Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division
World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision Volume I: C...
17 downloads
363 Views
50MB Size
Report
This content was uploaded by our users and we assume good faith they have the permission to share this book. If you own the copyright to this book and it is wrongfully on our website, we offer a simple DMCA procedure to remove your content from our site. Start by pressing the button below!
Report copyright / DMCA form
Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division
World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations New York, 2007
DESA The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take stock of policy options; (i) it facilitates the negotiations of Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical assistance, helps build national capacities.
Note The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. This publication has been issued without formal editing. Suggested citation: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.Xl11.2).
UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION Sales No. E.07.Xl11.2 Copyright United Nations 2007 All rights reserved Q
PREFACE
The 2006 Revision of World Population Prospects represents the latest global demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. This volume of the 2006 Revision presents the comprehensive tables of the official United Nations world population estimates and projections. Covering the 1950-2050 time period, demographic profiles and selected demographic indicators are provided for the world, each development group, the major areas and regions of the world and for each country with more than 100,000 inhabitants in 2007. For countries with less than 100,000 inhabitants in 2007, only figures related to population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for 1950-2005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. The projections are presented as medium, high, low and constant-fertility variants. The tables are accompanied by an executive summary of the results and the assumptions underlying the 2006 Revision. The executive summary and the assumptions have been translated into the six official United Nations languages. The full results of the 2006 Revision are presented in a series of three volumes. In addition to the present volume, the second volume' contains the age and sex distributions of populations for the period 1950-2050. The third volume2 is devoted to an analysis of the results. Summary findings of the 2006 Revision are also shown in a wall chart3. In addition, data are distributed in digital form. Interested users can purchase one of the two different CD-ROMS~containing the major results of the 2006 Revision. A description of the data provided on the CD-ROMs and an order form are presented on pages 3 to 13 of this publication and are also posted on the Population Division's web site (www.unpopulation.org). Responsibility for the 2006 Revision rests with the Population Division. Preparation of the 2006 Revision was facilitated by the collaboration of the regional commissions, especially the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, and of UNAIDS, the specialized agencies and other relevant bodies of the United Nations with the Population Division.
A major source of official national population statistics used in the preparation of these estimates and projections is the United Nations Demographic Yearbook and its accompanying databases, produced and maintained by the Statistics Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The Population Division is grateful to the Statistics Division for its continuing cooperation.
'
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution ofthe World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.XIII.3). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, forthcoming). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Wall Chart (United Nations publication, forthcoming). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, CD-ROMEdition (United Nations publication, Comprehensive Dataset, Sales No. E.07.XIII.8;Extended Dataset, Sales No. E.07.XIII.7).
For further information about the 2006 Revision, please contact Ms. Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Fax: 1 2 12 963 2 147).
CONTENTS Page
Preface Explanatory notes Executive Summaries English Arabic Chinese French Russian Spanish
iii xii xix xxxv lxi Ixxix xcvii cxvii
I. INTRODUCTION
1
II. ANALYSIS
4
A. B. C. D.
4 11 14 22
III.
World population trends Fertility Mortality and the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS International migration
ORDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON
CD-ROM
IV. BIBLIOGRAPHY
24 35
V. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS
36
TABLES
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.
Population of the world, major development groups and major areas, 1950, 1975, 2007 and 2050 according to different variants Percentage distribution of the world population by development group and major area, 1950, 1975, 2007 and 2050, according to projection variant Percentage distribution of the population by broad age group for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, medium variant, 2005 and 2050 Average annual rate of population change of the total population and the population in broad age groups by major area, medium variant, 2005-2050 Estimated and projected total fertility for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, 1970-1975, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 according to variant Distribution of countries and areas by level of total fertility in 1950-1955, 1970-1975, 2000-2005 and 2045-2050 (medium variant) Life expectancy at birth for the world, the major development groups and the major areas, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 Life expectancy at birth by sex for the world and the major development groups, 2005-2010 and 2045-2050 Average annual net number of international migrants per decade by major development group and major area, 1950-2050
4 5 7 10 12 12 15 17 23
FIGURES
1. 2.
Average annual rate of population change for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant) Total fertility trajectories for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 v
6 11
Page
3. 4. 5. 6. 7.
Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2050 Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2050 Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Eastern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010 Population in 2015, with AIDS andwithout AIDS, by sex and age group, South Africa
16 16 18 20 20
MAPS
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
Average annual rate of population change, 2005-2010, medium variant Average annual rate of population change, 2045-2050, medium variant Median age in 2005, medium variant Median age in 2050, medium variant Total fertility in 2005-2010, medium variant Total fertility in 2045-2050, medium variant Life expectancy at birth, 2005-2010, medium variant Life expectancy at birth, 2045-2050, medium variant
8 8 9 9 13 13 21 21
ANNEX TABLES I.
A.l.
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES
Demographic profiles by major area, region and special group World More developed regions Less developed regions Least developed countries Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa Africa Eastern Africa Middle Africa Northern Africa Southern Africa Western Africa Asia Eastern Asia South-Central Asia South-Eastern Asia Western Asia Europe Eastern Europe Northern Europe Southern Europe Western Europe Latin America and the Caribbean Caribbean Central America South America Northern America Oceania Australia/New Zealand Melanesia
VI
42 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102
Page
Micronesia Polynesia A.2.
104 106
Demographic profiles by country or area Afghanistan Albania Algeria Angola Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Darussalam Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Canada Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Channel Islands Chile China China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR Colombia Comoros Congo Costa Rica Coted'Ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Democratic People's Republic of Korea Democratic Republic of the Congo Denmark Djibouti Dominican Republic
108 108 110 112 114 116 118 120 122 124 126 128 130 132 134 136 138 140 142 144 146 148 150 152 154 156 158 160 162 164 166 168 170 172 174 176 178 180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194 196 198 200 202 204 206 208 210
vii
Page
Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Fiji Finland France French Guiana French Polynesia Gabon Gambia Georgia Germany Ghana Greece Grenada Guadeloupe Guam Guatemala Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Haiti Honduras Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iraq Ireland Israel Italy Jamaica Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Lao People's Democratic Republic Latvia Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Lithuania Luxembourg Madagascar Malawi Malaysia Maldives Mali
212 214 216 218 220 222 224 226 228 230 232 234 236 238 240 242 244 246 248 250 252 254 256 258 260 262 264 266 268 270 272 274 276 278 280 282 284 286 288 290 292 294 296 298 300 302 304 306 308 310 312 314 316 318 320 322
viii
Page Malta Martinique Mauritania Mauritius Mexico Micronesia (Federated States of) Moldova Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nepal Netherlands Netherlands Antilles New Caledonia New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Norway Occupied Palestinian Territory Oman Pakistan Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Qatar Republic of Korea Reunion Romania Russian Federation Rwanda Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Samoa Sao Tome and Principe Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Sierra Leone Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Solomon Islands Somalia South Africa Spain Sri Lanka Sudan
„
ix
324 326 328 330 332 334 336 338 340 342 344 346 348 350 352 354 356 358 360 362 364 366 368 370 372 374 376 378 380 382 384 386 388 380 392 394 396 398 400 402 404 406 408 410 412 414 416 418 420 422 424 426 428 430 432 434
Page
Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Thailand The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Timor-Leste Togo Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United Republic of Tanzania United States of America United States Virgin Islands Uruguay Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Viet Nam Western Sahara Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe II.
436 438 440 442 444 446 448 450 452 454 456 458 460 462 464 466 468 470 472 474 476 478 480 482 484 486 488 490 492 494 496
SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
Population size and growth A.3. A.4. A.5. A.6. A.7. A. 8. A.9. A. 10. A. 11. A. 12. A. 13. A. 14.
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050 Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050
x
500 502 503 504 506 508 509 510 512 522 528 534
Page A. 15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A. 16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: high variant, 2005-2050 A. 17. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 A. 18. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant, 2005-2050 A. 19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: estimates, 1985-2005 A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: medium variant, 2005-2020
540 550 556 562 568 578
Fertility A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050
588 596 604 612 620 628
Mortality A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2050 A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 A.32. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections 1995-2050
636 644 652 660 688 696
Population age composition and dependency ratios A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2000 A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050
XI
702 730 766
Explanatory notes The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report: Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not reported separately. A hyphen (-) indicates that the item is not applicable. A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease. A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals. Years given refer to 1 July. Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1 July of the first year to 1 July of the second year. Numbers and percentages in tables do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. References to countries, territories and areas: The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The designation "more developed" and "less developed" regions are intended for statistical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term "country" as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas. More developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan) and Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. The group of least developed countries currently comprises 50 countries: Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Maldives, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanrnar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, Slo Tom6 and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. The designation sub-Saharan Africa is commonly used to indicate all of Africa except northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin America and the Caribbean; Northern America; and Oceania. These major areas are further divided into 2 1 geographical regions. Names and compositions of geographical areas follow those of "Standard country or area codes for statistical use" (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49/Rev.3), available at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/rnethods/m49/m49.htm.
xii
The following abbreviations have been used: AIDS
Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome
ART
Antiretroviral therapy
DESA
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
HIV
Human imrnunodeficiency virus
MDGs
Millennium Development Goals
SAR
Special Administrative Region
UNAIDS
Joint United Nations Programme on HIVIAIDS
For analytical purposes, the following country groupings have been used: CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY MAJOR AREA AND REGION OF THE WORLD Africa Eastern AjPica
Middle AjPica
Northern Africa
Burundi comoros5 Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Madagascar Malawi ~auritius~ Mozambique Rkunion Rwanda Seychelles* Somalia Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
Angola Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea Gabon Sgo Tome and Pnncipe
Algeria Egmt Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Morocco Sudan Tunisia Western Sahara
Southern Africa Botswana Lesotho Namibia South Africa Swaziland
WesternAfrica Benin Burkina Faso Cape Verde C6te d'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Liberia Mali Mauritania Niger Nigeria Saint ~ e l e n *a ~ Senegal Sierra Leone Togo
Asia Eastern Asia
South-Central ~sia'
South-Eastern Asia
China China, Hong Kong SAR China, Macao SAR Democratic People's Republic of Korea Japan Mongolia Republic of Korea
Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka Tajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
Brunei Damssalam Cambodia Indonesia Lao People's Democratic Republic Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Timor-Leste Viet Nam
Including Mayotte. Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
WesternAsia Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Cyprus Georgia Iraq Israel Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Occupied Palestinian Territory Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Syrian Arab Republic Turkey United Arab Emirates Yemen
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Europe Eastern Europe
Northern Europe
Southern Europe
Western Europe
Belarus Bulgaria Czech Republic Hunga~y Moldova Poland Romania Russian Federation Slovakia Ukraine
Channel 1slands9 Denmark Estonia Faeroe Islands*
Albania Andorra* Bosnia and Herzegovina Croatia Gibraltar* Greece Holy See* Italy Malta Montenegro Portugal San Marino* Serbia Slovenia Spain The former Yugoslav Republic of ~ a c e d o n i a ' ~
Austria Belgium France Germany Liechtenstein* Luxembourg Monaco* Netherlands Switzerland
inland"
Iceland Ireland Isle of Man* Latvia Lithuania ~orwa~' Sweden United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern 1relandlZ
'
Latin America and the Caribbean Caribbean
Central America
South America
Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda* Aruba Bahamas Barbados British Virgin Islands* Cayman Islands* Cuba Dominica* Dominican Republic Grenada Guadeloupe Haiti Jamaica Martinique Montserrat* Netherlands Antilles Puerto Rico Saint Kitts and Nevis* Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Turks and Caicos Islands* United States Virgin Islands
Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama
Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Falkland Islands (Malvinas)* French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname U~WW~Y Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including &and Islands. l ' Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l2 Also referred to as United Kingdom. l3 Also referred to as TFYR Macedonia. 'O
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Northern America Bermuda* Canada Greenland* Saint Pierre and Miquelon* United States of America14
Oeeania AustraliaNew Zealand
Melanesia
Micronesia
Polynesia
~ustralia'' New Zealand
Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu
Guam Kiribati* Marshal1 Islands* Micronesia (Federated States of) Nauru* Northern Mariana Islands* Palau*
American Samoa* Cook Islands* French Polynesia Niue* Pitcairn* Samoa Tokelau* Tonga Tuvalu* Wallis and Futuna Islands*
Sub-Saharan Africa Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Carneroon Cape Verde Central African Chad Comoros Congo
l4
l5
CBte d'Ivoire Democratic Republic of the Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Kenya Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger
Also referred to as United States. Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Nigeria Rhnion Rwanda Saint Helena Sto Tom6 and Principe Senegal Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South Aftica Sudan
Swaziland Togo Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued) Least developed countries Afghanistan Angola Bangladesh Benin Bhutan Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Comoros Democratic Republic of the Congo Djibouti Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia
Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti Kiribati Lao People's Democratic Republic Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Maldives Mali Mauritania Mozambique Myanmar Nepal Niger
Rwanda Samoa SZo Tom6 and Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Solomon Islands Somalia Sudan Timor-Leste Togo Tuvalu Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Vanuatu Yemen Zambia
Note: Countries with a population of less than 100,000 in 2007 are indicated by an asterisk (*).
This page intentionally left blank
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 2006 Revision is the twentieth round of official United Nations population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. These are used throughout the United Nations system as the basis for activities requiring population information. The 2006 Revision builds on the 2004 Revision and incorporates both the results of the 2000 round of national population censuses and of recent specialized surveys carried around the world. These sources provide both demographic and other information to assess the progress made in achieving the internationally agreed development goals, including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The comprehensive review of past worldwide demographic trends and future prospects presented in the 2006 Revision provides the population basis for the assessment of those goals. According to the 2006 Revision, the world population will likely increase by 2.5 billion over the next 43 years, passing from the current 6.7 billion to 9.2 billion in 2050. This increase is equivalent to the size that the world population had in 1950 and it will be absorbed mostly by the less developed regions, whose population is projected to rise from 5.4 billion in 2007 to 7.9 billion in 2050. In contrast, the population of the more developed regions is expected to remain largely unchanged at 1.2 billion and would have declined were it not for the projected net migration from developing to developed countries, which is expected to average 2.3 million persons a year after 20 10. As a result of declining fertility and increasing longevity, the populations of a growing number of countries are ageing rapidly. Between 2005 and 2050, half of the increase in the world population will be accounted for by a rise in the population aged 60 years or over, whereas the number of children (persons under age 15) will decline slightly. Furthermore, in the more developed regions, the population aged 60 or over is expected nearly to double (from 245 million in 2005 to 406 million in 2050) whereas that of persons under age 60 will likely decline (from 971 million in 2005 to 839 million in 2050). The 2006 Revision confirms the diversity of demographic dynamics among the different world regions. While the population at the global level is on track to surpass 9 billion by 2050 and hence continues to increase, that of the more developed regions is hardly changing and will age markedly. As already noted, virtually all population growth is occurring in the less developed regions and especially in the group of the 50 least developed countries, many of which still have relatively youthful populations that are expected to age only moderately over the foreseeable fbture. Among the rest of the developing countries, rapid population ageing is expected. Underlying these varied patterns of growth and changes in the age structure are distinct trends in fertility and mortality. Below-replacement fertility prevails in the more developed regions and is expected to continue to 2050. Fertility is still high in most of the least developed countries and, although it is expected to decline, it will remain higher than in the rest of the world. In the rest of the developing countries, fertility has declined markedly since the late 1960s and is expected to reach below-replacement levels by 2050 in the majority of them. Mortality in the established market economies of the developed world is low and continues to decline, but it has been stagnant or even increasing in a number of countries with economies in transition, largely as a result of deteriorating social and economic conditions and, in some cases, because of the spread of HIV. Mortality is also decreasing in the majority of
developing countries, but in those highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, mortality has been increasing. The HIVIAIDS epidemic continues to spread. The number of countries with a significant number of infected people in the 2006 Revision is 62, up from 60 in the 2004 Revision and 53 in the 2002 Revision. Although HIV prevalence in some countries has been revised downward since 2004 on the basis of newly availat.de nationally representative data, the toll of the disease continues to be high and is expected i;o remain so, despite projected reductions in the prevalence of HIVIAIDS. Lower projected levels of HI'd prevalence depend on the realization of the commitments made by Governments in the 2000 Millennium ~eclaration' and the 2001 United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIVIAIDS~.In particular, the projected population trends depend on achieving a major increase in the proportion of AIDS patients who get antiretroviral therapy to trcat the disease and on the success of efforts to control the further spread of HIV. In the 2006 Revision, the 62 co~~ntries considered to be highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic include 40 located in Africa. In projecting the effect of the disease, it is assumed that 3 1 of the most affected countries will manage to provide by 2015 antiretroviral treatment to 70 per cent or more of the persons suffering from AIDS. In the rest of the affected countries, treatment levels are expected to be lower, reaching between 40 per cent and 50 per cent by 2015. It is further assumed that persons receiving treatment survive, on average, 17.5 years instead of the 10 years expected in the abscncc of treatment. Mainly as a result of these assumptions and owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of HIVIALIDS in countries where nationally representative data on the epidemic have become available, an estimated 32 million fewer deaths are projected to occur during 2005-2020 in the 62 countries most affected by the epidemic according to the 2006 Revision than would have occurred if death rates were the same as in the 2004 Revision. These changes also contribute to make the population projected to 2050 larger according to the 2006 Revision than according to the 2004 Revision (9.2 billion vs. 9.1 billion). Realization of the medium variant projections contained in the 2006 Revision is also contingent on ensuring that fertility continues to decline in developing countries. According to the 2006 Revision, fertility in the less developed countries as a whole is expected to drop from 2.75 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.05 in 2045-2050. The reduction expected in the group of 50 least developed countries is even sharper: from 4.63 children per woman to 2.50 children per wornan. To achieve such reductions it is essential that access to family planning expands in the poorest countries of the world. The urgency of realizing the reductions of fertility projected is brought into focus by considering thtit, if fertility were to remain constant at the levels estimated for 2000-2005, the population of the less developed regions would increase to 10.6 billion instead of thc 7.9 billion projected by assurning that fertility declines. That is, without further reductions of fertility, the world population could increase by twice as many people as those who were alive in 1950.
I
Sec General Assembly Resolution A/I<es/5512.
' Scc General ilssembly Resolution A/l<eslS-2612.
Other key findings resulting from the comprehensive review of past worldwide demographic trends and hture prospects presented in the 2006 Revision are summarized below. l . In July 2007 the world population will reach 6.7 billion, 547 million more than in 2000 or a gain of 78 million persons annually. Assuming that fertility levels continue to decline, the world population is expected to reach 9.2 billion in 2050 and to be increasing by about 30 million persons annually at that time, according to the medium variant (table 1). TABLE1 . POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS
Population in 2050 (millions)
Population (millions)
Major area
1950
1975
200 7
Low
Medium
High
Constant
World .................................................
2 535
4 076
6 671
7 792
9191
10756
11858
More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries .............. Other less developed countries .......
814 1722 200 1521
1048 3 028 358 2670
1223 5 448 804 4644
1 065 6 727 1 496 5 231
1 245 7 946 1 742 6 204
1 451 9 306 2 002 7 304
1218 10639 2 794 7 845
Africa ................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ................................................ Latin America and the Caribbean....... Northern America ............................... Oceania...............................................
224 1411 548 168 172 13
416 2394 676 325 243 21
965 4030 73 1 572 339 34
1718 4 444 566 64 1 382 42
1 998 5266 664 769 445 49
2 302 6189 777 914 517 56
3 251 6 525 626 939 460 57
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.
2. Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility takes (figure 1). In the medium variant, fertility of the world declines from 2.55 children per woman today to slightly over 2 children per woman in 2050. If fertility were to remain about half a child above the levels projected in the medium variant, world population would reach 10.8 billion by 2050. A fertility path half a child below the medium variant would lead to a population of 7.8 billion by mid-century. That is, at the world level, continued population growth until 2050 is inevitable even if the decline in fertility accelerates. 3. Because of its low and declining rate of population growth, the population of developed countries as a whole is expected to remain virtually unchanged between 2007 and 2050, at about 1.2 billion, according to the medium variant. In contrast, the population of the 50 least developed countries will likely more than double, passing from 0.8 billion in 2007 to 1.7 billion in 2050. Growth in the rest of the developing world is also projected to be robust, though less rapid, with its population rising from 4.6 billion to 6.2 billion between 2007 and 2050 according to the medium variant.
4. Slow population growth brought about by reductions in fertility leads to population ageing, that is, it produces populations where the proportion of older persons increases while that of younger persons decreases. In the more developed regions, 20 per cent of the population is already aged 60 years or over and that pkoportion is projected to reach 33 per cent in 2050 (table 2). In developed countries as a whole, the number of older persons (persons aged 60 or
over) has already surpassed the number of children (persons under age 15) and by 2050 the number of older persons is expected to be more than double the number of children in developed countries. Figure 1. Population of the world, 1950-2050,according to different projection variants
-
Medium -0-
Low -High
- - 6- -
Constant fertility
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.
5. Population ageing is less advanced in developing countries. Nevertheless, the populations of a majority of them are posed to enter a period of rapid population ageing. In developing countries as a whole, just 8 per cent of the population is today aged 60 years or over but by 2050,20 per cent of their population is expected to be in that age range (table 2). 6. Globally, the number of persons aged 60 years or over is expected nearly to triple, increasing fkom 673 million in 2005 to 2 billion by 2050. Over the same period, the share of older persons living in developing countries is expected to rise from 64 per cent in 2005 to nearly 80 per cent in 2050. 7. A feature of ageing populations is that the numbers of older persons increase faster the higher the age range considered. Thus, whereas the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to triple, that of persons aged 80 or over (the oldest-old) is projected to increase nearly five-fold, from 88 million in 2005 to 402 million in 2050. Today, about half of the oldest-old live in developing countries but that share is expected to reach 71 per cent in 2050.
xxii
TABLE2.
PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTIONBY BROAD AGE GROUP FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROWS AND MAJOR AREAS, 2005 AND 2050, MEDIUM VARIANT, 2005-2050
Percentaxe distribufionin 2005 Major area
0-14
World................................................................... More developed region .................................... Less developed regions..................................... Least developed countries............................. Other less developed countries ..................... Africa................................................................... Asia ...................................................................... Europe .................................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ......................... Northern Amcrica ................................................ Oceania.................................................................
28.3 17.0 30.9 41.5 29.1 41.4 28.0 15.9 29.8 20.5 24.9
15-59
61.4 62.9 61.0 53.4 62.3 53.4 62.7 63.5 61.2 62.7 61.0
60+
10.3 20.1 8.1 5.1 8.6 5.2 9.2 20.6 9.0 16.7 14.1
80+
1.3 3.7 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.0 3.5 1.2 3.5 2.6
Percentage distribution in 2050 0-14
19.8 15.2 20.6 28.2 18.4 28.0 18.0 14.6 18.0 17.1 18.4
15-59
58.3 52.2 59.3 61.5 58.7 61.7 58.3 50.9 57.8 55.6 56.9
60+
21.8 32.6 20.1 10.3 22.9 10.4 23.7 34.5 24.3 27.3 24.8
80+
4.4 9.4 3.6 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.5 9.6 5.2 7.8 6.8
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.
8. Although the populations of all countries are expected to age over the foreseeable future, the populations of countries where fertility is still high will remain relatively young and will increase rapidly. High population growth rates prevail in a number of developing countries, the majority of which are least developed. Between 2005 and 2050, the populations of Afghanistan, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger, Timor-Leste and Uganda are projected to increase at least threefold. 9. In sharp contrast, the populations of 46 countries or areas, including Germany, Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, most of the successor States of the former USSR and several small island States are expected to be smaller in 2050 than in 2005.
10. Population growth remains concentrated in the populous countries. During 2005-2050, eight countries are expected to account for half of the world's projected population increase: India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United States of America, Bangladesh and China, listed according to the size of their contribution to global population growth. 1 1. The median age, that is, the age that divides the population in two halves of equal size, is an indicator of population ageing. At the world level, the median age is projected to increase from 28 to 38 years between 2005 and 2050. Europe has today the oldest population, with a median age of nearly 39 years that is expected to reach 47 years in 2050. 12. The median age is higher in countries having low fertility for long periods. In 2005, the median age in 13 developed countries or areas was higher than 40 years. The pervasiveness of population ageing is reflected by the fact that 93 countries are projected to have median ages above 40 years in 2050,48 of which are developing countries (map 1).
xxiii
Map 1. Median age in 2005, medium variant
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on the present map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Map 2. Median age in 2050, medium variant
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on the present map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
xxiv
13. Countries where fertility remains high and has declined only moderately will experience the slowest population ageing. By 2050, about one in five countries is projected to have a median age below 30 years. The least developed countries will have the youngest populations, with eight of them having median ages below 24 years in 2050, namely, Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger and Uganda (map 2). 14. As noted above, fertility reductions are the main cause of population ageing. At the world level, fertility is estimated to be 2.55 children per woman, about half the level it had in 19501955 at 5 children per women (table 3). In the medium variant, global fertility is projected to decline m h e r to 2.02 children per woman. Average world levels result from quite different trends in the major development groups. In developed countries as a whole, fertility is currently 1.60 children per woman and is projected to increase slowly to 1.79 children per woman in 2045-2050. In the least developed countries, fertility is 4.63 children per woman and is expected to drop by about half, to 2.50 children per woman by 2045-2050. In the rest of the developing world, fertility is already moderately low at 2.45 children per woman and is expected to decline further to 1.91 children per woman by mid-century, thus nearly converging to the fertility levels by then typical of the developed world. TABLE 3. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED TOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1970-1975,2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 ACCORDING TO PROJECTION VARIANT Totalfertility (average number of childrenper woman) 2045-2050
Major area
World .................................................. More developed regions...................... Less developed regions ....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries ....... Africa .................................................. Asia ..................................................... Europe................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................. Oceania ...............................................
1970-1975
2005-2010
Low
Medium
High
Constant
4.47 2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25 6.72 5.04 2.16 5.04 2.01 3.23
2.55 1.60 2.75 4.63 2.45 4.67 2.34 1.45 2.37 2.00 2.30
1.54 1.29 1.57 2.02 1.42 1.97 1.40 1.26 1.36 1.35 1.43
2.02 1.79 2.05 2.50 1.91 2.46 1.90 1.76 1.86 1.85 1.93
2.51 2.28 2.54 2.99 2.41 2.95 2.39 2.26 2.36 2.35 2.43
3.49 1.68 3.69 5.49 3.07 5.47 2.94 1.47 2.67 1.99 2.83
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE:Only countries or areas with 100,000persons or more in 2007 are included.
15. In 2005-2010, fertility remains above 5 children per woman in 27 of the 150 developing countries, and those 27 countries account for 9 per cent of the world population. Most countries with very high fertility are poor and belong to the group of least developed countries. In contrast, fertility has reached below-replacement levels in 28 developing countries, which account for 25 per cent of the world population. This group includes China whose average fertility during 2005-2010 is estimated at 1.73 children per woman.
xxv
16. Fertility is also below replacement level in all 45 developed countries or areas, which account for 19 per cent of the world population. In 27 of them, including Japan and most of the countries located in Southern and Eastern Europe, fertility remains below 1.5 children per woman. Since 1990-1995, fertility decline has been the rule among the vast majority of developed countries and is leading to rapid population ageing. 17. Another factor contributing to population ageing is the reduction of mortality at adult ages. Global life expectancy at birth, which is estimated to have risen from 58 years in 1970-1975 to 67 years in 2005-2010, is expected to keep on rising to reach 75 years in 2045-2050 (table 4). In the more developed regions, the projected increase is from 77 years today to 82 years by mid-century, and in the less developed regions life expectancy is projected to rise froin 65 years in 2005-2010 to 74 years in 2045-2050. TABLE4. LIFEEXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 2005-201 0 AND 2045-2050 -
--
Major area
- -
2005-201 0
2045-2050
World ...............................................
67.2
75.4
More developed regions ................... Less developed regions .................... Least developed countries ............ Other less developed countries .....
76.5 65.4 54.6 67.9
82.4 74.3 67.2 76.4
Africa ............................................... Asia .................................................. Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean..... Northern America ............................ Oceania ............................................
52.8 69.0 74.6 73.3 78.5 75.2
66.1 77.4 81.0 79.6 83.3 81.0
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the llnited Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations
18. Life expectancy remains low in the least developed countries, at just 55 years, and although it is projected to reach 67 years in 2045-2050, achieving such an increase is contingent on reducing the spread of HIV and combating successfblly other infectious diseases. Similar challenges must be confronted if' the projected increase of life expectancy in the rest of the developing countries, from under 68 years today to 76 years by mid-century, is to bc achieved. 19. Among the more developed regilons, Eastern Europe has the lowest life expectancy at birth and has had a declining life expelctancy since the late 1980s. In 2005-2010 life expectancy in the region, at 68.6 years, is lower than it was in 1960-1965 (69.3 years). The Russian Federation and Ukraine have experienced serious increases in mortality, partly because of the spread of HIV. 20. Despite the advances made in treating people infected with HIV and in controlling the spread of the epidemic, its impact in terms of morbidity, mortality and slower population growth continues to be evident in many countries. In Southern Africa, the region with the highest prevalence of the disease, life expectancy has fallen from 62 years in 1990-1995 to 49 years
in 2005-2010 and is not expected to regain the level it had in the early 1990s before 2045. As a consequence, the growth rate of the population in the region has plummeted, passing from 2.5 per cent annually in 1990-1995 to 0.6 per cent annually in 2005-2010 and is expected to continue declining for the foreseeable future. 21. The contribution of international migration to population growth in the more developed regions has increased in significance as fertility declines. During 2005-2050, the net number of international migrants to more developed regions is projected to be 103 million, a figure that counterbalances the excess of deaths over births (74 million) projected over the period. 22. In 2005-2010, the net migration more than doubled the contribution of natural increase (births minus deaths) to population growth in eight countries or areas, namely, Belgium, Canada, Hong Kong (China SAR), Luxembourg, Singapore, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland. In a further eight countries or areas, net migration counterbalanced the excess of deaths over births. These countries are: Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Channel Islands, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia. 23. In terms of annual averages during 2005-2050, the major net receivers of international migrants are projected to be the United States (1.1 million annually), Canada (200,000), Germany (150,000), Italy (139,000), the United Kingdom (130,000), Spain (123,000) and Australia (100,000). The countries with the highest levels of net emigration are projected to be: China (-329,000 annually), Mexico (-306,000), India (-241,000), Philippines (-180,000), Pakistan (-167,000) and Indonesia (-164,000).
xxvii
ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2036 REVISION The preparation of each new revision of the official population estimates and projections of the United Nations involves two distinct processes: (a) the incorporation of all new and relevant information regarding the past demographic dynamics of the population of each country or area of the world; and (b) the formulation of detailed assumptions about the future paths of fertility, mortality and international migration. The data sources used and the methods applied in revising past estimates of demographic indicators (i.e., those referring to 1950-2005) are presented in volume 111 of World Popzrlution Prospects: The 2006 Revision (forthcoming). The future population of each country is projected starting with an estimated population for 1 July 2005. Because population data are not necessarily available for that date, the 2005 estimate is derived from the most recent population data availab!e for each country, obtained usually from a population census or ,a population register, projected to 2005 using all available data on fertility, mortality and international migration trends between the reference date of the population data available and 1 July 2005. In cases where recent data on the components of population growth are not available, estimated demographic trends are projections based on the most recent available data. Population data from all sources are evaluated for completeness, accuracy and consistency, and adjusted as necessary3. To project the population until 2050, the United Nations Population Division uses assumptions regarding future trends in fertility, mortality and international migration. Because future trends cannot be known with certainty, a number of projection variants are produced. The following paragraphs summarize the main assumptions underlying the derivation of demographic indicators for the period starting in 2005 and ending in 2050. A more detailed description of the different assumptions is available in volume I11 of WorM Populution Prospects: Tlie 2006 Revi.sion (forthcoming). A. FERTILITY AISSUMPTIONS: CONVERGEPJCE TOWARD TOTAL FERTILITY BELOW REPLACEMENT LEVEL
The fertility assumptions are described in telms of the following groups of countries: Higl2,fertility countries: Countries that until 2005 had no fertility reduction or only an incipient decline; Medium,fl?rrility cozrntries: Countries where fertility has been declining but whose level was still above 2.1 children per woman in 2000-2005; Low:fel.tilih~countries: Countries with total fertility at or below 2.1 children per woman in 2000-2005.
Total fertility in all countries is assumed to converge eventually toward a level of 1.85 children per woman. Iiowever, not all countries reach this level during the projection period, that is, by 2045-2050. Projection procedures differ slightly depending on whether a country had a total fertility above or below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005. Fertility in high- and medium-fertility counlries is assumed to follow a path derived from models of fertility decline established by the United Nations Population Division on the basis of For a gencrul dchcription of thc procedures used in revising estimates of population dynamics, see "Chapter VI. hlethodology of thc United Nat~onspopuIation estimates and projections" (pp. 100-104) in World Pr~p~/lulion Pmspects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Anul?~ticalRepltorf (United Natiot~spublication, Sales No. E.05.XI11.7).
the past experience of all countries with declining fertility during 1950-2000. The models relate the level of total fertility during a period to the average expected decline in total fertility during the next period. If the total fertility projected by a model for a country falls to 1.85 children per woman before 2050, total fertility is held constant at that level for the remainder of the projection period (that is, until 2050). Therefore, the level of 1.85 children per woman represents a floor value below which the total fertility of high- and medium-fertility countries is not allowed to drop before 2050. However, it is not necessary for all countries to reach the floor value by 2050. If the model of fertility change produces a total fertility above 1.85 children per woman for 2045-2050, that value is used in projecting the population. In all cases, the projected fertility paths yielded by the models are checked against recent trends in fertility for each country, When a country's recent fertility trends deviate considerably from those consistent with the models, fertility is projected over an initial period of 5 or 10 years in such a way that it follows recent experience. The model projection takes over after that transition period. For instance, in countries where fertility has stalled or where there is no evidence of fertility decline, fertility is projected to remain constant for several more years before a declining path sets in. Fertility in low-fertility countries is generally assumed to remain below 2.1 children per woman during most of the projection period and reach 1.85 children per woman by 2045-2050. For countries where total fertility was below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005, it is assumed that over the first 5 or 10 years of the projection period fertility will follow the recently observed trends in each country. After that transition period, fertility is assumed to increase linearly at a rate of 0.05 children per woman per quinquennium. Thus, countries whose fertility is currently very low need not reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2050.
2. High-fertility assumption Under the high variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children above the fertility in the medium variant over most of the projection period. By 2045-2050, fertility in the high variant is therefore half a child higher than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 1.85 children per woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 2.35 children per woman in the high variant at the end of the projection period.
3. Low-fertility assumption Under the low variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children below the fertility in the medium variant over most of the projection period. By 2045-2050, fertility in the low variant is therefore half a child lower than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 1.85 children per woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 1.35 children per woman in the low variant at the end of the projection period. 4. Constant-fertiliQ assumption
For each country, fertility remains constant at the level estimated for 2000-2005. 5. Instant-replacement assumption For each country, fertility is set to the level necessary to ensure a net reproduction rate of l starting in 2005-2010. Fertility varies over the rest of the projection period in such a way that the net reproduction rate always remains equal to unity thus ensuring, over the long-run, the replacement of the population.
xxix
B. MORTALITY ASSIJMPTIONS: INCREASING LIFE EXPECTANCY EXCEPT WHEN AFFECTED BY HIV!AIDS
1. Normal-mortality assumption
Mortality is projected on the basis of models of change of life expectancy produced by the United Nations Population Division. These models produce smaller gains the higher the life expectancy already reached. The selection of a model for each country is based on recent trends in life expectancy by sex. For countries highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the model incorporating a slow pace of mortality decline has generally been used to project a certain slowdown in the reduction of general mortality risks not related to HIVIAIDS. 2. The impact oj'HIV/AIDS on mortality
In the 2006 Revision, all countries with a HIV prevalence among persons aged 15 to 49 equal to or greater than one per cent are considered as seriously affected by the HIVJAIDS epidemic and their mortality is projected by modelling explicitly the course of the epidemic and projecting the yearly incidence of HIV infection. Also considered among the affected countries are those where HIV prevalence is lower than one per cent but whose population is so large that the number of individuals infected is large, such as Brazil, China or the United States of America. In total, 62 countries are considered to be highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic in the 2006 Revision. The model developed by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and ~ r o j e c t i o n sis~used to fit past estimates of HIV prevalence provided by UNAIDS for each of the affected countries so as to derive the parameters determining the past dynamics of the epidemic for each of them. For most countries, the model is fitted assuming that the relevant parameters have remained constant in the past. Beginning in 2005, the parameter PHI, which reflects the rate of recruitment of new individuals into the high-risk or susceptible group, is projected to decline by half every twenty years. The parameter R, which represents the force of infection, is projected to declinc by half every thirty years. The reduction in R reflects the assumption that changes in behaviour among those subject to the risk of infection, along with increases in access to treatment for those infected, will reduce the chances of transmitting the virus. In the 2006 Revision, prevention of mother-to-child transmission is modelled using estimated country-specific coverage rates that average 13 per cent in 2005 among the 62 affected countries, but vary from 0 to 90 per cent among them. These coverage rates are projected to reach 60 per cent on average by 2015, varying between 40 per cent and 100 per cent among the affected countrie~.~ After 2015, the coverage rate is assumed to remain constant at the level reached in each of the affected countries until the end of the projection period. Among women receiving treatment, the probability of transmission from mother to child is assumed to be 1 per cent. These assumptions produce a reduction in the incidence of HIV infection among children born to HIV-
"NAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections (2002). Iinproved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIViAlDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W1-W14. URL: http:llwww.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, W H O (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. ilctions and Progress dzrring the F i ~ y tYear qf Unitefur Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical Annexes). See Table 1. Preventing mother-tochild transmission of NIV (pp. 29-31) and Table 2. Providing paediatric treatrnent (pp. 32-34). URL: www.unicef.orgluniteforchildren.
positive women, but the size of the reductions varies from country to country depending on the level of coverage that treatment reaches in each country.6 The survivorship of infected children4 takes account of varying access to paediatric treatment.6 In the 2006 Revision, HIV-infected children are divided into two groups: (i) for those infected in-utero, among whom the disease progresses rapidly, average survival is modelled to be 1.3 years, and (ii) for those infected after birth through breastfeeding, among whom the disease progresses slowly, average survival is 14 years without treatn~ent.~ Explicit inclusion of paediatric treatment is done via country-specific coverage rates which average 9 per cent in 2005 but vary between 0 and 99 per cent among the 62 affected countries. By 2015, the projected coverage is expected to reach 60 per cent on average varying fkom 40 per cent to 100 per cent among the affected countrie~.~ Coverage levels remain constant Gom 2015 to 2050 at the level reached in each country by 2015. The annual survival of children receiving treatment is 95 per cent, so that their mean survival time is 19.5 years and the median survival time is 13.5 years in the absence of other causes of death.6 The 2006 Revision incorporates a longer survival for persons receiving treatment with highly active antiretroviral therapy (ART). The proportion of the HIV-positive population receiving treatment in each country is consistent with estimates prepared by the World Health organization,* which average 25 per cent in 2005 but varied between 0 and 100 per cent among the 62 affected countries. Coverage is projected to reach between 40 per cent and 100 per cent by 2015, averaging 60 per cent for the affected countries. Between 2015 and 2050, coverage levels remain constant at the level reached in each country by 2015. It is assumed that adults receiving treatment have, on average, a 90 per cent chance of swiving each year in the absence of other causes of death. Under this assumption, mean survival time after the initiation of therapy is 9.5 years and the median survival time is 6.6 years, in the absence of other causes of death. Therapy is assumed to start at the time full-blown AIDS develops. Without treatment, infected adults have a mean survival time of two years after the onset of full-blown AIDS.^
3. Constant-mortality assumption Under this assumption, mortality is maintained constant in each country at the level estimated for 2000-2005. C. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION ASSUMPTIONS l . Normal migration assumption
Under the normal migration assumption, the h r e path of international migration is set on the basis of past international migration estimates and consideration of the policy stance of each country with regard to hture international migration flows. Projected levels of net migration are generally kept constant over most of the projection period.
Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. SexuaZZy Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstra~t~82/s~pp1~3/iii45. 7 Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Gamett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin~volumes/84/2/145.pdf. World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. See Annex 1 . Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middleincome countries (pp. 71 -76). URL: http://www.who.int/hiv/fulIreport_en-high
2, Zero- migration assumption Under this assumption, for each country, international migration is set to zero starting in 2005-20 10.
D. EIGHT PROJECTION VARIANTS The 2006 Revision includes eight different projection variants (table 5). Five of those variants differ among themselves only with respect to the level of fertility in each, that is, they share the assumptions made with respect to mortality and international migration. The five fertility variants are: low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement fertility. A comparison of their results allows an assessment of the effects that different fertility paths have on other demographic parameters.
In addition to the five fertility variants, a constant-mortality variant, a zero-migration variant and a constant variant have been prepared. The constant-mortality variant and the zeromigration variant both have the same fertility assumption (i.e., medium fertility). Furthermore, the constant-mortality variant has the same international migration assumption as the medium variant. Consequently, the results of the constant-mortality variant can be compared with those of the medium variant to assess the effect that changing mortality has on other demographic parameters. Similarly, the zero-migration variant differs from the medium variant only with respect to the underlying assumption regarding international migration. Therefore, the zeromigration variant allows an assessment of the effect that non-zero net migration has on other demographic parameters. Lastly, the constant variant has the same international migration as the medium variant but differs from the latter by having constant fertility and mortality. When compared to the medium variant, therefore, its results shed light on the effects that changing fertility and mortality have on the results obtained.
TABLE5 . PROJECTION VARIANTS IN TERMS OF ASSUMPTIONS FOR
FERTILITY, MORTALITY
AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
Assumptions Fertility
12.lnrtaIity
International migrntion
Low Medium High Constant Instant-replacement Medium
Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal Constant
Normal Normal Normal Normal Normai Normal
Constant
Constant
Constant
Normal
Zero-migration
Medium
Normal
Zero
Projection variant
Low Medium I-Iigh Constant-fertility Instant-replacement fertility Constant-mortality
xxxii
CHANGES INTRODUCED IN THE 2006 REVISION E. METHODOLOGICAL
The following changes and adjustments were made in the 2006 Revision in relation to procedures followed in the 2004 Revision. In the medium variant, the fertility of countries with a total fertility below 1.85 children per woman in 2000-2005 is projected first by continuing recent trends and then by increasing fertility linearly by 0.05 children per woman per quinquemiurn instead of an increase of 0.07 children as in the 2004 Revision. These countries do not necessarily reach a level of 1.85 children per woman by 2045-2050. The models of the incidence of HIV infection by age have been modified. In the new models, mean age at infection is generally higher than in the models used in previous revisions, particularly for males. A delay in contracting the disease reduces the impact of AIDS-related mortality on life expectancy. The survival of HIV-positive children increased with respect to previously used models not only for those receiving treatment but also for those living without treatment. For HIV-positive adults receiving ART, survival after becoming infected has also increased in relation to previously used models. The effects of receiving ART have been modelled explicitly among both children and adults. In addition, the effects of mother-to-child transmission are projected to decline as access to treatment among women expands.
This page intentionally left blank
-
o\)-)
&'
"&f2J/J2/&/'
cJjv\
U\c
,+S
7 fb $5
" ~
~0 ~I 4 1 ( \ )"
:Gu\ G .(Qj
9'
,U l I
c ~ WA&I e j ~
"'Y
''W\,JJ\"
U\b
7 ?G
a
.(Q3
J +
"
~
:&LW\
c i d I
?L\
3LG+~l0'( f ) U\)+> "&\j
7 rb@ :gu\
&&$I"
,*
.(Q,
'O&l
(r)
-;'"I 'id\
.7
p''aL+I c d U 1i ,
y
+j.
& J+, J U Y I
'CL;Jjl i b
. ( \ Y \ Y ~ ~ ! " Y \ t v :,.,LJ&%) &/!/I id
l c r h ~'AJ9% ~l
r\
\V
dj3+
Ms. Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population Division, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Fax: 1 212 963 2147)
\
\ Y\A
\ to\
\ Yto
\ *'L0
\ YYl"
\ *fA
A\ t
,li
$91
&U\
IT4
4 To1
V 'It1
'L VYV
0
ttA
l" * Y A
\ VYY
+l
Ll&ll
&U1
1Y7
VVV
'I'Lt
07
Vl" \
TV1
0th
qT4
91 i
V7 4
7t!
OVY
TYo
\TA
t'I*
o\V
tto
l"AY
l"I-4
Y tl"
\ VY
1
4,Jjt 4
1
a-, -DUI
A&, Q 1l & ,
~ U \
- - -
-
P
t,t
T\,A
oA,T
\?,A
\,T
I .,T
?\,t
TA,T
9,t
T T ,
oT,T
\o,Y
T,V
Y *,\
?T,9
\V,-
,
,
09,T
Y *,?
*,A
A,\
?\,.
T * ,9
,
\ *,T
7
YA,Y
.,t
0,)
oT,t
t\,o
t,T
TT,4
oA,V
\A,t
*,9
A,?
lT,T
Tq,\
\ \
I *,t
?\,V
TA,.
.,t
o,Y
oT,t
L\,t
,
t,o
YT,V
oA,T
\A,
\ ? a
9,?
Tt,o
o.,9
\t,?
T,o
V
TA,.
Ta,?
9,T
?T,o
\ 0,9
4,-
o,Y
Y t,T
oV,A
\A,*
\
?\,T
Y 9,A
V,A
TV,f
oo,?
\V,\
T,o
V
?t,V
T.,o
1,A
Yt,A
0?,9
\A,t
Y
\t,\
l\,*
Yt,4
$L.JI
6J+~
.kY
di ~ I Q I
+ I-
v>&>l>+
J
l.rj L&
~ r& i i$~ 4 1Jlji
'+l;ll31&!1
31uI
' I ~ , I ,~
~ ~ ; id ~ Li : i , f a
W,
~ j b -
dQ
;S >-LC
di
p*
241p 2.1 VJ, Y +II ~ I A J Id l L
3 ~ / t3 \u 'y
o
r L b l j C J l + $ J ~ LJ-J
-A
. ,7 . .
4 1QYAW >rj, o ;D! L d, .I> $91 l
-
&I(&~J*J
.$L1 & Jbi2% Ju & . l,
& +A ,
&>l
"-'la$. , '
&+l
3 o b L k Y l OF
b% .!
L$L+-,
- \t
$3 &b Y , 0 0 ++I >IZ:~ J W I &, . 3 u 1 ;!?I J-52 jlibi o p, ) qqo JJ!j qo 2 i$I 4 /W1 b y z g i l l &+l j& 7 , . 'i J! $1 +31 ~ W ++I f9 'b-$1 , + A I 3, .(r J,&I) oL&I 3 & b Y I i4-G srbLfl ;F &JWl o&+I Lp p-,. i b l J A J j-.b \ , 7 UL- &+l $ ~ $ 5 -+-JI s . * ~ ; L I ~ I A JYpi I .->l iJG)'l
JS
Lii,~
JU
a
. Y $ O -
J!
'(*to
;$I
3 "i,$j&
\ , V ? JJ!r& r l r j i 3 / e f i j
i//l
;&I
V0,t
IV'Y
AY,t
VI,O
Vt'r
IOLf
IV'Y
O t ' l
V7,t
lV,9
IT'!
OY,A
VV't
79'.
A)'.
~ t , ?
V9'I
VY'Y
AY,r
VA,o
A!<*
Vo,Y
k;bgb
h > w Y I dJ)$.dl
P'
1 9 $91 &U\ &l
2&ll
\p $9' -,.A Ll&i!
‘&+v'
&U\
"Aq1 3141
&>i &S L ~ J J ~
@,s31 , .$1;kl ; . ; '4Jk.J
&juj{ iJ1>y
3Ul
"1-1
IfPJILj. \ "+I
b i d ! ,.+Q1
+I
CWKJI i.'L&.dI f- \
& I j - & pi^
& L i d \ ) ' ' ~ & JiI d 1
c~--'uIAI'"Y.
+-+I"
&lJ+)
.r
3U
I
o
I
i.'lbLLlj
G
\
~
cLG ~
+PJ
& J+
(7)
+p d3yJ.I
+-:QU\kjU~OL;~);~I" ip ( i
S
( World Population Prospects: The 2004Revision, Vol. 111, Analylical Report)
.(E.05.XIIL7
@j
~
~
~
UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections (2002). Improved methods and (V) assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W1-W14. URL: .http://www.epidem.org
UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and AIDS
-A
Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress ( A )
during the First Yeav of Unitefor Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical Annexes). See Table 1. Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV @p. 29-31) and Table 2. Providing paediatric treatment
.@p. 32-34). URL: www.unicef.orgluniteforchildren Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact (9) of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http:Nsti.bmj.comlcgi~contentlabstract~82/suppl~3/iii~~ Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L.Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, GP. Garnett, K. Little, J.G Calleja, ( \ S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviml therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145-150. URL:http://www.who.int/bdIetin/volumes/84/2/ 145.pdf.
)
World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIV Antiretmviral (! ) Therapy. A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. See Annex 1 . Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy
sites
in
low-
and
middle-income countries
(pp.
71-76).
URL:
.http://www.who.intfhiv/fuIIreport_en-hi&es.$f
lix
This page intentionally left blank
~%&%tkG&?#i%, WU$f AU 4HtJU www. unpopulation. org, Ja Pfrll%% (2006 qiTiE$) ,%?@B ~ % K % & .$H%h@Jl&l%-i,#~~W iT~@~~ARSJRJ&!ik!@i&o
i%%TM%k 42006 %iTE$) Zlotnik &kg%,%%7?%%: Ms.
Mii!k--$@td, ia"%ihR 5lSJEHania Hania Zlotnik, Director, Population 1 212 963 2147). Division, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA ({?$B:
xm~xftl~zi~tt M ~ ~ $ I I B W / J \ ~ A(2002 m
~~ttx~~f/ft~%ag~mmag
P&@E%: R%%fI%~J3I&it, BB+Uffi@rJBE/J\kILW@So ~ft%%)), % 16 B, % W-W4 R , URL: http://www. epidem. org.
X%%$!i!%a#.)LgB&&. 3!%%ltR(2007 (oL&%x%%-&i@%Elo ''H%%)L B, R&EXP" %-$RI'KlEI5'ti33USE (g%i'r&+M+.lW% +>.1. Wjk@@##ft'%%3 %(%l 29-31 z>@;ab 2 %g)L$$i$%(B32-34 3).URL: www. unicef.org/uniteforchildren. Stover, J. , N. Walker, N. C. Crassly,$U M. Marston (2006 q ) . " ~ # ! i ~ ~ % ~ t l h l l % % l 3: %GP, B 45-50 R, URL: http://sti. bmj. com/cgi/content/abstract/82/supp1~3/iii450
$UtZi+%&h&:~EiB@lH@$b"o ( 1 E 1 ~ ~ 3 % 1% , 82 B , $bQ 10
l'
Boerma,J. T.,K. A. Stanecki,M. L.Newell,C.Luo,M. Beusenberg,G. P.Carnett,K. Little,J.G. Calleja,S. Crowley,J.Y. Kim,E. Zaniewski,N. Walker,J. Stover,$U P.D. Ghys (2006 $). "%@fl%.%%~%@%%7?%@J@fin: $@&%~7?%". ~~WI?%@.%X&%1, % 84 S,No. 2, 145-150 xi;,URL: http ://www. who. int/bul letin/volumes/84/2/145. pdf.
(2006 F) " * % ~ % ~ % % @ % % % s % @ @ ~ & & % ~ ~ %T=5it2~2gG6t8B@J~B''0 EM44+ %3E%Es%%e%A&. %@E$%$% %%&AB, a!E&AB+%&AB%%.%@3%S%&B%E3 tk@% €l(%l 71-76 3)
~%I!!&%%%@%%%$!l!&@#
l0
URL: http://W.
who. int/hiv/fullreport-en-highres. pdf.
This page intentionally left blank
Préface On trouvera dans le présent rapport le résumé des résultats de la Révision de 2006 des estimations et projections démographiques mondiales officielles établies par la Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. La Révision de 2006 est la vingtième série d’estimations et de projections démographiques mondiales entreprises par la Division de la population depuis 1950. L‘intégralité des résultats de la Révision de 2006 sera présentée dans une série de trois volumes actuellement en préparation. Le premier volume’ présente des tableaux complets donnant les principaux indicateurs démographiques pour la période 1950-2050 pour chaque pays; le deuxième volume2 donne la pyramide des âges et la répartition par sexe de la population de chaque pays pour la période de 1950-2050 et le troisiéme volume3 contiendra une analyse des résultats obtenus. Les données sont également disponibles sous forme numérique et peuvent être consultées au site Web de la Division de la population, à l’adresse suivante : www.unpopulation.org. Les utilisateurs ayant besoin des résultats complets de la Révision de 2006 peuvent se les procurer en achetant le CD-ROM. Une description des données contenues dans les différents CD-ROM disponibles et un bon de commande se trouvent également au site Web de la Division de la population.
La Division de la population est seule responsable de la Révision de 2006. L’établissement de celle-ci a été facilité par la collaboration, avec la Division de la population, des commissions régionales, en particulier la Commission économique pour l’Amérique latine et les Caraïbes, et d’ONUSIDA, des institutions spécialisées et d’autres organes des Nations Unies compétents. L‘Annuaire démographique des Nations Unies, avec les bases de données qui l’accompagnent, est une source majeure de statistiques démographiques nationales officielles utilisées pour établir ces estimations et projections; l’Annuaire est produit et tenu a jour par la Division de statistique du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. La Division de la population est reconnaissante à la Division de statistique de sa constante coopération. Pour tout complément d’informations au sujet de la Révision de 2006, veuillez vous adresser à MmeHania Zlotnik, Directrice de la Division de la population, Secrétariat de l’ONU, New York, NY 10017, États-Unis (Fax : 1 212 963 2147).
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publication des Nations Unies à paraître). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the Worid Population (publication des Nations Unies à paraître). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (publication des Nations Unies à paraître).
lxxix
Résumé La Révision de 2006 constitue la vingtième série d’estimations et de projections démographiques officielles des Nations Unies; elle a été établie par la Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies. Ces estimations et projections sont utilisées dans l’ensemble du système des Nations Unies comme base des activités nécessitant des informations démographiques. La Révision de 2006 s’appuie sur celle de 2004 et intègre à la fois les résultats du cycle de recensements de population de 2000 et d’enquêtes spécialisées récemment réalisées dans le monde. Ces sources ofient aussi une information démographique et autre permettant d’évaluer les progrès accomplis vers les objectifs de développement convenus sur le plan international et en particulier les objectifs du Millénaire pour le développement (OMD). L’examen complet des tendances démographiques mondiales passées et des perspectives d’avenir présenté dans la Révision de 2006 offre une bonne base démographique pour apprécier les progrès accomplis vers ces objectifs. Selon la Révision de 2006, la population mondiale augmentera probablement de 2,5 milliards au cours des 43 prochaines années, passant du chiffre actuel de 6,7 milliards à 9,2 milliards en 2050. Cette augmentation équivaut à ce qu’était la population mondiale en 1950 et elle sera principalement le fait des régions moins développées, dont la population passerait de 5,4 milliards en 2007 à 7,9 milliards en 2050. Par contraste, la population des régions développées devrait rester pratiquement inchangée à 1,2 milliard, et elle baisserait d’ailleurs sans l’apport du solde migratoire projeté des pays en développement vers les pays développés, qui devrait en moyenne représenter 2,3 millions de personnes par an après 2010. Sous l’effet d’une baisse de la fécondité et d’une augmentation de la longévité, la population d’un nombre grandissant de pays vieillit rapidement. Entre 2005 et 2050, la moitié de l’augmentation de la population mondiale sera due à l’augmentation de la population âgée de 60 ans ou plus, alors que le nombre d’enfants (personnes de moins de 15 ans) diminuera légèrement. En outre, dans les régions développées, la population âgée de 60 ans ou plus devrait pratiquement doubler (passant de 245 millions en 2005 à 406 millions en 2050) tandis que celle des personnes ayant moins de 60 ans baisserait vraisemblablement (de 971 millions en 2005 à 839 millions en 2050). La Révision de 2006 confirme la diversité de la dynamique démographique dans les différentes régions du monde. Alors que la population au niveau mondial dépassera sans doute 9 milliards en 2050, et après cette date continuera à augmenter, celle des régions développées ne changera pratiquement pas et vieillira nettement. Comme on l’a déjà noté, presque tout l’accroissement de la population a lieu dans les régions moins développées et en particulier dans le groupe des 50 pays les moins avancés (PMA), dont beaucoup ont encore une population relativement jeune qui ne devrait donc vieillir que modérément au cours de l’avenir prévisible. Dans le reste des pays en développement, il faut s’attendre à un vieillissement rapide de la population.
Cette image contrastée de l’accroissement de la population et de l’évolution des pyramides des âges s’explique par des tendances divergentes de la fécondité comme de la mortalité. Un niveau de fécondité inférieur au seuil de remplacement est constaté dans les régions développées et cette situation devrait se poursuivre jusqu’en 2050. Par contraste, la fécondité est encore élevée dans la plupart des pays
lxxx
les moins avancés et, si elle est appelée à baisser, elle restera élevée, plus que dans le reste du monde. Dans le reste des pays en développement, la fécondité a notablement baissé depuis la fin des années 60 et devrait, dans la majorité d’entre eux, tomber en dessous du seuil de remplacement d’ici à 2050. La mortalité dans les pays développés à économie de marché est faible et continue à baisser, mais elle est stationnaire ou même en augmentation dans plusieurs pays en transition, ce qui s’explique par la dégradation de la situation sociale et économique et, dans certains cas, par la propagation du sida. La mortalité diminue aussi dans la majorité des pays en développement, mais elle augmente dans ceux qui sont durement frappés par l’épidémie de sida. L’épidémie de VIWsida continue à s’étendre. Le nombre de pays comptant un effectif important de personnes contaminées est de 62 dans la Révision de 2006, alors qu’il était de 60 dans celle de 2004, et de 53 dans celle de 2002. Bien que les taux de prévalence du VIH dans certains pays aient été révisés à la baisse depuis 2004 sur la base des nouvelles statistiques disponibles au niveau national, le tribut payé à la maladie demeure très lourd et le restera probablement malgré la baisse projetée des taux de prévalence du VIH/sida. La baisse attendue des taux de prévalence du VIH dépend de l’exécution par les gouvernements des engagements qu’ils ont pris dans la Déclaration du Millénaire (2000)4 et dans la Déclaration d’engagement des Nations Unies (2001) sur le VIHIsidaS. En particulier, les projections démographiques dépendent d’une augmentation massive de la proportion de patients qui regoivent un traitement antirétroviral et du succès des efforts faits pour enrayer la propagation du VIH.Dans la Révision de 2006, les 62 pays considérés comme fortement touchés par l’épidémie de sida comprennent 40 pays africains. Si l’on cherche à projeter l’effet de la maladie, on suppose que 31 des pays les plus touchés parviendront à offrir un traitement antirétroviral d’ici à 2015 à 70 % ou plus de leurs malades du sida. Dans le reste des pays fortement touchés, le niveau de traitement serait plus faible, entre 40 % et 50 % d’ici à 2015. On fait en outre l’hypothèse que les personnes qui reçoivent un traitement antirétroviral survivent en moyenne 17,5 années au lieu de 10 ans en l’absence de traitement. En raison surtout des hypothèses de travail retenues et du fait de la révision à la baisse du taux de prévalence du sida dans les pays pour lesquels on dispose sur l’épidémie de données représentatives à l’échelon national, on projette qu’entre 2005 et 2020 dans les 62 pays les plus touchés par l’épidémie selon la Révision de 2006, le nombre de décès serait inférieur de 32 millions à ce qu’il aurait été si les taux de mortalité par le sida étaient les mêmes que dans la Révision de 2004. Ces changements amènent, dans la Révision de 2006, à relever les projections de population en 2050 (9,2 milliards au lieu de 9,l milliards) dans la Révision de 2004. La réalisation dans les faits des projections de la variante moyenne contenues dans la Révision de 2006 dépend aussi de la poursuite de la baisse de la fécondité dans les pays en développement. Selon la Révision de 2006, la fécondité, dans les pays en développement, pris ensemble, devrait baisser, passant de 2,75 enfants par femme en 2005-2010 à 2,05 en 2045-2050. La réduction attendue dans le groupe des 50 pays les moins avancés (PMA) est plus marquée encore : la fécondité passerait de 4,63 enfants par femme à 2,50. Mais pour que de telles diminutions de la Voir résolution 5512 de l’Assemblée générale. Voir résolution S-26/2 de l’Assemblée générale.
lxxxi
fécondité se réalisent, il est essentiel que, dans les pays les plus pauvres, l’accès aux soins de planification familiale s’élargisse. L’urgence de cette réduction de la fécondité est bien mise en évidence par le fait que si la fécondité demeure constante au niveau estimé en 2000-2005, la population des pays en développement augmenterait de 10,6 milliards, au lieu de 7,9 milliards dans l’hypothèse d’une poursuite de la baisse de la fécondité. En d’autres termes, en l’absence de nouvelles baisses de la fécondité, la population mondiale pourrait augmenter de l’équivalent de deux fois la population mondiale en 1950. On trouvera ici un résumé des autres principales constatations de l’examen complet des tendances démographiques mondiales passées et des projections démographiques présentées dans la Révision de 2006. 1. En juillet 2007, le monde compte 6,7 milliards d’habitants, 547 millions de plus qu’en 2000, ce qui représente un accroissement annuel de 78 millions. Si l’on suppose que la fécondité continue à baisser, la population mondiale devrait atteindre 9,2 milliards en 2050 et augmenter d’environ 30 millions par an à cette date selon la variante moyenne (tableau 1).
Tableau 1 La population mondiale, dans différents scénarios, par grande région, 1950,1975,2007 et 2050 Population en 2050 (millions)
Population (millions) Grande région
Ensemble du monde Régions développées Régions moins développées Pays les moins avancés Autres pays moins développés Afrique
1950
I975
2007
Variante basse
Variante moyenne
Variante haute
Variante constante
2 535
4 076
6 671
7 792
9 191
10 756
11 858
814
1 048
1223
1065
1245
1451
1218
1 722
3 028
5 448
6 727
7 946
9 306
10 639
1742
2 002
2 794
200
358
804
1 496
1521
2 670
4 644
5 231
6 204
7 304
7 845
224
416
965
1718
1998
2 302
3 251
Amérique du Nord
172
243
339
382
445
517
460
Amérique latine et Caraïbes
168
325
572
64 1
769
914
939
1411
2 394
4 030
4 444
5 266
6 189
6 525
Europe
548
676
73 1
566
664
777
626
Océanie
13
21
34
42
49
56
57
Asie
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights. New York : Nations Unies.
L’accroissement futur de la population dépend fortement de l’évolution future de la fécondité (fig. 1). Dans la variante moyenne, la fécondité mondiale baisse, passant de 2,55 enfants par femme à ce jour à un peu plus de 2 enfants par femme en 2050. Si la fécondité demeurait à un niveau supérieur d’environ 0,5 enfant par femme aux niveaux prévus dans la variante moyenne, le monde compterait 10,8 milliards d’habitants en 2050. Une évolution de la fécondité se traduisant par un niveau inférieur de 0,5 enfant par femme au niveau de la variante moyenne se traduirait par une population mondiale de 7,s milliards au milieu du siècle. Cela 2.
lxxxii
veut dire qu’au niveau mondial, la poursuite de la croissance démographique est inévitable jusqu’en 2050, même si la baisse de la fécondité s’accélère.
3. En raison de son taux d’accroissement relativement faible et en baisse, la population de l’ensemble des pays développés devrait rester pratiquement inchangée entre 2007 et 2050, avec environ 1’2 milliard d’habitants selon la variante moyenne. En revanche, la population des 50 pays les moins avancés devrait plus que doubler, passant de 0,8 milliard en 2007 à 1,7 milliard en 2050. Les prévisions font également apparaître une croissance vigoureuse de la population des autres pays en développement, qui devrait passer de 4,6 milliards à 6,2 milliards entre 2007 et 2050 dans la variante moyenne.
4.
Le ralentissement de l’accroissement entraîné par la baisse de la fécondité entraîne un vieillissement de la population, ce qui donne des populations où la proportion de personnes âgées augmente, tandis que la proportion de jeunes diminue. Dans les pays développés, 20 % de la population a déjà 60 ans ou plus et cette proportion devrait atteindre 33 % en 2050 (voir tableau 2). Dans les pays développés pris ensemble, le nombre des personnes âgées (de 60 ans ou plus) dépasse déja le nombre d’enfants (personnes de moins de 15 ans) et en 2050, le nombre de personnes âgées devrait être plus du double du nombre d’enfants dans les pays développés. Figure 1 Population mondiale dans différents scénarios, 1950-2050
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
Année
-
Variante -P- Variante-
moyenne
basse
Variante. 4.. haute
Variante constante
Source :Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights.
New York : Nations Unies.
lxxxiii
2050
5. Le vieillissement de la population est moins avancé dans les pays en développement. Néanmoins, une majorité d’entre eux est sur le point d’entrer dans une période de vieillissement rapide. Dans les pays en développement pris ensemble, 8 % seulement de la population ont à ce jour 60 ans ou plus et, en 2050, 20 % de leur population serait dans cette tranche d’âge (tableau 2).
6. À l’échelle mondiale, le nombre de personnes âgées de 60 ans ou plus devrait pratiquement tripler, passant de 673 millions en 2005 à 2 milliards en 2050. Sur la même période, la proportion de personnes âgées vivant dans les pays en développement devrait augmenter, passant de 64 % à près de 80 % en 2050.
7. L‘une des caractéristiques d’une population vieillissante est que la proportion de personnes âgées d’un âge donné augmente plus vite à mesure que cet âge luimême s’élève. Ainsi, on s’attend à ce que le nombre de personnes âgées de 60 ans ou plus soit multiplié par trois, mais le nombre de personnes âgées de 80 ans ou plus (les plus âgées des personnes âgées) serait multiplié par près de cinq, passant de 88 millions en 2005 à 402 millions en 2050. À ce jour, la moitié de ces personnes très âgées vivent dans les pays en développement, mais cette proportion devrait passer à 71 % en 2050. Tableau 2 Répartition de la population, en pourcentage, par grand groupe d’âge, dans le monde, dans certains groupes de pays, et par grande région, en 2005 et 2050, variante moyenne, 2005-2050 Répartition en pourcentage en 2005 Rigion ou groupe de pays
+de60
t de80
Répartition en pourcentage en 2050 t de60
+de80
58,3
21,8
4,4
52,2
32,6
9,4
0-14
15-59
61,4
19,8
62,9
15,2
0-14
15-59
Ensemble du monde
28,3
Régions développées
17,O
Régions moins développées
30,9
61,O
20,6
59,3
20,l
34
Pays les moins avancés
41,5
53,4
28,2
61,5
Autres pays en développement
29,l
62,3
18,4
58,7
10,3 22,9
171 4,3
Afrique
41,4
53,4
28,O
61,7
10,4
191
Amérique latine et Caraïbes
29,8
61,2
18,O
57,8
24,3
52
27,3
738
Amérique du Nord
20,5
62,7
17,l
55,6
Asie
28,O
62,7
18,O
58,3
23,7
4-5
Europe
15,9
63,5
14,6
50,9
34,5
9,6
Océanie
24,9
61,O
18,4
56,9
24,8
63
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York :
Nations Unies.
8. Alors que, dans un avenir prévisible, la population de tous les pays devrait vieillir, la population des pays où la fécondité demeure élevée restera relativement jeune et augmentera rapidement. Des taux élevés d’accroissement de la population sont relevés dans un certain nombre de pays en développement, qui, en majorité, figurent parmi les PMA. Ainsi, entre 2005 et 2050, la population de I’Afghanistan,
lxxxiv
du Burundi, de la Guinée-Bissau, du Libéria, du Niger, de l’Ouganda, de la République démocratique du Congo et du Timor-Leste devrait au moins tripler. 9. Par un contraste très accusé, la population de 46 pays ou territoires, parmi lesquels figurent l’Allemagne, l’Italie, le Japon, la République de Corée et la plupart des États successeurs de l’ex-Union soviétique ainsi que plusieurs petits États insulaires, devrait être moins élevée en 2050 qu’en 2005. 10. L‘accroissement de la population demeure concentré dans les pays les plus peuplés. Entre 2005 et 2050, l’accroissement de la population dans huit pays seulement devrait représenter plus de la moitié de l’augmentation projetée de la population mondiale; ces huit pays, classés par ordre décroissant de leur contribution à l’accroissement de la population mondiale, sont les suivants : Inde, Nigéria, Pakistan, République démocratique du Congo, Éthiopie, États-Unis d’Amérique, Bangladesh et Chine. 11. L‘âge médian, c’est-à-dire l’âge qui divise la population en deux parties égales, l’une plus âgée, l’autre moins âgée, est un bon indicateur du vieillissement. Au niveau de l’ensemble du monde, l’âge médian devrait passer de 28 ans à 38 ans entre 2005 et 2050. C’est l’Europe qui a actuellement la population la plus vieille : l’âge médian y est proche de 39 ans; cet âge médian atteindrait 47 ans en 2050. 12. L‘âge médian est plus élevé dans les pays où, de longue date, la fécondité est faible. En 2005, l’âge médian, dans 13 pays développés ou zones développées, dépassait 40 ans. Le vieillissement général de la population se reflète dans le fait que la population de 93 pays, dont 48 pays en développement, selon les projections, devrait avoir un âge médian supérieur à 40 ans en 2050 (voir carte I). Carte 1 L’âge médian en 2005, variante moyenne
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de
l’Organisation des Nations Unies (2007), Nations Unies.
((
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision », New York :
Note : Les frontières indiquées sur la présente carte n’impliquent aucune prise de position officielle de la part des Nations Unies.
Carte 2 L’âge médian en 2050, variante moyenne
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007), << World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision », New York : Nations Unies. Note : Les frontières indiquées sur la présente carte n’impliquent aucune prise de position officielle de la part des Nations Unies.
13. Les pays où la fécondité demeure élevée et ne baisse que lentement sont ceux où la population vieillira le plus lentement. En 2050, la population d’un pays sur cinq environ devrait avoir un âge médian inférieur à 30 ans. C’est dans les pays les moins avancés que la population restera la plus jeune, puisque dans huit de ces pays l’âge médian sera inférieur à 24 ans en 2050 : Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, Guinée-Bissau, Libéria, Niger, Ouganda et République démocratique du Congo (carte 2). 14. Comme on l’a vu plus haut, la diminution de la fécondité est la principale cause du vieillissement de la population. Au niveau mondial, la fécondité est estimée A 2,55 enfants par femme, la moitié à peu près de ce qu’elle était en 19501955, soit 5,O enfants par femme (tableau 3). Dans la variante moyenne, la fécondité mondiale devrait baisser encore, pour ne pas dépasser 2,02 enfants par femme. Les niveaux moyens, à l’échelle mondiale, résultent de tendances tout à fait divergentes entre les principaux groupes de pays classés en fonction de leur développement. Dans les pays développés pris ensemble, la fécondité est actuellement de 1,60 enfant par femme et augmenterait lentement, pour atteindre 1,79 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Dans les pays les moins avancés, la fécondité est actuellement de 4,63 enfants par femme et devrait diminuer de moitié environ, pour ne pas dépasser 2,50 enfants par femme en 2045-2050. Dans le reste des pays en développement, la fécondité est déjà relativement faible, à 2,45 enfants par femme et devrait baisser encore, pour ne pas dépasser 1,91 enfant par femme au milieu du siècle, ce qui représenterait une convergence avec les taux de fécondité que l’on rencontrera alors typiquement dans les pays développés.
ixxxvi
Tableau 3 Indice synthétique de fécondité dans les différents scénarios par grande région, 1970-1975,2005-2010 et 2045-2050 Indice synthétique de fécondité (nombre d’enfants p a r femme) 2045-2050
Grande région
1970-1975 2005-2010
Variante basse
Variante moyenne
Variante haute
Varianie constante
Ensemble du monde
4,47
2,55
1,54
2,02
2,51
3,49
Régions développées
2,13
1,60
1.29
1,79
2,28
1,68
Régions moins développées
5,41
2,75
1,57
2,05
2,54
3,69
Pays les moins avancés
6,61
4,63
2,02
2,50
2,99
5,49
Autres pays moins développés
5,25
2,45
1,42
1,91
2,41
3,07
Afrique
6,72
4,67
1,97
2,46
2,95
5,47
Asie
5,04
2,34
1,40
1,90
2,39
2,94
Europe
2,16
1,45
1,26
1,76
2,26
t,47
Amérique latine et Caraïbes
5,04
2,37
1,36
1,86
2,36
2,67
Amérique du Nord
2,Ol
2,OO
1,35
1,85
2,35
1,99
Océanie
3,23
2,30
1,43
1,93
2,43
2,83
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’ONU (2005), World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Highlights, New York : Nations Unies.
Note : Seuls les pays et territoires de plus de 100 O00 habitants sont inclus.
15. En 2005-2010, la fécondité est élevée, avec plus de 5,O enfants par femme dans 27 des 150 pays en développement, et ces 27 pays représentent 9 % de la population mondiale. La plupart des pays où la fécondité est très élevée sont pauvres et appartiennent au groupe des pays les moins avancés. Par contraste, la fécondité a atteint le seuil de simple remplacement dans 28 pays en développement, qui représentent 25 % de la population mondiale. Dans ce groupe figure la Chine, où la fécondité moyenne entre 2005 et 2010 est estimée à 1,73 enfant par femme.
16. La fécondité est également en dessous du seuil de remplacement dans les 45 pays ou territoires développés, qui comptent 19 % de la population mondiale. Dans 27 de ces pays, dont le Japon et la plupart des pays d’Europe du Sud et de l’Est, la fécondité demeure inférieure à 1,5 enfant par femme, Depuis 1990-1995, la baisse de la fécondité est de règle dans la grande majorité des pays développés et ce phénomène conduit à un vieillissement rapide de la population. 17. La réduction de la mortalité, chez les adultes, est un autre facteur qui contribue au vieillissement de la population. Au niveau mondial, l’espérance de vie à la naissance, qui selon les estimations est passée de 58 ans en 1970-1975 à 67 ans en 2005-2010, devrait continuer à augmenter pour atteindre 75 ans en 2045-2050 (voir tableau4). Dans les pays développés, l’espérance de vie passerait de 77 ans à l’heure actuelle à 82 ans au milieu du siècle tandis que dans les pays en développement, l’espérance de vie passerait de 65 ans en 2005-2010 à 74 ans en 2045-2050.
lxxxvii
Tableau 4 Espérance de vie à la naissance dans le monde, par grande région et groupe de pays, 2005-2010 et 2045-2050 2005-2010
2045-2050
Ensemble du monde
67,2
754
Régions développées
76,5
82,4
Régions moins développées
65,4
743
Pays les moins avancés
54,6
67,2
Autres pays moins développés
Grande région
67,9
76,4
Afrique
52,8
66,l
Asie
69,O
77,4
Europe
74,6
81,O
Amérique latine et Caraïbes
73,3
79,6
Amérique du Nord
78,5
83,3
Océanie
75,2
81,O
Source : Division de la population du Département des affaires économiques et sociales du Secrétariat de l’organisation des Nations Unies (2007), World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, New York : Nations Unies.
18. L‘espérance de vie demeure faible dans les pays les moins avancés, où elle ne dépasse pas 55 ans, et, s’il est prévu qu’elle atteigne 67 ans en 2045-2050, ce résultat dépendra de la réduction de la propagation du VIH et de succès dans la lutte contre d’autres maladies infectieuses. Des problèmes du même ordre doivent être résolus pour que l’espérance de vie projetée dans le reste des pays en développement, inférieure à 68 ans aujourd’hui, atteigne 76 ans au milieu du siècle.
19. Parmi les régions développées, l’Europe de l’Est est celle où l’espérance de vie à la naissance est la plus faible; elle diminue depuis la fin des années 80. En 2005 et en 2010, l’espérance de vie dans la région, de 68,6 ans, est inférieure à ce qu’elle était en 1960-1965 (69,3 ans). La Fédération de Russie et l’Ukraine connaissent une augmentation grave de la mortalité, en raison en partie de la propagation du VIH. 20. En dépit des progrès obtenus dans le traitement des personnes infectées par le VIH et dans la lutte contre la propagation de l’épidémie, son impact sur la morbidité, la mortalité et le ralentissement de l’accroissement de la population continue à être manifeste dans beaucoup de pays. En Afrique australe, la région du monde où la prévalence de la maladie est la plus élevée, l’espérance de vie a diminué, passant de 62 ans en 1990-1995 à 49 ans en 2005-2010, et on ne s’attend pas à ce qu’elle retrouve le niveau qu’elle avait au début des années 90 avant 2045. En conséquence, le taux d’accroissement de la population dans la région a fortement chuté, passant de 2,5 % par an en 1990-1995 à 0,6 YOpar an en 2005-2010; cette forte baisse de l’accroissement national devrait se poursuivre dans l’avenir prévisible. 21. Avec la baisse de la fécondité, la contribution des migrations internationales à l’accroissement de la population dans les pays développés a gagné en importance. Entre 2005 et 2050, le solde migratoire net dans les pays développés atteindrait
lxxxviii
103 millions, chiffre qui compense l’excédent des décès sur les naissances (74 millions) projeté au cours de la période. 22. En 2005-2010, le solde migratoire net a plus que doublé la contribution de l’accroissement naturel (natalité moins mortalité) à l’accroissement de la population dans huit pays ou territoires: la Belgique, le Canada, l’Espagne, Hong Kong, le Luxembourg, Singapour, la Suède et la Suisse. Dans huit autres pays ou territoires, les migrations nettes ont équilibré l’excédent des décès sur les naissances. Ces huit pays et territoires sont : l’Autriche, la Bosnie-Herzégovine, la Grèce, les îles AngloNormandes, l’Italie, le Portugal, la Slovaquie et la Slovénie. 23. En moyenne annuelle, entre 2005 et 2050, le solde migratoire net serait aux États-Unis de 1,l million par an, au Canada de 200 000, en Allemagne de 150 000, en Italie de 139 000, au Royaume-Uni de 130 000, en Espagne de 123 O00 et en Australie de 100 000. En revanche, les pays où l’émigration nette serait la plus forte selon les projections sont : la Chine (-329 O00 par an), le Mexique (-306 000), l’Inde (-240 000), les Philippines (-180 000), le Pakistan (-167 000) et l’Indonésie (-164 000).
lxxxix
Les hypothèses de la Révision de 2006 Chaque nouvelle révision des estimations et projections démographiques officielles des Nations Unies comprend deux phases distinctes : a) la collecte de toutes les informations pertinentes et nouvelles concernant la dynamique passée de la démographie d’un pays ou d’une région du monde; et b) la formulation d’hypothèses de travail détaillées au sujet de l’évolution future de la fécondité, de la mortalité et des migrations internationales. Les sources utilisées et les méthodes appliquées dans la révision des estimations passées des indicateurs démographiques (qui couvrent la période 1950-2005) sont présentées dans le volume III des World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (à paraître). Les projections concemant la population future de chaque pays sont établies à partir du chiffre de la population estimée à la date du le‘ juillet 2005. Étant donné que les données relatives à la population réelle pour 2005 ne sont pas encore disponibles, l’estimation de la population repose sur les données démographiques les plus récentes disponibles pour chaque pays, tirées généralement d’un recensement ou d’un registre de la population, mis à jour jusqu’en 2005 en utilisant toutes les données disponibles concernant la fécondité, la mortalité et les migrations internationales. Lorsqu’il n’y a pas de données vraiment récentes disponibles, les données démographiques estimées sont des projections à court terme établies sur la base des données disponibles les plus récentes. Les données démographiques de toutes sources sont évaluées du point de vue de leur exhaustivité, de leur exactitude et de leur cohérence, et ajustées si nécessaire6. Pour projeter la population jusqu’en 2050, la Division de la population part de plusieurs hypothèses de travail concernant l’évolution future de la fécondité, de la mortalité et des migrations internationales. Comme ces tendances futures ne peuvent être connues avec certitude, plusieurs scénarios sont établis. Les paragraphes qui suivent résument les principales hypothèses de travail sur lesquelles repose le calcul des indicateurs démographiques pour la période commençant en 2005 et s’achevant en 2050. On trouvera une description plus détaillée de ces différentes hypothèses dans le volume III des World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (à paraître).
A. Hypothèses de fécondité :convergence vers un indice synthétique de fécondité inférieur au seuil de remplacement Les hypothèses concernant la fécondité sont décrites pour les groupes de pays suivants : Les pays à fécondité élevée : Ceux qui, jusqu’en 2005, n’ont connu aucune réduction de la fécondité ou commencent à peine à voir leur fécondité diminuer; Les pays à fécondité moyenne : Ce sont les pays où la fécondité diminue mais où elle est encore supérieure à 2’1 enfants par femme en 2000-2005; Les puys à faible fécondité : Les pays où l’indice synthétique de fécondité est situé à 2,1 enfants par femme ou en dessous en 2000-2005. Pour une description générale des procédures utilisées pour réviser les estimations de la dynamique de la population, voir World Populaiion Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (p. 180 à 182) (publication des Nations Unies, numéro de vente : F.OS.XIII.7).
XC
1.
Hypothèse de fécondité moyenne L‘indice synthétique de fécondité dans tous les pays convergerait, dans l’hypothèse retenue, vers le niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme. Cependant, tous les pays n’atteignent pas ces niveaux au cours de la période de la projection, c’est-àdire d’ici à 2045-2050. Les méthodes de projection sont légèrement différentes selon que les pays ont un indice synthétique de fécondité supérieur ou inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2000-2005. On fait l’hypothèse que la fécondité, dans les pays à fécondité élevée ou moyenne, suivra une trajectoire déduite des modèles de baisse de la fécondité établis par la Division de la population sur la base de l’évolution passée dans tous les pays où la fécondité a baissé en 1950-2000.Ces modèles relient le niveau de la fécondité pendant une période à la diminution moyenne attendue de l’indice synthétique de fécondité durant la période suivante. Si l’indice synthétique de fécondité projeté par un modèle, pour un pays donné, tombe à 1,85 enfant par femme avant 2050, cet indice est maintenu constant, à ce niveau, pendant le reste de la période de projection, c’est-à-dire jusqu’en 2050. Ainsi, le niveau de 1,85 enfant par femme représente une valeur plancher au-dessous de laquelle l’indice synthétique de fécondité des pays à fécondité élevée et moyenne ne peut descendre avant 2050. Cependant, il ne va pas de soi que tous les pays parviennent à ce seuil plancher en 2050. Si le modèle de l’évolution de la fécondité donne un indice synthétique de fécondité supérieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050,c’est cette valeur qui est utilisée pour projeter le niveau de la population. Dans tous les cas, les trajectoires suivies par la fécondité, dans la projection, et qui sont données par les modèles, sont comparées aux évolutions récentes de la fécondité dans chaque pays. Quand ces tendances récentes de la fécondité dans un pays s’écartent considérablement de ce qui est compatible avec les modèles, on fait une projection de la fécondité sur une période initiale de 5 à 10 ans, pour tenir compte des données les plus récentes. Après cette période de transition, la projection donnée par le modèle est celle qui est retenue. Par exemple, dans les pays où la fécondité est restée stationnaire ou dans ceux où il n’y a aucune indication d’une baisse de la fécondité, on suppose que la fécondité reste constante pendant plusieurs années avant de commencer à baisser. La fécondité dans les pays à faible fécondité est généralement censée rester inférieure à 2,l enfants par femme pendant l’essentiel de la période couverte par la projection, pour être de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Dans les pays où l’indice synthétique de fécondité est déjà inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 20002005, on fait l’hypothèse qu’au cours des 5 ou 10 prochaines années de la période de projection, la tendance de la fécondité suivra, dans chaque pays, la trajectoire observée récemment. Après cette période de transition, on suppose que la fécondité augmente linéairement à raison de 0,05 enfant par femme par période de cinq ans. Ainsi, les pays où la fécondité est actuellement très basse n’atteignent pas nécessairement un indice synthétique de fécondité égal à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2050.
2.
Hypothèse de forte fécondité Dans l’hypothèse haute, on suppose que l’indice synthétique de fécondité dépasse de 0,5 enfant par femme l’indice de fécondité de la variante moyenne pendant presque toute la période de projection. En 2045-2050,la fécondité, dans l’hypothèse haute, est donc supérieure de 0,5 enfant par femme à ce qu’elle est dans
xci
la variante moyenne. En d’autres termes, les pays qui parviennent à un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme dans la variante moyenne, atteignent dans la variante haute, à la fin de la période de projection, un indice synthétique de fécondité de 2,35 enfants par femme.
3.
Hypothèse de fécondité faible Dans la variante basse, le taux de fécondité resterait inférieur de 0,5 enfant par femme au taux de fécondité de la variante moyenne pendant la presque totalité de la période de projection. En 2045-2050, la fécondité serait donc de 0,5 enfant par femme inférieure à la variante moyenne. En d’autres termes, les pays atteignant un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme dans la variante moyenne ont, dans la variante basse, à la fin de la période de projection, un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,35 enfant par femme.
4.
Hypothèse de fécondité constante Dans chaque pays, la fécondité demeure à son niveau estimé pour la période 2000-2005.
5.
Hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement Dans chaque pays, l’indice synthétique de fécondité est fixé au niveau nécessaire pour assurer un taux net de reproduction de 1 dès la période 2005-2010. L’indice synthétique de fécondité varie pendant le reste de la période de projection de façon à ce que ce taux net de reproduction demeure toujours égal à l’unité, ce qui assure à long terme le remplacement de la population.
B. Hypothèses de mortalité : augmentation générale de l’espérance de vie, sauf dans les régions touchées par le sida 1.
Hypothèse de mortalité normale Dans la projection, la mortalité évolue sur la base des modèles de variation de l’espérance de vie produits par la Division de la population du Secrétariat de l’ONU. Ces modèles aboutissent à des augmentations moins marquées quand l’espérance de vie est déjà élevée. La sélection d’un modèle pour chaque pays repose sur les tendances récentes de l’espérance de vie par sexe. Pour les pays gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida, le modèle qui intègre un ralentissement de la baisse de la mortalité est celui qui a été utilisé pour projeter un certain ralentissement de la réduction des facteurs généraux de mortalité qui ne sont pas liés au sida.
2.
L’effet du sida sur la mortalité Dans la Révision de 2006, tous les pays où le taux de prévalence de l’infection par le VIH chez les personnes âgées de 15 à 49 ans est égal ou supérieur à 1 %, sont considérés comme gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida et la mortalité y est projetée en modélisant expressément l’évolution de l’épidémie et en projetant l’incidence annuelle de l’infection par le VIH. Figurent également parmi les pays touchés ceux où la prévalence du VIH est inférieure à un pour cent mais dont la population est si élevée que le nombre de personnes infectées est grand, comme le Brésil, les États-Unis d’Amérique ou la Chine. Au total, 62 pays sont considérés comme gravement touchés par l’épidémie de sida dans la Révision de 2006.
xcii
Le modèle élaboré par le Groupe de référence d’ONUSIDA sur les estimations, la modélisation et les projections7 est utilisé pour déterminer la dynamique passée de l’épidémie dans chaque pays à partir des estimations passées du taux de prévalence du VIH fournie par ONUSIDA pour chacun des pays touchés: on détermine ainsi les paramètres de la dynamique passée de l’épidémie. Pour la plupart des pays, le modèle est ajusté à partir de l’hypothèse que les paramètres pertinents sont restés constants dans le passé. En commençant en 2005, le paramètre PHI, qui reflète le taux de recrutement d’individus nouveaux dans les groupes à risque élevé ou les groupes vulnérables, baisserait, dans la projection, de moitié tous les 20 ans. Le paramètre R, qui représente la violence de l’infection, diminuerait de moitié tous les 30 ans. La réduction du paramètre R tient compte de l’hypothèse selon laquelle les changements de comportement chez ceux qui sont exposés au risque d’infection et l’élargissement de l’accès aux traitements des personnes infectées réduiront les risques de transmission du virus. Dans la Révision de 2006, la prévention de la transmission de la mère à l’enfant est modélisée à l’aide de taux de couverture estimatifs, par pays, qui sont en moyenne de 13 % en 2005 parmi les 62 pays touchés mais varient de O à 90 %. Ces taux de couverture de la prévention atteindraient 60 %, en moyenne, en 2015; ils varient entre 40 et 100 % dans les pays touchéss. Après 2015, le taux de couverture resterait constant au niveau atteint dans chacun des pays touchés jusqu’à la fin de la période de projection. Chez les femmes qui reçoivent un traitement, la probabilité de transmission de la mère à l’enfant serait de 1 %. Ces hypothèses aboutissent à une réduction de l’incidence de l’infection par le VIH parmi les enfants nés de mère séropositive mais l’ampleur de la réduction varie d’un pays à l’autre en fonction du niveau de couverture du traitement dans chaque pays9. Le taux de survie des enfants infectés7 tient compte de l’accès variable au traitement pédiatriqueg. Dans la Révision de 2006, les enfants contaminés par le VIH sont répartis en deux groupes : i) ceux qui ont été contaminés in utero, chez qui la maladie progresse rapidement, et dont le taux de survie est, d’après le modèle, de 1,3 an, et ii) ceux qui sont infectés après la naissance, par l’allaitement, chez qui la maladie progresse lentement, ce qui fait qu’ils ont une durée de survie moyenne de 14 ans en l’absence de traitementIo. La prise en compte expresse d’un traitement pédiatrique est assurée dans la projection, à l’aide de taux de couverture, propres à chaque pays, qui sont en moyenne de 9 % en 2005 mais varient entre O et 99 %
’ONUSIDA, Groupe de référence sur les estimations, la modélisation et la projection (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIV/sida epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, p. W1 à W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and Aids - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitefor Children, Unite against AIDS (avec annexes statistiques). Voir tableau 1. Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV (p. 29 à 3 1) et tableau 2. Providing paediatric treatment (p. 32 à 34). URL : www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transhitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplément 3 : iii, p. 45 à 50, http://sti.bmj .corn/cgi/content/abstract/82/suppl~3/iii45. * O Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Garnett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewsky, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHeaEth Organization, vol. 84, no 2, p. 145 à 150.
http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf.
xciii
parmi les 62 pays touchés. En 2015, le taux projeté de couverture serait de 60 % en moyenne, mais varierait entre 40 et 100 % dans les pays touchés*. Les taux de couverture restent constants entre 2015 et 2050 aux niveaux atteints par chaque pays en 2015. La proportion annuelle de survie des enfants recevant un traitement est de 95 %, de sorte que leur durée moyenne de survie est de 1 9 3 ans et leur durée médiane de survie est de 1 3 3 ans en l’absence d’autre cause de décès9. La Révision de 2006 tient compte de la survie plus longue des personnes recevant un traitement antirétroviral très actif. La proportion de la population séropositive bénéficiant de ce traitement dans chaque pays est compatible avec les estimations établies par l’organisation mondiale de la santé”, soit en moyenne 25 %‘ O en 2005, mais ce chiffre varie entre O et 100 %‘ O dans les 62 pays touchés. Le taux de couverture se situerait entre 40 et 100 % en 2015, mais serait en moyenne de 60 % dans les pays touchés. Entre 2015 et 2050, les taux de couverture restent constants aux niveaux atteints dans chaque pays en 2015. On fait l’hypothèse que les adultes recevant ce traitement ont en moyenne une probabilité de survie de 90 %, chaque année, en l’absence d’autre cause de décès. Dans cette hypothèse de travail, la durée moyenne de survie après le début du traitement est de 9 3 ans et la durée médiane de survie est de 6,6 ans en l’absence d’autre cause de décès. On fait l’hypothèse que le traitement commence au moment où apparaît un sida déclaré. Sans traitement, les adultes contaminés ont une durée de survie moyenne de deux ans après l’apparition d’un sida déclaréIo.
3.
Hypothèse de mortalité constante On fait l’hypothèse que la mortalité demeure constante, dans chaque pays, au niveau estimé pour la période 2000-2005.
C. Hypothèses sur les migrations internationales 1.
Hypothèse de migrations normales On fait l’hypothèse que l’évolution future des migrations internationales est déterminée sur la base des estimations passées des migrations internationales et d’une évaluation de la politique des pays en ce qui concerne les flux migratoires internationaux futurs. Les soldes migratoires nets projetés sont généralement maintenus constants pendant presque toute la période de projection.
2.
Migrations nulles Dans cette hypothèse de travail, dans chaque pays, les migrations internationales sont nulles dès la période 2005-2010.
World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to H W Antiretroviral Therapy. A report on R 3 by 5 H and Beyond. Voir annexe 1 : Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low - and middle - income countries (p. 7 1 à 76). http://www.who.int/hiv/fullreport-en-highres.pdf.
xciv
D.
Huit scénarios de projection La Révision de 2006 comprend huit scénarios différents (tableau 5). Cinq de ces scénarios reposent sur des variantes concernant la fécondité, en d’autres termes ils ont en commun certaines hypothèses de travail Concernant la mortalité et les migrations internationales. Les cinq hypothèses de fécondité sont les suivantes : hypothèses basse, moyenne, haute, à fécondité constante, hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement. Une comparaison des résultats obtenus permet d’apprécier les effets de ces différentes hypothèses de fécondité sur les autres paramètres démographiques. Indépendamment des cinq hypothèses concernant la fécondité, une hypothèse de mortalité constante, une hypothèse de migration nulle et une hypothèse de fécondité constante ont été appliquées. Dans le scénario à mortalité constante et dans le scénario à migration nulle, on a retenu le même taux de fécondité (fécondité moyenne). En outre, la variante à mortalité constante retient la même hypothèse concernant les migrations internationales que la variante moyenne. En conséquence, les résultats de l’hypothèse à mortalité constante peuvent être comparés à ceux de la variante moyenne pour déterminer l’effet d’une variation de la mortalité sur les autres paramètres démographiques. De même, l’hypothèse à migration nulle diffère de la variante moyenne uniquement en raison de l’hypothèse concernant les migrations internationales. De ce fait, l’hypothèse à migration nulle permet de déterminer l’effet d’une migration nette non nulle sur les autres paramètres démographiques. Enfin, l’hypothèse constante retient la même hypothèse sur les migrations internationales que la variante moyenne, mais diffère de celle-ci par un taux de fécondité et un taux de mortalité constants. Si on la compare à la variante moyenne, ses résultats font donc apparaître les effets d’une modification de la fécondité et de la mortalité sur les résultats obtenus. Tableau 5 Scénarios de projection démographique, en fonction de diverses hypothèses relatives à la fécondité, la mortalité et les migrations internationales Hypothèses
Scénario
Fécondité
Mortalité
Migrations internationales
Basse
Basse
Normale
Normale
Moyenne
Moyenne
Normale
Normale
Haute
Haute
Normale
Normale
Fécondité constante
Constante
Normale
Normale
Hypothèse de réalisation immédiate du seuil de remplacement
Seuil de remplacement immédiat
Normale
Normale
Mortalité constante
Moyenne
Constante
Nonnale
Constante
Constante
Constante
Normale
Migration nulle
Moyenne
Normale
Nulle
xcv
E. Modifications méthodologiques introduites dans la Révision de 2006 Les modifications suivantes ont été introduites dans la Révision de 2006, par rapport à la procédure suivie dans la Révision de 2004. Dans l’hypothèse moyenne, la fécondité des pays ayant un indice synthétique de fécondité inférieur à 1,85 enfant par femme en 2000-2005 augmente d’abord par la poursuite des tendances récentes puis la fécondité augmente de façon linéaire à raison de 0’05 enfant par femme par période de cinq ans, au lieu d’une augmentation de 0,07 enfant par femme, comme dans la Révision de 2004. Ces pays n’atteignent donc pas nécessairement un indice synthétique de fécondité de 1,85 enfant par femme en 2045-2050. Les modèles de l’incidence de l’infection par le VIH par âge ont été modifiés. Dans les nouveaux modèles, l’âge moyen lors de l’infection est généralement plus élevé que dans les modèles utilisés dans les révisions précédentes, en particulier chez les garçons. Un retard dans l’infection réduit en effet l’impact de la mortalité liée au sida SUT l’espérance de vie. La survie des enfants séropositifs augmente par rapport aux modèles utilisés précédemment non seulement chez ceux qui bénéficient d’un traitement, mais aussi chez ceux qui ne sont pas soignés. Chez les adultes séropositifs recevant la trithérapie antirétrovirale, le taux de survie, après l’infection, est également plus élevé que ce qui a été retenu dans les modèles précédents. Les effets de la trithérapie antirétrovirale sont modélisés expressément chez les enfants et chez les adultes. En outre, les effets de la transmission de la mère à l’enfant sont en diminution, l’accès au traitement chez les femmes étant plus large.
xcvi
B H a C T O X 4 e M AOKjlane npeACTaBneH0 pe3IOMe pe3YJIbTaTOB OCYUeCTBJIeHHOrO 2006 rony ( ( 0 6 3 o p a ~04uq~anbab1x M H P O B ~ I X n e ~ o r p a 4 n q e c ~ oueHoK ~x H ~ P O ~ H O ~ O BnonroToBneHHbIx , O ~ n e n o HaponoHaceneHaa ~ A e n a p ~ a ~ e n no ~a 3KOHOMHqeCKHM H COqHanbHbIM BOI'IpOCaM CeKpeTapHaTa Opra~H3a~EiH 0 6 ' 6 e n H ~ e ~ ~H Max u ~ i i~. 0 6 3 2006 0 ~ rOna)>IIpeACTaBJIXeT co6oii A B ~ A U ~ TPayHA H~~ m 0 6 ~ b ~ b IJ x( ~ M o ~ ~ ~ @ H ~ ~OcqeK HO HKx H IIPOTHO3OB, npe,I(IIpHHIITbIX O T A ~ ~ O M HaponoHaceneHHa c 1950 rona. B
IIon~b~ pe3ynb~a~b1 e ((063opa
TpeX
2006 rona)) 6 y n y ~npencTasneHbI
B
cepm
u3
B TOM^' 6 y n y ~ c0g;epXaTbca B C ~ O ~ % ~ M ~ TH~ >~ J~I H U~ ~ BI , KOTOPMX npmonmcrr ocHosHbIe ~ e ~ o r p a + ~ ' ~ ne oc ~~ au3ea ~ no e n~ ~ a x n o i cTpaHe i 3a nepuon 1950-2050 rOAOB; B0 BTOPOM T0Me2 6 y a y ~IIPHBeAeHbI AaHHbIe C p a 3 6 ~ ~ ~ 1010f i ~03pac~ H ynony HaceneHua ~ a m ~ oCTpaHbr ii 3a nepHon 1950-2050 roAoB, a ~ p e ~ ~ l i i T0M3 6 y n e ~ IIOCBlIUeH aHanH3y nonyreHHbIx pe3YJIbTaTOB. TOMOB, KOTOPbIe B HaCTOIItL(ee BpeMII HaXOAIITCII B CTaAHli IlOArOTOBKH.
nepBOM
3TH
AaHHbIe TaKXe
HMeHlTCII
B
~ N @ P O B O ~@0pMe, H
C
HHMH
MOXHO
se6-caii~e O~nena HaponoHaceneHHx
no anpecy www.unpopulation.org. I I o n b s o ~ a ~ e nKOTOP~IM u, H ~ O ~ X O A I I MnonHMe ~I pe3ynb~a~b1 ((0630pa 2006 rona)), MOrYT n p ~ o 6 p e cHX ~ ~Ha KA-n30. O ~ H C ~ AHaHU HbI~ X, C0,UepXaUHXCX H a pa3nHqHbIX Kfl-H30, H 6 n a ~ 3aKa3a ~ 6 y n y ~pa3MeueHbl H a ~ e 6 - c a i i ~Oe~ n e n aHaponoHacenenHa. O~H~KOMUT~CII Ha
OCHOBHMMUCTOYHHKOM
O @ U ~ H ~ ~ ~ H HaU ~U IO XHalIbHMX
CTaTIICTHqeCKHX
AaHHbIX 0 HaCeneHHH, KOTOPbIe HCIIOJIb30BaJlHCb IIPH IlOnrOTOBKe 3THX OqeHOK H
I I ~ O ~ H O ~ OxBnxeTcx B,
A e ~ o r p a @ ~ ~ e exeronHuK c~uii
Opra~u3aqu O~ ~
~ ~ ~ H H ~ H H M X
HaquZi H COOTBeTCTByIOIUHe 6mb1 HaHHMX, KOTOPbIe rOTOBIITCII H O~HOBIIXIOTCX
C T ~ T M C T H ~ ~ C K HOM TAeJIOM A ~ I I ~ ~ T ~ noM3K ~OHOM TH~ qeCKHM H COJ.(Ha.IlbHbIM BonpocaM C e ~ p e ~ a p ~ l aO~ pa r a ~ ~ 3 a qO ~~ ~~ ~ H R H ~ HHaqwii. H ~ I X O~nen HaponoHaceneHHa ab1paxae-r n p ~ 3 ~ a ~ e n b ~CT~THCTHY~CKOMY oc~b oTneny 3a er0 HeH3MeHHOe C O T p y ~ H H ~ e C T B O .
&JDI
IIOJIyqeHHX
A O I I O ~ H M TM ~H ~ ~~OH PM O ~~~~H O I ITHOCHTenbHO
((O63opa
2006 rona)) npocb6a 0 6 p a u a ~ b c a K r-xce X a ~ ~ l~ e~ O T H H K f, l k ~ p e ~ ~ oO p~ ynena HaponoHaceneHHa, O p r a ~ ~ l s a s u aO ~ % ~ A H H ~ H H ~HI aXq ~ i i , H ~ I o - ~ ~ o(United ~K, Nations, NY 10017, USA) (Fax: 1 2 12 963 2 147).
' World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 1,Comprehensive Tables ( a s n a ~ n e o p r a H ~ 3 a ~ A06%e~IiHeHHb1~ A HauHB, 6 y n e ~O I I ~ ~ J I ~ K O BII03n~ee). ~ H O World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution ofthe World Population ( u s n a a ~ eOpra~asaquu0 6 5 e ~ ~ ~ e H aHaqui, b1x 6yne~ O I I ~ ~ J I H K O BII03nHee). ~HO World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (nsnaaue Opra~nsaqaa0 6 a e n a ~ e ~ a b Haquii, rx 6yne~ O I I ~ ~ J I E ~ K OnBo~~HnOa e e ) . xcvii
<<0630~2 0 0 6 r o ~ a > )
XBJIReTCR
ABaAUaTbIM
payHAOM
o C ~ ~ R ~ H ~ J ~ ~ H ~ I X
A ~ M o ~ ~ ~ ( $ H Y ~ c K HOUeHOK x H I I p O T H 0 3 0 B O p r a ~ k 1 3 a q H F i O ~ % ~ A E I H ~ H H Haquii, ~IX
O T A ~ ~HapOnOHaCeJIeHHX OM A ~ I I E ~ ~ T ~ IIO M ~3KOHOMH9eCKHM H T ~ H C e ~ p e ~ a p O~par a~~ ak i 3 a q U E I~ ~ ' ~ ~ , L ( H H ~ Haq~ti. H H ~ I X~ T H OUeHKki EI I l P O r H 0 3 b I HCIIOJIb3YK)TCR B P a M K a X ~ c e i i CUCTeMbI O p r a ~ k i 3 a q M H O ~ % ~ ~ H H ~ HHasaii H ~ I XB K a s e C T B e OCHOBbI AJIX J&ZXTenbHOCTU, B CBX3H C K O T O P O ~ ~ ~ p e 6 y e ~ ,qe~orpa@mec~aa cr n ~ @ o p ~ a uB~ocnose a. (iO6sopa 2006 rona>>n e m m ( ( 0 6 3 0 ~2004 r O n a > >U B H e r 0 BKJIIOYeHbI KaK pe3YJIbTaTbI I I P O B e n e H H O r O B 2000 r O A y P a y H A a IIepeII~cefiH a C e n e H H X B Pa3JlHYHbIX C T p a H a X , T a K M Pe3YJIbTaTbI HeAaBHHX ClTeIlMaJIU3HpOBaHHbIX 06cneno~a~nii, OCYl4eCTBIIeHHbIX B 0 BCeM M H p e . ~ T H UCTOYHUKN 06ecnewi~am~ KaK ne~orpa&irec~ym, T a K H npyrym ~ n @ o p ~ a s n m n ~ OlJeHKM I I p O r p e C C a B AOCTEIXeHHEI M e X A y H a p O n H O COrJIaCOBaHHbIX LleJIeg B O ~ J I ~ C T H pa3BHTMX, BKJImYaX q e n U B O ~ J I ~ C T pa3BUTHSI, H C ~ O ~ M ~ ~ U ~ OB B Ae~napaqull ~ H H ~ I ~ TbICXYeJIeTElX (UPAT). Bceo&e~nm~ziii 0630~ n p O I u n b I x MHpOBbIX IIOnrOTOBJIeHHbIX
C04MaJIbHbIM BOIIpOCaM
A ~ M o ~ ~ ~ @ H Y ~ cTK ~U H X A ~ HH ~~ Y UA ~Y W M X I I p O r H 0 3 0 B , KOTOPbIe IIpegCTaBJIeHkJ B ctO6sope
2006 rona)), o 6 e c n e ~ ~ ,~a ae ~e o~r p a @ n ~ e c ~OCHOBY ym
AJIX o s e H K E i ~ T H X
seneii. B COOTBeTCTBUU C ( ( 0 6 3 0 ~ 02006 ~ r O n a > ) H a C e J I e H U e M H p a , BepOXTHO, yeenmmcx H a 2,5 M a n n H a p n a s e n o B e e B T e r e n H e cnenymruxx 43 n e T M B b I p a c T e T c H b I H e m H H x 6,7 M n n n u a p n a Y e n o s e K no 9,2 M H n n u a p n a Y e n o s e K B 2050 rony. TOT n p H p o c T p a s e H p a s ~ e p yMHPOBOIY) H a c e n e H u s B 1950 rony, H OH 6 y n e ~ B OCHOBHOM npoHcxonmb
B
Hamenee
~ ~ ~ B E I T p~e Ir M Xo H a x ,
me
Haceneme,
cornacHo
npor~o3a~ y s,e n n r u T c x c 5,4 rmnnnapna s e n o s e K B 2007 rosy no 7,9 M H n n x a p n a s e n o B e e B 2050 rosy. AJIXC p a B H e H H x , naceneme B ~ a ~ 6 o n Pe ~e ~ B H T ~p Ie rXH o a a x , KaK OXNAaeTCX, OCTaHeTCR B OCHOBHOM HeU3MeHHbIM H a YPOBHe 1,2 M U n n M a p A a Y e n O B e K M A a X e COKPaTUnOCb 661, eCIIH 661, KaK CBHAeTeJIbCTBYIOT nPOTH03bI, H e IIpOHCXOnHJIa YEiCTaX MHrpaUEiH H 3 pa3BHBaIOUNXCX C T P m B p a 3 B H T b I e CTPaHbI, KOTOPaS, COrJIaCHO IIpeAIIOJIOXeHHRM,
6 y n e ~COCTaBnXTb 2,3 MUJIJIHOHa
YeJIOBeK B
ron nocne 2010 roga.
B
p e 3 y J I b T a T e C O K p a u e H E i X POXflaeMOCTH H YBeJIHYeHUX I I p O ~ O J I X U T e n b H O C T H
6 y n e ~CTpeMMTenbHO C T a p e T b . B c 2005 rona no 2050 ron nonoama n p H p o c T a Y l l c n e H H o c T t i H a c e n e H m B M U p e 6 y n e ~XBJIXTbCX pe3YJIbTaTOM P O C T a YHCneHHOCTM HaCeJIeHHR B BO3paCTe c T a p l u e 60 n e T , B TO s p e M a KaK wcno ne~eii( n ~ B~ ~ao s p a c ~ s oe 15 n e ~ )6 y . w ~ H e 3 H a Y k i T e n b H O COKpaI4aTbCX. K p o ~ eTOrO, B 6onee pa3BHTbIX P e r H O H a X , COrJlaCHO n p e n n o n o x e H m M , HaceneHkie B ~ o 3 p a c ~ c Tea p m e 60 n e T y s e n M r H T c H n p a K T l i s e c K H B A B a pa3a (C 245 MHJIJIHOHOB YeJIOBeK B 2005 r0ny A 0 406 MHJIJIHOHOB B 2050 rony), B TO BpeMX KaK YMCIIO JIIOneii B B O 3 p a C T e a0 60 JET, BepOXTHO, COKPaTHTCX (C 971 MImJIHOHa geJIOBeK B 2005 r O A y A 0 839 M1uIJIHOHOB B 2050 rogy). XEI3HM. HaCeJIeHkie BCe 6 0 ~ 1 b m e r o Y I l C n a C T p a H nepHon
~ ~ o r o o 6 p a 3 ~n ee ~ o r p a + ~ s e c ~ H x XOTXH a r n 0 6 a n b ~ oYPOBHe ~ HaCeJIeHHe OYeBUAHO IIpeBbICMT 9 M U J l n H a p n O B s e n 0 B e K K 2050 r O n y U COOTBeTCTBeHHO 6 y ~ e ~ IIpOAOJlXaTb PaCTU, H a C e n e H E l e B 6onee pa3BUTbIX p e r H o H a x B p X g JIH H3MeHHTCX H 6 y n e ~3 a M e T H O C T a p e T b . K ~ K 6 ~ n oy K a 3 a H O B b I I u e , IIpaKTUYeCKH B e C b IIpIlpOCT H a c e n e H H x 6 y n e ~n p o u c x o n m b B H a I i M e n e e ~ ~ ~ B H Tp e~r uI oXH a x H o c o 6 e ~ ~Bo rpynne 50 H a U M e H e e pa3BIITbIX CTpaH, M H O r H e E13 KOTOPbIX BCe ewe H M e I o T OTHOCNTeJIbHO MOnOAOe HaCeJIeHHe, KOTOpOe, KaK IIpenIIOJIaraeTCX, 6 y g e ~C T a p e T b TOJIbKO YMePeHHbIMH TeMIIaMU B IIpeACKa3yeMOM 6ynynre~. TO KaCaeTCX ((0630~
2006 r o n a > )
nonTsepmaeT
N ~ M ~ H ~B Hp a H 3nH ~9HbIX PerMOHaX MHpa.
OCTaJlbHbIX p a 3 B H B a l o u H X C X C T p a H , T O B HHX O X H A a e T C X C T p e M H T e n b H O e C T a p e H H e HaceneHux.
3a
BCeMH 3 T H M H p a 3 J I H Y H b I M U MOneJIXMH P O C T a H H 3 M e H e H H X B O ~ ~ ~ C T H O ~
CTpYKT)'PbI
IlpOCneXHBaloTCX
YeTKHe
YPOBHHP O X H a e M O C T H
CMepTHOC'l'H.
TeHneHUHH
B
06nac~u @~PTHJI~HOCTU H
H H X e YPOBHH BOCllPOH3BOnCTBa n p e B a J l H p y l o T
B 0 M H O r H X P a 3 B H T b I X P e r H O H a X , H, KaK O X U n a e T C X , 3 T a T e H n e H U H X COXpaHUTCX A 0
2050 rona.
P o x n a e ~ o c ~ n b o-npex~e~y xsnxeTcx
B M C O K O ~ ~B
~oJI~UIUHCTB~
H a H M e H e e p a 3 B H T b I X C T p a H , U, XOTX O X H n a e T C X , S T O O H a COKPaTUTCX, O H a ~ Y A ~ T BbIWe, YeM B OCTanbHbIX C T p a H a X M H p a . POXCAaeMOCTb p e 3 K O C O K p a T H n a C b C KOHUa
B OCTaJIbH61.X p a 3 B U B a l o I U H X C X C T p a H a X 60-X r O n O B , H, C O r n a C H O n p O r H 0 3 a M , B
~ O J I ~ W U H C T HU3~ HHX O H a H O C T H r H e T YPOBHR H H X e YPOBHX BOCnpOH3BOlICTBa K
2050 rony.
B
PalBHTbIX
CTpaHaX
MHpa
CO
C J I O X H B I I I ~ ~ ~ C HP U H O Y H O ~ ~ ~ K O H O M H K O ~ ~
CMePTH0C'l.b RBJIXeTCX H H ~ K OU ~I I~P O A O n X a e T COKpaUlaTbCX, 0 n H a K O
naXe
HaXOAUJIHCb H a nOCTOHHHOM Y P O B H e MJIH
ee
nOKa3aTeJIH
yBeJIHSHBaJlHCb B P X A e C T p a H C
nepexon~oii~ K O H O M H K O B~ ~ OCHOBHOM B p e 3 y n b ~ a ~yex y n r u e H n x c o u e a n b H b I x U 3 K o H o M u s e c K n x ycno~nii,a B H e K o T o p b I x cnysaxx B p e s y n b ~ a ~p ae c n p o c T p a H e H u x BMY. CMCPTHOCT~ T a K X e C O K P a u a e T C X B ~ o J I ~ U I H H C T BPa3BMBaloIUHXCX ~ CTpaH, OAHaKO B C ' l p a H a X , B ~ H ~ S H T ~ J IC~T eHn eOH ~H ~3aTPOHYTbIX 3 I I H n e ~ H e f BMWCl-IMAa, i o T M e q a e T c x POCT n o ~ a 3 a ~ e n eCtM i epTn.
C H U X ~ Hn H p O~ rHO3HpyeMbIX Y ~ O B H ~ G P a C n p o C T p a H e H H R BMY BbIIIOnHeHHX
o~x~~T~JI~cT B3XTbIX B,
TbIcnsenenin,
IlpaBHTenbCTBaMH
CTpaH
B
3 a B H C H T OT Ae~napauHH
n p u ~ x ~ o t iB 2000rony4, H B Ae~napauuu 2001 rona o neny 6 0 p b 6 b 1 C BEIWCIIMAOM~.T ~ K ,n p o r ~ o 3 u p y e ~ b r e
IlpUBepXeHHOCTH
n e ~ ~ r p a @ H ~ l e ~T~e Hk Hi eeH U H N
~ ~ M A o MKOTOPbIe ,
60JIb~b1~
3aBHCXT
OT
IIOJIYSaloT
CYIUeCTBeHHOrO
YBenHYeHHH
aHTHPeTPOBHPC3JlbHYlo
TepanHIO
n0nH AnR
neseaax .)~oii6 0 n e 3 ~ n , H OT ycnexa ycnnnii no 6 o p b 6 e c n a n b ~ e f i r u u ~ p a C n p O C T p a H e H H e M BMq. B c t O 6 3 o p e 2006 rOAa)> 62 C T P a H b I PaCCMaTPHBalOTCX KaK C e p b e 3 H O 3 a T p O H y T b I e 3 n H n e ~ H e f iBMYICllMAa, B K n l o Y a X 40 C T p a H , H a X O n X u H X C X B AGpn~e. npn ~ ~ O ~ H O ~ H ~ O B n ~ oHc H n eUn c ~ ~ u f i 3 ~ o r 0 3 a 6 0 n e ~ a ~ u x n p e n n o n a r a e T c x , YTO 31 u 3 ~ a u 6 0 n e e ~ ~ T P O H Y T ~ cI T Xp a H 6 y n e ~B COCTOXHHH 06ecne~wnarbK 2015 rOAY a H T M P e T P O B H P U b H O e J I e Y e H H e A n X 70 I l p O U e H T O B HJIH 6onee n H U , C T p a n a l o U H X OT Cl-IZIAa. B OCTC3JlbHbIX 3 a T p O H Y T b l X C T p a H a X I I O K a 3 a T e n H n e Y e H H X , KaK O X H A a e T C I I , ~ Y A Y TH H X e , H K 2015 r O A y OXBaT COCTaBHT npnMepHo 40-50 n p o u e H T o B . K p o ~ e T o r o , npennonarae-rcx, YTO nuua, nonyralouwe TO n e s e H n e , 6 y n y ~XHTL B c p e n H e M 17,5 n e T B M e c T o 10 n e T B cnyyae OTCYTCTBHH JIeYeHHX. B0 MHOrOM H a OCHOBe 3TMX nOCbIJIOK H Y'3HTbIBaX K O p p e K T H p O B K Y B CTOPOHY n O H H X e H H X YHCJIa C n y Y a e B BM9ICllMAa B C V a H a X , no KOTOPbIM 3nu;leMnu
HMeloTCX B
HaUHOHanbHbIe
penpe3eHTaTHBHbIe
nepnoa 2005-2020 ronoe
B
62
AaHHbIe
cTpaHax,
OTHOCUTenbHO
~ a u 6 0 ~ 1 e ec e p a e s ~ o
COIITIaCHO
O C ~ ~ ~ C T B J IlPOTH030B I ~ H H ~
conepxmca
B
ccO6sope 2006 ronaB,
CPeAHeMY
BapHaHTy,
KOTOP~I~
TaKxe ~ ~ B H C UOT T TOTO, ~ Y A na ~ TO ~ ~ C I I ~ Y ~ H O
CHHXeHEie POXAaeMOCTH B pa3BHBaH)mEiXCR CTpaHaX. C O ~ ~ ~ ~<<0630py CHO 2006 rOna>>POXAaeMOCTb B HaMMeHee pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX B qeJIOM, KaK OXHnaeTCR, coKpaTnTca c 2,75 pe6e~1iaH a xenmmy B 2005-2010 ronax no 2,05 p e 6 e ~ ~B a 2045-2050 ronax. Co~pauenue,KoTopoe oxunaeTca B rpynne 143 50 HaHMeHee Pa3BHTbIX CTpaH, 6 y ~ e Tewe 6onee pe3KHM: C 4,63 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa XeHIQHHY A0 2 , 5 0 p e 6 e ~ ~Ha a XeHLI[HHY. An~l Tor0 Y~06bi &(06Ei~b~R TaKUX C O K P ~ ~ ~ H ~ O ~ X O ~ M PaCrUHPHTb MO AOCTylI K YCnyraM C ~ M & H O ~ OnJIaHHpOBaHHX B CaMbIX 6 e n ~ b 1 ~CTpaHaX
MHpa.
H~cToRT~JI~H H~ ~O ~~I X O A A M O C T ~AOCTHXeHUX
npor~o3~pye~o ro coIcpaueaaa noKa3aTena
UeHTpe
BHHMaHKII,
OCTaBaTbCR
YYHTHBaR,
IIOCTORHHJdMH
H ~ ,
Ha
YTO,
poxnaeMocTH nonxHa
eCJlH
YPOBHRX,
IIOKa3aTeJIEi
PaCC4UTaHHbIX
Haxonmbca B
POXAaeMOCTU AJIX
~YHYT
2000BMpacTeT no
l'IepHOna
2005 ronoB, TO HaceneHHe B Hamenee p a 3 s u . r ~peraonax ~ MHpa 10,6 MHnnuapna senoBea BMecTo 7,9 MHnnHapAa renoaee, K a K n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~ c a ~ c x o wu3 CoKpaueHHP n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nPoxnaeMocTH. x kI~aYeroBopa, 6e3 nana~eiinrero coKpameHun poxnaeMocTH Mciposoe Haceneme Morno 6b1 YBennwTbcR B nBa pasa IIO CpaBHeHHIo C TeM YHCJIOM JIIOneg, KOTOPbIe XHJIH H a IIJIaHeTe B 1950 r0ny.
1. B Hmne 2007 rona Haceneme MEipa nocTEirHeT n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nBx6,7 MHnnHapna YenoeeK, T.e. H a 547 MmnuoHoB senoseK 60nbme, s e M B 2000 rony, YTO P~BHO~H~YH npkipocTy O B 78 MannMoHoB YenoBeK exeronHo. llpennonarax, YTO nOKa3aTenH @~PTWI~HOCTH 6 y n y ~Ei BnpeAb COKpaUaTbCX, HaCeneHHe MHpa, KaK O x U n a e T c R , BOCTHrHeT 9,2 MHJInMapAa YenOBeK B 2050 rOAy H 6 y n e ~ YBeJIHYHBaTbCR H a npuMepHo 30 MHnnHoHoa renoseK B TegeHae 3 ~ o r o nepHona cornacHo cpenHeMy BapHanTy (~a6naua1).
Hacenenue
Mnp B rreno~ Eonee pa3sn~brepernoebr M e ~ e pasemb~e e perno~br H a u ~ e ~ pa3BHTbIe ee CTPaHbl f l p y r ~ eHaHMeHee pa3BUTbIe CTpaHbI
Hacenenue
(B ,unn.)
1950 rod
1975 rod
2 535
4 076
B
2050 zody
(B M ~ H . )
Hu3~aa Cped~m Buco~an H e u 3 ~ e ~ ~ a ~ 2007 aod p o x d o e ~ o c m b poxdat&ocmb p o x d a e ~ o c m b poxdaehiocms
6 671
7 792
9 191
10 756
11 858
1 245
1451
1218
7 946
9 306
10 639
814
1048
1223
1 065
1 722
3 028
5 448
6 727
200
358
804
1 496
1 742
2 002
2 794
1 521
2 670
4 644
5 231
6 204
7 304
7 845
Hacenenue
Hacene~ue(Eam.) Ocnosnorj pezuon
Espona
1950 rod
1975 zod
548
676
E
2050 zody (E~ n n . )
Hus~an Cpediim B W C O K ~ R Helr3Me~~an 2007 zod p o x d a e ~ o c r n b powdae,uocmb p o x d a e ~ o c m b powdaenlocmb
731
566
664
777
2. HO~~ 3aBUCHT OT TOrO, B liynywuii POCT HaCeJIeHUB B ~ H ~ . I U T ~ J I ~CTeneHM COOTBeTCTBHIl C KaKUM BapFiaHTOM B 6ynyIlJe~ 6 y n e ~ paCTEI pOXCAaeMOCTb ( n u a r p a ~ ~l).a I l p ~cpenHeM BapuaHTe poxnaeMocTr, B MHpe coKpaTuTca c 2,55 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa xeHwHHy B HacToaqee BpeMa no HeMHoruM 6onee 2 ne~efiHa OAHY XeHI4HHY B 2050 rOny. Ecnu POXaaeMOCTb 6 y n e ~OCTaBaTbCX IIpHMePHO Ha n o n p e 6 e ~ ~ sbme a no~a3a~eneii,n p o r ~ 0 3 ~ p y e ~Bb 1cpenHeM ~ aapuame, TO HaceneHHe Mupa AocTurHeT 10,8~unnaapna renoseK K 2050rony. n p u no~a3a~enax poxnaeMocTu Ha 0,5 p e 6 e ~ ~max e , YeM npH cpenaeM BappaaHTe, ~e HaceneHMe Mupa cocTasHT 7,8 MuJLnHapna YenoseK K cepenuHe BeKa. E l ~ a rosopa, Ha O ~ ~ ~ M H ~ O YpOBHe B O M ~ a J I b ~ e k I ~PlOfCiT HaCeneHElX g0 2050 rOAa 9BnaeTCa H ~ E I ~ ~ ~AX iwKH e eCnH ~ I M6 y, n e ~YCKOpeHO CHAXeHHe lToKa3a~enefiPOXnaeMOCTU. U JX K I I ~ u naxe CHuxamwUeca n o ~ a 3 a ~ e npocTa u HaceneHua, B 3. Y ~ H T M BH ~ IIepHOn 2007-2050rofl0~ B pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX B UenOM, KaK OXUnaeTCX, R H ~ H ~ M ~ HH Ha O ~YpOBHe ~ YHCneHHOCTb HaCeJIeHMB 6 y n e ~@ ~ K T H Y ~ C KOCTaBaTbCB ITpUMepHO 1,2 MHJIJlUapna YenOBeK B COOTBeTCTBHH CO CPeHHNM BapUaHTOM. Ans CpaBHeHHX, HaCeneHHe B 50 HaHMeHee pa3BUTbIX CTpaHaX, BepOHTHO, YBeJIHYHTCH 6onee YeM B ABa pasa - c 0,8 Mx,innHapp(a YenoseK B 2007 rony no 1,7 MUnnHapna senoBes B 2050 rony. Cornac~on p o r ~ o 3 aTaKxe ~ oxHnaeTca c y w e c ~ s e ~ ~pbo~cf ~i HaCeJIeHElX B OCTanbHbIX Pa3BkiBalO~UXCB CTpaHaX, XOTH OH U 6 y n e ~MeHee CTpeMUTenbHbIM, npIl 3TOM COrJIaCHO CpeAHeMy BapUaHTj' UX HaCeneHHe BbIpaCTeT C 4,6 Munnuapaa senoBee no 6,2 MRnnnapAa YenoseK B nepHon Memay 2007 U 2050 rOAOM.
4. 3 a ~ e a n e ~ TeMnoB ne pocTa HaceneHHa B pe3ynb~a~e coKpameHHa no~a3a~eneii POXAaeMOCTH BeAeT K CTaPeHHH) HaCeJIeHIIX, HHaYe TOBOPX, 3T0 BeAeT K ~ O P M A P O B ~ H H M C T P Y K T ~ P ~ IHaceneHua, B K O T O P O ~ ~ ~ o n a noxkinbIx nroneti MononMx nroneii coKpauaeTca. B 60nee ~ U B U T ~ I XperuoHax ~ 0 3 p a c ~ a ae ~nona , 20 nposermoB HaceneHlza yxe cocTaBnnmT n m n ~B ~ o s p a c ~60e neT H cTapure H, CO~lIaCHOnpOrH03aM, 3Ta nOJIX AOCTHrHeT 33 IlpOQeHTOB B 2050 rOny (~a611~4a 2). B P ~ B E I T M XcTpaHax B qenoM mcno noxnnblx nmneii (nuua B ~ o s p a c ~cTapme e 60 n e ~ yxe ) npesbIcMno rHcno n e ~ e i i(nkisa B ~ o s p a c ~noe 15 n e ~ ) a, K 2050 rony mcno noxunbIx nmnefi, cornacao n p o r ~ o 3 a 6~y, a e ~B nsa pasa npesbIruaTb w c n o ge~efiB Pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX.
626
C ~ a p e ~ a enacenenm rrponcxon~~M e H e e B ~ I C O K H M H T e M n a M a B T ~ M He M e H e e OXkiJ(aeTCH,'IT0 B ~ O J I ~ J I I H H C T BH~3 HHX HaCTynHT IIepHOn CTpeMHTenbHOrO CTapeHHX HaCeJIeHHH. B pa3BUBaIo~HXCX cTpanax B qenoM TonbKo 8 npogeHToB Hacenema B Hac-roarqee BpeMa HMeroT B03paCT CBbIIIIe 60 neT, OnHaKO K 2050 r0ny 20 IIpOIleHTOB HX HaCeJleHHX, K a K OXHnaeTCX, 6yfly~ HaXOnHTbCX B 3T0fi B O ~ P ~ C T HKaTerOpHH O~~ ( ~ a 6 ~ 1 2). ~qa 5.
pa3BHBaWmHXCX CTpaHaX.
6. Ha r n o 6 a n b n o ~ ypoBHe Yucno nmneii B ~ o s p a c ~c-rapme e 6 0 n e ~ ,K a K omkinaeTca, ysenHrkiTca B TPH pma H sb1pacTe-r c 673 MunnHonoB B 2005 rony no 2 MHnnuapnoB B 2050 rony. B TereHMe ~ T O ~x Oe nepHona BpeMeHH nona noxunblx JIIo~efi,IIpOXHBaIolIJHX B pa3BHBaIoI4HXCH CTpaHaX, K a K OXHAaeTCX, BbIpaCTeT C ~ ~ I I ~ O U ~ H T O B B ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ O ~ ~ ~ O ~ O ~ T H ~ ~ I I ~ O ~ ~ H T O B B
Pacnpedene~ueno npoye~manr S 2005 zody
Pacnpedene~ueno n p o y e ~ m a ~ s 2050 m d y
OCHOEH P ~O Z~ UOH
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
go+
Map B u e n o ~
28,3
61,4
10,3
1,3
19,8
58,3
21,8
4,4
17,O
62,9
20,1
3,7
15,2
52,2
32,6
9,4
Eonee p a 3 ~ ~ ~pbelreu o ~ b ~
8. XOTXOXHnaeTCX, YTO HaCeneHUe BCeX CTpaH 6 y n e ~CTapeTb B IIpeACKa3yeMOM ~y 6ynyueM, HaceneHHe cTpaa, B KOTOP~IX PomaeMocTb n o - r r p e ~ ~ eocTae-rclr B ~ I C O K6O y n~e~~OCTaBaTbCX , OTHOCHTeJIbHO MOIIOnblM H 6yneT Pe3KO YBeJIUYUBaTbCX. B b ~ c o ~ TeMnbI ~ l e POCTa HaceneHuX IIpeBanHpyIoT B pane Pa3BUBaMWMXCR CTpaH, ~OJI~UIHHCTBO Ei3 KOTOpbIX XBlIXIoTCX HaMMeHee pa3BUTblMH. B IIepIlOfl C 2005 no ~ M o K 2050 r0n HaCeneHHe A @ ~ ~ H u c TE~yHp y ~ ~, ~ u~ ,B H H ~ E I - ~~ H~ C ~Y , ~ ~ T U P e c n y 6 ~ 1 aKoHro, ~~ A116eps~, H ~ r e p a , Tti~opa-JIerrr~ua Y r a ~ n b ~cornacHo , no ~ p a i i ~ eMepe i i B TPA pasa. n p o r ~ o 3 ayaenHsEiTcx ~,
Y ~ C K O ~ ~
9. B oTntlutie OT 3 ~ 0 r oHaceneme 46 cTpaH unu paiioaoa, BKnloraa r e p ~ a ~ a ~ o , O MTanUIo, %IoHUIo, Pecny6nn~yKopea, ~ O J I ~ L U H H C T BTOCynapCTB-npaBOnpeeMHUKOB 6b1~111eroCCCP H HeCKOnbKO MaJIbIX OCTpOBHblX MCYAaPCTB, COrJIaCHO npOrHO3aM, 6y~eTMeHbIIIe B 2050 Tofly, YeM B 2005 rOny.
10. POCTHaceneHax n o - n p e x ~ e ~CyK O H U ~ H T P H P O B ~ HB cTpaHax c ~au6onb~ueii rEicneHHocTbm HaceneHua. B TeseHAe 2005-2050rono~, KaK omHnaeTca, Ha BOCeMb CTpaH 6yneT npMX0~HTbCXIIpbiMepHO IlOJIOBHHa npOrHO3UpyeMOrO POCTa X ~a HaCeJIeHHX Mkipa: HHAUX, H~reptia, ~ ~ K H C T ~~ H~ , ~ M o K ~ ~ T E ~PYe c~ nc yK6 ~n ~ ~H TH ~~ T AMBPEIKH, I~~I 6aHrJIa~eJIlU KU~aii,KOTOPbIe K o ~ r o ~, @ H o I I H X , C O ~ ~ M H U nepesacneHb1 no none ux BKnana B POCT YHcneHHocTEi HaceneHux Mnpa. 11. C p e ~ H ~ B03PaCT, fi T.e. B03PaCT, K O T O P ~ I ~DeJlIIT ~ HaCeneHHe Ha ABe gaCTU pamoro p a s ~ e p a ,XBnrreTcx n o ~ a 3 a ~ e ncTapeHua e~ HaceneHm. Ha rno6anb~oM ypoBHe B nepuon Memny 2005 a 2050 ronaMH cpexanii B O ~ P ~ C T ,CornacHo c 28 no 38 neT. C e r o n ~ aEspona aMeeT caMoe c-rapoe n p o r ~ o 3 a ~ysenaYtiTcx ,
12.
C p e ~ ~ U fB i0 3 p a C T
BbIlLIe
B
CTpaHaX,
me
B
TeYeHUe
IIpOAOJIXUTeJIbHbIX
B 2005 rOAY c p e n ~ ~ f i BbIIUe ~ O J I ~ T I. I I u ~ o K o ~
lTepHOfiOB B p e M e H U ~ a 6 J l l O n a J I a c b HU3KaX POXAaeMOCTb.
13 Pa3BUTbIX CTPaHaX HJIU p a f i o ~ a6~b 1 n ssnemx c T a p e H H a H a c e n e H a r n o n T s e p x n a e T c s T e M @ ~ K T O M , TO, COl7laCHO n p O T H 0 3 a M , 93 CTPaHbI ~J'AYT HMeTb C P ~ A H U B~0~3 p a C T B b I U e 40 JIeT B 2050 r O n y , n p U r e M 48 E13 HHX ~J'AJJT pa3BHBaH>IUHMUCX CTpaHaMki ( K ~ P T1).~ BO3pPCT
B
pacnpocTpaHeme
ITpu,ueranue: r p a ~ u uI ~I O, K ~ ~ ~ H Ha H M ~ ~a c ~ o x u t eKapTe, ii He n o n p a 3 y ~ e ~ ao~uuuanbaoro m~
YTBepXAeHAX unu npw3Ha~uxO p r a H ~ 3 a ~ ~0e6ibi e n ~ H e ~ H Hausii. bl~
civ
13. C a ~ o eMennennoe cTapenHe nacenennn 6 y n e ~I I ~ O H C X O A U T ~B cTpanax, rne ~n ~U COKpaTNnaCb TOnbKO He3HaYUTenbHO. K POXnaeMOCTb OCTaeTCn B ~ I C O K O H 2050 r0ny IIpUMepHO OaHa U 3 IIRTI1 CTpaH, CO~JlaCHO IIpOrHO3aM, 6 y n e ~HMeTb c ~ ~ A HB03paCT U ~ HJIXe 30 JET. H a H ~ e ~ epa3BUTbIe e CTpaHbI ~ Y ~ YMM T eTb CaMOe T me Mononoe HaceneHHe, npHseM BoceMb 113 HUX Gyny~nMeTb cpen~ufiB O ~ P ~ CH , ~ B H H ~ XEUcay, 24 neT B 2050 rony, a &menno: Anrona, A a r a ~ u c ~ a n6ypyn~k1, A e ~ o ~ p a ~ n s e Pecny6nHKa c~ax Konro, JIu6ep~s1,Hurep H Yranna ( ~ a p 2). ~a IIPUYUHO~~ 14. KaK yKa3aHO BbIUle, COKpaQeHUe pOXAaeMOCTU SBJIHeTCX OCHOBHO# cTapennn Hacenentix. Ha MHPOBOM ypoBHe n o ~ a 3 a ~ e nponaaeMocTu, b cornacno OQeHKaM, COCTaBJIffeT 2,55 pe6en~aHa XeHmUHY, IIPHMCPHO IlOJIOBHHa YPOBHII B 5 n e ~ e PHa ncenmxny, KOTOP~IE cywecTsoBan B 1950-1 955 ronax ( T ~ ~ J I H3). LW lIp~ cpenaeM BapaanTe poxAaeMocTb B Mupe, cornacHo rrporno3a~,CoKpaTuTcn ewe H m e go 2,02 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa xenwNny. C p e p p ~ eMHpoBbre ~ P O B H H @ O ~ M H P ~ K I T C XC YreTOM pa3nUYHbIX T ~ H A ~ H U BN ~OCHOBHblX ~ rpynIIaX pa3BUTHII. B pa3BHTbIX CTpaHaX B UenOM POXAaeMOCTb B HaCTOIIqee BpeMR COCTaBnXeT 1,60 XeHmUHbI Ha pe6e~~ U, acornacno nporno3a~,6 y ~ Memenno e ~ ysennrHsaTbca no 1,79 pe6en~a Ha X ~ H ~ U H BY 2045-2050 ronax. B HasMenee ~ ~ ~ B M TcTpaHax ~ I X poxnaeMocTb COCTaBnXeT 4,63 pe6eHKa Ha XeHqUHy H OXHAaeTCII, YTO OHa COKPaTJITbCII nOYTU Ha nonossHy no 2,50 pe6en~aHa xeHwuny K 2045-2050 ronaM. B o c ~ a n b ~ b ~ x pa3BHBaKIwUXCX CTpaHaX POXnaeMOCTb yXe cefiYac 3aMeTHO HHXe JI COCTaBnlIeT 2,45 p e 6 e ~ ~Ha xeHwuny H OxunaeTcx, TO oHa CoKpaTmcx ewe H m e no
Ta6nuqa 3 npennoaarae~arrU n p o r ~ o 3 u p y e ~o614an a ~ powaewoc-rb AJIR Mwpa B seJIoM, OCHOBHbIX rpynn pa3BHTHR U OCHOBHbIX PerUOHOB, 1970-1975,2005-2010 U 2045-2050 rOnb1, COrJIaCHO IlPO~H03HPYeMOMYBaPUaHTj' 06yaxpoxdaenrocmb ( c p e b ~ e erucno bemeti Ha x e ~ y u ~ y ) 2045-2050 aobu Oc~osnori~
~ Z U O H
1970-1975 aodu 2005-2010 zodbl
H U ~ K ~CRP ~ ~ H RB R~ Z C O K Heu3ue~nax ~B
Mup B q e n o ~
4,47
2,55
1,54
2,02
2,51
3,49
50JIee pa3BUTbIe perU0Hbl
2,13
1,60
1,29
1,79
2,28
1,68
M e ~ e pa3BUTbIe e pernOHb1
5,41
2,75
1,57
2,05
2,54
3,69
H a u ~ e e e pa3BHTbIe e CTpaHbI
6,61
4,63
2,02
2,50
2,99
5,49
m y r u e ~ a ~ l ~P e~ ~~ Be He CT T~PI~ ~H ~ I
5,25
2,45
1,42
1,91
2,41
3,07
A@pu~a
6,72
4,67
1,97
2,46
2,95
5,47
A~UX
5,04
2,34
1,40
1,90
2,39
2,94
E~pona
2,16
1,45
1,26
1,76
2,26
1,47
a KC X eTHaXOAUTCX ~ H a YpOBHe, H H X e YpOBHX BOCIIpOH3BOACTBa, 16. P O E ~ ~ ~ MT O 45 Pa3BEITbIX C T p a H a X UJIH ~ ~ G o H H~ ax KOTOPbIe , IIPMXOJ(EITCX 19 I I p O q e H T O B MHPOBOrO HaCeJIeHEIX. B 27 N3 HWX, BKJII0YaX AIIOHHH) N ~ O J I ~ J J I I I H C T B OC T p a H , p a c n o n o x e H H b I x B K)m~oii a BOCTOYHO~~ E B ~ o I I ~n ,o ~ a 3 a ~ e n pbo x A a e M o c T u COXpaHXeTCX H a YpOBHe 1,5 p e 6 e ~ K aH a XeHLqNHY. C IIepMOAa 1990-1995 rOAOB CHHXeHEIe P O X n a e M O C T H 6 b 1 n 0 HOPMOLB IIOAaBnXIOIIJeM ~ o J I ~ I I I I I H c T BPa3BEITbIX ~ B 0 BCeX
C T p a H EI BeAeT K CTPeMNTeJIbHOMY C T a p e H N I O HaCeJIeHHX.
cvi
npOAOJlXHTenbHOCTH XH3HH npH POXAeHHki, K O T O P ~ I ~COrnaCHO ~, OUeHKaM, BbIPOC C 58 neT B 1970-1975 ronax no 67 neT B 2005-2010 ronax, KaK oxHnaeTca, 6 y n e ~ L WB 6onee npoAonxaTb pacm H cocTastlT 75 neT B 2045-2050 ronax ( T ~ ~ J I H4). pa3saTbIx peruoHax n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~ysenHseHHe oe cocTasnaeT B HacToxuee sperm ~ I X 77 neT H sb1pacTe-r no 82 neT K cepenme aeKa, a B HauMeHee ~ ~ B H T peruoHax llpOAOJlXHTenbHOCTb XH3HH, COrJIaCHO IIpOrH03aM, YBenM~HTCXC 65 neT B 20052010 ronax no 74 neT B 2045-2050 ronax. Ta6nuqa 4 IIponoJrxcu~enb~oc~a X U ~ H Unpu pomeaua B Mnpe B senoM, B O C H O B H ~ I X rpynnax ~ ~ ~ B U TaUB RO C H O B H ~ I Xpernonax, 2005-2010 a 2045-2050 ronbr
Mnp B qenoM 5onee pa3sn~brepernowbl M e ~ e pe a s s u ~ b ~ pernowbI e Ha~MeHeepa3BlfTble CTPaHbI Apyree HaMMeHee pa3BUTbIe CTPaHbl A+pu~a A3en Espona ~ ~ T U H C KA~ ~R e
p e e~ Kapn6c~nfi a 6acceii~
CeBep~aRA M ~ ~ H K ~ OK~~HAI H c m o v n u ~O : ~ a e nHapogoHaceneHHn A e n a p ~ a ~ no e ~~ ~K Oa H O M H ~ ~ C K IBonpocaM IM C e ~ p e ~ a p aO a ~p raa ~ u s a q e uO ~ ~ ~ A M H Haunii ~ H H (200: ~ I X ron). Mapoebre O ~ T ~ H I ~ ~ Z ~ ~ H R n e ~ o r p a a ~ q e c npor~0361: ~ne ~ 0 6 3 2006 0 ~ ronaw. H~Io-I~oPK, ~ ~ ' ~ ~ A U H ~HanuE. H H ~ I X
19. CpeaH 6onee pa3BMTbIX PerHOHOB B O C T O Y EBpona H ~ ~ HMeeT HaHMeHbIllyH) llpOAOnXUTeJIbHOCTb XH3HH npll POXneHHU, H, 6onee TOrO, B 3TOM PerHOHe HarMHaX C KOHUa 80-XrOAOB ~a6nmnanocb COKpa~eHMe IlpOAOJIXHTenbHOCTU XU3HH. B 2005-2010 rOnaX npOAOJIXHTenbHOCTb XM3HU B 3TOM PerHOHe 6 y n e ~ paBHa 68,6 rona, T.e. MeHbue reM B 1960-1965 ronax (69,3 rona). B Poccaiic~oP e cepbes~oe ysenHseHtie no~a3a~eneii @enepaum H Y ~ p a n ~ ~a6nmnanocb CMePTHOCTH, OTqaCTH B pe3yJlbTaTe PaCIIpOCTpaHeHUSI BUY. 20. H ~ C M O T B nesemri nmneii, UH@IIUEIPOB~HH~IX BMY, n B nene Ha~ nporpecc X 60pb6bI C PaCIIPOCTpaHeHHeM 3 ~ 0 63IIHAeMHH, ee B O ~ ~ ~ % C T CB M TOgKH ~ 3PeHHII n o ~ a 3 a ~ e n3a60ne~ae~oc~11, el CMepTHocTu H MeAneHHbIx TeMnoB pocTa HaceneHua xsnamueiicr npononwaeT ~ a 6 n m n a ~ b cBOs MHorHx c-rpaaax. B IOXHOPA@pn~e,
perHOHOM C naa6onee BbICOKHMH M ~ C I ~ I T ~ ~paClTpOCTpaHeHRR ~ M E I 3 ~ 0 f i~ O J I ~ ~ H H , IIpOAOnXHTeJIbHOCTb XM3HH COKpaTHJIaCb C 62 JleT B 1990-1995 rOAaX A 0 49 JIeT B 2005-2010 rOAaX, H OXHflaeTCII, YTO OHa BpXA JIH BbIpaCTeT A 0 YPOBHR, KOTOP~IG ~ a 6 n r o ~ a n cBaHazIane 90-XI-OAOB, paabrue YeM HaYuHaa c 2045 rona. B pe3ynb~a~e 3 ~ 0 r o TeMnbI pocTa Hacenemrr B perHoHe p e s ~ o ynam H coKpaTHnncb c 2,5 npoueaTa B roA B 1990-1995 roAax no 0,6 npoueHTa B roa B 2005-2010 roAax H IIpeAllOJIaraeTCII, YTO OHM ~ Y A Y TH BIIpeAb COKpauaTbCX B 0 6 0 3 ~ ~~Y A~ Y0~ I~~ M . 21. B K ~ ~~e xAn y ~ a p o n n oMnrpauHa ii B poc~ Hacenentia B naa6onee ~ ~ ~ B H T ~ peraoHax npao6pen Bce 6onbmee s ~ a r e ~ Ba epe3ynb~a~e cHHxeHaa no~asa~eneii POXAaeMOCTH. B TereHHe 2 0 0 5 - ~ O ~ ~ ~ O Y AHO CTO Be YHCJIO MeXA)'HaPOAHbIX MHvaHTOB B HaH60nee pa3BHTbIe perHOHb1, COrJlaCHO npOrH03aM, COCTaBHT 103 MHnnaoHa Yenonerc, s ~ npeAcTasnxeT o c0606 no~a3a~enu, KoTopbIe CBOART Ha B H ~ YHCJla C M ~ P T H ~aA ~ YHCJIOM p0XAe~Hfi HeT B O ~ A ~ ~ ~ C TIIpeBbIIueHHR 3~01-o nepHoAa. (74 ~ u n n n o ~ aKoTopoe ), n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~B cTeseHae n
I X
22. B 2005-2010 roaax YncTaa MHrpaqHs 6onee seM B Asa pasa rrpesbIcHna ( ~ O X ~ ~ ~MHHYC M O C CM~PTHOCT~) T ~ KBK @ ~ K T O ~ pocTa HaceneHua B B O C ~ M HcTpaHax m u peraoaax, a aMeHHo B Eenbr~u,~ O H K O H ~ ~ (Cne4Has1bHbIfi ~ ~ ~ ~ M H H N C T ~ ~ Tpafi0H N B H ~ ~KHT~x), ~ Mcna~Hti, KaHaAe, J h ~ c e ~ 6 y p rCa~ranype, e, UseqHu H ~BeiiqapHH.Ewe B B O C ~ M HCTpaHaX MnH peraoHax racTaa MHrpasHa ~eii~panasosana npeabImeaae mcna c ~ e p ~ e Ha,q ii YHCJIOM P O X A ~ H H ~K . 3THM CTPaHaM OTHOCIITCR ABCTPHR, ~ O C H E I RH ~ ~ P ~ ~ T O B I I H ~ rpeqaa, H~anax,H o p ~ a ~ ~ocTpoea, c ~ ~ l IeI o p ~ y r a n ~C a ,n o s a ~ ~ M aC n o s e ~ m . ~ C T ~ C T B ~ H npHpOCT H ~ I ~ ~HaCeneHkiR
no~a3a~eneiiB nepwoa 2005-2050ro~o~ Pe~HnHeHTaMH MeXAyHaPOAHbIX MHTPBHTOB, COrnaCHO ( l , 1 MHIInHOHa YenOBeK B TOA), lIpOrHO3aM, CTaHYT C O ~ A U H ~~TaTb1 H H ~ IAM~PIIKH ~ s OOO), M~anux (139 OOO), C o e ~ ~ l ~ e n n o e Kanana (200 OOO), r e p ~ a ~ u(150 (130 OOO), ~ c I I ~ H u F(123 I 000) H ABCT~~JIHR (100 000). CTpaHaMEi C KO~OJI~BCTBO ~aki60nee BbICOKHMH IIOKa3aTenlIMH W ~ C T OMHrJ?aqHH, ~~ COKlIaCHO I I ~ O ? H O ~ ~ M , CTaHYT: K ~ ~ a(-329 i i 000 YenOBeK B ~ o A )M , ~ K C H(-306 K ~ OOO), ~IHAHR (-241 000), @ I I ~ U ~ I I A(-1 H ~80 I OOO), ~ ~ K H C T(-1~ 67 H 000) H M H A O H ~ (-164 ~ U ~ 000). 23.
C
TOYKH
OCHOBHbIMH
~ P ~ H H Rcpe,qHMx
YHCTbIMH
cviii
,
6ynyIJpX HaCeJIeHMe KtIXA0fi CTPaHbI lIPO~H03HPYeTCX HCXOnX H3 O q e H K H
sacneHHocTH HaceneHHx
Ha
l amnx 2005 rona.
I T o c ~ o n b ~g ye ~ o r p a @ ~ ~ e c ~ ~ l e
AaHHbIe H ~ o ~ X ~ ~ T ~M HeTO 6 y~ aJyI~M bCX B HaJIHYHH K
TO# HaTe, OUeHKH 2005 rOAa ocyuec-rarmmTcr Ha ocriose ~ a ~ 6 o n nocnenmx ee naHHbIx o HapoAoHaceneHMu no ~amnoiicTpase, KoTopbIe nonyqamTcx O ~ ~ I Y HBOxone nepenHcM HaceneHHx Hnu n3 peecTpa HaponoHaceneHm nyTeM HX npoewposaHun Ha 2005 ron, ucnonb3yrr Bce E i M e I O u H e C X AaHHbIe 0 POXAaeMOCTEi H CMepTHOCTM H TeHAeHUHH MeX,IlyHap~nH~fi M k i q a U M M MeXAy A C X O A H O ~ ~ ~aT0fiHMeIOllJHXCX BaHHbIX 0 HapOAOHaCeneHHH H
1 HIOJIX 2005 rOna. B TeX CnyW3XX, K O r n a nOCJIeAHMe AaHHbIe 0 KOMIIOHeHTaX POCTa HaceneHHx H e HMemTcx B pacnopxmeHm, osenombre ~ e ~ o r p a @ u ~ e c ~ t i e npennonoxeHHa npencTaBnamT co6oii nporwosb~, B OCHOBY KOTOP~IX nonoxeHb1 CaMbIe IIOCneAHMe HMelomHeCX AaHHble. AaHHbIe 0 Hap0,QOHaCeJIeHHHH3 BCeX
HCTOYHHKOB
nonsepramca
nOCJIe~OBaTeJIbHOCTM
H
oqeHKe B
HMX
c
TOPKM 3pennx HX nonHoTbI, TOPHOCTH BHOCXTCX
B
CnyYae
M
H~O~XO~UMOCTU
C O O T B e T C T B y I O ~ H eK O P ~ ~ K T U B ~ I ~ .
AJIR COCTaBJIeHHII llpOl"HO3a YHCneHHOCTH HaCeJIeHHX no 2050 r0na OTA~JI HaponoHaceneHclrr O p r a ~ n s a u u ~Ol ~ I . ~ A H H ~ HHau~lii H ~ I X ncnonb3ye~ nocbInKH, KaCaIOwHeCX 6 y n y w ~ x T ~ H J ( ~ BH o~6 M n a ~c ~ ~PxOXAaeMOCTH, CMePTHOCTH H M e X n y ~ a p 0 ~ ~ 0M fH i TpaUMM. TeHneHlJHH, rOTOBHTCX
nyHKTaX
BKpaTqe
~ O C K O I I ~ K YHeJIb3II
TOYHO
PXA npOI'HO3UpyeMkdX BapHaHTOB.
~YAYWE~~
OIIpe,IleJIHTb
B
HHXeCneayIOuHX
H3JIaralOTCX OCHOBHbIe IIpennOCbIJIKH, JIeXaWHe
B
OCHOBe
~ o r p a @ ~ r e no~asa~eneii c~~lx H a nepkion, ~ a ~ n ~ a ~ o w s i iBc r r 2005 rony H s a ~ a ~ s ~ s a l o w u f i Bc a 2050ro~y. Eonee I I O A ~ O ~ H Oonucame ~ p a s n a s ~ b ~nxp e ~ n o n o x e ~c~oi ~ i e p x ~ l ~B cToMe a I11 ((MHpoBbIe n e ~ o r p a @ ~ ' ~ e c ~ u e npOrH03bI: 0 6 3 0 ~ 2006 rona)) (~OTOBHTCX K n y 6 n ~ ~ a s ~ u ) . pa3pa60~~ ~~ e
n p e n n o n o x e ~ ~ aoTHocmenbno PoxnaeMocTH cneAymwtix rpynn cTpaa:
113naram~c11 C
yyeToM
OGtqee onucame npoqenyp, u c n o n a s y e ~ b ~,qnr x nepecMoTpa oqeHoK A ~ M ~ H ~ HHaceneHun M R CM. "Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections" (pp. 100-104) in World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publications, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.7).
CO C ~ ~ ~ Hy pU0 6M H e M p O ~ d a e M 0 c m U : CTpaHbI,
CmpaHM
coepauanacb, XeHmHHy B
O64uii
ee
oaHaKo
2000-2005
eue
yposeHb
cocTasnrrn
r A e POXAaeMOCTb
m l u e 2,1 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa
rOAaX;
cornacno n p e A n o n o m e H m M 1,85 p e 6 e ~ K Ha a X e H u U H Y . O ~ H ~HK e BCe O CTpaHbI A O C T H ~ H ~ T 3 ~ 0 r o~ P O B H I I B T e q e H u e npor~03npye~oro nepuoaa, T.e. K 2045-2050 rOAaM. npoyeflypa p a 3 p a 6 0 ~I I p~O~T H 0 3 0 B H e 3 H a Y U T e n b H O pEl3nUSaeTCX B 3aBHCHMOCTH OT TOTO, H M e n a n H C T p a H a o64uH lIOKa?aTeJIb POXAaeMOCTH B b I l u e unu H u x e 1,85 p e 6 e ~ H~ aam e H w u H y B 2000-2025 rofiax. y p o s e H b p o x A a e M o c T u BO B c e x c T p a H a x
IlOCTeIleHHO 6 y A e T CHUHtaTbCR A 0 YPOBHR
C B ~ I C O K O ~Unki ~
P O X A Z ~ ~ M O C TB~ C T p a H a X
C P ~ A HPOXAaeMOCTblO, ~ ~
KaK
nonyre~~oH i ia o c H o s e ~onenefi COKPaqeHUII POXAaeMOCTH, p a 3 p a 6 0 ~ a ~ ~ b I OTA~JIOM x HapOAOHaCeneHUR o p ~ 2 l H H 3 a ~ H EOi ~ ~ ~ ~ E I H Ha ~g ~H liH iHa ~ OCHOBe I X I I p O I l I n O r O O n b I T a BCeX CTpaH, me P O X A a e M O C T b C H H X a n a C b B T e q e H U e 1950-2000 r0AOB. B 3TMX MOAenlIX YPOBeHb o64eii p o x A a e M o c T H B T e r e m e o n p e n e n e a H o r o nepuona c o c T a s n x e T c a H a o c a o B e c p e A H e r o n p e A n o n a r a e M o r o y p o B H n C H u x c e H u s o64efi p o x a a e M o c T u B T e s e H u e c n e A y m q e r o nepuoga. Ecnu o6wufi no~a3a~enb p o x n a e M o c T u , nporno3upye~oiic I I O M O u b I o 3~0fi MOAeJIN AJIR KaK0fi-TO CTpaHbI, CHHXaeTCII A 0 lIOKa3aTeJIH 1,85 p e 6 e ~ K a H a X e H m M H Y A 0 2050 I'OAa, TO o614aa P O X A a e M O C T b CYkiTaeTClI
6 y n e ~c n e n o s a T b
npeAnaraeTca,
TenneHsau,
~ O C T O I I H H OH~ a~ 3TOM YPOBHe H a B e C b O C T ~ B J I I R ~ C CpOK R n p O r H 0 3 U p y e M O r O lTepUOJ@
(~.e.A 0 2050 rofla). COOTB~TCTB~HHO, Y p O B e H b B 1,85 p e 6 e ~ K a H a XeHII(UHy n p e A c T a s n a e T co6ofi c a M y m H H ~ K Y H )aenuruay, H u x e K O T O P O ~06uax ~ PoxcgaeMocTb B C T p a H a X C B ~ I C O K OH~ ~~ p e ~ ~POXAaeMOCTblO efi H e A O n X H a Y n a C T b A 0 2050 I'OAa. O ~ H ~ ~Ke 0O6 5 I 3 a ~ e n b ~ 9~0661 0, BCe CTPaHbI AOCTArJIU MHHUMaJIbHOTO YPOBHII K 2050 rOAy. Ecnu Xe MOAeJIb H3MeHeHUR POXAaeMOCTH IIPHBOAUT K IIOKa3aTeJIIO o64efi P O X A a e M O C T U CBbIIIle 1,85 p e 6 e ~ ~H aa X e H I Q H H Y K 2045-2050 rOAaM, TO TOT n o ~ a 3 a ~ e n ~f ci n o n b s y e ~ Ac ns a nporno3upo~a~ux rucneHHocTu HaceneHua. B0
BCeX
CJlyWlRX
npOrH03IipyeMbIe
TeHaeHQHH
POXABeMOCTU,
KOTOPbIe
~ o ~ e J I e COnOCTaBlrXlOTCR fi, C CaMbIMA nOCJIeAHUMU 06nac~upOXAaeMOCTH no K a X A 0 f i C T p a H e . B T e X C n y q a X X , K O r n a
OnpeAeJIRIoTCX C IIOMOLlJbH) 3TUX TeHaeHgHRMH B IIOCJIeHHUe
TeHAeHqHH
POXAaeMOCTH
B
TO^
UnH
H ~ 0 f i CTpaHe
3HaYUTenbHO
paCX0ARTCR C T ~ H A ~ H U H KOTOpaSl ~ ~ ~ , COOTBeTCTByeT 3TUM MOAenXM, TO P O X A a e M O C T b
n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~Hca n~
a ~ a n b ~n eb p~H oi Ai B
o T p a n c a n a n o c n e A H H e AaHHbIe.
nocne
5 unu 10 n e T
TaKHM
o6pa30~,Y
T O ~ o~ HI a
3~01-o n e p e x o A H o r o n e p H o A a B H O B ~H a r u H a e T
IIpUMeHRTbCR ~ ~ J ~ o x ~ BHMOAeJIH H ~ I ~n P O T H 0 3 . H a I I p u ~ e p B , OTHOIlIeHAU C T p a H , POXAaeMOCTb
COXpaHRnaCb
CBtiAeTenbCTBylO~HX POXCAaeMOCTb
0
Ha
OAHOM YpOBHe
COKpaueHHH
6 y ~ COXpaHHTbCR e ~
ElnA
rAe
POXAaeMOCTH,
He
UMeeTCII
npeAIIOJIaraeTCR,
H a IIOCTORHHOM Y p O B H e H a IIPOTXXeHUM
HeCKOnbKHX n e T A 0 TOTO, KaK HaMeTHTCII T e H A e H q H P K
ee CHHXeHMH).
me
AaHHbIX, STO
ewe
1,85 p e 6 e ~ ~Haa m e ~ r r ~B ~2000-2005 ~ y ronax, n p e n n o n a r a e T c a , r T o B nepsbrx n m a H n H A e c x T a n e T n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~ nepnona oro POXAaeMOCTb 6 y n e ~COOTBeTCTBOBaTb HeAaBHO ~ a 6 J I H l n a e ~ bT1e H~ n e H q H X M B K ~ X A OC T~p a~H e . nocne n e p e x o A H o r o n e p H o n a n p e n n o n a r a e T c x , YTO P o x n a e M o c T b 6 y ~ He H~H ~ ~ ~ H O ~ 0 3 p a c ~ aT e~Mbn a M u B 0,05 p e 6 e ~ H ~ aam e H q u H y B T e q e H H e n s T M n e T H e r o nepuona. T ~ K H OM~ ~ U O M CTpaHbI, , r A e B HaCTOXWee BpeMX P O X n a e M O C T b XBJIXeTCX H U ~ K O ~ ~ , H ~ o ~ x ~ ~ T ~nOCTHrHYT J I ~ H o S O B H I I l,85 p e 6 e ~ K H a a X e H u H H Y K 2050 rOAY. Hmce
TeseHHe
H p H HCIlOlIb3OBaHHH B a p H a H T a C B ~ I C O K OPOXAaeMOCTbIO ~~ ~POrH03NPYeTCR,
6 y n e ~I I p e B b I W a T b H a 0,5 p e 6 e ~ ~ n oa~ a 3 a ~ e npOXAaeMOCTH b npH 6onbmeii 9 a C T A I I p O r H O 3 H p y e M O r O n e p H O A a . K 2045-2050ro~a~ P O X n a e M O C T b B B a p H a H T e C B ~ I C O K O ~P~O X A a e M O C T b I o COOTBeTCTBeHHO 6 y ~ He a ~n o n p e 6 e ~ ~Bab I m e , 9 e M npa C p e n H e M B a p H a H T e . M u a ~ e rOBOpR, CTpaHbI, KOTOPbIe AOCTHrHYT 061qem nOKa3aTeJlR pOX,llaeMOCTH B 1,85 p e 6 e ~ ~ H aa X e H q I i H y I I p H C p e a H e M B a p H a H T e , H M e I o T o6qym p O X A a e M O C T b B 2,35 p e 6 e ~ K aH a X e H U H H Y IIPM B a p H a H T e C B ~ I C O K O POXAaeMOCTblO ~~ B KOHqe n p o r ~ o 3 ~ p y e ~ nepuona. oro 9TO POXflaeMOCTb
C p e n H e M B a p H a H T e H a IIpOTXXeHHH
Aria
K~X~O CTPaHbI G
IIOKa3aTeJIb POXAaeMOCTEi YCTaHaBJIHBaeTCX H a YpOBHe,
0 6 e c n e ~ e ~YHCTOrO ~x n o K a 3 a T e J I R BOCIIpOH3BOACTBa, P a B H O r O e n H H H q e H a Y H H U C 2005-2010 rOnOB. n o K a 3 a ~ e J I bP O X n a e M O C T I i B a p b H p y e T C f l B T e Y e H k i e o c ~ a n b ~ os ia ic T u n p o r ~ 0 3 ~ p y e ~ nepuona oro TaKHM 06pa30~,TO Y H C T ~ I ~ ~ H~O~XO~HMO nJIR M
IIOKa3aTeJIb
BOCIlPOM3BOACTBa
06ecnerkisae~B HaceneHHx.
IIO-npeXHeMy
TeYeHue n p o n o n m u T e n b H o r o
OCTaeTCX
nepsoaa
PaBHbIM
eAHHMqe,
9TO
B p e M e H u BOCIIpOH3BOACTBO
OpI'a~Fi3aqHU O ~ % ~ ~ H H ~ H H H a~ qI ~Xi i . B ~ e 3 ~ a 9 U ~ e J I b ~ b I IIpHpOCT fi n p O ~ O J l X H T e J l b H O C T HXH3HH.
IIO
3TMX
Mepe
MOAeJIXX
IIpenyCMaTpHBaeTCX
6onee
nOCTHXeHHX
0 ~ 6 ~0fleJIefi 0 ~ AnX
B~ICOKO~
K ~ ? K A oC~l p a H b I OCHOBbIBaeTCX
p a 3 6 ~ ~ ~IIO 0 fIIOny. i Aria BEIY/Cl-IMAa, 0 6 b 1 9 ~ 0ElCIIOnb3yeTCX
H a IIOCnenHHX TeHJJeHqHIIX IIpOnOJIXUTeJIbHOCTH X H 3 H H C C T p a H , C e p b e 3 H O IIOCTpanaBlJlHX OT 3 I I H n e M H U
MOneJIb, BKIIWYaIOUIaX HH3KHe lTOKa3aTeJIH CHHXeHHR CMePTHOCTH, C T e M Y T O ~ ~ I cnpoeqHposaTb
s a ~ e n n e ~ B~ ec o K p a w e H m
onpeneneHHoe
o6wero
pHcKa
CMepTHOCTH, H e C B R ~ ~ H HC O BWI/C~-IHAOM. ~ ~
M o ~ e n b ,p X i p a 6 0 ~ a H H a M ~ ~ T O ~ H Y ~ C rpynII0fi KO~~
I O H ~ E ~ A CIIO
BOIIpOCaM
OqeHKH, MOneJIHPOBaHHX U I I P 0 ~ ~ 0 3 E i ~ 0 ~ aHCIIOJlb3YeTCX ~ ~ X 7 , AJIX COIlOCTaBJleHHX IIpOIllnbIX OqeHOK P a C n p O C T p a H e H H X 113 n o c T p a n a s m H x c T p a a ,
c
BHq,
IIOArOTOBJIeHHbIX
IIpoIIIJIofi AMHaMHKH 3IIHAeMHFi I I 0 K a m 0 f i U 3 HUX. CTpaH,
TO
MOneJIb
IOH~E~,L(C IIO K a X n o f i nm onpeneneam
T e M 9 ~ 0 6 b 1p a 3 p a 6 0 ~ a ~n ba p a M e T p b 1
KOPPeKTUPYeTCX
HCXOnX
H3
YTO KaCaeTCX
IIPenIIOJIOXeHHX
60JIbJlIkiHc~~a
0
TOM,
YTO
C O O T B e T C T B y I o q H e I I a p a M e T p b I O C T a B a n H C b IIOCTOXHHMMH B IIPOLIIJIOM. H a 9 H H a X C
2005 rona
PHI, K O T O P M ~ ~0 T p a x a e - r n o ~ a 3 a ~ e n b n o n ~ e p x e ~ ~PHCKY o i i ~ P Y I I I I ~HOBHMH I HHAHBH~YYMaMU, AOIIXeH C O K p a w a T b C X HaIIOnOBHHY K a m b I e 20 n e T . n a p a ~ e R, ~p ~ o ~ o p b n~p ie ni c T a B n x e T co6ofi c T e n e H b M H ~ ~ K ~ N C oNr n, a c H o n p o r ~ o 3 a A ~ o, n x e H c o K p a w a T b c r r H a n o n o s m y K a m n b I e 30 n e T . C o ~ p a q e ~ n a~ p aeM e T p a R o T p a x a e T npennonaraeTca,
nononHeHm rpynnb1
YTO n a p a M e - r p
B~ICOKOI-o pmxa
UJIH
I I p e n I I O J I O X e H H e 0 TOM, 9 T O H3MeHeHMII B IIOBeneHHH JIHq, IIOABepXeHHbIX PHCKY NH@~KUHH,
a
TaKxe pacrunpeHne
nocTyna
K neYeHnm
nnx
s a p a m e ~ ~ bnnq ~ x
npHBe.L(yT K C H H X e H H I o B03MOXHOCTH U e p e A a Y H B U p y C a .
B ((063ope 2006 r o n a ) )
npenoTBpaweHHe
nepenasn
MH@~K~IIH OT M a T e p H
no 13 IIpOqeHTOB B 2005 r O A y C p e A H 62 nOCTpaAaBIIIHX CTpaH, OgHaKO OHH B a p b H p y I o T C X OT 0 80 90 I I p O q e H T O B B 3THX C T p a n a x . ~ T no~a3a~ent.i H O x B a T a , cornacno n p o r ~ o 3 a CocTaBrrT ~, 60 n p o u e H T o B B c p e n H e M K 2015 rony, n p H r e M OHM 6yfly~B a p b u p o B a T b c x B npenenax OT 40 no 100 npoqemos B n o c T p a A a B m H x c ~ ~ a ~nocne a x ~2015 . roga n p e n n o n a r a e T c x , YTO p e 6 e H ~ yM O ~ e J l F f p y e T C X C HCIIOJIb30BaHHeM OUeHOYHbIX l T o K a 3 a ~ e J I e f i OXBaTa
KOHKPeTHbIM
CTpaHaM,
KOTOPbIe
COCTaBHJlH
httpl/:www.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unite for Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical An-
B
IIOKa3aTene
pX3JIHYHbIe
2006 renal)
BbIXEIBaeMOCTEI
BapHaHTbI
AOCTyIIa
ne~efi'
MH+HL(HPOB~HH~IX IIeAHaTPHYeCKOMY
YYUTbIBaIoTCX
J I ~ Y ~ H M I ~B~ .
n e T u , a ~ @ ~ q a p o e a ~ BEN, ~ b r e pa3nenrrm~crrH a A s e r p y n n b r :
A H ~ N U U P O B ~ H H J BkIg ~~ CTpeMUTeJIbHO
1,3 r O A a ,
pe3yJrbTaTe
l?pynHOrO M
B
y~p06e,
CpenH
C P ~ A H H ~IIOKa3aTeJlb ~
U
COCTaBIIiIeT MeAJIeHHO
K
ii) AeTH,
H
cpenHHfi
BO3PaCT
60ne3Hb
IIpOTeKaeT
COrJlaCHO
MOgenH,
IIH~H~IIPOB~HH B~ m I ~ n O C J I e POXAeHUR
BCKapMJIHBaHHX,
nere~un". uene~oeB K n I o v e H H e
KOTOPbIX
BbIXHBaeMOCTU,
<
CpeAU
BbIXEfBaHHH
KOTOpbIX
B
6 o n e s ~ b IIpOTeKaeT
COCTaBnXeT 1 4 n e ~6e3 neream o c y ~ e c ~ ~ n a eH~a c x
KOTOpbIX
nenHaTpmecKoro
no KOHKPeTHbIM C T p a H a M , K O T O P ~ I ~COCTaBJIXeT ~ B 2005 r O n y , OnHaKO B a p b H p y e T C X B I l p e A e J I a X OT 0 a0 99 I I p O q e H T O B CpeAEi 62 IIOCTpaAaBIllHX CTpaH. K 2015 I'OAy ~ P O ~ H O ~ H P Y ~ M ~ I # OXBaT, C O ~ l l a C H O OqeHKaM, COCTaBHT ~ O I I P O ~ ~ H T Q BB CpeflHeM H 6yne~ BapbHpOBaTbCX OT 40 no 100 IIpOUeHTOB C p e a k i I I O C T p a n a B l u k i X C T ~ ~ H ' .Y P O B ~ H ~ oxBaTa n o - n p e x ~ e ~ Oy c T a e T c x ~ O C T O I I H H ~ I MB n e p H o A M e x A y 2015 U 2050 r o A a M H H a YpOBHe, nOCTUrHYTOM B K ~ U K A OC~T~p a H e K 2015 r O n y . E x e r o n ~ b I f iI I O K a 3 a T e n b OCHOBe
IIOKa3aTenSl
CpenHeM
OXBaTa
9 IIpOUeHTOB
BbIXHBallUSl
ReTefi,
B
IIOnyWUOuUX
IIeseHUe,
COCTaBJIXeT
95
nPOUeHTOB,
TaKHM
19,5 n e T , cnyrae OTC~TCTBHX npyrux
O ~ P ~ ~ Ocpea~kifi M , IIOKa3aTeJIb lIpOAOJuKHTenbHOCTH UX X H 3 H H COCTaBnlIeT
a c p e ~ ~ unfoiK m a T e n 6
n p o n o n m I i T e n b H o c T H X H ~ H UB
IIPHYHH C M e p T H COCTaBJlReT
nnn ~ H
13,5 n e ~ ~ .
<<0630~ 2006 rOfia)) I I p e A y C M a T p H B a e T 6 6 n b m y m IIpOAOJIXHTenbHOCTb X H 3 H N nnq, nony.ra10uux nereme c noMoUbm B~ICOKO~KTUBHO~~ T H ~ ~ T ~ O B H T e p~a I~ I HIU I ~ (APT). H O ~ Aonx BHY-IIO~HTUBHO~O HaCeneHHR,
lTOJIyqaEOUer0 IIO,L(rOTOBJIeHHbIM
JIeYeHUe
B
K ~ X A O ~ C~T p a H e ,
COOTBeTCTByeT
OUeHKaM,
B c e ~ k l p ~ o i 0i ~ r a H 1 1 3 a ~ H e f i 3 ~ p a ~ ~ ~ ~ p a ~ KOTOPbIe e ~ ~ R 1 B1 ,
25 IIPOUeHTOB B 2005 r O n y , OAHaKO B a p b H p O B a n M C b B 0 no l00 n p o q e m o B cpenki 62 n o c T p a n a B u r u x mpaa. Cornac~o IIpOrHO3aM, OXBaT 6 y n e ~COCTaBnIITb OT 40 a0 100 I I p O q e H T O B K 2015 r 0 A y U B C p e A H e M COCTaBnIITb 60 IIpOueHTOB AnX IIOCTpanaBIUHX CTpaH. B I I e p A O ~M e X A y CpenHeM
COCTaBJlHJlki
npenenax
OT
nexes). See Table 1. Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV (pp. 29-3 1) and Table 2. Providing paediatric treatment (pp. 32-34). URL:www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. Stover, J., N. Walker, N.C. Grassly, and M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract~pl~3/iii45. 10 Boerma, J.T., K.A. Stanecki, M.L. Newell, C. Luo, M. Beusenberg, G.P. Garnett, K. Little, J.G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J.Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, and P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145-150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf. 11 World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. See Annex 1. Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antiretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middle-income countries (pp. 71-76). URL: http://www.who.int/hiv/fullreport_en~highres.pdf.
2015 H 2050 r O n a M H ypoaae, nocTHrHyToM
IIOKa3aTenH OXBaTa B
~ a x n o f i cTpaHe
6 y g y ~OCTaBaTbCX lIOCTOXHHbIMH H a K 2015 rony. Ilpennonarae~cx, YTO
B3pOCJIbIe JIIoAH, IlOJIyYaIoWHe JIeYeHHe B CpeAHeM MMeEOT ~ O - I I ~ O ~ ~ WaHC HTHH~~ BbIXMTb
c
KW~IG
TOA B CJIyWle OTCYTCTBHS APYrMX nPHYHH CMePTH.
B COOTBeTCTBHH
3~0fn i p e ~ n o c b ~ n ~cpenHm ofi npoAonxEiTenbHocTb X U ~ H Hnocne
Harana nereHm 9,5 JET, a c ~ ~ ~ HIIOKa3aTeJIb H G BbIXHBaHMX COCTaBJIXeT 6,6 JIeT npH OTCYTCTBHH npyrux npuYHH CMepTH. Hpennonarae~cx,YTO neyeHue HaYuHaeTcX B MOMeHT, KOrna MMeeT MeCTO I I o J I H o M ~ c I U T ~ ~3a60JIe~a~He HO~ CHHAOM. Ees COCTaBJIXeT
JIeYeHHX H H @ u ~ M ~ o B B3pOCJIbIe ~ H H ~ I ~JIHUa HMeH)T CPeAHIoH) IlPOnOnXHTeJIbHOCTb XH3HM
nOpXAKa HByX JIeT IIOCJIe HaClynJIeHHX I I O J I H O M ~ C I I I T ~3a60nesa~ua ~HO~O
C~EIAOM".
3.
Ijrpednonoxenue omnocumenbno neumennoti cMepmnocmu
1.
I7pednonoxenue omnocumenbno ~ o p ~ a n b n o~tui z p a y u u
2,
llpednonoxenue omnocumenbno nyneeoti Muzpayuu
HeU3MeHHbIM
IIOKa3aTeJIeM
CMePTHOCTU
MOXHO
CpaBHUBaTb
C
pe3YJIbTaTaMU
C p e A H e r O B a p H a H T a AJIX O u e H K U I I O C J I ~ A C T B UU3MeHeHUR ~~ CMePTHOCTU H a A p y r U e
n e ~ o r p a @ ~ s e cn a~p a~Mee T p b 1 . A ~ a n o r u r ~Boa p H a H T c ~ y n e ~ o i~i n r p a u ~ e i i : OTJIH%3eTCR
OT C P e A H e r O B a p U a H T a TOnbKO
B
OTHOIUeHUU
OCHOBOIIOJI~~~IO~~~~
~ e X ~ y ~ a p 0 MHTpaqHEI. ~ ~ 0 f i ~ O ~ T O M BY a p A a H T C ~ y n e ~ o~i ui r p a u ~ enioin y c K a e T o u e H K y nocnenc~suii,K o T o p b I e s U c T a x M U r p a u H x , H e pasaax HYJIIO, U M e e T H a apyrne g e ~ o r p a @ ~ s e c ~ n aup aeM e T p b 1 . H a ~ o ~ e u , BapUaHT C HeH3MeHHbIMA IIOKa3aTeJlBMH AMeeT TaKNe Xe IIOKa3aTeJIU IIpeAIIOCbIJIKU
OTHOCUTeJIbHO
M ~ X J ( ~ H ~ ~ O MEITalJHU, A H O ~ ~ KBK ¶TO
A
c p e f l ~ U f i BapUaHT,
OAHaKO
lTOCJIeAHer0
TeM,
CMePTHOCTU.
~ O ~ T O MlTpU Y C p a B H e H H A CO C p e n H A M BapHaHTOM
A a I o T IIpeACTaBJIeHHe
OH
MMeeT
'HeU3MeHHbIe
0 B O ~ A ~ ~ ~ C T BA3MeHeHUR HM
IIOKa3aTeJIH
OTJIUsaeTCR
POXAaeMOCTH
U
er0 pe3yJIbTaTbI n0~a3a~eJIefi POXHaeMOCTH U
CMePTHOCTU H a IIOJlyYaeMbIe pe3YJIbTaTbI.
TaGnma 5 B ~ ~ H ~IIPOI'HOJOB H T ~ I C TOYKH
OT
3 p e H H U I I p e ~ I I O J I O X e H H UOTHOCHTeJIbHO
POWAaeMOCTH, CMePTHOCTH H M ~ W Y H ~ P O ~ ~ M HHOr P~l l~N H H
* ~ ~ O A O J I X U T ~ J I ~ H O XN3HM CT~
B ~ ~ ~ - I I o ~ H T u B H ~ne~efi Ix YBeJIUYUJIaCb
no
CPaBHeHUlO C P a H e e HC~Onb3OBaBIUHMUCHMOAeJIRMM H e TOJIbKO B OTHOIUeHUU
ne~efi,nonyqamuux neqenue,
HO TaKxce N B O T n o m e H u u
ge~eii,K o T o p b l e ero
He nonysamT.
BIIocJI~AcTBUU
nonyreHue
cornacHo AOJIXHbI
APT no
Monenuposanncb
~KC~~HUUTHO K , ~ Kno
K P O M ~TOrO, n p o r ~ o 3 an~o,c n e , q c T s a a n e p e A a r H 3a60nesa~uaOT MaTepM p e 6 e ~ ~ y COKPaTUTbCII no M e p e TOrO, KaK PaCIUUpXeTCH n0CT)'II XeHWUH K
OTHOIUeHUlO K AeTXM,
TaK U
OTHOIUeHUH) K B3POCnbIM.
neqeHum.
cxvi
Prefacio El presente informe contiene un resumen de los resultados de la Revisión de 2006 de las estimaciones y proyecciones oficiales de población mundial que prepara la División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas. La Revisión de 2006 es la 20” serie de estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas mundiales que prepara la División de Población desde 1950. Los resultados completos de la Revisión de 2006 se publicarán en una serie de tres volúmenes que se están preparando actualmente. En el primer volumen1 figurarán cuadros completos en que se recogen los principales indicadores demográficos correspondientes a cada país respecto del período 1950-2050; en el segundo volumen2, se presentará la distribución por edad y sexo de la población de cada país respecto del mismo período, y en el tercero3 se hará un análisis de los resultados obtenidos. Algunos datos también estarán disponibles en formato digital y podrán consultarse en el sitio web de la División de Población, www.unpopulution.org. Los usuarios interesados podrán adquirir un CD-ROM con los resultados completos de la Revisión de 2006. En el sitio web de la División de Población se presentará una descripción de los datos contenidos en los distintos CD-ROM disponibles y se facilitará un formulario para encargarlos. La Revisión de 2006 es responsabilidad de la División de Población. Las comisiones regionales, especialmente la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe, así como el Programa conjunto de las Naciones Unidas sobre el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana y el síndrome de inmunodeficiencia adquirida (ONUSIDA), y los organismos especializados y otros órganos competentes de las Naciones Unidas, que colaboraron con la División, facilitaron su preparación. Entre las fuentes más importantes de estadísticas de población nacionales oficiales consultadas para la preparación de estas estimaciones y proyecciones destacan el Demographic Yearbook de las Naciones Unidas y sus bases de datos complementarias, de cuya elaboración y mantenimiento se encarga la División de Estadística del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas. La División de Población agradece a la División de Estadistica su permanente cooperación, Para más información sobre la Revisión de 2006, se ruega dirigirse a la Sra. Hania Zlotnik, Directora de la División de Población, Naciones Unidas, Nueva York, NY 10017 (Estados Unidos de América) (fax: 1 212 963 2147).
1
2
3
World PopuIa¿ion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, de próxima aparición).
cxvii
Resumen La Revisión de 2006 es la 20" serie de estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas oficiales de las Naciones Unidas que prepara la División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de la Organización. Esas estimaciones y proyecciones se utilizan en todo el sistema de las Naciones Unidas como base para actividades en que se precisa información demográfica. La Revisión de 2006 toma como base la Revisión de 2004 e incorpora los resultados de la serie de censos de población nacionales de 2000 y de los estudios especializados realizados recientemente en todo el mundo. Estas fuentes proporcionan información demográfica y de otro tipo para evaluar los avances realizados en el cumplimiento de los objetivos de desarrollo convenidos a nivel internacional, entre ellos los objetivos de desarrollo del Milenio. El examen exhaustivo de las tendencias demográficas mundiales hasta la fecha y las proyecciones para el futuro que se presentan en la Revisión de 2006 proporcionan la información demográfica que se necesita para evaluar el cumplimiento de esos objetivos. Según la Revisión de 2006, la población mundial seguramente aumentará en 2.500 millones de habitantes en los próximos 43 años, pasando de los actuales 6.700 millones a 9.200 millones en 2050. Este aumento equivale al total de población que había en el mundo en 1950 y corresponderá sobre todo a las regiones menos desarrolladas, cuya población se prevé que aumentará de 5.400 millones en 2007 a 7.900 millones en 2050. Por el contrario, la población de las regiones más desarrolladas se mantendrá al mismo nivel, es decir, en 1.200 millones de habitantes, y sufriría una disminución si no fuera por la migración neta prevista desde los países en desarrollo a los países desarrollados, de un promedio de 2.300.000 personas al año a partir de 2010. Como consecuencia de la disminución de la fecundidad y del aumento de la longevidad, las poblaciones de un número cada vez mayor de países están envejeciendo rápidamente. Entre 2005 y 2050, la mitad del aumento de la población mundial se deberá al aumento de la población de 60 o más años de edad, mientras que el número de niños (personas de menos de 15 años de edad) sufrirá una ligera disminución. Por otra parte, en las regiones más desarrolladas, se prevé la casi duplicación de la población de 60 años o más (de 245 millones en 2005 a 406 millones en 2050), mientras que la de menos de 60 años seguramente descenderá (de 971 millones en 2005 a 839 millones en 2050). La Revisión de 2006 confirma la existencia de dinámicas demográficas diferentes en las distintas regiones del mundo. A nivel mundial, la población sigue aumentando y habrá superado los 9.000 millones en 2050, pero en las regiones más desarrolladas apenas varía y se producirá un notable envejecimiento. Como ya se ha señalado, prácticamente todo el crecimiento demográfico está ocurriendo en las regiones menos desarrolladas y especialmente en los 50 países menos adelantados, muchos de los cuales siguen teniendo poblaciones relativamente jóvenes que en el futuro previsible envejecerán sólo moderadamente. En el resto de los países en desarrollo se producirá un rápido envejecimiento de la población. Bajo estas pautas diferentes de crecimiento y cambios en la estructura de edad subyacen tendencias claras de fecundidad y mortalidad. En las regiones más desarrolladas predomina la fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo,
cxviii
que seguramente se mantendrá hasta 2050. La fecundidad sigue siendo alta en la mayoría de los paises menos adelantados y, si bien se prevé que disminuirá, seguirá siendo superior en esos países que en el resto del mundo, En los demás países en desarrollo, la fecundidad ha descendido de forma notable desde finales de los años sesenta, y en la mayoria de ellos se prevé que para 2050 se habrá llegado a un nivel por debajo del nivel de reemplazo. En los países del mundo desarrollado con economias de mercado establecidas la mortalidad es baja y sigue disminuyendo, pero en una serie de países de economía en transición se ha estancado o incluso ha aumentado, en buena parte como consecuencia del deterioro de las condiciones sociales y económicas y, en algunos casos, a causa de la propagación del virus de inmunodeficiencia humana. La mortalidad está disminuyendo también en la mayoría de los países en desarrollo, si bien ha aumentado en los muy afectados por la epidemia del v i m de inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH) y el síndrome de inmunodeficienciaadquirida (SIDA). La epidemia del VIHISIDA sigue propagándose. En la Revisión de 2006 aparecen 62 países con un número considerable de personas infectadas, frente a 60 en la Revisión de 2004 y 53 en la Revisión de 2002. Aunque la prevalencia del VIH en algunos paises se ha revisado a la baja desde 2004 gracias a los nuevos datos representativos nacionales disponibles desde hace poco, el número de víctimas de la enfermedad es todavía alto y probablemente seguirá siéndolo, pese a la reducción prevista de la prevalencia. El logro de una prevalencia más baja del VIH, conforme a las proyecciones, dependerá de que los gobiernos cumplan los compromisos contraídos en la Declaración del Milenio4, aprobada en 2000, y la Declaración de compromiso en la lucha contra el VIWSIDAS, aprobada en 2001. En particular, el cumplimiento de las proyecciones sobre las tendencias demográficas dependerá de que aumente considerablemente la proporción de enfermos de SIDA que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral y del éxito de los esfuerzos por evitar que se siga propagando el VIH. Según la Revisión de 2006, 40 de los 62 paises considerados muy afectados por la epidemia del VIWSIDA están en África. Las proyecciones sobre los efectos de la enfermedad se basan en el supuesto de que 31 de los paises más afectados lograrán suministrar tratamiento antirretroviral para 201 5 al 70% o más de las personas con SIDA. En el resto de los países afectados, se prevé que los niveles de tratamiento serán inferiores, concretamente, que oscilarán entre el 40% y el 50% para 2015. Además, se presupone que las personas que reciban tratamiento sobrevivirán, como promedio, 17,5 años en lugar de 10s 10 años habituales si no se recibe tratamiento. Principalmente como consecuencia de estas hipótesis, y debido a la revisión a la baja de la prevalencia del VIWSIDA en los países de los que se han podido obtener datos nacionales representativos sobre la epidemia, se calcula que habrá unos 32 millones de muertes menos entre 2005 y 2020 en los 62 paises más afectados por la epidemia, según la Revisión de 2006, de las que se hubieran registrado de mantenerse la misma tasa de muerte que indicaba la Revisión de 2004. Estos cambios también contribuyen a que las proyecciones demográficas para 2050 sean más altas en la Revisión de 2006 que en la de 2004 (de 9.200 millones, frente a 9.100 millones). El cumplimiento de las variantes medias de las proyecciones contenidas en la Revisión de 2006 también dependerá de que la fecundidad siga disminuyendo en los
5
Véase la resolución 55/2 de la Asamblea General. Véase la resolución S-26/2 de la Asamblea General.
cxix
países en desarrollo. En la Revisión de 2006 se prevé que la fecundidad en los países menos desarrollados descenderá, en general, de 2,75 hijos por mujer entre 2005 y 2010 a 2,05 entre 2045 y 2050. La reducción prevista en el grupo de los 50 países menos adelantados es aún mayor: de 4,63 a 2,50 hijos por mujer. Para lograr esa reducción es fundamental ampliar el acceso a la planificación familiar en los países más pobres del mundo. La urgencia de lograr esa reducción prevista de la fecundidad cobra más importancia si se considera que, con una fecundidad constante a los niveles estimados para 2000-2005, la población de las regiones menos desarrolladas aumentaría a 10.600 millones en lugar de a los 7.900 millones previstos si desciende la fecundidad. Es decir, si no se produce una mayor reducción de la fecundidad, la población mundial se duplicará con respecto a la que había en 1950. Otras conclusiones importantes del examen exhaustivo que se hace en la Revisión de 2006 de las tendencias demográficas mundiales hasta ahora y las perspectivas para el futuro se resumen a continuación. 1. En julio de 2007, la población mundial ascenderá a 6.700 millones de habitantes, es decir, aumentará en 547 millones con respecto a 2000 o en 78 millones de personas al año. Suponiendo que sigan disminuyendo los niveles de fecundidad, se prevé que la población mundial alcance los 9.200 millones en 2050 y aumente en unos 30 millones de habitantes al año durante ese período, según la variante de proyección media (cuadro I).
Cuadro 1 Población mundial, desglosada por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas (1950,1975,2007 y 2050) y por variante de proyección Población (en millones de habitantes) Zonas principales
Mundo
1950
I975
2535
4076
2007
.
Población en 2050 (en millones de habitantes) Baja
6671 7792
Media
Alta
Constante
9 191 10756
11 858
814
1048
1223 1065
1245
1451
1218
Regiones menos desarrolladas
1 722
3 028
5 448 6 727
7 946
9 306
10 639
Países menos adelantados
200
358
804 1496
1742
2002
2794
1521
2670
4644 5231
6204
7304
7845
Regiones más desarrolladas
Otros países menos desarrollados África
224
416
965 1718
1998
2302
3251
América del Norte
172
243
339
382
445
517
460
América Latina y el Caribe
168
325
572
641
769
914
939
1411
2394
4030 4444
5266
6 189
6525
548
676
731
566
664
777
626
13
21
34
42
49
56
57
Asia Europa Oceanía
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.
cxx
2. El crecimiento demográfico futuro dependerá en gran medida de la evolución de las tasas de fecundidad (gráfico 1). Según la variante media, la fecundidad en el mundo descenderá de los 2,55 hijos por mujer de hoy a poco más de 2 hijos por mujer en 2050. Si la fecundidad permaneciera aproximadamente medio hijo por encima de los niveles proyectados en la variante media, la población mundial ascendería a 10.800 millones de habitantes para 2050. Mantener la fecundidad a medio hijo por debajo de la variante media daría una población de 7.800 millones de habitantes para mediados de siglo. Es decir, a nivel mundial, es inevitable que siga creciendo la población hasta 2050 aunque aumente el ritmo de disminución de la fecundidad. Gráfico 1 Población mundial, de 1950 a 2050, por variante de proyección
8
W
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
constante
I
Año
I
- Media
--o-
Baia
Alta
- - A - - Fecundidad
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.
3. Debido a la tasa baja, y en disminución, del crecimiento demográfico en los países desarrollados, se prevé que, en general, la población de esos países no varíe prácticamente entre 2007 y 2050 y se mantenga en 1.200 millones, según la variante media. Por el contrario, la población de los 50 países menos adelantados seguramente aumentará hasta más que duplicarse, pasando de 800 millones en 2007 a 1.700 millones en 2050. Se prevé que el crecimiento en el resto del mundo en desarrollo también será fuerte, si bien menos rápido, y que la población de esos
cxxi
2050
países pasará de 4.600 millones a 6.200 millones entre 2007 y 2050, según la variante media. 4. El crecimiento demográfico lento causado por la reducción de la fecundidad lleva al envejecimiento de la población, es decir, a una población en que la proporción de personas mayores aumenta mientras que la de personas jóvenes disminuye. En las regiones más desarrolladas, el 20% de la población ya tiene 60 años de edad o más, y se prevé que esa proporción alcanzará el 33% en 2050 (cuadro 2). En el conjunto de los países desarrollados, el número de personas mayores (de 60 años o más) ya supera el número de niños (menores de 15 años), y para 2050 se prevé que en esos países el número de personas mayores será más del doble que el de niños.
Cuadro 2 Distribución porcentual de la población por grupos de edad amplios a nivel mundial, por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas, en 2005 y 2050, según la variante media, 2005-2050 Disiribucion en 2005 Zonas principales
Mundo
Disfribución en 2050
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
28,3
1,3
19,8
58,3
21,8
4,4
61.4
10,3
Regiones más desarrolladas
17,O
62,9
20,l
3,7
15,2
52,2
32,6
9,4
Regiones menos desarrolladas
30,9
61,O
8,l
0,8
20,6
59,3
20,l
3,6
Países menos adelantados
41,s
53,4
5,l
0,4
28,2
61,s
10,3
1,1
Otros países menos desarrollados
29,l
62,3
8,6
0,9
18,4
58,7
22,9
4,3
5,2
0,4
28,O
61,7
10,4
1,1
27,3
7,8
24,3
5,2
África
41,4
53,4
América del Norte
20,5
62,7
16,7
33
17,l
55,6
América Latina y el Caribe
29,8
61,2
9,0
1,2
18,O
57,8
Asia
28,O
62,7
9,2
1,0
18,O
58,3
23,7
43
Europa
15,9
63,5
20,6
3,5
14,6
50,9
343
9,6
Oceanía
24,9
61,O
14,l
2,6
18,4
56,9
24,8
6,8
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.
El envejecimiento de la población es menos rápido en los países en 5. desarrollo. No obstante, la mayoría de esos países van a iniciar un período de rápido envejecimiento demográfico. En el conjunto de los países en desarrollo sólo el 8% de la población tiene hoy 60 años de edad o más, pero para 2050 ese grupo de edad constituirá el 20% de la población (cuadro 2). 6. A nivel mundial, se prevé que el número de personas de 60 años de edad o mayores aumentará casi el triple, pasando de 673 millones en 2005 a 2.000 millones en 2050. Durante el mismo período, se prevé que la proporción de personas mayores, que viven en países en desarrollo aumentará del 64% en 2005 a casi el 80% en 2050.
cxxii
7. Una característica de las poblaciones que envejecen es que el número de personas mayores aumenta más rápido cuanto más alto es el grupo de edad examinado. Por lo tanto, si se prevé que el número de personas de 60 años o más aumentará el triple, también se prevé que el de las personas de 80 años o más (las personas más ancianas) se multiplicará por más de 5, pasando de 88 millones en 2005 a 402 millones en 2050. Hoy, aproximadamente la mitad de las personas más ancianas viven en países en desarrollo, pero en 2050 esa proporción seguramente ascenderá al 7 1%. 8. Aunque se prevé que las poblaciones de todos los países envejecerán en el futuro previsible, las de los países con una fecundidad todavía alta permanecerán relativamente jóvenes y aumentarán rápidamente. Varios países en desarrollo, la mayoría de ellos entre los menos adelantados, tienen unas tasas de crecimiento demográfico altas. Entre 2005 y 2050, las poblaciones del Afganistán, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, el Níger, la República Democrática del Congo, Timor-Leste y Uganda se habrán multiplicado por tres como minimo. 9. En el otro extremo, la población de 46 países o zonas, incluidos Alemania, Italia, el Japón, la República de Corea, la mayoría de los Estados sucesores de la antigua Unión Soviética y varios pequeños Estados insulares, habrá disminuido en 2050 con respecto a 2005.
1 O . El crecimiento demográfico sigue concentrado en los países populosos. Entre 2005 y 2050, la mitad del aumento proyectado de la población mundial corresponderá a ocho países: la India, Nigeria, el Pakistan, la República Democrática del Congo, Etiopía, los Estados Unidos de América, Bangladesh y China, por orden de contribución al crecimiento demográfico durante ese período. 11 . La edad mediana, es decir, la que divide a la población en dos mitades de igual tamaño, es un indicador del envejecimiento de la población. A nivel mundial, se prevé que la edad mediana aumentará de 28 a 38 años entre 2005 y 2050. Europa tiene hoy la población más vieja, con una edad mediana de casi 39 años, que en 2050 será de 47. 12. La edad mediana es más elevada en los países que han tenido bajas tasas de fecundidad durante largos períodos. En 2005, la edad mediana en 13 zonas o países desarrollados era superior a 40 años. La generalización del envejecimiento de la población queda reflejada en la proyección de que en 2050 habrá 93 países, 48 de ellos en desarrollo, con poblaciones cuya edad mediana superará los 40 años (mapa 1).
cxxiii
Mapa 1 Edad mediana en 2005, variante media
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Populafion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.
Nota: Los límites que figuran en este mapa no cuentan necesariamente con la aprobación o aceptación oficial de las Naciones Unidas.
13. Los países donde la fecundidad permanece elevada y sólo ha disminuido moderadamente experimentarán el ritmo de envejecimiento más lento. En 2050, aproximadamente uno de cada cinco países tendrá una edad mediana de menos de 30 años. Los países menos adelantados tendrán las poblaciones más jóvenes, y ocho de ellos tendrán edades medianas de menos de 24 años, a saber, el Afganistán, Angola, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, el Niger, la República Democrática del Congo y Uganda (mapa 2).
cxxiv
Mapa 2 Edad mediana en 2050, variante media
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas. Nota: Los límites que figuran en este mapa no cuentan necesariamente con la aprobación o aceptación oficial de las Naciones Unidas.
14. Como se señala más arriba, la reducción de las tasas de fecundidad es la causa principal del envejecimiento de la población. A nivel mundial, se estima que la fecundidad es de 2,55 hijos por mujer, aproximadamente la mitad de la tasa correspondiente a 1950-1955, que era de 5 hijos por mujer (cuadro 3). En la variante media se prevé que la fecundidad mundial disminuirá aún más, hasta 2,02 hijos por mujer. Los niveles medios mundiales son el resultado de unas diferencias muy marcadas en las tendencias de los principales grupos de desarrollo. En el conjunto de los países desarrollados, la tasa de fecundidad es actualmente de 1,60 hijos por mujer y se prevé que aumentará poco a poco a 1,79 hijos por mujer en 2045-2050. En los países menos adelantados, la fecundidad es de 4,63 hijos por mujer y se prevé que disminuirá a aproximadamente la mitad, es decir, a 2,50 hijos por mujer, en 2045-2050. En el resto del mundo en desarrollo, la fecundidad ya es de 2,45 hijos por mujer, una tasa moderadamente baja, y se prevé que habrá disminuido aún más, a 1,91 hijos por mujer, para mediados de siglo, llegando casi a la convergencia con los niveles de fecundidad que serán entonces típicos en el mundo desarrollado.
cxxv
Cuadro 3 Fecundidad total a nivel mundial, por principales grupos de desarrollo y zonas, 1970-1975,2005-2010 y 2045-2050, y por variantes de proyección Fecundidad total (número medio de hijos por mujer) 2045-2050
Zonas principales
Mundo
1970-1975 2005-2010
Bq'a
Media
2,55
1,54
2,02
4,47
Alfa Constanie
2,51
3,49
Regiones más desarrolladas
2,13
1,60
1,29
1,79
2,28
1,68
Regiones menos desarrolladas
5,41
2,75
1,57
2,05
2,54
3,69
Países menos adelantados
6,úl
4,63
2,02
2,50
2,99
5,49
Otros países menos desarrollados África
5,25
2,45
1,42
1,91
2,41
3,07
6,72
4,67
1,97
2,46
2,95
5,47
América del Norte
2,Ol
2,oo
1,35
1,85
2,35
1,99
América Latina y el Caribe
5,04
2,37
1,36
1,86
2,36
2,67
Asia
5,04
2,34
1,40
1,90
2,39
2,94
Europa
2,16
1,45
1,26
1,76
2,26
1,47
Oceanía
3,23
2,30
1,43
1,93
2,43
2,83
Fzente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de 12 Secretaría de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas. Nota: Sólo se incluyen los países o zonas con 100.000 personas o más en 2007.
15. En el período 2005-2010, la fecundidad sigue por encima de los 5 hijos por mujer en 27 de los 150 países en desarrollo, y esos 27 países representan el 9% de la población mundial. La mayoría de los países con tasas de fecundidad muy altas son pobres y pertenecen al grupo de países menos adelantados. Por el contrario, la fecundidad se encuentra por debajo del nivel de reemplazo en 28 países en desarrollo, que representan el 25% de la población mundial. Ese grupo incluye a China, cuya fecundidad media para 2005-201O se estima en 1,73 hijos por mujer.
16. Los 45 países o zonas desarrollados, que representan el 19% de la
población mundial, tienen también un nivel de fecundidad por debajo del nivel de reemplazo. En 27 de ellos, incluido el Japón y la mayoría de los países del sur y el este de Europa, la fecundidad permanece por debajo de 1,5 hijos por mujer. Desde el período 1990-1995, la disminución de la fecundidad ha sido la norma en la gran mayoría de los países desarrollados y está causando un rápido envejecimiento de la población. 17. Otro factor que contribuye al envejecimiento de la población es la reducción de la mortalidad en la edad adulta. A nivel mundial, la esperanza de vida al nacer, que se calcula que ha aumentado de 58 años en 1970-1975 a 67 años en 2005-2010, seguirá aumentando hasta llegar a los 75 años en 2045-2050 (cuadro 4). En las regiones más desarrolladas, el aumento previsto es de los 77 años de hoy a 82 años para mediados de siglo, y en las regiones menos desarrolladas se prevé que aumente de 65 años en 2005-2010 a 74 años en 2045-2050.
CXXVi
Cuadro 4 Esperanza de vida al nacer a nivel mundial, por grupos principales de desarrollo y zonas, 2005-2010 y 2045-2050 2005-2010
Zonas principales
2045-2050 ~~
Mundo
67,2
75,4
Regiones más desarrolladas
76,5
82,4
Regiones menos desarrolladas
65,4
74,3
Países menos adelantados
54,6
67,2
Otros países menos desarrollados
67,9
76,4
África
52,s
66,l
América dei Norte
78,s
83,3
América Latina y el Caribe
73,3
79,6
Asia
69,O
77,4
Europa
74,6
81,O
Oceanía
75,2
81,O
Fuente: División de Población del Departamento de Asuntos Económicos y Sociales de la Secretaria de las Naciones Unidas (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Nueva York: Naciones Unidas.
18. La esperanza de vida sigue siendo baja, de sólo 55 años de edad, en los paises menos adelantados, y aunque se prevé que ascenderá a los 67 años en 20452050, ese aumento dependerá de que se reduzca la propagación del VIH y se controlen también otras enfermedades infecciosas. Asimismo habrá que superar obstáculos parecidos para conseguir que la esperanza de vida en el resto de los países en desarrollo aumente de los 68 años de hoy a 76 años para mediados de siglo. 19. Entre las regiones más desarrolladas, Europa oriental tiene la más baja esperanza de vida al nacer, y ese indicador ha venido empeorando desde finales de los ochenta. En 2005-2010 la esperanza de vida en la región, de 68,6 años, es inferior a la que se registró en 1960-1965 (69,3 años). La Federación de Rusia y Ucrania han experimentado un fuerte aumento de la mortalidad, en parte debido a la propagación del VIH. 20. Pese a los avances logrados en el tratamiento de las personas infectadas por el VIH y el control de la propagación del virus, los estragos de la epidemia siguen siendo evidentes en las tasas de morbilidad y mortalidad y en la ralentización del crecimiento demográfico que han sufrido muchos países. En el África meridional, la región con mayor prevalencia de la enfermedad, la esperanza de vida ha caído de los 62 años en 1990-1995 a los 49 en 2005-2010 y no se prevé que vuelva a los niveles de principios de los años noventa antes de 2045. Como consecuencia, la tasa de crecimiento demográfico en la región ha sufrido un forîisimo descenso, pasando del 2,5% anual en 1990-1995 al 0.6% anual en 20052010, y se prevé que siga disminuyendo durante el futuro previsible. 21. La contribución de la migración internacional al crecimiento demográfico en las regiones más desarrolladas ha cobrado importancia a medida que han descendido las tasas de fecundidad. Entre 2005 y 2050, se prevé que el número
cxxvii
neto de migrantes internacionales a las regiones más desarrolladas será de 103 millones, cifra que contrarresta el exceso de muertes respecto de nacimientos (74 millones) previsto para el período. 22. En 2005-2010, la migración neta fue más del doble que el crecimiento natural de la población (nacimientos menos muertes) en ocho países o zonas, a saber, Bélgica, el Canadá, España, Hong Kong (RAE de China), Luxemburgo, Singapur, Suecia y Suiza. La migración neta contrarrestó el exceso de muertes respecto de nacimientos en otros ochos países o zonas: Austria, Bosnia y Herzegovina, Eslovaquia, Eslovenia, Grecia, las Islas Anglonormandas, Italia y Portugal. 23. En lo que respecta a promedios anuales durante el período 2005-2050, se prevé que los principales receptores netos de migrantes internacionales serán los Estados Unidos (1.100.000 al año), el Canadá (200.000), Alemania (150.000), Italia (139.000), el Reino Unido (130.000), España (123.000) y Australia (100.000). Se prevé que los países con los niveles más elevados de emigración neta serán: China (329.000 al año), México (-306.000), la India (-241.OOO), Filipinas (-180.000), el Pakistán (-167.000) e Indonesia (-164.000).
cxxviii
Hipótesis en las que se basa la Revisión de 2006 Para preparar cada nueva revisión de las estimaciones y proyecciones demográficas oficiales de las Naciones Unidas se siguen dos procesos diferentes: a) la incorporación de toda la información nueva y pertinente sobre la dinámica que ha seguido la población en cada país y cada zona del mundo; y b) la formulación de hipótesis detalladas sobre la futura evolución de la fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Las fuentes de datos utilizadas y los métodos aplicados para revisar las estimaciones pasadas de los indicadores demográficos (es decir, las referentes a 1950-2005) se presentan en el volumen III de World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (que se publicará próximamente). La población futura de cada país se proyecta a partir de una estimación de la población correspondiente al 1" de julio de 2005. Dado que no necesariamente se dispone de datos demográficos para esa fecha, la estimación de 2005 se basa en los datos demográficos más recientes disponibles sobre cada país, que se obtienen normalmente a partir de un censo o registro de población, y se proyecta para 2005 utilizando todos los datos disponibles sobre tendencias de fecundidad, mortalidad y migración internacional entre la fecha de referencia de los datos demográficos disponibles y el 1" de julio de 2005. En los casos en que no se dispone de datos recientes sobre los componentes del crecimiento demográfico, las estimaciones de tendencias demográficas son proyecciones basadas en los datos disponibles más recientes. Los datos demográficos de todas las fientes se evalúan para verificar que están completos y que son exactos y coherentes, y se ajustan según sea necesario6. Para elaborar las proyecciones demográficas hasta 2050, la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas parte de una serie de hipótesis sobre las tendencias futuras con respecto a la fecundidad, la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Dado que no se pueden conocer las tendencias futuras con total seguridad, se elaboran distintas variantes de las proyecciones. En los siguientes párrafos se resumen las principales hipótesis a partir de las cuales se derivan los indicadores demográficos para el período que comienza en 2005 y termina en 2050. En el volumen III de World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision (que se publicará próximamente) se hace una descripción más detallada de las diferentes hipótesis.
Hipótesis de fecundidad: convergencia hacia una fecundidad total inferior al nivel de reemplazo
A.
Las hipótesis de fecundidad se describen en función de los siguientes grupos de países: Puises de alta fecundidad países que hasta 2005 no registraron ningún descenso en su tasa de fecundidad o registraron un incipiente descenso;
(>
Para obtener una descripción general de los procedimientos empleados en la revisión de las estimaciones de la dinámica demográfica, véase "Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections" (págs. 1O0 a 104) en World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. III, AnaZytical Report (publicación de las Naciones Unidas, número de venta: E.OS.XIII.7).
cxxix
Países de fecundidad media: países donde la fecundidad ha estado disminuyendo pero se mantiene por encima de los 2,l hijos por mujer en el período 2000-2005; Países de baja fecundidad países con una tasa de fecundidad total de 2,l hijos por mujer o menos en el período 2000-2005. 1.
Hipótesis de fecundidad media
Se parte del supuesto de que la fecundidad total en todos los países acabará por converger en una tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer. No obstante, no todos los países alcanzarán ese nivel en el período de la proyección, es decir, entre 2045 y 2050.Los procedimientos de proyección difieren ligeramente dependiendo de si el país tenía una fecundidad total superior o inferior a 1,85 hijos por mujer en 2000-2005. En los países de tasas altas y medias se supone que la fecundidad seguirá una trayectoria deducida de los modelos de disminución de la fecundidad establecidos por la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas sobre la base de lo ocurrido en todos los países en que se redujo la fecundidad entre 1950 y 2000. Los modelos relacionan el nivel de fecundidad total durante un período determinado con la disminución media de la fecundidad total prevista para el período siguiente. Si la fecundidad total prevista en un modelo para un país desciende a 1,85 hijos por mujer antes de 2050, la tasa de fecundidad total se mantiene constante a ese nivel durante el resto del período de la proyección (es decir, hasta 2050). Por lo tanto, la tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer representa un valor mínimo más allá del cual no puede bajar la fecundidad total de los países de tasa alta o media antes de 2050. No obstante, no es necesario que todos los países alcancen el valor mínimo para 2050. Si el modelo de cambio de la tasa de fecundidad produce una fecundidad total de más de 1,85hijos por mujer para el período 2045-2050,ese valor es el que se utiliza en la proyección de la población. En todos los casos, la evolución de la fecundidad prevista en los diferentes modelos se verifica analizando las tendencias recientes de la fecundidad en cada país. Cuando las tendencias recientes de fecundidad de un pais se desvían considerablemente de las que establecen los modelos, se proyecta la fecundidad por un período inicial de 5 ó 10 años teniendo en cuenta la evolución más reciente. La proyección del modelo es la que prima tras el período de transición. Por ejemplo, en países donde la fecundidad se ha estancado o donde no hay pmebas de un descenso de la fecundidad, se prevé que ésta permanecerá constante durante varios años más antes de iniciar su descenso. La fecundidad en los países de fecundidad baja se supone que, en general, permanecerá por debajo de los 2,l hijos por mujer durante la mayor parte del período de proyección y que alcanzará la tasa de 1,85 hijos por mujer para 2045-2050.Para los países donde la fecundidad total era de menos de 1,85hijos por mujer en 2000-2005, se supone que durante los primeros 5 ó 10 años del período de proyección la fecundidad seguirá las tendencias más recientes observadas en cada país. Tras ese período de transición, se supone que la fecundidad aumentará de forma lineal a un ritmo de 0,05 hijos por mujer y quinquenio. Así pues, los países que actualmente tienen una fecundidad muy baja quizá no hayan alcanzado un nivel de 1,85 hijos por mujer en 2050.
cxxx
2.
Hipótesis de fecundidad alta En la variante alta, se prevé que la fecundidad permanecerá 0,5 hijos por encima de la cifra prevista en la variante media durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. Por lo tanto, para 2045-2050 la fecundidad prevista en la variante alta es de medio hijo más alta que la que prevé la variante media. Es decir, los países que alcanzan una fecundidad total de 1,85 hijos por mujer en la variante media tienen una fecundidad total de 2,35 hijos por mujer en la variante alta al final del período de proyección.
3.
Hipótesis de fecundidad baja En la variante baja, se prevé que la fecundidad permanecerá 0,5 hijos por debajo de la fecundidad que prevé la variante media durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. Por lo tanto, para 2045-2050, la fecundidad, prevista en la variante baja será medio hijo más baja que la prevista en la variante media. ES decir, los países que alcanzan una fecundidad total de 1,85 hijos por mujer en la variante media tienen una fecundidad total de 1,35 hijos por mujer en la variante baja al final del período de proyección.
4.
Hipótesis de fecundidad constante Para cada país, la fecundidad permanece constante al nivel estimado para 2000-2005.
5.
Hipótesis de fecundidad a nivel de reemplazo Para cada país, se fija la fecundidad al nivel necesario para asegurar una tasa de reproducción neta de 1 a partir del período 2005-2010. La fecundidad varía a lo largo del resto del período de proyección de forma que la tasa de reproducción neta siempre sigue igual a la unidad, lo que a la larga asegura el reemplazo de la población.
B. 1.
Hipótesis de mortalidad: aumento de la esperanza de vida, excepto en los paises afectados por el VIH/SIDA Hipótesis de mortalidad normal La mortalidad se proyecta partiendo de los modelos de evolución de la esperanza de vida que elabora la División de Población de las Naciones Unidas. Según esos modelos, cuanto más alta sea la esperanza de vida ya alcanzada, menor será el incremento. La elección del modelo adecuado para cada país se basa en las tendencias más recientes de la esperanza de vida por sexo. En el caso de los países muy afectados por la epidemia del VIHISIDA, se ha utilizado por lo general el modelo que prevé un ritmo lento de disminución de la mortalidad para tener en cuenta la reducción algo menor de los riesgos de mortalidad general no relacionados con el VIH/SIDA.
2.
Influencia del VIWSIDA en la mortalidad En la Revisión de 2006 se considera que todos los países con prevalencia del VIH igual o superior al 1% entre las personas de 15 a 49 años de edad están seriamente afectados por la epidemia del VIH/SIDA, y la mortalidad de esos países se proyecta según un modelo explícito de la evolución futura de la epidemia y
cxxxi
proyecciones de la incidencia anual de la infección por el VIH. También se consideran países muy afectados los que registran una prevalencia del VIH inferior al 1% pero tienen poblaciones tan grandes que el número de personas infectadas es considerable, como el Brasil, China o los Estados Unidos de América. En total, se considera en la Revisión de 2006 que hay 62 países muy afectados por la epidemia del VIH/SIDA. El modelo elaborado por el Grupo de Referencia del ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelos y proyecciones7 se utiliza para ajustar Ias estimaciones anteriores de la prevalencia del VIH proporcionadas por el ONUSIDA acerca de los países afectados y deducir los parámetros que han determinado la dinámica de la epidemia hasta el momento en cada uno de ellos. Para la mayoría de los países, el modelo se ajusta partiendo del supuesto de que los parámetros pertinentes se han mantenido constantes en el pasado. A partir de 2005, el parámetro PHI, que representa la tasa de ingreso de nuevos individuos en el grupo vulnerable o de alto riesgo, se reducirá a la mitad cada 20 años. El parámetro R, que representa la intensidad de la infección, lo hará cada 30 años. La reducción del parámetro R se basa en la hipótesis de que los cambios de comportamiento entre quienes están expuestos al riesgo de infección, junto con un mayor acceso de las personas infectadas al tratamiento, reducirán las probabilidades de transmisión del virus. En la Revisión de 2006 la prevención de la transmisión de madre a hijo se basa en un modelo que utiliza tasas estimadas de cobertura específicas para cada país de una media del 13% en 2005 entre los 62 países afectados, pero que oscilan entre el 0% y el 90%. Se prevé que esas tasas de cobertura alcanzarán un promedio del 60% para 2015, y que oscilarán entre el 40% y el 100% entre los diferentes países afectadoss. Después de 2015, se supone que la tasa de cobertura permanecerá constante al nivel alcanzado en cada uno de los países afectados hasta el final del período de proyección. Entre las mujeres que reciben tratamiento, se supone que la probabilidad de transmisión de madre a hijo es del 1%. Estos supuestos producen una reducción en la incidencia de la infección por el VIH entre los niños nacidos de madres seropositivas, pero el grado de reducción varía entre los diferentes países dependiendo del nivel de cobertura que se alcance en cada uno de ellosg. Para calcular la tasa de supervivencia de los niños infectados7 se tienen en cuenta las diferencias en el acceso al tratamiento pediátricog. En la Revisión de 2006, los niños infectados por el VIH se dividen en dos grupos: i) los que se infectaron en el útero, cuya enfermedad progresa rápidamente, que tienen una tasa media de supervivencia estimada en 1,3 años, y ii) los que se infectaron después de Grupo de Referencia dei ONUSIDA sobre estimaciones, modelos y proyecciones (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Proyections. AIDS, vol. 16, págs. W1 a W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. * ONUSIDA, Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia (UNICEF), Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitef o r Children, Unite against AIDS (con anexos estadísticos). Véase Table 1 . Preventing mother-to-child transmission for HIV (págs. 29 a 3 1) y Table 2. Providing pediatric treatment (págs. 32 a 34). URL: www.unicef:rg/uniteforchildren. 9 Stover, J., N . Walker, N. C . Grassly, y M. Marston (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexuaily TransmittedIn~ections,vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, págs. 4 5 a 50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstraci/82/suppl-3/iii45. 7
cxxxii
nacer mediante la lactancia, cuya enfermedad progresa lentamente, que tienen una tasa de supervivencia media de 14 años sin tratamientolo. La inclusión explícita del tratamiento pediátrico se hace mediante las tasas de cobertura de cada país, que alcanzaron un promedio del 9% en 2005 pero oscilan entre el 0% y el 99% entre los 62 países afectados. Para 2015, se prevé que la cobertura alcance, como promedio, el 60%, y que oscile entre el 40% y el 100% entre los países afectados’. Los niveles de cobertura se mantienen constantes entre 2015 y 2050 al nivel alcanzado en cada país en 2015. La tasa de supervivencia anual de los niños que reciben tratamiento es del 95%, de forma que el período medio de supervivencia es de 19,5 años, y el período mediano, de 13,5 años si no hay otra causa de muerte’. La Revisión de 2006 prevé un período de supervivencia más largo para las personas que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral de alta actividad. La proporción de la población seropositiva que recibe tratamiento en cada país concuerda con las estimaciones preparadas\ por la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) I l , según las cuales el promedio fue del 25% en 2005, con una oscilación de entre el 0% y el 100% entre los 62 países afectados. Se prevé que para 2015 la cobertura alcanzará entre el 40% y el loo%, con un promedio del 60% en los paises afectados. Entre 2015 y 2050, los niveles de cobertura se mantienen constantes al nivel alcanzado en cada país para 2015. Se supone que los adultos que reciben tratamiento tienen, como promedio anual, una probabilidad de supervivencia del 90% si no hay otra causa de muerte. Bajo este supuesto, el período medio de supervivencia tras iniciar el tratamiento es de 9 3 años, y el período mediano, de 6,6 años si no hay otra causa de muerte. Se supone que el tratamiento comienza a administrarse en el momento en que se manifiesta plenamente el SIDA. Sin tratamiento, los adultos infectados tienen un período de supervivencia medio de dos años una vez que se manifiesta plenamente el SIDA’O.
Hipótesis de mortalidad constante
3.
Según este supuesto, la mortalidad se mantiene constante en cada país al nivel estimado para 2000-2005.
C. Hipótesis de migración internacional Hipótesis de migración normal
1.
Bajo la hipótesis de migración normal, se fija la evolución futura de la migración internacional en función de las estimaciones pasadas y de la orientación de las políticas de cada país respecto de las corrientes futuras de migración internacional. Los niveles de migración neta previstos suelen mantenerse constantes durante la mayor parte del período de proyección. 10
11
Boerma, J. T., K. A. Stanecki, M. L. Newell, C . Luo, M. Beusenberg, G. P.Garnett, K. Little, J. G. Calleja, S. Crowley, J. Y. Kim, E. Zaniewski, N. Walker, J. Stover, y P.D. Ghys (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, vol. 84, No. 2, págs. 145 a 150. URL: http://www.who. int/bulletin/voEumes/84/2/145.pdf: OMS y ONUSIDA (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy. A Report on “3 by 5 ” and Beyond. Véase Annex 1. Estimated number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy, people needing antretroviral therapy, percentage coverage and numbers of antiretroviral therapy sites in low- and middle- income countries (págs. 71 a 76). URL: http://www.who. int/hiv/fllreport-en-highres.pdf:
cxxxiii
2.
Hipótesis de migración cero Bajo esta hipótesis, se fija en cero la migración internacional para cada país a partir del período 2005-2010.
D. Ocho variantes de proyección La Revisión de 2006 incluye ocho variantes diferentes de las proyecciones (cuadro 5 ) . Cinco de esas variantes se diferencian entre sí únicamente en la previsión del nivel de fecundidad y, por lo tanto, comparten los mismos supuestos en relación con la mortalidad y la migración internacional. Las cinco variantes relativas a la fecundidad son las siguientes: baja, media, alta, constante y a nivel de reemplazo. La comparación de sus resultados permite evaluar los efectos que las diferentes tendencias de fecundidad tienen en otros parámetros demográficos. Además de las cinco variantes de fecundidad, se han elaborado una variante de mortalidad constante, una variante de migración cero y una variante constante. La variante de mortalidad constante y la de migración cero prevén la misma hipótesis de fecundidad (es decir, suponen una fecundidad media). Por otra parte, la variante de mortalidad constante contiene la misma hipótesis de migración internacional que la variante media. Por lo tanto, los resultados de la variante de mortalidad constante pueden compararse con los de la variante media para evaluar los efectos de una mortalidad cambiante en otros parámetros demográficos. Del mismo modo, la variante de migración cero difiere de la variante media únicamente en cuanto al supuesto básico sobre la migración internacional. Así pues, la variante de migración cero permite evaluar los efectos que la migración neta diferente a cero tiene sobre otros parámetros demográficos. Por último, la variante constante incluye el mismo supuesto acerca de la migración internacional que la variante media pero difiere de ésta en que supone una fecundidad y una mortalidad constantes. Por lo tanto, cuando se compara con la variante media, permite dilucidar los efectos que tienen los cambios en la fecundidad y en la mortalidad sobre los resultados obtenidos. Cuadro 5 Variantes de proyección en cuanto a las hipótesis de fecundidad, mortalidad y migración internacional
Variante de proyección
Fecundidad
Morra Iidad
Migración internacional
Baja
Baja
Normal
Normal
Media
Media
Normal
Normal
Alta
Alta
Normal
Normal
Fecundidad constante
Constante
Normal
Normal
Fecundidad a nivel de reemplazo
Reemplazo inmediato
Normal
Normal
Mortalidad constante
Media
Constante
Normal
Constante
Constante
Constante
Normal
Migración cero
Media
Normal
Cero
cxxxiv
E. Cambios metodológicos introducidos en la Revisión de 2006 Se hicieron los siguientes cambios y ajustes en la Revisión de 2004 con respecto a los procedimientos seguidos en la Revisión de 2004. En la variante media, las proyecciones de la fecundidad de los países con una fecundidad total inferior a 1,235 hijos por mujer en el período 2000-2005 se han hecho partiendo del supuesto de que las tendencias más recientes se mantendrán en un primer momento y que después aumentará la fecundidad de forma lineal a un ritmo de 0,05 hijos por mujer y quinquenio, en lugar del aumento de 0,07 previsto en la Revisión de 2004. En esos países no se habrá alcanzado necesariamente el nivel de 1,85 hijos por mujer para el período 2045-2050. -Los modelos de incidencia de la infección por el VIH por edades se han modificado. En los nuevos modelos, la edad media de infección es generalmente más alta que en los modelos de las revisiones anteriores, en particular en lo que respecta a los hombres. La contracción más tardía de la enfermedad reduce la influencia de la mortalidad por SIDA en la esperanza de vida.
La tasa de supervivencia de los niños seropositivos, tanto de los que reciben tratamiento como de los que no, aumentó con respecto a las previsiones de los modelos anteriores. La tasa de supervivencia tras la infección de los adultos seropositivos que reciben tratamiento antirretroviral también ha aumentado con respecto a las previsiones de los modelos utilizados anteriormente. Se han elaborado modelos explícitos de los efectos del tratamiento antirretroviral tanto en los niños como en los adultos. Además, se prevé que los efectos de la transmisión de madre a hijo disminuirán a medida que las mujeres tengan mayor acceso al tratamiento.
cxxxv
This page intentionally left blank
I. INTRODUCTION Timely and accurate information about population trends is in high demand. Knowledge about the current size and structure of a country's population is needed for the formulation and implementation of policies and programmes in almost all areas of public life. Because policies are aimed at achieving goals in the future, knowledge about future population trends is required. What is true for individual countries also holds for the international community. United Nations activities in areas as diverse as health and environment, poverty reduction and promoting social progress and economic growth, rely on comprehensive and consistent demographic information. The population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) provide that information. The Population Division has been preparing the official United Nations estimates and projections of the world's population since 1951. The 2006 Revision of World Population Pvospects is the twentieth set of global estimates and projections completed by the Population Division since that date. Until 1978, revisions of the global set of population projections were published every five years, but since that date the Population Division has issued revisions of the estimates and projections for all countries and areas of the world every two years. The data produced for each revision of World Population Prospects represent a unique set of comprehensive, consistent and internationally comparable estimates and projections of population by age and sex as well as estimates and projections of mortality and fertility schedules by age and sex, and estimates of net international migration for each country. Such data serve as a basis for the calculation of sectoral estimates and projections produced by the various agencies and bodies of the United Nations system. Given the numerous uses of the Population Division's estimates and projections as well as the fact that future world population trends are inherently uncertain, it is important to ensure that the official set of population estimates and, projections of the United Nations system are kept as up-to-date as possible. This goal is met by revising the official set of projections every two years and, in the process, incorporating the most recent demographic information available for each country of the world. The results of the 2006 Revision are published in three volumes. Volume I presents all major demographic indicators, for all countries and their aggregates, in the form of demographic profiles and indicator-specific data tables. Volume I1 presents detailed information about the composition of pogulations by age and sex. Volume I11 is devoted to an analysis of the results, the methodological underpinnings and the documentation of the data sources of the 2006 Revision. In addition, the results of the 2006 Revision are available in digital form on two CD-ROMs, as well as on the Population Division's website at http://www.unpopulation.org. A wall chart showing population estimates and projections for 2007, 2020, and 2050 for all countries of the world and corresponding demographic indicators has also been issued. The 2006 Revision provides estimates and projections for 229 countries. For 195 countries of the world that had an estimated population of 100,000 inhabitants or more in the year 2007, the projections are carried out using the cohort-component method, which requires explicit assumptions on future fertility, mortality and migration trends for each country. For 34 countries that in 2007 had less than 100,000 inhabitants, projections of the total population are made on the basis of assumptions about the future rate of population growth. Such methodology does not require or produce information on hture fertility, mortality and migration levels. Estimates and projections are made and presented for each country separately. The estimates cover the period 1950-2005 and the projections cover the period 2005-2050. Results are also presented for the world as a whole, its 21 regions and six major areas. In addition, countries are organized by level of deUnited Nations Departm1:nt of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Popzclotion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprekensive Tables
velopment. The sets of countries that constitute each region, major area and development group are shown in the explanatory notes. The 2006 Revision includes eight projection variants and three AIDS scenarios. The eight variants are: low, medium, high, constant-fertility, instant-replacement-fertility, constant-mortality, no change (constant fertility and constant mortality), and zero-migration. The first five variants, namely, the low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement-fertility, differ among themselves exclusively in the assumptions made regarding the future path of fertility. The sixth variant, named "constant-mortality", differs from the medium variant only with regard to the path followed by future mortality. The seventh variant, denominated "no change", has constant mortality and constant fertility and thus differs from the medium variant with respect to both fertility and mortality. The eight variant, denominated "zeromigration", differs from the medium variant only with regard to the path followed by future international migration. Generally, variants differ from each other only over the period 2005-2050. The low, medium and high variants constitute the core of the official projections. They encompass the likely future path of population growth for each country of the world. The low and high variants provide lower and upper bounds for that growth. The medium variant is a useful central reference for trends over the longer tenn. The constant-fertility, instant-replacement-fertility, constant-mortality, no change, and zero-migration variants have been produced for illustrative purposes, to permit an assessment of the effects that future assumptions on fertility, mortality and international migration in the medium variant have in relation to these scenarios. In addition, the 2006 Revision includes three AIDS scenarios named No-AIDS, high-AIDS and AIDS-vaccine. These scenarios are variations of the medium variant and differ from each other and from the medium variant in terms of the path mortality follows because they each incorporate different assumptions regarding the course of the IIIVIAIDS epidemic. Note that only 62 countries are considered to be significantly affected by the epidemic. Consequently, the AIDS scenarios produce different projections only for those countries. The No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic. The high-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modeling parameters determining the path of the HIVIAIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level. The AIDS-vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2010. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (high-AIDS and AIDS-vaccine) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic. Volumes I, I1 and 111 present results for the three main variants, medium, high and low. Additionally, projection results from the constant-fertility variant are shown in volume I. The results of the four additional variants, instant-replacement, constant-mortality, no change, zero-migration, and the three special HIVIAIDS scenarios are not included in the volumes. However, the results of these additional variants and scenarios are contained in the CD-ROMs entitled "Comprehensive" and "Extended (see order fonn, chapter 111). Data in volume 1 are presented in two different forms. First demographic profiles for aggregates, starting with the world and its development groups are provided, followed by alphabetically sorted major areas and their regions. That is followed by demographic profiles for individual countries in alphabetical order. Exhaustive tabulations for individual demographic indicators for all countries for which such information is calculated are presented at the end of the publication. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Popzrlation Prospectr: The 2006 Revision. Voiu~ne1.-Com1?rrhensive l'nbles
In addition to the data tables, this report includes an executive summary of the main results and a summary of the assumptions of the 2006 Revisiun in all six official languages of the United Nations. A more detailed description of the assuniptions is provided in volume HI.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Popitluiiot~Prospect,T: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Coniprehensive Tcrh1e.Y
3
11. ANALYSIS
l . Population size and growth
On 1 July 2007, the world population will reach 6.7 billion with 5.4 billion (or 82 per cent of the world's total) living in the less developed regions (table 1). Out of these, 804 million reside in the 50 least developed countries and account for 12 per cent of the world population. More developed countries, whose total population amounts to 1.2 billion inhabitants, account for 18 per cent of the world population (table 2). According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 9.2 billion persons by 2050, that is, 2.5 billion more than in 2007, an increase equivalent to the combined populations of China and India today. Most of this growth will be absorbed by developing countries. Between 2007 and 2050, the population of the more developed regions will remain largely unchanged at 1.2 billion inhabitants, but the population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 5.4 billion in 2007 to 7.9 billion in 2050. At the same time, the population of the least developed countries is projected more than to double, from 804 million inhabitants in 2007 to 1.7 billion in 2050. Consequently, by 2050, 86 per cent of the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions, including 19 per cent in the least developed countries, whereas only 14 per cent will live in the more developed regions. World population in 2050 would be substantially higher if the decline in fertility projected in the medium variant fails to be realized. If fertility were to remain constant at current levels in all countries, world population would almost double by 2050, reaching 11.9 billion. In the high variant, where fertility is assumed to remain mostly half a child higher than in the medium variant, the world population in 2050 would reach 10.8 billion persons. In the low variant, where fertility is projected to be half a child lower than in the medium variant, world population would still grow, but only to reach 7.8 billion by 2050. According to the low variant, the population of the least developed countries would still nearly double, to reach 1.5 billion by 2050, but the population of the more developed regions would decline to less than 1.1 billion. TABLE1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS Population in 2050 (millions)
Population (millions) Major area
1950
1975
2007
Low
Medium
High
Constant
World..................................................
2 535
4076
6 671
7 792
9 191
10 756
1 1 858
More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries .............. Other less developed countries .......
814 1722 200 1 521
1 048 3 028 358 2 670
1 223 5 448 804 4 644
1 065 6 727 1 496 5 231
1 245 7 946 1 742 6 204
1 451 9306 2 002 7 304
1218 10639 2 794 7 845
Africa.................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ................................................ Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................. Oceania...............................................
224 1411 548 168 172 13
416 2394 676 325 243 21
965 4030 73 1 572 339 34
1718 4 444 566 64 1 382 42
1 998 5266 664 769 445 49
2 302 6189 777 914 517 56
3 251 6 525 626 939 460 57
--
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE2. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA, 1950,1975,2007 AND 2050, ACCORDING TO PROJECTION VARIANT Percentage distribution
Percentage disfribution in 2050
Major area
I950
1975
2007
Low
Medium
High
Constant
More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries .......
32.1 67.9 7.9 60.0
25.7 74.3 8.8 65.5
18.3 8 1.7 12.1 69.6
13.7 86.3 19.2 67.1
13.5 86.5 19.0 67.5
13.5 86.5 18.6 67.9
10.3 89.7 23.6 66.2
Africa ................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe ............................................... Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America ............................... Oceania...............................................
8.8 55.6 21.6 6.6 6.8 0.5
10.2 58.7 16.6 8.0 6.0 0.5
14.5 60.4 11.0 8.6 5.1 0.5
22.0 57.0 7.3 8.2 4.9 0.5
21.7 57.3 7.2 8.4 4.8 0.5
21.4 57.5 7.2 8.5 4.8 0.5
27.4 55.0 5.3 7.9 3.9 0.5
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
Most of the world population lives in a few countries. In 2007, 40 per cent of the world population lived in China and India. A further eight countries accounted for a further 20 per cent of the earth's inhabitants, namely, the United States, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, the Russian Federation and Japan, in order of population size. However, most of the countries of the world have small populations. Thus, 77 per cent of the 229 countries or areas covered by the 2006 Revision had populations of less than 20 million inhabitants in 2007 and, taken together, they account for 12 per cent of the world's population. By 2025, the population of India is projected to surpass that of China and the two will account then for about 36 per cent of the world population. By 2050, three least developed countries-Bangladesh, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Ethiopia-will be among the ten most populous countries in the world. Together with India, China, the United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Brazil, in order of population size, they are projected to be the ten most populous countries in the world in 2050. Increments in the world population are also largely concentrated in a few countries, generally the most populous. Thus, during 2005-2050, eight countries-India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United States, Bangladesh and China, in order of population increment-are expected to account for almost half of the projected population increase at the world level. Over most of human history, the world population grew very slowly if at all. Growth rates began increasing slowly during the 17" or 18" centuries as mortality started to decline. With accelerating gains in longevity, the growth rate of the world population increased, especially during the 2othcentury, when it reached a peak at 2 per cent per year in 1965-1970 (figure 1). Since then, the speed of population growth has been decelerating, largely as a result of falling fertility in the developing world. By 2005-2010, the population growth rate at the world level had reached 1.17 per cent per year and is projected to decline to 0.36 per cent per year by 2045-2050. However, because fertility decline has not occurred simultaneously in all countries, the pace of population growth still differs considerably among development groups. Thus, whereas today the population of the more developed regions is rising at an annual rate of 0.28 per cent, that of the less developed regions is increasing almost five times as fast, at 1.37 per cent annually, and the least developed countries as a group are experiencing even more rapid population growth, at 2.37 per cent per year. Such differences, United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure 1. Average annual rate of population change for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant)
1950
1960
-World
1970
1980
1990
More developed regions
-
2000
2010
2020
Period Less developed regions
2030
2040
2050
- a-- Least developed countries
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
albeit dampened, are expected to persist until 2050. By that time, according to the medium variant, the population of the more developed regions will have been declining for about 20 years, whereas the population of the less developed regions will still be rising at an annual rate of 0.44 per cent per year. More importantly, the population of the least developed countries will likely be increasing at a robust annual rate of 1.24 per cent in 2045-2050, a rate that, if maintained, would lead to a doubling of the population every 56 years (figure 1). 2. Population age composition The primary demographic consequence of fertility decline, especially if combined with increases in life expectancy, is population ageing, a process whereby the proportion of older persons in the population increases and that of younger persons declines. In 1950, just 8 per cent of the world population was aged 60 years or over. By 2005 that proportion had risen to 10 per cent and it is expected to reach 22 per cent in 2050 (table 3). Globally, the number of older persons (aged 60 years or over) will nearly triple, passing from 673 million in 2005 to 2 billion in 2050. In contrast, the number of children (persons under age 15) is projected to decline over the next 45 years, passing from 1.84 billion in 2005 to 1.82 billion in 2050 and their share of the total population will drop from 28 per cent in 2005 to 20 per cent in 2050. Increases in the median age, the age at which half the population is older and half is younger than that age, are indicative of population ageing. In 2005, 13 countries, all of them located in the more developed regions, had a median age higher than 40 years. Leading this group was Japan with a median age of 43 United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospecb: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE3. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION BY BROAD AGE GROUP FOR THE WORLD, THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS, MEDIUM VARIANT,
Percentage distribution in 2005 Major area
0-14
World .................................................................... More developed region ..................................... Less developed regions ..................................... Least developed countries ............................ Other less developed countries Africa .................................................................... Asia ................................................................... Europe ............................................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ......................... Northern America ................................................ Oceania ..............................................................
28.3 17.0 30.9 41.5 29.1 41.4 28.0 15.9 29.8 20.5 24.9
.....................
15-59
61.4 62.9 61.0 53.4 62.3 53.4 62.7 63.5 61.2 62.7 61.0
60+
10.3 20.1 8.1 5.1 8.6 5.2 9.2 20.6 9.0 16.7 14.1
80+
1.3 3.7 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.0 3.5 1.2 3.5 2.6
2005 AND 2050
Percentage distribution in 2050 0-14
19.8 15.2 20.6 28.2 18.4 28.0 18.0 14.6 18.0 17.1 18.4
15-59
58.3 52.2 59.3 61.5 58.7 61.7 58.3 50.9 57.8 55.6 56.9
60+
21.8 32.6 20.1 10.3 22.9 10.4 23.7 34.5 24.3 27.3 24.8
80+
4.4 9.4 3.6 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.5 9.6 5.2 7.8 6.8
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
years, followed closely by Germany and Italy, with median ages of 42 years. In contrast, the median ages in Mali, Niger and Uganda in 2005 were all at or below 16 years, making their populations the youngest on the planet. By 2050, 93 countries are expected to have a median age above 40, 48 of which are located in the developing world. That is, population ageing, which is already pervasive in developed countries, is expected to be common in the developing world of the future and is projected to occur more rapidly in developing countries than it did in their developed counterparts (map 3 and map 4). Despite the general trend toward population ageing, countries that still have relatively high fertility will have a younger population than the rest in 2050. Mostly least developed countries are in this group. In 2050, eight least developed countries will have the youngest populations on earth, with median ages at or below 24 years. They are: Afghanistan, Angola, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Niger and Uganda. The more developed regions have been leading the process of population ageing and their experience provides a point of comparison for the expected ageing of the population of less developed regions. In 1950, the number of children (persons under age 15) in the more developed world was more than twice the number of older persons (those aged 60 years or over), with children accounting for 27 per cent of the total population and the elderly for only 12 per cent. By 2005, the proportion of older persons in the more developed regions had surpassed that of children (20 per cent versus 17 per cent) and in 2050, the proportion of older persons is expected to be more than double that of children (33 per cent versus 15 per cent). In 2050, the number of older persons in more developed regions is projected to be more than four times their number in 1950 (95 million versus 406 million) while the number of children is projected to decline from 223 million in 1950 to 190 million in 2050. Until 2005, population ageing had been considerably slower in the less developed regions where fertility is still relatively high. The proportion of children had declined from 37 per cent in 1950 to 31 per cent in 2005, while the proportion of older persons had increased from 6 per cent to 8 per cent. However, a period of more rapid population ageing lies ahead for the less developed regions. By 2050, the proportion of older persons in those regions is expected to rise to 20 per cent, whereas the proportion of children is expected to decline to 21 per cent. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Map 1. Average annual rate of population change, 2005-2010, medium variant (percentage)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Map 2. Average annual rate of population change, 2045-2050, medium variant (percentage)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Trends in the number of persons of working age (those aged 15 to 59 years) are particularly important for all countries. The proportion of the population in those ages is an important factor related to the potential for economic growth. In the more developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age decreased from 61 per cent in 1950 to 59 per cent in 1970 and then increased steadily to reach 63 per cent in 2005. However, this increase is over and the proportion of the population of working age in the more developed regions is expected to decline steadily in the future, reaching 52 per cent by 2050. In the less developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age is expected to decline slightly, passing from 61 per cent in 2005 to 59 per cent in 2050. However, among the least developed countries, that proportion will rise from 53 per cent in 2005 to 61 per cent in 2050, an increase that repreUnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Map 3. Median age in 2005, medium variant bears)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Map 4. Median age in 2050, medium variant (years)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
sents both an opportunity and a challenge: the opportunity for economic growth provided that the challenge of creating gainhl employment for the growing numbers of persons of working age is met. Among the older population, the number and proportion of the oldest-old, that is, persons aged 80 years or over, is rising. In 2005, there were 88 million oldest-old corresponding to 1.3 per cent of the world population. By 2050, this segment of the population is projected to reach 402 million or 4.4 per cent of the world population. The oldest-old is the fastest growing segment of the world population. Particularly rapid increases in this segment of the population are expected in the less developed regions where the oldest-old are projected to increase from 43 million in 2005 to 284 million in 2050 implying an
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The ZOO6 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
average annual rate of 4.2 per cent (table 4). By 2050, 71 per cent of all persons aged 80 or over are expected to live in developing countries. In 2005, over 60 countries had populations where the oldest-old accounted for more than 1.3 per cent of the population, the percentage of the oldest-old at the world level. In Italy and Sweden the oldest-old accounted for over 5 per cent of the population. By 2050, 92 countries are expected to have populations where those aged 80 years or over account for more than 4.4 per cent of the population, the projected share of the oldest-old at the world level. In 23 of those countries, led by Japan and Singapore, the oldestold are expected to account for over 10 per cent of the population. Just as the overall population, the oldest-old tend to be concentrated in the most populous countries. In 2005, 15.4 million lived in China, 10.6 million in the United States and 7.8 million in India. In 2050, those countries will still have the largest numbers of persons aged 80 or over: 103 million in China, 51 million in India and 3 1 million in the United States. TABLE4. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AND THE POPULATION IN BROAD AGE GROUPS BY MAJOR AREA, MEDIUM VARIANT, 2005-2050 (percentage) 0-14
15-59
60+
80+
Total population
World ................................................
-0.03
0.65
2.43
3.38
0.76
More developed regions.................... Less developed regions..................... Least developed countries............. Other less developed countries .....
-0.19 0.00 0.96 -0.32
-0.36 0.84 2.14 0.56
1.13 2.93 3.39 2.88
2.16 4.19 3.97 4.20
0.05 0.90 1.82 0.70
Africa................................................ Asia ................................................... Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ..... Northern America ............................. Oceania .............................................
0.85 -0.34 -0.41 -0.41 0.25 0.17
2.04 0.48 -0.70 0.59 0.38 0.68
3.25 2.74 0.93 2.92 1.73 2.08
3.88 4.04 2.02 3.91 2.42 2.97
1.72 0.65 -0.21 0.71 0.65 0.84
Major area
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables
Figure 2. Total fertiUty trajectories for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 (medium variant)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
According to the 2006 Revision, total fertility-that is, the average number of children a woman would bear if fertility rates remained unchanged during her lifetime-is 2.55 children per woman in 20052010 at the world level (table 5). This average masks the heterogeneity of fertility levels among countries. In 2005-2010, 73 countries or areas (45 of them located in the more developed regions) have fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman, that is, below replacement level', whereas 122 countries or areas (all of which are located in the less developed regions) have total fertility levels at or above 2.1 children per woman. Among these 122 countries, 27 have total fertility levels at or above 5 children per woman, 25 of which are least developed countries (table 6 and map 5). The 73 countries where total fertility is below replacement level in 2005-2010 account for 43 per cent of the world population or approximately 2.9 billion people. Countries with fertility at or above replacement level account for 3.8 billion people or 57 per cent of the world population. Because of their low fertility and the expectation that it will not rise markedly in the future, the countries with belowreplacement fertility in 2005-2010 are projected to have only a slightly larger population in 2050 than today. In contrast, the countries whose fertility is currently at or above replacement level are expected to experience a marked population increase, reaching 6.1 billion by 2050 and accounting then for 67 per cent of the world population.
Replacement-level fertility is the level that needs to be sustained over the long run to ensure that a population replaces itself. For most countries having low or moderate mortality levels, replacement level is close to 2.1 children per woman.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE5. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTEDTOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD. THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS. 1970.1975.200 5.2010 AND2045-2050 ACCORDING TO VARIANT . .
Totalfertility (childrenper woman) 2045-2050 Major area
1970-1975
2005-201 0
Low
Medium
High
Constant
4.47 2.13 5.41 6.6 1 5.25 6.72 5.04 2.16 5.04 2.0 1 3.23
2.55 1.60 2.75 4.63 2.45 4.67 2.34 1.45 2.37 2.00 2.30
1.54 1.29 1.57 2.02 1.42 1.97 1.40 1.26 1.36 1.35 1.43
2.02 1.79 2.05 2.50 1.91 2.46 1.90 1.76 1.86 1.85 1.93
2.51 2.28 2.54 2.99 2.41 2.95 2.39 2.26 2.36 2.35 2.43
3.49 1.68 3.69 5.49 3.07 5.47 2.94 1.47 2.67 1.99 2.83
World.................................................. More developed regions ..................... Less developed regions....................... Least developed countries............... Other less developed countries ....... Africa.................................................. Asia .................................................... Europe .............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean ....... Northern America............................... Oceania.............................................
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007) . World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
TABLE6.DISTRIBUTION OF COUNTRIES AND AREAS BY LEVEL OF TOTAL FERTILITY IN 1950~1955.1970~1975.200 5.2010 AND 2045-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT) Population (millions)
Number of countries
I953
1973
2008
2048
Greater or equal to 7 ............... Between 6 and less than 7 ...... Between 5 and less than 6 ...... Between 4 and less than 5 ...... Between 3 and less than 4 ...... Between 2.1 and less than 3 ... Less than 2.1 ...........................
141 1 068 560 35 275 585 10
156 603 921 1 113 88 355 687
45 182 388 213 451 2 547 2 922
0 0 0 0 185 1 650 7 294
32 72 31 14 16 25 5
33 50 27 20 14 32 19
3 11 13 14 29 52 73
0 0 0 0 6 41 148
Total .......................................
2 675
3 924
6 748
9 128
195
195
195
195
Greater or equal to 7 ............... Between 6 and less than 7 ...... Between 5 and less than 6 ...... Between 4 and less than 5 ...... Between 3 and less than 4 ...... Between 2.1 and less than 3 ... Less than 2.l ...........................
5.3 39.9 20.9 1.3 10.3 2 1.9 0.4
4.0 15.4 23.5 28.4 2.2 9.0 17.5
0.7 2.7 5.8 3.2 6.7 37.7 43.3
16.4 36.9 15.9 7.2 8.2 12.8 2.6
16.9 25.6 13.8 10.3 7.2 16.4 9.7
1.5 5.6 6.7 7.2 14.9 26.7 37.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 21.0 75.9
Range of totalfertility
1950-1955
1970-1975
2005-2010
2045-2050
Percentage
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 18.1 79.9
p
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007) . World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:Only countries or areas with 100.000 inhabitants or more in 2007 are included.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division world ~ o ~ u l a t i oProspects: n The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Map 5. Total fertility in 2005-2010, medium variant (childrenper woman)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Map 6. Total fertility in 2045-2050, medium variant (childrenper woman)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Since, 1974, when the first World Population Conference was held in Bucharest, Romania, fertility has declined by more than 20 per cent in 135 developing countries and by over 50 per cent in 66 of them. The fastest fertility reductions occurred in countries in Asia, including Bhutan, Hong Kong SAR China, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Kuwait, Macao SAR China, Mongolia, the Republic of Korea and Viet Nam. Fertility also declined rapidly in Algeria and Tunisia in Northern Africa and in Mexico in Latin America. The average number of children in those countries is currently below 2.38 children per woman. Although most developing countries are already far advanced in the transition from high to low fertility, 14 countries still hale fertility levels of 6 children per woman or higher in 2005-2010 and in three of them total fertility is equal or greater than 7 children per woman (table 6). Although the fertility United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Conlprehensive Tables
of those 14 countries is projected to decline after 2010 at a pace of about one child per decade, none is expected to reach 2.1 children per woman by 2045-2050 in the medium variant. As a result, their population is expected nearly to triple, passing from 227 million in 2008 to 642 million in 2050. These 14 countries are least developed countries-Afghanistan, Angola, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Chad, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Timor Leste and Uganda-and several are highly affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic. Moreover, a number of them have been experiencing civil strife and political instability in recent years, factors that m~litateagainst the provision of basic services for the populaticjn. The continuation of rapld population growth poses serious challenges to their future development. Despite the important contribution to population growth of high-fertility countries (those wit11 a total fertility abovc 6 children per woman), they account today for less than 4 per cent of the world population and are expected to constitute 7 per cent of the world population by 2050, according to the medium variant. Countries with total fertility ranging from 4 to 6 children per woman account today for 9 per cent of the world population (table 6). In 2007, the tnajority of people in the developing world live in the 81 countries with total fertility ranging from 2.1 to 4 children per woman, which account for 44 per cent of the world population. Most of those countries are projected to have a total fertility below replacement level by 2045-2050, according to the medium variant. Overall, 148 countries or areas are projected to have below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050, with 119 having a total fertility equal to or lower than 1.85 children per woman As a result, according to the medium variant, nearly 80 per cent of the world population is expected to live in countries with below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050. Fertility levels in developed countries, many of which experienced a "baby-boom" during the 1950s and 1960s, have generally declined since the early 1970s to below-replacement level. In fact, in 19701975, 19 countries out of the 45 developed countries in the world already had below-replacement fertility. By 2005-2010, all developed countries had reached fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman. Among them, 12 had reached historically unprecedented low fertility levels (below 1.3 children per woman), with Belarus, Poland and the Ukraine exhibiting the lowest levels in the developed world. At the world level, the rnedium variant projects totai fertility to be 2.02 children per woman in 20452050 (table S), the result of 1.79 children per woman in the more developed regions and 2.05 children per woman in the less developed regions. That is, although the difference in total fertility between the more and the less developed regions narrows considerably by mid-century, the less developed regions arc still expected to have a higher total fertility than the Inore developed regions. That difference persists in all pro-jection variants. Total fertility in the low vanant is expected to be 1.29 children per woman in the more developed regions and 1.57 children per woman in the less developed regions. In the high variant, total fertility is projected to be 2.28 children per woman in the more developed regions and 2.54 children per woman in the less developed regions.
Y THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF HIV/hIDS C. ~ I O R T A L I TAND I . Trends and prospects in world mortality The tweritieth century witnessed the most rapid decline in mortality in human history. In 1950-1955, life expectancy at the world level was 46 years and it had reached 67 years by 2005-2010. Over the next 45 years, life expectancy at the global level is expected to rise further to reach 75 years in 2045-2056) (table 7). The more developed regions already had a high expectation of life in 1950-1955 (66 years) and have since experienced further gains in longevity. By 2005-2010 their life expectancy stood at 74.5 years, 1 l years higher than in the less developed regions where rhe expectation of life at birth was 65.4 years. Although the gap between the two groups is expected to narrow between 2005 and mid-century, in 2045United Nations Depsrtrnent of Fcono~nicand Social Affairs:Population Division WovM Population Pro.vj~rct,s:T/7e 2006 Revision, b'olume I: Cori~pi.ehei~si~e Tah1c.s
TABI.E7. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND THE MAJOR AREAS, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 ~-
Major area
-
2005-2010
2045-2050
World ...............................................
67.2
75.4
More developed regions................... Less developed regions .................... Least developed countries............ Other less developed countries .....
76.5 65.4 54.6 67.9
82.4 74.3 67.2 76.4
Africa ............................................... Asia .................................................. Europe.............................................. Latin America and the Caribbean..... Northern America ............................ Oceania ............................................
52.8 69.0 74.6 73.3 78.5 75.2
66.1 77.4 81.0 79.6 83.3 81.0
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
2050 the more developed regions are still expected to have considerably higher life expectancy at birth than the less developed regions (82.4 years versus 74.3 years). The 50 least developed countries, which include 31 of the countries that are highly affected by HIVIAIDS, have been experiencing higher mortality than other development groups. Their life expectancy at birth was 55 years in 2005-2010 and is expected to remain relatively low, reaching 67 years in 2045-2050. The general upward trend in life expectancy for the more developed and the less developed regions (figure 3) conceals different trends among the world's major areas (figure 4). In Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern America and Oceania, life expectancy has been increasing at a steady pace. In contrast, Europe as a whole experienced a slowdown in the increase of life expectancy starting in the late 1960s and stagnating levels since the late 1980s. This trend is the result of severe reductions in life expectancy in countries of Eastern Europe, particularly in the Russian Federation and the Ukraine. The remaining regions of Europe have had increasing life expectancies which are currently equal to or higher than that of Northern America. Africa has the lowest life expectancy levels of any major area. Furthermore, life expectancy in Africa has virtually stagnated since the late 1980s. While this trend is due in large part to the HIVIAIDS epidemic, other factors have also played a role, including armed conflict, economic stagnation, and resurgent infectious diseases such as tuberculosis and malaria. The recent negative developments in many countries of Africa represent major set backs in reducing mortality. Only in 2005-2010 is life expectancy expected to begin rising again and, provided efforts to reduce the expansion of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and to treat those affected by it succeed, it is expected to continue rising to reach 66 years in 2045-2050. However, even if these gains materialize, by mid-century the population of Africa is still expected to be subject to the highest mortality levels in the world, with its overall life expectancy being 11 years lower than the next lowest one, that of Asia. In nearly all countries of the world, female life expectancy at birth is higher than that of males. At the world level, females have a life expectancy of 70 years in 2005-2010, compared to 65 years for males (table 8). The female advantage is considerably larger in the more developed regions (7 years) than in the less developed regions (3 years). The gap between male and female life expectancy is particularly narrow in the least developed countries (2 years). At the world level, a difference of about 5 years between United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure 3. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
Figure 4. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2050
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE8. LIFEEXPECTANCY AT BIRTH BY SEX FOR THE WORLD AND THE MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 Life expectancy af birth (years) 2005-2010
2045-2050
Major area
Male
Female
Male
Female
World ..................................................
