68 210 115748 8 432

450 790 113

502 938 124

718 1 031 119

919 1165 120

987 1 391 140

970 1691 164

941 1 970 185

1 007 2 152 180

1 077 2 269 199

952 2 005 270

798 1 975 309

937 1 760 199

1 023 2 053 250

1 494 2 154 246

2 015 2304 255

2 282 2 606 284

2 277 3 095 316

2 128 3 697 335

2 187 4 155 328

2 471 4 435 305

2 645 4 768 378

2 520 5 144 479

49 63 3

57 73 4

67 85 4

97

90

101 113 5

117 149 6

120 219 7

131 274 9

155 327 11

176 387 15

182 450 18

170 294 30

181 313 36

210 329 34

158 391 60

149 399 63

163 415 69

176 431 74

468

38

191 362 62

184

344

79

178 519 89

947 2 224 356

972 2 475 392

1193 2 589 377

1413 2 701 363

1 443 2 880 385

1 392 3 098 419

1306 3 305 462

1 330 3 493 464

1 343 3 607 509

1187 3 275 570

1019 3 112 589

2 185 2 993 182

2 750 3 316 198

3 377 3 734 221

4 148 4 176 265

4 792 5004 315

5 734 5 882 356

6636 7 037 418

7 462 8 325 501

8 259 9 685 570

9 422 11 551 659

10 691 13 651 710

398 810 49

603 1064 82

762 1 249 103

888 1 525 150

960 1 745 193

1103 1 994 261

1 249 2 190 325

1336 2 406 361

1413 691 410

1571 3 273 530

1721 3 761 603

216 234 23

300 336 29

398 462 37

496 570 40

744 828 51

914 968 55

1 099 1 056 70

1 273 1 335 98

524 627 103

1 775 2 422 107

1 932 2 732 135

55 93 4

72 120 7

97 175 6

180 283 8

323 408 13

447 544 16

553 802 19

639 1061 21

785 332 26

497 1 207 21

579 1619 30

494 844 105

591 915 108

766 1012 110

934 1136 114

1 030 1 293 119

1 099 1 507 132

1 087 1 550 148

1 084 1663

145

1 063 1 757 155

1120 2 154 217

1150 2 366 256

459 497 49

470 526 46

489 567 45

537 617 44

493 566 37

578 636 40

702 723 51

831 888 65

1 006 1 075 73

1 204 1312 102

1 472 1568 109

193 249 14

225 266 15

261 288 16

305 318 18

357 368 21

432 461 25

541 619 28

690 806 31

813 994 35

877 1 254 41

883 1 468 52

11 14 1

14 20 1

18 26 1

25 43 2

41 69 2

57 111 3

74 153 3

99 258 4

130 333 5

140 380 6

158 450 9

1345 1 750 107

1 531 1 942 120

1 764 2 174 136

2 109 2 527 157

2 556 3007 182

3 212 3 822 218

4 257 5 079 268

5 443 7 110 311

6811 9 072 372

7 579 10 236 435

7 905 12 337 565

4 201

335

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Timor-Leste Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Viet Nam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

WESTERN ASIA Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Azerbaijan Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Georgia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Iraq Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Israel Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Jordan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kuwait Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lebanon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occupied Palestinian Territory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. reglon and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) MJor area. mglon and country

Syrlan Arab Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkey Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Yemen Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 1564 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............

1950

1955

1980

lD85

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

1448 1 934 153

1 746 2084 161

2 123 2 327 172

2 572 2 647 180

3050 3 128 192

3848 3 679 211

4409 4 325 238

5344

8 156 6 226

339

6 574 7 623 413

6705 9306 499

8600 12 197 687

10 050 13 743 817

11 980 15 300 973

13 720 17 023 1 254

15 043 19 614 1550

17 059 22344 1808

18 719 25 486 2 111

20 069 29 917 2 164

20 501

20 708

20 763

34548

39 190 2840

43 884 3511

29 38 2

34 42 3

39 48 3

55 86 4

78 140 7

149 370 11

290 712 13

418 973 20

1 285 24

676 1 727 28

779 2432 35

1 825 2 321 170

2 101 2 470 162

2408 2 659 155

2 742 2 902 155

3 100 3 133 157

3 571 3358 165

4 257 3 941 183

5 210 4 718 209

6 375 5 700 239

7 719 7408 396

8774 8 974

143 440 359 709 45045

147 296 379 371 49 304

161 599

168 283

153 574

406 726 59 802

438 351 77 657

453 862

53488

166 306 421 626 68735

160 447

390 114

85 734

150 305 472 264 84008

147 6-44 140 500 482 088 488688 91 593 101 326

127 633 493 515 107 353

73 764 162 407 17 278

76 546 170 724 19 667

71 704 181 279 23 431

67 109 191 091 27 537

68584 196 643 31 745

70 070 202 867 30568

71 272 206500

33088

65684 206 894 37 843

55 356 210 272 39 242

2364 5 142 685

2840

5263

2 623 5604 812

2394 6039

935

2 210 6 411 1 038

2 287 6 715 996

2 367 6800 1093

2 230 6 757 1 280

1005 6818 1349

1 920 5848 953

1962 5 849 1051

1908 6 041 1014

1 792

5888 1159

1 495 5600 1 262

1255 5420 1327

EASTERN EUROPE 61 935 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ............ 143 911 Population aged 65 or over .............. 14 352 Belarus Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2045 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 5 034 Population aged 65 or over .............. 667 Bulgaria Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 1 942 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 4 821 Population aged 65 or over .............. 488 Czech Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2 167 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 6 015 Population aged 65 or over .............. 742 Hungary Population aged 0-14 ...................... 2344 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 6309 Populationaged 65 or over .............. 685 Moldova Population aged 0-14 ...................... 657 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 1 503 Populationaged 65 or over .............. 181 Poland Population aged 0-14 ...................... 7 295 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 16 231 Population aged 65 or over .............. 1298 Romanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... 4634 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 10 808 Population aged 65 or over .............. 869 Russian Federation Population aged 0-14 ...................... 29 689 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 66660 Population aged 65 or over .............. 6354 Siovakla 1 002 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2 230 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 231 Population aged 65 or over .............. Ukraine 10 160 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 24 300 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. 2 838

716

63945 157 178 15 989 1 975 5 148

680

705

5 193 278

2296

558

434

1 992 4 951

2050

1983

5226

5533

556

591

689

1 938 5 738 814

2448 6043

2 447 6206 893

2250 6 425 1034

2 091 6 529 1182

2220 6504 1311

2 412 6 494 1 377

2 412 6 679 1219

2 207 6803 1 293

1 931 7 023 1356

1682 7128 1411

2 519 6 500 808

2 528 6 553

903

2 357 6 747 1 049

2 151 6 991 1194

2 141 7060 1 331

2348 6 921 1438

2 273 6998 1308

2 097 6884 1383

1 871 7000 1 457

1731 6979 1504

747 1 692 188

955 1863 186

1144 1 997 195

1154 2 213 228

1108 2 469 261

1 072 2 627 311

1166 2 750 316

1 240 2785

384

1192 2 786 401

1006 2727 412

8448 17 329 1504

9 918 18 010 1710

9 761 19 542 2 142

8808 21 164 2 892

8 174 22 597 3 244

8 628 23 346 3800

9 499 24 201 3 502

9 573 24 708 3832

8800 25 518 4 277

7404 26 323 4706

4 805 11 562 1119

5 166 11 983 1 236

5 015 12 508 1509

5 252 13 2w) 1 740

5 361 13 845 2 040

5 922 13 999 2 281

5 603 14 969 2 153

5 469 15 324 2 414

4644 15 316 2 721

4078 15 080 2979

30 041 74 293 7068

35 922 76 429 7554

37 903

80443

34638 85 728 10 026

31 280 91 089 11 883

30 018 94483 14 154

32 531 97 077 13 861

34 134 99 682 14 800

31 966 99 599 17 559

26 708 102 585 18 130

1189 2358 251

1 349 2 517 279

1380 2654 328

1 231

2880

1300 3 158 519

1 372 3311

418

1 239 3043 453

458

1 328 3386 542

1211 3 569 584

1052 3723 612

9 783 27 302 3 014

11 064 28 479 3 240

12 114 29 612 3 615

11 817 31 173 4 326

11 273 32 617 5 127

10 712

33 355

11 022 34 127 5 741

11 085 34 262 6 209

10 344 33 727 6946

8555 33 488

803

8403

5 976

6811

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Syrian Arab Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Turkey Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Yemen Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belarus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 85 or over .............. Bulgaria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Czech Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Hungary Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Moldova Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Poland Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ............. Romanla Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Russlan Federation Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Slovakia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ukralne Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel islands (10) Population aged 014 ...................... Population aged 15-64...... Population aged 65 or over Denmark Population aged 0-14........ Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonia Population aged 0-14............ Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Finland (11) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Iceland Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64........ Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14.... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Latvia Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lithuania Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.....................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

16 496 51 550 8 048

19 212 51 855 8568

19 733 52 891 9 138

20 159 54 892 9 878

21 004 55 334 11 019

20 731 56 161 12 119

19 194 57 683 13 OOO

17 923 59 437 13 385

17876 60 192 14 053

18 242 60 543 14 392

17 043 61 756 14 643

22 66 13

23 70 14

24 72 15

25 75 16

26 78 17

26 83 19

24 86 20

22 92 20

23 98 21

24 98 21

25 101 21

1124 2 757 390

1178 2 828 433

1156 2 940 485

1131 3 087 540

1148 3 176 605

1143 3 239 678

1 068 3 317 738

943 3 399 771

876 3463 802

907 3 523 798

966 3556 791

281 703 117

275 764 121

276 813 128

295 855 141

301 904

160

312 946 174

320 969 164

338 1013 174

347 1 038 181

299 946 193

249 915 206

1 202 2 540 267

1 298 2646 291

1 347 2 764 319

1 236 2 968 360

1133 3 051 422

1 037 3 174 500

971 3 236 572

952 3 339 612

963 3356 667

972 3 410 726

940 3464 772

44

88 11

53 94 11

61 101 14

66 110 16

66 120 16

66 133 20

63 143 23

64 153 24

64 164 27

65 172 30

65 183 33

858 1 794 317

876 1 728 317

881 1 836 317

897 1 657 322

920 1 703 331

992 1 836 350

1041 1995 365

1 050 2 115 374

961 2 155 399

876 2 320 413

824 2554 426

494 1 238 218

471 1 322 222

465 1433 223

504 1513 249

511 1 567 281

518 1 626 312

513 1 671 327

546 1 728 304

571 1m 315

516 1 637 338

423 1591 365

701 1 624 242

702 1 689 238

748 1816 214

816 1 884 270

849 1 977 313

840 2094 367

804 2 223 387

818 2 381 365

a34 2 460 404

791 2 391 448

699 2315 486

796 2 151 316

879 2 200 348

927 2 256 396

922 2356 445

949 2 429

953 2 505

906

500

548

2 577 603

831 2 689 653

803 2 746 692

849 2 615 695

897 2 911 681

1644 4 651 719

1 725 4 745 792

1646 4 939 895

1 620 5 135 979

1 676 5 267 1 099

1 695 5 259 1 238

1 628 5 328 1354

1465 5 395 1 491

1 535 5 502 1 522

1664 5 621 1542

1634 5705 1529

1 1 306 33 881 5 429

1 1 712 33 716 5 771

12 181 34 072 6 119

12 624 35 199 6 527

13 401 35 005 7 258

13 123 35 207 7 896

11 832 36 072 8 410

10 873 37 103 6 578

10 876 37 358 9 003

1 1 256 37 536 9 169

1 1 176 38 379 9 312

30 136 78 559 8 302

30 643 73 966 8 979

32 047 76211 9 809

32 815 79 310 10 653

33 645 80 970 12 629

34 173 83 979 14 412

33 307 88 473 16 110

30 864 93 228 16 419

27 136 96 115 19 034

24 649 97 748 21 460

22 961 96 739 24 100

473 657 85

540

662 864 84

803 979 89

905 1136 95

958 1334 108

958 1 574 139

1 020 1781 155

1 078

752 88

2036

175

1 025 1 928 197

970 1884 226

1008

1 549 106

1083 1 753 108

1 228 1 842 110

1 292 1 971 134

1 232 2 164 168

1157 2 385 206

1 067 2 609 238

1 033 2 857 231

1 042 3003 263

744 2 405 272

690 2844 453

1 030 2 517 303

1 060 2 611 295

1102 2643

1 059 2 721 342

949 2 815 404

917 2 877 469

923 2 943 51 1

941 3063 467

926 3 079 512

872 3 174 624

767 3040 699

2 168 4884 514

2 109 5 264 593

2 208 5 438

2 177 5 617 757

2 166 5 826 980

2 160 5 779 1107

2 200 6 176 1 267

2 115 6 498 1 321

1 956 6 814 1391

1 790 7 249 1617

1668 7469 1838

Norway (12) Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Populationaged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. United Kingdom Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64........ Population aged 65 or over

.

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albania Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64... Populationaged 65 or ov6r Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 0-14..... Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatia Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Populationaged 65 or over

718

300

688

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Populationby broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel Islands (10) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Denmark Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Finland (11) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Iceland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Latvia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Populationaged 65 or over Llthuanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or wer .............. Norway (12) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Unlted Kingdom Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

......................

..............

.....................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatla Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United

Table A33.Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)

Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Maltcl Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 0 Population aged 1 Population aged 6 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Spain Population aged 0-14 .. Population aged 15-84 Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Mawdonla (14) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (15) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64, Population aged 65 or o Austrla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belglum Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-1

......

..............

Population aged 65 or over Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ... Population aged 15-64 . Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 _. Population aged 65 or over ..............

720

1950

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

12 397 30 817 3 890

12 180 32 229 4 223

12 433 33 093 4 674

12 662 34 255 5 195

13 225 34 733 5863

13 437

35 326 6 678

12 570 36444 7 420

11 082 38 302 7 209

go00 39 028 8 691

8 569 39 209 9 523

8 246 38 940 10 507

109 185 18

119 174 21

115 174 23

103 178 24

84 192 27

75 200 29

75 217 32

83 227 34

85 238 38

83 251 43

78 263 48

147 222 29

150 248 30

170 264 33

179 292

26

170 310 39

165 340 44

159 370 48

153 378 45

154 384 49

148 420 55

147 459 64

2 477 5 341 587

2468 5 515 627

2 582 5 588 708

2 613 5 642 744

2 496 5386 798

2 539 5 656 898

2534 6 212 1 021

2 355 6 456 1 200

2 037 6 607 1 339

1 776 6 762 1 492

1660 6 923 1645

1 890 4 329 513

2068 4 653 497

2 230 4866

488

2 190 5 136 564

2 026 5460 687

2 070 5 671 795

2 134 5 925 887

2 212 6 257 804

2222 6 426 920

2 226 6 789 1181

2 018 6 734 1 379

405 965 103

423 998 112

432 1 024 123

424 1060 146

403 1102 165

413 1138 191

425 1198 209

422 1 267 195

403

356

1310 214

1361 247

315 1 389 280

7 587 18 377 2044

7 938 18 971 2 290

8354 19 602 2 499

8 764 20 547 2 745

9 439 21 036 3 305

9 748

22 163 3777

9 729 23 590 4 208

8 927 24 865 4 628

7 715 25 849 5 288

6 557 26 807 6 024

5940 27 545 6 745

436

493 770 91

518 74

511 966 91

515 1 057 103

514 1157 124

499 1 209 120

499 1 268 142

444

800

533 875 73

483

689 105

1 309 171

1363 202

32 873 93 690 14 343

33 495 96 373 15 767

36 036 98 604 17 263

38 763 101 19 405

39 953 104 042 21 655

38 434 107 120 23 589

34 490 111 063 24 878

31 448 116732 23 633

31 360 119 279 25 418

31 925 121 502 27 631

31 373 122 748 29 369

1581 4635 719

1548 4 617 782

1 559 4640 849

1 698 4 615 958

1819 4 597 1 051

1 761 4 691 1127

1 541 4 845 1163

1386 5 116 1 077

1 347 5 227 1155

1412 5417 1218

1353 5 503 1 255

1805 5 873 950

1 931 5 914 1017

2 152 5906 1 098

2 250 6 007 1193

2 267 6 076 1 289

2 181 6 236 1 362

1 986 6 424 1418

1864 6 597 1 354

1 793 6 654 1 485

1 801 6 677 1606

1781 6688 1 724

9 498 27 569 4 762

10 621 27 786 5 021

12 047 28 320 5 317

12 485 30 369 5904

12 654 31 633 6535

12 595 33004 7 101

12 005 34 350 7 525

11 722 36403 7 159

11 487 37 313 7 935

11 243 37 893 9066

11 061 38 498 9 628

15 854 45 877 6 645

14 906 47 903 7 517

15 491 48 937 8386

17 359 49 092 9 514

18 150 49 315 10 704

16 931 50 069 11 673

14 474 51 654 12211

12 441 53 933 11 311

12 775 54 776 11 882

13 264 55 763 12 634

12 853 55 997 13 459

59 208 29

60 213 32

67 213 34

75 218 39

75 222 43

72 240 47

68 246 50

63 255 49

66 264 51

74 277 57

82 293 62

2964 6 367 783

3 214 6635

902

3445 7 007 1 035

3 475 7645 1175

3 558 8 156 1 325

3 463 8 728 1 475

3 159 9 362 1 629

2 819 9 923 1 749

2 727 10 305 1 920

2843 10 569 2 047

2 959 10 799 2 166

1105 3 138 451

1 208 3 281 491

1 267 3 556 539

1413 3 828 616

1 471 4 014 702

1 422 4 120 797

1 247 4 197 875

1143 4 468 925

1154 4 700 981

1 277 4865 992

1 273 4 927 1063

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malta Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Portugal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Serbia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Spaln Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Macedonia (14) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (15) Populalion aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Austria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belgium Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) MaJorarea. region and country

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over Aruba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ........... Population aged 65 or over ..............

.