65.0
69.5
73.1
77.8
72.9 63.7 53.4
80.2 67.2 55.8
79.4 72.1 65.4
85.4 76.5 69.1
More developed regions .................. Less developed regions ................... Least developed countries ...........
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
female and male life expectancy is expected to persist until 2045-2050, but whereas the female to male gap is life expectancy is expected to narrow in the more developed regions, it is expected to widen in the less developed regions. Under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and the exact age of five, is an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. In 1950-1955, almost a quarter (236 deaths per 1,000 births) of all children born worldwide did not reach their fifth birthday. By 20052010, this rate had fallen to 74 deaths per 1,000 births. Although child mortality has fallen in all major areas, sub-Saharan Africa has lagged behind in achieving lower levels of child mortality (figure 5). In the 1950s, sub-Saharan Afica and South-Central Asia had similarly high levels of child mortality and both experienced significant reductions until the 1980s but thereafter, the pace of decline in child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa slowed down. As a result, by 2005-2010, under-five mortality had reached 82 deaths per 1,000 births in South-Central Asia, but it was still a high 155 deaths per 1,000 births in sub-Saharan Africa. 2. The demographic impact of AIDS
Twenty-seven years into the HIV/AIDS epidemic, its impact on the populations of the highly-affected countries is evident. In the 2006 Revision, the impact of HIV/AIDS is explicitly modelled for 62 countries, up from 60 in the 2004 Revision. In most of these countries, HIV prevalence in 2005 was estimated to be 1 per cent or higher among the population aged 15-49 years. Four populous countries with lower prevalence levels were also included because they have a large number of persons living with HIV. They are Brazil, China, India and the United States. Among the 62 highly affected countries, 40 are in sub-Saharan Africa, five in Asia, l l in Latin America and the Caribbean, four in Europe, one in Northern America and one in Oceania. Together they account for 35.5 million of the 38.6 million HIV-infected adults and children estimated to be alive in 2005 or 90 per cent of the world total. The dynamics of the HIV/AIDS epidemic as reflected in the 2006 Revision are consistent with the estimates of HIV prevalence in 2005 as reported by UNAIDS~for each country. Beginning in 2005, the 2006 Revision assumes that changes in behaviour, along with treatment, will reduce the chances of infection. Rates of recruitment into high-risk groups are assumed to decline as well. In light of major expansions in antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, average survival of those infected is expected to increase at a rate determined by projected levels of ART coverage and efficacy. However, because the epidemic is still expanding, some countries are expected to experience increasing levels of HIV
* Report on the Global HIVIAIDS epidemic 2006 (Geneva, TJNAIDS, 2006). United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure 5. Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2005
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
prevalence over the medium-term future. Nevertheless, in nearly all highly affected countries, HIV prevalence is projected to be lower in 2025 than in 2005.
In the 2006 Revision, the estimated and projected long-term impact of HIVIAIDS is somewhat less severe than that projected in the 2004 Revision. Part of this reduction is due to the incorporation of revised and lower estimates of HIV prevalence for several countries where nationally representative data on the epidemic have become available. Another part stems from the assumption that antiretroviral therapy will reach an ever increasing proportion of the persons who need it and that, as a result, those persons will not only survive longer but will be less infectious. However, realization of these projections is contingent on sustained commitment by Governments to assure treatment for those infected and to promote preventive measures and behavioural changes among the uninfected. The 2006 Revision confirms yet again the devastating toll AIDS has in terms of increased morbidity, mortality and population loss. Life expectancy in the most affected countries already shows dramatic declines. In Botswana, where HIV prevalence is estimated at 24 per cent in 2005 among the population aged 15-49 years, life expectancy has fallen from 64 years in 1985-1990 to 47 years in 20002005. By 2005-2010, life expectancy is expected to increase again to 51 years as a result of declining HIV prevalence and increased access to anti-retroviral therapy. In Southern Afiica as a whole, where most of the worst affected countries are, life expectancy has fallen from 61 to 49 years over the last 20 years. While the impact in Southern Afiica is particularly stark, the majority of highly affected countries in Africa have experienced declines in life expectancy in recent years because of the epidemic. In countries where HIV prevalence rates are lower, AIDS has mainly slowed down the increase in life expectancy. To assess the impact of the disease on life expectancy in these countries, the medium variant projections are compared with a hypothetical scenario in which AIDS does not exist. One can thus conclude that in 2005-2010, for instance, life expectancy is expected to be lower than it would have been United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorId Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
in the absence of AIDS by 2 years in Cambodia and the Dominican Republic, and one year in Ukraine. A larger impact is yet to come in many countries, such as India, where the impact of AIDS on life expectancy relative to the No-AIDS scenario is projected to increase from 1.0 year in 2005-2010 to 1.3 years in 2010-2015. Similarly, in the Russian Federation, that difference is projected to rise from 0.6 year in 2005-2010 to 2 years by 2015-2020. The toll that HIVIAIDS is taking is already retarding progress in reducing child mortality. Thirtyfive per cent of children infected through mother-to-child transmission are estimated to die before their first birthday, and 61 per cent die by age five. The impact of HIV on child mortality is particularly dramatic in countries that had achieved relatively low levels of child mortality before the epidemic began. In Zimbabwe, for instance, where under-five mortality was one of the lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, it has risen from 87 child deaths per 1,000 births in 1985-1990 to 104 per 1,000 in 2000-2005 and is projected to decline to 94 per 1,000 in 2005-2010. In Swaziland, under-five mortality has risen from 118 to 135 deaths per 1,000 births between 1985-1990 and 2000-2005, and is expected to decline to 114 deaths per 1,000 in 2005-2010. The impact of HIVIAIDS on child mortality is projected to decrease in the future with improved prevention of mother-to-child transmission. AIDS reshapes the percentage distribution of deaths by age. In 1985-1990, deaths in Eastern Afiica were concentrated among young children and older adults (figure 6), and adults aged 20 to 49 years accounted for only 16 per cent of all deaths. By 2005-2010, a shift had taken place in the distribution of deaths by age, with 29 per cent of all deaths occurring between the ages of 20 and 49. Such large increases in mortality deplete the cohorts that are in the prime of their working and parental careers, creating the potential for severe shocks to economic and societal structures. AIDS-related mortality and its impact on the potential number of births are reshaping the age structure of populations in the affected countries. Figure 7 shows the effect on the population of South Africa in 2015 by comparing the age distribution resulting from the No-AIDS scenario with that projected under the medium variant. The population aged 15 or over is 16 per cent smaller according the medium variant than according to the No-AIDS scenario. The reduced size of cohorts under age 15 is partly due to the deaths of large numbers of women during the reproductive ages and to the lower survival prospects of infected children. Total population in South Africa in 2015 is projected to be 50.3 millions or 14 per cent lower than according to the No-AIDS scenario. Despite the effect of the epidemic on reducing population growth rates, the populations of affected countries are generally expected to be larger by mid-century than today, mainly because most of them maintain high to moderate fertility levels. In fact, owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of HIVIAIDS combined with the expected expansion of access to anti-retroviral therapy and efforts to control the further spread of HIV, all the countries with the highest prevalence in 2005 are expected to experience positive population growth rates between 2005 and 2050. This trend marks a reversal from previous projections which expected outright reductions of population (that is, negative population growth rates) i n countries such as Botswana, Lesotho or Swaziland.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure 6. Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Eastern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010
0-4
5-19
20-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60+
Age groups
0 1985-1990
2005-2010
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations.
Figure 7. Population in 2015, projected with AIDS and without AIDS, by sex and age group, South Africa
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007).World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables
Map 7. Life expectancy at birth, 2005-2010, medium variant (years)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE:The boundaries shown on this map do not imply off~cialendorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Map 8. Life expectancy at birth, 2045-2050, medium variant (years)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. New York: United Nations. NOTE: The boundaries shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
D. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION Estimates of net migration between the major development groups show that since 1960 the more developed regions have been net gainers of emigrants from the less developed regions (table 9). Furthermore, net migration to the more developed regions has been increasing steadily from 1960 to 2000. During 1990-2000, the more developed regions were gaining annually 2.5 million migrants. About half of that net flow was directed to Northern America (1.3 million annually). During 2000-2010, the level of net migration to the more developed regions as a whole changes only slightly, but there is some increase in the net number of migrants received by Northern America (1.5 million annually). Over the rest of the projection period, net migration to the more developed regions is projected to remain at about 2.3 million per year, of which 1.3 million are directed to Northern America. With respect to the other major areas, Asia was by far the major source of migrants during 200020 10 ( 1.3 million annually), followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (1. l million annually) and then Africa (0.4 million annually). Over the projection period, more than half of all the net number of emigrants from the less developed regions are expected to be from Asia, between 25 per cent to 30 per cent from Latin America and the Caribbean, and the remaining from Africa. At the country level, during 2000-2010, 33 of the 45 developed countries have been net receivers of international migrants. This group includes traditional countries of immigration such as Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the United States, most of the populous countries in Northern, Southern and Western Europe as well as the Russian Federation and Japan. The movement of people from less developed regions to more developed regions has dominated the world migration patterns for almost half a century, but flows among developing countries have also been important. Several developing countries or areas have been attracting migrants in large numbers, including Hong Kong SAR China, Israel, Kuwait, Malaysia, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan and the Syrian Arab Republic have been the primary receivers of refugees from Iraq. Many African countries have been the destination of refugee flows from neighbouring countries. During 2000-2010, the countries having the highest levels of net emigration included China, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the Philippines. Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran also registered high levels of net emigration, partly as a result of the repatriation of Afghani refugees. International migration is the component of population change most difficult to measure and estimate reliably. Thus, the quality and quantity of the data used in the estimation and projection of net migration varies considerably by country. Furthermore, the movement of people across international boundaries, which is very often a response to changing socio-economic, political and environmental forces, is subject to a great deal of volatility. Refugee movements, for instance, may involve large numbers of people moving across boundaries in a short time. For these reasons, projections of future international migration levels are the least robust part of current population projections and reflect mainly a continuation of recent levels and trends in net migration.
United Nations Department of Econornic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divislon World Population prospect.^ . The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensi1,e Trrh1e.s
TABLE9.AVERAGE ANNUAL NET NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS PER DECADE BY MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA. 1950-2050(MEDIUM VARIANT) Major area
1950-1960
1960-1970
1970-1980
Net number of migrants (thousandr) 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010
More developed regions......................... Less developed regions .......................... Least developed countries.................. Other less developed countries ..........
-3 3 -104 108
556 -556 -148 -409
1 088 .1 088 -447 -641
1 530 .1 530 -788 -742
Africa ..................................................... Asia........................................................ Europe ................................................... Latin America and the Caribbean .......... Northern America .................................. Oceania ..................................................
-125 194 -489 -68 403 85
-242 -22 -3 1 -293 479 109
-289 -377 288 -415 748 44
-267 -451 441 -78 1 972 86
2 493
2 902
.2 493
.2 902
-37 .2 456
-29 .2 873
-310 .1 340 1051 -775 1 277 96
2010-2020
2 268 .2 268 -277 .1991
2020-2030
2 269 .2 269 -373 .1 896
2030-2040
2040-2050
2 272
2 272
.2 272
.2 272
-375
-375
.1 897
.1 897
-416
-377
-395
-393
-393
.1311
.1210
.1221
.1 222
.1 222
1 271 .1 108 1 453 111
799 -616 1 305 99
805 -590 1 300 101
808 -595 1 300 102
808 -595 1 300 102
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Highlights. New York: United Nations.
111. OFtDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS DATA ON CD-ROM the datasets 1 to 3 and 5 to 14 listed in table l .
Thc 2006 Revlsinn of the W'or-l~/Poptrlation P~ospects, prepared by the United Nations Population Division, providcs a comprehensive and consistent set of population data for the world's countries and their aggregates.
The Extended CD-ROM contains all the data from the Comprehcnsive CD, plus population figures by single calendar year and single age group for 1950-2050. This CD also provides interpolated demographic indicators for single calendar years (total births and deaths: their rcspective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, survivors to age I , total fertility), urban population, population dcnsity and interpolated total population by main age group and sex, and their respcctive percentage distributions and sex ratios. The data are presented in Excel and database formats (ASCII comma delimited format for all datasets) and correspond to all datasets Listed in table 1.
The results of this Revision are available on two CD-
ROM editions that differ with regard to the data included and their prices (table 1). All two CDs contain estimates and projections of national populations by five-year age group and sex for 1950-2050 and demographic indicators for the same period. Data for 1950-2005 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. -
The Comprehensive CD-ROM contains for all fertility projection variants (low, medium, high and constantfertility) all essential data such as total births, total deaths, total net-migration, the respective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, total fertility, net-reproduction rate and population growth rates for 1950-2050 by five-year periods. It includes population by five-year age group and sex for five-year periods and interpolated annual total population. In addition, this CD edition providcs births and deaths by five-ycar age group, the corresponding age-specific fertility and mortality rates and abridged life tablcs (survivors and lifc expectancies at specific agcs). It also comprises standard sets of demographic indicators and population by age group and sex for four other variants (instant-replacement-fertility, zeromigration, constant-mortality and no mortality and fertility change) and for three AIDS scenarios. All data on this C D arc presented in Exccl worksheets and correspond to
P
P
P
P
P
P
All CDs show data for 229 countries and areas, 33 country aggregates, including the world as a whole. the more and the less developed regions, and the major areas. For the AlDS scenarios (datasets l 1 -14), special aggregations by region and HIV prevalence level in 2005 are provided for 62 countries affected by the HIViAIDS epidcmic. The Microsoft Excel files correspond to version 9712003 and later of this software. For a dctailcd listing of the contents of each CD, see table 2. Data files in database formats are shown in table 3. All CDs include the English Executive Summary of Wor.ld Popzll~tionPro.vpects: The 2006 Revision in Adobe Acrobat PDF format. For ~nformationon how to order this CD-ROM please sez the order form at the end.
Table 1. Summary contents of each CD-R011 P
P
P
P
Description: Dataset3 included on CD-ROM 0 Locdtlons list I Per~od~ndicators,five-year pe~iods 2. Stock ~ndicators,five-year periods (and annual population) 3. Population by five-year agr: group and sex, five-year periods 4. Population by five-year age group and sex; annual 5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods 6 Fertility ind~cators by age, five-year per~odq -7 Instant-repldcement-fertil~tyvariant 8. Zcro-migration variant 9. Constant-mortality variant 10. No-change variant (constant-mortality and constant-fertility) l I . No-AIDS mortality scenario 12. AIDS mortality scenario (mediumldefault) 13. High-AIDS mortality scenario 14 AIDS-Vaccine nlortal~tyscenarlo 15 Interpolated demographic and populat~on~nd~cators, annual 16. Pop~ilation(by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of aze and single calendar ycars Price (I-JS$) P -
PP
P P p p P
--
P
P
- - ~
--P
P
P
p P -
P
P
P
P
P
Comprehensive CD
-
Extended CD -
-
-
P P P P P p
P
P
P~ P -
P
-
Exccl--format Excel fo~mat Excel format Excel format
Excel and database forniats -bxcel and database formats Excel and ddabase formats Excel and database l'ormats Exccl and database for~nats Excel and database fonnats Excel and database formats Exccl and databasc formats Excel and database fonnats Excel and database formats Excel and database- formats - -Excel and database fo~mats Exccl and database formats Excel and databasc formats Excel and database formats Excel and databasc formats Excel and database forniats
p -
Excel format Excel format Exccl format Excel fonnat Excel format Excel format Excel fonnat Excel format Excel fonnat Excel format
p P
P
P
-p . -
p p -
p -
-
P -
United Nations Depart~ncntof Econolnic and Social Affairs/Populatiun D~vision CZ'or6d Poj,~riltionProspecis. The 2006 Revision, Vol~oneI: (~i,tnj~i-rhe,~.~i~r. Tuhies
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Indicators
F0
Number of countries or areas
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)
195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low. medium. high. constant-fertility Low, mediutn, high, constant-fertility Medium Medium Medium 1 Low. medium. hieh. constant-fexti1itvl Low, medium, high, constant-fertility (LOW, medium, high, constant-fertility (
1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,.. ..2045-2050 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,....2045-2050 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 1950-1955,....2045-2050
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950-1955,. ...2045-2050
195 195 229 195 195
Low, medium. high, constant-fertility 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 Medium 1 1950-1955.....2045-2050 1 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950-1955,. ...2045-2050 Medium 1950-1955.....2045-2050
Periods covered
Age groups
Location list with codes (numerical and IS03), description, major area, region and development group; countries with explicit HIVJAIDS mortality modelling in WPP 2006 revision, HIV prevalence rate (%) in population aged 15-49years in 2005 (UNAIDS, 2006) and by prevalence groups.
Dataset 1. Period indicators, five-year periods
F 1. F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F8, F8.
h)
W,
I
F9. FlO. F 11. F 12. F 13.
Total fertility Net reproduction rate Crude birth rate Births Life expectancy at birth by sex Infant mortality, q(1) I~nder-fivemortality, q(5) l ~ r u d death e rate I ~ o t anumber l of deaths (both sexes) l ~ o t anumber l of male deaths
I
I I (
C/E CE CE CE C/E CE CE C/E CE C/E
Total number of female deaths
CE
Net migration rate l ~ enumber t of mimants (both sexes) Average annual rate of population change Rate of natural increase Sex ratio at birth
CiE CE CE CE CE
I
I I I I 1 1
1
1
l
1 1
1
-------------
-------
-------
-
---
I
---
----m
-
7
Dataset 2. Stock indicators F1.
F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7.
l ~ o t apooulation l fioth sexes), annual Male population, annual Female population, annual Sex ratio of the vooulation l ~ e ~ e n d e ratio n c ~(0-14and 65+ by 15-64) l ~ e d i a nage of the oooulation Total population by main age group
I
I I
C/E CiE CE CE CE CE CB
I
I 1
229 195 195 195 195 195
I LOW. medium. high. constant-fertility l Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low. medium. hieh. constant-fertilihr Low, medium, high, constant-fertility ~LOW. medium. high. constant-fertilitd
1950. 1951 .....2049.2050 1 1950,1951,....2049,2050 1950,1951,....2049,2050 1950.1955.....2045.2050 1950, 1955,....2045,2050 1950.1955.....2045.2050 1
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950,1955,...,2045,2050
I
l
1
F8.
Percentage total population by main age group
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950,1955,....2045,2050
F9.
Sex ratio and feminity ratio by main age group
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility
1950,1955,....2045,2050
-------
------15-24,15-59, 0-4,5-14,O-14, 15-64,60+,65+,SO+,90+ 0-4,5-14,O-14, 15-24,15-59, 15-64,60+,65+,80+,90+ 0-4, 5-l4,0-14,
15-24, 15-59,
15-64, 60+,65+,
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File F10.
Indicators Population density
Number of Projection variants or scenarios countries Periods covered ~dition' (starting in 2005) or areas C/E 229 Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...2045,2050
CD-R0M
Dataset 3. Population by age and sex, five-year periods F1. Population by five-year age group
195
C/E
---
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...1985, 1990
04,5-9,. .,7579, 80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79, 80+, 80-84, ...95-99, loo+ 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 04,s-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99,100+
1995,2000,....2045,2050
(both sexes) F2.
Age groups
Male population by five-year age group
C/E
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,....1985, 1990 1995,2000,.. ..2045,2050
F3.
CIE
Female population by five-year age group
195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility 1950, 1955,. ...1985, 1990 1995,2000,....2045,2050
Dataset 4. Population by age and sex, annual F1A.
Population by five-year age group (both sexes)
E
195
Medium
1995, 1996,. ...2050
FIB. F2A. N Q\
E
Population by five-year age group (male)
195
F2B. F3A.
0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 100+ 0 4 , 5-9,.. .75-79,80+ 0-4,5-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, 100+ 0-4,5-9,. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,s-9, ...75-79,80+, 80-84, ...95-99, loo+
1950, 1951,....1994
Medium
E
Population by five-year age group (female)
195
1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,. ...2050
'L
Medium
1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,....2050
F3B. Dataset 5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods F1. F2. F3. F4. F5.
Deaths by five-year age group (both sexes) Deaths by five-year age group (male) Deaths by five-year age group (female) Life table I(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex
C/E CE C/E CE C/E
195 195 195 195 195
Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Low, medium, high, constant-fertility Medium Medium
1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050
195 195
1Low, medium, high, constant-fertility1 1Low, medium, high, constant-fertility1
1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050
0-4,5-9,. ...75-79, 80+ 0-4,5-9,.. ..75-79,80+ 0-4,s-9 ,....75-79, 80+ 0, 1,5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100
Dataset 6. Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods
F1. F2.
l~irthsby five-year age group of mother lage-specific fertility rates
I (
CE CE
1
I
(
1
15-19, 20-24,. ..45-49 15-19, 20-24,.. ,4549
Dataset 7. Instant-replacement-fertility variant F1.
Population by five-year age group and sex
C/E
195
Instant-replacement-fertility
2010,20 15,. ..2045,2050
0-4, 5-9, ...75-79, 80+, 80-84, ..,9599, loo+
F2. F3. F4.
Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population
CIE
229 195 195
Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility
2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015,. .. 2045,2050 2010,201 5,. .. 2045,2050
---
C/E CIE
-----
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Dataset and File F5. F6. F7. F8.
Indicators
iz:
Number Of
; : - m : ; : CE C/E C/E CE
Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Total fertility
195 195 195 195
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)
Periods covered
Age groups
Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility Instant-replacement-fertility
2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050
---------
Dataset 8. Zero-migration variant I
1
I
I
I
I
04,5-9, ...75-79, SO+,
Dataset 9. Constant-mortality variant F1.
Population by five-year age group and sex
P
F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.
Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex
C/E
195
Constant-mortality
2010,2015,.. .2045,2050
C/E CIE C/E C/E Cn3 CE C/E C/E
229
Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality Constant-mortality
2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015, ... 2045,2050 2010,2015,.. . 2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ..,2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2OL0,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050
7 195 195 195 195 195 195
~ ~ $ : ~ ~ ; G ~ ~ ~ -------
--04,5-9, ...75-79, SO+
---
Dataset 10. No-change variant (constant-mortality and constant-fertility) F1.
Population by five-year age group and sex
CE
195
Constant mortality and fertility
2010,2015, ... 2045,2050
F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.
Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 6% by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex
C/E CE CE C/E C/E C/E
229 195 195 195 195 195 195 195
Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility Constant mortality and fertility
2006,2007,. ...2049,2050 2010,2015,. .. 2045,2050 2010,2015,. .,2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050
C/E C/E
0-4,5-9, ...75-79, SO+, 80-84, ...95-99, IOU+
------------0-4,5-9, ...75-79, 80+ ---
-----
---
---
---
OSOZ-SWZ"" ~861-0861 OSOZ-SWZ""'0002-~661 OSOZ-SWZ""'S861-0861 OSOZ-StOZ.'"'S861-0861 OSOZ-SWz""'5861-0861 osoz-SWZ" "'5861-0861 OSOZ-SWZ""'5861-0861
sav-ON SW-ON SaIV-ON SUIV-ON Saw-ON S~V-ON SW-ON
z9 Z9 29 Z9 Z9 z9 29
313
W3 313
W3 W3 W3
Em
a w qwap a p ~ 3 .LJ (s)b '4!@~rorua ~ g - l a p u n
(I )b ' ~ ! l lm3uI ~ o ~ xas dq qll!q
$E dueq3adxa
paia~oaspo!~ad
r9d 1'9s
aj!?
sWJ!€l aim qv!q apnr;) all31 U O ! I ~ ~ ~ O laN J~~J SJOJ83!pU! pO!lad
o!reuaas 4gtrporu (SOOZ U! iaaal a3uals~aidA ~ H pus uo@l XQ) suogs%~%s18pads ~1pu8 a!map!da
sdno~% QV
'Pd -EJ
'zd 1-11
~(nv-ON -11) a s ~ i e a
S
(SOOZ U! ~ W E J S ) sousuaas JO sim!.~sa u o ~ a [ m d
SBalB 10 sa!i~uno3 1u04!P3 JaqtunN won-a3
aI!8 Pus saswsa
SlOJrsqpuI
JO
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM I
l
I
ICD-ROMI
Indicators
I
.1 L
11.5 F1.
Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods l ~ e a t h by s five-year age group (both sexes) C/E
F2. F3. F4. F5. 11.6
l ~ e a t hby s five-year age group (male) Deaths by five-year age group (female) Life table I(x) values by sex Life expectancy at age (X)by sex Fertilitv indicators bv" age. five-vear oeriods
F1. F2.
l ~ i r t h by s five-year age group of mother I ~ ~ e - s ~ e c ifertility f i c rates
I
v
.
I
I I
CE C/E CE C/E CE CE
I
I
I 1
I
Number Of countries or areas 62 62 62 62 62
I I
62 62
I I
1
I
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005) No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS No-AIDS
Periods covered
Age groups I
I
1 1
1 1
1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050
1 1
1 [
0-4,5-9,. ...75-79, 80+ 0-4, 5-9,. . ..75-79, SO+ 0-4,5-9,....75-79, 80+ 0,1,5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100
1 15-19,20-24,.. .45-49 15-19,20-24,...45-49 -
Dataset 12. AIDS mortality scenario (medium/default)
U \O
F 1.
Population by five-year age group and sex
C/E
62
AIDS (medium)
1980, 1985,....2045, 2050
0-4,5-9, 80-84, .,..95-99, ..75-79,loo-t SO+,
F2. F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9. F10. F 11.
Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the vovulation \crude birth rate (crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life expectancy at birth by sex l ~ i f table e [(X)values by sex )Lifeexpectancy at age (X)by sex
C/E C/E C/E CIE C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E CB
62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62
AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium) AIDS (medium)
1980, 1981,...,2049,2050 1980, 1985,....2045,2050 1980. 1985.. ...2045.2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,. ...2045-2050 1980-1985,....2045-2050 1980-1985.....2045-2050 1995-2000,. ...2045-2050 1995-2000,....2045-2050
---
(
I I (
I
I
I
I
1 (
1 1
-------
1
]
p
---
1
--0-4, 5-9,....75-79, 80+
---
1
1
0, 1, 5, 10,....80,85 0, 1, 5, 10,....95, 100
Dataset 13. High-AIDS mortality scenario (2005 situation constant until 2050)
I
Fl.
l ~ o ~ u l a t i by o n five-year age group and sex
F2.
Total population (both sexes) Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life exvectancv at birth bv sex
F3. F4. F5. F7. F8. F9.
I
c/E CiE C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E C/E
1
62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62
l
--
High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS High-AIDS Hieh-AIDS
2006, 2007,....2049,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010, ....2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050
., ... -
,
-------
0-4,5-9,.. ..75-79,80+
---
Dataset 14. AIDS-Vaccine scenario (no new HIV infection starting in 2010) F 1.
Population by five-year age group and sex
C/E
62
AIDS-Vaccine
2010,2015,....2045,2050
0-4,5-9, ...75-79, SO+,
F2.
Total ~ooulation60th sexes)
C/E
62
AIDS-Vaccine
2006,2007,. . ..2049,2050
---
80-84,
...95-99,loo+
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM Indicators
Number of or countries
M
- .
F3. F4. F5. F6. F7. F8. F9.
Dependency ratio (0-14 and 65+ by 15-64) Median age of the population Crude birth rate Crude death rate Average annual rate of population change Deaths by five-year age group and sex Life exoectancv at birth bv sex
C/E CIE CIE CIE C/E
1
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)
62 62 62 62 62 62 62
C/E
C/E
I
AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine AIDS-Vaccine
Periods covered
Age groups
2010,2015,....2045,2050 2010,2015,....2045,2050 2005-2010,. ...2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010,....2045-2050 2005-2010.. ...2045-2050
---
P
--------0-4, 5-9,....75-79, 80+
P
P
P
Dataset 15. Interpolated annual Indicators (SUPPLEMENT)
W
0
F1. F1. F1. F1. F1. F1. F 1. F1. F1. F1. F1
.
F2.
l ~ o t anumber l of deaths (both sexes) ]crude death rate l ~ i f expectancv e at birth bv sex Infant deaths (under age 1) Infant mortality, q(1) Survivors to age l Under-five mortality, q(5) Births Crude birth rate Total fertility Rate of natural increase Interpolated population by main age group
I
] I
E E E
E E E E E
Percentage of total population by main age
F3. F3. F3.
Percentage of female population in reproductive ages in total population Interpolated percentage urban vopulation l~nterpolatedpopulation density
E / I
E E
l l
I 1 I
195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195
I
I
l~nterpolatedtotal population l~nterpolatedurban population
l l
I E l E
Interpolated female population in reproductive F2. F2.
E E
Medium
195 195
Medium Medium
195
E
195 I
195 195
1
1
1950. 1951.... 2029.2030 1950,1951,....2029,2030 1950. 1951.....2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 195l,.. ..2029,2030 1950. 1951.. ...2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 1951,. ...2029,2030 1950. 1951.. ...2029.2030 1950, 1951,....2029,2030 1950, 1951,....2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... 2029,2030
1 1
I
I
195
E
E E
Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium
---
1
---
1
--m
-------
-------
--< l , 5, < 15, < 18, 5-14, 611,12-14,15-17, 15-24, 18-23, 15-59, 15-64,60+, 65+, 80+, 9n+ .-
I
1950, 1951,... 2029,2030
(
1
1950, 1951,... 2029, 2030 1950, 1951,... 2029,2030
15-49
1 1
-----
Medium -
1950, 1951,... 2029,2030
Medium
I
1
Medium Medium
(
1950. 1951.. .. 2029. 2030 1950,1951,... 2029,2030
P
P p
P
P
15-49
(
-----
Dataset 16. Interpolated annual population~by single age (INTERPOLATED) F1.
Population by single age (both sexes)
E
195
Medium
....1994 .
1950, 1951,
)
1995. 1996.. ..2050
10.
0, 1 , 2,... 79, 80t 1.2.... 79. 80+. 81.. . 99. loo+
TABLE2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGlTAL FORM Dataset and File F2. F3.
Indicators
Population by single age (male) Population by single age (female)
Number Of countries Edition' or areas E 195
CD-R0M
E
195
Projection variants or scenarios (starting in 2005)
Medium
Periods covered
Age groups
1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,. ..2050 1950, 1951,....1994 1995, 1996,....2050
0, 1,2,... 79, SO+ 0, 1,2,. .. 79,80+, 81.. . 99, loo+ 0, 1,2,... 79, SO+ 0,1,2 ,... 79, SO+, 81... 99, loo+
.
Medium
Note: (1) CD-ROM editions are: C = Comprehensive, E = Extended Datasets l l to 14 present, in addition to the default AIDS mortality scenario (medium), three other AIDS scenarios for 62 countries affected by the HIVIAIDS epidemic: (l) the No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic; (2) the High-AIDS scenario assumes that the AIDS modelling parameters determining the path of the HIVIAIDS epidemic remain constant at their 2005 level; and (3) the AIDS-Vaccine scenario assumes that there are no new HIV infections starting in 2010. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2005) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the HIVIAIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic. The two other AIDS scenarios (HighAIDS mortality and AIDS-Vaccine mortality) provide alternative bounds on the possible course of the epidemic.
TABLE3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION Topic I Data file Locations.csv
Number Number of of indicatorsZ records 12 277
Data file format'
Description Location list with codes (numerical and IS03), description, major area, region and development group; countries with explicit HIVIAIDS mortality modelling in WPP 2006 revision, HIV prevalence rate (%) in population aged 15-49 years in 2005 (UNAIDS, 2006) and by prevalence groups.
CSV
All period indicators (total fertility, net reproduction rate, crude birth rate, births, life expectancy at birth, infant mortality, under-five mortality, crude death rate, number of deaths (by sex), net migration rate, net number of migrants, average annual rate of population change, rate of natural increase, sex ratio at birth) by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050for AIDS scenarios.
CSV
DBO1. Period indicators DBO1-Peri0d~1ndicators.c~~
18
DB02. Stock indicators
lI
I DB02~Populations~Main~Age~Groups.csv
I
DB03. Population by age and sex, five-year periods DB03 Population Quinquennia1.c~~
DB03~Population~By~Sex~Quinquennial.csv DB03~Population~By~Age~Quinquennial.csv DB04. Population by age and sex, annual DB04 Population Annual.csv
DB04~Population~By~Sex~Annual.csv DB04-Population-By-Age-Annual.csv
1
I
Total population (by sex and both sexes combined) and average 4 243,377 annual rate of population change, by major area, region and country, FSV for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, annually for I I I I 1950-2050. Data only fir 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Total population by main age group (by sex and both sexes 54 44,982 CSV combined) by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. ( All stock indicators (total population by sex, dependency ratio, sex 1 CSV 92 50,694 ratio, median age, population dcnsity, percentage by main age group, sex ratio (W)and feminity ratio (FM) by main age group), by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. I Database format with sex and ape in rows. I CSV I 1 1 2.695.978 3 Database format with sex in column and age in row. 898,659 CSV Database format with sex in row and age fiom 0 to 100+ in column. CSV 22 134,946 Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and Medium variant, and 4 AIDS mortality scenarios). Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. I Database format with sex and age in rows. I CSV I 1 1 2.694.667 Database format with sex in column and age in row. 3 898,222 CSV ( Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. 22 132,303 CSV
I DB02~Stock~Indicators.csv
48,170
I
I
I 1
(
1
1
I
1
1
1
TABLE3. DATAFILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED CD-ROM EDITION I
Topic / Data file DB05. Mortality indicators by age and sex
I
DB05 Deaths.csv DBO5-DeathsBy-Sex.csv DBOS-Deaths-By-Age.csv
I DB05-Life-Table.csv
DBO5-Life-Table-lx-By-Age.csv DBO5-Life-Table-ex-By-Age.csv
-
DB06. Fertilitv indicators bv age W
~~06-~ertility-Tndicators.csv DB06~Fertility~Indicators~ByYAge.csv
I I
Number
Number of indicators2 records Total deaths by age group and scx, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios,l995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with sex and aee in rows. I CSV I 1 1 1.286.934 3 428,978 Database format with sex in column and age in row. CSV CSV 22 75,702 Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 10W in column. Life Table (by sex and both sexes combined) by major area, region and country, 1995-2050 (estimates, 1 medium variant and No-AIDS scenario). 2 CSV Life table survivors, (](X)), and life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by 232,320 sex and both sexes combined). Database format with sex and age in rows. 10,560 18 Life table sutvivors, (](X)), at exact age (X)(by sex and both sexes CSV combined). Database format with sex in row and age fiom 0 to 85 in column. 10,560 CSV 21 Life expectancy at exact age, e(x) (by sex and both sexes combined). Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100 in column. Births by age group of mother and age-specific fertility rates, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all 11 projection variants or scenarios, 1995-2050. Data only for 1980-2050 for AIDS scenarios. Database format with indicators in column and age groups in row. CSV 2 176,638 Database format with indicators by age group in column. CSV 14 25,234 Data file
Description
I
of
I I
I
1 1
DB15. Interpolated annual indicators WPP2006-SUKF 1~Annual~Demographic~Indicators.csv
WPP2006~SUP~F2~Annual~Population~Indicators.c~~
WPP2006-SWF3Annual Population IndicatorsPercentage.csv
DB16. Interpolated annual populations by single age WPP2006 INT Pooulation Annual Single Medium.csv
Interpolated demographic indicators by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant). Interpolated total population by main age group and urban population, by major area, region and country, annually for 19502050 (estimates and medium variant). Percentage of total population by main age group, percentage urban and population density, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2050(estimates and medium variant).
CSV
16
CSV
21
CSV
19
222,832
49,439
Population (by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of age and single calendar years, by major area, region and countiy, annually for 1950-2050 (estimates and medium variant).
I Database format with sex and aee in rows.
Database format with sex in column and age in row. WPP2006~INT~Population~By~Sex~hnual~Single~Medium.csv Database format with sex in row and age from 0 to 100+ in column. WPP2006~~T~Population~By~AgeeAnn~d11SingleMedium.csv
I
CSV CSV CSV
I
1 3 102
1
6.400.188 2,133,394 69,084
(1) File format is: CSV for ASCII comma delimited data files (.csv) with field names in header. (2) Number of indicators does not include descriptive fields like codes and names for location, projection variantlscenario, calendar year
andor sex.
or period, age group
NATIONS UNIES
UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION Department of Economic and Social Affairs
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision - CD-ROM Edition Date:
Order Form CD-ROM requested CD Description
Price in
Quantity
US$ [ ]
Comprehensive dataset (Excel format)
$250
[ ]
Extended dataset (Excel and ASCII formats)
$800 Total
Total Price in
US$
... ... ...
... ... ...
SHIP TO:
................................................................................................................................................. Institution: ................................................................................................................................................ Address: ................................................................................................................................................. ................................................................................................................................................. Telephone: ......................................................... Fax No: ..................................................................... e-mail address ..................................................... Name:
For overnight or express mail delivery, please provide a billing account number: .................................... Notes 1. Data contained in the above datasets are copyrighted by the United Nations. No portion of the data files contained on diskettes or CD-ROMs can be reproduced, distributed or used to prepare derivative works or for any other purpose without the express permission of the United Nations, to be obtained from the Secretary of the United Nations Publications Board. For further information, please contact the Director, Population DivisionIDESA, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A., telephone no. 1-2 12-963-3179; fax no. 1-212-9632147. 2.
The order form should be accompanied by a cheque or an international money order in US dollars drawn on a United States Bank for the correct amount, payable to the UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION and mailed to: The Director, Population DivisionIDESA, United Nations, DC2-1950, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A. Credit cards are not accepted.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IV. BIBLIOGRAPHY Boerma, J. T., and others (2006). Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage. Bulletin of the WorldHealth Organization,vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 145-150. URL: http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/84/2/145.pdf. Stover, J., and others (2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: Updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 82, Supplement 3: iii, pp. 45-50. URL: http://sti.bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/82/suppl~3/iii45. UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIVIAIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS, vol. 16, pp. W 1-W14. URL: http://www.epidem.org. UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO (2007). Children and AIDS - A Stocktaking Report. Actions and Progress during the First Year of Unitefor Children, Unite against AIDS (with Statistical Annexes). URL: www.unicef.org/uniteforchildren. United Nations (2000). United Nations Millennium Declaration. General Assembly Resolution A/Res/5512 on its Fifty-fifth Session, Agenda item 60 (b), 18 September 2000. (2001). United Nations Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS. General Assembly Resolution AlRes/S-2612 on its Twenty-sixth Special Session, Agenda item 8 on 2 August 2001. (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 3, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XII. 10). (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights. Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.202. World Health Organization and UNAIDS (2006). Progress on Global Access to HIVAntiretroviral Therapy.A Report on "3 by 5" and Beyond. URL: http://www.who.inthiv/fullreport_en-highres-pdf.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
V. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS OF THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS
"The past and future growth of world population-a long-range view", Population Bulletin of the United Nations, No. l-December 1951 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 52.XIII.2), pp. 1-12. "The past and future population of the world and its continents" and "Framework for the future population estimates, 1950-1980, by world regions", Proceedings of the World Population Conference, 1954, vol. I11 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 55.XIII.8), pp. 265-282 and 283-328. The Future Growth of World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. 66.XIII.2). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.76.XIII.4 and corrigenda). World Population Trends and Prospects by Country, 1950-2000: Summary Report of the 1978 Assessment (STESAlSER.Rl33). Selected Demographic Indicators by Country, 1950-2000: Demographic Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1978 (ST/ESA/SER.W38). World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.8 l .XIII.8). Demographic Indicators of Countries: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.82.XIII.5 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1982 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.83.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1984 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.86.XIII.3). World Population Prospects 1988 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.88.XIII.7). The Sex and Age Distributions of Population: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.90.XIII.33). World Population Prospects: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.91 .XIII.4). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XIII.3). World Population Prospects: The I992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XII1.7). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII. 16). The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.2). World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.9). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.8). World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.10). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01.XIII.8 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01 .XIII.9 and corrigendum). World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.O1.XIII.20). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.7). United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs~opulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, VolumeI: Comprehensive Tables
World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.10). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.5). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 11, Sex and Age Distribution of the World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.6). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. 111, Analytical Report (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.OS.XIII.7).
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulationDivision WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
ANNEXTABLES
This page intentionally left blank
I. DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES
WORLD
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................. ....... ....................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .................... .. Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................... .................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................. ............. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .. .................... Males ......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
WORLD
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
98 376 1.36 22.2 8.5 0.0 2.86 1.25
101 419 1.32 21.5 8.3 0.0 2.87 1.27
96 888 1.18 20.0 8.2 0.0 2.79 1.25
92 581 1.07 18.9 8.3 0.0 2.71 1.22
90 855 0.99 18.3 8.4 0.0 2.63 1.20
92 392 0.96 18.2 8.6 0.0 2.59 1.19
93 415 0.93 18.0 8.8 0.0 2.55 1.18
91 866 0.87 17.6 8.9 0.0 2.51 1.17
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 6 514 751 Males ................................................... 3 282 527 Females ............................................... 3 232 224 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.6 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 17.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
90 531 1.34 22.1 8.7 0.0 2.80 1.21
.
D LOW VARIANT 2005 Populatlon (thousands) 6 514 751 Total ..................................................... Males .................... . ......................... 3 282 527 Females ............................................... 3 232 224 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 9.6 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 17.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
65 779 0.99 18.4 8.6 0.0 2.30 0.99
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILlfY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 6514751 6944634 7416822 7919765 8443704 8996239 9597117 10265188 11 014053 11 857786 Total ............................................... Males ................................................... 3 282 527 3 497 840 3 734 368 3 986 166 4 247 860 4 523 092 4 822 462 5 156 074 5 531 323 5 955 468 Females ..............................................3 232 224 3 446 794 3 682 455 3 933 599 4 195 843 4 473 147 4 774 656 5 109 115 5 482 730 5 902 318 Median age (years) ................................. 28.0 29.0 29.8 30.4 30.8 31.1 31.3 31.1 30.8 30.3 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.28 21.5 8.7
1.32 21.8 8.6
1.31 21.6 8.5
1.28 21.3 8.4
1.27 21.2 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
1.29 21.5 8.6
1.35 22.1 8.7
1.41 22.8 8.7
1.48 23.4 8.7
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
813561 387 642 425 919 91.0
864004 413 21 0 450 794 91.7
916095 439 480 476 615 92.2
10.0 17.3 17.0 11.7 7.9 l .0 51.3 29.0 15
10.1 17.3 16.1 12.1 8.3 1.2 50.1 29.4 16
9.8 18.3 15.2 12.6 8.6 1.3 48.0 29.8 17
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
967002 1008477 1048104 1083274 1115352 1149064 1175400 1194199 465 376 486 067 506 141 523 689 539 827 557 423 570 636 579 654 501 626 522 409 541 963 559 585 575 525 591 641 604 764 614 546 92.8 93.0 93.4 93.6 93.8 94.2 94.4 94.3 9.2 18.2 15.4 13.5 9.1 1.4 47.3 30.0 18
8.2 17.8 16.5 14.5 9.9 1.6 48.3 30.6 19
7.7 16.5 16.8 15.5 10.8 1.8 48.7 31.1 20
7.2 15.2 16.6 15.5 11.6 2.0 48.8 32.0 20
7.0 14.4 15.7 16.4 11.6 2.3 49.1 33.2 21
6.8 13.8 14.6 17.6 12.5 2.7 48.9 34.5 22
6.1 13.6 14.0 18.4 13.5 3.0 49.3 35.9 22
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ..........................
..
2000
3 364 13 538 12 687 2 514 0.28 11.1 10.4 2.1 1.60 0.77 7 9
2 513 13 362 13 129 2 280 0.20 10.8 10.6 1.8 1.61 0.77 7 8
1 766 12 992 13 482 2 256 0.14 10.4 10.8 1.8 1.62 0.78 6 8
1 024 12 587 13 630 2 266 0.08 10.0 11.0 l .8 1.64 0.79 6 7
360 12 368 14 280 2 272 0.03 9.8 11.3 1.8 1.67 0.80 5 7
-168 12 394 14 833 2 272 -0.01 9.8 11.8 1.8 1.70 0.82 5 6
-619 12 506 15 397 2 272 .0.05 9.9 12.2 1 .8 1.73 0.83 5 6
-1015 12 537 15 824 2 272 .0.08 10.0 12.6 1.8 1.76 0.85 4 6
-1302 12 468 16 042 2 272 .0.10 10.0 12.8 18 1.79 0.86 4 5
72.9 80.2 76.5
73.7 80.9 77.3
74.7 81.6 78.2
75.7 82.4 79.0
76.5 83.0 79.8
77.3 83.6 80.5
78.0 84.2 81.1
78.7 84.8 81.8
79.4 85.4 82.4
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
5.5 12.7 13.7 19.5 14.3 3.1 48.9 37.4 22
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
5 454
5 753 0.46 13.2 10.5 18 2.01 0.96
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) ... ....................... Total ........................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
0.44 12.7 10.3 2.0 1 .85 0.88
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 268 0.10 9.4 10.4 2.1 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) ..... . . . . . . . 1 215 636 1 231 200 1 242 124 1 249 000 1 252 103 1 251 642 1 247 723 1 240 448 1 230 317 1 218 291 Total ............................... 591 023 600 954 596 315 604 519 Males .................................................. 590 072 605 942 607 217 606 678 597 612 602 773 634 002 627 268 639 494 643 204 Females ....................... . ................. 625 564 643 058 644 885 644 964 633 588 639 351 Median age (years) ..................... . . ..... 38.6 39.7 40.9 42.0 43.2 44.3 45.2 45.9 46.2 46.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.25 10.9 10.4
0.18 10.5 10.6
0.11 10.1 10.8
0.05 9.7 11.1
.0.01 9.5 11.4
.
(7 Mole developed regions comprise Europe Norfhem America. AustraliaiNewZealand and Japan.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.06 9.4 11.9
.0.12 9.4 12.4
.0.16 9.3 12.8
.0.20 9.3 13.1
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS p) A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thOUMndS) Total ....................... 1 721 532 1906749 2115838 2375768 2690199 3027977 3368196 3739912 4145815 4543645 4929924 971701 1077700 1210371 1370745 1543882 1716774 1905997 2112242 2313348 2507688 Males ................................................... 878 466 Females ............................................... 843 067 935048 1038136 1165398 1319454 1484294 1651,422 1833914 2033573 2230296 2422255 103.9 103.8 103.9 103.9 104.0 104.0 103.9 103.9 103.7 103.5 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 104.2 Age dlstrlbutlon 12.3 11.3 16.2 16.4 16.2 13.9 13.0 13.3 16.7 15.3 14.8 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 25.6 25.5 25.5 23.8 22.6 21.8 22.5 24.7 25.9 22.0 22.6 Percentage aged 5-14 . 17.2 18.6 19.4 19.7 20.4 20.2 19.1 18.0 18.3 17.4 18.9 Percentage aged 15-24 0.8 7.2 7.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 0.5 6.2 6.0 6.4 Percentage aged 60 or 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.6 5.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. 46.2 47.7 49.3 50.5 51.4 52.3 47.5 46.2 45.2 45.7 48.9 Percentage of w e n aged 1549 22.8 24.1 20.8 19.3 18.9 19.4 20.1 20.9 21.7 20.2 21.5 Median age (years) ................................. 37 41 45 55 59 29 32 50 23 26 21 Population density (population per sq km) 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2000-20E Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) .................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at birth ( y w n ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
77 256 120 340
73 838 120 166
40830
43038
68
1.83 25.4 8.0 3.11 1.29 83
1.44 23.5 8.4 2.90 1.21 59
59.4 82.1 60.7
60.5 83.5 62.0
01.0 64.9 83.2
02.5 65.9 64.1
2040
2045
2050
74 343 112888 37 199 2.09 31.7 10.5 4.15 1.66 81
81 181 121 080 37 986 2.06 30.7 9.6 3.64 1.57 72
79 586 121 473 39 375 1.83
12.0 5.41 2.08 101
104 554 35 324 2.13 32.7 11.0 4.65 1.82 92
54.2 55.8 55.0
56.2 58.3 57.2
57.6 60.1 50.8
2030
2035
37 043 80 386 43 403 2.04 44.3 23.9 6.15 1.a6 175
41 817 83 908 42 037 2.08 41.7 20.9 6.01 1.92 159
51 986 93 329 40 826 2.32 41.6 18.2 6.04 2.08 133
62886 100 807 37 325 2.49 39.8 14.7 6.00 2.20 113
67 556 102 897 34352 2.37
40.0 41.6 40.8
43.2 44.8 43.9
46.8 48.0 47.4
51.5 52.9 52.2
36.0
68044
28.0 9.1 3.42 1.41
B. YEMUMVARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
..............................
2010
2015
2020
2025
5 299 115 5 674 101 6 050 114 6 413 238 6 751 540 7 056 937 7 327 119 7 568 711 7 774 225 7 948 040 2 692 454 2 880 107 3 067 863 3 248 589 3 415 915 3 585 451 3 096 383 3 811 450 3 910 454 3 991 776 2608661 2793995 2982251 3164649 3335624 3491486 3830755 3755261 3663789 3954264 101.8 101.5 102.7 102.4 102.1 101.2 100.9 102.9 103.3 103.1
Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ... Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
10.5 20.4 18.9 8.1 5.5 0.8 12.2 6.1 6.0 11.2 52.9 25.5 64
10.1 19.1 18.6 8.8 5.9 1.o 11.5 5.7 5.7 11.2 53.1 26.9 68
9.7 18.3 17.5 10.0 6.5 1.1 11.0 5.3 5.3 10.5 52.4 28.2 73
9.2 17.7 16.6 11.2 7.5 1.3 10.7 5.2 5.1 9.9 51.3 29.5 77
8.1 16.3 15.9 14.4 9.8 1.7 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.5 50.0 32.2 85
8.6 17.1 10.1 12.7 8.6 1.4 10.3 5.1 5.0 9.0 50.4 30.8 81
7.0 15.5 15.5 15.9 11.3 2.1 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 49.3 33.6
88
7.3 14.7 15.0 17.2 12.5 2.5 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.0 48.3 34.8 91
7.1 14.2 14.4 18.5 13.5 3.0 8.5 4.3 4.3 8.7 47.3 35.9 94
8.8 13.8 13.8 20.1 14.7 3.0 8.3 4.1 4.1 8.3 46.4 30.9 96
2005-2010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2o45-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO Population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (par woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 ,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOOlive births) Life expectancy at blrth ( y w n ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
46
74 997 122 789 45 278 2 514 1.37 22.4 8.3 -0.5 2.75 1.17 54 81
75 203 124 774 47 292 -2280 1.28 21.3 8.1 -0.4 2.62 1.13 49 73
72 625 124 427 49 547 -2256 1.17 20.0 8.0 -0.4 2.50 1.09 45 66
67 660 122 338 52 412 -2266 1.03 18.6 8.0
63.7 67.2 65.4
65.0 68.7 66.8
66.3 70.1 66.2
67.4 71.4 69.4
-
-0.3
2.40 1.06 41 60
61 079 119310 55 959 2 272 0.89 17.3 8.1 0.3 2.30 1.a3
54 036 110578 60 270 2 272 0.75 16.2 8.4 -0.3 2.21
47 919 115 321 65 130 2 272 0.64 15.5 8.7 -0.3 2.15
0.W
0.98
38 54
34 49
68.5 72.5 70.5
69.4 73.6 71.5
-
-
41 503 113805 70 131 -2272 0.54 14.9 9.1
34303
2.10 0.96
111 638 75 003 2 272 0.44 14.2 9.5 0.3 2.05 0.95
44
28 39
26 35
70.4 74.6 72.5
71.3 75.6 73.4
72.1 76.5 74.3
-
31
4.3
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPOpulation Division WorW Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. 5 299 115 5 724 503 6 187 619 6 666 642 7 127 442 7 569 043 8 000 944 8 437 310 8 876 000 9 305 634 Males ................................................ 2 692 454 2 906 256 3 139 155 3 379 877 3 610 532 3 830 293 4 044 395 4 260 592 4 478 295 4 691 854 Females ............................................. 2 606 661 2 818 246 3 048 464 3 286 766 3 516 910 3 738 750 3 956 549 4 176 718 4 397 705 4 613 781 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 10.5 6.6 8.8 10.9 10.9 10.6 9.9 9.3 9.0 8.9 Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 16.5 16.4 20.4 18.9 16.7 18.3 17.4 18.7 19.1 19.0 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 18.9 15.5 15.0 16.3 18.4 17.2 16.6 16.7 16.0 15.9 16.2 17.2 14.6 15.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.1 13.4 8.7 9.8 10.8 12.0 11.9 12.5 10.3 11.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.5 6.3 7.2 9.2 5.8 8.1 2.6 3.1 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.3 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... 52.9 51.3 49.4 48.5 48.3 47.7 47.1 46.8 52.6 48.4 Median age (years) ................................. 25.5 26.7 27.5 28.3 29.2 30.0 30.7 31.3 31 8 32.4
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
85 077 1.54 24.2 8.3 -0.5 3.00 1.28
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................... . ............................. Males ................................. .............. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
64 511 1.18 20.5 8.2 -0.5 2.50 1.06
57 424 1.00 18.4 6.0 .0.4 2.22 0.95
49 499 0.82 16.6 8.0 -0.4 2.00 0.87
43 656 0.70 15.5 8.2 -0.4 1.90 0.84
35 116 0.54 14.2 8.4 .0.4 1.80 0.80
24 508 0.37 12.9 8.9 -0.3 1.71 0.77
13 826 0.21 11.9 9.5 -0.3 1.66 0.75
3 380 0.05 10.9 10.1 -0.3 1.61 0.74
.6 383
2040
2045
.0.10 10.2 10.8 -0.3 1.57 0.72
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... 5 299 115 5 713 434 6 174 699 6 670 765 7 191 601 7 744 597 8 349 394 9 024 741 9 783 736 10 639 495 Males .................................................2 692 454 2 900 228 3 131 595 3 380 224 3 640 643 3 916 415 4 217 942 4 555 120 4 935 008 5 364 445 Females .............................................. 2 606 661 2 813 206 3 043 103 3 290 541 3 550 958 3 828 183 4 131 452 4 469 621 4 848 728 5 275 050 Median age (years) ................................. 25.5 26.7 27.5 28.2 28.7 29.0 29.2 29.1 28.9 28.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.51 23.8 6.3
1.55 24.1 8.2
1.55 23.8 6.0
1.50 23.3 8.0
1.48 23.1 6.0
.
1.50 23.4 6.1
1.56 24.0 8.2
1.62 24.6 8.2
.
(') Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa Asia (excludingJapan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.68 25.1 8.2
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populrtlon (thOUMnd1) Total ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 .. Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mxnen aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1993
1995
2000
200321 99 843 100479 99.4
221 417 110 638 110781 99.9
247317 123 743 123574 100.1
278395 139 366 139008 100.3
315868 158 154 157714 100.3
358283
405615 202 gSe 202826 100.1
480974 230 593 230381 100.1
525473 262 824 262649 100.1
801 083
679447 339 750
300517 100.0
339898
16.6 24.6 18.8 5.6 3.7 0.4 46.8 19.5 10
17.8 24.7 18.5 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.4 19.0 11
17.9
17.6 26.8 19.2 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.6 17
17.6 26.6 19.4 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.4 17.6
17.7 26.6 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.6 17.7 22
17.3 26.7 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.0 17.8 25
16.8 26.7 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.5 18.1 29
16.1 26.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.2 18.5
17.8, 25.4 18.5 5.0 3.0 0.3 46.0 16.5 12
17.9 26.2 18.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.4 18.0 13
179 451 176812 100.4
26.5 18.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.2 17.7 15
20
300 566
100.0
33
1950-1955 19551980 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-Moo 2OOO-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OW live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
8558 2.69 41.5 15.2 5.68 2.w 111
15 873 25 136 9 101 2.45 39.3 14.2 5.29 1.93 103
17 474 27 196 9636 2.42 37.6 13.3 4.95 1.85 95
48.8 51.O 49.9
49.1 51.7 50.4
50.2 52.8 51.5
51.5 54.0 52.7
2040
2045
2050
4 219 10 327 6009 2.00 49.0 26.5 6.87 1.81 197
5 180 11 389 6099 2.21 48.6 26.0 6.70 1.92 183
6 215 12 670 6 271 2.37 482 23.9 6.76 2.03 170
7 495 14 074 6 467 2.53 47.4 21.8 6.73 2.11 157
8 479 15 620 8 754 2.52 46.3 20.0 6.61 2.15 146
9 510 17 209 7 192 2.49 45.0 18.8 6.39 2.14 137
11 w2 19 374 7 391 2.55 44.7 17.1 6.28 2.17 125
12 900 21 324 7800 2.62 43.2 15.8 6.00 2.13 117
35.6 36.8 36.2
37.7 39.1 38.4
39.7 41.3 40.5
41.8 43.6 42.7
43.7 45.5 44.6
45.3 47.2 46.2
47.3 49.3 48.3
2030
2035
15 122
23 391
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage a@ 15-24 ........ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged80 or over .................. Percentage in s c h d ages 6 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage 01 mxnen aged Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
768 816
883394 432209
383599 383 217 100.1
431 185 100.2
15.6 25.9 20.2 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.8 7.2 6.7 11.8 48.0 19.0 37
15.1 25.2 20.2 5.2 3.4 0.4 15.4 7.0 6.6 11.8 48.7 19.7 42
2015
2020
2025
966 718 1 075 104 1 166916 1300834 1414665 1 527425 1637 146 1 741 959 870 677 706 436 764 526 484 182 538 615 594 673 651 549 816 916 706 230 762 899 871 282 816 231 649 085 482538 536489 592 244 100.3
100.4
100.4
100.4
100.3
100.2
100.1
99.9
14.5 24.7 19.9 5.5 3.5 0.5 15.1 8.9 6.4 11.7 49.2 20.4 46
13.8 24.2 19.7 5.9 3.8 0.5 14.8 6.8 6.4 11.5 49.8 21.2 52
13.0 23.4 19.6 6.3 4.1 0.5 14.3 6.7 6.3 11.5 50.6 22.1 57
12.2 22.5 19.5 8.9 4.5 0.6 13.7 6.5 6.2 11.5 51.3 23.1 63
11.5 21.6 19.2 7.5 4.9 0.7 13.1 6.3 6.1 11.4 51.8 24.3 68
10.8 20.6 18.8 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.4 6.0 5.9 11.2 52.1 25.4 73
10.2 19.6 18.3 9.2 6.1 0.9 11.8 5.6 5.7 10.9 52.2 26.6 79
9.5 16.7 17.6 10.3 6.9 1.1 11.3 5.5 5.5 10.6 52.2 27.9
e4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 Populationchangeperyear(thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Iyfant mortality rate (per 1,OOO l i e births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at blrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
48
22382 33 687
22744
2.13 32.0 10.4 -0.3 3.99 1.61 74 115
10 953 372 1.98 29.8 9.7 -0.3 3.68 1.52 67 104
11 315 374 1.83 27.7 9.1 -0.3 3.39 1.43 61 93
56.9 59.5 58.2
58.4 61.3 59.8
59.9 63.0 61.4
19316 29 272 9 985 29 2.37 35.9 12.3 0.0 4.63 1.77 88 141
20665 31 191 10 311 215 2.26 34.1 11.3 -0.2 4.31 1.70 61 127
21 677 32 628 10 612
53.4 55.8 54.6
55.2 57.7 56.4
-
-
338
-
34 433
-
22806 34 929 11 748 375 1.68 25.7 8.7 -0.3 3.12 1.34
-
56 83 61.4 64.6
63.0
22552 35 181 12 254 375 1.53 23.9 8.3 -0.3 2.88 1.26 50 74
21 944 35 155 12 835 375 1.39 22.2 8.1 -0.2 2.67 1.19 46 66
34 844 13 506 375 1.24 20.6 8.0 -0.2 2.50 1.12 41 58
62.6 66.2 64.5
64.1 67.6 65.9
65.4 69.1 67.2
-
-
20982
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
20 573 2.52 37.5 12.4 0.0 4.86 1.67
23 089 2.49 36.5 11.4 -0.2 4.70 1 .85
25 270 2.41 34.9 10.5 -0.3 4.49 1.62
26 498 2.25 32.5 9.7 -0.3 4.18 1.73
27 784 2.12 30.4 9.0 .0.3 3.88 1.64
29 227 2.01 28.8 8.5 .0.3 3.61 1.55
30 659 1.91 27.4 8.1 -0.2 3.37 1.46
31 713 1.80 26.0 7.8 -0.2 3.16 1.41
32 191 1.68 24.5 7.5 .0.2 2.99 1.34
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................................... ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .:............... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ......................................... ,......... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
17 798 2.20 34.0 12.1 0.0 4.38 1.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 766816 Total .................................................. Males .......................... . ................... 383 599 Females .................... . . ................. 383 21 7 Median age (years) ................................. 19.0
873199 437 187 436 01 2 19.4
998818 1145727 1316897 1518091 1757067 2042674 2384654 2794406 500 461 574 399 881 644 1 025 107 1 196 917 1 402 862 660 487 761 596 875 422 1 01 7 567 1 187 737 1 391 544 498 357 571 329 656 41 1 756 495 19.6 19.6 19.5 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.0 18.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.60 36.3 12.4
2.69 38.6 11.5
2.74 38.4 10.7
2.79 38.0 9.9
2.84 37.8 9.2
2.92 38.0 8.6
(') Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus me country in Latin America and the Caribbean
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.01 38.3 8.0
3.10 38.5 7.5
3.17 38.8 7.0
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (') A ESTIMATES
Indicator lesS
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
PopuMlon (thouwinds) Total ........ 1 521 211 1685332 1868519 2 097 374 2 374 331 2 669 714 2962381 3 278 938 3620342 3942562 4 250 477 Males ................................................... 953957 1 070984 1 212 591 1364231 1513785 1 675 405 1 849 418 2 012 783 2 167 919 778 623 881 066 914 561 1028389 1161 740 1305482 1448596 1603533 1 770924 1929779 2082558 Females ............................................... 742 588 824 266 104.4 Sex ratio (rna!es per 100 females) 104.9 104.5 104.3 104.3 104.4 104.5 104.5 104.3 104.1 104.5 dlrtrlbutlon 14.6 Percentage aged W ............................ 12.8 16.6 15.9 16.2 14.9 16.0 11.6 13.4 10.5 13.0 22.3 Percentage aged 514 22.3 24.6 25.5 25.4 21.1 22.0 25.8 21.9 23.4 25.3 18.9 19.4 18.2 17.3 17.1 18.4 20.3 18.6 19.0 20.5 19.8 6.5 6.1 6.2 6.2 7.0 6.3 6.1 7.5 6.7 6.4 8.1 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.3 4.1 5.4 4.5 4.9 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 Percentage of m n a m 15-49.. 49.2 47.7 49.9 51.2 46.4 45.8 52.1 46.2 45.2 48.0 53.1 Median age (years) ................................. 21.8 19.1 21.o 21.4 22.3 19.6 23.5 20.4 19.5 20.5 25.0 Population density (popolation per sq km) 27 24 30 58 53 38 43 34 48 68 63
...........
...
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2ooo-2005 Population change per year )-( . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thamnds) ................... popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ Cwde birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllatbn) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllatkm) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) Net reproduction mte (per m n ) Infant mortality rate (per 1.OW live births) L l k expectency a Mrth ( y a m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cMnbined ............................
.....................
.... ........... ..........
32 824 70 058 37 394 2.05 43.7 23.3 6.09 1.86 172
36 637 72 520 35938 2.06 40.8 20.2
40.7 42.3 41.5
1.92 155
45 771 80 659 34 555 2.31 40.7 17.4 5.94 2.09 127
55 391 86 733 30858 2.48 38.8 13.8 5.90 2.21 106
59 077 87 276 27 598 2.35 34.6 10.9 5.25 2.05 93
87 345 28 132 2.06 31 .O 10.0 4.42 1.78 84
63 311 93 314 29 808 2.03 29.9 9.6 3.67 1.60 72
68 281 99 755 30 186 1.98 28.9 8.8 3.55 1.50 63
64444 98082 30 818 1.71 25.9 6.2 3.11 1.33 57
61 583 95 204 31 529 1.50 23.2 7.7 2.80 1.20 53
55365 92 969 33 401 1.26 21.2 7.6 2.59 1.12 49
44.0 45.6 44.8
47.9 49.1 48.5
53.1 54.4 53.7
55.9 57.5 56.7
58.2 60.2 59.2
59.4 62.1 80.7
61.4 64.2 62.7
62.7 65.9 64.2
63.9 67.4 65.6
64.9 68.5 66.6
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5.92
58533
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... 4532300 4810707 5083398 5338134 5564623 5756303 5912453 6wg286 6137076 6204081 2308656 2447898 2583680 2709974 2821243 2913902 2887928 3046824 3091540 3121099 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 2223444 2362810 2498716 2628160 2743381 2842401 2924526 2992362 3045538 3082982 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 103.8 103.6 103.4 103.1 102.8 102.5 102.2 101.8 101.5 101.2 A* dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged W .. 9.7 9.2 6.8 6.2 7.7 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.1 Percentage aged 514 19.5 18.0 17.0 16.4 15.7 14.9 14.0 13.2 12.7 12.4 Percentaw aged 152 18.7 18.3 17.1 16.0 15.3 15.0 14.6 14.0 13.4 12.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.6 9.4 10.6 12.3 14.0 18.1 17.9 19.4 21 .o 22.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.9 6.3 7.0 8.3 9.5 11.0 12.8 14.3 15.5 16.9 Percentage aged 80 or 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.3 Percentage in schod ages 11.6 10.8 10.2 9.9 9.4 8.9 8.3 7.9 7.6 7.4
....
Percentage in schod ages Percentage in schod ages Percentage d women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
5.9 5.9 11.0 53.6 28.6 73
5.4 5.5
11.0 53.9 28.2 77
5.0 5.1 10.3 53.0 29.7 82
4.9 4.8 9.6 51.6 31.1 86
4.7 4.7 9.1 50.4 32.7 90
4.5 4.6 9.0 49.7 34.3 93
4.3 4.4 6.6 48.7 35.8 95
4.1 4.1 8.5 47.3 37.2 97
3.8 3.9 8.1 45.9 38.4 99
3.7 3.8 7.7 44.8 39.4 100
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o352040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thwsanbs) . Births per year (thousends) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thwsands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllatbon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllatbn) Net migratm rate (per 1,OOO poprlaw) Total fertility (children per wfnnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infant mortality rate (per l .mlive births) Under-fivemrtality (per 1,OW lhre him) L l k expectency a Mrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...................
......... .. .
50
50948
55682 93 517 35293 -2543 1.19 20.0 7.6 -0.5 2.45 1.07 43 62
54538 93583 36 981 -2084 1.10 18.9 7.5 -0.4 2.33 1.03 39 55
91 600 38935 - 1918 0.98 17.6 7.5 -0.4 2.23 1 .00 35 48
45298 88 651 41 459 -1894 0.83 16.3 7.6 -0.3 2.14 0.96 31 43
38338 84 67'7 44644 -1898 0.68 15.0 7.9 -0.3 2.05 0.93 28 38
31 230 81 649 48522 - 1 097 0.54 14.0 8.3 -0.3 1.98 0.91 25 34
25 367 80 140 52 876 - 1 897 0.42 13.4 8.8 -0.3 1.95 0.90 23 31
19 558 78 751 57 295 - 1 897 0.32 12.9 9.4 -0.3 1.93 0.90 21 27
13 401 76 795 61 497 - 1 897 0.22 12.4 10.0 -0.3 1.91 0.89 19 24
60.1 6B.8 87.9
67.4 71.3 69.3
68.7 72.7 70.6
69.8 73.9 71.8
70.9 75.1 72.9
71.8 76.1 73.9
72.6 77.0 74.8
73.4 77.9 75.6
74.2 78.7 76.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division Workl Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (*) C. HtGHVARlANT lndkator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
PO~UIOUWI ( t h o u ~ n d ~ )
Total .................................................... 4532300 4854823 5 202 495 5555189 5883479 6 188 161 6471 928 6754998 7035 123 7 303 805 Males ................................................... 2 308 856 2 470 858 2645639 2 822 830 2 986 963 3 137 100 3 278 083 3 417 691 3 556 295 3 689 687 Females ........... ............... 2223444 2383985 2556856 2732339 2 898 518 3 049 061 3 193845 3 337 307 3 478 828 3614 118 Ago dl.trl 8.1 8.1 9.0 percentageaged 0-4 ............................ 9.7 7.9 10.0 10.0 8.4 8.1 9.7 17.8 15.2 17.5 16.1 15.2 17.8 17.1 15.4 17.9 19.5 14.7 15.3 percentage qpd 15-24 18.7 14.1 16.7 16.0 18.1 15.5 15.4 15.9 18.4 13.3 19.4 10.8 16.4 9.3 17.4 11.8 8.6 15.0 11.7 9.0 14.3 6.9 10.3 13.5 6.3 12.8 65 or OVBT .................. 5.9 Percentage 7.9 1.5 2.2 3.6 1.2 3.1 1.o 2.6 1.4 Percentage ag& 80 or over .................. 0.9 1.8 53.4 48.5 47.9 46.1 PefcentagedwwnenagedlM9 53.8 45.6 51.8 48.2 46.9 49.6 28.0 32.7 33.7 Median age (years) ................................. 28.6 30.9 34.3 28.9 31.9 33.3 29.9 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Fupubtionchangeperyear(tWnbs). Population grmlh rate (percent) ............ Crude Mtlh rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude dealh rale (per 1.ooO p p h t k n ) .. Net rnbraIh rate (per 1,ooO pcphtkn) . Total feftlllty (dikken per wanan) ........... Net repmductkm rate (per woman) ..........
64505 1.38 21.9 7.6 -0.5 2.70 1.18
69534 1.38 21.7 7.5 -0.4 2.73 1.21
70535 1.31 20.9 7.4 -0.4 2.73 1.22
65862 1.15 19.2 7.4 -0.3 2.63 1.19
60536 1.00 17.9 7.6 -0.3 2.55 1.16
57154 0.90 17.2 7.8 -0.3 2.4 1.14
56614 0.88 17.0 8.2 -0.3 2.45 1.13
56025 0.81 16.9 8.5 -0.3 2.43 1.13
53736 0.75 16.5 8.8 4.3 2.41 1.13
2030
2035
2040
2045
D. LOWVARIANT 2005 POpul.tion (thouundo) T W .................................................... Meles ...................................................
...............
65orOVBT
..................
Peccentage of wwnen aged 15-49 .........
Median age (yean)
.................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2050
4 532 300 4 765 868 4 963 137 5 121 007 5 248 759 5 335 932 5 375 507 5 369 379 5 319 843 5231 083 2 308 856 2 424 549 2 521 103 2 597 077 2 657 126 2 695 705 2 709 526 2 699 939 2 668 649 2 618 075 2223444 2341317 2442034 2523930 2591633 2840227 2685981 2669441 2651 195 2 613 006
5.9 53.8 26.6
8.4 18.2 18.5 9.5 6.4 1.1 54.4 28.5
7.5 18.5 17.5 11.1 7.2 1.3 54.3 30.4
6.7 14.8 16.7 12.8 8.6 1.5 53.7 32.4
6.2 13.4 15.4 14.9 10.1 1.7 52.6 34.5
5.7 12.4 14.0 17.3 11.9 2.0 51.3 36.6
5.2 11.6 12.9 19.7 14.1 2.7 49.6 38.9
4.7 10.7 12.2 21.8 16.1 3.3 47.4 41.0
4.4 9.9 11.6 24.3 17.9 4.1 45.2 43.1
4.1 9.3 10.9 27.2 20.0 5.1 43.1 45.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Fupulationchangeperyear(mousands). Population growh rate (per cent) Cnde birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.ooO p o p l a t h ) .. Net d g r a t i i rale (per 1,ooOppulatation) . Total fertHRy (children per wunan) ........... Net reproductkn rate (per woman)
............
48713 1.01 18.1 7.5 -0.5 2.20 0.96
39454 0.81 16.0 7.5 -0.4 1.03 0.65
31574 0.63 14.2 7.8 -0.4 1.73 0.77
25550 0.49 13.1 7.8 -0.4 1.64 0.74
17435 0.33 11.9 8.3 -0.4 1.55 0.71
7915 0.15 10.7 8.9 -0.4 1.48 0.68
-1225 -0.02 9.8 9.6 -0.4 1.45 0.67
-9907 -0.19 9.0 10.5 -0.4 1.43 0.67
-17752 -0.34 8.4 11.4 -0.4 1.42 0.66
2040
2045
2050
4532300 4840235 5175881 5525038 5874704 6226507 6592328 6982067 7399082 2308856 2463042 2631134 2805826 2980156 3154819 3336298 3530013 3738091 2223444 2377194 2544747 2719212 2894547 3071688 3256030 3452054 3680991 26.6 28.0 29.1 30.0 30.7 31.4 31.8 32.0 32.1
7845089 3961583 3883506 32.0
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 pwJ-(~und.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fefnak ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
popllatm growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
1.32 21.3 7.6
1.34 21.4 7.6
1.31 20.9 7.5
1.23 20.2 7.6
1.16 19.7 7.7
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.14 19.7 7.9
1.15 20.0 8.2
1.16 20.3 8.4
1.17 20.5 8.6
51
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING CHINA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
Populatlon (thouunds) Total 1164608 1295073 1455097 1642676 1855328 2095520 2364028 2667243 2990669 3323296 3652859 Males ................................................... 589 151 655603 737543 833268 941262 1063453 1199310 1352587 1515833 1683199 1848243 Females ............................................... 639470 717553 809408 914068 1032068 1164718 1314656 1474837 1640098 1804616 575 457 102.4 102.5 102.8 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 102.9 103.0 103.0 103.0 102.9 102.8 102.6 102.4 Age dl8MbutlOn Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 15.4 16.8 17.0 16.9 16.4 16.0 15.6 15.2 14.5 13.6 12.6 Percentage aged 5-14. 23.5 24.7 23.9 26.0 26.3 28.0 25.5 25.0 24.7 24.2 23.4 19.2 Percentage aged 15-24 17.5 18.8 18.0 18.4 19.5 19.8 19.7 19.5 19.4 19.6 Percentage aged 60 or 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 Percentage of women aged 1549 48.3 47.8 46.6 45.5 45.8 46.4 47.1 47.7 48.4 49.5 50.8 Median age (years) ................................. 20.0 19.5 20.4 18.9 18.6 18.8 19.3 22.1 19.8 20.4 21.1 Population densrty (population per sq km) 20 29 36 18 16 22 25 32 41 45 50 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1-1985 Populationchange per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population).... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rat@(per 1,OW live births) Llfo expectancy at blrth (yews) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
26 093 54 827
28802
60964 28935
2.12 44.6 23.4 6.13 1.86 166
2.33 44.3 21 .o 6.20 1.98 151
37 516 66898 28 947 2.43 43.2 18.7 6.18 2.08 138
40.4 41.3 40.9
43.2 44.2 43.7
46.0 47.1 46.5
32005
42530
48 038 77 679 28 790 2.44 39.3 14.6 5.66 2.07 114
53 702 83 724 28 a62 2.41 37.5 12.9 5.24 1.99 103
60643
71 915 28802 2.44 41.1 16.5 5.97 2.10 126 48.6 50.0 49.3
51.1 52.8 51.9
66 525
92
64685 96 279 29 740 2.29 34.0 10.5 4.45 1.79 83
53.5 55.6 54.5
55.5 58.1 56.8
2030
2W5
90 972 29 187 2.41 36.2 11.6 4.86 1.91
2.11 31.6 9.8 4.05 1.65 76
65 913 100423 32 261 1.89 28.8 9.2 3.63 1.49 70
65 149 102 538 34 414 1.71 26.9 9.0 3.34 1.38
57.4 60.2 58.7
58.5 61.7 60.0
59.5 62.9 61.2
60.3 63.8 62.0
2040
2045
2050
99839 30 974
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Populatlon (thouunds) 3 978 606 4 314 679 4 653 263 4 983 415 5 296 917 5 589 441 5 859 589 6 108 970 6 333 310 6 527 690 Total .................................................... Males ................................................... 2010665 2178602 2347609 2511984 2667308 2811317 2943403 3064645 3173209 3268702 1967941 21360TI 2305653 2471431 2629609 2778124 2916166 3044325 3160101 3260989 Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00females)........... 102.2 102.0 101.8 101.6 101.4 101.2 100.9 100.7 100.4 100.2 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 .. 11.9 11.3 10.7 10.0 9.4 8.8 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.2 Percentage aged 5-14 22.2 20.9 20.1 19.3 18.4 16.5 17.5 15.7 15.1 14.5 Percentage aged 15-2 . 19.7 19.3 18.6 17.8 17.3 17.0 16.4 15.8 15.1 14.5 7.1 7.6 8.4 9.5 10.7 11.9 13.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 14.5 16.1 17.7 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.8 5.1 5.5 6.2 7.1 8.1 10.2 11.4 12.7 9.2 Percentage aged 80 or over 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.o 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.4 12.6 12.2 11.7 11.1 10.5 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.5 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.2 4.7 4.5 4.4 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.4 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.6 11.5 11.1 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.1 8.7 Percentage of WMen aged 1549 ......... 51.7 52.2 52.1 52.0 51.9 51.6 51.O 50.1 49.0 48.1 Median age (yean) ................................ 23.2 24.4 25.7 27.0 28.4 29.9 31.2 33.9 32.6 35.1 population density (population per sq km) 54 68 72 78 59 63 80 83 86 89 20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OOO poprlaticm) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OW p o p r l a t i ) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OW population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,WOlive births) Un'der-five mortality (per t .OOO live births) Llfe expectnncy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
52
67 215 105 271 35 831 -2226 1.62 25.4 8.6 -0.5 3.10 1.31 59 89
67 717 106 740 37 031 - 1 982 1.51 23.8 8.3 -0.4 2.89 1.24 54 81
66030 106 395 38392 1 973 1.37 22.1 8.0 -0.4 2.70 1.17 49 73
62 700 104 899 40 191 -2008 1.22 20.4 7.8 -0.4 2.54 1.12 45 66
58% 102 972 42 454 2 014 1.08 16.9 7.8 -0.4 2.40 1.07 41 60
54028 101 379 45340 - 2 014 0.94 17.7 7.9 -0.4 2.28 1.03 38 54
49 880 100 621 48 727 2 014 0.83 16.8 8.1 -0.3 2.21 1.00 34 48
61.7 65.3 63.4
63.2 66.9 65.0
64.6 68.5 66.5
65.9 69.9 67.8
67.0 71.2 69.1
68.1 72.4 70.2
69.1 73.5 71.3
-
-
-
44868 99 261 52 379 2 014 0.72 16.0 8.4 -0.3 2.14 0.98 31 43
-
70.1 74.5 72.3
38 876 97 064 56 174 2 014 0.61 15.1 8.7 -0.3 2.09 0.96 28 38
-
71.1 75.5 73.3
United Nations Department of E m i c and Sodat AffiitdPopulation Division World Popubtion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
65
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS, EXCLUDING CHINA C. HIGHVARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands)
3 978 606 4 353 070 4759083 5180138 5591355 5996110 6403408 6820088 7238680 7 648 138 2 010 665 2198300 2401889 2612856 2818230 3019682 3221932 3428706 3636551 3 839 911 1967941 2154770 2 357 194 2 567 282 2 773 125 2 976 427 3 181 476 9 391 382 3 602 129 3 808 227
Females ............................................... Ago dlStrlbUUWl Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentaged 514 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 .. M e d i age (years) .......
11.9 22.2 19.7 7.1 4.8 0.7 51.7 23.2
12.1 20.7 19.2 7.5 5.0 0.8 51.7 24.2
11.9 20.4 18.1 8.3 5.4 0.9 51 .O 25.1
11.4 20.6 17.1 9.1 6.0 1 .o 50.1 25.9
10.6 20.3 17.1 10.1 6.8 1.1
49.9 26.8
10.1 19.4 17.5 11.1 7.6 1.2 49.9 27.7
9.7 18.4 17.5 12.0 8.4 1.5 49.7 28.5
9.6 17.7 16.9 13.0 9.2 1.8 49.1 29.3
9.3 17.4 16.1 14.1 10.0 2.1 48.4 30.1
9.0 17.2 15.6 15.1 10.8 2.4 48.1 31 .O
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~
Poprlation change per year (thousands) . Popuhtion growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertilifly (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
74 893 1.80 27.2 8.7 -0.5 3.35 1.41
81 203 1.78 26.6 8.3 -0.4 3.29 1.41
84211 1.70 25.3 8.0 -0.4 3.20 1.39
82243 1.53 23.3 7.7 -0.4 3.04 1.34
80951 1.40 21.9 7.6 -0.3 2.89
1 .a
81 460 1.31 21.0 7.6 -0.3 2.78 1.25
83336 1.26 20.5 7.6 -0.3 2.70 1.23
83 718 1.19 19.9 7.7 -0.3 2.63 1.21
81 892 1.10 19.1 7.8 -0.3 2.58 1.19
2030
2035
2040
2045
D. LOW VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2050
3978606 4274942 4544602 4782817 4998432 5182266 5326772 5431206 5494452 5516836 2010665 2158222 2291888 2409142 2514330 2602722 2670581 2717743 2744029 2 749 728 1 967 941 2 116 720 2 252 715 2373674 2484102 2579544 2656 192 2713463 2750424 2 767 108
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over .................. Percentage d women aged 1 Median age (years) ...............
11.9 22.2 19.7 7.1 4.8 0.7 51.7 23.2
10.5 21.1 19.5 7.7 5.1 0.8 52.6 24.7
9.4 19.7 19.0 8.6 5.6 0.9 53.4 26.3
8.5 17.9 18.5 9.9 6.5 1.1 54.2 28.2
7.9 16.3 17.6 11.3 7.6 1.2 54.2 30.1
7.3 15.2 16.2 12.8 8.8 1.4 53.6 32.0
6.7 14.3 15.1 14.5 10.1 1 .8 52.4 34.0
6.2 13.3 14.3 16.4 11.5 2.3 50.9 36.0
5.7 12.4 13.6 18.6 13.1 2.8 49.2 38.0
5.3 11.6 12.9 21.0 15.0 3.3 47.4 39.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 ZGZV-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children par woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
59 267 1.44 23.5 8.6 5.5 2.85 1.20
53 932 1 .n 20.9 8.2 5.5 2.49 1.06
47643 1.02 18.6 8.0 -0.4 2.20 0.95
43 123 0.88 17.2 8.0 5.4 2 04 0.89
36767 0.72 15.7 8.1 -0.4 1.90 0.84
28901 0.55 14.2 8.4 -0.4 1.79 0.80
20887 0.39 13.0 8.8 -0.4 1.72 0.78
12 649 0.23 11.9 9.3 -0.4 1.66 0.76
4 477 0.08 11.0 9.9 -0.4 1.60 0.74
2040
2045
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
3 978 606 4 356 169 4 783 236 5 252 432 5 758 523 6 309 985 6 924 151 7 617 479 8 402 937 9 294 052 2 010 665 2 199 883 2 414 235 2 649 785 2 903 590 3 179 884 3 487 587 3 835 236 4 229 748 4 678 055 1967941 2156286 2369001 2602646 2854933 3130101 3426564 3782243 4173188 4615997 23.2 24.2 24.9 25.5 25.9 26.0 26.1 26.1 26.0 25.8
Males ...................................................
Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) _._. Crude death rate (per 1,000population) ..
1.81 27.4 8.7
1.87 27.5 8.4
1.87 27.2 8.1
1.84 26.6 7.8
1.63 26.3 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I; Comprehensive Tables
1.86 26.4 7.6
1.91 26.8 7.5
1.96 27.3 7.4
2.02 27.7 7.3
53
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (")
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
180 090 88626 91 464 96.9
201 087 99104 101 983 97.2
226 372 111719 114 654 97.4
256 461 126657 129 804 97.6
292 688 144754 147 934 97.8
335 741 166254 169 487 98.1
388 063 192356 195 707 98.3
449 349 222849 226 500 98.4
519 391 257614 261 777 98.4
596 402 295876 300 526 98.5
679 873 337511 342 361 98.6
17.1 25.0 18.8 5.2 3.2 0.3 46.6 19.0 7
17.8 25.0 18.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 46.2 18.7 8
18.0 25.5 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.8 18.3 9
18.1 26.2 18.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.9 11
18.3 26.5 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.3 44.9 17.6 12
18.4 26.7 18.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 44.7 17.4 14
18.5 26.9 18.9 4.8 3.0 0.3 44.6 17.3 16
18.5 27.2 19.0 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.5 17.1 18
18.1 27.5 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 44.8 17.1 21
17.6 27.4 19.5 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.5 17.4 25
17.0 27.1 20.0 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.2 17.7 28
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................... .......... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... . Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. 19 520 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 31 792 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 12 068 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 204 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. 2.39 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 38.9 Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. 14.8 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . .0.2 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.13 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.89 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 93 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 155 Life expectancy at birth (years) 49.0 Males ................................. ....... .......... Females ............................................... 50.9 Both sexes combined ............................ 50.0
20 915 33 558 12 439 . 204 2.28 36.5 13.5 .0.2 4.71 1.78 86 141
21 901 34 765 12 655 . 208 2.14 33.9 12.3 .0.2 4.27 1.67 79 127
22 510 35 654 12 901 . 243 l .98 31.3 11.3 .0.2 3.87 1.55 72 115
22 976 36 360 13 140 . 244 1.84 29.1 10.5 .0.2 3.50 1.44 66 103
23 178 36 861 13 437 . 246 1.70 27.0 9.8 .0.2 3.19 1.34 60 92
23 048 37 061 13 768 . 246 1.56 25.0 9.3 .0.2 2.93 1.26 54 81
22 538 36 927 14 143 .246 1.41 23.1 8.9 .0.2 2.71 1.18 49 72
21 689 36 525 14 591 . 246 1.27 21.4 8.6 .0.1 2.53 1.12 44 63
50.9 52.7 51 .8
52.8 54.8 53.8
54.6 56.8 55.7
56.3 58.8 57.6
58.1 60.7 59.4
59.7 62.5 61.1
61.4 64.3 62.8
62.9 66.0 64.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
20 776 2.53 40.4 14.9 .0.2 5.36 1.97
23 322 2.51 39.0 13.7 -0.2 5.10 1.93
25 481 2.42 36.9 12.5 -0.2 4.77 1.86
26 659 2.25 34.1 11.4 -0.2 4.36 1.75
28 055 2.13 31.9 10.4 .0.2 4.00 1.64
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fe~leS ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
18 148 2.23 37.1 14.6 -0.3 4.88 1.80
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 769 348 Males ....................... . ......................... 382 596 Females ............................................... 386 752 Median age (years) ................................. 18.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.61 41.3 15.0
876 725 436 933 439 792 18.2
1 005 783 502 248 503 535 18.2
1 159 354 579 909 579 445 18.0
1 340 619 671 478 669 141 17.9
2.75 41.6 13.9
2.84 41.3 12.8
2.91 40.9 11.7
2.98 40.6 10.7
1 556 153 1 814 510 2 125 752 780 204 910 378 1 067 050 775 949 904 132 1 058 701 17.8 17.8 17.7
(') Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan included In sub-Saharan Africa.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
3.07 40.6 9.8
3.17 40.7 9.0
3.25 40.8 8.2
2 501 095 2 953 608 1 255 855 1 483 333 1 245 240 1 470 274 17.6 17.5
3.33 40.8 7.5
AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) ................... 224 202 Total .............................. Males ................................................... 110724 Females ............................................... 113 478 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.6 Age distribution 17.0 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 24.8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 18.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.3 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 46.8 Median age (years) ................................. 19.1 Population density (population per sq km) 7
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2MX)
250 633 123947 126 686 97.8
282 241 139810 142 430 98.2
319 574 158448 161 126 98.3
364 132 180586 183 546 98.4
416 446 206810 209 636 98.7
479 786 238551 241 234 98.9
554 294 275713 278 582 99.0
637 421 317055 320 366 99.0
726 334 361201 365 133 98.9
820 959 408314 412 645 99.0
17.7 24.9 18.7 5.2 3.2 0.3 46.3 18.8 8
17.9 25.6 18.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 45.7 18.3 9
18.0 26.4 18.1 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.9 17.9 11
18.0 26.7 18.5 5.2 3.2 0.3 44.7 17.6 12
18.2 26.7 19.0 5.0 3.2 0.3 44.7 17.5 14
18.1 26.8 19.1 5.0 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.5 16
18.0 27.0 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.3 44.8 17.4 18
17.5 27.3 19.2 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.2 17.5 21
16.7 27.1 19.6 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.2 17.9 24
16.0 26.5 20.2 5.1 3.3 0.4 47.3 18.4 27
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 922 011 Males ............................................... 459 067 Females ............................................... 462 943 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 99.2 Age distribution 15.7 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 25.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 20.5 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 15.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 7.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 12.0 48.0 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 19.0 Median age (years) ................................. 30 Population density (population per sq km)
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
1 032 013 1 149 117 1 270 528 573 683 634 930 514 568 517 447 575 435 635 598 99.4 99.7 99.9
1 393 871 697 071 696 801 100.0
1 518 310 759 614 758 697 100.1
1 642 679 821 950 820 728 100.1
12.8 23.5 19.9 6.4 4.2 0.6 14.3 6.8 6.4 11.7 50.8 22.1 46
12.1 22.4 19.9 6.8 4.6 0.6 13.6 6.5 6.3 11.7 51.7 23.1 50
11.4 21.4 19.5 7.4 4.9 0.7 12.9 6.2 6.1 11.6 52.2 24.3 54
15.2 25.2 20.3 5.3 3.5 0.5 15.5 7.0 6.6 11.9 48.4 19.6 34
2015
14.5 24.9 19.9 5.6 3.6 0.5 15.3 6.9 6.4 11.7 48.9 20.3 38
13.7 24.4 19.8 6.0 3.9 0.5 14.9 6.9 6.5 11.6 49.8 21.1 42
2040
2045
2050
1 765 372 1 884 446 883 257 942 554 882 116 941 892 100.1 100.1
1 997 935 998 816 999 116 100.0
10.7 20.4 18.9 8.2 5.4 0.9 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.2 52.4 25.5 58
10.0 19.5 18.3 9.2 6.1 1.0 11.7 5.7 5.6 10.9 52.5 26.7 62
9.4 18.6 17.7 10.4 6.9 11 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.6 52.5 26.0 66
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 6 Comprehensive Tables
AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
Population (thousands) 922 011 1 039 937 1 171 953 Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... 459 067 518 577 585 236 Females ............................................... 462 943 521 360 586 717 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 15.7 15.9 15.6 Percentageaged 514 .......................... 25.7 25.1 25.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.5 20.2 19.5 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 5.2 5.3 5.5 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 3.4 3.4 3.5 Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. 0.4 0.4 0.5 Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... 48.0 48.1 48.0 Median age (years) ................................. 19.0 19.4 19.8
2020
2025
2030
2035
1 315 002 657 422 657 579
1 462 891 731 966 730 926
1 616 858 809 423 807 435
1 778 638 890 657 887 980
14.9 25.3 19.2 5.8 3.7 0.5 48.1 20.2
14.0 24.9 19.5 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.0 20.8
13.2 23.9 20.0 6.4 4.3 0.6 49.9 21.6
12.7 22.8 20.0 6.8 4.6 0.7 50.6 22.5
2040
2045
2050
1 948 489 2 124 135 975 796 1 063 693 972 693 1 060 442 12.2 22.0 19.4 7.4 4.9 0.8 50.9 23.4
11.7 21.3 18.7 8.2 5.4 0.9 51.1 24.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
23 585 2.41 37.8 13.4 .0.4 4.90 1.86
26 403 2.39 36.6 12.4 -0.3 4.70 1.83
28 610 2.30 34.7 11.4 .0.3 4.45 1.78
29 578 2.13 32.1 10.5 -0.3 4.11 1.68
30 793 2.00 30.0 9.7 -0.3 3.80 1.59
32 356 1.91 28.5 9.2 .0.2 3.53 1.50
33 970 1.82 27.1 8.7 -0.2 3.30 1.43
35 129 1.73 25.8 8.3 -0.2 3.1 1 1.37
35 603 1.61 24.3 8.0 .0.2 2.95 1.32
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .........
922 011 459 067 462 943
1 023 510 510 264 513 246
1 125 267 561 621 563 646
15.7 25.7 20.5 5.2 3.4 0.4 48.0 19.0
14.5 25.5 20.5 5.4 3.5 0.5 48.8 19.8
13.5 24.7 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.0 20.7
1 225 078 1 323 948 1 419 416 1 508 397 1 588 464 611 950 661 725 754 103 793 874 709 637 794 590 613 129 662 224 709 779 754 294 12.4 23.4 20.6 6.2 4.0 0.5 51.6 22.0
11.6 22.0 20.4 6.7 4.4 0.6 52.9 23.3
10.8 20.8 19.6 7.3 4.9 0.7 53.7 24.8
9.9 19.7 16.8 8.1 5.4 0.8 53.9 26.3
9.1 16.6 18.1 9.1 6.0 0.9 54.0 27.9
1 658 379 828 326 830 053 8.3 17.3 17.6 10.5 6.9 1.1 53.9 29.5
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
20 300 2.09 34.4 13.1 .0.4 4.42 1.67
20 351 1.90 31.4 12.1 -0.4 3.92 1.51
19 774 1.55 26.3 10.5 .0.3 3.11 1.26
19 962 1.70 28.5 11.2 -0.3 3.45 1.37
19 093 1.39 24.2 10.0 -0.3 2.81 1.17
17 796 1.22 22.0 9.6 .0.3 2.54 1.08
16 013 1.03 19.9 9.3 -0.3 2.32 1.00
13 983 0.86 18.0 9.1 -0.2 2.13 0.94
11 828 0.70 16.3 9.1 -0.2 1.97 0.88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. 922 011 1 043 102 1 187 267 Males .............................................. 459 067 520 176 592 973 Females ............................................... 462 943 522 925 594 293 Median age (years) ................................ 19.0 19.3 19.5
Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.47 38.5 13.4
2.59 38.8 12.6
2.67 38.6 11.7
1 356 478 678 373 678 104 19.4
1 553 321 777 640 775 681 19.3
2.71 38.1 10.8
2.77 37.9 10.0
1 784 398 2 058 766 2 386 874 2 779 969 3 250 865 894 033 1 032 106 1 197 121 1 394 754 1 631 423 890 364 1 026 660 1 189 753 1 385 215 1 619 442 19.2 19.2 19.0 18.9 18.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.86 38.1 9.3
2.96 38.4 8.7
3.05 38.6 8.0
3.13 38.8 7.4
EASTERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstribullon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percenlagein school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 20t5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 7 914 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 12 298 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 4 315 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 70 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. 2.54 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 39.4 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 13.8 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . .0.2 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.25 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.97 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 81 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 134 Life expectancy at birth (years) 50.0 Males .................................................. 51.9 Fernales .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................ 50.9
8 570 13 027 4 398 . 58 2.43 36.8 12.4 .0.2 4.79 1.86 73 119 52.1 54.2 53.2
8 965 13 493
4 481 . 47 2.26 34.0 11.3 .0.1 4.31 1.73 65 105 54.1 56.3 55.2
9 122 13 785 4 601 . 62 2.06 31.1 10.4 -0.1 3.85
9 226 14 012 4 722 . 64 1.89 28.7 9.7 .0.1 3.45
1.58
1.46
59 93
53 82
9 279 14 216 4 872 . 65 1.74 26.6 9.1 .0.1 3.12 1.35 48 72
55.8 58.2 57.0
57.4 60.2 58.8
59.0 62.0 60.5
9 243 14 354 5 046 . 65 1.59 24.7 8.7 -0.1 2.86 1.26 43 63
9 056 14 362 5 241 . 65 1.45 22.9 8.4 -0.1 2.65 1.18 38 55
8 706 14 234 5 463 . 65 1.30 21.2 8.1 .0.1 2.47 1.12 34 48
60.8 63.8 62.2
62.1 65.5 63.8
63.6 67.1 65.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
EASTERN AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8 440 2.70 41 .1 13.9 -0.2 5.50 2.07
9 541 2.67 39.4 12.6 -0.2 5.19 2.02
10 369 2.54 36.9 11.4 -0.1 4.81 1.93
10 772 2.34 33.9 10.4 -0.1 4.35 1.79
1 1 278 2.19 31.5 9.6 .0.1 3.95 1.67
1 1 918 2.08 29.8 8.9 -0.1 3.62 1.56
12 571 1.98 28.3 8.4 .0.1 3.36 1.47
13 049 1.87 26.7 8.0 .0.1 3.14 1.40
13 288 1.74 25.1 7.7 .0.1 2.97 1.35
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ..................................... .... .......... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 387 2.38 37.7 13.7 -0.2 5.00 1 .88
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 292 539 Males .................... ............................. 145 014 Females ............................................... 147 525 Median age (years) ................................. 17.5
335 757 166 847 168 910 17.7
388 196 193 318 194 878 17.7
450 678 224 825 225 853 17.5
524 278 261 885 262 393 17.4
61 1 714 305 827 305 887 17.4
716 556 358 436 358 120 17.4
842 820 421 735 421 085 17.4
994 846 1 177 658 497 916 589 511 496 930 588 147 17.3 17.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.76 41.7 14.0
2.90 41.9 12.8
2.99 41.5 11.6
3.03 40.9 10.6
3.09 40.6 9.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.16 40.5 8.8
3.25 40.6 8.1
3.32 40.6 7.4
3.37 40.5 6.8
MIDDLE AFRICA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
l960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................... ............... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................ ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ........................... . ................ Both sexes combined ............................
3 416 5 480 2 096 32 2.83 45.3 17.3 0.3 6.02 2.11 112 190
3 788 6 035 2224 . 23 2.73 43.4 16.0 .0.2 5.70 2.05 105 177
4 108 6 469 2 319 . 42 2.59 40.7 14.6 -0.3 5.28 1.96 97 162
4 453 6 877 2 400 . 24 2.47 38.2 13.3 .0.1 4.84 1.85 89 147
4 734 7 220 2462 . 24 2.33 35.5 12.1 -0.1 4.38 1.72 81 133
4 902 7 439 2 513 . 24 2.16 32.7 11.1 .0.1 3.92 1.58 74 119
4 945 7 526 2 557 . 24 1.97 29.9 10.2 .0.1 3.49 1.44 67 106
4 897 7 525 2 604 . 24 1.77 27.2 9.4 .0.1 3.13 1.33 60 93
4 792 7 479 2 663 . 24 1.60 24.9 8.9 .0.1 2.84 1.23 54 82
45.8 48.2 47.0
47.4 49.9 48.6
49.0 51.6 50.3
50.7 53.4 52.1
52.5 55.4 53.9
54.4 57.3 55.8
56.2 59.2 57.7
58.0 61.2 59.6
59.8 63.1 61.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MIDDLE AFRICA
.
C HffiH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............
....
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
112505 55 714 56 791
130058 64 540 65 519
150365 74 734 75 632
173524 86 347 87 l77
198843 99 033 99 810
226317 112 787 113 530
255821 127 547 128 274
287117 143 189 143 928
319810 159 506 160 305
353446 176 262 177 184
18.3 27.3 20.0 4.5 2.9 0.3 45.1 17.0
18.4 27.2 19.9 4.4 2.8 0.3 45.2 17.0
18.3 27.5 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 45.1 17.0
17.9 27.7 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 45.4 17.1
17.0 27.7 20.0 4.3 2.7 0.3 46.3 17.5
16.1 27.1 20.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 47.4 18.2
15.2 26.1 20.8 4.6 2.9 0.4 48.8 19.0
14.4 25.2 20.7 5.0 3.1 0.4 49.9 19.9
13.6 24.3 20.4 5.4 3.4 0.4 50.9 20.9
12.8 23.3 20.0 5.9 3.8 0.5 51.8 21.9
3 511 2.90 46.1 17.4 0.3 6.14 2.15
4 061 2.90 45.3 16.2 -0.2 6.01 2.16
4 632 2.87 43.7 14.9 -0.3 5.78 2.14
5 064 2.72 40.8 13.5 -0.1 5.33 2.04
5 901 2.45 35.6 11.1 -0.1 4.41 1.78
6 259 2.31 33.3 10.1 -0.1 3.99 1.65
6 539 2.16 30.9 9.3 -0.1 3.63 1.51
6 727 2.00 28.7 8.6 -0.1 3.33 1.44
3 880 1 .83 29.5 11.1 -0.1 3.42 1.38
3 673 1.59 26.2 10.2 -0.1 3.00 1.24
3 395 1.37 23.3 9.6 -0.1 2.64 1.11
3 082 1.16 20.9 9.2 -0.1 2.34 1.01
5 495 2.59 38.1 12.2 .0.1 4.87 1.92
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populailon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.................. ..................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 220 2.68 43.6 17.1 0.3 5.77 2.02
3 431
2.50 40.9 15.7 .0.2 5.30
1.91
3 592 2.32 37.8 14.4 .0.3 4.78 1.77
3 834 2.22 35.5 13.2 -0.1 4.34 1.66
3 945 2.05 32.7 12.1 -0.1 3.88 1 .52
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... 112 505 Males .................................................. 55 714 Females ............................................ 56791 Median age (years) ................................. 17.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) ..
2.94 46.5 17.4
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
130 318 64 670 17.0
151 476 75 292 76184 16.8
176 807 87 996 88811 16.7
207 456 103 358 104098 16.5
244 698 122 014 122884 16.4
290 179 144 795 145384 16.3
345 882 172 692 173190 16.2
414 209 206 903 207306 16.1
498 131 248 914 249218 16.0
3.01 46.5 16.3
3.09 46.2 15.1
3.20 45.9 13.9
3.30 45.7 12.7
3.41 45.6 11.5
3.51 45.6 10.5
3.61 45.5 9.5
3.69 45.5 8.6
65648
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Vokrme I: Comprehensive Tables
NORTHERN AFRICA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentaw aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
53 302 26 681 26 621 100.2
59 761 29 936 29 825 100.4
67 308 33 798 33 510 100.9
75 942 38 194 37 748 101.2
85 939 43 076 42 863 100.5
97 481 48 950 48 531 100.9
1 1 1 364 56 038 55 326 101.3
128 002 64 433 63 569 101.4
143 963 72 467 71 496 101.4
159 423 80 152 79 272 101.1
174 435 87 579 86 856 100.8
16.7 24.5 19.0 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.9 19.3 6
17.2 24.9 18.7 5.4 3.3 0.3 46.6 19.0 7
17.6 25.7 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 45.7 18.5 8
17.1 27.3 18.5 6.1 3.9 0.5 44.4 17.6 10
17.4 26.6 19.4 5.7 3.8 0.4 45.1 17.8 11
16.8 26.3 19.6 5.8 3.8 0.4 45.6 18.3 13
16.4 26.4 19.4 5.6 3.6 0.4 45.8 18.5 15
15.1 26.5 19.4 5.8 3.7 0.4 46.9 19.0 17
13.3 25.9 20.2 6.2 3.9 0.4 49.1 20.0 19
12.0 24.0 21.1 6.6 4.3 0.5 51.5 21.4 20
17.8 26.8 17.5 ' 5.7 3.6 0.4 44.3 17.8 9
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalit); rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................ 189 562 Maes .............................................. 95 049 Females ............................................... 94513 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 100.6 Age dlstrlbutlon 11.4 Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... 21.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 21.0 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.6 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.0 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 6.5 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.6 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 12.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.2 Median age (years) ................................. 22.9 Population denslty (population per sq km) 22
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
X)6 295
102953 100.4
223 208 l1 l 723 111485 100.2
239 526 119 781 119745 100.0
254 557 127 166 127390 99.8
268 296 133 873 134422 99.6
11.0 20.3 19.7 7.3 4.6 0.7 12.3 5.9 5.9 11.9 53.6 24.4 24
10.5 19.7 18.1 8.2 5.3 0.8 11.9 5.7 5.5 10.8 53.3 26.0 26
9.7 19.1 17.2 9.4 6.1 0.9 11.5 5.6 5.4 10.1 53.0 27.6 28
8.9 16.1 16.9 10.7 7.1 0.9 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.0 52.7 29.1 30
8.3 17.0 16.7 11.9 8.2 1 .1 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.0 52.1 30.6 31
103 342
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
NORTHERNAFRICA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
189562 95049 94 513
208274 104353 103 921
228 681 114517 114 164
249625 124937 124688
269464 134779 134686
288510 144196 144314
307453 153547 153907
326706 163055 163651
346044
364 697
172635 173409
181 896 182 801
11.4 21.7 21.0 6.8 4.6 0.6 53.2 22.9
11.9 20.1 19.5 7.3 4.8 0.7 53.1 24.2
11.7 20.0 17.6 8.0 5.1 0.7 52.0 25.4
11.2 20.5 16.5 9.0 5.8 0.8 50.9 26.3
10.2 20.1 16.7 10.1 6.7 0.9 50.6 27.3
9.5 19.1 17.4 11.1 7.6 1.1 50.4 28.1
9.2 17.8 17.4 12.3 8.4 1.3 49.7 28.9
9.1 17.0 16.6 13.6 9.3 1.7 48.7 29.8
8.9 16.7 15.6 15.2 10.5 1.9 47.9 30.8
8.6 16.6 15.0 16.6 11.8 2.2 47.5 31.8
Populallon (thousands)
...............................................
.
Aga dlstrlbuüon Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 742 1.88 26.0 6.4 -0.8 3.14 1.42
4 082 1.87 25.5 6.2 -0.7 3.07 1.41
4 189 1.75 24.1 6.0 -0.6 3.00 1.39
3809 1.37 20.2 6.0 -0.6 2.75 1.29
3966 1.53 21.9 5.9 -0.6 2.87 1.33
3 789 1.27 19.5 6.2 -0.5 2.65 1.25
3850
3 868
1.22 19.1 6.5 -0.5 2.57 1.21
1.15 18.7 6.8 -0.5 2.51 1.19
3 731 1.O5 18.0 7.0 -0.4 2.46 1.17
D. LOW VARIANT 2005
Popuialion (thousands) Total .................................................... 189 562 Males ................................................... 95 O49 Females 94 513 Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 11.4 Percentage aged 5-14 ........ 21.7 21.o Percentage aged 15-24 ...... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.6 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 53.2 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 22.9
......................
..........
201o
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
204 317 102 332 101 985
217 734 108 928 1O8 806
229 427 114625 114 802
239 668 119564 120 104
248 262 123 643 124619
254 873 126 693 128 180
259 253 128 601 130 651
261 430 129 410 132 020
261 446 129 147 132 300
10.2 20.5 19.9 7.4 4.9 0.7 54.1 24.7
9.1 19.2 18.5 8.5 5.4 0.8 54.6 26.7
8.1 17.5 17.9 9.8 6.3 0.9 55.3 28.8
7.5 15.9 17.2 11.3 7.5 1.o 55.1 30.9
6.8 14.5 15.9 12.9 8.8 1.2 54.1 33.1
6.2 13.6 14.7 14.8 10.1 1.6 52.1 35.2
5.7 12.6 13.7 17.2 11.8 2.1 49.9 37.4
5.2 11.6 13.0 20.2 13.9 2.6 48.1 39.5
4.8 10.8 12.3 23.2 16.5 3.1 46.3 41.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 951 1.50 22.1 6.3 -0.8 2.64 1.19
2 683 1.27 19.6 6.1 -0.7 2.27 1.04
2339 1.O5 17.2 6.1 -0.6 2.00 0.92
2048 0.87 15.7 6.3 -0.7 1.87 0.87
1719 0.71 14.3 6.6 -0.7 1.75 0.82
1322 0.53 13.0 7.1 -0.6 1.65 0.78
876 0.34 11.7 7.7 -0.6 1.58 0.74
0.17 10.7 8.4 -0.6 1.52 0.72
3 0.00 9.8 9.2 -0.6 1.47 0.70
435
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
201o
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon(IhouMnds) Total .................................................... 189 562 Males ................................................... 95 049 Females ............................................... 94 513 Median age (years) ................................. 22.9
208 300 104 366 103 934 24.2
229 331 114 848 114 483 25.2
251 827 126 059 125 768 26.0
275 014 137 607 137 407 26.5
299 194 149 643 149 551 26.9
325 O85 162 536 162 549 27.2
353 362 176 645 176 716 27.5
384 349
418 050 209 O99 208 951 27.8
192 164 192 185 27.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Ctude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
....
1.89 26.1 6.4
1.92 26.1 6.2
1.87 25.4 6.1
1.76 24.2 6.0
1.69 23.4 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.66 23.2 6.1
1.67 23.4 6.3
1.68 23.6 6.4
1.68 23.7 6.5
63
SOUTHERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlmlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
15 591 7 733 7 858 98.4
17 493 8 895 8 798 98.8
19 732 9 814 9 918 98.9
22 426 1 1 089 1 1 336 97.8
25 461 12 610 12 850 98.1
29 093 14 426 14 667 98.4
32 974 16 323 16 652 98.0
37 454 18 529 18 925 97.9
41 828 20 613 21 215 97.2
47 408 23 283 24 126 96.5
51 950 25 477 26 473 96.2
15.4 23.5 18.5 6.0 3.7 0.3 47.7 20.8 6
16.3 23.8 18.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 47.0 20.2 7
16.5 24.8 18.0 8.0 3.9 0.4 46.2 19.5 7
16.2 26.0 18.0 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.4 19.0 8
16.4 28.0 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.4 45.7 18.6 10
16.4 26.0 19.6 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.3 18.6 11
15.8 26.3 19.6 5.1 3.1 0.4 46.9 18.8 12
15.2 28.0 19.8 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.9 19.1 14
13.9 25.5 20.3 5.2 3.2 0.4 49.5 19.9 16
12.7 23.9 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.4 51.7 21.4 18
11.7 22.5 20.5 6.0 3.7 0.4 53.1 22.6 19
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W 0 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populetion (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
54 900
26 927 27 973 96.3
56 592 27 863 28 729 97.0
57 906 28 668 29 239 98.0
59 254 29 492 29 762 99.1
60 577 30 292 30 285 100.0
61 788 31 003 30 785 100.7
62 802 31 578 31 224 101.1
63 646 32 039 31 607 101.4
64 374 32 422 31 952 101.5
11.2 21.7 20.4 6.6 4.2 0.5 13.1 6.5 6.3 12.2 52.8 23.4 21
10.7 21.2 20.4 7.3 4.8 0.6 12.8 6.3 6.3 12.1 52.0 23.9 21
10.1 20.6 20.3 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.4 6.2 6.1 12.2 51.7 24.5 22
9.7 19.8 19.8 9.1 6.1 0.9 11.8 6.0 6.0 11.9 51.8 25.4 22
9.4 19.0 19.3 9.7 6.7 1.1 11.4 5.7 5.8 11.6 52.3 26.3 23
9.0 18.3 18.7 10.2 7.2 1.3 11.0 5.5 5.6 11.2 53.0 27.2 23
8.5 17.7 18.1 10.7 7.7 1.5 10.6 5.4 5.4 10.9 53.2 28.2 23
8.1 17.0 17.6 11.2 8.0 l .8 10.1 5.2 5.2 10.6 53.2 29.3 24
7.7 16.2 17.1 12.1 8.4 1.9 9.7 5.0 5.1 10.3 52.8 30.4 24
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,W 0 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
339 1 278
4 0.44 19.7 15.3 0.1 2.27 0.95 32 44
242 1 145 906 4 0.40 18.7 14.8 0.1 2.17 0.93 28 40
203 l l05 905 4 0.33 17.7 14.5 0.1 2.08 0.91 26 36
169 1 060 895 4 0.27 16.8 14.2 0.1 2.00 0.88 23 32
146 1 017 875 4 0.23 15.9 13.7 0.1 1.93 0.86 21 29
1 35 981 849 4 0.21 15.2 13.1 0.1 1 .87 0.85 19 26
53.8 53.6 54.0
55.2 55.9 55.7
56.3 57.8 57.2
57.7 59.8 58.8
59.3 61.7 60.5
61.0 63.7 62.4
270 1 204 938 4 0.46 20.6 16.0 0.1 2.39 0.98 35 50
264 1 178 917
4 0.61 22.9 16.9 0.1 2.71 1.08 46 69
263 1 232 973 3 0.46 21.5 17.0 0.1 2.53 1.01 40 58
48.5 49.3 49.0
49.8 49.3 49.7
51.9 51.4 51.9
944
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTHERNAFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
..
450 0.80 24.9 17.0 0.1 2.96 1.16
446 0.77 24.5 16.9 0.1 2.93 1.17
508 0.84 24.0 15.7 0.1 2.89 1.18
516 0.82 22.8 14.7 0.1 2.77 1.16
525 0.60 21.9 14.0 0.1 2.67 1.14
541 0.79 21.4 13.5 0.1 2.58 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeas) .................................
.................. ..................
54 900 26 927 27 973
56 035 27 582 28 453
56 432 27 923 28 509
56 589 28 146 28 443
56 667 28 317 28 350
56 527 28 345 28 183
56 026 28 151 27 875
55 196 27 759 27 437
54 149 27 232 26 917
11.2 21.7 20.4 6.6 4.2 0.5 52.8 23.4
9.8 21.4 20.6 7.4 4.8 0.6 52.5 24.2
8.8 20.2 20.8 8.4 5.5 0.8 53.0 25.2
8.1 18.1 20.8 9.5 6.4 1.0 54.2 26.6
7.8 16.6 19.7 10.4 7.2 1.2 55.0 28.0
7.3 15.7 17.9 11.2 7.9 1.4 55.4 29.6
6.8 15.1 16.5 12.0 8.6 1.7 55.0 31.3
6.1 14.3 15.9 12.9 9.2 2.0 54.5 33.1
5.6 13.2 15.5 14.4 10.0 2.3 53.5 34.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
227 0.41 20.9 16.9 0.1 2.46 0.96
79 0.14 18.5 17.1 0.1 2.13 0.85
31 0.06 16.9 16.4 0.1 1.89 0.77
16 0.03 16.2 15.9 0.1 1.77 0.74
-28 -0.05 15.2 15.7 0.1 1.67 0.72
-100 -0.18 13.9 15.7 0.1 1.58 0.69
-166 .0.30 12.5 15.8 0.1 1.50 0.66
-209 -0.38 11.4 15.3 0.1 1.43 0.64
-228 -0.43 10.6 14.9 0.1 1.38 0.62
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) .......................... Total ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
54 900 26 927 27 973 23.4
56 994 28 066 28 928 23.8
59 095 29 268 29 827 24.0
61 568 30 660 30 907 24.4
64 353 32 199 32 153 24.6
67 432 33 854 33 578 24.8
70 804 35 623 35 180 25.1
74 545 37 556 36 989 25.4
78 722 39 695 39 027 25.6
0.75 24.4 17.0
0.72 24.1 16.9
0.82 23.9 15.7
0.89 23.6 14.8
0.94 23.3 14.0
0.98 23.2 13.5
1.03 23.0 12.8
1.09 22.9 12.0
1.15 22.7 11.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
83 393 42 065 41 328 25.9
WESTERN AFRICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ...........
Age distribution
Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(mlesper100females) ........... Age dlshlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
272 505 136 363 136 141 100.2
307 436
154 051 153 385 100.4
344 525 172 834 171 691 100.7
382 903 192 278 190 624 100.9
422 018 212 101 209 917 101.0
461 709 232 216 229 492 101.2
501 654 252 447 249 207 101.3
541 305 272 481 268 824 101.4
579 973 291 941 288 032 101.4
617 033 310 486 306 547 101.3
16.9 27.0 20.3 4.9 3.1 0.4 16.6 7.4 6.8 11.8 46.3 17.8
16.2 26.6 20.5 4.9 3.2 0.4 16.3 7.3 6.8 11.9 47.2 18.3 50
15.3 26.0 20.5 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.7 12.0 48.3 19.0 56
14.3 25.2 20.5 5.3 3.4 0.5 15.4 7.1 6.7 12.0 49.7 19.9 62
13.3 24.2 20.5 5.6 3.6 0.5 14.7 6.9 6.6 12.1 51.1 20.9 69
12.5 23.0 20.3 6.0 3.9 0.5 13.9 6.7 6.4 12.0 52.3
11.7 21 .8 19.8 6.5 4.2 0.6 13.2 6.4 6.2 11.7 53.0 23.3 62
11.0 20.8 19.1 7.2 4.7 0.7 12.6 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.3 24.6 88
10.3 19.8 18.5 8.1 5.3 0.8 11.9 5.8 5.7 11.0 53.4 26.0 94
9.6 18.8 17.9 9.3 6.0 0.9 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.7 53.2 27.3 101
44
22.1
75
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . 6 986 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 1 1 504 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 4 320 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 197 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 2.41 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 39.7 C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. 14.9 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . -0.7 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 5.30 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.91 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 106 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 1 76 Life expectancy at blrth (years) 49.6 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 51.1 Both sexes combined ............................ 50.3
7 418 12 014 4 443 . 153 2.28 36.9 13.6 .0.5 4.79 1.78 98
161 51.3 52.8 52.1
7 676 12 331 4 505 . 150 2.11 33.9 12.4 -0.4 4.28 1.64 91 146
7 823 12 530 4 556 . 150 l .95 31.1 11.3 -0.4 3.84 1.51 83 132
7 938 12 696 4 607 . 150 1 .80 28.7 10.4 .0.3 3.47 1.40 76 l18
7 989 12 823 4 684 . 150 l .66 26.6 9.7 .0.3 3.17 1.31 70 106
7 930 12 861 4 781 . 150 1.52 24.7 9.2 -0.3 2.93 1.23 64 95
7 734 12 785 4 901 . 150 1.38 22.8 8.7 -0.3 2.72 1.17 58 85
7 412 12 617 5 055 . 150 1.24 21 .1 8.4 -0.3 2.55 1.12 53 75
53.2 54.8 54.0
55.1 56.7 55.9
57.0 58.6 57.8
58.8 60.5 59.7
60.5 62.4 61.4
62.1 64.2 63.2
63.7 66.0 64.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2oOo
WESTERN AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
7 442 2.56 41.3 15.1 -0.7 5.54 2.00
8 273 2.51 39.4 13.9 .0.5 5.18 1.93
8 913 2.39 38.9 12.6 .0.4 4.78 1.83
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
9 687 2.08 31.5 10.4 -0.3 3.97 1.60
10 207 1.98 29.7 9.7 -0.3 3.67 1.51
10 722 1.89 28.2 9.0 -0.3 3.42 1.44
11 084 1.78 26.6 8.5 -0.2 3.22 1.38
11 247 1.66 24.9 8.1 -0.2 3.05 1.33
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 259 2.21 33.9 11.4 .0.4 4.34 1.71
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 515 2.26 38.0 14.7 -0.7 5.05 1.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 272505 Total ................................................... 136 363 Males ................................................ Females ............................................... 136 141 Median age (years) ........................ ... 17.8
.
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
p p .
2.69 42.8 15.2
311733 1.56 227 155 506 18.0
359169 180 248 178 921 18.0
415598 208 834 206 764 17.9
2.92 42.6 13.1
2.97 42.0 12.0
.
2.83 43.0 14.2
482221 242 591 239 630 17.7
p~
3.04 41.5 10.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
561359 282 695 278 665 17.7
656142 330 716 325 427 17.7
770265 388 492 381 773 17.6
907844 458 076 449 768 17.6
3.21 41.4 9.2
3.29 41.4 8.4
3.36 41.3 7.7
.
3.12 41.4 10.0
1073632 541 834 531 799 17.5
ASIA
.
A ESTIMATES indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ............................................. 1 Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change par year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) 3938020 Total .................................................... Males ................................................... 2 015 897 Females ............................................... 1 922 123 Sex ratio (mates per 1M)females) ........... 104.9 Age distribution 9.2 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... 18.9 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 18.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 6.4 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1 .0 11.3 Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.8 Percentage in school ages 1 5 1 7 .......... 5.8 10.8 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.7 Median age (years) ................................. 27.6 Population density (populationper sq km) 124
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 W 0 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ........................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ASIA C. HWVARlANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Popuktlon(thou8snds)
Total ....................................................
3 9 3 MO 4 203 972 4490509 4780962 5049840 5294718 5523299 5 749 512 5 974 077 6 189 365
Males .. Females ............................................... Age dlsbfbution Percentage aged 0-4
2 015 897 2 149 827 2294114 2440182 2 574 639 2898000 2808581 2919985 3031 034 3137946 1 922 123 2 054 145 2 198394 2340780 2 475 201 2 598 717 2 714 718 2829527 2943043 3 051 419 9.2 18.9 18.3 9.2 6.4 1 .o
Percantageaged 15-24........................ Percantage aged 60 or OVBT Percentage aged 65 orww Percentageaged 80 or over
9.6 17.2 17.8 10.0 6.8 1.2 53.4 28.9
9.6 16.8 16.4 11.3 7.4 1.4 51.8 29.9
9.4 17.3 14.9 12.5 8.5 1.5 49.4 30.9
8.7 17.3 14.8 14.0 9.6 1.7 48.0 31.9
8.2 16.6 15.5 15.8 10.9 2.0 47.7 32.9
7.9 15.7 15.7 17.3 12.3 2.4 47.4 33.6
7.9 15.0 15.2 18.2 13.5 2.8 46.5 34.1
7.9 14.8 14.4 19.1 14.2 3.3 45.6 34.5
7.8 14.9 13.8 20.2 14.9 3.8 45.1 35.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 W a t i a r change per year (thowands). Fqndatian g r h rate (per cent) ............ Cude birth rate (per 1.OW popdation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OWpopllation) Net migrationrate (per 1,000population) . Total tertiiii (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproductionrate ( p e r m ) ..........
..
53 190
1.31 20.8 7.4 -0.3 2.59 1.14
57 307 1.32 20.8 7.4 -0.3 2.64 1.18
58091 1.25 20.1 7.3 -0.3 2.66 1 .20
53776 1.09 18.5 7.4 -0.2 2.58 1.17
48975 0.95 17.2 7.5 -0.2 2.51 1.15
45 717
45 243
0.85
0.80
18.5 7.9 -0.2 2.45 1.13
16.5 8.2 -0.2 2.42 1.13
44 913 0.77 16.5 8.6 -0.2 2.41 1.12
2030
2035
2040
43058 0.71 16.2 8.9 -0.2 2.39 1.12
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
20452050
Popullltlon (rnou.urd.) Total ......... 3938020 4 127 206 4 284 706 4 4Q8 874 4 507871 4 572 127 4 595 820 4580381 4 528 586 4 443 976 Males ................................................... 2015897 2109706 2186811 2 245 946 2291 900 2 319 417 2 325 703 2312 151 2280355 2 232 474 Females ............................................... 1 922 123 2017500 2098094 2 162 928 2 215 971 2 252 709 2 269 918 2268229 2248232 2211 502 A w dldrlbutlon 6.4 4.0 4.2 5.5 7.1 6.0 Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ 9.2 7.9 5.0 4.6 12.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 14.1 17.5 11.2 11.9 15.8 9.0 18.9 9.6 10.3 16.2 10.6 14.9 18.2 11.3 12.5 13.5 11.8 17.2 Percentage aged 15-24....... 18.3 13.6 28.1 15.7 10.2 25.2 20.8 18.3 11.9 Percentage aged 80 or over 9.2 22.8 9.3 10.7 18.7 14.8 12.6 7.8 Percentage aged 65 or over 20.8 6.9 6.4 17.0 1.7 1.4 perCenta@a aged 80 or over .................. 5.4 1.9 1.2 4.3 2.9 2.3 3.5 1 .o 42.2 53.4 Percentage d wwnen aged 1549 ......... 46.6 52.0 54.4 44.4 48.9 50.7 54.2 53.7 27.6 Median age (years) ...................... 41.9 45.8 33.4 35.5 29.5 39.8 37.8 31.4 43.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2CQ5-2040 2wo-2045 2045-2050 populationchange per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CRlde birlh rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OWpopulatbn) .. Net migrationrate (per 1,000popllatkm) . TOMfertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
............
37 837 0.94
17.0 7.3 4.3 2.09 0.92
31 500 0.75 15.1 7.3 -0.3 1.84 0.82
24 834 0.57 13.5 7.5 -0.3 1.66 0.74
19 799 0.44 12.5 7.8 -0.3 1.58 0.72
12 851 0.28 11.4 8.3 4.3 1.51 0.69
4 699 0.10 10.2 8.9 -0.3 1.45 0.87
- 16 922
- 3 048
- 10 359
-0.07 9.4 9.8 -0.3 1.43 0.66
-0.23 8.7 10.7 -0.3 1.42 0.66
-0.38 8.1 11.6 -0.3 1.40
2040
2045
0.66
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 p0pukt)on (rnourandr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................................................ Median age (years) .................................
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
3938020 4190573 4463566 4744337 5M1318 5295579 5577549 5875420 8191052 6524736 2015897 2142622 2279469 2419936 2557904 2693828 2833448 2961308 3138763 3306157 1 922 123 2 047 951 2 184 098 2 324 401 2 463 414 2 601 752 2 744 101 2 894 112 3 052 289 3 218 579 27.6 29.0 30.1 31.O 31.8 32.5 32.9 33.2 33.3 33.1 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population)
..
1.24 20.2 7.5
1.26 20.3 7.4
1.22 19.9 7.4
1.14 19.1 7.5
1 .06 18.5 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.04 18.5 7.9
1.04 18.9 8.2
1 .05 19.2 8.5
1.05 19.4 8.7
69
EASTERN ASIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
669 906 344 672 325 235 106.0 13.7 20.5 18.5 7.4 4.5 0.3 50.1 23.5 57
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 522 472 1 562 576 1 599 849 1 631 368 1 653 595 1 662 797 1 658 173 1 642 909 l 620 096 Males .................................................. 781 141 801 296 835 195 845 71 1 849 209 845 513 836 486 823 858 819 776 Females .............................................. 741 331 761 280 780 073 796 174 807 884 813 589 812 660 806 424 796 237 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 105.4 105.3 105.1 104.9 104.7 104.4 104.0 103.7 103.5 Age distribution 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.9 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 14.6 12.9 11.8 11.7 11.6 11.4 10.9 10.3 10.0 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 16.0 15.6 13.8 12.3 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.5 11.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 12.4 14.1 16.6 18.6 21.4 25.0 28.1 29.3 30.4 23.3 24.1 13.3 15.0 17.4 20.7 8.8 9.6 11.1 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.3 6.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.7 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.1 5.9 7.0 7.0 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 8.6 7.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.4 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 4.6 4.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 51 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 6.8 7.0 7.0 6.8 7.6 6.8 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 94 9.7 8.4 42.9 41.7 39.8 52.1 47.9 44.3 38.7 55.3 54.6 Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... 43.8 45.0 45.7 40.4 42.2 33.4 35.8 37.3 38.8 Median age (years) ................................. 141 141 140 138 139 141 Population density (population per sq km) 129 133 136
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mottalify (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .................................... ...... ..... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EASTERN ASlA
c. HKiHVARlANT lndlcetw 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populallon (mourndr)
1522472 1 576288 1 835737 1895189 1744954 1 700857 1803828 1821 781 1840255 1858840 BOB 827 836958 869283 894 507 923086 781 141 912 191 940 577 950017 931 549 880 741 796780 825886 850 447 668668 767 682 741 331 890 232 899 678 908822
Males ................................................... Females ...............................................
Aw dlrtrikttlon
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage a p j 514 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percent*@ Boor over Percentage aged 65 w wer Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of mwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................
6.3 14.6 18.0 12.4 8.8 1.5 55.3 33.4
6.9 12.8 15.5 14.0 9.6 1.8 54.1 35.4
7.3 12.4 13.5 16.3 10.8 2.2 51.O 38.5
7.3 13.3 11.9 17.9 12.8 2.5 46.2 37.4
7.0 13.9 11.6 20.3 14.2 2.8 42.6 38.6
6.5 13.8 12.6 23.4 16.3 3.4 42.1 39.8
6.1 13.1 13.4 25.8 19.0 4.3 41.8 40.5
6.2 12.3 13.4 26.4 21 .o 4.8 40.9 40.7
6.8 12.1 12.8 26.8 21.2 5.7 40.4 40.0
6.8 12.5 12.0 27.5 21.3 6.8 40.1 39.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatknchangeperyear(thowan&). popl(atiar growth rate (per cent)............ CNde bitth rate (per 1,ooOpOpUlatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO populetbn) Net migration rate (per 1 .ooO poplatkn) Total fertility (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
10763 0.70 14.3 7.2 -0.2 1.93 0.86
11890 0.74 15.2 7.6 -0.2 2.12 0.95
11886 0.71 15.3 8.0 -0.1 2.27 1.02
9957 0.58 14.4 8.5 -0.1 2.30 1.04
7181 0.41 13.3 9.1 -0.1 2.30 1.05
4594 0.26 12.5 9.8 -0.1 2.31 1.06
3591 0.20 12.6 10.5 -0.1 2.32 1.07
3695 0.20 13.4 11.2 -0.1 2.32 1.08
3717 0.20 13.8 11.7 -0.1 2.32 1.09
2030
2035
2040
2045
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
PopuMlon (thousands)
. ..
Fmaks ............................................... dlrtrlbution Percehtegeaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5 14 .......................... Pefwntage &pd 15-24 ...... Pefwntage aged 80 or wer .. ...... Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage ac+sd 80 or over Perceotage d mwnen aged 1549 Mc&n age (years) .................................
.........
.................. .........
2010
2020
2015
2025
2050
1522472 1548164 1582929 1567792 1585088 1550498 1521173 1477495 1421940 1 357942 781 141 793589 800042 801228 798446 789309 772553 748564 718766 685 082 741 331 754 574 762 887 766 583 766 840 781 188 748 820 728 931 703 174 672860 6.3 14.6 16.0 12.4 8.8 1.5 55.3 33.4
5.2 13.1 15.7 14.2 9.7 1.9 55.1 36.0
4.7 11.2 14.1 17.0 11.4 2.3 53.3 38.2
4.5 9.8 12.8 19.4 13.8 2.7 49.7 40.2
4.4 9.2 11.1 22.6 15.8 3.1 45.8 42.3
4.1 8.9 9.9 26.8 18.7 3.9 43.6 44.4
3.8 8.7 9.4 30.6 22.5 5.1 41.3 46.7
3.4 8.2 9.3 32.5 25.9 5.9 38.4 48.7
3.2 7.6 9.3 34.6 27.4 7.3 36.4 50.5
3.2 7.1 8.9 37.7 29.1 9.3 34.6 52.0
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202(12025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 20402045 20452050 Populalion change per year (thousands). Population growth rale (per cent) ............
5 138 0.34
. ...........
10.7 7.2 -02 1.43
Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopuiatkn) .. Net migralim rale @er 1 .ooOpopulation) Total !&My (children per wanan) Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
0.64
2 953 0.19 9.8 7.7 -0.2 1.32 0.59
973 0.06 9.1 8.3 -0.2 1.27 0.57
- 541 -0.04 8.9 9.1 -0.1 1.30 0.59
-2918 -0.19 8.4 10.1 -0.1 1.30 0.59
-5885
-0.38 7.6 11.3 -0.1 1.31 0.80
-8736 -0.58 6.9 12.6 -0.1 1.32 0.61
- 1 1 111 -0.77 6.4 14.0 -0.1 1.32 0.61
-12800 -0.92 6.3 15.3 -0.2 1.33 0.82
E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTV VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populallon(thouwnb.)
Total .................................................... 1522472 1560626 1594830 1820268 1632260 1829764 1615201 1591124 1557901 1515325 Males ................................................... 781 141 800 244 817 074 629 230 834 266 631 529 822 588 808 894 790 803 768 292 Females ............................................... 741 331 780 382 777 757 791 MB 797 995 798 235 792 635 702 230 787 096 747 033 MeGan age (years) .................................. 33.4 35.8 37.4 39.1 40.8 42.9 44.8 46.2 47.3 47.9
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202wO25 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Pophtion growM rate (per cent)............. CN6e Utth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population)
..
0.50
12.3 7.2
0.43 12.1 7.7
0.32 11.5 8.2
0.15 10.4 8.8
-0.03
9.5 9.7
United Nations Department of Eccxlomic and Social NfaindPopulation Division W u M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: m e h t m s k e Tables
-0.18 9.0 10.7
-0.30 8.9 11.8
-0.42 8.8 12.9
-0.55
8.5 14.0
71
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (*)
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 511 449 Males ................................................... 264 683 Females ............................................. 246 766 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 107.3 Age distribution 14.6 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 23.2 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.7 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 49.1 Median age (years) ................................. 21.2 Population density (population per sq km) 47
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
561 299 290 865 270 434 107.6
622 306 322 788 299 519 107.8
694 619 360 514 334 105 107.9
777 432 403 489 373 943 107.9
872 819 452 872 419 947 107.8
981 920 508 967 472 953 107.6
16.5 22.6 18.7 5.5 3.5 0.4 48.6 20.6 52
16.5 24.2 17.9 5.5 3.3 0.4 47.2 20.0 58
16.3 25.7 17.3 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.2 19.4 64
15.9 25.7 18.5 5.6 3.4 0.3 46.6 19.0 72
15.5 25.3 19.6 5.6 3.5 0.3 47.2 19.3 81
15.3 24.9 19.6 5.7 3.6 0.4 47.6 19.7 91
1985
1990
1 106 852 1 242 969 573 164 643 032 533 688 599 937 107.4 107.2 15.1 24.5 19.4 5.9 3.7 0.4 47.9 20.1 103
14.6 24.4 19.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 48.3 20.5 115
1995
1 382 701 1516 156 714 474 782 342 668 228 733 814 106.9 106.6 13.7 24.3 19.1 6.4 4.0 0.5 49.1 21.0 128
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 1645790 1777379 Males ................................................... 847660 913665 Females ............................................... 798 130 863 694 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 106.2 105.8 Age distribution 11.3 10.7 Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... 22.2 20.5 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ 20.0 19.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.7 5.0 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 0.7 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 13.3 12.3 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.7 6.1 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 6.4 6.2 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.8 11.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 52.0 53.0 Median age (years) ................................ 23.2 24.5 Population density (population per sq km) 153 165
1908136 2032724 2145999 2246028 2333798 2413132 979062 1040997 1096849 1145628 1187919 1225795 929 074 991 727 1 049 150 1 100 400 1 145 879 1 187 337 105.4 105.0 104.5 104.1 103.7 103.2 10.1 19.3 18.9 8.5 5.4 0.9 11.7 5.7 5.7 11.4 53.3 26.0 177
9.3 18.5 17.7 9.6 6.2 1.0 11.1 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.3 27.6 188
8.5 17.5 17.0 10.8 7.2 1.1 10.5 5.3 5.2 10.1 53.3 29.3 199
7.8 16.4 16.6 12.1 8.2 1.3 9.8 5.0 5.0 9.9 53.0 31.0 208
7.3 15.1 16.0 13.5 9.3 1.6 9.0 4.7 4.8 9.6 52.2 32.6 216
2481494 1258107 1 223 387 102.8
7.0 14.1 15.1 15.1 10.5 2.0 8.4 4.3 4.4 9.1 50.8 34.2 224
6.7 13.5 14.1 17.0 11.8 2.4 8.1 4.1 4.1 8.5 49.1 35.7 230
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 26 318 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 40 813 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 13 827 Net migration peryear (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 669 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1.54 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 23.8 C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. 8.1 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . -0.4 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 2.88 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.23 Infant mortality rate (per 1,OM) live births) 58 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 82 Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) 63.1 Males ................................................... Females .............................................. 66.1 Both sexes combined ............................ 64.5
26 151 40 915 14 093 . 671 1.42 22.2 7.6 -0.4 2.64 1.15 52 72
24 918 40 105 14 497 . 691 1.27 20.4 7.4 -0.4 2.44 1.08 47 64
64.8 68.0 66.3
66.3 69.8 68.0
22 655 38 450 15 104 691 1.09 18.4 7.2 -0.3 2.26 1.01 42 58
-
67.7 71.4 69.5
20 006 36 636 15 939 691 0.91 16.7 7.3 -0.3 2.12 0.96 38 52
17 554 35 313 17 068 691 0.77 15.4 7.5 -0.3 2.01 0.92 35 46
15 867 35 012 18 454 . 691 0.67 14.8 7.8 -0.3 1.98 0.91 31 41
68.9 72.8 70.8
70.1 74.1 72.0
71 1 75.2 73.1
-
-
.
13 672 34 355 19 992 . 691 0.56 14.0 8.2 -0.3 1.95 0.90 28 36
10 903 33 205 21 611 691 0.44 13.2 8.6 -0.3 1.93 0.89 25 33
72.1 76.2 74.1
73.0 77.2 75.0
2000
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
12.3 23.7 19.6 6.7 4.4 0.5 50.7 22.0 141
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. 1645790 1793286 1952109 2114432 2268000 2414171 2558013 2704908 2850451 Males ................................................... @47 660 921 928 1 001 848 1 083 322 1 160 021 1 232 852 1 303 898 1 376 632 1 448 731 Females ............................................... 798 130 871 358 950 261 1 031 110 1 107 978 1 181 519 1 254 115 1 328 277 1 401 720 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 11.3 11.5 11.3 10.8 9.9 9.2 8.8 8.6 8.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 22.2 20.3 16.4 16.1 19.7 19.8 18.5 17.2 19.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.0 19.7 18.5 17.0 16.8 17.2 16.3 15.3 17.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.4 8.3 9.2 10.2 11.2 12.3 13.5 14.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.7 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.8 7.6 8.5 9.3 10.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 1 .0 1.2 1.8 2.0 0.7 0.9 1.5 0.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.0 52.6 52.1 51.3 51.1 51.2 50.8 49.8 48.6 Median age (years) ................................ 23.2 24.3 25.4 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.5 30.6 31.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
29 499 1.72 25.7 8.2 -0.4 3.13 1 .34
31 765 1.70 25.1 7.7 .0.4 3.04 1.32
32 465 1.60 23.7 7.4 -0.3 2.94 1 .30
30 714 1.40 21.4 7.1 -0.3 2.76 1.24
29 234 1.25 19.8 7.0 .0.3 2.62 1.18
28 768 1.16 18.9 7.1 -0.3 2.51 1.14
29 379 1.12 18.7 7.2 -0.3 2.47 1.14
29 108 1.05 18.2 7.4 .0.2 2.45 1.13
27 748 0.95 17.4 7.6 -0.2 2.42 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1645790 1760698 1862348 1948224 2020792 2076172 2112971 2134269 2139290 Males ............................................... 847 660 905 046 955 347 997 245 1 032 040 1 057 746 1 073 727 1 08l 677 1 081 355 Females ............................................... 798 130 855 652 907 002 950 980 988 752 1 018 426 1 039 244 1 052 592 1 057 935 Age distrlbutlon 9.9 Percentage aged 0-4............................ 11.3 8.7 7.7 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.2 4.8 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 22.2 20.7 18.9 17.0 13.9 12.7 11.5 10.5 15.3 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.0 20.0 18.5 17.3 15.7 14.4 13.4 12.4 19.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.0 7.6 8.7 10.0 11.5 13.1 14.9 17.1 19.8 Percentage aged 65 or over 4.7 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.6 8.9 10.3 11.8 13.7 Percentage aged 80 or over 0.6 0.8 0.9 1 .0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.0 53.5 54.6 55.6 55.7 55.2 53.7 51.6 49.1 Median age (years) 23.2 24.8 33.3 35.7 38.0 40.3 26.7 28.8 31 0
.................. ..................
.
.................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
22 982
1.35 21.9 8.0 -0.4 2.63 1 .12
20 330 1.12 19.2 7.6 -0.4 2.24 0.97
17 175 0.90 16.7 7.3 -0.4 1.94 0.85
14 513 0.73 15.0 7.4 -0.3 1.77 0.79
1 1 076
0.54 13.3 7.5 -0.3 1.62 0.73
7 360 0.35 11.7 7.9 -0.3 1.51 0.69
4 260 0.20 10.8 8.4 .0.3 1 .46 0.68
1 004 0.05 9.9 9.1 -0.3 1.45 0.67
- 2 350 -0.11 9.1 9.9 -0.3 1.43 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 645 790 1 796 874 1 966 954 2 150 238 2 341 363 2 542 235 2 759 299 2 996 671 3 254 814 3 Males ................................................. 647 660 923 788 1 009 549 1 101 888 1 198 032 1 298 963 1 408 064 1 527 527 1 657 730 1 873 086 957 405 1 048 350 1 143 331 1 243 272 1 351 234 1 469 144 1 597 083 1 Females ............................................... 798 130 Median age (years) ................................. 23.2 24.2 25.1 25.9 26.5 26.9 27.1 27.3 27.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.76 26.1 8.2
1 .81 26.2 7.8
1.78 25.6 7.4
1.70 24.5 7.2
1.65 23.7 7.0
(') The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are comb~ned into Swth-CentralAsia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
1.64 23.6 6.9
1.65 23.7 6.9
1.65 23.7 7.0
1.64 23.6 6.9
2050
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA A ESTIMATES lndlcator Popul8tlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 k~rnaJes) Aga dlmlbutlon Percentage eged 0-4............................ Percentage 5 1 Percentageaged 80 (K war .................. Percentageaged 65 OT over .................. Percentageeged80 w o w Percentage d women a m 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. popllatim density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
lss0
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2Ooo
178 149 88 894 88455 99.1
197821 98650 99171 99.5
223127 111437 111691 99.8
253087 128524 128543 100.0
288782 143472 143290 100.1
322782 181518 181247 100.2
359108 179537 179569 100.0
399266 199577 199708 99.9
440574 220240 220334 100.0
481 288 240580 240709 99.9
5199% 259871 280328 99.7
14.8 23.8 19.5
18.8 22.9 19.2 5.7 3.6 0.4 48.2 20.3 44
17.3 24.1 18.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 46.7 19.7 50
17.2
18.6 28.7 17.9 5.6 3.5
15.7 28.5 19.5 5.8 3.8 0.4 46.2 18.6 72
14.6
13.8 24.8 20.7 8.1 3.9 0.4 49.1 20.3
12.8 23.8 20.8 8.4 4.1 0.5 50.7 21.5 98
11.7 22.5 20.1 8.9 4.4 0.5 52.3 22.8 1 07
10.4 21.2 19.7 7.5 4.9 0.6 54.1 24.4 116
8.0
3.8 0.4 48.8 20.8 40
28.0
17.0 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.1 18.8 58
0.3 45.2 18.3 64
28.0
20.4 5.8 3.8 0.4 47.6 19.2 80
89
1950-1955 1955-1960 lg6Ql985 19851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1960-1985 19851980 1990-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005 Population change per year (moUsatxb) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (marsande) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.0O0populaUm) .... Crude death rate (per 1 0O0 populatbn) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.0O0 live Mrlhs) Llf.expctmcy .t blflh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both saxes cxxllbined ............................
...................
.
3934 8305 4399 2.10 44.2 23.4 5.96 1.82 189
5 081 9 479 4443 2.41 45.0 21.1 6.15 1.99 151
38.8 42.0 40.9
42.7 45.1 43.9
5988
7289 11 725 4202 2.13 34.4 12.3 4.84 1.89 91
8036 12 122 3 879 2.12 32.0 10.2 4.18 1.72 75
8 258 12 189 3 709 1.97 29.0 8.8 3.81 1.54 81
8 143 11 982
8.03 2.17 118
7200 1 1 836 4303 2.37 38.2 14.1 5.58 2.09 105
48.3 51.3 49.7
50.7 54.1 52.3
53.6 57.1 55.3
58.8 80.8 58.7
6 739 11 146 4382 2.50 41.3 18.2
to 442
4 453 2.52 43.9 18.7 8.19 2.11 134 45.4 48.0 46.7
7.8 3.12 1.37 51
7 742 11 418 3 518 1.55 22.8 7.0 2.71 1.22 41
7535 1 1 470 3811 1.40 21.3 6.7 2.51 1.15 33
59.8 67.7 81.7
62.2 66.3 64.2
64.3 69.0 66.6
66.0 71.0
3604 1 .77
28.0
68.5
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 1524 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or o w .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or o w r .................. Percentege in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school a@m12-14.......... Percentage in school eges 1517 Percentage in school ages 1E23 .......... Percentage of m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2w5
2050
557 689 270 101 279 588 99.5
584 214
658 591 327 641 330 949 99.0
086 251
710 802 352803 357 798
99.3
626038 312 683 315 375 99.1
98.6
731 148 382553 388 595 98.4
747 254 370 050 377 203 98.1
759 054 375 490 383563 97.9
766 81 1 378 947 387 884 97.8
9.2 18.1 18.3 8.7 5.8 0.9 10.9 5.4 5.5 11.0 54.7 27.7 132
8.5 17.3 17.1 10.0 8.4 1.1 10.4 5.2 5.1 10.3 53.8 29.4 140
7.8 18.3 16.2 11.7 7.8 1.2 9.7 4.9 5.0 9.8 52.9 31.2 147
6.9 14.2 14.9 15.7 10.7 1.6 8.5 4.3 4.4 9.0 50.3 34.6 158
8.8 13.5 14.1 17.8 12.5 2.1 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.5 48.8 38.2 163
6.3 13.0 13.4 19.8 14.2 2.7 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.1 48.8 37.8 166
8.1 12.5 12.9 21.8 15.9 3.4 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.8 45.3 39.0 1 69
5.8 12.1 12.8 23.7 17.8 4.1 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.8 44.2 40.2 171
9.9 19.5 19.2 8.0 5.4 0.8
11.6 8.0 5.9 11.4 54.8 28.0
124
298064 298 150
341 087 345 164 98.8 7.3 15.2 15.7 13.6 9.1 1.4 9.0 4.7 4.7 9.4 51.7 32.9 153
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-20(0 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thousanbs) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousande) ................... Net mQration per year (thousands) Population g& rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1 0O0 pophlkm) Crude death rate (per 1.0O0 pqudation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 0O0 pqudation) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant moctalii rate (per 1 OOO live Mms) urtcbr-h nwtaliity (per 1.000I i births) Llf. .xp.ctm cy .t Mm 1-( Males ................................................... Females ............................................... b l h sexes comMned ............................
.
......... ....
.
.
74
7309 1 1 317 3688 -320 1.27 19.7 8.4 -0.8 2.33 1.08 27 35 68.0 72.9 70.4
8 785 10 973 3858 -350 1.11 18.0 6.3 -0.6 2.18 1.01 23 29 89.5
74.4 71.9
8 111 10 549 4094
5532
10 291 4 415
4 870 10 053 4838
-344
-344
18.4 8.4 -0.5 2.03 0.98 20 25
0.82 15.3 8.6 -0.5 1 .98 0.94 17 21
0.70 14.4 8.9 -0.5 1.93 15 18
4 109 9830 5 377 -344 0.57 13.6 7.5 -0.5 1.90 0.91 13 16
70.8 75.7 73.3
72.0 78.9 74.4
73.0 77.9 75.5
73.9 78.8 78.3
-344 0.95
0.92
3 221 9 581 5sm
12 14
2380 9 322 8 617 -344 0.31 12.4 8.8 -0.5 1.88 0.89 11 13
1511 9 078 7 221 -344 0.20 11.9 9.5 -0.5 1.88 0.89 10 12
74.7 79.8 77.2
75.5 80.3 77.9
78.2 80.9 78.6
-344 0.44 12.9 8.1 -0.5 1.87
0.89
United Nations Department of Economic and Sodal Affairslpopulation DMsion W o M Popuhtion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 557 669 Males ......................... ...................... 278 101 Females ............................................... 279 568 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 9.9 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 19.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.8 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 54.8 Median age (years) ................................. 26.0
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
600 119 299 079 301 040
643 783 320 702 323 082
686 899 342 096 344 803
727 399 362 101 365 298
765 716 380 954 384 761
802 857 399 187 403 670
839 097 416 981 422 116
874 193 434 337 439 856
907 131 450 776 456 355
10.1 18.0 18.2 8.6 5.8 0.9 54.2 27.4
9.8 17.8 16.7 9.7 6.3 1 .0 52.6 28.7
9.3 17.9 15.5 11.2 7.2 1.2 50.8 29.9
8.7 17.4 15.6 12.9 8.5 1.3 49.6 31 .0
8.3 16.5 15.9 14.6 10.0 1.5 48.8 32.0
8.1 15.7 15.6 16.2 11.4 1 .9 47.8 32.8
8.0 15.2 15.0 17.6 12.6 2.4 46.6 33.4
7.9 15.1 14.3 18.9 13.8 3.0 45.6 34.1
7.8 15.0 14.0 20.1 14.9 3.5 45.2 34.9
8 490 1.47 21.7 6.4 -0.6 2.58 1.20
. LOW VARIANT
D
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................. .. ............. Females ........................ ..................... Age dlstribuUon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 135 1.07 17.6 6.4 .0.6 2.08 0.97
4 801 0.80 14.9 6.3 .0.6 1.76 0.83
3 592 0.58 12.8 6.5 .0.6 1.53 0.72
2 974 0.47 12.0 6.8 .0.5 1.48 0.70
2 187 0.34 11.2 7.3 .0.5 1.43 0.68
1 129 0.17 10.3 8.1 .0.5 1 .40 0.67
. 152 .0.02 9.2 9.0 .0.5 1.37 0.65
354 .0.21 8.4 9.9 .0.5 1.36 0.65
.2 404
.1
.0.37 7.8 11.0 .0.5 1.36 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 557 669 Males .................... . . ................... 278 101 Females ............................................... 279 568 Median age (years) .......................... ....... 26.0
598 800 298 406 300 394 27.4
641 939 319 762 322 177 28.7
685 816 341 549 344 267 29.9
729 196 363 033 366 163 30.9
772 077 384 230 387 846 31.6
815 183 405 528 409 655 32.2
859 004 427 220 431 784 32.6
903 649 449 482 454 166 32.9
948 944 472 270 476 674 33.2
1.39 20.8 6.3
1.32 20.0 6.3
1.23 19.1 6.3
1.14 18.4 6.6
1.09 18.2 6.9
1.05 18.2 7.3
1.01 18.2 7.6
0.98 18.1 7.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.42 21.2 6.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN ASIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................... . . ................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ..... .. ............... Males ..................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................... ....................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... . ........................... Females ............................................. Both sexes comb~ned...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
WESTERN ASIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
212 088 108 993 103 095
234 279 120 193 114 086
258 879 132 607 126 272
284 462 145 481 138 981
309 487 158 009 151 478
333 973 170 202 163 770
358 601 182 410 176 192
383 725 194 823 188 903
409 178 207 389 201 789
11.3 21.8 19.5 6.7 4.6 0.6 52.7 23.9
11.8 20.2 18.8 6.9 4.7 0.7 52.9 24.9
11.6 19.8 17.8 7.6 4.9 0.8 52.1 25.8
11.1 20.1 16.6 8.5 5.5 0.9 50.9 26.6
10.3 19.9 16.5 9.7 6.3 0.9 50.4 27.5
9.6 19.0 17.1 11.0 7.4 1 .0 50.1 28.5
9.3 17.8 17.1 72.3 8.4 1.3 49.9 29.3
9.2 17.1 16.5 13.7 9.4 1 .6 49.2 30.1
9.0 16.8 15.6 14.9 10.5 2.0 48.3 30.9
2 074 0.70 13.2 6.3 0.1 1.71 0.81
1 580 0.52 12.0 6.9 0.1 1.63 0.78
4 438 1.99 25.8 6.0 0.1 3.25 1.48
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 582 1.62 22.0 5.9 0.1 2.75 1.25
3 416 1.43 19.5 5.5 0.3 2.40 1.11
3 094 1.21 17.4 5.4 0.2 2.11 0.99
2 853 1.06 16.0 5.5 0.1 1.95 0.92
2 506 0.89 14.6 5.8 0.1 1.81 0.86
1 102 0.36 11.1 7.6 0.1 1.58 0.75
631 0.20 10.3 8.4 0.1 1.54 0.74
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females .......................................... Median age (years) ......................... ......
212 088 108 993 103 095 23.9
234 274 120 184 114 089 24.9
259 843 133 084 126 759 25.7
288 016 147 270 140 746 26.2
318 499 162 573 155 926 26.5
351 504 179 105 172 399 26.7
387 866 197 289 190 577 26.9
428 622 217 668 210 954 26.9
474 689 240 748 233 941 26.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
1.99 25.8 60
2.07 26.0 5.6
2.06 25.8 5.4
2.01 25.2 5.2
1.97 24.8 5.2
1.97 24.9 5.3
2.00 25.3 5.4
2.04 25.9 5.6
2.08 26.4 5.6
Linited Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050 . 526 81 1 266 934 259 877 26.5
EUROPE
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... .. .......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years)
Males ...................................................
Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 731 087 Males ................................................... 351 924 Females .............................................. 379 1 W Age dlatribution 5.0 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... 10.8 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 13.9 Percentage aged 60or over .................. 20.6 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 15.9 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 3.5 Percentageof women aged 15-49......... 48.5 Median age (years) ................................. 38.9
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
........... ..........
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
736 830 354 724 382 106
743 202 357 869 385 333
749 01 1 360 857 388 154
752 266 362 623 389 643
754 357 363 826
757 482 365 681 391 802
762 864 368 888 393 976
769 848 373 132 396 716
777 168 377 700 399 468
5.9 10.1 12.6 21.7 16.1 4.2 46.5 39.9
6.2 10.9 10.9 23.1 17.0 4.5 43.8 40.9
6.1 12.1 10.2 24.7 18.2 4.9 41.6 41.6
5.8 12.3 11.0 26.3 19.7 5.0 40.5 42.4
5.9 11.4 12.4 28.5 22.3 6.3 39.2 43.3
6.3 11.5 12.0 29.0 22.9 7.1 38.3 42.7
6.5 12.1 11.5 29.4 23.3 7.8 38.2 41.6
6.6 12.7 11.5 29.5 23.6 8.2 38.9 40.8
390 531 5.7 11.9 12.2 27.5 21.2 5.6 39.9 43.1
1 149 0.16 12.0 11.7 1.3 1.70 0.81
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m e n aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
. .1 396 ............ -0.19 .... 8.6 .. 11.8 1.3 . ........... 1.20
Population change per year (thousands) Populationgrowthrate(percent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
0.58
.2 591
.3 273
.3 425
.3 656
.4 006
.0.36 7.5 12.2 1.1 1.08 0.52
.0.47 6.8 12.5 1.1 1.02 0.49
.0.50 6.7 12.9 l .2 1.06 0.51
.0.55 6.6 13.3 1.2 1.11 0.53
.0.62 6.6 14.0 1.2 1.15 0.55
.4 483 .0.71 6.4 14.8 1.3 1.19 0.57
.4 938
.5 262
.0.62 6.1 15.6 1.3 1.23 0.59
.0.91 5.9 16.4 1.4 1.26 0.61
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
731 087 351 924 379 163 38.9
729 346 350 878 378 468 40.3
724 238 348 124 376 114 41.7
716 260 344 028 372 232 43.2
706 004 338 853 367 151 44.6
693 850 332 741 361 109 46.1
679 867 325 814 354 054 47.4
663 869 318 a48 345 821 48.5
645 900 309 490 336 41 1 49.1
626 370 300 289 326 081 49.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
-0.05 10.0 l l.8
-0.14 9.6 12.1
-0.22 8.9 12.3
-0.29 8.4 12.4
.0.35 8.1 12.7
-0.41 8.0 13.2
.0.48 7.9 13.8
-0.55 7.7 14.4
-0.61 7.6 15.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EASTERN EUROPE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) 220 198 Total .................................................... Males .................................................. 98434 Females .............................................. 121 765 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 80.8 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 9.7 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 18.5 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 54.3 Median age (years) ................................. 26.4 Population density (population per sq km) 12
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
237 112 107520 129 592 83.0
253 469 116256 137 213 84.7
266 937 123517 143 419 86.1
276 415 128647 147 768 87.1
285 737 133416 152 321 87.6
294 972 178452 156 520 88.5
10.9 16.0 18.6 9.9 6.7 1 .0 53.6 27.4 13
10.6 18.5 15.8 10.3 6.8 1 .0 49.8 28.3 13
9.1 19.6 14.1 11.5 7.4 1 .1 47.7 29.2 14
7.6 18.4 16.7 13.0 8.5 1.2 49.7 30.8 15
7.9 15.6 17.9 14.5 9.6 1.3 50.3 31.2 15
8.0 14.6 16.7 14.1 10.8 1 .5 48.5 31.6 16
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.1 404
.1 456
.1 555
.1 683
.1 788
.l 819
.1 821
.1 835
.1 854
2 958 4 294 . 66 .0.48 10.0 14.6 .0.2 1.29 0.61 13 17
2 843 4 269 . 30 -0.51 9.9 14.9 .0.1 1.32 0.62 12 16
2 600 4 145 . 10 .0.56 9.3 14.8 0.0 1.37 0.65 11 15
2 319 3 992 . 10 .0.62 8.5 14.7 0.0 1.42 0.67 10 14
2 144 3 922 . 10 .0.68 8.2 14.9 0.0 1.47 0.70 10 13
2 107 3 915 . 10 -0.72 8.3 15.4 0.0 1.52 0.72 9 12
2 120 3 932 . 10 .0.74 8.7 16.1 0.0 1 .57 0.75 8 11
2 085 3 910 . 10 .0.78 8.9 16.6 0.0 1.62 0.77 8 11
1 992 3 837 . 10 -0.82 8.8 17.0 0.0 1 .BB 0.80 7 10
63.0 74.5 68.6
63.6 75.0 69.2
65.0 75.8 70.4
66.6 76.7 71.6
67.8 77.4 72.6
68.9 78.0 73.5
69.8 78.6 74.3
70.8 79.2 75.1
71.7 79.8 75.9
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EASTERN EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator PopuWon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentege aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 838 .0.28 11.9 14.6 -0.2 1.54 0.73
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.1 970
.2 302
.2 470
.2 464
.2 527
.2 622
.2 733
.2 826
.2 849
-0.67 8.1 14.6 -0.2 1.04 0.49
-0.82 7.0 15.1 .O.l 0.92 0.43
-0.91 6.2 15.3 0.0 0.87 0.41
-0.96 5.9 15.4 0.0 0.92 0.44
.1.03 5.7 15.9 0.0 0.97 0.46
.1.13 5.5 16.8 0.0 1.02 0.49
.1.25 5.4 17.8 0.0 1.07 0.51
.l.% 5.2 18.9 0.0 1.12 0.54
.1.49 5.0 19.9 .0.1 1.18 0.56
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
297 775 140046 157 729 37.5
290 438 135973 154 486 38.5
282 405 131621 150 784 39.8
273 270 126897 146 373 41.4
263 285 121882 141 403 43.5
252 716 116677 136 039 45.6
241 646 111368 130 277 47.7
229 931 105914 124 018 49.4
217 594 1C0297 117 297
.0.50 9.8 14.6
-0.56 9.4 14.9
-0.66 8.4 14.9
.0.74 7.5 14.9
.0.82 7.0 15.2
.0.90 6.9 15.8
-0.99 6.7 16.6
-1.10 6.4 17.4
.1.21 6.1 18.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WoM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
50.5
NORTHERN EUROPE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 78 093 Males .................................................. 37 863 40230 Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 94.1 Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 9.0 Percentageaged 5-14 ........................... 14.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 14.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 14.9 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 10.3 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.5 Percentage of women aged 1549 49.2 Median age (years) ................................. 33.4 43 Population density (population per sq km)
.........
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
79 635 38 518 41117 93.7
81 762 39 538 42224 93.6
84 928 41 268 43660 94.5
87 357 42 500 44857 94.7
89 011 43 363 45648 95.0
89 877 43 768 46110 94.9
90 745 44 146 46599 94.7
92 120 44 827 47293 94.8
93 177 45 346 47831 94.8
94 341 45 980 48361 95.1
8.0 16.1 13.3 15.4 10.8 1.6 47.4 33.8 44
8.1 16.1 13.8 16.2 11.2 1.8 45.9 34.3 45
8.6 15.1 15.1 17.0 11.6 1.9 45.3 33.9 47
8.2 15.9 15.0 18.2 12.6 2.1 44.7 33.5 48
7.2 16.1 14.6 19.1 13.6 2.3 44.5 33.4 49
6.4 15.0 15.6 19.4 14.5 2.6 46.0 34.0 50
6.4 13.3 15.9 20.1 14.8 3.1 47.6 35.1 50
6.7 12.7 14.6 20.3 15.3 3.5 48.1 35.7 51
6.5 13.0 13.0 20.2 15.4 3.8 47.7 36.5 51
5.9 13.1 12.5 20.4 15.5 3.9 46.8 37.7 52
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
........... ..........
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Birthsperyear(thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OM) population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) L l k expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
397 1148 973 221 0.41 11.8 10.0 2.3 1.78 0.86 5 6
371 1164 990 197 0.37 11.7 10.0 2.0 1.81 0.87 4 6
360 1176 1013 196 0.36 11.6 10.0 1.9 1.82 0.88 4 5
325 1175 1046 196 0.32 11.4 10.2 1.9 1.82 0.88 4 5
268 1153 1088 202 0.26 11.1 10.4 l.9 1.83 0.88 4 5
201 1134 1 136
76.4 81.4 79.0
77.2 82.1 79.7
77.9 82.8 80.4
78.6 83.4 81.0
79.2 84.0 81.6
W&
0.19 10.8 10.8 t.9 1.83 0.89 4 5
163 1141 l 181 202 0.15 10.7 11.1 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4
145 1158 1216 202 0.14 10.8 11.3 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4
79.9 84.6 82.2
80.4 85.1 82.8
81 0 85.7 83.4
202
.
132 1170 1240 202 0.12 10.8 11.5 1.9 1.84 0.89 3 4 81.6 86.2 83.9
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Population Prosp8cts: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
NORTHERN EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
554 0.57 13.4 10.0 2.3 2.03 0.98
626 0.62 14.1 9.8 2.0 2.21 1.07
679 0.65 14.4 9.8 1.9 2.32 1.12
638 0.60 13.9 9.8 1.8 2.32 1.12
567 0.50 13.3 10.1 1.8 2.33 1.13
580 0.53 13.3 9.9 1.8 2.33 1.12
631 0.54 13.9 10.2 l .7 2.34 1.13
716 0.60 14.5 10.2 1.7 2.34 1.13
767 0.62 14.7 10.1 1.6 2.34 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
96 370 47 131 49 239
97 563 47 836 49 727
98 149 48 202 49 947
98 343 48 338 50 004
98 387 46 371 50 016
98 180 48 258 49 921
97 555 47 935 49 620
96 488 47 400 49 088
95 016 46 677 48 339
5.7 12.3 13.1 21 .1 15.8 4.3 46.9 38.8
5.1 11.5 13.2 22.9 16.7 4.6 46.7 40.2
4.6 10.8 12.5 24.2 18.4 4.8 45.5 41.6
4.3 9.8 11.9 25.9 19.7 5.2 44.3 42.7
4.4 9.1 11.2 28.0 21.2 5.8 43.2 43.8
4.3 8.8 10.3 30.1 23.2 6.9 42.2 44.8
4.1 8.8 9.6 31.5 25.0 7.6 40.9 46.1
4.0 8.7 9.5 32.4 26.2 8.3 39.4 47.3
3.8 8.4 9.6 33.6 27.0 9.5 38.2 48.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
239 0.25 10.2 10.0 2.3 1.53 0.74
117 0.12 9.3 10.1 2.0 1.41 0.68
9 0.01 8.7 10.6 2.0 1.32 0.64
39 0.04 8.7 10.3 2.0 1.32 0.64
- 42 .0.04 8.6 11.0 2.1 1.33 0.64
-
125 .0.13 8.2 11.6 2.1 1.33 0.64
-
213 .0.22 7.9 12.1 2.1 1.34 0.65
- 294 ~0.31 7.5 12.7 2.1 1.34 0.65
-
354 .0.38 7.2 13.1 2.2 1 .34 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................... .......
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
96370 47 131 49 239 38.8
98038 48 080 49 959 40.1
99490 48 669 50 600 41.1
100826 49 613 51 213 41.7
101931 50 190 51 741 42.4
102723 50 590 52 133 43.2
103157 50 809 52 348 44.1
103299 50 894 52 405 44.9
103232 50 892 52 340 45.4
0.34 11.2 10.0
0.29 11.0 10.0
0.27 10.8 10.1
0.22 10.6 10.3
0.16 10.2 10.6
0.08 9.9 11.0
0.03 9.7 11.4
.0.01 9.7 11.8
.0.04 9.6 12.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
103014 50 834 52 184 45.7
SOUTHERN EUROPE A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
108996 52 874 56122 94.2
113588 55 339 58250 95.0
118067 57 552 60516 95.1
122979 59 947 63032 95.1
127244 62 140 65104 95.4
132564 64 748 67816 95.5
137890 67 473 70417 95.8
140512 68 729 71783 95.7
142286 69 551 72734 95.6
143858 70 281 73577 95.5
145801 71 192 74608 95.4
9.9 17.7 18.2 11.3 7.6 1.1 51.6 27.6 83
9.5 17.5 17.3 11.5 7.9 1.1 51.2 28.5 86
9.4 17.7 15.7 12.4 8.3 1.2 49.6 29.6 90
9.5 17.2 15.5 13.2 8.8 1.3 48.9 30.3 93
9.0 17.4 15.7 14.7 9.9 l .6 48.5 31 .0 97
8.5 17.3 15.4 15.6 10.9 1.7 47.7 31.4 101
7.6 16.6 16.0 15.5 11.7 1.9 47.7 32.0 105
6.5 15.5 16.4 16.8 11.7 2.2 48.0 33.2 107
5.6 13.4 16.0 18.9 13.4 2.8 48.8 35.0 108
5.3 11.9 15.1 20.5 14.9 3.3 49.5 36.5 109
5.0 10.8 13.5 22.0 16.5 3.4 48.9 38.2 111
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Tolal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
150333 73 537 76 796 95.8
152912 74 865 78 047 95.9
153940 75 413 78 527 96.0
153896 75 431 78 465 96.1
153245 75 144 78 101 96.2
152292 74 686
77 606 96.2
151201 74 138 77 063 96.2
149949 73 492 76 457 96.1
148367 72 677 75 690 96.0
5.0 10.0 11.9 22.7 17.6 4.1 5.9 3.1 3.3 7.3 48.1 39.8 114
5.0 9.8 10.8 24.0 18.2 5.0 5.9 2.9 3.1 6.6 46.4 41.4 116
4.8 10.0 10.2 25.3 19.4 5.7 6.0 3.0 2.9 6.2 44.1 43.2 117
4.5 9.9 10.0 27.1 20.6 6.2 5.9 3.1 3.0 6.0 41.8 45.0 117
4.3 9.4 10.3 29.4 22.2 6.4 5.6 3.0 3.1 6.2 39.7 46.7 116
4.3 8.9 10.3 31.9 24.4 7.2 5.3 2.8 2.9 6.3 37.8 48.2 116
4.4 8.7 9.8 34.5 26.7 7.9 5.2 2.7 2.8 6.0 36.5 49.1 115
4.5 8.8 9.3 36.4 29.0 8.9 5.3 2.6 2.7 5.7 35.7 49.5 114
4.6 9.1 9.2 37.4 30.7 10.2 5.5 2.7 2.7 5.5 35.3 49.5 113
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ... Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ..........................
United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTHERN EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
?78 0.51 11.9 9.9 3.1 1.68 0.80
585 0.38 12.0 10.3 2.1 1.88 0.90
419 0.27 11.4 10.5 1.7 2.01 0.96
268 0.17 10.7 10.8 1.7 2.06 0.99
223 0.14 10.6 10.9 1.7 2.11 1.01
281 0.17 11.2 11.2 1.7 2.15 1.03
380 0.23 12.1 11.5 1.7 2.20 1.06
419 0.25 12.7 11.8 1.6 2.24 1.08
375 0.22 12.7 12.1 1.6 2.28 1.10
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
252 0.17 8.5 9.9 3.1 1.18 0.56
. 182
. 448
. 537
. 592
. 651
. 746
.0.12 7.2 10.5 2.1 1.08 0.51
.0.30 6.3 11.1 1.8 1.01 0.49
h0.37 6.2 11.6 1.8 1.06 0.51
.0.41 6.2 12.2 1.9 1.11 0.53
.0.46 6.3 12.8 1.9 1.15 0.55
.0.54 6.2 13.6 2.0 1.20 0.58
876 .0.66 6.0 14.6 2.0 1.24 0.60
.1002
h
.0.78 5.7 15.6 2.1 1.29 0.62
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
150 333 73 539 76 794 39.8
152 506 74 658 77 848 41.5
152 921 74 891 78 030 43.4
152 169 74 545 77 624 45.3
150 682 73 829 76 854 47.3
148 727 72 855 75 872 49.0
146 383 71 663 74 720 50.3
143 564 70 211 73 353 51.2
140 134 68 445 71 689 51.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.29 9.6 9.9
0.05 8.9 10.4
.0.10 8.1 10.9
.0.20 7.6 11.3
.0.26 7.3 11.7
.0.39 7.2 12.9
.0.48 7.0 13.7
.0.59 6.7 14.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
~0.32 7.3 12.3
WESTERN EUROPE
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... S:-< ratio (males per 100 females) ........... age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popi~lationdensity (populat~onper sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage In school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
186 609 91 208 95 401 95.6 5.2 11.l 12.2 22.7 17.2 4.4 6.6 3.4 3.6 7.4 46.4 40.5 168
188 458 92 216 96 242 95.8
169 603 92 815 96 787 95.9
190 455 93 210 97 245 95.9
191 055 93 441 97 615 95.7
191 299 93 448 97 851 95.5
191 077 93 202 97 875 95.2
190 360 92 715 97 645 95.0
189 254 92 068 97 186 94 7
5.0 10.7 11.8 24.1 18.3 5.0 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.2 44.8 42.2 170
4.8 10.3 11.3 25.9 19.5 5.5 6.1 3.2 3.3 6.8 42.7 43.7 171
4.9 10.0 11.0 27.9 21.1 6.2 5.9 3.1 3.2 6.7 40.7 44.7 172
4.9 9.9 10.7 30.3 22.9 6.6 5.9 3.0 3.1 6.5 39.6 45.2 172
4.9 10.0 10.4 32.4 25.1 7.3 6.0 3.0 3.0 6.3 39.1 45.6 173
4.9 10.0 10.3 33.2 27.0 8.2 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.2 38.4 46.1 172
4.8 10.0 10.5 33.3 27.6 9.3 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.3 37.8 46.5 172
4.9 10.0 10.6 33.6 27.6 10.6 6.0 3.0 3.1 6.4 37.6 46.7 171
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Slrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net mlgrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cr~idebirth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five rnortallty (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
370 1 874 1 825 320 0.20 10.0 9.7 1.7 1.59 0.77 4 5
229 1 833 1 922 318 0.12 9.7 10.2 1.7 1.59 0.77 4 5
170 1 852 2 011 329 0.09 9.7 10.6 1.7 1.62 0.76 4 5
120 1 865 2 089 344 0.06 9.8 11.0 1.8 1.66 0.80 4 5
49 1 864 2 160 344 0.03 9.8 11.3 1.8 1.69 0.82 4 5
-44 1 850 2 238 344 -0.02 9.7 11.7 1.8 1.72 0.83 4 5
-143 1 834 2 322 344 -0.08 9.6 12.2 1.8 1.74 0.84 4 4
-221 1 830 2 395 344 -0.12 9.6 12.6 1.8 1.77 0.86 3 4
-256 1 847 2 447 344 -0.14 9.8 13.0 1.8 1.80 0.87 3 4
76.9 82.8 79.9
77.6 83.4 80.5
78.2 84.0 81 .1
78.8 84.6 81.7
79.4 85.2 82.3
80.0 85.7 82.9
80.5 86.3 83.4
81.1 86.8 84.0
81.6 87.4 84.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN EUROPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
654 0.35 11.5 9.7 1.7 1.84 0.89
682 0.36 11.9 10.0 1.7 1 99 0.96
731 0.38 12.4 10.3 1.7 2.12 1.03
667 0.34 12.2 10.5 1.7 2.16 1.04
601 0.30 12.0 10.7 1.7 2.19 1 06
582 0.28 12.1 11.0 1.7 2.22 1.07
635 0.31 12.6 11.2 1.7 2.24 1.09
726 0.34 13.2 11.4 1.6 2.27 1.10
805 0.38 13.6 11.4 1.6 2.30 1.11
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..........................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
.
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (U~ousands) Total Males Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
.................................................... ................................................... .......................... ......................... .................. ..................
.................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
84 0.05 8.5 9.8 1.7 1.34 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
186609 91 208 95 401 40.5
188364 92 168 96 196 42.2
189423 92 723 96 700 43.8
189996 92 974 97 022 44.8
190106 92 954 97 152 45.4
189684 92 619 97 065 46.0
188682 91 973 96 709 46.6
187075 91 030 96 045 47.1
184941 89 855 95 086 47.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.19 9.9 9.7
0.11 9.6 10.2
0.06 9.5 10.6
0.01 9.3 11.0
-0.04 9.1 11.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
-0.11 8.9 11.8
.0.17 8.8 12.4
-0.23 8.7 12.9
.0.27 8.7 13.3
182428 88 556 93 873 47.8
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................... ..... ....... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortal~ty(per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects; The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN C. HKiHVARlANT tndkator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
557 979 275 402 282 570
599430
843 315
687 305
295 025 303805
317 110
328205
338684 340 621
728911 359 021 389890
708749 378431 380318
807239 397 159 410080
844631 415370 429280
880407 432837 447570
914 203 449 414 464 789
10.1 19.8 18.6 9.0 6.3 1.2 53.2
10.2 18.5 17.7 8.9 0.8 1.5 52.5 27.3
10.0 18.0 16.7 11.1 7.6 1.8 51.2 28.5
9.0 18.1 15.7 12.4 8.0 1.8 49.0 29.5
9.0 17.7 15.6 13.9 9.7 2.1 48.7 30.8
8.8 18.9 15.9 15.4
8.3 16.1 15.7 16.9 12.3 2.9 47.0 32.3
8.2 15.6 15.1 18.2 13.5 3.4 46.1 33.0
8.0 15.3 14.5 19.4 14.6 3.9 45.4 33.8
7.8 15.1 14.2 20.4 15.6 4.4 44.9 34.5
popu-(~und.)
Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
Femdee ...............................................
A0.d-
peccentage aged
w ............................
Pmmiage agecl 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... percentegeaged80orover .................. percentage aged 65 or owr .................. -ge aged 80 or over .................. percenteoeofwomenaged15-49......... Medisn age (yean) ................................
26.0
11.1
2.4 47.8 31.5
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2o252030 2a30-2035 20352040 2o40-2045 20452050 Populalimch~peryear(lhousande). Rpdatiar g w h rale (per cent) ............ Cnde birth tale (per 1.OOO popdation).... Crude dealh rale @er 1 ,OOOpqwktkn) .. Net migratbnrate @er 1.ooO popdalbn) Total Milky (childrenper wanan) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per m n )
8290 1 .a
. ..........
21.8 0.0 -1.5 2.62 1 .a
8777
1.41 21.2 8.0 -1 .o
2.63 1.24
8798 1.32 20.2 6.1 -0.9 2.62 1.24
8321 1.18 18.8 6.2 4.8 2.54 1.21
7988 1.06 17.8 6.5 4.8 2.47 1.18
17.3 6.8 4.8 2.42 1.15
7478 0.91 16.9 7.2 -0.7 2.39 1.14
7155 0.83 16.5 7.6 -0.7 2.37 1.13
6759 0.75 16.1 7.9 -0.7 2.36 1.13
7898 0.98
D. LOWVARLANT
popu((thou&.) Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
Femak ............................................... dl.trlbuUon percentageaged 0-4 ............................ prncentegea@ 5-14 ..........................
15-24 ......................... percentagaaged 80 or OYer ..................
percentageaQed65orover .................. peccanlageaQed80orover percanlage of WMen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
557979 275 402 282 578
587933 289 757 293 177
612531 301 395 311 136
031884 310 287 321 396
047115 317 283
657604 321 701 335 902
662067 323 085 338 982
6605% 321 480 339 075
653343 317 063 336 280
640 881 310 110 330 772
10.1 19.8 18.6 8.0 6.3 1.2 53.2
8.5 18.8 18.0 10.1 6.9 1.5 53.5 27.8
7.3 17.1 17.5 11.0 7.9 1.7 53.7 30.0
6.5 14.8 17.1 13.5 9.3 2.0 53.8 32.2
6.0 13.1 15.8 15.7 11.0 2.3 52.9 34.5
5.5 12.0 13.9 18.0 13.0 2.8 51.1
5.0 11.2 12.5 20.0 15.0 3.5 46.9 39.2
4.5 10.3 11.6 23.3 17.2 4.3 46.6 41.6
4.1 9.4
3.8 8.7 10.4 29.1 22.2 6.3 41.7 46.3
26.0
329 852
30.8
11.1
26.2 19.7 5.3 44.3 43.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 202!52030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popUlationchangeperyear(Masande). Populationgtwth rale (per cent) ............ Cnde bw1 me (per 1,000 popdam)
....
5991 1.05 17.9
CNd,dealhrate@erl,OOOpoprletion)..
8.0
Total fettllity (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per wanan) ..........
-1.5 2.12 0.99
Ne( rn&aIim rale (per 1,OOO mlatkm) .
4920 0.82 15.4 0.1 -1.1 1 .E3 0.88
3831 0.62 13.4 6.3 -0.9 1.82 0.77
3086 0.48 12.5 0.7 4.9 1.54 0.73
2098 0.32 11.4 7.2 -0.9 1.47 0.70
893 0.14 10.1 7.9 4.9 1.42 0.08
-
302
-1442
-0.05
-0.22 8.3
9.1 8.7 -0.9 1.39 0.66
9.0 4.9 1.37
-2492 -0.39 7.7 10.7 -0.9 1.36
0.66
0.65
E. CONSlAMT-FERTILm VnRlANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
557979 275 402 282576 26.0
597587
639449
294684 302903
315 136 324313 28.7
682086 338009
724548 358 794 387754 30.7
786901 377 491 389410 31.5
809418 348 280 411139 32.2
852268 413 284 432984 32.7
895504 MO 567 454937 33.1
939225 462 221 477004 33.4
~~
w-(~und.)
Total ....................................................
Males ................................................... Females ...............................................
Median age (yearn) .................................
27.4
MO51 29.8
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202(12025 2025-2030 2a3&2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatonp w d rale ~ @er cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,ooO populaUan) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1 .ooO popllation)..
1.37 21.2 0.0
1.35 20.0 0.0
1.29 19.9 0.1
1.21 19.2 6.3
1.14 18.7 8.5
United Nations oepartmentof Economic end sodel Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Vohrme I: Conrprehensive Tables
1 .c% 18.4 6.8
1.03 18.2 7.1
0.99 18.1 7.5
0.95 18.0 7.8
89
CARIBBEAN
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
40 525 20 085 20 439 98.3
42 300 20 949 21 351 98.1
44 025 21 789 22 236 98.0
45 664 22 584 23 080 97.8
47 144 23 296 23 848 97.7
48 357 23 874 24 484 97.5
49 282 24 308 24 975 97.3
49 926 24 603 25 323 97.2
50 295 24 764 25 530 97.0
9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 11.3 5.6 5.6 10.5 52.0 28.0 173
8.9 17.9 17.3 12.0 8.5 1.8 10.7 5.3 5.3 10.4 51.8 29.5 181
8.6 16.9 16.5 13.2 9.3 2.0 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 50.4 31.0 188
8.2 16.2 15.8 14.5 10.4 2.3 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.4 48.9 32.4 195
7.7 15.6 15.1 16.7 11.6 2.6 9.4 4.7 4.6 9.0 47.7 33.6 201
7.3 15.0 14.6 18.7 13.5 3.1 9.0 4.5 4.5 8.7 47.2 34.9 206
6.9 14.3 14.3 20.5 15.3 3.6 8.5 4.3 4.4 8.6 46.4 36.3 210
6.5 13.6 13.9 21.6 16.8 4.2 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.4 45.4 37.6 213
6.3 13.0 13.4 23.1 17.7 5.1 7.8 4.0 4.0 8.1 44.5 38.8 215
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
CARIBBEAN C. HtGHVARIANT
Popul.tkn (thouundo) Total ....................................................
Meles ...................................................
.......................
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percencege aged 1524 Percentaga aQed85 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage d wwnen aged 15-49 M d a n age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
40525 20085 20439
42672 21 139 21534
45012 22293 22719
47439 23491 23949
49747 24626 25121
51 893 25680 26213
53937 26684 27253
55916 27661 28255
57811 28601 29211
59 576 29482 30093
9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 52.0 28.0
9.7 17.7 11.2 11.9 8.4 1.8 51.3 29.2
9.7 17.4 16.2 12.9 9.1 2.0 49.3 30.3
9.5 17.6 15.2 14.0 10.0 2.2 47.2 31.1
9.0 17.6 15.0 15.8 11.0 2.5 46.0 31.8
8.6 17.1 15.5 17.4 12.6 2.9 45.9 32.4
8.4 16.3 15.7 18.7 14.0 3.3 45.7 33.1
8.3 15.8 15.3 19.3 15.0 3.7 45.2 33.7
8.1 15.6 14.7 20.1 15.4 4.5 44.7 34.2
8.0 15.4 14.4 20.8 16.0 5.1 44.6 34.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
p o p u ~chance t ~ per Year)-(
'
Populationgowmrate(percent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO p0pu)atk-n) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) Total fertility (childreo par woman) ........... Net reproductionrale (per woman) ..........
.
430 1.03 20.7 7.5 -2.8 2.65 1.21
488 1.07 20.7 7.5 -2.5 2.73 1.25
485 1.05 20.3 7.4 -2.3 2.77 1.28
461 0.95 19.0 7.5 -2.0 2.70 1.25
429 0.85 18.1 7.7 -1.9 2.62 1.22
17.5 7.9 -1.8 2.55 1.20
396 0.72 17.2 8.2 -1.8 2.49 1.17
379 0.67 16.9 8.5 -1.7 2.44 1.18
353 0.60 16.5 8.8 -1.7 2.41 1.14
409 0.n
D. LOW VARIANT
Popul.t)on (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 514 ..... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or w a r
Percentagaofmnenagedl5-49
.........
Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
40 525 20 085 20439
41 924 20 757 21167
43 026 21 279 21747
43 862 21 664 22199
44 514 21 953 22562
44 831 22 072 22758
44 746 21 992 22755
44 257 21 710 22547
43 395 21 244 22151
42 193 20 613 21 580
9.5 18.9 17.7 11.1 7.8 1.7 52.0 28.0
8.1 18.0 17.5 12.1 8.6 1.9 52.2 29.8
7.3 16.4 16.9 13.5 9.6 2.0 51.5 31.7
6.7 14.6 16.4 15.1 10.8 2.4 50.9 33.7
6.3 13.3 15.1 17.6 12.3 2.8 49.6 35.6
5.8 12.5 13.6 20.2 14.5 3.3 48.7 37.5
5.3 11.9 12.6 22.5 16.8 3.9 47.1 39.5
4.8 11.0 12.0 24.4 18.9 4.7 45.3 41.6
4.4 10.1 11.6 26.7 20.6 5.9 43.5 43.8
4.1 9.3 10.9 29.4 22.6 7.1 41.5 45.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (tho Population growth rate (per Crude birth rate (per 1 ,ooO Crude death rate (per 1 .ooOpopulatkm) Net w r a t h rate (per 1 .ooOp0puIatk-n) Total fertility (children pen wunan) ........... Net reprodrate (per wunan)
.. .
280 0.68
17.1 7.5 -2.8 2.15 0.98
220 0.52 15.3 7.5 -2.6 1.93 0.88
167 0.39
14.0 7.7 -2.5 1.77 0.82
130 0.30 13.2 8.0 -2.2 1.70 0.79
63 0.14 12.1 8.5 -2.2 1.62 0.76
- 17 -0.04 10.9 9.1 -2.2 1.55 0.73
- 98 -0.22 9.8 9.8 -2.2 1.49 0.70
-
172 -0.39 8.9 10.7 -2.2 1.45 0.69
-
240 -0.56 8.3 11.6 -2.3 1.42 0.67
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
40 525
42 588 21 095 21 492 29.3
44 807 22 187 22 620 30.4
47 126 23 329 23 797 31.2
49 518 24 507 25 011 31.8
51 936 25 898 26 238 32.2
54 428 26 930 27 498 32.6
57 043 28 230 28813 32.8
59 814 29 615 30 199 32.8
62 760 31 100 31 660 32.6
20 085 20 439 28.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 PopulationgnMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO pqx4atk-n) .... Crude death rate (par 1 .ooOpopu(ation)..
0.99 20.3 7.6
1.02 20.2 7.5
1.01 20.0 7.5
0.99 19.6 7.7
0.95 19.3 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Popuktbn Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.94 19.2 8.0
0.94 19.4 8.2
0.95 19.6 8.5
0.96 19.8 8.7
91
CENTRAL AMERICA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................... ....................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
37 515 18 718 18 796 99.6
43 503 21 725 21 778 99.8
50 916 25 449 25 467 99.9
59 551 29 785 29 767 100.1
69 581 34 822 34 759 100.2
80 853 40 461 40 391 100.2
92 255 46 124 46 130 100.0
102 510 51 087 51 423 99.3
112 724 56 038 56 687 98.9
124 052 61 466 62 586 98.2
135 587 67 039 68 548 97.8
17.4 25.2 19.2 5.3 3.4 0.6 47.1 18.7 15
18.9 25.6 18.1 5.1 3.3 0.4 45.1 17.9 18
18.9 27.0 17.6 5.2 3.3 0.4 43.8 17.1 21
18.4 28.3 17.9 5.4 3.4 0.4 42.8 16.7 24
18.2 28.2 18.9 5.3 3.5 0.5 43.4 16.7 28
18.0 28.0 19.7 5.3 3.5 0.5 43.7 16.9 33
16.3 28.4 20.0 5.4 3.6 0.6 44.7 17.4 37
14.8 27.8 20.3 5.7 3.8 0.6 46.3 18.3 41
13.8 25.9 21.2 6.2 4.1 0.7 48.9 19.4 45
13.1 24.1 21.2 6.6 4.5 0.8 50.8 20.9 50
11.8 23.0 20.2 7.1 5.0 0.9 52.4 22.5 55
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ................... ..................... Both sexes combined ...........................
. . .
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ................... .... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populat~ondens~ty(population per sq km)
143 775 70 476 73 299 96.1 10.9 21.7 18.7 8.0 5.5 1.1 13.1 6.4 6.0 11.0 52.9 24.4 58
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CENTRAL AMERICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
143 775 70476 73299
155 192 75994 79198
167 364 81923 85441
179 601 87897 91703
191 205 93536 97669
202 332 98919 103414
213 021 104077 108944
223 156 108966 114190
232 590 113530 119061
241 199 117717 123482
10.9 21.7 18.7 8.0 5.5 1.1 52.9 24.4
10.9 19.9 18.4 8.8 6.1 1.3 53.1 25.7
10.5 19.1 17.7 10.0 6.8 1.5 52.6 26.9
10.0 18.9 16.5 11.2 7.8 1.6 51.1 28.1
9.3 18.3 16.1 12.6 8.9 1.9 49.7 29.5
8.9 17.4 16.1 14.2 10.1 2.2 48.7 30.8
8.6 16.5 15.8 16.2 11.5 2.7 47.7 31.8
8.3 16.0 15.2 17.8 13.1 3.1 46.7 32.8
8.1 15.6 14.6 19.0 14.4 3.6 45.6 33.8
7.8 15.2 14.3 20.1 15.4 4.2 44.9 34.7
2 283 1.53 23.4 4.9 -3.2 2.72 1.28
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage agad 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
1 668 1.13 19.4 4.9 -3.2 2.22 1.04
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
~
.
........
143775 70 476 73299 24.4
155025 75 909 79116 25.7
167400 81 941 85460 26.9
180435 88 322 92113 28.0
103604 94 759 98845 29.1
206914 101 256 105658 30.0
220562 107 924 112638 30.7
234675 114 843 119831 31.1
249317 122 064 127253 31.4
1.51 23.2 4.9
1.54 22.7 5.0
1.50 22.0 5.1
1.41 21.2 5.3
1.33 20.5 5.5
1.28 20.2 5.8
1.24 20.1 6.2
1.21 20.i 6.6
1.19 20.2 6.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
264532 129 622 134911 31.6
SOUTH AMERICA A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ............................................ 112980 Males ................................................... 56 478 Females ............................................... 56 502 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 100.0 Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 15.8 23.7 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... 18.9 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.6 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 48.2 Median age (years) ................................. 20.4 Population density (population per sq km) 6
...........
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
129684 64 880 64 804 100.1
148480 74 263 74 217 100.1
170156 85 066 85 089 100.0
192541 96 201 96 340 99.9
216240 107 968 108 272 99.7
242269 120 790 121 479 99.4
269933 134 394 135 539 99.2
297194 147 730 149 464 98.8
323230 160 385 162 845 98.5
348844 172 788 176 056 98.1
16.5
16.4 25.8 17.8 6.2 4.0 0.4 45.3 19.3 10
15.1 26.1 19.0 6.4 4.1 0.5 46.0 19.5 11
14.2 25.5 19.9 6.7 4.4 0.5 47.4 20.1 12
13.9 24.0 20.4 6.8 4.6 0.6 48.8 20.8 14
13.3 23.4 20.1 7.0 4.7 0.6 49.8 21.7 15
12.2 23.1 19.2 7.4 4.9 0.7 50.8 22.7 17
11.1 22.0 19.2 7.8 5.4 0.8 52.2 23.8 18
10.4 20.4 19.3 8.5 5.8 1.0 53.2 25.0 20
16.5 24.0 18.1 5.8 3.5 0.4 47.2 20.1 7
. 25.2
17.7 6.0 3.7 0.4 45.9 19.7 8
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~lyrate (per 1.000live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
............ ....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 373 679 Males ................................................... 184 841 Females ............................................... 188 838 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.9 Age distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ 9.8 Percentageaged 5-14.......................... 19.1 18.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.3 Percentage in school ages 6-11............ 11.5 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.7 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 5.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 11.2 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 53.4 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5 Population density (population per sq km) 21
397 740 196 540 201 200 97.7
420 700 207 669 21 3 030 97.5
441 803 217 874 223 929 97.3
460 777 226 988 233 789 97.1
477 332 234 858 242 473 96.9
491 105 241 319 249 787 96.6
502 307 246 498 255 809 96.4
510 853 250 371 260 482 96.1
9.2 18.2 17.6 10.2 7.0 1 .5 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.5 52.9 28.0 22
8.5 17.2 16.7 11.6 7.9 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.1 10.0 52.1 29.7 24
7.9 16.3 16.1 13.2 9.1 l .9 9.7 4.9 4.9 9.7 51.3 31.3 25
7.4 15.3 15.6 15.1 10.5 2.2 9.2 4.6 4.7 9.3 50.5 32.9 26
7.0 14.5 14.9 16.9 12.2 2.6 8.6 4.4 4.4 9.0 49.2 34.4 27
6.6 13.7 14.2 18.6 13.7 3.2 8.2 4.2 4.2 8.6 47.8 35.9 28
6.3 13.0 13.6 20.6 15.2 3.9 7.8 4.0 4.0 8.2 46.4 37.4 28
6.1 12.5 13.1 22.6 16.8 4.6 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.9 45.2 38.7 29
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... ................. Females ................................ ....... Both sexes combined ............................
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AMERICA C. HKiHVARUNT 2W5
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
373 679 184 841 188 838
401566 198492 203073
430939 212894 218044
480285 227 296
232969
487959 240859 247 100
514523
540 281
253833
286388
590005 280707
260891
273 884
585559 278743 286816
299298
613 428 302 215 311 213
9.8 19.1 18.7 9.2 6.4 1.3 53.4 26.5
10.0 18.0 17.4 10.1 8.9 1.5 52.4 27.7
B.8 17.7 18.3 11.3 7.7 1.6 50.9 28.9
9.4 17.8 15.5 12.7 8.7 1.8 49.3 29.8
8.8 17.5 15.5 14.3 10.0 2.1 48.5 30.9
8.4 16.7 15.8 15.7 11.3 2.4 47.7 31.7
8.2 15.9 15.6 18.9 12.5 2.9 46.8 32.4
8.1 15.5 15.1 18.3 13.5 3.4 46.0 33.0
8.0 15.2 14.5 19.5 14.6 4.0 45.4 33.8
7.8 15.1 14.2 20.5 15.6 4.4 44.9 34.5
poPuw.tlon(thwund.)
Total .................................................... Mdes ...................................................
percentagea m 0-4 ............................ percenw e(pd 514 ................ percentage e(pd 1524 petcentagea(@60 or OVBT .................. percentagea(@65orwer percentage aged 80 or OVBT pwcentege d women alpd 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
......................... .................. ..................
20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2oxb2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 5875 1.41 20.8 6.3 -0.4 2.81 1.23
5577 1.44 21.3 8.2 -0.7 2.57 1.21
populatknchangeperYW(hUMfXb3). pophtbn glum rate @er cent) ............ CNde Mrlh rale (per 1.OOO poplatbn) .... C h death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migmtkm rate (per 1,OOO poprlatbn) . Total krWty (chubenper mrruur) Net reproductkn rale (per mwnan)
.. ........... ..........
5885 1.32 19.8 8.3 -0.3 2.81 1.23
5539 1.17 18.5 8.5 -0.3 2.52 1.20
5313 1.m 17.8 6.7 -0.3 2.45 1.17
-0.3 2.37 1.13
4889 0.85 16.4 7.7 -0.3 2.36 1.13
4665 0.78 16.1 8.1 -0.2 2.35 1.13
5152 0.98 17.1 7.0 -0.3 2.39 1.14
5056 0.91 18.8 7.4
D. LOW VARIANT
poPul.tkn (Wand.) Total .................................................... Mdes ...................................................
Fanak
.................
.................
&wa?crlamon
percentage aged W ............................ Prwcantage aged 514 percantage 1524 Pmmhgeaged60orowr .................. Pmmntaga aged 65 (Y wer plercenteoe~8oorover Pmmntageofmmena(@15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
m
.......................... ......................... .................. ..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
373 678 184 841 188838
393 898
410 428 202 428
433 599
440 594
443 627
442 964
438 712
431 209
208OOO
423 260 208 421 214858
213 119 220479
218 118 224478
217 107 226521
216 239 226704
213 617 225095
209409 221 800
9.8 19.1 18.7 9.2 6.4 1.3 53.4 28.5
8.3 18.3 17.8 10.3 7.1 1.5 53.4 28.3
7.2 16.7 17.2 11.9 8.1 1.7 53.3 30.4
8.3 14.6 18.9 13.8 9.5 2.0 53.5 32.6
5.9 12.9 15.6 16.1 11.2 2.3 52.7
5.4 11.8 13.8 18.3 13.2 2.8 50.9 37.1
4.6 11.1 12.5 20.6 15.2 3.6 48.7
4.4 10.2 11.6 23.3 17.2 4.4 46.5 41.7
4.1 9.3 11.1 26.3 19.6 5.4 44.3 43.9
3.8 8.7 10.3 29.2 22.2 6.3 41.8 46.2
194 slg 199317
34.8
38.3
20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-20S 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050
pophtbnchangeperyear(ltwwmd8). pophtbn grwvth tale @er cent) ............ CNde Mh rale (per 1,OOO papulatkn) .... CNd) death rate (per 1.OOO populatkn) .. Nel m b tnrale @er 1.OOO populatbn) . Total tsrtility ( M mper mnran) ........... Net reproduction rate (pm m) ..........
4043 1.05 17.4 8.2 -0.7 2.07 0.97
3306 0.82 14.9 6.3 -0.4 1.81 0.85
2570 0.62 13.1 6.8 -0.3 1.61 0.76
2064 0.48 12.1 7.0 -0.3 1.52 0.72
1399 0.32 11.0 7.5 0.3 1.45 0.69
607 0.14 9.8 8.1
-
137 -0.N 8.9 8.9
-846 -0.19 8.2 9.8
-1500 -0.35 7.7 10.8
-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
1.39 0.87
1.37 0.66
1.36 0.65
1.35 0.65
2040
2045
2050
534 429
560 550
263 425 271 004 32.8
276 211
588 373 288 888 297 486 33.8
611 933 301 498 310 433 34.2
E. CONSTAM-FERTIUTY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
389 974 197 680 202 294
427 242 211 008 218 233 29.2
454 505 224 358 230 147
481 428 237 528 243 898 31.3
508 051 250 537
2035
~
poPu-(thowmd.) Total ....................................................
373 879 184 841 188 838 28.5
M.lee ...................................................
Femalee ............................................... MedlaIl age (years) .................................
27.8
30.3
257 514 32.1
284 340 33.3
20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2036 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Popchlkm p w i h rate @er cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per 1.OOO poplhtbn) Crude death rate @er 1,OOOpopdatbn)
.... ..
1.38 20.5 6.2
1.32 19.9 8.3
1.24 19.1 8.4
1.15 18.4 6.6
1.c% 17.8 8.8
United Nations oeparbnent of Eaw~wnicand Social Affairslpopulation Division World Populetion Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.01 17.5 7.1
0.95 17.2 7.4
0.90 17.0 7.8
0.85 16.9 8.1
95
NORTHERN AMERICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at Mrth (yenrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged W or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentagein school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
NORTHERN AMERICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..........................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 841 1.12 15.3 8.1 4.1 2.25 1.08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bidh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2 691 0.79 12.0 8.2 4.1 1.75 0.84
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
332 245 163 546 168 699 36.3
348 41 1 171 679 176 732 36.9
364 416 179 727 184 689 37.3
380 352 187 684 192 668 37.8
395 753 195 285 200 468 38.5
410 209 202 341 207 869 39.1
423 614 208 847 214 767 39.7
436 148 214 972 221 176 39.9
448 137 220 932 227 205 40.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d bilth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.95 13.5 8.1
0.90 13.5 8.2
0.86 13.3 8.3
0.79 13.1 8.5
0.72 12.7 8.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
0.64 12.5 9.2
0.58 12.5 9.7
0.54 12.4 10.0
0.52 12.4 10.1
459 983 226 952 233 032 40.2
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mMtality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percenlage aged 5-14 ........................... Percenlage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................... ........... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................
..
416 574 256 98 1.21 16.7 7.4 2.8 2.30 1.06 26 35
402 580 277 98 1.10 15.9 7.6 2.7 2.24 1.03 23 31
397 595 297 99 1.03 15.5 7.7 2.6 2.18 1.01 21 28
388 607 321 101 0.96 15.0 7.9 2.5 2.12 0.99 20 26
363 610 349 102 0.86 14.4 8.2 2.4 2.08 0.97 18 23
325 603 380 102 0.74 13.7 8.6 2.3 2.03 0.96 16 21
287 596 41 1 102 0.63 13.1 9.0 2.2 l .99 0.94 14 18
256 595 102 0.55 12.7 9.4 2.2 1.96 0.93 13 16
234 598 466 102 0.49 12.4 9.7 2.1 1.93 0.92 11 14
72.6 77.9 75.2
73.7 78.6 76.1
74.6 79.4 77.0
75.4 80.0 T7.7
76.2 80.7 78.4
77.0 81.3 79.1
77.7 81.9 79.8
78.4 82.5 80.5
79.0 83.1 81.0
441
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
33 410
16691 16 719
35 789 17889 17 900
38 300 19150 19 150
40 945 20479 20 466
43 576 21799 21 776
46 127 23078 23 049
48 615 24326 24 289
51 127 25595 25 532
53 710 26912 26 798
8.3 16.5 15.4 14.1 10.3 2.6 50.0 32.3
8.7 15.7 15.3 15.5 10.9 2.9 48.7 33.1
8.7 15.5 14.9 16.8 12.1 3.0 47.0 33.6
8.7 15.9 14.2 18.1 13.2 3.2 45.5 34.0
8.4 16.1 14.1 19.3 14.4 3.5 44.6 34.4
8.1 15.9 14.5 20.2 15.5 4.2 44.6 34.8
7.9 15.4 14.8 20.9 16.1 4.8 44.8 35.1
7.9 15.0 14.7 21 .0 16.6 5.3 44.8 35.1
7.9 14.8 14.3 21.2 16.7 5.7 44.7 35.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
476 1.38 18.4 7.4 2.8 2.55 1.17
502 1.36 18.4 7.5 2.7 2.64 1.22
529 1.34 18.4 7.6 2.5 2.68 1.25
526 1.25 17.7 7.7 2.4 2.62 1.23
510 1.14 17.0 7.9 2.3 2.57 1.21
498 1.05 16.5 8.1 2.1 2.53 1.19
502 1.01 16.4 8.3 2.0 2.49 1.18
51 7 0.99 16.4 8.5 1 .9 2.46 1.16
526 0.96 16.3 8.6 18 2.43 1.15
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
33410 16691 16719
35169 17561 17609
36697 18326 18371
38019 18975 19044
39265 19584 19681
40357 20112 20245
41193 20510 20683
41723 20759 20964
41966 20871 21095
8.3 16.5 15.4 14.1 10.3 2.6 50.0 32.3
7.1 15.9 15.6 15.8 11.1 3.0 49.5 33.6
6.4 14.6 15.6 17.5 12.6 3.1 49.0 35.1
5.9 12.9 15.2 19.5 14.2 3.4 48.9 36.6
5.8 11.9 14.1 21.5 15.9 3.9 47.9 38.0
5.6 11.5 12.7 23.1 17.7 4.8 47.0 39.5
5.3 11.3 11.8 24.6 19.0 5.6 45.8 41 .0
4.9 10.9 11.6 25.8 20.4 6.5 44.7 42.5
4.5 10.3 11.6 27.1 21.3 7.3 43.5 43.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
356 1.04 15.0 7.4 2.9 2.05 0.94
302 0.84 13.3 7.6 2.7 1.84 0.85
264 0.71 12.3 7.9 2.7 1.68 0.78
249 0.65 12.0 8.2 2.6 1.62 0.76
218 0.55 11.6 8.7 2.6 1.58 0.74
167 0.41 10.8 9.2 2.5 1.53 0.72
106 0.26 9.9 9.8 2.5 1.50 0.70
49 0.12 9.1 10.4 2.4 1.46 0.69
4 0.01 8.6 11.0 2.4 1.43 0.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 33 410 Total .................................................... Males .............................................. 16 691 Females ............................................... 16719 Median age (years) ................... . . ........ 32.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.28 17.4 7.5
35 615 17 800 17815 33.2
37 887 18 939 18948 34.0
40 272 20 135 20137 34.5
42 759 21 383 21376 34.9
45 302 22 659 22643 35.2
47 903 23 968 23935 35.5
50 610 25 341 25269 35.6
53 490 26 817 26673 35.4
1.24 17.3 7.6
1.22 17.4 7.8
1.20 17.5 7.9
1.16 17.4 8.1
1.12 17.4 8.4
1.10 17.6 8.6
1.11 17.9 8.8
1.13 18.3 8.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................... ................... Males .................................................. Females ................................. . ........ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
. .
19%)
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
10127 5103 5024 101.6
11337 5732 5605 102.3
12648 6387 6262 102.0
14153 7125 7029 101.4
15548 7823 7725 101.3
16708 8376 6332 100.5
17751 6858 8893 99.6
18916 9425 9491 99.3
20284 10108 10176 99.3
21745 10804 10941 98.8
22993 11391 11602 98.2
11.0 16.0 14.6 12.6 8.3 1.1 49.6 30.2
10.9 18.5 13.2 12.5 8.5 1.2 47.5 29.9
10.9 19.7 14.0 12.2 8.5 1.2 46.4 29.2 2
10.5 19.7 16.2 12.1 8.4 1.4 46.6 27.8 2
9.7 19.7 17.5 12.3 8.4 1.4 47.4 27.2 2
9.3 18.7 17.5 12.8 8.7 1 .5 48.3 27.7 2
7.8 17.6 17.6 13.8 9.7 1.7 49.6 29.2 2
7.8 15.9 17.2 14.5 10.2 1.8 51.4 30.4 2
7.5 14.7 16.3 15.4 11.1 2.2 52.6 32.0 3
7.3 14.4 15.0 15.7 11.8 2.6 52.1 33.5 3
6.7 14.3 13.7 16.4 12.3 2.9 50.7 35.2 3
1
1
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ..........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
. . .
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 407 12 117 12290 98.6
25 647 12 747 12900 98.6
26 854 13 353 13501 98.9
28 033 13 942 14091 98.9
29 157 14 501 14656 98.9
30 182 15 006 15176 96.9
31 076 15 443 15635 98.8
31 867 15 831 16036 98.7
32 582 16 190 16392 98.8
33 250 16 531 16719 98.9
6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 6.0 4.2 4.2 8.4 49.5 36.5 3
6.2 12.5 13.8 19.6 14.0 3.9 7.4 3.9 4.1 8.3 48.1 37.8 3
6.1 12.1 13.1 21.6 15.8 4.1 7.2 3.6 3.7 8.0 46.2 39.0 3
6.0 11.9 12.3 23.6 17.6 4.4 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.4 44.6 39.8 3
5.9 11.7 11.9 25.6 19.4 5.0 7.1 3.5 3.5 7.2 43.1 40.7 4
5.7 11.6 11.8 27.0 21.2 6.1 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 42.5 41.5 4
5.5 11.4 11.8 28.3 22.4 7.1 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.1 41.9 42.3 4
5.4 11.1 11.7 28.9 23.4 8.0 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 41.3 43.0 4
5.4 10.9 11.6 29.5 23.8 8.8 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.7 43.3 4
5.4 10.9 11.4 30.2 24.3 9.3 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.9 40.4 43.5 4
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.WO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... ........................ Females ...................... ... ................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALIAbJEW ZEALAND C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Populrtlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .... Females ........................... Age dlstrlbulon Percentage aged 0-4 ..__. Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over ....... Percentage aged 65 or over ....... Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i age (years) ...............................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 407 12 117 12 290
25 860 12 858 13 003
27 414 13 640 13 774
29 042 14 480 14 582
30 619
32 106 15 993 16 113
33538 16 706 16 832
35005 17 442 17 563
36 552 18 227 18 325
38 158
15 251 15 368
6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 49.5 36.5
6.9 12.4 13.7 19.5 13.9 3.9 47.7 37.5
7.2 12.6 12.9 21.2 15.5 4.0 45.3 38.2
7.3 13.4 11.9 22.8 17.0 4.3 43.1 38.4
7.1 13.8 12.0 24.4 18.5 4.8 41.8 38.8
6.8 13.7 12.8 25.4 19.9 5.8 41.7 39.1
6.7 13.3 13.3 26.2 20.7 6.6 41.8 39.3
6.9 13.0 13.3 26.3 21.3 7.3 41.7 39.0
7.1 13.1 12.8 26.3 21.2 7.9 41.5 38.4
7.2 13.4 12.5 26.3 21.2 8.1 41.6 38.2
19 051 19 108
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 M35-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationchange per year (thcusanbs). Populationgmwth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Nel migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
290 1.16 14.2 7.0 4.4 2.07 1.00
311 1.17 14.8 7.2 4.1 2.25 1.08
326 1.15 15.0 7.4 3.9 2.35 1.14
315 1.06 14.5 7.6 3.7 2.35 1.13
297 0.95 13.9 7.9 3.5 2.35 1.14
288 0.87 13.7 8.3 3.4 2.35 1.14
293 0.86 14.0 8.7 3.2 2.35 1.14
0.87 14.5 8.9 3.1 2.35 1.14
321 0.86 14.6 9.0 2.9 2.35 1.14
309
D. LOW VARIANT
Popuhtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
........................................... aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24407 12117 12290
25434 12638 12796
26292 13065 13228
27024 13424 13599
27692 13749 13943
28259 14019 14240
28672 14209 14464
28909 14313 14596
28977 14339 14638
28 921 14 310 14 611
6.3 13.5 13.9 17.6 12.9 3.5 49.5 36.5
5.4 12.7 13.9 19.8 14.1 3.9 48.5 38.1
4.9 11.5 13.4 22.1 16.2 4.2 47.1 39.8
4.6 10.2 12.8 24.5 18.3 4.6 46.2 41.2
4.5 9.5 11.8 27.0 20.5 5.3 44.0 42.6
4.5 9.2 10.6 28.9 22.6 6.5 43.4 44.0
4.3 9.2 10.0 30.7 24.2 7.7 41.9 45.3
4.1 9.0 9.8 31.8 25.8 8.8 40.5 46.7
3.9 8.7 9.9 33.2 26.8 9.9 39.2 47.9
3.7 8.3 9.8 34.7 27.9 10.7 38.2 49.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~
Populationchange per year (lhousands) . Populationgrowth rale (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralion rale (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
205 0.82 10.9 7.1 4.4 1.57 0.76
172 0.86 9.8 7.4 4.3 1.45 0.70
146 0.55 9.2 7.8 4.1 1.35 0.65
134 0.49 9.1 8.2 4.0 1.35 0.65
114 0.41 8.9 8.8 3.9 1.35 0.65
83 0.29 8.6 9.5 3.9 1.35 0.65
47 0.16 8.1 10.3 3.8 1.35
0.65
-
14 0.05 7.6 11.0 3.8 1.35 0.65
11 4.04 7.3 11.5 3.8 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITVVARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2wo
2045
2050
24407 12 117 12 290 36.5
25619 12 733 12 886 37.9
26777 13 313 13 463 39.1
27894 13 871 14 023 40.0
28949 14 3% 14 554 40.9
29899 14 861 15 038 41.9
30720 15 260 15 460 42.8
31424 15 604 15 820 43.5
32038
32588
15 910 16 127 44.0
16 192 16 396 44.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
0.97 12.4 7.1
0.88 12.0 7.4
0.82 11.8 7.6
0.74 11.5 7.9
0.65 11.1 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.54 10.8 9.0
0.45 10.5 9.5
0.39 10.4 10.0
0.34 10.4 10.4
101
MELANESIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) .. ............. Males ................................ Females ........................................ .. Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MELANESIA C. HIQHVARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7820 3 970
8063
11409 5m
13 350 0 754
5163
5838
12 381 0 281 6 120
14 310 7 248 7084
15 268 7 738 7527
10212
5289
3844
9 531 4 827 4 704
10452
4396 4209
14.2 25.2 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.9 20.2
13.4 24.0 19.0 4.8 2.9 0.3 51.1 20.9
12.8 23.4 20.2 5.3 3.2 0.4 51.5 21.7
12.4 22.4 20.0 0.0 3.6 0.4 51.5 22.7
11.9 21.7 19.2 0.8 4.1 0.5 51.4 23.0
11.3 21.2 18.0 7.5 4.8 0.0 51.5 24.5
10.8 20.5 18.3 6.3 5.3 0.7 51.8 25.4
10.2 19.7 18.1 9.0 0.0
9.8 18.8 17.7 9.7 0.5 1 .o 51.8 27.3
9.5 18.2 17.2 10.5 7.0 1.2 51.2 28.3
popuiaion (thouunda)
Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Ago dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of m n aged 15-09 ......... Median age (years) .................................
6 590
0.8
52.0 28.3
8228
7984
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2o20-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 popllationchange per year (thousands). popllation gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,OOO populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatbn) . TOM fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
169 2.05 30.2 9.0 -0.7 3.88 1 .El
1 74 1.91 28.4 0.7 -0.7 3.64 1.57
184 1.84 27.4 8.4 -0.0 3.45 1.50
192 1.75 28.1 8.2 -0.4 3.22 1.42
194 1 .64 24.7 8.0 -0.3 3.05 1.35
im -0.3 2.90 1.30
192 1.39 22.0 7.8 -0.3 2.78 1.26
191 1.29 21 .o 7.8 -0.3 2.68 1.22
2.59 1.18
I .51 23.2 7.9
189 1.20 20.1 7.9 -0.3
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thouunda) Total ....................................................
...........................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2wo
2035
2040
2045
2050
7820 3 970
8 513 4 310 4 197
9 115 4 612 4503
9084 4882 4782
10203 5148
10898
11103
11 682
5595 5509
11396 5741
11583
5393 5305
5835
5655
5747
5885 5796
11.9 25.0 20.0 4.9 3.0 0.3 52.0 21.3
10.4 22.8 21.1 5.0 3.4 0.4 53.8 22.9
9.5 19.9 21.0 0.5 3.9 0.4 55.7 24.6
9.1 18.0 20.0 7.6 4.6 0.5 55.9 26.5
0.2 14.1 15.0 12.8 8.5 1.3 53.9 34.3
5.7 12.7 14.9 14.0 9.8 1.0 52.1 36.1
3844
Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentege aged 60 or w e r .................. Percentage aged 65 orwer Percentaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m n aged 15-09 ......... Median age (years) .................................
14.2 25.2 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.9 20.2
5055
8.0 17.1 17.7 8.7 5.5 0.0 55.7 28.5
7.8 16.5 16.3 10.0 0.4 0.8 55.2 30.5
6.9 15.5 15.8 11.2 7.5 1 .o 54.8 32.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2wo-2045 20452050 Population change par year (lhouw&). Populatkn g r w l h rate (pec cent) Crude Mrlh rate @er 1 ,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulatbn) . Total fertiliiy (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............
139 1.70 28.5 8.8 -0.7 3.38 1.43
120 1.37 22.9 8.0 -0.7 2.84 1.22
110 1.17 20.7 8.4 -0.0 2.45 1.07
108 1.09 19.8 8.5 -0.4 2.23 0.98
99 0.95 18.4 8.0 -0.4 2.05 0.91
81 0.74 10.5 8.7 -0.4 1.91 0.85
58 0.52 14.5 8.9 -0.4 1.79 0.81
37 0.33 12.9 9.3 -0.3 1.68 0.70
20 0.17 11.8 9.8 -0.3 1.59 0.73
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (lhouunda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years)
.................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7 820 3976 3844 20.2
8 730 4428 4302 20.7
9 751
10 913 5528 5366
12 229 6193
13 701
4990
0038
0758 21.7
15 352 7788 7584 21.8
17 219 8750 8469 21.9
19 337 9645 9492 22.0
21 740 11091 10649 22.1
4811 21.1
21.5
21.7
0943
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 204&?045 20452050 popllation growth rate (par cent) ............. Crude bilth rate (per 1,OOO popdatkn) Crude death rate (per 1.OOO poprlatkn) ..
....
2.20 31.8 9.1
2.21 31.0 8.8
2.25 31.5 8.5
2.28 31.3 8.2
2.27 30.8 7.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revkkm, Volume I: Cwehensive Tables
2.28 30.5 7.5
2.30 30.4 7.2
2.32 30.3 0.9
2.34 30.3 6.7
103
MICRONESIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
538 267 271
581 288 293
627 311 317
678 336 343
729 360 368
11.1 20.9 16.9 6.3 4.3 0.7 55.2 24.7
11.2 20.0 18.4 7.2 4.5 0.7 54.3 25.5
11.0 19.5 17.9 8.6 5.3 0.7 53.1 25.9
10.7 19.4 17.1 9.9 6.4 0.8 51.8 26.6
10.1 19.1 16.8 11.3 7.5 0.9 51.4 27.6
2035
2040
2045
384 393
825 407 418
672 430 442
918 452 466
9.5 16.5 16.9 12.7 8.7 1.3 51.3 28.4
9.2 17.7 16.9 13.3 9.7 1.7 51.0 29.2
8.9 17.0 16.5 13.9 10.3 2.1 50.5 30.0
8.7 16.5 15.9 14.8 10.7 2.4 49.9 30.6
2030
m
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
538 267 271
569 282 287
595 294 301
619 305 314
641 315 326
658 323 336
671 326 343
676 329 347
676 328 348
11.1 20.9 18.9 6.3 4.3 0.7 55.2 24.7
9.3 20.4 18.8 7.4 4.6 0.7 55.4 26.0
8.1 16.6 18.8 9.0 5.6 0.8 55.9 27.4
7.4 16.0 18.7 10.9 7.0 0.9 56.5 29.2
7.0 14.4 17.2 12.9 8.6 1.1 56.4 31.1
6.5 13.4 15.1 15.0 10.3 1.5 55.5 33.2
6.0 12.6 13.8 16.4 12.0 2.1 53.7 35.4
5.4 12.0 13.1 17.9 13.2 2.7 52.0 37.6
4.8 11.1 12.7 20.1 14.5 3.3 50.2 39.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 1.12 19.9 5.1 -3.6 2.43 1 13
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
538 267 271 24.7
58 1 288 293 25.4
630 312 318 25.7
685 339 346 26.2
744 368 376 26.7
806 399 407 27.0
873 432 441 27.2
944 487 477 27.3
1023 506 517 27.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.56 24.3 5.2
1.61 24.2 5.1
1.66 24.0 5.2
1.65 23.6 5.3
1.61 23.2 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.58 23.0 5.7
1.56 23.0 5.8
1.60 23.2 5.9
1.63 23.3 5.9
1110 550 560 27.3
POLYNESIA A ESTIMATES lndlcator Popul.tlon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Maltts ................................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 Age dlotrtbution
Percentage aged 60 w owr .................. Percentage aged 65 w m r .................. Percentage aged 80 w w Percentage of w a m n 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
19%
1956
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
242 124 118 105.0
270 141 135 104.2
317 102 158 103.0
388 1 87 181 103.3
423 215 208 103.4
447
508 262 246 106.2
543
580 299
218 105.0
478 240 232 105.9
18.1 28.0 18.Q 4.1 2.4 0.3 45.7 10.9 29
19.1 27.7 18.9 3.7 2.4 0.2 44.9 10.0 33
19.1 28.3 18:s 3.0 2.1 0.2 44.3 10.3 38
19.0 29.3 18.4 3.0 2.1 0.2 43.5 15.9 44
17.0 29.5 19.2 3.0 2.1 0.2
15.4 29.3 20.9 4.2 2.5 0.3 45.9 17.3 53
14.5 27.2 21 .8 4.5 2.8 0.3 40.1 18.5 57
14.7 24.5 22.3 5.1 3.1 0.4 49.9 19.0
44.5
10.3 50
228
1950-1855 lsss-lsBo 1960-1985 19851970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985
.
7 12 4 2.00 46.3 14.0 0.69 2.54
Population change per year (thousande) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Populati growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO populatim) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant moltality rate(per 1.000 Ihn, MfUm) Life oxpectmcy d Mlth (yarn) Males ................................................... Femeles ............................................... Both sems m n e d ............................
............
8 14 4 2.80 46.4 12.3 0.90 2.75
10 10
99
03
4 2.97 45.5 10.7 0.97 2.86 74
48.0 52.5 50.4
51.9 50.1 53.9
54.1 58.4 50.1
11 17 4 2.78 41.9 9.2 0.37 2.69 65
5 10 3 1.10 36.0
58.3 00.8 58.4
58.4 62.9 60.5
8.0
5.42 2.33 58
60
281 262 107.1
281 106.4
013 315 298 105.9
13.7 24.2 21.3 0.0 3.0 0.5 49.5 20.5 65
12.7 24.4 19.1 0.5 4.2 0.5 50.0 21.7 09
12.5 23.0 18.5 7.0 4.0 0.0 50.4 22.4 73
1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2ooo-2005
0 15 3 1.33 33.2 7.4 4.75 2.09 51
0 10 3 1.21 33.5 0.7 4.53 2.04 39
7 17 3 1.35 33.0 0.1 4.24 1.94 31
7 10 3 1.31 28.8 5.9 3.91 1 .81 25
7 16 3 1.11 26.8 5.5 3.58 1.66 22
0 15 3 1.02 23.9 5.4 3.28 1.54 19
60.0
64.9 62.3
02.5 07.7 64.9
64.4 69.9 €8.9
88.4 71.0 68.8
68.0 73.2 70.4
69.3 74.5 71.8
B. YEMUMVARIANT
popuktion (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
MIO
2045
2050 -
645 331 314 105.4
879 348 331 105.1
71 1 363 347 104.7
743 379 364 104.3
774 394 379 104.0
801 408
823 418 405 103.2
838
425 413 102.8
847 428 418 102.5
850 430 421 102.1
11.4 22.7 19.3 7.7 5.2 0.8 13.9 0.5 0.0 11.1 50.9 23.2 77
10.4 21.7 19.5 8.2 5.6 0.9 13.0 0.0 0.1 11.7 51.2 24.3 81
9.0 19.8 19.3 9.3 0.1 1.1 11.8 0.1 0.3 11.3 51.0 25.8
9.2 18.3 18.7 10.0 7.0 1.2 10.9 5.0 5.0 11.3 51.1 27.8 86
8.8 17.3 17.2 12.4 8.1 1.4 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.3 50.7 29.4 92
7.7 10.1 15.3 15.7 11.4 2.0 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.1 49.9 32.7 ge
7.1 15.2 15.0 10.7 12.0 2.5 9.1 4.7 4.7 8.9 40.8 34.3 100
0.0 14.2 14.7 18.1 13.4 3.2 8.4 4.4 4.5 8.8 47.8 35.8 101
6.3 13.3 14.1 20.4 14.0 4.0 7.9 4.1 4.2 8.5 46.1 37.3 101
393 103.0
Ago dlmtrlbution Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 w m r Percentage aged 80 or m r Percentage in school 0-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in sdrool ages 16-23 Percentage of mxnen a m 1549 Median age (years) ................................. populatbn density (population per sq km)
....... ..................
.......... .......... .........
84
8.3 10.7 10.0 14.4 9.7 1.0 10.0 4.9 4.9 9.0 50.5 31 .O 95
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202&2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (Ihousands) ..................... Deaths per year (marSends) ................... Net migratkm per year (thousands) ......... Poprlation g M h rate (per cent) ............ CRlde birth rate (per 1,000populatm) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulalkm) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000popllalkm) . Total fertHity (children p e r m ) ........... Net repr0dUctk-n rate (per wunan) .......... lnmt mortality rate (per 1,000l i blflhs) undec-nve mortality (per 1,000lm births) L l k oxpel3mlcy at birth (V) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
106
7 14
4 - 4 1 .w 21.9 5.4 6.3 3.05 1.44 17 20
70.0 75.0 73.0
0 14 4 - 4 0.90 20.1 5.4 -5.7 2.79 1.32 15 17
7 14 4 - 3 0.90 19.1 5.0 4.0 2.59 1.22 13 10
71.0 76.7 74.0
72.0 77.0 75.0
-4.4 2.41 1.15 12 14
5 14 5 - 3 0.70 17.2 6.1 4.1 2.27 1.08 11 13
4 13 5 - 3 0.54 15.9 0.5 -3.9 2.15 1.03 10 12
73.4 78.4 75.8
74.2 79.1 70.6
74.9 79.9 77.3
0 14 4 -3 0.81 18.3
5.8
3 12
0 -3 0.36 14.5 7.0 -3.0 2.07 0.99 9 10 75.0 80.0
70.1
2 11 0 - 3 0.21 13.5 7.0 -3.8 2.01 0.98 8 10
7 -3 0.09 12.8 8.2 -3.8 1 .Q7 0.94 8 9
70.3 81.2 78.7
70.9 81.8 79.3
1 11
United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prcrspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
POLYNESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
8 1.20 23.6 5.4 -6.2 3.30 1.55
8 1.18 22.8 5.4 -5.6 3.19 1.51
9 1.24 22.3 5.5 -4.4 3.09 1.46
9 1.15 21.2 5.6 -4.2 2.91 1.38
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
9
8 0.91 18.8 6.1 -3.6 2.65 1.27
7 0.80 17.9 6.4 .3.5 2.57 1.23
7 0.73 17.4 6.8 .3.3 2.51 1 .20
7 0.67 17.0 7.1 .3.2 2.47 1.18
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 .04
20.0 5.8 -3.9 2.77 1.32
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 0.85 20.1 5.4 -6.3 2.80 1.32
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
645 331 314 23.2
685 351 334 24.0
729 373 356 25.1
781 399 382 26.3
837 427 410 27.0
897 457 440 27.2
959 488 471 27.4
1 023 520 503 27.5
1 092 555 537 27.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
1.19 23.5 5.4
1.24 23.4 5.4
1.38 23.6 5.5
1.40 23.6 5.6
1.38 23.2 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.33 22.6 5.9
1 .30 22.2 6.0
1.31 22.3 6.2
1.34 22.5 6.3
1 168 593 574 28.0
AFGHANISTAN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sexratio(malesper100fernales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8151 4 220 3 932 107.3
8805 4 562 4 243 107.5
9616 4 986 4 630 107.7
10612 5 505 5 107 107.8
11840 6 143 5 696 107.8
13329 6 917 6 412 107.9
13946 7 237 6 709 107.9
12333 6 399 5 934 107.8
12659 6 567 6 092 107.8
18256 9 463 8 792 107.6
20737 10 744 9 994 107.5
17.6 25.1 19.0 4.5 2.6 0.1 46.7 18.6 13
16.9 25.9 19.3 4.4 2.5 0.1 46.8 18.5 14
17.3 25.8 19.4 4.3 2.5 0.1 46.8 18.3 15
17.6 25.5 19.8 4.2 2.4 0.2 46.9 16.2 16
16.0 25.9 19.4 4.1 2.4 0.2 46.3 18.0 18
18.2 26.4 18.9 4.0 2.3 0.2 45.7 17.6 20
18.4 26.8 19.0 4.0 2.3 0.2 45.3 17.4 21
18.7 27.0 19.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 44.9 17.1 19
19.0 27.2 19.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 44.5 16.8 19
19.3 27.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.0 16.5 28
19.3 28.0 19.2 3.8 2.2 0.2 43.8 16.3 32
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... ................... Females ...................... . . . Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Median age (years) ................................ Population density (populationper sq km)
2005
2010
2015
25 067 12 985 12 083 107.5
30 369 15 737 14 652 107.4
35 631 l 8 446 17 165 107.3
18.6 26.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 17.6 7.5 6.7 11.3 44.3 16.4 38
16.3 28.0 20.0 3.8 2.2 0.2 17.2 7.6 6.9 11.5 45.1 16.7 47
18.0 27.5 20.4 3.7 2.3 0.2 16.9 7.4 6.9 11.8 45.9 17.0 55
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................. Net migration per year (thousands) ........ Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) . Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
25 067 12 985 12 083
30 581 15 838 14 746
36 192 18 735 17 457
42 106 21 792 20 315
48 702 25 201 23 501
55 882 28 913 26 969
83 574 32 888 30 686
71 71 1 37 091 34 620
80 207 41 475 38 732
18.6 28.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.3 16.4
18.8 27.9 19.9 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.5
18.8 27.6 20.0 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.2 16.7
18.5 27.9 19.7 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.2 16.7
17.7 28.0 19.7 3.7 2.2 0.2 45.7 17.0
16.8 27.7 20.2 3.8 2.3 0.2 46.8 17.5
15.8 26.9 20.7 4.0 2.4 0.2 48.2 18.3
14.9 25.9 20.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 49.6 19.2
13.9 24.8 20.7 4.6 2.7 0.3 50.8 20.2
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 103 3.98 49.8 20.2 10.0 7.32 2.31
1 122 3.37 49.1 18.8 3.3 7.07 2.30
1 183 3.03 47.6 17.3 0.1 6.74 2.27
1 319 2.91 44.8 15.7 -0.1 6.25 2.18
1 436 2.75 41.6 14.1 .0.1 5.71 2.05
1 538 2.58 38.4 12.6 -0.1 5.12 1.90
1 627 2.41 35.5 11.3 -0.1 4.54 1.74
1 699 2.24 32.7 10.3 -0.1 4.04 1.59
1 747 2.07 30.1 9.4 0.0 3.64 1.47
50 640
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
............................ ...........................
25 067 12 985 12 083
30 197 15 638 14 559
35 070 18 157 16 913
39 879 20 643 19 237
45 153 23 368 21 786
26 203 24 437
56 058 29 001 27 057
61 220 31 664 29 556
66 059 34 156 31 904
18.6 28.4 19.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 44.3 16.4
17.8 28.2 20.2 3.8 2.2 0.2 45.4 16.8
17.2 27.5 20.7 3.8 2.3 0.2 46.7 17.4
16.7 26.8 20.8 3.8 2.3 0.2 47.7 18.0
16.0 26.2 20.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 48.6 18.6
15.0 25.8 20.3 4.2 2.5 0.2 49.6 19.3
13.6 25.1 20.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 51.0 20.2
12.3 23.7 20.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 52.7 21.6
11.1 22.0 20.7 5.5 3.3 0.3 54.2 23.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
........... ..........
1 026 3.72 46.7 19.7 10.1 6.82 2.15
974 2.99 44.5 18.1 3.4 6.27 2.04
962
1055 2.48 40.1 15.2 -0.1 5.25 1.83
2.57 42.4 16.6 -0.1 5.74 1.93
1 097 2.29 36.7 13.7 -0.1 4.71 1.69
1 083 2.03 32.7 12.3 .0.1 4.12 1.53
1 032 1.76 28.8 11.2 .0.1 3.54 1.36
968 1.52 25.5 10.2 .0.1 3.04 1.20
892 1.31 22.7 9.6 .0.1 2.64 1.07
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
25 067 12 985 12 083 16.4
30 652 15 872 14 780 16.5
36 523 18 906 17 617 16.4
43 046 22 276 20 770 16.2
50 948 26 360 24 588 15.9
60 545 31 320 29 224 15.8
72 325 37 408 34 917 15.7
86 902 44 939 41 963 15.6
104 991 54 281 50 711 15.5
4.02 50.3 20.3
3.51 50.7 19.0
3.29 50.6 17.7
3.37 50.0 16.3
3.45 49.4 14.9
3.56 49.1 13.6
3.67 49.0 12.3
3.78 48.8 11.1
3.88 48.6 9.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
127 454 65 872 61 582 15.3
ALBANIA
A
ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousandr) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expestancy at blrth (years) ...................... Males ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3154 1 571 1 583 99.3
3245 1 610 1 635 98.5
3346 1 655 1 691 97.9
3430 1 691 1 739 97.2
3488 1 714 1 774 96.6
3519 1 725 1 794 96.2
3527 1 725 1 802 95.7
3519 1 718 1 800 95.4
3494 1 705 1 789 95.3
8.0 18.3 18.6 12.3 8.4 1.4 10.7 6.0 6.2 10.8 53.1 28.6 110
7.8 15.9 18.8 13.5 9.8 1.7 9.3 5.0 5.5 11.5 52.6 29.9 113
7.5 14.9 16.6 15.1 10.6 2.1 8.9 4.5 4.6 10.2 50.6 31.5 116
7.1 14.4 14.5 17.4 12.0 2.5 8.7 4.3 4.3 8.7 49.1 33.4 119
6.6 14.0 13.8 19.8 14.0 3.0 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.2 48.1 35.5 121
6.1 13.3 13.6 21.4 16.2 3.3 7.9 4.1 4.1 8.2 47.1 37.5 122
5.8 12.5 13.4 22.5 17.6 4.0 7.4 3.9 4.0 8.0 45.6 39.5 123
5.7 11.7 12.9 23.7 18.4 5.1 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.8 43.1 40.9 122
5.6 11.4 12.1 25.5 19.4 6.2 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.3 40.7 42.1 122
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-he mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ALBANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
........................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. ...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 154 1 571 1 583
3 277 1 627 1 651
3 433 1 700 1 733
3 583 1 770 1 813
3 703 1 825 1 878
3 799 1 870 1 930
3 891 1 913 1 978
3 989 1 961 2 028
4 082 2 008 2 074
4 160 2 050 2 110
8.0 18.3 18.6 12.3 8.4 1.4 53.1 28.6
8.7 15.7 18.6 13.3 9.7 1.6 52.1 29.6
8.9 15.4 16.2 14.7 10.4 2.0 49.4 30.6
8.7 16.2 13.9 16.6 11.5 2.4 47.1 32.0
7.9 16.4 13.9 18.6 13.2 2.9 46.3 33.5
7.4 15.7 14.9 19.8 15.0 3.1 45.9 34.9
7.4 14.6 15.2 20.4 15.9 3.6 45.3 35.5
7.7 14.1 14.6 20.9 16.3 4.5 43.4 35.4
7.7 14.4 13.5 21.8 16.6 5.3 41.7 35.7
7.4 14.7 13.1 23.5 17.4 5.5 41.4 36.3
25 0.77 18.2 5.9 4.7 2.31 1.09
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)
............................
......... .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
12 0.37 14.3 5.8 .4.7 1.81 0.85
9 0.29 12.4 6.4 -3.1 1.51 0.71
.1 .0.02 10.6 7.7 .3.1 1.35 0.64
3 0.10 11.1 7.0 .3.1 1.35 0.64
.6 .0.19 9.6 8.4 .3.1 1.35 0.64
-12 -0.37 8.7 9.2 -3.1 1.35 0.64
-17 -0.55 7.8 10.2 .3.2 1.35 0.64
-22 .0.73 7.2 11.2 .3.3 1.35 0.64
. 26 -0.90 6.8 12.3 .3.4 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 154 1 571 1 583 28.6
3 267 1 821 1 645 29.7
3 410 1 688 1 722 30.9
3 545 1 750 1 794 32.4
3 653 1 799 1 854 34.0
3 735 1 837 1 899 35.5
3 804 1 868 1 936 36.5
3 869 1 899 1 970 36.8
3 929 1 929 2 000 37.2
3 976 1 955 2 021 37.8
0.70 17.6 5.9
0.86 17.9 6.3
0.77 17.4 6.7
0.60 15.9 7.1
0.45 14.7 7.5
0.37 14.3 8.0
0.34 14.4 8.5
0.31 14.5 8.9
0.24 14.2 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
ALGERIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Fe~leS ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1W females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OM) population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ALGERIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thournds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Agw dlmtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percantage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 W over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
32854 16 583
35784 18 067 17 717
39086 19 737 19 349
42453 21 435 21 018
45512 22 973 22 538
48164 24 295 23 869
50618 25 505 25 113
53099 26 721 26 379
55690 27 992 27 699
10.6 17.1 20.2 6.8 4.6 0.7 57.8 26.0
10.9 17.7 16.5 7.8 4.9 0.8 55.1 27.6
10.4 18.8 14.2 8.8 5.7 0.9 52.3 29.0
9.1 18.9 15.0 10.4 6.7 0.9 51 .0 30.4
8.1 17.7 16.5 12.3 8.1 1.1 50.2 31.2
7.7 15.9 16.9 14.3 9.7 1.4 49.1 31.9
7.8 14.6 15.9 16.5 11.3 1 .8 47.6 32.8
8.1 14.4 14.3 18.9 13.1 2.3 45.9 33.7
16 271 9.6 20.0 22.6 8.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgmwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Tdal ferlility (children per woman) Net reproducZion rate (per woman) ..........
...........
586
660
1.71 22.9 5.0 -0.8 2.63 1.22
l.77
23.3 4.9 -0.7 2.66 1.25
673 1.65 22.1 4.9 .0.7 2.66 1.26
612 1.39
19.3 4.9 -0.4 2.57 1.22
531 1.13 16.9 5.2 4.4 2.50 1.19
491 0.99 15.9 5.7 -0.3 2.43 1.16
496 0.96 16.1 6.3 -0.3 2.37 1.13
518 0.95 18.7 6.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13
501 0.88 16.6 7.5 -0.3 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Perutntage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ...............................
32 854 16 583
16271 9.6 20.0 22.6 6.5 4.5 0.6 57.2 24.0
35 061 17 697 17364
37 089 18 717 18372
38 806 19 572 19234
40 253 20 286 19966
41 305 20 790 20515
41 976 21 088 20889
42 284 21 191 21093
42 261 21 124 21 137
8.8 17.5 20.7 7.0 4.7 0.7 58.9 26.5
8.0 16.7 17.4 8.2 5.1 0.9 58.0 29.0
7.1 15.5 15.5 9.6 6.2 1 .0 57.1 31.6
6.3 14.1 15.2 11.8 7.5 1 .0 55.8 34.2
5.5 12.7 14.4 14.4 9.4 1.2 53.7 36.8
5.0 11.4 13.4 17.3 11.7 1.7 50.5 39.3
4.6 10.3 12.3 20.8 14.2 2.3 47.3 41.3
4.4 9.5 11.2 24.9 17.2 3.1 44.3 43.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 %!G2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050
. .... .. .
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population gmwh rate (p8r cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) Crude death rate (per 1.000population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
441 1 .30 18.7 4.9 -0.8 2.13 0.99
406
1.12 16.9 4.9 4.8 1.86 0.88
343 0.91 14.8 5.0 -0.7 1 .66 0.79
289 0.73 13.1 5.3 -0.5 1.57 0.75
210 0.52 11.4 5.8 -0.4 1.50 0.71
1 34 0.32 10.2 6.6 -0.4 1.43 0.68
62 0.15 9.4 7.5 -0.4 1.37 0.65
- 5 -0.01 8.9 8.6 -0.4 1.35 0.65
-0.18 8.4 9.9 -0.4 1.35 0.65
-?7
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populstlon (thouunda) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
Populationg r w h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
32 854
16 583 16 271 24.0
35 613 17 980 17 634 26.1
38 663 19 521 19 142 27.9
41 771 21 086 20 684 29.5
44 747 22 583 22 164 31 .0
47 463 23 937 23 526 31.8
50 037 25 208 24 829 32.4
52 616 26 475 26 141 33.0
55 248 27 766 27 481 33.7
1.61 21.9 5.0
1 .64 22.1 4.9
1.55 21.1 4.9
1.38 19.2 5.0
1.18 17.5 5.3
l .06 16.6 5.8
1.01 16.7 6.3
0.98 17.0 6.9
0.92 16.9 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ANGOLA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.................. .........
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
16 095 7934 8 162 97.2
18 493 9125 9 368 97.4
21 231 10485 10 746 97.6
24 169 11944 12 224 97.7
27 324 13512 13 813 97.8
30 652 15162 15 489 97.9
34 089 16866 17 223 97.9
37 579 18593 18 985 97.9
41 082 20325 20 757 97.9
18.6 27.8 20.0 3.9 2.4 0.2 17.0 7.6 6.8 11.6 45.3 16.6 13
18.4 27.3
18.0 27.4 20.1 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.9 7.3 6.5 11.7 46.0 17.2 17
17.3 27.3 19.9 4.0 2.5 0.3 18.8 7.4 6.7 11.5 46.6 17.5 19
16.4 26.9 20.2 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.5 7.4 6.8 11.8 47.6 18.1 22
15.4 26.3 20.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 16.1 7.3 6.8 12.0 48.9 18.8 25
14.4 25.3 20.7 4.6 2.9 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.8 12.1 50.2 19.6 27
13.4 24.3 20.7 5.0 3.1 0.4 14.8 7.0 6.6 12.2 51.4 20.7 30
12.5 23.1 20.4 5.6 3.5 0.4 14.0 6.7 6.5 12.0 52.4 21.9 33
20.4
3.8 2.4 0.2 16.8 7.3 6.9 11.8 45.8 16.9 15
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ANGOLA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age diatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
16 095 7934 8 162
18 625 9190 9 434
21 604 10671 10 933
24 893 12306 12 587
28 468 14082 14 386
32 343 16006 16 337
36 517 18077 18 441
40 966 20282 20 683
45 647 22602 23 045
18.6 27.8 20.0 3.9 2.4 0.2 45.3 16.6
19.0 27.1 20.3 3.8 2.4 0.2 45.5 16.8
18.8 27.5 19.7 3.8 2.3 0.2 45.2 16.8
18.3 27.9 19.3 3.9 2.4 0.2 45.3 16.8
17.3 27.9 19.8 4.0 2.5 0.3 46.1 17.2
16.4 27.3 20.5 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.4 17.8
15.6 26.3 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 48.7 18.6
14.8 25.5 20.8 4.6 2.9 0.3 49.7 19.4
14.0 24.6 20.4 5.0 3.1 0.4 50.6 20.3
506 2.92 49.0 20.7 0.9 6.68 2.16
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlslributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
453 2.63 45.6 20.3 0.9 6.18 2.00
499 2.55 43.0 18.4 0.8 5.64 1.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... . . . ................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .............................. ..
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
16 095 7934 8162 16.6
18 635 9196 9440 16.8
21 739 10739 11001 16.6
25 368 12543 12825 16.4
29 701 14698 15003 16.2
34 938 17302 17636 16.2
41 329 20481 20848 16.1
49 171 24382 24789 16.0
58 807 29178 29629 15.8
2.93 49.1 20 8
3.08 49.2 19.3
3.09 48.7 17.8
3.15 48.0 16.4
3.25 47.5 15.1
3.36 47.3 13.8
3.48 47.3 12.6
3.58 47.1 11.4
3.67 46.9 10.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ARGENTINA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) . . ................ Total ............................ Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
17 150 8827 8323 106.1
18 928 9666 9261 104.4
20 616 10470 10146 103.2
22 283 11244 11039 101.9
23 962 12019 11943 100.6
26 049 13004 13046 99.7
28 094 13860 14233 97.4
30 305 14913 15392 96.9
32 581 15997 16584 96.5
34 835 17086 17749 96.3
36 896 18059 18836 95.9
11.4 19.2 18.3 7.0 4.2 0.5 54.1 25.7 6
11.4 19.4 17.1 7.9 4.8 0.5 52.7 26.3 7
11.0 19.8 16.3 8.8 5.5 0.6 51.2 26.8 7
10.5 19.7 16.6 9.8 6.2 0.7 50.3 27.2 8
10.3 19.1 17.2 10.7 7.0 0.8 49.9 27.4 9
10.8 18.5 17.2 11.4 7.6 0.9 49.2 27.3 9
11.9 18.7 16.1 11.9 8.1 1.1 47.5 27.2 10
10.8 20.2 15.8 12.4 8.5 1.2 46.6 27.2 11
10.4 20.3 16.2 12.9 8.9 1.4 46.8 27.2 12
10.0 19.2 17.6 13.2 9.4 1.6 48.2 27.3 13
9.4 18.6 17.8 13.5 9.9 1.9 48.6 27.8 13
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) ... ............... Total ........................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... . ....... Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
38 747 18 949 19 799 95.7
40 738 19 923 20 815 95.7
42 676 20 877 21 800 95.8
44 486 21 767 22 719 95.8
46 115 22 563 23 552 95.8
47 534 23 250 24 284 95.7
48 727 23 819 24 908 95.6
49 786 24 319 25 467 95.5
50 683 24 736 25 947 95.3
51 382 25 052 26 331 95.1
8.6 17.8 17.0 13.9 10.2 2.3 10.7 5.4 5.3 10.1 49.1 28.9 14
8.4 16.6 16.8 14.5 10.5 2.6 9.9 5.1 5.1 10.0 49.4 30.2 15
8.1 15.9 16.1 15.3 11.1 2.8 9.5 4.7 4.8 9.7 49.6 31.4 15
7.6 15.5 15.2 16.2 11.9 2.9 9.3 4.6 4.5 9.1 49.4 32.6 16
7.2 14.8 14.7 17.1 12.7 3.1 8.9 4.5 4.5 8.7 49.0 34.0 17
6.7 14.1 14.5 18.0 13.5 3.5 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 47.8 35.4 17
6.3 13.3 14.0 19.4 14.4 4.0 7.9 4.1 4.2 8.5 46.9 36.8 18
6.2 12.6 13.4 21.5 15.6 4.4 7.5 3.9 3.9 8.1 45.8 38.1 18
6.0 12.1 12.8 23.2 17.5 4.8 7.3 3.6 3.7 7.7 44.4 39.2 18
5.8 11.9 12.2 24.8 19.0 5.2 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.4 43.1 40.3 18
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populatlon growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy a1 birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................................. ..... .... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ARGENTINA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
38 747 18 949 19 799
41 l l8 20 116 21 002
43 692 21 394 22 298
46 316 22 698 23 618
48 795 23 927 24 868
51 171 25 101 26 070
8.6 17.8 17.0 13.9 10.2 2.3 49.1 28.9
9.3 16.4 16.6 14.4 10.4 2.5 49.0 29.9
9.4 16.4 15.8 15.0 10.9 2.7 48.5 30.6
9.1 17.0 14.6 15.5 11.4 2.8 47.5 31.3
8.5 17.0 14.6 16.1 12.0 3.0 47.2 32.0
8.1 16.3 15.4 16.8 12.6 3.3 46.4 32.8
2035
2040
2045
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
474 1.19 19.4 7.6 0.2 2.50 1.20
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4...................... .. Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
322 0.82 15.7 7.7 0.2 2.00 0.96
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................. . . .......... Males .............................................. Females ........................... .............. Median age (years) .................................
38 747 18949 19 799 28.9
40 884 19997 20 887 30.1
43 119 21102 22 017 31 .0
45 373 22218 23 155 32.0
47 592 23315 24 277 32.9
49 772 24389 25 383 33.8
51 930 25449 26 481 34.4
54 072 26500 27 572 34.8
56 197 27541 28 656 35.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
1.07 18.2 7.7
1.07 18.1 7.6
1.02 17.6 7.5
0.96 16.9 7.5
0.90 16.4 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.85 16.0 7.7
0.81 15.8 7.8
0.77 15.7 8.1
0.73 15.5 8.3
ARMENIA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Medlan age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popuiation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blfth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................ ............ Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Medlan age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
2005
2010
3 018 1407 1 61 1 87.4
2 987 1387 1 600 86.7
5.4 15.4 19.9 14.5 12.1 1 .6 8.6 5.7 6.4 11.9 55.0 31.7 101
6.1 11.8 19.2 14.7 11.1 2.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 12.1 53.7 32.9 l00
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... . ...................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.02 14.8 9.6 .5.0 1.64 0.73
8 0.28 16.1 10.1 .3.3 1.81 0.81
.
1 .O.M 12.8 10.2 .2.6 2.01 0.92
7 0.23 15.1 10.2 .2.6 l .96 0.88
.5 .0.15 11.5 10.4 .2.6 2.06 0.95
.4 .0.12 12.2 10.8 .2.6 2.11 0.98
.2 -0.07 13.5 11.5 .2.6 2.18 1 .01
.3 -0.10 13.8 12.2 .2.6 2.21 1.04
.6 -0.21 13.1 12.6 .2.7 2.26 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
3 018 1 407 1611
2 953 1 369 1584
2 890 1 335 1555
2 812 1 296 1516
2 718 1 249 1469
2 607 1 195 1413
2 480 1 133 1347
2 335 l 064 1271
2 176 989 1187
5.4 15.4 19.9 14.5 12.1 1.6 55.0 31.7
5.0 11.9 19.4 14.8 11.2 2.7 54.2 33.3
4.5 10.5 15.5 16.9 11.3 3.0 51.4 35.2
4.0 9.7 12.1 20.6 13.3 3.7 50.4 37.9
3.8 8.8 10.7 24.2 16.8 3.0 49.5 40.6
3.2 7.9 10.0 25.6 20.2 3.2 47.0 43.8
2.9 7.2 9.2 26.9 21.5 4.6 42.4 47.0
2.8 6.5 8.3 29.6 22.4 6.7 36.2 50.2
2.7 6.2 7.6 34.5 24.7 8.3 31.2 53.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 13 -0.43 10.3 9.6 -5.0 1.14 0.50
. 13 -0.44 9.3 10.2 -3.4 1.01 0.45
- 19 .0.68 7.4 11.3 .2.9 l 01 0.46
. 15 -0.54 8.2 10.8 -2.8 0.96 0.43
.
- 22 -0.83 6.5 11.8 .3.0 1 .06 0.49
- 26 .1.01 5.9 12.8 -3.1 1.11 0.51
- 29 4.20 5.6 14.2 .3.3 1.16 0.54
- 32 .1.41 5.4 16.0 -3.5 1.21 0.57
- 34 -1.63 5.2 17.7 -3.8 1.26 0.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... . ...................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
1 407 1 61 1 31.7
2 982 1 384 1 598 33.0
2 962 1 374 1 588 34.5
2 923 1 355 1 567 36.8
2 852 1 321 1 531 39.4
2 762 1 277 1 485 42.4
2 660 l 229 1 431 45.3
2 543 1 174 1 369 48.0
2 406 1 1l1 1 295 50.5
-0.24 12.2 9.6
.0.14 12.2 10.2
.0.27 10.6 10.5
.0.49 8.7 10.8
-0.64 7.7 11.3
.0.75 7.5 12.1
.0.90 7.3 13.2
.1.11 6.8 14.6
.1.32 6.2 16.0
3 018
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
ARUBA A ESTIMATES lndkator poPu-(m-) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femelea ............................................... Sex ratb ( m a k per 100 hrnska) AQO d M W percentage aged W ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage qpd 15-24 p e r c e n t a g e ~ 6 0 w o v s r.................. Pe-m6!jwcwr .................. Percentaga aged 80 or cwr Percentage of m n aged 15-49 Median age (yeam)................................. POprbM -ity (PopJatim p e r q
...........
.........................
.................. .........
w
1950
1855
1960
1965
1970
1975
lee0
1985
lSs0
1995
2ooo
38 16 20 93.6
44 21 22 94.8
49 24 25 S.6
54 26 28 96.0
57 28 29 96.0
59 29 30 95.0
61 31 94.5
6.5 32 33 95.4
64 31 32 96.2
83 41 42 97.9
90 43 47 92.8
17.7 25.3 16.3 3.0 1.8 0.3 48.9 16.5 21 1
16.5 25.6 18.0 3.2 1 .9 0.3 47.7 18.1 243
16.9 27.0 17.6 3.8 2.2 0.2 46.2 18.2 273
14.9 27.6 18.0 4.8 2.7 0.2 46.4 18.6
11.8 26.3 20.1 6.5 3.6 0.3 49.4 20.2 315
10.0 21.9 21.7 8.3 5.4 0.6 53.8 23.2
9.0 17.6 22.0 9.5 6.7 0.8 57.4 25.8
10.2 14.5 19.0 9.7 7.2
8.8 16.2 13.5 10.4 7.6 1.7 54.4 31.6
8.3 15.0 12.1
328
338
8.3 15.1 13.4 10.0 6.5 1.5 56.0 32.4 462
300
30
1950-1855 19551960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985
I
p o p u b chanoe ~ per Year(-).
..................... ...................
............ .... ..
...................................................