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1960

1985

1990

1995

2000

67 449 94 345 5 832

79 349 105 893 6 781

93 577 118 521 8 069

109 048 134 054 9 748

122 235 153 671 11 637

134 020 177 058 13 755

144 030 204 158 18 192

153 644 232 418 18 430

160 723 262 023 21 525

164 834 293 629 25 397

166 363 326 715 29 970

6 792 9663 676

7509 10 567 759

8 394 11 529 040

9 552 12 596 995

10 498 13 705 1218

11 105 15 195 1441

10 923 17 182 1 749

10 870 19 193 1 986

11 063 21 034 2 255

11 489 22 588 2 500

11 515 24 236 2 865

16 21 1

19 24 1

22 27 1

23 30 1

22 33 2

19 37 3

16 41 4

16 44 5

16 43 5

19 58 5

21 63 7

31 45 4

36 49 4

47 59 4

62 73 5

74 90 6

78 104 7

81 121 9

83 140 10

83 161 12

88 179 13

89 198 16

70 129 12

79 133 15

88

92 127 17

88

127 15

130 20

77 144 24

74 149 26

69 165 26

65 181 26

64 190 26

201 26

2 152 3 508 260

2 352 3 887 301

2 504 4 305 332

2 949 4 607 394

3 276 4 929 505

3533 5 271 629

3 116 5 956 751

2 608 6 635 843

2 384 7 277 944

2 425 7 480 1 025

2 285 7 683 1175

1133 1 229 66

1332 1 428 74

1603 1 661 85

1916 1 933 100

2 194 2 282 120

2 402 2 717 145

2 542 3215 176

2 651 3 738 219

2 753 4 265 277

2 886 4 777 351

3 030 5 276 438

37 36 4

37 40 4

44 41 4

47 43 5

47 43 5

39 47 6

36 47 6

38 56 6

37 51 8

37 54 8

35 58 7

83 118 9

97 128 11

119 143 14

133 155 13

137 188 15

138 172 19

109 195 23

106 222 27

104 255 32

104 266 36

105 276 40

1 276 1 826 119

1 396 2 001 119

1 559 2 185 125

1 784 2 347 145

1 971 2 569 173

2 123 2 821 200

2 339 3 124 228

2 698 3 435 255

3 068 3 763 278

3 341 4 191 304

3 455 4 780 338

506 843 54

571 907 64

679 880 70

764 901 95

878 887 104

910 986 117

858 1131 143

841 1 294 162

833 1 362 174

844 1461 179

855 1 537 197

83 127 12

99 134 12

119 150 13

138 158 15

135 174 17

132 176

20

100 201 26

94 217 30

89 237 34

91 245 39

90 251 45

39 65 7

49 67 7

56 72 7

59 80 7

58 93 8

55 102 9

52 110 12

51 118 13

50 127 14

50 126 14

45 119 17

958 1174 86

966 1181 103

1007 1 226 124

1 001 1436 146

993 1 546 177

9e8 1 766 185

1 009 1 935 253

1 001 2 086 291

960 2 227 341

937 2 379 381

908 2 493 433

Bahamas

Populationaged 0-14 .......... Populationaged 15-64 ........ Populatlonaged 65 or over .............. Barbados Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cub9 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .. Dominican Rapubllc Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Granada Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 1584 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Halt1 Populationaged 0-14 ......................

..........

Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ............. Populationaged 65 or over .............. Mmrtlnlquo Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlanda Antlllaa Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puarto RICO

60

Saint Lucla Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over Saint Vlnwnt and the Granrdlnrs Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trlnldad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .....

..............

722

32

35

47 3

49 3

40 46 4

46 46 4

52 47 5

51 53 5

52 60 6

52 68 7

50 77 10

51 85 10

47 95 11

33 31 3

37 34 3

40 38 3

43 39 4

45 41 4

45 45 5

44 51 6

42 57 6

42 61 6

42 64 7

38 70 7

257

305 388 28

363 447 33

382 483

409 519 43

385 577 50

370 651 60

403 711 65

422 734 69

404 793 73

344

354 25

32

879 78

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (16) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Aruba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahamas Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Barbados Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cuba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dominican Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Grenada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Halti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ......... Population aged 65 or over .............. bdartinique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Antilles Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puerto Rico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Lucla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

United mtes Virgin Islands Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 Populationaged 65 or over ..............

.....................

CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-84..................... Population aged 65 or over Belize Population aged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-84 Populationaged 65 or over .............. Costa Rim

El Salvador Population aged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guqtemala Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over. Honduns Populationaged Populationaged Populationaged 65 or over

..............

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

10 14 2

12 15 2

13 18 2

20 27 2

23 39 2

36 47 3

35 59 4

35 64 5

30 67 6

30 70 8

29 72 9

15966 20 271 1 278

19 363 22 719 1 421

23 353 25 895 1668

27 809 29 712 2 030

32 279 34 848 2 454

37 159 40 827 2 866

41 251 47 643 3 361

43 688 54 961 3 861

44 738 63 338 4648

46 162 72 294 5 597

47 212 81 611 6 764

27

42 47 4

50 52 5

58 60

3

35 42 3

5

63 65 6

67 71 7

74 82 7

82 96 8

90 115 9

98 137 10

372 548 47

472 603 54

598 673 62

738 '773 74

816 921 84

849 1107 95

886 1 350

111

966 1 595 134

1104 1821 150

1198 2 100 177

1 247 2 470 21 1

840 1051 60

990 1173 61

1189 1322 67

1404 1 530 79

1 669 1 830 100

1 879 2 116 125

2 061 2 377 148

2 078 2 514 1 78

2 085 2 810 215

2 109 3 262 261

2 208 3 671 316

1 403 1664 79

1643 1661 94

1 894 2 135 110

2 141 2 484 1 32

2 418 2844 156

2 781 3 246 177

3 183 3 623 207

3630 4 061 243

4 043 4 567 297

4 489 5 149 366

4 947 5 829 453

628 800 60

760 898 61

923 1016 65

1109 1171 74

1 284 1 323 83

1 476 1 533 97

1 707 1811 115

1 955 2 144 132

2 223 2 506 162

2 470 2 905 195

2 634 3 321 240

1 1 777 15 002 962

14 360 16 822 1 071

17 376 19 229 1 272

20 802 22 040 1 564

24 223 25 902 1 903

28 045 30 448 2 220

31 011 35 715 2 599

32 410 41 459 2 957

32 450 47 986 3564

32 866 54 661 4 296

33 045 61 504 5 186

573 689 33

694 773 35

846 878 40

998 1 007 47

1149 1187 59

1 329 1 402 72

1546 1 623 88

1 755 1 852 1 07

1 903 2 106 132

2 050 2 460 154

2 093 2 832 184

346 479 35

409 527 41

484 594 49

570 675 57

662 780 64

739 911 74

790 1 072 88

819 1 254 103

848 1444 119

890 1 642 138

940 1 847 164

44 692 64411 3 878

52 476 72 606 4 601

61 830 81 098 5 554

71 686 91 746 6 723

79 458 105 118 7964

85 757 I21 036 9 447

91 856 I39 333 1 1 081

99 086 158 264 12 583

104 922 177 650 14 622

107 183 198 747 17 300

107 636 220 868 20 340

5 235 11 194 721

5 824 12 187 917

6345 13 128 1143

6 730 14 166 1 387

7 037 15 259 1 666

7611 16 464 1 974

8 574 17240

2 279

9 395 18 333 2 578

10014 19 655 2 912

10 172 21 385 3 279

10 331 22 918 3646

1123 1 495 95

1 260 1 645 101

1 432 1808 111

1 607 2 014 127

1609 2 259 144

2048 2 547 164

2 278 2 887 190

2 498 3 251 21 5

2 730 3 689 250

3 035 4 144 303

3 293 4 667 357

22 432 29 937 1606

26 446 34 494 1946

31 478 38 895 2 369

36840 44548 2 941

40 674 51 815 3 500

43 588 60 332 4 204

48 317 70 301 4 998

50348 80 157 5 618

52 781 90 163 6 578

52 552 101 101 7 962

51 574 113076 9 510

2 233 3 590 259

2 580 3 879 305

3 020 4 259 364

3 503 4 718 426

3 799 5 289 482

3 851 6 010 552

3 690 6 864 620

3 737 7 663 702

3 942 8436 801

4 270 9 183 942

4 280 10014 1118

5358 6 815 395

6504 7580 439

7 815 8 501 525

9 157 9 762 834

10 326 1 1 403 772

1 1 023 13 360 919

11 559 15 712 1 085

1 1 963 18 338 1 263

12 616 20 775 14@4

13 184 23 370 1 705

13 548 26 152 1 983

1338 1 869 180

1609 2 061 192

1 928 2 302 209

2 297 2 617 230

2648 3068 253

3 026 3 602 279

3 408 4 234 320

3 745 4 990 364

4 001 5844 427

4 147 6 739 511

4 238 7438 629

40

MDXICO

Populationaged 0-14.... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 85 or over .............. Panama Populationaged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64 Populationaged 65 or over ..............

...

SOUTH AMERICA (17) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Argentlns Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bollvla Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over Brazil Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Chile Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-84 Populationaged 65 or over .............. Colombia Populationaged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............

..............

......

724

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

United States Virgln Islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bellze Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Costa Rlca Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. El Salvador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guatemala Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Honduras Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mexlco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Panama Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH AMERICA (17) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Argentina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bolivia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brazll Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chlle Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Colomb[a Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table 1133.Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

MaJorarea, region and country

Fmch Gulana Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guyana Population aged 0-14 ......................

.....

Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.... Population aged 65 or ove Peru Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.... Surlname Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15 Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..... Population aged 65 or ove NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Canada Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Unlted States of A m ~ l c a Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

8 16 1

10 17 2

12 18 2

15 22 2

19 27 2

22 32 3

23 42 3

29 55 4

41 71 4

50 83 5

60 100 6

1 74 230 19

220 248 18

276 274 19

304 319 22

338 347 25

324 383 27

312 419 30

295 428 31

268 429 34

247 457 36

226 472 37

693 738 43

796 828 51

913 933 60

1 035 1 070 72

1146 1 252 86

1 237 1 466 101

1 360 1718 120

1 543 2 016 144

1 759 2 318 171

I 938 2 657 204

2 042 3 072 235

3 172 4 196 264

3 667 4 709 296

4 302 5 288 341

5 063 6 005 4&Kl

5 806 6 930 457

6 556 8068 537

7 263 9435 627

7 825 10 968 730

8 314 12 586 862

8 685 14 140 1 032

8 856 15 555 1 251

86 116 13

108 130 12

138 140 12

160 159 13

180 1 78 14

174 177 14

147 194 16

144 223 16

142 243 17

1 42 254 21

140 272 25

624 1430 184

654 1 525 193

707 1 624 206

756 1712 225

764 1 776 249

783 1 773 272

785 1 824 305

807 1 874 327

809 939 358

806 2 017 395

815 2 071 432

2 214 2 783 97

2 798 3 301 I30

3464 3 925 191

4 218 4 632 243

4 892 5 515 314

5 514 6820 400

6 140 8 462 489

6 759 9 967 591

505 1 500 726

7 956 13 216 906

8 232 15 061 1110

46 697 110819 14 100

55 551 115037 16 295

63 437 122 265

18 447

66 995 131 705 20 457

66 134 143 410 22 387

61 515 156 903 24 999

57 509 169 853 28 184

58 133 179 810 31 080

61 472 188 029 34 419

65 642 I97 110 36 918

67 353 209 373 38 946

4 077 8606 1054

5 051 9466 1219

6 007 10 559 1343

6 568 11 601 1 509

6 537 13 464 1716

6 057 15 127 1 958

5 575 16 636 2308

5 503 17 690 2 650

5 733 18 847 3 121

5 973 19 820 3 509

5 858 20 961 3 870

42 596 102 175 13 043

50 473 105 529 15 073

57 398 1 1 1 659 17 101

60 390 120 052 18 944

59 559 129 886 20 667

55 424 141 706 23 035

51 904 153 142 25 871

52 603 162 038 28 423

55711 1 69 097 31 289

59 639 I77 207 33 399

61 465 188 327 35 065

3 824 8044 938

4 572 8638 1 050

5 289 9 441 1154

5 939 10 576 1 273

6 363 11 879 1 396

6665 13 061 1560

6 753 14 265 1 833

6 913 15 700 2 073

7 113 17 189 2 431

7 635 18 592 2 768

8 036 20017 3 053

2 734 6 554 839

3 333 7 041 963

3 873 7 700 I 075

4 274 8 687 1192

4 566 9 680 1 302

4 683 10 574 1 450

4534 1 1 504 1714

4 488 12 500 1 928

4 493 13 530 2 261

4 736 14 435 2 575

4 832 15 332 2 829

2 179 5 372 668

2666 5 764 771

3 093 6 313 870

3 417 7 130 978

3 671 7 995 1 063

3 758 8684 1182

3 702 9532 1 404

3 697 10 384 1 588

3 695 1 1 297 1 882

3 888 12 032 2 151

3 956 12 807 2 376

555 1182 171

667 1 277 192

780 1 387 205

857 1 557 214

895 1 685 239

925 1 890 268

832

1971 310

791 2 116 340

797 2 234 380

848 2 402 423

875 2 525 454

926 1 275 88

1045 1 362 76

1186 1 482 67

1 394 1 594 67

1 492 1855 79

1 670 2 105 90

1 897 2 328 97

2 088 2 699 117

2 260 3 093 135

2 515 3 537 1 52

2 814 4 012

135 146 8

160 166 10

1 89 195 10

217 236 11

226 281 13

230 331 15

248 368 18

274 414 21

274 427 23

274 470 24

273 500 28

OCEANIA Population aged 65 or over ..............

AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND

.....................

Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Auotralla (19) Population aged 0-14...................... Populatiin aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. N W Zealand Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..... Population aged 65 or over

..... ..............

MELANESIA Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.... Population aged 65 or ove FIJI Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over ..............

726

in

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country

French Gulana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guyana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Peru Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Surinarne Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Canada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Unlted States of Amerlca Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. OCEANIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Australia (19) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Zealand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MELANESIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Fiji Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

24 39 2

25 40 3

30 46 3

36 52 3

41 60 4

50 74 5

53 84 6

54 95 7

55 108 8

60 124 9

64 139 12

707 1017 74

791 1 071 59

687 1145 49

E45 197 47

113 387 54

1 252 1 554 60

1434 1 703 62

1 572 1 988

77

1 724 2 318 90

1948 2 659 101

2 223 3 041 118

38 50 2

44 56 2

51 65 3

61 71 5

72 83 6

92 94 6

109 112 7

129 134 9

142 162 9

158 193 11

174 229 12

22 24 1

26 28 1

30 33 1

35 38 2

39 44 3

46 52 3

53 61 4

59 69 4

66 78 5

75 91 6

80 103 6

52 90 5

65 94 5

79 99 6

93 112 6

106 130 7

113 145 9

124 168 10

138 208 12

154 249 15

169 280 17

309

16 43 1

21 41 1

27 39 1

31 44 1

34 50 1

36 58 2

37 66 3

39 77 4

40 88 5

45 94 7

47 100 8

13 18 1

16 20 1

20 23 2

25 26 2

28 31 2

30 31 3

35 36 3

39 44 3

42 50 3

47 57 4

43 60 4

112 125 6

129 140 7

151 160 7

178 183 8

199 215 9

200 236 11

199 266 13

199 293 16

206 316 21

215 341 24

364

27

31 37 2

35 42 2

43 48 2

51 57 3

55 71 4

60 86 4

65 103 5

69 120 6

73 135 8

74 152 10

45 47 2

54 55 2

63

42 2

62 2

68 72 2

68 80 3

65 87 3

63 90 4

E6 89 6

66 95 7

73 97 8

23 23 1

28 28 1

33 34 1

40 41 2

46 50 2

44 47 2

43 51 3

38 51 4

37 53 4

39 54 5

38 55 5

New Caledonia Population aged 0-1

Papua New Gulnea

Population aged 0-14 ....... Population aged 15-64 ...... Population aged 65 or over ..............

Solomon Islands

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over

Vanuatu

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.

MCRONESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over ..............

169 19

Guam

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

Micronesia (Fad. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesia

32 2

222 28

Samoa

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

38

Tonga

Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or

a b c d e 1 2

3 4 5 6

7 8

More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions m p r i s e all regions of Africa. Asia (exduding Japan), Latin America and the Cariibean plus Wanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed w n t r i e s are 50 wuntties, 34 in Africa,10 in Asia, 5 in ooeenii plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countriescomprise of the less d d o p e d regions exduding the least developed cwntrbs. Sub-SaharanAfrica refersto all of Africa e m 1 Northern Africa,with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Maydte. Including Agalega, Rcd~igues,and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena. kension, and T r i m da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, SpecialAdrninistraCiveRegions (WR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a SpecialAdministrative F a g i i (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mbined into South-CentralAsia.

728

United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

region and country

2050

New Caledonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Papua New Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Solomon lslands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Vanuatu Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MICRONESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Samoa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tonga Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............

9 including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.

11 lncluding Aland Islands 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.

14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtensteln.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguiiia, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Calcos Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Maidnas). 18 including Bermuda, Greenland, and Salnt Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lnclud~ng Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Nodolk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru. Northern Mariana Islands, and Paiau. 21 including American Samoa, Cook islands, Nlue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabte A.34. Population In school ages by major area, region and country: estlmates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major a m , region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................

318 220 154 325 146 443 274 288

355 014 155 557 153 853 288 276

430 947 177 139 158 763 300 543

480 059 219 116 190 147 318 621

530 627 237 368 228 771 384 409

587 051 266 689 244 568 451 301

622 085 294 174 276 781 491 579

630 769 311 509 300 986 553 067

665900 311 822 311 919 598 098

724 201 334 173 315 699 615 388

740 621 365 147 345 481 633 323

MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ....................

83 301

43 807 40 575 84 040

91 943 40 322 43 424 82 000

102 568 47 388 41 037 84 277

106 738 51 456 50 045 85 028

107 914 53 706 52 395 99 207

102 223 54 232 54 051 105 232

98 096 50 667 53 381 108 641

95 291 49 593 50 124 106 547

94 735 47 771 49 522 101 265

95 634 48 259 46 192 99 788

89 723 48 741 49211 98 190

234 919 110518 105 868 190 249

263 071 115235 110428 206 276

328 379 129 751 117 726 216 265

373 321 167 660 140 102 233 594

422 713 183 661 176 376 285 202

484 828 212 456 190 517 346 068

523 989 243 508 223 400 382 938

535 478 261 916 250 863 446 520

571 165 264 052 262 397 496 834

628 566 285 913 267 507 515 600

650 898 316 406 296 270 535 133

30 228 13 247 12 312 21 970

33483 14 930 13 512 23 889

38 949 16 355 15 236 26 480

45 086 19 420 16 992 29 853

51 701 22 320 20 328 33 764

59 124 25 617 23 121 39 798

67 072 29 208 26 522 45 427

75 481 33 171 30 171 52 028

86 807 37 422 34 305 59 402

98 939 43 508 39 193 67 966

110584 49 374 45 453 78 013

204 690 97 272 93 556 168 279

229 588 100 305 96 916 182 387

289 429 113396 102 490 189 785

328 235 148 239 123 110 203 941

371 012 181 341 156 049 251 439

425 704 186 839 167 396 306 271

456 918 214 300 196 879 337 511

459 997 228 744 220 692 394 492

484 358 226 630 228 091 437 432

529 628 242 406 228 315 447 634

540 314 267 032 250 817 457 120

Less developed regions, excluding China Populationaged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23

168 967 78 275 72 636 130 719

185 401 82 841 78 939 142 516

223 793 91 235 84064 154 186

264 524 112785 96 599 165 671

300 119 131 769 119888 194 561

333 586 149 893 f 37 320 237 413

369 244 166 041 154 962 272 656

408 220 184 578 171 377 307 463

452 491 203 754 190 421 340 529

491 654 226 761 210 736 377 476

519 640 245 499 233 550 420 177

Sub-Seharan Africa (e) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 ....... Populationaged 18-23

27 598 12 112 11 197 19 764

30 777 13 595 12 382 21 863

35 752 15 069 13 923 24 341

41 533 17 768 15 670 27 267

47 845 20 547 18 607 31 167

55 419 23 701 21 378 38 677

64 560 27 518 24 768 42 436

75 478 32 160 28 880 49 171

88 295 37 668 33 778 57 269

100 767 43 903 39 513 67 081

113404 50 316 45 992 78 676

AFRICA Populationaged 6-11 Populationaged 12-14 .............. Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................