57.4 26.1 359
354
0
4
1
1 0 -0.30
1
2
20.6 6.4 2.30 1.10 16
0 5.32 18.8 6.7 2.28 1.09 17
1.67 17.7 7.0 2.21 1.05 20
2.61 16.2 6.9 2.12 1.01 19 70.5 76.4 73.5
43
1.03 26.0 5.4 3.30 1.52 35
0.80 22.5 5.1 2.65 1 .a 26
0.58 22.3 5.8 2.45 1.17 24
64.8 88.3 66.6
66.4 70.2 88.3
67.5 74.5 70.9
68.3 75.4 71.8
71.6 76.6 74.1
71.5 77.5 74.5
71.1 77.1 74.1
70.0 76.0 73.0
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
108 51
107 51 56 91.5
105 51
104
55
92.1
54 93.0
5.4 11.9 11.7 27.4 23.2 7.3 7.1 3.7 3.7 7.0 40.6 42.3 586
5.3 11.5 12.3 26.8 21.4 7.8 6.8 3.6 3.7 7.4 40.6 42.8 575
1 2 0 1.83 33.4 5.8 4.40
69
59.1 61.6 60.4
83.0 65.6 64.4
1 .BB
1 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
7.2 1.3 54.8 34.3 502
1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2000-2005
1 1 0 1.21 22.3 5.7 2.33 1.13 17
1 2 0 2.36 39.1 8.8 5.15 2.28 52
2 0 2.77 44.3 6.9 5.65 2.37
Births per year (thoamda) Deaths per year (thowmds) POpJetkngrowth rate (par cant) Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poplbtkn) Crude death rate @er 1.OOO poputstbn) Total fertility (CNldnm per wwnan) ........... NetreproductionraIe @er woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOOlke wlr) Life .xp.ct.ny a! birth (w-1 Males F e w ............................................... Both sem combined ............................
1.1
11.1
3 2
t
1
B. MEMUMVARIANT
POpUlOtlOn (thoUWdD) Total ....................................................
............................................... ........... ............................
Femeles Sex ratb (malerr per 100 hmles) Agedlaributlon percentage aged W percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 w wsr Percentege qpd 65 or cwr ..................
......................... ..................
Percentageqpd 80 or cwr .................. Pemntage in school fagm5 1 1 Percmtege h school 12-14 Percentage in school a ~ a a15-17 .......... percentage in school aQaa 16-23 .......... Percmtage d w ~ 8 qpd n 15-49......... W i n age (years) ................................. w m density @opua lm per q
2005
2010
2015
103 49 54 92.1
103 49 54 91.4
105
7.4 14.8 12.7 11.8 7.8
6.8 14.3 12.9 14.4 9.4 1.2 8.6 4.3 4.2 7.6 48.9 38.4 572
1.1
............ ..........
8.0 4.4 4.3 7.3 54.1 35.5 572
w
2020
2025
50 55
'08 51
107 51
56
58
91.4
91.3
91.2
'08 51 56 91.2
5.8 13.6 13.8 17.3 11.4 1.7 6.1 4.2 4.2 8.3 45.1 40.5 584
5.5 12.3 13.8 21.7 13.8 2.2 7.2 4.0 4.1 8.3 42.9 41.3 591
5.6 11.1 13.3 25.7 17.8 2.6 6.5 3.5 3.8 8.1 40.7 40.9
5.9 11.0 12.1 28.2 20.9 3.3 6.6 3.2 3.3 7.5 40.0 40.8
595
598
56
91.3 6.0 11.5 11.0 30.0 22.9 4.3 7.0 3.3 3.2 6.6 40.6 41.2 598
5.8 12.0 11.1 29.1 24.2 5.9 7.2 3.6 3.4 6.6 40.6 41.7 594
50
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050
.' ...................
PqWbMchance per Year )-( Births per year (Umsanrh) ..................... Deaths per year (tFmWld8) Net mk~ratkmper year (thouuvde)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birM rate (par 1,OOO pophtbn) Crude death rate (par 1 ,OOOpopuhtim) Net tnigralkm rate (per 1 ,OOOpopllatkm) . Told MiUty (children per wwnan) Net reproduction rate @er woman) Ipfant rncdality rate (per 1 ,OOOYve births)
.... .. ........... ..........
under-nve mc4tamy (per 1,OOO yve lml.s) L l k .xpactmcy al Mrth (ym) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems c m n e d ............................
120
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 0.24 11.2 8.8 0.0 1.90 0.91 14 16
0 0.16 11.5 9.9 0.0 1.85 0.89 13 14
0 0.10 12.0 11.0 0.0 1.85 0.89
0 4.01 12.0 12.1 0.0 1 .85
11
10
20
0 1 1 0 0.41 11.9 7.8 0.0 1.97 0.84 15 17
13
11
0 -0.14 11.6 13.0 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 10
0 -0.28 10.9 13.7 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 9
0 1 1 0 4.35 10.5 14.0 0.0 1.85 0.89 8 9
71.3 77.1 74.2
72.1 77.8 75.0
72.8 78.4 75.7
73.5 78.9 76.3
74.2 79.6
74.9 80.3 n.7
75.6 00.9 70.4
76.3 81.5 79.1
76.9 82.1 79.6
0 1 1 - 1 0.01 14.1 7.1 4 9 2.04 0.97 17
77.0
0.89
United Nations oeparbnentof Economk and Social Affairs/Population Division W u M Popu&Itkm Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vokrme I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
103 49 54
104 50 54
1 07 51 56
110 53 57
112 54 59
115 55 60
117 56 61
118 57 61
120 58 62
7.4 14.6 12.7 11.8 7.8 1.1 54.1 35.5
7.5 14.2 12.8 14.3 9.3 1.2 48.5 38.2
6.8 14.1 13.5 17.0 11.2 1.6 44.3 39.9
6.7 13.7 13.3 21.0 13.4 2.1 41.6 39.8
6.9 13.0 13.4 24.5 16.7 2.5 39.5 38.6
7.2 13.2 13.0 26.5 19.6 3.1 39.3 38.2
7.2 13.7 12.5 27.6 21.1 4.0 40.5 38.0
7.2 14.1 12.8 26.3 21.9 5.3 41.3 37.7
7.1 14.1 13.4 24.1 20.4 6.4 41.8 37.5
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
0 0.16 15.6 7.1 -6.9 2.29 1.09
l 0.63 14.0 7.8 0.0 2.37 1.13
1 0.53 13.9 8.6 0.0 2.40 1.15
1 0.47 14.2 9.6 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.42 14.7 10.5 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.34 14.7 11.3 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.27 14.6 11.9 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.21 14.4 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.21 14.4 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 .0.38 9.3 13.0 0.0 1.35 0.65
.1 .0.56 8.7 14.3 0.0 1.35 0.65
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 .0.15 12.5 7.1 .7.0 1.79 0.85
0 0.18 9.7 7.9 0.0 1.57 0.75
0 .0.05 8.4 9.0 0.0 1.40 0.67
0 .0.17 8.6 10.3 0.0 1.35 0.65
0 ..0.25 9.2 11.6 0.0 1.35 0.65
.l .0.76 7.8 15.4 0.0 1.35 0.65
.1 .0.91 7.0 16.1 0.0 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
103 49 54 35.5
103 49 54 38.3
106 51 55 40.3
108 52 56 40.6
110 52 57 39.6
111 53 58 39.4
112 54 59 39.6
113 54 59 39.8
112 54 58 39.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
0.06 14.6 7.1
0.51 12.9 7.8
0.40 12.7 8.7
0.34 13.1 9.7
0.27 13.4 10.7
0.16 13.3 11.7
0.05 13.0 12.5
-0.02 12.8 13.0
-0.03 12.8 13.1
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALIA (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
8219 4144 4 075 101.7
9201 4657 4 544 102.5
10276 5195 5 082 102.2
11525 5807 5 719 101.5
12728 8414 6 315 101.6
13625 6838 6 787 100.7
14638 7310 7 329 99.7
15669 7816 7 853 99.5
16873 8426 8 448 99.7
10.8 15.7 14.6 12.5 8.1 1.1 49.9 30.4 1
10.7 18.3 13.1 12.4 8.4 1.1 47.8 30.2 1
10.6 19.5 14.0 12.2 8.5 1.2 46.8 29.6
10.3 19.4 16.2 12.2 6.5 1.3 47.0 28.3
9.5 19.3 17.5 12.3 8.3 1.4 47.8 27.6 2
9.2 18.4 17.4 12.8 8.7 1.5 48.5 28.0 2
7.7 17.6 17.5 13.7 9.6 1.7 49.8 29.4 2
7.8 15.8 17.1 14.5 10.1 1.7 51 -4 30.6 2
7.3 14.6 16.2 15.5 11.2 2.2 52.7 32.2 2
1
1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
20 310 10101 10209 98.9
21 362 10634 10728 99.1
22 397 11151 11246 99.1
23 418 11859 11759 99.1
24 393 12141 12252 99.1
25 287 12579 12707 99.0
26 075 12962 13113 98.9
26 778 13306 13472 98.8
27 425 13628 13797 98.8
6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 7.9 4.2 4.1 8.3 49.4 36.7 3
6.1 12.4 13.6 19.9 14.2 4.0 7.3 3.8 4.0 6.2 48.0 38.0 3
6.0 11.9 13.0 21.9 16.1 4.2 7.1 3.6 3.7 6.0 46.1 39.2 3
6.0 11.7 12.2 23.9 17.8 4.5 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.4 44.6 40.0 3
5.9 11.7 11.8 25.8 19.6 5.1 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 43.1 40.8 3
5.7 11.6 11.7 27.1 21.3 6.2 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.0 42.4 41.6 3
5.5 11.4 11.8 28.4 22.4 7.2 6.8 3.5 3.5 7.1 41 .8 42.4 3
5.4 11.1 11.8 28.9 23.5 8.1 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 41.3 43.0 3
5.4 10.9 11.6 29.6 23.8 8.9 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.8 43.3 4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
210 257 147 100 1 .01 12.4 7.1 4.8 1.79 0.86 4 6
207 268 161 100 0.95 12.2 7.4 4.6 1.83 0.88 4 5
204 279 1 74 100 0.89 12.2 7.6 4.4 1.85 0.89 4 5
1 95 284 189 100 0.82 11.9 7.9 4.2 1.85 0.89 4 4
1 79 286 207 100 0.72 11.5 8.3 4.0 1.85 0.89 3 4
1 58 286 228 100 0.61 11.1 8.9 3.9 1.85 0.90 3 4
141 289 248 100 0.53 10.9 9.4 3.8 1 .85 0.90 3 4
129 296 266 100 0.48 10.9 9.8 3.7 1 .85 0.90 3 3
123 304 280 1W 0.44 10.9 10.1 3.6 1.85 0.90 3 3
78.9 83.6 81.2
79.8 84.2 82.0
80.6 84.8 82.7
81.3 85.3 83.3
82.0 85.9 83.9
82.5 86.4 84.5
83.0 87.0 85.0
83.6 87.5 85.5
84.1 88.0 86.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRALIA C. HIGHVARIANT
Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
Femelee ............ Ago d i d Percentage a@ 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .... Percentege aged 15-24 Pefcentageaged 80 or
Percentage aged 80 or over ......
percentagaof WMYM aged 15-49 ......... Medlan age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
20 310 10 101 10209
21 539 10 725 10815
22 865 11 390 11474
24 259 12 090 12169
25 612 12 766 12845
26 891 13 402 13489
28 128 14 015 14113
29 399 14 651 14749
30 746 15 332 15414
32 152 16 050 16 102
6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 49.4 36.7
6.8 12.3 13.5 19.7 14.1 4.0 47.8 37.8
7.2 12.4 12.7 21.4 15.7 4.1 45.2 38.4
7.3 13.2 11.8 23.1 17.2 4.4 43.1 38.6
7.1 13.7 11.9 24.6 18.7 4.9 41.7 38.9
6.8 13.7 12.7 25.5 20.0 5.9 41.6 39.2
8.7 13.3 13.3 26.3 20.8 6.7 41.7 39.4
6.9 13.0 13.3 26.4 21.4 7.4 41.7 39.0
7.1 13.0 12.8 26.4 21.3 7.9 41.5 38.4
7.2 13.4 12.5 26.3 21.2 8.1 41.6 38.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 204S-2050 Poprlation chaqp par year (thousands). Population tale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpqnilation) .. Net migration rate (par 1.ooOpoprlation). Total fertUI (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
....
248 1.18 14.0 7.0 4.8 2.04 0.98
285 1.19 14.7 7.3 4.5 2.23 1.08
279 1.18 15.0 7.4 4.2 2.35 1.14
271 1.09 14.4 7.6 4.0 2.35 1.14
256
0.98 13.8 7.9 3.8 2.35 1.14
247 0.90 13.7 8.3 3.6 2.35 1.14
254 0.88 14.0 8.7 3.6 2.35 1.14
269 0.90 14.5 8.9 3.3 2.35 1.14
281 0.89 14.7 8.9 3.2 2.35 1.14
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
20310 10101 10209
21 184 10543 10842
21 929 10910 11018
22575 11227 11349
23 171 11514 11657
23683 11756 11926
24066 11932 12134
24305 12038 12267
24408 12081 12327
24 412 12 080 12 333
6.2 13.3 13.8 17.8 13.1 3.5 49.4 38.7
5.3 12.5 13.8 20.1 14.3 4.0 48.4 38.3
4.8 11.3 13.3 22.4 16.4 4.3 47.1 40.0
4.6 10.1 12.6 24.8 18.5 4.7 46.2 41.4
4.5 9.4 11.6 27.1 20.7 5.4 44.5 42.7
4.5 9.2 10.5 28.9 22.7 6.7 43.3 44.1
4.3 9.2 10.0 30.7 24.3 7.8 41.8 45.4
4.1 9.0 9.9 31.9 25.8 8.9 40.5 46.7
3.9 8.7 9.9 33.2 26.8 10.0 39.3 47.8
3.8 8.3 9.9 34.7 28.0 10.7 38.3 48.9
Popu).tlon (thouundo)
Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
P e m t a g e aged 80 or Over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percantageagecl 80 or WBT Percentage of m)men aged 15-49 Median a(@ (years) .................................
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2 0 3 5 - ~2040-2045 2045-2050
POpllaUon change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO population) .. Net migration rate (par 1.ooO poputation) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmductionrate (per woman) ..........
175 0.84 10.7 7.1 4.8 1.54 0.74
149 0.69 9.7 7.4 4.6 1.43 0.69
129 0.58 9.1 7.8 4.5 1.35 0.65
119 0.52 9.1 8.3 4.4 1.35 0.65
102 0.44 8.9 8.8 4.3 1.35 0.65
77 0.32 8.6 9.5 4.2 1.35 0.65
48 0.20 8. I 10.2 4.1 1.35 0.65
21 0.08 7.7 10.9 4.1 1.35 0.65
1 0.00 7.4 11.5 4.1 1.35 0.85
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
21 338 10 621 10 717 38.1
22 319 11 111 11 208 39.3
23 264 11 580 11 684 40.2
24 156 12 019 12 136 41.2
24 960 12 412 12 549 42.1
25 658 12 748 12 910 43.0
26 259 13 040 13 219 43.8
26 784 13 299 13 484 44.3
27 257 13 539 13 718 44.8
P o p u (thouundo) ~
Total .................................................... Malss ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
20 310 10 101 10 209 36.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2024 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 population gnmth rate @er cent) ............ C d e MM, rate (per 1,ooO populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO poprlalion)
..
0.99 12.1 7.1
0.90 11.8 7.4
0.83 11.6 7.6
0.75 11.3 8.0
0.66 10.9 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehwke Tables
0.55 10.6 9.0
0.46 10.3 9.6
0.40 10.2 10.0
0.35 10.2 10.4
123
r)
AUSTRIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6 935 3 216 3719 86.5
6 947 3 231 3716 86.9
7 048 3 282 3766 87.1
7 271 3 404 3867 88.0
7 467 3 518 3949 89.1
7 579 3 581 3998 89.6
7 549 3 567 3982 89.6
7 578 3 599 3979 90.4
7 729 3 711 4018 92.3
8 047 3 902 4144 94.2
8 111 3 955 4156 95.2
7.4 15.4 13.7 15.4 10.4 1.2 49.3 35.8 83
7.0 15.3 13.5 16.5 11.3 1.4 47.2 34.9 83
8.1 14.0 14.7 18.0 12.0 1.7 45.0 35.4 84
8.8 14.5 14.3 19.4 13.2 2.0 42.8 35.0 87
8.1 16.2 13.5 20.1 14.1 2.1 43.4 33.9 89
6.6 16.7 14.5 20.4 14.9 2.3 43.3 33.8 90
5.7 14.7 16.5 19.1 15.4 2.7 45.7 34.7
6.0 12.3 17.0 19.8 14.2 3.2 48.1 35.2 90
5.8 11.6 15.2 20.1 14.9 3.6 48.9 35.6 92
5.8 11.7 12.7 19.7 15.1 3.9 48.4 36.4 96
5.1 11.5 11.8 20.6 15.5 3.5 48.2 38.3 97
90
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ..................... ...... Population density (population per sq km)
. .
8 292 4060 4 232 95.9
8 442 4146 4 296 96.5
8 514 4190 4 324 96.9
8 575 4224 4 351 97.1
8 622 4246 4 375 97.0
8 643 4253 4 391 96.9
8 634 4242 4 393 96.6
8 602 4219 4 383 96.3
8 555 4189 4 365 96.0
4.8 11.0 12.1 21.9 16.2 4.3 6.5 3.5 3.5 7.4 48.2 40.1 99
4.6 10.1 11.9 23.1 17.5 4.8 5.9 3.2 3.5 7.2 47.3 42.0 101
4.6 9.6 11.3 24.4 18.6 5.0 5.7 3.0 3.1 7.0 44.7 43.8 102
4.6 9.3 10.4 26.5 19.8 5.5 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.3 41.7 45.1 102
4.6 9.3 9.9 29.6 21.8 6.3 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.0 39.9 45.8 103
4.6 9.4 9.8 32.5 24.6 6.9 5.7 2.8 2.8 5.9 39.1 46.6 103
4.5 9.4 9.8 34.0 27.3 7.5 5.6 2.9 2.9 5.9 38.0 47.4 103
4.5 9.4 10.0 34.4 28.5 8.7 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.0 37.3 48.0 103
4.6 9.3 10.0 35.0 28.6 10.5 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.1 36.6 48.3 102
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.2
-
.9
. 11
30 77 79 32 0.36 9.2 9.4 3.8 1.42 0.69 4 5
14 77 83 20 0.17 9.1 9.7 2.4 1.45 0.70 4 5
12 78 86 20 0.14 9.2 10.1 2.3 1.50 0.72 4 5
9 79 90 20 0.1 1 9.2 10.4 2.3 1.55 0.75 4 5
4 78 94 20 0.05 9.1 10.9 2.3 1.60 0.77 4 5
77 99 20 .0.02 6.9 11.4 2.3 1.65 0.80 4 5
7 77 104 20 .0.08 8.9 12.0 2.3 1.70 0.82 4 5
79 108 20 .0.11 9.2 12.6 2.3 1.75 0.84 3 4
81 112 20 ~0.13 9.5 13.1 2.3 1.80 0.87 3 4
76.9 82.6 79.8
77.6 83.2 80.4
78.2 83.8 81.0
78.8 84.4 81.6
79.4 85.0 82.2
80.0 85.6 82.8
80.6 86.1 83.3
81.1 86.7 83.9
81.7 87.2 84.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
AUSTRIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8 292 4 060 4 232
8 507 4 180 4 327
8 682 4 276 4 406
8 871 4 376 4 495
9 039 4 461 4 579
9 181 4 529 4 653
9 312 4 590 4 723
9 458 4 658 4 800
9 627 4 740 4 888
4.8 11.0 12.1 21.9 16.2 4.3 48.2 40.1
5.3 10.0 11.9 22.9 17.3 4.7 47.0 41.7
5.7 10.1 11.1 23.9 18.3 4.9 43.8 43.1
5.9 10.9 10.1 25.7 19.1 5.3 40.4 43.7
5.8 11.5 10.2 28.3 20.8 6.0 38.9 43.9
5.6 11.6 11.0 30.6 23.2 6.5 38.7 44.3
5.7 11.4 11.6 31.5 25.3 7.0 38.4 44.3
6.0 11.3 11.7 31.3 25.9 7.9 38.3 44.0
6.4 11.6 11.4 31.1 25.4 9.3 38.0 42.9
43 0.51 10.7 9.4 3.8 1.67 0.81
.. .
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbulion Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,M)O population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
17 0.20 7.6 9.4 3.8 1.17 0.56
.7 .0.08 6.7 9.9 2.4 1.05 0.50
. 13 -0.16 6.3 10.3 2.4 1.00 0.48
. 16 -0.19 6.5 10.9 2.4 1.05 0.50
. 20 .0.24 6.6 11.5 2.5 1.10 0.53
. 26 .0.33 6.5 12.3 2.5 1.15 0.55
. 34 .0.44 6.2 13.1 2.5 1.20 0.58
-42 .0.55 6.0 14.0 2.6 1.25 0.60
-47 .0.63 6.0 15.0 2.7 1.30 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
8 292 4060 4232 40.1
8 430 4140 4290 42.0
8 483 4174 4309 43.9
8 510 4191 4320 45.3
8 507 4187 4319 46.3
8 465 4161 4304 47.4
8 383 4113 4270 48.5
8 265 4046 4219 49.5
8 115 3964 4151 50.4
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.33 8.9 9.4
0.13 8.6 9.8
0.06 8.4 10.1
.0.01 8.1 10.5
.0.10 7.7 11.0
.0.19 7.4 11.7
-0.28 7.2 12.4
-0.37 7.1 13.2
.0.44 7.0 14.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prmpects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2896 1363 1 533 89.0
3326 1575 1 751 90.0
3894 1864 2 031 91.8
4574 2209 2 366 93.3
5172 2511 2 661 94.3
5689 2774 2 915 95.2
6161 3000 3 161 94.9
6670 3248 3 422 94.9
7212 3529 3 683 95.8
7791 3815 3 976 95.9
8143 3974 4 169 95.3
10.3 22.0 22.2 l l .l 6.9 0.8 50.2 22.8
14.6 16.2 23.0 10.0 7.5 0.9 51.9 23.2 38
18.6 19.8 16.7 8.8 6.3 1 .0 45.7 22.6 45
18.3 25.8 11.7 8.2 5.6 1 .1 40.9 19.6 53
14.6 29.6 14.8 8.1 5.5 1.2 42.0 18.2 60
12.3 27.8 20.2 7.9 5.6 1.2 46.1 19.1 66
11.5 23.1 24.1 7.1 5.4 1.2 50.2 21.1 71
12.1 20.7 22.1 7.2 4.9 1.2 51.1 22.8 77
13.1 21.2 19.2 7.4 4.2 0.5 50.1 23.2 83
11.5 22.4 17.6 8.0 4.9 0.6 51.3 24.1 90
8.5 22.5 18.0 9.1 5.9 0.6 55.3 25.7 94
33
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
8 352 4060 4 292 94.6
8 671 4217 4 454 94.7
9 008 4381 4 627 94.7
9 307 4523 4 783 94.6
9 508 4613 4 895 94.2
9 599 4646 4 953 93.8
9 614 4642 4 971 93.4
9 587 4622 4 965 93.1
9 523 4589 4 934 93.0
9 404 4535 4 869 93.1
6.5 18.8 20.6 9.3 7.2 0.8 10.7 6.6 6.8 12.1 58.7 27.7 96
7.4 14.0 20.8 9.2 7.0 1.3 7.8 5.0 5.9 12.8 59.0 29.4 100
7.7 12.9 17.1 10.6 6.8 1.7 7.9 3.5 4.2 10.9 55.4 31.3 104
7.3 14.1 12.8 13.3 8.0 2.0 8.7 3.9 3.4 7.8 51.2 33.4 107
6.5 14.3 12.0 16.7 10.5 1.8 8.6 4.3 4.1 6.8 49.2 35.8 110
5.6 13.4 13.4 18.9 13.5 1.7 7.9 4.3 4.3 8.0 48.2 38.2 111
5.2 11.9 13.9 20.6 15.4 2.4 6.9 3.9 4.1 8.4 46.5 40.6 111
5.3 10.8 13.2 22.1 16.7 3.6 6.3 3.4 3.7 8.1 43.2 42.0 111
5.5 10.6 11.8 24.3 17.6 4.9 6.3 3.1 3.3 7.2 40.0 42.4 110
5.5 11.0 10.8 27.6 19.5 5.4 6.6 3.2 3.1 6.5 38.8 42.5 109
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ..................... .. .................... 80th sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............ ....
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8352 4 060 4 292
8762 4 266 4 496
9253 4 512 4 741
9733 4 751 4 983
10088 4 921 5 167
10330 5 033 5 297
10544 5 133 5 41 1
10781 5 250 5 531
11018 5 372 5 646
6.5 18.8 20.6 9.3 7.2 0.8 58.7 27.7
8.3 13.8 20.6 9.1 6.9 1.3 58.4 29.1
9.1 13.5 16.7 10.3 6.6 1.7 54.0 30.5
8.9 16.0 12.2 12.7 7.6 1.9 49.2 32.2
7.6 16.8 12.2 15.7 9.9 1.7 47.5 34.1
6.7 15.7 14.8 17.6 12.5 1.6 47.2 36.1
6.7 13.7 15.8 18.8 14.1 2.2 46.4 37.1
7.2 12.8 14.8 19.6 14.8 3.2 43.7 36.5
7.5 13.3 13.0 21.0 15.2 4.2 41.0 36.2
82 0.96 18.5 7.7 -1.2 2.07 0.87
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
46 0.54 14.0 7.4 .1.2 1.57 0.66
37 0.42 13.3 7.9 .1.2 1.44 0.61
8 0.09 10.9 8.8 .1.1 1.35 0.59
23 0.26 12.1 8.3 .1.1 1.35 0.58
.
I1 -0.12 9.4 9.4 .1.1 1.35 0.60
. 29 .0.33 8.2 10.3 .1.1 1.35 0.61
. 45 -0.52 7.6 11.7 .1.2 1.35 0.61
. 58 -0.69 7.5 13.2 .1.2 1.35 0.62
. 70 .0.87 7.3 14.7 .1.2 1.35 0.62
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Median age (years)
.................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8352 4 060 4 292 27.7
8623 4 191 4 432 29.6
8901 4 324 4 577 31.7
9125 4 426 4 698 33.9
9244 4 473 4 771 36.6
9264 4 468 4 795 39.3
9216 4 432 4 784 41.8
9113 4 373 4 740 44.0
8947 4 287 4 660 45.3
0.64 15.1 7.5
0.63 15.5 8.0
0.50 14.4 8.3
0.26 12.4 8.7
0.04 10.7 9.2
.0.10 10.0 10.0
.0.22 10.0 11.1
.0.37 9.8 12.4
.0.53 9.4 13.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BAHAMAS A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision. Volum I:Comprehensive Tables
2000
BAHAMAS
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
323 1 58 165
347 169 177
372 181 191
397 193 204
421 204 217
445 215 230
468 226 242
490 236 254
51 1 246 265
8.6 18.9 17.6 9.3 6.2 1.2 54.8 28.0
9.0 16.8 17.0 10.4 7.2 1.3 54.0 29.4
9.0 15.9 16.5 11.7 8.0 1.5 52.0 30.8
8.8 16.3 14.7 13.6 9.1 1 .9 49.4 31.8
8.3 16.3 14.0 15.9 10.7 2.2 47.6 32.9
8.0 15.7 14.6 17.8 12.7 2.5 46.9 34.0
7.8 15.1 14.7 19.5 14.3 3.0 45.9 34.8
7.8 14.7 14.3 20.4 15.6 3.7 45.1 34.9
7.8 14.7 13.8 21.5 16.3 4.6 44.0 35.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 1.40 18.9 6.1 1.2 2.27 1.07
D..LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years)
......... .................................
323 158 165
340
166 1 74
354 172 182
364 1 76 188
373 180 1 94
380 182 198
384 1 83 201
384 182 202
381 180 201
8.6 18.9 17.6 9.3 6.2 1.2 54.8 28.0
7.2 17.1 17.3 10.6 7.3 1.4 55.0 30.0
6.3 14.7 17.3 12.3 8.4 1.6 54.5 32.4
5.6 12.7 16.0 14.9 10.0 2.0 53.6 34.8
5.3 11.4 14.0 18.0 12.1 2.5 51.7 37.0
5.0 10.6 12.3 20.8 14.9 3.0 49.8 39.3
4.6 10.1 11.1 23.7 17.4 3.7 47.2 41.7
4.2 9.5 10.5 26.1 19.9 4.8 45.0 44.0
3.9 8.9 10.3 28.9 21.9 6.2 42.4 46.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. WO population) . Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.00 14.9 6.1 1.2 1.77 0.84
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
323 158 165 28.0
344
168 176 29.6
366 178 188 31.3
388 188 199 32.7
408 197 21 1 34.0
427 206 221 35.5
445 214 231 36.7
460 221 239 37.6
474 227 247 38.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-X)20 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 W 2 0 4 0 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population)
..
1.27 17.6 6.1
1.23 17.2 6.0
1.12 16.6 6.5
1.03 15.8 6.6
0.92 15.1 6.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
0.81 14.5 7.3
0.68 14.1 8.2
0.60 13.9 8.8
0.55 13.7 9.0
2050
BAHRAIN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
725 416 309 134.4
792 452 341 132.7
857 486 371 131.1
917 517 399 129.6
972 546 426 128.0
1025 572 453 126.3
1072 594 478 124.4
1112 613 500 122.5
1146 627 519 120.8
1173 638 535 119.3
9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 10.4 5.3 4.7 9.6 58.9 28.8 1 044
8.0 15.9 16.0 5.6 3.3 0.5 9.6 4.7 4.9 9.5 58.5 30.5 1 142
7.3 14.9 15.5 7.8 4.2 0.6 8.9 4.5 4.3 9.5 56.7 32.0 1 234
6.7 13.6 14.5 11.0 6.2 0.7 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.7 55.2 33.6 1 321
6.3 12.6 13.8 14.2 8.9 0.8 7.5 3.8 3.9 8.5 53.8 35.0 1 401
6.2 11.8 12.9 17.1 11.5 1.2 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.8 52.0 36.6 1 477
6.0 11.5 12.1 19.7 13.9 2.0 6.9 3.4 3.4 7.4 50.2 37.9 1 545
5.8 11.3 11.6 21.7 15.9 3.1 6.8 3.4 3.3 7.0 48.5 39.0 1 603
5.6 11.1 11.4 23.1 17.5 4.1 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.9 46.6 40.1 1 651
5.4 10.8 11.4 24.3 18.6 4.9 6.5 3.3 3.2 6.9 45.4 40.9 1 690
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BAHRAIN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..........................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
725 416 309
799 455 344
876 496
380
951 535 416
1 024 572 451
1 095 608 487
1 163 641 522
1 228 672 556
1 290 701 589
9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 58.9 28.8
8.8 15.7 15.9 5.6 3.3 0.5 58.0 30.3
8.5 15.3 15.1 7.7 4.2 0.6 55.3 31.4
8.1 15.1 14.0 10.6 5.9 0.7 52.9 32.5
7.6 14.7 13.8 13.5 8.4 0.8 51.6 33.6
7.4 14.1 13.8 16.0 10.8 1.1 50.3 34.6
7.3 13.6 13.6 18.1 12.8 1.9 49.2 35.2
7.2 13.5 13.1 19.7 14.4 2.8 48.1 35.7
7.2 13.4 12.8 20.5 15.6 3.6 46.8 36.2
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
15 1.96 18.9 3.3 3.9 2.54 1.21
15 1.82 18.1 3.5 3.6 2.51 1.20
15 1.66 17.2 3.9 3.3 2.45 1.17
14 1.47 16.0 4.4 3.0 2.35 1.13
14 1.34 15.6 5.1 2.8 2.35 1.13
14 1.21 15.3 5.9 2.7 2.35 1.13
13 1.09 15.1 6.7 2.5 2.35 1.13
12 0.98 14.9 7.5 2.4 2.35 1.13
12 0.90 14.8 8.0 2.3 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................ ............. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
..................
725 416 309
785 448 337
838 476 361
882 500 382
921 520 401
955 536 419
983 549 434
l 002 556 446
1 012 558 454
9.0 17.3 16.1 4.5 3.1 0.4 58.9 28.8
7.2 16.0 16.2 5.7 3.3 0.5 59.1 30.7
6.0 14.4 15.8 8.0 4.3 0.6 58.2 32.7
5.2 12.0 15.1 11.5 6.4 0.8 57.6 34.7
4.8 10.3 13.9 15.0 9.4 0.9 56.3 36.7
4.7 9.3 11.9 18.3 12.4 1.3 54.0 38.6
4.5 9.0 10.4 21.4 15.1 2.2 51.3 40.6
4.3 8.9 9.6 24.1 17.7 3.4 48.7 42.4
4.0 8.5 9.5 26.2 19.9 4.6 45.9 44.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
12 1.61 15.3 3.2 4.0 2.04 0.97
10 1.29 12.7 3.5 3.7 1.71 0.82
9 1.03 10.8 4.0 3.5 1.45 0.70
8 0.87 10.1 4.7 3.3 1.35 0.65
7 0.74 9.8 5.7 3.2 1.35 0.65
6 0.57 9.4 6.8 3.1 1.35 0.65
4 0.38 8.8 8.0 3.0 1.35 0.65
2 0.19 8.1 9.2 3.0 1.35 0.65
0 0.03 7.6 10.3 3.0 1.35 0.65
1251 683 567 35.1
1320 716 604 35.3
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................ .... ....................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
725 416 309 28.8
798 455 344 30.3
875 495 379 31.5
952 536 417 32.5
1030 575 454 33.4
1106 613 492 34.3
1180 649 530 34.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.
1 94 18.7 3.3
1.82 18.1 3.5
1.70 17.6 3.9
1.57 17.0 4.4
1.43 16.5 5.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.29 16.1 5.8
1.17 15.9 6.6
1.08 15.7 7.3
1.01 15.7 7.8
1388 749 640 35.5
BANGLADESH A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexralio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .............................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
153 281 78470 74 811 104.9
166 638 85145 81 493 104.5
180 114 91844 88 269 104.1
193 333 98373 94 960 103.6
206 024 104587 101 437 103.1
217 932 110361 107 571 102.6
228 836 115588 113 248 102.1
238 600 120196 118 404 101.5
247 073 124107 122 967 100.9
254 084 127263 126 820 100.3
12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.7 6.8 6.5 12.0 52.4 22.2 1 064
11.2 21.6 20.0 6.2 3.9 0.4 13.1 6.2 6.3 11.9 53.5 23.5 1 157
10.6 20.5 19.1 7.0 4.3 0.5 12.3 6.1 5.8 11.4 53.7 24.9 1 251
9.9 19.3 18.4 8.0 5.0 0.6 11.6 5.7 5.8 10.9 53.9 26.4 1 343
9.3 18.4 17.7 9.2 5.8 0.7 11.1 5.5 5.3 10.7 53.7 27.8 1 431
8.7 17.4 16.9 10.6 6.8 0.8 10.5 5.2 5.2 10.1 53.4 29.2 1 513
8.1 16.5 16.4 11.9 7.9 1.0 9.9 5.0 5.0 9.8 52.6 30.8 1 589
7.6 15.6 15.8 13.3 9.0 1.2 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.5 51.6 32.2 1 657
7.2 14.8 15.1 15.1 10.2 1.5 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.1 50.4 33.6 1 716
6.7 14.1 14.5 17.0 11.7 1.9 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 49.4 35.1 1 764
Populat~on change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BANGLADESH C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ...........................................
Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4................... Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
153 281 78 470 74 81 1
168 061 85 872 82 189
184 108 93 885 90 224
200 875 102 223 98 652
217 515 110 449 107 066
234 111 118610 115500
250 774 126 768 124 006
267 442 134 889 132 553
283 844 142 840 141 004
299 666 150 490 149 176
12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 52.4 22.2
12.0 21.5 19.8 6.2 3.9 0.4 53.0 23.3
11.8 20.9 18.7 6.9 4.2 0.5 52.5 24.3
11.3 20.5 17.7 7.7 4.8 0.5 51.9 25.3
10.6 20.2 17.4 8.8 5.5 0.6 51.5 26.1
10.1 19.4 17.4 9.8 6.3 0.7 51.4 27.0
9.7 18.5 17.4 10.9 7.2 0.9 51 .O 27.9
9.4 17.8 16.9 11.9 8.0 1.1 50.3 28.8
9.0 17.4 16.2 13.2 8.9 1.3 49.6 29.7
8.7 16.9
15.8 14.4 9.9 1.6 49.2 30.7
2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 956 1.84 26.6 7.6 -0.6 3.08 1.35
..
3 209 1.82 25.8 7.0 -0.6 3.03 1.36
3353 1.74 24.6 6.6 -0.5 2.97 1.36
3328 1.59 22.8 6.4 -0.5 2.83 1.32
3319 1.47 21.5 6.3 -0.4 2.72 1.28
3333 1.38 20.5 6.4 -0.4 2.63 1.25
3334 1.29 19.8 6.5 -0.4 2.54 1.21
3 281 1.19 18.9 6.7 -0.4 2.47 1.18
3 164 1 .o9 18.1 6.9 -0.3 2.40 1.15
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
153 281 78 470 74 81 1
164 598 84 103 80 495
174 768 89 114 85 654
183 795 93 504 90 291
192 056 97 461 94 595
199 033 100 725 98 308
204 235 103 052 101 183
207 522 104364 103 158
208 985 104 705 104 280
208 680 104 133 104 547
12.3 22.8 20.3 5.7 3.5 0.4 52.4 22.2
10.1 21.9 20.2 6.3 4.0 0.4 54.1 23.8
9.0 20.0 19.7 7.2 4.5 0.5 55.3 25.7
8.1 17.4 19.3 8.4 5.3 0.6 56.7 27.8
7.6 15.8 18.0 9.9 6.2 0.7 56.5 29.9
7.0 14.7 15.9 11.6 7.5 0.9 55.8 32.0
6.3 13.9 14.7 13.4 8.8 1.1 54.3 34.2
5.6 12.8 14.0 15.3 10.4 1.4 52.7 36.6
5.1 11.6 13.4 17.9 12.1 1.8 50.6 38.0
4.6 10.6 12.6 20.7 14.3 2.3 48.5 40.9
Population (thousands)
Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 0-4.................... Percentage aged 5-14.. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years)
2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 263 1.43 22.3 7.4 -0.6 2.58 1.13
2 o34 1.20 19.5 6.9 -0.6 2.23
1 .o0
1806 1 .o1 17.3 6.7 -0.6 1.97 0.90
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
153 281 78 470 74811 22.2
169 100 86 403 82697 23.1
186 621 95 168 91453 23.9
205 419 104 542 100877 24.6
225 529 114 538 110991 24.9
247 357 125 364 121993 25.2
1652 0.88 16.1 6.7 -0.5 1 .83 0.85
1395 0.71 14.6 6.9 -0.5 1.72 0.81
1040 0.52 13.0 7.3 -0.5 1.63
0.77
293 0.14 10.3 8.5 -0.5 1.47 0.70
- 61 -0.03 9.4 9.2 -0.5 1.40 0.67
2035
2040
2045
2050
271 218 137 187 134030 25.5
297 215 150 061 147154 25.7
325 431 164 O35 161396 25.9
356 071 179 245 176826 26.1
657 0.32 11.5 7.8 -0.5 1.54 0.74
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005-201O 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
._
1.96 27.9 7.6
1.97 27.3 7.1
1.92 26.3 6.6
1.87 25.5 6.3
1.65 25.1 6.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.84 24.9 6.1
1.83 24.7 6.1
1.81 24.5 6.1
1 .80 24.3 6.1
133
BARBADOS
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
21 1 97 114 85.1
227 104 123 84.2
231 103 127 81.2
235 108 127 85.2
239 112 127 88.5
246 118 128 91.8
249 118 131 90.1
260 124 136 91.3
271 130 141 92.2
280 135 145 93.0
286 138 148 93.4
12.3 20.9 17.5 8.5 5.7 0.9 50.0 24.6 491
13.6 21.2 16.3 9.5 6.8 1.4 46.3 24.3 529
14.0 24.1 15.6 10.0 6.7 1 .0 43.1 22.3 536
13.8 25.2 16.4 11.1 7.1 1 .0 41.2 20.6 547
10.9 26.1 19.2 12.2 8.3 1.3 41.8 21.2 555
8.9 22.6 21.0 13.6 9.9 1.2 47.1 23.7 571
8.6 21.0 21.7 14.1 10.5 1.7 48.1 24.4 579
8.4 18.2 20.8 13.2 10.1 1.8 52.0 26.3
8.0 15.9 19.2 12.7 9.4 1 .9 55.2 28.3 631
7.2 15.5 16.8 12.2 9.3 2.1 56.4 30.7 651
6.3 14.6 14.9 12.2 9.1 2.2 56.5 33.0 666
605
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) ......................... Males ...................... . Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fie mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BARBADOS C. HIQHVARMNT Indicator Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
...............
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-1
Percentage of womeo aged 15-49 .. M e d i i age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
292
209
314 153 161
323
156 183
157
165
324 158 166
324 158 166
324 158 166
323
145 154
307 150 158
3M
141 151 5.8 13.0 14.7 12.6 9.2 2.2 55.1 35.5
6.3 11.7 13.8 14.4 9.6 2.3 51.5 37.7
6.4 11.6 12.2 17.4 11.3 2.4 47.0 39.7
6.3 12.1 11.0 21.3 14.1 2.6 43.0 41.O
6.0 12.3 11.0 25.3 17.6 2.9 40.1 42.3
5.9 12.0 11.7 28.3 21.2 3.9 39.0 43.3
6.0 11.7 12.0 30.4 23.5 5.3 38.2 44.0
6.3 11.8 11.8 30.8 25.1 6.9 37.4 43.8
6.5 12.2 11.6 30.9 25.0 8.3 37.1 42.7
6.6 12.8 11.7 30.7 24.8 9.0 37.6 41.5
158 165
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2om 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (tharsanbs) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.OOO populatbn) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatbn) . Told Mlity (children per wom~n)........... Net reprodvction rate (per woman) ..........
1
2 0.52 13.0 7.0 -0.6 1.93 0.93
0.50
12.8 7.0 -0.8 1.75 0.85
1 0.47 12.9 7.4 -0.6 2.08 1.01
1 0.33 12.2 8.1 -0.8 2.13 1.a3
1
0.19 11.9 9.2 -0.8 2.18 1.06
0 0.08 12.1 10.6 -0.8 2.23 1.08
0.02 12.7 11.7 -0.8 2.20 1.11
0
0 -0.02
13.1 12.6 -0.8 2.33 1.13
0 -0.07 13.3 13.2 -0.8 2.35 1.14
D. LOWVARIANT 2050 -
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
292 141
294
294
143 151
143 151
291 142 150
287 140 148
281 138 144
271 131 140
258 125 134
244 117 127
228 109 118
4.5 11.9 14.0 14.7 9.8 2.4 52.4 38.2
3.9 10.3 12.8 16.2 11.9 2.5 49.1 41.1
3.5 8.4 11.8 23.0 15.2 2.8 46.3 43.9
3.4 7.5 10.3 28.2 19.6 3.2 42.6 46.2
3.3 7.1 8.6 32.5 24.3 4.4 40.0 48.5
3.1 7.0 7.8 36.4 20.1 6.3 37.3 50.6
2.9 6.7 7.6 38.6 31.5 8.7 34.6 52.6
2.8 6.4 7.6 41.O 33.2 11.1 32.4 54.4
2.8 6.2 7.5 43.5 35.2 12.7 30.6 55.9
POpul.tlon (thouundo)
Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 60 01over .................. percentage aged 65 (x over .................. Percentage aged 80 (x over percentage of wormn aged 15-49 ......... Mediin age (years) .................................
12.6 9.2 2.2 55.1 35.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 -2025 -
Population change per year (thousanbrr) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .... Cnde death rate (per 1,ooOpopulatm).. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO papulation) . Total fertility (children per mnuvl) Net reproductioo rate (per woman)
........... ..........
~
~
~
0 0.14 9.2 7.0 -0.9 1.25 0.61
0 -0.02 7.9 7.2 -0.9 1.13 0.55
2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050
2025-2030 -2035
~~~~~
0 -0.16 7.1 7.8 -0.9 1.08 0.52
- 1 -0.28 6.9 8.8 -0.9 1.13 0.55
- 1 -0.46 6.6 10.4 -0.9 1.18 0.57
- 2 -0.71 6.1 12.3 -0.9 1.23 0.80
- 3 -0.95 5.7 14.2 -0.9 1.28 0.62
- 3
0.65
- 3 -1.38 5.4 17.9 -1.1 1.35 0.66
-1.16 5.5
t6.1 -1.o 1.33
E. CONSTANT-FERtlUTY VARIANT
Populdon (thousand.) Total ....................................................
................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. U&
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
292
297 144 153 38.0
300
302 147 155 42.6
301 147 154 44.5
298
146 154 40.5
291 141 150 48.1
262 137 146 49.5
271 131 140 50.7
258 125 133 51.4
141 151 35.5
145 153 48.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 Population growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OOO population) ..
0.32 11.O 7.0
0.23 10.3 7.1
0.12 9.6 7.6
-0.04 9.0 8.5
-0.23 8.4 9.8
United Nations Depadment of Ecanomic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehenshre Tables
-0.44 8.0 11.5
2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 -0.64 7.7 13.2
-0.81 7.5 14.6
-0.97 7.3 16.0
135
BELARUS A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................ .................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ...........
Age distribution
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ...................... ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
9 795 4567 5 228 87.4
9 529 4424 5 104 86.7
9 260 4287 4 972 86.2
8 974 4145 4 829 85.8
8 668 3993 4 675 85.4
8 346 3835 4 511 85.0
8 015 3676 4 339 84.7
7 674 3519 4 155 84.7
7 321 3362 3 960 84.9
4.6 11.0 16.4 18.1 14.4 2.3 6.2 4.0 4.8 10.0 51.2 37.4 47
4.7 9.7 14.7 18.4 13.5 3.1 5.7 3.0 3.6 9.4 49.6 38.4 46
4.7 9.7 11.6 19.7 13.7 3.3 5.8 2.9 2.9 7.2 47.2 39.6 45
4.5 9.8 10.2 22.2 15.0 3.6 5.9 3.0 3.0 6.1 45.9 41 .0 43
4.1 9.6 10.3 24.5 17.4 3.2 5.7 3.0 3.1 6.2 44.3 42.8 42
3.9 9.0 10.5 25.8 19.6 3.5 5.3 2.9 3.1 6.3 42.5 44.9 40
3.9 8.4 10.3 27.7 20.7 4.4 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.3 39.6 47.0 39
4.0 8.2 9.8 29.7 22.2 5.7 4.9 2.5 2.7 6.0 36.1 48.6 37
4.1 8.4 9.2 32.6 23.9 6.6 5.0 2.5 2.6 5.6 34.5 49.6 35
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BELARUS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2020
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.35 -0.36 11.3 14.7 -0.2 1.45 0.69
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
. 72 .0.75 7.5 14.8 .0.2 0.95 0.45
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) ..................... ...
9 795 4567 5 228 37.4
9 541 4430 5 110 38.3
9 269 4292 4 977 39.5
8 957 4136 4 821 41 0
.
8 613 3965 4 648 43.0
8 253 3787 4 466 45.2
7 879 3606 4 273 47.4
7 479 3418 4 061 49.5
7 050 3222 3 828 50.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.53 9.6 14.7
.0.58 9.3 14.9
.0.69 8.3 14.9
.0.78 7.3 14.9
.0.85 6.8 15.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.93 6.7 15.7
.1.04 6.5 16.7
.1.18 6.2 17.7
.1.32 5.8 18.7
BELGIUM
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... . ...... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... ....... Females ............................................. Both sexes comb~ned...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net rnigrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................ . .................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BELGIUM
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
10398 5089 5 309
10604 5197 5 408
10825 5310 5 514
11057 5429 5 627
11274 5539 5 735
11474 5636 5 838
11661 5724 5 937
11854 5814 8 040
12068 5918 6 150
5.4 11.6 12.1 22.1 17.3 4.3 46.3 40.3
6.0 11.0 11.9 23.5 17.5 5.0 44.5 41.4
6.2 11.3 11.5 24.8 18.6 5.5 42.2 42.1
6.4 12.0 10.9 26.4 19.8 5.7 40.1 42.4
6.2 12.4 11.1 28.1 21.3 5.6 39.3 42.4
6.1 12.5 11.9 29.2 22.9 6.4 39.1 42.4
6.1 12.3 12.3 29.8 23.9 7.2 39.4 42.2
6.3 12.1 12.4 29.7 24.2 8.1 39.6 41.8
8.5 12.3 12.1 29.3 24.0 8.9 39.6 40.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
41 0.39 12.0 10.0 1.9 1.90 0.92
44 0.41 12.5 10.2 1.9 2.06 1 .00
46 0.42 12.8 10.4 1.8 2.17 1 .05
43 0.39 12.5 10.4 1 .8 2.18 1 .06
40 0.35 12.3 10.5 1.8 2.20 1 .06
37 0.32 12.2 10.7 1.7 2.21 1.07
39 0.33 12.6 11.0 1.7 2.22 1.08
43 0.36 13.1 11.2 1.7 2.23 1.08
47 0.38 13.5 11.3 l .6 2.25 1 .09
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
10398 5089 5309
10439 5112 5327
10401 5093 5307
10312 5048 5264
10210 4994 5216
10089 4927 5162
9929 4838 5092
9718 4720 4996
9450 4579 4871
5.4 11.8 12.1 22.1 17.3 4.3 46.3 40.3
4.5 11.2 12.1 23.8 17.7 5.1 45.2 42.0
4.0 10.2 11.9 25.8 19.4 5.7 43.8 43.6
3.7 8.8 11.6 28.3 21.2 6.1 42.9 45.1
3.8 8.1 10.7 31 .0 23.5 8.2 41.6 46.4
3.8 7.9 9.3 33.2 28.1 7.3 40.3 47.6
3.7 8.0 8.6 34.9 28.1 8.5 38.8 48.7
3.5 7.9 8.5 36.2 29.6 9.9 37.4 49.8
3.2 7.7 8.7 37.4 30.6 11.4 36.2 51 .0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 0.08 8.9 10.0 l .9 1.40 0.67
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... . . . . .................... Females ......................... . ................. Median age (years) ................... . ..........
10398 5089 5 309 40.3
10517 5152 5 385 41.7
l0599 5195 5 404 42.9
10856 5224 5 432 43.9
10694 5242 5 452 44.6
10705 5242 5 463 45.2
10681 5222 5 459 45.9
10619 5182 5 437 46.5
10524 5128 5 396 46.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.23 10.3 10.0
0.16 10.0 10.4
0.11 9.9 10.7
0.07 9.7 10.9
0.02 9.5 11.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.05 9.3 11.6
.0.12 9.1 12.1
.0.18 9.0 12.7
.0.22 9.0 13.1
BELIZE A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ........................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .............................. Populatlon density (populatlon per sq km)
Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populatlon) .. Total ferlility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ..........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Males ........................................... Females ............................................ Sex rat10(males per 100 temales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................ Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage in school ages 6-11 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 ....... Percentage In school ages 15-17 ........ Percentage in school ages 18-23 ....... Percentage of women aged 15-49 . . . . . . . Medlan age (years) ............................. Populatlon density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) .................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mottallty rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-flve mortality (per 1,000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ............................
5
6 7 1 0 2.08 25.2 3.8 -0.7 2.93 1.41 16 20
6 7 1 0 1.83 22.9 4.0 -0.6 2.65 1.27 15 18
6 7 2 0 1.59 20.9 4.4 -0.6 2.41 1.16 14 16
7 2 0 1.41 19.0 4.4 -0.5 2.21 1.06 13 15
5 7 2 0 1.20 17.1 4.6 -0.5 2.04 0.98 12 14
73.3 79.2 76.1
73.1 79.6 76 2
72.5 79.3 75.8
74.0 80.2 77.0
74.8 80.9 77.8
4 7 0 1.01 15.3 4.8 -0.5 1.89 0.92 11 13
4 6 2 0 0.87 14.4 5.3 -0.5 1.85 0.90 10 l2
3 6 3 0 0.75 13.8 5.8 -0.4 1.85 0.90 9 11
3 6 3 0 0.63 13.1 6.4 -0.4 1.85 0.90 9 10
76.1 81.6 78.8
77.0 81.8 79.4
77.7 82.2 80.0
78.4 82.9 80.7
2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BELIZE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
276 139 137
309
1 55 1 53
344 1 73 171
379 190 189
413 207 207
447 223 224
480 239 241
513 255 258
546 271 274
13.1 24.6 20.6 5.8 4.2 0.9 51.4 20.9
12.6 22.9 20.0 6.1 4.2 0.9 52.4 22.1
12.1 21.6 19.5 6.8 4.5 1 .0 52.7 23.3
11.4 21.1 18.5 7.7 5.1 1 .0 52.2 24.4
10.5 20.4 17.8 8.9 5.9 1.1 51 .8 25.8
9.7 19.3 17.8 10.1 6.9 1.3 51.6 27.1
9.1 18.0 17.5 11.7 8.0 1.5 51.2 28.4
8.8 16.9 16.7 13.2 9.2 1.9 50.5 29.8
8.7 16.2 15.7 14.7 10.5 2.3 49.4 31.1
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgmwth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
7 2.28 27.2 3.8 -0.7 3.18 1.53
7 2.14 25.9 4.0 -0.6 3.05 1.46
7 1.95 24.4 4.3 -0.6 2.91 1.40
7 1.75 22.2 4.2 .0.5 2.71 1.31
7 1.56 20.4 4.3 -0.5 2.54 1.23
7 1.41 19.0 4.5 .0.4 2.39 1.16
7 1.33 18.4 4.8 .0.4 2.35 1.14
7 1.25 18.0 5.2 .0.4 2.35 1.14
6 1.15 17.4 5.6 -0.4 2.35 1.14
........... ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
347 174 1 73
365 182 183
380 189 191
392 194 197
400 198 202
404 200 205
8.2 18.1 20.2 8.4 5.5 l .1 56.9 26.9
7.4 16.0 18.5 10.0 6.7 1.2 56.9 29.3
6.5 14.5 16.4 11.9 8.1 1.5 56.1 31.9
5.6 13.1 14.8 14.3 9.8 1.9 54.5 34.6
5.1 11.6 13.7 17.0 11.9 2.5 52.7 37.4
4.7 10.4 12.6 19.9 14.1 3.1 50.2 40.2
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
276 139 137
303 152 150
327 1 64 163
13.1 24.6 20.6 5.8 4.2 0.9 51.4 20.9
10.8 23.3 20.4 6.3 4.3 1 .0 53.5 22.6
9.4 20.9 20.6 7.1 4.8 1 .0 55.4 24.6
. ............ .... . ..........
5 1.87 23.2 3.7 -0.7 2.68 1.29
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
276 139 137 20.9
31 1 156 1 54 21.9
350 1 76 1 74 22.8
391 1 96 195 23.5
436 218 218 24.1
484 242 243 24.5
537 268 269 24.9
595 297 298 25.4
657 328 329 25.8
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.40 28.5 3.8
2.36 28.1 4.0
2.25 27.3 4.3
2.17 26.3 4.1
2.10 25.6 4.1
2.07 25.2 4.2
2.04 25.0 4.3
2.00 24.8 4.5
1.96 24.5 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrtbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OM) population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per l.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ....................... ......................... Males ................................... ........... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
.....
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy et blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
276 369 102 10 3.02 40.2 11.2 1.1 5.42 2.13 98 146
292 397 104 .2 2.76 37.5 9.8 .0.2 4.92 2.00 91 131
309 415 105 .2 2.55 34.3 8.6 .0.2 4.41 1.83 83 117
317 426 107 .2 2.32 31.2 7.8 -0.1 3.92 1.66
55.6 57.8
58.2 60.3 59.3
60.2 62.5 61.4
56.7
105
109 .2 2.12 26.4 7.2 -0.1 3.49 1.51 70 94
327 442 113 .2 1.94 26.2 6.7 .0.1 3.14 1.38 63 83
327 447 118 .2 1.77 24.1 6.4 .0.1 2.87 1.28 58 74
125 .2 1.60 22.2 6.2 .0.1 2.66 1.20 52 66
31 0 445 133 .2 1.43 20.5 6.1 .0.1 2.50 1.13 48 59
61.9 64.4 63.2
63.7 66.2 64.9
65.4 67.8 66.6
67.0 69.2 68.1
68.3 70.5 69.4
69.6 71.8 70.7
n
323 434
322 448
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2OOo
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (lhousandr) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged W or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
8490 4274 4 217
9948 5025 4 923
11549 5840 5 708
13300 6731 6 569
15136 7664 7 473
17069 8644 8 425
19120 9684 9 436
21283 10781 10 502
23521 11916 11 605
17.1 27.1 20.4 4.3 2.7 0.3 46.0 17.7
17.2 26.3 20.0 4.4 2.7 0.3 46.4 18.0
16.6 26.4 19.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 46.7 18.3
15.7 26.5 19.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 47.3 18.8
14.5 25.8 19.8 5.3 3.5 0.3 48.6 19.5
13.6 24.6 20.4 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.1 20.5
13.0 23.3 20.3 6.1 4.0 0.5 51 0 21.6
12.4 22.2 19.6 6.7 4.3 0.6 51.5 22.8
11.7 21.5 18.8 7.6 4.8 0.6 51.7 23.9
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populalion change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.OM) population) CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
291 3.17 41.9 11.3 11 5.67 2.23
.
320 2.98 40.0 10.0 -0.2 5.32 2.16
367 2.59 33.9 7.9 .0.1 4.42 1.88
350 2.82 37.2 8.9 -0.2 4.91 2.04
387 2.40 31.3 7.2 -0.1 3.99 1.73
410 2.27 29.5 6.7 -0.1 3.64 1.60
433 2.14 27.8 6.3 -0.1 3.37 1.50
448 2.00 26.1 8.0 -0.1 3.16 1.42
455 1.85 24.3 5.8 -0.1 3.00 1.36
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populallon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbulion Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
261 2.86 38.5 11.0 1.1 5.17 2.03
263 2.52 34.9 9.5 -0.2 4.52 1.83
267 2.27 31.3 8.4 -0.2 3.91 1.63
268 2.04 28.2 7.7 .0.2 3.42 1.45
262 1.81 25.4 7.1 .0.1 2.99 1.29
249 1.59 22.7 6.7 -0.1 2.64 1.16
232 1.37 20.3 6.5 -0.1 2.37 1.06
211 1.17 18.2 6.4 .0.1 2.16 0.97
186 0.98 16.4 6.5 .0.1 2.00 0.91
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
8 490 4274 4217 17.7
9 997 5050 4947 17.9
11 766 5951 5815 17.9
13 879 7026 6853 17.7
16 379 8296 8082 17.6
19 363 9812 9551 17.7
22 955 11639 11317 17.7
27 291 13844 13447 17.7
32 514 16502 16012 17.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.27 43.0 11.4
3.26 43.0 10.3
3.30 42.4 9.2
3.31 41.6 8.4
3.35 41.2 7.7
3.40 41.1 7.0
3.46 41.0 6.4
3.50 40.9 5.9
3.53 40.8 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
BHUTAN
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...................
............ ....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................ ........................ Sexratio(rnaiesper100fernales) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
..
637 335 302 111.1
684 361 323 111.8
737 369 347 112.2
780 410 370 110.7
819 428 391 109.4
851 442 409 108.1
877 453 424 106.9
900 462 438 105.6
920 469 450 104.3
9.9 23.1 23.0 6.9 4.6 0.5 13.7 7.4 7.1 13.8 52.4 22.3 14
8.5 19.2 22.4 7.4 5.0 0.7 11.2 6.2 6.7 13.4 56.6 25.0 15
8.7 16.1 20.0 8.0 5.4 0.9 9.4 5.1 5.5 12.4 58.3 27.4 16
8.5 15.5 16.7 9.1 5.9 1.0 9.4 4.3 4.6 10.2 57.8 29.7 17
7.8 15.8 14.4 10.1 6.9 1.1 9.6 4.6 4.2 8.6 56.4 32.0 17
6.9 15.2 14.0 11.8 7.7 1.2 9.1 4.6 4.6 8.2 55.3 34.2 18
6.3 13.9 14.7 13.5 9.2 1.4 8.2 4.4 4.5 8.8 53.6 36.3 19
6.1 12.6 14.3 16.3 10.7 18 7.4 4.0 4.2 8.7 50.7 37.9 19
6.1 11.9 13.2 19.9 13.1 2.1 7.1 3.6 3.7 8.1 47.4 39.1 20
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 OW live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ................... ......... ............ ..
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BHUTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
11 1.62 20.5 7.3 3.0 2.44 1 08
13 1.79 22.1 7.1 2.8 2.50 1.13
12 1.52 22.0 6.8 0.0 2.52 1.16
11 1.32 19.8 6.6 0.0 2.45 1.14
10 1.10 17.5 6.5 0.0 2.38 1.12
9 0.97 16.3 6.7 0.0 2.35 1.11
9 0.95 16.5 7.0 0.0 2.35 1.12
10 0.95 16.9 7.4 0.0 2.35 1.12
10 0.88 16.7 7.9 0.0 2.35 1.12
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................... ................... Females ............................................... Age dlatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 1.24 16.5 7.1 3.0 1.94 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
637 335 302 22.3
703 370 332 24.4
778 41 1
368 26.1
849 445 404 27.5
919 479 440 28.6
988 512 477 29.1
1 061 546 515 29.0
1 139
583 556 29.3
1 222 622 599 29.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.96 24.0 7.4
2.05 24.9 7.1
1.74 24.0 6.7
1.58 22.2 6.4
1.46 20.9 6.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.42 20.5 6.3
1.42 20.7 6.5
1.39 20.6 6.7
1.34 20.4 7.0
BOLIVIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
2 714 1 353 99.5
3 006 1 493 1 513 98.7
3 351 1 660 1 692 98.1
16.9 24.5 19.3 5.6 3.5 0.3 46.7 19.2 2
17.0 24.9 18.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.4 19.0 3
17.2 25.6 18.3 5.5 3.3 0.3 45.6 18.7 3
1 3M)
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ...................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9182 4575 4 607 99.3
10031 5003 5 028 99.5
10854 5418 5 437 99.7
11638 5812 5 826 99.8
12368 6178 6 190 99.8
13034 6511 6 523 99.8
13626 6806 6 820 99.8
14136 7057 7 079 99.7
14561 7266 7 298 99.6
14908 7430 7 478 99.4
13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 15.0 7.1 6.4 11.2 48.9 20.8 8
12.4 23.4 20.0 7.2 4.8 0.7 14.2 6.7 6.6 11.7 50.3 21.9 9
11.4 22.1 19.9 7.8 5.2 0.8 13.4 6.5 6.2 11.8 51.4 23.2 10
10.4 20.7 19.3 8.6 5.8 1 .0 12.4 6.1 6.1 11.4 52.4 24.8 11
9.6 19.3 18.7 9.5 6.5 1.1 11.6 5.8 5.7 11.2 52.9 26.4 11
8.8 17.9 17.8 10.6 7.3 1.3 10.7 5.4 5.4 10.6 53.1 28.2 12
8.1 16.7 16.9 12.1 8.3 1.6 10.0 5.1 5.1 10.1 52.9 30.1 12
7.4 15.5 16.0 13.7 9.6 1.9 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.6 52.2 32.0 13
6.9 14.4 15.1 15.4 11.0 2.3 8.6 4.4 4.5 9.1 50.8 34.0 13
6.5 13.5 14.2 17.5 12.5 2.8 8.0 4.1 4.2 8.6 49.2 35.9 14
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per l. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comb~ned............................
.. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BOLIVIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
9182 4 575 4 607
10115 5 046 5 069
11090 5 538 5 552
12085 6 040 6 045
13052 6 527 6 525
13994 7 001 6 993
14917 7 465 7 453
15815 7 914 7 901
16683 8 347 8 336
13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8
13.1 23.2 19.8 7.1 4.7 0.7 49.9 21.7
11.8 21.8 18.6 8.3 5.6 0.9 50.5 23.7
10.9 21.0 18.3 9.0 6.2 10 50.8 24.8
10.2 19.9 18.2 9.9 6.8 1.2 51.1 26.1
9.6 18.7 17.8 11.1 7.6 1.5 51.3 27.4
9.2 17.7 17.1 12.2 8.6 1.7 50.9 28.8
8.7 16.9 16.2 13.5 9.6 2.0 50.0 30.2
12.5 22.4 19.5 7.6 5.l 0.8 50.3 22.7
.
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
187 1.94 29.1 7.7 .2.1 3.75 1.65
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
9182 4 575 4 607
9946 4 960 4 986
10616 5 296 5 320
I1186 5 582 5 605
11680 5 827 5 853
12078 6 023 6 054
12364 6 162 6 202
12534 6 240 6 294
12594 6 261 6 333
13.5 24.6 19.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 48.9 20.8
11.6 23.6 20.1 7.3 4.8 0.7 50.7 22.1
10.2 21.8 20.3 8.0 5.4 0.8 52.5 23.8
8.9 19.4 20.1 8.9 6.0 1.0 54.5 25.9
8.1 17.3 19.1 10.1 6.9 1.2 55.2 28.1
7.2 15.6 17.3 11.5 7.9 1.4 55.3 30.4
6.4 14.3 15.7 13.4 9.2 1.8 54.7 33.0
5.6 12.9 14.4 15.4 10.9 2.2 53.4 35.7
5.0 11.5 13.4 17.8 12.7 2.7 51.3 38.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
153 1.60 25.6 7.5 -2.1 3.25 1.43
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populetlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ....................... ......
..
9182 4 575 4 607 20.8
10185 5 081 5 104 21.5
11336 5 663 5 672 22.1
12626 6 316 6 310 22.5
14050 7 036 7 013 22.6
15623 7 833 7 791 22.8
17381 8 722 8 658 23.0
19352 9 720 9 632 23.2
21567 10 841 10 726 23.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.07 30.5 7.7
2.14 30.5 7.2
2.16 30.0 6.8
2.14 29.3 6.4
2.12 28.7 6.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume t Comprehensive Tables
2.13 28.4 5.9
2.15 28.2 5.7
2.17 28.1 5.5
2.18 28.0 5.4
24048 12 097 11 952 23.5
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................ Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... ...................... Females ................... ... ...................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
12 0.31 10.5 9.5 2.0 1.48 0.70
2 0.05 11.2 10.7 0.0 1.66 0.79
.1 .0.02 11.4 11.6 0.0 1.81 0.86
.5 .0.13 10.9 12.2 0.0 1.86 0.88
.8 .0.21 10.5 12.6 0.0 1.91 0.91
.9 .0.23 10.4 12.7 0.0 1.96 0.93
.9 .0.22 10.8 13.0 0.0 2.01 0.96
.8 .0.21 11.3 13.4 0.0 2.06 0.98
.8 -0.22 11.6 13.8 0.0 2.11 1.01
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... ................ Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 .0.04 7.0 9.5 2.0 0.98 0.46
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) ......................... Total ....................... . Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
3 915 1 904 2 01 1 37.1
3 948 1 919 2 029 39.0
3 909 1 899 2 009 41 0
0.17 9.1 9.5
.0.20 8.8 10.8
.0.36 8.3 11.9
.
3 839 1 866 1 973 42.9
. p p
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.49 7.8 12.8
3 746 1 822 1 924 44.7
3 633 1 768 1 865 46.3
3 506 1 707 1 799 48.0
3 366 1 640 1 726 49.8
3 213 1 565 1 648 51.2
.0.71 6.7 13.8
.0.82 6.3 14.5
.0.93 6.1 15.4
.1.06 5.9 16.5
..
p~
.0.61 7.2 13.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3 048 1 485 1 563 52.7
BOTSWANA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population denslty (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Both sexes cornb~ned............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ...................................... ..... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1 836 91 1 925 98.4 11.8 23.8 23.4 5.1 3.4 0.4 14.3 7.2 7.2 14.1 52.9 21 .1 3
1 953
974 978 99.6
2 062 1 035 1026 100.9
2 165 1 093 1072 102.0
2 265 1 148 1116 102.9
2 358 1200 1158 103.6
2 445 1 246 1199 104.0
2 533 1 292 1241 104.1
2 620 1 335 1285 103.9
11.4 22.0 22.5 5.4 3.6 0.5 13.1 6.7 6.7 13.5 53.8 22.4 3
11.1 21 .0 20.9 8.2 3.8 0.5 12.7 6.1 6.2 12.6 54.2 23.6 4
10.6 20.7 19.4 6.8 4.4 0.6 12.5 6.0 5.8 11.7 54.6 24.6 4
9.9 20.2 18.8 7.1 4.9 0.7 12.2 6.0 5.9 11.1 55.5 25.6 4
9.3 19.2 18.9 7.3 5.1 0.7 11.5 5.8 5.8 11.3 56.4 26.5 4
8.8 18.1 18.6 7.5 5.2 0.9 10.8 5.5 5.6 11.2 56.4 27.5 4
8.4 17.1 17.9 8.5 5.4 l .0 10.2 5.2 5.3 10.8 55.7 28.7 4
8.1 16.3 16.9 10.2 6.2 1 .0 9.8 4.9 5.0 10.2 54.6 30.0 5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five moriality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ............................
23 47 27 3 1.23 24.9 14.1 l .6 2.90 1.14 46 68
22 48 28 2 1.09 23.9 14.1 1 .0 2.68 1.09 38 52
21 48 28 1 0.98 22.6 13.2 0.5 2.51 1.06 31 40
20 46 28 1 0.90 21.0 12.4 0.5 2.37 1.04 27 34
19 45 27 1 0.81 19.4 11.8 0.4 2.26 1.01 23 29
17 44 28 1 0.73 18.3 11.5 0.4 2.16 0.99 20 25
17 44 27 0.70 17.5 10.9 0.4 2.07 0.96 18 22
0.68 16.7 10.3 0.4 1.99 0.93 16 20
17 42 26 1 0 63 15.7 9.9 0.4 1.92 0.91 15 17
50.5 50.7 50.7
52.2 51.6 52.0
54.7 54.0 54.5
57.1 56.4 56.9
59.1 58.9 59.1
60.5 60.8 60.7
62.2 63.2 62.7
64.0 65.5 64.7
65.8 67.9 66.7
1
17 43 27 1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BOTSWANA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlslrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
....
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1836 911 925
1972 984 988
2115 1062 1053
2264 1 143 1121
2411 1222 1189
2558 1 300 1257
2708 1 379 1329
2874 1 464 1410
3053 1 554 1499
3237 1 645 1592
11.8 23.8 23.4 5.1 3.4 0.4 52.9 21 .l
12.3 21.7 22.2 5.3 3.6 0.5 53.3 22.2
12.5 21.3 20.4 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.9 23.0
12.2 22.1 18.6 6.5 4.2 0.6 52.2 23.4
11.3 22.3 18.5 6.7 4.6 0.6 52.9 23.8
10.7 21.4 19.5 6.7 4.7 0.6 54.0 24.2
10.3 20.1 19.7 6.8 4.7 0.8 54.5 24.9
10.2 19.2 19.0 7.4 4.7 0.9 54.1 25.9
10.0 18.7 17.8 8.7 5.3 0.9 53.2 26.9
9.6 18.5 17.0 10.2 6.5 0.9 52.5 27.9
27 1.43 26.9 14.2 1.6 3.15 1.23
29 1.40 27.0 14.0 1 .0 3.08 1.25
30 1.36 26.1 13.0 0.5 3.01 1.27
29 1.26 24.1 12.0 0.4 2.87 1.26
29 1.18 22.5 11.1 0.4 2.76 1.24
30 1.15 21.7 10.6 0.4 2.66 1.22
33 1.19 21.5 10.0 0.4 2.57 1.19
36 1.21 21 .1 9.3 0.3 2.49 1.17
37 1.17 20.1 8.7 0.3 2.42 1.14
6 0.27 14.7 12.5 0.5 1.66 0.76
4 0.18 13.4 12.0 0.5 1.57 0.73
2 0.11 12.3 11.6 0.5 1.49 0.70
1 0.03 11.2 11.3 0.5 1.42 0.67
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
20
1.04 22.8 14.1 1.6 2.65 1.04
15 0.76 20.7 14.1 1 .0 2.28 0.93
10 0.50 17.5 13.0 0.5 1.87 0.82
12 0.57 18.8 13.5 0.5 2.01 0.85
8 0.40 16.0 12.5 0.5 1.76 0.79
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 836 911 925 21 .1
1 973 984 22.2
2 118 1064 1054 22.9
2 275 1 149 1 127 23.3
2 445 1240 1206 23.4
2 630 1337 1293 23.4
2 832 1441 1390 23.8
3 061 1 558 1502 24.2
3 319 1888 1 631 24.7
3 608 1 832 1 776 25.1
1.44 26.9 14.2
1.43 27.3 14.0
1.43 26.8 12.9
1.44 25.9 11.9
1.45 25.1 11.0
1.48 24.8 10.4
1.55 24.7 9.5
1.62 24.7 8.8
1.67 24.4 8.1
988
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BRAZIL
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentaga of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Popula!ion change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortallly rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 ......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populat~on). Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-f~vemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... ....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BRAZIL
.
C HMHVARIANT
popu-
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
186 831 82 183
200 924
112801 116403
242 347 119 196 123 151
254 993 125 336 129 658
267 305 131 309 135 996
279 454 137 217 142 238
291 206 142 950 148 258
3M4w
94648
215 202 105 970 109 232
229203
99025 101 899
9.7 18.2 18.9 8.8 6.1 1.2 54.8 28.9
9.9 17.6 16.8 9.9 6.7 1.4 53.0 28.2
9.6 17.6 15.6 11.2 7.6 1.6 51.0 29.6
9.1 17.6 15.2 12.8 8.7 1.9 49.3 30.6
8.6 17.1 15.5 14.6 10.1 2.1 48.5 31.4
8.3 18.3 15.7 16.1 11.6 2.5 47.4 32.1
8.1 15.8 15.4 17.4 12.9 3.0 46.2 32.7
8.0 15.3 14.8 18.9 13.9 3.6 45.3 33.4
7.9 15.1 14.3 20.3 15.1 4.2 44.9 34.1
7.8 15.0 14.0 21.2 16.3 4.7 44.6 34.8
(W-W
Total .................................................... Msko ...................................................
148 445 153 955
4pdkMbulbn mtwaged0-4 Percantage aged 5-14 .......................... hcmtage alpd 15-24 .........................
Pemtqp nged 80 or over .................. Percantaga aged 65 or over .................. Percentegn aged 80 or over .................. Penmtage of WQnen @ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2o302035 m352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
PopJetkmchnngeperyear(thanrands) . PopJetbng m l h rate (per cent)............ Cnnb bwI rate (per 1.OOO poprlatbn) Crude deeth rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net rng i ramrate (per 1 OOO popdaiar) . Tdal fertulty (chikkenp e r m ) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..
....
........... ..........
2819 1.45 21.1 6.4 0.2 2.50 1.17
2858 1.37 20.3 6.4 -0.2 2.55 1.20
2800 1.26 19.3
2629 1.12 18.0 6.7 0.2 2.48 1.16
6.5 0.2 2.58 1.21
2529 1.02 17.2 6.9 -0.2 2.42 1.15
2462 16.8 7.2 -0.1 2.36 1.13
2430 0.89 16.6 7.6 -0.1 2.35 1.13
2350 0.82 16.3 8.0 -0.1 2.35 1.13
2239 0.75 16.0 8.3 -0.1 2.35 1.13
0.94
.
D LOWVARIANT
Popu-(-.) Tatal ....................................................
Males ..........................................
Females ...............................................
40di.blkrtlon
percentaoeaged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage nged 60 or over .................. Percentaw aged 65 or over .................. Percantageaged 80 or over .................. pereenteeeOfmflged1549 ......... Medlan age (ye.918) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
186 831 92 183
197 029 97 037
204 872 100 69s
94648
99992
104 174
210 741 103 379 107 382
215 294 105 391 109 903
218 114 108 522 111 592
218 923 108 638 112285
217 W5 105 875 112 080
215 340 104 297 111 043
211 103 101 953 109 150
9.7 18.2 18.9 8.8 6.1 1.2 54.8 26.9
8.1 17.9 17.1 10.1 6.8 1.5 54.0 28.8
6.9 16.5 16.4 11.8 7.9 1.7 53.4 31.1
6.1 14.3 16.6 13.9 9.5 2.0 53.5 33.4
5.7 12.5 15.6 18.4 11.4 2.4 52.6 35.6
5.2 11.4 13.7 18.8 13.6 2.9 50.8 37.8
4.6 10.7 12.2 21.3 15.7 3.7 47.9 39.9
4.2 9.7 11.3 24.2 17.8 4.6 45.7 42.2
3.9 8.9 10.7 27.5 20.4 5.7 43.8 44.4
3.7 8.4 10.0 30.3 23.3 8.7 41.4 46.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
l%pulntbnchangeperyenr(tlKuamb) . Populntkm growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.OOO popllatbn) CrudecJenlhrnte(per1.000population) .. Net m t i o n rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fiertility (CMldren per woman) ........... Nei reproductkm rate @er woman) ..........
....
.
2040 1.08 17.2 6.3 -0.2 2.00 0.94
1569 0.78 14.5 6.5 -0.2 1.75 0.83
1174 0.57 12.8 6.7 -0.2 1.58 0.74
911 0.43 11.6 7.2 -0.2 1.48 0.71
564 0.26 10.5 7.7 -0.2 1.42 0.88
162 0.07 9.3 8.4 -0.2 1.36 0.65
. 192
. 525
-0.09 8.5 9.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65
-0.24 7.9 10.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65
. 847 -0.40 7.4 11.2 -0.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERllLlTY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
186 831 S2 183 94 848 28.9
199 759 98 431 101 328 28.4
212 428 104 554 107 874
224 &90 110 501 114 195 31.3
238 589 118 258 120 331 32.3
248 173 121 858 126 315 33.1
259 410 127 287 132 122 33.9
270 182 132 497 137 885 34.6
280 416 137 463 142 954 35.2
290 132 142 211 147 920 35.7
popu-(-)
Total ....................................................
Ma!m ................................................... Females ............................................... Meaan ege (years) .................................
30.0
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035.2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
poplatlon growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude wh rate (per 1.OOO popllatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) ..
.
1.34 20.0 6.3
1.23 18.9 6.4
1.12 17.9 6.5
1.03 17.3 6.8
0.96 16.8 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World populetbn Prappecls: The 2006 Rwision. Volume I: Compr&snsive Tables
0.89 16.4 7.4
0.81 16.1 7.8
0.74 15.8 8.2
0.68 15.5 8.6
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ..........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percenlage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve blrths) Under-live mortal~ly(per 1.000 llve b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ............................
IJnited Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thoumnds) Total ....................................................
........ Females ...............................................
Age dlmlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
..
..
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
374 194 180
419 216 203
466 239 227
514 263 251
561 285 275
608 308 300
657 331 326
706 355 352
756 378 378
606 403 404
10.7 18.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 0.4 60.0 26.2
10.8 17.6 17.5 5.7 3.4 0.5 59.2 27.1
10.4 17.4 16.6 7.3 4.2 0.6 58.1 27.9
9.9 17.4 15.6 9.2 5.6 0.7 56.0 28.8
9.2 16.9 15.7 10.5 7.1 0.8 54.8 29.7
8.9 16.1 15.9 12.2 8.2 1.1 53.5 30.5
8.8 15.4 15.5 13.5 9.5 1.6 52.2 31.1
8.7 15.3 14.8 14.9 10.5 2.1 50.8 31.7
8.6 15.3 14.3 16.0 11.6 2.4 49.5 32.3
8.4 15.2 14.2 16.9 12.5 2.9 48.8 32.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 2.27 23.7 2.8 1.8 2.54 1.22
9 2.14 22.7 3.0 1.6 2.51 1.21
10 1.96 21.4 3.3 1.4 2.45 1.16
9 1.74 19.6 3.6 1.3 2.35 1.13
9 1.62 19.2 4.1 1.2 2.35 1.13
10 1.53 18.8 4.6 1.1 2.35 1.13
10 1.45 18.6 5.1 1.o 2.35 1.13
10 1.37 18.3 5.6 1 .o 2.35 1.13
10 1.28 17.8 5.9 0.9 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percantap aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or Over Percentageof women aged 15-49 .........
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
374 194 180
410 211 198
441 226 215
468 239 229
492 250 242
515 260 255
534 268 266
550 275 276
561 278 283
569 281 288
10.7 18.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 0.4 60.0 26.2
6.6 18.0 17.9 5.6 3.4 0.5 60.6 27.6
7.4 16.3 17.5 7.7 4.4 0.7 61.4 29.3
6.3 13.8 17.2 10.1 6.1 0.8 61.5 31.3
5.9 11.8 16.0 12.0 8.1 0.9 60.6 33.3
5.7 10.5 13.9 14.4 9.7 1.3 58.3 35.3
5.5 10.1 12.1 16.6 11.7 1.9 55.4 37.3
5.1 9.9 11.1 19.1 13.5 2.7 52.7 39.2
4.6 9.4 10.9 21.5 15.6 3.2 50.1 41.1
4.4 6.7 10.8 24.0 17.7 4.1 47.6 42.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
7 1.83 19.3 2.8 1.8 2.04 0.98
6 1.47 16.1 3.0 1.6 1.71 0.82
5 1.16 13.7 3.4 1.5 1.45 0.70
5 1.01 12.7 4.0 1.5 1.35
0.65
5 0.90 12.3 4.7 1.4 1.35 0.65
4 0.76 11.7 5.5 1.3 1.35 0.65
3 0.58 10.8 6.3 1.3 1.35 0.65
2 0.40 9.9 7.2 1.3 1.35 0.65
1 0.26 9.4 8.0 1.2 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thoumnda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
374 194 180 26.2
418 215 202 27.1
465 239 226 26.0
513 262 251 26.8
563 267 277 29.6
614 311 303 30.2
665
717
771
335 330
360
386
357 31.2
385 31.6
825 413 413 32.0
30.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............. ..
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population)
2.23 23.3 2.8
2.12 22.6 3.0
1.99 21.7 3.3
1.85 20.6 3.6
1.72 20.1 4.1
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division WO& Popul8tion frospecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.61 19.5 4.6
1.52 19.2 5.1
1.44 18.9 5.5
1.37 18.7 5.8
155
BULGARIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percenlage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rale (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
BULGARIA
.
C HMVARUNT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7 745 3758 3 937
7535 3642 3893
7333 3538 3796
7 121 3432 3888
8881
8 847 3203 3444
8436
8 253 3020 3233
6085
3 317 3 567
5917 2872 3045
4.4 9.4 13.8 22.9 17.2 3.2 47.0 40.8
5.3 8.8 11.9 24.4 17.5 3.8 45.4 41.5
5.4 9.9 9.7 25.5 18.8 4.3 43.1 42.4
5.2 11.0 9.0 26.5 19.9 4.3 41.2 43.5
4.8 11.1 10.3 27.5 21.0 4.5 39.8 44.9
4.8 10.5 11.8 28.6 21.8 5.3 38.2 46.0
5.3 10.1 11.8
5.7 10.4 10.9 31.7 23.9 8.4 35.2 46.8
5.9 11.3 10.4 32.9 25.5 8.7 34.9 45.3
popul.tla,
(thou-) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F m l e a ...............................................
3 104 3333
2 945 3 139
wd-
Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage nged 514 .......................... Pecantage 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. k m n l a g ~ a g e d 6 5 o r o v e.................. r perCeniage aged 80 w over .................. percentageof mwnen eged 15-49 Median age (yearn) ... ......
.........
30.0
22.7 5.9 38.8 46.9
5.8 11.9 10.8 33.7 28.8 7.2
36.2 43.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2a30 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050
.
poplhtbnchanoe per year (tharecMds) Populationgmlhrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rnte (per 1.000 populatbn) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 poptdnlkn) .. Nel m4gratii rate (per 1 000 w t i o n ) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m) ..........
.
-42 -0.55 10.8 14.7 -1.3 1.56 0.74
-40
-42
-48
4.54
-0.59
-0.88
10.8 14.9 -1.3 1.74 0.83
10.4 14.9 -1.4 1.89 0.90
9.6 15.0 -1.4 1.94 0.93
. 47 -0.10 9.6 15.2 -1.5 1.99 0.95
-42 10.5 15.4 -1.5 2.04 0.93
-37 -0.58 11.4 15.8 -1.8 2.09 1.00
-34 4.55 11.7 15.5 -1.8 2.14 1.03
-34 4.56 11.8 15.5 -1.7 2.19 1 .05
-0.84
.
D LOWVARUNT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2w5
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7745 3 750 3 987
7408 3 577 3 831
7025 3 379 3 646
8820
8 213 2 972 3 241
5-
5392
3 175 3 445
2770 3034
2 587 2 825
4 973 2362 2811
4552 2 158 2 394
4131 1954 2177
4.4 9.4 13.8 22.9 17.2 3.2 47.0 40.8
3.8 8.9 12.2 24.8 17.8 3.9 46.1 42.1
3.1 8.6 10.1
2.7 7.2 9.7 28.5
30.5
19.6 4.5 44.9 43.8
21.4 4.8 44.1 45.8
23.2 5.0 41.9 48.0
2.5 5.6 8.9 35.9 27.1 7.1 34.8 52.4
2.2 5.5
28.6
2.8 5.8 8.0 32.7 25.0 8.1 38.5
2.4
6.2 9.4
2.1 5.2 6.3 48.2 38.1 10.3 27.3 58.9
Popul4nam (thouunc(.)
........
.............................
Males ................................................... Femelea ...............................................
perantnge epd M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... percentaOe 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OvBr .................. hnmtqpaged65orover .................. perCentagenged80orwec .................. perCentageofwomenaged15-49......... Median age (years)
.................................
2.6
50.3
5.6
8.4 39.9 30.1 8.0 31.1 54.6
6.3
44.0 34.1 9.0 28.7 56.8
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 population chance per Y- 1- ( . Populationgrowlh rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1 .m populalh) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO popllation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OW poplletkn) .
.
...........
Total ferte(ty (childrenper wman) Net reproduction rate (per mwnan) ..........
. 67 -0.89 7.2 14.8 -1.3 1.08 0.51
-77 -1.06 8.1 15.3 -1.4 0.94 0.45
.81 -1.19 5.3 15.7 -1.5
. 81 -1.27 5.2 18.3 -1.6 0.94 0.45
0.89
0.42
-82 -1.36 5.0 17.0 -1.7 0.99 0.47
-83 -1.48 4.9 17.9 -1.8 I .04 0.50
-64
-1.82 4.7 19.0 -1.9 1.09 0.52
0.54
-84 -1.94 4.1 21.2 -2.3 1.19 0.57
-84 -1.77 4.4 20.0 -2.1 1.14
.
E CONSTANT-FERTWTY VARUNT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
M30
2035
2040
2045
2050
7 745 3758 3 887 40.8
7 456 3802 3 854 41.9
7 141 3439 3 702 43.3
6 799
8439 3089 3 351
6 071
3267 3 532
5 697 2724 2 973
4 925 2349 2 576
4 533 2160 2 372
44.9
48.9
5 313 2536 2 777 52.8
54.6
55.9
poPu-(-)
Totel .................................................... Males ................................................... Females Median age (years) .................................
...............................................
2907 3 184 48.9
50.9
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
Pqulationgrowth rate@ercmt) Crude wh rnte (per 1.000 populatkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000POpJation) ..
-0.76 8.5 14.8
-0.86 7.9 15.2
-0.98
7.1 15.4
-1.09 8.4 15.8
-1.18 82 18.3
United Nations Deparbnent of Eco~wnic and Social Affairslpopulation Division W& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vdume I: Comprehensive Tables
-1.27 8.0
17.0
-1.40 5.7 17.9
-1.52 5.4 18.8
-1.68 5.1 19.5
157
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... AV dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
3 983 2 032 1 951 104.1
4 242 2 163 2 079 104.0
4 563 2 323 2 240 103.7
4 933 2 499 2 433 102.7
5 449 2 747 2 702 101.7
6 097 3 056 3 042 100.5
6 827 3 399 3 429 99.1
7 709 3 818 3 891 98.1
8 871 4 391 4 480 98.0
15.0 25.0 19.8 3.8 2.1 0.2 50.4 19.8 15
16.4 23.7 19.5 4.6 2.6 0.2 49.7 19.7 15
16.6 23.6 19.7 5.3 3.1 0.3 49.0 19.6 17
17.2 25.1 18.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 46.3 19.2 18
18.4 25.6 17.9 6.1 3.9 0.4 44.6 18.0 20
19.2 26.7 18.4 6.3 4.1 0.5 43.0 17.0 22
19.2 28.4 18.6 6.3 4.2 0.6 41.9 16.2 25
19.1 29.0 19.4 6.1 4.2 0.6 41.9 15.9 28
19.1 28.5 20.5 5.6 4.0 0.7 42.9 16.1 32
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
13 933 6962 6971 99.9
16 097 8067 8030 100.5
18 475 9278 9197 100.9
21 034 10580 10454 101.2
23 729 11948 11780 101.4
26 505 13356 13149 101.6
29 309 14774 14535 101.6
32 101 16183 15918 101.7
34 845 17564 17281 101.6
18.2 27.9 20.2 4.5 3.1 0.7 17.2 7.5 6.7 11.7 45.5 16.8 51
17.8 27.6 20.3 4.0 2.9 0.6 17.0 7.5 6.8 11.7 46.3 17.1 59
16.9 27.3 20.5 3.9 2.6 0.6 16.8 7.4 6.8 11.9 47.3 17.7 67
15.9 26.7 20.6 4.0 2.6 0.5 16.4 7.4 6.8 12.0 48.3 18.3
14.8 25.8 20.8 4.3 2.7 0.5 15.8 7.3 6.8 12.1 49.4 19.2 87
13.7 24.7 20.8 4.8 3.0 0.5 15.0 7.1 6.7 12.2 50.6 20.3 97
12.7 23.5 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.5 14.2 6.8 6.5 12.1 51.7 21.6 107
11.8 22.2 20.1 6.4 4.1 0.6 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.9 52.7 22.9 117
11.0 21.0 19.5 7.2 4.7 0.6 12.6 6.2 6.0 11.6 53.3 24.3 127
77
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cwde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
13 933 6962 6 971
16 216 8127 8 089
18 812 9449 9 362
21 686 10911 10 775
24 758 12472 12 287
26 011 14121 13 890
31 437 15856 15 582
35 027 17670 17 357
18.2 27.9 20. 2 4.5 3.1 0.7 45.5 16.8
18.4 27.4 20.2 4.0 2.9 0.6 46.0 16.9
17.7 27.4 20.1 3.8 2.6 0.5 46.4 17.2
18.9 27.4 20.0 3.9 2.5 0.5 46.8 17.6
15.8 26.9 20.4 4.1 2.6 0.5 47.8 18.3
14.8 25.9 20.8 4.5 2.8 0.4 49.0 19.2
13.9 24.7 20.8 5.2 3.2 0.5 50.2 20.2
13.1 23.5 20.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 51.2 21.4
457 3.03 45.7 14.5 -0.9 6.25 2.28
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
409 2.74 42.4 14.2 -0.9 5.75 2.10
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
13 933 6 962 6 971 16.8
16 257 8 148 8 109 16.9
19 052 9 572 9 480 16.9
22 390 11 270 11 121 16.9
26 383 13 298 13 085 16.9
31 192 15 739 15 453 16.9
37 009 18 688 18 321 16.9
44 045 22 254 21 791 16.9
52 549 26 562 25 987 16.8
3.09 46.3 14.6
3.1 7 46.0 13.6
3.23 45.4 12.5
3.28 44.7 11.4
3.35 44.3 10.4
3.42 44.1 9.6
3.48 43.9 8.8
3.53 43.7 8.2
3.57 43.5 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
62 829 31 770 31 060 16.7
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2 456 1 176 1280 91.9
2 687 1 288 1399 92.1
2 940 1 411 1529 92.3
3 213 1 544 1669 92.5
3 514 1 691 1823 92.7
3 680 1 762 1919 91.8
4 130 1 987 2143 92.8
4 885 2 368 2517 94.1
5 692 2 775 2918 95.1
6 242 3 038 3205 94.8
6 668 3 233 3436 94.1
16.3 24.5 19.0 5.2 3.2 0.3 48.4 19.5 88
18.2 24.5 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.7 18.6 97
17.8 26.2 18.3 5.1 3.0 0.3 45.5 18.0 106
17.5 27.5 18.4 5.2 3.1 0.3 44.6 17.5 115
17.4 27.2 19.7 5.3 3.3 0.3 44.9 17.4 126
17.5 27.9 20.6 5.5 3.4 0.3 44.2 17.0 132
17.7 27.0 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.3 45.2 17.3 148
18.5 25.7 20.3 5.1 3.3 0.3 46.3 17.7 176
19.1 26.3 18.8 4.7 3.1 0.3 45.6 17.3 205
18.5 28.7 18.2 4.4 2.9 0.3 44.3 16.4 224
17.9 30.0 19.7 4.2 2.8 0.3 43.8 15.9 240
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) LIfa expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7859 3 837 4022 95.4
9553 4 692 4861 96.5
11223 5 532 5690 97.2
13062 6 456 6607 97.7
15040 7 446 7595 98.0
17232 8 540 8692 98.3
19720 9 781 9940 98.4
22476 11 153 11323 98.5
25374 12 594 12780 98.5
28315 14 054 14261 98.5
17.7 27.4 21.9 4.0 2.6 0.3 16.6 7.8 7.4 12.7 46.0 17.0 282
18.8 25.4 20.9 3.9 2.5 0.3 15.6 6.8 6.5 12.5 46.7 17.7 343
19.2 26.7 18.6 4.1 2.4 0.3 16.8 6.6 5.9 10.9 45.1 17.1 403
18.2 28.5 17.8 4.3 2.6 0.3 17.9 7.3 6.1 10.2 44.4 16.7 469
17.0 28.6 19.2 4.4 2.8 0.3 17.6 7.8 6.9 10.8 45.6 17.0
16.3 27.3 20.9 4.4 2.9 0.3 16.7 7.7 7.2 12.1 47.2 17.7 619
16.0 26.2 21.1 4.4 2.9 0.4 16.0 7.3 6.9 12.4 47.9 18.5 709
15.4 25.7 20.4 4.7 3.0 0.4 15.8 7.0 6.6 12.0 48.3 19.2 808
14.4 25.3 19.9 5.4 3.2 0.4 15.6 7.0 6.5 11.6 49.1 19.9 912
13.3 24.6 20.0 6.0 3.8 0.5 15.0 7.0 6.6 11.6 50.6 20.8 1017
5U)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
7 859 3837 4 022
9 619 4725 4 893
11 415 5629 5 786
13 437 6644 6 794
15 628 7740 7 888
18 103 8976 9 127
21 002 10422 10 580
24 331 12081 12 250
27 961 13889 14 073
17.7 27.4 21.9 4.0 2.6 0.3 46.0 17.0
19.4 25.2 20.8 3.8 2.4 0.3 46.4 17.5
20.0 26.8 18.3 4.0 2.4 0.3 44.3 16.7
19.1 29.1 17.3 4.2 2.6 0.3 43.2 16.0
17.8 29.4 18.9 4.2 2.7 0.3 44.3 16.3
17.2 28.2 20.9 4.2 2.8 0.3 45.9 17.0
17.1 27.0 21.3 4.2 2.7 0.4 46.7 17.6
16.7 26.6 20.4 4.4 2.7 0.4 46.9 18.1
15.8 26.6 19.8 4.9 2.9 0.4 47.5 18.6
352 4.04 48.6 15.8 7.4 7.05 2.51
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
326 3.77 45.5 15.4 7.5 6.55 2.33
309 3.01 44.8 14.3 .0.4 6.23 2.29
331 2.80 41.3 13.0 -0.3 5.76 2.19
353 2.81 38.2 11.9 .0.3 5.35 2.09
383 2.49 36.0 10.9 -0.3 4.90 1.97
420 2.41 34.3 9.9 -0.2 4.41 1.83
445 2.28 32.0 9.1 -0.2 3.90 1.66
446 2.05 29.0 8.3 -0.2 3.40 1.48
431 1.80 25.9 7.7 -0.2 2.98 1.32
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ....................... . ......
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
7859 3837 4 022 17.0
9553 4692 4 861 17.7
11258 5550 5 708 17.0
13239 6544 6 695 16.3
15512 7682 7 830 16.3
18208 9029 9 179 16.6
21523 10684 10 839 16.7
25632 12735 12 898 16.6
30676 15251 15 425 16.4
3.90 47.1 15.6
3.29 47.8 14.6
3.24 46.1 13.4
3.17 44.2 12.3
3.21 43.4 11.2
3.35 43.8 10.2
3.49 44.3 9.3
3.59 44.4 8.4
3.64 44.0 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CAMBODIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4 346 2173 2 173 100.0
4 840 2420 2 420 100.0
5 433 2717 2 716 100.0
6 141 3072 3 069 100.1
6 938 3473 3 465 100.2
7 098 3552 3 545 100.2
6 748 3124 3 623 86.2
8 106 3819 4 288 89.1
9 698 4619 5 079 90.9
1 1 395 5484 5 910 92.8
12 780 6193 6 586 94.0
16.7 25.5 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.4 18.7 24
16.7 25.6 19.4 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.4 18.7 27
16.9 25.6 19.2 4.5 2.7 0.2 47.1 18.6 30
17.1 25.7 19.1 4.6 2.7 0.2 46.8 18.5 34
17.2 26.0 18.9 4.6 2.8 0.2 46.4 18.3 38
15.5 26.8 19.5 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.3 18.7 39
14.4 26.8 21.3 4.8 2.8 0.2 50.5 18.8 37
20.6 22.6 20.2 4.5 2.9 0.2 48.5 18.1 45
18.5 26.1 18.4 4.4 2.7 0.2 46.9 17.8 54
17.0 29.3 16.1 4.5 2.8 0.2 44.7 17.3 63
13.6 28.2 19.6 4.6 2.9 0.3 48.0 18.3 71
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
13 956 6 790 7 165 94.8
15 224 7 445 7 779 95.7
16 641 8 183 8 458 96.7
18 102 8 944 9 158 97.7
19 489 9 666 9 824 98.4
20 761 10 325 10 435 98.9
21 949 10 939 1 1 010 99.4
23 089 11 526 1 1 563 99.7
24 165 12 072 12 093 99.8
12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 15.1 8.1 7.4 14.2 51.1 20.1 77
11.7 21.9 23.2 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.0 6.8 7.3 13.7 53.6 21.9 84
11.6 20.4 21.0 6.3 4.0 0.4 12.3 5.9 5.9 13.0 53.8 23.6 92
11.1 20.3 18.1 7.0 4.4 0.5 12.4 5.7 5.4 10.8 53.2 25.3 100
10.0 20.0 17.2 7.9 5.0 0.6 12.1 5.8 5.5 10.1 53.6 26.6 108
9.0 18.9 17.5 8.6 5.8 0.7 11.3 5.7 5.6 10.3 55.0 28.0 115
8.4 17.4 17.6 9.6 6.5 0.8 10.3 5.3 5.4 10.5 54.0 29.2 121
8.1 16.0 16.9 10.1 7.1 1 .0 9.6 4.9 5.0 10.2 52.6 30.6 128
7.7 15.3 15.7 12.7 7.5 1.2 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.5 50.6 32.1 133
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
254 386 131 .1 1.74 26.4 9.0 .0.1 3.18 1.34 63 89
284 413 128 1 1.78 25.9 8.0 .O.l 2.90 1.26 53 73
292 421 127 .2 1.68 24.3 7.3 .0.1 2.68 1.20
57.3 61.9 59.7
60.7 64.5 62.8
-
59
277 408 128 .2 1.48 21.7 6.8 -0.1 2.51 1.15 36 47
254 388 132 -2 1.26 19.3 6.6 -0.1 2.37 1.10 30 37
238 379 140 .2 1.11 17.8 6.5 -0.1 2.25 1 .06 25 31
228 381 151 .2 1.01 16.9 6.7 .0.1 2.15 1.02 20 25
21 5 381 164 L 2 0.91 16.1 6.9 -0.1 2.07 0.98 18 21
190 371 179 -2 0.77 15.1 7.3 -0.1 1.99 0.95 15 18
63.4 67.0 65.3
65.5 69.3 67.5
67.2 71.3 69.3
68.7 72.9 70.8
69.9 74.2 72.1
70.9 75.3 73.1
71.8 76.2 74.0
44
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
CAMBODIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
13956 6790 7 165
15364 7517 7 847
17047 8390 8 657
18877 9339 9 538
20654 10259 10 395
22359 11 139 11 220
24080 12024 12 056
25896 12954 12 942
27777 13910 13 867
12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 51.1 20.1
12.5 21.7 23.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 53.1 21.7
12.9 20.7 20.5 6.2 3.9 0.4 52.5 23.0
12.6 21.6 17.4 6.7 4.2 0.4 51.1 24.1
11.4 21.9 16.9 7.5 4.7 0.5 51.3 24.9
10.4 21.0 18.0 8.2 5.4 0.6 52.9 25.5
9.9 19.3 18.7 8.7 5.9 0.7 52.5 26.4
9.8 18.1 18.0 9.0 6.3 0.9 51.4 27.5
9.7 17.7 16.6 11.0 6.5 1.1 49.7 28.6
282 1.92 28.4 9.1 -0.1 3.43 1.44
..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
13 956 6 790 7165
15 083 7 373 7710
16 235 7 976 8259
17 327 8 549 8778
18 326 9 073 9253
19 179 9 520 9659
19 881 9 887 9994
20 440 10 178 10262
20 852 10 387 10466
12.0 25.5 23.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 51.1 20.1
10.9 22.1 23.4 5.8 3.5 0.4 54.1 22.1
10.3 20.1 21.6 6.5 4.0 0.4 55.0 24.1
9.4 18.8 19.0 7.4 4.6 0.5 55.5 26.3
8.5 17.8 17.6 8.4 5.3 0.6 56.2 28.4
7.6 16.5 16.9 9.6 6.2 0.7 57.3 30.4
6.8 15.1 16.3 10.6 7.2 0.9 55.8 32.4
6.2 13.7 15.4 11.4 8.0 1.1 53.8 34.4
5.7 12.5 14.3 14.7 8.7 1.4 51.1 36.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per'cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
225 1.55 24.5 8.9 .0.1 2.93 1.23
230 1.47 22.7 7.9 -0.1 2.50 1.09
218 1.30 20.4 7.3 -0.1 2.18 0.98
200 1.12 18.3 7.0 -0.1 2.01 0.92
171 0.91 16.0 6.8 -0.1 1.87 0.87
140 0.72 14.2 7.0 -0.1 1.75 0.82
112 0.55 12.9 7.3 -0.1 1.65 0.78
82 0.40 11.8 7.7 -0.1 1.57 0.74
48 0.23 10.7 8.3 .0.1 1.49 0.71
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
13956 6 790 7165 20.1
15465 7 568 7897 21.5
17325 8 532 8793 22.7
19431 9 621 9810 23.3
21666 10 774 10892 23.3
24019 11 984 12034 23.3
26586 13 300 13286 23.6
29471 14 774 14697 24.1
32716 16 425 16291 24.6
2.05 29.7 9.2
2.27 31.0 8.2
2.30 30.4 7.4
2.18 28.5 6.7
2.06 26.9 6.2
2.03 26.3 5.9
2.06 26.4 5.8
2.09 26.6 5.7
2.08 26.4 5.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
CAMEROON A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1 W females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ~r;de birthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 llve births) Life expectancy at birth (yews) .... ...................... Males ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............
..
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
17 795 8885 8910 99.7
19 662 9839 9823 100.2
21 525 10786 10739 100.4
23 352 11713 11639 100.6
25 136 12617 12519 100.8
26 892 13504 13388 100.9
28 603 14366 14237 100.9
30 233 15183 15050 100.9
31 752 15940 15813 100.8
33 144 16626 16519 100.6
15.8 25.9 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.5 15.7 7.4 6.9 12.3 47.5 18.7 37
14.6 25.5 21 .l 5.4 3.6 0.5 15.7 7.0 6.8 12.4 48.9 19.4 41
13.4 25.0 20.6 5.5 3.6 0.5 15.2 7.2 6.5 12.2 50.3 20.5
12.4 23.5 20.7 5.8 3.8 0.5 14.2 6.9 6.8 12.1 52.3 21.5 49
11.6 22.1 20.7 6.1 4.0 0.5 13.3 6.5 6.4 12.4 53.8 22.8 53
10.9 20.9 19.8 6.6 4.3 0.6 12.6 6.2 6.l 11.8 54.6 24.2 57
10.3 19.8 18.9 7.2 4.7 0.7 12.0 5.9 5.8 11.3 54.7 25.5 60
9.6 18.9 18.1 8.2 5.2 0.7 11.4 5.6 5.5 10.8 54.4 26.9 64
9.0 18.0 17.5 9.5 6.0 0.8 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.5 53.9 28.3 67
8.5 17.1 17.0 11.0 7.1 1 .0 10.2 5.2 5.1 10.2 53.4 29.6 70
45
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.W 0 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
CAMEROON
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ ~ r " d ebirthrate (per 1.600 .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
17 795 8885 8910
19 828 9922 9906
21 991 11021 10971
24 238 12159 12079
26 500 13303 13198
26 832 14478 14353
31 256 15698 15558
33 753 16951 16803
36 284 18215 18069
15.8 25.9 21.0 5.4 3.5 0.5 47.5 18.7
15.3 25.3 20.9 5.4 3.5 0.5 48.5 19.2
14.6 25.2 20.2 5.4 3.5 0.5 49.2 19.9
13.8 24.5 20.0 5.5 3.6 0.5 50.4 20.6
12.9 23.6 20.2 5.8 3.8 0.5 51.6 21.5
12.3 22.6 20.0 6.1 4.0 0.6 52.4 22.5
11.8 21.6 19.5 6.6 4.3 0.6 52.7 23.5
11.3 20.8 18.9 7.3 4.7 0.7 52.6 24.5
10.8 20.2 18.2 8.3 5.3 0.7 52.3 25.4
407 2.16 36.4 14.6 -0.2 4.56 1.70
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertlllty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
340 1.83 32.7 14.2 .0.2 4.06 1.51
313 1.54 26.4 12.9 ~0.1 3.37 1.30
262 1.13 22.9 11.5 .0.1 2.52 1.02
281 1.29 25.0 12.0 .0.1 2.85 1.12
240 0.99 21.0 11.0 -0.1 2.28 0.95
211 0.83 19.0 10.6 -0.1 2.09 0.89
173 0.66 16.9 10.3 .0.1 1.94 0.84
133 0.49 15.2 10.2 .0.1 1.81 0.80
93 0.34 13.7 10.3 .0.1 1.70 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
17 795 8 885 8910 18.7
20 044 10 031 10013 19.0
22 723 11 389 11334 19.1
25 810 12 950 12860 19.0
29 333 14 727 14606 18.9
33 427 16 788 16639 19.0
38 248 19 211 19038 19.0
43 940 22 067 21873 19.0
50 636 25 424 25212 19.0
2.38 38.7 14.8
2.51 38.8 13.7
2.55 38.1 12.6
2.56 37.4 11.8
2.61 37.0 10.8
2.70 36.9 9.9
2.77 36.8 9.1
2.84 36.7 8.4
2.89 36.5 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CANADA A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
13737 6969 6768 103.0
15736 7978 7758 102.8
17909 9076 8833 102.8
19678 9896 9782 101.2
21717 10912 10805 101.0
23142 11580 11563 100.1
24516 12211 12305 99.2
25843 12831 13012 98.6
27701 13733 13967 98.3
29302 14503 14799 98.0
30689 15197 15492 98.1
11.9 17.8 15.9 11.3 7.7 1.1 50.5 27.7
12.4 19.7 14.4 11.1 7.7 1 .1 48.6 27.3 2
12.5 21.1 14.6 10.7 7.5 1.2 47.2 26.4 2
11.5 21.9 16.0 10.9 7.7 1.4 46.9 25.5 2
8.5 21.6 18.6 11.4 7.9 1 .6 48.9 25.9 2
7.6 18.5 19.6 12.3 8.5 1.6 51.2 27.4 2
7.3 15.4 19.8 13.3 9.4 1 .8 53.2 29.2 2
7.1 14.1 17.5 14.6 10.3 2.0 53.5 31 .0 3
7.0 13.7 14.7 15.5 11.3 2.3 53.6 32.9 3
6.8 13.6 13.6 16.1 12.0 2.7 52.7 34.8 3
5.7 13.3 13.5 16.7 12.6 3.0 51.4 36.9 3
1
Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................. .... ......... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
32 271 15980 16291 98.1
33 752 16724 17028 98.2
35 191 17447 17743 98.3
36 588 18144 18444 98.4
37 912 18792 19120 98.3
39 105 19366 19739 98.1
40 148 19859 20289 97.9
41 069 20294 20774 97.7
41 920 20704 21216 97.6
5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 7.2 4.0 4.0 8.1 50.0 38.6 3
5.2 11.0 13.3 20.0 14.2 3.9 6.5 3.5 3.9 8.1 48.2 40.0 3
5.1 10.5 12.4 22.5 16.1 4.2 6.3 3.2 3.4 7.7 45.6 41.1 4
5.1 10.4 11.3 25.3 18.4 4.4 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.8 44.1 42.1 4
5.1 10.3 10.8 28.0 20.9 5.0 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.5 42.9 43.0 4
5.0 10.3 10.7 29.4 23.2 6.2 8.2 3.1 3.2 6.5 41.8 43.9 4
4.9 10.3 10.7 30.2 24.3 7.4 6.1 3.1 3.2 6.5 40.9 44.7 4
5.0 10.2 10.8 30.9 24.9 8.7 6.1 3.l 3.2 6.5 40.0 45.4 4
5.1 10.2 10.8 31.4 25.3 9.8 6.1 3.1 3.2 6.5 39.2 45.5 4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ................................ . . . . Both sexes combined ............................
..
296 341 245 200 0.90 10.3 7.4 6.1 1.53 0.74 5 6
288 352 264 200 0.84 10.2 7.7 5.8 1.53 0.74 5 6
279 366 287 200 0.78 10.2 8.0 5.6 1.55 0.75 4 5
265 378 314 200 0.71 10.2 8.4 5.4 1.60 0.77 4 5
239 383 345 200 0.62 10.0 9.0 5.2 1.65 0.80 4 5
209 389 380 200 0.53 9.8 9.6 5.0 1.70 0.82 4 5
184 401 41 7 200 0.45 9.9 10.3 4.9 1.75 0.85 4 5
170 420 450 200 0.41 10.1 10.8 4.8 1 .80 0.87 4 4
167 440 473 200 0.39 10.4 11.2 4.7 1.85 0.89 3 4
78.3 82.9 80.7
79.2 83.6 81.4
79.9 84.1 82.0
80.5 84.7 82.6
81.0 85.3 83.2
81.6 85.9 83.7
82.1 86.4 84.2
82.6 86.9 84.8
83.2 87.5 85.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
CANADA C. HtGHVARlANT lndlcator Popul.tlon (thouundo) Tdcll .................................................... Males ................................................... Perceotage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 Percentage a@xJ80 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or war Percentage of m n a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32271 15980 18291
34029 18887 17183
35927 17825 18102
37911 18 023 19 088
39026
41 835
19 775
20664
20052
20971
43375 21515 21860
45152 22390 22762
47045 23334 23711
49 067 24 357 24 710
5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 50.0 38.6
5.9 11.0 13.2 19.9 14.1 3.9 47.8 39.7
8.3 11.1 12.2 22.1 15.8 4.1 44.7 40.3
8.5 11.9 10.9 24.5 17.7 4.3 42.8 40.7
8.3 12.5 11.0 26.6 19.9 4.8 41.6 41.2
8.2 12.8 11.8 27.8 21.a 5.8 41.1 41.5
8.2 12.3 12.4 28.0 22.5 8.9 40.9 41.8
8.4 12.2 12.5 28.1 22.7 7.9 40.8 41.4
6.8 12.4 12.2 28.0 22.8 8.7 40.2 40.4
7.0 12.9 12.0 27.8 22.4 8.7 40.4 39.7
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 20302035 20352040 2040-2045 2o452050
populamchange per ysar (thousands). population growM rate (per cent) ............
Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
.. .
352
380
1.08 12.0 7.4 8.0 1.78 0.88
1.09 12.7 7.6 5.7 1.93 0.93
397 1.08 13.1 7.8 5.4 2.05 0.99
383 0.99 12.8 8.1 5.1 2.10 1.01
381 0.89 12.4 8.5 4.9 2.15 1 .w
348
355
0.82 12.4 9.0 4.7 2.20 1.06
0.80
13.0 9.5 4.5 2.25 1.09
379 0.82 13.7 9.8 4.3 2.30 1.11
404 0.84
14.1 9.9 4.2 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
32271 15 980 18291
33474 18 581 18892
34454 17 089 17385
35265 17 465
35999
17800
17 810 18188
38595 18 078 18517
37000 18 244 18756
37193 18 306 18887
37205 18 285 18920
37 108 18 222 18 885
5.3 12.3 13.4 17.8 13.1 3.5 50.0 38.8
4.4 11.1 13.4 20.2 14.3 3.9 46.8 40.3
3.9 10.0 12.7 23.0 18.5 4.3 46.6 41.8
3.8 8.7 11.7 26.3 19.1 4.8 45.7 43.4
3.7 8.0 10.8 29.5 22.0 5.3 44.3 44.9
3.7 7.8 9.4 31.4 24.8 8.8 42.7 46.3
3.8 8.0 8.8 32.8 26.4 8.1 40.8 47.8
3.5 7.9 8.8 34.1 27.5 9.8 39.1 48.9
3.5 7.8 9.0 35.4 28.5 11.0 37.5 50.1
3.5 7.7 9.0 38.8 29.8 11.5 36.5 50.9
2050 -
Population (thousand.)
Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentageaged65orwer .................. Percentage aged 80 orwer Percentage of women aged 15-49 M e d i i age (years) .................................
.
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
population change per population gmwth rate Crude Mrth rate (per 1, Crude deeth rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migratm rate (per 1,000 popllation). Total fertility (children p e r m ) .... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m )
241 0.73 8.7 7.4 8.1 1.28 0.82
198 0.58 7.7 7.8 5.9 1.13 0.54
162 0.47 7.1 8.2 5.7 1.M
0.51
147 0.41 7.3 8.8 5.8 1.10 0.53
119 0.33 7.3 9.5 5.5 1.15 0.56
81 0.22 7.1 10.3 5.4 1.20 0.58
38 0.10 8.9 11.2 5.4 1.25 0.81
2 0.01 8.7 12.1 5.4 1.30 0.63
-
19
4.05 8.8 12.7 5.4 1.35 0.85
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thwmnds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32 271 15 9KI 18 291 38.8
33 747 18 722 17 025 40.0
35 182 17 443 17 739 41.1
38 545 18 122 18 423 42.1
37 775 18 72!2 19 053 43.1
38 815
39 648 19 603 20 046 45.2
40 297 ?9898 20 399 46.1
40 802 20 130 20 671 46.8
41 206 20 324 20 882 46.8
19 217 19 593 44.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 203&2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050
Population growlt, rate (per cent) ............ CRlde birth rate @er 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.90 10.3 7.4
0.83 10.2 7.7
0.78 10.0 8.0
0.88 9.7 8.4
0.54 9.2 9.0
United Nations Department of Economicand Sod4 Affairs/population Division Workl Population Praspects: The 2006 Revlsbn, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables
0.43 8.8 9.7
0.33 8.7 10.4
0.25 8.6 11.1
0.20 8.6 11.5
167
CAPE VERDE A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population densty (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
146 66 80 83.1
169 78 92 84.7
196 91 105 86.5
229 108 121 88.6
267 127 140 90.8
278 130 148 87.7
289 133 157 84.8
319 148 171 86.6
355 167 189 88.2
401 190 211 89.8
451 215 236 91.1
10.6 23.7 23.5 6.5 4.0 0.4 53.0 21.4 36
14.9 23.9 19.5 6.8 4.3 0.5 47.8 20.7 42
19.2 23.9 15.7 6.9 4.6 0.7 42.8 19.7 49
17.4 27.9 16.3 7.5 4.8 0.7 40.9 17.5 57
15.7 31.8 16.9 8.3 5.1 0.8 39.1 16.1
16.3 30.4 19.8 8.1 5.4 0.6 41.0 16.3 69
16.9 29.1 22.6 8.2 6.1 0.7 42.8 16.5 72
18.4 27.4 22.8 6.9 5.3 0.8 43.0 16.7 79
18.2 29.4 19.5 6.6 4.3 0.8 41.1 16.2 88
16.3 30.1 19.3 6.4 4.2 0.8 43.5 16.6 99
14.4 28.4 21.9 6.3 4.3 0.6 47.8 17.9 112
86
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. .. .................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
507 243 264 92.3
567 274 293 93.4
628 305 323 94.3
690 336 353 95.2
750 367 383 95.9
808 397 411 96.4
864 425 439 96.8
916 451 465 97.0
962 474 488 97.1
1 002 494 508 97.1
14.1 25.4 22.9 5.5 4.3 0.5 15.2 7.6 7.5 13.5 50.5 19.3 126
13.3 23.9 21.8 4.9 3.7 0.6 14.6 6.7 6.7 13.0 51.7 20.8 141
12.4 23.3 19.8 5.1 3.3 0.7 14.2 6.6 6.1 11.7 51.8 22.2 156
11.3 22.1 18.9 5.9 3.6 0.8 13.4 6.5 6.2 11.0 52.4 23.6 171
10.4 20.7 18.9 7.3 4.3 0.7 12.5
9.6 19.2 18.3 8.8 5.6 0.6 11.6 5.8 5.7 10.9 53.3 26.7 200
9.0 17.9 17.5 9.9 6.8 0.9 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.4 52.3 28.5 214
8.4 16.9 16.5 11.7 7.7 1.2 10.2 5.1 5.0 9.9 50.8 30.2 227
7.8 16.0 15.7 14.0 9.2 1.7 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.4 49.7 32.0 239
7.3 15.2 15.0 16.4 11.1 2.1 9.1 4.6 4.6 9.0 48.9 33.7 248
6.1 6.0 11.2 53.4 25.0 186
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.MW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CAPE VERDE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) . ........................ Total ...................... . Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
13 2.43 30.9 4.8 -1.9 3.62 1.73
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 2.03 26.9 4.7 -1.9 3.12 1.49
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ............................. ..
507 243 264 19.3
575 278 297 20.4
654 318 336 21.2
741 362 379 21.5
836 41 1 426 21.8
940 463 477 22.3
1056 522 534 22.9
1184 586 598 23.3
1325 658 668 23.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.53 31.9 4.8
2.57 31.7 4.3
2.50 30.4 4.0
2.41 29.1 3.7
2.35 28.2 3.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffainlPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.32 27.9 3.8
2.29 27.7 4.0
2.26 27.6 4.2
2.23 27.3 4.4
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
.
A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductton rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Medlan age (years) ................................ Populatlon denslty (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Popuiatlon change per year (thousands) . Blrths per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
80 159 80 1 1.83 36.1 18.1 0.2 4.58 1.63 97 163
86 165 81 2 1.78 34.2 16.8 0.4 4.14 1.51 89 149
U3 165 83 0 1.58 31.6 15.8 0.0 3.67 1.38 81 134
79 163 84 0 1.41 29.0 14.9 0.0 3.29 1.27 75 123
77 161 85 0 1.27 26.8 14.0 0.0 2.99 1.19 68 110
74 159 85 0 1.16 24.9 13.3 0.0 2.75 1.12 61 98
72 158 85 0 1.07 23.3 12.6 0.0 2.57 1.07 55 86
69 154 86 0 0.96 21.7 12.0 0.0 2.42 1.03 49 75
64 150 86 0 0.86 20.1 11.6 0.0 2.29 1.00 44 66
43.3 46.1 44.7
45.0 47.9 46.5
46.4 49.4 48.0
47.8 51 .1 49.5
49.4 53.1 51.2
50.9 55.2 53.0
52.6 57.3 54.9
54.3 59.2 56.7
56.2 61.1 58.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division WO. rld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... . Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
. .
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) CNde birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
88 1.99 38.0 18.3 0.2 4.83 1.71
............
99 2.04 37.0 17.0 0.4 4.54 1.66
102 1.90 34.9 15.9 0.0 4.17 1.57
101 1.72 32.1 14.9 0.0 3.79 1.46
103 1.61 29.9 13.8 0.0 3.49 1.39
108 1.55 28.5 13.0 0.0 3.25 1.33
113 1.51 27.3 12.2 0.0 3.07 1.28
116 1.44 25.8 11.5 0.0 2.92 1.25
116 1.35 24.3 10.9 0.0 2.79 1.21
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
4191 2 042 2149
4554 2 228 2328
4914 2 409 2506
5230 2 570 2661
5519 2 717 2802
5775 2 845 2930
5993 2 952 3041
6174 3 038 3136
6317 3 104 3213
15.8 26.9 20.4 5.8 3.9 0.5 46.0 18.3
14.4 26.5 21.4 5.7 3.8 0.5 47.5 19.0
13.4 25.2 21.9 5.8 3.8 0.5 49.7 19.9
12.2 23.8 22.1 6.0 4.0 0.6 52.2 21.2
11.3 22.4 21.5 8.2 4.2 0.6 54.2 22.5
10.4 20.9 20.8 6.4 4.4 0.6 55.7 24.0
9.6 19.7 20.0 6.7 4.6 0.7 56.6 25.4
8.8 18.4 19.0 7.5 4.9 0.8 56.9 27.0
8.0 17.2 18.2 8.7 5.6 0.9 56.6 28.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
73 1.66 34.3 18.0 0.2 4.33 1.54
72 1.52 31.4 16.6 0.4 3.74 1.36
58 1.07 25.7 15.0 0.0 2.79 1.08
63 1.25 28.1 15.7 0.0 3.17 1.19
51 0.91 23.3 14.3 0.0 2.49 0.99
44 0.74 21.1 13.7 0.0 2.25 0.92
36 0.59 19.1 13.2 0.0 2.07 0.86
29 0.46 17.3 12.7 0.0 1.92 0.82
21 0.33 15.7 12.4 0.0 1.79 0.78
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ......................... . . ................ Females ................... .................... Median age (years) ................................
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
4 191 2 042 2149 18.3
4 647 2 273 2374 18.5
5 208 2 555 2652 18.6
5 855 2 881 2974 18.5
6 599 3 255 3344 18.2
7 463 3 687 3777 18.2
8 485 4 194 4291 18.2
9 702 4 797 4905 18.2
11 146 5 513 5633 18.1
2.06 34.7 18.4
2.28 39.6 17.2
2.34 39.6 16.2
2.39 39.0 15.1
2.46 38.5 13.9
2.57 38.4 12.7
2.68 38.4 11.7
2.77 38.3 10.6
2.85 38.1 9.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
12 850 6 358 6492 18.1
CHAD
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................... . . . . Females ............................... .......... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ......................... .. Population density (population per sq km)
.... ..
10146 5040 5106 98.7
11715 5829 5886 99.0
13429 6691 6738 99.3
15336 7650 7686 99.5
17504 8740 8764 99.7
19799 9893 9906 99.9
22161 11080 11082 100.0
24559 12283 12276 100.1
26976 13493 13483 100.1
18.6 27.6 19.5 4.6 3.0 0.3 17.1 7.3 6.6 11.2 44.3 16.8 8
18.1 27.9 19.7 4.4 2.9 0.3 17.3 7.4 6.6 11.4 44.6 16.9 9
17.4 27.8 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 17.1 7.5 6.8 11.5 45.4 17.2 10
16.7 27.2 20.4 4.6 2.9 0.3 16.7 7.5 6.9 11.8 48.6 17.7 12
15.8 26.6 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.3 16.3 7.4 6.8 12.1 47.9 18.4 14
14.8 25.9 20.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 15.8 7.3 6.8 12.1 49.2 19.3 15
13.7 24.8 20.7 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.1 7.1 6.7 12.1 50.7 20.3 17
12.6 23.6 20.5 5.5 3.5 0.4 14.3 6.8 6.6 12.1 52.0 21.6 19
11.7 22.2 20.1 6.1 3.9 0.5 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.9 53.1 22.9 21
2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-f~vemortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... ...... .... . Both sexes combined ............................
343
314 497 168 - 15 2.88 45.5 15.4 .1.4 6.20 2.28 119 189
543 1 76 . 24 2.73 43.2 14.0 -1.9 5.78 2.19 112 1 74
381 586 180 - 24 2.66 40.7 12.5 .1.7 5.32 2.07 104 1 57
434 624 184 - 6 2.65 38.0 11.2 .0.4 4.82 1.93 96 142
459 652 187 .6 2.46 34.9 10.0 .0.3 4.31 1.77 89 127
473 668 190 .6 2.26 31.9 9.0 -0.3 3.83 1.61 82 114
479 678 193 - 6 2.05 29.0 8.3 .0.3 3.41 1.46 75 1 02
404 687 198 .6 1.88 26.7 7.7 .0.2 3.08 1.34 69 92
484 694 204 -6 1.72 24.6 7.2 -0.2 2.83 1.25 63 83
49.3 52.0 50.7
50.8 53.5 52.1
52.8 55.5 54.1
54.7 57.5 56.1
56.7 59.6 58.1
58.5 61.6 60.0
60.2 63.5 61.9
61.9 65.3 63.6
63.5 67.0 65.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHAD
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or owr .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
331 3.02 47.1 15.6 -1.4 6.45 2.37
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
374 2.95 45.6 14.3 -1.9 8.18 2.34
428 2.91 43.5 12.8 -1.6 5.82 2.27
491 2.69 40.5 11.4 -0.4 5.32 2.13
533 2.73 37.6 10.1 .0.3 4.81 1.98
572 2.56 35.0 9.1 .0.3 4.33 1.82
609 2.41 32.6 8.3 -0.2 3.91 1.66
643 2.26 30.4 7.6 -0.2 3.58 1.56
671 2.12 28.4 7.1 -0.2 3.33 1.47
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015.2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population gmwth rale (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per l.000 population) .... Crude death rate (pbr 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. . ...........
297 2.73 43.8 15.2 -1.4
5.95 2.19
311 2.51 40.7 13.7 -1.9 5.38 2.03
335 2.39 37.8 12.3
377 2.39 35.3 1 1 .0 -0.4 4.32 1.73
-1.7
4.82 1.88
386 2.18 32.1 9.9 .0.3 3.81 1.56
378 1.93 28.6 9.0 -0.3 3.33 1.40
3M)
1.68 25.4 8.3 .0.3 2.91 1.25
341 1.47 22.7 7.8 .0.3 2.58 1.13
320 1.29 20.6 7.5 .0.2 2.33 1.03
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . .
Population (thousand~) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
10146 5 040 5 106 16.8
11828 5 886 5 942 16.7
13832 6 894 6 938 16.5
16291 8 130 8 160 16.3
19401 9 695 9 706 16.2
23219 11 616 1 1 603 16.1
27918 13 980 13 938 16.0
33711 16 895 16 816 15.9
40856 20 489 20 367 15.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OM) population) ..
3.07 47.6 15.7
3.13 47.6 14.5
3.27 47.4 13.2
3.50 47.1 11.9
3.59 46.9 10.8
3.69 46.7 9.7
3.77 46.6 8.8
3.85 46.5 8.0
3.91 46.3 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHANNEL ISLANDS (*)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ...................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comblned ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populat~ondens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ....................... ... ................ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
CHANNEL ISLANDS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
1 0.35 10.9 9.5 2.0 1.82 0.88
0.35 11.2 9.7 l .9 1.95 0.94
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
0 0.30 11.2 10.1 1.9 2.00 0.96
0 0.23 11.1 10.7 1.9 2.05 0.99
0 0.17 11.2 11.3 1.9 2.10 1.01
0 0.14 11.5 11.9 1 .8 2.15 1.04
0 0.15 12.0 12.4 1 .8 2.20 1.06
0 0.18 12.5 12.6 1.8 2.25 1.09
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .........
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
1
0.34 10.9 9.5 2.0 1.67 0.81
1
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................
.................. .........
Population change per year (thousands) . Pooulation orowth rate loer cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000populat~on). . Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.04 7.9 9.6 2.0 1.17 0.56
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
149 73 76 40.0
150 73 77
42.2
151 74 77 44.2
151 74 77 45.9
151 74 77 47.1
150 73 77 48.0
148 72 76 48.7
145 71 75 49.6
142 69 73 50.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
(') Refersto Guernsey. and Jersey
0.18 9.3 9.5
0.11 8.6 9.6
0.05 8.4 9.9
.0.03 8.3 10.5
.0.13 8.0 11.3
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
-0.25 7.7 12.3
.0.37 7.4 13.2
.0.48 7.2 14.1
.0.55 7.1 14.8
138 67 71 51.0
CHILE A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6082 3 012 3 069 98.1
6764 3 348 3 416 98.0
7643 3 780 3 863 97.8
8647 4 272 4 375 97.7
9570 4 723 4 846 97.5
10413 5 137 5 276 97.4
11174 5 513 5 661 97.4
12102 5 973 6 129 97.5
13179 6 512 6 667 97.7
14395 7 121 7 274 97.9
15412 7 624 7 787 97.9
14.3 22.5 18.2 6.9 4.3 0.5 48.9 22.2 8
14.8 23.3 17.3 7.3 4.5 0.5 47.2 21.7 9
15.9 23.6 17.3 7.4 4.8 0.6 45.8 20.6 10
15.6 24.9 17.7 7.5 4.9 0.6 45.0 20.0 11
13.5 26.2 18.4 7.7 5.0 0.7 45.8 20.2 13
12.1 24.9 20.2 7.8 5.3 0.8 48.3 21.0 14
10.5 22.5 21.9 8.1 5.5 0.9 51.4 22.6 15
10.9 19.9 21 .0 8.4 5.8 0.9 52.9 24.1 16
11.1 18.8 18.8 9.0 6.1 1 .0 53.3 25.7 17
10.3 19.3 16.7 9.5 6.5 1.1 52.5 27.1 19
8.6 19.2 16.2 10.3 7.3 1.4 52.7 28.7 20
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............ ....
..
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
16 295 8 061 8234 97.9
17 134 8 474 8660 97.9
17 926 8 861 9065 97.7
18 639 9 204 9434 97.6
19 266 9 501 9764 97.3
19 778 9 737 10041 97.0
20 166 9 907 10258 96.6
20 435 l0 018 10417 96.2
20 596 10 076 10520 95.8
7.6 17.3 17.1 11.6 8.1 l .7 10.2 5.6 5.5 10.1 53.1 30.6 22
7.3 15.0 17.2 13.2 9.2 2.1 8.8 4.8 5.2 10.4 52.6 32.1 23
7.0 13.9 15.7 15.0 10.5 2.4 8.3 4.2 4.3 9.7 50.5 33.6 24
6.7 13.5 13.8 17.5 12.1 2.8 8.1 4.0 4.0 8.3 48.4 35.2 25
6.4 13.0 12.9 20.3 14.3 3.3 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.7 46.8 37.0 25
6.1 12.6 12.7 22.6 16.8 3.9 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.6 45.9 38.8 26
5.8 12.1 12.5 24.4 18.7 4.6 7.2 3.7 3.7 7.5 44.6 40.5 27
5.6 11.6 12.2 25.5 20.2 5.7 6.9 3.6 3.6 7.3 42.9 41.7 27
5.5 11.3 11.9 26.9 21 .0 6.9 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.2 41.1 42.6 27
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
168 251 90 6 1.00 15.0 5.4 0.4 1.94 0.94 7 9 75.5 81.5 78.6
101 6 0.90 14.5 5.8 0.3 1 .89 0.92 6 8
143 251 114 6 0.78 13.7 6.3 0.3 1.85 0.90 6 7
125 248 129 6 0.66 13.1 6.8 0.3 1 .85 0.90 5 7
1 02 241 145 6 0.53 12.4 7.4 0.3 1.85 0.90 5 6
78 235 163 6 0.39 11.7 8.2 0.3 1 .85 0.90 5 6
54 230 182 6 0.27 11.3 9.0 0.3 1 .85 0.90 4 5
32 228 202 6 0.16 11.1 9.8 0.3 1.85 0.90 4 5
12 225 220 6 0.06 10.9 10.6 0.3 1 .85 0.90 4 5
76.1 82.2 79.2
76.7 82.8 79.8
77.2 83.4 80.3
77.6 83.9 80.7
78.0 84.3 81.2
78.4 84.7 81.5
78.7 85.1 81.9
79.0 85.4 82.2
158 254
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHILE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
200 1.19 16.9 5.3 0.4 2.19 1.06
212 1.19 17.3 5.7 0.3 2.30 1.11
21 1 1.12 16.9 6.1 0.3 2.35 1.14
194 0.98 16.0 6.5 0.3 2.35 1.14
179 0.86 15.3 7.0 0.3 2.35 1.14
167 0.77 15.0 7.5 0.3 2.35 1.14
161 0.71 15.0 8.1 0.3 2.35 1.14
155 0.66 15.1 8.7 0.3 2.35 1.14
147 0.61 15.0 9.2 0.2 2.35 1.14
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... MeUian age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
.
D LOW VARIANT . Populalon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlcrtrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
136 0.82 13.2 5.4 0.4 1.69 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
16295 8 061 8234 30.6
17171 8 493 8678 32.0
18033 8 915 9118 33.3
18848 9 311 9537 34.8
19577 9 660 9917 36.5
20198 9 951 10247 38.1
20709 10 184 10525 39.5
21122 10 367 10755 40.4
21447 10 509 10938 40.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.05 15.5 5.4
0.98 15.2 5.8
0.88 14.7 6.2
0.76 14.0 6.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation
0.62 13.2 7.3
Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.50 12.7 8.0
0.40 12.4 8.7
0.31 12.3 9.5
0.22 12.1 10.2
CHINA (*)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
554 760 288 200 266 560 108.1
609 005 314 727 294 278 106.9
657 492 338 494 318 998 106.1
729 191 375 124 354 067 105.9
830 675 427 348 403 327 106.0
927 808 477 851 449 956 106.2
13.7 19.9 18.3 7.5 4.5 0.3 50.3 23.9 58
16.5 20.6 17.2 7.6 4.6 0.3 46.9 22.5
14.2 24.7 16.1 7.2 4.8 0.4 45.3 21 .8 69
15.4 24.8 16.6 7.0 4.4 0.4 44.5 20.4 76
15.9 23.8 19.0 6.8 4.3 0.5 45.5 19.7 87
13.6 25.9 19.1 6.9 4.4 0.6 45.8 20.6 97
63
1980
1985
1990
1995
998 877 1 066 906 1 149 069 1 213 732 1 269 962 626 866 655 994 550 443 593 306 514 71 1 484 166 516 463 555 762 586 865 613 967 106.3 106.6 106.8 106.8 106.8 10.0 25.5 19.5 7.4 4.7 0.4 49.0 22.1 104
9.7 20.8 22.2 7.9 5.1 0.5 53.5 23.7 111
10.3 17.4 21.9 8.4 5.4 0.6 56.0 25.2 120
8.6 18.1 18.1 9.2 6.0 0.7 56.6 27.5 126
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
8 MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 312 979 1 351 512 1 388 600 1 421 260 1 445 782 1 458 421 1 458 292 1 448 355 1 431 448 Males ................................................... 678 176 697 722 716 324 744 433 749 870 748 632 742 439 732 860 732 544 Females ............................................ 634 803 653 790 688 716 701 348 708 551 709 659 705 916 698 588 672 276 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 106.8 106.7 106.6 106.4 106.1 105.8 105.5 105.2 104.9 Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.1 5.0 5.0 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 15.1 13.3 12.2 12.1 12.1 11.8 11.3 10.6 10.2 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 16.6 16.2 14.2 12.6 11.6 11.7 11.9 11.8 11.4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 11.0 12.5 15.1 17.1 20.0 23.8 26.9 28.1 29.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 7.7 8.4 9.6 11.9 13.7 16.2 19.6 22.2 22.9 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.7 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.2 1.4 Percentage in school ages 6-11............ 8.9 7.8 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.3 6.1 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.1 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 4.8 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 5.4 4.0 3.5 3.3 4.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 7.2 7.0 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 9.7 10.1 8.6 7.7 6.9 7.0 7.2 48.8 45.1 43.7 40.6 39.4 56.0 53.3 42.6 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 56.6 Median age (years) ................................ 42.9 44.1 44.9 32.5 34.9 36.4 37.9 39.4 41.3 145 148 152 151 149 Population density (population per sq km) 137 141 151 152
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.WO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
2000
7 707 17 459 9 403 - 350 0.58 13.1 7.1 .0.3 1.73 0.77 23 29
7 417 17 976 10 209 . 350 0.54 13.1 7.5 -0.3 1.78 0.79 20 26
6 532 17 973 1 1 096 - 345 0.47 12.8 7.9 -0.2 1 .83 0.82 18 23
4 904 17 380 12 156 . 320 0.34 12.1 8.5 -0.2 1 .85 0.83 17 21
2 528 16 278 13 430 . 320 0.17 11.2 9.2 .0.2 1.85 0.84 15 19
- 26 15 140 14 846 - 320 0.00 10.4 10.2 -0.2 1 .85 0.85 13 17
.1 987
.3 381
.4 520
14 640 16 307 - 320 .0.14 10.1 11.2 .0.2 1.85 0.85 12 15
14 582 17 644 - 320 .0.24 10.1 12.3 .0.2 1.85 0.86 11 14
14 510 18 710 - 320 .0.32 10.2 13.2 -0.2 1 .85 0.86 10 12
71.3 74.8 73.0
72.2 75.9 74.0
73.2 76.9 74.9
74.0 77.8 75.8
74.8 78.8 76.6
75.5 79.4 77.4
76.2 80.1 78.1
76.8 80.7 78.7
77.4 81.3 79.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
7.6 17.4 15.6 10.1 6.8 0.9 56.6 30.0 132
CHINA C)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................................... ........... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................
..
............................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
10 094 0.75 14.9 7.1 -0.3 1.98 0.88
11 329
0.81 15.8 7.4 -0.3 2.18 0.97
9 834 0.66 14.9 8.2 -0.2 2.35 1.06
1 1 503 0.79 15.9 7.7 -0.2 2.33 1.04
7 295 0.47 13.7 8.8 -0.2 2.35 1.07
4 854 0.31 12.8 9.5 -0.2 2.35 1 .08
3 875 0.24 12.9 10.3 -0.2 2.35 1.08
3 962 0.25 13.7 11.0 -0.2 2.35 1.09
3 981 0.24 14.2 11.5 -0.2 2.35 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 312 979 1 338 894 1 356 129 1 365 238 1 367 762 1 359 403 1 337 368 1 302 098 1 255 831 Males ................................................... 678 176 690 942 698 885 664 380 639 366 702 473 702 576 696 816 883 984 Females ............................................... 634 803 616 466 647 952 657 244 662 765 665 186 882 588 653 423 637 718 Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 6.5 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.6 3.4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 15.1 13.5 7.9 11.6 10.2 9.6 9.1 8.5 9.3 Percentageaged 15-24......................... 16.6 16.4 14.5 9.7 9.6 13.1 11.4 10.2 9.8 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 33.3 11.0 12.6 15.5 29.4 31.2 25.6 17.8 21.2 Percentageaged 65 or over .................. 7.7 8.4 9.9 12.4 14.4 17.4 21.4 24.7 26.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 1.2 1 .5 18 5.1 6.6 2.1 3.1 4.3 2.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 56.6 56.5 54.5 39.3 37.3 46.8 44.5 42.3 50.7 Median age (years) ................................. 32.5 49.7 35.2 37.3 39.3 41.3 43.5 45.8 47.9
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) ..........
5 183 0.39 11.2 7.0 .0.3 1.48 0.66
3 447 0.26 10.3 7.5 -0.3 1.38 0.61
1 822 0.13 9.7 8.1 -0.3 1.33 0.59
505 0.04 9.4 8.8 .0.2 1.35 0.61
- 1 672 .0.12 8.8 9.8 -0.2 1.35 0.81
-4403 .0.33 7.9 10.9 -0.2 1.35 0.62
- 7058
- 9253
-0.54 7.2 12.3 -0.2 1.35 0.62
-0.72 6.7 13.7 -0.3 1.35 0.63
- l0 833 -0.88 6.6 15.1 -0.3 1.35 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .....................................................1 312 979 1 349 364 1 363 236 1 409 825 Males ................................................... 678 176 696 568 713 443 726 406 Females ............................................... 634 803 652 796 669 793 683 419 Median age (years) ................................. 32.5 34.9 36.5 38.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
0.55 12.8 7.1
0.50 12.7 7.5
0.38 12.0 7.9
0.21 10.8 8.5
1 424 334 1 425 688 1 416 201 1 398 168 1 371 719 1 336 436 701 071 682 250 715 668 726 139 732 344 732 929 670 648 654 186 682 500 693 344 690 062 691 405 39.9 42.0 44.0 45.4 46.5 47.2
0.02 9.8 9.4
.
-0.13 9.3 10.4
(') For statislical purposes. the dala for China do n d include Hcmg Kcmg and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
Nations D e p a r t m e n t of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United
.0.26 9.2 11.6
-0.38 9.1 12.7
-0.52 8.8 13.8
CHINA, HONG KONG SAR
c) A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population(thousando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
.................................... r 100temales) ...........
Ago di.trlMon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wmen a@ 15-49 Median age (years) .............. Popllatkmdensty(populationpersqkm)
.........................
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
lSs0
1995
2000
1974 1014
2490 1279 1211 105.6
3075 1578 1497 105.4
3892
3942 2004 1937 103.5
4398 2249 2147 104.8
6039 2625 2414 108.8
5450 2810 2641 106.0
5704 2922 2782 105.0
6206 3084 3122 96.8
6662 3219 3443 93.5
10.4 19.0 10.4 4.1 2.5 0.3 52.4 24.0
18.0 24.9 11.6 4.8 2.8 0.2 45.5 23.1 2198
14.3 26.2 15.7 5.7 3.2 0.2 44.9 19.6
10.8 26.2 19.7 6.5 4.0 0.2 46.7 21.2 3587
8.0 21.4 21.9 8.8 5.4 0.7 49.6 23.9 4OW
8.2 17.3 22.6 10.0 0.5 0.8 53.1 28.0
7.7 15.7 19.3 11.3 7.4 1.1 54.0 20.3
1985
6.1 13.3 14.8 13.8 9.0 1.5 59.4 33.5 5647
5.0 11.9 14.1 14.8 11.0 2.1 60.0 36.3
4585
6.6 14.9 15.7 12.6 8.5 1.2 56.3 31.0 5191
960 105.7 16.0 14.3 22.7 3.7 2.5 0.3 58.8 23.7 1796
2288
1873 1818 103.0
3359
1950-1855 195!%1980 1960-1965 1665-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1965 Population change per year (lhousad). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... mpulallon growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 Population) Crude death rate (per 1,oOO population) Total fertility (chiklren per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mcflality rate (per 1.OOO live births) Lib expechncy al birth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... ..
103 84
117 101
123 112 21 33.1 6.2 5.31 2.41
50 90 21 1.31 23.5 5.5 4.02 1 .64
33
23
91 81 21 2.18 19.5 5.0 2.09 1.35 17
64.0 71.3 07.7
66.5 73.5 m.0
88.5 75.0 72.0
20
20
4.64 37.7 8.9 4.44 1.90 79
4.22 36.3 7.2 4.72 2.09 54
3.86
57.2 64.9 61.O
61.O 88.5 04.8
129 81 24 2.73 17.2 5.0 2.32 1.11 13 m.5 76.8 73.0
6062
1986-1990 1990-1895 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005
1.59 0.80 15.7 12.8 4.9 4.8 1.&I 1.31 0.65 0.88 10 7
100 74 33 1.09 12.4 5.6 1.29 0.62 5
91 64 33 1.42 10.0 5.1 1.08 0.52 4
79 55 36 1.15 8.1 5.3 0.94 0.45 4
72.0 70.3 75.5
74.3 79.9 70.2
75.5 81.o 77.6
77.2
78.6 84.5 81.5
84 82
25
50 72 27
83.0
80.0
B. YEMUMVARIANT
Populdon (thoururds) Total ....................................................
......... ...............................................
Sex ratio (males per 100 h i e s ) ........... Age dlurlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ henaged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 60 of Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 1 1 ............ Pemtage in school agm 12-14 Percentage in ochod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of wo Median age (years Populalion density
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
M30
2035
2010
2045
2050
7 057
7 419
7 744
3388
3548
3689
3 871 91.7
8040 3014 4227 90.2
8305 3822
4058 90.9
4383 m.5
8532 4010 4522 88.7
8714 4070 4838 87.9
8647 4119 4720 87.1
8933 4144 4709 88.5
8980 4 159 4822
3.9 9.4 11.9 17.8 12.5 3.0 5.5 3.1 3.4 7.2 53.0 41.1 0 751
3.7 8.5 11.1 21.1 14.5 4.2 5.0 2.7 3.0 0.9 48.7 43.2 7 047
3.6 8.1 9.8 25.7 17.5 4.5 4.8 2.5 2.0 6.0 45.0 45.1 7316
3.6 7.9 9.0 30.2 21.7 4.0 4.7 2.4 2.5 5.4 41.8 46.9 7557
3.5 7.7 8.7 33.0 25.8 5.9 4.0 2.4 2.4 5.3 39.2 48.5 7704
3.4 7.0 8.5 35.4 28.3 7.8 4.6 2.4 2.4 5.1 37.2 49.9 7 m
3.4 7.5 8.4 37.2 30.2 10.3 4.5 2.3 2.4 5.1 35.9 50.9 8050
3.5 7.5 8.4 38.6 31.6 12.6 4.5 2.3 2.4 5.1 34.7 51.7 8128
3.6 7.6 8.4 39.4 32.6 13.5 4.6 2.3 2.4 5.1 34.1 52.1 8 171
3 870
92.3 4.2 10.9 12.0 15.4 12.0 2.8 6.4 3.6 3.5 7.9 57.6 38.9
0422
86.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 M20-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 2036-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 Popllationchange per year (thoummJs) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... W l h s per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO poplialbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO Popaation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO w t l o n ) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan) .......... Infant moctality rate (per 1,OOO live birlhs) Under-fnre mortality (per 1,OOO live Mrttre) L l h expcbncy al blrlh (m) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Bolh sem combined ............................
...................
180
72 55 43 00
.oo
1 7.6 5.9 8.3 0.97 0.46 4 5
79.4 85.1 82.2
85 54 49 00 0.86 7.1 8.5 7.9
0.B 0.48 4 5 79.9 m.7 828
80
60
0.75 6.9 7.0 7.0 1.04 0.50 4
0.65 6.8 7.6 7.3 1.09 0.53 3 4
45 58 70 00 0.54 6.6 8.3 7.1 1.14 0.55 3 4
80.5 86.3 83.4
01.0 86.9 83.9
81.5 87.4 84.5
59 55 58
3
53 55 62
27 57 90
17 59 101
60
60
0.42 8.5 9.2 7.0 1.19 0.57 3 4
0.30 0.5 10.3 6.8 1.24 0.00 3 4
00 0.19 0.0 11.4 0.7 1 0.62 3 4
38 58 79
82.0 88.0 85.1
82.4 88.6 85.6
.a
82.9 89.2
86.2
9 61 111 60 0.11 6.8 12.4 6.7 1.34 0.65 3 4 83.3 89.8 86.7
United Nations Deparbmnt of Econanic and sociel Affaiirslpopulation Division WorM Pqn&tion Praspects: The 2006 Rwkkn, Vdume I: Conrprehensive Tables
CHINA. HONG KONG SAR (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
87 1.19 9.5 5.9 8.2 1.22 0.58
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
58
0.81 5.7 5.9 8.3 0.72 0.34
43 0.58 4.3 6.6 8.0 0.59 0.28
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .................... ......................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
7 057 3 388 3670 38.9
7 412 3 544 3868 41.1
7 723 3 676 4045 43.3
7 993 3 789 4204 45.3
8 219 3 878 4341 47.2
8 397 3 941 4456 49.0
8 518 3 975 4543 50.7
8 579 3 980 4599 52.0
8 578 3 960 4618 53.1
0.98 7.4 5.9
0.82 6.8 6.5
0.69 6.3 7.1
0.56 5.9 7.7
0.43 5.5 8.4
0.29 5.2 9.4
0.14 4.9 10.5
0.00 4.6 11.8
.0.13 4.7 13.0
(') As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Spec~alAdministrative Region (SW)of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
6 522 3 922 4600 54.0
CHINA, MACAO SAR
r)
Indicator Population(thousands) Totai .................................................... Males Females ............................................... sex rath (males per 100 females) ........... Am dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................
Percentage aged 1524 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 154 Median age (years) .................... Population density (population per sq km)
190 100 90 111.4
104.9
12.6 16.1 20.8 4.6 3.1 0.4 57.2 25.3 7325
16.4 19.6 14.9 6.2 3.8 0.4 49.5 24.5 &970
181 93
88
173 86 87 ge.4
209 106 104 101.9
254 130 123 105.7
253 129 124 104.6
252 128 124 103.7
152 154 96.8
372 181 191 94.3
412 199 213 93.4
441 212 229 92.4
13.3 27.8 12.5 8.1 5.3 0.7 43.0 21.6
14.0 28.8 16.2 7.3 4.8 0.6 42.3 16.3 8051
9.4 29.1 24.4 7.2 4.6 0.6 47.9 18.7 9767
9.4 20.1 28.0 8.5 5.6 0.6 52.6 22.2 9730
7.8 16.3 24.3 11.3 7.8 1.3 53.7 25.7 9694
11.8 13.5 19.5 9.9 6.9 1.1 56.4 27.1 11776
10.6 15.0 15.5 9.5 6.5 1.1 59.6 29.0 14313
8.1 18.0 12.6 9.5 7.0 1.2 59.7 31.2 15832
5.4 17.0 14.2 9.7 7.4 1.5 61.1 33.6 16984
6639
306
1950-1955 19551980 1980-1965 1885-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1,OWpopulatbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OW l i births) Life exp.arncy al Mrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
9 5 2 3.86 20.4 8.1 3.00 1.33 49
0 5 2 -0.08 20.1 7.2 3.20 1.45 43
0 4 2 -0.08 17.1 6.6 2.00 0.93 31
11 7 2 3.89 24.6 6.5 2.50 1.20 16
13 7 2 3.90 22.0 5.4 2.05 0.99 12
8 7 2 2.02 16.9 4.5 1.55 0.74 10
6 5 2 1.38 10.9 4.2 1.12 0.54 9
6 3 2 1.40 7.4 4.3 0.84 0.41
85
7 6 2 3.86 31.6 10.6 5.10 2.17 88
54.5 59.5 57.0
58.5 63.5 61.O
62.5 67.5 65.0
84.0 69.0 66.4
67.0 72.0 69.4
71.5 76.5 74.0
73.5 78.5 76.0
75.2 79.8 77.3
76.5 80.9 78.8
77.6 82.2 80.0
- 2 7 3 0.99 37.7 13.5 5.03 1.95 100
- 2 5 2 -0.97 30.3 11.6 4.90 1.ga
51.5 56.5 54.0
8
B. MEMUMVARIANT
Population (thousando) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... AQD dlrtributlon Percentage aged 04 .. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 60 OT omr .................. Percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or ove Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage in school ages Percentage of mmen aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
473 226 247 91.6
490
523 247 275 89.8
535
544 252 292 66.4
533
252 284 88.9
543 254 289 87.7
540 248 292 85.1
244
91.2
507 241 266 90.5
84.1
524 238 285 83.6
3.7 12.5 16.9 10.3 7.5 1.8 7.0 4.7 5.4 10.1 62.7 36.5 18 198
3.7 6.7 16.2 13.2 8.2 2.2 4.7 3.3 4.0 10.4 59.4 39.5 18 845
3.9 7.3 12.3 17.9 10.9 2.4 4.3 2.2 2.7 7.9 53.7 41.9 19483
4.0 7.5 8.8 24.0 15.1 2.5 4.6 2.1 2.0 5.5 47.4 44.0 20110
3.8 7.9 7.5 29.2 20.7 2.9 4.6 2.3 2.2 4.4 43.3 45.6 20 598
3.3 7.6 7.9 33.3 25.5 4.5 4.7 2.4 2.4 4.6 41.4 47.8
3.0 7.2 6.4 38.1 29.1 7.1 4.2 2.3 2.4 5.1 38.6 50.0 20 918
3.0 6.5 8.5 37.2 31.2 10.4 3.8 2.1 2.3 5.2 35.0 52.3 20 781
3.2 6.3 8.0 39.5 31.7 12.8 3.7 1.9 2.1 5.0 32.6 54.2 20508
3.4 6.5 7.4 42.8 33.5 14.1 3.9 1.9 2.0 4.6 31.8 55.5 20 139
234 256
20889
290
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-m
.
Population change per year (tharsands) B m i per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... PopulationgroMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OWpopulation) Total fertility (children per mman) ........... Net reprodwtim rate (per woman) .......... lifant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OW lhre birth) L l h axp.ctMcy at birth ( y a m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexas cMbined ............................
.
182
3 4 2 2 0.70 7.5 4.7 4.2 0.91 0.44 7 6 78.5 82.8 80.7
0.46 6 7
3 4 3 2 0.62 8.1 5.8 3.9 1.01 0.49 6 7
3 4 3 2 0.48 7.5 6.5 3.8 1.06 0.51 6 6
79.4 63.4 61.4
80.3 84.0 82.1
81.o 84.6 82.6
3 4 3 2
0.68 7.9 5.2 4.0
0.96
1 4 4 2 6.6 7.8 3.7 1.11 0.54 5 6
0 3 5 2 0.05 5.9 9.1 3.7 1.16 0.56 5 5
- 1 3 8 2 0.13 5.9 10.9 3.7 1.21 0.58 5 5
- 1 3 7 2 -0.27 6.2 12.6 3.7 1.26 0.61 4 5
- 2 4 7 2 0.36 6.6 14.0 3.8 1.31 0.63 4 5
81.7 85.2 83.4
82.2 85.8 84.0
82.7 86.3 84.6
83.3 86.8 85.2
83.6 87.4 85.7
0.28
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wotld Population Prospects: The 2006 RevMon, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CHINA. MACAO SAR (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
473 226 247
495 236
259
520 248 272
546 259 287
568 269 300
584 275 309
594 278 31 6
601 279 322
607 281 326
3.7 125 16.9 10.3 7.5 1.8 62.7 36.5
4.7 8.6 16.1 13.1 8.2 2.2 58.8 39.1
5.4 8.0 12.0 17.4 10.6 2.4 52.5 41.1
5.7 9.6 8.4 23.0 14.5 2.4 45.5 42.2
5.2 10.7 8.0 27.5 19.5 2.8 41.8 43.5
4.5 10.6 9.6 31.0 23.7 4.2 40.8 45.4
4.2 9.6 10.8 33.0 26.6 6.5 39.2 47.4
4.4 8.7 10.9 33.4 28.1 9.4 36.8 49.1
4.9 8.7 10.0 34.7 27.9 11.2 35.2 49.8
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.90 9.6 4.7 4.1 1 .16 0.56
5 0.99 11.0 5.1 3.9 1.36 0.65
5 0.99 11.7 5.6 3.8 1.51 0.73
4 0.79 10.6 6.2 3.6 1 .56 0.75
3 0.54 9.1 7.2 3.5 1.61 0.78
2 0.34 8.4 8.4 3.4 1.66 0.80
1 0.24 8.9 9.9 3.3 1.71 0.83
1 0.19 9.9 11.2 3.3 1.76 0.85
1 0.16 10.5 12.2 3.3 1 .81 0.88
495 268
483 219 264
467 210 257
1.7 4.4 5.5 39.6 32.0 7.8 37.7 52.8
l .6 4.0 5.4 41.6 34.9 11.6 32.6 55.2
1.6 3.6 5.4 45.1 36.2 14.6 28.9 57.7
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
473 226 247
485 231 254
494 234 260
499 235 264
503 235 267
502 233 269
3.7 12.5 16.9 10.3 7.5 1 .8 62.7 36.5
2.8 8.8 16.4 13.4 8.3 2.3 59.9 39.8
2.4 6.4 12.7 18.4 11.1 2.5 55.1 42.8
2.1 5.2 9.2 25.1 15.8 2.6 49.4 45.7
2.1 4.7 7.0 31.1 22.1 3.1 45.0 48.1
l .9 4.5 5.9 36.1 27.6 4.9 42.1 ' 50.2
m
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.50 5.5 4.7 4.2 0.66 0.32
2
0.35 4.7 5.3 4.1 0.56 0.27
1 0.23 4.2 5.9 4.0 0.51 0.24
1 0.13 4.2 6.9 4.0 0.56 0.27
0 -0.04 3.8 8.2 4.0 0.61 0.29
-1 .0.25 3.4 9.9 4.0 0.66 0.32
- 2 4.48 3.1 12.0 4.1 0.71 0.34
- 3 -0.69 3.1 14.2 4.2 0.76 0.37
.4 -0.86 3.2 16.2 4.4 0.81 0.39
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
473 226 247 36.5
489 233 256 39.5
503 239 264 42.1
516 244 272 44.5
525 246 278 46.4
527 246 282 48.7
524 242 282 51.1
515 236 280 53.5
502 227 274 55.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM)population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.65 7.0 4.7
0.59 7.0 5.2
0.50 6.9 5.8
0.33 6.1 6.6
0.11 5.1 7.8
-0.13 4.3 9.4
-0.34 4.0 11.3
.0.53 4.0 13.3
.0.69 4.0 15.0
.
(') As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Administrative Reg~on(SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
485 218 266 57.8
A. ESTIMATES Indicator 2OOo
1950
1955
1860
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
12 588 6220 6 349 98.0
14 523 7 198 7325 98.3
16 841 8 357 8484
19554 9714 9841 98.7
22500 11 187 11 314 98.9
25302 12582 12720 98.9
28358 14 105 14 251 99.0
31 564 15 679 15 885 98.7
34 875 17 293 17 581 98.4
38 259 18 905 19 353 97.7
41 683 20 557 21 125 97.3
17.9 24.7 18.5 5.0 3.1 0.3 46.4 18.7 11
18.8 26.0 17.7 4.9 3.0 0.3
16.5 27.9 17.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 42.9 16.9
18.3 28.6 18.3 5.2 3.2 0.3 42.6 16.5 17
17.3 28.6 20.0 5.4 3.4 0.4 43.7 16.8 20
15.0 28.6 21.2 5.6 3.6 0.4 45.7 17.8 22
14.4 26.4 22.0 5.8 3.8 0.5 48.4 18.9 25
13.4 24.5 22.2 6.0 4.0 0.6 51.O 20.2 28
12.7 23.5 20.9 6.3 4.3 0.6 52.4 21.6 31
12.1 22.4 19.6 6.5 4.5 0.7 53.6 22.8 34
11.0 21.5 19.2 6.9 4.8 0.8 54.1 24.1 37
PopuwOn (thouundo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratb (males per 100 femaknr) ........... Aw dlrtrlbut)on Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 ... Percentage aged 15-24. Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageapd 80 or m r .................. Percentageof w ~ n e apd n 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensky (populatm per sq km)
44.5
17.7 13
98.5
15
1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1966-1970 1970-1975 19751880 1980-1985 1905-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WJ 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (lkwards). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths par year (thousands) ................... popvlation growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1.WO popr(atiar) .... Cnde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulatim) .. Total fertili (ChUren p e r m ) Net repCOduction rate (per m ) .......... Infant mrtaiity rate (per 1 .WOlive M r l b ) L b orp.ct.ncy al blflh (yeuo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both s e m combined ............................
...........
543 800
589 858
208
11.4 6.76 2.72
21 1 2.61 40.8 10.0 6.18 2.58
92
82
391 642 221 2.89 47.4 16.3 6.76 2.44 123
484 710 206 2.98 45.3 13.2 6.76 2.62 105
49.0 52.3 50.6
53.5 58.9 55.1
56.2 59.7 57.9
2005
2010
2015
2020
44948
47 890 23546 24 343 96.7
50663 24 875 25 788
53238 26 106 27 132 96.2
8.9 18.8 16.4 6.8 5.7 1.1 11.3 5.7 5.7 10.9 54.2 27.4 42
6.3 17.1 17.6 10.5 6.6 1.3 10.2 5.3 5.3 10.7 53.5 29.1
2.99 44.0
58.3 61.8 80.0
560 828 210 2.35 34.6 8.8 5.00 2.13 73
611 874 207 2.28 32.6 7.7 4.34 1.89 57
642 893 1 97 2.14 29.8 6.6 3.69 1.67 43
662 920 209 2.00 27.7 6.3 3.17 1.45 35
59.7 63.9 61.6
61.8 66.3 63.8
63.6 70.2 66.7
64.5 71.7 67.6
2025
2030
2035
55583
27 213 28350 96.0
57 577 28 166 29 411 95.8
59204 28934
7.3 14.9 15.4 14.8 10.1 1.8 9.0 4.5 4.5 9.3 50.9 32.8 49
6.9 14.2 14.4 17.2 12.1 2.3 8.5 4.3 4.3 8.6 49.4 34.7 51
677 956
685 944 230 1.71 23.6 5.7 2.70 1.26 24
653 918 241 1.51 21.2 5.6 2.47 1.16 20
64.5 73.0 88.4
68.5
68.0 75.4 71.7
2040
2045
2050
80 447
30 270 95.6
29 521 30 925 95.5
61 326 29 831 31 395 95.3
61 860 30 176 31 684 95.2
6.5 13.5 13.8 19.0 14.1 3.0 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.3 47.9 36.5 52
6.2 12.8 13.4 21 .o 15.6 3.7 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.0 46.5 38.1 53
5.9 12.3 12.9 22.8 17.2 4.5 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.8 44.8 39.5 54
5.8 11.9 12.4 24.6 18.7 5.4 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.3 40.6 54
229
1.85 28.1 6.3 2.93 1.36 28
74.2 70.3
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
PopulatJoll(thouund.) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 1M)feinabs) Age dl.blbut)on Percentage aged 0 4 .. Percentage aged 514 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentageaged 80 or Percentageaged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r . Percentage in s c h d ages 12-14.......... Peccentage in schod ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentageof m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq krn)
22 134 22 812 97.0 10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .o 12.2 6.1 5.8 11.1 542
25.6
39
96.5
44
7.8 15.8 16.7 12.5 8.3 1.5 9.4 4.8 4.9 10.0 52.2 31.O 47
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Popdatbn change per year (thousands) . Births per year (mousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net rigration per year (thwsands)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopuhlam) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopuletlon) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per m) ........... Net reproductm rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant m r t a l i rate (per 1 .WOlbe births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ,WOlive births) L h expnctancy al blrth (ysur) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
184
589
555
889 257 24 1.27 18.7 5.5 -0.5 2.22 1.05 19 26
858 276 - 24 1.13 17.4 5.6 -0.5 2.09 0.99 17 23
69.2 76.6 72.9
70.4 77.6 74.0
-
515 845
485 828 339 24 0.88 15.2 6.2 -0.4 1 .w
4a3 804
306 24 0.99 16.3 5.9 -0.5 2.00 0.95 15 21
-
13 18
377 24 0.71 14.2 6.7 -0.4 1 .sa 0.91 12 17
71.4 70.4 74.9
72.4 79.2 75.8
73.4 80.0 76.7
-
0.92
-
325 777 427 - 24
11 15
249 753 480 24 0.42 12.6 8.0 -0.4 1.85 0.88 11 14
176 738 538 - 24 0.29 12.1 8.6 -0.4 1.85 0.89 10 13
74.2 80.5 77.4
75.0 81.0 76.0
75.5 81.5 78.5
0.55
13.3 7.3 -0.4 1.87 0.89
-
107 722 592
- 24 0.17 11.7 9.6 -0.4 1.85 0.89 10 13 76.0 82.0 79.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffaiMopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comjxehensive Tables
COLOMBIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ...............................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
44 946 22 134 22 812
48 373 23 793 24 580
51 956 25 535 26 421
55 570 27 297 28 273
58 983 28 959 30 024
62 219 30 536 31 684
65 292 32 039 33 253
68 223 33 485 34 738
71 009 34 864 36 146
10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .0 54.2 25.6
9.8 18.6 18.2 8.7 5.7 1 .1 53.7 27.1
9.6 17.6 17.3 10.2 6.7 1.3 52.2 28.4
9.3 17.4 16.0 12.0 8.0 1.4 50.1 29.6
8.8 17.2 15.3 13.9 9.5 1.7 48.9 30.9
8.4 16.6 15.4 15.9 11.2 2.1 47.9 32.0
8.1 15.8 15.4 17.3 12.8 2.7 47.1 32.9
8.0 15.3 15.0 18.6 13.8 3.3 46.2 33.6
7.9 15.0 14.4 19.7 14.8 3.9 45.2 34.2
Age distribution
Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growih rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate {per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
686 1.47 20.8 5.5 -0.5
2.47 1 .16
716 1.43 20.4 5.6 -0.5 2.49 1.18
723 1.35 19.7 5.8 .0.4 2.50 1.19
683 1.19 18.3 6.0 -0.4 2.44 1.16
647 1.07 17.4 6.3 -0.4 2.40 1.14
614 0.96 16.8 6.8 -0.4 2.37 1.13
586 0.88 16.5 7.3 -0.4 2.35 1.12
557 0.80 16.2 7.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13
525 0.73 15.9 8.3 .0.3 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
44 946 22 134 22 812
47 407 23 300 24 107
49 376 24 218 25 158
50 916 24 920 25 996
52 176 25 483 26 692
53 056 25 859 27 197
53 434 25 991 27 442
53 300 25 880 27 421
52 691 25 535 27 156
10.0 20.3 18.7 7.5 5.1 1 .0 54.2 25.6
8.0 19.0 18.6 8.9 5.8 1.1 54.8 27.7
6.9 16.6 18.2 10.8 7.0 1.3 54.8 29.9
6.1 14.0 17.4 13.1 8.7 1.5 54.5 32.4
5.8 12.4 15.5 15.8 10.7 1.9 53.2 34.8
5.3 11.5 13.2 18.6 13.1 2.5 51.1 37.3
4.8 10.8 11.9 21.1 15.6 3.3 48.8 39.8
4.4 10.1 11.2 23.8 17.7 4.2 46.4 42.3
4.0 9.2 10.8 26.6 20.0 5.3 43.7 44.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
492 1.07 16.7 5.5 .0.5 1.97 0.93
394 0.81 14.3 5.7 -0.5 1.69 0.80
308 0.61 12.6 6.0 -0.5 1.50 0.71
252 0.49 11.8 6.5 .0.5 1.44 0.69
1 76 0.34 10.9 7.1 -0.5 1.40 0.67
76 0.14 9.8 7.9 .0.5 1.37 0.65
. 27 -0.05 8.8 8.9 -0.5 1.35 0.65
- 122
- 207
.0.23 8.1 10.0 .0.5 1.35 0.65
.0.40 7.6 11.1 .0.5 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. 44 946 Males .............................................. 22 134 Females ............................................. 22 812 Median age (years) ................................. 25.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.47 20.8 5.5
48 373 23 793 24 580 27.1
51 914 25 514 26 400 28.4
55 467 27 244 28 223 29.6
58 943 28 939 30 004 30.9
62 329 30 592 31 737 31.9
65 611 32 202 33 409 32.7
68 800 33 780 35 MO 33.2
71 875 35 306 36 568 33.7
1.41 20.2 5.6
1.32 19.5 5.8
1.22 18.6 6.0
1.12 17.9 6.3
1.03 17.4 6.8
0.95 17.1 7.3
0.87 16.9 7.8
0.81 16.7 8.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
COMOROS (')
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... .................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
...
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 73 85 87 97.4
194 96 98 97.9
215 106 108 98.3
240 119 121 98.7
275 137 1 38 99.2
31 8 1 58 159 99.4
387 193 194 99.6
456 228 228 99.8
527 263 263 100.0
607 304 303 100.3
699 350 349 100.5
17.8 25.7 18.9 5.4 3.4 0.3 45.6 18.2
17.3 26.7 19.0 4.9 3.1 0.3 45.7 18.0 87
18.2 26.4 19.0 4.6 2.9 0.3 45.6 17.6 96
19.1 26.4 19.2 4.4 2.7 0.3 45.3 17.2 1 07
19.4 27.5 18.6 4.2 2.6 0.2 44.0 16.6 123
19.4 28.3 18.3 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.4 16.1 142
19.4 28.6 19.0 4.0 2.5 0.2 43.3 16.0 173
19.6 28.5 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 43.3 15.9 204
17.5 29.4 19.9 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.5 16.4 236
16.6 28.6 20.5 4.0 2.5 0.2 46.1 17.1 272
16.5 26.5 21.4 4.1 2.6 0.3 48.0 17.9 313
n
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percenlage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
798 400 398 100.7
902 453 449 100.8
1007 506 502 100.8
1112 558 554 100.8
1217 61l 607 100.7
1325 664 660 100.6
1431 718 714 100.5
1534 768 766 100.3
15.9 26.1 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.1 7.0 6.5 12.5 48.9 18.7 357
14.8 25.9 19.8 4.6 2.8 0.3 16.0 7.1 6.4 11.5 49.6 19.4
13.4 25.1 19.9 4.8 3.1 0.3 15.3 7.1 6.7 11.6 51 .0 20.4 451
12.2 23.6 20.5 5.3 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.6 12.0 52.5 21.7 497
11.4 21.8 20.3 6.0 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.5 6.3 12.0 53.6 23.2 545
10.8 20.4 19.3 6.9 4.3 0.5 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.6 53.8 24.7 593
10.2 19.4 18.2 8.0 5.1 0.6 11.8 5.7 5.6 10.9 53.3 26.2 640
9.5 18.6 17.3 9.3 6.0 0.7 11.3 5.5 5.3 10.3 52.9 27.7 686
404
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. : Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... . ... ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
COMOROS (*)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
22 2.63 35.1 6.5 .2.3 4.55 2.03
24 2.47 32.4 5.7 .2.1 4.16 1.90
25 2.29 29.9 5.2 .1.8 3.84 1.78
26 2.12 27.6 4.8 - l .6 3.52 1.65
27 2.00 26.1 4.6 -1.5 3.28 l.55
28 1.91 24.9 4.5 -1.3 3.09 1.47
29 1.79 23.7 4.6 -1.2 2.94 1.40
29 1.65 22.3 4.7 -1.1 2.81 l.34
29 1.50 21.0 4.9 -1.0 2.70 1.30
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
798 400 398
894 449 446
985 494 491
1069 536 533
1152 577 574
1232 617 615
1306 654 652
1369 685 685
1420 709 711
15.9 26.1 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 48.9 18.7
14.0 26.2 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 50.1 19.7
12.3 24.9 20.4 5.0 3.2 0.4 52.1 21.0
10.8 22.5 21.3 5.5 3.5 0.4 54.5 22.7
10.1 20.1 20.7 6.4 4.0 0.5 55.9 24.6
9.4 18.4 19.0 7.5 4.7 0.6 56.1 26.6
8.7 17.4 17.3 8.8 5.6 0.7 55.1 28.7
7.8 16.5 16.2 10.4 6.7 0.8 54.4 30.7
6.9 15.2 15.7 12.6 8.1 1.1 53.7 32.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
19 2.28 31.5 6.4 -2.4 4.05 1.80
18 1.93 27.0 5.6 .2.1 3.36 1.53
17 1.64 23.5 5.2 .1.9 2.84 1.31
16 1.48 21.6 5.0 -1.8 2.52 1.18
16 1.35 20.1 4.9 .1.7 2.28 1.08
15 1.17 18.3 5.0 -l 6 2.W 0.99
.
13 0.95 16.3 5.3 -1.5 1.94 0.92
10 0.72 14.4 5.7 -1.4 1.81 0.87
8 0.53 12.9 6.3 -1.4 1.70 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ...................... ...................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
798 400 398 18.7
919 461 457 19.0
1061 533 528 19.1
t 224 615 609 19.2
1411 709 702 19.3
1628 818 809 19.5
1880 946 934 19.7
2175 1 094 1 081 19.8
2 518 1 268 1 250 19.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
2.82 37.1 6.6
2.88 36.6 5.9
2.87 35.6 5.2
2.85 34.7 4.8
2.85 34.2 4.4
2.88 34.1 4.2
2.92 34.1 4.0
2.93 34.0 3.9
2.93 33.8 3.8
..
..
(')
Including Mayone.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2916 1 469 1 447 19.8
CONGO A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population densily (population per sq km)
1950
1955
l960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
808 397 411 96.6
895 438 456 96.1
1003 491 512 96.0
1143 560 583 96.1
1323 649 674 96.4
1544 759 785 96.7
1802 888 914 97.1
2096 1034 1062 97.4
2422 1196 1226 97.5
2793 1379 1414 97.6
3203 1583 1620 97.7
16.0 24.1 18.7 5.7 3.5 0.3 47.7 20.0 2
16.1 24.7 18.6 5.6 3.5 0.3 47.2 19.7 3
16.5 25.0 18.4 5.6 3.4 0.3 46.5 19.3 3
17.2 25.2 16.5 5.5 3.4 0.3 45.8 18.8 3
17.8 25.8 18.3 5.4 3.4 0.3 44.9 18.2 4
18.1 26.8 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 44.1 17.6 5
18.0 27.4 18.4 5.2 3.3 0.3 43.9 17.2 5
17.4 27.7 19.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.4 17.3 6
16.7 27.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.3 45.6 17.7 7
16.3 26.7 20.4 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.8 18.1 8
15.9 26.2 20.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.7 18.6 9
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Tdal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Mediin age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 610 1788 1 821 98.2
4 01 1 1991 2 020 98.6
4 459 2217 2 241 98.9
4 907 2444 2 463 99.2
5 362 2674 2 689 99.4
5 824 2907 2 917 99.6
6 285 3139 3 146 99.8
6 732 3363 3 368 99.8
7 158 3576 3 582 99.8
7 561 3775 3 786 99.7
16.0 25.9 20.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.6 11.9 47.8 18.8
15.2 26.2 20.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.1 7.1 6.6 11.7 48.0 19.0 12
13.9 25.9 20.4 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.6 7.3 6.7 11.9 49.3 19.7 13
12.9 24.5 20.9 5.3 3.5 0.4 14.8 7.2 6.9 12.2 51 .1 20.7 14
12.1 22.9 21 .1 5.7 3.6 0.5 13.8 6.7 6.7 12.6 52.6 21.9 16
11.5 21.7 20.3 6.2 3.9 0.5 13.1 6.4 6.2 12.2 53.4 23.2 17
10.8 20.8 19.3 6.8 4.3 0.5 12.6 6.1 5.9 11.5 53.8 24.5 l8
10.1 19.9 18.6 7.7 4.9 0.6 12.0 5.9 5.7 11.1 54.1 25.8 20
9.5 18.9 18.0 8.7 5.6 0.7 11.4 5.6 5.6 10.8 54.l 27.1 21
8.9 17.9 17.5 9.7 6.4 0.8 10.7 5.4 5.3 10.5 53.8 28.5 22
l1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
CONGO
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
87 2.28 36.9 11.5 -2.6 4.74 1.93
102 2.37 34.3 10.6 0.0 4.39 1.82
107 2.23 32.1 9.8 0.0 4.05 1.72
112 2.08 29.9 9.1 0.0 3.69 l .60
118 1 99 28.3 8.5 0.0 3.41 1.51
124 1.90 27.0 8.0 0.0 3.19 1.44
129 1.80 25.6 7.6 0.0 3.02 1.38
132 1.69 24.2 7.3 0.0 2.88 1.33
1 34 1.57 22.9 7.2 0.0 2.76 1.29
62 1.12 19.8 8.7 0.0 2.19 0.99
54 0.92 17.8 8.5 0.0 2.02 0.92
45 0.74 16.0 8.5 0.0 1.88 0.87
37 0.58 14.5 8.7 0.0 1.76 0.82
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..........................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.......................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................... . ...........
..
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
73 1.94 33.3 11.3 -2.6 4.24 1.72
77
1.85 28.9 10.4 0.0 3.59 1.49
72 1.59 25.6 9.8 0.0 3.05 1.29
71 1.44 23.7 9.3 0.0 2.69 1.17
68
1.29 21.8 8.9 0.0 2.41 1.07
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3610 1 788 1 821 18.8
4047 2 009 2 038 18.8
4609 2 293 2 316 18.9
5263 2 622 2 641 19.0
6025 3 006 3 019 19.0
6914 3 454 3 460 19.1
7953 3 976 3 977 19.1
9170 4 587 4 583 19.1
10593 5 301 5 292 19.1
2.29 37.0 11.5
2.60 36.7 10.7
2.65 36.5 10.0
2.70 36.2 9.2
2.75 35.9 8.4
2.80 35.7 7.7
2.85 35.5 7.1
2.89 35.4 6.6
2.92 35.2 6.1
.
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
COSTA RlCA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-live mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
68 80 18 6 1.50 17.8 4.1 1.3 2.10 1.01 10 11
64 78 21 6 1.32 16.2 4.3 1.2 1.94 0.93 9 11
59 76 24 6 1.14 14.9 4.6 1.2 1.85 0.89 9 10
55 76 28 6 1.01 14.1 5.1 1.1 1.85 0.89 8 9
49 75 32 6 0.87 13.3 5.7 1.1 1.85 0.89 8 9
43 74 38 6 0.72 12.6 6.4 10 1.85 0.89 7 8
76.5 81.2 78.8
77.0 81.9 79.4
77.5 82.4 79.9
78.0 82.9 80.4
78.4 83.4 80.8
78.7 83.8 81.2
.
35 73 44 0.58 12.0 7.2 1.0 1.85 0.89 7 8
28 72 50 6 0.45 11.6 8.1 1.0 1.85 0.89 6 7
20 71 57 6 0.32 11.2 9.0 0.9 1.85 0.89 6 7
79.0 84.1 81.5
79.3 84.4 81.8
79.5 84.7 82.0
6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
COSTA RlCA C. HIGHVARIANT
lndkator Popuwtnl (thou.snd.) Tdal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... ~dktrlbutlon P e m waged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14............ Percentage aged 15-24.................. psrcentage aged 60 OT w B r .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. ~ e g e d 8 0 o r o v e .................. r Pemantageofwomenaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4327 2200 2127
4711 2382 2319
5 107 2 591 2 517
5 502 2 787 2 714
5 881 2 976 2908
6 247 3 156 3 081
6803 3330 3273
6948 3498 3450
7279 3659 3621
7 592 3811 3 762
9.1 19.3 19.8 8.3 5.8 1.3 55.1 26.1
9.4 17.1 18.7 9.3 6.4 1.5 54.4 27.7
9.1 16.5 16.7 10.9 7.2 1.6 52.4 29.3
8.7 16.7 14.9 12.9 8.6 1.8 50.3 31.O
8.2 16.3 14.6 15.1 10.4 2.0 49.5 32.5
7.9 15.6 15.0 17.0 12.3 2.5 48.4 33.7
7.8 15.0 14.8 18.1 13.8 3.1 47.0 34.5
7.7 14.6 14.3 19.5 14.7 3.9 45.4 34.9
7.6 14.5 13.8 21 .o 15.7 4.6 44.3 35.5
7.5 14.4 13.6 22.4 16.9 5.1 43.8 36.0
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 TI
m t h chenpe per year (thwsands). POpJatkn gmwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate @er 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude b a t h rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net mbgrath rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (ChUdren per mwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1.70 19.7 4.1 1.3 2.35 1.13
79 1.62 19.2 4.3 1.2 2.34 1.13
79 1.49 18.3 4.5 1.1 2.35 1.13
78 1.33 17.2 4.9 1.1 2.35 1.13
73 1.21 16.4 5.3 1 .o 2.35 1.13
89
71 1.11 16.0 5.9 0.9 2.35 1.13
1.02 15.8 6.5 0.9 2.35 1.13
66 0.93 15.6 7.2 0.8 2.35 1.14
63 0.84 15.4 7.8 0.8 2.35 1.14
D. LOWVARIANT
pop~irtkn (thouunda) Total .................................................... Male8 ...................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 327 2200 2127
4 619 2345 2274
4 858 2463 2395
5 049 2556 2493
5 218 2836 2582
5 351 2898 2654
5 439 2735 2704
5 476 2745 2731
5 463 2730 2733
5405 2693 2 712
8.3 5.8 1.3 55.1 26.1
7.6 17.4 19.1 9.5 6.5 1.5 55.5 28.3
6.4 15.5 17.5 11.4 7.6 1.7 55.1 30.8
5.5 13.2 16.3 14.0 9.4 2.0 54.8 33.5
5.2 11.4 14.7 17.0 11.7 2.3 53.9 38.2
4.9 10.5 12.8 19.6 14.3 2.9 51.8 38.8
4.5 10.0 11.3 22.0 16.7 3.7 48.8 41.3
4.1 9.4 10.6 24.7 18.6 4.9 45.5 43.7
3.8 8.7 10.3 28.0 20.9 8.2 42.7 45.9
3.6 8.1 9.9 31.5 23.7 7.2 40.2 48.0
Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentageaged0Oorover Peccentageofwomenaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2om-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
58
Populatbnchangeper popdath growth rate Crude birlh rate @er 1 Cnde dealh rate (per 1,000population) .. Net tnbmtion rate (per 1 .ooO popdalion) . Total sertility (children per mxnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) ..
1 .a 15.8 4.1 1.3 1.85
I
0.89
48 1.01 13.2 4.4 1.3 1.54 0.74
38 0.77
11.3 4.8 1.2 1.35 0.65
34 0.66 10.7 5.3 1.2 1.35 0.65
27 0.51 9.9 6.0 1.1 1.35 0.65
18 0.33 9.0 6.9 1.1 1.35 0.65
7 0.14 8.2 8.0 1.1 1.35 0.65
1.1 1.35 0.65
- 12 4.22 7.2 10.4 1.1 1.35 0.65
- 3 4.05 7.6 9.2
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT ~
2005
2010
2015
4327 2200 2127 26.1
4699 2388 2313 27.8
5084
2578 2505 29.5
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5464
5828
2768 2696 31.2
2948 2880 32.8
6175 3119 3056 34.1
6509 3282 3227 35.0
8827 3436 3391 35.6
7128 3581 3547 38.2
7408 3 716 3 691 36.7
2020
~~
PopuWon (thouads)
Tdal .................................................... Male8 ................................................... Fetnah ................................................ Mediin ege (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 poprbtkm gmwM rate (per cml) ............
CnrQ Mrth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,OOO populeton) ..
1.65 19.2 4.1
1.57 16.8 4.3
1.44 17.8 4.6
1.29 16.8 4.9
1.16 16.0 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prmpects: The 2006 Revisbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 1.05 15.5 6.0
0.96 15.3 6.6
0.86 15.0 7.3
0.77
14.6 7.9
191
COTE D'IVOIRE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... ..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . B~ithsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2000
COTE DIVOIRE
.
C HtGHVARlANT lndkator Population (thwundr) Total ...... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dldrlbutlon Percentage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ................... Percentage aged 60 or over ............ Percentage aged 65 or oyer .................. PerUMtage aged 80 or OYBT .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18 585 9 445 9 139
20540 10 399
25 215 12 715 12 500
27 621 13 917
30058
32 573
13 704
15 138 14 920
16 ux) 16 173
35 174 17 M6 17 469
37 818 19 030 18 789
40 447
10 141
22811 11 519 11 292
15.2 26.5 21.7 5.1 3.2 0.3 47.4 18.5
15.1 25.2 21.6 5.2 3.3 0.3 48.6 19.2
14.7 24.8 20.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.7 20.0
13.9 24.4 20.1 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.6 20.7
12.9 23.9 19.9 5.8 3.8 0.4 51.8 21.4
12.2 22.8 20.1 5.9 4.0 0.5 52.9 22.4
11.6 21.6 19.9 6.3 4.1 0.5 53.3 23.4
11.2 20.7 19.2 8.9 4.4 0.6 53.0 24.4
10.7 20.1 18.4 8.0 5.0 0.6 52.5 25.5
10.2 19.4 17.8 9.2 5.9 0.7 52.1 26.5
20 341 20 108
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Popuiation change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO pbpuiation) .. Net rnigratbn rale (per 1 ooO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (perwoman)
.
..........
391 2.00 37.1 15.6 -1.5 4.71 1.71
454 2.10 35.5 14.7 0.1 4.30 1.60
481 1.82 30.4 12.4 0.2 3.60 1.43
481 2.00 33.3 13.5 0.3 3.94 1.52
487 1.69 28.2 11.5 0.2 3.34 1.36
503 1.61 26.7 10.8 0.2 3.14 1.30
520 1.54 25.4 10.2 0.2 2.98 1.26
529 1.45 24.0 9.7 0.2 2.84 1.22
526 1.34 22.6 9.3 0.2 2.73 1.19
.
D LOWVARIANT
PopUldOn (thOUund8)
.
Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon PeruMlage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of ma@8d 1549 .. Median age (years) .................................
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18585 9 445 9139
20 210 10 234 9 976
21 874 11 050 10 824
23416 11 814 11 601
24849 12529 12320
26 142 13177 12965
27262 13740 13522
28197 14207 13989
28944 14575 14369
29500 14 039 14 661
15.2 26.5 21.7 5.1 3.2
13.7 25.6 22.0 5.3 3.4 0.3 49.4 19.6
12.4 24.2 21.8 5.7 3.6 0.3 51.9 21.0
11.2 22.4 21.6 6.1 3.9 0.4 54.5 22.5
10.3 20.7 20.8 6.5 4.3 0.5 56.4 24.1
9.5 19.2 19.7 6.8 4.6 0.5 57.4 25.9
8.6 18.0 18.6 7.5 4.9 0.6 57.3 27.6
7.8 16.7 17.6 8.6 5.5 0.7 56.7 29.4
7.1 15.4 16.7 10.4 6.5 0.8 55.6 31.4
6.5 14.2 15.8 12.7 8.1 0.9 54.2 33.3
0.3 47.4 18.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 m 2 0 3 5 20352040 2040-2045 20452050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlatkn).... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO POpJatkm) Net ndgralh rate (per 1 ooO populatkm) . Total f e r t f i(children per women) ........... Net reproductkn rale (per women) ..........
.
..
325 1.68 33.5 15.2 -1.5 4.21 1.53
333
308
1.58 29.8 14.1 0.1 3.50 1.31
1.36 26.3 13.0 0.3 2.94 1.13
287 1.19 23.9 12.2 0.2 2.60 1.03
259 1.01 21.5 11.6 0.2 2.34 0.95
224 0.84 19.3 11.2 0.2 2.14 0.89
187 0.67 17.3 10.8 0.2 1.98
0.84
150 0.52 15.6 10.6 0.2 1.84 0.79
111 0.38 14.1 10.5 0.2 1.73 0.76
.
E CONSTANT-FERTIUTY VARIANT
Population (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F m k ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18 585 9 445 9 139 18.5
20 730 10 494 10 238 19.0
23 491 11 859 11 631 19.3
26 741 13 479 13 262 19.2
30 457 15 338
34 743 17 485 17 258 18.9
39 767 20 008 19 761 19.0
45 704
52 702 26 498 26 204 19.1
60 911 30 617 30 295 19.0
15 120 18.9
22 986 22 718 19.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growM rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1.ooO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO populatkm) ..
.
2.19 39.2 15.9
2.50 40.0 15.1
2.59 39.6 14.0
2.80 38.6 12.8
2.63 37.9 11.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffahPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.70 37.6 10.8
2.78 37.6 10.0
2.85 37.5 9.2
2.90 37.3 8.5
193
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................:.................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comblned ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2000
CROATlA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator
Females ............................................... Age dMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... percentage a m 15-24 ....... percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of mrnen a m 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 551 2 191 2 361
4 570 2 201 2368
4550 2 198 2354
4529 2 190 2339
4 493 2 177 2 316
4446 2 157 2289
4 401 2 138 2262
4 372 2 128 2 243
4 361 2 129 2232
4355 2 134 2 221
4.5 11.0 13.1 22.1 17.2 2.9 45.4 40.6
5.3 9.8 12.0 23.5 17.3 3.9 44.6 41.6
5.8 9.9 11.1 25.2 18.3 4.7 42.7 42.3
5.9 11.1 9.9 28.8 19.9 5.2 40.6 42.9
5.6 11.8 10.0 28.1 21.4 4.9 39.5 43.7
5.5 11.7 11.3 28.9 22.6 5.6 38.6 44.4
5.7 11.3 12.0 29.4 23.1 6.5 37.9 44.6
6.2 11.3 11.9 30.0 23.4 7.2 37.5 44.1
6.6 11.9 11.4 30.4 23.8 7.6 37.2 42.7
6.7 12.8 11.3 30.1 24.1 7.6 37.6 41.2
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2c45-2050
Population change per year (thousands). Population groWm rate @er cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.OOO popbatkn) Crude death rale (per 1,OOO poprlation) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO poprlalion) . Total f e r t i l i i (CMdren per m n ) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.... .. ...........
4 0.08 10.6 12.0 2.2 1.60 0.77
- 4 -0.09 11.6 12.5 0.0 1.82 0.87
- 4 -0.09 11.9 12.8 0.0 1.99 0.95
- 7 -0.16 11.3 12.9
- 9 -0.21 11.0 13.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.06 0.99
2.13 1.02
2.20 1.06
2.27 1.09
- 2 -0.05 13.3 13.8 0.0 2.33 1.12
- 9 -0.20 11.3 13.4
- 6 -0.13 12.4 13.7
- 1 -0.03 13.4 13.7 0.0
2.35 1.13
D. LOW VARIANT
- 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 -
4 551 2 191 2 361
4 494 2 163 2332
4380 2098 2 261
4 207 2 025 2 182
4 051 1 950 2 102
3890 1871 2 018
3 714 1 786 1929
3 524 1 693 1 031
3 325 1 597 1 728
3 121 1500 1 621
4.5 11.0 13.1 22.1 17.2 2.9 48.4 40.6
3.7 10.0 12.2 23.9 17.6 3.9 45.3 42.2
3.4 8.6 11.5 28.3 19.1 4.9 44.4 43.8
3.2 7.5 10.7 28.9 21.4 5.5 43.5 45.4
3.3 7.0 9.2 31.2 23.7 5.5 41.7 47.2
3.3 6.9 8.1 33.0 25.8 6.4 39.2 48.9
3.2 7.0 7.6 34.8 27.4 7.7 36.4 50.7
3.1 7.0 7.6 37.3
3.0 6.8 7.9 39.9 31.2 9.9 32.5 53.7
2.9 6.6 7.9 42.0 33.7 10.6 31.O 55.0
POPUWWI (mouunds)
................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....... Percentqwaged 80 W O W Percenlaw a g d 65 or ow Percentage aged 80 or ow .................. Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...................
29.0
9.0 34.2 52.3
2005-2010 2010.2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population grwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populatim) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
-
11 -0.25 7.4 12.1 2.2 1.10 0.53
-
27 -0.61 6.8 12.9 0.0 1.02 0.49
-
31 -0.71 6.4 13.5 0.0 0.99 0.47
-
31 -0.75 6.5 14.0 0.0 1.06 0.51
-32 -0.82 6.5 14.7 0.0 1.13 0.54
-35
-0.92 6.3 15.5 0.0 1.20 0.58
-38 -1.05 6.0 16.5 0.0 1.27 0.61
-
-40 -1.17 5.8 17.5 0.0 1.33 0.64
41 -1.27 5.7 18.4 0.0 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
PopuMlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femakw ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
20452050
4 551 2191 2361 40.6
4 532 2182 2350 41.9
4 444 2141 2302 43.1
4 337 2092 2245 44.4
4 213 2033 2181 45.9
4 073 1966 2108 47.5
3 918 1890 2028 49.0
3 750 1809 1941 50.2
3 572 1724 1848 51.3
3 390 1638 1752 52.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 PopulationgrowM rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
-0.09 9.0 12.1
-0.39 8.8 12.7
-0.49 8.3 13.2
-0.58 7.8 13.6
-0.68 7.3 14.1
United Nations Deparbnent of Emnomic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevsion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.78 7.0 14.8
-0.88 6.8 15.6
-0.97 6.7 16.4
-1.05 6.5 17.0
195
CUBA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Totai ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females .......................... . ................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
5 920
3 057 2 863 106.8 13.1 23.2 18.2 7.0 4.4 0.6 51.0 22.3 53
1950-1955 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
5 MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ......................... ... ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per l.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ . ............... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revi3ion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CUBA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
11260 5 636 5 624
11353 5 681 5 671
l1490 5 750 5 740
11663 5 833 5 830
11815 5 903 5 912
11894 5 936 5 958
11913 5 941 5 972
11891 5 926 5 965
11832 5 895 5 937
5.9 13.3 13.9 15.7 11.2 2.6 53.6 35.6
5.9 12.0 13.9 17.4 12.4 2.8 52.4
6.1 11.4 12.4 19.3 14.0 2.9 47.9 40.6
6.1 11.5 11.2 21.1 15.7 3.5 42.9 42.0
5.8 11.7 10.7 25.2 17.4 4.3 39.2 43.0
5.6 11.6 11.0 29.2 21.1 5.1 38.5 43.9
5.6 11.3 11.4 32.3 24.6 5.9 38.3 45.0
5.7 11.1 11.4 32.8 27.3 6.6 37.2 45.5
5.8 11.2 11.1 32.7 27.4 8.7 36.6 45.3
38.2
19 0.16 12.0 7.5 -2.8 1.74 0.84
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............
.... ..
. 20 -0.18 8.7 7.6 -2.8 1.24 0.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
11260 5 636 5 624 35.6
11311 5 660 5 651 38.3
11336 5 671 5 665 41.0
11331 5 662 5 668 43.2
11307 5 642 5 665 44.8
11199 5 579 5 620 46.3
11000 5 472 5 528 47.9
10718 5 324 5 394 49.6
10359 5 139 5 220 51.0
0.09 11.3 7.5
0.05 10.6 7.7
.0.01 10.0 8.1
.0.04 9.5 8.8
.0.19 8.9 9.8
.0.36 8.4 10.9
-0.52 8.1 12.1
.0.68 7.8 13.4
-0.85 7.5 14.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CYPRUS A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
494 244 250 97.3
530 260 270 96.0
573 282 291 96.7
582 288 297 96.4
615 304 311 97.7
609
611 305 306 99.5
647 322 325 99.0
681 339 341 99.4
731 385 366 99.7
786 387 399 97.0
13.5 21.0 17.7 9.1 6.0 0.6 49.5 23.7 53
12.2 22.0 16.7 9.9 6.7 0.7 48.7 24.4 57
13.1 23.6 16.5 9.5 5.9 0.7 46.5 23.0
12.1 22.4 18.2 10.1 6.5 0.8 47.3 23.3
62
63
9.6 21.5 17.7 14.0 10.1 1.8 46.7 25.9 66
66
9.3 15.1 19.1 14.0 10.3 1.7 52.1 28.7 66
9.6 15.6 17.4 14.3 10.6 1.8 51.1 29.3 70
9.0 16.8 15.0 14.8 10.9 2.4 49.7 30.9 74
8.4 16.8 14.6 14.7 10.8 2.2 49.8 31.9 79
6.7 15.9 15.4 15.4 11.3 2.4 50.8 33.5 85
303 306 98.9 7.7 18.2 20.4 13.9 9.8 1.9 51.5 27.1
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
838 407 429 94.8 5.9 14.0 15.5 16.9 12.1 2.7 8.2 4.6 4.6 9.3 51.5 35.3
90
882 429 452 95.0
929 453 476 95.2
975 476 499 95.4
1018 498 521 95.6
1056 517 540 95.7
1091 534 557 95.8
1124 551 573 96.1
1155 567 588 96.4
6.0 11.8 15.1 18.2 13.0 2.9 6.9 3.8 4.3 9.2 51.0 36.3 95
6.1 11.3 13.4 19.8 14.2 3.2 6.8 3.3 3.5 8.4 49.2 37.4 100
6.0 11.5 11.5 21.6 15.5 3.5 7.0 3.3 3.2 6.9 47.1 38.7 105
5.7 11.6 11.0 23.2 17.3 4.0 7.0 3.4 3.3 6.5 45.7 40.1 110
5.4 11.3 11.3 24.6 18.8 4.7 6.8 3.4 3.4 6.8 44.4 41.5 114
5.3 10.8 11.5 25.4 19.9 5.3 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.9 43.1 42.7 118
5.4 10.5 11.3 26.7 20.5 6.2 6.3 3.2 3.2 6.9 41.7 43.6 121
5.4 10.5 10.9 26.2 21.6 6.8 6.3 3.1 3.1 6.6 40.2 44.0 125
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffilPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CYPRUS
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
11 1.24 14.0 7.4 5.8 1.86 0.89
12 1.32 15.1 7.4 5.4 2.03 0.97
13 1.30 15.4 7.5 5.1 2.18 1.05
12 1.15 14.3 7.7 4.8 2.23 1.07
11 1.01 13.5 8.0 4.5 2.28 1.09
11 0.97 13.7 8.3 4.3 2.33 1.12
12 0.99 14.4 8.6 4.1 2.35 1.13
13 0.99 14.8 8.8 3.9 2.35 1.13
13 0.94 14.6 8.9 3.7 2.35 1.13
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 0.87 10.3 7.5 5.8 1.36 0.65
7 0.75 9.5 7.6 5.6 1.23 0.59
6 0.64 8.9 7.9 5.4 1.18 0.57
5 0.56 8.7 8.4 5.3 1.23 0.59
4 0.44 8.2 9.0 5.1 1.28 0.62
3 0.32 7.8 9.6 5.0 1.33 0.64
2 0.21 7.4 10.3 5.0 1.35 0.65
1 0.10 7.1 11.0 4.9 1.35 0.65
0 0.02 7.0 11.7 4.9 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
836 407 429 35.3
883 453 36.3
929 453 476 37.4
974 476 499 38.7
1014 496 519 40.2
1048 512 536 41.7
1077 527 550 43.2
1103 540 563 44.4
1125 552 574 45.0
1145 562 583 45.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.08 12.4 7.5
1.04 12.4 7.5
0.95 11.9 7.7
0.65 10.1 8.5
0.54 9.8 9.0
0.47 9.7 9.6
0.41 9.7 10.1
0.34 9.5 10.5
430
.. . p p . . . . .
0.80 11.0 8.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
CZECH REPUBLIC
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.004 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
CZECH REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1 ,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
15 0.15 11.0 10.8 1.4 1.49 0.72
18 0.17 11.4 11.0 1.4 1.70 0.82
13 0.13 11.1 11.2 1.3 1 .85 0.89
0 0.00 10.1 11.5 1.3 1.90 0.91
. l0 .0.10 9.6 12.0 1.3 1.95 0.94
. 12 -0.12 10.0 12.5 1.4 2.00 0.96
.6 .0.06 10.9 12.9 1.4 2.05 0.99
1 0.01 11.7 13.0 1.4 2.10 1.01
. 70 .0.78 5.1 14.5 1.6 1 .00 0.48
. 76 .0.89 5.0 15.5 l .6 1.05 0.50
. 79 .0.98 4.9 16.3 1.7 1.10 0.53
. 82 .1.06 4.8 17.2 l .8 1.15 0.55
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 22 .0.22 7.4 10.9 1.4 0.99 0.48
. 37 .0.37 6.3 11.3 1.4 0.90 0.43
. 54 -0.57 5.4 12.5 1.5 0.90 0.43
. 48 .0.49 5.5 11.8 1.4 0.85 0.41
. 62 .0.67 5.2 13.5 1.5 0.95 0.46
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Med~anage (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10192 4 970 5 222 38.9
10150 4 958 5 192 40.2
10056 4 917 5 139 42.3
9908 4 847 5 061 44.5
9702 4 747 4 955 46.8
9439 4 618 4 821 48.9
9134 4 469 4 665 50.6
8797 4 306 4 491 52.2
8436 4 131 4 305 53.6
8054 3 944 4 110 55.0
.0.08 8.7 10.9
.0.19 8.0 11.2
.0.30 7.2 11.6
.0.42 6.5 12.2
4.55 6.0 13.0
-0.66 5.8 13.9
.0.75 5.7 14.8
.0.84 5.5 15.5
.0.93 5.2 16.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DEM. PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... .. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
9737 4453 5284 84.3
9632 4453 5179 86.0
10946 5143 5803 88.6
12323 5865 6458 90.8
14247 6861 7386 92.9
16072 7797 8275 94.2
17239 8390 8849 94.8
18721 9144 9576 95.5
20143 9870 10273 96.1
21715 10659 11057 96.4
22946 11274 l1672 96.6
15.8 32.1 22.1 3.9 2.7 0.3 49.2 15.9 81
10.4 29.6 25.9 3.4 2.3 0.3 57.2 18.5 80
15.5 21.4 25.8 2.7 1.9 0.3 59.6 20.0 91
14.3 21.3 22.6 2.3 1 .6 0.3 58.8 21.5 102
16.1 23.7 16.1 2.4 1.4 0.2 52.8 21.8 l18
13.6 24.8 16.1 3.4 1.6 0.2 51.5 21.2 133
8.8 25.7 19.4 4.6 2.5 0.2 52.1 22.9 143
10.0 19.6 21.2 6.2 3.4 0.2 53.8 24.5 155
9.4 16.8 21.8 7.8 4.7 0.3 53.9 26.2 167
9.7 17.2 16.8 9.5 5.7 0.5 50.6 28.1 180
8.8 17.2 14.7 11.6 6.9 0.7 50.1 30.1 190
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.W 0 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 23 616 Males ................................................... 11638 Females ............................................... 11978 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 97.2 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 7.0 Percentage aged 5-14......................... 17.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 15.7 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 13.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 8.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 10.3 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... 5.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 4.7 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 9.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 52.2 Median age (years) ................... ............. 32.1 Population density (population per sq km) 1 96
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
24 015 11866 12149 97.7
24 416 12089 12327 98.1
24 838 12316 12522 98.4
25 228 12515 12713 98.4
25 434 12603 12831 98.2
25 404 12554 12849 97.7
25 218 12426 12792 97.1
24 961 12274 12687 98.7
24 666 12117 12549 96.6
6.2 15.0 16.3 14.3 9.8 1 .1 8.7 5.1 5.2 9.5 53.1 33.9 199
6.4 12.7 16.5 13.6 10.4
6.7 12.2 14.5 15.1 9.7 1.7 7.3 3.6 3.8 9.0 50.0 35.8 206
6.7 12.6 12.3 16.6 11.0 2.0 7.7 3.6 3.5 7.4 46.7 36.8 209
6.1 13.0 11.8 19.8 12.4 2.1 7.9 3.8 3.7 7.0 46.4 38.2 21 1
5.5 12.6 12.5 22.5 15.3 18 7.5 4.0 3.9 7.4 45.5 39.8 21 1
5.3 11.6 13.0 22.6 17.5 2.5 6.8 3.7 3.9 7.8 45.0 41.2 209
5.5 10.8 12.8 23.7 17.3 3.0 6.4 3.4 3.6 7.8 43.4 41.9 207
5.7 10.9 11.8 24.6 18.0 4.1 6.5 3.2 3.3 7.2 41.6 41.9 205
1.4 7.4 4.1 4.7 10.1 53.2 34.6 203
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .................... . . . . ................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
DEM PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF KOREA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
120 0.50 15.0 9.9 0.0 2.1 0 0.94
147 0.60 16.3 10.3 0.0 2.25 1.01
173 0.68 17.4 10.5 0.0 2.35 1.06
168 0.64 17.0 10.6 0.0 2.35 1.07
128 0.47 15.4 10.7 0.0 2.35 1.07
90 0.33 14.2 10.9 0.0 2.35 1.08
86 0.31 14.5 11.4 0.0 2.35 1.08
100 0.35 15.5 12.0 0.0 2.35 1.09
108 0.37 16.0 12.3 0.0 2.35 1.09
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............
....
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
40 0.17 11.5 9.8 0.0 1.60 0.72
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) . . .................. Total ........................... . Males ................................................ Females ................... . . . ..................... Median age (years) .................................
23 616 11838 11978 32.1
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
24 070 11894 12176 33.8
. . . .
0.38 13.7 9.9
24 527 12146 12381 34.4
25 5 8 12403 12605 35.5
25 458 12633 12825 36.5
25 724 12752 12972 37.8
25 765 12740 13025 39.3
25 669 12658 13011 40.6
25 511 12557 12954 41.1
0.21 13.1 11.1
0.03 11.8 11.5
.0.08 11.5 12.2
.0.12 11.9 13.1
.0.15 12.2 13.8
p p
0.38 14.1 10.3
0.39 14.5 10.6
0.36 14.4 10.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
25 318 12453 12866 40.9
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1965
1990
1995
12 184 5707 6477 88.1
13 601 6436 7165 89.8
15 451 7376 6075 91.4
17 661 8496 9165 92.7
20 598 9974 10623 93.9
23 976 11677 12299 94.9
28 071 13739 14332 95.9
32 443 15941 16502 96.6
37 942 18695 19247 97.1
45 339 22364 22975 97.3
17.8 25.9 18.8 5.6 3.8 0.7 45.9 18.1 5
17.7 26.1 19.0 5.0 3.2 0.5 46.4 18.0 6
18.1 25.9 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.4 46.5 17.9 7
18.4 26.1 19.0 4.6 2.8 0.3 46.1 17.7 6
18.6 26.5 18.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 45.4 17.5 9
18.8 26.6 18.5 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.8 17.1 10
19.1 27.1 16.6 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.2 16.8 12
19.2 27.5 18.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 43.8 16.6 14
19.1 27.8 19.0 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.5 16
19.1 27.9 19.3 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.4 19
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year {thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................... .......... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
58 741 29 066 29 675 97.9
69 010 34 223 34 787 98.4
80 569 40 021 40 547 98.7
93 375 46 437 46 938 98.9
107 481 53 500 53 982 99.1
122 734 61 132 61 602 99.2
138 714 69 126 69 588 99.3
154 938 77 235 77 703 99.4
171 C48 85 273 85 775 99.4
19.5 27.7 19.7 4.2 2.6 0.3 17.1 7.3 6.6 11.4 44.1 16.3 25
19.6 28.0 19.4 4.0 2.6 0.3 17.4 7.2 6.5 11.2 43.9 16.1 29
19.2 28.6 19.3 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.8 7.4 6.5 11.1 43.9 16.1 34
18.3 28.8 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.8 7.7 6.8 11.3 44.7 16.4 40
17.3 28.3 20.5 3.9 2.5 0.3 17.4 7.7 7.0 11.8 46.0 16.9 46
16.4 27.4 21.1 4.0 2.5 0.3 16.8 7.6 7.0 12.2 47.5 17.7 52
15.2 26.5 21.2 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.2 7.4 6.9 12.4 49.0 16.7 59
14.0 25.5 21.1 4.6 2.9 0.3 15.5 7.3 6.8 12.3 50.6 19.7 66
12.8 24.1 20.9 5.1 3.2 0.4 14.6 7.0 6.7 12.3 52.3 21.0 73
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................
2 054 3 166 1 156 44 3.22 49.6 18.1 0.7 6.70 2.32 114 196
2 312 3 583 1 256 . 15 3.10 47.9 16.8 .0.2 6.49 2.31 106 162
2 561 3 902 1 325 - 15 2.95 44.9 15.2 -0.2 6.03 2.21 99 167
2 821 4 215 1 378 . 15 2.81 42.0 13.7 -0.1 5.52 2.09 90 151
3 051 4 467 1 422 . 15 2.65 39.0 12.4 -0.1 4.95 1.93 82 136
3 196 4 667 1 456 . 15 2.45 35.7 11.1 -0.1 4.36 1.74 74 121
3 245 4 743 1 484 . 15 2.21 32.3 10.1 -0.1 3.81 1.56 67 108
3 222 4 747 1 510 - 15 1.98 29.1 9.3 -0.1 3.35 1.41 60 95
3 158 4 716 1 543 . 15 1.77 26.4 8.6 .0.1 2.98 1.28 53 83
45.2 47.7 46.5
46.6 49.2 47.9
48.2 51.0 49.6
50.0 52.8 51.4
51.9 54.8 53.3
53.8 56.7 55.2
55.7 58.6 57.2
57.5 60.6 59.1
59.3 62.5 60.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 054 3.22 49.6 18.1 0.7 6.70 2.32
2 413 3.22 49.3 17.0 .0.2 6.70 2.39
2 838 3.23 47.9 15.6 .0.2 6.53 2.40
3 143 3.05 44.6 14.0 .0.1 6.02 2.26
3 449 2.89 41.4 12.5 -0.1 5.45 2.12
3 724 2.71 38.4 11.2 -0.1 4.86 1.94
3 965 2.53 35.5 10.1 -0.1 4.31 1 .77
4 151 2.35 32.8 9.2 -0.1 3.85 1.62
4 270 2.16 30.1 8.5 -0.1 3.48 1.49
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................... . ............. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 953 3.08 47.9 17.9 0.7 6.45 2.24
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
58 741 29 066 29 675 16.3
68 992 34 214 34 778 16.1
81 004 40 240 40 764 15.9
95 586 47 547 48 040 15.8
113 458 56 499 56 959 15.7
135 456 67 516 67 940 15.6
162 576 81 104 81 472 15.4
196 077 97 890 98 187 15.3
237 553 118 669 118 884 15.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.22 49.5 18.1
3.21 49.2 16.9
3.31 48.9 15.7
3.43 48.7 14.3
3.54 48.5 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.65 48.4 11.9
3.75 48.2 10.7
3.84 46.0 9.7
3.92 47.9 8.7
289 004 144 439 144 566 15.1
DENMARK A ESTIMATES indicator Populalion (thourando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
...................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. ..... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of m e n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lsB0
1985
1980
1995
2000
4271 2118 2153 98.4
4439 2203 2236 98.5
4 581 2 272 2309 98.4
4 758 2 359 2399 w.3
4929 2446 2463
5060 2508 2554 96.1
5123 2529 2594 97.5
5114 2519 2595 97.1
5140 2533 2607 97.1
5228 2580 2648 97.4
5335
9.7 16.6 13.7 13.4 9.1 1.2 49.2 31.8 99
8.4 18.1 13.5 14.2 9.8 1.4 47.6 32.4 103
8.0 17.2 14.9 15.5 10.6 1.0 46.9 33.0 108
8.2 15.5 16.7 16.4 11.3 1.8 47.0 32.8 110
7.9 15.4 18.0 17.6 12.3 2.1 46.4 32.5 114
7.2 15.4 14.7 18.7 13.4 2.4 46.0 33.0 117
6.1 14.7 15.0 19.5 14.4 2.9 47.2 34.3 119
5.2 13.3 15.4 20.3 15.1 3.3 49.1 38.0 119
5.7 11.4 14.9 20.4 15.6 3.7 50.2 37.1 119
8.5 10.9 13.3 19.8 15.3 3.9 49.0 37.7 121
8.3 12.2 11.4 19.8 14.8 4.0 46.5 38.4 1 24
96.5
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1WO-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,O00 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) .......... Infant mortally rate (per 1,OOO live births) Life expectancy at blrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
34 79
2 637 2 696 97.7
mm
0.53 14.6 10.1 1.97 0.94 12
13 63 53 0.25 12.3 10.4 1.68 0.80 9
- 2 53 57 4.04 10.3 11.1 1.43 0.69 8
5 58 59 0.10 11.3 11.5 1.54 0.74 8
18 67 61 0.34 13.0 11.0 1.75 0.84 7
22 67 80 0.41 12.6 11.4 1.76 0.85
16 65 57 0.30 12.0 10.7 1 .78 0.85
5
5
70.9 76.4 73.6
71.3 77.3 74.2
71.6 77.6 74.6
72.1 77.9 74.9
72.5 77.8 75.2
73.6 78.6 76.1
75.0 79.6 77.3
2025
2030
2ws
2040
2045
5606
5588 2 778
5558
26 73
34 76 39 0.77 17.9 9.0 2.55 1.19 28
28 76 41 0.63 16.8 9.1 2.55 1.20 23
35 80 45 0.76 17.2 9.7 2.59 1.22 20
4a
50
0.71 16.3 9.9 2.27 1 .o4 16
69.6 72.4 71 .O
70.3 73.7 72.0
70.3 74.4 72.3
70.6 75.3 72.9
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
Populatlon (thourando) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
.
Aga dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ...... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OVW .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .......... Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .. Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .......... Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
5417 2 880 2737 97.9
5473 2 714 2759 98.4
5510 2 736 2774 98.0
5544
5678
2 754 2709 98.7
2 771 2806 98.7
5602 2 783 2820 98.7
2 785 2021 98.7
6.0 12.8 11.0 21.2 15.1 4.1 7.7 3.8 3.5 6.4 45.2 39.5 126
5.6 12.3 12.3 23.4 16.7 4.2 7.3 3.6 3.9 7.2 44.6 40.9 127
5.3 11.6 12.9 24.9 18.8 4.4 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.9 43.4 42.1 128
5.4 11.0 12.5 26.3 20.2 4.8 6.5 3.4 3.6 7.6 42.0 42.8 129
5.6 10.8 11.8 28.1 21.4 5.8 8.4 3.2 3.4 7.2 40.6 42.9 129
5.6 11.0 11.2 29.5 22.8 6.9 6.6 3.2 3.2 6.8 39.8 42.5 130
5.5 11.3 11.1 30.4 24.0 7.4 6.6 3.4 3.3 6.6 40.1 42.7 130
2811 98.8
2 766 2793 99.0
5 528 2 755 2 773 99.4
5.3 11.4 11.4 30.4 24.7 7.8 6.8 3.5 3.5 0.8 40.3 43.2 130
5.2 11.1 11.8 29.8 24.7 8.5 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.1 40.1 43.8 129
5.2 10.8 11.8 29.4 23.9 9.2 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.2 39.8 43.8 120
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-W 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,O00 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Intant mortality rate (per i.O00 live births) Under-fnre mortality (per 1.OOO lwe births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
206
11 81 58
6 0.21 11.2 10.3 1.1 1.80 0.87 4
7 58 57 6 0.14 10.6 10.4 1.1 1.82 0.88 4
8
6
76.0
76.7 81.4 79.0
80.8
78.3
1 62 67 6 0.01 11.0 12.0
- 4
7 59 59 6 0.12 10.7 10.6 1.1 1.85 0.89 4 5
7 62 61 6 0.12 11.1 11.0 1.1 1.85 0.89 4 5
0.89
0.89
4 5
3 5
10.6 12.3 1.1 1.85 0.89 3 5
77.4
78.0 82.7 80.3
78.6 83.3 80.9
79.2 83.8 81.5
79.7 84.3 82.0
82.0
70.7
5
63 64 6 0.09
11.3 11.5 1.1 1.85
1.1
1.85
59
69 6
4.m
- 6 58 70 6 4.11 10.3 12.5 1.1 1.85 0.89 3
- 8 57 89 6
4.11 10.3 12.5 1.1 1.85 0.89
4
3 4
80.2 84.8 82.5
80.7 85.2 83.0
United Nations Depsrtment of Economic and Sodai AffairslpopulatbnDividon World Population Prcxpects: The 2006 Revksion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DENMARK
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
19 0.35 12.7 10.3 1.1 2.05 0.99
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 0.05 9.8 10.3 1.1 1.55 0.75
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
5 417 2 680 2 737 39.5
5 465 2 710 2 755 40.9
5 491 2 726 2 765 42.2
5 51 1 2 738 2 774 43.1
5 531 2 747 2 784 43.3
5 539 2 750 2 789 43.0
5 522 2 742 2 781 43.3
5 482 2 723 2 759 43.9
5 428 2 699 2 729 44.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.1 8 11.0 10.3
0.10 10.3 10.4
0.08 10.3 10.6
0.07 10.7 11.0
0.03 10.8 11.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.06 10.4 12.1
.0.15 10.0 12.5
.0.20 9.7 12.8
-0.20 9.7 12.9
5 373 2 676 2 697 44.9
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousando) Total ....... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga dlstrlbullon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populalbn per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
82 31 31 w.0
70 35 35 w.3
85
117 58 59 98.3
162
561
202 99.2
281 99.4
624 311 313 99.6
730
169 171 90.9
403 200
81 98.4
224 111 113 98.6
340
42 43 90.2
99.7
19.7 27.1 19.3 3.4 2.0 0.1 45.1 16.5 3
17.5 28.6 19.6 3.5 2.0 0.1 45.7 16.9 3
18.1 27.4 20.1 3.5 2.0 0.1 46.2 17.1 4
18.6 26.3 20.5 3.5 2.0 0.1 46.6 17.2 5
18.7 27.1 19.5 3.6 2.1 0.1 45.8 17.1 7
18.2 27.7 18.9 3.6 2.1 0.2 45.6 17.0 10
17.6 27.7 19.5 3.8 2.2 0.2 46.0 17.2 15
17.5 27.1 20.0 3.9 2.3 0.2 46.6 17.5 17
17.3 26.7 20.0 4.0 2.4 0.2 46.9 17.8 24
16.4 26.9 19.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 47.3 18.2 27
14.4 26.8 20.3 4.5 2.7 0.2 48.7 19.0 31
80
1950-1955 lSS!j-lSBo 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 198&1985 1-1990 Population change per year (1hOuJande). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction [ale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO llve births) LnS expectancy at blrlh (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
2 3 2 2.48 50.0 20.3 7.80 2.01
223
3 4 2 3.80 50.7 25.7 7.80 2.17 203
8 5 2 6.37 51.2 23.8 7.80 2.29 185
9 7 3 6.51 50.2 21.6 7.80 2.35 169
12 9 4 6.52 47.8 19.4 7.20 2.33 154
23 13 5 8.36 45.2 17.4 6.80 2.29 141
13 16 6 3.38 44.0 15.7 8.60 2.32 127
32 21 7 6.62 43.2 14.9 6.40 2.30 120
33.3 35.4 34.8
35.8 39.0 37.3
38.2 41.3 39.7
40.8 43.7 42.1
42.9 45.9 44.4
45.1 48.0 46.5
47.4 50.3 48.8
280
1990-1995 l9952ooo 2ooo-2005
2.15 40.2 13.7 5.85 2.16 112
21 23 8 3.13 34.6 12.3 5.11 1.92 102
15 24 9 1.94 31.4 12.0 4.52 1.70 95
48.6 51.6 50.0
50.1 53.2 51.6
51.5 54.8 53.2
51.9 54.9 53.4
13 24 8
B. MEDIUM VARlANf
Populatlon (thouunda) Total .......................
Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) ................................. Population density (populati per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2W5
2040
2045
2050
8w
877
597 100.4
639 636
100.0
1113 558 558 100.4
6w
99.8
1 027 514 513 100.3
1 276
439 439
951 476 475 100.2
1197
402 403
100.4
1 349 676 673 100.4
1417 709 707 100.3
1480 740 740 100.1
13.3 25.2 21.2 4.9 3.0 0.3 15.1 7.5 7.0 12.3 50.7 20.1 35
12.4 23.2 21.7 5.4 3.3 0.3 14.0 6.8 6.9 12.8 52.7 21.5
11.6 21.9 20.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.4 6.3 12.5 53.8 22.9 41
11.1 20.7 19.4 6.4 4.0 0.4 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.5 54.2 24.4 44
10.5 19.9 18.5 7.1 4.5 0.5 12.0 5.8 5.7 11.0 54.3 25.8
9.8 19.2 17.8 8.0 5.0 0.6 11.6 5.6 5.5 10.6 54.2 26.9 52
9.1 18.3 17.4 9.0 5.8 0.7 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.4 54.0 28.2 55
8.5 17.3 17.1 10.1 8.5 0.8 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.2 53.3 29.4 58
8.1 16.4 16.6 11.5 7.4 0.9 9.8 4.9 5.0 10.0 52.3 30.7 61
7.8 15.6 15.9 13.2 8.5 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.6 51.4 31.9
38
48
64
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (mouSands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO pqwlalion) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO Population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lrifant mortality rate (per 1,ooO ihre births) Under-five mortalny (per 1,OOO live births) L l k expen3ancy at blrlh (ymrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cwnbined ............................
208
15 24 10 0 1.74 20.7 11.3 0.0 3.95 1.52 85 126
15 24 9 0 1.82 26.5 10.3 0.0 3.48 1.39 75 109
15 25 9 0 1.54 24.9 9.5 0.0 3.13 1.29
53.6 56.0 54.8
56.1 58.6 57.3
65
17 25 10 2 1.61 23.3 9.1 1.9 2.86 1.22 57
93
80
17 25 10 2 1.45 21.4 8.7 1.7 2.65 1.16 50 68
58.3 81.1 59.7
60.2 63.0 61.6
61.9 64.8 63.4
384 365
16 24 11 2 1.27 19.7 8.6 1.6 2.49 1.10 44 58
15 24 11 2 1.11 18.2 8.6 1.5 2.35 1.06 38 49
14 24 12 2 0.98 17.2 8.8 1.4 2.24 1.03 33 42
63.4 66.4 64.9
64.7 67.8 66.2
65.9 69.2 67.5
13 24 13 2 0.87 16.3 9.0 1.4 2.14 0.99
28 36
67.1 70.5 68.8
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AffiirslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
16 1.89 30.4 11.5 0.0 4.20 1.61
17 1.87 29.2 10.5 0.0 3.88 1.55
19 1.85 28.1 9.6 0.0 3.63 1.50
21 1.90 26.2 9.0 1.8 3.36 1.43
21 1.73 24.2 8.5 l6 3.15 1.37
21 1.57 22.5 8.3 1.5 2.99 1.33
21 1.46 21.4 8.2 1.4 2.85 1.29
21 1.38 20.7 8.2 1.3 2.74 1.25
22 1.31 20.1 8.2 1.2 2.64 1.22
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ...................................................,. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... lvledian age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
13 1.58 27.0 11.2 0.0 3.70 1.42
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................. ................ Median age (years) ................................
804 402 403 20.1
892 446 446 21.1
997 499 498 21.8
1120 561 559 22.0
1268 636 632 21.8
1431 718 713 21.7
1611 809 802 21.8
1812 910 902 22.1
2041 1 025 1017 22.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
2.08 32.4 11.6
2.23 33.0 10.7
2.32 32.9 9.8
2.48 32.2 9.1
2.42 31.1 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.37 30.2 7.9
2.35 29.9 7.6
2.38 30.0 7.3
2.42 30.2 6.9
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lge0
1985
1990
1995
2OOo
2 427 1 238 1191 103.7
2834 1444 1390 103.9
3 349 1705 1644 103.7
3 950 2 007 1943 103.3
4598 2332 2264 103.0
5264 2668 2 596 102.8
5934 3005 2929 102.6
6606 3343 3265 102.4
7 295 3685 3 610 102.1
8 013 4040 3 973 101.7
8 744 4 397 4 347 101.2
18.9 27.8 !9.5 4.4 2.7 0.3 44.2 16.6 50
19.7 27.4 19.0 4.2 2.6 0.3 44.2 16.5 58
20.1 27.8 18.2 4.1 2.5 0.3 43.6 16.1 89
19.5 29.0 17.8 4.1 2.5 0.3 43.1 15.8 81
18.1 29.6 18.4 4.2 2.6 0.3 43.7 16.1 95
16.6 29.1 20.0 4.4 2.8 0.3 45.3 16.9 109
15.1 27.7 21.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 47.5 18.1 122
14.1 26.0 21.6 5.3 3.3 0.4 49.4 19.3 136
13.3 24.5 21.1 5.9 3.8 0.5 50.9 20.6 150
12.8 23.2 20.1 6.7 4.4 0.6 51 .8 21.8 165
12.3 22.4 19.2 7.4 5.0 0.9 52.2 22.9 180
Populalion (thouaandr)
Total .....................................................
taw aged 0-4 ........ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or OYBT .................. Percentage Percentage Percentage Median age ( Population density (populationper sq km)
1850-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2oOo 2000-2005
.
poPu(atian change per year (thoueands) Births per year (thouSande)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde bifîh rate (per 1,WOpopilation) Cwde death rate (per 1.WO populatbn) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wanan) infant mortality raie (per í,ûû~ live b i m ) L l k axpactancyal blrth (ymra) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.... .. ..........
81 139 53 3.10 52.8 20.2 7.60 2.51 153
103 163 54 3.34 52.7 17.4 7.64 2.70 139
120 182 53 3.30 49.8 14.6 7.35 2.75 124
129 191 51 3.03 44.8 11.9 6.85 2.61 109
44.7 47.3 45.9
48.5
52.1 55.1 53.5
55.3 58.6 56.8
51.4 49.8
2.72 39.7 9.7 5.71 2.35 96
134 198 46 2.40 35.3 8.3 4.76 2.03 86
135 202 46 2.15 32.1 7.4 4.00 1.75 75
137 207 46 1.98 29.7 6.6 3.47 1.55 63
144 216 47 1.88 28.2 6.1 3.20 1.46 48
146 224 50 1.75 26.7 6.0 3.05 1.40 41
145 230 55 1.59 25.2 6.0 2.95 1.37 35
58.1 61.6 59.6
60.2 63.8 61.8
62.1 66.0 63.7
64.2 68.9 66.0
66.5 71.7 68.5
67.1 73.1 70.0
67.9 74.2 70.8
134 196 48
B. MEDIUMVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9 470 4 752 4 718 100.7
10 191 5 104 5 087 100.3
10 890 5 445 5445 100.0
11 557 5 769 5 789 99.7
12 172 6 065 6 108 99.3
12 709 6323 8386 99.0
13159 6535 6623 98.7
13519 6703 8816 98.3
13790 6826 6964 98.0
13 972 6906 7066 97.7
11.7 21.8 18.5 8.0 5.6 1.1 13.3 8.3 5.9 10.9 52.0 23.9 195
11.0 21.1 18.2 8.7 6.1 1.3 12.8
10.3 20.2 18.0 9.7 6.7 1.5 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.7 51.2 28.0 224
9.7 19.1 17.7 11.0 7.5 1.7 11.5 5.7 5.5 10.5 50.6 27.2 233
9.1 18.2 17.2 12.6 8.6 1.9 11.0 5.4 5.3 10.2 50.0 28.5 251
8.4 17.4 16.6 14.2 10.0 2.2 10.4 5.2 5.1 9.9 49.6 29.9 262
7.8 16.3 18.1 15.8 11.5 2.6 9.8 5.0 4.9 9.6 49.3 31.5 271
7.3 15.3 15.6 17.3 12.8 3.1 9.1 4.7 4.7 9.3 49.0 33.0 279
6.9 14.4 14.9 18.7 14.1 3.8 8.6 4.4 4.4 9.0 48.3 34.6 284
6.5 13.6 14.1 20.1 15.2 4.4 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.3 36.2
Population (thwaandr)
Total .................................................... Males Femal Sex ratio (maies per 100 females) ........... Age diatributh Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24...... Percentage aged 60 or m r Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or o w .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 .. Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 1523 .......... Percentage of womeo aged 1549 ......... Population density (population per sq km)
8.1
5.8 10.7 51.7 24.9 21o
288
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thwsande) Births per year (mouSands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migratm per year )-( ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1 .O00 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulatan) .. Net mgratm rate (per 1,WOpopilation) Total fertility (children per m a n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Irirant mortaiity rate (per 1,WOIhm births) Under-five mortality (per 1,ooO lm whs) Llîe expectancy al Mrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
..........
210
33
140 231 63 - 28 1.33 21.9 6.0 -2.7 2.66 1.25 25 28
69.3 75.5 72.2
70.2 78.5 73.2
144 231
-
58
28 1.47 23.5 5.9 -2.8 2.81 1.31 30
90 20%
133 230 69 28 1.19 20.5 6.1 -2.5 2.51 1.19 21 24
123 226 75 -28 1 .o4 19.1 8.3 -2.4 2.35 1.11 18 21
107 218 82 -28 17.5 6.6 -2.3 2.19 1 .o4 16 18
90 -28 0.70 16.1 7.0 -2.2 2.06 0.98 14 16
71.1 77.4 74.1
71.ô 78.1 74.9
72.5 78.9 75.6
73.2 79.5 76.3
-
0.86
99 28 0.54 15.0 7.5 -2.1 1.96 0.94 12 14
54 191 109 - 28 0.40 14.0 8.0 -2.1 1 .a9 0.91 11 13
36 184 119 -28 0.26 13.2 8.6 -2.0 1.85 0.89 10 12
73.7 80.1 76.8
74.2 80.6 77.3
74.6 81.1 77.8
72 200
-
United Nations Department of Economic and *al Affairslpopulaüon Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
162 1.64 25.2 6.0 -2.8 3.06 1.43
170 1.59 24.5 6.0 -2.6 3.06 1.44
174 1.50 23.5 6.0 -2.4 3.01 1.42
1 68 1.36 22.0 6.2 -2.3 2.85 1.35
163 1.23 20.7 6.3 -2.1 2.69 1.28
159 1.13 19.9 6.6 -2.0 2.56 1.22
154 1.04 19.1 6.8 -1.9 2.46 1.18
146 0.94 18.3 7.2 -l .8 2.39 1.14
137 0.84 17.6 7.5 .1.7 2.35 1.13
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
126 1.29 21.6 5.9 .2.9 2.56 1.20
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
9470 4 752 4718 23.9
10241 5 130 5111 24.7
11051 5 527 5524 25.5
11896 5 942 5955 26.2
12775 6 373 6402 26.9
13688 6 823 6866 27.4
14640 7 291 7349 27.8
15633 7 782 7851 28.1
16669 8 295 8374 28.4
Populat~on growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .
1.57 24.5 60
1.52 23.8 6.0
1.48 23.3 6.1
1.43 22.7 6.2
1.38 22.3 6.3
1.34 21.9 6.5
1.31 21.7 6.7
1 28 21.5 7.0
1.26 21 4 72
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ECUADOR indicator Population (thousands) ............ Total .... Males .......................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlsfrlbutlon Percentage aged W ........................... Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... .... Percentage aged 60 or over .... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
3 387 1684 1 704 98.8
3062 1926 1 937 99.4
4439 2 219 2220 100.0
5144 2578 2566 100.5
5970 2997 2973 100.8
6907 3471 3438 101.0
7 961 4004 3958 101.2
9099 4 576 4 523 101.2
10272 5165 5107 101.1
11396 5727 5669 101.0
12306 6178 6127 100.8
15.8 23.7 17.8 8.1 5.3 0.6 45.2 20.6 12
17.8 23.8 17.7 7.5 5.0
17.7 25.7 17.4 7.0 4.7 0.5 43.3 18.5 16
17.6 27.0 17.4 6.7 4.5 0.6 42.7 17.8 18
17.4 27.0 18.7 6.3 4.2 0.8 43.7 17.6 21
16.8 27.0 19.7 6.1 4.0 0.6 44.7 17.9 24
16.1 26.7 19.8 5.9 4.0 0.6 45.9 18.4 28
15.0 26.1 20.2 5.9 4.0 0.6 47.5 19.1 32
13.7 25.3 20.4 6.2 4.2 0.7 49.3 20.1 36
12.4 23.9 20.5 6.6 4.5 0.8 51.2 21.4 40
11.8 22.6 19.9 7.4 5.1 1.o 51.9 22.7 43
0.5 44.2 19.4 14
1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1965 1965-1970 19701975 1975-1980 1-1985 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1,ooO popilation) .... Cnide death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per w o r n ) .......... Iníant mortal¡¡ rate (per 1,ooO h e births) Life expectancy at birth ( y u r s ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOo 2OOo-2005
6.50 2.53 107
187 261 74 2.92 40.6 11.5 6.00 2.41 95
21 1 284 73 2.84 38.2 9.8 5.40 2.24 82
227 297 69 2.67 34.8 8.1 4.70 2.02
55.4 58.2 56.7
57.4 80.5 58.8
95 165 70 2.62 45.6 19.4 6.70 2.33 140
115 106 70 2.78 44.7 17.0 6.70 2.43 129
141 21 1 70 2.95 44.1 14.6 6.70 2.53 119
165 238 73 2.98 42.8 13.1
47.1 49.6 46.4
50.1 52.7 51.4
53.4 56.1 54.6
235
182
68
65 2.43 30.9 6.7 4.00 1.77 56
225 298 63 2.08 27.5 5.9 3.40 1.54 44
62 1.54 25.6 5.2 3.10 1.43 33
151 294 63 1.19 23.2 5.0 2.82 1.32 25
59.7 63.2 61.3
62.5 66.7 64.3
65.3 69.9 67.2
67.6 72.6 69.6
69.7 75.1 72.3
71.3 77.2 74.2
300
303
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13 o61 6550 8 51 1 100.6
13 775 6 898 6 877 100.3
14 597 7299 7298 100.0
15378 7677 7699 99.7
16074 8014 8081 99.4
18679 8301 8378 99.1
17175 8533 8642 98.7
17557 8707 8850 98.4
17821 8023 8999 98.0
17 988 8 891 9 097 97.7
10.9 21.7 19.2 8.4 5.9 1.2 13.1 6.3 6.2 11.3 51.7 24.0 46
10.0 20.7 18.7 9.5 8.7 1.4 12.4 6.2 5.9 11.0 51.5 25.5 49
9.2 19.0 18.5 10.9 7.5 1.7 11.3 5.8 5.8 10.9 51.9 27.1 51
8.6 17.5 17.8 12.5 8.8 2.0 10.5 5.3 5.4 10.7 51.7 20.7 54
8.1 16.5 16.6 14.1 10.1 2.3 9.9 5.0 5.0 10.0 51.1 30.4 57
7.5 15.6 15.6 15.8 11.5 2.6 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 50.2 32.3 59
7.0 14.7 14.9 17.5 13.0 3.2 8.8 4.5 4.5 8.9 49.2 34.2 61
6.6 13.9 14.3 19.3 14.5 3.8 8.3 4.3 4.3 8.6 47.9 36.0 62
6.2 13.1 13.7 21.1 15.9 4.5 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.2 46.5 37.6 63
6.O 12.4 13.1 23.0 17.5 5.1 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.9 44.8 39.1 63
Population (thousands)
.......................................
Males ................ ....... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .... Percentage aged 1524 .. Percentage aged 60 or ov Percentage aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in %hod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in schod ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ... Median age (years) .......................... Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2û50 Population change per year (thousands). Birîhs per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migralion per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO populatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.O00 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,ooO popuklia) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1 ,WOlive births) dnder-five mortality (per 1,ooO I ¡births) Life expectcincy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
212
143 69 70 1.O7 21 .o 5.1 -5.2 2.58 1.21 21 26
164 274 76 -34 1.16 19.3 5.3 -2.4 2.38 1.12 18 22
72.1 78.0 75.0
72.9 78.8 75.8
282
-
156 270 84 30 1.o4 18.0 5.6 -2.0 2.22 1.o5 14 18
140 263 93 -30 0.89 16.7 5.9 -1.9 2.10 1.OO 12 15
121 254 103 -30 0.74 15.5 6.3 -1.8 2.01 0.96 10 14
99 243 114 -30 0.59 14.4 6.7 -1.8 1.95 0.93 9 12
76 233 120 -30 0.44 13.4 7.3 -1.7 1.89 0.91 8 11
53 223 140 30 0.30 12.6 7.9 -1.7 1.85 0.89 7 10
33 217 154 -30 0.19 12.1 8.6 -1.7 1.85 0.89 6 9
73.6 79.5 76.5
74.3 80.2 77.2
75.0 80.9 77.9
75.6 81.5 78.5
76.1
76.6 82.5 79.5
77.1 83.0 80.0
-
62.0 79.0
-
United Nations Department of Ea>nomic and Social AffaidPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ECUADOR
.
C HlGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
13 061 6 550 6 51 1
13 900 6 962 6 938
14 935 7 472 7 463
15 998 7 995 8 003
17 006 8 489 8 517
17 969 8 960 9 009
18 889 9 408 9 481
19 763 9 833 9 930
20 580 10 230 10 350
10.9 21.7 19.2 8.4 5.9 1.2 51.7 24.0
10.8 20.5 18.5 9.4 6.6 1.4 51.1 25.2
10.4 19.4 18.1 10.7 7.3
10.1 18.9 17.1 12.0 8.4 1.9 49.7 27.5
9.4 18.5 16.4 13.3 9.5 2.1 49.0 28.6
9.0 17.8 16.3 14.7 10.7 2.4 48.5 29.8
8.6 16.9 16.1 16.0 11.8 2.9 48.0 30.8
8.3 16.3 15.7 17.1 12.8 3.4 47.3 31.8
8.1 15.8 15.1 18.3 13.8 3.9 46.5 32.8
1.7
50.7 26.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.M)O population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1MI 1.25 22.8 5.1 -5.2 2.83 1.33
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ........................ ... ..................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
117 0.88 19.1 5.1 -5.2 2.33 1.09
121 0.87 16.5 5.4 .2.4 1.98 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) ...............................
13061 6 550 6 51 1 24.0
13895 6 959 6 936 25.2
14949 7 479 7 470 26.3
16064 8 029 8 035 27.3
17201 8 589 8 612 28.3
18350 9 155 9 196 29.1
19516 9 729 9 788 29.6
20704 10 314 10 390 30.0
21918 10 914 1 1 004 30.4
2fM5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.24 22.7 5.1
1.46 22.3 5.3
1.44 21.8 5.5
1.37 21.2 5.7
1.29 20.5 5.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.23 20.1 6.2
1.18 19.7 6.4
1.14 19.5 6.7
1.10 19.4 7.0
EGYPT A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live birlhs) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... ...... .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)
72 850 36 488 36 362 100.3
79 537 39 775 39 762 100.0
86 219 43 053 43 165 99.7
92 578 46 155 46 423 99.4
98 513 49 034 49 479 99.1
104 070 51 718 52 352 98.8
109 238 54 206 55 033 98.5
113 895 56 437 57 458 98.2
117 921 58 362 59 559 98.0
11.7 21.8 20.8 7.2 4.8 0.6 13.0 6.4 6.6 12.3 51.9 22.9 73
11.2 20.8 19.4 7.9 5.1 0.7 12.6 6.0 5.7 11.7 51.8 24.3 79
10.6 20.2 17.8 8.9 5.6 0.8 12.2 5.8 5.6 10.5 51.7 25.8 86
9.7 19.4 17.5 10.1 6.5 0.9 11.7 5.7 5.5 10.3 52.2 27.2 92
8.9 18.3 17.3 11.2 7.8 1 .0 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.3 52.4 28.6 98
8.4 17.0 16.9 12.0 8.6 1.2 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.1 52.0 29.9 104
8.0 16.0 16.2 13.3 9.2 l .6 9.6 4.8 4.9 9.7 50.9 31.4 109
7.5 15.3 15.3 15.0 10.2 2.0 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.2 49.4 33.0 114
7.1 14.6 14.6 17.1 11.8 2.3 8.8 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.4 34.5 118
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~lyrate (per 1 ,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
1 337 1 845 428 - 80 1.76 24.2 5.6 -1.1 2.89 1.36 29 34
1 336 1 871 455 - 80 1.61 22.6 5.5 -1 .0 2.68 1.27 24 28
69.1 73.6 71.3
70.3 74.9 72.6
1 272
1 187
1 111
1 034
1 838 486 - 80 1.42 20.6 5.4 -0.9 2.51 1.19 21 23
1 796 529 - 80 1.24 18.8 5.5 -0.8 2.37 1.13 18 20
1 777 586 - 80 1.10 17.5 5.8 -0.8 2.25 1.08 15 17
1 767 654 - 80 0.97 16.6 6.1 -0.8 2.15 1.03 13 15
931 1 740 728 - 80 0.84 15.6 6.5 -0.7 2.06 0.99 12 13
805 1 685 800 80 0.70 14.5 6.9 -0.7 1.99 0.95 10 12
660 1 614 874 - 80 0.55 13 5 7.3 -0.7 1.92 0.92 10 11
71.4 76.1 73.7
72.4 77.1 74.7
73.3 78.0 75.6
74.1 78.8 76.4
74.8 79.5 77.2
75.5 80.2 77.9
76.2 80.9 78.6
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EGYPT
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 492 1.95 26.2 5.6 -1.0 3.14 1.47
1 608 1.91 25.5 5.5 .0.9 3.08 1.45
1 564 1.56 21.7 5.4 .0.8 2.87 1.37
1 630 1.76 23.8 5.3 -0.9 3.01 1.43
1 545 1.43 20.5 5.5 .0.7 2.75 1.31
1 578 1.36 20.0 5.7 .0.7 2.65 1.27
1 603 1.29 19.5 6.0 -0.6 2.56 1.23
1 575
1.20 18.7 6.2 .0.6 2.49 1.19
1 492 1.07 17.6 6.4 .0.6 2.42 1.16
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 183 1.56 22.2 5.6 -1.1 2.64 1.24
1 064 1.31 19.5 5.5 .1.0 2.28 1.08
914 1.06 17.0 5.5 -0.9 2.01 0.95
812 0.90 15.6 5.8 .0.9 1.87 0.89
695 0.74 14.3 6.1 .0.8 1.75 0.84
543 0.56 13.0 6.6 -0.8 1.65 0.79
360 0.36 11.6 7.2 .0.8 1.56 0.75
178 0.18 10.4 7.8 -0.8 1.49 0.71
4 0.00 9.3 8.5 .0.8 1.42 0.68
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . . . .
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
72850 36 488 36 362 22.9
80368 40 199 40 169 24.0
88663 44 301 44 362 25.0
97359 48 597 48 763 25.5
106323 53 024 53 299 26.0
115748 57 686 58 061 26.3
125931 62 741 63 190 26.7
136982 68 247 68 735 27.2
148841 74 183 74 658 27.5
1.96 26.3 5.7
1.97 26.1 5.5
1.87 24.9 5.3
1.76 23.7 5.3
1.70 23.1 5.4
1.69 23.1 5.5
1.68 23.1 5.7
1.66 22.9 5.8
1.62 22.5 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
161415 80 497 80 918 27.8
EL SALVADOR
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
..................
............
6 668 3 271 3397 96.3
7 142 3 505 3637 96.4
7 602 3 732 3870 96.4
8 077 3 967 4110 96.5
8 525 4 189 4336 96.6
8 935 4 391 4544 96.6
9 299 4 569 4730 96.6
11.7 22.4 18.9 7.8 5.5 1.0 13.7 6.4 6.0 11.1 51.9 23.4 317
10.7 21.3 18.5 8.5 5.9 1.2 12.8 6.3 6.0 10.8 52.6 24.7 339
9.9 19.8 18.6 9.2 6.5 1.4 11.9 5.9 5.9 11.0 53.2 26.1 361
9.3 18.5 18.1 10.1 7.1 1.5 11.1 5.5 5.5 10.8 53.1 27.6 384
8.7 17.3 17.1 11.1 7.9 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.0 29.2 405
8.1 16.4 16.1 12.7 8.7 2.0 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.7 50.3 30.9 425
7.6 15.5 15.4 14.9 10.2 2.3 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.2 49.4 32.7
442
9 609 4889 96.5
9 858 4 839 5018 96.4
7.1 14.6 14.8 17.6 12.2 2.7 8.8 4.4 4.5 8.8 48.6 34.4 457
6.6 13.8 14.2 19.4 14.5 3.1 8.2 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.4 36.0 468
4 720
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .. ................. Males .................... Females ..................... ...... .......... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
EL SALVADOR
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
109 1.57 24.8 5.9 -3.2 2.93 1.36
116 1.55 23.9 5.8 -2.6 2.91 1.36
126 1.56 22.8 5.8 -1.4 2.87 1.35
123 1.41 21.2 5.8 -1.3 2.75 1.30
121 1.30 20.0 5.8 .1.2 2.65 1.26
120 1.21 19.2 6.0 -1.1 2.57 1.22
117 1.11 18.4 6.2 -1.1 2.49 1.19
112 1.01 17.6 6.5 -1.0 2.42 1.16
105 0.90 16.8 6.9 -1.0 2.36 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ........................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
6668 3 271 3 397
7071 3 468 3 602
7411 3 634 3 777
7730 3 790 3 940
8010 3 926 4 085
8235 4 033 4 202
8390 4 104 4 285
8466 4 136 4 330
8464 4 128 4 336
11.7 22.4 18.9 7.8 5.5 1.0 51.9 23.4
9.8 21.5 18.7 8.6 5.9 1.2 53.1 25.0
8.5 19.4 19.0 9.5 6.8 1.4 54.6 26.9
7.6 16.8 18.9 10.6 7.4 1.6 55.4 28.9
7.1 15.0 17.3 11.8 8.4 1.8 54.3 31.1
6.5 13.9 15.2 13.8 9.5 2.1 52.2 33.5
5.8 13.0 13.8 16.6 11.3 2.5 50.6 35.9
5.2 11.9 12.9 19.9 13.8 3.0 49.1 38.5
4.7 10.8 12.3 22.6 16.9 3.6 47.0 41.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..
..........
80 1.17 20.8 5.9 .3.3 2.43 1.13
68 0.94 17.9 5.9 .2.7 2.1 1 0.99
64 0.84 15.9 6.0 .1.5 1.87 0.88
56 0.71 14.8 6.2 .1.4 1.75 0.83
45 0.55 13.4 6.5 .1.4 1.65 0.78
31 0.37 12.0 6.9 .1.3 1.57 0.74
15 0.18 10.6 7.5 .1.3 1.49 0.71
0 .0.01 9.5 8.2 e1.3 1.42 0.68
. 16 .0.19 8.6 9.1 .1.3 1.36 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
6668 3 271 3 397 23.4
7199 3 534 3 665 24.5
7770 3 818 3 952 25.4
8406 4 135 4 270 26.3
9064 4 464 4 600 27.3
9746 4 805 4 941 28.0
10454 5 159 5 295 28.6
11189 5 527 5 662 29.2
11947 5 907 6 041 29.7
1.53 24.4 5.9
1.53 23.7 5.9
1.57 22.9 5.8
1.51 22.2 5.8
1.45 21.5 5.8
1.40 21.1 5.9
1.36 20.7 6.1
1.31 20.4 6.3
1.27 20.1 6.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prosp8cts: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
12729 6 297 6 431 30.1
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
226 111 115 96.7
238 117 121 96.3
252 123 129 96.0
269 132 137 95.9
291 142 148 96.0
223 109 113 96.3
213 1M 108 96.6
304 149 155 96.5
340 167 173 96.8
382 188 194 97.1
431 212 218 97.4
13.4 20.8 17.7 8.9 5.6 0.5 48.6 23.8 8
15.0 20.8 17.5 8.3 5.3 0.5 48.0 23.1 8
15.0 22.0 17.1 7.9 5.0 0.4 47.5 22.4 9
15.1 23.3 16.9 7.5 4.8 0.4 46.8 21.7 10
15.4 23.3 17.7 7.2 4.6 0.4 46.8 20.9 10
15.7 23.4 18.5 7.1 4.5 0.4 46.7 20.7 8
15.9 23.9 18.1 7.0 4.4 0.4 46.3 20.4 8
16.2 24.1 18.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 46.1 20.0 11
16.6 24.5 18.2 6.7 4.3 0.4 45.8 19.6 12
16.7 25.1 18.2 6.5 4.2 0.4 45.5 19.2 14
16.7 25.6 18.4 6.4 4.2 0.5 45.4 18.8 15
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................. ............. Both sexes combined ............................
...
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged t5-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................... ...................... Both sexes combined ................... . ......
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
484 239 245
549 272 277
627 311 316
16.4 26.0 18.9 6.2 4.1 0.5 45.4 18.7
16.7 25.7 19.3 6.0 4.0 0.5 45.6 18.7
16.8 25.7 19.3 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.9 18.6
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
13 2.53 40.2 14.9 0.0 5.61 2.08
...........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ..................... ...................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
484 239 245
541 268 273
604 300 304
671 333 337
738 367 371
803 400 403
864 431 434
922 459 462
975 486 489
16.4 26.0 18.9 6.2 4.1 0.5 45.4 18.7
15.4 26.1 19.6 6.1 4.1 0.5 46.2 19.0
14.9 25.4 20.1 6.3 4.0 0.5 47.6 19.5
14.0 24.5 20.4 6.4 4.2 0.6 49.1 20.3
13.0 23.9 20.1 6.5 4.3 0.6 50.5 21.4
11.9 22.8 20.0 6.8 4.5 0.6 52.0 22.6
10.8 21.4 193 7.2 4.8 0.7 53.4 23.9
Q.9 19.9 19.5 7.9 5.2 0.8 54.4 25.4
9.1 18.5 18.7 8.7 5.7 0.9 54.9 27.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 2.23 36.9 14.6 0.0 5.1 1 1.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
484 239 245 18.7
549 272 277 18.7
626 312 316 18.6
723 360 363 18.5
836 416 419 18.3
970 484 486 18.1
1129 564 565 18.0
1319 659 660 18.0
1546 773 773 17.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
2.52 40.1 14.9
2.69 40.4 13.5
2.82 40.4 12.3
2.90 40.1 11.2
2.97 39.8 10.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.05 39.7 9.3
3.11 39.6 8.5
3.18 39.5 7.8
3.24 39.4 7.1
1819 910 909 17.8
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrlh (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 527 2 218 2 308 96.1
5 323 2 619 2 704 96.8
6 165 3 044 3 121 97.6
6 937 3 437 3 500 98.2
7 684 3 817 3 867 98.7
8 433 4 197 4 236 99.1
9 205 4 588 4 617 99.4
9 993 4 985 5 008 99.5
10 759 5 369 5 391 99.6
11 465 5 720 5 745 99.6
17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 15.8 7.1 6.8 12.6 48.4 18.1 38
17.0 26.0 19.9 4.0 2.4 0.3 16.2 6.7 6.3 11.7 48.7 18.4 45
15.6 27.0 19.0 3.9 2.5 0.3 16.8 7.1 6.2 11.0 49.6 18.7 52
13.9 26.6 19.8 3.9 2.5 0.3 16.3 7.6 6.8 11.3 51.2 19.3 59
12.4 24.8 21.3 3.9 2.6 0.4 14.9 7.4 7.1 12.5 52.9 20.6 65
11.5 22.5 21.6 4.3 2.6 0.4 13.5 6.8 6.8 12.9 53.6 22.3 72
11.1 20.8 20.5 5.5 3.0 0.4 12.5 6.1 6.2 12.3 53.9 23.9 78
10.6 19.8 18.8 7.3 4.0 0.5 12.0 5.7 5.7 11.3 53.6 25.4 85
10.0 19.2 17.6 8.6 5.4 0.5 11.7 5.6 5.4 10.5 53.4 26.8 91
9.2 18.5 17.1 9.7 6.4 0.6 11.2 5.5 5.3 10.2 53.4 28.2 97
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ERITREA C. HKiHVARIANT
lndlcator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4527 2218
2308
5368 2642 2726
6294 3 110 3 185
7 184 3582 3 622
8065 4 010 4 055
8 975 4 472 4 503
9952 4966 4 985
11002 5496 5506
12088 6042 6046
13 156 6 577 6 579
17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 48.4 18.1
17.7 25.8 19.7 3.9 2.4 0.3 48.3 18.2
18.7 27.1 18.6 3.8 2.5 0.3 48.6 18.2
15.1 27.5 19.1 3.7 2.5 0.3 49.5 18.5
13.5 28.1 20.9 3.7 2.5 0.3 50.9 19.5
12.7 24.0 21.8 4.0 2.5 0.4 51.8 20.9
12.3 22.2 21.0 5.1 2.8 0.4 52.3 22.3
12.1 21.3 19.4 6.6 3.6 0.4 52.2 23.6
11.6 21.0 18.1 7.6 4.8 0.4 52.0 24.6
10.8 20.6 17.7 8.4 5.6 0.6 52.1 25.5
Population (thouund.) Females ............................................... Ago dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged w ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage 1524 ....... Percentageaged60cwover Percentage aged 65 or over Pefcantage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (years) ... ..........