34 115 15 065 13 951 24 668

38 291 16 813 15 393 27 255

44 651 18 832 17218 30 148

52 151 22 223 19 471 33 379

59 970 25 891 23 352 38 566

68 601 29 662 26 834 45 789

79 430 33 958 30 741 53 013

92 500 39 682 35 651 61 035

107 491 46 184 41 594 70 471

121 115 53 588 48 393 82 318

133 128 60 511 55 931 96 239

10 126 4 422 4 110 7 207

11 534 4 953 4 498 7 976

13 473 5 654 5 103 8 814

15 695 6 667 5 903 10 031

18 333 7 756 6 976 11 682

21 387 9 082 8 103 13 730

24 836 10 561 9 487 16 066

29 096 12 313 11 053 10 788

34 101 14 602 13 002 21 968

38 644 16 672 15 112 25 501

43 818 19 483 17 623 30 176

369 164 153 273

402 180 165 288

483 193 180 313

543 241 202

340

583 263 249 391

631 282 259 445

681 310 288 504

767 337 319 583

935 379 346 627

1119 464 395 646

1 230 554 486 733

27 12 11 19

32 14 12 21

35 16 14 23

39 16 16 27

47 19 17 30

56 23 20 33

68 29 26 42

80 34 30 51

97 40 36 60

106 49 43 71

113 52 51 86

10 4 4 7

13 5 5 8

14 7 6 10

19 8 8 14

27 11 10 19

38 16 14 24

58 25 23 38

67 30 27 47

92 40 37 65

104 45 41 72

120 54 49 86

187 81 74 126

211 91 82 141

229 103 92 160

265 109 103 184

312 127 112 202

356

426 151 125 220

543 218 173 259

555 277 240 352

578 263 270 427

638 292 266 520

WORLD Populationaged 6-11

LESSDEVELOPEDREG Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 Less dewloped regions, e lM8t developed countries (d) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 .

.

.... .......

EASTERN AFRICA (1) Populationaged 6-11 ................ Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 Burundi Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Comoros (2) Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Djlboutl Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Erltraa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..

730

147 134 224

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 WORLD Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23.................... Less developed regions, excluding Chlna Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 16-23..................... Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... AFRICA Population aged 6-11...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Burundi Population aged 6-11...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Comoros (2) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Djlbouti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Erdrea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A34. Poputatbn In school ages by maJwarea. regbn and country (continued)

Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

MJor

(vw.

mglon and country

Ethlopla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14............. Population aged 15-17 Population aged 16-23.................... K=w Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 U.d.gucar Population a@ 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... YIaM popllation aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 YHlrttlu. (3) Poplation aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Moumblqw Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-1 7 .................... Population aged 18-23. R6unlon Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... population aged 18-23.................... Rwurd. population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .............. Population aged 18-23 Somalla Population aged 6-11 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2920 1265 1155 2 016

3286 1 423 1290 2 246

3 710 1606 1 459 2522

4 218 1 824 1855 2864

4906 2 072 1882 3 255

5 702 2 428 2 159 3 705

6 199

8 559 3653 3300 5 676

10 188 4 322 3886 6 653

1 1 937

2400 4046

7 245 3 114 2 819 4820

813 392 382 670

1021 390 383 741

1368 515 414 745

1683 690 574 845

2 024 639 745 1158

2436 1016 1485

2990 1219 1085 1798

3639 1512 1314 2 180

4366 1 829 1 627 2 659

5 023 2 206 1967 3 302

5197 2541 2331 3 949

651 290 267 472

700 320 294 521

850 337 321 576

1 007 427 355 624

1143 495 452 716

1308 56s 512 887

1500 848 587 1011

1 742

744 678 1164

2000 868 779 1340

2 320 994 909 1555

2714 1161 1044 1809

469

533

200

181 312

225 204 350

575 259 230 393

649 274 260 447

756 316 278 498

895 373 332 553

1 042 449 394 880

1 267 51 8 472 784

1635 700 578 1 028

1633 742 704 1138

1969 813 781 1 377

83 35 32 55

96 41 36 62

115 47 42 71

134 57 49 82

154 88 58 93

150 65 104

141 72 87 120

127 62 67 131

129 68 59 120

116 63 69 121

125 57 60 133

971 431 400 712

1054 470 433 768

1162 51 1 474 837

1315 567 519 919

1 496 645

1699 736 667 1142

1 937 839 765 1332

2 219 949 857 1451

2433 1 079 949 1 490

2609 1149 1065 1851

2950 1297 1188 2 108

35 15 15 27

44 18 15 29

60 22 19 31

70 31 26 38

83 37 31 43

88 40 36

77 41 41 61

73 37 36 71

75 37 37 72

79 39 38 68

81 41 40 70

363 156 140 241

416 179 161 276

483

548 226

185

203

318

347

658 274 240 403

774 324 288 474

881

205

368 659

993 41 1 380 706

1346 476 424 742

1205 460 349 536

1526 778 668 946

331 1 52 135 241

369

451 179 161 294

523 224 190 318

591 258 235 379

682 291

1 OS2 458 411 706

1144 473 422 713

1113

1 59 153 264

456 759

1013 441 444 755

1100 501 440 841

791 322 340 610

949 399 329 645

1136 465 424 668

1361 578 501 848

1608 679 614 1010

1 882 783 698 1192

2 214 927 819 1 373

2586 1096 975 1622

3 117 1310 1175 1974

3 797 1571 1 397 2 351

4569 1902 1675 2 796

1266 852

1 475 622 583 972

1668 734 651 1111

1943 820 761 1296

2294 970 857 1 501

2 715 1149 1030 1 728

3 189 1352 1208 2 047

3 770 1591 1 428 2 414

4368 1894 1687 2 855

5 119 2 218 2 031 3 439

5643 2 554 2310 4012

392 1 70 154 266

455 192 175 303

509 227 201 346

592 250 234

716 295

260

870 358 315

1040 436 383

1 224 520 465

401

459

525

832

774

1385 613 550 932

1566 687 639 1091

1772 783 716 1274

442 188 171 306

474 225 196 338

617 225 228 392

777 320 245 439

925 386 350

1 097 465 409 690

1312 548 492 810

1 599 662

1 887 81 1

590 1009

716 1208

2060 953 862 1415

2 125 1029 987 1699

582

1011

894

80

53

264

459

2666

383

525

5069 4546 7726

ug.nd.

Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population wed 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17....... population aged 18-23 Unltad Republic of To popllation aged 8-1 1 ............. Popuktion wed 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23....................

545

494

LunMa

Populationaged 6-11 ............:......... Population aged 12-14.................... popllation aged 15-17 Poprlation aged 18-23.................... Zlmbabw popllationaged E l1 Populatmn aged 12-1 popllationaged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

732

508

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -

P

P

-

Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Ethiopia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23.................... Kenya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Popuhtion aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Madagascar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... Malawi Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Mauritius (3) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Mozambique Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................. RBunlon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23..................... Rwanda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Somalia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Uganda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Zambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Zimbabwe Population aged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

table 1134 Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

US(0r arm. mglon and country

MDDLE AFRICA Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pop~lationeged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 16-23 .................... Angola Populationaged 6-11 ...................... populalbn aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 Camroon Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... population aged 12-14 Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 1523 .................... Central Atrlun Rapubllc Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... population aged 15-17 .................... population aged 18-23 Chad Papllalionaged 6-11 ...................... Populalkm aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

3 925 1 731 1 597 2036

4336 1 923 1 763 3 119

4 948 2 124 1965 3 467

5 689 2 441 2 189 3 849

6 618 2 821 2 552 4353

7 701 3 280 2 941 5038

9 052 3 827 3438 5844

10 686 4 495 4 015 6 822

12 564 5330 4 745 7 989

14 806 6 371 5 717 9 623

16 664 7 241 6565 11 188

615 274 255 457

E61 297 274 490

775 316

296

892 374 320

560

1144 490 437 741

1304 565 510

528

1009 426 383 621

1562 657 599 1030

1798 760 673 1157

2 120 898 805 1 349

2444 1036 929 1 572

850

713 318 295

807

910 400 359

1054

1 243

1483

291 272

448

528 468

623

488

530

558 940

1 756 739 657 1108

2 095 881 787 1320

2 393 1 053 937 1 573

2641 1192 1104 1875

175

80

185 85

76 139

424 177 163 287

486 212 186 317

556 241 224 378

629 278 252 443

738

1437 618 557

348

635

413 713

251 110 93 167

279 123 115 189

314 137 125

147

219 89 85 155

222

358 156 142 246

339

368

439

169 156 278

180 171

509 222

567 250 232 377

844 280

309

885 363

1033

152 142 257

256 451

281 489

319 545

388 643

1215 521 464 777

119 53 49

307 130 115 190

360 155 139 231

410 181 164 279

457 206 191 331

515 230 215 388

80

324 578

189

816

Population aged 1523 .................... !3&0 Tom6 and Pdnclp. Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 ............ NORTHERNAFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1 5 17 population aged 18-23 . Algula Population aged 6-11 ...................... population aged 12-14 .................... populationaged 1517 .................... Populationaged 16-23 QYPt Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populalion aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 16-23 .................... Llbyan Ar& Amahlrlya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ........

734

436

940

306

334

136 59 54 97

154

1?7 77 71 122

212 89 140

257 107 95 161

840

2 186 954

2 458 1 082

765 1330

866

988

l5W

1712

2 842 1210 1114 1950

3 379 1 431 1 277 2 226

3 978 1888 1510 2553

4 721 1985 1 TI8 3 012

5 539 2 327 2 070 3 498

6530 2 768 2465 4 132

7 816 3344 2 998 5043

8723 3 762 3393 5770

30

51 22 20

59 25 23

68 30

36

40

77 135

con90

Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 h o a a t l c RepuMlc of tho Congo Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....... Population aged 1 5 17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Equatorlot GUlnM Population agecl 6-11 ...................... Populatkm aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Gabon Population aged 6-11

863

88 1 942

88 61 107

80

29 13 13 24

14 13 25

35 14 14 25

38 17 15 27

41 19 18 29

32 14 13 25

31 14 13 22

45 20 18 32

51 24 24 46

50 25 24 46

56 24 24 46

60

75 34 32 61

95 39 37 69

116 50 43 79

139

46

64 29 28 49

94

167 71 65 116

6 2 2 8

6 2 2 8

7 2 2 8

9 4 3 8

12 5 5 8

14 6 6 9

15 7 6 10

18 8 7 11

22 9 7 12

22 11 10 15

23 11 11 19

7 976 3 585 3329 5904

9 172 3 932 3660 6 519

10 710 4 582 4030 7 081

12 645 5333 4 631 7 559

14 444 6 342 5640 9009

15 904 7 120 6508 10 910

18 108 7 817 7209 12 697

20856 9 167 8 250 14 374

23 501 10 392 9 514 16 094

25 146 11 823 10 832 18 603

25 079 12 567 12 145 21 430

1296 588 541 949

1466 642 602 1058

1 708 729 1147

2004 825 738 1 240

2 479 1020 884 1351

2 873 1210 1 031 1 697

3 244 1418 1 285 2058

3 755 1 628 1 499 2 m

4 373 1885 1712 2 997

4583 2 225 2005 3448

4415 2271 2276 4 032

3 110 1443 1368 2 472

3611 1535 1463 2 692

4 379 1853 1 575 2 814

5 243 2 281 1934 2 977

5 592 2850 2434 3 916

5883 2 768 2688 4626

6 827 2898 2 753 4 981

7884 3 456 3030 5 349

8 780 3948 3 578 5 774

9 572 4 394 4 081 6830

9436 4 852 4557 8012

159 69 64 111

177 77 70 122

214 91 83 146

255 108 97 173

320

418 162 147

543 222

812

268

322

691 298 255 419

754 423 372 647

657 363 420 765

858

28 24

136 124 217

186

60 55

346 321 524

27 46 184

86

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffairdPOpulation Division World Populatlon Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 MIDDLE AFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Angola Population aged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Cameroon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Central Afrlcan Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chad Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Equatorial Guinea Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Gabon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SLo Tome and Principe Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-13 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Algeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Egypt Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A34. Population in school ages by major area, regbn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

MaJorama,mglon and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OoO

1464 576 993

1 669 724 655 1127

1921 831 754 1 295

2306 907 778 1 337

2 791 1139 952 1411

3028 1 378 1 207 1 067

3 198 1405 1286 2402

3529 1616 1 476 2580

3954 1 753 1888 2 910

4 103 2 007 1818 3 235

3945 2033 2 031 3 542

1 459 632 575 1001

1 658 714 649 1127

1811 818 737 1 273

2 027 877 1446

2 319 997 895 1610

2 722 1159 1 051 1 798

3 238 1 378 1 236 2 120

3 834 1646 1 478 2511

4306 1 877 1698 2093

4 798 2 138 1953 3365

5355 2 372 2206 3866

485

588

438 399

486 454

378

392

932 395 347 496

647

794

1138 513 494 896

1 242 570 527 971

1296 618 588 1 049

1 227 654

205

805 331 251 379

1039

238 218

673 258 221 401

967

217

2 1 1 2

3 1 1 3

4 2 2 5

6 3 3 7

11 5 4 9

13 6 5 9

19 10 9 20

25 10 10

40

20

34 13 12 24

18 16 28

44 21 21 37

2 240 998 1685

2 549 1130 1032 1855

3038 1 275 1177 2 055

3808 1554 1 352 2 331

4 067 1815 1 656 2 745

4 651 2034 1 895 3 325

5 349 2 341 2 128 3 769

5 959 2 701 2 472 4286

6 552 2 981 2811 4942

6 841 3 315 3 107 5 715

7 057 3 407 3388 6 274

64

66

28 47

32 31 55

91 31 31 57

113 48 35 58

126 56 52 73

144

30

58 103

171 73 66 118

208 86 77 132

243 105 93 156

262 124 113 190

265 132 129

110 49 44 77

125 54 49 81

138 63 55 91

153

192 85 78 129

219 96

281 125 113 178

309

147

25 1 111 101 166

303 141 128

101

171 76 69 117

69

80 34 31 55

92 40 36 61

106 46 42 72

122

173 71 64 105

202 87 76 123

231 103

83

143 62 56 96

1 477

2 228 989 903 1630

2 657 1116 1032 1809

3 167 1 362 1185 2 059

3568 1 595 1 455 2 422

4 079 1785 1668 2939

4 675 2054 1869 3 331

42 19 17 30

50 21 19 33

60 25 22 37

69 30 26 41

79 35 31 49

93 40 35 58

112 47 41

9848 4 328 3 975 7 035

10 700 4 874 4 439 7 785

12 482 5 197 4940 8 732

14 514 6228 5396 9 610

16 508 7 158 6 528 7 10 n

258 116 104 185

298

357 149 132 228

419 178 157 259

597

663

761

303

282 295 527

brocco Population aged 12-14 .......... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... TunlJa Population aged 6-11 Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 1823 .................... Waotam Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... BO~~WOM Populatbnaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 LeWlhO Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .......... Population aged 15-17 .......... Population aged 18-23 ..........

635

940

830

88 64

83

88

200

634 1177

230 151 144 246

Namlbla

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... population aged 18-23 ............. South Africa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Swulland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .............

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 1823 Banin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 Burklna Fa10 Population aged 6-1 1 .. Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

736

30 28 54 1 955 871

822

611 273 255 461

127 118 202

275 481

326

165

281 116 107 192

144 125 217

5 169 2 361 2 169 3 787

5 641 2582 2 449 4343

5 819 2858 2 691 5023

5 972 2 891 2909 5450

155 66

68

130 56 49 79

176 77 67 110

185 89 61 131

18 957 8 146 7388 12 787

22085 9 413 8 479 14 635

25 904 11 006 9862 16 765

30 772

35 679 15 407 13 624 22 877

40 510

457 211 188 310

518 225 216 372

614 261 232 422

725 310 276

912 362 327

486

554

854 374

1 375

1552

684

346

503 440

602

281

1010 422 382

1203

333

531

539

546

653

726

850

629 1046

53 48

96

80 100

12 878 11 523 19 477

17 814 16 210 27 171

1 081 469 397 672

1238 541 501

1781 774 708 1232

2 079

808 890 811 1412

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Divlsion World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Morocco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tunisia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Western Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Botswana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Lesotho Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Namibia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... South Africa Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Swaziland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Benin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Burkina Faso Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A34 Population In school ages by maJorarea. reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 19!5&2005 Population (thowands)

Major area. rsglOn end Country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

20 12 12 20

25 11 10 20

31 9 8 19

41 15 13 21

53 23 20 23

51 25

22 30

50 26 25 36

54 23 24 43

66 27 22 41

75 33 29 43

78 38 35 56

397 177 163 285

439 199 186

554

848 354 322

1340

1 720

432 390

536 484

690

208

896 285 239

1048

217

335

387

435

540

698

872

803 1065

2 219 875 768 1290

2 612 1141 972 1 594

2 842 1315 1226 2015

43 19 18 32

48 21

49 24 22 41

57 24 24 46

72 29 25 49

87 36 32 54

104 44 39 67

126 52 47 82

152 64 57 101

182 77 69 122

217

857 370 337 582

1 024

1155 522

1316 565 537 923

1483 629 580 1009

1711 726 651 1100

1 905 81 1 727 1 233

2 271

2638 1135 1022 1 738

2 997 1326 1 202 2 052

3 251 1 499 1386 2402

379 155 142 268

414 193 163 278

469

533

826 359 325 562

419

1211 521

1350 593

196 324

275 251

723 314 267 499

982

235 204 375

592 262 243 404

626

200

380

465

536

654

799

907

69 32 56

71 33 31 57

78 33 32 58

79 36 32 57

166 71 66 110

197 83 75 132

232 97 87 148

125 55 51 91

142 62 57 100

170 71 64 112

369

375 161 144 242

523 233 210

505 224

500 253 229 403

595 236 248 447

1 537

1781 766 693 1163

103 52 48

142

Cape Verde

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

C l b d'lvolre Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Gambia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ghana Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-1 Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... GUlnM Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... P6pulation aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... GuIIwo-BIMoU Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Llhrla Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ............. Population aged 18-23 ............. Mall Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .............. Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Maaurllanla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 . Population aged 16-23 ....................

30

208 374 104 47 45 81

20 36

433 393 681

88

464 794

444

968 870 1 477

84

ge

36 35 59

41 37 67

120 52 47 79

146 63 55

199 86 75 128

230 100 90 150

269 116 104 179

316 136 122 2DB

371 158 142 241

701

876

1020

1171

380

434

508

463

770 345 321 487

351 617

390 870

451 745

192 86 82 113

217 96

250

288

51 95

175 75 53 97

108 99 175

126 113 196

223

638 269

528

1012 429 357 542

1171 504 452 694

1 370 582 483 762

1 596

369 323 9 921 4 289 3 897 6 784

11 525 4 937 4 490 7 840

13 436 5 691 5 107 8 770

48

304 243

88 180

92

158 140 237 1340 581 527 867 323 143 131

688 602 1012

363 162 149 261

92 84 147

353

409 182 189 301

Nlger Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Nigeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

404

450

167 148 247

204

533 219

177

209

229

296

349

408

742 317 285 461

5 214 2 297 2 106 3 717

5 641 2 559 2 342 4111

8634 2 722 2580 4 582

7 697 3306 2833 5 012

8 696 3 778 3460 5 658

385

431 191 177 318

484

172 158 281

215 198 357

574 240

277 125 118 213

299 137 126 227

318 147 138 245

351 156 147 267

199 87

218 96 87 152

248 104 96 166

281 119 104 180

867

SeneOa1

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1 5 17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SWre Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .. Population aged 18-23 . . . Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

738

80 142

223 401

685

1 909 797

613 941

1107

16 080 6654 5965 10 124

18 703 8 025 7045 11 829

21 270 9272 8437 14 051

1120 475 425 723

1 328

1 547

563 504

668 597 1002

1724 779 706 1191

606

643

698

273 251

317 279 481

688

806

289 255 456

345

947 403

309

363

524

814

394

445

478

174 158 286

195 179 31 1

222

525 235

201

226

267 243

350

397

446

436

354

407 174 156

488 197 177

579 240 213

340 306

266

302

362

691 294 259 431

151 136 225

851

778

509

683

909 403 368 632

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairdPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Cape Verde Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... CBte d'lvoire Populationaged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Gambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Ghana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Guinea-Blssau Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-1 7 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... Liberia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Mali Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... Mauritania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Niger Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Nigeria Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Senegal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Sierra Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Togo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. PopulatlonIn school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

MaJor area, mglon and country 2OOO

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

Populationaged 6-11 Populationaged 12-1

186 830 89 424

208 224

260 215

457 576

173 404

399 494 188 482 172 653 295 926

346636

192 748 198 056 385 158

204 516 193 083 388 228

226 760

156 368

373 848 163 442 146 544 272 972

392 758 200043

Populaticm aged 18-23 ....................

324 333 141 749 139 254 227 654

448 812

102 760

289 543 133 340 111 436 185 721

408 108

91 472 88 675 168 649

212 091 387 793

82 182

95 413

39 792 40 457 72 579

40 370 39 134 78 101

121 692 47 560 41 849 76 981

125 598 63 127 52 470 84295

140 108 60 326 64405 107 921

169 662 71 309 61 839 124 778

174 589 86 798 77 458 127 180

145 515 87 670 89 153 156 699

135 121 69 123 82 039 175 647

151 835 67 373 65 072 157 438

145 395 78 183 70 662 131 616

65 785 32 130 33 097 59 227

77329 32 313 31 386 63 481

104 070 38 312 33 549 61 880

108 160 54599 43 240 67 610

121 916 51 571 56 197 90 154

150 677 62 215 52852 108 053

154215 77 168 68 092 109 543

126 727

118 125 60 031 71 701 155 736

136 379 58 869 56 493 137 533

130 741 70 640 62430 114349

149 104 123 279

318 74

486

600

537 329

507 286

508 266

96 263

257 247 297

635 296 266 454

323 560

330 700

272 659

513 254 260 533

486

192 105 207

558

473 243 267 571

18 10 12 24

23 7 7 17

30 13 8 12

36 19 15 17

43 25 25 34

28 19 22 43

24 13 16 39

23 14 15 37

35 13 14 36

47 19 15 32

44 25 22 35

1916

893

1711 881

1 697 542

2 072 947

758 1219

777

582

1 426

1 273 870 871 1 699

1719

1 428

2 523 987 1 049 1339

2 701 1326 1060 2 017

2 031 1364 1398 2 235

2063 914 1235 2 751

2 259 1 097 874 2 324

2 410 1100 1154 1 873

11 209 5 223 5 236 9 728

12 820 5 597 5 274 10 234

12 107 6 571 5 820 10 276

10 023 5882 6 526 11 676

9 677 4 812 5 258 12 506

10 420 4 895 4739 10 434

11 699 5 216 5 037 9 492

10913 6 074 5 514 10 064

9399 5 342 6 013 11 091

8 163 4 611 4 952 11 569

7340 4 020 4 377 9 870

118 52 47 83

134 59 53 93

153 67 61 108

176 78 70 121

205

275 119 109 187

308

365

139 126 219

347 160 150 267

390 168 161

139

238 103 93 160

294

195 172 310

2 988 1381 1184 2 019

3 078 1430 1 449 2588

3 574 1 537 1 436 2820

4 905 1751 1595 2856

5 560 2585 1 997 3 207

5 239 2 760 2 762 4 188

5 148 2 671 2 815 5 202

5006 2 755 2630 5 125

4 639 2 410 2665 5 233

4 111 2344 2 315 5 128

4 022 1960 2 240 4608

71 780 33 933 31 551 57 591

77 192 34 977 33 881 61 626

94458 37 706 35 148 65889

110 179 47 a56 40 239 69 310

122 604 54 623 50 781 81 664

135291 61 167 56 518 100 481

149 418 67 358 63098 112662

106 314 74 485 69 478 125 974

186 398 83 188 77 216 138 703

205 816 93 767 86 751 153834

218 745 102 992 97 166 173 469

1 248 558 514 903

1405 610

1 507

988

624 1083

1 889 021 741 1 349

2 169 936 847 1 452

2303 993 894 1 529

2 049

562

1 657 733 703 1215

798 1 357

2 132 907 820 1 400

3 117 1325 1181 2009

3 597 1 523 1361 2 287

6 673 2 822 2 593 4622

7284 3362 2940 5 061

8 604 3 538 3 427 5826

10 158 4354 3688 6 615

11 751 5 042 4 604 7 417

13 293 5 888 5 273 9064

14 575 6 626 8 126 10 482

15 772 7 273 6 812 12 113

17 810 7 a15 7 429 13 486

19 502 9 001 8 127 14 685

20 730 9 713 9326 16 330

27 12 11 19

30

33 15 14 25

38 16 15 27

45 19 17 31

53 23 21 37

64 27 24 43

87 37 33 52

94 44 39 66

ASIA

EASTERN ASIA Populationaged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populalion aged 1517 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Chlna (5) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Chlna, Muao SAA 0 Populationaged 5 1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 16-23 .................... Dam. Propktr RopuMk of K o m Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 Japan population aged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Mongolla Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 population aged 18-23 .................... Republlc of K o m Populationaged 8-11 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .... Afghanlrtan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 Banglule8h Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 Bhutan Populationaged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

740

86800

868

13 12 22

93204

698

88 80

194 046

77058 79 199 138 360

886

77

88

32

38

28 48

34 56

265

264

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaiMJopulation Division World Populatbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -

Populat~on(thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 ASIA

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... China (S) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Japan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Mongolia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Afghanistan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bangladesh Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bhutan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country

.

Population (thousands)

India Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kyrgyzstan Population aged 5 1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Maldives Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tajikistan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkmenlstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uzbekistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Brunei Darussalam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 lndla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kyrgyzstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Maldives Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tajlkistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkmenistan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uzbekistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brunei Darussalarn Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A34.Population in school aQes by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

Indonda Populallonaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Loo Peopba Democrat& Populalion aged 12-14 Populalion aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Lklay.k Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 Myanmar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Pcpulationaged 18-23 .................... milipplnaa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pc+ulation aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populalbn aged 18-23 Slnpapore Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Thslland Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationagad 18-23 Tlmor-Laata Populatin aged 6-11 ...................... poPu(a1ionaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Wet Nam Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Populationaged 1517 Population aged 18-23

WESTERN ASIA Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ....... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... h M h Populationaged 6-11 ....... Populationaged 12-1 ....... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Aurbaljan Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationagad 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Bahraln Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 CVprua Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

744

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1900

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

I 1 969 5 716 5 291 9298

12 042 5886 5 713 10 317

13 756 5 851 5 773 11 062

16 722 6 897 6006 11 178

19 291 8 420 7384 12 042

21 686 9 621 8860 14 768

23 840 10 867 10 006 17 575

25 346 11 928 11 241 19 970

26 334 12 637 12 176

26 173

25 627 12 965 13 138 25 317

231 102 95 175

239 117 105 187

318 113 116 208

382

416 188 180 260

466 208

530

796

921

299 278 475

330 308

403

192 349

227 208 351

597 266 237 406

666

167 124 222

548

349 601

890 430 360 639

1 057 428 439 732

1366 538 447

848

1666 692 594 918

1 899 821 734 1196

2004 931 847 1439

2 168 998 965 1 709

2 184 1 097 1021 1910

2 656 1150 1096 2 025

2 922 1367 1 229 2 245

3 119 1 478 1450 2586

2 075 1 009 1037 2 042

2 339 1014 976 1980

3 189 1142 1036 1912

3 789 1651 1282 2 057

4 130 1 877 1 782 2 861

4606 2 062 1 928 3 510

5 273 2 298 2 138 3853

5 511 2 680 2 419 4 273

5603 2 716 2 733 4 862

5 773 2 791 2711 5355

5609 2 890 2 822 5 404

3 225 1 379 1 267 2 021

3 741 1 624 1444 2 497

4 652 1855 1 703 2 892

5530 2380 2005 3389

6300 2 769 2 545 4 073

7 116 3 166 2894 5 041

7 914 3 574 3 301 5 754

8846 3 955 3 694 6 502

9 697 4 455 4 105 7 285

10 558 4848 4 599 8 136

11 398 5 301 4906 9 075

152 89 61 105

187 81 78 139

255 96

339

345 171 153 263

299 175 178 317

271 145 168 359

257 145 145

288 136 131

344

249 126 145 352

306

376 158 153 295

3 196 1 531 1384 2 414

3 571 1556 1548 2 767

4 407 1 782 1 592 3028

5 387 2222 1 920

3206

6 410 2 701 2 398 3885

7 125 3 240 2 895 4 827

7363 3 579 3 398 5 845

6 799 3 661 3554 6503

6 131 3306 3 533 6 910

5 910 3 033 3 199 6 917

5 682 3 015 3 096 6 402

64 29 27 50

69 31 29 52

76 34 31

95 42 38 67

105 47 43 75

92 45 46 80

85 46 87

109 46 51 93

129 56

56

84 37 35 61

97

150 62 55 70

3 150 1580 1683 3 028

3 371 1 539 1 499 3 189

4684 1618 1 528 2 931

6 089 2 410 1808 2995

7 224 3 024 2 675 3 767

7983 3622 3 215 5 310

8 503 3 927 3 710 6 331

9 179 4222 4000 7 319

9885 4586 4 321 7935

10 912 4 917 4 701 8 617

11 319 5 517 5 102 9 367

7229 3548 3 307 5 931

8 235 3 510 3 514 6509

10 497 4084 3 542 6834

12 784 5333 4440 7 219

14 377 6 295 5 734 9 081

16 305 7 370 6658 11 260

18 425 8 129 7 660 13 373

21 023 9 318 8 515 15 658

23 558 10 605 9 807 17 429

25 586 11 790 10 955 19 592

26 987 12 762 12 076 22232

162 120 91 191

159 70 116 202

259 87 65 214

365

430

390

353

222 212

438

400

185 164 273

198 185

353

426 185 169 331

409

196 166 235

361 188 213

380

139 108 148

345 255 211

495 183 129

831 457

309 408

944 490 437

486

635

878

824 410 427 904

937 418 423 823

1085 471 422 812

1106 558 504

439

767 255 194 280

962 402

380

314 152 244 454

18 7 7 13

21 9 8 15

24 10 9 18

37 13 11 18

39 17 14 22

47 21 21 38

46 21 20 46

51 22 18 41

61 26 21 48

66 31 28 53

74 33 31 67

62 30 28 52

73 30 29 52

82 39 30 56

78 38 37 61

80 40 36 64

64

53

60

30

30 31 70

70 32 30 62

74 36 34 62

75

37 40 73

88 169

137 121 182

33 72

44

181 177

22340

13 177 12 770 24 048

46

309

836

38 38 72

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Indonesia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Malaysia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Myanrnar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Philippines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Singapore Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Thailand Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tirnor-Leste Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Vlet Nam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... WESTERN ASIA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Armenia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Azerbaijan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahrain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Cyprus Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table AM.Population In school ages by major area, reglon and country (continued)

Estlmatets: 1950-2005 ~~

Population (thousands)

mglon and country

Major

Georgia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populalkn aged 12-14 .................... Populallon aged 1517 ............ Population aged 18-23 Inq Population aged 6-11 .. Populatbn aged 12-14 Populationaged 18-23 ....................

d Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... population aged 1517 population aged 16-23 .................... Jordan Population aged 6-11 .......... Population aged 12-14 ........ populatioo aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Kuwan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pepulation aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .........

1995

2ooo

538

504

444

256 250 482

241 232 443

243

3085 1399 1 295 2 210

3 602 1551 1460 2809

4098 1 840 1643 2 930

622

405

559 270 262 461

662 324 318 622

424 183 161 241

485

580 258 242 411

689 321 301 578

743

221 202 314

169 61 53 106

211 87 74 146

242 100 89 174

300

197 82 72 172

226

125 111 217

433 203 190 317

427 203 192

423 201 194

426 199 192

438

456

180 157 243

218

217 218

335

355

192 84 79 138

181 74 68 123

211 88 77 131

267 111 106 167

96 39 36 62

113 49 42 70

131 56 51

156

5 2 2 4

8 3 3 5

487 214 196

555 242 221

641 2 n 251

343

385

436

529 238 223

400

610 263 242 427

783 302 273 476

3 110 1 495 1 491 2536

3684 1481 1416 2 793

11 5 4 8

1950

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

371 244 204 441

333

581 229 189

620

556

286 255

308

444

442 170 157 454

326

392

293 505

519 266 288 545

522 261 249 541

892 421 370 810

1 262 423 427 741

1 576

826

1 779 782 738 1021

2 145 909 784 1262

2530 1 074 978 1556

2 871 1268 1130 1932

132 66 65 131

224 83

313 130 101 184

351 I77 167 244

367 180 184 345

412 191 189

494 210 198

532 248

223

388

384

79 34 29 47

114 49

177 78 73 128

272 110 100 181

332

73

148 68 60 103

138 119 200

19 9 9 21

24 10 10 27

34 12 12 38

63 22 22 62

119 41 37

178 88 87 165

206

280 107 93 176

361 145 120 191

406

87 87 171

169 72 62 99

179 78 89 114

182 83 74 127

71 31 29 50

80 35 32 55

4 2 2 3

827 349

304 589

174 243

669 478

229 426

I

Lebanon Population aged El1 Population aged 12-1 Popllatim aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Occupied P a W n l a n T ~ l n o y Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 Oman Population aged 6-1 1 .......... Population aged 12-14 ........ Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Oator Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 .................... Saudl Arabia Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-1 Population aged 1517 .................... population aged 18-23 .................... Syrian Arab Republk Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... population aged 1517

population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Unlhd Arab Emlr.trr Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populatbn aged 12-14 .................... Populalionaged 1517 Popllalkn aged 18-23 .................... Yemen Populath aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

746

83 166

44

83

305 302 573

344 323 575

104 93 196

358

209 400

409

314 139 122 207

375 165 153 251

456 182 168 298

545 236 198 338

310 124 102 180

346

83

250 99 87 151

345

59 104

194 79 71 126

153 130 199

163 152 295

9 4 4 9

16 8 6 12

21 10 9 21

29 13 11 27

37 15 13 34

48 20 16 35

56 23

ia

62 29 27

46

50

759 325 295 513

934 387

1178 495

353

446

619

798

1511 629 556 1053

2 061 798 743 1 495

2566 1109 931 1771

3wo 1 259 1113 1 745

3 168 1421 1 221 2330

1 349 568 505

1 625 680

853

999

1989 821 729 1210

2 428 1005

541

1128 477 433 672

1 455

2685 1 240 1 092 1790

2648 1 352 1300 2 207

4 553 1 797 1488 2 736

5 397 2260 1900 3 016

5 760 2562 2 375 3832

6 545 2992 2 734 4 593

7 259 3 217 3 063 5 282

7960 3 670 3354 6 158

8303 3 995 3 821 6803

8 171 4 173 4 073 7655

8 267 4035 4 152 8 152

12 5 5 8

14 6 6 10

20

27 11 12 28

54

100 33 29 120

148 61

200

9 9 19

44

80 80

129

165

270 111 97 239

310 155 137 325

658 290

749 323

882 369

1006

1127

488

206

293

330

465

507

559

1541 648 576 957

1 872 773 685 1141

2348

439 383 630

2 917 1209 1040 1 647

3 403 1 473 1305 2092

954 401

330

442 717

66

20 20 72 1 298 549

489 811

604

885

940 825 1 365

United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country

Georgia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iraq Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Israel Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... Jordan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kuwait Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Lebanon Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Occupied Paiestlnlan Territory Population aged 6-1l...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Oman Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Qatar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Saudi Arabla Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Syrlan Arab Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkey Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... United Arab Emlrates Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Yemen Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tabfes

Table AM. Popdotkm In 8chool ages by major a m , mgkn and country (contkwed)

Estimates: 1950-2005 populaNofl(-) Major area, region and country

EUROPE Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

1950

1955

1960

1905

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

54 012 30 715 27 627 57 797

56311 25 401 29 957 56 519

64058

29 049 25 102 57 053

67630 32 178 30 881 52 245

88384 33 977 33 021 01 288

64 741 34 170 34038 86001

81 732 32 015 33508

60 087 30 924 31 427

88083

86545

59 530 29998 30 709 03050

59 470 30 183 30 168 81 858

52 876 30 154 30468 60 727

22890 14 889 12 173

29425 1 1 986 9032 25 948

32098 14 987 13 295 20483

30065

26988

23031 10 236 14 127 25 037

25 889 14 860 15 589 30 970

25 952 12 440 13 544 30432

27 880 13 174 12 345 26 788

28982 14 027 13 880 25 251

29 021 14 683 14 366 27 343

23 466 14 797 14 881 28 729

774 509 472 958

891 333 455 915

870 344

1090

1138 567 491 770

951

885

557 951

870 447 503 1045

437 430 958

953 440 443 827

983 482 451 87?

810 497 494 91 1

710 365 403 828

604

363

747 372 388 800

778 372 373 753

789

344 342 785

728 395 390 723

639 338 366 727

535 31 7 323 701

792 320 382 810

1009

1043

409 343

522

810 414 410 957

955 399 408

1 057 492 422

834

808

899 535 521 871

781 428 51 1 1041

737 391 398 984

910 443 455 935

924 410 881

loo0 461 435 774

851 514 485 885

744 405 496 988

735 376 376 955

205

526

EASTERNEUROPE Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Balarus Population aged 6-11 ......................

Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Czech Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ........ Population aged 15-17 ........ Population aged 16-23 ........ Hungary Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populatm aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 16-23 Poland Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 16-23 Romanla

..