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2Wo-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . p o p l l a t i QIUWUIrate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO m a t i o n ) .... CRlde death rate (per 1,OOO poplletan).. Net migratkm rate (per 1,OOO poprlatkm) . Total tertility (children per women) ........... Net reproductionrale (per woman) ..........
188 3.41 41.O 9.3 2.2 5.30 2.25
185 3.18
38.0 8.1 1.9 4.94 2.13
178 2.64 33.8 7.3 -0.1 4.53 1.99
176 2.31 29.9 6.7 -0.1 4.09 1.82
182 2.14 27.7 8.3 4.1 3.72 1
.a
195 2.07 26.9 6.1 4.1 3.43 1.57
210 2.01 26.2 6.0 -0.1 3.21 1.48
217 1.88 25.0 6.1 -0.1 3.03 1.41
214 1.69 23.2 6.2 -0.1 2.89 1.35
D. LOW VARIANT
Popubllon (thouund8)
...........
Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlotrlbutlon Percantage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14. ... Percentage 8ged 15-24 .... PerCenlngeagedsoM .... Percentage aged 65 OT over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d wwneo aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ... ...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2w5 -
2040
2045
2050
4 527 2 218 2308
5 278 2596 2682
6038 2 979 3 057
6689 3 312 3 378
7303 3 624 3 879
7895 3925 3970
8472 4217 4255
9020 4 492 4 527
9504 4 733 4 771
9898 4 925 4 972
17.2 25.8 21.6 4.0 2.3 0.3 48.4 18.1
16.3 26.3 20.0 4.0 2.4 0.3 49.1 18.8
14.6 26.8 19.4 4.0 2.8 0.3 50.8 19.2
12.6 25.7 20.5 4.0 2.6 0.3 53.0 20.2
11.2 23.3 21.9 4.1 2.7 0.4 55.0 21.9
10.3 20.9 21.5 4.6 2.8 0.4
9.7 19.1 19.9 6.0 3.2 0.5 55.6 25.7
9.1 18.0 18.1 8.0 4.4 0.5 55.2 27.6
8.3 17.1 16.9 9.7 6.1 0.6 54.9 29.5
7.4 16.1 16.3 11.2 7.4 0.7 54.5 31.3
55.6 23.7
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2036-2040 2040-2045 20452050 ~~
Populath change per year (thoussnds). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,ooO poplath) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Net migrath rate (per 1.OOO poprlatbn) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per m n ) ..........
150 3.07 37.5 9.1 2.2 4.80 2.03
152 2.88 32.9 8.0 1.9 4.14 1.79
~
131 2.05 27.9 7.3 -0.2 3.53 1.55
~
123 1.76 24.5 6.8 -0.1 3.09 1.37
118 1.56 22.3 6.6 -0.1 2.72 1.23
115 1.41 20.8 6.6 4.1 2.43 1.11
109 1.25 19.3 6.7 -0.1 2.21 1.02
97 1.05 17.5 6.9 -0.1 2.03 0.94
79 0.81 15.6 7.3 -0.1 1.89 0.88
E. CONSTANT-FERTILTTYVARIANT
Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Mediin age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 527 2218 2308 18.1
5 402 2659 2743 18.0
6 439 3163 3258 17.6
7 556 3750 3806 17.3
8 827
10 318 5151 5165 18.0
12 093 6051 8042 18.2
14 217 7125 7091 18.3
16 730 8395 8335 18.3
19 680 9885 9795 18.2
4396 4432 17.5
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationgrowth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.ooO population) .... CRlde death rale (per 1.OOO population) ..
3.53 42.4 9.3
3.51 41.4 8.3
3.20 39.5 7.4
3.11 37.9 6.7
3.12 37.4 6.2
United Nations Department of Eax~rmicand sod& AffairslPopulation Division World Population Praspecrs: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehmsive Tables
3.18 37.6 5.8
3.24 37.9 5.5
3.26 37.8 5.2
3.25 37.5 5.0
22 1
ESTONIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaliondensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thwsands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................ ... .................. Both sexes combined .......................... .
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live bilths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live b~rths) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ESTONIA C. HIGHVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1344 019 725
1333 815 718
1330 010 715
1329 010 71 1
1320 010 703
1310 015 695
1 307 617 690
1314 624
1 327
1339 045 694
4.9 10.3 15.0 21.0 10.0 3.2 47.2 38.9
0.3 9.0 13.8 22.2 18.0 3.9 45.4 39.2
0.8 11.2 10.4 22.9 10.9 4.2 42.8 39.4
6.7 13.1 9.0 23.0 17.0 4.0 41.1 39.7
6.0 13.0 11.2 24.4 18.5 4.5 40.6 40.6
5.7 12.8 13.2 24.9 19.2 4.0 40.7 41.9
0.2 11.7 13.7 25.4 19.5 5.3 40.1 42.2
0.9 11.0 12.7 25.9 19.8 5.8 38.1 40.7
popu-(~-)
Total ....................................................
............................................... dlotrlbullon Percentageaged 0-4 percenteOe eOed 15-24......................... percentege 80 cf w r .... percenteoeaged 65 cf w a r .... Percentage a@ 80 OT w r .................. Percentageofwomenagfld1549......... Median age (years) ......................
690
635 892 7.3 12.9 11.5 26.7 20.2
6.0 37.9 39.0
7.1 14.0 11.0 26.0
21.0 0.0 39.1 38.0
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 poplhtbnh n o e per Year (-). R~pulstkmgrow(hrate(percent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude dmlh rate (per 1 .OW population).. Net migration rate (per 1 .KO pqndatim) . Total fertWHy (childrenp e r m ) ........... Net reproductkn rate (per woman) ..........
- 2 -0.17 12.0 14.2
- 1
-0.04 13.7 14.2
0.0
0.0
1.74
1.94
0.63
0.93
0 -O.W 13.4 13.7 0.0 2.09 1.00
- 2 -0.13 12.0 13.3
- 2 -0.10 11.4 13.0
- 1 -0.04 12.4 12.9
1 0.11 13.9 12.9
3 0.20 14.7 12.7
2 0.19 14.3 12.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.14 1.03
2.19 1.05
2.24 1.07
2.29 1.10
2.34 1.12
2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT
-2005
2010
2015
2020
2025 -
2030
2035
2040
2045
1344 019 725
1309
1209
1 092 507
885
637
1138 528 011
1045
584
1226 505 881
1182
803 706
585
486 559
990 465 531
946 444 503
4.9 10.3 15.0 21.0 18.0 3.2 47.2 38.9
4.5 9.7 14.1 22.0 10.9 4.0 46.2 39.8
4.2 9.0 10.9 24.0 17.7 4.5 44.7 41.1
3.9 9.2 10.4 25.7 19.1 5.0 44.2 42.5
3.7 8.5 10.5 27.3 20.7 5.1 43.0 44.1
3.5 8.0 9.8 28.0 22.1 5.5 41.4 46.1
3.4 7.7 9.2 30.4 23.3 0.4 38.7 48.2
3.5 7.4 8.7 32.0 25.0 7.3 35.1 50.4
3.4 7.4 8.4 35.0 26.9 0.0 33.0 51.8
3.3 7.4 0.2 39.0 29.8 8.5 33.2 52.0
Population (thouundr) Tolal ...........................................
Males ...........................
Females ............................................... 4odi.trlMon peccentegeaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24......
..........................
FmmagOaged80cfM Percentageaged65orwar P e ~ a g e d 8 0 O T c 4 e.................. r
wrcmla!pofmmeneged15-49 Median age (years)
.........
..........
568
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
p o p r ~ ~ per Year (m-). POpllatkngmWmrale(percent) ............ Crude bbth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... CNde death rate (per 1,OOO popllatbn) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OW poWation). Total (ectility (children per mnren) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
- 7 -0.53 9.0 14.3 0.0 1.24
- 0 -0.02
0.59
0.3 14.0 0.0 1.14
-9 -0.69 7.7 14.0
-9 -0.73 7.3 14.0
- 9 -0.77 7.0 14.0
-9 -0.62
0.8 15.0
-9 -0.88 0.0 15.0
-
10
-0.95
0.8 10.2
- 10 -1.03 0.5 10.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.09 0.52
1.14
1.24 0.59
1.34
1 .35
0.54
1.19 0.57
1.29
0.54
0.62
0.64
0.65
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1344 019 725 38.9
1317 807 710 39.0
1288 594
1255
1219
1180
1141
564
548
1057 496
40.5
41.7
654 43.2
032 45.0
532 009
1100 514
094
580 675
1012 477 535 49.8
E. CONSTANT-FERTILFYVARIANT P o p u r n (thou-r) Total .................................................... Meleo ................................................... Females ............................................... Medlan age (years) .................................
47.0
505
580
48.7
49.0
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 20S2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 pbpulatlongrowthrate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OWpopuktion) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO populatim) ..
-0.42 10.1 14.3
-0.45 10.0 14.5
-0.51 9.2 14.3
-0.80
-0.64
8.3 14.2
7.7 14.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Sodat AffaidPopulation Division WorM Popurction Prospects: The 2006 Rwkion, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables
-0.88 7.0 14.4
-0.73 7.0 14.9
-0.80 7.5 15.4
-0.87 7.1 15.8
223
ETHIOPIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population g r d h rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate @er 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
78 986 39 278 39 708 98.9
89 566 44 581 44 985 99.1
100 967 50 294 50 673 99.3
112 896 56 271 56 625 99.4
124 996 62 327 62 669 99.5
137 052 68 351 68 701 99.5
148 990 74 303 74 687 99.5
160 781 80 165 80 616 99.4
172 320 85 883 86 438 99.4
16.8 27.7 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 17.1 7.6 6.8 11.5 46.0 17.5 72
16.0 26.8 20.6 4.7 3.0 0.3 16.4 7.5 6.9 11.9 47.4 18.2 81
15.2 25.8 20.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 15.8 7.2 6.8 12.2 48.7 19.0 91
14.3 25.1 20.5 5.2 3.3 0.4 15.3 7.0 6.6 12.1 49.9 19.9 102
13.2 24.2 20.2 5.6 3.6 0.4 14.7 6.9 6.5 11.9 51.2 21.0 113
12.2 23.0 20.1 6.0 3.9 0.5 13.9 6.7 6.4 11.9 52.4 22.2 124
11.3 21.7 19.8 6.6 4.3 0.6 13.1 6.4 6.2 11.8 53.4 23.5 135
10.6 20.4 19.2 7.4 4.8 0.6 12.3 6.0 5.9 11.4 53.9 24.9 146
10.0 19.3 18.4 8.3 5.4 0.8 11.6 5.7 5.6 11.0 53.8 26.4 156
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total feltility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ETHIOPIA C. HIGHVARIANT
lndlcator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
90 243 44922 45321
102 898 51267 51831
118 854 58163 58491
130 089
.
78 986 39278 39708
65595
145 530 72817 72913
180 705 80194 80511
178 553 88095 88459
193 007 96280 96727
209 772 104 601 105 171
Percentage aged 1524 ......................... W m t a g e aged 80 or OVBT .................. Peccentage aged 85 or OVBT .................. peccentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageofwomenaged15-49......... Median ege (years) ................................
16.8 27.7 19.9 4.8 2.9 0.3 48.0 17.5
18.8 26.8 20.5 4.7 3.0 0.3 47.1 18.0
18.2 28.0 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.4 47.8 18.8
15.4 25.9 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 48.3 19.2
14.3 25.4 19.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 49.4 19.8
13.3 24.4 20.2 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.8 20.8
12.8 23.1 20.2 6.1 4.0 0.5 51.8 21.9
12.0 21.9 19.7 8.7 4.4 0.8 52.3 23.1
11.5 21.1 18.9 7.4 4.8 0.7 52.2 24.2
11.0 20.4 18.2 8.3 5.4 0.0 52.0 25.2
Popul.tlon (thoumda) Total ....................................................
............................................
65293
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 PopuIatichangeperyear(thwsands). Populati gmMh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OW popuiation) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1 .WOPOpJatkn) . Total tertilily (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per womm) ..........
...........
2251 2.87 39.9 13.1 -0.2 5.54 2.09
2531 2.83 38.3 11.9 -0.1 5.19 2.02
2751 2.51 38.0 10.8 -0.1 4.78 1.91
2847 2.30 32.9 9.8 -0.1 4.30 1.77
2928 2.12 30.2 8.9 -0.1 3.89 1.64
3035 1 .98 28.2 8.3 -0.1 3.56 1.53
3170 1.a8 26.7 7.8 -0.1 3.31 1.45
3291 1.78 25.3 7.5 -0.1 3.12 1.39
3353 1.67 23.9 7.2 -0.1 2.96 1.34
D. LOW VARIANT
POpUwOn (thoUmd8) Total ....................................................
........................................... ...............................................
Age dbtrlbutlon percentage aged 0-4 ............... Percentage aged 514 ............. Percentage aged 15-24 ........... Percentage a@ 60 Q m r .................. Percentage a@ 85 or oyer .................. prwcentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
78986 39 278 39 708
68089 44 240 44 649
wR38
119 113 59 388 59 747
128 839 64 118 64 520
137509
49 714
108 138 54 379 54 759
68529 68980
145595 72531 73064
152 799 78 072 78 727
159 018 79 101 79 916
16.8 27.7 19.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 48.0 17.5
15.3 27.0 20.8 4.8 3.0 0.3 47.8 18.4
14.2 25.7 21.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 49.7 19.5
13.0 24.2 21.3 5.4 3.4 0.4 51.8 20.8
12.0 22.8 20.7 5.8 3.7 0.5 53.1 22.2
10.9 21.4 20.0 8.4 4.1 0.5 54.4 23.8
9.9 20.1 19.3 7.2 4.7 0.8 55.2 25.4
9.1 18.6 18.8 8.1 5.3 0.7 55.8 27.1
8.3 17.2 17.7 9.4 6.1 0.8 55.3 28.9
7.6 18.0 16.8 10.9 7.1 1.o 54.5 30.8
49322
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050
.
Populationchange per year (vnxleands) popdatbn growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralim rate (per 1,OW population). Total fertility (children per mxnen) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wanan) ..........
1 981 2.38
2029 2.18 33.3 36.8 11.5 12.8 -0.1 -0.2 4.39 5.04 1.%I1.71
2020 1.94 30.0 10.5 -0.1 3.78 1.51
1995 1.75 27.2 9.7 -0.1 3.30 1.35
1905 1.54 24.5 9.0 -0.1 2.89 1.22
1774 1.33 21.9 8.5 -0.1 2.56 1.10
1817 1.14 19.7 8.2 -0.1 2.31 1.01
1 441 0.97 17.8 8.1 -0.1 2.12
0.94
1 244 0.80 16.2 8.2 -0.1 1.98 0.89
20452050
E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTV VARIANT
Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
78 986 39278 39708 17.5
90 875 45240 45635 17.9
105 346 52500 52848 18.1
122 869 61192 61477 17.9
143 089 71437 71652 17.7
187 189 83521 83888 17.7
195 873 97898 97977 17.7
230 228 115105 115124 17.8
271 454 135745 135709 17.7
320 877 160483 180394 17.6
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 202Ck2025 20252030 2o30-2035 20352040 20402045 2045-2050
P o p l l a t i growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OW population) ..
2.80 41.4 13.2
2.9s 41.8 12.2
3.05 41.7 11.2
3.08 41.O 10.2
3.11 40.3 9.2
United Nations Deparbqmt of Economic and Social AffairslPopulatim Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables
3.17 40.0 8.4
3.23 39.9 7.6
3.28 39.9 7.0
3.35 39.8 8.4
225
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Copulation (thousands) Total .................................................... Maies ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
289 151 138 109.4
336 171 165 103.6
394 203 191 106.3
464 237 227 104.2
520 265 256 103.5
576 291 285 102.3
634 321 313 102.5
709 359 350 102.7
724 367 356 103.2
768 390 378 103.3
802 407 395 103.2
19.0 27.7 19.0 4.5 2.8 0.4 44.9 16.6 16
19.3 26.3 19.3 4.2 3.0 0.6 44.8 16.1 18
19.3 28.7 19.0 3.8 2.5 0.5 44.5 16.0 22
17.3 29.5 19.5 3.7 2.3 0.3 45.2 16.5 25
14.4 29.1 20.9 4.0 2.4 0.3 47.7 17.8 28
13.4 26.5 22.5 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.8 19.0 32
13.8 25.3 21.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 51.4 19.8 35
14.4 24.2 20.6 4.6 2.9 0.2 51.6 20.5 39
13.2 24.7 16.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 51.5 21.3 40
12.4 23.3 19.6 5.1 3.1 0.2 52.8 22.0 42
12.0 22.1 20.5 5.9 3.5 0.4 52.5 22.6 44
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesperl00females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
828 420 408 103.0
854 433 421 103.0
874 443 431 103.0
888 450 437 103.0
905 459 446 102.9
916 466 453 102.8
926 470 457 102.8
928 470 457 102.8
922 467 455 102.8
10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 13.3 6.4 6.0 11.9 51.7 23.7 45
10.0 20.9 19.1 8.1 5.0 0.5 12.5 6.4 6.2 11.1 51.2 25.0 47
9.4 19.3 19.3 9.5 6.0 0.6 11.5 5.9 6.1 11.5 51.0 26.3 48
8.8 18.0 18.6 11.3 7.1 0.8 10.6 5.5 5.6 11.3 51.2 27.7 49
8.4 17.0 17.5 12.7 8.5 1.1 10.2 5.2 5.2 10.5 51.8 29.2 50
8.0 16.2 16.5 13.6 9.6 1.4 9.7 4.9 5.0 9.9 51.3 30.8 50
7.5 15.5 15.7 14.1 10.3 1.7 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.4 50.1 32.5 51
7.0 14.9 15.1 15.6 10.8 2.2 8.9 4.5 4.6 9.0 49.4 34.1 51
6.4 14.0 14.6 17.8 12.2 2.7 8.3 4.4 4.4 8.8 48.2 35.8 50
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
FIJI C. HtGHVARlANT Indicator Population ( h u u n d s ) Total .................................................... Males ...........
Females ........................................ diolributlon Percentage aged 0-4
Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of uwmn aged 1549 ......... M e d i i age (years) ............. .........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
020 420
862
895 454
925
gg0
513
1065 541 524
1084 551
455
502 487
1017 516 501
1042
441
959 487 472
10.6 19.7 18.9 9.3 5.9 0.6 49.8 25.5
10.3 19.6 17.9 10.8 6.8 0.8 49.2 26.4
9.6 19.1 17.3 12.0 8.0 1.o 49.8 27.4
9.2 18.4 17.4 12.6 8.9 1.3 49.7 28.4
8.8 17.5 17.2 12.9 9.4 1.6 49.3 29.3
8.5 16.8 16.6 13.9 9.7 2.0 49.1 30.3
8.2 16.2 15.9 15.4 10.6 2.3 48.4 31.5
7.9 15.8 15.3 16.4 11.9 2.5 47.4 32.6
408
437 425
10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 51.7 23.7
10.9 20.7 18.9 8.1 4.9 0.5 50.7 24.7
470
529
533
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2o20-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2c-l5-2050
Populatkm change per year Populatbng r w l h rate (per Crude birth rate (per 1 .ooO .... CNde death rate (per 1,ooO poprlatbn) Net migration rate (per 1,ooO popllalbn) . Total fectlky (children per woman) . Net reproduction rate (per wanan) ..........
... ..
7 0.80 22.9 6.6 -8.3 3.00 1.40
7 0.75 22.3 6.9 -8.0 2.97 1.39
6 0.68 21.5 7.2 -7.7 2.92 1.37
7 0.73 20.1 7.6 -5.3 2.80 1.32
6 0.63 19.1 7.7 -5.1 2.69 1.27
6 0.55 18.3 7.8 -5.0 2.60 1.23
5 0.48 17.6 7.9 -4.9 2.52 1.20
4 0.43 17.0 8.0 4.7 2.45 1.16
4 0.35 16.4 8.2 -4.7 2.38 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
020
8(6
420
429
853 433 421
847 429 418
837 424 413
789 399
417
852 431 420
817 414
408
851 431 419
404
390
753 380 372
10.9 21.9 19.8 6.9 4.2 0.4 51.7 23.7
9.2 21.1 19.3 82 5.0 0.5 51.6 25.3
8.1 18.8 19.8 9.7 6.1 0.7 52.2 27.0
7.3 16.4 19.5 11.8 7.4 0.9 53.4 28.9
8.9 14.7 17.7 13.5 9.0 1.1 54.1 31.O
6.6 13.6 15.4 14.7 10.5 1.5 53.1 33.2
6.1 13.1 13.9 15.7 11.4 1.9 51.O 35.6
5.4 12.5 13.1 17.7 12.3 2.5 49.5 38.2
4.6 11.4 12.8 20.8 14.3 3.1 47.3 41.0
4.0 10.0 12.4 23.6 17.1 3.5 44.4 43.6
Popuktlcil (thouwnb.)
......................................
Males .................
Females ............................................... Aga dlltr(butlon
Percent- aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage a w 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years). .....
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
m t b n change per year (lhousands) . PopulaUOn grcwlh rate (per cent)............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.ooOpopulatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlalbn) Net d g r a t i rate (per 1.OOO popllatkm) Total fertili (children per mwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.. . ..........
4 0.43 19.3 6.6 -8.4 2.50 1.17
1 0.17 16.9 7.0 -8.2 2.17 1.02
- 1 -0.06 15.1 7.5 -8.2 1.92 0.90
0 0.02 14.3 6.2 -5.9 1.80 0.85
- 1 -0.10 13.6 8.7 -5.9 1.69 0.80
- 2 -0.25 12.5 9.1 -5.9 1.60 0.76
- 4 -0.47 10.9 9.6 -6.0 1.52 0.72
- 6 -0.71 9.4 10.3 -6.2 1.45 0.69
- 7 -0.94 8.2 11.1 -6.5 1.38 0.68
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thouam&) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Females ............................................... Median ege (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
020
063
1168
1222
588
594
459
526
24.7
25.4
26.2
549 28.1
574 28.5
622 600
23.7
1022 519 503 27.3
1088 543
442
977 496 481 26.9
1117
438 425
898 456
933
420 408
474
27.7
28.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO POpJatkn) ..
0.82 23.1 6.6
0.80 22.9 6.9
0.77 22.5 7.2
0.93 22.0 7.5
0.89 21.5 7.6
United Nations Depattmeftt of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.89 21.2 7.5
0.89 21.o 7.5
0.90 20.8 7.5
0.90 20.6 7.4
227
FINLAND (') A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
4 009 1 916 2 093 91.5
4 235 2 030 2 205 92.1
12.5 17.5 15.9 10.2 6.7 0.7 50.2 27.7 12
10.5 20.1 14.9 10.4 6.9 0.8 48.4 27.9 13
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960
.
Populat~onchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 246 2567 2 679 95.8
5 323 2611 2 712 96.3
5 384 2646 2 738 96.6
5 434 2673 2 760 96.8
5 464 2688 2 775 96.9
5 469 2689 2 780 96.7
5 450 2678 2 773 96.6
5 419 2662 2 757 96.6
5 387 2648 2 738 96.7
5 360 2639 2 721 97.0
5.4 11.9 12.5 21.4 15.9 4.0 7.0 3.8 3.6 7.5 44.0 40.9 16
5.5 11.1 12.3 24.6 17.1 4.6 6.5 3.4 3.7 7.4 42.8 42.0 16
5.6 10.9 11.9 27.0 20.1 4.9 6.6 3.2 3.3 7.3 41.1 42.6 16
5.5 11.1 11.0 28.8 22.2 5.3 6.7 3.3 3.2 6.6 39.9 43.0 16
5.4 11.1 11.0 30.3 23.8 6.0 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.5 39.8 43.6 16
5.3 11.1 11.2 31.1 25.0 7.8 6.6 3.4 3.4 6.7 39.5 44.0 16
5.2 10.9 11.4 30.9 25.6 8.9 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.6 39.2 44.4 16
5.2 10.7 11.4 31.1 25.3 9.5 6.4 3.3 3.4 6.9 39.2 44.7 16
5.3 10.6 11.3 31.4 25.3 9.9 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.8 38.6 44.6 16
5.3 10.7 11.0 31.5 25.6 10.0 6.4 3.2 3.2 6.7 38.8 44.4 16
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2000
FINLAND (')
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 246 2 567 2 679
5 362 2 631 2 731
5 489 2 700 2 789
5 618 2 768 2 851
5 727 2 823 2 904
5 81 1 2 864 2 947
5 883 2 899 2 984
5 968 2 943 3 025
6 079 3 002 3 076
6 210 3 074 3 138
5.4 11.9 12.5 21.4 15.9 4.0 44.0 40.9
6.2 11.0 12.2 24.4 17.0 4.5 42.4 41.7
6.6 11.4 11.6 26.5 19.7 4.8 40.4 41 .8
6.8 12.5 10.7 27.9 21.5 5.2 38.7 41.7
6.6 13.1 11.2 28.9 22.7 5.7 38.7 41.6
6.3 13.1 12.3 29.3 23.5 7.3 39.0 41.5
6.3 12.8 13.0 28.7 23.7 8.2 39.5 41.2
6.7 12.6 13.0 28.3 22.9 8.6 40.0 40.4
7.0 12.8 12.6 27.8 22.4 8.7 40.0 39.1
7.1 13.4 12.3 27.2 22.1 8.6 40.4 38.6
23 0.44 12.6 9.7 1.5 2.08 1.00
25 0.47 13.4 9.9 l .1 2.25 1.09
26 0.47 13.7 10.1 1.1 2.35 1.14
22 0.38 13.3 10.5 1.1 2.35 . 1.14
17 0.29 12.8 10.9 1 .0 2.35 1.14
14 0.25 12.8 11.3 1 .0 2.35 1.14
17 0.29 13.4 11.6 1 .0 2.35 1.14
22 0.37 14.2 11.5 1 .0 2.35 1.14
26 0.43 14.4 11.1 1 .0 2.35 1.14
. 20 -0.39 7.9 13.0 1.2 1.35 0.65
. 25 .0.50 7.5 13.8 1.2 1.35 0.66
. 28 .0.58 7.2 14.3 1.2 1.35 0.66
. 29 .0.63 7.0 14.5 1.3 1.35 0.66
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
. .... ..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 0.14 9.6 9.8 1.5 1.58 0.76
.1 .0.01 8.9 10.1 1 .1 1.45 0.70
.6 .0.12 8.3 10.7 1.1 1.35 0.65
. 10 -0.19 8.3 11.4 1.1 1.35 0.65
. 14 .0.28 8.2 12.2 1.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ....................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5246 2 567 2 679 40.9
5311 2 605 2 706 42.1
5357 2 632 2 725 42.9
5390 2 651 2 739 43.4
5402 2 657 2 746 44.0
5389 2 648 2 741 44.6
5351 2 627 2 724 45.1
5297 2 600 2 697 45.6
5238 2 572 2 666 45.8
5182 2 548 2 634 45.9
0.25 10.7 9.7
0.17 10.6 10.0
0.12 10.6 10.5
0.05 10.4 11.0
.0.05 10.0 11.7
.0.14 9.8 12.3
.0.20 9.7 12.9
.0.22 9.7 13.1
-0.22 9.8 13.1
(') lnclud~nghand Islands
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
FRANCE
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5 14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) crude birthrate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
60 991 29 718 31 273 95.0
62 507 30 486 32 021 95.2
63 746 31 113 32 633 95.3
64 825 31 660 33 165 95.5
65 769 32 131 33 638 95.5
66 605 32 530 34 076 95.5
67 307 32 850 34 457 95.3
67 819 33 082 34 738 95.2
68 121 33 232 34 889 95.3
68 270 33 334 34 936 95.4
6.3 12.1 12.8 20.8 16.3 4.6 7.2 3.6 3.8 7.7 45.9 38.9 111
6.0 12.2 12.2 22.9 16.5 5.3 7.4 3.6 3.6 7.4 44.2 40.0 113
5.7 12.1 11.9 24.7 18.5 5.6 7.2 3.7 3.6 7.1 42.7 41.1 116
5.6 11.6 12.1 26.4 20.2 5.7 6.9 3.6 3.7 7.2 41.8 41.9 118
5.5 11.2 12.0 28.0 21.7 5.8 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.3 40.9 42.6 119
5.4 11.0 11.6 29.3 23.2 7.2 6.6 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.4 43.3 121
5.4 10.9 11.2 30.5 24.3 8.2 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.7 39.7 43.8 1 22
5.4 10.9 11.1 31 .0 25.3 9.0 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.7 39.2 44.0 123
5.3 10.9 11.0 31.4 25.6 9.7 6.5 3.3 3.3 6.6 39.1 44.3 124
5.2 10.8 11.1 31.8 25.9 10.2 6.4 3.3 3.3 6.6 39.0 44.7 124
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) .................... Males ........................ Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
FRANCE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
401 0.65 13.8 8.9 1.6 2.14 1.03
403 0.63 13.8 9.1 1.6 2.25 1 .09
380 0.56 13.4 9.3 1.5 2.35 1.14
407 0.62 13.9 9.2 1.5 2.35 1.14
369 0.53 13.2 9.4 1.4 2.35 1.14
376 0.52 13.5 9.6 1.4 2.35 1.14
393 0.53 13.9 9.9 1.4 2.35 1.14
407 0.54 14.1 10.1 1.3 2.35 1.14
414 0.53 14.1 10.1 1.3 2.35 1.14
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
60 991 29 718 31 273
62 016 30 234 31 782
62 478 30 463 32 015
62 592 30 516 32 077
62 578 30 496 32 082
62 436 30 394 32 043
62 087 30 176 31 911
61 417 29 803 31 614
60 378 29 268 31 1 1 1
6.3 12.1 12.8 20.8 16.3 4.6 45.9 38.9
5.3 12.3 12.3 23.1 16.7 5.3 44.5 40.3
4.6 11.6 12.1 25.2 18.9 5.8 43.6 41.9
4.2 10.0 12.5 27.3 20.9 5.9 43.2 43.3
4.2 9.0 11.9 29.4 22.8 6.1 42.1 44.6
4.2 8.6 10.3 31.3 24.7 7.6 41 .0 45.8
4.2 8.7 9.4 33.1 26.4 8.9 39.5 47.0
4.0 8.7 9.1 34.2 27.9 9.9 38.1 48.0
3.7 8.6 9.2 35.4 28.9 10.9 37.3 49.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
205 0.33 10.7 9.0 1.6 1 .64 0.79
92 0.15 9.2 9.3 1 .8 1.45 0.70
.3 0.00 8.4 10.1 1.6 1.35 0.65
23 0.04 8.5 9.7 1.6 1.35 0.65
-28 -0.05 8.4 10.5 1.6 1.35 0.65
-70 -0.11 8.3 11.1 1.6 1.35 0.65
-134 -0.22 8.0 11.8 l .6 1.35 0.65
-208 .0.34 7.4 12.4 1.6 1.35 0.65
-264 .0.44 6.9 13.0 1.7 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Median age (years) .................................
60 991 29 718 31 273 38.9
62 486 30 475 32 01 1 40.0
63 781 31 131 32 650 41 .1
64 914 31 705 33 209 41.9
65 914 32 205 33 709 42.5
66 812 32 636 34 l77 43.2
67 569 32 984 34 585 43.6
68 131 33 242 34 890 43.8
68 503 33 428 35 075 44.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.48 12.2 8.9
0.41 11.7 9.2
0.35 11.4 9.4
0.31 11.2 9.6
0.27 11.1 9.9
0.23 11.0 10.3
0.17 10.9 10.7
0.11 10.8 11.1
0.07 10.6 11.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
FRENCH GUIANA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rale (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W0 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ......................... ............... Both sexes combined ............................
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
FRENCH GUIANA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
192 98 95
219 111 108
247 124 122
277 140 138
309 155 1 54
341 171 170
373 186 186
405 202 203
437 218 219
12.5 22.7 17.0 6.3 3.9 0.6 50.9 23.6
11.9 21.4 17.8 7.4 4.5 0.6 50.9 24.3
11.6 20.4 18.1 8.9 5.5 0.7 49.7 24.9
11.4 19.8 17.3 10.3 6.7 0.9 47.9 25.9
10.9 19.8 16.7 11.9 7.8 1 .1 47.5 26.8
10.4 19.3 16.5 13.2 9.1 1.4 48.4 27.8
9.8 18.8 16.6 13.7 10.2 1.9 48.7 28.3
9.4 17.9 16.8 13.8 10.6 2.3 49.0 29.1
9.1 17.2 16.2 14.4 10.5 2.8 48.6 29.9
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 202C2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
5 2.58 25.6 3.8 3.9 3.52 1.69
6 2.44 24.8 3.9 3.4 3.37 1.62
6 2.34 24.4 4.1 3.1 3.24 1.56
6 2.16 23.2 4.4 2.7 3.06 1.47
6 1.97 21.8 4.7 2.5 2.91 1.40
6 1.79 20.6 5.0 2.2 2.79 1.35
6 1.65 19.7 5.3 2.1 2.68 1 .30
6 1.54 19.0 5.6 1 .9 2.59 1.25
7 1.44 18.4 5.8 l .8 2.51 1.21
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
1 92 98 95
215 109 106
236 119 117
257 129 128
278 139 139
297 148 149
314 156 157
327 163 165
339 168 171
12.5 22.7 17.0 6.3 3.9 0.6 50.9 23.6
10.4 21.8 18.1 7.5 4.6 0.6 51 .8 24.9
9.2 19.7 18.9 9.3 5.7 0.8 51 .8 26.4
8.5 17.3 18.6 11.1 7.2 0.9 51.6 28.1
8.2 15.9 17.2 13.3 8.7 1.2 51.4 30.0
7.6 15.2 15.4 15.2 10.5 l .E 52.0 31.9
6.8 14.5 14.5 16.3 12.1 2.2 51.4 33.9
6.1 13.5 14.1 17.0 13.1 2.8 51 .0 35.9
5.6 12.4 13.8 18.6 13.6 3.6 49.7 37.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
5 2.24 22.2 3.7 3.9 3.02 1.45
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
192 98 95 23.6
220 ill 109 24.2
251 126 124 24.5
286 144 142 25.0
324 163 161 25.2
366 1 84 183 25.1
412 206 206 25.0
463 232 231 25.0
51 9 260 259 25.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.68
26.6 3.8
2.64 26.9 3.9
2.61 27.1 4.0
2.54 27.0 4.2
2.43 26.4 4.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.36 26.1 4.7
2.32 26.1 4.8
2.30 26.3 4.9
2.29 26.3 4.9
582 292 290 25.0
FRENCH POLYNESIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................. ............... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(rnalesper100females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
61 31 30 105.2
69 36 105.3
79 41 39 105.3
93 48 45 105.4
111 57 54 105.5
130 68 62 109.1
151 79 72 109.8
1 74 91 83 108.8
195 1 02 94 108.5
216 112 104 108.1
236 122 114 106.8
17.5 27.1 17.7 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 15
17.4 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 17
17.5 27.1 17.6 4.4 2.6 0.2 45.4 17.8 20
17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 23
17.6 28.4 17.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 44.5 17.0 28
14.2 27.8 20.3 4.9 2.9 0.5 46.8 18.7 32
13.6 26.3 20.8 4.8 2.9 0.4 48.7 19.4 38
13.5 24.0 21.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 50.9 20.5
12.7 22.7 20.3 5.3 3.2 0.4 52.4 22.1 49
10.1 23.8 17.9 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.8 24.0
10.1 21.3 17.9 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.7 25.4 59
34
44
54
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ......................... . ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17........... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 l i e births) Under-Cve mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................. ............ Both sexes combined ............................
.. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
FRENCH POLYNESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
256 131 125
276 141 135
297 151 146
319 162 157
338 171 167
355
371 187 184
388
179 176
195 193
405 203 202
421 211 210
9.1 18.3 19.5 8.1 5.2 0.8 56.1 27.1
9.7 17.1 18.2 8.9 6.0 0.9 54.6 28.1
9.7 16.7 15.7 10.5 6.6 1.0 52.1 29.3
9.4 17.4 14.7 12.0 7.9 1.2 49.0 30.6
8.5 17.4 14.7 14.2 9.3 1.5 48.1 31.8
7.9 16.5 15.6 16.4 11.1 1.7 48.3 32.6
7.7 15.3 15.8 17.7 13.0 2.3 47.9 33.3
7.9 14.6 15.0 18.3 13.9 2.8 46.0 33.7
8.0 14.6 14.0 19.3 14.3 3.5 45.4 34.3
7.8 14.9 13.5 21.0 15.1 4.2 44.7 35.0
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 1.51 20.3 5.2 0.0 2.51 1.20
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ......................... ... ................ Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.12 16.4 5.2 0.0 2.01 0.96
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) ....... ................... Total ................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
256 131 125 27.1
274 140 134 26.2
294 150 144 29.5
313 159 154 31.3
331 167 164 32.5
346 175 172 33.4
364 183 181 34.1
360 190 189 34.4
395 198 197 34.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.42 19.4 5.2
1.37 19.1 5.4
1.26 18.3 5.7
1.11 17.2 6.1
0.99 16.5 6.6
0.91 16.2 7.1
0.85 16.1 7.6
0.79 16.0 8.1
0.73 15.7 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
410 205 205 35.4
GABON
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............................
.................. .................. .........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
469 229 240 95.0
478 232 244 95.1
486 237 249 95.1
502 245 257 95.3
529 259 271 95.6
597 293 304 96.2
682 335 346 96.8
787 389 399 97.4
918 454 464 98.0
1 056 524 532 98.4
1 182 587 595 98.7
10.5 17.9 16.5 11.3 7.3 0.7 49.9 28.4 2
11.7 17.6 16.3 11.0 7.1 0.7 49.2 27.9 2
11.8 18.8 16.0 11.0 7.1 0.7 48.5 27.4 2
12.3 19.6 15.6 10.9 7.1 0.7 47.3 26.7 2
13.1 19.9 16.0 10.8 7.1 0.8 46.6 25.7 2
14.8 20.7 17.1 10.2 8.7 0.8 45.6 23.5 2
15.3 22.3 17.1 9.5 6.4 0.8 44.9 22.1 3
15.7 23.9 17.1 6.9 6.0 0.8 44.6 20.9 3
16.1 24.5 17.8 8.2 5.6 0.8 45.4 19.8 3
14.9 25.4 18.9 7.4 5.3 0.8 46.9 19.8 4
13.3 25.5 19.7 6.9 5.0 0.8 49.0 20.4 4
1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.. .....................
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined
..........
............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............................................... ............................ .......................... ......................... .................. ..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 291 644 646 99.7
1 390 897 692 100.7
1 494 752 742 101.4
1 599 807 792 101.9
1 698 859 839 102.3
1 791 908 884 102.7
1 878 952 924 103.0
1 953 992 961 103.3
2 021 1 028 994 103.4
2 081 1 058 1 023 103.5
12.2 23.7 20.6 6.7 4.7 0.9 14.2 7.1 6.9 12.1 51.2 21.5 5
11.6 21.9 21.1 6.9 4.6 0.9 13.2 6.5 6.6 12.6 52.7 22.7 5
11.0 20.8 20.1 7.5 4.8 0.9 12.5 6.1 6.0 12.1 53.2 24.1 6
10.4 20.0 18.8 8.2 5.4 0.8 12.1 5.8 5.7 11.2 53.5 25.5 6
9.7 19.2 18.1 9.1 6.1 0.9 11.6 5.7 5.6 10.7 53.5 26.8 6
9.0 18.3 17.7 10.0 6.8 1 .0 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.8 28.0 7
8.5 17.3 17.3 11.0 7.5 1.2 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.4 53.7 29.2 7
8.1 16.4 16.7 12.0 8.3 1.4 9.8 5.0 5.0 10.0 52.9 30.5 7
7.6 15.6 16.0 13.4 9.2 1.7 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.6 51 .8 31 .8 8
7.2 14.9 15.3 15.2 10.4 1 .9 8.9 4.5 4.6 9.2 50.9 33.1 8
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GABON
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................ . ................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
22 1.67 27.7 11.8 0.7 3.31 1.36
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
17 1.29 23.8 11.6 0.8 2.81 1 .15
16 1.14 21.1 10.4 0.7 2.41 1.02
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... ......... Females .............................. . . Median age (years) ................................
1 291 644 646 21.5
1 407 706 701 22.4
1 543 777 766 23.2
1 695 855 840 23.8
1 856 939 917 24.1
2 030 1 028 1 002 24.1
2 219 1 125 1 094 24.3
2 426 1 231 1 195 24.6
2 653 1 347 1 306 24.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.72 28.3 11 8
1 .85 28.3 10.5
1 .88 27.6 9.4
1.81 26.6 9.0
1.79 25.9 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.78 25.7 8.4
1.79 25.7 8.3
1.79 25.5 8.0
1.79 25.4 7.8
GAMBIA
A ESTIMATES indicator POpUlatlOn (IhOUMndS) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ................. Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .......... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .. ................. Population density (population per sq km)
1850
1955
1960
lssS
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
294 143 151 95.0
317 155
360 178
161
417 207 210
96.4
97.6
80.6
482 240 242 99.3
570 285 285 99.7
671 335 330 99.9
795 397 397 100.0
962 481 481 100.1
1159
182
1384 693 691 100.2
15.6 24.5 19.2 5.2 3.2 0.2 48.7 19.9 28
16.6 22.8 19.2 5.3 3.3 0.3 49.6 20.3 32
17.7 22.3 18.5
17.9 23.9 17.0 4.9 3.1 0.4 47.7 19.8 43
17.9 24.6 16.7 4.7 2.9 0.4 47.2 19.2 50
18.1 25.0 17.4 4.6 2.6 0.4 46.6 18.6 59
18.1 25.5 17.8 4.5 2.7 0.3 46.0 18.4 70
17.6 25.5 18.0 4.6 2.8
16.8 24.2 18.9 4.8 2.8 0.2 48.0
19.5 26
5.1
3.2 0.4 49.4 20.2 37
0.3 46.3 18.6 85
580
579 100.1 17.3 25.3 18.1
4.9 3.0 0.4 46.4 18.8 103
16.6 25.3 18.2 5.3 3.3 0.4 46.7 19.1 123
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,WOl i i bim) Llfe expectancy at MHh (ymra) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
5 15 10 1.50 49.0 34.0 6.23 1.41 274
9 17 11 2.57 51.2 32.6 1.55 250
11 21 12 2.92 52.9 31.5 6.65 1.69 223
30.3 30.3 30.0
32.0 32.2 32.1
33.8 34.1 33.9
6.44
im
18 26 14 3.37 49.6 26.3 6.65 1.93 164
20 30 14 3.26 48.1 22.6 6.61 2.09 134
25 34 14 3.39 46.2 19.2 6.47 2.20 110
34 39 14 3.83 44.2 16.3 6.18 2.22 97
39 45 15 3.72 42.7 14.1 5.88 2.21 80
45 52 16 3.55 40.6 12.3 5.53 2.14 64
47 57 17 3.11 38.1 11.2 5.16 2.04 80
35.6 36.2 35.9
37.8 38.8 38.3
41.2 42.5 41.8
44.8 46.4 45.6
48.3 50.3 49.3
51.6 53.8 52.6
54.6
56.8 59.3 58.0
13 23 13
2.89 51.4 29.2 6.65 1.80
57.1
55.9
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.........
.......... .........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1617 809 808 100.2
1845 924 921 100.4
2 072 1039 100.7
2301 1156 1145 100.9
2534 1275 1259 101.2
2770 1395 1375 101.4
3003 1513 1480 101.5
3229 1627 1602 101.6
3445 1738 1709 101.6
3 649 1838 1610 101.5
15.9 25.3 16.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 15.6 6.8 6.1 10.7 47.0 19.5 143
14.8 25.2 16.9 6.3 4.1 0.6 15.5 6.9
13.7 24.6 19.6 6.7 4.5 0.7 15.0 7.0 6.5 11.4 48.4 20.7 183
12.8 23.4 20.0 7.2 4.8 0.8 14.2 6.6 6.5 11.7 49.6 21.7 204
12.0 22.2 19.9 7.8 5.2 0.9 13.4 6.5 6.3 11.8 50.8 22.9 224
11.2 21.1 19.3 8.5 5.8 1 .o 12.8 6.2 6.0 11.5 51.7 24.1 245
10.5 20.1 18.6 9.2 6.3 1.1 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.1 52.5 25.4 266
9.8 19.1 18.0 9.8 6.9
9.1 18.1 17.4 10.7 7.4 1.4 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.4 52.9 28.2 305
8.6 17.1 16.9
6.3 11.0 47.6 19.9 163
1w2
1.2
11.5 5.7 5.5 10.7 52.9 26.8 206
11.7
8.1 1.6 10.3 5.1 5.1 10.1
52.5 29.6 323
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2005 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousanbs) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WO population) Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infint mortality rate (per 1,WO live births) Under-Rve mortality (per 1,WOlive birlhs) Llto expectancy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
238
68 113
2.10 29.2 8.5 0.3 3.72 1.58 62 99
47 65 19 1 1.93 27.0 7.9 0.2 3.33 1.44 57 69
60.6 62.1 61.5
63.2 64.2 63.7
64.9 65.9 65.4
46 60 18 3 2.63 34.9 10.4 1.7 4.70 1.69 74 128
45 62 18 2 2.32 31.8 9.4 0.8 4.19
58.6 60.3 59.4
1.73
46 64 19 1
1.78 25.1 7.5 0.2 3.02 1.32 53 80
47 67 21 1 1.62 23.3 7.3 0.2 2.78 1.23 49 73
45 67 22 1 1.45 21.5 7.2 0.2 2.59 1.16 46 67
1.29 19.9 7.1 0.2 2.43 1.11 43 61
68.4 67.5 67.0
67.5 68.9 68.2
68.5 70.1 69.3
69.5 71.3 70.4
47 67 20 1
43 66 24 1
41 66 25 1 1.15 18.5 7.1 0.1 2.31 1.06 40 56
70.4 72.5 71.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairs/PopuiationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 RevLsion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GAMBIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1617 809 808
1859 931 928
2113 1060 1053
2381 1196 1 184
2660 1338 1321
2953 1487 1465
3258 1642 1616
3573 1802 1771
3895 1964 1931
15.9 25.3 18.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 47.0 19.5
15.5 25.0 18.8 6.2 4.1 0.6 47.2 19.7
14.7 24.8 19.2 6.5 4.4 0.7 47.5 20.1
14.0 24.4 19.3 6.9 4.7 0.8 48.0 20.8
13.2 23.6 19.5 7.4 5.0 0.9 48.9 21.6
12.5 22.7 19.5 8.0 5.4 1 .0 49.9 22.5
12.0 21.7 19.1 8.4 5.8 1 .0 50.8 23.5
11.4 20.9 18.6 8.9 6.2 1 .1 51.3 24.5
10.9 20.2 18.1 9.4 6.6 1.3 51.4 25.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total feltility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........
48 2.79 36.6 10.5 1.7 4.95 1.99
51 2.56 34.3 9.6 0.8 4.59 1.90
54 2.39 32.2 8.6 0.3 4.22 1.79
56 2.22 29.9 8.0 0.2 3.83 1.65
59 2.09 28.2 7.5 0.2 3.52 1 .54
61 1.97 26.7 7.2 0.2 3.28 1.46
63 1 .85 25.3 7.0 0.2 3.09 1.39
64 1.73 23.9 6.8 0.1 2.93 1.33
65 1.61 22.6 6.7 0.1 2.81 1.29
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Med~anage (years) .................................
.....
.........
1617 809 808
1830 917 913
2031 1018 1012
2221 1115 1106
2409 1211 1198
2590 1303 1286
2756 1388 1368
2902 1461 1441
3026 1524 1503
15.9 25.3 18.4 5.8 3.7 0.5 47.0 19.5
14.2 25.4 19.1 6.3 4.1 0.6 47.9 20.1
12.7 24.4 20.0 6.8 4.6 0.7 49.4 21.2
11.5 22.5 20.7 7.4 5.0 0.9 51.4 22.6
10.7 20.7 20.3 8.2 5.5 1 .0 52.8 24.2
9.9 19.3 19.1 9.1 6.2 1.1 53.8 25.9
9.0 18.2 17.9 10.0 6.9 1.2 51.3 27.7
8.1 17.0 17.1 11.0 7.6 1.4 54.6 29.5
7.3 15.7 16.5 12.1 8.5 1.6 54.4 31.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
43 2.48 33.2 10.2 1.7 4.45 1.79
40 2.08 29.1 9.2 0.8 3.79 1.57
38 1.79 26.0 8.3 0.3 3.22 1.36
38 1.62 23.9 7.9 0.2 2.83 1.22
36 1.45 21.8 7.6 0.2 2.52 1.10
33 1.25 19.7 7.4 0.2 2.28 1 .01
29 1.03 17.6 7.4 0.2 2.09 0.94
25 0.84 15.8 7.5 0.2 1.93 0.88
21 0.67 14.2 7.7 0.2 l .81 0.83
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................ Males .................... .. ... .............. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1 617 809 808 19.5
1 870 937 933 19.5
2 158 1 083 1 075 19.6
2 492 1 253 1 239 19.5
2 883 1 452 1 432 19.4
3 342 1 685 1 657 19.3
3 878 1 957 1 921 19.3
4 510 2 277 2 233 19.2
5 256 2 655 2 601 19.2
2.91 37.9 10.6
2.87 37.6 9.8
2.88 37.4 8.9
2.92 37.2 8.3
2.95 36.9 7.7
2.98 36.8 7.2
3.02 36.8 6.8
3.06 36.8 6.4
3.09 36.8 6.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GEORGIA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (lhOUMnd8) Total ...................................................
Males .....................
..............................
Age dl8trlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ......... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w ~ e aged n 15-49 Median age (yean) .... ....... Population density (population per sq km)
.........
19%
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
3 527 1629 1 898 85.8
3839 1 779 2 081
86.3
4159 1937 2223 87.1
4477 2098 2381 88.0
4707 2211 2496 88.6
4908 2308 2602 88.6
5 073 2 381 2692 88.4
5 287 2 497 2 790 89.5
5460 2595 2865 90.6
5033 2391 2642 90.5
4720 2238 2482 90.2
8.1 18.7 20.1 14.9 10.1 1.4 50.3 27.3 51
10.4 14.9 19.8 13.6 10.2 1.5 52.6 27.5 55
11.8 16.9 16.6 12.2 9.1 1.5 50.2 27.8 60
11.6 19.9 13.0 11.8 8.1 1.6 47.0 28.0 64
9.3 21.4 14.9 12.0 8.2 1.7 48.3 28.8 88
9.0 19.3 17.7 12.4 8.5 1.7 49.6 28.3 70
8.5 17.2 18.1 12.2 9.1 1.6 49.1 29.1 73
8.7 16.5 16.7 12.8 8.8 1.7 48.6 30.0 76
8.4 16.2 15.0 15.0 9.3 1.8 47.1 31.2 78
7.2 18.4 14.8 16.2 11.3 1.9 48.4 32.8 72
5.7 15.9 15.3 18.4 12.5 1.8 49.9 34.5 68
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-188.5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thowanbs). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW populatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO m u l a t h ) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction r a p (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO llve births) Llfa expm3ancy al birth (m)
.
Males ..................................................
Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
64 101 29 1.47 23.3 6.8 2.98 1.35
80
64 98 52 1 60 24.8 13.0 2.91 1.30 73
56.8 64.4 60.6
58.7 66.4 62.6
62 90 53 1.70 24.4 14.4 3.00 1.31
.
48 90 45
40
66
1.00 19.6 9.7 2.61 1.20 59
60.7 68.3 64.8
62.6 70.3 66.7
35 94 47 0.64 17.5 8.7 2.26 1.08
-85 78 51 -1.63 14.8 9.8 1.95 0.90
44
65.6 73.2 69.6
0.83 18.5 7.6 2.60 1.20 52
33 90 41 0.66 18.0 8.1 2.39 1.12 49
93 46 0.83 18.0 8.9 2.27 1.08 47
64.1 71.8 68.2
65.6 73.2 69.6
89
38
43
. 49 51 51 -1.07 11.1 11.1 1.48 0.67
40
-63 57 50 -1.28 11.8 10.2 1.58 0.71 41
66.5 74.0 70.5
66.5 74.3 70.5
66.5 74.3 70.5
66.5 74.3 70.5
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
POpUl8tlOn (thOUMnd8) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlmlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school a p 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 ... Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 473 2 114 2360 89.8
4 301 2028 2 274 89.1
4 188 19 n 2 215 89.0
4063 1913 2 149 89.0
3 945 1 859 2088 89.1
3807 1794 2012 89.2
3653 1722 1930 89.2
3 487 1648 1 841 89.4
3 313 1588 1 745 89.9
3 134 1489 1645 90.5
5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 7.6 4.8 5.2 9.8 51.1 35.5 64
5.2 11.4 16.2 18.8 14.0 3.0 6.6 3.7 4.5 10.1 50.0 37.2
5.1 10.8 13.7 20.3 14.4 3.3 6.4 3.4 3.4 8.6 47.2 38.5 60
5.0 10.6 11.5 22.7 15.8 4.0 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.8 45.5 39.9 58
4.7 10.5 11.0 25.4 18.0 3.5 8.2 3.2 3.2 6.6
4.4 10.1 10.8 26.8 20.7 3.8 6.0 3.2 3.3 6.5 42.3 43.5 55
4.2 9.5 10.9 28.2 21.8 4.7 5.6 3.1 3.2 6.5 40.3 45.7 52
4.2 9.0 10.6 29.8 23.0 6.0 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.5 37.3 47.5 50
4.4 8.9 10.0 31.8 24.2 7.2 5.3 2.7 2.9 6.1 34.8 48.9 48
4.4 9.1 9.5 34.9 26.0 7.4 5.5 2.8 2.8 5.8 34.1 49.5 45
62
44.0 41.6 57
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2Wi-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net mgration per year (thousanbe) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfdnt mortality rate (per 1 ooO live births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ooO live births) L h expectancy a birth ( w 8 ) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
....
..
240
-35 47 52 -30 -0.79 10.8 11.8 6.8 1.41 0.64 39 41 67.1 74.8 71.0
-25
. 24
. 28
. 31
-33
39 53 . 10 -0.59 9.7 13.1 -2.5 1.50 0.69 31 34
35 52 10 -0.71 9.0 13.5 -2.8 1.55 0.72 29 31
32 53 10 -0.83 8.6 14.1 -2.7 1.60 0.74
39
43 53 15 -0.61 10.4 12.8 -3.6 1.45 0.66 34 38
29
31 54 . 10 -0.93 8.6 15.1 -2.8 1.65 0.77 24 27
-35 30 55 . 10 -1.02 8.8 16.0 -2.9 1.70 0.80 22 25
-38 29 54 . 10 -1.11 8.8 18.8 -3.1 1.75 0.82 21 23
67.8 75.4 71.7
68.6 76.1 72.4
69.2 78.7 73.1
70.0 77.3 73.8
70.9 77.9 74.5
71.7 70.5 75.2
72.4 79.1 75.8
73.1 79.6 76.4
-23 45
53
. 15
-0.53 10.6 12.4 -3.5 1.40 0.64
36
.
.
.
26
United Nations Deparbnent of Ecxmcinic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division Worfd Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
40
GEORGIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4 473 2 114 2360
4 341 2 048 2294
4 291 2 026 2264
4 236 2 004 2232
4 177 1 980 2197
4 099 1 947 2152
4 018 1 913 2106
3 943 1 883 2060
3 872 1 858 2014
5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 51 .1 35.5
6.1 11.3 16.1 18.6 13.9 3.0 49.6 36.8
6.5 11.5 13.3 19.8 14.0 3.2 46.1 37.6
6.5 12.6 11.0 21.8 15.1 3.9 43.8 38.5
5.9 13.0 11.3 24.0 17.0 3.3 42.7 39.6
5.5 12.6 12.6 24.9 19.2 3.5 41.8 41.2
5.7 11.6 13.1 25.7 19.9 4.3 40.9 42.5
6.1 11.4 12.6 26.3 20.3 5.3 38.7 42.8
6.4 11.9 11.7 27.2 20.7 6.2 37.1 41.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 populatii) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 26 .0.60 12.7 l l.9 -6.8 1.66 0.75
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
4 473 2114 2 360
4 260 2005 2 255
4 085 1919 2 166
3 889 1823 2 067
3 710 1736 1 974
3 516 1643 1 874
3 305 1541 1 764
5.4 13.5 16.5 17.9 14.3 2.1 51 .1 35.5
4.3 11.5 16.4 18.9 14.1 3.1 50.5 37.6
3.7 10.1 14.0 20.8 14.7 3.4 48.2 39.4
3.4 8.4 12.0 23.7 16.5 4.2 47.3 41.5
3.4 7.8 10.6 27.1 19.2 3.8 45.5 43.6
3.2 7.2 8.8 29.0 22.4 4.1 42.8 45.9
2.9 7.0 8.0 31.2 24.1 5.2 39.4 48.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net ~eproductionrate (per woman) ..........
. 43 .0.98 89 11.8 -6.9 1.16 0.52
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) ................................
4 473 2 114 2 360 35.5
4 313 2 033 2 260 37.1
4 21 1 1 985 2 226 38.3
4 086 1 925 2 160 39.8
3 959 1 866 2 093 41.4
3 814 1 798 2 016 43.4
3 653 1 723 1 931 45.6
3 476 1 641 1 835 47.6
3 283 1 553 1 730 49.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.73 1l .4 11.6
.0.48 11.2 12.4
.0.61 10.3 12.7
.0.63 9.2 13.1
-0.75 8.6 13.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.86 8.2 14.1
.1.00 7.9 15.1
.1.14 7.7 16.1
.1.29 7.3 17.0
GERMANY A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouu~nds) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... sex ralio (males per loo fmak38) ........... Age distribution Percentage a@ 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 percentageaged 60or wer Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or oyer .................. Percentage of mxnen agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................. ..... population density (popllalion per sq km)
.......
1950
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2Wo
68 376 31 493 36883 85.4
70 326 32 573 37 753 86.3
72 815 33 886 38 949 86.9
75964 35763
78674 37319 41354 90.2
78 289 37 257 41 032 90.8
77685 37 059
69.0
78169 36935 41 234 89.6
79 433 38 309 41 124 93.2
81661 39731 41 930 94.8
82309 40144 42164 95.2
6.6 16.8 14.3 14.6 9.7 1.0 50.6 35.4 192
7.4 13.8 15.8 15.8 10.7 1.3 49.6 34.5 197
7.8 13.4 15.8 17.3 11.5 1.6 46.6 34.7
8.5 14.4 13.1 18.8 12.5 1.8 43.5 34.4 213
7.7 15.6 12.8 19.9 13.7 1.9 44.4 34.3 219
5.6 16.0 14.5 20.4 14.8 2.2 45.0 35.4
5.1 13.4 16.1 19.3 15.6 2.8 47.0 36.4 219
5.6 10.5 13.7 20.4 15.0 3.6 47.2 37.7
5.0 11.2 11.3 20.9 15.5 4.1 46.6 38.4
222
229
4.8 10.8 11.1 23.2 16.4 3.5 46.8 39.9 231
40200
204
220
40626 91.2 5.3 10.7 16.5 19.9 14.6 3.2 48.8 37.1 218
19m1955 1955-1980 1980-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 11995-2000 populationchange per year (thousands) .
390
Births per year (thousands).....................
1108 771 0.56 16.0 11.1 2.16 0.85 51
Deaths per year (mousands) ................... Population growlt, rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude dealh rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction r4te (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i biflhs) L l k O X p e C t M c y at Mrlh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sams combined ............................
65.3 69.6 67.5
498 1184
630
0.70 16.5 11.6 2.30 0.96 38
1 327 877 0.85 17.8 11.8 2.49 1.08 29
66.6 71.5 69.1
67.4 72.9 70.3
830
101
. 121
350
841 -0.16 10.8 12.1 1.46 0.70 11
870 91 1 0.45 11.1 11.6 1.43 0.69 8
75.5 72.5
70.3 76.8 73.8
890
-77 811
967 0.13 11.4 12.3 1.64 0.77 21
954
940
0.57 15.9 12.3 2.32 1.02 23
-0.10 10.3 12.2 1.52 0.72 15
67.8 73.6 70.8
67.9 73.8 71 0
69.0
441 1 227
946
.
mm
901 0.55 10.0 11.2 1.31 0.62 6
130 778 876 0.16 9.5 10.7 1.34 0.65 5
0.08 8.7 10.3 1.35 0.65 4
71.7 78.2 74.8
72.6 79.1 76.2
74.1 80.3 77.3
75.7 81.5 78.7
446 809
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populstlon (thouwnds) Total ...................
...............
2005
2010
82652 42284 95.6
82365 40307 42059 95.8
4.4 10.0 11.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 5.9 3.2 3.5 7.2 46.2 42.1 232
4.1 9.4 11.4 25.7 20.5 5.2 5.5 3.0 3.1 7.1 44.7 44.2 231
40389 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Aga di8tributlon Percentage aged 5-14 .... Percentage aged 152 .... Percentage aged 80 a w e Percentage agad 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 1 1 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school a m 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensily (populationper sq km)
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
81825
81161 39697 41463 95.7
80341 39241 41300 95.5
79348
78171 38027 40145 94.7
76852 37295 39557 94.3
75466 36529 38937 93.8
74 088 35 791 38 297 93.5
4.3 8.5 10.0 29.7 22.4 7.0 5.1 2.6 2.7 6.2 38.1 47.3 227
4.3 8.7 9.4 32.8 24.4 7.7 5.2 2.6 2.6 5.7 38.0 47.8 225
4.3 8.9 9.3 35.5 27.3 7.6 5.4 2.7 2.7 5.6 37.5 46.2
4.2 9.0 9.5 36.1 29.8 8.5 5.4 2.8 2.8 5.7 36.7 48.8 219
4.2 9.0 9.8 36.1 30.3 9.8 5.3 2.8 2.8 5.9 35.9 49.5 215
4.4 8.9 9.9 36.5 30.1 11.8 5.3 2.7 2.8 6.0 35.5 49.6 211
4.6 9.1 9.9 37.0 30.2 13.1 5.4 2.7 2.8 6.0 35.3 49.4 208
40053 41772 95.9 4.1 8.7 10.6 27.5 20.9 5.7 5.1 2.8 3.0 6.5 42.0 46.2
229
38682 40666 95.1
222
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalkn change per year (thousat~I~) . Births per year (mousands) ..................... h l h s per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (ttrousands)......... Populalbn growlh rate (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 OOO population) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... lnfent rortali rate (per 1 OOO live births) under-fiw mortallly (per 1.OOO live MMur) Life expectancy .t blrlh (yum) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both SXBS combined ............................
..
.
242
. 57
. 108
. 133
. 164
. 199
875
672
689
883
930
150 -0.07 8.2 10.7 1.8 1.36 0.66 4 5
150 -0.13 8.2 11.3 1.8 1.39 0.67 4 5
972 150 -0.16 8.5 11.9 1.8 1.44 0.69 4 5
691 1005 150 -0.20 6.6 12.4 1.9 1.49 0.72 4 5
678 1 027 150 -0.25 8.5 12.9 1.9 1.54 0.74 4 5
78.5 82.1 79.4
77.2 82.8 80.0
77.9 83.4 80.6
78.5 84.0 81.2
79.1 84.6 81.8
. 277
. 276
655
4 5
-284 649 1063 150 -0.34 8.4 13.7 1.9 1.64 0.79 4 5
1082 150 6.36 8.6 14.2 2.0 1.69 0.81 3
674 1100 150 -0.37 9.0 14.7 2.0 1.74 0.84 3
4
4
79.7 85.2 82.4
80.2 85.7 83.0
80.8 86.3 83.5
81.4 86.8 84.1
-235 659 1044 150 -0.30 8.4 13.3 1.9 1.59
0.77
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM PopuhtiOn Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
69 715
846
GERMANY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
82652 40 389 42 264
82960 40 612 42 348
83377 40 849 42 527
83888 41 097 42 790
84177 41 210 42 967
84254 41 200 43 054
84264 41 153 43 1 1 1
84437 41 187 43 250
84897 41 368 43 530
4.4 10.0 11.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 42.1
4.8 9.3 11.3 25.5 20.3 5.1 44.4 44.0
5.2 9.3 10.4 27.0 20.5 5.6 41.2 45.6
5.5 10.1 9.7 28.7 21.7 6.8 37.9 46.0
5.4 10.9 9.7 31.3 23.2 7.3 37.1 45.8
5.3 11.1 10.6 33.4 25.7 7.2 37.2 45.8
5.3 10.9 11.3 33.5 27.7 7.9 37.3 45.9
5.6 10.8 11.6 32.9 27.6 9.0 37.1 45.5
6.1 11.1 11.4 32.5 26.7 10.4 37.2 44.4
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
61 0.07 9.6 10.7 1 .8 1.61 0.78
83 0.10 10.4 11.2 1 .8 1.79 0.86
102 0.12 11.1 11.6 1 .8 1 .94 0.93
58 0.07 10.9 12.0 1 .8 1 .99 0.96
15 0.02 10.6 12.2 1 .8 2.04 0.98
2 0.00 10.7 12.4 1.8 2.09 1 .01
34 0.04 11.3 12.6 1.8 2.14 1.03
92 0.1 1 12.1 12.8 1.8 2.19 1.06
140 0.17 12.8 12.9 1 .8 2.24 1.08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ....................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
82 652 40 389 42 264
81 767 39 999 41 767
80 267 39 253 41 014
78 416 38 288 40 127
76 461 37 249 39 211
74 395 36 140 38 255
72 150 34 936 37 213
69 652 33 601 36 052
66 895 32 132 34 763
4.4 10.0 1 1.8 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 42.1
3.4 9.4 11.5 25.9 20.6 5.2 45.0 44.4
3.0 8.2 10.8 28.0 21.3 5.8 42.7 46.7
2.9 6.9 10.4 30.7 23.2 7.2 40.4 48.7
3.1 6.4 9.1 34.4 25.6 8.1 39.1 49.9
3.1 6.4 7.8 37.9 29.1 8.1 37.9 50.7
3.1 6.7 7.3 39.1 32.3 9.2 36.1 51 .8
3.0 6.8 7.5 39.9 33.4 10.9 34.1 52.9
2.9 6.7 7.9 41.2 33.9 13.3 32.9 54.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. l77
- 300
- 370
. 391
- 413
. 449
-0.22 6.8 10.7 1 .8 1 .11 0.54
.0.37 5.9 11.5 l .9 0.99 0.48
.0.47 5.7 12.2 l .9 0.94 0.45
.0.51 6.0 13.0 l .9 0.99 0.48
.0.55 6.1 13.6 2.0 1.04 0.50
-0.61 6.0 14.2 2.0 1.09 0.52
-
499 ~0.71 5.8 15.0 2.1 1.14 0.55
-
552 -0.81 5.5 15.8 2.2 1.19 0.57
. 585 -0.89 5.5 16.8 2.3 1.24 0.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
82 652 40 389 42 264 42.1
-0.08
8.1 10.7
82 317 40 282 42 035 44.2
81 670 39 973 41 697 46.2
80 751 39 487 41 264 47.5
79 528 38 824 40 704 48.3
78 015 37 998 40 017 48.9
76 246 37 039 39 208 49.8
74 255 35 962 38 293 50.8
72 077 34 790 37 287 51.4
.0.16 7.9 11.3
-0.23 7.9 12.0
-0.31 7.6 12.5
-0.38 7.3 13.0
-0.46 7.0 13.5
.0.53 6.8 14.1
.0.60 6.8 14.8
.0.66 6.8 15.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
69 736 33 558 36 178 51.8
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouunda) Total ....................................................
1950
1855
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
5 243 2650 2593 102.2
6 106 3082 3 024 101.9
7 126 3 594 3532 101.8
8 187 4 126 4 m 101.6
9059 4565 4494 101.6
10321 5200 5121 101.5
11 390 5739 5651 101.6
13479 6793 6686 101.6
15579 7858 7721 101.8
17887 9030 8657 102.0
20 148 10 167 9 961 102.3
18.6 26.5 19.2 4.1 2.5 0.2 45.7 17.4 22
17.6 27.0 19.2 4.2 2.5 0.2 45.9 17.6 26
17.8 26.5 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 46.0 17.7
18.1 28.1 19.5 4.4 2.7 0.2 46.0 17.8 34
18.2 26.4 19.0 4.5 2.8 0.2 45.5 17.7 38
18.2 26.8 18.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 45.1 17.5 43
18.2 27.0 18.8 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.9 17.3 48
17.9 27.2 19.0 4.7 2.9 0.3 45.0 17.3 57
17.2 27.4 19.3 4.6 3.0 0.3 45.4 17.6 65
16.1 27.2 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.3 46.5 18.1 75
14.8 26.4 20.6 5.3 3.4 0.4 48.1 19.0 84
AW dl8tribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 of over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) Population density (populatnn per sq km)
30
1950-1955 1955.1980 1960-1965 11965-1970 11970-1975 19751980 19801985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooO 2000-2005 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (îhousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) Cnide birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) L l h expectancy at birth ( ~ 6 ~ 8 ) Maks ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
............
..........
173 259 116 3.05 45.6 20.5 6.70 2.09 142 41.ô 44.6 43.1
213 2.24 32.2 10.0 4.39 1.75 63
54.5 57.1 55.7
56.4 58.8 57.5
57.8 59.3 58.6
58.0 58.9 58.5
50.4 53.3 51.ô
52.4 55.3 53.7
252
214
418
438
485
542
127 3.09 45.8 19.2 6.70 2.16 133
147 2.03 45.7 17.0 6.70 2.29 116
153 2.61 45.2 15.8 6.70 2.36 1O8
158 1.97 44.6 14.6 8.65 2.42
165 3.37 43.6 13.3 6.50 2.44
99
43.5 46.2 44.8
45.1 47.9 46.5
46.7 49.6 48.1
48.5 51.4 49.9
462 179 2.76 37.8 10.7 5.46 2.15 73
90
175
394
303
452 652 189 2.38 34.3 10.0 4.02 1.91 67
420 599 173 2.90 41.3 11.9 6.09 2.34 81
212 351 139 2.78 45.8 18.1 6.70 2.22 124
204
633
477
6M
B. MEDIUM VARIANT nx)5
2010
2015
202û
2025
2WO
2035
2040
2045
2050
.................. ....... ....................................... Sexratio (maies per 1Cûfemales) ...........
22 535 11413 11 122 102.6
24 890 12624 12 288 102.9
27 294 13856 13 438 103.1
29 672 15071 14 601 103.2
31 993 16254 15 739 103.3
34 234 17391 16 843 103.3
36 375 18475 17 901 103.2
38 387 19488 18 900 103.1
40 233
41 881 21 229
Age diatribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 85 or over Percentage aged 80 OT over .................. Percentage in schcd ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schcd ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in schod ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in %hod ages 18-23 .......... percentage of Median age (ye Population density (popuiation per sq km)
14.1 25.0 21.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 15.1 7.2 6.9 12.3 49.7 19.9 94
13.1 23.8 20.8 6.0 3.9 0.5 14.5 6.8 6.6 12.3 51.1 21.1 104
12.2 22.8 20.1 6.4 4.3 0.6 13.9 6.6 6.3 11.9 52.1 22.4 114
11.4 21.7 19.5 6.9 4.6 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.2 11.5 53.0 23.6 124
10.6 20.5 19.1 7.6 5.0 0.7 12.4 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.7 24.9 134
9.9 19.4 18.5 8.4 5.6 0.8 11.7 5.8 5.7 11.0 53.8 26.3 144
9.3 18.4 17.8 9.4 6.2 0.9 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.5 27.7 152
8.7 17.4 17.1 10.7 7.1 1.1 10.5 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.8 29.1 161
8.2 16.6 16.4 12.2 8.1 1.3 10.0 5.0 5.0 9.8 52.1 30.5 169
Population (thou8and8) Total ....................................................
20411 19 822 103.0
20652 102.8 7.7 15.8 15.8 14.0 9.4 1.5 9.5 4.8 4.8 9.5 51.3 31.9 176
2005-2010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 popuiath) Crude death rate (per 1,000 popuialicm) Net migration rate (per 1.000 popuiatbn) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... IFfant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.ooO live birîhs) Life expectancy at bitth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
..
244
471 703 221 10 1.99 29.6 9.3 -0.4 3.84 1.57 57 90
- 4 1.84 27.3 8.7 -0.2 3.39 1.42 50 78
476 714 234 - 4 1.67 25.1 8.2 -0. 1 3.06 1.31 44 67
59.6 60.5 60.0
61.3 62.5 61.9
62.8 64.2 63.5
-
481 711
226
464
448
712 244 - 4 1.51 23.1 7.9 -0.1 2.81 1.23
428 703 270 - 4 1.21 19.9 7.7 -0.1 2.46 1.11 32 44
402 694 288 - 4 1.o8 18.6 7.7 -0.1 2.33 1.o6 28 38
308
330 666 332
58
708 258 - 4 1.35 21.4 7.7 -0.1 2.62 1.16 35 51
- 4 0.94 17.3 7.8 -0.1 2.22 1.o2 26 34
- 4 0.80 16.2 6.1 -0.1 2.12 0.98 23 30
64.1 65.9 65.0
65.4 67.4 66.4
66.6 68.8 87.6
67.7 70.0 68.8
68.7 71.1 69.9
69.7 72.2 70.9
40
369 681
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Afíairs/Pcpulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GHANA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
Fernlea ........... PercentageaQed 0-4 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or w r Percentage aged 65 or oycn Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... M e d i i age (yeas) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22535 1 1 413 1 1 122
25 103 12 733 12 370
27 895 14 163 13 732
30 616 15 655 15 161
33 736 17 143 16 593
38 867 18 632 18 035
39 649 20 143 19 507
42 702 21 685 21 017
45777
23234 22543
48802 24 753 24 049
14.1 25.0 21.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 49.7 19.9
13.6 23.6 20.6 6.0 3.9 0.5 50.7 20.9
13.4 23.1 19.7 6.3 4.2 0.6 51.0 21.6
12.7 22.6 18.8 6.7 4.4 0.6 51.1 22.6
11.9 22.2 18.7 7.2 4.7 0.7 51.5 23.4
11.2 21.3 16.6 7.8 5.2 0.8 51.9 24.3
10.7 20.1 18.6 6.6 5.7 0.9 51.9 25.3
10.4 19.3 18.0 9.6 6.4 1 .o 51.5 26.4
10.0 18.8 17.2 10.6 7.2 1.1 50.9 27.5
9.5 18.3 16.7 12.0 8.1 1.3 50.6 28.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). POpulatMl growth rate (per cent) ............ Ctude birth rate (per 1,OOO popllation).... Crude death rale (per 1 ,OOO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1 ,OOO population) . Total fettility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
514 2.16 31.4 9.4 -0.4 4.09 1.67
558
2.11 30.0 8.6 -0.2 3.79 1.59
584 1 .a1 26.0 7.8 -0.1 3.31 1.45
584 1.96 26.3 6.3 -0.1 3.56 1.53
588
1.67 24.3 7.5 -0.1 3.12 1.38
597 1.56 23.1 7.4 -0.1 2.96 1.33
610 1.48 22.2 7.3 -0.1 2.83 1.29
815 1.39 21.3 7.3 -0.1 2.72 1.25
605 1.26 20.2 7.4 -0.1 2.62 1.21
D. LOW VARIANT
Populrtlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
........................................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22535 1 1 413 11 122
24 678 12 516 12 162
26 692 13 549 13 144
28528
14 487 14 041
30 252 15 305 14 887
31 822 16 162 15 €61
331W 16847 16333
34273 17393 16880
35079 17767 17292
35 603 16 032 17 571
14.1 25.0 21 .o 5.6 3.6 0.4 49.7 19.9
12.3 24.0 21.0 6.1 3.9 0.5 51.6 21.3
11.0 22.6 20.5 6.6 4.4 0.6 53.3 22.9
9.9 20.5 20.3 7.2 4.8 0.7 55.2 24.6
9.2 18.7 19.5 8.0 5.3 0.8 56.1 26.5
6.5 17.3 18.0 9.0 6.0 0.9 56.1 28.3
7.8 16.3 16.6 10.3 6.8
7.0 15.2 15.9 12.0 7.9 1.2 54.2 32.3
6.4 14.1 15.2 14.0 9.3 1.4 53.0 34.3
5.8 12.9 14.5 16.4 11.1 1.7 51.6 36.2
1 .o
55.3 30.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2090-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). Poprlation growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rale (per 1,OOOpopulatim) .... Crude death rale (per 1 ,OOO population) .. Net tnigratkm rate @er 1 .OOO population) . Total fertilii (children per woman) ........... Net reproductbn rate (per woman) ..........
429 1.62 27.8 9.2 -0.4 3.59 1.47
403
1.57 24.4 6.6 -0.2 2.99 1.25
345 1.17 19.9 8.0 -0.1 2.31 1.01
367 1.33 21.6 8.2 -0.1 2.56 1.10
314 1.01 18.2 7.9 -0.1 2.12 0.94
272 0.84
16.5 8.0 -0.1 1.96 0.88
219 0.65 14.8 8.2 -0.1 1 .83 0.83
161 0.47 13.3 6.5 -0.1 1.72 0.79
105 0.30 12.1 9.0 -0.1 1.62 0.75
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Told .................................................... Males ...................................................
Females ...............................................
Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
22535 1 1 413 11 122 19.9
25303 12 835 12 468 20.7
20550
32226 16 375 15 851 21.3
36288 16 445 17 843 21.3
40808 20 743 20 065 21.4
45909
23 332 22 576 21.6
51721 26 279 25 442 21.8
56348 29 638 28 712 21.9
65873 33 447 32 427 21.9
14 501 14 056 21.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rale (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... CNde death rate (per1 .OOO population) ..
2.32 33.1 9.5
2.42 33.2 6.9
2.42 32.6 6.3
2.38 31.6 7.0
2.35 30.9 7.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairSlPopuiation Division Wodd Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.36 30.6 7.0
2.38 30.6 6.7
2.41 30.6 6.5
2.43 30.6 6.3
245
GREECE A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................. .......... Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..........
..........................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
7566 3 687 3879 95.1
7966 3 889 4077 95.4
8334 4 067 4266 95.3
8551 4 158 4393 94.7
8793 4 292 4501 95.4
9047 4 432 4615 96.0
9643 4 733 4909 96.4
9934 4 887 5047 96.8
10161 5 006 5154 97.1
10656 5 263 5392 97.6
10975 5 422 5552 97.7
9.8 18.8 19.9 10.0 6.8 1 .0 53.3 26.0 57
9.2 17.2 19.2 10.8 7.4 1.1 53.5 27.5 60
9.1 17.4 16.4 12.1 8.3 1.3 51.3 . 29.1 63
8.4 17.0 15.4 13.2 8.9 l .5 50.8 30.7 65
8.8 16.1 14.7 16.3 11.1 2.0 47.9 33.4 67
7.6 16.3 14.8 17.4 12.2 2.1 48.1 33.9 69
7.4 15.4 14.8 17.5 13.1 2.3 47.5 34.2 73
6.9 14.4 15.1 17.8 13.3 2.4 47.1 35.1 75
5.4 13.8 15.2 20.0 13.7 3.0 47.1 36.1 77
4.9 11.9 15.2 21.3 15.2 3.2 49.3 37.0 81
4.8 10.4 14.4 22.6 16.7 3.2 49.4 38.3 83
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrih (years) ...................... Males .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
................... ............
..........
. . .
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... . ..... Population density (population per sq km)
l1100 5 495 5 605 98.0
11215 5 549 5 666 97.9
11273 5 579 5 694 98.0
11274 5 585 5 689 98.2
11236 5 574 5 662 98.5
11179 5 554 5 625 98.7
11111 5 526 5 585 98.9
11031 5 489 5 542 99.l
10932 5 441 5 491 99.1
4.6 9.6 12.2 23.3 18.3 3.5 5.7 3.0 3.2 7.6 48.3 40.1
4.6 9.3 10.6 24.7 18.8 4.8 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.4 46.3 41.9 85
4.5 9.3 9.9 26.0 19.9 5.9 5.6 2.8 2.8 6.0 44.5 43.6 85
4.2 9.2 9.7 27.7 21.1 6.5 5.5 2.8 2.8 5.8 42.1 45.2 85
4.1 8.9 9.7 29.4 22.6 6.5 5.3 2.8 2.8 5.8 40.2 46.9
4.1 8.5 9.6 31.9 24.2 7.1 5.1 2.6 2.8 5.9 38.1 48.4 85
4.1 8.4 9.4 34.2 26.5 7.9 5.0 2.6 2.6 5.7 36.6 49.6 84
4.3 8.4 9.1 36.4 28.6 8.9 5.1 2.5 2.6 5.5 35.8 50.2 84
4.3 8.6 8.9 37.9 30.6 9.8 5.2 2.6 2.6 5.4 35.4 50.3 83
84
85
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ........................ ..
-8
-
-
23 103 110 30 0.21 9.3 9.9 2.7 1.33 0.64 7 8
12 100 119 30 0.10 8.9 10.6 2.7 1.38 0.66 6 7
0 95 125 30 0.00 8.5 11.1 2.7 1.43 0.69 6 7
12 91 1 32 30 -0.10 8.1 1 1 .8 2.7 1.53 0.73 5 6
. 14
. 16
92 129 30 -0.07 8.1 11.5 2.7 1 .48 0.71 5 6
92 1 35 30 -0.12 8.2 12.1 2.7 1.58 0.76 5 5
93 139 30 -0.14 8.4 12.6 2.7 1.63 0.78 4 5
20 95 145 30 .0.18 8.6 13.2 2.7 1.68 0.81 4 5
. 25 95 150 30 -0.23 8.7 13.8 2.8 1.73 0.83 4 4
77.1 81.9 79.5
77.7 82.5 80.1
78.4 83.2 80.8
79.0 83.8 81.4
79.6 84.4 82.0
80.1 85.0 82.5
80.7 85.5 83.1
81.2 86.1 83.6
81.8 86.6 84.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GREECE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
42 0.38 10.9 9.9 2.7 1.58 0.75
39 0.35 11.2 10.4 2.6 1.78 0.85
31 0.27 11.0 10.8 2.6 1.93 0.92
21 0.18 10.3 11.1 2.6 1.98 0.95
l8 0.15 10.2 11.2 2.5 2.03 0.97
21 0.17 10.6 11.4 2.5 2.08 1.00
27 0.23 11.4 11.6 2.5 2.13 1.02
32 0.26 12.1 11.9 2.5 2.18 1.05
31 0.25 12.2 12.2 2.4 2.23 1.07
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) ............. Total ............................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.04 7.6 9.9 2.7 1.08 0.51
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................ . Median age (years) ............................... .
11100 5497 5 603 40.1
11193 5540 5 652 41.9
11206 5548 5 658 43.8
11145 5523 5 623 45.6
11035 5475 5 560 47.5
10892 5411 5 481 49.3
10723 5332 5 391 50.9
10518 5231 5 286 52.0
10268 5106 5 162 52.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.17 8.9 9.9
0.02 8.1 10.6
.0.1 1 7.4 11.2
.0.20 7.0 11.7
.0.26 6.7 12.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.31 6.6 12.5
.0.39 6.4 13.1
.0.48 6.2 13.9
.0.58 6.0 14.8
GRENADA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouunds) Total ....................................................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lSe0
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
77
m 42 48 86.6
95 44 50 88.6
94 45 50 89.8
92
42 84.7
81 37 44 85.3
44 48 91.4
89 43 46 93.5
100 49 51 95.1
96 47 49 97.3
98 49 50 97.7
100 50 51 97.5
19.8 27.8 15.8 7.7 5.2 1.1 39.6 16.3
18.1 28.0 16.9 7.5 52 0.8 41.2 17.0
223
235
20.4 28.7 15.7 7.6 4.9 0.7 39.2 15.6 261
18.7 31 .O 15.6 7.5 4.9 0.7 38.0 15.1 275
13.6 35.7 17.3 8.0 5.2 0.8 37.6 15.3 274
13.7 28.9 21.8 8.8 6.2 0.8 42.9 17.7 269
13.2 26.8 22.6 9.7 7.1 1.1 43.7 18.8 259
14.6 23.5 23.4 8.2 6.2 1.o 47.3 20.0 290
15.3 23.6 18.3 11.1 7.9 1.2 43.0 20.4 279
11.0 26.5 19.5 10.1 7.8 1.2 45.7 21.1 286
9.9 25.1 21.4 9.9 7.4 1.4 48.9 21.7 292
35 Sex ratio (males per Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ..... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) . Population density (population per sq km)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 19901995 19952OOO 2ooo2005
Population change per year (thwsands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (!hasands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate fper 1,OWlive birlhs) Life expectancy at blflh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sews combined ............................
1 3 1 1.10 39.8 10.5 2.53 61
2 4 1 2.07 45.9 10.3 8.70 2.94 58
59.6 65.3 62.6
60.2 65.6 63.1
5.80
2.02 56
3 1 -0.04 28.9 8.6 4.80 2.12 54
0 3 1 -0.43 29.1 8.7 4.60 2.04 52
- 1 3 1 -0.77 29.8 9.3 4.30 1.91 50
2 3 1 2.31 32.5 9.4 4.23 1.89 47
60.9 66.0 63.6
61.5 66.4 64.1
62.1 66.7 64.6
62.8 67.1 65.0
1 4 1 1.02 41.0 9.5
8.40
0
- 1 3 1 31.6 9.5 4.14 1.86 45
0 2 1 0.51 23.4 9.5 3.26 1.47 43
0 2 1 0.42 21.1 9.2 2.81 1.27 41
1 2 1 0.94 18.4 8.8 2.43 1.10
63.4 67.4 85.5
64.1 67.8 66.0
64.7 68.2 66.5
65.3 68.5 67.0
66.1 69.3 67.7
-0.80
38
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thouaands) Total .....................................................
........................................
Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 .......... Percentage in schod ages 16-23. Percentage of m n age4 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
105 52 54 96.3
106 52 53 97.2
108 52 54 98.1
107 53 54
98.8
108 54 54 99.3
107 54 54 99.7
105 53 53 100.0
103 51 51 100.2
99 50 49 100.3
95 48 48 100.2
10.1 24.0 20.8 9.8 6.8 1.3 142 7.7 7.4 11.7 50.0 22.2
8.5 21.o 23.5 8.7 8.9 1.5 12.3 6.8 7.4 14.1 53.0 23.7
8.8 17.8 22.2 8.8 6.0 1.4 10.3 6.0 8.3 13.7 54.9 25.6
306
306
308
9.0 16.5 19.0 9.7 6.2 1.1 9.9 4.8 5.4 11.6 53.4 27.6 311
8.6 17.0 16.0 11.0 7.2 1.3 10.4 4.9 4.5 9.7 52.8 29.7 314
7.6 17.0 14.9 13.6 8.4 1.o 10.2 5.2 5.0 6.6 52.2 31.8 312
6.5 15.9 15.9 14.2 10.9 1.3 9.4 5.1 5.2 9.4 52.0 34.1 307
6.0 14.0 16.3 16.0 11.3 1.9 8.1 4.7 5.0 9.8 49.9 36.3 298
6.0 12.5 15.3 18.0 12.9 2.4 7.3 4.0 4.4 9.4 46.1 37.9 288
6.0 12.0 13.5 22.1 14.5 3.5 7.2 3.7 3.8 8.2 42.6 39.2 277
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202w025 2025-2030 203&2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Population change per year (thousands).. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growvl rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populat!ion) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populati) . Total fertility (children per mxnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant rortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO live Mlths) Llk exp.ctcmcy at birth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
....
248
0 2 1 - 1 0.02 18.0 8.3 -9.5 2.30 1.06 34 41 67.0 70.4 88.7
30
0 2 1 - 1 0.21 19.0 7.5 -9.4 2.10 0.98 28
37
33
25 30
0 2 1 - 1 -0.09 15.8 7.4 -9.3 1.95 0.92 22 25
67.8 71.3 69.6
68.5 72.2 70.4
69.3 73.1 71.2
70.2 74.1 72.2
0 2 1 - 1 0.13 16.7 7.9 -9.5 2.20 1.02
0 2 1 - 1 0.14 18.0 7.3 -9.3 2.02 0.95
0 1 1 - 1 -0.38 13.4 7.6 -9.4 1.88 0.90 18 21
- 1 1 1 - 1 -0.56 12.2 8.2 -9.6 1.85 0.88 16 18
- 1 1 1 - 1 -0.68 12.2 9.1 -9.9 1.85 0.88 14 16
- 1 -0.81 12.2 10.0 -10.3 1.85 0.89 12 14
71.3 75.4 73.3
72.3 76.4 74.4
73.2 77.4 75.3
74.0 78.3 76.1
- 1 1 1
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Worid PopulationProspects: The 2006 Rwkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GRENADA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Nel migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
105 52 54
106 52 54
109 54 55
112 56 56
115 58 58
117 59 59
118 59 59
118 59 59
118 59 59
10.1 24.0 20.8 9.8 6.8 1.3 50.0 22.2
9.4 20.8 23.2 8.6 6.8 1.4 52.5 23.5
10.2 18.3 21.6 8.6 5.9 1.3 53.6 24.9
10.7 18.1 18.2 9.3 5.9 1.0 51 0 26.5
10.1 19.5 15.8 10.3 6.7 1.2 50.3 27.8
9.0 19.6 16.0 12.5 7.7 0.9 50.2 29.0
8.0 18.2 17.7 12.7 9.8 1.2 50.9 29.9
7.8 16.3 18.1 14.0 9.9 1.6 49.7 30.5
8.1 15.2 16.8 15.1 10.8 2.0 46.9 31.4
.
0 0.20 19.8 8.3 .9.5 2.55 1.17
D. LOW VARIANT
Populetlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percenlage aged 15-24 ......................... Percenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percenlageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... ......
..
Population change per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowthrate(percen1)............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.WO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 -0.17 16.1 8.3 .9.5 2.05 0.94
0 .0.20 15.5 7.9 .9.6 1.80 0.83
0 .0.23 15.0 7.6 .9.7 1.60 0.75
0 -0.32 14.3 7.6 .9.9 1.52 0.71
.1 .0.55 12.5 7.8 .10.1 1.45 0.68
.1 .0.86 10.2 8.3 .10.4 1.38 0.66
.1 .1.18 8.5 9.3 .11.0 1.35 0.64
.l .1.45 7.8 10.6 .11.7 1.35 0.85
.1 .1.74 7.5 12.2 .12.7 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... ..... Median age (years) ..........................
105 52 54 22.2
106 52 54 23.6
108 53 54 25.2
110 55 55 27.0
112 56 56 28.6
114 57 57 29.9
115 57 57 30.9
115 58 57 31.4
114 57 57 32.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.12 19.0 8.3
0.31 20.3 7.9
0.44 21.1 7.5
0.43 20.5 7.2
0.30 18.9 7.1
0.13 17.3 7.2
0.01 16.4 7.6
-0.06 16.2 8.1
.0.11 16.3 8.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUADELOUPE A ESTIMATES
indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... ..................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................. ........................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined
...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .................... .. ..................... Both sexes combined ................... .........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
GUADELOUPE
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
438 210 228
458 219 238
475 227 248
492 235 257
506 241 265
517 246 271
528 251 277
536 254 282
543 257 286
548 260 288
7.7 16.3 13.4 14.0 10.2 2.6 50.5 34.0
8.1 15.4 13.1 15.7 11.0 2.9 47.9 35.7
7.7 15.0 12.9 17.8 12.5 3.1 44.8 36.8
7.5 15.2 12.3 20.5 14.4 3.4 42.1 37.6
7.1 14.7 12.2 23.6 16.9 3.9 40.6 38.4
6.9 14.3 12.5 25.8 19.6 4.7 40.1 39.1
6.9 13.8 12.2 27.5 21.5 5.7 39.8 39.7
6.9 13.7 11.9 28.0 22.9 7.0 39.5 40.2
6.9 13.7 11.6 28.1 23.0 8.3 39.2 40.1
6.9 13.8 11.6 28.1 22.9 9.0 38.9 40.4
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.85 16.5 6.4 -1.6 2.36 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.51 13.1 6.4 -l .6 1.86 0.90
1 0.25 10.9 6.8 .1.5 1.63 0.79
0 .0.05 9.1 8.1 .1.5 1.39 0.67
0 0.07 9.6 7.4 -1 .5 1.46 0.71
.1 .0.18 8.7 9.0 -1 .5 1.35 0.66
.2 .0.34 8.3 10.1 -l .6 1.35 0.66
.
2 .0.54 7.6 11.3 .1.6 1.35 0.66
3 -0.75 6.8 12.7 -l .6 1.35 0.66
.
.4 .0.95 6.3 14.1 .1.7 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................ . ................ Median age (years) ....................... .......
438 21 0 228 34.0
453 217 236 36.0
465 222 243 37.7
475 227 249 39.0
484 230 254 40.2
491 233 258 41.3
495 234 261 42.4
495 234 262 43.4
493 232 261 44.3
488 229 259 45.0
Populat~on growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.65 14.4 6.4
0.53 13.6 6.8
0.45 13.2 7.2
0.37 12.9 7.7
0.28 12.6 8.4
0.16 12.2 9.2
0.02 11.7 10.1
-0.10 11.4 11.0
.0.19 11.2 11.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
GUAM A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (yean) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
60 40 19 210.7
63
23 171.5
67 39 28 140.5
76 43 33 132.8
85 48 38 125.4
95 51 44 116.8
107 56 51 108.8
119 63 56 111.5
1 34 71 63 114.0
1 46 76 70 108.8
155 79 76 104.5
12.7 14.4 31 .1 2.2 1.3 0.2 51.3 22.8 109
14.6 19.5 24.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 47.8 22.2 115
16.1 24.5 17.5 2.7 1.6 0.2 44.3 20.9 123
14.9 25.3 19.5 2.8 1.7 0.2 46.5 20.6 1 38
13.7 26.0 21.6 3.0 1.7 0.2 48.6 20.4 156
13.0 24.3 21.2 3.8 2.3 0.3 51 .0 21.2 1 74
12.3 22.6 20.9 4.6 2.8 0.3 53.4 22.3 194
11.8 20.6 20.4 5.5 3.3 0.4 54.2 23.7 218
11.6 18.6 20.0 6.5 3.9 0.5 54.7 24.9 244
12.0 18.9
10.9 19.6 15.7 8.2 5.4 0.6 52.8 27.4 283
40
16.6
7.3 4.7 0.5 53.9 26.3 265
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 69 86 83 104.0
180 91 103.5
191 97 94 103.0
201 102 99 102.6
21 l 107 105 102.1
220 111 109 101.8
228 115 113 101.4
233 117 116 101.0
238 119 119 100.7
242 121 120 100.5
9.8 19.6 15.8 9.5 6.5 l0 11.9 5.7 5.2 9.2 51.4 28.4 307
8.9 18.5 16.8 10.9 7.1 1.1 11.1 5.6 5.5 9.9 51 0 29.2 328
8.4 17.0 17.2 12.6 8.3 l .3 10.1 5.2 5.3 10.3 50.1 30.0 348
8.1 15.8 16.5 14.5 9.7 1.5 9.5 4.7 4.9 10.0 49.t 31.1 367
7.8 15.3 15.3 16.6 11.4 1.7 9.2 4.5 4.5 9.2 48.1 32.5 385
7.3 14.9 14.4 18.7 13.2 2.3 9.0 4.4 4.4 8.6 47.8 33.9 401
6.8 14.3 14.2 19.9 15.0 2.9 8.6 4.3 4.3 8.5 47.8 35.4 415
6.4 13.6 14.0 20.6 16.0 3.6 8.1 4.2 4.2 8.4 47.3 36.7 425
6.1 12.9 13.7 21.3 16.5 4.4 7.7 4.0 4.0 8.3 46.4 37.9 433
6.0 12.3 13.1 22.3 16.9 5.1 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.9 45.3 38.9 440
.
88
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fwe mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUAM
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
169 86 83
181 92 89
195 99 96
209 106 103
223 113 110
236 119 117
249 126 123
261 132 130
273 137 136
285 143 141
9.8 19.6 15.8 9.5 6.5 1.0 51.4 28.4
9.6 18.4 16.7 10.8 7.0 1.1 50.5 28.9
9.6 17.4 16.8 12.3 8.1 1.3 49.0 29.2
9.5 17.3 15.9 14.0 9.4 1.5 47.2 29.8
9.1 17.3 15.2 15.8 10.8 1.6 46.3 30.6
8.7 17.0 15.3 17.4 12.3 2.1 46.4 31.5
8.4 16.4 15.5 18.2 13.7 2.7 46.8 32.1
8.2 15.9 15.4 18.4 14.3 3.2 46.8 32.6
8.0 15.5 15.0 18.5 14.3 3.8 46.4 33.1
7.9 15.2 14.5 18.9 14.4 4.3 45.9 33.7
3 1.47 20.2 5.5 0.0 2.79 1.33
3 1.44 20.0 5.6 0.0 2.79 1.34
3 1.41 19.9 5.8 0.0 2.77 1.33
3 1.29 19.0 6.1 0.0 2.67 1.28
3 1.16 18.0 6.5 0.0 2.58 1.24
3 1.04 17.3 6.9 0.0 2.50 1.20
2 0.95 16.9 7.4 0.0 2.43 1.17
2 0.88 16.5 7.7 0.0 2.37 1.14
2 0.84 16.3 7.9 0.0 2.35 1.13
1 0.25 10.6 8.1 0.0 1.50 0.72
0 0.05 9.4 9.0 0.0 1.43 0.69
0 .0.13 6.5 9.8 0.0 1.37 0.66
.1 .0.25 8.1 10.6 0.0 1.35 0.65
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..........................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 1.13 16.7 5.5 0.0 2.29 1 10
.
2 0.90 14.8 5.7 0.0 1.99 0.96
1 0.74 13.5 6.1 0.0 1.77 0.85
1 0.63 12.9 6.6 0.0 1.67 0.80
1 0.46 11.9 7.3 0.0 1.58 0.76
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
169 86 83 28.4
181 92 89 28.9
194 99 96 29.4
206 105 103 29.9
223 113 110 30.7
237 120 117 31.4
251 127 124 31.8
266 134 132 31.9
280 141 139 32.0
296 149 147 32.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.44 19.8 5.5
1.40 19.7 5.6
1.38 19.7 5.9
1.33 19.4 6.1
1.25 19.0 6.5
1.17 18.6 6.9
1.11 18.4 7.3
1.09 18.4 7.6
1.08 18.4 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 6 Comprehensive Tables
GUATEMALA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ........................... .. ................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................. ................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ......................... ....................... Males ................................................... Females .................... ........................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... . .......... Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
12 710 6202 6508 95.3
14 377 7007 7370 95.1
16 227 7918 8309 95.3
18 091 8835 9256 95.5
19 926 9736 10190 95.5
21 691 10601 11089 95.6
23 351 11413 11938 95.6
24 882 12160 12722 95.6
26 262 12831 13431 95.5
16.0 27.1 20.1 6.1 4.3 0.7 16.7 7.5 6.7 11.7 46.7 18.2 117
15.1 26.5 20.3 6.5 4.4 0.9 16.2 7.3 6.8 11.7 48.1 18.8 132
14.0 25.5 20.6 6.7 4.7 1 .0 15.5 7.2 6.7 12.0 49.6 19.8 149
12.8 24.2 20.6 6.9 4.9 1 .0 14.7 7.0 6.7 12.0 51.1 21.1 166
11.7 22.8 20.3 7.3 5.2 1.1 13.8 6.7 6.4 12.0 52.3 22.5 183
10.6 21.2 19.8 7.9 5.5 1.3 12.8 6.3 6.2 11.8 53.2 24.1 199
9.6 19.7 19.1 8.7 6.1 1.4 11.8 5.9 5.9 11.4 53.6 25.9 214
8.7 18.1 18.2 10.0 6.9 1.6 10.8 5.5 5.5 10.9 53.8 27.9 229
7.9 16.7 17.2 11.5 8.0 1.8 10.0 5.1 5.2 10.3 53.3 29.9 241
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .......................... Females ....................... . . ..... ............ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
GUATEMALA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
358 2.64 35.0 5.7 -2.9 4.40 2.02
417 2.88 33.1 5.4 -1.0 4.1 1 1.91
441 2.49 30.8 5.1 -0.8 3.79 1.77
447 2.25 26.1 4.9 .0.8 3.42 1.61
451 2.04 25.7 4.7 .0.7 3.1 1 1.46
454 1.86 23.8 4.6 .0.6 2.84 1.35
452 1.69 22.1 4.6 .0.6 2.64 1.25
443 1.53 20.5 4.7 .0.5 2.47 1.18
428 1.38 19.1 4.8 -0.5 2.35 1.12
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................................ ,..,..,.... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
309 2.29 31.5 5.6 -3.0 3.90 1.79
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .......................... ..
12710 6202 6508 18.2
14601 7121 7480 16.5
16970 8296 8673 18.6
19715 9662 10052 18.9
22862 11233 11629 16.9
26489 13047 13442 19.1
30701 15160 15541 19.4
35602 17625 17977 19.6
41293 20494 20800 19.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.78 36.4 5.7
3.01 36.3 5.4
3.00 35.8 5.1
2.96 35.0 4.7
2.95 34.5 4.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2.95 34.2 4.2
2.96 34.1 4.1
2.97 33.9 3.9
2.96 33.7 3.8
GUINEA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2 619 1306 1313 99.5
2 851 1418 1433 98.9
3 118 1 550 1 568 98.8
3 439 1711 1 727 99.1
3 819 1 905 1914 99.5
4 004 2 003 2001 100.1
4 575 2 294 2 281 100.6
5 185 2 605 2 580 101.0
6 033 3 036 2 997 101.3
7 323 3 689 3 634 101.5
8 203 4 135 4068 101.6
15.9 23.2 17.3 8.1 5.5 0.4 46.3 21.2 11
17.2 23.9 17.0 6.8 4.5 0.4 46.1 19.9 12
17.2 24.4 18.1 5.9 3.8 0.3 46.6 19.1 13
17.4 25.2 18.4 5.5 3.3 0.3 46.1 18.8 14
17.5 25.3 18.5 5.3 3.2 0.2 45.9 18.5 16
17.6 25.5 19.0 5.3 3.1 0.2 45.7 18.4 16
17.8 25.7 18.8 5.3 3.2 0.2 45.5 18.2 19
18.1 25.9 18.7 5.2 3.2 0.2 45.3 17.9 21
18.1 26.3 18.7 5.1 3.2 0.2 45.2 17.8 25
17.6 26.8 18.9 4.9 3.1 0.2 45.1 17.7 30
17.2 26.7 19.2 4.8 3.0 0.3 45.5 17.9 33
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
46 138 91 1.70 50.4 33.4 7.00 1.76 214
53 150 95 1.79 50.3 31.7 7.00 1.79 208
64 164 97 1.96 50.1 29.7 7.00 1.83 201
76 181 101 2.10 49.8 27.8 7.00 1.89 193
37 194 102 0.94 49.6 26.1 7.00 1.96 184
114 211 104 2.67 49.3 24.2 7.00 2.04 173
122 239 109 2.51 48.9 22.3 7.00 2.14 162
170 268 112 3.03 47.8 20.0 6.84 2.22 150
258 304 116 3.88 45.6 17.4 6.50 2.23 137
176 339 118 2.27 43.7 15.2 6.16 2.22 125
160 361 116 1.86 42.0 13.5 5.84 2.19 113
32.4 34.9 33.6
33.5 35.7 34.6
34.8 36.8 35.8
36.3 38.1 37.2
38.0
39.9 41.7 40.8
41.8
39.7 38.8
44.0 42.9
44.3 46.9 45.6
47.1 50.2 48.6
49.8 53.2 51.5
52.0 55.4 53.7
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ................. Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
9 003 4 542 4 461 101.8
10 028 5065 4 963 102.1
11 449 5 788 5 661 102.2
12 966 6 560 6 407 102.4
14 547 7 362 7 184 102.5
16 170 8 186 7 984 102.5
17 818 9 021 8 797 102.5
19 475 9 858 9 616 102.5
21 115 10 685 10 430 102.5
22 711 11 487 11 224 102.3
16.9 26.5 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.3 16.3 7.2 6.6 11.4 45.8 18.1 37
16.3 26.3 19.7 5.1 3.3 0.3 16.2 7.1 6.5 11.5 46.4 18.5 41
15.5 26.0 19.8 5.4 3.4 0.3 16.0 7.2 6.6 11.5 47.2 19.0 47
14.5 25.4 20.0 5.7 3.6 0.4 15.5 7.1 6.6 11.6 48.5 19.7 53
13.5 24.4 20.2 6.0 3.9 0.4 14.9 7.0 6.6 11.8 49.9 20.7 59
12.5 23.2 20.1 6.4 4.2 0.5 14.1 6.7 6.4 11.9 51.3 21.9 66
11.6 22.0 19.8 7.0 4.6 0.6 13.3 6.4 6.2 11.7 52.4 23.2 72
10.9 20.7 19.2 7.7 5.1 0.7 12.5 6.1 5.9 11.4 52.9 24.6 79
10.1 19.6 18.4 8.6 5.7 0.8 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.o 53.2 26.1 86
9.4 18.6 17.7 9.8 6.5 0.9 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.0 27.6 92
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) _.._ Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
256
60 77
331 449 116 - 2 1.78 24.1 6.2 -0.1 2.88 1.29 53 67
328 451 121 - 2 1.62 22.2 6.0 -0.1 2.67 1.21 48 59
319 449 128 - 2 1.46 20.5 5.8 -0.1 2.50 1.15 43 52
65.4 69.4 67.4
67.0 71.2 69.0
68.4 72.7 70.5
69.8 74.1 71.9
330
205 378 113 - 60 2.16 39.8 11.9 -6.3 5.44 2.1 1 103 156
284 398 111 - 2 2.65 37.0 10.4 -0.2 4.95 1.99 93 136
303 416 110 - 2 2.49 34.1 9.0 -0.2 4.43 1.84 84 118
316 428 110 - 2 2.30 31.1 8.0 -0.1 3.94 1.67 75 102
325 437 110 - 2 2.12 28.4 7.2 -0.1 3.50 1.52 67 88
112 - 2 1.94 26.1 6.6 -0.1 3.15 1.39
54.4 57.6 56.0
57.0 60.3 58.6
59.3 62.9 61.1
61.5 65.3 63.4
63.6 67.5 65.5
444
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUINEA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birthrate e (per I.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
9033 4 542 4461
10104 5 104 5000
11667 5 899 5768
13392 6 777 6615
15224 7 708 7516
17168 8 695 8473
19235 9 744 9491
21422 10 853 10569
23700 12 006 11694
16.9 26.5 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.3 45.8 18.1
17.0 26.1 19.6 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.0 18.3
16.4 26.2 19.4 5.3 3.3 0.3 46.4 18.5
15.6 26.2 19.4 5.5 3.5 0.4 47.0 18.9
14.6 25.6 19.8 5.7 3.7 0.4 48.2 19.6
13.7 24.6 20.2 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.6 20.5
13.0 23.3 20.1 6.5 4.3 0.5 50.7 21.6
12.4 22.3 19.5 7.0 4.6 0.6 51.3 22.7
11.8 21.5 18.8 7.7 5.1 0.7 51.5 23.9
220 2.31 41.4 12.1 -6.3 5.69 2.21
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
190 2.00 38.1 11.8 -6.3 5.19 2.01
COMSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .
.
p -
. . .
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................
9003 4542 4 461 18.1
10145 5124 5 020 18.2
11865 6000 5 861 18.1
13938 7056 6 882 18.0
16425 8321 8 104 17.8
19417 9844 9 573 17.7
23025 11680 1 1 344 17.7
27382 13898 13 484 17.6
32644 16576 16 067 17.6
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.39 42.3 12.2
3.13 42.3 10.8
3.22 41.9 9.6
3.28 41.4 8.5
3.35 41.1 7.6
3.41 40.9 6.8
3.47 40.8 6.2
3.52 40.8 5.6
3.56 40.7 5.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUINEA-BISSAU A. ESTIMATES indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
505 250 255 97.8
528 261 267 97.4
554 273 281 97.2
558 275 283 97.0
584 287 297 96.9
651 320 331 96.8
793 390 403 96.8
892 439 453 96.9
1017 501 516 97.0
1191 587 604 97.2
1370 676 694 97.4
14.8 22.4 18.8 5.9 3.7 0.3 50.3 21.7 14
15.6 22.2 18.3 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.8 21.5 15
15.5 22.8 17.9 5.5 3.2 0.3 49.0 21.4 15
16.3 23.2 17.5 5.5 3.3 0.3 47.4 20.8 15
17.2 23.4 17.6 5.7 3.3 0.2 46.3 19.9 16
18.4 24.3 17.4 5.9 3.4 0.2 44.6 19.0 18
18.2 25.9 17.4 5.9 3.5 0.2 43.7 18.2 22
18.3 26.5 18.0 5.7 3.5 0.2 43.5 17.6 25
18.7 26.5 18.8 5.5 3.4 0.3 43.8 17.3 28
19.1 26.8 19.0 5.2 3.3 0.3 43.7 17.0 33
19.4 27.3 18.7 5.0 3.2 0.3 43.6 16.6 38
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 NO-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................. .. ........... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 597 789 808 97.6
1 853 917 936 97.9
2 160 1 070 1089 98.2
2 513 1 247 1265 98.6
2 913 1 448 1465 98.8
3 358 1 671 1687 99.1
3 834 1 910 1924 99.3
4 325 2 156 2169 99.4
4 821 2404 2417 99.5
5 324 2655 2669 99.5
19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 17.3 7.2 6.4 10.8 43.2 16.2
19.7 28.3 19.1 4.4 2.9 0.3 17.6 7.4 6.6 10.9 43.1 16.0 51
19.2 28.7 19.5 4.3 2.7 0.3 17.9 7.5 6.7 11.2 43.5 16.0 60
18.6 28.8 19.9 4.1 2.7 0.3 17.8 7.7 6.8 11.4 44.1 16.2 70
17.9 28.4 20.4 4.1 2.6 0.3 17.5 7.6 7.0 11.7 45.2 16.6 81
17.1 27.9 20.7 4.1 2.6 0.3 17.2 7.8 6.9 12.0 46.4 17.2 93
16.0 27.3 20.8 4.3 2.7 0.3 16.8 7.5 6.9 12.1 47.9 18.0 106
14.8 26.4 21 0 4.5 2.9 0.4 16.1 7.4 6.9 12.2 49.5 18.9 1 20
13.6 25.1 21 .1 4.8 3.1 0:4 15.2 7.2 6.9 12.4 51.3 20.1 133
12.6 23.6 20.9 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.2 6.9 6.7 12.4 52.8 21.5 147
44
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
GUINEA-BISSAU C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator P0puM)on (thouundo) Total .................................................... Females .............................. Aga dlmrlbullon Percentage M Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or owr Percentage aged 8 0 o r m r percent&%aof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1597 789
808
1855 918 937
2 183 1082 1101
2 572 1 277 1295
3 015 1 499 1516
3 515 1 750 1 765
4 067 2 027 2040
4 661 2 324 2336
5290 2640 2 651
5953 2 971 2982
19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 43.2 16.2
19.7 28.3 19.0 4.4 2.9 0.3 43.1 15.9
20.0 20.5 19.3 4.2 2.7 0.3 43.0 15.7
19.6 29.0 19.4 4.0 2.6 0.3 43.1 15.7
18.8 29.2 19.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 43.7 15.9
18.0 28.8 20.4 3.9 2.5 0.3 45.0 18.4
17.1 28.1 20.9 4.0 2.5 0.3 46.5 17.1
16.0 27.3 21.1 4.1 2.7 0.3 48.0 17.9
15.0 26.3 21.0 4.4 2.8 0.4 49.6 18.9
14.1 25.1 20.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 50.9 19.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
popllalirmdmge per year (thousands). popdatm g W h rale (per cent) CNde bim rate (per 1,OW populalkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OW pcpulattlon) .. Net migrath rate (per 1.OW popdatkm) . Total fettilky (children per m n ) ........... Nel reproduction rale (per mman) ..........
............
52 3.00 49.8 18.5 -1.4 7.10 2.45
66 3.26 49.9 16.9 -0.5 7.10 2.54
78 3.28 48.3 15.2 -0.4 6.82 2.52
89 3.18 45.7 13.6 -0.4 6.34 2.42
100 3.07 43.1 12.1 -0.3 5.81 2.28
110 2.92 40.2 10.9 -0.3 5.22 2.11
119 2.73 37.2 9.8 -0.2 4.83 1.92
126 2.53 34.3 8.8 -0.2 4.13 1.75
133 2.36 31.8 8.1 -0.2 3.74 1.62
D. LOWVARIANT PopuWon (thouundo) Total ....................................................
....................................
Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percenw aged 65 of over .................. Percenlageaged80orovec. Percentage d women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1597 789
1840 910
808
930
2 123 1052 1071
2 441 1211 1230
2 797 1390 1 407
3 184 1584 1800
3 581 1 783 1 798
3969 1 978 1992
4 342 2 164 2 178
4 700 2 342 2358
19.6 27.9 18.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 43.2 16.2
19.1 28.5 19.2 4.5 2.9 0.3 43.4 16.1
18.4 20.7 19.8 4.4 2.8 0.3 44.2 16.4
17.6 28.2 20.5 4.2 2.8 0.3 45.4 16.9
17.0 27.5 20.8 4.2 2.7 0.3 46.6 17.4
18.1 26.9 20.8 4.3 2.8 0.3 47.9 18.1
14.9 26.3 20.7 4.6 2.9 0.4 49.3 19.0
13.4 25.3 20.9 4.9 3.1 0.4 51.2 20.1
12.1 23.6 21.1 5.3 3.4 0.4 53.1 21.6
11.0 21.8 20.8 5.9 3.8 0.5 54.7 23.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalion change per year (thousands). populatiar g n M h rale (per cant) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW p q x d a h ~.... ) Crude death rale (per 1,OW popu4atkm) .. Net mlgrath rale (per 1,OW population) . Total !artilii (ChiMren per woman) ........... Net reproaccth tale (per woman) ..........
49 2.84 48.0 18.3 -1.4 6.82 2.36
57 2.86 45.4 16.4 -0.5 8.35 2.27
63 2.79 42.9 14.7 -0.4 5.82 2.15
71 2.73 40.9 13.3 -0.4 5.34 2.04
77 2.59 38.2 12.0 -0.3 4.81 1.89
79 2.35 34.6 10.8 -0.3 4.22 1.70
78 2.06 30.6 9.8 -0.3 3.63 1.51
75 1.80 27.1 9.0 -0.2 3.13 1.33
71 1.58 24.4 8.4 -0.2 2.74 1.18
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populnllon(thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2wo
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 597 789
1 853 917 937 16.0
2 178 1079 1098 15.8
2 580 1281 1299 15.8
3 077 1530 1547 15.4
3 693 1840 1854 15.2
4 457 2223 2234 15.1
5 406 2699 2707 15.0
6 589 3292 3297 14.9
8 065 4032 4033 14.8
808 16.2
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population grwvvl rate (per cent) ............
Crude birth rate (per 1.OW pOpl(ati0n) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) ..
2.98 49.6 18.4
3.23 49.5 16.8
3.39 49.5 15.3
3.53 49.5 14.0
3.65 49.3 12.6
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospfxts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.76 49.1 11.4
3.86 49.0 10.3
3.96 48.8 9.2
4.04 48.7 8.3
259
GUYANA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .............................. .................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... .. .............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
GUYANA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
0 -0.05 18.8 8.4 -10.8 2.58 1.17
.1 .0.18 17.7 8.6 -10.9 2.62 1.20
.1 -0.08 19.0 8.9 -11.0 2.63 1.22
1 .0.09 19.4 9.3 -11.0 2.54 1.19
.
.2 .0.23 18.6 9.8 -11.1 2.47 1.16
.4 -0.53 16.7 10.7 -11.3 2.40 1.13
.6 .0.82 14.9 11.5 -11.7 2.35 1.11
.7 .1.00 14.5 12.2 -12.2 2.35 1.11
.7 .1.07 14.9 12.7 -12.9 2.35 1.12
-10 .1.64 10.0 12.6 -13.8 1.40 0.66
-12 .2.20 7.6 14.4 -15.2 1.35 0.64
13 .2.78 6.0 16.5 -17.2 1.35 0.64
13 .3.38 5.3 19.0 -20.0 1.35 0.64
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.3 .0.40 15.3 8.3 -10.9 2.08 0.95
.5 .0.71 12.7 8.6 -11.2 1.82 0.84
.6 -0.83 12.5 9.1 -11.7
.6 .0.92 12.9 9.9 -12.2 1.54 0.72
.
l 63 0.75
- 7 .1.18 12.1 11.0 -12.8 1.47 0.69
.
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) . ............................. Total .................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
739 376 364 26.0
734 389 345 28.6
724 382 342 29.4
717 376 341 29.7
711 370 341 30.8
699 361 339 32.6
678 347 331 34.6
649 330 320 36.6
617 311 306 38.0
583 292 291 38.1
.0.15 17.8 8.4
-0.28 16.7 8.6
-0.19 18.2 8.9
.0.17 18.9 9.4
-0.32 18.1 10.0
.0.61 16.4 10.9
.0.87 15.1 11.8
.1.04 14.9 12.6
.1.13 15.1 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
HAITI A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at biith (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
9296 4 601 4 695 98.0
10060 4 980 5 080 98.0
10830 5 361 5 469 98.0
11584 5 734 5 850 98.0
12305 6 089 6 215 98.0
12994 6 427 6 567 97.9
13652 6 747 6 905 97.7
14262 7 042 7 220 97.5
14809 7 304 7 505 97.3
13.3 24.6 21.9 6.3 4.1 0.5 14.9 7.1 6.9 13.1 50.4 20.3
12.6 23.4 20.9 6.4 4.4 0.6 14.1 6.8 6.5 12.4 51.6 21.6 363
11.9 22.2 20.0 6.9 4.6 0.7 13.5 6.4 6.3 11.8 52.5 22.9 390
11.0 21.3 19.3 7.6 5.0 0.8 12.9 6.2 6.0 11.5 53.2 24.2 417
10.2 20.2 18.6 8.4 5.6 0.9 12.2 6.0 5.8 11.0 53.9 25.5 443
9.6 19.0 18.1 9.3 6.3 1 .0 11.4 5.7 5.6 10.8 53.9 27.0 468
9.0 17.8 17.5 10.3 7.2 1.3 10.7 5.3 5.3 10.4 52.9 28.5 492
8.4 16.9 16.6 11.8 8.0 1.6 10.1 5.1 5.0 10.0 51.6 30.1 514
7.9 16.0 15.8 14.1 9.4 1 .9 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.5 50.5 31.7 534
335
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
1 53 270 89 - 28 1.58 27.9 9.2 .2.9 3.54 1.48 49 72
154 272 90 - 28 1.48 26.0 8.6 -2.7 3.19 1.36
59.1 62.8 60.9
44 64
151 270 91 . 28 1.35 24.1 8.1 .2.5 2.91 1.26 39 61
144 265 93 - 28 1.21 22.2 7.8 -2.3 2.69 1.18 35 59
138 259 93 . 28 1.09 20.5 7.4 .2.2 2.52 1.12 31 48
132 254 94 - 28 0.99 19.0 7.1 .2.1 2.38 1.07 26 40
122 247 97 . 28 0.88 17.7 7.0 -2.0 2.26 1.03 23 35
109 240 103 - 28 0.75 16.5 7.1 -l .9 2.16 0.99 20 31
93 232 110 . 28 0.62 15.4 7.3 .1.9 2.07 0.96 17 30
60.8 64.7 62.7
62.4 66.4 64.4
63.9 68.1 66.0
65.7 70.2 67.9
67.6 72.4 70.0
69.2 74.1 71.7
70.6 75.7 73.1
71.8 76.6 74.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 70 1.75 29.7 9.3 -2.9 3.80 1.59
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
136 1.41 26.2 9.2 -2.9 3.30 1.38
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) ........................ Total .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
9 296 4 601 4 695 20.3
10 215 5 058 5 157 21.2
1 1 294 5 597 5 697 21.8
12 502 6 201 6 301 22.0
13 816 6 859 6 957 22.1
15 260 7 581 7 679 22.3
16 880 6 391 8 489 22.7
18 712 9 308 9 404 23.1
20 774 10 342 10 432 23.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20204025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.89 31.1 9.4
2.01 31.4 8.8
2.03 30.9 8.2
2.00 29.8 7.7
1.99 28.9 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.02 28.5 6.6
2.06 26.4 6.2
2.09 28.3 6.0
2.10 28.1 5.9
HONDURAS Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
HONDURAS
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
6834 3393 3 441
7604 3781 3 823
8479 4219 4 260
9381 4672 4 710
10257 5110 5 147
11106 5534 5 572
11929 5944 5 985
12719 6337 6 381
13499 6726 6 773
13.8 26.2 21.1 5.8 4.1 0.8 49.6 19.4
13.6 24.0 21.3 6.1 4.3 0.9 51.2 20.6
13.1 22.8 20.5 6.6 4.5 1.0 51.9 21.8
12.3 22.4 19.0 7.2 4.9 1.1 51.7 23.0
11.2 21.7 18.5 7.9 5.5 1.1 52.0 24.2
10.4 20.5 18.6 8.6 6.1 1.2 52.2 25.4
9.7 19.0 18.3 9.8 6.9 1.5 52.1 26.8
9.1 17.9 17.6 11.2 7.8 1.8 51.4 28.3
8.7 16.9 16.5 12.8 8.9 2.0 50.3 29.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2U25 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
154 2.14 29.8 5.7 -2.8 3.56 1.62
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
6 834 3 393 3 441
7 463 3 709 3 754
6 080 4 016 4 064
8 625 4 286 4 339
9 104 4 522 4 582
9 496 4 713 4 784
9 787 4 852 4 935
9 972 4 937 5 035
10 081 4 984 5 097
13.8 26.2 21.1 5.8 4.1 0.8 49.6 19.4
12.0 24.4 21.7 6.2 4.3 0.9 52.1 21.0
10.5 22.2 21.5 6.9 4.7 1.1 54.4 23.0
9.2 19.8 20.7 7.8 5.3 1.2 56.1 25.2
8.2 17.7 19.3 8.9 6.2 1.3 56.9 27.5
7.2 16.0 17.6 10.3 7.1 1.5 56.8 30.0
6.3 14.4 16.1 12.0 8.4 1.8 55.7 32.6
5.4 12.8 14.9 14.2 9.9 2.2 54.1 35.4
4.9 11.2 13.7 17.1 11.9 2.7 51.6 38.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
126 1.76 26.0 5.6 -2.8 3.06 1.40
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
6834 3393 3 441 19.4
7650 3804 3 846 20.4
8644 4303 4 341 21.3
9747 4858 4 889 22.0
10938 5457 5 481 22.3
12232 6108 6 124 22.6
13662 6828 6 634 23.0
15250 7629 7 622 23.5
17010 8517 8 493 23.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.26 31.0 5.7
2.44 31.1 5.5
2.40 30.4 5.3
2.31 29.1 5.1
2.24 26.2 5.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.21 27.8 5.0
2.20 27.6 4.9
2.18 27.4 4.9
2.16 27.1 5.0
HUNGARY A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
9338 4490 4 848 92.6
9825 4745 5 080 93.4
9984 4816 5 168 93.2
10153 4904 5 249 93.4
10337 5011 5 326 94.1
8.9 16.2 16.6 11.3 7.3 0.8 52.5 29.9 100
9.5 16.1 15.2 12.4 8.2 0.9 50.0 30.8 106
8.0 17.3 14.4 14.0 9.0 1.1 48.1 32.1 107
6.3 16.9 15.3 15.6 10.3 1.3 47.7 33.4 109
6.9 13.9 16.7 17.2 11.6 1.5 50.3 34.1 111
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertiiity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 . W Olive births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................ ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuiatton denslty (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgmwlhrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................ ............ Both sexes combined ............................
. 29 93 132 10 .0.29 9.3 13.2 1 .0 1.28 0.61 7 8
. 31 89 131 10 .0.32 9.0 13.2 1 .0 1.32 0.63 6 8
-33 87 129 10 .0.34 9.0 13.3 1.0 1.39 0.66 6 8
-35 84 129 10 .0.36 8.9 13.5 1 .0 1.46 0.70 6 7
. 38 82 130 10 .0.40 8.7 13.8 1.1 1.53 0.73 5
69.2 77.4 73.3
70.4 78.3 74.4
71.5 79.1 75.3
72.5 79.8 76.2
. 41
7
80 131 10 .0.45 8.7 14.3 1.1 1.60 0.77 5 6
. 42 79 131 10 .0.47 8.9 14.7 1.1 1.67 0.80 5 6
. 40 80 130 10 .0.46 9.2 14.9 1.1 1.74 0.83 4 6
. 37 81 129 10 .0.44 9.5 15.0 1.2 1 .81 0.87 4 6
73.3 80.5 77.0
74.1 81 .l 77.7
74.9 81.7 78.4
75.6 82.3 79.0
76.3 82.8 79.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
HUNGARY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age dlslributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populalion) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
10 086 4 805 5281
10 029 4 778 5251
10 005 4 772 5233
9 994 4 777 5217
9 962 4 771 5191
9 912 4 757 5155
9 864 4 745 5119
9 852 4 754 5098
4.7 11.0 12.8 20.8 15.2 3.2 46.4 38.7
5.5 9.8 12.4 22.0 16.0 3.7 45.5 39.5
5.8 10.3 11.2 24.0 17.0 3.9 44.8 40.6
5.9 11.3 10.0 25.0 18.7 4.0 43.1 42.0
5.6 11.7 10.5 24.9 19.7 4.4 41.3 43.0
5.5 11.6 11.5 25.6 19.5 5.0 39.2 43.5
5.6 11.3 12.0 27.2 20.1 5.9 38.9 43.7
6.0 11.2 11.8 29.1 21.4 6.2 38.5 43.5
.11 .0.11 11.0 13.1 l .0 l .53 0.73
.5 -0.05 11.6 13.1 1 .0 1.72 0.82
.2 -0.02 11.8 13.0 1 .0 1 .89 0.90
-6 -0.06 11.3 12.9 1 .0 1 .96 0.94
-10 -0.10 11.0 13.1 1 .0 2.03 0.97
-10 .0.10 11.3 13.3 l .0 2.10 1 .01
.2 .0.02 12.1 13.3 1 .0 2.17 1 .04
7 0.07 13.0 13.2 1 .0 2.24 1.08
. 68 .0.81 6.2 15.5 1.2 1.10 0.53
. 72 .0.89. 6.0 16.2 1.2 1.17 0.56
15 0.15 13.5 13.0 l .0 2.31 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Age dlstrlbutfon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageol women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 47 .0.47 7.5 13.2 1 .0 1.03 0.49
. 58 -0.60 6.4 13.4 1 .0 0.92 0.44
. 63 .0.67 5.9 13.7 1.1 0.89 0.42
. 63 .0.69 6.t 14.2 1.1 0.96 0.46
. 65 .0.74 6.2 14.7 1.1 1.03 0.49
. 75 .0.97 5.8 16.8 1.3 1.24 0.59
. 75 .1.03 5.8 17.4 1.4 1.31 0.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10 086 4 805 5 281 38.7
9 943 4 733 5 210 39.7
9 774 4 653 5 121 41.4
9 575 4 561 5 014 43.2
9 346 4 455 4 892 45.2
9 085 4 332 4 753 46.6
8 795 4 195 4 600 47.9
8 465 4 051 4 434 49.2
8 162 3 902 4 260 50.4
7 827 3 745 4 082 51.2
.0.29 9.3 13.2
.0.34 8.8 13.2
-0.41 8.2 13.4
-0.48 7.7 13.6
.0.57 7.3 14.0
.0.65 7.0 14.6
.0.72 6.8 15.2
-0.78 6.6 15.6
.0.84 6.4 16.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ICELAND
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live b~rths) Under-live mortality (per 1.000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ICELAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................... . . . ................ Females ......................... . . ................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.01 16.0 6.2 0.3 2.30 1 .1 1
..
3 1.00 16.3 6.5 0.2 2.45 1.18
3 0.87 15.2 6.7 0.2 2.37 1.14
3 0.77 14.5 7.0 0.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.67 13.9 7.4 0.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.60 13.8 7.8 0.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.59 14.1 8.4 0.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.57 14.4 8.8 0.1 2.35 1.13
2 0.53 14.2 9.1 0.1 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) .......................... Total ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.67 12.6 6.3 0.3 1.80 0.87
2 0.49 11.3 6.6 0.2 1.65 0.80
1
0.24 9.3 7.1 0.2 1.37 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ....................... . ..................... Median age (years) .................................
296 148 147 34.2
308 155 153 35.7
319 161 158 37.1
329 1 66 163 38.3
339 171 168 39.5
347 175 172 40.6
353 178 175 41.7
358 180 178 42.6
361 182 180 43.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.80 13.9 F.2
0.71 13.5 6.6
0.65 13.2 6.9
0.57 12.8 7.3
0.47 12.3 7.7
0.36 11.8 8.3
0.26 11.5 9.0
0.19 11.4 9.7
0.13 11.3 10.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
363 183 181 43.6
INDIA
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14............ Percentage aged 15-24.......... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
445981 232364 213617 108.8
493888 257673 236194 109.1
549 312 286 787 262 525 109.2
613 787 320 356 293411 109.2
688 575 359 016 329560 108.9
771 121 401 611 369 510 108.7
880 195 447 541 412 655 108.5
16.3 24.1 17.9 5.2 3.0 0.3 47.7 20.2 136
16.0 25.5 17.3 5.3 3.2 0.3 46.7 19.6 150
15.5 25.3 18.8 5.5 3.3 0.3 47.2 19.3 167
15.2 24.9 19.7 5.6 3.4 0.3 47.8 19.7 187
14.9 24.5 19.8 5.8 3.6 0.3 48.2 20.1 209
14.5 24.2 19.3 6.0 3.7 0.4 48.5 20.6 235
13.9 23.9 19.1 6.3 3.9 0.4 48.9 21.2 262
1950
1955
1960
371 857 193 108 178 748 108.0
405529 210 940 194 590 108.4
14.4 23.1 19.4 5.4 3.1 0.4 50.0 21.3 113
16.4 22.4 18.8 5.1 3.1 0.3 49.3 20.7 123
1995
2O@J
954282 1048235 496084 543085 458198 503150 108.3 107.9 13.3 23.3 19.1 6.6 4.2 0.5 49.9 21.8 290
12.2 22.8 19.2 7.1 4.6 0.6 51.O 22.7 318
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cnide beath rate (per 1 ,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortaiity rate (per 1 ï i e biilhs) Llfe expectancy at blrth (yeers) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
6 735 16 840 10 105 1.73 43.3 28.0 5.91 1.63 168
17 994 9903 1.90 42.3 23.3 5.90 1.72 153
9 577 19 108 9 513 2.04 40.7 20.2 5.82 1.82 140
1 1 089 20 241 9083 2.13 38.8 17.4 5.61 1 .ô7 128
12 891 21 699 8 704 2.22 37.3 15.1 1.86 117
2.30 36.0 13.0 4.89 1.63 104
38.1 36.6 37.4
41.1 39.3 40.2
44.6 42.6 43.6
48.1 46.2 47.2
51.4 50.0 50.7
8080
14 962 23 452 8438
5.26
18 509 25 04â 8 472 2.28 34.3 11.6 4.50 1.74
17 815 28 524 8834
18 817 27 890 8 881 2.08 30.7 9.8 3.86 1 .56 77
18 391 27 728 9 o57 1.84 27.7 9.1 3.46 1.42
17 ô34 27 408 9505 1.62 25.1 8.7 3.11 1.30
69
62
61.7 64.2 82.9
95
2.19 32.5 10.6 4.15 1 .85 86
54.6 53.9 54.2
56.8 56.6 56.6
58.5 58.8 58.8
59.9 60.8 60.2
61.O 62.7 61.ô
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Population (thousands)
............... 1134403 1220182 1302535 1379198 1447499 1505748 1554182 1598719 1631920 1658270 Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ... Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 1517 Pßrcentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
587 618 546 785 107.5
630 588 589 594 107.0
671 624 630 911 106.5
709 543 869 ô55 106.0
742 960 704 538 105.5
771 O28 734 720 104.9
793 955 760 227 104.4
813 853 782 867 104.0
830 la3 801 817 103.5
841 912 816 358 103.1
11.2 21.8 19.3 7.5 5.0 0.7 13.1 6.4 6.1 11.4 51.8
10.4 20.3 19.3
9.6 19.1 18.7 9.0 5.8 0.9 11.5 5.7 5.7 11.3 53.2 26.5
8.8 17.9 17.8 10.2 6.7 1.1 10.8 5.4 5.4 10.7 53.4 28.1 420
8.0 16.8 17.0 11.5 7.7 1.2 10.0 5.1
7.3 15.6 16.3 12.9 8.8 1.4 9.3 4.8 4.9 9.8 53.0 31.7 458
6.7 14.4 15.5 14.4 10.0 1.8 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.4 52.2 33.8 473
6.5 13.3 14.6 18.2 11.3 2.2 7.9 4.1 4.3 8.8 50.9 35.3
6.2 12.6 13.6 18.1 12.8 2.7 7.6 3.8 3.9 8.2 49.0 37.0 490
5.9 12.3 12.7 20.2 14.5 3.1 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.7 47.1 38.6
8.0
5.3 0.8
12.2 6.1 6.1 11.4 52.7 25.0 371
23.8
345
396
5.1 10.2 53.3 29.9 440
4e6
504
20052010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030.2035 20352040 2@40-204!5 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1.o00population) .... Cnide death rate (per 1 ,o00population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,o00population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,ooOlive births) Under-five mortality (per 1 ,o00live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
270
17 156 27 O77 9 671 - 250 1.46 23.0 8.2 -0.2 2.81 1.20 55 79 63.2 86.4 64.7
16 471 9 790 240 1.31 21.0 7.8 -0.2 2.54 1.11 49 69
15 333 25 598 10 025 - 240 1.14 19.1 7.5 -0.2 2.32 1 .a3 43 60
13 860 24 317 10 417 - 240 0.97 17.2 7.4 -0.2 2.13 0.98 39 53
65.0 68.5 66.6
66.6 70.4 68.4
72.1 70.0
26500
-
68.0
11 850 22 852 10 962 - 240 0.79 15.5 7.4 -0.2 1.97 0.89 35 47
9 687 21 838 11 711 - 240 0.63 14.1 7.7 -0.2 1.86 0.85 32 42
8 507 21 382 12 635 - 240 0.54 13.6 8.0 -0.2 1.85 0.85 28 37
69.3 73.8 71.4
70.5 74.9 72.6
71.5 76.0 73.7
7040 13 885 - 240 0.44 13.0 8.5 -0.1 1.85 0.85 25 33
5 270 20234 14 724 - 240 0.32 12.3 9.0 -0.1 1 .85 0.86 23 30
72.5 77.0 74.7
73.4 77.9 75.8
20945
Uniîed Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ConpfeiIenSive Tables
INDIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005 Population (thousands) Total ................................................. 1 134 403 Males .................................................. 587 618 Females ............................................... 546 785 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 11.2 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 21 8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.0 .................. Percentage aged 80 or over 0.7 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 51.8 23.8 Median age (years) .................................
.
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 231 456 636 460 594 997
1 333 302 687 649 645 652
1 435 854 739 042 696 812
1 531 712 786 787 744 925
1 621 515 831 243 790 273
1 707 966 873 893 834 073
1 795 760 917 244 878 516
1 882 092 959 963 922 129
11.2 20.2 19.1 7.9 5.3 0.8 52.2 24.8
10.8 19.5 18.3 8.8 5.7 0.9 52.0 25.8
10.3 19.3 17.1 9.8 6.4 1.1 51.3 27.0
9.4 18.8 16.8 10.9 7.3 1.2 51.2 28.1
8.7 17.8 17.0 12.0 8.2 1.3 51.1 29.3
8.4 16.5 16.8 13.1 9.1 1.7 50.8 30.4
8.3 15.7 16.0 14.4 10.1 2.0 49.9 31.5
8.2 15.4 14.9 15.7 11.1 2.3 48.6 32.6
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
19 41 1 1.64 24.9 8.3 -0.2 3.06 1.31
20 369 1.59 23.9 7.8 -0.2 2.94 1.28
20 510 1.48 22.5 7.5 -0.2 2.82 1.25
19 172 1.29 20.3 7.2 -0.2 2.63 1.18
17 961 1.14 18.7 7.2 -0.2 2.47 1.12
17 290 1 04 17.8 7.3 -0.1 2.36 1.08
17 559 1.00 17.6 7.5 -0.1 2.35 1.08
17 266 0.94 17.2 7.7 .0.1 2.35 1.09
16 344 0.85 16.5 7.9 -0.1 2.35 1.09
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 1 134 403 Males ................................................... 587 618 Females .......................................... 546 785 Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 11.2 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 21.8 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.3 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 7.5 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.0 Percentageaged 80 or over .................. 0.7 Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... 51.8 Median age (years) ................................. 23.8
1 208 908 624 716 584 192
1 271 769 655 599 616 170
1 322 543 680 044 642 498
1 363 558 699 275 664 283
1 391 933 711 828 680 105
1 406 754 717 319 689 435
1 41 1 605 717 691 693 914
1 406 071 712 864 693 208
9.5 20.5 19.4 8.1 5.4 0.8 53.2 25.3
8.3 18.7 19.2 9.3 5.9 1.0 54.4 27.2
7.2 16.4 18.6 10.6 7.0 1.1 55.6 29.3
6.5 14.5 17.2 12.2 8.2 1.3 55.8 31.6
5.7 13.0 15.4 13.9 9.6 1.6 55.1 34.1
5.0 11.8 13.9 16.0 11.1 2.0 53.7 36.6
4.6 10.5 12.8 18.3 12.8 2.5 51.6 39.2
4.3 9.5 11.7 21 0 14.9 3.1 48.9 41.7
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
14 901 1.27 21.1 8.1 -0.2 2.56 1.09
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 1 134 403 Total ............................................ Males ................................................ 587 618 Females ............................................... 546 785 Median age (years) ................................. 23.8
1 233 922 1 344 018 637 744 693 229 596 178 650 789 24.7 25.6
1 461 501 1 583 243 1 710 628 877 573 752 391 813 592 833 055 709 110 769 651 26.4 27.1 27.5
1 847 264 946 276 900 968 27.6
1 994 529 2 151 408 2 317 324 1 020 470 1 099 745 1 183 793 974 058 1 051 664 1 133 530 28.1 28.4 28.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.68 25.3 8.3
1.71 25.2 7.9
1.68 24.4 7.5
1.60 23.4 7.2
1.55 22.7 7.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
1.54 22.6 7.1
1.53 22.5 7.1
1.51 22.3 7.1
1.49 22.0 7.1
INDONESIA
A ESTiMAlES indicator Population (thouMnda) Total ....................................................
Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlatributlon Percentage aged O 4 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over n aged 15-49 ......... Percentage of m Population density (populationper sq krn)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2@X
79538
06448 42 983 43483 93.9
95 931 47 797 48 134 99.3
to7 190
39 455 40083 93.4
53 510 53680 99.7
120 532 60 278 60 255 100.0
135383 67763 67600 100.3
151 108 75744 75364 100.5
167351 63884 83467 100.5
182847 91631 91 216 100.5
197411 98061 98530 100.4
211693 105895 105793 100.1
14.3 24.8 20.0 6.2 4.0 0.3 47.9 20.0 42
15.6 23.3 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.3 49.2 20.2 45
16.7 23.3 19.3 5.2 3.4 0.3 48.7 20.0 50
16.7 25.0 17.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 47.4 19.5 56
18.5 25.9 17.6 5.2 3.1 0.3 46.8 18.9 63
15.7 26.0 19.0 5.4 3.3 0.3 47.4 18.9 71
14.7 25.8 20.0 5.4 3.4 0.3 48.1 19.4 79
13.6 24.9 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.3 49.3 20.3 66
12.1 23.8 20.7 6.2 3.8 0.4 50.9 21.7 96
10.9 22.1 20.6 6.9 4.2 0.5 52.7 23.2 104
10.1 20.2 20.1 7.7 4.9 0.5 54.6 24.8 111
19501955 1955-1980 1 w 1 9 6 5 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 19801965 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 -2005 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,o00population) .... Cfudedeath rate (per 1 ,o00population) .. Total fertility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rap (per woman) .......... Infant mo
1382 3 547 2 163 1.67 42.7 26.1 5.49 1.56 201
1 897 4 107 2206 2.08 45.0 24.2 5.67 1.70 163
2 252 4 470 2205 2.22 44.0 21.7 5.62 1.78 166
2668 4795 2 119 2.35 42.1 18.6 5.57 1 .a6 144
2 970 5009 2 037 2.32 39.1 15.9 5.30 1 .90 126
3 145 5 075 1915 2.20 35.4 13.4 4.73 1.79 lo6
3 249 5 057 1 794 2.04 31.8 11.3 4.11 1.65
36.9 36.1 37.5
39.2 40.7 39.9
41.7 43.4 42.5
45.0 47.0
46.0 50.5 49.2
48.0
89
3099 4 797 1616 1.77 27.4 9.2 3.40 1.43 70
2 913 4 825 1 567 1.53 24.3 8.2 2.90 1.26 58
2656 4 499 1463 1.40 22.0 7.2 2.55 1.14 45
2 874 4 523 1 449 1.31 20.7 6.6 2.36 1 .o9 34
51.5 54.0 52.7
54.5 58.0 56.2
58.5 62.0 80.1
61.1 64.5 62.7
64.2 67.9 66.0
06.7 70.5
2WO
2ws
2040
2045
2050
88.6
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouMnda) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4...... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or m r Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in schod a m 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of wo Median age (years Population density (population pef sq krn)
2005
201o
2015
2020
2025
226063 112 952 113 1 1 1 99.9
239600 119 584 120 015 99.6
251 567 125 405 126 162 99.4
261 868 130 424 131 444 99.2
271 227 134911 136316 99.0
279 666 138 892 140 774 90.7
206 767 142 154 144 613 98.3
292 o61 144 469 147 592 97.9
295398 145 851 149 547 97.5
296885 146 371 150513 97.2
9.6 18.8 19.0 6.3 5.5 0.6 11.2 5.6 5.7 11.4 55.4 26.5 119
8.8 17.8 17.6 8.9 6.1 0.8 10.6 5.3 5.3 10.6 55.2 28.2 126
8.0 16.9 16.6 10.0 6.6 0.9 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 54.6 30.1 132
7.2 15.7 16.1 11.7 7.5 1.1 9.3 4.8 4.9 9.6 53.8 32.0 137
6.9 14.3 15.6 13.7 9.0 1.3 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.4 52.3 33.8 142
6.7 13.4 14.5 16.0 10.7 1.5 6.0 4.1 4.2 8.8 50.3 35.4 147
6.4 12.9 13.4 18.4 12.7 1.9 7.8 3.9 3.9 8.1 48.0 37.0 151
6.2 12.7 12.7 20.7 14.7 2.5 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.6 46.0 36.4 153
5.9 12.3 12.5 22.9 16.7 3.2 7.3 3.7 3.8 7.5 44.6 39.6 155
5.6 11.8 12.3 24.8 18.6 4.0 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.4 43.4 41.1 156
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2û2û-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 Population change per year (thousanbe). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population grwvth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,o00population) .... Cnide death rate (per 1,o00population) .. Ne1 migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infânt mortality rate (per 1 ,o00live births) Under-five mO
272
2 707 4360 1 472 - 180 1.16 16.7 6.3 -0.8 2.18 1 .o2 27 32
2393 4 118 1544 - 180 0.93 16.6 6.3 -0.7 2.01 0.95 21 25
2080 3 a57 1637 - 180 0.80 15.0 6.4 -0.6 1.88 0.89 18 20
1 872 3 795 1 763 - 160 0.70 14.2 6.6 -0.6 1.85 0.66 15 17
68.7 72.7 70.7
70.2 74.3 72.2
71.4 75.7 73.6
72.5 76.9 74.7
0.61 13.7 7.0 -0.6 1.85 0.89 13 15
1 420 3 741 2 161 - 160 0.50 13.2 7.6 -0.6 1 .85 0.69 12 13
1059 3639 2 421 - 160 0.37 12.6 8.4 -0.6 1.65 0.69 10 11
a67 3500 2 672 - 160 0.23 11.9 9.1 -0.5 1.85 0.89 9 10
297 3380 2 923 - 180 0.10 11.4 9.9 -0.5 1 .65 0.89 9 10
73.5 77.9 75.7
74.3 78.7 76.5
75.0 79.5 77.2
75.7 80.2 78.0
76.4 80.8 78.6
1688 3 763 1936
- 160
United Nations Deparbilent of Economic and Coaal AffairsiPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 ßevision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
INDONESIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) .......................... Total .................. . Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 193 1.37 20.8 6.4 .0.8 2.43 1 .14
3 191 1.28 19.7 6.3 -0.7 2.41 1.14
3 066 1.15 18.4 6.2 .0.6 2.38 1.13
2 895 1.03 17.2 6.4 -0.6 2.35 1.12
2 798 0.95 16.7 6.6 -0.5 2.35 1.12
2 734 0.89 16.5 7.1 -0.5 2.35 1.13
2 647 0.82 16.3 7.6 -0.5 2.35 1.13
2 494 0.75 16.0 8.1 -0.5 2.35 1.13
2 277 0.66 15.5 8.5 .0.5 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 226 063 Males ................................................... 112952 Females .............................................. 113111 Age dlstrlbutlon 9.6 Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 18.8 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 19.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 8.3 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 5.5 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 55.4 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5
237 173 118347 118826
245 153 122135 123019
250 428 124590 125838
254 708 126485 128222
257 822 127747 130075
259 038 128002 131036
257 717 126934 130783
253 841 124626 129214
7.9 18.0 17.8 9.0 6.1 0.8 55.8 28.5
6.6 16.4 17.1 10.3 6.8 1 .0 56.0 30.9
5.5 13.8 16.9 12.2 7.9 1.2 56.2 33.4
5.3 11.7 15.6 14.6 9.6 1.4 54.7 35.8
5.2 10.6 13.3 17.4 11.6 1.7 52.1 38.1
4.8 10.3 11.4 20.3 14.0 2.1 48.7 40.4
4.4 10.0 10.5 23.5 16.6 2.9 45.8 42.6
4.0 9.4 10.4 26.7 19.4 3.7 43.4 44.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 222 0.96 16.7 6.3 -0.8 1.93 0.90
1 596 0.66 13.7 6.3 -0.7 1.61 0.76
1 055 0.43 11.4 6.5 -0.6 1.38 0.66
856 0.34 10.9 6.9 -0.6 1.35 0.64
623 0.24 10.5 7.5 -0.6 1.35 0.65
243 0.09 9.8 8.3 .0.6 1.35 0.65
-264 -0.10 8.9 9.3 .0.6 1.35 0.65
-775 .0.30 7.9 10.4 -0.6 1.35 0.65
-1214 -0.48 7.3 11.5 .0.6 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) 226 063 Total ........................................... Males ................................................ 112952 Females ............................ . .............. 113111 Median age (years) ................................. 26.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.32 20.3 6.3
241 460 120533 120927 28.0
256 987
128168 128819 29.5
272 283 135735 136548 30.7
287 060 142988 144071 31.8
301 335 149950 151385 32.8
315 112 156624 158488 33.5
328 277 162965 165311 34.1
340.768 169029 171739 34.7
1.25 19.5 6.3
1.16 18.4 6.3
1.06 17.5 6.4
0.97 16.9 6.7
0.89 16.5 7.1
0.82 16.3 7.6
0.75 16.0 8.1
0.68 15.7 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
352 488 174784 177704 35.2
IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF) A ESTIMATES Indicator PopuWOn (thOuaMd0) Total .................................................... Males ............................ Femeles ................. Sex ratio (meles per 1 ........... Ago dl.blbutkn Percentageaged 0-4
.....
Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 (w over .................. Percentage aged 65 or m r ..... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wmen aged 1549 ......... Medan age (years) Pqxdath densty (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
18 913 8 588 8327 103.1
19 090 9 698 9392 103.3
21 704 1 1 039 10665 103.5
24 886 12 674 12211 103.8
28 805 14 697 14108 104.2
33 344 17 040 16303 104.5
39 330 20 118 19212 104.7
48 418
56 674 29 042 27632 105.1
62 199 31 691 30508 103.9
66 125 33 598 32527 103.3
18.0 22.4 17.3 8.3 5.3 0.5 45.6 21.1 10
17.5 24.4 18.8 7.2 4.8 0.5 44.1 19.6 12
17.4 26.4 16.9 6.5 4.2 0.4 432 18.4 13
17.8 26.9 18.1 0.1 3.8 0.4 43.6 17.7 15
17.7 26.8 19.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 44.1 17.6 17
17.3 27.2 19.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 17.0 20
18.0 28.7 19.3 5.4 3.3 0.3 44.4 17.5 24
16.7 28.0 18.6 5.7 3.5 0.3 45.0 17.7 34
13.4 29.0 19.5 6.2 4.1 0.3 47.1 18.4 38
9.0 26.1 23.8 6.4 4.5 0.4 53.3 20.7 40
24 847 23571 105.4 18.7 28.0
19.1 5.5 3.3 0.3 44.5 17.6 29
19W1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1 W l W 5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20W 2000-2005 Population change per year (mwean4s) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousanbs)................... Populationgr& rate (per cent) ............ Crude krth rate (per 1,000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant moctali rate (per 1,000Uve births) L k exp.ctmcy at blrlh (-0) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes CMnMned ............................
1 651 2046 437 3.15 38.9 8.3 5.62 2.41 69
1105 1 821 398 1.86 30.6 6.7 4.33 1.91 55
785 1 253 361 1.22 19.5 5.6 2.53 1.15 44
659 1 285 376 0.97 19.0 5.5 2.12 0.98 37
58.8 60.7 59.6
62.2 64.3 63.0
64.7 67.1 63.7
66.9 69.3 68.0
68.0 71.O 69.5
435 845 410 2.42 47.0 22.8 7.00 2.24 180
523 934 411 2.57 45.8 20.2 7.00 2.34 169
638 1 057 419 2.74 45.4 18.0 7.00 2.43 154
784 1198 413 2.93 44.6 15.4 0.80 2.48 132
908 1 321 410 2.93 42.5 13.2 6.40 2.43 115
1197 1 590 427 3.30 43.7 11.7 6.50 2.58 100
1818 1995 470 4.16 45.5 10.7 8.83 2.72
44.9 44.9 44.9
47.2 47.2 47.2
49.3 49.3 49.3
52.6 52.4 52.5
55.4 55.1 55.2
57.5 58.1 57.7
88
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Populallon (thourndm) Total ....................................................
............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Agn dlswlkrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. ... Pmentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage a ~ & 65 or cwr .................. Percentageaged 80 or ovfn .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23. Percentageofmaged15-49 Median age (years) ................................. popllation density (POpJation per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
69 421 35200 34 221 102.9
74 270 37 590 36880 102.5
79 379 40 122 39 258 102.2
84 244
88 027 44 375 43.052 101.7
91 155 45 888 45 269 101.4
94 062 47 272 46 790 101.0
96 743
100.6
98 881 49 495 49 386 100.2
100 174
42 526 41 718 101.9
8.6 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.0 11.1 7.3 7.6 15.3 58.0 23.4 42
9.5 15.8 22.5 6.8 4.5 0.7 9.3 4.8 0.2 14.0
9.3 16.3 17.1 7.8 4.9 0.7 10.1 4.4 4.0 10.9 57.7 28.3 48
8.2 17.0 13.7 9.2 5.8 0.7 10.4 4.9 4.4 7.8 58.0 30.8 51
8.9 18.2 14.8 10.9 7.1 0.8 9.7 5.0 4.9 8.5 55.7 33.4 53
6.2 14.2 15.7 12.0 8.5 1.1 8.3 4.6 4.6 9.4 54.4 35.8
6.2 12.4 15.1 14.5 9.9 1.5 7.3 3.9 4.3 9.3 50.9 37.3 57
6.3 11.9 13.3 17.4 11.4 1 .9 7.2 3.5 3.6 8.2 46.7 38.2 59
0.1 12.1 11.8 21.7 14.0 2.4 7.3 3.5 3.4 7.1 43.4 39.2 60
5.7 12.1 11.5 25.6 17.8 2.9 7.3 3.6 3.5 6.8 42.9 40.6 61
59.8
25.9 45
55
48 524 48 219
50032 50 142 99.8
20052010 2010.2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050
.
poprlationchange per year (Mauranbs) Births per year (thousanbe)..................... Death per year (Ihoumxk)................... Net migrationper year (husandn) ......... Populationgrmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Net migratm rate (per 1,000population) Total fertnity (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wwnan) .......... Infant mortality rate @er 1,000live births) under-ftve mortelty (per 1,000Hve birMs) Llfe al blrlh (yeum) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
._.. .
274
971 1462 391 - 100 1.35 20.3 5.4 -1.4 2.04 0.95 31 35 09.4 72.6 71.0
1 021 1526 405 100 1.33 19.9 5.3 -1.3 1.97
973 1416 423 -20 1.19 17.3 5.2 -0.2
25 29
0.90 21 24
14.3 5.3 -0.2 1.85 0.88 18 20
626 1157 51 1 -20 0.70 12.9 5.7 -0.2 1.85 0.88 16 17
0.92
70.6 74.1 72.3
71.6 75.3 73.4
72.6 76.4 74.5
73.4 77.4 75.4
-
1.90
757 1 231
455 -20 0.88
581 1191
538
428 1219
0.56 13.0 7.1 -0.2 1.85 0.89 12 13
771 -20 0.44 12.5 7.9 -0.2 1.85 0.89 11 12
258 1146 867 -20 0.26 11.5 8.7 -0.2 1.85 0.89 10 11
75.0 79.0 77.0
75.7 79.7 77.7
76.3 80.4 78.4
1 237
589
681
-20 0.63 12.9 8.4 -0.2 1.85 0.88 14 15
-20
74.2 78.2 78.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaicdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IRAN (ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF)
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................... . . ........
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
69 421 35 200 34 221
75 143 38 040 37 103
81 755 41 337 40 418
88 437 44 672 43 766
93 861 47 360 46 501
98 731 49 763 48 968
103 909 52 312 51 597
109 506 55 058 54 448
114 946 57 720 57 226
8.8 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.6 58.0 23.4
10.5 15.6 22.3 6.7 4.4 0.7 59.1 25.7
10.9 16.9 16.6 7.6 4.7 0.7 56.0 27.7
9.9 18.9 13.1 8.8 5.5 0.7 53.4 29.6
8.2 18.8 14.6 10.2 6.7 0.8 53.2 31.5
7.5 16.6 16.9 11.6 7.9 1.0 52.7 32.7
7.8 14.5 16.9 13.1 9.0 1.4 50.1 32.9
8.3 14.2 14.9 15.4 10.1 1.7 46.6 33.3
8.1 14.9 13.1 18.7 12.0 2.1 43.9 34.2
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
...........
1 145 1.58 22.7 5.5 -1.4 2.29 1.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
69 421 35 200 34 221
73 409 37 153 36 257
77 004 38 906 38 098
80 052 40 381 39 671
82 200 41 393 40 807
83 676 42 059 41 617
64 607 42 433 42 174
E 4 915 42 469 42 446
84 473 42 119 42 354
8.8 20.0 25.2 6.4 4.5 0.6 58.0 23.4
8.4 16.0 22.8 6.9 4.5 0.7 60.5 26.2
7.7 15.7 17.6 8.1 5.0 0.8 59.5 29.0
6.4 15.0 14.4 9.7 6.1 0.8 58.9 32.0
5.4 13.3 14.6 11.6 7.6 0.9 58.5 35.2
4.8 11.3 14.3 13.7 9.3 1.2 56.4 38.2
4.6 9.9 12.9 16.1 11.0 1.7 51.6 41.1
4.4 9.3 11.1 19.9 13.0 2.2 46.4 43.5
4.1 9.0 9.9 25.4 16.4 2.8 42.0 45.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
798 1.12 18.0 5.4 -1.4 1.79 0.83
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
69421 35 200 34 221 23.4
74519 37 720 36 798 25.9
80111 40 496 39 615 28.1
85714 43 278 42 436 30.4
90446 45 613 44 833 32.6
94588 47 643 46 945 34.6
98592 49 591 49 001 35.2
102517 51 480 51 037 35.7
106101 53 192 52 909 36.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.42 21.0 5.5
1.45 21 0 5.3
.
1.35 18.9 5.1
1.08 16.2 5.2
0.90 14.7 5.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.83 14.6 6.1
0.78 14.8 6.8
0.69 14.5 7.4
0.55 13.8 8.1
109039 54 572 54 467 37.8
JRAQ
A. ESTIMATES Indkator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
~~~
Population (thwaond.) Total .................................................... M.ak . Femeles ...............
5340 2 671 2 670 100.0
8264 3 139 3 128 100.4
7 332 3682 3650 100.9
8589 4322 4 287 101.3
10 112 5 100 5 012 101.8
11 972 6 051 5 921 102.2
14 O93 7 132 6 9ôl 102.5
16 288 8 246 8 042 102.5
18 515 9 378 9 137 102.6
21 632 10956 10676 102.6
25052 12689 12363 102.6
15.6 24.9 18.4 5.4 3.4 0.2 47.8 20.1 12
20.2 23.7 17.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 44.9 18.2 14
19.4 26.7 17.4 5.1 3.0 0.3 43.3 17.1 17
18.8 29.5 16.7 5.1 3.1 0.3 41.5 16.0 20
18.8 28.6 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.3 42.5 16.1 23
19.0 28.9 18.4 4.8 3.0 0.3 41.9 16.0 27
18.2 28.9 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 42.9 16.3 32
17.2 28.6 20.5 4.8 3.1 0.3 44.5 18.9 37
17.3 27.3 20.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 45.8 17.4 42
16.6 26.9 20.6 4.6 3.0 0.3 46.9 17.9 49
16.0 26.6 20.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 48.1 18.4 57
Ago dlstrlbutlon
Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. Percentageof m n aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeare) Popuiationdansily (population per sq km)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1-1
970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 ~
Population change per year (thaioands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... popilalion g M h rale (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rate (per 1.ooO popilatioo) .... Cnide death rate (per 1.ooO population) Total tertility (children per woman) ........... Net repr~tm rale (per wanan) .......... Infant moitalily raie (per 1,ooO I ¡bkths) L b expectancy al Mrth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
122 3.15 49.4 18.0 7.30 2.56 130
251 373 122 3.16 46.9 15.3 7.25 2.67 113
428 122 3.27 45.8 13.1 7.20 2.77 97
372 501 127 3.38 45.4 11.5 7.15 2.85 85
424 556 122 3.26 42.7 9.4 6.80 2.83
68
126 2.90 39.8 8.3 6.35 2.70 60
47.6 49.4 48.4
50.6 52.4 51.5
53.6 55.4 54.5
56.1 57.9 57.0
59.5 61.5 60.4
185
214
305
336
120 3.19 52.6 20.7 7.30 2.43 150 44.5 48.3 45.3
305
~
~
48
623 782 193 3.11 39.0 9.6 5.70 2.35 73
884 894 234 2.94 38.3 10.0 5.37 2.19 94
589 944 280 2.22 35.6 10.6 4.86 1.95 94
80.8 63.7 82.0
63.6 66.7 65.0
58.0 61.1 59.5
57.3 60.4 58.8
54.9 59.3 57.0
439 604
445 690 120 2.56 39.6 6.9 6.15 2.71
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
Popullitlon (mouundr) Total .................................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 temaies) ........... Am dlmtributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 9û6 14 157 13 839 102.3
30688
34 947 17 660 17 287 102.2
39 161 19 780 19 381 102.1
43293 21 852 21 441 101.9
47 376 23893 23463 101.7
51 300 25 846
58 593 29 455 29 138 101.1
61 942 31 103
101.5
55035 27 698 27 337 101.3
15.1 28.4 20.1 4.6 2.8 0.3 16.2 7.3 6.8 11.6 49.0 18.9
13.8 26.0 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.3 15.8 7.4 6.8 12.1 50.1 19.6 70
12.8 23.8 21.o 5.0 3.1 0.3 14.3 7.0 6.8 12.3 52.1 21.2
12.3 22.1 20.4 5.6 3.4 0.4 13.4 6.4 6.3 12.2 53.1 22.6 89
11.5 21.3 19.1 6.5 3.9 0.4 13.0 6.1 5.8 11.4 53.0 24.0
10.7 20.6 18.2 7.5 4.7 0.5 12.5 6.0 5.7 10.7 53.1 25.3 108
9.8 19.5 17.9 8.7 5.5 0.6 11.8 5.8 5.6 10.6 53.3 26.7 117
9.1 18.3 17.6 9.9 6.5 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.0 28.1 126
8.6 17.1 17.0 11.2 7.5 1.o 10.2 5.1 5.2 10.2 52.2 29.5 134
8.1 16.1 16.2 12.8 8.5 1.3 9.7 4.8 4.8 9.7 51.1 31.1 141
Percentage aged 15-24 .... Percentage aged 60 OT Percentage aged 65 OT over Percentage a@ 80 OT m r .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in shod agea 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of 15-49, Median aga (ye ........... Population density (population per 8q km)
..........
64
15 510 15 178 102.2
80
99
25454
30838 100.9
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (lhousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Cnide birth rale (per 1.ooO populalh) .... Cnide death rale @er 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.O00popuiation) . Total feitiiny (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtaiity rate (per 1.o00 IM, Mithe) Under-ñve mortality (per 1,ooO hm births) L l k e w c y at Mrth (ye8rs)
M a l e s ...................................................
Females ............................................... Both s e w cwnbined ............................
276
538
-
931 266 127 1.84 31.7 9.1 -4.3 4.26 1.76 82 105 57.8 61.5 59.5
a43
826
110 2.60 29.0 6.4 3.4 3.73 1.66 56
1003 198 38 2.28 27.1 5.4 1.o 3.31 1.52 41
69
48
1034 201 - 6 2.01 25.1 4.9 -0.1 3.00 1.40 32 37
64.1 67.3 65.7
66.9 70.6 68.7
68.8 72.8 70.8
852 951
209
747 1 021 268 - 8 1.41 19.2 5.0 -0.1 2.43 1.15 19 21
711 1021
30
785 1029 238 - 6 1.59 20.9 4.8 -0.1 2.58 1.22 22 25
- 6 1.25 18.0 5.3 -0.1 2.30 1.10 16 18
670 lo21 345 - 6 1.11 16.9 5.7 -0.1 2.20 1.o5 14 16
70.0 74.3 72.1
71.1 75.5 73.3
72.1 76.5 74.3
73.0 77.5 75.2
73.8 78.3 76.1
617 1039 217 - 6 1.80 22.9 4.8 -0.1 2.76 1.30 26
304
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IRAQ
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percenlage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
588 2.00 33.5 9.2 -4.3 4.51 1.86
..
947 2.85 31.6 6.5 3.3 4.13 1.83
987 2.59 30.3 5.4 10 3.81 1.75
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percenlage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (year?.) .................................
27 996 14157 13 839
30 440 15383 15 056
34 222 17290 16 933
37 716 19042 18 674
41 013 20688 20 325
44 140 22241 21 899
4 6 946 23624 23 322
49 353 24797 24 556
51 366 25765 25 601
15.1 26.4 20.1 4.6 2.8 0.3 49.0 18.9
13.0 26.2 20.8 4.7 3.0 0.3 50.5 19.8
11.7 23.6 21.5 5.1 3.1 0.3 53.2 21.7
10.8 21.1 21.2 5.8 3.6 0.4 55.1 23.5
10.1 19.6 19.6 6.9 4.2 0.5 55.4 25.4
9.3 18.6 17.9 8.0 5.1 0.5 55.3 27.3
8.3 17.5 17.0 9.5 6.1 0.7 55.1 29.3
7.4 16.2 16.5 11 0 7.3 0.9 54.4 31.2
6.7 14.7 15.9 12.7 8.5 1.2 53.3 33.1
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
489 1.67 30.0 8.9 .4.3 4.01 1.66
756 2.34 26.3 6.3 3.4 3.33 1.48
699 1.94 23.7 5.3 1.1 2.81 1.29
659 1.68 21.8 4.9 -0.2 2.50 1.17
625 1.47 19.8 4.9 .0.1 2.26 1.07
561 1.23 17.5 5.1 -0.1 2.08 0.98
481 1.00 15.5 5.4 .0.1 1.93 0.92
403 0.80 14.0 5.9 -0.1 1.80 0.86
325 0.62 12.8 6.5 -0.1 1.70 0.81
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................... .............. Males .......................................... ................. Females ...................... Median age (years) ................................
. . .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
27 996 14157 13 839 18.9
31 221 15782 15 439 19.2
36 691 18550 18 141 19.9
42 908 21694 21 215 20.2
49 868 25210 24 658 19.9
57 696 29162 28 534 19.8
66 546 33630 32 916 20.0
76 753 38788 37 964 20.3
88 690 44830 43 860 20.5
2.18 35.4 9.3
3.23 35.6 6.6
3.13 35.8 5.5
3.01 34.9 4.8
2.92 33.7 4.5
2.85 32.9 4.3
2.85 32.7 4.2
2.89 33.0 4.1
2.92 33.2 4.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
IRELAND A ESTIMATES Indicator 19%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
2969 1511 1458 103.6
2921 1475 1446 102.0
2834 1424 1410 101.0
2876 1446 1430 101.1
2954 1404 1469 101.0
3177 1591 1587 100.3
3401 1710 1691 101.1
3539 1777 1762 100.8
3515 1755 1759 99.8
3609 1792 1817 90.7
3804 1891 1913 98.8
10.6 18.3 15.0 14.8 10.7 1.5 46.0 29.6 42
10.3 19.7 14.2 14.9 10.9 1.6 44.8 29.9 42
10.7 20.4 13.9 15.0 11.2 1.9 42.7 29.8
11.0 20.2 15.4 15.5 11.2 1.9 42.4 28.3 41
10.5 20.6 15.9 15.7 11.2 1.9 42.2 27.6 42
11.0 20.3 16.9 15.5 11.0 1.9 42.9 26.4 45
10.2 20.4 17.4 14.8 10.7 1.8 44.8 26.4
10.0 19.7 17.5 14.5 10.6 1.8 46.7 26.9 50
8.0 19.3 17.1 15.2 11.4 2.1 40.2 29.1 50
7.1 17.2 17.4 15.2 11.4 2.5 50.0 30.9 51
7.0 14.7 17.1 15.1 11.2 2.5 52.1 32.5 54
Popul.llon (thouundr)
Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yean) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
40
48
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1-1985
1985-1990 1890-1995 1995-2OOo xx)0-2005 ~
Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (lhowmls) ................... Population g M rate (per cenl) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,0O0 populati) .... Crude death rate (per 1.0O0 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mxnan) .......... Infant mortality ram (per 1.0O0 live births) L h exrp.ctmcy at blrth (yun) M&s ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem comMned ............................
- 10
- 17
28
45 68 34 1.48 22.2 11.0 3.82 1.78 18
70 34 1.38 21.3 10.3 3.48 1.64 15
28 73 33 0.80 21.o 9.4 2.88 1.36 10
- 5 57 32 -0.14 16.2 9.1 2.29 1 .oB 8
19 51 31 0.53 14.2 8.8 1.97 0.94 7
39 52 32 1.05 14.1 8.6 1.90 0.91 6
1.71 15.2 7.6 1.97 0.94 5
67.3 70.6 68.9
68.4 72.3 70.3
68.9 73.4 71.1
68.9 73.8 71.3
69.6 74.6 72.0
70.4 75.9 73.1
71.6 77.3 74.4
72.6 78.1 75.5
73.5 70.0 76.1
75.3 80.3 77.8
MO5
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
20452050
4143 2 066 2077 99.4
4526 2 261 2285 99.8
41#)5 2 403 2402 100.0
5055 2 529 2526 100.1
5275 2 638 2.637 100.1
5475 2 737 2739 99.9
5669 2 832 2838 99.8
5859 2 925 2934 99.7
6032 3 010 3022 99.8
6 179 3 082 3 097 99.5
7.4 13.3 15.5 t 5.3 11.1 2.7 8.0 4.0 4.2 9.5 52.2 33.4 59
1.5 13.4 13.2 16.1 11.3 2.7 8.2 3.8 3.7 8.0 51.O 34.4 64
7.1 14.0 12.1 17.3 12.4 2.8 8.6 4.0 3.7 7.1 49.2 36.1 68
6.4 13.9 12.4 18.7 13.6 3.0 8.4 4.2 4.0 7.2 40.2 37.7 72
5.9 13.0 13.1 20.4 14.9 3.4 7.7 4.1 4.1 7.8 47.1 39.4 75
5.6 11.9 13.1 22.0 16.4 4.1 7.0 3.7 3.9 7.9 45.3 40.6 78
5.7 11.2 12.4 24.1 17.8 4.7 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.5 43.4 41.2 81
5.0 11.0 11.4 26.5 19.8 5.3 6.6 3.2 3.3 6.9 42.0 41.7 83
5.7 11.2 10.8 28.4 21.7 6.0 6.8 3.3 3.2 6.5 41.4 42.2
5.5 11.3 10.7 29.3 23.4 6.7 6.8 3.4 3.3 6.4 41 .O 43.0
86
88
61 35 -0.61 21.1 12.0 3.68 1.70 34
65.7 68.2 66.9
8 62 34 0.29 21.8 11.8 3.w 1.84
4s
16 62 33 0.53 21.4 11.5 3.87 1.80 23
63 37 -0.33 21.4 12.6 3.38 1.58 41
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Aga dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentageaged 1524 Percentageaged 60 OT Percentap aged 65 OT over Percentap aged 80 or over .................. Percentage In school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14. Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in =hod ages 16-23. Percentage d women a@ 15-49 Median age (yean) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
..
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2o4w045 2045-2050 Population changs per year (thousanbe). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net %ration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,0O0 populati) .... CNde death rate (per 1.0O0 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per t .0O0 pqulation). Total fertility (chHdren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per wwnen) .......... lntant m ~ t a l i rate i (per 1,000live births) Under-fivemortalrty (per 1,0O0 l i births) LIfa arpsct.ncy at Mrth (ywrr) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
278
77 67 31 40 1.77 15.5 7.0 9.2 1.96 0.94 5 6 76.5 81.4 78.9
61 41 20 0.74 11.3 7.6 3.7 1.85 0.89 4 5
39 64 45 20 0.70 11.5 8.1 3.6 1.85 0.89 4 5
20
54 20
20
1.20 14.8 6.9 4.3 1.90 0.91 5 6
20 1.02 13.1 7.0 4.1 1.a 0.89 4 6
44 61 37 20 0.85 11.9 7.3 3.9 1 .85 0.89 4 5
0.68 11.7 8.6 3.5 1.85 0.89 3 5
0.58 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.85 0.89 3 4
0.46 11.0 9.5 3.3 1.85 0.89 3 4
77.1 82.0 79.6
77.8 82.7 60.2
78.4 83.3 80.8
79.0 83.9 81.5
79.6 84.5 82.0
80.2 85.1 82.6
80.7 85.8 83.2
81.3 06.2 63.7
56
50
68 32 20
6.5 35
40
38 67 49
35 68
29 67 58
United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Aff8irslPopulation Division World PopurCrtiOn Prospects: The 2006 Revishm, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
68 60 30
IRELAND
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (yean) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4143 2 066 2 077
4569 2 284 2 286
4918 2 461 2 456
5249 2 629 2 620
5547 2 779 2 768
5830 2 920 2 910
6129 3 069 3 060
6452 3 231 3 221
6782 3 398 3 384
7.4 13.3 15.5 15.3 11.1 2.7 52.2 33.4
8.4 13.3 13.1 16.0 11.2 2.7 50.6 34.1
8.4 14.5 11.8 16.9 12.1 2.8 48.1 35.4
7.7 15.5 11.9 18.0 13.1 2.9 46.4 36.6
7.0 15.1 13.2 19.4 14.2 3.2 45.6 37.5
6.7 13.9 14.2 20.7 15.4 3.8 44.5 38.0
7.0 13.0 13.9 22.3 16.5 4.4 43.3 37.9
7.3 12.9 12.8 24.0 17.8 4.8 42.4 37.7
7.4 13.5 12.0 25.2 19.3 5.4 42.0 37.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
85 1.96 17.4 7.0 9.2 2.21 1.06
....
70 1.47 17.3 6.9 4.2 2.30 1.10
66 1.31 15.9 6.8 3.9 2.35 1.13
59 1.10 14.3 7.0 3.7 2.35 1.13
57 1 .00 13.7 7.2 3.5 2.35 1.13
60 1 .00 14.2 7.6 3.3 2.35 1.13
65 1.03 15.0 7.9 3.2 2.35 1.13
66 1 .00 15.1 8.2 3.0 2.35 1.13
63 0.91 14.6 8.4 2.9 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................ ......................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
4143 2 066 2 077
4484 2 239 2 244
4692 2 345 2 347
4858 2 427 2 431
4999 2 495 2 503
5117 2 552 2 566
5219 2 599 2 620
5299 2 635 2 664
5348 2 656 2 691
7.4 13.3 15.5 15.3 11.1 2.7 52.2 33.4
6.7 13.6 13.4 16.3 11.4 2.7 51.5 34.7
5.8 13.4 12.4 17.7 12.7 2.9 50.3 36.8
5.0 12.1 12.9 19.5 14.2 3.1 50.1 39.0
4.6 10.6 12.9 21.5 15.7 3.6 48.7 41.1
4.4 9.5 11.8 23.6 17.5 4.4 46.2 42.9
4.4 9.0 10.5 26.2 19.4 5.1 43.3 44.5
4.3 8.9 9.5 29.3 21.7 5.9 41.3 45.6
4.1 8.9 9.2 32.0 24.4 6.8 40.0 46.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
68 1.58 13.6 7.1 9.3 1.71 0.82
42 0.91 11.8 7.0 4.4 1.50 0.72
33 0.70 10.0 7.2 4.2 1.35 0.65
28 0.57 9.2 7.6 4.1 1.35 0.65
24 0.47 8.8 8.1 4.0 1.35 0.65
20 0.39 8.8 8.7 3.9 1.35 0.65
16 0.31 8.6 9.4 3.8 1.35 0.65
10 0.18 8.2 10.1 3.8 1.35 0.65
3 0.05 7.6 10.8 3.7 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
4143 2 066 2 077 33.4
4526 2 261 2 265 34.4
4816 2 409 2 407 36.0
5086 2 545 2 541 37.6
5328 2 665 2 662 39.0
5551 2 775 2 775 40.1
5766 2 881 2 884 40.5
5977 2 986 2 991 40.8
6178 3 085 3 093 41.3
1.77 15.5 7.0
1.24 15.1 6.9
1.09 13.9 7.0
0.93 12.7 7.2
0.82 12.1 7.5
0.76 12.0 8.0
0.72 12.2 8.4
0.66 12.2 8.9
0.58 11.9 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ISRAEL
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... .. ................. Females ......................... . ................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospscts: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ISRAEL
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
6 692 3312 3 380
7 334 3640 3 694
7 964 3965 3 999
8 573 4281 4 292
9 171 4590 4 580
9 772 4900 4 872
10 381 5213 5 168
10 988 5525 5 463
1 l 583 5831 5 752
10.1 17.9 16.1 13.2 10.1 2.5 47.9 28.8
10.2 17.9 15.3 14.5 10.1 2.8 46.5 29.5
9.8 18.0 15.2 15.7 11.2 2.9 46.1 30.0
9.3 17.9 15.4 16.6 12.4 3.1 45.8 30.5
8.8 17.3 15.7 17.3 13.2 3.1 45.7 30.9
8.6 16.5 15.8 18.0 13.9 3.9 45.6 31.6
8.4 15.9 15.3 19.0 14.4 4.5 45.5 32.3
8.2 15.6 14.8 20.0 15.3 4.9 45.4 33.0
8.0 15.4 14.3 20.7 16.1 5.1 45.3 33.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.
..........
128 1.83 21.3 5.5 2.4 3.00 1.44
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.................. ..................
6 692 3 312 3380
7 210 3 576 3634
7 630 3 793 3837
7 965 3 968 3997
8 273 4 128 4144
8 552 4 273 4280
8 785 4 393 4393
8 948 4 476 4472
9 033 4 520 4513
10.1 17.9 16.1 13.2 10.1 2.5 47.9 28.8
8.6 18.2 15.6 14.7 10.3 2.8 47.3 30.1
7.5 17.2 15.9 16.4 11.7 3.1 48.0 31.6
6.6 15.1 16.6 17.9 13.3 3.3 49.2 33.2
6.3 13.3 15.9 19.2 14.7 3.5 49.1 34.8
6.0 12.3 14.1 20.6 15.8 4.4 48.1 36.5
5.7 11.8 12.6 22.5 17.1 5.3 46.8 38.3
5.1 11.4 11.8 24.5 18.8 6.0 45.7 40.3
4.6 10.7 11.6 26.5 20.7 6.6 44.7 42.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~lity(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
104 1.49 17.9 5.5 2.4 2.50 1.20
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
6692 3 312 3 380 28.8
7311 3 628 3 683 29.6
7926 3 945 3 980 30.2
8534 4 261 4 273 30.7
9168 4 589 4 579 31 .0
9838 4 934 4 904 31.3
10543 5 297 5 247 31.7
11278 5 674 5 604 32.0
12040 6 067 5 974 32.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
l .77 20.7 5.5
1.62 20.1 5.5
1.48 19.5 5.6
1.43 19.2 5.6
1.41 19.1 5.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
1.39 19.1 5.9
1.35 19.0 6.2
1.31 18.8 6.3
1.28 18.6 6.3
ITALY
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 19s
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................... .......................... Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
..
58 646 28 479 30 168 94.4
59 032 28 697 30 334 94.6
59 001 28 71 1 30 290 94.8
58 601 28 543 30 058 95.0
58 079 28 313 29 766 95.1
57 519 28 052 29 467 95.2
56 929 27 767 29 162 95.2
56 277 27 441 28 836 95.2
55 506 27 052 28 455 95.1
4.6 9.3 10.2 25.3 19.7 5.1 5.6 2.9 2.9 6.1 45.9 42.0 1 95
4.6 9.2 9.8 27.0 20.6 6.0 5.5 2.7 2.9 5.9 44.3 43.8 196
4.2 9.3 9.7 28.2 22.1 6.7 5.6 2.8 2.8 5.9 41.9 45.7 196
4.0 9.0 9.6 29.8 23.2 7.4 5.3 2.8 2.9 5.8 39.5 47.5 194
4.0 8.4 9.8 32.3 24.6 7.7 4.9 2.7 2.8 6.0 37.3 49.1 193
4.1 8.2 9.5 35.2 27.0 8.6 4.9 2.5 2.6 5.8 35.9 50.2 191
4.2 8.3 8.9 37.6 29.6 9.3 5.0 2.5 2.5 5.4 35.2 50.6 189
4.3 8.5 8.7 38.8 31 .8 10.1 5.1 2.5 2.5 5.2 34.8 50.7 187
4.3 8.8 8.8 38.9 32.8 11.7 5.3 2.6 2.6 5.3 34.5 50.6 184
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ............................
-
539 616 155 0.13 9.2 10.5 2.6 1.38 0.66 5 6
.6 494 650 150 -0.01 8.4 11.0 2.5 1.41 0.68 5 6
80 462 677 135 .0.14 7.9 11.5 2.3 1.44 0.69 5 6
77.5 83.5 80.5
78.1 84.1 81.1
78.8 84.6 81.7
77
-
-
104 458 698 1 35 .0.18 7.9 12.0 2.3 1.49 0.71 4 5
. 112
. 118
. 179
475 728 135 .0.21 8.3 12.7 2.4 1.59 0.76 4 5
130 482 747 135 .0.23 8.5 13.2 2.4 1.64 0.79 4 5
. 154
465 712 135 -0.19 8.0 12.3 2.3 1.54 0.74 4 5
478 767 135 .0.28 8.6 13.7 2.4 1.69 0.81 4 4
472 787 135 .0.33 8.6 14.3 2.5 1.74 0.84 4 4
79.3 85.2 82.3
79.9 85.8 82.9
80.5 86.3 83.4
81.0 86.9 83.9
81.6 87.4 84.5
82.1 87.9 85.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Popuktion Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ITALY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
126 0.21 10.5 10.9 2.5 1 81 0.87
73 0.12 10.2 11.2 2.2 1.94 0.93
44 0.07 10.0 11.5 2.2 1.99 0.95
40 0.07 10.2 11.7 2.2 2.04 0.98
59 0.10 10.7 11.9 2.2 2.09 1 .00
88 0.14 11.4 12.2 2.2 2.14 1.03
1 02 0.16 11.9 12.4 2.2 2.19 1.05
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
170 0.29 10.7 10.4 2.6 1.63 0.78
.
99 0.16 12.1 12.6 2.2 2.24 1.08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year(thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 18 .0.03 7.6 10.5 2.6 1 .13 0.54
. 141 .0.24 6.1 11.2 2.6 1.01 0.49
. 237 .0.41 5.3 11.8 2.4 0.94 0.45
. 255 .0.46 5.5 12.4 2.4 0.99 0.47
. 262 .0.48 5.7 13.0 2.5 1 .04 0.50
. 275 -0.52 5.9 13.6 2.5 1.09 0.52
. 305 .0.59 5.9 14.4 2.6 1.14 0.55
. 350
. 390
.0.70 5.6 15.2 2.7 1.19 0.57
.0.80 5.4 16.2 2.8 1.24 0.60
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) 58 646 Total ................................................... 28 479 Males ................................................ Females ............................................. 30168 Median age (years) ............................... 42.0
58 843 28 600 30243 43.9
58 589 28 498 30090 45.9
57 944 28 205 29739 47.8
57 108 27 813 29295 49.7
56 152 27 348 28804 51.0
55 065 26 807 28258 51.9
53 802 26 167 27635 52.5
52 328 25 415 26912 53.0
.0.22 7.1 11.6
.0.29 6.9 12.1
.0.34 6.8 12.6
.0.39 6.7 13.1
-0.46 6.6 13.7
.0.56 6.3 14.4
e0.65 6.1 15.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.07 8.5 10.5
.0.09 7.6 11.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
JAMAICA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1 403 682 720 94.7
13.5 22.6 18.8 5.8 3.9 0.2 51.9 22.2 128 1950-1955
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 682 1 323 1 359 97.4
2 756 1 359 1 396 97.3
2 819 1 391 1 429 97.3
2 872 1 417 1 455 97.3
2 908 1 435 1 474 97.4
2 924 1 442 1 482 97.4
2 916 1 438 1 478 97.3
2 885 1 423 1 462 97.4
2 833 1 399 1 434 97.5
10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 12.7 6.5 6.1 11.0 52.3 24.7 244
9.5 20.0 19.4 10.4 7.6 2.1 12.0 6.1 6.3 11.4 52.4 25.7 251
9.l 18.8 19.0 11.0 7.9 2.2 11.2 5.8 5.7 11.5 51.4 26.9 257
8.6 17.6 18.0 12.6 8.5 2.1 10.5 5.4 5.5 10.7 50.2 28.3 261
8.1 16.9 17.0 14.5 10.0 2.2 10.1 5.1 5.1 10.3 49.1 30.0 265
7.6 16.1 16.2 16.6 11.8 2.4 9.6 5.0 5.0 9.6 49.0 31.6 266
7.0 15.3 15.7 18.2 13.6 2.8 9.1 4.8 4.8 9.4 48.3 33.3 265
6.6 14.3 15.2 19.1 15.0 3.6 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.1 47.2 35.0 262
6.3 13.5 14.6 20.6 15.7 4.5 8.0 4.2 4.4 8.8 45.6 36.6 258
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
JAMAICA C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2682 1 323 1 359
2783 1 373 1 410
2892 1 428 1 464
3001 1 483 1 519
3097 1 531 1 588
3179 I 573 1 806
3250 1 608 1 641
3312 1 641 1 670
3363 1 669 1 894
3 403 1 693 1710
10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 52.3 24.7
10.4 19.8 19.2 10.3 7.5 2.0 51.9 25.4
10.4 19.2 18.6 10.7 7.7 2.1 50.2 26.1
10.2 19.3 17.2 12.0 8.1 2.0 48.1 27.0
9.6 19.2 16.9 13.6 9.4 2.1 47.1 27.9
9.1 18.5 17.1 15.2 10.8 2.2 47.4 28.7
8.8 17.6 17.2 16.3 12.2 2.5 47.3 29.4
8.6 16.9 16.8 16.6 13.1 3.1 46.8 30.2
8.4 16.5 16.0 17.3 13.2 3.8 45.9 31.1
8.2 16.3 15.5 18.2 13.7 4.3 45.5 32.0
Populatlon (thousands) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
....
.. ........... ..........
20
22
0.74 21.8 7.1 -7.3 2.66 1.27
0.77 21.8 7. I -7.0 2.70 1.28
22 0.75 21.2 7.0 6.8 2.70 1.28
I9 0.63 19.9 7.1 -6.6 2.60 1.24
16 0.52 18.8 7.2 6.4 2.52 1.20
14 0.44 18.1 7.5 6.2 2.45 1.17
12 0.38 17.7 1.8 -6.1 2.38 1.14
10 0.31 17.3 8.2 -6.0 2.35 1.13
8 0.24 16.9 8.6 -5.9 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT
Population (thOUMnd8) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2882 1 323 1 359
2 728 1345 1383
2 747 1354 1 393
2 743 1351 1392
2 721 1 339 1382
2 674 1315 1360
2 598 1 276 1322
2 492 1222 I 269
2 361 1158 1 203
2 210 1 084 1126
10.4 21.3 18.8 10.1 7.5 1.9 52.3 24.7
8.6 20.2 19.6 10.5 7.7 2.1 52.9 26.0
7.7 18.3 19.5 11.3 8.1 2.2 52.7 27.7
7.0 15.8 18.9 13.2 8.9 2.2 52.5 29.7
6.5 14.3 17.2 15.5 10.7 2.4 51.4 32.0
5.9 13.3 15.0 18.1 12.8 2.8 50.8 34.5
5.2 12.5 13.7 20.4 15.3 3.1 49.2 37.2
4.6 11.3 13.0 22.1 17.4 4.2 47.2 40.1
4.1 10.1 12.4 24.7 18.8 5.4 44.3 43.1
3.8
Age dlstrlbution
.................. .................. .........
Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
~~
9.0
11.4 28.1 21.1 6.6 41. I 46.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2 0 3 5 - ~2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Cfude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
9 0.34 17.9 7.1 -7.4 2.18 1.03
4 0.14 15.9 7.2 -7.3 1.90 0.90
- 1 -0.03 14.3 7.4 -7.3 1.70 0.81
- 4 -0.16 13.4 7.7 -7.3 1.60 0.76
- 9 -0.34 12.2 8.2 -7.4 1.52 0.73
-15 -0.58 10.7 8.9 -7.8 1.45 0.69
-
21 -0.83 9.3 9.8 -7.9 1.38 0.66
-26 -1.08 8.4 10.9 -8.2 1.35 0.65
-30 -1.32 7.8 12.2 -8.8 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2682 1 323 1 359 24.7
2778 1 370 1 407 25.4
2877 1 420 1 457 26.3
2978 1 471 I 507 27.3
3074 1 520 I 555 28.2
3166 1 566 1 600 28.9
3252 1 610 I 642 29.4
3334 1 652 1 681 29.8
3410 1 693 I 717 30.3
3 481 1 733 1 748 30.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
0.70 21.4 7.1
0.70 21.2 7.1
0.69 20.7 7.0
0.64 20.1 7.1
0.59 19.5 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.54 19.1 7.5
0.50 18.8 7.8
0.45 18.6 8.2
0.42 16.4 8.5
285
JAPAN
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... ..... .............. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined .................... ........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Lite expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ........................ . . . ............... Both sexes combined ...........................
. 28
. 230
1 062 1 144 54
.0.02 8.3 9.0 0.4 1.27 0.61 3 4
960 1 244 54 .0.18 7.5 9.8 0.4 1.27 0.61 3 4
79.0 86.1 82.6
79.9 87.1 83.5
. 424 881 1 359 54 .0.34 7.0 10.8 0.4 1.30 0.63 3 4
80.5 87.9 84.2
. 575
.0.47 6.9 12.0 0.4 1.35 0.65 3 4
. 672 835 1 561 54 .0.56 7.0 13.0 0.5 1.40 0.66 3 4
. 737 825 1 615 54 .0.63 7.1 13.9 0.5 1.45 0.70 3 4
. 784 801 1 639 54 .0.70 7.1 14.6 0.5 1.50 0.72 3 4
. 812 767 1 633 54 .0.75 7.1 15.0 0.5 1.55 0.75 3 3
. 816 736 1 606 54 .0.78 7.0 15.4 0.5 1.60 0.77 3
81.0 88.4 84.7
81.5 88.9 85.2
82.0 89.4 85.7
82.4 89.9 86.1
82.9 90.4 86.6
83.3 90.9 87.1
846 1 475
54
3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
JAPAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4.......................... Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5.2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
174 0.14 9.9 8.9 0.4 1.52 0.73
55 0.04 9.7 9.7 0.4 1.67 0.81
. 275
. 103 .0.08 9.3 10.6 0.4 1.80 0.87
.0.22 9.0 11.5 0.4 1.85 0.89
. 371 .0.29 9.0 12.4 0.4 l .90 0.92
. 398 .0.32 9.4 13.0 0.4 1.95 0.94
. 373 .0.31 9.9 13.4 0.4 2.00 0.97
. 333 .0.28 10.4 13.6 0.4 2.05 0.99
.1 036
. 1 104 .1.07 4.6 15.9 0.5 1 .00 0.48
.1 163 .1.19 4.2 16.7 0.6 1.05 0.51
. 302 .0.25 10 5 13.5 0.5 2.10 1.02
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ......................................... . Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1 ,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgratlon rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 232 .0.18 6.7 9.0 0.4 1.02 0.49
. 524 .0.42 5.3 9.9 0.4 0.87 0.42
. 754 ..0.62 4.5 1 1 .1 0.4 0.80 0.38
. 881 .0.75 4.6 12.5 0.5 0.85 0.41
. 968 .0.85 4.7 13.7 0.5 0.90 0.43
.0.95 4.8 14.9 0.5 0.95 0.46
189 .1.30 3.9 17.5 0.6 1.10 0.53
.1
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................
127 897 62 486 65 41 1 42.9
127 824 62 322 65 502 44.6
12ft693 61 608 65 085 46.4
124 494 60 358 64 136 48.5
121 397 58 684 62 712 50.6
117 684 56 735 60 949 52.3
113 522 54 599 58 924 53.7
109 007 52 329 56 677 54.9
104 242 49 983 54 259 55.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.01 8.4 8.9
.0.18 7.6 9.8
.0.35 6.9 10.8
.0.50 6.5 12.0
.0.62 6.4 13.1
.0.72 6.3 14.0
.0.81 6.1 14.7
.0.89 5.9 15.3
.0.96 5.8 15.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affai~rsIPopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volumi?I: Comprehensive Tables
2045
JORDAN
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................... .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
472 245 227 107.9
665 345 320 107.8
896 465 431 107.7
1 106
1 623 833
1 937
571 536 106.6
789 105.6
991 946 104.7
2 225 1152 1 074 107.3
2 706 1414 1 292 109.4
3 254 1696 1 558 108.8
4 304 2250 2 054 109.5
4 799 2480 2 319 106.9
18.6 27.1 17.4 7.4 4.8 0.4 41.5 17.2 5
17.4 27.7 19.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 43.5 17.3 7
17.4 27.0 19.9 6.1 4.1 0.3 45.1 17.6 10
18.8 26.1 19.8 5.4 3.7 0.5 45.1 17.4 12
19.0 26.9 19.0 4.8 3.1 0.4 44.4 17.1 18
19.6 27.6 18.0 4.3 2.8 0.3 43.1 16.4 22
18.7 30.7 19.4 4.6 3.1 0.5 41.7 15.3 25
17.7 29.3 20.6 5.2 3.6 0.6 43.3 16.2 30
17.8 29.0 21.8 4.8 3.2 0.6 43.1 16.3 36
15.0 26.3 22.5 4.1 2.5 0.4 48.7 18.8 48
14.9 25.4 20.6 4.6 2.8 0.4 49.7 19.4 54
1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesperl00females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 544 2854 2 690 106.1
6 453 3310 3 143 105.3
6 923 3545 3 378 104.9
7 469 3817 3 652 104.5
8 029 4095 3 935 104.1
8 554 4353 4 201 103.6
9 029 4585 4 444 103.2
9 445 4784 4 661 102.7
9 813 4958 4 855 102.1
10 121 5100 5 021 101.6
12.8 24.4 20.4 5.1 3.2 0.4 15.0 6.7 6.5 12.1 52.6 21 .1 62
11.9 22.3 19.8 5.3 3.5 0.4 13.4 6.7 6.1 11.7 55.0 22.9 72
10.9 21.3 19.2 5.7 3.9 0.6 12.9 6.1 6.2 11.3 55.1 24.2
9.7 20.2 18.8 6.5 4.2 0.7 12.2 6.0 5.7 11.3 54.8 25.8 84
8.9 18.4 18.2 8.0 4.9 0.8 11.0 5.7 5.7 10.8 54.5 27.6 90
8.2 16.8 17.6 10.3 6.2 0.9 10.0 5.1 5.2 10.6 54.0 29.5 96
7.5 15.6 16.3 12.7 8.1 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.9 52.8 31.4 101
7.0 14.6 15.2 14.9 10.2 1.4 8.7 4.5 4.5 9.1 51.6 33.4 106
6.7 13.6 14.3 17.1 12.1 1.9 8.1 4.2 4.3 8.6 50.4 35.3 110
6.4 13.0 13.6 19.0 13.9 2.8 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.2 48.6 37.0 113
77
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .. .. .............. Females ........................... . . . . ............ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
JORDAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 544 2 854 2690
6 513 3 341 3173
7 093 3 632 3461
7 781 3 976 3805
8 496 4 333 4163
9 197 4 682 4515
9 886 5 023 4863
10 560 5 355 5205
11 229 5 682 5546
12.8 24.4 20.4 5.1 3.2 0.4 52.6 21.1
12.7 22.1 19.6 5.3 3.5 0.4 54.5 22.7
12.2 21.6 18.8 5.6 3.8 0.5 53.8 23.5
11.2 21.6 18.1 6.2 4.0 0.7 52.6 24.5
10.2 20.3 17.9 7.6 4.6 0.8 52.2 25.9
9.5 18.8 18.2 9.6 5.7 0.9 52.0 27.2
9.1 17.6 17.4 11.6 7.4 1.0 51.4 28.6
8.7 16.8 16.4 13.4 9.2 1.2 50.6 30.0
8.5 16.1 15.5 15.0 10.5 1.7 49.8 31.4
194 3.22 27.8 4.0 8.3 3.38 1.60
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
170 2.85 23.9 3.9 8.4 2.88 1.36
72 1.10 20.2 3.9 .5.3 2.41 1.14
80 1.16 17.0 4.0 -1.4 2.04 0.97
81 1.11 15.4 4.3 0.0 1.82 0.87
71 0.91 13.8 4.7 0.0 1.63 0.78
56 0.69 12.1 5.2 0.0 1.47 0.71
39 0.47 10.6 5.9 0.0 1.36 0.65
24 0.29 9.7 6.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
9 0.10 9.0 7.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 544 2 854 2690 21.1
6 546 3 357 3189 22.6
7 206 3 690 3517 23.1
8 026 4 102 3925 23.7
8 949 4 565 4384 24.3
9 941 5 063 4879 24.7
11 025 5 606 5419 25.3
12 208 6 198 6010 25.8
13 487 6 838 6649 26.1
3.32 28.8 4.0
1.92 28.2 3.9
2.16 26.7 3.9
2.18 25.7 3.9
2.10 25.1 4.0
2.07 24.9 4.2
2.04 24.8 4.5
1.99 24.7 4.7
1.93 24.3 5.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KAZAKHSTAN A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
KAZAKHSTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 43 0.92 21.8 10.1 -2.6 2.56 1.20
1 62 0.99 21.6 9.3 -2.5 2.60 1.22
147 0.86 19.7 8.8 .2.3 2.61 1.23
109 0.62 16.9 8.5 -2.3 2.53 1.20
96 0.53 16.0 8.5 -2.2 2.45 1.17
112 0.60 16.8 8.7 .2.1 2.39 1.14
129 0.67 17.7 8.9 -2.1 2.35 1.12
125 0.62 17.3 9.1 -2.0 2.35 1.12
102 0.49 16.1 9.2 .1.9 2.35 1.12
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Tdal ................................................... Males .................................... ............... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... . . ........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
77 0.50 17.6 10.1 -2.6 2.06 0.96
54 0.35 15.5 9.4 .2.5 1.80 0.85
22 0.14 13.1 9.2 .2.5 1.61 0.76
.4 .0.03 11.5 9.3 .2.5 1.53 0.72
. 29 .0.18 10.3 9.6 .2.5 1.45 0.69
. 48 .0.31 9.7 10.2 .2.5 1.39 0.66
. 64 .0.42 9.4 11.0 .2.6 1.35 0.64
-84 .0.56 8.9 11.8 .2.7 1.35 0.64
-107 .0.73 8.1 12.7 .2.7 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Median age (years) .................................
15211 7274 7 937 28.8
15565 7431 8 135 29.9
15975 7624 8 352 31.3
16318 7788 8 530 33.0
16554 7903 8 651 35.0
16720 7987 8 733 36.5
16847 8056 8 791 37.4
16934 8111 8 823 37.8
16953 8137 8 816 38.4
16887 8124 8 763 39.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
0.46 17.3 10.1
0.52 17.2 9.5
0.43 15.9 9.2
0.29 14.4 9.1
0.20 13.6 9.2
0.15 13.5 9.6
0.10 13.5 10.1
0.02 13.2 10.6
.0.08 12.6 11.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
KENYA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrih (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................... ....... Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
35599 17 740 17 859 99.3
40645 20 265 20 380 99.4
46167 23 031 23 136 99.5
51691 25 793 25 898 99.6
57176 28 531 28 645 99.6
62762 31 316 31 446 99.6
68464 34 156 34 308 99.6
74136 36 977 37 159 99.5
79596 39 683 39 913 99.4
84757 42 227 42 529 99.3
16.8 25.9 22.2 3.9 2.7 0.4 15.8 7.1 7.2 13.1 48.9 18.1 61
16.9 26.1 20.5 4.0 2.5 0.4 16.1 6.9 6.3 12.3 48.2 18.4 70
15.7 26.8 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.4 16.6 7.1 6.4 11.1 48.1 18.6 80
14.2 26.5 19.9 4.7 2.9 0.4 16.2 7.5 6.8 11.5 49.4 19.3 89
13.1 24.9 21.1 5.1 3.3 0.4 15.0 7.3 7.0 12.3 51.4 20.3 99
12.3 23.1 21.3 5.6 3.6 0.5 13.9 6.8 6.7 12.7 52.7 21.7 108
11.7 21.8 20.4 6.2 4.0 0.6 13.2 6.3 6.2 12.2 53.1 23.1 118
11.1 20.9 19.2 7.1 4.5 0.6 12.7 6.1 5.9 11.4 53.0 24.4 128
10.3 20.1 18.5 8.2 5.2 0.7 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.9 53.4 25.7 137
9.5 19.1 18.1 9.5 6.2 0.8 11.5 5.7 5.6 10.7 53.7 27.0 146
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 1 009 Population change peryear (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... 1 496 449 Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Not migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 38 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 2.65 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 39.2 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 11.8 Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . .1.0 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 4.96 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.96 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 64 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 104 Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ............................................. 53.0 Females ............................................... 55.2 Both sexes comb~ned............................ 54.1
451
460
. l0
. l0
2.55 36.1 10.4 .0.2 4.54 1.85 58 93
2.26 32.2 9.4 .0.2 4.04 1.70 53 83
l 097 1 590 483 . 10 2.02 29.2 8.9 .0.2 3.59 1.54 49 75
55.4 58.1 56.8
57.1 60.2 58.6
50.3 61.4 59.9
1 104 1 565
l 105 1 575
1 117 1 637 509 . 10 1.86 27.3 8.5 .0.2 3.22 1.41 45 67
1 140 1 689
59.6 62.9 61.2
1.74 25.7 8.2 .0.2 2.93 1.30 40 59
1 134 1 712 567 . 10 1.59 24.0 8.0 -0.1 2.71 1.22 35 51
1 092 1 699 597 . 10 1.42 22.1 7.8 0.1 2.53 1.16 32 44
1 032 1 672 630 . 10 1.26 20.3 7.7 .0.1 2.39 1.11 28 38
61.1 64.4 62.7
62.6 66.0 64.3
64.0 67.5 65.7
65.4 69.0 67.2
538
. l0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
KENYA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
1 079 2.82 41.0 11.9 .1.0 5.21 2.06
1 230 2.80 38.6 10.5 -0.2 4.94 2.02
1 283 2.55 35.1 9.5 .0.2 4.54 1.91
1 307 2.30 32.0 8.9 -0.2 4.09 1.75
1 384 2.18 30.3 8.4 -0.2 3.72 1.62
1 491 2.11 29.2 8.0 -0.1 3.43 1.53
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Age distributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
....
.. .
..........
940 2.48 37.4 11.7 -1.0 4.71 1.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
35 599 17 740 17 859 18.1
40 692 20 288 20 404 18.3
46 832 23 388 23 466 18.3
53 864 26 887 26 978 18.3
61 926 30 919 31 006 18.5
71 319 35 615 35 703 18.7
82 346 41 129 41 216 18.8
95 283 47 597 47 686 18.8
110 431 55 167 55 264 18.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.67 39.5 11.8
2.81 38.8 10.5
2.80 37.8 9.6
2.79 37.1 9.1
2.82 36.9 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.88 36.8 8.0
2.92 36.7 7.4
2.95 36.4 6.9
2.98 36.3 6.4
KUWAIT
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
152 90 146.4
199 120 80 150.5
278 1 74 104 166.8
471 287 183 157.0
744 422 322 130.9
1007 551 456 120.7
1375 788 587 134.2
1720 977 743 131.5
2143 1 218 925 131.6
1725 1 037 688 150.9
2228 1 355 874 155.1
15.2 21.0 21.9 4.5 2.9 0.2 46.6 21.5 9
17.0 19.3 20.9 4.6 3.3 0.3 45.7 22.0 11
15.7 19.1 20.7 3.6 2.2 0.1 46.5 22.8 16
17.3 21.0 20.4 2.6 1.7 0.3 45.6 21.4 26
18.5 24.9 18.2 2.5 1.7 0.3 44.8 18.9 42
18.1 26.3 17.6 2.8 1.6 0.2 45.9 18.2 56
15.7 24.6 18.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 48.2 20.5 77
14.5 22.6 17.2 2.1 1.2 0.2 52.3 22.5 97
14.2 22.4 17.3 2.1 1.2 0.2 52.8 22.8 120
10.5 18.3 16.4 2.2 1.2 0.2 56.5 26.8 97
9.4 16.6 14.9 2.6 1.4 0.2 60.4 28.9 125
62
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatfon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2 700 1629 1 071 152.0
3 051 l811 1 239 146.1
3 376 1988 1 390 143.0
3 690 2155 1 535 140.3
3 988 2311 1 676 137.9
4 273 2459 1 814 135.5
4 547 2596 1 951 133.0
4 807 2721 2 086 130.4
5 039 2827 2 212 127.8
5 240 2913 2 327 125.2
8.5 15.2 16.0 3.1 1.8 0.2 9.3 4.3 4.1 9.8 62.5 29.2 152
8.5 14.8 14.4 4.1 2.3 0.2 9.0 4.2 4.0 8.7 61.4 30.6 171
7.7 14.7 13.7 5.4 3.1 0.3 9.0 4.1 4.0 8.2 59.8 32.3 190
7.0 14.3 13.4 7.7 4.3 0.5 8.6 4.2 4.0 8.0 57.9 34.0 207
6.4 13.2 13.5 10.5 6.2 0.7 7.9 4.0 4.0 8.1 55.9 35.5 224
6.2 12.2 13.3 14.1 8.5 1 .0 7.3 3.7 3.8 8.1 53.5 36.7 240
6.1 11.6 12.5 18.0 11.6 1.4 7.0 3.4 3.5 7.6 51.3 37.7 255
6.0 11.4 11.7 21.5 14.8 2.2 6.9 3.3 3.3 7.1 49.6 38.5 270
5.9 11.4 11.3 23.8 17.7 3.1 6.9 3.3 3.2 6.8 48.4 39.3 283
5.7 11.3 11.2 24.9 19.5 4.4 6.8 3.4 3.3 6.7 47.4 40.1 294
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................... . ................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
76 2.63 19.9 1.9 8.3 2.43 1 .18
75 2.31 19.1 2.1 6.1 2.49 1.21
75 2.06 17.6 2.5 5.5 2.51 1.22
73 1.81 16.1 3.0 5.0 2.44 1.19
72 1.64 15.4 3.6 4.6 2.38 1.16
73 1.54 15.5 4.3 4.2 2.35 1.15
75 1.46 15.8 5.1 3.9 2.35 1.15
73 1.34 15.7 6.0 3.7 2.35 1.15
70 1.20 15.3 6.8 3.4 2.35 1.15
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .........
2 700 1 629 1 071
3 022 1 796 1 225
3 299 1 948 1 351
3 548 2 083 1 465
3 780 2 206 1 574
3 993 2 317 1 676
4 184 2 412 1 772
4 345 2 487 1 858
4 467 2 537 1 930
8.5 15.2 16.0 3.l 1.8 0.2 62.5 29.2
7.6 15.0 14.6 4.1 2.4 0.2 62.2 30.8
6.4 14.2 14.1 5.5 3.2 0.3 61.5 32.8
5.5 12.6 13.9 8.0 4.4 0.5 60.7 35.0
5.0 10.9 13.5 11.0 6.5 0.7 58.7 37.0
4.8 9.8 12.3 15.1 9.1 1 .0 55.6 38.7
4.6 9.3 10.9 19.5 12.6 1.5 52.5 40.3
4.4 9.0 10.0 23.7 16.4 2.4 50.2 41.8
4.1 8.8 9.7 26.8 19.9 3.5 48.4 43.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
64
2.25 15.9 1.8 8.4 1.93 0.94
56 1.76 13.4 2.1 6.3 1.69 0.82
46
50 1.45 11.3 2.6 5.8 1.51 0.74
1.27 10.4 3.2 5.5 1.44 0.70
43 1.10 9.8 4.0 5.1 1.38 0.67
38 0.94 9.4 4.9 4.9 1.35 0.66
32 0.76 8.9 6.1 4.7 1.35 0.66
24 0.56 8.3 7.3 4.5 1.35 0.66
16 0.36 7.8 8.6 4.4 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .................... . ........................ Median age (years) ................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2 700 1629 1 071 29.2
3 062 1817 1 245 30.5
3 41 1 2005 1 407 32.1
3 758 2189 1 569 33.5
4 101 2369 1 732 34.6
4 445 2546 1 899 35.4
4 789 2718 2 070 35.9
5 128 2884 2 244 36.3
5 454 3037 2 417 36.7
2.52 18.6 l .9
2.16 17.6 2.1
1.93 16.3 2.5
1.75 15.4 3.0
1.61 15.1 3.7
1.49 15.0 4.4
1.37 14.9 5.3
1.23 14.7 6.2
1.10 14.5 7.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
KYRGYZSTAN A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... ........... Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . 59 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 117 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 43 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 15 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1 .10 Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... 21.8 Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. 8.1 Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . .2.8 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 2.48 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1 .12 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 53 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) 64 Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) 62.0 Males ................................................. Females .......................... ................. 69.9 Both sexes combined ........................... 65.9
..
57 117 45 . 15 1.01 20.7 7.9 .2.7 2.31 1.05 50 60
48 109 45 . 15 0.82 18.4 7.7 .2.5 2.12 0.97
63.1 70.9 66.9
.2
55
37 98 46 . 15 0.60 16.0 7.5 .2.5 1.96 0.90 41 50
27 90 48 . 15 0.43 14.4 7.7 .2.4 1.86 0.86 38 46
23 90 52 . 15 0.35 14.0 8.2 .2.3 1.85 0.86 35 42
16 89 57 15 0.25 13.7 8.9 .2.3 1 85 0.86 32 38
8 85 63 . 15 0.12 13.0 9.6 .2.3 1 .85 0.87 29 35
80 67 . 15 .0.03 12.2 10.2 .2.3 1.85 0.87 26 31
64.3 72.0 68.1
65.7 73.1 69.4
66.9 74.1 70.5
68.1 75.0 71.6
69.1 75.8 72.5
70.1 76.6 73.3
70.9 77.3 74.1
46
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
KYRGYZSTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cwde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2050 7891 3891 4 OM)
70 1.30 23.9 8.1 -2.8 2.73 1.24
76 1.33 23.9 8.0 .2.6 2.71 1.23
73 1.19 22.0 7.7 -2.5 2.62 1.20
61 0.94 19.1 7.3 .2.3 2.46 1.13
53 0.79 17.5 7.3 .2.2 2.36 1.09
55 0.78 17.6 7.7 -2.1 2.35 1.09
55 0.76 17.8 8.1 .2.1 2.35 1.10
51 0.68 17.3 8.6 .2.0 2.35 1.10
44 0.56 16.5 8.9 -1.9 2.35 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Tolal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
48 0.89 19.7 8.0 -2.8 2.23 1.01
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
5 204 2 565 2 639 23.9
5 501 2 711 2 789 25.2
5 832 2 874 2 958 26.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.1 1 22.0 8.1
1.17 22.3 8.0
1.11 21.4 7.7
. . .
6 166 3 038 3 128 28.2
6 476 3 190 3 287 29.6
6 763 3 329 3 434 30.6
0.87 18.4 7.5
0.81 18.1 7.8
.
- p - p p
0.98 19.7 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
7 042 3 465 3 577 31.1
.
.
.
0.77 18.0 8.2
7 319 3 602 3 717 31.7
7 586 3 736 3 850 32.3
0.72 17.8 8.7
0.65 17.4 9.0
.
7 835 3 863 3 972 33.0
LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1 524 751 773 97.2
1 747 859 888 96.8
1 986 977 1009 96.9
2 251 1109 1 142 97.2
2 551 1260 1290 97.7
2 907 1441 1466 98.3
14.7 24.6 19.5 3.9 2.2 0.1 50.9 20.3 6
18.4 23.0 18.4 4.2 2.4 0.1 48.3 19.4 7
17.7 25.1 17.9 4.5 2.6 0.2 46.6 18.8 8
17.2 27.4 16.9 4.8 2.8 0.2 44.7 18.1 10
17.0 26.7 18.6 5.0 3.0 0.2 45.4 17.8 11
17.3 26.2 20.3 5.1 3.1 0.2 45.6 18.0 12
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
102 159 42 . 15 1.72 26.8 7.1 .2.5 3.21 1.41 51 67
105 161 41 . 15 1.64 25.1 6.4 .2.3 2.87 1.29 43 54
105 161 41 . 15 1.51 23.1 5.9 .2.2 2.60 1.19 35 43
98 155 42 . 15 1.31 20.7 5.6 .2.0 2.37 1.10 29 35
86 145 44 . 15 1.08 18.3 5.6 .l.9 2.17 1.02 24 28
72 135 48 . 15 0.86 16.2 5.7 .1.8 2.01 0.95 20 23
59 127 53 15 0.69 14.7 6.1 .1.7 1.87 0.89 17 20
53 127 59 . 15 0.59 14.2 6.6 .1.7 1.85 0.88 15 17
46 126 66 . 15 0.50 13.8 7.2 .1.6 1.85 0.89 13 15
63.0 65.8 64.4
64.9 68.1 66.5
66.7 70.1 68.4
68.2 71.9 70.0
69.5 73.4 71.5
70.7 74.8 72.7
71.7 75.9 73.8
72.6 76.9 74.8
73.5 77.8 75.7
h
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LA0 PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
20fO
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
113 1.91 28.7 7.2 -2.5 3.46 1.52
127 1.93 28.1 6.5 -2.3 3.27 1.47
1 34 1 .87 26.6 5.9 -2.1 3.10 1.42
130 1.66 23.9 5.5 -1.9 2.87 1.33
121 1.43 21.4 5.3 .1.8 2.67 1.26
113 1.24 19.5 5.4 -1.7 2.51 1.19
108 1.12 18.4 5.6 -1.6 2.37 1.13
110 1.08 18.2 5.9 .1.5 2.35 1.12
110 1.02 17.9 6.3 m1.4 2.35 1.12
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate Ioer 1.000 oooulation\ .... Crude death rate8(perl .o O population) ~ .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertilrty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years)
.................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
90
1.53 24.8 7.0 -2.5 2.96 1 .30
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) . ............... Total .................................. Males ........................... ...................... Females ................................ ....... . . . Median age (years) ...............................
5664 2820 2844 19.2
6265 3128 3136 20.5
6990 3499 3491 21.7
7812 3917 3895 22.5
8693 4364 4329 22.8
2.02 29.9 7.2
2.19 30.7 6.5
2.22 30.1 5.9
2.14 28.6 5.4
2.05 27.3 5.2
9630 4839 4792 22.9
10649 5354 5296 23.3
11778 5923 5854 23.8
13031 6556 6474 24.2
2.01 26.7 5.1
2.01 26.5 5.1
2.02 26.5 5.1
2.01 26.3 5.1
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
14410 7254 7157 24.5
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 949 843 1 106 76.2
2 015 884 1 131 78.2
2 121 931 1 190 78.3
2 266 1022 1 244 82.2
2 359 1078 1 281 84.2
2 456 1129 1 327 85.1
2 512 1156 1 356 85.2
2 579 1 191 1 388 85.8
2 663 1239 1 425 86.9
2 490 1 149 1 341 85.7
2 379 1094 1 284 85.2
7.7 17.6 17.3 15.6 11.2 l .9 49.1 30.5 30
7.7 15.7 17.4 15.2 11.0 l .9 49.8 30.6 31
7.8 14.2 16.2 15.0 10.5 1 .8 50.4 32.1
7.5 14.7 14.8 16.2 11.0 2.0 48.1 32.8 35
6.8 14.9 14.0 17.3 11.9 2.1 49.0 34.1 37
7.3 13.8 15.0 17.8 12.7 2.2 48.5 34.8 38
6.9 13.6 15.4 16.5 13.0 2.3 47.8 35.0 39
7.4 13.7 14.3 16.6 11.8 2.5 46.7 34.7 40
7.8 13.6 13.9 17.4 11.8 2.8 45.7 34.6 41
5.6 15.1 13.5 19.3 13.6 2.9 44.6 36.1 39
4.0 13.7 14.1 21.2 15.3 2.8 46.1 38.0 37
33
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2 302 1 060 1 242 85.4
2 243 1 034 1 209 85.6
2 189 1 012 l l77 86.0
2 134 990 1 143 86.6
2 072 966 1 107 87.3
2 012 940 1 071 87.8
l 947 912 1 035 88.2
1 883 884 999 88.5
1 825
1 768 834
4.4 10.0 15.7 22.4 16.6 3.2 5.5 3.8 4.8 9.4 47.6 39.3 36
4.7 8.7 14.3 22.7 17.6 4.0 5.2 2.6 3.3 9.3 46.7 40.3 35
4.9 9.3 10.4 23.9 17.7 4.5 5.7 2.7 2.5 6.4 44.1 41.4 34
4.9 9.8 9.0 25.3 18.7 5.0 6.0 2.9 2.8 5.2 42.6 42.5 33
4.6 10.1 9.6 27.1 20.1 5.3 6.1 3.1 3.0 5.8 41.1 43.8 32
4.1 9.9 10.3 28.3 21.9 5.3 5.8 3.1 3.2 6.2 40.1 45.5 31
3.9 9.1 10.7 30.0 23.0 6.1 5.3 3.0 3.2 6.5 38.4 47.6 30
4.1 8.4 10.5 31.6 24.4 6.9 4.9 2.7 3.0 6.5 35.4 49.4 29
4.4 8.4 9.7 34.0 25.9 7.9 5.0 2.5 2.6 6.0 34.1 50.2 28
859 966 88.9
934 89.4 4.6 8.9 8.9 37.3 28.0 8.3 5.4 2.6 2.5 5.4 34.4 49.3 27
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
.8 .0.33 11.1 13.6 .0.9 1.54 0.73
.4 .0.20 12.5 13.6 -0.9 1.73 0.83
.4 -0.17 12.7 13.5 .0.9 1.88 0.90
.6 -0.29 11.4 13.4 -0.9 1.93 0.93
.7 0.33 10.0 13.3 0.0 1.98 0.95
.7 -0.32 10.1 13.3 0.0 2.03 0.98
.4 -0.19 11.5 13.4 0.0 2.08 1 00
.1 .0.05 12.9 13.4 0.0 2.13 1.03
0 .0.01 13.3 13.4 0.0 2.18 1.05
2050
Populatlon (thousands) . ........................ Total ....................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Pe~centageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................. ....
. 16 -0.70 7.6 13.7 -0.9 1.04 0.49
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................. .................. Males .................................................. Females ...................... ................. Median age (years) .................................
.. . .
2302 1 060 1 242 39.3
2240 1 033 1 207 40.4
2178 1 007 1 171 41.6
2107 977 1 130 43.0
2024 941 1 083 44.5
1946 906 1 039 46.5
1865 870 995 48.7
1782 832 950 51.0
1696 793 903 52.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.OS4 9.1 13.6
.0.56 9.1 13.8
-0.67 8.3 14.0
.0.80 7.2 14.2
.0.79 6.6 14.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.85 6.4 14.8
-0.91 6.4 15.5
.0.99 6.2 16.1
.1.09 5.9 16.8
1606 751 855 53.8
LEBANON A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .............. Females ......................... ... ............... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................... ................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~ondensity (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Both sexes comblned ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
LEBANON
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousends) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 01 1 1 965 2 046
4 269 2 091 2 178
4 541 2 225 2 316
4 814 2 361 2 453
5 072 2 489 2 583
5 31 1 2 609 2 702
5 536 2 723 2 813
5 760 2 837 2 922
5 983 2 953 3 030
6 197 3 066 3 131
9.1 19.5 18.0 10.2 7.2 1 .0 53.7 27.1
9.5 17.8 17.5 10.4 7.3 1.1 53.2 28.2
9.5 16.9 17.1 11.1 7.5 1.3 52.0 29.2
9.3 17.3 15.6 12.2 8.1 1.4 49.8 30.0
8.7 17.2 14.9 13.6 9.2 1.5 48.5 31 .1
8.1 16.6 15.5 15.1 10.4 1.6 47.7 32.2
7.9 15.7 15.6 16.6 11.7 l .9 47.1 33.0
7.9 15.0 15.2 17.8 12.9 2.4 46.5 33.5
7.9 14.8 14.4 19.1 13.9 2.9 45.5 34.1
7.8 14.9 13.8 20.0 14.9 3.4 44.6 34.7
52 1.25 20.1 7.1 -0.6 2.46 1.16
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ..................................... :......... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
35 0.86 16.2 7.0 -0.6 1.96 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT ~
. .
~
-
p
.. -
p
P
.
. .
P
P
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
4 011 1965 2 046 27.1
4 245 2079 2 166 28.3
4 484 2196 2 288 29.6
4 718 2312 2 407 30.7
4 950 2427 2 523 31.9
5 169 2537 2 632 33.1
5 375 2641 2 734 34.1
5 568 2740 2 828 34.7
5 750 2835 2 916 35.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.14 19.0 7.0
1.09 18.6 7.1
1.02 18.1 7.0
0.96 17.4 7.0
0.87 16.6 7.1
0.78 16.0 7.4
0.70 15.7 7.9
0.65 15.5 8.3
0.59 15.3 8.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
5 922 2926 2 996 35.8
LESOTHO A ESTIMATES indicator Population (thousands) ..................... Total .......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
. .
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
734 344 390 88.3
788 369 418 88.2
851 396 455 87.0
933 430 503 85.4
1 033 477 555 86.0
1 149 531 619 85.7
1 296 598 698 85.6
1 472 681 791 86.1
l 601 743 858 86.6
1 722 803 919 87.4
1 886 881 1004 87.7
16.3 24.4 18.1 6.9 4.5 0.4 45.4 19.8 24
16.2 25.7 18.0 6.7 4.3 0.4 45.3 19.1 26
16.6 26.4 18.6 6.6 4.2 0.4 45.3 18.3 28
17.0 26.6 19.1 6.5 4.2 0.4 45.8 17.9 31
17.1 27.0 19.6 6.6 4.2 0.4 45.4 17.6 34
17.3 27.2 19.6 6.4 4.2 0.4 45.4 17.5 38
17.4 27.4 19.8 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.4 17.4 43
17.0 27.7 19.7 6.4 4.1 0.4 45.5 17.4 49
16.5 28.5 19.7 6.6 4.3 0.5 45.2 17.3 53
15.4 28.8 20.6 6.9 4.5 0.5 45.7 17.4 57
14.8 27.2 22.4 6.9 4.7 0.6 47.8 18.2 62
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant rnortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
1 981 930 1051 88.5
2 044 969 1075 90.2
2 107 1009 1098 91.9
2 163 1045 1118 93.5
2 21 1 1077 1133 95.0
2 252 1103 1148 96.1
2 288 1124 1162 96.7
2 314 1139 1175 96.9
2 337 1150 1187 96.9
13.8 26.6 23.5 6.7 4.7 0.7 16.1 7.7 7.6 13.9 48.6 18.8 65
13.1 26.0 23.7 6.7 4.7 0.7 15.6 7.8 7.4 14.1 48.9 19.4 67
12.6 24.8 23.4 6.8 4.7 0.8 14.9 7.4 7.4 13.9 50.3 20.2 69
12.1 24.0 22.9 6.9 4.8 0.8 14.4 7.1 7.0 13.7 51.9 21.0 71
11.5 23.3 22.1 6.8 5.0 0.8 14.0 7.0 6.9 13.2 53.3 21 .8 73
11.0 22.5 21.6 6.5 4.9 0.9 13.5 6.8 6.7 12.9 54.6 22.6 74
10.4 21.5 21.2 6.4 4.6 0.9 12.9 6.6 6.6 12.7 55.3 23.5 75
9.9 20.6 20.7 6.8 4.6 1 .0 12.3 6.3 6.3 12.4 55.5 24.4 76
9.5 19.7 19.9 7.9 5.0 1 .0 11.8 6.0 6.0 11.9 55.3 25.5 77
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
13 58 39 .7 0.63 29.0 19.2 .3.6 3.37 1.20 65 98
13 57 37 .7 0.61 27.5 18.0 .3.5 3.05 1.13 55 83
11 56 37 .7 0.52 26.1 17.5 .3.4 2.80 1.07 47 69
10 54 37 .7 0.44 24.6 17.0 .3.3 2.61 1.02 42 60
8 52 36 .7 0.37 23.2 16.3 .3.2 2.45 0.99 37 53
7 50 36 .7 0.30 21.9 15.8 -3.2 2.32 0.97 33 47
6 48 35 .7 0.24 20.8 15.2 .3.1 2.21 0.94 29 42
5 46 34 .7 0.20 19.8 14.7 3.1 2.12 0.91 26 38
4 44 33 .7 0.16 18.7 14.1 .3.1 2.03 0.89 24 34
42.9 42.3 42.6
45.4 44.0 44.8
47.1 45.3 46.3
48.6 46.9 47.9
50.0 49.1 49.6
51.2 51.1 51.2
52.3 53.0 52.6
53.7 54.6 54.1
55.3 56.4 55.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LESOTHO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..
..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 981
2 064 979 1 085
2 162 1036 1 125
2 263 1096 1 167
2 360 1 152 1 208
2 457 1207 1 250
2 557 1261 1 297
2 664 1316 1 349
2 776 1372 1 404
13.8 26.6 23.5 6.7 4.7 0.7 48.6 18.8
14.0 25.7 23.5 6.7 4.6 0.7 48.5 19.2
13.9 25.1 22.8 6.6 4.6 0.8 49.1 19.6
13.6 25.3 21.9 6.6 4.6 0.8 49.6 20.0
12.9 25.2 21.5 6.4 4.6 0.8 50.8 20.2
12.4 24.5 21.9 6.0 4.5 0.8 52.2 20.8
12.0 23.4 22.1 5.7 4.2 0.8 53.2 21.5
11.8 22.6 21.5 5.9 4.0 0.9 53.5 22.2
11.5 22.1 20.5 6.6 4.2 0.8 53.4 23.0
17 0.82 31.0 19.P -3.6 3.62 1.29
20 0.92 30.6 17.9 -3.4 3.45 1.28
20 0.92 29.7 17.2 -3.3 3.30 1.25
19 0.84 27.9 16.4 -3.1 3.1 1 l .22
19 0.80 26.5 15.5 -3.0 2.95 1.20
20 0.80 25.6 14.7 -2.9 2.82 1.17
21 0.82 25.0 14.1 -2.8 2.71 1.15
22 0.82 24.2 13.4 .2.6 2.62 1.13
0.79 23.2 12.7 .2.5 2.53 1.11
930 1 051
22
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
. ....
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Nei reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 0.43 27.0 19.1 .3.6 3.12 1.12
6 0.28 24.3 18.0 .3.5 2.65 0.98
2 0.09 22.3 17.6 .3.5 2.30 0.88
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population)
..
.2 .0.12 19.6 17.3 .3.5 1.95 0.79
.5 .0.26 18.0 17.0 .3.5 1.82 0.76
.8 -0.39 16.4 16.7 .3.6 1.71 0.73
. 10 .0.49 15.1 16.3 .3.7 1.62 0.70
. 11 .0.56 13.9 15.8 .3.8 1.53 0.67
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
.
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................................... Median age (years) ................................
0 -0.01 21 .0 17.6 .3.5 2.11 0.83
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1981 930 1 051 18.8
2075 985 1 090 19.1
2196 1054 1 142 19.3
2334 1131 1 202 19.3
2487 1216 1 270 19.1
2662 1310 1 352 19.1
2868 1417 1 451 19.3
3108 1540 1 568 19.5
3384 1679 1 704 19.7
0.93 32.1 19.3
1.13 32.6 17.9
1.22 32.4 17.1
1.27 31.7 16.1
1.37 31.3 14.9
1.49 31.3 13.8
1.61 31.4 12.9
1.70 31.2 12.0
1.78 31 .0 11.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
LIBERIA A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1850
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
824
925 457 467 97.9
1052 521
1387
W.0
1203 598 607 $8.2
698 96.6
1605 799 806 99.1
1868 931 937 99.4
2171 1083 1 w#) 99.6
2137 1067 1070 99.8
2143 1070 1073 99.8
3071 1533 1538 99.7
17.7 25.0 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.2 46.4 18.7 8
18.0 26.0 18.3 4.8 2.9 0.2 45.4 18.1 9
18.1 26.8 18.4 4.7 2.0 0.2 44.7 17.5 11
18.4 27.0 18.9 4.5 2.7 0.2 44.6 17.2 12
18.6 27.2 19.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 44.5 17.0 14
18.8 27.4 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 44.4 16.8 17
19.0 27.6 19.3 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.3 16.6 19
19.1 27.9 19.3 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.2 16.4 19
18.4 28.3 19.6 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.8 16.5 19
18.9 27.8 20.0 3.7 2.3 0.2 45.0 16.5 20
~ U k t r o (thOUMIld0) n
Total ....................................................
Males ...................................................
408 416 98.0
A- dl.Mbut)on Percentage aged 0 4 .... Pecceotage a p j 5-14.... Percentage aged 15-24.. . Percentage aged 60o( cnmr .................. Percentage aged 05 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ........ Percentage of w m m aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuhtkm density (populatbnper sq km)
16.8 24.7 18.9 5.0
3.0 0.2 47.4 19.2 7
532
688
1850-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 populat'bnchange per year (Ihousanbs) . Births per year (thousamis) ..................... Deaths per year (tkuanrB) ................... Population g r M rate @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populalion) Crude death rate @er 1.000 populalion) .. Total Wily (children per woman) ........... Net reprodwtion rate (per wwnan) .......... Infant mMtallty rate (per 1,000live births) Llte axp&tlncY at (w-) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both aem combined ............................
....
30
2.84 49.4 22.8 6.80 2.16 172
44 74 33 2.93 49.5 21.8 6.90 2.20 165
53 86 36 3.04 49.7 20.8 6.90 2.26 158
61 101 40 3.01 49.8 19.8 6.80 2.31 150
- 7 107 41 4.32 49.8 10.8 6.90 2.36 138
1 107 49 0.06 50.0 23.0 6.90 2.14 1 79
186 130 55 7.19 49.7 21.2 6.80 2.19 152
74 162 65 2.28 49.9 19.8 8.80 2.27 143
40.6 42.6 41.5
41.8 43.5 42.6
42.8 44.8 43.8
43.7 46.0 44.9
44.9 47.2 46.0
39.7 42.0 40.8
41.0 43.5 42.2
42.8 44.8 43.8
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5849 2932 2917 100.5
6771 3397 3374 100.7
7797 3915 3883 100.8
8909
4476 4433 101.0
10073 5063 5010 101.1
11260 5861 5599 101.1
12 460 6264 6 195 101.1
18.2 28.7 20.0 3.6 2.2 0.2 17.7 7.7 6.9 11.5 44.9 18.4 53
17.5 28.2 20.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 17.3 7.7 7.0 11.9 46.0 16.9 61
16.8 27.6 20.9 3.7 2.3 0.2 17.0 7.5 7.0 12.1 47.1 17.5 70
16.0 27.0 20.9 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.6 7.4 6.9 12.2 48.2 18.1 80
14.9 26.3 20.9 4.1 2.5 0.3 18.1 7.4 6.9 12.2 49.5 19.0 90
13.7 25.2 20.9 4.5 2.8 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.8 12.3 51.1 20.0 101
12.7 23.9 20.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 14.5 6.9 6.7 12.3 52.5 21.2 112
37 64
20 43 22 2.31 48.8 25.7 8.45 1.92 194
26 48 25 2.58 49.0 24.8 8.65 2.02 187
55 27 2.68 49.1 23.8 8.80 2.10 100
37.1 40.0
38.5
38.2 40.8 39.5
39.4 41.7 40.5
2005
2010
2015
2020
3442 1720 1722 99.9
4311 2157 2154 100.1
5032
2520 2512 100.3
19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 17.1 7.3 0.8 11.7 44.8 16.4 31
19.3 28.2 19.6 3.5 2.1 0.2 17.5 7.3 6.5 11.4 44.3 16.2 39
18.8 28.7 19.4 3.6 2.1 0.2 17.8 7.5 8.7 11.1 44.3 16.2 45
30
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratb (mareS per 100iemak) ........... Age dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage 5-14.......................... Percentage a(pd 15-24 ......................... peramtage aged 60or over .................. Percentage aged 65 w cnmr Percentage aged 60 w o ~ .................. n Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in sdod age8 12-14 Percentage kr schod ages 1517 .......... Percentqp in school eps 1 E-23 .......... Percentaw of mwnen Median age (years) ..... ... Population density (POpJatbn pew sq km)
..
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2 0 ~ 2 0 2 52025-2Wo 203w2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050 Population c h q e per year (mwsands) . Birvls per year (lhousand.~)..................... Deaths per year (thousande) Net migratkm per year (thweands) Populatbn growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpoprlatm).... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Net dgratkm rate @er 1 ,OOO-lion) TOW fertility (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant m m t a l i rate (per 1 ,OOOlhre bMhs) u n d e r - h mortality (per 1 ,OOOlive births) Llk oxprctmcy at birth (m) Males ...................................................
...................
...
.
Bovlsexescanbined............................
306
174 192 71
144 222 77
164 245 81
53
0
0
164 270
205
222
294
314
85 0
89
92 0
2.82 40.4 12.2
2.67 37.6 11.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.21 2.04 91 135
4.71 1 .89 120
4.20 1.73 73 105
3.72 1.58 64 92
3.33 1.44 57 79
52.2 54.0 53.1
54.1 55.9 55.0
55.9 57.8 58.9
57.7 59.7 58.7
59.4 61.6 60.5
4.50 49.6 18.3 13.6 6.77 2.33 133 205
3.09 47.4 10.6 0.0 0.49 2.31 122 186
3.01 45.0 14.9 0.0 8.10 2.25 111 168
2.93
44.8 46.6 45.7
46.7 48.4 47.5
48.5 50.3 49.4
50.3 52.1 51.2
42.7 13.5 0.0 5.68 2.16 101 152
0
02
233 327 95 0
2.48
34.5 10.0
237 334 97 0 2.23 31.4 9.1
240 339 100 0
2.03 28.6 8.4
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3442 1 720 1722
4314 2 158 2156
5080 2 544 2536
5983 2 999 2984
7006 3 515 3491
8160 4 097 4063
9447 4 746 4701
10852 5 455 5397
12351 6 211 6141
19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.4
19.4 28.1 19.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 44.2 16.2
19.5 28.5 19.3 3.5 2.1 0.2 43.9 15.9
19.2 28.8 19.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 43.9 15.9
18.4 29.1 19.9 3.5 2.2 0.2 44.5 16.1
17.7 28.6 20.5 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.5 16.6
17.0 27.9 21.0 3.7 2.3 0.2 46.8 17.2
16.1 27.2 21.0 3.6 2.4 0.2 48.0 18.0
15.1 26.4 20.9 4.1 2.5 0.3 49.4 18.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
174 4.52 49.7 18.3 13.5 6.80 2.34
153 3.27 49.4 16.8 0.0 6.80 2.42
181 3.27 47.9 15.2 0.0 6.60 2.43
205 3.16 45.2 13.7 0.0 6.18 2.35
231 3.05 42.7 12.3 0.0 5.71 2.23
300
257 2.93 40.3 11.1 0.0 5.21 2.09
281 2.77 37.7 10.0 0.0 4.70 1.94
2.59 34.9 9.0 0.0 4.22 1.79
315 2.40 32.2 8.2 0.0 3.83 1.66
.
D LOW VARIANT
Popuiation (thousands) Total ....................... . ........................... Males ......................... .............. Females ....................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...............................
. .
3 442 1 720 1 722
4 281 2 142 2 139
4 945 2 476 2 469
5 679 2 846 2 832
6 497 3 259 3 238
7 385 3 707 3 678
8 312 4 175 4 137
9 236 4 641 4 594
10 131 5 092 5 039
19.2 27.7 20.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.8 16.4
18.8 28.4 19.7 3.6 2.2 0.2 44.6 16.4
18.0 28.6 19.8 3.6 2.2 0.2 45.1 16.6
17.2 28.1 20.6 3.7 2.3 0.2 46.3 17.1
16.6 27.3 21.0 3.8 2.3 0.2 47.5 17.7
15.8 26.6 20.9 3.9 2.4 0.2 48.6 18.4
14.8 26.0 20.7 4.2 2.6 0.3 49.7 19.2
13.5 25.1 20.8 4.5 2.8 0.3 51.1 20.2
12.2 23.8 20.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 52.9 21.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
168 4.36 47.9 18.1 13.6 6.52 2.24
133 2.88 45.1 16.3 0.0 6.09 2.16
147 2.77 42.3 14.7 0.0 5.60 2.06
164 2.69 40.2 13.4 0.0 5.18 1.97
178 2.56 37.7 12.1 0.0 4.71 1.84
185 2.36 34.6 11.0 0.0 4.21 1.69
185 2.11 31.1 10.0 0.0 3.70 1.53
179 1.85 27.7 9.2 0.0 3.22 1.36
171 1.62 24.9 8.6 0.0 2.83 1.22
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Median age (years) ............................... .
3442 1 720 1722 16.4
4312 2 157 2155 16.2
5073 2 541 2532 16.0
6001 3 008 2993 15.8
7136 3 581 3556 15.7
8533 4 285 4248 15.6
10257 5 154 5103 15.4
12391 6 230 6160 15.3
15037 7 564 7473 15.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
4.51 49.6 18.3
3.25 49.2 16.8
3.36 48.9 15.3
3.47 48.6 14.0
3.58 48.4 12.8
3.68 48.3 11.6
3.78 48.1 10.4
3.87 47.9 9.4
3.96 47.8 8.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHlRlYA A ESTIMATES 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ....................... ............................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5918 3 070 2848 107.8
6530 3 372 3158 1M.8
7129 3 667 3463 105.9
7656 3 923 3733 105.1
8087 4 128 3959 104.3
8447 4 296 4151 103.5
8785 4 451 4334 102.7
9124 4 606 4518 101.9
9436 4 747 4689 101.2
9683 4 856 4827 100.6
11.2 19.1 21.7 6.0 3.8 0.5 1 1 .6 5.5 5.7 13.7 57.6 24.1
11.0 19.2 17.3 6.7 4.4 0.6 11.8 5.3 5.0 10.4 56.7 26.2 4
10.1 19.3 15.9 7.6 4.9 0.8 11.8 5.5 5.1 9.3 55.6 27.8 4
8.7 18.7 16.4 8.9 5.7 0.9 11.3 5.6 5.3 9.6 54.9 29.3 4
7.4 17.2 17.0 10.4 6.9 .2 10.2 5.4 5.4 10.1 54.2 30.8 5
6.6 15.0 17.0 12.5 8.2 1.4 8.8 4.9 5.1 10.3 53.1 32.5 5
6.5 13.1 15.8 15.2 9.9 1.7 7.7
6.6 12.3 13.9 18.2 12.3 2.2 7.4 3.7 3.8 8.5 48.6 35.9 5
6.6 12.4 12.3 21.5 14.8 2.7 7.6 3.6 3.5 7.4 46.9 37.6 5
6.2 12.7 11.6 23.3 17.7 3.5 7.7 3.7 3.6 6.9 45.4 39.2 6
3
4.2 4.5 9.7 50.5 34.2 5
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................ . ....................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHlRlYA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1 MX) population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
.
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5918 3 070 2 848
6595 3 405 3 190
7311 3 760 3 551
7986 4 092 3 894
8559 4 370 4 189
9066 4 613 4 453
9575 4 855 4 720
10130 5 121 5 009
10708 5 398 5 310
11256 5 661 5 594
11.2 19.1 21.7 6.0 3.8 0.5 57.6 24.1
11.8 19.0 17.1 6.6 4.3 0.6 56.1 26.0
11.4 19.7 15.5 7.4 4.8 0.7 54.2 27.1
10.2 20.2 15.7 8.5 5.5 0.9 52.6 27.8
8.7 19.3 16.9 9.8 6.5 1.1 52.0 28.7
7.8 17.2 17.8 11.6 7.6 1.3 51.5 29.9
7.7 15.1 17.3 13.9 9.1 1.6 49.8 31.3
8.1 14.2 15.4 16.4 11.0 2.0 48.4 32.6
8.3 14.6 13.5 19.0 13.1 2.4 47.1 33.8
8.1 15.2 12.8 20.0 15.3 3.0 46.0 35.0
135 2.17 25.4 4.1 0.3 2.97 1.41
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per l. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
109 1.76 21.4 4.1 0.3 2.47 1.17
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
5918 3070 2848 24.1
6604 3410 3194 25.9
7355 3782 3573 26.9
8103 4152 3951 27.3
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.19 25.7 4.1
2.15 25.4 4.2
1.94 23.3 4.3
l 67 20.9 4.5
.
8809 4498 4311 27.7
9497 4834 4664 28.3
10219 5186 5034 29.0
11013 5573 5440 29.8
11873 5995 5878 30.6
1.50 19.5 4.7
1.47 19.5 5.1
1.50 20.2 5.4
1.50 20.7 5.8
1.44 20.4 6.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
12761 6432 6329 31.0
LITHUANIA
A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .......... . Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rale (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ................... . ......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................... . ........................... Males .................................. ............. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (popuiation per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 popuiation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortal~tyrate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................... ..... ................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
LITHUANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 12 .0.35 10.8 12.3 .2.1 1.51 0.72
.5 .0.15 12.2 12.5 .1.2 1.71 0.82
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
24 .0.71 7.3 12.3 -2.1
1 .01 0.48
.
E CONSTANT+ERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ........................................... Med~anage (years) .................................
3425 1 597 1 828 37.9
3338 1 555 1 783 39.5
3262 1 519 1 743 40.8
3173 1 479 1 695 42.1
3068 1 430 1 637 43.7
2968 1 385 1 583 45.5
2859 1 335 1 524 47.6
2743 1 281 1 .462 49.7
2619 1 224 1 395 51.5
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.52 9.2 12.3
.0.46 9.3 12.6
.0.55 8.8 13.0
.0.68 7.8 13.3
.0.66 7.0 13.6
.0.75 6.6 14.1
.0.83 6.5 14.8
.0.93 6.4 15.7
.1.03 6.1 16.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l:Comprehensive Tables
LUXEMBOURG Indicator Popuhtbn ( t h o u ~ n d a ) Total .................................................... Males
...............................................
Sex raw (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d womeo Median age (years) .......... Population density (Poprlatkm per sq km)
296
148 148 100.0
305 153 152 100.7
314 155 159 97.5
332 163 169 96.7
339 166 173 96.3
359 178 181 98.5
364 1 78 186 95.7
367 178 188 94.6
382 187 195 95.8
208
222
96.4
97.0
6.4 13.5 16.2 14.5 9.8 1.3 53.4 35.0 114
6.9 12.8 14.1 15.4 10.5 I .6 50.7 35.6 118
8.0 13.4 13.1 16.2 10.8 1.6 47.2 35.2 121
7.7 14.8 13.3 17.6 11.8 I .7 46.0 35.3 128
7.0 15.2 13.9 18.5 12.5 1.7 46.8 35.4 131
5.7 14.2 15.4 18.4 13.0 1.9 48.5 34.9 139
5.6 13.1 15.6 17.8 13.8 2.2 49.1 35.0 141
5.8 11.4 15.2 18.2 13.3 2.6 49.9 35.8 142
6.1 11.2 13.3 19.0 13.4 3.1 49.5 33.4 148
6.5 11.6 12.1 19.1 14.0 3.4 49.7 36.8 158
6.5 12.3 11.5 19.1 14.2 3.2 49.1 37.3 1 69
.
.
2 4 4 14.7 11.7 1 .ge 0.94 44
2 5 4 0.58 15.8 11.8 2.23 1.05 37
4 5 4 1.09 18.0 12.0 2.40 1.01 29
2 5 4 0.46 14.4 12.3 2.19 1.00 21
63.1 68.9 85.9
64.5 70.6 67.5
65.7 72.1 66.8
66.8 73.2 68.9
0.80
437 215
200
1995-20W 2OOO-2005
1950-1955 1955-1960 I S 1 9 6 5 19651970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1-1995 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent)............ CNde birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... CNde death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fartility (chiMren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mrtaii ram (per I WO live births) L l h expoetamy at blrth (ymrs) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sew combined ............................
408
1 4 4 0.14 11.8 11.2 1.47 0.70 12
3 4 4 0.81 12.0 10.6 1.47 0.70 9
5 5 4 1.34 13.1 10.4 1.66 0.79 6
6 6 4 1.35 13.1 9.3 1.72 0.82 5
4 5 4 0.89 12.0 8.9 1.67 0.80
17
1 4 4 0.29 11.2 11.6 1.49 0.71 13
87.2 74.1 70.8
68.5 75.4 71.9
69.8 76.6 73.1
70.2 78.3 74.1
72.4 79.2 75.8
73.9 80.4 77.2
75.1 81.1 70.2
4 4 4 1.13 11.7 12.2 1.72 0.82
5
.
B MEDlUMVARlANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
....... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ...........
457 225 231 97.5
483 239 244 97.8
510 252 258 97.9
538
569 281 288 '97.9
801 297 304 97.8
833 313 320 97.6
663 327 338 97.4
693 342 351 97.3
722 356 366 97.3
Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .................... Percentage aged 1524 ................. Percentage aged 60 or over .......... Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 11 Percentage in school ages 12-1 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23... Percentage of women aged 15-49 .. Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 7.8 3.7 3.5 6.9 49.4 38.3 177
5.7 12.0 12.5 19.2 14.1 3.8 7.2 3.7 3.8 7.5 49.1 39.1 187
5.7 11.4 12.8 19.9 14.6 4.0 6.8 3.5 3.7 7.8 48.1 39.4 197
6.2 11.2 11.6 22.6 16.3 4.1 6.8 3.2 3.3 7.0 45.6 39.4 220
6.3 11.7 11.3 23.9 17.7 4.4 7.1 3.3 3.3 6.8 44.9 39.6 232
6.1 12.0 11.4 24.4 18.9 4.9 7.3 3.5 3.4 6.8 44.6 40.0 245
6.0 12.0 11.8 24.5 19.4 5.5 7.3 3.6 3.5 7.0 44.2 40.3 257
5.9 1 1 .8 12.1 24.6 19.4 6.3 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.3 43.9 40.5
5.9 11.6 12.2 24.9 19.5 6.9 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.4 43.6 40.4 279
Population( t h o u ~ n d ~ ) Total ....................................................
Males
266
272 97.9 5.9 11.1 12.3 21.1 15.2 4.1 6.6 3.3 3.4 7.5 46.6 39.4 208
268
2005-2010 m10-2015 20152020 20202025 20252030 2wMo35 2a35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thoMands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thwsands)................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO populalion) .... CNde dealh rate (per 1.OOO poptAation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant m r l a l i rate (per 1 OOO live births) Under-fhe mrtality (per 1.OOO live births) L l h expectancy at Mrth (par#) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
312
5 4 4 1.13 11.5 8.7 8.5 I .66 0.80 5 7
5 6 4 4
6 6 5 4
1 .08 11.4 8.7 81 1.67 0.80 4 6
75.7 81.6 78.7
76.4 02.3 79.4
5
.
1 .08 11.9 8.7 7.6 1.72 0.83 4 6
6 7 5 4 1.11 12.4 8.6 7.2 1.77 0.85 4 6
77.1 83.0 80.0
77.8 83.6 80.6
0.87 4 5
6 8 5 4 1.03 12.4 8.8 6.5 1.85 0.W 3 5
6 8 6 4 0.94 12.0 8.8 6.2 1.85 0.89 3 5
8 8 6 4 0.87 11.8 9.0 5.9 1.85 0.89 3 4
6 8 6 4 0.84 11.9 9.2 5.7 1.85 0.89 3 4
78.4 84.2 81.3
79.0 84.8 81.9
79.6 85.3 82.5
80.2 85.9 83.0
80.7 86.4 83.6
6 7 5 4 1.10 12.7 8.5 6.8
I .82
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffiirdPopulation Division WorM Population Prosp6ct.s: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Con?iJrehensiveTables
LUXEMBOURG C. HlOHVARlANT lndkator 2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2W5
-
520
558
598
258 283
276 281
296 302
640 317 323
883 338
345
727 360 367
774 383 391
824 408 415
7.3 12.6 11.9 20.3 14.7 3.9 45.0 38.2
7.4 13.3 11.7 21.5 15.5 3.9 44.1 37.7
7.4 13.8 12.2 22.4 16.6 4.1 43.9 37.4
7.3 14.0 12.8 22.6 17.5 4.5 44.2 37.3
7.3 13.9 13.3 22.4 17.7 5.1 44.3 36.9
7.5 13.8 13.3 22.0 17.4 5.7 44.3 36.4
7.6 13.9 13.2 21.9 17.1 6.1 44.2 36.0
2005
2010
2015
457 225 231
487 241 246
5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 49.4 38.3
6.5 12.0 12.4 19.0 14.0 3.8 48.7 38.8
6.8 11.9 12.6 19.5 14.3 4.0 47.2 38.7
2050
Popumiom ( m o u d . )
Total ..................................................... M a k ................................................... Femak#, ............... dlrtrlbutkn Percentage aged 0-4 .... Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60or WBT .. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage a@ 80 or w a r .................. Peof WMnen aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
2o052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalion champ per year (thousands). Population growvl rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,OOOpopulation) . Total Milky (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) ..........
6 1.29 13.1 8.7 8.5 1.91 0.92
7 1.32 13.8 8.6 7.9 2.07 0.99
7 1.39 14.9 8.5 7.4 2.22 1.07
8 1.39 15.2 8.2 6.9 2.27 1.09
8 1.36 15.2 8.1
6.5 2.32 1.11
9 1.30 15.0 8.0 6.0 2.35 1.13
9 1 .26 15.0 8.1 5.7 2.35 1.13
9 1.25 15.3 8.1 5.3 2.35 1.13
10 1.25 15.6 6.1 5.0 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARlANT
....................................
.......................... Percentage agecl 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or war ..................
percentaoe aged 65orwar .... Percentaged 80 U w a r .................. PeruMtageof WWI agecl 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2010
2045
2050
457 225 231
479 237 242
499 247 253
519 256
562
263
540 268 273
285
583 287 296
602 296 308
618 303 315
631 309 322
5.9 12.6 11.7 18.7 14.2 3.2 49.4 38.3
4.9 12.1 12.6 19.3 14.2 3.8 49.5 39.3
4.5 10.8 13.1 20.4 14.9 4.1 49.1 40.2
4.4 9.5 12.8 21.8 15.8 4.2 48.3 40.7
4.7 9.0 11.5 23.8 17.2 4.3 47.2 41.3
4.9 9.2 10.2 25.5 18.9 4.7 48.1 41.9
4.9 9.7 9.7 26.5 20.5 5.3 45.0 42.7
4.6 9.9 9.9 27.0 21.4 6.1 43.9 43.6
4.3 9.6 10.4 27.6 21.6 7.1 43.0 44.5
4.2 9.1 10.7 28.5 22.3 7.9 42.1 45.3
277
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
PopJatiOnchamp per year (thaurands) Population growth rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopllation) .... Crude dealt, rate @er 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOpopuialion) . Total fetlillty ( W r e n per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wunan) ..........
............
5 0.97 9.8 8.7 8.5 1.41 0.68
4 0.82 8.8 8.8 8.2 1.27 0.61
4 0.76 8.7 8.9 7.9 1.22 0.59
4 0.80 9.3 9.0 7.6 1.27 0.61
4 0.81 9.8 9.0 7.3 1.32 0.63
4 0.75 9.7 9.2 7.0 1.35 0.65
4 0.63 9.1 9.6 6.8 1.35 0.65
3 0.51 8.5 10.0 6.6 1.35 0.65
3 0.44 8.3 10.3 6.4 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILIW VARIANT
p0puw011(thouundo) ToLill .................................................... M W ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2010
2045
2050
457
483 239 244 39.1
510 252 258 39.4
537
565 279 286 39.6
593
621 308 314 40.6
646 319 328 41.2
671 330 341 41.6
695 342 353 41.9
225
231 38.3
266
271 39.5
293
300 40.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-20m 203Ww.5 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populationgmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) ..