Population aged 16-23.................... Russian Federation Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-1 7 .................... Population aged 16-23.................... Slovakla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 Ukralrm Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

748

296

439 377

825

810

841 416

796 410 429 746

080

18 178 15 735 26 879

707 399

405 834

389 368 723

457 722

905 518 530 929

958 458 440 896

1 073

1010

468 458

552

816 500

834

494 912

1011

812 388 454 1083

152 135 269

240 133 157 291

356 125 130 313

473 194 144 288

492 247 223 318

427 245 242 448

418 201 225 449

444 213 197 437

490 218 215 387

240 408

432 264 250 412

2488 1430 1444 2 873

3 111 1147 1 345 2 867

4 047 1 637 1201 2 518

4 216 2 057 1852 2585

3 818 2 130 2 123 3 703

3088 1 727 2009 4 186

3 277 1500 1599 3 825

3 746 1661 1510 3 154

4053 ls00 1 785 3 057

3 721 2 051 1 970 3545

3 129 1815 2 001 3 905

1 735 1004

1 785 819 951 1952

2 loo 901

2 174 1 081 904 1634

1810 1120 1109 1926

2 174 810 12 201

2 307 1178

2 349 1137 1 244 1871

2 140 1163 1118 2384

2068 1005 1173 2 242

1660 1 075

14 235 5 569 4092 12 992

15 894 7238

12 035 7382 7 712 15 060

12 669

0830

15 299

5 471 13 119

13 845 0 371 0 257 1 1 558

14 547 7 149

8989

15 082 7 987 7848 12 780

1 1 809 5 015

13 633

10 534 4553 7280 12 720

12 053

1 1 278 7 562 7 510 13 734

374 180 184 340

432 188 176 383

552 218 197 359

578 284 236 384

503 268 279 488

461 251 280 548

501 224 240 510

255 227 471

549 284 285 480

502 272 287 537

448 249 262 564

4 073 2828 1 827 4 415

3463 1 855 2 859 4 157

4 301 1 765 1639 4880

4954 2 227 1919 3420

5 037 2 524 2408 3988

4398 2511 2 494 4 743

4 254 2088 2322 4 878

4 367 2 160 2 041 4 473

4 473 2 170 2 199 4 119

4 510 2 284 2203 4 327

3 704 2 251 2298 4366

988

1933 10 701 7046 5w)4

712

799

1813

0345

828

555

438 490 1 049

580

380

884

1 957

5989

565

223

0686

969

2 197

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospts: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belarus Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bulgaria Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Czech Republlc Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 Hungary Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Poland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Romania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Russlan Federatlon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Slovakia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ukralne Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

.....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A34 Populatbn In scchool ages by maJorarea. regkn and country (continued) Estlmat-:

1950-2005 Population (thousands)

M.(oram, mglon and county

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Populationaged 15-17.................... Population agd 18-23.................... Ch0nn.l I.knd. (10) Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 1523

Dmmuk Population aged 5 11

......................

Population aged 1517 .................... Population agad 18-23.................... Estonk Population aged 5 11 ...................... population agad 12-14.................... Popolath aged 1517 ....................

......................

...................... ....................

.................... ....................

750

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

6 987 3238 3 172

8000 3435 3 275

7 787 4 124 3858

8588

8294

8602

7 706 3 782 4 158 7539

8483 3 895 3 740 8 076

8 642 4 307 4052 7644

7933 4 337 4 413 8 272

7 042 3 918 4 195 8811

8 991 3 474 3 741 8 286

7 376 3 517 3 421 7366

7439 3724 3605 6956

8 4 4 8

8 5 4 8

9 5 4 9

10 5 4 10

11 5 4 12

11 6 5 12

10 6 6 13

9 5 6 14

9 4 5 14

10 4 4 11

10 5 5 10

443 181 178 350

497 223 193 348

465 253 237 390

438 226 249 475

462 219 219 407

471

449

234

238 239

396 224 233 479

335 197 216 468

342 164 186 433

402 177 165 375

110

110 54 62 121

110 49 51 116

119 58 56 109

123 81 61 122

119 62 63 135

134 66

137 67 67 128

135 63 61 119

105 67 63 117

547

560 292

496 269

435

225

299

389

471

237 494

376 217 228 480

2a4

199 372

467 244 251 542

390 190 198 399

18 7 7 14

20 8 7 14

23 10 9 15

27 12 11 18

27 13 12 22

26 14 14 25

330 155 149 258

353 163 147 233

350 172 150 214

353 169 162 249

372 1 74 160 271

388 189 180 310

203 109 101 204

185 101 110 207

180 88 100

202 97 98

212 104 100

208

203

196

200 108 111 222

285 149 147 288

258 138 143

290 136 144 289

329 144 130 288

356 165 146 265

335 178 172 304

297 124 121 284

382 147 129 245

371 189 165 266

366 182 194 333

372 164 179 377

392 185 186 363

858 256 247 527

737 330 278 513

870 372 388 803

828

883 317 320 781

694

330 372 739

42a3 1993 1 973 4 164

4 915 2060 2000 3939

4 752 2554 2 199 4098

4 730 2285 2 581 4 659

5408 2405 2 282 5 013

427 193 165 386

Popllatbn aged 5 1 1 POpJetlonaged 12-14.................... poprlatkm aged 1517 .................... Popuratkm aged 18-23.................... N o w ($2) Population aged 5 11 Popuiation aged 12-14 populatbn aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23....................

Population aged 5 1 1 ..... Populatbn aged 12-14... Populath aged 1517 .................... Popllalionaged 18-23.................... Unltod Kingdom Population aged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Popllatkm aged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23

les0

58 117

......................

swden

1955

82

Population aged 5 11 ...................... PopUhtion aged 12-14.................... Popuhth aged 1517 .................... popdatkm 18-23.................... IWhW Pc@ation aged 8-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... population aged 1517 .................... population aged 18-23.................... Ird.nd Populalkn aged 5 11 ............. Pqniiation aged 12-14........... Population a g d 1517 ........... Population aged 1523 .................... L.M. popoletion agecl 8 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Popllationaged 1517 .................... populatbn aged 18-23....................

L M u mi.

1950

... ...

202

288

223 443

234

334 322 657 5560

2 758 2533 4 671

454 128

59 81 138

82

126

205

395 193 179

448

399

25 13 13 26

25 13 13 27

25 13 13 25

25

27 13 13 26

421

419 209 202 361

407 207 206 345

363 204 206 368

326 179 193 394

212 108 101 227

219 104 110 221

234

63 110 238

104 99 204

186 118 108 196

326 165 175 343

321 168 164 351

329 157 164 332

336 160 152 315

303 167 160 291

388

308 163 164 402

332

190 372

334 194 201 387

366 170 161 323

683 351 344 669

608 338 345 704

579 303 331 718

858 671

721 337 308 609

4 914 2 786 2844

4 198 2404 2858 5 8?7

4 240 2060 2 259 5 224

4 551 2 152 2040 4 475

4592 2295 2227 4208

202

198 341

206

200

5209

3?7 162

200 199 369

26 13 13

155

157 365 295 299

United Nations Departmentof Economic and Soda1AffairdPcpulationDivision WorM Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Channel Islands (10) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Denmark Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Estonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Flnland (11) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iceland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Ireland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Laivia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Lithuania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Norway (12) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sweden Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ................... United Klngdom Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

..

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

T a b A34.Populatknin school ages by major arm, reglocland country (continued) Estimates: 1950.2005 __

~~

Population (thousands)

M e w a m , reglon and county

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Albania Population aged 6-11 PopU(ation aged 12-14 .................... population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bosnla and ~ s g o v i r u Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationa@ 12-14 .................... Populati aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23

__

1850

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lae0

1985

1990

1995

11 407 6003 6 041 11 859

12 178 5 495 5 785 11 859

12 644 6 214 5 518 11 107

12 768 6 181 6 310 11 059

13 495 6 317 6 074 12 004

13 819 6802 6458 12 056

13 672 6995 8999 13060

12 899 6 873 6985 13 838

11 135 6286 6 727 13 693

9 957 5 577 6 105 13 352

9283 4960 5 324 12 115

182 88 75 134

194 91

307 121 103 188

362

376 182 168 273

370 178 185 339

401 188 185

153

237 97 93 178

418 201 197 382

422 184 175 323

411 204 179 312

354

396

485

159 198

390

431 234 247 494

420 211 218 453

323 181 161

353

200 153 359

505 235

465

213 198

333

273 161 158 323

368

420

480

384

358

213 219

170 197

189 184

432

426

217 173 372

195 196 377

314 170 183 377

820

835

480

385

475

452

895

928

372 842

4 759 2546 2411 4806

4 970 2264 2 467 4864

36 19 17 32

49 17 18 30

18 17 27

58 29 27 46

58 25 28 51

950

89

213 311

157 134 212 510 252 244

402

251 249 475

365 400 212

223 484

Croda Populationaged 6-11 population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

omeu

Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populatm aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .... Populationaged 18-23 blY Population aged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populati aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................

422 225 227

222

359 191 199

358

435

435

877

879

433

429 446

846 429

400

746

i79

422 428 789

4906 2 557 2 272 4 728

4 817 2360 2 545 4 570

5305 2393 2295 4 878

46

43 21 22

385 207

363 183 189 407

375 182 182 377

363

852

827

726

665

455

435

440

434 465

847

894

452 938

477 981

373 426 987

5 518 2 702 2 487 4607

5344 2 783 2 788 5 049

4683 2699 2 807 5586

3585 2 114 2509 5390

3402 1862 2 067 5 028

3344 1 700 1781 4 111

29 17 16 32

28 14 16

34

17 16

38

34 16 14 31

34

29

36 20 19 38

29

18 18 33

32 17 17 36

68 29 23 51

73 34 31 46

69 35 35 57

66 34 34 85

62 32 34 67

62 30 30 61

63 31

64 32

34

30

32

55

59

957 457 461 930

1017 496 454 854

999

1004

1006 524 547 1019

856

460 453 860

1 031 522

984

489

516

704 421

1019

495 513 959

941 419 324 897

866 471 455

792 417

803

839

394

879 421

464

686

895

397 904

403 399

840

794 307 380 818

816

Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23

152 79 81 163

167 73 75 157

180 84 74 147

168 90 87 151

161

88 176

163 82 79 173

Populationaged 6-1 1 Populati aged 12-14 .................... Populalbn 15-17 .................... Poprlation aged 16-23 ........... TFYR Wmdonlr (14) population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 . Populationaged 15-17. Populationaged 16-23 ....................

2922 1 393 1 562 3083

3 146 1468 1381 2 955

3 216 1 570 1484 2 704

3 473

3 813 1 762 1618 3 081

155 78 78 140

187 76 77 154

206

208

91 75 142

100 94 151

203 101 100 183

....

mn4

Populatm aged 6 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ........... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 Lbntanagro Populationaged 6-1 1 .. Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Portugal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 1517 Population aged 16-23

480 487 932

485 856

896

875 471

59 33 63 649

466

350 398

981

920

907 442

923 475

032 452

409 800

430

468 903

464

168 82 84 173

175 85 83 170

168 90 87 169

151 84

in

129 77 82 178

3903 1900 1811 3 192

3 975 1983 1965 3603

3846 1992 1 978 3 851

3265 1938 1 991 3930

2646 1605 1 851 3 957

2 379 1 321 1 498 3680

202 100 100 197

202 103 101 2M

200 96 97 191

203 100 95 189

196 101 100 189

187 97 100 199

486 905

508

S.rbh Population aged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populetionaged 18-23 ....................

649 387 410

825

920

SlOVMh

752

1603 1 599 2963

80

90

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Albania Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bosnia and Herzegovlna Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Croatia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

Greece

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Italy Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malta Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Montenegro Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Portugal Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Serbia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Slovenia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Spain Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... TFYR Macedonia (14) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Austrla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 1&23 ..................... Belgium Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 1&23 ..................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

......................

Switzerland

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populalion aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Aruba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahamas Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populalion aged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

WESTERN EUROPE (15) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Austrla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belglum Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populatlon aged 18-23 .................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 8-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Switzerland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

.....................

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Aruba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bahamas Population aged 8-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ................... . Population aged 18-23 ................... . Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A34 Population In school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thwsands)

WJor a m . mgbn and county 1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

lSs0

1995

2OOO

841

883

1312 478 504 875

1471 692 516 956

1388 719 736 1 085

1012 678 691 1 382

884 461

351 629

421 401 704

998 434

1 025

388

1354

02.7 449 424 119

915 522 501 821

418 179 161 272

478 205 181 311

581 233 209

719 287 244

1 005 464 431 729

468 835

to84 514 494 906

129 534 511 954

1194 556

402

942 421 375 596

1 046 495

350

849 357 305 476

13 5 4 7

14 5 5 8

16 6 5 8

19 7 6 8

21 9 7 9

15 9 8 11

14 7 7 11

14 7 7 14

14 6 6 10

16 7 6 11

15 9 7 12

37 13 12 23

46 19 15 24

52 23 21 31

54 25

23

57 27 24

36

32

47 28 25 40

44

....................

29 13 12 21

23 25 42

41 22 25 45

41 20 19 42

42 21 20 33

......................

489

501 241 225 387

577 241 237

669 289 246 451

755

820

863

374 337 579

405 379

979 420 402 724

1198 482 427 766

1318

329

515 834

1346 647 628 1 025

210 95 91 166

247 100

281 108 106 170

352

376 176 152

349 170 155 255

338

335

332

348

175 171 303

160 155 284

161 150 285

162 156 265

29 14 13 23

35 15 15 25

47 18 18 29

54 23

55 28

26

53 24 22 34

34

42 25 26 42

38 21 23 42

34 18 21 42

37 17 15 35

37 19 19 28

14 6 6 12

17 7 8 11

21 9 7 12

24 11 10 15

24 13 11 19

22 12 12 22

22 11 12 22

21 10 11 19

20 9 9 17

20

19 8 8 13

Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 16-23

388

375 171 145 231

395 180 181 231

391 184 154 259

409

158 137 241

198 182

395 198 199

401 207

365

361

390 205 200 359

366 195 204 376

369 183 189

302

398 204 207 352

Populationaged Ell ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 16-23 .................... Saint V l m t and th.&mn.dlnea Populationaged El1 ...................... PopulatMl aged 12-14 .................... Poplralkm aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 16-23 ..... 1rlnld.d and lobago Populatkm aged 6-11 ...................... popl(ation aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... United SMoa Vlrgln Wando Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populatin aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .. Populati aged 18-23 ....................

13 6 5 10

14 6 5 10

15 6 9

18 7 6 9

21 8 6 9

21 9 8 12

21 10 9 14

21 10 9 15

20 9 9 16

21 10 9 17

20 10 10 17

12 5 4 6

14 6 5 7

15 8 5 8

17 7 6 8

18 8 6 10

10 8 7 11

18 8 8 13

17 8 8 14

17 8 8 13

18 8 8 14

16 9 8 15

95 37 33 61

118

138

144 74 81 145

148 72 70 154

174 72 70 132

88

51 84

153 85 75 124

90

40 66

177 76 68 111

143

60

146 83 58 97

178

48

77 137

92 155

4 2 1 2

4 2 2 2

5 2 2 3

7 3 3 6

9 4 3 7

12 6 5 7

14 8 7 9

12 7 7 11

12 6 6 10

11 6 5 9

12 6 6 8

1950

Cuba Populationaged 6-1 1 Poplration aged 12-14 .................... populationaged 15-17 .................... Poprlation aged 18-23 .................... Domlnkan RapuMk Populationaged 8-11 Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .......... Populati aged 16-23 GroMda Populalbn aged 6-1 1 ...................... Popurationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17

......................

...................... ..........

....................

..........

Populationaged 5 1 1 .. population aged 12-14 populati aged 15-17 population aged 18-23

nrin

Populationaged 5 1 1 pobulation aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17

.......... ....................

m

201

346

424 791

432

509 443 814

302

488

648

608

605

532 989

Jamrlca

Populatkm aged 5 1 1 ...................... Populatkm aged 12-14 .................... Pq)ulation a m 15-17 .................... Population aged 1E 2 3 .................... Hnlque Populatronaged Ell populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Population aged 16-23 Nahorirndr Antllks population aged 6-11 population aged 12-14 .................... Populatkm aged 15-17 .................... population aged 16-23 ....................

...................... .................... ....................

.................... ......................

193 89

88 152

so

157

20

140 106 162

200

26

9 8 17

Puerto Rico

s.lm L U C ~

.................... .................... ....................

....................

....................

756

6

208

366

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairSlPopulaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Cuba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Domlnican Republlc Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Grenada Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guadeloupe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Haiti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Jamaica Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... . Martlnlque Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Netherlands Antllles Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Puerto Rlco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saint Lucia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Unlted States Virgln Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

fable AM. Population In school agm by maJora m , mglon and country (continued)

Edlmstes: 19!5&2005 Population (thousands)

wa)or NU, mglon and county

CENTRAL M I C A Populationaged Ell ......... poplhtion a g d 12-14.................... Popufation aged 15-17.................... PopulaUon aged 16-23....................

who Population aged Ell

......................

Populatkm aged 18-23....................

1950

1955

1980

1985

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

5830 2 479 2 359 4 210

6 879 2 931 2 585 4589

8632 3408 3089 5 128

10 473 4 389 3 675 6089

12 104 5 246 4 704 7389

14 001 6020 5 451 9 186

16 290 6 970 6 259 10 624

17 403 8 117 7 183 1 1 920

17 632 8 496 8 153 13 759

18 089 8 640 8 366 15 581

16 988 8 918 8 593 16 221

9 4 4 8

11 5 4 8

15 6 5 9

20 8 6 10

22 10 8 13

24 11 11 16

26 12 11 17

29 13 12 19

32 14 13 22

35 16 15 26

38 17 17 30

133 58 53 9a

165 67 61 106

221 83 72 123

276 114 94 147

332 139 125 194

344 171 150 253

335 177 176 314

366 166 1 76 356

427 188 171 352

489 220 205 362

51 1 258 244 441

299 133 126 221

362 147 135 244

435 182 156

521 217 195 314

626 235 396

717 309 279 458

794 352 313 516

853 375 335 519

828 420 376 606

813 399 417 737

869 401 387 795

488 21 8 208 368

596 239 221 405

897 388 363 624

1033 445 399 700

1188

1 374 585 523 862

1561 677 607 988

1704 770 696 1141

1903 831 780 1313

222 100 93 160

283 111

474

558 235

737 315

954 424 383 644

1043 467 432 741

4340 1821 1741 3 121

5086 2 194 1891 3 378

6 427

2509 2 309 3 792

209

91 85 144

243 104 93 164

129 54 50 89

Cmta R l a

poprlation aged Ell ......... population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17....................

El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14.................... Populationaged 1517 Population aged 18-23.................... Qumtamalm Populati aged 6-11 Pq)ulatkm aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Iiondurm Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 15-17 popuration aged 18-23....................

lkxlco Population aged 6-11 Populatbn aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... N I ~ ~ w Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Populatkm aged 15-17........ Pcpuiatlon aged 18-23.................... PaMIM Population aged 6-1 1 .......... Population eged 12-14....................

SOUTH AUERICA (17) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Popdation aged 15-17.................... Population aged 6-1 1 .. popu(atirm aged 12-14 Populatlon aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23....................

268

712

300 254 436 335 132 117

791 353 319 509 408 171 145 237

268

508

457 754 637

179 282

209

249 416

292

350

494

854 368 328 572

7 861 3 280 2 707 4 524

9 074 3 941 3 529 5460

10 548 4 513 4 092 6 889

12410 5 255 4 703 7 997

13 051 6 215 5 442 8 987

12 849 6 343 6 205 10 444

12 940 6 274 6 155 1 1 791

13 408 8 376 6 190 1 1 940

308 120 108 182

382 156 129 21 1

428 193 168 258

488 21 1 198 330

583 242 216 381

671 288 251 415

750 326 293 475

800 372 334 562

849 388 373 639

152 65 57 98

1 80 77 69 115

213 90 81 138

252 107 95 161

289 126 113 192

317 146 134 228

322 159 152 268

330 159 301

353 165 160 318

368 179 170 322

16 361 7 437 6 779 12 595

19 264 8 149 7 721 13 685

23 261 9 737 8 575 15 312

27 056 1 1 763 10 450 17 328

31 127 13 563 12 456 21 031

33 574 15 788 14 319 24 977

35 173 16 738 16 281 28 795

38 615 17 529 16 946 32 253

42 010 19 490 18 077 33 701

42 991 21 117 20 157 36 238

42 747 21 397 21 288 39998

1 992

938 1 899

2 245 1014 976 1 931

2502 1140 1 062 1985

2663 1 269 1198 2 169

2 763 1340 1310 2435

2898 1399 1 379 2 679

3203 1446 1 402 2 690

3 816 1614 1 503 2830

3988 1981 1739 3 052

4 016 1 969 2 038 3 569

4 158 2 015 1950 3 982

404 165 170 309

462 1 97 166 328

527 230 203 357

597 261 239 397

670 297 269 464

757 332 306 526

875 375 344 800

953 435 389 663

1036 466 445 760

1155 511 473 a57

1299 570 526

8 175 3 785 3 318 6 162

9 641 4048 3 942 6 781

1 1 799 4888 4 247 7 761

13 850 5 977 5283 8646

16 085 6943 6358 10 676

17 075 8 190 7364 12 763

17 680 8 476 8 420 14 908

19 486 8829 8532 16 647

21 550 9 825 9 118 17 026

21 454 10 929 10 249 18 321

20 197 10631 10 975 20 526

939

103 185

206

200

280

160

WM.

Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14....................

925

Bndl

populationaged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23....................

758

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Belize Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Costa Rica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Guatemala Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Honduras Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Mexico Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nicaragua Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ................... . Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Panama Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ................... . Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Argentina Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bollvla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brazil Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Table A34 Population in school ages by major a m . regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

Population (thousands)

Major area. region and country

Chlla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Colombla Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Pqulation aged 18-23 ..... Ecuador Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... French Gulana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 ..... Guyana Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Paraguay Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Surlname Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 18-23....................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

lSe0

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

846 360 350 655

971 430 375

1109 485 452 758

1 342 555 896

1 555 682 596 1013

1 552 787 725 1203

1504 761 790 1444

1 424 755 746 1 542

1512 693 736 1485

1711 772 704 1 457

1793 867 815 1444

3 454 1 492 1294 2 013

3986 1722 1581 2 569

4 451 2005 1811 3 114

4484 2 246 2 095 3803

4 691 2 195 2 251 4 150

4 980 2366 2204 4 367

5 180 2 482 2 415 4380

5441 2586 2510 4 760

993

1586 736

1676 822 793 1440

1908

886

506

029

2360 944

766 1355

1 489

2 951 1190 1012 1 673

565 245 226 398

720 280 255 450

861 370 306 51 1

430 398 630

1151 500 453 795

1306 581 529 914

1461 657 610 1 067

686 1 226

1653 796 759 1367

4

5 2

7 3 3 5

9 4 4 6

10 4 4 8

12 5 5 10

16 7 7 12

18 9 7 13

23 9 9 15

116

111

58

53 52 94

97 53 52 98

87 43 48 94 809 384 367 621

493 218 200

350 3 1

a56

1

1

1

3

2

2

6 2 2 4

60 25 24 45

77 30 25 47

1 02 39 32 50

115 51 43 64

133 59 51 76

131 61 55 88

125 62 60 101

56 101

263 112 93 165

297 123 109 168

353 142 121 196

399 1 73 145 223

443 194 175 274

491 217 195 330

51 5 244 220 373

574 252 246 433

686

479

767 349 308 519

1153 521 482 830

1321 572 534 951

1578

2 197 935 845 1413

2 502 1112

594 1055

1866 796 702 1189

1 696

2 780 1 256 1169 2003

3 078 1391 1303 2 331

3 242 1 546 1439 2 589

3 378 1594 1562 2834

3592 1668 1594 3019

30 14 13 23

38 15 13 25

50 19 15 26

61 24 20 30

73 31 26 37

73 32 27 37

80 30 30 45

54 28 28 55

58 24 25 51

59 29 24 46

54 29 29 47

243 120 1 20 237

257 121 120 240

274 131 1 24 241

295

136 133 248

316 148 138 260

303 155 146 256

310 143 149 277

333 155 142 278

31 9 167 1 60 284

31 6 155 165 318

331 158 152 320

793 328 305

1 025 409 640

1 549 658 579 935

1907 779 706 1179

2 182 995 861 1483

2 321 1115 1089

565

1291 530 456 757

1829

2 616 1155 1138 2 146

2 926 1337 1206 2 275

3 187 1468 1 401 2 458

3288 1615 1519 2804

17 083 7 442 7304 15 610

21 491 8800 7 724 14 377

24 882 1 1 055 9 518 15 928

27 390 12 602 1 1 871 19 791

28 014 14 027 13 275 23 786

25 193 14211 14 347 27 077

22 775 12 473 13 881 29 197

22 528 1 1 622 12 198 27 987

24 031 1 1 535 1 1 798 25 149

26 112 12 532 12 164 24 556

27 527 13 594 13 400 25 734

1 496

2 341 1006 862 1504

2 647 1195 1106 1 793

2 852 1383 1 297 2 393

2486 1446 1 423 2689

2203 1221 1 422 2 949

2 178 1113 1159 2 849

2 288 1125 1150 2 450

2394 1197 1189 2 391

2469

645 1319

1 952 782 697 1 337

1241 2475

15 579 6 778 6654 14 284

19 529 8 013 7 024 13 032

22530 10 044 8 651 14 415

24 729 1 1 401 10 760 17 989

25 146 12 637 1 1 972 21 382

22692 12 757 12 917 24 376

20560

20339 10 503 1 1 032 25 124

21 732

23 707 1 1 330 10 971 22 156

25 046 12 360 12 154 23 249

1

661

994

288 260

Uruguay Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Vanczuda (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..... Population aged 18-23....................

NORTHERN AMiRICA (18) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Canada Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Unlted State8 of Amerlca Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

760

660

358

1 1 245 12 451 26 234

10 405 10 643 22 686

1229

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaiflopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Chile Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Colombia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Ecuador Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populatlon aged 18-23 .................... French Guiana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Guyana Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Paraguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Suriname Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uruguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populat~onaged 15-17 .................... Populatcon aged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Populat~onaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populat~onaged 18-23 .................... Canada Population aged 6-11 ..................... Population aged 12-14 ................... Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... United States of America Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

fable AM.Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

~~

Population (thousands)

M J o rarea, region and country

OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ......................

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

1402

1772 723 654 1197

2053 933

2548 1196 1120 2088

2 625 1291 1 240 2 263

2 758 1 353 1319 2 477

2 690 1 407 1383 2 670

2 778 1 354 1443 2 761

3000 1436 1 369

1376

2290 1057 1023 1712

2063

3 203 1 524 1484 2 772

1321 524 469 870

1521 713 598 1020

1695 796 788 1316

1859 890 841 1626

1 870 951 927 1719

1 869 963 955 1868

1764 973 984 1951

1 775 898 1002 1974

1 889 933 908 2004

1980 972 966 1 859

798 342 329 740

1060

1221 575 483 829

1356

643

1496 716

1 447 795 804 1606

1 469 736 827 1634

1 555 775 749

1337

1541 782 772 1533

1619 799

637 '1 071

1 498 759 744 1399

1665

1548

199

300

340

364

334

153 151 244

175 161 289

317 178 180 345

306

138 115 190

371 191 183 321

348

162 175

165

261 103 92 166

340

158 159 339

361 173 163 311

345 155 144 257

381 169 157 277

445 186 172

492 218 199

570 254 234

335

388

743 329 308 512

800

303

631 284 262 456

864 392 379 670

958 435 400 746

1 070 477 449 796

50 21 19 32

59 25 22 37

71 29 26 43

86 35 31 52

93 43 38 62

91 47 45 74

97 46 44

107 45 43

80

90

109 51 44 80

107 55 51 86

107 51 53 97

9 4 4 7

9 4 4

11 5 4 8

13 6 5 9

16 7 6 11

20 9 8 14

21 10 9 16

22 11 11 18

22 11 11 20

24 11 11 22

25 13 12 21

263 121 113 203

287 129 121 215

334

357 162 150 250

418 186 174 290

469 208 191

563 247 232

653 296

839

329

370

292

380

302 573

343

339

599 285 258 458

737

140 130 231

15 6 6 10

16 8 6 12

18 7 8 13

23 9 8 15

28 12 10 16

33 13 12 19

40 17 15 23

49 22 18 29

55 25 23 37

60

67

28 25 46

30

8 3 3 5

9 4 4 6

11

15 6 5 9

18 8 7 11

20 9 8 13

23

25 11 9 16

29 13 10 18

31

4 7

13 6 5 8

18 8 9 22

23 10 9

36 15 12 23

41 18 16 29

45 19 18 33

48 22

65 29 27

66 31

36

52 24 24 44

59 26 24

20

30 12 10 19

50

48

52

5 3 4 13

7 3 3 10

10 4 3 8

12 5 4 10

14 6 5 12

14 6 6 13

15 7 7 13

15 7 7 15

15 7 7 17

17 7 7 14

19 8 8 14

5 2 2

5 2 2 4

8 3 3 5

9 4 3 5

11 5 4 6

12 5 4 7

14 6 5 8

15 7 6 10

17 7 7 11

19 9 8 12

17 9 8 13

577 1209

...

Population aged 18-23 ............ New Zedand Population aged 6-11 .... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... FIJI Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 ....................

Papua New Gulnea Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Solomon iaiands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14. Population aged 15-17 . Population aged 18-23 . Vanustu Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Popllalion aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

_____

MCRONESIA (20) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Quam Population aged 6 11 Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Mcronesla (Fed. Statm of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 ... ... Population aged 18-23 ....................

762

1955

608

Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

AUSTRALIAMEW Population a Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Australia (19) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....................

1950

997 427

408 905

85 80

3

420 377 704

7

800

5

680

181 184

336

20

373

338 609

9 8 15

518

803

607

28 51

14

13

20

30

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

3 329 1641 1 594 3 063

3 365 1 687 1687 3 266

3 383 1 705 1713 3 432

3 422 1712 1 726 3 486

3 507 1 734 1 736 3 513

3 598 1781 1768 3 541

3 642 1826 1819 3 612

3 625 1 846 1 857 3 712

3 591 1 833 1863 3 781

3 583 1816 1 845 3 788

1 957 1031 1024 2 040

1910 994 1050 2 134

1 939 978 1002 2 157

1 994 997 1004 2 083

2 056 1 024 1 030 2 090

2 103 1 057 1058 2 142

2 119 1 079 1089 2 201

2 117 1085 1105 2 259

2 127 1 082 1106 2 287

2 162 1 089 1105 2 289

1604 843 838 1694

1 565 817 861 1 759

1590 803 826 1 782

1648 818 824 1726

1714 849 849 1729

1759 883 881 1779

1775 903 912 1 844

1 775 910 926 1 902

1 788 908 929 1 928

1 824 916 929 1 932

353 188 186 347

344 177 189 375

349 176 177 375

346 179 179 357

342 176 181 362

344 1 74 177 363

345 1 75 177 357

342 176 178 357

339 174 178 359

338 173 1 76 357

1214 536 496 890

1 297 614 563 990

1290 648 631 1128

1277 639 646 1 249

1301 635 632 1 273

1345 649 636 1 254

1375 673 656 1 267

1 364 687 679 1 308

1 326 679 685 1 350

1290 659 670 1358

110 53 49 99

1 07 54 53 95

100 52 53 101

96 49 50 100

92 47 47 95

89 45 46 91

86 43 44 87

82 42 42 84

77 40 41 81

70 37 39 78

26 13 13 23

25 14 13 26

24 13 14 27

25 13 12 27

25 13 13 25

25 13 13 25

25 13 13 26

25 13 13 26

25 13 13 26

25 13 13 26

969 421 387 685

1 049 491 445 776

I044 526 509 897

1031 517 524 1011

1 055 513 51 1 1035

1100 527 515 1015

1130 551 535 1028

1123 565 557 1 069

1091 559 564

1 063

1111

542 552 1121

75 34 31 57

80 38 35 63

84 40 39 71

86 42 41 77

88 43 42 82

90 44 43 84

91 45 44 86

92 46 45 88

91 46 46 90

90 45 46 91

34 16 15 26

36 17 16 30

38 18 17 33

39 19 18 35

40 20 19 37

41 20 20 38

42 21 20 40

42 21 21 41

42 21 21 42

42 21 21 42

68 33 32 60

70 34 33 64

70 35 35 67

69 35 35 70

70 34 34 70

70 35 34 69

69 35 35 69

68 34 34 70

66 34 34 69

64 33 33 68

20 10 9 16

20 10 10 18

19 10 10 20

19 10 10 20

20 10 9 20

20 10 10 19

20 10 10 19

19 10 10 20

18 9 10 20

18 9 9 19

17 8 8 15

17 8 8 15

16 8 8 15

15 8 8 15

15 8 8 15

15 7 7 14

14 7 7 14

13 7 7 14

12 7 7 13

11 6 6 13

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ............ Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Population aged 6-11 .._.._ Population aged 12-14.... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Australia (19) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... New Zealand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ...... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 Fiji Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Papua New Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Solomon Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17......... Population aged 18-23.................... Vanuatu Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17................... Population aged 18-23.................... MICRONESIA (20) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 ... Guam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................

763

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)

Major area, region and country

POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... French Polynesla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Samoa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

42 18 15 26

47 20 18

30

57 22 20 35

67 28 24 38

78

78 38 36 60

74 37 37 67

80 38

88

29 46

80 37 32 54

38 68

38 35 65

87 43 39 65

10 4 4 6

12 5 4 7

14 5 5 8

16 7 6 9

19 9 7 10

22 10 9 15

24 12 11 18

25 12 12 21

27 13 12 24

32 14 12 23

29 17 15 24

15 6 5 9

16 7

20 8 7 13

24 10 8 14

27 11 11 16

27 13 11 20

25 12 12 22

23 11 11 22

25 13 13 21

26 11 11 21

28 12 11 19

12 5 5 8

15 6 6 9

18 7 7 11

19 8 7 10

17 9 8 11

14 7 8 12

15 7 6 13

15 8 7 11

15 7 7 12

33

Tonga Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................

a b c d e 1 2

3 4 5 6 7 8

8 4 3 5

W e d e W o p d regions comprise Europe. Northem h e w . AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. Less dedoped regions comprise all regions of AfnCa. Asla (excluding Japan), Latin h e n c a and the Canbbean plus Melanesia. Mmonesia and Polynesia Least developed COuntneS are 50 m n t n e s . 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one cwntfy in Latin h e n c a and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries compme of the less developed regions excluding the least developed cuuntres. Sub.Saharan Afrka refers to all of AfnCa except Northem Africa. with the Sudan tncluded in sub-Saharan Africa lndudng Seychelles. Including Mayme. Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena Ascensio!~and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data fw China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regrns (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) d China. The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsla.

764

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... French Polynesia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Samoa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tonga Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................

9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.

10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding Aland Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.

13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Manno. 14 The former Yugoslav Republ~cof Macedonia.

15 lnclud~ngL~echtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Bafbuda, British Vlrgln Islands, Cayman Islands, Dom~nica.Montserrat. Saint Kltts and News, and Turks and Caicos Islands. 17 lnclud~ngFalkland Islands (Malvinas).

18 lncludlng Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Plerre and M~quelon. 19 lnclud~ngChristmas Island. Cocos (Keel~ng)Islands, and Noffolk Island.

20 lncluding K~nbati.Marshal1islands. Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncludlng American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue. Pltcairn, Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallls and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

table A35 Dependency ratks by major area, regbn and country: estimates and medlum variant, 1950-2050

Estlmates: 1950-2005 Dependencyratio (per 100)

Major a m ,m g k n and county

WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependmy ratio YORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) Total dependency ratio Child dependeocy ratio W a w dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependeocy ratio ...............

Leaat dsvdopd wuntrlea (c) Tolal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ....................

Old-age dependency ratio ............... Leas devdopad m g h a , exdudlng M dewlopd wuntrlea (d) Total dependencv ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Md-age dependency ratio ............... L a dwdopsd mgglona, oxdudlng ChlM Tolai dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio

Subsoharm Afrlu (0) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio old-age dependency ratio ...............

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

65

69 60 9

73 64 9

76 66 9

75 66 9

74 64 10

70 60 10

65 56 10

63 53 10

62 51 10

59

56 9

54 42 12

55 42 13

58

57 43 14

56 41 15

54 37 17

52 34 18

49 32 17

49 31 19

50

44

20

48 27 21

82 75 7

77 70 7

71 64 7

67 60 7

65 58 8

62 54 8

14

76 69 7

81 74 7

81 75 7

84 78 6

69

75

62

68

7

70

29

48 11

84

83

78 7

77 7

86

89

90 84

88

85

85

90 85

89

84

90 85

91

80

83

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

82 6

79 6

80

84

83 76 7

68

7

77 7

81 74 7

75

73 7

7

69 61 7

65 57 7

62 54 8

59 50 9

75 69 6

78 71 6

82 76 6

86

86 79 6

84

81 74 7

78 72 7

76 69 7

72 65 7

68

83 77 6

85

87 81 6

90 84

93 87 6

94 6

95 89 6

94 89 6

92 86 6

89

6

91 86 6

82 76 6

84

87 61 6

91

92

‘6

92 86 6

93 87 6

92 86 6

85

06 6

93 86 6

88

85

82 6

78 6

86 81 5

88

91 86 5

94 88

97 91 5

92

5

97 92 6

94

5

97 91 5

97

90

89 5

87 8

79 73 6

85

89

83

93 87 6

92 85

96 89 7

93 86 7

90 84

94

79 6

6

6

100 95 6

103 97 6

89 82 6

89

90

83

93 88

98 93 5

102 97 5

102 97 5

91 86 5

84 79

5

101 96 5

ge 93

6

85 5

88 84

84 a0

4

87 82 4

78 73 5

104 96 8

103 97 6

96 91 5

98 93

94

95 89 5

94

64 7

79 6

78 6

83 5

80 6

95

77 7

88

92 6

60 7

84 6

Burundl

Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoroa (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ............... DJlboutl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio

6

6

92

90

89

90

87 4

85

92 88

92

89 4

88

4

4

4

86 4

94

92

91

88

85

90 85

8

86 6

5

5

95 91 4

88

5

5

5

Ernrea

Total dependency ratio .... ............... Child dependency ralio Old-age dependency rat Ethlopla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio

.

~

89

89

83

84

89 84

90 85

6

5

5

78 71 7

88 80

80

83

75 5

78 5

7

92

92

07 5

87 5

5

91 87 5

92

93 88

94 88

94 88

5

87 5

5

5

5

89 5

I01 93 7

109 101 7

111 104 7

112 106 7

112 106 6

112 106 6

106 101 5

95 5

87 82 5

87 82 5

92

92

92

86 6

86 6

93 87 6

93 87 6

92

86 6

87 6

92 a6

85

6

6

90

88 5

-r Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio OMage dependency ratio ...............