....
1.13 11.5 8.7
1.07 11.3 8.7
1.04 11.5 8.7
1.02 11.6 8.6
0.97 11.4 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairs/population Division World Population Prospts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.90 11.1 8.7
0.82 10.8 9.0
0.75 10.7 9.2
0.70 10.6 9.5
313
MADAGASCAR
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) ... .................. Total ............................. Males ................................ .............. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ........................... . -
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males ................................. ....... ........... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Papulation change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................... ............... .......... Females .............................. . . . Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MADAGASCAR
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18643 9270 9 373
21474 10679 10 795
24608 12238 12 371
27985 13910 14 075
31505 15648 15 857
35195 17468 17 727
39079 19385 19 694
43149 21396 21 753
47360 23479 23 881
51656 25605 26 051
16.6 27.2 19.5 4.9 3.1 0.4 46.3 17.9
16.3 26.5 19.8 4.9 3.2 0.4 47.0 18.3
15.7 25.9 20.1 5.1 3.2 0.4 47.9 18.9
14.9 25.6 19.9 5.5 3.5 0.5 48.5 19.5
14.0 24.9 19.8 5.9 3.8 0.5 49.5 20.3
13.2 23.9 20.0 6.3 4.1 0.5 50.5 21.3
12.6 22.7 19.8 6.8 4.5 0.6 51.3 22.3
12.0 21.8 19.2 7.4 4.9 0.7 51.7 23.4
11.4 21.1 18.5 8.0 5.3 0.8 51.7 24.4
10.9 20.3 18.0 8.8 5.8 09 51.6 25.5
566 2.83 38.1 9.8 -0.1 5.03 2.09
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands)
Tdal ....................................................
Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
496 2.50 34.6 9.6 .0.1 4.53 1.88
498 2.22 30.9 8.6 0.0 3.86 1.64
484 1.95 27.6 8.1 0.0 3.29 1.42
476 1.75 25.2 7.6 0.0 2.88 1.27
458 1.55 22.8 7.3 0.0 2.56 1.15
428 1.35 20.5 7.0 0.0 2.31 1.05
387 1.15 18.4 6.9 0.0 2.1 1 0.97
340 0.96 16.5 7.0 0.0 1.95 0.91
290 0.78 15.0 7.1 0.0 1.82 0.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bilth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on)..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18 643 9 270 9 373 17.9
21 631 10 758 10 873 18.2
25 226 12 549 12 677 18.3
29 478 14 663 14 815 18.3
34 465 17 141 17 325 18.1
40 354 20 068 20 285 18.1
47 359 23 557 23 802 18.1
55 713 27 724 27 989 18.1
65 671 32 697 32 973 18.1
77 531 38 629 38 902 18.1
2.97 39.6 9.9
3.08 39.8 9.1
3.12 39.6 8.5
3.13 39.0 7.8
3.15 38.6 7.1
3.20 38.5 6.5
3.25 38.4 6.0
3.29 38.3 5.5
3.32 38.3 5.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
MALAWI A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... ......................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2881 1 389 1 491 93.2
3169 l 524 1 645 92.6
3529 1 695 1 834 92.5
3975 1 910 2 065 92.5
4518 2 173 2 345 92.7
5276 2 543 2 733 93.1
6215 3 008 3 207 93.8
7265 3 538 3 727 94.9
9446 4 642 4 804 96.6
10091 4 982 5 110 97.5
11623 5 751 5 872 97.9
19.3 26.4 18.7 4.9 3.1 0.2 44.3 17.1 24
18.5 27.1 19.1 4.6 2.8 0.2 44.9 17.1 27
19.0 26.7 19.3 4.2 2.6 0.2 45.5 17.1
19.3 26.4 19.4 4.0 2.4 0.2 45.6 17.0 34
19.7 27.0 18.8 3.7 2.3 0.2 44.7 16.7 38
19.6 27.3 18.3 4.3 2.8 0.3 44.0 16.5 45
20.0 27.2 18.5 4.5 2.8 0.3 44.1 16.4 52
19.7 28.0 18.8 4.2 2.6 0.2 44.1 16.1 61
18.8 27.9 18.7 4.3 2.7 0.2 45.2 16.7 80
18.4 26.6 19.9 4.8 3.1 0.3 46.0 17.2 85
18.8 27.2 20.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.1 16.9 98
30
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birthrate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dislrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13 226 6565 6661 98.6
15 037 7495 7542 99.4
17 020 8515 8505 100.1
19 150 9615 9535 100.8
21 353 10751 10602 101.4
23 550 11879 11671 101.8
25 707 12976 12731 101.9
27 827 14047 13780 101.9
29 912 15094 14817 101.9
31 944 16110 15834 101.7
18.1 29.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.3 18.1 7.6 6.6 11.5 44.1 16.4 112
17.1 29.1 20.6 4.6 3.0 0.4 17.9 8.0 7.2 11.7 44.7 16.6 127
16.4 28.2 21 -9 4.6 3.1 0.4 17.2 7.9 7.4 12.7 46.1 17.2 144
15.7 27.3 22.3 4.6 3.1 0.4 16.7 7.6 7.2 13.1 47.6 18.0 162
14.8 26.6 21.9 4.7 3.1 0.4 16.2 7.5 7.0 12.9 49.2 18.7 180
13.8 25.7 21.7 4.7 3.2 0.5 15.6 7.4 7.0 12.8 50.7 19.6 199
12.8 24.5 21.7 4.8 3.3 0.5 14.8 7.2 6.9 12.8 52.4 20.7 21 7
12.0 23.1 21.4 5.3 3.4 0.6 13.9 6.8 6.7 12.7 53.9 21.9 235
11.3 21 .8 20.7 5.8 3.8 0.6 13.1 6.5 6.4 12.4 54.6 23.1 252
10.6 20.7 19.8 6.5 4.3 0.7 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.9 54.6 24.4 270
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.OM)live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ ................... Females .................... .. ..................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MALAW C. HIGHVARIANT lndlcator PopulaUon (thousand.) Total ..................................................... Males ...................................................
Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wwnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13 226 6565 6 661
15 152 7553 7599
17 351 8662 8666
19 802 9044 9658
22392 11 276 11 116
25 076 12 850 12 428
27 865 14 088 13 798
30 776 15 538 15 240
33 812 17 067 16 745
36 930 18 634 18 297
18.1 29.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.3 44.1 16.4
17.7 26.9 20.4 4.6 3.0 0.4 44.4 16.5
17.4 28.3 21.5 4.5 3.0 0.4 45.2 16.8
16.9 28.0 21.5 4.4 3.0 0.4 46.0 17.2
15.9 27.7 21.4 4.4 3.0 0.4 47.4 17.6
14.9 27.0 21.7 4.4 3.0 0.5 48.9 18.5
14.1 25.7 21.9 4.4 3.1 0.5 50.6 19.4
13.5 24.5 21.6 4.7 3.1 0.5 52.0 20.4
12.9 23.6 20.9 5.2 3.4 0.5 52.6 21.3
12.3 22.8 20.2 5.6 3.8 0.6 52.7 22.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populafion change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .OOO population) ._.. Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulaIion) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per women) ..........
365
440
2.72 42.4 14.9 -0.3 5.84 2.15
2.71 40.9 13.6 -0.2 5.52 2.08
490 2.64 39.2 12.6 -0.2 5.11 1
.w
516 2.46 36.5 11.8 -0.2 4.60 1.84
537 2.27 33.9 11.1 -0.2 4.14 1.70
557 2.11 31.7 10.5 -0.2 3.78 1.56
563 1.99 30.1 10.1 -0.1 3.47 1.48
607 1.88 28.6 9.7 -0.1 3.24 1.40
624 1.76 27.1 9.3 -0.1 3.06 1.34
D. LOW VARIANT
PopulsUon (thousand.) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrltrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ........ Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w o r m aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13 226 6565 6 661
14 922 7 437 7485
16 689 8348 8 341
18498 9285 9213
20315 10227 10088
22038 11 115 10923
23603 11914 11669
25004 12620 12384
26256 13245 13011
27 365 13 792 13 573
16.1 29.0 19.6 4.6 3.0 0.3 44.1 16.4
16.5 29.4 20.7 4.7 3.0 0.4 45.0 16.8
15.5 26.1 22.4 4.7 3.2 0.4 47.0 17.7
14.5 26.5 23.1 4.7 3.2 0.4 49.2 18.7
13.6 25.3 22.5 4.9 3.3 0.5 51.1 19.6
12.5 24.3 21.6 5.0 3.5 0.5 52.8 20.9
11.3 23.0 21.4 5.2 3.6 0.6 54.4 22.2
10.3 21.4 21.1 5.8 3.8 0.6 56.0 23.7
9.5 19.7 20.4 6.6 4.4 0.7 56.7 25.2
6.8 18.3 19.3 7.6 5.1 0.8 56.5 26.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands). Population growul rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1,ooO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
339
353
362
384
344
2.41 39.1 14.7 -0.3 5.34 1.97
2.24
2.06 33.3 12.5 -0.2 4.11 1.60
1.68
1.63 26.0 11.5 -0.2 3.14 1.29
36.0 13.4 -0.3 4.72 1.79
30.8 12.0 -0.2 3.60 1.44
313 1.37 25.1 11.2 -0.2 2.76 1.16
280 1.15 22.6 10.9 -0.2 2.47 1.OS
251 0.98 20.6 10.7 -0.2 2.24 0.97
0.83 16.9 10.5 -0.1 2.06 0.90
222
E. CONSTANT-FERTIUTY VARIANT
Populdon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M e d i i age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13 226 6 565 6 661 16.4
15 221 7 588 7 633 16.4
17 660 8 839 8 821 16.5
20 626 10 380 10 268 16.3
24 174 12 176 11 9M 16.1
28 416 14 337 14 080 16.1
33 526 18 027 16 601 16.1
39 717 2C 054 19 662 16.1
47 205 23 836 23 370 16.1
58 261 28 406 27 655 16.1
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 m 2 0 3 5 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlatin growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooO population) ..
2.81 43.4 15.0
2.97 43.7 13.6
3.11
44.0 12.6
3.18 43.8 11.9
3.23 43.5 11.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division Wotid Population Pruspects: The 2006 Revkion, Vdume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.31 43.4 10.3
3.39 43.5 9.6
3.46 43.4 6.9
3.51 43.3 8.2
317
MALAYSIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (yean) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6110 3 144 2966 106.0
7000 3 569 3432 104.0
8140 4 138 4003 103.4
9502 4 819 4683 102.9
10853 5 477 5375 101.9
12258 6 169 6089 101.3
13763 6 929 6835 101.4
15677 7 897 7780 101.5
18103 9 185 8919 103.0
20594 10 462 10132 103.3
23274 11 836 11437 103.5
16.7 24.2 17.9 7.3 5.1 0.6 45.8 19.8 19
18.2 24.3 18.2 6.0 4.3 0.6 45.7 18.7 21
18.6 26.7 17.5 5.3 3.4 0.5 43.6 17.6 25
18.0 28.1 17.4 5.0 3.2 0.5 43.4 16.9 29
16.4 28.2 19.3 5.5 3.4 0.5 44.5 17.5 33
15.3 26.8 20.4 5.6 3.7 0.5 47.1 18.6 37
13.6 25.8 21.3 5.7 3.7 0.5 49.8 19.7 42
15.3 23.4 20.6 5.6 3.7 0.5 50.4 20.3
13.7 23.7 19.0 5.7 3.7 0.6 51.0 21.5 55
12.8 23.3 18.6 5.8 3.7 0.5 52.1 22.4 62
11.4 22.1 19.1 6.2 3.9 0.6 53.8 23.6 71
48
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... 25 653 Males ................................................... 13036 Females ............................................... 12617 Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... 103.3 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ 10.7 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... 20.7 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... 19.2 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 6.7 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 4.4 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 12.4 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... 6.2 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... 5.9 Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... 11.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... 54.1 Median age (years) ................................. 24.7 Population density (population per sq km) 78
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 920 14171 13749 103.1
30 047 15227 14820 102.8
32 020 16200 15819 102.4
33 769 17055 16714 102.0
35 270 17780 17490 101.7
36 622 18430 18192 101.3
37 819 19005 18814 101.0
38 830 19490 19340 100.8
39 631 19874 19756 100.6
9.8 19.4 18.6 7.8 4.8 0.7 11.7 5.7 5.7 11.1 53.9 26.3 85
9.1 18.3 17.7 9.3 5.8 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.3 10.7 53.2 27.9 91
8.3 17.1 17.0 11.2 7.1 l.0 10.2 5.1 5.2 10.1 52.8 29.6 97
7.6 16.0 16.3 13.2 8.7 1.2 9.6 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.3 31.4 102
7.0 14.8 15.6 15.0 10.4 1.6 8.8 4.6 4.6 9.3 51.7 33.2 107
6.7 13.7 14.8 16.6 11.9 2.1 8.1 4.2 4.4 8.9 50.4 34.8 111
6.5 13.0 13.9 18.3 13.2 2.8 7.8 3.9 4.0 8.4 48.8 36.4 115
6.2 12.6 13.0 20.2 14.6 3.4 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.9 46.9 37.9 118
6.0 12.3 12.4 22.2 16.3 4.0 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.5 45.4 39.3 120
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . ....... .................... Males ................... Females .................... ...... ................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
MALAYSIA C. HtGHVARIANT Indicator Population (thousad.) Total .................................................... Meles ...................................................
514 .......................... Percentageaged 1524 ......................... percen~@6oorover
..................
p e r c e n ~ ~ 6 5 W O v .................. e r
PercenU~~aged 80ormr Percentageofmnwmagedi5-49
Median age (years)
.........
.................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
25 653 13 036 12 617
28 183 14 306 13 877
30 770 15 599
33356 16 887 16 468
35 746 18 072 17 675
37 940 19 153 18 787
40 111 20 224 19 886
42 311 21 315 20996
44 501 22406
46 595 23 455 23 140
10.7 20.7 19.2 6.7 4.4 0.6 54.1 24.7
10.7 19.2 16.4 7.7 4.6 0.7 53.4 26.0
10.4 18.7 17.3 9.1 5.7 0.6 51.9 27.2
9.6 18.5 16.3 10.6 6.6 1 .o 50.7 28.3
9.0 18.1 16.1 12.5 8.2 1.1 50.2 29.5
8.3 17.1 16.4 13.9 9.7 1.5 50.0 30.7
8.2 15.6 16.2 15.2 10.9 1.9 49.4 31.7
6.2 15.2 15.4 16.3 11.6 2.5 48.3 32.6
8.1 15.1 14.3 17.7 12.7 3.0 46.9 33.5
15 171
............
....
..........
506 1.88 22.6 4.5 0.7 2.65 1.36
517 1.76 21.6 4.6 0.3 2.77 1.32
517 1.61 20.6 4.8 0.3 2.67 1.28
478 1.38 18.7 5.2 0.3 2.51 1.20
43 1.19 17.2 5.6 0.3 2.37 1.14
7.9 15.2 13.8 16.9 13.9 3.4 46.1 34.4
2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 -2035 poprlati chmge per year (tharsanda). Popdath growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO Popllatkn) Crude death rate (per 1.ooO pOpr(ati0n) .. Net nbgratbn rate (per 1.ooO popuhtion) . Told fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n )
22095
434 1.11 16.9 6.0 0.3 2.35 1.13
440 1.07 16.9 6.5 0.2 2.35 1.13
438 1.01 16.7 6.9 0.2 2.35 1.13
419 0.92 16.2 7.2 0.2 2.35 1.13
D. LOW VARIANT
PopuWon (thousad.) Total ....................................................
...........................................
Percentaw
1524 .........................
Peccentage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or war Percentage@ 80 or w a r Percentageof m n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
25 653 13 036 12 617
27 656 14 036 13 621
29 324 14 856 14 468
30684 15513 15170
31794 16039 15755
32618 16416 18202
33220 18881 16539
33580 16615 16745
33618 16610 16808
33408 16 675 16 733
10.7 20.7 19.2 6.7 4.4 0.6 54.1 24.7
9.0 19.6 16.6 7.9 4.9 0.7 54.4
7.7 17.6 16.2 9.5 6.0 0.6 54.5 28.6
6.7 15.4 17.7 11.7 7.4 1.1
6.1 13.6 16.5 14.1 9.3 1.3 54.7 33.2
5.4 12.2 14.8 18.2 11.3 1.7 53.7 35.7
5.1 11.1 13.1 16.3 13.1 2.3 51.5 38.0
4.7 10.3 12.0 20.6 14.9 3.1 49.1 40.3
4.4 9.8 11.1 23.4 16.8 4.0 46.4 42.7
4.0 9.2 10.5 26.3 19.3 4.7 43.6 45.0
26.5
55.0
30.9
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 20452050 PopulaUOn change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (par cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO popdation) Total fertWity (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan)
. ..........
401 1.50 16.6 4.5 0.8 2.35 1.12
333 1.17 16.0 4.7 0.4 1.97 0.94
272 0.91 13.6 5.1 0.3 1.67 0.80
222 0.71 12.4 5.6 0.3 1.51 0.72
165 0.51 11.1 6.3 0.3 1.37 0.66
120 0.37 10.4 7.0 0.3 1.35 0.65
68 0.20 9.6 7.9 0.3 1.35 0.65
12 0.03 8.8 8.7 0.3 1.35 0.65
- 42 -0.13 6.1 9.6 0.3 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
PopuWon (thouundr) Total ....................................................
Males ................................................... FemelB ...............................................
Median age (years)
.................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
25 653 13 036 12 817 24.7
28 204 14 317 13 887 26.0
30 895 15 664 15 232 27.1
33 704 17 067 16 638 28.0
38 546 18 483 18 063 28.8
39 391 19 800 19 491 29.3
42 287 21 344 20 943 29.7
45 295 22 850 22 445 30.1
48 442 24 434 24 009 30.6
2050 51 717 26 OBO
25 628 31 .O
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
............
Popdatm growvl rate @er cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,ooOpopllation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) ..
1.90 22.7 4.5
1.82 22.5 4.6
1.74 21.9 4.8
1.62 21 .o 5.1
1.50 20.2 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaitdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.42 19.7 5.6
I .37 19.6 6.1
1.34 19.6 6.4
1.31 19.5 6.6
319
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper1DOfemales) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density @opulationper sq km)
..................
82 44 38 117.0 12.7 20.3 17.5 8.2 5.1 0.6 49.7 24.7 275
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
90
99 53 46 114.1
109 58 51 113.1
121 64 57 112.2
137 72 65 111.6
158 83 75 110.8
184 95 88 107.6
216 111 105 105.3
248 127 121 105.5
16.3 23.4 15.9 7.5 4.7 0.4 44.2 21.2 331
16.0 26.2 15.6 7.4 4.6 0.4 42.3 19.7 365
16.0 25.7 18.2 7.1 4.5 0.4 43.6 18.8 407
16.5 25.3 20.0 6.9 4.4 0.4 44.3 18.9 461
17.4 25.4 19.1 6.5 4.2 0.4 44.2 18.5 531
19.1 26.5 18.4 5.2 3.1 0.2 43.3 17.3 616
18.6 28.0 18.3 5.4 3.3 0.3 42.8 16.7 724
15.9 29.4 19.1 5.4 3.5 0.3 44.7 17.2 832
48
42 115.4 16.7 20.0 16.7 7.8 4.8 0.4 46.7 22.9 301
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrlh (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l .000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live brths) Under-five mortaliy (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . ................... Males ......................... Females ............................... ............ Both sexes combined ............................
..
25
5 7 2 0 1.37 18.6 4.9 0.0 2.22 1.06 17 20
5 7 2 0 1.11 16.1 5.0 0.0 2.13 1.02 15 17
4 7 2 0 0.96 35.0 5.4 0.0 2.04 0.98 13 15
4 7 3 0 0.87 14.7 5.9 0.0 1.97 0.95 12 13
4 7 3 0 0.76 14.2 6.6 0.0 1.90 0.92 10 11
3 7 4 0 0.61 13.3 7.2 0.0 1 .85 0.90 10 11
70.6 73.5 72.0
71.9 75.0 73.4
72.9 76.2 74.5
73.7 77.2 75.4
74.5 78.1 76.2
75.2 78.9 77.0
75.9 79.6 77.7
7 2 0 1.76 23.4 5.7 0.0 2.63 1.21 34 42
6 8 2 0 1 .80 23.3 5.3 0.0 2.47 1.15 27 33
6 8 2 0 1.65 21.5 5.0 0.0 2.34 1.11
67.6 69.5 68.5
69.2 71.6 70.4
S
22
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
6 1.97 25.5 5.8 0.0 2.88 1.32
7 2.13 26.6 5.3 0.0 2.87 1.34
8 2.03 25.2 4.9 0.0 2.84 1.34
7 1.70 21.6 4.7 0.0 2.72 1.30
6 1.42 18.9 4.7 0.0 2.63 1.26
6 1.32 18.2 5.0 0.0 2.54 1.22
7 1.31 18.6 5.4 0.0 2.47 1.19
7 1.26 18.5 5.9 0.0 2.40 1.16
7 1.12 17.5 6.3 0.0 2.35 1.14
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C N ~ Ebirth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 1.56 21.3 5.7 0.0 2.38 1.09
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
295 151 144 21.3
325 166 159 23.3
360 184 l 76 25.1
. . . .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.90
24.7 5.8
2.06 25.9 5.3
397 202 195 26.6
P
1.99 24.8 5.0
434 221 214 27.7
469 238 231 28.2
505 256 250 28.6
544 275 269 29.3
585 295 290 30.1
1.57 20.4 4.8
1.48 19.8 5.0
1.46 20.0 5.4
1.45 20.2 5.8
1.38 19.9 6.1
P-
l .77 22.4 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
627 315 311 30.8
MALI
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ........................... ...................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MALI C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
11 611 5 652 5960
13 604 6 634 6971
15 938 7 787 6148
18 584 9 102 9482
21 469 10 536 10933
24 554 12 070 12484
27 832 13 701 14131
31 313 15 432 15880
34 982 17 257 17725
38 784
5.0 3.6 0.8 43.9 16.0
19.5 28.2 20.2 4.5 3.4 0.8 44.2 16.0
19.0 28.4 20.2 4.3 3.0 0.8 44.6 16.2
18.1 28.9 19.9 4.1 2.9 0.7 44.9 16.4
16.9 28.4 20.4 4.1 2.8 0.6 46.2 17.1
15.7 27.4 21.3 4.3 2.8 0.5 47.8 18.0
14.7 26.0 21.4 4.6 3.0 0.6 49.4 19.1
13.8 24.7 21.1 5.1 3.3 0.6 50.7 20.2
13.1 23.5 20.3 5.7 3.8 0.6 51.5 21.5
12.3 22.5 19.6 6.4 4.3 0.7 52.0 22.6
POPUIMIO~ (mouunda)
Tocal ....................................................
................................
...
Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. PercmtqeagedSJorwer aged 15-49 ......... Percentage ot m ~ n e n M e d i i age (years) ................................
19 146 19 639
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (itaman&) Population grmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rale (per 1,OOO populatkn) .. Ne4 migration rate (per 1,OOO populalbn) . Total fertiIQ (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per woman)
399
466
530
3.11 49.7 14.9 -3.2 6.77 2.50
3.16 47.7 13.5 -2.7 6.46 2.47
3.08 44.9 11.9 -2.3 6.06 2.38
577 2.89 41.1 10.3 -2.0 5.49 2.22
617 2.69 37.6 9.0 -1.7 4.89 2.03
655
6%
2.51 34.6 8.0 -1.5 4.34 1.84
2.38 32.2 7.3 -1.4 3.90 1.88
734 2.22 30.1 6.6 -1.2 3.56 1.56
760 2.06 28.1 6.4 -1.1 3.31 1.47
D. LOWVARIANT Population (mouunda) Total ....................................................
........................
.........................................
Percentage a g d 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT .................. Percentage a g d 80 or wer ...... Percentage of women agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
.................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
11 611 5652 5960
13 408 6535 6 873
15 375 7505 7 869
17 484 8 549 8935
19712 9653 10059
21 958 10767 11 191
24140 11848 12293
26221 12876 13345
28181 13842 14339
29996 14 732 15 264
18.8 28.9 20.4 5.0 3.6 0.8 43.9 16.0
18.3 28.6 20.5 4.5 3.4 0.8 44.8 16.4
17.2 28.2 21.o 4.4 3.1 0.8 46.2 17.0
16.1 27.6 21.2 4.4 3.0 0.8 47.7 17.8
15.0 26.4 21.3 4.5 3.1 0.7 49.3 18.8
13.6 25.2 21.4 4.8 3.2 0.6 50.9 20.0
12.2 23.8 21 .o 5.3 3.5 0.7 52.5 21.5
11.0 22.0 20.7 6.1 4.0 0.7 54.0 23.1
10.0 20.2 20.0 7.1 4.7 0.8 54.9 24.9
9.1 18.6 18.9 8.3 5.5 0.9 55.1 26.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
populati change per year (thwsanbs) Population grwlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... CNde death rale (per 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net migration rale (per 1,OOOpopulation) Total feMii (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
359 2.88 46.4 14.5 -3.2 6.27 2.32
393 2.74 42.9 12.8 -2.8 5.66 2.16
422 2.57 39.4 11.2 -2.4 5.06 1.99
446 2.40 38.0 9.9 -2.2 4.49 1.82
449 2.16 32.2 6.7 -1.9 3.89 1.61
436
1.m 28.4 7.8 -1.7 3.34 1.42
416 1.65 25.2 7.1 -1.6 2.90 1.25
392
383
1.44 22.6 6.7 -1.5 2.56 1.12
1.25 20.4 6.6 -1.4 2.31 1.03
20452050
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
11 611 5652 5 960 16.0
13 578 6620 6 958 16.1
16 020 7830 8 190 16.1
19 018 9320 9 698 15.9
22679 11144 11 535 15.8
27 179 13390 13 789 15.8
32 733 16165 16 568 15.8
39 584 19591 19 994 15.8
Popuwon (thouundo)
Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M e d i i age (years) .................................
48 032 23818 24 214 15.7
58 447 29032 29 415 15.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
PqHllatkm gmd~rale (per cent)............ Crude birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalim) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllalion)
....
..
3.13 49.3 14.9
3.31 49.4 13.7
3.43 48.8 12.3
3.52 48.1 11.1
3.62 47.6 9.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.72 47.4 9.0
3.80 47.2 8.2
3.87 46.9 7.5
3.93 46.8 6.9
323
MALTA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
312 154 158 97.5
314 152 162 93.8
312 151 161 93.8
305 147 158 93.0
303 146 157 93.1
304 147 157 93.4
324 158 166 94.8
344 169 175 96.7
360 178 182 97.5
378 187 191 98.2
389 193 196 98.3
15.1 19.9 17.3 9.3 5.8 0.6 47.5 23.7 987
13.7 24.2 16.6 9.9 6.7 0.8 44.4 22.0 994
13.5 23.4 15.7 10.7 7.4 0.7 43.8 23.1 987
10.5 23.3 18.0 11.5 7.9 1.1 48.4 23.6 965
7.6 20.0 20.6 13.4 9.0 1.2 51.5 26.3 958
8.2 16.5 17.8 13.1 9.6 1.4 52.7 28.8 963
8.5 14.6 17.8 13.7 9.9 1.5 53.5 30.0 1026
8.1 16.0 14.8 14.3 9.9 1.7 50.8 31.7 1090
7.6 15.9 14.0 14.7 10.4 2.0 50.5 33.0 1140
6.9 15.2 14.8 15.9 11.4 2.2 49.9 35.0 1196
6.0 14.0 15.1 16.9 12.3 2.4 48.3 36.4 1231
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................ . ............... Females ................. ..................... Both sexes combined ...........................
....
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensity(populationpersqkrn)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
403 200 203 98.7
41 1 205 207 99.2
420 209 210 99.5
426 213 213 99.8
431 216 216 99.9
434 217 217 99.8
434 216 217 99.6
432 215 217 99.5
430 214 216 99.4
5.0 12.4 14.7 18.4 13.2 2.9 7.3 4.0 4.2 9.0 48.3 37.6 1274
4.9 10.7 13.6 21.8 14.7 3.4 6.2 3.8 3.8 8.4 47.2 38.8 1302
5.0 9.7 12.3 24.1 17.7 3.9 5.7 3.0 3.4 7.6 46.4 40.3 1328
5.0 9.7 10.7 26.5 19.8 4.3 5.9 2.8 2.8 6.6 45.8 42.0 1350
4.8 9.9 9.7 27.9 21.9 5.1 5.9 2.9 2.9 5.8 43.9 43.6 1365
4.6 9.8 9.9 28.5 23.0 6.7 5.9 3.0 3.0 5.9 41.9 45.2 1373
4.4 9.6 10.1 29.9 23.4 7.7 5.7 3.0 3.0 6.1 40.1 46.6 1372
4.4 9.2 10.2 31.9 24.5 8.6 5.5 2.9 3.0 6.2 38.7 47.7 1367
4.5 9.0 10.0 33.7 26.3 9.0 5.3 2.7 2.9 6.1 37.5 48.5 1361
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females .......................... . ............ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
MALTA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
403 200 203
415 207 208
429 214 215
443 222 222
455 228 227
463 232 231
470 235 235
477 238 238
486 243 243
5.0 12.4 14.7 18.4 13.2 2.9 48.3 37.6
5.7 10.6 13.5 21.6 14.6 3.3 46.8 38.5
6.2 10.3 12.0 23.6 17.3 3.8 45.4 39.6
6.4 11.5 10.3 25.5 19.0 4.2 43.9 40.8
6.0 12.2 10.0 26.5 20.7 4.8 42.6 41.9
5.7 12.1 11.3 26.7 21.6 6.3 41.4 42.9
5.5 11.5 12.1 27.6 21.6 7.1 40.6 43.6
5.8 11.1 12.1 28.9 22.2 7.8 39.8 43.8
6.3 11.2 11.4 29.9 23.3 7.9 39.2 43.1
2 0.61 11.6 8.0 2.4 1.62 0.78
3 0.67 12.7 8.4 2.4 1 .80 0.86
3 0.64 13.0 8.8 2.3 1.95 0.94
2 0.51 12.2 9.3 2.2 2.00 0.96
2 0.37 11.4 9.9 2.2 2.05 0.98
1 0.28 11.1 10.5 2.1 2.10 l .01
1 0.30 11.7 10.8 2.1 2.15 1.03
2 0.38 12.7 11.0 2.1 2.20 1 06
2 0.44 13.3 10.9 2.0 2.25 1.08
.1 -0.32 6.5 12.1 2.5 1.10 0.53
.2 .0.44 6.1 13.0 2.5 1.15 0.55
.2 -0.53 5.8 13.7 2.6 1.20 0.58
.2 -0.58 5.8 14.2 2.7 1.25 0.60
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.25 8.0 8.0 2.5 1.12 0.54
0 0.11 7.3 8.6 2.4 1.00 0.48
0 -0.01 6.8 9.3 2.4 0.95 0.45
0 -0.09 6.9 10.2 2.4 1.00 0.48
.l .0.19 6.8 11.1 2.5 1.05 0.50
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) . ........................... Total ..................... Males .................................................. Females ................. ....... ................... Median age (years) .................................
403 200 203 37.6
413 205 207 38.7
422 210 21 1 40.2
428 214 214 41.9
432 216 216 43.6
432 216 216 45.3
430 215 21 6 46.8
428 213 214 48.1
422 210 21 2 49.2
416 207 209 50.0
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.49 10.4 8.0
0.43 10.3 8.5
0.31 9.8 9.0
0.17 9.1 9.7
0.02 8.4 10.5
-0.10 8.0 11.3
-0.17 7.9 11.9
-0.22 7.8 12.4
.0.26 7.7 12.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ..................... ..... Population density (population per sq km)
. .
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ...................... .. ....................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2MM
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................. ..................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
396 188 208
405 192 21 3
412 1 96 216
419 200 220
424 202 222
426 203 222
425 203 222
422 202 220
418 200 21 7
6.8 14.6 14.3 16.9 12.7 3.3 50.0 36.4
6.7 13.5 13.9 18.6 13.7 3.8 47.4 38.7
6.6 13.1 12.6 20.8 15.2 4.3 43.2 40.5
6.6 12.9 11.7 23.7 17.1 4.7 39.0 41.2
6.3 12.9 11.4 27.6 19.8 5.2 36.8 42.3
6.0 12.7 11.4 31 .0 23.4 6.0 36.7 43.5
5.8 12.2 11.5 32.8 26.5 7.2 36.2 44.8
5.8 11.8 11.5 32.9 28.0 8.8 35.3 45.7
5.8 11.7 11.1 33.6 27.8 10.9 34.6 46.1
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.44 14.0 7.5 -2.0 2.16 1.04
..
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.12 10.8 7.8 .2.0 1.66 0.80
0 4.11 9.1 8.2 .2.0 1.46 0.71
.1 .0.26 8.3 8.9 .2.0 1.35 0.65
.1
.2
.0.37 8.1 9.7 .2.1 1.35 0.65
.0.53 7.5 10.7 .2.1 1.35 0.66
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Population (thousands) Total ............................. .................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
396 188 208 36.4
402 191 212 38.9
407 193 214 41.0
409 194 21 5 42.5
409 195 215 43.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.33 12.8 7.5
0.21 12.1 8.0
0.12 11.8 8.6
0.01 11.3 9.2
.0.14 10.6 10.0
.3 .0.75 6.6 11.9 .2.2 1.35 0.66
.4 .1.28 4.9 15.3 .2.4 1.35 0.66
.5 .1.55 4.4 17.3 .2.6 1.35 0.66
2035
2040
2045
406 193 213 45.4
401 191 210 47.2
392 187 205 48.8
380 181 199 50.3
.0.29 9.9 10.9
.0.46 9.5 12.0
.0.61 9.2 13.2
.0.76 8.9 14.4
.4 .1.01 5.7 13.5 .2.3 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MAURITANIA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstrlbution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)
.................................................... ...........
......... ................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)
.................................................... ............................................... ........... .......................... ......................... .................. .................. .......... .......... .........
.................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortalily rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ................... ......... ............
....
..
...........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... ....
..................
.
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 963 1 498 1 465
3 390 1 718 1 672
3 834 1 946 l 888
4 300 2 185 2 115
4 776 2 429 2 347
5 269 2 680 2 588
5 777 2 940 2 838
6 297 3 204 3 093
6 819 3 469 3 350
15.1 25.2 19.8 5.3 3.6 0.6 48.8 19.6
14.8 24.5 19.5 5.1 3.6 0.6 49.1 20.2
14.0 24.2 19.2 5.8 3.5 0.7 49.5 20.9
13.1 23.7 19.1 6.4 4.1 0.7 50.0 21.7
12.2 22.6 19.3 7.0 4.6 0.7 50.7 22.7
11.6 21.5 19.2 7.8 5.2 0.7 51.1 23.8
11.1 20.4 18.6 8.8 5.8 0.9 51.3 25.0
10.6 19.6 17.8 9.8 6.6 1.1 51.2 26.1
10.1 19.0 17.2 10.8 7.4 1.2 50.9 27.3
85 2.69 34.2 8.0 0.6 4.62 1.94
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... F e ~ l ............................................... e ~ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
74 2.37 30.8 7.7 0.6 4.12 1.73
69 1.97 26.7 7.0 0.0 3.48 1.49
65 1.69 23.4 6.5 0.0 2.96 1.28
63 1.52 21.4 6.3 0.0 2.62 1.15
60 1.35 19.7 6.2 0.0 2.35 1.05
55 1.16 17.9 6.3 0.0 2.15 0.96
48 0.95 16.1 6.5 0.0 1.98 0.90
39 0.74 14.3 6.9 0.0 1.85 0.84
30 0.55 12.8 7.4 0.0 1.73 0.79
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 963 1498 1 465 19.6
3 410 1728 1 682 20.0
3 917 1989 1 928 20.3
4 496 2286 2 210 20.5
5 156 2624 2 531 20.5
5 909 3010 2 898 20.7
6 771 3452 3 319 20.9
7 762 3959 3 802 21.0
8 899 4542 4 357 21 .0
2.81 35.5 8.0
2.77 35.1 7.5
2.76 34.5 7.0
2.74 33.9 6.5
2.73 33.4 6.2
2.73 33.2 6.0
2.73 33.1 5.8
2.74 33.0 5.7
2.74 32.9 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MAURITIUS (*) A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
l950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
493 246 248 99.2
571 284 286 99.2
660 329 331 99.4
753 377 377 100.0
826 413 413 100.1
892 440 452 97.4
966 476 490 97.3
1016 506 510 99.4
1057 528 529 99.8
1125 561 564 99.6
1186 590 596 99.0
18.1 27.1 19.1 4.7 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.3 242
18.7 27.3 18.8 4.2 2.6 0.3 45.0 16.9 280
18.6 28.0 18.7 4.1 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 324
17.9 28.6 18.9 4.0 2.5 0.2 44.7 16.7 369
14.0 29.8 19.9 4.2 2.6 0.2 46.7 17.8 405
11.5 28.2 20.8 4.5 2.7 0.3 50.1 19.5 437
11.3 24.4 21.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 52.0 21.5 474
10.9 20.8 21.5 7.4 4.8 0.6 53.6 23.4 498
9.2 20.5 18.9 8.3 5.4 0.7 54.6 25.7 518
9.7 17.7 18.5 8.5 5.9 0.9 56.2 27.3 551
8.4 17.2 18.1 9.0 6.2 1.0 56.3 28.9 581
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
............
1 241 616 625 98.6
1 291 640 651 98.2
1 335 660 675 97.8
1 374 678 696 97.4
1 406 692 714 97.0
1 430 702 728 96.5
1 444 708 737 96.1
1 451 709 742 95.7
1 451 708 743 95.4
7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 10.0 5.2 4.6 9.6 54.8 30.5 608
7.2 15.0 15.8 11.0 7.1 l .5 8.9 4.7 5.1 9.2 53.7 32.4
6.9 14.0 15.5 13.3 8.3 1.6 8.4 4.3 4.4 9.6 51.5 34.3 655
6.6 13.4 14.1 15.9 10.3 l .7 8.0 4.0 4.1 8.5 49.6 35.8 674
6.4 13.0 13.3 18.7 12.6 1.9 7.8 3.9 3.9 8.0 48.1 37.1 689
6.1 12.6 12.8 20.9 15.0 2.5 7.6 3.8 3.8 7.7 45.8 38.4 70 1
5.8 12.2 12.6 22.3 16.7 3.4 7.3 3.7 3.8 7.6 44.5 39.8 708
5.7 11.8 12.4 24.5 17.9 4.3 7.0 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.7 40.8 71 1
5.6 11.5 12.1 25.8 19.7 5.2 6.9 3.5 3.6 7.3 42.3 41.5 711
633
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.... ..
.
-
10 19 9 0 0.78 14.9 7.0 0.0 1.86 0.89 14 17
9 19 10 0 0.68 14.2 7.4 0.0 1.85 0.89 13 15
8 18 11 0 0.58 13.6 7.8 0.0 1.85 0.89 12 14
18 12 0 0.46 13.0 8.4 0.0 1.85 0.89 11 13
5 l8 13 0 0.33 12.4 9.1 0.0 1.85 0.89 l0 12
3 17 14 0 0.20 11.9 9.8 0.0 1.85 0.89 9 11
1 17 15 0 0.09 11.5 10.6 0.0 1 85 0.89 8 10
0 16 16 0 0.00 l'l.3 11.3 0.0 1 85 0.89 8 9
1 16 17 0 .0.07 11.2 11.8 0.0 1.85 0.90 7 9
69.5 76.2 72.8
70.4 76.9 73.6
71.3 77.6 74.4
72.0 78.2 75.1
72.9 78.9 75.9
73.7 79.6 76.7
74.5 80.3 77.4
75.2 81.0 78.1
75.9 81.6 78.7
6
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MAURITIUS (')
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 241 616 625
1 303
657
1 367 677 691
1 431 707 724
1 488 734 754
1 539 758 781
1 587 780 807
1 633 802 831
1 679 825 854
7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 54.8 30.5
8.1 14.9 15.6 10.9 7.1 1.5 53.2 32.1
8.2 14.6 15.2 13.0 8.1 1.5 50.3 33.5
8.1 15.1 13.5 15.2 9.9 1.6 47.6 34.4
7.7 15.3 13.4 17.7 11.9 l .8 46.4 34.9
7.4 15.0 14.0 19.4 13.9 2.3 44.7 35.8
7.4 14.4 14.3 20.3 15.2 3.1 44.1 36.1
7.5 14.2 14.1 21.7 15.9 3.8 43.8 35.9
7.6 14.3 13.6 22.3 17.0 4.5 43.0 35.9
646
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduclion rate (per woman) ..........
...........
12 0.98 16.8 7.0 0.0 2.11 1.01
13 0.96 16.9 7.3 0.0 2.25 1.08
11 0.78 15.9 8.1 0.0 2.35 1.13
13 0.91 16.8 7.6 0.0 2.35 1.13
10 0.67 15.3 8.6 0.0 2.35 1.13
10 0.61 15.2 9.1 0.0 2.35 1.13
9 0.58 15.4 9.6 0.0 2.35 1.13
9 0.55 15.5 10.0 0.0 2.35 1.14
9 0.52 15.4 10.2 0.0 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
1 241 616 625
1 278 633 645
1 303 644 659
1 318 649 668
1 325 651 674
1 322 647 675
1 308 638 670
1 283 624 659
1 248 605 643
7.6 16.8 16.0 9.6 6.6 1.3 54.8 30.5
6.3 15.2 15.9 11.1 7.2 1.5 54.2 32.7
5.5 13.4 15.9 13.6 8.5 1 .6 52.7 35.1
5.1 11.5 14.7 16.6 10.8 1.8 51.6 37.2
4.9 10.4 13.1 19.8 13.3 2.1 50.1 39.2
4.6 9.9 11.5 22.5 16.2 2.7 47.0 41 .0
4.3 9.6 10.5 24.6 18.5 3.7 44.7 43.0
3.9 9.1 10.2 27.7 20.2 4.8 43.1 45.1
3.7 8.5 10.1 30.0 22.9 6.1 40.7 46.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
7 0.59 12.9 7.0 0.0 1.61 0.77
5 0.38 11.3 7.5 0.0 1.45 0.70
3 0.22 10.3 8.1 0.0 1.35 0.65
1 0.11 9.9 8.8 0.0 1.35 0.65
-l .0.04 9.3 9.7 0.0 1.35 0.65
-3 .0.21 8.5 10.7 0.0 1.35 0.65
-5 .0.40 7.8 11.8 0.0 1.35 0.65
.7 .0.56 7.3 12.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
-
8
.0.68 7.1 13.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ...................... ...... ................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1 241 616 625 30.5
1 293 641 652 32.4
1 340 663 677 34.2
1 382 682 700 35.6
1 417
1 444 709 735 38.0
1 463 717 746 39.3
1 474 721 753 40.2
1 479
1 480
698 71 9 36.8
723 756 40.8
723 757 41.3
0.82 15.2 7.0
0.72 14.6 7.4
0.62 14.0 7.8
0.50 13.4 8.4
0.37 12.8 9.0
0.26 12.3 9.7
0.16 12.0 10.5
0.07 11.8 11.1
0.01 11.7 11.6
(') Including Agalega. Rodriguss. and Saint Brandon.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MEXICO A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
104266 50 919 53 347 95.4
110293 53 762 56 531 95.1
115756 56 332 59 424 94.8
120559 58 580 61 979 94.5
124695 60 478 64 216 94.2
128125 62 008 66 117 93.8
130683 63 094 67 589 93.3
132237 63 682 68 555 92.9
132758 63 774 68 984 92.4
10.1 20.6 18.2 8.4 5.8 1.2 12.4 6.2 5.8 10.7 53.9 25.6 53
9.1 18.9 18.0 9.5 6.6 1.4 11.3 5.7 5.8 10.6 54.5 27.5 56
8.3 17.3 17.6 11.1 7.5 1.7 10.3 5.3 5.3 10.6 54.5 29.4 59
7.5 15.9 16.4 13.0 9.0 l .9 9.5 4.9 5.0 9.6 53.6 31.4 62
7.0 14.5 15.3 15.0 10.6 2.3 8.6 4.5 4.5 9.2 51.5 33.5 64
6.7 13.5 14.1 17.4 12.3 2.7 8.1 4.1 4.2 8.5 49.4 35.7 65
6.3 12.9 13.1 20.5 14.5 3.4 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.9 47.3 37.7 67
5.9 12.4 12.4 23.1 17.2 4.2 7.4 3.8 3.8 7.4 45.2 39.7 68
5.6 11.8 12.0 25.2 19.4 5.0 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.1 43.1 41.5 68
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
1 205 2 075 510 - 360 1.12 19.3 4.8 -3.4 2.21 1.05 17 20
1 093 1 970 555 - 322 0.97 17.4 4.9 .2.8 2.04 0.97 14 17
961 1 854 613 . 280 0.81 15.7 5.2 .2.4 1 .89 0.91 11 14
827 1 803 685 . 291 0.68 14.7 5.6 .2.4 1.85 0.89 10 12
73.7 78.6 76.2
74.9 79.7 77.3
75.8 80.6 78.2
76.6 81.3 79.0
686 1 758 771 300 0.54 13.9 6.1 -2.4 1.85 0.89 8 11
512 1 687 875 - 300 0.40 13.0 6.8 -2.3 1.85 0.89 7 9
31 1 1 606 996 - 300 0.24 12.2 7.6 -2.3 1 .85 0.89 7 8
77.2 81.9 79.6
77.8 82.4 80.1
78.2 82.8 80.6
-
104 1 531 1 127 300 0.08 11.6 8.5 .2.3 1.85 0.89
.
6
8 78.6 83.2 61.0
. 96 1 468 1 264
-
300
.0.07 11.1 9.5 -2.3 1.85 0.89 6 7 78.9 83.5 81.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MEXICO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populalion (thousands) . ...................... Total .......................... Males .................................................. Females .................. . . . ...................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025.2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040.2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 431 1.33 21.4 4.8 .3.3 2.46 1.17
1 467 1.28 20.4 4.9 -2.8 2.44 1.16
1 437 1.18 19.1 5.1 .2.3 2.39 1.15
1 323 1.02 17.8 5.4 -2.3 2.35 1.13
1 239
0.91 17.1 5.7 .2.2 2.35 1.13
1 162 0.82 16.6 6.2 -2.1 2.35 1.13
1 070 0.73 16.1 6.8 -2.0 2.35 1.13
958 0.63 15.7 7.5 -2.0 2.35 1.13
832 0.53 15.4 8.2 -l .9 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) ............................. Total ..................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
978 0.92 17.3 4.7 .3.4 1.96 0.93
716 0.65 14.3 4.9 .2.9 1.64 0.78
481 0.42 12.0 5.3 -2.5 1.39 0.67
337 0.29 11.3 5.8 .2.5 1.35 0.65
165 0.14 10.5 6.5 .2.6 1.35 0.65
. 62 -0.05 9.4 7.4 .2.6 1.35 0.65
.320
. 588
. 792
-0.27 8.3 8.5 .2.6 1.35 0.65
.0.50 7.4 .2.6 1.35 0.65
.0.71 6.8 11.3 .2.7 1.35 0.65
9.8
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) ............. 104266 Total ........................... ... Males .............................. . ............... 50 919 Females ........................................... 53 347 Median age (years) ................................ 25.6
111147 54 199 56 948 27.2
118297 57 631 60 666 28.7
125519 61 l16 64 403 30.0
132353 64 394 67 959 31.5
138714 67 421 71 292 32.9
144644 70 231 74 413 34.0
150143 72 835 77 308 34.8
155172 75 229 79 942 35.5
159665 77 393 82 272 36.2
1.25 20.2 4.9
1.19 19.2 5.1
1.06 18.2 5.4
0.94 17.4 5.8
0.84 16.7 6.2
0.75 16.3 6.8
0.66 16.0 7.5
0.57 15.7 8.1
Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.28 20.9 48
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MICRONESIA (FED. STATES OF) A ESTIMATES lndlcator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OW
36
45 23 22 106.2
52 27 25 106.3
63
30
30
106.4
107.0
73 37 36 104.5
86
20 18 106.1
61 32
...........
32 16 16 106.1
44 42 104.9
96 49 47 104.7
107 55 52 104.6
107 54 53 102.5
Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Peccenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or o m .................. Percentage d rnaged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
15.5 24.9 18.8 6.3 4.1 0.5 46.9 19.8 48
19.6 23.7 18.0 5.8 3.7 0.4 44.8 18.5 54
18.6 26.7 17.4 5.5 3.5 0.4 43.3 17.5 63
18.0 29.1 16.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 41.9 16.6 74
17.9 28.0 19.0 5.2 3.3 0.4 43.4 16.8 87
18.2 29.3 20.3 6.5 4.2 0.5 40.4 16.1 90
17.4 29.9 19.5 5.6 3.6 0.5 42.7 16.3 104
17.2 28.3 20.6 5.4 3.6 0.4 44.8 16.9 122
15.9 28.2 20.7 5.3 3.6 0.4 46.5 17.6 137
14.8 28.5 20.0 5.7 3.5 0.4 47.1 17.8 153
14.0 26.1 21.5 5.2 3.7 0.6 50.1 18.9 153
Populutbn (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Ape dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4
33
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 19851970 1970-1975 19751960 1980-1935 1985-1990 1990-1995 1 9 9 5 - ~2ooo-2005 popllatm change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.OW population) .. Total feltiliity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO l i i births) L l k oxpect.ncy at blrth (yearn) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comMned ............................
0 2 1 0.55 39.9 8.8 6.90 2.90 58
2 3 1 2.89 38.2 7.8 6.40 2.75 49
3 3 1 3.22 39.3 7.2 6.00 2.60 47
2 3 1 2.34 35.5 6.7 5.20 2.27 45
2 3 1 2.15 32.2 6.4 4.79 2.10 42
0 3 1 -0.02 31.5 6.3 4.53 2.00 40
1 3 1 0.55 29.7 6.3 4.23 1.88
77
2 2 1 3.24 42.0 9.6 8.90 2.82 68
58.1 59.2 58.6
60.1 61.2 60.5
62.2 63.3 62.6
64.3 65.4 64.7
64.8 65.9 85.3
65.4 66.5 65.9
65.9 67.0 66.4
66.5 67.6 67.1
66.9 68.2 67.6
1 2 0 3.38 47.9 14.2 7.20 2.71 97
1 2 1 3.23 44.8 12.5 7.00 2.72 87
2 2 1 3.18 42.8 10.9 8.90 2.75
54.1 55.2 54.8
58.1 57.2 58.6
38
8. MEDIUMVARIANT
Populrtlon (thOU8Ond8) Total ....................................................
........................................ Females .................
Sex ratio (males per 1 Age dlrtrlbutlon
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 5 1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percenlage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of w ~ e ao Median age (years) ....... Population density (population per sq km)
..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
110 56 54 103.2
113 57 55 104.0
116 59 57 104.7
120 62 59 105.1
125 64 61 105.4
129 66 63 105.6
132 64 105.8
134 69 65 106.0
134 69 65 106.1
134 69 65 106.2
13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 15.2 7.4 7.4 13.8 49.8 19.7 157
12.1 24.9 22.4 5.9 3.6 0.6 15.1 7.3 7.1 13.2 49.6 20.6 160
11.2 23.5 21.8 7.2 4.2 0.7 14.0 7.3 7.0 12.8 50.6 21.9 165
10.5 21.4 21.6 8.3 5.3 0.6 12.7 6.6 6.8 12.9 52.1 23.3 171
9.9 19.9 20.4 9.2 6.2 0.6 11.9 6.0 6.1 12.4 54.0 24.9 178
9.2 18.9 18.7 9.6 6.9 0.8 11.3 5.7 5.7 11.2 55.1 26.7 184
8.4 17.9 17.7 9.5 7.2 1.2 10.7 5.5 5.5 10.6 54.3 28.5 168
7.5 16.8 17.1 10.0 7.0 1.4 10.0 5.2 5.3 10.2 53.7 30.4 191
6.7 15.4 16.5 12.4 7.6 1.6 9.1 4.9 5.0 9.9 52.7 32.5 191
6.4 13.9 15.7 15.3 9.9 1.7 8.1 4.5 4.7 9.5 50.9 34.6 191
68
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 202&2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO populalbn) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmductim rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OW live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OW live births) Llta expectancy at blrth (yearr)
...............................
Females ........................ Both sexes combined ............................
334
1 3 1 - 2 0.46 25.9 6.1 -15.3 3.71 1.66 34 42
1 3 1 - 1 0.58 23.8 5.8 -12.3 3.27 1.48 31 37
1 3 1 - 1 0.74 22.4 5.7 -9.3 2.92 1.33 28
1 3 1 - 1 0.78 20.9 5.8 -7.3 2.63 1.21 25
33
67.7 69.3 68.5
68.5 70.4 69.4
69.2 71.4 70.3
1 2
30
- 1 0.63 19.4 6.0 -7.1 2.40 1.11 22 25
2 1 - 1 0.46 17.6 6.1 -6.9 2.20 1.03 18 21
0 2 1 - 1 0.26 15.7 6.3 6.8 2.03 0.96 15 18
0 2 1 - 1 0.07 13.9 6.5 -6.7 1.89 0.89 14 15
0 2 1 - 1 -0.04 13.1 6.7 -6.7 1.85 0.68 12 13
69.9 72.2 71.1
70.8 73.4 72.1
71.8 74.7 73.3
72.7 75.9 74.3
73.6 76.9 75.2
74.4 77.8 76.1
1
1
United Nations oepartment of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Pcpulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MICRONESIA (FED. STATES OF)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ...............................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
110 56 54
114 58 56
119 61 58
126 65 61
133 69 65
140 72 68
147 75 71
152 78 74
157 81 76
13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 49.6 19.7
13.0 24.6 22.1 5.8 3.6 0.6 49.1 20.4
12.5 23.8 21.3 7.0 4.0 0.6 49.3 21.2
12.1 22.9 20.6 7.9 5.0 0.6 49.8 22.1
11.3 22.1 20.0 8.6 5.8 0.5 51.4 23.2
10.6 21.1 19.5 8.8 6.3 0.7 52.8 24.4
9.9 20.0 19.0 8.5 6.5 1.1 52.8 25.7
9.2 18.8 18.5 8.8 6.2 1.3 52.7 27.1
8.6 17.7 17.7 10.6 6.5 1.4 52.2 28.6
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
............ .... ...........
..........
1 0.67 28.0 6.1 -15.2 3.96 1.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................
.................. ..................
110 56 54
111 57 55
113 58 55
115 59 56
117 60 57
118 61 58
118 61 58
117 57
114 59 55
13.3 25.3 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.8 49.6 19.7
11.2 25.1 22.6 5.9 3.7 0.6 50.1 20.9
9.8 23.1 22.4 7.4 4.3 0.7 52.0 22.5
8.9 19.8 22.7 8.7 5.5 0.6 54.6 24.4
8.3 17.6 20.9 9.8 6.6 0.6 56.7 26.6
7.7 16.4 17.9 10.5 7.5 0.9 57.5 29.0
7.0 15.4 16.1 10.6 8.0 1.3 56.0 31.6
5.9 14.4 15.3 11.5 8.1 1.6 54.6 34.4
4.9 12.9 14.8 14.6 8.9 1.9 52.6 37.3
60
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20454050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
110 56 54 19.7
115 59 56 20.2
122 63
60 20.5
133 68 65 20.8
145 75 71 20.9
159 82 77 21.1
175
90 85 21.4
192 99 93 21.6
212 109 103 21.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.84 29.7 6.2
1.25 30.2 5.9
1.62 30.5 5.6
1.82 30.2 5.5
1.83 29.6 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.86 29.1 5.2
1.91 28.9 4.9
1.98 28.9 4.7
2.05 28.9 4.4
235 121 114 22.1
MOLDOVA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
2 341 1 093 1 248 67.6
2 627 1 227 1 400 87.6
3 004 1 405 1 598 87.9
3 335 1 561 1 774 88.0
3 595 1 681 1 914 87.8
3 839 1 804 2 035 86.6
4 010 1 896 2 114 89.7
4 232 2 012 2 220 90.6
4 389 2 098 2 291 91.6
8.7 19.4 19.1 11.2 7.7 1.1 52.9 26.6 69
12.2 16.2 18.8 9.8 7.1 1 .0 53.2 26.6 78
13.3 18.5 16.5 9.0 6.2 0.9 50.8 26.1 89
11.8 22.5 13.8 9.3 5.8 0.9 47.8 26.2 99
9.5 22.6 16.2 9.7 6.3 0.9 50.3 26.3 106
9.7 19.2 19.6 10.8 6.8 1 .0 51 .1 26.2 113
9.4 17.3 18.6 10.8 7.7 10 50.8 27.7 116
10.2 17.4 16.8 11.6 7.5 1.1 49.7 28.3 125
10.1 18.1 15.2 12.7 8.3 1.2 48.0 29.0 130
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductton rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) . . ........................... Total ................... Males ................... . ................... Females .................... . . . ................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...................... . . ..... Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . . 34 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 43 Deaths per year (thousands) .................. 47 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 30 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ .0.90 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 11.4 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 12.5 Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) .7.9 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 1.40 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 0.66 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 16 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) 19 Life expectancy at blrth (years) ................ Males ................................. 65.1 Females ............................................... 72.5 Both sexes combined ................... 68.9
.
.........
. 12 44
. 13 42 45 . 10
. 17
. 21
. 24
33 45 . 10 .0.62 9.6 13.0 .2.9 1.58 0.75 12 16
31 45 . 10 .0.74 9.2 13.5 .3.0 1.63 0.77
69.4 75.9 72.7
46 . 10 .0.34 12.0 12.6 .2.7 1.43 0.67 15 19
-0.36 11.7 12.6 .2.8 1.48 0.70 14 18
38 45 . 10 .0.48 10.7 12.6 .2.8 1.53 0.72 13 17
65.8 73.2 69.6
67.0 74.2 70.7
68.2 75.1 71.7
. 26
15
.25 30 45 . 10 -0.79 9.4 14.2 .3.1 1.68 0.80 10 14
. 25 30 45 . 10 .0.82 9.7 14.7 .3.3 1.73 0.82 10 13
29 45 . 10 .0.88 9.8 15.1 .3.4 1.78 0.85 9 13
70.3 76.6 73.5
71.1 77.2 74.2
72.0 77.8 74.9
72.8 78.5 75.6
11
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
MOLDOVA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) ............. Total ................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. OM)population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3 877 1 855 2 022
3 746 1 794 1 952
3 746 1 799 1 947
3 750 1 806 1 944
3 723 1 798 1 925
3 673 1 779 1 895
3 623 1 760 1 863
3 589 1 751 1 839
3 567 1 748 1 820
5.6 14.4 19.9 14.9 11.1 1.6 51.0 32.5
6.6 12.0 18.4 15.7 11.0 2.0 49.5 33.2
7.4 12.1 14.2 17.5 11.4 2.2 47.1 33.8
7.4 13.8 11.5 19.2 13.1 2.5 45.9 35.1
6.5 14.7 11.7 20.6 14.8 2.4 45.8 37.1
6.0 13.9 13.6 20.5 16.1 2.8 46.3 39.0
6.1 12.6 14.6 20.6 15.8 3.7 45.1 40.2
6.7 12.1 13.8 20.9 15.7 4.3 41.6 39.6
7.1 12.8 12.3 23.0 15.9 4.7 39.7 38.6
. 26 .0.69 13.5 12.4 -7.9 1.65 0.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
. 42 -1 .1 1 9.4 12.5 -8.0 1 .15 0.54
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT .
.
Population (thousands) Total ......................... . ........................ Males ................................................ Females .................... . ...................... Median age (years) .................................
3 877 1 855 2 022 32.5
3 724 1 783 1 941 33.4
3 674 1 762 1 912 34.3
3 606 1 732 1 874 36.2
3 512 1 689 1 823 38.6
3 398 1 637 1 761 41.2
3 271 1 579 1 692 43.6
3 135 1 517 1 618 45.5
2 989 1 450 1 538 46.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.80 12.3 12.5
.0.27 12.5 12.6
.0.37 11.5 12.5
-0.53 10.1 12.6
.0.66 9.2 12.9
.0.76 8.9 13.5
.0.85 8.8 14.2
.0.96 8.5 14.8
.1.08 7.9 15.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MONGOLIA A ESTIMATES Indicator
PopuwOn (thouundm) Total ....................................................
Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ...... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage a@ 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) Population density (populatkm per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1%
1995
2OOO
761 373
850
959 474
1256 625
1447
1663 834
1909
723
630
724 99.9
830
m
99.2
100.5
101.0
2 216 1106 1110 99.6
2389 1195 1195 100.0
2 470 1234 1235 99.9
17.2 26.5 19.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.1 18.1 1
17.1 26.6 19.1 4.7 2.9 0.3 46.1 18.0 1
16.4 26.7 19.5 4.8 3.0 0.3 46.7 18.2 1
16.0 26.3 19.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 47.3 18.6 1
16.0 25.7 20.7 5.8 4.0 0.5 47.2 18.8 1
12.7 26.2 20.9 5.7 3.7 0.5 50.4 20.0 2
9.7 24.8 21.5 5.7 3.9 0.7 54.9 22.1 2
389
432
485
95.9
96.8
97.7
1094 543 551 98.5
16.7 25.2 18.7 5.5 3.3 0.2 46.3 19.0 0
16.9 25.6 18.8 5.3 3.3 0.3 46.2 18.7 1
17.1 25.9 19.0 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.3 18.4 1
17.3 26.1 19.1 4.9 3.1 0.3 46.2 18.2 1
418
959
1950-1955 19551960 1860-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 19751880 lS80-1885 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005
Population c haw per year (tkmands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... PqnAatm growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO popdatkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO lhre births) L l h 0xp.Ct.ncy al Mrm (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
...........
17 2.63 43.3 17.0 6.00 2.13 121
32 50 17 2.76 42.3 14.8 7.33 2.72 108
38 56 18 2.84 41.5 13.1 7.33 2.82
47.0 49.5 48.3
50.0 52.5 51.3
18 35 18 2.20 43.7 21.7 6.00 1.91 148
22
27
39 17 2.42 43.4 19.3 6.00 2.02 134
44
41.O 43.5 42.2
44.0 46.5 45.2
49 67 18 2.76 37.6 10.0 5.74 2.35 78
81 73 18 2.98 35.3 8.7 4.83 2.03 73
35 67 20 1.51 29.1 8.9 3.37 1.45
88
43 61 18 2.78 39.2 11.4 6.65 2.64 88
52.5 55.0 53.8
54.0 57.0 55.5
56.0 59.0 57.5
68
16 52 17 0.66 21.2 7.2 2.36 1.05 49
22 50 17 0.88 19.7 6.9 2.07 0.94 45
58.5 62.0 60.2
59.4 63.2 61.3
61.1 66.3 63.6
61.9 68.4 65.0
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
206
2050
2581 1287 1293 99.5
2707 1349 1358 99.3
2858 1423 1435 99.2
2997 1492 1505 99.1
3112 1548 1564 99.0
3204 1593 1612 88.8
3280 1628 1652 88.6
3338 1655 1683 88.3
3 375 1671 1 704 98.0
3388 1 674 1714 97.7
9.1 19.8 22.8 5.9 3.9 0.7 11.3 6.8 7.5 13.3 59.7 24.2 2
8.5 16.8 21.8 6.0 4.1 0.7 10.0 5.1 5.9 13.7 61.O 26.4 2
8.4 15.9 17.5 6.7 4.3 0.8 9.6 4.8 4.6 10.8 59.0 28.8 2
7.8 15.5 15.0 8.4 4.9 0.8 9.4 4.5 4.5 8.9 57.0 31.3 2
7.0 15.0 14.5 10.8 6.4 1.o 9.0 4.5 4.4 8.7 54.9 33.7 2
6.4 13.9 14.3 13.2 8.5 1.o 8.2 4.3 4.4 8.5 52.8 35.9 2
6.2 12.8 14.1 15.8 10.5 1.3 7.6 4.0 4.1 8.6 50.3 37.5 2
6.0 12.1 13.2 18.6 12.7 2.0 7.2 3.7 3.8
5.8 11.8 12.3 21.5 15.0 2.8 7.1 3.6 3.6 7.5 43.9 40.0 2
5.6 11.6 11.8 25.1 17.4 3.6 7.0 3.5 3.5 7.1 42.9 40.9 2
Population (thoummdr) Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... dl.trlbut)on Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........ Percentage aged 15-24 ...... Percentage aged 60 OT OYBT Percentage aged 65 or m r .................. Percentage aged 80 or OYBT .................. Percentage in school ages 6 Percentage in school ages t Percentage in schod ages 1 Percentage in school ages 1 Percentage of women aged Median ege (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
+
8.0 46.5 38.8 2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populalkmchange per year (thousands).. Bilths per year (lhousands) ..................... Deaths per year (lhowaM8) Net migration per year (thous Population gmwlh rate (per cent) ............ crude birth ra1e (per 1,OOO popllation) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO popllation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO popllati) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per wwnan) .......... IrJant mortality rale (per 1.OOO l i births) Under-five mortality (per 1,OOO l i births) L
....
Both sems comMned ............................
338
25 49 17 - 8
19 - 2 0.95 16.5 8.4 -0.7 1.85 0.86 32 41
23 45 20 - 2 0.75 14.8 6.6 -0.7 1.85 0.88 29 37
19 43 22 - 2 0.59 13.5 7.0 -0.6 1.85 0.87 26 32
15 42 24 - 2 0.46 12.8 7.6 -0.6 1.85 0.87
67.3 72.4 69.9
68.7 73.5 71.1
70.0 74.6 72.3
30
28
48
18.4 6.6 -2.3 1.87 0.88 40 54
50 18 - 2 1.m 18.0 6.4 -0.7 1.85 0.85 35 47
63.9 69.9 66.8
65.7 71.2 68.4
0.98
29
12 41 27 - 2 0.35 12.4 8.3 -0.6 1.85 0.87 21 26
31 - 2 0.22 12.0 9.2 -0.0 1.85 0.88 18 23
3 39 34 - 2 0.08 11.5 10.2 -0.8 1.85 0.88 17 21
71.1 75.8 73.5
72.1 76.8 74.5
73.0 77.7 75.4
73.9 78.8 76.2
23
7
40
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affailslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MONGOLIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
31 1.18 20.7 6.6 -2.3 2.12 0.97
41 1.43 21.4 6.4 -0.7 2.25 1.04
40 1.32 20.2 6.3 -0.7 2.35 1.09
35 1.08 17.8 6.4 .0.6 2.35 1.09
32 0.94 16.6 6;6 -0.6 2.35 1.10
31 0.88 16.4 7.1 .0.6 2.35 1.11
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... . Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproducl~onrate (per woman) ..........
19 0.73 16.0 6.5 -2.3 1.62 0.74
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ........................ .......
2 581 1 287 1 293 24.2
2 732 1 362 1 370 26.2
2 912 1 451 1 461 28.3
3 078 1 533 1 545 30.6
3 220 1 603 1 617 32.7
3 344 1 664 1 680 34.5
3 458 1 719 1 739 35.5
3 561 1 768 1 792 36.3
3 646 1 809 1 837 37.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.14 20.3 6.6
1.27 19.8 6.4
1.11 18.1 6.3
0.90 16.1 6.5
0.76 15.0 6.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.67 14.6 7.3
0.59 14.4 7.9
0.47 14.0 8.7
0.34 13.4 9.4
MONTENEGRO A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thouundm) Total M W ................................................... Femak Sex ram (mates per 100 flmlabs) Aga dlatrikrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5 1 4 Percentage a m 1524 ......................... Percentwe aged 60 or over .................. Percenw aged 65 01ova .................. Percenlage aged 80 U OHK Percentage of m~QBI 1W9 Median age (years) ........ POplhUon -itY (populatknper w
.................................................... ...............................................
...........
............................ ..........................
.................. ......... ............ w
1850
1955
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
399
429 206 223 92.6
487
507 247
240 94.3
95.1
519 254 285 95.7
549 271 278 97.2
576
226
93.3
576 286 290 98.7
587 290 297 97.4
623 31 3 31 1 100.7
670 341 329 103.5
11.7 23.6 16.7 10.4 7.2 1.3 46.9 23.6 37
10.5 22.2 19.1 10.9 7.6 1.8 49.7 23.9 38
9.9 20.2 19.8 11.3 8.0 1.7 51.3 25.1
9.4 18.2 19.3 10.7 8.3 1.6 51.5 26.8 42
8.9 17.7 17.5 11.2 7.8 1.9 50.7 20.4 42
8.6 17.7 16.0 12.9 8.3 1.9 48.7 30.0 42
6.7 17 0 16 1 13.5 8.9 1 .8 51.1 31.8 45
6.7 15.2 15.7 14.7 9.5 1.3 51.7 33.7 49
im
209
91 .o
13.1 23.7 18.7 10.5 7.4 1.1 4.2
21.3 29
13.2 21 3 20.2 10.2 7.1 1.1 47.7 22.2 31
13.0 23.4 17.7 10.3 7.1 1 .o 48.0
22.9 34
260
U)
288 290
1850-195!j 1955-1960 1960.1885 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 18eGlWS 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2000-2005
..
Population change per year (thouunds) Births per year (lhowands) ..................... Deaths per year (moUsande) ................... PopuktlkXlgrowth rate @er COtlt) ............. CNde Mtlh rate (per 1,OW pc$nhtlOn) .... CNde h t h @er 1.000 POphtbIl) Total fertility (children per wommn) Net reproduction rate (per womm) Infant ror(alily rate (per 1,OW lk Mtu) L l h exp.ctncy rt M m l (ymus) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
........... ..........
6 7 2 1.47 16.1 5.0 3.22 1.28 87
8 7 2
1 .a 14.9 4.2 2.75 1.14 78
58.4 59.9 59.2
80.2 82.8 61.4
6 5 2 1.13 9.9 3.1 2.30 1.07
5 5 2 0.96 9.2 3.1 2.37 1.09
59
2 6 2 0.47 11.2 3.3 2.43 1.08 42
30
62.0 85.4 83.7
65.0 69.2 67.2
68.1 73.1 70.6
8 6 2 1.64 13.3 3.6 2.57 1.11
2 5 2 0.38 8.2 3.1 2.23 1.02
26
0 5 2 0.00 8.8 3.2 2.32 1.07 23
70.4 75.6 73.1
- 12
0.86 21
0.85
19
7 8 4 1.20 13.5 6.5 1.81 0.85 20
71 .5 76.6 74.1
72.3 77.4 74.9
72.7 78.9 75.4
72.1 78.9 75.4
71.0 76.5 74.0
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
610 299 31 1 96.1
607 298 309 96.7
603 297 305 97.2
5.6 11.1 12.0 26.1 20.0 6.5 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.3 41 .O 41.9 44
5.5
11.1 11.5 27.5 21 .o 6.9 6.7 3.3 3.3 6.9 40.5 42.3 44
5.4 11.2 11.2 29.2 22.3 7.0 6.7 3.4 3.4 6.7 40.2 42.8
9 9 4 1.45 13.3 6.5 1.84
8 5 -1.95 13.2 8.2 1.83 24
8. MEDIUMVARIANT
Popuwon (IhouaMds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Femeles Sex ratio ( ) ........... Age dlotrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage a@ 5 1 4 ... Percentage aged 1524 . Percentage aged 60ofOVBT Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or OVBT .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in Jchool age8 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school qtas 16-23 .......... Percentage of women a@ 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (POpJelkn per sq krn)
.............
............................
.................. ..................
..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
do8 288
800 290
613
299
299
309 g3.8
61 1 297 314 94.6
813
312 96.0
6M 293 312 94.0
314 95.0
314 95.4
612 299 31 3 95.7
6.4 13.2 16.3 17.8 13.8 2.3 7.8 4.2 4.9 9.8 49.7 35.1 44
8.8 12.8 14.5 19.2 14.3 3.3 7.7 3.9 3.8 9.1 47.5
6.5 12.8 12.7 21 .o 15.2 4.0 7.7 3.8 3.8 7.5 46.0 37.1 44
6.2 12.9 12.5 22.6 18.6 4.8 7.8 3.9 3.7 7.5 45.3 38.1 44
5.8 12.6 12.6 23.7 18.1 4.6 7.5 3.9 3.9 7.5 44.8 39.4 44
5.6 12.0 12.8 24.3 19.1 5.0 7.1 3.7 3.8 7.7 43.9 40.8 44
5.5 11.4 12.6 25.0 19.5 5.8 6.8 3.5 3.7 7.6 42.6 41.5 44
38.0 43
44
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (lhouamd~). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thou-) ................... Net migration per year (mwrcmde) Population growlh rate (per cent) Crude Mtlh rate (per 1,OOO popuhtbn) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,OOO popr).tion) Net migratkn rate (per 1,OW POphtbn) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... lnlpnt mortality rate (per 1.OW Ilw, Mrths) Under-fivemortality (per 1 .OW live Mrlhs) L l k expectMy rt M m l (yOu8) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both Sem COmMned ............................
......... ............ .. ...........
340
1 8 7 0 0.20 12.7 10.7 0.0 1.85
0.09
0.88
0.86
24
1 8 6 - 1 0.15 13.4 10.3 -1.7 1.85 0.86 21 22
19 21
18 19
0 7 7 0 0.01 11.3 11.3 0.0 1.85 0.87 16 18
72.4 76.8 74.5
73.1 n.4 75.3
73.7 78.1 76.0
74.4 78.7 76.6
74.9 79.3 77.2
- 2 8 6
- 4 -0.27 13.6 9.8 -6.8 1 .M 0.05 22
1
7 7 0 11.9 11.0 0.0 1.85
0
0
7 7 0 11.2 11.6 0.0 1.85 0.87 15 16
7 7 0 4.07 11.2 11.9 0.0 1.85 0.87 14 15
-1 7 7 0 4.10 11.2 12.2 0.0 1.85 0.87 13 14
7 7 0 -0.15 10.9 12.4 0.0 1.85 0.87 12 12
75.5 80.0 77.8
76.0 80.7 78.4
76.6 81.3 79.0
77.1 81.9 79.5
-0.04
- 1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MONTENEGRO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
608 296 312
605 293 312
618 300 318
635 309 325
647 316 330
657 322 335
668 328 340
682 336 345
697 345 352
711 353 358
6.4 13.2 16.3 17.8 13.8 2.3 49.7 35.1
7.5 12.7 14.4 19.0 14.2 3.3 47.1 35.7
7.8 13.4 12.4 20.5 14.8 3.9 45.0 36.2
7.5 14.6 12.0 21 .8 15.9 4.6 43.7 36.8
7.0 14.6 12.8 22.5 17.1 4.4 43.4 37.6
6.7 14.1 14.1 22.7 17.8 4.7 43.2 38.1
7.0 13.3 14.3 22.9 17.9 5.3 42.6 37.8
7.3 13.3 13.6 23.4 17.9 5.8 41.5 37.1
7.4 13.8 12.8 24.0 18.3 6.0 41.5 36.9
7.2 14.2 12.7 24.8 18.9 5.9 41.8 37.2
.1 .0.09
15.4 9.6 -6.6 2.08 0.97
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 M over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) CNde death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
............
.... ..
..........
.3 .0.46 11.7 9.6 .6.7 1.58 0.74
.1 .0.14 10.7 10.4 .1.7 1.45 0.67
.1 .0.13 9.7 11.0 0.0 1.35 0.63
.1 .0.23 9.2 11.5 0.0 1.35 0.63
.2 -0.32 8.8 11.9 0.0 1.35 0.63
.2 .0.42 8.4 12.5 0.0 1.35 0.63
.3 .0.52 7.9 13.1 0.0 1.35 0.63
.3 .0.62 7.5 13.7 0.0 1.35 0.64
.4 .0.72 7.1 14.3 0.0 l .35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thoumnds) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
608 296 312 35.1
600
604
290 309 36.0
293 31 1 37.1
609 296 31 3 38.2
611 298 313 39.5
611 298 313 40.9
609 298 31 1 41.7
607 297 309 42.2
602 296 306 42.6
597 294 303 43.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.27 13.6 9.6
0.13 13.3 10.3
0.17 12.5 10.7
0.07 11.7 11.0
0.00 11.3 11.3
-0.05 11.1 11.7
.0.09 11.1 12.0
.0.14 10.9 12.2
.0.19 10.6 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Popuiation Prosp~cts:The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
MOROCCO A. ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) .................. Total ................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
6953 4 481 4472 100.2
10132 5 067 5065 100.1
11626 5 812 5814 100.0
13323 6 659 6664 99.9
15310 7 672 7638 100.5
17305 8 647 8658 99.9
19567 9 786 9781 100.1
22299 11 144 11155 99.9
24808 12 371 12436 99.5
26951 13 397 13553 98.8
26827 14 257 14570 97.9
17.9 26.5 19.2 4.6 2.9 0.2 45.9 17.7 20
17.9 26.7 19.2 4.3 2.7 0.2 45.8 17.6 23
18.0 26.8 19.3 4.3 2.6 0.2 45.6 17.5 26
18.4 27.5 17.4 5.3 3.5 0.3 44.7 17.2 30
18.5 29.1 16.7 6.2 4.2 0.8 43.2 16.3 34
18.5 28.6 19.2 5.2 3.7 0.5 43.8 16.3 39
16.0 26.5 20.7 6.3 4.2 0.6 46.5 18.5 44
15.7 25.9 20.0 5.8 4.0 0.5 47.4 16.9 50
13.9 25.8 20.2 6.3 3.8 0.5 48.6 19.7 56
12.2 25.2 20.5 6.6 4.3 0.5 50.8 20.9 60
10.7 22.9 21.1 7.2 4.7 0.6 53.8 22.5 65
Population change per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
............
MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . 377 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 646 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 183 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 85 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ 1.20 Crude blrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 20.5 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 5.8 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . .2.7 Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... 2.38 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 1.11 Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) 31 Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live birlhs) 36 Llfe expectancy at birth (years) .................. 69.0 Males ................... Females .................... ....... .............. 73.4 Both sexes combined .......................... 71.2
. . .
390 659 194 . 75 1.17 19.8 5.8 .2.2 2.26 1.07 25 29
374 645 206 . 65 1.06 18.3 5.8 .1.8 2.16 1.02 21 24
333 611 223 . 55 0.90 16.5 6.0 .1.5 2.07 0.99 19 21
279 575 246 . 50 0.72 14.9 6.4 .1.3 1.99 0.95 16 18
228 553 275 . 50 0.57 13.9 6.9 .1.3 1.92 0.92 14 16
184 543 310 . 50 0.45 13.3 7.6 .1.2 1.86 0.69 12 13
148 541 344 . 50 0.35 13.0 8.2 .1.2 1.85 0.89 11 12
106 529 373 . 50 0.25 12.5 8.8 -1.2 1.85 0.89 10 11
70.2 74.8 72.4
71.3 75.9 73.6
72.3 76.9 74.6
73.2 77.8 75.5
74.0 78.7 76.3
74.7 79.4 77.1
75.5 60.1 77.9
76.1 80.8 78.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MOROCCO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dilrMbulon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude bilth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
443
1.40 22.6 5.9 -2.7 2.63 1.23
503 1.48 22.8 5.8 .2.2 2.66 1.25
520 1.42 21.8 5.8 -1.8 2.66 1.26
479 1.23 19.5 5.8 -1.4 2.57 1.22
433 1.05 17.7 6.0 -1.2 2.49 1.19
412 0.95 17.1 6.4 -1.2 2.42 1.16
415 0.91 17.1 6.9 -1.1 2.36 1.13
419 0.88 17.2 7.3 -1.1 2.35 1.13
401 0.81 16.7 7.6 -1 .0 2.35 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populstlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dishlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.... .. .
312 1 .00 18.5 5.8 .2.7 2.13 0.99
277 0.85 16.6 5.8 .2.3 1.86 0.88
1 88 0.54 13.2 6.3 .1.6 1.57 0.75
228 0.67 14.6 6.0 -l .9 1.66 0.79
130 0.36 11.8 6.8 .1.4 1.49 0.71
61 0.17 10.5 7.5 -l .4 1.42 0.68
. l0 4.03 9.5 8.4 -1.4 1.36 0.65
-70 .0.19 8.8 9.4 -l .4 1.35 0.65
-122 .0.34 8.3 10.3 .1.4 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT P
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males .......................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
P
15008 15 487 24.3
32 545 15980 16 564 26.1
34 812 17074 17738 27.6
37 167 18215 18 952 29.0
39 481 19335 20 146 30.2
41 677 20396 21 281 31.1
43 772 21404 22 367 31.7
45 826 22399 23 427 32.3
47 878 23408 24 469 32.9
1 .30 21.6 5.9
1.35 21.5 5.8
1.31 20.7 5.8
1.21 19.4 5.9
1 .08 18.2 6.1
0.98 17.5 6.5
0.92 17.3 7.0
0.88 17.2 7.4
0.84 17.1 7.7
30 495
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
49 918 24435 25 484 33.6
MOZAMBIQUE
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Females .............................
.................
Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24........ Percentage aged 60 or over. Percentage aged 65 or over ....... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of womeo aged 1549 ......... Median age (yean) ............. . Populationdensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lee0
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
6442 3149 3294 95.6
6972 3406 3565 95.5
7646 3736 3910 95.5
8471 4140 4330 95.6
9448 4620 4828 95.7
10613 5194 5419 95.8
12137 5935 6201 95.7
13324 6496 6828 95.1
13544 6474 7070 91.6
15943 7608 8335 91.3
18194 8741 9453 92.5
17.1 24.6
17.2 24.7 18.9 4.7 2.7 0.2 47.5 19.0 9
17.5 24.8 18.8 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.1 18.8 10
17.7 25.2 18.6 4.8 2.6 0.2 46.5 18.6 11
17.8 25.7 18.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 46.0 18.3 12
17.8 26.0 18.6 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.7 18.0 13
17.9 25.9 18.9 4.9 3.0 0.2 45.9 18.0 15
17.8
17.4 29.2 19.5 5.2 3.2 0.3 43.9 16.5 17
17.4 26.6 20.0 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.1 17.7 20
17.3 26.4 19.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 47.4 18.0 23
0.2 47.6 19.1 6
26.9
18.9 5.0 3.1 0.2 45.2 17.6 17
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2OOO-&O5 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,O0O poprleti) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlalion) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOOlive births) L l k expectancy at Mlth (yean) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
1.58 49.3 32.8 6.60 1.59 220
135 359 219 1.85 49.1 30.0 6.60 1.71 201
2.05 48.6 27.5 6.60 1.81 185
30.1 32.5 31.3
32.5 35.1 33.8
34.6 37.6 36.2
106 331
220
230 2.18 48.0 25.6 6.60 1.90 172
233 474 236 2.33 47.2 23.5 6.58 1.99 158
36.6 39.6 38.1
38.8 41.9 40.3
165
196
392 222
430
305
237
44
480
450
534
584
588
641
247 2.68 46.9 21.7 6.53 2.06 146
272 1.87 45.9 21.4 6.44 2.04 143
282 0.33 43.6 21.o 6.33 1.99 143
3.26 43.5 19.8 6.12 1.97 135
742 307 2.64 43.5 18.0 5.85 1.96 116
371 2.42 43.5 19.2 5.52 1.85 108
40.9 44.1 42.5
41.3 44.3 42.8
41.4 44.4 42.9
42.7 45.8 44.3
44.6 48.0 46.3
42.8 45.3 44.0
292
468 843
B. M E D I U M V A R M
Populotlon (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per to0 females) ........... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ..... Percentage aged 1524 ... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 Percentage in schod ages 12Percentage in school ages 1 5 Percentage in school ages 1% Percentage of women aged 15 Mediin age (yean) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
20533 9933 10 600 93.7
22635 11 042 11 593 95.3
24 698 12 142 12 556 96.7
26809 13281 13 548 97.9
28 954 14 390 14 565 .M.8
31 117 15 510 15 607 99.4
33232 16 588 16 844 99.7
35 267 17612 17 655
99.6
37 223 16 589 18 634 99.8
39 117 19 529 19 588 99.7
17.6 26.6 19.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 16.4 7.1 6.6 11.4 46.6 17.7 26
16.5 27.8 20.3 5.0 3.3 0.4 17.3 7.4 6.8 11.8 46.1 17.6 28
15.3 27.9 21.2 5.1 3.4 0.4 17.0 6.0 7.1 12.3 46.7 18.0 31
14.4 26.5 22.5 5.2 3.5 0.5 16.0 7.7 7.5 13.1 48.5 18.7 33
13.7 25.2 22.8 5.3 3.6 0.5 15.2 7.3 7.1 13.6 50.3 19.7 36
13.0 24.2 22.0 5.4 3.7 0.6 14.6 7.0 6.8 13.1 51.9 20.7 39
12.2 23.3 21.3 5.5 3.6 0.6 14.1 6.8 6.6 12.6 53.3 21.7 41
11.5 22.4 20.8 5.7 3.9 0.7 13.5 6.6 6.4 12.3 54.4 22.7 44
10.7 21.3 20.3 6.1 4.1 0.7 12.6 6.4 6.3 12.1 55.2 23.8 46
10.1 20.2 19.7 6.8 4.4 0.7 12.1 6.0 6.0 11.8 55.4 25.0 49
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2ooo-2045 2045-2050
.
populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrationper year (thousands) ......... PopulationgrowM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.O0O population) Crude death rate (per 1,O0O population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOOpopulatiar) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) .......... Infant Mali rate (per 1.OOO live birlhs) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 iive births) L l h expectancy at blrlh (yoarr) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes c d i n e d ............................
....
344
420 852 428 - 4 1.95 39.5 19.8 -0.2 5.11 1.71 96 164 41.7 42.4 42.1
413
422
846
853
429 - 4 1.75 35.6 18.1 -0.2 4.61 1.60 84 141
427 - 4 1.64 33.1 16.6 -0.2 4.10 1.48 74 123
43.6 43.5 43.6
45.6 45.6 45.7
429 866
432 875
423 872
432
439
445
- 4 1.54 31 .O 15.5 -0.1 3.64 1.37 67 109
- 4 1.44 29.1 14.6 -0.1 3.26 1.27 60 96
- 4 1.32 27.1 13.8 -0.1 2.97 1.20
47.2 47.5 47.5
48.7 49.9 49.4
84
407 859 448 - 4 1.19 25.1 13.1 -0.1 2.74 1.14 48 74
391 844 449 - 4 1.08 23.3 12.4 -0.1 2.56 1.09 43 65
50.2 52.3 51.3
51.8 54.7 53.2
53.7 56.8 55.2
53
379 832 449 - 4
0.99 21.8 11.8 -0.1 2.41 1.04 38 56 55.6 58.8 57.2
United Nations Department of Economic and sods1AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
MOZAMBIQUE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dldrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
20 533 9933 10600
22 817 11134 11683
25 199 12394 12805
27 764 13742 14023
30 447 15140 15307
33 277 16595 16681
17.6 26.6 19.7 5.0 3.2 0.4 46.6 17.7
17.1 27.6 20.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 45.7 17.4
16.3 28.1 20.8 5.0 3.3 0.4 45.8 17.5
15.6 27.4 21.7 5.0 3.3 0.5 46.9 18.0
14.8 26.5 22.3 5.0 3.4 0.5 48.4 18.7
14.2 25.6 22.0 5.0 3.4 0.5 49.9 19.4
2035
2040
2045
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
457 2.11 41.2 20.0 -0.2 5.36 1.79
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
384 1.79 37.7 19.7 -0.2 4.86 1.63
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
20 533 9933 10600 17.7
22 916 11184 11732 17.3
25 679 12636 13044 17.1
29 019 14373 14646 17.0
33 053 16451 16602 16.9
37 918 18929 18988 16.8
43 764 21884 21881 16.7
50 797 25421 25376 16.6
59 266 29675 29591 16.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Cmde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.20 42.2 20.1
2.28 41.4 18.5
2.45 41.4 16.8
2.60 41.6 15.5
2.75 41.7 14.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
2.87 41.6 12.9
2.98 41.5 11.7
3.08 41.4 10.6
3.18 41.3 9.5
69 469 34797 34672 16.6
MYANMAR
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
47 967 23 758 24 209 98.1
50 051 24 727 25 324 97.6
51 998 25 648 26 350 97.3
53 780 26 489 27 291 97.1
55 374 27 236 28 138 96.8
56 681 27 840 28 841 96.5
57 665 28 286 29 379 96.3
58 326 28 579 29 748 96.1
58 667 28 724 29 944 95.9
58 709 28 731 29 978 95.8
8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 1 .0 l l .0 5.8 6.0 11.7 56.6 26.8 71
8.2 16.8 18.5 8.5 5.7 1 .l 9.9 5.2 5.4 11.2 56.7 28.6 74
7.6 15.5 16.9 10.1 6.3 1.2 9.3 4.7 4.9 10.2 56.0 30.6 77
7.2 14.7 15.4 11.9 7.7 1.3 8.8 4.5 4.5 9.3 54.5 32.6 79
6.8 13.9 14.4 13.9 9.3 1.4 8.3 4.2 4.3 8.7 52.2 34.6 82
6.4 13.2 13.8 16.1 10.9 l .6 7.9 4.0 4.1 8.4 50.0 36.4 84
6.1 12.7 13.2 18.7 12.8 2.3 7.6 3.9 3.9 8.0 47.9 38.0 85
5.9 12.1 12.8 21.1 15.1 2.9 7.2 3.7 3.8 7.7 45.7 39.4 86
5.7 11.7 12.4 23.4 17.0 3.5 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.5 44.0 40.5 87
5.6 11.5 12.0 25.6 18.9 4.2 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.2 42.7 41.5 87
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopufafionProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
MYANMAR
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
47 967 23 758 24 209
50 547 24 979 25 569
53 31 1 26 31 5 26 996
56 1 1 7 27 676 28 441
58 720 28 936 29 784
61 077 30 073 31 004
63 294 31 144 32 150
65 470 32 206 33 264
87 572 33 245 34 327
8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 1 .0 56.6 26.8
9.1 16.6 18.3 8.4 5.7 1.1 56.2 28.3
9.0 16.1 16.5 9.9 6.1 1.2 54.7 29.9
8.7 16.4 14.8 11.4 7.4 1.2 52.3 31.3
8.2 16.2 14.4 13.1 8.7 1.3 50.1 32.7
7.7 15.6 14.9 14.9 10.2 1.5 48.6 33.8
7.5 14.8 14.9 17.1 11.7 2.1 47.3 34.6
7.6 14.3 14.5 18.8 13.4 2.6 45.8 34.9
7.6 14.3 13.8 20.3 14.8 3.1 44.6 35.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
51 6 1.05 20.3 9.8 0.0 2.32 0.99
553 1.06 19.8 9.1 0.0 2.32 1.01
521 0.91 17.6 8.5 0.0 2.35 1.06
561 1.03 19.0 8.7 0.0 2.35 1.05
471 0.79 16.5 8.6 0.0 2.35 1.07
443 0.71 16.0 8.9 0.0 2.35 1.08
435 0.68 16.0 9.2 0.0 2.35 1.09
421 0.63 16.0 9.7 0.0 2.35 1.10
390 0.57 15.8 10.0 0.0 2.35 1.10
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4................... ..... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
..
47 967 23 758 24 209
49 554 24 474 25 080
50 685 24 981 25 704
51 442 25 301 26 141
8.7 18.6 19.5 8.0 5.6 l .0 56.6 26.8
7.3 16.9 18.7 8.6 5.8 1.1 57.3 28.9
6.2 15.0 17.3 10.4 6.4 1.2 57.5 31.3
5.5 12.8 16.1 12.4 8.1 1.3 56.8 33.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Populat~onchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
317 0.65 16.1 9.5 0.0 1.82 0.78
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................. . . ............. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ...............................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
47 967 23 758 24 209 26.8
50 383 24 895 25 488 28.4
52 980 26 147 26 833 30.0
55 559 27 392 28 166 31.6
57 966 28 553 29 413 33.1
60 132 29 593 30 539 34.4
62 082 30 529 31 553 35.4
63 878 31 398 32 480 35.9
65 531 32 208 33 322 36.4
0.98 19.6 9.7
1.01 19.2 9.1
0.95 18.3 8.7
0.85 17.1 8.6
0.73 16.0 8.7
0.64 15.4 9.0
0.57 15.1 9.4
0.51 15.0 9.9
0.45 14.8 10.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NAMIBIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
............................................... ...........
485 241 244 98.6
536 265 271 97.7
599 296 304 97.4
677 334 343 97.3
772 381 391 97.4
892 440 452 97.4
993 484 509 95.0
1 131 549 582 94.2
1 417 692 725 95.4
1 657 812 845 96.1
1 879 923 956 96.5
........................... ......................... .................. .................. ......... .................................
15.7 23.1 18.7 6.6 4.1 0.3 48.4 20.9
16.2 24.1 17.7 6.1 4.0 0.3 46.8 20.2 1
16.4 24.9 17.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 45.9 19.5
16.6 25.4 18.3 5.8 3.6 0.4 45.2 19.0 1
17.0 25.7 18.6 5.7 3.6 0.4 44.9 18.6
17.9 26.0 18.6 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 18.1 1
18.2 27.8 18.5 5.6 3.5 0.3 42.9 16.9
18.0 28.9 19.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 43.0 16.5 1
17.9 26.7 20.1 5.2 3.3 0.3 45.9 17.5 2
17.0 27.2 19.8 5.0 3.3 0.4 46.5 17.8 2
14.3 28.0 20.0 5.0 3.3 0.4 47.9 18.6 2
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) Populationdensity (populationper sq km)
1
1
1
1
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) C ~ d birth e rate (per l. 000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males Females Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ................... ............. .... ..
...................................................
...............................................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
................................................... ...................................................
2020 995 1 025 97.1
2157 1 067 1 090 97.9
2288 1 138 1 150 99.0
2428 1214 1 213 100.1
2560 1 286 1 273 101.0
2678 1 350 1 327 101.7
2780 1405 1 375 102.2
2873 1454 1 420 102.4
2960
1498 1 463 102.4
3041 1 538 1 504 102.3
............................ ...........................
12.3 26.8 22.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 16.1 8.2 7.6 12.6 50.1 19.5 2
11.8 23.5 24.0 5.6 3.7 0.5 13.8 7.4 7.7 14.3 52.7 20.9 3
11.7 21.6 23.2 6.0 4.0 0.6 12.9 6.4 6.7 14.2 53.7 22.3 3
11.4 21.2 20.5 6.4 4.3 0.6 12.9 6.1 5.9 12.4 53.6 23.6 3
10.8 21.1 19.0 7.0 4.7 0.7 12.8 6.1 5.9 11.2 53.9 24.6 3
9.9 20.5 19.0 7.4 5.1 0.8 12.3 6.1 6.0 11.3 54.9 25.3 3
9.2 19.4 19.3 7.8 5.5 0.9 11.6 5.9 5.9 11.5 55.8 26.2 3
8.8 18.1 19.0 8.3 5.8 1.1 10.8 5.6 5.7 11.5 55.5 27.3 3
8.5 17.2 18.1 9.3 6.2 l .2 10.3 5.2 5.3 11.0 54.3 28.4 4
8.2 16.6 17.1 11.0 7.0 1.3 9.9 5.0 5.0 10.3 53.1 29.7 4
Population (thousands) Total Males Females Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 514 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.............................................. ...........
.................. ..........
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined
..................... ................... ......... ............
............................................... ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NAMIBIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (yeas) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2 020 995 1 025
2 177 1 077 1 100
2 345 1 167 1 178
2 535 1 268 1 267
2 722 1 368 1 354
2 900 1 463 1 438
3 075 1 553 1 521
3 254 1 646 1 608
3 443 1 742 1 701
3 635 1 838 1 797
12.3 26.8 22.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 50.1 19.5
12.6 23.3 23.8 5.5 3.6 0.5 52.3 20.7
12.9 21.9 22.6 5.8 3.9 0.6 52.4 21.8
12.9 22.5 19.6 6.2 4.1 0.6 51.4 22.5
12.2 23.0 18.5 6.5 4.4 0.6 51.4 22.9
11.3 22.6 19.5 6.8 4.7 0.7 52.6 23.2
10.7 21.3 20.2 7.1 4.9 0.8 53.9 23.8
10.5 20.1 20.0 7.4 5.1 10 53.9 24.7
10.4 19.4 18.9 8.0 5.4 1.1 52.9 25.6
10.1 19.2 17.9 9.2 5.9 1.1 52.1 26.5
31 1.50 27.6 12.5 -0.1 3.44 1.37
34 1.49 27.9 13.0 -0.1 3.31 1.34
38 1.56 27.7 12.5 0.4 3.19 1.33
37 1.42 25.8 12.0 0.4 3.02 1.30
36 1.27 23.8 11.5 0.4 2.88 1.26
35 1.17 22.5 11.2 0.3 2.76 1.23
36 1.14 22.1 11.0 0.3 2.66 1 20
38
.
1.13 21.8 10.8 0.3 2.57 1.17
38 1.09 21.2 10.6 0.3 2.50 1.14
7 0.30 15.6 13.0 0.4 1.76 0.78
4 0.14 14.2 13.2 0.4 1.66 0.75
1 0.03 13.2 13.3 0.4 1.57 0.71
.2 -0.06 12.3 13.3 0.4 1.50 0.69
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
23 1.13 23.8 12.4 .0.1 2.94 1.17
19 0.87 21.9 13.1 .0.1 2.51 1.02
18 0.78 20.4 13.0 0.4 2.19 0.92
15 0.66 19.1 13.0 0.4 2.02 0.87
12 0.49 17.4 12.9 0.4 1.88 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2020 995 1 025 19.5
2187 1 082 1 105 20.6
2375 1 182 1 193 21.5
2594 1298 1 296 21.9
2829 1422 1 407 21.7
3080 1 553 1 527 21.6
3355 1 695 1 660 21.8
3662 1 851 1 810 22.2
4005 2026 1 980 22.5
4388 2 219 2 169 22.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.59 28.5 12.5
1.65 29.5 12.9
1.77 29.6 12.3
1.73 28.7 11.7
1.70 27.7 11.1
1.71 27.3 10.6
1.75 27.4 10.2
1.79 27.4 9.8
1.82 27.3 9.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
NEPAL
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1965
1960
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... ~o~ulatio growth n rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertiltty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 094 13427 13667 98.2
29 898 14822 15077 98.3
32 843 16284 16559 98.3
35 868 17767 18101 98.2
38 855 19225 19629 97.9
41 742 20630 21112 97.7
44 526 21979 22547 97.5
47 185 23264 23921 97.3
49 665 24452 25213 97.0
51 891 25508 26384 96.7
13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 15.6 7.3 6.7 11.7 49.6 20.1 184
12.6 23.8 20.8 6.1 3.9 0.4 14.3 7.1 6.9 12.1 51.3 21.3 203
12.0 22.1 20.7 6.6 4.2 0.5 13.4 6.4 6.5 12.4 52.5 22.6 223
11.3 21.2 19.5 7.1 4.6 0.5 12.9 6.1 5.9 11.7 52.8 23.9 244
10.5 20.4 18.4 7.8 5.0 0.6 12.4 6.0 5.8 10.9 53.1 25.3 264
9.7 19.4 18.0 8.6 5.6 0.7
9.1 18.3 17.6 9.6 6.3 0.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.3 28.1 303
8.6 17.2 17.0 10.7 7.1 1 .0 10.3 5.2 5.2 10.2 52.8 29.5
8.1 16.3 16.2 12.2 8.1 l .2 9.8 4.9 4.9 9.7 51.7 30.9 337
7.6 15.5 15.5 14.0 9.4 1.4 9.3 4.7 4.7 9.3 50.5 32.5 353
11.7
5.8 5.6 10.7 53.3 26.7 284
321
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
NEPAL C. HIGHVARIANT
lndlcator PopuWon (thounndo) Tdal .................................................... Males ...................................................
.......
Percenw aged 0.4
.....
............................
Percentage aged 514 ... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage a m 65 or over .................. PenxnW#aged 80orover Percentageofmnrenaged15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 094 13 427 13 667
30 133 14 942 15 191
33 507 16 625 16 882
37 155 18 426 18 729
40 867 20 255 20 612
44633 22 108 22 524
48 498 24 010 24 489
52 472 25 964 26 507
56 499 27 942 28 557
60489 29899
13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 49.6 20.1
13.3 23.6 20.6 6.0 3.9 0.4 50.9 21.1
13.0 22.4 20.3 6.4 4.1 0.5 51.5 22.1
12.6 22.3 18.8 6.9 4.4 0.5 51 .O 23.0
11.8 22.0 18.1 7.4 4.8 0.6 51.1 23.9
11.1 21.2 18.3 8.1 5.3 0.7 51.4 24.6
10.6 20.1 10.4 8.8 5.0 0.8 51.6 25.8
10.3 19.2 17.9 9.7 8.4 0.9 51.4 26.6
9.9 18.6 17.1 10.7 7.1 1.o 50.5 27.7
9.4 18.1 16.5 12.0 8.0 1.2 49.9 28.8
30 590
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
.
Populationchange per year (thcusands) Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude bim rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net miption rate (per 1,OOO popllalion) . Total tertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
6m 2.13 29.7 7.8 -0.7 3.53 1.53
875 2.12 28.9 7.0 4.6 3.38 1.50
729 2.07 27.7 6.5 -0.8 3.25 1.48
742 1.91 25.5 6.0 -0.5 3.06 1.42
753 1.78 23.8 5.7 -0.5 2.92 1.37
773 1.66 22.6 5.6 4.4 2.79 1.32
795 1.58 21.7 5.6 -0.4 2.69 1.28
1.48 20.8 5.8 -0.4 2.60 1.24
798 1.37 19.7 5.8 -0.3 2.51 1.20
806
D. LOW VARIANT
Population(thouundo) Total ....................................................
.........................
514 .......................... Peccentage aged 1524 ......................... Peccaotageagad60orover .................. percantageaged 65 or over .................. Prwcentage a g d 80 OT over Percentage of women agad 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 094 13 427 13 667
29 557 14 647 14 910
31 889 15 795 16 094
34 097 16 859 17 237
36 217 17 875 18 342
38 126
39 743 19 534
42 021
42 673
20548
20800
20208
41 039 20 124 20 915
21 474
21 874
13.3 25.6 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.4 49.6 20.1
11.6 24.0 21.o 6.2 3.9 0.5 51.9 21.6
10.4 21.7 21.4 6.8 4.3 0.5 54.0 23.3
9.5 19.5 20.5 7.5 4.8 0.6 55.5 25.2
8.9 18.0 18.8 6.4 5.4 0.7 55.9 27.3
8.1 16.9 17.3 9.4 6.2 0.8 55.8 29.3
7.3 15.8 16.2 10.7 7.1 0.9 55.3 31.5
6.5 14.5 15.5 12.4 8.2 1.1 54.3 33.6
5.9 13.2 14.8 14.4 9.8 1.4 52.5 35.7
5.5 12.1 13.8 17.0 11.4 1.7 50.3 37.7
18 780 19 346
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 20302035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growlh raw (per cent) ............ CNda birth rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.ooOpopulation) Net migrationrate (per 1.ooOpopulation) TOWfertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per women) ..........
..
.
493 1.74 25.7 7.6 -0.7 3.03 1.32
466 1.52 22.7 6.9 4.7 2.58 1.15
442 1.34 20.5 6.5 -0.6 2.25 1 .M
424 1.21 18.9 6.3 -0.6 2.08 0.95
382 1.03 17.0 6.2 -0.5 1.92 0.90
323 0.83 15.2 6.3 -0.5 1 0.85
.n
259 0.64 13.5 6.6 -0.5 1.69 0.80
198 0.47 12.2 7.0 -0.5 1.60 0.76
130 0.31 11.1 7.6 4.5 1.51 0.72
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 OS4 13 427 13 667 20.1
30 306
34 080 18 919 17 162 21.6
38 357 19 042 19 315 22.1
43 061 21 378 21 883 22.3
48 263 23 965 24 298 22.4
54 127 26 866 27 241 22.6
60 767 30 202 30 565 22.9
68 237 33 938
76 574 38 117 38 457 23.2
15 031 15 276 20.9
34 299 23.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Populationgrowvl rate @er cent) ............
.... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .. Crude Mtth rate (per 1,ooO popr(at!m)
2.24 30.9 7.8
2.35 31.2 7.1
2.37 30.6 8.5
2.31 29.5 5.9
2.28 28.8 5.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn, Volume I: Comprehenslve Tables
2.29 28.6 5.3
2.31 28.6 5.1
2.32 28.4 5.0
2.31 28.2 4.9
351
NETHERLANDS
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.........
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
10114 5 041 5 073 99.4
10751 5 356 5 395 99.3
11487 5 720 5 788 99.2
12295 6 134 6 160 99.6
13039 6 507 8 531 99.6
13666 6 804 6 862 99.2
14150 7 021 7 128 98.5
14492 7 167 7 325 97.8
14952 7 389 7 563 97.7
15459 7 645 7 814 97.8
15924 7 878 8 046 97.9
11.9 17.4 15.9 11.5 7.7 10 49.8 28.0 244
10.3 19.6 14.9 12.3 8.4 1.2 47.8 28.6 259
10.1 19.9 15.0 13.1 9.0 1.4 46.4 28.7 277
9.9 18.4 17.0 13.9 9.6 1.5 47.0 28.6 296
9.1 18.2 17.6 14.5 10.2 1.7 47.3 28.6 314
7.5 17.8 16.8 15.1 10.8 2.0 48.1 29.4 329
6.3 16.1 17.4 15.7 11.5 2.3 50.0 31.3 341
6.0 13.4 17.3 16.8 12.1 2.6 51.9 33.1 349
6.3 12.0 15.7 17.3 12.8 2.9 52.5 34.5 360
6.4 12.0 13.2 17.7 13.2 3.1 51.5 35.9 372
6.2 12.4 11.6 18.2 13.6 3.2 49.1 37.5 383
.
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16328 8 075 8 253 97.8
16502 8 173 8 329 98.1
16625 8 243 8 382 98.3
16760 8 307 8 453 98.3
16960 8 404 8 556 98.2
17141 8 489 8 652 98.1
17262 8 544 8 718 98.0
17303 8 563 8 739 98.0
17279 8 556 8 723 98.1
17235 8 544 8 690 98.3
6.1 12.3 11.9 19.3 14.2 3.6 7.3 3.7 3.7 7.1 47.5 39.1 393
5.5 12.0 12.1 22.1 15.4 4.0 7.3 3.6 3.7 7.3 45.6 41.0 397
5.1 11.4 12.1 24.4 18.0 4.4 6.8 3.6 3.6 7.3 43.5 42.7 400
5.1 10.5 12.0 26.8 20.0 4.8 6.2 3.3 3.6 7.2 41.6 43.9 404
5.3 10.2 11.7 29.2 22.0 5.4 6.1 3.1 3.2 7.2 40.3 44.1 408
5.5 10.5 10.9 31.2 24.1 6.8 6.3 3.1 3.1 6.6 39.7 43.9 413
5.5 10.9 10.6 32.0 25.7 7.7 6.6 3.2 3.1 6.4 39.4 43.9 416
5.3 11.2 10.9 31.6 26.3 8.6 6.7 3.4 3.3 6.5 39.4 43.9 417
5.2 11.1 11.5 31.1 25.8 9.6 6.6 3.4 3.5 6.9 39.6 44.0 416
5.2 10.6 11.8 30.7 25.2 10.4 6.4 3.3 3.4 7.1 39.8 44.2 415
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................ ....... ............ Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NETHERLANDS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................ Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth m e (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16328 8 075 8 253
16630 8 238 8 391
16946 8 408 8 538
17325 8 596 8 729
17776 8 822 8 954
18221 9 042 9 179
18641 9 250 9 390
19043 9 455 9 588
19453 9 669 9 784
19901 9 910 9 991
6.1 12.3 1 1.9 19.3 14.2 3.6 47.5 39.1
6.2 12.0 12.0 21.9 15.3 4.0 45.3 40.8
6.1 12.0 11.8 23.9 17.7 4.3 42.7 42.0
6.3 12.0 11.6 25.9 19.4 4.6 40.3 42.4
6.5 12.2 11.8 27.9 21.0 5.2 39.2 41.9
6.6 12.6 12.0 29.3 22.6 6.4 39.1 41.2
6.7 12.9 12.2 29.6 23.8 7.1 39.5 40.6
6.8 13.1 12.5 28.7 23.9 7.8 40.1 39.8
6.8 13.2 12.8 27.6 22.9 8.5 40.7 39.1
7.0 13.4 13.0 26.6 21.8 9.0 41.3 38.5
60 0.37 12.6 8.6 -0.4 1.97 0.95
.
D LOW VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ........................ ........................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
..
.........
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 0.06 9.5 8.6 .0.4 1.47 0.71
. 14 .0.09 8.0 9.1 0.2 1.32 0.64
. 22 .0.13 7.5 9.8 0.9 1.25 0.60
. 10 .0.06 8.0 10.5 l9 1.30 0.63
.
. 15 .0.10 8.5 11.3 1 .9 1.34 0.65
-30 .0.19 8.4 12.1 l .9 1.35 0.65
-51 .0.32 7.9 13.0 l .9 1.35 0.65
. 71 .0.46 7.2 13.7 1.9 1.35 0.65
. 83 .0.55 6.8 14.3 2.0 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................ Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
16328 8 075 8 253 39.1
16498 8 171 8 327 41.1
16620 8 241 8 379 42.7
18746 8 299 8 446 43.9
16912 8 379 8 532 44.2
17033 8 434 8 600 44.2
17087 8 455 8 633 44.3
17061 8 439 8 621 44.5
16970 8 397 8 572 44.7
16853 8 349 8 504 45.1
0.21 11.0 8.6
0.15 10.3 9.0
0.15 10.1 9.5
0.20 10.3 10.1
0.14 10.4 10.7
0.06 10.3 11.4
.0.03 10.0 12.0
.0.11 9.7 12.5
.0.14 9.6 12.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
112 54 58 93.8
123 60 63 95.1
135 66 68 97.0
146 72 74 97.5
159 79 80 97.8
166 82 98.0
1 74 84 90 93.2
182 87 94 92.6
191 91 99 92.0
191 91 100 91.2
181 85 95 89.4
14.8 20.4 17.7 8.8 6.4 0.9 47.3 23.3 140
17.8 22.5 15.9 7.7 5.4 0.9 44.0 20.9 153
16.1 25.3 15.8 7.3 4.8 0.8 43.6 20.0 168
13.4 26.9 18.0 7.4 4.8 0.7 44.8 19.7 183
11.4 25.3 20.9 8.0 5.0 0.6 47.8 21.0 199
10.8 22.1 22.7 8.6 5.7 0.7 50.8 22.3 208
9.1 20.9 21.4 9.3 6.7 1.3 54.0 24.3 217
9.2 18.8 18.0 9.9 7.0 1 .5 54.6 27.2 227
9.1 17.1 15.5 10.0 7.1 1.6 56.0 29.2 238
9.5 17.0 14.5 10.7 7.5 1.7 54.3 31 .1 238
7.7 17.0 12.6 13.0 9.2 2.3 51.8 34.5 226
84
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1Q65 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................. . .................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
186 67 100 87.3
199 92 107 86.3
205 94 110 85.7
207 95 111 85.6
207 95 112 85.3
206 94 111 84.8
202 93 110 84.3
198 90 1 08 84.0
1 93 88 105 83.9
186 85 101 84.0
7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 9.2 5.0 4.4 7.3 51.4 36.4 233
6.1 13.7 11.5 15.6 10.5 2.2 8.2 4.1 4.1 6.4 50.3 38.8 249
5.8 12.5 10.0 18.1 12.2 2.5 7.5 3.9 3.4 5.7 46.8 41.3 256
5.3 11.5 8.9 21.2 14.3 2.8 7.0 3.5 3.3 4.8 44.2 43.5 259
4.8 10.9 8.6 25.5 17.3 3.3 6.6 3.3 3.0 5.0 40.9 45.7 259
4.4 10.1 9.0 29.1 21.2 4.2 6.0 3.2 3.1 5.2 38.2 47.8 257
4.2 9.4 9.7 33.0 24.5 5.3 5.5 3.0 3.0 5.8 35.2 49.9 253
4.3 8.9 9.4 36.0 27.8 6.9 5.3 2.7 2.8 5.6 33.1 51.2 247
4.5 8.9 8.7 38.6 30.3 8.9 5.3 2.6 2.6 5.2 31.8 52.0 241
4.5 9.3 8.2 39.8 32.5 10.2 5.6 2.7 2.6 4.8 32.1 51.8 233
Populatron change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... .....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NETHERLANDSANTILLES C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator PopuWon (thouundo) Total Males ...................................................
F m l e s ............................................... dlrtrlbutbn Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentageaged 80 or ovar Percentage aged 65 or c w r Percentageaged 80 or m r Percentage of WMWM a@ 15-49 Median age (years)
...
... ... .................. .........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
188 87 100
201 93 108
209 97 112
214 99 115
217 100 117
218 101 117
218 101 117
218 101 117
218 101 117
216 100 116
7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 51.4 36.4
6.9 13.6 11.4 15.4 10.4 2.2 49.9 38.6
6.9 13.1 9.8 17.7 12.0 2.5 46.0 40.8
6.5 13.1 8.6 20.5 13.9 2.7 42.9 42.5
5.8 13.0 9.1 24.3 16.6 3.2 39.9 44.3
5.4 12.2 10.4 27.4 20.0 4.0 37.8 46.0
5.5 11.2 11.5 30.6 22.7 5.0 35.8 47.2
5.9 10.8 11.1 32.7 25.3 6.3 34.4 47.5
6.3 11.3 10.2 34.2 26.8 7.9 33.7 48.3
6.4 12.2 9.9 34.3 27.9 8.8 34.6 44.2
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
. ............
Population change per year (mwsands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude Mtth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Cnde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ,WOpoprlation) . Total fenility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
3 1.49 14.1 7.9 8.7 2.10 1.00
2 0.78 14.1 8.0 1.7 2.25 1.08
1 0.49 13.3 8.4 0.0 2.35 1.13
1 0.28 11.8 9.0 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 0.10 10.9 9.9 0.0 2.35 1.13
0
0
0 0.00 11.0 11.0 0.0 2.35 1.13
0 -0.02 11.9 12.0 0.0
0.0
0.0
2.35 1.13
2.35 1.13
2.35 1.13
-0.03
12.7 13.0
-0.11 12.7 13.8
D. LOW VARIANT
-2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
188 87 100
198 92 106
201 92 108
200
197
193
92 108
90 1 07
88
179 81 98
170 76 94
180 71
105
187 65 102
7.0 15.5 12.7 14.0 9.8 2.2 51.4 36.4
5.4 13.6 11.6 15.7 10.6 2.2 50.6 39.0
4.6 12.0 10.2 18.4 12.5 2.6 47.7 41.9
4.0 9.9 9.2 22.0 14.8 2.9 45.6 44.6
3.7 8.7 8.4 26.7 18.2 3.5 42.0 47.1
3.3 7.9 7.5 30.9 22.6 4.5 38.4 49.6
3.0 7.3 7.6 35.7 26.5 5.8 34.4 52.1
2.9 6.7 7.2 39.7 30.7 7.6 31.3 54.4
2.8 6.3 6.7 43.7 34.3 10.0 29.1 56.3
2.6 6.2 6.1 46.4 37.9 11.9 20.4 57.7
P0pUlrt)On (thOUUnd8) Total Males ...................................................
Females ...............................................
Age dlrtrlkrtlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or ovar .................. Percentage of WMWM aged 15-49 Median age (years)
.........
2050 -
88
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popllalion c m per year (thousands) . popllalkm growvl rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .mpopulation) Net migraton rate (per 1 ,WOp0Pu)etion) Total fertility (children per wcunan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
2 1.17 10.8 7.9 6.8 1.80 0.76
1 0.29 9.3 8.2 1.7 1.45 0.69
0 -0.08
8.0 8.8 0.0 1.35 0.65
0 -0.24 7.3 9.7 0.0 1.35 0.65
- 1 -0.43 6.6 10.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
- 1 -0.65 6.0 12.5 0.0 1.35
- 2 -0.85 5.7 14.2 0.0 1.35
- 2 -1.05 5.5 16.0 0.0 1.35
0.65
0.65
0.65
- 2 -1.26 5.4 17.9 0.0 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populdon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (yean) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
188 67 100 36.4
201
207 96 112 41 .O
21 1 98 114 42.9
213 98 115 44.9
213 98 115 46.8
21 1 97 114 46.4
209 96
208 95 111 49.3
202
93 108 38.6
113 49.3
93 109 47.8
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
Population gnmth rate (per cent) Crude Mtlh rate (per 1,WOpoprlalbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlatiar) ..
1.47 13.9 7.9
0.67 13.0 8.0
0.34 11.8 8.5
0.16 10.7 9.1
0.00 10.0 10.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revisbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.13 9.9 11.3
-0.22 10.2 12.5
-0.31 10.5 13.6
-0.41 10.6 14.7
355
NEW CALEDONIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
234 118 116 101.6
253 127 126 100.5
270 135 135 99.7
287 143 144 99.1
303 150 152 98.6
317 157 160 98.1
330 163 167 97.6
341 168 173 97.2
351 173 178 96.9
8.4 18.7 17.1 9.9 6.6 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.0 54.1 28.8 13
7.9 17.0 17.0 11.5 7.7 1.5 10.0 5.4 5.3 10.2 53.9 30.4 14
7.5 15.2 16.5 13.0 9.0 1.8 9.0 4.7 5.1 9.9 53.1 32.0 15
7.1 14.5 15.2 14.7 10.2 2.1 8.7 4.4 4.3 9.3 51.2 33.6 15
6.7 14.0 13.9 16.9 11.7 2.5 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.3 49.3 35.2 16
6.4 13.4 13.4 19.2 13.6 3.0 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.0 47.9 36.8 17
6.1 12.8 13.1 21.3 15.5 3.5 7.6 3.9 4.0 7.8 46.7 38.3 18
5.9 12.3 12.7 22.9 17.4 4.2 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.6 45.2 39.8 18
5.7 11.9 12.3 24.3 18.7 5.1 7.1 3.7 3.7 7.4 43.7 40.8 19
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ..................... ... ... ................. Females ............................ ................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
NEW CALEDONIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
4 l.72 18.3 5.5 4.5 2.33 1.12
4 1.63 18.3 5.8 3.8 2.40 1.16
4 1.53 18.0 6.1 3.5 2.43 1.17
4 1.36 16.8 6.4 3.2 2.37 1.14
4 1.23 16.0 6.7 3.0 2.35 1.13
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 0.44 9.3 8.3 3.4 1.35 0.65
1 0.28 8.5 9.0 3.3 1.35 0.65
0 0.13 7.9 9.8 3.3 1.35 0.65
0 0.00 7.5 10.7 3.3 1.35 0.65
367 181 186 36.9
384 190 194 37.4
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... ..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.35 14.5 5.6 4.5 1.83 0.88
3 1.06 12.6 6.0 3.9 1.60 0.77
2 0.85 11.3 6.5 3.7 1.43 0.69
2 0.72 10.6 7.0 3.6 1.37 0.66
2 0.59 10.0 7.6 3.4 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ...................... . . ......
234 118 116 28.8
254 127 127 30.2
274 137 137 31.5
294 146 148 32.8
314 156 158 34.0
332 165 167 35.2
350 173 177 36.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.65 17.5 5.5
1.50 17.1 5.8
1.40 16.7 6.2
1.28 16.1 6.5
1.16 15.3 6.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
l.04 14.8 7.3
0.96 14.5 7.7
0.89 14.3 8.1
0.83 14.2 8.5
NEW ZEALAND
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) . . ............. Total ................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1908 959 949 101 .1
2136 1075 1061 101.3
2372 1192 l180 101.0
2628 1318 1310 100.6
2820 1409 1410 99.9
3083 1538 1545 99.6
3113 1549 1564 99.0
3247 1609 1638 98.2
3411 1682 1728 97.3
3673 1811 1863 97.2
3854 1892 1962 96.4
12.2 16.9 14.3 13.1 9.0 1.1 48.2 29.4 7
11.8 19.4 13.4 12.6 9.0 1.3 46.3 28.7 8
12.2 20.7 14.1 12.2 8.6 1.5 44.7 27.4 9
11.5 21.1 16.4 11.8 8.1 1.4 45.1 25.8 10
10.5 21.2 17.4 12.5 8.5 1.5 45.4 25.6 10
9.8 20.2 18.0 12.7 8.7 1.4 47.0 26.3 11
8.0 18.8 18.3 14.0 10.0 1.7 48.8 28.3 12
7.6 16.7 17.9 14.7 10.5 2.0 51.2 29.7 12
8.1 15.2 16.7 15.3 11.1 2.2 51.9 31.1 13
8.1 15.0 15.1 15.3 11.5 2.5 51.9 32.6 14
7.3 15.4 13.7 15.7 11.8 2.8 50.4 34.4 14
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1 995 19952000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes comkned ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4................... . ...... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... .. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
4 097 2016 2 081 96.9
4 285 2113 2 172 97.3
6.9 14.6 14.3 16.6 12.2 3.2 8.6 4.6 4.5 8.5 49.9 35.5 15
6.7 13.5 14.5 18.4 13.0 3.5 8.0 4.1 4.4 8.8 48.6 36.8 16
Population change per year {thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-tive mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ...... .................... Males ..................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: ComprehensFve Tables
NEW ZEALAND C. HtQHVARlANT Indicator Populatlon(thousands) Total Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 -
4097 2018 2 081
4320 2132 2 189
4550 2250 2 300
4783 2370 2 413
5007 2485 2 522
5214 2591 2 623
5410 2691 2 719
5606 2791 2 814
5806 2895 2 910
6006 3 001 3005
6.9 14.6 14.3 16.8 12.2 3.2 49.9 35.5
7.5 13.4 14.4 18.2 12.9 3.5 48.2 36.5
7.4 13.6 13.5 19.8 14.4 3.8 45.5 37.1
7.4 14.1 12.5 21.7 15.8 3.8 43.3 37.4
7.1 14.1 12.7 23.7 17.6 4.3 42.2 37.9
6.9 13.9 13.3 25.0 19.4 5.2 42.1 38.5
6.8 13.5 13.4 25.8 20.4 6.0 42.1 38.9
6.9 13.1 13.3 25.9 21.0 8.8 41.8 38.8
7.0 13.2 12.9 26.0 21.o 7.7 41.4 38.6
7.1 13.5 12.8 26.2 20.9 8.0 41.4 38.6
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (Mousanbs) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth tite (per 1 ,WOpopulation) Crude death rate (per 1.WOpopulation) Net rdgraticm rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.... ..
...........
45 1.06 15.3 7.1 2.4 2.24 1.08
46 1 15.3 7.2 2.3 2.34 1.12
.w
47 1.00 15.2 7.3 2.1 2.37 1.14
45 0.91 14.6 7.5 2.0 2.35 1.13
41 0.81 14.0 7.8 2.0 2.35 1.13
39 0.74 13.8 8.3 1.9 2.35 1.13
0.71 14.0 8.7 1.8 2.35 1.13
40 0.70 14.3 9.0 1.8 2.35 1.13
40 0.68 14.3 9.2 1.7 2.35 1.13
39
D. LOW VARIANT
Populatlon(thouaands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage of mnnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4 097 2 016 2 081
4 250 2095 2 154
4364 2 154 2209
4448 2 198 2 251
4 521 2 235 2 286
4 577 2263 2 314
4606 2277 2329
4604 2275 2328
4569 2259 2311
4509 2230 2 279
8.9 14.6 14.3 16.6 12.2 3.2 49.9 35.5
5.9 13.6 14.7 18.5 13.2 3.6 48.9 37.1
5.1 12.5 14.1 20.8 15.0 3.8 47.3 38.7
4.8 11.0 13.4 23.3 17.0 4.1 46.4 40.3
4.6 9.8 12.5 28.3 19.4 4.8 45.0 .41.8
4.5 9.3 11.1 28.5 22.1 5.9 43.8 43.4
4.3 9.2 10.0 30.3 24.0 7.0 42.2 45.0
4.1 9.1 9.6 31.6 25.6 8.3 40.4 46.6
3.8 8.8 9.7 33.0 26.6 9.7 38.8 48.2
3.6 8.3 9.7 34.9 27.9 10.6 37.5 49.5
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (-). Population growM rate (per cent)............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .WOmulation) . Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
31 0.73 12.0 7.1 2.4 1.74 0.84
23 0.53 10.4 7.4 2.3 1.54 0.74
17 0.38 9.3 7.7 2.3 1.37
0.68
15 0.32 9.2 8.2 2.2 1.35 0.65
11 0.25 9.0 8.8 2.2 1.35 0.65
6 0.13 8.7 9.5 2.2 1.35 0.65
0 -0.01 8.1 10.4 2.2 1.35 0.65
- 7 -0.15 7.5 11.2 2.2 1.35 0.65
- 12 -0.27 7.1 11.9 2.2 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT Populatlon(thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e r ~ l e s............................................... Medin age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4097 2 016 2081 35.5
4281 2 111 2170
4458 2 203 2255 37.9
4630 2 291 2339 38.7
4793 2 375 2418 39.6
4938 2 449 2490 40.6
5062 2 512 2550 41.8
5165 2 564 2601 42.3
5254 2 611 2643 42.8
5331 2 853 2678 43.1
38.8
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............
F'opulatm growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) ..
0.88 13.5 7.1
0.81 13.1 7.3
0.76 12.9 7.5
0.69 12.6 7.8
0.60 12.1 8.2
United Nations Department of Economicand sodel AffairdPOpulation Division W o M Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.49 11.7 8.8
0.41 11.5 9.4
0.34 11.4 9.9
0.29 11.3 10.3
359
NICARAGUA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaliondensity (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1 295
1 764 880
651 98.9
1 503 748 754 99.2
99.6
2 052 1 025 1 026 99.9
18.0 26.2 19.4 4.1 2.5 0.4 47.6 17.7 10
19.9 26.3 18.7 3.8 2.3 0.3 45.6 16.9 12
20.2 27.8 18.0 3.7 2.2 0.2 43.8 16.0 14
18.9 29.7 18.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 42.9 15.7 16
644
883
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ..................................... .............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5 463 2 723 2 740 99.4
5 832 2 900 2 932 98.9
6 277 3 117 3 160 98.6
6 696 3 320 3 376 98.3
7 075 3 502 3 573 98.0
7 407 3 659 3 747 97.7
7 687 3 790 3 897 97.3
7 912 3 892 4 020 96.6
8 074 3 963 4 111 96.4
12.3 25.6 21.7 5.7 4.0 0.8 15.4 7.7 7.0 12.6 51.6 20.3 42
11.7 22.9 21.4 6.3 4.4 0.9 13.6 7.0 7.0 12.5 53.5 22.0 45
10.9 21 .0 20.6 7.2 4.8 1.1 12.7 6.2 6.2 12.4 54.5 23.7 48
10.1 20.0 18.7 8.4 5.6 1.2 12.1 5.9 5.6 11.2 54.4 25.7 52
9.2 18.8 17.5 9.7 6.7 1.4 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.3 54.1 27.6 54
8.4 17.5 17.0 11.2 7.8 l .6 10.5 5.3 5.3 10.2 53.4 29.6 57
7.7 16.1 16.3 13.0 9.1 2.0 9.6 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.0 31.5 59
7.2 15.0 15.4 15.1 10.7 2.5 9.0 4.6 4.6 9.2 50.3 33.4 61
6.7 14.1 14.4 17.7 12.5 3.0 8.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 48.1 35.3 62
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-five mortality (per 1 .OM)live births) L i f e expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
NICARAGUA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
86 1.52 26.9 4.7 -7.0 3.00 1.41
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
62 1.10 22.8 4.7 -7.1 2.50 1.17
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ........................ ......................... Males .................................................. Females .................... ......................... Median age (years) .................................
5463 2 723 2740 20.3
5892 2 931 2961 21.7
6456 3 209 3248 23.0
7052 3 502 3550 24.2
7662 3 802 3860 25.2
8287 4 109 4178 25.8
8938 4 429 4509 26.4
9616 4 762 4854 27.2
10317 5 108 5210 27.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.51 26.9 4.7
1.83 26.7 4.5
1.77 25.7 4.5
1.66 24.3 4.5
1.57 23.3 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.51 22.8 4.9
1.46 22.4 5.2
1.41 22.1 5.6
1.35 21.8 6.0
A. ESTIMATES indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ........................................ Sexratio(malesper100females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
...........
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
13264 6 724 6 541 102.8
15791 8 01l 7 780 103.0
18754 9 521 9 232 103.1
22222 11 288 10 934 103.2
26250 13 337 12 913 103.3
30842 15 668 15 174 103.3
35941 18 250 17 691 103.2
41437 21 026 20 41 1 103.0
47208 23 935 23 273 102.8
53163 26 932 26 231 102.7
19.8 28.1 17.5 4.8 3.1 0.6 17.5 7.2 6.3 9.8 43.5 16.0 10
19.4 28.5 17.9 4.9 3.3 0.7 17.7 7.4 6.4 10.1 43.3 16.0 12
18.8 28.5 18.5 5.1 3.4 0.7 17.6 7.5 6.6 10.5 43.7 16.3 15
18.4 28.1 19.1 5.3 3.5 0.7 17.4 7.5 6.7 10.9 44.3 16.6 18
17.9 27.8 19.4 5.6 3.7 0.7 17.2 7.4 6.6 11.1 45.0 17.0 21
17.3 27.5 19.4 5.5 3.9 0.7 17.0 7.4 6.6 11.2 45.7 17.5 24
16.4 27.0 19.6 5.5 3.9 0.7 16.7 7.3 6.6 11.3 46.7 18.1 28
15.4 26.4 19.8 5.7 3.9 0.8 16.2 7.3 6.7 11.5 47.9 18.8 33
14.2 25.4 20.0 5.9 4.1 0.9 15.5 7.2 6.7 11.7 49.3 19.8 37
13.2 24.2 20.1 6.3 4.3 0.8 14.7 6.9 6.5 11.8 50.7 21.1 42
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per l. 000 poputatian) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.. . ...........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ....................... .......................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
13264 6724 6 541
15897 8066 7 832
19060 9678 9 382
22832 11600 1 1 231
27242 13845 13 397
32349 16439 15 910
38160 19384 18 776
44624 22654 21 970
51642 26198 25 443
19.8 28.1 17.5 4.8 3.1 0.6 43.5 16.0
19.9 28.3 17.8 4.9 3.3 0.7 43.0 15.9
19.6 28.5 18.3 5.0 3.3 0.7 43.0 15.9
19.3 28.7 18.6 5.2 3.4 0.7 43.2 16.0
18.7 28.6 19.0 5.4 3.6 0.7 43.7 16.3
18.1 28.3 19.4 5.3 3.7 0.7 44.5 16.7
17.4 27.8 19.7 5.2 3.6 0.7 45.5 17.2
16.5 27.3 19.9 5.3 3.6 0.7 46.7 17.9
15.5 26.5 20.0 5.4 3.7 0.8 47.9 18.7
527 3.62 50.5 14.0 -0.4 7.44 2.72
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
484 3.35 47.4 13.6 -0.4 6.94 2.54
553 3.25 44.8 12.0 -0.3 6.48 2.45
633 3.17 42.7 10.8 -0.3 6.04 2.35
729 3.12 41.2 9.8 .0.2 5.66 2.27
818 3.00 39.0 8.9 -0.2 5.24 2.15
883 2.80 36.2 8.0 -0.2 4.78 2.01
918 2.55 32.9 7.3 .0.2 4.28 1.83
926 2.28 29.5 6.6 .0.1 3.76 1 .64
916 2.03 26.5 6.2 .0.1 3.28 1.45
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) . ..................... Total ............................ Males ........................ ....................... Females .................... . .................. . . . Median age (years) ........................ .........
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
13 264 6 724 6 541 16.0
15 900 8 067 7 833 15.9
19 149 9 724 9 426 15.8
23 173 11 775 1 1 398 15.6
28 168 14 318 13 850 15.5
34 386 17 480 16 906 15.3
3.63 50.5 14.0
3.72 50.1 12.7
3.82 49.9 11.6
3.90 49.7 10.5
3.99 49.5 9.6
49.4 8.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4.07
2035
2040
2045
42 142 21 418 20 724 15.2
51 833 26 333 25 500 15.1
63 961 32 481 31 480 15.0
4.14 49.4 8.0
4.21 49.3 7.3
49.3 6.7
4.27
NIGERIA A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
33 960
16 654 17 307 96.2
37 850 18 587 19 263 96.5
42 356 20 830 21 526 96.8
47 611 23 447 24 164 97.0
53 764 26 510 27 253 97.3
61 163 30 201 30 962 97.5
71 065 35 231 35 834 98.3
81 598 40 424 41 174 98.2
94 454 46 864 47 590 98.5
109 010 54 198 54 812 98.9
124 773 62 163 62 610 99.3
16.7 25.0 18.8 5.1 3.0 0.2 46.7 19.1 37
18.0 24.5 18.7 5.2 3.0 0.2 46.2 18.8 41
18.0 25.2 18.5 5.2 3.1 0.2 45.8 18.4
18.0 26.2 18.1 5.1 3.1 0.2 45.1 18.0 52
18.0 26.3 18.5 4.9 3.1 0.2 45.1 17.8 58
18.2 26.3 19.1 4.8 3.0 0.3 45.1 17.6 66
18.4 26.3 19.0 4.8 2.9 0.3 45.1 17.6 77
19.0 26.6 18.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.2 88
18.8 27.3 18.6 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.2 16.9 102
18.4 27.7 18.9 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.3 16.9 118
17.7 27.6 19.6 4.6 2.9 0.3 45.3 17.1 135
46
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Poputation density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) . ............... Males .............................. Females ................ ........................ Both sexes combined ............................
..
3 391 5 975 2 524 . 60 2.27 39.9 16.8 .0.4 5.32 1.83 109 1 87
3 480 6 127 2 586 . 60 2.09 36.7 15.5 .0.4 4.74 1.68 101 1 72
3 477 6 134 2 597 -60 1 .89 33.3 14.1 .0.3 4.15 1.52 92 155
3 406 6 063 2 597 -60 1.69 30.1 12.9 .0.3 3.64 1.37 84 140
3 345 6 000 2 595 -60 1.53 27.5 11.9 .0.3 3.24 1.26 76 125
3 284 5 953 2 609 . 60 1.40 25.3 11.1 .0.3 2.95 1.18 68 111
3 192 5 884 2 632 . 60 1.27 23.4 10.5 .0.2 2.72 1.11 61 98
3 046 5 767 2 662 . 60 1.14 21.6 10.0 .0.2 2.55 1.07 55 86
2 847 5 611 2 704 . 60 l .01 19.9 9.6 .0.2 2.40 1.03 49 75
46.4 47.3 46.9
48.0 48.9 48.4
49.9 50.8 50.4
51.9 52.8 52.4
54.0 54.8 54.4
56.0 56.8 56.4
57.8 58.8 58.3
59.6 60.8 60.2
61.4 62.9 62.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NIGERIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... .........
..
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) ..........
3 632 2.42 41.6 17.0 -0.4 5.57 1.91
3 916 2.32 39.2 15.8 .0.4 5.14 1.82
4 123 1.97 32.9 13.0 .0.3 4.14 1.56
4 100 2.17 36.3 14.3 .0.3 4.65 1.70
4 204 1.82 30.4 11.9 -0.3 3.74 1.45
4 355 1.73 28.5 11.0 .0.2 3.45 1.38
4 522 1.65 27.0 10.3 .0.2 3.22 1.32
4 624 1 .56 25.5 9.7 -0.2 3.05 1.28
4 631 1.45 23.8 9.2 .0.2 2.90 1.24
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birlh rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 150 2.1 1 38.2 16.6 -0.4 5.07 1.74
3 045 1.85 34.1 15.2 -0.4 4.34 1.54
2 854 1.59 30.1 13.8 .0.3 3.65 1.33
2 693 1.39 27.0 12.7 -0.3 3.14 1.18
2 506 1.22 24.3 11.9 .0.3 2.74 1.07
2 274 1.04 21.9 11.2 .0.3 2.45 0.98
1 988 0.87 19.6 10.7 .0.3 2.22 0.91
1 669 0.70 17.6 10.3 -0.3 2.05 0.86
1 338 0.55 15.8 10.1 -0.2 1.90 0.81
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
141 356 70 587 70 769 17.6
160823 80 500 80 323 17.8
184195 92 398 91 797 17.8
211 990 106 545 105 445 17.6
244768 123 233 121 534 17.5
283643 143 032 140 61 1 17.4
330138 166 702 163 436 17.4
386111 195 155 190 957 17.4
453614 229 398 224 216 17.3
2.58 43.4 17.2
2.71 43.7 16.2
2.81 43.3 15.0
2.88 42.6 13.7
2.95 42.1 12.4
3.04 41.8 17.3
3.13 41.7 10.3
3.22 41.6 9.3
3.30 41.5 8.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
534944 270 556 264 388 17.2
NORWAY
r) A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1955
lm
3265 1618 1 647 88.2
3427 1705 1722 99.0
9.8 14.7 13.3 13.9 9.7 1.7 49.8 32.7
8.9 16.8 12.1 14.7 10.2 1 .8 47.2 33.6 9
1Popuktlon (thouunde) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (malesper 100 females) ........... Age dleblbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 1524 ....... Percentage aged 60 or wer Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of w ~ n e naged 15-49 ......... Median age (yearn) Population density (population per sq km)
8
1%
1970
1875
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OW
3581 1784 1797 99.3
3723 1855 1888 99.3
3877 1949 99.0
4007 1991 2017 98.7
4086 2025 2081 96.2
4153 2053 2099 97.8
4241 2097 2144 97.8
4359 2156 2204 97.8
4489 2223 2266 98.1
8.6 17.3 13.1 16.2 11.1 1.9 45.3 34.4 9
8.4 16.4 15.4 17.1 12.0 2.0 45.0 34.1 10
8.5 16.0 15.9 18.2 12.9 2.2 44.0 33.0 10
7.7 16.1 15.2 19.1 13.7 2.5 43.6 32.5 10
6.4 15.8 15.3 20.3 14.8 3.0 44.9 33.3 11
6.1 13.9 15.7 21.2 15.7 3.4 47.4 34.6 11
6.6 12.3 15.4 21.0 16.3 3.7 49.2 35.4 11
7.0 12.5 13.5 20.0 15.9 4.0 48.8 36.1 11
6.6 13.3 12.1 19.3 15.2 4.3 47.1 36.9 12
1970-1975 1975lW 1980.1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005
1950-1955 1955-1980 1980-1985 1-1970 Population change per year (thousands). Bims per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growih rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.ooO l i i UmW) L l k expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
1929
32 63 27 0.97 18.7 8.2 2.60 1.19 23
31 64 31 0.88 18.1 8.8 2.84 1.33 20
28 64 35 0.78 17.4 9.5 2.90 1.37 17
31 67 37 0.81 17.6 9.7 2.72 1.29 14
26 62 39 0.86 15.8 10.0 2.25 1.07 12
70.9 74.5 72.7
71.3 75.5 73.3
71.1 75.9 73.4
71.1 76.7 73.8
71.4 77.6 74.4
18 52 41 0.39 12.9
13.3 10.7 1.80 0.88 8
24 80 45 0.55 14.0 10.5 1.89 0.91 6
26 59 44 0.59 13.4 9.9 1.85 0.89 6
43 0.66 12.3 9.5 1.80 0.87 4
74.3 80.3 77.4
75.2 81.1 78.2
76.7 81.8 79.3
18 56
1.81 0.88
13 51 42 0.33 12.3 10.2 1.69 0.81
9
8
72.2 78.6 75.3
72.9 76.0
73.1 79.8 76.3
10.0
79.5
45 0.42
30 56
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thoumnde) Total .................................................... Males Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........... Percentage aged 5-14......... Percentage aged 15-24....... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage in schod ages 6-1 1 Percentage in %hod ages 12-1 Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 . Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2Mo
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4639 2302 2 337
4 785 2 381 2405 98.0
4932 2 458 2 474 99.3
5079 2533 2546 99.5
5228
5366
5482
2 671 2 695 99.1
2 724 2 757 98.8
5 576 2 767 2808
5656
2605 2622 99.4
98.5
2805 2852 98.4
5 732 2 841 2 891 98.3
5.9 12.8 13.1 21.5 15.3 4.5 7.5 4.0 4.1 7.8 46.2 39.2 12
5.8 11.9 13.1 22.8 17.0 4.3 7.1 3.7 3.8 8.0 45.5 40.4 13
5.8 11.5 12.4 24.3 18.4 4.4 6.9 3.5 3.5 7.5 44.0 40.9 13
5.8 11.4 11.7 25.9 19.8 5.0 6.8 3.4 3.4 7.0 42.5 41.3 14
5.8 11.5 11.3 27.6 21.1 6.2 6.9 3.4 3.4 6.8 41.9 41.8 14
5.6 11.5 11.3 28.8 22.6 6.9 6.9 3.5 3.4 6.7 41.6 42.4 14
5.4 11.4 11.4 29.1 23.6 7.6 6.8 3.5 3.5 6.8 41.3 43.1 14
5.3 11.1 11.6 29.2 23.8 8.2 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.0 40.7 43.5 15
5.4 10.9 11.5 28.6 23.8 9.0 6.5 3.3 3.4 6.9 40.3 43.7 15
98.5
6.2 13.4 12.3 19.7 14.7 4.6 8.1 4.1 3.9 7.2 46.4 38.0 12
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.ooO population) . Total fertility (chlMren per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mwtalii rate (per 1 OOO llve births) Under-live mortality (per 1 ooO live blrths) L i b exxpectclncy st birth ( y w e ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
..
366
..........
29
29 56 43 16
56 43 16
0.82
0.80
11.9 9.1 3.4 1.85 0.89 3 4
11.6 8.8 3.3 1.85
77.8
82.5 80.2
0.89
3
4 78.6 83.2 80.9
29 58 44 15 0.59 11.6 8.7 3.0 1.85 0.89 3 4 79.3 83.8
81.6
46 15 0.58 11.7 8.8 2.9 1.85 0.89 3 4
28 61 49 15 0.52 11.6 9.2 2.8 1.85 0.89 3 4
23 61 52 15 0.43 11.2 9.7 2.8 1 .85 0.89 3 4
79.9 84.4 82.1
80.5 85.0 82.7
81.1 85.6 83.3
30
60
19 60
56 15 0.34 10.8 10.1 2.7 1.85 0.89 3 4 81.6 86.1 03.8
16 80 59 15 0.29 10.7 10.5 2.7 1.85 0.89 2 3
15 61 61 15 0.27 10.7 10.6 2.6 1.85
82.2 06.7 84.4
02.7 87.2 85.0
0.89
2 3
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social AffaiMOpulation Division Worfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
NORWAY (f)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ......................... ...................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged C14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) ..........
37 0.78 13.4 9.1 3.4 2.10 1 01
.
.
41 0.84 13.8 8.7 3.2 2.25 1.08
45 0.88 14.4 8.5 2.9 2.35 1.13
46 0.86 14.3 8.5 2.8 2.35 1.13
44 0.79 13.9 8.7 2.7 2.35 1.13
42 0.72 13.7 9.1 2.6 2.35 1.14
42 0.70 13.8 9.3 2.5 2.35 1.14
44 0.71 14.2 9.5 2.4 2.35 1.14
48 0.74 14.4 9.4 2.3 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) ... ....................... Total ........................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
22 0.47 10.4 9.1 3.4 1.60 0.77
17 0.36 9.2 8.9 3.3 1.45 0.70
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................ . . . . .............. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
4 639 2 302 2 337 38.0
4 777 2 377 2 401 39.3
4 917 2 450 2 467 40.5
5 056 2 521 2 535 41.1
5 196 2 589 2 607 41.5
5 322 2 648 2 673 42.1
5 423 2 694 2 729 42.8
5 501 2 729 2 772 43.6
5 566 2 758 2 808 44.2
0.59 11.6 9.1
0.57 11.3 8.9
0.56 11.3 8.7
0.55 11.4 8.9
0.48 11.2 9.2
0.38 10.7 9.8
0.29 10.4 10.3
0.24 10.3 10.6
0.21 10.3 10.8
(') lncludlng Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
5 626 2 787 2 839 44.5
OCCUPIED PALESTINIAN TERRITORY A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1005 521 483 107.9
1042 540 501 107.8
1101 571 530 107.7
1199 618 580 106.6
1096 562 534 105.2
1255 641 614 104.4
1476 762 714 106.7
1783 917 866 105.9
2154 1104 1 050 105.1
2617 1329 1 289 103.1
3149 1600 1549 103.3
18.6 27.1 17.4 7.4 4.8 0.4 41.5 17.2 167
17.4 27.7 19.1 6.8 4.4 0.4 43.5 17.3 173
17.4 27.0 19.9 6.1 4.1 0.3 45.1 17.6 183
18.8 26.1 19.8 5.4 3.7 0.5 45.1 17.4 199
18.5 26.5 19.0 5.2 3.4 0.5 44.7 17.5 182
19.0 27.0 18.1 4.9 3.2 0.4 43.5 17.0 208
18.5 29.1 20.0 5.0 3.5 0.5 42.8 16.1 245
17.9 28.7 20.1 5.4 3.7 0.6 43.2 16.6 296
18.4 28.3 20.4 5.1 3.4 0.6 42.8 16.4 358
18.2 27.8 19.5 5.6 3.9 0.7 43.7 16.9 435
18.7 28.0 18.7 4.8 3.5 0.5 43.7 16.6 523
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatton density (population per sq km)
3 762 1 913 1 849 103.5
4 409 2 244 2 165 103.6
5 090 2 592 2 496 103.7
5 806 2 957 2 849 103.8
6 553 3 337 3 216 103.8
7 320 3 727 3 593 103.7
8 085 4 115 3 971 103.6
8 837 4 494 4 343 103.5
9 566 4 861 4 705 103.3
17.6 28.3 19.3 4.5 3.1 0.5 17.7 7.3 6.8 10.9 44.8 16.9 625
16.3 28.2 19.9 4.4 2.9 0.5 17.4 7.7 6.7 11.6 46.0 17.6 732
15.0 26.9 20.7 4.6 3.0 0.5 16.4 7.6 7.1 11.8 47.8 18.5 646
13.9 25.3 21.2 5.1 3.2 0.5 15.4 7.2 6.9 12.5 49.7 19.8 964
12.9 23.8 20.7 5.9 3.7 0.5 14.5 6.9 6.6 12.2 51.1 21.2 1 089
12.1 22.5 19.9 6.6 4.3 0.6 13.6 6.5 6.3 11.8 52.2 22.7 1 216
11.2 21.3 19.2 7.5 5.0 0.7 12.9 6.2 6.0 11.4 53.1 24.1 1 343
10.3 20.1 18.5 8.4 5.7 0.9 12.1 5.9 5.7 11.0 53.3 25.7 1 468
9.5 18.8 17.8 9.4 6.5 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.5 10.6 53.3 27.3 1589
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . . ................... Males .................... Females ........................... .. .............. Both sexes combined ............................
129 146 15 .2 3.18 35.9 3.7 -0.5 5.09 2.42 18 20 71.8 75.0 73.4
136
2.87 32.8 3.3 .0.6 4.50 2.14 15 17
172 19 -4 2.42 27.8 3.0 .0.6 3.47 1.66 12 13
153 179 21 -4 2.21 25.8 3.1 .0.6 3.12 1.49 10 12
153 183 25 .5 1.99 23.7 3.2 .0.6 2.85 1.37 10 11
150 184 29 - 5 1.78 21.8 3.4 .0.6 2.65 1.27 9 10
1.59 20.0 3.7 .0.5 2.48 1.20 8 9
1 40 184 39 5 1.41 18.6 4.0 .0.5 2.35 1.13 8 9
72.7 76.1 74.4
73.6 77.1 75.4
74.4 78.0 76.2
75.1 78.8 76.9
75.8 79.5 77.6
76.5 80.2 78.3
77.1 80.9 78.9
77.7 81.5 79.5
16
-4
1 49
1 46
1 43 1 64 17 - 4 2.63 30.1 3.1 .0.7 3.93 1.88 13 15
156
184
34
- 5
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
OCCUPIED PALESTINIAN TERRITORY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
137 3.34 37.5 3.7 -0.5 5.34 2.54
150 3.1 1 35.2 3.3 -0.8 4.90 2.33
164 2.93 33.0 3.1 .0.7 4.43 2.12
174 2.71 30.6 2.9 -0.6 3.97 1.90
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e m a l e s ........................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
3 762 1 913 1849
4 374 2 226 2148
4 987 2 539 2448
5 600 2 852 2749
6 223 3 169 3055
6 840 3 481 3359
7 421 3 775 3647
7 952 4 041 3911
8 423 4 276 4147
17.6 28.3 19.3 4.5 3.1 0.5 44.8 16.9
15.6 28.4 20.1 4.4 2.9 0.5 46.3 17.8
14.0 26.7 21.1 4.7 3.0 0.5 48.8 19.0
12.6 24.4 22.0 5.3 3.3 0.5 51.5 20.7
11.6 22.4 21.2 6.2 3.9 0.5 53.3 22.5
10.7 20.7 19.8 7.1 4.6 0.6 54.4 24.4
9.7 19.5 18.6 8.2 5.4 0.8 55.1 26.3
8.7 18.1 17.7 9.4 6.4 1.0 55.1 28.2
7.8 16.6 17.0 10.7 7.4 1.3 54.9 30.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.. .
122 3.02 34.2 3.7 .0.5 4.84 2.30
123 2.62 30.3 3.3 .0.9 4.10 1.95
123 2.32 27.1 3.1 -0.8 3.43 1 64
125 2.11 24.9 3.1 .0.7 2.97 1.42
.
123 1.89 22.7 3.2 .0.6 2.62 1.25
116 1.63 20.4 3.4 .0.7 2.35 1.13
106 1.38 18.1 3.7 .0.7 2.15 1.03
94 1.15 16.1 4.0 -0.6 1.98 0.96
82 0.95 14.6 4.5 -0.6 1.85 0.89
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
3762 1 913 1 849 16.9
4485 2 283 2 202 17.2
5359 2 729 2 630 17.4
6420 3 271 3 149 17.4
7694 3 921 3 773 17.4
9210 4 694 4 515 17.4
11010 5 612 5 398 17.5
13168 6 71 1 6 456 17.6
15759 8 032 7 727 17.6
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.52 39.3 3.7
3.56 39.6 3.3
3.62 39.8 3.0
3.62 39.5 2.9
3.60 39.1 2.7
3.57 38.8 2.7
3.58 38.8 2.6
3.59 38.8 2.6
3.60 38.8 2.6
Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations Department o f
OMAN A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ........................................... Females .......................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ............................ Population density (population per sq km)
Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 ltve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
B . MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ........................ Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage in school ages 6-11 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 ......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Mediari age (years) ............................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populatlon change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net mlgrallon per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~ltty(children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 l~vebirths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ........................
Uniled Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
OMAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 507 1 406 1 101
2 791 1 550 1 242
3 121 1 716 1 405
3 473 1 893 1 580
3 815 2 063 1 752
4 137 2 221 1 916
4 442 2 368 2 074
4 746 2 512 2 234
5 057 2 658 2 399
10.8 23.0 21.5 4.3 2.6 0.3 53.4 22.5
11.1 20.1 20.4 4.8 3.1 0.4 55.3 24.2
11.6 18.6 18.7 5.7 3.5 0.5 55.5 25.6
11.3 19.4 16.4 7.1 4.3 0.6 54.1 26.7
10.3 19.8 15.4 8.7 5.4 0.8 53.1 27.7
9.3 19.0 16.4 10.1 6.8 0.9 52.2 28.7
8.7 17.5 17.1 11.9 8.0 1.2 51.4 29.5
8.5 16.2 16.6 14.0 9.4 1.6 50.2 30.7
8.5 15.5 15.4 15.9 11.2 2.2 48.8 31.9
23 0.59 11.1 5.4 0.3 1.60 0.77
16 0.41 10.2 6.3 0.3 1.52 0.73
9 0.24 9.4 7.3 0.3 1.45 0.70
57 2.15 23.8 2.7 0.4 3.25 1.55
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ...............................................
Age distribution
Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... . Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
47 1 .80 20.3 2.7 0.4 2.75 1.31
48 1.67 19.1 2.8 0.3 2.36 1.13
45 1.45 17.3 3.1 0.3 2.08 1 .00
42 1.26 15.8 3.5 0.3 1.93 0.93
36 1.03 14.0 4.0 0.3 1 .80 0.87
29 0.80 12.4 4.7 0.3 1.70 0.82
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ...................... ..................... Females .............................................. ......... Median age (years) ................... . .
. .
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2 507 1406 1 101 22.5
2 827 1568 1 259 23.9
3 206 1760 1 446 24.8
3 627 1972 1 655 25.4
4 066 2192 1 874 25.7
4 513 2414 2 099 25.5
4 980 2644 2 336 25.9
5 492 2895 2 598 26.5
6 066 3174 2 B91 27.0
2.40 26.4 2.7
2.52 27.6 2.8
2.46 27.3 3.0
2.29 25.7 3.2
2.09 24.0 3.4
l .97 23.2 3.7
1.96 23.5 4.1
1.99 24.1 4.4
1.98 24.4 4.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PAKISTAN
A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Moo
...........
38944 19 365 17579 110.2
41127 21 508 19619 109.6
46259 24 133 22126 109.1
52327 27 238 25089 108.6
59565 30 941 28624 108.1
68294 35 404 32889 107.6
79222 40 990 38232 107.2
95005 49 048 45957 106.7
112991 58 273 54718 106.5
127766 65 825 61942 106.3
144360 74 293 70068 106.0
Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage 80 or over .................. Percentageof w ~ n e n aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdenslty (populalilmper sq km)
15.0 22.9 18.8 8.2 5.3 0.5 46.7 21.2 46
16.5 22.7 18.3 7.4 5.0 0.5 47.4 20.7 52
16.9 24.0 17.6 6.7 4.4 0.5 47.0 20.0 58
16.9 25.3 17.2 5.9 4.0 0.6 46.3 19.2 66
16.8 25.7 18.1 5.7 3.6 0.5 46.2 18.7 75
16.9 25.6 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.5 46.2 18.6 86
17.2 25.5 19.0 5.4 3.4 0.4 45.7 18.6 100
17.6 25.2 18.9 5.3 3.3 0.4 45.7 18.6 119
18.3 25.8 18.1 5.4 3.3 0.4 44.8 18.1 142
16.3 28.0 17.9 5.5 3.5 0.4 44.5 17.9 160
14.1 27.6 19.7 5.7 3.7 0.5 46.8 18.8 181
Population (thouunds) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Females Sex ratio (ma es per Am dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W
1950-1855 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.
Populatbn change per year (thoosands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO pqmdatkm) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1 . Wlin, UrW) LIW expectmlcy at Mlth (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combioed ............................
2.74 42.9 15.6 6.60 2.34 128
2 186 3 190 1046 2.97 43.3 14.2 6.60 2.43 118
3 157 3844 1128 3.63 44.1 12.9 6.60 2.51 108
3 597 4 677 1228 3.47 45.0 11.8 6.66 2.61 98
2 955 4 659 1182 2.46 38.7 9.8 5.80 2.37 87
3 319 4 531 1204 2.44 33.3 8.8 4.96 2.04 83
2 744 4 153 1161 1.82 27.5 7.7 3.99 1.68 75
52.4 51.5 51.9
54.4 53.7 54.0
56.4 56.0 56.2
58.5 58.1 58.2
60.5 61.4 60.8
61.4 62.2 61.8
63.3 63.9 63.6
1448 2 427 967 2.59 43.4 17.3 6.60 2.25 138
1746 2 744
2.35 44.8 21.3 6.60 2.06 158
1214 2 181 949 2.47 44.2 19.3 6.60 2.16 148
46.7 44.5 45.6
48.6 46.8 47.7
50.5 49.1 49.8
837 1 739 900 2.15 44.5 23.1 6.60 1.97 169
1028 1 959
44.8 42.1 43.4
WO
996
B. MEDIUM VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
158 081 81 328 76 753 108.0
173 351 89 169 84 181 105.9
190 659 98044 92 614 105.9
208 315 107 079 101 237 105.8
224 956 115564 109 391 105.6
240 276 123 320 116 956 105.4
254 730
130 583 124 168 105.2
268506 137 400 131 106 104.8
281 201 143 640 137 561 104.4
292 205 148 979 143 227 104.0
11.9 25.2 22.1 5.9 3.9 0.5 15.1 7.6 7.6 12.8 50.7 20.3 199
12.0 22.0 22.4 6.2 4.1 0.6 13.0 6.9 6.9 13.5 52.9 22.1 218
11.8 20.3 20.5 6.8 4.3 0.7 12.3 5.7 6.1 12.3 53.8 23.7 239
11.1 20.4 18.0 7.6 4.9 0.7 12.5 5.7 5.2 10.9 53.4 25.3 262
10.0 20.0 16.9 8.6 5.6 0.8 12.1 5.8 5.5 9.8 53.7 26.8 283
9.1 18.8 17.4 9.5 6.4 0.9 11.2 5.7 5.6 10.3 54.1 28.2 302
8.5 17.2 17.4 10.4 7.1 1.2 10.3 5.3 5.3 10.4 53.8 29.5 320
8.1 16.0 16.6 11.8 8.0 1.4 9.6 4.8 4.9 10.0 52.1 30.9 337
7.7 15.2 15.4 13.8 9.1 1.7 9.2 4.5 4.6 9.3 50.3 32.5 353
7.2 14.7 14.5 16.5 10.8 2.0 8.8 4.4 4.4 8.7 48.9 34.1 367
P O P U I . ~ ~(thouundo) O~
Total ..................................................... Males ....................................... Females Sex ratio ( Age dlrtrlbutlam Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 15-24... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or o w .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in school a15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 Percentage of Median age (ye Populationdensity (population per sq km)
...
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thwaanbe) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thwsands)......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulalkm) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopllalkm) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO poprlatbn) . Total fertillty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... l n w t mortality rate (per 1,WOlive births) Under-fiw mortality (per 1,W live b41-W) LlW expectancy at MrM (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem combined ............................
............
372
85
3462 4 847 1219 - 167 1.90 26.6 6.7 -0.9 3.16 1.38 61 84
3 531 4 945 1263 - 150 1.77 24.8 6.3 -0.8 2.68 1.27 54 74
65.2 65.8 65.5
66.9 67.5 67.2
68.4 69.1 68.7
3054 4 515 1178 -283 1.84 27.2 7.1 -1.7 3.52 1.51 67
3 328 4 793 1315 150 1.54 22.1 6.1 -0.7 2.67 1.20 49 66
3064 4 596 1382 - 150 1.32 19.8 5.9 -0.6 2.50 1.13 44 58
2 891 4520 1 479 - 150 1.17 18.3 6.0 -0.6 2.37 1.08 40 51
2 755 4 519 1613 - 150 1.05 17.3 6.2 -0.6 2.25 1 .04 36 45
2539 4 467 1 778 150 0.92 16.3 6.5 -0.5 2.15 1 .00 32
69.7 70.5 70.1
70.8 72.0 71.4
71.9 73.5 72.6
72.8 74.8 73.8
73.6 76.0 74.8
~
~
40
2 201 4 322 1971 - 150 0.77 15.1 6.9 -0.5 2.06 0.97 29 35 74.4 77.0 75.7
United Nations Department of E m i c and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PAKISTAN C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator -
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4 231 2.07 27.9 6.4 -0.7 3.38 1.49
4 128 1.83 25.1 6.1 -0.7 3.17 1.42
3 964 1.62 22.6 5.9 -0.6 3.00 1.36
3 969 1.50 21.3 5.8 -0.6 2.87 1.31
4 092 1.43 20.7 5.9 -0.5 2.75 1.27
4 147 1.36 20.1 6.0 -0.5 2.65 1.23
4 029 1.23 19.1 6.3 -0.5 2.56 1.20
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 268 1.97 28.6 7.2 -1.7 3.77 1.61
3 912 2.13 29.0 6.8 -0.9 3.56 1.55
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 829 1.71 25.9 7.0 -1.7 3.27 1.40
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) ......... 158 081 Total ........................... Males ................................................... 81328 Females ................. .. ........................ 76 753 Median age (years) ........................ ...... 20.3
.............
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) ... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.07 29.7 7.3
175 330 90187 85 143 21.8
197 205 101412 95 794 22.9
222 452 114352 108 100 23.4
249 439 128161 121 278 23.5
277 497 142463 135 034 23.3
307 713 157796 149 917 23.7
341 786 175040 166 746 24.1
380 704 194711 185 992 24.5
2.35 31.3 7.0
2.41 31.4 6.6
2.29 29.7 6.2
2.13 27.7 5.9
2.07 26.8 5.7
2.10 27.0 5.6
2.16 27.5 5.6
2.17 27.6 5.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
424 310 216732 207 578 24.7
PANAMA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... . . . . ................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
3 232 1 630 1 601 101.8
3 509 1 769 1 740 101.6
3 774 1 900 1 873 101.4
4 027 2 026 2 001 101.2
4 267 2 144 2 123 101.0
4 488 2 252 2 237 100.7
4 684 2 346 2 338 100.3
4 850 2 425 2 425 100.0
4 985 2 468 2 496 99.7
10.6 19.7 17.9 8.8 6.0 1.2 12.0 5.7 5.6 10.6 53.2 26.1 43
9.8 19.2 17.3 9.7 6.7 1.3 11.6 5.6 5.3 10.3 52.6 27.3 46
9.1 18.2 16.9 11 0 7.5 1.5 10.9 5.4 5.3 10.0 52.0 28.7 50
8.5 17.0 16.7 12.5 8.6 1.7 10.2 5.1 5.1 10.0 51.0 30.1
8.0 16.0 16.1 14.3 9.9 2.0 9.6 4.8 4.8 9.7 49.9 31.5 57
7.6 15.2 15.3 16.3 11.5 2.4 9.2 4.6 4.6 9.2 49.0 32.9 59
7.1 14.6 14.6 18.3 13.2 2.9 8.7 4.4 4.4 8.8 48.2 34.4 62
6.6 13.9 14.1 19.9 14.9 3.5 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 47.3 35.9 64
6.3 13.1 13.7 21.4 16.3 4.2 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.2 46.6 37.3 66
.
53
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (chlldren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .......................... ................ Both sexes combined ............................
..
55 70 17 2 1.65 20.8 5.0 0.7 2.56 1.21 18 24
53 70 19 2 1.46 19.1 5.1 0.6 2.41 1.15 16 21
51 69 21 2. 1.30 17.8 5.4 0.6 2.29 1.09 14 18
48 69 24 2 1.16 16.7 5.7 0.5 2.19 1.04 12 16
44 69 27 2 1.01 15.7 6.1 0.5 2.09 1.00 10 14
39 67 30 2 0.85 14.6 6.6 0.5 2.01 0.97 9 12
33 65 34 2 0.70 13.6 7.1 0.5 1.94 0.93 8 11
27 63 38 2 0.55 12.8 7.7 0.4 1.88 0.90 7 10
22 62 42 2 0.43 12.3 8.4 0.4 1.85 0.89 7 9
73.0 78.2 75.5
73.7 79.1 76.3
74.4 79.9 77.0
75.0 80.6 77.7
75.6 81.3 78.4
76.2 81.9 78.9
76.6 82.5 79.5
77.1 83.0 80.0
77.5 83.5 80.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
PANAMA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlsblbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................ 2005-2010 2010-2015
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........
62 1.83 22.7 5.0 0.7 2.81 1.33
.
64 1.73 21.8 5.1 0.6 2.81 1.34
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
49 1.46 18.9 5.0 0.7 2.31 1.09
42 1.17 16.3 5.2 0.6 2.01 0.96
36 0.96 14.4 5.5 0.6 1.79 0.85
32 0.82 13.5 5.9 0.6 1.69 0.81
26 0.65 12.3 6.4 0.5 1.59 0.76
18 0.44 10.9 7.0 0.5 1.51 0.73
10 0.23 9.6 7.8 0.5 1.44 0.69
2 0.04 8.6 8.7 0.5 1.38 0.66
.5 -0.12 8.1 9.7 0.5 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3232 1 630 1 601 26.1
3527 1 778 1 749 27.2
3831 1 929 1 901 28.2
4143 2 085 2 058 29.2
4462 2 243 2 219 29.9
4787 2 404 2 383 30.7
5117 2 567 2 550 31.2
5452 2 733 2 719 31.7
5791 2 900 2 891 32.0
1.75 21.9 5.0
1.65 21.1 5.1
1.57 20.4 5.3
1.48 19.9 5.5
1.41 19.4 5.8
1.33 19.0 6.2
1.27 18.8 6.5
1.21 18.6 6.9
1.16 18.4 7.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PAPUA NEW GUINEA
A ESTIMATES indicator Population (thouundr) Total ..................... Males ................................................... Fe&s ...............................................
..
Age dlmtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4.. Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-2 . Percentage aged 60 or owr .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of wornan aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populatkmper sq km)
1950
1955
1860
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
1798 947 851 111.4
1922 1002
2080 1077 1003 107.3
2289 1175 1114 105.5
2554 1311 1243 105.5
2866 1468 1398 105.0
3199 1701 1498 113.5
3637 1905 1731 110.1
4131 2139 1992 107.4
4709 2417 2291 105.5
5381 2746 2635
16.8 25.9 19.0 4.1 2.4 0.3 46.4 18.6 4
20.0 25.7 19.1 3.6 2.0 0.2 44.7 17.1 5
16.9 28.7 19.8 3.8 2.1 0.2 46.5 17.9 6
17.0 26.7 20.2 3.7 2.1 0.2 46.8 17.9 6
16.3 28.5 20.8 3.6 1.9 0.1 46.4 17.2 7
16.0 27.2 21.5 3.7 2.1 0.1 48.7 17.9 8
15.8 25.9 21.5 3.7 2.2 0.1 50.5 18.6 9
15.9 25.5 20.5 3.7 2.2 0.2 51.0 19.1 10
15.9 25.4 19.4 3.8 2.2 0.2 50.7 19.2 12
15.3 24.0 19.3 6.0 4.1 0.4 48.6 20.3 4
920
108.9 16.7 24.5 19.2 4.6 3.1
0.3 47.4 19.3 4
104.2
1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005
.
Population change per year (thwsands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 .OOO populatim) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000population) .. Total fertillty (chi!dren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mwtality rqte (per 1,000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (year.) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes cMnMned ............................
32
25 80 55 1.33 43.1 29.7 6.24 1.70 158
52 1.58 42.6 26.0 6.26 1.82 145
33.8 35.7 34.7
36.3 38.2 37.2
85
1.91 42.3 22.8 8.28 1.93 134
53 101 49 2.19 41.8 20.2 8.21 2.01 122
62 113 49 2.31 41.6 18.0 6.09 2.07 112
07 121 53 2.20 40.0 17.5 5.87 2.09 101
88 128 41 2.56 37.6 12.0 5.47 2.15 79
99 144 45 2.55 37.0 11.5 4.97 1.98 78
116 102 47 2.62 36.7 10.6 4.70 1.92 69
135 188 51 2.67 36.9 10.2 4.64 1.91 67
57 2.41 34.0 9.9 4.32 1.79 65
38.8 40.7 39.7
41.3 43.2 42.2
43.8 45.7 44.7
47.5 51.3 49.3
50.7 55.5 52.5
51.3 56.6 53.4
53.0 58.5 55.2
53.7 59.5 56.2
54.1 59.9 56.7
42 92 50
138
im
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
................... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in s c h d ages 12-14 Percentage in schod ages 15-17 Percentage in schod ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women a m 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populatm density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6 070 3083 2988 103.2
6 708 3 397 3311 102.6
7 319 3 699 3 021 102.2
7 937 4005 3 931 101.9
8565 4 318 4 247 101.7
9 183 4829 4555 101.6
9 758
10 273 5 182 5 091 101.8
10 736 5 421 5 315 102.0
1 1 155 5638 5 516 102.2
14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 16.0 6.9 6.4 11.3 50.7 19.5 13
13.1 25.6 19.9 4.2 2.5 0.2 15.6 7.3 6.6 11.6 51.5 20.3 14
12.0 23.8 21 .o 4.7 2.7 0.3 14.3 7.2 7.0 12.3 52.8 21.5 16
11.4 21.7 21.3 5.4 3.1 0.3 13.0 6.5 6.6 12.7 53.9 22.9
11.0 20.4 20.0 6.3 3.7 0.4 12.3 6.0 6.0 12.1 53.9 24.3 19
10.4 19.8 18.5 7.2 4.4 0.4 12.0 5.7 5.6 11.1 53.9 25.7
9.0 19.2 17.7 8.2 5.1 0.5 11.6 5.6
8.8 18.2 17.5 9.0 5.9 0.7 10.9 5.5 5.4 10.4 54.0 28.3 22
8.3 17.0 17.3 10.0 6.5 0.9 10.2 5.2 5.3 10.3 53.8 29.6 23
7.9 16.0 10.7 11.2 7.3 1.1 9.5 4.9 4.9 10.0 52.7 30.9 24
17
20
....
.
376
5.5
10.5 53.9 27.0 21
20352040 2o40-2045 2045-2050
~ 2 0 1 2010-2015 0 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2b30 -2035 Population change per year (thwsands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands)......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per women) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000live births) Life expetany at blrth (yeen) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
4 919 4838 101.7
115 196 81
103 189
0
56
1.21 20.7 8.6 0.0 2.44 1.09 38 50
60.1 65.3 62.7
61.6 60.6 64.1
128 189 61 0 2.00 29.6 9.6 0.0 3.78 1.58 61 84
122 187 65 0 1.75 26.7 9.2 0.0 3.35 1.42 56 76
123 191 68 0 1 .62 25.1 8.9 0.0 3.03 1.30 51 69
126 198 72 0 1.52 24.0 8.8 0.0 2.79 1.21 47 63
124 200 77 0 1.39 22.6 8.7 0.0 2.80 1.14 43
54.6 60.4 57.2
55.9 61.3 58.4
57.3 62.7 59.9
58.6 64.0 61.2
0 1.03 18.8 8.6 0.0 2.32 1.04 35 45
93 184 91 0 0.88 17.5 8.7 0.0 2.21 0.99 31 40
84 181 97 0 0.77 16.5 8.9 0.0 2.11 0.96 28 36
63.2 67.7 65.4
64.5 68.7 66.7
65.8 69.7 67.8
06
United Nations Department of Emnomic and Social AffaidPopuiaticm Division WOrW Population Prospmts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensiveTables
PAPUA NEW GUINEA C. HIGHVARIANT
Indicator PopuhUon (thouundo) T W .................................................... Aga dl.trlbution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ............... Percenw aged 60 or over ........ Percentagea@ 65 w over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percenlagnof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6 070 3083 2986
6 766 3 428 3339
7 481 3 782 3699
8 245 4 164 4 081
9 041 4564 4 477
9854 4 975 4880
10665 5387 5278
11488 5799 5868
12268 6213 6055
I 3 065 6 627 6438
14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 50.7 19.5
13.8 25.4 19.8 4.2 2.4 0.2 51. l 20.1
13.1 24.0 20.6 4.6 2.7 0.3 51.7 20.9
12.7 22.8 20.5 5.2 3.0 0.3 51.9 21.9
12.3 22.1 19.6 6.0 3.5 0.3 51.7 22.9
11.7 21.6 18.9 6.7 4.1 0.4 51.9 23.8
11.0 21.0 18.5 7.5 4.7 0.5 52.2 24.7
10.5 20.1 18.4 8.1 5.3 0.6 52.5 25.6
10.0 19.2 18.1 8.7 5.7 0.8 52.4 26.6
9.7 16.5 17.5 9.5 6.2 0.9 51.8 27.6
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 ~~
Populationchance per year (thousands). Populati rale @er cent) ............ CRlde birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalion) .... C ~ d death e rale @er 1,OOOpopulation) .. Net mlgratiw, rate (par 1,OOO population) . Total tertiltly (children per wwnan) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
139 2.17 31.4 9.7 0.0 4.03 1.69
143 2.01 29.4 9.3 0.0 3.75 1.59
153 1.95 28.4 8.9 0.0 3.53 1.52
159 1.e4 27.1 8.7 0.0 3.29 1.43
163 1.72 25.6 8.4 0.0 3.10 1.36
162 1.58 24.0 8.2 0.0 2.94 1.31
161 1.45 22.6 8.1 0.0 2.82 1.26
160 1.35 21.5 8.0 0.0 2.71 1.22
159 1.26 20.6 8.0 0.0 2.61 1.18
0. LOW VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6 070 3083 2986
6650 3 367 3283
7 158 3 615 3543
7 628 3846 3 782
8090 4 073 4 017
8 518
4285 4232
8872 4462 4410
9 135 4594 4540
9313 4686 4628
9 424 4 743 4 681
14.8 25.8 19.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 50.7 19.5
12.3 25.8 20.1 4.2 2.5 0.2 52.0 20.6
10.8 23.5 21.5 4.8 2.8 0.3 54.0 22.1
9.9 20.5 22.2 5.6 3.3 0.3 58.0 23.8
9.5 18.5 20.5 6.7 3.9 0.4 56.3 25.7
8.9 17.6 18.1 7.8 4.7 0.5 56.2 27.7
8.0 17.0 16.7 9.0 5.6 0.8 55.9 29.7
7.1 16.0 16.3 10.1 6.6 0.8 55.6 31.5
8.4 14.5 18.1 11.5 7.5 1.o 54.9 33.4
5.9 13.1 15.4 13.2 8.6 1.3 53.2 35.1
Papul.tlon (thouundo)
............................................... Ago dlstrlbdon Percentageaged 04 ............................ percentageaged 5 14 .......................... -ge aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .....
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 Pqxdalion change per year (lhousanbs) . Population g r d h (ale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1,OOO popllalkm) .... Crude death rale @er 1.OOO population) .. Net migration rate @er 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
116 1.83 27.7 9.5 0.0 3.53 1.48
102 1.47 23.9 9.1 0.0 2.95 1.25
94 1.27 21.6 8.9 0.0 2.53 1.09
92 1.18 20.7 8.9 0.0 2.29 1.CO
66 1.a3 19.2 8.9 0.0 2.10 0.92
71 0.82 17.1 9.0 0.0 1.94 0.86
2035-2040 2040-2045 2o45-2050 52 0.58 15.0 9.2 0.0 1.82 0.81
36 0.39 13.4 9.5 0.0 1.71 0.77
22 0.24 12.3 9.9 0.0 1.61 0.73
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Pupul.tkn (thwundr) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... M a d i i age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6 070 3083 2 986 19.5
6 828 3458 3 369 19.9
7 683 3886 3 796 20.2
8 683 4380 4 283 20.7
9 775 4943 4 833 20.8
11 027 5580 5 447 20.8
12 437 6303 6 135 20.9
14 038 7128 6 910 21.o
15 861 8072 7 789 21.2
17 937 9150 8 787 21.3
20052010 2010-2015-20152020 2020-2025 2025-2WO 203C-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rale (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate @er 1,OOO population) ..
2.35 33.3 9.8
2.36 33.0 9.4
2.40 33.0 9.0
2.42 32.7 8.6
2.41 32.2 8.2
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and soda1 AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.41 31.8 7.8
2.42 31.6 7.4
2.44 31.5 7.1
2.46 31.3 6.6
377
PARAGUAY
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 lemales) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 473 725 748 96.9
1 675 823 852 96.6
1 907 939 968 97.0
2 177 1 079 1 099 98.2
2 484 1 239 1 245 99.6
2 805 1408 1 397 100.8
3 198 1 613 1 585 101.8
3 702 1 871 1 831 102.2
4 248 2 147 2 101 102.2
4 799 2427 2 372 102.3
5 349 2707 2 643 102.4
18.3 28.7 19.1 4.5 2.9 0.3 44.6 16.5 4
19.0 28.5 17.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 43.5 16.2 4
18.4 29.5 18.0 5.0 3.2 0.4 42.7 16.1 5
17.9 29.6 18.3 5.2 3.3 0.4 42.6 16.2 5
17.3 28.9 19.5 5.4 3.4 0.4 43.4 16.7 6
15.8 28.3 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.4 44.7 17.6 7
16.0 26.5 20.3 5.8 3.8 0.5 45.7 18.4 8
16.4 25.3 20.1 5.9 3.9 0.5 46.7 18.8 9
15.5 25.9 19.1 6.1 4.0 0.5 47.0 19.3 10
14.4 26.0 18.9 6.1 4.2 0.6 47.7 19.7 12
13.3 24.9 20.1 6.5 4.4 0.7 49.2 20.4 13
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .............................................. Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 904 2 985 2919 102.3
6 460 3 260 3200 101.9
7 008 3 530 3478 101.5
7 533 3 787 3746 101.1
8 026 4 028 3999 100.7
8 483 4 249 4234 100.3
8 898 4 448 4449 100.0
9 267 4 625 4642 99.6
9 591 4 779 4812 99.3
9 868 4 910 4958 99.0
12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 14.2 6.9 6.6 12.3 50.4 21.7 15
11.5 22.1 20.3 7.7 5.2 1.0 13.3 6.5 6.3 12.0 51.5 23.1 16
10.7 20.8 19.5 8.7 5.8 1.1 12.5 6.1 6.0 11.6 52.4 24.5 17
9.9 19.6 18.6 9.7 6.6 1.3 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.1 53.0 26.1 19
9.1 18.4 17.9 10.8 7.6 1.5 11.1 5.5 5.5 10.7 53.6 27.7 20
8.5 17.3 17.1 11.8 8.5 1.7 10.4 5.2 5.2 10.3 53.5 29.3 21
8.0 16.2 16.4 12.8 9.3 2.1 9.7 4.9 4.9 9.8 52.5 30.9 22
7.5 15.3 15.6 14.2 10.1 2.5 9.2 4.6 4.7 9.4 51.1 32.5 23
7.1 14.5 14.8 16.2 11.3 2.8 8.7 4.4 4.4 8.9 49.7 34.1 24
6.8 13.9 14.2 18.3 13.0 3.1 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 48.2 35.6 24
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ...................................... ...... Both sexes combined .................... .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PARAGUAY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ....................... ................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
. . .
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
5904 2985 2 919
6518 3289 3 228
7169 3612 3 557
7839 3943 3 896
8490 4264 4 226
9129 4578 4 551
9761 4888 4 872
10389 5197 5 192
11009 5502 5 508
12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 50.4 21.7
12.2 21.9 20.1 7.6 5.1 1 .0 51 .1 22.8
11.9 21.1 19.0 8.5 5.6 1.1 51.2 23.9
11.3 20.9 17.9 9.3 6.4 1.2 51 0 24.9
10.5 20.4 17.6 10.2 7.1 1.4 51.4 26.0
9.9 19.4 17.7 11.0 7.9 l6 51.5 27.0
9.5 18.3 17.5 11.6 8.5 l .9 51.0 28.0
9.2 17.5 16.8 12.6 9.0 2.2 50.1 29.1
9.0 17.0 16.0 14.1 9.8 2.4 49.1 30.2
.
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rale (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per l. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............ ..
123 1.98 26.6 5.6 -1.3 3.33 1.54
130 l .91 25.7 5.5 -1.2 3.16 1.47
134 1.79 24.4 5.5 -1.1 3.01 1.40
130 1.60 22.4 5.5 .1.0 2.83 1.32
128 1.45 21 0 5.6 -0.9 2.70 1.27
.
1 26 1 34 20.1 5.8 .0.8 2.61 1.23
.
1 26 1.25 19.4 6.1 .0.8 2.54 1.20
1 24 1.16 18.8 6.4 .0.7 2.49 1.18
122 1 .08 18.1 6.7 .0.7 2.46 1.17
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... F e ~ l e ............................................... s Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
5 904 2 985 2919
6 402 3 231 3172
6 845 3 447 3398
7 225 3 630 3595
12.3 23.5 20.7 7.0 4.8 0.9 50.4 21.7
10.7 22.3 20.4 7.7 5.2 10 52.0 23.3
9.4 20.4 19.9 8.9 5.9 1.1 53.6 25.1
8.3 18.2 19.4 10.1 6.9 1.3 55.2 27.3
.
7 561 3 791 3771 7.6 16.3 18.2 11.4 8.0 1.5 56.1 29.4
7 843 3 923 3921
8 059 4 M1 4038
8 204 4 084 4121
8 281 4 112 4169
6.9 14.8 16.5 12.8 9.2 1.9 55.8 31.7
6.3 13.8 15.0 14.1 10.3 2.3 54.1 34.0
5.7 12.7 14.0 16.0 11.4 2.8 52.1 36.4
5.2 11.7 13.2 18.7 13.1 3.2 49.9 38.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
100 1.62 23.0 5.5 .1.3 2.83 1.31
88
1.34 20.0 5.5 -1.2 2.36 1.10
76 1 .08 17.5 5.6 -1.1 2.01 0.94
67 0.91 16.0 5.8 .1.1 1 .83 0.86
56 0.73 14.5 6.1 -1 .0 1.70 0.80
43 0.54 13.0 6.6 -1 .0 1.60 0.76
29 0.36 11.8 7.2 -1.0 1.54 0.73
15 0.19 10.7 7.9 -1 .0 1.49 0.71
3 0.03 9.9 8.6 -1 .0 1.47 0.69
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................. ............ Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
5904 2 985 2 919 21.7
6552 3 307 3 245 22.7
7285 3 671 3 614 23.5
8087 4 069 4 017 24.0
8941 4 494 4 447 24.3
9855 4 948 4 907 24.5
10841 5 439 5 402 24.8
l1917 5 976 5 941 25.1
13094 6 565 6 529 25.4
2.08 27.7 5.6
2.12 27.9 5.5
2.09 27.4 5.5
2.01 26.4 5.4
1.95 25.7 5.4
1.91 25.4 5.5
1 .89 25.3 5.6
1 .88 25.2 5.7
1.87 25.0 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PERU
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
7632 3 842 3790 101.4
8672 4 368 4304 101.5
9931 5 004 4927 101.6
11467 5 779 5688 101.6
13193 6 649 6544 101.6
15161 7 640 7521 101.6
17325 8 721 8603 101.4
19523 9 823 9700 101.3
21762 10 945 10818 101.2
23857 11 990 11868 101.0
25663 12 874 12788 100.7
16.8 24.8 18.8 5.7 3.5 0.3 46.1 19.1 6
17.5 24.8 18.8 5.6 3.4 0.3 45.7 18.8 7
17.7 25.6 18.2 5.6 3.4 0.3 44.9 18.4 8
17.8 26.3 18.0 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.3 18.0 9
17.1 26.9 18.7 5.5 3.5 0.3 44.8 17.9 10
16.4 26.8 19.4 5.6 3.5 0.3 45.6 18.2 12
15.7 26.2 20.0 5.6 3.6 0.4 46.9 18.7 13
14.4 25.7 20.4 5.7 3.7 0.4 48.2 19.6 15
13.6 24.6 20.3 6.1 4.0 0.5 49.5 20.5 17
13.1 23.3 20.2 6.6 4.3 0.6 50.7 21.5 19
11.6 22.9 19.8 7.3 4.9 0.8 51.7 22.7 20
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlslribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)
27 274 13665 13609 100.4
28 894 14464 14430 100.2
30 768 15393 15375 100.1
32 540 16269 16272 100.0
34 148 17059 17090 99.8
35 564 17748 17817 99.6
36 770 18326 18444 99.4
37 752 18788 18964 99.1
38 500 19131 19369 98.8
10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 12.8 6.5 6.2 11.5 52.9 24.3 21
9.9 19.2 19.4 8.8 6.1 1.1 11.4 5.9 6.1 11.6 54.0 25.9 22
9.3 18.0 18.4 9.8 6.7 1.3 10.9 5.3 5.4 11.2 53.8 27.5 24
8.7 17.4 16.7 11.0 7.5 1.5 10.5 5.1 5.0 10.0 52.9 29.1 25
8.1 16.6 15.9 12.6 8.6 1.7 9.9 5.0 4.9 9.5 52.0 30.9 27
7.5 15.6 15.6 14.2 9.9 2.0 9.3 4.7 4.8 9.4 50.9 32.6 28
7.0 14.6 15.1 16.1 11.4 2.4 8.7 4.5 4.5 9.1 49.8 34.2 29
6.6 13.8 14.4 18.1 13.0 2.9 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 48.3 35.7 29
6.2 13.0 13.7 20.1 14.7 3.5 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.3 46.5 37.2 30
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ......................... :..................... Both sexes combined ............................
.. .
324 586 172 -90 1.15 20.9 6.1 -3.2 2.51 1 16 21 29
375 589 182 -32 1.26 19.7 6.1 -1.1 2.37 1.10 19 25
355 581 194 . 32 1.12 18.4 6.1 -1.0 2.25 1.05 17 23
68.9 74.0 71.4
70.2 75.3 72.7
71.3 76.4 73.8
.
322 563 210 32 0.97 16.9 6.3 -1.0 2.15 1.01 15 20
283 543 228 . 32 0.81 15.6 6.5 .0.9 2.06 0.97 14 18
72.2 77.3 74.7
73.1 78.2 75.6
-
241 524 251 32 0.67 14.5 6.9 -0.9 1.99 0.94 12 17
196 506 277 . 32 0.53 13.6 7.4 .0.9 1.92 0.91 11 15
73.7 79.0 76.3
74.3 79.7 77.0
-
150 488 306 32 0.39 12.8 8.0 -0.8 1.86 0.89 10 14
110 478 336 . 32 0.28 12.3 8.7 -0.8 1.65 0.88 9 13
74.9 80.4 77.6
75.5 81.1 78.2
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PERU C. HIGHVARIANT lndkator PoPU~on (thou-)
Total .................................................... Males .............. Females ............................................... Aga dlmributkn Percentage~QKI 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .... Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. P e w of WMBn aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
....
27 274 13 665 13 609
29 171 14 608 14 568
31 520 15 777 15 743
33 914 16 971 16 943
36 178 18 18 082
38330 19 162 19 168
40404
10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 52.9 24.3
10.7 19.0 19.3 8.8 6.0 1.1 53.5 25.6
10.6 18.5 17.9 9.6 6.5 1.3 52.5 26.8
10.2 18.9 16.0 10.6 7.2 1.4 50.8 27.9
9.5 18.6 15.8 11.9 8.1 1.6 49.9 29.1
8.9 17.8 16.4 13.2 9.2 1.8 49.2 30.0
m
44309
46 138
22098 22 210
22994
20 221
42 404 21 165 21 239
8.6 16.8 16.5 14.6 10.4 2.2 48.7 30.7
8.3 16.1 15.9 16.1 11.5 2.6 47.7 31.6
8.1 15.6 15.1 17.5 12.8 3.0 46.6 32.6
7.9 15.3 14.6 18.8 13.9 3.5 46.1 33.6
20 183
23 144
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
population chanae per year (tharsands) .
Population growlh rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO populatlon) .... Ctude death rate (per 1.ooO populatkn) .. Net migratbn rate (per 1.ooO Poprlation). Total fertility (children per mman) ........... Net repmducti rate (per woman) ..........
379 1.35 22.8 6.1 -3.2 2.76 1.a
470 1.55 22.6 6.1 -1.1 2.77 1.29
479 1.47 21.7 6.0 -1 .o 2.75 1.29
453
430
1.29 19.9 6.1 -0.9 2.65 1.25
1.16 18.6 6.2 -0.9 2.56 1.21
415 1 .a5 17.8 6.5 -0.8 2.49 1.18
0.97 17.3 6.8 -0.8 2.42 1.15
381 0.88 16.7 7.2 -0.7 2.36 1.12
0.81 16.4 7.6 -0,7 2.35 1.12
400
368
D. L O W V A R W
PopuMion (UlOUUnd.) Total ....................................................
................................... 5-14 .......................... percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or OYBT .................. Percentageaged 65 w m r 80 or over .................. Percentagea@ Penxmtapotmrnenagedi5-49 ......... Median age (yam) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
27 274 13 665 13 609
28 615 14 321 14 293
30009 15 005 15 004
31 158 15 562 15 596
32 115 16 019 16 096
32 827 18 348 16 479
33 247 16 525 16 722
33356 16 542 16 814
33 162 18 404 16 758
32 710 16 138 16 572
10.3 21.4 19.5 8.1 5.6 0.9 52.9 24.3
9.0 19.4 19.6 8.9 6.1 1.2 54.6 26.2
8.0 17.5 18.8 10.1 6.8 1.4 55.1 28.2
7.1 15.7 17.5 11.5 7.9 1.6 55.2 30.4
6.6 14.2 16.1 13.4 9.1 1.8 54.4 32.8
8.0 13.0 14.6 15.4 10.8 2.1 52.8 35.2
5.4 12.1 13.4 17.8 12.8 2.6 50.9 37.6
4.8 11.1 12.5 20.5 14.7 3.3 46.6
4.4 10.1 11.9 23.4 17.1 4.0 45.9 42.3
4.1 9.2 11.1 26.6 19.6 4.9 43.4 44.6
40.0
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2o20-2025 2o25-2030 2030-2035 20352040 204G2045 2o45-2050 Popurath chanoe per year1- ( .. Popdation g n M h rate (per cent)............ CNde birth rate (per 1,OW populatlon) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlatbn) .. Net rnlgralkm rate (per 1.ooO poprlatm) Total fertilky (CMldren per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
.
288 0.96 18.9 6.1 -3.2 2.26 1.05
279 0.95 16.7 6.1 -1.1 1.97 0.92
230 0.75 14.8 6.3 -1.o 1.75 0.82
191 0.61 13.6 6.5 -1.o 1.65 0.78
142 0.44 12.3 6.9 -1.o 1.56 0.74
84 0.25 11.0 7.5 -1.o 1.49 0.70
22 0.07 9.8 8.2 -1 .o 1.42 0.87
-39 -0.12 8.8 9.0 -1 .o 1.36 0.65
-90 -0.27 8.3 10.0 -1.o 1.35 0.64
E. CONSTANT-FERTILI'W VARIANT
Populmtlon (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
27 274 13 685 13 808 24.3
29 110 14 574 14 535 25.7
31 379 15 705 15 674 26.9
33 712 16 667 18 845 28.1
2@25 36 036 18 024 18 012 29.2
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
38 350 19 172 19 178 30.0
40 676 20 323 20 353
43 029 27 486 21 544 31.O
45 414 22 664 22 750 31.6
47 818 23 854
30.4
23 964 32.1
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o252o3o 2033-2035 2a35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (par cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OW popdatiar) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpoprlation) ..
1.30 22.4 6.1
1.50 22.1 6.1
1.43 21.4 6.1
1.33 20.4 6.1
1.25 19.6 6.3
United Nations Department of Economic and social AfFairs/Population Division Wwfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.18 19.1 6.5
1.13 18.8 8.8
1.08 18.6 7.1
1.03 18.4 7.4
381
PHILIPPINES
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1465
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................. .............. F e ~ l e ............................................. s Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percenlage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or wer .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
..
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24...................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
84566 42 587 41 980 101.4
93001 46 821 46 180 101.4
101090 50 866 50 224 101.3
108748 54 679 54 070 101.1
115878 58 215 57 663 101.0
122388 61 430 60 958 100.8
128105 64239 63 867 100.6
132862 66 557 66 305 100.4
136992 68 568 68 424 100.2
12.9 23.2 19.9 6.0 3.8 0.5 14.0 6.8 6.4 11.7 51.3 21.8 282
12.0 22.4 19.7 6.5 4.2 0.5 13.6 6.3 6.2 11.6 51 .8 22.8 310
10.9 21.7 19.1 7.5 4.7 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.0 11.3 52.1 24.1 337
9.9 20.2 18.8 8.6 5.5 0.7 12.1 6.1 6.0 11.1 52.7 25.6 362
9.1 18.7 18.6 9.8 6.5 0.9 11.2 5.7 5.7 11.1 53.1 27.2 386
8.4 17.3 17.7 11.1 7.5 1.1 10.4 5.3 5.3 10.6 52.9 28.9 408
7.7 16.2 16.6 12.6 8.6 1.4 9.7 4.9 5.0 10.0 52.4 30.7 427
7.1 15.1 15.7 14.3 9.9 1.7 9.0 4.6 4.7 9.5 51.6 32.6 443
6.8 14.0 14.9 16.2 11.4 2.1 8.3 4.4 4.4 9.0 50.4 34.5 457
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
PHILIPPINES
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator
. Popuiallon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
1 860 2.09 27.7 4.8 -2.0 3.48 1.63
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
. .... .. .
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 514 1.72 23.9 4.8 .2.0 2.98 1.40
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . -
-P-
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................ Median age (years) ................................
84 566 42 587 41 980 21.8
94 076 47 371 46 705 22.5
104 646 52 687 51 960 23.2
116 135 58 463 57 672 23.7
128 462 64 665 63 797 24.0
141 765 71 367 70 398 24.3
156 278 78 694 77 585 24.6
172 177 86 739 85 438 25.0
189 574 95 569 94 005 25.2
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.13 28.1 4.8
2.13 27.8 4.7
2.08 27.1 4.6
2.02 26.3 4.6
1.97 25.7 4.7
1.95 25.5 4.8
1.94 25.4 4.9
1.93 25.2 5.0
1.91 25.0 5.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
208 528 105 209 103 320 25.4
POLAND
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ....................... ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
24 824 11830 12994 91.0
27 281 13123 14158 92.7
29 638 14338 15300 93.7
31 445 15262 16183 94.3
32 664 15863 16801 94.4
34 015 16549 17467 94.7
35 574 17332 18242 95.0
37 202 18143 19059 95.2
38 1 1 1 18574 19537 95.1
11.9 17.5 19.3 8.2 5.2 0.7 53.8 25.8
12.9 18.0 17.2 8.5 5.5 0.7 50.8 26.1 84
11.8 21.6 14.1 9.4 5.8 0.7 46.5 26.5 92
9.0 22.0 15.3 11.0 6.8 0.8 47.1 27.6 97
7.8 19.2 19.3 12.8 8.2 0.9 50.6 28.2 101
8.4 15.6 20.1 13.8 9.5 1.2 51.7 28.6 105
9.1 15.1 17.2 13.2 10.1 1.5 49.9 29.5 110
9.2 16.3 14.1 13.8 9.4 1.7 48.0 30.8 115
7.7 17.4 13.9 14.9 10.1 2.0 48.1 32.3 l18
77
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................ ................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
38 196 18465 19730 93.6
37 902 18261 19641 93.0
37 580 18064 19515 92.6
37 079 17786 19293 92.2
36 337 17387 18950 91.8
35 353 16866 18487 91.2
34 197 16271 17926 90.8
32 934 15645 17290 90.5
31 616 15012 16603 90.4
4.6 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 6.7 4.0 4.4 10.1 50.3 36.8 118
4.7 9.9 14.0 19.5 13.6 3.4 5.7 3.3 3.7 8.7 48.2 38.3 117
4.7 9.5 11.7 22.7 15.5 3.9 5.7 2.8 3.0 7.3 46.7 39.9 116
4.5 9.6 10.0 25.8 18.5 4.2 5.8 2.9 2.8 6.1 45.4 42.0 115
4.1 9.5 9.7 27.5 21.4 4.2 5.6 2.9 3.0 5.7 43.6 44.2 112
3.8 8.9 9.9 28.6 22.8 5.4 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.0 41 .0 46.5 109
3.7 8.3 9.9 30.5 23.6 7.1 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.0 37.7 48.6 106
3.8 7.9 9.5 33.5 25.3 8.6 4.7 2.5 2.6 5.8 35.1 50.5 102
3.9 7.9 8.9 37.0 27.9 8.9 4.7 2.4 2.5 5.4 33.3 51.7 98
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 five births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live b~rths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ....................... .................... ......... Females ...................... ........ . . Both sexes combined ............................
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
POLAND C. HtGHVARlANT Indicator Population(thouunds) Total ....................................................
..................... ............................
ales ................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
38 196
38 271
18 465 19 730
18 451 19 820
38 512 18 543 19 988
38629 18 582 20048
38411 18 453 19 958
37 935 18 193 19 743
37 393 17 913 19 480
36 914 17 689 19 225
36 492 17 517 18 975
36 045 17342 18 702
4.8 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 50.3 36.8
5.7 9.8 13.9 19.3 13.4 3.4 47.8 38.0
8.1 10.2 11.4 22.2 15.1 3.8 45.6 39.2
5.9 11.6 9.6 24.8 17.7 4.0 43.7 40.7
5.3 12.0 10.1 26.0 20.2 4.0 42.3 42.5
4.9 11.4 11.7 28.6 21.3 5.0 40.7 44.3
5.0 10.4 12.2 27.9 21.6 6.5 38.6 45.7
5.5 10.1 11.5 29.9 22.5 7.6 36.8 46.2
5.9 10.7 10.5 32.1 24.2 7.7 35.8 45.5
5.9 11.6 10.2 33.3 26.3 7.5 36.0 44.1
Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of mnnen aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.OOO population) .. Net -ration rate (per 1,OOO popiiation) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
15 0.04 11.4 10.0 -1.0 1.48 0.71
48 0.13 12.3 10.4 -0.8 1.65 0.79
23 0.06 12.0 10.7 -0.8 1.Bo 0.87
-
43 -0.11 10.6 11.1 -0.8 1.85 0.89
-95 -0.25 9.8 11.7 -0.8 1.90 0.92
-
-108 -0.29 10.1 12.3 -0.6 1.95 0.94
-96 -0.26 11.0 13.0 -0.6 2.00 0.96
-0.23 11.8 13.4 -0.7 2.05 0.99
89 -0.25 11.7 13.6 -0.7 2.10 1.01
-84
D. LOWVARIANT
Population(thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................ Females ............................................... Aga dlstrlbut)on Percentage aged 0 4
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
36196 18465 19730
37533 18072 19461
36644 17584 19060
35511 16980 18531
34229 16304 17925
32781 15534 17227
31 108 14685 16423
29283 13789 15514
27332 12812 14519
25 324 11 838 13 486
4.8 11.7 16.3 17.2 13.3 2.7 50.3 36.8
3.8 10.0 14.2 19.7 13.7 3.4 48.7 38.6
3.3 8.7 12.0 23.3 15.9 4.0 47.8 40.8
2.9 7.4 10.4 27.0 19.3 4.4 47.3 43.3
2.8 6.5 9.2 29.2 22.7 4.5 45.1 45.9
2.6 6.1 7.9 30.9 24.6 5.8 41.3 48.6
2.5 5.8 7.1 33.6
2.3 5.5 6.7 37.7 20.4 9.8 32.6 53.9
2.2 5.3 6.5 42.8 32.3 10.3 29.5 56.3
2.1 5.0 6.3 47.4 37.4 10.7 27.3 58.5
Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
28.0 7.8 36.5 51.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude binh rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migratim rate (per 1,OW population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n a n ) ..........
-
132 -0.35 7.6 10.1 -1.1 0.98 0.47
-
178 4.48 8.8 10.7 -0.6 0.85 0.41
-227 -0.63 5.8 11.4 -0.7
0.80 0.39
-257 -0.74 5.6 12.2 -0.7 0.85 0.41
-294
-0.88 5.2 13.3 -0.7 0.90 0.43
-331 -1.04 4.9 14.5 -0.8 0.95 0.46
-
-365
-390
-1.21 4.6 15.9 -0.8 1.00 0.48
-1.38 4.3 17.2 -0.8 1.05 0.51
402 -1.53 4.2 18.5 -0.9 1.10 0.53
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon(thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
38 196 18 465 19 730 36.8
37 938 18 280 19 658 38.3
37 602 18 076 19 526 39.9
37 009 17 750 19 259 42.0
36 124 17 278 18 846 44.3
34 978 16 673 18 305 46.8
33 645 15 $80 17 657 49.1
32 163 15 248 16 915 51.2
30 557 14 468 16 089 52.9
28 857 13 651 15 208 54.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO population) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
-0.14 9.7 10.0
-0.18 9.4 10.6
-0.32 8.5 11.1
-0.48 7.5 11.7
-0.65 6.7 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsPopulation Division Workl Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.78 6.4 13.5
-0.90 8.3 14.6
-1.02 6.1 15.8
-1.15 5.8 16.5
385
PORTUGAL A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ...................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)
..
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8405 4 043 4 362 92.7
8610 4 142 4 468 92.7
8858 4 239 4 619 91.8
8999 4 293 4 706 91.2
8680 4 118 4 563 90.2
9093 4 299 4 795 89.7
9766 4 723 5 043 93.7
l0011 4 831 5 180 93.3
9983 4 813 5 170 93.1
10030 4 834 5 197 93.0
10227 4 936 5 291 93.3
10.5 18.9 18.6 10.5 7.0 1.0 51.0 26.2 91
10.3 18.4 17.9 10.7 7.3 1.1 50.8 27.0 94
10.1 19.0 16.3 11.7 8.0 1.2 48.8 28.0 96
10.6 18.5 16.4 12.4 8.3 1.1 48.3 28.2 98
9.9 18.9 16.6 13.7 9.2 1.2 47.9 28.6 94
9.0 18.9 16.8 14.3 9.9 1.4 47.8 28.7 99
8.6 17.4 17.7 14.6 10.5 1.4 48.5 29.1 106
7.0 16.5 16.9 17.0 12.0 2.0 47.4 31.6 109
5.6 14.8 16.3 18.8 13.4 2.5 48.4 34.2 109
5.4 12.3 16.0 20.4 14.9 3.0 49.5 36.1 109
5.4 10.8 14.5 21.5 16.1 3.2 49.2 37.7 111
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentageaged15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
10528 5 089 5 439 93.6
10725 5 188 5 537 93.7
l0805 5 231 5 574 93.8
10790 5 229 5 562 94.0
10712 5 196 5 516 94.2
10607 5 151 5 457 94.4
10485 5 096 5 389 94.6
10343 5 031 5 312 94.7
10176 4 953 5 224 94.8
9982 4 861 5 121 94.9
5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 6.2 3.1 3.3 7.8 48.3 39.1 114
5.2 10.3 11.1 23.1 17.5 4.3 6.2 3.1 3.1 6.7 46.6 40.5 117
4.9 10.3 10.6 24.5 18.5 4.8 6.2 3.1 3.1 6.4 44.6 42.1 117
4.7 10.1 10.6 26.1 19.8 5.3 6.0 3.1 3.2 6.4 42.8 43.9 117
4.5 9.7 10.6 28.3 21.4 5.7 5.7 3.0 3.1 6.4 40.6 45.8 116
4.4 9.3 10.5 30.4 23.3 6.4 5.5 2.9 3.0 6.4 38.3 47.3 115
4.5 9.0 10.1 32.9 25.2 7.2 5.4 2.8 2.9 6.1 36.6 48.3 114
4.6 9.1 9.7 35.3 27.5 8.1 5.5 2.7 2.8 5.9 35.8 48.8 112
4.7 9.3 9.5 36.7 29.6 9.1 5.6 2.8 2.8 5.7 35.4 48.9 111
4.7 9.6 9.6 36.9 30.7 10.1 5.7 2.9 2.9 5.8 35.3 48.8 109
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) . . ................... Males ........................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined .......................... .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PORTUGAL
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
............................ ..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
10528 5 089 5 439
l0819 5 237 5 583
11038 5 350 5 688
11178 5 428 5 750
11243 5 469 5 774
11285 5 499 5 786
11336 5 534 5 802
11413 5 581 5 832
11507 5 637 5 870
5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 48.3 39.1
6.0 10.2 11.0 22.9 17.3 4.2 46.2 40.2
6.1 11.0 10.4 23.9 18.1 4.7 43.7 41.5
5.9 11.9 10.2 25.2 19.1 5.1 41.4 42.8
5.5 11.8 11.0 26.9 20.4 5.4 39.6 44.1
5.4 17.3 11.9 28.6 21.9 6.0 38.1 45.0
5.7 10.9 11.9 30.4 23.4 6.6 37.2 45.1
6.1 11.1 11.4 32.0 24.9 7.3 37.0 44.3
6.4 11.7 10.9 32.4 26.1 8.1 37.1 43.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
58
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
............
0.55 12.3 10.6 3.7 1.71 0.82
44 0.40 12.4 10.7 2.3 1.88 0.90
28 0.25 11.9 10.7 1.4 2.03 0.97
13 0.12 11.1 10.9 0.9 2.08 1.00
8 0.07 1 1 .0 11.1 0.9 2.13 1.02
10 0.09 11.5 11.5 0.9 2.18 1.05
16 0.14 12.3 11.8 0.9 2.23 1.07
19 0.16 12.9 12.2 0.9 2.28 1.10
17 0.15 13.1 12.4 0.9 2.33 1.12
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.......................... .........................
10528 5089 5 439
10630 5139 5 491
10569 5109 5 460
10395 5025 5 369
10169 4917 5 253
9923 4798 5 124
9649 4666 4 983
9336 4513 4 823
8973 4334 4 639
5.3 10.4 12.6 22.1 16.9 3.7 48.3 39.1
4.3 10.4 11.2 23.3 17.6 4.3 47.0 40.8
3.7 9.7 10.9 25.0 18.9 5.0 45.5 42.8
3.3 8.2 11.0 27.1 20.5 5.5 44.3 45.1
3.3 7.2 10.3 29.8 22.5 6.0 41.7 47.4
3.3 6.8 8.8 32.5 25.0 6.8 38.5 49.5
3.3 6.8 7.8 35.8 27.4 7.8 35.7 51.4
3.3 6.9 7.4 39.1 30.4 8.9 34.0 52.8
3.1 7.0 7.5 41.6 33.5 10.4 32.7 54.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
20 0.19 8.8 10.6 3.8 1.21 0.58
. 12 -0.12 7.4 11.0 2.4 1 .08 0.52
- 45 .0.44 6.5 11.8 1.0 1.08 0.52
- 35 .0.33 6.6 11.3 1.4 1.03 0.49
- 49 .0.49 6.5 12.4 1 .0 1.13 0.54
. 55 -0.56 6.6 13.2 1 .0 1.18 0.57
- 63 .0.66 6.5 14.1 1.1 1.23 0.59
- 73 .0.79 6.1 15.2 1.1 1.28 0.62
. 81 .0.93 5.9 16.3 1.1 1.33 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) 10528 Total .................................................. Males ................................................... 5089 5 439 Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................. 39.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.36 10.5 10.6
10721 5186 5 535 40.5
10784 5220 5 564 42.2
10736 5201 5 535 44.1
10615 5146 5 469 46.0
10457 5073 5 383 47.8
10265 4983 5 282 49.2
10035 4872 5 163 50.1
9760 4739 5 021 50.7
0.12 9.7 10.8
.0.09 8.8 11.1
.0.23 8.2 11.4
.0.30 7.9 11.9
.0.37 7.8 12.5
.0.45 7.7 13.2
.0.56 7.5 14.0
.0.66 7.2 14.9
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
PUERTO RICO A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 1&23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live blrths) Under-fivemortality (per 1.OM) live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) .................... Males ................... ..... Females ...................... . ...................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
PUERTO RICO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3 947 1 892 2054
4 093 1 960 2133
4 256 2 039 2218
4 421 2 120 2301
4 569 2 195 2374
4 694 2 261 2433
4 804 2 320 2483
4 917 2 383 2534
5 044 2 455 2589
6.7 15.3 15.5 17.3 12.4 3.0 48.5 33.8
7.4 13.6 14.9 19.0 13.8 3.4 47.2 34.8
7.7 13.3 14.1 20.2 15.1 3.7 45.4 35.6
7.8 14.3 12.5 21.3 16.1 4.1 43.3 36.3
7.4 14.7 12.3 22.4 17.1 4.7 42.3 37.0
7.0 14.5 13.4 23.1 18.1 5.4 41.8 37.7
6.8 13.9 13.9 23.8 18.6 5.9 41.6 38.2
6.9 13.3 13.8 24.5 19.1 6.3 41.4 38.2
7.2 13.2 13.2 25.2 19.7 6.8 40.9 37.8
29 0.73 15.1 7.6 -0.2 2.08 1.00
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
14 0.36 11.5 7.7 -0.3 1.58 0.76
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
3 947 1892 2054 33.8
4 058 1942 2116 35.1
4 162 1990 2172 36.4
4 249 2032 2217 37.8
4 316 2066 2251 39.1
4 361 2090 2271 40.4
4 387 2107 2280 41.7
4 397 2117 2280 42.9
4 394 2122 2272 43.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.56 13.5 7.6
0.50 13.2 8.0
0.42 12.7 8.4
0.31 12.1 8.8
0.21 11.5 9.3
0.12 11.1 9.8
0.05 10.8 10.3
.0.01 10.7 10.7
.0.07 10.5 11.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4 379 2120 2258 44.3
QATAR
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Popuiatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
796 535 262 204.4
885 586 299 196.0
966 632 334 188.9
1040 671 369 181.8
1 102 702 401 175.1
1 161 730 431 169.2
1215 755 460 164.0
1263 776 487 159.4
1303 792 510 155.2
1333 803 530 151.5
7.9 13.9 13.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 8.5 3.9 3.4 8.6 60.3 31.1 72
7.7 13.7 13.3 3.1 1.7 0.2 8.3 3.9 3.6 8.0 59.7 31.9 80
7.0 13.6 13.4 4.2 2.1 0.2 8.3 3.8 3.7 8.1 58.6 32.8 88
6.5 13.1 13.2 6.4 3.1 0.3 7.9 3.9 3.7 8.0 56.7 33.9 95
6.2 12.3 13.1 8.5 5.1 0.5 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.9 53.8 34.9 100
6.0 11.7 12.8 10.7 6.8 0.6 7.1 3.5 3.5 7.9 51.9 35.9 106
5.7 11.4 11.8 13.9 8.7 1.1 6.8 3.4 3.4 7.1 50.9 37.7 110
5.5 11.0 11.4 17.6 11.4 1.9 6.6 3.3 3.3 6.9 49.8 39.4 115
5.3 10.7 11.2 20.4 14.5 2.5 6.4 3.2 3.2 6.8 48.7 40.8 118
5.0 10.4 11.0 22.5 16.8 3.3 6.2 3.1 3.2 6.7 47.9 41.9 121
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ........................... . . . .......... Both sexes combined ...........................
18 14 2 2.11 16.2 2.4 7.1 2.66 1.27 8 10
16 14 2 5 1.76 14.6 2.5 5.4 2.49 1.19 8 9
15 14 3 4 1.49 13.6 2.7 4.0 2.36 1.13 7 9
12 14 3 2 1.16 12.8 3.1 l .9 2.24 1.08 7 8
12 14 4 2 1 .04 12.3 3.7 1.8 2.14 1.03 7 8
11 14 5 2 0.91 11.8 4.4 1.7 2.06 0.99 6 7
75.2 76.4 75.6
75.9 77.3 76.4
76.6 78.2 77.1
77.2 79.0 77.8
77.8 79.7 78.4
78.3 80.4 79.1
6
10 6 2 0.77 11.3 5.2 1.6 1.98 0.95 6 7
8 14 8 2 0.62 10.7 6.1 1.6 1.91 0.92 6 7
6 14 9 2 0.47 10.3 7.1 1.5 1.86 0.90 5 7
78.9 81.1 79.7
79.4 81.7 80.2
79.9 82.2 80.8
14
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
QATAR C. HIOHVARIANT Indicator Populotlon (thousands) Total ....... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlmtrlbutlon percentage aged 0-4............................ percentage aged 5-14 ..........................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 -
796
891 589
963 840 343
1072 087
1149 726 424
1225 763
403
1301 799 502
1374
302
541
1443 864 579
1 507 892 615
8.3 13.6 13.2 3.1 1.7 0.2 59.1 31.7
8.0 14.0 13.2 4.1 2.1 0.2 57.2 32.4
7.6 14.3 12.8 6.2 3.0 0.3 54.4 33.2
7.3 14.0 13.1 8.1 4.8
7.1 13.5 13.5 10.1 6.4 0.6 50.2 34.4
7.0 13.1 12.9 13.0 8.1 1 .o 49.7 35.8
8.9 13.0 12.6 16.2 10.5 1.7 49.0 38.9
6.8 12.9 12.4 18.4 13.1 2.3 48.3 37.8
6.7 12.9 12.3 19.9 14.9 2.9 48.0 38.1
535 262 7.9 13.9
percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 05 w Percentage aged 80 w wer .................. Percantage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ......................
0.1 60.3
384
0.5 51.6 33.8
833
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thamnda). population growM rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO pcpdation) .... Crude dealh rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per mwnan)
..
.
..........
19 2.25 17.7 2.4 7.1 2.91 1.39
18 1.97 16.8 2.4 5.3 2.09 1.39
18 1.73 16.1 2.7 3.9 2.86 1.37
15 1.39 15.2 3.1 1.8 2.74 1.32
15 1.a 14.7 3.5 1.7 2.64 1.27
15 1.19 14.5 4.1 1.6 2.56 1.23
15 1.09 14.3 4.9 1.5 2.48 1.19
14 0.99 14.1 5.6 1.4 2.41 1.16
13 0.87 13.7 6.4 1.4 2.38 1.14
0. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
798 535 262
878 582
949 623
1009
1098 897
326
400
1132 712 420
1158 722
296
1056 878 378
1173
655 354
436
447
1177 723 454
7.9 13.9 13.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 60.3 31.1
7.0 13.8 13.4 3.1 1.8 0.2 60.3 32.0
6.0 13.2 13.6 4.3 2.1 0.2 60.1 33.2
5.3 11.8 13.6 6.6 3.2 0.4 59.1 34.6
5.0 10.4 13.1 8.8 5.3 0.5 56.2 38.0
4.8 9.7 12.0 11.3 7.2 0.7 53.8 37.3
4.4 9.3 10.4 15.0 9.3 1.1 52.2 39.5
4.1 8.9 9.9 19.2 12.4 2.1 50.5 41.8
3.7 8.4 9.7 22.6 16.1 2.8 48.7 43.8
3.4 7.8 9.4 25.5 19.1 3.7 47.0 45.7
Populotlon (thousands) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14, percentage aged 15-24 percentage eged 80 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
720
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO populatbn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulatbn) Net migration rate (per 1 .ooO population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repduction rate (per m n ) ..........
.. .
16 1.96 14.8 2.3 7.2 2.41 1.15
14 1.55 12.5 2.5 5.5 2.09 1.oo
12 1.23 11.0 2.8 4.1 1.80 0.89
9 0.90 10.3 3.2 1.9 1.74 0.84
8 0.78 9.8 3.8 1.9 1.64 0.79
7 0.63 9.1 4.6 1.8 1.56 0.75
5 0.44 8.3 5.6 1.7 1.48 0.71
3 0.25 7.5 6.7 1.7 1.41 0.68
1 0.07 8.9 7.9 1.7 1.36 0.66
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
796
891 589
984 841
1075
1158
730
302
343
31.7
32.4
33.1
1243 772 471 34.0
1332 815 517 35.1
1423 858 565 35.7
1515 901 614 35.9
1607
689 386
535 282 31.1
428 33.7
944 064 35.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-X50
............
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) ..
2.25 17.7 2.4
1.ge 16.9 2.4
1.77 16.5 2.7
1.49 16.1 3.1
1.42 16.1 3.5
United Nations D e p a M ofEconomic and sodal Affairslpopulatirm Mvtsion WorM Population Prasp8ct.s: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables
1.38 16.3 4.1
1.32 16.5 4.7
1.25 16.8 5.4
1.19 18.7 6.1
391
REPUBLIC OF KOREA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ......................... ......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ....................... . ...... Population density (population per sq km)
2M)5
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
47 870 23 940 23 930 100.0
48 673 24 289 24 384 99.6
49 117 24 447 24 670 99.1
49 221 24 426 24 795 98.5
49 019 24 245 24 774 97.9
48 411 23 852 24 558 97.1
47 371 23 234 24 137 96.3
5.1 13.5 14.5 13.7 9.4 1.4 8.1 4.3 4.0 9.0 55.5 35.0 481
4.6 11.3 13.6 16.0 11.3 1.9 6.5 3.9 4.2 8.0 53.1 38.0 489
4.2 9.5 13.1 18.8 13.3 2.7 5.5 3.1 3.6 8.2 50.0 40.8 493
4.0 8.7 11.1 23.1 15.7 3.6 5.2 2.8 2.9 7.0 46.3 43.4 494
4.0 8.3 9.5 27.4 19.6 4.4 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.7 42.2 45.8 492
3.7 8.1 8.9 31.2 23.4 5.3 4.9 2.5 2.5 5.4 39.1 48.1 486
3.4 7.9 8.5 35.2 26.9 6.5 4.7 2.5 2.5 5.1 36.2 50.2 476
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migrat~onper year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net m~gralionrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-lne mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................. . ........... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
20M)
REPUBLIC OF KOREA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
253 0.52 11.2 5.8 -0.1 1.46 0.69
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. . remales ............................................ Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
68 0.14 7.4 5.9 -0.1 0.96 0.45
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years) .................................
47 870 23 940 23930 35.0
48 735 24 321 24414 37.9
49 236 24 509 24727 40.8
49 355 24 496 24858 43.4
49 108 24 292 24816 45.7
48 399 23 847 24552 48.1
47 213 23 153 24060 50.3
45 625 22 254 23372 52.1
43 703 21 194 22508 53.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.36 9.6 5.8
0.21 8.7 6.6
0.05 8.2 7.6
.0.10 7.8 8.6
.0.29 7.0 9.8
Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United
.0.50 6.2 11.1
.0.68 5.8 12.5
.0.86 5.6 14.1
.1.03 5.5 15.7
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or wer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ....................... .......................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 1E23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
785 384 401 95.6
836 408 428 95.4
883 430 453 95.1
926 451 476 94.8
965 469 497 94.4
999 484 515 94.0
1 026 496 530 93.5
1 047 505 542 93.1
1 062 511 550 92.9
9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 10.4 5.3 5.3 9.8 53.4 29.7 313
8.6 16.9 16.3 11.1 7.6 1.4 10.3 4.8 4.9 9.8 52.2 30.6 333
7.9 16.4 15.4 12.8 8.5 1.6 9.9 5.0 4.7 9.2 49.7 31.8 352
7.5 15.3 15.2 14.8 10.0 1.9 9.1 4.7 4.8 '9.0 47.8 33.1 369
7.2 14.5 15.0 17.9 11.7 2.1 8.7 4.4 4.4 9.1 46.8 34.5 385
6.9 13.9 14.2 20.4 14.4 2.5 8.3 4.2 4.2 8.5 46.4 35.7 398
6.5 13.4 13.6 21.8 16.5 3.2 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.2 45.8 36.8 409
6.2 12.9 13.3 22.4 17.6 3.9 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.0 44.9 38.0 417
6.0 12.4 13.0 23.3 18.0 5.1 7.4 3.8 3.9 7.8 44.2 39.1 423
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
C. HtQHVARIANT
Indicator POpUhtbll (thOUMnd0) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................
Perceotage aged 1524 Percentage aged 65 i n Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over .................. Percentage of woman aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
785
844
1170 586
432
463
523
1071 520 551
544
401
469 494
1019 498
1122
412
903 441
963
384
578
603
1216 589 627
1262 611 651
9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 53.4 29.7
9.4 16.8 16.2 11.0 7.5 1.4 51.8 30.2
9.2 16.9 15.1 12.5 8.3 1.6 48.7 31 .O
8.9 16.8 14.7 14.3 9.6 1.8 48.0 31.8
8.5 16.5 14.9 16.9 11.1 2.0 45.1 32.5
8.2 16.1 15.1 19.0 13.4 2.3 45.2 33.0
8.0 15.5 15.0 19.9 15.1 2.9 45.1 33.4
7.9 15.2 14.7 20.1 15.8 3.5 44.8 33.9
7.9 15.0 14.3 20.4 15.7 4.4 44.5 34.3
7.8 15.0 14.0 20.8 15.8 5.0 44.6 34.7
2005-2010 20102015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2o30-2035 M752040 2040-2045 2045-2050 popllationchange per year (huaands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulatkm) Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per wanan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
12 1.45 19.8 5.3 0.0 2.61 1.28
12 1.36 19.2 5.6 0.0 2.64 1.29
12 1.27 18.7 5.9 0.0 2.65 1.30
11 1.13 17.6 6.3
0.0 2.56 1.25
11 1.01 16.9 6.9 ' 0.0 2.48 1.22
10
10
0.92
0.84 16.3 7.9 0.0 2.36 1.16
9 0.79 16.3 8.4 0.0 2.35 1.15
9 0.73 16.1 8.7 0.0 2.35 1.16
16.5 7.4 0.0 2.41 1.18
2040
2045
2050 9w 431 472
D. LOW VARIANT
Popul.tlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......................... Ago dlmlbullon Percentage aged W ....... m e n t a g e aged 514 .. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or Over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
785
829 404
883
934 450
424
443
912 442 470
448
401
890 432 458
927
384
479
9.4 17.4 16.6 10.0 6.9 1.2 53.4 29.7
7.7 17.1 16.5 11.2 7.6 1.4 52.7 30.9
6.7 15.9 15.8 13.1 8.7 1.6 50.9 32.6
6.0 13.7 15.9 15.4 10.4 1.9 49.7 34.5
5.7 12.2 15.0 18.9 12.4 2.2 48.6 36.5
5.4 11.4 13.1 22.0 15.5 2.7 47.7 38.4
420
932
921
485
447 485
440 480
5.0 11.0 11.9 23.9 18.1 3.5 46.4 40.2
4.5 10.4 11.3 25.2 19.8 4.4 44.8 42.1
4.2 9.6 11.1 26.9 20.7 5.8 43.3
44.0
4.0 8.8 10.7 29.0 22.1 7.0 41.7 46.0
20052010 20102015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
popllation change per year (thousands) . popllation growth rate (per cent) ............ crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 1.08 16.1 5.3 0.0 2.1 1 1.03
7 0.81 13.6 5.7 0.0 1.84 0.90
5 0.61 12.4 6.2 0.0 1.65 0.81
4 0.49 11.7 6.9 0.0 1.56 0.76
3 0.34 11.0 7.7 0.0 1.48 0.73
1 0.15 10.1 8.6 0.0 1.41 0.69
- 1 -0.08 9.0 9.6 0.0 1.36 0.67
- 2 -0.24 8.3 10.7 0.0 1.35 0.66
- 3 -0.38 7.9 11.7 0.0 1.35
0.66
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1189 575 614 34.8
1 233 597
~~
Population(thou~ndo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median.age (years) .................................
785
840
384
410
401 29.7
430 30.5
893 435 458 31.4
946 461 485 32.4
998 485 513 33.3
1049 509 540 33.9
1097
1144
532
554
588 34.3
590 34.6
636 34.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude death rate @er 1,WOpopulation) ..
1.34 18.7 5.3
1.23 18.0 5.6
1.15 17.5 6.0
1.07 17.2 6.5
0.99 16.9 7.0
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.91 16.6 7.5
0.83 16.4 8.1
0.77 16.3 8.6
0.73 16.2 8.9
395
ROMANIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribullon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or wer .................. Percentagein school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Populationdensity (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortal~ty rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fie mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
..........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
ROMANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.................. .................. .........
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
21 628 10536 11091
21 346 10378 10967
21 082 10239 10843
20 868 10132 10736
20 556 9979 105T7
20 21 1 9811 10399
19 892 9658 10234
19 608 9524 10084
19 329 9402 9927
4.9 10.7 15.3 19.3 14.8 2.4 50.5 36.7
5.7 10.2 13.4 20.1 14.7 3.0 48.4 38.2
5.9 10.7 10.7 21.7 15.4 3.5 47.5 39.7
5.7 11.7 10.2 23.2 16.9 3.9 44.4 41.3
5.2 11.7 10.8 23.3 18.3 3.7 42.5 42.8
5.1 11.1 11.9 25.7 18.4 4.2 40.3 44.1
5.4 10.5 11.9 27.7 20.5 5.1 39.0 45.5
5.8 10.7 11.2 30.1 22.2 5.7 36.5 45.3
5.9 11.4 10.6 31.2 24.4 5.5 36.4 44.4
. 56 -0.26 11.6 12.4 .1.9 1.55 0.73
. 53 ~0.25 11.9 12.5 .1.9 1.72 0.82
.
D LOW VARIANT
PopulaUon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Popuiationchangeperyear(thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
-136
-167
-0.64
-0.82
8.0 12.5 .1.9 1.05 0.50
6.7 12.9 -1 .9 0.92 0.44
-167 -0.85 5.8 13.3 -1.0 0.87 0.42
-172 .0.91 5.6 13.7 -1 .1 0.92 0.44
-180 .1.00 5.4 14.3 .?.l 0.97 0.46
-191 .1.12 5.2 15.2 .1.2 1.02 0.49
-205 .1.28 4.9 16.4 .1.2 1.07 0.51
-218 .1.45 4.5 17.7 .1.3 1.12 0.54
-227 -1.63 4.3 19.2 .1.4 1.17 0.56
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .................... ....................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
21628 10 536 11M)l 36.7
21139 10 272 10867 38.5
20554 9 968 10587 40.4
19963 9 667 10297 42.6
19290 9 328 9962 44.9
18555 8 960 9596 46.9
17755 8 558 9197 49.0
16882 8 121 8761 51.2
15944 7 660 8284 52.8
-0.46
-0.56
.0.58 8.1 12.9
.0.69 7.3 13.2
.0.78 6.9 13.6
.0.88 6.6 14.3
.1.01 6.3 15.3
.1.14 6.0 16.2
.1.29 5.6 17.3
9.7 12.4
9.0 12.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
.
A ESTIMATES indicator 1950 Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... 102702 Males .............................................. 44 078 Females ............................................... 58 624 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... 75.2 Age dlstribution Percentageaged 0-4............................ 9.8 Percentage aged 5-14........................... 19.1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 21 1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 9.2 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 6.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.9 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 55.3 25.0 Median age (years) ................................. 6 Population density (population per sq km)
.
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
111402 48 826 62 576 78.0
119906 53 472 66 434 80.5
126749 57 261 69 488 82.4
130392 59 368 71 024 83.6
134233 61 362 72 870 84.2
138655 63 888 74 768 85.4
143469 66 597 76 872 86.8
148615 69 656 78 959 88.2
149124 70 010 79 114 88.5
147423 68 948 78 475 87.9
11.3 15.6 19.8 9.1 6.3 10 55.0 26.5 7
11.2 18.7 16.2 9.3 6.3 l0 50.2 27.4 7
9.6 20.3 13.5 10.4 6.6 11 47.4 28.5 7
7.2 19.4 16.9 11.9 7.7 1.2 49.5 30.6 8
7.5 15.8 18.7 13.6 8.9 1.2 50.9 30.8 8
7.7 13.9 17.7 13.5 10.2 1.4 49.1 31.3 8
8.1 14.5 14.7 13.8 9.7 1.5 47.9 32.1 8
7.7 15.2 13.4 15.9 10.0 1.8 45.8 33.2 9
5.4 16.0 14.3 16.5 11.8 2.1 48.7 34.9 9
4.4 13.7 15.9 18.3 12.3 1.8 50.9 36.5 9
.
.
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
..
...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... 143953 Mafes .......................... . ................... 66814 Females .......................................... 77 139 Sex ratio (males per 100 females) 86.6 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ 4.9 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 10.2 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 17.0 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 17.1 13.8 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 2.1 5.6 Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ 3.7 Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... 4.9 Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... 10.5 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 51.7 Median age (years) ................................. 37.3 8 Population density (population per sq km)
...........
140318 64 688 75 630 85.5
136479 62 474 74 005 84.4
132407 60 276 72 131 83.6
128193 58 116 70 077 82.9
123915 56 012 67 903 82.5
119777 54 097 65 680 82.4
115782 52 383 63 399 82.6
111810 50 778 61 032 83.2
5.3 9.7 14.4 17.7 12.6 2.8 5.8 2.8 3.2 9.4 49.2 37.9 8
5.3 10.6 10.7 19.5 13.1 2.8 6.5 3.0 2.8 6.5 46.4 38.8 8
4.9 11.0 10.2 21.9 14.8 3.4 6.6 3.4 3.3 6.0 45.6 40.0 8
4.5 10.6 11.3 23.8 17.1 2.8 6.3 3.4 3.5 6.8 44.7 41.9 8
4.3 9.9 11.8 24.6 18.9 3.4 5.8 3.2 3.4 7.2 43.3 43.8 7
4.5 9.3 11.4 25.7 19.4 4.4 5.4 2.9 3.2 7.0 40.4 45.6 7
4.8 9.3 10.6 27.3 20.2 5.4 5.6 2.8 2.9 6.5 37.2 46.1 7
4.9 9.8 10.0 29.8 21.5 5.9 5.9 2.9 2.9 6.0 36.5 45.5 7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
. . 447
.354
. 385
. 477
. 453
. 304
. 158
. 106
. 114
-0.25 13.4 16.2 0.4 l .76 0.83
-0.28 12.6 15.8 0.4 1.91 0.90
.0.35 11.2 15.1 0.4 l .96 0.93
.0.34 11.2 14.9 0.4 2.01 0.95
.0.23 12.3 15.0 0.4 2.06 0.98
.0.12 13.5 15.1 0.4 2.11 1 .00
-0.08 13.9 15.1 0.4 2.16 1.03
.0.09 13.5 14.7 0.4 2.21 1.05
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
-0.31 12.6 16.1 0.4 1.59 0.75
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... ......................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
. .
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
-1007 -0.71 8.7 16.2 0.4 1.09 0.51
.... ..
.
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
143953 66 814 77 139 37.3
140100 64 576 75 524 38.0
135815 62 133 73 682 38.9
130994 59 550 71 444 40.4
125984 56 982 69 002 42.3
120907 54 468 66 439 44.4
115740 52 025 63 715 46.5
110330 49 585 60 745 47.9
104655 47 108 57 548 48.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.54 10.4 16.2
.0.62 9.9 16.5
.0.72 8.7 16.3
.0.78 7.8 16.0
.0.82 7.5 16.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.87 7.5 16.6
.0.96 7.4 17.4
l 7.0 18.0
.1.14 6.6 18.5
98861 44 607 54 254 48.6
RWAMDA A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populai~on(thousands) Total idales Females Sex ratio (males per l00 females) Age dlstr~butlon Percentage aged G 4 Percentage aged 5 14 Percenlage aged 15 24 Pr-cenrage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Fercenlage aged 80 or over percerlage of womer aged 15-49 Medlan age (years) Populatton denslty (populal~onper sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) Blnhs per year (thousands) .............. Deaths per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . Population growlh rate (per cenl) . . . . . . . . Crude b~rlhrate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertllty (children per woman) ......... Net leproductlon rate (per woman) ......... Ir?!ant morlallfy rate (per 1.000 llve birlhs) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................. Females .......................................
--
"-.L .* ---L --A Y Y L l I Dt-ICD bUIIIUII IGU
........................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Males . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Females . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sex ratici lnlales per 100 females) ......... Age diskibulion Percen:age aged 0-4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percentage aged 5-14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Percenlage aged 15-24 ................... Percenlage aged 60 or over .............. Persen:age aged 65 or over ................. Perccmage aged 80 or over . . . . . . . . . . . Percemage in school ages 6-11 ............ F':,-.centage In school ages 12-14 . . . . . . iclcsnlage In school ages 15-17 . . . . . . . Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Pcrcenlage of women aged 15-49 ........ M ~ c i i a nsge (years) ........................ ?opulatlon density (population per sq km)
Fopulatlon change per year (thousands). Blrths per year (thousands) ................... Deaths per year (thousands) ............... Net rnlgrzllon per year (thousands) ......... Popu lat~angrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude btnh rate (per 1.000 population) .... C r u d s dezth rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net mlgraton rate (per 1,000 population) Total ferttity (cl~lldrenper woman) ........... Net repra~uct~on rate (per woman) ........ Infant rncflality rale (per 1.000 live births) Unde r-five mortality (per 1,000 live blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) M a l e s ......................................... Female. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B o t h sexes comb~ned.......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
RWANDA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2050
2045
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................ Females ........................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 .......................... Percentage aged 5-14 ....................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ............... Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popuiat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 populat~on). Total ferl~llty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
289 2.91 46.2 17.4 0.3 6.17 2.1 1
340 2.95 45.6 16.1 0.0 5.79 2.07
360 2.72 41.4 14.3 0.0 5.31 1.97
345 2.30 35.4 12.5 0.0 4.72 1.82
342 2.04 31.6 11.2 0.0 4.19 1.67
368 1.99 30.3 10.4 0.0 3.79 1.55
408 1.99 29.8 9.9 0.0 3.48 1.46
431 1.91 28.5 9.4 0.0 3.25 1.39
427 1 73 26.1 8.9 00 3.07 1.34
.
D. LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ......................... Percentage agad 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ............... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Median age (years) .............................
Population change per year (thousands) Populat~orlgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per vrornan) ......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
257 2.61 42.8 17.0 0.3 5.67 1.94
279 2.49 40.4 15.5 0.0 4.99 1.78
273 2.17 35.4 13.7 0.0 4.31 1.60
250 1.80 30.1 12.1 0.0 3.72 1.43
230 1.52 26.2 11.0 0.0 3.19 1.27
222 1.37 24.0 10.4 0.0 2.79 1.14
215 1.24 22.4 10.0 0.0 2.48 1.04
198 1.08 20.5 9.7 0.0 2.25 0.96
168 0.87 18.2 9.5 0.0 2.07 0.90
2040
2045
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2050
.
Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males ....................................... Females .................................... Med~anage (years) ..........................
Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
9234 4447 4 787 17.4
10631 5142 5 489 18.1
12373 6005 6 368 17.8
14407 7010 7 397 17.2
16696 8140 8 556 17.2
19309 9429 9 880 17.5
22404 10957 11 447 17.9
26159 12813 13 347 18.0
30708 15061 15 648 17.8
2.82 45.1 17.3
3.04 46.5 16.2
3.04 45.0 14.7
2.95 42.6 13.1
2.91 40.9 11.9
2.97 40.6 11.0
3.10 41.1 10.2
3.21 41.4 9.4
3.25 41.1 8.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
36133 17741 18 392 17.6
SAINT LUClA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
83 41 42 97.2
87 43 43 100.0
90 43 47 92.5
96 46 50 92.4
104 50 54 92.6
110 53 57 93.9
118 58 60 95.7
127 62 65 96.2
138 68 70 96.7
146 72 74 96.6
153 75 78 96.8
14.2 24.9 19.6 5.8 3.8 0.8 49.1 20.7 154
15.0 25.4 19.1 4.8 3.4 0.7 48.0 20.1 161
18.0 26.7 17.6 6.7 4.3 0.6 43.7 17.7 167
18.2 29.2 17.1 6.9 4.5 0.6 41.3 16.4 179
18.5 31.6 16.5 7.0 4.6 0.6 38.7 15.0 193
15.8 30.8 19.0 7.4 4.9 0.6 41.4 16.5 204
14.1 29.7 21.3 7.7 5.1 0.6 43.5 17.5 219
13.1 27.6 21.2 8.0 5.5 0.7 46.2 18.9 235
12.5 24.2 19.9 9.6 7.1 1.3 47.1 21.5 255
11.3 23.4 19.8 9.5 7.1 1.4 49.3 22.5 271
9.3 21.5 19.6 10.0 7.2 1.7 52.7 24.7 283
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
.... ...........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentageaged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .......................... ....... Population density (population per sq km)
...........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
..
2 3 1 0 1.12 19.1 6.6 .1.2 2.18 1.04 13 16
2 3 1 0 1.05 18.0 6.4 .1.1 2.09 1 00 11 14
2 3 1 0 0.91 16.4 6.3 -1.1 2.01 0.97 10 13
1 3 1 0 0.75 14.9 6.4 -1.0 1.94 0.94 9 11
1 3 1 0 0.61 13.8 6.7 .1.0 1.88 0.91 8 10
1 3 1 0 0.52 13.2 7.1 -1 0 1.85 0.90 8 9
1 3 2 0 0.43 12.9 7.7 -1 0 1 85 0.90 7 9
1 3 2 0 0.32 12.5 8.3 .0.9 1.85 0.90 7 8
0 3 2 0 0.19 11.9 9.0 -0.9 1.85 0.90 6 8
71.9 75.6 73.7
72.8 76.7 74.7
73.6 77.6 75.6
74.4 78.4 76.5
75.1 79.2 77.2
75.8 79.9 78.0
76.5 80.6 78.6
77.1 81.2 79.3
77.7 81.8 79.8
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAINT LUClA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
161 79 82
1 72
1 84
85 88
91 94
196 96 100
207 1 02 106
218 107 ill
228 112 116
239 117 122
249 122 127
259 127 132
9.1 18.8 20.3 9.7 7.2 1 .9 55.0 26.1
10.1 16.7 18.8 9.8 7.0 l .6 54.8 27.4
10.0 17.3 16.2 10.3 7.1 1.6 52.4 28.7
9.5 18.2 14.5 11.4 7.7 1.7 50.3 30.0
8.6 17.9 15.2 13.1 8.7 1.7 49.5 31.1
8.2 16.8 16.3 14.6 10.2 l .9 49.2 31.9
8.1 15.6 16.1 16.0 11.5 2.2 47.7 32.3
8.2 15.2 15.1 17.3 12.6 2.7 46.0 32.8
8.1 15.3 14.2 19.1 13.6 3.3 44.8 33.6
7.9 15.4 13.9 20.6 15.2 3.8 44.7 34.4
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ........................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 1.33 21.1 6.6 .1.2 2.43 1 .16
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................... .................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1, 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.91 17.0 6.6 .1.2 1.93 0.93
1 0.72 14.8 6.5 .1.2 1.69 0.81
1 0.52 12.8 6.5 .1.1 1.51 0.73
1 0.38 11.6 6.7 .1.1 1.44 0.70
0 0.23 10.5 7.1 .1.t
1.38 0.67
0 0.08 9.7 7.8 -1 .1 1.35 0.65
0 .0.07 9.0 8.6 .1.1 1.35 0.66
0 .0.23 8.3 9.5 .l.l 1.35 0.66
.1 .0.40 7.7 10.6 .1.1 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Females ............................................. Median age (years) ...................... .........
161 79 82 26.1
171 84 87 27.6
181 89 92 29.2
191 94 97 30.8
200 98 1 02 32.3
209 102 107 33.5
218 107 111 34.1
226 110 115 34.8
233 114 119 35.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1 .16 19.5 6.6
1.15 19.0 6.4
1.06 17.9 6.2
0.96 16.9 6.3
0.87 16.2 6.5
0.80 15.8 6.8
0.73 15.5 7.3
0.65 15.1 7.8
0.57 14.8 8.3
Populatlon (thousands) Total ...................................
...............
Males ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............. .... ..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
119 59
124 62 62 99.6
125 63 63 99.5
125 63 99.3
124 61 62 98.9
121
99.4
122 61 61 99.5
61 98.4
118 58 59 97.6
113 55 57 96.8
106 52 54 95.8
9.9 19.4 21.6 8.9 6.5 1.1 11.4 6.2 6.7 12.9 55.2 24.5 307
9.6 18.0 19.3 9.3 6.5 1.2 10.9 5.1 5.4 11.9 55.8 26.6 315
8.9 17.9 16.2 9.7 7.0 1.2 10.9 5.2 4.7 9.7 53.6 28.8 321
8.0 17.2 15.1 11.1 7.4 1.3 10.4 5.2 5.0 8.7 52.5 31.2 323
7.1 15.9 15.4 14.2 8.7 1.4 9.5 4.9 4.9 9.2 51.6 33.7 323
6.5 14.3 15.0 16.9 11.6 1.7 8.5 4.5 4.6 9.0 49.5 36.1 319
6.2 13.1 13.9 19.7 14.0 1.9 7.8 4.0 4.1 8.4 46.3 38.2 312
6.0 12.4 12.6 23.4 16.4 2.5 7.4 3.7 3.7 7.6 42.6 40.1 303
5.7 12.0 11.5 27.4 19.7 3.9 7.2 3.6 3.5 6.8 40.1 42.2 290
5.3 11.6 10.9 31.4 23.3 4.8 7.0 3.5 3.4 6.4 38.8 44.4 274
60
62
W
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................. .............. Both sexes combined ...........................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.72 22.2 6.8 4.2 2.44 1.16
..
1 0.69 21.6 6.7 4.0 2.50 1.20
1 0.54 19.8 6.6 .7.7 2.52 1.21
0 0.32 17.6 6.8 .7.6 2.45 1.18
0 0.18 16.5 7.2 .7.5 2.38 1.15
0 0.10 16.3 7.9 -7.4 2.35 1.14
0 0.02 16.4 8.8 .7.4 2.35 1.14
.1 .0.95 9.1 9.5 .9.1 1.35 0.65
1 .1.27 8.1 11.1 .9.6 1.35 0.65
0 .0.13 15.9 9.8 .7.4 2.35 1.14
0 .0.31 15.2 10.8 .7.5 2.35 1.14
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.28 17.9 6.8 4.3 1.94 0.93
.l e0.45 11.4 7.4 .8.5 1.45 0.70
0 .0.24 12.9 7.0 4.3 1.52 0.73
0 0.02 15.3 6.8 4.3 1.70 0.82
.l .0.68 10.1 8.3 4.7 1.38 0.67
.
.2 .1.66 7.0 13.3 .10.3 1.35 0.65
.2 .2.13 6.0 16.0 .11.3 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005 Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years.) .................................
p p
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
123 61 62 26.5
126 63 63 28.5
128 64 64 30.6
130 65 65 32.4
1 30 65 65 33.9
130 65 66 34.8
129 64 65 35.9
127 63 64 37.1
124 61 63 38.3
0.38 18.3 6.7
0.22 16.9 7.0
0.09 16.1 7.4
.0.02 15.6 8.2
.0.16 15.2 9.1
.0.33 14.8 10 3
.0.51 14.3 11.4
119 59 60 24.5
p p
0.59 21.0 6.8
pP
P
.
0.52 20.0 6.7
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAMOA A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 fmales) A ~ dlrMbutlon D Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 60 or OVBT .................. Percentageaged 65 or OYBT .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage d ma@ 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. population density (populationper sq km)
1855
1960
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1895
2COO
m
161
177 92 05 108.5 15.5 25.4 18.4 6.5 4.4 0.6 46.8 19.6 63
a2 42 40 106.5
48 46 104.4
110 56 54 102.9
127 64 63 102.2
142 72 70 101.9
150 76 74 103.3
155 79 76 105.1
157 81 75 107.9
77 110.6
168 88 81 108.7
18.1 28.8 18.9 4.0 2.3 0.4 46.8 16.6 29
20.5 27.5 19.4 3.1 2.1 0.2 45.1 15.9 33
19.9 28.8 20.0 2.9 1.7 0.2 44.3 15.6 38
19.5 30.2 19.1 2.8 1.6 0.2 43.0 15.1
17.5 30.2 20.6 2.8 1.6 0.2 44.9 15.8 50
16.1 29.2 22.8 3.2 1.8 0.2 46.5 16.9 53
15.0 26.8 24.0 3.5 2.1 0.2 49.3 18.2 55
16.0 24.2 23.4 4.1 2.5 0.2 50.4 19.2 55
14.4 28.4 22.6 6.0 3.9 0.4 46.6 18.5 57
14.5 24.8 21.3 6.3 4.2 0.5 46.4 19.9 59
1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005
1850-1955 1955-1960 1-1965 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1 ooO pqulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1 OOO population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net repmduction ram (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i Mrlhe) Lifs 0cy Mrth 1-( Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem comMned ............................
..
45
85
2 4 2 2.74 50.9 17.7 7.30 2.66 107
3 5 2 3.10 48.7 15.2 7.30 2.76 97
3 6 2 2.88 47.2 13.1 7.30 2.86 87
3 6 1 2.29 41.6 11.0 6.50 2.63 78
2 6 1 1.10 37.7 9.4 5.70 2.37 68
1 5 1 0.61 34.8 6.3 4.89 2.09 60
43.0 48.6 45.9
45.5 52.1 48.5
48.0 54.6 51.1
50.5 57.1 53.6
53.0 58.6 56.1
0 6
1
1
2 6
1 0.25 36.9 7.6 4.05 2.12 52
6 1 0.55 37.6 6.8 4.82 2.15 44
5 1 0.84 31.1 6.9 4.70 2.11 36
1.07 33.1 6.2 4.66 2.13 30
55.5 62.1 58.7
58.0 64.6 81.2
60.5 67.1 63.7
63.1 69.7 66.0
65.4 71.9 68.4
1
1 5 1 0.71 29.4 5.7 4.42 2.03 26
67.1 73.5 70.0
.
6 MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ................. Sex ralb (males per 1 ........... Age dlrMbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-1 Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or over ............ Percentage in school eges 5 11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in Percentage in Percentage of ..... Median age (ye ..... Populationdenstty (populationper sq km)
2050
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
.
184
192 100 92 108.3
198 103 108.1
204 106 98 108.0
21 1 109 101 107.7
217 112 105 107.4
221 114 107 107.0
222 114 1 07 106.5
219 113 107 106.0
21 5 110 105 105.5
11.7 26.6 20.1 6.6 4.7 0.9 16.0 8.0 7.0 11.6 48.0 20.3 68
10.5 23.3 22.1 7.2 4.8 1 .0 13.7 7.5 7.7 12.7 50.4 21.9 70
10.1 20.3 22.3 8.4 5.3 1.1 12.0 6.3 6.7 13.5 51.5 23.8 72
10.2 18.9 19.4 10.3 6.4 1.2 11.3 5.6 5.7 11.7 50.8 25.8 74
10.0 18.7 16.6 12.2 8.0 1.2 11.4 5.3 5.1 9.9 50.3 27.8 77
9.2 18.8 15.5 13.9 9.7 1.5 11.5 5.4 5.1 9.0 50.3 29.8 78
7.9 18.2 15.8 14.6 11.2 2.0 10.9 5.6 5.3 9.2 49.9 31.6 78
6.8 16.5 16.5 15.4 11.8 2.8 9.7 5.3 5.4 9.7 49.4 33.6 78
6.4 14.4 16.3 17.4 12.4 3.6 8.4 4.7 5.0 9.8 47.2 35.6 76
98 88 108.5 13.9 26.9 18.3 6.5
4.8 0.8 16.7 7.1 6.7 10.2 46.5 19.3 65
85
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousad) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO poprlalkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Ne! reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.OOO l i births) Under-h mortality (per 1 OOO l i births) Ltfe expectancy at blrlh (yam) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
.
406
2 5 1 - 2 0.87 24.7 5.4 -10.6 3.93 1.82 22 27
1 4 1 - 2 0.65 21.9 5.2 -10.2 3.50
20 23
1 4 1 - 2 0.59 21.1 5.2 -9.9 3.15 1.47 17 20
68.5 74.9 71.5
69.8 76.0 72.7
71.0 77.0 73.7
1.63
21.2 5.4 -9.6 2.88 1.35 15 18
1 4 1 - 2 0.59 20.8 5.6 -9.4 2.67 I .25 14 16
1 4 1 - 2 0.38 18.9 6.0 -9.1 2.50 1.18 12 14
0 4 1 - 2 0.07 16.1 6.4 -9.0 2.36 1.11 11 13
0 3 2 - 2 -0.22 13.9 7.0 -9.1 2.25 1.06 10 11
- 1 3 2 - 2 -0.41 12.9 7.7 -9.2 2.15 1.02 10 11
72.0 77.9 74.7
72.9 78.7 75.5
73.7 79.5 76.3
74.5 80.2 77.1
75.2 80.8 77.8
75.8 81.4 78.4
1 4 1 - 2 0.62
United Nations Department of Economicand Social AffiiWopulation Division WO& Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SAMOA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
184 96 88
193 101 93
202 105 97
212 110 102
223 116 108
235 121 113
244 126 118
250 129 121
254 131 123
13.9 26.9 18.3 6.5 4.6 0.8 46.5 19.3
12.4 26.4 19.9 6.6 4.6 0.9 47.6 20.1
11.6 43.6 21.7 7.0 4.7 1.0 49.3 21.4
11.6 21.5 21.4 8. 1 5.1 1.0 49.5 22.8
11.7 20.8 18.9 9.7 6.0 1.1 48.6 24.3
11.3 20.9 17.2 11.3 7.4 1.1 48.3 25.4
10.3 21.0 16.8 12.6 8.8 1.4 49.0 26.4
9.2 20.1 17.5 13.0 10.0 1.8 49.4 27.6
8.6 18.3 17.9 13.3 10.2 2.4 49.6 28.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1,000 population) . Total fert~lity(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 1.02 26.2 5.4 -10.6 4.18 1.94
2 0.91 24.3 5.2 -10.1 3.90 1.82
2 1.01 24.5 5.2 -9.2 3.38 1.58
2 0.96 21.4 5.1 -9.6 3.65 1.71
2 0.97 23.7 5.3 -8.7 3.17 1.49
2 0.76 21.4 5.5 -8.4 3.00 1.41
1 0.50 19.0 5.9 -8.1 2.86 1.35
1 0.34 17.6 6.3 -7.9 2.75 1.30
1 0.28 17.3 6.7 -7.8 2.65 1.25
0 .0.02 16.2 6.4 -10.0 2.00 0.94
.1 .0.38 13.4 7.1 -10.1 1.86 0.88
.1 .0.77 10.7 8.0 -10.4 1.75 0.82
.2 .1.10 8.9 9.0 -10.9 1.65 0.78
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.71 23.1 5.3 -10.7 3.68 1.71
1 0.39 19.4 5.2 -10.4 3.10 1.44
0 0.13 17.8 5.3 -10.2 2.65 1.24
0 0.22 17.8 5.5 -10.1 2.38 1.11
0 0.17 17.7 5.9 -10.0 2.17 1.02
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
184 96 88 19.3
195 101 94 19.9
208 108 100 20.'7
224 116 107 21.6
243 126 117 21.9
264
287 148 138 21.6
31 1 161 150 21.6
338 174 164 22.0
369
137 127 21.8
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.19 27.8 5.4
1.26 27.7 5.2
1.M 28.8 5.0
1.64 30.0 5.0
1.69 29.8 4.9
1.65 28.7 5.0
1.62 27.9 5.0
1.66 27.8 5.1
1.78 28.4 5.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslP'opulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
191 179 22.3
SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
60 33 27 124.9
59 33 26 124.9
64 36 29 125.4
16.3 16.7 18.2 5.8 4.0 0.7 49.9 24.5
16.3 16.7 18.2 5.8 4.0 0.7 50.0 24.5 61
16.2 16.6 18.3 5.8 4.0 0.7 49.9 24.8 67
62
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................. ......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-i4.......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
153 76 77 98.2
165 82 83 98.1
180 89 91 98.2
197 98 100 98.4
21 6 107 109 98.6
234 116 118 98.7
251 125 126 98.8
268 133 135 98.8
282 140 142 98.8
296 147 149 98.7
15.2 26.4 22.8 5.8 4.4 0.6 16.1 7.4 6.8 13.7 48.5 18.7 158
14.2 26.1 21.1 5.3 3.9 0.6 15.9 7.4 7.0 12.2 49.2 19.3 172
13.0 25.1 21.3 5.3 3.5 0.6 15.2 7.3 6.9 12.5 50.8 20.3 187
12.0 23.2 21.3 5.7 3.6 0.7 13.9 6.9 6.8 12.6 53.2 21.9 205
11.2 21.4 20.5 6.2 4.0 0.5 12.9 6.3 6.3 12.3 55.0 23.5 224
10.5 20.1 19.2 6.7 4.5 0.5 12.1 5.9 5.8 11.5 54.8 25.1 242
9.7 19.1 18.0 7.4 5.0 0.6 11.5 5.6 5.5 10.7 53.7 26.8 261
8.9 18.0 17.3 9.2 5.5 0.8 10.8 5.4 5.3 10.3 53.3 28.5 277
8.3 16.9 16.7 11.5 7.1 1 .0 10.1 5.1 5.1 10.0 52.5 30.2 293
7.7 15.8 16.1 13.3 9.1 1.1 9.4 4.8 4.8 9.6 51.3 31.9 307
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) . . . . ................. Males ........................ Females ................................ .. ......... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
SAO TOME AND PR~NCIPE C. HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Tolal .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
153 76 77
167 83 84
184 91 93
206 102 104
228 113 115
251 125 126
275 137 138
299 149 150
323 161 162
15.2 26.4 22.6 5.8 4.4 0.6 48.5 18.7
15.0 25.9 20.9 5.2 3.8 0.6 48.8 19.1
14.2 25.3 20.8 5. l 3.4 0.6 49.6 19.7
13.3 24.3 20.4 5.4 3.4 0.6 51.2 20.8
12.5 23.1 20.1 5.8 3.8 0.5 52.8 22.0
11.8 21.9 19.5 6.2 4.2 0.5 52.7 23.3
11.2 20.9 18.8 6.7 4.5 0.6 52.0 24.5
10.6 20.0 18.1 8.2 50 0.7 51.8 25.8
10.1 19.2 17.5 10.1 6.2 0.9 51.3 27.0
Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 1.79 34.3 7.7 -8.8 4.10 1.80
3 1.96 32.3 7.0 -5.7 3.83 1.70
4 2.20 30.3 6.3 -2.1 3.60 1.61
4 2.06 28.1 5.7 -1.8 3.34 1.51
5 1.94 26.3 5.3 -1.7 3.14 1.44
5 1.82 24.8 5.1 -1.5 2.98 1.37
5 1.68 23.3 5.1 -1.4 2.84 1.32
5
l .54 21.9 5.2 -1.3 2.73 1.27
5 1.41 20.7 5.4 -1.2 2.63 1.24
1 0.60 13.5 5.9 -1.7 1.73 0.81
0.41 12.2 6.5 -1.6 1.63 0.77
366 183 183 21.0
418 209 209 21.2
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 1.42 30.4 7.4 -8.8 3.60 1.58
2 1.39 26.4 6.7 -5.9 3.03 1.34
3 1.52 23.4 6.0 -2.2 2.60 1.17
3 1.41 21.6 5.5 -2.0 2.34 1.06
3 1.26 19.8 5.3 -l .9 2.14 0.98
2 1.05 17.6 5.3 -1.8 1.98 0.91
2 0.81 15.4 5.5 -1.7 1 84 0.85
1
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
153 76 77 18.7
168 83 85 18.9
189 94 95 19.2
216 107 108 19.6
246 122 124 19.9
281 140 141 20.4
32 1 160 161 20.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.95 36.0 7.8
2.29 35.7 7.2
2.66 35.0 6.5
2.66 34.2 5.9
2.65 33.4 5.4
United Nations Department of Economic ;and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.65 33.0 5.2
2.65 32.6 5.0
2 64 32.3 4.9
2.63 32.0 4.9
477 238 238 21.3
SAUDI ARABIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total ........................................... Males .............................................. Females ............................................ Sex ratto (males per 100 females) .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ....................... Percentage aged 5-14 ................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ........ Med~anage (years) .............................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Populallon change per year (thousands) Blrths per year (thousands)................ Deaths per year (thousands) ................ Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ........ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fert~l~ty (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ........................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................ Females ...................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................ Percentage aged 5-14 ......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ..................... Percentage aged 60 or over ................ Percentage aged 65 or over ................ Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ........... Percentage in school ages 12-14 ......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage In school ages 18-23 ........ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ....... Median age (years) ........................... Populat~on dens~ty(population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Z!035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatior,change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands).................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................. Net migration per year (thousands) ....... Population growth rate (per cent) .......... Crude btrth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fenil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ....... Net reproduction rate (per woman) . . . . . . . Infant mortaltty rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 ltve blrths) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .......................................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .........................