766

W&

91

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Otd-age dependency ratio ............... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Least developed countries (c) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding China Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burundi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoros (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Djlbouti Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Eritrea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ethiopia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Madagascar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A35 Dependency ratios by major a m , mgbn and country (continued) Estimatee: 1950-2005

MllbWl Child dependency ratio

100 95 6

101 96 5

98 92 5

93 87 6

96 90 6

65

57 50 7

54 46 8

50 41 9

47 38 9

92 86 6

99

89

88

83 6

93 6

83 6

82 6

84 77 7

71 84 7

63 54 8

58 49 9

55 46 9

52 43 9

102 97 5

103

95 91 4

102 97 4

112 106 5

116 110 5

101 96 5

94

96

99

90

93

98 90

93

88 6

6

6

6

5

86 81 5

87 82 5

97

98

93

5

5

100 95 5

101

92

102 98 5

103 97 5

106 101 6

110 104 6

93 09 5

95 90

96 91 5

95 90 5

91 86 5

90

92 87 5

97

92 87 5

88 6

96 91 5

99 93

96 91 5

88

74 69 5

84 79 5

86 81 5

88

88

82 6

94 87 7

96 90 7

96 90 7

97

100 95 5

93 87 6

94 89 5

92 88

93 88

4

5

95 89 6

94 88

93 88

93 88

5

5

5

93 87 8

95

96

90

91 5

80

81 76 5

82

77 70 7

89 82

95 90 4

95 91 4

78 73 5

83 78 5

89

85

92

80

87 5

5

Maurftlur (3) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio ............ Old-age dependency ratio ............... Wmmblquo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Rlunlon Total dependency ratio .................... Chld dependency ratio Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalla Total dependency raUo Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... ChUd dependency ratio .... W a g e dependency ratio U n W Republk of T a n u n k Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio W a g e dependency ratio Zambla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio

...

Urnbobwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... YDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

75 5

5

93 89 4

5

7

77 5

92 4

83 5

82 5

m 5

59 6

96 5

88

96

97

91 5

92

96 91 5

99

92

5

100 95 5

5

94 89 5

105

log 100 6

108 102 6

104 98 6

96 90 6

89 84 6

82 76 6

92 88

95

96

84

89

90 6

97 91 6

97 91 6

95 89 6

99

97 93 5

5

5

85 5 93

90

90

85 5

85 5

89 83 6

95

77 6

6

104 98 7

82 75 7

83 76 8

84 78 6

87 81 6

89 6

6

6

79 74 6

82

87

92

77

82

95 90

96 90

99 94

5

5

5

97 91 5

98 93

5

87 5

5

5

95 5

76 70 6

77 71 6

79 73 6

82 76 7

85 79 7

83 7

93 86 7

96 89 7

96 89 7

93 86 7

69 61 8

73

81 74 7

84 76 8

87 79 8

87 79 7

90

88

73 8

83

8

76 69 8

80

65

8

81 7

79 72 7

84 76 7

85 78 7

88 81 7

92 85 7

95

8

76 69 7

7

97 91 7

97 91 6

97 91 6

77 71 6

79 73 6

81 75 6

84 78 6

89 83 6

93 87 6

95 89 8

94 87

90

6

6

86 80 6

83

84

96 91 5

98

99 93 5

99 94

99 93

5

5

91 86 5

83

88

m 6

94

Angola

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... OMage dependency ratio

heroon

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio

Control M a n Rapubllc Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Olbage dependency ratio .:............. Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

73

65

go

Total dependency ratio ....................

Old-age dependency ratio lhmoentlc Republic of the Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............

768

89

90

89

6n

90

92

94

83 7

83

83 6

84 5

87 5

89 5

6

89

92 5

87

80 7

88 80 7

77 6

United Nations Department of E m i c and Social AffairdPopulation Division WWM Popofation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country ,(continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Malawi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Maurltlus (3) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mozambique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rdunion Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rwanda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Republic of Tanzania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zimbabwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

MIDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Angola Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cameroon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Central African Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of the Conga Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A35.Dependency ratlos by major a m , regbn and country (conthued)

Edimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)

Major oran, w l o n and country 1950

1955

1980

1965

1970

1975

lSe0

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

66 57 9

70 61 9

73

76 8

77 69 8

79 71 8

61 73 6

83 75 6

85

68

9

76 67 8

77 8

67 79 8

55

57 46

80 49 11

64 52 12

67 55 12

73 61 12

79 67 11

84 73 11

86 76 10

64 74 10

78 69 9

58 52 6

58

78 73 5

108 98 10

104 96 8

106 96 10

105 96 10

104 95 9

97

52 6

88

9

87 79 8

81 75 6

83

87 81 6

93 86 7

93 86 8

92

77 6

7

66 81 7

67 60 7

82 76 7

76 69 7

67 60 7

80

72 8

63 76 7

91 84 7

99 93 7

110 102 9

1 07 99 9

99 91 6

95 87 7

87 81 7

76 70 7

62 55 7

74 69 5

78 73 5

84

91 83 8

84

02 74 8

83

76 6

76 7

83 76 7

61 74 7

75 67 7

68 60 8

87 79 9

90

90 82

89 82

8

7

91 4

97 93 4

98 94

8

92 87 5

95

82

64 80 5

69 64 5

55 50 5

90

90 85

90 85 5

98 91 7

1 07 99 9

103 96 7

67 80 8

84

7-7

76 7

71 7

72 64 7

62 55 6

91 85 6

90 85 6

89 83 6

86 80 6

83 77 6

79 72 7

74 67 6

67 58 9

57 48 9

Equatorial Qulnaa

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ............... Qabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ra S h Tom6 and P r l n d p Child dependency ratio ........ Old-age dependency ratio ...............

NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ............... Mg.rl. Total dependency ratio ......... Child dependency ratio .................... o(d-age depeodency ratio ...............

44 11 58 52

6

11

Ewt

Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Llbynn Amb Jlmrhlrlyr Total dependency ratio. Child dependency ratio.

84

76 8

84

5

Morocco ChHd dependency ratio .......... OM-age dependency ratio ...............

84 5

5

Sudan

Total dependency ratio ......... Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............

89 83 6

88

87

89

82

66 81

88

82

83

84

6

6

5

5

5

80 70 10

83 75 8

91 83 8

99 92

90 83 7

84 77

7

100 92 8

83

70 66 5

66 62 4

67 63 4

74 70 4

94

66

89 5

61 5

71 66 5

74 69 5

70 66 4

61 57 4

74 67 6

70

82 75 7

85

85

72 7

78 7

78 6

84 76 6

83 77 6

80 74 6

74 69 6

67 61 6

61 55 6

81 73 8

88 79 8

100 92 8

109 102 7

104 98 6

99 94 5

96 91 5

96 91 5

91 86 5

60 75 5

71 65 5

82

86 78 8

90

95 87 6

98

88 8

95 67 8

97

82

91 83 8

93

74 8

89

95 66 9

68 79 9

75 68 7

79 72 7

82

90 83 7

98 91 7

101 94 7

92 85 6

90

84

84

6

78 6

73 67 6

77 71 7

82 76 6

81 75 6

64 58 6

59 53 6

84

104 99 5

108 101 5

96 90 5

85 80

Tunlrtr

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependeocy ratio. W e a w n Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ............ Old-age dependency ratio ...............

SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency rat0 ....... W a g e dependeocv ratio ............... BotmM Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... L-mo Total dependencv ratio .................... Child d e p w h x y ratio ......:............. Old-age dependencv ratio ............... Namlbk Total depeodency ratio ....................

78 5

8

85 8

84 77 7

80

81 74 7

84

84

77 7

77 6

90 85

94

101

5

5

99 94 5

75 7

86 7

7

8

south AMU

Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ...............

no

79 5

89

96

5

?l 72

72 5

66 5

108 100 6

99 94 5

5

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospts: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per

100) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Equatorial Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... S l o Tome and Principe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Algeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Egypt Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Morocco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sudan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tunisia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Western Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Botswana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lesotho Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Namibia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... South Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swaziland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A35 Dependency r a mby major a m , region and counby (continmd) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)

MaJora m , -Ion

and country

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency r a t i .................... Child dependency ratio

h l n Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency r a t i .... old-age dependency ratb ............... Burklna F a m Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OOO

81 75 6

83 78 6

86 80 6

69

90

89

96 90

6

92 87 6

95

84

91 85 6

95

83 6

6

6

90 6

92 86 6

82 66 16

91 75 16

99 85 15

99 87 12

96 86 9

93 86 7

95

99

100

88

93

7

6

94 6

97 91 5

93 86 5

72 69 4

74 70 5

76 71 5

85 78 7

92 84

7

100 92 8

107 99 9

110 101 9

1 07 98 8

104 97 7

102 95 7

62 55 7

76 68 8

92 83 9

101 91 '10

111 100 11

109 98 11

109 96 13

104 94 11

108 99 9

103 94 9

89 81 8

83 79 4

84

86 82 4

90 86 5

89 84

90

95 90 5

92 87 5

86 80

5

91 86 5

94

86 5

78 73 5

76 71 6

75

76 71 6

81 76 6

83 78 5

85 80 5

86 81 5

85

84

80 5

78 5

82 76 6

91 86 5

89 85 5

89 84

88

90 85 5

92 86 5

93 87 6

93 87

5

83 5

6

91 85 6

87 81 6

80 74 6

80 71 10

84

83 76 7

85 79 6

85 79 6

86 80 6

86

89

91

91

89

76 8

82

83 6

85

85

83

6

6

6

69 63 6

70 64 6

71 65 6

75 69 6

78 72

94

97 90 6

99 93 6

80 75 5

84

88

79 5

83 5

73 69 5

78 72 6

70 65 4

77 73 5

1 02 100 2

cape vwde

Total dependency r a t i .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio C6b dlvolm Tdal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qambla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... Qhanr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qulnm Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ... Gulnea-Bluau Total dependency ratio ....................

79 4

89

6

6

85

91 84

6

79 6

91 86 5

93 87 5

81 74 6

88

81 7

84

79 5

100 98 2

81 75 5

84

89

5

5

88

7

94 87 7

94 89 5

95 90 5

97 92 5

98 93 5

96 92 5

96 91 4

90 83 7

94 87 7

99 92 7

103 98 8

106 98 8

108 100 8

109 101 8

94 86 5

92 86 6

91 85 6

91

90

89

6

84 6

83 6

87 80

83

85

101 98 3

104 100 3

103 100 4

103 99 4

102 98 5

104 99 5

86 80 6

90 84

90

91

84

85

6

6

6

91 85 6

94

78 6

82 76 6

81 75 7

82 76 6

84

78 6

88 80 6

88 81 7

74 68 5

73 68 5

74 68 5

75 70 5

78 72 6

84

87 79 7

89

92

82

86

89

7

6

93 87 6

7

Uhla Child dependency r a t i .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... yall Tdal dependency ratio .................... CMld dependency ratio ....................

Lkurltanla Total dependency ratio. Child dependency ratio . Old-age dependency rat

Nlgrrla Total dependency ratio ........ Child dependency ralio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... -1 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Sierra LeolM Total dependency ratm .................... Child dependency ratio

ToOo Total dependency r a t i .... Child dependency ratm .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

772

76 8

6

76 6

104 99 5

103 97 6

103 97 6

89

96 91

6

6

96 91 6

93 86 6

91

94

95 88

7

87 7

95 87 8

91

84

78 72 6

78 72 6

78 72 6

82

83 77

85

95

97 91 6

99 93 6

98 92 6

6

7 75 6

83

8

6

79 6

94

90

89

84

6

6

United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Benin Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burkina Faso Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cape Verde Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... C6te d'lvoire Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ghana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea-Bissau Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Liberia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mali Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mauritania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Niger Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nigeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Senegal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sierra Leone Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Togo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China (5) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (8) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Totai dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -

p

-

-

Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

52 43 10

49 39 10

48

48 35 13

49

49

34 15

32

50 30 20

52 29 23

53 28 25

55 28

ASIA

37 11

17

27

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna (S) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republlc of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamlc Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

Maldives Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Pakistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajikistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERNASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunei Damssalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Carnbodla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Indonesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's Democratic Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Myanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Philippines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Econotnic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisiqn World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Compreherwive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Maldlves Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paklstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajlkistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunel Darussalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cambodla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... lndonesla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's Democratic Repubilc Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Myanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Phillpplnes Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

Tlmor-Leste Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Viet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ...............

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

78 72 6

79 73 6

79 74 5

80 75 5

81 76 5

81 76 5

73 69 4

73 69 4

72 69 3

79 75 4

108 103 5

56 50 7

65 58 7

78 70 8

93 84 9

96 86 10

92 83 9

88 78 9

82 73 9

78 69 9

73 64 9

64 55 9

WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Azerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied Palestinian Territory Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Tlmor-Leste Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Viet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Azerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied Palestinian Territory Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .

-

P

Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERNEUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republlc Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratro .................. Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

.

Tabb A35 Dependency ratks by major area. regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)

Major .nr.mgbn n d county

NORTHERNEUROPE (9) Total dependency raib .................... Child dependencv ratio .................... W a g e dependeocy ratio ............... C t U n IsJMdr ~ (10) Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio .................... w a g e depmkmy ratio Dmmark TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... OMage dependency ratto ............... Eatonla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Finland (11) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... k&nd Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Inland Total dependency ratlo ....................

.

L.M. Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ....................

w a g e dependbocy ratio ...............

Llthurnla Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ............... N O W (12) Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... OMage dependency ratio

m

Total dependency ratb ... Child dependency ratio

................

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

51 36 16

54 37 17

55 37 17

55 37 18

58 38 20

58 37 22

56 33 23

53 30 23

53 30 23

54 30 24

53 29 24

51 32 18

52 33 19

54

56 34 22

53 31 22

50 27 23

46

45 23 22

46

46

25

21

55 33 21

25 21

55 41 14

54 37 17

55 36 19

56 35 21

54 32 22

50 28 23

48 25

26

50 28

15

56 39 16

48

42

23

23

22

50 34 16

51

35

17

52 36 16

17

51 33 18

51 33 18

52 33 19

50 33 17

51 33 17

52 32 20

50 27 22

58 47 11

60 49 11

60 49 12

54 42 12

51 37 14

48 33 16

48 30 18

47 28 18

49 29

20

50 29 21

49 27 22

75

60 15

70 55 15

65 49 15

60 44 18

58 42 16

55 39 17

55 38 17

53 36 18

57

40

......

oldage dependency ratio ............... dkl'Z8QOVh Total dependeocv ratb .................... C M dependency rauo .................... W a g e dependency mtlo ...............

22

22

68 12

74 60 14

65 48 18

69 51 18

73 54 19

74 54 19

73 54 19

73 54 19

70 52 18

67 50 18

63 45 19

56 38 18

49 32 17

57

52 36 17

48 32 16

50 33 16

51

51 32 19

50 31

52 32 21

49 27

20

49 32 18

50

33

56 42 14

53 41 12

58

59

43

43

14

16

58 40 18

54 36 17

50 35 15

34 16

52 33 19

51 30 21

52 37 15

56

59 41 10

58 39 19

39 21

60 38 22

59 35 23

56 31 24

54 29 25

55 30 25

54 31

16

51

53 36 17

51 33 18

51 32 19

53 32 21

56 32 24

56 31 25

55 27 28

56 26 28

57 30 27

55 29 27

49 33 16

52

54 36 19

59 38 21

60 37 22

56 33 23

52 29 23

53 29 24

54 30 24

53

17

54 36 18

54 43 12

54 41 12

55 42 13

55 41 14

57 42 16

58 41 17

56 38 18

51 33 18

48 26

20

47 25 22

48 23 24

85 72 13

83 72 12

86

91 82 9

88 80

80

77 10

8

72 8

70 61 9

66 57 9

62 53 9

63 53 10

63 51 12

72

73 67 6

72

57 49 9

41 9

44 36 8

43 35

7

65 57 8

50

7

68 62 6

9

42 31 11

43 26 17

53 41 12

52 41 11

53

51 39 13

48 34 14

48 32 16

49 31 17

46

42 11

31 15

47 30 17

47 27 20

25

55

51

44 11

40

53 41 13

52 39 13

56 39 17

57 37 19

56 36 21

53 33 20

49 29 20

47 25 22

47 22 25

40 18 58

43 15

15

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Total dependency ratio . Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependencv ratb ............... Albania TOMdependency ratb .................... Child dependency ralio ....................

24

62 50 12

35

Unitad Klngdom TOW dependency ratb ... Child dependency rat0 ... 0ld-qdependency ratio ...............

57

33

56

40

35

18

60

32 18

50

23

23

29 24

6OSllh a

Croatla Total dependency ratio ............ Child dependency ratio .................... oldgge dependency ratio ...............

65

68

48 23

&wca

Total dependency ratio .................... ChUd dependeocv ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............

782

11

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Channel islands (10) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Denmark Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Estonia Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Finland (11) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Otdage dependency ratio Iceland Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Ireland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Lahria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lithuania Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Norway (12) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sweden Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Kingdom Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............

...............

.................... ............... .................... ....................

.................... .................... ............... ...............

...............

....................

SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Albania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bosnia and Herzegovina Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio Croatla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Greece Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ...............

.................... .................... ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table Am.Dependemy ratlaa by major a m , region and countty (contitwd) Estimates: 1950-2005 oependency ratio (per 100)

MaJora m , region and county 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

53 40 13

51 38 13

52

52 37 15

55

38 17

19

69 59 10

80 66

88

12

13

71 58 13

58 44 14

79

n

13

73 61 12

13

74 61 12

57 46 11

56 45 11

59 48 13

59 46 13

leS0

1885

1990

1935

2ooo

57

55

48

48

34 20

29 19

45 23 22

46

38

22 24

21 27

52 38

40

15

15

51 37 15

51 38 16

50 33 17

46 30 10

68

62 49 13

56 43 13

52 40 12

53 40 13

48 35 13

46

55 13 61 46 15

61 45 16

57 41 16

55 38 19

51 31

48 26

20

22

54 43 11

50 37 13

51 37 14

51 38 15

48 35 13

49 35 14

50 33 17

30

49

47 31 16

44

43

33

26 10

23 20

50

47 24 22

46 22 24

50 37 13

47 33 15

naiy

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio Mlllts Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency rallo . Old-age dependency rat Montenegro Total dependency ratio .. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbla Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Slovenla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio

Spain Total dependency ralio .. Child dependency ralb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Mncedonla (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austrla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio ....................

88

38 14 79

64

34

56

55

44

44

12

11

56 46 10

53 42 11

54 42 11

54 42 12

54 40 14

51 37 15

53 36 17

53 38 17

52 41 11

54

55 43 13

56

42 12

61 45 16

61 44 17

41 18

69 61 8

62

58

55

53 9

49 10

44

47 27

43 13

59

79 63 15

64 12

74 85 9

50 35 15

51 35 16

54 37 18

57 38 14

59 38 21

58 22

53 31 22

50

50

52

62

58

34

34

17

18

40 23

38 24

32

16

58 37 21

82

34 47 31 16

50 33 17

55 38 19

57 37

57

20

59 37 21

52

61 43 19

61 41 19

61 40 21

60

17

56 38 18

49 35 14

47 31 16

49

55 35 19

59 37 22

57

42 28 14

43 28 15

47 31 16

52

34

53 34

18

19

19

59 47 12

62

64 49

60 16

57 40 17

34

15

61 45 15

50 35

52 37 15

51 38 15

53 37 16

54 37 17

54 35 19

76

11

15

55 38 19 51 41 10

30 20 51

39 11

32 14

48 24 24 50

20

48 26 21

49

49

26

26

23

24

48

24

48 27 21

22

49 26 22

47 25 23

53 31 22

49 26 21

49 27 22

51 27 24

52 27

57 35 22

52

54

20

52 31 21

24

54 29 25

52 28 24

44 23 21

45 23 22

46 24 23

47 23 24

49

48

44

28 20

25 19

44 25 19

47 27 21

49

30

51

45 26 19

46 27 19

47 27

17

46 28 16

51 30 21

46 28 21

45 25 21

47

47

26 20

26

38

35 22

20

26

26

Frantx Old-age dependency ratio ............... -many Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ._.. Old-age dependency ratio Nntherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio ..... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Switzerland Total dependency ralio .. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

.....