561 622 92 30 2.24 24.9 3.7 1.2 3.35 1.61 19 22
570 641 101 30 2 05 23.0 3.6 11 2.98 1.43 16 19
565 649 114 30 1.84 21.1 3.7 1.0 2.69 1.29 14 16
542 643 131 30 1.62 19.2 3.9 0.9 2.44 1.18 13 14
503 628 155 30 1.40 17.4 4.3 0.8 2.24 1.08 11 12
455 610 185 30 1.19 15.9 4.8 0.8 2.06 1.00 10 11
401 590 21 9 30 0.99 14.5 5.4 0.7 l .91 0.93 9 10
360 587 257 30 0.85 13.8 6.1 0.7 1.85 0.90 9 10
327 594 297 30 0.74 13.4 6.7 0.7 1.85 0.90 8 9
70.9 75.3 72.8
71.9 76.3 73.8
72.8 77.3 74 7
73.7 78.2 75.5
74.5 79.0 76.3
75.2 79.7 77.0
75.9 80.4 77.7
76.5 81.0 78.4
77.1 81.6 79.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
SAUDI ARABIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
23 612 13 046 10567
26 643 14 556 12088
29 914 16 179 13735
33 332 17 866 15468
36 694 19 511 17183
39 950 21 084 18866
43 110 22 585 20525
46 180 24 021 22159
12.0 22.5 18.5 4.2 2.8 0.4 52.9 23.3
12.3 20.7 18.6 4.5 2.9 0.4 54.4 24.1
11.9 20.3 17.7 5.3 3.2 0.5 54.2 25.1
11.4 20.4 16.5 6.4 39 0.5 53.2 26.0
10.4 19.9 16.5 8.0 4.8 0.6 53.0 27.0
9.6 18.9 16 9 9.9 6.2 0.7 52.6 27.9
9.1 17.7 16.9 11.6 7.7 0.9 52.7 28.9
8.6 16.7 16.3 13.3 9.0 1.3 52.0 30.0
606 2.42 26.6 3.7 12 3.60 1.72
654 2.32 25.7 3.6 1.1 3.38 1.63
684 2.16 24.3 3.7 0.9 3.19 1.54
672 1.92 22.2 3.8 0.9 2.94 1.42
651 1.70 20.3 4 .l 0.8 2.74 1.32
632 1.52 19.0 4.5 0.7 2.56 1.24
614 1.38 18.1 5.0 07 2.41 1.17
611 1.28 17.6 5.5 06 2 35 1.14
61 1 1.20 17.4 5.9 0.6 2.35 1.14
D. LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
23 612 13046 l0567
26 189 14326 11863
28 616 15523 13093
30 847 16609 14238
32 903 17593 15310
34 697 18425 16272
36 151 19062 17089
37 214 19481 17733
37 961 19724 18236
12.0 22.5 18.5 4.2 2.8 0.4 52.9 23.3
10.8 21 .0 18.9 4.6 3.0 0.4 55.4 24.6
9.5 19.6 18.5 5.6 3.4 0.5 56.9 26.3
8.4 17.8 17.8 7.0 4.2 0.5 57.8 28.2
7.6 16.0 17.0 9.0 5.4 0.6 58.0 30.2
6.8 14.6 15.8 11.4 7.1 08 57.1 32.1
6.1 13.4 14.6 13.8 92 11 56.1 34.2
5.3 12.2 13.6 16 5 11 2 l .6 54.4 36.4
4.9 10.9 12.8 18.6 13 5 2.2 52.2 38 5
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Tolal fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
515 2.07 23.1 3.6 1.2 3.10 1.49
485 1.77 20.2 3.6 1.1 2.58 1.24
446 1.50 17.8 3.8 1.0 2.19 1.05
41 1 1.29 16.0 4.1 0.9 1.94 0.94
359 1.06 14.3 4.5 0.9 1.74 0.84
291 0.82 12.5 5.2 0.8 1.56 0.76
21 3 0.58 10 9 59 0.8 1.41 0.69
149 0.40 9.9 6.8 0.8 1.35 0 66
98 0.26 9.4 77 0.8 1.35 0.66
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
23 612 13 046 10 567 23.3
26 796 14 633 12 163 24.0
30 448 16 449 13 999 24.6
34 510 18 462 16 048 25 0
38 906 20 631 18 276 25.1
43 630 22 947 20 683 24.9
48 749 25 442 23 307 25.1
54 369 28 170 26 199 25.3
60 586 31 187 29 400 25.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.53 27.8 3.7
2.56 28.1 3.6
2.51 27.7 3.6
2.40 26.9 3.7
2.29 26.1 3.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiwlPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.22 25.7 4.2
2.18 25.6 44
2.17 25.8 4.7
2.15 25.8 4.8
SENEGAL
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
l985
1990
1995
2000
2543 1 272 1 271 100.1
2865 1 440 1 425 101.1
3277 1 655 1 622 102.0
3777 1 914 1 862 102.8
4402 2 242 2 160 103.8
5118 2 611 2 508 104.1
5871 2 981 2 890 103.2
6796 3 439 3 357 102.4
7896 3 984 3 912 101.8
9054 4 546 4 508 100.9
10334 5 168 5 166 100.0
16.9 24.7 18.9 5.5 3.4 0.3 47.1 19.2 13
16.7 24.5 19.0 5.5 3.6 0.4 47.3 19.4 15
17.4 24.2 18.6 5.5 3.6 0.5 46.9 19.3 17
17.7 24.5 18.2 5.4 3.5 0.6 46.2 19.0 19
17.6 25.2 17.8 5.4 3.5 0.6 45.5 18.8 22
17.7 25.5 17.8 5.4 3.5 0.6 45.1 18.5 26
18.0 26.1 18.2 5.4 3.5 0.6 44.4 18.0 30
18.2 26.6 18.4 5.5 3.6 0.6 43.8 17.6 35
18.0 27.1 18.7 5.7 3.7 0.6 43.7 17.4 40
17.1 27.6 19.3 5.9 3.9 0.6 44.2 17.5 46
16.4 27.2 20.0 6.1 4.1 0.7 45.5 17.9 53
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
11770 5866 5 905 99.3
13311 6615 6 696 98.8
14878 7376 7 502 98.3
16442 8135 8 307 97.9
17999 8689 9 109 97.6
19554 9642 9 912 97.3
16.0 26.2 20.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 16.0 7.3 6.9 12.0 47.0 18.5 60
15.1 25.7 20.5 6.2 4.3 0.8 15.8 7.1 6.7 12.1 48.3 19.2 68
13.9 25.1 20.2 6.2 4.4 0.9 15.4 7.1 6.6 11.8 49.6 20.2 76
12.7 23.9 20.3 6.4 4.4 0.9 14.5 7.0 6.6 11.9 51.3 21.3 84
11.7 22.4 20.4 6.7 4.6 1 .0 13.5 6.6 6.5 12.1 52.8 22.7 91
11.0 20.9 19.8 7.3 4.9 1 .0 12.6 6.2 6.1 11.8 53.6 24.2 99
2035
2040
2045
2050
21097 10388 10 709 97.0
22588 11107 1 1 481 96.7
23985 11779 12 206 96.5
25257 12387 12 870 96.2
10.3 19.7 18.8 8.1 5.4 10 11.9 5.8 5.7 11.2 53.7 25.7 1 07
9.6 18.7 17.8 9.2 6.1 11 11.3 5.5 5.4 10.6 53.2 27.3 115
9.0 17.8 17.1 10.5 7.0 1.2 10.7 5.3 5.2 10.2 52.7 28.8 122
6.3 16.8 16.5 12.1 8.2 1.4 10.1 5.1 5.0 9.9 52.0 30.3 1 28
.
.
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
SENEGAL
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................................... Females ......................................... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 1 770 5 866 5 905
13 418 6 669 6 749
15 184 7 531 7 653
17 031 8 432 8 599
18 915 9 351 9 564
20 861 10 301 10 561
22 889 1 1 291 1 1 599
24 984 12 314 12 670
27 098 13 346 13 752
16.0 26.2 20.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 47.0 18.5
15.8 25.5 20.4 6.1 4.3 0.8 47.9 19.1
14.9 25.3 19.8 6.1 4.3 0.9 46.7 19.7
14.0 24.9 19.6 6.1 4.3 0.9 49.5 20.4
12.9 23.8 19.9 6.4 4.4 0.9 50.8 21.4
12.2 22.5 19.9 6.8 4.6 0.9 51.7 22.6
11.7 21.3 19.4 7.5 5.0 0.9 52.0 23.8
11.2 20.4 18.5 8.3 5.5 10 51.7 24.9
10.6 19.8 17.7 9.3 6.2 1.1 51.4 26.1
~
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
330 2.62 36.9 9.1 -1.6 4.94 2.07
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
287 2.30 33.4 8.9 -l .6 4.44
1.86
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ........................ . ........................ Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
11770 5866 5905 18.5
13531 6726 6805 18.9
15630 7756 7874 19.0
18078 8960 9118 18.9
20905 10354 10550 18.8
24181 11974 12207 18.9
28014 13873 14141 19.1
32521 16110 16410 19.2
37814 18743 19071 19.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.79 38.7 9.3
2.88 39.0 8.8
2.91 38.5 8.3
2.91 37.8 7.7
2.91 37.2 7.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.94 37.0 6.9
2.98 37.0 6.6
3.02 37.0 6.3
3.04 36.9 6.1
SERBIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined .................... ......
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................... .. ............... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... . ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage a g d 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
30 0.30 14.5 11.5 0.0 2.04 0.96
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged M ) or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.5 .0.05 11 .1 11.6 0.0 1.54 0.73
. 18 .0.19 10.2 12.0 0.0 1.44 0.68
. 30 .0.31 9.2 12.3 0.0 1.35 0.64
. 34 .0.36 8.8 12.4 0.0 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
9 863 4 878 4 985 36.6
9 908 4 904 5 004 37.4
9 919 4 915 5 004 38.3
9 889 4 905 4 985 39.5
9 828 4 877 4 951 40.8
9 750 4 840 4 910 42.0
9 659 4 796 4 863 43.0
9 547 4 743 4 804 43.6
9 41 1 4 681 4 730 44.0
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.09 12.5 11.6
0.02 12.1 11.9
.O.M 11.4 12.0
.0.12 10.7 12.0
.0.16 10.4 12.0
.0.19 10.4 12.2
.0.23 10.3 12.6
.0.29 10.0 12.9
.0.34 9.7 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
SIERRA LEONE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... ...... Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. 120 Births per year (thousands) ..................... 272 Deaths per year (thousands) ................... 130 Net migration per year (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . 22 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. 2.04 Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... 46.2 Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. 22.1 Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . 4.8 Total fertility (children per woman) ........... 6.47 Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... 2.03 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 160 Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) 278 Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. . ............... 41.0 Females ...................... . . . ............. 44.2 Both sexes combined ............................ 42.6
149 292 1 36 .8 2.27 44.6 20.7 .1.2 6.16 1.99 155 266
164 312 141 .8 2.23 42.5 19.2 .1.1 5.74 1.91 148 251
178 331 1 44 .8 2.18 40.4 17.6 -1.0 5.27 1.82 141 235
191 345 146 .8 2.09 37.8 16.0 .0.9 4.77 1.71 133 21 8
1 97 351 146 .8 1.95 34.8 14.5 .0.8 4.26 1.57 125 202
196 351 145 .8 1.79 31.7 13.1 .0.7 3.78 1.44 117 185
1 97 349 144 8 1.63 28.9 12.0 .0.7 3.38 1.32 110 169
195 346 143 .8 1.50 26.5 11.0 .0.6 3.06 1.23 102 153
42.3 45.5 43.9
43.7 47.0 45.4
45.3 48.8 47.1
47.1 50.8 48.9
48.9 52.8 50.8
50.8 54.8 52.8
52.8 56.8 54.8
54.8 58.8 56.8
a
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
SIERRA LEONE C. HIGHVARIANT indicator PopuWon (WlouMnd.) Total .................................................... Females ................................ Age dl8lrlbuth Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Peccentagedwwnenaged15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5588 2 750 2836
6 190 3050 3 140
6999 3453 3546
7 921 3911 4 010
8934 4 414 4520
10 a35 4960 5 075
11 218 5540 5 671
12 471 6 167 6304
13 783 6 817 6966
15 146 7 492 7654
17.4 25.4 18.9 5.5 3.3 0.2 45.8 18.5
17.3 25.8 19.0 5.4 3.3 0.3 45.0 18.4
17.6 25.8 18.9 5.2 3.2 0.3 45.5 18.2
17.3 26.1 19.1 5.1 3.2 0.3 45.5 18.2
16.6 26.4 19.2 5.1 3.2 0.3 46.1 18.4
15.9 26.1 19.7 5.2 3.2 0.3 47.2 18.8
15.1 25.4 20.2 5.3 3.4 0.3 48.5 19.4
14.3 24.6 20.3 5.4 3.4 0.3 49.6 20.2
13.5 23.7 20.0 5.7 3.6 0.4 50.7 21.2
12.8 22.8 19.7 6.2 3.8 0.4 51.5 22.2
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rale (per 1,ooO population) .. Net migration rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductinrate (per woman) ..........
121 2.05 46.3 22.1 -3.8 6.50 2.04
162 2.46 46.8 21.1 -1.2 6.50 2.10
185 2.48 45.5 19.7 -1.1 6.24 2.08
202 2.41 43.0 18.0 -0.9 5.77 1.99
220
236
2.33 40.4 16.3 -0.0 5.27 1.88
2.23 37.8 14.8 -0.8 4.76 1.70
251 2.12 35.2 13.4 -0.7 4.28 1.63
2.00 32.7 12.1 -0.6 3.88 1.52
273 1.89 30.5 11.1 -0.6 3.56 1.43
262
0. LOWVARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5586 2 750 2836
6144 3027 3116
6815 3361 3454
7530 3 716 3 814
8299 4 097 4202
9094 4490 4604
9873 4875 4998
10607 5237 5370
11286 5570 5716
11 911 5 876 6035
17.4 25.4 18.9 5.5 3.3 0.2 45.8 18.5
16.7 26.0 19.2 5.4 3.3 0.3 46.0 18.6
16.0 25.9 19.4 5.3 3.3 0.3 46:7 18.8
15.3 25.2 20.1 5.4 3.3 0.3 47.9 19.4
14.7 24.5 20.2 5.5 3.4 0.3 49.1 20.1
13.9 23.9 19.9 5.8 3.6 0.3 50.2 20.9
12.8 23.2 19.7 8.0 3.8 0.3 51.4 22.0
11.6 22.1 19.7 6.4 4.0 0.4 52.6 23.2
10.5 20.7 19.7 7.0 4.4 0.4 54.0 24.6
9.6 19.2 19.2 7.9 4.9 0.5 54.8 26.2
P o p u l d O f l (thouMndS)
Total ....................................................
.................................
Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of w ~ e aged n 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populatm change per year (thousands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude tnrth rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,ooOpopulat!m) .. Net migration rale (per 1,ooOpopulation) . Total feftility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
111 1.90 44.5 21.8 -3.8 6.22 1.95
134 2.08 42.2 20.2 -1.2 5.76 1.86
143 1.99 39.7 18.7 -1. l 5.24 1.75
154 1.95 37.7 17.2 -1.o 4.77 1.65
159 1.83 34.9 15.7 -0.9 4.27 1.53
158 1.64 31.5 14.2 -0.8 3.76 1.39
147 1.43 28.0 12.9 -0.8 3.28 1.25
136 1.24 25.0 11.8 -0.7 2.88 1.13
125 1.08 22.5 11.0 -0.7 2.56 1.03
E. CONSTANT-FERTILTTY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 586 2750 2836 18.5
6 205 3058 3147 18.3
7 017 3461 3555 18.1
7 986 3943 4043 18.0
9 152 4523 4629 17.8
10 558 5221 5337 17.6
12 258 6oBB 6192 17.4
14 319 7092 7228 17.2
16 827 8340 8487 17.1
19 885 9865 10020 16.9
POpulWlOfl (thouMfldS)
Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationgrowlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... CRlde death rate (per 1,ooO population) ..
2.10 46.9 22.2
2.46 46.9 21.1
2.59 46.8 19.9
2.73 46.7 18.0
2.86 46.6 17.2
United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.99 46.4 15.9
3.11 46.2 14.6
3.23 46.0 13.3
3.34 45.9 12.1
417
SINGAPORE
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ....................... ................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
. .
4 327 2 178 2 150 101.3
4 592 2 309 2 283 101.1
4 809 2 414 2 395 100.8
4 965 2 488 2 477 100.4
5 104 2 552 2 552 100.0
5 202 2 594 2 607 99.5
5 234 2 603 2 630 99.0
5 199 2 580 2 619 98.5
5 121 2 537 2 584 98.2
5.0 14.5 12.7 12.3 8.5 1.5 8.6 4.7 4.1 7.4 53.8 37.5 6 336
4.0 11.5 14.3 16.0 10.1 2.0 6.5 4.1 4.7 8.4 51 .0 40.6 6 723
3.9 8.9 14.1 20.8 13.5 2.5 5.0 3.1 3.7 9.0 47.1 43.4 7 040
4.2 7.9 11.3 26.4 17.8 3.2 4.6 2.4 2.8 7.1 42.8 45.7 7 269
4.4 8.0 8.6 31.6 22.8 4.0 4.9 2.3 2.3 5.4 39.5 47.2 7 473
4.3 8.6 7.9 35.4 27.4 5.7 5.3 2.5 2.4 4.7 37.6 48.3 7 616
3.9 8.9 8.2 37.6 30.8 8.1 5.4 2.7 2.6 4.8 36.5 49.5 7 663
3.5 8.6 9.0 38.3 32.5 10.9 5.0 2.8 2.8 5.4 35.5 50.8 7 612
3.4 7.8 9.6 38.9 32.8 13.4 4.5 2.6 2.8 5.8 33.5 52.3 7 497
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
C. HIGHVARIANT
IndiCatOr Popuktion (thuundr) Total .................................................... Makn, ...................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2MO
2045
2050
4327 2178 2150
4628 2326 2300
4800 2461 2439
5135 2576 2559
5355 2682 2673
5525 2762 2763
5627 2807 2820
5676 2827 2849
5705 2839 2866
5 739 2858 2880
12.3 8.5 1.5 53.8 37.5
4.8 11.4 14.2 15.8 10.1 2.0 50.7 40.4
5.0 9.4 13.9 20.4 13.2 2.5 46.3 42.7
5.6 9.4 10.9 25.5 17.2 3.1 41.4 44.3
5.7 10.2 9.1 30.1 21.7 3.8 38.3 45.1
5.4 11.0 9.1 33.4 25.8 5.4 37.1 45.7
4.9 11.0 10.1 34.9 28.6 7.6 36.9 46.6
4.7 10.4 11.1 35.1 29.7 10.0 36.8 47.7
5.0 9.7 11.3 34.9 29.4 12.0 35.6 46.6
5.5 9.8 10.6 34.9 28.8 13.0 34.9 48.4
5-14 ....................
Percentage aged 60 or m r .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median. age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populalii change per year (t-). populationgfmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rale (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO populalhm) . Total feftillty (children per wanen) ........... Net reproduction rale (per woman)
60 1.34 9.7 52 8.9 1.51 0.72
55 1.15 10.2 6.0 7.3 1.69 0.81
47 0.94 11.3 7.0 5.0 1.a4 0.88
44 0.84 11.6 8.0 4.8 1 .a9
0.90
34 0.63 10.9 9.2 4.8 1.94 0.93
20 0.37 9.8 10.6 4.5 1.99 0.95
10 0.17 9.4 12.0 4.4 2.04 0.98
6 0.10 10.0 13.3 4.4 2.09 1 .a3
7 0.12 11.0 14.2 4.4 2.14 1.02
0. LOW VARIANT
Populdlon (thouundr) Total ....................................................
..........................
5-14 ................ Percenw aged 60 or m r .................. Percentaga aged 65 or Over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of womeo aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2WO
2045
2050
4327 2178 2150
4557 2291 2267
4717 2367 2350
4795 2400 2395
4854 2422 2431
4876 2428 2450
4842 2401 2441
4741 2343 2398
4566 2260 2326
4399 2 166 2 234
5.0 14.5 12.7 12.3 8.5 1.5 53.8 37.5
3.3 11.6 14.4 16.1 10.2 2.0 51.4 40.8
2.8 8.3 14.4 21.2 13.7 2.6 48.0 44.0
2.7 6.2 11.7 27.4 18.4 3.3 44.2 46.9
3.0 5.7 8.6 33.2 23.9 4.2 40.7 49.3
3.1 5.9 6.5 37.8 29.2 6.1 38.2 51.O
2.8 6.4 6.1 40.8 33.3 8.8 35.9 52.6
2.4 6.4 6.6 42.0 35.6 12.0 33.7 54.1
2.2 5.8 7.3 43.4 36.6 15.0 30.5 55.7
2.2 5.2 7.4 45.5 37.5 16.9 28.0 57.6
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 20202025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populatbnchange per year (lkmards). PopulatiMlgnmlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rale (per 1.OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO poprlation) Net migration rate (per 1.OOO populath) Total krtility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.
46 1.04 6.6 5.3 9.0 1.01 0.48
32 0.69 5.5 6.2 7.5 0.89 0.42
16 0.33 5.4 7.3 5.3 0.84 0.40
12 0.24 5.9 8.7 5.2 0.89 0.42
5 0.09 6.1 10.3 5.1 0.94 0.45
- 7 -0.14 5.6 12.1 5.1 0.99 0.47
-20 -0.42 4.7 14.2 5.2 1.04 0.50
-
-
31 -0.67 4.2 16.2 5.4 1.09 0.52
37 -0.83 4.1 18.0 5.6 1.14 0.54
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
P0pUM)On (thOU.MdB) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... FM~S
............................................... .................................
Median age (years)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
4327 2178 2150 37.5
4605 2315 2289 40.6
4831 2426 2406 43.2
4991 2501 2490 45.5
5124 2562 2562 47.0
5204 2595 2808 48.3
5214 2593 2821 49.6
5160 2559 2600 51.O
5080
4935 2442 2492 54.3
2505 2554 52.7
20052010 201&2015 2015-2020 20202025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO populalim) ..
1.24 8.7 5.3
0.96 8.3 6.1
0.65 8.5 7.1
0.53 8.6 8.3
0.31 8.0 9.7
United Nations Department of Eanomic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Populerron Prospects: The 2005 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.04 6.9 11.3
-0.21 6.2 13.1
-0.39 6.0 14.8
-0.50 6.2 16.2
419
SLOVAKIA
A ESTIMATES lndlcetor Populatlon (moursndr) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
Aw dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage a m 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OVBT Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populaticmdensity (population per eq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
3 463 1681 1782 94.4
3 798 1849 1950 94.8
4 145 2023 2122 95.4
4 362 2135 2226 95.9
4 528 2235 2294 97.4
4 735 2336 2400 97.3
4 976 2446 2531 96.6
5 140 2525 2618 96.5
5 256 2570 2686 95.7
5 364 2612 2751 94.9
5 388 2 618 2 769 94.6
11.0 17.9 17.0 9.9 6.7 0.9 51.7 27.3 71
12.8 18.5 15.8 9.8
11.5 21.1 14.9 10.5 6.7 1 .o 46.1 28.8 85
9.8 21 .a 15.8 11.7 7.5 t .l 45.6 26.9
8.4 18.8 18.4 14.0 9.2 1.1 49.7 20.3 92
9.5 16.7 18.9 13.8 9.6 1.2 49.9 28.1 97
9.7 16.5 16.9 13.4 10.4 1.5 48.5 29.0 101
8.9 17.8 15.2 13.7 8.9 1.7 48.4 29.9 105
7.8 17.5 15.2 14.8 10.3 2.0 49.0 31.3 1 07
6.7 15.9 16.9 15.1 10.9 2.1 51.1 32.5 109
6.6
0.9 48.5 28.9 77
89
5.3 14.2 17.1 15.4 11.4 1.8 52.3 34.0 110.
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952OOO 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Pqxrlation g r w h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .... Ctude death rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reprodocticm rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (pet 1 ,OOO live births) Lira expectmcy a Mtth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sems combined ............................
67 100 39 1.85 27.4 10.7 3.52 1.53 73
69 97 35 1.75 24.3 8.7 3.27 1.50 39
43 87 34 1.02 20.5 8.0 2.89 1.35 27
33 80 38 0.75 16.0 8.5 2.50 1.17 26
82.4 66.2 64.3
66.1 70.7 68.5
68.3 73.0 70.7
67.8 73.3 70.6
41 91 49 0.89
19.7 10.6 2.51 1.22 24 66.8 73.5 70.0
22
33 92 56 0.65 18.2 11.0 2.28 1.11 18
23 85 55 0.45 16.3 10.5 2.15 1.04 14
22 73 53 0.41 13.7 10.0 1.87 0.90 12
53 0.09 10.8 9.9 1.40 0.68 9
66.9 74.2 70.4
66.8 74.7 70.6
67.1 75.2 71.0
87.8 76.2 72.1
68.7 76.9 72.8
48 100 51 0.99 20.6 10.4 2.47 1.20
5
0
58
52 53 0.00 9.7 9.8
1 .n
0.59 7
69.8 77.8 73.8
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
Population (thouundr) Total .................................................... Males ....... Females ................. Sex ratio (males per 1 Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged W . Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in achod ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 Percentage in s c h d ages 15-17 Percentage in school a w 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. popllation density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
5 387 2 814 2 773 94.2
5398 2 615 2 781 94.0
5392 2611 2 781 93.9
5366 2596 2770 93.7
5308 2565 2743 93.5
5 217 2 518 2 m1 93.2
5100 2456 2644 92.9
4966 2389 2577 92.7
4820 2318 2502 92.6
4664 2 242 2 422 92.6
4.8 12.0 15.8 16.1 11.7 2.4 8.9 4.1 4.4 9.6 51.8 35.6 110
4.9 10.1 14.2 17.7 12.3 2.8 5.9 3.3 3.8 8.7 50.8 37.4 110
4.8 9.8 12.0 20.5 13.8 3.0 5.9 2.9 3.1 7.5 48.8 39.4 110
4.6 9.8 10.2 23.0 16.4 3.2 5.9 3.0 2.9 6.2 47.1 41.6 109
4.3 9.5 9.9 25.1 18.7 3.5 5.7 3.0 3.0 5.9
4.0 9.1 10.1 26.7 20.5 4.4 5.3 2.9 3.0 6.2 41.8 45.9 108
3.9 8.5 10.0 29.3 21 .8 5.7 5.0 2.7 2.9 6.1 38.9 47.8 104
4.0 8.2 9.8 32.8 24.0 8.8 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.8 36.5 49.4 101
4.1 8.2 9.1 35.5 27.0 7.4 4.9 2.5 2.6 5.5 34.7 50.6
4.1 8.5 8.8 37.6 29.6 7.9 5.1 2.5 2.6 5.3 34.1 51 .O 95
44.7
43.8 108
ge
2oo5-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 ~ 2 0 3 5 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migratm per year (thousands)......... Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OWpopulatation) Crude death rate (per 1,OWpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .OOO population) . Total feriility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) Infant rortality rate (per 1 ,OOO live births) Under-hve mortality (per 1,OWlive births) L b axpaclancyal birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... 80th sexes combined ............................
....
..........
420
2 54 54 2 0.03 10.0 10.0 0.4 1.25
-
-
7 8
2 -0.02 9.7 10.2 0.4 1.28 0.62 6 8
-5 49 57 2 -0.10 9.2 10.5 0.4 1.33 0.64 6 7
45 59 2 -0.22 8.5 11.0 0.4 1.38 0.68 5 7
18 42 62 2 -0.35 7.9 11.8 0.4 1.43 0.69 5 6
70.7 78.5 74.7
71.8 79.3 75.6
72.7 80.0 76.4
73.6 80.7 77.2
74.4 81.3 77.9
0.80
- 1 52
55
11
-
-
2 -0.46 7.7 12.7 0.4 1.48 0.71 5 6
27 40 68 2 -0.53 7.9 13.6 0.4 1.53 0.74 5 6
-29 40 71 2 -0.80 8.1 14.4 0.4 1.58 0.76 4 6
31 39 72 2 -0.66 8.2 15.1 0.4 1.83 0.79 4 5
75.1 81.9 78.5
75.8 82.4 79.2
76.4 83.0 79.7
77.1 83.5 80.3
-23 40
65
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SLOVAKIA C. HKiHVARLANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
.................
5387 2 014 2T13
5449 2 842 2807
5525 2 078 2848
5588 2 710 2878
5808 2 719 2889
5594 2 710 2884
5570 2 097 2073
5553 2 890 2863
5541 2 888 2053
5523 2683 2840
Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ....... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Petcentage aged 60 w over Percentage aged 65 or WLK .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of woman agmd 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
4.8 12.0 15.0 10.1 11.7 2.4 51.0 35.0
5.9 10.0 14.0 17.0 12.2 2.0 50.1 37.1
6.2 10.5 11.7 20.0 13.5 2.9 47.7 38.6
0.0 11.8 9.8 22.1 15.7 3.0 45.3 40.4
5.4 12.0 10.4 23.8 17.7 3.3 43.4 42.1
5.1 11.4 11.0 24.9 19.1 4.1 41.2 43.0
5.2 10.6 12.2 26.0 20.0 5.2 39.5 44.8
5.7 10.4 11.0 29.2 21.5 0.0 37.9 45.3
0.0 11.0 10.7
6.0 11.7 10.5 31.0 25.0 0.0 37.1 43.3
Populotlon (thoumndo) Total .................................................... M a k ...................................................
..................
30.0 23.5 6.5 36.8 44.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 ZLl3I-2035 2035-2040 20402045 20452050 Population change per year (thwsands). Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate @er 1,OW population).... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OOO population) . Total fertility (children per woman)
...........
Net repmducth rate (per woman) ..........
12 0.23 11.9 10.0 0.4 1.50 0.72
15 0.28 12.5 10.1 0.4 1.88 0.81
13 0.23 12.1 10.2 0.4 1.83
0.88
4 0.07 10.9 10.5 0.4 1.88 0.90
- 3 -0.05 10.2 11.1 0.4 1.93
- 5 -0.09 10.5 11.7 0.4 1.98
- 3 -0.00 11.4 12.4 0.4 2.03
0.98
- 2 -0.04 12.0 12.8 0.4 2.08 1.00
- 4 -0.07 12.0 13.0 0.4 2.13 1.03
0.93
0.95
D. LOWVARIANT
Populotlon (thouund8) Total .................................................... Males ...................................................
..................
Percentage aged 60 w over Percentage aged 65 w over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of wanen aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 -
5 387 2 014 2 773
5343 2588 2 755
5 258 2 542 2 710
5 141 2 481 2660
5004 2409 2595
4839 2 517
4846 2223 2423
4426 2112 2314
4104 1991 2193
3928 1865 2063
4.0 12.0 15.0 10.1 11.7 2.4 51.0 35.0
4.0 10.2 14.3 17.9 12.5 2.0 51.1 37.7
3.4 9.0 12.3 21.o 14.2 3.1 50.0 40.1
3.0 7.0 10.7 24.1 17.1 3.3 49.0 42.8
2.9 0.7 9.5 26.0 19.0 3.7 46.3 45.5
2.0 6.2 8.2 28.0 22.1 4.7 42.1 48.0
2.6 0.1 7.3 32.1 23.9 0.3 37.9 50.5
2.5 5.0 0.9 36.0 26.9 7.0 34.2 52.8
2.4 5.0 6.0 40.0 31.1 0.0 31.2 55.1
2.3 5.4
2322
0.6
44.7 35.2 9.3 29.3 57.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (percent) ............ Crude Mrth rate @er 1 ,OW population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,OW population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,OW popula(i0n) . Total Fectillty (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate ( p e r m ) ..........
....
- 9 -0.17 0.0 10.0 0.4 1.00
0.48
-
17 -0.32 0.0 10.4 0.4 0.88 0.42
-23 4.45 0.0 10.9 0.4 0.83 0.40
-
27 -0.54 5.8 11.0 0.4
0.88 0.42
-33 -0.07 5.5 12.0 0.4 0.93 0.45
-39 -0.82 5.2 13.8 0.4 0.H 0.47
-44 -0.97 4.9 15.1 0.4 1.a3 0.50
-
-48 -1.12 4.7 16.4 0.5 1.08 0.52
51 -1.26 4.5 17.6 0.5 1.13 0.54
E. CONSTANT-FERTIUrV VARIANT
Population (thouundo) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 -
5387 2 014 2 773 35.0
5309 2 011 2 777 37.4
5370 2 800 2 770 39.5
5319 2 572 2 747 41.0
5230 2 525 2 705 44.2
5102 2 457 2 645 46.5
4944 2 376 2 569 48.7
4701 2 284 2 478 50.7
4556 2 182 2 374 52.4
4332 2 072 2260 53.9
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 20402045 20452050
............
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1,OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OW population) ..
0.01 9.7 10.0
-0.07 9.2 10.2
-0.19 0.3 10.0
-0.34 7.4 11.2
-0.49 0.7 12.0
United Nations Department of Economicand Soda1 Affairs/population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conyxehensive Tables
-0.03 0.3 13.0
-0.70 6.1 14.1
-0.88 5.9 15.1
-1.01 5.6 16.1
421
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 473 704 769 91.6
1 533 732 800 91.5
1 580 755 825 91.6
1 630 781 850 91.9
1 670 808 862 93.8
1 742 843 899 93.8
1 832 885 947 93.4
1 884 912 973 93.7
1 927 935 992 94.3
1 964 957 1008 95.0
1 984 967 1017 95.1
10.1 17.4 18.3 10.5 7.0 1.0 52.3 27.7 73
10.0 17.6 16.9 11.0 7.3 l .0 50.2 28.2 76
8.8 18.6 15.6 12.3 7.8 1.0 48.3 29.3 78
8.5 17.5 16.1 13.8 9.0 1.1 48.6 30.3 80
8.0 16.1 17.4 14.9 9.9 1.2 50.7 31.0 82
8.1 15.6 16.2 15.4 11.0 1.3 49.4 31.4 86
8.0 15.2 15.7 14.5 11.4 1.8 48.5 31.7 90
7.1 15.3 14.9 15.1 10.4 2.0 48.3 32.8 93
6.2 14.7 14.8 16.4 11.1 2.3 48.8 34.2 95
5.0 13.1 15.1 17.9 12.6 2.4 50.6 36.1 97
4.6 11.3 14.6 19.4 14.1 2.3 50.6 38.1 98
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ....................... .. .... Population density (population per sq km)
1 999 975 1 024 95.2
2 001 977 1 024 95.4
1 992 974 1 018 95.6
1 972 965 1 007 95.8
1 941 951 990 96.0
1 901 931 970 95.9
1 855 908 948 95.8
1 805 882 923 95.6
1 751 855 896 95.5
4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 5.6 3.2 3.7 8.2 49.2 40.2 99
4.5 9.0 11.5 22.5 16.5 4.1 5.4 2.8 3.0 7.2 46.6 41.9 99
4.4 9.0 9.9 25.4 18.2 4.8 5.4 2.7 2.7 6.0 43.9 43.6 98
4.1 9.0 9.3 28.1 20.8 5.3 5.4 2.7 2.7 5.6 41.6 45.3 97
3.8 8.7 9.3 30.8 23.3 5.6 5.2 2.7 2.8 5.6 39.7 47.2 96
3.7 8.2 9.5 32.9 25.7 6.6 4.8 2.6 2.8 5.8 37.5 48.9 94
3.7 7.8 9.3 35.1 27.6 8.2 4.6 2.5 2.6 5.7 35.4 50.5 92
3.9 7.8 8.8 37.4 29.4 9.6 4.6 2.4 2.5 5.4 33.7 51.7 89
4.0 8.0 8.5 39.3 31.5 10.8 4.8 2.4 2.4 5.1 33.1 52.3 86
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 999 975 1024
2 018 986 1032
2 035 996 1039
2 043 1 001 1041
2 036 999 1037
2 021 992 1029
2 006 985 1021
1 995 980 1016
1 986 976 1010
4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 49.2 40.2
5.3 9.0 11.4 22.3 16.3 4.0 46.2 41.7
5.5 9.6 9.7 24.9 17.8 4.7 43.0 42.9
5.3 10.8 9.0 27.2 20.1 5.2 40.3 44.1
4.9 10.9 9.8 29.3 22.3 5.4 38.7 45.6
4.7 10.3 11.0 31.0 24.2 6.2 37.4 46.9
5.0 9.7 11.2 32.4 25.6 7.6 36.2 47.7
5.5 9.8 10.6 33.9 26.6 8.7 35.2 47.7
5.7 10.6 9.9 34.7 27.8 9.5 35.1 46.5
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.18 10.7 9.8 10 1.53 0.73
..
.
3
0.17 11.2 10.5 1 .0 1.73 0.83
-1 .0.07 9.7 11.4 10 1.93 0.93
2 0.08 10.7 11.0 1 .0 1 88 0.90
.
.
.3 -0.15 9.4 11.9 1 .0 1.98 0.95
.3 -0.15 10.0 12.5 l .0 2.03 0.98
.2 -0.11 10.9 13.0 1 .0 2.08 1 .00
-2 .0.10 11.5 13.5 1 .0 2.13 1.03
-2 .0.12 11.5 13.7 1 .0 2.18 1.05
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
1 999 975 i 024
1 983 968 i 015
1 949 952 997
1 900 928 972
1 844 901 943
1 780 869 912
1 709 833 877
1 630 792 838
1 543 749 795
4.4 9.7 13.4 20.5 15.6 3.1 49.2 40.2
3.6 9.1 11.6 22.7 16.6 4.1 47.0 42.2
3.2 8.3 10.1 26.0 18.6 4.9 44.8 44.4
2.8 7.1 9.7 29.2 21.6 5.5 43.1 46.5
2.7 6.2 8.9 32.4 24.6 5.9 40.8 48.7
2.6 5.8 7.7 35.2 27.5 7.0 37.6 51 .0
2.6 5.7 6.9 38.1 30.0 8.9 34.3 53.1
2.5 5.6 6.5 41.5 32.6 10.6 31.5 55.1
2.4 5.5 6.5 44.6 35.7 12.2 29.9 56.8
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
- 3 -0.16 7.3 9.9 1 .0 1.03 0.49
- 7 .0.35 6.3 10.8 1 .0 0.93 0.45
. 10 -0.51 5.5 11.6 1 .0 0.88 0.42
- l1 .0.60 5.3 12.4 1.1 0.93 0.45
- 13 .0.70 5.1 13.3 1.1 0.98 0.47
- 14 .0.82 5.0 14.3 1.1 1.03 0.50
- 16 .0.95 4.8 15.5 1.2 1.08 0.52
- 17 .1.09 4.6 16.8 1.3 1.13 0.54
- 18 .1.22 4.5 16.0 1.3 1.18 0.57
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................ .................. Males ..................... . . . ..................... Females ........................ . .................. Median age (years) ................................
1 999 975 1 024 40.2
1 997 975 1 022 42.0
1 982 969 l 013 43.8
1 953 955 998 45.6
1 911 935 976 47.6
1 858 909 949 49.7
1 798 878 920 51.5
1 730 843 886 53.1
1 655 806 849 54.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
.0.02 8.6 9.9
.0.15 8.1 10.7
.0.30 7.4 11.3
.0.44 6.6 12.0
.0.56 6.1 12.8
.0.66 6.0 13.7
.0.77 5.9 14.7
.0.89 5.7 15.8
.1.01 5.4 16.7
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1 573 766 807 55.3
SOLOMON ISLANDS
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
90 49 40 122.8
102 55 47 118.4
118 64 55 116.7
137 73 65 113.0
161 85 76 111.9
193 101 92 109.4
229 119 110 108.7
272 141 131 108.0
314 163 151 107.6
362 187 174 107.4
415 215 200 107.4
15.8 26.7 19.8 3.2 2.0 0.1 46.7 18.3 3
17.2 25.4 19.6 4.3 2.2 0.2 46.6 18.6 4
18.3 24.5 19.3 5.6 2.7 0.2 47.6 18.4 4
18.1 26.4 18.0 5.4 3.6 0.2 46.1 18.0 5
16.9 28.1 17.7 5.3 3.5 0.2 45.8 17.5 6
20.5 27.4 17.2 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.2 16.0 7
19.2 28.4 18.0 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.6 16.2 8
18.0 29.4 18.7 4.9 3.3 0.4 43.9 16.2 9
16.9 28.4 20.7 4.8 3.0 0.4 46.1 17.0
16.5 27.2 21.5 4.6 3.0 0.3 47.6 17.8 13
15.7 26.3 21.0 4.6 2.9 0.3 49.0 18.6 14
11
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
472 245 228 107.3
531 275 256 107.3
589 305 284 107.3
647 335 312 107.2
705 365 340 107.1
762 394 368 106.9
817 422 395 106.8
868 448 420 106.6
914 471 443 106.3
14.7 25.8 20.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 15.8 7.2 6.6 12.0 50.1 19.4 16
13.5 24.9 20.3 4.9 3.1 0.4 15.2 7.1 6.7 11.8 51.4 20.4 18
12.4 23.6 20.4 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.6 12.0 52.7 21.7 20
11.5 22.0 20.1 5.7 3.5 0.4 13.3 6.5 6.3 11.9 53.8 23.1 22
10.8 20.7 19.5 6.3 3.9 0.5 12.4 6.1 6.0 11.6 54.0 24.5 24
10.1 19.5 18.5 7.2 4.5 0.5 11.8 5.8 5.7 11.1 53.9 26.0 26
9.4 18.6 17.7 8.7 5.2 0.6 11.2 5.5 5.4 10.5 53.6 27.5 28
8.8 17.6 17.0 10.1 6.4 0.7 10.6 5.3 5.2 10.2 53.3 29.0 30
8.2 16.7 16.5 11.6 7.5 0.8 10.0 5.0 5.0 9.9 52.7 30.5 32
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .... ......... Males ................................ Females ......................... .................... Both sexes combined ............................
12 15 4 0 2.33 30.5 7.2 0.0 3.87 1.64 55 72
12 15 4 0 2.08 27.6 6.8 0.0 3.45 1.49 49 64
12 16 4 0 1.89 25.3 6.5 0.0 3.1 1 1.36 45 57
12 16 4 0 1.72 23.5 6.4 0.0 2.85 1.26 40 51
11 16 5 0 1.55 21 .8 6.3 0.0 2.64 1.19 36 44
11 16 5 0 1.38 20.2 6.3 0.0 2.48 1.13 31 37
10 16 5 0 1.21 18.6 6.5 0.0 2.34 1.07 27 32
9 15 6 0 1.04 17.2 6.8 0.0 2.23 1.03 23 27
8 15 7 0 0.89 16.1 7.3 0.0 2.13 0.99 20 24
62.7 64.5 63.6
63.8 65.9 64.8
64.8 67.2 65.9
65.7 68.4 67.0
66.7 69.7 68.2
67.9 71.1 69.4
68.9 72.3 70.5
69.9 73.3 71.5
70.8 74.3 72.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOLOMON ISLANDS
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Meda i n age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate @ercent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
13 2.50 32.3 7.3 0.0 4.12 1.75
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
11 2.15 28.6 7.2 0.0 3.62 1.53
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...................... ......
472 245 228 19.4
539 279 260 20.0
615 31 8 296 20.6
700 362 338 21 .0
795 412 384 21.2
902 467 435 21.4
1023 529 494 21.6
1160 599 560 21.8
1316 680 636 21.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.63 33.7 7.4
2.63 33.3 7.0
2.60 32.6 6.6
2.55 31 .8 6.3
2.51 31.2 6.1
2.51 30.9 5.8
2.52 30.8 5.6
2.52 30.7 5.5
2.52 30.6 5.4
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2050
SOMALIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
...........................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2264 1124 1 140 98.6
2522 1249 1 273 98.1
2819 1394 1 425 97.9
3170 1567 1 603 97.7
3600 1779 1 821 97.7
4133 2042 2 091 97.7
6485 3206 3 280 97.7
6469 3198 3 271 97.8
6717 3322 3 394 97.9
6242 3084 3 158 97.6
7055 3493 3 562 98.1
17.2 24.1 18.3 4.6 2.6 0.1 47.2 19.5 4
18.7 23.9 18.1 4.8 2.7 0.1 46.0 18.8 4
18.7 25.5 17.7 4.9 2.8 0.2 44.6 18.1 4
18.6 26.7 17.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.6 17.5 5
18.8 26.7 18.5 4.9 2.9 0.2 43.8 17.2 6
19.3 26.8 19.1 4.8 2.9 0.2 43.7 16.9 6
19.6 27.2 18.8 4.7 2.9 0.2 43.6 16.6 10
17.8 28.3 19.2 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.5 16.8 10
18.1 27.3 19.7 4.5 2.8 0.3 45.4 17.1 11
17.2 26.4 20.9 4.3 2.7 0.3 47.5 17.8 10
18.4 25.6 20.0 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.2 17.9 11
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined
..
............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
8196 4 065 4 131 98.4
9486 4 711 4 775 98.7
10881 5 409 5 472 98.9
12291 6 114 6 177 99.0
13712 6 825 6 887 99.1
15193 7 564 7 629 99.1
16694 8 312 8 381 99.2
18178 9 051 9 127 99.2
19634 9 774 9 860 99.1
18.0 26.1 18.9 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.3 6.6 6.3 10.9 46.9 17.9 13
17.2 27.1 18.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 16.8 7.2 6.1 10.8 46.4 17.9 15
16.2 26.7 19.3 4.5 2.7 0.3 16.4 7.3 6.8 10.9 47.3 18.3 17
15.3 25.9 20.3 4.8 3.0 0.3 15.8 7.2 6.7 11.9 48.4 19.0 19
14.5 24.9 20.4 5.2 3.2 0.3 15.2 7.0 6.6 12.0 49.4 19.9 22
13.7 24.0 20.1 5.6 3.5 0.4 14.6 6.8 6.4 11.8 50.1 20.9 24
12.8 23.2 19.7 6.2 3.9 0.4 14.1 6.6 6.3 11.6 51.1 22.0 26
11.8 22.2 19.4 7.0 4.4 0.5 13.4 6.4 6.2 11.5 52.1 23.1 29
11.0 21.0 19.2 7.6 5.0 0.6 12.7 6.2 6.0 11.3 53.1 24.4 31
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ................... .....
.....................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOMALIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
271 3.06 44.5 16.8 2.8 6.29 2.1 6
303 2.94 42.1 15.1 2.4 6.01 2.15
317 2.68 39.6 13.7 0.8 5.64 2.08
325 2.42 37.0 12.4 -0.4 5.13 1.96
348 2.30 34.6 11.3 0.3 4.62 1.82
368 2.17 32.4 10.4 -0.3 4.16 1.68
384 2.04 30.2 9.5 -0.3 3.78 1.57
398 1.92 28.2 8.8 -0.2 3.48 1.48
409 1.80 26.5 8.3 .0.2 3.25 1.41
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
245 2.78 41.3 16.4 2.8 5.79 1.99
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
8196 4065 4131 17.9
9577 4757 4820 17.7
11193 5567 5627 17.6
13014 6478 6535 17.7
15104 7526 7578 17.7
17613 8783 8830 17.6
20631 10296 10335 17.5
24264 12117 12147 17.3
28640 14309 14330 17.2
3.1 1 45.1 16.8
3.12 44.1 15.3
3.01 43.4 14.1
2.98 43.1 13.0
3.07 42.9 11.9
3.16 42.7 10.9
3.24 42.5 9.9
3.32 42.3 9.0
3.39 42.1 8.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AFRICA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
13 683 6 816 6 868 99.2
15 385 7 682 7 703 99.7
17 396 8 697 8 699 100.0
19 814 9 848 9 966 98.8
22 502 11 201 11 301 99.1
25 697 12 805 12 892 99.3
29 074 14 463 14 611 99.0
32 961 16 386 16 575 98.9
36 577 18 099 18 478 97.9
41 505 20 436 21 069 97.0
45 398 22 310 23 089 96.6
15.3 23.3 18.4 6.0 3.6 0.3 47.9 20.9 11
16.2 23.6 18.1 6.1 3.8 0.4 47.1 20.3 13
16.3 24.6 17.9 6.1 3.9 0.4 46.4 19.7 14
16.1 25.8 17.9 6.0 3.9 0.5 45.4 19.2 16
16.2 25.8 18.8 5.5 3.4 0.4 45.8 18.8 18
16.1 25.8 19.6 5.2 3.2 0.4 46.5 18.8 27
15.5 26.1 19.6 5.0 3.1 0.4 47.2 19.0 24
14.9 25.6 19.8 5.0 3.1 0.3 48.3 19.5 27
13.4 25.2 20.3 5.2 3.2 0.4 50.0 20.3 30
12.3 23.3 20.5 5.5 3.4 0.4 52.4 21.9
11.4 21.8 20.3 6.0 3.8 0.5 53.7 23.2 37
34
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) .. ............... Total ............................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
SOUTH AFRICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 04 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population gmwth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OM)population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
365 0.75 24.3 17.1 0.2 2.89 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
............. ....
..
........... ..........
170 0.35 20.3 17.0 0.2 2.39 0.94
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
47 939 23 549 24 390 23.9
49 582 24 442 25 140 24.3
51 167 25 359 25 808 24.5
53 052 26 429 26 623 24.9
55 198 27 622 27 576 25.2
57 571 28 903 28 669 25.5
60 146 30 258 29 888 25.8
62 973 31 723 31 250 26.0
66 110 33 335 32 776 26.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
............. .... ..
Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population)
0.67 23.6 17.1
0.63 23.2 17.1
0.72 22.9 15.9
0.79 22.7 14.9
0.84 22.5 14.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/PopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.88 22.3 13.7
0.92 22.1 13.1
0.97 21.9 12.3
1.03 21.7 11.5
69 609 35 115 34 494 26.7
SPAIN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ...................... ... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..................
1950
19.55
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
28 009 13526 14483 93.4
29 199 14153 15046 94.1
30 455 14777 15678 94.3
32 056 15547 16509 94.2
33 779 16489 17290 95.4
35 688 17449 18238 95.7
37 527 18406 19121 96.3
38 420 18851 19568 96.3
38 851 19032 19820 96.0
39 388 19290 20098 96.0
40 229 19707 20523 96.0
9.8 17.3 18.4 10.9 7.3 1.0 52.1 27.7 55
9.5 17.7 16.5 11.5 7.8 1.1 50.8 28.8 58
9.9 17.5 15.3 12.3 8.2 1.2 49.8 29.6 60
9.6 17.8 15.6 12.8 8.6 1.3 49.3 30.1 63
9.5 18.4 15.3 14.2 9.8 1.6 47.1 30.2 67
9.2 18.1 15.4 14.9 10.6 1.8 46.3 30.3 71
8.3 17.6 16.3 15.5 11.2 2.0 46.3 30.8 74
6.5 16.7 16.8 17.0 12.0 2.4 46.9 32.0 76
5.3 14.6 16.9 19.0 13.6 2.9 48.8 33.7 77
4.9 11.8 16.4 20.8 15.3 3.4 50.6 35.6 78
4.6 10.1 14.5 21.6 16.8 3.7 50.8 37.6 80
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
........... ..........
B. MEDIUM VARIANT Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ..................... .. Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ................... ....... .......... Both sexes combined ............................
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SPAIN C. HMVARIANT
lndlcetor Populdon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Am dldrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15Percentageaged 65
..................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
43 397 21 375 22022
45522 22464
48 078 23 746 24 330
48 819 24 115 24 704
49 476 24 433 25 042
50 286 24 821 25 465
51 310 25 31 1
52 379
25823
23058
47 005 23 212 23 793
25999
26556
53 275 26250 27 025
5.1 9.3 12.1 21.7 16.8 4.3 50.5 36.8
6.2 9.4 10.1 22.4 17.2 5.1 47.8 40.3
6.3 10.9 9.1 23.4 17.9 5.7 44.2 41.9
5.7 12.2 9.2 24.9 18.9 5.8 41.0 43.6
5.2 11.6 10.8 27.2 20.5 6.1 36.9 45.4
5.1 10.6 12.1 29.8 22.6 6.7 37.3 46.6
5.6 10.2 11.8 32.4 24.9 7.3 36.3 46.8
6.1 10.5 10.7 34.4 27.0 8.3 35.9 45.9
6.4 11.5 10.0 34.8 28.7 9.5 36.0 44.2
6.4 12.4 10.4 33.9 28.9 10.6 36.8 43.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlation change per year (thousands). Populationgrmth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO pqwlation) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migralm rate (per 1,OOO populalion) Total fertility (children p e r m ) ........... Net repmduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
425
0.96 12.7 8.7 5.6 1.66 0.80
296 0.64 12.8 9.1 2.7 1.90 0.91
215 0.45 11.6 9.3 2.2 2.05
148 0.31 10.4 9.5 2.2 2.10 1.01
0.W
131 0.27 10.3 9.7 2.1 2.15 1.03
162 0.33 11.2 10.0 2.1 2.20 1.08
205 0.40 12.4 10.5 2.1 2.25 1 .oB
214 0.41 13.0 10.9 2.0 2.30 1.11
179 0.34 12.8 11.4 2.0 2.34 1.13
D. LOW VARIANT
PopUldOIl (thoUUndS) Total ......................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dl.blbuth Percentageaged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentag aged 15-24
Percentage aged 65 or percentage aged 80 or Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
MO5
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
43397 21 375 22022
44890 22035 22655
44974 22 166 22808
44 765
22 041 22 724
44362 21 816 22543
43844 21 532 22312
43246 21 195 22051
42512 20760 21732
41549 20247 21303
40320 19 582 20 739
5.1 9.3 12.1 21.7 16.8 4.3 50.5 38.8
4.5 9.6 10.3 22.9 17.5 5.2 48.6 40.8
3.9 9.6 9.5 24.4 18.6 6.0 46.1 43.2
3.3 8.5 9.9 26.8 20.3 6.3 43.9 45.7
3.1 7.4 10.0 30.0 22.5 6.7 40.9 48.3
3.1 6.6 9.0 33.6 25.5 7.5 37.4 50.7
3.2 6.4 7.9 37.7 28.9 8.5 34.7 52.7
3.3 6.6 7.2 41.5 32.6 10.0 33.1 54.4
3.2 6.8 7.0 43.9 36.2 11.9 32.1 55.3
3.1 6.9 7.3 44.6 38.2 14.0 31.5 55.7
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 202WG25 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204G2045 2045-2050 Populati change per year (thousands). Populatbn growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO populalion) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .OOO population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.OOO population) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (perwunan) ..........
256 0.69
9.0 6.8 5.7 1.16 0.56
57 0.13 7.8 9.3 2.8 1.10 0.53
-
42 4.00 6.6 9.8 2.3 1.05 0.50
- 81 4.18 6.1 10.3 2.4 1.10 0.53
-
104 4.24 6.1 10.8 2.4 1.15 0.55
-
120 4.28 6.3 11.5 2.4 1.20 0.58
-
147 4.34 6.5 12.3 2.4 1.25 0.60
-
192 4.46 6.3 13.4 2.5 1.30 0.62
-
246
4.80 6.1 14.6 2.6 1.34 0.65
E. CONSlANT-FERflUTY VARIANT
Popuktlon (thournd.) Total .................................................... M& ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
43 397 21 375
22022 38.8
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
44 896 22 142 22755 40.7
45 456 22 414 23042 42.9
45 550 22 445 23105 45.3
45 359 22 332 23027 47.6
44 995 22 125 22870 50.0
44 514 21 646 226% 51.8
43 877 21 483 22394 53.1
43 OOO 20 993 22007 53.9
41 841 20 364 21477 54.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population g r m rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO POprlatiOn) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) ..
0.68
9.Q 6.8
0.25 9.0 9.2
0.04 7.8 9.7
-0.08
7.0 10.1
-0.16 6.6 10.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaifalPopulation Division WO& Population Praspecs: The 2006 RevMon, Volume I: Comprehsnsive Tables
-0.22 6.7 11.2
4.29 6.7 12.0
-0.40 6.5 13.0
4.55 6.2 14.1
431
SRI LANKA
A. ESTIMATES Indicator Populatlon (thouunds) Tot .... Ma ..... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 .......... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or ovw .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Median age (years) ....... Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
XQO
7339 3881 3458 112.2
8448
9888 5071 4627 109.6
10 965 5 702 5263 108.3
12 342 6 381 5 961 107.0
13672 7 022 6650 105.6
14 941 7635 7308 104.5
16 013 8 139 7 873 103.4
17 114 8 645 8469 102.1
18 080
4443 4005 110.9
18 714 9334 9379 99.5
17.1 23.8 19.3 5.5 3.6 0.1 46.7 19.5 112
16.7 25.5 17.8 5.5 3.6 0.3 45.5 19.3 129
16.5 26.1 17.5 5.7 3.6 0.4 45.3 18.8 148
14.9 26.4 19.1 5.9 3.7 0.5 46.8 19.1 1 67
14.2 25.4 20.1 6.2 3.9 0.5 48.1 19.8 188
13.5 24.1 20.8 6.5 4.2 0.5 49.9 20.7
12.9 23.4 20.3 6.9 4.4 0.5 50.5 21.7 228
11.8 22.8 19.6 7.5 5.0 0.7 51.1 22.7 244
10.2 21 .8 19.7 8.2 5.4 0.8 53.0 24.1 261
9.7 19.8 19.7 8.9 6.0 0.9 54.3 25.5 276
.
222 315
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) .......... Infant nwtalrty rate (per 1.OOO live births) Life expectancy at birth (ymn) Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
Population change per year (thousands)
2.82 39.9 11.4 5.70 2.22 77
250 351 88 2.76 38.7 9.5 5.70 2.34 64
253 354 92 2.46 34.3 8.9 5.12 2.15 63
275 374 91 2.37 32.1 7.8 4.65 2.02 52
268 392 97 2.05 30.2 7.5 4.12 1 .80 50
254 405 104 1.78 28.3 7.3 3.66 1.83 41
214 391 88 1.39 25.3 6.3 3.16 1.45 29
220 357 109 1.33 21.5 6.6 2.65 1.24
58.4 57.3 57.6
62.0 61.4 61.5
62.1 62.6 62.2
63.5 65.4 64.3
63.8 66.7 65.0
64.4 68.1 65.9
90
8995
101.0
8.6 18.2 19.0 9.3 6.5 1.1
54.9 27.5 285
19851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOo-2005
1950-1955 1955-1980 1-1965
&rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ...................
208
9osS
22
193 359 114 1.10 20.4 6.5 2.46 1.17 17
127 335 128 0.69 18.2 7.0 2.22 1.05 15
81 309 139 0.43 16.3 7.3 2.02 0.96 12
88.6 71.9 68.8
66.1 72.9 69.0
67.5 74.0 70.4
€8.9 74.3 70.5
67.0 75.0 70.8
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thouunds) Total ...................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex rat0 (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage a@ 5-14. Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or ovw .................. Percentage in school a w 6 11 Percentage in SCM ages 12-14.......... Percentage in schod ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ... Mediin age (years) ................................. Population density (pqwlatkm per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
M50
19 121 9 450 9 671 97.7
19 576 9 621 9 958 96.6
19 980 9 755 10 205 95.6
20229 9834 10 395 94.6
20 328 9829 10 499 93.6
20 249 9 742 10 507 92.7
20 019 9590 10 429 92.0
19 671 9 393 10 278 91.4
19 232 9 164 10 068 91.0
I8 715 8908 9 807
7.9 16.3 18.9 9.7 6.5 1.1 9.6 5.1 5.4 11.7 54.8 29.5 291
7.3 15.2 16.7 12.0 7.4 1.3 9.1 4.6 4.8 10.2 53.2 31.2
7.1 14.3 15.0 14.6 9.3 1.5 8.5 4.4 4.4 9.0 50.9 33.3 304
6.8 13.7 14.1 17.2 11.6 1.7 8.2 4.1 4.3 8.4 48.5 35.5 308
6.4 13.4 13.5 19.7 13.8 2.1 8.1 4.1 4.0 8.1 47.3 37.4 310
6.0 12.9 13.1 22.0 15.9 2.9 7.7 4.0 4.0 7.8 45.8 39.2 309
5.7 12.2 13.0 22.9 17.7 3.9 7.2 3.8 3.9 7.8 43.3 40.6 305
5.6 11.6 12.7 24.4 18.4 4.6 6.9 3.6 3.7 7.7 41.4 41.7 300
5.5 11.4 12.1 27.1 19.5 5.4 6.8 3.5 3.6 7.3 40.2 42.6
5.4 11.3 11.6 29.0 21.9 6.0 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.0 39.4 43.4 285
298
293
90.8
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (lhowands) Births per year (thcusanbs) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population g M h rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO p q w l a t i ) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ooO pqwlation) .. Net migration rate (per 1 ooO popuiation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction tale ( p e r m ) .......... Infant M a l i rate (per 1 OOO live births) Under-five mortality (per 1 OOO l i births) Llfe expectancy at blrlh (ynn) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
..
..
432
91 291 140 -60 0.47 15.0 7.2 -3.1 1.88 0.90 11 13
77 289 152 . 60 0.39 14.6 7.7 -3.0 1.85 0.89 10 12
54 281 167 . 60 0.27 14.0 8.3 -3.0 1.85 0.89 10 12
20 264 184 -60 0.10 13.0 9.1 -3.0 1.85 0.89 9 11
68.8 76.2 72.4
69.5 77.0 73.1
70.2 77.6 73.0
70.8 78.2 74.5
. 16
12.2 10.0 -3.0 1.85 0.89 9 11
-46 234 220 -60 -0.23 11.6 10.9 -3.0 1.85 0.89 8 10
71.5 78.8 75.1
72.3 79.4 75.8
247 202 -60 -0.08
. 70
. 103
235 -60 -0.35 11.3 11.8 -3.0 1.85 0.89 8 9
-88 218 245 -60 4.45 11.2 12.6 -3.1 1.85 0.89 7 9
73.0 79.9 76.5
73.6 80.4 77.1
74.3 80.9 77.6
a5
208 251 -60 -0.55 10.9 13.2 -3.2 1.85 0.89 7 8
United Nations Deparbnent of Ecooomic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SRI LANKA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
l 9 121 9450 9671
19 767 9718 10049
20 459 10009 10450
21 104 10279 10825
21 561 10457 11104
21 649 10556 11293
22 045 10621 11425
22 226 10692 11534
22 407 l0778 11629
7.9 16.3 18.9 9.7 6.5 1.1 54.8 29.5
8.2 15.0 16.6 11.8 7.3 1.3 52.7 30.9
8.4 14.9 14.6 14.3 9.1 1.5 49.7 32.5
8.3 15.5 13.5 16.5 11.1 1.6 46.6 34.1
7.7 15 8 13.6 18.6 13.0 2.0 45.6 35.4
7.2 15.3 14.4 20.4 14.7 2.7 44.8 36.2
7.2 14.4 14.9 20.8 16.1 3.5 43.2 36.5
74 13.9 14.5 21.6 16.2 4.1 42.2 36 3
7.6 14.1 13 6 23.2 16.7 4.6 41.6 36.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 populat~on).... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 populat~on). Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
129 0.67 16.9 7.2 -3.1 2.13 1.02
138 0.69 17.5 7.6 -3.0 2.25 1.08
129 0.62 17.2 8.1 -2.9 2.35 1.13
92 0.43 15.8 8.7 -2.8 2.35 1.13
57 0.27 14.8 9.4 -2.8 2.35 1.13
39 0.18 14.6 10.1 -2.7 2.35 1.13
36 0.16 15.0 10.7 -2.7 2.35 1.13
36 0.16 15.4 11.1 -2.7 2.35 1.14
30 0.13 15.3 11.3 -2.7 2.35 114
-121 .0.66 8.6 11.9 .3.3 1 35 0.65
-156 .0.88 7.8 13.2 .3.4 1.35 0.65
-163 .1.09 7.1 14.5 .3.6 1.35 0.65
-202 .1.28 6.7 15.7 .3.8 1.35 0.65
.
D LOW VARIANT
. Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... rvledian age (years) ................................
Populat~onchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fe;tility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
53 0 28 13.1 7.2 .3.1 1.63 0.78
15 0.08 11.7 7.8 .3.1 1.45 0.70
. 21 .0.11 10.6 8.6 .3.1 1.35 0.65
. 51 .0.27 10.0 9.5 .3.1 1.35 0.65
-86 .0.45 9.3 10.7 .3.2 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
19 121 9 450 9671 29.5
19 678 9 672 10006 31.1
20 183 9 669 10314 33.0
20 580 10 013 10566 34.9
20 815 10 077 10738 36.6
20 876 10 061 10815 38.0
20 800 9 987 10813 39.1
20 626 9 878 10748 39.7
20 362 9 749 10634 40.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ........... Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.57 ?6.0 7.2
0.51 15.7 7.7
0.39 15.1 8.2
0.23 14.1 8.9
0.06 13.2 9.7
.0.07 12.7 10.6
.0.17 12.6 11.4
.0.24 12.6 12.0
.0.30 12.4 12.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
SUDAN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Popuiat~onchange per year (thousands) . B~rthsper year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertil~ty(ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000lhve births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ........................
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Sex rat10(males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................ Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage In school ages 12-14......... Percentage In school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
36 900 18 578 18 322 101.4
41 230 20 769 20 461 101.5
45 613 22 983 22 629 101.6
50 027 25 21 1 24 817 101.6
14.8 25.9 20.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 15.9 7.2 6.6 11.7 48.1 19.4 15
13.7 25.0 20.3 5.9 3.8 0.5 15.2 7.2 6.7 11.8 49.6 20.2 16
12.7 23.6 20.6 6.2 4.1 0.5 14.3 6.8 6.6 12.1 51.2 21.4 18
11.9 22.4 20.2 6.6 4.4 0.6 13.5 6.5 6.3 12.0 52.4 22.7 20
2005-2010 201 0-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ..........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
SUDAN C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49........ Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
36 900 18 578 18 322
41 565 20 940 20 625
46 565 23 469 23 096
51 864 26 147 25 717
57 109 28 794 28 316
62464 31 491 30 973
67925 34 237 33 687
73 494 37033 36 460
79 124 39 855 39 269
64720 42 652 42069
Populattonchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net m~grationrate (per 1 ,000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
14.8 25.9 20.1 5.5 3.5 0.4 48.1 19.4
14.4 24.8 20.1 5.8 3.7 0.5 49.2 20.0
13.8 23.9 20.1 6.1 4.0 0.5 50.2 20.9
13.2 23.4 19.5 6.4 4.2 0.6 50 6 21.8
12.4 22.7 19.1 6.8 4.5 0.6 51.2 22.7
11.7 21.8 19.0 7.4 4.9 0.7 51.6 23.6
11.2 20.9 18.8 8.1 5.3 0.8 51.9 24.6
10.7 20.0 18.3 89 5.9 0.9 51.8 25 6
10.3 19.3 17.7 9.9 6.6 1 .0 51.5 26.7
933 2.38 33.3 10.2 0.7 4.48 1.81
1000 2.27 31.4 9.4 0.6 4.10 1.70
1060 2.16 29.7 8.7 0.5 3.79 1.61
1049 1.93 27.6 8.1 -0.2 3.48 1.51
1071 1.79 25.8 7.7 -0.2 3.25 1.43
1092 1.68 24.3 7.4 -0.2 3.07 1.37
1114 1.58 23.1 7.3 -0.1 2.92 l .32
1126 1.46 22 1 7.2 -0.1 2.80 1.28
1119 1.37 21.0 7.2 -0.1 2.69 1.24
98 187 17.1 10.9 7.4 1.1
51.0 27.7
.
D LOW VARIANT . Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................ Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over ................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. .
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net mtgration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
799 2.06 29.8 10.0 0.7 3.98 1.61
753 1.76 26.1 9.1
0.6 3.30 1.37
706 1.52 23.2 8.5 0.6 2.79 1.18
648 1.30 21.4 8.2 -0.2 2.48 1.07
606 1.15 19.7 8.0 -02 2.25 0.99
537 0.96 17.7 7.9 -0.2 2.07 0.92
446 0.77 15.8 8.0 -0.2 1.92 0.87
348 0.58 14.2 8.2 -02 1.80 0.82
251 0.41 12 9 8.6 -0.2 1 69 0.78
.
E CQNSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
36 900 18578 18 322 19.4
41 923 21122 20 800 19.8
47 847 24122 23 725 20.2
54 703 27594 27 109 20.3
62312 31445 30 868 20.1
70 949 35813 35 136 20.1
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
2.55 35.1 10.3
2.64 35.3 9.6
2.68 35.1 8.9
2.61 34 4
2.60 33.7 7.6
2.61 33.3 7.1
80829 40808 40021 20.3 .
8.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
92240 46575 45 665 20.4
105475 53265 52 210 20 5
.
2.64 33.2 6.7
2.68 33.2 6.4
2.71 33.2 6.1
120 793 61009 59 783 204
SURINAME
A ESTIMATES indicator 1950 ~~~~~~
populr~on(thourmlr) Total .. .............................. Males ...................................................
Females ...............................................
Sex ratio (males per 100 M) ........... Age dirtribuUon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... P-ge agsd 15-24... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or OV(H .................. Percentage aged 80 or m r .................. Percentage of maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Popuhtion density (popuhtion per sq km)
1955 ~~~
1980
1985
..
1975 ~~
250 128 1 24 101.8
290 145 145 100.0
332 165 167 99.3
372 166 166 99.6
384 183 182 100.6
17.2
18.8 24.4 18.8 72 4.8
20.3 27.2 15.5 6.2 4.1 0.7 41.4 16.5 2
19.3 29.0 16.3 6.0 4.0 0.6 41.2 16.0 2
17.1 31.2 18.0 5.7 3.9 0.5 41.5 15.8 2
15.5 32.2 18.9 5.8 3.9 0.4 42.2 18.0 2
22.8
8.4 8.0
0.9 45.4 20.1 1
0.8
43.5 18.9 2
358 177 179 96.5
13.3 27.8 22.4 6.3 4.5 1 .o
47.3 18.3 2
-2
5
11
11
55
-2 13 3 -0.42 34.8 7.5 5.29 2.38 49
3 -0.46 29.5 7.3 4.20 1.95 44
60.5 64.5 62.5
81.7 66.5 64.0
8 14 3 2.72 44.4 10.3 8.56 2.01
8 14 3 2.28 40.0
63
54.4 57.7
57.0 80.5
56.7 82.5
58.0
58.7
60.5
88
1985 ~~~~~
1990 ~~~
~
~~~
383 191 192 99.5
402 201 201 100.0
416 208 207 100.4
13.9 23.7 23.5 8.3 4.1 0.7 50.2 20.1 2
12.1 23.1 21.1 8.9 4.3
10.8 23.3 18.6 7.8 4.9 0.5 51.7 23.6 3
0.8
51.7 22.0 2
2oOO
1995 ~~
~
436 219 218 100.5 11.1
21 .o 19.2 8.4 5.7 0.5
53.1 24.2 3
1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1880 1980-1985 18851880 1990-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005
8 12 3 2.97 44.4 11.4 6.56 2.72 78
7 10 3 3.02 43.8 12.8 6.58 2.82
lSe0 ~~
215 107 108 99.1
1850-1955 1955-1980 19&1985 Populationchange per year (Ihcuwds). Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousanbs)................... Population g M rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOOpoprhtion) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpoprlatbn) Total fertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduclion rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality raIe (per 1 .OOO liw bMhs) Ltk expectancy al birth (yeuo) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both $emscombined ............................
1970
~~
8.8
5.95 2.61
3 1.47 30.5 7.2 3.70 1.88 39
4 10 3 0.97 26.0 8.8 3.00 1.37 38
3 9 3 0.66 22.9 6.4 2.80 1.19
4 10 3 0.96 23.7 6.5 2.80 1.28
3 9 3 0.72 21.2 6.8 2.60 1.19
35
34
32
62.8 87.7 65.1
64.8 69.9 67.6
65.7 70.7 68.2
66.1 71.1 88.6
66.3 71.8
66.0
2040
2045
2050
483 231
426 212 214 99.2
89.0
72.5 69.1
B. MEDIUMVARIANT
Population (Ihouundo) Total ......................................
Males ................................................... Females ............................................... s e x ratio (mares per 100 females) A g . dlotrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage agad 5-14 Percentage 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6 11 Percentage in schod ages 12-14 Percentage in school ages 1517 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 Percentage of women aged 1549. Median age (years) ........................ Population density (population per sq km)
....
.....
............ .......... ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
M30
2035
052
465 233
475 237
482 241 241 99.8
481 240 241 99.8
474 237 237 99.8
99.7
446 223 224 99.4
7.3 15.4 15.2 15.9 10.1 1.5 9.3 4.7 4.6 9.0 48.6 33.4 3
8.8 14.3 14.4 18.8 13.0 1.8 8.6 4.4 4.4 8.8 47.9 35.4 3
8.3 13.4 13.5 20.9 15.4 2.4 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.1 45.2 37.8 3
5.9 12.8 12.7 22.7 17.4 3.2 7.5 3.8 3.8 7.8 43.3 39.9 3
5.5 11.8 11.9 25.9 18.7 4.5 7.0 3.6 3.6 7.1 42.2 42.0 3
227 228 100.3 10.0 19.8 19.8 8.9 8.3 0.7 12.1 5.5 5.8
3
100.0
99.8
480 240 241 99.7
9.3 19.1 17.4 9.8 8.7 0.9 11.5 5.8 5.1 10.4 52.8 27.4 3
8.6 17.6 16.8 10.8 7.3 1.2 10.5 5.3 5.5 9.8 51.2 29.4 3
7.9 18.5 18.3 12.7 8.4 1.4 9.9 4.9 4.9 9.9 49.8 31.4 3
m
238
232
5.2 11.1
11.3 28.6 21.6 5.4 6.7 3.4 3.4 6.8 40.1 44.1 3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2a30 2030-2035 2o35-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (lhommck).
Population g r M h rate @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOOpopuhtlon) .. Net migration rate (per 1 .OOO pqwtatkm) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reprcductii rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.W ihre bitihs) Under-We moltality (per 1 .OOO l i i wha) Life Ma ...... Females ............................................... Bolh sem combined ............................
.... .
436
3 9 3 -3 0.56 19.5 6.9 -7.0 2.42
1.11 28 35
67.0 73.6 70.2
2 8 3 -3 0.40
18.1 7.2 4.8 2.29 1.08 25 31 88.0
74.5 71.1
1 8 4 - 3 0.24 18.5 7.4 4.7 2.19 1.02 23 28
0 7 4 - 3 0.09 15.1 7.6
89.2 75.5 72.3
70.8 78.3 73.5
4.8
2.09 0.08 21 26
0 7 4 -3 -0.07 14.0 8.1 4.6 2.01 0.94
19 24 71.9 77.2 74.5
8 4 -3 4.27 12.9 8.9 4.7 1.94 0.91 17 21
-2 8 5 -3 -0.49 11.9 10.0 4.8 1.88 0.88 15 19
-3 5 5 -3 -0.73 11.1 11.3 -7.0 1.85 0.87 14 17
-4 5 5 -3 -0.94 10.5 12.6 -7.3 1.85 0.87 12 15
72.8 78.0 75.4
73.5 78.7 78.0
73.9 79.4 78.8
74.8 80.1 77.4
- 1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revsbn, Vohme I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
452 227 226
470 235 235
486 243 243
501 250 250
51 1 256 256
519 260 259
523 262 261
525 263 262
523 262 261
10.0 19.8 19.6 8.9 6.3 0.7 53.6 25.4
10.1 18.9 17.2 9.5 6.7 0.9 52.2 27.1
9.9 18.1 16.2 10.6 7.1 1.2 50.1 28.6
9.4 18.2 15.7 12.2 8.0 1.3 47.8 30.0
8.6 17.7 15.2 15.0 9.5 1.4 46.8 31 .1
8.1 16.6 15.5 17.3 12.0 1.7 46.6 32.5
7.8 15.5 15.3 19.0 14.0 2.1 44.9 33.8
7.6 14.9 14.5 20.0 15.3 2.8 43.7 34.7
7.5 14.6 13.6 22.1 16.0 3.9 43.3 35.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Totai fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 0.75 21.4 7.0 -6.9 2.67 1.23
.
3 0.70 20.9 7.2 -6.7 2.69 1.25
3 0.58 19.6 7.3 -6.5 2.69 1.25
2 0.42 17.9 7.4 -6.3 2.59 1.21
1 0.29 16.7 7.6 -6.2 2.51 1.18
1 0.17 16.1 8.2 -6.1 2.44 1.15
0 0.05 15.6 9.0 -6.1 2.38 1.12
0 -0.08 15.3 10.0 -6.1 2.35 1.11
- 1 -0.21 14.8 10.7 .6.2 2.35 1.11
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................... ................ Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
...
452 227 226
461 230 230
463 231 232
460 229 231
453 226 227
443 221 222
427 212 215
405 201 204
378 187
10.0 19.8 19.6 8.9 6.3 0.7 53.6 25.4
8.4 19.3 17.6 9.7 6.8 0.9 53.1 27.6
7.3 17.1 17.1 11.1 7.4 1.2 52.5 30.2
6.4 14.7 17.1 13.3 8.7 1.5 51.9 32.9
5.9 12.9 15.1 16.9 10.7 1.6 50.7 35.7
5.4 11.6 13.0 20.2 14.1 1.9 49.3 38.5
4.8 10.8 11.3 23.3 17.1 2.6 45.5 41.4
4.1 9.8 10.2 25.9 19.8 3.6 42.4 44.5
3.6 8.6 9.5 30.6 22.2 5.4 40.0 47.8
191
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.37 17.6 6.9 -7.0 2.17 1 .00
0 0.10 15.2 7.2 -6.9 1 .89 0.88
-l .0.14 13.2 7.6 -6.9 1.69 0.78
-1 -0.29 12.1 8.0 -7.0 1.59 0.74
-2 .0.47 11.0 8.6 -7.1 1.51 0.71
-3 .0.73 9.7 9.6 .7.4 1.44 0.68
-4 -1.06 8.2 11.1 -7.7 1.38 0.65
- 6 -1.41 7.1 13.0 -8.2 1.35 0.64
-6 .1.75 6.3 15.0 -8.8 1.35 0.64
526 264 263 34.6
527 264 263 35.3
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
452 227 226 25.4
469 234 234 27.2
484 242 242 28.8
496 248 248 30.3
507 254 254 31.5
516 258 258 32.7
523 262 261 33.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.70 20.9 7.0
0.63 20.2 7.2
0.53 19.1 7.3
0.43 18.1 7.4
0.34 17.4 7.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.25 16.9 8.3
0.15 16.6 9.0
0.03 16.3 9.9
-0.07 16.0 10.6
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... ............................ Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
....
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 popufation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males .................... .......... ............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
9 0.81 30.5 21.3 .1.0 3.70 1.20
9 0.79 30.4 21.5 -1 .0 3.50 1.18
11 0.88 29.7 19.9 .1.0 3.34 1.19
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
1125 542 582
1150 559 591
1159 569 590
1162 577 585
1159 582 577
l153 583 570
1142 581 562
1128 575 553
1111 567 545
13.1 26.7 24.3 5.0 3.2 0.4 50.8 18.9
12.0 25.0 25.6 5.4 3.5 0.4 52.2 20.0
11.2 23.6 24.9 5.9 3.9 0.5 53.1 21.1
10.5 22.4 23.5 6.2 4.3 0.6 54.5 22.3
10.0 21.4 22.6 6.3 4.5 0.7 56.2 23.3
9.4 20.4 21.8 6.1 4.6 0.8 58.1 24.3
8.8 19.4 21.1 5.9 4.4 0.9 59.5 25.4
8.2 18.3 20.3 5.8 4.2 1 .0 59.9 26.6
7.7 17.2 19.5 6.6 4.2 1 .0 59.5 27.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
5 0.44 26.6 21 .1 -1 .1 3.20 1.03
2 0.16 24.3 21.6 -1 0 2.70 0.91
.
1 0.06 22.4 20.7 -1.0 2.34 0.83
-1 .0.05 21 .0 20.5 -1.0 2.14 0.80
-
1
.0.11 19.5 19.6 -1 0 1.98 0.78
.
-2 -0.19 18.2 19.0 -1 0 1.85 0.76
.
-3 .0.25 16.9 18.4 -1.1 1.73 0.73
3 .0.30 15.8 17.7 -1 .1 1.64 0.71
-
.3 .0.32 14.6 16.7 -1.1 1.55 0.68
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (yeas) ............................ ..
1 125 542 562 18.9
1 178 573 605 19.5
1 238 609 629 19.8
1 313 653 660 19.5
1 394 700 694 19.0
1 488 752 736 19.1
1 602 812 790 19.3
1 741 884 857 19.6
1 904 967 936 19.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate @er 1.000 population) ..
0.93 31.7 21.3
1 .00 32.4 21.4
1.17 32.3 19.7
1.19 31.3 18.5
1.31 30.6 16.7
1.48 30.8 15.3
1.66 31.3 14.1
1.79 31.5 13.0
1.88 31.2 11.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2 091 1 062 1029 19.8
SWEDEN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ..................... . ................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
SWEDEN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
55 0.60 12.8 10.1 3.3 2.05 0.99
63 0.66 13.7 9.7 2.6 2.24 1.08
73 0.74 14.4 9.6 2.5 2.35 1.13
70 0.69 14.0 9.6 2.5 2.35 1.13
60 0.58 13.2 9.8 2.4 2.35 1.13
57 0.53 13.0 10.0 2.3 2.35 1.13
65 0.59 13.8 10.1 2.3 2.35 1.13
78 0.68 14.6 10.0 2.2 2.35 1.14
87 0.73 14.9 9.7 2.1 2.35 1.14
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4........................ .. Percentage aged 5-14..................... .. Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentageaged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
27 0.29 9.8 10.1 3.3 1.55 0.74
..
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................... ........................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Median age (years)................................
9 038 4 481 4 557 40.2
9 206 4 572 4 633 41.2
9 355 4 654 4 701 42.1
9 513 4 736 4 777 42.7
9 653 4 806 4 847 43.1
9 749 4 851 4 899 43.6
9 803 4 874 4 929 44.5
9 835 4 888 4 947 45.4
9 862 4 902 4 960 45.5
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.37 10.5 10.1
0.32 10.4 9.9
0.34 10.6 9.9
0.29 10.5 10.1
0.20 10.0 10.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
0.11 9.6 11.0
0.07 9.5 11.4
0.05 9.5 11.5
0.05 9.6 11.6
SWITZERLAND A. ESTIMATES Indicator PopulaUon (thouunda) Total .................................................... Males ...........................
.............................
........
Sex ratio (males per 100 fema Aga di.trlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Peccentageaged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or ovar .................. Percentageagad 65 or Over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage d women aged 1549 ......... M e d i age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1635
1990
1995
2OOO
4694 2262 2432 93.0
4980 2407 2573 93.5
5362 2630 2732 96.3
5857 2853 3004 95.0
6187 3022 3164 95.5
6339
3090 3249 95.1
6319 3074 3245 94.7
8536 3185 3351 95.1
6834 3371 3463 97.3
7133 3486 3648 95.6
7263 3552 3712 95.7
8.7 14.8 14.4 14.0 9.6 1.2 50.4 33.3 114
8.1 16.1 13.5 14.5 9.9 1.3 48.5 33.3 121
8.2 15.5 15.4 14.9 10.1 1.5 48.1 32.5 130
8.8 15.3 16.5 15.5 10.5 1.6 47.8 31.6 142
8.1 15.7 15.4 16.4 11.4 1.8 48.2 31.9 150
6.7 15.8 14.6 17.5 12.6 2.1 48.4 33.1 154
5.6 14.1 15.3 18.3 13.8 2.8 49.1 34.8 153
5.7 11.8 15.5 19.2 14.2 3.2 50.2 38.2 158
5.9 11.0 14.0 19.1 14.3 3.7 50.7 36.4 166
6.2 11.7 12.5 18.5 13.9 3.7 50.2 36.5 1 73
5.6 12.0 11.6 19.5 14.6 3.9 48.4 38.4 176
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1865-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1-1635 Populationchange per year (tbsands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thMlsands) ................... Population Qrowthrale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Clude death rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) .. Total fertility (chHdren per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant rortalii rate @er t ,ooOlive births) L k upactmcy at blrth (yeafa)
Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
57
76 90 51
99 106 53
49 1.18 11.3 10.1 2.28 1.08 29
t .a
t .n
17.5 9.9 2.34 1 .cm 23
18.9 9.5 2.51 1.17
20
66 106 56 1.10 17.7 9.3 2.27 1.07 17
67.0 71.6 69.2
68.2 73.4 70.7
68.9 74.6 71.7
69.4 75.1 72.2
84
30 89 56 0.49 14.2 9.0 1.82 0.86 13 70.8 77.0 73.8
- 4 73 57
1985-1990 1880-1995 19952OOO 2OOO-2005
11.6 9.0 1.53 0.73 10
43 74 59 0.67 11.5 9.2 1.53 0.73 8
60 79 61 0.89 11.8 9.1 1.53 0.73 7
60 86 86 0.86 12.3 9.4 1.54 0.74 6
26 81 61 0.36 11.2 8.4 1.47 0.71 5
32 72 60 0.44 9.8 8.1 1.42 0.68 4
72.0 78.6 75.2
72.9 79.6 76.2
74.0 80.7 77.4
74.7 81.4 77.8
76.3 82.3 79.4
77.9 83.2 80.7
-0.08
B. MEDIUM VARIANT
Papulatlon ( t h w m d a ) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ......... Sex ratio (males Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 60 or Percentage aged 65 or OYer .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.. P e m n t a p in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 16-23.......... -taw Median age ( Populationdensity (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
7424 3620 3805 95.1
7567 38TI 3890 94.5
7899 3 728 3 971 93.9
7838 3 781 4 057 93.2
7 978 3834 4 143 92.5
8 104 3880 4 224 91.9
8202 3 912 4290 91.2
8 278 3935 4343 90.6
8350 3958 4 392 90.1
8434 3990 4444 89.8
4.9 11.8 12.0 21.1 15.4 4.3 7.0 3.8 3.6 7.2 47.6 40.1 180
4.7 10.7 12.6 23.0 17.0 4.7 6.2 3.5 3.8 7.6 46.7 41.8 183
4.7 9.8 12.5 24.6 18.7 5.2 5.8 3.1 3.4 7.7 44.8 42.9 186
4.9 9.6 11.4 26.7 20.0 5.6 5.7 2.9 3.1 7.0 42.6 43.4 190
5.1 9.8 10.5 29.0 21.9 6.5 5.9 2.9 3.0 6.4 41.4 43.6 193
5.2 10.3 10.3 30.6 23.9 7.4 6.2 3.0 3.0 6.2 40.8 43.8 196
5.1 10.5 10.6 31.1 25.5 8.1 6.3 3.2 3.2 6.3 40.3 44.1 199
5.0 10.5 11.1 30.8 25.7 9.1 6.3 3.2 3.3 6.7 40.0 44.6 201
5.1 10.4 11.4 30.7 25.2 10.3 6.2 3.2 3.3 6.9 39.4 44.7 202
5.4 10.5 11.3 30.7 25.0 11.0 6.2 3.2 3.2 6.9 39.1 44.2 204
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2o25-2030 203J-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Populatm change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands)..................... Deaths per year (thousands)................... Net mbratitm per year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1 .ooOpopulation) .. Net migmtitm rate (per 1 ,ooOpopulation) . Total fefiility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfantmortalii rate (per t ,ooOl i births) Under-five mortality (per 1,ooO live him) Llh qmctancy at birth (yemu) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sem combined ...........................
442
28 69 61 0.38 9.2 8.1 2.7 1.42 0.69 4 5
27 71 64 20 0.35 9.3 8.4 2.6 1.45 0.70 4 5
79.0 84.2 81.7
79.6 84.8 82.3
20
28 78 68 0.23 9.8 8.8 2.6 1.50 0.72 4 5
28 80 72 20 0.35 10.2 9.2 2.5 1.55 0.75 4 5
80.2 85.3 82.8
80.7 85.9 83.4
20
20
15
82
82
14 64
86
90
20
20
0.31 10.2 9.6 2.5 1.80 0.77 4 5
82 20 0.24 10.0 10.1 2.5 1.65 0.80 3 4
0.19 9.9 10.5 2.4 1.70 0.82 3 4
0.17 10.2 10.8 2.4 1.75 0.85 3 4
17 89 93 20 0.20 10.6 11.0 2.4 1 .80 0.87 3 4
81.3 86.4 83.9
81.8 87.0 84.5
82.3 87.5 85.0
82.8 88.1 85.6
83.3 88.6 86.1
25 82 77
20
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensiveTables
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
40 0.53 10.7 8.1 2.7 1.67 0.81
46 0.59 11.7 8.3 2.6 1.85 0.89
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Age diarlbution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per wornan) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................ ..................... Fernales .................... ...... ............... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
17 0.22 7.7 8.1 2.7 1 .17 0.57
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................. Males .............................................. Females ........................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
7424 3 620 3805 40.1
7564 3 676 3889 41 .8
7689 3 723 3966 43.0
7807 3 766 4042 43.6
7910 3 800 4111 43.9
7983 3 818 4165 44.4
8016 3 817 4199 45.0
8018 3 802 4217 45.8
8000 3 778 4222 46.3
0.37 9.2 8.1
0.33 9.1 8.4
0.31 9.3 8.8
0.26 9.3 9.2
0.18 9.0 9.7
0.08 8.6 10.2
0.00 8.3 10.8
.0.05 8.3 11.2
-0.07 8.4 11.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
7974 3 754 4220 46.5
SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.....................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
18 894 9539 9355 102.0
21 428 10821 10607 102.0
23 510 11877 11632 102.1
25 573 12922 12651 102.1
27 519 13899 13620 102.0
29 294 14786 14508 101.9
30 921 15594 15327 101.7
32 403 16324 16079 101.5
33 754
13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 14.2 6.9 7.2 13.9 53.7 20.6 102
12.4 22.1 20.9 5.0 3.3 0.5 13.4 6.3 6.1 12.6 54.7 22.5 116
11.4 21.6 18.7 5.7 3.6 0.6 13.2 6.1 5.8 11.0 54.6 24.0 127
10.1 20.7 18.2 6.7 4.3 0.6 12.5 6.1 5.8 10.7 54.9 25.6 138
8.9 19.0 18.4 7.9 5.1 0.7 11.4 5.8 5.8 10.9 55.2 27.3 149
8.0 17.1 18.0 9.5 6.2 0.9 10.1 5.3 5.4 10.8 54.8 29.2 158
7.4 15.5 16.9 11.6 7.6 1.2 9.2 4.8 4.9 10.2 53.2 31.2 167
7.0 14.3 15.4 14.1 9.3 1.5 8.5 4.4 4.5 9.3 51.3 33.2 175
6.8 13.5 14.1 77.1 11.5 1.9 8.1 4.1 4.1 8.5 49.7 35.2 182
16982 16771 101.3
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................. ............. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC C. HIGHVARIANT lndlcator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18 894 9539 9355
21 643 10 931 10 712
24 113 12 186 11 927
26 690 13 493 13 197
29 172 14 745 14 428
31 543 15 936 15 808
33 887 17 112 16 776
36 257
38654
18 295 17 961
19 490 19 164
40 936 20622 20 315
13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 53.7 20.6
13.3 21.9 20.7 4.9 3.3 0.5 54.2 22.2
12.7 22.0 18.2 5.6 3.5 0.5 53.3 23.3
11.6 22.1 17.5 6.4 4.1 0.6 52.6 24.3
10.2 21.o 18.0 7.5 4.8 0.7 52.9 25.5
9.3 19.2 18.6 8.9 5.7 0.8 52.8 26.9
8.9 17.4 18.0 10.6 6.9 1.1 51.8 28.4
8.7 16.4 16.6 12.6 8.3 1.3 50.4 29.9
8.6 16.0 15.2 15.0 10.0 1.7 49.2 31.5
8.3 15.9 14.5 16.9 12.0 2.1 48.3 32.8
Popul.tkn (rnWund8) Males ................................................... Femeles ............................................... dl.trlbul&n Percentage aged M ............................ Peromlage aged 514 .......................... PercenIa!p aged 1524 ......................... Percentaged 60 or owr ..................
Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or owr .................. percentage of mxnen aged 1549 .........
Median age (years) .................................
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) poprletion growth rale (per cant) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO popllalkn) .... Crude death rale (per 1,OOO population) .. Net migration rale @er 1,OOOpopulatkn) . Total fertility (children per wunan) ........... Net repmduction rale (par wanan) ..........
550 2.72 28.7 3.4 1.8 3.33 1.59
494 2.16
27.3 3.4 -2.4 3.17 1.51
515 2.03 24.7 3.4 -1.0 3.01 1.44
4m 1.78 21.6 3.4 4.4 2.79 1.34
474 1.56 19.6 3.7 -0.3 2.61 1.25
469 1.43 18.6 4.0 -0.3 2.45 1.18
474 1.35 18.2 4.4 -0.3 2.35 1.13
480
456
1.28 18.0 4.9 -0.3 2.35 1.13
1.15 17.2 5.5 -0.3 2.35 1.13
D. LOW VARIANT
PopuWon (thouund.) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Fema)es ............................................... Age dlrtrlbutkn h t a g e aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5 1 4 .......................... Pemtaga aged 1524 ......... Percentage aged 60 or.. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage o f m aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18 894 9539 9355
21 213 10 712 10 502
22908 11 589 11 338
24 457 12 351 12 106
25 868 13 054 12 813
27 064 13 645 13 419
28026 14 113 13 913
28 738 14 448 14 289
29 225 14 685 14 560
29445 14 742 14 703
13.0 23.6 23.2 4.7 3.2 0.4 53.7 20.8
11.5 22.3 21.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 55.3 22.7
10.0 21.3 19.2 5.9 3.7 0.6 56.0 24.7
8.4 19.2 19.1 7.0 4.4 0.7 57.4 26.9
7.4 16.8 18.7 8.4 5.4 0.8 57.9 29.2
6.5 14.6 17.3 10.3 6.7 0.9 57.1 31.7
5.8 13.1 15.4 12.8 8.3 1.3 54.7 34.2
5.2 11.8 13.7 15.9 10.5 1.7 52.1 38.9
4.9 10.7 12.5 19.8 13.2 2.2 49.8 39.6
4.5 9.9 11.4 23.5 16.7 3.0 47.3 42.2
20052010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2WO-2035 20352040 2M0-2045 2045-2050 Poplrati change per year )-( . popdatkn gmwlh rale @er cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.ooO population) .... Crude death rale (per 1,OOO populatkn) .. Net m r a l h rate (per 1.OOO p0Pu)ation) Total M i d y (children per woman) ........... Net reproductrw, rale (per women) ..........
.
464
339
2.32 24.7 3.4 1.8 2.83 1.35
1.54 21.2 3.4 -2.4 2.37 1.13
310 1.31 17.7 3.5 -1.1 2.01 0.96
282 1.12 15.3 3.7 -0.4 1.79 0.88
239 0.90 13.5 4.1 -0.4 1.61 0.77
192 0.70 12.0 4.6 -0.4 1.45 0.70
142 0.50 10.7 5.3 -0.4 1.35 0.65
97 0.34 9.9 6.2 -0.3 1.35 0.65
44 0.15 9.1 7.2 -0.3 1.35 0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
POpuMon (thownd.) Total .................................................... M a b ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
18894 9 539 9 355 20.6
21747 10 984 10 763 22.1
24470 12 368 12 102 22.9
27486 13 900 13 586 23.4
30701 15 527 15 174 23.8
34108 17 250 16 859 24.3
37827 19 128 18 699 25.1
41919 21 194 20 725 25.8
46383 23 436
51103 25 828 25 278 26.5
22 927 26.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2065-2050 Populationgrowlh rale (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rale @er 1,OOOpopulatkn) ..
2.81 29.7 3.4
2.36 29.3 3.4
2.33 27.5 3.3
2.21 25.8 3.4
2.11 24.8 3.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.07 24.7 3.7
2.05 24.8 4.0
2.02 24.6 4.3
1.95 24.2 4.6
445
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
6550 3 253 3 297 98.7
7062 3 493 3 570 97.8
7703 3 806 3 897 97.7
8342 4 118 4 224 97.5
8929 4 404 4 526 97.3
9434 4 647 4 787 97.1
9857 4 849 5 008 96.8
10204 5 014 5 191 96.6
10505 5 156 5 349 96.4
13.1 26.2 22.3 5.1 3.9 0.5 15.7 7.9 7.9 12.7 51.5 19.2 46
12.2 23.8 23.3 5.0 3.6 0.7 14.2 7.2 7.2 14.0 53.2 20.9 49
11.8 21 .8 21.6 5.5 3.5 0.7 13.1 6.5 6.5 13.0 53.7 22.6 54
11.1 20.8 19.7 6.6 3.9 0.9 12.6 6.0 5.9 11 8 53.9 24.2 58
9.9 20.1 18.4 8.1 5.0 0.7 12.2 5.9 5.7 10.9 54.2 25.9 62
8.8 18.9 17.9 9.2 6.3 0.8 11.3 5.7 5.6 10.6 54.9 27.7 66
7.8 17.1 17.8 10.3 7.2 1.0 10.2 5.4 5.5 10.6 55.0 29.5 69
7.2 15.5 17.1
6.9 14.2 15.7 13.2 8.9 l .9 8.4 4.4 4.6 9.6 51.5 33.2 73
.
11.4
8.0 1.4 9.2 4.9 5.0 10.3 53.5 31.4 71
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TAJl KISTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .......................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
6 550 3 253 3 297
7 137 3 531 3 606
7 914 3 914 4 000
8 739 4 320 4 418
13.1 26.2 22.3 5.1 3.9 0.5 51.5 19.2
13.1 23.6 23.1 5.0 3.6 0.7 52.7 20.6
13.2 22.1 21.1 5.4 3.4 0.7 52.3 22.0
12.7 22.2 18.8 6.3 3.8 0.8 51.5 23.0
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OM) population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
117 1.72 29.5 6.5 -5.8 3.60 1.59
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .......................... ....................... Females ............................................. Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
88 1.30 25.2 6.3 -5.9 3.10 1.37
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .................... . . . ...................... Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
6550 3 253 3297 19.2
7181 3 553 3628 20.5
8066 3 991 4075 21.5
9073 4 491 4582 22.0
10139 5 021 5119 22.1
11255 5 576 5679 22.4
12471 6 182 6288 22.8
13844 6 871 6973 23.3
15394 7 651 7742 23.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.84 30.8 6.6
2.33 32.3 6.5
2.35 32.1 6.3
2.22 30.3 6.0
2.09 28.5 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2.05 27.9 5.7
2.09 28.1 5.7
2.12 28.4 5.8
2.11 28.1 5.8
17104 8 515 8589 23.9
THAILAND
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950 Population (thousands) . . ....................... 20 607 Total ..................... Males ................................................... 10337 Females .............................................. 10 270 Sex ratio (males per l00 females) ........... 100.7 Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4........................... 16.4 Percentage aged 5-14.......................... 25.7 Percentage aged 15-24......................... 20.1 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. 5.0 Percentage aged 65 or over .................. 3.2 Percentage aged 80 or over .................. 0.4 Percentage of women aged 15-49......... 47.2 Median age (years) ................................. 18.6 Population density (population per sq km) 40
1955
1960
23 757 11918 1 1 838 100.7
27 652 13876 13 776 100.7
17.5 24.5 19.9 5.0 3.2 0.4 47.3 18.7 46
18.0 25.5 18.4 5.1 3.1 0.3 45.6 18.4 54
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
63 003 30 737 32 266 95.3
65 125 31 641 33 484 94.5
66 763 32 335 34 429 93.9
67 990 32 840 35 150 93.4
68 803 33 149 35 654 93.0
69 218 33 269 35 950 92.5
69 260 33 218 36 042 92.2
68 940 33 016 35 924 91.9
68 286 32 688 35 598 91.8
7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 8.6 4.5 4.7 9.7 55.9 32.6 123
6.9 13.7 14.8 13.0 8.7 1.6 8.1 4.2 4.3 9.0 53.1 34.7 127
6.5 13.2 13.7 15.6 10.2 2.0 7.9 4.0 4.0 8.3 49.9 36.5 130
6.1 12.8 13.1 18.5 12.4 2.4 7.6 3.9 3.9 7.8 47.0 38.2 133
5.8 12.1 12.8 21.5 14.9 2.7 7.2 3.7 3.9 7.7 44.7 39.8 134
5.6 11.5 12.5 24.0 17.4 3.3 6.8 3.6 3.7 7.6 43.0 41.2 135
5.5 11.1 12.0 26.1 19.5 4.2 6.6 3.4 3.5 7.3 41.6 42.3 135
5.4 10.9 11.6 27.6 21.2 5.3 6.5 3.3 3.4 7.0 40.4 43.1 134
5.3 10.8 11.3 28.8 22.4 6.3 6.4 3.3 3.3 6.8 39.6 43.7 133
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ........ Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ...................... . . . .. ................ Females .......................... . . . . ........... Both sexes combined ...................... ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
THAILAND C. HtGHVARlANT
Indicator Popuintlon (thousands) Total ....................................................
............................................... Age dlstflbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percent* aged 60 OT over .................. Percentage aged 65 or WB( .................. Percentage aged 80 or over ..... Percentage of woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
63003 30 737 32266
65 746 31 959 33 788
88 337 33 139 35 198
70701 34226 36475
72633 35106 37526
74255 35842 38413
75721 36519 39203
77110 37190 39920
78409 37660 40549
79 603 38535 41 069
7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 55.9 32.6
7.8 13.5 14.7 12.9 8.6 1.6 52.6 34.3
7.8 13.8 13.4 15.2 9.9 1.9 48.8 35.7
7.5 14.5 12.6 17.6 11.9 2.3 45.3 36.6
7.1 14.3 13.0 20.4 14.2 2.5 43.3 37.8
6.9 13.8 13.8 22.4 16.3 3.0 42.2 38.5
6.9 13.3 13.7 23.9 17.8 3.9 41.6 38.7
7.1 13.2 13.3 24.7 18.9 4.8 41 .O 38.4
7.1 13.4 12.8 25.1 19.5 5.5 40.8 38.1
7.1 13.7 12.8 25.2 19.7 5.9 41.2 38.2
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude Mrlh rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Crude daath rate (per 1,WOpopulaliatioo) .. Net migrath rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproducticm rate (per woman) ..........
549 0.85 16.4 8.5 0.5 2.10 0.99
518 0.77 16.2 6.8 0.3 2.25 1 .06
473 0.68 15.6 9.1 0.3 2.35 1.11
388 0.54 14.6 9.5 0.3 2.35 1.11
324 0.44 14.2 10.1 0.3 2.35 1.12
260
293 0.39 14.3 10.6 0.3 2.35 1.12
278 0.36 14.5 11.2 0.3 2.35 1.12
0.33 14.7 11.6 0.3 2.35 1.12
239 0.30 14.5 11.8 0.3 2.35 1.12
D. LOWVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4. Percentage aged 514
Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage d maged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
63003 30 737 32266
64503
31 323 33 180
65 189 31 530 33880
65 279 31 454 33 824
64984 31 198 33 787
64 258 30 734 33 524
63044 30043 33001
61 317 29 122 32 194
59 129 28 010 31 119
56622 26793 29830
7.2 14.5 16.1 11.3 7.8 1.3 55.9 32.6
6.0 13.8 15.0 13.1 8.8 1.7 53.5 35.0
5.2 12.6 14.0 15.9 10.4 2.0 51 .O 37.3
4.6 10.9 13.6 19.3 12.9 2.5 48.9 39.7
4.4 9.6 12.6 22.7 15.8 2.8 46.3 41.8
4.2 8.9 11.1 25.8 18.8 3.5 43.8 43.8
4.0 8.6 9.9 26.7 21.4 4.7 41.4 45.8
3.7 8.3 9.4 31.1 23.8 6.0 39.3 47.4
3.5 7.9 9.3 33.3 25.0 7.3 37.6 49.0
3.3 7.4 9.1 35.4 27.7 8.4 36.1 50.5
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Poprlation change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Clw)e birth rate (per 1.OW populattion) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1,WOpopulation) . Total fertility (children per m n ) ........... Net reproduction rate (per m n ) ..........
300 0.47 12.6 8.5 0.5 1.60 0.75
137 0.21 10.8 9.0 0.3 1.45 0.68
18 0.03 9.6 9.6 0.3 1.35 0.64
-59 -0.09
9.2 10.4 0.3 1.35 0.64
-
145 -0.23 8.7 11.3 0.3 1.35 0.64
-
243 -0.38 8.2 12.3 0.3 1.35 0.64
-
345 -0.56 7.6 13.5 0.3 1.35 0.64
-438 -0.73 7.1 14.7 0.3 1.35 0.65
-
501 -0.87 6.7 15.7 0.3 1.35 0.85
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
63003 30 737
65058 31 808 33 451 34.7
66824 32 283 34 361 38.6
67774 32 730 35 044 38.4
68512 33 001 35 512 40.0
68851 33 081 35 770 41.4
88798 32 981 35 815 42.6
68353 32 717 35 637 43.5
67556 32 315 35 241 44.2
66497 31 837 34 880 44.8
32 288 32.6
20M2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cnrde birth rate (per 1,WOpopulation) .... Cnrde death rate (per 1 ,WOpopulation) ..
0.64 14.3 6.5
0.48 13.4 8.9
0.34 12.5 9.4
0.22 11.6 10.0
0.10 11.4 10.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.02
11.0 11.5
-0.13 10.8 12.3
-0.24 10.5 13.1
-0.32 10.3 13.7
449
TIMOR-LESTE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... ...... .............. Females ............................................ Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1067 542 526 103.0
1271 645 626 103.1
1504 764 740 103.1
1749 888 861 103.2
2011 1022 990 103.2
2284 1 159 1124 103.1
2564 1301 1263 103.1
2856 1449 1407 103.0
3158 1 601 1557 102.8
17.1 28.0 19.7 4.6 2.7 0.2 17.5 7.2 6.5 11.6 45.1 17.3 72
17.9 26.9 19.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 16.4 7.5 6.6 11.2 45.0 17.5 85
17.2 26.7 19.7 4.8 3.0 0.3 16.7 6.8 6.7 11.4 45.6 17.8 101
16.5 27.4 19.2 5.1 3.1 0.3 17.0 7.4 6.2 11.3 45.4 18.0 118
15.4 26.9 19.7 5.3 3.4 0.4 16.5 7.4 6.9 11.2 46.9 18.5 135
14.1 25.9 20.7 5.4 3.6 0.4 15.8 7.4 6.8 12.1 49.1 19.5 151
13.0 24.4 20.9 5.8 3.7 0.5 14.8 7.1 6.8 12.2 50.8 20.8 172
12.3 22.8 20.6 6.0 4.0 0.5 13.8 6.7 6.5 12.2 52.2 22.1 192
11.6 21.6 19.7 6.7 4.2 0.6 13.1 6.3 6.1 11.7 52.9 23.5 212
2005-2010 2010-2015 201 5-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cenl) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) ... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1 067 542 526
1 280 650 630
1 530 777 753
1 801 915 886
2 095 1064 1031
2 407 1222 1184
2 741 1391 1349
3 103 1575 1528
3 495 1773 1722
17.1 28.0 19.7 4.6 2.7 0.2 45.1 17.3
18.5 26.7 19.3 4.6 2.9 0.3 44.7 17.3
18.1 26.8 19.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 44.8 17.4
17.5 28.0 18.7 4.9 3.0 0.3 44.1 17.3
16.3 27.9 19.3 5.1 3.2 0.4 45.5 17.7
15.0 27.0 20.7 5.2 3.4 0.4 47.7 18.5
14.2 25.4 21.1 5.4 3.5 0.4 49.4 19.6
13.6 24.0 20.8 5.5 3.7 0.5 50.7 20.8
13.1 23.0 19.8 6.1 3.8 0.5 51.3 21.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045.2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
43 3.63 43.6 9.0 1.7 6.78 2.82
50 3.57 42.0 7.9 1.4 6.40 2.75
59 3.02 36.5 5.9 -0.5 5.41 2.44
54 3.27 40.0 6.8 .0.6 5.99 2.64
62 2.78 33.3 5.2 -0.4 4.82 2.22
67 2.60 31.0 4.7 .0.4 4.28 1.99
73 2.49 29.5 4.4 -0.3 3.85 1.81
78 2.38 28.2 4.2 .0.3 3.53 1.67
83 2.23 26.6 4.0 -0.3 3.28 1.56
4012 2038 1973 16.0
4905 2492 2413 15.9
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousanda) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Perc'entage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
39 3.36 40.6 8.9 1.7 6.28 2.61
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thousanda) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
1067 542 526 17.3
1286 653 633 17.2
1556 790 766 17.0
1872 951 921 16.3
2254 1146 1109 16.0
2719 1382 1337 16.1
3294 1674 1620 16.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.73 44.5 9.1
3.82 44.7 8.0
3.70 44.4 6.9
3.71 43.5 6.0
3.75 42.9 5.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wow Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.84 43.2 4.6
3.94 43.6 4.1
4.02 43.9 3.6
4.05 43.8 3.3
6006 3051 2954 15.8
TFYR MACEDONIA (*)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .............................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. . ................. Females ............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TFYR MACEDONIA (")
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
4 0.21 13.1 10.0 .1.0 1.93 0.91
2 0.06 12.2 10.5 -0.9 1.98 0.94
.1 -0.04 11.5 10.9 -0.9 2.03 0.96
.1 -0.07 11.6 11.4 -0.9 2.08 0.99
.1 .0.06 12.2 11.8 -1 .0 2.13 1 01
.1 .0.06 12.6 12.2 -1 .0 2.18 1 .04
.2 .0.08 12.7 12.5 .1.0 2.23 1 .06
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
..
5
0.26 12.7 9.1 .1.0 1.68 0.79
5
0.25 13.1 9.6 .1.0 1.78 0.84
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
.......................... .........................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.MX) population) .... Crude death rate (per l.OW population) .. Net migrat~onrate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.2 .0.1 1 9.0 9.2 -1.0 1.18 0.55
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ............................ .............. Median age (years) ....................... .. ......
..
2 034 1015 1 019 34.3
2 052 1023 1 029 35.9
2 060 1027 1 033 37.6
2 056 1025 1 031 39.4
2 036 1015 1 022 41.3
2 003 998 1 005 43.1
1 960 976 985 44.9
1 910 950 960 46.5
1 850 920 930 47.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
0.18 11.9 9.2
0.09 11.5 9.7
.0.04 10.8 10.2
.0.19 9.8 10.8
.0.33 9.1 11.4
(') The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedmia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division Worfd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.0.43 8.7 12.0
.0.53 8.6 12.8
.0.63 8.3 13.6
.0.74 8.0 14.3
1 783 887 896 48.6
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... .. .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TOGO C. HIGHVARIANT Indicator Population (thousand.) Total ....................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6239 3086 3153
7180 3554 3625
8210 4068 4143
9307 4613 4694
10434 5174 5260
11593 5751 5843
12783 6342 6441
13985 6939 7046
15170 7526 7844
16 314 8 091 8222
20.4 4.8 3.1 0.3 48.9 18.1
16.1 26.2 20.3 4.8 3.1 0.3 47.5 18.5
15.3 25.8 20.1 5.1 3.2 0.4 48.2 19.1
14.4 25.4 19.9 5.4 3.4 0.4 49.1 19.8
13.3 24.4 20.1 5.7 3.7 0.4 50.4 20.8
12.5 23.2 20.2 6.2 4.1 0.5 51.5 22.0
11.8 21.9 19.8 6.8 4.4 0.6 52.2 23.2
11.1 20.9 19.1 7.6 4.9 0.7 52.5 24.4
10.4 20.0 18.4 8.6 5.6 0.7 52.6 25.8
9.6 19.0 17.8 9.7 6.4 0.9 52.6 27.2
Aga dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .... Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof woman aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population change per year (thousands). Population grovvth rate (per cent) Crude biltt, rate (per 1,OOO populath) Crude death rate (per 1,OOO population) Net migrationrate (per 1,OOO population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproductbn rate (per woman) ..........
............
.... .. .
...........
188 2.81 38.5 10.3 -0.2 5.05 2.08
206 2.88 38.1 9.3 0.0 4.62 1 .@5
219 2.51 33.5 8.4 0.0 4.19 1 .81
225 2.29 30.6 7.7 0.0 3.75 1.65
232 2.11 20.3 7.2 0.0 3.40 1.52
230
1.95 26.4 6.9 0.0 3.12 1.41
240 1.80 24.6 6.7 0.0 2.89 1.32
237 1 .83 22.8 6.5 0.0 2.69 1.24
229 1.45 21.0 6.5 0.0 2.52 1.17
D. LOW VARIANT
Popuktlon (thousand.) Total .................................................... Males ........ Females ............................................... Age dhtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-1 Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged c#)or over Percentageof women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6239 3088 3 153
7085 3 497 3568
7880 3902 3 978
8 661 4290 4 371
9 418 4666 4 752
10 126 5 017 5 109
10 756 5329 5 427
1 1 282 5 587 5 695
11 697 5 789 5908
1 1 996 5 931 6066
16.5 26.8 20.4 4.8 3.1 0.3 46.9 18.1
14.8 26.6 20.6 4.9 3.2 0.4 48.2 18.9
13.2 25.5 20.9 5.3 3.4 0.4 50.2 20.1
11.8 23.5 21.4 5.8 3.7 0.4 52.7 21.7
10.8 21.5 21.1 6.4 4.1 0.5 54.6 23.4
9.8 19.8 19.9 7.1 4.6 0.6 55.7 25.3
8.7 18.4 18.6 8.1 5.3 0.7 56.1 27.3
7.7 16.9 17.6 9.4 6.1 0.8 56.2 29.4
6.7 15.2 16.8 11.1 7.3 1 .o 55.9 31.7
5.9 13.6 15.8 13.2 8.7 1.2 54.9 34.0
20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population c w per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,OOO population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,OOOpopulation) Net migration rate (per 1,OOO popllaUon) . Total Fertility (childdren per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
..
165 2.49 35.0 10.0 -0.2 4.55 1.88
163 2.18 30.7 8.9 0.0 3.82 1.61
156 1.89 27.0 8.1 0.0 3.19 1.37
151 1.67 24.3 7.6 0.0 2.75 1.21
142 1.45 21.8 7.3 0.0 2.40 1.07
126 1.21 19.2 7.1
105 0.96 16.6 7.1
83 0.72 14.4 7.2
60 0.51 12.6 7.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.12 0.96
1.89 0.86
1.69 0.78
1.52 0.71
2045
2050
21724 10807 10917 18.5
25 550 12 716 12 834 18.5
E. CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousand.) Total ....................................................
M ~ E ................................................... S
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
6239
7238 3584 3854 18.4
8440 4183 4258 18.5
9661 4890 4971 18.4
11520 5717 5802 18.4
13464 6887 6778 18.4
15763 7833 7930 18.5
18491 9194 9297 18.5
3m
F ~ m l ............................................... e ~ Median age (years) .................................
3153 18.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 20252030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 20452050 Population groW~rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OOO p0pU)atkn) .... Crude death rate (per 1 ,OOO poprlatkn)
..
2.97 40.3 10.4
3.07 40.3 9.6
3.11 39.8 8.8
3.1 1 39.1 8.1
3.12 38.6 7.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaiflopulation Division Worki Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.15 38.4 7.0
3.19 38.4 6.5
3.22 38.3 6.1
3.24 38.2 5.8
455
TONGA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ..................... .... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 populat~on).. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TONGA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
0 0.07 15.6 5.6 .9.4 1.96 0.93
0 -0.15 13.7 5.8 .9.4 1 .83 0.87
0 .0.37 12.1 6.2 .9.5 1.72 0.82
.1 .0.57 10.9 6.9 .9.7 1.62 0.78
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 0.66 27.2 5.7 -14.8 4.08 l 91
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
0 0.34 24.0 5.7 .15.0 3.58 1.68
0 0.08 21.3 5.7 .14.8 2.99 1.41
0 0.41 19.6 5.7 .9.8 2.56 1.21
0 0.36 18.8 5.7 .9.6 2.31 1.09
0 0.24 17.4 5.6 .9.4 2.11 1 .00
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) . .................... Total ............................ Males ........................ ....................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ......................... ....
99 51 49 20.6
101 52 50 21.3
104 53 51 22.1
110 57 54 22.9
118 61 57 23.4
125 65 61 23.4
133 69 64 23.5
142 74 68 23.9
151 78 73 24.4
161 84 78 24.9
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
0.41 24.7 5.7
0.53 25.6 5.7
1.16 26.5 5.6
1.27 26.8 5.4
1.29 26.2 5.1
1.25 25.0 4.8
1.22 24.1 4.7
1.25 24.0 4.7
1.32 24.4 4.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Smial Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Populationdensity (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ....................... .................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net m~grationper year (thousands) ......... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................. ................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
8 0.59 17.0 8.1 -3.0 1.89 0.89
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 0.15 12.6 8.2 -3.0 1.39 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................ . . . . ............. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
1 324 651 673 28.6
1 347 662 685 30.5
1 367 671 697 32.9
1 379 675 704 35.6
1 378 673 705 38.2
1 366 666 700 40.8
1 346 654 691 42.8
1 318 639 679 44.3
1 281 620 661 45.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
0.35 14.6 8.1
0.30 14.0 8.1
0.16 12.8 8.2
.0.01 11.4 8.6
.0.17 10.5 9.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.31 10.0 10.1
.0.42 9.8 11.0
.0.56 9.5 12.0
.0.71 9.1 13.0
1 237 597 640 46.1
TUNISIA A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Total fertiiity (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
10105 5 088 5 016 101.4
10664 5 366 5 298 101.3
11204 5 634 5 569 101.2
11712 5 887 5 825 101.1
12170 6 114 6 056 101.0
12529 6 288 6 240 100.8
12797 6 417 6 380 100.6
12992 6 508 6 484 100.4
13121 6 567 6 554 100.2
8.1 17.9 20.9 8.7 6.3 0.8 10.4 6.0 6.4 12.5 57.7 26.7 62
8.0 15.4 19.2 9.1 6.3 1 .0 9.1 4.8 5.3 11.9 57.9 28.8 65
7.6 14.8 16.1 10.4 6.7 1.2 9.0 4.3 4.3 9.9 56.0 31.1
7.3 14.5 14.0 12.3 7.9 1.4 8.7 4.3 4.2 8.3 53.7 33.3 72
6.8 14.0 13.6 14.4 9.6 1.4 8.4 4.2 4.2 8.1 51.5 35.6 74
6.2 13.4 13.5 16.8 11.5 1.6 8.0 4.1 4.1 8.1 49.1 37.7 77
5.8 12.5 13.2 19.4 13.6 2.2 7.4 3.9 4.0 7.9 46.5 39.5 78
5.6 11.6 12.8 22.2 15.7 3.0 6.9 3.6 3.8 7.8 43.9 40.8 79
5.6 11.2 12.2 25.2 18.2 3.8 6.7 3.4 3.5 7.4 41.9 41.7 80
68
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................ Both sexes combined ............................
112 1 74 58 .4 1.08 16.7 5.6 -0.4 1.93 0.91 20 22
108 1 74 62 .4 0.99 15.9 5.7 -0.4 1.82 0.86 17 19
102 173 67 -4 0.89 15.1 5.9 .0.3 1.80 0.85 15 17
91 169 73 - 4 0.77 14.1 6.1 -0.3 1 .84 0.87 13 15
72 157 81 - 4 0.58 12.7 6.6 .0.3 1.85 0.88 ll 13
54 150 92 -4 0.42 11.8 7.3 -0.3 1.85 0.88 10 11
39 148 105 - 4 0.30 11.5 8.1 -0.3 1.85 0.88 10 11
26 148 119 .4 0.20 11.4 9.1 .0.3 1.85 0.88 9 10
11 147 1 32 -4 0.09 11.2 10.0 .0.3 1.85 0.88 8 9
71.9 76.0 73.9
72.6 77.1 74.8
73.4 77.9 75.6
74.2 78.8 76.5
74.9 79.5 77.2
75.6 80.2 77.9
76.3 80.9 78.6
76.9 81.5 79.2
77.5 82.1 79.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
. HIGH VARIANT
C Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... A g e distribution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over Percentageof women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2 0 2 5 m 2030.2035 2035-2040 20462045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
. ........... ..........
134 1.28 18.8 5.6 -0.4 2.18 1.02
145 1.31 19.1 5.7 -0.4 2.22 1 .05
137 1 .09 17.0 5.9 -0.3 2.34 1.11
149 1.26 18.6 5.7 -0.3 2.30 1 .09
116 0.88 15.3 6.2 -0.3 2.35 1.12
104 0.75 14.6 6.7 -0.3 2.35 1.12
102 0.71 14.8 7.4 -0.3 2.35 1.12
102 0.69 15.3 8.1 -0.3 2.35 1.12
97 0.63 15.3 8.7 .0.3 2.35 1.12
.
0 LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thoumnds) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentageaged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (yeas) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
. ............
Populationchange per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per l. OM) population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per women) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
90 0.87 14.6 5.6 .0.4 1.68 0.79
70 0.66 12.7 5.7 .0.4 1.42 0.67
54 0.49 11.3 6.0 -0.4 1.30 0.61
46 0.41 10.9 6.4 -0.4 1.34 0.64
28 0.25 9.9 7.0 -0.3 1.35 0.64
8 0.07 8.9 7.9 -0.3 1.35 0.64
. 14 -0.12 8.2 9.0 -0.3 1.35 0.64
. 35 -0.31 7.6 10.3 -0.4 1.35 0.64
. 54 .0.48 7.2 11.7 .0.4 1.35 0.64
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .
-~
. . p
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
10105 5 088 5 016 26.7
10711 5 390 5 320 28.7
11349 5 709 5 640 30.7
11968 6 019 5 949 32.7
12514 6 292 6 223 34.8
12962 6 512 6 450 36.5
13331 6 692 6 638 37.9
13647 6 646 6 801 38.7
13921 6 981 6 941 39.2
Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per l.000 population)
1.17 17.6 56
1.16 17.6 5.7
1 .06 16.8 5.8
0.89 15.2 6.0
0.70 13.8 6.4
0.55 12.9 7.0
0.47 12.8 7.8
0.40 12.9 8.6
0.31 12.8 9.4
.... ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TURKEY
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1 W 0 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortaliy rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrIh (years) Males ................................................... Females ................................ ....... ........ Both sexes combined ...........................
.
............ ....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................................... Females ...................... .................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage In schod ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ..................... ........... Population density (population per sq km)
72 970 36 769 36 201 101.6
77 703 39 099 38 604 101.3
82 1 1 1 41 264 40 847 101.0
86 070 43 187 42 883 100.7
89 557 44 855 44 702 100.3
92 468 46 214 46 254 99.9
94 887 47 308 47 578 99.4
96 787
48 132 48 655 98.9
98 145 48 698 49 448 98.5
9.1 19.2 18.6 8.2 5.6 0.6 11.6 5.7 5.5 11.2 55.1 26.7 93
8.7 17.5 17.6 8.9 5.9 0.8 10.4 5.5 5.4 10.4 55.2 28.5 99
8.1 16.2 17.0 10.1 6.5 1 .0 9.7 4.9 5.1 10.2 54.7 30.3 1 05
7.6 15.5 15.8 11.8 7.6 1.1 9.3 4.7 4.6 9.6 53.4 32.0 110
7.0 14.7 14.8 13.8 9.0 1.2 8.8 4.5 4.5 8.8 51.8 33.7 114
6.5 13.8 14.4 15.9 10.8 1.5 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 50.0 35.5 118
6.3 13.0 13.8 18.3 12.6 1.9 7.7 4.0 4.1 8.3 48.1 37.1 121
6.1 12.4 13.2 20.7 14.6 2.5 7.4 3.8 3.9 8.0 46.5 38.5 124
5.9 12.1 12.5 22.8 16.6 3.2 7.2 3.6 3.7 7.6 44.9 39.6 125
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
947 1 388 447 6 1.26 18.4 5.9 0.1 2.14 1.01 28 32
882 1 366 491 6 1.10 17.1 6.1 0.1 2.06 0.97 24 27
792 1 332 530 . 10 0.94 15.8 6.3 .0.1 1.98 0.94 21 24
697 1 284 576 . 10 0.79 14.6 6.6 -0.1 1.91 0.91 18 20
582 1 230 638 . 10 0.64 13.5 7.0 .0.1 l .86 0.89 15 17
484 1 210 717 - 10 0.52 12.9 7.7 -0.1 1.85 0.89 13 15
69.4 74.3 71.8
70.3 75.2 72.7
71.3 76.1 73.6
72.3 77.1 74.6
73.2 78.0 75.5
74.0 78.8 76.3
0.40 12.5 8.4 -0.1 1 .85 0.89 12 13
892 l0 0.28 12.0 9.2 ~0.1 1.85 0.89 10 12
160 1 143 972 . 10 0.16 11.6 9.9 .0.1 1.85 0.89 10 11
74.7 79.6 77.1
75.4 80.2 77.8
76.1 80.9 78.5
380
272
1 196
1 174
806
. 10
-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TURKEY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ......................... . ..................... Females ............................. . .......... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
72970 36 769 36 201
78489 39 500 38 989
84190 42 325 41 866
89790 45 086 44 705
94939 47 603 47 337
99665 49 890 49 776
104304 52 119 52 184
108924 54 335 54 588
113386 56 490 56 896
9.1 19.2 18.6 8.2 5.6 0.6 55.1 26.7
9.6 17.4 17.4 8.9 5.9 0.8 54.7 28.2
9.4 16.8 16.5 9.9 6.4 1 .0 53.4 29.6
9.1 17.2 15.1 11.3 7.3 1.0 51.2 30.6
8.4 16.9 14.8 13.0 8.5 1.1 49.7 31 -8
7.9 16.1 15.4 14.8 10.0 1.4 48.5 32.9
7.9 15.2 15.4 16.7 11.5 18 47.3 33.6
7.9 14.7 14.7 18.4 13.0 2.2 46.3 34.0
7.9 14.8 13.9 19.8 14.3 2.7 45.2 34.5
.
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.OW population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) ..........
1 104 1.46 20.5 6.0 0.1 2.39 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
789 1.05 16.4 5.9 0.1 1 .89 0.89
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
72970 36 769 36 201 26.7
77966 39 233 38 733 28.4
82923 41 678 41 245 30.0
87685 44 01 1 43 674 31.4
92207 46 208 45 999 32.8
96409 48 227 48 182 34.0
100298 50 074 50 224 35.1
103875 51 757 52 119 35.8
107138 53 297 53 841 36.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) ..
1.33 19.1 5.9
1.23 18.4 6.1
1.12 17.5 6.3
1.01 16.6 6.5
0.89 15.8 6.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.79 15.3 7.3
0.70 15.1 7.9
0.62 14.8 8.5
0.54 14.5 9.0
TURKMENISTAN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged M) or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1980
1985
1 211 594 617 96.1
1 356 664 691 96.0
1 594 782 812 96.3
1 890 929 961 96.7
11.7 21.1 20.1 9.5 5.9 0.6 52.1 23.5 2
15.3 18.3 19.7 8.6 6.0 0.6 51.1 23.2 3
18.0 21.5 16.2 7.8 5.2 0.7 45.4 21.9 3
18.6 25.8 13.4 7.4 4.7 0.7 40.9 18.8 4
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1950-1955 195C1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) .......................... Males ....................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ............................ ..................... Females ............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
........... ..
2005
2010
4 833 2 380 2 453 97.0
5 163 2 539 2 625 96.7
10.1 21.7 21.5 6.2 4.7 0.6 12.5 7.3 7.2 12.5 55.5 23.3 10
9.7 18.4 21.8 6.3 4.3 0.8 10.9 5.6 6.5 13.3 56.9 25.0 11
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
TURKMENISTAN
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) ..................... Total ......................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
4 833 2 380 2 453
5 218 2 566 2 652
5 647 2 774 2 873
6 080 2 983 3 097
6 453 3 161 3 292
6 777 3 315 3 462
10.1 21.7 21.5 6.2 4.7 0.6 55.5 23.3
10.6 18.3 21.6 6.2 4.2 0.8 56.3 24.8
10.8 18.1 18.3 7.0 4.3 0.8 54.1 26.4
10.3 18.9 15.5 8.5 5.0 0.9 52.4 27.9
9.0 18.9 15.7 10.2 6.3 0.8 51.7 29.5
8.1 17.5 16.8 11.6 7.8 0.9 51.7 30.5
2035
2040
2045
68 0.94 17.9 8.2 .0.3 2.35 1.09
68 0.89 17.8 8.6 -0.3 2.35 1.09
60 0.76 16.8 9.0 -0.3 2.35 1.10
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
77 1.53 24.1 8.4 -0.4 2.75 1.21
86 1.58 24.3 8.1 -0.4 2.69 1.19
87 1 4% 22.9 7.7 -0.3 2.60 1.17
75 1.19 19.6 7.4 -0.3 2.45 1.11
.
65 0.98 17.5 7.4 -0.3 2.35 1.08
65 0.94 17.4 7.8 .0.3 2.35 1.08
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age dislribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
55 1.12 19.6 8.1 -0.4 2.25 0.99
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................... . . ......................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) ................................
4833 2 380 2 453 23.3
5214 2 564 2 650 24.8
5651 2 776 2 875 26.4
6114 3 000 3 114 27.8
6558 3 215 3 343 28.9
6978 3 417 3 561 29.4
7398 3 620 3 778 29.7
7840 3 836 4 005 30.2
8305 4 065 4 239 30.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.52 23.9 8.4
1.61 24.6 8.2
1.58 23.9 7.8
1.40 21.8 7.5
1.24 20.1 7.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.17 19.6 7.6
1.16 19.9 8.0
1.15 20.1 8.3
1.10 19.7 8.5
8773 4 298 4 474 31.3
UGANDA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbution Percentageaged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
..................
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1 1 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 16-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
............ .... ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
UGANDA C. HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
1070 3.39 48.2 13.5 -0.9 6.71 2.55
1284 3.43 46.9 11.8 .0.8 6.40 2.53
1506 3.39 44.4 10.3 -0.2 5.98 2.45
1636 3.13 40.7 9.2 -0.2 5.41 2.27
1748 2.88 37.3 8.3 -0.2 4.81 2.06
l867 2.68 34.6 7.7 .0.2 4.27 1.87
1996 2.52 32.5 7.2 .0.2 3.84 1.71
2115 2.36 30.6 6.9 .0.2 3.52 1.59
2199 2.19 28.7 6.6 .0.1 3.28 1.50
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged W ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Populationchangeperyear(thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertilily (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ...........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ........................ ....................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutfon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 85 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (ch~ldrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
967 3.09 45.0 13.3 -0.9 6.21 2.36
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... 28947 Males .................................................. 14 471 Females ............................................ 14 476 Median age (years) ............................. .. 15.3
34303 17 182 17 121 15.4
41076 20 602 20 474 15.3
49606 24 904 24 703 15.0
60015 30 149 29 866 14.9
72796 36 586 36 210 15.0
88625 44 552 44 074 15.0
108296 54 444 53 851 14.9
132715 66 721 65 994 14.9
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 204-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
3.40 48.2 13.5
3.60 48.7 12.0
3.77 48.4 10.5
3.81 47.7 9.5
3.86 47.3 8.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3.94 47.2 7.8
4.01 47.2 7.1
4.07 47.1 6.5
4.11 47.0 5.9
162998 81 942 81 056 14.8
UKRAINE Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged M ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women eged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rale (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rale (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy al birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age dlatrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in s c h d ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Med~anage (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
46 918 21 662 25 255 85.6
45 170 20 784 24 386 85.2
43 428 19 824 23 504 84.8
41 679 19 092 22 587 84.5
39 879 18 255 21 624 84.4
38 053 17 417 20 636 84.4
36 245 16 800 19 845 84.5
34 468 15 815 18 653 84.8
32 702 15 050 17 652 85.3
4.2 10.4 15.8 20.6 16.1 2.6 5.8 3.8 4.5 9.7 49.0 38.9 78
4.6 9.0 14.1 20.9 15.6 3.4 5.2 2.9 3.5 9.0 47.8 39.6 75
4.8 9.3 11.2 22.3 15.9 3.4 5.6 2.7 2.8 7.0 45.6 40.6 72
4.3 9.7 9.8 24.3 17.2 4.3 5.8 3.0 2.8 5.7 44.3 41.9 69
4.0 9.5 10.0 26.1 19.2 4.0 5.6 3.0 3.1 5.9 43.1 43.6 68
3.8 6.9 10.5 27.2 20.9 4.3 5.2 2.9 3.1 6.4 41.4 45.6 63
3.6 8.3 10.3 28.8 21.8 5.2 4.9 2.7 2.9 6.3 38.6 47.5 60
4.0 6.1 9.7 30.8 23.1 6.2 4.8 2.5 2.7 6.0 35.5 49.2 57
4.1 8.4 9.1 33.8 24.9 6.9 5.0 2.5 2.6 5.5 33.9 50.2 54
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductim rate (per woman) .......... lnfant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Llle expectancy at birth ( y m ) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..................... ................... ............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorM PopulationPraspects: The 2006 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UKRAINE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
.264
. 222
. 217
. 248
. 250
. 216
. 176
. 159
. 163
-0.57 11.0 16.3 0.4 1.47 0.69
-0.49 11.8 16.3 .0.4 1.64 0.78
.0.49 11.4 15.9 .0.5 1.79 0.85
.0.58 10.2 15.5 .0.5 1.84 0.87
-0.60 9.8 15.4 .0.5 1 .89 0.90
.0.53 10.6 15.5 .0.5 1.94 0.92
-0.45 11.7 15.7 -0.5 1.99 0.95
.0.41 12.2 15.8 -0.5 2.04 0.97
.0.43 12.0 15.7 .0.5 2.09 1 .00
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Ago diatrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 1524 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Populationgrowthrate(percent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlalrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentageaged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.W 0 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
. 436 .0.95 7.3 16.4 -0.4 0.97 0.46
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
46 918 21662 25255 38.9
45 060 20727 24333 39.7
43 149 19781 23368 40.8
41 138 18814 22324 42.3
39 045 17826 21219 44.2
36 926 16837 20089 46.4
34 785 15849 18936 48.6
32 587 14847 17740 50.9
30 321 13825 16496 52.6
2005-2010 201 0-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
.0.81 8.7 16.4
.0.87 8.4 16.6
.0.96 7.5 16.5
.1.05 6.6 16.5
-1 .12 6.1 16.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.1.20 5.9 17.3
.1.31 5.7 18.2
.1.44 5.4 19.1
.1.58
5.0 20.1
2050
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
70 35 34 102.8
79 40 39 102.6
17.3 25.0 18.5 5.7 3.4 0.2 45.6 18.9
17.6 25.4 18.4 5.6 3.4 0.2 45.2 18.5
1
1
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
90 45 102.4
144 84 60 138.4
225 141 84 167.4
530 367 163 225.5
1015 701 314 223.2
1410 915 495 184.9
1867 1222 645 189.3
2432 1607 825 194.9
3247 2 190 1057 207.2
17.8 25.9 18.4 5.5 3.4 0.2 44.9 18.2 1
15.4 22.6 21.7 4.1 2.6 0.2 45.8 20.7 2
14.9 19.8 20.2 4.9 3.2 0.4 45.4 22.9 3
12.1 16.1 20.4 3.4 2.0 0.2 47.1 25.4 6
13.3 15.3 17.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 49.7 26.1 12
12.8 16.9 14.6 2.2 1.4 0.2 53.3 26.9 17
12.7 17.2 14.9 2.0 1.3 0.2 52.1 27.4 22
10.1 17.7 16.0 l .9 1.2 0.2 55.2 27.4 29
8.1 15.9 16.4 1.9 1.1 0.2 58.8 28.5 39
46
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................... . . . . ..................... Females ............................ ............... Both sexes combined .........................
126 72 6 60 2.85 16.2 1.4 13.6 2.31 1 .1 1 8 9
106 73 7 40 2.13 14.7 1.4 8.0 2.20 1.06 8 8
71 9 40 1.85 12.9 1.6 7.2 2.11 1.02 7 8
99 70 ll 40 1 .64 11.6 1.8 6.6 2.02 0.98 7 7
97 72 14 40 1.49 11.0 2.2 6.1 1.95 0.44 6 7
96 75 19 40 1.37 10.7 2.7 5.7 1.88 0.91 6 6
93 78 25 40 1.25 10.5 3.4 5.4 1 .85 0.90 5 6
87 81 34 40 1.10 10.2 4.3 5.1 1 .85 0.90 5 6
77 81 44 40 0.93 9.8 5.3 4.8 1.85 0.90 5 5
77.2 81.5 78.7
77.8 82.1 79.3
78.4 82.8 79.9
79.0 83.4 80.5
79.6 84.0 81.1
80.2 84.6 81.6
80.8 85.2 82.2
81.3 85.7 82.8
81.9 86.3 83.4
1 02
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
133 3.01 17.9 1.4 13.5 2.56 1.23
120 2.36 17.1 1.4 7.9 2.60 1.25
119 2.10 15.5 1.6 7.1 2.61 1.26
116 1.86 13.9 1.8 6.4 2.52 1.22
117 1.71 13.4 2.1 5.9 2.45 1.18
120 1.62 13.4 2.6 5.4 2.38 1.15
123 1.54 13.6 3.2 5.0 2.35 1.14
123 1.42 13.5 3.9 4.6 2.35 1.14
117 1.26 13.1 4.8 4.3 2.35 1.14
2050
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growlh rate (percent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
118 2.68 14.5 1.4 13.6 2.06 0.99
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ............................................... Females ........................................... Median age (years) ................................
4 104 2789 1 315 29.4
4 757 3189 1 568 30.9
5 336 3526 1 810 31.7
5 917 3862 2 055 33.2
6 502 4197 2 305 34.4
7 097 4534 2 564 35.2
7 713 4875 2 838 35.7
8 343 5218 3 126 36.1
8 973 5552 3 421 36.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.95 17.3 1.4
2.30 16.4 1.4
2.07 15.1 1.6
1.88 14.2 1.8
1.75 13.8 2.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.66 13.8 2.6
1.57 13.9 3.2
1.46 13.9 3.9
1.32 13.7 4.8
9 587 5868 3 719 37.1
UNITED KINGDOM
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... .. Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage ot women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total tertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ................... . . . . .................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
2000
UNITED KINGDOM
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ............................................... Females ............................................ Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
60 245 29475 30 770
62 008 30445 31 563
64 071 31545 32 526
66 322 32720 33 602
68 469 33826 34 644
70 434 34829 35 605
72 382 35816 36 545
74 497 36918 37 579
76 908 38171 38 736
5.7 12.3 13.0 21.2 16.1 4.5 47.2 38.9
6.6 11.3 13.0 22.6 16.5 4.7 46.2 39.8
7.0 11.8 12.1 23.1 17.7 4.8 43.8 40.0
7.2 13.0 11.1 23.9 18.2 4.9 41.3 39.6
6.9 13.5 11.6 25.3 19.0 5.3 40.5 39.6
6.6 13.5 12.7 26.4 20.3 6.1 40.9 39.7
6.6 13.1 13.3 26.8 21.3 6.4 41.3 39.7
6.9 12.8 13.2 26.4 21.5 6.8 41.3 39.0
7.2 13.0 12.8 26.1 21 .0 7.5 41.2 38.2
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 20352040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
353 0.58 13.5 9.9 2.1 2.07 1.00
413 0.66 14.3 9.8 2.1 2.25 1 .09
450 0.69 14.6 9.7 2.0 2.35 1.14
429 0.64 14.1 9.7 l .9 2.35 1.14
393 0.57 13.5 9.8 1 .9 2.35 1.14
386 0.54 13.5 9.9 1.8 2.35 1.14
427 0.58 14.0 10.0 1 .8 2.35 1.14
482 0.64 14.7 10.0 1.7 2.35 1.14
51 5 0.66 14.9 9.9 1.7 2.35 1.14
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populetlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
60 245 29 475 30 770
61 026 29 942 31 084
61 502 30 229 31 273
61 740 30 373 31 367
61 895 30 457 31 438
61 884 30 448 31 436
61 617 30 31 1 31 306
61 070 30 038 31 032
60 259 29 641 30 618
5.7 12.3 13.0 21.2 16.1 4.5 47.2 38.9
5.1 11.5 13.2 23.0 16.8 4.7 46.9 40.3
4.7 10.7 12.6 24.1 18.5 5.0 45.5 41.5
4.4 9.8 11.9 25.7 19.6 5.3 44.2 42.6
4.4 9.1 11.3 27.9 21 .0 5.8 43.1 43.5
4.4 8.9 10.4 30.1 23.1 6.9 42.4 44.6
4.2 8.9 9.8 31.4 25.1 7.5 41 .1 45.9
4.0 8.7 9.6 32.2 26.2 8.3 39.8 47.1
3.8 8.4 9.7 33.4 26.9 9.5 38.6 48.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 56 0.26 10.4 9.9 2.1 1.57 0.76
95 0.16 9.5 10.0 2.1 1.45 0.70
48 0.08 8.9 10.2 2.1 1.35 0.65
31 0.05 8.9 10.5 2.1 1.35 0.65
-
2 0.00 8.8 10.9 2.1 1.35 0.65
-53 -0.09 8.4 11.4 2.1 1.35 0.65
-109 .0.18 8.0 11.9 2.1 1.35 0.65
-162 .0.27 7.6 12.4 2.1 1.35 0.65
-203 .0.34 7.4 12.9 2.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................. Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) ..
29 475 30 770 38.9
61 272 30 068 31 204 40.2
62 227 30 MM 31 627 41.1
63 123 31 081 32 042 41.7
63 888 31 478 32 409 42.3
64 451 31 764 32 687 43.1
84 792 31 938 32 854 44.0
64 944 32 023 32 921 44.9
64 950 32 045 32 905 45.4
0.34 11.2 9.9
0.31 11.0 10.0
0.29 10.8 10.1
0.24 10.6 10.2
0.18 10.3 10.5
0.11 9.9 10.9
0.05 9.7 11.3
0.00 9.7 11.6
.0.03 9.6 11.9
60 245
Unitd Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
64 844 32 019 32 825 45.7
UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) ... ....................... Total ....................... Males ................................................. Females ..................... ... ..................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population dens~ty(population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................... .. .......................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................... .. ......................... Females ............................................... Sex ralio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ...................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ............................... Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rale (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) .......... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dirtrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentageaged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Cmde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
1 083 2.63 40.8 13.0 -1.5 5.41 2.09
l 221 2.60 37.9 11.8 0.0 4.97 1.97
1 283 2.42 34.9 10.8 0.0 4.50 1.84
1 327 2.22 32.1 9.9 0.0 4.01 1.68
1 389 2.09 30.1 9.2 0.0 3.61 1.55
1 445 1.96 28.3 8.6 0.0 3.29 1.44
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
942 2.31 37.3 12.8 -1.5 4.91 1.90
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) 38478 Total ................................................. Males ................................................ 19 124 Females ............................................... 19 354 Median age (years) ................................ 17.5
44183 22 006 22 178 17.5
51268 25 579 25 689 17.3
59646 29 805 29 841 17.2
69622 34 834 34 788 17.2
81594 40 863 40 732 17.2
96005 48 113 47 892 17.1
113347 56 831 56 516 17.1
134185 67 299 66 886 17.0
2.97 41.8 12.0
3.03 41.2 11.0
3.09 40.9 10.0
3.17 40.8 9.1
3.25 40.8 8.3
3.32 40.7 7.6
3.38 40.6 6.9
3.42 40.5 6.4
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000population) ..
2.77 42.2 13.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2050
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentageaged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per I. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlrtribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ....................... . Percentage aged 60 or over .................. .................. Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
299 846 147501 152 345 96.8
314 692 154972 159 719 97.0
329 010 162171 166 840 97.2
342 547 168918 173 629 97.3
354 930 175004 179 926 97.3
366 187 180458 185 729 97.2
376 492 185418 191 074 97.0
385 868 189963 195 906 97.0
394 426 194193 200 233 97.0
6.9 13.9 14.3 16.6 12.3 3.5 8.3 4.4 4.4 8.5 48.9 36.0 31
6.8 13.3 14.3 18.0 12.8 3.7 7.9 4.0 4.3 8.7 47.3 36.5 33
6.7 13.1 13.7 19.9 14.1 3.6 7.9 3.9 3.9 8.4 45.6 36.9 34
6.4 13.0 13.1 22.0 15.8 3.7 7.8 3.9 3.9 7.9 44.8 37.5
6.1 12.7 13.1 23.8 17.8 4.1 7.6 3.9 3.9 7.9 44.6 38.3 37
5.9 12.3 13.1 24.8 19.4 5.0 7.3 3.8 3.9 7.9 44.5 39.1 38
5.9 11.9 12.8 25.3 20.2 5.9 7.1 3.6 3.8 7.8 44.2 39.8 39
5.8 11.7 12.5 25.6 20.5 6.9 7.0 3.5 3.6 7.5 43.5 40.3 40
5.8 11.6 12.1 26.1 20.6 7.5 7.0 3.5 3.6 7.3 42.8 40.7 41
33
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ......................... . ....................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per l.MM population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
3 488 1.13 15.6 8.2 3.9 2.30 1.11
3 732 1.14 16.2 8.1 3.4 2.42 1.16
3 832 1.11 16.0 8.1 3.2 2.44 1.18
3 652 1 .00 15.2 8.2 3.0 2.38 1.15
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males ................................................ Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 514 .......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
299 846 147 501 152 345
312 095 153 642 158 453
322 072 158 615 163 457
329 987 162 482 167 505
336 550 165 586 170 964
341 586 167 854 173 732
344 912 169 242 175 670
346 297 169 698 176 599
345 922 169 361 176 562
6.9 13.9 14.3 16.6 12.3 3.5 48.9 36.0
6.0 13.4 14.5 18.2 12.9 3.7 47.7 36.8
5.5 12.6 14.0 20.3 14.4 3.7 46.5 37.8
5.0 11.4 13.6 22.8 16.4 3.8 46.4 38.9
4.7 10.5 13.0 25.1 18.8 4.4 46.2 40.2
4.5 9.8 12.0 26.6 20.8 5.3 45.7 41.6
4.4 9.4 11.1 27.6 22.0 6.5 44.6 43.0
4.2 9.2 10.6 28.6 22.8 7.7 43.2 44.3
4.0 8.9 10.4 29.8 23.5 8.5 41.8 45.6
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2 450 0.80 12.3 8.2 3.9 1 80 0.87
.
1 995 0.63 11.1 8.3 3.5 1.62 0.78
1 583 0.49 10.0 8.5 3.4 1.44 0.69
1 313 0.39 9.5 8.9 3.3 1.38 0.66
1 007 0.30 9.1 9.4 3.2 1.35 0.65
665 0.19 8.8 10.1 3.2 1.35 0.65
277 0.08 8.4 10.7 3.2 1.35 0.65
-75 .0.02 8.0 11.4 3.2 1.35 0.65
-318 .0.09 7.7 11.8 3.2 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
299 846 147 501 152 345 36.0
314 533 154 891 159 642 36.5
329 100 162 217 166 884 36.9
343 670 169 494 174 176 37.4
357 838 176 494 181 344 36.0
371 253 183 053 188 199 38.6
383 823 189 174 194 649 39.1
395 707 195 003 200 704 39.3
407 191 200 731 206 460 39.4
0.96 13.9 8.2
0.91 13.8 8.2
0.87 13.7 8.3
0.81 13.4 8.5
0.74 13.1 8.8
0.67 12.9 9.2
0.61 12.9 9.6
0.57 12.6 9.9
0.55 12.8 9.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
418 632 206 556 212 076 39.6
UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
27 13 14 96.2
29
15 15 98.2
33 16 16 98.0
50 25 25 99.7
64 32 32 99.5
86 42 44 95.6
98 47 51 92.5
105 51 54 94.0
103 50 53 93.9
107 51 56 92.2
110 53 58 91.3
14.5 24.6 14.8 10.9 7.5 1 .0 41.4 22.0 77
16.1 24.2 14.9 10.0 7.1 1 .0 41.8 21.1 85
15.9 23.8 16.1 9.2 6.6 1 .0
17.9 22.9 19.0 6.3 4.3 0.8 46.5 20.0 143
13.6 22.5 17.9 5.7 3.6 0.7 51.7 23.0 185
18.1 23.6 14.3 5.8 3.6 0.6 47.1 20.0 247
11.0 25.0 18.1 7.1 4.5 0.6 51.3 22.0 284
13.6 20.1 18.2 7.7 5.0 0.6 52.5 23.8 302
9.2 19.7 16.7 9.2 5.9 0.6 53.2 28.0 297
10.7 17.0 14.9 10.4 7.1 l .0 50.9 30.6 308
8.0 18.3 13.3 13.0 8.6 1.5 48.0 33.4 318
43.2 20.5 94
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llfe expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Ago dlstrlbutlon Percentageaged 0-4 ........................... Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24...................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Populat~on density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
111 53
110 52 89.3
109 51 58 88.8
107 50 57 88.3
103 48 55 88.0
99 46 53 88.0
93 44 50 88.4
88 41 46 89.2
82 39
90.6
111 53 59 90.0
90.4
7.1 17.0 16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 10.0 5.6 5.2 9.5 46.1 35.0 321
6.6 14.6 17.0 20.7 14.0 2.5 8.5 4.8 5.4 10.1 44.9 36.1 321
6.5 13.3 16.0 23.7 17.6 3.4 7.9 4.2 4.4 10.0 42.4 35.8 318
6.6 12.8 13.8 26.5 20.2 4.4 7.7 3.9 4.0 8.3 40.5 36.8 314
6.4 13.0 12.6 28.9 22.6 6.1 7.8 3.8 3.8 7.5 39.3 38.1 308
5.8 13.1 12.3 30.1 24.7 8.0 7.9 4.0 3.9 7.3 40.1 39.8 298
5.2 12.6 12.8 30.2 25.8 9.2 7.4 4.1 4.1 7.5 39.5 41.9 285
4.8 11.5 13.2 28.9 25.7 10.5 6.7 3.8 4.0 7.9 38.3 44.0 269
4.8 10.5 12.7 30.2 24.2 11.7 6.1 3.4 3.7 7.8 36.0 45.7 253
4.9 10.1 11.5 32.7 25.5 12.0 5.9 3.1 3.3 7.0 34.5 47.0 237
58
58
43
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................................ . ............ Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS C. HlOHVARlANT
Indicator Popu(-.nd.) Total ....................................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
111
112 53 59
113 53 60
114 54 60
113 53 60
111 53 59
109 51 57
105 50 55
103 49 54
100 48 52
7.3 14.5 16.9 20.5 13.9 2.4 44.6 35.7
7.7 13.8 15.7 23.2 17.2 3.3 41.5 34.6
8.1 14.5 13.2 25.4 19.4 4.2 39.0 35.0
7.7 15.4 12.7 27.3 21.3 5.8 38.0 35.9
6.9 15.7 13.6 28.0 23.0 7.5 39.5 37.1
6.3 14.7 14.9 27.5 23.5 8.4 40.0 38.2
6.4 13.4 15.4 25.6 22.8 9.3 39.8 38.3
6.9 12.9 14.3 25.8 20.7 10.0 38.4 37.9
7.2 13.3 12.8 28.8 20.9 9.8 37.8 37.8
Females ................................... Ago d l e l r h d m Perceotegeaped0-4
k r c e n l a p aged 1524 ......................... krcentage aged 60 or over .................. Peccentage aged 65 or o w .................. Percentap aged80 or over
percentapofwanenaged15-49
.........
M e d i i age (years) .................................
16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 46.1 35.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Populationc h q p per year (thwsands) . Popula(i0n growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,ooO population).... Crude death rate (per 1.ooO population).. Net m t i o n rate (per 1.ooO popllation) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductkm rate (per mmen)
0 0.13 15.0 6.6 -7.2 2.40 1.15
0 0.13 15.8 7.4 -7.1 2.46 1.18
0 0.12 16.6 8.3 -7.1 2.48 1.19
0 -0.05 15.7 9.2 -7.1 2.42 1.16
0 -0.32 14.0 10.0 -7.1 2.36 1.14
-
- 1 -0.53 12.8 10.8 -7.3 2.35 1.13
‘1 -0.59 12.9 11.4 -7.5 2.35 1.13
- 1 -0.55 13.9 11.7 -7.7 2.35 1.13
0 -0.49 14.5 11.5 -7.9 2.35 1.13
D. LOWVARIANT
Po(wrl.tlon (thwund~) Total ....................................................
......................................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage egwi 60 or over .................. Pmentageaged65orover Percentageapad80 orov8( Percentagedwumnaged15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
111 53 58
110 52 58
108 51 57
105 49 56
101 47 54
96 44 51
90 48
&? 38 44
75 35 40
67 31 36
7.1 17.0 16.0 16.6 10.7 2.0 46.1 35.0
5.8 14.8 17.1 20.9 14.1 2.5 45.2 38.5
5.2 12.8 16.4 24.2 18.0 3.4 43.2 37.3
5.0 11.1 14.4 27.6 21.o 4.6 42.0 38.5
4.9 10.3 12.5 30.7 24.0 6.5 40.7 40.4
4.6 10.2 10.8 32.6 26.8 8.7 40.8 42.7
4.1 10.0 10.2 33.3 28.5 10.2 38.8 45.2
3.5 9.2 10.3 32.7 29.1 11.9 36.1 48.2
3.0 8.1 10.3 35.4 28.4 13.7 32.2 51.4
2.7 6.9 9.5 40.0 31.3 14.7 29.0 54.9
41
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 P o p u chanoe ~ ~ per Year 0-1. Popdatton gmwth rate (per cent) ............ Cnde birth rate (per 1,ooO popu(ati) Cnde death rate (per 1,ooO population) .. Net migratkn rate (per 1,ooOpopulation) . TOMfectility (children per mmen) ........... Net reproduction rate (per wornan) ..........
....
0 -0.19 11.9 6.6 -7.2 1.90 0.91
0 4.43 10.7 7.6 -7.3 1.66 0.80
- 1
-0.62 10.1 8.8 -7.5 1.48 0.71
- 1 -0.78 10.0 10.1 -7.8 1.42
0.68
- 1 -1.03 9.3 11.4 -8.1 1.36 0.65
- 1 -1.33 8.2 12.8 -8.6 1.35
- 1 -1.64 7.0 14.1 -9.3 1.35
0.65
0.65
- 2 -1.95 6.0 15.3 -10.2 1.35 0.65
- 2 -2.22 5.5 16.3 -11.3 1.35
2045
2050 94 45 49 40.2
0.65
E. CONSTANT-FERTlLITYVARIANT
PopuWon (thwund.) Total .................................................... Mates ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
111 53 58 35.0
112 53 59 35.9
112 53 59 35.0
111 53 59 35.8
110 52 58 36.9
108 51 57 38.3
105 49 56 39.8
101
98
48
46
53 40.4
51 40.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 20252030 2030.2035 2035-2040 2o40-2045 2045-2050
Populatcon growlh rate (per cent) ............ Crude kfth rate (per 1,ooO popdati) .... Cnde death rate (per 1.ooO pOp0latk-n) ..
0.04 14.2 6.6
0.01 14.7 7.5
-0.05 15.1 8.4
-0.20 14.6 9.4
-0.41 13.5 10.3
United Nations Department of E m i c and Social Affairdpcpulation Division WorM PopulatMn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
-0.60 12.7 11.2
-0.71 12.5 11.8
-0.74 12.8 12.2
-0.75 13.0 12.2
479
URUGUAY A. ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population denslty (populationper sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............. C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) ............................. Males .................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
....
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 ......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
3 326 1 605 1 720 93.3
3 374 1 628 1 745 93.3
3 431 1 658 1 773 93.5
3 495 1 693 1 802 93.9
3 548 1 722 1 827 94.3
3 590 1 745 1 846 94.5
3 622 1 763 1 860 94.8
3 642 1 774 1 868 94.9
7.7 16.1 14.9 17.8 13.5 3.2 9.6 4.9 4.7 8.8 46.8 32.6 19
7.3 15.2 15.3 18.4 13.9 3.7 9.1 4.7 4.8 9.1 46.7 33.7 19
7.0 14.4 15.1 19.1 14.4 4.1 8.6 4.4 4.5 9.2 46.5 34.8 20
6.7 13.8 14.4 20.1 15.0 4.2 8.2 4.2 4.3 8.7 46.4 35.6 20
6.4 13.3 13.8 21.3 16.0 4.4 7.9 4.0 4.1 8.3 45.7 36.7 20
6.2 12.8 13.2 22.2 17.1 4.7 7.6 3.9 3.9 8.0 44.8 37.9 21
6.0 12.3 12.8 23.6 18.0 5.1 7.3 3.8 3.8 7.7 44.3 39.3 21
5.8 11.9 12.4 25.1 19.2 5.8 7.1 3.6 3.7 7.5 43.4 40.5 21
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2000
URUGUAY
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
15 0.46 16.8 9.2 .3.0 2.37 1.13
21 0.61 17.0 9.1 -1.7 2.43 1.16
25 0.70 16.8 9.0 .0.8 2.46 1.18
23 0.63 16.0 8.8 -0.8 2.39 1.15
22 0.59 15.5 8.8 .0.8 2.35 1.13
23 0.58 15.4 8.8 .0.8 2.35 1.13
23 0.58 15.4 8.9 .0.7 2.35 1.13
23 0.56 15.3 9.0 -0.7 2.35 1.13
23 5.53 15.2 9.1 -0.7 2.35 1.14
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1,000 population) .... C ~ d death e rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ...................... . . . ....................... Males ..................... ........................... Females ....................... .................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ...............................
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude btrth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertil~ty(children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
4 0.11 13.4 9.3 .3.0 1.87 0.89
2 0.06 11.7 9.3 .1.8 1.63 0.78
.2 .0.05 10.0 9.6 .0.9 1.39 0.67
1 0.02 10.5 9.5 .0.9 1.46 0.70
.5 .0.14 9.4 9.9 -0.9 1.35 0.65
.8 .0.24 8.9 10.3 .0.9 1.35 0.65
. 12 -0.36 8.2 10.9 -0.9 1.35 0.65
. 16 .0.50 7.6 11.6 ~0.9 1.35 0.65
. 19 .0.62 7.1 12.4 .1.0 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total ................................................ Males .................................................. Females ................... ....................... Median age (years) .................................
. .
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
3 326 1 605 1 720 32.6
3 384 1 634 1 750 33.6
3 462 1 674 1 788
34.5
3 555 1 723 1 832 35.0
3 646 1 772 1 874 35.7
3 734 1 818 1 915 36.5
3 815 l 861 1 954 37.3
3 891 1 901 1 990 37.9
3 961 1 938 2 023 38.3
0.35 15.7 9.2
0.46 15.5 9.2
0.53 15.3 9.1
0.51 15.0 9.0
0.48 14.6 9.0
0.43 14.3 9.1
0.39 14.0 9.3
0.36 13.9 9.5
0.33 13.7 9.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Population growth rale (per cent) ............ Crude blrth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ...........................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-1l ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rale (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-fivemortality (per 1.000 live blrlhs) Llfe expectancy at birth (years) .... ...... . . ............ Males ................... Females ............................................. Both sexes combined .........................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
26593 13224 13 369
28875 14361 14 514
31463 15647 15 816
33969 16886 17 083
36119 17939 18 181
38101 18901 19 199
40140 19894 20 246
42212 20907 21 305
44170 21888 22 301
10.7 22.5 21.7 6.2 4.7 0.7 54.7 22.6
11.2 19.2 21.7 6.2 4.3 0.9 55.5 24.0
11.2 19.0 18.7 6.9 4.3 0.9 53.7 25.6
10.3 19.6 16.1 8.3 5.0 1 .0 52.3 27.2
9.0 19.2 16.4 10.0 6.3 0.9 52.1 28.7
8.4 17.5 17.3 11.3 7.7 1 .0 52.4 29.8
8.4 15.9 17.1 12.6 8.7 1.3 51.6 30.6
8.5 15.4 15.7 13.8 9.7 1.8 49.3 31.6
8.3 15.6 14.3 15.4 10.6 2.3 47.0 32.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) Net reproduction rate (per woman)
.. . ...........
..........
456 1.65 24.7 6.8 .1.4 2.74 1.23
518 1.72 24.6 6.8 .0.7 2.67 1.21
501 1.53 22.6 6.7 -0.6 2.59 1.18
430 1.23 19.5 6.6 .0.6 2.44 1.12
396 1.07 18.0 6.8 .0.5 2.35 1.08
408 1.04 18.0 7.1 -0.5 2.35 1.09
414 1.01 18.1 7.5 -0.5 2.35 1.09
392 0.91 17.5 8.0 -0.5 2.35 1.10
348 0.77 16.5 8.4 .0.4 2.35 1.10
44 708 22179 22529 29.6
47 516 23574 23942 30.3
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ..................... ............................ Females ............................................... Age dlstrlbution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............. CNde birth rate (oer 1.000oooulationl .... Crude death rate'(per 1 0Od pbpulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) ..........
338 1.23 20.4 6.6 -1.5 2.24 1.01
.
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .............................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
26 593 13224 13369 22.6
28 879 14363 14516 24.0
31 550 15691 15859 25.5
34 251 17030 17221 26.9
36 801 18286 18515 28.1
39 307 19516 19791 28.7
41 936 20809 21127 29.1
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... CNde death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.65 24.8 6.8
1.77 25.2 6.8
1.64 23.7 6.7
1.44 21.6 6.7
1.32 20.5 6.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.30 20.4 7.0
1.28 20.6 7.3
1.22 20.2 7.6
1.13 19.6 7.9
50 276 24952 25324 30.9
VANUATU A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) ........... Total ..................................... . Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ......................... ........ Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
48 25 23 109.4
55 29 26 107.8
64 33 31 106.6
75 38 36 105.8
86 46 40 113.0
101 47 113.1
117 62 55 112.2
132 69 63 108.9
149 77 72 106.2
172 88 84 105.6
190 97 93 104.9
18.8 27.4 19.2 4.3 2.7 0.2 44.5 16.8 4
18.9 27.7 19.4 4.0 2.4 0.2 44.3 16.6 5
18.8 27.9 19.5 3.8 2.3 0.2 44.2 16.5 5
18.7 28.0 19.5 3.7 2.3 0.2 44.2 16.6 6
17.3 28.3 18.4 4.5 3.0 0.3 45.8 17.2 7
17.2 28.2 19.4 4.4 2.9 0.3 46.2 17.1 8
17.2 28.0 19.8 4.6 3.0 0.4 46.7 17.2 10
17.0 27.6 19.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 47.2 17.7 11
16.7 27.3 18.5 5.3 3.6 0.5 47.6 18.1 12
16.0 27.4 18.4 5.2 3.5 0.6 47.8 18.4 14
15.3 26.9 19.0 5.1 3.3 0.6 48.6 18.7 16
54
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Populat~ongrowth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in schwl ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .............................................. Both sexes combined ...........................
5
7 1 0 2.38 28.8 5.0 0.0 3.74 1.72 28 34 68.3 72.1 70.0
0 2.18 26.4 4.6 0.0 3.33 1.55 23 28
6 7 1 0 2.00 24.4 4.4 0.0 3.01 1.41 19 23
6 7 1 0 1 .83 22.6 4.4 0.0 2.77 1.31 17 19
6 7 2 0 1.64 20.9 4.5 0.0 2.58 1.22 15 17
5 7 2 0 1.47 19.4 4.7 0.0 2.43 1.15 13 15
5 7 2 0 1.30 18.0 5.0 0.0 2.31 1.10 11 13
5 7 2 0 1.14 16.8 5.4 0.0 2.20 1.05 10 11
4 7 3 0 0.99 15.7 5.8 0.0 2.11 1.00 9 10
69.6 73.6 71.5
70.7 74.9 72.7
71.8 76.1 73.8
72.7 77.1 74.8
73.6 78.0 75.7
74.4 78.8 76.5
75.1 79.5 77.3
75.8 80.2 78.0
6 7 1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
VANUATU
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
.
Population change per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
6 2.55 30.5 5.1 0.0 3.99 1.84
6 2.45 29.1 4.6 0.0 3.73 1.73
7 2.33 27.6 4.4 0.0 3.51 1.65
7 2.13 25.6 4.3 0.0 3.27 1.54
7 1.95 23.8 4.3 0.0 3.08 1.46
7 1.82 22.6 4.5 0.0 2.93 1.39
7 1.70 21.7 4.6 0.0 2.81 1.33
8 1.59 20.7 4.9 0.0 2.70 1.28
7 1.46 19.7 5.1 0.0 2.61 1.24
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
5 2.20 27.0 5.0 0.0 3.49 1.61
5 1.90 23.6 4.6 0.0 2.93 1.36
5 1.66 21.0 4.5 0.0 2.51 1.18
4 1.49 19.4 4.5 0.0 2.27 1.07
4 1.31 17.8 4.7 0.0 2.08 0.99
3 0.88 14.2 5.5 0.0 1.81 0.86
4 1.10 16.0 5.0 0.0 1.93 0.92
3 0.68 12.7 6.0 0.0 1.70 0.81
2 0.50 11.6 6.6 0.0 1.61 0.77
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT . .
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ................................
215 110 105 19.6
246 125 121 20.5
282 143 138 21.2
323 164 158 21.6
368 187 181 21.7
418 212 205 21.9
474 241 233 22.2
537 273 264 22.5
609 310 299 22.7
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2.65 31.6 5.1
2.72 31.8 4.6
2.70 31.4 4.4
2.63 30.4 4.2
2.55 29.6 4.1
2.52 29.3 4.1
2.51 29.3 4.2
2.51 29.2 4.2
2.48 29.0 4.2
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
VENEZUELA (BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF)
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total .......................... . ..................... Males ............................................. Females ............................................. Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
5094 2579 2 514 102.6
6230 3167 3 062 103.4
7579 3863 3 716 103.9
9094 4619 4 474 103.2
10721 5429 5 292 102.6
12734 6445 6 290 102.5
15091 7639 7 452 102.5
17317 8749 8 568 102.1
19731 9955 9 776 101.8
22078 11127 10 951 101.6
24402 12282 12 120 101.3
18.4 25.1 18.8 3.4 l .9 0.2 47.5 18.3 6
18.6 26.3 17.6 4.0 2.1 0.2 45.5 17.7 7
18.4 27.3 17.5 4.2 2.5 0.2 44.4 17.2 8
18.9 27.5 18.1 4.4 2.7 0.3 43.7 16.8 10
17.2 28.4 19.1 4.8 2.9 0.3 44.4 17.1 12
15.4 27.9 20.1 4.9 3.1 0.4 46.5 18.1 14
15.2 25.5 21.0 5.0 3.2 0.4 48.8 19.1 17
14.5 24.6 20.8 5.3 3.4 0.4 50.0 20.1 19
13.8 24.2 19.5 5.8 3.7 0.5 50.6 21.0 22
12.4 23.6 19.2 6.2 4.1 0.6 51.8 22.1 24
11.4 22.3 19.5 6.7 4.5 0.7 52.6 23.3 27
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total lertility (childrenper woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................... .............. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................ Population density (population per sq km)
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
VENEZUELA (BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF)
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Population (thousands) Total ........................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
26 726 13433 13 293
29 318 14716 14 602
32 040 16063 15 977
34 787 17418 17 369
37 427 18716 18 71 1
40 000 19975 20 025
42 538 21214 21 324
45 017 22421 22 595
47 397 23581 23 816
10.7 20.6 19.4 7.5 5.0 0.8 53.3 24.6
10.9 19.2 18.5 8.6 5.6 l .0 52.8 25.8
10.7 18.9 17.1 9.8 6.5 1.2 51.3 27.0
10.2 19.0 16.1
9.5 18.6 16.1 12.6 8.6 1.6 49.5 29.0
9.0 17.7 16.5 14.0 9.9 2.0 49.0 29.8
8.8 16.8 16.3 15.0 11.0 2.4 48.4 30.5
8.5 16.3 15.7 16.3 11.9 2.8 47.5 31.5
8.2 15.9 15.0 17.5 12.9 3.3 46.9 32.4
11.1 7.5 1.3 49.9 28.0
2050
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
....
518 1 85 23.3 5.1 0.3 2.80 1.32
.
544
1.78 22.7 5.2 0.3 2.79 1.33
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0 4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
.........................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
409 1.47 19.5 5.1 0.3 2.30 1.09
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................ .............. Females ............................................. Median age (years) .................................
..
26 726 13433 13 293 24.6
29 237 14675 14 562 25.9
31 876 15979 15 897 27.1
34 576 17310 17 266 28.2
37 306 18654 18 652 29.1
40 082 20017 20 065 29.7
42 924 21413 21 512 30.2
45 838 22643 22 996 30.7
48 617 24309 24 509 31.2
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) ..
1.80 22.8 5.1
1.73 22.2 5.2
1.63 21.4 5.4
1.52 20.5 5.5
1.44 19.9 5.8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.37 19.6 6.1
1.31 19.4 6.4
1.26 19.1 6.7
1.21 18.9 7.0
51 857 25810 26 047 31.5
VlET NAM
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males .................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................ ................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..
..
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduct~onrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-tlve mortality (per 1.000 live births)" Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females .......................... ..... ............ Both sexes combined ............................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2000
VlET NAM
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ........................................... Age dlstributlon Percentageaged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or wer .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
85029 42 508 42 520
91831 45 930 45 900
99099 49 583 49 516
106346 53 217 53 126
113068 56 577 56 491
119291 59 674 59 617
125330 62 667 62 663
131298 65 616 65 682
137012 68 439 68 573
9.5 20.1 20.6 7.6 5.6 1 .0 56.3 24.9
9.9 17.3 20.1 7.7 5.5 1.1 56.7 26.6
9.8 17.2 17.1 8.9 5.7 1.3 54.4 28.2
9.3 17.5 14.7 10.5 6.7 1.3 52.0 29.9
8.5 17.2 14.9 12.6 8.2 1.3 50.5 31.7
7.9 16.2 15.5 14.7 10.1 1.5 49.4 33.0
7.7 15.1 15.4 16.6 11.8 2.0 48.1 33.8
7.8 14.5 14.6 18.5 13.4 2.7 46.1 34.4
7.7 14.5 13.7 20.2 14.8 3.4 44.2 35.1
1 360 1.54 20.9 5.1 -0.5 2.39 1.13
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) .................................
.........
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Net migration rate (per l. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
973 1 .11 16.6 5.1 .0.5 1.89 0.89
799 0.87 14.2 5.1 -0.4 1.57 0.75
620 0.65 12.1 5.2 .0.4 1.36 0.65
532 0.54 11.3 5.5 -0.4 1.35 0.64
405 0.40 10.4 6.0 -0.4 1.35 0.65
239 0.23 9.6 6.8 .0.4 1.35 0.65
38 0.04 8.6 7.9 -0.4 1.35 0.65
. 170
. 357
.0.17 7.9 9.1 .0.4 1.35 0.65
.0.35 7.3 10.5 .0.4 1.35 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) ...............................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ CNde birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population)
..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
85029 42 508 42 520 24.9
91581 45 803 45 778 26.7
98638 49 348 49 291 28.4
105740 52 908 52 832 30.1
112350 56 21 1 56 140 31.9
118418 59 229 59 189 33.3
124218 62 1 W 62 119 34.1
129887 64 896 64 991 34.6
135296 67 563 67 732 35.5
1.49 20.4 5.1
1.49 20.3 5.0
1.39 19.3 5.0
1.21 17.6 5.1
1.05 16.3 5.4
0.96 15.8 5.9
0.89 15.8 6.6
0.82 15.7 7.2
0.71 15.3 7.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN SAHARA A ESTIMATES
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (populationper sq km)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
14 7 7 98.0
21 11 10 109.4
33 18 15 115.9
51 28 23 119.3
77 42 35 122.1
75 40 34 117.2
150 81 69 117.0
184 98 86 113.9
221 116 105 111.1
259 135 1 24 109.4
315 166 149 110.9
17.3 25.2 19.0 4.7 2.8 0.2 47.0 18.7 0
15.6 23.0 22.8 4.5 2.7 0.1 50.0 20.0 0
16.5 20.7 22.9 4.2 2.6 0.1 51 .1 20.8 0
17.0 20.5 21.5 4.0 2.5 0.1 50.9 21 .1 0
17.0 23.1 19.3 3.9 2.4 0.1 49.0 20.2 0
17.7 28.2 20.4 4.0 2.5 0.2 43.6 16.8 0
15.0 21.6 21.6 5.1 3.3 0.4 51.4 21.3 1
16.9 21.8 18.3 4.7 3.0 0.3 50.4 21.2 1
15.5 24.3 18.0 4.1 2.6 0.3 50.6 20.7 1
13.8 25.1 18.7 3.6 2.4 0.3 52.4 20.7 1
12.2 23.0 20.3 3.8 2.5 0.3 55.5 22.1 1
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ C ~ d birth e rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-f~ve mortality (per 1. 000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ............................... ............... Females .............................. . . . ........ Both sexes combined ...........................
..
l8
11 3 10 3.72 23.3 5.8 19.6 2.70 1.21 44 56
19 13 3 10 3.30 21.9 5.5 16.4 2.53 1.15 36 45
19 14 4 10 2.89 20.1 5.3 14.1 2.38 1.11 36
1.38 17.9 5.4 1.3 2.27 1.06 25 29
9 13 5 1 1.11 15.7 5.9 1.3 2.16 1.02 20 24
64.3 68.1 65.9
66.1 70.1 67.8
67.6 71.9 69.5
69.0 73.4 71 .0
70.2 74.8 72.3
30
10 13 4
1
7 12 5 0.88 14.2 6.5 1.2 2.08 0.99 18 20
6 12 6 1 0.73 13.5 7.4 1 .1 2.00 0.95 15 18
6 12 7 1 0.62 13.3 8.3 1.1 1.93 0.92 13 15
5 12 9 1 0.50 13.1 9.2 1 .1 1 .87 0.89 12 13
71.3 75.9 73.4
72.3 76.9 74.4
73.2 77.8 75.3
74.0 78.7 76.2
1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
WESTERN SAHARA
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
19 3.91 25.4 5.9 19.5 2.95 1.32
21 3.57 25.0 5.5 16.2 2.93 1.34
22 3.20 23.6 5.3 13.7 2.88 1.34
13 1.69 20.9 5.3 1.3 2.77 1.30
12 1.39 18.3 5.6 1.2 2.86 1.26
11 1.18 16.8 6.2 11 2.58 1.22
10 1.08 16.6 6.9 10 2.50 1.19
11 1 05 17.0 7.5 1.0 2.43 1.16
10 0.99 17.1 8.1 0.9 2.37 1.13
2050
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman)
..........
.
.
.
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
17 3.53 21.3 5.8 19.7 2.45 1.09
17 3.01 18.8 5.4 16.7 2.13 0.97
17 2.57 16.4 5.3 14.6 1.88 0.87
7 1 05 14.7 5.6 1.4 1.77 0.83
.
6 0.80 12.8 6.2 1.3 1.66 0.79
4 0.56 11.3 7.0 1.3 1.58 0.75
3 0.36 10.3 8.0 1.3 1.50 0.71
1 0.17 9.7 9.2 1.2 1.43 0.68
0 .0.01 9.1 10.4 1.2 1.37 0.65
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Median age (years) .................................
440 234 207 24.2
537 284 253 26.2
643 338 304 27.6
756 396 360 28.7
828 431 397 29.6
898 464 433 29.9
967 497 470 29.7
1038 530 508 29.9
1113 566 548 30.2
1193 604 589 30.5
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude b~rthrate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
3.95 25.8 5.9
3.61 25.4 5.5
3.25 24.1 5.3
1.82 22.3 5.3
1.61 20.6 5.6
1.48 19.8 6.1
1.42 19.8 6.6
1.41 20.2 7.1
1.38 20.5 7.6
p -
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
YEMEN
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
19s
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4316 2179 2 137 102.0
4732 2390 2 342 102.1
5222 2636 2 586 102.0
5799 2925 2 873 101.8
6391 3198 3 192 100.2
7093 3518 3 575 98.4
8381 4181 4 201 99.5
10137 5087 5 050 100.7
12314 6206 6 108 101.6
15523 7874 7 649 102.9
18182 9213 8 969 102.7
17.5 24.8 18.5 6.2 3.9 0.3 45.2 18.9 8
18.7 25.7 18.5 5.4 3.4 0.3 44.5 17.8 9
18.9 27.2 18.6 4.8 3.0 0.3 43.8 16.9 10
19.1 28.2 19.0 4.3 2.7 0.2 43.5 16.3 11
19.9 28.6 19.7 4.1 2.5 0.2 43.2 15.7 12
20.8 29.6 19.9 3.8 2.3 0.2 42.5 14.9 13
21 .1 29.7 19.9 3.6 2.2 0.2 42.3 14.7 16
21.7 29.7 19.6 3.3 2.1 0.2 42.0 14.5 19
21.3 30.4 19.4 3.1 l .9 0.2 41.8 14.3 23
19.6 30.1 18.8 3.9 2.6 0.3 42.5 15.1 29
18.0 30.2 20.3 3.7 2.4 0.3 43.9 15.8 34
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
.
Population change per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Llte expectancy at blrth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sexratio(malesper100females) ........... Age distributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24........................ Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14.......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
21 096 10677 10419 102.5
24 475 12374 12102 102.2
28 288 14289 14000 102.1
32 390 16349 16040 101.9
36 567 18445 18122 101.8
40 768 20550 20218 101.6
45 036 22685 22352 101.5
16.8 29.0 21.6 3.7 2.3 0.3 17.8 8.1 7.4 12.4 46.0 16.7 40
16.6 27.2 21.9 3.8 2.4 0.3 16.6 7.7 7.3 12.8 47.6 17.6 46
16.0 26.4 21.2 4.0 2.5 0.3 16.3 7.2 6.8 12.5 48.8 18.4
14.9 26.2 20.2 4.4 2.7 0.3 16.1 7.2 6.5 11.8 49.5 19.2 61
13.5 25.3 20.2 4.8 3.0 0.3 15.4 7.2 6.7 11.7 51.2 20.2 69
12.3 23.7 20.5 5.2 3.3 0.4 14.3 6.9 6.7 12.1 52.8 21.6 77
11.5 22.0 20.3 5.7 3.7 0.4 13.2 6.5 6.4 12.1 53.8 23.1 85
54
Population change per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) .................. Net migration per year (thousands) ......... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1. 000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1. 000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1. 000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at blrth (years) Males .................................................. Females ................... .. ...................... Both sexes combined ............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffiIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT indicator Population (thousands) Total ............................................... Males .................................................. Females ..................... . . ................. Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Populationchange per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
21 096 10677 10419
24 660 12468 12193
28 838 14569 14270
33 491 16910 16581
38 325 19340 18985
43 330 21853 21476
48 634 24515 24119
54 330 27372 26958
60 357 30393 29965
16.8 29.0 21.6 3.7 2.3 0.3 46.0 16.7
17.2 27.0 21.7 3.8 2.4 0.3 47.3 17.4
17.0 26.5 20.8 4.0 2.4 0.3 47.7 18.0
16.0 26.9 19.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 47.9 16.4
14.6 26.5 19.7 4.5 2.9 0.3 49.3 19.1
13.5 25.1 20.6 4.9 3.1 0.3 50.9 20.2
12.8 23.4 20.7 5.3 3.4 0.4 52.1 21.5
12.4 22.1 19.9 6.0 3.7 0.5 52.2 22.8
11.9 21.3 18.7 7.0 4.3 0.6 51.8 24.0
713 3.12 39.8 7.5 -1.2 5.75 2.47
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ............................. . ................... Females ..................... . ..................... Age distribution Percenlage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 .......................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49 ......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
639 2.82 36.7 7.3 .1.2 5.25 2.25
690 2.66 33.8 6.3 .1.0 4.53 2.00
710 2.41 30.2 5.5 .0.7 3.83 1.73
705 2.13 26.9 4.9 -0.6 3.29 1.51
683 1.87 23.9 4.6 .0.5 2.86 1.33
657 1.65 21.5 4.5 .0.5 2.53 1.19
627 1.46 19.6 4.6 .0.5 2.29 1.09
583 1.27 17.8 4.7 .0.4 2.10 1.00
519 1.06 16.1 5.0 .0.4 1.95 0.93
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITYVARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................ ........ ........... Females ......................... . .................. Median age (years) .................................
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
21 096 10677 10 419 16.7
24 820 12549 12 271 17.3
29 521 14917 14 605 17.4
35 291 17827 17 464 17.1
42 131 21278 20 853 16.9
50 212 25357 24 855 17.1
59 894 30248 29 646 17.3
71 613 36171 35 442 17.4
85 786 43344 42 442 17.4
3.25 41.2 7.6
3.47 42.2 6.6
3.57 41.9 5.7
3.54 40.8 5.0
3.51 39.8 4.4
3.53 39.5 4.0
3.57 39.6 3.7
3.61 39.7 3.4
3.62 39.6 3.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
. .
ZAMBIA
.
A ESTIMATES
Indicator 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age dlstrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
Population change per year (thousands) . Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1. 000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
..........
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................... Males ................................................ Females .............................................. Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14........................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 ............ Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17.......... Percentage in school ages 18-23.......... Percentage of women aged 1549 ......... Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
...........
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
1 1 478 5712 5 766 99.1
12 825 6305 6 321 99.7
13 842 6935 6 908 100.4
15 193 7635 7 558 101.0
l8 539 8333 8 206 101.5
17 870 9015 8 855 101.8
19 172 9672 9 500 101.8
20 443 10303 10 140 101.6
21 679 10910 10 769 101.3
22 868 l1488 11 380 100.9
17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 17.5 7.6 7.0 12.3 45.0 16.9 15
16.5 28.4 21.5 4.5 3.0 0.4 17.4 7.9 7.1 12.5 45.8 17.2 17
15.7 27.6 22.2 4.5 3.0 0.4 16.8 7.9 7.4 12.9 47.5 17.8 18
14.9 26.7 22.5 4.4 3.0 0.4 16.2 7.6 7.2 13.3 49.5 18.6 20
14.0 25.8 22.2 4.3 2.9 0.5 15.7 7.4 7.1 13.1 51.2 19.4 22
13.1 24.8 21.9 4.3 2.9 0.5 15.0 7.2 7.0 12.9 52.8 20.3 24
12.3 23.6 21.7 4.5 3.0 0.5 14.2 7.0 6.8 12.8 54.2 21.4 25
11.6 22.4 21.2 5.0 3.2 0.5 13.5 6.6 6.5 12.6 55.2 22.5 27
10.9 21.3 20.4 5.6 3.6 0.5 12.8 6.3 6.3 12.2 55.6 23.7 29
10.3 20.4 19.7 6.5 4.1 0.6 12.3 6.1 6.0 11.8 55.4 24.8 30
.
Populationchange per year (thousands) Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Net migration per year (thousands) Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 pcpulation) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Both sexes combined ............................
.........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
C HIGH VARIANT
Indicator Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age dlstributlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
l1478 5 712 5 766
12726 6 355 6 371
14125 7 077 7 048
15740 7 910 7 829
17395 8 763 8 631
19106 9 637 9 469
20891 10 536 10 355
22762 1 1 469 11 293
24705 12 432 12 273
17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 45.0 16.9
17.1 28.2 21.4 4.5 3.0 0.4 45.4 17.0
16.8 27.8 21.7 4.4 3.0 0.4 46.5 17.3
16.1 27.5 21.7 4.2 2.9 0.4 47.8 17.8
15.2 27.1 21.6 4.1 2.8 0.4 49.2 18.4
14.3 26.2 21.9 4.0 2.7 0.5 50.8 19.1
13.7 25.0 21.9 4.1 2.7 0.5 52.2 19.9
13.2 24.0 21.5 4.5 2.8 0.5 53.1 20.8
12.6 23.2 20.7 4.9 3.1 0.5 53.5 21.7
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 025-2033 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
250 2.06 41.0 19.0 .1.4 5.43 1.82
280 2.09 39.4 17.3 -1.3 5.07 1.78
323 2.16 37.3 15.6 -0.1 4.66 1.72
331 2.00 34.6 14.5 -0.1 4.19 1.61
342 1.88 32.3 13.4 -0.1 3.81 1.51
357 1.79 30.5 12.5 .0.1 3.50 1.44
374 1.72 29.1 11.8 -0.1 3.26 1.37
389 1.64 27.7 17.2 .0.1 3.08 1.32
398 1.55 26.2 10.6 .0.1 2.92 1.28
.
D LOW VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males .................................................. Females ............................................. Age distrlbutlon Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentageaged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
11478 5 712 5 766
12525 6 254 6 271
13559 6 792 6 767
14646 7 360 7 286
15685 7 904 7 781
16646 8 400 8 246
17498 8 830 8 667
18231 9 191 9 040
18854 9 489 9 365
17.4 28.3 21 .1 4.5 2.9 0.4 45.0 16.9
15.8 28.7 21.7 4.6 3.0 0.4 46.2 17.4
14.7 27.5 22.6 4.5 3.1 0.4 48.5 18.2
13.6 25.8 23.3 4.5 3.1 0.4 51.3 19.3
12.7 24.4 22.8 4.5 3.1 0.5 53.4 20.6
11.7 23.2 21.9 4.6 3.1 0.5 55.1 21.8
10.8 21.9 21.3 4.9 3.2 0.5 56.5 23.1
9.9 20.5 20.7 5.6 3.5 0.6 57.4 24.5
9.1 19.1 19.9 6.4 4.1 0.6 57.8 26.0
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population change per year [thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
209 1.75 37.5 18.7 .1.4 4.93 1.65
207 1.59 34.2 17.0 .1.3 4.27 1.50
217 1.54 31.1 15.5 -0.1 3.66 1.35
208 1.37 28.6 14.8 -0.1 3.19 1.22
192 1.19 26.0 14.0 -0.1 2.81 1.12
170 1.00 23.5 13.4 -0.1 2.50 1.03
1 47 0.82 21.3 13.0 .O.l 2.26 0.95
125 0.67 19.4 12.6 -0.1 2.08 0.89
104 0.54 17.8 12.2 .0.1 1.92 0.85
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................. ............... Males ................................................... Females ................... . ......................... Median age (years) .................................
..
Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1 1 478 5 712 5766 16.9
12 798 6 392 6406 16.9
14 424 7 228 7197 16.9
16 497 8 291 8205 16.7
18 951 9 546 9405 16.5
21 883 11 034 10849 16.5
25 41 1 12 810 12601 16.4
29 670 14 944 14726 16.4
34 805 17 513 17292 16.4
2.18 42.2 19.1
2.39 42.6 17.5
2.69 42.7 15.8
2.77 42.4 14.6
2.88 42.0 13.2
2.99 41.9 12.0
3.10 41.9 10.9
3.19 41.9 9.9
3.27 41.7 9.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ZIMBABWE
.
A ESTIMATES Indicator Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................. Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 ............................ Percentage aged 5-14 ........................... Percentage aged 15-24 ......................... Percentageaged 60 or over Percentageaged 65 or over Percentageaged 80 or over Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) Population density (population per sq km)
...........
.................. .................. ......... ..................
.................................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2 747 1 370 1377 99.4
3 203 1 597 1606 99.5
3 751 1 870 1880 99.5
4 420 2 204 2215 99.5
5 203 2 594 2609 99.4
6 167 3 074 3093 99.4
7 285 3 622 3662 98.9
8 851 4 405 4446 99.1
10 487 5 220 5267 99.1
11 791 5 845 5946 98.3
12 656 6 255 6402 97.7
16.1 25.9 19.0 5.3 3.2 0.2 46.7 19.0 7
19.2 24.6 18.2 5.4 3.3 0.3 45.0 18.2 8
19.4 25.9 18.1 5.3 3.3 0.3 43.9 17.4 10
19.6 28.2 17.0 5.1 3.3 0.3 41.9 16.3 11
19.5 28.6 17.9 4.9 3.2 0.3 41.7 15.9 13
19.7 28.7 19.3 4.7 3.0 0.3 41.9 15.7 l6
20.0 29.0 19.5 4.7 2.9 0.3 41.8 15.5 19
18.9 29.0 19.7 4.5 3.0 0.3 43.1 16.0 23
17.0 29.0 20.0 4.5 2.9 0.3 45.1 16.8 27
15.6 28.6 21.0 4.7 3.1 0.4 46.9 17.5 30
14.1 27.7 23.1 4.9 3.3 0.5 48.9 18.2 32
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) ..................... Deaths per year (thousands) ................... Population growth rate (per cent) Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) C ~ d death e rate (per 1.000 population) .. Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) Infant mortality rate (per 1.000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males ................................................... Females Both sexes combined
............. ....
..........
............................................... ............................
.
B MEDIUM VARIANT
Population (thousands) Total ..................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Sex ratio (males per 100 females) ........... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4 Percentage aged 5-14 Percentage aged 15-24 Percentage aged 60 or over Percentage aged 65 or over Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage in school ages 6-11 Percentage in school ages 12-14 .......... Percentage in school ages 15-17 .......... Percentage in school ages 18-23 .......... Percentage of women aged 1549 Median age (years) ................................. Population density (population per sq km)
............................ ........................... ......................... .................. .................. ............
......... 2005-2010 20104015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Populationchange per year (thousands) .. Births per year (thousands) Deaths per year (thousands) Net migration per year (thousands) Populationgrowth rate (per cent) ............. Crude birth rate (per 1,000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1,000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1,000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproductionrate (per woman) .......... Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) Under-five mortality (per 1,000 live births) Life expectancy at birth (years) Males Females Both sexes combined
..................... ................... .........
............................................. ............................................... ............................
128 374 240 .6 0.95 27.9 17.9 .0.4 3.19 1.14 58 94
149 381 226 .6 1.06 n.0 16.0 .0.4 2.91 1.10 50 79
150 378 221 .7 1.01 25.4 14.8 .0.5 2.69 1.06 43 66
142 364 215 .7 0.91 23.3 13.8 .0.4 2.52 1.04 38 57
132 349 211 .7 0.81 21.4 12.9 .0.4 2.38 1.01 34 50
124 340 209 7 0.73 20.1 12.3 .0.4 2.26 0.98 31 44
124 335 204 .7 0.71 19.1 11.6 0.4 2.16 0.96 27 39
125 329 197 .7 0.69 18.1 10.8 .0.4 2.07 0.94 25 34
123 319 188 .7 0.66 16.9 10.0 .0.4 1.99 0.92 22 30
44.1 42.7 43.5
47.7 46.8 47.4
50.6 49.8 50.4
53.0 52.6 53.0
54.9 55.6 55.3
56.4 57.9 57.1
58.2 60.2 59.1
60.4 62.8 61.5
62.8 65.7 64.2
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ZIMBABWE
.
C HIGH VARIANT Indicator 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Population (thousands) Total .................................................... Males ................................................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentageof women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................................
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
155 1.15 29.9 17.9 -0.4 3.44
1.23
.
D LOW VARIANT
Populatlon (thousands) Total .................................................. Males ........................... ...................... Females ............................................... Age distribution Percentage aged 0-4............................ Percentage aged 5-14.......................... Percentage aged 15-24......................... Percentage aged 60 or over .................. Percentage aged 65 or over .................. Percentage aged 80 or over .................. Percentage of women aged 15-49......... Median age (years) .................... .........
..
Population change per year (thousands) . Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) .. Net migration rate (per 1.000 population) . Total fertility (children per woman) ........... Net reproduction rate (per woman) ..........
101 0.76 25.8 17.8 -0.4 2.94 1.05
.
E CONSTANT-FERTILITY VARtANT
Population (thousands) Total ................................................ Males ............................................... Females .......................................... Med~anage (years) .................................
13120 6 509 6611 19.0
13944 6 958 6986 20.0
15041 7 541 7500 20.7
16292 8 202 8090 20.9
17654 8 913 8741 20.8
19150 9 678 9472 21.1
20842 10 529 10313 21.5
22789 1 1 498 11291 22.0
25027 12 606 12421 22.4
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Population growth rate (per cent) ............ Crude birth rate (per 1.000 population) .... Crude death rate (per 1.000 population) ..
1.22 30.6 18.0
1.51 31.5 16.0
1.60 31 .0 14.6
1.61 29.7 13.2
1.63 28.7 12.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.69 28.4 11.1
1.79 28.4 10.2
1.87 28.2 9.2
1.94 27.9 8.3
This page intentionally left blank
11. SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
Table A.3. Total populationat mid-year by major area and region: elimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area and reglon
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
l980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WORLD
2 535 093 2 770 753 3 031 931 3 342 771 3 698 676 4 076 080 4 451 470 4 855 264 5 294 879 5 719 045 6 124 123
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
813561 864004 916095 967002 l008477 1048104 1083274 1115352 1149064 1175400 1194199 1721532 1906749 2115836 2375768 2690199 3027977 3368196 3739912 4145815 4543645 4929924 200 321 221 417 247 317 278 395 315 868 358 263 405 815 460 974 525 473 601 083 679 447 1521 211 1685332 1868519 2097374 2374331 2669714 2962381 3278938 3620342 3942562 4250477
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 164 608 1 295 073 1 455 097 1 642 676 1 855 328 2 095 520 2 364 028 2 667 243 2 990 669 3 323 296 3 652 859
Sub-Saharan Atrlca (9)
180040
201 087
226 372
256 461
292 688
335 741
388 063
449 349
519 391
596 402
679 873
AFRICA Eastem Africa ......................................... Middle Atnca ........................................ Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... WesternAfrica .......................................
224 202 65 072 26 104 53 302 15 591 64134
250 633 73 056 28 788 59 761 17 493 71536
282 241 82 759 32 172 67 308 19 732 80270
319 574 94 656 36 184 75 942 22 426 90366
364 132 109 021 41 288 85 939 25 461 102423
416 446 125 888 47 273 97 481 29 093 116712
479 786 145 950 54 715 1 1 1 364 32 974 134782
554 294 169 404 63 431 128 002 37 454 156005
637 421 197 244 73 632 143 963 41 828 180754
726 334 224 280 86 675 159 423 47 408 208547
820 959 257 294 97 765 174 435 51 950 239515
ASIA 1 Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral As~a(l)............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. WesternAsia ..........................................
410 649 1 550 986 1 704 289 1 898 591 2 138 765 2 393 643 2 635 738 2 896 192 3 181 21 1 3 451 674 3 704 838 669 906 733 395 791 744 873 920 986 626 1 096 781 1 178 001 1 254 941 1 343 912 1 414 933 1 476 295 51 1 449 561 299 622 306 694 619 777 432 872 819 981 920 1 106 852 1 242 969 1 382 701 1 516 156 178 149 197 821 223 127 253 067 286 762 322 762 359 106 399 286 440 574 481 288 519 996 51 145 58471 67111 76985 87944 101280 116710 135114 153757 172752 192390
EUROPE Eastern Europe .............. ...................... Northern Europe ......................... . ......... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe .....................................
548 194 220 198 78 093 108 996 140 906
575 970 237 112 79 635 113 588 145 635
605 201 253 469 81 762 1 18 067 151 903
634 811 266 937 84 928 122 979 159 968
656 666 276 415 87 357 127 244 165 650
676455 285 737 89 011 132 564 169 143
693 170 294 972 89 877 137 890 170 430
706 576 303 505 90 745 140 512 171 813
721 322 31 0 860 92 120 142 286 176 057
728 513 31 0 421 93 177 143 858 181 057
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 167 626 Caribbean .............................................. 17 132 Central America ................... ........... 37 515 South America ........................................ 112 980
192 022 18 836 43 503 129 684
220 167 20 771 50 916 148 480
252 850 23 143 59 551 170 156
287 543 25 421 69 581 192 541
324 834 27 741 80 853 216 240
364 379 29 855 92 255 242 269
404 492 32 049 102 510 269 933
444 271 34 353 112 724 297 194
483 860 36 577 124 052 323 230
523 048 38 617 135 587 348 844
NORTHERN AMERICA
171 615
186 882
204 150
219 157
231 932
243417
255 546
269 023
283 920
299 670
315 672
12807 10 127 2 289 148 242
14260 1 1 337 2 483 164 276
15884 12 648 2 735 184 317
17788 14 153 3 056 21 1 368
19639 15 548 3 426 242 423
21286 16 708 3 865 267 447
22852 17 751 4 321 301 478
24686 18 916 4 905 358 508
26733 20 284 5 489 417 543
28995 21 745 6 204 466 580
31106 22 993 7 003 497 613
. .
OCEANIA AustralialNew Zealand ........................... Melanes~a...................... ............... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
. . . .
728 501 304 870
94 341 145 801 183 489
a More developed regions mmprise Eurcpe. Northern America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regms comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Letin Amand the Caribbean plus h!danesla. mronesia and Polynesia c Least developed countries are 50 mntries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latm America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed ccuntries comprise of the less developed regiars excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all oi Afncaexcapt Northern Africa, w#h the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. s! and Central Asia are uxnb~nedinto South-Central As!. 1 The regions Southern A
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
"'
Table A.3. Total populationat mid-year by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area and reglon 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA
Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
ASIA
Eastern Asia ........................................... Southcentral Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. Western Asia ..........................................
EUROPE
Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ..................................... Southern Europe .................................... Western Europe ......................................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................
NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA
AustralialNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A4.Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 High variant P -
-
P
P
Population(thousands)
Major area and region
WORLD
6 514 751 6 967 407 7 459 289 7 966 382 8 450 822 8 913 727 9 368 003 9 829 961 10 297 036 10 756 366
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
1 215 636 1 242 905 1 271 670 5299115 5724503 6187619 766 816 869 680 985 124 4532300 4854823 5202495
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 299 740 6666642 1 1 1 1 473 5555169
1 323 381 7127442 1 243 963 5883479
1 344 683 7569043 1 382 883 6186161
1 387 059 8000944 1 529 016 6471 928
1 392 651 8437310 1 682 312 6754998
1 421 036 8876000 1 840 877 7035123
1 450 731 9305634 2 001 829 7303805
3978606 4353070 4759083 5180138 5591355 5996110 6403408 6820088 7238680 7648138
Sub-Saharan Africa (a)
769348
873228
989836 1117241 1250536 1390812 1539109 1695277 1857215 2022172
AFRICA 922 011 1 039 937 1 171 953 1 315 002 1 462 891 1 616 858 1 778 638 1 948 489 2 124 135 2 302 149 Eastern Africa 292 539 334 740 382 445 434 290 488 148 544 536 604 128 666 982 732 226 798 666 MiddleAfrica 112505 130058 150365 173524 198843 226317 255821 287117 319810 353446 Northern Africa ........................................ 189 562 208 274 228 881 249 825 269 464 288 51 0 307 453 326 706 346 044 364 697 78 667 72 665 75 618 67 123 69 827 61 920 64 497 Southern Africa ....................................... 54 900 57 149 59 380 Western Africa ........................................ 272 505 309 716 351 081 395 643 441 939 490 372 541 408 595 019 650 438 706 673
......................................... ...........................................
ASIA 3 938 020 4 203 972 4 490 509 4 780 962 5 049 840 5 294 716 5 523 299 5 749 512 5 974 077 6 189 365 Eastern Asia ........................................... 1 522 472 1 576 288 1 635 737 1 695 169 1 744 954 1 780 857 1 803 828 1 821 781 1 840 255 1 858 840 Southtentral Asia (1) 1 645 790 1 793 286 1 952 109 2 114 432 2 268 000 2 414 171 2 558 013 2 704 908 2 850 451 2 989 190 South-eastern Asia 557 669 600 1 1 9 643 783 686 899 727 399 765 716 802 857 839 097 874 193 907 131 Western Asia .......................................... 212 088 234 279 258 879 284 462 309 487 333 973 358 601 383 725 409 178 434 204
............................. .................................
EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ......................................
731 087 297 775 96 370 150 333 186 609
738 830 293 587 99 141 154 222 189 880
743 202 290 497 102 269 157 149 193 287
749 011 287 164 105 664 159 242 196 941
752 266 282 555 108 852 160 583 200 276
754 357 277 628 1 1 1 753 161 696 203 280
757 482 273 604 114 587 163 103 206 189
762 864 270 755 117 743 165 003 209 364
769 848 268 434 121 324 167 098 212 991
777 l68 266 017 125 161 168 972 217 018
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................
557 979 40 525 143 775 373 679
599 430 42 672 155 192 401 566
643 315 45 012 167 364 430 939
687 305 47 439 179 601 460 265
728 911 49 747 191 205 487 959
768 749 51 893 202 332 514 523
807 239 53 937 213 021 540 281
844 631
55 916 223 156 565 559
880 407 57 81 1 232 590 590 005
914 203 59 576 241 199 613 428
NORTHERN AMERICA
332 245
351 450
372 01 1
393 157
413 338
432 920
452 730
473 339
494 860
517 137
OCEANIA 33410 AustraliaINew Zealand 24 407 Melanesia 7820 Micronesia ............................................ 538 Polynesia ............................................ 645
35789 25 860 8663 581 685
38300 27 414 9531 627 727
40945 29 042 10452 678 773
43576 30 619 11409 729 819
46127 32 106 12381 777 863
48615 33 538 13350 825 903
51127 35 005 14310 872 940
53710 36 552 15266 918 975
56343 38 156 16212 964 1 008
............................ ...............................................
a More developed regions comprise Europe, Nwthern America. AustraliatNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Alrica, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia c Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Afnca. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one countty in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e SubSaharan M i c a refers to all of AJrica except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Cenlral Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsfPopulation Division WorM Poputation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.5. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050
Low variant Population(thousands)
Major ama and region 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD
6 514 751 6 843 645 7 127 009 7 363 824 7 568 540 7 727 192 7 828 666 7 871 770 7 857 864 7 791 945
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a)
1215636 1221 975 1218218 5 299 115 5 621 670 5 908 790 766816 855804 945653 4532300 4765866 4963137
LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
1207540 6 156 284 1035276 5121007
1 193975 6 374 565 1125806 5248759
1 177049 6 550 143 1214211 5335932
1 155984 6 672 682 1 297 175 5 375 507
1 129960 6 741 810 1 372 431 5 369 379
1 099 155 6 758 709 1 438 865 5 319 843
1 065 151 6 726 794 1 495 711 5 231 083
Less developed regions, excluding 3 978 606 4 274 942 4 544 602 4 782 817 4 998 432 5 182 268 5326772 5431 206 5494452 5516836
China
Sub-SaharanAfrlca (e)
769348
Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
ASIA
..............
..........................................
3938020 4127206 4284706 4408874 4507871 4572127 4595620 4580381 4528586 4443976 1522472 1548164 1562929 1567792 1565086 1550498 1521173 14T7495 1421940 1357942 1 645 790 1 760 698 1 862 348 1 948 224 2 020 792 2 076 172 2 112 971 2 134 269 2 139 290 2 127 541 557669 588345 612349 630310 645 182 656 116 661 762 661 002 654231 642211 299 713 307 614 313 125 316 282 212 088 230 OOO 247 079 262 548 276 811 289 341 731 087
..................................... .....................................
LATIN
...................................... ........................................
NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA AustralidNew Zealand Micronesia ................................... Polynesia .....................................
150 333 186 609
724 107 287924 97563 151 592 187 028
711 151 276417 98149 150 681 185 905
694786 264065 98343 148 442 183 936
677662 251 747 98387 145 758 181 770
659381 239112 98180 142 800 179 289
639351 226003 97555 139 545 176 248
617036 212338 96488 135 814 172 397
592345 198205 95016 131 433 167 690
566034 183960 93246 126 425 162 403
557979 40 525 143 775 373 679
587933 41 924 152 113 393 896
612531 43026 159 078 410 428
631 684 43862 164 542 423 280
647115 44514 169 002 433 599
657604 44831 172 179 440 594
662067 44746 173 693 443 627
660556 44257 173 355 442 944
653343 43395 171 237 438 712
640881 42 193 167 479 431 209
332245
345698
356656
365382
372678
378308
382037
383611
383244
381 551
33410 24407 7820 538 645
35 189 25434 8513 569 673
36697 26292 9115 595 694
38019 27024 9664 619 713
39265 27692 10203 641 729
40357 28259 10698 658 741
41 193 28672 11103 671 746
41 723 28909 11396 676 742
41 966 28977 11583 676 730
41 985 28921 11682 671 712
___..297775 .... 96370
Southern Europe Western Europe
Can Cen South America
952 193 1043842 1 135709 1225614 1310669 1 388587 1 458R3 1 518442
922 011 1 023 510 1 125 267 1 225 078 1 323 948 1 419 416 1508397 1588464 1658379 1717518 544044 571 880 596003 292 539 329 473 367 468 405 275 442 690 478 646 512862 163 718 182 888 202 611 222 011 240 376 257 350 272 758 112 505 128 604 145 759 254873 259253 261 430 261 446 189 562 204 317 217 734 229 427 239 668 248 262 56026 55196 54149 53008 54 900 56 035 56 589 56 667 56 527 56 432 489595 513570 534302 272 505 305 081 337 873 370 070 402 035 433 170 462625
AFRICA
Western Asia
860089
...........
a b c d e
More developed regions comprise Europe, Nolthem America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions cornprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one countly in Lalin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulationDivision World Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume /; Comprehensive Tables
503
Table A.6. Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertili variant, 2005-2050 Constant-fertili variant Population (thousands)
Major area and region 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD
6514751 6944634 7416822 7919765 8443704 8996239 95971171026518811 01405311857786
WHORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
1215 636 1231 200 1242 124 5299115 5713434 6174699 766816 873 199 998818 4532300 4840235 5175881
Less developed regions, excluding China
3978606 4356169 4783236 5252432 5758523 6309985 6924151 7617479 6402937 9294052
SubSaharan Africa ((I) AFRICA
769348
Eastern Asia Southcentral ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. Western Asia
..........................................
EUROPE Eastern Europe ........... .............. Northern Europe .......... ............. SouthernEurope ..................................... WesternEurope ......................................
LATIN AMERICA AND TH ,
.
NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA
...............................................
1251 642 7744597 1518091 6226507
1247 723 8349394 1757067 6592328
1 240448 9024741 2042674 6982067
1 230 317 1218 291 978373610839495 2384654 2794406 7399082 7845089
876725 1005783 1 159354 1340619 1 556 153 1814510 2 125752 2501 095 2953 608
3938020 4190573 4463566 4744337 5021 318 5295579 5577549 5875420 6 191 052 6524736 1522472 1560626 1594830 1620268 1632260 1629764 1615201 1591124 1557901 1515325 1 645 790 1 796 874 1 966 954 2 150 238 2 341 363 2 542 235 2 759 299 2 996 671 3 254 814 3 533 656 557 669 598 800 641 939 685 816 729 196 772 077 815 183 859 004 903649 948 944 212 088 234 274 259 843 288 016 318 499 351 5w 387 888 428 622 474 689 526 811
ASIA
South America ........................................
1 252 103 7191601 1 316897 5874704
922011 1043102 1187267 1356478 1553321 1784398 2058766 2386874 2779969 3250865 292539 335757 388196 450678 524278 611 714 716556 842820 994846 1177658 112505 130318 151476 176807 207456 244698 290179 345882 414209 498131 189562 208300 229331 251 827 275014 299194 325085 353362 384349 418050 83393 74545 78722 70804 64353 67432 54900 56994 59095 61 568 272505 311 733 359169 415598 482221 561 359 656 142 770265 907844 1073632
......................................... ...........................................
Eastern Africa Middle Africa Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
Caribbean ....................
1 249 OOO 6670765 1 145727 5525038
.
731 087 297775 96370 150333 186609
729346 290438 98038 152506 188364
724238 282405 99490 152921 189423
716260 273270 100826 152169 189996
706004 263285 101931 150682 190106
693850 252716 102723 148727 189684
679867 241 646 103157 146383 188682
663869 229931 103299 143564 187075
645900 217594 103232 140134 184941
626370 204865 103014 136064 182428
557979 40525 143775 373 679
597587 42588 155025 399 974
639449 44807 167400 427 242
682066 47126 180435 454 505
724548 49518 193604 481 426
766901 51 936 206914 508 051
809418 54428 220562 534 429
652268 57043 234675 560 550
895504 59814 249317 586 373
939225 62760 264532 611 933
332245
348411
364416
380352
395753
410209
423614
436148
448137
459983
33410 24407 7 820 538
35615 25619 8 730 561 685
37887 26777 9 751 630 729
40272 27894 10 913 685 781
42759 28949 12 229 744 837
45302 29899 13 701 606 697
47903 30720 15 352 873 959
50610 31 424 17 219 944 1023
53490 32038 19 337 1023 1092
56606 32588 21 740 1 110 1168
645
a More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. AustraliaMew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions coinprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. c Least developed countries am 60 muntries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lath Amerlca and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions exduding the least dewloped countries. e Sub-Saharan Alrica refersto all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan includedin sub-SaharanAfrica. 1 The rqions Southern Asia and Central Asii are Mmbined into South-CentralAsia.
504
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA Easlern Africa ....................................... Middle Africa .................... .......... .... Northern Africa ............................. . . . .... Southern Africa .......................... ........... .............. Western Africa ...................
. . .
ASIA Eastern Asia ............................. ............ Southcentral Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................ Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ..................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ............................ . ....... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA Australia/New Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................ ............... Micronesia ................... ...... ........... Polynesia ............................. ...............
.. ..
a b c d e
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America. Australia/NewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all reglons of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, M~cronesiaandPolynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprlse of the less developed reglons excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to ail of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Atrica (e) AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... Middle Africa ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................ ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... ............................. South-centralAsia (l) South-easternAsia ................................. Western Asia .......................................... EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ...................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA OCEANIA Australia/New Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.8. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area and region: high variant, 2005-2050 High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area a n d region 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045.2050
WORLD
1.34
1.36
1.32
1.18
1.07
0.99
0.96
0.93
0.87
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
0.44 1.54 2.52 1.38
0.46 1.56 2.49 1.38
0.44 1.49 2.41 1.31
0.36 1.34 2.25 1.15
0.32 1.20 2.12 1.00
0.33 1.11 2.01 0.90
0.37 1.06 1.91 0.86
0.40 1.01 1.80 0.81
0.41 0.95 1.68 0.75
Less developed regions, excluding China
1.80
1.78
1.70
1.53
1.40
1.31
1.26
1.19
1.10
Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e)
2.53
2.51
2.42
2.25
2.13
2.03
1.93
1.83
1.70
1.91 2.08 2.45 1.27 0.79 1.98
1.82 1.98 2.31 1.22 0.80 1.89
1.73 1.87 2.16 1.l5 0.80 1.78
1.61 1.74 2.00 1.05 0.79 1.66 0.71 0.20 0.95 0.74 1.19
AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... MiddleAfrica ........................................... Northern Africa ........................................ Southern Africa ....................................... Western Africa ........................................
2.41 2.70 2.90 1.88 0.80 2.56
2.39 2.67 2.90 1.87 0.77 2.51
2.30 2.54 2.87 1.75 0.84 2.39
2.13 2.34 2.72 1.53 0.82 2.21
2.00 2.19 2.59 1.37 0.80 2.08
ASIA Eastern Asia ......................................... South-central Asia (1) ............................. South-eastern Asia ................................. WesternAsia .........................................
1.31 0.70 1.72 1.47 1.99
1.32 0.74 1.70 1.41 2.00
1.25 0.71 1.60 1.30 1.89
1.09 0.58 1.40 1. l 5 1.69
0.95 0.41 1.25 1.03 1.52
0.85 0.26 1.16 0.95 1.42
0.80 0.20 1.12 0.88 1.35
0.77 0.20 1.05 0.82 1.28
EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... Northern Europe ...................................... Southern Europe ..................................... Western Europe ...................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ............................................... Central America ................................... South America ........................................ NORTHERN AMERICA
1.12
1.14
1.11
1.00
0.93
0.90
0.89
0.89
0.88
OCEANIA AustraliaINew Zealand ............................ Melanesia ............................................... Micronesia .............................................. Polynesia ...............................................
1.38 1.16 2.05 1.54 1.20
1.36 1.17 1.91 1.54 1.18
1.34 1.15 1.84 1.56 1.24
1.25 1.06 1.75 1.43 1.15
1.14 0.95 1.64 1.30 1.04
1.05 0.87 1.51 1.19 0.91
1.01 0.86 1.39 1.11 0.80
0.99 0.87 1.29 1.03 0.73
0.96 0.86 1.20 0.98 0.67
a b c d e 1
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America, AustraliaINewZealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mmbined into South-Central Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2005-2050
Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region 2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD
0.99
0.81
0.65
0.55
0.42
0.26
0.11
-0.04
-0.17
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
0.10 1.18 2.20 1.01
-0.06 1.00 2.00 0.81
-0.18 0.82 1.81 0.63
-0.23 0.70 1.68 0.49
-0.29 0.54 1.51 0.33
-0.36 0.37 1.32 0.15
-0.46 0.21 1.13 -0.02
-0.55 0.05 0.95 -0.19
-0.63 -0.10 0.78 -0.34
Less developed regions, exciud~ng China
1.44
1.22
1.02
0.88
0.72
0.55
0.39
0.23
0.08
SubSaharan Afrfrlca (e)
2.23
2.04
1.84
1.69
1.52
1.34
1.16
0.98
0.81
2.09 2.38 2.68 1.50 0.41 2.26
1.90 2.18 2.50 1.27 0.14 2.04
1.70 1.96 2.32 1.05 0.06 1.82
1.55 1.77 2.22 0.87 0.03 1.66
1.39 1.57 2.05 0.71 -0.05 1.49
1.22 1.37 1.83 0.53 -0.18 1.32
1.03 1 .l8 1.59 0.34 -0.30 1.13
0.86 1.00 1.37 0.17 -0.38 0.96
0.70 0.83 1.16 0.00 -0.43 0.79
0.94 0.34 1.35 1.07 1.62
0.75 0.19 1.12 0.80 1.43
0.57 0.06 0.90 0.58 1.21
0.44 -0.04 0.73 0.47 1.06
0.28 -0.19 0.54 0.34 0.89
0.10 -0.38 0.35 0.17 0.70
-0.07 -0.58 0.20 -0.02 0.52
-0.23 -0.77 0.05 -0.21 0.36
-0.38 -0.92 -0.11 -0.37 0.20
-0.19 -0.67 0.25 0.17 0.05
-0.36 -0.82 0.12 -0.12 -0.12
-0.47 -0.91 0.04 -0.30 -0.21
-0.50 -0.96 0.01 -0.37 -0.24
-0.55 -1.03 -0.04 -0.41 -0.28
-0.62 -1.13 -0.13 -0.46 -0.34
-0.71 -1.25 -0.22 -0.54 -0.44
-0.82 -1.38 -0.31 -0.66 -0.55
-0.91 -1.49 -0.38 -0.78 -0.64
1.05 0.68 1 .l3 1.05
0.82 0.52 0.90 0.82
0.62 0.39 0.68 0.62
0.48 0.30 0.54 0.48
0.32 0.14 0.37 0.32
0.14 -0.04 0.18 0.14
-0.05 -0.22 -0.04 -0.03
-0.22 -0.39 -0.25 -0.19
-0.39 -0.56 -0.44 -0.35
NORTHERN AMERICA
0.79
0.62
0.48
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.08
-0.02
-0.09
OCEANIA
1.04 0.82 1.70 1.12 0.85
0.84 0.66 1.37 0.90 0.62
0.71 0.55 1.17 0.78 0.53
0.65 0.49 1.09 0.69 0.44
0.55 0.41 0.95 0.54 0.32
0.41 0.29 0.74 0.37 0.14
0.26 0.16 0.52 0.18 -0.10
0.12 0.05 0.33 -0.01 -0.33
0.01 -0.04 0.17 -0.16 -0.52
AFRICA Eastern Africa ......................................... MiddleAfrica ......................................... NorthernAfrica ...................................... Southern Africa ....................................... WesternAfrica ......................................
ASIA Eastern Asia ........................................... South-central Asia (1)............................. South-easIernAsia ................................. WesternAsia ..........................................
EUROPE Eastern Europe ....................................... NorthemEurope ..................................... Southern Europe .................................... Western Europe ........................ .........
..
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean .......................................... Central America ...................................... SouthAmerica ..................... .................
AustralialNew Zealand ............................ Melanesia .......................................... Micronesia ............................................ Polynesia ..........................................
a More developed regions wrnprise Europe. Northern Amenca. AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed reglons cornpnse all regions of Afrlca. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 In Africa, 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin Amerlca and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to ail of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan Included In sub-Saharan Africa. 1 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mrnbined into South-Central Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb AlO. Average annual rate of population change by major area and regkn: constant-fertillty Varknt, 2005-2050 Constant-fertility varbnt Annual rate of change (per cent) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2o30-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD
1.28
1.32
1.31
1.28
1.27
1.29
1.35
1.41
1.48
NDRE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQIONS (b) Leaet developed countries (c) O M e r b anrelopedcountrkw (d)
0.25 1.51 2.60 1.32
0.18 1.55 2.69 1.34
0.1 1 1.55 2.74 1.31
0.05 1.50 2.79 1.23
-0.01 I.48 2.84 1.16
-0.06 1.50 2.92 1.14
-0.12 1.56 3.01 1.15
-0.16 1.62 3.10 1.16
-0.20 1.08 3.17 1.17
1.81
1.87
1.87
1.84
1.83
1.ea
1.91
1.96
2.02
2.98
3.07
3.17
3.25
3.33
3.05 3.32 3.61 1.68 1.09 3.29
3.13 3.37 3.89 1.68 1.15 3.36
Lea8 devdoped regioos. e=luding China
8ub8.h.nn Atrlcr (a)
2.61
2.75
2.84
2.91
Easlern AMca ......................... M W AMca ........................................... Ncdmm Africa ........................................ SaRhem Africa ....................................... W e a m Africa ........................................
2.47 2.76 2.94 1.89 0.75 2.69
2.59 2.90 3.01 1.92 0.72 2.83
2.67 2.99 3.09 1.87 0.82 2.92
2.71 3.03 3.20 1.76 0.89 2.97
2.77 3.09 3.30 1.69 0.94 3.04
2.86 3.16 3.41 1.66 3.12
2.96 3.25 3.51 1.67 1.03 3.21
A m ...... . . Eastem As&. ................... . Swthcantrel SwVleaetern Asia ................................. weetem Asia ..........................................
1.24 0.50 1.76 1.42 1.99
1.26 0.43 1.81 1.39 2.07
1.22 0.32 1.78 1.32 2.06
1.14 0.15 1.70 1.23 2.01
1.06 -0.03 1.65 1.14 1.97
1.04 -0.18 1.64 1.09 1.97
1.04 -0.30 1.65 1.05 2.00
1.05 -0.42 1.65 1.01 2.04
1.05 -0.55 1.64 0.98 2.08
EUROPE Eastem Eumpe ......... Northem Europe ..................................... Southem Europe .....................................
-0.05 -0.50 0.34 0.29 0.19
-0.14 -0.56 0.29 0.05 0.1 1
-0.22 -0.66 0.27 -0.10 0.06
-0.29 -0.74 0.22 -0.20 0.01
-0.35 -0.82 0.16 -0.26 -0.04
-0.41 0.08 -0.32 -0.1 1
-0.48 -0.99 0.03 -0.39 -0.17
-0.55 -1.10 -0.01 -0.48 -0.23
4.61 -1.21 -0.04 -0.59 -0.27
1.37 0.99 1.51 1.36
1.35 1.M 1.54 1.32
1.29 1.01 1.50 1.24
1.21 0.99 1.41 1.15
1.14 0.95 1.33 1.08
1.08 0.94 1.28 1.01
1.03 0.94 1.24 0.95
0.99 1.21 0.90
0.95 0.96 1.19 0.85
NORTHERN AllERlCA
0.95
0.90
0.86
0.79
0.72
0.64
0.58
0.54
0.52
OCUNIA AustraliaMew zeeland ............................
1.28 0.97 2.20 1.56 1.19
1.24 0.08 2.21 1.61 1.24
1.22 0.82 2.25 1.66 1.38
1.20 0.74 2.28 1.65 1.40
1.16 0.65 2.27 1.61 1.38
1.12 0.54 2.28 1.58 1.33
1.10 0.45 2.30 1.58 1.30
1.11 0.39 2.32 1.60 1.31
1.13 0.34 2.34 1.63 1.34
AFRICA
...... .. ............. .... .....
Western Europe ......................................
LATIN * Y M C A AND THE CARIBBEAN Caribbean ...... ..... ...........................
... ......
ctntral America ......................................
SoUmAmerica ........................................
Micronesia .............................................. polvnesia .................,..............................
510
0.88
-0.90
0.95
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.11. Total populationat mid-year by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050
Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WORLD
2535093 2770753 3031 931 3342771 3698676 4076080 4451 470 4855264 5294879 5719045 6 124 123
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
813 561 864 004 916 095 967 002 1 008 477 1 048 104 1 083 274 1 115 352 1 149 064 1 175 400 1 194 199 1 721 532 1 906 749 2 115 836 2 375 768 2 690 199 3 027 977 3 368 196 3 739 912 4 145 815 4 543 645 4 929 924 200 321 221 417 247 317 278 395 315 868 358 263 405 815 460 974 525 473 601 083 679 447 1 521 21 1 1 685 332 1 868 519 2 097 374 2 374 331 2 669 714 2 962 381 3 278 938 3 620 342 3 942 562 4 250 477
Less developed regions. excluding China
1164608 1295073 1455097 1642676 1855328 2095520 2364028 2667243 2990669 3323296 3652859
Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA
180090
201 087
226372
256461
292688
335741
388063
449 349
519 391
596402
679873
224 202
250 633
282 241
319 574
364 132
416 446
479 786
554 294
637 421
726 334
820 959
17 493 475 788 536 15 385 309
19 732 532 851 599 17 396 353
22 426 604 933 677 19 814 397
25 461 701 1033 772 22 502 454
29 093 826 1 149 892 25 697 527
32 974 996 1296 993 29 074 615
37 454 1 174 1 472 1 131 32 961 716
41 828 1 367 1601 1417 36 577 865
47 408 1 566 1 722 1657 41 505 959
51 950 1 729 1886 1879 45 398 1 058
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1)......................... . .......... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya .................... ............................. Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ....................... Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ........................... ..................... S l o Tom6 and Principe ........................ NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ................... . Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesdho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................
15 591 416 734 485 13 683 273
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... ............ Burkina Faso .......................... Cape Verde ........................... ............. C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau..................... ...... ....... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A . l l . Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6 514751 6906558 7295 135 7667090 8010509 8317707 8587050 8823546 9025982 9191 287
WORLD
1 245 247 7 946 040 1 741 959 6 204 081
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
3 978 606 4 314 679 4 653 263 4 983 415 5 296 917 5 589 441 5 859 569 6 108 970 6 333 310 6 527 690
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 215 636 1 232 457 1 245 021 5 299 1 15 5 674 101 6 050 1 14 766 816 863 394 966 71 8 4 532 300 4 810 707 5 083 396
769 348
866 948
1 253 852 6 413 238 1 075 104 5 338 134
1 258 970 6 751 540 1 186 916 5 564 623
1 260 770 7 056 937 1 300 634 5 756 303
1 259 931 7 327 1 1 9 1 414 665 5 912 453
1 256 835 7 566 71 1 1 527 425 8 039 286
1 251 757 7 774 225 1 637 146 6 137 078
971 522 1 081 029 1 193 581 1 308 461 1 424 351 1 539 590 1 652 280 1 760 724
922 011 1 032 013 1 149 117 1 270 528 1 393 871 1 518 310 1 642 679 1 765 372 1 884 446 1 997 935
Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar ........................................ Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ............................................... United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ........................ .................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sko Tom6 and Principe .........................
. .
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ..................................
54 900 1 836 1 981 2 020 47 939 1 125
56 592 1 953 2 044 2 157 49 278 1 160
57 906 2 062 2 107 2 288 50 260 1 189
59 254 2 165 2 163 2 428 51 281 1 218
60 577 2 265 2 21 1 2 560 52 300 1 242
61 788 2 358 2 252 2 678 53 236 1 264
62 802 2 445 2 286 2 780 54 004 1 287
63 646 2 533 2 314 2 873 54 616 1 31 1
64 374 2 620 2 337 2 960 55 121 1 335
65 049 2 703 2 356 3 041 55 590 1 360
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ......................... ................. South Africa ......................................... Swaziland ........................ ..............
... ..
.....
WESTERN AFRICA Benin ................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBte d'lvoire ....................... . ............... Gambia ...................... . ....... ............... Ghana .................. . . . . ......................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia ............................................... Mali ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. reglon and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh ...........................................
Bhutan ................................................ India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Demratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ........................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ....................... .................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Malor area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................. Mongolia .............................................. Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh .......................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ................. .. ................... Vie1 Narn ....................... . . ................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... ...... . ................... Oman ..................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ............................................... Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungaly ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ............................. . ................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ............................................ .......... United Kingdom ...................
. . .
SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia .................. .................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium .................... .. .. ................ France ......................... ... ................ ....... Germany .................... .......... Liechtenstein ....................................... Luxembourg ..................... .. ............... Monaco ............................................... Netherlands ................... ................. Switzerland ..........................................
.. . . .
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................ .......... ...... Antigua and Barbuda ........................... . Aruba .................................................. Bahamas ................... .................. Barbados ................................. .. ....... British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands ................... ............. Cuba ....................................................
. . . .
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisian World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
731 087
730 478
727 227
722 060
715 220
706 908
697 507
687 244
676 104
664 183
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ..................... . . ....................... Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Klngdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ....................... ........................ Andorra .................................... ........ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ...................... .............................. Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal .................................. .............. San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...................... .................... Belgium ............................................... France ................................................. Germany ............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ..................................... Switzerland ...........................................
...
557 979
593 697
627 958
659 562
688 030
712 841
733 376
749 670
761 599
769 229
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Amba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ..................... ....... ..................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A11 .Total populatlonat mld-year by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
MaJorarea. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Hondirras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador .............................................. Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ........................... ................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of A m r b .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (13) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ............................. . vanuatu ................................................ YCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................................. Guadeloupe ........................ .............. Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. . ................ Puerto Rico ........................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ..................
..
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ........................................... Bolivia ...................... .. ....................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland lslands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ................................. ........... Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................................. Canada ...................... ....... .............. ..................... Greenland ................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................
332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846
348 574 65 33 752 59 6 314 692
364 334 65 35 191 61 6 329 010
379 270 66 36 588 63 6 342 547
392 978 66 37 912 64 6 354 930
405 429 66 39 105 64 6 366 187
416 777 65 40 148 65 6 376 492
427 072 65 41 069 64 6 385 868
436 481 64 41 920 64 6 394 426
445 303 63 42 754 64 6 402 415
33410
35489
37 499
39482
41 421
43 236
44 860
46 293
47 575
48 742
OCEANIA
24 407 20 310 4 097
25 647 21 362 4 285
26 854 22 397 4 457
28 033 23 418 4 616
29 157 24 393 4 764
30 182 25 287 4 895
31 078 26 075 5 003
31 867 26 778 5 089
32 582 27 425 5 157
33 250 28 041 5 209
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)..................... . ................ New Zealand .........................................
7820 828 234 6 070 472 215
8588 854 253 6 708 531 243
9323 874 270 7 319 589 270
10058 888 287 7 937 647 299
10806 905 303 8 565 705 328
11536 918 31 7 9 183 762 356
12213 926 330 9 758 817 383
12818 928 341 10 273 868 408
13355 922 351 10 736 914 432
13834 910 360 1 1 155 955 454
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ................................... ...... Papua New Guinea .................... . . Solomon Islands ................................... ................................................ Vanuatu
538 169 92 57 110 10
575 180 100 63 113 10
61 1 191 107 70 116 11
648 201 115 75 120 11
684 21 1 123 79 125 11
71 7 220 131 83 129 11
746 228 137 86 1 32 11
771 233 143 89 1 34 11
791 238 147 92 134 11
808 242 151 92 134 11
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
. .
MICRONESIA Guam ................................................. Kiribati .................... . ......................... Marshall Islands ............................. .... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
Table A.ll. Total populationat mid-year by major area, reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
WLYNESIA
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
7 7
8 8
10 10
11 11
13 11
15 12
17 12
30 14
44 15
58
69 19
17
................................... ........................................ ..................................
American Samoa Cook Islands French Polynesia Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................. Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
a b c d e 1 2 3 4
More developed regions romprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesiaand Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed owntries canprise of the less developed regions excludingthe least d 4 o p e d countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Mayotte. Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statist~alpurposes, the data for Chinado not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) ofChina.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.ll. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major a m , region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Nolthern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ........................................ French Polynesia Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau Tonga ................................................... Twalu .................................................. Wallls and Futuna Islands .....................
..................................
................................................
5 6 7 B 9 10 11 12 13
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Adm~nistrativeRegicm (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including h a n d Islands Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. Including Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Jnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Norld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 High variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (8) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoms (1) .......................................... Djibouli ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ....................... .. ............... Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. ... .............. Zimbabwe .......................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .......................... . ..................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S l o Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ................... ... ... . ............. Lesotho ................... . . . . ... .............. Namibia ................................................ South Africa ...................... .................. Swaziland .................... ....................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... ...... ...... Burkina Faso ....................... Cape Verde ........................................ CBte d'lvoire ...................................... Gambia ...................... . ........................ Ghana ........................ ........................ Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia ................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total populatkn at mid-year by major area. regkn and country (continued)
High varlant ~
Population (thousands)
MaJorarea. mglon and country 2005
Mauritania ............................................. Niger
....................................................
Sierra L
m ....
.. ... ...
ASlA
2 963 13 264 141356 6 11770 5586 6239
2010
2015
m2o
2025
3 390 15 897 159518 7 13418 6190 7180
3834 19 060 179098 7 15184 6999 8210
4 300 22 832 199596 8 17031 7921 9307
4 776 27 242 220211 8 18915 8934 10434
2030
2035
5 269
5 777 38 160
32 349 241230 9 20861 10035 11 593
263004 9 22889 11 218 12783
2040 6 297 44 624 285612 9 24984 12471 13985
2045 6 819 51 642 308730 10 27098 13783 15170
2050 7 331 59 121 331887 10 29182 15146 16314
3938020 4203972 4490509 4780962 5049840 5294716 5523299 5749512 5974077 6189365
EASTERN A S A 1 522 472 1 576 288 1 635 737 1 695 169 1 744 954 1 780 857 1 803 828 1821 781 1840255 1 858 840 1312979 1363447 1 420092 1 477607 1526776 1563252 1587522 1606899 1 626706 1646612 China (4) .............................................. 7 057 China-HongKong SAR (5) .................... 7 490 7 924 8 351 9 723 8743 9098 9421 10 273 10 007 548 473 China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... 607 495 520 568 584 594 601 612 24 218 Dam. people's Republic d Korea ........... 23 616 25 820 26659 27296 27745 24 955 28 176 28 675 29 216 Japan ................................................... 127 897 119 777 128 766 128 530 127157 125301 123309 121 443 129 042 118267 2 738 Mmgdia ............................................... 2 581 2 941 3 142 3 788 3317 3476 3632 3 934 4063 RepuMic of Korea ................................. 47 870 49 135 51 174 50263 51 152 51 734 51 851 51 605 50 549 49 796 SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) 1645790 Afghanistan ........................................... 25 067 153 281 Bangladesh........................................... Bhutan 637 1134403 India ... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... 69 421 15 211 Kazakhslan ........................................... KYQY=m ..... 5 204 Maklives ............................................... 295 Nepal .................................................... 27 094 Pakistan .... 158 081 Sri Lanka ... 19 121 6 550 Tajikistan .............................................. Tulicmenistan ........................................ 4 833 Uzbekslan ............................................ 26 593
793 286 1952109 2114432 2268000 2414171 2558013 2704908 2 850 451 2989190 30 581 36 192 42106 48702 55882 63574 71 711 80 207 88 941 168 061 184 108 200875 217515 234 111 250774 267 442 283 844 299 666 691 920 965 1061 755 815 871 1012 1109 231 456 1333302 1435854 1531 712 1621515 1707966 1 795 760 1882092 1963814 75 143 81 755 114946 119629 88437 93861 98731 103909 109 506 16 731 19 702 17465 18012 18494 19054 15 923 m m 20835 7 671 5 933 7 415 6296 6599 6866 7139 5 552 7 891 326 535 569 362 401 437 469 501 602 30 133 44633 48498 52 472 33 507 37155 40867 60489 56 499 174 422 193 981 215136 235774 255596 275440 295903 316 639 336 782 19 767 20 459 22 226 21 104 21561 21849 22045 22 407 22 555 7 137 7 914 11 569 12 236 8739 9516 10228 10904 12 884 5 218 5 647 6777 7102 7 445 7 782 6 W 6453 8 084 28 875 31 453 42 212 33969 36119 38101 44 170 40140 45 910
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Danrssah ............................... Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia ....... La0 People's D Malaysia ...............................................
600 119
Thailand ................................................ T i m - L w t e .......................................... vie1 Nam ....................................
WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................
Georgia ................................................ Ifaq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ................................ Oman .................................... Qalar .................................................... Saudi AraMa .........................................
Yemen
............................ ..................................................
557 669 374 13 956
226063 5664 25 653 47 967 84566 4 327 63 003 1 067 85029 212 088 3 018 8 352 725
836 4 473 27 9% 6692 5544 2 700 4011 3 762 2 507 796 23 612 18 894 72 970 4 104 21 096
419
643 783 466
15 364 242 026 6 231 28 183 50 547 93 865 4 626 65 746 1 280 91 831
17 047 257 980 6863 30 770 53311 103 480 4900 68 337 1530 99099
234 279 3020 8 762 799 890 4 341 30 937 7334 6 513 3080 4 269 4 445 2 791 891 26643 21 643 78 489 4 770 24 680
258 879 3062 9 253 876 950 4 291 35 672 7964 7 093 3 457 4 541 5 194 3 121 983 29 914 24 113 84 190 5368
20838
686 899 514 18 a77 273 308 7536 33356 56 117 113209 5 135 70 701 1 801 106 346
284 462 3 097 9 733 951 1014 4236 40 607 8 573 7 781 3832 4 814 6 012 3 473 1 072 33332 26690 89 790 5963 33 491
727 399 561 20 654 287 784 8 186 35 746 58 720 122 597 5 355 72 633 2 095 113 068
309 487 3094 10 088 1 024 1 074 4 177 45 575 9 171 8 496 4 196 5 072 6884 3 815 1149 36 694 29 172 94939 6 542 38 325
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Populaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revisbn. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
765 716
802 857
608
657 24 080 315443 9356 40 111 63294 140 497 5 627 75 721 2 741 125 330
22 359 301 775 8 792 37 940 61 077 131 687 5 525 74 255 2 407 119291 333 973 3 071 10 330 1095 1129 4099
50634 9 772 9 197 4555 5311
7804 4 137 1 225 39 950 31 543 99 665 7 125 43330
358 601 3 052 10 544 1163 1185 4 018 55 749 10 381 9686 4920
5536 8 764 4 442 1301 43 110 33 887 104 304 7 726
48834
839 097 706 25 896 328 676 9 895 42 311 65 470 148 956 5 676 77 110 3 103 131 298
874 193 756 27 777 341 144 10445 44 501 67 572 157 377 5 705 78 409 3 495 137 012
907 131
383 725 3 042 10 781 1228 1 245 3943 60 971 10 988 10 560 5 293 5 760 9 761 4 746 1 374 46 180 36 257 108 924 8344 54330
409 178 3 027 11 018 1290 1308 3 872 66332 11 583 11 229 5660 5983 10 785 5 057 1443 49 236 38654 113386 8 958 60 357
434 204
806 29611 352 529 10 993 46 595 69 522 165 803 5 739 79 603 3908 142 220
2994 11 198 1 349 1371 3 797 71 757 12 156 11 869 6009 6 197 11 825 5363 1 507 52 292 40 936 117 513 9 542 66 528
523
Table A12.Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Maior area, region and country
EUROPE
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
731 087
736 830
743 202
749 011
752 266
754 357
757482
762 864
769 848
777 168
EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ............................................... Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................ ................. Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece ................................................. Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...................... WESTERN EUROPE .... .................... Austria ....................... Belgium .............................................. France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
557 979
599 430
643 315
687 305
728 911
768 749
807 239
844 631
880 407
914 203
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) High variant pp
P
p
p
.
-p
p
.
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands .................. CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................. ............ Panama ................................................
..
SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)...................................... New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ............................... ..... ................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ....................... ..................... MICRONESIA ........................ Guam ......................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2005
Northern Mariana Islands Palau
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
......................
....................................................
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau . ................... Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
...........................
a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 ln Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed cwntries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed cwntries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Norlhem Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. 1 lncluding Mayone. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Tristan daCunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include H m g Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) 01 China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong becams a Special Administrat~veRegion (SAR) of Chmna. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAN) of China. 7 The regions Swthem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central As~a. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 lncludlng &and Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican City State. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. C
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2056 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A13.Total population at mid-year by major a m , region and country: k w variant, 2005-2050
Low variant Population (thousands) Major a m , -Ion
and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD
6514751 6843645 7127009 7363824 7568540 7727192 7828666 7871 770 7857864 7791 945
MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LEBB DEVELOPEDREalONS (b) Leaet clemloped countries (c) other less developed coontries (d)
1215636 1221975 1218218 1207540 1193975 5299115 5621670 5908790 6 156284 6374565 766816 855804 945653 1035276 1125806 4532300 4765868 4963137 5121007 5248759
1177049 6550143 1214211 5335932
1155984 6672682 1297175 5375507
1129960 6741810 1372431 5369379
1099155 6758709 1438865 5319843
1065151 6726794 1495711 5231083
Less developed regions, exAuding
china
3978608 4274942 4544602 4782817 4998432 5182266 5326772 5431206 5494452 5516836
Sub4hhm urlcr (a)
769348
860089
952193 1043842 1135709 1225614 1310669 1388587 1458063 1518442
AFRICA
922011 1023510 1 125267 1225078 1323948 1419416 1508397 1588464 1658379 1717 518
EASTERN AFRICA B ~ r ~ n................................................. di
292 539 7 859 798
Djibovti ........................................
...................................
Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) .........................................
Mozambique ..... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................
...... ...... ....... United Republic of Tanzania .................. zanha ................................................. YDDLE AFRICA Angda ..................................................
cameroon ............................................. Central AMcan Republic ..... Chad ...................................
C
w ..................................................
Gabon .................................................. S o Tom6 and Rhclpe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA
804 4 527 78 986 35 599 18 643 13 226 1 241 20533 785 9 234 86 8 196 28 947 38 478 11 478 13 120
329 473 9 487 894 870 5 278 88 889 40298 21 125 14 922 1 278 22 452
829 10 521 87 9 419 33 783 43 189 12 525 13 624
367 468 11 030
985 932 6 036 99038 45 191 23 606 16 689 1303 24 197 863 11 915 87 10 693 39 216
48ooo 13 559 14 129
112505 16 095 17 795 4 191 10 146 3 610 58 741
128 604 18 361 19 496 4554 11 629 39 n
68505
145 759 20858 21 059 4 914 13 185 4363 79 143
484
541 1377 164
1 457 176
1291 153
i m 562
604
571 880 22 921 1 420 1 251 9 504 152 799 69 565 36 473 26 256 1 248 32348 921 18 860 87 17 610 75 603 70 527 18 854 15 634
596 003 25 074 1 457 1 276 9 898 159 018 72 259 37 922 27 365 1206 33 115 904 19 699 84 18 490 80 739 72 377 19 373 15 688 272 758
228
141 729 922 1721 238
257 350 36 777 27 567 6 317 24 072 6 224 153 438 975 1 736 245
259 253 42 284 100 703 8 150 36 418 59 375 11 525 797
261 430 42 261 101 592 8 237 36 070 61 114 11 350 804
261 446 41 877 101 613 8 243
11 552 762
254 873 41 976 98 902 8005 36469 57 145 11 592 783
442 690 14 453 1152 1056 7 303 119 113 54268 28 407 20 315 1 325 27 466 912 14 535 89 13 145 51 604 56 939 15 885 14 924
478 846 16 367 1 232 1118 7 895 128 639 58563 30698 22038 1322 28 981 927 15 683 89 14 371 57 988 61 096 16 646 15 214
512 862 18 465 1306 1172 8 472 137 509 62638 32 837 23603 1308 30311 934 16 792 89 15 548 64 130 64838 17 498 15412
544044 20689 1369 1216 9 020 145 595
163 718 23 445 22466 5 230 14 858 4 724 90 603 671 1531 189
182 688 26 183 23 776 5 519 16 743 5 077 103 053 738 1 597
202611 28 978 24 979 5 775 18 674 5 415 116 119
222 01 1
240 376 34329 26 901 6 174 22366
229 427 88 655 7 327 34 576 48 190 11 179 695
239 668 40 253 92 715 7 615 35 516 51 428 11 410 732
248 262 41 305 96 189 7 829 36 165
405 275 12 687 1 069 990 6689 109 138 49 823 26 026 18 498 1318 25 853 890 13 282
88 11 930 45 254 52 542 14 646 14 552
203
803 1652 216
31 719 26034
5993 20564 5 726 129 190 864 1694
66346 34 772 25 004 1203 31 426 932 17 869
88 16 632 70 019 68 010 18 231 15 544
5996
39048 28 034 6 423 25 674 6 407 164 162 1 022 1 738 250
32 854 72 850 5 918 30 495
204 317 35 061 78 764 6464 32 053
36900
40896
10 105
440
10 554 525
217 734 37 089 84085 6 947 33435 44 661 10 906 611
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .............................................
54900 1836 1981 2020 47 939 1125
56035 1933 2024 2137 48 791 1150
56432 2008 2053 2232 48 980 1159
56589 2066 2062 2320 48 978 1162
56667 2118 2062 2398 48 930 1159
56527 2161 2049 2457 48 707 1153
56026 2190 2023 2494 48 177 1142
55196 2210 1984 2512 47 363 1128
54149 2222 1936 2516 46 364 1111
53008 2226 1882 2508 45 299 1094
WESfERN AFRICA Benin ....................................................
272 505 6 490 13 933 507 18 585 1617 22535 9003 1 597 3 442 11 611
305 081
337 873 11 114 18 139 613 21 874 2 031 26 692 11 232 2 123 4 945 15 375
370 070 12448 20 381
402 035 13 786 22 701 705 24 849 2409 30 252 13 872 2 797 6 497 19 712
433 170 15 094 25011 746 26 142 2 590 31 822 15 183 3 184 7385 21 958
462 625
489 595 17 501 29 284
513 570 18 557 31 160 828 28 944 3 026 35 079 18 697 4 342 10 131 28 181
534302
16 340 27 224 781 27 262 2 756 33 180 16 439 3 581 8 312 24 140
Sudan ............ Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
Guinea-Bissau ......................................
528
9 797 15 978 561 20 210 1830 24 678 9 951 1 840 4 281 13 408
38806
660 23 416 2 221 28 528 12 541 2 441 5 679 17484
54460
809 28 197 2 902 34 273 17616 3 969 9 236 26 221
35460 62 370 11 079 804
19 489 32833 840
29500 3 129 35 603 19 €84 4 700 10 988 29996
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: ComprehensrLe Tables
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Mauritania ............................................ 2 963 Niger ................................................. 13 264 Nigeria .................................................. 141 356 Saint Helena (3).................................... 6 Senegal ......................... ..... ........ 1 1 770 SierraLeone ....................................... 5586 Togo ..................................................... 6239
3 336 15 685 157 108 7 13 204 6144 7065
3 681 18 447 172 333 7 14 573 6815 7880
4 006 21 613 186 602 7 15 852 7530 8661
4 321 25 260 200 065 7 17 084 8299 9418
4 623 29 349 212 596 7 18 259 9094 10126
4 900 33 764 223 965 7 19 345 9873 10756
5 139 38 353 233 905 7 20 295 l0607 11282
5 332 42 981 242 248 7 21 073 11286 11697
5 480 47 561 248 938 7 21 667 11911 11996
.. ..
ASIA
3938020 4 127206 4284706 4408874 4507871 4572 127 4595620 4580381 4528586 4443976
EASTERN ASIA 1 522 472 1 548 164 China (4)................................. ....... . 1 312 979 1 338 894 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... 7 057 7 349 China. Macao SAR (6)......................... 473 485 Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 23 616 23 813 Japan ................................................... 127 897 126 736 Mongolia .............................................. 2 581 2 676 Republic of Korea ................................. 47 870 48 211 SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 645 790 Afghanistan ........................................... 25 067 Bangladesh .......................................... 153 281 Bhutan .................................................. 637 India ..................................................... 1 134 403 Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... 69 421 Kazakhstan ........................................... 15 21 1 Kyrgyzstan .................................. .... 5 204 Maldives .............................................. 295 Nepal .................................................... 27 094 Pakistan ............................................... 158 081 Sri Lanka ......................... . .................. 19 121 Tajikistan .......................... .................. 6 550 Turkmenistan ...................................... 4 633 Uzbekistan ............................................ 26 593
..
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ...................... ................... Indonesia ........................ . . ................ Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................. ...... Philippines ................... ..... ............... Singapore ......................................... Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ........................ .... ...... Viet Nam ................... . . .......................
..........
WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................. ........... Iraq .................. ...... .......................... Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... .. ............................ Oman ................. Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... ..... Syrian Arab Republic .................... Turkey .......................... .. .................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairstPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050
Low variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................ Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ............................................... France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg ......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................. ......... British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
M20
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Dominica ......................... .. ............... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama .............................................. SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. ....................... Paraguay ..................... Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Umguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA 332245 Bermuda ............................................... 64 Canada ................................................ 32 271 Greenland ............................................ 57 Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... 6 United States of America ....................... 299 846
345698 65 33 474 59 6 312 095
356656 64 34 454 60 6 322 072
365382 64 35 265 60 6 329 987
372678 63 35 999 60 6 336 550
378308 62 36 595 60 6 341 586
382037 60 37 000 58 6 344 912
383611 58 37 193 57 6 346 297
383244 56 37 205 55 6 345 922
37 108 53 5 344 331
33410
35 189
36 697
38 019
39 265
40 357
41 193
41 723
41 966
41 985
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND 24407 Australia (13)....................... ............... 20 310 New Zealand ......................................... 4 097
25 434 21 184 4 250
26 292 21 929 4 364
27 024 22 575 4 448
27 692 23 171 4 521
28 259 23 683 4 577
28 672 24 066 4 606
28 909 24 305 4 604
28 977 24 408 4 569
28 921 24 412 4 509
7820 828 234 6070 472 215
8513 846 250 6650 526 240
9115 853 264 7158 576 264
9664 851 276 7628 622 287
10203 852 286 8090 667 309
10698 847 294 6518 709 330
11103 837 301 8872 745 349
11396 617 305 9135 774 365
11583 789 307 9313 797 377
11682 753 307 9424 812 387
538 169 92 57 1 10 10
569 178 99 63 111 10
595 187 105 68 113 10
619 1 94 111 72 115 10
641 200 116 75 117 10
658 204 121 77 118 10
671 207 125 79 118 10
676 207 127 80 117 10
676 206 128 80 114 10
671 204 128 78 110 9
OCEANIA
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ..................................... PapuaNewGuinea ............................ Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ WCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshal1Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
381 551
54
Table A.13. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2005-2050 Low variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Northem Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................. .. Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 l1 12 13
More developed regions comprise Europe, Norlhern America, Austral~a/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia Least dewloped countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in As~a,5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. lncluding Mayone. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Salnt Brandon. Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data fw China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of t July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. AS of 20 k e m b e r 1999.Macao became a Special Adrninlstrative Region (SAR) of China The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncluding Aland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country: constant-fertility variant. 2005-2050 Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WORLD
6 514 751 6 944 634 7 416 822 7 919 765 8 443 704 8 996 239 9 597 117 10 265 188 11 014 053 1 1 857 786
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
1 215 636 1 231 200 1 242 124 5 299 115 5 713 434 6 174 699 766 816 873 199 998 81 8 4 532 300 4 840 235 5 175 881
Less developed regions. excluding China
1 249 000 6 670 765 1 145 727 5 525 038
1 252 103 7 191 601 1 316 897 5 874 704
1 251 642 7 744 597 1 51 8 091 6 226 507
1 247 723 8 349 394 1 757 067 6 592 328
1 240 448 9 024 741 2 042 674 6 982 067
1230 317 1 218 291 9783 736 10 639 495 2 384 654 2 794 406 7399 082 7 845 089
3978606 4356169 4783236 5252432 5758523 6309985 6924151 7617479 8402937 9294052
Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA
769 348
876 725 1 005 783 1 159 354 1 340 619 1 556 153 1 814 510 2 125 752 2 501 095 2 953 608
922 011 1 043 102 1 187 267 1 356 478 1 553 321 1 784 398 2 058 766 2 386 874 2779 969 3 250 865
EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ................................ . . ...... Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia .............................. . ................ Zimbabwe ........................................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................. Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ S20 Tomb and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA ..... ...................... Algeria ................... Egypt .................................................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ............................. .. .............. Tunisia .................. .. ......................... Western Sahara ............................... .. SOU1HERN AFRICA 54 900 Botswana .............................................. 1836 1 981 Lesotho ............................................. 2 020 Namibia .............................................. South Africa .......................................... 47 939 Swaziland ........................................... 1 125
56 994 1973 2 075 2 187 49 582 1 178
59095 2118 2 196 2 375 51 167 1 238
61 568 2275 2 334 2 594 53 052 1 31 3
64 353 2445 2 487 2 829 55 198 1 394
67432 2630 2 662 3 080 57 571 1 488
70 804 2832 2 868 3 355 60 146 1 602
74 545 3061 3 108 3 662 62 973 1 741
78 722 3319 3 364 4 005 66 110 1 904
83 393 3606 3 698 4 388 69 609 2 091
WESTERN AFRICA Benin ................................ . ................. Burkina Faso ...................................... Cape Verde .......................................... CWe d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
.............
..... Mauritania ........................... Niger .................................................. Nigeria ............................................... Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal .............................................. SierraLeone ......................................... Togo .................................................. ASIA
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2 963 13264 141 356 6 11770 5586 6 239
3 410 15900 160823 7 13531 6205 7 238
3 917 19149 184195 7 15630 7017 8 440
4 496 23173 211 990 8 18078 7986 9 861
5 156 28168 244768 8 20905 9152 1 1 520
5 909 34386 283643 8 24181 10558 13 464
6 771 42142 330138 9 28014 12258 15 763
7 762 51833 386111 9 32521 14319 18 491
8 899 63961 453614 9 37814 16827 21 724
10 205 79175 534944 10 44010 19885 25 550
3 938 020 4 190 573 4 463 566 4 744 337 5 021 31 8 5 295 579 5 577 549 5 875 420 6 191 052 6 524 736
EASTERN ASIA 1 China (4).............................................. 1 China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ............................................... Mongolia ............................................ Republic of Korea .................................
522 472 312 979 7 057 473 23 616 127 897 2 581 47 870
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ......................................... Bangladesh .................... .... ............. Bhutan ............................. . .................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhslan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka ............................................ Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ............................. .. .... Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA B ~ n eDarussalam i ................................ Cambodia ............................................ .. ...................... Indonesia ................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ........ Malaysia .................... ... ................ Myanmar ............................................ Philippines .......................................... Singapore ............................................ Thailand ............................. . . ........... Timor-Leste ................................... ....... Viet Nam ........................... . . ............. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................... .. ...... Bahra~n................................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georg~a................................................ l raq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Terntoy ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................. ........................ United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..............................................
lnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division Vorld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Total populationat mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
EUROPE
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
731 087
729 346
724 238
716 260
706 004
693 850
679 867
663 869
2045
2050
645 900 626 370
EASTERNEUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Wand ......................... . . .................... Romania ............................................... Russian Federation Slovakia Ukraine .................................................
............................... .................. .........................
NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland Isle of Man Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10) Sweden United Kingdom ....................................
.................................................. ............................................
.......................................... ................................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania .................... . . . .................... Andorra ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar Greece Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...........................
................................................ .................................................
WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
557 979
597 587
639 449
682 066
724 548
766 901
809 418
852 268
895 504
939 225
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Won'd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A14 Total population at mid-year by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility varbnt Population (thousands)
Major area. mglon m d country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ......... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiii ...................................................... Jamaica ..... Martinique . Montserrat . NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kills and News .... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ......... United States Virgin Islands ......
68 9 470 105 438 9296 2 682 396 6 186 3 947 49 161 119 1324 24 111
67 10 241 106 453 10215 2 778 402 6 201 4 058 53 171 123 1 347 26 112
68 1 1 051 108 465 1 1 294 2 877 407 6 207 4 162 56 181 126 1 367 28 112
68 1 1 896 110 475 12 502 2 978 409 7 21 1 4 249 60 191 128 1 379 29 111
70 12 775 112 464 13 816 3 074 409 7 213 4 316 64 200 130 1 376 31 110
71 13 688 114 491 15 260 3 166 406 7 213 4 361 67
71 14 640 115 495 16 880 3 252 401 7 21 1 4 387 70 218 130 1348 33 105
71 15 633 115 495 18 712 3 334 392 209 4 397 74 226 129 1318 35 101
71 16 669 114 493 20 n 4 3410 380 8 206 4394 77 233 127 1281 35 ge
71 17 753 114 468 23 071 3481 366 8 202 4379 79 240 124 1237 36 94
CENTRAL AUERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ...... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ............. Meldco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
143 775 276 4 327 6668 12 710 6834 104 266 5463 3232
155 025 31 1 4 699 7 199 14 601 7650 1 1 1 147 5 892 3 527
167 400 350 5064 7 770 16 970 8644 118297 6 456 3 831
180 435 391 5464 8406 19 715 9 747 125 519 7 052 4 143
193604 436 5 828 9064 22 862 10 938 132 353 7 662 4 462
208 914
220562 537 6509 10 454 30 701 13 662 144 644 8938 5 117
234 675 595 6 827 1 1 189 35602 15 250 150 143 9 616 5 452
249 317 657 7 128 1 1 947 41 293 17 010 155 172 10317 5 791
264532
SOUTH AMERICA 373 679 38 747 Argentina ......... Bolivia ................................................... 9 182 Brazil .................................................... 186 831 Chile ......... 16 295 Colombia ......... 44946 13061 Ecuador ........... Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... 3 French Guiana ...................................... 192 Guyana ............. 739 Paraguay .............................................. 5904 PeN ..................................................... 27 274 452 Surinama Uruguay ................................................ 3328 Venezuela (Bdivarian Republic of) ......... 26 726
399 974 40 884 10 185 199 759 17 171 48 373 13 895 3 220 734 8 552 29 110 469 3384 29 237
427 242 43 119 1 1 336 212 426 18 033 51 914 14 949 3 251 724 7 285 31 379 464 3 462 31 876
454 505 45 373 12 626 224 696 18 848 55 467 16 064 3 286 717 8 087 33 712 496 3 555 34 576
481 426 47 592 14 050 236 589 19 577 58943 17 201 3 324 711 8 941 36036 507 3 646 37 306
508 051 49 772 15 623 248 173 20 198 62 329 18 350 3 366 699 9855 38350 516 3 734 40082
534 429
560550 54 072 19 352 270 182 21 122 68800 20 704 4 463 649 1 1 917 43 029 526 3 891 45 838
586 373
51 930 17 381 259 410 20 709 65611 19 516 4 412 676 10 841 40 876 523 3 815 42 924
56 197 21 567 280 416 21 447 71 875 21 918 4 519 617 13 OS4 45 414 527 3 961 48 817
611 933 58 284 24 048 290 132 21 886 74 848 23 180 4
NORTHERN M R I C A Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquekm ..................... United States of America .......................
332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846
348411 65 33 747 59 6 314 533
364 416 66 35 182 62 6 329 100
380 352 66 36 545 64 7 343 670
395 753 67 37 775 86 7 357 838
410 209 67 38 815 68 7 371 253
423 614 66 39 648 69 7 363 823
436 148 66 40 297 71 7 395 707
448 137 65 40802 73 7 407 191
459 983 65 41 208 74 7 418 632
OCEANIA
33 410
35 615
37 007
40 272
42 759
45 302
47 903
50610
53 490
56606
AUSTRALIAINEWZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand .........................................
24 407 20 310 4 097
25 619 21 338 4 281
26717 22 319 4 458
27 894 23 264 4630
28 949 24 156 4 793
29 899 24 980 4938
30 720 25 658 5 062
31 424 26 259 5 165
32038 26 784 5 254
32588 27 257 5331
MELANESIA Fiji ....... New Cal Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands Vanuatu ................................................
7 820 828 6 070 472 215
8 730 863 254 6 828 539 246
9 751 898 274 7 683 615 282
10 913 933 294 8 663 700 323
12 229 977 314 9 775 795 368
13 701 1022 332 11 027 902 418
15 352 1068 350 12 437
17 219 1117 367 14 038 1180 537
19 337 1188 384 15 861 1316 609
21 740 1222 400 17 937 1 492 690
538 169 92 57 110 10
581 181 101 65 115 10
630 194 112 74 122 11
685
744 223 136 94 145
806 237 150 106 159
944
11
11
873 251 164 120 175 12
1 023 280 197 158 212 12
1110 296 216 181 235 12
YCRONESA G u m ................................................... Kiribati .............. Manhall Islands Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Naum ...................................................
234
208
123 83 133 11
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
209
130 1366 32 108 484 6 175 9 746 26 489 12 232 138 714 8 287 4 787
to23
474
6
266
180 138 192 12
725 7408 12 729 47 882 18 950 159 665 1 1 038 6136
582
583 14 378 47 818 526 4027 51 857
537
Table A.14. Total populationat mid-year by major area, region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Population (thousands)
MJor area, region and country 2005 Northern Mariana Islands Palau
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
......................
....................................................
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands
................................................... ..................................................
.....................
a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
More developed regions compnse Europe. Northem America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed cwntries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa, 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. lncluding Mayotte. lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Adm~nistrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrativs Region (SAR) of China. The regians Southern Asia and Central Asia are wrnbined into South-CentralAsia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncludingAland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. Refers to the Vatican City State. m e former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Christmas Island, Cows (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
.
Table 1115 Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and county 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China SubSaharan A f r l w (8) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Comros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malayi ....................... ......................... Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ..................... ....................... Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
..
MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carnerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom4 and Prlncipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt ........................... . .................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ..................... .................. Gambia ................................................. ....... .......... Ghana ................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (1).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya .................................................. Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republ~cof Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S o T d and Principe .........................
..................................................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia .................................. .......... South Africa ..................... ................. Swaziland .............................................
..
..
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CMe d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ................................................ Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A15. A m p annual rate of population change by malor area, reglon and country (continued)
Estimates: 195Cb2005 Annual rate of change (per cent)
Mnjor area, m g h n d country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005
Mauritania .................. ........................... N w ............ ... .... .. . . .. ......... ..,.. Nigeria ...................... ............................ Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ... Sierra Leone ......................................... TOQO ........................ ..... . .. . ..... ...
... . .. . .. . ..
.
. ... .... . . ..
ASIA EASTERN ASIA china ( ... China, ................... . China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... DMl.
2.50 3.13 2.25 0.17 2.69 1.58 1.77
2.51 3.24 2.34 0.19 2.84 1.72 1.79
2.58 3.22 2.43 0.05 3.06 1.85 4.36
2.67 3.17 2.58
1.90
1.89
2.16
2.38
3.02 1.76 2.69
2.67 3.15 3.00 0.67 2.74 1.89 2.59
2.64 2.97 2.76 0.84 2.93 2.03 3.73
2.52 3.07 2.93 -0.35 3.00 2.64 3.32
2.69 3.43 2.87 -0.96 2.74 0.27 2.62
2.85 3.61 2.70 2.73 2.64 1.75 3.59
2.88 3.52 2.50 1.46 2.60 4.23 2.88
2.25
1.93
1.89
1.88
1.63
1.42
1.22
1.37 1.48
0.85
3.90 1.47 0.44 2.98 0.99
1.03 1.10 1.69 2.02 1.50 0.31 1.51 0.97
0.91 1.42 1.38 1.10 0.25 0.66 0.77
0.62 0.67 1.15 1.40 0.58 0.14 0.88 0.46
0.08
1.81 1.87 4.64 -0.99 -0.22 1.43 2.20 2.55
1.53 1.53 4.22 -0.97 2.56 0.93 2.42 3.09
1.98 2.07 3.66 3.86 2.37 0.99 2.63 2.64
2.43 2.61 1.31 3.86 2.90 1.07 2.76 2.25
2.12 2.21 2.18 -0.08 2.41 1.33 2.84 2.00
1.43 1.48 2.73 -0.08 1.40 0.93 2.78 1.55
1.27 1.32 1.59 3.89 1.65 0.68 2.76 1.36
1.86 1.54 1.98 3.09 1.73 2.42 3.52 1.79 1.77 1.49 2.15 2.82 3.04 2.25 2.78
2.06 1.76 2.28 2.62 1.90 2.57 4.48 2.65 1.89 1.57 2.35 2.76 3.11 3.24 3.30
2.20 1.97 2.50 2.63 2.04 2.74 3.50 3.39 2.01 1.77 2.47 2.46 3.75 3.41 3.58
2.25 2.19 2.54 3.05 2.13 2.93 1.92 2.83 2.17 2.00 2.59 2.37 3.15 2.93 3.14
2.32 2.37 2.47 3.68 2.22 2.93 1.51 2.14 2.46 2.17 2.74 2.05 3.14 2.02 3.10
2.36 0.91 2.35 3.33 2.30 3.30 1.08 1.90 2.82 2.25 2.97 1.78 2.77 2.54 2.64
2.40 -2.46 2.47 2.57 2.26 4.16 1.12 2.02 2.99 2.30 3.63 1.39 2.89 2.42 2.61
2.32 0.52 2.35 2.61 2.19 3.15 0.93 1.81 3.22 2.34 3.47 1.33 2.99 2.55 2.42
2.13 7.32 2.22 -1.53 2.08 1.86 -0.75 0.88 2.78 2.51 2.46 1.10 1.70 2.68 2.22
1.84 2.55 1.98 1.94 1.84 1.22 -1.25 1.49 1.93 2.39 2.44 0.69 1.34 1.42 1.52
1.64 3.79 1.89 2.63 1.62 0.97 0.34 1.01 1.57 2.08 1.82 0.43 1.19 1.42 1.46
2.10 5.57 2.15 1.67 2.73 2.72 1.96 2.99 4.90 2.64 1.27 1.87
2.41 5.10 2.31 2.08 2.57 3.02 2.14 3.06 4.48 3.04 1.61 2.26
2.52 4.51 2.45 2.22 2.50 3.09 2.18 3.09 2.81 3.10 1.84 2.49
2.q 4.71 2.44 2.35 2.50 2.66 2.32 2.93 1.97 2.85 1.94 2.37
2.37 4.30 0.46 2.32 2.61 2.44 2.47 2.79 1.74 2.49 2.13 2.24
2.13 3.65 -1.01 2.20 1.30 2.32 2.19 2.70 1.30 2.08 -2.91 1.99
2.12 2.89 3.67 2.04 2.48 2.60 2.00 2.44 2.30 1.64 2.50 2.18
1.97 2.84 3.59 1.77 2.98 2.88 1.75 2.39 2.15 1.32 2.33 2.28
1.77 2.76 3.23 1.53 2.82 2.58 1.44 2.27 2.85 1.16 2.77 2.05
1.55 2.45 2.29 1.40 2.15 2.45 1.24 2.1 1 2.88 1.06 -0.76 1.51
1.40 2.29 1.76 1.31 1.62 1.95 0.89 2.08 1.49 0.76 5.31 1.45
2.68 2.89 2.77 Bahrain .............................. _..._._........_..2.91 1.41 cypcus .................... .............................. 1.70 ............................................ . 3.19 . . ... . . ... .. ......., ............. 6.58 . ............ ........... 6.85 ..... ..... ................. 5.37 2.23 0.73 2.02 6.73 Saudi M e ........................................ 2.31 2.42 Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .. .... 2.72 2.51 unned Arab Emirales ............................ Yemen .................................................. 1.84
2.76 3.55 3.16 3.10 1.56 1.60 3.15 3.80 5.95 6.67 3.15 1.10 2.26 5.03 2.52 2.93 2.75 2.69 1.97
2.75 3.32 3.22 4.04 0.32 1.47 3.16 3.85 4.22 10.53 2.91 1.70 2.55 8.84 3.25 3.1 1 2.50 9.38 2.09
2.66 2.66 2.46 2.79 1.09 1.00 3.27 2.46 7.66 9.17 2.24 -1.a0 3.02 9.28 3.62 3.31 2.47 8.86 1.95
2.82 2.30 1.91 4.28 -0.19 0.83 3.38 2.95 3.54 6.04 2.28 2.72 4.11 8.80 4.66 3.36 2.59 17.17 2.09
2.84 1.83 1.59 4.88 0.06 0.66 3.26 2.28 2.78 8.24 0.34 3.25 5.17 5.86 5.82 3.49 2.34 13.00 3.34
2.93 1.51 1.59 3.51 1.16 0.83 2.90 1.72 3.92 4.48 0.75 3.78 5.04 9.04 5.85 3.74 2.37 6.58 3.80
2.59 1.20 1.56 3.52 1.00 0.64 2.56 1.91 3.69 4.40 0.57 3.78 3.76 5.19 4.68 3.25 1.90 5.61 3.89
2.33 -1.88 1.55 3.17 1.43 -1.63 3.11 3.49 5.59 4.34 3.20 3.89 3.28 2.35 2.32 2.77 1.80 5.28 4.63
2.15 -0.92 0.88 2.36 1.46 -1.28 2.94 2.48 2.18 5.12 1.55 3.70 2.02 3.19 2.62 2.45 1.66 5.79 3.16
1.95 -0.42 0.51 2.18 1.23 -1.07 2.22 1.91 2.89 3.84 1.23 3.56 0.86 5.11 2.53 2.70 1.36 4.69 2.97
Japan
. .
Mongolia ................... ... ....................... Republk of Korea .................................
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afehanislan ......................................... Ea l............. ...........................
...
KareWlslan .................... Kyrgyzslan ..........................................
..
..
Pakistan .................... ........................... sti Lanka .............................................. Tajlkietan ...... ...
... ...
Turkmenislan uzbeklstan ....
SOUTICEASTERN ASIA B m i Darussalam Cambodia ......................
.......................
PMlipPines ...................... ...................... slnoapore ............................................
.
Met Nam WE
2.57 3.36 2.17 0.17 2.38 1.40 1.59
...............................................
..
.. ...... .. ... .. . . . ... . . .
542
.
0.89
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tsbles
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ............................. .. ....... Wet Nam ............................................. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A15.Averaga annual rate of population changa by major area, reglon and country (continued) Ealmates: 1950-2005 ~~
Annual rate of change (per cent)
M8Jora m , realon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WO 2OW-2005
EUROPE
0.99
0.99
0.96
0.68
0.59
0.49
0.38
0.41
0.20
0.00
0.07
EASTERN EUROPE Belarw Bulgana ................................................ Czech RepuMic ..................................... Hungaly .. .. ... MoMova .. . ....... Poland .................................................. Romania .................................. ............. Ruasian Federation Skvakia Ukraine .................................................
1.48 0.15 0.67 0.81 1.02 2.31 1.89 1.39 1.63 1.85 1.45
1.33 0.97 0.96 0.54 0.32 2.68 1.66 1.03 1.47 1.75 1.30
1.04 0.99 0.84 0.34 0.34 2.10 1.18 0.67 1.11 1.02 1.16
0.70 0.98 0.68 0.19 0.36 1.50 0.76 1.24 0.57 0.75 0.85
0.66 0.71 0.54 0.47 0.37 1.32 0.81 0.96 0.58 0.89 0.71
0.64 0.61 0.32 0.49 0.33 0.87 0.88 0.65 0.99 0.42
0.57 0.69 0.22 0.05 -0.24 1.08 0.90 0.47 0.68 0.65 0.34
0.48 0.52 -0.32 -0.01 -0.41 0.73 0.48 0.42 0.71 0.45 0.25
-0.03 0.01 -1.08 0.01 -0.07 -0.04 0.25 -0.46 0.07 0.41
-0.20
-0.36 -0.42 -0.87 -0.17 -0.22 -1.10 -0.08 -0.49 -0.23 0.09 -0.87
-0.47 -0.52 -0.66 -0.06 -0.25 -1.34 -0.12 -0.47 -0.48 0.00 -0.81
NORTHERNEUROPE ...... .. Channel I Denmark Estonia .................................................. Faeroe Islands ....................................... Finland (9) ..........
0.39
0.53 0.73 0.63 0.94 1.48 0.90 2.16 -0.61 -1.59 1.03 1.11
0.56 1.07 0.71 1.12 1.20 0.18 1.22 0.53 2.22 0.81 1.10 0.81 0.78 0.48
0.38 0.85 0.53 0.96 1.06 0.45 1.32 1.46 1.43 0.81 1.01 0.68 0.37 0.20
0.19 0.29 0.25 0.56 1.25 0.29 0.91 1.36 1.32 0.45 0.67 0.39 0.29 0.03
0.19 0.85 -0.04 0.89 0.96 0.51 1.13 0.80 -0.21 0.53 0.76 0.33 0.10 0.09
0.30 1.03 0.10 0.54 0.78 0.34 1.08 -0.14 1.74 0.64 0.85 0.42 0.49 0.24
0.23 0.30 0.34 -1.70 -1.45 0.48 0.97 0.53 0.53 -1.35 -0.37 0.55 0.62 0.25
0.25 0.37 0.41 -0.98 1.05 0.27 0.99 1.05 1.25 -0.91 -0.72 0.59 0.09 0.31
0.43
0.59 0.45
0.76 1.01 0.76 1.20 1.18 0.60 1.74 0.29 0.91 1.32 1.34 0.78 0.67 0.74
0.77 3.10 7.45 1.54 0.39 0.47
0.82 2.99 6.52 1.32 0.37 1.54
0.52 -1.16 0.75 -0.45 1.64 0.32 2.46 0.79 0.63 1.03 1.25
0.82 2.34 4.80 1.00 0.45 0.63 0.57 2.38 0.59 0.10 1.13 0.93 0.56 0.87 0.85 1.10 1.33
0.79 2.14 3.74 0.87 0.53 0.87 1.28 -0.08 0.36 1.27 0.96 1.43 1.63 0.94 1.01 1.01 1.38
0.36 2.04 4.78 1.04
0.90
0.68 2.66 5.48 0.97 0.23 1.16 0.56 -5.54 0.65 -0.15 0.47 -0.72 1.94 0.71 0.48 1.05 1.14
0.04 0.60 0.57 0.06 1.21 0.00 0.50 1.26 0.72 0.56 0.47 0.37
0.25 2.13 2.14 0.89 0.20 0.18 0.45 0.61 0.05 0.90 0.38 -0.06 1.15 0.63 0.45 0.22 0.87
0.22 -0.87 4.07 4.61 0.66 0.34 0.95 0.28 0.20 0.96 1.20 0.09 1.24 1.27 0.39 0.27 0.56
0.27 -0.45 0.54 2.03 -0.71 0.05 0.59 0.15 0.14 0.58 1.45
1.51 0.60 0.39 1.22 1.18
0.70 0.53 0.38 0.81 0.57 2.64 0.46 0.81 1.18 1.10
0.42 0.30 0.30 0.75 0.13 1.73 1.13 1.20 0.94 0.49
0.15 -0.08 0.10 0.44 -0.10 1.59 0.29 0.72 0.70 -0.06
0.16 0.08 -0.02 0.52 -0.16 1. a 0.14 1.68 0.48 0.67
0.49 0.40 0.24 0.52 0.45 1.32 0.81 1.21 0.63 0.89
0.56
0.65 1.01 0.70 2.20 0.58 1.63 1.32 1.48
1.04 0.62 0.64 1.30 0.85 2.44 1.09 0.55 1.36 1.77
2.72
2.74
2.77
2.57
2.44
2.30
2.09
1.90 1.32 2.56 2.77 2.27 1.49 0.58 1.16 1.99
1.96 1.10 0.78 2.36 4.26 0.29 0.90 3.91 1.76
2.16 1.27 2.36 1.83 4.96 0.39 1.89 1.68 2.15
1.88 1.49 2.36 1.03 3.79 0.30 2.15 1.€a 1.83
1.75 1.03 1.96 0.80 2.13 0.56 1.33 5.39 1.59
1.47 0.17 -1.09 0.58 2.13 0.26 0.99 5.55 0.81
1.42 0.87 -1.30 1.21 2.10 0.86 3.81 3.46 0.53
. .... ..
1reIat-d .................................................. lab d Man ............................................
Labia Liihua Noway (10) ...... ................................... Sweden ........... ..... . ........,............... ......... .. Uniled K!q&nn
. . . .....
.
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ............ ..
. ..................................
Greece .................................................
HOlysee(l1) ........................................
................... Malta ........................................_. .......... Serbia .......................................... ......... slwenia ................................. .............. Spain TFYR M
...
WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...........................
.......................
......................................
0.73 0.77 1.04 0.24 1.10 2.00 -0.33 -1.06 0.67 0.47 0.97 0.70 0.23 0.83 2.53 7.94 2.02
0.60 0.50 1.03 0.02 0.64 0.13 1.47 0.48 1.51 1.39 0.79 0.83 1.92 0.66 0.04 0.54 0.75
0.56 Monaco ................................................ rwhehxk ... ..... . .................... ... svuttzerland ....... ...... . .........................
. ....... . . ...
LATIN AYERICA AND THE c
.
mmw
CARIBBEAN Arguilla ................................................. Antigua and Bartxlda ............................
.
..................... ....
...............................
544
0.88
0.00 0.63 -0.13 1.69 0.57 2.23 0.99 0.61 0.84 0.56
0.84 0.29
0.90
0.43
0.39 0.95 -0.13 0.20 0.42 0.46
0.26 0.30
-0.38 0.76 0.27 1.02 1.71 0.46 -0.66 -0.45 0.66
0.38 0.46 0.61 0.47 2.01 0.67 0.20 1.22 0.23 -0.10 0.33 0.69 -1.95 0.58 2.29 -0.54 0.16 1.52 0.24
0.51 0.55 1.30 1.34 0.95 0.67 0.86
0.27 0.16 0.22 0.34 0.16 1.20 1.35 0.26 0.59 0.36
0.34 0.44 0.40 0.60 0.08 1.03 0.89
1.68
1.71
1.56
1.29
1.39 4.10 -1.80 -0.30 1.78 0.85 4.27 4.81 1.00
1.26 2.66 1 .Ea 5.32 1.89 0.63 2.24 4.46
1.09 1.71 2.44 1.67 1.56 0.46 2.12 4.04 0.38
0.96 1.74 1.57 2.61 1.29 0.38 1.41 2.50 0.21
0.81
0.30
0.60
0.30 0.50 0.44
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 -0.36
EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belams ........................ .... ................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Lalvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosn~aand Henegovina ........................ Croalia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See ( l l ) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta ................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ......................................... Serbia ................................ ................... Slovenia ..................... .. .................. Spain ................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria ................................................. Belgium ................................................ France ................................................ Germany .............................................. Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
0.20 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................ Aruba .................................................. Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman lslands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A15 Average annual rate of populetlon change by major a m , regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
Annual rate of change (per cent)
MeJwa m , mglon and country 1950-1855 1955-1960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1895-2ooo 2000-2005 Dominica ...._........ ............................ ..... Dominican Reprblk ..............................
Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Tuks and Caicos Islands .... United States Virgin Islands
2.37 3.10 1.10 2.34 1.75 1.89 2.04 1.10 1.88 0.29 1 .a 0.93 1.86 2.51 0.59 1.83
0.57 3.34 2.07 3.07 1.91 1.10 2.73 -3.33 1.88 0.95 1.08 0.75 1.93 3.13 1.93 2.11
0.65 3.30 1 .M 1.75 2.00 1.55 2.00 -0.43 1.67 1.81 -0.80 1.38 1.21 1.23 -0.19 8.38
1.13 3.03 -0.04 1.27 1.95 1.20 0.89 -0.37 1.67 1.01 -1.84 1.57 1.02 1.60 -0.14 512
0.98 2.72 -0.43 0.52 1.75 1.48 0.18 0.26 0.88 1.58 -0.27 1.05 1.10 0.83 3.00 5.84
CENTRAL A Y R I C A Belie .................................................... Costa Rica ....... El Salvador ........................................... Guateme)a ............................................ Honduras ................... ........................... Medco Nicarag Panama ................. ...............................
2.96 2.98 3.12 2.62 2.80 2.90 3.01 2.97 2.55
3.15 2.97 3.33 2.96 2.69 3.06 3.22 3.21 2.84
3.13 2.02 3.42 3.1 1 2.69 3.22 3.18 3.02 2.91
3.11 2.76 2.81 3.56 2.69 2.68 3.17 3.10 2.91
SOUTH A Y R I C A
suriname ............................................. .. Uwww Venezuela (Bolmrian RepuMlc of) .........
2.78 1.97 2.05 3.06 2.13 2.89 2.62 -0.53 2.30 2.78 2.56 2.55 3.02 1.16 4.03
2.71 1.71 2.18 2.91 2.44 2.96 2.78 -0.53 2.55 3.14 2.60 2.71 2.97 1.35 3.92
2.73 1.56 2.24 2.96 2.47 2.99 2.95 -0.68 4.12 2.53 2.66 2.88 2.72 1.19 3.64
NORTHERN A M M C A Bemuda ....... ........ ........... . .. ........... Canada ...... ......... ... ,.......... .. ........ Greenland ............................................. Saint Piwe and Miquebn ..................... Uniled States of America .......................
1.71 1.74 2.72 2.75 0.60 1.61
1 .n 1.91 2.59 4.26 0.80 1.69
OCEANIA
2.15
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand
1.45 2.40
-0.39 2.15 2.31 1.65 2.31 1 .48 0.86 -1.02
-0.10 2.02 1.16 -0.14 0.23 0.88 1 .a -0.51 1.45 0.98 1.34 2.70 2.75
-0.55 1.39 0.77 1.72 4.67 1.23
-0.80 1.98 -0.80 1.92 2.14 0.62 1.13 -1.07 0.95 0.87 -0.62 1.68 0.94 0.74 3.91 -0.28
3.00 1.73 2.38 2.71 2.71 2.87 3.09 3.14 2.69
2.64 1.45 2.70 2.15 2.45 3.14 2.65 3.01 2.47
2.11 2.52 2.78 0.78 2.47 3.05 2.06 2.63 2.20
1.90 2.60 2.63 1.38 2.31 2.90 1.79 2.17 2.06
1.92 2.85 2.44 1 .m 2.32 2.60 1.78 2.38 2.05
1.78 2.67 2.46 1.91 2.31 2.13 1.65 1.82 1 .99
1.17 2.38 1.93 1.47 2.48 1.96 0.89 1.34 1.82
2.47 1.45 2.33 2.59 2.03 2.81 2.98 -0.78 3.71 1 .q 2.64 2.80 2.28 0.84 3.29
2.32 1.67 2.44 2.38 1.69 2.35 2.92 -0.n 3.06 0.68 2.43 2.78 -0.42 0.14 3.44
2.27 1.51 2.36 2.35 1.41 2.28 2.84 -0.65 3.98 0.72 2.62 2.67 -0.46 0.59 3.40
2.16 1.52 2.15 2.25 1.00 2.14 2.67 0.05 5.08 -0.19 2.93 2.39 1.47 0.64 2.75
1.92 1.45 2.23 1.88 1.70 2.00 2.43 1.45 5.58 -0.62 2.75 2.17 0.97 0.63 2.61
1 .69 1.34 2.30 1.56 1.77 1.85 2.08 4.05 3.51 0.23 2.44 1.84 0.71 2.25
1.53 1.15 2.12 1.50 1.37 1.71 1.54 3.34 3.49 -0.12 2.17 1.48 0.96 0.61 2.00
1.38 0.98 1 .w 1.41 1.12 1.51 1.19 0.52 3.02 0.14 1.97 1.22 0.72 0.05 1.82
1.42 1 .n 1.88 3.67 0.71 1.37
1.13 1.16 1.97 3.38 1.37 1.05
0.97 0.95 1.27 1.31 1.51 0.94
0.97 0.65 1.15 0.25 0.39 0.95
1.03 0.62 1.05 1.15 0.36 1.03
1.39 0.88 0.56 1.05
1 .08 0.54 1.12 0.02 0.07 1.08
1.04 0.47 0.93 0.23 0.05 1.05
1.02 0.41 1.01 0.43 0.07 1 .a3
2.16
2.26
1.98
1.61
1.42
1.54
1.59
1 .a
1.41
1.43
2.26 2.26 2.26
2.19 2.21 2.10
2.25 2.29 2.05
1.88 1.99 1.41
1.44 1.36 1.79
1.21 1.44 0.19
1.27 1.36 0.84
1.40 1.48
0.98
1.39 1.37 1.48
1.12 1.15 0.96
1.19 1.19 1.22
YLANESlA Fqi .................. ..... New Caledonia ...... Papua New Gui ..... Solomon Islands ................................... vanuatu ................................................
1.62 3.01 0.85 1.33 2.61 2.84
1.93 3.19 2.85 1.58 2.91 2.99
2.23 3.27 3.15 1.91 3.00 3.09
2.28 2.29 2.85 2.19 3.13 2.87
2.41 2.03 4.04 2.31 3.64 3.21
2.23 1.91 2.03 2.20 3.44 2.97
2.53 2.24 1.70 2.56 3.44 2.39
2.25 0.42 1.93 2.55 2.88 2.48
2.45 1.19 2.42 2.62 2.86 2.84
2.42 2.15 2.67 2.76 1 .m
2.21 0.65 1.71 2.41 2.57 2.54
YCRONESlA Guarn ........... Kiribati ................................................... Manhall Islands ................ Micmoesia (Fed. States of) Nauw ...................................................
2.01 1.11 2.07 1.33 3.38 4.07
2.30 1.35 2.61 1.08 3.23 4.04
2.73 2.37 2.78 3.29 3.19 5.16
2.n 2.37 2.94 3.31 3.24 2.47
1 .95 2.20 2.00 4.53 0.55 1.70
2.45 2.22 2.43 3.57 2.89 1.15
3.44 2.28 2.69 4.52 3.22 1.75
3.07 2.28 2.75 4.20 2.34 2.27
2.20 1.67 1.45 1.51 2.15 1.71
1.29 1 .a 1.88 0.44 -0.02 0.15
1.59 1.66 1.82 1.68 0.55 0.15
.............................................. Netlwlands Antilles ...............................
Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kins and Nevis
Brad1 ................... ................ ................. Chile ......................................................
. . ................... .....................................................
Paraguay ........ ..... ............ f’0N
.
546
. .. . . .. .. . ....
t .
-0.77
0.92 1.11
1.08 0.69
-0.04
-0.08
1.88 0.51 0.77 1.95 0.96 0.82 -0.95 0.00 0.93 1.14 1.19 0.65 0.75 5.87 0.72
1.75 0.42 0.75 1.80 0.82 0.56 -14.49 -1 .08 0.73 1.33 0.88 0.52 0.48 4.16 0.65
-0.18 1.59 0.94 0.79 1.62 0.71 0.51 2.54 0.62 0.58 1.30 1.09 0.54 0.35 5.19 0.16
0.66
0.88
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Soda1 AfFairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Dominica ............................................ Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .................. . . . ....................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica ........................... ................ Martinique ................... ................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadine9 .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ..................
. .
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................ Panama .............................................. SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................. . . ........... Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America ......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND . ...... Australia (13) ............................... New Zealand ...................... . ....... ....... MELANESIA Fiji ....................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam .............................. ................. Kiribati .............................. .......... Marshall lslands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A.15. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Annual
rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ...... .. ..... ........ ............ ......
.... .... ...
..
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ................ .................... ...... ........ .... Pitcaim ...................................... ..... ...... Samoa ... ...................................... Tokelau .. ............................... Tonga Tuvalu . ..... ... ... . ..... . .... .. Wallis and Futuna Islands
....... .. ...... ......... ................................................... ....... .. .... ... . .. . .. ... .....................
a More developed regions cumprise Europe, Northern America, AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excludmg Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asii. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lafin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-SaharanAfrica refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 IncludingMayone. 2 IncludingAgalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Medium variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, mglon and country 2005-2010201 0-2015 201 5-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa .................................. Cwk Islands ........................................ French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asla and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including Aand Islands. 10 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Valican City State. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Noriolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: high variant. 2005-2050 High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD
1.34
1.36
1.32
1.18
1.07
0.99
0.96
0.93
0.87
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
0.44 1.54 2.52 1.38
0.46 1.56 2.49 1.38
0.44 1.49 2.41 1.31
0.36 1.34 2.25 1.15
0.32 1.20 2.12 1.00
0.33 1.11 2.01 0.90
0.37 1.06 1.91 0.86
0.40 1.01 1.60 0.81
0.41 0.95 1.68 0.75
Less developed regions. excluding China
1.80
1.78
1.70
1.53
1.40
1.31
1.26
1.19
1.10
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.53
2.51
2.42
2.25
2.13
2.03
1.93
1.83
1.70
2.41
2.39
2.30
2.13
2.00
1.91
1.82
1.73
1.61
0.80 1.43 0.82 1.50 0.75 0.81
0.77 1.40 0.92 1.49 0.70 0.79
0.80 1.21 0.82 1.13 0.76 0.97
0.79 1.17 0.79 1.09 0.75 0.97
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA
Burundi ................................................. Comoros (l).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ............................................... Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion .................... .......................... Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................
MIDDLE AFRICA
Angola .................................................. Cameroon .......................... . ........... Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................... ....................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ............................ ................ SBo Tom6 and Principe .........................
NORTHERN AFRICA
Algeria ....................... ... ..................... Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco .................. . . . . .................... Sudan ........................................ ........... Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
SOUTHERN AFRICA
Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ....................... . .................... Namibia ...................... ................. SouthAfrica .......................................... Swaziland ............................................
. . .
0.84 1.36 0.92 1.56 0.78 0.88
0.82 1.26 0.84 1.42 0.77 0.78
0.80 1.18 0.80 1.27 0.76 0.78
0.79 1.15 0.80 1.17 0.75 0.84
0.80 1.19 0.82 1.14 0.76 0.93
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvo~re......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ..................... . ..............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)
High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
..
Mauritania ............................ ............ Niger ................................................. Nigeria ................................................ Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA
2.69 3.62 2.42 1.42 2.62 2.05 2.81
2.46 3.63 2.32 1.29 2.47 2.46 2.68
2.29 3.61 2.17 1.15 2.30 2.48 2.51
2.10 3.53 1.97 1.03 2.10 2.41 2.29
1.96 3.44 1.82 0.93 1.96 2.33 2.11
1.84 3.30 1.73 0.85 1.86 2.23 1.95
1.72 3.13 1.65 0.78 1.75 2.12 1.80
1.59 2.92 1.56 0.73 1.63 2.00 1.63
1.45 2.71 1.45 0.68 1.48 1.89 1.45
1.31
1.32
1.25
1.09
0.95
0.85
0.80
0.77
0.71
EASTERN ASiA China (4) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ............................... Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar .............................................. Philipp~nes........................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand .............................................. Timor-Leste ......................... ......... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................... ......... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ................................................ Georgia .............................. ... ........... Iraq ...................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Oatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ........................ ..... Hunga~y................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
. . .
NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ....................... . Denmark .................... .. ..................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ............................ ...... Finland (9) ............................... ......... Iceland ..................... ........................ Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ........................................... Latvia ................................ . ............... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
.. ..
..
SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................ Gibraltar .............................................. Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ........................... ....................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ..................... ................... San Marino ........................................... Serbia .......................... ... ................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................
..
. .
WESTERN EUROPE Austria ...................... . . . ...................... Belgium ................... ..... .................... France .................................................. Gemlany ............................................ Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... ....................... Monaco ................. Netherlands ....................... ............... Switzerland .............................. . .........
..
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
1.43
1.41
1.32
1.18
1.06
0.98
0.91
0.83
0.75
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ............................................... Antigua and Barbuda ................... ..... Aruba ................................................ Bahamas ........................................... Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands ............................. Cayman Islands ....................... . ....... Cuba ................... ........ ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica ............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................................. Guadeloupe ................................. ....... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ...................... ................. Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia .......................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Vlrgin Islands ...................
..
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .......................... .. ................ Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argzntina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ................................... ............... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. Peru .................. .. ............................. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ........................... ................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................
..
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA Fiji ..................... .............................. New Caledonia ..................................... Papua New Guinea ................... ..... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..............................................
. .
. . .
MICRONESIA Guam .................................................. Kiribati ................................................. Marshal1 Islands ..................... ............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ......................... . ..................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued) High variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010201 0-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
POLYNESIA
American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands
.................................................. .....................
a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, AustraliaiNew Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions cornpriseallregions of Africa, Asia (excludingJapan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 countries, 34 m Africa, 10 in Asla, 5 in Oceania plus one country In Latin America and the Canbbean. d Other less devsloped countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-SaharanAfrica refersto all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 lncludingMayone. 2 lncluding Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Trlstan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Reg~ons (SAR) of China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 Dscember 1999, Macao became a Special Administraiive Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 lncluding hand Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican CityState. 12 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country: low variant. 2005-2050 Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region a n d country
2005-2010201 0-2015 201 5-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD
0.99
0.81
0.65
0.55
0.42
0.26
0.11
.0.04
.0.17
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
0.10 1.16 2.20 1.01
.0.06 1.00 2.00 0.81
.0.18 0.82 1.81 0.63
.0.23 0.70 1.68 0.49
.0.29 0.54 1.51 0.33
.0.36 0.37 1.32 0.15
.0.46 0.21 1.13 .0.02
.0.55 0.05 0.95 -019
~0.63 4.10 0.78 .0.34
Less developed regions. excluding China
1.44
1.22
1.02
0.88
0.72
0.55
0.39
0.23
0.08
Sub-Saharan Afrlca
2.23
2.04
1.84
1.69
1.52
1.34
1.16
0.98
0.81
2.09
1.90
1.70
1.55
1.39
1.22
1.03
0.86
0.70
0.41 1.04 0.43 1.13 0.35 0.44
0.14 0.76 0.28 0.87 0.08 0.16
0.06 0.57 0.09 0.78 0.00 0.06
0.03 0.50 .0.01 0.66 ~0.02 .0.05
-0.05 0.40 .0.12 0.49 -0.09 .0.1 1
-0.18 0.27 -0.26 0.30 .0.22 .0.19
.0.30 0.18 .0.39 0.14 .0.34 -0.25
.0.38 0.11 .0.49 0.03 -0.43 .0.30
.0.43 0.03 -0.56 .0.06 .0.47 .0.32
(9)
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (l)......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda .................................. . ............ United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Gu~nea................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan .................................................. Tunisia ................................................ Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ................................. ....... . Lesotho ................................................ Namibia .............................................. South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ........................................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cine d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali .....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued)
Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone .................................. . Togo ......................... . . ...................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) ............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5).................... China. Macao SAR (6) ........................ Dern. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................ ................... Mongolia .......................... ..... ............ Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhslan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .................... .. .................... Turkrnenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan .......................... ..............
..
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar ............................................. Philippines ......................... .... ............ Singapore ................................ . ... ..... Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Vie: Nam .................................. . .......... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ............................................... Azerbaijan ....................... .................... Bahrain ............................................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................. ....... .................. lraq ..................................................... Israel .................... ............................ Jordan .................. ....................... Kuwait ............................................... Lebanon ............................................. Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... ................ Oman ............................. Qatar ................................................... Saudi Arabia ................... . ......... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................
..
. .
............
lnited Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division Vorld Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision \/olume l: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Low variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. mglon and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE B ~ ~ ................................................. N s Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................ ................ Ukraine ................................................ NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................. Estonia ............................... .............. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................... . .......... Iceland .............................. .............. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ........................ .................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................. Noway (10).......................................... Sweden .......................... . . ................ United Kingdom ....................................
..
..
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ............................................... Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................... Croatia .............................. .............. Gibraltar .............................. .. ........... Greece ............................................... Holy See (ll) ........................................ Italy ..................................................... Malta ............................... ................. Montenegro .......................................... . .................... Portugal ......................... San Marino ................... . ..................... Serbia .................... . . .......................... Slovenia ......................... . .................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................
..
WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ............................................. France .................... ............................ Germany ............................. . . ............ Liechtenstein ...................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ........................ .............. Switzerland ..........................................
..
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla .................... .......................... Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ....................... ....................... Barbados .............................................. British Wrgin Islands .............................. Cayman islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsJPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Low variant .
p
Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Aepublic ............................ Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ..................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ............................................. Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Melco .............................................. Nicaragua ............................................ Panama ................................................
1.13 1.87 1.30 1.17 2.29 1.76 0.92 1 .10 1.46
0.90 1.52 1.01 0.94 2.15 1.59 0.65 1.14 1 .17
NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ............................. ................. Greenland .......................................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... UnitedStatesofAmerica .......................
0.79 0.11 0.73 0.44 .0.11 0.80
0.62 .0.09 0.58 0.31 .0.22 0.63
0.48 .0.20 0.47 0.17 .0.28 0.49
0.40 .0.27 0.41 0.02 .0.31 0.39
0.30 .0.36 0.33 .0.20 .0.32 0.30
0.20 .0.48 0.22 .0.41 -0.33 0.19
0.08 .0.64 0.10 .0.55 .0.38 0.08
.0.02 .0.79 0.01 .0.64 .0.47 .0.02
-0.09 .0.89 .0.05 .0.70 .0.55 .0.09
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ NewZealand .........................................
0.82 0.84 0.73
0.66 0.69 0.53
0.55 0.58 0.38
0.49 0.52 0.32
0.41 0.44 0.25
0.29 0.32 0.13
0.16 0.20 .0.01
0.05 0.08 .0.15
.0.04 0.00 -0.27
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ NewCaledonia ........................ . . ....... Papua New Guinea .................... . ...... Solomonlslands ................................. Vanuatu ...................... . . .................
1.70 0.43 1.35 1.83 2.15 2.20
1.37 0.17 1.06 1.47 1.81 1.90
1.17 .0.06 0.85 1.27 1.55 1.66
1.09 0.02 0.72 1.18 1.39 1.49
0.95 .0.10 0.59 1.03 1.21 1.31
0.74 .0.25 0.44 0.82 1.00 1.10
0.52 .0.47 0.28 0.58 0.78 0.88
0.33 .0.71 0.13 0.39 0.57 0.68
0.17 -0.94 0.00 0.24 0.38 0.50
MICRONESIA Guam ................................................ Kiribati ........................................... Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... Nauru ................................................
1.12 1.13 1.40 2.07 0.26 0.12
0.90 0.90 1.20 1.58 0.25 0.34
0.78 0.74 1.07 1.15 0.34 0.12
0.69 0.63 0.97 0.81 0.38 -0.03
0.54 0.46 0.82 0.56 0.22 .0.17
0.37 0.25 0.61 0.43 0.02 .0.33
0.18 0.05 0.38 0.26 .0.23 .0.49
-0.01 .0.13 0.18 .0.04 .0.51 .0.66
.0.16 .0.25 0.03 .0.38 .0.70 .0.86
SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ..................... ..... .................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ............................... . ............ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ....................... ............... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. PeN ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .................................... .......... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area, region and country (continued) Low variant Annual rate of change
(per cent)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-2020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau
....................................................
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn
.................................................
Samoa ..................................................
.................................................
Tokelau Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands
................................................... .................... .......................... .....................
a More developed regions comprise Eumpe. Northem America, AustralidNewZealand and Japan. b Less developed regions m p r i s e all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countri8s are 50 countries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except NorthernAfrica, with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. 1 lncluding Mayme. 2 lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 lncluding Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SA!) of China. 5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into Swth-CentralAsia. 8 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including &and Islands. 10 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican City State. 12 m e former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A18.Average annual rate of popubtkn change by major area, regkn and country: constant-fertllkyvariant, 2005-2050 Constant-f~llltyvariant ~~
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major am,m g h md country 20052010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 20302035 20352040 2040-2045 20452050 WORLD
1.28
1.32
1.31
1.28
1.27
1.29
1.35
1.41
1.48
YORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS MVELOPED REQIONS (b) Least developed cwnlries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
0.25 1.51 2.60 1.32
0.18 1.55 2.69 1.34
0.11 1.55 2.74 1.31
0.05 1.50 2.79 1.23
-0.01 1.48 2.84 1.16
-0.06 1.50 2.92 1.14
-0.12 1.56 3.01 1.15
-0.16 1.62 3.10 1.16
-0.20 1.68 3.17 1.17
Less developed regions, elocluding China
1 .a1
1 .87
1.87
1.84
1.83
1 .06
1.91
1.96
2.02
s u m h u n mu(0)
2.61
2.75
2.84
2.91
2.98
3.07
3.17
3.25
3.33
AFRICA
2.47
2.59
2.67
2.71
2.77
2.06
2.96
3.05
3.13
EASTERN AFRICA
2.76 3.90 2.82 2.08 3.53 2.80 2.67 2.97 2.81 0.82 2.20 1.34 2.82 0.51 3.11 3.40 2.77 2.18 1.22
2.90 3.29 2.88 2.23 3.51 2.96 2.81 3.08 2.97 0.72 2.28 1.23 3.04 0.39 3.12 3.60 2.97 2.39 1.51
2.99 3.24 2.87 2.32 3.20 3.05 2.80 3.12 3.11 0.82 2.45 1.15 3.04 0.74 3.01 3.77 3.03 2.69 1.60
3.03 3.17 2.85 2.48 3.11 3.08 2.79 3.13 3.18 0.50 2.60 1.07 2.95 0.65 2.98 3.81 3.09 2.77 1.61
3.09 3.21 2.85 2.42 3.12 3.11 2.82 3.15 3.23 0.37 2.75 0.99 2.91 3.07 3.06 3.17 2.88 1.63
3.16 3.35 2.88 2.37 3.18 3.17 2.88 3.20 3.31 0.26 2.87 0.91 2.97 0.47 3.16 3.94 3.25 2.99 1.69
3.25 3.49 2.92 2.35 3.24 3.23 2.92 3.25 3.39 0.16 2.98 0.83 3.10 0.37 3.24 4.01 3.32 3.10 1.79
3.32 3.59 2.93 2.38 3.26 3.29 2.95 3.29 3.46 0.07 3.08 0.77 3.21 0.27 3.32 4.07 3.38 3.19 1.87
3.37 3.64 2.93 2.42 3.25 3.35 2.98 3.32 3.51 0.01 3.18 0.73 3.25 0.18 3.39 4.11 3.42 3.27 1.94
2.94 2.93 2.38 2.06 3.07 2.29 3.22 2.52 1.72 1.95
3.01 3.08 2.51 2.28. 3.13 2.60 3.21 2.69 1.85 2.29
3.09 3.09 2.55 2.34 3.27 2.65 3.31 2.82 1.88 2.66
3.20 3.15 2.56 2.39 3.50 2.70 3.43 2.90 1.81 2.66
3.30 3.25 2.61 2.46 3.59 2.75 3.54 2.97 1.79 2.65
3.41 3.36 2.70 2.57 3.69 2.80 3.65 3.05 1.78 2.65
3.51 3.48 2.77 2.68 3.n 2.85 3.75 3.11 1.79 2.65
3.61 3.58 2.84 2.77 3.85 2.89 3.84 3.18 1.79 2.64
3.69 3.67 2.89 2.85 3.91 2.92 3.92 3.24 1.79 2.83
1 .89 1.61 1.96 2.19 1.30 2.55 1.17 3.95
1.92 1.64 1.97 2.15 1.35 2.64 1.16 3.61
1.87 1.55 1.87 1.94 1.31 2.68 1.06 3.25
1.76 1.38 1.76 1.67 1.21 2.61 0.89 1.82
1.69 1.18 1.70 1.50 1.08 2.60 0.70 1.61
1.66 1.06 1.69 1.47 0.98 2.61 0.56 1.48
1.67 1.01 1.68 1 .50 0.92 2.64 0.47 1.42
1.68 0.90 1.66 1.50 0.88 2.68 0.40 1.41
1.68 0.92 1.62 1.44 0.84 2.71 0.31 1.38
0.75 1.44 0.93 1.59 0.67 0.93
0.72 1.43 1.13 1.65 0.63 1.00
0.82
1.43 1.22 1.77 0.72 1.17
0.89 I .44 127 1.73 0.79 1.19
0.94 1.45 1.37 1.70 0.84 1.31
0.98 1.48 1.49 1.71 0.68 1.48
1 .03 1.55 1.61 1.75
1.66
1.09 1.62 1.70 1.79 0.97 1.79
1.15 1.67 1.78 1.82 1.03 1.88
2.69 3.27 3.09 2.53 2.19 2.91 2.32 2.39 2.98 4.51 3.13
2.83 3.28 3.17 2.57 2.50 2.87 2.42 3.13 3.23 3.25 3.31
2.92 3.30 3.23 2.50 2.59 2.88 2.42 3.22 3.39 3.36 3.43
2.97 3.31 3.28 2.41 2.60 2.92 2.38 3.28 3.53 3.47 3.52
3.04 3.35 3.35 2.35 2.63 2.95 2.35 3.35 3.65 3.58 3.62
3.12 3.40 3.42 2.32 2.70 2.98 2.36 3.41 3.76 3.68 3.72
3.21 3.46 3.48 2.29 2.78 3.02 2.38 3.47 3.06 3.78 3.80
3.29 3.50 3.53 2.26 2.85 3.06 2.41 3.52 3.96 3.87 3.87
3.36 3.53 3.57 2.23 2.90 3.09 2.43 3.56 4.04 3.96 3.93
........................................ ........................................
................................................. Malawi .................. ......................_....... .. MauAius (2) .........................................
Mozambique .........................................
....................
.....
...............................................
Zambia ..
zhbnbwe ............................................. UDDLE AFRICA
.........................
cqp .................................................. Democratic ReprMic of the cqp ........ rial Guinea ..........
......................
... NORTHERNAFRICA
Libyan Arab Jamahirtya ......................... M
m ....................
...........................
SOUTHERN AFRICA
SouthAfrica ........................................... WESTERN AFRICA Benin .....................................................
Ghana .....................
.............................
Liberia .................................................. Mali ..................... ................ ......._.........
562
0.56
0.92
United Nations Department of E m i c and Social AffaidPopulation Division Workl PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant .
Annual rate of change (per cent) MaJor area. region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2340-2045 2045-2050
........... Mauritania .......................... . Niger .................... . ............................. Nigeria .............................. . ................. Saint Helena (3) .................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ....................... . ........................ Mongolia ............................................. Republic of Korea ............................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) Afghanistan ......................................... Bangladesh ................. .. .............. Bhutan .................................................. India ..................... . ............................. Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives .......................... ..................
Nepal ..................................................
Pakistan ............................ . ............... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................. . ............. Turkrnenistan ................... ................. Uzbekistan ...................... . ................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ............................... Cambodia ........................... ................ Indonesia ........................ ...... ............ Lao People's Democratic Republic ........ Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar ............................................ Philippines .......................................... Singapore ............................................. Thailand ........................ ................... Timor-Leste ............................... ..... Viet Nam ..............................................
..
..
WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ............................................... Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait ................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ..................... ....................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ...................... . ................ Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ................................................
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of populationchange by major area.
region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belaws ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
NORTHERN EUROPE Channel lslands (8)...............................
Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
SOUTHERNEUROPE
Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11)........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)...........................
WESTERN EUROPE Austria ................. .. ........................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ................... ..................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .................. ..... ............... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................... . ............. Switzerland ...........................................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
1.37
1.35
1.29
1.21
1.14
1.08
1.03
0.99
0.95
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands ............................ .. Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Average annual rate of population change by major area. region and country (continued) Constant-fertility variant Annual rate of change (per cent) Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kilts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ......................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ........................................... Honduras ............................................. Mexico ................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................ . .............. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................. . ............. Uruguay .................. ... ........................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ....................... .. .................. Canada ........................ ....................... Greenland ...................... ..................... Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Australia (13)........................................ New Zealand ................................. ........ MELANESIA F i j ~....................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea .................... . ........ Solomon Islands ................................. Vanuatu ............................................... MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A18. Averem annwl rate at popthtkn ctmnge by major area, regbn and country (contknred)
COnrtant-fdUty varhnt
Nocthem Marlona IshnrJa ...................... Palau ....................................................
mmEsu Amerlcansaroa ................................... cook IalMda .........................................
.................................. Nlue ...................................................... Pkahll ................................................. samocl .................................................. T&&u ................................................ French polynesh
T................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wall18 M d Fuluna Islands .......
....
2.07 0.32
1.89 0.46
1.51 1.10
1.35 1.10
1.10 2.30 -2.03 1.42 -1.77 0.00 1.10 0.10 0.41
1.24 2.23 -1.18 1.37 -1.24 0.40 1.26 0.43
1.38 2.22 0.15 1.26
0.58
0.83 0.07
1.40 2.23 0.24 1.11 0.10 -0.37 1.84 0.42 1.27 1.23 0.88
0.80
W&l
0.53
-0.59
1.51 1.48 0.83 1.16 1.10 0.M
0.03
1.08 0.71
0.07 0.55
0.87 0.40
0.78 0.47
1.38 2.20 0.59
1.33 2.13 0.02
1.30 2.07
1.31 2.03
0.92
0.08
0.00
0.91
0.70 0.00 1.60 0.82 1.29 1.23 0.75
0.61 0.37 1.65 0.88 1.25 1.21 0.72
0.85 0.55
0.70 0.48 -0.37 1.88 1.37 1.25 1.44 0.75
1.34 2.01 1.05 0.73 0.49 0.00 1.78 1.41 1.32 1.80 0.73
1.21
0.00 1.62 1.00 1.22 1.29 0.74
United Nations De+&ment of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division populatkm Praspecds: The 2006 Revision, V d u m I: Comphensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: estimates. 19852005 Estimates Population (thousands) Major area. reglon and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
WORLD
4855264 4941404 5029293 5118158 5206950 5294879 5381644 5467328 5551993 5635848
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
1115352 1122115 1129034 1135961 1142690 1149064 1155058 1160704 1165980 1170876 3739912 3819289 3900259 3982 196 4064260 4 145815 4226586 4306624 4386013 4464972 498 301 511 622 525 473 539 894 460 974 473 043 485 466 554 840 570 153 585 617 3 278 938 3 346 246 3 414 793 3 483 896 3 552 638 3 620 342 3 686 692 3 751 784 3 815 861 3 879 355
Less developed regions. excluding China
2667243 2730701 2794842 2859592 2924891 2990669 3056868 3123386 3190073 3256754
SubSsharan Africa (e)
449 349
462 699
476 404
490 441
504 778
519 391
534 267
549 406
564 606
580 471
554 294
570 325
586 690
603 353
620 274
637 421
654 777
672 340
690 114
708 108
SOUTHERN AFRICA 37454 1 174 Botswana .............................................. 1 472 Lesolho .............................................. 1131 Namibia ............................................ South Africa .......................................... 32 961 716 Swaziland .............................................
38 309 1 211 1 502 1180 33 672 744
39 140 1 249 1 529 1236 34 350 775
39 976 1 288 1 554 1298 35 029 807
40 863 1 327 1 578 1359 35 760 838
41 828 1 367 1 801 1417 36 577 865
42 882 1 408 1 624 1471 37 493 888
44 007 1 448 1 646 1519 38 486 907
45 167 1 489 1 669 1565 39 520 924
46 314 1 528 1 694 1611 40 540 941
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Bumndi ................................................. Comoros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Entrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom6 and Prhcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ................................... .......... Western Sahara ...................................
WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cde d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Buwndi ................................................. Comoros (1) .............................. . . ....... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ......................... ........................ Madagascar .............................. .... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ............................... ...... Mozambique ....................................... Reunion ................... . .......................... Rwanda .................. ... ......................... Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
.. ..
MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carneroon ........................................... Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................. Congo ................... . . . ........................ Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ SBo Tome and Prhcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................ Tunisia ..................... . .......................... Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ......................... ............... Lesotho .............................................. Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ................................ . .......... WESTERN AFRICA Benin ........................ . ......................... Burkina Faso ................................. ....... Cape Verde ........................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ..................... .. ..................... Ghana ............................. . ................ Guinea .................... ..................... Guinea-Bissau ............................... . Liberia ................................................. Mali ....................................................
. . . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A19 Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Mauritania ............................................ Niger ................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3).................................... Senegal .......................................... Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ....................................................
EASTERN ASIA l China (4).............................................. 1 China. Hong Kong SAR (5)................... China. Macao SAR (6).......................... Dem People's Republic of Korea .......... Japan ................................................. Mongolia ............................................. Republic of Korea .................................
.
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1715 6 709 81 598 6 6 796 3 582 3 354
1759 6 911 83 977 6 7 005 3 685 3 478
1804 7 122 86 466 6 7 221 3 801 3 603
1849 7 342 89 055 6 7 444 3 918 3 727
1896 7 575 91 722 5 7 669 4 017 3 847
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1945
1997 8 084 97 247 5 8 123 4 125 4 067
2050 8 361 100 103 5 8 351 4 135 4 167
2106 8 655 103 018 5 8 581 4 131 4 269
2165 8 963 105 988 5 8 815 4 129 4 383
7 822 94 454
5 7 896 4 087 3 961
254 941 066 906 5 456 306
18 721 120 837 1 909 40 806
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 106852 Afghanistan .......................................... 12 333 Bangladesh ........................................... 100 532 Bhutan .................................................. 480 India ..................................................... 771 121 Iran (Islamic Republic ot) ....................... 48 418 Kazakhstan .......................................... 15 780 Kyrgyzstan ............................................ 4 013 Maldives ............................................... 184 Nepal .................................................... 17 003 Pakistan 95 005 Sri Lanka ............. 16 013 Tajikistan .......................................... 4 567 Turkmenistan ........................................ 3 230 Uzbekistan .......................................... 18 174
............................................... ........................... ..
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA ................................ 6 ~ n eDa~SSalam i Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Vie1 Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Oatar ............................... ................. Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................ ... ............. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 Mauritania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) ......................... ...... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo .................... ............................
. .
...
ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (5) ................... China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ......................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 09 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives ................................ ........... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ............................ .... Uzbekistan ............................................
.. .
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................... .. ...... Singapore ............................................. Thailand .................... . ..................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Wet Narn ............................... .............. WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ ..... ........... Azerbaijan ......................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................. .............. lraq ................................. . ................... Israel ............................. . . ................ Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territoiy ............... Oman ................................................. Qatar .................... .. .................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ............................... ............ United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................
..
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1119.Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. reglon and country
EUROPE
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
706 576
709 569
712 707
715 841
718 764
721 322
723 487
725 294
726 731
727798
468 007
475 924
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Mddova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland.................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Gibraltar ................................................ Greece .................................................
Holy See (11) ........................................
Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WES+ERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
404 492
412 481
420 447
428 395
436 334
444 271
452 197
460 105
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. Anrba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands) Mnjor area, reglon and country 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belaws .................................... .., ....... Bulgaria .............................................. ...... Czech Republic ........................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ................... ....... Denmark .............................................. Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands .................................... Finland (9) ................................. ....... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. ......... Isle of Man ................................. Latvia ............................... .................. Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ Unled Kingdom ....................................
. . ..
SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ............................... .............. Gibraltar ............................. .. ............ Greece ............................................... Holy See (11) ............................. ....... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .................... ..... .......... Portugal ............................ ................ ............................... ..... San Marino . . . Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain ................................ ................ TFYR Macedonia (12) ...........................
..
.. ..
WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium .............................................. Germany France .................................................. ............................ .............
Liechtenstein .................. .. .... ...... Luxembourg ........................ .............. Monaco ................................. . ............ Netherlands ............................ .... ...... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ............................................... Antigua and Barbuda ........................... Awba ................................. .............. Bahamas .................................... ...... Barbados ..................................... ...... British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayman Islands ................................. Cuba ....................................................
.. ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
.
Table CH9 Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. reglon and country (contintied) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kiis and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Wrgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (MaMnas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname ............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of] ......... NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America .......................
269 023 58 25 843 53 6 243 063
271 900 58 26 183 54 6 245 598
274 834 59 26 555 54 6 248 1W
277 821 59 26 944 55 6 250 757
280 852 59 27 331 55 6 253 401
283 920 60 27 701 56 6 256 098
287 023 60 28 051 56 6 258 850
290 159 60 28 384 56 6 261 652
293 319 61 28 702 56 6 264 494
296 492 61 29 007 56 6 267 362
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................
18916 15669 3 247
19174 15898 3 276
19441 16136 3 305
19715 18380 3 335
19997 16627 3 370
20284 18873 3 41 1
20578 17119 3 459
20878 17364 3 513
21177 17607 3 570
21468 17843 3 625
MELANESIA Fiji .................................................. New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
4905 709 155 3 637 272 132
5020 715 158 3 731 280 135
5133 718 161 3 827 288 138
5246 719 164 3 925 297 142
5364 720 167 4 026 305 145
5489 724 171 4 131 314 149
5621 730 175 4 239 323 154
5759 739 179 4 350 332 159
5903 749 184 4 465 342 163
6052 759 189 4 585 352 168
358 119 63 38 86 8
370 122 64 40 88 8
382 125 66 42 90 9
394 128 68 44 92 9
406 131 70 46 94 9
417 134 72 47 96 9
428 137 73 48 99 9
439 139 74 49 101 10
449 141 75 50 104 10
458 144 76 51 106 10
MCRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribatl Marshall Islands ................................... Micronesia (Fed States of) ................... N ~ U N...................................................
................................................. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005 Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ........................................ Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ........................................... Montserrat ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ......................................... Saint K i s and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ................... ................. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ...................
. .
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ......................................... El Salvador .......................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana .................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... 299 670 61 29 302 56 6 270 245
302 848 62 29 586 56 6 273 138
306 025 62 29 859 56 6 276 043
309 213 62 30 127 56 6 278 961
312 425 63 30 402 56 6 281 898
315 672 63 30 689 56 6 284 857
318 955 63 30 992 56 6 287 837
322 267 63 31 308 57 6 290 832
325 596 64 31 632 57 6 293 837
31 955 57 6 296 844
332 245 64 32 271 57 6 299 846
NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda ............................................... Canada ................................................. Greenland ............................................. Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United Stales of America .......................
21 745 18072 3 673
22 006 18291 3 715
22 252 18502 3 750
22491 18709 3 782
22 735 18920 3 815
22 993 19139 3 854
23 266 19367 3 899
23552 19604 3 948
23 844 19844 4 000
24 131 20081 4 050
24407 20310 4 097
AUSTRALImEWZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ New Zealand .......................................
6204 768 193 4 709 362 172
6 359 776 198 4 837 372 176
6 517 783 202 4 970 383 179
6 677 790 207 5 105 393 182
6 840 796 21 1 5 243 404 186
7 003 802 215 5 381 415 190
7 167 807 219 5 520 427 194
7 332 813 223 5 659 438 199
7496 818 227 5 798 449 204
7 659 823 230 5 935 461 210
7 820 828 234 6 070 472 215
MLANESIA Fiji ...................................................... New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
466 146 77 51 107 10
473 147 78 51 108 l0
479 149 80 51 108 10
484 151 81 52 108 10
490 153 83 52 107 10
497 155 84 52 107 10
504 158 86 53 107 10
512 160 87 54 108 10
521 163 89 54 109 10
530 166 90 56 109 10
538 169 92 57 110 10
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
328 926
64
MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau ....................................................
POLYNESIA
American Samoa .................................. Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga Tuvalu Wallis and Futuna Islands
.................................................. .................................................. .....................
a More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan), Latin Amerka and the Car~bbeanplus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. C Least developed countries are 50 wuntries, 34 in Africa. 10 in Asla. 5 in Oceania plus one wuntly in Latin America and the Caribbean. d Other less dewtloped countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed wuntries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 Including Mayone. 2 Including Agalega. Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 3 IncludingAscension, and Tristan da Cunha. 4 For slatistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates Population (thousands)
Major a m , reglon and country
5 6 7 8 9
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
58 17
60 18
62 18
65 18
67 19
69 19
71 20
74 20
76 20
78 20
80 20
580 53 18 216 2 0 168 1 97 10 14
587 53 18
594
600 55 17 228 2
607 56 16 232
626 60 15 244 2 0 180 1 98 10 15
639 63 14 252 2 0 183 1 99 10 15
645 64 14 256 2
0 176 2 98 10 15
620 58 16 240 2 0 179 2 98 10 15
632 61 15 248 2
0
613 57 16 236 2 0 177 2 98 10 15
220 2 0 170 1 98 10 14
54 17 224 2 0 172 1 98 10 15
174 2 98 10 15
2
0 181 1 99 10 15
0
184 1
99 10 15
Northern Mariana Islands Palau
......................
POLYNESIA American Samoa ..................... Cook Islands ........................... French Polynesia .................................. Niue ...................................................... Pitcaim Samoa ................ Tokelau ................................................. Tonga Tuvalu ................................................... Wallis and Fuiuna Islands .....................
...................................................
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. m e regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. Including hand Islands.
10 Including Svalbard and Jan h4ayen Islands. 11 Refers to the Vatican C i State. 12 me former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cams (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
577
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country: medium variant. 2006-2025 Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area. region a n d country
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other lass developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (W) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA Burundi ................................................. Cornoms (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rlunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria ........................... .. ................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland .................... .. ................... WESTERN AFRICA .. ............ Benin .................................. Burkina Faso ....................................... Cape Verde .......................................... Cbte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ............................................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)
Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area. reglon and country
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China SubSaharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA B u ~ n d................................................. i Comros (1) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................ Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................. Madagascar .......................................... Matawi .................................................. Mauritlus (2) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Seychelles ............................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................ Zimbabwe ............................................
..................
MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tomd and Prlncipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria ................................................ Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... .................... Morocco ...................... . . Sudan .................................................. Tunisia ................................................. Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cote d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ......................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued)
Medium variant Population (thousands)
MJor area. reglon and country 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Mauritania ............................................. 3 044 Niger .................................................... 13737 Nigeria .................................................. 144720 Saint Helena (3) ....................... ........... 6 Senegal ............................................. 12072 Sierra Leone ......................................... 5 743 Togo ..................................................... 6410
3 124 14226 148093 7 12379 5 866 6585
3 204 14731 151 478 7 12688 5 969 6762
3 283 15253 154884 7 12999 6 070 6942
3 363 15791 158313 7 13311 6 185 7122
3 442 16347 161 767 7 13624 6 317 7304
3 521 16920 165240 7 13937 6 461 7488
3 600 17512 168728 7 14251 6 614 7673
3 679 18123 172222 7 14565 6 771 7859
3 757 18754 175715 7 14878 6 929 8045
ASIA
3983882 4029665 4075361 4120925 4166308 4211506 4256494 4301 163 4345372 4389000
EASTERN ASIA 1530790 China (4) .............................................. 1320864 7132 China. Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... 478 China. Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... 23 708 Japan ................................................ 127 953 Mongolia ............................................... 2 605 Republic of Korea ................................. 48 050
.
SOUTHGENTRAL ASIA (7) 1 671 934 Afghanistan ........................................... 26 088 Bangladesh ........................................... 155 991 Bhutan .................................................. 649 India .....................................................1 151 751 Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... 70 270 Kazakhstan ........................................... 15 314 Kyrgyzstan ............................................ 5 259 Maldives ............................................... 300 Nepal ................................................ 27 641 Pakistan ............................................ 160 943 Sri Lanka .............................................. 19 207 Tajikistan ............................................. 6 640 Turkrnenistan ........................................ 4 899 Uzbekistan............................................ 26 981 SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam .............................. . Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel ........................... . ..................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTenitoly ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. Uniled Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Maurilania ............................................. Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Saint Helena (3) .................................... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (4) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (5) .................... China, Macao SAR (6) .......................... Dem. People's RepuMk of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (7) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ...................... ............................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolatedmid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE Channel Islands (8) ............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9) ............................................ Iceland ............................................... Ireland ................................................ Isle of Man ........................................... Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERNEUROPE Albania ................................................. Andorra ................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................... ....... Portugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE . ...................... Austria ......................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein ........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands ........................................ Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
565 048
572 206
579 409
586 590
593 697
600 718
607 664
814 524
621 291
627 958
CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ....................... A ~ b .................... a ........................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ......................... . ................. British Virgin Islands .............................. Cayrnan Islands .................................... Cuba ....................... . ..........................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by
major area. region and country (continued) Medium varfant
Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
725370
724336
723233
722060
720819
719515
718 146
716714
715220
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE Channel Islands (8)............................... Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Faeroe Islands ...................................... Finland (9)............................................ Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Isle of Man ............................................ Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (10).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE Albania ................................................. Andol~a................................................ Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Gibraltar ............................................... Greece ................................................. Holy See (11) ........................................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Porlugal ................................................ San Marino ........................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (12)........................... WESTERN EUROPE Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Liechtenstein........................................ Luxembourg .......................................... Monaco ................................................ Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
640 955
647 275
653 478
659 562
665 522
671 353
677 051
682 611
688 030
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN Anguilla ................................................ Antigua and Barbuda ............................. ANba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. British Virgin lslands .............................. Cayman Islands .................................... Cuba ....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area. region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Dominica .............................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Montserrat ............................ . ........... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................. Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. Turks and Caicos Islands ...................... United States Virgin Islands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica .......................................... El Salvador .......................................... Guatemala .................................. ...... Honduras ......................... .. ............... Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
..
SOUTH AMERICA Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ...................... ................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay ......................... ........ ....... Peru .................................... .............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .............................................. Venezueb. (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
. . . .
.
..
NORTHERN AMERICA 335 547 Bermuda ............................................... 64 Canada ...................... ................... 32 577 58 Greenland ........................... . ............... 6 Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................... United States of America ....................... 302 841
..
338 831 65 32 876 58 6 305 826
342 098 65 33 170 58 6 308 798
345 345 65 33 461 59 6 31 1 754
348 574 65 33 752 59 6 314 692
351 780 65 34 042 60 6 317 607
354960 65 34 331 60 6 320 497
358 113 65 34 619 60 6 323 362
361 238 65 34 906 61 6 326 200
364334 65 35 191 61 6 329 010
OCEANIA
33 846
34 267
34 678
35 084
35 489
35 894
36 297
36 699
37 099
37499
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia(13) ........................................ NewZealand .........................................
24 670 20530 4140
24 922 20743 4179
25 165 20951 4215
25 406 21 156 4250
25 647 21362 4285
25 889 21569 4320
26 131 21776 4355
26 373 21 984 4389
26 614 22191 4423
26 854 22397 4457
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea .................... ......... Solomon lslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands ................................ Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
. .
Dominica ..................... ................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Mattinique ............................................ Montserrat .............................. .......... Netherlands Antilles ............................. Puerto Rico ........................................ Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................ Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................ Turks and Caicos lslands ...................... United States Virgin lslands ................... CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ...................... . ......... ........ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................ .. .......... Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua .......................... ............ Panama ................................................
. .
SOUTH AMERICA Argentina ................................... ........... Bolivia .................................................. Brazil ........................ .. ...................... Chile .................... ...... .................... Colombia ............................................ Ecuador ................................................ Falkland Islands (Malvinas) ................... French Guiana ..................................... Guyana ............................. ..... Paraguay ............................................. Peru ......................... . ........ ............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
. .
..............
6 352 547
392 978 66 37 912 64 6 354 930
NORTHERN AMERICA Bermuda .............................................. Canada ................................................ Greenland ............................................ Saint Pierre and Miquelon .................... United States of America .......................
28 717 24 01 1 4 706
28 939 24 204 4 735
29 157 24 393 4 764
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (13)..................... . .......... New Zealand ........................................
10 356 895 294 8 187 670 310
10507 898 297 8 313 682 316
10657 902 300 8 439 694 322
10806 905 303 8 565 705 328
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
663 206 118 77 122 11
670 208 120 77 123
677 210 122 78 124 11
684 21 1 123 79 125 11
367 399 66 35 474 61 6 331 792
370 431 66 35 756 62 6 334 541
373 424 66 36 035 62 6 337 254
376 372 66 36 313 62 6 339 924
379 270 66 36 588 63 6 342 547
382 115 66 36 860 63 6 345 120
384 909 66 37 130 63 6 347 644
387 650 66 37 395 63 6 350 119
27 092 22 603 4 489
27 330 22 808 4 522
27 566 23 013 4 553
27 801 23 216 4 585
28 033 23 418 4 616
28 264 23 618 4 646
28 492 23 816 4 676
9469 877 274 7 442 601 276
9 616 880 277 7 565 612 282
9 762 882 281 7 688 624 288
9910 885 284 7 812 635 293
10058 888 287 7 937 647 299
10207 891 290 8 062 659 305
618 193 109 71 117
626 195 110 72 118 11
633 197 112 73 118 11
641 199 114 74 119 11
648 201 115 75 120 11
656 204 117 76 121 11
11
390 339 66 37 656
M
11
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
MICRONESIA Guam ................................................... Kiribati .................................................. Marshall Islands .................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... Nauru ...................................................
Table A20.Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, regkn and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands)
Y J o ra m , reglon and country
Northern Mariana Islands Palau
POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ....... French Polynesia Niue ................... Pitcairn ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu .................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
82 20
84 20
85 20
87 20
88
90 21
91 21
93 21
94
21
96 21
652 65 14 259 2 0 185 1 100 10 15
659 67 13
666 68
693
2 0 187 1 100 11 15
2 0 189 1 101 11 15
888 72 12 276 1 0 193 1 102 11 16
73 12
266
679 71 13 273 1 0 192 1 102 11 16
692
263
673 69 13 270 2 0 190 1 101 11 15
75 12 283 1 0 196 1 103 11 16
704 76 12 207 1 0 197 1 103 11 16
13
280 1 0 195 1 103 11 16
21
711 77 12
290 1 0 163 1 104 11 16
a Mae developed regms a w n p m Europe. W h e m Amenca. Australla/NewZealand and Japm b Less developed regms canpnse all repons of Afm.Asla (excluding Japan), Lath America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Miaaresle m d Polynesia. c Least developed countrleS are 50 countnes. 34 in Africa. 10 n Asla. 5 in Oceanla plus one country h Lam pnerlca and the Caribbean d Other less d e e d countries m p r l s e of the less developed regbns excludmg the least developed countries e Sub-Saharan Africarefen to all of Africa except Norlhem Africa, with the Sudan Clduded in hubSaharan Africa 1 IndudngMayone 2 lndudng Apalega, Rcdligues, and Samt Brandon 3 lnduding Ascension, and TrWan da Cunha 4 F a stat$Wpurposes. the data for Chna do n d indude Hmg Kong and Macao. Speaar Adrnhbtrathre k g b n s (W)d China
586
United Nations Department of Ecomxnic and Soda1Affairs/Population Division World Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued) Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Northern Mariana Islands ...................... Palau .................................................... POLYNESIA American Samoa ................................... Cook Islands ......................................... French Polynesia ..................................
N i i ...................................................... Piicaim ................................................. Samoa .................................................. Tokelau ................................................ Tonga ................................................... Tuvalu ................................................. Wallis and Futuna Islands .....................
5 As of lJuiy 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 6 As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined inlo South-Central Asia. B Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 9 Including Aland Islands. 10 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. l l Refern to the Valican C i State. 12 The fomler Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 13 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A21.Crude birth rate by major area, regkn and country: estimates and medlum variant, 1950-2050
Estlmateb: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1,ooOpopulation)
Mr)oruea, reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952ooo 2ooo-2005
WORLD
37.4
35.5
35.1
33.4
30.6
28.3
27.6
27.0
24.7
22.6
21.1
MORE DEVELOPED REQlONS (a) LESS MVELOPED REQIONS (b) Less1 dmklmd cantries (c) Other leas devebped cwntrias (d)
22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7
21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8
19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7
17.1 39.8 47.4 38.6
16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6
14.9 32.7 45.0 31.O
14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9
13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9
12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9
11.2 25.4 39.3 23.2
11.1 23.5 37.6 21.2
44.6
44.3
43.2
41.1
39.3
37.5
36.2
34.0
31.6
28.8
28.9
47.4
Lean developed regions. emYcluding China
Subs.h.m Airla (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Bu~ndi................................................. cornon#,(2) ..........................................
qibouti .................................................
M W .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mouunbique .........................................
R h n h ........... Rwande ................................................ Somalia ................................................ uQand0 ........................................ Unned Republic of Tanzania ......... ZamMa ................................................. thbabwe
.............................................
UDDLE AFRICA h g d a ..................................................
........................ Democratic Reprblk of the Congo ........ Eqwlc+iai Guinea .................................
oabon ............................ sllo TOme and Rhdpe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Alpmia .................................................. €gyp4 ........................... ubyan Arab Jamahiriya
Momcco ...............................................
Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. 80UTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. LesoMo ................................................
Nsmlbla ................................................ SaRh AMca .......................... i............... smuyand
.............................................
WESTERN M I C A (4)
M l n .................................................... BurWna Faw ........................................
cape verde .......................................... We dlvd ................................ Q M a a ...
.................................
Ghana ..... ................................ Guinea .................................................. G u i n e a ~ ...................................... u
Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
588
48.8
48.5
48.1
47.6
47.0
46.6
45.3
43.7
41.9
40.6
48.9
48.3
48.0
47.0
46.5
45.9
45.1
43.2
40.8
38.9
37.7
50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.E 53.4 51.3 49.0 46.8 48.3
49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.6 53.2 44.7 49.1 41.0 52.6 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1
49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.6 52.6 51.O 49.3 49.1 48.8 48.2
49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5 55.8 32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5
48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.8 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.5 47.6
48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 48.1 57.2 26.7 46.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.6
47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 46.0 45.1 45.0
46.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.6 45.0 44.8 50.9 19.6 43.6 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6
44.0 46.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.6 43.9 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.6 42.4 43.9 35.5
42.4 43.8 38.5 34.6 39.6 44.1 38.0 42.3 47.0 17.6 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.9
41.1 44.2 38.5 31.4 40.5 40.7 39.1 39.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 19.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.9 28.9
46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5
47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 46.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3
47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5
47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7
47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.6 36.1 43.9
47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 36.7 42.9
47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.8 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0
47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0
47.0 52.5 40.9 41.8 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0
46.1 49.0 37.9 40.0 47.6 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 38.0
46.2 48.6 37.9 37.9 47.4 372 48.6 39.8 27.7 34.9
48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0
47.3 50.6 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7
47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5
45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4
43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5
41.6 45.4 39.6 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4
39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3
35.2 34.6 35.0 29.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4
30.3 28.8 29.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3
26.9 21.6 26.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.6 20.3
25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1
43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9
42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7
41.9 46.4 42.3 41.8 41.6 48.5
38.9 45.6 42.6 41.6 38.2 49.4
38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.8
36.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2
34.9 42.5 40.6 42.0 33.9 46.8
31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8
20.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7
26.2 29.1 34.0 32.7 25.3 33.3
49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.6 48.8 51.8 49.3
49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51.0 47.3
48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.6 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5
48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.6 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5
48.4 47.5 51.1 38.6 51.O 49.6 45.2 49.8 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4
48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2
48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.6 48.9 49.0 49.6 51.8 41.6
47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4
45.9 46.3 49.0 36.3 42.7 42.7 37.6 45.6 49.9 50.0 51.6 39.0
43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.6 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2
48.0
24.7
28.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4 42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 49.9 49.9
48.6 35.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Scdal Affairslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population) Major area, region and county
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS ( E ) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less devdoped countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan AMcs (a) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) Djibouti ................................... Eritrea .......................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya Madagascar Malawi Mauritius (3) Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
.......................................... ..............
. . .................
................................................... .......................................... .................................................. ..........................................
..................
MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S l o Tom6 and Prlncipe .........................
.................................................... ..................................................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara ....................................
.........................
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) b n i n .................................................... Butkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cdte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ..................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A21 Crude birth rate by maJorarm. region and country (continued) Estimatecc 1950.2005
.
Crude birth rate (brlhs per 1 OOO population) Major men. region and m n t y
1950-1955 1955-1980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851890 1890-1995 19952ooo 2W&2005
Niger .................................................... *rla .................................................. .smega i ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... TO@J ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong K q SAR (8) .................... China, Mecao SAR (7)........... Dem. People's Republic of
..........................
........................... ..........................
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ...........................................
Bangladesh
Bhutan ..................................................
India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic RepuMlc ot).......................
.................................... MeMives ........................................ Nepal .................................................... Pakbtan ............................................... Sri Lanka ..................................... Tajikisten .............................................. Katakhetan Kyrgyzstan .....................................
TUrkt7'lWdStM
Uzbeklstan ... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 people's Democratk R-Mk ......... Malaysia ...............................................
............................. .............................
mailand ................................................ Timr-Leste .......................................... Vie1 Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA A m i a ................................................
...............................
Aze
...............................
Bah Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................
........................................... ..................................................
Jordan Kuwall .................................................. LebaMn ................................................ Occupied Palestinian Tenitory ............... Oman ................................................... Oalar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ......... Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
590
60.8 49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0
59.9 48.8 49.6 48.5 50.0
59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3
58.4 47.8 48.5 48.9 48.5
57.6 47.5 47.8 48.0 48.4
57.0 47.8 46.8 45.9 48.5
56.9 48.7 46.1 48.0 47.1
56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2
55.4 46.8 41.5 47.5 43.1
53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3
51.2 42.7 37.8 46.9 39.6
42.8
39.3
39.2
37.7
33.5
29.5
28.5
27.9
25.0
22.2
20.1
40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0
34.1 36.1 38.3 30.3 38.2 17.6 43.4 45.7
35.5
34.8 38.9 23.5 20.4 36.9 17.8 42.3 33.0
27.7 28.8 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0
21 .0 21.5 17.2 17.1 19.0 15.4 39.2 23.6
20.2 20.9 15.7 24.8 21.8 12.9 37.8 21.1
21 .0 22.3 12.8 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 16.9
17.4 18.2 12.4 18.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9
15.4 18.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.6 21.2 13.5
13.1 13.6 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4
43.9 52.1 48.4 48.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 35.8 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4
43.2 52.2 48.8 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 46.1 43.3 45.8
41.9 52.2 48.8 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.8 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.8 44.9
40.0 52.0 48.4 47.2 38.8 44.8 26.1 31.5 39.8 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5
37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 0 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8
38.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.8 35.2 35.8
34.4 51.8 36.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.8 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7
38.9
38.5 51.5 43.8 48.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0
38.0
31.9 52.1 33.8 35.7 30.7 30.8 20.8 28.9 36.8 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.8
28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 18.2 24.2 16.8 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2
25.8 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 18.7 21.0 22.2 30.2 27.5 18.3 29.4 22.9 23.7
44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7
45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 46.7 45.4 44.2 45.8 41.8 44.2 47.0 45.5
43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 46.8 45.9
41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5
38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9
34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 36.1
32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.8 31.4 35.5 16.7 23.8 44.1 33.9
29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5
28.0 28.2 41 0 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2
22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.7 21.4
21.3 23.8 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 28.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2
47.1 33.7 40.8 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.6 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.0 48.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8
45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.8 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3 39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.8
43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 48.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.8 54.8
40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.0 19.8 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.8 52.5 50.0 37.0 48.1 47.4 40.2 38.8 55.4
39.1 22.2 26.1 38.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.8 46.8 49.5 31.3 47.8 46.9 37.9 33.0 56.3
37.1 22.8 25.1 34.4 19.0 18.0 42.7 28.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 46.9 34.1 30.5 58.2
35.7 23.8 26.0 32.8 21 0 18.0 39.8 23.8 42.3 34.8 29.2 44.8 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8
32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.6 22.7 38.8 28.1 26.6 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4
30.2 19.1 26.1 25.8 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.8 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.8
27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 11.8 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.8 22.8 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9
25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.8 21.1 27.9 18.8 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 28.5 28.2 19.5 18.7 39.3
38.0 33.1 31.8 32.8 17.2 43.3 39.1
38.0
36.0
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1Affairslpopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major a m , region and country
Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzslan .......................... ........... Maldives .......................... ..... ........... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan ............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
. . .
...............................................
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ...................... ..... ............. Singapore ............................. ............ Thailand ..................... ....................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ...............................................
..
..
WESTERN ASIA A m n i a ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ .................................................. s Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................ Kuwal .................................................. Lebanm ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Afbirs/Population Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
t a b A.21. Crude birth rate by maJorarea, region and country (continued)
Edlrnater: 19-2005 ~~
~~
Crude birth rate (births per 1,OOO population)
n o h d -ntrv
M.,
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2oOo 2WX?OOS
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE
................................................
Czech Repvblic ..................................... Hungary ..........................
... ...
.......................... .................................................. R o m n h ............................................... Moldova pohnd
Rusdan Fedsr8tiOn ........
................................................. NORTHERNEUROPE (0) Cha& I Denmrk Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) ..........................................
Iceland ..........................
lrdand .................................................. La* ...................................................
Lithuania ...............................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13)
Albpnia .................................................
BoMlh and l + e m ? p h........................ Croatb ................................................. Greece .................................................
..........
.......... .......
0
pMhroal ................................................
s e a ................................................... swml8 ................................................ spahr .................................................... TFYR Mecedonia (14) ...........................
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Aust~ia.................................................. &!glum ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... -rg ....................... Nether(and0
..........................................
sw*rerland ...........................................
UTIN AMRICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARleBEAN(16) Bahamas .............................................. Balbaados .............................................. Cuba .................................... Dcdnican RepubUc .............................. Grenada ...............................................
.......................... ...........................
...........................
Mertinique ............................................ NehdMdm Anuues .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadinee .......... Trinidad and Tobago ........... united 381- V m i lSl8nds
592
21.5
20.8
19.2
16.8
15.7
14.8
14.4
13.7
11.5
10.2
10.2
25.8 22.9 21.1 19.4 21.1 29.5 30.1 24.9 26.5 27.4 25.4
24.0 24.3 18.7 15.6 17.8 28.2 27.2 22.9 25.1 24.3 23.3
19.4 21.3 16.6 14.6 13.4 24.4 19.6 16.3 21.0 20.5 18.6
15.6 16.8 15.9 14.4 14.4 19.2 16.6 21.9 14.4 18.0 15.4
16.2 16.0 16.2 17.5 15.7 18.5 17.8 19.4 15.3 19.7 15.7
16.6 15.8 15.8 17.5 16.3 19.6 19.4 19.1 15.9 20.6 15.0
16.5 16.7 13.9 13.7 12.6 21.8 19.2 15.8 16.8 18.2 15.2
15.6 15.9 13.0 12.7 12.0 21.4 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 14.6
11.5 12.1 10.2 11.7 11.7 15.9 13.2 11.4 10.9 13.7 11.4
9.3 9.5 8.2 8.7 9.9 12.6 10.8 10.5 8.9 10.8 8.6
9.5 9.3 8.7 9.0 9.5 11.4 9.4 10.0 9.9 9.7 8.4
16.9 14.6 17.9 17.3 22.8 27.9 21.4 16.4 21.6 18.7 15.5 15.9
16.9 14.8 16.8 16.7 19.9 28.3 21.1 16.5 21.7 18.1 14.5 16.5
18.0 17.6 17.2 15.8 18.1 25.7 21.8 15.6 20.4 17.4 14.7 18.4
17.0 15.8 16.3 14.8 16.0 22.1 21.4 14.1 17.8 17.6 14.8 17.4
14.8 12.9 14.6 15.4 13.1 20.9 22.2 14.4 16.7 15.8 13.6 14.5
13.0 11.4 12.3 15.0 13.7 19.2 21.3 13.9 15.5 12.9 11.7 12.4
13.5 11.4 10.3 15.4 13.4 18.2 21 .o 15.1 15.9 12.3 11.3 13.5
13.7 12.1 11.3 15.6 12.6 17.4 16.2 15.5 15.9 13.3 12.9 13.7
13.2 12.6 13.0 11.2 12.9 17.4 14.2 11.4 13.5 14.0 13.6 13.2
11.9 11.4 12.6 9.1 11.5 15.5 14.1 8.0 10.6 13.4 10.4 12.2
11.5 10.5 12.0 9.8 11.0 14.4 15.2 8.7 9.0 12.3 10.9 11.6
21.1 39.3 37.1 22.6 19.4 18.3 29.3 16.1 24.1 27.0 22.0 20.3 37.4
20.7 41.5 34.7 19.6 19.3 18.0 26.7 14.9 24.2 22.9 18.7 21.3 33.8
20.6 39.2 31.1 17.6 18.1 18.7 22.6 13.3 24.2 20.3 17.8 21.5 29.1
19.4 34.7 25.1 15.9 18.0 17.9 16.6 11.2 22.4 18.8 17.5 20.4 25.9
17.8 31.4 21.3 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.5 9.9 19.8 18.5 16.7 19.5 22.5
15.8 28.3 19.6 15.6 15.7 13.0 17.9 9.2 18.3 18.4 16.7 17.5 21.6
13.2 26.8 18.2 14.7 13.7 10.7 17.0 8.8 14.9 17.4 14.5 13.3 20.1
11.7 25.4 17.1 13.1 10.7 9.9 15.6 8.2 12.3 16.0 12.6 11.0 18.1
10.7 22.8 12.8 10.7 10.0 9.7 14.2 13.5 11.3 13.7 10.1 9.9 16.4
10.0 19.4 12.0 10.5 9.7 9.2 12.3 13.3 11.2 12.2 9.2 9.3 13.4
10.1 17.2 9.4 9.1 9.4 9.4 10.0 13.2 10.9 12.5 8.8 10.2 12.0
17.5 15.0 16.5 19.5 16.0 14.7 22.1 17.3
17.5 16.8 17.0 18.4 16.5 15.8 21.4 17.5
16.2 18.5 17.1 18.1 17.8 16.0 20.8 18.9
16.6 17.0 15.3 17.0 15.9 14.4 19.0 17.7
13.5 13.6 13.6 16.3 11.4 11.7 15.4 14.2
11.9 11.6 12.3 14.0 10.3 11.2 12.7 11.6
12.2 12.1 12.1 14.3 10.8 11.6 12.2 11.5
12.2 11.5 11.9 13.7 11.1 12.0 12.7 11.8
11.4 11.6 12.0 12.8 10.0 13.1 12.9 12.3
10.9 10.3 11.2 12.6 9.5 13.1 12.4 11.2
10.5 9.5 10.8 12.8 8.7 12.0 12.4 9.8
42.6
41.8
41.o
37.9
35.3
33.0
30.6
27.8
25.3
23.2
21.5
39.0
37.8 39.1 36.0 31.8 28.4 52.7 45.9 38.7 44.6 39.2 39.3 35.5 33.5 46.1 48.9 38.0 37.5
39.3 33.4 37.8 29.1 35.4 49.8 41.0 36.8 43.5 39.6 35.6 29.1 31.3 45.3 46.3 38.0 41.5
35.4 26.0 32.4 23.8 31.6 44.8 28.9 32.7 40.7 37.3 31.1 22.6 28.8 43.2 42.3 28.9 45.6
31.4 22.5 29.3 20.8 26.5 39.7 29.1 28.9 38.2 32.5 25.8 20.4 24.4 37.9 38.2 27.0 41.4
27.5 22.3 27.5 17.7 17.4 35.3 29.8 19.6 40.0 28.8 17.4 21.5 23.8 33.8 32.8 29.3 35.8
26.8 22.3 27.2 17.5 16.5 32.1 32.5 20.2 42.8 26.9 16.6 20.2 20.5 31.1 29.2 28.3 30.9
25.7 20.6 23.6 16.7 17.6 29.7 31.8 19.2 39.1 25.6 18.0 19.3 18.8 25.9 26.8 24.6 24.5
23.6 18.8 23.7 14.9 15.2 28.2 23.4 17.9 35.5 24.8 17.0 19.7 17.5 23.8 23.6 18.1 23.4
21.6 17.7 21.3 13.0 13.1 26.7 21.1 17.4 32.7 22.9 15.5 16.3 15.3 19.4 20.8 15.0 17.2
20.2 16.2 18.1 11.9 12.0 25.2 18.4 15.7 29.8 21.8 14.3 14.5 13.7 19.1 20.8 14.5 14.6
44.3 38.6 32.8 31.6 52.8 39.8 39.0 45.7 34.8 39.5 41.6 36.2 37.4 49.5 38.2 37.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslpopulationDivision World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tabi8.s
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Labia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) Sweden United Kingdom ....................................
.......................................... ................................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Henegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegm.......................................... Poltugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) ................. Austria ................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ..................................... ........ Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... .-
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas ............................ .. ............ Barbados ............................................. Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .............................. Martinique ........................ ............ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
..............................
.....
.. ............
..........
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: T h e 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Cruck birth rate by major a m , r e g h and country (conthued) E8timimeter: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (MrUm per 1,OOOpopulation)
nakn.nda n t r y
MrJ0r-s
1965-1970 1970-1975 19751960 1960-18851W5-19W 1990-19051995-20W 200O-m
19501955 1955-1980 1-1885 CENTRAL AMERCA
48.3 49.6 44.6 48.0 50.3 52.1 48.0 53.7 39.9
47.1 44.8 45.1 48.8 47.0 51.1 46.8 53.3 40.5
45.2 42.0 44.3 47.5 46.0 49.4 44.7 48.4 40.4
43.9 40.5 36.3 45.8 44.7 48.4 43.8 47.0 39.0
42.5 40.2 30.5 42.7 44.0 45.9 42.6 47.0 35.6
37.8 40.0 30.1 40.2 43.5 44.5 38.5 45.3 31.O
33.4 37.4 30.0 33.6 42.2 42.3 31 .8 42.7 28.6
30.7 35.5 28.9 30.7 39.6 39.6 29.0 38.2 27.3
28.8 34.3 24.7 29.5 38.9 37.2 27.1 35.5 25.1
25.7 31.6 21.4 27.6 37.3 33.5 23.7 30.2 24.1
23.4 28.3 19.1 25.1 35.8 30.2 21.4 26.3 22.7
41.2 25.4 47.0 44.0 36.1 47.4 45.8 38.4 43.0 44.2 47.1 43.8 21.2 46.4
40.5 24.3 46.8 43.0 38.8 45.3 44.7 32.6 43.9 42.6 46.8 44.4 21.9 44.8
39.8 23.2 45.8 42.1 37.7 44.0 44.1 30.4 41.1 41.2 46.3 44.4 21.9 45.0
36.1 22.6 4.4 36.9 31.3 40.8 42.8
30.5 40.6 39.5 43.8 40.0 20.5 40.1
33.1 23.4 45.2 33.7 27.3 34.6 40.6 29.8 35.0 35.8 40.5 34.6 21.1 35.1
32.0 25.7 41.O 32.8 23.0 32.6 38.2 25.8 31.5 38.2 38.0 29.5 20.2 34.2
30.0 23.1 38.4 30.8 23.4 29.8 34.8 28.6 29.6 37.3 33.7 30.5 18.4 32.0
26.9 22.2 38.8 26.3 23.8 27.7 30.9 30.2 25.4 34.9 31.2 28.0 18.3 30.3
24.2 21.3 35.8 22.8 21.9 26.1 27.5 32.8 24.5 32.0 29.2 22.9 18.2 27.0
22.4 19.7 32.8 21.8 18.0 23.8 25.8 30.0 24.2 29.3 25.4 23.7 17.0 24.5
20.9 18.0 30.2 20.6 15.7 21.2 23.2 27.1 21.3 26.9 22.2 21 2 18.0 22.9
NORTHERN AWERICA (10) Canada ................................................. united states of America .......................
24.6 27.8 24.3
24.6 27.7 24.3
22.0 24.6 21.8
17.7 18.4 17.7
15.7 15.6 15.7
15.1 15.2 15.1
15.5 14.8 15.8
15.8 14.2 15.0
15.5 13.8 15.7
14.1 11.8 14.4
13.8 10.7 14.1
OCEANU
27.7
27.4
26.7
24.5
24.0
21 .o
20.4
20.1
19.9
18.9
17.8
23.5 23.0 25.7
23.3 22.6 26.3
22.6 21.9 25.9
20.3 19.8 22.6
19.8 19.8 20.8
16.2 18.0 17.2
15.7 15.8 16.0
15.4 15.1 16.9
15.1 14.7 17.1
13.7 13.5 14.9
12.9 12.7 14.2
43.4 46.3 35.1 43.1 42.6 50.4
43.2 46.7 34.9 42.6 44.0 49.2
42.3 42.0 38.7 42.3 43.7 47.3
40.9 34.8 41.8 43.9 44.3
40.4 32.5 38.3 41.8 47.2 42.5
38.9 33.2 28.5 40.0 45.0 41.O
38.8 31.9 25.6 37.8 40.4 38.8
35.7 29.8 24.6 37.0 40.4 37.0
35.3 27.5 23.8 36.7 38.7 38.5
34.9 25.5 21.6 36.9 38.3 33.9
32.2 23.1 18.0 34.0 33.8 31.0
YCRONESlA (10) G m ................................................... Mlcnnesi (Fed. States of)...................
40.0 31.8 47.9
41.2 34.5 44.8
40.9 36.0 42.8
39.2 32.0 42.0
36.2 31.5 39.9
35.2 29.0 38.2
34.3 26.9 39.3
32.0 26.0 35.5
30.4 26.0 32.2
27.9 23.9 31.5
24.8 20.7 29.7
POLYNESIA (2l) French polyneei .................................. Samoa ........... Tonga ...........
48.3 43.3 50.9 45.1
46.4 44.8 48.7 45.1
45.5 44.3 47.2 45.0
41.9 43.9 41.6 40.5
36.0 38.2 37.7 33.8
33.2 32.0 34.8 33.0
33.5 30.5 38.9 33.7
33.0 29.8 37.6 30.5
28.8 25.4 31.1 29.9
26.8 21 .4 33.1 26.6
23.9 19.3 29.4 24.3
Dsahrador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras ....... Nicaragua ............................................. Panam0 ................................................ SOUTH * y R I C A (17) Aqtl3Mina .............................................. BolMa ................................................... Brad ....................................................
Paraguay .............................................. hN
..................................................... .......................
Venezuela ( W i r i a n Repawc d).........
AUSTRMWNEW ZEALAND Australia (19)................ New Zealand .........................................
...
YUNESlA
.................................
594
38.5
United Nations Oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affaiiopulation Division World populetion Praspecfs: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive TaMes
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
CENTRAL AMERICA Befize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras Mex?co Nicaragua Panama
............................................ .............................................. ............................ .................... ............................................. ................................................
SOUTH AmRICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname .............................................. Uruguay .................................. .......... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
.................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................. ..............................................
.....................................................
..
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..................... ................
...................................... ...............................
..
MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESJA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding &and Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan ¥ Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedmia. 15 lncludlng Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda. BAish Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montsenat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Caiws Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland islands (Maknas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and M~quelon. 10 Including Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfdk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, N~uN,Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lndudlng American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niie. Pitcaim. Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A22 Crude birth rate by major area. regbn and country: estimates and hlgh variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 19M)-2005
.
~~
~
Crude birth rate (brths per 1 O00 population)
vriorrw. nekn n d c o u m
1850-1955 19551960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2OOO-2005
WQRLD
37.4
35.5
35.1
33.4
30.8
28.3
27.6
27.0
24.7
22.6
21.1
22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7
21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8
19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7
17.1 39.8 47.4 38.8
16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6
14.9 32.7 45.0 31.0
14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9
13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9
12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9
11.2 25.4 39.3 23.2
11.1 23.5 37.6 21.2
44.6
44.3
43.2
41.1
39.3
37.5
36.2
34.0
31.6
28.8
26.9
48.8
48.5
48.1
47.6
47.4
47.0
46.6
45.3
43.7
41.9
40.6
48.9
48.3
48.0
47.0
46.5
45.9
45.1
43.2
40.8
38.9
37.7
50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.8 53.4 51.3 49.0 48.8 48.3
49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.6 53.2 44.7 49.1 41 .0 52.8 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1
49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.8 52.8 51.0 49.3 49.1 48.6 48.2
49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5 55.8 32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5
48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.8 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.0 48.5 47.6
48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 46.1 57.2 26.7 48.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.6
47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 46.0 45.1 45.0
46.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.6 45.0 44.8 50.9 19.8 43.6 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6
44.0 46.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.6 43.9 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.6 42.4 43.9 35.5
42.4
42.3 47.0 17.6 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.9
41.1 44.2 36.5 31.4 40.5 40.7 39.1 39.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 19.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.9 28.9
46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5
47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 48.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3
47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5
47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7
47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.8 36.1 43.9
47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 36.7 42.9
47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.6 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0
47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0
47.0 52.5 40.9 41.6 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0
48.1 49.0 37.9 40.0 47.6 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 36.0
48.2 48.6 37.9 37.9 47.4 37.2 49.6 39.8 27.7 34.9
48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0
47.3 50.8 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7
47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5
45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4
43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5
41.6 45.4 39.8 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4
39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3
35.2 34.8 35.0 29.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4
30.3 28.8 29.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3
26.9 21.8 26.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.6 28.3
25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1
SOUTHERN AFRICA BotBwuur ............. .............. Lesotho ................ ............. Fhmibb ................ ............. soulh Ahim ..........................................
43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9
42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7
41.9 46.4 42.3 41 .8 41.6 48.5
38.9 45.6 42.6 41.8 38.2 49.4
38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.8
30.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2
34.9 42.5 40.8 42.0 33.9 46.8
31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8
28.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7
26.2 29.1 34.0 32.7 25.3 33.3
24.7 26.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benln RurwM Faw ........................................ cape vefde .................................... a t e d'lvoim ........................................ Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Gullma ........................ Quh-ma-Bbau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mawitania ..................................
49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.8 48.8 51.8 49.3
49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51.0 47.3
48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.8 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5
48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.8 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5
48.4 47.5 51.1 38.8 51.0 49.6 45.2 49.6 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4
48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2
48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.6 48.9 49.0 49.8 51.8 41.8
47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4
45.9 46.3 49.0 30.3 42.7 42.7 37.8 45.6 49.9 50.0 51.6 39.0
43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.6 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2
42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 49.9 49.9 48.6 35.3
.
YORE DEVELOPED RMIONS (m) LESS DEVELOPED REalONS @) Least dweloped counthr (c) 0 t h krr, ~ dumbped cantrke (d)
wkm, edwllng
LW china
8ub-Wuml A m a (0) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundl ................................................. comoror (2) .......................................... qiboutl ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopla ................................................ Kenya .......................................... Msd.gaecar ................................. W w i .................................................. MaufiUua (3) Mozambiqrn RIunion ................................................ R d ................................................
......................................... ............................... ....................
.....
of ZamMa ................................................. zknbebws .............................................
YDDLE AFRICA Angda ..................................................
c a m e m .............................................
Central urlcan Republk
...........
C M ........................................
......................................
DemcmUc Reprmk oi Um ........ Eguatorlal Guhea ................................. Qabotl .................................................. s(bTOndmdFrhc@ ......................... NORTHERNAFRICA
............................
a .........................
M o m ............................................... SUdM ...................................................
Tunbh .................................................. Weatem Sohara ....................................
swariland ......................................
....................................................
.....
596
43.8 38.5 34.6 39.6 44.1
38.0
United Nations Depaltment of Economic and Social Affairs/Populaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and countmy
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050
12.7 24.2 37.5 21.9
13.2 24.0 36.5 21.7
13.1 23.2 34.9 20.9
12.4 21.5 32.5 19.2
12.2 20.1 30.4 17.9
12.6 19.3 28.8 17.2
13.3 19.0 27.4 17.0
13.7 18.7 26.0 16.9
13.8 18.2 24.5 16.5
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
27.2
26.6
25.3
23.3
21.9
21.0
20.5
19.9
19.1
Less developed regions, excluding China
37.8
36.6
34.7
32.1
30.0
28.5
27.1
25.8
24.3
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3)......................................... Mozambique......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................. S b Tom4 and Prmcipe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahlriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ........................... ................... Western Sahara ....................................
24.9 26.9 31.0 27.6 24.3 30.5
24.5 27.0 30.6 27.9 23.8 30.4
24.0 26.1 29.7 27.7 23.4 29.7
22.8 24.1 27.9 25.8 22.3 27.7
21.9 22.5 26.5 23.8 21.5 26.1
21.4 21.7 25.6 22.5 21.0 25.6
20.9 21.5 25.0 22.1 20.5 25.5
20.3 21.1 24.2 21.8 19.9 25.0
19.6 20.1 23.2 21.2 19.2 23.8
SOUTHERNAFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ SouthAfrica ........................................ Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Wrkina Faso ...................................... Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ........................ . ...................... Ghana .................................................. Guinea ...................... ........................ Guinea-Bissau .................................... Liberia ................................................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A.22. Cruck blrth rate by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimator: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1 ,OOOpopulation)
Ma@r rrw, mgkn and county 19S1955 lasS-leeO 1-1985 MpSf
.....................................................
NlgMill ..................................................
.seMgal ................................................ SienaLeOn, ......................................... TOQO.....................................................
A!3lA EASTERN ASIA Chha (5) .............. China, Hmg Kong .................... China. Macao SAR (7)..........................
Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (8)
Afahanitan ........................................... Bangladesh ...........................................
Kazakhslcvl ........................................... Kyrgyzslan ............................................ Mawves ............ Nepal .................................................... Pakbten ............................................... Turkmerdstan........................................ uzbekistan ............................................
(KWTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Da~ssaiam Cambodia .............................................
lndoneeia ..............................................
La0 people's Democratic Republic Malayaia ............................................... Myanmar .... Philippkrej ..
sinoapore ... Thayand
..........
Timor-Leste .......................................... WNam ...............................................
WESTERN Asu
......................... lreq ....................................................... ISrad
....................................................
Jordan ............ Kuwah ................................... Lebanon ............................................... occupied Pakwbrian Tewllory
Oman ...................................................
antar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrlan Arab Reprblic Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
598
1965-1970 1970-197519751980 19801985 1885-1990 1990-19951995-2WO 2ooo-2005
49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0
59.9 48.8 49.6 48.5 50.0
59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3
58.4 47.6 48.5 48.9 48.5
57.6 47.5 47.6 46.0 48.4
57.0 47.6 46.8 45.9 48.5
56.9 48.7 46.1 46.0 47.1
56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2
55.4 46.6 41.5 47.5 43.1
53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3
51.2 42.7 37.6 46.9 39.6
42.6
39.3
39.2
37.7
33.5
29.5
28.5
27.9
25.0
22.2
20.1
40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0
34.1 36.1 36.3 30.3 36.2 17.6 43.4 45.7
35.5 38.0 33.1 31.6 32.8 17.2 43.3 39.1
34.6 36.9 23.5 20.4 36.9 17.8 42.3 33.0
27.7 28.6 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0
21 .o 21.5 17.2 17.1 19.0 15.4 39.2 23.6
20.2 20.9 15.7 24.8 21.6 12.9 37.6 21.1
21 .o 22.3 12.8 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 16.9
17.4 18.2 12.4 16.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9
15.4 16.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.6 21.2 13.5
13.1 13.6 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4
43.9 52.1 48.4 46.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4
43.2 52.2 48.6 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 48.1 43.3 45.8
41.9 52.2 48.6 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.6 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.6 44.9
40.0 52.0 46.4 47.2 38.8 44.6 26.1 31.5 39.8 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5 38.0 38.9
38.5 51.5 43.6 46.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0
37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 36.0 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 .O 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8
36.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.6 35.2 35.8
34.4 51.6 36.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.6 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7 36.0
31.9 52.1 33.6 35.7 30.7 30.6 20.6 28.9 36.6 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.6
28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 16.2 24.2 26.6 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2
25.6 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 16.7 21 .o 22.2 30.2 27.5 16.3 29.4 22.9 23.7
44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7
45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 48.7 45.4 44.2 45.8 41.6 44.2 47.0 45.5
43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 46.8 45.9
41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5
38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9
34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 38.1
32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.6 31.4 35.5 16.7 23.8 44.1 33.9
29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5
26.0 28.2 41 .O 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2
22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.7 21.4
21.3 23.6 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 28.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2
47.1 33.7 40.6 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.6 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.o 46.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8
45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.6 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3
43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 46.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.6
40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.o 19.6 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.6 52.5 50.0 37.0 46.1 47.4 40.2 38.6 55.4
39.1 22.2 26.1 36.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.6 46.6 49.5 31.3 47.6 46.9 37.9 33.0 56.3
37.1 22.6 25.1 34.4 19.0 18.0 42.7 26.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 46.9 34.1 30.5 56.2
35.7 23.6 26.0 32.8 21 .o 18.0 39.8 23.8 42.3 34.6 29.2 44.6 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8
32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.6 22.7 38.8 28.1 26.6 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4
30.2 19.1 26.1 25.8 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.6 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.6
27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 1 1 .a 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.6 22.6 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9
25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.6 21.1 27.9 18.6 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 26.5 28.2 19.5 16.7 39.3
60.8
35.6
39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.6
54.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPOpulatlon Division World Populetion Prospmts: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Niger .................................................... Nigeria ................................................ Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo .....................................................
ASIA EASTERN ASIA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRALASIA (8) Afghanistan .................... . .................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan ....................... ......................... India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikislan .............................................. Turkmenislan ........................................ Uzbekistan .................. ................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ...................... .................. Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ................. ..... ................... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ......................... ....................... ... ............ Georgia ................. ..... Iraq ..................................................... Israel ..................... ...................... Jordan ........................ .. .. .............. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ................... . ......................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ........................ . ....... .............. Qatar ....................... . . . ....................... Saudi Arabia ......................... . ............. Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen .................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A22.Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.OOO population)
M4or a m . mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005
EUROPE
21.5
20.8
19.2
16.8
15.7
14.8
14.4
13.7
11.5
10.2
10.2
25.8 22.9 21 .1 19.4 21.1 29.5 30.1 24.9 26.5 27.4 25.4
24.0 24.3 18.7 15.6 17.8 26.2 27.2 22.9 25.1 24.3 23.3
19.4 21.3 16.6 14.6 13.4 24.4 19.6 18.3 21 0 20.5 18.6
15.6 16.8 15.9 14.4 14.4 19.2 16.6 21.9 14.4 18.0 15.4
16.2 16.0 16.2 17.5 15.7 18.5 17.8 19.4 15.3 19.7 15.7
16.6 15.8 15.8 17.5 16.3 19.6 19.4 19.1 15.9 20.6 15.0
16.5 16.7 13.9 13.7 12.6 21.6 19.2 15.8 16.8 16.2 15.2
15.6 15.9 13.0 12.7 12.0 21.4 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 14.6
11.5 12.1 10.2 11.7 11.7 15.9 13.2 11.4 10.9 13.7 11.4
9.3 9.5 8.2 8.7 9.9 12.6 10.6 10.5 8.9 10.8 8.6
9.5 9.3 8.7 9.0 9.5 11.4 9.4 10.0 9.9 9.7 8.4
16.9 14.6 17.9 17.3 22.6 27.9 21.4 16.4 21.6 18.7 15.5 15.9
16.9 14.8 16.8 16.7 19.9 28.3 21 .1 16.5 21.7 18.1 14.5 16.5
18.0 17.6 17.2 15.8 18.1 25.7 21.8 15.6 20.4 17.4 14.7 18.4
17.0 15.8 18.3 14.8 16.0 22.1 21.4 14.1 17.8 17.6 14.8 17.4
14.8 12.9 14.6 15.4 13.1 20.9 22.2 14.4 16.7 15.8 13.6 14.5
13.0 11.4 12.3 15.0 13.7 19.2 21.3 13.9 15.5 12.9 11.7 12.4
13.5 11.4 10.3 15.4 13.4 18.2 21 0 15.1 15.9 12.3 11.3 13.5
.
13.7 12.1 11.3 15.6 12.6 17.4 16.2 15.5 15.9 13.3 12.9 13.7
13.2 12.6 13.0 11.2 12.9 17.4 14.2 11.4 13.5 14.0 13.6 13.2
11.9 11.4 12.6 9.1 11.5 15.5 14.1 8.0 10.6 13.4 10.4 12.2
11.5 10.5 12.0 9.8 11.0 14.4 15.2 8.7 9.0 12.3 10.9 11.6
21.1 39.3 37.1 22.6 19.4 18.3 29.3 16.1 24.1 27.0 22.0 20.3 37.4
20.7 41.5 34.7 19.6 19.3 18.0 26.7 14.9 24.2 22.9 18.7 21.3 33.8
20.6 39.2 31.1 17.6 18.1 16.7 22.6 13.3 24.2 20.3 17.8 21.5 29.1
19.4 34.7 25.1 15.9 18.0 17.9 16.6 11.2 22.4 16.6 17.5 20.4 25.9
17.8 31.4 21.3 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.5 9.9 19.8 18.5 16.7 19.5 22.5
15.8 28.3 19.6 15.6 15.7 13.0 17.9 9.2 18.3 18.4 16.7 17.5 21.6
13.2 26.8 18.2 14.7 13.7 10.7 17.0 8.8 14.9 17.4 14.5 13.3 20.1
11.7 25.4 17.1 13.1 10.7 9.9 15.6 8.2 12.3 16.0 12.8 11.0 18.1
10.7 22.8 12.8 10.7 10.0 9.7 14.2 13.5 11.3 13.7 10.1 9.9 16.4
10.0 19.4 12.0 10.5 9.7 9.2 12.3 13.3 11.2 12.2 9.2 9.3 13.4
10.1 17.2 9.4 9.1 9.4 9.4 10.0 13.2 10.9 12.5 8.9 10.2 12.0
Lwcembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland
17.5 15.0 16.5 19.5 16.0 14.7 22.1 17.3
17.5 16.8 17.0 18.4 16.5 15.8 21.4 17.5
18.2 18.5 17.1 18.1 17.8 16.0 20.8 18.9
16.6 17.0 15.3 17.0 15.9 14.4 19.0 17.7
13.5 13.6 13.6 16.3 11.4 11.7 15.4 14.2
11.9 11.6 12.3 14.0 10.3 11.2 12.7 11.6
12.2 12.1 12.1 14.3 10.8 11.6 12.2 11.5
12.2 11.5 11.9 13.7 11.1 12.0 12.7 11.8
11.4 11.8 12.0 12.8 10.0 13.1 12.9 12.3
10.9 10.3 11.2 12.6 9.5 13.1 12.4 11.2
10.5 9.5 10.8 12.8 8.7 12.0 12.4 9.6
LATIN AhERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
42.6
41.8
41 .0
37.9
35.3
33.0
30.6
27.8
25.3
23.2
21.5
39.0 44.3 38.6 32.8 31.6 52.6 39.8 39.0 45.7 34.8 39.5 41.6 36.2 37.4 49.5 38.2 37.1
37.8 39.1 36.0 31.8 26.4 52.7 45.9 38.7 44.6 39.2 39.3 35.5 33.5 46.1 48.9 38.0 37.5
39.3 33.4 37.8 29.1 35.4 49.8 41 .0 36.8 43.5 39.6 35.6 29.1 31.3 45.3 46.3 38.0 41.5
35.4 26.0 32.4 23.8 31.6 44.8 28.9 32.7 40.7 37.3 31 .1 22.6 28.8 43.2 42.3 28.9 45.6
31.4 22.5 29.3 20.8 26.5 39.7 29.1 28.9 38.2 32.5 25.8 20.4 24.4 37.9 38.2 27.0 41.4
27.5 22.3 27.5 17.7 17.4 35.3 29.8 19.6 40.0 20.8 17.4 21.5 23.8 33.8 32.8 29.3 35.8
26.6 22.3 27.2 17.5 16.5 32.1 32.5 20.2 42.8 26.9 16.6 20.2 20.5 31.1 29.2 28.3 30.9
25.7 20.6 23.6 16.7 17.6 29.7 31.6 19.2 39.1 25.6 18.0 19.3 18.8 25.9 26.8 24.6 24.5
23.6 18.8 23.7 14.9 15.2 28.2 23.4 17.9 35.5 24.8 17.0 19.7 17.5 23.8 23.6 18.1 23.4
21.6 17.7 21.3 13.0 13.1 26.7 21 .1 17.4 32.7 22.9 15.5 16.3 15.3 19.4 20.8 15.0 17.2
20.2 16.2 18.1 11.9 12.0 25.2 18.4 15.7 29.8 21.8 14.3 14.5 13.7 19.1 20.8 14.5 14.6
EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .....................................
HuWV
Mddova Pdand .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............ Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERNEUR Channel Islands Denmalk ........... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland . Ireland .................................................. Lalvia ...................................................
Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ........................ Bosnia and Henegowna ........................ Croatia .................................................
Montenegro .......................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... W R Macedonia (14) WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................
CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican RepuMic .............................. G G Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................
Netherlands Antilles ............................. Puelto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Wgin Islands ...................
600
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant p
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ........................... Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium .............................................. France .................................................. Germany ..................... ................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ............................................ Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic ............................ Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .................................... ........ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ........................... United Slates Virgin Islands ...................
....
Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
U n i t e d Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195G2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965~19701970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. M e i c o .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
...................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
.............................................. ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................
NORTHERN AkERICA (18) Canada United States of America
................................................. .......................
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand
........................................ .........................................
MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
........................................................ ......................................
MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga
.................................. .................................................. ...................................................
a b c d e l 2 3 4
5 6 7
8
More developed regions comprise Europe. Norlhem America. AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin Ameiica and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refew to all of Afrlca except Northem Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfiica. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayone. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997 Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. lulacao became a Special Adminlslratlve Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
.
.
. .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala .......................................... Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ........................................... Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile .................................................... Colombia ............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ........................... ................. Paraguay .............................. .. ........ Peru ..................................................... Suriname ............................................ Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 .........
. .
................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
OCEANIA AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New Zealand ..................................... .. -.
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ..................... Solomon Islands ............................ ....... Vanuatu ................................................
........
MICRONESIA (SO) Guam ............................... . ................ Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa ............................ ............. Tonga .................................................
. . . .
9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen lslands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos lslands 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 2 0 lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb 1123. Crude bMh rate by major area, region and country: estlmates and low varlant, 1950-2050
Eatbnaw 1 ~ 2 0 0 5 Crude birth rate (btrths per 1 ,OOOpopulation) ur(orrW,ngknd-nty
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-19751975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-Moo 2000-2005 WORLD
37.4
35.5
35.1
33.4
30.8
28.3
27.0
27.0
24.7
22.0
21.1
YORe DEVELOPED RE-8 (a) LE88 DCVUOPLD REGIONS @) Le& devebped cantb (c) 0 t h less ~ devekped countriee (d)
22.4 44.3 49.0 43.7
21.3 41.7 48.6 40.8
19.6 41.6 48.2 40.7
17.1 39.8 47.4 38.8
16.2 36.0 46.3 34.6
14.9 32.7 45.0 31 .O
14.5 31.7 44.7 29.9
13.9 30.7 43.2 28.9
12.4 28.0 41.5 25.9
11.2 25.4 38.3 23.2
11.1 23.5 37.0 21.2
44.6
44.3
43.2
41.1
39.3
37.5
36.2
34.0
31.0
28.8
28.9
48.8
48.5
48.1
47.6
47.4
47.0
46.6
45.3
43.7
41.8
40.0
48.9
48.3
48.0
47.0
46.5
45.9
45.1
43.2
40.8
38.8
37.7
50.5 48.4 46.5 50.0 48.4 51.6 51.4 50.5 52.3 47.3 49.3 39.4 51.8 53.4 51.3 49.0 46.8 48.3
49.9 46.6 48.4 50.7 49.2 50.1 51.6 49.8 53.2 44.7 49.1 41 .O 52.8 52.1 50.0 49.3 47.6 48.1
49.5 45.3 50.2 51.2 48.5 49.7 51.2 48.4 54.7 42.5 48.6 39.8 52.8 51 .O 49.3 49.1 48.6 48.2
49.0 44.5 50.4 50.2 47.6 49.1 50.6 47.5
48.3 44.7 48.7 45.2 45.1 48.0 49.7 46.1 57.2 26.7 46.9 25.3 53.5 51.7 48.7 47.4 47.5 47.8
47.3 47.2 48.7 44.0 42.4 48.0 48.4 45.1 52.6 22.0 45.9 23.6 56.4 46.4 49.0 48.0 45.1 45.0
48.1 48.2 42.5 43.2 41.1 47.8 45.0 44.8 50.8 19.8 43.8 23.0 54.3 46.4 49.4 44.9 44.2 39.6
44.0 48.5 39.3 40.2 40.2 46.9 38.0 43.8 49.1 20.4 43.5 21.4 43.9 45.7 49.0 42.4 43.9 35.5
42.4 43.8 38.5 34.8 38.0 44.1 38.0 42.3 47.0 17.0 43.5 20.1 40.2 47.7 48.2 41.5 43.8 31.8
41.1 44.2
32.2 48.0 35.2 52.7 50.8 49.0 48.7 49.2 47.5
48.5 44.0 49.3 47.8 46.1 48.4 50.0 46.6 56.7 26.1 47.2 30.7 52.6 51.3 48.6 48.0 48.5 47.0
46.9 54.0 43.4 43.4 46.4 42.3 47.3 40.9 30.5 41.5
47.2 54.4 43.0 43.1 46.0 42.5 48.0 40.4 30.1 48.3
47.5 54.3 43.9 42.7 45.5 43.3 48.3 40.1 31.3 50.5
47.4 53.2 44.6 42.5 45.6 44.0 48.1 40.6 32.4 49.7
47.5 51.8 45.2 42.6 47.2 43.9 48.2 40.8 36.1 43.9
47.9 52.4 45.2 43.6 48.2 43.4 48.5 41.1 38.7 42.9
47.9 52.9 44.8 42.4 48.1 41.8 48.6 41.6 37.1 42.0
47.4 53.1 42.9 42.2 47.7 39.6 48.5 42.0 37.4 39.0
47.0 52.5 40.8 41.0 47.5 38.5 48.7 41.8 34.3 37.0
40.1
48.2
48.0 37.9 40.0 47.0 37.2 49.2 41.4 30.2 36.0
48.0 37.8 37.8 47.4 37.2 48.0 38.8 27.7 34.9
48.8 51.0 48.6 48.0 50.4 46.6 46.4 49.0
47.3 50.8 44.8 48.5 50.4 47.0 46.7 50.7
47.4 50.4 45.4 49.0 50.1 46.9 46.5 51.5
45.0 48.9 41.5 49.5 48.2 46.9 41.8 49.4
43.6 48.0 40.4 49.0 45.6 46.4 37.1 44.5
41.6 45.4 39.8 47.3 39.4 45.2 36.7 43.4
39.4 41.2 37.9 45.6 37.3 43.5 34.0 42.3
35.2 34.8 32.1 41.6 30.4 37.4
30.3 28.8 28.1 24.5 27.3 40.0 24.1 32.3
28.9 21.0 28.8 23.8 23.4 37.9 18.0 28.3
25.1 20.7 25.5 24.0 20.9 34.4 17.1 25.1
43.4 48.3 42.1 42.7 43.3 49.9
42.7 47.9 42.3 42.2 42.5 48.7
41.9 46.4 42.3 41.8 41.6 48.5
38.9 45.0 42.6 41.8 38.2 49.4
38.5 45.2 42.8 43.4 37.7 49.0
36.8 44.9 42.3 42.9 35.8 48.2
34.9 42.5 40.8 42.0 33.9 46.8
31.3 37.4 38.1 42.7 30.1 43.8
28.7 32.4 35.0 39.2 27.7 38.7
28.2 28.1 34.0 32.7 25.3
24.7
49.5 46.0 48.9 50.9 53.0 49.0 45.6 50.4 43.8 48.8 51.8 49.3
49.2 47.9 48.1 51.4 52.5 51.2 45.8 50.3 42.9 49.0 51 .O 47.3
48.7 45.4 48.2 48.5 51.5 52.9 45.8 50.1 44.9 49.1 50.1 45.5
48.4 46.5 50.3 42.5 50.5 51.4 45.7 49.8 47.4 49.4 50.9 44.5
48.4 47.5 51.1 38.8 51.0 49.6 45.2 49.6 50.3 49.5 52.1 44.4
48.2 48.0 49.9 35.4 50.7 48.1 44.6 49.3 49.3 49.7 52.0 43.2
48.7 51.4 49.2 41.5 50.8 46.2 43.0 48.9 49.0 49.8 51.8 41.8
47.5 48.6 48.9 40.7 46.7 44.2 41.3 47.8 49.4 49.8 51.5 40.4
45.9 40.3 49.0 36.3 42.7 42.7 37.8 45.0 49.9 50.0 51.0 38.0
43.8 44.0 47.7 31.7 39.3 40.0 34.3 43.7 50.1 49.7 51.2 37.2
--
LOSE devebped mgiom. e=bding
CMM
(0)
NWCA
EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burwe .................................................
cornon# (2)..........................................
.................................................. Mahrwl .................................................. Mauritius (3) .........................................
........ ................................................
Rwande ................................................
zambis .................................................
.............................................
YDOCEAFRlCA Angd.
..................................................
camemal ............................................. CmlralAMCan chod ..............
........ (3pbon
..................................................
SLoTanBsndMndpe ......................... mwm(ERN AFRCA
Morocco ............................................... !hdml ...................................................
.... .... ....
w e a m Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA
BaIwMa ................... b s d m ...................... Namlbla ...................... South Africa ...........................
......
.....
.....
..............
:
.............................................
-s
-ERN AFRICA (4) Benh .................................................... BurwM Fee0 ........................................ cape V& ............. m e dhroire ...................................... Gambi. ................................................. Ghanr Guinecl G u l n m a u ...................................... ukw)a ..................................................
.................................................. ..................................................
Mall ...................................................... Mauilsnh
604
55.8
35.0 29.8
33.3
36.6 31.4 40.5 40.7 38.1 38.3 43.8 15.9 43.5 18.9 41.7 45.8 47.3 42.1 41.8 28.8
28.0 31.3 27.4 24.1 30.4 42.0 42.2 45.9 30.9 37.5 38.1 32.2 42.0 48.8 48.8 48.0
35.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/populatkmDMeion World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conpehensive Tab&
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant --
p
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (0)
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................ Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon ............................... ............... SLo Tom6 and Principe .........................
..
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cdte d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division Worm Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Tabk A23 Crude blrth rate by major a m . regkn and country (contkwed)
Estbnaw 195O-Mo5
.
Crude birth rale (births per 1 OOO populetion)
ur(orM.,naknmd-*
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1890-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
N M .................................................... N m .................................................. Senegal ................................................ SienaLeOns ......................................... To@ .....................................................
EASTERN ASIA Chha (5) .............................................. Chha k b g K c q SAR (0) .................... Chiru M.aK, SAR (7) .......................... Dem Paopkta RepuMk of Korea
.. .
..................
..................
........... ................. ..................
Replbli of Koree .................................
s o u l H . C ~ R AAsu l (8) A-tan ...........................................
Emglaawh ........................................... Bhutan ..................................................
.......................................... RspuMlc of) ....................... Kazakh!3ml ........................................... Kyrgyzmen ............................................ ....................................... Nepal .................................................... PakieIen ............................................... Sri Lank .............................................. TdlkiStM ...... .................... Turlunenbtan ........................................ umeklstan ............................................ Cambodlr .............................................
Indoneel8 ..............................................
.........
Leo people’e Democratic Rqwblii Meiayaia ............................................... MyaMnar ........................... phwppines .........................
shoapore .......................... ThayInd
................................................
Tlmor-Lest0 .......................................... VietFhm ...............................................
WESTERN ASlA Annenia ................................................
............................................. ...........
Az-
Bahrein CYP ........... GeorQta .......... Iraq .......................................................
Isnd ....................................................
JofdM .................................................. Kuwait ..................................................
LebaKn ............................................... occupied paleairrhn Territory
OmM ...................................................
Oeter .................................................... Saudi ARbia .........................................
Syrian Arab R W k ............................ Turkey .................................................. united ~ r a Emiratee b ............................ Yemen ..................................................
606
60.8 49.3 48.5 48.0 50.0
59.9 48.0 49.0 48.5 50.0
59.2 48.1 49.5 48.8 49.3
58.4 47.0 48.5 48.9 48.5
57.0 47.5 47.6 46.0 48.4
57.0 47.0 46.0 45.9 48.5
58.9 48.7 46.1
42.0
39.3
39.2
37.7
33.5
40.8 43.8 37.7 37.7 23.8 23.7 43.7 37.0
34.1 36.1 38.3 30.3 36.2 17.0 43.4 45.7
35.5 38.0 33.1 31.0 32.0 17.2 43.3 39.1
34.0 36.9 23.5 20.4 38.9 17.0 42.3 33.0
43.9 52.1 48.4 46.7 43.3 47.0 33.2 35.0 45.2 43.9 44.5 39.9 44.7 43.2 42.4
43.2 52.2 48.0 47.9 42.3 45.8 34.3 38.2 42.8 43.7 44.8 38.7 46.1 43.3 45.8
41.9 52.2 48.0 47.7 40.7 45.4 32.9 37.9 40.9 43.0 44.2 34.3 48.5 44.0 44.9
44.2 48.9 45.4 42.7 49.2 45.2 47.4 48.2 44.4 44.0 47.4 42.7
45.0 47.5 45.2 45.0 46.7 45.4 44.2 45.0 41.0 44.2 47.0 45.5
47.1 33.7 40.0 45.1 27.4 24.4 52.8 32.5 46.7 45.2 41.0 48.7 51.4 46.3 49.0 48.4 50.8 47.8 54.8
45.5 35.5 40.4 45.5 27.3 24.0 49.4 27.9 46.7 44.3 39.7 46.7 50.9 43.7 48.8 48.4 48.2 47.5 54.0
47.1
56.2 47.9 44.4 47.9 45.2
55.4 46.0 41.5 47.5 43.1
53.8 44.5 39.0 47.1 41.3
51.2 42.7 37.0 46.9 39.6
29.5
28.5
27.9
25.0
22.2
20.1
27.7 28.0 19.5 20.1 30.2 19.9 41.5 29.0
21.0 21.5 17.2 17.1 18.0 15.4 39.2 23.0
20.2 20.9 15.7 24.0 21.0 12.9 37.0 21.1
21.0 22.3 12.0 22.0 20.0 10.5 35.3 10.9
17.4 18.2 12.4 10.9 21.1 9.7 29.1 15.9
15.4 10.0 10.0 10.9 19.0 9.0 21.2 13.5
13.1 13.0 8.1 7.4 15.1 9.0 19.7 10.4
40.0 52.0 46.4 47.2 38.8 44.0 26.1 31.5 39.0 42.8 43.4 32.1 40.5 38.0 38.9
38.5 51.5 43.0 46.4 37.3 42.5 25.9 31.1 40.5 42.0 42.9 30.2 39.7 37.1 35.0
37.3 50.8 40.8 45.1 43.7 24.9 29.9 42.0 41 .0 43.3 28.3 37.2 35.3 34.8
36.2 51.1 39.9 42.3 34.3 45.5 24.9 32.7 41.7 40.1 44.1 25.3 38.0 35.2 35.8
34.4 51.0 30.7 40.5 32.5 38.9 24.0 33.2 41.8 38.9 45.0 21.5 40.2 35.7 36.0
31.9 52.1 33.6 35.7 30.7 30.0 20.0 28.9 36.0 38.1 38.7 20.4 37.2 32.5 32.0
28.2 52.0 29.4 29.3 27.7 19.5 10.2 24.2 26.6 34.5 33.3 18.2 32.7 24.5 25.2
25.0 49.7 27.8 22.4 25.1 19.0 10.7 21.0 22.2 30.2 27.5 16.3 29.4 22.9 23.7
43.9 43.0 44.9 44.0 44.9 43.2 41.7 43.5 34.0 43.2 40.0 45.9
41.3 37.1 43.9 42.1 43.9 38.5 39.9 41.5 24.9 39.1 44.7 42.5
38.2 35.1 39.9 39.1 44.3 34.7 39.1 39.3 21.2 33.7 44.3 38.9
34.4 30.9 33.4 35.4 43.5 29.4 34.1 37.8 17.2 28.0 25.0 36.1
32.0 30.4 52.2 31.8 43.0 32.0 31.4 35.5 10.7 23.8 44.1 33.9
29.0 27.2 45.7 27.4 44.2 32.5 29.1 33.8 17.0 20.5 43.3 32.5
26.0 28.2 41 0 24.3 41.4 27.8 25.3 31.7 17.9 18.4 43.0 28.2
22.8 25.1 32.0 22.0 34.5 24.5 22.1 29.1 14.0 17.0 45.1 21.4
21.3 23.6 27.5 20.7 28.4 22.7 19.5 20.1 10.1 15.4 41.7 20.2
43.3 33.7 40.5 47.0 25.2 23.3 46.9 25.5 52.5 44.5 37.9 52.5 50.4 40.8 48.9 48.2 43.9 43.0 54.0
40.7 24.7 32.8 43.4 21.0 19.0 45.8 25.5 52.5 49.7 34.0 52.5 50.0 37.0 48.1 47.4 40.2 38.0 55.4
39.1 22.2 26.1
37.1 22.0 25.1 34.4 19.0 10.0 42.7
35.7 23.6
32.8 22.7 26.5 31.2 19.5 17.5 39.0 22.7 38.0 28.1 26.0 45.1 41.5 25.6 37.9 40.5 26.9 29.7 53.4
30.2 19.1 26.1 25.0 17.5 14.8 39.0 21.5 34.4 20.7 24.9 45.0 34.1 21.2 33.5 33.3 24.8 23.2 48.0
27.7 13.5 18.9 21.3 14.0 11.8 38.3 21.5 32.4 20.6 22.6 42.0 29.4 19.9 29.5 30.0 22.5 18.8 42.9
25.1 11.2 14.3 19.3 12.1 11.1 35.0 21.1 27.9 18.0 19.3 39.1 23.5 17.8 26.5 28.2 19.5 10.7 39.3
36.0 18.0 18.5 45.4 27.4 50.0 44.4 31.0 48.0 49.5 31.3 47.0 40.9 37.9 33.0 58.3
36.0
26.0 45.0 40.1 30.1 47.8 48.1 29.9 45.9 48.9 34.1 30.5 56.2
40.0
26.0 32.8 21.0 18.0 39.0 23.0 42.3 34.6 29.2 44.0 46.0 28.7 40.7 46.1 32.2 29.5 55.8
.
United Nations Department of Economicand Social Affeirslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5)............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................ ..... .......... Republic of Korea ..................................
....................
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives .............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Da~Ssalam................................ Cambodia ................................. ..... Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ...............................................
.......
WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ............................ ................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
..
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Henegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ .. ................... France ......................... Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ............................. ..................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ....................... ................ Saint Lucia .................... ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
..
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 5.9
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic .................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll).......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Lalvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy .................... ............................. Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)...........................
. .
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
7.7
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba .................................................. Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1123 Crude birth rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude birth rate (births
per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua Panama ................................................
.............................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay Pew Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic 09 .........
..................................................... .............................................. ................................................
.............................................. .....................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand .........................................
........................................
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8
More developed reglons comprise Europe. Northem America. AustraliaiNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed counlries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries ccmprise of the less developed regions exduding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Afdca. with the Sudan included in subSaharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Mayone. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. IncludingSaint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SW) of China. As of lJuly 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Reglon (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. Rle regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospectsr The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.23. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:Low variant Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco Nicaragua Panama
...................................................
.................................................. ............................................. ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazll .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
.....................................................
..............................................
................................................ ...................................... .................................................
.............................................
................................................... .............................................. ................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
OCEANIA AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand
........................................ .........................................
MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
...............................
MCRONESIA (20) Guarn Micronesia (Fed. States of)
................................................. ...................
POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ..................................
Samoa .................................................. Tonga
..................................................
9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Batbuda. British Vtrgin Islands. Cayrnan Islands. DMninica. Montserrat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Yands. 17 Including Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierreand Mquelon. 19 IncludingChlistrnas Island. Cocos (Keeling) klands, and Norfolk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati, Manhall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa.Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24.
Total fertility by major area.
region and country:
estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPEDREGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
Less developed regions. excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (9) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camemn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Sao Tome and Principe .........................
........
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia ............................. . .................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cdte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ............................................... Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, reglon and countmy
2005-2010 20102015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS @) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Carnemon ............................................. Central Ahican Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. Siio Torn6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan .................................................. Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C8te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .
Total fertility (children per woman) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) Dem People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ..................................
.
..........................
SOU1H-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
....................... ...........................................
.............................................. ........................................ ............................................
SOUTH-EASTERNASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ .................................................. s Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Siena Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTH-CENTRALASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ................................. ........ Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ .-
SOUTKEASTERN ASlA Bmnei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia .................... .. ..................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Lesle .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ................................................. C y p ~ ................................................. s Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE B ~ ~ ................................................. N S Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ............................................... United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia ................................................. Greece ............................................... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................... Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Amba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ................................ .. ........ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ............................ .......... Haiti ........................... . ........................ Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................... ......... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ......................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ..................
..
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungaty ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll).......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).............................. L......... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................... .. ........................ Italy ...................................................... Malta .......................... .................. Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium ............................ . ................. France ................................................ Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................. a . ................ Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe ....................... .... ............ Haiti ................................ .................... Jamaica ........................ .. .................. Martinique ............................. .. .......... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ........................................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Tabk A24. total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
Total fertility (children per women) Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO -2005
CENTRAL AWRICA
6.74 6.65 6.72 6.46 7.00 7.50 6.70 7.20 5.68
6.82 6.55 7.11 6.81 6.60 7.50 6.80 7.50 5.89
6.77 6.45 7.22 6.85 6.50 7.42 6.75 7.10 5.92
6.69 6.35 5.80 6.62 6.30 7.42 6.75 6.95 5.62
6.40 6.25 4.35 6.10 6.20 7.05 6.50 6.79 4.94
5.37 6.20 3.78 5.60 6.20 6.60 5.25 6.35 4.05
4.49 5.40 3.53 4.50 6.10 6.00 4.25 5.85 3.52
3.89 4.70 3.37 3.90 5.70 5.37 3.63 5.00 3.20
3.47 4.35 2.95 3.52 5.45 4.92 3.19 4.50 2.87
2.96 3.85 2.58 3.17 5.00 4.30 2.67 3.60 2.79
2.67 3.35 2.28 2.88 4.60 3.72 2.40 3.00 2.70
5.69 3.15 6.75 Bolivia ............ Brazil .......................... ............._. ...__.____.6.15 Chile ..................................................... 4.95 Colombia .. . 6.76 . ..... 6.70 Ecuador ..__ ......... 5.00 French G U ~ M...................................... 6.68 Guyana .................................................. 6.50 Peru ......._. ...._...... ..................._..........._. 6.85 surinanm .............................................. 6.56 Uruguay .....__. ........................................ 2.73 6.46 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic or).........
5.74 3.13 6.75 6.15 5.49 6.76 6.70 4.92 6.77 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.83 6.46
5.77 3.09 6.63 6.15 5.44 6.76 6.70 5.02 6.15 6.45 6.85 6.56 2.90 6.66
5.23 3.05 6.56 5.38 4.44 6.16 6.50 5.00 6.11 6.15 6.56 5.95 2.80 5.90
4.65 3.15 6.50 4.72 3.63 5.00 6.00 4.18 4.90 5.35 6.00 5.29 3.00 4.94
4.27 3.44 5.80 4.31 2.80 4.34 5.40 3.30 3.94 5.20 5.38 4.20 2.89 4.47
3.79 3.15 5.30 3.80 2.67 3.69 4.70 3.58 3.26 5.20 4.65 3.70 2.57 3.96
3.27 3.05 5.00 3.10 2.65 3.17 4.00 3.73 2.70 4.77 4.10 3.00 2.53 3.85
2.88 2.90 4.80 2.60 2.55 2.93 3.40 4.05 2.55 4.31 3.70 2.60 2.49 3.25
2.65 2.63 4.32 2.45 2.21 2.70 3.10 3.93 2.50 3.68 3.10 2.80 2.30 2.94
2.46 2.35 3.96 2.35 2.00 2.47 2.02 3.88 2.43 3.4 2.70 2.80 2.20 2.72
Belize ....................................................
........................ ...................... . .................................,..,.......
... ...
Panama .................................................
...
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
...
NORTHERN M R I C A (18)
3.46 3.65 3.45
3.72 3.88 3.71
3.35 3.68 3.31
2.55 2.61 2.55
2.01 1.93 2.02
1.78 1.73 1.79
1.81 1.63 1.83
1.a9 1.%2 1.92
1.99 1.69 2.03
1.95 1.56 1.99
1.99 1.52 2.04
OCEANIA
3.87
4.09
3.98
3.57
3.23
2.73
2.59
2.51
2.4
2.42
2.37
AUSTRALIMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ....................... New Zealand ..
3.27 3.18 3.69
3.53 3.41 4.07
3.41 3.27 4.02
2.96 2.87 3.35
2.59 2.54 2.64
2.02 1.99 2.18
1.92 1.91 1.96
1.89 1.86 2.05
1.89 1.88 2.06
1.E1 1.78 1.95
1.79 1.76 1.96
MELANESIA
6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60
6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35
6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00
6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46
5.81 4.20 5.15 6.09 7.24 6.1 1
5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75
5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40
4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04
4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83
4.41 3.19 2.60 4.64 4.91 4.59
4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15
MCRONESIA (20)
6.30 5.53 7.20
6.49 5.83 7.00
6.51 6.03 6.90
6.07 4.72 6.90
5.37 4.12 6.90
4.89 3.52 6.40
4.46 3.08 6.00
4.06 3.14 5.20
3.02 3.10 4.79
3.45 3.00 4.53
3.01 2.74 4.23
POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia
6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30
6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30
6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30
6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50
5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50
4.75 4.23 4.89 5.50
4.53 3.82 4.85 5.50
4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74
3.91 3.05 4.70 4.52
3.56 2.60 4.86 3.96
3.28 2.39 4.42 3.73
Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . t
.
Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
Sama
..................................................
Tonga ...................................................
a More dmdoped regms mmpr$e Europe. Northem Ammica, AuatralkNew Zealand and Japan b Less dewloped regions unnpnse 811 m ~ m n d b Africa, h u a l (exdUdlnQJapan), Latm America and Me Canmean plus Melanesia. MimWd and Pdynesla c Least developed muntdm are 50 muntrles. 34 in Afrlca. 10 in Ash.5 In Ocean$ plus me country in Lath h s d c n and the Cartbbssn d Other less developed countnm canpr$e d the lass developed regms excludlnp me least M o p a d a n t d o s a Sub-SaharanA f h refen, to all d AMca ercept Northem Afrkn, (tre Sudan hduded in sub-SahsrsnAmca 1 IndudhgSeychsilg, 2 IndudngMBydIa 3 lndudhg Agalega. Rodiigum. and San1 Brandon 4 lndudmg s e h l Helena,Ascanabn. and Tmen da Cunha 5 For statistical purposes. Me data faChna do not mdude Har~ K ~ and Q Mscao. special Mrnnntrathre Fwgions (SAR) d China 6 As d 1 July 1997. k n g Kmg became a speaal Mrnlnstrathre i?qbn (SAR)cd China 7 As of 20 December 1999. Macao beceme a Special AdminlslralwaRegion (SAR) of Chine 8 The regbns Sournem Asla and Central Asia am m i n e d klto SoumGenlral k i n
618
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conprehensive Tables
Table k24. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Total fertility (children per woman)
MJor area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
CENTRAL AMERICA
................................................. ............................................ ........................................... ............................................ ..............................................
Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
Argentina ............................................. Bolivia ............. Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay .............................................. Peru .................................................... Suriname .............................................. Umguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
................................... .
.....................................................
.............................................. ................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18)
................................................. .......................
Canada United States of America
AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand .........................................
MELANESIA
Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon lslands Vanuatu
............................... ................................... ................................................
MICRONESIA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ...................
POLYNESIA (21)
French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ......................... ....
..................
9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding hand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. 14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding hechtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Angullla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Montsenat, Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands.
17 lncluding Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 20 Including Kiribali, Marshall lslands, N~uN,Norlhern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 Including American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvatu. Wallis and Fuluna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A25 Total fertility by major aree. region and country: estimates and hlgh varlant, 1950-2050
Eathnates 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)
U*-.
n g h .ndcounty 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 198519W 1990-1995 1995-2OW 2ooo-2005
WORLD
5.02
4.96
4.98
4.90
4.47
3.92
3.58
3.38
3.05
2.80
2.85
MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQKmS (b) Least devekped countries (c) Othecksa developed countries (d)
2.84 6.15 6.67 6.09
2.82 6.01 6.70 5.92
2.69 6.04 6.76 5.94
2.37 6.00 6.73 5.90
2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25
1.91 4.65 6.39 4.42
1 .85 4.15 6.28 3.87
1.83 3.84 6.00 3.55
1.68 3.42 5.68 3.1 1
1.55 3.11 5.29 2.80
1.58 2.90 4.85 2.59
6.13
6.20
6.18
5.97
5.66
5.24
4.86
4.45
4.05
3.63
3.34
6.73
6.76
6.79
6.79
6.79
6.75
6.66
6.44
6.12
5.n
5.48
6.75
6.82
6.87
6.80
6.72
6.61
6.45
6.13
5.68
5.28
4.98
6.97 6.80 6.33 7.80 6.97 7.10 7.51 6.80 6.78 6.27 6.80 5.65 7.80 7.25 6.90 6.74 6.75 6.80
6.97 6.80 6.60 7.80 6.97 6.90 7.82 6.80 6.84 5.97 6.80 5.85 8.00 7.25 6.95 6.80 6.90 7.00
7.03 6.80 6.91 7.80 6.82 6.86 8.12 6.80 7.00 5.72 6.80 5.65 8.10 7.25 7.05 6.80 7.15 7.30
7.03 6.80 7.05 7.60 6.70 6.82 8.12 6.80 7.20 4.24 6.60 4.82 8.20 7.25 7.12 6.79 7.40 7.40
7.01 6.80 7.05 7.20 6.52 6.80 8.00 6.70 7.40 3.25 6.58 3.93 8.29 7.25 7.10 6.75 7.43 7.40
6.97 6.80 7.05 6.80 6.50 6.80 7.60 6.60 7.60 3.06 6.53 3.28 8.49 7.25 7.10 6.73 7.38 7.30
6.85 6.80 7.05 6.60 6.50 6.84 7.20 6.40 7.49 2.45 6.44 2.90 8.50 7.20 7.10 6.55 6.95 6.74
6.62 6.80 6.50 6.40 6.31 6.82 8.50 6.30 7.16 2.17 6.33 2.54 8.25 7.00 7.10 6.36 6.66 5.66
6.24 6.80 5.80 5.85 6.18 6.77 5.40 6.12 6.76 2.29 6.12 2.43 6.90 6.60 7.06 5.90 6.28 4.77
5.90 6.80 5.40 5.11 5.93 6.34 5.00 5.80 6.44 2.05 5.85 2.34 6.10 6.75 6.95 5.66 6.00 4.05
5.80 6.80 4.88 4.52 5.53 5.78 5.00 5.28 6.03 1.91 5.52 2.46 8.01 6.43 6.75 5.66 5.65 3.58
SBO TOme and Rhcipe .........................
6.04 7.00 5.68 5.52 6.10 5.68 6.00 5.50 4.00 6.20
6.13 7.20 5.68 5.60 6.20 5.79 6.10 5.50 4.00 6.20
6.27 7.40 5.90 5.66 6.30 5.99 6.20 5.53 4.25 6.30
6.37 7.40 6.10 5.69 6.40 6.19 6.30 5.66 4.50 6.40
6.48 7.20 6.30 5.72 6.60 6.29 6.45 5.68 5.00 6.52
6.60 7.20 6.40 5.89 6.74 6.29 6.60 5.68 5.00 6.50
6.63 7.20 6.40 5.69 6.75 5.99 6.70 5.79 5.00 6.24
8.56 7.20 6.10 5.69 6.70 5.55 6.70 5.89 5.00 5.66
6.46 7.10 5.70 5.80 6.65 5.21 6.70 5.89 4.50 5.16
6.29 6.90 5.10 5.30 6.62 4.87 6.70 5.87 3.83 4.80
6.21 6.75 4.92 4.86 6.54 4.78 8.70 5.64 3.39 4.34
m n m AFRICA &@a ..... Egypl ....... ..................... LibyanArab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ........... Tunisia ................................................. Westem Sahara ....................................
6.82 7.28 6.56 6.87 7.18 6.65 6.93 6.60
7.00 7.28 6.97 6.97 7.18 6.65 7.04 6.60
7.06 7.38 7.07 7.18 7.15 6.60 7.25 6.60
6.83 7.38 6.56 7.48 7.09 6.60 6.89 6.60
6.46 7.38 5.86 7.59 6.89 6.60 6.21 6.60
6.12 7.18 5.61 7.38 5.90 6.52 5.69 6.10
5.74 6.49 5.33 7.18 5.40 6.34 4.92 5.60
5.04 5.29 4.83 5.65 4.45 6.08 4.14 4.90
4.20 4.13 3.91 4.10 3.66 5.81 3.13 4.16
3.58 2.89 3.50 3.41 2.97 5.41 2.32 3.53
3.16 2.53 3.17
W H E R N AFRICA BotswaM LlYBmm ...................................
6.46 6.50 5.84 6.00 6.50 6.70
6.46 6.58 5.86 6.10 6.50 6.70
6.29 6.65 5.81 6.20 6.30 6.75
5.77 6.70 5.80 6.30 5.70 6.85
5.57 6.55 5.80 6.60 5.47 6.87
5.14 6.37 5.69 6.60 5.00 6.73
4.72 5.97 5.46 6.45 4.56 6.54
4.05 5.11 5.14 6.17 3.85 6.13
3.52 4.32 4.70 5.90 3.34 5.30
3.10 3.70 4.37 4.40 2.95 4.49
2.90 3.18 3.79 3.58 2.00 3.91
6.86 6.80 6.50 6.60 7.00 6.23 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.45 7.11 6.58
6.89 6.88 6.50 6.90 7.1 1 6.44 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.65 7.11 6.58
6.93 6.96 6.72 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 5.99 6.80 7.11 6.58
6.99 7.02 7.33 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 6.50 6.90 7.35 6.58
7.03 7.06 7.75 7.00 7.41 6.65 6.70 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.58
7.03 7.10 7.75 6.75 7.41 6.61 6.65 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.40
7.01 7.14 7.68 6.45 7.41 6.47 6.50 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.19
6.85 6.90 7.44 5.90 6.90 6.18 6.09 6.84 7.10 6.90 7.47 5.97
6.57 6.63 7.16 5.00 6.28 5.88 5.46 6.50 7.10 6.90 7.38 5.67
6.17 6.25 6.77 4.10 5.62 5.53 4.82 6.16 7.10 6.80 7.22 5.26
5.77 5.87 8.38 3.n
.
Less devekped wbns exduding
CMna
Sub-Slhmn A f r l u (0) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1)
&rNd .................................................
Comorcs (2) .............. Djibani ................................................. E m .................................................. EtMopie ................................................ Kenya ................................................... M d a g m x r ..........................................
Mab+ ..................................................
Mauritius (3) Mozambique......................................... R(kmion ................................................
Awande ................................................ Sanalh ...................
UQanda ................................................. Unlted Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia .................................................
YDDLE AFRCA AnQda ..................................................
cameroon .............................................
Centred Atrlcan Replbllc ........................ Chad ....................................................
..................................................
........ oabon .................................................. Democrnlii Republic ot the Cocgo Equalotlal Guinea .................................
............
NamiMa ................................................ SoUlhAfrica ......................................... swadhnd .......
WESTERN AFRCA (4) Benh .................................................... &irkha Faeo ........................... cape verde .......................... C61e dlvoire ......................................... Gamin ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea-BiSmU ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... M a u m ............................................
620
3.03 2.52 4.82 2.04 3.01
5.08
5.16 4.39 5.84 7.10 8.80 6.70 4.83
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revis n. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertilfty by major area, region and country (continued) 20052050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) B u ~ n d................................................. i Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion .............................................. Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .................. ...................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Camerwn ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S o Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jarnahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... C6te d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic a n d Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A25 .Total fertility by major area. mgkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per woman)
MIJoram, wkn -d-m
1950-1955 1955-1900 19801965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1980 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005
Niger .................................................... Nberia .................................................. SermQd ................................................ sierra Leone ......................................... T q p ..................................................... ASlA
EASTERN M A C h b (5) .....................
.......................... ....................... Aepublk of Korecr ......................
China. Mac80 SAR (7) puMlc of Korea ...........
SOUTHCENTRAL A m (8)
Afghaniistan ...........................................
Baqwesh ........................................... Bhutan ..................................................
............................... Kazakhstan ........................................... KyrOyratan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal ............................ witan ............................................... Sri Lanka ..............................................
.......................... ....................
Tajiklslan Turkmenlstan Uzbeklstan ........................
SOUTH-EASTLRNASIA B W Datuwalam Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 Peopb'o Dsmocratk R q n W c .........
................................
Myanmar .............................................. Philipplnea, ............................................
viet Nam
...............................................
WESTERN ASU
.........................
Behrain .................................................
Israel .................................................... Jorden .................................................. Kuwalt
.................................................. ............................................... ............... ........................................... ........................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Replbllc ............................ Turkoy .................................................. Yemen .................................................. LebarKm
622
0.12 6.90 0.70 0.09 0.80
0.12 0.90 0.90 0.19 0.88
0.12 6.90 7.00 6.29 0.90
0.12 6.90 7.00 6.40 7.02
0.12 6.90 7.00 0.50 7.08
0.12 0.90 7.00 0.50 7.10
0.10 6.90 7.00 0.50 0.90
7.90 6.83 6.80 6.50 6.59
7.02 0.04 0.27 0.50 6.20
7.89 6.25 5.69 6.50 5.80
7.45 5.85 5.22 0.50 5.37
5.07
5.03
5.05
5.67
5.04
4.19
3.07
3.40
2.97
2.67
2.47
5.07 6.22 4.44 5.03 2.70 2.75 6.00 5.40
5.09 5.59 4.72 4.90 3.60 2.08 0.00 0.33
5.15 5.72 5.31 5.10 3.41 2.02 6.00
5.03
5.42 0.06 4.02 3.00 4.09 2.00 733 4.71
4.46 4.60 2.89 3.20 3.72 2.07 7.33 4.20
3.12 3.32 2.32 2.00 2.58 1.01 0.05 2.92
2.47 2.55 1.60 2.50 2.93 1.76 5.74 2.23
2.36 2.40 1.31 2.05 2.45 1.68 4.83 1.80
1.88 1.92 1.29 1.55 2.35 1.49 3.37 1.70
1.74 1.70 1.08 1.12 2.09 1.39 2.38 1.51
1.68 1.70 94 .84 1.92 1.29 2.07 1.24
6.08 7.70 6.70 6.67 5.91 7.00 4.41 4.51 7.00 0.08 0.80 5.70 0.00 0.00 5.97
0.08 7.70 6.76 6.07 5.90 7.00 4.50 4.03 7.00
5.01 7.70 6.60 0.07 5.01 0.80 3.67 5.01 7.00 5.92 6.60 4.05 6.72 6.34 0.60
5.50 7.70 6.15 0.07 5.26 0.40 3.46 4.73 7.00 5.79
0.83 6.19 6.30
5.16 7.70 5.80 6.07 4.89 6.50 3.06 4.05 7.00 5.05 0.80 3.68 5.90 5.32 5.58
4.03 7.80 5.25 0.42 4.50 6.03 2.90 4.10 6.80 5.51 0.60 3.10 5.54 4.79 4.73
4.49 7.90 4.63 6.20 4.15 5.02 3.03 4.02 0.80 5.27 6.60 2.05 5.41 4.55 4.40
4.10 0.00 4.12 5.39 3.60 4.33 2.55 3.01 5.55 5.00 5.80 2.48 4.88 4.03 3.88
3.57 0.00 3.50 4.19 3.40 2.53 2.00 2.99 3.85 4.37 4.90 2.22 4.29 3.03 3.01
3.19 7.48 3.22 2.91 3.11 2.12 2.01 2.50 2.01
6.20 0.02 6.50
6.02 7.70 0.85 0.67 5.02 7.00 4.43 5.39 7.00 0.08 0.80 5.12 6.30 0.75 6.80
5.98 7.00 0.29 5.49 6.42 6.83 6.00 7.29 6.40 0.40
6.15 7.00 6.29 5.67 6.42 0.94 0.00 7.13 5.99 0.40 6.35 6.55
6.19 0.72 6.29 5.62 0.42 0.72 0.10 0.85 4.93 6.39 0.37 7.25
6.03 5.94 0.22 5.57 0.42 5.94 0.10 0.50 3.40 5.90 6.10 7.25
5.58 5.40 5.54 5.30 6.42 5.15 5.90 6.00 2.02 4.90 6.15 6.70
4.64 4.40 4.70 4.73 6.42 4.16 4.90 5.50 1.07 3.70 4.31 5.89
4.10 3.80 6.80 4.11 0.41 4.24 4.30 4.95 1.69 2.85 5.39 4.50
3.61 3.37 0.00 3.40 6.40 4.00 3.00 4.55 1.71 2.27 5.21 4.02
3.12 3.09 5.55 2.90 5.88 3.47 3.10 4.14 1.76 2.00 5.69 3.30
2.71 2.70 4.45 2.55 4.70 3.10 2.05 3.72 1.57 1.90 7.01 2.50
2.51 2.50 3.04 2.38 3.59 2.07 2.25 3.54 1.35 1.83 0.90 2.32
6.36 4.49 5.41 6.97 3.50 2.91 7.30 3.69 7.38 7.21 5.72 7.38 7.20 0.97 7.10 7.45 0.80 0.97 0.30
6.27 4.45 5.04 7.10 3.44 2.98 7.25 3.85 0.00 7.31 5.09 0.00 7.20 6.97 7.26 7.60 6.19 6.07 0.40
5.98 3.45 4.94 0.97 2.80 2.01 7.20 3.79 0.00 7.41 5.34 0.00 7.20 6.97 7.26 7.80 5.70 6.77 0.55
5.75 3.04 4.29 5.95 2.49 2.80 7.15 3.77 7.79 0.90 4.70 7.73 7.20 0.77 7.30 7.52 5.30 0.38 0.70
5.38 2.50 3.02 5.23 2.29 2.39 6.60 3.41 7.30 5.89 4.31 7.39 7.20 6.11 7.28 7.47 4.72 5.68 8.70
5.03 2.38 3.04 4.03 2.45 2.27 0.35 3.13 6.77 4.07 3.90 7.00 7.20 5.45 7.02 7.10 4.15 5.23 0.70
4.52 2.58 2.95 4.08 2.43 2.20 6.15 3.05 5.07 3.94 3.31 0.43 0.80 4.70 0.22 6.24 3.20 4.83 0.40
4.09 2.38 2.90 3.38 2.36 1.95 5.70 2.93 5.14 3.20 3.00 0.40 6.30 4.10 5.45 4.60 2.90 3.88 7.70
3.04 1.75 2.20 2.76 1.92 1.58 5.37 2.94 4.32 2.61 2.70 6.03 5.10 3.38 4.62 4.02 2.57 3.07 0.73
3.22 1.35 1.67 2.51 1.03 1.46 4.88 2.91 3.53 2.30 2.32 5.83 3.70 2.93 3.01 3.48 2.23 2.52 6.02
0.44
5.75 6.48 4.49 5.49 6.97 3.71 3.00 7.30 4.16 7.38 7.21 5.74 7.38 7.20 8.97 7.10 7.30 0.80
0.97 0.20
0.06 6.80 5.70
6.80 4.12
.
3.88 3.99 2.02 3.01 2.70 2.74
United Nations oeparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division W W Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Vohrme I: Comprehensive Tab&
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... T q o ................... ..............................
..
ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh .............................. ........ Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ........................................... Maldives .............................................. Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
..
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Da~ssalam............................ .. Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia.............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ............................................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ............................... .... ............ Cypnrs .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ....................................................... Israel ...................... ........................ Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................... ...... ...... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia .................................... Syrian Arab Republic ................... ..... Turkey .......................... .................... United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
..
.
Tabk A25 Total fertility by major area. reglon and country (contlnued)
~
Total fertility (children per m a n )
Major uw,regkn and country 19952ooo 200&2005
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1-1995 EUROPE
2.66
2.66
2.58
2.36
2.16
1.97
1.89
1.83
1.57
1.40
1.41
2.91 2.61 2.48 2.89 2.73 3.50 3.62 2.87 2.85 3.52 2.81
2.79 2.73 2.27 2.35 2.21 3.44 3.29 2.62 2.62 3.27 2.70
2.43 2.69 2.18 2.22 1.82 3.15 2.65 2.04 2.55 2.89 2.20
2.15 2.38 2.15 1.93 1.98 2.66 2.27 2.96 2.02 2.50 2.04
2.15 2.25 2.17 2.19 2.09 2.56 2.25 2.62 2.03 2.51 2.16
2.07 2.09 2.17 2.31 2.12 2.44 2.26 2.53 1.94 2.47 2.00
2.09 2.09 2.01 2.00 1.81 2.55 2.33 2.25 2.04 2.28 2.02
2.10 2.05 1.92 1.92 1.82 2.64 2.15 2.28 2.12 2.15 2.03
1.63 1.68 1.48 1.65 1.73 2.1 1 1.89 1.50 1.55 1.87 1 64
1 28 1.24 1.28 1.18 1.30 1.50 1.25
.
1 .a 1.31 1.19 1.17 1.38 1.70 1.48 1.35 1.25 1.40 1 .23
2.32 2.08 2.55 2.08 3.00 3.70 3.38 2.00 2.71 2.60 2.21 2.18
2.52 2.22 2.55 1.99 2.n 4.02 3.68 1.95 2.66 2.84 2.23 2.49
2.73 2.56 2.59 1.94 2.66 3.94 3.98 1.85 2.40 2.90 2.32 2.81
2.47 2:36 2.27 2.02 2.19 3.15 3.87 1.81 2.27 2.72 2.16 2.52
2.08 1.86 1.97 2.15 1.62 2.84 3.82 2.00 2.32 2.25 1 .89 2.04
1.81 1.52 1.88 2.06 1.66 2.29 3.48 2.00 2.12 1.81 1.66 1.72
1.81 1.44 1 .43 2.09 1.69 2.25 2.88 2.00 2.03 1.69 1.65 1.80
1.84 1.45 1.54 2.20 1.66 2.12 2.29 2.09 2.09 1.80 1.91 1.81
1.81 1.48 1.75 1.63 1.82 2.19 1.97 1.63 1.81 1.89 2.01 1.78
1.88 1.40 1.76 1.33 1.74 2.08 1.90 1.17 1.47 1.85 1.58 1.70
1 .69 1.41 1.76 1.39 1.75
1.97 1.25 1 .28 1.80 1.67 1.70
2.65 5.80 4.82 2.76 2.29 2.32 4.14 3.22 3.04 3.22 2.80 2.57 5.32
2.65 5.98 4.28 2.42 2.27 2.35 3.74 2.75 3.03 2.75 2.39 2.75 4.53
2.71 5.76 3.81 2.27 2.20 2.50 3.10 2.57 3.07 2.57 2.32 2.89 3.95
2.67 5.11 3.17 2.09 2.38 2.49 2.17 2.43 2.85 2.43 2.32 2.92 3.42
2.54 4.66 2.63 1.96 2.32 2.33 2.07 2.36 2.75 2.36 2.19 2.66 2.96
2.24 4.20 2.24 2.02 2.32 1.89 2.02 2.37 2.41 2.37 2.20 2.57 2.72
1.83 3.40 1.99 1.96 1.96 1.53 1.96 2.32 1.98 2.32 1.88 1.89 2.33
1.58 3.08 1.90 1.84 1.53 1.35 2.02 2.23 1.59 2.23 1.66 1.48 1.99
1.41 2.78 1.53 1.52 1.37 1.28 2.02 1.81 1.52 1.96 1.36 1.27 1.92
1.32 2.48 1.54 1.54 1.30 1.21 1.85 1.84 1.48 1.74 1.25 1.18 1.74
1.38 2.25 1.28 1.35 1.28 1.29 1.48 1.83 1.45 1.75 1.23 1.29 1.58
...
2.39 2.09 2.34 2.73 2.16 1.98 3.08 2.28
2.49 2.52 2.50 2.71 2.30 2.23 3.10 2.34
2.67 2.78 2.64 2.85 2.49 2.40 3.17 2.51
2.46 2.53 2.39 2.61 2.32 2.19 2.80 2.27
1.93 2.02 2.02 2.31 1.64 1.72 2.06 1.82
1.65 1.64 1.71 1.86 1.52 1.49 1.60 1.53
1.61 1.62 1.80 1.87 1.46 1.47 1.52 1.53
1.57 1.45 1.56 1.81 1.43 1.47 1.58 1.53
1.50 1.47 1.61 1.71 1.31 1 .66 1.58 1.54
1.52 1.39 1.80 1.76 1.34 1.72 1.80 1.47
1.58 1.38 1.64 1.88 1.35 1.87 1.73 1.42
L A M M I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN
5.88
5.93
5.97
5.54
5.04
4.48
3.92
3.41
3.03
2.73
2.52
Jamaica ................................................ Maftiniqun ............................................. Netherhnds Milkm ....... Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucii ............................................ Saint Vincent and the
5.27 5.65 4.05 4.67 4.15 7.80 5.80 5.61 6.30 4.22 5.71 5.65 4.97 6.00 7.33
united state0 vl@n I s m ...................
5.57
5.20 5.15 4.31 4.67 3.70 7.84 6.70 5.61 6.30 5.08 5.71 5.15 4.62 6.94 7.33 5.30 5.57
5.49 4.40 4.50 4.26 4.68 7.35 6.40 5.61 8.30 5.64 5.45 4.40 4.37 6.79 7.02 4.99 5.50
5.01 3.30 3.79 3.45 4.30 6.65 4.80 5.22 6.00 5.78 5.00 3.30 3.41 6.48 6.41 3.79 5.37
4.40 2.65 3.44 2.74 3.60 5.71 4.80 4.49 5.60 5.00 4.08 2.65 2.99 5.69 5.54 3.45 4.90
3.84 2.45 3.22 2.19 2.15 4.76 4.30 3.06 5.80 4.00 2.65 2.45 2.76 5.20 4.42 3.40 4.34
3.37 2.36 3.16 1.92 1.85 4.00 4.23 2.55 6.21 3.55 2.14 2.36 2.46 4.20 3.64 3.22 3.70
3.09 2.30 2.62 1.75 1 .85 3.47 4.14 2.45 5.70 3.10 2.14 2.30 2.26 3.65 3.21 2.80 3.09
2.83 2.28 2.60 1.80 1 .65 3.20 3.26 2.10 5.15 2.84 1 .m 2.28 2.18 2.99 2.82 2.10 3.09
2.88 2.21 2.40 1 .50 1.61 3.05 2.81 2.10 4.62 2.67 1 .90 2.12 1 2.38 2.40 1.73 2.41
2.58 2.12 2.11 1.50 1.63 2.95 2.43 2.08 4.00 2.83 1.98 2.08 1.84 2.24 2.30 1.61 2.23
E M E R N EUROPE Belarus .................................................
BUlQaria ................................................ Czech ReprMlc ..................................... Hungary Moldovs ......... ........... mand .................................................. Romanla ............................................... Russlan Federalbn ...............................
.........
...........
................................................ Lknine .................................................
s(0Vaki
NORTHERN EUROPE (0) Channel IslanC (10) Denmark .......................... Estonia ................................................. Finland ( 1 1 ) .......................................... Iceland .................................................
........
Ird%nd ..................................................
Lalvia ................................................... S W n ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
SOUTHERN E U R W (13)
Albania ..........
....................
cmatla ................................................. Greece ....... ......................... Italy ............ .........................
......................... .......................................... ................................................
Malta .......... Multe#3gro
slovenia ................................................ Spah .................................................... WESTERN EUROPE (16) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ Luxsmbourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... smtzerland .............................
CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. 0arbadw .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ................ Quadelwp
...........
m .......................
624
5.30
.w
.
1 .a 1.30 1.22 1.15
1.w
United Nations Department of Economic and sodat Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Hlgh varlant Total fertility (children per woman)
M Jor area, region and country 20052010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-2040 2040-20452045-2050 2.26
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
.
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ............................................... Finland (11)............................ Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12).......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
. ........
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................ Bosnia and Hetzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
2.36
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
fable A.25. Total fertlllty by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per m a n ) Major a m , mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1870 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1835 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 CENTRAL W R I C A Belie ............ .................................. ...... Costa Rica .............................................
6.74 6.65 6.72 6.46 7.00 7.50 6.70 7.20 5.66
6.82 6.55 7.11 6.61 6.60 7.50 6.60 7.50 5.89
6.77 6.45 7.22 6.85 6.50 7.42 6.75 7.10 5.92
6.69 6.35 5.00 6.62 6.30 7.42 6.75 6.95 5.62
6.40 6.25 4.35 6.10 6.20 7.05 6.50 6.78 4.94
5.37 6.20 3.76 5.60 6.20 6.60 5.25 6.35 4.05
4.48 5.40 3.53 4.50 6.10 6.00 4.25 5.85 3.52
3.69 4.70 3.37 3.90 5.70 5.37 3.63 5.00 3.20
3.47 4.35 2.95 3.52 5.45 4.92 3.19 4.50 2.87
2.68 3.85 2.58 3.17 5.00 4.30 2.67 3.60 2.79
2.67
5.74 3.13 6.75 6.15 5.49 6.76 6.70 4.92 6.77 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.83 6.46
5.77 3.09 0.63 6.15 5.44 6.76 6.70 5.02 6.15 6.45 6.85 8.56 2.90 6.68
5.23 3.05 6.56 5.38 4.44 6.18 6.50 5.00 6.11 6.15 6.56 5.95 2.80 5.90
4.65 3.15 6.50 4.72 3.63 5.00 6.00 4.18 4.90 5.35 6.00 5.29 3.00 4.94
4.27 3.44 5.80 4.31 2.80 4.34 5.40 3.30 3.94 5.20 5.38 4.20 2.89 4.47
3.78 3.15 5.30 3.80 2.67 3.69 4.70 3.58 3.26 5.20 4.65 3.70 2.57 3.96
3.27 3.05 5.00 3.10 2.65 3.17 4.00 3.73 2.70 4.77 4.10 3.00 2.53 3.65
2.88 2.90 4.80 2.60 2.55 2.93 3.40 4.05 2.55 4.31 3.70 2.60 2.48 3.25
2.65 2.63 4.32 2.45 2.21 2.70 3.10 3.93 2.50
2.46 2.35
Bolivia Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Cdom Ecuad French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay ...... b N ..................................................... Surirwne .................... ................. ......... Uruguay .................................... ............ Venezuela ( W i r i a n Republic of)
5.69 3.15 6.75 6.15 4.95 6.76 6.70 5.00 6.66 6.50 6.85 6.56 2.73 6.46
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
3.46 3.65 3.45
3.72 3.71
3.35 3.68 3.31
2.55 2.61 2.55
2.01 1.ge 2.02
1.78 1.73 1.79
1.81 1.63 1.83
1.89 1.62 1.92
OCEANIA
3.61
4.09
3.98
3.57
3.23
2.73
2.59
AUSTRAUNNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) .......................................... New Zealarmi
3.27 3.18 3.69
3.53 3.41 4.07
3.41 3.27 4.02
2.96 2.87 3.35
2.59 2.54 2.64
2.02 1.99 2.18
MELANESIA Fiji .......................... New Caledwri ...... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ....................................... .........
6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60
6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35
6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00
6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46
5.81 4.20 5.15 6.08 7.24 6.11
YCRONESIA (20)
6.30 5.53 7.20
6.49 5.83 7.00
6.51 6.03 6.90
6.07 4.72 6.90
POLYNESIA (21)
6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30
6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30
6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30
6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50
Panama .................................................
SOUTH M I C A (17)
Argentina .......................................
..
..
.......
Samoa ......... ..................... ................ Tonga ....................................................
a b c d e 1 2
3 4 5 6
7 8
3.88
3.35 2.28 2.88 4.80 3.72 2.40 3.00 2.70
3.90 2.35 2.00 2.47 2.82
3.88 2.43
3.88
3.48
3.10 200 2.30 2.94
2.70 2.60 2.20 2.72
1.89 1 2.03
1.E 1.56 1.99
1.m 1.52 2.04
2.51
2.46
2.42
2.37
1.92 1.81 1.96
1.89 1.86 2.05
1.89 1.88 2.08
1.81 1.78 1.95
1.79 1.70 1.96
5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75
5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40
4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04
4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83
4.41 3.19 2.60 4.64 4.91 4.59
4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15
5.37 4.12 6.90
4.69 3.52 6.40
4.46 3.08 6.00
4.06 3.14 5.20
3.82 3.10 4.79
3.45 3.00 4.53
3.01 2.74 4.23
5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50
4.75 4.23 4.69 5.50
4.53 3.62 4.85 5.50
4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74
3.81 3.05 4.70 4.52
3.58 2.60 4.66 3.96
3.28
.a
2.39 4.42 3.73
More dedqmd regums a m p m Eumpe, Northem &mh.AuatraliyWw 2nd Japan Less dewloped r-ms m m p b AI regims d At-, A& (exdudhg Japan). Lpth America md the Cusbefm plus Mdaeer klaoneeiaand polynesta LeastdevelopedrmnMBB are SOaunMBB, 34 h Africa, 10 h Asla 5 In Ocaanla plus memuntry tn Lath knericamdthe Culbbem Other less dwelqmd rmnMes amprlae d the less dsveloped regbms eadudhg the least developed munSubSaharan Afrlcs refen, to all d Africa -1 Nolmm AMca wllh the Sudan h d u d d h subSaharan Afrlea lncludlng Seychelles IndudngMaptte lndudng &almRodrigurn. and San1 Brandon lndudng Saint HBlena Ascensbn. and Tr$tan da Cunha Fw statislical purposes, the data for China do not hdude Hong K ~ and Q h k m . spedar Wmnarative Regbns (SM) d Chhk As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong b m e a S p a MmmkdatratnsRqron (SAR) ol Chma As dZO oecamber 1999, MacaobeaMe aSpedal Mrnlnmtram P q k n (m) dChna me regans Southem h a md Central A& are m i n e d nto south-central ~ u a
626
United Nations DeparbTlent of Eax~xnicand Soda1 Affairslpopulation D i v i s i i WorM Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehmive Tab&
Table A.25. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, mgion and country
CENTRAL AMRICA
............................
Belize .. ................. Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. MeGco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama
................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
.................................................
.............................................. ..................................................... ............................................ ................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18)
Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
OCEANIA AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand
.........................................
Fiji ........................................................
New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ...............................
Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
UCRONESIA (20)
.........................
Guam ........................ Micronesia (Fed. States of)
...................
POLYNESIA (21)
French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga .................................................
9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncluding &and Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein. and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayman Islands. Domin~ca.Montserrat. Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caiccs Islands lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Samt Pierre and Miquelon. lncludlng Christmas Island. Coeos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands. Nauru. Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau. Tuvalu. Wallls and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertllity by m J o ra m , reglon and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2050 Edimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children per m a n )
Major a m , mglon and county 1950-1955 19551980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005 WORLD
5.02
4.86
4.98
4.90
4.47
3.92
3.58
3.38
3.05
2.80
2.65
MORE DEVELOPED REQWNS ( I ) LE88 DEVELOPED RECUONS @) Least developed countries (c) other Isss developed countties (d)
2.84 6.15 6.67 6.09
2.82 6.01 6.70 5.92
2.69 6.04 6.76 5.94
2.37 6.00 6.73 5.90
2.13 5.41 6.61 5.25
1.91 4.65 6.39 4.42
1.85 4.15 6.28 3.87
1.83 3.84 6.00 3.55
1 .88 3.42 5.68 3.11
1.55 3.11 5.29 2.80
1.56 2.90 4.95 2.59
Less developed regkm. e d u d i China
6.13
6.20
6.16
5.97
5.66
5.24
4.86
4.45
4.05
3.63
3.34
sub-saharml Ama (0)
6.73
6.76
6.79
6.79
6.79
6.75
6.86
6.44
6.12
5.77
5.48
6.75
6.82
6.87
6.80
6.72
6.61
6.45
6.13
5.68
5.28
4.98
6.97 6.80 6.33 7.80 6.97 7.10 7.51 6.80 6.78 6.27 6.60 5.65 7.80 7.25 6.90 6.74 6.75 6.80
6.97 6.80 6.60 7.80 6.97 6.90 7.82 6.80 6.84 5.97 6.60 5.85 8.00 7.25 6.95 6.80 6.90 7.00
7.03 6.80 6.91 7.80 6.82 6.86 8.12 6.80 7.00 5.72 6.60 5.65 8.10 7.25 7.05 6.80 7.15 7.30
7.03 6.80 7.05 7.60 6.70 6.82 8.12 6.80 7.20 4.24 6.60 4.82 8.20 7.25 7.12 6.79 7.40 7.40
7.01 6.80 7.05 7.20 6.52 6.80 8.00 6.70 7.40 3.25 6.58 3.93 6.29 7.25 7.10 6.75 7.43 7.40
6.97 6.80 7.05 6.80 6.50 6.80 7.60 6.60 7.60 3.06 6.53 3.28 8.49 7.25 7.10 6.73 7.38 7.30
6.85 6.80 7.05 6.60 6.50 6.84 7.20 6.40 7.49 2.45 6.44 2.90 8.50 7.20 7.10 6.55 6.95 6.74
6.62 6.80 6.50 6.40 6.31 6.82 8.50 6.30 7.16 2.17 6.33 2.54 8.25 7.00 7.10 6.36 6.66 5.66
6.24 6.80 5.80 5.85 6.16 6.77 5.40 6.12 6.76 2.29 6.12 2.43 6.90 6.60 7.06 5.90 6.28 4.77
5.90 6.80 5.40 5.11 5.93 6.34 5.00 5.80 6.44 2.05 5.85 2.34 6.10 6.75 6.95 5.66 6.00 4.05
5.80 6.80 4.89 4.52 5.53 5.78 5.00 5.28 6.03 1.91 5.52 2.46 6.01 6.43 6.75 5.66 5.65 3.56
6.04 7.00 5.68 5.52 6.10 5.68 6.00 5.50 4.00 6.20
6.13 7.20 5.68 5.60 6.20 5.79 6.10 5.50 4.00 6.20
6.27 7.40 5.90 5.66 6.30 5.99 6.20 5.53 4.25 6.30
6.37 7.40 6.10 5.69 6.40 6.19 6.30 5.68 4.50 6.40
6.48 7.20 6.30 5.72 6.60 6.29 6.45 5.68 5.00 6.52
6.60 7.20 6.40 6.74 6.29 6.60 5.68 5.00 6.50
6.63 7.20 6.40 5.69 6.75 5.99 6.70 5.79 5.00 6.24
6.56 7.20 6.10 5.69 6.70 5.55 6.70 5.89 5.00 5.66
6.46 7.10 5.70 5.60 6.65 5.21 6.70 5.89 4.50 5.16
6.29 6.90 5.10 5.30 6.62 4.87 6.70 5.87 3.83 4.80
6.21 6.75 4.92 4.96 6.54 4.78 6.70 5.64 3.38 4.34
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria . . . ................. . . ................ Egypt ............................ ..... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya .... Momcro . ...................... .................. Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara
6.82 7.28 6.56 6.87 7.16 6.65 6.93 6.60
7.00 7.28 6.97 6.97 7.16 6.65 7.04 6.60
7.06 7.38 7.07 7.18 7.15 6.60 7.25 6.60
6.83 7.38 6.56 7.48 7.09 6.60 6.89 6.60
6.46 7.38 5.86 7.59 6.89 6.60 6.21 6.60
6.12 7.18 5.61 7.38 5.90 6.52 5.69 6.10
5.74 6.49 5.33 7.16 5.40 6.34 4.92 5.60
5.04 5.29 4.83 5.65 4.45 6.08 4.14 4.90
4.20 4.13 3.91 4.10 3.68 5.61 3.13 4.16
3.56 2.89 3.50 3.41 2.97 5.41 2.32 3.53
3.16 2.53 3.17 3.03 2.52 4.82 2.04 3.01
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ..................
6.46 6.50 5.84 6.00 6.W 6.70
6.46 6.58 5.86 6.10 6.50 6.70
6.29 6.65 5.61 6.20 6.30 6.75
5.77 6.70 5.80 6.30 5.70 6.85
5.57 6.55 5.80 6.60 5.47 8.87
5.14 6.37 5.69 6.60 5.00 6.73
4.72 5.97 5.46 6.45 4.56 6.54
4.05 5.11 5.14 6.17 3.85 6.13
3.52 4.32 4.70 5.40 3.34 5.30
3.10 3.70 4.37 4.40 2.95 4.49
2.90 3.18 3.78 3.58 2.80 3.91
6.86 6.80 6.50 6.60 7.00 6.23 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.45 7.11 6.58
6.89 6.88 6.50 6.90 7.1 1 6.44 6.70 7.00 5.58 6.65 7.11 6.58
6.93 6.86 6.72 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 5.99 6.80 7.11 6.58
6.99 7.02 7.33 7.00 7.31 6.65 6.70 7.00 6.50 6.90 7.35 6.58
7.03 7.06 7.75 7.00 7.41 6.65 6.70 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.58
7.03 7.10 7.75 6.75 7.41 6.61 6.65 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.40
7.01 7.14 7.68 6.45 7.41 6.47 6.50 7.00 7.10 6.90 7.56 6.19
6.85 6.90 7.44 5.90 6.90 6.18 6.09 6.84 7.10 6.90 7.47 5.97
8.57 6.83 7.16 5.00 6.28 5.88 5.46 6.50 7.10 6.90 7.38 5.67
6.17 6.25 6.77 4.10 5.62 5.53 4.82 6.18 7.10 6.80 7.22 5.26
5.77 5.87 6.38 3.77 5.08 5.16 4.38 5.84 7.10 6.80 6.70 4.83
AFRICA
EASTERN AFRICA (1)
....................
.....................
................................................. Malawi ................. ................. ................ Mauritius (3) .......................................... Morambique .........................................
............................................... .........................
.
ic of Tanzania ...
Zimbabwe ................................... YDDLE AFRICA Angola ......................
..........
............................ ........................
Democratic RepuMic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ....... SBoTda
....
. .... ... . .....
.
............................
Swaziland ........................
.....................
WESTERN AFRICA (4)
.
.... .
.... ...................... .. ...... Cape Verde ........................................... Guinea ................................................... Mali ...................................................... Mauritania ....,,..... ... .. .......,........ .
. .... .
628
. .....
W
5.89
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairslpopulation Division d Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-201520152020 2020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Africa (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Rbunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ............................................... Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon ................................................ S l o Tomb and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................. Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin ............................... ................. Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .................................... ...... Cbte d'lvoire .................... ................. Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................... ..................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ..................... ............. Liberia .................... .......................... Mali .................................................... Mauritania ....................... ...............
..
..
. . .
..
. . .
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued)
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ SierraLeone ......................................... Togo ................................................. ASIA
8.12 6.90 6.70 6.09 6.80
8.12 6.90 6.90 6.19 6.88
8.12 6.90 7.00 6.29 6.96
8.12 6.90 7.00 6.40 7.02
8.12 6.90 7.00 6.50 7.06
8.12 6.90 7.00 6.50 7.10
8.10 6.90 7.00 6.50 6.90
7.96 6.83 6.80 6.50 6.59
5.87
5.63
5.65
5.67
5.04
4.19
3.67
3.40
EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan .......................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................
...............................................
SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste .......................... ............ Viet Nam ...............................................
..
WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ........................... .................. Cyprus ................................................. Georgia ................................................. lraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan ................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon .............................................. Occupied Palestinian Temtoly ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................... . ............................. Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region a n d country
Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................... .. .......... Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ........................................ Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic 00 ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................. Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ..................... ...... ............ Indonesia ..................... ..................... Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia .......................... ............... Myanrnar ..................... . . .................... Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Tirnor-Leste ......................................... Viet Nam ............................. . ...............
..
..
WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ ........ Azerbaijan ............................... . . Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ...................................................... Israel ................................................... Jordan ........................ . . ..................... Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon .............................................. Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................. . ............... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ................................... ...... Syrian Arab Republic ........................... Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertiliff (children per woman)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-20002000-2005 EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belams ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ...................... ........................ Romania ........................... . . . . ......... Russian Federation .............................. Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
..
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10)............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (ll) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12)......................... ....... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
.....
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .................... ... ................ Portugal ............................................... Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ............................................. Spain ................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14)........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Nethetlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados ...................... .................... Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ................... ...................... Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States V~rginIslands ...................
..
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertilii by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (1 1) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania .................... ....................... Norway (12) ......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
..
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croalia .................................................. Greece ............................................... Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Eelglum ......................... . . .. ........... France .................................................. Germany .............................................. Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ............................... ....... Switzerland ........................... ............. 2.12
1.83
1.62
1.54
1.47
1.42
1.39
1.37
1.36
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas ............................. .. ........... Barbados .............................................. Cuba ................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada Guadeloupe Haiti .......................... .................. Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
............................................... ..........................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Total fertility (children
per woman)
Major area. region and c o u n t r y 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005
CENTRAL AMERICA
Belize ................................................... Costa Rica .......................................... El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama ................................................
........................................... .............................................. .................................................. .............................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
.............................................. ................................................... .................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ......................................
Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana ................................................. Paraguay ............................................ Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarlan Republic of) .........
NORTHERN AMERICA (18)
3.46 3.65 3.45
3.72 3.88 3.71
3.35 3.68 3.31
2.55 2.61 2.55
2.01 1.98 2.02
1.78 1.73 1.79
1.81 1.63 1.83
1.89 1.62 1.92
1.99 1.69 2.03
1.95 1.56 1.99
1.99 1.52 2.04
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND
3.27 3.18 3.69
3.53 3.41 4.07
3.41 3.27 4.02
2.96 2.87 3.35
2.59 2.54 2.84
2.02 1.99 2.18
1.92 1.91 1.96
1.89 1.86 2.05
1.89 1.86 2.06
1.81 1.78 1.95
1.79 1.76 1.96
MELANESIA
6.29 6.63 5.00 6.24 6.40 7.60
6.33 6.79 5.00 6.26 6.40 7.35
6.22 5.95 5.30 6.28 6.40 7.00
6.01 5.00 5.00 6.21 6.54 6.46
5.81 4.20 5.15 6.09 7.24 6.11
5.55 4.00 3.90 5.87 7.04 5.75
5.17 3.80 3.33 5.47 6.43 5.40
4.74 3.47 3.07 4.97 6.13 5.04
4.51 3.35 2.89 4.70 5.53 4.83
4.41 3.19 4.64 4.91 4.59
4.10 2.98 2.23 4.32 4.36 4.15
6.30 5.53 7.20
6.49 5.83 7.00
6.51 6.03 6.90
6.07 4.72 6.90
5.37 4.12 6.90
4.89 3.52 6.40
4.46 3.08 6.00
4.06 3.14 5.20
3.82 3.10 4.79
3.45 3.00 4.53
3.01 2.74 4.23
6.69 6.00 7.30 7.30
6.90 6.40 7.30 7.30
6.97 6.50 7.30 7.30
6.37 6.20 6.50 6.50
5.42 5.15 5.70 5.50
4.75 4.23 4.89 5.50
4.53 3.82 4.85 5.50
4.24 3.57 4.82 4.74
3.91 3.05 4.70 4.52
3.56 2.60 4.66 3.96
3.28 2.39 4.42 3.73
Canada ................................................. UnitedStatesofAmerica .......................
Australia(19) ........................................ NewZealand .........................................
Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomonlslands ................................... Vanuatu ................................. ....... .
MICRONESIA (PO) Guam ................................................. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
POLYNESIA (21)
French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
a b c d e
1 2 3 4 5 8 7 8
2.80
.
More developed reghms cumprlse Europe. Northem America AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asii (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesiaand Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed reglons excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refersto all d Africa except Norlhem Africa. w l h the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica . lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayone. Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena Ascension. and Trislan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999 Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
.
.
.
.
United Nations Deparhnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.26. Total fertility by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area. region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ............................ ................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico ................................................ .-............ Nicaragua .............................. Panama ................................................
..
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ........................... ............... Bolivia .................................................. Brazil .......................... ........................ Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ..................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
..
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
...............................
MICRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ........................... .. Samoa ................................................. Tonga ................................. .................
lncluding Faeroe Islands. and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. lnclud~nghand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra Gibraltar. Holy SW. and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 IncludingLiechtenstein.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla Antigua and Babuda. British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands Dominica Montserrat. Saint Kitts and Nevis. and Turks and Caicos Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda Greenland. and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island. Cocos (Keeling) Islands. and NorfolkIsland. 20 lncluding Kiribati. Matshall Islands Nauru. Northem Mariana Islands. and Palau. 21 Including American Samoa. h k Islands. Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau. Tuvalu. Wall~sandFutuna Islands. 9 10 11 12 13 14
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and medium variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19959000 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China
Sub-SaharanAfrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ............................................... Eritrea ................................................... Ethimpia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia .............................................. Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ........................................... MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S2o Tom6 and hincipe ......................... NORTHERNAFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Westem Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea ................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic'andSocial AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 20152020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 8.6
8.5
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.9
9.3
9.6
10.4 8.3 12.3 7.6
10.6 8.1 11.3 7.5
10.8 8.0 10.4 7.5
11.0 8.0 9.7 7.6
11.3 8.1 9.1 7.9
11.8 8.4 8.7 8.3
12.2 8.7 8.3 8.8
12.6 9.1 8.1 9.4
8.6
8.3
8.0
7.8
7.8
7.9
8.1
8.4
13.2
12.3
11.3
10.5
9.8
9.4
9.0
8.7
10.0 WORLD 12.8 MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) 9.5 LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) 8.0 Least developed countries (c) 10.0 Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding 8.7 China
8.5
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Bumndi ................................................. Comoms (2).......................................... D j i i u t i ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3)......................................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ............................................... United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ........................................... MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo T o d and Principe .........................
........
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Esypl .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ....................................
16.9 14.1 19.2 12.4 17.0 21.2
17.0 14.1 18.0 13.0 17.1 21.5
16.0 13.2 17.5 12.7 16.1 20.3
15.3 12.4 17.0 12.5 15.4 19.7
14.8 11.8 16.3 12.1 14.9 18.4
14.5 11.5 15.8 12.0 14.7 17.5
14.2 10.9 15.2 12.0 14.3 16.7
13.7 10.3 14.7 11.9 13.8 15.9
13.1 9.9 14.1 11.8 13.3 14.9
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ........................................... Lesotho ............................................... Namibia ................................................ SouthAfrica .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... C61e dlwire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau........................ ....... Liberia ................................................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A27 Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria Senegal ................................................ Siena Leone Togo .....................................................
.................................................. .........................................
ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (5) China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Japan Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................
.
...............................................
........... ...................................................
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India Iran (Islamic Republic 00 Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyulan ............................................ Maldives ...............................................
..................................................... .......................
Nepal ....................................................
Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................... .
..............................................
.......
SOUTH-EASTERN A I A Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................ Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus ........................ ...................... Georgia ................................................ Iraq ............................. Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PaleslinianTemiiory ..................... Omen ...................... Qatar .......................... ...................... Saudi Arabia ....................................... Syrian Arab Republic Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
. ....................
. . . ..
...............
............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldiies ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ............................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan .............................. .......... Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ..................... .. ............................ Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................... ............................ Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey ................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. -Ion
and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland ................................................ Romania ............................................... Russian Federation .................... ....... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
..
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................ Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia .................................................. Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................... ......................... Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ........................................ Switzerland ......................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Amba ..................... ........................ Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................ ............... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica .............................................. Martinique ............................ .......... NetherlandsAntilles .......................... Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................ . ............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
. .
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050:Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 11.8
12.0
12.2
12.3
12.6
13.0
13.5
13.9
14.2
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedon~a(14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.5
6.8
7.3
7.9
8.5
9.2
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbadas ............................................ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada .............................. ............. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martin~que............................................ Netherlands Antitles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United Stales Virgin Islands ...................
..
Unled Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 2WO-2005
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ~ a n a m a................................................
............................................
.............................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
..................................................... .............................................. ................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18)
9.4 8.7 9.5
9.3 8.1 9.4
9.3 7.7 9.4
9.3 7.5 9.5
9.0 7.3 9.2
8.5 7.0 8.6
8.7 6.9 8.9
8.7 7.0 8.9
8.7 7.1 8.9
8.2 7.2 8.3
8.2 7.2 8.3
9.4 9.4 9.3
8.9 8.8 9.1
8.7 8.7 8.9
8.8 8.9 8.7
8.5 8.5 8.4
7.8 7.7 8.2
7.5 7.3 8.1
7.4 7.3 8.2
7.1 7.0 7.6
7.1 7.0 7.4
6.9 6.8 7.1
26.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3
23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5
20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8
17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5
15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6
14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4
10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3
10.5 6.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7
9.8 6.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1
9.4 6.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 6.7
9.2 6.4 5.2 9.9 7.9 5.7
14.0 8.9 14.2
12.4 7.7 12.5
10.9 6.4 10.9
9.6 5.6 9.6
8.3 4.6 8.8
7.7 4.1 7.8
7.0 3.8 7.2
6.4 3.9 6.7
6.1 4.7 6.4
5.5 4.7 6.3
5.3 5.1 6.3
14.6 16.3 17.7 8.7
12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8
10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9
9.2 9.8 11.0 6.1
8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5
7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6
6.7 6.1 7.6 5.8
6.1 5.5 6.8 5.9
5.9 5.0 6.9 5.9
5.5 4.8 6.2 5.7
5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7
Canada ................................................. United States of America
.......................
AUSTRALlAlNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand
.........................................
MELANESIA
..................................................... ......................................
Fiji New Caledonia PapuaNewGuinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu
...........................................
MlCRONESlA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed . States of) ...................
POLYNESIA (21)
French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
a b c d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
.
More developed regions comprise Europe Nonhem America. AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed cuuntries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one cwntty in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-SaharanAfrica refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Maydte. lncluding Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncluding Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tiistan da Cunha. For statistical purpwes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern As~aand Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
.
.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama
........................................... ............................................ .............................................. .................................................. ............................................. ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Mina Brazil Chile Colornbla Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay
.............................................. .................................................. .................................................... .....................................................
.............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................. .............................................. Pew ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
.........
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada United States of America .......................
.................................................
AUSTRALIPJNEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand
........................................ ......................................... ......................................
New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu
............................... ...................................
................................................
MTCRONESIA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 01) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga
.................................. .................................................. ...................................................
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 18 17 18 19 20 21
lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic d Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstem, and Monam. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands. Cayrnan Islands. Dominica. Montserrat, Saint Kiis and Nevis, and Turks and C a m Islands. lncluding Falkland islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Mquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocw (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Nolthem Mariana Islands, and Palau. Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tckelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country: estimates and high variant. 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions. excluding China
Sub-Saharan Africa (9) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. Comoros (2) ......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... Reunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tome and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara ................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cbte d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana ................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia ............................ .. ................ Mali ...................................................... Mauritania ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major a m , region and country
WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Afrlca (a) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................... . ........................... Comros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. WDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SBo Tom6 and Principe ......................... NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ........................................... Cate d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2MM-2005 Niger ............................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal .............................................. SierraLeone ........................................ Togo ................................................... ASIA
27.7 27.7 27.1 34.0 27.3
26.9 26.3 25.7 32.7 24.7
26.2 24.7 24.0 31.6 22.0
25.7 23.1 22.2 30.4 19.4
25.4 21.6 20.3 28.5 17.1
25.0 20.2 18.0 27.1 15.0
24.3 19.3 15.6 25.7 13.2
23.1 18.4 13.4 24.8 12.1
21.1 17.8 11.8 26.3 11.2
18.3 17.4 10.6 24.5 10.7
15.6 17.5 9.8 23.5 10.8
23.7
20.6
17.7
13.9
10.9
10.0
9.6
8.9
8.3
7.7
7.5
EASTERN ASlA China (5) .............................................. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan .......................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka ....................... ..................... Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ...................... ..... ............. Singapore ........................... . . . ............ Thailand ................................................ Timr-Leste ........................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ........................ . .................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia .................... .. ...................... l raq ....................................................... Israel ................... ...... ....................... Jordan ................................................ Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ........................... ..... ........... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar ........................... ..................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-2015 20152020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 Niger .................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASlA EASTERN ASlA China (5).............................................. China, Hong Kong SAR (6).................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea .................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal ............................ ...................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkrnenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Damssalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ............................................... Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ lraq ...................................................... Israel .................................................. Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied PalestinianTerritory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ...................... ............... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
..
United Nations Depaitment of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comp~ehensiveTables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1.000 population)
Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
EUROPE
10.6
10.0
9.8
9.8
10.1
10.4
10.8
10.6
11.2
11.5
11.6
9.8
8.7
7.8
7.1
6.6
6.1
6.0
EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ............................... .............. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................. Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ....................................
..
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Cmatia ................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ....................... ...................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands ....................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
15.5
13.7
12.3
11.0
CARIBBEAN (16) A ~ b ................................................... a Bahamas ............................................ Barbados .......................... ............ Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ..................... .. .. .............. Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ................... ........ ................... Jamaica ....................... ... ................ Martinique ............................................ Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ..................... . .................. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United Stales Virgin Islands ...................
. . .
.. ..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiffiIPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population) Major area, region and country
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland ( l l ) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia ................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba .................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
fable A28. Cnrde death rate by major area, regkn and country (continued)
Esthates: 1950-2005 Cnrde death rate (deaths per 1,OOOpopulation) Major a m , ragion and county 1950-1955 19551960 1960-1965 19651970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1885 19851990 1990-1995 1995-2OOO 2OOO-2005
CENTRAL M R I C A Belize ................................................... Costa Rka ............................. El Salvador Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Me& Nkarag mama ................................................
17.6 12.6 13.5 19.9 22.3 24.4 16.6 22.7 13.3
14.7 11.0 11.9 17.4 20.2 21.6 13.6 19.9 11.1
12.6 9.6 10.2 14.8 18.0 18.3 11.5 16.8 9.8
11.2 8.3 8.2 12.5 15.8 16.1 10.4 14.4 8.6
9.8 7.3 6.8 11.1 13.5 13.8 9.1 12.6 7.5
8.2 6.5 5.6 11.4 12.2 11.4 7.4 11.3 6.3
7.1 5.7 4.7 11.1 10.9 9.4 6.4 10.1 5.7
6.2 5.2 4.4 8.0 9.4 7.5 5.7 8.4 5.4
5.6 4.9 4.1 6.8 8.1 6.7 5.2 6.5 5.3
5.0 4.1 3.8 6.0 6.9 6.1 4.7
5.5 5.0
4.9 3.8 3.9 5.9 8.0 6.0 4.7 5.0 5.0
SOUTH AMERICA (17)
Venezuela (Bdivarian RepuMk of)
14.9 9.1 24.4 15.4 13.6 16.3 19.4 15.6 17.7 8.8 21.6 12.6 10.5 12.3
13.5 8.6 23.1 14.0 13.3 13.2 17.0 14.1 15.9 8.5 19.7 11.4 10.1 10.6
12.2 8.8 21.6 12.6 12.2 11.4 14.6 12.0 13.7 7.9 17.6 10.3 9.6 9.3
11.0 9.1 20.3 11.1 10.3 10.0 13.1 9.0 11.6 7.6 15.6 8.8 9.8 7.7
9.8 9.0 19.0 9.9 8.8 6.8 11.5 7.8 10.3 7.0 12.8 7.5 10.1 6.5
8.9 8.9 16.0 9.1 7.4 7.7 9.8 7.2 9.2 6.9 10.9 7.3 10.1 5.8
8.0 8.5 13.3 8.3 6.4 6.6 8.1 6.1 9.1 6.9 9.1 7.2 9.9 5.5
7.3 8.5 11.4 7.4 5.9 6.3 6.7 5.2 8.7 6.6 7.8 6.8 10.0 5.0
6.8 8.2 10.0 6.8 5.5 6.3 5.9 4.5 8.7 6.3 7.0 6.4 9.8 4.9
8.3 7.7 8.9 6.4 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.9 9.1 5.9 6.4 6.5 9.2 4.8
6.2 7.7 8.2 6.3 5.0 5.8 5.0 3.7 9.1 5.6 6.2 6.8 9.3 5.0
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. U n h d States of America .......................
9.4 8.7 9.5
9.3 8.1 9.4
9.3 7.7 9.4
9.3 7.5 9.5
9.0 7.3 9.2
8.5 7.0 8.6
8.7 6.9 8.9
8.7 7.0 8.9
8.7 7.1 8.9
8.2 7.2 8.3
8.2 7.2 8.3
12.6
11.4
10.7
10.3
9.8
9.1
8.0
8.0
7.6
7.5
7.3
AUSTRALWNEW ZENAND Australia (19) ........................................ New Zealand
9.4 9.4 9.3
8.9 8.8 9.1
8.7 8.7 8.9
8.8 8.9 8.7
8.5 8.5 8.4
7.8 7.7 8.2
7.5 7.3 8.1
7.4 7.3 8.2
7.1 7.0 7.6
7.1 7.0 7.4
6.9 8.8 7.1
WXANESIA Fiji ........................................................ NewCaledonia
28.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3
23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5
20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8
17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5
15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6
14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4
10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3
10.5 6.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7
9.8 8.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1
9.4 6.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 6.7
9.2 8.4 5.2
14.0 8.9 14.2
12.4 7.7 12.5
10.9 6.4 10.9
9.6 5.6 9.6
8.3 4.6 8.8
7.7 4.1 7.8
7.0 3.8 7.2
6.4 3.9 8.7
6.1 4.7 6.4
5.5 4.7 6.3
5.3 5.1 6.3
14.6 16.3 17.7 8.7
12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8
10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9
9.2 9.8 11.0 8.1
8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5
7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6
8.7 6.1 7.6 5.8
6.1 5.5 6.8 5.9
5.9 5.0 8.9 5.9
5.5 4.8 8.2 5.7
5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7
Brazil .................................................... Chile .....................................................
Guyana ................................................
pecu ..................................................... suriname .............................................. unqliay ................................................
OCEANIA
Solomon Island8 ................................... Vanuatu ................................................ YCRONESlA (20)
................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa .................................................. Tmga ...................................................
9.9 7.9 5.7
a hbm developed m g h s canprise Eumpe. Nalhem knerlca,A u s l n J i Zealand and Japan. b Less developed mgbns m p r $ e (111 regions d AMca Asia (edudhg J W ) . Lath America and the carbbean PIUS Melmeam, Mcmnesls and P0)ynSsla c Laast dsvsloped countriesare 50countries. 34 h Afha. 10 h Asla. 5 h Ocaenlaplusmecountfy h Lath knerlcaand t h e c d h m . d Omer less 6mmlqmd countriescanplise d the leaa dewloped m g h s exdudhg the least developed countries e Sub-S.harm AMca reters to .I1 Or AMca e m p t Nofthem AMca. rrim the Sudan indudad h sub-Saharan Nrlca. 1 IndudhgSmycMles 2 IndudngMayone 3 lndudhg Agaleg4 Rodripuea,and saht Bremkf~ 4 lndudhg saint Helens Ascanabn. and Tr$tan da Cunha 5 For aatwiccll purpoeee. the data for Chha do not indude Hong Kong and Mma. spectal Mmhtstrathrs Regions (W)d Chha 6 As Or 1 July 1897, Hong Kong beame a speaal MmhlstrathsRepbn (SAR)d Chtna 7 AsOrol20l~,Macmbarnea~MmhamathsRegbn(W)dChha 8 The regms Sarthem Asia and Central Asla am CanMned into SoUthGartral Asla.
650
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1Affairdpopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkbn, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.28. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: High variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000population) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador ........................................... Guatemala ........................................... Honduras .............................................. Mexico .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................ SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ............................................ Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ............................ .... ................. Chile ..................................................... Colombia ............................................. Ecuador .............................................. French Guiana ................... ... ............. Guyana ......................... ..... ........... Paraguay .............................................. Peru ...................................................... Suriname .............................................. UNguay ................................................ Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ......... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................ United States of America .......................
AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New Zealand ......................................... MELANESIA New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................. Vanuatu ............................................... MICRONESIA (20) Guarn ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States 09 ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ........................... ........................
9 10 ll 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. lncludlng h a n d Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein. and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda. British Virgin Islands, Caymen Islands, Dwninica, Montsenat, Saint Kms and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Plerre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding Amencan Samoa, Cook Islands. Nlue. Pilca~m.Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
t a b k A29. Crude death rate by major area, mgkn and country: estimates and k w variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1,OOO population)
Major a m , mglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 19W1965 1965-1970 197G1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1890 1890-1995 1995-2oOo 2000-2005
WORLD
19.6
17.5
15.6
13.2
11.3
10.6
10.3
9.6
9.3
8.9
8.8
UORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LE88 DEVELOPEO REGIONS (b) Leas1devekpedC0ultries (C) other less developed counMes (d)
10.3 23.9 28.5 23.3
9.7 20.9 26.0 20.2
9.4 18.2 23.9 17.4
9.3 14.7 21.8 13.8
9.5 12.0 20.0 10.9
9.5 11.0 18.8 10.0
9.7 10.5 17.1 9.6
9.6 9.6 15.8 8.8
10.0 9.1 15.2 8.2
10.1 8.8 14.2 7.7
10.2 8.4 13.3 7.8
23.4
21.o
18.7
18.5
14.6
12.9
11.6
10.5
9.8
9.2
9.0
26.6
24.7
22.8
21.1
19.4
18.1
17.0
16.0
15.8
15.7
15.7
26.2
24.0
22.2
20.4
18.7
17.2
15.9
14.7
14.3
14.0
14.0
26.9 25.1 23.5 28.3 28.0 30.4 23.6 27.3 30.9 15.7 32.8 13.3 24.0 31.8 24.5 22.4 21.8 17.5
24.5 23.6 22.0 25.7 25.7 27.2 21.6 25.3 29.1 10.6 11.9 22.9 29.7 22.0 21.o 20.2 16.3
22.2 22.0 20.5 23.8 23.6 23.9 18.8 23.3 27.5 9.1 27.5 10.3 21.6 27.4 19.5 20.1 18.8 15.0
20.4 20.6 18.9 21.6 21.7 22.0 16.5 21.4 25.5 7.8 25.8 8.7 20.7 25.5 17.4 18.9 17.7 13.8
18.8 20.2 16.7 19.4 19.7 20.8 14.4 19.8 23.5 7.0 23.5 7.0 20.3 23.7 15.3 17.5 16.0 12.7
17.7 18.8 15.1 17.4 18.9 20.0 12.5 18.2 23.3 6.3 21.7 6.3 20.1 22.9 15.8 15.8 15.0 11.4
18.9 18.1 13.7 15.7 20.5 19.7 10.7 16.6 20.8 6.5 21.4 6.0 19.3 21.2 18.2 15.3 14.5 9.8
15.9 17.8 11.8 14.9 17.3 18.3 10.0 16.3 18.7 6.1 21.0 5.5 20.4 19.7 15.0 14.5 14.9 8.2
18.2 19.7 9.9 13.7 14.3 17.2 9.4 14.3 17.1 6.7 19.8 5.3 41.9 23.5 18.0 14.8 17.5 8.7
15.9 18.2 8.5 12.3 11.8 15.8 11.4 12.5 17.2 8.7 18.0 5.1 24.1 20.3 17.7 15.4 21.3 15.3
15.4 16.7 7.4 12.0 10.6 14.4 13.2 11.0 17.5 6.8 19.2 5.1 18.4 18.5 15.5 14.8 21.7 20.5
27.3 35.9 24.9 29.1 27.0 21.9 25.4 30.4 27.7 26.7
25.4 33.5 23.3 27.1 25.3 19.6 23.6 28.7 25.9 24.1
23.6 31.1 21.6 24.9 23.5 17.2 22.2 26.9 24.8 18.5
21.8 28.7 20.1 23.0 21.9 14.9 20.6 25.3 21.8 15.0
20.1 26.4 18.6 21.4 20.6 13.0 19.0 23.9 19.2 12.1
18.7 25.0 16.9 19.0 19.4 12.5 17.7 22.6 16.3 11.3
18.0 24.7 14.5 17.7 17.7 11.8 17.8 21.3 13.8 11.0
17.6 24.7 13.0 16.1 18.5 10.9 17.9 19.7 11.5 10.8
18.0 23.8 13.1 18.8 15.8 11.1 19.0 18.3 10.4 9.4
19.1 22.8 13.8 18.0 15.7 12.6 21.1 17.5 10.2 8.@
18.4 22.1 15.0 19.4 18.0 12.7 19.3 18.4 11.7 8.2
24.4 23.9 24.0 22.5 25.7 25.2 22.6 28.1
21.8 21.2 21.0 19.9 22.7 24.2 20.3 26.2
20.3 19.4 20.4 18.3 19.6 23.0 17.9 24.6
18.3 17.4 18.3 16.8 17.4 21.3 15.5 22.5
16.2 15.4 16.0 14.8 15.7 19.5 12.3 20.0
14.2 13.4 14.5 12.7 13.0 17.3 10.0 17.3
12.0 9.9 12.8 10.9 10.7 15.4 8.0 14.8
9.8 7.3 10.2 5.3 8.7 14.4 6.9 11.2
8.3 8.1 8.0 4.5 7.2 13.1 8.0 9.1
7.2 5.4 8.8 4.0 8.4 11.9 5.5 7.8
6.7 5.0 5.9 4.1 8.0 11.2 5.5 8.5
20.5 19.2 22.8 22.9 20.3 22.9
18.3 17.6 20.4 19.9 18.1 21.o
16.8 15.7 18.3 17.4 16.7 19.7
14.9 14.0 17.8 15.4 14.8 18.6
13.3 11.9 16.9 13.8 13.1 16.4
11.8 9.9 15.1 12.1 11.7 14.2
10.2 8.5 13.2 10.6 10.0 12.1
8.7 7.1 11.8 9.5 8.5 10.6
8.3 7.2 10.3 8.5 8.2 9.7
9.4 12.1 11.9 9.4 9.2 11.2
13.8 18.3 17.7 12.9 13.5 17.2
27.8 31.7 31.3 18.6 24.2 34.0 20.5 33.4 31.O 25.7 31.O 23.2
26.3 29.1 28.8 17.0 22.6 32.8 19.2 31.7 29.7 24.8 29.8 21.9
24.6 25.5 26.6 15.0 20.5 31.5 18.1 29.7 29.0 23.8 20.1 20.1
22.9 22.7 24.8 12.5 18.4 29.2 17.0 27.8 28.7 22.8 26.9 18.3
21.4 20.4 22.8 11.7 16.8 26.3 15.8 26.1 28.4 21.8 25.9 16.8
19.8 18.1 20.6 10.0 15.1 22.8 14.6 24.2 27.3 20.8 24.3 15.1
18.7 17.0 18.9 10.9 14.1 19.2 13.3 22.3 25.4 19.8 22.5 13.4
17.5 15.4 17.8 9.3 13.2 16.3 11.9 20.0 23.7 18.8 20.7 11.9
18.7 13.9 17.1 7.5 14.0 14.1 10.7 17.4 21.9 23.0 19.3 10.7
18.0 12.8 18.4 8.1 15.7 12.3 10.0 152 20.4 212 18.1 9.8
15.8 12.8 15.7 5.3 18.5 11.2 10.0 13.5 19.5 19.8 18.4 8.7
Less developed mgi0t-e. exduding
CMna Sub-Sahrran Africa (0) AFRICA
EASTERN AFRICA (1) Djibani .................................................
Madagascar .......................................... M a W ...................... Mozambique ......................................... RBunbn ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia
&pnda
..............................................
Unhd RepuMic of Tanzania ..................
zamwa ................................................. Zimbabwe YDDLE AFRICA An@a ..................................................
cameroa, ............................................. Central African Replblc
c m .................................................... .......................................... Democratic RepuMic d the Cowp Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. SA0 TOme and Prhcipe .........................
NORTMERN AFRICA
........................ ....................... Tunisia .................................................. Weslem Sahara .................................... SOIITMERN AFRICA Botswana Lesotho ............................................. Namibia ................................................
south Ahica ....
swezilar!d ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ..
cape vefde .......................................... CMe dlvoire .........................................
Ghana ....................... Guinea-Bissau ......................................
u r n .................................................. Mauritania .............................................
652
30.0
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulaHon Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Reviskm, Volume I: C m e h w k e Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
8.6
8.5
8.5
8.7
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.7
11.4
WORLD
10.4 8.2 12.1 7.5
10.7 8.0 11.1 7.5
11.1 8.0 10.3 7.6
11.5 8.2 9.7 7.8
12.0 8.4 9.2 8.3
12.7 8.9 8.9 8.9
13.4 9.5 8.7 9.6
14.1 10.1 8.6 10.5
14.7 10.8 8.6 11.4
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (L) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
8.6
8.2
8.0
8.0
8.1
8.4
8.8
9.3
9.9
Less developed regions, excluding China
14.6
13.3
12.2
11.3
10.6
10.0
9.6
9.2
9.1
Sub-Saharan Atrlca (a)
13.1
12.1
11.2
10.5
10.0
9.6
9.3
9.1
9.1
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Buwndl ................................................. Comoros (2) .......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea ................................................... Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .......................................... Mozambique Reunion Rwanda Somalia Uganda United Republic of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe
......................................... ................................................ ................................................ ................................................ ................................................. .................. ................................................. .............................................
MDDLE AFRICA Angola .................................................. Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... Equatorial Guinea ................................. Gabon Sao Tom6 and Principe .........................
..................................................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. 'Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Momcco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesotho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... Cote d'lvoire .......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali Mauritania
..................................................... .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revbion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A29 Crude death rate by maJorarea. region and counby (contlnwd) Estlmatm: 195Cb2005
.
~~~
Crude death rate (deaths per 1 OOO popllatlon)
MaJora m , mglon end countty
1950-1955 19551960 1860-1985 1885-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 lge5-1990 1990-1095 19852OOO 2ooo-2005
Niger .................................................... Nigeria ..................................................
smegaI ................................................ sierra Leone .........................................
Toe0 .....................................................
ASIA EASTERNASIA Chlna (5) .............................................. China. H c q Kmg SAR (8) .................... China. Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem People'r RepuMk of Korea ...........
.
RepuMk of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASiA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... BenCdesh ...........................................
..................................................
...........
........
India Iran (Islamic ...................... Knznkheten ........................................... Kyrgyzstan Maldtvee Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan ........... Turkmenietan ........................................
............................................ ....................
uzbeklstan ............................................
SOUTH-EASTERN M A Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indomsla .............................................. La0 people's Democratic RepuMk ......... Maleysla Myanmer .............................................. Rilipplnee ............................................ Singapore .......... Thailand .....................
..........................
...................
..........
Tim-ceste ................ ......... viel Nam ...............................................
WESTERN ASIA Azerbaljan .............................................
Israel .................................................... Jordan ..................................................
...............
............................. Territory ...............
............................. .............................. SaUa Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab ReprMic ............................
...........................................
United Arab Wratea ............................ Yemen ..................................................
27.7 27.7 27.1 34.0 27.3
26.9 26.3 25.7 32.7 24.7
26.2 24.7 24.0 31.8 22.0
25.7 23.1 22.2 30.4 19.4
25.4 21.6 20.3 28.5 17.1
25.0 20.2 18.0 27.1 15.0
24.3 19.3 15.6 25.7 13.2
23.1 18.4 13.4 24.8 12.1
21.1 17.8 11.8 26.3 11.2
18.3 17.4 10.6 24.5 10.7
15.8 17.5 9.8 23.5 10.8
23.7
20.6
17.7
13.9
10.9
10.0
9.6
8.9
8.3
7.7
7.5
22.8 25.1 8.9 13.5 11.8 9.4 21.7 18.9
18.8 20.7 7.2 11.8 10.8 8.2 19.3 14.9
15.7 17.1 6.2 10.8 9.1 7.3 17.0 12.5
10.4 10.9 5.5 8.1 7.9 6.9 14.8 10.4
6.4 8.3 5.0 7.2 6.1 8.5 13.1 8.3
8.8 8.7 5.0 8.8 5.0 8.1 11.4 7.1
7.5 7.7 4.8 6.5 5.1 6.1 10.0 6.5
7.2 7.4 4.9 5.4 5.4 8.3 8.7 8.1
7.0 7.1 5.8 4.5 6.0 7.0 8.9 5.8
8.8 8.7 5.1 4.2 7.9 7.8 7.2
6.8 8.8 5.3 4.3 9.3 8.0 6.9 5.4
15.3 27.8 18.9 21.9 15.1 13.2 9.2 10.4 15.9 20.2 15.6 7.5 9.4 10.3 9.1
13.4 25.4 17.2 19.5 13.0 11.7 8.8 9.6 13.9 18.0 14.2 7.3 8.9 9.8 8.5
12.0 24.1 15.0 17.1 11.6 10.7 8.3 8.7 11.8 15.9 12.9 6.3 8.0 8.7 7.8
10.8 23.3 13.0 15.1 10.6 8.3 8.0 7.7 9.9 13.9 11.8 6.6 7.0 8.2 7.2
9.9 22.8 11.1 12.8 9.8 8.7 9.8 7.9 8.9 12.0 9.8 8.5 8.9 8.4 7.4
9.0 22.4 9.2 10.0 9.1 5.6 11.8 8.2 7.3 9.8 8.8 7.0 7.7 8.0 8.7
8.8 21.6 8.2 7.8 8.7 5.5 10.8 7.9
10.2 4.1 15.8 11.3 18.1 6.2
11.1
8.8 3.8 13.3 9.2 14.4 5.8 10.9 7.2 5.2 7.3 20.4 9.1
7.8 3.2 11.8 8.2 11.9 5.0 10.3 8.3 4.9 7.4 15.4 8.9
7.0 2.9 10.4 7.2 9.5 4.7 9.8 5.5 4.8 8.1 12.6 5.7
6.7 2.8 10.0 8.6 8.0 4.5 10.2 5.1 4.9 8.8 10.2 5.2
8.9 5.6 8.8 4.5 8.6 8.9 8.3 8.8 8.9 3.2 7.6 9.1 7.7 4.9 7.6 7.1 9.3 4.0 16.8
7.8 8.8 8.8 4.0 8.9 8.7 6.9 8.8 7.1 2.4 7.3 8.3 5.1 3.5 5.7 5.7 8.6 3.2 13.7
7.3 8.3 7.5 3.3 7.7 9.8 9.8 8.3 5.8 2.1 7.1 8.9 3.8 3.4 4.6 4.8 7.2 2.3 11.9
8.6 8.4 8.9 3.0 7.1 10.2 10.0 8.3 4.8 1.8 7.1 5.0 3.1 3.2 4.0 3.9 8.2 1.6 10.1
8.2 8.9 8.9 3.1 7.0 11.1 10.8 5.8 4.1 1.7 7.0 4.2 2.8 2.8 3.8 3.6 5.8 1.4 8.8
25.5 38.7 28.5 26.8 26.0 22.8 14.4 16.4 27.3 28.1 23.1 11.4 12.2 18.2 14.7
22.9 34.5 25.8 26.5 23.3 20.2 12.9 15.1 24.0 26.4 21.3 9.5 13.4 15.5 13.8
20.1 32.5 23.5 25.8 20.2 18.0 11.3 13.2 20.8 24.6 19.3 8.9 13.1 13.9 12.2
17.5 30.2 20.9 24.0 17.4 15.4 9.8 11.1 18.1 22.5 17.3 7.8 11.1 11.7 10.3
23.4 11.6 23.8 26.1 22.0 19.9 27.8 18.4 10.8 15.8 23.9
21.1 10.4 22.1 24.2 21.1 18.5 22.8 15.3 8.8 13.9 31.2 22.9
18.7 9.0 20.4 21.7 19.9 13.3 19.9 12.7 7.1 12.2 28.3 21.1
16.2 7.5 19.4 18.8 18.9 10.4 18.7 11.5 5.8 10.8 25.3 18.8
14.1 5.9 22.5 15.9 18.2 8.8 14.4 10.4 5.2 9.2 23.0 18.8
12.3 5.4 40.0 13.4 17.3 7.7 12.3 9.2 5.1 8.1 45.0 12.9
21.8 11.1 12.0 18.4 10.5 14.4 20.7 8.9 26.0 11.2 18.7 26.0 27.1 22.2 25.9 20.5 23.5 22.8 34.2
18.9 9.5 10.9 15.7 10.5 13.0 18.0 8.2 23.0 10.5 12.9 23.0 24.8 19.4 23.7 18.5 19.8 20.7 31.9
15.8 6.2 7.0 13.8 10.5 8.8 15.3 8.0 22.0 9.0 10.8 22.0 21.7 16.7 21.3 18.5 18.4 17.3 30.0
13.9 5.3 8.7 10.1 10.0 9.7 13.1 8.7 19.0 8.3 9.3 21.0 18.5 14.1 19.2 13.9 13.5 12.3 27.9
12.0 5.2 8.5 7.5 9.7 7.8 11.5 7.1 13.0
10.2
34.6
5.0 8.1 16.8 14.6 11.8 18.9 11.4 11.6 9.9 25.0
5.5 8.8 6.3 8.7 8.1 9.4 8.8 9.8 4.2 7.8 13.5 11.0 9.4 10.7 9.0 10.2 7.4 20.9
11.1
8.2 5.4 7.4 23.0
5.5
8.5 8.7 7.7 7.3 6.6 8.3 8.8
United Nations Department of Ectmom4c and Sociel Affairslpopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Conpret~ensiveT a w
Tabk A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................... Mongolia ............................................... Republic of Korea ................................. SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Da~ssalam................................ Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................... Myanmar .............................................. Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand ................................................ Timor-Leste .......................................... Viet Nam ............................................... WESTERN ASlA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................................................. Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................ Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan .................................................. Kuwait .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. United Arab Emirates Yemen ............................. ...............
............................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
T a b A29. Crude death rate by major a m , region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Crude death rate (deaths per 1,ooOpopulation)
M.(or-,
ngh.nd-ntry 1950-1955 19551980 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975lgBo 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2WO 2000-2005
EUROPE
10.8
10.0
9.8
9.8
10.1
10.4
10.8
10.6
11.2
11.5
11.6
10.3 11.4 10.2 10.9 11.4 14.4 10.9 12.0 9.5 10.7 10.5
9.1 10.2 8.9 10.1 10.3 14.4 8.8 9.7 8.7 8.7 8.9
8.6 6.0 8.2 10.4 10.1 11.0 7.6 8.6 8.8 8.0 8.3
8.5 7.1 8.8 11.5 10.9 9.9 7.8 9.2 8.3 8.5 8.2
9.4 7.9 9.7 12.5 11.8 10.2 8.4 9.4 9.1 10.6 9.7
10.3 9.1 10.6 12.5 12.8 10.6 9.2 9.7 10.3 10.4 10.8
11.3 10.0 11.3 12.8 13.7 11.0 9.7 10.3 11.6 11.o 11.9
11.3 10.1 12.0 12.4 13.8 10.0 10.1 10.8 11.2 10.5 12.1
12.7 12.0 12.8 11.7 14.3 10.8 10.3 11.4 13.2 10.0 13.8
13.4 13.7 14.3 10.7 13.8 11.9 9.8 12.2 14.2 9.9 15.1
14.3 14.5 14.2 10.8 13.3 12.4 9.6 12.2 15.9 9.8 15.8
11.1 11.6 9.0 13.1 9.7 7.5 12.6 11.6 10.6 8.2 9.8 11.7
10.9 11.8 9.1 11.0 9.1 7.1 12.0 10.2 8.5 8.8 9.6 11.6
11.1 12.1 9.7 10.5 9.4 6.9 11.8 10.2 8.0 9.5 10.0 11.8
11.1 12.1 9.9 10.8 9.7 7.1 11.5 10.7 8.3 9.7 10.2 11.7
11.2 12.2 10.1 11.0 9.5 7.0 11.0 11.5 9.0 10.0 10.4 11.8
11.4 12.0 10.4 12.1 9.3 6.4 10.3 12.5 10.0 10.0 10.9 11.9
11.3 11.5 11.1 12.5 9.3 6.9 9.4 12.8 10.5 10.2 11.0 11.a
11.1 10.7 11.5 12.1 9.8 6.9 9.1 12.4 10.4 10.7 11.1 11.4
11.2 12.2 11.8 13.9 9.8 6.7 8.8 14.4 11.8 10.5 10.9 11.3
10.7 11.1 11.4 13.7 9.6 6.7 8.6 13.9 11.6 9.9 10.6 10.8
10.2 9.9 10.7 13.7 9.5 6.1 7.6 13.6 11.8 9.5 10.5 10.2
10.5 14.4 13.9 14.0 7.2 9.9 10.2 5.0 11.8 14.1 10.6 10.2 17.2
9.8 10.9 10.6 11.3 7.3 9.6 8.8 4.2 11.4 11.6 9.6 9.4 13.2
9.4 9.7 8.9 10.3 7.8 9.7 8.8 3.6 10.9 10.1 9.5 8.7 9.6
9.3 8.3 7.5 10.1 8.1 9.8 9.2 3.3 11.0 9.3 10.1 8.6 8.1
9.3 8.1 6.9 10.5 8.6 9.8 9.0 3.1 10.7 9.3 10.2 8.6 8.2
9.1 6.5 6.5 10.8 8.8 9.8 8.8 3.1 10.3 9.2 10.4 8.1 7.0
9.0 6.1 6.8 11.6 9.0 9.7 9.3 3.2 9.7 10.0 10.8 7.8 7.1
9.1 5.6 7.1 11.4 9.3 9.5 7.9 3.1 9.7 10.3 10.3 8.2 7.8
9.3 6.1 7.0 10.7 9.6 9.7 7.5 6.5 10.2 10.1 10.1 8.6 8.0
9.6 6.0 8.0 11.1 9.3 9.9 7.8 6.5 10.7 10.6 9.6 9.1 8.2
9.6 5.5 8.7 11.5 9.9 9.9 7.7 8.2 10.4 11.0 9.4 8.7 8.6
Switzerland ...........................................
11.4 12.3 12.1 12.8 11.1 11.7 7.5 10.1
11.3 12.5 11.7 11.8 11.6 11.8 7.6 9.9
11.3 12.6 12.5 11.2 11.8 12.0 7.8 9.5
11.5 13.0 12.6 11.0 12.3 12.3 8.2 9.3
11.4 12.7 12.1 10.7 12.3 12.2 8.3 9.0
11.1 12.4 11.8 10.3 12.2 11.6 8.1 9.0
11.0 12.1 11.6 10.1 12.1 11.2 8.2 9.2
10.5 11.1 10.6 9.5 11.6 10.6 8.5 9.1
10.2 10.4 10.6 9.2 11.2 10.4 8.7 9.4
10.0 10.0 10.3 9.5 10.7 9.3 8.8 8.4
9.7 9.5 10.3 9.2 10.3 8.9 8.7 8.1
LATIN M I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN
15.5
13.7
12.3
11.0
9.8
8.7
7.8
7.1
6.6
6.1
6.0
15.1 8.9 10.7 13.2 10.7 20.2 10.5 13.1 26.4 11.5 12.9 12.3 8.7 14.7 16.7 11.2 14.1
13.1 6.8 9.0 10.3 9.2 17.4 10.3 10.2 23.6 9.8 9.9 9.4 7.1 14.5 16.0 9.4 11.7
11.7 5.8 7.7 9.2 8.6 14.6 9.5 8.5 21.0 9.1 8.5 7.9 6.9 11.8 13.2 7.6 9.5
10.3 5.4 7.1 8.5 7.3 11.9 8.6 8.1 18.6 8.5 7.5 7.1 6.6 8.4 11.2 7.2 7.5
9.3 5.1 6.1 8.7 6.4 9.7 8.7 7.5 17.1 8.2 7.2 6.7 6.6 8.0 10.0 7.4 6.2
8.6 5.8 5.6 8.7 5.9 8.3 9.3 6.9 16.2 7.4 6.8 6.6 6.5 7.1 8.6 7.1 5.5
8.5 5.7 6.2 8.9 6.3 7.4 9.4 6.7 15.6 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 7.9 7.0 5.3
8.2 6.4 5.8 8.2 6.8 6.6 9.5 6.2 13.8 6.5 6.1 6.2 7.1 6.2 7.4 6.7 5.1
8.2 6.7 6.3 7.7 7.4 6.1 9.5 6.2 12.5 7.0 6.9 6.3 7.9 6.9 7.0 6.8 5.3
7.8 7.0 7.1 7.5 7.0 8.0 9.2 6.1 11.4 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.9 7.1 6.8 7.1 5.2
7.8 6.9 6.5 7.3 7.8 6.0 8.8 6.2 10.5 7.1 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.0 6.9 7.9 5.8
EASTERN EUROPE
PdMd .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ................... Skvakia Ukraine .................................................
.....
NORTHERNEUROPE (0)
Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... LaMa ...................................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bcsnia and Herregovilla
cmati ................................................
....
Greece .................................................
Portugal ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ...........................
............................... France .................................................. Germeny .............................................. Luxenhurg ......
Netherlands ..........................................
CARIBBEAN (16)
s ..............................................
Bahados ..............................................
.............................. ...................... ...................... Jamaica ................................................ Marlinique ............................................. Nemel.lands Antwles ..............................
656
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 Affairslpopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Conrprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050:
Low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
EUROPE EASTERNEUROPE Belarus ................................................. Bulgaria ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ................................................ Poland .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
...............................
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia ................................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland ................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvii .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Norway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom ..................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ................................................. Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................ Croatia ................................................. Greece Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ...........................
.................................................
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France .................................................. Germany ............................................... Luxembourg .......................................... Netherlands .......................................... Switzerland ...........................................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................... Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ................................................ Martinique ............................................. Netherlands Antilles .............................. Puerto Rico ........................................... Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.29. Crude death rate by mew area, r e g h and c o w (cmthod)
Crude death rate (deatha per 1,OOOpopulation) Major ama,rogbn m d country 1950-1955 1955-19801960-1965 18851970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-19801990-19B6 1995-2OOO2ooo.2006 CENTRAL W R I C A
17.6 12.6 13.5 19.9 22.3 24.4 16.6 22.7 13.3
14.7 11.0 11.9 17.4 20.2 21.6 13.6 19.9 11.1
12.6 9.8 10.2 14.8 18.0 18.3 11.5 16.8 9.8
11.2 8.3 8.2 12.5 15.8 16.1 10.4 14.4 8.8
9.8 7.3 6.8 11.1 13.5 13.8 9.1 12.6 7.5
8.2 6.5 5.8 11.4 12.2 11.4 7.4 11.3 6.3
7.1 5.7 4.7 11.1 10.9 9.4 6.4 10.1 5.7
8.2 5.2 4.4 8.0 9.4 7.5 5.7 8.4 5.4
5.8 4.9 4.1 8.8 8.1 8.7 5.2 8.5 5.3
5.0 4.1 3.8 8.0 8.9 6.1 4.7 5.5 5.0
4.9 3.8 3.9 5.9 8.0 6.0 4.7 5.0 5.0
14.9 9.1 24.4 15.4 13.6 16.3 19.4 15.6 17.7 8.8 21.8 12.6 10.5 12.3
13.5 8.6 23.1 14.0 13.3 13.2 17.0 14.1 15.9 8.5 19.7 11.4 10.1 10.6
12.2 8.8 21.6 12.6 12.2 11.4 14.6 12.0 13.7 7.9 17.6 10.3 9.6 9.3
11.0 9.1 20.3 11.1 10.3 10.0 13.1 9.0 11.6 7.8 15.6 8.8 9.6 7.7
9.8 9.0 19.0 9.9 8.8 8.8 11.5 7.8 10.3 7.0 12.8 7.5 10.1 6.5
8.9 8.9 16.0 9.1 7.4 7.7 9.8 7.2 9.2 8.9 10.9 7.3 10.1 5.8
8.0 8.5 13.3 8.3 8.4 6.6 8.1 8.1 9.1 6.9 9.1 7.2 9.9 5.5
7.3 8.5 11.4 7.4 5.9 6.3 8.7 5.2 8.7 6.8 7.8 6.8 10.0 5.0
8.8 8.2 10.0 8.8 5.5 6.3 5.9 4.5 8.7 8.3 7.0 8.4 9.8 4.9
6.3 7.7 8.9 8.4 5.2 5.7 5.2 3.9 9.1 5.9 8.4 6.5 9.2 4.8
6.2 7.7 82 6.3 5.0 5.8 5.0 3.7 9.1 5.6 8.2 8.8 9.3
9.4 8.7 9.5
9.3 8.1 9.4
9.3 7.7 9.4
9.3 7.5 9.5
9.0 7.3 9.2
8.5 7.0 8.8
8.7 6.9 8.9
8.7 7.0 8.9
8.7 7.1 8.9
8.2 7.2 8.3
8.2 7.2 8.3
12.6
11.4
10.7
10.3
9.8
9,1
8.0
8.0
7.8
7.5
7.3
9.4 9.4 9.3
8.9 8.8 9.1
8.7 8.7 8.9
8.6 8.9 8.7
8.5 8.5 8.4
7.8 7.7 8.2
7.5 7.3 8.1
7.4 7.3 8.2
7.1 7.0 7.6
7.1 7.0 7.4
6.9 8.8 7.1
YLANESIA Fiji ........................................................ New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... sdomon lslande ... ........... vanuatu ................ ...........
26.6 13.3 15.3 29.7 19.3 22.3
23.1 11.5 13.9 26.0 16.7 19.5
20.0 9.7 11.0 22.8 14.2 16.8
17.5 8.2 9.7 20.2 11.0 14.5
15.5 7.2 9.1 18.0 9.2 12.6
14.8 6.6 7.1 17.5 7.4 10.4
10.5 6.0 6.1 12.0 5.9 9.3
10.5 8.0 5.7 11.5 11.8 7.7
9.8 6.3 5.5 10.6 10.2 7.1
9.4 8.2 5.5 10.2 8.7 8.7
92 8.4 5.2 9.9 7.9 5.7
WCRONESlA (20) Guam ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
14.0 8.9 14.2
12.4 7.7 12.5
10.9 6.4 10.9
9.6 5.6 9.6
8.3 4.6 8.8
7.7 4.1 7.8
7.0 3.8 7.2
6.4 3.9 6.7
8.1 4.7 8.4
5.5 4.7 8.3
5.3 5.1 6.3
POLYNESIA (a) French Poiynesia ..................................
14.8 16.3 17.7 8.7
12.3 12.6 15.2 7.8
10.7 11.2 13.1 6.9
9.2 9.8 11.0 6.1
8.0 8.4 9.4 5.5
7.4 7.8 8.3 5.6
6.7 6.1 7.6 5.8
6.1 5.5 8.8 5.9
5.9 5.0 6.9 5.9
5.5 4.8 6.2 5.7
5.4 4.9 5.7 5.7
Costa Rka ............................................
flsalvedor ...........................................
Guatemla ............................................
Honduras
M e w............ ..... Niceragua .............................................
panams ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) An~entina.............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... C .........
.........
C
Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ......................................
Guyana ...........
..............
Paraguay .............................................. k N
.....................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarlan Repacic of) ......... NORTHERN AUERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States d Ametica ....................... OCEANIA AUSTRUI&NEW ZEALAND Australia (19)........................................ New zealaml .........................................
658
6.0
United Nations Dqmbmnt of Eamcdc and Social AfFairslpopulaUon Division World popU4tbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: C o ~ e ! h s ~ ~T~ h f e .
Table A.29. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Low variant Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Medco Nicaragua Panama
................................... ..... ........... ............................................
........................................... ............................................ .............................................. .................................................. ............................................. ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador French Guiana Guyana Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolirian Republic of)
..............................................
................................................... .................................................... ..................................................... .............................................. ................................................ ...................................... ................................................ .............................................. ...................................................... .............................................. ................................................
.........
NORTHERNAMERICA (18) Canada United States of America
................................................. .......................
AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand
........................................
.........................................
MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands Vanuatu
........................................................ ..............................:....... ...............................
...................................
...............................................
MICRONESIA (20) Guam Micronesia (Fed. States of)
................................................... ...................
POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia Samoa Tonga
.................................. .................................................. ...................................................
9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. 11 Includinghand Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen lslands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See. and San Marino. 14 The toner Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtenstein.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, MMltserrat, Saint Kii and Nevis, and Turks and C a m Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland lslands (Malvinas). 18 lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. 20 lncludingKiribati. Marshall Islands. N~uN,Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncluding American Samoa, Cook Islands. Niue. Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu. Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country: estimates and projections. 1950-2050 Estimates 1950-2005 Life ekpectancy at birth (years)
Major a m . -Ion
a d country 1950-1955 19551980 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 19952000 -2005
WORLD Males ............................................. Females ......................................... BothsexescMMned ......................
45.0 47.8 46.4
47.9 50.7 49.3
50.9 53.6 52.2
54.7 57.5 56.1
56.7 59.9 58.3
58.5 62.0 60.2
59.7 63.5 61.6
61.3 65.2 63.3
62.1 66.3 64.2
63.0
63.9
67.4 65.2
88.0
36.3 38.9 37.6
38.3 40.9 39.6
40.3 43.1 41.7
42.1 45.1 43.6
44.0 47.1 45.5
45.8 48.9 47.3
47.1 50.3 48.7
48.3 51.5 49.9
47.8 51.3 49.6
47.6 50.8 49.2
47.6 49.8 48.8
37.3 39.7 38.5
39.4 41.9 40.6
41.5 44.1 42.8
43.4 46.2 44.8
45.4 48.2 46.8
47.2 50.2 48.7
48.8 51.9 50.3
50.3 53.5 51.8
50.2 53.6 51.9
50.1 53.4 51.7
50.3 52.8 51.6
68.3
W R E DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... L.wt d e v d o p d countries (c) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lean d m l o p d mglons excluding loam dmtopad count* (d) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes c d n e d ......................
......................
.
L#.d w d o p d mglona. excluding
China Males ...................... ................... Females ......................................... Both sems combined ......................
..
'Sub-Sahmran A i r l u (a) Males Females ......................................... Bothsexescombined......................
..........................................
AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Bothsexescombined...................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoroa (2) M W ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dllboull Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Eritru Males ............................................. Females .................................. ... Both sexas cwnbined ...................... Ethlopla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sems combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Udoga.ur Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both s e w combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Males ...................... ................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Least developed countrlaa (c) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Less developed regions, excludlng least developed countries (d) Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
Less developed regions, excluding China Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AFRICA Males ....................... .................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
EASTERN AFRICA (1) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burundl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Comoros (2) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Djlboutl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Erltrea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ethiopia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kenya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Madagascar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A30 Life expectancy at birth by major area. reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life e-tancy
at birth (years)
MaJora m . region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 19751980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1590-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
mlawl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... m u r l t l u s (3) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moznmblque . ............ Males .............................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... RBunlon ............ Males ............................. . Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republlc of Tanzania Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Umbla . ............... Males ........................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zlmbabwo Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... MDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................ Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Angola . .............. Males ............................ Females ......................................... Bolh sexes combined ...................... Cameroon . .............. Males ............................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central Afrlcan Republlc Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad ..... .................... Males ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republlc of the Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 8 3 0 . Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
Malawl Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mauritius (3) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mozambique Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Reunion Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Rwanda Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Somalia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uganda Males ............................... .......... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Republic of Tanzania Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Zambia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Zimbabwe Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
MIDDLE AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................... .. .......... Both sexes combined ...................... Angola .............. Males ................. .. ...... Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cameroon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Central African Republic Males ...................... ................... Females ..................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chad Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Congo Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Democratic Republlc of the Congo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
table 1130. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~~
~~
~
Life expectancy at birth (years) Major a m , region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005
Equatorlal G u l n u Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon
33.0 36.0 34.5
34.5 37.5 36.0
36.0 39.0 37.5
37.5 40.6 39.0
39.0 42.1 40.5
40.5 43.6 42.0
42.1 45.3 43.7
44.1 47.3 45.7
46.0 49.2 47.5
46.6 49.9 48.2
48.0 50.7 49.3
35.5 38.6 37.0
37.5 40.6 39.0
38.9 42.1 40.5
43.1 46.2 44.6
47.1 50.3 48.7
51.3 54.4 52.8
55.0 58.2 56.6
58.7 61.9 60.2
59.8 63.1 61.4
58.8 62.2 60.5
55.7 57.8 56.8
45.2 48.0 46.5
47.6 50.5 48.9
50.5 53.5 51.9
53.0 56.0 54.4
55.0 58.0 56.5
57.1 60.0 58.6
59.0 61.7 60.4
60.4 63.1 61.7
61.2 64.1 62.7
61.7 64.9 63.3
62.5 66.1 64.3
40.9 42.8 41.8
43.2 45.2 44.1
45.4 47.5 46.4
47.8 49.9 48.8
50.1 52.3 51.1
52.8 55.1 53.9
55.7 58.2 57.0
58.7 61.5 60.1
61.3 64.5 62.8
63.4 67.0 65.2
65.2 69.0 67.1
42.1 44.2 43.1
44.7 46.8 45.7
47.3 49.4 48.3
50.4 52.5 51.4
53.5 55.5 54.5
57.0 59.0 58.0
60.2 62.6 61.4
64.7 67.1 65.8
66.6 69.1 67.7
67.9 70.4 69.2
69.7 72.2 71.0
41.1 42.7 41.9
43.6 45.3 44.4
46.1 47.9 47.0
48.4 50.2 49.3
50.3 52.0 51.1
52.5 54.2 53.3
55.1 57.0 56.0
58.6 81.1 59.8
62.2 65.3 63.7
65.3 69.2 67.2
67.7 72.0 69.8
41.9 43.9 42.7
44.3 46.6 45.3
46.7 49.2 47.8
49.0 51.8 50.2
51.4 54.5 52.8
56.0 59.3 57.4
60.6 64.2 62.2
64.5 68.9 66.2
66.9 71.7 68.8
69.3 74.5 71.6
70.5 75.7 72.7
......
41.9 43.9 42.9
44.3 46.6 45.4
46.7 49.2 47.9
49.0 51.8 50.3
51.4 54.5 52.9
54.1 57.5 55.7
58.0 61.5 59.7
60.9 64.6 62.7
63.5 67.5 65.4
65.6 69.8 87.7
67.5 71.8 69.6
......................
37.3 40.1 38.6
38.3 41.1 39.6
39.5 42.3 40.9
41.5 44.3 42.9
43.8 46.5 45.1
46.5 49.2 47.8
49.0 51.8 50.3
50.3 53.3 51.7
52.1 55.2 53.6
53.8 57.0 55.4
55.0 57.8 56.4
44.1 45.1 44.6
46.6 47.6 47.1
49.1 50.1 49.6
51.6 52.6 52.1
55.1 56.1 55.6
58.8 61.O 59.8
62.7 65.7 64.0
65.3 68.8 66.9
66.3 72.1 70.0
70.1 74.0 72.0
71.1 75.1 73.0
34.0 37.1 35.5
36.0 39.1 37.4
38.0 41 .O 39.3
39.9 43.0 41.2
41.9 45.1 43.2
46.2 49.4 47.5
50.5 53.7 51.8
54.8 58.1 58.1
57.3 60.6 58.7
59.8 63.1 61.3
62.3 65.8 63.9
43.6 45.9 44.7
46.1 49.3 47.7
47.7 51.7 49.7
49.3 54.1 51.6
50.8 56.2 53.4
52.5 58.5 55.4
54.9 61.4 58.0
57.3 64.1 60.6
58.2 65.3 61.7
56.3 63.1 59.6
50.6 54.5 52.5
45.6 49.5 47.6
47.7 51.5 49.6
49.7 53.3 51.5
51.5 55.0 53.3
54.1 57.8 56.0
57.2 61.2 59.3
59.4 63.5 61.5
61.4 65.7 63.6
60.0 65.5 62.7
50.0 55.1 52.6
45.7 47.4 46.6
40.4 43.8 42.1
43.3 46.7 45.0
46.0 49.4 47.7
46.7 50.1 48.5
48.1 51.3 49.8
50.5 53.8 52.2
53.3 56.7 55.1
55.4 58.9 57.2
57.6 61.6 59.7
52.9 57.8 55.6
43.2 45.7 44.6
39.5 44.1 41.7
43.1 47.5 45.2
46.3 50.6 48.4
49.2 53.2 51.2
51.9 55.9 53.9
54.6 58.4 56.4
57.0 61.0 59.0
58.9 62.9 60.8
59.9 64.2 62.0
56.7 61.1 58.9
50.3 52.5 51.5
44.0 46.0 45.0
46.5 49.5 48.0
48.0 52.0 50.0
49.5 54.5 51.9
51.O 56.6 53.7
52.5 58.8 55.5
54.9 61.7 58.2
57.4 64.7 60.8
58.3 65.8 61.9
56.8 63.9 60.2
51.2 55.6 53.4
39.4 43.4 41.4
41.5 45.4 43.4
43.1 47.0 45.0
44.7 48.6 46.6
47.6 51.5 49.6
50.6 54.4 52.5
53.6 57.5 55.6
55.7 59.7 57.7
56.2 60.7 58.5
51.9 56.7 54.3
42.6 45.1 43.9
Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... S o Tom6 and Prfnclp Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .......... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Alprla
.....
......................................
Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahlrlya Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females ......................... Both sexes combined Sudan Males .............................................
Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .... Botawana Males ............................................. Lewtho
Namlbla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .... South Afrlca Mates ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Swdland Males .................. Females .............. Both sexes combined ......................
......
...
664
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulationDivision WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 RevMon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Equatorial Guinea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gabon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... S o Tom6 and Principe Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... NORTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Algeria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined .................... Egypt Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Bdh sexes combined ...................... Morocco Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sudan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tunisia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Western Sahara Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ......................
..
SOUTHERN AFRICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Botswana Males ............................ ............. Females ................................ . ...... Both sexes combined ...................... Lesotho Males ................... ...................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Namibia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... South Africa Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Swaziland Males ............................................. Females ...................... ........... Both sexes combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life eqmtancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 19851990 1990-1995 19952MX) 2000-2005
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bsnln Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burklna Faso Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cape Vwda Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined CBte d'lvolre Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Garnbla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Gulnea-Blrsau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Llberla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mall Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Maurltanla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Slerra Leone Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... 1ogo Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Benin Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Burklna Faso Males Females Both sexes combined Cape Verde Males Females Both sexes combined C6te d'lvolre Males Females Both sexes combined Gambia Males Females Both sexes combined Ghana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guinea-Bissau Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Liberia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Mali Males Females Both sexes combined Mauritania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Niger Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nigeria Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Senegal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sierra Leone Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tog0 Males Females Both sexes combined
...................... .............................................
............................................. ..........................................
...................... ............................................. .......................................... ...................... ............................................. .......................................... ...................... ........................................... .......................................... ......................
...................... ............................................. .......................................... ......................
............................................. ..........................................
............................................ .......................................... ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1130. Life expectancy at Mrth by major a m , region and country (Continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expecmcy at birth (yean) Major area. mgion and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1985-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 ISSO-I995 1995-2000 2000-2005
ASIA
Males .............................................
......................
40.4 41.7 41.O
43.6 44.9 44.2
47.5 48.4 48.0
53.1 54.1 53.6
56.1 57.2 58.6
58.3 59.9 59.1
59.6 81.8 60.7
81.7 64.0 62.8
63.2 65.9 64.5
64.6 67.7 86.1
65.8 69.4 67.5
41.4 44.7 42.9
45.1 48.5 46.7
50.4 52.5 51.4
59.6 61.6 60.6
63.2 65.2 64.2
65.1 67.6 66.4
65.2 68.4 66.6
66.9 70.2 68.5
68.2 71.7 69.9
69.8 73.6 71.6
71.3 75.2 73.2
39.3 42.3 40.8
43.1 46.2 44.6
48.7 50.4 49.5
58.8 60.4 59.6
62.5 63.9 63.2
64.5 66.3 65.3
64.3 68.9 65.5
66.0 68.8 67.3
67.4 70.3 68.7
69.0 72.0 70.4
70.5 73.7 72.0
57.2 64.9 61.O
81.o 68.5 64.8
64.0 71.3 67.7
66.5 73.5 70.0
68.5 75.8 72.0
70.5 76.8 73.6
72.6 78.3 75.5
74.3 79.9 76.2
75.5 81.0 77.6
77.2 83.0 80.0
78.6 84.5 81.5
51.5 56.5 54.0
54.5 59.5 57.0
58.5 63.5 61.O
62.5 67.5 65.0
64.0 69.0 66.4
67.0 72.0 69.4
71.5 76.5 74.0
73.5 78.5 76.0
75.2 79.8 77.3
76.5 80.9 78.8
77.6 82.2 80.0
48.5 51.5 50.1
52.4 55.5 54.1
54.8 58.1 56.7
57.8 61.7 59.9
60.8 66.4 64.0
63.5 69.9 87.2
65.4 71.8 69.1
67.0 73.3 70.6
66.1 73.7 70.0
64.0 71.O 67.7
64.2 68.8 66.7
61.6 65.5 63.9
64.3 68.8 68.8
66.7 71.7 69.0
68.8 74.1 71.1
70.6 75.9 73.3
72.7 78.0 75.5
74.2 79.7 76.9
75.5 81.3 78.3
78.2 82.4 79.5
77.1 83.8 80.5
78.3 85.2 81.9
41.O 43.5 42.2
44.0 48.5 45.2
47.0 49.5 48.3
50.0 52.5 51.3
52.5 55.0 53.8
54.0 57.0 55.5
58.0 59.0 57.5
56.5 62.0 60.2
59.4 63.2 61.3
61.1 66.3 63.6
61.9 68.4 65.0
46.0 49.0 47.5
51.1 54.2 52.7
53.6 56.9 55.3
56.0 59.4 57.7
59.3 66.1 62.6
61.3 68.5 64.8
63.1 71.4 67. I
65.8 74.0 69.8
68.5 78.5 72.2
70.9 78.5 74.6
73.5 80.6 77.0
39.1 37.8 38.4
41.9 40.5 41.2
44.9 43.5 44.2
48.1 46.9 47.5
51.0 50.1 50.5
53.7 53.5 53.6
55.9 56.2 56.0
57.9 58.5 56.2
59.4 60.7 60.0
60.6 62.4 81.5
61.5 64.1 62.7
29.2 28.4 28.8
30.7 30.0 30.3
32.3 31.7 32.0
34.3
33.8 34.0
36.3 35.9 36.1
38.7 36.2 38.4
40.0 39.7 39.9
41.O 40.7 40.8
41.7 41.7 41.7
41.8 41.8 41.8
42.2 42.1 42.1
36.3 36.7 37.5
40.0 38.7 39.3
41.7 40.7 41.2
43.5 43.4 43.5
45.6 45.0 45.3
47.1 46.8 46.9
50.1 50.0 50.0
52.9 52.8 52.8
55.5 56.7 56.0
59.0 59.9 59.4
61.3 62.8 62.0
36.0 36.3 36.1
36.3 36.9 36.8
37.3 38.2 37.7
38.9 40.1 39.5
41.1 42.7 41.8
43.8 45.8 44.7
46.8 49.2 47.9
49.4 52.3 50.7
53.0 56.3 54.5
57.3 60.8 58.9
61.8 65.2 63.5
38.1 36.8 37.4
41.I 39.3 40.2
44.6 42.6 43.8
48.1 46.2 47.2
51.4 50.0 50.7
54.6 53.9 54.2
56.6 56.6 56.6
58.5 56.8 58.8
59.9 60.8 60.2
61.o 82.7 61.8
61.7 64.2 62.9
44.9 44.9 44.9
47.2 47.2 47.2
49.3 49.3 49.3
52.6 52.4 52.5
55.4 55.1 55.2
57.5 58.1 57.7
58.8 60.7 59.6
62.2 64.3 63.0
64.7 67.1 65.7
66.9 69.3 68.0
68.0 71.o 69.5
50.2 60.8 55.0
52.2 62.8 57.2
54.2 64.7 59.3
56.3 68.7 61.5
57.8 68.2 63.1
58.8 69.3 64.2
60.4 70.9 65.8
62.4 72.1 67.4
60.5 70.3 65.4
57.5 68.9 63.0
59.5 70.6 64.9
48.8 57.3 52.9
50.9 59.4 55.1
53.0 61.5 57.3
55.2 63.7 59.5
58.8 65.3 61.2
58.0 66.5 62.3
59.6 68.1 64.0
62.0 69.8 66.0
62.1 70.1 66.1
61.O 69.0 64.9
61.4 69.4 65.3
EASTERN ASIA
.......................... Both sexes combined ...................... ChiM (5) Males ....... ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Both sexes combined ...................... China, Mac00 SAR (7) Males ............................................. Females ........................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dam. +plena Republlc of K o m
............................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined .............. Republic ot K o m Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... XHITH-CENTRAL ASIA (8) Males ............................................. Aighanlstan Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladaah Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Indla
.....
Males ..............................
Females ........................ Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (lalamlc Republlc of) Males ................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhatan Males ............................................. Females .......................... Both sexes combined ....... KywY=tan Males ............................................. Females .......................... Both sexes combined ......................
........
668
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 ASIA
67.2 71.0 69.0
68.6 72.6 70.5
69.9 74.0 71.9
71.0 75.2 73.0
71.9 76.4 74.1
72.8 77.3 75.0
73.6 78.2 75.9
74.4 78.9 76.6
75.2 79.7 77.4
Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN ASlA Males ............................................. Females .................... .................. Both sexes combined ...................... China (S) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... China. Macao SAR (7) Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dem People's Republlc ot Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Japan Males ............................................. Females ................................... ... Both sexes combined ...................... Mongolia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Republlc of Korea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
.
SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Afghanistan Males .................... ..................... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bangladesh Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bhutan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... India Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kazakhstan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kyrgyzstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AEairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1965-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005
Maldives Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nepal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paklstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tajiklstan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkmenistan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbekistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brunel Darussalam Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Indonesia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Maiaysla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Philippines Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Thailand Males ............................. ............ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
39.8 42.0 40.9
42.7 45.1 43.9
45.4 48.0 46.7
48.3 51.3 49.7
50.7 54.1 52.3
53.6 57.1 55.3
56.8 60.8 58.7
59.8 63.7 61.7
62.2 66.3 64.2
64.3 69.0 66.6
66.0 71.0 68.5
59.6 61.1 60.4
61.0 62.0 61.5
62.5 63.5 63.0
64.0 66.0 64.9
66.9 69.9 68.3
68.1 71.4 69.7
70.1 73.6 71.6
71.5 75.3 73.2
72.4 77.1 74.5
73.4 78.1 75.5
74.2 78.9 .. 76.3
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life evectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Maldlves Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nepal Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Pakistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sri Lanka Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Tajlkistan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkmenistan Males ............................................. Females ............................... .. .... Both sexes combined ...................... Uzbeklstan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females ..................... ................. Both sexes combined ...................... Brunei Darussalam Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cambodia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... lndonesla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malaysia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Myanmar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Phlllpplnes Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Singapore Males ............................................. Females ............................... ..... Both sexes combined ...................... Thailand Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
Timor-Leste Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... V i a Nam Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaljan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupled Palestlnian Territory Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females .................................. .... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudi Arabia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections P -
Life exqectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-2035 2035-20402040-20452045-2050 Tlmor-Leste Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vlet Nam Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN ASIA Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Armenia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Azerbaljan Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahrain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cyprus Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Georgia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iraq Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Israel Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Jordan Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Kuwait Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lebanon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Occupled Palestlnlan Territory Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Oman Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Qatar Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saudl Arabla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Llfe expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (conthwed) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years)
MJor area. reglon and country 1950-19551955-19601960-1965 1965-1970 1970-19751975-19801980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 l99C2000 2000-2005 Syrlan Arab Republlc Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emirates Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EUROPE Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belarus Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes c o m b i ...................... Bulgaria Males ................................. ........ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republlc Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moldova Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romanla Males ................................ Females ...................... ............... Both sexes combined ...................... Russlan Federatlon Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males .................... .................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
..
. . .......
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, reglon and country
2005-2010201 0-2015 2015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Syrian Arab Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Turkey Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Arab Emlratea Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Yemen Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... EUROPE Males ....................... ................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
.
EASTERN EUROPE Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belarus Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bulgaria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Czech Republic Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Hungary Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Moldova Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Poland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Romanle Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Russian Federallon Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovakla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ukraine Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area. region and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Bath sexes combined ...................... Channel Islands (10) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Denmark Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Estonia Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Flnland (11) Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Iceland Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ireland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Latvia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Lithuania Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Norway (12) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sweden Males ............................................. Females ............................. ........ Both sexes combined ...................... United Kingdom Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ......................
..
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Albania Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bosnla and Herzegovlna Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Croatia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Greece Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major a m , region and country
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Channel Islands (10) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Denmark Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Estonla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Flnland (11) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Iceland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ireland Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Latvla Males .............................. Females ........................... .......... Both sexes combined ...................... Lithuania Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nomay (12) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Sweden Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... United Klngdom Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
........ ..
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Albanla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bosnla and Herzegovlna Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Croatla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Or-
United Nations Department of Economic and Social ARairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Life expectancy at birth (pan) Major a m , region and country 1950-1955 1955-1980 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2ooo-2005 Italy 64.3 67.8 66.0
66.3 70.8 68.5
67.4 72.6 69.9
68.2 73.9 71.O
69.2 75.2 72.1
70.4 76.9 73.6
71.5 78.0 74.5
73.1 79.6 76.2
74.0 80.5 77.3
75.5 81.8 78.7
76.9 82.9 79.9
64.2 67.7 65.9
66.3 70.0 68.1
67.0 70.8 68.9
67.5 71.4 69.5
68.5 72.8 70.6
70.0 74.3 72.2
71.3 75.8 73.5
72.7 77.3 75.0
74.0 78.4 76.3
75.0 79.8 77.4
76.2 80.8 78.6
58.4 59.9 59.2
60.2 62.6 61.4
62.0 65.4 63.7
65.0 69.2 67.2
68.1 73.1 70.6
70.4 75.6 73.1
71.5 76.6 74.1
72.3 77.4 74.9
72.7 78.9 75.4
72.1 78.9 75.4
71.8 76.5 74.0
......................
56.9 61.9 59.3
59.7 65.1 62.3
61.4 67.1 64.2
63.1 69.3 66.1
64.9 71.3 68.0
66.7 73.8 70.2
68.8 75.8 72.2
70.1 77.2 73.8
70.9 76.1 74.6
72.1 79.2 75.7
73.9 80.5 77.2
Both sexes combined ......................
57.1 50.8 58.0
60.7 62.6 61.7
63.3 65.7 64.5
65.2 68.6 68.9
66.8 70.6 68.7
68.1 72.5 70.3
67.7 72.7 70.2
68.8 73.7 71.2
69.2 74.5 71.7
69.9 74.6 72.2
70.9 75.6 73.2
Males ............................................. Females .........................................
63.0 68.1 65.6
65.1 70.5 67.9
66.1 72.0 69.2
65.6 72.6 69.2
66.0 73.5 69.6
67.0 74.8 71.O
67.1 75.2 71.1
68.5 76.5 72.4
69.7 77.4 73.5
71.2 78.7 75.0
72.9 60.4 76.8
Males ............................................. Females ........................... Both sexes combined ................ TFYR Macedonia (14) Males .................... Females Both sexes combined
61.6 66.3 63.9
65.4 70.2 67.7
67.9 72.7 70.2
69.1 74.3 71.6
70.2 75.7 72.9
71.4 77.4 74.3
72.8 78.9 75.8
73.1 80.0 76.6
73.8 81.o 77.4
75.1 82.2 78.6
76.6 83.4 80.0
55.0 55.0 55.0
58.7 59.4 59.0
61.7 62.8 62.2
64.2 66.0 65.1
66.1 68.9 67.5
67.9 71.4 69.6
67.7 71.5 69.6
68.9 72.8 70.8
69.4 74.0 71.8
70.4 74.8 72.6
71.1 75.9 73.4
65.2 69.9 67.6
66.9 72.3 69.7
67.7 73.6 70.7
68.0 74.4 71.3
68.4 75.0 71.7
69.6 76.5 73.1
70.7 77.7 74.3
72.1 79.0 75.6
73.1 80.0 76.6
74.4 81.o 77.8
75.9 62.0 79.0
63.2 68.4 65.7
65.0 71.1 68.0
66.1 72.6 69.3
66.5 73.4 69.9
67.0 74.3 70.6
68.5 75.7 72.0
69.6 76.8 73.1
71.6 78.3 74.9
72.7 79.3 76.3
74.2 80.6 77.5
75.9 61.7 78.9
65.9 70.9 68.4
67.4 72.7 70.0
67.1 73.1 70.1
67.6 73.8 70.7
68.4 74.9 71.6
69.4 76.1 72.7
70.6 77.2 73.9
72.2 78.9 75.6
73.0 79.8 76.4
74.3 60.6 77.5
75.1 81.2 78.2
63.7 69.5 66.5
66.5 72.9 69.6
67.6 74.5 71.O
67.9 75.4 71.5
68.6 76.3 72.4
69.7 77.8 73.7
70.8 78.9 74.7
72.0 80.3 76.0
73.3 81.5 77.5
74.6 02.3 78.5
76.0 83.2 79.6
65.3 69.6 67.5
66.6 71.5 69.1
67.4 72.9 70.3
67.8 73.6 70.6
67.9 73.8 71.O
69.0 75.5 72.5
70.3 76.8 73.8
71.7 78.2 74.8
72.6 79.1 76.2
74.1 80.3 77.3
75.7 81.5 78.7
63.1 68.9 65.9
64.5 70.6 67.5
65.7 72.1 68.8
68.8 73.2 69.9
67.2 74.1 70.6
68.5 75.4 71.9
69.8 76.6 73.1
70.2 78.3 74.1
72.4 79.2 75.6
73.9 80.4 77.2
75.1 81.1 78.2
70.9 73.4 72.1
71.4 74.7 73.0
71.1 75.8 73.4
71.O 76.4 73.6
71.1 77.0 74.0
72.1 78.6 75.3
72.8 79.4 76.0
73.6 80.0 76.8
74.2 80.2 77.3
75.1 80.5 77.9
76.3 81.o 78.7
67.0 71.6 69.2
68.2 73.4 70.7
68.9 74.6 71.7
69.4 75.1 72.2
70.8 77.0 73.8
72.0 78.6 75.2
72.9 79.6 76.2
74.0 80.7 77.4
74.7 81.4 77.8
76.3 82.3 79.4
77.9 83.2 80.7
............................. WItS Both sexes combined ......................
Montenegro
Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Portugal Males .............................................
mbined
ser Slovenla
......................
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Males .............................................
...................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belglum Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Franco Males ................................. Females Both sexes combined .......... Germany Males Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg
.
.............................
..............
......................
Both sexes combined Nsrharlands Males ............................................. Females ..................... Both sexes combined Swltrarland
......................
Both sexes combined ......................
.....
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division
WorfdPoptation Prospects: The 2006 Revisfon. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 Italy Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Malta Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Montenegro Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Portugal Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Serbla Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Slovenia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Spain Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... TFYR Macedonia (14) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Austria Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belgium Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... France Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Germany Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Luxembourg Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Switzerland Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AiTairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 P
P
P
P
P
.
Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
1950-19551955-19601960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995.2000 2000-2005 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CARIBBEAN (16) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Aruba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Grenada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guadeloupe Males ............................................. Females ......................... ....... .. Both sexes combined ...................... Haiti Males ........................................... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica Males ............................................ Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinlque Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Antilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto Rico Males ........................................... Females ......................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Lucia Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Trinidad and Tobago Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Males ............................................. Females ........................... ......... Both sexes combined ...................... CARIBBEAN (16) Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Aruba Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Bahamas Males ............................ . .............. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Barbados Males ............................................. Females ......................... . ........... Both sexes combined ...................... Cuba Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Dominican Republic Males ............................................. Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Grenada Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guadeloupe Males .......................................... Females ....................... . ................ Both sexes combined ...................... Haiti Males ............................................. Females ......................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Jamaica . . ......... Males .............................. . Females ...................... . .. .... ...... Both sexes combined ...................... Martinique Males ............................ .. ........ Females ........................ ............ Both sexes combined ...................... Netherlands Antilles Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Puerto Rico Males ............................................. ............. Females .................... . . . Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Lucia Males ...................... .. ................. Females ....................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Males ..................... ................ Females ....................... . .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Trinidad and Tobago Males ................... ....... ............. Females ................. . ..... . . ....... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area. region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Life eqxxtancy at birth (years)
Mabr usa, mgkn and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005 Unlted 8w.r Virgin Irlanda
Males .............................................
57.7 60.7 59.2
60.8 64.6 62.7
62.3 67.0 64.5
64.1 69.4 66.6
65.8 71.9 68.7
67.5 74.0 70.5
68.9 75.6 72.0
70.3 77.8 73.8
71.8 80.0 75.2
73.4 81.5 77.3
74.6 82.6 78.5
47.7 50.8 49.2
51.5 54.9 53.2
54.5 58.2 56.3
56.6 60.5 58.5
58.8 63.4 61 .0
60.5 66.5 63.4
62.4 69.0 65.6
65.1 71.1 68.1
67.5 73.0 70.2
69.9 75.1 72.5
71.2 76.5 73.8
59.6
......................
57.1 58.3 57.7
60.8
60.2
62.1 63.3 62.7
64.6 65.8 65.2
66.9 68.3 67.6
68.9 70.6 69.7
69.9 72.2 71 0
.
70.4 73.5 71.9
70.8 74.6 72.5
72.2 76.9 74.4
72.8 78.8 75.6
......................
56.0 58.6 57.2
58.8 61.5 60.0
61.6 64.5 62.8
63.9 67.5 65.4
66.1 70.2 67.8
68.9 73.3 70.8
71.6 76.1 73.5
72.9 77.5 74.8
74.0 78.6 75.7
75.0 79.7 77.3
75.8 80.6 78.1
44.1 46.5 45.3
47.3 50.0 48.6
50.8 54.0 52.3
54.1 57.8 55.9
56.1 60.6 58.2
52.2 62.2 56.7
50.8 63.8 56.6
59.0 68.0 63.2
63.3 71.1 66.8
66.5 72.5 69.5
67.7 73.7 70.7
41.8 42.3 42.0
43.7 44.7 44.1
46.2 47.9 47.0
49.0 51.3 50.0
52.4 55.4 53.7
54.4 58.0 56.0
56.1 W.6 58.1
58.3 63.7 60.8
60.5 66.8 63.4
62.9 70.0 66.3
65.5 72.5 69.0
40.6 43.3 41.9
43.1 46.3 44.7
46.3 49.8 48.0
49.2 52.9 50.9
52.0 56.0 53.9
55.5 59.7 57.4
59.0 63.2 60.9
62.6 66.9 64.5
64.1 69.4 66.4
64.0 71.6 67.7
64.8 72.6 68.6
48.9 52.5 50.8
53.3 57.3 55.2
56.4 60.6 58.3
58.2 62.5 60.1
60.1 65.2 62.4
62.2 68.6 65.0
64.4 71.2 67.4
66.8 73.0 69.5
69.0 74.6 71.5
71.3 76.1 73.7
72.4 77.4 74.9
40.9 43.7 42.3
44.1 46.8 45.4
47.3 50.0 48.6
50.5 53.4 51.9
53.7 56.8 55.2
55.3 60.0 57.5
56.5 62.6 59.3
59.0 65.5 62.0
63.5 68.7 65.8
65.9 71.1 68.4
73.8 70.8
54.4 56.2 55.2
58.4 60.4 59.2
60.9 63.1 61.8
63.1 65.5 64.1
64.9 68.1 66.2
67.0 71.1 66.7
68.4 73.3 70.5
69.3 74.6 71.5
70.2 75.7 72.5
71.3 76.4 73.7
72.3 77.4 74.7
50.3 53.8 52.0
52.6 56.5 54.5
54.7 58.9 56.7
56.4 60.8 58.5
58.1 63.1 60.5
60.2 65.3 62.6
61.7 68.0 64.8
63.3 70.0 66.5
64.7 71.8 68.2
66.6 73.8 70.1
68.1 75.2 71.6
60.4 65.1 62.5
62.1 67.4 64.4
62.5 68.6 65.1
62.8 69.3 65.6
64.1 70.8 67.1
65.4 72.2 68.5
68.8 73.7 69.9
67.6 74.6 70.8
68.6 75.8 71.9
69.7 77.0 73.3
70.8 78.1 74.3
38.5 42.5 40.4
39.9 44.0
41.9
41.4 45.6 43.4
43.0 47.3 45.0
44.6 49.0 46.7
48.0 52.2 50.0
52.0 55.9 53.9
55.6 59.1 57.3
58.3 61.8 60.0
60.1 64.0 62.1
61.8 66.0 63.9
..........................................
49.3 52.7 50.9
51.5 55.3 53.3
53.9 57.7 55.7
55.8 59.8 57.6
57.4 62.0 59.5
59.4 64.0 61.5
60.4 66.8 63.3
61.9 69.1 65.2
63.6 71.3 67.1
65.7 73.3 69.4
67.3 74.9 71.0
........................
52.9 56.8 54.7
53.8 58.7 56.1
55.3 61 0 57.9
.
57.6 63.8 60.5
60.5 66.8 63.4
63.9 70.6 67.1
67.4 74.2 70.6
69.6 75.9 72.5
71.5 77.4 74.1
72.8 78.8 75.8
74.0 80.8 77.9
49.0 52.3 50.6
53.5 56.9 55.1
56.2 59.7 57.9
58.3 61.8 60.0
59.7 63.9 61.6
61.8 66.3 63.8
63.6 70.2 66.7
64.5 71.7 67.8
64.5 73.0 68.4
66.5 74.2 70.3
75.4 71.7
47.1 49.6 48.4
50.1 52.7 51.4
53.4 56.1 54.6
55.4 58.2 56.7
57.4 60.5 58.8
59.7 63.2 61.3
62.5 66.7 64.3
65.3 69.9 67.2
67.6 72.6 69.6
69.7 75.1 72.3
71.3 77.2 74.2
CENTRAL AMRlCA
Females ......................................... Both sexes combined Coata Rlca Males ...................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined El Salvador Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
Guapmaia Males ............................................. Females
..............
Hondurw Males .......
................ Both sexes combined ...................... Females ...
.................
Lkxico Males .......................................
..........................................
Females Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females ................................ Both sexes combined ...................... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined
.............................. ........... ...................................... Females ........................ Both sexes combined ......................
Bolivia Males .............................................
..........................................
Females Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Colombia Males Females Both sexes combined Ecuador Males .................................... Femeles Both sexes GomMned
........ ................... ......................................... ......................
.......................................... ......................
682
68.0
68.0
United Nations Department of Economicand Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-2020 2020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 United States Virgin Islands Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... CENTRAL AMERICA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Belize Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Costa Rica Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... El Salvador Males ............................................ Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guatemala Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Honduras Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Mexico Males ........................................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Nicaragua Males ............................................. Females ............................. ........ Both sexes combined ...................... Panama Males ............................................. Females ....................... . ................ Both sexes combined ......................
..
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Males ................... ..... .......... Females ............................ .. ....... Both sexes combined ...................... Argentina Males .................................. ....... Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Bollvia .. .......... Males ............................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Brazil Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Chile Males .............................. . ............ Females ...................... .............. Both sexes combined ...................... Colombla Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Ecuador .. ..... ....... Males ....................... Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
. .
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
T a w 1130 We expectancy at birth by major a m . region and country (continued)
Estimates: 195o-2005 Life- e
at birth (pars)
Major a m . region and country
1950-19561955-19801980-19651986-1970 1970-19751975-19801980.1985 1985-lggO 1990-19951995-2OOO2OOO-2005 Fmch Gulana
............................................. .......................................... ...................... Guyana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... P a w w Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes COmMned ........... Peru Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Surlname Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both saxes combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Venezwia (Bollvwkn Ropublkof) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...........
50.3 56.9 53.3
53.0 59.9 58.1
58.4 63.2 59.4
81.4 68.0 64.2
62.5 69.5 65.7
63.1 70.5 66.5
73.0 69.4
68.2 74.5 71.2
70.0 78.0 72.8
71.5 77.5 74.2
71.9 79.1 75.1
50.8 53.9 52.3
53.3 58.4
57.5 81.0 59.2
58.0 62.1
54.8
55.8 58.9 57.3
80.0
58.3 63.2 60.7
58.2 64.0 60.9
58.9 64.9 61.8
59.3 66.1 62.5
56.6 65.6 62.1
80.6 66.5 63.6
60.7 64.7 62.8
81.3 65.2 63.2
62.5 68.4 64.4
63.1 87.0 65.0
63.8 88.1 65.8
64.4 68.7 66.4
64.9 69.3 66.9
65.4 69.9 67.4
66.3 70.8 68.2
67.2 71.7 69.4
68.7 72.9 70.8
42.9 45.0 43.9
45.1 47.5 48.3
47.8 50.5 49.1
50.1 53.0 51.4
53.9 57.3 55.4
58.7 80.5 58.4
59.5 63.8 81.4
62.1 66.8
64.1
64.4 69.2 66.5
66.0 70.9 68.4
67.5 72.5 69.9
54.4 57.7 56.0
57.0 60.5 58.7
58.7 62.5 60.5
80.5 64.5 62.5
61.7 66.5 64.0
62.8 67.7 65.1
64.8 69.9 67.6
65.7 70.7 68.2
66.1 71.1 68.8
66.3 71.8 69.0
72.5 69.1
63.3 69.4 88.1
64.2 70.4 87.0
65.4 71.6 68.3
65.5 71.9 66.5
65.6 72.2 66.7
66.3 73.1 69.5
87.6 74.5 70.8
88.8
75.8 71.9
69.2 78.9 72.8
70.5 78.0 74.2
71.8 78.9 75.3
53.8
58.6 59.8 57.9
59.3 62.8 80.8
81.5 66.1 63.5
63.3 68.9 65.7
64.8 70.7 67.5
65.9 71.8 66.6
87.7 73.5 70.2
68.7 74.5 71.2
69.3 75.2 72.1
69.9 75.8 72.8
66.7 73.0 89.7
66.9 73.6 70.1
67.0 74.3 70.5
67.9 75.5 71.6
69.8 77.3 73.4
70.8 77.8 74.3
71.6 78.3 74.9
72.3 78.8 75.5
73.8 79.5 76.7
74.9 80.3 77.6
67.7 73.3 70.8
68.5 74.6 71.4
69.0 75.7 72.0
69.6 78.7 73.2
70.8 78.2 74.2
72.5 79.5 75.9
73.7 80.3 77.0
74.8
71.7 69.1
77.9
75.9 81.4 78.7
77.3 82.3 79.8
66.1 72.0 68.9
66.6 72.9 69.7
66.8 73.5 70.0
66.8 74.1 70.4
67.8 75.4 71.5
69.5 77.2 73.3
70.8 77.9 74.1
71.5 70.4 74.7
72.2 78.9 75.3
73.6 79.3 76.5
74.7 80.0 77.4
58.1 62.9 80.4
59.8 64.9 62.3
81.1 66.5 63.7
61.8 67.4 64.5
63.1 68.7 65.8
64.9 71.1 67.9
66.8 73.7 70.1
67.6 74.3 70.9
89.2 75.6 72.3
70.2 78.3 73.2
71.6 77.3 74.4
67.0 72.3 69.6
87.7 73.4 70.5
67.9 74.1 70.9
87.7 74.3 70.9
68.5 75.1 71.7
69.9 76.8 73.3
71.7 78.3 75.0
72.7 79.1 75.9
74.4 80.3 77.4
75.7 61.3 78.5
77.7 82.6 80.2
66.9 72.4 69.6
67.5 73.5 70.4
67.8 74.2 70.9
67.6 74.3 70.9
68.4 75.2 71.7
70.1 77.0 73.5
71.9 70.7 75.2
73.0 79.4 78.1
74.7 80.6 77.6
75.9 81.5 78.7
77.9 82.9 80.4
87.5 71.8 69.6
68.3 73.2 70.7
68.3 73.9 71.0
66.3 74.4 71.3
66.7 74.8 71.7
69.3 75.7 72.4
70.7 78.9 73.7
71.5 77.7 74.5
73.3 78.9 78.1
75.0 80.1 77.6
77.0 81.3 79.2
............................................. .......................................... ......................
36.4 38.5 37.4
39.0 41.2 40.0
41.7 43.9 42.7
44.2 48.5 45.3
48.7 48.9 47.7
50.2 54.0 52.0
53.1 58.1 55.0
53.7 59.0 55.8
55.1 80.4 57.3
55.9 61.4 58.3
56.4 62.0 58.9
............................................. ..........................................
50.8
52.8 57.0 54.6
54.8 59.0 58.5
58.8 61 0 58.8
58.8 63.0 60.6
80.8 65.0 62.7
62.8 67.0 64.7
64.7 68.9 66.8
64.6 68.8 66.6
64.8
69.1 66.8
65.7 70.1 67.8
Males Females Both sexes combined
58.8
55.1
66.0
66.0
NORTHERN AMERICA (18)
............................................. .......................................... 80th sexes OOmMned ...................... Maks Females
Canada
............................................. ..........................................
Males Females Both sexes combined
...................... Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes ccfnbined ......................
66.1 71.9 88.8
66.8
81.0
United States ot Amorlea
OCEANIA Males .............................................
.......................................... ......................
Females Both sexes ccinbined
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND
............................................. ......................................... ........... Au8tralia (19) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Maks ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Males Females Both sexes combined
MELANESIA
Males Females Both sexes combined Fiji
Males Females Both sexes combined
684
......................
55.0 52.5
.
United Nations D e p a M of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulationDivision W o M Population Prospecls: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. L i e expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
Life expectancy at birth (years) Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 French Gulana Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guyana Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Paraguay Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Peru Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Surlname Males ............................................. Females Both sexes combined ...................... Uruguay Males ............................................. Females ........................................ Both sexes combined ...................... Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Males Females Both sexes combined
..........................................
............................................. .......................................... ......................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Canada Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Unlted States of Amerlca Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... OCEANIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... AUSTRALIAJNEW ZEALAND Males ............................................. Females Bdh sexes combined ...................... Australia (19) Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... New Zealand Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
.........................................
MELANESIA Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fijl Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, regionand country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 M8jor area, region and country
-
Life eapectancyat birth (pan)
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1985 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1885 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2000-2005
N m CII.donla Males
.............................................
50.0 53.0 51.4
51.O 55.0 52.8
55.5 61.5 58.2
57.5 63.5 80.2
58.5 64.5 61.2
63.0 69.0 65.8
65.6 71.6 68.4
67.3 73.3 70.0
69.2 74.5 71.5
69.8 76.1 72.7
71.9 78.7 75.1
33.8 35.7 34.7
36.3 38.2 37.2
38.8 40.7 39.7
41.3 43.2 42.2
43.8 45.7 44.7
47.5 51.3 49.3
50.7 55.5 52.5
51.3 56.6 53.4
53.0
58.5 55.2
53.7 59.5 56.2
54.1 59.9 56.7
44.9 46.4 45.4
47.4 48.9 47.9
49.9 51.4 50.4
52.4 53.9 53.0
54.9 56.4 55.5
57.4 58.9 58.0
58.2 59.5 58.7
55.5 56.3 55.8
57.9 58.8 58.3
60.3 61.3 60.7
61.6 63.0 62.3
40.6 43.5 42.0
43.6 46.5 45.0
46.6 49.5 48.0
49.6 52.5 51.0
52.4 55.7 54.0
55.3 58.8 57.0
58.2 61.9 60.0
60.7 63.6 61.9
62.9 65.9 65.1
65.0 68.3 66.5
66.8 70.4 68.4
.............................................
51.9 54.6 53.2
54.0 58.7 55.2
56.0 58.9 57.3
57.9 60.9 59.3
60.0 63.1 61.4
61.7 65.0 63.2
62.9 86.4 64.6
64.3 68.0 66.1
65.7 69.7 67.6
67.4 71.4 69.3
68.7 72.8 70.7
Male8 .............................................
55.4 59.7 57.0
57.9 62.2 59.5
60.4 64.7 62.1
62.6 67.1 64.5
64.6 69.2 66.8
66.4 71.O 68.4
67.9 72.5 89.9
69.2 73.8 71.3
70.4 75.0 72.5
71.4 76.0 73.6
72.4 77.0 74.6
54.1 55.2 54.6
56.1 57.2 56.6
58.1 59.2 58.6
60.1 61.2 60.5
62.2 63.3 62.6
64.3 65.4 64.7
64.6 65.9 65.3
65.4 66.5 65.9
65.9 67.0 66.4
66.5 67.6 67.1
66.9 68.2 67.6
48.6 52.5 50.4
51.9 56.1 53.9
54.1 58.4 56.1
56.3 60.8 58.4
58.4 62.9 60.5
60.0 64.9 62.3
62.5 67.7 64.9
64.4 69.9 66.9
66.4 71.6 68.8
68.0 73.2 70.4
69.3 74.5 71.8
48.0 50.0 48.9
53.5 56.4 54.8
55.6 58.6 57.0
57.5 61.3 59.2
59.3 63.0 60.9
60.5 64.9 62.4
64.0 69.0 66.2
65.6 71.1 68.2
67.9 72.8 70.2
69.5 74.6 71.8
70.6 75.8 73.0
43.0 49.6 45.9
45.5 52.1 48.5
48.0 54.6 51.1
50.5 57.1 53.6
53.0 59.6 56.1
55.5 62.1 58.7
58.0 64.6 61.2
60.5 67.1 63.7
63.1 69.7 66.0
65.4 71.9 68.4
67.1 73.5 70.0
58.5 58.7 58.8
60.2 60.7 60.4
61.9 62.7 62.3
63.4 64.7 64.0
64.9 66.5 65.6
65.9 68.0 66.7
66.9 69.5 68.0
67.9 70.8 89.2
89.0 71.4 70.0
70.2 72.2 71.1
71.3 73.3 72.3
Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Papua New Gulnu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon Islands Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MCRONESIA (20) Males
Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guam
................. ned ...................... Mcronda (Fad. Stataa 09 Males ............................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (21) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Fmch Polyneslm
Males ............................................. Females .........................................
&mw
........................
Males Females .................... Both sexes c m n e d ...................... Tonga Males ............................ Females .......................................... Both sexes cwnblned ......................
a b c d e
More devdoprd regions m p r b Europe, Northem America. AustralialNew-and and Japan. Leu, d&oped regions comprile all regions d Attica, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin Amerka and the Caribbean plus Wanesia,Mcnmssla and Pdyneaia. Le681developed countries are 50 wncrles. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia, 5 in Oceanla plus me country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Omw less dadcountllsaccmprlso d the Ims developed regions exdudlngthe least develc+ed countries. Sub-Saharan Attica refento all d Nrica e m p l Northem Africa, with the Sudan Included in subSaharan Africa.
1 lncludlngSeychelles. 2 lndudhghimyone. 3 lnduding *a. Rodriguaa, and h i n t Brandon. 4 including ssht Helma, Arcension, and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For s t a t W purpares, the data for China do not include Hmg Kong and Maceo,Special Admin$tratlveRegions (SAR) of China. 6 As ot 1 July 1887, clong Kong becamea Special Admlnktrirtiva Region (SAR)ofChina. 7 Ae of 20 December 1998, Macao bacame a Spedal Administrative Repion (SAR) of China. 8 The regions Southern Asia and Central Ash am combined into South-Central Asia.
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.30. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, reglon and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
New Caledonia Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Papua New Gulnes Males Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Solomon lslands Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Vanuatu Males .. ............... Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... MCRONESIA (20) Males Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... Guam Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Micronesia (Fed. States ot) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... POLYNESIA (21) Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined ...................... French Polynesia Males Females Both sexes combined ...................... Samoa Males ............................................. Females .......................................... Both sexes combined Tonga Males ............................................. Females ......................................... Both sexes combined ......................
.............................................
............................................. .............................................
........................
.............................................
............................................. .........................................
............................................. ..........................................
......................
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20
21
lncluding Faeme Islands, and Isle of Man. Refersto Guernsey, and Jerrey. lncluding hand Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar. Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugaslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein,and Monaco. IncludingAnguilla. Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat. Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. Induding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncludlng Kiribatl, Matshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding American Samoa, Cwk Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna lslands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaii-dPopulation Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)
Major area, region and county 1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
WORLD
153
137
116
100
90
83
73
65
62
58
54
MORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REQIONS (b) Least developedcountries(c) Other less develqwd countries (d)
59 175 197 172
43 159 163 155
33 133 170 127
26
18 92 137 84
15 81 125 72
13 72 117 63
10
113 157 106
21 101 148 93
111 57
9 63 103 53
8 59 95 49
Less developed regions, excluding China
166
151
138
126
114
103
92
83
76
70
65
SubSaharan Afrlu (0)
177
166
154
144
133
124
117
112
110
106
100
181
189
156
145
133
122
113
107
103
99
93
178 167 178 223 176 I99 147 181 212 99
164 157 167
149 149 154 185 151 160 117 155
138 140 141 169 139 148 104 143 195 57 172 73 137 167 116 128 118 90
127 137 127 154 133 140 92 133 185 55 158 41 134 155 103 119 107 63
120 127 116 141 127 135
113 119 106 127 116 131 69 111 150 28 143 14 124 143 107 104 98 63
108 113 95 120 104 122 67 110 143 24 143 10 117 135 100
106 129 80 112 90 115 65 96 132 20 135 20 134 163 95 101 109 54
97 114 68 102 74 105 68 85 116 18 118 17 120 139 89
89 106 58 95 63 95 70 75 101 15 108 15 118 127 84 78 102
147 186 133 152
125 164 110 123 144 91 117 149 95 73
120 160 93 115 134
119 160
110 138 167 134 81
135 173 121 141 152 95 127 157 114 75
119 155 87 108 125 76 119 119 59 83
126 148 91 104 125 76 134 110 59 81
117 141 90 102 124 75 120 101 62
132 131 142 105 123 132 119 160
115 106 127 68 I08 118
97 84 111 50
67 54 67 31 58 91 34 76
55 47 24 47 80 26 65
45 37 36 21 37 73 22 53
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi ................................................. C o m m (2) .......................................... Ethiopia
................................................
Matawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) .........................................
.....
...
MDDLE AFRICA A .......... C ............................................. Central African Republic Chad .................................................... Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........ EquatorialQuinea .................................
......
........................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Morocco ............................................... Sudan ...................................................
.................................................... ......... ...
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana ..............................................
Lesotho ................................................
..............
Namibia .............. South Africa ........ .............. Swaziland .............................................
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde ......... ....................... Cdte d'lvoire ........ ....................... Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau .... ...................... Mall ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
688
141 161 207 160 153 148 115
163 181 134 167 209 79 201 110 152 193 145 143 137 105
182 231 169 190 188 169 166 I96 179 169
171 215 158 177 179 150 157 186 167 139
159 200 145 164 169 130 149 176 158
189 185 210 185 170 169 175 217
177 175 195 170 160 163 163 202
164 159
180 150 145 155 155 187
150 148 165 125 133 144 138 174
104 135 169 172 96 174
98 124 150 149 91 160
92 113 134 130 87 150
89 104 130 115 84 141
81 90 123 101
191 187 238 130 175 274 142 214 211 194 237 143
181 176 217 116 165 250 133
170 165 197 105 154 223 124 201 196 180 218 129
160 155 178 92 143 194 116 193 189 172 205 122
149 145 156
220
..................... ................................................
Rwanda Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe .............................................
203
208 204 187 228 137
203 61 185 87 143 179 130 136 127 97
98
t60
77 124
83 133 164 108 184 183 165 193 115
80 122 165 38 146 21 132 149 106 108 100 74
86 117 138 78 74
99 102 56
83 104 127 82 119 127 62 79 81 65 88
38
68
90 105 64
48
64
77
88
64
134
110
72 99 49 88
74 75 110 87 71 108
64 64 94 75 61 91
54 54 84 66 51 81
51 52 70 59 49 75
52 60 73 57 50 80
54 59 74 55 52 87
139 136 139 71 122 134
130 129 131 63 115 110 90 162 164 150 173 98
124 122 127
120 116 121 44 116 90 73 137 140 179 156 82
116 110 116 36 118 84 67 125 131 152 147 75
112 106 110 30 122
99 173 176 158 182 108
88 106
53 111 97 81 150 151 138 164
90
80 63 113 121 143 138 68
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffiirslPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000libe births)
Major area, region and country
2005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 WORLD MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d) Less developed regions, excluding China Sub-Saharan Atrlca (e) AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (l) Burundi ................................................. Comoms (2).......................................... Djibouti ................................................. Erilrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya ................................................... Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3).......................................... Mozambique ......................................... R6union ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia ................................................ Uganda ................................................. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MDDLE AFRICA Angola ..... ......... Cameroon ............................................. Central African Republic ........................ Chad .................................................... Congo ................................................... Democratic Republic of the Congo ......... EquatorialGuinea ................................. Gabon .................................................. S%oTom6 and Prlncipe .........................
....................................
NORTHERN AFRICA Algeria .................................................. Egypt .................................................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ......................... Morocco ............................................... Sudan ................................................... Tunisia .................................................. Western Sahara .................................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .............................................. Lesolho ................................................ Namibia ................................................ South Africa .......................................... Swaziland ............................................. WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde .......................................... CBle d'lvoire ......................................... Gambia ................................................. Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Biisau ...................................... Liberia .................................................. Mali ...................................................... Mauritania .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1131. Infant mortality rate by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)
Major a m , region and country 1990-1995 1995-2oOo -2005
1950-1955 1955-1960 1980-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1-I990
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone ......................................... Togo ..................................................... ASIA
EASTERN ASIA China (5) .............................................. China, W g Kong SAR (6) .................... Japan ...................................................
SOUTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan India ..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republicof).......................
..
Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ................................................ Sri Lanka ...........
........................................
Turkmenistan Uzbekistan ............................................
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam ............. Cambodia ............................................. Indonesia .............................................. La0 People'sDemocratic Republic ......... Malaysia ...............................................
Wet Nam ...............................................
WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................ Azerbaijan ............................................. Bahrain ................
159
191 154 173 211 146
169 144 158 203 134
189 135 136 195 121
189 127 115 186 110
167 121 98 176 104
174 118 87 187 99
150 117 77 171 97
119 116 69 166 94
160
130
107
94
86
74
64
59
54
49
161 195 79 100 91 51 148 115
165 179 54
76 81 23 49 56 16 108 58
56 61 17
35 38 10 16 30 7 78 23
30 31 7 12
26 30
44 12 98 38
48 52 13 31 35 9
I00
112 121 33 66 67 25 121 70
27 28 4 9 48 4 49 8
24 26 4 8 50 3 45 5
170 275 200 185 166 186 110 140 185 211 169 77 160 150 125
158 261 187 181 153 169 102 130 168 199 158 64 151 140 115
145 246 174 174 140 I54 93 120 152 187 148 63 142 130 105
133 226 159 163 128 132
122 212 148 149 117 115
110 194 I38 133 104 100 69 90 106 139 118 41 116 101 76
99 164 120 117 95 88
69 177 105 104 86 69 52 70
72 171 73 70 69 44 43
65 168 61
169 68 165 201 170 99 181 134 66 118 264 158
151 64 152 163 162 82 154 114 41 100 242 144
134 62 140 166 155 63 140 96 30
91 23 263 106 132 34 94 70 13 44 254
75 14 116 89 122 28
191
168 78 115 150 31 73 130 38 130 101 73 145 182 116 180 130 203 160
164 215 236 185
200 174 201 227 171
176
204
83 120 175 53
80 Israel .................................................... Jordan ..................................................
150 41 145 125 67 160 200 133
....................... ............................. Territory ............... ............................. ............................. Saudi Arabia .........................................
200
United Arab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
144 233 180 241
690
85 76 37 134
229
196 164 166
220
83 221 130 148 73 110 110 29 66 113 29 110
80 61 125 162 95 160 119 176 130 219
43
85
77
110 136 173 138 133 120 94
100 121 156 128 50 125 111 84
118 61 130 144 148 50 121
105 54 181 126 141 42 106
86
80
24 69 201 116
19 56 163 107
130 66 105 76
114 63 100 50 29 52
52
29 59 97 25 95 57
53 102 138 75 140 101 153
85 205
85 22
82
88 30
83 93 58 95 35 20 49 66 18 65
41 47
32
82
65
110 57 105
83 46 78 65 115 38 155
83 138 57 164
44
6a 80 94 123 108
29 107 91 71
86 61 8 34 183 70 76
53 90 21 I6 47
60 14 52 24 41 51 58 33
56 50 93 32 126
26 5 73 14
82 107 98 22 98 61 65 61 12 98 70 108 17 85 52 7 27 166 55 60 48
85 16 11 44 48 11 42 17 37 35 37 21 42 40 70 23 105
5
10 42 4 68 14 79 171 89
88 7r 55 51 60 65 91 87 17
60 55 73 63 15
88
80
74 59
76 58
51 8 90 58
41 7
89 15 81
43 6
20 125 38 54 41 81 17 7
40 73 9 33 13 31 27 24 17 32 31 54 16 92
83 45 73 12 76 34 4 16 98 29
51 34 78 14 6 41 94 6 28 10
28 25
20 13 26
23 40 11
80
53 62 37
32 55 46 64 75 12 63 78 58 33 6 73 34 62 10 75 28 3 12 78
22
48 30 76 13 8 40 94
5 23 9 25 21 15 10
22 19 31 9 69
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Social AlfairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabb A31. infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050 ProJectlons Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,OOO live births)
Major a m , region and country 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-m 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050 111 109
104 101
97 92
88
62
58
55 47 110 49
49 45 102 46
20
18
11
10 10 3 4 28 3 17 3
EASTERN ASIA China (5) ............................................... China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .................... China, Macao SAR (7) Dem. People's Republic of Korea
25 78 13 18
35 30
SWTHCENTRAL ASIA (8) Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan .................................................. India Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Maldives Nepal .................................................... Pakistan Sri Lanka .............................................. Tajikistan Turkmenistan ........................................ Urbekistan ............................................
10 4 15 9 13 5 27 9 3 6 16 9
SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Brunei Darussalam Cambodia Indonesia .............................................. Leo People's Democratic Republk Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand ................................................ Tlmor-Leste ........................................... Wet Nam ...............................................
11 15 38 8 4 21 14 3 8 5 9 8 7 5 8 8 10 5 14
WESTERN ASIA Armenia ................................................
77 88 52 125
83
88
63
80
180 89
155
82
148 75
43
38
34
31
27
25
22
22
20
23 4 7 48 3 40 4
20
18 18 3 8 43 3
18 17 3 8 40 3
13 13 3 5
12 12 3
35
32
29
4
4
15 15 3 5 38 3 28 4
33 3 21 3
58 157 52 45 55 31 24
52 147 44 38 49 25 21 50 27 45 81 10 56 89 51
47 137 36 33
42 127
48
28 39 18 18 41 17 30 49 9 50 56 45
23 5 53 21 43 8 58 19 3 10 56 17
20 5 44 18
17 5 36 15
35
29
7 51 17 3 9 47 15
7 48 15 3 8 39 14
32 27 87 10 5 36 56 4 17 8 19 15 11 8 16 14 24 8 49
26
22
25
23 58
53 34 54 87 11
80 75
55 27 8 83 27 51 9
88 23 3 11 87 20
39 29 72 11 6 39
82 5 19 8
22 18 12 8 19 18 28 8 59
4 6 46 3 35 4
43 21 18 48
22 37 54 10 53 62
82 9
5 34 41 4 15 7 17 13 10 7 14 12 21 7 41
29
9 5 31 32 4 13 7 15 12 9 7 13 11 18 7
33
38 118 24 25
3 23 4
35 108
20
35
22 32
16 14
14 13
38
35
15 25 44 9
13 21 40 8 42 47 38
48 51 42 15 5 30 13 24 8 41 13 3 7
32 13 I9 21
53 8 4
29 26 4 11 .6 13 10 8 7 11 10 15 6 27
Niger ..................................................... Nigeria .................................................. Senegal ................................................ Sierra Leone Togo .....................................................
72 81 49 117 53
03 78 54 133
90 84 57 141 88
13 5 25 12 20 8 37
5
31 96 17 19 28 12 11 32 12 17 36 8 39
43 35 12 5
20 10
11 3 4 30 3 18 3 28
E5 15 17 25 11 10 29 10 15 32 7 38 39
32 11 4 18
S
3 6 28 12
17 8 33 10 3 8 22 11
15 5 30 9 3 8 18 10
16 I9 49 8 4 26 22 4 10 8 11 10 8 8 10 9 13 6 23
14 18 45 7 4 24 19 4 9 8 10 9 7 6 9 9 12 5 19
13 17 41 7
11
4 22 18 3 9 6 9 8 7 8 9 8 10 5 17
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AfbirdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
23 10 9
26 10 13
29 7 33
.........................................
ASIA
.......................... ........... ...................................... ....................................... Republic of Korea ..................................
........................................... ........................................... ..................................................... ....................... ........................................... ............................................ ............................................... ................................................ ..............................................
................................ ............................................. ......... ............................................... .............................................. ............................................ .............................................
Azerbaijan .............................................
.................................................
Bahrain Cyprus .................................................. Georgia ................................................. Iraq ....................................................... Israel .................................................... Jordan Kuwalt
.................................................. .................................................. Lebanon ............................................... Occupied Palestinian Temitocy ............... Oman ................................................... Qatar .................................................... Saudi Arabia ......................................... Syrian Arab Republic ............................. United Arab Emlrates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
691
.
Table A31 Infant mortallty rate by major area. region and country (continued) Estlmakn: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.OOO live births)
mglon cmndcountry
MW-.
1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 198ClggO 1990-1995 1995-2ooo 2OOO-2005
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus Bulgatia ................................................ Czech Republic ..................................... Hungary Mddova ................................................
.................................................
................................................ pdend .................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Skwakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
NORTHERN EUROPE (0) channel lslandil (10) Denmark ............................................... Estonia Finland (11) Iceland .................................................. Ireland L a m.................................................... Lithuinia ............................................... Nomay ( I2) Sweden ................................................ United Kingdom .....................................
............................. ................................................. .......................................... ..................................................
..........................................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13)
................................................. ........................ .................................................. .............................. Italy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... Montenegro .......................................... m r t w ................................................ SeIbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... Albania Bosnla and Hmegovina croatia Greece
72
50
37
30
25
22
18
16
13
11
9
91 75 92 44 71 81 95 101 97 73 85
58 44 62 24 58 69 72 78 57 39 49
40
33 24 31
28 21 26 21 34 46 27 40 28 24
27
22
22 23
23 20 18 15 20 35 20 26 28 18 20
21 16 14 11 17 27 17 26 24 14 18
19 15 16 8 13 24 15 23 22 12 17
18 15 15 5 10 23 10 21 21 9 17
14 10 13 4 7 17 7 17 17 7 13
33
26 23 23 48 26 17 34
16 15 12 21 12 12 18 21 22 12 10 17
13 13 9 22 9 9 15 23 22 9 8 14
10 9 8 16 6 6 10 18 18 8 7 11
9 6 6 14 8 6 8 15 15
8 6 7 14 5 5 7 15 16 6 5 8
6 6 5 10 4 3 6 13 12 6 4 6
5 5 5 7 4 3 5 12 9 4 3 5
41 77 72 41 42
31 58 51 27 26
22 30 45 47 22 21 74
16 45 27 18 15 13 13 23 20 34 14 11 45
14 38
33
23 50 36 21 25 16 15 26 30 38 17 16 57
10 31 17 11 9 7 9 20 9 17 7 7 27
8 28 15 9 8 6 8 21 6 15 6 5 19
7 22 13 7 8 5 7 24 6 13 5 4 17
6 7 8 7 6 6 6 6
5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
4 5 4 4 4 5 5 4
30 28
77 34 21 41 68 93 23 20
29 76 145 137 108
60
40 62 20 17 24
30 36 21 44 59 51 60 40 27 31 22 22 20 32 19 17 26 30 42 17 15 22
63 125 115 81 56
52 99 94 58
48 40
40 34 59 76
50
22 37 49
36 52 32 26 23 18 18
16 23 15 13 23 22 27 14 13 19
34
22 22 18 27 46 23 31
30
8 6 9
20 14 11 10
60 75 87 91 110 87 62 140
51 123
30 42 117
28 42 61 61 2t 33 95
45 53 42 45 51 44 24 29
34 42 31 33 38 37 19 23
26 32 27 25 29 29 16 20
21 27 21 21 23 21 14 17
18 24 17 16 21 17 12 13
13 16 13 11 15 13 10 10
10 12 10 9 11 12 8
9 9 8 6 9 7 7
LATIN AYERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
126
113
101
91
81
69
57
47
38
32
25
CARIBBEAN (16) A~ba Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba Dominican RepuMi .............................. Grenade ............................................... Guadeloupe Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica Martinique ............................................. NetherlandsAntilles .............................. Puerto Rico Saint Lucia ............................................ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... Trinidad and Tobago ............................. United States Virgin Islands ...................
125 69 79 132 81 153 61
110 52 56 87 70 139 58
94
46 17 21 14 15 48 43 9
220
193 76 56 51 51 105 110 63 46
70 24 35 27 22 86 50 32 131 37 22
54
60
73 26 38 33 38 96 52 39 135 45 35 28 25 39 64 41 29
66 17
80
83 35 41 46 50 109 54 45 150 52 42 35 33 48 73 46 35
39 20 17 14 10 41 41 8 70 15 8 15 11 17 26 16 11
32 19 15 12 6 35 38 7 56 15 7 15 8 15 27 15 9
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria .................................................. Belgium ................................................ France Germany ............................................... Luxembourg Netherlands
-s
.................................................. .......................................... .......................................... .........................
....................................................
....................................................
.......................................... ................................................ ...........................................
692
92 65 69 63 115 116 76
58
76 86 93
43
80
43 48 61 59 124 56 49 171 61 48 42 45 81 00
48 41
22 20 29 51 32 25
8
30 19 17 75 47 25 122 31 14 18 17 23 42 19 21
19 14
30 10 8 40
8
I6 24 16 16
63 45 22 100 27 10 17 14 20 35 17 17
86 17 9 15 12 17 30 15 14
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaiWPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
tabb A31.lnhnt morbw rate by major a m , roglon and country (contkwwd)
Infant mortalityrate (infantdeath8 per l.aO0 lhre M r h ) 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2o20-2025 2025-2030 2030-20352035-20402o40-2015 2045-2050
6
6
5
5
5
10 8 9 3 6 13
10 8 8 3
5
5
7 6 6 3 4 9 4
9 12
8 7 7 3 5 10 5 8 10 5 8
8 7 6 3 4 10 4
10 13 5 10
9 7 7 3 5 11 5 8 11 5 9
4 5 4 6 3 3 4 6 7 3 3 4
4 4 4 5 3 3 4 7 6 3 3 4
4 4 3
3 4 3
9 8 3 3 5
4 5 4 6 3 3 4 9 7 3 3 4
6 17 11 6 6
6 15 10 6 6
5
5
5 13 9 5 5 4
5 12 6 5 5 4
6 21 5 11 4 4 13
6 19
4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4
8
7
13 9 12 4 7 16 7 15 17 7 13
12 9 11 4 6 15 6 13 15 6 12
11 9 10 3 6 14 6 12 14 6 11
5 5 4 7 4 3 5 10 9 3 3 5
4 5 4 7 4 3
8 19 12 6 7 5 6 22 5 12 5 4 15
8
5
6
5 12
5 9
7
7
10 4 8
9 4 7
3 4 3 4 3 2 3
5
5
3 2 4 6 6 3 3 4
3 2 3 6
3 4 3 4 3 2 3 5
5
5
5 5
3 2 3
2 2 3
2 2 3
5 12 8 5 5 4
4 11 7
4 9 6 4 4 4 4 12 4 6 4 3 7
5
5
5
5
10 4 4 12
18 4 9 4 4 11
16 4 8 4 4 10
15 4 7 4 4 9
14 4 7 4 3 8
4 10 7 4 4 4 4 13 4 6 4 3 8
4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3
4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3
3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3
3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3
22
18
16
14
12
10
9
9
8
29 17 14 10 5 30 34 7 49 14 7 15 7 13 23 12 9
25 15 11 9 4 25 30 6 44 13 6 13 7 11
22 14 9 9 4 21
20
18 11 8 8 3 16
16 10 7 7 2 14 18
14 9 7 7
12 9 6 6 2 11 14 4
11 8 6 6 2 10 12 4 17 9 4 7 5 6 10 8
20 10 8
5
28
13 8 8 4 16 25
6 39 12 6 12 6 10 18 9 7
5 35 12 6 11 6 9 16 8 7
22 5 31 11
5 10 6 8 15 7 6
5 26 10
5 0 5 8 13 7 6
5 4 4
2 12 16 4 23 10 5 8
5 7 12 6 8
20 9 5 8 5 7 11 6 5
United Nations Department of Economic end soda1 AffairslPopulaUon Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Rwkbn, Vdume I: Comprehensive T a w
5
nyor.m,nokn~-*
EASTERN EUROPE Belluur ................................................. Bubatia Czech Republic ..................................... Hucgaly ................................................ MddoM
................................................
................................................ .................................................. ............................................... ............................... ................................................ Ukraine ................................................. Poland Romania R M n Fodemtbn slankh
MORTHERN EUROP€ (0) channel IslandB (10)
............................. Estonia ................................................. F h n d (11) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. hhda .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Noway (12) .......................................... Sweden ................................................ united Kingdom ..................................... Denmark ...............................................
SOUTHERN EURO# (1s)
................................................. ........................ croatia .................................................. Greece ................................................. IMy ...................................................... Malta .................................................... M~mtenegro.......................................... Foltugal ................................................ SerMa ................................................... !3bwnia ................................................ Spain .................................................... T M R Macedonia (14) ........................... Albnnh b s n b nnd bmgovina
WESTERN EUROPE(IS)
Almtlia .................................................. eeigium ................................................ France .................................................. Glmnmly ...............................................
Lu*embourg ..........................................
Mhemn&3.......................................... swnzerland ...........................................
LATIN * Y R I C A AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16)
Aruba .................................................... Bahamas ..............................................
.............................................. Dominican RspuMk .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guiide$oupa.......................................... Haiil ...................................................... Jamrica ................................................ Martin............................................. NethellandaAntuleo .............................. Puerto R i w ........................................... saint Luch ............................................ Saint W m m I and the Qrenadines .......... TdnkM nnd Tobago ............................. United State8 W a n Islands ................... BaIbadtm
cubs ....................................................
693
Table 1131. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1.OOO live births)
MaJorarea, reglon and country 1950-1955 1955-1960 1960-1965 1965-1970 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-19s5 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005
CENTRAL AMERICA
86 60 68 110 115 119 79 114 52
75 52 53 105 102 104 69 98 44
64 45 30 95 91 81 57 90
53 39 19
80
65
36
32
30
84
57 32 109 63 24
38
151 91 69 73 95 46 79 53 110 49 46 49
71 39 131 79 45 57 82
73
94 57 157 100 89 82 107 51 82 59 126 55 47 60
27 30 28
25 26 25
22 21 22
61
55
51
24 24 26
22 21 24
145 80 93 158 146 169
MCRONESIA (20) G u m ................................................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21)
127 88 94 151 141 169 121 172 93
109 78 88 137 134 154 101 151 75
96 69 81 123 127 135
126
115
104
66
60
60
176 135 120 123 140 103 119 73 159 a9 57 106
170 122 118 105 129 89 105 70 148 76 53 89
164 109 109
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
29 36 28
OCEANIA
Belize ................................................... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Mexico .......... Nicaragua ..... Panama ................................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina ...... Bolivia ................................................... Brazil ....................................................
.........................................
uiana ...................................... Paraguay .............................................. hN
.....................................................
Suriname .............................................. Uruguay Venezuela (Wivarian Republic of) .........
....
AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND
YELANESIA
.%!anon Islands Vanuatu ............
88 131 63
77 79 65 47
44 36 17 54 67 53
40
30 23 12 32 46 35 28 34 24
24 19 10 26 39 32 21 26 21 25 15 56 27
63 43 48 35 20 23
31 22 87 34 11 24 33 16 58 39 39 34 16 21
36
29 15 40 55 43 33 48 27
67 51
68 32 70 49
99
82
44 42 39
39 33 34
47 27 90 52 18 35 56 25 67 47 68 36 23 27
18 16 18
14 12 14
10 9 10
9 7 9
8 6 8
7 5 7
7 5 7
48
44
42
34
33
29
30
29
20 20 21
18 18 18
17 17 16
13 13 14
10 10 12
9 9 10
7 7 7
6 6 6
5 5 6
133 73 83 145 132 150
121 66 73 134 118 132
iii
101 52 45 112 91 99
91 46 32 101 79 84
73
71 34 15 76
90
64 35 11 69 78
57
38
62 24 8 67 67 42
60
59 60 122 104 115
105 83 97
95 71 87
85 60
77
76 50 68
64 41 58
57 34 49
52 29 47
47 24 45
39 13 42
33 11 40
29 10 38
99 132 107 59
83 97 97 53
74 85 87 47
65 74 78 42
58 64 69 37
51 56
39
60
52 31
31 18 44 28
25 11 36 26
22 10 30 23
19 9 26 21
92 119 73 95 62 136 63
48
48
43
34
43
40 21 79 76 70
30
24 75
43 14 28 44
20
a
20 25 15 49 36 30 32 14 19
22 7 65
60 34
a MMe developed regions comprise Europe, Northem America. Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Leas developed regions comprise all regions d Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and Ihe Caribbean plus M a n e d , Micronesiaand Polynesia. c Least developed countries are 50 mntries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asa, 5 in Oceania plus one country in Lath America and the Caribbean. d Other less developed Wntries cwnprise d the less developed regions excluding the least demlcped countries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, wlth the Sudan included In sub-Saharan Africa. 1 Including Sey&elles. 2 Including Mayotte. 3 Including Pgslega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. 4 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha. 5 For stalislicel purposes. the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China. 8 As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong becsme a Speclal Adrninistratlve R e g i i (SAR) of China 7 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrativs Region (SAR) of China. 8 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into Soulh-Central Asia.
694
United Nations Depaftment of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division Worid Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.31. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Projections ~p
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000live births)
Major area, region and country 2005-20102010-20152015-20202020-20252025-2030 2030-20352035-20402040-20452045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA Belize ................................................... Costa Rica ............................................ El Salvador Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. Medco .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
...........................................
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina Bolivia Brazil ................................................... Chile ..................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................................................ French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................. Paraguay .............................................. Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
.............................................. ...................................................
..................................................... .............................................. ................................................
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada United States of America .......................
.................................................
OCEANIA AUSTRALIANEW ZEALAND Australia (19) New Zealand
........................................ .........................................
MELANESIA Fiji New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ............................... Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ................................................
........................................................
MICRONESIA (20) Guam Micronesia (Fed. States of)
................................................... ...................
POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia .................................. Samoa .................................................. Tonga ...................................................
9 lncluding Faeroa Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
lncluding Aland Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Idands. lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic at Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein, and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands. Dominica. Montserrat. Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Cairn Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (Malvinas). lncluding Bermuda. Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miqueion. lncluding Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati. Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands,and Palau. lncluding American Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn. Tokelau, Tuvalu. Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1995-2050 Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,OOO live births) Major area, reglon and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
WORLD
86
80
74
67
9
8 73 127 55
60
55
50
45
40
36
32
8
48
43
7 54 93 38
6 49
115
7 60 104
34
8 44 74 31
6 39 66 27
5 35 58 24
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Least developed countries (c) Other less developed countries (d)
11 94 167 75
153 69
9 81 141 62
Less developed regions, excluding China
106
98
89
81
73
66
60
54
48
43
38
SubSaharan Afrlca (e)
177
167
155
141
127
115
103
92
81
72
63
164
154
143
130
118
106
96
85
78
67
59
163 200 93 152 109 179 110 142 185 21
134 169 83 128
119 155 50 109 67 129 93 92 114 15 141 14 175 175 112 104 136 79
105 141
93 129 33
82 116 27 68 45
72 102 22 58
63
88
20 202 232 150 153 181 103
148 183 77 141 89 161 113 123 154 18 186 17 191 213 140 132 172 104
77 59 52 76 11 64 9 117 114 64 60 78 44
55 78 17 42 32 58 44 39 64 9 65 8 91 89
48 68 15 36 28 50 38 34 59 9 56 8
213 258 150 178 200 111 227 190 93 109
202 246 150 172 199 109 211 172 97 102
190 231 144 163 189 102 196 155
75 52 58 26 59 134
AFRICA EASTERN AFRICA (1) Burundi .................................................
.....
Djibouti ................................................. Eritrea .................................................. Ethiopia ................................................ Kenya Madagascar .......................................... Malawi .................................................. Mauritius (3) ......................................... Mozambique RBunion ................................................ Rwanda ................................................ Somalia .. Uganda .. United Republic of Tanzania .................. Zambia ................................................. Zimbabwe ............................................. MIDDLE AFRICA A C ......................... C C Congo .................................................. Democratic Republic of the Congo ........
206
88
77 145 104 106 132 17 164 15 188 193 127 118 157 94
66
40 93 58 114 83
80 100 14 123 12 160 159 96 90 116 66
80 51 101 75 69 91 13 109 11 145 144 E4 79 101 57
02 102 55 66
25 15 15 11 16 52 11 20
22 14 13 11 13 45 11 18
19 13 12 10 12 39 10 15
18 12 11 9 11 34 9 13
40 29 53 26 40 49
36 25 47 24 36
32 22
69 34 50 67
44 34 60 29 44 57
29 20 38 20 29 33
28 17 34 18 26 29
146 117 156 21 151 99 67 118 160 168 163 78
132 105 142 18 136 89 58 102 144 152 146 71
85 66 95 11 90 61 34 59 89 92 96 51
75 59 87 10 81 56 30 52 78 79 87 47
33
88
23 23 15 24 79 17 36
SOUTHERN AFRICA Botswana .......... Lesotho ............. Namibia. South Afr Swaziland .............................................
73 88 108 81 69 117
80 89 112 83 76 135
69 68 98 68 66 114
58 52 83 47 57 87
50
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Benin .................................................... Burkina Faso ........................................ Cape Verde . Cate d'lvoire Gambia ....... Ghana .................................................. Guinea .................................................. Guinea-Bissau....... Liberia .................................................. Mali ................... Mauritania .........
196 171 202 44 185 156 109 203 228 243 236 114
188 161 193 38 191 143 101 178 212 222 219 102
176 148 181 29 183 128 90 156 195 205 200 92
161 131 169 24 168 113 78 136 177 186 181 85
696
93 116 64 75 92 37 95 64 28 50
29 17 17 12 18 60 13 24
38
30
106 131 74 06 102 43 108 74 31 55
51 30
20 20 14 21 69 15 29
44 27 28 17 29 91 19 45
....
40
39
45 59 34
40 66
52 33 34 20 36 105 22 56
Morocco ............................................... Sudan ...................................................
77 41
46
61 41 42 23 46 118 25 70
.... ....
48
80
114 50 121 85 35 60
95
NORTHERN AFRICA
12 96 10 130 129 73 69 89 50
19 49 35 67 51 44 70 10 74 9 104 101 55 52 68
133 162 96 110 127 59 136 97
162 195 118 134 157
nape .........................
60 83
40
90
147 178 108 123 142 69 151 109
177 213 132 149 174 91 182 139 68 88
86
67
83
80 187 123 54 80
40
72
118 94 128 16 123 80 51
88 129 135 131 65
119 146 85
98
43 106 83 118 14 111 73 44 77 115 120 118 60
42 22 33 38 95 74 105 12 100 87 38 67 102 105 106
55
83 32
83 56 25 45
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates (1995-2005) and projections(2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births)
Major area. region and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
Niger .................................................... Nigeria ................................................. Senegal ............................................... Sierra Leone ........................ . .............. Togo ........................................... ... ASIA
255 201 136 306 142
213 198 124 290 136
188 187 115 278 126
170 172 108 266 114
153 155 100 251 101
138 140 94 235 91
124 125 87 218 82
112 111 81 202 74
101 98 76 185 67
91 86 71 169 61
75 66 153 55
74
67
59
52
46
40
36
32
29
26
23
EASTERN ASlA China (5) ............................................. China Hong Kong SAR (6) .................... China Macao SAR (7) .......................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea ........... Japan ................................................ Mongolia ........................ .... ................ Republ~cof Korea .................................
..
SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Afghanistan ........................................... Bangladesh ........................................... Bhutan .................................................. lnd~a..................................................... Iran (Islamic Republ~cof) ....................... Kazakhstan ........................................... Kyrgyzstan ............................................ Maldives ............................................... Nepal .................................................... Pakistan ............................................... Sri .Lanka .............................................. Tajikislan .............................................. Turkmenistan ........................................ Uzbekistan ............................................ SOUTH-EASTERN ASlA Brunei Darussalam ................................ Cambodia ........................................... Indonesia ............................................ Lao People's Democratic Republic ......... Malaysia ............................................. Myanmar ................................ . . ........ Philippines ............................................ Singapore ............................................. Thailand .............................................. T~mor-Leste.......................................... Vie1 Nam .............................................. WESTERN ASlA Armenia .............................. . .............. Azerbaijan ........................... .............. Bahrain ............................... . .......... Cyprus .......................... ................ Georgia ............................................... Iraq ..................................................... Israel ..................... . ............ Jordan ................................................. Kuwait ..................... ........................... Lebanon .......................................... Occupied Palestinian Territory ............... Oman .................................................. Qatar ............................ . ................. Saudi Arabia ................................... ...... Syrian Arab Republic ............................ Turkey .................................................. Un~tedArab Emirates ............................ Yemen ..................................................
. . .
............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospecfs: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
83
Table A32 . Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1.000 live births)
Major area. region and country 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030 2030-2035 2035-2040 2040-2045 2045-2050
EUROPE EASTERN EUROPE Belarus .......................... . ................... Bulgaria ............................... . .............. Czech Republic ........................ ......... Hungary ................................................ Moldova ............................. . . . . ........... Poland ................................................. Romania ............................................... Russian Federation ............................... Slovakia ................................................ Ukraine .................................................
..
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Channel Islands (10) ............................. Denmark ............................................... Estonia .............................................. Finland (11) .......................................... Iceland .................................................. Ireland .................................................. Latvia .................................................... Lithuania ............................................... Notway (12) .......................................... Sweden ............................................. United Kingdom .................................... SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Albania ............................................... Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................... Croatia .................................................. Greece ................. .... ..... ..... ........... Italy ..................................................... Malta .................................................. Montenegro ......................................... Portugal ................................................ Serbia ................................................... Slovenia ................................................ Spain .................................................... TFYR Macedonia (14) ........................... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Austria ........................... .. .............. Belgium ............................. ..... .......... France ........................... .... ................ Germany ................... . . . ..... .............. Luxembourg ......................... ... ........ Netherlands .................. . . . ....... ....... Switzerland ........................................... LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN (16) Aruba ................................................... Bahamas .............................................. Barbados .............................................. Cuba .................................................. Dominican Republic .............................. Grenada ............................................... Guadeloupe .......................................... Haiti ...................................................... Jamaica ....................... .. ................... Martinique .............................. . ............ Netherlands Antilles ........................... . ................ Puerto Rico ........................ Saint Lucia ................................;........... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......... ......... Trinidad and Tobago .................... United States Virgin Islands ...................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.32. Under-five mortality by major area. region and country (continued)
Estimates (1995-2005) and projections (2005-2050) Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per
1.000 live births)
M a j o r area. r e g i o n a n d country
1995-20002000-20052005-20102010-2015 2015-20202020-2025 2025-20302030-20352035-20402040-2045 2045-2050 CENTRAL AMERICA ............... Belize .......................... Costa Rica ........................................... El Salvador ........................ . . . ........... Guatemala ............................................ Honduras .............................................. M e i c o .................................................. Nicaragua ............................................. Panama ................................................
.....
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Argentina .............................................. Bolivia ................................................... Brazil .................................................... Chile ................................................... Colombia .............................................. Ecuador ................... . . . . ..................... French Guiana ...................................... Guyana ................................................ Paraguay ............................................. Peru ............................. ....... .............. Suriname .............................................. Uruguay ...................... . . . .................. Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .........
NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Canada ................................................. United States of America .......................
AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Australia (19)...................................... New Zealand ........................................ MELANESIA New Caledonia ...................................... Papua New Guinea ........................ Solomon Islands ................................... Vanuatu ..............................................
....
MICRONESIA (PO) Guam .............................. . .................. Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................... POLYNESIA (21) French Polynesia ....................... . ...... Samoa ............................................... Tonga ...................................................
d e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America. AustraliaINew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa. Asia (excluding Japan). Latin America and the Car~bbeanplus Melanesia. Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed countries are 50 countries. 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia 5 in Oceania plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries comprise of the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries. Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northem Africa. with the Sudan included in sub-SaharanAfrica. lncluding Seychelles. lncluding Mayotte. IncludingAgalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. lncludino Saint Helena. Ascension. and Tristan da Cunha For statGtical purposes. the data f i r China do not include Hong Kong and Macao. Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsia. lncluding Faeroe Islands. and Isle of Man.
.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. Including &and Islands. lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino. The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. lncluding Liechtenstein, and Monaco. lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayrnan Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint K i s and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos Islands. lncluding Falkland Islands (MaMnas). lncluding Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon. lncluding Christmas Island, Cccos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island. lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. lncluding Amencan Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Picairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social A f f a i r s / P o p u l a t i o n Division World PopulationProspects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
This page intentionally left blank
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2000 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country 1950
WORLD Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 0-14 ........... Population aged 15-64 . Least developed countries (c) Population aged 0-14 ... Populationaged 15-64 .
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
866062 984225 1 121 308 1 264069 1 384947 1 500721 1 569349 1 636786 1 727461 1 813797 1 850250 1538184 1641843 1751336 1902750 2113406 2346525 2621369 2935025 3245557 3535615 3852921 130847 144686 159287 175952 200323 228834 260752 283453 321 861 369633 420952
222514 526 928 64119
236332 556 357 71315
257336 580352 78407
265 197 614 175 87630
262078 646 604 99795
253755 681 453 112896
243 129 713953 126192
238924 746 964 129465
236 339 769 644 143081
230897 785 421 159083
218416 804 793 170991
643548 747893 863972 998872 1 122869 1246966 1326219 1397862 1491 122 1582901 1631 834 1011255 1085486 1170984 1288575 1466802 1665072 1907416 2188062 2475913 2750194 3048127 73370 80880 88322 100528 115939 134561 153988 178780 210550 249962 66 729 106842 132946 7529
122936 147171 8289
140455 165982 9432
159725 187752 10787
180281 213158 12375
204268 242556 14150
231510 277734 16229
261 735 320530 18818
289562 368177 21 709
82 525 110468 7 328
93686 120603 7128
Less developed regions, excluding least developed countrles (d) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . .... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
561 023 900 788 59 400
654207 757129 875936 982414 1087241 1 145938 1 193594 1259613 1321 166 1342273 964883 1038038 1141404 1300821 1477321 1694258 1945506 2198180 2429664 2679951 91 096 105152 122185 139838 162550 191 731 228253 66 242 73 351 80 033
Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ........... Population aged 65 or over ..............
456 847 665 939 41 822
520 987 728 894 45 192
608 846 799 235 49 015
704 295 882 247 56 135
791 273 879 179 970 240 1 071 263 1 171 227 1 258 302 1 313 838 999 501 1 141 484 1 306 998 1 496 410 1 703 684 1 927 891 2 176 560 99 570 88 790 74 857 115759 137 102 162 460 64 554
SubSaharan Atrlca (e) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ...... Population aged 65 or over
75 715 98 605 5 769
86 031 108 788 6 268
98 475 120 935 6 962
113671 134 975 7 815
130 970 152 951 8 767
151 494 174 257 9 990
176 100 200 472 11 491
205 129 230 963 13 257
236 772 267 269 15 349
268 097 310 541 17 764
300 380 358 820 20 673
AFRICA Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over
93 676 123219 7 307
106 731 135 989 7 913
122 658 150 759 8 824
141 947 167 426 10 201
162 737 189 647 11 747
186 971 216 299 13 176
215 326 249 358 15 102
249 649 287 425 17 221
285 164 332 436 19 821
317819 385 393 23 122
444 815
28 190 34 976 1906
32 239 38 759 2 058
37 176 43311 2 272
43 215 48 868 2 573
50 237 55 783 3000
58 428
63944 3 515
67 894 73 944 4 112
78 843 85 837 4 724
91 613 100 124 5 507
102 460 115488 6 332
116177 133 700 7 417
1004 1 373 80
1149 1454 84
1 294 1 557 89
1446 1 666 101
1 566 1 832 115
1 675 1 879 127
1 848 2 140 142
2 159 2566 160
2 585 2 932 175
2 947 3 116 179
3 197 3 286 185
75 92 6
85 102 6
96 113 6
109 124 6
129 139 7
151 158 8
185 192 9
219 225 11
247 266 13
274 318 15
301 380 18
29 32 1
32 36 1
39 45 2
52
62 2
74 84 3
103 116 5
154 179 8
179 214 9
247 300 13
270 339 16
300 409 20
517 37
567 659 38
637 747 39
724 853 42
836 964 47
960 1103 53
1163 1213 93
1 342 1380 85
1 463 1612 83
1511 1621 81
1 669 1 928 88
8 135 9 748 551
9 095 10 819 560
10 218 12 134 590
11 706 13 735
646
13 500 15 558 773
15 582 17 693 913
16 948 19 181 1 009
19 829 22 433 1175
23 410 26 350 1 387
27 671 30 979 1 643
31 601 35 846 1941
2 417 3 421 239
2996 3 724 264
3777 4 042 296
4 625 4 561
5 542 5348
6 717 6 361
338
384
434
8 131 7 665 486
9 824 9 301 549
11 458 11 365 625
12 625 14 020 735
13 715 16670 866
1 767 2350 117
2 030 2 594 133
2 349 2 870 152
2 739 3 175 176
3 120 3 607 204
3 557 4 112 236
4084 4 701 274
4 701 5 421 317
5 412 6 256 365
6 256 7 268 423
7 229 8 458
EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64, .... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundl Population aged 0-14. Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoror (2) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. DJlboutl Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over . Erltrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Populationaged 0-14 .............. Population aged 15-64 ............ Population aged 65 or over ..............
702
588
349 106 27 038
500
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaitdPopulation Division World Popuiation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 WORLD Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Less developed regions, excluding China Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ................... . Population aged 65 or over .............. Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burundi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Comoros (2) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Djibouti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Eritrea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ethiopia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kenya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Madagascar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
Malawi Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritius (3) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozambique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Reunion Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zimbabwe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. MIDDLE AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Malawi Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ................... . Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritius (3) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mozambique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Reunion Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Rwanda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Somalia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uganda Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Zimbabwe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
MIDDLE AFRICA
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Angola Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cameroon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Central African Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chad Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populat~on aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Poputation by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Equatorlal Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Gabon Population aged 0-1 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Slo Tom6 and Princlpe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algerla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Libyan Arab Jamahlrlya Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Morocco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ..... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-1 Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-1 Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-1 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Swazlland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over
706
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
77 136 13
85 140 13
93 146 13
103 153 13
113 165 13
87 126 10
85 119 9
123 188 13
140 186 15
160 206 16
182 230 18
133 302 34
140 302 34
147 304 34
160 306 35
175 317 37
211 345 40
257 382 44
312 428 47
373 493 52
426 574 56
458 666 59
20 38 2
19 37 2
21 41 3
27 36 2
34 36 4
39 40 3
44 46 5
48 51 5
54 57 5
57 65 6
59 75 6
21 985 29 474 1 844
25 161 32 629 1971
29 169 35 931 2 208
33 851 39 336 2 755
38 138 44 413 3 388
42 917 50 903 3 661
47 990 59 194 4 180
54 789 68 566 4 647
59 788 78 913 5 262
62 433 90 706 6 284
62 763 104 201 7 471
3 513 4 857 383
4 015 5 303 397
4 726 5 658 416
5 549 5 982 392
6 648 6 531 568
7 627 7 722 670
8 623 9432 756
9 924 11 351 822
10 879 13 491 912
11 193 16 018 1 054
10 395 18 832 1 279
8 664 12 523 647
10 094 13 850 747
11 820 15 106 914
13 744 16511 1 308
14 536 19 130 1 524
18 023 21 523 1 628
18 084 23 868 1 724
20 490 26 835 1 862
22 528 30 481 2 127
23 412 34 723 2 513
23 899 39 838 2 992
431 549 49
485 593 48
584 711 54
704 861 58
900 1 039 55
1146 1 265 55
1441 1554 68
1819 1 943
88
1 887 2 367 110
1 829 2 868 137
1 720 3448 178
3 974 4 722 257
4 522 5 337 274
5211 6 114 301
6 117 6 745 462
7 282 7388 639
8 164 8 508
633
8 312 10 440 815
9 273 12 133 893
9 873 13 989 946
10 070 15 709 1171
9 699 17 777 1351
4 025 4 859 306
4 461 5 429 326
4 985 6 107 347
5 575 6 886 369
6 370 7 718 407
7440 8 860 475
8 765 10 308 568
10 269 12 104
683
11 397 13 746 790
12 712 15 853 927
14 037 18 205 1106
1 372 1 956 202
1 577 2 105 178
1 830 2 215 176
2 144 2 321 165
2 371 2563 193
2483 2 986 199
2711 3504 243
2943 4 093 294
3 137 4 711 371
3 116 5384 476
2 901 6 104 558
6 8 0
8 12 1
12
20 1
19 31 1
31 44 2
34 39 2
55 90 5
71 107 5
88 127 6
101 152 6
111 196 8
6 051 8 971 570
7 018 9 808 887
8 144 10 827 761
9 467 12 092 867
10 804 13 778 870
12 310 15 839 944
13 885 18 060 1 029
15 427 20 858 1170
16 494 23 992 1 342
17 344 28 452 1612
17 775 32 237 1 938
167 229 19
201 253 21
244 266 21
295 288 20
338 344
463 508 25
547 598 29
615 715 37
654
21
389 415 22
869 44
663 1013 53
299 403 33
330 423 34
367 448 36
407 487 39
455 535 43
512 590 48
580 662 53
658 754 60
720 813 69
761 883 78
791 1005 89
188 277 20
216 299 21
248 329
22
285 368 24
330 415 28
391 470 31
457 501 35
530 562 40
631 739 47
731 871 55
796 1 021 63
5 280 7 913 490
6 133 8 670 582
7 124 9 601 672
8 293 10 749 772
9 467 12 260 774
10 763 14 105 829
12 083 16 091 900
13 344 18 595 1 022
14 120 21 291 1166
14 756 25 341 1408
15 070 28 625 1 703
117 148 7
138 163 8
162 182 10
187 200 11
216 225 12
255 259 14
301 298 16
349
408
348
434
19
23
442 490 26
455 572 31
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Equatorial Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gabon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. S50 Tome and Principe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Algeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Egypt Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Libyan Arab Jamahirlya Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. llAOrocco Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sudan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tunisia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Western Sahara Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Botswana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lesotho Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Namibia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. South Africa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Swaziland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
.
Population (thousands)
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. C6te d'lvoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or wer .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guinea-Bissau Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Liberia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 85 or over .............. Mali Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigeria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Togo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2050 WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Benin Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Burkina Faso Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cape Verde Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. C6te d'lvoire Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gambia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ghana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Gulnea-Blssau Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Liberia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Mali Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mauritania Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Niger Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nigerla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Senegal Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Popuiation aged 65 or over .............. Sierra Leone Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Togo Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Popuiation aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I:Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
~
~~
Population (thousands) Major a m , region and country
ASIA
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over
..............
EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chlna (5) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ......................
1955
1960
1965
510 976 842 047 57 625
590 727 896 916 63343
674 747 960 237 89 305
771 858 052 262 74 470
861 171 951 102 992158 1018141 1065346 1117369 1131 759 193 173 1344852 1529873 1747409 1963794 2 154203 2358486 97689 84421 113707 130642 152072 180103 214593
229 182 410 821 29 903
269 700 429 727 33 967
300485 452 928 38 331
337 416 496 972 39 531
376320 565677 44629
415018 630322 51 441
403120 714620 60261
371 183 814439 69319
359899 903008 81 005
361 904 353139 957352 1008661 95677 114495
186 047
255 797 369 925 31 769
292 994
330039 464830
32 057
35806
366378 520600 40830
354633
404 140
24 851
225 959 354 936 28 109
596819 47426
325243 687673 53990
318574 767981 62514
323288 817623 72821
318774 866449 86739
599 1 326 49
882 1 547 62
1 257 1 732 88
1 494 2 078 120
1459 2327 156
1334 2824 237
1286 3427 325
1278 3772 406
1226 3995 483
1203 4405 598
1123 4808 730
55 130 6
65 109 7
71 92 9
89 110 10
98 144 12
75 164 14
61 172 19
77 208 21
96 252 24
107 275 29
310 32
4663 4 812 262
3 847 5 564 221
4 034 6 705 207
4 382 7 745 196
5674 8378 194
6171 9648 253
5949 10862 429
5551 12527
643
5272 13930 941
5837 14634 1244
5945 15409 1593
29 643 49 847 4 135
30 153 54 908 4 754
28 426
60 273 5 397
25 646 67 056 6 179
25072 71 888 7371
27109 75625 8790
27513 78734 10560
25997 82390 12450
22730 85998 14809
20019 87 188 18264
18598 86574 21 862
319 417 25
361 461 28
412 516 31
475 585 34
549 669 38
633 772 42
718 896 49
808 1043 58
924 1203 89
930 1370 89
851 1522 96
7 856 10 428 574
8433 12 203 787
10 487 13 684 832
12 336 15 258 935
13431 17440 1052
13318 20690 1273
12961 23710 1453
12229 26827 1750
11077 29648 2144
10520 31 856 2632
9750 33589 3441
193 346 299 396 18 707
219 691 321 949 19 660
253 763 348 052 20 492
291 701 379 726 23 192
323125 428 198 26111
356707 485805 30307
394612 552318 34990
438356 627979 40517
484841 710855 47273
525839 800878 55984
545933 904206 66018
3 476 4 465 210
3 771 4 810 223
4 142 5 237 238
4 577 5 778 256
5198 6361 281
5942 7074 313
6294 7326 326
5634 6414 286
5855 6514 290
8563 9279 413
9802 10472
17 717 23 878 2 258
20 480 26 168 1 767
23 523 29 036 1 694
27 557 32 110 1812
31 335 38458 2024
34959 41 751 2283
38130 48 131 2595
42100 55462 2970
46056 63588 3404
49960 72417 3920
51 933 82926 4575
74 90 4
82 109 5
93 125 8
107 142 7
125 165 8
148 200 10
176 235 12
204 261 14
233 296 18
221 266 19
225 310 24
139 387 220 804 11 666
157 501 235 274 12 754
180 171 252 327 13 483
204 940 273 193 15 735
224399 307038 17875
246025 346652 21 090
271 203 392743 24630
298 189 444030 28892
325021 501 284 33890
349730 564515 40038
366018 632342 47875
6611 9 399 903
7 989 10 180 921
9 509 11 275 920
11 056 12 881 949
12836 14923 1046
14837 17334 1173
17578 20442 1310
21 613 25225 1580
25326 29345 2003
26397 33272 2530
23226 39955 2943
2303 3 962 438
2530 4 944 518
3 622 5 804 570
4 634 6 654 621
4925 7479 706
4896 8439 801
4833 9176 910
5057 9828 895
5202 10361 967
4737 10045 1137
4 135 9802 1017
503 1 095 142
561 1187 154
790 1 229 154
1 070 1 342 162
1235 1545 185
1315 1788 196
1347 2072 209
1486 2319 208
1651 2524 220
1725 2617 250
1725 2951 271
343 861
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
1950
Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dem. People’s Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Japan Population aged 65 or over Mongolla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Republlc of Korea Population aged 0 Population aged 85 or over .............. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (6) Population aged 0-14 .. Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Afghanlstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-84 ......
......................
Bhutan Population aged 0-14 . Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over lndla Population aged 0-
...... ..............
Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republlc of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .... Population aged 65 or over Kazakhstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Kyrgyzstan Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
710
99
463
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 ASlA
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
EASTERN ASlA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China (5) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. China. Macao SAR (7) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Japan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mongolia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Republic of Korea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Afghanistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bangladesh Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bhutan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. India Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Karakhstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kyrgyzstan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
.
Population (thousands)
Maldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 1564 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tajikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Maldives Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nepal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Popuiation aged 15-84 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Pakistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populalion aged 65 or over .............. Sri Lanka Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tajikistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkmenistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uzbekistan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. SOUTH-EASTERNASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Popuiationaged 65 or over .............. Brunei Darussalam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cambodia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Indonesia Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malaysia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Myanmar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Philippines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Singapore Popuiation aged 0-14 ...................... Populalion aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Thailand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, reglon and country
Tlmor-Leate Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Wet Nam Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over
....................
......................
WESTERN ASIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenla Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over Azerbaljan Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over Georgia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .......
...................... ........ .......
Iraq Populationaged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ....
.
Israel Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over Jordan Population aged 0-14
...................... ....................
......................
Population aged 85 or Kuwalt Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 85 or Lebanon
.
Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occuplad Palestinian Territory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0 Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over ..............
....................
714
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
176 243 14
189 258 15
207 280 13
230 305 14
254 16
283 372 18
231 337 14
263 381 15
295 430 15
355 476 19
405 393 20
8 668 17 527 1152
10 498 18 245 1 309
13 248 18 884 1516
16 556 19 780 1 763
18 920 21 880 2 098
20 682 24 963 2 329
22 120 28 260 2 625
23 719 32 504 2 894
25 730 37 171 3 271
27 156 42 477 3 697
26 527 48 252 4 315
19 793 29 105 2 248
23 222 32 695 2 554
28 145 36 208 2 759
33 358 40 456 3 170
37 572 46 656 3 716
42 917 54 098 4 266
48 520 63 265 4 925
54 714 75 140 5 260
60 613 87 396 5 748
65 003 100 642 7 107
68 210 115748 8 432
450 790 113
502 938 124
718 1 031 119
919 1165 120
987 1 391 140
970 1691 164
941 1 970 185
1 007 2 152 180
1 077 2 269 199
952 2 005 270
798 1 975 309
937 1 760 199
1 023 2 053 250
1 494 2 154 246
2 015 2304 255
2 282 2 606 284
2 277 3 095 316
2 128 3 697 335
2 187 4 155 328
2 471 4 435 305
2 645 4 768 378
2 520 5 144 479
49 63 3
57 73 4
67 85 4
97
90
101 113 5
117 149 6
120 219 7
131 274 9
155 327 11
176 387 15
182 450 18
170 294 30
181 313 36
210 329 34
158 391 60
149 399 63
163 415 69
176 431 74
468
38
191 362 62
184
344
79
178 519 89
947 2 224 356
972 2 475 392
1193 2 589 377
1413 2 701 363
1 443 2 880 385
1 392 3 098 419
1306 3 305 462
1 330 3 493 464
1 343 3 607 509
1187 3 275 570
1019 3 112 589
2 185 2 993 182
2 750 3 316 198
3 377 3 734 221
4 148 4 176 265
4 792 5004 315
5 734 5 882 356
6636 7 037 418
7 462 8 325 501
8 259 9 685 570
9 422 11 551 659
10 691 13 651 710
398 810 49
603 1064 82
762 1 249 103
888 1 525 150
960 1 745 193
1103 1 994 261
1 249 2 190 325
1336 2 406 361
1413 691 410
1571 3 273 530
1721 3 761 603
216 234 23
300 336 29
398 462 37
496 570 40
744 828 51
914 968 55
1 099 1 056 70
1 273 1 335 98
524 627 103
1 775 2 422 107
1 932 2 732 135
55 93 4
72 120 7
97 175 6
180 283 8
323 408 13
447 544 16
553 802 19
639 1061 21
785 332 26
497 1 207 21
579 1619 30
494 844 105
591 915 108
766 1012 110
934 1136 114
1 030 1 293 119
1 099 1 507 132
1 087 1 550 148
1 084 1663
145
1 063 1 757 155
1120 2 154 217
1150 2 366 256
459 497 49
470 526 46
489 567 45
537 617 44
493 566 37
578 636 40
702 723 51
831 888 65
1 006 1 075 73
1 204 1312 102
1 472 1568 109
193 249 14
225 266 15
261 288 16
305 318 18
357 368 21
432 461 25
541 619 28
690 806 31
813 994 35
877 1 254 41
883 1 468 52
11 14 1
14 20 1
18 26 1
25 43 2
41 69 2
57 111 3
74 153 3
99 258 4
130 333 5
140 380 6
158 450 9
1345 1 750 107
1 531 1 942 120
1 764 2 174 136
2 109 2 527 157
2 556 3007 182
3 212 3 822 218
4 257 5 079 268
5 443 7 110 311
6811 9 072 372
7 579 10 236 435
7 905 12 337 565
4 201
335
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Timor-Leste Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Viet Nam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
WESTERN ASIA Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Armenia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Azerbaijan Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahrain Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cyprus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Georgia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Iraq Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Israel Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Jordan Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Kuwait Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lebanon Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Occupied Palestinian Territory Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Oman Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Qatar Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saudi Arabia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. reglon and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) MJor area. mglon and country
Syrlan Arab Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Turkey Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Yemen Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 1564 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
1950
1955
1980
lD85
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
1448 1 934 153
1 746 2084 161
2 123 2 327 172
2 572 2 647 180
3050 3 128 192
3848 3 679 211
4409 4 325 238
5344
8 156 6 226
339
6 574 7 623 413
6705 9306 499
8600 12 197 687
10 050 13 743 817
11 980 15 300 973
13 720 17 023 1 254
15 043 19 614 1550
17 059 22344 1808
18 719 25 486 2 111
20 069 29 917 2 164
20 501
20 708
20 763
34548
39 190 2840
43 884 3511
29 38 2
34 42 3
39 48 3
55 86 4
78 140 7
149 370 11
290 712 13
418 973 20
1 285 24
676 1 727 28
779 2432 35
1 825 2 321 170
2 101 2 470 162
2408 2 659 155
2 742 2 902 155
3 100 3 133 157
3 571 3358 165
4 257 3 941 183
5 210 4 718 209
6 375 5 700 239
7 719 7408 396
8774 8 974
143 440 359 709 45045
147 296 379 371 49 304
161 599
168 283
153 574
406 726 59 802
438 351 77 657
453 862
53488
166 306 421 626 68735
160 447
390 114
85 734
150 305 472 264 84008
147 6-44 140 500 482 088 488688 91 593 101 326
127 633 493 515 107 353
73 764 162 407 17 278
76 546 170 724 19 667
71 704 181 279 23 431
67 109 191 091 27 537
68584 196 643 31 745
70 070 202 867 30568
71 272 206500
33088
65684 206 894 37 843
55 356 210 272 39 242
2364 5 142 685
2840
5263
2 623 5604 812
2394 6039
935
2 210 6 411 1 038
2 287 6 715 996
2 367 6800 1093
2 230 6 757 1 280
1005 6818 1349
1 920 5848 953
1962 5 849 1051
1908 6 041 1014
1 792
5888 1159
1 495 5600 1 262
1255 5420 1327
EASTERN EUROPE 61 935 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ............ 143 911 Population aged 65 or over .............. 14 352 Belarus Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2045 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 5 034 Population aged 65 or over .............. 667 Bulgaria Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 1 942 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 4 821 Population aged 65 or over .............. 488 Czech Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2 167 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 6 015 Population aged 65 or over .............. 742 Hungary Population aged 0-14 ...................... 2344 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 6309 Populationaged 65 or over .............. 685 Moldova Population aged 0-14 ...................... 657 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 1 503 Populationaged 65 or over .............. 181 Poland Population aged 0-14 ...................... 7 295 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 16 231 Population aged 65 or over .............. 1298 Romanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... 4634 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 10 808 Population aged 65 or over .............. 869 Russian Federation Population aged 0-14 ...................... 29 689 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... 66660 Population aged 65 or over .............. 6354 Siovakla 1 002 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 2 230 Population aged 15-64 ..................... 231 Population aged 65 or over .............. Ukraine 10 160 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... 24 300 Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. 2 838
716
63945 157 178 15 989 1 975 5 148
680
705
5 193 278
2296
558
434
1 992 4 951
2050
1983
5226
5533
556
591
689
1 938 5 738 814
2448 6043
2 447 6206 893
2250 6 425 1034
2 091 6 529 1182
2220 6504 1311
2 412 6 494 1 377
2 412 6 679 1219
2 207 6803 1 293
1 931 7 023 1356
1682 7128 1411
2 519 6 500 808
2 528 6 553
903
2 357 6 747 1 049
2 151 6 991 1194
2 141 7060 1 331
2348 6 921 1438
2 273 6998 1308
2 097 6884 1383
1 871 7000 1 457
1731 6979 1504
747 1 692 188
955 1863 186
1144 1 997 195
1154 2 213 228
1108 2 469 261
1 072 2 627 311
1166 2 750 316
1 240 2785
384
1192 2 786 401
1006 2727 412
8448 17 329 1504
9 918 18 010 1710
9 761 19 542 2 142
8808 21 164 2 892
8 174 22 597 3 244
8 628 23 346 3800
9 499 24 201 3 502
9 573 24 708 3832
8800 25 518 4 277
7404 26 323 4706
4 805 11 562 1119
5 166 11 983 1 236
5 015 12 508 1509
5 252 13 2w) 1 740
5 361 13 845 2 040
5 922 13 999 2 281
5 603 14 969 2 153
5 469 15 324 2 414
4644 15 316 2 721
4078 15 080 2979
30 041 74 293 7068
35 922 76 429 7554
37 903
80443
34638 85 728 10 026
31 280 91 089 11 883
30 018 94483 14 154
32 531 97 077 13 861
34 134 99 682 14 800
31 966 99 599 17 559
26 708 102 585 18 130
1189 2358 251
1 349 2 517 279
1380 2654 328
1 231
2880
1300 3 158 519
1 372 3311
418
1 239 3043 453
458
1 328 3386 542
1211 3 569 584
1052 3723 612
9 783 27 302 3 014
11 064 28 479 3 240
12 114 29 612 3 615
11 817 31 173 4 326
11 273 32 617 5 127
10 712
33 355
11 022 34 127 5 741
11 085 34 262 6 209
10 344 33 727 6946
8555 33 488
803
8403
5 976
6811
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Syrian Arab Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Turkey Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. United Arab Emirates Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Yemen Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belarus Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 85 or over .............. Bulgaria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Czech Republic Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Hungary Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Moldova Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Poland Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ............. Romanla Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Russlan Federation Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Slovakia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ukralne Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel islands (10) Population aged 014 ...................... Population aged 15-64...... Population aged 65 or over Denmark Population aged 0-14........ Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonia Population aged 0-14............ Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Finland (11) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Iceland Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64........ Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14.... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Latvia Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Lithuania Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.....................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
16 496 51 550 8 048
19 212 51 855 8568
19 733 52 891 9 138
20 159 54 892 9 878
21 004 55 334 11 019
20 731 56 161 12 119
19 194 57 683 13 OOO
17 923 59 437 13 385
17876 60 192 14 053
18 242 60 543 14 392
17 043 61 756 14 643
22 66 13
23 70 14
24 72 15
25 75 16
26 78 17
26 83 19
24 86 20
22 92 20
23 98 21
24 98 21
25 101 21
1124 2 757 390
1178 2 828 433
1156 2 940 485
1131 3 087 540
1148 3 176 605
1143 3 239 678
1 068 3 317 738
943 3 399 771
876 3463 802
907 3 523 798
966 3556 791
281 703 117
275 764 121
276 813 128
295 855 141
301 904
160
312 946 174
320 969 164
338 1013 174
347 1 038 181
299 946 193
249 915 206
1 202 2 540 267
1 298 2646 291
1 347 2 764 319
1 236 2 968 360
1133 3 051 422
1 037 3 174 500
971 3 236 572
952 3 339 612
963 3356 667
972 3 410 726
940 3464 772
44
88 11
53 94 11
61 101 14
66 110 16
66 120 16
66 133 20
63 143 23
64 153 24
64 164 27
65 172 30
65 183 33
858 1 794 317
876 1 728 317
881 1 836 317
897 1 657 322
920 1 703 331
992 1 836 350
1041 1995 365
1 050 2 115 374
961 2 155 399
876 2 320 413
824 2554 426
494 1 238 218
471 1 322 222
465 1433 223
504 1513 249
511 1 567 281
518 1 626 312
513 1 671 327
546 1 728 304
571 1m 315
516 1 637 338
423 1591 365
701 1 624 242
702 1 689 238
748 1816 214
816 1 884 270
849 1 977 313
840 2094 367
804 2 223 387
818 2 381 365
a34 2 460 404
791 2 391 448
699 2315 486
796 2 151 316
879 2 200 348
927 2 256 396
922 2356 445
949 2 429
953 2 505
906
500
548
2 577 603
831 2 689 653
803 2 746 692
849 2 615 695
897 2 911 681
1644 4 651 719
1 725 4 745 792
1646 4 939 895
1 620 5 135 979
1 676 5 267 1 099
1 695 5 259 1 238
1 628 5 328 1354
1465 5 395 1 491
1 535 5 502 1 522
1664 5 621 1542
1634 5705 1529
1 1 306 33 881 5 429
1 1 712 33 716 5 771
12 181 34 072 6 119
12 624 35 199 6 527
13 401 35 005 7 258
13 123 35 207 7 896
11 832 36 072 8 410
10 873 37 103 6 578
10 876 37 358 9 003
1 1 256 37 536 9 169
1 1 176 38 379 9 312
30 136 78 559 8 302
30 643 73 966 8 979
32 047 76211 9 809
32 815 79 310 10 653
33 645 80 970 12 629
34 173 83 979 14 412
33 307 88 473 16 110
30 864 93 228 16 419
27 136 96 115 19 034
24 649 97 748 21 460
22 961 96 739 24 100
473 657 85
540
662 864 84
803 979 89
905 1136 95
958 1334 108
958 1 574 139
1 020 1781 155
1 078
752 88
2036
175
1 025 1 928 197
970 1884 226
1008
1 549 106
1083 1 753 108
1 228 1 842 110
1 292 1 971 134
1 232 2 164 168
1157 2 385 206
1 067 2 609 238
1 033 2 857 231
1 042 3003 263
744 2 405 272
690 2844 453
1 030 2 517 303
1 060 2 611 295
1102 2643
1 059 2 721 342
949 2 815 404
917 2 877 469
923 2 943 51 1
941 3063 467
926 3 079 512
872 3 174 624
767 3040 699
2 168 4884 514
2 109 5 264 593
2 208 5 438
2 177 5 617 757
2 166 5 826 980
2 160 5 779 1107
2 200 6 176 1 267
2 115 6 498 1 321
1 956 6 814 1391
1 790 7 249 1617
1668 7469 1838
Norway (12) Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Populationaged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. United Kingdom Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64........ Population aged 65 or over
.
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albania Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64... Populationaged 65 or ov6r Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 0-14..... Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatia Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Populationaged 65 or over
718
300
688
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Populationby broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Channel Islands (10) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Denmark Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Estonla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Finland (11) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Iceland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ireland Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Latvia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Populationaged 65 or over Llthuanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or wer .............. Norway (12) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Sweden Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Unlted Kingdom Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
......................
..............
.....................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Albanla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bosnia and Herzegovina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Croatla Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Greece Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Flevision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United
Table A33.Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Maltcl Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 0 Population aged 1 Population aged 6 Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Spain Population aged 0-14 .. Population aged 15-84 Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Mawdonla (14) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (15) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64, Population aged 65 or o Austrla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belglum Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-1
......
..............
Population aged 65 or over Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ... Population aged 15-64 . Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 _. Population aged 65 or over ..............
720
1950
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
12 397 30 817 3 890
12 180 32 229 4 223
12 433 33 093 4 674
12 662 34 255 5 195
13 225 34 733 5863
13 437
35 326 6 678
12 570 36444 7 420
11 082 38 302 7 209
go00 39 028 8 691
8 569 39 209 9 523
8 246 38 940 10 507
109 185 18
119 174 21
115 174 23
103 178 24
84 192 27
75 200 29
75 217 32
83 227 34
85 238 38
83 251 43
78 263 48
147 222 29
150 248 30
170 264 33
179 292
26
170 310 39
165 340 44
159 370 48
153 378 45
154 384 49
148 420 55
147 459 64
2 477 5 341 587
2468 5 515 627
2 582 5 588 708
2 613 5 642 744
2 496 5386 798
2 539 5 656 898
2534 6 212 1 021
2 355 6 456 1 200
2 037 6 607 1 339
1 776 6 762 1 492
1660 6 923 1645
1 890 4 329 513
2068 4 653 497
2 230 4866
488
2 190 5 136 564
2 026 5460 687
2 070 5 671 795
2 134 5 925 887
2 212 6 257 804
2222 6 426 920
2 226 6 789 1181
2 018 6 734 1 379
405 965 103
423 998 112
432 1 024 123
424 1060 146
403 1102 165
413 1138 191
425 1198 209
422 1 267 195
403
356
1310 214
1361 247
315 1 389 280
7 587 18 377 2044
7 938 18 971 2 290
8354 19 602 2 499
8 764 20 547 2 745
9 439 21 036 3 305
9 748
22 163 3777
9 729 23 590 4 208
8 927 24 865 4 628
7 715 25 849 5 288
6 557 26 807 6 024
5940 27 545 6 745
436
493 770 91
518 74
511 966 91
515 1 057 103
514 1157 124
499 1 209 120
499 1 268 142
444
800
533 875 73
483
689 105
1 309 171
1363 202
32 873 93 690 14 343
33 495 96 373 15 767
36 036 98 604 17 263
38 763 101 19 405
39 953 104 042 21 655
38 434 107 120 23 589
34 490 111 063 24 878
31 448 116732 23 633
31 360 119 279 25 418
31 925 121 502 27 631
31 373 122 748 29 369
1581 4635 719
1548 4 617 782
1 559 4640 849
1 698 4 615 958
1819 4 597 1 051
1 761 4 691 1127
1 541 4 845 1163
1386 5 116 1 077
1 347 5 227 1155
1412 5417 1218
1353 5 503 1 255
1805 5 873 950
1 931 5 914 1017
2 152 5906 1 098
2 250 6 007 1193
2 267 6 076 1 289
2 181 6 236 1 362
1 986 6 424 1418
1864 6 597 1 354
1 793 6 654 1 485
1 801 6 677 1606
1781 6688 1 724
9 498 27 569 4 762
10 621 27 786 5 021
12 047 28 320 5 317
12 485 30 369 5904
12 654 31 633 6535
12 595 33004 7 101
12 005 34 350 7 525
11 722 36403 7 159
11 487 37 313 7 935
11 243 37 893 9066
11 061 38 498 9 628
15 854 45 877 6 645
14 906 47 903 7 517
15 491 48 937 8386
17 359 49 092 9 514
18 150 49 315 10 704
16 931 50 069 11 673
14 474 51 654 12211
12 441 53 933 11 311
12 775 54 776 11 882
13 264 55 763 12 634
12 853 55 997 13 459
59 208 29
60 213 32
67 213 34
75 218 39
75 222 43
72 240 47
68 246 50
63 255 49
66 264 51
74 277 57
82 293 62
2964 6 367 783
3 214 6635
902
3445 7 007 1 035
3 475 7645 1175
3 558 8 156 1 325
3 463 8 728 1 475
3 159 9 362 1 629
2 819 9 923 1 749
2 727 10 305 1 920
2843 10 569 2 047
2 959 10 799 2 166
1105 3 138 451
1 208 3 281 491
1 267 3 556 539
1413 3 828 616
1 471 4 014 702
1 422 4 120 797
1 247 4 197 875
1143 4 468 925
1154 4 700 981
1 277 4865 992
1 273 4 927 1063
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Italy Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Malta Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Montenegro Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Portugal Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Serbia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Slovenla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Spaln Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. TFYR Macedonia (14) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. WESTERN EUROPE (15) Populalion aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Austria Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Belgium Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. France Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Germany Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Luxembourg Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Switzerland Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table 1133 Population by broad age group. major area. region and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) MaJorarea. region and country
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over Aruba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ........... Population aged 65 or over ..............
.
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1960
1985
1990
1995
2000
67 449 94 345 5 832
79 349 105 893 6 781
93 577 118 521 8 069
109 048 134 054 9 748
122 235 153 671 11 637
134 020 177 058 13 755
144 030 204 158 18 192
153 644 232 418 18 430
160 723 262 023 21 525
164 834 293 629 25 397
166 363 326 715 29 970
6 792 9663 676
7509 10 567 759
8 394 11 529 040
9 552 12 596 995
10 498 13 705 1218
11 105 15 195 1441
10 923 17 182 1 749
10 870 19 193 1 986
11 063 21 034 2 255
11 489 22 588 2 500
11 515 24 236 2 865
16 21 1
19 24 1
22 27 1
23 30 1
22 33 2
19 37 3
16 41 4
16 44 5
16 43 5
19 58 5
21 63 7
31 45 4
36 49 4
47 59 4
62 73 5
74 90 6
78 104 7
81 121 9
83 140 10
83 161 12
88 179 13
89 198 16
70 129 12
79 133 15
88
92 127 17
88
127 15
130 20
77 144 24
74 149 26
69 165 26
65 181 26
64 190 26
201 26
2 152 3 508 260
2 352 3 887 301
2 504 4 305 332
2 949 4 607 394
3 276 4 929 505
3533 5 271 629
3 116 5 956 751
2 608 6 635 843
2 384 7 277 944
2 425 7 480 1 025
2 285 7 683 1175
1133 1 229 66
1332 1 428 74
1603 1 661 85
1916 1 933 100
2 194 2 282 120
2 402 2 717 145
2 542 3215 176
2 651 3 738 219
2 753 4 265 277
2 886 4 777 351
3 030 5 276 438
37 36 4
37 40 4
44 41 4
47 43 5
47 43 5
39 47 6
36 47 6
38 56 6
37 51 8
37 54 8
35 58 7
83 118 9
97 128 11
119 143 14
133 155 13
137 188 15
138 172 19
109 195 23
106 222 27
104 255 32
104 266 36
105 276 40
1 276 1 826 119
1 396 2 001 119
1 559 2 185 125
1 784 2 347 145
1 971 2 569 173
2 123 2 821 200
2 339 3 124 228
2 698 3 435 255
3 068 3 763 278
3 341 4 191 304
3 455 4 780 338
506 843 54
571 907 64
679 880 70
764 901 95
878 887 104
910 986 117
858 1131 143
841 1 294 162
833 1 362 174
844 1461 179
855 1 537 197
83 127 12
99 134 12
119 150 13
138 158 15
135 174 17
132 176
20
100 201 26
94 217 30
89 237 34
91 245 39
90 251 45
39 65 7
49 67 7
56 72 7
59 80 7
58 93 8
55 102 9
52 110 12
51 118 13
50 127 14
50 126 14
45 119 17
958 1174 86
966 1181 103
1007 1 226 124
1 001 1436 146
993 1 546 177
9e8 1 766 185
1 009 1 935 253
1 001 2 086 291
960 2 227 341
937 2 379 381
908 2 493 433
Bahamas
Populationaged 0-14 .......... Populationaged 15-64 ........ Populatlonaged 65 or over .............. Barbados Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cub9 Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .. Dominican Rapubllc Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Granada Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 1584 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Halt1 Populationaged 0-14 ......................
..........
Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ............. Populationaged 65 or over .............. Mmrtlnlquo Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlanda Antlllaa Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puarto RICO
60
Saint Lucla Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over Saint Vlnwnt and the Granrdlnrs Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trlnldad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .....
..............
722
32
35
47 3
49 3
40 46 4
46 46 4
52 47 5
51 53 5
52 60 6
52 68 7
50 77 10
51 85 10
47 95 11
33 31 3
37 34 3
40 38 3
43 39 4
45 41 4
45 45 5
44 51 6
42 57 6
42 61 6
42 64 7
38 70 7
257
305 388 28
363 447 33
382 483
409 519 43
385 577 50
370 651 60
403 711 65
422 734 69
404 793 73
344
354 25
32
879 78
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopuiation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CARIBBEAN (16) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Aruba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bahamas Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Barbados Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Cuba Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Dominican Republic Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Grenada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guadeloupe Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Halti Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Jamaica Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ......... Population aged 65 or over .............. bdartinique Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Netherlands Antilles Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Puerto Rico Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Lucla Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
United mtes Virgin Islands Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 Populationaged 65 or over ..............
.....................
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-84..................... Population aged 65 or over Belize Population aged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-84 Populationaged 65 or over .............. Costa Rim
El Salvador Population aged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guqtemala Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over. Honduns Populationaged Populationaged Populationaged 65 or over
..............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
10 14 2
12 15 2
13 18 2
20 27 2
23 39 2
36 47 3
35 59 4
35 64 5
30 67 6
30 70 8
29 72 9
15966 20 271 1 278
19 363 22 719 1 421
23 353 25 895 1668
27 809 29 712 2 030
32 279 34 848 2 454
37 159 40 827 2 866
41 251 47 643 3 361
43 688 54 961 3 861
44 738 63 338 4648
46 162 72 294 5 597
47 212 81 611 6 764
27
42 47 4
50 52 5
58 60
3
35 42 3
5
63 65 6
67 71 7
74 82 7
82 96 8
90 115 9
98 137 10
372 548 47
472 603 54
598 673 62
738 '773 74
816 921 84
849 1107 95
886 1 350
111
966 1 595 134
1104 1821 150
1198 2 100 177
1 247 2 470 21 1
840 1051 60
990 1173 61
1189 1322 67
1404 1 530 79
1 669 1 830 100
1 879 2 116 125
2 061 2 377 148
2 078 2 514 1 78
2 085 2 810 215
2 109 3 262 261
2 208 3 671 316
1 403 1664 79
1643 1661 94
1 894 2 135 110
2 141 2 484 1 32
2 418 2844 156
2 781 3 246 177
3 183 3 623 207
3630 4 061 243
4 043 4 567 297
4 489 5 149 366
4 947 5 829 453
628 800 60
760 898 61
923 1016 65
1109 1171 74
1 284 1 323 83
1 476 1 533 97
1 707 1811 115
1 955 2 144 132
2 223 2 506 162
2 470 2 905 195
2 634 3 321 240
1 1 777 15 002 962
14 360 16 822 1 071
17 376 19 229 1 272
20 802 22 040 1 564
24 223 25 902 1 903
28 045 30 448 2 220
31 011 35 715 2 599
32 410 41 459 2 957
32 450 47 986 3564
32 866 54 661 4 296
33 045 61 504 5 186
573 689 33
694 773 35
846 878 40
998 1 007 47
1149 1187 59
1 329 1 402 72
1546 1 623 88
1 755 1 852 1 07
1 903 2 106 132
2 050 2 460 154
2 093 2 832 184
346 479 35
409 527 41
484 594 49
570 675 57
662 780 64
739 911 74
790 1 072 88
819 1 254 103
848 1444 119
890 1 642 138
940 1 847 164
44 692 64411 3 878
52 476 72 606 4 601
61 830 81 098 5 554
71 686 91 746 6 723
79 458 105 118 7964
85 757 I21 036 9 447
91 856 I39 333 1 1 081
99 086 158 264 12 583
104 922 177 650 14 622
107 183 198 747 17 300
107 636 220 868 20 340
5 235 11 194 721
5 824 12 187 917
6345 13 128 1143
6 730 14 166 1 387
7 037 15 259 1 666
7611 16 464 1 974
8 574 17240
2 279
9 395 18 333 2 578
10014 19 655 2 912
10 172 21 385 3 279
10 331 22 918 3646
1123 1 495 95
1 260 1 645 101
1 432 1808 111
1 607 2 014 127
1609 2 259 144
2048 2 547 164
2 278 2 887 190
2 498 3 251 21 5
2 730 3 689 250
3 035 4 144 303
3 293 4 667 357
22 432 29 937 1606
26 446 34 494 1946
31 478 38 895 2 369
36840 44548 2 941
40 674 51 815 3 500
43 588 60 332 4 204
48 317 70 301 4 998
50348 80 157 5 618
52 781 90 163 6 578
52 552 101 101 7 962
51 574 113076 9 510
2 233 3 590 259
2 580 3 879 305
3 020 4 259 364
3 503 4 718 426
3 799 5 289 482
3 851 6 010 552
3 690 6 864 620
3 737 7 663 702
3 942 8436 801
4 270 9 183 942
4 280 10014 1118
5358 6 815 395
6504 7580 439
7 815 8 501 525
9 157 9 762 834
10 326 1 1 403 772
1 1 023 13 360 919
11 559 15 712 1 085
1 1 963 18 338 1 263
12 616 20 775 14@4
13 184 23 370 1 705
13 548 26 152 1 983
1338 1 869 180
1609 2 061 192
1 928 2 302 209
2 297 2 617 230
2648 3068 253
3 026 3 602 279
3 408 4 234 320
3 745 4 990 364
4 001 5844 427
4 147 6 739 511
4 238 7438 629
40
MDXICO
Populationaged 0-14.... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 85 or over .............. Panama Populationaged 0-14...................... Populationaged 15-64 Populationaged 65 or over ..............
...
SOUTH AMERICA (17) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or Argentlns Population aged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bollvla Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over Brazil Populationaged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Chile Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-84 Populationaged 65 or over .............. Colombia Populationaged 0-14 Populationaged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Populationaged 65 or over ..............
..............
......
724
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
United States Virgln Islands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bellze Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Costa Rlca Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. El Salvador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guatemala Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Honduras Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Mexlco Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Nicaragua Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Panama Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. SOUTH AMERICA (17) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Argentina Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Bolivia Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Brazll Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Chlle Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Colomb[a Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Ecuador Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table 1133.Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
MaJorarea, region and country
Fmch Gulana Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guyana Population aged 0-14 ......................
.....
Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.... Population aged 65 or ove Peru Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.... Surlname Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15 Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..... Population aged 65 or ove NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over Canada Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Unlted States of A m ~ l c a Population aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8 16 1
10 17 2
12 18 2
15 22 2
19 27 2
22 32 3
23 42 3
29 55 4
41 71 4
50 83 5
60 100 6
1 74 230 19
220 248 18
276 274 19
304 319 22
338 347 25
324 383 27
312 419 30
295 428 31
268 429 34
247 457 36
226 472 37
693 738 43
796 828 51
913 933 60
1 035 1 070 72
1146 1 252 86
1 237 1 466 101
1 360 1718 120
1 543 2 016 144
1 759 2 318 171
I 938 2 657 204
2 042 3 072 235
3 172 4 196 264
3 667 4 709 296
4 302 5 288 341
5 063 6 005 4&Kl
5 806 6 930 457
6 556 8068 537
7 263 9435 627
7 825 10 968 730
8 314 12 586 862
8 685 14 140 1 032
8 856 15 555 1 251
86 116 13
108 130 12
138 140 12
160 159 13
180 1 78 14
174 177 14
147 194 16
144 223 16
142 243 17
1 42 254 21
140 272 25
624 1430 184
654 1 525 193
707 1 624 206
756 1712 225
764 1 776 249
783 1 773 272
785 1 824 305
807 1 874 327
809 939 358
806 2 017 395
815 2 071 432
2 214 2 783 97
2 798 3 301 I30
3464 3 925 191
4 218 4 632 243
4 892 5 515 314
5 514 6820 400
6 140 8 462 489
6 759 9 967 591
505 1 500 726
7 956 13 216 906
8 232 15 061 1110
46 697 110819 14 100
55 551 115037 16 295
63 437 122 265
18 447
66 995 131 705 20 457
66 134 143 410 22 387
61 515 156 903 24 999
57 509 169 853 28 184
58 133 179 810 31 080
61 472 188 029 34 419
65 642 I97 110 36 918
67 353 209 373 38 946
4 077 8606 1054
5 051 9466 1219
6 007 10 559 1343
6 568 11 601 1 509
6 537 13 464 1716
6 057 15 127 1 958
5 575 16 636 2308
5 503 17 690 2 650
5 733 18 847 3 121
5 973 19 820 3 509
5 858 20 961 3 870
42 596 102 175 13 043
50 473 105 529 15 073
57 398 1 1 1 659 17 101
60 390 120 052 18 944
59 559 129 886 20 667
55 424 141 706 23 035
51 904 153 142 25 871
52 603 162 038 28 423
55711 1 69 097 31 289
59 639 I77 207 33 399
61 465 188 327 35 065
3 824 8044 938
4 572 8638 1 050
5 289 9 441 1154
5 939 10 576 1 273
6 363 11 879 1 396
6665 13 061 1560
6 753 14 265 1 833
6 913 15 700 2 073
7 113 17 189 2 431
7 635 18 592 2 768
8 036 20017 3 053
2 734 6 554 839
3 333 7 041 963
3 873 7 700 I 075
4 274 8 687 1192
4 566 9 680 1 302
4 683 10 574 1 450
4534 1 1 504 1714
4 488 12 500 1 928
4 493 13 530 2 261
4 736 14 435 2 575
4 832 15 332 2 829
2 179 5 372 668
2666 5 764 771
3 093 6 313 870
3 417 7 130 978
3 671 7 995 1 063
3 758 8684 1182
3 702 9532 1 404
3 697 10 384 1 588
3 695 1 1 297 1 882
3 888 12 032 2 151
3 956 12 807 2 376
555 1182 171
667 1 277 192
780 1 387 205
857 1 557 214
895 1 685 239
925 1 890 268
832
1971 310
791 2 116 340
797 2 234 380
848 2 402 423
875 2 525 454
926 1 275 88
1045 1 362 76
1186 1 482 67
1 394 1 594 67
1 492 1855 79
1 670 2 105 90
1 897 2 328 97
2 088 2 699 117
2 260 3 093 135
2 515 3 537 1 52
2 814 4 012
135 146 8
160 166 10
1 89 195 10
217 236 11
226 281 13
230 331 15
248 368 18
274 414 21
274 427 23
274 470 24
273 500 28
OCEANIA Population aged 65 or over ..............
AUSTRALIAMEW ZEALAND
.....................
Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or over .............. Auotralla (19) Population aged 0-14...................... Populatiin aged 15-64..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. N W Zealand Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64..... Population aged 65 or over
..... ..............
MELANESIA Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64.... Population aged 65 or ove FIJI Population aged 0-14...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over ..............
726
in
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, reglon and country
French Gulana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Guyana Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Paraguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Peru Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Surinarne Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Uruguay Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Canada Population aged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 ..................... Populationaged 65 or over .............. Unlted States of Amerlca Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. OCEANIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Populationaged 0-14 ...................... Populationaged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Australia (19) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. New Zealand Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MELANESIA Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Fiji Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
24 39 2
25 40 3
30 46 3
36 52 3
41 60 4
50 74 5
53 84 6
54 95 7
55 108 8
60 124 9
64 139 12
707 1017 74
791 1 071 59
687 1145 49
E45 197 47
113 387 54
1 252 1 554 60
1434 1 703 62
1 572 1 988
77
1 724 2 318 90
1948 2 659 101
2 223 3 041 118
38 50 2
44 56 2
51 65 3
61 71 5
72 83 6
92 94 6
109 112 7
129 134 9
142 162 9
158 193 11
174 229 12
22 24 1
26 28 1
30 33 1
35 38 2
39 44 3
46 52 3
53 61 4
59 69 4
66 78 5
75 91 6
80 103 6
52 90 5
65 94 5
79 99 6
93 112 6
106 130 7
113 145 9
124 168 10
138 208 12
154 249 15
169 280 17
309
16 43 1
21 41 1
27 39 1
31 44 1
34 50 1
36 58 2
37 66 3
39 77 4
40 88 5
45 94 7
47 100 8
13 18 1
16 20 1
20 23 2
25 26 2
28 31 2
30 31 3
35 36 3
39 44 3
42 50 3
47 57 4
43 60 4
112 125 6
129 140 7
151 160 7
178 183 8
199 215 9
200 236 11
199 266 13
199 293 16
206 316 21
215 341 24
364
27
31 37 2
35 42 2
43 48 2
51 57 3
55 71 4
60 86 4
65 103 5
69 120 6
73 135 8
74 152 10
45 47 2
54 55 2
63
42 2
62 2
68 72 2
68 80 3
65 87 3
63 90 4
E6 89 6
66 95 7
73 97 8
23 23 1
28 28 1
33 34 1
40 41 2
46 50 2
44 47 2
43 51 3
38 51 4
37 53 4
39 54 5
38 55 5
New Caledonia Population aged 0-1
Papua New Gulnea
Population aged 0-14 ....... Population aged 15-64 ...... Population aged 65 or over ..............
Solomon Islands
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over
Vanuatu
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64.
MCRONESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 Population aged 15Population aged 65 or over ..............
169 19
Guam
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
Micronesia (Fad. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ....... Population aged 65 or over POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 . Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesia
32 2
222 28
Samoa
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
38
Tonga
Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65 or
a b c d e 1 2
3 4 5 6
7 8
More developed regions comprise Europe. Northern America, AustralidNew Zealand and Japan. Less developed regions m p r i s e all regions of Africa. Asia (exduding Japan), Latin America and the Cariibean plus Wanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Least developed w n t r i e s are 50 wuntties, 34 in Africa,10 in Asia, 5 in ooeenii plus one country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Other less developed countriescomprise of the less d d o p e d regions exduding the least developed cwntrbs. Sub-SaharanAfrica refersto all of Africa e m 1 Northern Africa,with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa. Including Seychelles. Including Maydte. Including Agalega, Rcd~igues,and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena. kension, and T r i m da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, SpecialAdrninistraCiveRegions (WR) of China. As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a SpecialAdministrative F a g i i (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are mbined into South-CentralAsia.
728
United Nations Depattment of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.33. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
region and country
2050
New Caledonia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Papua New Guinea Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Solomon lslands Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Vanuatu Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. MICRONESIA (20) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Guam Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over .............. French Polynesia Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Samoa Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 .................... Population aged 65 or over .............. Tonga Population aged 0-14 ...................... Population aged 15-64 ..................... Population aged 65 or over ..............
9 including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man. 10 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
11 lncluding Aland Islands 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 13 lncluding Andorra. Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
14 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. 15 lncluding Liechtensteln.and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguiiia, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kins and Nevis, and Turks and Calcos Islands. 17 lncluding Falkland Islands (Maidnas). 18 including Bermuda, Greenland, and Salnt Pierre and Miquelon. 19 lnclud~ng Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Nodolk Island. 20 lncluding Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru. Northern Mariana Islands, and Paiau. 21 including American Samoa, Cook islands, Nlue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabte A.34. Population In school ages by major area, region and country: estlmates and medium variant, 1950-2050 Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major a m , region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................
318 220 154 325 146 443 274 288
355 014 155 557 153 853 288 276
430 947 177 139 158 763 300 543
480 059 219 116 190 147 318 621
530 627 237 368 228 771 384 409
587 051 266 689 244 568 451 301
622 085 294 174 276 781 491 579
630 769 311 509 300 986 553 067
665900 311 822 311 919 598 098
724 201 334 173 315 699 615 388
740 621 365 147 345 481 633 323
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ....................
83 301
43 807 40 575 84 040
91 943 40 322 43 424 82 000
102 568 47 388 41 037 84 277
106 738 51 456 50 045 85 028
107 914 53 706 52 395 99 207
102 223 54 232 54 051 105 232
98 096 50 667 53 381 108 641
95 291 49 593 50 124 106 547
94 735 47 771 49 522 101 265
95 634 48 259 46 192 99 788
89 723 48 741 49211 98 190
234 919 110518 105 868 190 249
263 071 115235 110428 206 276
328 379 129 751 117 726 216 265
373 321 167 660 140 102 233 594
422 713 183 661 176 376 285 202
484 828 212 456 190 517 346 068
523 989 243 508 223 400 382 938
535 478 261 916 250 863 446 520
571 165 264 052 262 397 496 834
628 566 285 913 267 507 515 600
650 898 316 406 296 270 535 133
30 228 13 247 12 312 21 970
33483 14 930 13 512 23 889
38 949 16 355 15 236 26 480
45 086 19 420 16 992 29 853
51 701 22 320 20 328 33 764
59 124 25 617 23 121 39 798
67 072 29 208 26 522 45 427
75 481 33 171 30 171 52 028
86 807 37 422 34 305 59 402
98 939 43 508 39 193 67 966
110584 49 374 45 453 78 013
204 690 97 272 93 556 168 279
229 588 100 305 96 916 182 387
289 429 113396 102 490 189 785
328 235 148 239 123 110 203 941
371 012 181 341 156 049 251 439
425 704 186 839 167 396 306 271
456 918 214 300 196 879 337 511
459 997 228 744 220 692 394 492
484 358 226 630 228 091 437 432
529 628 242 406 228 315 447 634
540 314 267 032 250 817 457 120
Less developed regions, excluding China Populationaged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23
168 967 78 275 72 636 130 719
185 401 82 841 78 939 142 516
223 793 91 235 84064 154 186
264 524 112785 96 599 165 671
300 119 131 769 119888 194 561
333 586 149 893 f 37 320 237 413
369 244 166 041 154 962 272 656
408 220 184 578 171 377 307 463
452 491 203 754 190 421 340 529
491 654 226 761 210 736 377 476
519 640 245 499 233 550 420 177
Sub-Seharan Africa (e) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 ....... Populationaged 18-23
27 598 12 112 11 197 19 764
30 777 13 595 12 382 21 863
35 752 15 069 13 923 24 341
41 533 17 768 15 670 27 267
47 845 20 547 18 607 31 167
55 419 23 701 21 378 38 677
64 560 27 518 24 768 42 436
75 478 32 160 28 880 49 171
88 295 37 668 33 778 57 269
100 767 43 903 39 513 67 081
113404 50 316 45 992 78 676
AFRICA Populationaged 6-11 Populationaged 12-14 .............. Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................
34 115 15 065 13 951 24 668
38 291 16 813 15 393 27 255
44 651 18 832 17218 30 148
52 151 22 223 19 471 33 379
59 970 25 891 23 352 38 566
68 601 29 662 26 834 45 789
79 430 33 958 30 741 53 013
92 500 39 682 35 651 61 035
107 491 46 184 41 594 70 471
121 115 53 588 48 393 82 318
133 128 60 511 55 931 96 239
10 126 4 422 4 110 7 207
11 534 4 953 4 498 7 976
13 473 5 654 5 103 8 814
15 695 6 667 5 903 10 031
18 333 7 756 6 976 11 682
21 387 9 082 8 103 13 730
24 836 10 561 9 487 16 066
29 096 12 313 11 053 10 788
34 101 14 602 13 002 21 968
38 644 16 672 15 112 25 501
43 818 19 483 17 623 30 176
369 164 153 273
402 180 165 288
483 193 180 313
543 241 202
340
583 263 249 391
631 282 259 445
681 310 288 504
767 337 319 583
935 379 346 627
1119 464 395 646
1 230 554 486 733
27 12 11 19
32 14 12 21
35 16 14 23
39 16 16 27
47 19 17 30
56 23 20 33
68 29 26 42
80 34 30 51
97 40 36 60
106 49 43 71
113 52 51 86
10 4 4 7
13 5 5 8
14 7 6 10
19 8 8 14
27 11 10 19
38 16 14 24
58 25 23 38
67 30 27 47
92 40 37 65
104 45 41 72
120 54 49 86
187 81 74 126
211 91 82 141
229 103 92 160
265 109 103 184
312 127 112 202
356
426 151 125 220
543 218 173 259
555 277 240 352
578 263 270 427
638 292 266 520
WORLD Populationaged 6-11
LESSDEVELOPEDREG Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 Less dewloped regions, e lM8t developed countries (d) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 .
.
.... .......
EASTERN AFRICA (1) Populationaged 6-11 ................ Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 Burundi Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Comoros (2) Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Djlboutl Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Erltraa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..
730
147 134 224
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 WORLD Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Least developed countries (c) Populationaged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23.................... Less developed regions, excluding Chlna Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 16-23..................... Sub-Saharan Africa (e) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... AFRICA Population aged 6-11...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Burundi Population aged 6-11...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Comoros (2) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Djlbouti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Erdrea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A34. Poputatbn In school ages by maJwarea. regbn and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
MJor
(vw.
mglon and country
Ethlopla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14............. Population aged 15-17 Population aged 16-23.................... K=w Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 U.d.gucar Population a@ 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... YIaM popllation aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 YHlrttlu. (3) Poplation aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Moumblqw Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-1 7 .................... Population aged 18-23. R6unlon Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... population aged 18-23.................... Rwurd. population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .............. Population aged 18-23 Somalla Population aged 6-11 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2920 1265 1155 2 016
3286 1 423 1290 2 246
3 710 1606 1 459 2522
4 218 1 824 1855 2864
4906 2 072 1882 3 255
5 702 2 428 2 159 3 705
6 199
8 559 3653 3300 5 676
10 188 4 322 3886 6 653
1 1 937
2400 4046
7 245 3 114 2 819 4820
813 392 382 670
1021 390 383 741
1368 515 414 745
1683 690 574 845
2 024 639 745 1158
2436 1016 1485
2990 1219 1085 1798
3639 1512 1314 2 180
4366 1 829 1 627 2 659
5 023 2 206 1967 3 302
5197 2541 2331 3 949
651 290 267 472
700 320 294 521
850 337 321 576
1 007 427 355 624
1143 495 452 716
1308 56s 512 887
1500 848 587 1011
1 742
744 678 1164
2000 868 779 1340
2 320 994 909 1555
2714 1161 1044 1809
469
533
200
181 312
225 204 350
575 259 230 393
649 274 260 447
756 316 278 498
895 373 332 553
1 042 449 394 880
1 267 51 8 472 784
1635 700 578 1 028
1633 742 704 1138
1969 813 781 1 377
83 35 32 55
96 41 36 62
115 47 42 71
134 57 49 82
154 88 58 93
150 65 104
141 72 87 120
127 62 67 131
129 68 59 120
116 63 69 121
125 57 60 133
971 431 400 712
1054 470 433 768
1162 51 1 474 837
1315 567 519 919
1 496 645
1699 736 667 1142
1 937 839 765 1332
2 219 949 857 1451
2433 1 079 949 1 490
2609 1149 1065 1851
2950 1297 1188 2 108
35 15 15 27
44 18 15 29
60 22 19 31
70 31 26 38
83 37 31 43
88 40 36
77 41 41 61
73 37 36 71
75 37 37 72
79 39 38 68
81 41 40 70
363 156 140 241
416 179 161 276
483
548 226
185
203
318
347
658 274 240 403
774 324 288 474
881
205
368 659
993 41 1 380 706
1346 476 424 742
1205 460 349 536
1526 778 668 946
331 1 52 135 241
369
451 179 161 294
523 224 190 318
591 258 235 379
682 291
1 OS2 458 411 706
1144 473 422 713
1113
1 59 153 264
456 759
1013 441 444 755
1100 501 440 841
791 322 340 610
949 399 329 645
1136 465 424 668
1361 578 501 848
1608 679 614 1010
1 882 783 698 1192
2 214 927 819 1 373
2586 1096 975 1622
3 117 1310 1175 1974
3 797 1571 1 397 2 351
4569 1902 1675 2 796
1266 852
1 475 622 583 972
1668 734 651 1111
1943 820 761 1296
2294 970 857 1 501
2 715 1149 1030 1 728
3 189 1352 1208 2 047
3 770 1591 1 428 2 414
4368 1894 1687 2 855
5 119 2 218 2 031 3 439
5643 2 554 2310 4012
392 1 70 154 266
455 192 175 303
509 227 201 346
592 250 234
716 295
260
870 358 315
1040 436 383
1 224 520 465
401
459
525
832
774
1385 613 550 932
1566 687 639 1091
1772 783 716 1274
442 188 171 306
474 225 196 338
617 225 228 392
777 320 245 439
925 386 350
1 097 465 409 690
1312 548 492 810
1 599 662
1 887 81 1
590 1009
716 1208
2060 953 862 1415
2 125 1029 987 1699
582
1011
894
80
53
264
459
2666
383
525
5069 4546 7726
ug.nd.
Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population wed 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17....... population aged 18-23 Unltad Republic of To popllation aged 8-1 1 ............. Popuktion wed 12-14 Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23....................
545
494
LunMa
Populationaged 6-11 ............:......... Population aged 12-14.................... popllation aged 15-17 Poprlation aged 18-23.................... Zlmbabw popllationaged E l1 Populatmn aged 12-1 popllationaged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
732
508
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division WorW Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -
P
P
-
Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Ethiopia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23.................... Kenya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Popuhtion aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Madagascar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... Malawi Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Mauritius (3) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Mozambique Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................. RBunlon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23..................... Rwanda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Somalia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Uganda Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... United Republic of Tanzania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23.................... Zambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Zimbabwe Population aged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
table 1134 Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
US(0r arm. mglon and country
MDDLE AFRICA Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pop~lationeged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 16-23 .................... Angola Populationaged 6-11 ...................... populalbn aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 Camroon Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... population aged 12-14 Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 1523 .................... Central Atrlun Rapubllc Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... population aged 15-17 .................... population aged 18-23 Chad Papllalionaged 6-11 ...................... Populalkm aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
3 925 1 731 1 597 2036
4336 1 923 1 763 3 119
4 948 2 124 1965 3 467
5 689 2 441 2 189 3 849
6 618 2 821 2 552 4353
7 701 3 280 2 941 5038
9 052 3 827 3438 5844
10 686 4 495 4 015 6 822
12 564 5330 4 745 7 989
14 806 6 371 5 717 9 623
16 664 7 241 6565 11 188
615 274 255 457
E61 297 274 490
775 316
296
892 374 320
560
1144 490 437 741
1304 565 510
528
1009 426 383 621
1562 657 599 1030
1798 760 673 1157
2 120 898 805 1 349
2444 1036 929 1 572
850
713 318 295
807
910 400 359
1054
1 243
1483
291 272
448
528 468
623
488
530
558 940
1 756 739 657 1108
2 095 881 787 1320
2 393 1 053 937 1 573
2641 1192 1104 1875
175
80
185 85
76 139
424 177 163 287
486 212 186 317
556 241 224 378
629 278 252 443
738
1437 618 557
348
635
413 713
251 110 93 167
279 123 115 189
314 137 125
147
219 89 85 155
222
358 156 142 246
339
368
439
169 156 278
180 171
509 222
567 250 232 377
844 280
309
885 363
1033
152 142 257
256 451
281 489
319 545
388 643
1215 521 464 777
119 53 49
307 130 115 190
360 155 139 231
410 181 164 279
457 206 191 331
515 230 215 388
80
324 578
189
816
Population aged 1523 .................... !3&0 Tom6 and Pdnclp. Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 ............ NORTHERNAFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1 5 17 population aged 18-23 . Algula Population aged 6-11 ...................... population aged 12-14 .................... populationaged 1517 .................... Populationaged 16-23 QYPt Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populalion aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 16-23 .................... Llbyan Ar& Amahlrlya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ........
734
436
940
306
334
136 59 54 97
154
1?7 77 71 122
212 89 140
257 107 95 161
840
2 186 954
2 458 1 082
765 1330
866
988
l5W
1712
2 842 1210 1114 1950
3 379 1 431 1 277 2 226
3 978 1888 1510 2553
4 721 1985 1 TI8 3 012
5 539 2 327 2 070 3 498
6530 2 768 2465 4 132
7 816 3344 2 998 5043
8723 3 762 3393 5770
30
51 22 20
59 25 23
68 30
36
40
77 135
con90
Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 h o a a t l c RepuMlc of tho Congo Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....... Population aged 1 5 17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Equatorlot GUlnM Population agecl 6-11 ...................... Populatkm aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Gabon Population aged 6-11
863
88 1 942
88 61 107
80
29 13 13 24
14 13 25
35 14 14 25
38 17 15 27
41 19 18 29
32 14 13 25
31 14 13 22
45 20 18 32
51 24 24 46
50 25 24 46
56 24 24 46
60
75 34 32 61
95 39 37 69
116 50 43 79
139
46
64 29 28 49
94
167 71 65 116
6 2 2 8
6 2 2 8
7 2 2 8
9 4 3 8
12 5 5 8
14 6 6 9
15 7 6 10
18 8 7 11
22 9 7 12
22 11 10 15
23 11 11 19
7 976 3 585 3329 5904
9 172 3 932 3660 6 519
10 710 4 582 4030 7 081
12 645 5333 4 631 7 559
14 444 6 342 5640 9009
15 904 7 120 6508 10 910
18 108 7 817 7209 12 697
20856 9 167 8 250 14 374
23 501 10 392 9 514 16 094
25 146 11 823 10 832 18 603
25 079 12 567 12 145 21 430
1296 588 541 949
1466 642 602 1058
1 708 729 1147
2004 825 738 1 240
2 479 1020 884 1351
2 873 1210 1 031 1 697
3 244 1418 1 285 2058
3 755 1 628 1 499 2 m
4 373 1885 1712 2 997
4583 2 225 2005 3448
4415 2271 2276 4 032
3 110 1443 1368 2 472
3611 1535 1463 2 692
4 379 1853 1 575 2 814
5 243 2 281 1934 2 977
5 592 2850 2434 3 916
5883 2 768 2688 4626
6 827 2898 2 753 4 981
7884 3 456 3030 5 349
8 780 3948 3 578 5 774
9 572 4 394 4 081 6830
9436 4 852 4557 8012
159 69 64 111
177 77 70 122
214 91 83 146
255 108 97 173
320
418 162 147
543 222
812
268
322
691 298 255 419
754 423 372 647
657 363 420 765
858
28 24
136 124 217
186
60 55
346 321 524
27 46 184
86
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1AffairdPOpulation Division World Populatlon Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 MIDDLE AFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Angola Population aged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Cameroon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Central Afrlcan Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chad Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Democratic Republic of the Congo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Equatorial Guinea Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Gabon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SLo Tome and Principe Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-13 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Algeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Egypt Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A34. Population in school ages by major area, regbn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
MaJorama,mglon and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OoO
1464 576 993
1 669 724 655 1127
1921 831 754 1 295
2306 907 778 1 337
2 791 1139 952 1411
3028 1 378 1 207 1 067
3 198 1405 1286 2402
3529 1616 1 476 2580
3954 1 753 1888 2 910
4 103 2 007 1818 3 235
3945 2033 2 031 3 542
1 459 632 575 1001
1 658 714 649 1127
1811 818 737 1 273
2 027 877 1446
2 319 997 895 1610
2 722 1159 1 051 1 798
3 238 1 378 1 236 2 120
3 834 1646 1 478 2511
4306 1 877 1698 2093
4 798 2 138 1953 3365
5355 2 372 2206 3866
485
588
438 399
486 454
378
392
932 395 347 496
647
794
1138 513 494 896
1 242 570 527 971
1296 618 588 1 049
1 227 654
205
805 331 251 379
1039
238 218
673 258 221 401
967
217
2 1 1 2
3 1 1 3
4 2 2 5
6 3 3 7
11 5 4 9
13 6 5 9
19 10 9 20
25 10 10
40
20
34 13 12 24
18 16 28
44 21 21 37
2 240 998 1685
2 549 1130 1032 1855
3038 1 275 1177 2 055
3808 1554 1 352 2 331
4 067 1815 1 656 2 745
4 651 2034 1 895 3 325
5 349 2 341 2 128 3 769
5 959 2 701 2 472 4286
6 552 2 981 2811 4942
6 841 3 315 3 107 5 715
7 057 3 407 3388 6 274
64
66
28 47
32 31 55
91 31 31 57
113 48 35 58
126 56 52 73
144
30
58 103
171 73 66 118
208 86 77 132
243 105 93 156
262 124 113 190
265 132 129
110 49 44 77
125 54 49 81
138 63 55 91
153
192 85 78 129
219 96
281 125 113 178
309
147
25 1 111 101 166
303 141 128
101
171 76 69 117
69
80 34 31 55
92 40 36 61
106 46 42 72
122
173 71 64 105
202 87 76 123
231 103
83
143 62 56 96
1 477
2 228 989 903 1630
2 657 1116 1032 1809
3 167 1 362 1185 2 059
3568 1 595 1 455 2 422
4 079 1785 1668 2939
4 675 2054 1869 3 331
42 19 17 30
50 21 19 33
60 25 22 37
69 30 26 41
79 35 31 49
93 40 35 58
112 47 41
9848 4 328 3 975 7 035
10 700 4 874 4 439 7 785
12 482 5 197 4940 8 732
14 514 6228 5396 9 610
16 508 7 158 6 528 7 10 n
258 116 104 185
298
357 149 132 228
419 178 157 259
597
663
761
303
282 295 527
brocco Population aged 12-14 .......... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... TunlJa Population aged 6-11 Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 1823 .................... Waotam Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... BO~~WOM Populatbnaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 LeWlhO Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .......... Population aged 15-17 .......... Population aged 18-23 ..........
635
940
830
88 64
83
88
200
634 1177
230 151 144 246
Namlbla
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... population aged 18-23 ............. South Africa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Swulland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .............
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 1823 Banin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 Burklna Fa10 Population aged 6-1 1 .. Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
736
30 28 54 1 955 871
822
611 273 255 461
127 118 202
275 481
326
165
281 116 107 192
144 125 217
5 169 2 361 2 169 3 787
5 641 2582 2 449 4343
5 819 2858 2 691 5023
5 972 2 891 2909 5450
155 66
68
130 56 49 79
176 77 67 110
185 89 61 131
18 957 8 146 7388 12 787
22085 9 413 8 479 14 635
25 904 11 006 9862 16 765
30 772
35 679 15 407 13 624 22 877
40 510
457 211 188 310
518 225 216 372
614 261 232 422
725 310 276
912 362 327
486
554
854 374
1 375
1552
684
346
503 440
602
281
1010 422 382
1203
333
531
539
546
653
726
850
629 1046
53 48
96
80 100
12 878 11 523 19 477
17 814 16 210 27 171
1 081 469 397 672
1238 541 501
1781 774 708 1232
2 079
808 890 811 1412
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Divlsion World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Morocco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sudan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tunisia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Western Sahara Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SOUTHERN AFRICA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Botswana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Lesotho Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Namibia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... South Africa Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Swaziland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... WESTERN AFRICA (4) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Benin Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Burkina Faso Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A34 Population In school ages by maJorarea. reglon and country (continued) Estimates: 19!5&2005 Population (thowands)
Major area. rsglOn end Country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
20 12 12 20
25 11 10 20
31 9 8 19
41 15 13 21
53 23 20 23
51 25
22 30
50 26 25 36
54 23 24 43
66 27 22 41
75 33 29 43
78 38 35 56
397 177 163 285
439 199 186
554
848 354 322
1340
1 720
432 390
536 484
690
208
896 285 239
1048
217
335
387
435
540
698
872
803 1065
2 219 875 768 1290
2 612 1141 972 1 594
2 842 1315 1226 2015
43 19 18 32
48 21
49 24 22 41
57 24 24 46
72 29 25 49
87 36 32 54
104 44 39 67
126 52 47 82
152 64 57 101
182 77 69 122
217
857 370 337 582
1 024
1155 522
1316 565 537 923
1483 629 580 1009
1711 726 651 1100
1 905 81 1 727 1 233
2 271
2638 1135 1022 1 738
2 997 1326 1 202 2 052
3 251 1 499 1386 2402
379 155 142 268
414 193 163 278
469
533
826 359 325 562
419
1211 521
1350 593
196 324
275 251
723 314 267 499
982
235 204 375
592 262 243 404
626
200
380
465
536
654
799
907
69 32 56
71 33 31 57
78 33 32 58
79 36 32 57
166 71 66 110
197 83 75 132
232 97 87 148
125 55 51 91
142 62 57 100
170 71 64 112
369
375 161 144 242
523 233 210
505 224
500 253 229 403
595 236 248 447
1 537
1781 766 693 1163
103 52 48
142
Cape Verde
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
C l b d'lvolre Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Gambia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ghana Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-1 Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... GUlnM Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... P6pulation aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... GuIIwo-BIMoU Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Llhrla Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ............. Population aged 18-23 ............. Mall Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .............. Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Maaurllanla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 . Population aged 16-23 ....................
30
208 374 104 47 45 81
20 36
433 393 681
88
464 794
444
968 870 1 477
84
ge
36 35 59
41 37 67
120 52 47 79
146 63 55
199 86 75 128
230 100 90 150
269 116 104 179
316 136 122 2DB
371 158 142 241
701
876
1020
1171
380
434
508
463
770 345 321 487
351 617
390 870
451 745
192 86 82 113
217 96
250
288
51 95
175 75 53 97
108 99 175
126 113 196
223
638 269
528
1012 429 357 542
1171 504 452 694
1 370 582 483 762
1 596
369 323 9 921 4 289 3 897 6 784
11 525 4 937 4 490 7 840
13 436 5 691 5 107 8 770
48
304 243
88 180
92
158 140 237 1340 581 527 867 323 143 131
688 602 1012
363 162 149 261
92 84 147
353
409 182 189 301
Nlger Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Nigeria Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
404
450
167 148 247
204
533 219
177
209
229
296
349
408
742 317 285 461
5 214 2 297 2 106 3 717
5 641 2 559 2 342 4111
8634 2 722 2580 4 582
7 697 3306 2833 5 012
8 696 3 778 3460 5 658
385
431 191 177 318
484
172 158 281
215 198 357
574 240
277 125 118 213
299 137 126 227
318 147 138 245
351 156 147 267
199 87
218 96 87 152
248 104 96 166
281 119 104 180
867
SeneOa1
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1 5 17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SWre Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .. Population aged 18-23 . . . Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
738
80 142
223 401
685
1 909 797
613 941
1107
16 080 6654 5965 10 124
18 703 8 025 7045 11 829
21 270 9272 8437 14 051
1120 475 425 723
1 328
1 547
563 504
668 597 1002
1724 779 706 1191
606
643
698
273 251
317 279 481
688
806
289 255 456
345
947 403
309
363
524
814
394
445
478
174 158 286
195 179 31 1
222
525 235
201
226
267 243
350
397
446
436
354
407 174 156
488 197 177
579 240 213
340 306
266
302
362
691 294 259 431
151 136 225
851
778
509
683
909 403 368 632
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AfFairdPopulation Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Cape Verde Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... CBte d'lvoire Populationaged 6-1l ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Gambia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Ghana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Guinea-Blssau Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-1 7 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... Liberia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Mali Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Populationaged 18-23..................... Mauritania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Niger Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Nigeria Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Senegal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Sierra Leone Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Togo Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. PopulatlonIn school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
MaJor area, mglon and country 2OOO
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Populationaged 6-11 Populationaged 12-1
186 830 89 424
208 224
260 215
457 576
173 404
399 494 188 482 172 653 295 926
346636
192 748 198 056 385 158
204 516 193 083 388 228
226 760
156 368
373 848 163 442 146 544 272 972
392 758 200043
Populaticm aged 18-23 ....................
324 333 141 749 139 254 227 654
448 812
102 760
289 543 133 340 111 436 185 721
408 108
91 472 88 675 168 649
212 091 387 793
82 182
95 413
39 792 40 457 72 579
40 370 39 134 78 101
121 692 47 560 41 849 76 981
125 598 63 127 52 470 84295
140 108 60 326 64405 107 921
169 662 71 309 61 839 124 778
174 589 86 798 77 458 127 180
145 515 87 670 89 153 156 699
135 121 69 123 82 039 175 647
151 835 67 373 65 072 157 438
145 395 78 183 70 662 131 616
65 785 32 130 33 097 59 227
77329 32 313 31 386 63 481
104 070 38 312 33 549 61 880
108 160 54599 43 240 67 610
121 916 51 571 56 197 90 154
150 677 62 215 52852 108 053
154215 77 168 68 092 109 543
126 727
118 125 60 031 71 701 155 736
136 379 58 869 56 493 137 533
130 741 70 640 62430 114349
149 104 123 279
318 74
486
600
537 329
507 286
508 266
96 263
257 247 297
635 296 266 454
323 560
330 700
272 659
513 254 260 533
486
192 105 207
558
473 243 267 571
18 10 12 24
23 7 7 17
30 13 8 12
36 19 15 17
43 25 25 34
28 19 22 43
24 13 16 39
23 14 15 37
35 13 14 36
47 19 15 32
44 25 22 35
1916
893
1711 881
1 697 542
2 072 947
758 1219
777
582
1 426
1 273 870 871 1 699
1719
1 428
2 523 987 1 049 1339
2 701 1326 1060 2 017
2 031 1364 1398 2 235
2063 914 1235 2 751
2 259 1 097 874 2 324
2 410 1100 1154 1 873
11 209 5 223 5 236 9 728
12 820 5 597 5 274 10 234
12 107 6 571 5 820 10 276
10 023 5882 6 526 11 676
9 677 4 812 5 258 12 506
10 420 4 895 4739 10 434
11 699 5 216 5 037 9 492
10913 6 074 5 514 10 064
9399 5 342 6 013 11 091
8 163 4 611 4 952 11 569
7340 4 020 4 377 9 870
118 52 47 83
134 59 53 93
153 67 61 108
176 78 70 121
205
275 119 109 187
308
365
139 126 219
347 160 150 267
390 168 161
139
238 103 93 160
294
195 172 310
2 988 1381 1184 2 019
3 078 1430 1 449 2588
3 574 1 537 1 436 2820
4 905 1751 1595 2856
5 560 2585 1 997 3 207
5 239 2 760 2 762 4 188
5 148 2 671 2 815 5 202
5006 2 755 2630 5 125
4 639 2 410 2665 5 233
4 111 2344 2 315 5 128
4 022 1960 2 240 4608
71 780 33 933 31 551 57 591
77 192 34 977 33 881 61 626
94458 37 706 35 148 65889
110 179 47 a56 40 239 69 310
122 604 54 623 50 781 81 664
135291 61 167 56 518 100 481
149 418 67 358 63098 112662
106 314 74 485 69 478 125 974
186 398 83 188 77 216 138 703
205 816 93 767 86 751 153834
218 745 102 992 97 166 173 469
1 248 558 514 903
1405 610
1 507
988
624 1083
1 889 021 741 1 349
2 169 936 847 1 452
2303 993 894 1 529
2 049
562
1 657 733 703 1215
798 1 357
2 132 907 820 1 400
3 117 1325 1181 2009
3 597 1 523 1361 2 287
6 673 2 822 2 593 4622
7284 3362 2940 5 061
8 604 3 538 3 427 5826
10 158 4354 3688 6 615
11 751 5 042 4 604 7 417
13 293 5 888 5 273 9064
14 575 6 626 8 126 10 482
15 772 7 273 6 812 12 113
17 810 7 a15 7 429 13 486
19 502 9 001 8 127 14 685
20 730 9 713 9326 16 330
27 12 11 19
30
33 15 14 25
38 16 15 27
45 19 17 31
53 23 21 37
64 27 24 43
87 37 33 52
94 44 39 66
ASIA
EASTERN ASIA Populationaged 8-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populalion aged 1517 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Chlna (5) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Chlna, Muao SAA 0 Populationaged 5 1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 16-23 .................... Dam. Propktr RopuMk of K o m Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 Japan population aged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Mongolla Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 population aged 18-23 .................... Republlc of K o m Populationaged 8-11 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
SOUTHCENTRAL ASlA (8) Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .... Afghanlrtan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 Banglule8h Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23 Bhutan Populationaged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
740
86800
868
13 12 22
93204
698
88 80
194 046
77058 79 199 138 360
886
77
88
32
38
28 48
34 56
265
264
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffaiMJopulation Division World Populatbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -
Populat~on(thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 ASIA
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... China (S) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Japan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Mongolia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Republic of Korea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Afghanistan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bangladesh Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bhutan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Major area. region and country
.
Population (thousands)
India Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kyrgyzstan Population aged 5 1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Maldives Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tajikistan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkmenlstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Uzbekistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Brunei Darussalam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 lndla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Kazakhstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kyrgyzstan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Maldives Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nepal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Pakistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Sri Lanka Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tajlkistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkmenistan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uzbekistan Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brunei Darussalarn Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Cambodia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A34.Population in school aQes by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Indonda Populallonaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 Loo Peopba Democrat& Populalion aged 12-14 Populalion aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Lklay.k Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23 Myanmar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Pcpulationaged 18-23 .................... milipplnaa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pc+ulation aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populalbn aged 18-23 Slnpapore Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Thslland Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Populationagad 18-23 Tlmor-Laata Populatin aged 6-11 ...................... poPu(a1ionaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Wet Nam Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Populationaged 1517 Population aged 18-23
WESTERN ASIA Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ....... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... h M h Populationaged 6-11 ....... Populationaged 12-1 ....... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Aurbaljan Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationagad 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Bahraln Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 CVprua Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
744
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1900
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
I 1 969 5 716 5 291 9298
12 042 5886 5 713 10 317
13 756 5 851 5 773 11 062
16 722 6 897 6006 11 178
19 291 8 420 7384 12 042
21 686 9 621 8860 14 768
23 840 10 867 10 006 17 575
25 346 11 928 11 241 19 970
26 334 12 637 12 176
26 173
25 627 12 965 13 138 25 317
231 102 95 175
239 117 105 187
318 113 116 208
382
416 188 180 260
466 208
530
796
921
299 278 475
330 308
403
192 349
227 208 351
597 266 237 406
666
167 124 222
548
349 601
890 430 360 639
1 057 428 439 732
1366 538 447
848
1666 692 594 918
1 899 821 734 1196
2004 931 847 1439
2 168 998 965 1 709
2 184 1 097 1021 1910
2 656 1150 1096 2 025
2 922 1367 1 229 2 245
3 119 1 478 1450 2586
2 075 1 009 1037 2 042
2 339 1014 976 1980
3 189 1142 1036 1912
3 789 1651 1282 2 057
4 130 1 877 1 782 2 861
4606 2 062 1 928 3 510
5 273 2 298 2 138 3853
5 511 2 680 2 419 4 273
5603 2 716 2 733 4 862
5 773 2 791 2711 5355
5609 2 890 2 822 5 404
3 225 1 379 1 267 2 021
3 741 1 624 1444 2 497
4 652 1855 1 703 2 892
5530 2380 2005 3389
6300 2 769 2 545 4 073
7 116 3 166 2894 5 041
7 914 3 574 3 301 5 754
8846 3 955 3 694 6 502
9 697 4 455 4 105 7 285
10 558 4848 4 599 8 136
11 398 5 301 4906 9 075
152 89 61 105
187 81 78 139
255 96
339
345 171 153 263
299 175 178 317
271 145 168 359
257 145 145
288 136 131
344
249 126 145 352
306
376 158 153 295
3 196 1 531 1384 2 414
3 571 1556 1548 2 767
4 407 1 782 1 592 3028
5 387 2222 1 920
3206
6 410 2 701 2 398 3885
7 125 3 240 2 895 4 827
7363 3 579 3 398 5 845
6 799 3 661 3554 6503
6 131 3306 3 533 6 910
5 910 3 033 3 199 6 917
5 682 3 015 3 096 6 402
64 29 27 50
69 31 29 52
76 34 31
95 42 38 67
105 47 43 75
92 45 46 80
85 46 87
109 46 51 93
129 56
56
84 37 35 61
97
150 62 55 70
3 150 1580 1683 3 028
3 371 1 539 1 499 3 189
4684 1618 1 528 2 931
6 089 2 410 1808 2995
7 224 3 024 2 675 3 767
7983 3622 3 215 5 310
8 503 3 927 3 710 6 331
9 179 4222 4000 7 319
9885 4586 4 321 7935
10 912 4 917 4 701 8 617
11 319 5 517 5 102 9 367
7229 3548 3 307 5 931
8 235 3 510 3 514 6509
10 497 4084 3 542 6834
12 784 5333 4440 7 219
14 377 6 295 5 734 9 081
16 305 7 370 6658 11 260
18 425 8 129 7 660 13 373
21 023 9 318 8 515 15 658
23 558 10 605 9 807 17 429
25 586 11 790 10 955 19 592
26 987 12 762 12 076 22232
162 120 91 191
159 70 116 202
259 87 65 214
365
430
390
353
222 212
438
400
185 164 273
198 185
353
426 185 169 331
409
196 166 235
361 188 213
380
139 108 148
345 255 211
495 183 129
831 457
309 408
944 490 437
486
635
878
824 410 427 904
937 418 423 823
1085 471 422 812
1106 558 504
439
767 255 194 280
962 402
380
314 152 244 454
18 7 7 13
21 9 8 15
24 10 9 18
37 13 11 18
39 17 14 22
47 21 21 38
46 21 20 46
51 22 18 41
61 26 21 48
66 31 28 53
74 33 31 67
62 30 28 52
73 30 29 52
82 39 30 56
78 38 37 61
80 40 36 64
64
53
60
30
30 31 70
70 32 30 62
74 36 34 62
75
37 40 73
88 169
137 121 182
33 72
44
181 177
22340
13 177 12 770 24 048
46
309
836
38 38 72
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Indonesia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Lao People's Democratic Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Malaysia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Myanrnar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Philippines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Singapore Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Thailand Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Tirnor-Leste Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Vlet Nam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... WESTERN ASIA Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Armenia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Azerbaijan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahrain Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Cyprus Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table AM.Population In school ages by major area, reglon and country (continued)
Estlmatets: 1950-2005 ~~
Population (thousands)
mglon and country
Major
Georgia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populalkn aged 12-14 .................... Populallon aged 1517 ............ Population aged 18-23 Inq Population aged 6-11 .. Populatbn aged 12-14 Populationaged 18-23 ....................
d Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... population aged 1517 population aged 16-23 .................... Jordan Population aged 6-11 .......... Population aged 12-14 ........ populatioo aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Kuwan Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Pepulation aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .........
1995
2ooo
538
504
444
256 250 482
241 232 443
243
3085 1399 1 295 2 210
3 602 1551 1460 2809
4098 1 840 1643 2 930
622
405
559 270 262 461
662 324 318 622
424 183 161 241
485
580 258 242 411
689 321 301 578
743
221 202 314
169 61 53 106
211 87 74 146
242 100 89 174
300
197 82 72 172
226
125 111 217
433 203 190 317
427 203 192
423 201 194
426 199 192
438
456
180 157 243
218
217 218
335
355
192 84 79 138
181 74 68 123
211 88 77 131
267 111 106 167
96 39 36 62
113 49 42 70
131 56 51
156
5 2 2 4
8 3 3 5
487 214 196
555 242 221
641 2 n 251
343
385
436
529 238 223
400
610 263 242 427
783 302 273 476
3 110 1 495 1 491 2536
3684 1481 1416 2 793
11 5 4 8
1950
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
371 244 204 441
333
581 229 189
620
556
286 255
308
444
442 170 157 454
326
392
293 505
519 266 288 545
522 261 249 541
892 421 370 810
1 262 423 427 741
1 576
826
1 779 782 738 1021
2 145 909 784 1262
2530 1 074 978 1556
2 871 1268 1130 1932
132 66 65 131
224 83
313 130 101 184
351 I77 167 244
367 180 184 345
412 191 189
494 210 198
532 248
223
388
384
79 34 29 47
114 49
177 78 73 128
272 110 100 181
332
73
148 68 60 103
138 119 200
19 9 9 21
24 10 10 27
34 12 12 38
63 22 22 62
119 41 37
178 88 87 165
206
280 107 93 176
361 145 120 191
406
87 87 171
169 72 62 99
179 78 89 114
182 83 74 127
71 31 29 50
80 35 32 55
4 2 2 3
827 349
304 589
174 243
669 478
229 426
I
Lebanon Population aged El1 Population aged 12-1 Popllatim aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Occupied P a W n l a n T ~ l n o y Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 Oman Population aged 6-1 1 .......... Population aged 12-14 ........ Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Oator Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 .................... Saudl Arabia Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-1 Population aged 1517 .................... population aged 18-23 .................... Syrian Arab Republk Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... population aged 1517
population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Unlhd Arab Emlr.trr Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populatbn aged 12-14 .................... Populalionaged 1517 Popllalkn aged 18-23 .................... Yemen Populath aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 1517 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
746
83 166
44
83
305 302 573
344 323 575
104 93 196
358
209 400
409
314 139 122 207
375 165 153 251
456 182 168 298
545 236 198 338
310 124 102 180
346
83
250 99 87 151
345
59 104
194 79 71 126
153 130 199
163 152 295
9 4 4 9
16 8 6 12
21 10 9 21
29 13 11 27
37 15 13 34
48 20 16 35
56 23
ia
62 29 27
46
50
759 325 295 513
934 387
1178 495
353
446
619
798
1511 629 556 1053
2 061 798 743 1 495
2566 1109 931 1771
3wo 1 259 1113 1 745
3 168 1421 1 221 2330
1 349 568 505
1 625 680
853
999
1989 821 729 1210
2 428 1005
541
1128 477 433 672
1 455
2685 1 240 1 092 1790
2648 1 352 1300 2 207
4 553 1 797 1488 2 736
5 397 2260 1900 3 016
5 760 2562 2 375 3832
6 545 2992 2 734 4 593
7 259 3 217 3 063 5 282
7960 3 670 3354 6 158
8303 3 995 3 821 6803
8 171 4 173 4 073 7655
8 267 4035 4 152 8 152
12 5 5 8
14 6 6 10
20
27 11 12 28
54
100 33 29 120
148 61
200
9 9 19
44
80 80
129
165
270 111 97 239
310 155 137 325
658 290
749 323
882 369
1006
1127
488
206
293
330
465
507
559
1541 648 576 957
1 872 773 685 1141
2348
439 383 630
2 917 1209 1040 1 647
3 403 1 473 1305 2092
954 401
330
442 717
66
20 20 72 1 298 549
489 811
604
885
940 825 1 365
United Nations Department of Economic and soda1 AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country
Georgia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iraq Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Israel Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... Jordan Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Kuwait Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Lebanon Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Occupied Paiestlnlan Territory Population aged 6-1l...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Oman Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Qatar Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Saudi Arabla Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Syrlan Arab Republic Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Turkey Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 16-23 ..................... United Arab Emlrates Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Yemen Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tabfes
Table AM. Popdotkm In 8chool ages by major a m , mgkn and country (contkwed)
Estimates: 1950-2005 populaNofl(-) Major area, region and country
EUROPE Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
1950
1955
1960
1905
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
54 012 30 715 27 627 57 797
56311 25 401 29 957 56 519
64058
29 049 25 102 57 053
67630 32 178 30 881 52 245
88384 33 977 33 021 01 288
64 741 34 170 34038 86001
81 732 32 015 33508
60 087 30 924 31 427
88083
86545
59 530 29998 30 709 03050
59 470 30 183 30 168 81 858
52 876 30 154 30468 60 727
22890 14 889 12 173
29425 1 1 986 9032 25 948
32098 14 987 13 295 20483
30065
26988
23031 10 236 14 127 25 037
25 889 14 860 15 589 30 970
25 952 12 440 13 544 30432
27 880 13 174 12 345 26 788
28982 14 027 13 880 25 251
29 021 14 683 14 366 27 343
23 466 14 797 14 881 28 729
774 509 472 958
891 333 455 915
870 344
1090
1138 567 491 770
951
885
557 951
870 447 503 1045
437 430 958
953 440 443 827
983 482 451 87?
810 497 494 91 1
710 365 403 828
604
363
747 372 388 800
778 372 373 753
789
344 342 785
728 395 390 723
639 338 366 727
535 31 7 323 701
792 320 382 810
1009
1043
409 343
522
810 414 410 957
955 399 408
1 057 492 422
834
808
899 535 521 871
781 428 51 1 1041
737 391 398 984
910 443 455 935
924 410 881
loo0 461 435 774
851 514 485 885
744 405 496 988
735 376 376 955
205
526
EASTERNEUROPE Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Balarus Population aged 6-11 ......................
Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Czech Republic Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ........ Population aged 15-17 ........ Population aged 16-23 ........ Hungary Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populatm aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 16-23 Poland Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 16-23 Romanla
..
Population aged 16-23.................... Russian Federation Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-1 7 .................... Population aged 16-23.................... Slovakla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 Ukralrm Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
748
296
439 377
825
810
841 416
796 410 429 746
080
18 178 15 735 26 879
707 399
405 834
389 368 723
457 722
905 518 530 929
958 458 440 896
1 073
1010
468 458
552
816 500
834
494 912
1011
812 388 454 1083
152 135 269
240 133 157 291
356 125 130 313
473 194 144 288
492 247 223 318
427 245 242 448
418 201 225 449
444 213 197 437
490 218 215 387
240 408
432 264 250 412
2488 1430 1444 2 873
3 111 1147 1 345 2 867
4 047 1 637 1201 2 518
4 216 2 057 1852 2585
3 818 2 130 2 123 3 703
3088 1 727 2009 4 186
3 277 1500 1599 3 825
3 746 1661 1510 3 154
4053 ls00 1 785 3 057
3 721 2 051 1 970 3545
3 129 1815 2 001 3 905
1 735 1004
1 785 819 951 1952
2 loo 901
2 174 1 081 904 1634
1810 1120 1109 1926
2 174 810 12 201
2 307 1178
2 349 1137 1 244 1871
2 140 1163 1118 2384
2068 1005 1173 2 242
1660 1 075
14 235 5 569 4092 12 992
15 894 7238
12 035 7382 7 712 15 060
12 669
0830
15 299
5 471 13 119
13 845 0 371 0 257 1 1 558
14 547 7 149
8989
15 082 7 987 7848 12 780
1 1 809 5 015
13 633
10 534 4553 7280 12 720
12 053
1 1 278 7 562 7 510 13 734
374 180 184 340
432 188 176 383
552 218 197 359
578 284 236 384
503 268 279 488
461 251 280 548
501 224 240 510
255 227 471
549 284 285 480
502 272 287 537
448 249 262 564
4 073 2828 1 827 4 415
3463 1 855 2 859 4 157
4 301 1 765 1639 4880
4954 2 227 1919 3420
5 037 2 524 2408 3988
4398 2511 2 494 4 743
4 254 2088 2322 4 878
4 367 2 160 2 041 4 473
4 473 2 170 2 199 4 119
4 510 2 284 2203 4 327
3 704 2 251 2298 4366
988
1933 10 701 7046 5w)4
712
799
1813
0345
828
555
438 490 1 049
580
380
884
1 957
5989
565
223
0686
969
2 197
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division WorM Population Prospts: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... EASTERN EUROPE Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belarus Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bulgaria Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Czech Republlc Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 Hungary Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Moldova Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Poland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Romania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Russlan Federatlon Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Slovakia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Ukralne Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
.....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A34 Populatbn In scchool ages by maJorarea. regkn and country (continued) Estlmat-:
1950-2005 Population (thousands)
M.(oram, mglon and county
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Populationaged 15-17.................... Population agd 18-23.................... Ch0nn.l I.knd. (10) Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 1523
Dmmuk Population aged 5 11
......................
Population aged 1517 .................... Population agad 18-23.................... Estonk Population aged 5 11 ...................... population agad 12-14.................... Popolath aged 1517 ....................
......................
...................... ....................
.................... ....................
750
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
6 987 3238 3 172
8000 3435 3 275
7 787 4 124 3858
8588
8294
8602
7 706 3 782 4 158 7539
8483 3 895 3 740 8 076
8 642 4 307 4052 7644
7933 4 337 4 413 8 272
7 042 3 918 4 195 8811
8 991 3 474 3 741 8 286
7 376 3 517 3 421 7366
7439 3724 3605 6956
8 4 4 8
8 5 4 8
9 5 4 9
10 5 4 10
11 5 4 12
11 6 5 12
10 6 6 13
9 5 6 14
9 4 5 14
10 4 4 11
10 5 5 10
443 181 178 350
497 223 193 348
465 253 237 390
438 226 249 475
462 219 219 407
471
449
234
238 239
396 224 233 479
335 197 216 468
342 164 186 433
402 177 165 375
110
110 54 62 121
110 49 51 116
119 58 56 109
123 81 61 122
119 62 63 135
134 66
137 67 67 128
135 63 61 119
105 67 63 117
547
560 292
496 269
435
225
299
389
471
237 494
376 217 228 480
2a4
199 372
467 244 251 542
390 190 198 399
18 7 7 14
20 8 7 14
23 10 9 15
27 12 11 18
27 13 12 22
26 14 14 25
330 155 149 258
353 163 147 233
350 172 150 214
353 169 162 249
372 1 74 160 271
388 189 180 310
203 109 101 204
185 101 110 207
180 88 100
202 97 98
212 104 100
208
203
196
200 108 111 222
285 149 147 288
258 138 143
290 136 144 289
329 144 130 288
356 165 146 265
335 178 172 304
297 124 121 284
382 147 129 245
371 189 165 266
366 182 194 333
372 164 179 377
392 185 186 363
858 256 247 527
737 330 278 513
870 372 388 803
828
883 317 320 781
694
330 372 739
42a3 1993 1 973 4 164
4 915 2060 2000 3939
4 752 2554 2 199 4098
4 730 2285 2 581 4 659
5408 2405 2 282 5 013
427 193 165 386
Popllatbn aged 5 1 1 POpJetlonaged 12-14.................... poprlatkm aged 1517 .................... Popuratkm aged 18-23.................... N o w ($2) Population aged 5 11 Popuiation aged 12-14 populatbn aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23....................
Population aged 5 1 1 ..... Populatbn aged 12-14... Populath aged 1517 .................... Popllalionaged 18-23.................... Unltod Kingdom Population aged 5 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Popllatkm aged 1517 .................... Population aged 16-23
les0
58 117
......................
swden
1955
82
Population aged 5 11 ...................... PopUhtion aged 12-14.................... Popuhth aged 1517 .................... popdatkm 18-23.................... IWhW Pc@ation aged 8-1 1 Population aged 12-14.................... population aged 1517 .................... population aged 18-23.................... Ird.nd Populalkn aged 5 11 ............. Pqniiation aged 12-14........... Population a g d 1517 ........... Population aged 1523 .................... L.M. popoletion agecl 8 11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Popllationaged 1517 .................... populatbn aged 18-23....................
L M u mi.
1950
... ...
202
288
223 443
234
334 322 657 5560
2 758 2533 4 671
454 128
59 81 138
82
126
205
395 193 179
448
399
25 13 13 26
25 13 13 27
25 13 13 25
25
27 13 13 26
421
419 209 202 361
407 207 206 345
363 204 206 368
326 179 193 394
212 108 101 227
219 104 110 221
234
63 110 238
104 99 204
186 118 108 196
326 165 175 343
321 168 164 351
329 157 164 332
336 160 152 315
303 167 160 291
388
308 163 164 402
332
190 372
334 194 201 387
366 170 161 323
683 351 344 669
608 338 345 704
579 303 331 718
858 671
721 337 308 609
4 914 2 786 2844
4 198 2404 2858 5 8?7
4 240 2060 2 259 5 224
4 551 2 152 2040 4 475
4592 2295 2227 4208
202
198 341
206
200
5209
3?7 162
200 199 369
26 13 13
155
157 365 295 299
United Nations Departmentof Economic and Soda1AffairdPcpulationDivision WorM Population Praspects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Channel Islands (10) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Denmark Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Estonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Flnland (11) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Iceland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Ireland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Laivia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Lithuania Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Norway (12) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Sweden Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ................... United Klngdom Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
..
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
T a b A34.Populatknin school ages by major arm, reglocland country (continued) Estimates: 1950.2005 __
~~
Population (thousands)
M e w a m , reglon and county
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 Albania Population aged 6-11 PopU(ation aged 12-14 .................... population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bosnla and ~ s g o v i r u Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationa@ 12-14 .................... Populati aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23
__
1850
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lae0
1985
1990
1995
11 407 6003 6 041 11 859
12 178 5 495 5 785 11 859
12 644 6 214 5 518 11 107
12 768 6 181 6 310 11 059
13 495 6 317 6 074 12 004
13 819 6802 6458 12 056
13 672 6995 8999 13060
12 899 6 873 6985 13 838
11 135 6286 6 727 13 693
9 957 5 577 6 105 13 352
9283 4960 5 324 12 115
182 88 75 134
194 91
307 121 103 188
362
376 182 168 273
370 178 185 339
401 188 185
153
237 97 93 178
418 201 197 382
422 184 175 323
411 204 179 312
354
396
485
159 198
390
431 234 247 494
420 211 218 453
323 181 161
353
200 153 359
505 235
465
213 198
333
273 161 158 323
368
420
480
384
358
213 219
170 197
189 184
432
426
217 173 372
195 196 377
314 170 183 377
820
835
480
385
475
452
895
928
372 842
4 759 2546 2411 4806
4 970 2264 2 467 4864
36 19 17 32
49 17 18 30
18 17 27
58 29 27 46
58 25 28 51
950
89
213 311
157 134 212 510 252 244
402
251 249 475
365 400 212
223 484
Croda Populationaged 6-11 population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
omeu
Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populatm aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .... Populationaged 18-23 blY Population aged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 .................... Populati aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ....................
422 225 227
222
359 191 199
358
435
435
877
879
433
429 446
846 429
400
746
i79
422 428 789
4906 2 557 2 272 4 728
4 817 2360 2 545 4 570
5305 2393 2295 4 878
46
43 21 22
385 207
363 183 189 407
375 182 182 377
363
852
827
726
665
455
435
440
434 465
847
894
452 938
477 981
373 426 987
5 518 2 702 2 487 4607
5344 2 783 2 788 5 049
4683 2699 2 807 5586
3585 2 114 2509 5390
3402 1862 2 067 5 028
3344 1 700 1781 4 111
29 17 16 32
28 14 16
34
17 16
38
34 16 14 31
34
29
36 20 19 38
29
18 18 33
32 17 17 36
68 29 23 51
73 34 31 46
69 35 35 57
66 34 34 85
62 32 34 67
62 30 30 61
63 31
64 32
34
30
32
55
59
957 457 461 930
1017 496 454 854
999
1004
1006 524 547 1019
856
460 453 860
1 031 522
984
489
516
704 421
1019
495 513 959
941 419 324 897
866 471 455
792 417
803
839
394
879 421
464
686
895
397 904
403 399
840
794 307 380 818
816
Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Populationaged 18-23
152 79 81 163
167 73 75 157
180 84 74 147
168 90 87 151
161
88 176
163 82 79 173
Populationaged 6-1 1 Populati aged 12-14 .................... Populalbn 15-17 .................... Poprlation aged 16-23 ........... TFYR Wmdonlr (14) population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 . Populationaged 15-17. Populationaged 16-23 ....................
2922 1 393 1 562 3083
3 146 1468 1381 2 955
3 216 1 570 1484 2 704
3 473
3 813 1 762 1618 3 081
155 78 78 140
187 76 77 154
206
208
91 75 142
100 94 151
203 101 100 183
....
mn4
Populatm aged 6 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ........... Population aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23 Lbntanagro Populationaged 6-1 1 .. Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Portugal Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 1517 Population aged 16-23
480 487 932
485 856
896
875 471
59 33 63 649
466
350 398
981
920
907 442
923 475
032 452
409 800
430
468 903
464
168 82 84 173
175 85 83 170
168 90 87 169
151 84
in
129 77 82 178
3903 1900 1811 3 192
3 975 1983 1965 3603
3846 1992 1 978 3 851
3265 1938 1 991 3930
2646 1605 1 851 3 957
2 379 1 321 1 498 3680
202 100 100 197
202 103 101 2M
200 96 97 191
203 100 95 189
196 101 100 189
187 97 100 199
486 905
508
S.rbh Population aged 6-11 .. Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populetionaged 18-23 ....................
649 387 410
825
920
SlOVMh
752
1603 1 599 2963
80
90
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Albania Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bosnia and Herzegovlna Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Croatia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
Greece
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Italy Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Malta Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populationaged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Montenegro Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Portugal Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Serbia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Slovenia Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Spain Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... TFYR Macedonia (14) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands) Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Austrla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 1&23 ..................... Belgium Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 1&23 ..................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
......................
Switzerland
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Populalion aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Aruba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bahamas Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populalion aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
WESTERN EUROPE (15) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Austrla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Belglum Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... France Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populatlon aged 18-23 .................... Germany Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Luxembourg Population aged 8-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Netherlands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Switzerland Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
.....................
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... CARIBBEAN (16) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Aruba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Bahamas Population aged 8-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ................... . Population aged 18-23 ................... . Barbados Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A34 Population In school ages by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thwsands)
WJor a m . mgbn and county 1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
lSs0
1995
2OOO
841
883
1312 478 504 875
1471 692 516 956
1388 719 736 1 085
1012 678 691 1 382
884 461
351 629
421 401 704
998 434
1 025
388
1354
02.7 449 424 119
915 522 501 821
418 179 161 272
478 205 181 311
581 233 209
719 287 244
1 005 464 431 729
468 835
to84 514 494 906
129 534 511 954
1194 556
402
942 421 375 596
1 046 495
350
849 357 305 476
13 5 4 7
14 5 5 8
16 6 5 8
19 7 6 8
21 9 7 9
15 9 8 11
14 7 7 11
14 7 7 14
14 6 6 10
16 7 6 11
15 9 7 12
37 13 12 23
46 19 15 24
52 23 21 31
54 25
23
57 27 24
36
32
47 28 25 40
44
....................
29 13 12 21
23 25 42
41 22 25 45
41 20 19 42
42 21 20 33
......................
489
501 241 225 387
577 241 237
669 289 246 451
755
820
863
374 337 579
405 379
979 420 402 724
1198 482 427 766
1318
329
515 834
1346 647 628 1 025
210 95 91 166
247 100
281 108 106 170
352
376 176 152
349 170 155 255
338
335
332
348
175 171 303
160 155 284
161 150 285
162 156 265
29 14 13 23
35 15 15 25
47 18 18 29
54 23
55 28
26
53 24 22 34
34
42 25 26 42
38 21 23 42
34 18 21 42
37 17 15 35
37 19 19 28
14 6 6 12
17 7 8 11
21 9 7 12
24 11 10 15
24 13 11 19
22 12 12 22
22 11 12 22
21 10 11 19
20 9 9 17
20
19 8 8 13
Populationaged 5 11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 16-23
388
375 171 145 231
395 180 181 231
391 184 154 259
409
158 137 241
198 182
395 198 199
401 207
365
361
390 205 200 359
366 195 204 376
369 183 189
302
398 204 207 352
Populationaged Ell ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 Populationaged 16-23 .................... Saint V l m t and th.&mn.dlnea Populationaged El1 ...................... PopulatMl aged 12-14 .................... Poplralkm aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 16-23 ..... 1rlnld.d and lobago Populatkm aged 6-11 ...................... popl(ation aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... United SMoa Vlrgln Wando Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Populatin aged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17 .. Populati aged 18-23 ....................
13 6 5 10
14 6 5 10
15 6 9
18 7 6 9
21 8 6 9
21 9 8 12
21 10 9 14
21 10 9 15
20 9 9 16
21 10 9 17
20 10 10 17
12 5 4 6
14 6 5 7
15 8 5 8
17 7 6 8
18 8 6 10
10 8 7 11
18 8 8 13
17 8 8 14
17 8 8 13
18 8 8 14
16 9 8 15
95 37 33 61
118
138
144 74 81 145
148 72 70 154
174 72 70 132
88
51 84
153 85 75 124
90
40 66
177 76 68 111
143
60
146 83 58 97
178
48
77 137
92 155
4 2 1 2
4 2 2 2
5 2 2 3
7 3 3 6
9 4 3 7
12 6 5 7
14 8 7 9
12 7 7 11
12 6 6 10
11 6 5 9
12 6 6 8
1950
Cuba Populationaged 6-1 1 Poplration aged 12-14 .................... populationaged 15-17 .................... Poprlation aged 18-23 .................... Domlnkan RapuMk Populationaged 8-11 Populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 .......... Populati aged 16-23 GroMda Populalbn aged 6-1 1 ...................... Popurationaged 12-14 .................... Populationaged 15-17
......................
...................... ..........
....................
..........
Populationaged 5 1 1 .. population aged 12-14 populati aged 15-17 population aged 18-23
nrin
Populationaged 5 1 1 pobulation aged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17
.......... ....................
m
201
346
424 791
432
509 443 814
302
488
648
608
605
532 989
Jamrlca
Populatkm aged 5 1 1 ...................... Populatkm aged 12-14 .................... Pq)ulation a m 15-17 .................... Population aged 1E 2 3 .................... Hnlque Populatronaged Ell populationaged 12-14 Populationaged 15-17 Population aged 16-23 Nahorirndr Antllks population aged 6-11 population aged 12-14 .................... Populatkm aged 15-17 .................... population aged 16-23 ....................
...................... .................... ....................
.................... ......................
193 89
88 152
so
157
20
140 106 162
200
26
9 8 17
Puerto Rico
s.lm L U C ~
.................... .................... ....................
....................
....................
756
6
208
366
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairSlPopulaticm Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Cuba Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Domlnican Republlc Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Grenada Populationaged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Guadeloupe Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Haiti Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Jamaica Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... . Martlnlque Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Netherlands Antllles Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Puerto Rlco Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Saint Lucia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Trinidad and Tobago Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Unlted States Virgln Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
fable AM. Population In school agm by maJora m , mglon and country (continued)
Edlmstes: 19!5&2005 Population (thousands)
wa)or NU, mglon and county
CENTRAL M I C A Populationaged Ell ......... poplhtion a g d 12-14.................... Popufation aged 15-17.................... PopulaUon aged 16-23....................
who Population aged Ell
......................
Populatkm aged 18-23....................
1950
1955
1980
1985
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
5830 2 479 2 359 4 210
6 879 2 931 2 585 4589
8632 3408 3089 5 128
10 473 4 389 3 675 6089
12 104 5 246 4 704 7389
14 001 6020 5 451 9 186
16 290 6 970 6 259 10 624
17 403 8 117 7 183 1 1 920
17 632 8 496 8 153 13 759
18 089 8 640 8 366 15 581
16 988 8 918 8 593 16 221
9 4 4 8
11 5 4 8
15 6 5 9
20 8 6 10
22 10 8 13
24 11 11 16
26 12 11 17
29 13 12 19
32 14 13 22
35 16 15 26
38 17 17 30
133 58 53 9a
165 67 61 106
221 83 72 123
276 114 94 147
332 139 125 194
344 171 150 253
335 177 176 314
366 166 1 76 356
427 188 171 352
489 220 205 362
51 1 258 244 441
299 133 126 221
362 147 135 244
435 182 156
521 217 195 314
626 235 396
717 309 279 458
794 352 313 516
853 375 335 519
828 420 376 606
813 399 417 737
869 401 387 795
488 21 8 208 368
596 239 221 405
897 388 363 624
1033 445 399 700
1188
1 374 585 523 862
1561 677 607 988
1704 770 696 1141
1903 831 780 1313
222 100 93 160
283 111
474
558 235
737 315
954 424 383 644
1043 467 432 741
4340 1821 1741 3 121
5086 2 194 1891 3 378
6 427
2509 2 309 3 792
209
91 85 144
243 104 93 164
129 54 50 89
Cmta R l a
poprlation aged Ell ......... population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17....................
El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14.................... Populationaged 1517 Population aged 18-23.................... Qumtamalm Populati aged 6-11 Pq)ulatkm aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Iiondurm Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 15-17 popuration aged 18-23....................
lkxlco Population aged 6-11 Populatbn aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... N I ~ ~ w Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Populatkm aged 15-17........ Pcpuiatlon aged 18-23.................... PaMIM Population aged 6-1 1 .......... Population eged 12-14....................
SOUTH AUERICA (17) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Popdation aged 15-17.................... Population aged 6-1 1 .. popu(atirm aged 12-14 Populatlon aged 15-17 Population aged 18-23....................
268
712
300 254 436 335 132 117
791 353 319 509 408 171 145 237
268
508
457 754 637
179 282
209
249 416
292
350
494
854 368 328 572
7 861 3 280 2 707 4 524
9 074 3 941 3 529 5460
10 548 4 513 4 092 6 889
12410 5 255 4 703 7 997
13 051 6 215 5 442 8 987
12 849 6 343 6 205 10 444
12 940 6 274 6 155 1 1 791
13 408 8 376 6 190 1 1 940
308 120 108 182
382 156 129 21 1
428 193 168 258
488 21 1 198 330
583 242 216 381
671 288 251 415
750 326 293 475
800 372 334 562
849 388 373 639
152 65 57 98
1 80 77 69 115
213 90 81 138
252 107 95 161
289 126 113 192
317 146 134 228
322 159 152 268
330 159 301
353 165 160 318
368 179 170 322
16 361 7 437 6 779 12 595
19 264 8 149 7 721 13 685
23 261 9 737 8 575 15 312
27 056 1 1 763 10 450 17 328
31 127 13 563 12 456 21 031
33 574 15 788 14 319 24 977
35 173 16 738 16 281 28 795
38 615 17 529 16 946 32 253
42 010 19 490 18 077 33 701
42 991 21 117 20 157 36 238
42 747 21 397 21 288 39998
1 992
938 1 899
2 245 1014 976 1 931
2502 1140 1 062 1985
2663 1 269 1198 2 169
2 763 1340 1310 2435
2898 1399 1 379 2 679
3203 1446 1 402 2 690
3 816 1614 1 503 2830
3988 1981 1739 3 052
4 016 1 969 2 038 3 569
4 158 2 015 1950 3 982
404 165 170 309
462 1 97 166 328
527 230 203 357
597 261 239 397
670 297 269 464
757 332 306 526
875 375 344 800
953 435 389 663
1036 466 445 760
1155 511 473 a57
1299 570 526
8 175 3 785 3 318 6 162
9 641 4048 3 942 6 781
1 1 799 4888 4 247 7 761
13 850 5 977 5283 8646
16 085 6943 6358 10 676
17 075 8 190 7364 12 763
17 680 8 476 8 420 14 908
19 486 8829 8532 16 647
21 550 9 825 9 118 17 026
21 454 10 929 10 249 18 321
20 197 10631 10 975 20 526
939
103 185
206
200
280
160
WM.
Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14....................
925
Bndl
populationaged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Populationaged 18-23....................
758
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
CENTRAL AMERICA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Belize Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Costa Rica Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... El Salvador Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 ..................... Guatemala Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Honduras Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populationaged 18-23 .................... Mexico Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Nicaragua Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ................... . Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Panama Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ................... . Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Argentina Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Bollvla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 ..................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Brazil Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Table A34 Population in school ages by major a m . regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
Population (thousands)
Major area. region and country
Chlla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Colombla Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 1517 ..................... Pqulation aged 18-23 ..... Ecuador Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... French Gulana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 ..... Guyana Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23..................... Paraguay Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Surlname Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 18-23....................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
lSe0
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
846 360 350 655
971 430 375
1109 485 452 758
1 342 555 896
1 555 682 596 1013
1 552 787 725 1203
1504 761 790 1444
1 424 755 746 1 542
1512 693 736 1485
1711 772 704 1 457
1793 867 815 1444
3 454 1 492 1294 2 013
3986 1722 1581 2 569
4 451 2005 1811 3 114
4484 2 246 2 095 3803
4 691 2 195 2 251 4 150
4 980 2366 2204 4 367
5 180 2 482 2 415 4380
5441 2586 2510 4 760
993
1586 736
1676 822 793 1440
1908
886
506
029
2360 944
766 1355
1 489
2 951 1190 1012 1 673
565 245 226 398
720 280 255 450
861 370 306 51 1
430 398 630
1151 500 453 795
1306 581 529 914
1461 657 610 1 067
686 1 226
1653 796 759 1367
4
5 2
7 3 3 5
9 4 4 6
10 4 4 8
12 5 5 10
16 7 7 12
18 9 7 13
23 9 9 15
116
111
58
53 52 94
97 53 52 98
87 43 48 94 809 384 367 621
493 218 200
350 3 1
a56
1
1
1
3
2
2
6 2 2 4
60 25 24 45
77 30 25 47
1 02 39 32 50
115 51 43 64
133 59 51 76
131 61 55 88
125 62 60 101
56 101
263 112 93 165
297 123 109 168
353 142 121 196
399 1 73 145 223
443 194 175 274
491 217 195 330
51 5 244 220 373
574 252 246 433
686
479
767 349 308 519
1153 521 482 830
1321 572 534 951
1578
2 197 935 845 1413
2 502 1112
594 1055
1866 796 702 1189
1 696
2 780 1 256 1169 2003
3 078 1391 1303 2 331
3 242 1 546 1439 2 589
3 378 1594 1562 2834
3592 1668 1594 3019
30 14 13 23
38 15 13 25
50 19 15 26
61 24 20 30
73 31 26 37
73 32 27 37
80 30 30 45
54 28 28 55
58 24 25 51
59 29 24 46
54 29 29 47
243 120 1 20 237
257 121 120 240
274 131 1 24 241
295
136 133 248
316 148 138 260
303 155 146 256
310 143 149 277
333 155 142 278
31 9 167 1 60 284
31 6 155 165 318
331 158 152 320
793 328 305
1 025 409 640
1 549 658 579 935
1907 779 706 1179
2 182 995 861 1483
2 321 1115 1089
565
1291 530 456 757
1829
2 616 1155 1138 2 146
2 926 1337 1206 2 275
3 187 1468 1 401 2 458
3288 1615 1519 2804
17 083 7 442 7304 15 610
21 491 8800 7 724 14 377
24 882 1 1 055 9 518 15 928
27 390 12 602 1 1 871 19 791
28 014 14 027 13 275 23 786
25 193 14211 14 347 27 077
22 775 12 473 13 881 29 197
22 528 1 1 622 12 198 27 987
24 031 1 1 535 1 1 798 25 149
26 112 12 532 12 164 24 556
27 527 13 594 13 400 25 734
1 496
2 341 1006 862 1504
2 647 1195 1106 1 793
2 852 1383 1 297 2 393
2486 1446 1 423 2689
2203 1221 1 422 2 949
2 178 1113 1159 2 849
2 288 1125 1150 2 450
2394 1197 1189 2 391
2469
645 1319
1 952 782 697 1 337
1241 2475
15 579 6 778 6654 14 284
19 529 8 013 7 024 13 032
22530 10 044 8 651 14 415
24 729 1 1 401 10 760 17 989
25 146 12 637 1 1 972 21 382
22692 12 757 12 917 24 376
20560
20339 10 503 1 1 032 25 124
21 732
23 707 1 1 330 10 971 22 156
25 046 12 360 12 154 23 249
1
661
994
288 260
Uruguay Population aged 6-1 1 Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Vanczuda (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17 ..... Population aged 18-23....................
NORTHERN AMiRICA (18) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Canada Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Unlted State8 of Amerlca Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
760
660
358
1 1 245 12 451 26 234
10 405 10 643 22 686
1229
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affaiflopulation Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Chile Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Colombia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Ecuador Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populatlon aged 18-23 .................... French Guiana Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Guyana Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Paraguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Peru Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ................... Suriname Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Uruguay Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Populat~onaged 15-17 .................... Populatcon aged 18-23 .................... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Populat~onaged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Populat~onaged 18-23 .................... Canada Population aged 6-11 ..................... Population aged 12-14 ................... Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... United States of America Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
fable AM.Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
~~
Population (thousands)
M J o rarea, region and country
OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ......................
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
1402
1772 723 654 1197
2053 933
2548 1196 1120 2088
2 625 1291 1 240 2 263
2 758 1 353 1319 2 477
2 690 1 407 1383 2 670
2 778 1 354 1443 2 761
3000 1436 1 369
1376
2290 1057 1023 1712
2063
3 203 1 524 1484 2 772
1321 524 469 870
1521 713 598 1020
1695 796 788 1316
1859 890 841 1626
1 870 951 927 1719
1 869 963 955 1868
1764 973 984 1951
1 775 898 1002 1974
1 889 933 908 2004
1980 972 966 1 859
798 342 329 740
1060
1221 575 483 829
1356
643
1496 716
1 447 795 804 1606
1 469 736 827 1634
1 555 775 749
1337
1541 782 772 1533
1619 799
637 '1 071
1 498 759 744 1399
1665
1548
199
300
340
364
334
153 151 244
175 161 289
317 178 180 345
306
138 115 190
371 191 183 321
348
162 175
165
261 103 92 166
340
158 159 339
361 173 163 311
345 155 144 257
381 169 157 277
445 186 172
492 218 199
570 254 234
335
388
743 329 308 512
800
303
631 284 262 456
864 392 379 670
958 435 400 746
1 070 477 449 796
50 21 19 32
59 25 22 37
71 29 26 43
86 35 31 52
93 43 38 62
91 47 45 74
97 46 44
107 45 43
80
90
109 51 44 80
107 55 51 86
107 51 53 97
9 4 4 7
9 4 4
11 5 4 8
13 6 5 9
16 7 6 11
20 9 8 14
21 10 9 16
22 11 11 18
22 11 11 20
24 11 11 22
25 13 12 21
263 121 113 203
287 129 121 215
334
357 162 150 250
418 186 174 290
469 208 191
563 247 232
653 296
839
329
370
292
380
302 573
343
339
599 285 258 458
737
140 130 231
15 6 6 10
16 8 6 12
18 7 8 13
23 9 8 15
28 12 10 16
33 13 12 19
40 17 15 23
49 22 18 29
55 25 23 37
60
67
28 25 46
30
8 3 3 5
9 4 4 6
11
15 6 5 9
18 8 7 11
20 9 8 13
23
25 11 9 16
29 13 10 18
31
4 7
13 6 5 8
18 8 9 22
23 10 9
36 15 12 23
41 18 16 29
45 19 18 33
48 22
65 29 27
66 31
36
52 24 24 44
59 26 24
20
30 12 10 19
50
48
52
5 3 4 13
7 3 3 10
10 4 3 8
12 5 4 10
14 6 5 12
14 6 6 13
15 7 7 13
15 7 7 15
15 7 7 17
17 7 7 14
19 8 8 14
5 2 2
5 2 2 4
8 3 3 5
9 4 3 5
11 5 4 6
12 5 4 7
14 6 5 8
15 7 6 10
17 7 7 11
19 9 8 12
17 9 8 13
577 1209
...
Population aged 18-23 ............ New Zedand Population aged 6-11 .... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... FIJI Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 ....................
Papua New Gulnea Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Solomon iaiands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14. Population aged 15-17 . Population aged 18-23 . Vanustu Population aged 6-11 Population aged 12-14 .................... Popllalion aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
_____
MCRONESIA (20) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Quam Population aged 6 11 Population aged 15-17 ................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Mcronesla (Fed. Statm of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 1517 ... ... Population aged 18-23 ....................
762
1955
608
Population aged 1517 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
AUSTRALIAMEW Population a Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Australia (19) Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ....................
1950
997 427
408 905
85 80
3
420 377 704
7
800
5
680
181 184
336
20
373
338 609
9 8 15
518
803
607
28 51
14
13
20
30
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
3 329 1641 1 594 3 063
3 365 1 687 1687 3 266
3 383 1 705 1713 3 432
3 422 1712 1 726 3 486
3 507 1 734 1 736 3 513
3 598 1781 1768 3 541
3 642 1826 1819 3 612
3 625 1 846 1 857 3 712
3 591 1 833 1863 3 781
3 583 1816 1 845 3 788
1 957 1031 1024 2 040
1910 994 1050 2 134
1 939 978 1002 2 157
1 994 997 1004 2 083
2 056 1 024 1 030 2 090
2 103 1 057 1058 2 142
2 119 1 079 1089 2 201
2 117 1085 1105 2 259
2 127 1 082 1106 2 287
2 162 1 089 1105 2 289
1604 843 838 1694
1 565 817 861 1 759
1590 803 826 1 782
1648 818 824 1726
1714 849 849 1729
1759 883 881 1779
1775 903 912 1 844
1 775 910 926 1 902
1 788 908 929 1 928
1 824 916 929 1 932
353 188 186 347
344 177 189 375
349 176 177 375
346 179 179 357
342 176 181 362
344 1 74 177 363
345 1 75 177 357
342 176 178 357
339 174 178 359
338 173 1 76 357
1214 536 496 890
1 297 614 563 990
1290 648 631 1128
1277 639 646 1 249
1301 635 632 1 273
1345 649 636 1 254
1375 673 656 1 267
1 364 687 679 1 308
1 326 679 685 1 350
1290 659 670 1358
110 53 49 99
1 07 54 53 95
100 52 53 101
96 49 50 100
92 47 47 95
89 45 46 91
86 43 44 87
82 42 42 84
77 40 41 81
70 37 39 78
26 13 13 23
25 14 13 26
24 13 14 27
25 13 12 27
25 13 13 25
25 13 13 25
25 13 13 26
25 13 13 26
25 13 13 26
25 13 13 26
969 421 387 685
1 049 491 445 776
I044 526 509 897
1031 517 524 1011
1 055 513 51 1 1035
1100 527 515 1015
1130 551 535 1028
1123 565 557 1 069
1091 559 564
1 063
1111
542 552 1121
75 34 31 57
80 38 35 63
84 40 39 71
86 42 41 77
88 43 42 82
90 44 43 84
91 45 44 86
92 46 45 88
91 46 46 90
90 45 46 91
34 16 15 26
36 17 16 30
38 18 17 33
39 19 18 35
40 20 19 37
41 20 20 38
42 21 20 40
42 21 21 41
42 21 21 42
42 21 21 42
68 33 32 60
70 34 33 64
70 35 35 67
69 35 35 70
70 34 34 70
70 35 34 69
69 35 35 69
68 34 34 70
66 34 34 69
64 33 33 68
20 10 9 16
20 10 10 18
19 10 10 20
19 10 10 20
20 10 9 20
20 10 10 19
20 10 10 19
19 10 10 20
18 9 10 20
18 9 9 19
17 8 8 15
17 8 8 15
16 8 8 15
15 8 8 15
15 8 8 15
15 7 7 14
14 7 7 14
13 7 7 14
12 7 7 13
11 6 6 13
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
OCEANIA Population aged 6-11 ............ Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... AUSTRALINNEW ZEALAND Population aged 6-11 .._.._ Population aged 12-14.... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23..................... Australia (19) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... New Zealand Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ...... MELANESIA Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 Fiji Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... New Caledonia Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Papua New Guinea Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 ..................... Population aged 15-17..................... Population aged 18-23.................... Solomon Islands Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17......... Population aged 18-23.................... Vanuatu Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17................... Population aged 18-23.................... MICRONESIA (20) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23 ... Guam Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23.................... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14.................... Population aged 15-17.................... Population aged 18-23....................
763
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... French Polynesla Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Samoa Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
42 18 15 26
47 20 18
30
57 22 20 35
67 28 24 38
78
78 38 36 60
74 37 37 67
80 38
88
29 46
80 37 32 54
38 68
38 35 65
87 43 39 65
10 4 4 6
12 5 4 7
14 5 5 8
16 7 6 9
19 9 7 10
22 10 9 15
24 12 11 18
25 12 12 21
27 13 12 24
32 14 12 23
29 17 15 24
15 6 5 9
16 7
20 8 7 13
24 10 8 14
27 11 11 16
27 13 11 20
25 12 12 22
23 11 11 22
25 13 13 21
26 11 11 21
28 12 11 19
12 5 5 8
15 6 6 9
18 7 7 11
19 8 7 10
17 9 8 11
14 7 8 12
15 7 6 13
15 8 7 11
15 7 7 12
33
Tonga Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ....................
a b c d e 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8
8 4 3 5
W e d e W o p d regions comprise Europe. Northem h e w . AustralialNew Zealand and Japan. Less dedoped regions comprise all regions of AfnCa. Asla (excluding Japan), Latin h e n c a and the Canbbean plus Melanesia. Mmonesia and Polynesia Least developed COuntneS are 50 m n t n e s . 34 in Africa. 10 in Asia. 5 in Oceania plus one cwntfy in Latin h e n c a and the Caribbean. Other less developed countries compme of the less developed regions excluding the least developed cuuntres. Sub.Saharan Afrka refers to all of AfnCa except Northem Africa. with the Sudan tncluded in sub-Saharan Africa lndudng Seychelles. Including Mayme. Including Agalega. Rodrigues. and Saint Brandon. Including Saint Helena Ascensio!~and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes. the data fw China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regrns (SAR) of China. As of 1 July 1997. Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. As of 20 December 1999. Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) d China. The regions Southem Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-CentralAsla.
764
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.34. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Population (thousands) Major area, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 POLYNESIA (21) Population aged 6-11 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... French Polynesia Population aged 6-1 1 ...................... Population aged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .................... Samoa Populationaged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 ..................... Tonga Population aged 6-11 ...................... Populationaged 12-14 .................... Population aged 15-17 .................... Population aged 18-23 .....................
9 lncluding Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
10 Refers to Guernsey. and Jersey. 11 lncluding Aland Islands. 12 lncluding Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
13 lncluding Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Manno. 14 The former Yugoslav Republ~cof Macedonia.
15 lnclud~ngL~echtenstein,and Monaco. 16 lncluding Anguilla, Antigua and Bafbuda, British Vlrgln Islands, Cayman Islands, Dom~nica.Montserrat. Saint Kltts and News, and Turks and Caicos Islands. 17 lnclud~ngFalkland Islands (Malvinas).
18 lncludlng Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Plerre and M~quelon. 19 lnclud~ngChristmas Island. Cocos (Keel~ng)Islands, and Noffolk Island.
20 lncluding K~nbati.Marshal1islands. Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau. 21 lncludlng American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue. Pltcairn, Tokelau. Tuvalu, Wallls and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
table A35 Dependency ratks by major area, regbn and country: estimates and medlum variant, 1950-2050
Estlmates: 1950-2005 Dependencyratio (per 100)
Major a m ,m g k n and county
WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependmy ratio YORE DEVELOPED REQIONS (a) Total dependency ratio Child dependeocy ratio W a w dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependeocy ratio ...............
Leaat dsvdopd wuntrlea (c) Tolal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ....................
Old-age dependency ratio ............... Leas devdopad m g h a , exdudlng M dewlopd wuntrlea (d) Total dependencv ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Md-age dependency ratio ............... L a dwdopsd mgglona, oxdudlng ChlM Tolai dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio
Subsoharm Afrlu (0) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio old-age dependency ratio ...............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
65
69 60 9
73 64 9
76 66 9
75 66 9
74 64 10
70 60 10
65 56 10
63 53 10
62 51 10
59
56 9
54 42 12
55 42 13
58
57 43 14
56 41 15
54 37 17
52 34 18
49 32 17
49 31 19
50
44
20
48 27 21
82 75 7
77 70 7
71 64 7
67 60 7
65 58 8
62 54 8
14
76 69 7
81 74 7
81 75 7
84 78 6
69
75
62
68
7
70
29
48 11
84
83
78 7
77 7
86
89
90 84
88
85
85
90 85
89
84
90 85
91
80
83
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
82 6
79 6
80
84
83 76 7
68
7
77 7
81 74 7
75
73 7
7
69 61 7
65 57 7
62 54 8
59 50 9
75 69 6
78 71 6
82 76 6
86
86 79 6
84
81 74 7
78 72 7
76 69 7
72 65 7
68
83 77 6
85
87 81 6
90 84
93 87 6
94 6
95 89 6
94 89 6
92 86 6
89
6
91 86 6
82 76 6
84
87 61 6
91
92
‘6
92 86 6
93 87 6
92 86 6
85
06 6
93 86 6
88
85
82 6
78 6
86 81 5
88
91 86 5
94 88
97 91 5
92
5
97 92 6
94
5
97 91 5
97
90
89 5
87 8
79 73 6
85
89
83
93 87 6
92 85
96 89 7
93 86 7
90 84
94
79 6
6
6
100 95 6
103 97 6
89 82 6
89
90
83
93 88
98 93 5
102 97 5
102 97 5
91 86 5
84 79
5
101 96 5
ge 93
6
85 5
88 84
84 a0
4
87 82 4
78 73 5
104 96 8
103 97 6
96 91 5
98 93
94
95 89 5
94
64 7
79 6
78 6
83 5
80 6
95
77 7
88
92 6
60 7
84 6
Burundl
Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoroa (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ............... DJlboutl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
6
6
92
90
89
90
87 4
85
92 88
92
89 4
88
4
4
4
86 4
94
92
91
88
85
90 85
8
86 6
5
5
95 91 4
88
5
5
5
Ernrea
Total dependency ratio .... ............... Child dependency ralio Old-age dependency rat Ethlopla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
.
~
89
89
83
84
89 84
90 85
6
5
5
78 71 7
88 80
80
83
75 5
78 5
7
92
92
07 5
87 5
5
91 87 5
92
93 88
94 88
94 88
5
87 5
5
5
5
89 5
I01 93 7
109 101 7
111 104 7
112 106 7
112 106 6
112 106 6
106 101 5
95 5
87 82 5
87 82 5
92
92
92
86 6
86 6
93 87 6
93 87 6
92
86 6
87 6
92 a6
85
6
6
90
88 5
-r Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio OMage dependency ratio ...............
766
W&
91
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffaidPopulation Division Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
WORLD Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Otd-age dependency ratio ............... MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS (a) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS (b) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Least developed countries (c) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries (d) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Less developed regions, excluding China Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sub-Saharan Afrlca (e) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN AFRICA (1) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burundi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Comoros (2) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Djlbouti Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Eritrea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ethiopia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kenya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Madagascar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department o f Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35 Dependency ratios by major a m , mgbn and country (continued) Estimatee: 1950-2005
MllbWl Child dependency ratio
100 95 6
101 96 5
98 92 5
93 87 6
96 90 6
65
57 50 7
54 46 8
50 41 9
47 38 9
92 86 6
99
89
88
83 6
93 6
83 6
82 6
84 77 7
71 84 7
63 54 8
58 49 9
55 46 9
52 43 9
102 97 5
103
95 91 4
102 97 4
112 106 5
116 110 5
101 96 5
94
96
99
90
93
98 90
93
88 6
6
6
6
5
86 81 5
87 82 5
97
98
93
5
5
100 95 5
101
92
102 98 5
103 97 5
106 101 6
110 104 6
93 09 5
95 90
96 91 5
95 90 5
91 86 5
90
92 87 5
97
92 87 5
88 6
96 91 5
99 93
96 91 5
88
74 69 5
84 79 5
86 81 5
88
88
82 6
94 87 7
96 90 7
96 90 7
97
100 95 5
93 87 6
94 89 5
92 88
93 88
4
5
95 89 6
94 88
93 88
93 88
5
5
5
93 87 8
95
96
90
91 5
80
81 76 5
82
77 70 7
89 82
95 90 4
95 91 4
78 73 5
83 78 5
89
85
92
80
87 5
5
Maurftlur (3) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio ............ Old-age dependency ratio ............... Wmmblquo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Rlunlon Total dependency ratio .................... Chld dependency ratio Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalla Total dependency raUo Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... ChUd dependency ratio .... W a g e dependency ratio U n W Republk of T a n u n k Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio W a g e dependency ratio Zambla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio
...
Urnbobwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... YDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
75 5
5
93 89 4
5
7
77 5
92 4
83 5
82 5
m 5
59 6
96 5
88
96
97
91 5
92
96 91 5
99
92
5
100 95 5
5
94 89 5
105
log 100 6
108 102 6
104 98 6
96 90 6
89 84 6
82 76 6
92 88
95
96
84
89
90 6
97 91 6
97 91 6
95 89 6
99
97 93 5
5
5
85 5 93
90
90
85 5
85 5
89 83 6
95
77 6
6
104 98 7
82 75 7
83 76 8
84 78 6
87 81 6
89 6
6
6
79 74 6
82
87
92
77
82
95 90
96 90
99 94
5
5
5
97 91 5
98 93
5
87 5
5
5
95 5
76 70 6
77 71 6
79 73 6
82 76 7
85 79 7
83 7
93 86 7
96 89 7
96 89 7
93 86 7
69 61 8
73
81 74 7
84 76 8
87 79 8
87 79 7
90
88
73 8
83
8
76 69 8
80
65
8
81 7
79 72 7
84 76 7
85 78 7
88 81 7
92 85 7
95
8
76 69 7
7
97 91 7
97 91 6
97 91 6
77 71 6
79 73 6
81 75 6
84 78 6
89 83 6
93 87 6
95 89 8
94 87
90
6
6
86 80 6
83
84
96 91 5
98
99 93 5
99 94
99 93
5
5
91 86 5
83
88
m 6
94
Angola
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... OMage dependency ratio
heroon
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio
Control M a n Rapubllc Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Olbage dependency ratio .:............. Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
73
65
go
Total dependency ratio ....................
Old-age dependency ratio lhmoentlc Republic of the Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............
768
89
90
89
6n
90
92
94
83 7
83
83 6
84 5
87 5
89 5
6
89
92 5
87
80 7
88 80 7
77 6
United Nations Department of E m i c and Social AffairdPopulation Division WWM Popofation Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country ,(continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Malawi Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Maurltlus (3) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mozambique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rdunion Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Rwanda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Somalla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uganda Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Republic of Tanzania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Zimbabwe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
MIDDLE AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Angola Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cameroon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Central African Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chad Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Congo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Democratic Republic of the Conga Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35.Dependency ratlos by major a m , regbn and country (conthued)
Edimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major oran, w l o n and country 1950
1955
1980
1965
1970
1975
lSe0
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
66 57 9
70 61 9
73
76 8
77 69 8
79 71 8
61 73 6
83 75 6
85
68
9
76 67 8
77 8
67 79 8
55
57 46
80 49 11
64 52 12
67 55 12
73 61 12
79 67 11
84 73 11
86 76 10
64 74 10
78 69 9
58 52 6
58
78 73 5
108 98 10
104 96 8
106 96 10
105 96 10
104 95 9
97
52 6
88
9
87 79 8
81 75 6
83
87 81 6
93 86 7
93 86 8
92
77 6
7
66 81 7
67 60 7
82 76 7
76 69 7
67 60 7
80
72 8
63 76 7
91 84 7
99 93 7
110 102 9
1 07 99 9
99 91 6
95 87 7
87 81 7
76 70 7
62 55 7
74 69 5
78 73 5
84
91 83 8
84
02 74 8
83
76 6
76 7
83 76 7
61 74 7
75 67 7
68 60 8
87 79 9
90
90 82
89 82
8
7
91 4
97 93 4
98 94
8
92 87 5
95
82
64 80 5
69 64 5
55 50 5
90
90 85
90 85 5
98 91 7
1 07 99 9
103 96 7
67 80 8
84
7-7
76 7
71 7
72 64 7
62 55 6
91 85 6
90 85 6
89 83 6
86 80 6
83 77 6
79 72 7
74 67 6
67 58 9
57 48 9
Equatorial Qulnaa
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... OM-age dependency ratio ............... Qabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ra S h Tom6 and P r l n d p Child dependency ratio ........ Old-age dependency ratio ...............
NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ............... Mg.rl. Total dependency ratio ......... Child dependency ratio .................... o(d-age depeodency ratio ...............
44 11 58 52
6
11
Ewt
Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Llbynn Amb Jlmrhlrlyr Total dependency ratio. Child dependency ratio.
84
76 8
84
5
Morocco ChHd dependency ratio .......... OM-age dependency ratio ...............
84 5
5
Sudan
Total dependency ratio ......... Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............
89 83 6
88
87
89
82
66 81
88
82
83
84
6
6
5
5
5
80 70 10
83 75 8
91 83 8
99 92
90 83 7
84 77
7
100 92 8
83
70 66 5
66 62 4
67 63 4
74 70 4
94
66
89 5
61 5
71 66 5
74 69 5
70 66 4
61 57 4
74 67 6
70
82 75 7
85
85
72 7
78 7
78 6
84 76 6
83 77 6
80 74 6
74 69 6
67 61 6
61 55 6
81 73 8
88 79 8
100 92 8
109 102 7
104 98 6
99 94 5
96 91 5
96 91 5
91 86 5
60 75 5
71 65 5
82
86 78 8
90
95 87 6
98
88 8
95 67 8
97
82
91 83 8
93
74 8
89
95 66 9
68 79 9
75 68 7
79 72 7
82
90 83 7
98 91 7
101 94 7
92 85 6
90
84
84
6
78 6
73 67 6
77 71 7
82 76 6
81 75 6
64 58 6
59 53 6
84
104 99 5
108 101 5
96 90 5
85 80
Tunlrtr
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependeocy ratio. W e a w n Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ............ Old-age dependency ratio ...............
SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency rat0 ....... W a g e dependeocv ratio ............... BotmM Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... L-mo Total dependencv ratio .................... Child d e p w h x y ratio ......:............. Old-age dependencv ratio ............... Namlbk Total depeodency ratio ....................
78 5
8
85 8
84 77 7
80
81 74 7
84
84
77 7
77 6
90 85
94
101
5
5
99 94 5
75 7
86 7
7
8
south AMU
Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ...............
no
79 5
89
96
5
?l 72
72 5
66 5
108 100 6
99 94 5
5
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairsPopulation Division World Population Prospts: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per
100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Equatorial Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gabon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... S l o Tome and Principe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Algeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Egypt Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Morocco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sudan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tunisia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Western Sahara Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTHERN AFRICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Botswana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lesotho Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Namibia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... South Africa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swaziland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35 Dependency r a mby major a m , region and counby (continmd) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
MaJora m , -Ion
and country
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency r a t i .................... Child dependency ratio
h l n Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency r a t i .... old-age dependency ratb ............... Burklna F a m Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OOO
81 75 6
83 78 6
86 80 6
69
90
89
96 90
6
92 87 6
95
84
91 85 6
95
83 6
6
6
90 6
92 86 6
82 66 16
91 75 16
99 85 15
99 87 12
96 86 9
93 86 7
95
99
100
88
93
7
6
94 6
97 91 5
93 86 5
72 69 4
74 70 5
76 71 5
85 78 7
92 84
7
100 92 8
107 99 9
110 101 9
1 07 98 8
104 97 7
102 95 7
62 55 7
76 68 8
92 83 9
101 91 '10
111 100 11
109 98 11
109 96 13
104 94 11
108 99 9
103 94 9
89 81 8
83 79 4
84
86 82 4
90 86 5
89 84
90
95 90 5
92 87 5
86 80
5
91 86 5
94
86 5
78 73 5
76 71 6
75
76 71 6
81 76 6
83 78 5
85 80 5
86 81 5
85
84
80 5
78 5
82 76 6
91 86 5
89 85 5
89 84
88
90 85 5
92 86 5
93 87 6
93 87
5
83 5
6
91 85 6
87 81 6
80 74 6
80 71 10
84
83 76 7
85 79 6
85 79 6
86 80 6
86
89
91
91
89
76 8
82
83 6
85
85
83
6
6
6
69 63 6
70 64 6
71 65 6
75 69 6
78 72
94
97 90 6
99 93 6
80 75 5
84
88
79 5
83 5
73 69 5
78 72 6
70 65 4
77 73 5
1 02 100 2
cape vwde
Total dependency r a t i .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio C6b dlvolm Tdal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qambla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... Qhanr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qulnm Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ... Gulnea-Bluau Total dependency ratio ....................
79 4
89
6
6
85
91 84
6
79 6
91 86 5
93 87 5
81 74 6
88
81 7
84
79 5
100 98 2
81 75 5
84
89
5
5
88
7
94 87 7
94 89 5
95 90 5
97 92 5
98 93 5
96 92 5
96 91 4
90 83 7
94 87 7
99 92 7
103 98 8
106 98 8
108 100 8
109 101 8
94 86 5
92 86 6
91 85 6
91
90
89
6
84 6
83 6
87 80
83
85
101 98 3
104 100 3
103 100 4
103 99 4
102 98 5
104 99 5
86 80 6
90 84
90
91
84
85
6
6
6
91 85 6
94
78 6
82 76 6
81 75 7
82 76 6
84
78 6
88 80 6
88 81 7
74 68 5
73 68 5
74 68 5
75 70 5
78 72 6
84
87 79 7
89
92
82
86
89
7
6
93 87 6
7
Uhla Child dependency r a t i .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... yall Tdal dependency ratio .................... CMld dependency ratio ....................
Lkurltanla Total dependency ratio. Child dependency ratio . Old-age dependency rat
Nlgrrla Total dependency ratio ........ Child dependency ralio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... -1 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Sierra LeolM Total dependency ratm .................... Child dependency ratio
ToOo Total dependency r a t i .... Child dependency ratm .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
772
76 8
6
76 6
104 99 5
103 97 6
103 97 6
89
96 91
6
6
96 91 6
93 86 6
91
94
95 88
7
87 7
95 87 8
91
84
78 72 6
78 72 6
78 72 6
82
83 77
85
95
97 91 6
99 93 6
98 92 6
6
7 75 6
83
8
6
79 6
94
90
89
84
6
6
United Nations Deparbnent of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division W o M Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
WESTERN AFRICA (4) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Benin Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Burkina Faso Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cape Verde Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... C6te d'lvoire Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Gambia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ghana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guinea-Bissau Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Liberia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mali Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mauritania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Niger Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nigeria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Senegal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sierra Leone Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Togo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China (5) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... China. Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASIA (8) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamic Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Totai dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume l: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant -
p
-
-
Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
52 43 10
49 39 10
48
48 35 13
49
49
34 15
32
50 30 20
52 29 23
53 28 25
55 28
ASIA
37 11
17
27
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
EASTERN ASlA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna (S) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna, Hong Kong SAR (6) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlna, Macao SAR (7) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Dem. People's Republic of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Japan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mongolia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Republlc of Korea Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-CENTRAL ASlA (8) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Afghanistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bangladesh Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bhutan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... India Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iran (Islamlc Republic of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kazakhstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kyrgyzstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
Maldives Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Pakistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajikistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERNASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunei Damssalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Carnbodla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Indonesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's Democratic Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Myanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Philippines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Econotnic and Social AffairsIPopulation Divisiqn World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Compreherwive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Maldlves Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Nepal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paklstan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sri Lanka Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Tajlkistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkmenistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uzbekistan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH-EASTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brunel Darussalam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cambodla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... lndonesla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lao People's Democratic Repubilc Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malaysia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Myanmar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Phillpplnes Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Singapore Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Thailand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
Tlmor-Leste Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Viet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ...............
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
78 72 6
79 73 6
79 74 5
80 75 5
81 76 5
81 76 5
73 69 4
73 69 4
72 69 3
79 75 4
108 103 5
56 50 7
65 58 7
78 70 8
93 84 9
96 86 10
92 83 9
88 78 9
82 73 9
78 69 9
73 64 9
64 55 9
WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Azerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied Palestinian Territory Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsiPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Tlmor-Leste Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Viet Nam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN ASIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Armenia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Azerbaijan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahrain Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cyprus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Georgia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Iraq Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Israel Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jordan Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Kuwait Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lebanon Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Occupied Palestinian Territory Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Oman Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qatar Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saudi Arabia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affiirs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 .
-
P
Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERN EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
Syrian Arab Republic Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Turkey Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Arab Emirates Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Yemen Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... EASTERNEUROPE Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belarus Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bulgaria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Czech Republlc Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Hungary Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Moldova Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Poland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Romania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Russian Federation Total dependency ratro .................. Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slovakia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ukraine Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
.
Tabb A35 Dependency ratks by major area. regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major .nr.mgbn n d county
NORTHERNEUROPE (9) Total dependency raib .................... Child dependencv ratio .................... W a g e dependeocy ratio ............... C t U n IsJMdr ~ (10) Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio .................... w a g e depmkmy ratio Dmmark TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... OMage dependency ratto ............... Eatonla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Finland (11) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... k&nd Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Inland Total dependency ratlo ....................
.
L.M. Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ....................
w a g e dependbocy ratio ...............
Llthurnla Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ............... N O W (12) Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... OMage dependency ratio
m
Total dependency ratb ... Child dependency ratio
................
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
51 36 16
54 37 17
55 37 17
55 37 18
58 38 20
58 37 22
56 33 23
53 30 23
53 30 23
54 30 24
53 29 24
51 32 18
52 33 19
54
56 34 22
53 31 22
50 27 23
46
45 23 22
46
46
25
21
55 33 21
25 21
55 41 14
54 37 17
55 36 19
56 35 21
54 32 22
50 28 23
48 25
26
50 28
15
56 39 16
48
42
23
23
22
50 34 16
51
35
17
52 36 16
17
51 33 18
51 33 18
52 33 19
50 33 17
51 33 17
52 32 20
50 27 22
58 47 11
60 49 11
60 49 12
54 42 12
51 37 14
48 33 16
48 30 18
47 28 18
49 29
20
50 29 21
49 27 22
75
60 15
70 55 15
65 49 15
60 44 18
58 42 16
55 39 17
55 38 17
53 36 18
57
40
......
oldage dependency ratio ............... dkl'Z8QOVh Total dependeocv ratb .................... C M dependency rauo .................... W a g e dependency mtlo ...............
22
22
68 12
74 60 14
65 48 18
69 51 18
73 54 19
74 54 19
73 54 19
73 54 19
70 52 18
67 50 18
63 45 19
56 38 18
49 32 17
57
52 36 17
48 32 16
50 33 16
51
51 32 19
50 31
52 32 21
49 27
20
49 32 18
50
33
56 42 14
53 41 12
58
59
43
43
14
16
58 40 18
54 36 17
50 35 15
34 16
52 33 19
51 30 21
52 37 15
56
59 41 10
58 39 19
39 21
60 38 22
59 35 23
56 31 24
54 29 25
55 30 25
54 31
16
51
53 36 17
51 33 18
51 32 19
53 32 21
56 32 24
56 31 25
55 27 28
56 26 28
57 30 27
55 29 27
49 33 16
52
54 36 19
59 38 21
60 37 22
56 33 23
52 29 23
53 29 24
54 30 24
53
17
54 36 18
54 43 12
54 41 12
55 42 13
55 41 14
57 42 16
58 41 17
56 38 18
51 33 18
48 26
20
47 25 22
48 23 24
85 72 13
83 72 12
86
91 82 9
88 80
80
77 10
8
72 8
70 61 9
66 57 9
62 53 9
63 53 10
63 51 12
72
73 67 6
72
57 49 9
41 9
44 36 8
43 35
7
65 57 8
50
7
68 62 6
9
42 31 11
43 26 17
53 41 12
52 41 11
53
51 39 13
48 34 14
48 32 16
49 31 17
46
42 11
31 15
47 30 17
47 27 20
25
55
51
44 11
40
53 41 13
52 39 13
56 39 17
57 37 19
56 36 21
53 33 20
49 29 20
47 25 22
47 22 25
40 18 58
43 15
15
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Total dependency ratio . Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependencv ratb ............... Albania TOMdependency ratb .................... Child dependency ralio ....................
24
62 50 12
35
Unitad Klngdom TOW dependency ratb ... Child dependency rat0 ... 0ld-qdependency ratio ...............
57
33
56
40
35
18
60
32 18
50
23
23
29 24
6OSllh a
Croatla Total dependency ratio ............ Child dependency ratio .................... oldgge dependency ratio ...............
65
68
48 23
&wca
Total dependency ratio .................... ChUd dependeocv ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............
782
11
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 NORTHERN EUROPE (9) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Channel islands (10) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Denmark Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Estonia Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Finland (11) Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Otdage dependency ratio Iceland Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Ireland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Lahria Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Lithuania Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Norway (12) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Sweden Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... United Kingdom Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............
...............
.................... ............... .................... ....................
.................... .................... ............... ...............
...............
....................
SOUTHERN EUROPE (13) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Albania Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bosnia and Herzegovina Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio Croatla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Greece Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ...............
.................... .................... ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table Am.Dependemy ratlaa by major a m , region and countty (contitwd) Estimates: 1950-2005 oependency ratio (per 100)
MaJora m , region and county 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
53 40 13
51 38 13
52
52 37 15
55
38 17
19
69 59 10
80 66
88
12
13
71 58 13
58 44 14
79
n
13
73 61 12
13
74 61 12
57 46 11
56 45 11
59 48 13
59 46 13
leS0
1885
1990
1935
2ooo
57
55
48
48
34 20
29 19
45 23 22
46
38
22 24
21 27
52 38
40
15
15
51 37 15
51 38 16
50 33 17
46 30 10
68
62 49 13
56 43 13
52 40 12
53 40 13
48 35 13
46
55 13 61 46 15
61 45 16
57 41 16
55 38 19
51 31
48 26
20
22
54 43 11
50 37 13
51 37 14
51 38 15
48 35 13
49 35 14
50 33 17
30
49
47 31 16
44
43
33
26 10
23 20
50
47 24 22
46 22 24
50 37 13
47 33 15
naiy
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio Mlllts Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency rallo . Old-age dependency rat Montenegro Total dependency ratio .. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbla Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio Slovenla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio
Spain Total dependency ralio .. Child dependency ralb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Mncedonla (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austrla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio ....................
88
38 14 79
64
34
56
55
44
44
12
11
56 46 10
53 42 11
54 42 11
54 42 12
54 40 14
51 37 15
53 36 17
53 38 17
52 41 11
54
55 43 13
56
42 12
61 45 16
61 44 17
41 18
69 61 8
62
58
55
53 9
49 10
44
47 27
43 13
59
79 63 15
64 12
74 85 9
50 35 15
51 35 16
54 37 18
57 38 14
59 38 21
58 22
53 31 22
50
50
52
62
58
34
34
17
18
40 23
38 24
32
16
58 37 21
82
34 47 31 16
50 33 17
55 38 19
57 37
57
20
59 37 21
52
61 43 19
61 41 19
61 40 21
60
17
56 38 18
49 35 14
47 31 16
49
55 35 19
59 37 22
57
42 28 14
43 28 15
47 31 16
52
34
53 34
18
19
19
59 47 12
62
64 49
60 16
57 40 17
34
15
61 45 15
50 35
52 37 15
51 38 15
53 37 16
54 37 17
54 35 19
76
11
15
55 38 19 51 41 10
30 20 51
39 11
32 14
48 24 24 50
20
48 26 21
49
49
26
26
23
24
48
24
48 27 21
22
49 26 22
47 25 23
53 31 22
49 26 21
49 27 22
51 27 24
52 27
57 35 22
52
54
20
52 31 21
24
54 29 25
52 28 24
44 23 21
45 23 22
46 24 23
47 23 24
49
48
44
28 20
25 19
44 25 19
47 27 21
49
30
51
45 26 19
46 27 19
47 27
17
46 28 16
51 30 21
46 28 21
45 25 21
47
47
26 20
26
38
35 22
20
26
26
Frantx Old-age dependency ratio ............... -many Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ._.. Old-age dependency ratio Nntherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralio ..... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Switzerland Total dependency ralio .. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
.....
784
34
14
48 14
32 17
44
38 22 34 23
32
30
28 21
20
22
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 AffairslPopulation Division World Populetbn Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area. region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area. region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050 Italy Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Malta Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Montenegro Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Portugal Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Serbla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Slownia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Spaln Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... TFYR Macedonia (14) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... WESTERN EUROPE (15) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Austrla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belgium Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... France Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Germany Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Luxembourg Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Swlherland Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Populatioli Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35 Dependency ratios by major area. regkn and country (contlnued) Estimates: 1950-2005 ~
oependency ratio (per 100)
Major area. mgbn and country
LATIN AUERICA *ND TME CARIBBEAN Total dependeocy ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratio .................... old-agedependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (16) Total dependency raUo .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... &U b8 Total dependency ratio .... Child dependency ratb .................... W a g e dependeocv ratb ............... 8.hunn Total dependency ratb .................... Chiid dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
......
1950
1955
1960
lge5
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2OW
78 71 6
01 75
89
6
86 79 7
01 7
87 80 8
83 76 8
70 71 0
74 66 8
70 61 8
65 56 9
60 51 9
77
78 71 7
80 73 7
84
85 77 9
83
73 9
74 64 10
67 57 10
63 53 11
62 51
85
82
72 65 6
59 51 9
50 40 10
47 36 11
48 37 11
43 33 9
82
75 7
74 67 7
67 59 7
59 52 7
57 49 7
45
67 50 18
58
42 16
50 36 14
47 33 14
43 30 13
70 7
76 8
11
59
40 12
81 78 3
82
3
85 81 4
78 70 8
80 73 8
86 79 7
91 04 7
89 82
64 54 9
71
81 63
12
12
86 73 13
83
60
15
70 54 17
69 61 7
68 61 8
66
73 64 9
77 66 10
79 67 12
65 52 13
52 39 13
46 33 13
46 32 14
45
58 8
98 92 5
98
104 99 5
101 96 5
94
5
1 02 97 5
88 5
85 79 5
77 71 6
71 65 7
68 60 7
66 57 8
112 101 11
105 94 11
117 1 07 11
121 110 11
120 109 12
95
89
80
12
76 13
68 11
88 73 15
a3
83
69 14
73 61 13
70 70
84
93 83
94 68
91
76 9
82
10
8
9
92 80 11
67 56 12
60 40 12
53 41 13
52 39 13
53 38 15
76 70 8
77 71
82
83
77
86 79 7
89 82
7
62 75 7
82
76 6
7
07 80 7
79 72 7
70 63 7
85
95
65 11
111 99 12
104 92 12
89
77
76 13
78 65 12
74 61 13
70 58 12
68 56 13
83
68 80 6
97 87 9
07 78 10
87 75 12
63 50 13
57 43 14
52 38 15
53 37 16
36 10
86 77 9
82 73 9
72
63 53 9
58 47 11
54
63
43 11
50 39 11
51 40 11
51 37 14
91 82 9
92
80 70 10
76 64 11
66
62 40 14
58
10
85 52 13
43 15
55 39 16
36 17
96 87 8
1 07
7
78 72 6
9
121 111 10
108 96 10
96 86 10
86 76 10
78 65 13
72 60 12
62 50 12
114 105 8
119 110 9
116 107 9
121 111 9
120 110 11
112 101 11
98 86 11
84
73 10
79 66 11
76 65 11
65 54 11
80 73 7
86 79 7
89 81 7
86 79 7
87 79 0
75 67 9
66 57 9
66 57 9
67 57 9
60 51 9
40 39 9
77 5
7
44
34 10 53
8
8.-
Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio cub8 Total dependency ratio .................... ChiW dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Domlnlcmn Ropubllc Tdal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb ............... Qrmnad8 Total dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Qu.d.loup. Total dependmcy ratio .................... Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependeocy ratb ............... Malt1 Total dependencv ratio .............. Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... J.rn8lcm Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-age dependency ratio ............... Wnlqw TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb w W i . n d 8 miiin Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratb ...... .... W a g e dependencv ratio ............... Puerto Rico
.
...............
8 76 70 6
66 60 6
74 65 9 71 60 11 89
...............
Old-age dependency ratio Saint Luclr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependeocy ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... M n t V l n a n t and th.Qfen8dln88 Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... old-agedependency ratb ............... 1rlnld.d n d Tob8go Total dependency ratb ............ Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratio ...............
786
82 7 75 69
93
74 9 84
74 10
6
8
82 10
.
98
68
9
56
75 7
30 15
54
54
United Nations Deparbnent of Emnomic and social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Volume I: Comprehenske Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100) Major area, region and country
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CARIBBEAN (16) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Aruba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bahamas Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Barbados Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Cuba Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Domlnlcan Republlc Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Grenada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guadeloupe Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Haltl Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Jamalca Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Martlnique Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Netherlands Antllles Tolal dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Puerto Rico Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Seint Lucla Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Saint Vincent and the Orenadines Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Trlnidad and Tobago Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Tabk A.35. Dependency ratlor by major area, regkn and country (continued) Estimates: 1 ~ 2 0 0 5 oepemlency ratio (per loo) Major a m , mgbn and counhy 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2oM)
87 73 14
90 77
86
82 74 8
66 80
68 61 8
63 55 8
44 9
53 43 11
40
6
83 77 7
53
74 12
100 94 7
100 93 7
98 91 7
94 87 7
87 79 7
78 71 7
72
66
64
58 8
104 94 9
99
94 86
69 61 8
69 61
8
57 8 73 65 8
69
94 87 7
93 85 87 79 7
U n W Smea Vlrgln W n d a
Total dependency ratb .................... ChW dependency rat’
CENTRAL M R C A Total dependency ralb .... Child dependency ratio .... Old-age dependency ralio ............... 804120 Total dependency ratio
W a g e dependency ralb ...............
14
54 13
85
91
79 6
85 6
97 90 6
73 67 6
90 82 7
99 91 8
106 97 9
106 97 9
107 97 9
76 68 9
87 78 9
98 89 9
105
ge
85
74
95
89 9
77
68
9
8
86 80
95
97
92
5
5
97 91 5
95 89 8
93 87 6
90
90
6
90 84 5
7
82 74 6
89
92
94
92
91
91
84 5
87 5
89 5
87 5
85
86
94 86
6
5
8
95 89 6
95 89 7
86
91 85 7
97 91 6
101
103
101 94 6
97 91 6
95
92
6
103 97 6
89 6
85 7
92 85
97
90
7
94 87 7
85 78 7
75 68 7
68 60
7
101 94 7
92
6
101 94 7
94
101
104 99 5
102 97 5
100 95 5
101 95 5
101 95 6
97 90 6
90 83 6
80
93 85
69 81 8
82 74
73 65 8
67 59 8
63
60
54 8
51 9
74
8
79 71 8
71 63 8
67 59 8
63 54 9
58 49 9
58 46 12
63 50 13
65
10
57 46 11
51 14
66 51 15
63 48 15
61 45 16
83 77 7
81 74 7
81 73 7
78 71 8
90 9
8
8
86 79 8
78 71 7
cortr Rlcr
Total dependency ralb .................... Child dependency ratio ....................
W-agedependency ralb ...............
El Solvdor Total dependency ratb .................... ChW dependency ralb .................... old-agedependency ratio ............... Qu.tgmola Total dependency ralb .................... Child dependency ratb W-agedependency ra Honduru Total dependency ram Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratb ...............
79 7
10
95
96 6
a3
86
59 50 9
60 9
8
MDxko
Total dependency ralb ......... Child dependency ralb .................... Old-age dependency ralb ............... Nlcamgua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ralb ............ W a g e dependency ratio ........
85 79 6
88 83 5
m
96
99
8
62 54 8
74 6
5
5
85 78
93
8
90 81 8
75 69 6
79 72 6
03 78 7
85
53 47 6
55 48 8
57 48 9
81 75 6
83
85
86
86
87
77
80
80 6
80
6
79 6
6
85 79 7
80
82 77 6
87 81 6
89 83 7
85
79 72 7
73 68 7
70
86
60
54
63
52 8
46
7
59 7
74 67 8
79 71 9
83 74 9
81 72 9
73
63 54 9
58 49 9
56 47 9
57 47 10
54 43 11
92 86
98 92
89 83 7
74 7
72 65 7
68 61 7
64
6
97 91 7
80
6
100 94 6
56 7
59 52 8
87 78 9
93
97
86
95 86
92
84 9
9
8
88 80 8
82 75 7
76 68 7
69 62 8
65 57 8
Puumr
Tolal dependency ratb .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ...............
SOUTH AMMCA (17) Total dependency ralb Child dependency ralb ....... Old-age dqmdmcy ratio ... Argantlna Tolai dependency ratb Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependencv ralb ............... Bollvlr Total dependency raM .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Brull Tolai dependency ratb .................... old-age dependency ratio .... Chllo Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ......... W a g e dependency ratb ............... Cdomblo Tolai dependency ratb ......... Child dependency ralio .................... W a g e dependencv ralb ............... Ecudor Total dependency mlio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
788
80 72 7
75 5
69 62 7
64 79 6 81 72 10
84 8
78 7 57
48
6
8
83 76
78 7
64 9
84 8
8
86 8
8
United Nations Department of Economic and Soda1 Affairs/Population Division WorM Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
53 37 16
54 33 22
60 32 28
65 32 33
72 33 39
78 34 44
77 31 46
72 28 44
65 25 40
68 25 43
United States Virgln Islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... CENTRAL AMERICA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Belize Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Costa Rlca Total dependency ratio .................... ChiM dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... El Salvador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guatemala Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Honduras Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Mexlco Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Oldage dependency ratio ............... Nicaragua Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Panama Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... SOUTH AMERICA (17) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Argentina Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Bolivia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Brazil Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Chlle Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Colombia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ecuador Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairsIPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
l a b k A S . Dependency ratios by major area, regkn and country (contlnued)
Estknates: 19!5&2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
M . l o r m , ngkn and county
Fmch Q u l a ~ Total dependency ratb .. Child dependency ratb .................... Old-age dependency ratb ...............
QUYM. Total dependeocy ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio
......
pwoury
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-- dependency ratio ............... pwu Total dependency ratio ....... Child dependency ratb .................... W a g e dependeocy ratb ............... Surlnmne Total dependency ratio ..... ChUd dependency ratb Old-age dependency ratio ............... urnwry T&al dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... o!d-agedependencyratio V . n u m l a (Bollnrt.n Repu Total dependency ratio .............. Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ra
.....
NORTHERN M R I C A (18) Total dependency ratb .................... ChM dependency ratb .............
1950
1655
1960
1865
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2ooo
57
69 59 10
80
79 68 10
78 69 9
77 68 8
64 56 8
60 53 7
63 57 6
66 61 6
66
68 12
84 76 8
96
107 101 7
102 95 7
105 97 7
92
02
85 7
74 7
76 69 7
70 62 8
62 54 8
58
89 7
loo
102
104 6
79 7
77
6
91 84 7
83
98
98 92
84
96
104 97 7
86
94 6
7
76 7
81 73 8
74 66 8
02 76 6
84
88 81 6
91 84 7
90
78 6
88 81 7
84 77 7
78 71 7
73 66 7
69 61 7
65 57 8
109 101 8
106
72 65 7
65
6
84 76 8
58 7
64 56 8
61 52 9
80
48 9
7
84 7
60 6
48 8
85 74 11
92
107
63
99
9
9
109 101 8
57 44 13
56 43 13
58 44 13
57 44 13
58 44 14
60 44 15
43 17
61 43 17
60 42 18
60 40 20
60 39 21
83
89
80 3
85
93 68
4
5
96 91 5
94 69 6
87 81 6
78 73 6
74 68 6
72 65 6
67 60 7
62 55 7
62
66 51 16
62 46 16
55 39 16
50 34 17
50 32 17
51 33 18
52 33 19
51
53
48
47
31 15
30
48 30
28
I7
18
18
98
55 42 13
48 14
87 52 15
60 47 12
66 53 13
70 57 13
70 57 13
61 49 13
40 13
47 34 14
54 42 13
62
67 51 15
66 50 16
62 46 16
55 39 16
51 34 17
50 32 18
51 33 19
53 34 19
51 33 19
59
65
48
68 58 12
68 56 12
65 54 12
63 51 12
60 47 13
57 44 13
56 41 14
56 41 15
40
12
53 12
55 42 13
61 47 14
64
83 49 14
61 47 13
58 44 14
54
51
38
15
15
50 33 17
51 33 18
50
39
53 41 12
60 48
83
62
48
13
14
59 46 13
57 43 14
54
49 14
39 15
51 36 15
49 33 17
50 32 18
49 31 19
61 47 14
67 52 15
71 58 15
69 55 14
67 53 14
63 49 14
58 42 16
53 37 16
53
53 35 18
53
36 17
79 73 7
82 77 6
84
92
85
80
87 4
80 4
84 79 4
86 81 4
82 77 4
77 73 4
75 71 4
75 70 4
98
102 96 6
102 97 5
97
85 81 4
74 69 5
72 67 5
71 66 5
69 64 5
64 58 5
60
32 19
Cuuda TOW dependeocy ratio ChUd dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... U n M S U t a of Amu(cr Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratb .........
OCEANIA Total dependency ratb .................... ChUd dependency ratio ............. Old-age dependency ratio ......... AUSlRALlAWEW ZENAND TOM dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... oldgge dependency ratio ......... Au.tnllr (19) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .... Oldage dependency ratb New t u h n d Total dependency ratio .................... Chad dependency ratb Old-age dependency ratio ............... WXANESIA Total dependency ratio .............. Child dependency ratio FIJI Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... W a g e dependency ratb ...............
790
92 5
48 14
50 14
5
92 5
46
55 15
32 18
35 18
55 6
United Nations Depamnent of Economic and Social AfFairdPopulation Division Wodd Population Prospects: The 2006 Revkion, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 1W) Major area, region and country
French Guiana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guyana Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Paraguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Peru Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Surlname Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Uruguay Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Venezuela (Bollvarlan Republlc of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... NORTHERN AMERICA (18) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Canada Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Unlted States of America Total dependency ralio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... OCEANIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... AUSTRALIAINEW ZEALAND Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Australia (19) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... New Zealand Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MELANESIA Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ralio ............... Flji Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairslPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) Estimates: 1950-2005 Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major a m , mglon and country
New Caldonla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Papua New Gulnw Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... Solomon Islands Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .......... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Vanuatu Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-aw dependency ratio UCRONESIA (20) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guam Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Ycronwla (Fed. strtea of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... Old-age dependency ratio .. POLYNESIA (21) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Polynwla Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Samoa Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... fonga Total dependency ratio Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
....................
.................... ...............
....................
.............
..........
l9sO
1955
1960
l96!5
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
67 61 6
67 61 6
71 65 6
74
68
75 69 6
74 67
6
70 63 7
64 57 7
58 51 7
56 48 8
55 46 9
77 70 7
79 74
82
84
6
77 4
4
84 81 4
88 84 4
83 79 4
78 74 4
77 73 4
77 73 4
80
81 77 4
83 78 5
93
94 87 7
105 98 7
104 97 7
103 96 7
93 86 6
87 82 6
82 76 5
96 91
96 92 5
96
94 89 6
94 88 6
93 87 6
92 86 6
91 7
88 82 7
83 77 6
87 81
84 78 6
80 74 6
72 66 6
68 62 6
66 60 6
61 55 6
61 56 5
56 51 5
52 46 6
55 48 7
56 48 8
77 4
96 91 5
5
6 91 87 4
86 7
91 4
80
84
75 69 6
86 80 6
83 6
73 70 3
72 69 3
71
2
55 53 2
3
66 62 4
80 73 7
89 82 7
96 89 7
102 95 7
97 91 7
107 98 9
104 96 7
97 90 7
91 84 7
88 82 7
78 72 7
94
96 92 5
98 94 4
102 97 4
97 93 4
89
90
5
80 75 5
73 68 5
72 65 7
70 63 7
69 61 8
89 84 5
94 89 5
94 89 5
82 76 5
75 70 5
68 63 5
63 57 5
60
54 6
56 49 7
98 95 3
89
86 3
78 74 4
74 70 4
81 74 7
77 70 7
83 75 8
97 93 4
100 95 5
89 84 5
82 75 7
78 70 8
82 73 9
78 68
64
58 6
40 38
5
88
89 84 5
89
97 92 5
101 96 4
102 3
106 102 3
103
102 99 4
102 98 4
100 97 4
9s 4
84 5
98
5 68
84
10
a More developed regbns cunprtae Europe, NorthernAmerica, Australia/New Zealand and Japan. b Legs developed regbns canprise all region8of Africa,Asia (excluding Japan). Lailn America and the Caribbean plus Manesh, Micronesia and Pdynesia. c Least developed counMes are 50 cwntries.34 In Afrlca.10 h Ash, 5 in Oceenia plus one ccuntry in Latkr America and the Caribbean. d Other 1888 developed cwntriss comprke of the leas develcped reglons excluding the least developedcountries. e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Afrlca except Northem Africa, WI the Sudan induded in Sub-Saharan Africa. 1 lnduding Seychelles. 2 lnduding Mayme. 3 lndudlng Pgalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 4 Induding Saint Helena. Ascension, and Triatan da Cunha. 5 For statistical purposes,the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao,Speclai AdminiatratheRegions (SAR)of China. 6 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative RegiMl (SAR) of China. 7 As of 20 December 19B9, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of Chlna. 8 The regions Southern Ade and Central Asia am combined into South-Central Asia.
792
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.35. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued) 2005-2050: Medium variant Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major ama, region and country 2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
51 41 10
48 37 11
46 33 13
47
48 31 17
50
55 28 27
57
30 20
53 29 24
28
59 27
29
32
75 71 4
70 66 4
63 58 4
57
54
52
48
5
6
53 46 7
51 44 8
49 40 9
47 37 10
45 35 11
77 72 5
71 66 5
65
55 49 6
52 45 7
50 42 8
49 39 10
48 37 11
47
59 5
59 53 6
35
76 70 6
69 63
59 53 7
56 49 8
54 45 9
52 42 10
51 39 12
49 36 13
34
6
64 57 6
57 50 7
54 47 7
52 43 8
50 40 10
50
51 37 14
51 35 16
50 33 17
50 31 19
50 30 21
56
53 42 11
51 38 12
51 36 15
53 35 17
55
57 33 23
56
55
46 10
31 25
29
54 28
26
26
74 67 7
68 62 6
63 57 7
59 51
56 47 10
54 11
50 40 11
46 35 10
42 31 11
43 29 14
65 56 9
61 52 9
55 46 9
52 40 12
53 38 15
54
54
42 11
37 18
34
30
19
52 32 20
48
47 38 9
48 36 10
47 35 12
47 33 14
49 31 18
51 21
52 2% 24
53 28 25
55 28 28
63 55 8
56 47 8
55 45 10
58
a
75 67 8
13
61 45 16
60 42 18
54 36 18
50 31 19
7a 67 11
74 62 12
69 57 11
65 54 11
60
57 46 11
55 43 12
51
50
51
40
36 13
35
New Caledonia 32 15
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ..... Old-age dependency ratio. Papua New Guinea Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ....... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Solomon Islands
41
a
8
53
38 12
34 20 43
29
13 49 15
52
22
Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ...... OM-age dependency ratio ............... Vanuatu Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... MCRONESIA (20) Total dependency ratio ...... Child dependency ratio ................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... Guam Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ............... Micronesia (Fed. States of) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................... Old-age dependency ratio .............. POLYNESIA (21) Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio .................. Old-age dependency ratio ............... French Polynesia Total dependency ratio .................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Samoa 83 75
45
Total dependency ratm ................... Child dependency ratio ................... Old-age dependency ratio ...............
Tonga 50 11
12
17
Total dependency ratio ................... Child dependency ratio ................. Old-age dependency ratio ...............
9 lncludlng Faeroe Islands and Isle of Man 10 Relers 10 Guernsey and Jersey 11
Including &and Wands
12 lndudvlg Svalbard and Jan Mayen Wands 13 Including Andorra Gbrallar, H d y See, and San 14 The fwmer Yugoslav Republc ol Macedmla
Manno
15 Including Uechtensteln and MoMco 16 Including Anguilla. Anllgua and Barbuda. Bnlrsh Virgin Islands. Capan Wands. Ocmmlca. Mmlsenet, Sahl Kms and Nebis and Turks and Cams Islands 17 Including Falkland Islands (Malunas) 18 lnduding 8errnuda. Greenland and Saml Rerre and Mquelm 19 Including Chnslmas Island, &OS (Keelng) Uands. and Nolldk bland 20 Including Kiribah, Marshall Islands, Nauru. Northern Mamna Wands. and Palau 21 Including Amercan Samoa. Cook Islands, Niue. PIIcam. Tokelau. TUMIU.Wallls and Fuhlna Islands
United Nations Department of Economic and Social AffairdPopulation Division World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
793
This page intentionally left blank
HOW TO OBTAIN UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATIONS United Natlons publications may be obtained from bookstores and distributors throughout the world. Consult your bookstore or write to: United Nations. Sales Sect~on.New York or Geneva. COMMENT SE PROCURER LES PUBLICATIONS DES NATIONS UNIES Les publlcatlons des Nations Unies sont en vente dans les librair~eset les agences depositaires du monde entier. Informez-vous aupres de votre libra~reou adressez-vous B : Natlons Un~eh. Section des ventes. New York ou Geneve. KAK l l O J Y q M T b M3nAHWR OPI-AHM3AlJMM OEBEnMHEHHbIX H A U M ~ M?naHu~OpraHU3a~LiUO6>en&iHeUHbl~Hauua M O Y H O KYnUTb B K U H X H b l X Mara3HHaX U areHTcTsax BO Bcex p a f i o ~ a xMupa. H a s o n u ~ cnpaeKu e 06 umarlunx B BameM KHUXHOM ~ a r a l u n eunn numuTe nq anpecy: O p r a ~ u s a u u n0 6 a e n u ~ e ~ u b 1HauuR, x Cexuux no nponame u ~ ~ ~ H Hbm-MOPK uA, nnu X e ~ e e a . COMO CONSECUIR PUBLICACIONES DE LAS NACIONES UNIDAS Las publlcaclones de las Naciones Unidas estan en venta en librerias y casas dlstribu~dorasen todas partes del mundo. Consulte a su librero o dirijase a: Naciones Un~das,Secc~cinde Ventas. Nueva York o Ginebra.
Litho in United Nations, New York 06-65665-January 2007-5,485 ISBN 978-92-1- 151429-2
United Nations publication Sales No. E.07.XI11.2 STIESAISER.AI261