784

34

14

48 14

32 17

44

38 22 34 23

32

30

28 21

20

22

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division World Populetbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050 Italy Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malta Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Montenegro Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slownia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Spaln Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Macedonia (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austrla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... France Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Germany Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swlherland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Populatioli Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A35 Dependency ratios by major area. regkn and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~

oependency ratio (per 100)

Major area. mgbn and country

LATIN AUERICA *ND TME CARIBBEAN Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratio .................... old-agedependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (16) Total dependency raUo .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... &U b8 Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratb .................... W a g e dependeocv ratb ............... 8.hunn Total dependency ratb .................... Chiid dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

......

1950

1955

1960

lge5

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2OW

78 71 6

01 75

89

6

86 79 7

01 7

87 80 8

83 76 8

70 71 0

74 66 8

70 61 8

65 56 9

60 51 9

77

78 71 7

80 73 7

84

85 77 9

83

73 9

74 64 10

67 57 10

63 53 11

62 51

85

82

72 65 6

59 51 9

50 40 10

47 36 11

48 37 11

43 33 9

82

75 7

74 67 7

67 59 7

59 52 7

57 49 7

45

67 50 18

58

42 16

50 36 14

47 33 14

43 30 13

70 7

76 8

11

59

40 12

81 78 3

82

3

85 81 4

78 70 8

80 73 8

86 79 7

91 04 7

89 82

64 54 9

71

81 63

12

12

86 73 13

83

60

15

70 54 17

69 61 7

68 61 8

66

73 64 9

77 66 10

79 67 12

65 52 13

52 39 13

46 33 13

46 32 14

45

58 8

98 92 5

98

104 99 5

101 96 5

94

5

1 02 97 5

88 5

85 79 5

77 71 6

71 65 7

68 60 7

66 57 8

112 101 11

105 94 11

117 1 07 11

121 110 11

120 109 12

95

89

80

12

76 13

68 11

88 73 15

a3

83

69 14

73 61 13

70 70

84

93 83

94 68

91

76 9

82

10

8

9

92 80 11

67 56 12

60 40 12

53 41 13

52 39 13

53 38 15

76 70 8

77 71

82

83

77

86 79 7

89 82

7

62 75 7

82

76 6

7

07 80 7

79 72 7

70 63 7

85

95

65 11

111 99 12

104 92 12

89

77

76 13

78 65 12

74 61 13

70 58 12

68 56 13

83

68 80 6

97 87 9

07 78 10

87 75 12

63 50 13

57 43 14

52 38 15

53 37 16

36 10

86 77 9

82 73 9

72

63 53 9

58 47 11

54

63

43 11

50 39 11

51 40 11

51 37 14

91 82 9

92

80 70 10

76 64 11

66

62 40 14

58

10

85 52 13

43 15

55 39 16

36 17

96 87 8

1 07

7

78 72 6

9

121 111 10

108 96 10

96 86 10

86 76 10

78 65 13

72 60 12

62 50 12

114 105 8

119 110 9

116 107 9

121 111 9

120 110 11

112 101 11

98 86 11

84

73 10

79 66 11

76 65 11

65 54 11

80 73 7

86 79 7

89 81 7

86 79 7

87 79 0

75 67 9

66 57 9

66 57 9

67 57 9

60 51 9

40 39 9

77 5

7

44

34 10 53

8

8.-

Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio cub8 Total dependency ratio .................... ChiW dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Domlnlcmn Ropubllc Tdal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb ............... Qrmnad8 Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qu.d.loup. Total dependmcy ratio .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependeocy ratb ............... Malt1 Total dependencv ratio .............. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... J.rn8lcm Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... Wnlqw TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb w W i . n d 8 miiin Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratb ...... .... W a g e dependencv ratio ............... Puerto Rico

.

...............

8 76 70 6

66 60 6

74 65 9 71 60 11 89

...............

Old-age dependency ratio Saint Luclr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... M n t V l n a n t and th.Qfen8dln88 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-agedependency ratb ............... 1rlnld.d n d Tob8go Total dependency ratb ............ Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............

786

82 7 75 69

93

74 9 84

74 10

6

8

82 10

.

98

68

9

56

75 7

30 15

54

54

United Nations Deparbnent of Emnomic and social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehenske Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (16) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Aruba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahamas Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Barbados Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cuba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Domlnlcan Republlc Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Grenada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guadeloupe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Haltl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jamalca Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Martlnique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Antllles Tolal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Puerto Rico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Seint Lucla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Vincent and the Orenadines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Trlnidad and Tobago Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Tabk A.35. Dependency ratlor by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1 ~ 2 0 0 5 oepemlency ratio (per loo) Major a m , mgbn and counhy 1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2oM)

87 73 14

90 77

86

82 74 8

66 80

68 61 8

63 55 8

44 9

53 43 11

40

6

83 77 7

53

74 12

100 94 7

100 93 7

98 91 7

94 87 7

87 79 7

78 71 7

72

66

64

58 8

104 94 9

99

94 86

69 61 8

69 61

8

57 8 73 65 8

69

94 87 7

93 85 87 79 7

U n W Smea Vlrgln W n d a

Total dependency ratb .................... ChW dependency rat’

CENTRAL M R C A Total dependency ralb .... Child dependency ratio .... Old-age dependency ralio ............... 804120 Total dependency ratio

W a g e dependency ralb ...............

14

54 13

85

91

79 6

85 6

97 90 6

73 67 6

90 82 7

99 91 8

106 97 9

106 97 9

107 97 9

76 68 9

87 78 9

98 89 9

105

ge

85

74

95

89 9

77

68

9

8

86 80

95

97

92

5

5

97 91 5

95 89 8

93 87 6

90

90

6

90 84 5

7

82 74 6

89

92

94

92

91

91

84 5

87 5

89 5

87 5

85

86

94 86

6

5

8

95 89 6

95 89 7

86

91 85 7

97 91 6

101

103

101 94 6

97 91 6

95

92

6

103 97 6

89 6

85 7

92 85

97

90

7

94 87 7

85 78 7

75 68 7

68 60

7

101 94 7

92

6

101 94 7

94

101

104 99 5

102 97 5

100 95 5

101 95 5

101 95 6

97 90 6

90 83 6

80

93 85

69 81 8

82 74

73 65 8

67 59 8

63

60

54 8

51 9

74

8

79 71 8

71 63 8

67 59 8

63 54 9

58 49 9

58 46 12

63 50 13

65

10

57 46 11

51 14

66 51 15

63 48 15

61 45 16

83 77 7

81 74 7

81 73 7

78 71 8

90 9

8

8

86 79 8

78 71 7

cortr Rlcr

Total dependency ralb .................... Child dependency ratio ....................

W-agedependency ralb ...............

El Solvdor Total dependency ratb .................... ChW dependency ralb .................... old-agedependency ratio ............... Qu.tgmola Total dependency ralb .................... Child dependency ratb W-agedependency ra Honduru Total dependency ram Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratb ...............

79 7

10

95

96 6

a3

86

59 50 9

60 9

8

MDxko

Total dependency ralb ......... Child dependency ralb .................... Old-age dependency ralb ............... Nlcamgua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralb ............ W a g e dependency ratio ........

85 79 6

88 83 5

m

96

99

8

62 54 8

74 6

5

5

85 78

93

8

90 81 8

75 69 6

79 72 6

03 78 7

85

53 47 6

55 48 8

57 48 9

81 75 6

83

85

86

86

87

77

80

80 6

80

6

79 6

6

85 79 7

80

82 77 6

87 81 6

89 83 7

85

79 72 7

73 68 7

70

86

60

54

63

52 8

46

7

59 7

74 67 8

79 71 9

83 74 9

81 72 9

73

63 54 9

58 49 9

56 47 9

57 47 10

54 43 11

92 86

98 92

89 83 7

74 7

72 65 7

68 61 7

64

6

97 91 7

80

6

100 94 6

56 7

59 52 8

87 78 9

93

97

86

95 86

92

84 9

9

8

88 80 8

82 75 7

76 68 7

69 62 8

65 57 8

Puumr

Tolal dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............

SOUTH AMMCA (17) Total dependency ralb Child dependency ralb ....... Old-age dqmdmcy ratio ... Argantlna Tolai dependency ratb Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependencv ralb ............... Bollvlr Total dependency raM .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Brull Tolai dependency ratb .................... old-age dependency ratio .... Chllo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ......... W a g e dependency ratb ............... Cdomblo Tolai dependency ratb ......... Child dependency ralio .................... W a g e dependencv ralb ............... Ecudor Total dependency mlio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

788

80 72 7

75 5

69 62 7

64 79 6 81 72 10

84 8

78 7 57

48

6

8

83 76

78 7

64 9

84 8

8

86 8

8

United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100)

Major area, region and country

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

53 37 16

54 33 22

60 32 28

65 32 33

72 33 39

78 34 44

77 31 46

72 28 44

65 25 40

68 25 43

United States Virgln Islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CENTRAL AMERICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belize Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Costa Rlca Total dependency ratio .................... ChiM dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... El Salvador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guatemala Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Honduras Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mexlco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Nicaragua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Panama Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Argentina Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bolivia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brazil Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlle Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Colombia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ecuador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

l a b k A S . Dependency ratios by major area, regkn and country (contlnued)

Estknates: 19!5&2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)

M . l o r m , ngkn and county

Fmch Q u l a ~ Total dependency ratb .. Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratb ...............

QUYM. Total dependeocy ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio

......

pwoury

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-- dependency ratio ............... pwu Total dependency ratio ....... Child dependency ratb .................... W a g e dependeocy ratb ............... Surlnmne Total dependency ratio ..... ChUd dependency ratb Old-age dependency ratio ............... urnwry T&al dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... o!d-agedependencyratio V . n u m l a (Bollnrt.n Repu Total dependency ratio .............. Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ra

.....

NORTHERN M R I C A (18) Total dependency ratb .................... ChM dependency ratb .............

1950

1655

1960

1865

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2ooo

57

69 59 10

80

79 68 10

78 69 9

77 68 8

64 56 8

60 53 7

63 57 6

66 61 6

66

68 12

84 76 8

96

107 101 7

102 95 7

105 97 7

92

02

85 7

74 7

76 69 7

70 62 8

62 54 8

58

89 7

loo

102

104 6

79 7

77

6

91 84 7

83

98

98 92

84

96

104 97 7

86

94 6

7

76 7

81 73 8

74 66 8

02 76 6

84

88 81 6

91 84 7

90

78 6

88 81 7

84 77 7

78 71 7

73 66 7

69 61 7

65 57 8

109 101 8

106

72 65 7

65

6

84 76 8

58 7

64 56 8

61 52 9

80

48 9

7

84 7

60 6

48 8

85 74 11

92

107

63

99

9

9

109 101 8

57 44 13

56 43 13

58 44 13

57 44 13

58 44 14

60 44 15

43 17

61 43 17

60 42 18

60 40 20

60 39 21

83

89

80 3

85

93 68

4

5

96 91 5

94 69 6

87 81 6

78 73 6

74 68 6

72 65 6

67 60 7

62 55 7

62

66 51 16

62 46 16

55 39 16

50 34 17

50 32 17

51 33 18

52 33 19

51

53

48

47

31 15

30

48 30

28

I7

18

18

98

55 42 13

48 14

87 52 15

60 47 12

66 53 13

70 57 13

70 57 13

61 49 13

40 13

47 34 14

54 42 13

62

67 51 15

66 50 16

62 46 16

55 39 16

51 34 17

50 32 18

51 33 19

53 34 19

51 33 19

59

65

48

68 58 12

68 56 12

65 54 12

63 51 12

60 47 13

57 44 13

56 41 14

56 41 15

40

12

53 12

55 42 13

61 47 14

64

83 49 14

61 47 13

58 44 14

54

51

38

15

15

50 33 17

51 33 18

50

39

53 41 12

60 48

83

62

48

13

14

59 46 13

57 43 14

54

49 14

39 15

51 36 15

49 33 17

50 32 18

49 31 19

61 47 14

67 52 15

71 58 15

69 55 14

67 53 14

63 49 14

58 42 16

53 37 16

53

53 35 18

53

36 17

79 73 7

82 77 6

84

92

85

80

87 4

80 4

84 79 4

86 81 4

82 77 4

77 73 4

75 71 4

75 70 4

98

102 96 6

102 97 5

97

85 81 4

74 69 5

72 67 5

71 66 5

69 64 5

64 58 5

60

32 19

Cuuda TOW dependeocy ratio ChUd dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... U n M S U t a of Amu(cr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb .........

OCEANIA Total dependency ratb .................... ChUd dependency ratio ............. Old-age dependency ratio ......... AUSlRALlAWEW ZENAND TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... oldgge dependency ratio ......... Au.tnllr (19) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .... Oldage dependency ratb New t u h n d Total dependency ratio .................... Chad dependency ratb Old-age dependency ratio ............... WXANESIA Total dependency ratio .............. Child dependency ratio FIJI Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratb ...............

790

92 5

48 14

50 14

5

92 5

46

55 15

32 18

35 18

55 6

United Nations Depamnent of Economic and Social AfFairdPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 1W) Major area, region and country

French Guiana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guyana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paraguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Peru Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Surlname Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uruguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Canada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Unlted States of America Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... OCEANIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Australia (19) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Zealand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MELANESIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Flji Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)

Major a m , mglon and country

New Caldonla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Papua New Gulnw Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Solomon Islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .......... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Vanuatu Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-aw dependency ratio UCRONESIA (20) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ycronwla (Fed. strtea of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... Old-age dependency ratio .. POLYNESIA (21) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Polynwla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Samoa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... fonga Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

....................

.................... ...............

....................

.............

..........

l9sO

1955

1960

l96!5

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

67 61 6

67 61 6

71 65 6

74

68

75 69 6

74 67

6

70 63 7

64 57 7

58 51 7

56 48 8

55 46 9

77 70 7

79 74

82

84

6

77 4

4

84 81 4

88 84 4

83 79 4

78 74 4

77 73 4

77 73 4

80

81 77 4

83 78 5

93

94 87 7

105 98 7

104 97 7

103 96 7

93 86 6

87 82 6

82 76 5

96 91

96 92 5

96

94 89 6

94 88 6

93 87 6

92 86 6

91 7

88 82 7

83 77 6

87 81

84 78 6

80 74 6

72 66 6

68 62 6

66 60 6

61 55 6

61 56 5

56 51 5

52 46 6

55 48 7

56 48 8

77 4

96 91 5

5

6 91 87 4

86 7

91 4

80

84

75 69 6

86 80 6

83 6

73 70 3

72 69 3

71

2

55 53 2

3

66 62 4

80 73 7

89 82 7

96 89 7

102 95 7

97 91 7

107 98 9

104 96 7

97 90 7

91 84 7

88 82 7

78 72 7

94

96 92 5

98 94 4

102 97 4

97 93 4

89

90

5

80 75 5

73 68 5

72 65 7

70 63 7

69 61 8

89 84 5

94 89 5

94 89 5

82 76 5

75 70 5

68 63 5

63 57 5

60

54 6

56 49 7

98 95 3

89

86 3

78 74 4

74 70 4

81 74 7

77 70 7

83 75 8

97 93 4

100 95 5

89 84 5

82 75 7

78 70 8

82 73 9

78 68

64

58 6

40 38

5

88

89 84 5

89

97 92 5

101 96 4

102 3

106 102 3

103

102 99 4

102 98 4

100 97 4

9s 4

84 5

98

5 68

84

10

a More developed regbns cunprtae Europe, NorthernAmerica, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Legs developed regbns canprise all region8of Africa,Asia (excluding Japan). Lailn America and the Caribbean plus Manesh, Micronesia and Pdynesia. c Least developed counMes are 50 cwntries.34 In Afrlca.10 h Ash, 5 in Oceenia plus one ccuntry in Latkr America and the Caribbean. d Other 1888 developed cwntriss comprke of the leas develcped reglons excluding the least developedcountries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Afrlca except Northem Africa, WI the Sudan induded in Sub-Saharan Africa. 1 lnduding Seychelles. 2 lnduding Mayme. 3 lndudlng Pgalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 4 Induding Saint Helena. Ascension, and Triatan da Cunha. 5 For statistical purposes,the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao,Speclai AdminiatratheRegions (SAR)of China. 6 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative RegiMl (SAR) of China. 7 As of 20 December 19B9, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of Chlna. 8 The regions Southern Ade and Central Asia am combined into South-Central Asia.

792

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100)

Major ama, region and country 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

51 41 10

48 37 11

46 33 13

47

48 31 17

50

55 28 27

57

30 20

53 29 24

28

59 27

29

32

75 71 4

70 66 4

63 58 4

57

54

52

48

5

6

53 46 7

51 44 8

49 40 9

47 37 10

45 35 11

77 72 5

71 66 5

65

55 49 6

52 45 7

50 42 8

49 39 10

48 37 11

47

59 5

59 53 6

35

76 70 6

69 63

59 53 7

56 49 8

54 45 9

52 42 10

51 39 12

49 36 13

34

6

64 57 6

57 50 7

54 47 7

52 43 8

50 40 10

50

51 37 14

51 35 16

50 33 17

50 31 19

50 30 21

56

53 42 11

51 38 12

51 36 15

53 35 17

55

57 33 23

56

55

46 10

31 25

29

54 28

26

26

74 67 7

68 62 6

63 57 7

59 51

56 47 10

54 11

50 40 11

46 35 10

42 31 11

43 29 14

65 56 9

61 52 9

55 46 9

52 40 12

53 38 15

54

54

42 11

37 18

34

30

19

52 32 20

48

47 38 9

48 36 10

47 35 12

47 33 14

49 31 18

51 21

52 2% 24

53 28 25

55 28 28

63 55 8

56 47 8

55 45 10

58

a

75 67 8

13

61 45 16

60 42 18

54 36 18

50 31 19

7a 67 11

74 62 12

69 57 11

65 54 11

60

57 46 11

55 43 12

51

50

51

40

36 13

35

New Caledonia 32 15

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ..... Old-age dependency ratio. Papua New Guinea Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ....... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

Solomon Islands

41

a

8

53

38 12

34 20 43

29

13 49 15

52

22

Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... OM-age dependency ratio ............... Vanuatu Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MCRONESIA (20) Total dependency ratio ...... Child dependency ratio ................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guam Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio .............. POLYNESIA (21) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Polynesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

Samoa 83 75

45

Total dependency ratm ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............

Tonga 50 11

12

17

Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................. Old-age dependency ratio ...............

9 lncludlng Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man 10 Relers 10 Guernsey and Jersey 11

Including &and Wands

12 lndudvlg Svalbard and Jan Mayen Wands 13 Including Andorra Gbrallar, H d y See, and San 14 The fwmer Yugoslav Republc ol Macedmla

Manno

15 Including Uechtensteln and MoMco 16 Including Anguilla. Anllgua and Barbuda. Bnlrsh Virgin Islands. Capan Wands. Ocmmlca. Mmlsenet, Sahl Kms and Nebis and Turks and Cams Islands 17 Including Falkland Islands (Malunas) 18 lnduding 8errnuda. Greenland and Saml Rerre and Mquelm 19 Including Chnslmas Island, &OS (Keelng) Uands. and Nolldk bland 20 Including Kiribah, Marshall Islands, Nauru. Northern Mamna Wands. and Palau 21 Including Amercan Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue. PIIcam. Tokelau. TUMIU.Wallls and Fuhlna Islands

United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

793

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